2023 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Oneil Cruz 577 40 537.0
2 Maikel Garcia 33 515 482.0
3 Austin Meadows 488 21 467.0
4 Michael Brantley 469 57 412.0
5 Jake Burger 132 540 408.0
6 Jose Miranda 555 152 403.0
7 Matt McLain 1 403 402.0
8 Brenton Doyle 33 431 398.0
9 Garrett Mitchell 458 73 385.0
10 Darick Hall 435 56 379.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Volpe 1 601 600.0
2 Masataka Yoshida 1 580 579.0
3 Ryan Noda 1 495 494.0
4 Jordan Walker 1 465 464.0
5 Brice Turang 1 448 447.0
6 Ben Gamel 449 15 434.0
7 Luke Voit 504 74 430.0
8 Brenton Doyle 1 431 430.0
9 Elly De La Cruz 1 427 426.0
10 Franmil Reyes 486 65 421.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Oneil Cruz 586 40 546.0
2 Austin Meadows 514 21 493.0
3 Brent Rooker 45 526 481.0
4 Maikel Garcia 44 515 471.0
5 Matt McLain 1 403 402.0
6 Luis Urías 578 177 401.0
7 Jake Burger 141 540 399.0
8 Avisaíl García 509 118 391.0
9 Brenton Doyle 46 431 385.0
10 Jose Miranda 534 152 382.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Oneil Cruz 582 40 541.8
2 Maikel Garcia 19 515 495.7
3 Austin Meadows 491 21 469.9
4 Jake Burger 99 540 441.1
5 Wil Myers 563 141 422.0
6 Avisaíl García 539 118 421.5
7 Jesús Aguilar 526 115 410.9
8 Brenton Doyle 26 431 404.7
9 Darick Hall 460 56 403.8
10 Matt McLain 1 403 402.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Siani 550 6 544.0
2 Livan Soto 554 12 542.0
3 Jacob Amaya 545 9 536.0
4 José Tena 563 34 529.0
5 Jonathan Ornelas 534 8 526.0
6 Eguy Rosario 552 37 515.0
7 Josh Lester 535 23 512.0
8 José Rodríguez 512 0 512.0
9 Mason McCoy 510 1 509.0
10 Colton Cowser 581 77 504.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Matt Olson 0.4159
0.3582
(34.3)
0.3521
(47.0)
0.3552
(45.0)
0.3590
(38.8)
0.3689
(35.6)
Shohei Ohtani 0.4391
0.3608
(40.8)
0.3664
(44.4)
0.3662
(44.7)
0.3675
(41.1)
0.3736
(40.7)
Marcell Ozuna 0.3815
0.3006
(41.9)
0.3172
(38.9)
0.3201
(37.4)
0.3217
(33.7)
0.3282
(33.0)
Yandy Díaz 0.4017
0.3233
(41.0)
0.3442
(35.4)
0.3483
(33.1)
0.3507
(28.9)
0.3451
(35.4)
Corey Seager 0.4232
0.3486
(34.6)
0.3496
(40.3)
0.3555
(37.3)
0.3594
(32.6)
0.3510
(40.1)
Mookie Betts 0.4177
0.3553
(36.3)
0.3618
(39.8)
0.3636
(38.7)
0.3604
(37.7)
0.3655
(37.9)
Cody Bellinger 0.3720
0.2988
(35.1)
0.2849
(49.3)
0.3033
(39.2)
0.3101
(32.8)
0.3104
(35.6)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.4287
0.3552
(46.6)
0.3608
(51.0)
0.3652
(48.0)
0.3662
(43.7)
0.3758
(40.7)
Tim Anderson 0.2596
0.3242
(39.1)
0.3355
(38.9)
0.3231
(32.3)
0.3183
(32.3)
0.3263
(33.6)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Steer 0.2855 0.3548 39.4
2 Nolan Jones 0.2976 0.3971 37.9
3 Andrew Benintendi 0.3416 0.3017 31.0
4 Daulton Varsho 0.3342 0.2916 30.6
5 Brent Rooker 0.2810 0.3489 30.4
6 Zack Gelof 0.2504 0.3581 29.3
7 Matt McLain 0.2880 0.3702 29.1
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3724 0.3423 27.4
9 Adolis García 0.3013 0.3542 27.1
10 Ryan Noda 0.2783 0.3424 26.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nolan Jones 0.3062 0.3971 39.2
2 José Abreu 0.3570 0.2958 35.4
3 Spencer Steer 0.3053 0.3548 33.9
4 J.P. Crawford 0.3095 0.3579 31.8
5 Isaac Paredes 0.3081 0.3623 31.8
6 Jorge Soler 0.3122 0.3630 30.3
7 Brandon Marsh 0.2978 0.3589 29.6
8 Josh Lowe 0.3005 0.3554 28.3
9 Spencer Torkelson 0.2872 0.3263 27.7
10 Brent Rooker 0.2984 0.3489 27.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adolis García 0.3009 0.3542 34.8
2 Brandon Marsh 0.2889 0.3589 33.9
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3851 0.3312 33.1
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3917 0.3423 32.4
5 J.P. Crawford 0.3106 0.3579 31.3
6 Freddie Freeman 0.3772 0.4153 29.1
7 Chas McCormick 0.3008 0.3612 28.5
8 Corbin Carroll 0.3256 0.3673 28.1
9 Luis Arraez 0.3306 0.3736 27.6
10 Brenton Doyle 0.3208 0.2555 27.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3902 0.3312 39.3
2 Matt McLain 0.2829 0.3702 34.0
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3891 0.3423 33.9
4 Brandon Marsh 0.2861 0.3589 33.0
5 Adolis García 0.3011 0.3542 31.7
6 Corbin Carroll 0.3158 0.3673 31.4
7 Nolan Jones 0.3237 0.3971 29.9
8 José Abreu 0.3432 0.2958 29.9
9 Spencer Steer 0.3078 0.3548 29.3
10 Josh Lowe 0.2941 0.3554 29.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Marsh 0.2831 0.3589 37.0
2 J.P. Crawford 0.3066 0.3579 34.3
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3844 0.3312 32.2
4 Jake Burger 0.2931 0.3490 31.5
5 Daulton Varsho 0.3480 0.2916 31.3
6 Josh Lowe 0.2978 0.3554 30.1
7 Nolan Jones 0.3311 0.3971 29.0
8 José Abreu 0.3469 0.2958 28.9
9 Freddie Freeman 0.3800 0.4153 27.6
10 Chas McCormick 0.3069 0.3612 26.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Luis Robert Jr. 0.2891
0.2118
(48.9)
0.2215
(37.6)
0.1998
(47.6)
0.1999
(49.3)
0.2180
(40.7)
Dominic Smith 0.1553
0.2378
(45.5)
0.2294
(46.0)
0.2109
(38.0)
0.2103
(35.9)
0.2110
(34.2)
Gleyber Torres 0.1458
0.2077
(38.3)
0.2151
(49.5)
0.2072
(47.4)
0.2073
(45.6)
0.2106
(45.3)
Luis García Jr. 0.1245
0.1929
(30.6)
0.2126
(44.6)
0.1906
(36.3)
0.1901
(34.6)
0.1943
(34.9)
DJ LeMahieu 0.2224
0.1407
(48.7)
0.1474
(39.7)
0.1379
(42.3)
0.1377
(44.1)
0.1353
(47.5)
Cody Bellinger 0.1565
0.2575
(53.4)
0.2515
(55.3)
0.2466
(55.2)
0.2481
(54.4)
0.2343
(44.7)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1143
0.2385
(87.7)
0.2402
(95.8)
0.2264
(89.1)
0.2272
(87.6)
0.2340
(89.9)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.2923 0.1938 60.3
2 Ryan McMahon 0.2517 0.3158 43.3
3 Brandon Belt 0.2527 0.3490 40.9
4 Bryson Stott 0.2238 0.1563 40.1
5 Joey Meneses 0.2616 0.1979 38.7
6 J.D. Martinez 0.2407 0.3111 36.1
7 Josh Lowe 0.3212 0.2475 34.5
8 Adley Rutschman 0.2015 0.1470 34.1
9 Michael A. Taylor 0.2544 0.3351 33.2
10 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2268 0.1744 33.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Noda 0.2273 0.3434 55.3
2 Masataka Yoshida 0.2273 0.1397 53.4
3 Brenton Doyle 0.2273 0.3503 51.1
4 Elly De La Cruz 0.2273 0.3372 45.1
5 James Outman 0.2406 0.3192 42.1
6 William Contreras 0.2657 0.2062 39.0
7 Will Brennan 0.2061 0.1253 38.8
8 Nick Pratto 0.2852 0.4000 38.1
9 Adley Rutschman 0.1978 0.1470 37.9
10 Marcus Semien 0.1914 0.1461 37.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ezequiel Tovar 0.1760 0.2699 52.1
2 Corbin Carroll 0.2592 0.1938 48.1
3 Josh Lowe 0.3144 0.2475 38.1
4 Anthony Volpe 0.2061 0.2779 37.6
5 William Contreras 0.2572 0.2062 36.8
6 Elehuris Montero 0.2362 0.3616 35.7
7 Alec Bohm 0.1967 0.1538 31.8
8 Bryson Stott 0.1968 0.1563 31.8
9 Ryan McMahon 0.2558 0.3158 31.8
10 Jake Bauers 0.2273 0.3493 30.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.2671 0.1938 51.3
2 Ezequiel Tovar 0.1827 0.2699 49.8
3 Josh Lowe 0.3189 0.2475 38.9
4 William Contreras 0.2612 0.2062 37.5
5 Ryan McMahon 0.2525 0.3158 35.7
6 Elehuris Montero 0.2402 0.3616 35.3
7 Anthony Volpe 0.2139 0.2779 34.7
8 Bryson Stott 0.2004 0.1563 32.3
9 Alec Bohm 0.1966 0.1538 30.0
10 MJ Melendez 0.2265 0.2824 29.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.2793 0.1938 56.9
2 Ezequiel Tovar 0.1913 0.2699 46.7
3 Josh Lowe 0.3284 0.2475 41.8
4 Bryson Stott 0.2179 0.1563 41.2
5 William Contreras 0.2640 0.2062 36.9
6 Brandon Belt 0.2618 0.3490 34.2
7 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2193 0.1744 33.0
8 Ryan McMahon 0.2605 0.3158 33.0
9 Nick Castellanos 0.2252 0.2757 32.1
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.2698 0.2220 32.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Aaron Judge 0.1921
0.1334
(25.4)
0.1299
(28.8)
0.1380
(25.0)
0.1399
(23.4)
0.1415
(23.3)
Adolis García 0.1028
0.0694
(19.1)
0.0611
(26.7)
0.0576
(28.8)
0.0576
(27.9)
0.0546
(30.7)
Randy Arozarena 0.1223
0.0818
(24.4)
0.0819
(26.8)
0.0813
(27.1)
0.0813
(26.1)
0.0820
(26.6)
Ian Happ 0.1433
0.0998
(27.8)
0.1010
(29.6)
0.1059
(26.1)
0.1037
(26.6)
0.1043
(27.2)
J.P. Crawford 0.1473
0.0917
(33.5)
0.0976
(32.1)
0.0996
(30.7)
0.0995
(29.8)
0.1026
(28.8)
Mookie Betts 0.1385
0.1002
(24.4)
0.0981
(28.4)
0.1025
(25.2)
0.1017
(24.7)
0.1071
(22.0)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.1198
0.0865
(18.8)
0.0840
(22.8)
0.0849
(22.1)
0.0845
(21.4)
0.0855
(21.7)
Lane Thomas 0.0528
0.0792
(20.2)
0.0915
(26.0)
0.0895
(24.8)
0.0887
(25.3)
0.0885
(24.1)
Kyle Schwarber 0.1750
0.1234
(34.9)
0.1241
(37.0)
0.1255
(35.9)
0.1251
(35.1)
0.1312
(31.8)
Andrew McCutchen 0.1586
0.1004
(26.0)
0.1086
(23.9)
0.1087
(23.8)
0.1079
(23.4)
0.1162
(20.2)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0959 0.1464 24.5
2 Ryan Noda 0.1031 0.1556 24.4
3 Jack Suwinski 0.0956 0.1404 22.2
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1131 0.1519 21.3
5 Mike Tauchman 0.0882 0.1397 19.3
6 Luis Arraez 0.0846 0.0567 19.2
7 Trent Grisham 0.0973 0.1351 19.2
8 Nolan Gorman 0.0709 0.1142 18.6
9 Masataka Yoshida 0.0874 0.0586 18.5
10 James Outman 0.0842 0.1199 18.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Noda 0.0859 0.1556 34.8
2 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0907 0.1464 29.3
3 Edouard Julien 0.0859 0.1569 29.2
4 Brandon Marsh 0.0710 0.1250 25.8
5 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0949 0.1285 24.7
6 Yasmani Grandal 0.1483 0.0889 23.8
7 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0793 0.0407 23.4
8 Matt Olson 0.1151 0.1444 21.6
9 Yainer Diaz 0.0861 0.0292 21.2
10 Jack Suwinski 0.1013 0.1404 21.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Masataka Yoshida 0.1145 0.0586 32.2
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1493 0.0889 24.3
3 Brandon Marsh 0.0767 0.1250 23.0
4 Matt Olson 0.1151 0.1444 21.4
5 Esteury Ruiz 0.0819 0.0402 20.5
6 Nathaniel Lowe 0.1016 0.1285 19.7
7 Nolan Gorman 0.0731 0.1142 19.2
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.1206 0.1519 19.0
9 James Outman 0.0876 0.1199 18.6
10 Joc Pederson 0.0912 0.1341 18.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Masataka Yoshida 0.1169 0.0586 34.5
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1485 0.0889 24.6
3 Brandon Marsh 0.0751 0.1250 23.0
4 James Outman 0.0812 0.1199 21.3
5 Matt Olson 0.1141 0.1444 21.0
6 Jack Suwinski 0.1017 0.1404 20.1
7 Nolan Gorman 0.0707 0.1142 19.7
8 Ryan Noda 0.1156 0.1556 19.2
9 Esteury Ruiz 0.0777 0.0402 19.2
10 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.1099 0.1464 18.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Santana 0.1550 0.1050 30.7
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1590 0.0889 28.2
3 Jack Suwinski 0.0965 0.1404 23.6
4 Brandon Marsh 0.0766 0.1250 23.0
5 James Outman 0.0843 0.1199 20.4
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1188 0.1519 20.1
7 Ryan Noda 0.1158 0.1556 19.8
8 Luis Arraez 0.0892 0.0567 19.8
9 Matt Olson 0.1177 0.1444 19.5
10 Nathaniel Lowe 0.1019 0.1285 19.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Luis Urías 0.0565
0.0000
(8.0)
0.0179
(6.8)
0.0161
(7.1)
0.0160
(7.1)
0.0221
(6.2)
Freddie Freeman 0.0219
0.0000
(7.6)
0.0098
(9.0)
0.0103
(8.5)
0.0100
(8.6)
0.0092
(9.7)
Donovan Solano 0.0333
0.0000
(9.8)
0.0159
(7.9)
0.0151
(8.2)
0.0150
(8.2)
0.0187
(6.8)
Sean Murphy 0.0411
0.0000
(13.0)
0.0200
(9.3)
0.0167
(10.7)
0.0170
(10.5)
0.0230
(8.1)
Isaac Paredes 0.0350
0.0000
(13.5)
0.0097
(14.5)
0.0098
(14.4)
0.0100
(14.2)
0.0117
(13.6)
Miguel Amaya 0.0705
0.0000
(9.2)
0.0115
(9.2)
0.0133
(8.9)
0.0130
(8.9)
0.0224
(7.6)
Matt Wallner 0.0512
0.0000
(10.1)
0.0169
(8.7)
0.0133
(9.6)
0.0130
(9.6)
0.0223
(7.4)
Ty France 0.0511
0.0000
(26.4)
0.0315
(13.2)
0.0282
(15.3)
0.0280
(15.2)
0.0388
(8.5)
José Caballero 0.0607
0.0000
(13.8)
0.0115
(13.8)
0.0115
(13.8)
0.0110
(13.9)
0.0221
(10.9)
Pete Alonso 0.0319
0.0000
(13.5)
0.0182
(9.1)
0.0161
(10.4)
0.0160
(10.3)
0.0216
(7.1)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Raley 0.0000 0.0443 13.3
2 Andrés Giménez 0.0000 0.0325 12.9
3 Zach Neto 0.0000 0.0486 12.2
4 Mark Canha 0.0000 0.0335 11.2
5 Jeff McNeil 0.0000 0.0278 10.6
6 Randy Arozarena 0.0000 0.0275 10.5
7 Esteury Ruiz 0.0000 0.0322 10.3
8 Jonathan India 0.0000 0.0302 9.9
9 Will Smith 0.0000 0.0271 8.6
10 Willson Contreras 0.0000 0.0263 7.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Neto 0.0115 0.0486 12.3
2 Esteury Ruiz 0.0089 0.0322 11.6
3 Michael Massey 0.0263 0.0087 8.1
4 Luke Raley 0.0247 0.0443 8.0
5 Chas McCormick 0.0068 0.0241 7.9
6 Jeimer Candelario 0.0101 0.0226 7.3
7 Ryan Jeffers 0.0085 0.0299 7.2
8 Lane Thomas 0.0060 0.0161 7.0
9 José Abreu 0.0219 0.0101 6.9
10 Yordan Alvarez 0.0127 0.0262 6.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Neto 0.0115 0.0486 12.2
2 Jeff McNeil 0.0159 0.0278 7.7
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.0117 0.0262 7.2
4 Jeimer Candelario 0.0101 0.0226 7.1
5 Luke Raley 0.0267 0.0443 7.1
6 Chas McCormick 0.0087 0.0241 7.0
7 Ryan Jeffers 0.0091 0.0299 6.9
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.0123 0.0216 6.4
9 Danny Jansen 0.0121 0.0332 6.3
10 Randy Arozarena 0.0179 0.0275 6.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Neto 0.0140 0.0486 11.3
2 Jeff McNeil 0.0160 0.0278 7.5
3 Jeimer Candelario 0.0100 0.0226 7.1
4 Luke Raley 0.0270 0.0443 7.0
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.0120 0.0262 6.9
6 Ryan Jeffers 0.0090 0.0299 6.9
7 Chas McCormick 0.0090 0.0241 6.8
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.0120 0.0216 6.5
9 Danny Jansen 0.0120 0.0332 6.3
10 Randy Arozarena 0.0180 0.0275 6.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Davis 0.0567 0.0157 10.3
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.0098 0.0262 8.4
3 Anthony Volpe 0.0220 0.0083 7.9
4 José Abreu 0.0231 0.0101 7.4
5 Jeimer Candelario 0.0112 0.0226 6.8
6 Chas McCormick 0.0100 0.0241 6.7
7 Ryan Jeffers 0.0113 0.0299 6.4
8 Adley Rutschman 0.0125 0.0029 6.3
9 Austin Hays 0.0166 0.0053 6.1
10 Danny Jansen 0.0134 0.0332 6.1

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Luis Robert Jr. 0.0997
0.0456
(29.0)
0.0514
(28.7)
0.0571
(25.9)
0.0538
(26.1)
0.0564
(25.9)
Matt Olson 0.1213
0.0743
(29.9)
0.0769
(31.9)
0.0800
(30.4)
0.0785
(29.3)
0.0845
(26.6)
Shohei Ohtani 0.1215
0.0737
(25.4)
0.0877
(20.2)
0.0891
(20.0)
0.0869
(19.5)
0.0930
(17.2)
Marcell Ozuna 0.1005
0.0522
(25.3)
0.0627
(22.3)
0.0616
(23.5)
0.0612
(22.0)
0.0700
(18.1)
Jake Burger 0.0980
0.0465
(24.8)
0.0570
(22.1)
0.0637
(19.0)
0.0582
(20.4)
0.0556
(23.0)
Jose Siri 0.1179
0.0443
(24.8)
0.0474
(25.6)
0.0621
(20.6)
0.0561
(21.7)
0.0534
(23.5)
Adolis García 0.1010
0.0602
(22.3)
0.0654
(22.4)
0.0640
(24.0)
0.0631
(22.7)
0.0729
(17.9)
Joey Meneses 0.0269
0.0504
(19.1)
0.0631
(23.8)
0.0627
(23.0)
0.0568
(21.0)
0.0655
(25.3)
Michael A. Taylor 0.0917
0.0263
(23.2)
0.0377
(20.9)
0.0342
(22.6)
0.0328
(22.1)
0.0393
(20.4)
J.D. Martinez 0.1122
0.0475
(28.4)
0.0518
(28.9)
0.0584
(26.2)
0.0573
(25.3)
0.0601
(25.0)
Jeremy Peña 0.0221
0.0442
(17.5)
0.0528
(19.5)
0.0535
(19.4)
0.0518
(20.2)
0.0529
(19.4)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.0916 0.1542 26.1
2 Max Muncy 0.0625 0.1075 22.9
3 Patrick Wisdom 0.0741 0.1447 19.7
4 Joey Gallo 0.0873 0.1500 19.0
5 Pete Alonso 0.0753 0.1093 18.7
6 Christopher Morel 0.0523 0.1008 18.4
7 Tim Anderson 0.0317 0.0027 18.1
8 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0562 0.0369 18.0
9 Jake Rogers 0.0427 0.0972 17.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.0533 0.1017 25.4
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0964 0.0571 25.0
3 Spencer Torkelson 0.0366 0.0705 23.1
4 Max Muncy 0.0727 0.1075 20.1
5 Nolan Gorman 0.0611 0.1038 19.8
6 Javier Báez 0.0588 0.0231 19.6
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.0836 0.0557 19.4
8 Pete Alonso 0.0797 0.1093 19.4
9 Nelson Velázquez 0.0457 0.1518 19.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Muncy 0.0719 0.1075 21.1
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0825 0.0514 20.6
3 Aaron Judge 0.1104 0.1542 20.4
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0899 0.0571 20.3
5 William Contreras 0.0719 0.0408 18.5
6 Joey Gallo 0.0954 0.1500 18.4
7 J.P. Crawford 0.0184 0.0459 18.1
8 Patrick Wisdom 0.0859 0.1447 18.0
9 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0620 0.0369 17.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0991 0.0571 28.0
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0807 0.0514 21.4
3 Max Muncy 0.0704 0.1075 20.2
4 Aaron Judge 0.1085 0.1542 20.0
5 Christopher Morel 0.0552 0.1008 18.7
6 William Contreras 0.0686 0.0408 18.3
7 Joey Gallo 0.0929 0.1500 18.3
8 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0598 0.0369 18.1
9 Patrick Wisdom 0.0836 0.1447 17.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1165 0.0571 37.7
2 George Springer 0.0718 0.0426 19.9
3 Matt Chapman 0.0822 0.0491 19.1
4 Daulton Varsho 0.0822 0.0504 18.4
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.0821 0.0557 18.2
6 J.P. Crawford 0.0175 0.0459 18.2
7 Mike Ford 0.0460 0.1151 17.4
8 Tim Anderson 0.0357 0.0027 17.2
9 Christopher Morel 0.0609 0.1008 17.2

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Mickey Moniak 0.3967
0.2923
(35.5)
0.2675
(41.1)
0.2775
(36.5)
0.2760
(37.3)
0.2902
(34.5)
Jared Triolo 0.4397
0.2857
(33.3)
0.2954
(29.7)
0.3019
(27.5)
0.2950
(29.2)
0.2997
(29.3)
Austin Hays 0.3451
0.2934
(32.3)
0.2907
(29.6)
0.2773
(34.8)
0.2810
(33.4)
0.2880
(32.4)
Yandy Díaz 0.3674
0.2959
(46.1)
0.3079
(34.5)
0.3056
(33.3)
0.3071
(33.1)
0.2970
(42.4)
Jarred Kelenic 0.3593
0.2857
(32.9)
0.2312
(52.5)
0.2562
(40.3)
0.2645
(37.3)
0.2638
(39.8)
Kyle Schwarber 0.2086
0.2952
(58.5)
0.2647
(41.9)
0.2562
(38.9)
0.2687
(47.0)
0.2704
(44.3)
Pete Alonso 0.2053
0.2824
(47.2)
0.2782
(49.3)
0.2686
(45.8)
0.2703
(46.1)
0.2718
(43.6)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.2943 0.3846 38.6
2 Nick Pratto 0.2925 0.3879 34.8
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.2692 0.3137 34.6
4 Ryan Noda 0.2839 0.3468 33.9
5 Ezequiel Duran 0.2847 0.3564 33.8
6 Tony Kemp 0.3008 0.2160 33.2
7 Andrés Giménez 0.3446 0.2860 32.7
8 Ryan Jeffers 0.2624 0.3514 31.6
9 Rafael Devers 0.3455 0.2925 31.2
10 Elias Díaz 0.2702 0.3240 31.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nolan Jones 0.3038 0.4009 40.3
2 Cody Bellinger 0.2461 0.3191 39.4
3 Nick Pratto 0.2733 0.3879 38.8
4 Matt McLain 0.2954 0.3846 35.1
5 Will Benson 0.2867 0.3908 33.6
6 Nick Maton 0.3141 0.2047 32.7
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2830 0.2098 31.2
8 Corey Seager 0.2795 0.3398 31.2
9 Willy Adames 0.3045 0.2581 30.9
10 Josh Donaldson 0.2769 0.1154 30.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Belt 0.2662 0.3702 39.4
2 Will Benson 0.2683 0.3908 38.2
3 Nick Pratto 0.2738 0.3879 37.2
4 Freddie Freeman 0.3132 0.3699 36.8
5 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2918 0.2098 36.6
6 Josh Donaldson 0.2954 0.1154 35.2
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.2589 0.3137 33.6
8 Matt McLain 0.2954 0.3846 33.4
9 Brandon Marsh 0.3229 0.3953 31.2
10 Ryan Noda 0.2780 0.3468 30.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.2807 0.3846 39.8
2 Will Benson 0.2757 0.3908 36.2
3 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2911 0.2098 35.9
4 Nick Pratto 0.2807 0.3879 35.2
5 Brandon Belt 0.2826 0.3702 33.3
6 Ryan Noda 0.2772 0.3468 32.0
7 Josh Donaldson 0.2764 0.1154 31.4
8 Brandon Marsh 0.3238 0.3953 31.3
9 Nolan Jones 0.3223 0.4009 31.2
10 Max Muncy 0.2690 0.2207 30.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddie Freeman 0.3153 0.3699 40.0
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.2588 0.3137 38.2
3 Brandon Marsh 0.3201 0.3953 35.5
4 Brandon Belt 0.2877 0.3702 33.4
5 Ryan Noda 0.2835 0.3468 31.4
6 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2822 0.2098 30.0
7 José Abreu 0.3267 0.2764 29.8
8 Lars Nootbaar 0.2481 0.3060 29.2
9 Josh Donaldson 0.2695 0.1154 29.1
10 William Contreras 0.3008 0.3475 28.7

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Pete Alonso 0.1440
0.2163
(42.1)
0.2126
(45.9)
0.2045
(43.8)
0.2022
(40.4)
0.2020
(38.6)
Jared Triolo 0.3621
0.2381
(27.6)
0.2193
(29.6)
0.2296
(26.4)
0.2200
(29.0)
0.2171
(30.2)
Kyle Schwarber 0.1472
0.2159
(43.4)
0.1928
(33.7)
0.1872
(33.2)
0.2017
(41.5)
0.1922
(32.8)
James Outman 0.2756
0.2138
(39.7)
0.2256
(27.7)
0.2028
(37.8)
0.2169
(31.5)
0.2163
(33.2)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Maikel Garcia 0.2083 0.2753 38.7
2 Ezequiel Duran 0.1944 0.2691 36.4
3 Nick Pratto 0.1981 0.2909 34.9
4 Alex Verdugo 0.2645 0.2000 33.8
5 Matt McLain 0.1962 0.2692 32.8
6 Jon Berti 0.2162 0.2848 32.6
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.1982 0.2359 31.9
8 CJ Abrams 0.2575 0.1986 31.0
9 Garrett Hampson 0.1739 0.2885 31.0
10 Ha-Seong Kim 0.2063 0.2457 29.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.1745 0.2437 37.9
2 Nick Pratto 0.1860 0.2909 35.8
3 Carlos Correa 0.2466 0.1875 34.9
4 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2302 0.1518 33.0
5 Jarred Kelenic 0.1658 0.2424 31.4
6 Adley Rutschman 0.1888 0.2352 31.0
7 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2508 0.2012 30.3
8 Matt Olson 0.1828 0.2251 29.6
9 Eugenio Suárez 0.1922 0.2359 29.5
10 Elias Díaz 0.1944 0.2514 29.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2302 0.1518 35.1
2 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.2453 0.1948 33.6
3 Nick Pratto 0.1927 0.2909 31.8
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.2106 0.2633 31.6
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.1851 0.2359 31.0
6 Josh Donaldson 0.2193 0.0673 29.9
7 Willy Adames 0.2151 0.1747 29.7
8 Bo Bichette 0.2237 0.2792 29.6
9 Jarred Kelenic 0.1665 0.2424 29.0
10 Brent Rooker 0.1792 0.2377 27.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2271 0.1518 32.6
2 Nick Pratto 0.1938 0.2909 32.4
3 Luis Arraez 0.2456 0.2996 31.4
4 Miguel Vargas 0.2166 0.1237 29.2
5 Kerry Carpenter 0.2072 0.2711 27.9
6 Bo Bichette 0.2305 0.2792 27.3
7 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.2377 0.1948 27.3
8 Willy Adames 0.2141 0.1747 27.2
9 Josh Donaldson 0.2035 0.0673 26.3
10 Yandy Díaz 0.2351 0.2822 26.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adley Rutschman 0.1806 0.2352 37.0
2 Lars Nootbaar 0.1667 0.2303 31.7
3 Yandy Díaz 0.2289 0.2822 31.6
4 Brenton Doyle 0.2772 0.2049 31.4
5 Ha-Seong Kim 0.1948 0.2457 31.4
6 Miguel Vargas 0.2252 0.1237 31.1
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.1917 0.2359 30.2
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2230 0.1518 29.8
9 Bryce Harper 0.2050 0.2586 28.9
10 Kerry Carpenter 0.2075 0.2711 28.9

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Freddie Freeman 0.1199
0.0732
(32.4)
0.0823
(26.8)
0.0880
(23.3)
0.0746
(32.0)
0.0743
(33.5)
Luke Raley 0.1080
0.0515
(22.0)
0.0616
(18.5)
0.0587
(20.0)
0.0606
(18.6)
0.0558
(21.3)
Randy Arozarena 0.0504
0.0836
(23.2)
0.0896
(26.2)
0.0861
(23.4)
0.0824
(21.9)
0.0882
(24.6)
Anthony Santander 0.0988
0.0594
(24.3)
0.0695
(18.7)
0.0739
(16.3)
0.0686
(18.7)
0.0738
(16.6)
Jarren Duran 0.1435
0.0849
(20.4)
0.0780
(23.4)
0.0717
(26.0)
0.0741
(24.5)
0.0691
(27.0)
Matt Chapman 0.1185
0.0771
(22.7)
0.0703
(27.5)
0.0809
(21.8)
0.0743
(24.8)
0.0776
(23.9)
Brandon Belt 0.1271
0.0714
(21.6)
0.0701
(22.7)
0.0658
(24.7)
0.0631
(25.2)
0.0755
(20.9)
Corey Seager 0.1160
0.0667
(25.2)
0.0641
(27.4)
0.0787
(20.0)
0.0710
(23.3)
0.0754
(21.9)
William Contreras 0.0950
0.0648
(17.0)
0.0617
(19.8)
0.0655
(18.0)
0.0637
(18.2)
0.0625
(20.0)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.0943 0.0591 24.4
2 Yandy Díaz 0.0477 0.0852 21.1
3 Carlos Santana 0.0423 0.0773 20.3
4 J.P. Crawford 0.0552 0.0886 19.9
5 Luis Robert Jr. 0.0704 0.1050 19.2
6 Ryan Noda 0.0581 0.0991 19.2
7 James Outman 0.0881 0.0565 19.2
8 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0592 0.0914 18.4
9 Adam Duvall 0.0723 0.1237 17.3
10 Mickey Moniak 0.0615 0.1141 16.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.0997 0.0591 27.0
2 Adley Rutschman 0.0979 0.0657 22.7
3 Dominic Smith 0.0841 0.0493 20.9
4 Jarred Kelenic 0.0603 0.1082 19.6
5 Adam Duvall 0.0684 0.1237 19.2
6 Brice Turang 0.0701 0.0291 18.7
7 Connor Joe 0.0655 0.1058 18.6
8 Mickey Moniak 0.0573 0.1141 18.1
9 Trent Grisham 0.0673 0.1006 18.0
10 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0612 0.0914 18.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dominic Smith 0.0927 0.0493 25.5
2 Adam Duvall 0.0650 0.1237 20.7
3 Connor Joe 0.0621 0.1058 20.6
4 Jeff McNeil 0.0784 0.0484 19.5
5 James Outman 0.0907 0.0565 19.4
6 Jace Peterson 0.0795 0.0368 18.4
7 Ryan McMahon 0.0632 0.0920 18.0
8 Nick Allen 0.0704 0.0157 18.0
9 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0630 0.0914 17.4
10 Alex Bregman 0.0786 0.0547 17.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dominic Smith 0.0822 0.0493 20.2
2 Ketel Marte 0.0865 0.0591 18.8
3 Adam Duvall 0.0697 0.1237 18.5
4 Connor Joe 0.0659 0.1058 18.1
5 Trent Grisham 0.0669 0.1006 17.9
6 Jeff McNeil 0.0734 0.0484 17.2
7 Nick Allen 0.0658 0.0157 17.0
8 Luis Robert Jr. 0.0750 0.1050 16.9
9 Alex Bregman 0.0760 0.0547 16.5
10 Jeimer Candelario 0.0778 0.1080 16.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adley Rutschman 0.1051 0.0657 26.9
2 Ketel Marte 0.0952 0.0591 23.3
3 Luis Robert Jr. 0.0698 0.1050 21.1
4 Dominic Smith 0.0854 0.0493 21.0
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0845 0.0561 19.6
6 Jake Burger 0.0543 0.0895 19.1
7 Kris Bryant 0.1020 0.0450 19.0
8 Trent Grisham 0.0675 0.1006 18.5
9 Alex Bregman 0.0804 0.0547 18.4
10 Jeff McNeil 0.0747 0.0484 16.9

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani 0.0252
0.0114
(7.9)
0.0150
(6.1)
0.0126
(7.4)
0.0121
(7.6)
0.0171
(5.2)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0220
0.0073
(9.8)
0.0109
(7.7)
0.0103
(8.0)
0.0102
(7.9)
0.0121
(7.4)
Seiya Suzuki 0.0161
0.0062
(5.5)
0.0075
(5.0)
0.0050
(6.4)
0.0051
(6.2)
0.0072
(5.6)
Will Benson 0.0460
0.0163
(9.6)
0.0067
(12.9)
0.0105
(11.6)
0.0091
(12.0)
0.0165
(9.9)
Ramón Laureano 0.0167
0.0031
(5.3)
0.0038
(5.2)
0.0035
(5.3)
0.0034
(5.2)
0.0039
(5.5)
Gunnar Henderson 0.0239
0.0122
(6.9)
0.0058
(11.3)
0.0115
(7.7)
0.0105
(8.1)
0.0161
(5.3)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.0185
0.0078
(5.3)
0.0085
(5.3)
0.0082
(5.3)
0.0083
(5.2)
0.0086
(5.5)
Trevor Larnach 0.0286
0.0000
(5.9)
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0039
(5.2)
0.0029
(5.4)
0.0000
(6.2)
Ketel Marte 0.0205
0.0074
(8.1)
0.0055
(9.7)
0.0048
(10.1)
0.0047
(10.0)
0.0079
(8.5)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brenton Doyle 0.0000 0.0205 8.6
2 Willi Castro 0.0000 0.0196 7.8
3 Nolan Jones 0.0000 0.0180 7.4
4 Jake Cronenworth 0.0071 0.0196 6.2
5 Brandon Marsh 0.0101 0.0237 6.2
6 Drew Waters 0.0093 0.0263 5.5
7 Maikel Garcia 0.0000 0.0112 5.5
8 Luke Raley 0.0000 0.0141 5.5
9 Mookie Betts 0.0094 0.0023 5.4
10 Eduardo Escobar 0.0064 0.0242 5.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0060 0.0300 10.2
2 Corbin Carroll 0.0118 0.0235 7.5
3 Drew Waters 0.0065 0.0263 6.7
4 Brenton Doyle 0.0060 0.0205 6.2
5 Alek Thomas 0.0034 0.0176 5.7
6 Jake Rogers 0.0155 0.0000 5.7
7 Alex Verdugo 0.0023 0.0112 5.3
8 Adolis García 0.0084 0.0000 5.3
9 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0084 0.0000 5.3
10 Esteury Ruiz 0.0133 0.0028 5.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0150 0.0300 6.4
2 Adolis García 0.0084 0.0000 5.4
3 Jake Cronenworth 0.0091 0.0196 5.4
4 Willi Castro 0.0064 0.0196 5.3
5 Dairon Blanco 0.0060 0.0444 5.3
6 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0086 0.0214 5.1
7 Nolan Jones 0.0065 0.0180 4.9
8 Eduardo Escobar 0.0084 0.0242 4.8
9 Jared Young 0.0051 0.1071 4.8
10 Brandon Marsh 0.0136 0.0237 4.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0101 0.0300 8.3
2 Adolis García 0.0082 0.0000 5.4
3 Jake Cronenworth 0.0089 0.0196 5.4
4 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0087 0.0214 5.0
5 Brandon Marsh 0.0129 0.0237 4.9
6 Nolan Jones 0.0061 0.0180 4.9
7 Willi Castro 0.0073 0.0196 4.9
8 Miguel Vargas 0.0044 0.0206 4.8
9 Dairon Blanco 0.0092 0.0444 4.8
10 Eduardo Escobar 0.0085 0.0242 4.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adolis García 0.0112 0.0000 6.7
2 Blake Sabol 0.0201 0.0000 6.7
3 Akil Baddoo 0.0239 0.0047 6.6
4 Matt Olson 0.0000 0.0077 6.0
5 Shea Langeliers 0.0034 0.0140 5.5
6 Jake Rogers 0.0155 0.0000 5.4
7 Jarren Duran 0.0240 0.0084 5.4
8 CJ Abrams 0.0057 0.0139 5.4
9 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0086 0.0000 5.0
10 Miguel Vargas 0.0050 0.0206 5.0

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Adolis García 0.1709
0.1218
(28.5)
0.1273
(27.7)
0.1150
(37.7)
0.1143
(33.0)
0.1407
(20.9)
J.P. Crawford 0.1473
0.0832
(38.4)
0.1150
(20.8)
0.1176
(21.4)
0.1098
(21.2)
0.1138
(23.2)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Anderson 0.1601 0.0992 34.0
2 Gunnar Henderson 0.1049 0.1608 32.3
3 Cody Bellinger 0.1098 0.1709 31.7
4 Xander Bogaerts 0.1656 0.1248 29.8
5 Brandon Nimmo 0.1669 0.1305 27.6
6 Bo Bichette 0.1562 0.1148 27.3
7 Josh Bell 0.1233 0.0843 26.5
8 Willy Adames 0.1512 0.1144 26.0
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1481 0.1144 25.7
10 Luis Arraez 0.1520 0.1151 25.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.1161 0.1798 41.3
2 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1563 0.2027 34.3
3 Matt Olson 0.1297 0.1764 33.8
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1083 0.1608 32.8
5 Tim Anderson 0.1562 0.0992 29.7
6 Cody Bellinger 0.1228 0.1709 26.8
7 Austin Riley 0.1298 0.1636 24.3
8 Teoscar Hernández 0.1393 0.1032 24.3
9 Josh Bell 0.1213 0.0843 22.7
10 Yandy Díaz 0.1212 0.1583 22.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.1139 0.1709 33.8
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1665 0.1144 32.9
3 Corbin Carroll 0.1340 0.1798 32.0
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1681 0.2027 28.3
5 Juan Soto 0.1790 0.1370 27.0
6 Josh Bell 0.1301 0.0843 25.9
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.1266 0.1608 23.6
8 Matt Olson 0.1480 0.1764 23.2
9 Alejandro Kirk 0.1390 0.0806 23.1
10 Francisco Lindor 0.1277 0.1572 22.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1528 0.1144 29.2
2 Cody Bellinger 0.1144 0.1709 29.0
3 Corbin Carroll 0.1315 0.1798 28.3
4 Josh Bell 0.1243 0.0843 27.4
5 Juan Soto 0.1684 0.1370 25.3
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.1158 0.1608 25.3
7 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1647 0.2027 24.7
8 Alejandro Kirk 0.1305 0.0806 22.9
9 Matt McLain 0.1026 0.1613 21.9
10 DJ LeMahieu 0.1321 0.0979 21.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.1293 0.1798 34.4
2 Matt Olson 0.1346 0.1764 32.2
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1698 0.2027 26.3
4 Nico Hoerner 0.1109 0.1424 23.7
5 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0994 0.1342 23.6
6 Tim Anderson 0.1471 0.0992 23.6
7 Daulton Varsho 0.1536 0.1119 22.6
8 Yandy Díaz 0.1257 0.1583 21.3
9 Lane Thomas 0.1214 0.1481 20.2
10 Esteury Ruiz 0.1379 0.0946 20.1

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jonah Heim 0.1896
0.1215
(31.6)
0.1096
(39.6)
0.1219
(34.7)
0.1118
(37.8)
0.1134
(42.0)
Andrew Benintendi 0.0725
0.1365
(43.0)
0.1128
(25.7)
0.1099
(22.2)
0.1150
(27.9)
0.1178
(23.4)
Corey Seager 0.1791
0.1135
(32.4)
0.1311
(25.2)
0.1318
(26.3)
0.1297
(25.2)
0.1320
(29.4)
J.D. Martinez 0.2150
0.1437
(31.7)
0.1236
(43.3)
0.1441
(34.8)
0.1325
(38.4)
0.1413
(39.0)
Cedric Mullins 0.1626
0.0836
(33.6)
0.0944
(30.6)
0.0964
(30.9)
0.0960
(29.2)
0.1094
(27.7)
Cody Bellinger 0.1745
0.1098
(33.1)
0.1170
(31.4)
0.1227
(29.7)
0.1206
(28.7)
0.1238
(32.4)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.1709 0.1158 41.6
2 Matt Olson 0.1313 0.1931 40.8
3 Marcell Ozuna 0.1013 0.1689 37.0
4 Ty France 0.1375 0.0872 36.8
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1640 0.1164 36.2
6 Spencer Torkelson 0.0797 0.1374 36.0
7 Isaac Paredes 0.1040 0.1716 35.7
8 Nolan Gorman 0.0875 0.1638 33.0
9 Jake Cronenworth 0.1500 0.0920 33.0
10 Jeff McNeil 0.1283 0.0849 31.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Isaac Paredes 0.1046 0.1716 37.7
2 Josh Lowe 0.0915 0.1657 36.7
3 Spencer Torkelson 0.0845 0.1374 35.5
4 José Ramírez 0.1661 0.1158 35.5
5 Josh Naylor 0.1263 0.1960 34.0
6 Dominic Smith 0.1284 0.0785 29.8
7 Matt Olson 0.1507 0.1931 29.8
8 Max Muncy 0.1308 0.1813 28.7
9 Tim Anderson 0.0979 0.0477 26.8
10 Alec Bohm 0.1152 0.1588 26.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Xander Bogaerts 0.1345 0.0872 30.3
2 Josh Lowe 0.1072 0.1657 30.1
3 Jeremy Peña 0.1283 0.0820 28.3
4 Matt Olson 0.1559 0.1931 28.0
5 Tim Anderson 0.1025 0.0477 27.8
6 Josh Naylor 0.1448 0.1960 26.1
7 Matt Chapman 0.1392 0.0929 25.9
8 Max Muncy 0.1383 0.1813 25.9
9 Hunter Renfroe 0.1574 0.1095 25.3
10 Alec Bohm 0.1190 0.1588 25.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.1440 0.1931 33.6
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1684 0.1228 30.4
3 Josh Lowe 0.1031 0.1657 30.2
4 Josh Naylor 0.1366 0.1960 28.2
5 Tim Anderson 0.0972 0.0477 27.2
6 Alec Bohm 0.1127 0.1588 26.7
7 Max Muncy 0.1341 0.1813 26.0
8 Ty France 0.1234 0.0872 25.6
9 Isaac Paredes 0.1252 0.1716 25.2
10 Ozzie Albies 0.1265 0.1652 24.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daulton Varsho 0.1704 0.1050 33.6
2 José Ramírez 0.1695 0.1158 31.9
3 Max Muncy 0.1342 0.1813 31.7
4 Carlos Santana 0.0969 0.1389 30.7
5 Josh Naylor 0.1420 0.1960 30.5
6 Josh Lowe 0.1138 0.1657 29.8
7 Alec Bohm 0.1190 0.1588 28.9
8 MJ Melendez 0.1436 0.0930 25.9
9 Juan Soto 0.1259 0.1540 25.2
10 Adam Frazier 0.0842 0.1319 25.2

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Willi Castro 0.3113
0.1429
(82.2)
0.0816
(85.5)
0.1020
(78.5)
0.1225
(72.5)
0.1000
(78.1)
CJ Abrams 0.3588
0.2521
(85.5)
0.0833
(156.5)
0.1363
(126.0)
0.1371
(129.0)
0.1509
(115.1)
Adolis García 0.0647
0.2373
(88.5)
0.1429
(62.4)
0.1415
(59.4)
0.1691
(73.2)
0.1441
(63.0)
Dairon Blanco 0.8000
0.2990
(73.6)
0.0625
(98.9)
0.0801
(97.0)
0.2204
(78.4)
0.2323
(75.5)
Wander Franco 0.2439
0.1267
(73.5)
0.0594
(80.5)
0.0625
(80.6)
0.0719
(78.8)
0.0769
(72.0)
Luke Williams 4.0000
0.2636
(71.6)
0.1449
(72.9)
0.2197
(71.5)
0.2385
(71.2)
0.2286
(71.3)
Brenton Doyle 0.2895
0.1667
(66.9)
0.0801
(81.4)
0.0990
(74.6)
0.0957
(78.6)
0.1226
(63.1)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Berti 0.4359 0.1345 114.0
2 Garrett Hampson 0.5000 0.0704 100.1
3 Randy Arozarena 0.2868 0.1140 91.7
4 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2613 0.0917 84.3
5 Leody Taveras 0.2759 0.1129 72.3
6 Anthony Volpe 0.3438 0.1967 68.8
7 Jordan Walker 0.2261 0.0574 63.3
8 Matt Vierling 0.1944 0.0435 62.8
9 Joey Wiemer 0.3158 0.1310 62.5
10 Bo Bichette 0.1678 0.0331 61.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Esteury Ruiz 0.0612 0.5583 236.8
2 Corbin Carroll 0.0678 0.3253 152.8
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.0801 0.3763 117.7
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1594 0.3230 105.1
5 Josh Lowe 0.0735 0.2832 94.7
6 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1754 0.3224 87.7
7 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0820 0.2135 69.4
8 Jorge Mateo 0.2449 0.4638 69.4
9 Jarren Duran 0.1029 0.2963 62.5
10 Brice Turang 0.0801 0.2385 61.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.1307 0.3253 114.4
2 Esteury Ruiz 0.3188 0.5583 110.5
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1866 0.3230 87.5
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1853 0.3224 83.1
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.1798 0.3763 76.5
6 Josh Lowe 0.1190 0.2832 73.6
7 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0821 0.2135 71.4
8 Francisco Lindor 0.0785 0.1879 63.3
9 José Caballero 0.0801 0.3171 61.5
10 Jorge Mateo 0.2762 0.4638 59.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Esteury Ruiz 0.3019 0.5583 121.7
2 Corbin Carroll 0.1347 0.3253 115.5
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.1685 0.3763 83.8
4 Jon Berti 0.3046 0.1345 77.0
5 Josh Lowe 0.1186 0.2832 76.7
6 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0902 0.2135 70.0
7 Randy Arozarena 0.2038 0.1140 66.3
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.2273 0.3230 61.9
9 Marcus Semien 0.1412 0.0741 59.2
10 Bo Bichette 0.1175 0.0331 57.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Esteury Ruiz 0.2880 0.5583 124.2
2 Corbin Carroll 0.1333 0.3253 110.6
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1761 0.3230 93.0
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1938 0.3224 75.0
5 Jon Berti 0.2766 0.1345 68.9
6 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0855 0.2135 67.3
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.2041 0.3763 64.8
8 Francisco Lindor 0.0823 0.1879 58.5
9 Jorge Mateo 0.2796 0.4638 57.3
10 Nico Hoerner 0.1148 0.2172 56.4

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.3375
0.2653
(52.0)
0.2642
(54.2)
0.2704
(49.8)
0.2733
(46.5)
0.2742
(47.1)
Yandy Díaz 0.3295
0.2668
(36.8)
0.2731
(34.1)
0.2797
(30.2)
0.2817
(28.1)
0.2725
(34.7)
Corey Seager 0.3270
0.2776
(25.8)
0.2652
(33.4)
0.2720
(29.8)
0.2821
(23.6)
0.2700
(31.0)
Jon Berti 0.2938
0.2259
(28.2)
0.2345
(25.4)
0.2402
(23.0)
0.2395
(22.7)
0.2303
(27.3)
Mookie Betts 0.3065
0.2675
(26.0)
0.2664
(28.1)
0.2716
(24.6)
0.2724
(23.0)
0.2695
(26.2)
Cody Bellinger 0.3066
0.2304
(41.6)
0.2095
(54.3)
0.2245
(46.0)
0.2345
(39.6)
0.2296
(43.3)
Pete Alonso 0.2165
0.2577
(28.0)
0.2613
(29.1)
0.2597
(28.0)
0.2614
(30.1)
0.2611
(28.8)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.2116 0.2904 31.2
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.2383 0.1966 31.0
3 Spencer Steer 0.2249 0.2715 30.0
4 Alex Verdugo 0.3049 0.2637 25.7
5 Daulton Varsho 0.2627 0.2201 25.6
6 Nolan Jones 0.2353 0.2970 25.6
7 Tim Anderson 0.2917 0.2454 25.0
8 Ezequiel Duran 0.2176 0.2759 25.0
9 Tony Kemp 0.2661 0.2089 24.5
10 Andrés Giménez 0.2888 0.2513 23.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Arraez 0.2976 0.3537 34.9
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.2568 0.3038 28.5
3 Josh Lowe 0.2355 0.2918 28.5
4 Josh Naylor 0.2511 0.3075 28.2
5 Bryson Stott 0.2369 0.2803 28.1
6 José Abreu 0.2835 0.2370 27.3
7 Carlos Correa 0.2759 0.2296 26.6
8 Matt Olson 0.2467 0.2829 26.4
9 Tim Anderson 0.2953 0.2454 25.9
10 Jarred Kelenic 0.1914 0.2527 25.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Arraez 0.2977 0.3537 34.9
2 Josh Lowe 0.2276 0.2918 32.5
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.2555 0.3038 29.3
4 Freddie Freeman 0.2938 0.3312 27.8
5 Corbin Carroll 0.2427 0.2850 27.6
6 Brenton Doyle 0.2651 0.2030 26.5
7 Matt Olson 0.2495 0.2829 24.5
8 William Contreras 0.2495 0.2889 24.4
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2488 0.1914 23.6
10 Carlos Correa 0.2705 0.2296 23.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Arraez 0.2978 0.3537 33.9
2 Josh Lowe 0.2239 0.2918 33.6
3 Matt McLain 0.2100 0.2904 32.0
4 Corbin Carroll 0.2369 0.2850 30.4
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.2340 0.1966 27.6
6 William Contreras 0.2447 0.2889 26.5
7 Spencer Steer 0.2320 0.2715 25.6
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.2616 0.3038 24.7
9 Carlos Correa 0.2711 0.2296 24.6
10 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2470 0.1914 23.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Lowe 0.2271 0.2918 32.9
2 Freddie Freeman 0.2935 0.3312 28.1
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.2350 0.1966 27.0
4 Luis Arraez 0.3111 0.3537 26.8
5 Carlos Correa 0.2764 0.2296 26.7
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.2601 0.3038 26.6
7 William Contreras 0.2461 0.2889 26.6
8 Josh Naylor 0.2581 0.3075 24.9
9 José Abreu 0.2793 0.2370 24.6
10 Tim Anderson 0.2930 0.2454 24.5

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani 0.4125
0.3492
(31.4)
0.3507
(37.6)
0.3499
(38.0)
0.3549
(33.4)
0.3515
(37.3)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.4163
0.3487
(41.7)
0.3613
(41.2)
0.3682
(36.1)
0.3699
(32.8)
0.3709
(34.4)
Spencer Steer 0.3564
0.2825
(41.9)
0.3140
(28.9)
0.3195
(25.1)
0.3071
(31.6)
0.3241
(22.4)
Mookie Betts 0.4084
0.3409
(39.2)
0.3468
(43.4)
0.3554
(37.3)
0.3549
(35.8)
0.3539
(38.7)
Ryan Jeffers 0.3686
0.2800
(26.0)
0.2926
(25.8)
0.2883
(27.2)
0.2877
(26.5)
0.3023
(22.7)
Cody Bellinger 0.3561
0.2934
(28.8)
0.2773
(44.4)
0.2991
(32.2)
0.3063
(26.7)
0.3086
(27.2)
José Abreu 0.2963
0.3288
(25.8)
0.3598
(37.1)
0.3453
(28.6)
0.3458
(30.5)
0.3509
(31.6)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Noda 0.2852 0.3636 33.4
2 James Outman 0.2862 0.3527 31.5
3 Masataka Yoshida 0.3810 0.3379 31.3
4 Yandy Díaz 0.3503 0.4100 29.3
5 Nolan Jones 0.3106 0.3892 28.7
6 Daulton Varsho 0.3234 0.2850 28.6
7 Andrew McCutchen 0.3092 0.3784 27.6
8 Tim Anderson 0.3270 0.2863 27.1
9 Andrew Benintendi 0.3579 0.3258 26.7
10 Alex Verdugo 0.3573 0.3239 26.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.3387 0.3889 36.9
2 Nolan Jones 0.3095 0.3892 34.2
3 Brandon Marsh 0.3045 0.3715 32.1
4 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.3139 0.3728 31.1
5 Brenton Doyle 0.3201 0.2500 29.8
6 J.P. Crawford 0.3351 0.3795 29.0
7 Isaac Paredes 0.3041 0.3520 27.9
8 Corey Seager 0.3392 0.3899 27.8
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.3000 0.3534 27.0
10 Ha-Seong Kim 0.3090 0.3510 27.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Marsh 0.2955 0.3715 36.3
2 Matt Olson 0.3411 0.3889 35.0
3 Adolis García 0.2823 0.3275 29.2
4 J.P. Crawford 0.3357 0.3795 28.5
5 William Contreras 0.3223 0.3672 28.0
6 Ezequiel Tovar 0.3324 0.2871 27.3
7 Masataka Yoshida 0.3853 0.3379 26.9
8 Andrew McCutchen 0.3235 0.3784 26.4
9 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.3237 0.3728 25.9
10 Randy Arozarena 0.3270 0.3639 24.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Marsh 0.2944 0.3715 35.6
2 James Outman 0.2981 0.3527 30.0
3 Masataka Yoshida 0.3872 0.3379 29.6
4 William Contreras 0.3170 0.3672 29.6
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3640 0.3218 27.9
6 Adolis García 0.2823 0.3275 27.5
7 Matt Olson 0.3492 0.3889 27.3
8 Ryan Noda 0.3081 0.3636 26.6
9 Corbin Carroll 0.3194 0.3615 26.0
10 Matt McLain 0.2931 0.3573 25.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Marsh 0.2927 0.3715 37.9
2 William Contreras 0.3178 0.3672 31.1
3 J.P. Crawford 0.3339 0.3795 30.0
4 James Outman 0.3034 0.3527 28.8
5 Ryan Noda 0.3108 0.3636 26.9
6 Matt Olson 0.3532 0.3889 26.7
7 Corey Seager 0.3435 0.3899 25.7
8 Ha-Seong Kim 0.3120 0.3510 25.3
9 Yandy Díaz 0.3694 0.4100 25.2
10 Carlos Correa 0.3547 0.3121 23.9

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Matt Olson 0.6036
0.4840
(74.2)
0.4841
(87.7)
0.4893
(87.0)
0.4930
(77.1)
0.5124
(68.0)
Shohei Ohtani 0.6539
0.4917
(87.3)
0.5097
(87.8)
0.5144
(87.4)
0.5102
(84.0)
0.5295
(76.5)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5585
0.3984
(85.0)
0.4292
(77.9)
0.4335
(77.8)
0.4345
(71.3)
0.4491
(66.7)
Yandy Díaz 0.5219
0.3755
(77.9)
0.4053
(71.3)
0.4209
(64.5)
0.4229
(57.3)
0.4122
(67.8)
Corey Seager 0.6226
0.4632
(76.6)
0.4754
(80.1)
0.4861
(76.6)
0.4861
(71.3)
0.4734
(81.8)
Mookie Betts 0.5788
0.4883
(51.2)
0.5010
(55.5)
0.5077
(53.7)
0.4939
(56.4)
0.5019
(55.6)
Cody Bellinger 0.5251
0.3935
(63.9)
0.3801
(81.9)
0.4018
(72.1)
0.4129
(60.4)
0.4056
(68.2)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.5956
0.4750
(76.5)
0.4738
(91.2)
0.4844
(86.5)
0.4874
(77.0)
0.5040
(69.7)
Tim Anderson 0.2961
0.4203
(73.7)
0.4392
(73.8)
0.4364
(70.1)
0.4235
(68.5)
0.4317
(69.3)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nolan Jones 0.3613 0.5422 69.7
2 Yainer Diaz 0.3587 0.5380 61.4
3 Andy Ibáñez 0.2581 0.4326 60.5
4 Jake Burger 0.3902 0.5183 60.2
5 J.D. Martinez 0.4333 0.5718 58.4
6 Zack Gelof 0.3000 0.5037 56.1
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5071 0.4435 54.7
8 Jorge Soler 0.4038 0.5119 53.1
9 Nathaniel Lowe 0.4691 0.4141 51.8
10 Andrew Benintendi 0.4222 0.3559 51.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Torkelson 0.3523 0.4455 65.3
2 Nolan Jones 0.3947 0.5422 63.5
3 Josh Lowe 0.3841 0.5000 59.2
4 Joey Meneses 0.4913 0.4010 57.9
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5411 0.4487 57.2
6 Jorge Soler 0.4162 0.5119 56.8
7 Spencer Steer 0.3826 0.4639 55.6
8 Brent Rooker 0.3850 0.4881 55.5
9 George Springer 0.4879 0.4046 55.4
10 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.4211 0.4945 52.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5628 0.4435 77.0
2 J.D. Martinez 0.4497 0.5718 61.5
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5504 0.4487 60.5
4 Adolis García 0.4214 0.5081 58.9
5 Josh Lowe 0.3914 0.5000 57.6
6 Corbin Carroll 0.4275 0.5062 54.9
7 Chas McCormick 0.3777 0.4888 53.7
8 Jorge Soler 0.4273 0.5119 52.8
9 Freddie Freeman 0.5013 0.5667 52.5
10 Ty France 0.4493 0.3663 50.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5673 0.4487 77.5
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5528 0.4435 76.9
3 J.D. Martinez 0.4342 0.5718 64.3
4 Josh Lowe 0.3734 0.5000 61.7
5 Matt McLain 0.3503 0.5068 61.7
6 Corbin Carroll 0.4131 0.5062 57.8
7 Jake Burger 0.4141 0.5183 54.4
8 Adolis García 0.4220 0.5081 52.2
9 Javier Báez 0.4171 0.3255 52.0
10 Nolan Jones 0.4163 0.5422 51.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5699 0.4487 74.9
2 Jake Burger 0.3916 0.5183 70.2
3 Daulton Varsho 0.5031 0.3890 64.4
4 Josh Lowe 0.3812 0.5000 61.1
5 J.D. Martinez 0.4511 0.5718 59.4
6 George Springer 0.4913 0.4046 57.0
7 J.P. Crawford 0.3540 0.4382 55.8
8 Nolan Jones 0.4179 0.5422 54.1
9 Corbin Carroll 0.4283 0.5062 52.4
10 Brent Rooker 0.3939 0.4881 51.3

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Germán Márquez 80
786
(706.0)
722
(642.0)
771
(691.4)
842
(762.1)
706
(626.0)
Robbie Ray 19
756
(737.1)
711
(692.0)
767
(747.6)
798
(779.0)
699
(680.0)
Madison Bumgarner 90
606
(515.9)
654
(564.0)
688
(598.4)
637
(547.0)
599
(509.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Elder 147 732 585.1
2 Tanner Bibee 1 585 584.0
3 Tyler Mahle 638 102 535.9
4 Antonio Senzatela 556 30 526.0
5 Luis Garcia 635 115 520.0
6 Jeffrey Springs 571 55 516.1
7 Colin Rea 1 517 516.0
8 Kyle Wright 657 155 501.9
9 Bryce Miller 63 537 474.0
10 J.P. France 108 581 472.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kodai Senga 1 694 693.0
2 Frankie Montas 634 7 627.0
3 Triston McKenzie 679 73 606.0
4 Tanner Bibee 1 585 584.0
5 J.P. France 1 581 580.0
6 Logan Allen 1 537 536.0
7 Bryce Miller 1 537 536.0
8 Jake Irvin 1 530 529.0
9 Kris Bubic 592 68 524.0
10 Luis Garcia 636 115 521.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Garcia 693 115 578.0
2 Marco Gonzales 770 215 555.2
3 Kyle Wright 710 155 554.7
4 Tyler Mahle 648 102 545.9
5 Jeffrey Springs 597 55 542.3
6 Logan Allen 1 537 536.0
7 Bryce Miller 1 537 536.0
8 Tanner Bibee 62 585 523.0
9 Bryce Elder 210 732 522.4
10 Colin Rea 1 517 516.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Antonio Senzatela 645 30 614.8
2 Tyler Mahle 711 102 608.9
3 Kyle Wright 743 155 588.4
4 Jeffrey Springs 639 55 583.6
5 Bryce Elder 151 732 580.8
6 Tanner Bibee 4 585 580.8
7 Nick Lodolo 734 166 568.2
8 Drew Rasmussen 727 177 549.9
9 Luis Garcia 663 115 548.0
10 Jacob deGrom 645 115 529.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Frankie Montas 590 7 583.0
2 Triston McKenzie 655 73 582.0
3 Drew Rucinski 645 95 550.0
4 Darren McCaughan 564 27 537.0
5 Colin Rea 1 517 516.0
6 Kyle Leahy 524 15 509.0
7 Kris Bubic 565 68 497.0
8 Jonathan Heasley 553 63 490.0
9 Kyle Wright 643 155 488.0
10 Michael Plassmeyer 507 23 484.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Lance Lynn 0.3475
0.1056
(29.9)
0.2920
(37.1)
0.1163
(50.8)
0.2875
(30.3)
0.2863
(28.8)
Kyle Muller 0.4160
0.1213
(33.4)
0.3068
(37.1)
0.1250
(45.6)
0.2918
(37.8)
0.2824
(40.2)
Chris Flexen 0.3912
0.1038
(38.5)
0.3131
(31.9)
0.1233
(46.4)
0.2997
(32.2)
0.3023
(29.5)
Trevor Williams 0.3773
0.1157
(37.4)
0.3242
(28.7)
0.1383
(46.6)
0.3187
(23.8)
0.3030
(32.1)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gerrit Cole 0.1144 0.2552 52.5
2 Adam Wainwright 0.0986 0.4118 52.4
3 Blake Snell 0.1178 0.2659 42.1
4 Kyle Bradish 0.1183 0.2669 37.8
5 Luke Weaver 0.1149 0.3847 36.6
6 Dylan Covey 0.3180 0.3337 36.1
7 Ty Blach 0.0861 0.3887 34.4
8 Carlos Carrasco 0.1037 0.3897 33.9
9 Sonny Gray 0.1082 0.2701 32.4
10 Connor Seabold 0.1083 0.3923 32.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2955 0.4118 51.7
2 Kyle Bradish 0.3229 0.2669 44.1
3 Luis Severino 0.2872 0.3888 38.4
4 Alek Manoah 0.2748 0.3711 36.0
5 Joey Wentz 0.2999 0.3803 34.8
6 Michael Kopech 0.2943 0.3626 34.7
7 Zach Eflin 0.3129 0.2754 33.1
8 Gerrit Cole 0.2854 0.2552 32.6
9 Kodai Senga 0.3180 0.2811 32.3
10 Blake Snell 0.2988 0.2659 31.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Miller 0.3180 0.3088 95.4
2 Colin Rea 0.3180 0.3110 90.7
3 Logan Allen 0.3180 0.3245 86.9
4 Bryan Woo 0.3180 0.3049 67.3
5 Michael Tonkin 0.3180 0.2823 66.3
6 Ian Gibaut 0.3180 0.3015 58.8
7 Elvis Peguero 0.3180 0.2812 51.7
8 Jesse Scholtens 0.3180 0.3494 51.6
9 Tom Cosgrove 0.3180 0.2389 50.7
10 Ian Hamilton 0.3180 0.2768 50.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.3048 0.4118 40.9
2 Luis Severino 0.2779 0.3888 36.9
3 Kyle Bradish 0.2967 0.2669 35.1
4 Sonny Gray 0.2914 0.2701 33.1
5 Ken Waldichuk 0.2868 0.3597 32.2
6 Carlos Carrasco 0.2912 0.3897 31.7
7 Tylor Megill 0.2734 0.3499 30.6
8 Zach Eflin 0.2923 0.2754 27.7
9 Tyler Holton 0.2974 0.2346 27.6
10 David Peterson 0.2792 0.3565 27.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Bradish 0.3075 0.2669 44.5
2 Adam Wainwright 0.3006 0.4118 41.4
3 Luis Severino 0.2662 0.3888 40.4
4 Jack Flaherty 0.2767 0.3560 34.9
5 Alek Manoah 0.2664 0.3711 32.8
6 Ken Waldichuk 0.2837 0.3597 32.2
7 Lucas Giolito 0.2775 0.3395 28.9
8 Michael Kopech 0.2916 0.3626 26.8
9 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2738 0.3616 26.2
10 Tyler Holton 0.2891 0.2346 25.9

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Félix Bautista 0.4641
0.2803
(41.2)
0.2731
(46.3)
0.3135
(35.3)
0.3158
(34.0)
0.3140
(36.3)
Corbin Burnes 0.2551
0.3018
(44.6)
0.3028
(33.9)
0.3009
(37.2)
0.2982
(37.8)
0.3054
(37.2)
Nick Pivetta 0.3118
0.2162
(50.1)
0.2368
(46.6)
0.2160
(55.2)
0.2194
(51.2)
0.2268
(51.6)
Cristian Javier 0.2314
0.2942
(50.1)
0.2907
(37.7)
0.2880
(40.1)
0.2857
(40.7)
0.3024
(46.7)
Merrill Kelly 0.2590
0.2029
(33.2)
0.2149
(35.1)
0.2016
(40.2)
0.2006
(38.5)
0.2021
(43.2)
Pablo López 0.2921
0.2214
(48.5)
0.2418
(43.9)
0.2340
(45.2)
0.2349
(41.8)
0.2442
(40.7)
Mitch Keller 0.2545
0.2003
(36.4)
0.2064
(43.4)
0.1995
(44.0)
0.1978
(42.7)
0.2062
(42.3)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.2680 0.2152 42.1
2 Zach Eflin 0.1952 0.2646 41.6
3 Adam Wainwright 0.1802 0.1136 37.2
4 Taj Bradley 0.1903 0.2804 36.8
5 Andrew Heaney 0.2827 0.2356 36.7
6 Tylor Megill 0.2392 0.1852 36.4
7 Kevin Gausman 0.2534 0.3106 35.8
8 Shane Bieber 0.2556 0.2008 34.7
9 Kyle Freeland 0.1798 0.1388 34.7
10 Ryne Nelson 0.1989 0.1551 33.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kodai Senga 0.2277 0.2911 47.1
2 Spencer Strider 0.3143 0.3683 44.6
3 Ryne Nelson 0.2271 0.1551 41.8
4 Adam Wainwright 0.1994 0.1136 39.4
5 Austin Gomber 0.2090 0.1443 36.3
6 Joe Ryan 0.2439 0.2932 36.1
7 Aroldis Chapman 0.2780 0.4137 34.9
8 Shane Bieber 0.2684 0.2008 33.7
9 Cole Ragans 0.2069 0.2883 33.7
10 Matt Brash 0.2448 0.3474 33.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2277 0.1136 56.0
2 Tylor Megill 0.2689 0.1852 48.5
3 Zach Eflin 0.2006 0.2646 43.8
4 J.P. France 0.2469 0.1738 43.4
5 Justin Verlander 0.2773 0.2152 42.7
6 Taj Bradley 0.1917 0.2804 40.0
7 Kevin Gausman 0.2642 0.3106 34.1
8 Joe Ryan 0.2429 0.2932 32.6
9 Gerrit Cole 0.3075 0.2704 31.9
10 Luis Severino 0.2630 0.1894 31.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tylor Megill 0.2696 0.1852 50.7
2 J.P. France 0.2526 0.1738 48.7
3 Justin Verlander 0.2753 0.2152 43.5
4 Zach Eflin 0.2008 0.2646 41.3
5 Taj Bradley 0.1880 0.2804 40.2
6 Gerrit Cole 0.3095 0.2704 36.3
7 Luis Severino 0.2646 0.1894 33.4
8 Andrew Heaney 0.2803 0.2356 31.9
9 Alex Wood 0.2414 0.1725 31.7
10 Kevin Gausman 0.2648 0.3106 31.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. France 0.2482 0.1738 41.5
2 Tylor Megill 0.2581 0.1852 39.7
3 Zach Eflin 0.2114 0.2646 39.4
4 Justin Verlander 0.2731 0.2152 36.8
5 Ryne Nelson 0.2170 0.1551 36.5
6 Andrew Heaney 0.2947 0.2356 36.1
7 Fernando Cruz 0.2271 0.3513 35.5
8 Shane Bieber 0.2700 0.2008 35.4
9 Gerrit Cole 0.3164 0.2704 35.4
10 Joe Ryan 0.2439 0.2932 35.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Daniel Bard 0.2112
0.0974
(25.2)
0.0973
(25.6)
0.1001
(24.7)
0.0973
(25.3)
0.1086
(23.2)
Alek Manoah 0.1422
0.0743
(26.0)
0.0748
(26.5)
0.0713
(27.5)
0.0718
(27.2)
0.0685
(29.6)
Blake Snell 0.1334
0.0903
(28.0)
0.0993
(22.7)
0.0937
(25.9)
0.0932
(26.3)
0.0925
(28.5)
Charlie Morton 0.1159
0.0825
(20.2)
0.0825
(21.5)
0.0762
(25.1)
0.0764
(24.8)
0.0816
(22.8)
Michael Kopech 0.1540
0.1025
(27.3)
0.0974
(31.4)
0.0959
(31.5)
0.0961
(31.3)
0.0959
(32.9)
Justin Steele 0.0503
0.0951
(35.9)
0.0939
(33.8)
0.0966
(36.5)
0.0947
(35.3)
0.0980
(35.9)
Cristopher Sánchez 0.0404
0.0924
(22.7)
0.0909
(21.4)
0.0959
(23.8)
0.0968
(24.3)
0.1041
(26.2)
Brad Keller 0.2133
0.0893
(25.0)
0.0923
(24.8)
0.0895
(25.1)
0.0887
(25.3)
0.0909
(25.3)
Logan Webb 0.0365
0.0688
(32.0)
0.0689
(30.5)
0.0673
(30.3)
0.0663
(29.4)
0.0611
(23.0)
Yusei Kikuchi 0.0686
0.1000
(25.7)
0.1026
(26.2)
0.0916
(19.4)
0.0929
(20.4)
0.0994
(23.3)
Tyler Anderson 0.1017
0.0606
(22.5)
0.0616
(23.1)
0.0595
(23.6)
0.0600
(23.2)
0.0529
(29.2)
George Kirby 0.0251
0.0533
(25.4)
0.0595
(28.7)
0.0549
(26.1)
0.0550
(26.3)
0.0481
(19.3)
Braxton Garrett 0.0440
0.0754
(24.2)
0.0817
(27.2)
0.0770
(24.9)
0.0768
(24.8)
0.0852
(28.8)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 0.0887 0.0667 22.5
2 Joe Ryan 0.0743 0.0506 19.5
3 Bryce Miller 0.0794 0.0484 19.5
4 Zack Littell 0.0775 0.0317 19.4
5 Zac Gallen 0.0731 0.0556 19.3
6 Logan Gilbert 0.0665 0.0468 19.3
7 Yennier Cano 0.1083 0.0459 19.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 0.0933 0.0667 24.8
2 Bryce Miller 0.0860 0.0484 22.0
3 Zac Gallen 0.0774 0.0556 21.4
4 Joe Ryan 0.0789 0.0506 21.4
5 Zack Littell 0.0830 0.0317 20.8
6 Zach Eflin 0.0590 0.0341 19.9
7 Clarke Schmidt 0.0909 0.0663 19.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 0.0897 0.0667 22.9
2 Bryce Miller 0.0860 0.0484 22.7
3 Zack Littell 0.0832 0.0317 21.3
4 Zac Gallen 0.0757 0.0556 21.1
5 Edward Cabrera 0.0998 0.1521 20.6
6 Julio Teheran 0.1095 0.0451 19.9
7 Zach Eflin 0.0572 0.0341 19.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 0.0888 0.0667 22.3
2 Zack Littell 0.0832 0.0317 21.4
3 Edward Cabrera 0.0996 0.1521 20.7
4 Zac Gallen 0.0742 0.0556 19.9
5 Zach Eflin 0.0574 0.0341 19.7
6 Lance Lynn 0.0557 0.0829 18.1
7 Bryce Miller 0.0772 0.0484 18.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kodai Senga 0.0684 0.1110 27.8
2 J.P. France 0.1182 0.0809 23.1
3 Kyle Bradish 0.0961 0.0656 22.1
4 Gregory Santos 0.1270 0.0588 20.4
5 Brandon Williamson 0.1185 0.0794 20.4
6 Yennier Cano 0.1130 0.0459 19.7
7 Edward Cabrera 0.1045 0.1521 19.6

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Lucas Sims 0.0388
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0143
(6.3)
0.0114
(6.7)
0.0114
(6.7)
0.0155
(6.0)
Kyle Freeland 0.0015
0.0000
(6.7)
0.0146
(8.9)
0.0119
(7.9)
0.0118
(8.0)
0.0125
(7.3)
Aaron Nola 0.0013
0.0000
(8.0)
0.0109
(7.7)
0.0104
(8.3)
0.0104
(8.4)
0.0119
(8.3)
Drew VerHagen 0.0336
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0129
(5.5)
0.0114
(5.6)
0.0102
(5.9)
0.0147
(5.1)
JP Sears 0.0218
0.0000
(7.7)
0.0086
(9.6)
0.0087
(8.7)
0.0088
(8.5)
0.0142
(5.7)
MacKenzie Gore 0.0017
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0127
(6.5)
0.0099
(5.5)
0.0100
(5.6)
0.0107
(5.1)
Noah Syndergaard 0.0256
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0095
(6.3)
0.0087
(6.1)
0.0087
(6.0)
0.0068
(7.4)
Peter Strzelecki 0.0491
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0111
(6.2)
0.0101
(6.1)
0.0102
(6.1)
0.0124
(6.0)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yohan Ramírez 0.0000 0.0625 9.0
2 Kevin Kelly 0.0000 0.0362 6.9
3 Alexis Díaz 0.0000 0.0350 6.8
4 Logan Gilbert 0.0000 0.0026 6.7
5 Jason Adam 0.0000 0.0405 6.5
6 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0016 6.0
7 Phil Maton 0.0000 0.0328 5.9
8 Reid Detmers 0.0000 0.0202 5.7
9 Kevin Gausman 0.0000 0.0039 5.7
10 Joey Wentz 0.0000 0.0000 5.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yohan Ramírez 0.0199 0.0625 7.5
2 Kevin Kelly 0.0114 0.0362 6.8
3 Zac Gallen 0.0134 0.0059 6.4
4 Alexis Díaz 0.0126 0.0350 6.4
5 Michael Kopech 0.0087 0.0186 5.8
6 Logan Gilbert 0.0100 0.0026 5.8
7 Max Scherzer 0.0154 0.0064 5.6
8 Zach Eflin 0.0118 0.0043 5.4
9 Ryne Nelson 0.0102 0.0016 5.3
10 Osvaldo Bido 0.0114 0.0339 5.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yohan Ramírez 0.0152 0.0625 8.1
2 Alexis Díaz 0.0115 0.0350 6.3
3 Logan Gilbert 0.0093 0.0026 6.1
4 Kevin Kelly 0.0132 0.0362 6.0
5 Jason Adam 0.0126 0.0405 5.9
6 Logan Allen 0.0114 0.0019 5.8
7 Michael Kopech 0.0081 0.0186 5.5
8 Zac Gallen 0.0111 0.0059 5.4
9 Andrew Abbott 0.0124 0.0022 5.3
10 Reid Detmers 0.0108 0.0202 5.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yohan Ramírez 0.0149 0.0625 8.1
2 Alexis Díaz 0.0114 0.0350 6.3
3 Logan Gilbert 0.0093 0.0026 6.2
4 Kevin Kelly 0.0131 0.0362 6.0
5 Jason Adam 0.0127 0.0405 5.9
6 Zac Gallen 0.0111 0.0059 5.6
7 Michael Kopech 0.0081 0.0186 5.3
8 Ryne Nelson 0.0087 0.0016 5.3
9 Logan Webb 0.0106 0.0059 5.2
10 Reid Detmers 0.0108 0.0202 5.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Kopech 0.0044 0.0186 8.5
2 Tanner Houck 0.0277 0.0130 6.7
3 Brandon Williamson 0.0166 0.0041 6.1
4 Grayson Rodriguez 0.0152 0.0039 5.7
5 Touki Toussaint 0.0329 0.0182 5.6
6 Alec Marsh 0.0103 0.0263 5.5
7 Lucas Giolito 0.0046 0.0113 5.5
8 Jake Diekman 0.0268 0.0041 5.5
9 José Ruiz 0.0040 0.0290 5.2
10 Michael Tonkin 0.0222 0.0062 5.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Johnny Cueto 0.1056
0.0363
(13.6)
0.0377
(14.2)
0.0449
(12.7)
0.0439
(12.8)
0.0393
(14.0)
Lucas Giolito 0.0807
0.0410
(26.0)
0.0530
(20.0)
0.0536
(19.7)
0.0536
(19.1)
0.0486
(24.0)
Taj Bradley 0.0790
0.0389
(15.2)
0.0470
(13.6)
0.0495
(12.5)
0.0495
(12.2)
0.0423
(16.0)
Michael Kopech 0.0817
0.0506
(14.2)
0.0467
(19.2)
0.0577
(12.9)
0.0565
(13.1)
0.0530
(15.8)
JP Sears 0.0673
0.0425
(13.1)
0.0407
(17.7)
0.0410
(17.7)
0.0415
(16.8)
0.0412
(17.8)
Kyle Hendricks 0.0286
0.0457
(13.9)
0.0516
(14.8)
0.0465
(11.6)
0.0476
(12.7)
0.0489
(12.8)
Josiah Gray 0.0472
0.0661
(18.1)
0.0762
(22.0)
0.0635
(13.0)
0.0621
(12.5)
0.0635
(12.7)
Lance Lynn 0.0813
0.0438
(24.6)
0.0477
(25.1)
0.0497
(23.7)
0.0493
(23.5)
0.0477
(25.6)
MacKenzie Gore 0.0724
0.0390
(15.4)
0.0425
(15.9)
0.0450
(14.6)
0.0463
(13.5)
0.0412
(17.1)
Sonny Gray 0.0157
0.0383
(22.3)
0.0417
(21.5)
0.0404
(20.4)
0.0400
(20.6)
0.0405
(20.1)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gerrit Cole 0.0529 0.0368 19.0
2 Johan Oviedo 0.0490 0.0361 15.6
3 Chris Flexen 0.0347 0.0714 13.8
4 Max Scherzer 0.0418 0.0704 13.4
5 Hunter Brown 0.0345 0.0615 13.3
6 Tyler Wells 0.0450 0.0794 12.8
7 Joe Ryan 0.0477 0.0736 12.6
8 Marcus Stroman 0.0373 0.0224 12.6
9 Jordan Montgomery 0.0413 0.0322 12.5
10 Charlie Morton 0.0424 0.0320 12.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gerrit Cole 0.0587 0.0368 20.1
2 Charlie Morton 0.0501 0.0320 14.8
3 Joey Wentz 0.0402 0.0720 14.4
4 Freddy Peralta 0.0397 0.0634 14.4
5 Luke Weaver 0.0432 0.0707 14.0
6 Joe Ryan 0.0503 0.0736 13.9
7 Chris Flexen 0.0392 0.0714 13.8
8 Hunter Brown 0.0385 0.0615 13.6
9 Kyle Bradish 0.0487 0.0310 13.6
10 Trevor Williams 0.0463 0.0694 13.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Brown 0.0368 0.0615 14.9
2 Jordan Lyles 0.0467 0.0676 13.9
3 Gerrit Cole 0.0504 0.0368 13.1
4 Dylan Cease 0.0523 0.0394 11.9
5 Eric Lauer 0.0538 0.1111 11.6
6 Joey Wentz 0.0465 0.0720 11.4
7 Luis Severino 0.0475 0.0769 11.3
8 Max Scherzer 0.0499 0.0704 11.3
9 Joe Ryan 0.0546 0.0736 11.2
10 Gregory Santos 0.0456 0.0100 11.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Brown 0.0341 0.0615 16.2
2 Jordan Lyles 0.0462 0.0676 13.8
3 Gerrit Cole 0.0501 0.0368 13.4
4 Tanner Bibee 0.0524 0.0330 13.1
5 Dylan Cease 0.0517 0.0394 12.0
6 Eric Lauer 0.0537 0.1111 11.5
7 Joey Wentz 0.0457 0.0720 11.5
8 Luis Severino 0.0465 0.0769 11.4
9 Max Scherzer 0.0493 0.0704 11.2
10 Luis Castillo 0.0367 0.0536 11.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Ryan 0.0435 0.0736 18.9
2 Luis Castillo 0.0304 0.0536 17.1
3 Dean Kremer 0.0282 0.0521 16.1
4 Michael King 0.0702 0.0375 14.9
5 Kyle Bradish 0.0497 0.0310 13.8
6 Julio Urías 0.0413 0.0716 13.7
7 Trevor Williams 0.0468 0.0694 13.6
8 Luis Severino 0.0424 0.0769 13.6
9 Hayden Wesneski 0.0399 0.0766 13.2
10 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0416 0.0738 12.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jordan Lyles 0.2546
0.2781
(26.8)
0.3023
(39.2)
0.2984
(32.1)
0.3010
(34.0)
0.3029
(39.5)
David Peterson 0.3699
0.2792
(38.5)
0.2979
(33.1)
0.3030
(33.3)
0.2964
(36.6)
0.2917
(36.2)
Corbin Burnes 0.2439
0.2651
(26.4)
0.2803
(32.3)
0.2948
(39.3)
0.2920
(37.0)
0.2888
(38.8)
Jack Flaherty 0.3563
0.2724
(46.4)
0.2793
(47.0)
0.2861
(46.2)
0.2892
(44.2)
0.2639
(57.0)
Adam Wainwright 0.3569
0.2770
(32.7)
0.2837
(33.2)
0.2946
(30.6)
0.2975
(29.2)
0.2872
(31.5)
Dylan Cease 0.3305
0.2702
(37.5)
0.2791
(36.5)
0.2743
(44.7)
0.2857
(35.8)
0.2806
(35.5)
Kyle Muller 0.3721
0.2666
(34.6)
0.2834
(31.2)
0.2891
(31.2)
0.2911
(30.5)
0.2857
(30.4)
Tyler Wells 0.2000
0.2694
(38.4)
0.2620
(31.4)
0.2664
(30.8)
0.2850
(39.5)
0.2714
(35.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Blackburn 0.2704 0.3498 31.1
2 Tyler Holton 0.2938 0.2117 30.6
3 Brady Singer 0.2763 0.3293 28.4
4 Michael Tonkin 0.3143 0.2406 28.0
5 Hunter Brown 0.2761 0.3300 27.6
6 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2621 0.3136 27.4
7 Charlie Morton 0.2703 0.3208 27.2
8 Nick Sandlin 0.2899 0.1926 26.2
9 Pablo López 0.2679 0.3128 26.0
10 Devin Williams 0.2973 0.1982 25.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miles Mikolas 0.2641 0.3077 33.4
2 Blake Snell 0.2961 0.2558 33.4
3 Wade Miley 0.2895 0.2345 29.3
4 Alex Faedo 0.3108 0.2105 27.5
5 Yu Darvish 0.2661 0.3187 27.5
6 Luis Castillo 0.2963 0.2672 27.1
7 Joey Wentz 0.2698 0.3292 26.9
8 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.3125 0.2743 26.7
9 Dylan Floro 0.2901 0.4012 26.4
10 Zac Gallen 0.2649 0.3007 26.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Medina 0.4103 0.3065 51.0
2 Wade Miley 0.3075 0.2345 35.4
3 Hunter Greene 0.2781 0.3395 31.0
4 Bryce Elder 0.3154 0.2743 29.4
5 Joe Ryan 0.2657 0.3052 27.1
6 Yu Darvish 0.2744 0.3187 25.9
7 Tyler Holton 0.2910 0.2117 25.4
8 Clayton Kershaw 0.2994 0.2500 25.4
9 Spencer Strider 0.2833 0.3155 25.2
10 Domingo Germán 0.2904 0.2333 25.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wade Miley 0.2987 0.2345 31.0
2 Matt Brash 0.2897 0.3804 28.2
3 Tony Gonsolin 0.2969 0.2334 27.2
4 Tyler Holton 0.2935 0.2117 26.2
5 Matt Manning 0.2960 0.2140 25.6
6 Kevin Gausman 0.2884 0.3207 25.4
7 Clayton Kershaw 0.2989 0.2500 25.1
8 Dylan Floro 0.3011 0.4012 25.1
9 Domingo Germán 0.2894 0.2333 24.5
10 Hunter Greene 0.2920 0.3395 24.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Snell 0.2963 0.2558 33.5
2 Wade Miley 0.2903 0.2345 29.6
3 Tyler Holton 0.2968 0.2117 29.0
4 Yu Darvish 0.2665 0.3187 27.3
5 Matt Manning 0.2951 0.2140 27.1
6 Matt Brash 0.2910 0.3804 26.1
7 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.3110 0.2743 25.6
8 Dylan Floro 0.2949 0.4012 25.2
9 Alex Faedo 0.3014 0.2105 25.0
10 Kirby Yates 0.3026 0.2114 24.3

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
David Peterson 0.2979
0.0000
(39.3)
0.2192
(38.0)
0.0000
(53.0)
0.2964
(38.1)
0.2917
(37.4)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Lyles 0.0000 0.1617 42.2
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.2191 0.2258 36.4
3 Tyler Wells 0.0000 0.1414 36.1
4 Andrew Suárez 0.2191 0.1868 32.6
5 Dylan Covey 0.2191 0.2701 31.9
6 Matt Brash 0.0000 0.3129 29.2
7 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.1692 28.7
8 Domingo Germán 0.0000 0.1556 27.8
9 Jack Flaherty 0.0000 0.2604 27.5
10 Luis Castillo 0.0000 0.1842 27.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Lyles 0.2236 0.1617 47.5
2 Pablo López 0.2014 0.2490 36.8
3 Jack Flaherty 0.2117 0.2604 30.6
4 Nick Pivetta 0.2182 0.1692 29.7
5 Lucas Giolito 0.2214 0.1863 29.2
6 Joe Ryan 0.1838 0.2283 28.8
7 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2079 0.2500 28.3
8 Luis Castillo 0.2173 0.1842 27.8
9 Eli Morgan 0.1841 0.2737 26.3
10 Tyler Wells 0.1956 0.1414 26.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Miller 0.2191 0.1907 117.4
2 Colin Rea 0.2191 0.1930 111.8
3 Logan Allen 0.2191 0.2351 93.5
4 Bryan Hoeing 0.2191 0.1517 78.3
5 Adam Wainwright 0.2191 0.2534 75.5
6 Bryan Woo 0.2191 0.2115 73.4
7 Michael Tonkin 0.2191 0.2028 67.1
8 Emmet Sheehan 0.2191 0.1644 60.7
9 Drew VerHagen 0.2191 0.1890 59.0
10 Albert Abreu 0.2191 0.1975 56.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Lyles 0.3010 0.1617 47.3
2 Nick Pivetta 0.2995 0.1692 31.9
3 Tyler Wells 0.2850 0.1414 31.8
4 Jack Flaherty 0.2892 0.2604 30.7
5 Matt Brash 0.2897 0.3129 30.5
6 Johan Oviedo 0.2994 0.1890 26.9
7 Chris Flexen 0.2892 0.2708 26.8
8 Luis Castillo 0.2936 0.1842 26.8
9 Wade Miley 0.2987 0.1695 26.1
10 Domingo Germán 0.2894 0.1556 25.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Lyles 0.3029 0.1617 53.4
2 Jack Flaherty 0.2639 0.2604 43.1
3 Nick Pivetta 0.2976 0.1692 34.4
4 Kutter Crawford 0.3095 0.1856 28.5
5 Tyler Wells 0.2714 0.1414 28.3
6 Matt Brash 0.2910 0.3129 28.2
7 Jon Gray 0.2836 0.2564 27.9
8 Yu Darvish 0.2665 0.2445 27.4
9 Adrian Houser 0.2776 0.2641 27.1
10 Lucas Sims 0.2953 0.1212 26.9

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Kevin Gausman 0.0958
0.0000
(20.4)
0.0691
(18.5)
0.0000
(27.1)
0.0000
(20.4)
0.0000
(20.8)
Tyler Anderson 0.0955
0.0000
(16.6)
0.0641
(18.2)
0.0000
(22.1)
0.0000
(16.6)
0.0000
(17.0)
Hunter Greene 0.1218
0.0000
(26.2)
0.0703
(24.4)
0.0000
(30.6)
0.0000
(26.2)
0.0000
(26.6)
Rich Hill 0.0993
0.0000
(19.9)
0.0714
(16.8)
0.0000
(25.8)
0.0000
(20.0)
0.0000
(20.4)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0389 23.6
2 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0373 20.9
3 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.1050 20.2
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0956 19.6
5 Dylan Covey 0.0694 0.0365 19.5
6 Ken Waldichuk 0.0000 0.0968 17.7
7 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0496 16.0
8 Bryce Miller 0.0000 0.0981 15.6
9 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.0954 15.4
10 Luis Medina 0.0000 0.1000 15.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 0.0538 0.0894 23.3
2 Dane Dunning 0.0815 0.0543 21.4
3 Pablo López 0.0764 0.0535 20.3
4 Jon Gray 0.0627 0.0373 18.2
5 Adam Wainwright 0.0612 0.0981 16.7
6 Jack Flaherty 0.0631 0.0909 16.5
7 Gerrit Cole 0.0671 0.0496 16.4
8 Dean Kremer 0.0728 0.0530 16.3
9 Kyle Freeland 0.0802 0.0587 16.2
10 Blake Snell 0.0755 0.0563 16.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colin Rea 0.0694 0.0526 39.8
2 Jesse Scholtens 0.0694 0.0441 32.3
3 Michael Tonkin 0.0694 0.0330 31.4
4 Bryan Woo 0.0694 0.0529 28.5
5 Logan Allen 0.0694 0.0793 27.0
6 Elvis Peguero 0.0694 0.0244 26.5
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0956 26.2
8 Ian Gibaut 0.0694 0.0478 26.0
9 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.1050 25.2
10 Tom Cosgrove 0.0694 0.0149 23.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0389 23.6
2 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0373 20.9
3 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.1050 20.2
4 José Soriano 0.0694 0.0316 19.8
5 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0956 19.6
6 Ken Waldichuk 0.0000 0.0968 17.7
7 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0496 16.0
8 Bryce Miller 0.0000 0.0981 15.6
9 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.0954 15.4
10 Luis Medina 0.0000 0.1000 15.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colin Rea 0.0694 0.0526 44.1
2 Bryan Woo 0.0694 0.0529 31.5
3 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0389 23.1
4 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.1050 20.6
5 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0373 20.4
6 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0956 20.1
7 José Soriano 0.0694 0.0316 19.7
8 Dylan Covey 0.0694 0.0365 19.4
9 Ken Waldichuk 0.0000 0.0968 18.1
10 Bryce Miller 0.0000 0.0981 15.9

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Drew Smith 0.0280
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(6.7)
0.0000
(5.5)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
Lucas Giolito 0.0150
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0073
(5.5)
0.0000
(7.7)
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0000
(7.2)
Alec Marsh 0.0259
0.0000
(6.8)
0.0060
(6.6)
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0000
(6.8)
0.0000
(6.8)
Ray Kerr 0.0469
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.7)
Hunter Greene 0.0148
0.0000
(4.4)
0.0032
(5.4)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.4)
0.0000
(4.4)
Fernando Cruz 0.0207
0.0000
(4.1)
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0000
(4.1)
0.0000
(4.1)
Dylan Cease 0.0194
0.0000
(10.5)
0.0049
(10.9)
0.0000
(11.1)
0.0000
(10.5)
0.0000
(10.6)
Peter Lambert 0.0356
0.0000
(11.1)
0.0058
(10.9)
0.0000
(11.4)
0.0000
(11.1)
0.0000
(11.1)
George Kirby 0.0130
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0056
(5.1)
0.0000
(5.9)
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.3)
Jovani Morán 0.0283
0.0000
(4.1)
0.0000
(5.1)
0.0000
(4.2)
0.0000
(4.1)
0.0000
(4.1)
Tanner Banks 0.0230
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0000
(5.7)
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0000
(4.3)
Ryne Nelson 0.0221
0.0000
(10.0)
0.0105
(6.8)
0.0000
(10.5)
0.0000
(10.0)
0.0000
(10.0)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sean Manaea 0.0000 0.0163 5.1
2 José Ureña 0.0000 0.0290 4.7
3 Louis Varland 0.0000 0.0225 4.7
4 Blake Snell 0.0000 0.0000 4.5
5 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.0133 4.2
6 Kodai Senga 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
7 Freddy Peralta 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
8 Andrew Chafin 0.0000 0.0238 4.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0095 0.0020 6.4
2 Patrick Corbin 0.0087 0.0017 6.1
3 Freddy Peralta 0.0075 0.0000 5.6
4 Josh Winckowski 0.0141 0.0000 5.4
5 Bailey Ober 0.0112 0.0027 5.3
6 Zack Wheeler 0.0099 0.0039 5.2
7 Blake Snell 0.0060 0.0000 5.0
8 Sandy Alcantara 0.0076 0.0019 4.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan Allen 0.0060 0.0000 6.1
2 Bryce Miller 0.0060 0.0000 6.1
3 Sean Manaea 0.0000 0.0163 5.5
4 Louis Varland 0.0000 0.0225 4.9
5 José Ureña 0.0000 0.0290 4.8
6 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.0133 4.6
7 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.0117 4.4
8 Jesse Scholtens 0.0060 0.0000 4.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sean Manaea 0.0000 0.0163 5.1
2 José Ureña 0.0000 0.0290 4.7
3 Louis Varland 0.0000 0.0225 4.7
4 Blake Snell 0.0000 0.0000 4.5
5 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.0133 4.2
6 Kodai Senga 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
7 Freddy Peralta 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
8 Andrew Chafin 0.0000 0.0238 4.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sean Manaea 0.0000 0.0163 5.2
2 José Ureña 0.0000 0.0290 4.7
3 Louis Varland 0.0000 0.0225 4.7
4 Blake Snell 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
5 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.0133 4.2
6 Kodai Senga 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
7 Freddy Peralta 0.0000 0.0000 4.0
8 Andrew Chafin 0.0000 0.0238 4.0

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Sonny Gray 0.0782
0.1035
(34.9)
0.1075
(26.9)
0.1087
(28.2)
0.1128
(31.3)
0.1081
(27.4)
Tanner Bibee 0.0838
0.0000
(36.7)
0.1216
(25.9)
0.1452
(40.0)
0.1232
(27.2)
0.1242
(27.5)
Blake Snell 0.0633
0.0936
(38.0)
0.1063
(36.6)
0.0997
(32.1)
0.0987
(31.4)
0.1040
(35.0)
Kyle Bradish 0.0805
0.1163
(38.1)
0.1260
(34.9)
0.1146
(27.5)
0.1158
(28.4)
0.1294
(37.2)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colin Rea 0.0000 0.1257 54.2
2 Jesse Scholtens 0.0000 0.1432 46.1
3 Ben Lively 0.0000 0.1384 45.0
4 Alec Marsh 0.0000 0.1462 42.8
5 Josiah Gray 0.1398 0.1032 40.2
6 Bryan Hoeing 0.0000 0.1480 38.6
7 Quinn Priester 0.0000 0.1838 38.1
8 Andrew Abbott 0.0000 0.1024 37.4
9 Bryan Woo 0.0000 0.1186 36.2
10 Zack Littell 0.0000 0.1135 35.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.0997 0.1839 37.6
2 Lance Lynn 0.1093 0.1572 33.4
3 Jordan Lyles 0.1275 0.1738 29.8
4 Chris Flexen 0.1053 0.1738 28.9
5 Kodai Senga 0.1216 0.0865 28.9
6 Joey Wentz 0.1128 0.1768 28.3
7 Luis Severino 0.1025 0.1751 27.6
8 Gerrit Cole 0.1028 0.0780 25.7
9 Carlos Rodón 0.0902 0.1783 23.4
10 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.1245 0.0950 22.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lance Lynn 0.1085 0.1572 33.8
2 Jordan Lyles 0.1285 0.1738 28.7
3 Luis Severino 0.1017 0.1751 27.7
4 Adam Wainwright 0.1216 0.1839 26.8
5 Joey Wentz 0.1171 0.1768 26.0
6 Carlos Rodón 0.0875 0.1783 24.0
7 Gavin Williams 0.1548 0.0928 23.8
8 Chris Flexen 0.1178 0.1738 22.9
9 Brady Singer 0.1070 0.1453 22.0
10 Shintaro Fujinami 0.1143 0.1821 21.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lance Lynn 0.1121 0.1572 30.7
2 Adam Wainwright 0.1211 0.1839 27.0
3 Luis Severino 0.1039 0.1751 26.7
4 Josiah Gray 0.1313 0.1032 24.5
5 Jordan Lyles 0.1352 0.1738 23.6
6 Hunter Brown 0.0998 0.1414 22.9
7 Chris Flexen 0.1188 0.1738 22.4
8 Carlos Rodón 0.0931 0.1783 22.4
9 Joey Wentz 0.1248 0.1768 22.1
10 Michael Wacha 0.1213 0.0886 22.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.1118 0.1839 31.7
2 Lance Lynn 0.1127 0.1572 30.6
3 Luis Severino 0.1030 0.1751 27.3
4 Shintaro Fujinami 0.1002 0.1821 26.9
5 Dane Dunning 0.1304 0.1011 25.8
6 Jordan Lyles 0.1336 0.1738 25.1
7 Carlos Rodón 0.0901 0.1783 23.4
8 Josiah Gray 0.1296 0.1032 23.0
9 Chris Flexen 0.1182 0.1738 22.9
10 Javier Assad 0.1287 0.0846 22.7

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jordan Lyles 0.1658
0.1253
(24.6)
0.1204
(28.9)
0.1206
(29.1)
0.1267
(24.6)
0.1242
(26.6)
Brady Singer 0.1396
0.1033
(20.1)
0.1030
(20.9)
0.0982
(24.7)
0.1009
(22.8)
0.1033
(21.3)
Chris Flexen 0.1674
0.1021
(26.9)
0.1002
(28.2)
0.1101
(23.8)
0.1107
(23.5)
0.1093
(24.3)
Blake Snell 0.0606
0.0857
(24.2)
0.0993
(33.7)
0.0922
(28.0)
0.0910
(27.1)
0.0963
(30.9)
Adam Wainwright 0.1715
0.1055
(28.3)
0.0954
(33.5)
0.1124
(25.6)
0.1119
(25.9)
0.1027
(30.4)
Luis Severino 0.1583
0.0846
(27.5)
0.0957
(23.3)
0.0936
(24.4)
0.0958
(23.5)
0.0960
(23.5)
Carlos Rodón 0.1713
0.0800
(23.9)
0.0856
(22.6)
0.0807
(24.1)
0.0862
(22.6)
0.0839
(23.3)
Kyle Bradish 0.0790
0.1052
(22.7)
0.1182
(30.9)
0.1059
(22.2)
0.1070
(22.9)
0.1196
(31.3)
Lance Lynn 0.1448
0.1019
(28.5)
0.0950
(34.8)
0.1004
(30.8)
0.1041
(27.9)
0.1036
(28.4)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josiah Gray 0.1294 0.0989 26.6
2 Hogan Harris 0.0815 0.1761 24.7
3 Carlos Carrasco 0.0996 0.1631 23.3
4 Kyle Muller 0.1046 0.1747 23.3
5 Noah Syndergaard 0.0983 0.1637 22.6
6 Dinelson Lamet 0.0996 0.2483 20.5
7 Aaron Bummer 0.0809 0.1648 20.4
8 Connor Seabold 0.1216 0.1789 20.3
9 Javier Assad 0.1190 0.0824 19.8
10 Joey Wentz 0.1168 0.1646 19.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 0.1006 0.1646 28.2
2 Kodai Senga 0.1124 0.0793 27.7
3 Gerrit Cole 0.0972 0.0743 24.4
4 Tanner Bibee 0.1124 0.0803 22.7
5 Yennier Cano 0.1325 0.0601 22.4
6 Sonny Gray 0.0984 0.0756 22.3
7 Hunter Brown 0.0928 0.1323 21.8
8 Alek Manoah 0.0790 0.1373 21.4
9 Josiah Gray 0.1226 0.0989 21.3
10 Josh Winckowski 0.1232 0.0736 20.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Bibee 0.1355 0.0803 35.9
2 Kyle Muller 0.1023 0.1747 24.6
3 Joey Wentz 0.1094 0.1646 24.1
4 Sonny Gray 0.1001 0.0756 23.1
5 Shintaro Fujinami 0.1066 0.1765 22.7
6 Justin Steele 0.1079 0.0824 22.7
7 Carlos Carrasco 0.1049 0.1631 21.7
8 Gavin Williams 0.1435 0.0870 21.7
9 Hogan Harris 0.1005 0.1761 19.7
10 Dinelson Lamet 0.1070 0.2483 19.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sonny Gray 0.1039 0.0756 26.0
2 Kyle Muller 0.1023 0.1747 24.6
3 Tanner Bibee 0.1151 0.0803 23.9
4 Hunter Brown 0.0905 0.1323 23.7
5 Carlos Carrasco 0.1038 0.1631 22.1
6 Josiah Gray 0.1240 0.0989 21.9
7 Aaron Bummer 0.0801 0.1648 21.0
8 Joey Wentz 0.1165 0.1646 20.6
9 Shintaro Fujinami 0.1127 0.1765 20.6
10 Hogan Harris 0.0990 0.1761 20.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shintaro Fujinami 0.0929 0.1765 27.7
2 Kyle Muller 0.1025 0.1747 24.7
3 Tanner Bibee 0.1141 0.0803 23.2
4 Sonny Gray 0.1004 0.0756 23.2
5 Noah Syndergaard 0.0986 0.1637 23.1
6 Josh Winckowski 0.1240 0.0736 20.7
7 Merrill Kelly 0.1121 0.0900 20.3
8 Dane Dunning 0.1201 0.0983 20.0
9 Aaron Bummer 0.0841 0.1648 19.9
10 Josiah Gray 0.1204 0.0989 19.2

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Zach Eflin 0.5161
0.2857
(153.3)
0.1563
(223.2)
0.3166
(143.3)
0.3445
(111.1)
0.3333
(136.5)
Spencer Strider 0.6250
0.3929
(167.7)
0.2250
(272.8)
0.3859
(185.7)
0.4238
(143.1)
0.3333
(231.2)
Justin Steele 0.5333
0.2692
(180.3)
0.1500
(244.1)
0.3011
(169.3)
0.3396
(128.9)
0.2609
(203.2)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Bibee 0.0007 0.4000 226.4
2 Andrew Abbott 0.0010 0.3810 168.7
3 J.P. France 0.2000 0.4583 142.9
4 Dylan Cease 0.3750 0.2121 137.4
5 Taijuan Walker 0.2857 0.4839 136.2
6 Kyle Gibson 0.2857 0.4545 126.3
7 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2857 0.5000 125.4
8 Michael Wacha 0.3462 0.5833 124.3
9 Zac Gallen 0.3438 0.5000 121.7
10 Dean Kremer 0.2308 0.4063 119.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zac Gallen 0.2143 0.5000 205.8
2 Mitch Keller 0.1395 0.4063 185.0
3 Michael Wacha 0.2105 0.5833 182.7
4 Brayan Bello 0.1176 0.4286 179.4
5 Bryce Elder 0.1212 0.3871 163.6
6 Kyle Bradish 0.1282 0.4000 153.9
7 Kyle Gibson 0.2250 0.4545 151.0
8 Taijuan Walker 0.2439 0.4839 144.8
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2286 0.5000 142.2
10 Blake Snell 0.2051 0.4375 140.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. France 0.0620 0.4583 232.7
2 Dane Dunning 0.0876 0.3429 187.4
3 Bobby Miller 0.1373 0.5000 185.3
4 Bryce Elder 0.1465 0.3871 179.3
5 Sandy Alcantara 0.4448 0.2500 145.2
6 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2740 0.5000 143.0
7 Reid Detmers 0.3562 0.1429 134.6
8 Miles Mikolas 0.4156 0.2571 132.6
9 Adrian Houser 0.0793 0.3478 131.2
10 Tylor Megill 0.1336 0.3600 130.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. France 0.0525 0.4583 227.9
2 Bryce Elder 0.0707 0.3871 221.7
3 Bobby Miller 0.1393 0.5000 175.3
4 Dane Dunning 0.0869 0.3429 175.0
5 Michael Wacha 0.3090 0.5833 144.2
6 Zack Greinke 0.2950 0.0667 143.5
7 Hunter Brown 0.1301 0.3548 140.4
8 Reid Detmers 0.3430 0.1429 137.7
9 Bryce Miller 0.0512 0.3200 137.0
10 Dylan Cease 0.3715 0.2121 135.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Wacha 0.2174 0.5833 208.6
2 J.P. France 0.1429 0.4583 189.9
3 Kyle Gibson 0.2308 0.4545 189.7
4 Zac Gallen 0.3103 0.5000 170.0
5 Mitch Keller 0.2143 0.4063 167.7
6 Seth Lugo 0.0588 0.3077 157.1
7 Dylan Cease 0.4194 0.2121 153.6
8 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2800 0.5000 143.6
9 Kyle Bradish 0.2000 0.4000 141.8
10 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2500 0.4800 139.2

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Tanner Houck 0.4762
0.2083
(118.6)
0.1515
(126.3)
0.1152
(159.1)
0.0943
(171.9)
0.1613
(143.8)
JP Sears 0.4375
0.2609
(121.2)
0.1250
(191.5)
0.1883
(170.3)
0.1798
(181.6)
0.2308
(148.8)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Elder 0.4000 0.1290 206.9
2 Shintaro Fujinami 0.6111 0.1250 177.7
3 Alec Marsh 0.0006 0.5294 176.9
4 Martín Pérez 0.3448 0.1143 147.3
5 Ben Lively 0.0006 0.3684 136.4
6 Xzavion Curry 0.4000 0.0976 126.9
7 Jesse Scholtens 0.0004 0.3462 126.0
8 Andrew Abbott 0.0010 0.2857 125.3
9 Gerrit Cole 0.2581 0.1212 121.9
10 Dean Kremer 0.3077 0.1563 119.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Brown 0.0909 0.4194 183.9
2 Johan Oviedo 0.1563 0.4375 179.1
3 Jordan Lyles 0.2683 0.5484 170.6
4 Joey Wentz 0.1212 0.5200 170.6
5 Lucas Giolito 0.2000 0.4545 160.8
6 Zack Greinke 0.1892 0.5000 153.5
7 Charlie Morton 0.1463 0.4000 144.4
8 Rich Hill 0.1842 0.4375 132.9
9 Logan Webb 0.1860 0.3939 132.5
10 Josiah Gray 0.1951 0.4333 130.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Johan Oviedo 0.1678 0.4375 197.0
2 Joey Wentz 0.1781 0.5200 159.6
3 Adam Wainwright 0.2034 0.5238 146.6
4 Dean Kremer 0.3282 0.1563 139.2
5 Jordan Lyles 0.3527 0.5484 133.3
6 Martín Pérez 0.3116 0.1143 130.6
7 Patrick Sandoval 0.2517 0.4643 127.2
8 Lucas Giolito 0.2825 0.4545 122.8
9 Hunter Brown 0.2268 0.4194 116.4
10 Tylor Megill 0.1011 0.3200 114.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Brown 0.0981 0.4194 206.5
2 Johan Oviedo 0.1701 0.4375 200.5
3 Luis Medina 0.0524 0.4348 184.0
4 Dean Kremer 0.3763 0.1563 169.6
5 Martín Pérez 0.3730 0.1143 163.8
6 Gerrit Cole 0.2808 0.1212 139.8
7 Taijuan Walker 0.3672 0.1935 135.1
8 Justin Steele 0.3379 0.1667 130.3
9 Tanner Bibee 0.3586 0.1600 122.4
10 Tylor Megill 0.0970 0.3200 120.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Johan Oviedo 0.2222 0.4375 164.8
2 Patrick Sandoval 0.2400 0.4643 143.5
3 Hunter Brown 0.2143 0.4194 133.5
4 Charlie Morton 0.2143 0.4000 129.9
5 Jordan Montgomery 0.1724 0.3438 129.8
6 Logan Webb 0.2414 0.3939 126.1
7 Seth Lugo 0.0588 0.2692 124.5
8 Martín Pérez 0.3103 0.1143 121.8
9 Josh Winckowski 0.3750 0.0667 114.7
10 Luis Severino 0.1429 0.4211 114.2

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Carlos Estévez 0.4921
0.2000
(81.1)
0.0851
(118.6)
0.1080
(105.1)
0.2573
(63.4)
0.2615
(63.5)
Daniel Bard 0.0200
0.4394
(98.1)
0.3333
(69.1)
0.3527
(79.5)
0.4078
(92.1)
0.5278
(118.9)
Evan Phillips 0.3871
0.1846
(46.6)
0.0488
(82.7)
0.1080
(63.0)
0.1309
(57.8)
0.1571
(52.7)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge López 0.5641 0.0492 137.9
2 Will Smith 0.0000 0.3667 82.1
3 Adbert Alzolay 0.0952 0.3793 71.0
4 Michael Fulmer 0.3137 0.0345 67.0
5 Michael King 0.2692 0.1224 64.7
6 Clay Holmes 0.6038 0.3636 63.8
7 Dylan Floro 0.3667 0.1129 63.8
8 José Leclerc 0.3281 0.0702 60.9
9 Reynaldo López 0.2703 0.0882 51.5
10 Kendall Graveman 0.2963 0.1176 51.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 David Bednar 0.1750 0.5909 119.4
2 Alexis Díaz 0.1316 0.5211 115.8
3 Devin Williams 0.1250 0.5902 111.0
4 Alex Lange 0.0213 0.3881 110.0
5 Félix Bautista 0.1463 0.5893 108.6
6 Camilo Doval 0.2340 0.5652 97.4
7 Jhoan Duran 0.1026 0.4576 94.4
8 Kyle Finnegan 0.1200 0.4179 90.2
9 Adbert Alzolay 0.0417 0.3793 89.3
10 Paul Sewald 0.1875 0.5231 87.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adbert Alzolay 0.0529 0.3793 80.1
2 Trevor May 0.0303 0.4286 79.6
3 Will Smith 0.0309 0.3667 73.6
4 Kyle Finnegan 0.1543 0.4179 73.0
5 Paul Sewald 0.2504 0.5231 65.4
6 Jhoan Duran 0.2003 0.4576 63.1
7 Alexis Díaz 0.3086 0.5211 57.9
8 Pierce Johnson 0.0000 0.1940 51.0
9 Jordan Hicks 0.0000 0.1846 49.8
10 Justin Lawrence 0.0000 0.1594 48.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adbert Alzolay 0.0655 0.3793 77.1
2 Jhoan Duran 0.1568 0.4576 74.4
3 Will Smith 0.0324 0.3667 73.5
4 Tanner Banks 0.3092 0.0313 73.2
5 Jorge López 0.2816 0.0492 64.2
6 José Leclerc 0.3198 0.0702 60.3
7 Yonny Chirinos 0.1408 0.0000 55.0
8 Paul Sewald 0.2960 0.5231 54.3
9 Michael Fulmer 0.2465 0.0345 52.4
10 Pierce Johnson 0.0153 0.1940 47.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge López 0.4479 0.0492 107.3
2 Yonny Chirinos 0.2406 0.0000 90.0
3 José Leclerc 0.4042 0.0702 78.9
4 Tanner Banks 0.3274 0.0313 76.7
5 Will Smith 0.0341 0.3667 74.1
6 Jhoan Duran 0.1904 0.4576 67.0
7 David Robertson 0.5278 0.2903 65.1
8 Scott Barlow 0.3790 0.2063 53.0
9 Pierce Johnson 0.0221 0.1940 46.3
10 Michael Fulmer 0.2241 0.0345 46.0

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player Actual Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Josh Winckowski 0.3167
0.0833
(97.1)
0.0617
(91.0)
0.0161
(103.9)
0.0268
(104.4)
Joel Payamps 0.3913
0.0833
(97.3)
0.0515
(95.5)
0.0153
(102.9)
0.0153
(106.4)
Tyler Rogers 0.4412
0.2453
(70.1)
0.2469
(57.8)
0.1919
(71.7)
0.2132
(68.8)
Mark Leiter Jr. 0.4058
0.1290
(82.8)
0.1515
(66.5)
0.0301
(96.4)
0.0186
(102.8)
Yennier Cano 0.4306
0.1111
(99.2)
0.0505
(105.6)
0.0432
(104.7)
0.0159
(115.9)
Elvis Peguero 0.3559
0.1053
(71.0)
0.0644
(71.7)
0.0583
(70.6)
0.0142
(84.8)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Seth Lugo 0.2045 0.0000 104.8
2 Colin Holderman 0.0870 0.4655 98.3
3 Jason Foley 0.1250 0.4000 84.5
4 Michael Lorenzen 0.1622 0.0000 81.8
5 Michael Kopech 0.1628 0.0000 77.8
6 Erik Swanson 0.1667 0.4203 74.6
7 Gregory Soto 0.0816 0.3478 74.3
8 Clarke Schmidt 0.1379 0.0000 74.1
9 Steven Wilson 0.1176 0.4231 73.7
10 Ian Gibaut 0.1111 0.3108 73.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.2381 106.5
2 Colin Holderman 0.0579 0.4655 96.1
3 Jason Foley 0.0463 0.4000 95.7
4 Steven Wilson 0.0463 0.4231 81.0
5 Ian Gibaut 0.0644 0.3108 76.1
6 Danny Coulombe 0.0505 0.3607 63.7
7 Jhoan Duran 0.2504 0.0169 61.3
8 Zack Littell 0.1515 0.0000 60.1
9 José Soriano 0.0644 0.3947 59.8
10 Carlos Hernández 0.0494 0.2537 59.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.0149 0.2381 94.9
2 Justin Topa 0.0129 0.3067 77.1
3 Danny Coulombe 0.0302 0.3607 65.7
4 Tyler Holton 0.0181 0.2373 65.4
5 Colin Holderman 0.1843 0.4655 63.3
6 Josh Sborz 0.0145 0.3182 61.5
7 Héctor Neris 0.2004 0.4366 59.7
8 Jake Bird 0.0144 0.1857 58.6
9 José Soriano 0.0644 0.3947 57.9
10 Jason Foley 0.1799 0.4000 55.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adbert Alzolay 0.6296 0.1207 130.1
2 Jakob Junis 0.3724 0.0500 120.2
3 Jaime Barria 0.3333 0.0588 101.2
4 Nick Martinez 0.0148 0.2381 100.5
5 Michael King 0.3535 0.1633 84.2
6 Bryse Wilson 0.3433 0.0943 79.8
7 Justin Topa 0.0239 0.3067 77.4
8 Ty Blach 0.2104 0.0000 75.9
9 Chris Flexen 0.1491 0.0000 71.9
10 Danny Coulombe 0.0194 0.3607 70.6

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Chris Flexen 6.8599
3.9519
(1190.9)
3.8037
(1255.0)
4.2978
(1041.5)
4.2627
(1067.0)
4.2273
(1085.5)
Blake Snell 2.2500
3.1796
(951.4)
3.7721
(1398.8)
3.4506
(1133.6)
3.3951
(1077.9)
3.6087
(1233.2)
Adam Wainwright 7.3960
4.0415
(1453.0)
3.5554
(1683.1)
4.3995
(1292.0)
4.3550
(1323.0)
3.9560
(1518.1)
Luis Severino 6.6493
3.0986
(1333.6)
3.5228
(1152.3)
3.5022
(1175.9)
3.5987
(1143.8)
3.5379
(1170.9)
Carlos Rodón 6.8549
2.9168
(1025.5)
3.1343
(960.2)
2.9586
(1020.8)
3.1656
(967.2)
3.0318
(1006.6)
Dinelson Lamet 11.7108
3.9000
(1081.5)
4.2857
(1024.0)
4.0185
(1067.9)
4.3708
(1019.7)
4.6359
(981.9)
Carlos Carrasco 6.8000
3.7676
(1117.5)
4.1618
(948.7)
4.0116
(1026.3)
3.9497
(1060.3)
4.3454
(897.1)
Kyle Bradish 2.8281
4.0490
(1055.8)
4.5636
(1408.2)
4.0670
(1050.9)
4.1149
(1069.8)
4.6923
(1454.5)
Lance Lynn 5.7332
3.8199
(1261.1)
3.5677
(1456.3)
3.7693
(1322.5)
3.9175
(1218.6)
3.8952
(1240.0)
Kyle Muller 7.5974
4.0105
(1203.2)
4.4672
(1029.4)
3.9468
(1236.3)
3.9293
(1250.1)
3.9289
(1251.9)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hogan Harris 3.1263 7.1429 1040.6
2 Josiah Gray 5.0086 3.9057 1015.9
3 Connor Seabold 4.7302 7.5229 995.6
4 Joey Wentz 4.5370 6.8991 988.7
5 Noah Syndergaard 3.6985 6.4962 956.1
6 Javier Assad 4.6929 3.0457 897.9
7 Aaron Bummer 3.1585 6.7886 875.1
8 Brady Singer 3.9284 5.5240 872.7
9 Justin Steele 3.9067 3.0635 856.2
10 Gavin Stone 3.1635 9.0000 833.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 3.8224 6.8991 1335.0
2 Kodai Senga 4.3995 2.9760 1240.0
3 Alek Manoah 2.9032 5.8740 1082.2
4 Tanner Bibee 4.3995 2.9789 1043.5
5 Gerrit Cole 3.5224 2.6268 1033.4
6 Yennier Cano 5.2941 2.1055 1005.2
7 Sonny Gray 3.6986 2.7880 960.4
8 Tyler Anderson 3.5578 5.4255 946.4
9 Jordan Lyles 4.6618 6.2814 939.8
10 Jesús Luzardo 4.3997 3.5765 879.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Bibee 4.8774 2.9789 1302.1
2 Joey Wentz 4.2846 6.8991 1125.3
3 Sonny Gray 3.8517 2.7880 1048.7
4 Brady Singer 3.7208 5.5240 1036.2
5 Justin Steele 4.1197 3.0635 990.5
6 Shintaro Fujinami 4.2294 7.1772 935.6
7 Jordan Lyles 4.7329 6.2814 913.6
8 Wade Miley 4.6206 3.1413 885.2
9 Hogan Harris 3.8864 7.1429 831.9
10 Merrill Kelly 4.0914 3.2927 812.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sonny Gray 4.0123 2.7880 1155.0
2 Tanner Bibee 4.3987 2.9789 1010.5
3 Joey Wentz 4.5955 6.8991 982.0
4 Brady Singer 3.8449 5.5240 962.8
5 Merrill Kelly 4.2774 3.2927 933.1
6 Aaron Bummer 3.0111 6.7886 926.5
7 Hunter Brown 3.4342 5.0878 895.1
8 Josiah Gray 4.8737 3.9057 890.4
9 Shintaro Fujinami 4.4475 7.1772 864.7
10 Hogan Harris 3.8277 7.1429 854.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shintaro Fujinami 3.7053 7.1772 1131.2
2 Sonny Gray 3.7956 2.7880 988.4
3 Noah Syndergaard 3.7100 6.4962 970.8
4 Dane Dunning 4.7262 3.7008 959.4
5 Tanner Bibee 4.3077 2.9789 954.8
6 Merrill Kelly 4.2670 3.2927 922.5
7 Javier Assad 4.7328 3.0457 893.7
8 Alek Manoah 3.4309 5.8740 888.0
9 Brady Singer 3.9567 5.5240 887.3
10 Aaron Bummer 3.1765 6.7886 883.4

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Alek Manoah 1.7405
1.1649
(219.2)
1.0772
(250.4)
1.1905
(214.8)
1.2255
(204.3)
1.0663
(261.7)
Jack Flaherty 1.5797
1.2259
(199.2)
1.2802
(155.8)
1.2930
(165.4)
1.2945
(170.7)
1.1572
(246.4)
Adam Wainwright 1.9010
1.2579
(288.4)
1.2028
(308.9)
1.3286
(261.4)
1.3562
(252.7)
1.3122
(263.9)
Luis Severino 1.6455
1.0682
(221.0)
1.1184
(194.9)
1.1639
(187.4)
1.1838
(183.1)
1.1122
(204.3)
Kyle Bradish 1.0435
1.2777
(188.9)
1.3466
(243.6)
1.3108
(201.0)
1.3152
(197.5)
1.4017
(269.5)
Ken Waldichuk 1.5603
1.2337
(178.5)
1.2626
(152.0)
1.2811
(157.8)
1.2625
(175.9)
1.2713
(156.9)
Kyle Muller 1.9610
1.2603
(243.1)
1.3139
(218.5)
1.3156
(228.1)
1.3133
(232.5)
1.2854
(235.2)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Carrasco 1.2011 1.7000 188.3
2 Tyler Holton 1.3483 0.8672 171.2
3 Andrew Heaney 1.0640 1.3778 170.9
4 Tylor Megill 1.2317 1.5752 168.0
5 Trevor Williams 1.3008 1.6005 166.3
6 Joey Wentz 1.3151 1.6845 158.5
7 Logan Webb 1.2077 1.0741 153.7
8 Kutter Crawford 1.3493 1.1057 153.3
9 Chris Flexen 1.2999 1.6710 150.9
10 Rich Hill 1.2531 1.5239 147.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 1.4410 1.2453 210.8
2 George Kirby 1.2422 1.0385 199.5
3 Joey Wentz 1.2355 1.6845 191.5
4 Michael Kopech 1.2105 1.5928 190.6
5 Zach Eflin 1.2253 1.0244 183.3
6 Tyler Anderson 1.1550 1.4894 172.6
7 Kutter Crawford 1.3716 1.1057 171.7
8 Nick Pivetta 1.3370 1.1215 161.6
9 Braxton Garrett 1.3296 1.1461 160.4
10 Justin Steele 1.3277 1.1712 155.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tylor Megill 1.1566 1.5752 219.1
2 Logan Webb 1.2765 1.0741 199.5
3 Zach Eflin 1.2450 1.0244 177.7
4 Wade Miley 1.4495 1.1385 168.2
5 Brandon Williamson 1.5886 1.2821 166.3
6 Tyler Holton 1.3429 0.8672 164.6
7 Carlos Carrasco 1.2733 1.7000 164.5
8 Lance Lynn 1.1663 1.3938 157.8
9 Justin Steele 1.3570 1.1712 156.2
10 Mitch Keller 1.4018 1.2453 155.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tylor Megill 1.1577 1.5752 223.9
2 Logan Webb 1.2898 1.0741 202.6
3 Carlos Carrasco 1.2595 1.7000 174.3
4 Zach Eflin 1.2433 1.0244 169.8
5 Nick Pivetta 1.3780 1.1215 163.8
6 Chris Flexen 1.3022 1.6710 161.3
7 Tyler Holton 1.3368 0.8672 159.5
8 Jordan Lyles 1.4266 1.2439 153.6
9 Wade Miley 1.4214 1.1385 149.7
10 Tyler Wells 1.2801 0.9860 148.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tylor Megill 1.2118 1.5752 181.4
2 Kutter Crawford 1.3935 1.1057 174.6
3 Nick Pivetta 1.3748 1.1215 174.2
4 Braxton Garrett 1.3514 1.1461 163.9
5 Mitch Keller 1.4000 1.2453 163.5
6 Trevor Williams 1.3111 1.6005 162.0
7 Cristopher Sánchez 1.4096 1.0470 160.8
8 Michael Kopech 1.2835 1.5928 157.1
9 Jordan Lyles 1.4070 1.2439 154.5
10 Yennier Cano 1.4898 1.0046 149.6