2024 Fantasy Projection Evaluation
Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2024, excluding batters with fewer than 300 PA and pitchers with fewer than 200 BF. Limited to 5x5 categories, with playing time (PA/BF) split out from rates.
Summary
Batting Projection Accuracy
Plate Appearances (PA)
Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker | 339 |
640
(301.3)
|
605
(266.0)
|
643
(304.0)
|
652
(312.8)
|
626
(287.0)
|
| Christian Yelich | 315 |
633
(318.1)
|
576
(261.0)
|
640
(325.0)
|
669
(354.3)
|
590
(275.0)
|
Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Smith | 211 | 592 | 380.9 |
| 2 | Alec Burleson | 231 | 595 | 364.1 |
| 3 | Heliot Ramos | 169 | 518 | 349.3 |
| 4 | Bo Bichette | 650 | 336 | 314.0 |
| 5 | Max Schuemann | 171 | 459 | 287.8 |
| 6 | Jacob Young | 239 | 521 | 282.2 |
| 7 | Andy Pages | 164 | 443 | 279.3 |
| 8 | Otto Lopez | 168 | 434 | 266.2 |
| 9 | Spencer Torkelson | 645 | 381 | 264.2 |
| 10 | Jurickson Profar | 406 | 668 | 261.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Merrill | 100 | 593 | 493.0 |
| 2 | Jackson Chourio | 100 | 573 | 473.0 |
| 3 | Wyatt Langford | 100 | 557 | 457.0 |
| 4 | Colt Keith | 100 | 556 | 456.0 |
| 5 | Max Schuemann | 100 | 459 | 359.0 |
| 6 | Masyn Winn | 280 | 637 | 357.0 |
| 7 | Andy Pages | 100 | 443 | 343.0 |
| 8 | Oneil Cruz | 261 | 599 | 338.0 |
| 9 | Nolan Schanuel | 277 | 607 | 330.0 |
| 10 | Jarren Duran | 406 | 735 | 329.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heliot Ramos | 44 | 518 | 474.0 |
| 2 | Jacob Young | 69 | 521 | 452.0 |
| 3 | Alec Burleson | 155 | 595 | 440.0 |
| 4 | Max Schuemann | 28 | 459 | 431.0 |
| 5 | Josh Smith | 175 | 592 | 417.0 |
| 6 | Andy Pages | 26 | 443 | 417.0 |
| 7 | Jurickson Profar | 283 | 668 | 385.0 |
| 8 | Wenceel Pérez | 45 | 425 | 380.0 |
| 9 | Otto Lopez | 56 | 434 | 378.0 |
| 10 | Blake Perkins | 83 | 434 | 351.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alec Burleson | 87 | 595 | 508.3 |
| 2 | Josh Smith | 85 | 592 | 506.6 |
| 3 | Heliot Ramos | 13 | 518 | 504.9 |
| 4 | Max Schuemann | 7 | 459 | 452.4 |
| 5 | Jacob Young | 76 | 521 | 445.5 |
| 6 | Jake McCarthy | 53 | 495 | 442.0 |
| 7 | Andy Pages | 1 | 443 | 442.0 |
| 8 | Otto Lopez | 13 | 434 | 420.5 |
| 9 | Wenceel Pérez | 13 | 425 | 411.9 |
| 10 | Nick Gonzales | 19 | 387 | 367.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bo Bichette | 657 | 336 | 321.0 |
| 2 | Joey Meneses | 602 | 313 | 289.0 |
| 3 | Jarren Duran | 453 | 735 | 282.0 |
| 4 | Spencer Torkelson | 656 | 381 | 275.0 |
| 5 | Edouard Julien | 560 | 301 | 259.0 |
| 6 | Amed Rosario | 584 | 346 | 238.0 |
| 7 | Zach Neto | 365 | 602 | 237.0 |
| 8 | Taylor Ward | 438 | 663 | 225.0 |
| 9 | Carlos Correa | 588 | 367 | 221.0 |
| 10 | Whit Merrifield | 556 | 335 | 221.0 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia | 0.0977 |
0.0574
(19.8)
|
0.0435
(25.8)
|
0.0594
(19.2)
|
0.0602
(18.8)
|
0.0525
(21.4)
|
| Tyler O'Neill | 0.1220 |
0.0685
(26.8)
|
0.0684
(26.4)
|
0.0673
(27.7)
|
0.0666
(27.9)
|
0.0714
(24.7)
|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.0507 |
0.0297
(16.0)
|
0.0295
(15.7)
|
0.0307
(15.9)
|
0.0312
(15.5)
|
0.0273
(16.7)
|
| Colton Cowser | 0.0727 |
0.0454
(17.0)
|
0.0382
(20.6)
|
0.0464
(16.9)
|
0.0458
(17.2)
|
0.0439
(17.1)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.1483 |
0.1226
(20.2)
|
0.1237
(18.9)
|
0.1214
(21.6)
|
0.1199
(22.6)
|
0.1266
(16.4)
|
| Ketel Marte | 0.0885 |
0.0441
(27.6)
|
0.0462
(25.9)
|
0.0435
(28.4)
|
0.0437
(28.2)
|
0.0450
(26.2)
|
| Anthony Santander | 0.0934 |
0.0665
(19.9)
|
0.0639
(21.1)
|
0.0680
(19.4)
|
0.0654
(21.1)
|
0.0662
(19.2)
|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.0521 |
0.0238
(16.3)
|
0.0215
(17.1)
|
0.0245
(16.3)
|
0.0247
(16.2)
|
0.0223
(16.4)
|
| Brandon Drury | 0.0162 |
0.0604
(14.8)
|
0.0680
(17.8)
|
0.0623
(15.3)
|
0.0618
(15.1)
|
0.0569
(14.1)
|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.0246 |
0.0528
(17.3)
|
0.0542
(18.8)
|
0.0548
(18.2)
|
0.0541
(17.8)
|
0.0494
(15.9)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Olson | 0.0947 | 0.0667 | 17.1 |
| 2 | Yainer Diaz | 0.0622 | 0.0329 | 16.3 |
| 3 | Riley Greene | 0.0440 | 0.0669 | 15.1 |
| 4 | Lawrence Butler | 0.0411 | 0.0714 | 15.0 |
| 5 | Jake Fraley | 0.0585 | 0.0177 | 14.5 |
| 6 | Jackson Merrill | 0.0308 | 0.0519 | 14.3 |
| 7 | José RamÃrez | 0.0542 | 0.0716 | 13.9 |
| 8 | Eloy Jiménez | 0.0660 | 0.0235 | 13.8 |
| 9 | Isaac Paredes | 0.0672 | 0.0429 | 13.7 |
| 10 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.0966 | 0.1120 | 13.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Vientos | 0.0514 | 0.0954 | 21.0 |
| 2 | Riley Greene | 0.0337 | 0.0669 | 20.7 |
| 3 | Yainer Diaz | 0.0660 | 0.0329 | 19.1 |
| 4 | Juan Soto | 0.0667 | 0.0889 | 17.5 |
| 5 | Brent Rooker | 0.0803 | 0.1046 | 16.3 |
| 6 | Nolan Arenado | 0.0585 | 0.0324 | 15.2 |
| 7 | Matt Olson | 0.0909 | 0.0667 | 15.1 |
| 8 | Jake Fraley | 0.0582 | 0.0177 | 14.6 |
| 9 | Heliot Ramos | 0.0380 | 0.0640 | 14.6 |
| 10 | Isaac Paredes | 0.0679 | 0.0429 | 14.6 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Olson | 0.0983 | 0.0667 | 19.1 |
| 2 | Yainer Diaz | 0.0662 | 0.0329 | 18.3 |
| 3 | Riley Greene | 0.0422 | 0.0669 | 16.6 |
| 4 | Brent Rooker | 0.0834 | 0.1046 | 15.3 |
| 5 | Jackson Merrill | 0.0302 | 0.0519 | 15.1 |
| 6 | Jake Fraley | 0.0608 | 0.0177 | 15.1 |
| 7 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.0952 | 0.1120 | 15.0 |
| 8 | Lawrence Butler | 0.0422 | 0.0714 | 14.9 |
| 9 | Eloy Jiménez | 0.0692 | 0.0235 | 14.6 |
| 10 | Wyatt Langford | 0.0697 | 0.0413 | 13.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Olson | 0.0986 | 0.0667 | 19.4 |
| 2 | Yainer Diaz | 0.0653 | 0.0329 | 17.8 |
| 3 | Riley Greene | 0.0429 | 0.0669 | 16.1 |
| 4 | Jake Fraley | 0.0612 | 0.0177 | 15.2 |
| 5 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.0952 | 0.1120 | 15.0 |
| 6 | Brent Rooker | 0.0841 | 0.1046 | 14.8 |
| 7 | Lawrence Butler | 0.0425 | 0.0714 | 14.7 |
| 8 | Jackson Merrill | 0.0308 | 0.0519 | 14.7 |
| 9 | Eloy Jiménez | 0.0678 | 0.0235 | 14.2 |
| 10 | José RamÃrez | 0.0548 | 0.0716 | 13.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lawrence Butler | 0.0386 | 0.0714 | 15.5 |
| 2 | José RamÃrez | 0.0519 | 0.0716 | 14.5 |
| 3 | Kyle Tucker | 0.0607 | 0.1009 | 14.1 |
| 4 | Isaac Paredes | 0.0665 | 0.0429 | 14.1 |
| 5 | Heliot Ramos | 0.0383 | 0.0640 | 14.1 |
| 6 | Mark Vientos | 0.0660 | 0.0954 | 14.1 |
| 7 | Christopher Morel | 0.0790 | 0.0551 | 13.6 |
| 8 | Steven Kwan | 0.0092 | 0.0325 | 13.4 |
| 9 | Max Kepler | 0.0625 | 0.0274 | 13.4 |
| 10 | Jackson Merrill | 0.0312 | 0.0519 | 13.3 |
Stolen Base Rate
Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards | 0.3039 |
0.1097
(54.6)
|
0.1129
(53.7)
|
0.1003
(57.8)
|
0.1022
(56.9)
|
0.1268
(49.1)
|
| Spencer Steer | 0.1656 |
0.0611
(59.4)
|
0.0714
(52.7)
|
0.0632
(58.8)
|
0.0589
(60.9)
|
0.0613
(58.4)
|
| Luis Rengifo | 0.2824 |
0.0635
(62.3)
|
0.0536
(65.3)
|
0.0666
(61.7)
|
0.0658
(61.6)
|
0.0583
(63.5)
|
| Brice Turang | 0.3145 |
0.1527
(91.5)
|
0.1792
(75.1)
|
0.1468
(95.9)
|
0.1485
(94.2)
|
0.1630
(84.4)
|
| José RamÃrez | 0.2770 |
0.1362
(86.5)
|
0.1391
(84.6)
|
0.1390
(85.5)
|
0.1338
(88.2)
|
0.1358
(86.0)
|
| Willi Castro | 0.0864 |
0.1967
(78.9)
|
0.1748
(64.9)
|
0.1996
(79.9)
|
0.1983
(79.8)
|
0.1923
(76.9)
|
| Maikel Garcia | 0.2721 |
0.1451
(70.8)
|
0.1301
(80.2)
|
0.1491
(69.1)
|
0.1498
(67.9)
|
0.1361
(75.7)
|
| David Hamilton | 0.4714 |
0.2765
(57.4)
|
0.0980
(114.0)
|
0.2752
(58.2)
|
0.2671
(60.4)
|
0.2869
(53.7)
|
| José Caballero | 0.4314 |
0.2251
(92.9)
|
0.2198
(95.5)
|
0.2054
(103.0)
|
0.2037
(103.3)
|
0.2651
(73.0)
|
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.4085 |
0.2685
(87.7)
|
0.2577
(95.3)
|
0.2601
(94.5)
|
0.2484
(101.8)
|
0.2977
(66.6)
|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.1649 |
0.2648
(80.7)
|
0.2409
(63.7)
|
0.2768
(88.3)
|
0.2808
(92.0)
|
0.2365
(61.5)
|
| Luis GarcÃa Jr. | 0.1774 |
0.0664
(51.3)
|
0.0550
(57.3)
|
0.0731
(48.4)
|
0.0713
(48.7)
|
0.0543
(57.0)
|
| Zach Neto | 0.2273 |
0.0719
(85.1)
|
0.0690
(87.0)
|
0.0764
(83.2)
|
0.0755
(83.0)
|
0.0645
(88.9)
|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.3189 |
0.1110
(141.8)
|
0.1027
(147.9)
|
0.1120
(141.9)
|
0.1084
(143.7)
|
0.1126
(139.8)
|
| Lane Thomas | 0.2689 |
0.1050
(79.2)
|
0.0970
(83.4)
|
0.1053
(79.7)
|
0.1046
(79.4)
|
0.1053
(78.4)
|
Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.1730 | 0.3140 | 52.1 |
| 2 | Thairo Estrada | 0.1455 | 0.0294 | 49.5 |
| 3 | Gleyber Torres | 0.0828 | 0.0225 | 49.4 |
| 4 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.1411 | 0.2706 | 49.1 |
| 5 | Willy Adames | 0.0440 | 0.1288 | 48.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.1000 | 0.3140 | 82.0 |
| 2 | Lawrence Butler | 0.0508 | 0.1895 | 56.3 |
| 3 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.1261 | 0.2706 | 55.5 |
| 4 | Otto Lopez | 0.0600 | 0.1905 | 50.6 |
| 5 | Michael Siani | 0.0833 | 0.2469 | 50.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Chourio | 0.2816 | 0.1654 | 73.8 |
| 2 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.1609 | 0.3140 | 57.6 |
| 3 | Gleyber Torres | 0.0903 | 0.0225 | 53.5 |
| 4 | Thairo Estrada | 0.1500 | 0.0294 | 50.8 |
| 5 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.1420 | 0.2706 | 49.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.1653 | 0.3140 | 55.3 |
| 2 | Gleyber Torres | 0.0904 | 0.0225 | 54.4 |
| 3 | Thairo Estrada | 0.1545 | 0.0294 | 53.0 |
| 4 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.1337 | 0.2706 | 52.3 |
| 5 | Willy Adames | 0.0485 | 0.1288 | 45.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Chourio | 0.2482 | 0.1654 | 56.1 |
| 2 | Willy Adames | 0.0352 | 0.1288 | 54.0 |
| 3 | Cedric Mullins | 0.1704 | 0.2832 | 48.7 |
| 4 | Julio RodrÃguez | 0.2112 | 0.1481 | 47.9 |
| 5 | Jesús Sánchez | 0.0280 | 0.1290 | 46.1 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy DÃaz | 0.0886 |
0.1440
(31.2)
|
0.1348
(26.5)
|
0.1530
(36.4)
|
0.1481
(34.7)
|
0.1309
(22.4)
|
| Matt Chapman | 0.1515 |
0.1185
(24.7)
|
0.1220
(21.3)
|
0.1137
(28.2)
|
0.1158
(25.4)
|
0.1261
(20.5)
|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.1763 |
0.1474
(24.2)
|
0.1320
(33.9)
|
0.1472
(24.7)
|
0.1503
(21.0)
|
0.1448
(26.9)
|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.1407 |
0.1143
(21.2)
|
0.1147
(19.7)
|
0.1177
(19.3)
|
0.1104
(22.6)
|
0.1148
(21.6)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Olson | 0.1549 | 0.1139 | 24.5 |
| 2 | Christopher Morel | 0.1325 | 0.0917 | 21.7 |
| 3 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.1120 | 0.1406 | 21.7 |
| 4 | José RamÃrez | 0.1420 | 0.1672 | 20.8 |
| 5 | Orlando Arcia | 0.1228 | 0.0831 | 20.7 |
| 6 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1602 | 0.1833 | 20.7 |
| 7 | Corbin Carroll | 0.1519 | 0.1769 | 20.7 |
| 8 | Jacob Young | 0.1119 | 0.1440 | 19.4 |
| 9 | Matt Vierling | 0.1121 | 0.1411 | 19.4 |
| 10 | Brendan Donovan | 0.1343 | 0.0997 | 19.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Soto | 0.1424 | 0.1795 | 29.0 |
| 2 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1507 | 0.1833 | 26.4 |
| 3 | Masyn Winn | 0.0964 | 0.1334 | 25.8 |
| 4 | Jarren Duran | 0.1207 | 0.1510 | 24.9 |
| 5 | José RamÃrez | 0.1365 | 0.1672 | 23.3 |
| 6 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1667 | 0.1270 | 23.1 |
| 7 | Christopher Morel | 0.1325 | 0.0917 | 22.8 |
| 8 | Jacob Young | 0.1049 | 0.1440 | 22.2 |
| 9 | Adolis GarcÃa | 0.1436 | 0.1068 | 21.2 |
| 10 | Matt Olson | 0.1481 | 0.1139 | 21.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Olson | 0.1634 | 0.1139 | 30.0 |
| 2 | Orlando Arcia | 0.1304 | 0.0831 | 25.0 |
| 3 | Corbin Carroll | 0.1486 | 0.1769 | 23.3 |
| 4 | Adley Rutschman | 0.1482 | 0.1066 | 22.9 |
| 5 | Alejandro Kirk | 0.1241 | 0.0596 | 22.7 |
| 6 | Jarren Duran | 0.1264 | 0.1510 | 22.3 |
| 7 | Matt Vierling | 0.1094 | 0.1411 | 21.2 |
| 8 | Gunnar Henderson | 0.1404 | 0.1641 | 21.2 |
| 9 | Brendan Donovan | 0.1378 | 0.0997 | 21.1 |
| 10 | Gavin Sheets | 0.1161 | 0.0699 | 20.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Olson | 0.1575 | 0.1139 | 27.4 |
| 2 | Gunnar Henderson | 0.1340 | 0.1641 | 24.2 |
| 3 | Jacob Young | 0.1052 | 0.1440 | 22.1 |
| 4 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1437 | 0.1070 | 21.6 |
| 5 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.1398 | 0.1055 | 21.2 |
| 6 | Alejandro Kirk | 0.1179 | 0.0596 | 21.1 |
| 7 | Brendan Donovan | 0.1355 | 0.0997 | 21.0 |
| 8 | Christopher Morel | 0.1286 | 0.0917 | 20.4 |
| 9 | José RamÃrez | 0.1410 | 0.1672 | 20.3 |
| 10 | Orlando Arcia | 0.1199 | 0.0831 | 20.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1480 | 0.1833 | 30.5 |
| 2 | Nolan Schanuel | 0.1542 | 0.1021 | 27.7 |
| 3 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.1057 | 0.1406 | 26.4 |
| 4 | Christopher Morel | 0.1410 | 0.0917 | 26.3 |
| 5 | José RamÃrez | 0.1387 | 0.1672 | 23.8 |
| 6 | Juan Soto | 0.1530 | 0.1795 | 23.4 |
| 7 | Josh Naylor | 0.1042 | 0.1327 | 22.0 |
| 8 | Adolis GarcÃa | 0.1459 | 0.1068 | 20.9 |
| 9 | Corbin Carroll | 0.1541 | 0.1769 | 19.9 |
| 10 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1642 | 0.1270 | 19.7 |
RBI Rate
Everybody Missed for RBI Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill | 0.1518 |
0.1111
(28.8)
|
0.1159
(23.1)
|
0.1119
(27.7)
|
0.1098
(28.3)
|
0.1116
(30.3)
|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.1272 |
0.0976
(25.0)
|
0.0918
(25.7)
|
0.1025
(21.1)
|
0.0951
(25.3)
|
0.0953
(28.6)
|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.1357 |
0.1035
(26.6)
|
0.0959
(28.5)
|
0.1047
(25.1)
|
0.1001
(27.5)
|
0.1057
(27.2)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.2045 |
0.1726
(28.0)
|
0.1619
(32.1)
|
0.1651
(32.6)
|
0.1697
(28.6)
|
0.1830
(22.9)
|
| Pete Alonso | 0.1266 |
0.1693
(24.2)
|
0.1678
(26.5)
|
0.1688
(24.5)
|
0.1674
(24.4)
|
0.1718
(23.8)
|
| Ketel Marte | 0.1630 |
0.1211
(29.0)
|
0.1161
(29.1)
|
0.1184
(30.0)
|
0.1208
(27.9)
|
0.1239
(29.1)
|
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.1751 |
0.1396
(24.0)
|
0.1016
(42.4)
|
0.1442
(20.9)
|
0.1421
(21.5)
|
0.1325
(29.7)
|
| Orlando Arcia | 0.0764 |
0.1246
(24.3)
|
0.1230
(26.2)
|
0.1266
(26.1)
|
0.1229
(24.5)
|
0.1245
(22.3)
|
| Brandon Drury | 0.0417 |
0.1401
(32.6)
|
0.1479
(37.1)
|
0.1409
(33.3)
|
0.1369
(32.2)
|
0.1426
(32.4)
|
| Eloy Jiménez | 0.0659 |
0.1517
(27.2)
|
0.1396
(24.6)
|
0.1559
(29.0)
|
0.1509
(27.6)
|
0.1482
(24.9)
|
| Brent Rooker | 0.1824 |
0.1313
(36.2)
|
0.1161
(42.6)
|
0.1292
(36.9)
|
0.1339
(33.3)
|
0.1309
(38.3)
|
Individual Misses for RBI Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.1208 | 0.1578 | 28.7 |
| 2 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.1533 | 0.0824 | 26.8 |
| 3 | José RamÃrez | 0.1433 | 0.1730 | 25.6 |
| 4 | Willy Adames | 0.1339 | 0.1628 | 25.3 |
| 5 | Alec Bohm | 0.1268 | 0.1601 | 24.9 |
| 6 | Jake Fraley | 0.1377 | 0.0681 | 23.6 |
| 7 | Christopher Morel | 0.1445 | 0.0982 | 23.5 |
| 8 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.1789 | 0.1354 | 22.6 |
| 9 | Danny Jansen | 0.1438 | 0.0741 | 20.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake Fraley | 0.1398 | 0.0681 | 26.2 |
| 2 | Heliot Ramos | 0.0924 | 0.1390 | 25.7 |
| 3 | Mark Vientos | 0.1037 | 0.1564 | 25.3 |
| 4 | Sal Frelick | 0.1121 | 0.0611 | 25.2 |
| 5 | Danny Jansen | 0.1547 | 0.0741 | 25.1 |
| 6 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1472 | 0.1778 | 24.7 |
| 7 | Nolan Arenado | 0.1533 | 0.1118 | 24.4 |
| 8 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1397 | 0.0994 | 24.4 |
| 9 | Willy Adames | 0.1343 | 0.1628 | 21.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.1185 | 0.1578 | 29.6 |
| 2 | José RamÃrez | 0.1368 | 0.1730 | 29.4 |
| 3 | Willy Adames | 0.1289 | 0.1628 | 28.1 |
| 4 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.1482 | 0.0824 | 25.1 |
| 5 | Alec Bohm | 0.1290 | 0.1601 | 23.0 |
| 6 | Gleyber Torres | 0.1352 | 0.0947 | 22.4 |
| 7 | Heliot Ramos | 0.1045 | 0.1390 | 21.4 |
| 8 | Christopher Morel | 0.1399 | 0.0982 | 21.3 |
| 9 | Austin Riley | 0.1707 | 0.1194 | 20.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.1218 | 0.1578 | 26.7 |
| 2 | Willy Adames | 0.1298 | 0.1628 | 26.6 |
| 3 | Alec Bohm | 0.1225 | 0.1601 | 26.3 |
| 4 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.1478 | 0.0824 | 25.4 |
| 5 | Christopher Morel | 0.1435 | 0.0982 | 24.1 |
| 6 | Jake Fraley | 0.1339 | 0.0681 | 22.9 |
| 7 | José RamÃrez | 0.1467 | 0.1730 | 21.9 |
| 8 | Nolan Arenado | 0.1518 | 0.1118 | 21.8 |
| 9 | Randy Arozarena | 0.1311 | 0.0926 | 21.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.1639 | 0.0824 | 30.0 |
| 2 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.1220 | 0.1578 | 29.9 |
| 3 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.1922 | 0.1354 | 29.1 |
| 4 | Jake Fraley | 0.1499 | 0.0681 | 27.1 |
| 5 | José RamÃrez | 0.1464 | 0.1730 | 25.6 |
| 6 | Alec Bohm | 0.1290 | 0.1601 | 25.5 |
| 7 | Christopher Morel | 0.1502 | 0.0982 | 25.1 |
| 8 | Sal Frelick | 0.1193 | 0.0611 | 24.8 |
| 9 | Danny Jansen | 0.1582 | 0.0741 | 23.7 |
Batting Average
Everybody Missed for Batting Average
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | 0.2015 |
0.2569
(23.6)
|
0.2595
(25.7)
|
0.2578
(23.7)
|
0.2585
(24.2)
|
0.2546
(22.8)
|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.2186 |
0.2605
(25.2)
|
0.2587
(25.4)
|
0.2582
(23.4)
|
0.2590
(24.1)
|
0.2642
(28.0)
|
| Mitch Garver | 0.1717 |
0.2341
(25.5)
|
0.2478
(32.4)
|
0.2345
(25.5)
|
0.2351
(25.9)
|
0.2327
(25.2)
|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.2801 |
0.2374
(30.6)
|
0.2397
(27.6)
|
0.2385
(30.2)
|
0.2383
(30.1)
|
0.2356
(31.4)
|
| Christopher Morel | 0.1963 |
0.2430
(26.7)
|
0.2429
(27.9)
|
0.2440
(27.0)
|
0.2432
(26.7)
|
0.2419
(26.4)
|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.2242 |
0.2677
(26.8)
|
0.2729
(31.7)
|
0.2689
(27.3)
|
0.2687
(27.3)
|
0.2655
(25.8)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.3220 |
0.2706
(38.4)
|
0.2833
(27.9)
|
0.2708
(38.5)
|
0.2698
(39.1)
|
0.2711
(37.5)
|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.3318 |
0.2773
(40.8)
|
0.2638
(48.8)
|
0.2789
(40.0)
|
0.2782
(40.3)
|
0.2748
(42.1)
|
| Corbin Carroll | 0.2309 |
0.2722
(26.2)
|
0.2716
(27.3)
|
0.2725
(26.0)
|
0.2725
(26.2)
|
0.2716
(26.2)
|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.3231 |
0.2813
(31.2)
|
0.2757
(33.6)
|
0.2812
(31.6)
|
0.2849
(28.9)
|
0.2779
(33.2)
|
| Brandon Drury | 0.1692 |
0.2475
(27.1)
|
0.2590
(32.0)
|
0.2492
(27.5)
|
0.2484
(27.3)
|
0.2450
(26.4)
|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.3020 |
0.2548
(34.6)
|
0.2480
(37.8)
|
0.2563
(33.9)
|
0.2549
(34.7)
|
0.2533
(35.1)
|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.3097 |
0.2681
(32.7)
|
0.2754
(25.8)
|
0.2729
(29.5)
|
0.2721
(29.9)
|
0.2595
(38.5)
|
| Brent Rooker | 0.2930 |
0.2277
(42.0)
|
0.2354
(35.9)
|
0.2206
(46.7)
|
0.2228
(45.2)
|
0.2397
(34.2)
|
Individual Misses for Batting Average
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jarren Duran | 0.2567 | 0.2846 | 22.8 |
| 2 | Jackson Merrill | 0.2571 | 0.2924 | 22.8 |
| 3 | Eddie Rosario | 0.2482 | 0.1751 | 22.3 |
| 4 | Josh Naylor | 0.2808 | 0.2433 | 21.8 |
| 5 | Tyler Fitzgerald | 0.2195 | 0.2803 | 21.8 |
| 6 | Bo Bichette | 0.2914 | 0.2251 | 21.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masyn Winn | 0.2200 | 0.2675 | 30.8 |
| 2 | Davis Schneider | 0.2583 | 0.1914 | 30.0 |
| 3 | Josh Smith | 0.2121 | 0.2581 | 27.7 |
| 4 | Brenton Doyle | 0.2171 | 0.2601 | 26.5 |
| 5 | Will Benson | 0.2553 | 0.1866 | 26.3 |
| 6 | JJ Bleday | 0.2043 | 0.2430 | 25.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Naylor | 0.2843 | 0.2433 | 23.6 |
| 2 | Tyler Freeman | 0.2733 | 0.2091 | 23.2 |
| 3 | Jarren Duran | 0.2574 | 0.2846 | 22.7 |
| 4 | Connor Wong | 0.2368 | 0.2796 | 22.6 |
| 5 | Eddie Rosario | 0.2489 | 0.1751 | 22.4 |
| 6 | Maikel Garcia | 0.2703 | 0.2313 | 22.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Naylor | 0.2838 | 0.2433 | 23.5 |
| 2 | Connor Wong | 0.2355 | 0.2796 | 23.1 |
| 3 | Eddie Rosario | 0.2504 | 0.1751 | 23.0 |
| 4 | Tyler Freeman | 0.2721 | 0.2091 | 22.9 |
| 5 | Jarren Duran | 0.2573 | 0.2846 | 22.5 |
| 6 | Tyler Fitzgerald | 0.2177 | 0.2803 | 22.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Merrill | 0.2516 | 0.2924 | 25.6 |
| 2 | Spencer Steer | 0.2633 | 0.2247 | 23.7 |
| 3 | Jarren Duran | 0.2554 | 0.2846 | 23.2 |
| 4 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2750 | 0.2285 | 23.0 |
| 5 | Yainer Diaz | 0.2654 | 0.2991 | 22.4 |
| 6 | JJ Bleday | 0.2109 | 0.2430 | 22.1 |
Pitching Projection Accuracy
Batters Faced (BF)
Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Luzardo | 274 |
681
(406.8)
|
668
(394.0)
|
638
(363.8)
|
762
(488.5)
|
642
(368.0)
|
| Spencer Schwellenbach | 500 |
5
(495.4)
|
100
(400.0)
|
100
(400.0)
|
5
(495.4)
|
100
(400.0)
|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 224 |
578
(353.8)
|
604
(380.0)
|
561
(336.6)
|
586
(361.7)
|
587
(363.0)
|
| Merrill Kelly | 300 |
738
(438.4)
|
679
(379.0)
|
777
(476.7)
|
795
(494.5)
|
644
(344.0)
|
Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitchell Parker | 226 | 646 | 420.2 |
| 2 | Spencer Arrighetti | 224 | 632 | 407.6 |
| 3 | Bobby Miller | 636 | 258 | 377.8 |
| 4 | Ben Lively | 274 | 632 | 358.1 |
| 5 | Louis Varland | 574 | 238 | 336.1 |
| 6 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 695 | 368 | 327.3 |
| 7 | Yu Darvish | 657 | 331 | 326.3 |
| 8 | Tobias Myers | 253 | 569 | 316.3 |
| 9 | Ronel Blanco | 361 | 676 | 315.3 |
| 10 | Jordan Wicks | 516 | 212 | 304.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shota Imanaga | 100 | 694 | 594.0 |
| 2 | Mitch Spence | 100 | 651 | 551.0 |
| 3 | Mitchell Parker | 100 | 646 | 546.0 |
| 4 | Spencer Arrighetti | 100 | 632 | 532.0 |
| 5 | Tobias Myers | 100 | 569 | 469.0 |
| 6 | Albert Suárez | 100 | 565 | 465.0 |
| 7 | Garrett Crochet | 139 | 595 | 456.0 |
| 8 | Bryce Elder | 656 | 226 | 430.0 |
| 9 | Jonathan Cannon | 100 | 522 | 422.0 |
| 10 | Paul Skenes | 100 | 514 | 414.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitchell Parker | 36 | 646 | 610.5 |
| 2 | Spencer Arrighetti | 99 | 632 | 533.3 |
| 3 | Tobias Myers | 100 | 569 | 469.0 |
| 4 | Albert Suárez | 100 | 565 | 465.0 |
| 5 | Bobby Miller | 704 | 258 | 445.6 |
| 6 | Mitch Spence | 210 | 651 | 441.5 |
| 7 | Jonathan Cannon | 83 | 522 | 439.2 |
| 8 | Ronel Blanco | 260 | 676 | 416.4 |
| 9 | Paul Skenes | 100 | 514 | 414.0 |
| 10 | Joey Estes | 133 | 543 | 409.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tobias Myers | 4 | 569 | 564.6 |
| 2 | Spencer Arrighetti | 108 | 632 | 524.5 |
| 3 | Ben Lively | 140 | 632 | 491.8 |
| 4 | Mitchell Parker | 167 | 646 | 479.0 |
| 5 | Albert Suárez | 100 | 565 | 465.0 |
| 6 | Simeon Woods Richardson | 125 | 569 | 443.7 |
| 7 | Jonathan Cannon | 99 | 522 | 422.6 |
| 8 | Paul Skenes | 100 | 514 | 414.0 |
| 9 | Louis Varland | 625 | 238 | 386.8 |
| 10 | Yu Darvish | 716 | 331 | 385.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryce Elder | 678 | 226 | 452.0 |
| 2 | Luis Severino | 373 | 761 | 388.0 |
| 3 | Quinn Priester | 609 | 221 | 388.0 |
| 4 | Kyle Muller | 571 | 202 | 369.0 |
| 5 | Gerrit Cole | 756 | 390 | 366.0 |
| 6 | Garrett Crochet | 233 | 595 | 362.0 |
| 7 | Michael King | 377 | 726 | 349.0 |
| 8 | Seth Lugo | 503 | 836 | 333.0 |
| 9 | Tarik Skubal | 424 | 753 | 329.0 |
| 10 | Louis Varland | 565 | 238 | 327.0 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin | 0.1959 |
0.2352
(31.4)
|
0.2424
(31.1)
|
0.2323
(29.1)
|
0.2333
(30.3)
|
0.2399
(33.0)
|
| Trevor Rogers | 0.1726 |
0.2346
(38.6)
|
0.2363
(35.2)
|
0.2332
(37.5)
|
0.2355
(39.3)
|
0.2352
(37.6)
|
| Paul Skenes | 0.3307 |
0.1849
(71.6)
|
0.2303
(52.2)
|
0.2303
(48.5)
|
0.2303
(48.1)
|
0.1849
(72.8)
|
| Sonny Gray | 0.3025 |
0.2200
(51.0)
|
0.2410
(42.0)
|
0.2264
(47.0)
|
0.2241
(48.0)
|
0.2094
(59.6)
|
| Jordan Montgomery | 0.1560 |
0.2162
(35.5)
|
0.2207
(33.8)
|
0.2139
(34.1)
|
0.2130
(34.0)
|
0.2216
(37.2)
|
| Cole Ragans | 0.2927 |
0.2417
(33.8)
|
0.2432
(38.5)
|
0.2438
(32.5)
|
0.2438
(31.9)
|
0.2374
(38.8)
|
| Jack Flaherty | 0.2989 |
0.2211
(46.2)
|
0.2274
(47.1)
|
0.2177
(48.7)
|
0.2185
(47.7)
|
0.2270
(43.9)
|
| Garrett Crochet | 0.3513 |
0.2590
(50.9)
|
0.2302
(72.6)
|
0.2471
(58.3)
|
0.2510
(55.5)
|
0.2790
(40.5)
|
| Kevin Gausman | 0.2143 |
0.2730
(49.4)
|
0.2830
(51.2)
|
0.2788
(53.4)
|
0.2771
(52.7)
|
0.2632
(40.2)
|
| Griffin Canning | 0.1759 |
0.2437
(55.0)
|
0.2442
(49.7)
|
0.2408
(52.5)
|
0.2404
(52.8)
|
0.2500
(57.9)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Schwellenbach | 0.1410 | 0.2540 | 53.2 |
| 2 | Andrew Abbott | 0.2562 | 0.1945 | 40.0 |
| 3 | James Paxton | 0.2478 | 0.1670 | 38.2 |
| 4 | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.2130 | 0.2706 | 32.2 |
| 5 | José Soriano | 0.2683 | 0.2073 | 31.7 |
| 6 | JP Sears | 0.2152 | 0.1807 | 31.2 |
| 7 | Randy Vásquez | 0.2086 | 0.1439 | 30.8 |
| 8 | Reed Garrett | 0.2050 | 0.3360 | 30.7 |
| 9 | Jordan Hicks | 0.2564 | 0.1996 | 30.5 |
| 10 | Jared Jones | 0.1961 | 0.2619 | 29.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason Miller | 0.2407 | 0.4177 | 44.3 |
| 2 | Chris Sale | 0.2619 | 0.3205 | 41.9 |
| 3 | Cade Smith | 0.2303 | 0.3564 | 36.8 |
| 4 | Jack Kochanowicz | 0.2303 | 0.0940 | 36.0 |
| 5 | Jeremiah Estrada | 0.2336 | 0.3730 | 35.4 |
| 6 | Luke Weaver | 0.2098 | 0.3112 | 33.9 |
| 7 | Corbin Burnes | 0.2745 | 0.2309 | 33.4 |
| 8 | Tarik Skubal | 0.2614 | 0.3028 | 31.9 |
| 9 | Randy Vásquez | 0.2184 | 0.1439 | 31.7 |
| 10 | Griffin Jax | 0.2338 | 0.3442 | 30.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Abbott | 0.2563 | 0.1945 | 39.8 |
| 2 | James Paxton | 0.2477 | 0.1670 | 37.9 |
| 3 | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.2047 | 0.2706 | 37.8 |
| 4 | Randy Vásquez | 0.2162 | 0.1439 | 33.8 |
| 5 | Jared Jones | 0.1912 | 0.2619 | 32.5 |
| 6 | José Soriano | 0.2693 | 0.2073 | 31.9 |
| 7 | Erick Fedde | 0.1644 | 0.2121 | 30.2 |
| 8 | Reed Garrett | 0.2133 | 0.3360 | 28.8 |
| 9 | JP Sears | 0.2125 | 0.1807 | 28.8 |
| 10 | Cade Smith | 0.2516 | 0.3564 | 28.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Schwellenbach | 0.1411 | 0.2540 | 53.0 |
| 2 | Andrew Abbott | 0.2561 | 0.1945 | 40.1 |
| 3 | James Paxton | 0.2519 | 0.1670 | 40.1 |
| 4 | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.2096 | 0.2706 | 34.1 |
| 5 | Jared Jones | 0.1933 | 0.2619 | 31.1 |
| 6 | JP Sears | 0.2140 | 0.1807 | 30.4 |
| 7 | Cade Smith | 0.2471 | 0.3564 | 29.6 |
| 8 | Erick Fedde | 0.1646 | 0.2121 | 29.5 |
| 9 | David Peterson | 0.2484 | 0.1980 | 29.2 |
| 10 | Jordan Hicks | 0.2530 | 0.1996 | 29.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Abbott | 0.2562 | 0.1945 | 38.6 |
| 2 | Logan Gilbert | 0.2228 | 0.2740 | 37.6 |
| 3 | Jordan Hicks | 0.2721 | 0.1996 | 36.9 |
| 4 | José Soriano | 0.2812 | 0.2073 | 36.6 |
| 5 | James Paxton | 0.2437 | 0.1670 | 35.4 |
| 6 | Reed Garrett | 0.1887 | 0.3360 | 35.3 |
| 7 | Luke Weaver | 0.2004 | 0.3112 | 35.2 |
| 8 | Tarik Skubal | 0.2547 | 0.3028 | 33.0 |
| 9 | Ross Stripling | 0.2099 | 0.1286 | 32.6 |
| 10 | Yusei Kikuchi | 0.2314 | 0.2799 | 32.5 |
Win Rate
Everybody Missed for Win Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively | 0.4483 |
0.0868
(208.9)
|
0.1562
(141.8)
|
0.0955
(211.0)
|
0.0488
(232.4)
|
0.2381
(120.2)
|
| Luis Gil | 0.5172 |
0.1789
(195.8)
|
0.1071
(218.1)
|
0.1712
(208.3)
|
0.1916
(187.2)
|
0.1739
(206.0)
|
| Grayson Rodriguez | 0.6500 |
0.3214
(146.1)
|
0.1795
(197.8)
|
0.3425
(141.7)
|
0.3794
(117.3)
|
0.2500
(186.6)
|
| Tarik Skubal | 0.5806 |
0.3303
(165.2)
|
0.2258
(216.2)
|
0.3236
(179.2)
|
0.3907
(119.2)
|
0.2857
(207.0)
|
| Ronel Blanco | 0.4333 |
0.1231
(188.8)
|
0.1071
(174.8)
|
0.1136
(203.3)
|
0.0932
(208.5)
|
0.1935
(148.6)
|
| Gavin Stone | 0.4400 |
0.1807
(132.5)
|
0.1200
(146.4)
|
0.2006
(127.8)
|
0.1405
(155.3)
|
0.2308
(109.8)
|
| Chris Sale | 0.6207 |
0.3690
(155.0)
|
0.1944
(251.7)
|
0.3707
(162.2)
|
0.4050
(129.2)
|
0.3333
(187.7)
|
| David Peterson | 0.4762 |
0.1683
(141.3)
|
0.1316
(141.2)
|
0.1768
(143.0)
|
0.1429
(153.8)
|
0.2069
(127.1)
|
Individual Misses for Win Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seth Lugo | 0.2653 | 0.4848 | 157.7 |
| 2 | Michael King | 0.1932 | 0.4194 | 141.7 |
| 3 | Paul Skenes | 0.1739 | 0.4783 | 140.5 |
| 4 | Griffin Canning | 0.3293 | 0.1875 | 127.7 |
| 5 | Trevor Rogers | 0.2754 | 0.0800 | 127.2 |
| 6 | Charlie Morton | 0.4099 | 0.2667 | 122.1 |
| 7 | Walker Buehler | 0.3808 | 0.0625 | 120.1 |
| 8 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.3076 | 0.1379 | 113.8 |
| 9 | Ryan Feltner | 0.2334 | 0.1000 | 113.7 |
| 10 | Ryne Nelson | 0.1547 | 0.3571 | 108.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seth Lugo | 0.1224 | 0.4848 | 246.4 |
| 2 | Michael King | 0.1163 | 0.4194 | 170.9 |
| 3 | Shota Imanaga | 0.2337 | 0.5172 | 149.9 |
| 4 | Carlos Rodón | 0.2333 | 0.5000 | 146.5 |
| 5 | Sonny Gray | 0.1951 | 0.4643 | 135.2 |
| 6 | Brayan Bello | 0.2143 | 0.4667 | 129.7 |
| 7 | José BerrÃos | 0.2683 | 0.5000 | 128.9 |
| 8 | Jack Flaherty | 0.2000 | 0.4643 | 127.6 |
| 9 | Pablo López | 0.2381 | 0.4688 | 125.8 |
| 10 | Corbin Burnes | 0.2500 | 0.4688 | 118.5 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Griffin Canning | 0.3436 | 0.1875 | 129.4 |
| 2 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.3390 | 0.1379 | 124.8 |
| 3 | Logan Gilbert | 0.4026 | 0.2727 | 119.5 |
| 4 | Trevor Rogers | 0.2687 | 0.0800 | 116.7 |
| 5 | Paul Skenes | 0.2337 | 0.4783 | 116.0 |
| 6 | Walker Buehler | 0.3750 | 0.0625 | 114.0 |
| 7 | Shota Imanaga | 0.3345 | 0.5172 | 113.6 |
| 8 | Seth Lugo | 0.3320 | 0.4848 | 111.9 |
| 9 | Jack Flaherty | 0.2780 | 0.4643 | 108.6 |
| 10 | Charlie Morton | 0.3964 | 0.2667 | 104.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Griffin Canning | 0.3452 | 0.1875 | 140.0 |
| 2 | Ryne Nelson | 0.1032 | 0.3571 | 140.0 |
| 3 | Ryan Feltner | 0.2629 | 0.1000 | 134.7 |
| 4 | Trevor Rogers | 0.2720 | 0.0800 | 125.7 |
| 5 | Michael Soroka | 0.3096 | 0.0000 | 118.4 |
| 6 | Michael King | 0.2261 | 0.4194 | 117.2 |
| 7 | Walker Buehler | 0.3680 | 0.0625 | 116.0 |
| 8 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.3064 | 0.1379 | 113.5 |
| 9 | Bailey Falter | 0.0659 | 0.2857 | 110.8 |
| 10 | Justin Steele | 0.3753 | 0.2083 | 110.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seth Lugo | 0.1724 | 0.4848 | 244.5 |
| 2 | Michael King | 0.1333 | 0.4194 | 193.1 |
| 3 | Paul Skenes | 0.1739 | 0.4783 | 146.2 |
| 4 | Charlie Morton | 0.4444 | 0.2667 | 138.6 |
| 5 | Jack Flaherty | 0.2400 | 0.4643 | 132.6 |
| 6 | Trevor Rogers | 0.2857 | 0.0800 | 126.8 |
| 7 | Shota Imanaga | 0.3200 | 0.5172 | 123.0 |
| 8 | Walker Buehler | 0.4000 | 0.0625 | 123.0 |
| 9 | Nick Lodolo | 0.1667 | 0.4286 | 119.3 |
| 10 | Ryan Feltner | 0.2500 | 0.1000 | 117.6 |
Save Rate
Everybody Missed for Save Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Héctor Neris | 0.2903 |
0.0859
(51.0)
|
0.0566
(65.3)
|
0.0772
(52.8)
|
0.0843
(51.4)
|
0.0952
(49.7)
|
| Kyle Finnegan | 0.5846 |
0.2902
(77.5)
|
0.2353
(99.4)
|
0.1852
(105.5)
|
0.3272
(67.5)
|
0.3599
(59.9)
|
| Jason Foley | 0.4058 |
0.1281
(67.4)
|
0.0588
(91.1)
|
0.1080
(71.9)
|
0.1413
(64.1)
|
0.1349
(66.8)
|
| Chad Green | 0.3208 |
0.0325
(58.8)
|
0.0500
(60.6)
|
0.0529
(54.1)
|
0.0165
(62.2)
|
0.0278
(60.7)
|
| Kirby Yates | 0.5410 |
0.0117
(123.5)
|
0.0769
(114.2)
|
0.0000
(125.8)
|
0.0161
(122.5)
|
0.0185
(122.9)
|
Individual Misses for Save Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Leclerc | 0.3099 | 0.0156 | 87.1 |
| 2 | Ryan Helsley | 0.4747 | 0.7538 | 72.1 |
| 3 | Edwin DÃaz | 0.5973 | 0.3704 | 50.8 |
| 4 | Justin Lawrence | 0.2066 | 0.0357 | 50.0 |
| 5 | Camilo Doval | 0.5392 | 0.3710 | 47.8 |
| 6 | Mason Miller | 0.3168 | 0.5091 | 45.8 |
| 7 | Evan Phillips | 0.4818 | 0.2951 | 44.4 |
| 8 | Hunter Harvey | 0.2114 | 0.0204 | 43.6 |
| 9 | Victor Vodnik | 0.0000 | 0.1406 | 42.4 |
| 10 | Jalen Beeks | 0.0000 | 0.1408 | 41.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Helsley | 0.2353 | 0.7538 | 142.6 |
| 2 | Robert Suarez | 0.0345 | 0.5538 | 138.5 |
| 3 | Mason Miller | 0.0357 | 0.5091 | 122.3 |
| 4 | Ryan Pressly | 0.3750 | 0.0678 | 70.7 |
| 5 | Clay Holmes | 0.2245 | 0.4478 | 65.3 |
| 6 | Emmanuel Clase | 0.4211 | 0.6351 | 62.6 |
| 7 | Michael Kopech | 0.0238 | 0.2239 | 60.7 |
| 8 | James McArthur | 0.0909 | 0.3158 | 59.9 |
| 9 | Carlos Estévez | 0.2245 | 0.4815 | 58.2 |
| 10 | Andrés Muñoz | 0.1395 | 0.3667 | 56.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Helsley | 0.3527 | 0.7538 | 104.0 |
| 2 | José Leclerc | 0.3086 | 0.0156 | 87.3 |
| 3 | Mason Miller | 0.2058 | 0.5091 | 73.0 |
| 4 | Robert Suarez | 0.3086 | 0.5538 | 60.7 |
| 5 | James McArthur | 0.0772 | 0.3158 | 56.4 |
| 6 | Edwin DÃaz | 0.6173 | 0.3704 | 55.5 |
| 7 | Camilo Doval | 0.5401 | 0.3710 | 48.6 |
| 8 | Lucas Erceg | 0.0463 | 0.2295 | 43.8 |
| 9 | Victor Vodnik | 0.0000 | 0.1406 | 41.8 |
| 10 | Jalen Beeks | 0.0000 | 0.1408 | 40.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Leclerc | 0.2878 | 0.0156 | 80.7 |
| 2 | Ryan Helsley | 0.4548 | 0.7538 | 77.4 |
| 3 | Justin Lawrence | 0.2571 | 0.0357 | 64.0 |
| 4 | Camilo Doval | 0.5387 | 0.3710 | 47.7 |
| 5 | David Robertson | 0.1715 | 0.0294 | 44.5 |
| 6 | Mason Miller | 0.3258 | 0.5091 | 43.6 |
| 7 | Victor Vodnik | 0.0000 | 0.1406 | 42.4 |
| 8 | Hunter Harvey | 0.2025 | 0.0204 | 41.7 |
| 9 | Jalen Beeks | 0.0000 | 0.1408 | 41.4 |
| 10 | Edwin DÃaz | 0.5479 | 0.3704 | 40.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Kopech | 0.5822 | 0.2239 | 101.0 |
| 2 | José Leclerc | 0.3331 | 0.0156 | 92.5 |
| 3 | Justin Lawrence | 0.2610 | 0.0357 | 63.9 |
| 4 | Edwin DÃaz | 0.6262 | 0.3704 | 56.1 |
| 5 | David Robertson | 0.2118 | 0.0294 | 55.1 |
| 6 | José Alvarado | 0.4056 | 0.1970 | 54.8 |
| 7 | Evan Phillips | 0.5261 | 0.2951 | 53.5 |
| 8 | Hunter Harvey | 0.2591 | 0.0204 | 53.1 |
| 9 | James McArthur | 0.5007 | 0.3158 | 46.6 |
| 10 | Camilo Doval | 0.5387 | 0.3710 | 46.5 |
ERA
Everybody Missed for ERA
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller | 8.5179 |
3.8947
(1269.4)
|
3.9568
(1216.7)
|
3.9321
(1242.7)
|
4.0200
(1231.8)
|
3.7363
(1320.5)
|
| Kyle Hendricks | 5.9235 |
4.6357
(898.5)
|
4.2156
(1056.1)
|
4.7272
(809.3)
|
4.7756
(807.6)
|
4.4084
(1050.0)
|
| Reid Detmers | 6.6985 |
4.2336
(1079.9)
|
4.2971
(999.5)
|
4.1754
(1076.9)
|
4.2460
(1067.0)
|
4.2794
(1077.5)
|
| Slade Cecconi | 6.6623 |
4.2955
(900.3)
|
4.2070
(882.2)
|
4.4746
(817.5)
|
4.2920
(894.6)
|
4.1200
(973.1)
|
| Jordan Montgomery | 6.2308 |
3.7623
(1471.1)
|
3.5346
(1516.7)
|
3.9254
(1349.4)
|
3.9602
(1355.0)
|
3.4022
(1683.9)
|
| Paul Skenes | 1.9624 |
4.5669
(1186.1)
|
3.9439
(938.9)
|
3.9439
(899.7)
|
3.9439
(876.4)
|
4.5669
(1165.6)
|
| Ronel Blanco | 2.7968 |
4.4186
(895.6)
|
4.3131
(920.4)
|
4.4925
(990.1)
|
4.4371
(921.9)
|
4.3260
(806.1)
|
| Erick Fedde | 3.2989 |
5.0240
(1036.9)
|
5.0420
(1153.2)
|
5.0815
(1126.5)
|
5.1330
(1130.8)
|
4.8612
(889.8)
|
| Taijuan Walker | 7.0996 |
4.7098
(1023.6)
|
4.1521
(1182.0)
|
4.6941
(1004.5)
|
4.7630
(995.6)
|
4.6730
(1052.8)
|
| Kenta Maeda | 6.0890 |
4.2706
(1025.9)
|
4.3094
(938.2)
|
4.1891
(1033.5)
|
4.1106
(1093.6)
|
4.5130
(927.7)
|
Individual Misses for ERA
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Schwellenbach | 5.6880 | 3.3477 | 1021.7 |
| 2 | Reynaldo López | 4.0361 | 1.9902 | 949.7 |
| 3 | Griffin Canning | 4.2419 | 5.1903 | 920.3 |
| 4 | Seth Lugo | 4.3606 | 3.0048 | 885.2 |
| 5 | Louis Varland | 4.2144 | 7.6107 | 879.0 |
| 6 | Tobias Myers | 4.8259 | 3.0000 | 870.0 |
| 7 | Roddery Muñoz | 4.5677 | 6.5323 | 857.1 |
| 8 | Miles Mikolas | 4.5016 | 5.3476 | 822.8 |
| 9 | Logan Allen | 4.1484 | 5.7329 | 812.7 |
| 10 | Hunter Gaddis | 4.7188 | 1.5670 | 793.7 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Sale | 4.1765 | 2.3809 | 1151.9 |
| 2 | Justin Verlander | 3.0000 | 5.4797 | 1043.3 |
| 3 | Roddery Muñoz | 3.9439 | 6.5323 | 1039.7 |
| 4 | Hunter Greene | 4.5103 | 2.7539 | 978.6 |
| 5 | Gavin Stone | 5.3390 | 3.5273 | 961.0 |
| 6 | Miles Mikolas | 4.1766 | 5.3476 | 954.6 |
| 7 | Tarik Skubal | 3.6964 | 2.3906 | 866.7 |
| 8 | Hunter Gaddis | 4.7765 | 1.5670 | 849.2 |
| 9 | Bryce Miller | 4.2924 | 2.9445 | 839.9 |
| 10 | Logan Allen | 3.9632 | 5.7329 | 831.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reynaldo López | 4.1881 | 1.9902 | 1068.0 |
| 2 | Bryce Miller | 4.5174 | 2.9445 | 944.7 |
| 3 | Griffin Canning | 4.1432 | 5.1903 | 944.6 |
| 4 | Roddery Muñoz | 4.4360 | 6.5323 | 882.0 |
| 5 | Seth Lugo | 4.2828 | 3.0048 | 875.2 |
| 6 | Ty Blach | 4.6083 | 6.9393 | 845.4 |
| 7 | Louis Varland | 4.3018 | 7.6107 | 842.5 |
| 8 | Hunter Gaddis | 4.7780 | 1.5670 | 828.4 |
| 9 | Anthony Molina | 3.9439 | 6.7877 | 811.8 |
| 10 | Justin Lawrence | 3.8194 | 6.4860 | 808.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reynaldo López | 4.2560 | 1.9902 | 1080.2 |
| 2 | Spencer Schwellenbach | 5.6859 | 3.3477 | 1030.9 |
| 3 | Tobias Myers | 5.0655 | 3.0000 | 1017.9 |
| 4 | Seth Lugo | 4.4039 | 3.0048 | 938.5 |
| 5 | Griffin Canning | 4.2093 | 5.1903 | 929.3 |
| 6 | Roddery Muñoz | 4.4214 | 6.5323 | 904.8 |
| 7 | Louis Varland | 4.1464 | 7.6107 | 890.3 |
| 8 | Keaton Winn | 4.0326 | 7.1566 | 809.3 |
| 9 | Hunter Gaddis | 4.7050 | 1.5670 | 795.5 |
| 10 | Logan Allen | 4.1871 | 5.7329 | 787.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miles Mikolas | 4.3636 | 5.3476 | 950.9 |
| 2 | Louis Varland | 4.1955 | 7.6107 | 893.0 |
| 3 | Seth Lugo | 4.3959 | 3.0048 | 881.4 |
| 4 | Logan Allen | 4.0627 | 5.7329 | 867.0 |
| 5 | Tanner Houck | 4.6176 | 3.1231 | 860.2 |
| 6 | Griffin Canning | 4.3738 | 5.1903 | 852.2 |
| 7 | Ross Stripling | 4.2007 | 6.0117 | 818.3 |
| 8 | Brandon Pfaadt | 3.9715 | 4.7064 | 814.5 |
| 9 | Chris Sale | 3.8445 | 2.3809 | 791.1 |
| 10 | Justin Verlander | 3.8493 | 5.4797 | 779.0 |
WHIP
Everybody Missed for WHIP
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller | 1.7679 |
1.2144
(162.1)
|
1.1910
(156.3)
|
1.2302
(157.3)
|
1.2566
(151.1)
|
1.1580
(174.9)
|
| Trevor Rogers | 1.5764 |
1.2929
(201.5)
|
1.3259
(157.0)
|
1.2784
(208.0)
|
1.2963
(199.3)
|
1.3039
(191.5)
|
| Jordan Montgomery | 1.6496 |
1.2669
(243.5)
|
1.1958
(256.8)
|
1.2681
(241.3)
|
1.2744
(239.2)
|
1.2581
(244.6)
|
| Logan Gilbert | 0.8866 |
1.1755
(171.9)
|
1.1591
(195.7)
|
1.1715
(170.9)
|
1.1756
(172.3)
|
1.1794
(180.3)
|
| Ronel Blanco | 1.0876 |
1.3820
(148.4)
|
1.3738
(173.9)
|
1.3856
(152.7)
|
1.3708
(141.0)
|
1.3898
(158.1)
|
| Hunter Gaddis | 0.7634 |
1.3268
(135.8)
|
1.3408
(152.5)
|
1.3031
(130.0)
|
1.3029
(129.3)
|
1.3750
(151.1)
|
| Jack Flaherty | 1.0679 |
1.3829
(155.8)
|
1.4447
(225.8)
|
1.4016
(169.8)
|
1.3768
(152.1)
|
1.3701
(151.8)
|
| Taijuan Walker | 1.7211 |
1.3950
(152.8)
|
1.2656
(184.5)
|
1.4016
(149.2)
|
1.4150
(145.0)
|
1.3688
(160.2)
|
| Chris Bassitt | 1.4620 |
1.2533
(215.0)
|
1.1771
(237.8)
|
1.2803
(192.4)
|
1.2841
(191.3)
|
1.1967
(252.8)
|
| Marcus Stroman | 1.4677 |
1.3122
(155.5)
|
1.2213
(185.8)
|
1.3281
(143.0)
|
1.3265
(145.6)
|
1.2826
(171.0)
|
Individual Misses for WHIP
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Schwellenbach | 1.5930 | 1.0431 | 237.5 |
| 2 | Nick Martinez | 1.3977 | 1.0258 | 169.3 |
| 3 | Luis Ortiz | 1.4633 | 1.1130 | 153.1 |
| 4 | Seth Lugo | 1.3432 | 1.0887 | 150.1 |
| 5 | Erick Fedde | 1.4428 | 1.1617 | 149.8 |
| 6 | Paul Skenes | 1.3123 | 0.9474 | 149.1 |
| 7 | Logan Allen | 1.3302 | 1.5822 | 141.2 |
| 8 | Griffin Canning | 1.2834 | 1.3981 | 140.1 |
| 9 | Walker Buehler | 1.2279 | 1.5531 | 137.6 |
| 10 | Triston McKenzie | 1.2378 | 1.5595 | 134.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erick Fedde | 1.4426 | 1.1617 | 183.0 |
| 2 | Luis Ortiz | 1.4677 | 1.1130 | 181.2 |
| 3 | Luke Weaver | 1.4661 | 0.9286 | 168.4 |
| 4 | Hunter Greene | 1.3212 | 1.0177 | 167.8 |
| 5 | Cal Quantrill | 1.2921 | 1.5169 | 166.3 |
| 6 | Bryan Woo | 1.2535 | 0.8984 | 154.0 |
| 7 | Triston McKenzie | 1.1366 | 1.5595 | 153.6 |
| 8 | Dylan Cease | 1.2882 | 1.0669 | 146.6 |
| 9 | Tarik Skubal | 1.1429 | 0.9219 | 144.7 |
| 10 | Garrett Crochet | 1.3396 | 1.0685 | 144.1 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Martinez | 1.4378 | 1.0258 | 193.7 |
| 2 | Erick Fedde | 1.4988 | 1.1617 | 192.4 |
| 3 | Luis Ortiz | 1.4851 | 1.1130 | 166.7 |
| 4 | Bryce Miller | 1.2661 | 0.9760 | 153.5 |
| 5 | Griffin Canning | 1.2786 | 1.3981 | 141.6 |
| 6 | Bryan Woo | 1.2621 | 0.8984 | 137.6 |
| 7 | Tyler Holton | 1.2426 | 0.7845 | 136.7 |
| 8 | Garrett Crochet | 1.3684 | 1.0685 | 135.5 |
| 9 | Seth Lugo | 1.3207 | 1.0887 | 133.6 |
| 10 | Bryan Hudson | 1.3699 | 0.7219 | 133.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Schwellenbach | 1.5925 | 1.0431 | 237.4 |
| 2 | Nick Martinez | 1.4300 | 1.0258 | 187.9 |
| 3 | Erick Fedde | 1.4737 | 1.1617 | 172.5 |
| 4 | Luis Ortiz | 1.4863 | 1.1130 | 166.1 |
| 5 | Tyler Holton | 1.2980 | 0.7845 | 155.4 |
| 6 | Seth Lugo | 1.3467 | 1.0887 | 153.4 |
| 7 | Bryce Miller | 1.2549 | 0.9760 | 143.9 |
| 8 | Logan Allen | 1.3278 | 1.5822 | 142.1 |
| 9 | Griffin Canning | 1.2818 | 1.3981 | 141.0 |
| 10 | Reid Detmers | 1.2977 | 1.5573 | 130.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walker Buehler | 1.1082 | 1.5531 | 176.5 |
| 2 | Seth Lugo | 1.3625 | 1.0887 | 171.8 |
| 3 | Triston McKenzie | 1.1419 | 1.5595 | 165.2 |
| 4 | Paul Skenes | 1.3123 | 0.9474 | 152.5 |
| 5 | Logan Allen | 1.3007 | 1.5822 | 151.1 |
| 6 | Luke Weaver | 1.4511 | 0.9286 | 150.4 |
| 7 | Reid Detmers | 1.2729 | 1.5573 | 137.9 |
| 8 | Bryan Hudson | 1.3722 | 0.7219 | 134.5 |
| 9 | Aaron Civale | 1.1794 | 1.3043 | 133.1 |
| 10 | Nick Martinez | 1.3260 | 1.0258 | 132.3 |