2020 Fantasy Projection Evaluation

Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2020, excluding batters with fewer than 300 PA and pitchers with fewer than 200 BF. Limited to 5x5 categories, with playing time (PA/BF) split out from rates.

Summary

Batting

System PA HR SB R RBI AVG
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System BF SO W SV ERA WHIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Home Run Rate

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Stolen Base Rate

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Run Rate

Individual Misses for Run Rate

RBI Rate

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Batting Average

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bubic 5 222 217.5
2 Framber Valdez 127 288 161.2
3 Tyler Anderson 125 260 135.5
4 JT Brubaker 81 205 123.5
5 Cristian Javier 100 214 114.0
6 Aaron Civale 219 312 92.7
7 Logan Webb 157 246 89.2
8 David Peterson 119 205 86.3
9 Brady Singer 192 263 70.9
10 Alec Mills 181 252 70.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Bauer 776 278 498.0
2 José Berríos 767 271 496.0
3 Marco Gonzales 758 277 481.0
4 Aaron Nola 762 289 473.0
5 Jacob deGrom 728 268 460.0
6 Tanner Roark 677 220 457.0
7 Gerrit Cole 744 288 456.0
8 Mike Minor 694 239 455.0
9 Brett Anderson 656 202 454.0
10 Zack Wheeler 740 288 452.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 42 260 217.5
2 Framber Valdez 71 288 216.8
3 JT Brubaker 29 205 175.7
4 Adam Wainwright 100 262 162.0
5 Rick Porcello 100 261 161.0
6 Alex Young 50 204 153.9
7 David Peterson 53 205 152.4
8 Alec Mills 100 252 152.0
9 Dustin May 74 224 149.6
10 Brady Singer 136 263 126.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bubic 5 222 217.5
2 Cristian Javier 28 214 186.0
3 Framber Valdez 115 288 172.7
4 JT Brubaker 38 205 166.9
5 Logan Webb 124 246 121.6
6 Tyler Anderson 143 260 116.9
7 Erick Fedde 111 222 111.3
8 David Peterson 104 205 100.6
9 Alec Mills 157 252 94.6
10 Clayton Kershaw 311 221 90.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 122 248 126.0
2 Garrett Richards 89 213 124.0
3 Kris Bubic 100 222 122.0
4 Aaron Civale 201 312 111.0
5 Johnny Cueto 168 277 109.0
6 Brandon Woodruff 192 293 101.0
7 Julio Urías 128 224 96.0
8 Framber Valdez 194 288 94.0
9 Corbin Burnes 152 240 88.0
10 Dinelson Lamet 180 267 87.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Zack Wheeler 0.1840
0.2275
(17.2)
0.2324
(15.4)
0.2305
(18.2)
0.2293
(18.7)
0.2226
(13.8)
Shane Bieber 0.4108
0.2628
(39.1)
0.2701
(40.3)
0.2656
(38.2)
0.2595
(39.1)
0.2633
(41.0)
Patrick Corbin 0.2034
0.2594
(21.3)
0.2691
(20.9)
0.2586
(21.2)
0.2566
(21.4)
0.2630
(20.4)
Jordan Lyles 0.1353
0.2099
(24.1)
0.2296
(26.4)
0.2042
(22.8)
0.2054
(23.8)
0.2200
(25.0)
Zach Eflin 0.2857
0.1811
(21.7)
0.2003
(19.7)
0.1759
(22.8)
0.1748
(22.4)
0.1926
(20.5)
Trevor Bauer 0.3597
0.2657
(21.6)
0.2719
(23.0)
0.2638
(22.0)
0.2617
(21.8)
0.2715
(21.9)
Aaron Nola 0.3322
0.2524
(18.4)
0.2598
(19.4)
0.2498
(19.0)
0.2483
(18.6)
0.2590
(18.4)
Corbin Burnes 0.3667
0.2314
(28.6)
0.2480
(27.2)
0.2213
(30.9)
0.2162
(31.4)
0.2566
(24.2)
Jacob deGrom 0.3881
0.2970
(20.1)
0.2967
(23.1)
0.2966
(20.0)
0.2957
(19.5)
0.2986
(21.5)
Kevin Gausman 0.3224
0.2114
(23.2)
0.2210
(23.6)
0.2013
(25.6)
0.2036
(24.3)
0.2292
(20.5)
Dylan Cease 0.1725
0.2370
(20.6)
0.2367
(17.7)
0.2441
(22.5)
0.2399
(22.1)
0.2271
(16.3)
Tyler Anderson 0.1577
0.2179
(19.9)
0.2225
(18.2)
0.2071
(17.2)
0.2127
(19.4)
0.2340
(22.3)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 0.1464 0.2283 18.1
2 Kenta Maeda 0.2443 0.3226 15.4
3 Zach Plesac 0.1880 0.2767 14.9
4 Matthew Boyd 0.2600 0.2214 14.8
5 Germán Márquez 0.2376 0.2122 14.3
6 Tyler Glasnow 0.3065 0.3824 14.2
7 Brady Singer 0.1627 0.2319 14.0
8 Jon Lester 0.1936 0.1585 13.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Glasnow 0.2633 0.3824 27.1
2 Lucas Giolito 0.2458 0.3368 24.7
3 Randy Dobnak 0.2196 0.1350 17.9
4 Dinelson Lamet 0.2771 0.3483 17.6
5 Alec Mills 0.2460 0.1825 17.3
6 Jon Lester 0.2150 0.1585 16.3
7 Ross Stripling 0.2463 0.1818 15.3
8 Adrian Houser 0.2344 0.1789 14.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 0.1392 0.2283 19.9
2 Alec Mills 0.2378 0.1825 18.2
3 Kenta Maeda 0.2336 0.3226 17.9
4 Tyler Glasnow 0.2984 0.3824 16.0
5 Matthew Boyd 0.2602 0.2214 15.1
6 Brandon Woodruff 0.2425 0.3106 15.1
7 Tanner Roark 0.2378 0.1864 15.0
8 Zach Plesac 0.1899 0.2767 14.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 0.1408 0.2283 18.7
2 Kenta Maeda 0.2309 0.3226 17.9
3 Matthew Boyd 0.2605 0.2214 15.9
4 Tyler Glasnow 0.2984 0.3824 15.3
5 Zach Plesac 0.1855 0.2767 14.8
6 Germán Márquez 0.2354 0.2122 14.7
7 Lucas Giolito 0.2673 0.3368 14.4
8 Brandon Woodruff 0.2423 0.3106 14.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.2656 0.2009 16.6
2 Zach Davies 0.1592 0.2283 16.5
3 Zach Plesac 0.1885 0.2767 16.2
4 Brady Singer 0.1609 0.2319 16.2
5 Germán Márquez 0.2473 0.2122 15.3
6 Dinelson Lamet 0.2833 0.3483 14.8
7 Ross Stripling 0.2378 0.1818 14.4
8 Jon Lester 0.2033 0.1585 14.4

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Shane Bieber 0.6667
0.4365
(63.3)
0.2955
(75.1)
0.4298
(65.9)
0.4644
(54.8)
0.4167
(73.2)
Patrick Corbin 0.1818
0.3870
(65.5)
0.2683
(60.5)
0.4035
(69.8)
0.3932
(67.6)
0.3636
(54.6)
Zack Greinke 0.2500
0.4501
(59.3)
0.3500
(59.6)
0.4474
(58.0)
0.4480
(58.9)
0.4545
(56.8)
Rick Porcello 0.0833
0.3325
(69.5)
0.3077
(89.5)
0.3423
(71.5)
0.3002
(61.2)
0.3636
(74.0)
Yu Darvish 0.6667
0.3299
(95.0)
0.1538
(117.1)
0.3158
(99.8)
0.3783
(80.4)
0.3000
(107.9)
Randy Dobnak 0.6000
0.1378
(89.0)
0.1481
(66.7)
0.0833
(100.4)
0.1293
(90.6)
0.3333
(52.7)
Mike Minor 0.0833
0.3652
(71.4)
0.2391
(65.5)
0.3421
(65.4)
0.3575
(69.8)
0.4000
(76.5)
Zach Davies 0.5833
0.2592
(84.8)
0.2250
(66.2)
0.2396
(90.8)
0.2654
(82.8)
0.2727
(84.8)
Pablo López 0.5455
0.2994
(55.0)
0.1579
(64.6)
0.3039
(54.4)
0.2943
(56.0)
0.3000
(58.1)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.3518 0.6364 74.1
2 Framber Valdez 0.1867 0.4545 72.3
3 David Peterson 0.2505 0.6000 68.2
4 Alec Mills 0.1841 0.4545 63.9
5 Luke Weaver 0.3348 0.0833 63.4
6 Kyle Gibson 0.3508 0.1667 60.5
7 Kyle Freeland 0.3347 0.1538 60.2
8 Ryan Yarbrough 0.3287 0.0909 59.6
9 Jordan Lyles 0.2882 0.0833 59.0
10 Cristian Javier 0.1364 0.4167 56.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bubic 0.3423 0.1000 80.1
2 JT Brubaker 0.3423 0.0909 75.8
3 Ryan Yarbrough 0.2778 0.0909 71.4
4 Kyle Gibson 0.2564 0.1667 62.7
5 Marco Gonzales 0.2955 0.6364 61.6
6 Max Fried 0.2500 0.6364 60.0
7 Dylan Bundy 0.2051 0.5455 59.2
8 Jordan Lyles 0.1860 0.0833 58.8
9 Kyle Freeland 0.2286 0.1538 58.7
10 Alec Mills 0.1200 0.4545 54.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.2895 0.6364 92.0
2 Framber Valdez 0.1538 0.4545 82.3
3 Kyle Gibson 0.4035 0.1667 75.8
4 Jordan Lyles 0.3452 0.0833 73.6
5 David Peterson 0.2361 0.6000 71.5
6 Carlos Carrasco 0.4479 0.2500 59.6
7 Kris Bubic 0.3423 0.1000 57.1
8 Max Fried 0.3704 0.6364 56.2
9 Adrian Houser 0.2941 0.0833 55.5
10 Mike Fiers 0.3158 0.5455 55.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.3105 0.6364 85.4
2 Framber Valdez 0.1832 0.4545 73.0
3 Alec Mills 0.1729 0.4545 66.5
4 Ryan Yarbrough 0.3551 0.0909 66.0
5 Cristian Javier 0.1072 0.4167 62.4
6 Kyle Gibson 0.3543 0.1667 61.8
7 Luke Weaver 0.3246 0.0833 61.1
8 Carlos Carrasco 0.4329 0.2500 56.2
9 Chris Bassitt 0.2309 0.4545 53.7
10 Kenta Maeda 0.3128 0.5455 53.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 David Peterson 0.2222 0.6000 76.7
2 Kyle Freeland 0.4000 0.1538 75.9
3 Luke Weaver 0.3750 0.0833 69.6
4 Alec Mills 0.2000 0.4545 63.3
5 Mike Fiers 0.3000 0.5455 62.2
6 Kenta Maeda 0.3077 0.5455 58.1
7 Framber Valdez 0.2500 0.4545 57.9
8 Ryan Yarbrough 0.3333 0.0909 57.5
9 Kris Bubic 0.3423 0.1000 54.5
10 Jordan Lyles 0.2727 0.0833 51.3

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Aaron Civale 0.0000
0.0000
(0.2)
0.0606
(9.8)
0.0000
(0.2)
0.0000
(0.2)
0.0000
(0.2)
Ross Stripling 0.0833
0.0000
(18.2)
0.0256
(19.1)
0.0000
(18.2)
0.0000
(18.2)
0.0000
(18.2)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0101 0.0000 2.6
2 Lance Lynn 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
3 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
4 Kyle Hendricks 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
5 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
6 Antonio Senzatela 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
7 Kyle Gibson 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
8 Shane Bieber 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
9 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
10 Max Scherzer 0.0000 0.0000 0.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.0833 0.0000 12.1
2 Kenta Maeda 0.0698 0.0000 10.1
3 Randy Dobnak 0.0741 0.0000 9.0
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.0625 0.0000 8.3
5 Logan Webb 0.0606 0.0000 7.7
6 Zac Gallen 0.0556 0.0000 7.7
7 Brady Singer 0.0008 0.0000 7.5
8 Dylan Cease 0.0571 0.0000 7.1
9 Kris Bubic 0.0008 0.0000 6.3
10 Cristian Javier 0.0008 0.0000 6.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.0008 0.0000 0.4
2 Rick Porcello 0.0008 0.0000 0.4
3 Alec Mills 0.0008 0.0000 0.4
4 Kris Bubic 0.0008 0.0000 0.3
5 Tanner Roark 0.0008 0.0000 0.3
6 Cristian Javier 0.0008 0.0000 0.3
7 Garrett Richards 0.0008 0.0000 0.3
8 Lance Lynn 0.0000 0.0000 0.3
9 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0000 0.3
10 Kyle Hendricks 0.0000 0.0000 0.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lance Lynn 0.0000 0.0000 0.3
2 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0000 0.3
3 Kyle Hendricks 0.0000 0.0000 0.3
4 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
5 Antonio Senzatela 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
6 Kyle Gibson 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
7 Shane Bieber 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
8 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
9 Max Scherzer 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
10 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.0000 0.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0246 0.0000 6.0
2 Kris Bubic 0.0008 0.0000 0.3
3 Lance Lynn 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
4 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
5 Kyle Hendricks 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
6 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
7 Antonio Senzatela 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
8 Kyle Gibson 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
9 Shane Bieber 0.0000 0.0000 0.2
10 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0000 0.2

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Aníbal Sánchez 6.6226
5.1038
(465.9)
3.9416
(696.5)
5.2299
(433.9)
5.1891
(460.3)
4.8913
(487.8)
Shane Bieber 1.6293
3.6492
(486.2)
3.8140
(600.8)
3.6354
(483.5)
3.6871
(478.9)
3.6250
(515.6)
Robbie Ray 6.6194
4.2036
(702.5)
4.0627
(682.3)
4.3255
(670.7)
4.3015
(693.5)
3.9836
(726.7)
Jordan Lyles 7.0231
5.0511
(626.4)
4.4634
(723.9)
4.9536
(651.1)
5.0023
(656.0)
5.2000
(554.0)
Antonio Senzatela 3.4364
5.5698
(530.4)
5.3444
(529.1)
5.6375
(552.4)
5.5709
(511.9)
5.5000
(546.7)
Matthew Boyd 6.7127
4.3531
(743.2)
4.5664
(625.5)
4.3349
(746.9)
4.3649
(756.9)
4.3594
(708.1)
Trevor Bauer 1.7260
4.0067
(527.6)
3.8747
(552.3)
4.1114
(558.0)
4.1768
(557.5)
3.7286
(484.6)
Ross Stripling 5.8378
4.1130
(463.7)
3.6298
(521.4)
4.2429
(434.1)
4.1267
(474.4)
3.9706
(467.9)
Corbin Burnes 2.1117
4.4137
(460.6)
5.3684
(742.8)
4.5000
(482.4)
4.6252
(496.4)
4.1143
(418.3)
Frankie Montas 5.6038
3.9733
(477.2)
3.7358
(481.0)
4.1118
(443.2)
4.0524
(473.2)
3.7500
(500.8)
Tanner Roark 6.7972
4.7797
(528.1)
4.3972
(563.6)
3.9380
(712.2)
5.0597
(480.2)
4.5000
(562.5)
Yu Darvish 2.0132
3.9171
(451.7)
4.1126
(575.5)
4.0421
(490.3)
4.0766
(480.6)
3.6316
(403.6)
Chris Bassitt 2.2857
4.3860
(448.2)
3.9340
(388.0)
4.4549
(467.4)
4.3041
(410.6)
4.4000
(484.1)
Luke Weaver 6.5769
4.4003
(604.0)
4.2023
(598.6)
4.4188
(598.6)
4.3970
(619.5)
4.3846
(578.6)
Dallas Keuchel 1.9895
4.3440
(506.7)
3.7832
(419.4)
4.3947
(521.0)
4.4384
(515.0)
4.2000
(501.4)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 4.8793 2.7260 488.6
2 Austin Voth 4.6838 6.3423 459.3
3 Zach Plesac 4.8639 2.2771 454.0
4 Trevor Williams 4.9103 6.1807 416.6
5 Dinelson Lamet 3.9787 2.0870 402.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dinelson Lamet 4.2636 2.0870 538.0
2 Austin Voth 4.1176 6.3423 536.9
3 Trevor Williams 4.3316 6.1807 506.8
4 Mike Minor 3.8172 5.5588 454.9
5 Aaron Civale 3.5604 4.7432 419.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 5.2347 2.7260 588.0
2 Rick Porcello 3.9380 5.6441 544.0
3 Zach Plesac 4.9773 2.2771 478.3
4 Austin Voth 4.6051 6.3423 476.0
5 Kyle Gibson 4.1568 5.3465 471.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 5.2445 2.7260 572.2
2 Austin Voth 4.5425 6.3423 505.1
3 Zach Plesac 5.0358 2.2771 476.6
4 Kyle Gibson 4.2305 5.3465 470.0
5 Patrick Corbin 3.6764 4.6599 421.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Williams 4.3333 6.1807 530.9
2 Dinelson Lamet 4.1707 2.0870 487.1
3 Zach Plesac 4.5763 2.2771 420.2
4 Johnny Cueto 4.1538 5.4000 417.1
5 Rick Porcello 4.3548 5.6441 404.2

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Aníbal Sánchez 1.6604
1.4110
(81.2)
1.2741
(105.2)
1.4207
(78.2)
1.4210
(81.5)
1.3913
(80.2)
Dinelson Lamet 0.8551
1.2658
(87.8)
1.2873
(104.0)
1.2367
(80.7)
1.2458
(79.4)
1.3171
(107.8)
Patrick Corbin 1.5685
1.2429
(120.2)
1.2020
(120.8)
1.2475
(118.1)
1.2458
(122.8)
1.2353
(115.5)
Robbie Ray 1.8968
1.3316
(162.4)
1.3103
(158.0)
1.3592
(154.8)
1.3404
(163.1)
1.2951
(165.7)
Antonio Senzatela 1.2136
1.5676
(82.4)
1.4964
(72.7)
1.6004
(93.2)
1.5833
(83.7)
1.5185
(74.7)
Trevor Bauer 0.7945
1.2710
(109.7)
1.2371
(111.1)
1.2702
(110.2)
1.2856
(110.5)
1.2571
(112.4)
Marco Gonzales 0.9474
1.3394
(85.9)
1.3046
(87.1)
1.3538
(90.6)
1.3310
(80.4)
1.3333
(90.8)
Max Scherzer 1.3812
1.0358
(126.1)
1.0322
(115.6)
1.0622
(117.5)
1.0612
(122.0)
0.9844
(134.3)
Tanner Roark 1.7413
1.3526
(103.5)
1.3388
(98.0)
1.2320
(129.5)
1.3839
(99.2)
1.3214
(105.2)
Zach Plesac 0.7952
1.3717
(101.9)
1.2759
(90.2)
1.3674
(101.5)
1.3915
(103.6)
1.3559
(103.5)
Kenta Maeda 0.7500
1.3175
(120.4)
1.1830
(96.7)
1.3293
(124.0)
1.3432
(123.9)
1.2800
(117.0)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cristian Javier 1.4920 0.9939 89.1
2 Matthew Boyd 1.2292 1.4751 88.8
3 Zach Davies 1.4423 1.0673 80.9
4 Luke Weaver 1.2990 1.5577 80.4
5 Adam Wainwright 1.4266 1.0508 77.0
6 Rick Porcello 1.2984 1.5085 76.2
7 Brad Keller 1.4530 1.0244 74.5
8 Ross Stripling 1.2479 1.5000 73.5
9 Frankie Montas 1.2830 1.5094 73.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 1.4211 1.0223 85.4
2 Adam Wainwright 1.4059 1.0508 81.8
3 Framber Valdez 1.4433 1.1179 81.3
4 Shane Bieber 1.1723 0.8664 78.1
5 Trevor Williams 1.3168 1.5723 75.2
6 Lance Lynn 1.3107 1.0595 71.7
7 Ross Stripling 1.2203 1.5000 71.0
8 Dylan Bundy 1.3405 1.0355 70.0
9 Jordan Lyles 1.3415 1.5607 69.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 1.4918 1.0673 95.3
2 Rick Porcello 1.2320 1.5085 92.9
3 Matthew Boyd 1.2265 1.4751 88.9
4 Brad Keller 1.4728 1.0244 79.4
5 Luke Weaver 1.3146 1.5577 76.1
6 Kyle Gibson 1.3583 1.5297 75.5
7 Kyle Hendricks 1.3085 0.9959 73.5
8 Kris Bubic 1.2320 1.4800 72.7
9 Frankie Montas 1.2859 1.5094 71.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 1.4988 1.0673 93.3
2 Matthew Boyd 1.2270 1.4751 92.6
3 Luke Weaver 1.3001 1.5577 82.9
4 Kyle Gibson 1.3610 1.5297 78.9
5 Frankie Montas 1.2717 1.5094 78.5
6 Brad Keller 1.4794 1.0244 77.7
7 Adam Wainwright 1.4276 1.0508 74.2
8 Ross Stripling 1.2625 1.5000 72.8
9 Kyle Hendricks 1.3129 0.9959 70.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cristian Javier 1.5946 0.9939 116.1
2 Adam Wainwright 1.4255 1.0508 82.9
3 Matthew Boyd 1.2344 1.4751 81.0
4 Rick Porcello 1.2581 1.5085 80.6
5 Trevor Williams 1.3148 1.5723 79.6
6 Luke Weaver 1.2821 1.5577 78.8
7 Ross Stripling 1.2059 1.5000 77.5
8 Framber Valdez 1.4419 1.1179 76.5
9 Lance Lynn 1.3281 1.0595 72.3