2025 Fantasy Projection Evaluation

Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2025, excluding batters with fewer than 300 PA and pitchers with fewer than 200 BF. Limited to 5x5 categories, with playing time (PA/BF) split out from rates.

Summary

Batting

System PA HR SB R RBI AVG
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System BF SO W SV ERA WHIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 34 489 455.3
2 Angel Martínez 78 484 405.6
3 Addison Barger 104 502 397.5
4 Agustín Ramírez 206 585 379.1
5 Ben Rice 162 530 368.2
6 Eric Wagaman 148 514 366.2
7 Isaac Collins 79 441 361.8
8 Chandler Simpson 85 441 355.8
9 Nathan Lukes 105 438 333.1
10 Trent Grisham 248 581 332.9

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 117 489 372.0
2 Agustín Ramírez 250 585 334.8
3 Addison Barger 168 502 333.7
4 Trent Grisham 253 581 328.4
5 Eric Wagaman 192 514 322.3
6 Angel Martínez 164 484 320.2
7 Andy Pages 308 624 316.3
8 Ben Rice 225 530 304.6
9 Isaac Collins 140 441 300.9
10 Nathan Lukes 141 438 297.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Pages 168 624 456.0
2 Nick Kurtz 35 489 454.0
3 Addison Barger 49 502 453.0
4 Agustín Ramírez 185 585 400.0
5 Angel Martínez 98 484 386.0
6 Nathan Lukes 84 438 354.0
7 Chandler Simpson 91 441 350.0
8 Eric Wagaman 168 514 346.0
9 Isaac Collins 98 441 343.0
10 Ben Rice 193 530 337.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Agustín Ramírez 100 585 485.0
2 Caleb Durbin 100 506 406.0
3 Chase Meidroth 100 505 405.0
4 Cam Smith 100 493 393.0
5 Nick Kurtz 100 489 389.0
6 Trevor Story 267 654 387.0
7 Junior Caminero 304 653 349.0
8 Drake Baldwin 100 446 346.0
9 Chandler Simpson 100 441 341.0
10 Matt Shaw 100 437 337.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cam Smith 1 493 492.0
2 Gavin Sheets 84 545 461.0
3 Nick Kurtz 35 489 454.0
4 Andy Pages 175 624 449.0
5 Spencer Torkelson 203 649 446.0
6 Isaac Collins 7 441 434.0
7 Trent Grisham 182 581 399.0
8 Addison Barger 112 502 390.0
9 Ben Rice 144 530 386.0
10 Brett Baty 56 432 376.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eric Wagaman 87 514 427.0
2 Agustín Ramírez 168 585 417.0
3 Angel Martínez 70 484 414.0
4 Trent Grisham 171 581 410.0
5 Nick Kurtz 100 489 389.0
6 Andy Pages 238 624 386.0
7 Chandler Simpson 70 441 371.0
8 Zach McKinstry 154 511 357.0
9 Spencer Torkelson 306 649 343.0
10 Gavin Sheets 203 545 342.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Pages 197 624 427.5
2 Addison Barger 95 502 406.5
3 Agustín Ramírez 190 585 395.4
4 Nick Kurtz 100 489 389.0
5 Angel Martínez 118 484 365.5
6 Daylen Lile 4 351 347.4
7 Trent Grisham 239 581 341.7
8 Ben Rice 190 530 340.4
9 Caleb Durbin 168 506 338.0
10 Nathan Lukes 100 438 337.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 34 489 455.3
2 Angel Martínez 78 484 405.6
3 Addison Barger 104 502 397.5
4 Agustín Ramírez 206 585 379.1
5 Ben Rice 162 530 368.2
6 Eric Wagaman 148 514 366.2
7 Isaac Collins 79 441 361.8
8 Chandler Simpson 85 441 355.8
9 Nathan Lukes 105 438 333.1
10 Trent Grisham 248 581 332.9

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 34 489 455.3
2 Angel Martínez 78 484 405.6
3 Addison Barger 104 502 397.5
4 Agustín Ramírez 206 585 379.1
5 Ben Rice 162 530 368.2
6 Eric Wagaman 148 514 366.2
7 Isaac Collins 79 441 361.8
8 Chandler Simpson 85 441 355.8
9 Nathan Lukes 105 438 333.1
10 Trent Grisham 248 581 332.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cam Smith 143 493 350.0
2 Trevor Story 319 654 335.0
3 Connor Norby 611 337 274.0
4 Christopher Morel 579 305 274.0
5 Javier Sanoja 604 342 262.0
6 Roman Anthony 557 303 254.0
7 JJ Bleday 595 344 251.0
8 Ezequiel Tovar 640 390 250.0
9 Geraldo Perdomo 478 720 242.0
10 Dylan Crews 563 322 241.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Taylor Ward 0.0878
0.0568
(19.3)
0.0549
(20.5)
0.0535
(22.3)
0.0556
(20.5)
0.0542
(21.5)
0.0509
(22.2)
0.0544
(22.4)
0.0562
(19.1)
0.0581
(18.0)
0.0538
(21.5)
Gunnar Henderson 0.0382
0.0717
(23.0)
0.0718
(23.1)
0.0706
(21.5)
0.0689
(20.9)
0.0718
(22.6)
0.0708
(23.5)
0.0762
(24.5)
0.0751
(25.8)
0.0717
(23.5)
0.0653
(18.7)
Cal Raleigh 0.1460
0.0816
(44.0)
0.0823
(43.5)
0.0826
(44.2)
0.0847
(42.2)
0.0854
(41.9)
0.0755
(47.3)
0.0824
(45.1)
0.0865
(40.0)
0.0791
(45.4)
0.0856
(41.4)
Nick Kurtz 0.1319
0.0416
(43.2)
0.0446
(41.7)
0.0417
(43.8)
0.0498
(39.5)
0.0502
(39.4)
0.0498
(38.5)
0.0498
(40.3)
0.0484
(39.5)
0.0486
(39.5)
0.0354
(46.4)
Michael Busch 0.0879
0.0588
(16.0)
0.0569
(17.2)
0.0599
(16.2)
0.0557
(18.2)
0.0587
(16.6)
0.0525
(18.9)
0.0576
(18.1)
0.0522
(19.5)
0.0562
(17.2)
0.0618
(14.5)
Riley Greene 0.0891
0.0570
(19.8)
0.0554
(20.8)
0.0552
(21.8)
0.0493
(25.2)
0.0601
(18.2)
0.0502
(23.2)
0.0550
(22.5)
0.0562
(19.8)
0.0540
(21.3)
0.0557
(20.8)
James Wood 0.0816
0.0533
(18.2)
0.0533
(18.1)
0.0569
(16.6)
0.0460
(23.6)
0.0578
(15.6)
0.0521
(17.9)
0.0569
(17.2)
0.0475
(21.5)
0.0469
(22.2)
0.0587
(14.7)
Eugenio Suárez 0.1228
0.0654
(36.5)
0.0641
(37.3)
0.0623
(39.3)
0.0682
(35.0)
0.0673
(35.7)
0.0584
(40.0)
0.0640
(38.8)
0.0668
(35.0)
0.0638
(37.0)
0.0630
(38.2)
George Springer 0.0804
0.0442
(20.1)
0.0455
(19.3)
0.0466
(19.5)
0.0475
(18.5)
0.0462
(19.4)
0.0469
(17.6)
0.0508
(17.5)
0.0435
(20.0)
0.0425
(20.7)
0.0442
(20.3)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.0976 0.0633 25.3
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1011 0.1373 24.8
3 Junior Caminero 0.0549 0.0930 23.6
4 Trent Grisham 0.0603 0.0950 19.1
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1004 0.1285 19.0
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0580 0.0254 18.5
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0396 0.0683 17.4
8 Ryan Jeffers 0.0618 0.0285 16.4
9 Kyle Stowers 0.0521 0.0896 16.3
10 Christian Yelich 0.0444 0.0713 16.1

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.0963 0.0633 24.4
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1034 0.1373 23.1
3 Junior Caminero 0.0596 0.0930 20.6
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0595 0.0254 19.3
5 Trent Grisham 0.0604 0.0950 19.0
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1013 0.1285 18.3
7 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0777 0.0535 18.0
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0405 0.0683 16.7
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.0614 0.0285 16.2
10 Christian Yelich 0.0454 0.0713 15.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1003 0.0633 26.3
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1047 0.1373 23.1
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0627 0.0254 20.2
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0817 0.0535 19.9
5 Junior Caminero 0.0621 0.0930 19.8
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1010 0.1285 19.6
7 Trent Grisham 0.0637 0.0950 17.8
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0429 0.0683 16.0
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0677 0.0972 15.3
10 Ryan Jeffers 0.0608 0.0285 15.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Junior Caminero 0.0472 0.0930 29.0
2 Trent Grisham 0.0505 0.0950 25.1
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.1017 0.1373 24.7
4 Kyle Stowers 0.0361 0.0896 23.8
5 Chandler Simpson 0.0498 0.0000 22.5
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.0975 0.1285 21.6
7 Jo Adell 0.0618 0.0976 19.7
8 Chase Meidroth 0.0498 0.0131 19.2
9 Brent Rooker 0.0890 0.0633 18.9
10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0381 0.0683 18.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.0968 0.0633 24.2
2 Trent Grisham 0.0544 0.0950 22.9
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0634 0.0254 20.9
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0817 0.0535 20.2
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.0757 0.0490 19.5
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0391 0.0683 18.1
7 Ryan Jeffers 0.0646 0.0285 17.3
8 Marcell Ozuna 0.0850 0.0598 15.6
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0147 0.0375 15.6
10 Matt Olson 0.0842 0.0640 15.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.0996 0.1373 24.8
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0920 0.1285 24.0
3 Trent Grisham 0.0551 0.0950 21.1
4 Junior Caminero 0.0604 0.0930 19.0
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0572 0.0254 18.8
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0760 0.0535 17.9
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0387 0.0683 16.9
8 Christian Yelich 0.0425 0.0713 16.3
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.0581 0.0285 15.3
10 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0660 0.0972 14.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1058 0.1373 23.0
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0986 0.1285 22.0
3 Brent Rooker 0.0949 0.0633 21.9
4 Trent Grisham 0.0591 0.0950 21.0
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0821 0.0535 19.6
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0606 0.0254 18.6
7 Junior Caminero 0.0654 0.0930 18.2
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0423 0.0683 17.0
9 Christian Yelich 0.0458 0.0713 16.6
10 Ryan Jeffers 0.0632 0.0285 15.9

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1050 0.0633 31.1
2 Junior Caminero 0.0534 0.0930 24.0
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.1040 0.1373 22.1
4 Trent Grisham 0.0564 0.0950 20.8
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0356 0.0683 19.3
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0556 0.0254 17.6
7 Kyle Stowers 0.0484 0.0896 17.6
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.1016 0.1285 17.5
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.0631 0.0285 17.4
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0745 0.0535 16.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.0936 0.1373 29.8
2 Brent Rooker 0.0969 0.0633 25.3
3 Junior Caminero 0.0554 0.0930 22.8
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0573 0.0254 18.4
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1020 0.1285 17.4
6 Corbin Carroll 0.0458 0.0747 16.9
7 Kyle Stowers 0.0503 0.0896 16.8
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0670 0.0461 16.0
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0740 0.0535 15.9
10 Ryan Jeffers 0.0602 0.0285 15.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1036 0.0633 29.4
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1020 0.1373 24.3
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0649 0.0254 22.0
4 Junior Caminero 0.0590 0.0930 21.1
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0815 0.0535 20.4
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1037 0.1285 16.8
7 Trent Grisham 0.0651 0.0950 16.4
8 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0663 0.0972 15.5
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.0590 0.0285 14.9
10 Corbin Carroll 0.0500 0.0747 14.8

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Tommy Edman 0.0395
0.1878
(54.0)
0.1819
(52.2)
0.1714
(49.7)
0.1842
(53.0)
0.1661
(44.5)
0.1708
(47.7)
0.1634
(45.5)
0.2107
(62.9)
0.1988
(58.6)
0.1759
(52.0)
Brice Turang 0.1277
0.2622
(85.2)
0.2472
(76.1)
0.2384
(72.9)
0.2465
(75.6)
0.2595
(81.3)
0.2441
(73.7)
0.2421
(73.3)
0.2426
(72.9)
0.2453
(75.0)
0.2349
(71.7)
Gunnar Henderson 0.1754
0.1019
(51.3)
0.0993
(52.2)
0.0994
(49.6)
0.0903
(58.1)
0.1068
(50.2)
0.1031
(50.1)
0.1001
(51.1)
0.0942
(55.7)
0.0964
(54.0)
0.0930
(52.7)
Harrison Bader 0.0833
0.1947
(53.2)
0.1988
(55.8)
0.1875
(52.1)
0.1919
(52.3)
0.1919
(50.1)
0.2035
(57.9)
0.1988
(56.2)
0.2205
(66.6)
0.2087
(60.8)
0.1758
(47.1)
Oneil Cruz 0.3140
0.1598
(86.7)
0.1517
(90.5)
0.1429
(93.2)
0.1379
(98.1)
0.1400
(99.3)
0.1328
(101.1)
0.1294
(102.2)
0.1708
(80.3)
0.1696
(80.7)
0.1606
(82.6)
Colton Cowser 0.2090
0.0664
(53.2)
0.0674
(52.4)
0.0629
(52.6)
0.0678
(52.3)
0.0717
(52.5)
0.0726
(50.8)
0.0702
(51.1)
0.0636
(53.9)
0.0663
(52.8)
0.0608
(52.8)
Juan Soto 0.1743
0.0387
(100.7)
0.0386
(99.9)
0.0352
(99.5)
0.0412
(98.1)
0.0467
(97.4)
0.0419
(98.0)
0.0410
(97.6)
0.0345
(103.0)
0.0362
(101.6)
0.0315
(101.0)
Luis Robert Jr. 0.3267
0.1934
(59.7)
0.1994
(56.6)
0.1786
(63.9)
0.1717
(68.6)
0.2006
(58.1)
0.2094
(52.6)
0.1962
(57.7)
0.2180
(48.7)
0.2081
(52.8)
0.1714
(66.3)
José Caballero 0.4900
0.3681
(47.0)
0.3521
(52.5)
0.3676
(45.3)
0.3063
(69.5)
0.3745
(45.9)
0.3549
(51.7)
0.3439
(55.3)
0.3280
(61.5)
0.3174
(65.3)
0.3737
(42.4)
Elly De La Cruz 0.2114
0.3674
(105.4)
0.3506
(94.5)
0.3439
(92.6)
0.3380
(85.6)
0.3743
(107.9)
0.3677
(106.0)
0.3481
(93.2)
0.3195
(72.5)
0.3389
(86.3)
0.3397
(90.8)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0652
0.1968
(52.1)
0.2374
(69.3)
0.2453
(74.1)
0.2455
(72.5)
0.2536
(74.1)
0.1985
(53.0)
0.2659
(81.3)
0.2739
(84.2)
0.2493
(74.2)
0.2236
(65.9)
Josh Naylor 0.1852
0.0483
(85.9)
0.0511
(83.4)
0.0537
(79.5)
0.0597
(78.3)
0.0589
(81.5)
0.0464
(86.6)
0.0474
(85.2)
0.0536
(82.1)
0.0480
(85.3)
0.0556
(77.4)
Shohei Ohtani 0.1026
0.1976
(65.3)
0.2018
(69.3)
0.2143
(81.2)
0.1801
(53.4)
0.2100
(71.9)
0.1983
(66.3)
0.1895
(60.9)
0.1854
(57.1)
0.1969
(65.7)
0.2356
(97.9)
Byron Buxton 0.2105
0.0883
(69.1)
0.0876
(68.8)
0.0865
(67.3)
0.0899
(67.6)
0.0956
(66.9)
0.0816
(72.4)
0.0797
(72.7)
0.0900
(67.7)
0.0890
(68.0)
0.0886
(65.2)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jo Adell 0.1481 0.0450 56.1
2 Maikel Garcia 0.2099 0.1329 47.8
3 Jackson Merrill 0.1128 0.0094 47.4
4 Andy Pages 0.0300 0.1000 46.9
5 Jake Mangum 0.1253 0.2269 45.7
6 TJ Friedl 0.1287 0.0571 45.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jo Adell 0.1447 0.0450 54.8
2 Jake Mangum 0.1176 0.2269 48.5
3 Jackson Merrill 0.1052 0.0094 44.3
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2496 0.3125 43.3
5 Cal Raleigh 0.0270 0.0828 42.2
6 Luis Rengifo 0.1601 0.0787 41.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jo Adell 0.1339 0.0450 50.9
2 Jake Mangum 0.1111 0.2269 49.6
3 Maikel Garcia 0.2055 0.1329 48.2
4 José Ramírez 0.1801 0.2514 48.1
5 Andy Pages 0.0270 0.1000 45.6
6 Trea Turner 0.1394 0.2069 43.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chandler Simpson 0.0791 0.3548 123.5
2 Victor Scott II 0.1228 0.2906 79.6
3 Jake Mangum 0.0791 0.2269 65.1
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2283 0.3125 57.2
5 José Ramírez 0.1724 0.2514 56.0
6 TJ Friedl 0.1321 0.0571 48.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jo Adell 0.1580 0.0450 59.9
2 Caleb Durbin 0.2444 0.1364 50.3
3 Luis Rengifo 0.1800 0.0787 50.2
4 Maikel Garcia 0.2095 0.1329 45.3
5 Jackson Merrill 0.1097 0.0094 44.3
6 Trea Turner 0.1472 0.2069 43.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jo Adell 0.1573 0.0450 61.7
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2310 0.3125 55.7
3 Jake Mangum 0.1091 0.2269 52.4
4 Dane Myers 0.0891 0.2222 45.9
5 Maikel Garcia 0.2062 0.1329 45.7
6 Luis Rengifo 0.1665 0.0787 45.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jo Adell 0.1533 0.0450 60.2
2 Jake Mangum 0.1034 0.2269 54.2
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2352 0.3125 52.1
4 Dane Myers 0.0880 0.2222 45.8
5 Maikel Garcia 0.2036 0.1329 44.9
6 José Ramírez 0.1890 0.2514 44.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2163 0.3125 65.0
2 Jo Adell 0.1419 0.0450 53.0
3 Jake Mangum 0.1094 0.2269 52.1
4 Agustín Ramírez 0.0606 0.1416 49.9
5 Chandler Simpson 0.2498 0.3548 48.2
6 TJ Friedl 0.1280 0.0571 45.6

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jo Adell 0.1410 0.0450 52.7
2 Jake Mangum 0.1201 0.2269 47.4
3 TJ Friedl 0.1295 0.0571 46.8
4 Jackson Merrill 0.1102 0.0094 46.8
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2456 0.3125 45.8
6 Cal Raleigh 0.0223 0.0828 45.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.1711 0.2514 53.1
2 Maikel Garcia 0.2081 0.1329 51.0
3 Andy Pages 0.0242 0.1000 46.3
4 Jackson Merrill 0.1029 0.0094 45.9
5 Jake Mangum 0.1188 0.2269 45.6
6 Romy Gonzalez 0.1967 0.0732 42.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Brice Turang 0.1472
0.1140
(22.1)
0.1127
(22.5)
0.1156
(22.4)
0.1135
(22.5)
0.1050
(26.2)
0.1089
(24.1)
0.1126
(23.2)
0.1150
(20.3)
0.1140
(21.1)
0.1195
(21.0)
Cal Raleigh 0.1560
0.1179
(27.1)
0.1186
(26.2)
0.1216
(26.0)
0.1208
(25.1)
0.1263
(19.3)
0.1184
(25.3)
0.1214
(24.8)
0.1154
(27.7)
0.1104
(31.3)
0.1205
(28.0)
Nick Kurtz 0.1840
0.1141
(34.3)
0.1111
(35.5)
0.1143
(35.3)
0.1220
(30.6)
0.1122
(34.0)
0.1220
(29.5)
0.1220
(30.7)
0.1045
(38.3)
0.1046
(38.2)
0.1203
(33.2)
Aaron Judge 0.2018
0.1634
(26.2)
0.1665
(23.7)
0.1664
(25.6)
0.1692
(22.4)
0.1715
(18.9)
0.1653
(23.6)
0.1714
(21.1)
0.1677
(22.2)
0.1642
(24.7)
0.1622
(29.6)
George Springer 0.1809
0.1258
(32.4)
0.1236
(33.4)
0.1256
(33.8)
0.1297
(30.3)
0.1208
(33.8)
0.1184
(35.6)
0.1223
(34.7)
0.1244
(32.3)
0.1247
(32.2)
0.1284
(33.2)
Michael Harris II 0.0858
0.1408
(35.1)
0.1391
(34.3)
0.1364
(30.9)
0.1369
(32.5)
0.1460
(40.1)
0.1301
(29.5)
0.1360
(31.8)
0.1411
(36.3)
0.1418
(36.7)
0.1377
(30.7)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1416 0.1790 20.4
2 Ernie Clement 0.1075 0.1412 20.0
3 Trent Grisham 0.1166 0.1497 19.4
4 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1203 0.0776 19.1
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1755 0.2008 18.6
6 Michael Toglia 0.1204 0.0653 18.5
7 Marcell Ozuna 0.1329 0.1030 17.5
8 Junior Caminero 0.1166 0.1424 17.1
9 Trevor Story 0.1142 0.1391 16.5
10 Jackson Holliday 0.1331 0.1079 16.2

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1359 0.1790 23.2
2 Ernie Clement 0.1095 0.1412 18.5
3 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1175 0.0776 18.1
4 Michael Toglia 0.1177 0.0653 17.8
5 Marcell Ozuna 0.1320 0.1030 17.3
6 Salvador Perez 0.1100 0.0842 16.7
7 Trent Grisham 0.1208 0.1497 16.6
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.1558 0.1306 16.6
9 Jackson Holliday 0.1321 0.1079 15.9
10 Royce Lewis 0.1273 0.0893 15.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jackson Holliday 0.1469 0.1079 23.8
2 Byron Buxton 0.1409 0.1790 22.0
3 Kyle Manzardo 0.1265 0.0885 18.9
4 Trent Grisham 0.1197 0.1497 18.9
5 Michael Toglia 0.1230 0.0653 18.6
6 Ernie Clement 0.1126 0.1412 18.2
7 Trevor Story 0.1149 0.1391 17.4
8 Luis Arraez 0.1254 0.0978 17.0
9 Joey Bart 0.1161 0.0633 16.7
10 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1171 0.0776 16.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1608 0.2008 29.4
2 Junior Caminero 0.1053 0.1424 24.5
3 Trent Grisham 0.1139 0.1497 21.1
4 Trevor Story 0.1086 0.1391 20.2
5 Michael Toglia 0.1244 0.0653 19.8
6 Joey Bart 0.1229 0.0633 19.7
7 Jose Altuve 0.1521 0.1223 19.2
8 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1199 0.0776 18.9
9 Byron Buxton 0.1459 0.1790 18.2
10 Edgar Quero 0.1220 0.0769 18.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1337 0.1790 23.2
2 Gunnar Henderson 0.1633 0.1306 22.9
3 Marcell Ozuna 0.1390 0.1030 22.7
4 Miguel Vargas 0.1002 0.1406 21.6
5 Jarren Duran 0.1500 0.1236 20.1
6 Francisco Lindor 0.1311 0.1598 19.3
7 Ozzie Albies 0.1367 0.1109 18.8
8 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1166 0.0776 18.7
9 Salvador Perez 0.1101 0.0842 18.1
10 Trevor Story 0.1093 0.1391 17.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1222 0.1790 29.8
2 Luis Arraez 0.1330 0.0978 25.0
3 Trevor Story 0.1029 0.1391 22.6
4 Salvador Perez 0.1155 0.0842 21.1
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1713 0.2008 20.2
6 Kyle Manzardo 0.1240 0.0885 19.8
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.1586 0.1306 19.4
8 Ramón Laureano 0.1075 0.1475 18.7
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1106 0.1406 18.3
10 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1157 0.0776 17.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1272 0.1790 28.4
2 Salvador Perez 0.1190 0.0842 21.9
3 Luis Arraez 0.1281 0.0978 20.1
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1109 0.1406 19.6
5 Trevor Story 0.1100 0.1391 19.4
6 Bryan Reynolds 0.1336 0.1040 19.0
7 Ramón Laureano 0.1093 0.1475 18.9
8 Michael Toglia 0.1211 0.0653 18.6
9 Ernie Clement 0.1113 0.1412 17.9
10 Kyle Manzardo 0.1226 0.0885 17.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1358 0.1790 22.6
2 Ernie Clement 0.1055 0.1412 20.2
3 Marcell Ozuna 0.1347 0.1030 19.6
4 Trent Grisham 0.1159 0.1497 18.9
5 Salvador Perez 0.1115 0.0842 18.3
6 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1167 0.0776 18.2
7 Michael Toglia 0.1174 0.0653 18.0
8 Miguel Vargas 0.1094 0.1406 17.0
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1114 0.1361 16.9
10 Royce Lewis 0.1283 0.0893 16.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1351 0.1790 23.1
2 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1212 0.0776 20.2
3 Michael Toglia 0.1178 0.0653 18.1
4 Ernie Clement 0.1100 0.1412 17.6
5 Marcell Ozuna 0.1315 0.1030 17.5
6 Andrew Vaughn 0.1157 0.0783 17.3
7 Salvador Perez 0.1093 0.0842 16.8
8 Brenton Doyle 0.1350 0.1059 16.3
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1124 0.1361 16.2
10 Jarren Duran 0.1450 0.1236 15.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jackson Holliday 0.1746 0.1079 40.7
2 Trent Grisham 0.1204 0.1497 19.4
3 Ernie Clement 0.1122 0.1412 19.4
4 Joey Bart 0.1254 0.0633 19.3
5 Kyle Manzardo 0.1288 0.0885 19.2
6 Junior Caminero 0.1172 0.1424 19.2
7 Josh Naylor 0.1073 0.1341 18.6
8 Michael Toglia 0.1241 0.0653 18.5
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.1611 0.1306 17.2
10 Gavin Lux 0.1355 0.0974 17.1

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Michael Conforto 0.0741
0.1314
(28.4)
0.1335
(29.5)
0.1388
(29.8)
0.1253
(25.4)
0.1430
(34.8)
0.1255
(27.1)
0.1295
(26.9)
0.1297
(28.7)
0.1262
(26.9)
0.1493
(33.2)
Christian Yelich 0.1599
0.1135
(29.2)
0.1129
(29.5)
0.1150
(31.2)
0.1111
(30.8)
0.1067
(32.5)
0.1109
(28.8)
0.1103
(32.0)
0.1137
(27.6)
0.1158
(26.4)
0.1197
(30.4)
Nick Kurtz 0.1759
0.0908
(41.1)
0.0970
(38.0)
0.0857
(45.8)
0.1187
(27.5)
0.1057
(33.0)
0.1187
(25.8)
0.1187
(28.0)
0.0987
(36.1)
0.0987
(36.2)
0.0913
(44.7)
Geraldo Perdomo 0.1389
0.0853
(37.8)
0.0834
(39.1)
0.0923
(36.1)
0.0953
(30.6)
0.0753
(43.8)
0.0902
(32.0)
0.0937
(32.5)
0.0720
(45.7)
0.0756
(43.3)
0.0921
(38.7)
Riley Greene 0.1695
0.1189
(32.4)
0.1199
(31.7)
0.1229
(32.8)
0.1117
(37.2)
0.1210
(29.9)
0.1154
(32.6)
0.1200
(32.4)
0.1197
(30.4)
0.1194
(30.7)
0.1252
(33.5)
Drake Baldwin 0.1794
0.1106
(30.2)
0.1066
(31.9)
0.1122
(31.5)
0.1187
(26.6)
0.1093
(30.0)
0.0990
(33.9)
0.1021
(34.5)
0.1011
(33.4)
0.1009
(33.6)
0.1231
(28.2)
Eugenio Suárez 0.1796
0.1376
(26.9)
0.1326
(30.1)
0.1314
(34.0)
0.1411
(24.6)
0.1311
(30.0)
0.1179
(37.7)
0.1263
(35.1)
0.1405
(23.4)
0.1391
(24.5)
0.1355
(33.5)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1425 0.1823 28.0
2 TJ Friedl 0.1147 0.0774 26.3
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1392 0.1027 26.0
4 Taylor Ward 0.1154 0.1554 25.7
5 Jo Adell 0.1281 0.1710 23.9
6 Otto Lopez 0.0898 0.1296 23.0
7 Cal Raleigh 0.1437 0.1773 22.9
8 Nathan Lukes 0.0962 0.1484 22.4
9 Trevor Story 0.1116 0.1468 22.3
10 Matt McLain 0.1241 0.0867 22.2

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1472 0.1027 31.5
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1452 0.1823 26.0
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1728 0.1403 24.5
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1286 0.0843 24.3
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.1404 0.1045 24.2
6 Matt McLain 0.1273 0.0867 24.1
7 Taylor Ward 0.1183 0.1554 23.8
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1092 0.1468 23.6
9 Otto Lopez 0.0891 0.1296 23.4
10 Brice Turang 0.0865 0.1229 23.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1368 0.1823 35.5
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1535 0.1027 32.6
3 Taylor Ward 0.1155 0.1554 28.8
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1381 0.0843 26.9
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1782 0.1403 25.0
6 Cal Raleigh 0.1455 0.1773 24.9
7 Matt McLain 0.1328 0.0867 24.6
8 Seiya Suzuki 0.1250 0.1582 23.9
9 TJ Friedl 0.1146 0.0774 23.1
10 Josh Smith 0.1065 0.0622 23.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chase Meidroth 0.1187 0.0455 37.5
2 TJ Friedl 0.1271 0.0774 34.7
3 Junior Caminero 0.1151 0.1685 34.2
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.1422 0.1823 28.4
5 Jo Adell 0.1207 0.1710 28.3
6 Tyler Soderstrom 0.1030 0.1490 28.1
7 Ramón Laureano 0.0992 0.1557 27.1
8 Chandler Simpson 0.1187 0.0590 26.8
9 Taylor Ward 0.1146 0.1554 26.3
10 Seiya Suzuki 0.1207 0.1582 23.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.2058 0.1403 49.6
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1617 0.1027 42.7
3 Marcell Ozuna 0.1729 0.1149 36.0
4 Otto Lopez 0.0701 0.1296 33.7
5 Aaron Judge 0.2138 0.1679 33.0
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.1524 0.1045 33.0
7 Mike Trout 0.1691 0.1151 31.6
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1750 0.1019 31.2
9 Matt Olson 0.1713 0.1312 31.0
10 Brice Turang 0.0744 0.1229 30.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1297 0.1823 35.0
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1413 0.1027 29.6
3 Cal Raleigh 0.1318 0.1773 29.1
4 Josh Smith 0.1043 0.0622 26.1
5 Matt McLain 0.1269 0.0867 25.7
6 Trevor Story 0.1033 0.1468 25.6
7 Taylor Ward 0.1127 0.1554 25.4
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1035 0.1468 25.3
9 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1267 0.0843 25.0
10 Jo Adell 0.1264 0.1710 23.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1277 0.1823 39.6
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1495 0.1027 32.3
3 Taylor Ward 0.1094 0.1554 30.5
4 Cal Raleigh 0.1391 0.1773 27.0
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1314 0.0843 25.1
6 Seiya Suzuki 0.1211 0.1582 24.2
7 Trevor Story 0.1104 0.1468 23.8
8 Jo Adell 0.1311 0.1710 22.9
9 Marcell Ozuna 0.1534 0.1149 22.8
10 Bo Bichette 0.1135 0.1497 22.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0961 0.1468 30.6
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1407 0.1027 28.6
3 Jo Adell 0.1191 0.1710 27.8
4 Mike Trout 0.1606 0.1151 27.2
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.1395 0.1045 25.0
6 Carlos Correa 0.1284 0.0890 25.0
7 Nathan Lukes 0.0907 0.1484 23.8
8 Otto Lopez 0.0864 0.1296 23.7
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1692 0.1403 23.5
10 Matt McLain 0.1236 0.0867 23.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1412 0.1027 28.8
2 Brice Turang 0.0788 0.1229 27.0
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1024 0.1468 26.7
4 Matt McLain 0.1277 0.0867 25.5
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.1440 0.1823 25.5
6 Mike Trout 0.1566 0.1151 24.8
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1568 0.1235 24.7
8 Brandon Nimmo 0.1007 0.1411 24.3
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.1382 0.1045 24.0
10 Shohei Ohtani 0.1699 0.1403 23.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.2038 0.1403 41.2
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1568 0.1027 32.6
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.1471 0.1823 30.5
4 Cam Smith 0.1678 0.1034 28.4
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1433 0.0843 27.9
6 TJ Friedl 0.1247 0.0774 27.7
7 Taylor Ward 0.1208 0.1554 27.4
8 Matt McLain 0.1399 0.0867 26.8
9 Brent Rooker 0.1712 0.1273 25.9
10 Otto Lopez 0.0952 0.1296 24.5

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Dillon Dingler 0.2782
0.2222
(24.4)
0.2228
(24.3)
0.2290
(23.1)
0.2222
(25.1)
0.2212
(25.7)
0.2200
(24.4)
0.2270
(24.0)
0.2201
(24.4)
0.2220
(23.6)
0.2269
(24.0)
Brice Turang 0.2877
0.2468
(24.5)
0.2477
(24.0)
0.2552
(21.4)
0.2417
(28.7)
0.2417
(28.8)
0.2493
(21.2)
0.2551
(21.5)
0.2445
(24.5)
0.2432
(25.4)
0.2533
(22.6)
Tyler Soderstrom 0.2763
0.2299
(26.6)
0.2290
(27.3)
0.2294
(29.3)
0.2237
(31.3)
0.2347
(24.5)
0.2241
(28.7)
0.2350
(25.8)
0.2265
(27.4)
0.2288
(25.9)
0.2241
(32.5)
Jonathan Aranda 0.3162
0.2513
(25.8)
0.2494
(26.7)
0.2579
(24.6)
0.2332
(34.0)
0.2490
(27.4)
0.2488
(25.8)
0.2550
(25.9)
0.2411
(29.2)
0.2415
(29.0)
0.2591
(24.1)
Oneil Cruz 0.1996
0.2520
(30.6)
0.2535
(31.2)
0.2558
(30.6)
0.2505
(29.1)
0.2635
(36.0)
0.2509
(31.3)
0.2583
(31.9)
0.2461
(28.6)
0.2513
(31.4)
0.2524
(28.8)
Kyle Stowers 0.2882
0.2159
(31.3)
0.2222
(28.6)
0.2316
(25.9)
0.2226
(28.9)
0.2314
(25.0)
0.2214
(27.7)
0.2276
(27.7)
0.2113
(32.4)
0.2152
(30.7)
0.2330
(25.2)
Geraldo Perdomo 0.2898
0.2422
(31.5)
0.2434
(30.9)
0.2520
(27.2)
0.2429
(32.0)
0.2437
(31.5)
0.2496
(24.4)
0.2544
(25.5)
0.2338
(36.0)
0.2318
(37.4)
0.2481
(29.9)
George Springer 0.3092
0.2422
(37.0)
0.2422
(37.2)
0.2422
(39.3)
0.2455
(35.9)
0.2423
(37.9)
0.2385
(37.8)
0.2453
(37.5)
0.2401
(37.0)
0.2461
(33.5)
0.2408
(40.0)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2226 0.2905 31.4
2 Aaron Judge 0.2830 0.3309 29.9
3 Hunter Goodman 0.2333 0.2778 23.5
4 Shea Langeliers 0.2279 0.2765 23.5
5 Matt McLain 0.2556 0.2196 23.0
6 Michael Harris II 0.2800 0.2488 22.5
7 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2608 0.2278 22.4
8 Ramón Laureano 0.2331 0.2812 21.6
9 Joc Pederson 0.2479 0.1811 21.6
10 Pete Alonso 0.2386 0.2724 21.3

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.2819 0.3309 30.8
2 Nick Kurtz 0.2277 0.2905 29.0
3 Michael Harris II 0.2835 0.2488 24.5
4 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2619 0.2278 22.9
5 Daylen Lile 0.2311 0.2991 22.6
6 Shea Langeliers 0.2309 0.2765 22.0
7 Matt McLain 0.2541 0.2196 21.9
8 Ramón Laureano 0.2333 0.2812 21.6
9 Joc Pederson 0.2480 0.1811 21.5
10 Michael Conforto 0.2384 0.1986 21.1

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.2785 0.3309 35.6
2 Michael Harris II 0.2925 0.2488 28.0
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2674 0.2278 24.1
4 Trevor Story 0.2281 0.2631 22.9
5 Pete Alonso 0.2409 0.2724 22.4
6 Jeremy Peña 0.2632 0.3043 22.3
7 Hunter Goodman 0.2394 0.2778 22.2
8 Ramón Laureano 0.2360 0.2812 22.1
9 Shea Langeliers 0.2353 0.2765 21.6
10 Joc Pederson 0.2512 0.1811 21.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Goodman 0.2148 0.2778 35.1
2 Jacob Wilson 0.2446 0.3107 33.3
3 Matt McLain 0.2715 0.2196 31.4
4 Shea Langeliers 0.2208 0.2765 27.8
5 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2695 0.2278 26.9
6 Marcell Ozuna 0.2717 0.2320 24.9
7 Maikel Garcia 0.2471 0.2857 24.1
8 Joc Pederson 0.2570 0.1811 24.0
9 Jake Meyers 0.2280 0.2915 23.3
10 Jose Iglesias 0.2939 0.2288 23.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2766 0.2278 31.1
2 Michael Harris II 0.2889 0.2488 27.2
3 Nick Kurtz 0.2356 0.2905 25.7
4 Daylen Lile 0.2274 0.2991 24.4
5 Michael Conforto 0.2443 0.1986 23.3
6 Sal Frelick 0.2473 0.2879 22.8
7 Marcell Ozuna 0.2681 0.2320 22.7
8 Joc Pederson 0.2522 0.1811 22.4
9 Jake Mangum 0.2418 0.2963 22.3
10 Trevor Story 0.2273 0.2631 22.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.2675 0.3309 38.8
2 Shea Langeliers 0.2186 0.2765 27.0
3 Michael Harris II 0.2823 0.2488 25.5
4 Ramón Laureano 0.2249 0.2812 24.4
5 Pete Alonso 0.2319 0.2724 24.3
6 Trevor Story 0.2199 0.2631 24.2
7 Matt McLain 0.2532 0.2196 23.0
8 Jorge Polanco 0.2159 0.2654 22.7
9 Michael Conforto 0.2382 0.1986 22.3
10 Joc Pederson 0.2466 0.1811 21.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.2758 0.3309 37.4
2 Michael Harris II 0.2895 0.2488 26.0
3 Trevor Story 0.2246 0.2631 25.2
4 Ramón Laureano 0.2318 0.2812 24.2
5 Pete Alonso 0.2389 0.2724 23.8
6 Shea Langeliers 0.2313 0.2765 23.7
7 Daylen Lile 0.2323 0.2991 23.4
8 Matt McLain 0.2599 0.2196 23.2
9 Jorge Polanco 0.2220 0.2654 22.8
10 Hunter Goodman 0.2390 0.2778 22.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2120 0.2905 35.5
2 Aaron Judge 0.2858 0.3309 26.6
3 Matt McLain 0.2534 0.2196 23.0
4 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2594 0.2278 22.9
5 Michael Conforto 0.2384 0.1986 22.3
6 Hunter Goodman 0.2343 0.2778 21.7
7 Joc Pederson 0.2462 0.1811 21.7
8 Ramón Laureano 0.2309 0.2812 21.6
9 Romy Gonzalez 0.2370 0.3048 21.1
10 Michael Harris II 0.2756 0.2488 21.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2121 0.2905 35.4
2 Aaron Judge 0.2808 0.3309 30.0
3 Matt McLain 0.2554 0.2196 24.1
4 Taylor Ward 0.2556 0.2280 22.3
5 Shea Langeliers 0.2299 0.2765 21.3
6 Sal Frelick 0.2462 0.2879 21.2
7 Ramón Laureano 0.2325 0.2812 20.9
8 Jake Mangum 0.2420 0.2963 20.7
9 Bo Bichette 0.2725 0.3110 20.5
10 Michael Conforto 0.2338 0.1986 20.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.2805 0.3309 34.2
2 Michael Harris II 0.2937 0.2488 28.8
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2743 0.2278 28.4
4 Jeremy Peña 0.2618 0.3043 23.0
5 Daylen Lile 0.2337 0.2991 22.9
6 Pete Alonso 0.2419 0.2724 21.6
7 Colton Cowser 0.2541 0.1957 21.0
8 Joc Pederson 0.2493 0.1811 20.9
9 Andrés Giménez 0.2661 0.2097 20.8
10 Shea Langeliers 0.2378 0.2765 20.2

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Corbin Burnes 265
756
(490.8)
762
(496.8)
775
(510.0)
714
(449.0)
774
(509.0)
741
(476.3)
793
(527.7)
768
(503.2)
739
(474.0)
Pablo López 312
763
(450.6)
763
(451.2)
793
(481.0)
716
(404.0)
793
(481.0)
735
(423.3)
798
(485.6)
770
(457.7)
721
(409.0)
Cole Ragans 257
731
(473.6)
729
(471.8)
748
(491.0)
647
(390.0)
749
(492.0)
739
(482.3)
763
(506.2)
735
(477.9)
656
(399.0)
Tanner Houck 203
722
(519.1)
723
(519.8)
772
(569.0)
650
(447.0)
756
(553.0)
705
(501.6)
778
(574.6)
726
(522.8)
651
(448.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Quinn Priester 171 653 481.7
2 Brad Lord 91 546 454.9
3 Cade Horton 24 476 452.3
4 Adrian Houser 77 518 440.8
5 Bryce Elder 250 679 428.7
6 Noah Cameron 142 556 413.6
7 Chad Patrick 99 503 404.0
8 Michael King 706 308 398.0
9 Martín Pérez 625 228 397.1
10 Eric Lauer 33 426 393.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Quinn Priester 244 653 409.3
2 Michael King 714 308 406.1
3 Adrian Houser 122 518 395.7
4 Blake Snell 646 254 391.9
5 Cade Horton 84 476 391.7
6 Brad Lord 163 546 383.3
7 Bryce Elder 303 679 376.2
8 Zach Eflin 682 309 373.4
9 Martín Pérez 599 228 371.5
10 Sean Manaea 631 263 367.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Quinn Priester 129 653 524.0
2 Adrian Houser 74 518 444.0
3 Michael King 748 308 440.0
4 Blake Snell 666 254 412.0
5 Sean Manaea 671 263 408.0
6 Zach Eflin 717 309 408.0
7 Tobias Myers 603 220 383.0
8 Bryce Elder 298 679 381.0
9 Cade Horton 100 476 376.0
10 Bowden Francis 662 288 374.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 100 675 575.0
2 Shane Smith 100 616 516.0
3 Noah Cameron 100 556 456.0
4 Brad Lord 100 546 446.0
5 Clay Holmes 263 708 445.0
6 Robbie Ray 314 755 441.0
7 Sandy Alcantara 321 745 424.0
8 Will Warren 291 711 420.0
9 Jeffrey Springs 302 713 411.0
10 Chad Patrick 100 503 403.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 100 675 575.0
2 Logan Allen 147 676 529.0
3 Brad Lord 20 546 526.1
4 Quinn Priester 128 653 525.0
5 Adrian Houser 18 518 500.3
6 Bryce Elder 199 679 480.0
7 Will Warren 235 711 476.0
8 Noah Cameron 89 556 467.0
9 Cade Horton 16 476 459.7
10 Michael King 748 308 440.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brad Lord 56 546 489.9
2 Bryce Elder 198 679 480.5
3 Adrian Houser 63 518 454.6
4 Bowden Francis 721 288 433.2
5 Quinn Priester 222 653 431.4
6 Noah Cameron 136 556 420.3
7 Chad Patrick 102 503 400.8
8 Blake Snell 644 254 390.2
9 Janson Junk 65 447 382.2
10 Jackson Jobe 599 218 381.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Quinn Priester 177 653 476.5
2 Cade Horton 4 476 471.7
3 Blake Snell 712 254 457.5
4 Michael King 753 308 444.7
5 Adrian Houser 73 518 444.7
6 Sean Manaea 689 263 425.6
7 Eric Lauer 4 426 421.7
8 Zach Eflin 730 309 421.3
9 Tobias Myers 621 220 400.9
10 Brandon Woodruff 647 257 390.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Quinn Priester 100 653 553.0
2 Matthew Liberatore 100 648 548.0
3 Shane Smith 100 616 516.0
4 Dustin May 100 584 484.0
5 Noah Cameron 100 556 456.0
6 Brad Lord 100 546 446.0
7 Slade Cecconi 100 545 445.0
8 Adrian Houser 76 518 441.5
9 Taijuan Walker 100 538 438.0
10 Bryce Elder 248 679 430.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 201 669 468.0
2 Matthew Boyd 250 718 468.0
3 Dustin May 152 584 432.0
4 Jeffrey Springs 320 713 393.0
5 Dietrich Enns 589 200 389.0
6 Reid Detmers 641 266 375.0
7 Michael King 681 308 373.0
8 Tobias Myers 569 220 349.0
9 Aaron Nola 753 404 349.0
10 Chris Paddack 325 670 345.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Zack Wheeler 0.3333
0.2660
(40.3)
0.2615
(41.4)
0.2591
(43.0)
0.2669
(41.8)
0.2673
(38.5)
0.2610
(42.1)
0.2624
(41.4)
0.2566
(44.1)
0.2556
(44.3)
Ronny Henriquez 0.3234
0.1984
(38.3)
0.2000
(37.1)
0.1934
(39.2)
0.2188
(33.2)
0.2020
(36.7)
0.1967
(38.3)
0.1981
(37.9)
0.2122
(33.3)
0.1927
(39.0)
Bailey Ober 0.1923
0.2536
(37.3)
0.2480
(35.4)
0.2478
(35.1)
0.2526
(34.6)
0.2409
(30.4)
0.2461
(33.7)
0.2456
(33.4)
0.2525
(38.4)
0.2496
(37.0)
Logan Gilbert 0.3234
0.2579
(35.8)
0.2563
(35.3)
0.2541
(36.6)
0.2500
(41.9)
0.2572
(35.3)
0.2563
(35.7)
0.2574
(35.1)
0.2585
(34.0)
0.2507
(37.8)
Erick Fedde 0.1332
0.2065
(44.8)
0.2015
(43.2)
0.2031
(44.0)
0.2087
(44.0)
0.1898
(35.4)
0.2009
(42.4)
0.2011
(42.5)
0.2044
(45.2)
0.2062
(46.7)
Cristopher Sánchez 0.2627
0.2077
(45.6)
0.2075
(43.7)
0.2083
(43.3)
0.2156
(42.0)
0.2116
(41.1)
0.2097
(42.5)
0.2107
(41.7)
0.1990
(50.3)
0.2065
(43.7)
Mitchell Parker 0.1421
0.2082
(46.9)
0.2021
(44.2)
0.2025
(44.4)
0.2143
(48.8)
0.1934
(37.3)
0.2025
(44.0)
0.2044
(45.4)
0.2014
(44.0)
0.2025
(45.2)
Logan Webb 0.2617
0.2069
(48.1)
0.2063
(46.5)
0.2087
(44.7)
0.2157
(43.6)
0.2107
(43.5)
0.2061
(47.3)
0.2081
(45.6)
0.1973
(53.9)
0.2087
(43.6)
Spencer Strider 0.2430
0.3294
(45.8)
0.3282
(46.5)
0.3308
(47.7)
0.3183
(37.9)
0.3288
(46.3)
0.3257
(44.7)
0.3257
(44.7)
0.3231
(43.9)
0.3366
(51.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2426 0.1917 38.0
2 Brendon Little 0.1949 0.3085 33.9
3 Jeffrey Springs 0.2418 0.1935 33.4
4 Andrew Heaney 0.2238 0.1604 33.2
5 Tanner Bibee 0.2571 0.2126 32.8
6 J.T. Ginn 0.1721 0.2526 32.1
7 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2681 0.2254 31.8
8 Jesús Luzardo 0.2459 0.2850 30.7
9 Jacob deGrom 0.3235 0.2765 30.5
10 Matt Svanson 0.1656 0.2906 29.6

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.3303 0.2765 36.6
2 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2351 0.1917 34.1
3 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2658 0.2254 32.0
4 Brendon Little 0.2018 0.3085 31.2
5 Chris Paddack 0.2120 0.1672 30.7
6 Jesús Luzardo 0.2436 0.2850 30.5
7 Matt Svanson 0.1593 0.2906 30.5
8 J.T. Ginn 0.1738 0.2526 30.5
9 Andrew Heaney 0.2156 0.1604 30.1
10 Germán Márquez 0.1897 0.1404 29.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.3398 0.2765 42.8
2 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2373 0.1917 35.6
3 Chris Paddack 0.2188 0.1672 35.1
4 Brendon Little 0.1967 0.3085 32.7
5 Germán Márquez 0.1927 0.1404 31.4
6 J.T. Ginn 0.1720 0.2526 31.3
7 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2648 0.2254 31.0
8 Bryan Woo 0.2299 0.2709 29.4
9 Matt Svanson 0.1649 0.2906 29.2
10 Cole Ragans 0.2674 0.3813 29.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2260 0.1570 43.2
2 Antonio Senzatela 0.1916 0.1181 42.4
3 Clay Holmes 0.2433 0.1822 39.8
4 Andrew Heaney 0.2379 0.1604 38.9
5 Germán Márquez 0.2096 0.1404 37.9
6 Jeffrey Springs 0.2517 0.1935 37.9
7 Mason Miller 0.2950 0.4444 36.1
8 Bryan Woo 0.2274 0.2709 35.4
9 Tarik Skubal 0.2801 0.3222 35.2
10 Jake Irvin 0.2054 0.1576 33.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2260 0.1570 46.7
2 Matt Svanson 0.1444 0.2906 34.2
3 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2338 0.1917 32.4
4 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2666 0.2254 31.9
5 J.T. Ginn 0.1713 0.2526 31.8
6 Andrew Heaney 0.2172 0.1604 30.5
7 Luis Severino 0.2189 0.1759 30.5
8 Germán Márquez 0.1915 0.1404 30.3
9 Jake Irvin 0.1957 0.1576 30.2
10 Clay Holmes 0.2241 0.1822 29.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.3440 0.2765 45.4
2 Jesús Luzardo 0.2389 0.2850 34.7
3 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2695 0.2254 34.3
4 Bryan Woo 0.2261 0.2709 32.5
5 J.T. Ginn 0.1704 0.2526 32.1
6 Chris Paddack 0.2128 0.1672 30.8
7 Brendon Little 0.2041 0.3085 30.7
8 Jake Irvin 0.1962 0.1576 30.6
9 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2310 0.1917 30.4
10 Phil Maton 0.2062 0.3266 29.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.3419 0.2765 43.9
2 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2691 0.2254 33.9
3 Chris Paddack 0.2166 0.1672 33.3
4 J.T. Ginn 0.1685 0.2526 32.8
5 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2332 0.1917 32.1
6 Bryan Woo 0.2268 0.2709 32.0
7 Brendon Little 0.2007 0.3085 31.7
8 Germán Márquez 0.1936 0.1404 31.6
9 Andrew Heaney 0.2178 0.1604 30.9
10 Jesús Luzardo 0.2441 0.2850 30.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.2347 0.2850 37.1
2 Taijuan Walker 0.2260 0.1599 36.3
3 Bradley Blalock 0.2260 0.0982 35.5
4 Bryan Woo 0.2220 0.2709 34.7
5 Michael McGreevy 0.2260 0.1450 32.9
6 Brendon Little 0.1977 0.3085 32.3
7 Jacob deGrom 0.3234 0.2765 32.2
8 Hunter Brown 0.2394 0.2826 30.5
9 Andrew Heaney 0.2153 0.1604 30.1
10 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2487 0.2939 30.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brad Lord 0.1166 0.1978 43.2
2 Jacob deGrom 0.3383 0.2765 42.7
3 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2406 0.1917 39.1
4 Chris Paddack 0.2215 0.1672 37.8
5 Jeffrey Springs 0.2375 0.1935 32.7
6 Brendon Little 0.1969 0.3085 32.3
7 Germán Márquez 0.1912 0.1404 31.2
8 Matt Svanson 0.1591 0.2906 30.3
9 Cole Ragans 0.2622 0.3813 30.1
10 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2619 0.2254 29.7

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Justin Verlander 0.1379
0.3494
(153.4)
0.3368
(151.7)
0.3333
(151.4)
0.2667
(126.9)
0.3794
(189.2)
0.2973
(118.5)
0.3258
(145.6)
0.3391
(144.2)
0.3333
(129.2)
Tyler Anderson 0.0769
0.3122
(153.1)
0.3140
(160.1)
0.3103
(159.8)
0.2308
(129.9)
0.2962
(157.9)
0.3474
(173.8)
0.3018
(154.0)
0.3188
(154.9)
0.3077
(138.1)
Quinn Priester 0.4483
0.0928
(218.9)
0.0860
(216.9)
0.0667
(227.4)
0.1724
(139.0)
0.0528
(229.4)
0.1469
(184.0)
0.0515
(238.1)
0.2347
(128.5)
0.2692
(117.0)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0919 0.5000 164.0
2 Cade Horton 0.1187 0.4783 161.5
3 Noah Cameron 0.0737 0.3750 156.3
4 Casey Mize 0.2489 0.5000 144.7
5 Adrian Houser 0.0866 0.3810 142.0
6 Erick Fedde 0.3317 0.1250 141.4
7 Mitch Keller 0.3459 0.1875 133.8
8 Garrett Crochet 0.3816 0.5625 130.7
9 Michael McGreevy 0.1250 0.4706 130.1
10 Dylan Cease 0.4000 0.2500 123.0

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0999 0.5000 156.5
2 Noah Cameron 0.0687 0.3750 153.5
3 Erick Fedde 0.3319 0.1250 147.8
4 Cade Horton 0.1432 0.4783 145.1
5 Mitch Keller 0.3404 0.1875 137.2
6 Adrian Houser 0.0964 0.3810 131.7
7 Michael McGreevy 0.1137 0.4706 130.7
8 Jesús Luzardo 0.2685 0.4688 128.9
9 MacKenzie Gore 0.3237 0.1667 127.3
10 Dylan Cease 0.3956 0.2500 126.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0588 0.5000 172.5
2 Noah Cameron 0.0526 0.3750 160.7
3 Colin Rea 0.0930 0.3438 143.9
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.2500 0.4688 140.5
5 Erick Fedde 0.3103 0.1250 136.2
6 Michael McGreevy 0.1087 0.4706 131.4
7 Casey Mize 0.2609 0.5000 129.0
8 MacKenzie Gore 0.3226 0.1667 128.7
9 Adrian Houser 0.1000 0.3810 128.3
10 Matthew Boyd 0.2424 0.4516 126.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.1333 0.5625 298.1
2 Casey Mize 0.1081 0.5000 206.2
3 Max Fried 0.2895 0.5938 193.3
4 Bryan Woo 0.2105 0.5000 165.6
5 Carlos Rodón 0.2750 0.5455 163.7
6 Clay Holmes 0.0800 0.3636 156.2
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.2000 0.4688 156.0
8 Matthew Boyd 0.1724 0.4516 155.3
9 Freddy Peralta 0.2381 0.5152 154.8
10 Trevor Rogers 0.1053 0.5000 140.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.1528 0.4688 206.0
2 Cade Horton 0.0528 0.4783 181.5
3 Paul Skenes 0.5093 0.3125 176.7
4 Trevor Rogers 0.0452 0.5000 173.7
5 Mitch Keller 0.3742 0.1875 173.0
6 Dylan Cease 0.4357 0.2500 166.1
7 MacKenzie Gore 0.3627 0.1667 163.4
8 Yusei Kikuchi 0.3773 0.2121 161.7
9 Erick Fedde 0.3359 0.1250 159.0
10 Noah Cameron 0.0528 0.3750 154.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.3236 0.5625 178.4
2 Noah Cameron 0.0545 0.3750 167.2
3 Erick Fedde 0.3571 0.1250 156.9
4 Trevor Rogers 0.1374 0.5000 145.0
5 Max Fried 0.3973 0.5938 141.6
6 Adrian Houser 0.0886 0.3810 141.3
7 Carlos Rodón 0.3544 0.5455 135.2
8 Mitch Keller 0.3356 0.1875 125.7
9 Casey Mize 0.2800 0.5000 125.6
10 Andre Pallante 0.3475 0.1935 124.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0775 0.5000 165.1
2 Noah Cameron 0.0642 0.3750 154.9
3 Erick Fedde 0.3334 0.1250 149.8
4 MacKenzie Gore 0.3466 0.1667 144.2
5 Colin Rea 0.0968 0.3438 142.2
6 Jesús Luzardo 0.2496 0.4688 141.8
7 Yusei Kikuchi 0.3579 0.2121 137.3
8 Adrian Houser 0.0894 0.3810 134.4
9 Michael McGreevy 0.1027 0.4706 134.3
10 Mitch Keller 0.3277 0.1875 129.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.3468 0.5455 143.5
2 Adrian Houser 0.0898 0.3810 142.1
3 Garrett Crochet 0.3720 0.5625 141.5
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.2687 0.4688 138.9
5 Erick Fedde 0.3267 0.1250 136.1
6 Tanner Gordon 0.0322 0.4000 118.3
7 Casey Mize 0.2966 0.5000 117.0
8 Kris Bubic 0.1393 0.4000 116.1
9 Clay Holmes 0.1844 0.3636 115.1
10 Dylan Cease 0.3920 0.2500 114.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Casey Mize 0.1739 0.5000 204.6
2 Bryan Woo 0.2692 0.5000 168.8
3 Cade Horton 0.1667 0.4783 148.4
4 Freddy Peralta 0.3448 0.5152 123.3
5 Garrett Crochet 0.4138 0.5625 121.2
6 Max Fried 0.4444 0.5938 119.7
7 Kris Bubic 0.1515 0.4000 118.4
8 Mitch Keller 0.3448 0.1875 117.7
9 Erick Fedde 0.3077 0.1250 113.7
10 Carlos Rodón 0.4074 0.5455 109.1

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Will Vest 0.3594
0.0357
(90.2)
0.0367
(89.2)
0.0441
(87.1)
0.0400
(95.8)
0.0294
(90.9)
0.0309
(90.0)
0.0436
(87.1)
0.0328
(91.6)
0.0476
(86.9)
Andrés Muñoz 0.5938
0.4619
(31.9)
0.4308
(39.2)
0.4219
(41.4)
0.2128
(101.4)
0.4062
(45.1)
0.3858
(49.8)
0.4147
(43.2)
0.4661
(31.4)
0.4500
(35.0)
Dennis Santana 0.2286
0.0793
(38.7)
0.0512
(45.6)
0.0308
(51.1)
0.0465
(54.0)
0.0303
(50.8)
0.0463
(46.0)
0.0349
(49.8)
0.0826
(38.3)
0.0364
(50.3)
Emilio Pagán 0.4571
0.0596
(105.7)
0.0575
(105.6)
0.0769
(100.3)
0.0541
(113.7)
0.0469
(108.1)
0.0000
(120.3)
0.0825
(98.7)
0.0516
(108.4)
0.1042
(93.7)
Daniel Palencia 0.4074
0.0031
(85.6)
0.0006
(85.6)
0.0000
(85.7)
0.0476
(81.2)
0.0000
(85.4)
0.0000
(85.1)
0.0000
(85.6)
0.0295
(80.4)
0.0000
(86.3)
Carlos Estévez 0.6269
0.3172
(81.7)
0.3225
(79.5)
0.3438
(73.8)
0.3111
(89.8)
0.3281
(77.7)
0.2315
(103.2)
0.3363
(75.7)
0.3155
(82.7)
0.4000
(59.5)
Cade Smith 0.2105
0.0271
(53.2)
0.0254
(53.0)
0.0294
(51.7)
0.0222
(61.9)
0.0294
(51.3)
0.0000
(59.6)
0.0336
(50.4)
0.0311
(52.6)
0.0317
(51.9)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Williams 0.5531 0.2687 75.2
2 Edwin Uceta 0.1770 0.0143 54.2
3 Lucas Erceg 0.2214 0.0328 48.5
4 Tyler Kinley 0.1885 0.0411 47.3
5 Robert Suarez 0.3919 0.5714 46.7
6 Tyler Holton 0.1369 0.0000 44.6
7 Ryan Helsley 0.5289 0.3621 43.6
8 Aroldis Chapman 0.3127 0.4776 36.2
9 Ryan Walker 0.3760 0.2500 35.1
10 Griffin Jax 0.1117 0.0000 33.3

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Williams 0.5422 0.2687 73.1
2 Tyler Kinley 0.2132 0.0411 55.7
3 Ryan Helsley 0.5348 0.3621 45.7
4 Aroldis Chapman 0.2758 0.4776 44.0
5 Edwin Uceta 0.1303 0.0143 40.0
6 Robert Suarez 0.4184 0.5714 38.8
7 Ryan Walker 0.3841 0.2500 38.0
8 Lucas Erceg 0.1745 0.0328 37.4
9 Tyler Holton 0.1065 0.0000 35.9
10 Griffin Jax 0.1100 0.0000 33.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Kinley 0.2656 0.0411 71.8
2 Devin Williams 0.4921 0.2687 60.1
3 Ryan Walker 0.4118 0.2500 45.3
4 Ryan Helsley 0.5303 0.3621 44.6
5 Robert Suarez 0.4000 0.5714 43.8
6 Aroldis Chapman 0.3016 0.4776 38.1
7 Tyler Holton 0.1111 0.0000 37.4
8 Griffin Jax 0.1143 0.0000 34.8
9 Shawn Armstrong 0.0000 0.1268 33.5
10 Calvin Faucher 0.3492 0.2308 32.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Clay Holmes 0.3200 0.0000 213.8
2 Jeff Hoffman 0.0833 0.4648 114.7
3 Robert Suarez 0.2727 0.5714 85.2
4 Aroldis Chapman 0.1429 0.4776 80.4
5 Edwin Díaz 0.2703 0.4516 51.4
6 Jhoan Duran 0.2889 0.4444 49.8
7 Ryan Walker 0.0943 0.2500 46.2
8 Tanner Scott 0.2037 0.3770 45.6
9 José A. Ferrer 0.0323 0.1528 44.9
10 Calvin Faucher 0.0789 0.2308 43.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Kinley 0.2812 0.0411 77.1
2 Aroldis Chapman 0.1905 0.4776 63.2
3 Devin Williams 0.4921 0.2687 60.5
4 Ryan Walker 0.4118 0.2500 45.7
5 Ryan Helsley 0.5303 0.3621 44.9
6 Edwin Uceta 0.1385 0.0143 43.1
7 Luke Jackson 0.0000 0.1731 35.7
8 Lucas Erceg 0.1642 0.0328 35.2
9 Griffin Jax 0.1143 0.0000 35.2
10 Robert Suarez 0.4308 0.5714 35.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Williams 0.5008 0.2687 63.2
2 Aroldis Chapman 0.2315 0.4776 53.4
3 Robert Suarez 0.3858 0.5714 46.8
4 Jeff Hoffman 0.3086 0.4648 41.4
5 David Bednar 0.2504 0.4219 40.1
6 Camilo Doval 0.0772 0.2319 39.7
7 Ryan Helsley 0.5008 0.3621 37.9
8 Kenley Jansen 0.3086 0.4677 34.5
9 Shawn Armstrong 0.0000 0.1268 32.7
10 Mike Vasil 0.0000 0.0851 31.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Kinley 0.2675 0.0411 72.5
2 Devin Williams 0.4877 0.2687 59.1
3 Ryan Walker 0.4163 0.2500 46.7
4 Robert Suarez 0.3949 0.5714 45.0
5 Ryan Helsley 0.5309 0.3621 44.8
6 Aroldis Chapman 0.2938 0.4776 39.8
7 Tyler Holton 0.1099 0.0000 37.1
8 Griffin Jax 0.1150 0.0000 35.1
9 Calvin Faucher 0.3539 0.2308 33.7
10 Shawn Armstrong 0.0000 0.1268 33.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Williams 0.5476 0.2687 73.3
2 Edwin Uceta 0.1745 0.0143 52.7
3 Lucas Erceg 0.2270 0.0328 49.4
4 Tyler Kinley 0.1868 0.0411 46.1
5 Robert Suarez 0.4065 0.5714 43.3
6 Aroldis Chapman 0.2871 0.4776 42.5
7 Ryan Helsley 0.5247 0.3621 42.0
8 Tyler Holton 0.1196 0.0000 38.6
9 Shawn Armstrong 0.0000 0.1268 34.9
10 Mike Vasil 0.0000 0.0851 34.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Williams 0.6596 0.2687 102.7
2 Tyler Kinley 0.3269 0.0411 89.8
3 Ryan Helsley 0.5932 0.3621 59.7
4 Calvin Faucher 0.4583 0.2308 59.5
5 Edwin Díaz 0.6545 0.4516 53.8
6 Ryan Walker 0.4242 0.2500 47.9
7 Graham Ashcraft 0.1579 0.0000 46.5
8 Raisel Iglesias 0.5690 0.4143 42.7
9 Lucas Erceg 0.1923 0.0328 41.2
10 Edwin Uceta 0.1364 0.0143 41.0

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Jordan Hicks 6.9505
4.1277
(922.7)
4.1279
(928.1)
4.0667
(928.7)
4.0397
(934.7)
3.8574
(975.7)
4.4201
(863.8)
4.0612
(927.6)
4.1951
(934.6)
4.1039
(925.5)
Jack Kochanowicz 6.8108
4.6830
(1148.8)
4.7365
(1130.2)
4.7812
(1077.0)
4.0780
(1433.0)
4.6859
(1095.2)
4.7040
(1191.7)
4.6477
(1140.7)
4.7912
(1147.1)
4.9079
(1026.0)
Jake Irvin 5.7000
4.4495
(1075.4)
4.5068
(1043.8)
4.4724
(1024.3)
4.3679
(1100.4)
4.3426
(1079.4)
4.5703
(1062.7)
4.3246
(1133.5)
4.7502
(921.3)
4.6065
(940.0)
Ben Brown 5.9248
3.6024
(1150.8)
3.6901
(1117.6)
3.6509
(1108.2)
3.9669
(955.3)
3.4896
(1156.1)
3.9529
(1034.8)
3.6833
(1088.6)
3.9541
(1034.4)
3.7257
(1085.6)
Nathan Eovaldi 1.7308
3.8925
(1014.7)
3.9706
(1044.9)
4.0291
(1103.3)
3.8432
(1015.0)
3.8348
(1036.6)
3.8807
(956.9)
3.7878
(988.1)
4.1801
(1105.3)
4.2500
(1199.5)
Bradley Blalock 9.3580
5.3101
(1145.0)
5.2438
(1168.0)
5.1429
(1179.5)
4.6250
(1319.7)
5.7773
(988.6)
4.8600
(1297.6)
5.4363
(1096.3)
3.9541
(1546.8)
4.8462
(1268.5)
Sandy Alcantara 5.3588
3.7290
(1300.5)
3.7180
(1321.6)
3.6000
(1365.4)
3.6829
(1297.8)
3.7161
(1234.4)
3.9396
(1221.7)
3.8058
(1205.3)
3.7001
(1400.3)
3.4242
(1516.4)
Germán Márquez 6.6966
4.8593
(1154.3)
4.7917
(1204.4)
4.7059
(1220.2)
4.5141
(1328.9)
4.9129
(1062.5)
4.2806
(1558.2)
4.7443
(1192.1)
5.3397
(932.5)
4.6341
(1278.5)

Individual Misses for ERA

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitchell Parker 4.2866 5.6842 1097.3
2 Charlie Morton 4.3310 5.8310 1056.8
3 Trevor Rogers 4.3799 1.8055 1039.9
4 Andrew Abbott 4.4951 2.8677 1033.8
5 Andre Pallante 3.9913 5.3115 1026.8
6 Brandon Pfaadt 4.0309 5.2472 1021.8
7 Cade Horton 4.8365 2.6695 976.4
8 Antonio Senzatela 5.2102 6.6462 959.0
9 Erick Fedde 4.0857 5.4894 946.7
10 Zac Gallen 3.7879 4.8281 939.9

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 4.5745 2.8677 1076.4
2 Brandon Pfaadt 4.0178 5.2472 1045.0
3 Charlie Morton 4.3814 5.8310 1035.1
4 Antonio Senzatela 5.1052 6.6462 1034.6
5 Trevor Rogers 4.3601 1.8055 1024.3
6 Mitchell Parker 4.4271 5.6842 1007.9
7 Andre Pallante 4.0835 5.3115 973.2
8 Zac Gallen 3.8234 4.8281 925.1
9 Aaron Nola 3.9016 6.0106 905.8
10 Hunter Brown 3.7427 2.4281 861.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Pfaadt 3.8654 5.2472 1116.6
2 Antonio Senzatela 4.9209 6.6462 1111.9
3 Andrew Abbott 4.5398 2.8677 1093.1
4 Charlie Morton 4.2968 5.8310 1051.8
5 Mitchell Parker 4.3151 5.6842 1046.3
6 Trevor Rogers 4.3043 1.8055 1025.7
7 Zac Gallen 3.6529 4.8281 1015.6
8 Andre Pallante 3.9925 5.3115 996.0
9 Aaron Nola 3.8298 6.0106 910.9
10 Cristopher Sánchez 3.6429 2.4950 866.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Antonio Senzatela 4.5877 6.6462 1312.9
2 Charlie Morton 4.0641 5.8310 1198.7
3 Trevor Rogers 4.6913 1.8055 1192.7
4 Chase Dollander 3.9541 6.5204 1160.9
5 Hunter Brown 4.0525 2.4281 1136.1
6 Mitchell Parker 4.2422 5.6842 1093.3
7 Zac Gallen 3.5534 4.8281 1090.1
8 Quinn Priester 4.9877 3.3178 1047.3
9 Erick Fedde 3.9104 5.4894 1024.9
10 Jack Leiter 5.4425 3.8571 981.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 4.6446 1.8055 1195.0
2 Brandon Pfaadt 3.7739 5.2472 1140.8
3 Andrew Abbott 4.5084 2.8677 1112.5
4 Charlie Morton 4.2924 5.8310 1015.5
5 Aaron Nola 3.7210 6.0106 930.7
6 Andre Pallante 4.0442 5.3115 916.2
7 Cristopher Sánchez 3.6443 2.4950 916.0
8 Zac Gallen 3.7212 4.8281 911.4
9 Dylan Cease 3.3083 4.5536 909.3
10 Mike Vasil 4.6493 2.4950 905.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Antonio Senzatela 4.6891 6.6462 1345.8
2 Charlie Morton 4.3372 5.8310 1121.2
3 Trevor Rogers 4.4573 1.8055 1028.4
4 Mitchell Parker 4.5692 5.6842 968.3
5 Brandon Pfaadt 4.2055 5.2472 968.2
6 Andrew Abbott 4.4936 2.8677 961.2
7 Chase Dollander 4.6303 6.5204 930.8
8 Angel Chivilli 3.9541 7.0568 913.9
9 Aaron Nola 3.9972 6.0106 902.5
10 Hunter Brown 3.8571 2.4281 881.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 4.6680 2.8677 1187.0
2 Charlie Morton 4.1931 5.8310 1113.6
3 Mitchell Parker 4.2615 5.6842 1078.5
4 Brandon Pfaadt 3.9956 5.2472 1009.7
5 Antonio Senzatela 5.0967 6.6462 997.6
6 Andre Pallante 4.0162 5.3115 972.5
7 Trevor Rogers 4.0246 1.8055 911.3
8 Aaron Nola 3.8474 6.0106 900.1
9 Hunter Brown 3.6989 2.4281 879.1
10 Chris Paddack 4.1527 5.3544 848.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chase Dollander 3.9541 6.5204 1229.2
2 Andrew Abbott 4.8403 2.8677 1198.1
3 Mitchell Parker 4.4886 5.6842 1027.0
4 Andre Pallante 4.1573 5.3115 983.2
5 Cristopher Sánchez 3.8497 2.4950 914.9
6 Bryce Elder 4.1933 5.2964 899.0
7 Hunter Brown 3.8702 2.4281 890.3
8 Ryan Gusto 3.9541 5.6656 875.4
9 Bailey Ober 3.9301 5.1048 870.8
10 Brandon Pfaadt 4.3342 5.2472 869.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Antonio Senzatela 4.7479 6.6462 1235.4
2 Brandon Pfaadt 3.7687 5.2472 1211.3
3 Zac Gallen 3.4508 4.8281 1201.8
4 Andre Pallante 3.9332 5.3115 1057.6
5 Charlie Morton 4.3403 5.8310 1040.9
6 Eduardo Rodriguez 3.6509 5.0151 1016.8
7 Trevor Rogers 4.2985 1.8055 1011.9
8 Andrew Abbott 4.4452 2.8677 1010.0
9 Mitchell Parker 4.3969 5.6842 1006.4
10 Cristopher Sánchez 3.7942 2.4950 967.0

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Jack Kochanowicz 1.7477
1.3649
(206.3)
1.3926
(193.6)
1.4062
(187.9)
1.2540
(256.8)
1.4011
(187.2)
1.4282
(173.2)
1.4226
(183.9)
1.3536
(207.9)
1.3854
(195.7)
Antonio Senzatela 1.8385
1.5089
(216.1)
1.4755
(238.5)
1.4460
(258.2)
1.4243
(260.8)
1.5052
(217.7)
1.4343
(261.4)
1.4599
(255.0)
1.5164
(206.4)
1.4302
(264.5)
Trevor Rogers 0.9027
1.3714
(189.7)
1.3638
(185.3)
1.3478
(177.5)
1.4515
(228.8)
1.3927
(199.2)
1.3681
(188.9)
1.3145
(159.8)
1.2519
(142.6)
1.3731
(190.6)
Hunter Brown 1.0252
1.2510
(150.0)
1.2472
(145.1)
1.2590
(151.9)
1.2946
(190.7)
1.2433
(145.2)
1.2527
(152.1)
1.2557
(143.3)
1.2204
(133.6)
1.2600
(156.7)
Erick Fedde 1.5177
1.2702
(166.8)
1.2938
(153.8)
1.3110
(144.7)
1.2627
(163.7)
1.3275
(130.3)
1.2876
(155.1)
1.3101
(150.5)
1.2468
(176.2)
1.3217
(134.5)
Nathan Eovaldi 0.8538
1.1810
(152.3)
1.2039
(162.3)
1.2093
(163.7)
1.1727
(154.3)
1.2064
(165.5)
1.1829
(153.9)
1.2218
(165.7)
1.2304
(180.9)
1.2014
(162.5)
Eduardo Rodriguez 1.5421
1.2898
(189.1)
1.2965
(186.4)
1.2886
(193.6)
1.2777
(189.0)
1.3254
(163.5)
1.2863
(190.5)
1.3009
(191.0)
1.3127
(167.5)
1.2642
(206.7)
Jorge Alcala 1.7455
1.2221
(139.7)
1.2325
(137.7)
1.2623
(130.7)
1.2029
(141.5)
1.2189
(140.2)
1.2083
(142.9)
1.2829
(127.6)
1.2363
(133.9)
1.2272
(138.3)
Germán Márquez 1.7098
1.4055
(191.7)
1.3986
(197.5)
1.3856
(206.6)
1.3166
(237.0)
1.4024
(192.8)
1.3524
(222.3)
1.4168
(193.2)
1.4523
(159.2)
1.3640
(216.0)

Individual Misses for WHIP

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yusei Kikuchi 1.2130 1.4243 178.7
2 Charlie Morton 1.3344 1.5775 172.1
3 Spencer Strider 1.1207 1.3963 159.4
4 Dustin May 1.1969 1.4207 142.5
5 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.3207 1.8072 138.8
6 Aroldis Chapman 1.3076 0.7011 133.7
7 Shawn Armstrong 1.3016 0.8108 133.7
8 Dylan Cease 1.1632 1.3274 133.1
9 Matt Svanson 1.4666 0.8785 132.9
10 Brad Keller 1.4585 0.9617 131.5

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 1.0892 1.3963 177.9
2 Yusei Kikuchi 1.2291 1.4243 168.4
3 Charlie Morton 1.3482 1.5775 164.9
4 Dustin May 1.1864 1.4207 150.2
5 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.3187 1.8072 140.1
6 Matt Svanson 1.4488 0.8785 128.1
7 Aroldis Chapman 1.2767 0.7011 126.0
8 Shawn Armstrong 1.2767 0.8108 125.8
9 Brad Keller 1.4377 0.9617 125.0
10 Dylan Cease 1.1776 1.3274 124.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 1.0859 1.3963 181.0
2 Charlie Morton 1.3419 1.5775 170.7
3 Dustin May 1.1538 1.4207 170.7
4 Yusei Kikuchi 1.2485 1.4243 155.3
5 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.3056 1.8072 144.4
6 Walker Buehler 1.3151 1.5159 127.8
7 Shawn Armstrong 1.2778 0.8108 125.4
8 Brandon Pfaadt 1.1923 1.3302 125.3
9 Aroldis Chapman 1.2698 0.7011 123.9
10 Bryan Woo 1.1194 0.9268 122.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 1.3285 1.5775 167.9
2 Nick Pivetta 1.2026 0.9853 151.0
3 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.2773 1.8072 147.3
4 Carlos Rodón 1.2360 1.0495 141.0
5 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.2041 0.9904 140.8
6 Shawn Armstrong 1.3083 0.8108 139.1
7 Brad Keller 1.4701 0.9617 138.2
8 Aroldis Chapman 1.3123 0.7011 137.6
9 Ryne Nelson 1.3005 1.0714 137.0
10 Dustin May 1.1963 1.4207 135.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 1.0729 1.3963 184.5
2 Yusei Kikuchi 1.2136 1.4243 177.3
3 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.2519 1.8072 157.4
4 Charlie Morton 1.3702 1.5775 148.0
5 Dustin May 1.1993 1.4207 140.3
6 Matt Svanson 1.4910 0.8785 138.9
7 Dylan Cease 1.1615 1.3274 133.4
8 Brad Keller 1.4635 0.9617 133.3
9 Brandon Pfaadt 1.1802 1.3302 129.6
10 Shawn Armstrong 1.2831 0.8108 128.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 1.0666 1.3963 187.8
2 Yusei Kikuchi 1.2042 1.4243 184.4
3 Charlie Morton 1.3211 1.5775 180.0
4 Bryan Woo 1.1560 0.9268 153.8
5 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.3161 1.8072 139.7
6 Dustin May 1.2032 1.4207 138.0
7 Zack Littell 1.2988 1.1036 133.9
8 Brad Keller 1.4502 0.9617 129.6
9 Matt Svanson 1.4512 0.8785 129.6
10 Ryne Nelson 1.2948 1.0714 126.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yusei Kikuchi 1.1992 1.4243 200.0
2 Charlie Morton 1.3387 1.5775 178.4
3 Spencer Strider 1.0994 1.3963 178.3
4 Bryan Woo 1.1771 0.9268 158.2
5 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.3266 1.8072 141.0
6 Dustin May 1.2205 1.4207 136.7
7 Merrill Kelly 1.3246 1.1141 132.0
8 Dennis Santana 1.3681 0.8673 126.0
9 Dylan Cease 1.1911 1.3274 122.9
10 Nick Pivetta 1.1882 0.9853 121.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bradley Blalock 1.2519 1.8409 165.3
2 Spencer Strider 1.1097 1.3963 160.9
3 Kevin Gausman 1.2773 1.0622 157.5
4 Yusei Kikuchi 1.2404 1.4243 151.2
5 Carlos Rodón 1.2498 1.0495 148.7
6 Merrill Kelly 1.3191 1.1141 144.4
7 Cristopher Sánchez 1.2475 1.0644 138.2
8 Nick Pivetta 1.1883 0.9853 137.8
9 Chase Dollander 1.2519 1.5510 137.2
10 Dennis Santana 1.3776 0.8673 134.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dustin May 1.1141 1.4207 190.6
2 Spencer Strider 1.0660 1.3963 188.7
3 Charlie Morton 1.3329 1.5775 172.9
4 Walker Buehler 1.2419 1.5159 166.0
5 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.2817 1.8072 149.4
6 Brandon Pfaadt 1.1687 1.3302 139.0
7 Shawn Armstrong 1.3020 0.8108 133.9
8 Aroldis Chapman 1.2865 0.7011 129.0
9 Brad Keller 1.4388 0.9617 126.2
10 Dylan Cease 1.1781 1.3274 122.1