2021 Fantasy Projection Evaluation

Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2021, excluding batters with fewer than 300 PA and pitchers with fewer than 200 BF. Limited to 5x5 categories, with playing time (PA/BF) split out from rates.

Summary

Batting

System PA HR SB R RBI AVG
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System BF SO W SV ERA WHIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adolis García 238 622 384.5
2 Alcides Escobar 1 349 348.0
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 683 360 322.7
4 Pavin Smith 230 545 314.8
5 Cody Bellinger 643 350 293.1
6 Kyle Farmer 238 529 291.5
7 Ketel Marte 652 374 278.3
8 George Springer 620 342 278.3
9 Tyler Naquin 180 454 273.7
10 Josh Harrison 286 558 272.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 100 631 531.0
2 Mitch Haniger 227 691 464.0
3 Adolis García 205 622 417.0
4 Bo Bichette 295 690 395.0
5 Salvador Perez 276 665 389.0
6 Cedric Mullins 287 675 388.0
7 Nathaniel Lowe 259 642 383.0
8 Myles Straw 259 638 379.0
9 Andrew Vaughn 100 469 369.0
10 Akil Baddoo 100 461 361.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Seager 100 670 570.0
2 César Hernández 100 637 537.0
3 Nelson Cruz 100 584 484.0
4 Adolis García 149 622 473.0
5 Eric Hosmer 100 565 465.0
6 Josh Donaldson 100 543 443.0
7 Pavin Smith 112 545 433.0
8 Miguel Cabrera 100 526 426.0
9 Jed Lowrie 100 512 412.0
10 Michael Brantley 100 508 408.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adolis García 106 622 516.5
2 Pavin Smith 99 545 446.5
3 Odúbel Herrera 92 492 400.2
4 Eric Haase 1 381 380.0
5 Tyler Naquin 76 454 378.2
6 Patrick Wisdom 1 375 374.0
7 Phil Gosselin 6 373 366.5
8 Kyle Farmer 164 529 365.5
9 Rougned Odor 1 361 360.0
10 Alcides Escobar 1 349 348.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronald Acuña Jr. 672 360 312.0
2 Cody Bellinger 648 350 298.0
3 Ketel Marte 635 374 261.0
4 Mitch Haniger 430 691 261.0
5 Alcides Escobar 100 349 249.0
6 Alex Bregman 649 400 249.0
7 Jake Bauers 559 315 244.0
8 Starlin Castro 587 346 241.0
9 Kevin Pillar 587 347 240.0
10 George Springer 577 342 235.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Christian Yelich 0.0311
0.0849
(25.0)
0.0917
(28.7)
0.0855
(24.7)
0.0842
(24.5)
0.0849
(25.2)
Jorge Polanco 0.0693
0.0367
(21.7)
0.0352
(22.1)
0.0374
(22.0)
0.0376
(21.3)
0.0351
(22.4)
Brandon Belt 0.1300
0.0539
(29.4)
0.0487
(31.1)
0.0548
(29.5)
0.0561
(28.7)
0.0508
(30.4)
Mike Zunino 0.1634
0.0826
(30.7)
0.0692
(35.4)
0.0818
(31.5)
0.0802
(31.7)
0.0859
(29.3)
Cedric Mullins 0.0621
0.0335
(20.0)
0.0352
(18.3)
0.0344
(20.3)
0.0351
(19.2)
0.0311
(21.3)
Joey Votto 0.1108
0.0510
(32.4)
0.0418
(36.8)
0.0565
(30.1)
0.0551
(30.4)
0.0417
(37.2)
Adam Duvall 0.1111
0.0777
(19.1)
0.0784
(18.2)
0.0768
(20.3)
0.0785
(18.9)
0.0776
(18.9)
Gleyber Torres 0.0249
0.0773
(26.5)
0.0717
(24.1)
0.0758
(25.1)
0.0742
(24.7)
0.0819
(29.1)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0968
0.0603
(26.2)
0.0464
(35.3)
0.0619
(26.0)
0.0614
(25.6)
0.0576
(27.7)
Salvador Perez 0.1057
0.0724
(22.8)
0.0707
(23.4)
0.0721
(23.9)
0.0729
(22.8)
0.0723
(22.6)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1277
0.0878
(22.3)
0.0823
(24.9)
0.0884
(22.7)
0.0895
(21.6)
0.0854
(23.4)
Marcus Semien 0.0884
0.0531
(26.3)
0.0464
(30.5)
0.0507
(29.0)
0.0502
(28.7)
0.0585
(22.1)
Shohei Ohtani 0.1314
0.0800
(33.5)
0.0701
(39.3)
0.0823
(32.9)
0.0816
(32.7)
0.0761
(35.8)
Patrick Wisdom 0.1505
0.0680
(31.4)
0.0538
(36.3)
0.0545
(36.9)
0.0661
(32.2)
0.0698
(30.5)
Avisaíl García 0.0841
0.0485
(18.9)
0.0500
(17.6)
0.0508
(18.3)
0.0504
(18.1)
0.0443
(20.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0234 0.0709 18.5
2 Brandon Lowe 0.0761 0.1051 18.5
3 Ryan Mountcastle 0.0581 0.0868 17.5
4 Buster Posey 0.0211 0.0581 17.3
5 Seth Brown 0.0482 0.1031 17.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler O'Neill 0.0645 0.1069 22.9
2 Adolis García 0.0441 0.0793 22.0
3 Ryan Mountcastle 0.0526 0.0868 20.1
4 Seth Brown 0.0429 0.1031 18.5
5 Robbie Grossman 0.0300 0.0561 17.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Lowe 0.0738 0.1051 20.7
2 Andrelton Simmons 0.0545 0.0085 19.7
3 Seth Brown 0.0451 0.1031 18.5
4 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0248 0.0709 18.4
5 Kyle Seager 0.0545 0.0785 17.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Lowe 0.0733 0.1051 20.4
2 Seth Brown 0.0456 0.1031 18.1
3 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0255 0.0709 17.8
4 Ryan Mountcastle 0.0595 0.0868 16.9
5 Cody Bellinger 0.0915 0.0446 15.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1333 0.0983 19.9
2 Matt Olson 0.1140 0.0842 19.6
3 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0201 0.0709 19.6
4 Buster Posey 0.0174 0.0581 18.7
5 Miguel Sanó 0.1399 0.1042 18.7

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Tommy Edman 0.1911
0.1005
(65.5)
0.0909
(70.6)
0.1012
(64.5)
0.1016
(63.6)
0.0986
(68.8)
Austin Slater 0.2055
0.0919
(36.0)
0.0972
(33.7)
0.0835
(38.4)
0.0853
(37.5)
0.1066
(32.5)
David Fletcher 0.0915
0.0485
(31.3)
0.0377
(37.1)
0.0472
(31.7)
0.0465
(31.6)
0.0520
(31.0)
Jonathan Villar 0.1129
0.2380
(61.1)
0.2128
(49.4)
0.0532
(31.9)
0.2072
(46.4)
0.2690
(75.2)
Starling Marte 0.2956
0.1525
(77.4)
0.1667
(68.9)
0.1405
(83.4)
0.1421
(82.1)
0.1748
(67.3)
Nicky Lopez 0.1272
0.0612
(39.6)
0.0260
(58.3)
0.0655
(36.8)
0.0660
(36.0)
0.0519
(46.6)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.2072
0.1234
(44.6)
0.0755
(67.8)
0.1079
(52.1)
0.1124
(49.3)
0.1505
(32.4)
Whit Merrifield 0.2312
0.1498
(61.6)
0.1442
(64.1)
0.1371
(70.2)
0.1395
(67.9)
0.1728
(47.2)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Carlson 0.0915 0.0126 46.3
2 Josh Rojas 0.1409 0.0643 39.9
3 Ozzie Albies 0.0999 0.1471 35.2
4 Eddie Rosario 0.0436 0.1236 34.6
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1158 0.1646 33.8
6 Rougned Odor 0.0972 0.0000 33.6
7 J.P. Crawford 0.0681 0.0161 32.9
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0230 0.0670 32.7
9 Austin Meadows 0.0880 0.0315 31.0
10 Gregory Polanco 0.0924 0.1687 30.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 0.0909 0.1765 59.1
2 Adolis García 0.0435 0.1345 57.8
3 Akil Baddoo 0.0532 0.1607 50.5
4 Ozzie Albies 0.0897 0.1471 40.7
5 Dylan Moore 0.1644 0.2658 39.0
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1340 0.1984 36.3
7 Bo Bichette 0.0909 0.1412 36.1
8 Gleyber Torres 0.0349 0.1007 35.0
9 Gregory Polanco 0.0794 0.1687 34.9
10 J.P. Crawford 0.0667 0.0161 33.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Carlson 0.0909 0.0126 46.4
2 Gregory Polanco 0.0532 0.1687 45.4
3 Ozzie Albies 0.0902 0.1471 41.4
4 Josh Rojas 0.1396 0.0643 39.5
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1086 0.1646 37.9
6 J.P. Crawford 0.0726 0.0161 36.4
7 Eddie Rosario 0.0386 0.1236 36.4
8 Rougned Odor 0.1027 0.0000 35.8
9 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0190 0.0670 34.9
10 Tyler O'Neill 0.0581 0.1181 34.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Carlson 0.0914 0.0126 47.2
2 Josh Rojas 0.1434 0.0643 42.1
3 Ozzie Albies 0.0896 0.1471 41.2
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1073 0.1646 38.2
5 Eddie Rosario 0.0368 0.1236 36.8
6 J.P. Crawford 0.0715 0.0161 36.3
7 Gregory Polanco 0.0788 0.1687 35.3
8 Rougned Odor 0.0983 0.0000 34.6
9 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0196 0.0670 33.9
10 Tyler O'Neill 0.0593 0.1181 32.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.2250 0.1412 52.9
2 Myles Straw 0.2406 0.1596 47.1
3 Dylan Carlson 0.0924 0.0126 45.0
4 Josh Rojas 0.1395 0.0643 37.5
5 Mookie Betts 0.1404 0.0680 35.9
6 Jake Cronenworth 0.0853 0.0258 33.6
7 Michael A. Taylor 0.1791 0.1102 32.6
8 Kris Bryant 0.0199 0.0676 32.1
9 Jose Altuve 0.0833 0.0289 32.1
10 Kyle Tucker 0.1678 0.1053 31.4

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Mike Zunino 0.1707
0.1070
(22.9)
0.1037
(25.1)
0.1130
(21.6)
0.1091
(21.5)
0.0989
(26.0)
Brandon Crawford 0.1439
0.1012
(22.0)
0.1124
(17.3)
0.0985
(25.0)
0.1003
(21.6)
0.1047
(20.2)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1762
0.1395
(23.8)
0.1183
(40.4)
0.1438
(22.7)
0.1466
(17.8)
0.1281
(31.9)
Gleyber Torres 0.0969
0.1438
(25.6)
0.1318
(18.0)
0.1461
(25.4)
0.1420
(25.4)
0.1431
(25.1)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.1085 0.1553 27.8
2 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1523 0.1105 25.8
3 Bo Bichette 0.1405 0.1754 22.2
4 Tyler O'Neill 0.1231 0.1657 21.5
5 DJ LeMahieu 0.1524 0.1237 21.3
6 Starling Marte 0.1269 0.1692 20.8
7 Buster Posey 0.1012 0.1498 20.8
8 Didi Gregorius 0.1312 0.0858 19.6
9 Dominic Smith 0.1243 0.0872 19.6
10 Alcides Escobar 0.0930 0.1519 19.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.1356 0.1754 27.4
2 Carlos Correa 0.1210 0.1625 26.5
3 Carlos Santana 0.1388 0.1002 25.5
4 DJ LeMahieu 0.1599 0.1237 24.6
5 Dominic Smith 0.1354 0.0872 23.8
6 Didi Gregorius 0.1425 0.0858 23.1
7 Gio Urshela 0.1407 0.0950 20.2
8 Brett Gardner 0.1446 0.1020 19.7
9 José Ramírez 0.1444 0.1745 19.2
10 Buster Posey 0.1079 0.1498 19.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.1313 0.1754 30.5
2 Jonathan India 0.1105 0.1553 28.4
3 Tyler O'Neill 0.1166 0.1657 26.4
4 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1547 0.1105 25.5
5 Starling Marte 0.1218 0.1692 25.0
6 DJ LeMahieu 0.1599 0.1237 24.5
7 Cody Bellinger 0.1764 0.1114 22.7
8 Brandon Lowe 0.1213 0.1577 22.5
9 Michael Conforto 0.1550 0.1086 22.2
10 Joey Wendle 0.1018 0.1457 22.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1524 0.1105 26.7
2 Jonathan India 0.1090 0.1553 26.6
3 Tyler O'Neill 0.1172 0.1657 23.8
4 Starling Marte 0.1232 0.1692 22.0
5 Chris Taylor 0.1175 0.1581 21.2
6 Tim Anderson 0.1280 0.1706 21.2
7 Wander Franco 0.1017 0.1721 20.4
8 Maikel Franco 0.1222 0.0769 19.9
9 Carlos Santana 0.1258 0.1002 19.7
10 Jake Cronenworth 0.1118 0.1462 19.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.1060 0.1553 29.6
2 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1499 0.1105 24.2
3 Buster Posey 0.0956 0.1498 23.5
4 Didi Gregorius 0.1398 0.0858 23.0
5 DJ LeMahieu 0.1538 0.1237 22.1
6 Bo Bichette 0.1413 0.1754 21.9
7 Carlos Santana 0.1293 0.1002 20.8
8 Dominic Smith 0.1257 0.0872 20.1
9 Brett Gardner 0.1422 0.1020 19.7
10 Nicky Lopez 0.1019 0.1381 19.1

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Brandon Crawford 0.1639
0.1123
(30.1)
0.1095
(29.4)
0.1053
(33.3)
0.1089
(30.8)
0.1225
(26.5)
Austin Meadows 0.1794
0.1275
(32.5)
0.1261
(30.9)
0.1282
(31.4)
0.1241
(33.3)
0.1303
(33.0)
Nick Castellanos 0.1709
0.1348
(23.0)
0.1214
(28.4)
0.1338
(22.9)
0.1337
(22.4)
0.1367
(24.0)
Joey Votto 0.1857
0.1038
(45.4)
0.0967
(47.0)
0.1134
(39.6)
0.1100
(40.9)
0.0881
(55.7)
Adam Duvall 0.2036
0.1386
(37.8)
0.1401
(34.7)
0.1314
(41.2)
0.1392
(36.3)
0.1451
(36.2)
Gleyber Torres 0.0988
0.1658
(32.9)
0.1375
(20.4)
0.1634
(32.2)
0.1556
(28.7)
0.1785
(37.6)
Freddie Freeman 0.1194
0.1610
(26.7)
0.1587
(27.9)
0.1520
(21.3)
0.1533
(22.8)
0.1776
(35.7)
Avisaíl García 0.1670
0.1226
(24.5)
0.1183
(24.6)
0.1247
(22.8)
0.1213
(24.1)
0.1219
(26.7)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.1828 0.1029 26.9
2 Teoscar Hernández 0.1545 0.1950 26.0
3 Jesús Aguilar 0.1358 0.1824 25.3
4 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0852 0.1470 24.8
5 Jorge Polanco 0.1170 0.1522 24.7
6 Juan Soto 0.1846 0.1453 23.6
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.1088 0.1393 21.8
8 Andrew Benintendi 0.1001 0.1357 20.9
9 Victor Robles 0.1097 0.0515 20.3
10 DJ LeMahieu 0.1169 0.0839 20.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Teoscar Hernández 0.1314 0.1950 37.2
2 DJ LeMahieu 0.1301 0.0839 32.0
3 Jorge Polanco 0.1114 0.1522 25.7
4 Ozzie Albies 0.1199 0.1545 23.1
5 Nick Ahmed 0.1274 0.0803 22.7
6 J.P. Crawford 0.1105 0.0786 22.6
7 Franmil Reyes 0.1335 0.1824 22.4
8 Salvador Perez 0.1486 0.1820 21.6
9 Tommy Edman 0.1099 0.0810 20.6
10 Victor Robles 0.1063 0.0515 20.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Aguilar 0.1217 0.1824 32.0
2 Teoscar Hernández 0.1500 0.1950 28.0
3 Cody Bellinger 0.1808 0.1029 26.6
4 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.1261 0.0678 24.1
5 Andrelton Simmons 0.1236 0.0687 23.8
6 Salvador Perez 0.1496 0.1820 22.9
7 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0910 0.1470 22.1
8 Adolis García 0.1114 0.1447 22.0
9 Andrew Benintendi 0.0976 0.1357 21.6
10 Matt Chapman 0.1524 0.1158 21.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Teoscar Hernández 0.1465 0.1950 29.5
2 Jesús Aguilar 0.1303 0.1824 27.1
3 Cody Bellinger 0.1779 0.1029 25.9
4 Jorge Polanco 0.1148 0.1522 24.8
5 Victor Robles 0.1151 0.0515 23.1
6 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.1200 0.0678 21.9
7 Marcus Semien 0.1121 0.1409 21.6
8 Michael Brantley 0.1357 0.0925 21.4
9 Elvis Andrus 0.1073 0.0684 20.5
10 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0947 0.1470 20.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.2203 0.1453 44.6
2 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0698 0.1470 32.0
3 Gary Sánchez 0.1964 0.1227 29.4
4 Jorge Polanco 0.1134 0.1522 29.4
5 Cody Bellinger 0.1898 0.1029 28.1
6 Eric Hosmer 0.1687 0.1150 26.5
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.1056 0.1393 26.1
8 Chas McCormick 0.0855 0.1562 24.8
9 Bobby Dalbec 0.1255 0.1722 24.2
10 Andrew Benintendi 0.0978 0.1357 24.1

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Brandon Crawford 0.2981
0.2372
(32.1)
0.2452
(30.0)
0.2340
(33.3)
0.2392
(31.0)
0.2385
(32.4)
Tyler O'Neill 0.2863
0.2292
(29.3)
0.2333
(29.3)
0.2278
(29.5)
0.2328
(27.4)
0.2272
(31.5)
Adam Frazier 0.3050
0.2643
(24.5)
0.2625
(28.2)
0.2623
(25.0)
0.2647
(24.2)
0.2659
(24.6)
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.1628
0.2281
(29.0)
0.2406
(32.6)
0.2254
(28.3)
0.2256
(27.9)
0.2333
(30.4)
Cedric Mullins 0.2907
0.2423
(31.0)
0.2374
(37.1)
0.2390
(32.5)
0.2429
(30.6)
0.2452
(30.3)
Bryce Harper 0.3094
0.2549
(31.2)
0.2547
(33.8)
0.2515
(32.6)
0.2543
(31.6)
0.2588
(30.0)
Austin Riley 0.3034
0.2491
(34.3)
0.2379
(44.4)
0.2534
(30.7)
0.2555
(30.1)
0.2387
(42.5)
Cody Bellinger 0.1651
0.2752
(39.4)
0.2711
(36.6)
0.2756
(39.9)
0.2772
(40.1)
0.2727
(37.9)
Teoscar Hernández 0.2964
0.2413
(31.3)
0.2468
(30.4)
0.2366
(33.5)
0.2398
(32.2)
0.2474
(28.8)
Yuli Gurriel 0.3189
0.2658
(30.6)
0.2751
(27.4)
0.2685
(28.3)
0.2702
(28.0)
0.2587
(36.0)
Eugenio Suárez 0.1980
0.2431
(27.3)
0.2590
(34.1)
0.2406
(26.5)
0.2419
(26.6)
0.2467
(28.2)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.2570 0.3023 27.7
2 Akil Baddoo 0.1970 0.2591 27.5
3 Nick Castellanos 0.2603 0.3089 27.0
4 Andrelton Simmons 0.2774 0.2233 25.5
5 Didi Gregorius 0.2673 0.2092 24.7
6 Kevin Newman 0.2676 0.2263 24.2
7 Matt Chapman 0.2461 0.2098 24.1
8 Nicky Lopez 0.2555 0.2998 23.7
9 Trea Turner 0.2887 0.3277 23.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nicky Lopez 0.2340 0.2998 38.1
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2629 0.3113 34.9
3 Jarred Kelenic 0.2570 0.1810 28.1
4 Matt Chapman 0.2549 0.2098 27.0
5 Trea Turner 0.2877 0.3277 26.9
6 Kyle Tucker 0.2500 0.2945 26.1
7 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2733 0.2244 25.2
8 DJ LeMahieu 0.3065 0.2680 25.1
9 Bryan Reynolds 0.2661 0.3023 24.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Seager 0.2570 0.2123 32.4
2 Akil Baddoo 0.1915 0.2591 29.5
3 Nick Castellanos 0.2578 0.3089 27.8
4 Trea Turner 0.2838 0.3277 26.1
5 Michael Brantley 0.2570 0.3113 25.8
6 Kevin Newman 0.2680 0.2263 25.1
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.2604 0.3023 24.8
8 Matt Chapman 0.2449 0.2098 24.0
9 Jarred Kelenic 0.2404 0.1810 23.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.1935 0.2591 29.1
2 Nick Castellanos 0.2593 0.3089 27.6
3 Kevin Newman 0.2712 0.2263 26.2
4 Trea Turner 0.2853 0.3277 25.9
5 Andrelton Simmons 0.2772 0.2233 25.4
6 César Hernández 0.2688 0.2316 25.2
7 Matt Chapman 0.2472 0.2098 24.8
8 Tommy Pham 0.2700 0.2295 24.1
9 Jarred Kelenic 0.2422 0.1810 24.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.2475 0.3023 35.1
2 Nicky Lopez 0.2449 0.2998 30.7
3 Jonathan India 0.2243 0.2688 27.7
4 Didi Gregorius 0.2750 0.2092 27.1
5 DJ LeMahieu 0.3059 0.2680 26.1
6 Nick Castellanos 0.2639 0.3089 26.0
7 Willi Castro 0.2770 0.2203 25.7
8 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1970 0.2478 25.5
9 Andrelton Simmons 0.2777 0.2233 24.8

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Alek Manoah 459
100
(359.0)
100
(359.0)
100
(359.0)
100
(359.0)
100
(359.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 268 768 500.3
2 Spencer Turnbull 614 201 412.9
3 Jacob deGrom 736 324 412.1
4 Jack Flaherty 727 322 405.5
5 Shane Bieber 779 405 373.9
6 Luis Garcia 262 633 370.5
7 Nestor Cortes 4 374 369.6
8 Danny Duffy 620 252 368.5
9 Trevor Bauer 792 432 359.7
10 Wily Peralta 45 402 356.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 159 768 609.0
2 Chris Flexen 139 741 602.0
3 Luis Garcia 166 633 467.0
4 Julio Urías 321 745 424.0
5 Shane McClanahan 100 517 417.0
6 Walker Buehler 399 815 416.0
7 Nathan Eovaldi 349 764 415.0
8 Logan Gilbert 100 503 403.0
9 Sandy Alcantara 435 837 402.0
10 Marcus Stroman 333 730 397.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 100 828 728.0
2 Cole Irvin 118 768 649.5
3 Luis Garcia 103 633 530.2
4 Garrett Richards 100 617 517.0
5 Matt Harvey 100 582 482.0
6 Vladimir Gutierrez 35 496 461.3
7 Spencer Turnbull 645 201 444.4
8 Logan Gilbert 76 503 427.4
9 Wil Crowe 100 524 424.0
10 Carlos Carrasco 661 237 423.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 208 768 559.6
2 Jacob deGrom 800 324 476.5
3 James Kaprielian 43 502 458.9
4 Paolo Espino 4 455 450.6
5 Vladimir Gutierrez 52 496 444.1
6 Jack Flaherty 763 322 441.3
7 Danny Duffy 680 252 428.3
8 Logan Allen 649 222 426.6
9 Matthew Boyd 733 337 395.9
10 Elieser Hernández 617 225 391.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Turnbull 638 201 437.1
2 Reynaldo López 653 222 431.0
3 Shane Bieber 812 405 407.1
4 Jacob deGrom 713 324 389.1
5 Jack Flaherty 705 322 382.9
6 Randy Dobnak 610 228 382.0
7 Nathan Eovaldi 392 764 372.0
8 Matthew Boyd 709 337 371.9
9 Justin Dunn 576 218 358.1
10 Carlos Carrasco 593 237 356.1

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Zack Wheeler 0.2909
0.2264
(47.4)
0.2255
(53.1)
0.2283
(49.4)
0.2322
(42.5)
0.2187
(54.2)
Patrick Corbin 0.1904
0.2394
(43.2)
0.2585
(53.3)
0.2309
(33.7)
0.2381
(42.4)
0.2490
(50.3)
Chris Flexen 0.1687
0.2437
(62.0)
0.2158
(37.1)
0.2472
(61.4)
0.2514
(67.7)
0.2324
(53.5)
Corbin Burnes 0.3562
0.2836
(42.0)
0.2809
(47.5)
0.2790
(47.8)
0.2817
(43.2)
0.2900
(38.0)
Dylan Cease 0.3192
0.2296
(57.3)
0.2173
(70.1)
0.2355
(56.1)
0.2288
(57.9)
0.2246
(61.1)
Paul Sewald 0.3939
0.2186
(44.0)
0.2231
(44.3)
0.2367
(40.3)
0.2068
(47.1)
0.2305
(40.9)
Carlos Rodón 0.3464
0.2229
(61.3)
0.2214
(65.2)
0.2192
(65.6)
0.2202
(62.8)
0.2294
(58.0)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Castillo 0.2823 0.2391 41.6
2 Zack Greinke 0.2190 0.1722 38.7
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1741 0.1319 36.6
4 Jacob deGrom 0.3315 0.4506 35.8
5 Sean Manaea 0.2034 0.2573 34.1
6 Drew Smyly 0.2679 0.2143 34.0
7 Walker Buehler 0.2929 0.2601 33.7
8 Nick Pivetta 0.2057 0.2648 33.3
9 Logan Webb 0.2016 0.2651 32.7
10 Jon Lester 0.1877 0.1451 32.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 0.2350 0.1722 45.9
2 Jacob deGrom 0.3068 0.4506 45.6
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1921 0.1319 45.4
4 Matt Peacock 0.2367 0.1295 42.5
5 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2338 0.1655 41.7
6 Cole Irvin 0.2138 0.1628 41.5
7 Jon Lester 0.2061 0.1451 40.1
8 Chi Chi González 0.2040 0.1250 36.7
9 Michael Kopech 0.2302 0.3614 36.6
10 Zach Plesac 0.2252 0.1672 36.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chi Chi González 0.2367 0.1250 52.0
2 Matt Harvey 0.2367 0.1632 45.3
3 Luis Castillo 0.2892 0.2391 43.8
4 Matt Peacock 0.2367 0.1295 43.1
5 Wily Peralta 0.2367 0.1443 38.9
6 Yusmeiro Petit 0.2367 0.1182 38.5
7 Alec Mills 0.2367 0.1683 37.7
8 Drew Smyly 0.2776 0.2143 37.0
9 Logan Webb 0.1991 0.2651 36.7
10 Riley Smith 0.2367 0.1196 36.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Castillo 0.2899 0.2391 47.8
2 Drew Smyly 0.2826 0.2143 42.1
3 Sean Manaea 0.1998 0.2573 36.8
4 Nick Pivetta 0.2017 0.2648 35.9
5 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.2368 0.1774 33.8
6 Jon Lester 0.1899 0.1451 33.5
7 Kyle Hendricks 0.2003 0.1669 33.0
8 Logan Webb 0.2038 0.2651 31.4
9 Jacob deGrom 0.3461 0.4506 31.1
10 Walker Buehler 0.2893 0.2601 30.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 0.2376 0.1722 51.5
2 Lucas Giolito 0.3402 0.2792 50.0
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1918 0.1319 49.1
4 Walker Buehler 0.3079 0.2601 45.7
5 Jacob deGrom 0.3043 0.4506 44.7
6 Michael Kopech 0.2023 0.3614 42.9
7 Wily Peralta 0.2367 0.1443 40.5
8 Sandy Alcantara 0.1861 0.2401 38.2
9 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2162 0.1655 34.6
10 Yusmeiro Petit 0.2202 0.1182 34.6

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Julio Urías 0.6250
0.2386
(291.1)
0.1250
(323.2)
0.3939
(197.3)
0.2497
(274.7)
0.1556
(367.4)
Chris Flexen 0.4516
0.2066
(184.7)
0.1250
(193.0)
0.3050
(133.7)
0.1848
(192.9)
0.1667
(228.7)
Aaron Civale 0.5714
0.3448
(115.0)
0.1818
(161.1)
0.3496
(127.3)
0.3236
(120.2)
0.3600
(117.1)
Adam Wainwright 0.5312
0.3424
(159.9)
0.2667
(164.3)
0.2263
(280.5)
0.3348
(157.2)
0.3500
(169.7)
Carlos Rodón 0.5417
0.2348
(166.2)
0.1667
(164.9)
0.3200
(136.4)
0.1420
(209.9)
0.3125
(135.0)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 0.0813 0.3125 180.9
2 Shane McClanahan 0.0877 0.4000 163.7
3 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.1226 0.4091 144.2
4 Luis Castillo 0.4240 0.2424 142.3
5 James Kaprielian 0.0578 0.3333 140.5
6 Freddy Peralta 0.1431 0.3571 126.7
7 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2739 0.0714 116.1
8 Dylan Bundy 0.3786 0.0870 114.1
9 Zac Gallen 0.3797 0.1739 105.4
10 Alek Manoah 0.2263 0.4500 104.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Steven Matz 0.1481 0.4828 173.7
2 Kevin Gausman 0.1379 0.4242 170.6
3 Walker Buehler 0.2222 0.4848 160.1
4 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1667 0.4643 158.3
5 Tyler Mahle 0.1333 0.3939 147.6
6 Framber Valdez 0.2000 0.5000 133.7
7 Corbin Burnes 0.1250 0.3929 132.5
8 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2273 0.0714 130.1
9 Luis Garcia 0.1053 0.3667 123.6
10 Max Scherzer 0.2593 0.5000 121.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 0.0563 0.3125 222.7
2 Shane McClanahan 0.0528 0.4000 197.0
3 James Kaprielian 0.0453 0.3333 161.6
4 Freddy Peralta 0.1216 0.3571 156.2
5 Luis Castillo 0.4315 0.2424 124.7
6 Alek Manoah 0.2263 0.4500 118.2
7 Jordan Montgomery 0.3893 0.2000 102.8
8 Yu Darvish 0.4513 0.2667 102.7
9 Jose Quintana 0.3740 0.0000 101.0
10 Steven Matz 0.3609 0.4828 100.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 0.0717 0.3125 179.9
2 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0478 0.4091 175.9
3 Shane McClanahan 0.0636 0.4000 170.6
4 James Kaprielian 0.0470 0.3333 140.5
5 Luis Castillo 0.4066 0.2424 137.1
6 Jordan Lyles 0.1341 0.3125 132.2
7 Freddy Peralta 0.1385 0.3571 123.0
8 Yu Darvish 0.4384 0.2667 121.4
9 Jordan Montgomery 0.3588 0.2000 109.3
10 Alex Wood 0.1938 0.3846 107.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.1579 0.3929 170.0
2 Mike Foltynewicz 0.3333 0.0714 139.6
3 Luis Castillo 0.4333 0.2424 134.2
4 Steven Matz 0.3077 0.4828 128.6
5 Framber Valdez 0.3000 0.5000 128.0
6 Dylan Bundy 0.4286 0.0870 126.2
7 Chris Bassitt 0.2800 0.4444 119.9
8 Freddy Peralta 0.1750 0.3571 119.4
9 Austin Gomber 0.1724 0.3913 118.4
10 Drew Smyly 0.1905 0.3793 116.1

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Scott Barlow 0.2254
0.0282
(57.2)
0.0303
(65.2)
0.0500
(49.4)
0.0160
(61.2)
0.0151
(62.5)
Will Smith 0.5211
0.2459
(75.0)
0.2414
(84.3)
0.2500
(72.8)
0.2198
(82.7)
0.2660
(70.5)
Jake McGee 0.5000
0.2421
(59.2)
0.0345
(115.6)
0.0322
(108.5)
0.2155
(65.8)
0.2659
(54.5)
Mark Melancon 0.6094
0.0903
(134.8)
0.1613
(123.5)
0.0322
(149.3)
0.0813
(137.5)
0.0991
(133.6)
Michael Fulmer 0.2692
0.0000
(76.9)
0.0345
(75.1)
0.0000
(75.9)
0.0000
(77.2)
0.0000
(78.1)
Emmanuel Clase 0.3380
0.0646
(73.4)
0.0588
(82.9)
0.0000
(90.4)
0.0928
(65.8)
0.1042
(63.5)
Ian Kennedy 0.4727
0.0558
(92.7)
0.2083
(64.4)
0.0322
(97.3)
0.1110
(80.4)
0.0000
(106.4)
Lou Trivino III 0.3099
0.0266
(84.6)
0.0323
(91.7)
0.0833
(65.9)
0.0000
(93.2)
0.0000
(94.1)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Bass 0.3435 0.0000 92.0
2 Drew Steckenrider 0.0000 0.2258 57.5
3 Jordan Romano 0.1562 0.3710 51.7
4 Hansel Robles 0.0172 0.1944 49.6
5 Rafael Montero 0.3681 0.1591 49.4
6 Dylan Floro 0.0307 0.2206 48.5
7 James Karinchak 0.3750 0.1833 47.5
8 Kyle Finnegan 0.0000 0.1618 44.5
9 Paul Sewald 0.0000 0.1774 44.1
10 Carlos Estévez 0.0104 0.1719 40.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Reyes 0.0476 0.4203 123.9
2 Jordan Romano 0.0476 0.3710 86.4
3 Liam Hendriks 0.2727 0.5507 79.0
4 Gregory Soto 0.0345 0.2903 75.6
5 Ryan Pressly 0.1290 0.4062 73.8
6 Matt Barnes 0.0909 0.4000 72.6
7 Carlos Martinez 0.2083 0.0000 69.1
8 Kenley Jansen 0.3438 0.5507 62.6
9 Raisel Iglesias 0.3125 0.5231 62.4
10 Dylan Floro 0.0333 0.2206 55.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Reyes 0.0322 0.4203 118.6
2 Jordan Romano 0.0333 0.3710 81.9
3 Brad Hand 0.0322 0.3088 73.0
4 Dylan Floro 0.0000 0.2206 55.8
5 Gregory Soto 0.0833 0.2903 53.3
6 Matt Barnes 0.1667 0.4000 48.7
7 Drew Steckenrider 0.0322 0.2258 48.0
8 Hansel Robles 0.0322 0.1944 44.1
9 Kyle Finnegan 0.0000 0.1618 43.5
10 Richard Rodríguez 0.0322 0.2188 43.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Bass 0.3424 0.0000 91.4
2 Alex Reyes 0.2240 0.4203 59.3
3 Drew Steckenrider 0.0000 0.2258 57.8
4 Génesis Cabrera 0.1736 0.0000 54.1
5 Rafael Montero 0.3780 0.1591 51.3
6 Hansel Robles 0.0184 0.1944 49.5
7 Emilio Pagán 0.1707 0.0000 47.3
8 Shane McClanahan 0.0798 0.0000 46.0
9 Dylan Floro 0.0421 0.2206 45.7
10 Amir Garrett 0.3134 0.1111 45.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Bass 0.3447 0.0000 91.2
2 Craig Kimbrel 0.7424 0.3810 86.4
3 James Karinchak 0.5290 0.1833 82.7
4 Daniel Bard 0.5610 0.2985 81.7
5 Alex Reyes 0.6618 0.4203 78.5
6 Rafael Montero 0.4759 0.1591 72.7
7 Jordan Romano 0.1286 0.3710 59.8
8 Drew Steckenrider 0.0000 0.2258 58.6
9 César Valdez 0.4652 0.2051 55.9
10 Kenley Jansen 0.3605 0.5507 51.2

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jesús Luzardo 6.6084
3.7724
(1373.8)
4.1753
(1141.5)
3.6984
(1357.8)
3.8519
(1336.3)
3.7667
(1382.4)
Justus Sheffield 6.8340
4.4886
(1021.4)
4.3096
(1040.8)
4.4793
(982.5)
4.4956
(1016.3)
4.4909
(1026.0)
Jake Arrieta 7.3885
4.7404
(1386.3)
4.5000
(1438.6)
4.8146
(1299.7)
4.8541
(1330.0)
4.5510
(1481.7)
Patrick Corbin 5.8194
4.0363
(1570.2)
3.7768
(1668.4)
4.0952
(1443.0)
4.0144
(1582.0)
3.9988
(1608.8)
J.C. Mejía 8.2548
4.9648
(856.2)
4.0791
(1036.4)
4.0791
(1040.8)
5.2678
(782.6)
4.6625
(931.5)
Matt Shoemaker 8.0552
4.8431
(999.6)
4.1557
(1158.3)
4.0791
(1185.3)
4.7658
(1019.8)
4.9206
(981.6)
J.A. Happ 5.7899
4.5652
(1028.2)
4.2593
(1147.1)
4.4834
(1009.1)
4.7853
(876.4)
4.4274
(1130.1)
Carlos Rodón 2.3744
4.7369
(1097.3)
4.5933
(1089.4)
4.7250
(1149.9)
4.7996
(1134.1)
4.6849
(1062.1)
Ranger Suarez 1.3585
4.3856
(1136.7)
4.5401
(1255.1)
4.3015
(1147.7)
4.3079
(1106.9)
4.5495
(1199.4)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Heaney 4.1609 5.8303 1103.2
2 Cal Quantrill 4.8208 2.8864 1002.1
3 Adam Wainwright 4.5186 3.0533 958.5
4 Robbie Ray 4.3773 2.8397 950.8
5 Mitch Keller 4.4622 6.1689 946.8
6 Aaron Nola 3.6829 4.6328 942.0
7 Dallas Keuchel 4.3092 5.2778 918.9
8 Zach Davies 4.7410 5.7770 897.5
9 Vince Velasquez 4.4730 6.2968 888.8
10 Zack Wheeler 4.0825 2.7844 840.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 3.7197 5.7770 1493.8
2 Dallas Keuchel 3.5398 5.2778 1380.1
3 Robbie Ray 4.6719 2.8397 1278.0
4 Corbin Burnes 4.3714 2.4251 1161.2
5 Kevin Gausman 4.4702 2.8125 1146.1
6 Trevor Rogers 4.8425 2.6391 1113.5
7 Brad Keller 3.7914 5.3865 1087.5
8 Hyun Jin Ryu 3.0245 4.3669 1066.4
9 Spenser Watkins 4.0791 8.0671 1062.6
10 Kyle Hendricks 3.6061 4.7735 1056.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Harvey 4.0791 6.2742 1392.3
2 Chi Chi González 4.0791 6.4623 1156.1
3 Robbie Ray 4.4510 2.8397 1093.1
4 Spenser Watkins 4.0791 8.0671 1067.2
5 Andrew Heaney 4.2099 5.8303 1014.3
6 Cal Quantrill 4.7013 2.8864 996.5
7 Zack Wheeler 4.1096 2.7844 957.6
8 Mitch Keller 4.4160 6.1689 916.6
9 Sandy Alcantara 4.4748 3.1945 906.5
10 Griffin Jax 4.0791 6.3659 894.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 4.5270 2.8397 1071.3
2 Andrew Heaney 4.2738 5.8303 1036.7
3 Cal Quantrill 4.7900 2.8864 986.9
4 Vince Velasquez 4.2645 6.2968 973.2
5 Mitch Keller 4.4459 6.1689 951.5
6 Aaron Nola 3.6860 4.6328 934.9
7 Adam Wainwright 4.4099 3.0533 873.7
8 Keegan Akin 5.0295 6.6316 812.8
9 Zack Wheeler 3.9980 2.7844 774.4
10 JT Brubaker 4.2218 5.3566 772.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 4.2436 5.7770 1239.2
2 Andrew Heaney 3.9986 5.8303 1201.6
3 Dallas Keuchel 3.9922 5.2778 1157.3
4 Spenser Watkins 4.0791 8.0671 1099.0
5 Cal Quantrill 4.9756 2.8864 1088.8
6 Aaron Nola 3.5558 4.6328 1047.7
7 Adam Wainwright 4.6295 3.0533 1038.7
8 Mitch Keller 4.5260 6.1689 923.4
9 Ryan Yarbrough 4.0366 5.1097 910.8
10 Vince Velasquez 4.5115 6.2968 878.6

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Justus Sheffield 1.8423
1.4606
(177.8)
1.3808
(190.7)
1.4678
(167.9)
1.4444
(185.8)
1.4700
(170.1)
Jake Arrieta 1.7736
1.4365
(195.7)
1.3936
(194.1)
1.4577
(177.1)
1.4652
(184.3)
1.3862
(214.3)
Patrick Corbin 1.4680
1.3019
(185.0)
1.2679
(175.6)
1.3117
(163.7)
1.3013
(188.6)
1.2926
(183.9)
Robbie Ray 1.0448
1.3712
(190.3)
1.4398
(279.2)
1.3787
(210.5)
1.3901
(201.6)
1.3448
(178.1)
Brad Keller 1.6608
1.4294
(191.1)
1.2839
(251.8)
1.4507
(166.6)
1.4858
(159.1)
1.3518
(232.0)
Garrett Richards 1.5951
1.3589
(195.2)
1.3165
(192.8)
1.2628
(243.1)
1.4128
(164.6)
1.3056
(221.5)
Carlos Rodón 0.9573
1.4178
(203.1)
1.3397
(186.2)
1.4110
(209.4)
1.4045
(193.7)
1.4384
(219.8)
Mitch Keller 1.7881
1.4060
(217.3)
1.4212
(188.3)
1.4007
(211.1)
1.3997
(222.3)
1.4180
(206.6)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 1.2296 1.6154 203.7
2 Sandy Alcantara 1.3946 1.0746 200.7
3 Adam Wainwright 1.3764 1.0565 198.4
4 Luis Castillo 1.2245 1.3641 176.5
5 Zach Davies 1.4207 1.6014 174.2
6 Dallas Keuchel 1.3785 1.5309 167.5
7 Luis Garcia 1.5141 1.1781 161.9
8 Jorge López 1.4184 1.6274 160.5
9 Corbin Burnes 1.2517 0.9401 152.0
10 Brady Singer 1.3718 1.5506 151.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 1.2489 1.6014 258.0
2 Corbin Burnes 1.3000 0.9401 214.3
3 Dallas Keuchel 1.2881 1.5309 199.1
4 Brady Singer 1.2606 1.5506 189.8
5 J.A. Happ 1.2346 1.4770 185.3
6 Freddy Peralta 1.3149 0.9700 180.5
7 Adam Wainwright 1.3064 1.0565 178.9
8 Max Scherzer 1.1553 0.8643 178.2
9 Kyle Hendricks 1.1594 1.3481 174.6
10 Sam Hentges 1.2628 1.7767 174.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sandy Alcantara 1.4126 1.0746 231.3
2 Matt Harvey 1.2628 1.5431 199.0
3 Julio Urías 1.3431 1.0180 196.3
4 Jesús Luzardo 1.2306 1.6154 195.1
5 Wil Crowe 1.2628 1.5686 192.5
6 Corbin Burnes 1.2827 0.9401 184.6
7 Sam Hentges 1.2628 1.7767 183.0
8 Zack Wheeler 1.2797 1.0078 178.5
9 Jorge López 1.3908 1.6274 165.5
10 Junior Guerra 1.2628 1.7296 162.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 1.2468 1.6154 198.0
2 Adam Wainwright 1.3668 1.0565 186.9
3 Luis Castillo 1.2230 1.3641 181.2
4 Sandy Alcantara 1.3737 1.0746 179.6
5 Zach Davies 1.4594 1.6014 151.3
6 Corbin Burnes 1.2536 0.9401 150.5
7 Jorge López 1.4444 1.6274 148.5
8 Luis Garcia 1.4944 1.1781 146.7
9 Jose Quintana 1.3347 1.7302 142.5
10 Brady Singer 1.3951 1.5506 140.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dallas Keuchel 1.2590 1.5309 245.8
2 Zach Davies 1.3425 1.6014 219.3
3 Adam Wainwright 1.3862 1.0565 215.4
4 Sandy Alcantara 1.3978 1.0746 212.4
5 Jesús Luzardo 1.2110 1.6154 207.1
6 Luis Garcia 1.5581 1.1781 196.6
7 Luis Castillo 1.2032 1.3641 185.0
8 Kyle Hendricks 1.2147 1.3481 159.3
9 J.A. Happ 1.3145 1.4770 155.7
10 Jorge López 1.4205 1.6274 153.4