2024 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Biggest Plate Appearances (PA) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jackson Merrill 1 593 592.0
2 Jackson Chourio 1 573 572.0
3 Wyatt Langford 1 557 556.0
4 Colt Keith 1 556 555.0
5 Myles Straw 517 4 513.0
6 Max Schuemann 1 459 458.0
7 Tony Kemp 460 10 450.0
8 Andy Pages 1 443 442.0
9 José Abreu 551 120 431.0
10 Wenceel Pérez 1 425 424.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoán Moncada 633 45 587.7
2 Trevor Story 634 106 528.1
3 Mike Trout 648 126 522.4
4 Alec Burleson 87 595 508.3
5 Josh Smith 85 592 506.6
6 Heliot Ramos 13 518 504.9
7 Ryan Noda 600 111 488.6
8 José Abreu 604 120 483.6
9 Ronald Acuña Jr. 695 222 473.0
10 Jung Hoo Lee 625 158 467.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Thomas Saggese 608 52 556.0
2 Coby Mayo 597 46 551.0
3 Orelvis Martinez 550 3 547.0
4 Liover Peguero 549 10 539.0
5 Myles Straw 533 4 529.0
6 Jasson Domínguez 591 67 524.0
7 Jonatan Clase 588 66 522.0
8 Luisangel Acuña 560 40 520.0
9 Dustin Harris 522 7 515.0
10 Tyler Gentry 519 5 514.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoán Moncada 559 45 514.0
2 Heliot Ramos 44 518 474.0
3 Jacob Young 69 521 452.0
4 Mike Trout 573 126 447.0
5 Alec Burleson 155 595 440.0
6 Trevor Story 545 106 439.0
7 Max Schuemann 28 459 431.0
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 643 222 421.0
9 Evan Carter 583 162 421.0
10 Josh Smith 175 592 417.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoán Moncada 571 45 526.0
2 Jacob Young 32 521 489.0
3 Heliot Ramos 34 518 484.0
4 Tommy Pham 1 478 477.0
5 Josh Smith 131 592 461.0
6 Max Schuemann 1 459 458.0
7 Jung Hoo Lee 613 158 455.0
8 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 574 123 451.0
9 Andy Pages 1 443 442.0
10 Otto Lopez 1 434 433.0

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3279 0.4133 66.4
2 Aaron Judge 0.4145 0.4811 52.7
3 Marcell Ozuna 0.3380 0.3948 44.7
4 Brent Rooker 0.3322 0.3941 43.1
5 Jurickson Profar 0.3093 0.3645 42.4
6 Brandon Drury 0.3382 0.2166 40.8
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.3395 0.3819 36.4
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3706 0.3091 34.8
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3615 0.4029 34.6
10 Brenton Doyle 0.2779 0.3264 34.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.4016 0.4811 68.0
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3527 0.4133 55.1
3 Brent Rooker 0.3226 0.3941 54.4
4 Jurickson Profar 0.3082 0.3645 49.0
5 Marcell Ozuna 0.3446 0.3948 46.3
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.3905 0.4323 43.1
7 Jarren Duran 0.3212 0.3568 38.8
8 Jackson Merrill 0.3045 0.3497 36.9
9 Brenton Doyle 0.2839 0.3264 36.0
10 Ketel Marte 0.3508 0.3946 35.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.4066 0.4811 54.6
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3432 0.4133 51.8
3 Jurickson Profar 0.3035 0.3645 42.7
4 Marcell Ozuna 0.3425 0.3948 38.0
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.3850 0.4323 36.7
6 Jackson Merrill 0.2918 0.3497 36.1
7 Brent Rooker 0.3401 0.3941 35.0
8 Brandon Drury 0.3145 0.2166 34.2
9 Andrés Giménez 0.3320 0.2808 30.5
10 Jarren Duran 0.3197 0.3568 29.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.4014 0.4811 68.0
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3515 0.4133 55.7
3 Brent Rooker 0.3203 0.3941 55.6
4 Jurickson Profar 0.3112 0.3645 46.8
5 Marcell Ozuna 0.3470 0.3948 44.4
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.3926 0.4323 41.3
7 Jarren Duran 0.3199 0.3568 39.5
8 Ketel Marte 0.3490 0.3946 36.3
9 Brenton Doyle 0.2840 0.3264 35.7
10 Heliot Ramos 0.2884 0.3401 35.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3955 0.4811 66.1
2 Heliot Ramos 0.2414 0.3401 55.4
3 Brent Rooker 0.3124 0.3941 55.3
4 Francisco Lindor 0.2946 0.3629 52.8
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3515 0.4133 49.7
6 Jurickson Profar 0.3111 0.3645 41.2
7 Joc Pederson 0.3070 0.3871 39.7
8 Kyle Schwarber 0.3201 0.3677 38.7
9 José Ramírez 0.3213 0.3695 38.5
10 Brandon Drury 0.3288 0.2166 37.4

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Gelof 0.2542 0.3437 49.2
2 Ryan O'Hearn 0.2374 0.1397 48.0
3 Will Benson 0.2812 0.3969 45.1
4 Ernie Clement 0.1755 0.0907 38.1
5 Colton Cowser 0.2398 0.3066 37.7
6 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2445 0.3318 37.3
7 Maikel Garcia 0.2236 0.1645 36.7
8 Joey Loperfido 0.2258 0.3626 36.0
9 Cody Bellinger 0.2195 0.1564 35.6
10 Yordan Alvarez 0.2059 0.1496 35.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan O'Hearn 0.2394 0.1397 50.7
2 Logan O'Hoppe 0.2048 0.2969 46.6
3 Brenton Doyle 0.3240 0.2537 44.1
4 Trevor Larnach 0.3210 0.2225 40.5
5 JJ Bleday 0.2532 0.1947 39.4
6 Ryan Jeffers 0.2759 0.2022 35.6
7 Will Benson 0.3024 0.3969 35.6
8 Miguel Amaya 0.2655 0.1708 35.4
9 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2344 0.2878 35.1
10 Nick Gonzales 0.2779 0.1912 34.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan O'Hoppe 0.2116 0.2969 49.5
2 Ryan O'Hearn 0.2455 0.1397 47.6
3 Brenton Doyle 0.3368 0.2537 44.4
4 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2415 0.2878 38.8
5 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2505 0.3318 38.6
6 Tyler O'Neill 0.2643 0.3362 38.5
7 Will Benson 0.3098 0.3969 37.5
8 Rafael Devers 0.1924 0.2446 37.1
9 Trevor Larnach 0.3226 0.2225 36.3
10 Bryan De La Cruz 0.2252 0.2733 35.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan O'Hearn 0.2416 0.1397 51.3
2 Logan O'Hoppe 0.2061 0.2969 46.5
3 Brenton Doyle 0.3285 0.2537 46.2
4 Trevor Larnach 0.3193 0.2225 39.5
5 JJ Bleday 0.2540 0.1947 39.3
6 Will Benson 0.3016 0.3969 36.3
7 Miguel Amaya 0.2664 0.1708 35.4
8 Ryan Jeffers 0.2751 0.2022 34.8
9 Nolan Gorman 0.2873 0.3756 34.7
10 Nick Gonzales 0.2784 0.1912 34.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Will Benson 0.2799 0.3969 47.6
2 Ryan O'Hearn 0.2335 0.1397 43.6
3 Masyn Winn 0.2451 0.1711 43.5
4 Yordan Alvarez 0.2215 0.1496 42.1
5 Luis Arraez 0.1109 0.0432 41.8
6 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2337 0.2878 41.5
7 Logan O'Hoppe 0.2290 0.2969 38.4
8 Tyler O'Neill 0.2606 0.3362 38.4
9 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2478 0.3318 38.1
10 Nolan Gorman 0.2875 0.3756 37.7

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1478 0.1889 31.5
2 Alex Bregman 0.1198 0.0694 29.6
3 Ceddanne Rafaela 0.0754 0.0263 26.0
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1128 0.0719 24.4
5 Luis Arraez 0.0747 0.0357 23.7
6 Kyle Tucker 0.1025 0.1652 22.5
7 Jonathan India 0.0939 0.1256 22.5
8 Richie Palacios 0.0752 0.1424 22.4
9 Joey Ortiz 0.0724 0.1096 20.9
10 Jose Altuve 0.1026 0.0689 20.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Bregman 0.1259 0.0694 30.7
2 Aaron Judge 0.1538 0.1889 30.5
3 José Caballero 0.1215 0.0559 27.7
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1205 0.0719 26.5
5 Joey Ortiz 0.0669 0.1096 26.0
6 Jonathan India 0.0977 0.1256 23.0
7 Salvador Perez 0.0406 0.0675 22.8
8 Luis Arraez 0.0764 0.0357 21.9
9 Kyle Tucker 0.1099 0.1652 21.5
10 Yandy Díaz 0.1225 0.0805 21.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Bregman 0.1308 0.0694 37.2
2 Aaron Judge 0.1522 0.1889 27.8
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1158 0.0719 27.0
4 Joey Ortiz 0.0640 0.1096 24.7
5 Luis Arraez 0.0748 0.0357 24.4
6 José Caballero 0.1054 0.0559 22.6
7 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0886 0.1257 22.5
8 Yandy Díaz 0.1182 0.0805 21.7
9 Kyle Tucker 0.1086 0.1652 20.1
10 Adley Rutschman 0.1246 0.0909 19.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1515 0.1889 31.8
2 Alex Bregman 0.1258 0.0694 30.9
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1216 0.0719 27.5
4 José Caballero 0.1198 0.0559 27.1
5 Joey Ortiz 0.0669 0.1096 25.8
6 Jonathan India 0.0975 0.1256 22.8
7 Salvador Perez 0.0407 0.0675 22.5
8 Luis Arraez 0.0763 0.0357 22.1
9 Kyle Tucker 0.1106 0.1652 21.1
10 Adley Rutschman 0.1312 0.0909 20.8

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1570 0.1889 26.7
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.1498 0.1108 24.2
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1147 0.0719 24.1
4 Alex Bregman 0.1113 0.0694 22.8
5 Marcell Ozuna 0.0813 0.1076 22.2
6 Joey Ortiz 0.0738 0.1096 21.4
7 Kyle Tucker 0.1083 0.1652 21.3
8 Jonathan India 0.0986 0.1256 21.0
9 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.1092 0.1546 20.6
10 Jose Altuve 0.1047 0.0689 20.3

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Leo Jiménez 0.0111 0.0762 13.8
2 Tyler Freeman 0.0167 0.0496 12.8
3 Jurickson Profar 0.0096 0.0269 12.0
4 Joc Pederson 0.0155 0.0401 11.3
5 José Caballero 0.0380 0.0186 9.1
6 Masataka Yoshida 0.0123 0.0333 9.0
7 Willi Castro 0.0200 0.0331 8.6
8 Miguel Amaya 0.0351 0.0110 8.5
9 Randy Arozarena 0.0220 0.0340 8.1
10 Brent Rooker 0.0215 0.0081 7.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Leo Jiménez 0.0210 0.0762 11.7
2 Jurickson Profar 0.0100 0.0269 11.6
3 Joc Pederson 0.0150 0.0401 11.5
4 Matt Wallner 0.0220 0.0613 10.4
5 Randy Arozarena 0.0190 0.0340 10.0
6 Willi Castro 0.0180 0.0331 9.9
7 Masataka Yoshida 0.0120 0.0333 9.1
8 Tyler Freeman 0.0270 0.0496 8.8
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.0140 0.0301 7.7
10 Jake McCarthy 0.0140 0.0283 7.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Neto 0.0466 0.0266 11.4
2 Jurickson Profar 0.0117 0.0269 10.9
3 José Caballero 0.0408 0.0186 10.2
4 Joc Pederson 0.0188 0.0401 10.0
5 Masataka Yoshida 0.0108 0.0333 9.9
6 Ty France 0.0427 0.0243 9.3
7 Willi Castro 0.0202 0.0331 8.8
8 Matt Wallner 0.0296 0.0613 8.5
9 Miguel Amaya 0.0346 0.0110 8.2
10 Andrés Giménez 0.0376 0.0237 8.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Leo Jiménez 0.0217 0.0762 11.5
2 Jurickson Profar 0.0102 0.0269 11.5
3 Joc Pederson 0.0153 0.0401 11.4
4 Matt Wallner 0.0221 0.0613 10.3
5 Randy Arozarena 0.0188 0.0340 10.2
6 Willi Castro 0.0180 0.0331 9.9
7 Masataka Yoshida 0.0123 0.0333 9.0
8 Tyler Freeman 0.0276 0.0496 8.6
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.0140 0.0301 7.7
10 Jake McCarthy 0.0143 0.0283 7.2

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Raley 0.0000 0.0440 15.0
2 Randy Arozarena 0.0000 0.0340 14.8
3 Tyler Freeman 0.0000 0.0496 14.8
4 Willi Castro 0.0000 0.0331 14.0
5 Leo Jiménez 0.0000 0.0762 13.7
6 Matt Wallner 0.0000 0.0613 13.1
7 Joc Pederson 0.0000 0.0401 13.0
8 Josh Smith 0.0000 0.0304 11.4
9 Jurickson Profar 0.0000 0.0269 10.6
10 Isaac Paredes 0.0000 0.0265 9.9

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler O'Neill 0.0684 0.1220 26.5
2 Ketel Marte 0.0462 0.0885 25.9
3 Michael Toglia 0.0435 0.0977 25.9
4 Anthony Santander 0.0639 0.0934 21.1
5 Mark Vientos 0.0514 0.0954 21.0
6 Riley Greene 0.0337 0.0669 20.7
7 Colton Cowser 0.0382 0.0727 20.6
8 Yainer Diaz 0.0660 0.0329 19.1
9 Aaron Judge 0.1237 0.1483 18.9
10 Anthony Volpe 0.0542 0.0246 18.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.0437 0.0885 29.7
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.0666 0.1220 29.2
3 Aaron Judge 0.1199 0.1483 24.4
4 Anthony Santander 0.0654 0.0934 22.8
5 Michael Toglia 0.0602 0.0977 20.0
6 Colton Cowser 0.0458 0.0727 18.7
7 Riley Greene 0.0429 0.0669 17.7
8 Andrew Benintendi 0.0247 0.0521 17.6
9 Matt Olson 0.0986 0.0667 17.6
10 Jurickson Profar 0.0312 0.0507 17.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.0450 0.0885 24.9
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.0714 0.1220 23.6
3 Michael Toglia 0.0525 0.0977 20.3
4 Anthony Santander 0.0662 0.0934 17.6
5 Anthony Volpe 0.0494 0.0246 17.6
6 Colton Cowser 0.0439 0.0727 15.7
7 Isaac Paredes 0.0665 0.0429 15.6
8 Andrew Benintendi 0.0223 0.0521 15.2
9 Jurickson Profar 0.0273 0.0507 15.1
10 Christopher Morel 0.0790 0.0551 15.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.0435 0.0885 29.8
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.0673 0.1220 28.8
3 Aaron Judge 0.1214 0.1483 23.3
4 Anthony Santander 0.0680 0.0934 20.9
5 Michael Toglia 0.0594 0.0977 20.3
6 Colton Cowser 0.0464 0.0727 18.2
7 Riley Greene 0.0422 0.0669 17.9
8 Andrew Benintendi 0.0245 0.0521 17.6
9 Matt Olson 0.0983 0.0667 17.5
10 Jurickson Profar 0.0307 0.0507 17.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.0404 0.0885 30.1
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.0634 0.1220 29.4
3 Aaron Judge 0.1121 0.1483 28.1
4 Anthony Santander 0.0644 0.0934 21.7
5 Andrew Benintendi 0.0200 0.0521 18.6
6 Lawrence Butler 0.0342 0.0714 18.4
7 Brent Rooker 0.0791 0.1046 17.9
8 José Ramírez 0.0496 0.0716 17.5
9 Teoscar Hernández 0.0588 0.0819 17.4
10 Francisco Lindor 0.0466 0.0668 16.4

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2751 0.3582 60.3
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2955 0.3538 44.6
3 Brent Rooker 0.2976 0.3623 42.5
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.2460 0.3006 40.9
5 Christopher Morel 0.3045 0.2333 40.7
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2911 0.3421 38.8
7 Aaron Judge 0.3176 0.3664 37.5
8 Corbin Carroll 0.3128 0.2539 37.2
9 Maikel Garcia 0.3292 0.2658 36.8
10 Josh Smith 0.2546 0.3096 35.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2831 0.3582 56.5
2 Brent Rooker 0.2915 0.3623 47.8
3 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2948 0.3538 46.7
4 Aaron Judge 0.3075 0.3664 46.4
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2875 0.3421 43.0
6 Seiya Suzuki 0.3104 0.3701 39.1
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.2533 0.3006 37.6
8 Christopher Morel 0.3009 0.2333 37.0
9 Jose Altuve 0.2916 0.3374 36.0
10 Anthony Santander 0.2828 0.2248 33.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2866 0.3582 54.7
2 Aaron Judge 0.3080 0.3664 46.7
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2860 0.3421 44.7
4 Corbin Carroll 0.3227 0.2539 41.6
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3043 0.3538 40.8
6 Christopher Morel 0.3069 0.2333 40.1
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.2878 0.3341 39.7
8 Brent Rooker 0.3077 0.3623 38.4
9 Kyle Schwarber 0.2532 0.3006 38.3
10 Anthony Santander 0.2861 0.2248 35.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2851 0.3582 55.3
2 Brent Rooker 0.2893 0.3623 49.3
3 Aaron Judge 0.3055 0.3664 48.0
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2942 0.3538 47.4
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2881 0.3421 42.7
6 Seiya Suzuki 0.3120 0.3701 38.3
7 Christopher Morel 0.3030 0.2333 38.1
8 Jose Altuve 0.2901 0.3374 37.3
9 Kyle Schwarber 0.2561 0.3006 35.8
10 Yainer Diaz 0.2901 0.3383 34.4

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.2680 0.3623 64.3
2 Corbin Carroll 0.3420 0.2539 53.1
3 Bryan Reynolds 0.2643 0.3303 52.9
4 Heliot Ramos 0.2381 0.3292 52.6
5 Yainer Diaz 0.2711 0.3383 48.1
6 Francisco Lindor 0.2395 0.2950 45.4
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.2468 0.3006 44.5
8 Christopher Morel 0.3125 0.2333 42.0
9 Oneil Cruz 0.2879 0.3469 41.6
10 Logan O'Hoppe 0.2509 0.3170 40.0

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2041 0.2811 53.8
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1757 0.2370 43.3
3 Yainer Diaz 0.2082 0.2702 39.2
4 Maikel Garcia 0.2609 0.1983 38.3
5 Brent Rooker 0.2183 0.2784 37.8
6 Mitch Garver 0.2203 0.1396 34.1
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.2468 0.3003 33.6
8 Randy Arozarena 0.2360 0.1841 32.8
9 Spencer Steer 0.2200 0.1695 32.3
10 Nolan Arenado 0.1990 0.2469 31.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2117 0.2811 49.4
2 Brent Rooker 0.2106 0.2784 43.1
3 Julio Rodríguez 0.2353 0.3003 41.3
4 Jose Altuve 0.2185 0.2740 39.5
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.1877 0.2370 35.8
6 Yainer Diaz 0.2182 0.2702 33.7
7 Randy Arozarena 0.2343 0.1841 31.0
8 Nolan Arenado 0.2014 0.2469 30.4
9 Mitch Garver 0.2099 0.1396 29.2
10 Maikel Garcia 0.2471 0.1983 29.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcell Ozuna 0.2166 0.2811 47.1
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1795 0.2370 42.5
3 Corbin Carroll 0.2340 0.1737 38.5
4 Anthony Volpe 0.1776 0.2295 38.5
5 Julio Rodríguez 0.2418 0.3003 38.3
6 Jose Altuve 0.2222 0.2740 38.0
7 Randy Arozarena 0.2373 0.1841 31.9
8 Mitch Garver 0.2179 0.1396 31.9
9 Brent Rooker 0.2308 0.2784 31.7
10 Yainer Diaz 0.2240 0.2702 31.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Rodríguez 0.2189 0.3003 51.1
2 Marcell Ozuna 0.2146 0.2811 47.1
3 Brent Rooker 0.2047 0.2784 46.5
4 Jose Altuve 0.2156 0.2740 41.2
5 Corbin Carroll 0.2313 0.1737 38.0
6 Yainer Diaz 0.2161 0.2702 34.7
7 Maikel Garcia 0.2539 0.1983 33.6
8 Nolan Arenado 0.1993 0.2469 31.5
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2086 0.2510 31.0
10 Randy Arozarena 0.2332 0.1841 30.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1959 0.2784 54.1
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.1895 0.2584 51.5
3 Corbin Carroll 0.2461 0.1737 45.8
4 Yainer Diaz 0.2018 0.2702 45.7
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.1818 0.2370 42.0
6 Nolan Arenado 0.1939 0.2469 37.1
7 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1927 0.2582 37.0
8 Dylan Moore 0.2427 0.1535 36.9
9 Jose Altuve 0.2271 0.2740 35.8
10 Mitch Garver 0.2269 0.1396 35.2

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.0745 0.1081 25.8
2 Christopher Morel 0.0752 0.0306 25.4
3 JJ Bleday 0.0658 0.1005 24.3
4 Alec Bohm 0.0614 0.0959 22.8
5 Oneil Cruz 0.0662 0.0991 21.6
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.0677 0.0952 21.3
7 Wilyer Abreu 0.0823 0.1250 20.5
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0636 0.0889 20.1
9 Adley Rutschman 0.0800 0.0461 19.7
10 Brandon Drury 0.0851 0.0288 19.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.0683 0.1081 31.2
2 Christopher Morel 0.0743 0.0306 24.0
3 JJ Bleday 0.0698 0.1005 22.6
4 Wilyer Abreu 0.0794 0.1250 22.4
5 Oneil Cruz 0.0698 0.0991 20.3
6 Julio Rodríguez 0.0806 0.0433 20.1
7 Colt Keith 0.0787 0.0380 20.1
8 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0784 0.1018 19.4
9 Alec Bohm 0.0690 0.0959 19.0
10 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0672 0.0889 18.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.0725 0.1081 27.2
2 Cal Raleigh 0.0894 0.0468 24.9
3 Wilyer Abreu 0.0730 0.1250 24.6
4 Christopher Morel 0.0726 0.0306 23.9
5 Adley Rutschman 0.0861 0.0461 23.7
6 Rhys Hoskins 0.0956 0.0496 22.2
7 Oneil Cruz 0.0650 0.0991 22.2
8 Colt Keith 0.0797 0.0380 21.6
9 Alec Bohm 0.0647 0.0959 20.7
10 JJ Bleday 0.0717 0.1005 20.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.0660 0.1081 33.3
2 Julio Rodríguez 0.0949 0.0433 28.5
3 Jorge Soler 0.0579 0.1006 27.5
4 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0693 0.1018 26.2
5 Wilyer Abreu 0.0744 0.1250 25.0
6 Matt Chapman 0.0664 0.0995 24.8
7 Cal Raleigh 0.0909 0.0468 24.4
8 JJ Bleday 0.0694 0.1005 23.3
9 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0624 0.0889 22.5
10 Christopher Morel 0.0700 0.0306 20.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Christopher Morel 0.0855 0.0306 30.7
2 Wilyer Abreu 0.0653 0.1250 28.8
3 Jorge Soler 0.0566 0.1006 28.0
4 Colt Keith 0.0929 0.0380 27.9
5 Michael Conforto 0.0429 0.0891 24.8
6 Alec Bohm 0.0613 0.0959 23.8
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0602 0.0891 23.4
8 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.1005 0.0551 22.5
9 Aaron Judge 0.0819 0.1081 21.8
10 Julio Rodríguez 0.0827 0.0433 21.3

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.0115 0.0283 12.5
2 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0076 0.0313 11.3
3 Corbin Carroll 0.0196 0.0312 8.1
4 Daulton Varsho 0.0085 0.0229 7.5
5 Rafael Devers 0.0026 0.0140 7.0
6 Kyle Isbel 0.0114 0.0268 6.7
7 Wenceel Pérez 0.0059 0.0206 6.3
8 Kerry Carpenter 0.0072 0.0282 6.3
9 Parker Meadows 0.0114 0.0321 6.2
10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0072 0.0218 6.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0052 0.0313 12.4
2 Jarren Duran 0.0124 0.0283 11.8
3 Corbin Carroll 0.0191 0.0312 8.3
4 Daulton Varsho 0.0070 0.0229 8.2
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.0155 0.0265 7.7
6 Kyle Isbel 0.0091 0.0268 7.6
7 Rafael Devers 0.0024 0.0140 7.1
8 Otto Lopez 0.0173 0.0031 6.1
9 Kerry Carpenter 0.0077 0.0282 6.1
10 Joey Loperfido 0.0067 0.0274 5.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0076 0.0313 11.7
2 Daulton Varsho 0.0087 0.0229 7.9
3 Rafael Devers 0.0023 0.0140 7.7
4 Corbin Carroll 0.0222 0.0312 6.9
5 Kerry Carpenter 0.0063 0.0282 6.8
6 Jarren Duran 0.0205 0.0283 6.5
7 Otto Lopez 0.0186 0.0031 6.3
8 Parker Meadows 0.0132 0.0321 6.0
9 Kyle Isbel 0.0143 0.0268 5.8
10 Juan Soto 0.0026 0.0095 5.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0054 0.0313 12.3
2 Jarren Duran 0.0124 0.0283 11.9
3 Corbin Carroll 0.0190 0.0312 8.4
4 Daulton Varsho 0.0069 0.0229 8.3
5 Kyle Isbel 0.0088 0.0268 7.7
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.0161 0.0265 7.3
7 Rafael Devers 0.0024 0.0140 7.1
8 Kerry Carpenter 0.0076 0.0282 6.2
9 Otto Lopez 0.0171 0.0031 6.0
10 Joey Loperfido 0.0053 0.0274 5.8

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.0119 0.0283 12.3
2 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0068 0.0313 11.7
3 Corbin Carroll 0.0155 0.0312 10.9
4 Daulton Varsho 0.0056 0.0229 9.0
5 Kyle Isbel 0.0068 0.0268 8.7
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.0156 0.0265 7.7
7 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0115 0.0217 7.4
8 Seiya Suzuki 0.0057 0.0179 7.3
9 CJ Abrams 0.0048 0.0151 6.4
10 Parker Meadows 0.0122 0.0321 6.0

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1320 0.1763 34.4
2 Juan Soto 0.1424 0.1795 29.4
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1507 0.1833 26.9
4 Masyn Winn 0.0964 0.1334 26.2
5 Yandy Díaz 0.1348 0.0886 26.1
6 Jarren Duran 0.1207 0.1510 25.4
7 José Ramírez 0.1365 0.1672 23.7
8 Freddie Freeman 0.1667 0.1270 22.7
9 Jacob Young 0.1049 0.1440 22.5
10 Christopher Morel 0.1325 0.0917 22.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yandy Díaz 0.1481 0.0886 32.9
2 Matt Chapman 0.1158 0.1515 27.3
3 Gunnar Henderson 0.1340 0.1641 26.3
4 Matt Olson 0.1575 0.1139 25.4
5 Jurickson Profar 0.1104 0.1407 24.6
6 Jacob Young 0.1052 0.1440 23.6
7 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1503 0.1763 23.1
8 José Ramírez 0.1410 0.1672 22.3
9 Dairon Blanco 0.1200 0.2803 22.0
10 Jackson Chourio 0.1085 0.1396 21.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1480 0.1833 29.4
2 Nolan Schanuel 0.1542 0.1021 28.6
3 Christopher Morel 0.1410 0.0917 27.2
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1448 0.1763 25.8
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.1057 0.1406 25.5
6 Yandy Díaz 0.1309 0.0886 23.3
7 José Ramírez 0.1387 0.1672 22.7
8 Juan Soto 0.1530 0.1795 22.4
9 Adolis García 0.1459 0.1068 21.9
10 Josh Naylor 0.1042 0.1327 21.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yandy Díaz 0.1530 0.0886 34.8
2 Matt Chapman 0.1137 0.1515 29.8
3 Matt Olson 0.1634 0.1139 28.2
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1472 0.1763 26.5
5 Corbin Carroll 0.1486 0.1769 25.1
6 Jarren Duran 0.1264 0.1510 24.2
7 Orlando Arcia 0.1304 0.0831 23.5
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.1404 0.1641 23.0
9 Matt Vierling 0.1094 0.1411 22.7
10 Dairon Blanco 0.1190 0.2803 22.4

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.1272 0.1672 32.4
2 Jacob Young 0.0938 0.1440 30.1
3 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1415 0.1763 30.1
4 Matt Chapman 0.1133 0.1515 29.6
5 Corbin Carroll 0.1438 0.1769 27.8
6 Juan Soto 0.1481 0.1795 27.8
7 Jurickson Profar 0.1077 0.1407 27.2
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.1351 0.1641 26.4
9 Francisco Lindor 0.1290 0.1553 23.4
10 Jorge Soler 0.1144 0.1463 22.7

RBI Rate

Biggest RBI Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1161 0.1824 42.7
2 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.1016 0.1751 42.5
3 Brandon Drury 0.1479 0.0417 37.1
4 Aaron Judge 0.1619 0.2045 32.3
5 Ketel Marte 0.1161 0.1630 29.2
6 Brandon Nimmo 0.0959 0.1357 28.6
7 Pete Alonso 0.1678 0.1266 26.3
8 Jake Fraley 0.1398 0.0681 26.1
9 Orlando Arcia 0.1230 0.0764 26.1
10 Jurickson Profar 0.0918 0.1272 25.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1339 0.1824 35.5
2 Aaron Judge 0.1697 0.2045 31.1
3 Brandon Drury 0.1369 0.0417 30.9
4 Jackson Merrill 0.1098 0.1518 30.4
5 Ketel Marte 0.1208 0.1630 29.9
6 Brandon Nimmo 0.1001 0.1357 29.8
7 Willy Adames 0.1298 0.1628 29.0
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.1218 0.1578 28.9
9 Alec Bohm 0.1225 0.1601 28.4
10 Jurickson Profar 0.0951 0.1272 27.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1309 0.1824 37.0
2 Brandon Drury 0.1426 0.0417 33.2
3 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1639 0.0824 30.9
4 Yordan Alvarez 0.1922 0.1354 30.5
5 Jackson Merrill 0.1116 0.1518 29.1
6 Eugenio Suárez 0.1220 0.1578 28.6
7 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.1325 0.1751 28.5
8 Jake Fraley 0.1499 0.0681 27.9
9 Ketel Marte 0.1239 0.1630 27.9
10 Jurickson Profar 0.0953 0.1272 27.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1292 0.1824 38.8
2 Aaron Judge 0.1651 0.2045 34.8
3 Brandon Drury 0.1409 0.0417 32.1
4 Ketel Marte 0.1184 0.1630 31.8
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.1185 0.1578 31.6
6 José Ramírez 0.1368 0.1730 31.5
7 Willy Adames 0.1289 0.1628 30.2
8 Jackson Merrill 0.1119 0.1518 29.6
9 Eloy Jiménez 0.1559 0.0659 27.9
10 Brandon Nimmo 0.1047 0.1357 27.2

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1536 0.2045 41.5
2 Jackson Merrill 0.0909 0.1518 40.8
3 Brent Rooker 0.1276 0.1824 38.5
4 José Ramírez 0.1337 0.1730 32.3
5 Brandon Nimmo 0.0968 0.1357 31.1
6 Heliot Ramos 0.0882 0.1390 30.4
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.1146 0.1503 30.2
8 Ketel Marte 0.1197 0.1630 29.8
9 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.1330 0.1751 27.7
10 Brandon Drury 0.1245 0.0417 27.0

Stolen Base Rate

Biggest Stolen Base Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1027 0.3189 147.4
2 David Hamilton 0.0980 0.4714 113.7
3 José Caballero 0.2198 0.4314 95.1
4 Elly De La Cruz 0.2577 0.4085 94.8
5 Zach Neto 0.0690 0.2273 86.5
6 Bubba Thompson 0.2241 5.0000 85.7
7 José Ramírez 0.1391 0.2770 84.1
8 Dairon Blanco 0.3226 0.9688 83.4
9 Lane Thomas 0.0970 0.2689 83.1
10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1000 0.3140 81.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1084 0.3189 144.2
2 José Caballero 0.2037 0.4314 103.5
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.2484 0.4085 102.2
4 Brice Turang 0.1485 0.3145 94.5
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2808 0.1649 91.6
6 José Ramírez 0.1338 0.2770 88.6
7 Bubba Thompson 0.2841 5.0000 84.6
8 Zach Neto 0.0755 0.2273 83.4
9 Lane Thomas 0.1046 0.2689 79.7
10 Willi Castro 0.1983 0.0864 79.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1126 0.3189 143.0
2 Zach Neto 0.0645 0.2273 91.5
3 José Ramírez 0.1358 0.2770 89.0
4 Brice Turang 0.1630 0.3145 87.1
5 Bubba Thompson 0.2653 5.0000 85.0
6 Lane Thomas 0.1053 0.2689 80.7
7 Dairon Blanco 0.3636 0.9688 78.5
8 Maikel Garcia 0.1361 0.2721 78.4
9 José Caballero 0.2651 0.4314 75.1
10 Willi Castro 0.1923 0.0864 74.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1120 0.3189 142.8
2 José Caballero 0.2054 0.4314 103.6
3 Brice Turang 0.1468 0.3145 96.6
4 Elly De La Cruz 0.2601 0.4085 95.3
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2768 0.1649 87.5
6 José Ramírez 0.1390 0.2770 86.3
7 Bubba Thompson 0.2982 5.0000 84.4
8 Zach Neto 0.0764 0.2273 83.9
9 Lane Thomas 0.1053 0.2689 80.3
10 Dairon Blanco 0.3551 0.9688 79.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.0939 0.3189 163.8
2 José Ramírez 0.1318 0.2770 98.4
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.2800 0.4085 88.8
4 Dairon Blanco 0.3276 0.9688 84.5
5 Bubba Thompson 0.3063 5.0000 84.5
6 Willi Castro 0.1979 0.0864 71.4
7 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2609 0.1649 68.7
8 Ezequiel Tovar 0.1405 0.0469 65.8
9 Brice Turang 0.2077 0.3145 65.5
10 Victor Robles 0.1743 0.3953 64.9

Batting Average

Biggest Batting Average Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2638 0.3318 51.2
2 Marcell Ozuna 0.2480 0.3020 40.1
3 Brent Rooker 0.2354 0.2930 38.0
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2757 0.3231 36.0
5 Masyn Winn 0.2200 0.2675 33.0
6 Jackson Merrill 0.2433 0.2924 31.7
7 Mitch Garver 0.2478 0.1717 30.9
8 Brandon Drury 0.2590 0.1692 30.8
9 Aaron Judge 0.2833 0.3220 30.3
10 Jurickson Profar 0.2397 0.2801 29.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.2228 0.2930 49.2
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2782 0.3318 45.0
3 Aaron Judge 0.2698 0.3220 43.8
4 Marcell Ozuna 0.2549 0.3020 39.2
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.2721 0.3097 34.7
6 Jurickson Profar 0.2383 0.2801 34.5
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2849 0.3231 33.5
8 Jarren Duran 0.2573 0.2846 27.3
9 Jose Iglesias 0.2537 0.3370 27.1
10 Connor Wong 0.2355 0.2796 26.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2748 0.3318 41.3
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.2595 0.3097 37.7
3 Aaron Judge 0.2711 0.3220 36.7
4 Marcell Ozuna 0.2533 0.3020 34.4
5 Brent Rooker 0.2397 0.2930 33.5
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2779 0.3231 32.4
7 Jurickson Profar 0.2356 0.2801 30.6
8 Randy Arozarena 0.2642 0.2186 28.8
9 Christopher Morel 0.2419 0.1963 27.1
10 Corbin Carroll 0.2716 0.2309 27.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.2206 0.2930 50.5
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2789 0.3318 44.4
3 Aaron Judge 0.2708 0.3220 42.9
4 Marcell Ozuna 0.2563 0.3020 38.1
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2812 0.3231 36.0
6 Jurickson Profar 0.2385 0.2801 34.4
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.2729 0.3097 34.0
8 Jarren Duran 0.2574 0.2846 27.2
9 Jose Iglesias 0.2533 0.3370 27.2
10 Connor Wong 0.2368 0.2796 25.6

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.2178 0.2930 49.6
2 Heliot Ramos 0.1875 0.2695 45.3
3 Aaron Judge 0.2652 0.3220 43.9
4 Francisco Lindor 0.2172 0.2735 42.6
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2801 0.3318 40.6
6 Kyle Schwarber 0.2011 0.2478 36.1
7 Yainer Diaz 0.2466 0.2991 35.9
8 Jurickson Profar 0.2370 0.2801 32.5
9 Corbin Carroll 0.2839 0.2309 32.4
10 Brandon Drury 0.2638 0.1692 32.1

On-Base Percentage

Biggest On-Base Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3105 0.3893 60.9
2 Aaron Judge 0.3915 0.4580 51.9
3 Marcell Ozuna 0.3135 0.3785 49.6
4 Jurickson Profar 0.3244 0.3801 42.0
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3682 0.3015 38.9
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3530 0.3960 34.9
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.3241 0.3644 34.1
8 Brent Rooker 0.3176 0.3648 33.4
9 Brenton Doyle 0.2732 0.3172 30.9
10 Joc Pederson 0.3363 0.3928 28.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3856 0.4580 61.9
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3287 0.3893 53.9
3 Marcell Ozuna 0.3231 0.3785 48.8
4 Jurickson Profar 0.3271 0.3801 45.8
5 Brent Rooker 0.3109 0.3648 42.6
6 Brenton Doyle 0.2760 0.3172 34.2
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3665 0.3960 31.4
8 Teoscar Hernández 0.3073 0.3395 31.1
9 Jose Iglesias 0.2930 0.3814 30.3
10 Elly De La Cruz 0.3108 0.3386 30.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3841 0.4580 55.0
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3229 0.3893 50.0
3 Jurickson Profar 0.3216 0.3801 41.8
4 Marcell Ozuna 0.3261 0.3785 38.9
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3540 0.3015 31.6
6 Alex Bregman 0.3692 0.3155 31.5
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3566 0.3960 30.3
8 Jose Iglesias 0.2872 0.3814 28.6
9 Bryan De La Cruz 0.3189 0.2705 27.5
10 Keibert Ruiz 0.3202 0.2598 27.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3854 0.4580 61.7
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3292 0.3893 53.3
3 Marcell Ozuna 0.3252 0.3785 47.0
4 Jurickson Profar 0.3270 0.3801 45.6
5 Brent Rooker 0.3081 0.3648 44.1
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3627 0.3960 33.7
7 Brenton Doyle 0.2780 0.3172 32.8
8 Joc Pederson 0.3412 0.3928 29.9
9 Jose Iglesias 0.2938 0.3814 29.9
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3623 0.3015 29.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3805 0.4580 56.5
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3264 0.3893 46.5
3 Heliot Ramos 0.2353 0.3224 46.5
4 Brent Rooker 0.2952 0.3648 44.4
5 Joc Pederson 0.2987 0.3928 43.4
6 Jurickson Profar 0.3209 0.3801 41.4
7 Francisco Lindor 0.2882 0.3440 40.3
8 Kyle Schwarber 0.3175 0.3656 35.2
9 Salvador Perez 0.2811 0.3303 33.8
10 Marcell Ozuna 0.3346 0.3785 32.1

Slugging Percentage

Biggest Slugging Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.4552 0.5881 103.1
2 Aaron Judge 0.5908 0.7013 86.6
3 Brandon Drury 0.4798 0.2277 86.3
4 Brent Rooker 0.4466 0.5623 78.7
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.5611 0.6462 71.4
6 Juan Soto 0.4852 0.5694 69.0
7 Mark Vientos 0.3779 0.5157 68.3
8 Ketel Marte 0.4560 0.5595 67.7
9 Jackson Merrill 0.3997 0.5000 66.9
10 Jurickson Profar 0.3769 0.4592 63.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5620 0.7013 118.2
2 Brent Rooker 0.4322 0.5623 97.5
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.5462 0.6462 94.1
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5027 0.5881 80.8
5 Jurickson Profar 0.3706 0.4592 78.4
6 Jackson Merrill 0.3999 0.5000 76.4
7 Ketel Marte 0.4632 0.5595 72.9
8 Jarren Duran 0.4223 0.4918 72.2
9 Brandon Drury 0.4472 0.2277 68.7
10 Marcell Ozuna 0.4827 0.5462 63.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5748 0.7013 89.6
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.4813 0.5881 76.3
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.5455 0.6462 74.3
4 Brandon Drury 0.4349 0.2277 74.3
5 Christopher Morel 0.4654 0.3458 72.6
6 Jackson Merrill 0.3861 0.5000 68.0
7 Jurickson Profar 0.3622 0.4592 65.4
8 Brent Rooker 0.4622 0.5623 62.0
9 Marcell Ozuna 0.4670 0.5462 55.1
10 Lawrence Butler 0.3692 0.4903 55.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5665 0.7013 115.0
2 Brent Rooker 0.4303 0.5623 98.5
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.5545 0.6462 87.9
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5014 0.5881 81.7
5 Ketel Marte 0.4555 0.5595 77.3
6 Jurickson Profar 0.3769 0.4592 74.0
7 Jarren Duran 0.4202 0.4918 73.6
8 Jackson Merrill 0.4088 0.5000 71.0
9 Brandon Drury 0.4510 0.2277 70.1
10 Heliot Ramos 0.3744 0.4695 64.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5425 0.7013 122.7
2 Brent Rooker 0.4228 0.5623 95.2
3 Francisco Lindor 0.3835 0.5000 91.0
4 Heliot Ramos 0.3125 0.4695 89.4
5 José Ramírez 0.4326 0.5371 81.9
6 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.4931 0.5881 78.3
7 Brandon Drury 0.4449 0.2277 72.6
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.5696 0.6462 67.4
9 Jackson Merrill 0.4042 0.5000 66.0
10 Anthony Santander 0.4250 0.5059 64.2

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Biggest Batters Faced (BF) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shota Imanaga 1 694 693.0
2 Jordan Lyles 698 19 679.0
3 Mitch Spence 1 651 650.0
4 Mitchell Parker 1 646 645.0
5 Josiah Gray 678 44 634.0
6 Spencer Strider 675 42 633.0
7 Spencer Arrighetti 1 632 631.0
8 Kodai Senga 598 20 578.0
9 Rich Hill 590 15 575.0
10 Tobias Myers 1 569 568.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane Bieber 814 45 769.1
2 Josiah Gray 787 44 742.7
3 Spencer Strider 752 42 710.1
4 Wade Miley 610 30 579.9
5 Tobias Myers 4 569 564.6
6 Albert Suárez 1 565 564.0
7 Cristian Javier 711 150 560.8
8 Chase Silseth 574 38 535.9
9 Kodai Senga 551 20 531.1
10 Spencer Arrighetti 108 632 524.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kodai Senga 683 20 663.0
2 David Buchanan 649 14 635.0
3 Jordan Lyles 636 19 617.0
4 Spencer Strider 657 42 615.0
5 Shane Bieber 614 45 569.0
6 Josiah Gray 612 44 568.0
7 Germán Márquez 580 20 560.0
8 Alex Cobb 597 62 535.0
9 Cristian Mena 541 15 526.0
10 Blake Walston 606 83 523.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 689 42 647.3
2 Josiah Gray 686 44 642.2
3 Shane Bieber 687 45 642.0
4 Mitchell Parker 36 646 610.5
5 Tobias Myers 1 569 568.0
6 Albert Suárez 1 565 564.0
7 Wade Miley 571 30 540.5
8 Spencer Arrighetti 99 632 533.3
9 Paul Skenes 1 514 513.0
10 Cristian Javier 655 150 504.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 680 42 638.0
2 Shane Bieber 665 45 620.1
3 Spencer Arrighetti 39 632 593.0
4 Mitchell Parker 71 646 575.1
5 Tobias Myers 1 569 568.0
6 Albert Suárez 1 565 564.0
7 Alex Cobb 624 62 561.9
8 Josiah Gray 599 44 554.9
9 Ben Lively 113 632 518.9
10 Spencer Schwellenbach 1 500 499.0

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Taijuan Walker 0.3081 0.4133 41.5
2 Jordan Montgomery 0.2988 0.3694 39.4
3 Hunter Greene 0.3301 0.2632 38.7
4 Ronel Blanco 0.3306 0.2756 34.8
5 Chris Sale 0.3116 0.2596 34.0
6 Bryce Miller 0.3121 0.2603 34.0
7 Marcus Stroman 0.2947 0.3405 33.3
8 Roddery Muñoz 0.3101 0.3935 33.0
9 Tarik Skubal 0.2924 0.2458 32.4
10 Logan Gilbert 0.2985 0.2546 32.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 0.3101 0.2468 37.7
2 Jordan Montgomery 0.2915 0.3694 36.0
3 Bryce Miller 0.3002 0.2603 35.3
4 Erick Fedde 0.3291 0.2928 33.7
5 Logan Allen 0.3015 0.3895 33.6
6 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.3421 0.2858 33.2
7 Logan Gilbert 0.2852 0.2546 32.7
8 Taijuan Walker 0.3182 0.4133 32.4
9 Seth Lugo 0.3051 0.2775 31.6
10 Tyler Holton 0.2931 0.2208 29.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Montgomery 0.2834 0.3694 41.8
2 Logan Allen 0.2940 0.3895 38.1
3 Taijuan Walker 0.3076 0.4133 37.5
4 Bobby Miller 0.2719 0.4113 34.1
5 Seth Lugo 0.3087 0.2775 32.2
6 Walker Buehler 0.2728 0.3694 30.7
7 Kirby Yates 0.3158 0.1957 30.2
8 Paul Skenes 0.2960 0.2468 29.1
9 Carlos Rodón 0.2738 0.3205 29.0
10 Trevor Rogers 0.2930 0.3509 28.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 0.3101 0.2468 124.4
2 Tobias Myers 0.3101 0.2958 109.9
3 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.3101 0.2858 101.6
4 Albert Suárez 0.3101 0.3180 96.6
5 Michael Tonkin 0.3101 0.2973 65.1
6 Tayler Scott 0.3101 0.2759 60.1
7 Hunter Strickland 0.3101 0.2864 59.5
8 Tyson Miller 0.3101 0.2414 58.2
9 Jared Koenig 0.3101 0.2777 56.0
10 Declan Cronin 0.3101 0.3098 54.8

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yariel Rodríguez 0.3101 0.3111 68.9
2 Paul Skenes 0.1547 0.2468 49.4
3 Hunter Greene 0.1494 0.2632 45.5
4 Logan Gilbert 0.1227 0.2546 45.3
5 Dylan Cease 0.1352 0.2643 45.1
6 Jesus Tinoco 0.3101 0.2442 41.2
7 Ty Blach 0.0986 0.4108 40.9
8 Luis Gil 0.1630 0.2879 40.4
9 Reynaldo López 0.1558 0.2705 40.0
10 Bryce Miller 0.1285 0.2603 39.9

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.2302 0.3513 73.8
2 Paul Skenes 0.2263 0.3307 55.2
3 Kevin Gausman 0.2830 0.2143 49.8
4 Jack Flaherty 0.2274 0.2989 48.4
5 Griffin Canning 0.2442 0.1759 48.3
6 Mason Miller 0.2407 0.4177 44.8
7 Sonny Gray 0.2410 0.3025 43.2
8 Chris Sale 0.2619 0.3205 43.2
9 Cole Ragans 0.2432 0.2927 39.9
10 Cade Smith 0.2263 0.3564 38.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.2510 0.3513 58.9
2 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.1411 0.2540 55.8
3 Paul Skenes 0.2263 0.3307 53.0
4 Sonny Gray 0.2241 0.3025 51.7
5 Jack Flaherty 0.2185 0.2989 51.3
6 Griffin Canning 0.2404 0.1759 48.6
7 Kevin Gausman 0.2771 0.2143 48.4
8 Spencer Arrighetti 0.2096 0.2706 37.7
9 James Paxton 0.2519 0.1670 37.6
10 Andrew Abbott 0.2561 0.1945 36.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 0.1849 0.3307 70.5
2 Griffin Canning 0.2500 0.1759 61.1
3 Sonny Gray 0.2094 0.3025 56.7
4 Kevin Gausman 0.2632 0.2143 43.6
5 Andrew Abbott 0.2562 0.1945 41.2
6 Jack Flaherty 0.2270 0.2989 41.0
7 Trevor Rogers 0.2352 0.1726 40.0
8 Jordan Montgomery 0.2216 0.1560 39.5
9 Jordan Hicks 0.2721 0.1996 39.0
10 José Soriano 0.2813 0.2073 38.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.2471 0.3513 61.1
2 Paul Skenes 0.2263 0.3307 52.9
3 Jack Flaherty 0.2177 0.2989 51.8
4 Sonny Gray 0.2264 0.3025 50.1
5 Kevin Gausman 0.2788 0.2143 49.8
6 Griffin Canning 0.2408 0.1759 49.0
7 Spencer Arrighetti 0.2047 0.2706 40.8
8 Andrew Abbott 0.2563 0.1945 37.1
9 Cole Ragans 0.2438 0.2927 36.1
10 James Paxton 0.2477 0.1670 35.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.1970 0.3513 89.5
2 Kevin Gausman 0.2971 0.2143 65.6
3 Paul Skenes 0.2114 0.3307 59.3
4 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.1500 0.2540 50.1
5 Sonny Gray 0.2330 0.3025 44.0
6 Griffin Canning 0.2292 0.1759 42.3
7 Cole Ragans 0.2355 0.2927 40.6
8 Mason Miller 0.2586 0.4177 38.6
9 Trevor Rogers 0.2371 0.1726 38.4
10 Jeremiah Estrada 0.2228 0.3730 36.9

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.0873 0.0316 31.1
2 Shota Imanaga 0.0818 0.0403 27.9
3 Garrett Crochet 0.1007 0.0555 26.2
4 Bryan Woo 0.0837 0.0275 25.9
5 Jack Flaherty 0.0974 0.0586 24.4
6 Nick Nastrini 0.0818 0.2069 22.0
7 Cal Quantrill 0.0737 0.1052 21.4
8 Joe Boyle 0.0859 0.1770 20.9
9 Triston McKenzie 0.0845 0.1441 20.7
10 Jake Irvin 0.0947 0.0676 19.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.1134 0.0555 32.6
2 Nick Martinez 0.0906 0.0316 31.8
3 Mitchell Parker 0.1146 0.0666 28.9
4 Bryan Woo 0.0790 0.0275 22.8
5 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0947 0.0460 22.7
6 Cal Quantrill 0.0750 0.1052 21.9
7 Triston McKenzie 0.0836 0.1441 21.7
8 Jack Flaherty 0.0915 0.0586 19.3
9 Michael Lorenzen 0.0800 0.1119 18.9
10 Nick Nastrini 0.1037 0.2069 18.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.1159 0.0555 32.0
2 Triston McKenzie 0.0634 0.1441 29.7
3 Chris Bassitt 0.0630 0.0923 27.3
4 Mitchell Parker 0.1137 0.0666 26.1
5 Nick Martinez 0.0831 0.0316 25.6
6 Cal Quantrill 0.0751 0.1052 24.1
7 Tyler Anderson 0.0709 0.0954 23.9
8 Jack Flaherty 0.1009 0.0586 23.1
9 Frankie Montas 0.0753 0.1008 21.1
10 Michael Soroka 0.0747 0.1268 20.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.1136 0.0555 33.1
2 Nick Martinez 0.0914 0.0316 32.7
3 Mitchell Parker 0.1183 0.0666 31.8
4 Bryan Woo 0.0800 0.0275 23.6
5 Triston McKenzie 0.0829 0.1441 21.7
6 Cal Quantrill 0.0758 0.1052 20.9
7 Jack Flaherty 0.0909 0.0586 19.4
8 Nick Nastrini 0.1039 0.2069 18.4
9 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0871 0.0598 18.3
10 Hayden Birdsong 0.0818 0.1365 18.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.0994 0.0316 37.6
2 Cal Quantrill 0.0661 0.1052 26.9
3 Kyle Gibson 0.0652 0.0942 22.3
4 Tyler Anderson 0.0682 0.0954 22.2
5 Shota Imanaga 0.0739 0.0403 22.0
6 Chris Bassitt 0.0656 0.0923 21.7
7 Triston McKenzie 0.0827 0.1441 21.5
8 Bryan Woo 0.0719 0.0275 20.1
9 Mitchell Parker 0.0987 0.0666 19.6
10 Frankie Montas 0.0743 0.1008 18.6

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Greene 0.0158 0.0311 9.4
2 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0118 0.0000 8.7
3 Corbin Burnes 0.0126 0.0026 7.7
4 Matt Waldron 0.0065 0.0176 7.0
5 Jack Flaherty 0.0171 0.0062 7.0
6 Austin Adams 0.0342 0.0681 6.5
7 Jose Quintana 0.0066 0.0153 6.4
8 Bryce Miller 0.0132 0.0043 6.1
9 MacKenzie Gore 0.0068 0.0150 6.1
10 Yohan Ramírez 0.0287 0.0577 6.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Greene 0.0128 0.0311 10.8
2 Austin Adams 0.0214 0.0681 8.8
3 Nick Lodolo 0.0184 0.0365 8.7
4 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0109 0.0000 8.6
5 Yohan Ramírez 0.0199 0.0577 7.8
6 Corbin Burnes 0.0111 0.0026 7.1
7 Charlie Morton 0.0158 0.0257 6.5
8 Logan Webb 0.0096 0.0024 6.5
9 Jake Irvin 0.0126 0.0052 6.1
10 Tanner Houck 0.0129 0.0215 6.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Irvin 0.0180 0.0052 9.1
2 Jose Quintana 0.0045 0.0153 8.5
3 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0116 0.0000 8.0
4 Hunter Greene 0.0197 0.0311 7.6
5 MacKenzie Gore 0.0060 0.0150 7.4
6 Brayan Bello 0.0062 0.0157 7.4
7 Bryan Woo 0.0226 0.0064 7.2
8 José Soriano 0.0347 0.0192 6.8
9 Ryan Weathers 0.0076 0.0245 6.6
10 Paul Skenes 0.0000 0.0117 6.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Greene 0.0129 0.0311 10.8
2 Austin Adams 0.0213 0.0681 8.8
3 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0110 0.0000 8.7
4 Nick Lodolo 0.0184 0.0365 8.6
5 Yohan Ramírez 0.0198 0.0577 7.8
6 Corbin Burnes 0.0111 0.0026 7.2
7 Logan Webb 0.0096 0.0024 6.6
8 Charlie Morton 0.0159 0.0257 6.5
9 Jake Irvin 0.0126 0.0052 6.2
10 Dylan Cease 0.0100 0.0026 6.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0000 0.0365 12.6
2 Hunter Greene 0.0000 0.0311 12.3
3 Austin Adams 0.0000 0.0681 10.9
4 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0257 10.3
5 Yohan Ramírez 0.0000 0.0577 9.7
6 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0000 0.0000 8.3
7 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.0215 7.8
8 Chris Bassitt 0.0000 0.0211 7.6
9 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0000 0.0302 7.6
10 Logan Webb 0.0000 0.0024 7.3

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0512 0.0197 22.6
2 Roddery Muñoz 0.0439 0.0992 21.6
3 Chris Sale 0.0502 0.0209 19.4
4 MacKenzie Gore 0.0577 0.0316 18.0
5 Hunter Greene 0.0632 0.0328 17.7
6 Taijuan Walker 0.0403 0.0848 17.5
7 Enyel De Los Santos 0.0347 0.0934 16.8
8 Carlos Rodón 0.0455 0.0654 15.8
9 Bobby Miller 0.0394 0.0977 15.4
10 Declan Cronin 0.0556 0.0049 15.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Roddery Muñoz 0.0418 0.0992 22.8
2 Chris Sale 0.0514 0.0209 19.5
3 Hunter Greene 0.0643 0.0328 17.6
4 Taijuan Walker 0.0490 0.0848 14.7
5 Bobby Miller 0.0458 0.0977 14.1
6 Enyel De Los Santos 0.0467 0.0934 13.7
7 Nick Pivetta 0.0543 0.0725 12.5
8 MacKenzie Gore 0.0505 0.0316 11.8
9 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0380 0.0197 11.8
10 Seth Lugo 0.0432 0.0268 11.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Roddery Muñoz 0.0418 0.0992 22.6
2 Chris Sale 0.0546 0.0209 22.0
3 Hunter Greene 0.0669 0.0328 19.4
4 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0467 0.0197 18.6
5 Tanner Houck 0.0473 0.0210 17.9
6 Taijuan Walker 0.0433 0.0848 16.7
7 Bobby Miller 0.0358 0.0977 16.6
8 Triston McKenzie 0.0461 0.0880 15.0
9 Seth Lugo 0.0463 0.0268 14.4
10 Michael King 0.0594 0.0374 14.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Roddery Muñoz 0.0477 0.0992 20.7
2 Chris Sale 0.0510 0.0209 18.9
3 Hunter Greene 0.0634 0.0328 16.8
4 Taijuan Walker 0.0485 0.0848 15.0
5 Bobby Miller 0.0458 0.0977 14.2
6 Enyel De Los Santos 0.0502 0.0934 12.9
7 Nick Pivetta 0.0542 0.0725 12.7
8 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0390 0.0197 12.2
9 Cade Smith 0.0503 0.0060 11.9
10 Grant Anderson 0.0458 0.1375 11.4

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Seth Lugo 0.0578 0.0268 24.9
2 Roddery Muñoz 0.0452 0.0992 21.0
3 Reynaldo López 0.0649 0.0285 19.1
4 Bailey Falter 0.0691 0.0380 17.5
5 Hunter Greene 0.0625 0.0328 17.4
6 Bobby Miller 0.0332 0.0977 17.0
7 Tanner Houck 0.0446 0.0210 16.6
8 Enyel De Los Santos 0.0435 0.0934 14.2
9 Paul Skenes 0.0613 0.0327 14.1
10 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0391 0.0197 13.6

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronel Blanco 0.2899 0.2201 44.9
2 Chris Bassitt 0.2785 0.3333 44.1
3 Hunter Greene 0.3067 0.2373 40.4
4 Sean Manaea 0.2969 0.2451 35.7
5 Logan Gilbert 0.2842 0.2364 35.7
6 Bryce Miller 0.2901 0.2371 35.0
7 Luis Gil 0.2952 0.2369 35.0
8 Bryan Hudson 0.3012 0.1479 34.6
9 Jordan Montgomery 0.2890 0.3470 32.7
10 Ryan Yarbrough 0.2971 0.2122 32.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronel Blanco 0.2924 0.2201 44.3
2 MacKenzie Gore 0.2927 0.3399 39.5
3 Logan Gilbert 0.2892 0.2364 36.9
4 Chris Bassitt 0.2926 0.3333 36.1
5 Bryan Hudson 0.2955 0.1479 32.5
6 Patrick Corbin 0.3018 0.3370 32.2
7 Kutter Crawford 0.2956 0.2469 31.7
8 Tyler Holton 0.2967 0.2008 31.5
9 Bryce Miller 0.2874 0.2371 30.6
10 Zack Wheeler 0.2919 0.2464 30.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronel Blanco 0.2896 0.2201 43.2
2 Chris Bassitt 0.2854 0.3333 40.5
3 Kutter Crawford 0.3017 0.2469 37.4
4 Sean Manaea 0.3003 0.2451 36.7
5 MacKenzie Gore 0.2974 0.3399 35.1
6 Logan Gilbert 0.2852 0.2364 34.7
7 Zack Wheeler 0.2957 0.2464 34.5
8 Bryan Hudson 0.2961 0.1479 33.0
9 Jose Quintana 0.3148 0.2634 32.9
10 Ryan Yarbrough 0.2949 0.2122 30.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronel Blanco 0.2963 0.2201 45.9
2 Landon Knack 0.4036 0.2418 43.9
3 Keider Montero 0.4009 0.2872 43.4
4 MacKenzie Gore 0.2917 0.3399 41.2
5 Chris Bassitt 0.2891 0.3333 39.8
6 Sean Manaea 0.3041 0.2451 37.4
7 Bryan Hudson 0.3148 0.1479 36.6
8 Patrick Corbin 0.3024 0.3370 32.8
9 Ben Lively 0.3250 0.2654 32.4
10 Ryan Yarbrough 0.3015 0.2122 32.2

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Bassitt 0.2634 0.3333 47.1
2 Bryan Hudson 0.3222 0.1479 42.1
3 Sean Manaea 0.2929 0.2451 41.0
4 MacKenzie Gore 0.2775 0.3399 39.8
5 Jordan Montgomery 0.2695 0.3470 37.1
6 Emmanuel Clase 0.3181 0.1947 35.4
7 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2613 0.3149 34.7
8 Tyler Holton 0.2874 0.2008 33.4
9 Raisel Iglesias 0.3118 0.1988 31.3
10 Reid Detmers 0.2704 0.3571 30.8

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Bassitt 0.2089 0.2716 48.1
2 Ronel Blanco 0.2189 0.1507 45.7
3 Luis Gil 0.2229 0.1543 43.3
4 Logan Gilbert 0.2054 0.1589 36.8
5 Kyle Hendricks 0.2088 0.2663 33.0
6 Cristopher Sánchez 0.2050 0.2473 32.3
7 Tyler Glasnow 0.2199 0.1579 32.0
8 Bryan Hudson 0.2289 0.0915 31.6
9 Dylan Cease 0.2262 0.1854 30.5
10 Zack Wheeler 0.2172 0.1781 30.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 0.2175 0.2331 48.2
2 Chris Bassitt 0.2926 0.2716 43.3
3 Ronel Blanco 0.2924 0.1507 43.0
4 Logan Gilbert 0.2892 0.1589 42.0
5 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2901 0.2571 33.2
6 Albert Suárez 0.2175 0.1980 33.1
7 Tyler Glasnow 0.2961 0.1579 31.4
8 Luis Gil 0.2816 0.1543 31.4
9 Bailey Ober 0.2899 0.1697 29.9
10 MacKenzie Gore 0.2927 0.2549 29.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Bassitt 0.2854 0.2716 47.7
2 Ronel Blanco 0.2896 0.1507 42.0
3 Logan Gilbert 0.2852 0.1589 39.8
4 Hunter Brown 0.2880 0.2667 39.4
5 Bailey Ober 0.2937 0.1697 33.5
6 Luis Gil 0.2831 0.1543 33.2
7 Kutter Crawford 0.3017 0.1816 32.9
8 Zack Wheeler 0.2957 0.1781 32.2
9 Bryan Hudson 0.2961 0.0915 29.5
10 Jose Quintana 0.3148 0.1975 29.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Albert Suárez 0.2175 0.1980 133.8
2 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.2175 0.1848 124.9
3 Tobias Myers 0.2175 0.2298 116.6
4 Paul Skenes 0.2175 0.2331 103.6
5 Hunter Strickland 0.2175 0.1642 79.5
6 Valente Bellozo 0.2175 0.1831 74.2
7 Hayden Birdsong 0.2175 0.2012 73.6
8 Tayler Scott 0.2175 0.1879 69.6
9 Michael Tonkin 0.2175 0.2322 68.9
10 Tyson Miller 0.2175 0.1519 66.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yariel Rodríguez 0.2175 0.2009 86.1
2 Logan Gilbert 0.0000 0.1589 47.0
3 Ronel Blanco 0.0000 0.1507 45.1
4 Chris Bassitt 0.0000 0.2716 41.0
5 Luis Gil 0.0000 0.1543 40.3
6 Jesus Tinoco 0.2175 0.1961 38.7
7 Hunter Brown 0.0000 0.2667 35.0
8 Bailey Ober 0.0000 0.1697 33.9
9 Tyler Glasnow 0.0000 0.1579 31.1
10 Zack Wheeler 0.0000 0.1781 31.0

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Brown 0.0782 0.0356 28.3
2 Chris Flexen 0.0618 0.0889 21.3
3 Miles Mikolas 0.0677 0.0941 21.2
4 José Berríos 0.0675 0.0393 19.9
5 Hunter Greene 0.0890 0.0537 19.8
6 Bryce Miller 0.0845 0.0539 19.5
7 Jack Flaherty 0.0788 0.0463 19.2
8 Kyle Hendricks 0.0713 0.0363 18.1
9 Mitch Spence 0.0653 0.0901 18.0
10 Nestor Cortes 0.0696 0.0915 17.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 0.0653 0.0473 42.9
2 Albert Suárez 0.0653 0.0863 25.1
3 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0340 22.4
4 Hunter Brown 0.0000 0.0356 21.2
5 Miles Mikolas 0.0000 0.0941 20.7
6 José Berríos 0.0000 0.0393 20.5
7 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0395 20.2
8 Jordan Montgomery 0.0000 0.1028 19.9
9 Nestor Cortes 0.0000 0.0915 18.6
10 Tanner Bibee 0.0000 0.0891 16.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0653 0.0818 24.4
2 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0340 22.4
3 Hunter Brown 0.0000 0.0356 21.2
4 Miles Mikolas 0.0000 0.0941 20.7
5 José Berríos 0.0000 0.0393 20.5
6 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0395 20.2
7 Jordan Montgomery 0.0000 0.1028 19.9
8 Nestor Cortes 0.0000 0.0915 18.6
9 Tanner Bibee 0.0000 0.0891 16.9
10 Chris Flexen 0.0000 0.0889 16.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tobias Myers 0.0653 0.0496 46.1
2 Paul Skenes 0.0653 0.0473 42.8
3 Jared Koenig 0.0653 0.0292 26.9
4 Tayler Scott 0.0653 0.0364 26.6
5 Albert Suárez 0.0653 0.0863 25.0
6 John King 0.0653 0.0316 24.6
7 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0653 0.0818 24.4
8 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0340 22.3
9 Elvis Peguero 0.0653 0.0340 21.9
10 Michael Tonkin 0.0653 0.0664 21.8

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0340 22.4
2 Yariel Rodríguez 0.0653 0.0699 22.4
3 Hunter Brown 0.0000 0.0356 21.2
4 Miles Mikolas 0.0000 0.0941 20.7
5 José Berríos 0.0000 0.0393 20.5
6 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0395 20.2
7 Jordan Montgomery 0.0000 0.1028 19.9
8 Nestor Cortes 0.0000 0.0915 18.6
9 Tanner Bibee 0.0000 0.0891 16.9
10 Chris Flexen 0.0000 0.0889 16.6

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 0.0041 0.0212 13.0
2 Dylan Cease 0.0119 0.0022 7.6
3 Sean Manaea 0.0094 0.0000 7.1
4 Pablo López 0.0087 0.0000 6.9
5 Joe Ryan 0.0050 0.0174 6.6
6 Victor Vodnik 0.0000 0.0190 6.0
7 José Suarez 0.0043 0.0274 5.5
8 Cal Quantrill 0.0053 0.0135 5.2
9 Cole Irvin 0.0031 0.0139 5.2
10 Sonny Gray 0.0069 0.0148 5.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 0.0000 0.0212 11.8
2 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0201 9.0
3 Joe Ryan 0.0000 0.0174 6.2
4 Keaton Winn 0.0000 0.0318 6.2
5 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0148 6.0
6 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.0129 5.4
7 Calvin Faucher 0.0000 0.0282 5.2
8 Albert Suárez 0.0059 0.0025 5.2
9 José Suarez 0.0000 0.0274 5.2
10 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0213 5.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 0.0000 0.0212 11.8
2 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0201 9.0
3 Joe Ryan 0.0000 0.0174 6.2
4 Keaton Winn 0.0000 0.0318 6.2
5 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0148 6.0
6 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.0129 5.4
7 Calvin Faucher 0.0000 0.0282 5.2
8 José Suarez 0.0000 0.0274 5.2
9 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0213 5.1
10 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0135 5.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 0.0000 0.0212 11.9
2 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0201 9.0
3 Joe Ryan 0.0000 0.0174 6.2
4 Keaton Winn 0.0000 0.0318 6.2
5 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0148 6.0
6 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.0129 5.4
7 Calvin Faucher 0.0000 0.0282 5.2
8 Albert Suárez 0.0059 0.0025 5.2
9 Tobias Myers 0.0059 0.0026 5.2
10 José Suarez 0.0000 0.0274 5.2

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 0.0000 0.0212 11.8
2 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0201 9.0
3 Joe Ryan 0.0000 0.0174 6.2
4 Keaton Winn 0.0000 0.0318 6.2
5 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0148 6.0
6 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.0129 5.4
7 Calvin Faucher 0.0000 0.0282 5.2
8 José Suarez 0.0000 0.0274 5.2
9 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0213 5.1
10 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0135 5.0

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Sale 0.1190 0.0684 35.1
2 Erick Fedde 0.1374 0.0909 33.3
3 Gavin Stone 0.1456 0.0948 29.1
4 Hunter Greene 0.1248 0.0769 28.9
5 Paul Skenes 0.1168 0.0603 28.7
6 Jordan Montgomery 0.1033 0.1560 28.4
7 Tarik Skubal 0.1089 0.0717 27.5
8 Ronel Blanco 0.1222 0.0828 26.2
9 Reynaldo López 0.1070 0.0589 25.8
10 Taijuan Walker 0.1142 0.1785 24.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 0.1382 0.0909 34.1
2 Reynaldo López 0.1178 0.0589 31.8
3 Paul Skenes 0.1168 0.0603 28.9
4 Chris Sale 0.1081 0.0684 27.7
5 Seth Lugo 0.1228 0.0897 27.4
6 Ronel Blanco 0.1220 0.0828 26.3
7 Tobias Myers 0.1363 0.0914 25.3
8 Hunter Greene 0.1183 0.0769 25.1
9 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.1479 0.0980 24.8
10 Kenta Maeda 0.1159 0.1649 23.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Montgomery 0.0968 0.1560 34.7
2 Paul Skenes 0.1324 0.0603 34.0
3 Erick Fedde 0.1354 0.0909 28.0
4 Bobby Miller 0.1095 0.2054 26.3
5 Hunter Greene 0.1239 0.0769 25.1
6 Chris Sale 0.1091 0.0684 24.4
7 Seth Lugo 0.1233 0.0897 23.1
8 Reynaldo López 0.1062 0.0589 22.5
9 Reid Detmers 0.1201 0.1714 22.4
10 Ross Stripling 0.1188 0.1706 22.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 0.1372 0.0909 33.4
2 Reynaldo López 0.1168 0.0589 31.2
3 Paul Skenes 0.1168 0.0603 28.9
4 Chris Sale 0.1074 0.0684 27.2
5 Ronel Blanco 0.1233 0.0828 27.1
6 Bryce Miller 0.1251 0.0881 25.9
7 Seth Lugo 0.1205 0.0897 25.5
8 Bobby Miller 0.1121 0.2054 24.2
9 Jordan Montgomery 0.1124 0.1560 23.4
10 Kenta Maeda 0.1179 0.1649 23.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Roddery Muñoz 0.0000 0.1741 66.7
2 Albert Suárez 0.0000 0.0991 57.1
3 Keider Montero 0.0000 0.1311 54.8
4 Tobias Myers 0.0000 0.0914 53.1
5 José Ureña 0.0000 0.1102 51.9
6 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0000 0.0980 50.0
7 Anthony Molina 0.0000 0.1742 46.5
8 Carson Fulmer 0.0000 0.1187 45.7
9 Chase Anderson 0.0000 0.1608 41.5
10 Paul Skenes 0.1409 0.0603 40.4

Earned Run Rate

Biggest Earned Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Montgomery 0.0948 0.1523 31.3
2 Chris Sale 0.1104 0.0670 29.5
3 Erick Fedde 0.1278 0.0895 26.8
4 Bobby Miller 0.1060 0.2054 26.0
5 Paul Skenes 0.1069 0.0564 25.3
6 Taijuan Walker 0.1098 0.1732 24.7
7 Kyle Hendricks 0.1103 0.1517 24.2
8 Hunter Greene 0.1160 0.0753 24.0
9 Tarik Skubal 0.1002 0.0677 23.4
10 Miles Mikolas 0.1111 0.1417 23.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reynaldo López 0.1100 0.0552 28.7
2 Erick Fedde 0.1291 0.0895 27.4
3 Jordan Montgomery 0.1040 0.1523 26.7
4 Bobby Miller 0.1055 0.2054 26.3
5 Tobias Myers 0.1282 0.0808 25.9
6 Paul Skenes 0.1069 0.0564 25.0
7 Seth Lugo 0.1140 0.0825 24.7
8 Kenta Maeda 0.1083 0.1567 24.4
9 Ronel Blanco 0.1139 0.0769 23.7
10 Reid Detmers 0.1105 0.1662 22.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Montgomery 0.0898 0.1523 36.7
2 Paul Skenes 0.1218 0.0564 30.3
3 Bobby Miller 0.1007 0.2054 28.7
4 Kyle Hendricks 0.1150 0.1517 24.5
5 Miles Mikolas 0.1148 0.1417 24.1
6 Reid Detmers 0.1115 0.1662 24.0
7 Slade Cecconi 0.1076 0.1686 22.8
8 Taijuan Walker 0.1207 0.1732 22.5
9 Kenta Maeda 0.1185 0.1567 21.7
10 Erick Fedde 0.1250 0.0895 21.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reynaldo López 0.1087 0.0552 28.0
2 Jordan Montgomery 0.1036 0.1523 26.8
3 Bobby Miller 0.1033 0.2054 26.8
4 Erick Fedde 0.1280 0.0895 26.6
5 Paul Skenes 0.1069 0.0564 25.0
6 Ronel Blanco 0.1152 0.0769 24.6
7 Kenta Maeda 0.1102 0.1567 23.4
8 Reid Detmers 0.1088 0.1662 23.2
9 Seth Lugo 0.1118 0.0825 22.9
10 Bryce Miller 0.1171 0.0838 22.2

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 0.1318 0.0564 37.1
2 Seth Lugo 0.1220 0.0825 30.4
3 Hunter Greene 0.1266 0.0753 29.4
4 Tobias Myers 0.1345 0.0808 28.7
5 Reynaldo López 0.1102 0.0552 28.1
6 Bobby Miller 0.1000 0.2054 28.0
7 Cole Ragans 0.1207 0.0853 24.6
8 Jordan Montgomery 0.1100 0.1523 24.1
9 Reid Detmers 0.1091 0.1662 23.6
10 Miles Mikolas 0.1132 0.1417 22.8

Win Rate

Biggest Win Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Sale 0.1944 0.6207 262.3
2 Seth Lugo 0.1224 0.4848 259.0
3 Luis Gil 0.1071 0.5172 227.7
4 Tarik Skubal 0.2258 0.5806 227.6
5 Grayson Rodriguez 0.1795 0.6500 205.2
6 Ronel Blanco 0.1071 0.4333 185.0
7 Michael King 0.1163 0.4194 181.9
8 Shota Imanaga 0.2047 0.5172 180.4
9 Carlos Rodón 0.2333 0.5000 157.6
10 Gavin Stone 0.1200 0.4400 155.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ben Lively 0.0488 0.4483 243.2
2 Ronel Blanco 0.0932 0.4333 220.0
3 Luis Gil 0.1916 0.5172 198.0
4 Gavin Stone 0.1405 0.4400 165.1
5 David Peterson 0.1429 0.4762 162.4
6 Ryne Nelson 0.1032 0.3571 150.7
7 Chris Sale 0.4050 0.6207 141.1
8 Paul Skenes 0.2047 0.4783 133.0
9 Tarik Skubal 0.3907 0.5806 131.9
10 Michael King 0.2261 0.4194 129.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Seth Lugo 0.1724 0.4848 250.2
2 Tarik Skubal 0.2857 0.5806 212.2
3 Luis Gil 0.1739 0.5172 210.3
4 Michael King 0.1333 0.4194 198.1
5 Chris Sale 0.3333 0.6207 192.5
6 Grayson Rodriguez 0.2500 0.6500 189.9
7 Ronel Blanco 0.1935 0.4333 153.2
8 Paul Skenes 0.1739 0.4783 149.7
9 Jack Flaherty 0.2400 0.4643 137.0
10 Charlie Morton 0.4444 0.2667 133.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ben Lively 0.0955 0.4483 222.7
2 Luis Gil 0.1712 0.5172 220.1
3 Ronel Blanco 0.1136 0.4333 215.8
4 Tarik Skubal 0.3236 0.5806 193.2
5 Chris Sale 0.3707 0.6207 175.2
6 David Peterson 0.1768 0.4762 152.5
7 Grayson Rodriguez 0.3425 0.6500 150.8
8 Paul Skenes 0.2047 0.4783 140.4
9 Gavin Stone 0.2006 0.4400 138.6
10 Seth Lugo 0.3320 0.4848 127.4

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ben Lively 0.1111 0.4483 210.1
2 Tarik Skubal 0.3103 0.5806 200.0
3 Seth Lugo 0.2500 0.4848 192.4
4 Chris Sale 0.3478 0.6207 188.3
5 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0004 0.3810 188.0
6 Tobias Myers 0.0003 0.3333 186.8
7 Grayson Rodriguez 0.2903 0.6500 174.3
8 Paul Skenes 0.1667 0.4783 157.8
9 Albert Suárez 0.0004 0.2813 156.0
10 Spencer Arrighetti 0.0000 0.2414 149.6

Loss Rate

Biggest Loss Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.1667 0.4839 195.9
2 Dakota Hudson 0.1515 0.6667 183.4
3 Kutter Crawford 0.2000 0.4848 169.8
4 Chris Bassitt 0.2000 0.4516 144.4
5 Jake Irvin 0.1795 0.4242 141.2
6 Andrew Heaney 0.1750 0.4375 139.5
7 Chris Flexen 0.2000 0.4545 136.7
8 Gavin Williams 0.1667 0.6250 131.9
9 Matt Waldron 0.1379 0.4074 130.2
10 Garrett Crochet 0.1000 0.3750 127.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Cannon 0.0523 0.4348 190.8
2 Ben Lively 0.0493 0.3448 176.1
3 Spencer Arrighetti 0.1587 0.4483 172.3
4 Shota Imanaga 0.3346 0.1034 172.2
5 Cade Povich 0.0820 0.5625 163.2
6 Kutter Crawford 0.2643 0.4848 154.5
7 Tarik Skubal 0.3063 0.1290 146.3
8 DJ Herz 0.0830 0.4737 142.7
9 Taj Bradley 0.1814 0.4400 139.6
10 Bailey Falter 0.0712 0.3214 137.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kutter Crawford 0.2308 0.4848 189.8
2 Garrett Crochet 0.0727 0.3750 177.5
3 Zack Littell 0.0833 0.3448 168.9
4 Tyler Anderson 0.2800 0.4839 152.9
5 Jake Irvin 0.2308 0.4242 145.7
6 Michael King 0.0889 0.2903 143.4
7 Chris Flexen 0.2500 0.4545 141.8
8 José Soriano 0.0545 0.3182 121.5
9 Tarik Skubal 0.2857 0.1290 121.0
10 Andrew Heaney 0.2593 0.4375 120.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Cannon 0.0759 0.4348 172.9
2 Chris Flexen 0.2275 0.4545 140.9
3 Shota Imanaga 0.2764 0.1034 139.2
4 Ben Lively 0.0983 0.3448 138.3
5 Carlos Carrasco 0.1644 0.4762 127.0
6 Kutter Crawford 0.2934 0.4848 124.2
7 Joey Estes 0.1087 0.3600 121.4
8 Tarik Skubal 0.2618 0.1290 120.9
9 Roddery Muñoz 0.0521 0.3889 117.1
10 Keaton Winn 0.1610 0.6667 113.8

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Schwellenbach 0.0005 0.3333 163.2
2 Roddery Muñoz 0.0005 0.3889 144.7
3 Shota Imanaga 0.3043 0.1034 143.9
4 Ben Lively 0.1111 0.3448 143.6
5 Jack Kochanowicz 0.0008 0.5455 143.2
6 Kutter Crawford 0.2917 0.4848 141.7
7 Tyler Anderson 0.3077 0.4839 129.8
8 Keider Montero 0.0007 0.3158 127.2
9 Dakota Hudson 0.3478 0.6667 126.2
10 Tobias Myers 0.0006 0.2222 122.4

Save Rate

Biggest Save Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Helsley 0.2353 0.7538 143.2
2 Robert Suarez 0.0345 0.5538 139.1
3 Mason Miller 0.0357 0.5091 122.8
4 Kirby Yates 0.0769 0.5410 114.7
5 Kyle Finnegan 0.2353 0.5846 100.0
6 Jason Foley 0.0588 0.4058 91.7
7 Trevor Megill 0.0313 0.4375 78.0
8 Ryan Pressly 0.3750 0.0678 70.1
9 Héctor Neris 0.0566 0.2903 65.9
10 Clay Holmes 0.2245 0.4478 65.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kirby Yates 0.0161 0.5410 122.6
2 José Leclerc 0.2878 0.0156 80.6
3 Ryan Helsley 0.4548 0.7538 77.5
4 Kyle Finnegan 0.3272 0.5846 67.7
5 Jason Foley 0.1413 0.4058 64.2
6 Justin Lawrence 0.2571 0.0357 63.9
7 Chad Green 0.0165 0.3208 62.3
8 Trevor Megill 0.1373 0.4375 53.5
9 Héctor Neris 0.0843 0.2903 51.6
10 Camilo Doval 0.5387 0.3710 47.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kirby Yates 0.0185 0.5410 121.2
2 Michael Kopech 0.5822 0.2239 103.1
3 José Leclerc 0.3331 0.0156 94.6
4 Justin Lawrence 0.2610 0.0357 66.0
5 Jason Foley 0.1349 0.4058 64.9
6 Chad Green 0.0278 0.3208 59.2
7 Kyle Finnegan 0.3599 0.5846 57.9
8 Edwin Díaz 0.6262 0.3704 57.7
9 David Robertson 0.2118 0.0294 57.3
10 José Alvarado 0.4056 0.1970 56.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kirby Yates 0.0000 0.5410 126.1
2 Kyle Finnegan 0.1852 0.5846 105.8
3 Ryan Helsley 0.3527 0.7538 104.3
4 José Leclerc 0.3086 0.0156 87.0
5 Mason Miller 0.2058 0.5091 73.3
6 Jason Foley 0.1080 0.4058 72.2
7 Trevor Megill 0.0529 0.4375 68.7
8 Robert Suarez 0.3086 0.5538 61.0
9 James McArthur 0.0772 0.3158 56.7
10 Edwin Díaz 0.6173 0.3704 55.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.2308 0.0000 129.9
2 Kirby Yates 0.0000 0.5410 128.9
3 Michael Kopech 0.5294 0.2239 84.4
4 José Leclerc 0.3000 0.0156 81.0
5 Kyle Finnegan 0.3014 0.5846 77.6
6 Robert Suarez 0.2813 0.5538 71.1
7 Ryan Helsley 0.5000 0.7538 68.3
8 David Robertson 0.2576 0.0294 66.7
9 Jason Foley 0.1493 0.4058 64.9
10 Trevor Megill 0.0930 0.4375 63.6

Hold Rate

Biggest Hold Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Kittredge 0.0952 0.5000 127.7
2 Michael King 0.2093 0.0000 122.9
3 David Robertson 0.1333 0.5000 120.4
4 Luke Weaver 0.0500 0.3548 114.2
5 Ryan Pressly 0.0417 0.4237 103.0
6 Seth Lugo 0.1633 0.0000 103.0
7 Cade Smith 0.0628 0.3784 102.8
8 Hunter Gaddis 0.1034 0.4231 100.0
9 JoJo Romero 0.1111 0.4615 94.9
10 Bryan Abreu 0.2353 0.4872 94.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Gaddis 0.0168 0.4231 109.8
2 David Robertson 0.1350 0.5000 104.7
3 Hunter Harvey 0.1328 0.5714 93.6
4 Andre Pallante 0.1912 0.0345 85.4
5 Andrew Kittredge 0.1949 0.5000 84.4
6 Nick Martinez 0.0126 0.1667 81.4
7 Bryse Wilson 0.1659 0.0000 78.3
8 Bryan Abreu 0.2396 0.4872 76.8
9 Yennier Cano 0.1803 0.4857 73.3
10 Luke Weaver 0.1261 0.3548 72.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sixto Sánchez 0.8384 0.0714 126.2
2 Bryse Wilson 0.2664 0.0000 123.1
3 Hunter Gaddis 0.0266 0.4231 106.8
4 Cade Smith 0.0000 0.3784 105.8
5 Andre Pallante 0.2249 0.0345 103.1
6 Tanner Rainey 0.4265 0.0000 101.3
7 Ronel Blanco 0.1346 0.0000 99.2
8 David Robertson 0.1668 0.5000 95.1
9 Ryan Weathers 0.2262 0.0000 87.5
10 Kyle Muller 0.4170 0.0000 86.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andre Pallante 0.2932 0.0345 123.7
2 Andrew Kittredge 0.0926 0.5000 121.4
3 José Soriano 0.2932 0.0455 108.6
4 Hunter Gaddis 0.0806 0.4231 99.6
5 Luke Weaver 0.0926 0.3548 92.0
6 Hunter Harvey 0.1940 0.5714 86.1
7 Cade Smith 0.1027 0.3784 84.2
8 Nick Martinez 0.0562 0.1667 72.0
9 JoJo Romero 0.1852 0.4615 71.0
10 Daniel Hudson 0.0000 0.2615 70.2

Davenport

No data available.

ERA

Biggest ERA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Montgomery 3.5346 6.2308 1431.3
2 Erick Fedde 5.0420 3.2989 1269.7
3 Chris Sale 4.1765 2.3809 1264.6
4 Blair Henley 4.1490 135.0000 1177.6
5 Bobby Miller 3.9568 8.5179 1175.3
6 Paul Skenes 4.1490 1.9624 1126.9
7 Taijuan Walker 4.1521 7.0996 1120.8
8 Hunter Greene 4.5103 2.7539 1076.6
9 Gavin Stone 5.3390 3.5273 1054.1
10 Ronel Blanco 4.3131 2.7968 1028.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 5.1330 3.2989 1286.0
2 Jordan Montgomery 3.9602 6.2308 1241.3
3 Reynaldo López 4.2560 1.9902 1196.3
4 Bobby Miller 4.0200 8.5179 1176.6
5 Blair Henley 4.9519 135.0000 1171.0
6 Tobias Myers 5.0655 3.0000 1139.6
7 Spencer Schwellenbach 5.6859 3.3477 1137.8
8 Seth Lugo 4.4039 3.0048 1117.2
9 Paul Skenes 4.1490 1.9624 1091.7
10 Ronel Blanco 4.4371 2.7968 1066.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Montgomery 3.4022 6.2308 1656.6
2 Bobby Miller 3.7363 8.5179 1307.2
3 Paul Skenes 4.5669 1.9624 1192.1
4 Blair Henley 5.0963 135.0000 1171.7
5 Reid Detmers 4.2794 6.6985 1057.4
6 Taijuan Walker 4.6730 7.0996 1033.3
7 Kyle Hendricks 4.4084 5.9235 1020.8
8 Slade Cecconi 4.1200 6.6623 955.8
9 Erick Fedde 4.8612 3.2989 927.1
10 Seth Lugo 4.3959 3.0048 924.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Erick Fedde 5.0815 3.2989 1268.7
2 Jordan Montgomery 3.9254 6.2308 1245.1
3 Bobby Miller 3.9321 8.5179 1192.2
4 Blair Henley 4.1490 135.0000 1178.0
5 Reynaldo López 4.1881 1.9902 1174.4
6 Ronel Blanco 4.4925 2.7968 1122.5
7 Paul Skenes 4.1490 1.9624 1105.9
8 Bryce Miller 4.5174 2.9445 1082.6
9 Seth Lugo 4.2828 3.0048 1039.0
10 Reid Detmers 4.1754 6.6985 1000.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 5.2105 1.9624 1609.7
2 Tobias Myers 5.3900 3.0000 1293.7
3 Bobby Miller 3.7332 8.5179 1264.5
4 Seth Lugo 4.6275 3.0048 1259.2
5 Hunter Greene 4.9198 2.7539 1252.3
6 Blair Henley 4.7500 135.0000 1173.3
7 Jordan Montgomery 4.1584 6.2308 1164.4
8 Reynaldo López 4.2379 1.9902 1157.3
9 Cole Ragans 4.7582 3.1395 1144.7
10 Reid Detmers 4.2102 6.6985 1018.4

WHIP

Biggest WHIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jack Flaherty 1.4447 1.0679 243.5
2 Jordan Montgomery 1.1958 1.6496 242.3
3 Logan Gilbert 1.1591 0.8866 217.5
4 Chris Bassitt 1.1771 1.4620 217.2
5 Erick Fedde 1.4426 1.1617 202.8
6 Luis L. Ortiz 1.4677 1.1130 196.3
7 Ronel Blanco 1.3738 1.0876 192.3
8 Hunter Greene 1.3212 1.0177 184.4
9 Shota Imanaga 1.2829 1.0212 180.5
10 Blair Henley 1.2829 21.0000 177.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Schwellenbach 1.5925 1.0431 253.8
2 Jordan Montgomery 1.2744 1.6496 221.8
3 Nick Martinez 1.4300 1.0258 206.6
4 Logan Gilbert 1.1756 0.8866 198.6
5 Erick Fedde 1.4737 1.1617 196.3
6 Luis L. Ortiz 1.4863 1.1130 184.3
7 Trevor Rogers 1.2963 1.5764 180.9
8 Seth Lugo 1.3467 1.0887 180.8
9 Blair Henley 1.5056 21.0000 175.8
10 Jack Flaherty 1.3768 1.0679 173.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Bassitt 1.1967 1.4620 252.4
2 Jordan Montgomery 1.2581 1.6496 244.3
3 Trevor Rogers 1.3039 1.5764 191.2
4 Logan Gilbert 1.1794 0.8866 180.7
5 Walker Buehler 1.1082 1.5531 176.3
6 Blair Henley 1.5062 21.0000 176.1
7 Bobby Miller 1.1580 1.7679 174.8
8 Seth Lugo 1.3625 1.0887 172.2
9 Marcus Stroman 1.2826 1.4677 170.7
10 Triston McKenzie 1.1419 1.5595 165.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Montgomery 1.2681 1.6496 223.0
2 Erick Fedde 1.4988 1.1617 217.3
3 Nick Martinez 1.4378 1.0258 213.3
4 Logan Gilbert 1.1715 0.8866 198.5
5 Jack Flaherty 1.4016 1.0679 192.1
6 Trevor Rogers 1.2784 1.5764 188.7
7 Luis L. Ortiz 1.4851 1.1130 185.8
8 Blair Henley 1.2829 21.0000 177.8
9 Bryce Miller 1.2661 0.9760 177.7
10 Ronel Blanco 1.3856 1.0876 175.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Montgomery 1.1988 1.6496 246.8
2 Chris Bassitt 1.1576 1.4620 240.6
3 Paul Skenes 1.3932 0.9474 222.4
4 Spencer Schwellenbach 1.4993 1.0431 221.5
5 Nick Martinez 1.4073 1.0258 210.0
6 Trevor Rogers 1.2445 1.5764 193.9
7 Marcus Stroman 1.1944 1.4677 193.3
8 Logan Gilbert 1.1381 0.8866 191.5
9 Luis L. Ortiz 1.4543 1.1130 182.5
10 Blair Henley 1.4205 21.0000 176.3