2023 Fantasy Projection Evaluation

Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2023, excluding batters with fewer than 300 PA and pitchers with fewer than 200 BF. Limited to 5x5 categories, with playing time (PA/BF) split out from rates.

Summary

Batting

System PA HR SB R RBI AVG
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System BF SO W SV ERA WHIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Burger 201 540 339.4
2 Brent Rooker 210 526 315.7
3 Maikel Garcia 204 515 311.2
4 Zach McKinstry 251 518 267.0
5 Mike Tauchman 138 401 263.3
6 Brenton Doyle 188 431 243.2
7 Zach Neto 87 329 242.0
8 Jake McCarthy 548 312 235.5
9 Mike Trout 580 362 218.3
10 Andy Ibáñez 165 383 217.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Volpe 100 601 501.0
2 Masataka Yoshida 100 580 480.0
3 Spencer Steer 259 665 406.0
4 Ryan Noda 100 495 395.0
5 Ezequiel Tovar 227 615 388.0
6 Corbin Carroll 267 645 378.0
7 Fernando Tatis Jr. 262 635 373.0
8 Jordan Walker 100 465 365.0
9 James Outman 212 567 355.0
10 Brice Turang 100 448 348.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 45 526 481.0
2 Maikel Garcia 44 515 471.0
3 Jake Burger 141 540 399.0
4 Brenton Doyle 46 431 385.0
5 Zach McKinstry 149 518 369.0
6 Willi Castro 45 409 364.0
7 Edouard Julien 45 408 363.0
8 Joey Wiemer 56 410 354.0
9 Mike Tauchman 54 401 347.0
10 Anthony Volpe 263 601 338.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Maikel Garcia 19 515 495.7
2 Jake Burger 99 540 441.1
3 Brenton Doyle 26 431 404.7
4 Matt McLain 1 403 402.0
5 Mike Tauchman 13 401 387.8
6 Andy Ibáñez 7 383 376.4
7 Edouard Julien 33 408 375.2
8 Brent Rooker 169 526 357.2
9 Patrick Bailey 1 353 352.0
10 Nolan Jones 91 424 332.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Vargas 582 304 278.0
2 Rowdy Tellez 592 351 241.0
3 Eduardo Escobar 548 309 239.0
4 Josh Jung 280 515 235.0
5 JJ Bleday 536 303 233.0
6 Jorge Polanco 567 343 224.0
7 Nico Hoerner 469 688 219.0
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. 430 635 205.0
9 Nick Pratto 550 345 205.0
10 Ezequiel Tovar 413 615 202.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
George Springer 0.0426
0.0684
(18.7)
0.0694
(19.6)
0.0670
(17.1)
0.0663
(18.3)
0.0718
(20.5)
Jose Siri 0.1179
0.0572
(21.5)
0.0474
(25.0)
0.0621
(20.1)
0.0561
(21.4)
0.0534
(23.2)
Joey Meneses 0.0269
0.0617
(23.9)
0.0631
(25.0)
0.0627
(24.0)
0.0568
(21.7)
0.0655
(25.9)
Luis Robert Jr. 0.0997
0.0558
(25.2)
0.0514
(27.7)
0.0571
(25.0)
0.0538
(25.4)
0.0564
(25.3)
Jake Burger 0.0980
0.0591
(20.1)
0.0570
(21.2)
0.0637
(18.2)
0.0582
(19.8)
0.0556
(22.5)
Matt Olson 0.1213
0.0810
(27.9)
0.0769
(30.7)
0.0800
(29.3)
0.0785
(28.6)
0.0845
(26.0)
Michael A. Taylor 0.0917
0.0354
(21.2)
0.0377
(20.2)
0.0342
(22.1)
0.0328
(21.7)
0.0393
(20.0)
J.D. Martinez 0.1122
0.0586
(24.9)
0.0518
(28.1)
0.0584
(25.5)
0.0573
(24.8)
0.0601
(24.6)
Marcell Ozuna 0.1005
0.0642
(20.5)
0.0627
(21.3)
0.0616
(22.7)
0.0612
(21.4)
0.0700
(17.6)
Jeremy Peña 0.0221
0.0527
(20.5)
0.0528
(20.6)
0.0535
(20.4)
0.0518
(20.8)
0.0529
(20.0)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0571
0.1015
(29.3)
0.0964
(26.1)
0.0899
(21.3)
0.0991
(28.6)
0.1165
(38.3)
Adolis García 0.1010
0.0666
(20.7)
0.0654
(21.3)
0.0640
(23.0)
0.0631
(22.0)
0.0729
(17.3)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0780 0.0514 19.2
2 Max Muncy 0.0735 0.1075 18.7
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.0897 0.1215 18.1
4 William Contreras 0.0688 0.0408 18.1
5 Aaron Judge 0.1134 0.1542 18.0
6 Tim Anderson 0.0345 0.0027 17.5
7 Javier Báez 0.0533 0.0231 17.4
8 Christopher Morel 0.0590 0.1008 17.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.0533 0.1017 24.5
2 Spencer Torkelson 0.0366 0.0705 21.9
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.0836 0.0557 20.6
4 Javier Báez 0.0588 0.0231 20.5
5 Tim Anderson 0.0379 0.0027 19.4
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.0877 0.1215 19.2
7 Max Muncy 0.0727 0.1075 19.1
8 Nolan Gorman 0.0611 0.1038 19.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0825 0.0514 21.7
2 Max Muncy 0.0719 0.1075 20.2
3 Aaron Judge 0.1104 0.1542 19.7
4 William Contreras 0.0719 0.0408 19.4
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.0891 0.1215 19.1
6 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0620 0.0369 18.6
7 Joey Gallo 0.0954 0.1500 17.9
8 Patrick Wisdom 0.0859 0.1447 17.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0807 0.0514 22.1
2 Max Muncy 0.0704 0.1075 19.6
3 Aaron Judge 0.1085 0.1542 19.5
4 William Contreras 0.0686 0.0408 18.9
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.0869 0.1215 18.9
6 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0598 0.0369 18.8
7 Javier Báez 0.0535 0.0231 18.3
8 Christopher Morel 0.0552 0.1008 18.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Chapman 0.0822 0.0491 19.7
2 Daulton Varsho 0.0822 0.0504 18.9
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.0821 0.0557 18.9
4 Tim Anderson 0.0357 0.0027 17.7
5 J.P. Crawford 0.0175 0.0459 17.6
6 Hunter Renfroe 0.0843 0.0532 17.5
7 Javier Báez 0.0538 0.0231 17.2
8 Christopher Morel 0.0609 0.1008 16.8

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Willi Castro 0.3113
0.1081
(76.0)
0.0816
(84.9)
0.1020
(77.8)
0.1225
(72.5)
0.1000
(77.7)
Esteury Ruiz 0.5583
0.3029
(118.3)
0.0612
(236.1)
0.3188
(109.6)
0.3019
(121.7)
0.2880
(123.8)
Bo Bichette 0.0331
0.1075
(55.2)
0.1039
(55.8)
0.1009
(52.2)
0.1175
(57.7)
0.1039
(55.3)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.2135
0.0860
(68.9)
0.0820
(68.5)
0.0821
(70.3)
0.0902
(69.9)
0.0855
(66.8)
Elly De La Cruz 0.3763
0.1842
(74.6)
0.0824
(116.1)
0.1798
(75.8)
0.1685
(83.8)
0.2041
(64.5)
Corbin Carroll 0.3253
0.1329
(112.8)
0.0678
(151.9)
0.1307
(113.2)
0.1347
(115.4)
0.1333
(110.1)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3224
0.2043
(69.9)
0.1754
(86.7)
0.1853
(81.8)
0.2340
(53.3)
0.1938
(74.5)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.3230
0.1967
(80.0)
0.1594
(104.0)
0.1866
(86.2)
0.2273
(61.8)
0.1761
(92.4)
Francisco Lindor 0.1879
0.0854
(58.4)
0.0789
(59.7)
0.0785
(62.0)
0.0954
(55.5)
0.0823
(58.0)
CJ Abrams 0.3588
0.1415
(122.7)
0.0833
(155.6)
0.1363
(124.8)
0.1371
(128.9)
0.1509
(114.6)
Wander Franco 0.2439
0.0703
(76.7)
0.0594
(79.8)
0.0625
(79.7)
0.0719
(78.7)
0.0769
(71.6)
Brenton Doyle 0.2895
0.1059
(71.6)
0.0824
(79.8)
0.0990
(73.9)
0.0957
(78.5)
0.1226
(62.7)
Adolis García 0.0647
0.1515
(65.9)
0.1429
(63.3)
0.1415
(60.6)
0.1691
(73.3)
0.1441
(63.6)
Josh Lowe 0.2832
0.1299
(68.0)
0.0735
(94.0)
0.1190
(72.7)
0.1186
(76.6)
0.1525
(54.8)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Berti 0.2724 0.1345 65.9
2 Bryson Stott 0.0902 0.1925 54.4
3 Randy Arozarena 0.1795 0.1140 54.3
4 Nico Hoerner 0.1235 0.2172 52.5
5 Jorge Mateo 0.3018 0.4638 50.6
6 Tommy Pham 0.0742 0.1964 50.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Mateo 0.2449 0.4638 68.9
2 Jarren Duran 0.1029 0.2963 62.0
3 Brice Turang 0.0824 0.2385 60.1
4 Jihwan Bae 0.0909 0.2727 59.3
5 Nico Hoerner 0.1102 0.2172 58.4
6 Anthony Volpe 0.0824 0.1967 55.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Mateo 0.2762 0.4638 58.9
2 Nico Hoerner 0.1138 0.2172 57.9
3 Bryson Stott 0.0854 0.1925 56.3
4 Tommy Pham 0.0635 0.1964 54.7
5 Jon Berti 0.2365 0.1345 51.4
6 Taylor Walls 0.0985 0.2619 50.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Berti 0.3046 0.1345 77.1
2 Randy Arozarena 0.2038 0.1140 66.4
3 Marcus Semien 0.1412 0.0741 59.3
4 Bryson Stott 0.1004 0.1925 51.6
5 Tommy Pham 0.0806 0.1964 50.1
6 Jarren Duran 0.1484 0.2963 49.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Berti 0.2766 0.1345 69.3
2 Jorge Mateo 0.2796 0.4638 57.0
3 Nico Hoerner 0.1148 0.2172 55.8
4 Bryson Stott 0.0847 0.1925 55.4
5 Randy Arozarena 0.1656 0.1140 47.6
6 Nolan Jones 0.0351 0.1681 47.4

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Corbin Carroll 0.1798
0.1316
(30.6)
0.1161
(39.8)
0.1340
(30.9)
0.1315
(27.5)
0.1293
(33.5)
DJ LeMahieu 0.0979
0.1344
(21.0)
0.1342
(21.6)
0.1375
(21.2)
0.1321
(22.4)
0.1336
(19.3)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.2027
0.1675
(25.2)
0.1562
(32.7)
0.1681
(26.9)
0.1647
(23.8)
0.1698
(25.2)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1144
0.1538
(27.5)
0.1435
(21.3)
0.1665
(34.2)
0.1528
(30.1)
0.1422
(18.0)
Tim Anderson 0.0992
0.1404
(22.0)
0.1562
(30.9)
0.1444
(22.7)
0.1296
(18.9)
0.1471
(24.3)
Adolis García 0.1709
0.1234
(29.5)
0.1273
(26.2)
0.1150
(36.5)
0.1143
(32.1)
0.1407
(19.9)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.1243 0.1709 25.4
2 Josh Bell 0.1221 0.0843 23.9
3 Matt Olson 0.1428 0.1764 23.6
4 Juan Soto 0.1694 0.1370 23.6
5 J.P. Crawford 0.1137 0.1473 20.9
6 Matt McLain 0.1089 0.1613 20.8
7 George Springer 0.1558 0.1274 20.0
8 Carlos Correa 0.1364 0.1034 19.6
9 Alejandro Kirk 0.1253 0.0806 19.2
10 Rowdy Tellez 0.1269 0.0741 18.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.1297 0.1764 32.2
2 Gunnar Henderson 0.1083 0.1608 31.4
3 Teoscar Hernández 0.1393 0.1032 25.8
4 Cody Bellinger 0.1228 0.1709 25.6
5 Josh Bell 0.1213 0.0843 24.1
6 Austin Riley 0.1298 0.1636 22.7
7 Yandy Díaz 0.1212 0.1583 21.0
8 Bo Bichette 0.1456 0.1148 19.7
9 Ha-Seong Kim 0.1011 0.1342 19.4
10 J.P. Crawford 0.1150 0.1473 19.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.1139 0.1709 32.8
2 Juan Soto 0.1790 0.1370 28.3
3 Josh Bell 0.1301 0.0843 27.1
4 Miguel Cabrera 0.1261 0.0568 24.9
5 Alejandro Kirk 0.1390 0.0806 23.8
6 George Springer 0.1634 0.1274 23.2
7 Carlos Correa 0.1442 0.1034 22.5
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.1266 0.1608 22.5
9 Jorge Mateo 0.1050 0.1657 21.9
10 Rowdy Tellez 0.1384 0.0741 21.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.1144 0.1709 28.2
2 Josh Bell 0.1243 0.0843 28.2
3 Juan Soto 0.1684 0.1370 26.2
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1158 0.1608 24.5
5 Alejandro Kirk 0.1305 0.0806 23.5
6 Rowdy Tellez 0.1309 0.0741 21.9
7 Carlos Correa 0.1348 0.1034 21.5
8 Matt McLain 0.1026 0.1613 21.4
9 Mauricio Dubón 0.1073 0.1545 20.4
10 J.P. Crawford 0.1098 0.1473 20.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.1346 0.1764 31.1
2 Daulton Varsho 0.1536 0.1119 23.4
3 Nico Hoerner 0.1109 0.1424 22.7
4 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0994 0.1342 22.7
5 J.P. Crawford 0.1138 0.1473 22.3
6 Esteury Ruiz 0.1379 0.0946 20.9
7 Teoscar Hernández 0.1349 0.1032 20.5
8 Yandy Díaz 0.1257 0.1583 20.4
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1767 0.1433 20.3
10 Matt McLain 0.1151 0.1613 19.2

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Max Muncy 0.1813
0.1355
(27.0)
0.1308
(27.4)
0.1383
(24.9)
0.1341
(25.2)
0.1342
(30.8)
Cedric Mullins 0.1626
0.1006
(28.6)
0.0944
(29.6)
0.0964
(30.1)
0.0960
(28.6)
0.1094
(27.0)
Corey Seager 0.1791
0.1312
(26.1)
0.1311
(24.0)
0.1318
(25.4)
0.1297
(24.5)
0.1320
(28.5)
Jonah Heim 0.1896
0.1157
(37.4)
0.1096
(38.5)
0.1219
(33.9)
0.1118
(37.2)
0.1134
(41.2)
Ty France 0.0872
0.1255
(24.9)
0.1241
(26.6)
0.1219
(23.1)
0.1234
(26.5)
0.1311
(25.1)
Andrew Benintendi 0.0725
0.1143
(25.5)
0.1128
(27.0)
0.1099
(23.2)
0.1150
(28.7)
0.1178
(24.4)
Cody Bellinger 0.1745
0.1224
(29.4)
0.1170
(30.2)
0.1227
(28.8)
0.1206
(27.9)
0.1238
(31.5)
Alec Bohm 0.1588
0.1169
(26.0)
0.1152
(24.7)
0.1190
(24.3)
0.1127
(25.9)
0.1190
(28.0)
J.D. Martinez 0.2150
0.1393
(36.6)
0.1236
(42.3)
0.1441
(34.0)
0.1325
(37.8)
0.1413
(38.2)
Josh Naylor 0.1960
0.1412
(27.5)
0.1263
(32.9)
0.1448
(25.3)
0.1366
(27.6)
0.1420
(29.7)
Josh Lowe 0.1657
0.1080
(29.2)
0.0915
(35.6)
0.1072
(29.3)
0.1031
(29.5)
0.1138
(29.0)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.1560 0.1931 27.2
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1653 0.1228 26.5
3 Tim Anderson 0.0981 0.0477 26.0
4 José Ramírez 0.1541 0.1158 26.0
5 Jeremy Peña 0.1224 0.0820 25.1
6 Daulton Varsho 0.1486 0.1050 24.9
7 Matt Chapman 0.1349 0.0929 23.9
8 Xander Bogaerts 0.1232 0.0872 23.4
9 Isaac Paredes 0.1332 0.1716 22.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.1661 0.1158 37.0
2 Isaac Paredes 0.1046 0.1716 36.5
3 Spencer Torkelson 0.0845 0.1374 34.0
4 Dominic Smith 0.1284 0.0785 31.1
5 Matt Olson 0.1507 0.1931 28.2
6 Tim Anderson 0.0979 0.0477 28.0
7 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1603 0.1228 25.8
8 Zach McKinstry 0.1122 0.0676 24.7
9 Xander Bogaerts 0.1206 0.0872 24.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Xander Bogaerts 0.1345 0.0872 31.4
2 Jeremy Peña 0.1283 0.0820 29.3
3 Tim Anderson 0.1025 0.0477 28.7
4 Matt Chapman 0.1392 0.0929 26.9
5 Matt Olson 0.1559 0.1931 26.8
6 Hunter Renfroe 0.1574 0.1095 26.3
7 Dominic Smith 0.1218 0.0785 25.4
8 Ozzie Albies 0.1299 0.1652 23.2
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1717 0.1378 23.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.1440 0.1931 32.7
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1684 0.1228 31.3
3 Tim Anderson 0.0972 0.0477 27.8
4 José Ramírez 0.1477 0.1158 24.5
5 Isaac Paredes 0.1252 0.1716 24.4
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1689 0.1378 23.7
7 Gleyber Torres 0.1328 0.1012 23.7
8 Hunter Renfroe 0.1487 0.1095 23.5
9 Ozzie Albies 0.1265 0.1652 23.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daulton Varsho 0.1704 0.1050 34.5
2 José Ramírez 0.1695 0.1158 33.0
3 Carlos Santana 0.0969 0.1389 29.8
4 MJ Melendez 0.1436 0.0930 26.8
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1698 0.1228 25.9
6 George Springer 0.1494 0.1054 25.9
7 Adam Frazier 0.0842 0.1319 24.5
8 Jeremy Peña 0.1265 0.0820 24.4
9 Juan Soto 0.1259 0.1540 24.1

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Carlos Correa 0.2296
0.2727
(27.4)
0.2759
(29.4)
0.2705
(26.2)
0.2711
(26.8)
0.2764
(29.0)
Yandy Díaz 0.3295
0.2780
(28.4)
0.2731
(31.2)
0.2797
(27.3)
0.2817
(25.9)
0.2725
(32.3)
Corey Seager 0.3270
0.2747
(25.9)
0.2652
(30.8)
0.2720
(27.2)
0.2821
(21.6)
0.2700
(28.9)
Luis Arraez 0.3537
0.3022
(29.2)
0.2976
(31.9)
0.2977
(31.9)
0.2978
(31.6)
0.3111
(24.3)
Pete Alonso 0.2165
0.2607
(31.8)
0.2613
(32.3)
0.2597
(31.1)
0.2614
(32.5)
0.2611
(31.4)
José Abreu 0.2370
0.2749
(25.0)
0.2835
(30.2)
0.2728
(23.7)
0.2727
(23.9)
0.2793
(27.0)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.3375
0.2726
(44.6)
0.2642
(50.6)
0.2704
(46.2)
0.2733
(43.8)
0.2742
(44.1)
Cody Bellinger 0.3066
0.2296
(40.5)
0.2095
(51.6)
0.2245
(43.3)
0.2345
(37.5)
0.2296
(41.0)
Kyle Schwarber 0.1966
0.2319
(28.4)
0.2320
(28.6)
0.2267
(24.8)
0.2340
(30.2)
0.2350
(29.9)
Tim Anderson 0.2454
0.2882
(24.6)
0.2953
(28.4)
0.2861
(23.5)
0.2854
(23.4)
0.2930
(26.6)
Shohei Ohtani 0.3038
0.2591
(24.3)
0.2568
(25.6)
0.2555
(26.4)
0.2616
(22.5)
0.2601
(24.2)
Brenton Doyle 0.2030
0.2570
(25.0)
0.2557
(24.6)
0.2651
(28.6)
0.2542
(24.0)
0.2516
(22.3)
Josh Lowe 0.2918
0.2262
(30.8)
0.2355
(26.0)
0.2276
(30.1)
0.2239
(31.8)
0.2271
(30.8)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.2209 0.2904 26.3
2 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2457 0.1914 24.3
3 Corbin Carroll 0.2443 0.2850 23.5
4 William Contreras 0.2468 0.2889 23.2
5 Freddie Freeman 0.2958 0.3312 22.8
6 Jon Berti 0.2366 0.2938 22.5
7 Miguel Vargas 0.2639 0.1953 22.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Volpe 0.2557 0.2089 30.8
2 Trea Turner 0.3032 0.2660 28.7
3 Josh Naylor 0.2511 0.3075 25.8
4 Bryson Stott 0.2369 0.2803 25.0
5 Mookie Betts 0.2664 0.3065 24.8
6 Jarred Kelenic 0.1914 0.2527 23.7
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2434 0.1914 23.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2488 0.1914 25.6
2 Corbin Carroll 0.2427 0.2850 24.5
3 Freddie Freeman 0.2938 0.3312 24.3
4 Miguel Vargas 0.2674 0.1953 23.2
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2925 0.2641 22.2
6 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2848 0.2530 22.1
7 William Contreras 0.2495 0.2889 21.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.2100 0.2904 30.6
2 Corbin Carroll 0.2369 0.2850 28.1
3 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2470 0.1914 25.0
4 William Contreras 0.2447 0.2889 24.2
5 Spencer Steer 0.2320 0.2715 23.2
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2916 0.2641 21.9
7 Jon Berti 0.2395 0.2938 21.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trea Turner 0.3010 0.2660 26.4
2 Jon Berti 0.2303 0.2938 25.6
3 Freddie Freeman 0.2935 0.3312 25.2
4 Willy Adames 0.2523 0.2170 24.6
5 William Contreras 0.2461 0.2889 24.2
6 Mookie Betts 0.2695 0.3065 23.4
7 Josh Naylor 0.2581 0.3075 22.9

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Johnny Cueto 218
652
(433.6)
612
(394.0)
664
(446.5)
669
(451.4)
621
(403.0)
Marco Gonzales 215
720
(504.6)
693
(478.0)
770
(555.2)
727
(511.6)
662
(447.0)
Colin Rea 517
4
(512.8)
134
(383.0)
100
(417.0)
4
(512.8)
100
(417.0)
Eric Lauer 211
646
(435.3)
627
(416.0)
688
(476.7)
666
(455.2)
585
(374.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Fried 766 311 455.5
2 Brandon Woodruff 694 253 440.9
3 Bryce Elder 326 732 406.4
4 Nestor Cortes 668 266 401.6
5 Tanner Bibee 186 585 399.3
6 José Urquidy 660 275 385.4
7 Alek Manoah 794 415 379.4
8 Cole Irvin 715 336 378.6
9 Bryan Woo 4 371 366.5
10 J.P. France 215 581 366.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kodai Senga 100 694 594.0
2 Tanner Bibee 100 585 485.0
3 J.P. France 100 581 481.0
4 Hunter Brown 194 665 471.0
5 Clarke Schmidt 253 694 441.0
6 Logan Allen 100 537 437.0
7 Bryce Miller 100 537 437.0
8 Jake Irvin 100 530 430.0
9 Johan Oviedo 354 781 427.0
10 Grayson Rodriguez 100 515 415.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Bibee 62 585 523.0
2 Bryce Elder 210 732 522.4
3 Max Fried 796 311 485.1
4 Brandon Woodruff 736 253 482.6
5 Luis Medina 24 495 471.0
6 José Urquidy 737 275 462.2
7 Jake Irvin 72 530 458.2
8 Nestor Cortes 720 266 454.1
9 J.P. France 128 581 453.0
10 Dane Dunning 273 722 449.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Elder 151 732 580.8
2 Tanner Bibee 4 585 580.8
3 J.P. France 93 581 488.3
4 Max Fried 793 311 482.4
5 Brandon Woodruff 710 253 457.0
6 Andrew Abbott 4 459 454.6
7 Nestor Cortes 717 266 450.7
8 Luis Medina 52 495 442.6
9 Bryce Miller 101 537 436.4
10 Corey Kluber 685 257 427.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Fried 710 311 399.0
2 Brandon Woodruff 636 253 383.0
3 Seth Lugo 234 604 370.0
4 Ryan Feltner 568 201 367.0
5 Clarke Schmidt 336 694 358.0
6 Carlos Rodón 644 286 358.0
7 Brad Keller 561 211 350.0
8 Cole Irvin 676 336 340.0
9 Chris Murphy 548 212 336.0
10 Alek Manoah 745 415 330.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Shane Bieber 0.2008
0.2580
(32.9)
0.2684
(35.2)
0.2533
(31.1)
0.2506
(30.3)
0.2700
(36.6)
Cristian Javier 0.2314
0.2920
(44.8)
0.2907
(39.6)
0.2880
(42.8)
0.2857
(42.1)
0.3024
(48.3)
Corbin Burnes 0.2551
0.3015
(40.0)
0.3028
(36.1)
0.3009
(40.4)
0.2982
(39.4)
0.3054
(38.9)
Félix Bautista 0.4641
0.3144
(34.4)
0.2731
(45.7)
0.3135
(34.3)
0.3158
(33.5)
0.3140
(35.8)
Nick Pivetta 0.3118
0.2207
(50.7)
0.2368
(45.0)
0.2160
(52.9)
0.2194
(50.1)
0.2268
(50.3)
Pablo López 0.2921
0.2377
(39.9)
0.2418
(41.6)
0.2340
(41.9)
0.2349
(40.2)
0.2442
(38.9)
J.P. France 0.1738
0.2493
(46.5)
0.2318
(32.7)
0.2469
(45.8)
0.2526
(49.9)
0.2482
(42.8)
Mitch Keller 0.2545
0.2011
(40.3)
0.2064
(41.1)
0.1995
(40.7)
0.1978
(41.0)
0.2062
(40.5)
Merrill Kelly 0.2590
0.2014
(38.3)
0.2149
(33.0)
0.2016
(37.3)
0.2006
(37.0)
0.2021
(41.6)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tylor Megill 0.2655 0.1852 48.2
2 Justin Verlander 0.2753 0.2152 43.2
3 Zach Eflin 0.2043 0.2646 39.2
4 Gerrit Cole 0.3111 0.2704 37.2
5 Taj Bradley 0.1977 0.2804 35.9
6 Andrew Heaney 0.2847 0.2356 34.4
7 Luis Severino 0.2602 0.1894 31.4
8 Ryne Nelson 0.2010 0.1551 31.3
9 Adam Wainwright 0.1720 0.1136 30.5
10 Fernando Cruz 0.2378 0.3513 30.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.2271 0.1551 43.6
2 Spencer Strider 0.3143 0.3683 42.4
3 Kodai Senga 0.2318 0.2911 42.3
4 Adam Wainwright 0.1994 0.1136 40.7
5 Austin Gomber 0.2090 0.1443 38.0
6 Trevor Williams 0.2222 0.1684 34.4
7 Joe Ryan 0.2439 0.2932 34.2
8 Aroldis Chapman 0.2780 0.4137 34.2
9 Kyle Freeland 0.1910 0.1388 34.2
10 Luis Ortiz 0.2315 0.1475 33.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2318 0.1136 60.0
2 Tylor Megill 0.2689 0.1852 50.7
3 Justin Verlander 0.2773 0.2152 45.4
4 Zach Eflin 0.2006 0.2646 41.0
5 Taj Bradley 0.1917 0.2804 38.2
6 Gerrit Cole 0.3075 0.2704 35.2
7 Luis Severino 0.2630 0.1894 33.1
8 Jesse Scholtens 0.2318 0.1538 31.5
9 Andrew Heaney 0.2790 0.2356 31.5
10 Kevin Gausman 0.2642 0.3106 31.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tylor Megill 0.2696 0.1852 51.9
2 Justin Verlander 0.2753 0.2152 44.9
3 Zach Eflin 0.2008 0.2646 39.8
4 Taj Bradley 0.1880 0.2804 39.2
5 Gerrit Cole 0.3095 0.2704 37.9
6 Luis Severino 0.2646 0.1894 34.3
7 Andrew Heaney 0.2803 0.2356 33.2
8 Alex Wood 0.2414 0.1725 32.6
9 Patrick Sandoval 0.2358 0.1963 30.4
10 Patrick Corbin 0.1883 0.1570 30.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tylor Megill 0.2581 0.1852 40.9
2 Justin Verlander 0.2731 0.2152 38.3
3 Ryne Nelson 0.2170 0.1551 37.9
4 Zach Eflin 0.2114 0.2646 37.8
5 Andrew Heaney 0.2947 0.2356 37.5
6 Gerrit Cole 0.3164 0.2704 37.2
7 Fernando Cruz 0.2271 0.3513 34.8
8 Kyle Muller 0.2429 0.1505 34.1
9 Cole Ragans 0.2029 0.2883 33.7
10 Joe Ryan 0.2439 0.2932 33.5

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Justin Steele 0.5333
0.2981
(156.2)
0.1500
(231.5)
0.3011
(160.3)
0.3396
(124.6)
0.2609
(196.4)
Spencer Strider 0.6250
0.3760
(177.0)
0.2250
(259.4)
0.3859
(176.0)
0.4238
(138.4)
0.3333
(223.9)
Zach Eflin 0.5161
0.3313
(118.0)
0.1562
(210.8)
0.3166
(134.4)
0.3445
(106.8)
0.3333
(129.8)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. France 0.0681 0.4583 216.8
2 Bryce Elder 0.1295 0.3871 176.1
3 Dane Dunning 0.1014 0.3429 162.1
4 Bobby Miller 0.1734 0.5000 156.3
5 Dylan Cease 0.3906 0.2121 153.3
6 Michael Wacha 0.2999 0.5833 147.3
7 Zack Greinke 0.2819 0.0667 137.7
8 Miles Mikolas 0.3982 0.2571 135.9
9 Sandy Alcantara 0.4077 0.2500 133.1
10 Bryce Miller 0.0768 0.3200 121.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zac Gallen 0.2143 0.5000 190.9
2 Michael Wacha 0.2105 0.5833 172.9
3 Mitch Keller 0.1395 0.4062 170.5
4 Brayan Bello 0.1176 0.4286 167.6
5 Bryce Elder 0.1212 0.3871 150.7
6 Kyle Bradish 0.1282 0.4000 142.1
7 Kyle Gibson 0.2250 0.4545 136.8
8 Taijuan Walker 0.2439 0.4839 131.9
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2286 0.5000 131.3
10 Blake Snell 0.2051 0.4375 127.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. France 0.0620 0.4583 225.4
2 Bobby Miller 0.1373 0.5000 179.0
3 Dane Dunning 0.0876 0.3429 178.2
4 Bryce Elder 0.1465 0.3871 170.0
5 Sandy Alcantara 0.4448 0.2500 154.8
6 Miles Mikolas 0.4156 0.2571 143.5
7 Reid Detmers 0.3562 0.1429 142.8
8 Dylan Cease 0.3799 0.2121 138.1
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2740 0.5000 135.2
10 Zack Greinke 0.2824 0.0667 132.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. France 0.0525 0.4583 224.3
2 Bryce Elder 0.0707 0.3871 217.2
3 Bobby Miller 0.1393 0.5000 172.2
4 Dane Dunning 0.0869 0.3429 170.5
5 Zack Greinke 0.2950 0.0667 147.1
6 Reid Detmers 0.3430 0.1429 141.6
7 Michael Wacha 0.3090 0.5833 140.8
8 Dylan Cease 0.3715 0.2121 140.5
9 Hunter Brown 0.1301 0.3548 136.3
10 Bryce Miller 0.0512 0.3200 133.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Wacha 0.2174 0.5833 203.4
2 J.P. France 0.1429 0.4583 184.3
3 Kyle Gibson 0.2308 0.4545 182.1
4 Zac Gallen 0.3103 0.5000 162.0
5 Dylan Cease 0.4194 0.2121 161.0
6 Mitch Keller 0.2143 0.4062 159.9
7 Seth Lugo 0.0588 0.3077 151.4
8 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2800 0.5000 137.7
9 Kyle Bradish 0.2000 0.4000 135.4
10 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2500 0.4800 133.8

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Daniel Bard 0.0200
0.4287
(96.9)
0.3333
(69.5)
0.3527
(80.0)
0.4078
(91.9)
0.5278
(118.7)
Carlos Estévez 0.4921
0.2066
(77.7)
0.0851
(118.2)
0.1080
(104.5)
0.2573
(63.6)
0.2615
(63.7)
Evan Phillips 0.3871
0.1319
(57.6)
0.0488
(82.3)
0.1080
(62.5)
0.1309
(58.0)
0.1571
(52.9)
Paul Sewald 0.5231
0.2982
(53.7)
0.1875
(86.9)
0.2504
(64.9)
0.2960
(54.5)
0.3479
(42.6)
Jhoan Duran 0.4576
0.1816
(68.1)
0.1026
(94.0)
0.2003
(62.5)
0.1568
(74.6)
0.1904
(67.1)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Will Smith 0.0324 0.3667 73.5
2 Adbert Alzolay 0.0838 0.3793 72.5
3 Jorge López 0.2759 0.0492 62.7
4 José Leclerc 0.3268 0.0702 61.9
5 Pierce Johnson 0.0127 0.1940 47.7
6 Tanner Banks 0.2004 0.0312 45.4
7 Justin Lawrence 0.0115 0.1594 45.3
8 Michael Fulmer 0.2080 0.0345 43.2
9 Jordan Hicks 0.0273 0.1846 42.3
10 Yonny Chirinos 0.0982 0.0000 39.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 David Bednar 0.1750 0.5909 119.0
2 Alexis Díaz 0.1316 0.5211 115.3
3 Devin Williams 0.1250 0.5902 110.6
4 Alex Lange 0.0213 0.3881 109.5
5 Félix Bautista 0.1463 0.5893 108.2
6 Camilo Doval 0.2340 0.5652 96.9
7 Kyle Finnegan 0.1200 0.4179 89.7
8 Adbert Alzolay 0.0417 0.3793 88.9
9 Trevor May 0.0625 0.4286 77.8
10 Emmanuel Clase 0.3571 0.5867 73.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adbert Alzolay 0.0529 0.3793 79.5
2 Trevor May 0.0317 0.4286 78.9
3 Will Smith 0.0309 0.3667 73.2
4 Kyle Finnegan 0.1543 0.4179 72.5
5 Alexis Díaz 0.3086 0.5211 57.3
6 Pierce Johnson 0.0000 0.1940 50.4
7 Jordan Hicks 0.0000 0.1846 49.2
8 José Leclerc 0.2646 0.0702 48.1
9 Justin Lawrence 0.0000 0.1594 48.1
10 Camilo Doval 0.3858 0.5652 47.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adbert Alzolay 0.0655 0.3793 77.3
2 Will Smith 0.0324 0.3667 73.7
3 Tanner Banks 0.3092 0.0312 73.0
4 Jorge López 0.2816 0.0492 64.0
5 José Leclerc 0.3198 0.0702 60.1
6 Yonny Chirinos 0.1408 0.0000 54.7
7 Michael Fulmer 0.2465 0.0345 52.2
8 Pierce Johnson 0.0153 0.1940 47.2
9 Justin Lawrence 0.0170 0.1594 43.7
10 Scott Barlow 0.3420 0.2063 43.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge López 0.4479 0.0492 107.1
2 Yonny Chirinos 0.2406 0.0000 89.8
3 José Leclerc 0.4042 0.0702 78.8
4 Tanner Banks 0.3274 0.0312 76.5
5 Will Smith 0.0341 0.3667 74.3
6 David Robertson 0.5278 0.2903 65.0
7 Scott Barlow 0.3790 0.2063 52.8
8 Pierce Johnson 0.0221 0.1940 46.5
9 Michael Fulmer 0.2241 0.0345 45.9
10 Justin Lawrence 0.0170 0.1594 45.1

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Shintaro Fujinami 7.1772
4.1287
(1032.9)
4.1965
(984.4)
4.2294
(991.5)
4.4475
(924.2)
3.7053
(1181.0)
Luis Severino 6.6493
3.5461
(1229.3)
3.5228
(1210.6)
3.5022
(1241.3)
3.5987
(1213.3)
3.5379
(1229.2)
Blake Snell 2.2500
3.4846
(1031.3)
3.7721
(1295.1)
3.4506
(1017.3)
3.3951
(954.3)
3.6087
(1129.6)
Jordan Lyles 6.2814
4.8679
(941.3)
4.6618
(1044.4)
4.7329
(1030.8)
4.9913
(859.6)
4.8799
(925.9)
Lance Lynn 5.7332
3.8606
(1387.7)
3.5677
(1569.3)
3.7693
(1449.1)
3.9175
(1353.2)
3.8952
(1352.8)
Kyle Muller 7.5974
3.9350
(1304.7)
4.4672
(1081.4)
3.9468
(1294.6)
3.9293
(1312.1)
3.9289
(1303.8)
Brady Singer 5.5240
3.8404
(1073.0)
3.9235
(966.7)
3.7208
(1146.2)
3.8449
(1079.7)
3.9567
(985.3)
Chris Flexen 6.8599
4.2625
(1138.1)
3.8037
(1320.1)
4.2978
(1114.5)
4.2627
(1144.6)
4.2273
(1150.5)
Carlos Carrasco 6.8000
4.1011
(1060.7)
4.1618
(1007.0)
4.0116
(1091.7)
3.9497
(1129.8)
4.3454
(955.3)
Adam Wainwright 7.3960
4.1545
(1493.8)
3.5554
(1750.8)
4.1965
(1466.1)
4.3550
(1403.6)
3.9560
(1585.7)
Kyle Bradish 2.8281
4.2887
(1084.2)
4.5636
(1314.4)
4.0670
(945.7)
4.1149
(958.1)
4.6923
(1360.8)
Carlos Rodón 6.8549
3.0518
(1043.3)
3.1343
(1000.2)
2.9586
(1065.6)
3.1656
(1014.8)
3.0318
(1046.6)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 4.6400 6.8991 1035.1
2 Tanner Bibee 4.5340 2.9789 1000.6
3 Sonny Gray 3.8859 2.7880 944.8
4 Aaron Bummer 3.2499 6.7886 903.4
5 Ken Waldichuk 3.8257 5.3617 882.3
6 Hogan Harris 3.9701 7.1429 857.0
7 Connor Seabold 5.2959 7.5229 845.3
8 Hunter Brown 3.6754 5.0878 836.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 3.8224 6.8991 1403.8
2 Alek Manoah 2.9032 5.8740 1140.2
3 Tyler Anderson 3.5578 5.4255 1034.3
4 Kodai Senga 4.1965 2.9760 1002.1
5 Yennier Cano 5.2941 2.1055 965.6
6 Gerrit Cole 3.5224 2.6268 918.7
7 Dylan Cease 3.1840 4.5763 916.5
8 Hunter Brown 3.4989 5.0878 908.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Bibee 4.8774 2.9789 1210.4
2 Joey Wentz 4.2846 6.8991 1202.5
3 Sonny Gray 3.8517 2.7880 930.5
4 Justin Steele 4.1197 3.0635 878.3
5 Hogan Harris 3.8864 7.1429 876.4
6 Ken Waldichuk 3.8780 5.3617 839.2
7 Connor Seabold 5.3244 7.5229 827.4
8 Aaron Bummer 3.5618 6.7886 816.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 4.5955 6.8991 1064.0
2 Sonny Gray 4.0123 2.7880 1029.4
3 Hunter Brown 3.4342 5.0878 1005.9
4 Aaron Bummer 3.0111 6.7886 970.9
5 Tanner Bibee 4.3987 2.9789 913.1
6 Hogan Harris 3.8277 7.1429 901.5
7 Ken Waldichuk 3.8125 5.3617 899.8
8 Merrill Kelly 4.2774 3.2927 812.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Noah Syndergaard 3.7100 6.4962 1025.4
2 Alek Manoah 3.4309 5.8740 945.9
3 Connor Seabold 5.0865 7.5229 927.3
4 Aaron Bummer 3.1765 6.7886 920.7
5 Ken Waldichuk 3.7869 5.3617 901.7
6 Sonny Gray 3.7956 2.7880 883.2
7 Jack Flaherty 3.4716 4.9885 879.6
8 Zach Davies 4.5109 6.9960 875.1

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Luis Severino 1.6455
1.1530
(202.9)
1.1184
(205.6)
1.1639
(199.4)
1.1838
(194.1)
1.1122
(213.1)
Kyle Muller 1.9610
1.3047
(241.9)
1.3139
(228.1)
1.3156
(238.9)
1.3133
(242.3)
1.2854
(243.1)
Michael Kopech 1.5928
1.3212
(157.0)
1.2105
(205.8)
1.3235
(157.1)
1.3573
(141.3)
1.2835
(169.6)
Tylor Megill 1.5752
1.1753
(223.4)
1.2646
(156.8)
1.1566
(235.4)
1.1577
(238.7)
1.2118
(193.5)
Jack Flaherty 1.5797
1.2473
(212.2)
1.2802
(172.6)
1.2930
(184.1)
1.2945
(187.7)
1.1572
(260.1)
Adam Wainwright 1.9010
1.3341
(271.5)
1.2028
(321.5)
1.2918
(293.2)
1.3562
(265.4)
1.3122
(274.2)
Alek Manoah 1.7405
1.1599
(238.5)
1.0772
(261.1)
1.1905
(226.8)
1.2255
(215.2)
1.0663
(270.5)
Kyle Bradish 1.0435
1.3422
(204.4)
1.3466
(226.2)
1.3108
(181.6)
1.3152
(179.9)
1.4017
(255.3)
Ken Waldichuk 1.5603
1.2716
(180.7)
1.2626
(168.5)
1.2811
(176.3)
1.2625
(192.6)
1.2713
(170.5)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Carrasco 1.2866 1.7000 169.9
2 Dylan Cease 1.2011 1.4181 165.5
3 Lance Lynn 1.1854 1.3938 163.6
4 Chris Flexen 1.3260 1.6710 158.0
5 Logan Webb 1.2508 1.0741 155.3
6 Andrew Heaney 1.1382 1.3778 149.8
7 Tyler Holton 1.3214 0.8672 149.1
8 Nick Pivetta 1.3676 1.1215 147.9
9 Charlie Morton 1.2178 1.4265 145.2
10 Trevor Williams 1.3746 1.6005 144.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 1.2355 1.6845 204.2
2 Mitch Keller 1.4410 1.2453 189.5
3 Tyler Anderson 1.1550 1.4894 188.9
4 George Kirby 1.2422 1.0385 180.0
5 Lance Lynn 1.1518 1.3938 168.1
6 Zach Eflin 1.2253 1.0244 165.1
7 Luis Ortiz 1.2571 1.6962 162.0
8 Chris Flexen 1.2894 1.6710 162.0
9 Kutter Crawford 1.3716 1.1057 158.1
10 Trevor Williams 1.3319 1.6005 154.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lance Lynn 1.1663 1.3938 181.1
2 Carlos Carrasco 1.2733 1.7000 176.5
3 Logan Webb 1.2765 1.0741 174.9
4 Dylan Cease 1.1920 1.4181 174.6
5 Andrew Heaney 1.1215 1.3778 162.2
6 Chris Flexen 1.3273 1.6710 158.6
7 Zach Eflin 1.2450 1.0244 157.4
8 Luis Ortiz 1.3046 1.6962 155.3
9 Tyler Holton 1.3429 0.8672 155.2
10 Wade Miley 1.4495 1.1385 154.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Carrasco 1.2595 1.7000 185.2
2 Logan Webb 1.2898 1.0741 180.3
3 Chris Flexen 1.3022 1.6710 173.5
4 Lance Lynn 1.1903 1.3938 167.4
5 Andrew Heaney 1.1323 1.3778 159.7
6 David Peterson 1.2516 1.5676 157.2
7 Dylan Cease 1.2239 1.4181 155.1
8 Zach Eflin 1.2433 1.0244 151.4
9 Tyler Holton 1.3368 0.8672 151.0
10 Nick Pivetta 1.3780 1.1215 148.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Williams 1.3111 1.6005 176.0
2 Kutter Crawford 1.3935 1.1057 163.4
3 Dylan Cease 1.1875 1.4181 163.3
4 Nick Pivetta 1.3748 1.1215 161.7
5 Cristopher Sánchez 1.4096 1.0470 152.4
6 Braxton Garrett 1.3514 1.1461 149.9
7 Charlie Morton 1.1997 1.4265 146.4
8 Tyler Anderson 1.2349 1.4894 146.1
9 Mitch Keller 1.4000 1.2453 146.0
10 Carlos Carrasco 1.3278 1.7000 145.9