2024 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoán Moncada 571 45 526.0
2 Jacob Young 32 521 489.0
3 Heliot Ramos 34 518 484.0
4 Tommy Pham 1 478 477.0
5 Josh Smith 131 592 461.0
6 Max Schuemann 1 459 458.0
7 Jung Hoo Lee 613 158 455.0
8 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 574 123 451.0
9 Andy Pages 1 443 442.0
10 Otto Lopez 1 434 433.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jackson Merrill 1 593 592.0
2 Jackson Chourio 1 573 572.0
3 Wyatt Langford 1 557 556.0
4 Colt Keith 1 556 555.0
5 Myles Straw 517 4 513.0
6 Max Schuemann 1 459 458.0
7 Tony Kemp 460 10 450.0
8 Andy Pages 1 443 442.0
9 José Abreu 551 120 431.0
10 Wenceel Pérez 1 425 424.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoán Moncada 559 45 514.0
2 Heliot Ramos 44 518 474.0
3 Jacob Young 69 521 452.0
4 Mike Trout 573 126 447.0
5 Alec Burleson 155 595 440.0
6 Trevor Story 545 106 439.0
7 Max Schuemann 28 459 431.0
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 643 222 421.0
9 Evan Carter 583 162 421.0
10 Josh Smith 175 592 417.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoán Moncada 633 45 587.7
2 Trevor Story 634 106 528.1
3 Mike Trout 648 126 522.4
4 Alec Burleson 87 595 508.3
5 Josh Smith 85 592 506.6
6 Heliot Ramos 13 518 504.9
7 Ryan Noda 600 111 488.6
8 José Abreu 604 120 483.6
9 Ronald Acuña Jr. 695 222 473.0
10 Jung Hoo Lee 625 158 467.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Thomas Saggese 608 52 556.0
2 Coby Mayo 597 46 551.0
3 Orelvis Martinez 550 3 547.0
4 Liover Peguero 549 10 539.0
5 Myles Straw 533 4 529.0
6 Jasson Domínguez 591 67 524.0
7 Jonatan Clase 588 66 522.0
8 Luisangel Acuña 560 40 520.0
9 Dustin Harris 522 7 515.0
10 Tyler Gentry 519 5 514.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jurickson Profar 0.3645
0.3111
(41.2)
0.3093
(42.4)
0.3112
(46.8)
0.3082
(49.0)
0.3035
(42.7)
Jarren Duran 0.3568
0.3228
(31.1)
0.3199
(33.2)
0.3199
(39.5)
0.3212
(38.8)
0.3197
(29.4)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.4133
0.3515
(49.7)
0.3279
(66.4)
0.3515
(55.7)
0.3527
(55.1)
0.3432
(51.8)
Brent Rooker 0.3941
0.3124
(55.3)
0.3322
(43.1)
0.3203
(55.6)
0.3226
(54.4)
0.3401
(35.0)
Marcell Ozuna 0.3948
0.3527
(34.7)
0.3380
(44.7)
0.3470
(44.4)
0.3446
(46.3)
0.3425
(38.0)
Brandon Drury 0.2166
0.3288
(37.4)
0.3382
(40.8)
0.3213
(31.6)
0.3204
(31.2)
0.3145
(34.2)
Aaron Judge 0.4811
0.3955
(66.1)
0.4145
(52.7)
0.4014
(68.0)
0.4016
(68.0)
0.4066
(54.6)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Heliot Ramos 0.2414 0.3401 55.4
2 Francisco Lindor 0.2946 0.3629 52.8
3 Joc Pederson 0.3070 0.3871 39.7
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.3201 0.3677 38.7
5 José Ramírez 0.3213 0.3695 38.5
6 Luke Raley 0.2705 0.3376 34.3
7 Miguel Rojas 0.2319 0.3251 34.2
8 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.3482 0.2568 32.9
9 Anthony Santander 0.3062 0.3467 32.5
10 Jackson Merrill 0.3078 0.3497 29.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gunnar Henderson 0.3395 0.3819 36.4
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3706 0.3091 34.8
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3615 0.4029 34.6
4 Brenton Doyle 0.2779 0.3264 34.2
5 Mark Vientos 0.2889 0.3560 34.2
6 Ketel Marte 0.3462 0.3946 33.0
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.3960 0.4323 32.6
8 Elly De La Cruz 0.3110 0.3486 31.9
9 Davis Schneider 0.3555 0.2775 31.7
10 Zack Gelof 0.3406 0.2749 31.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.3926 0.4323 41.3
2 Ketel Marte 0.3490 0.3946 36.3
3 Brenton Doyle 0.2840 0.3264 35.7
4 Heliot Ramos 0.2884 0.3401 35.5
5 Jackson Merrill 0.3071 0.3497 35.2
6 Tyler Fitzgerald 0.2757 0.3567 33.4
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.3526 0.3819 33.1
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3730 0.4029 32.6
9 Lawrence Butler 0.2967 0.3446 29.2
10 Jose Iglesias 0.2840 0.3629 27.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.3905 0.4323 43.1
2 Jackson Merrill 0.3045 0.3497 36.9
3 Brenton Doyle 0.2839 0.3264 36.0
4 Ketel Marte 0.3508 0.3946 35.5
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.3517 0.3819 34.0
6 Tyler Fitzgerald 0.2755 0.3567 33.5
7 Heliot Ramos 0.2953 0.3401 32.1
8 Teoscar Hernández 0.3308 0.3608 30.7
9 Elly De La Cruz 0.3226 0.3486 30.0
10 Francisco Lindor 0.3365 0.3629 30.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.3850 0.4323 36.7
2 Jackson Merrill 0.2918 0.3497 36.1
3 Andrés Giménez 0.3320 0.2808 30.5
4 Christopher Morel 0.3314 0.2824 28.1
5 Lawrence Butler 0.2858 0.3446 27.8
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3664 0.4029 27.5
7 Keibert Ruiz 0.3260 0.2685 26.5
8 Bo Bichette 0.3464 0.2649 26.4
9 Jose Iglesias 0.2776 0.3629 25.7
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3511 0.3091 25.5

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Luis Robert Jr. 0.3318
0.2478
(38.1)
0.2445
(37.3)
0.2550
(31.8)
0.2542
(31.8)
0.2505
(38.6)
Brenton Doyle 0.2537
0.3102
(30.7)
0.3073
(32.0)
0.3285
(46.2)
0.3240
(44.1)
0.3368
(44.4)
Ryan O'Hearn 0.1397
0.2335
(43.6)
0.2374
(48.0)
0.2416
(51.3)
0.2394
(50.7)
0.2455
(47.6)
Will Benson 0.3969
0.2799
(47.6)
0.2812
(45.1)
0.3016
(36.3)
0.3024
(35.6)
0.3098
(37.5)
Logan O'Hoppe 0.2969
0.2290
(38.4)
0.2323
(34.0)
0.2061
(46.5)
0.2048
(46.6)
0.2116
(49.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Masyn Winn 0.2451 0.1711 43.5
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.2215 0.1496 42.1
3 Luis Arraez 0.1109 0.0432 41.8
4 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2337 0.2878 41.5
5 Tyler O'Neill 0.2606 0.3362 38.4
6 Nolan Gorman 0.2875 0.3756 37.7
7 Wyatt Langford 0.2735 0.2065 34.2
8 Seiya Suzuki 0.2210 0.2735 34.0
9 Nick Gonzales 0.2840 0.1912 33.7
10 Bryan De La Cruz 0.2267 0.2733 32.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Gelof 0.2542 0.3437 49.2
2 Ernie Clement 0.1755 0.0907 38.1
3 Colton Cowser 0.2398 0.3066 37.7
4 Maikel Garcia 0.2236 0.1645 36.7
5 Joey Loperfido 0.2258 0.3626 36.0
6 Cody Bellinger 0.2195 0.1564 35.6
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.2059 0.1496 35.4
8 Jorge Polanco 0.2174 0.2921 35.3
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.2778 0.2022 34.9
10 Luis Arraez 0.0938 0.0432 33.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Larnach 0.3193 0.2225 39.5
2 JJ Bleday 0.2540 0.1947 39.3
3 Miguel Amaya 0.2664 0.1708 35.4
4 Ryan Jeffers 0.2751 0.2022 34.8
5 Nolan Gorman 0.2873 0.3756 34.7
6 Nick Gonzales 0.2784 0.1912 34.5
7 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2374 0.2878 33.7
8 Cody Bellinger 0.2099 0.1564 31.5
9 Yordan Alvarez 0.1969 0.1496 31.2
10 Zack Gelof 0.2848 0.3437 31.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Larnach 0.3210 0.2225 40.5
2 JJ Bleday 0.2532 0.1947 39.4
3 Ryan Jeffers 0.2759 0.2022 35.6
4 Miguel Amaya 0.2655 0.1708 35.4
5 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2344 0.2878 35.1
6 Nick Gonzales 0.2779 0.1912 34.6
7 Nolan Gorman 0.2867 0.3756 34.6
8 Yordan Alvarez 0.1980 0.1496 32.5
9 Cody Bellinger 0.2101 0.1564 32.1
10 Matt Chapman 0.2901 0.2442 31.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2415 0.2878 38.8
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.2643 0.3362 38.5
3 Rafael Devers 0.1924 0.2446 37.1
4 Trevor Larnach 0.3226 0.2225 36.3
5 Bryan De La Cruz 0.2252 0.2733 35.8
6 Seiya Suzuki 0.2224 0.2735 35.4
7 Miguel Amaya 0.2731 0.1708 33.7
8 Brandon Nimmo 0.1984 0.2383 32.8
9 Jorge Polanco 0.2322 0.2921 32.6
10 Brendan Rodgers 0.1942 0.2449 32.4

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Paul Goldschmidt 0.0719
0.1147
(24.1)
0.1128
(24.4)
0.1216
(27.5)
0.1205
(26.5)
0.1158
(27.0)
Kyle Tucker 0.1652
0.1083
(21.3)
0.1025
(22.5)
0.1106
(21.1)
0.1099
(21.5)
0.1086
(20.1)
Aaron Judge 0.1889
0.1570
(26.7)
0.1478
(31.5)
0.1515
(31.8)
0.1538
(30.5)
0.1522
(27.8)
Salvador Perez 0.0675
0.0453
(18.4)
0.0435
(18.0)
0.0407
(22.5)
0.0406
(22.8)
0.0404
(19.4)
Alex Bregman 0.0694
0.1113
(22.8)
0.1198
(29.6)
0.1258
(30.9)
0.1259
(30.7)
0.1308
(37.2)
Joey Ortiz 0.1096
0.0738
(21.4)
0.0724
(20.9)
0.0669
(25.8)
0.0669
(26.0)
0.0640
(24.7)
Adley Rutschman 0.0909
0.1252
(18.1)
0.1265
(20.3)
0.1312
(20.8)
0.1319
(20.9)
0.1246
(19.7)
Jonathan India 0.1256
0.0986
(21.0)
0.0939
(22.5)
0.0975
(22.8)
0.0977
(23.0)
0.1004
(17.8)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1498 0.1108 24.2
2 Marcell Ozuna 0.0813 0.1076 22.2
3 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.1092 0.1546 20.6
4 Jose Altuve 0.1047 0.0689 20.3
5 José Caballero 0.1034 0.0559 20.1
6 Brayan Rocchio 0.0619 0.0995 19.3
7 William Contreras 0.0928 0.1149 19.1
8 Juan Soto 0.1603 0.1809 19.0
9 Richie Palacios 0.0896 0.1424 18.6
10 Cal Raleigh 0.0882 0.1115 18.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ceddanne Rafaela 0.0754 0.0263 26.0
2 Luis Arraez 0.0747 0.0357 23.7
3 Richie Palacios 0.0752 0.1424 22.4
4 Jose Altuve 0.1026 0.0689 20.5
5 Ryan O'Hearn 0.0556 0.0931 20.4
6 Yandy Díaz 0.1166 0.0805 20.1
7 Michael Toglia 0.0785 0.1179 19.7
8 Marcell Ozuna 0.0836 0.1076 19.0
9 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0588 0.0804 17.9
10 Austin Wells 0.0741 0.1135 17.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Caballero 0.1198 0.0559 27.1
2 Luis Arraez 0.0763 0.0357 22.1
3 Yandy Díaz 0.1215 0.0805 20.6
4 Ryan O'Hearn 0.0593 0.0931 20.5
5 Brenton Doyle 0.0528 0.0763 18.8
6 Marcell Ozuna 0.0880 0.1076 18.8
7 Bo Naylor 0.1303 0.0746 18.7
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0628 0.0804 17.9
9 Cal Raleigh 0.0908 0.1115 17.9
10 Brendan Donovan 0.1071 0.0721 17.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Caballero 0.1215 0.0559 27.7
2 Luis Arraez 0.0764 0.0357 21.9
3 Yandy Díaz 0.1225 0.0805 21.0
4 Ryan O'Hearn 0.0605 0.0931 20.1
5 Marcell Ozuna 0.0869 0.1076 19.8
6 Brenton Doyle 0.0529 0.0763 19.0
7 Bo Naylor 0.1308 0.0746 18.7
8 Cal Raleigh 0.0899 0.1115 18.7
9 Teoscar Hernández 0.0618 0.0813 18.0
10 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0633 0.0804 17.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Arraez 0.0748 0.0357 24.4
2 José Caballero 0.1054 0.0559 22.6
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0886 0.1257 22.5
4 Yandy Díaz 0.1182 0.0805 21.7
5 Cal Raleigh 0.0846 0.1115 18.6
6 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1008 0.0632 18.2
7 Brendan Donovan 0.1019 0.0721 17.7
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.1057 0.0766 16.9
9 Max Kepler 0.0998 0.0551 16.7
10 Brenton Doyle 0.0517 0.0763 16.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jake McCarthy 0.0283
0.0000
(8.5)
0.0152
(6.8)
0.0143
(7.2)
0.0140
(7.3)
0.0138
(7.7)
Jurickson Profar 0.0269
0.0000
(10.6)
0.0096
(12.0)
0.0102
(11.5)
0.0100
(11.6)
0.0117
(10.9)
Ryan Jeffers 0.0301
0.0000
(8.9)
0.0152
(7.2)
0.0140
(7.7)
0.0140
(7.7)
0.0172
(6.5)
Willi Castro 0.0331
0.0000
(14.0)
0.0200
(8.6)
0.0180
(9.9)
0.0180
(9.9)
0.0202
(8.8)
Leo Jiménez 0.0762
0.0000
(13.7)
0.0111
(13.8)
0.0217
(11.5)
0.0210
(11.7)
0.0417
(7.5)
Joc Pederson 0.0401
0.0000
(13.0)
0.0155
(11.3)
0.0153
(11.4)
0.0150
(11.5)
0.0188
(10.0)
Matt Wallner 0.0613
0.0000
(13.1)
0.0325
(7.6)
0.0221
(10.3)
0.0220
(10.4)
0.0296
(8.5)
Masataka Yoshida 0.0333
0.0000
(9.3)
0.0123
(9.0)
0.0123
(9.0)
0.0120
(9.1)
0.0108
(9.9)
Randy Arozarena 0.0340
0.0000
(14.8)
0.0220
(8.1)
0.0188
(10.2)
0.0190
(10.0)
0.0255
(6.1)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Raley 0.0000 0.0440 15.0
2 Tyler Freeman 0.0000 0.0496 14.8
3 Josh Smith 0.0000 0.0304 11.4
4 Isaac Paredes 0.0000 0.0265 9.9
5 Zach Neto 0.0000 0.0266 9.3
6 CJ Abrams 0.0000 0.0266 9.3
7 Dylan Moore 0.0000 0.0317 9.1
8 TJ Friedl 0.0000 0.0352 8.2
9 Willson Contreras 0.0000 0.0335 8.0
10 Andrés Giménez 0.0000 0.0237 8.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Freeman 0.0167 0.0496 12.8
2 José Caballero 0.0380 0.0186 9.1
3 Miguel Amaya 0.0351 0.0110 8.5
4 Brent Rooker 0.0215 0.0081 7.9
5 Ty France 0.0389 0.0243 7.5
6 Jeremy Peña 0.0121 0.0215 6.5
7 Jacob Young 0.0112 0.0230 6.4
8 Christopher Morel 0.0064 0.0164 6.4
9 Jacob Stallings 0.0108 0.0320 6.1
10 TJ Friedl 0.0179 0.0352 6.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Freeman 0.0276 0.0496 8.6
2 Kevin Pillar 0.0123 0.0318 6.3
3 TJ Friedl 0.0173 0.0352 6.3
4 Jacob Stallings 0.0103 0.0320 6.2
5 Jacob Young 0.0116 0.0230 6.2
6 Luke Raley 0.0311 0.0440 6.1
7 Brent Rooker 0.0185 0.0081 6.0
8 Kris Bryant 0.0133 0.0516 6.0
9 Isaac Paredes 0.0178 0.0265 5.9
10 Byron Buxton 0.0140 0.0284 5.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Freeman 0.0270 0.0496 8.8
2 TJ Friedl 0.0170 0.0352 6.4
3 Luke Raley 0.0310 0.0440 6.1
4 Kevin Pillar 0.0130 0.0318 6.1
5 Kris Bryant 0.0130 0.0516 6.1
6 Jacob Stallings 0.0110 0.0320 6.0
7 Jacob Young 0.0120 0.0230 6.0
8 Jeremy Peña 0.0130 0.0215 5.8
9 Brent Rooker 0.0180 0.0081 5.8
10 Isaac Paredes 0.0180 0.0265 5.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Neto 0.0466 0.0266 11.4
2 José Caballero 0.0408 0.0186 10.2
3 Ty France 0.0427 0.0243 9.3
4 Miguel Amaya 0.0346 0.0110 8.2
5 Andrés Giménez 0.0376 0.0237 8.2
6 Austin Martin 0.0385 0.0078 7.6
7 Jeremy Peña 0.0116 0.0215 7.1
8 Max Schuemann 0.0313 0.0153 6.9
9 Jacob Stallings 0.0096 0.0320 6.6
10 Nick Castellanos 0.0067 0.0152 6.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Tyler O'Neill 0.1220
0.0634
(29.4)
0.0684
(26.5)
0.0673
(28.8)
0.0666
(29.2)
0.0714
(23.6)
Michael Toglia 0.0977
0.0675
(15.5)
0.0435
(25.9)
0.0594
(20.3)
0.0602
(20.0)
0.0525
(20.3)
Anthony Santander 0.0934
0.0644
(21.7)
0.0639
(21.1)
0.0680
(20.9)
0.0654
(22.8)
0.0662
(17.6)
Ketel Marte 0.0885
0.0404
(30.1)
0.0462
(25.9)
0.0435
(29.8)
0.0437
(29.7)
0.0450
(24.9)
Andrew Benintendi 0.0521
0.0200
(18.6)
0.0215
(17.2)
0.0245
(17.6)
0.0247
(17.6)
0.0223
(15.2)
Aaron Judge 0.1483
0.1121
(28.1)
0.1237
(18.9)
0.1214
(23.3)
0.1199
(24.4)
0.1266
(14.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lawrence Butler 0.0342 0.0714 18.4
2 Brent Rooker 0.0791 0.1046 17.9
3 José Ramírez 0.0496 0.0716 17.5
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.0588 0.0819 17.4
5 Francisco Lindor 0.0466 0.0668 16.4
6 Shea Langeliers 0.0576 0.0845 16.3
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.0590 0.0779 16.2
8 Riley Greene 0.0428 0.0669 16.2
9 Josh Naylor 0.0451 0.0670 16.1
10 Paul DeJong 0.0524 0.0816 15.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mark Vientos 0.0514 0.0954 21.0
2 Riley Greene 0.0337 0.0669 20.7
3 Colton Cowser 0.0382 0.0727 20.6
4 Yainer Diaz 0.0660 0.0329 19.1
5 Anthony Volpe 0.0542 0.0246 18.8
6 Brandon Drury 0.0680 0.0162 17.8
7 Juan Soto 0.0667 0.0889 17.5
8 Brent Rooker 0.0803 0.1046 16.3
9 Jurickson Profar 0.0295 0.0507 15.7
10 Nolan Arenado 0.0585 0.0324 15.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colton Cowser 0.0464 0.0727 18.2
2 Riley Greene 0.0422 0.0669 17.9
3 Matt Olson 0.0983 0.0667 17.5
4 Jurickson Profar 0.0307 0.0507 17.5
5 Yainer Diaz 0.0662 0.0329 16.8
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.0952 0.1120 16.7
7 Brent Rooker 0.0834 0.1046 16.7
8 Anthony Volpe 0.0548 0.0246 16.6
9 Jackson Merrill 0.0302 0.0519 16.5
10 Lawrence Butler 0.0422 0.0714 15.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colton Cowser 0.0458 0.0727 18.7
2 Riley Greene 0.0429 0.0669 17.7
3 Matt Olson 0.0986 0.0667 17.6
4 Jurickson Profar 0.0312 0.0507 17.3
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.0952 0.1120 16.9
6 Brent Rooker 0.0841 0.1046 16.4
7 Jackson Merrill 0.0308 0.0519 16.2
8 Yainer Diaz 0.0653 0.0329 16.1
9 Anthony Volpe 0.0541 0.0246 16.0
10 Lawrence Butler 0.0425 0.0714 15.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Volpe 0.0494 0.0246 17.6
2 Colton Cowser 0.0439 0.0727 15.7
3 Isaac Paredes 0.0665 0.0429 15.6
4 Jurickson Profar 0.0273 0.0507 15.1
5 Christopher Morel 0.0790 0.0551 15.1
6 Nolan Jones 0.0673 0.0178 14.9
7 Brandon Drury 0.0569 0.0162 14.9
8 Matt Olson 0.0873 0.0667 14.6
9 Lawrence Butler 0.0386 0.0714 14.5
10 Ryan O'Hearn 0.0682 0.0398 14.4

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Corbin Carroll 0.2539
0.3420
(53.1)
0.3128
(37.2)
0.3108
(33.9)
0.3099
(33.5)
0.3227
(41.6)
Kyle Schwarber 0.3006
0.2468
(44.5)
0.2460
(40.9)
0.2561
(35.8)
0.2533
(37.6)
0.2532
(38.3)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3538
0.3134
(36.1)
0.2955
(44.6)
0.2942
(47.4)
0.2948
(46.7)
0.3043
(40.8)
Christopher Morel 0.2333
0.3125
(42.0)
0.3045
(40.7)
0.3030
(38.1)
0.3009
(37.0)
0.3069
(40.1)
Brent Rooker 0.3623
0.2680
(64.3)
0.2976
(42.5)
0.2893
(49.3)
0.2915
(47.8)
0.3077
(38.4)
Yainer Diaz 0.3383
0.2711
(48.1)
0.2900
(32.8)
0.2901
(34.4)
0.2906
(33.9)
0.2922
(33.5)
Aaron Judge 0.3664
0.3208
(39.4)
0.3176
(37.5)
0.3055
(48.0)
0.3075
(46.4)
0.3080
(46.7)
Tyler Fitzgerald 0.3802
0.2958
(32.4)
0.2857
(33.8)
0.2919
(32.6)
0.2903
(33.1)
0.2958
(31.5)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.2643 0.3303 52.9
2 Heliot Ramos 0.2381 0.3292 52.6
3 Francisco Lindor 0.2395 0.2950 45.4
4 Oneil Cruz 0.2879 0.3469 41.6
5 Logan O'Hoppe 0.2509 0.3170 40.0
6 Brandon Drury 0.3257 0.2099 37.9
7 Jared Triolo 0.3705 0.2794 36.0
8 George Springer 0.3117 0.2440 35.2
9 Joc Pederson 0.2490 0.3145 34.1
10 Wilyer Abreu 0.2613 0.3258 33.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2751 0.3582 60.3
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2911 0.3421 38.8
3 Maikel Garcia 0.3292 0.2658 36.8
4 Josh Smith 0.2546 0.3096 35.3
5 Andrew Benintendi 0.3146 0.2445 34.2
6 Brandon Nimmo 0.3222 0.2672 33.4
7 Jared Triolo 0.3583 0.2794 33.1
8 Anthony Santander 0.2782 0.2248 32.5
9 Masyn Winn 0.2553 0.3015 32.3
10 Colton Cowser 0.2649 0.3170 31.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2851 0.3582 55.3
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2881 0.3421 42.7
3 Seiya Suzuki 0.3120 0.3701 38.3
4 Jose Altuve 0.2901 0.3374 37.3
5 Maikel Garcia 0.3267 0.2658 33.5
6 Anthony Santander 0.2808 0.2248 32.4
7 Oneil Cruz 0.3013 0.3469 31.7
8 Elly De La Cruz 0.3196 0.3571 31.2
9 Josh Naylor 0.3011 0.2454 30.7
10 Xavier Edwards 0.3059 0.3963 29.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2831 0.3582 56.5
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2875 0.3421 43.0
3 Seiya Suzuki 0.3104 0.3701 39.1
4 Jose Altuve 0.2916 0.3374 36.0
5 Anthony Santander 0.2828 0.2248 33.9
6 Maikel Garcia 0.3258 0.2658 33.2
7 Oneil Cruz 0.3000 0.3469 32.3
8 Elly De La Cruz 0.3189 0.3571 31.5
9 Josh Naylor 0.3003 0.2454 30.3
10 Xavier Edwards 0.3073 0.3963 29.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2866 0.3582 54.7
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2860 0.3421 44.7
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.2878 0.3341 39.7
4 Anthony Santander 0.2861 0.2248 35.4
5 Seiya Suzuki 0.3191 0.3701 34.5
6 Jose Altuve 0.2981 0.3374 32.3
7 Jose Iglesias 0.2857 0.3816 30.2
8 Elly De La Cruz 0.3219 0.3571 30.1
9 Andrew Benintendi 0.3098 0.2445 29.9
10 Xavier Edwards 0.3127 0.3963 27.8

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jose Altuve 0.2740
0.2271
(35.8)
0.2300
(30.9)
0.2156
(41.2)
0.2185
(39.5)
0.2222
(38.0)
Corbin Carroll 0.1737
0.2461
(45.8)
0.2179
(29.3)
0.2313
(38.0)
0.2186
(29.0)
0.2340
(38.5)
Julio Rodríguez 0.3003
0.2506
(33.8)
0.2468
(33.6)
0.2189
(51.1)
0.2353
(41.3)
0.2418
(38.3)
Kyle Schwarber 0.2370
0.1818
(42.0)
0.1757
(43.3)
0.1953
(30.2)
0.1877
(35.8)
0.1795
(42.5)
Brent Rooker 0.2784
0.1959
(54.1)
0.2183
(37.8)
0.2047
(46.5)
0.2106
(43.1)
0.2308
(31.7)
Nolan Arenado 0.2469
0.1939
(37.1)
0.1990
(31.2)
0.1993
(31.5)
0.2014
(30.4)
0.2037
(29.9)
Yainer Diaz 0.2702
0.2018
(45.7)
0.2082
(39.2)
0.2161
(34.7)
0.2182
(33.7)
0.2240
(31.0)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.1895 0.2584 51.5
2 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1927 0.2582 37.0
3 Dylan Moore 0.2427 0.1535 36.9
4 Mitch Garver 0.2269 0.1396 35.2
5 Heliot Ramos 0.1905 0.2484 32.9
6 Ryan Jeffers 0.2396 0.1645 32.4
7 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.2010 0.2531 31.8
8 George Springer 0.2469 0.1908 31.1
9 Josh Naylor 0.2363 0.1829 30.4
10 Francisco Lindor 0.1698 0.2082 30.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2041 0.2811 53.8
2 Maikel Garcia 0.2609 0.1983 38.3
3 Mitch Garver 0.2203 0.1396 34.1
4 Randy Arozarena 0.2360 0.1841 32.8
5 Spencer Steer 0.2200 0.1695 32.3
6 Will Benson 0.2420 0.1629 30.2
7 Brandon Nimmo 0.2397 0.1959 28.2
8 Anthony Volpe 0.1911 0.2295 27.3
9 Heliot Ramos 0.1974 0.2484 27.1
10 Jeff McNeil 0.2393 0.1810 26.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2146 0.2811 47.1
2 Maikel Garcia 0.2539 0.1983 33.6
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2086 0.2510 31.0
4 Randy Arozarena 0.2332 0.1841 30.5
5 Logan O'Hoppe 0.2069 0.2582 27.8
6 Jurickson Profar 0.1952 0.2339 27.1
7 Anthony Volpe 0.1928 0.2295 26.6
8 Riley Greene 0.2763 0.2299 26.0
9 MJ Melendez 0.2078 0.1484 25.9
10 Jose Iglesias 0.2245 0.3070 24.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2117 0.2811 49.4
2 Randy Arozarena 0.2343 0.1841 31.0
3 Mitch Garver 0.2099 0.1396 29.2
4 Maikel Garcia 0.2471 0.1983 29.0
5 Anthony Volpe 0.1906 0.2295 28.4
6 Logan O'Hoppe 0.2075 0.2582 27.7
7 Anthony Santander 0.2046 0.1616 27.0
8 Connor Wong 0.2169 0.2693 26.7
9 Spencer Steer 0.2114 0.1695 25.9
10 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2164 0.2510 25.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2166 0.2811 47.1
2 Anthony Volpe 0.1776 0.2295 38.5
3 Randy Arozarena 0.2373 0.1841 31.9
4 Mitch Garver 0.2179 0.1396 31.9
5 Spencer Steer 0.2174 0.1695 28.8
6 Colt Keith 0.2115 0.2582 28.2
7 Jose Iglesias 0.2143 0.3070 28.1
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.1948 0.2290 27.9
9 Jurickson Profar 0.1966 0.2339 27.5
10 MJ Melendez 0.2113 0.1484 26.6

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Oneil Cruz 0.0991
0.0743
(17.7)
0.0662
(21.6)
0.0736
(18.4)
0.0698
(20.3)
0.0650
(22.2)
JJ Bleday 0.1005
0.0759
(18.8)
0.0658
(24.3)
0.0694
(23.3)
0.0698
(22.6)
0.0717
(20.4)
Christopher Morel 0.0306
0.0855
(30.7)
0.0752
(25.4)
0.0700
(20.9)
0.0743
(24.0)
0.0726
(23.9)
Michael Harris II 0.0420
0.0891
(19.9)
0.0849
(18.7)
0.0869
(18.6)
0.0827
(17.0)
0.0819
(17.4)
Alec Bohm 0.0959
0.0613
(23.8)
0.0614
(22.8)
0.0694
(19.2)
0.0690
(19.0)
0.0647
(20.7)
Aaron Judge 0.1081
0.0819
(21.8)
0.0745
(25.8)
0.0660
(33.3)
0.0683
(31.2)
0.0725
(27.2)
Wilyer Abreu 0.1250
0.0653
(28.8)
0.0823
(20.5)
0.0744
(25.0)
0.0794
(22.4)
0.0730
(24.6)
Jorge Soler 0.1006
0.0566
(28.0)
0.0726
(17.9)
0.0579
(27.5)
0.0729
(18.5)
0.0724
(17.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colt Keith 0.0929 0.0380 27.9
2 Michael Conforto 0.0429 0.0891 24.8
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0602 0.0891 23.4
4 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.1005 0.0551 22.5
5 Julio Rodríguez 0.0827 0.0433 21.3
6 Dominic Smith 0.0514 0.1140 20.7
7 Ketel Marte 0.1007 0.0620 19.8
8 Max Muncy 0.0526 0.1126 18.9
9 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0828 0.0458 18.2
10 Corbin Carroll 0.0803 0.0490 18.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0677 0.0952 21.3
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0636 0.0889 20.1
3 Adley Rutschman 0.0800 0.0461 19.7
4 Brandon Drury 0.0851 0.0288 19.1
5 Matt Wallner 0.0815 0.1504 18.8
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0657 0.0891 18.4
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.0763 0.0433 18.4
8 Rhys Hoskins 0.0881 0.0496 18.2
9 Cal Raleigh 0.0784 0.0468 17.9
10 Dominic Smith 0.0600 0.1140 17.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Rodríguez 0.0949 0.0433 28.5
2 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0693 0.1018 26.2
3 Matt Chapman 0.0664 0.0995 24.8
4 Cal Raleigh 0.0909 0.0468 24.4
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0624 0.0889 22.5
6 Riley Greene 0.0531 0.0806 19.1
7 Jonah Heim 0.0770 0.0335 18.8
8 Santiago Espinal 0.0915 0.0397 18.2
9 Adley Rutschman 0.0797 0.0461 18.2
10 Bryce Harper 0.0865 0.1091 17.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Rodríguez 0.0806 0.0433 20.1
2 Colt Keith 0.0787 0.0380 20.1
3 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0784 0.1018 19.4
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0672 0.0889 18.6
5 Francisco Lindor 0.0637 0.0846 17.5
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.0754 0.0952 16.9
7 Matt Wallner 0.0906 0.1504 16.8
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0697 0.0891 16.6
9 Jared Triolo 0.0774 0.0368 16.1
10 Will Benson 0.0700 0.1067 16.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cal Raleigh 0.0894 0.0468 24.9
2 Adley Rutschman 0.0861 0.0461 23.7
3 Rhys Hoskins 0.0956 0.0496 22.2
4 Colt Keith 0.0797 0.0380 21.6
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.0712 0.0952 18.7
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0655 0.0891 18.5
7 Jared Triolo 0.0800 0.0368 18.0
8 Wyatt Langford 0.1025 0.0674 17.9
9 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0954 0.0556 17.5
10 Anthony Volpe 0.0847 0.0568 17.2

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Xavier Edwards 0.0230
0.0065
(5.1)
0.0059
(5.2)
0.0050
(5.5)
0.0053
(5.4)
0.0078
(5.0)
Kyle Isbel 0.0268
0.0068
(8.7)
0.0114
(6.7)
0.0088
(7.7)
0.0091
(7.6)
0.0143
(5.8)
Joey Loperfido 0.0274
0.0065
(5.6)
0.0059
(5.7)
0.0053
(5.8)
0.0067
(5.4)
0.0068
(5.7)
Mike Yastrzemski 0.0313
0.0068
(11.7)
0.0076
(11.3)
0.0054
(12.3)
0.0052
(12.4)
0.0076
(11.7)
Corbin Carroll 0.0312
0.0155
(10.9)
0.0196
(8.1)
0.0190
(8.4)
0.0191
(8.3)
0.0222
(6.9)
Jarren Duran 0.0283
0.0119
(12.3)
0.0115
(12.5)
0.0124
(11.9)
0.0124
(11.8)
0.0205
(6.5)
Parker Meadows 0.0321
0.0122
(6.0)
0.0114
(6.2)
0.0158
(4.9)
0.0160
(4.8)
0.0132
(6.0)
Daulton Varsho 0.0229
0.0056
(9.0)
0.0085
(7.5)
0.0069
(8.3)
0.0070
(8.2)
0.0087
(7.9)
Kerry Carpenter 0.0282
0.0089
(5.8)
0.0072
(6.3)
0.0076
(6.2)
0.0077
(6.1)
0.0063
(6.8)
Rafael Devers 0.0140
0.0051
(5.6)
0.0026
(7.0)
0.0024
(7.1)
0.0024
(7.1)
0.0023
(7.7)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0156 0.0265 7.7
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0115 0.0217 7.4
3 Seiya Suzuki 0.0057 0.0179 7.3
4 CJ Abrams 0.0048 0.0151 6.4
5 Jonny DeLuca 0.0000 0.0159 5.9
6 Riley Greene 0.0084 0.0179 5.7
7 Jose Miranda 0.0000 0.0121 5.3
8 Ryan McMahon 0.0084 0.0000 5.2
9 Anthony Volpe 0.0078 0.0147 5.0
10 Heliot Ramos 0.0000 0.0093 5.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wenceel Pérez 0.0059 0.0206 6.3
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0072 0.0218 6.0
3 Joey Ortiz 0.0068 0.0179 5.7
4 Gavin Lux 0.0180 0.0062 5.6
5 Randy Arozarena 0.0084 0.0000 5.4
6 Jose Miranda 0.0000 0.0121 5.3
7 James Wood 0.0059 0.0212 5.2
8 Trea Turner 0.0095 0.0000 5.0
9 Michael Conforto 0.0000 0.0099 4.9
10 Jackson Merrill 0.0059 0.0137 4.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0161 0.0265 7.3
2 Otto Lopez 0.0171 0.0031 6.0
3 Jackson Merrill 0.0047 0.0137 5.4
4 Joey Ortiz 0.0079 0.0179 5.2
5 Mookie Betts 0.0034 0.0132 5.2
6 Seiya Suzuki 0.0095 0.0179 5.0
7 Randy Arozarena 0.0077 0.0000 4.9
8 Ketel Marte 0.0135 0.0054 4.6
9 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0155 0.0217 4.5
10 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.0116 0.0000 4.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0155 0.0265 7.7
2 Otto Lopez 0.0173 0.0031 6.1
3 Jackson Merrill 0.0047 0.0137 5.4
4 Joey Ortiz 0.0078 0.0179 5.2
5 Mookie Betts 0.0034 0.0132 5.1
6 Seiya Suzuki 0.0094 0.0179 5.0
7 Randy Arozarena 0.0077 0.0000 4.9
8 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.0118 0.0000 4.6
9 Ketel Marte 0.0134 0.0054 4.6
10 Ryan McMahon 0.0070 0.0000 4.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Otto Lopez 0.0186 0.0031 6.3
2 Juan Soto 0.0026 0.0095 5.7
3 Jose Miranda 0.0000 0.0121 5.7
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0149 0.0217 5.6
5 Michael Conforto 0.0000 0.0099 5.4
6 Mookie Betts 0.0047 0.0132 5.0
7 Will Benson 0.0250 0.0112 4.9
8 Oneil Cruz 0.0181 0.0087 4.9
9 Nick Castellanos 0.0026 0.0090 4.9
10 TJ Friedl 0.0192 0.0042 4.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Yandy Díaz 0.0886
0.1308
(21.5)
0.1348
(26.1)
0.1530
(34.8)
0.1481
(32.9)
0.1309
(23.3)
Dairon Blanco 0.2803
0.1217
(21.9)
0.1269
(20.8)
0.1190
(22.4)
0.1200
(22.0)
0.1395
(19.2)
Jurickson Profar 0.1407
0.1077
(27.2)
0.1147
(20.2)
0.1177
(21.0)
0.1104
(24.6)
0.1148
(20.6)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1763
0.1415
(30.1)
0.1320
(34.4)
0.1472
(26.5)
0.1503
(23.1)
0.1448
(25.8)
Matt Chapman 0.1515
0.1133
(29.6)
0.1220
(21.7)
0.1137
(29.8)
0.1158
(27.3)
0.1261
(19.6)
José Ramírez 0.1672
0.1272
(32.4)
0.1365
(23.7)
0.1463
(19.9)
0.1410
(22.3)
0.1387
(22.7)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob Young 0.0938 0.1440 30.1
2 Corbin Carroll 0.1438 0.1769 27.8
3 Juan Soto 0.1481 0.1795 27.8
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1351 0.1641 26.4
5 Francisco Lindor 0.1290 0.1553 23.4
6 Jorge Soler 0.1144 0.1463 22.7
7 Josh Naylor 0.1048 0.1327 22.5
8 Kyle Schwarber 0.1342 0.1590 22.4
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1609 0.1833 22.0
10 Orlando Arcia 0.1270 0.0831 21.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.1424 0.1795 29.4
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.1507 0.1833 26.9
3 Masyn Winn 0.0964 0.1334 26.2
4 Jarren Duran 0.1207 0.1510 25.4
5 Freddie Freeman 0.1667 0.1270 22.7
6 Jacob Young 0.1049 0.1440 22.5
7 Christopher Morel 0.1325 0.0917 22.4
8 Adolis García 0.1436 0.1068 20.8
9 Matt Olson 0.1481 0.1139 20.6
10 Eugenio Suárez 0.1128 0.1406 20.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.1634 0.1139 28.2
2 Corbin Carroll 0.1486 0.1769 25.1
3 Jarren Duran 0.1264 0.1510 24.2
4 Orlando Arcia 0.1304 0.0831 23.5
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.1404 0.1641 23.0
6 Matt Vierling 0.1094 0.1411 22.7
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.1150 0.1406 21.7
8 Alejandro Kirk 0.1241 0.0596 21.7
9 Adley Rutschman 0.1482 0.1066 21.2
10 Jacob Young 0.1116 0.1440 21.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gunnar Henderson 0.1340 0.1641 26.3
2 Matt Olson 0.1575 0.1139 25.4
3 Jacob Young 0.1052 0.1440 23.6
4 Jackson Chourio 0.1085 0.1396 21.6
5 Willi Castro 0.1133 0.1402 21.2
6 Corbin Carroll 0.1531 0.1769 20.8
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.1153 0.1406 20.4
8 Tyler Fitzgerald 0.1033 0.1554 20.0
9 Alejandro Kirk 0.1179 0.0596 20.0
10 Matt Vierling 0.1126 0.1411 19.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1480 0.1833 29.4
2 Nolan Schanuel 0.1542 0.1021 28.6
3 Christopher Morel 0.1410 0.0917 27.2
4 Eugenio Suárez 0.1057 0.1406 25.5
5 Juan Soto 0.1530 0.1795 22.4
6 Adolis García 0.1459 0.1068 21.9
7 Josh Naylor 0.1042 0.1327 21.1
8 Freddie Freeman 0.1642 0.1270 20.6
9 Lars Nootbaar 0.1508 0.0963 20.1
10 Taylor Ward 0.1438 0.1101 19.1

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Eloy Jiménez 0.0659
0.1400
(23.1)
0.1396
(24.6)
0.1559
(27.9)
0.1509
(26.4)
0.1482
(25.7)
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.1751
0.1330
(27.7)
0.1016
(42.5)
0.1442
(22.7)
0.1421
(23.4)
0.1325
(28.5)
Jurickson Profar 0.1272
0.0989
(24.2)
0.0918
(25.9)
0.1025
(23.2)
0.0951
(27.6)
0.0953
(27.2)
Brandon Nimmo 0.1357
0.0968
(31.1)
0.0959
(28.6)
0.1047
(27.2)
0.1001
(29.8)
0.1057
(25.8)
Brent Rooker 0.1824
0.1276
(38.5)
0.1161
(42.7)
0.1292
(38.8)
0.1339
(35.5)
0.1309
(37.0)
Ketel Marte 0.1630
0.1197
(29.8)
0.1161
(29.2)
0.1184
(31.8)
0.1208
(29.9)
0.1239
(27.9)
Brandon Drury 0.0417
0.1245
(27.0)
0.1479
(37.1)
0.1409
(32.1)
0.1369
(30.9)
0.1426
(33.2)
Jackson Merrill 0.1518
0.0909
(40.8)
0.1117
(25.7)
0.1119
(29.6)
0.1098
(30.4)
0.1116
(29.1)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1536 0.2045 41.5
2 José Ramírez 0.1337 0.1730 32.3
3 Heliot Ramos 0.0882 0.1390 30.4
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.1146 0.1503 30.2
5 Shea Langeliers 0.1077 0.1498 26.7
6 Josh Naylor 0.1385 0.1706 25.3
7 Jake Fraley 0.1407 0.0681 24.7
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1270 0.1537 24.6
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1530 0.1778 24.0
10 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.1306 0.0631 23.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1619 0.2045 32.3
2 Pete Alonso 0.1678 0.1266 26.3
3 Jake Fraley 0.1398 0.0681 26.1
4 Orlando Arcia 0.1230 0.0764 26.1
5 Heliot Ramos 0.0924 0.1390 25.8
6 Mark Vientos 0.1037 0.1564 25.4
7 Sal Frelick 0.1121 0.0611 25.1
8 Danny Jansen 0.1547 0.0741 25.1
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1472 0.1778 24.8
10 Nolan Arenado 0.1533 0.1118 24.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1651 0.2045 34.8
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.1185 0.1578 31.6
3 José Ramírez 0.1368 0.1730 31.5
4 Willy Adames 0.1289 0.1628 30.2
5 Alec Bohm 0.1290 0.1601 24.9
6 Orlando Arcia 0.1266 0.0764 24.2
7 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1482 0.0824 23.7
8 Heliot Ramos 0.1045 0.1390 23.0
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1568 0.1778 22.7
10 Pete Alonso 0.1688 0.1266 22.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1697 0.2045 31.1
2 Willy Adames 0.1298 0.1628 29.0
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.1218 0.1578 28.9
4 Alec Bohm 0.1225 0.1601 28.4
5 José Ramírez 0.1467 0.1730 24.2
6 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1478 0.0824 23.9
7 Andrew Benintendi 0.0883 0.1226 22.7
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.1561 0.1778 22.7
9 Orlando Arcia 0.1229 0.0764 22.4
10 Christopher Morel 0.1435 0.0982 22.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1639 0.0824 30.9
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.1922 0.1354 30.5
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.1220 0.1578 28.6
4 Jake Fraley 0.1499 0.0681 27.9
5 Christopher Morel 0.1502 0.0982 26.4
6 Sal Frelick 0.1193 0.0611 25.9
7 Pete Alonso 0.1718 0.1266 25.3
8 Danny Jansen 0.1582 0.0741 24.4
9 Alec Bohm 0.1290 0.1601 24.2
10 José Ramírez 0.1464 0.1730 24.2

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Dairon Blanco 0.9688
0.3276
(84.5)
0.3226
(83.4)
0.3551
(79.5)
0.3617
(78.4)
0.3636
(78.5)
Victor Robles 0.3953
0.1743
(64.9)
0.1316
(73.5)
0.1558
(67.3)
0.1549
(67.0)
0.1458
(70.4)
Luis Rengifo 0.2824
0.0820
(60.6)
0.0536
(65.1)
0.0666
(62.1)
0.0658
(61.8)
0.0583
(64.8)
Lane Thomas 0.2689
0.1479
(63.4)
0.0970
(83.1)
0.1053
(80.3)
0.1046
(79.7)
0.1053
(80.7)
Brice Turang 0.3145
0.2077
(65.5)
0.1792
(74.7)
0.1468
(96.6)
0.1485
(94.5)
0.1630
(87.1)
Willi Castro 0.0864
0.1979
(71.4)
0.1748
(65.4)
0.1996
(79.2)
0.1983
(79.5)
0.1923
(74.1)
Elly De La Cruz 0.4085
0.2800
(88.8)
0.2577
(94.8)
0.2601
(95.3)
0.2484
(102.2)
0.2977
(69.7)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1649
0.2609
(68.7)
0.2409
(64.2)
0.2768
(87.5)
0.2808
(91.6)
0.2365
(58.4)
Maikel Garcia 0.2721
0.1714
(62.4)
0.1301
(79.7)
0.1491
(69.8)
0.1498
(68.2)
0.1361
(78.4)
Zach Neto 0.2273
0.1282
(59.0)
0.0690
(86.5)
0.0764
(83.9)
0.0755
(83.4)
0.0645
(91.5)
Shohei Ohtani 0.3189
0.0939
(163.8)
0.1027
(147.4)
0.1120
(142.8)
0.1084
(144.2)
0.1126
(143.0)
José Ramírez 0.2770
0.1318
(98.4)
0.1391
(84.1)
0.1390
(86.3)
0.1338
(88.6)
0.1358
(89.0)
Bubba Thompson 5.0000
0.3063
(84.5)
0.2241
(85.7)
0.2982
(84.4)
0.2841
(84.6)
0.2653
(85.0)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ezequiel Tovar 0.1405 0.0469 65.8
2 Masyn Winn 0.1717 0.0748 62.3
3 Heliot Ramos 0.1667 0.0504 60.7
4 Daulton Varsho 0.2119 0.0962 59.9
5 Zack Gelof 0.1230 0.2315 58.8
6 Xavier Edwards 0.1250 0.3039 53.9
7 Luis García Jr. 0.0762 0.1774 52.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 David Hamilton 0.0980 0.4714 113.7
2 José Caballero 0.2198 0.4314 95.1
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1000 0.3140 81.7
4 Luis García Jr. 0.0550 0.1774 56.9
5 Lawrence Butler 0.0508 0.1895 55.9
6 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1261 0.2706 55.2
7 Xavier Edwards 0.1129 0.3039 53.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Caballero 0.2054 0.4314 103.6
2 Jackson Chourio 0.2816 0.1654 73.2
3 Spencer Steer 0.0632 0.1656 59.6
4 David Hamilton 0.2752 0.4714 58.5
5 Xavier Edwards 0.1003 0.3039 58.2
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1609 0.3140 58.0
7 Gleyber Torres 0.0903 0.0225 52.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Caballero 0.2037 0.4314 103.5
2 Spencer Steer 0.0589 0.1656 61.3
3 David Hamilton 0.2671 0.4714 60.6
4 Xavier Edwards 0.1022 0.3039 57.1
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1653 0.3140 55.5
6 Gleyber Torres 0.0904 0.0225 54.0
7 Thairo Estrada 0.1545 0.0294 52.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Caballero 0.2651 0.4314 75.1
2 Spencer Steer 0.0613 0.1656 61.3
3 Luis García Jr. 0.0543 0.1774 59.4
4 Willy Adames 0.0352 0.1288 57.0
5 David Hamilton 0.2869 0.4714 55.1
6 Jackson Chourio 0.2482 0.1654 53.6
7 Cedric Mullins 0.1704 0.2832 50.9

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jurickson Profar 0.2801
0.2370
(32.5)
0.2397
(29.9)
0.2385
(34.4)
0.2383
(34.5)
0.2356
(30.6)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3318
0.2801
(40.6)
0.2638
(51.2)
0.2789
(44.4)
0.2782
(45.0)
0.2748
(41.3)
Mitch Garver 0.1717
0.2396
(26.8)
0.2478
(30.9)
0.2345
(22.8)
0.2351
(23.0)
0.2327
(25.7)
Christopher Morel 0.1963
0.2479
(28.2)
0.2429
(25.8)
0.2440
(23.2)
0.2432
(22.7)
0.2419
(27.1)
Brent Rooker 0.2930
0.2178
(49.6)
0.2354
(38.0)
0.2206
(50.5)
0.2228
(49.2)
0.2397
(33.5)
Brandon Drury 0.1692
0.2638
(32.1)
0.2590
(30.8)
0.2492
(25.3)
0.2484
(24.9)
0.2450
(26.8)
Aaron Judge 0.3220
0.2652
(43.9)
0.2833
(30.3)
0.2708
(42.9)
0.2698
(43.8)
0.2711
(36.7)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Heliot Ramos 0.1875 0.2695 45.3
2 Francisco Lindor 0.2172 0.2735 42.6
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.2011 0.2478 36.1
4 Yainer Diaz 0.2466 0.2991 35.9
5 Corbin Carroll 0.2839 0.2309 32.4
6 José Ramírez 0.2376 0.2790 32.0
7 George Springer 0.2766 0.2202 31.3
8 Miguel Rojas 0.2010 0.2834 29.6
9 Bryan Reynolds 0.2378 0.2749 29.5
10 Joc Pederson 0.2153 0.2752 29.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2480 0.3020 40.1
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2757 0.3231 36.0
3 Masyn Winn 0.2200 0.2675 33.0
4 Jackson Merrill 0.2433 0.2924 31.7
5 Josh Smith 0.2121 0.2581 29.8
6 Brandon Nimmo 0.2729 0.2242 29.5
7 Brenton Doyle 0.2171 0.2601 28.6
8 Davis Schneider 0.2583 0.1914 28.4
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.2754 0.3097 28.3
10 JJ Bleday 0.2043 0.2430 27.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2563 0.3020 38.1
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2812 0.3231 36.0
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.2729 0.3097 34.0
4 Jarren Duran 0.2574 0.2846 27.2
5 Jose Iglesias 0.2533 0.3370 27.2
6 Connor Wong 0.2368 0.2796 25.6
7 Jackson Merrill 0.2598 0.2924 25.1
8 JJ Bleday 0.2146 0.2430 24.5
9 Tyler Fitzgerald 0.2189 0.2803 24.2
10 Heliot Ramos 0.2333 0.2695 23.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2549 0.3020 39.2
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.2721 0.3097 34.7
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2849 0.3231 33.5
4 Jarren Duran 0.2573 0.2846 27.3
5 Jose Iglesias 0.2537 0.3370 27.1
6 Connor Wong 0.2355 0.2796 26.3
7 Jackson Merrill 0.2600 0.2924 25.1
8 Heliot Ramos 0.2316 0.2695 24.8
9 Tyler Fitzgerald 0.2177 0.2803 24.7
10 Brenton Doyle 0.2297 0.2601 24.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.2595 0.3097 37.7
2 Marcell Ozuna 0.2533 0.3020 34.4
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2779 0.3231 32.4
4 Randy Arozarena 0.2642 0.2186 28.8
5 Corbin Carroll 0.2716 0.2309 27.0
6 Brandon Nimmo 0.2655 0.2242 26.6
7 Jose Iglesias 0.2486 0.3370 26.1
8 Jackson Merrill 0.2516 0.2924 24.9
9 Spencer Steer 0.2633 0.2247 24.4
10 Miguel Vargas 0.2529 0.1505 24.0

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jurickson Profar 0.3801
0.3209
(41.4)
0.3244
(42.0)
0.3270
(45.6)
0.3271
(45.8)
0.3216
(41.8)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3893
0.3264
(46.5)
0.3105
(60.9)
0.3292
(53.3)
0.3287
(53.9)
0.3229
(50.0)
Joc Pederson 0.3928
0.2987
(43.4)
0.3363
(28.6)
0.3412
(29.9)
0.3429
(29.3)
0.3427
(24.3)
Brent Rooker 0.3648
0.2952
(44.4)
0.3176
(33.4)
0.3081
(44.1)
0.3109
(42.6)
0.3245
(27.3)
Marcell Ozuna 0.3785
0.3346
(32.1)
0.3135
(49.6)
0.3252
(47.0)
0.3231
(48.8)
0.3261
(38.9)
Aaron Judge 0.4580
0.3805
(56.5)
0.3915
(51.9)
0.3854
(61.7)
0.3856
(61.9)
0.3841
(55.0)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Heliot Ramos 0.2353 0.3224 46.5
2 Francisco Lindor 0.2882 0.3440 40.3
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.3175 0.3656 35.2
4 Salvador Perez 0.2811 0.3303 33.8
5 Miguel Rojas 0.2500 0.3373 30.3
6 Nico Hoerner 0.2917 0.3354 29.8
7 Alex Bregman 0.3641 0.3155 29.1
8 Bryan De La Cruz 0.3199 0.2705 29.0
9 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.3105 0.3800 29.0
10 Luke Raley 0.2596 0.3201 28.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3682 0.3015 38.9
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3530 0.3960 34.9
3 Gunnar Henderson 0.3241 0.3644 34.1
4 Brenton Doyle 0.2732 0.3172 30.9
5 Davis Schneider 0.3514 0.2819 28.3
6 Zack Gelof 0.3287 0.2702 28.1
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.3070 0.3386 27.0
8 Michael Busch 0.2975 0.3351 25.4
9 Xavier Edwards 0.3211 0.3974 25.3
10 Eddie Rosario 0.2992 0.2145 24.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3627 0.3960 33.7
2 Brenton Doyle 0.2780 0.3172 32.8
3 Jose Iglesias 0.2938 0.3814 29.9
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3623 0.3015 29.9
5 Teoscar Hernández 0.3096 0.3395 29.3
6 Salvador Perez 0.3018 0.3303 28.4
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.3129 0.3386 28.4
8 Connor Wong 0.2907 0.3333 28.1
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.3410 0.3644 27.7
10 Jarren Duran 0.3216 0.3420 26.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brenton Doyle 0.2760 0.3172 34.2
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3665 0.3960 31.4
3 Teoscar Hernández 0.3073 0.3395 31.1
4 Jose Iglesias 0.2930 0.3814 30.3
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.3108 0.3386 30.2
6 Salvador Perez 0.3011 0.3303 29.1
7 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3612 0.3015 28.9
8 Connor Wong 0.2903 0.3333 28.5
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.3408 0.3644 28.1
10 David Fry 0.3055 0.3564 26.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3540 0.3015 31.6
2 Alex Bregman 0.3692 0.3155 31.5
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3566 0.3960 30.3
4 Jose Iglesias 0.2872 0.3814 28.6
5 Bryan De La Cruz 0.3189 0.2705 27.5
6 Keibert Ruiz 0.3202 0.2598 27.3
7 José Caballero 0.3435 0.2833 27.1
8 Elly De La Cruz 0.3041 0.3386 26.9
9 Andrew Benintendi 0.3445 0.2893 26.7
10 Shohei Ohtani 0.3593 0.3901 25.5

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jurickson Profar 0.4592
0.3827
(61.5)
0.3769
(63.4)
0.3769
(74.0)
0.3706
(78.4)
0.3622
(65.4)
Lawrence Butler 0.4903
0.3736
(59.6)
0.3815
(54.7)
0.3920
(57.2)
0.3935
(56.6)
0.3692
(55.0)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5881
0.4931
(78.3)
0.4552
(103.1)
0.5014
(81.7)
0.5027
(80.8)
0.4813
(76.3)
Christopher Morel 0.3458
0.4649
(63.3)
0.4548
(58.9)
0.4631
(54.2)
0.4665
(56.2)
0.4654
(72.6)
Shohei Ohtani 0.6462
0.5696
(67.4)
0.5611
(71.4)
0.5545
(87.9)
0.5462
(94.1)
0.5455
(74.3)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5462
0.4829
(54.2)
0.4713
(60.1)
0.4843
(62.3)
0.4827
(63.4)
0.4670
(55.1)
Brent Rooker 0.5623
0.4228
(95.2)
0.4466
(78.7)
0.4303
(98.5)
0.4322
(97.5)
0.4622
(62.0)
Brandon Drury 0.2277
0.4449
(72.6)
0.4798
(86.3)
0.4510
(70.1)
0.4472
(68.7)
0.4349
(74.3)
Aaron Judge 0.7013
0.5425
(122.7)
0.5908
(86.6)
0.5665
(115.0)
0.5620
(118.2)
0.5748
(89.6)
Jackson Merrill 0.5000
0.4042
(66.0)
0.3997
(66.9)
0.4088
(71.0)
0.3999
(76.4)
0.3861
(68.0)
Heliot Ramos 0.4695
0.3125
(89.4)
0.3674
(59.3)
0.3744
(64.0)
0.3839
(59.2)
0.3771
(48.3)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Francisco Lindor 0.3835 0.5000 91.0
2 José Ramírez 0.4326 0.5371 81.9
3 Anthony Santander 0.4250 0.5059 64.2
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.4080 0.4852 64.1
5 Michael Conforto 0.3385 0.4498 61.9
6 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.4574 0.2904 60.0
7 Joc Pederson 0.4023 0.5150 57.6
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.3981 0.4694 55.5
9 Luke Raley 0.3583 0.4629 54.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.4852 0.5694 69.0
2 Mark Vientos 0.3779 0.5157 68.3
3 Ketel Marte 0.4560 0.5595 67.7
4 JJ Bleday 0.3567 0.4371 59.6
5 Jarren Duran 0.4243 0.4918 58.8
6 Colton Cowser 0.3551 0.4469 58.5
7 Brenton Doyle 0.3669 0.4465 55.5
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.4641 0.5286 55.4
9 Davis Schneider 0.4708 0.3426 52.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.4555 0.5595 77.3
2 Jarren Duran 0.4202 0.4918 73.6
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.4013 0.4694 61.8
4 Tyler Fitzgerald 0.3568 0.4968 57.5
5 Brenton Doyle 0.3821 0.4465 56.0
6 Matt Chapman 0.4049 0.4626 55.8
7 Kerry Carpenter 0.4296 0.5871 55.1
8 Ezequiel Tovar 0.4186 0.4687 54.6
9 Francisco Lindor 0.4520 0.5000 52.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.4632 0.5595 72.9
2 Jarren Duran 0.4223 0.4918 72.2
3 Francisco Lindor 0.4451 0.5000 57.6
4 Eugenio Suárez 0.4086 0.4694 57.2
5 Tyler Fitzgerald 0.3595 0.4968 56.6
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.4788 0.5286 56.4
7 Ezequiel Tovar 0.4178 0.4687 55.3
8 Brenton Doyle 0.3836 0.4465 55.2
9 Colton Cowser 0.3832 0.4469 51.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrés Giménez 0.4245 0.3396 53.2
2 Ketel Marte 0.4729 0.5595 51.0
3 Jarren Duran 0.4241 0.4918 50.4
4 Bo Bichette 0.4707 0.3215 49.8
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.5897 0.3646 49.8
6 Gleyber Torres 0.4536 0.3782 49.6
7 Nolan Jones 0.4875 0.3203 49.4
8 Luis Robert Jr. 0.4960 0.3791 49.3
9 Julio Rodríguez 0.4878 0.4092 47.6

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Spencer Strider 42
680
(638.0)
675
(633.0)
689
(647.3)
752
(710.1)
657
(615.0)
Shane Bieber 45
665
(620.1)
593
(548.0)
687
(642.0)
814
(769.1)
614
(569.0)
Spencer Schwellenbach 500
1
(499.0)
1
(499.0)
1
(499.0)
5
(495.4)
1
(499.0)
Alex Cobb 62
624
(561.9)
624
(562.0)
550
(487.9)
566
(504.0)
597
(535.0)
Josiah Gray 44
599
(554.9)
678
(634.0)
686
(642.2)
787
(742.7)
612
(568.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Arrighetti 39 632 593.0
2 Mitchell Parker 71 646 575.1
3 Tobias Myers 1 569 568.0
4 Albert Suárez 1 565 564.0
5 Ben Lively 113 632 518.9
6 Jordan Lyles 509 19 490.0
7 Wade Miley 519 30 488.9
8 Chase Silseth 523 38 485.1
9 Kodai Senga 494 20 474.0
10 José Ureña 1 463 462.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shota Imanaga 1 694 693.0
2 Jordan Lyles 698 19 679.0
3 Mitch Spence 1 651 650.0
4 Mitchell Parker 1 646 645.0
5 Spencer Arrighetti 1 632 631.0
6 Kodai Senga 598 20 578.0
7 Rich Hill 590 15 575.0
8 Tobias Myers 1 569 568.0
9 Albert Suárez 1 565 564.0
10 Jonathan Cannon 1 522 521.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitchell Parker 36 646 610.5
2 Tobias Myers 1 569 568.0
3 Albert Suárez 1 565 564.0
4 Wade Miley 571 30 540.5
5 Spencer Arrighetti 99 632 533.3
6 Paul Skenes 1 514 513.0
7 Cristian Javier 655 150 504.9
8 Chase Silseth 525 38 486.5
9 Merrill Kelly 777 300 476.7
10 Tyler Wells 520 67 453.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wade Miley 610 30 579.9
2 Tobias Myers 4 569 564.6
3 Albert Suárez 1 565 564.0
4 Cristian Javier 711 150 560.8
5 Chase Silseth 574 38 535.9
6 Kodai Senga 551 20 531.1
7 Spencer Arrighetti 108 632 524.5
8 Paul Skenes 1 514 513.0
9 John Means 584 80 504.4
10 Merrill Kelly 795 300 494.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kodai Senga 683 20 663.0
2 David Buchanan 649 14 635.0
3 Jordan Lyles 636 19 617.0
4 Germán Márquez 580 20 560.0
5 Cristian Mena 541 15 526.0
6 Blake Walston 606 83 523.0
7 Brandon Williamson 570 59 511.0
8 Adam Kloffenstein 508 3 505.0
9 Michael McGreevy 589 86 503.0
10 Rich Hill 518 15 503.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jordan Montgomery 0.3694
0.1131
(36.1)
0.2988
(39.4)
0.1068
(44.5)
0.2915
(36.0)
0.2834
(41.8)
Paul Skenes 0.2468
0.1547
(49.4)
0.3101
(30.7)
0.3101
(124.4)
0.3101
(37.7)
0.2960
(29.1)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yariel Rodríguez 0.3101 0.3111 68.9
2 Hunter Greene 0.1494 0.2632 45.5
3 Logan Gilbert 0.1227 0.2546 45.3
4 Dylan Cease 0.1352 0.2643 45.1
5 Jesus Tinoco 0.3101 0.2442 41.2
6 Ty Blach 0.0986 0.4108 40.9
7 Luis Gil 0.1630 0.2879 40.4
8 Reynaldo López 0.1558 0.2705 40.0
9 Bryce Miller 0.1285 0.2603 39.9
10 Miles Mikolas 0.0975 0.3390 38.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Taijuan Walker 0.3081 0.4133 41.5
2 Hunter Greene 0.3301 0.2632 38.7
3 Ronel Blanco 0.3306 0.2756 34.8
4 Chris Sale 0.3116 0.2596 34.0
5 Bryce Miller 0.3121 0.2603 34.0
6 Marcus Stroman 0.2947 0.3405 33.3
7 Roddery Muñoz 0.3101 0.3935 33.0
8 Tarik Skubal 0.2924 0.2458 32.4
9 Logan Gilbert 0.2985 0.2546 32.4
10 Luke Weaver 0.3560 0.2553 32.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tobias Myers 0.3101 0.2958 109.9
2 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.3101 0.2858 101.6
3 Albert Suárez 0.3101 0.3180 96.6
4 Michael Tonkin 0.3101 0.2973 65.1
5 Tayler Scott 0.3101 0.2759 60.1
6 Hunter Strickland 0.3101 0.2864 59.5
7 Tyson Miller 0.3101 0.2414 58.2
8 Jared Koenig 0.3101 0.2777 56.0
9 Declan Cronin 0.3101 0.3098 54.8
10 Hayden Birdsong 0.3101 0.3188 53.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Miller 0.3002 0.2603 35.3
2 Erick Fedde 0.3291 0.2928 33.7
3 Logan Allen 0.3015 0.3895 33.6
4 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.3421 0.2858 33.2
5 Logan Gilbert 0.2852 0.2546 32.7
6 Taijuan Walker 0.3182 0.4133 32.4
7 Seth Lugo 0.3051 0.2775 31.6
8 Tyler Holton 0.2931 0.2208 29.2
9 Nick Martinez 0.3172 0.2761 29.2
10 Roddery Muñoz 0.3079 0.3935 28.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan Allen 0.2940 0.3895 38.1
2 Taijuan Walker 0.3076 0.4133 37.5
3 Bobby Miller 0.2719 0.4113 34.1
4 Seth Lugo 0.3087 0.2775 32.2
5 Walker Buehler 0.2728 0.3694 30.7
6 Kirby Yates 0.3158 0.1957 30.2
7 Carlos Rodón 0.2738 0.3205 29.0
8 Trevor Rogers 0.2930 0.3509 28.4
9 Marcus Stroman 0.2922 0.3405 27.6
10 Tanner Houck 0.3057 0.2760 27.6

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Paul Skenes 0.3307
0.2114
(59.3)
0.2263
(55.2)
0.2263
(52.9)
0.2263
(53.0)
0.1849
(70.5)
Jordan Montgomery 0.1560
0.2166
(34.3)
0.2207
(32.8)
0.2139
(31.6)
0.2130
(31.0)
0.2216
(39.5)
Cole Ragans 0.2927
0.2355
(40.6)
0.2432
(39.9)
0.2438
(36.1)
0.2438
(36.2)
0.2374
(35.5)
Jack Flaherty 0.2989
0.2432
(33.6)
0.2274
(48.4)
0.2177
(51.8)
0.2185
(51.3)
0.2270
(41.0)
Kevin Gausman 0.2143
0.2971
(65.6)
0.2830
(49.8)
0.2788
(49.8)
0.2771
(48.4)
0.2632
(43.6)
Sonny Gray 0.3025
0.2330
(44.0)
0.2410
(43.2)
0.2264
(50.1)
0.2241
(51.7)
0.2094
(56.7)
Griffin Canning 0.1759
0.2292
(42.3)
0.2442
(48.3)
0.2408
(49.0)
0.2404
(48.6)
0.2500
(61.1)
Garrett Crochet 0.3513
0.1970
(89.5)
0.2302
(73.8)
0.2471
(61.1)
0.2510
(58.9)
0.2790
(37.9)
Trevor Rogers 0.1726
0.2371
(38.4)
0.2363
(34.2)
0.2332
(34.8)
0.2355
(36.1)
0.2352
(40.0)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.1500 0.2540 50.1
2 Mason Miller 0.2586 0.4177 38.6
3 Jeremiah Estrada 0.2228 0.3730 36.9
4 Chris Sale 0.2643 0.3205 36.7
5 JP Sears 0.2249 0.1807 36.4
6 Luke Weaver 0.2070 0.3112 33.2
7 Andrew Abbott 0.2470 0.1945 33.0
8 Reynaldo López 0.2091 0.2726 32.4
9 Fernando Cruz 0.2637 0.3785 31.9
10 Reed Garrett 0.2081 0.3360 30.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mason Miller 0.2407 0.4177 44.8
2 Chris Sale 0.2619 0.3205 43.2
3 Cade Smith 0.2263 0.3564 38.4
4 Jeremiah Estrada 0.2336 0.3730 35.9
5 Luke Weaver 0.2098 0.3112 34.5
6 Jack Kochanowicz 0.2263 0.0940 34.4
7 Tarik Skubal 0.2614 0.3028 33.3
8 Logan Gilbert 0.2369 0.2740 32.1
9 Corbin Burnes 0.2745 0.2309 31.9
10 Griffin Jax 0.2338 0.3442 31.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Arrighetti 0.2047 0.2706 40.8
2 Andrew Abbott 0.2563 0.1945 37.1
3 James Paxton 0.2477 0.1670 35.9
4 Jared Jones 0.1912 0.2619 34.9
5 Erick Fedde 0.1644 0.2121 33.6
6 Zack Wheeler 0.2425 0.2846 32.1
7 Randy Vásquez 0.2162 0.1439 31.8
8 Chris Sale 0.2753 0.3205 30.7
9 Reed Garrett 0.2133 0.3360 30.0
10 Cade Smith 0.2516 0.3564 29.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.1411 0.2540 55.8
2 Spencer Arrighetti 0.2096 0.2706 37.7
3 James Paxton 0.2519 0.1670 37.6
4 Andrew Abbott 0.2561 0.1945 36.8
5 Jared Jones 0.1933 0.2619 33.9
6 Erick Fedde 0.1646 0.2121 33.6
7 Cade Smith 0.2471 0.3564 31.2
8 Zack Wheeler 0.2442 0.2846 30.8
9 Chris Sale 0.2762 0.3205 30.2
10 Reed Garrett 0.2130 0.3360 30.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.2562 0.1945 41.2
2 Jordan Hicks 0.2721 0.1996 39.0
3 José Soriano 0.2813 0.2073 38.7
4 James Paxton 0.2437 0.1670 37.3
5 Zach Eflin 0.2399 0.1959 36.0
6 JP Sears 0.2191 0.1807 35.6
7 Michael King 0.3156 0.2769 34.4
8 Ross Stripling 0.2099 0.1286 34.3
9 Reed Garrett 0.1887 0.3360 34.3
10 Logan Gilbert 0.2228 0.2740 34.1

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Bryan Woo 0.0275
0.0719
(20.1)
0.0837
(25.9)
0.0800
(23.6)
0.0790
(22.8)
0.0700
(16.9)
Cal Quantrill 0.1052
0.0661
(26.9)
0.0737
(21.4)
0.0758
(20.9)
0.0750
(21.9)
0.0751
(24.1)
Triston McKenzie 0.1441
0.0827
(21.5)
0.0845
(20.7)
0.0829
(21.7)
0.0836
(21.7)
0.0634
(29.7)
Jack Flaherty 0.0586
0.0862
(16.7)
0.0974
(24.4)
0.0909
(19.4)
0.0915
(19.3)
0.1009
(23.1)
Nick Martinez 0.0316
0.0994
(37.6)
0.0873
(31.1)
0.0914
(32.7)
0.0906
(31.8)
0.0831
(25.6)
Frankie Montas 0.1008
0.0743
(18.6)
0.0774
(16.1)
0.0786
(16.1)
0.0780
(17.0)
0.0753
(21.1)
Nick Nastrini 0.2069
0.1141
(16.5)
0.0818
(22.0)
0.1039
(18.4)
0.1037
(18.5)
0.1118
(17.7)
Chris Bassitt 0.0923
0.0656
(21.7)
0.0718
(16.5)
0.0728
(16.7)
0.0720
(17.9)
0.0630
(27.3)
Yusei Kikuchi 0.0598
0.0864
(18.2)
0.0873
(19.4)
0.0871
(18.3)
0.0861
(17.0)
0.0895
(17.0)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Gibson 0.0652 0.0942 22.3
2 Tyler Anderson 0.0682 0.0954 22.2
3 Shota Imanaga 0.0739 0.0403 22.0
4 Mitchell Parker 0.0987 0.0666 19.6
5 Ryne Nelson 0.0847 0.0540 18.2
6 Paul Skenes 0.0987 0.0623 17.7
7 Cole Sands 0.1026 0.0411 17.4
8 Andrew Heaney 0.0859 0.0592 17.2
9 Michael Lorenzen 0.0831 0.1119 16.5
10 Alec Marsh 0.1030 0.0712 16.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shota Imanaga 0.0818 0.0403 27.9
2 Garrett Crochet 0.1007 0.0555 26.2
3 Joe Boyle 0.0859 0.1770 20.9
4 Jake Irvin 0.0947 0.0676 19.9
5 Luis Gil 0.0913 0.1209 19.7
6 Hayden Birdsong 0.0818 0.1365 17.6
7 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0818 0.0460 17.3
8 Nick Pivetta 0.0897 0.0605 16.6
9 Andrew Heaney 0.0838 0.0592 16.2
10 Kyle Gibson 0.0730 0.0942 16.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.1136 0.0555 33.1
2 Mitchell Parker 0.1183 0.0666 31.8
3 Hayden Birdsong 0.0818 0.1365 18.0
4 Michael Lorenzen 0.0817 0.1119 17.5
5 Michael Soroka 0.0793 0.1268 17.3
6 Nick Pivetta 0.0920 0.0605 17.3
7 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0830 0.0584 16.8
8 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0818 0.0460 16.7
9 Max Fried 0.0594 0.0798 16.3
10 James Paxton 0.0798 0.1144 16.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.1134 0.0555 32.6
2 Mitchell Parker 0.1146 0.0666 28.9
3 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0947 0.0460 22.7
4 Michael Lorenzen 0.0800 0.1119 18.9
5 Michael Soroka 0.0792 0.1268 17.6
6 James Paxton 0.0801 0.1144 16.4
7 Kyle Gibson 0.0748 0.0942 16.3
8 Max Fried 0.0603 0.0798 16.2
9 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0831 0.0584 16.2
10 Nick Pivetta 0.0906 0.0605 16.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.1159 0.0555 32.0
2 Mitchell Parker 0.1137 0.0666 26.1
3 Tyler Anderson 0.0709 0.0954 23.9
4 Michael Soroka 0.0747 0.1268 20.4
5 Michael Lorenzen 0.0835 0.1119 18.8
6 Kevin Gausman 0.0572 0.0741 17.8
7 Dakota Hudson 0.0866 0.1238 17.7
8 DJ Herz 0.1449 0.0942 16.8
9 Trevor Rogers 0.0776 0.0996 16.1
10 Lucas Erceg 0.1330 0.0632 16.0

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Corbin Burnes 0.0026
0.0000
(6.6)
0.0126
(7.7)
0.0111
(7.2)
0.0111
(7.1)
0.0110
(5.8)
Hunter Greene 0.0311
0.0000
(12.3)
0.0158
(9.4)
0.0129
(10.8)
0.0128
(10.8)
0.0197
(7.6)
Cristopher Sánchez 0.0000
0.0000
(8.3)
0.0118
(8.7)
0.0110
(8.7)
0.0109
(8.6)
0.0116
(8.0)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0000 0.0365 12.6
2 Austin Adams 0.0000 0.0681 10.9
3 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0257 10.3
4 Yohan Ramírez 0.0000 0.0577 9.7
5 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.0215 7.8
6 Chris Bassitt 0.0000 0.0211 7.6
7 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0000 0.0302 7.6
8 Logan Webb 0.0000 0.0024 7.3
9 Austin Gomber 0.0000 0.0014 6.7
10 Bailey Falter 0.0000 0.0000 6.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Waldron 0.0065 0.0176 7.0
2 Jack Flaherty 0.0171 0.0062 7.0
3 Austin Adams 0.0342 0.0681 6.5
4 Jose Quintana 0.0066 0.0153 6.4
5 Bryce Miller 0.0132 0.0043 6.1
6 MacKenzie Gore 0.0068 0.0150 6.1
7 Yohan Ramírez 0.0287 0.0577 6.1
8 Jake Irvin 0.0133 0.0052 6.1
9 Ryan Weathers 0.0085 0.0245 6.0
10 Orion Kerkering 0.0085 0.0311 5.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Adams 0.0213 0.0681 8.8
2 Nick Lodolo 0.0184 0.0365 8.6
3 Yohan Ramírez 0.0198 0.0577 7.8
4 Logan Webb 0.0096 0.0024 6.6
5 Charlie Morton 0.0159 0.0257 6.5
6 Jake Irvin 0.0126 0.0052 6.2
7 Dylan Cease 0.0100 0.0026 6.0
8 Tanner Houck 0.0129 0.0215 6.0
9 Chris Bassitt 0.0128 0.0211 5.8
10 Bailey Falter 0.0093 0.0000 5.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Adams 0.0214 0.0681 8.8
2 Nick Lodolo 0.0184 0.0365 8.7
3 Yohan Ramírez 0.0199 0.0577 7.8
4 Charlie Morton 0.0158 0.0257 6.5
5 Logan Webb 0.0096 0.0024 6.5
6 Jake Irvin 0.0126 0.0052 6.1
7 Tanner Houck 0.0129 0.0215 6.0
8 Dylan Cease 0.0100 0.0026 6.0
9 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0149 0.0302 5.9
10 Chris Bassitt 0.0128 0.0211 5.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Irvin 0.0180 0.0052 9.1
2 Jose Quintana 0.0045 0.0153 8.5
3 MacKenzie Gore 0.0060 0.0150 7.4
4 Brayan Bello 0.0062 0.0157 7.4
5 Bryan Woo 0.0226 0.0064 7.2
6 José Soriano 0.0347 0.0192 6.8
7 Ryan Weathers 0.0076 0.0245 6.6
8 Paul Skenes 0.0000 0.0117 6.5
9 Colin Rea 0.0063 0.0140 6.2
10 Orion Kerkering 0.0083 0.0311 6.1

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Seth Lugo 0.0268
0.0578
(24.9)
0.0460
(14.8)
0.0429
(10.9)
0.0432
(11.5)
0.0463
(14.4)
Enyel De Los Santos 0.0934
0.0435
(14.2)
0.0347
(16.8)
0.0502
(12.9)
0.0467
(13.7)
0.0452
(14.0)
Cristopher Sánchez 0.0197
0.0391
(13.6)
0.0512
(22.6)
0.0390
(12.2)
0.0380
(11.8)
0.0467
(18.6)
Chris Sale 0.0209
0.0385
(11.4)
0.0502
(19.4)
0.0510
(18.9)
0.0514
(19.5)
0.0546
(22.0)
Bobby Miller 0.0977
0.0332
(17.0)
0.0394
(15.4)
0.0458
(14.2)
0.0458
(14.1)
0.0358
(16.6)
Hunter Greene 0.0328
0.0625
(17.4)
0.0632
(17.7)
0.0634
(16.8)
0.0643
(17.6)
0.0669
(19.4)
Roddery Muñoz 0.0992
0.0452
(21.0)
0.0439
(21.6)
0.0477
(20.7)
0.0418
(22.8)
0.0418
(22.6)
Tanner Houck 0.0210
0.0446
(16.6)
0.0400
(13.0)
0.0392
(11.3)
0.0388
(11.3)
0.0473
(17.9)
Taijuan Walker 0.0848
0.0544
(12.1)
0.0403
(17.5)
0.0485
(15.0)
0.0490
(14.7)
0.0433
(16.7)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reynaldo López 0.0649 0.0285 19.1
2 Bailey Falter 0.0691 0.0380 17.5
3 Paul Skenes 0.0613 0.0327 14.1
4 José Berríos 0.0389 0.0548 13.5
5 Griffin Canning 0.0417 0.0577 12.8
6 Calvin Faucher 0.0536 0.0000 12.3
7 Reid Detmers 0.0451 0.0744 11.9
8 Grant Anderson 0.0400 0.1375 11.9
9 Tyler Alexander 0.0438 0.0685 11.8
10 Nick Sandlin 0.0364 0.0828 11.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 MacKenzie Gore 0.0577 0.0316 18.0
2 Carlos Rodón 0.0455 0.0654 15.8
3 Declan Cronin 0.0556 0.0049 15.0
4 Sonny Gray 0.0313 0.0493 13.1
5 Triston McKenzie 0.0513 0.0880 13.0
6 Kutter Crawford 0.0494 0.0649 12.9
7 David Peterson 0.0492 0.0225 12.9
8 Logan Allen 0.0438 0.0714 12.6
9 Reid Detmers 0.0451 0.0744 12.0
10 Reese Olson 0.0487 0.0214 12.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Pivetta 0.0542 0.0725 12.7
2 Cade Smith 0.0503 0.0060 11.9
3 Grant Anderson 0.0458 0.1375 11.4
4 MacKenzie Gore 0.0498 0.0316 11.0
5 Declan Cronin 0.0439 0.0049 11.0
6 Joe Jiménez 0.0528 0.0119 10.5
7 Jack Flaherty 0.0451 0.0581 10.4
8 Logan Allen 0.0505 0.0714 10.3
9 Aaron Civale 0.0483 0.0602 10.3
10 Triston McKenzie 0.0608 0.0880 10.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Pivetta 0.0543 0.0725 12.5
2 MacKenzie Gore 0.0505 0.0316 11.8
3 Grant Anderson 0.0468 0.1375 11.2
4 Joe Jiménez 0.0548 0.0119 11.1
5 Logan Allen 0.0487 0.0714 11.0
6 Cade Smith 0.0465 0.0060 10.9
7 Triston McKenzie 0.0590 0.0880 10.7
8 Reynaldo López 0.0503 0.0285 10.4
9 Jack Flaherty 0.0449 0.0581 10.3
10 Aaron Civale 0.0482 0.0602 10.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Triston McKenzie 0.0461 0.0880 15.0
2 Michael King 0.0594 0.0374 14.3
3 Kutter Crawford 0.0484 0.0649 14.3
4 Erick Fedde 0.0599 0.0388 13.6
5 Martín Pérez 0.0310 0.0513 13.3
6 Joe Jiménez 0.0620 0.0119 13.2
7 Aaron Civale 0.0439 0.0602 12.8
8 Logan Allen 0.0442 0.0714 12.8
9 Shota Imanaga 0.0393 0.0552 12.7
10 Aaron Nola 0.0396 0.0526 12.6

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jordan Montgomery 0.3470
0.2695
(37.1)
0.2890
(32.7)
0.3044
(27.1)
0.3036
(26.8)
0.3002
(27.9)
Bryan Hudson 0.1479
0.3222
(42.1)
0.3012
(34.6)
0.3148
(36.6)
0.2955
(32.5)
0.2961
(33.0)
Sean Manaea 0.2451
0.2929
(41.0)
0.2969
(35.7)
0.3041
(37.4)
0.2902
(28.2)
0.3003
(36.7)
Chris Bassitt 0.3333
0.2634
(47.1)
0.2785
(44.1)
0.2891
(39.8)
0.2926
(36.1)
0.2854
(40.5)
Logan Gilbert 0.2364
0.2665
(30.4)
0.2842
(35.7)
0.2831
(30.8)
0.2892
(36.9)
0.2852
(34.7)
MacKenzie Gore 0.3399
0.2775
(39.8)
0.3036
(29.0)
0.2917
(41.2)
0.2927
(39.5)
0.2974
(35.1)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Emmanuel Clase 0.3181 0.1947 35.4
2 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2613 0.3149 34.7
3 Tyler Holton 0.2874 0.2008 33.4
4 Raisel Iglesias 0.3118 0.1988 31.3
5 Reid Detmers 0.2704 0.3571 30.8
6 Kirby Yates 0.2901 0.1681 30.8
7 Carlos Rodón 0.2368 0.2844 29.3
8 Tyler Anderson 0.2877 0.2582 28.6
9 Kutter Crawford 0.2766 0.2469 28.5
10 Marcus Stroman 0.2619 0.3116 28.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronel Blanco 0.2899 0.2201 44.9
2 Hunter Greene 0.3067 0.2373 40.4
3 Bryce Miller 0.2901 0.2371 35.0
4 Luis Gil 0.2952 0.2369 35.0
5 Ryan Yarbrough 0.2971 0.2122 32.4
6 Luke Weaver 0.3242 0.2234 32.2
7 José Berríos 0.2996 0.2561 31.5
8 Zack Wheeler 0.2896 0.2464 31.4
9 Kutter Crawford 0.2875 0.2469 28.2
10 Dylan Cease 0.3024 0.2627 27.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronel Blanco 0.2963 0.2201 45.9
2 Landon Knack 0.4036 0.2418 43.9
3 Keider Montero 0.4009 0.2872 43.4
4 Patrick Corbin 0.3024 0.3370 32.8
5 Ben Lively 0.3250 0.2654 32.4
6 Ryan Yarbrough 0.3015 0.2122 32.2
7 Bryce Miller 0.2871 0.2371 29.4
8 Michael Lorenzen 0.2983 0.2360 29.0
9 Luis L. Ortiz 0.3035 0.2435 28.8
10 Zack Wheeler 0.2912 0.2464 28.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronel Blanco 0.2924 0.2201 44.3
2 Patrick Corbin 0.3018 0.3370 32.2
3 Kutter Crawford 0.2956 0.2469 31.7
4 Tyler Holton 0.2967 0.2008 31.5
5 Bryce Miller 0.2874 0.2371 30.6
6 Zack Wheeler 0.2919 0.2464 30.4
7 Michael Lorenzen 0.2993 0.2360 30.3
8 Luis L. Ortiz 0.3014 0.2435 28.4
9 Ryan Yarbrough 0.2903 0.2122 28.3
10 Reid Detmers 0.2921 0.3571 28.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronel Blanco 0.2896 0.2201 43.2
2 Kutter Crawford 0.3017 0.2469 37.4
3 Zack Wheeler 0.2957 0.2464 34.5
4 Jose Quintana 0.3148 0.2634 32.9
5 Ryan Yarbrough 0.2949 0.2122 30.7
6 Bailey Ober 0.2937 0.2466 29.5
7 Bryce Miller 0.2839 0.2371 29.1
8 Spencer Arrighetti 0.2808 0.3207 28.7
9 Tyler Holton 0.2864 0.2008 28.3
10 Kirby Yates 0.2906 0.1681 27.7

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Logan Gilbert 0.1589
0.0000
(47.0)
0.2054
(36.8)
0.0000
(46.8)
0.2892
(42.0)
0.2852
(39.8)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yariel Rodríguez 0.2175 0.2009 86.1
2 Ronel Blanco 0.0000 0.1507 45.1
3 Chris Bassitt 0.0000 0.2716 41.0
4 Luis Gil 0.0000 0.1543 40.3
5 Jesus Tinoco 0.2175 0.1961 38.7
6 Hunter Brown 0.0000 0.2667 35.0
7 Bailey Ober 0.0000 0.1697 33.9
8 Tyler Glasnow 0.0000 0.1579 31.1
9 Zack Wheeler 0.0000 0.1781 31.0
10 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0000 0.2571 29.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Bassitt 0.2089 0.2716 48.1
2 Ronel Blanco 0.2189 0.1507 45.7
3 Luis Gil 0.2229 0.1543 43.3
4 Kyle Hendricks 0.2088 0.2663 33.0
5 Cristopher Sánchez 0.2050 0.2473 32.3
6 Tyler Glasnow 0.2199 0.1579 32.0
7 Bryan Hudson 0.2289 0.0915 31.6
8 Dylan Cease 0.2262 0.1854 30.5
9 Zack Wheeler 0.2172 0.1781 30.3
10 Luis L. Ortiz 0.2326 0.1780 29.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Albert Suárez 0.2175 0.1980 133.8
2 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.2175 0.1848 124.9
3 Tobias Myers 0.2175 0.2298 116.6
4 Paul Skenes 0.2175 0.2331 103.6
5 Hunter Strickland 0.2175 0.1642 79.5
6 Valente Bellozo 0.2175 0.1831 74.2
7 Hayden Birdsong 0.2175 0.2012 73.6
8 Tayler Scott 0.2175 0.1879 69.6
9 Michael Tonkin 0.2175 0.2322 68.9
10 Tyson Miller 0.2175 0.1519 66.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 0.2175 0.2331 48.2
2 Chris Bassitt 0.2926 0.2716 43.3
3 Ronel Blanco 0.2924 0.1507 43.0
4 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2901 0.2571 33.2
5 Albert Suárez 0.2175 0.1980 33.1
6 Tyler Glasnow 0.2961 0.1579 31.4
7 Luis Gil 0.2816 0.1543 31.4
8 Bailey Ober 0.2899 0.1697 29.9
9 MacKenzie Gore 0.2927 0.2549 29.5
10 Hunter Brown 0.3037 0.2667 29.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Bassitt 0.2854 0.2716 47.7
2 Ronel Blanco 0.2896 0.1507 42.0
3 Hunter Brown 0.2880 0.2667 39.4
4 Bailey Ober 0.2937 0.1697 33.5
5 Luis Gil 0.2831 0.1543 33.2
6 Kutter Crawford 0.3017 0.1816 32.9
7 Zack Wheeler 0.2957 0.1781 32.2
8 Bryan Hudson 0.2961 0.0915 29.5
9 Jose Quintana 0.3148 0.1975 29.0
10 Tyler Glasnow 0.2878 0.1579 27.7

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Miles Mikolas 0.0941
0.0000
(20.7)
0.0677
(21.2)
0.0000
(20.8)
0.0000
(20.7)
0.0000
(20.7)
Hunter Brown 0.0356
0.0000
(21.2)
0.0782
(28.3)
0.0000
(21.2)
0.0000
(21.2)
0.0000
(21.2)
José Berríos 0.0393
0.0000
(20.5)
0.0675
(19.9)
0.0000
(20.4)
0.0000
(20.5)
0.0000
(20.5)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0340 22.4
2 Yariel Rodríguez 0.0653 0.0699 22.4
3 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0395 20.2
4 Jordan Montgomery 0.0000 0.1028 19.9
5 Nestor Cortes 0.0000 0.0915 18.6
6 Tanner Bibee 0.0000 0.0891 16.9
7 Chris Flexen 0.0000 0.0889 16.6
8 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.0946 16.5
9 Kyle Hendricks 0.0000 0.0363 16.5
10 Jesus Tinoco 0.0653 0.0294 16.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Flexen 0.0618 0.0889 21.3
2 Hunter Greene 0.0890 0.0537 19.8
3 Bryce Miller 0.0845 0.0539 19.5
4 Jack Flaherty 0.0788 0.0463 19.2
5 Kyle Hendricks 0.0713 0.0363 18.1
6 Mitch Spence 0.0653 0.0901 18.0
7 Nestor Cortes 0.0696 0.0915 17.6
8 Jordan Montgomery 0.0728 0.1028 17.6
9 Bryse Wilson 0.0717 0.0295 17.3
10 Luis Severino 0.0710 0.0455 17.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tobias Myers 0.0653 0.0496 46.1
2 Paul Skenes 0.0653 0.0473 42.8
3 Jared Koenig 0.0653 0.0292 26.9
4 Tayler Scott 0.0653 0.0364 26.6
5 Albert Suárez 0.0653 0.0863 25.0
6 John King 0.0653 0.0316 24.6
7 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0653 0.0818 24.4
8 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0340 22.3
9 Elvis Peguero 0.0653 0.0340 21.9
10 Michael Tonkin 0.0653 0.0664 21.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 0.0653 0.0473 42.9
2 Albert Suárez 0.0653 0.0863 25.1
3 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0340 22.4
4 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0395 20.2
5 Jordan Montgomery 0.0000 0.1028 19.9
6 Nestor Cortes 0.0000 0.0915 18.6
7 Tanner Bibee 0.0000 0.0891 16.9
8 Chris Flexen 0.0000 0.0889 16.6
9 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.0946 16.5
10 Kyle Hendricks 0.0000 0.0363 16.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0653 0.0818 24.4
2 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0340 22.4
3 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0395 20.2
4 Jordan Montgomery 0.0000 0.1028 19.9
5 Nestor Cortes 0.0000 0.0915 18.6
6 Tanner Bibee 0.0000 0.0891 16.9
7 Chris Flexen 0.0000 0.0889 16.6
8 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.0946 16.5
9 Kyle Hendricks 0.0000 0.0363 16.5
10 Jesus Tinoco 0.0653 0.0294 16.4

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Cal Quantrill 0.0135
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0053
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0000
(5.0)
Mitch Keller 0.0212
0.0000
(11.8)
0.0041
(13.0)
0.0000
(11.9)
0.0000
(11.8)
0.0000
(11.8)
Calvin Faucher 0.0282
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0079
(4.7)
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.2)
Carlos Carrasco 0.0166
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0058
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.8)
Michael Soroka 0.0197
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0050
(5.0)
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.8)
Pablo López 0.0000
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0087
(6.9)
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0000
(4.5)
Mike Baumann 0.0242
0.0000
(4.9)
0.0058
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.9)
0.0000
(4.9)
0.0000
(4.9)
Jack Flaherty 0.0129
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0054
(4.6)
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0000
(4.5)
Patrick Corbin 0.0129
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0060
(5.1)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
Sonny Gray 0.0148
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0069
(5.1)
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0000
(6.0)
José Suarez 0.0274
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0043
(5.5)
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.2)
Sean Manaea 0.0000
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0094
(7.1)
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0000
(4.3)
Joe Ryan 0.0174
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0050
(6.6)
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0000
(6.2)
Keaton Winn 0.0318
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0109
(4.9)
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0000
(6.2)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0201 9.0
2 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0213 5.1
3 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0000 0.0119 4.6
4 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
5 Joe Mantiply 0.0000 0.0234 4.3
6 Zac Gallen 0.0000 0.0127 4.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Cease 0.0119 0.0022 7.6
2 Victor Vodnik 0.0000 0.0190 6.0
3 Cole Irvin 0.0031 0.0139 5.2
4 Zac Gallen 0.0042 0.0127 5.1
5 Nick Pivetta 0.0028 0.0112 4.8
6 Huascar Brazobán 0.0000 0.0221 4.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0201 9.0
2 Albert Suárez 0.0059 0.0025 5.2
3 Tobias Myers 0.0059 0.0026 5.2
4 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0213 5.1
5 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0000 0.0119 4.6
6 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.0000 4.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0201 9.0
2 Albert Suárez 0.0059 0.0025 5.2
3 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0213 5.1
4 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0000 0.0119 4.6
5 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
6 Paul Skenes 0.0059 0.0034 4.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0201 9.0
2 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0213 5.1
3 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0000 0.0119 4.6
4 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
5 Joe Mantiply 0.0000 0.0234 4.3
6 Zac Gallen 0.0000 0.0127 4.2

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Hunter Greene 0.0769
0.1357
(34.7)
0.1248
(28.9)
0.1119
(21.2)
0.1183
(25.1)
0.1239
(25.1)
Paul Skenes 0.0603
0.1409
(40.4)
0.1168
(28.7)
0.1168
(28.9)
0.1168
(28.9)
0.1324
(34.0)
Roddery Muñoz 0.1741
0.0000
(66.7)
0.1168
(22.0)
0.1219
(19.9)
0.1209
(20.3)
0.1283
(19.6)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Albert Suárez 0.0000 0.0991 57.1
2 Keider Montero 0.0000 0.1311 54.8
3 Tobias Myers 0.0000 0.0914 53.1
4 José Ureña 0.0000 0.1102 51.9
5 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0000 0.0980 50.0
6 Anthony Molina 0.0000 0.1742 46.5
7 Carson Fulmer 0.0000 0.1187 45.7
8 Chase Anderson 0.0000 0.1608 41.5
9 Hayden Birdsong 0.0000 0.1238 39.6
10 Jack Leiter 0.0000 0.2254 39.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Sale 0.1190 0.0684 35.1
2 Erick Fedde 0.1374 0.0909 33.3
3 Gavin Stone 0.1456 0.0948 29.1
4 Jordan Montgomery 0.1033 0.1560 28.4
5 Tarik Skubal 0.1089 0.0717 27.5
6 Ronel Blanco 0.1222 0.0828 26.2
7 Reynaldo López 0.1070 0.0589 25.8
8 Taijuan Walker 0.1142 0.1785 24.7
9 Bobby Miller 0.1118 0.2054 24.3
10 Kenta Maeda 0.1209 0.1649 21.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 0.1372 0.0909 33.4
2 Reynaldo López 0.1168 0.0589 31.2
3 Chris Sale 0.1074 0.0684 27.2
4 Ronel Blanco 0.1233 0.0828 27.1
5 Bryce Miller 0.1251 0.0881 25.9
6 Seth Lugo 0.1205 0.0897 25.5
7 Bobby Miller 0.1121 0.2054 24.2
8 Jordan Montgomery 0.1124 0.1560 23.4
9 Kenta Maeda 0.1179 0.1649 23.0
10 Michael Wacha 0.1279 0.0949 22.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 0.1382 0.0909 34.1
2 Reynaldo López 0.1178 0.0589 31.8
3 Chris Sale 0.1081 0.0684 27.7
4 Seth Lugo 0.1228 0.0897 27.4
5 Ronel Blanco 0.1220 0.0828 26.3
6 Tobias Myers 0.1363 0.0914 25.3
7 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.1479 0.0980 24.8
8 Kenta Maeda 0.1159 0.1649 23.9
9 Bobby Miller 0.1142 0.2054 23.6
10 Michael Wacha 0.1297 0.0949 23.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Montgomery 0.0968 0.1560 34.7
2 Erick Fedde 0.1354 0.0909 28.0
3 Bobby Miller 0.1095 0.2054 26.3
4 Chris Sale 0.1091 0.0684 24.4
5 Seth Lugo 0.1233 0.0897 23.1
6 Reynaldo López 0.1062 0.0589 22.5
7 Reid Detmers 0.1201 0.1714 22.4
8 Ross Stripling 0.1188 0.1706 22.0
9 Brandon Pfaadt 0.1131 0.1355 21.6
10 Tarik Skubal 0.1061 0.0717 21.5

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Paul Skenes 0.0564
0.1318
(37.1)
0.1069
(25.3)
0.1069
(25.0)
0.1069
(25.0)
0.1218
(30.3)
Jordan Montgomery 0.1523
0.1100
(24.1)
0.0948
(31.3)
0.1036
(26.8)
0.1040
(26.7)
0.0898
(36.7)
Reynaldo López 0.0552
0.1102
(28.1)
0.0959
(21.3)
0.1087
(28.0)
0.1100
(28.7)
0.0969
(19.0)
Chris Sale 0.0670
0.1000
(21.0)
0.1104
(29.5)
0.0998
(21.8)
0.1006
(22.3)
0.1013
(19.5)
Bobby Miller 0.2054
0.1000
(28.0)
0.1060
(26.0)
0.1033
(26.8)
0.1055
(26.3)
0.1007
(28.7)
Reid Detmers 0.1662
0.1091
(23.6)
0.1115
(22.0)
0.1088
(23.2)
0.1105
(22.5)
0.1115
(24.0)
Taijuan Walker 0.1732
0.1241
(19.9)
0.1098
(24.7)
0.1194
(21.2)
0.1211
(20.6)
0.1207
(22.5)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Seth Lugo 0.1220 0.0825 30.4
2 Hunter Greene 0.1266 0.0753 29.4
3 Tobias Myers 0.1345 0.0808 28.7
4 Cole Ragans 0.1207 0.0853 24.6
5 Miles Mikolas 0.1132 0.1417 22.8
6 Corbin Burnes 0.1101 0.0804 20.9
7 Shota Imanaga 0.1138 0.0807 20.8
8 Trevor Williams 0.1404 0.0577 20.7
9 Jameson Taillon 0.1227 0.0889 20.7
10 Luis L. Ortiz 0.1296 0.0899 20.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 0.1278 0.0895 26.8
2 Kyle Hendricks 0.1103 0.1517 24.2
3 Hunter Greene 0.1160 0.0753 24.0
4 Tarik Skubal 0.1002 0.0677 23.4
5 Miles Mikolas 0.1111 0.1417 23.0
6 Justin Verlander 0.0823 0.1389 23.0
7 Ronel Blanco 0.1111 0.0769 22.2
8 Gavin Stone 0.1341 0.0948 22.0
9 Kenta Maeda 0.1143 0.1567 21.2
10 Bryce Miller 0.1147 0.0838 20.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 0.1280 0.0895 26.6
2 Ronel Blanco 0.1152 0.0769 24.6
3 Kenta Maeda 0.1102 0.1567 23.4
4 Seth Lugo 0.1118 0.0825 22.9
5 Bryce Miller 0.1171 0.0838 22.2
6 Hunter Gaddis 0.1229 0.0468 20.7
7 Griffin Canning 0.1087 0.1340 20.0
8 Jameson Taillon 0.1190 0.0889 19.1
9 Keaton Winn 0.1079 0.1849 18.7
10 Michael Wacha 0.1196 0.0905 18.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 0.1291 0.0895 27.4
2 Tobias Myers 0.1282 0.0808 25.9
3 Seth Lugo 0.1140 0.0825 24.7
4 Kenta Maeda 0.1083 0.1567 24.4
5 Ronel Blanco 0.1139 0.0769 23.7
6 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.1388 0.0920 22.4
7 Hunter Greene 0.1114 0.0753 20.9
8 Hunter Gaddis 0.1213 0.0468 20.2
9 Michael Wacha 0.1215 0.0905 19.9
10 Jameson Taillon 0.1201 0.0889 19.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Hendricks 0.1150 0.1517 24.5
2 Miles Mikolas 0.1148 0.1417 24.1
3 Slade Cecconi 0.1076 0.1686 22.8
4 Kenta Maeda 0.1185 0.1567 21.7
5 Erick Fedde 0.1250 0.0895 21.0
6 Tanner Houck 0.1175 0.0834 20.4
7 Seth Lugo 0.1133 0.0825 20.3
8 Hunter Greene 0.1149 0.0753 20.2
9 Brandon Pfaadt 0.1050 0.1250 20.2
10 Griffin Canning 0.1140 0.1340 19.6

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Seth Lugo 0.4848
0.2500
(192.4)
0.1224
(259.0)
0.3320
(127.4)
0.3275
(119.2)
0.1724
(250.2)
Tarik Skubal 0.5806
0.3103
(200.0)
0.2258
(227.6)
0.3236
(193.2)
0.3907
(131.9)
0.2857
(212.2)
Ronel Blanco 0.4333
0.2500
(120.8)
0.1071
(185.0)
0.1136
(215.8)
0.0932
(220.0)
0.1935
(153.2)
Ben Lively 0.4483
0.1111
(210.1)
0.1563
(151.3)
0.0955
(222.7)
0.0488
(243.2)
0.2381
(124.5)
Luis Gil 0.5172
0.3333
(114.2)
0.1071
(227.7)
0.1712
(220.1)
0.1916
(198.0)
0.1739
(210.3)
Grayson Rodriguez 0.6500
0.2903
(174.3)
0.1795
(205.2)
0.3425
(150.8)
0.3794
(125.6)
0.2500
(189.9)
Chris Sale 0.6207
0.3478
(188.3)
0.1944
(262.3)
0.3707
(175.2)
0.4050
(141.1)
0.3333
(192.5)
David Peterson 0.4762
0.2308
(122.8)
0.1316
(148.9)
0.1768
(152.5)
0.1429
(162.4)
0.2069
(130.6)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0004 0.3810 188.0
2 Tobias Myers 0.0003 0.3333 186.8
3 Paul Skenes 0.1667 0.4783 157.8
4 Albert Suárez 0.0004 0.2813 156.0
5 Spencer Arrighetti 0.0000 0.2414 149.6
6 Shota Imanaga 0.3043 0.5172 144.5
7 Jack Flaherty 0.2500 0.4643 136.0
8 Keider Montero 0.0004 0.3158 128.0
9 Carlos Rodón 0.3214 0.5000 128.0
10 Michael Wacha 0.2609 0.4483 125.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael King 0.1163 0.4194 181.9
2 Shota Imanaga 0.2047 0.5172 180.4
3 Carlos Rodón 0.2333 0.5000 157.6
4 Gavin Stone 0.1200 0.4400 155.1
5 Sonny Gray 0.1951 0.4643 145.3
6 José Berríos 0.2683 0.5000 140.8
7 Brayan Bello 0.2143 0.4667 140.3
8 Pablo López 0.2381 0.4688 137.5
9 Jack Flaherty 0.2000 0.4643 137.4
10 Corbin Burnes 0.2500 0.4688 130.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 0.2047 0.4783 140.4
2 Gavin Stone 0.2006 0.4400 138.6
3 Shota Imanaga 0.3345 0.5172 126.5
4 Jack Flaherty 0.2780 0.4643 120.6
5 Griffin Canning 0.3436 0.1875 115.7
6 Kyle Hendricks 0.3390 0.1379 114.3
7 Ryne Nelson 0.1790 0.3571 112.0
8 Andre Pallante 0.0571 0.2759 111.1
9 Bailey Falter 0.0974 0.2857 110.7
10 Alec Marsh 0.1438 0.3462 110.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gavin Stone 0.1405 0.4400 165.1
2 Ryne Nelson 0.1032 0.3571 150.7
3 Paul Skenes 0.2047 0.4783 133.0
4 Michael King 0.2261 0.4194 129.5
5 Griffin Canning 0.3452 0.1875 127.5
6 Ryan Feltner 0.2629 0.1000 123.0
7 Bailey Falter 0.0659 0.2857 120.8
8 Trevor Rogers 0.2720 0.0800 116.2
9 Michael Soroka 0.3096 0.0000 112.6
10 Walker Buehler 0.3680 0.0625 110.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael King 0.1333 0.4194 198.1
2 Paul Skenes 0.1739 0.4783 149.7
3 Jack Flaherty 0.2400 0.4643 137.0
4 Charlie Morton 0.4444 0.2667 133.8
5 Shota Imanaga 0.3200 0.5172 127.8
6 Trevor Rogers 0.2857 0.0800 123.0
7 Nick Lodolo 0.1667 0.4286 122.6
8 Walker Buehler 0.4000 0.0625 120.6
9 Michael Wacha 0.2609 0.4483 119.4
10 Sean Manaea 0.2069 0.3750 114.3

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Dakota Hudson 0.6667
0.3478
(126.2)
0.1515
(183.4)
0.3656
(110.4)
0.3652
(114.9)
0.4000
(106.1)
Kutter Crawford 0.4848
0.2917
(141.7)
0.2000
(169.8)
0.2934
(124.2)
0.2643
(154.5)
0.2308
(189.8)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0005 0.3333 163.2
2 Roddery Muñoz 0.0005 0.3889 144.7
3 Shota Imanaga 0.3043 0.1034 143.9
4 Ben Lively 0.1111 0.3448 143.6
5 Jack Kochanowicz 0.0008 0.5455 143.2
6 Tyler Anderson 0.3077 0.4839 129.8
7 Keider Montero 0.0007 0.3158 127.2
8 Tobias Myers 0.0006 0.2222 122.4
9 Jared Shuster 0.5000 0.1282 121.4
10 Chris Bassitt 0.2857 0.4516 120.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.1667 0.4839 195.9
2 Chris Bassitt 0.2000 0.4516 144.4
3 Jake Irvin 0.1795 0.4242 141.2
4 Andrew Heaney 0.1750 0.4375 139.5
5 Chris Flexen 0.2000 0.4545 136.7
6 Gavin Williams 0.1667 0.6250 131.9
7 Matt Waldron 0.1379 0.4074 130.2
8 Garrett Crochet 0.1000 0.3750 127.2
9 Tarik Skubal 0.2258 0.1290 118.9
10 Shota Imanaga 0.2096 0.1034 116.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Cannon 0.0759 0.4348 172.9
2 Chris Flexen 0.2275 0.4545 140.9
3 Shota Imanaga 0.2764 0.1034 139.2
4 Ben Lively 0.0983 0.3448 138.3
5 Carlos Carrasco 0.1644 0.4762 127.0
6 Joey Estes 0.1087 0.3600 121.4
7 Tarik Skubal 0.2618 0.1290 120.9
8 Roddery Muñoz 0.0521 0.3889 117.1
9 Keaton Winn 0.1610 0.6667 113.8
10 José Soriano 0.0509 0.3182 112.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Cannon 0.0523 0.4348 190.8
2 Ben Lively 0.0493 0.3448 176.1
3 Spencer Arrighetti 0.1587 0.4483 172.3
4 Shota Imanaga 0.3346 0.1034 172.2
5 Cade Povich 0.0820 0.5625 163.2
6 Tarik Skubal 0.3063 0.1290 146.3
7 DJ Herz 0.0830 0.4737 142.7
8 Taj Bradley 0.1814 0.4400 139.6
9 Bailey Falter 0.0712 0.3214 137.4
10 Carlos Carrasco 0.1569 0.4762 135.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.0727 0.3750 177.5
2 Zack Littell 0.0833 0.3448 168.9
3 Tyler Anderson 0.2800 0.4839 152.9
4 Jake Irvin 0.2308 0.4242 145.7
5 Michael King 0.0889 0.2903 143.4
6 Chris Flexen 0.2500 0.4545 141.8
7 José Soriano 0.0545 0.3182 121.5
8 Tarik Skubal 0.2857 0.1290 121.0
9 Andrew Heaney 0.2593 0.4375 120.8
10 Gavin Williams 0.2593 0.6250 120.1

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jason Foley 0.4058
0.1493
(64.9)
0.0588
(91.7)
0.1080
(72.2)
0.1413
(64.2)
0.1349
(64.9)
Kyle Finnegan 0.5846
0.3014
(77.6)
0.2353
(100.0)
0.1852
(105.8)
0.3272
(67.7)
0.3599
(57.9)
Kirby Yates 0.5410
0.0000
(128.9)
0.0769
(114.7)
0.0000
(126.1)
0.0161
(122.6)
0.0185
(121.2)
Chad Green 0.3208
0.0588
(55.6)
0.0500
(61.0)
0.0529
(54.4)
0.0165
(62.3)
0.0278
(59.2)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.2308 0.0000 129.9
2 Michael Kopech 0.5294 0.2239 84.4
3 José Leclerc 0.3000 0.0156 81.0
4 Robert Suarez 0.2813 0.5538 71.1
5 Ryan Helsley 0.5000 0.7538 68.3
6 David Robertson 0.2576 0.0294 66.7
7 Trevor Megill 0.0930 0.4375 63.6
8 Mitch Spence 0.1000 0.0000 63.2
9 Yuki Matsui 0.2466 0.0000 62.6
10 Justin Lawrence 0.2500 0.0357 59.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Helsley 0.2353 0.7538 143.2
2 Robert Suarez 0.0345 0.5538 139.1
3 Mason Miller 0.0357 0.5091 122.8
4 Trevor Megill 0.0313 0.4375 78.0
5 Ryan Pressly 0.3750 0.0678 70.1
6 Héctor Neris 0.0566 0.2903 65.9
7 Clay Holmes 0.2245 0.4478 65.9
8 Emmanuel Clase 0.4211 0.6351 63.1
9 Michael Kopech 0.0238 0.2239 61.3
10 James McArthur 0.0909 0.3158 60.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Helsley 0.3527 0.7538 104.3
2 José Leclerc 0.3086 0.0156 87.0
3 Mason Miller 0.2058 0.5091 73.3
4 Trevor Megill 0.0529 0.4375 68.7
5 Robert Suarez 0.3086 0.5538 61.0
6 James McArthur 0.0772 0.3158 56.7
7 Edwin Díaz 0.6173 0.3704 55.3
8 Héctor Neris 0.0772 0.2903 53.1
9 Camilo Doval 0.5401 0.3710 48.3
10 Lucas Erceg 0.0463 0.2295 44.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Leclerc 0.2878 0.0156 80.6
2 Ryan Helsley 0.4548 0.7538 77.5
3 Justin Lawrence 0.2571 0.0357 63.9
4 Trevor Megill 0.1373 0.4375 53.5
5 Héctor Neris 0.0843 0.2903 51.6
6 Camilo Doval 0.5387 0.3710 47.5
7 David Robertson 0.1715 0.0294 44.3
8 Mason Miller 0.3258 0.5091 43.7
9 Victor Vodnik 0.0000 0.1406 42.6
10 Jalen Beeks 0.0000 0.1408 41.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Kopech 0.5822 0.2239 103.1
2 José Leclerc 0.3331 0.0156 94.6
3 Justin Lawrence 0.2610 0.0357 66.0
4 Edwin Díaz 0.6262 0.3704 57.7
5 David Robertson 0.2118 0.0294 57.3
6 José Alvarado 0.4056 0.1970 56.7
7 Evan Phillips 0.5261 0.2951 55.2
8 Hunter Harvey 0.2591 0.0204 54.7
9 Camilo Doval 0.5387 0.3710 48.5
10 James McArthur 0.5007 0.3158 48.4

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player Actual Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Hunter Harvey 0.5714
0.2143
(87.0)
0.1940
(86.1)
0.1328
(93.6)
0.1700
(85.3)
Cade Smith 0.3784
0.0628
(102.8)
0.1027
(84.2)
0.1831
(53.2)
0.0000
(105.8)
David Robertson 0.5000
0.1333
(120.4)
0.2998
(63.9)
0.1350
(104.7)
0.1668
(95.1)
Bryan Abreu 0.4872
0.2353
(94.9)
0.3030
(65.0)
0.2396
(76.8)
0.2589
(70.3)
Hunter Gaddis 0.4231
0.1034
(100.0)
0.0806
(99.6)
0.0168
(109.8)
0.0266
(106.8)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Kittredge 0.0952 0.5000 127.7
2 Michael King 0.2093 0.0000 122.9
3 Luke Weaver 0.0500 0.3548 114.2
4 Ryan Pressly 0.0417 0.4237 103.0
5 Seth Lugo 0.1633 0.0000 103.0
6 JoJo Romero 0.1111 0.4615 94.9
7 Jason Adam 0.2000 0.4189 73.0
8 José Soriano 0.2414 0.0455 72.9
9 Reynaldo López 0.2128 0.0385 72.9
10 Joe Jiménez 0.1702 0.3913 72.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andre Pallante 0.2932 0.0345 123.7
2 Andrew Kittredge 0.0926 0.5000 121.4
3 José Soriano 0.2932 0.0455 108.6
4 Luke Weaver 0.0926 0.3548 92.0
5 Nick Martinez 0.0562 0.1667 72.0
6 JoJo Romero 0.1852 0.4615 71.0
7 Daniel Hudson 0.0000 0.2615 70.2
8 Jesse Chavez 0.3030 0.0217 70.1
9 Javier Assad 0.1235 0.0000 68.7
10 Kyle Finnegan 0.2469 0.0000 62.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andre Pallante 0.1912 0.0345 85.4
2 Andrew Kittredge 0.1949 0.5000 84.4
3 Nick Martinez 0.0126 0.1667 81.4
4 Bryse Wilson 0.1659 0.0000 78.3
5 Yennier Cano 0.1803 0.4857 73.3
6 Luke Weaver 0.1261 0.3548 72.0
7 Jason Adam 0.1866 0.4189 62.4
8 Tyler Rogers 0.1918 0.4156 61.7
9 Kevin Kelly 0.0177 0.2500 61.5
10 A.J. Puk 0.0149 0.2258 58.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sixto Sánchez 0.8384 0.0714 126.2
2 Bryse Wilson 0.2664 0.0000 123.1
3 Andre Pallante 0.2249 0.0345 103.1
4 Tanner Rainey 0.4265 0.0000 101.3
5 Ronel Blanco 0.1346 0.0000 99.2
6 Ryan Weathers 0.2262 0.0000 87.5
7 Kyle Muller 0.4170 0.0000 86.7
8 Nick Martinez 0.0105 0.1667 82.1
9 Joey Wentz 0.2837 0.0435 76.7
10 Yennier Cano 0.1748 0.4857 74.4

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Paul Skenes 1.9624
5.2105
(1609.7)
4.1490
(1126.9)
4.1490
(1105.9)
4.1490
(1091.7)
4.5669
(1192.1)
Jordan Montgomery 6.2308
4.1584
(1164.4)
3.5346
(1431.3)
3.9254
(1245.1)
3.9602
(1241.3)
3.4022
(1656.6)
Blair Henley 135.0000
4.7500
(1173.3)
4.1490
(1177.6)
4.1490
(1178.0)
4.9519
(1171.0)
5.0963
(1171.7)
Chris Sale 2.3809
3.7573
(884.5)
4.1765
(1264.6)
3.7335
(924.9)
3.7647
(927.4)
3.8445
(827.2)
Bobby Miller 8.5179
3.7332
(1264.5)
3.9568
(1175.3)
3.9321
(1192.2)
4.0200
(1176.6)
3.7363
(1307.2)
Reid Detmers 6.6985
4.2102
(1018.4)
4.2971
(936.7)
4.1754
(1000.3)
4.2460
(983.4)
4.2794
(1057.4)
Taijuan Walker 7.0996
4.8273
(910.1)
4.1521
(1120.8)
4.6941
(929.9)
4.7630
(914.1)
4.6730
(1033.3)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tobias Myers 5.3900 3.0000 1293.7
2 Seth Lugo 4.6275 3.0048 1259.2
3 Hunter Greene 4.9198 2.7539 1252.3
4 Reynaldo López 4.2379 1.9902 1157.3
5 Cole Ragans 4.7582 3.1395 1144.7
6 José Ureña 6.1000 3.7982 1011.9
7 Luis L. Ortiz 5.1949 3.3170 979.4
8 Trevor Williams 5.6103 2.0250 901.9
9 Shota Imanaga 4.3077 2.9077 890.8
10 Spencer Schwellenbach 5.2200 3.3477 878.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 5.0420 3.2989 1269.7
2 Hunter Greene 4.5103 2.7539 1076.6
3 Gavin Stone 5.3390 3.5273 1054.1
4 Ronel Blanco 4.3131 2.7968 1028.9
5 Tarik Skubal 3.6964 2.3906 987.6
6 Justin Verlander 3.0000 5.4797 979.7
7 Kyle Hendricks 4.2156 5.9235 965.1
8 Bryce Miller 4.2924 2.9445 952.9
9 Roddery Muñoz 4.1490 6.5323 901.1
10 Hunter Gaddis 4.7765 1.5670 893.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 5.0815 3.2989 1268.7
2 Reynaldo López 4.1881 1.9902 1174.4
3 Ronel Blanco 4.4925 2.7968 1122.5
4 Bryce Miller 4.5174 2.9445 1082.6
5 Seth Lugo 4.2828 3.0048 1039.0
6 Kenta Maeda 4.1891 6.0890 938.5
7 Hunter Gaddis 4.7780 1.5670 882.9
8 Jameson Taillon 4.5754 3.2661 860.1
9 Michael Wacha 4.6117 3.3480 841.6
10 Roddery Muñoz 4.4360 6.5323 807.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 5.1330 3.2989 1286.0
2 Reynaldo López 4.2560 1.9902 1196.3
3 Tobias Myers 5.0655 3.0000 1139.6
4 Spencer Schwellenbach 5.6859 3.3477 1137.8
5 Seth Lugo 4.4039 3.0048 1117.2
6 Ronel Blanco 4.4371 2.7968 1066.4
7 Kenta Maeda 4.1106 6.0890 990.0
8 Bryce Miller 4.3213 2.9445 925.1
9 Michael Wacha 4.7192 3.3480 896.3
10 Nick Martinez 4.7112 3.0984 883.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Hendricks 4.4084 5.9235 1020.8
2 Slade Cecconi 4.1200 6.6623 955.8
3 Erick Fedde 4.8612 3.2989 927.1
4 Seth Lugo 4.3959 3.0048 924.4
5 Miles Mikolas 4.3636 5.3476 913.9
6 Kenta Maeda 4.5130 6.0890 902.7
7 Tanner Houck 4.6176 3.1231 898.4
8 Louis Varland 4.1955 7.6107 880.7
9 Logan Allen 4.0627 5.7329 844.8
10 Ronel Blanco 4.3260 2.7968 840.9

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Paul Skenes 0.9474
1.3932
(222.4)
1.2829
(171.6)
1.2829
(153.1)
1.2829
(151.0)
1.3123
(152.8)
Jordan Montgomery 1.6496
1.1988
(246.8)
1.1958
(242.3)
1.2681
(223.0)
1.2744
(221.8)
1.2581
(244.3)
Blair Henley 21.0000
1.4205
(176.3)
1.2829
(177.5)
1.2829
(177.8)
1.5056
(175.8)
1.5062
(176.1)
Chris Bassitt 1.4620
1.1576
(240.6)
1.1771
(217.2)
1.2803
(166.3)
1.2841
(166.5)
1.1967
(252.4)
Logan Gilbert 0.8866
1.1381
(191.5)
1.1591
(217.5)
1.1715
(198.5)
1.1756
(198.6)
1.1794
(180.7)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Schwellenbach 1.4993 1.0431 221.5
2 Nick Martinez 1.4073 1.0258 210.0
3 Trevor Rogers 1.2445 1.5764 193.9
4 Marcus Stroman 1.1944 1.4677 193.3
5 Luis L. Ortiz 1.4543 1.1130 182.5
6 Hunter Greene 1.3184 1.0177 175.7
7 Cole Ragans 1.3798 1.1431 170.4
8 Austin Gomber 1.5652 1.3091 169.1
9 Emmanuel Clase 1.2882 0.6592 166.3
10 Bryan Hudson 1.4516 0.7219 165.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jack Flaherty 1.4447 1.0679 243.5
2 Erick Fedde 1.4426 1.1617 202.8
3 Luis L. Ortiz 1.4677 1.1130 196.3
4 Ronel Blanco 1.3738 1.0876 192.3
5 Hunter Greene 1.3212 1.0177 184.4
6 Shota Imanaga 1.2829 1.0212 180.5
7 Luke Weaver 1.4661 0.9286 177.4
8 Taijuan Walker 1.2656 1.7211 174.2
9 Marcus Stroman 1.2213 1.4677 167.4
10 Dylan Cease 1.2882 1.0669 167.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 1.4988 1.1617 217.3
2 Nick Martinez 1.4378 1.0258 213.3
3 Jack Flaherty 1.4016 1.0679 192.1
4 Trevor Rogers 1.2784 1.5764 188.7
5 Luis L. Ortiz 1.4851 1.1130 185.8
6 Bryce Miller 1.2661 0.9760 177.7
7 Ronel Blanco 1.3856 1.0876 175.9
8 Seth Lugo 1.3207 1.0887 162.4
9 Garrett Crochet 1.3684 1.0685 156.0
10 Dylan Cease 1.3091 1.0669 155.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Schwellenbach 1.5925 1.0431 253.8
2 Nick Martinez 1.4300 1.0258 206.6
3 Erick Fedde 1.4737 1.1617 196.3
4 Luis L. Ortiz 1.4863 1.1130 184.3
5 Trevor Rogers 1.2963 1.5764 180.9
6 Seth Lugo 1.3467 1.0887 180.8
7 Jack Flaherty 1.3768 1.0679 173.4
8 Tyler Holton 1.2980 0.7845 167.0
9 Bryce Miller 1.2549 0.9760 167.0
10 Ronel Blanco 1.3708 1.0876 163.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 1.3039 1.5764 191.2
2 Walker Buehler 1.1082 1.5531 176.3
3 Bobby Miller 1.1580 1.7679 174.8
4 Seth Lugo 1.3625 1.0887 172.2
5 Marcus Stroman 1.2826 1.4677 170.7
6 Triston McKenzie 1.1419 1.5595 165.0
7 Taijuan Walker 1.3688 1.7211 160.0
8 Ronel Blanco 1.3898 1.0876 158.4
9 Jack Flaherty 1.3701 1.0679 152.1
10 Hunter Gaddis 1.3750 0.7634 151.2