2022 Fantasy Projection Evaluation
Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2022, excluding batters with fewer than 300 PA and pitchers with fewer than 200 BF. Limited to 5x5 categories, with playing time (PA/BF) split out from rates.
Summary
Batting Projection Accuracy
Plate Appearances (PA)
Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 568 |
206
(361.8)
|
248
(320.0)
|
100
(468.0)
|
38
(529.7)
|
374
(194.0)
|
Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis González | 1 | 350 | 349.0 |
| 2 | Jorge Soler | 612 | 306 | 306.3 |
| 3 | Luis Rengifo | 216 | 511 | 294.9 |
| 4 | Tim Anderson | 645 | 351 | 294.3 |
| 5 | Brendan Donovan | 183 | 468 | 284.8 |
| 6 | Wander Franco | 617 | 344 | 272.7 |
| 7 | Christopher Morel | 161 | 425 | 263.7 |
| 8 | Thairo Estrada | 284 | 541 | 256.8 |
| 9 | Geraldo Perdomo | 259 | 500 | 241.1 |
| 10 | Jurickson Profar | 418 | 658 | 240.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Kwan | 100 | 638 | 538.0 |
| 2 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 100 | 632 | 532.0 |
| 3 | Julio Rodríguez | 100 | 560 | 460.0 |
| 4 | Jeremy Peña | 100 | 558 | 458.0 |
| 5 | MJ Melendez | 100 | 534 | 434.0 |
| 6 | Jose F Miranda | 100 | 483 | 383.0 |
| 7 | Adley Rutschman | 100 | 470 | 370.0 |
| 8 | Brendan Donovan | 100 | 468 | 368.0 |
| 9 | Bryson Stott | 100 | 466 | 366.0 |
| 10 | Seiya Suzuki | 100 | 446 | 346.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Hernández | 100 | 617 | 517.0 |
| 2 | Luis Rengifo | 60 | 511 | 451.0 |
| 3 | Josh Donaldson | 100 | 546 | 446.0 |
| 4 | Brendan Donovan | 52 | 468 | 416.0 |
| 5 | Nelson Cruz | 100 | 507 | 407.0 |
| 6 | Christopher Morel | 24 | 425 | 401.0 |
| 7 | Owen Miller | 93 | 472 | 379.0 |
| 8 | MJ Melendez | 176 | 534 | 358.0 |
| 9 | Jack Suwinski | 24 | 372 | 348.0 |
| 10 | Harold Ramírez | 91 | 435 | 344.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Donovan | 20 | 468 | 448.3 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 1 | 441 | 440.0 |
| 3 | Christopher Morel | 1 | 425 | 424.0 |
| 4 | Luis Rengifo | 103 | 511 | 407.7 |
| 5 | Oscar Gonzalez | 1 | 382 | 381.0 |
| 6 | Geraldo Perdomo | 123 | 500 | 377.2 |
| 7 | Jack Suwinski | 1 | 372 | 371.0 |
| 8 | Luis González | 1 | 350 | 349.0 |
| 9 | William Contreras | 30 | 376 | 346.3 |
| 10 | Jorge Soler | 649 | 306 | 342.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorge Soler | 577 | 306 | 271.0 |
| 2 | Brandon Nimmo | 413 | 673 | 260.0 |
| 3 | Kevin Newman | 566 | 309 | 257.0 |
| 4 | Luis González | 100 | 350 | 250.0 |
| 5 | Alejandro Kirk | 301 | 541 | 240.0 |
| 6 | Nolan Gorman | 548 | 313 | 235.0 |
| 7 | Christian Bethancourt | 100 | 333 | 233.0 |
| 8 | Leody Taveras | 573 | 341 | 232.0 |
| 9 | Tim Anderson | 581 | 351 | 230.0 |
| 10 | Sean Murphy | 386 | 612 | 226.0 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Happ | 0.0397 |
0.0810
(19.7)
|
0.0762
(17.4)
|
0.0797
(18.4)
|
0.0807
(18.9)
|
0.0828
(21.9)
|
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.0874 |
0.0659
(17.6)
|
0.0563
(22.2)
|
0.0693
(16.1)
|
0.0689
(16.4)
|
0.0594
(20.2)
|
| Cal Raleigh | 0.1067 |
0.0601
(23.8)
|
0.0391
(31.9)
|
0.0609
(23.7)
|
0.0618
(23.4)
|
0.0576
(24.1)
|
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.0200 |
0.0850
(20.5)
|
0.0805
(19.2)
|
0.0854
(20.4)
|
0.0829
(19.3)
|
0.0868
(21.8)
|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 0.0134 |
0.0601
(17.8)
|
0.0595
(18.1)
|
0.0610
(17.9)
|
0.0608
(17.7)
|
0.0585
(17.8)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.1535 |
0.1032
(42.4)
|
0.0929
(48.7)
|
0.1035
(42.6)
|
0.1023
(43.6)
|
0.1037
(40.8)
|
| Christian Walker | 0.0784 |
0.0556
(22.3)
|
0.0512
(24.4)
|
0.0573
(21.6)
|
0.0580
(21.3)
|
0.0514
(24.0)
|
| José Abreu | 0.0303 |
0.0697
(19.6)
|
0.0703
(20.8)
|
0.0730
(21.4)
|
0.0722
(20.7)
|
0.0641
(16.9)
|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.0436 |
0.1047
(26.9)
|
0.0924
(21.0)
|
0.1031
(25.7)
|
0.1039
(26.0)
|
0.1070
(29.1)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.0822 |
0.0652
(18.0)
|
0.0649
(17.3)
|
0.0672
(17.0)
|
0.0680
(16.7)
|
0.0602
(20.1)
|
| Byron Buxton | 0.1244 |
0.0817
(20.4)
|
0.0815
(20.0)
|
0.0799
(21.3)
|
0.0800
(21.4)
|
0.0851
(18.4)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0871 | 0.0299 | 23.6 |
| 2 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1060 | 0.0493 | 21.8 |
| 3 | Mike Trout | 0.1058 | 0.1333 | 19.0 |
| 4 | Michael Harris II | 0.0311 | 0.0617 | 18.2 |
| 5 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0550 | 0.0763 | 17.9 |
| 6 | Brandon Drury | 0.0503 | 0.0707 | 17.6 |
| 7 | Elvis Andrus | 0.0188 | 0.0384 | 17.4 |
| 8 | Albert Pujols | 0.0543 | 0.0930 | 17.3 |
| 9 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.0950 | 0.0608 | 16.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0895 | 0.0299 | 25.5 |
| 2 | Kyle Schwarber | 0.0935 | 0.1214 | 24.9 |
| 3 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0453 | 0.0763 | 22.6 |
| 4 | Mike Trout | 0.1011 | 0.1333 | 20.7 |
| 5 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.0822 | 0.1170 | 19.9 |
| 6 | Jack Suwinski | 0.0453 | 0.0892 | 19.8 |
| 7 | Rowdy Tellez | 0.0615 | 0.0852 | 19.8 |
| 8 | Isaac Paredes | 0.0331 | 0.0752 | 19.6 |
| 9 | Brandon Drury | 0.0471 | 0.0707 | 18.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | 0.1023 | 0.1333 | 21.1 |
| 2 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1046 | 0.0493 | 20.8 |
| 3 | Brandon Drury | 0.0453 | 0.0707 | 20.8 |
| 4 | Albert Pujols | 0.0453 | 0.0930 | 20.7 |
| 5 | César Hernández | 0.0453 | 0.0022 | 19.7 |
| 6 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0541 | 0.0763 | 18.7 |
| 7 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.0984 | 0.0608 | 18.6 |
| 8 | Elvis Andrus | 0.0212 | 0.0384 | 16.4 |
| 9 | Josh Bell | 0.0730 | 0.0370 | 16.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0872 | 0.0299 | 23.2 |
| 2 | Mike Trout | 0.1012 | 0.1333 | 21.8 |
| 3 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1043 | 0.0493 | 20.6 |
| 4 | Michael Harris II | 0.0283 | 0.0617 | 19.8 |
| 5 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0540 | 0.0763 | 18.9 |
| 6 | Brandon Drury | 0.0502 | 0.0707 | 18.1 |
| 7 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.0980 | 0.0608 | 18.1 |
| 8 | Albert Pujols | 0.0576 | 0.0930 | 16.5 |
| 9 | Elvis Andrus | 0.0214 | 0.0384 | 16.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0870 | 0.0299 | 24.4 |
| 2 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1093 | 0.0493 | 24.2 |
| 3 | Joey Gallo | 0.1617 | 0.1011 | 21.2 |
| 4 | Elvis Andrus | 0.0139 | 0.0384 | 19.3 |
| 5 | Christian Yelich | 0.0692 | 0.0337 | 17.9 |
| 6 | Albert Pujols | 0.0512 | 0.0930 | 17.8 |
| 7 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1141 | 0.0794 | 17.2 |
| 8 | Isaac Paredes | 0.0402 | 0.0752 | 16.7 |
| 9 | Freddie Freeman | 0.0730 | 0.0406 | 16.6 |
Stolen Base Rate
Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.2177 |
0.1275
(57.1)
|
0.1119
(65.5)
|
0.1217
(60.5)
|
0.1215
(59.8)
|
0.1389
(51.8)
|
| Harrison Bader | 0.2297 |
0.0913
(42.8)
|
0.0928
(41.5)
|
0.0874
(43.9)
|
0.0897
(42.8)
|
0.0971
(42.0)
|
| Jose Altuve | 0.1078 |
0.0461
(36.3)
|
0.0368
(40.3)
|
0.0470
(35.4)
|
0.0464
(35.0)
|
0.0449
(38.9)
|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.0659 |
0.1456
(54.2)
|
0.1395
(51.9)
|
0.1476
(55.9)
|
0.1434
(53.9)
|
0.1458
(52.3)
|
| Jorge Mateo | 0.3646 |
0.1810
(97.0)
|
0.1324
(121.5)
|
0.1683
(103.5)
|
0.1683
(102.8)
|
0.2073
(84.6)
|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.2326 |
0.1481
(52.4)
|
0.0576
(107.9)
|
0.1325
(61.9)
|
0.1342
(60.0)
|
0.1756
(37.0)
|
| Thairo Estrada | 0.1544 |
0.0580
(51.3)
|
0.0615
(47.9)
|
0.0572
(51.4)
|
0.0600
(49.2)
|
0.0568
(53.6)
|
| Jon Berti | 0.3832 |
0.1321
(100.8)
|
0.1304
(100.4)
|
0.1205
(105.3)
|
0.1222
(104.1)
|
0.1529
(93.6)
|
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.1511 |
0.0722
(43.4)
|
0.0763
(39.7)
|
0.0700
(44.3)
|
0.0702
(43.5)
|
0.0763
(42.8)
|
| Marcus Semien | 0.1582 |
0.0715
(61.6)
|
0.0735
(58.3)
|
0.0679
(63.8)
|
0.0679
(62.9)
|
0.0788
(58.6)
|
| Adolis García | 0.1908 |
0.1158
(48.2)
|
0.1058
(53.1)
|
0.1141
(49.0)
|
0.1096
(51.1)
|
0.1238
(45.0)
|
Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Gordon | 0.1652 | 0.0612 | 46.8 |
| 2 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.1016 | 0.1825 | 44.4 |
| 3 | Cody Bellinger | 0.0722 | 0.1443 | 38.8 |
| 4 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.0712 | 0.1408 | 38.1 |
| 5 | Michael A. Taylor | 0.1145 | 0.0333 | 37.7 |
| 6 | Jurickson Profar | 0.0842 | 0.0305 | 36.4 |
| 7 | Kyle Tucker | 0.1162 | 0.1773 | 36.2 |
| 8 | Starling Marte | 0.2060 | 0.1385 | 34.9 |
| 9 | Bo Bichette | 0.1273 | 0.0793 | 34.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0576 | 0.1825 | 67.5 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 0.0576 | 0.2000 | 60.9 |
| 3 | Jake McCarthy | 0.0877 | 0.2473 | 55.0 |
| 4 | Josh Rojas | 0.0661 | 0.1631 | 47.3 |
| 5 | Andrew Velazquez | 0.1346 | 0.2656 | 44.2 |
| 6 | Cedric Mullins | 0.1471 | 0.2112 | 40.2 |
| 7 | Jurickson Profar | 0.0857 | 0.0305 | 39.1 |
| 8 | Kyle Tucker | 0.1092 | 0.1773 | 38.9 |
| 9 | Nico Hoerner | 0.0723 | 0.1515 | 38.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Harris II | 0.0576 | 0.2000 | 61.8 |
| 2 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0802 | 0.1825 | 56.1 |
| 3 | Kyle Tucker | 0.0971 | 0.1773 | 47.5 |
| 4 | Cody Bellinger | 0.0633 | 0.1443 | 43.3 |
| 5 | Josh Rojas | 0.0795 | 0.1631 | 41.6 |
| 6 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.0664 | 0.1408 | 40.5 |
| 7 | Nick Gordon | 0.1485 | 0.0612 | 39.6 |
| 8 | Jurickson Profar | 0.0831 | 0.0305 | 36.1 |
| 9 | Tommy Edman | 0.1488 | 0.2051 | 34.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0795 | 0.1825 | 55.7 |
| 2 | Kyle Tucker | 0.0989 | 0.1773 | 45.7 |
| 3 | Cody Bellinger | 0.0605 | 0.1443 | 44.2 |
| 4 | Michael Harris II | 0.0988 | 0.2000 | 43.1 |
| 5 | Nick Gordon | 0.1491 | 0.0612 | 40.4 |
| 6 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.0666 | 0.1408 | 39.7 |
| 7 | Josh Rojas | 0.0831 | 0.1631 | 39.1 |
| 8 | Jurickson Profar | 0.0831 | 0.0305 | 36.9 |
| 9 | Michael A. Taylor | 0.1047 | 0.0333 | 34.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Gordon | 0.1975 | 0.0612 | 59.7 |
| 2 | Bo Bichette | 0.1543 | 0.0793 | 51.3 |
| 3 | Michael A. Taylor | 0.1354 | 0.0333 | 45.9 |
| 4 | Byron Buxton | 0.2000 | 0.0822 | 44.4 |
| 5 | Starling Marte | 0.2230 | 0.1385 | 42.0 |
| 6 | Nico Hoerner | 0.0769 | 0.1515 | 39.3 |
| 7 | Javier Báez | 0.1441 | 0.0776 | 38.3 |
| 8 | CJ Abrams | 0.2292 | 0.1029 | 37.7 |
| 9 | Kyle Schwarber | 0.0161 | 0.0685 | 36.0 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.0399 |
0.1380
(32.7)
|
0.1372
(32.7)
|
0.1452
(34.1)
|
0.1382
(33.3)
|
0.1306
(30.6)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.1911 |
0.1579
(30.9)
|
0.1483
(37.0)
|
0.1686
(25.7)
|
0.1572
(30.4)
|
0.1478
(36.5)
|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1332 |
0.1884
(23.5)
|
0.1805
(19.7)
|
0.1913
(23.2)
|
0.1851
(22.5)
|
0.1887
(24.7)
|
| Brandon Drury | 0.1532 |
0.1108
(30.4)
|
0.1008
(35.6)
|
0.1183
(28.1)
|
0.1145
(27.5)
|
0.1070
(31.5)
|
| Michael Harris II | 0.1701 |
0.1218
(26.2)
|
0.1183
(27.4)
|
0.1183
(29.2)
|
0.1052
(32.9)
|
0.1385
(18.0)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1742 | 0.1275 | 25.1 |
| 2 | Tommy Edman | 0.1269 | 0.1508 | 22.1 |
| 3 | Juan Soto | 0.1816 | 0.1401 | 20.1 |
| 4 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1434 | 0.1628 | 19.9 |
| 5 | Jesse Winker | 0.1379 | 0.0932 | 18.3 |
| 6 | Dansby Swanson | 0.1271 | 0.1422 | 18.3 |
| 7 | Adolis García | 0.1174 | 0.1339 | 18.2 |
| 8 | Jose Siri | 0.1196 | 0.1631 | 17.8 |
| 9 | Jake McCarthy | 0.1115 | 0.1497 | 17.5 |
| 10 | Luis Arraez | 0.1283 | 0.1459 | 17.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.1183 | 0.1500 | 23.5 |
| 2 | Nick Castellanos | 0.1515 | 0.1004 | 22.8 |
| 3 | Jesse Winker | 0.1432 | 0.0932 | 21.7 |
| 4 | Yonathan Daza | 0.0951 | 0.1373 | 21.4 |
| 5 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1413 | 0.1628 | 20.7 |
| 6 | Miguel Rojas | 0.1172 | 0.0671 | 20.2 |
| 7 | Steven Kwan | 0.1183 | 0.1395 | 20.1 |
| 8 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.1322 | 0.1516 | 20.0 |
| 9 | Joey Wendle | 0.1355 | 0.0728 | 19.4 |
| 10 | Adley Rutschman | 0.1183 | 0.1489 | 19.3 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1792 | 0.1275 | 26.3 |
| 2 | Tommy Edman | 0.1257 | 0.1508 | 24.9 |
| 3 | Adolis García | 0.1135 | 0.1339 | 23.0 |
| 4 | Juan Soto | 0.1859 | 0.1401 | 20.8 |
| 5 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.1278 | 0.1500 | 20.6 |
| 6 | Miguel Cabrera | 0.1183 | 0.0577 | 19.9 |
| 7 | Adley Rutschman | 0.1215 | 0.1489 | 19.7 |
| 8 | Charlie Blackmon | 0.1515 | 0.1040 | 19.1 |
| 9 | Jake McCarthy | 0.1112 | 0.1497 | 18.8 |
| 10 | Matt Olson | 0.1643 | 0.1230 | 18.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy Edman | 0.1231 | 0.1508 | 23.6 |
| 2 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1680 | 0.1275 | 21.7 |
| 3 | Dansby Swanson | 0.1224 | 0.1422 | 20.6 |
| 4 | Jesse Winker | 0.1397 | 0.0932 | 20.1 |
| 5 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.1260 | 0.0769 | 19.9 |
| 6 | Juan Soto | 0.1795 | 0.1401 | 19.7 |
| 7 | Miguel Cabrera | 0.1122 | 0.0577 | 19.3 |
| 8 | Luis Arraez | 0.1239 | 0.1459 | 19.2 |
| 9 | Miguel Rojas | 0.1146 | 0.0671 | 19.2 |
| 10 | Adolis García | 0.1146 | 0.1339 | 19.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1754 | 0.1275 | 27.3 |
| 2 | Jeremy Peña | 0.0894 | 0.1290 | 27.3 |
| 3 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1328 | 0.1628 | 25.6 |
| 4 | Manny Machado | 0.1295 | 0.1553 | 22.6 |
| 5 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.1283 | 0.1516 | 21.8 |
| 6 | Yonathan Daza | 0.0966 | 0.1373 | 20.4 |
| 7 | Juan Soto | 0.1793 | 0.1401 | 19.9 |
| 8 | Nick Castellanos | 0.1443 | 0.1004 | 19.4 |
| 9 | Travis d'Arnaud | 0.1081 | 0.1432 | 18.9 |
| 10 | Kyle Tucker | 0.1562 | 0.1166 | 18.5 |
RBI Rate
Everybody Missed for RBI Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Walsh | 0.0969 |
0.1677
(26.5)
|
0.1551
(22.5)
|
0.1653
(25.4)
|
0.1583
(21.8)
|
0.1796
(32.5)
|
| Connor Joe | 0.0600 |
0.1241
(24.1)
|
0.1377
(32.3)
|
0.1235
(23.8)
|
0.1219
(22.7)
|
0.1270
(26.1)
|
| Willy Adames | 0.1588 |
0.1252
(28.5)
|
0.1151
(32.3)
|
0.1256
(28.2)
|
0.1318
(24.9)
|
0.1182
(32.0)
|
| Juan Soto | 0.0934 |
0.1640
(38.6)
|
0.1510
(32.5)
|
0.1564
(33.5)
|
0.1578
(34.0)
|
0.1778
(48.6)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1767 |
0.1337
(36.1)
|
0.1341
(33.3)
|
0.1324
(36.9)
|
0.1359
(35.2)
|
0.1328
(35.8)
|
| Franmil Reyes | 0.0994 |
0.1717
(28.3)
|
0.1533
(21.5)
|
0.1709
(28.0)
|
0.1649
(24.7)
|
0.1794
(32.6)
|
Individual Misses for RBI Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.1621 | 0.1105 | 26.6 |
| 2 | Josh Bell | 0.1630 | 0.1097 | 26.4 |
| 3 | Aaron Judge | 0.1636 | 0.1882 | 25.8 |
| 4 | Michael Harris II | 0.0995 | 0.1451 | 25.6 |
| 5 | José Ramírez | 0.1604 | 0.1839 | 24.7 |
| 6 | Brandon Drury | 0.1225 | 0.1532 | 24.5 |
| 7 | Christian Yelich | 0.1338 | 0.0849 | 24.4 |
| 8 | Spencer Torkelson | 0.1420 | 0.0693 | 24.3 |
| 9 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1830 | 0.1374 | 23.4 |
| 10 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1498 | 0.0938 | 23.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.1758 | 0.1105 | 38.5 |
| 2 | Aaron Judge | 0.1445 | 0.1882 | 36.4 |
| 3 | Pete Alonso | 0.1502 | 0.1912 | 34.0 |
| 4 | Josh Naylor | 0.0991 | 0.1586 | 33.9 |
| 5 | Brandon Drury | 0.1048 | 0.1532 | 32.4 |
| 6 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1145 | 0.1516 | 32.2 |
| 7 | José Ramírez | 0.1550 | 0.1839 | 25.8 |
| 8 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.1568 | 0.1006 | 24.1 |
| 9 | César Hernández | 0.1000 | 0.0551 | 22.4 |
| 10 | Cal Raleigh | 0.1075 | 0.1518 | 22.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albert Pujols | 0.1143 | 0.1937 | 32.2 |
| 2 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1919 | 0.1374 | 29.6 |
| 3 | Brandon Drury | 0.1143 | 0.1532 | 29.1 |
| 4 | César Hernández | 0.1143 | 0.0551 | 28.8 |
| 5 | José Ramírez | 0.1544 | 0.1839 | 28.8 |
| 6 | Aaron Judge | 0.1613 | 0.1882 | 27.4 |
| 7 | Joc Pederson | 0.1176 | 0.1617 | 24.5 |
| 8 | Spencer Torkelson | 0.1414 | 0.0693 | 24.1 |
| 9 | José Abreu | 0.1576 | 0.1105 | 23.5 |
| 10 | J.D. Martinez | 0.1556 | 0.1040 | 23.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Ramírez | 0.1550 | 0.1839 | 28.9 |
| 2 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1891 | 0.1374 | 27.1 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 0.0979 | 0.1451 | 26.7 |
| 4 | Aaron Judge | 0.1644 | 0.1882 | 25.8 |
| 5 | Brandon Drury | 0.1221 | 0.1532 | 25.2 |
| 6 | Albert Pujols | 0.1369 | 0.1937 | 24.6 |
| 7 | Christian Yelich | 0.1348 | 0.0849 | 24.6 |
| 8 | Spencer Torkelson | 0.1421 | 0.0693 | 24.0 |
| 9 | Keibert Ruiz | 0.1485 | 0.0831 | 22.5 |
| 10 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1485 | 0.0938 | 22.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.1775 | 0.1105 | 38.0 |
| 2 | Josh Bell | 0.1761 | 0.1097 | 35.7 |
| 3 | Matt Olson | 0.1997 | 0.1474 | 28.8 |
| 4 | Max Muncy | 0.1837 | 0.1221 | 28.5 |
| 5 | Josh Naylor | 0.1127 | 0.1586 | 28.5 |
| 6 | Adam Duvall | 0.2148 | 0.1143 | 28.2 |
| 7 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.1641 | 0.1006 | 26.5 |
| 8 | Christian Yelich | 0.1349 | 0.0849 | 26.0 |
| 9 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1263 | 0.1516 | 25.7 |
| 10 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1525 | 0.0938 | 25.3 |
Batting Average
Everybody Missed for Batting Average
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff McNeil | 0.3265 |
0.2806
(30.5)
|
0.2784
(31.7)
|
0.2805
(30.4)
|
0.2796
(30.7)
|
0.2817
(30.3)
|
| Juan Soto | 0.2424 |
0.3124
(42.6)
|
0.2958
(31.7)
|
0.3120
(42.5)
|
0.3117
(42.5)
|
0.3136
(42.9)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.3105 |
0.2746
(29.1)
|
0.2729
(30.2)
|
0.2744
(29.1)
|
0.2731
(29.7)
|
0.2762
(28.5)
|
| Corey Seager | 0.2445 |
0.2907
(26.8)
|
0.2853
(23.3)
|
0.2905
(26.7)
|
0.2905
(27.0)
|
0.2912
(26.5)
|
| Ketel Marte | 0.2398 |
0.2908
(25.2)
|
0.3008
(30.8)
|
0.2916
(25.7)
|
0.2905
(25.3)
|
0.2904
(24.5)
|
| José Abreu | 0.3045 |
0.2616
(33.1)
|
0.2727
(25.5)
|
0.2614
(33.1)
|
0.2594
(34.2)
|
0.2641
(31.9)
|
| Trent Grisham | 0.1840 |
0.2472
(30.0)
|
0.2442
(28.5)
|
0.2480
(30.6)
|
0.2472
(30.3)
|
0.2464
(29.2)
|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.2017 |
0.2640
(28.8)
|
0.2682
(31.0)
|
0.2625
(28.1)
|
0.2640
(29.1)
|
0.2654
(29.1)
|
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.3019 |
0.2601
(30.7)
|
0.2580
(32.0)
|
0.2574
(32.3)
|
0.2581
(31.7)
|
0.2648
(28.2)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.3173 |
0.2728
(32.8)
|
0.2784
(29.1)
|
0.2760
(30.5)
|
0.2744
(31.4)
|
0.2681
(36.3)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.3252 |
0.2930
(26.9)
|
0.2951
(25.4)
|
0.2940
(26.1)
|
0.2918
(27.4)
|
0.2933
(27.3)
|
| Jesse Winker | 0.2193 |
0.2678
(23.4)
|
0.2793
(29.7)
|
0.2668
(22.9)
|
0.2692
(24.4)
|
0.2675
(22.7)
|
| Andrés Giménez | 0.2974 |
0.2491
(30.1)
|
0.2389
(35.8)
|
0.2487
(30.3)
|
0.2470
(31.0)
|
0.2517
(29.1)
|
Individual Misses for Batting Average
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Harris II | 0.2351 | 0.2971 | 29.9 |
| 2 | Max Muncy | 0.2503 | 0.1961 | 27.3 |
| 3 | Dansby Swanson | 0.2468 | 0.2766 | 24.8 |
| 4 | Jake McCarthy | 0.2240 | 0.2835 | 23.1 |
| 5 | Myles Straw | 0.2647 | 0.2206 | 22.8 |
| 6 | Taylor Ward | 0.2463 | 0.2808 | 22.8 |
| 7 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2661 | 0.3037 | 22.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Kwan | 0.2510 | 0.2984 | 33.9 |
| 2 | Taylor Walls | 0.2326 | 0.1720 | 25.5 |
| 3 | Geraldo Perdomo | 0.2500 | 0.1949 | 24.7 |
| 4 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2623 | 0.3037 | 24.6 |
| 5 | Ian Happ | 0.2384 | 0.2705 | 24.2 |
| 6 | Luis Rengifo | 0.2230 | 0.2638 | 23.8 |
| 7 | Yuli Gurriel | 0.2882 | 0.2422 | 23.5 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Muncy | 0.2534 | 0.1961 | 29.2 |
| 2 | Dansby Swanson | 0.2456 | 0.2766 | 25.5 |
| 3 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2622 | 0.3037 | 24.6 |
| 4 | Taylor Ward | 0.2439 | 0.2808 | 24.0 |
| 5 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2688 | 0.2111 | 23.6 |
| 6 | Michael Harris II | 0.2510 | 0.2971 | 22.8 |
| 7 | Jake McCarthy | 0.2251 | 0.2835 | 22.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Harris II | 0.2286 | 0.2971 | 32.5 |
| 2 | Max Muncy | 0.2507 | 0.1961 | 27.9 |
| 3 | Dansby Swanson | 0.2452 | 0.2766 | 25.5 |
| 4 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2638 | 0.3037 | 23.6 |
| 5 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2674 | 0.2111 | 23.1 |
| 6 | Abraham Toro | 0.2557 | 0.1852 | 23.0 |
| 7 | Taylor Ward | 0.2455 | 0.2808 | 22.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Harris II | 0.2416 | 0.2971 | 27.4 |
| 2 | Myles Straw | 0.2709 | 0.2206 | 26.0 |
| 3 | Max Muncy | 0.2467 | 0.1961 | 24.8 |
| 4 | Ian Happ | 0.2386 | 0.2705 | 24.7 |
| 5 | Jake McCarthy | 0.2225 | 0.2835 | 23.9 |
| 6 | Dansby Swanson | 0.2496 | 0.2766 | 23.4 |
| 7 | Wilmer Flores | 0.2722 | 0.2286 | 22.3 |
Pitching Projection Accuracy
Batters Faced (BF)
Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs | 549 |
183
(366.0)
|
211
(338.0)
|
157
(391.9)
|
184
(365.0)
|
208
(341.0)
|
| Walker Buehler | 274 |
798
(523.7)
|
680
(406.0)
|
794
(519.5)
|
839
(564.7)
|
761
(487.0)
|
| Steven Matz | 207 |
658
(451.2)
|
585
(378.0)
|
658
(451.4)
|
696
(489.2)
|
620
(413.0)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 303 |
677
(374.5)
|
623
(320.0)
|
712
(408.7)
|
689
(385.8)
|
632
(329.0)
|
Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Hendricks | 746 | 356 | 389.8 |
| 2 | Kyle Wright | 360 | 738 | 378.2 |
| 3 | Freddy Peralta | 657 | 317 | 339.8 |
| 4 | Michael Pineda | 525 | 200 | 324.6 |
| 5 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 711 | 391 | 320.2 |
| 6 | Antonio Senzatela | 727 | 413 | 313.7 |
| 7 | Tylor Megill | 511 | 200 | 311.3 |
| 8 | Bailey Ober | 537 | 227 | 309.8 |
| 9 | Chad Kuhl | 318 | 617 | 298.6 |
| 10 | Matt Manning | 559 | 263 | 296.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miles Mikolas | 342 | 805 | 463.0 |
| 2 | Kyle Wright | 281 | 738 | 457.0 |
| 3 | George Kirby | 100 | 542 | 442.0 |
| 4 | Hunter Greene | 100 | 531 | 431.0 |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | 238 | 666 | 428.0 |
| 6 | Spencer Strider | 115 | 528 | 413.0 |
| 7 | Kyle Bradish | 100 | 509 | 409.0 |
| 8 | Graham Ashcraft | 100 | 464 | 364.0 |
| 9 | Andre Pallante | 100 | 457 | 357.0 |
| 10 | Jose Quintana | 327 | 679 | 352.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 100 | 803 | 703.0 |
| 2 | Corey Kluber | 100 | 689 | 589.0 |
| 3 | Kyle Wright | 201 | 738 | 536.8 |
| 4 | Chad Kuhl | 139 | 617 | 478.3 |
| 5 | Kyle Hendricks | 763 | 356 | 407.1 |
| 6 | Freddy Peralta | 684 | 317 | 366.8 |
| 7 | Drew Hutchison | 100 | 464 | 364.0 |
| 8 | Graham Ashcraft | 100 | 464 | 364.0 |
| 9 | Tylor Megill | 564 | 200 | 363.8 |
| 10 | Spenser Watkins | 100 | 459 | 359.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Wright | 278 | 738 | 459.9 |
| 2 | Graham Ashcraft | 17 | 464 | 446.8 |
| 3 | Kyle Hendricks | 802 | 356 | 446.3 |
| 4 | Adrian Sampson | 4 | 428 | 423.5 |
| 5 | Michael Pineda | 616 | 200 | 415.6 |
| 6 | Mitch White | 34 | 440 | 406.0 |
| 7 | Antonio Senzatela | 804 | 413 | 391.4 |
| 8 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 782 | 391 | 391.0 |
| 9 | Spenser Watkins | 79 | 459 | 380.2 |
| 10 | Bailey Ober | 605 | 227 | 378.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryce Elder | 580 | 227 | 353.0 |
| 2 | Miles Mikolas | 467 | 805 | 338.0 |
| 3 | Tyler Alexander | 100 | 427 | 327.0 |
| 4 | Cory Abbott | 542 | 216 | 326.0 |
| 5 | Kyle Hendricks | 672 | 356 | 316.0 |
| 6 | Tylor Megill | 507 | 200 | 307.0 |
| 7 | Carlos Carrasco | 340 | 645 | 305.0 |
| 8 | Tommy Henry | 509 | 205 | 304.0 |
| 9 | Reynaldo López | 554 | 254 | 300.0 |
| 10 | Martín Pérez | 521 | 821 | 300.0 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 0.2503 |
0.3031
(41.7)
|
0.3050
(36.9)
|
0.2967
(37.4)
|
0.2930
(36.2)
|
0.3197
(49.3)
|
| Dylan Bundy | 0.1580 |
0.2161
(34.5)
|
0.2311
(38.7)
|
0.2099
(31.4)
|
0.2062
(30.6)
|
0.2320
(39.9)
|
| Marco Gonzales | 0.1315 |
0.1832
(40.4)
|
0.2003
(47.6)
|
0.1853
(42.8)
|
0.1829
(42.7)
|
0.1815
(33.6)
|
| Hunter Greene | 0.3089 |
0.2371
(38.2)
|
0.2285
(46.9)
|
0.2318
(40.4)
|
0.2317
(39.3)
|
0.2478
(36.1)
|
| Michael Kopech | 0.2126 |
0.3030
(44.6)
|
0.2862
(32.4)
|
0.2962
(41.8)
|
0.2988
(44.2)
|
0.3140
(46.7)
|
| Spencer Strider | 0.3826 |
0.2606
(64.4)
|
0.2261
(86.9)
|
0.2703
(58.8)
|
0.2799
(52.5)
|
0.2317
(83.4)
|
| Ryan Helsley | 0.3933 |
0.2346
(38.0)
|
0.2279
(41.5)
|
0.2348
(37.7)
|
0.2343
(37.3)
|
0.2346
(39.6)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Clevinger | 0.2641 | 0.1876 | 37.1 |
| 2 | José Berríos | 0.2463 | 0.1979 | 36.4 |
| 3 | Robbie Ray | 0.3195 | 0.2735 | 35.5 |
| 4 | Edwin Díaz | 0.3536 | 0.5021 | 34.9 |
| 5 | James Kaprielian | 0.2267 | 0.1698 | 32.7 |
| 6 | Andrew Heaney | 0.2552 | 0.3548 | 30.9 |
| 7 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.2232 | 0.3000 | 30.8 |
| 8 | Merrill Kelly | 0.1824 | 0.2201 | 30.4 |
| 9 | Alek Manoah | 0.2677 | 0.2290 | 30.3 |
| 10 | Félix Bautista | 0.2292 | 0.3478 | 30.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwin Díaz | 0.3028 | 0.5021 | 48.7 |
| 2 | Zack Greinke | 0.2063 | 0.1248 | 43.0 |
| 3 | Cristian Javier | 0.2668 | 0.3316 | 42.6 |
| 4 | Dakota Hudson | 0.2079 | 0.1309 | 41.1 |
| 5 | Andrés Muñoz | 0.2411 | 0.3871 | 38.2 |
| 6 | Shane McClanahan | 0.2543 | 0.3027 | 36.2 |
| 7 | James Kaprielian | 0.2382 | 0.1698 | 34.8 |
| 8 | Noah Syndergaard | 0.2374 | 0.1681 | 34.6 |
| 9 | Carlos Rodón | 0.2942 | 0.3338 | 33.8 |
| 10 | Nick Lodolo | 0.2285 | 0.2971 | 33.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spenser Watkins | 0.2285 | 0.1373 | 42.3 |
| 2 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2285 | 0.1781 | 41.2 |
| 3 | Cristian Javier | 0.2620 | 0.3316 | 40.2 |
| 4 | Edwin Díaz | 0.3368 | 0.5021 | 38.6 |
| 5 | Drew Hutchison | 0.2285 | 0.1466 | 38.5 |
| 6 | José Berríos | 0.2479 | 0.1979 | 38.4 |
| 7 | Robbie Ray | 0.3190 | 0.2735 | 36.0 |
| 8 | Mike Clevinger | 0.2602 | 0.1876 | 35.6 |
| 9 | Graham Ashcraft | 0.2285 | 0.1530 | 35.5 |
| 10 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.2127 | 0.3000 | 34.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Clevinger | 0.2660 | 0.1876 | 39.5 |
| 2 | Graham Ashcraft | 0.2315 | 0.1530 | 37.9 |
| 3 | Edwin Díaz | 0.3411 | 0.5021 | 37.1 |
| 4 | José Berríos | 0.2434 | 0.1979 | 36.6 |
| 5 | Robbie Ray | 0.3154 | 0.2735 | 34.9 |
| 6 | James Kaprielian | 0.2234 | 0.1698 | 32.7 |
| 7 | Andrew Heaney | 0.2486 | 0.3548 | 32.0 |
| 8 | Cristian Javier | 0.2739 | 0.3316 | 31.9 |
| 9 | Mitch White | 0.2460 | 0.1773 | 31.6 |
| 10 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.2222 | 0.3000 | 29.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Wells | 0.2688 | 0.1797 | 34.7 |
| 2 | Mike Clevinger | 0.2662 | 0.1876 | 34.7 |
| 3 | Martín Pérez | 0.1708 | 0.2058 | 34.5 |
| 4 | Jeffrey Springs | 0.3317 | 0.2623 | 34.3 |
| 5 | David Peterson | 0.2093 | 0.2775 | 34.2 |
| 6 | Robbie Ray | 0.3239 | 0.2735 | 33.6 |
| 7 | Tyler Alexander | 0.2285 | 0.1429 | 33.6 |
| 8 | Jhoan Duran | 0.2167 | 0.3346 | 33.2 |
| 9 | James Kaprielian | 0.2337 | 0.1698 | 32.8 |
| 10 | Lucas Giolito | 0.3069 | 0.2536 | 32.3 |
Win Rate
Everybody Missed for Win Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson | 0.5000 |
0.2298
(187.1)
|
0.1667
(185.7)
|
0.1952
(229.5)
|
0.2239
(183.5)
|
0.2963
(152.9)
|
| Tony Gonsolin | 0.6667 |
0.2094
(224.9)
|
0.1562
(219.0)
|
0.2346
(225.0)
|
0.1943
(227.0)
|
0.2000
(238.7)
|
| Yu Darvish | 0.5333 |
0.3615
(128.2)
|
0.2105
(194.4)
|
0.3758
(136.7)
|
0.3624
(119.0)
|
0.3462
(154.0)
|
| Kyle Wright | 0.7000 |
0.1664
(389.7)
|
0.1071
(385.4)
|
0.1027
(455.4)
|
0.1909
(363.5)
|
0.3333
(279.9)
|
Individual Misses for Win Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JT Brubaker | 0.3254 | 0.1071 | 144.5 |
| 2 | Patrick Corbin | 0.3790 | 0.1935 | 136.2 |
| 3 | Michael Lorenzen | 0.1160 | 0.4444 | 132.7 |
| 4 | Michael Wacha | 0.2300 | 0.4783 | 125.0 |
| 5 | Cristian Javier | 0.1495 | 0.3667 | 123.8 |
| 6 | Justin Verlander | 0.4552 | 0.6429 | 121.3 |
| 7 | Spencer Strider | 0.1206 | 0.3548 | 120.7 |
| 8 | Dane Dunning | 0.3120 | 0.1379 | 120.5 |
| 9 | Keegan Thompson | 0.0955 | 0.3448 | 118.2 |
| 10 | Zach Plesac | 0.3212 | 0.1200 | 117.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Verlander | 0.2000 | 0.6429 | 247.9 |
| 2 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.1333 | 0.5172 | 202.0 |
| 3 | Framber Valdez | 0.2432 | 0.5484 | 193.9 |
| 4 | Alek Manoah | 0.2051 | 0.5161 | 188.9 |
| 5 | Cal Quantrill | 0.1591 | 0.4688 | 184.0 |
| 6 | Luis Garcia | 0.2093 | 0.5357 | 164.4 |
| 7 | Joe Ryan | 0.1562 | 0.4815 | 153.7 |
| 8 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1951 | 0.4375 | 152.1 |
| 9 | Nestor Cortes | 0.1176 | 0.4286 | 147.7 |
| 10 | Jameson Taillon | 0.1707 | 0.4375 | 142.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Verlander | 0.4321 | 0.6429 | 153.6 |
| 2 | Spencer Strider | 0.1174 | 0.3548 | 135.8 |
| 3 | Paolo Espino | 0.2923 | 0.0000 | 132.7 |
| 4 | Jeffrey Springs | 0.0509 | 0.2727 | 132.6 |
| 5 | Cal Quantrill | 0.3164 | 0.4688 | 132.6 |
| 6 | Paul Blackburn | 0.0717 | 0.3333 | 131.4 |
| 7 | Keegan Thompson | 0.0938 | 0.3448 | 131.3 |
| 8 | Ross Stripling | 0.1028 | 0.3125 | 123.0 |
| 9 | JT Brubaker | 0.3151 | 0.1071 | 121.5 |
| 10 | Dane Dunning | 0.3356 | 0.1379 | 119.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JT Brubaker | 0.3107 | 0.1071 | 142.2 |
| 2 | Justin Verlander | 0.4135 | 0.6429 | 141.7 |
| 3 | Michael Wacha | 0.1886 | 0.4783 | 140.6 |
| 4 | Dane Dunning | 0.3252 | 0.1379 | 136.8 |
| 5 | Spencer Strider | 0.0799 | 0.3548 | 136.4 |
| 6 | Cristian Javier | 0.1270 | 0.3667 | 130.5 |
| 7 | Kris Bubic | 0.3103 | 0.1071 | 129.0 |
| 8 | Keegan Thompson | 0.0760 | 0.3448 | 122.4 |
| 9 | Dean Kremer | 0.1118 | 0.3636 | 120.4 |
| 10 | Patrick Corbin | 0.3453 | 0.1935 | 120.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nestor Cortes | 0.1481 | 0.4286 | 180.2 |
| 2 | Drew Rasmussen | 0.1026 | 0.3929 | 176.9 |
| 3 | Cristian Javier | 0.0833 | 0.3667 | 173.1 |
| 4 | Michael Lorenzen | 0.0465 | 0.4444 | 168.7 |
| 5 | Michael Wacha | 0.1852 | 0.4783 | 157.4 |
| 6 | Chris Bassitt | 0.3077 | 0.5000 | 152.6 |
| 7 | Hunter Greene | 0.5000 | 0.2083 | 148.2 |
| 8 | Patrick Corbin | 0.4138 | 0.1935 | 148.1 |
| 9 | JT Brubaker | 0.3478 | 0.1071 | 147.4 |
| 10 | Martín Pérez | 0.2188 | 0.3750 | 138.6 |
Save Rate
Everybody Missed for Save Rate
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez | 0.1702 |
0.0000
(71.4)
|
0.0297
(69.4)
|
0.0000
(71.2)
|
0.0000
(71.3)
|
0.0000
(72.5)
|
| Daniel Bard | 0.5965 |
0.0991
(119.2)
|
0.2093
(98.4)
|
0.1080
(116.9)
|
0.0939
(120.4)
|
0.0949
(120.8)
|
| Kenley Jansen | 0.6308 |
0.3102
(80.5)
|
0.3830
(68.2)
|
0.4174
(52.6)
|
0.1003
(135.1)
|
0.4035
(56.9)
|
| Tanner Houck | 0.2500 |
0.0000
(59.1)
|
0.0588
(50.8)
|
0.0000
(59.0)
|
0.0000
(59.0)
|
0.0000
(59.7)
|
| Félix Bautista | 0.2308 |
0.0056
(54.2)
|
0.0297
(54.5)
|
0.0000
(55.5)
|
0.0158
(51.6)
|
0.0000
(56.3)
|
| Clay Holmes | 0.3226 |
0.0115
(78.1)
|
0.0233
(81.6)
|
0.0000
(80.9)
|
0.0174
(76.5)
|
0.0189
(76.8)
|
| Tanner Scott | 0.2985 |
0.0147
(78.9)
|
0.0233
(83.7)
|
0.0000
(83.0)
|
0.0167
(78.3)
|
0.0291
(75.4)
|
| Ryan Helsley | 0.3519 |
0.0181
(77.2)
|
0.0278
(80.9)
|
0.0000
(81.4)
|
0.0338
(73.4)
|
0.0234
(76.5)
|
Individual Misses for Save Rate
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorge López | 0.1086 | 0.3433 | 66.7 |
| 2 | Raisel Iglesias | 0.5028 | 0.2537 | 63.9 |
| 3 | Rowan Wick | 0.3243 | 0.1406 | 57.2 |
| 4 | Rafael Montero | 0.0000 | 0.1972 | 50.3 |
| 5 | Mark Melancon | 0.4772 | 0.2903 | 48.8 |
| 6 | Kyle Finnegan | 0.3345 | 0.1667 | 47.9 |
| 7 | Paul Sewald | 0.1047 | 0.3077 | 46.5 |
| 8 | Jimmy Herget | 0.0000 | 0.1837 | 46.0 |
| 9 | Gregory Soto | 0.2856 | 0.4688 | 45.3 |
| 10 | Jordan Hicks | 0.1577 | 0.0000 | 44.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorge López | 0.0250 | 0.3433 | 99.1 |
| 2 | Jordan Romano | 0.2143 | 0.5714 | 95.8 |
| 3 | Camilo Doval | 0.0800 | 0.3971 | 94.8 |
| 4 | Emmanuel Clase | 0.2222 | 0.5455 | 91.5 |
| 5 | Gregory Soto | 0.1591 | 0.4688 | 85.2 |
| 6 | David Bednar | 0.0500 | 0.4222 | 81.2 |
| 7 | David Robertson | 0.0526 | 0.3448 | 80.9 |
| 8 | Scott Barlow | 0.1224 | 0.3478 | 69.5 |
| 9 | Liam Hendriks | 0.3617 | 0.6379 | 68.3 |
| 10 | Taylor Rogers | 0.2424 | 0.4697 | 66.2 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Robertson | 0.0000 | 0.3448 | 88.1 |
| 2 | Jorge López | 0.0529 | 0.3433 | 83.2 |
| 3 | Raisel Iglesias | 0.5682 | 0.2537 | 80.1 |
| 4 | Gregory Soto | 0.1852 | 0.4688 | 71.6 |
| 5 | Mark Melancon | 0.0297 | 0.2903 | 61.6 |
| 6 | Camilo Doval | 0.2058 | 0.3971 | 51.5 |
| 7 | Rafael Montero | 0.0000 | 0.1972 | 50.2 |
| 8 | Jimmy Herget | 0.0000 | 0.1837 | 45.9 |
| 9 | Paul Sewald | 0.1080 | 0.3077 | 45.6 |
| 10 | Devin Williams | 0.0463 | 0.2308 | 41.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Smith | 0.3591 | 0.0769 | 76.5 |
| 2 | Kyle Finnegan | 0.4219 | 0.1667 | 71.3 |
| 3 | Josh Hader | 0.3876 | 0.6429 | 53.5 |
| 4 | Lou Trivino III | 0.3679 | 0.1719 | 51.7 |
| 5 | Rafael Montero | 0.0000 | 0.1972 | 50.3 |
| 6 | Rowan Wick | 0.2991 | 0.1406 | 49.8 |
| 7 | Paul Sewald | 0.0959 | 0.3077 | 48.6 |
| 8 | Raisel Iglesias | 0.4379 | 0.2537 | 48.0 |
| 9 | Alex Colomé | 0.2826 | 0.0755 | 46.9 |
| 10 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.5179 | 0.3492 | 46.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rowan Wick | 0.4555 | 0.1406 | 95.0 |
| 2 | Jorge López | 0.0277 | 0.3433 | 91.5 |
| 3 | Kyle Finnegan | 0.4727 | 0.1667 | 84.3 |
| 4 | Jordan Hicks | 0.2875 | 0.0000 | 77.8 |
| 5 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.0747 | 0.3492 | 69.2 |
| 6 | Raisel Iglesias | 0.5025 | 0.2537 | 63.3 |
| 7 | Alex Colomé | 0.3386 | 0.0755 | 58.4 |
| 8 | Mark Melancon | 0.5119 | 0.2903 | 56.8 |
| 9 | Lou Trivino III | 0.3842 | 0.1719 | 55.2 |
| 10 | Rafael Montero | 0.0000 | 0.1972 | 51.0 |
ERA
Everybody Missed for ERA
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 6.3079 |
4.3991
(1739.0)
|
4.8406
(1296.2)
|
4.5000
(1625.1)
|
4.5377
(1670.2)
|
4.1621
(1846.9)
|
| Trevor Rogers | 5.4673 |
3.6489
(1120.3)
|
3.5347
(1089.1)
|
3.8018
(1019.3)
|
3.7642
(1085.4)
|
3.3830
(1206.2)
|
| José Berríos | 5.2326 |
3.9064
(1397.8)
|
3.8028
(1340.7)
|
3.9253
(1339.3)
|
3.9584
(1390.4)
|
3.8363
(1386.1)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 9.1978 |
4.5930
(1555.9)
|
4.4499
(1544.9)
|
4.6292
(1527.1)
|
4.6939
(1538.1)
|
4.4587
(1570.6)
|
| Lucas Giolito | 4.8990 |
3.7694
(1158.5)
|
3.7143
(1071.8)
|
3.9457
(994.4)
|
4.0212
(1012.2)
|
3.3556
(1387.5)
|
| Martín Pérez | 2.8879 |
4.8259
(1155.7)
|
4.6236
(1137.0)
|
4.7189
(1116.2)
|
4.6713
(994.2)
|
5.0914
(1444.1)
|
| Dylan Cease | 2.2011 |
3.9728
(927.4)
|
4.1860
(1220.7)
|
3.9831
(979.1)
|
4.0532
(956.0)
|
3.8809
(922.8)
|
| Tyler Anderson | 2.5690 |
4.9164
(1284.7)
|
4.6044
(1191.0)
|
4.7586
(1214.8)
|
5.1854
(1445.1)
|
4.8100
(1270.1)
|
Individual Misses for ERA
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Manaea | 3.7635 | 4.9557 | 1155.7 |
| 2 | Tony Gonsolin | 4.6422 | 2.1407 | 981.7 |
| 3 | Nestor Cortes | 4.5650 | 2.4442 | 978.2 |
| 4 | Alex Wood | 3.8863 | 5.0969 | 966.2 |
| 5 | Alek Manoah | 3.9067 | 2.2424 | 891.4 |
| 6 | Charlie Morton | 3.6550 | 4.3430 | 886.9 |
| 7 | Kris Bubic | 4.6238 | 5.5814 | 873.3 |
| 8 | Sandy Alcantara | 3.7901 | 2.2828 | 865.7 |
| 9 | Justin Verlander | 3.5658 | 1.7486 | 857.2 |
| 10 | Triston McKenzie | 4.6267 | 2.9634 | 839.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Quintana | 4.9865 | 2.9336 | 1155.7 |
| 2 | Kyle Wright | 5.0546 | 3.1941 | 1114.2 |
| 3 | Dean Kremer | 5.4817 | 3.2314 | 972.6 |
| 4 | Carlos Hernández | 4.0909 | 7.3929 | 971.6 |
| 5 | Joan Adon | 4.3256 | 7.0979 | 968.2 |
| 6 | Adam Oller | 3.8208 | 6.2960 | 952.3 |
| 7 | Justin Verlander | 3.5204 | 1.7486 | 946.4 |
| 8 | Chad Kuhl | 4.5353 | 5.7153 | 944.5 |
| 9 | Kris Bubic | 4.3513 | 5.5814 | 928.0 |
| 10 | Alek Manoah | 3.7720 | 2.2424 | 926.6 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandy Alcantara | 4.0130 | 2.2828 | 1115.3 |
| 2 | Sean Manaea | 3.7817 | 4.9557 | 1104.1 |
| 3 | Nestor Cortes | 4.6771 | 2.4442 | 1083.3 |
| 4 | Alek Manoah | 4.0734 | 2.2424 | 1068.7 |
| 5 | Cristian Javier | 4.7734 | 2.5426 | 1029.3 |
| 6 | Justin Verlander | 3.6664 | 1.7486 | 963.3 |
| 7 | Tony Gonsolin | 4.5161 | 2.1407 | 948.2 |
| 8 | Julio Urías | 4.0000 | 2.1600 | 943.0 |
| 9 | Zac Gallen | 4.3251 | 2.5435 | 935.5 |
| 10 | Jhoulys Chacín | 3.8208 | 7.6056 | 932.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Manaea | 3.8244 | 4.9557 | 1143.2 |
| 2 | Tony Gonsolin | 4.8528 | 2.1407 | 1065.6 |
| 3 | Julio Urías | 4.2551 | 2.1600 | 1049.2 |
| 4 | Alek Manoah | 4.1125 | 2.2424 | 1020.0 |
| 5 | Nestor Cortes | 4.5820 | 2.4442 | 962.7 |
| 6 | Sandy Alcantara | 3.9386 | 2.2828 | 959.9 |
| 7 | Kris Bubic | 4.5293 | 5.5814 | 953.6 |
| 8 | Alex Wood | 4.0155 | 5.0969 | 917.9 |
| 9 | Justin Verlander | 3.6478 | 1.7486 | 883.7 |
| 10 | Zac Gallen | 4.3512 | 2.5435 | 882.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Manaea | 3.6844 | 4.9557 | 1151.3 |
| 2 | Alex Wood | 3.6525 | 5.0969 | 1048.3 |
| 3 | Dean Kremer | 5.6418 | 3.2314 | 1006.6 |
| 4 | Tony Gonsolin | 4.5600 | 2.1407 | 983.5 |
| 5 | Charlie Morton | 3.4433 | 4.3430 | 978.6 |
| 6 | Germán Márquez | 4.1538 | 4.9541 | 969.7 |
| 7 | Nestor Cortes | 4.4384 | 2.4442 | 953.0 |
| 8 | Matt Moore | 5.5125 | 1.9459 | 949.1 |
| 9 | Chase De Jong | 6.2395 | 2.6372 | 925.2 |
| 10 | Gerrit Cole | 2.8187 | 3.4983 | 891.4 |
WHIP
Everybody Missed for WHIP
| Player | Actual | Aggregate | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 1.6965 |
1.3470
(311.0)
|
1.3878
(247.5)
|
1.3636
(294.1)
|
1.3675
(302.5)
|
1.3103
(323.1)
|
| Triston McKenzie | 0.9512 |
1.3227
(211.0)
|
1.2065
(160.7)
|
1.3517
(237.8)
|
1.3542
(228.0)
|
1.2636
(181.9)
|
| José Berríos | 1.4186 |
1.1996
(230.2)
|
1.1758
(211.8)
|
1.2246
(206.1)
|
1.2146
(225.3)
|
1.1601
(245.0)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 2.0604 |
1.4489
(211.6)
|
1.3997
(211.8)
|
1.4775
(200.7)
|
1.4806
(204.6)
|
1.3899
(223.4)
|
| Lucas Giolito | 1.4351 |
1.1682
(246.8)
|
1.1429
(230.8)
|
1.2111
(211.9)
|
1.2063
(226.2)
|
1.0899
(287.6)
|
| Zac Gallen | 0.9130 |
1.2990
(213.7)
|
1.2597
(220.0)
|
1.3180
(232.3)
|
1.3263
(227.0)
|
1.2531
(195.0)
|
| Kris Bubic | 1.6977 |
1.4195
(214.1)
|
1.3699
(215.0)
|
1.4105
(215.3)
|
1.4333
(211.1)
|
1.4148
(205.3)
|
| Mike Minor | 1.6327 |
1.3037
(189.1)
|
1.2544
(189.6)
|
1.3253
(176.1)
|
1.3126
(189.0)
|
1.2735
(193.8)
|
| Nestor Cortes | 0.9221 |
1.2921
(174.2)
|
1.2615
(185.1)
|
1.3170
(193.9)
|
1.2961
(171.4)
|
1.2637
(168.9)
|
| Tony Gonsolin | 0.8747 |
1.3691
(203.1)
|
1.2198
(152.7)
|
1.3694
(206.7)
|
1.3918
(210.1)
|
1.3467
(201.7)
|
| Tyler Anderson | 1.0019 |
1.3312
(171.5)
|
1.3029
(185.6)
|
1.3448
(186.2)
|
1.3749
(196.4)
|
1.2755
(146.2)
|
Individual Misses for WHIP
Aggregate
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Rogers | 1.2218 | 1.5047 | 176.3 |
| 2 | Cristian Javier | 1.3149 | 0.9484 | 163.7 |
| 3 | Erick Fedde | 1.4477 | 1.6299 | 154.1 |
| 4 | Shane McClanahan | 1.2421 | 0.9259 | 147.2 |
| 5 | Sandy Alcantara | 1.2294 | 0.9796 | 144.6 |
| 6 | Félix Bautista | 1.5804 | 0.9289 | 142.9 |
| 7 | JT Brubaker | 1.3384 | 1.4653 | 137.9 |
| 8 | Ryan Helsley | 1.3976 | 0.7423 | 135.9 |
| 9 | Miles Mikolas | 1.2835 | 1.0329 | 131.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane McClanahan | 1.2841 | 0.9259 | 205.0 |
| 2 | Madison Bumgarner | 1.2307 | 1.4370 | 170.8 |
| 3 | Erick Fedde | 1.3968 | 1.6299 | 155.6 |
| 4 | Brayan Bello | 1.2392 | 1.7791 | 155.0 |
| 5 | Zach Thompson | 1.2669 | 1.5123 | 154.1 |
| 6 | Ian Anderson | 1.2424 | 1.5134 | 152.6 |
| 7 | Kyle Wright | 1.4041 | 1.1590 | 152.5 |
| 8 | Aaron Nola | 1.1873 | 0.9610 | 151.6 |
| 9 | Antonio Senzatela | 1.3636 | 1.6895 | 150.5 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristian Javier | 1.3960 | 0.9484 | 215.3 |
| 2 | Sandy Alcantara | 1.2733 | 0.9796 | 189.7 |
| 3 | Brayan Bello | 1.2392 | 1.7791 | 166.0 |
| 4 | Trevor Rogers | 1.2413 | 1.5047 | 163.6 |
| 5 | Miles Mikolas | 1.3143 | 1.0329 | 162.4 |
| 6 | Shane McClanahan | 1.2516 | 0.9259 | 157.8 |
| 7 | Taylor Hearn | 1.2392 | 1.5000 | 152.9 |
| 8 | Drew Hutchison | 1.2392 | 1.4810 | 149.2 |
| 9 | Jason Alexander | 1.2392 | 1.6186 | 147.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Rogers | 1.2330 | 1.5047 | 175.0 |
| 2 | Cristian Javier | 1.3317 | 0.9484 | 168.5 |
| 3 | Sandy Alcantara | 1.2589 | 0.9796 | 163.0 |
| 4 | Erick Fedde | 1.4542 | 1.6299 | 155.3 |
| 5 | Miles Mikolas | 1.3159 | 1.0329 | 151.1 |
| 6 | Daniel Lynch IV | 1.4344 | 1.5722 | 139.8 |
| 7 | JT Brubaker | 1.3496 | 1.4653 | 136.2 |
| 8 | Max Fried | 1.2954 | 1.0144 | 136.1 |
| 9 | Merrill Kelly | 1.3990 | 1.1381 | 133.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Félix Bautista | 1.7411 | 0.9289 | 188.5 |
| 2 | Trevor Rogers | 1.1915 | 1.5047 | 181.3 |
| 3 | Spencer Strider | 1.3723 | 0.9949 | 163.9 |
| 4 | Shane McClanahan | 1.2460 | 0.9259 | 162.4 |
| 5 | Antonio Senzatela | 1.3660 | 1.6895 | 161.2 |
| 6 | Erick Fedde | 1.4240 | 1.6299 | 156.3 |
| 7 | Ryan Helsley | 1.4458 | 0.7423 | 152.2 |
| 8 | Madison Bumgarner | 1.2877 | 1.4370 | 150.9 |
| 9 | Ian Anderson | 1.2816 | 1.5134 | 147.3 |