2023 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Biggest Plate Appearances (PA) Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Volpe	1	601	600.0
2	Masataka Yoshida	1	580	579.0
3	Ryan Noda	1	495	494.0
4	Jordan Walker	1	465	464.0
5	Brice Turang	1	448	447.0
6	Ben Gamel	449	15	434.0
7	Luke Voit	504	74	430.0
8	Brenton Doyle	1	431	430.0
9	Elly De La Cruz	1	427	426.0
10	Franmil Reyes	486	65	421.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Oneil Cruz	582	40	541.8
2	Maikel Garcia	19	515	495.7
3	Austin Meadows	491	21	469.9
4	Jake Burger	99	540	441.1
5	Wil Myers	563	141	422.0
6	Avisaíl García	539	118	421.5
7	Jesús Aguilar	526	115	410.9
8	Brenton Doyle	26	431	404.7
9	Darick Hall	460	56	403.8
10	Matt McLain	1	403	402.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Siani	550	6	544.0
2	Livan Soto	554	12	542.0
3	Jacob Amaya	545	9	536.0
4	José Tena	563	34	529.0
5	Jonathan Ornelas	534	8	526.0
6	Eguy Rosario	552	37	515.0
7	Josh Lester	535	23	512.0
8	José Rodríguez	512	0	512.0
9	Mason McCoy	510	1	509.0
10	Colton Cowser	581	77	504.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Oneil Cruz	586	40	546.0
2	Austin Meadows	514	21	493.0
3	Brent Rooker	45	526	481.0
4	Maikel Garcia	44	515	471.0
5	Matt McLain	1	403	402.0
6	Luis Urías	578	177	401.0
7	Jake Burger	141	540	399.0
8	Avisaíl García	509	118	391.0
9	Brenton Doyle	46	431	385.0
10	Jose Miranda	534	152	382.0

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Oneil Cruz	577	40	537.0
2	Maikel Garcia	33	515	482.0
3	Austin Meadows	488	21	467.0
4	Michael Brantley	469	57	412.0
5	Jake Burger	132	540	408.0
6	Jose Miranda	555	152	403.0
7	Matt McLain	1	403	402.0
8	Brenton Doyle	33	431	398.0
9	Garrett Mitchell	458	73	385.0
10	Darick Hall	435	56	379.0

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3608	0.4287	47.9
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2849	0.3720	46.9
3	Matt Olson	0.3521	0.4159	43.9
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.3664	0.4391	41.9
5	Tim Anderson	0.3355	0.2596	41.2
6	Corey Seager	0.3496	0.4232	38.0
7	José Abreu	0.3570	0.2958	37.9
8	Nolan Jones	0.3062	0.3971	37.4
9	Mookie Betts	0.3618	0.4177	36.8
10	Marcell Ozuna	0.3172	0.3815	36.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3662	0.4287	46.2
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.3675	0.4391	43.1
3	Matt Olson	0.3590	0.4159	41.2
4	Mookie Betts	0.3604	0.4177	40.0
5	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3902	0.3312	37.2
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.3217	0.3815	35.6
7	Matt McLain	0.2829	0.3702	35.3
8	Cody Bellinger	0.3101	0.3720	34.6
9	Brandon Marsh	0.2861	0.3589	34.5
10	Corey Seager	0.3594	0.4232	34.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tim Anderson	0.3263	0.2596	38.5
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3844	0.3312	38.2
3	Daulton Varsho	0.3480	0.2916	36.8
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.3736	0.4391	35.1
5	Corey Seager	0.3510	0.4232	35.0
6	José Abreu	0.3469	0.2958	34.4
7	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3758	0.4287	33.8
8	Brandon Marsh	0.2831	0.3589	32.5
9	Mookie Betts	0.3655	0.4177	31.4
10	George Springer	0.3576	0.3193	30.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3652	0.4287	48.7
2	Matt Olson	0.3552	0.4159	45.7
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.3662	0.4391	45.3
4	Cody Bellinger	0.3033	0.3720	39.7
5	Mookie Betts	0.3636	0.4177	39.4
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.3201	0.3815	38.0
7	Corey Seager	0.3555	0.4232	37.8
8	Adolis García	0.3009	0.3542	35.4
9	Brandon Marsh	0.2889	0.3589	34.4
10	Yandy Díaz	0.3483	0.4017	33.7

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3552	0.4287	48.4
2	Marcell Ozuna	0.3006	0.3815	43.4
3	Yandy Díaz	0.3233	0.4017	42.5
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.3608	0.4391	42.4
5	Spencer Steer	0.2855	0.3548	41.1
6	Nolan Jones	0.2976	0.3971	39.0
7	Mookie Betts	0.3553	0.4177	38.0
8	Tim Anderson	0.3242	0.2596	37.8
9	Cody Bellinger	0.2988	0.3720	36.5
10	Matt Olson	0.3582	0.4159	36.1

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2402	0.1143	93.7
2	Ryan Noda	0.2273	0.3434	56.8
3	Cody Bellinger	0.2515	0.1565	53.6
4	Brenton Doyle	0.2273	0.3503	52.4
5	Masataka Yoshida	0.2273	0.1397	51.7
6	Gleyber Torres	0.2151	0.1458	47.5
7	Elly De La Cruz	0.2273	0.3372	46.3
8	Dominic Smith	0.2294	0.1553	44.3
9	James Outman	0.2406	0.3192	43.8
10	Luis García Jr.	0.2126	0.1245	43.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2272	0.1143	89.3
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2481	0.1565	55.7
3	Corbin Carroll	0.2671	0.1938	52.8
4	Ezequiel Tovar	0.1827	0.2699	48.4
5	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1999	0.2891	48.0
6	Gleyber Torres	0.2073	0.1458	47.1
7	DJ LeMahieu	0.1377	0.2224	42.8
8	Josh Lowe	0.3189	0.2475	40.1
9	William Contreras	0.2612	0.2062	38.9
10	Dominic Smith	0.2103	0.1553	37.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2340	0.1143	82.1
2	DJ LeMahieu	0.1353	0.2224	53.5
3	Ezequiel Tovar	0.1913	0.2699	53.3
4	Corbin Carroll	0.2793	0.1938	50.0
5	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2180	0.2891	47.1
6	Ryan McMahon	0.2605	0.3158	39.7
7	Nick Castellanos	0.2252	0.2757	39.3
8	Cody Bellinger	0.2343	0.1565	38.8
9	Brandon Belt	0.2618	0.3490	38.5
10	Gleyber Torres	0.2106	0.1458	38.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2264	0.1143	89.5
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2466	0.1565	55.5
3	Ezequiel Tovar	0.1760	0.2699	51.8
4	Corbin Carroll	0.2592	0.1938	48.4
5	Gleyber Torres	0.2072	0.1458	47.8
6	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1998	0.2891	47.3
7	DJ LeMahieu	0.1379	0.2224	42.0
8	Josh Lowe	0.3144	0.2475	38.4
9	Dominic Smith	0.2109	0.1553	38.3
10	Anthony Volpe	0.2061	0.2779	37.3

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2385	0.1143	90.4
2	Corbin Carroll	0.2923	0.1938	62.7
3	Cody Bellinger	0.2575	0.1565	55.5
4	Dominic Smith	0.2378	0.1553	47.6
5	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2118	0.2891	46.7
6	DJ LeMahieu	0.1407	0.2224	46.6
7	Bryson Stott	0.2238	0.1563	42.5
8	Joey Meneses	0.2616	0.1979	41.1
9	Ryan McMahon	0.2517	0.3158	41.0
10	Gleyber Torres	0.2077	0.1458	40.7

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1241	0.1750	36.3
2	Ryan Noda	0.0859	0.1556	34.3
3	J.P. Crawford	0.0976	0.1473	31.5
4	Ian Happ	0.1010	0.1433	28.9
5	Edouard Julien	0.0859	0.1569	28.8
6	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0907	0.1464	28.7
7	Aaron Judge	0.1299	0.1921	28.3
8	Mookie Betts	0.0981	0.1385	27.7
9	Lane Thomas	0.0915	0.0528	26.7
10	Randy Arozarena	0.0819	0.1223	26.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1251	0.1750	35.6
2	Masataka Yoshida	0.1169	0.0586	34.1
3	J.P. Crawford	0.0995	0.1473	30.2
4	Adolis García	0.0576	0.1028	28.3
5	Ian Happ	0.1037	0.1433	27.0
6	Randy Arozarena	0.0813	0.1223	26.5
7	Mookie Betts	0.1017	0.1385	25.2
8	Lane Thomas	0.0887	0.0528	24.8
9	Yasmani Grandal	0.1485	0.0889	24.3
10	Andrew McCutchen	0.1079	0.1586	23.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Santana	0.1550	0.1050	32.6
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.1312	0.1750	29.6
3	Yasmani Grandal	0.1590	0.0889	29.5
4	Adolis García	0.0546	0.1028	28.8
5	J.P. Crawford	0.1026	0.1473	26.9
6	Lane Thomas	0.0885	0.0528	26.1
7	Ian Happ	0.1043	0.1433	25.1
8	Randy Arozarena	0.0820	0.1223	24.7
9	Jack Suwinski	0.0965	0.1404	22.0
10	Aaron Judge	0.1415	0.1921	22.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1255	0.1750	35.7
2	Masataka Yoshida	0.1145	0.0586	32.4
3	J.P. Crawford	0.0996	0.1473	30.5
4	Adolis García	0.0576	0.1028	28.6
5	Randy Arozarena	0.0813	0.1223	26.9
6	Ian Happ	0.1059	0.1433	25.9
7	Mookie Betts	0.1025	0.1385	25.0
8	Lane Thomas	0.0895	0.0528	25.0
9	Aaron Judge	0.1380	0.1921	24.8
10	Yasmani Grandal	0.1493	0.0889	24.4

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1234	0.1750	35.4
2	J.P. Crawford	0.0917	0.1473	33.9
3	Ian Happ	0.0998	0.1433	28.3
4	Andrew McCutchen	0.1004	0.1586	26.3
5	Aaron Judge	0.1334	0.1921	25.8
6	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0959	0.1464	24.9
7	Randy Arozarena	0.0818	0.1223	24.9
8	Mookie Betts	0.1002	0.1385	24.9
9	Ryan Noda	0.1031	0.1556	24.7
10	Jack Suwinski	0.0956	0.1404	22.6

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Isaac Paredes	0.0097	0.0350	14.5
2	José Caballero	0.0115	0.0607	13.8
3	Ty France	0.0315	0.0511	13.2
4	Zach Neto	0.0115	0.0486	12.3
5	Esteury Ruiz	0.0089	0.0322	11.7
6	Sean Murphy	0.0200	0.0411	9.3
7	Miguel Amaya	0.0115	0.0705	9.2
8	Pete Alonso	0.0182	0.0319	9.2
9	Freddie Freeman	0.0098	0.0219	9.0
10	Matt Wallner	0.0169	0.0512	8.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ty France	0.0280	0.0511	15.4
2	Isaac Paredes	0.0100	0.0350	14.3
3	José Caballero	0.0110	0.0607	13.9
4	Zach Neto	0.0140	0.0486	11.4
5	Sean Murphy	0.0170	0.0411	10.5
6	Pete Alonso	0.0160	0.0319	10.5
7	Matt Wallner	0.0130	0.0512	9.7
8	Miguel Amaya	0.0130	0.0705	9.0
9	Freddie Freeman	0.0100	0.0219	8.7
10	Donovan Solano	0.0150	0.0333	8.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Isaac Paredes	0.0117	0.0350	13.6
2	José Caballero	0.0221	0.0607	10.9
3	Henry Davis	0.0567	0.0157	10.4
4	Freddie Freeman	0.0092	0.0219	9.6
5	Ty France	0.0388	0.0511	8.4
6	Yordan Alvarez	0.0098	0.0262	8.3
7	Sean Murphy	0.0230	0.0411	8.1
8	Anthony Volpe	0.0220	0.0083	8.0
9	Miguel Amaya	0.0224	0.0705	7.6
10	José Abreu	0.0231	0.0101	7.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ty France	0.0282	0.0511	15.4
2	Isaac Paredes	0.0098	0.0350	14.5
3	José Caballero	0.0115	0.0607	13.8
4	Zach Neto	0.0115	0.0486	12.3
5	Sean Murphy	0.0167	0.0411	10.8
6	Pete Alonso	0.0161	0.0319	10.5
7	Matt Wallner	0.0133	0.0512	9.7
8	Miguel Amaya	0.0133	0.0705	8.9
9	Freddie Freeman	0.0103	0.0219	8.6
10	Donovan Solano	0.0151	0.0333	8.3

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ty France	0.0000	0.0511	26.4
2	José Caballero	0.0000	0.0607	13.8
3	Pete Alonso	0.0000	0.0319	13.5
4	Isaac Paredes	0.0000	0.0350	13.4
5	Luke Raley	0.0000	0.0443	13.3
6	Sean Murphy	0.0000	0.0411	13.0
7	Andrés Giménez	0.0000	0.0325	12.9
8	Zach Neto	0.0000	0.0486	12.2
9	Mark Canha	0.0000	0.0335	11.2
10	Jeff McNeil	0.0000	0.0278	10.6

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.0769	0.1213	30.8
2	J.D. Martinez	0.0518	0.1122	28.2
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0514	0.0997	27.8
4	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0964	0.0571	26.0
5	Jose Siri	0.0474	0.1179	25.1
6	Joey Meneses	0.0631	0.0269	24.8
7	Brent Rooker	0.0533	0.1017	24.6
8	Spencer Torkelson	0.0366	0.0705	22.0
9	Adolis García	0.0654	0.1010	21.5
10	Marcell Ozuna	0.0627	0.1005	21.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.0785	0.1213	30.2
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0991	0.0571	27.2
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0538	0.0997	26.8
4	J.D. Martinez	0.0573	0.1122	25.9
5	Adolis García	0.0631	0.1010	23.4
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.0612	0.1005	22.8
7	Michael A. Taylor	0.0328	0.0917	22.5
8	Jose Siri	0.0561	0.1179	22.2
9	Jake Burger	0.0582	0.0980	21.0
10	Max Muncy	0.0704	0.1075	21.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1165	0.0571	39.8
2	Joey Meneses	0.0655	0.0269	27.5
3	Matt Olson	0.0845	0.1213	24.2
4	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0564	0.0997	23.8
5	J.D. Martinez	0.0601	0.1122	23.4
6	Jose Siri	0.0534	0.1179	22.3
7	George Springer	0.0718	0.0426	22.2
8	Jeremy Peña	0.0529	0.0221	21.6
9	Jake Burger	0.0556	0.0980	21.2
10	Matt Chapman	0.0822	0.0491	21.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.0800	0.1213	30.8
2	J.D. Martinez	0.0584	0.1122	26.4
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0571	0.0997	26.2
4	Adolis García	0.0640	0.1010	24.3
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.0616	0.1005	23.8
6	Michael A. Taylor	0.0342	0.0917	22.8
7	Joey Meneses	0.0627	0.0269	22.7
8	Max Muncy	0.0719	0.1075	21.4
9	Jose Siri	0.0621	0.1179	20.8
10	Aaron Judge	0.1104	0.1542	20.6

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.0743	0.1213	30.1
2	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0456	0.0997	29.1
3	J.D. Martinez	0.0475	0.1122	28.5
4	Aaron Judge	0.0916	0.1542	26.2
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.0737	0.1215	25.5
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.0522	0.1005	25.5
7	Jake Burger	0.0465	0.0980	25.0
8	Jose Siri	0.0443	0.1179	24.9
9	Michael A. Taylor	0.0263	0.0917	23.3
10	Max Muncy	0.0625	0.1075	23.0

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jarred Kelenic	0.2312	0.3593	51.8
2	Pete Alonso	0.2782	0.2053	50.3
3	Kyle Schwarber	0.2647	0.2086	43.0
4	Mickey Moniak	0.2675	0.3967	40.6
5	Nolan Jones	0.3038	0.4009	39.6
6	Cody Bellinger	0.2461	0.3191	38.6
7	Nick Pratto	0.2733	0.3879	38.3
8	Matt McLain	0.2954	0.3846	34.5
9	Yandy Díaz	0.3079	0.3674	33.5
10	Nick Maton	0.3141	0.2047	33.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.2687	0.2086	46.1
2	Pete Alonso	0.2703	0.2053	45.3
3	Matt McLain	0.2807	0.3846	40.3
4	Jarred Kelenic	0.2645	0.3593	37.8
5	Mickey Moniak	0.2760	0.3967	37.7
6	Will Benson	0.2757	0.3908	36.6
7	Nick Pratto	0.2807	0.3879	35.7
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2911	0.2098	35.4
9	Austin Hays	0.2810	0.3451	34.1
10	Yandy Díaz	0.3071	0.3674	33.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.2704	0.2086	44.8
2	Pete Alonso	0.2718	0.2053	44.1
3	Yandy Díaz	0.2970	0.3674	41.9
4	Jarred Kelenic	0.2638	0.3593	39.5
5	Freddie Freeman	0.3153	0.3699	39.5
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.2588	0.3137	37.7
7	Brandon Marsh	0.3201	0.3953	35.2
8	Mickey Moniak	0.2902	0.3967	34.3
9	Brandon Belt	0.2877	0.3702	33.1
10	Austin Hays	0.2880	0.3451	32.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pete Alonso	0.2686	0.2053	45.6
2	Jarred Kelenic	0.2562	0.3593	40.4
3	Brandon Belt	0.2662	0.3702	39.5
4	Kyle Schwarber	0.2562	0.2086	38.7
5	Will Benson	0.2683	0.3908	38.3
6	Nick Pratto	0.2738	0.3879	37.3
7	Freddie Freeman	0.3132	0.3699	37.0
8	Mickey Moniak	0.2775	0.3967	36.5
9	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2918	0.2098	36.5
10	Josh Donaldson	0.2954	0.1154	35.2

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.2952	0.2086	57.8
2	Yandy Díaz	0.2959	0.3674	46.7
3	Pete Alonso	0.2824	0.2053	46.6
4	Matt McLain	0.2943	0.3846	38.9
5	Mickey Moniak	0.2923	0.3967	35.8
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.2692	0.3137	35.2
7	Nick Pratto	0.2925	0.3879	35.1
8	Ryan Noda	0.2839	0.3468	34.3
9	Ezequiel Duran	0.2847	0.3564	34.2
10	Jared Triolo	0.2857	0.4397	33.5

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pete Alonso	0.2126	0.1440	46.2
2	Cody Bellinger	0.1745	0.2437	37.6
3	Nick Pratto	0.1860	0.2909	35.6
4	Carlos Correa	0.2466	0.1875	35.2
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.1928	0.1472	34.0
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2302	0.1518	33.2
7	Jarred Kelenic	0.1658	0.2424	31.2
8	Adley Rutschman	0.1888	0.2352	30.8
9	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2508	0.2012	30.5
10	Jared Triolo	0.2193	0.3621	29.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.2017	0.1472	40.9
2	Pete Alonso	0.2022	0.1440	39.8
3	Nick Pratto	0.1938	0.2909	32.7
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2271	0.1518	32.2
5	James Outman	0.2169	0.2756	32.0
6	Luis Arraez	0.2456	0.2996	31.9
7	Jared Triolo	0.2200	0.3621	29.2
8	Miguel Vargas	0.2166	0.1237	29.0
9	Kerry Carpenter	0.2072	0.2711	28.3
10	Bo Bichette	0.2305	0.2792	27.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pete Alonso	0.2020	0.1440	38.5
2	Adley Rutschman	0.1806	0.2352	37.1
3	James Outman	0.2163	0.2756	33.3
4	Kyle Schwarber	0.1922	0.1472	32.7
5	Lars Nootbaar	0.1667	0.2303	31.7
6	Yandy Díaz	0.2289	0.2822	31.7
7	Ha-Seong Kim	0.1948	0.2457	31.5
8	Brenton Doyle	0.2772	0.2049	31.4
9	Miguel Vargas	0.2252	0.1237	31.0
10	Eugenio Suárez	0.1917	0.2359	30.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pete Alonso	0.2045	0.1440	43.8
2	James Outman	0.2028	0.2756	37.8
3	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2302	0.1518	35.0
4	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.2453	0.1948	33.5
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.1872	0.1472	33.1
6	Nick Pratto	0.1927	0.2909	31.8
7	Teoscar Hernández	0.2106	0.2633	31.7
8	Eugenio Suárez	0.1851	0.2359	31.1
9	Josh Donaldson	0.2193	0.0673	29.9
10	Bo Bichette	0.2237	0.2792	29.7

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.2159	0.1472	43.0
2	Pete Alonso	0.2163	0.1440	41.7
3	James Outman	0.2138	0.2756	40.1
4	Maikel Garcia	0.2083	0.2753	39.1
5	Ezequiel Duran	0.1944	0.2691	36.7
6	Nick Pratto	0.1981	0.2909	35.1
7	Alex Verdugo	0.2645	0.2000	33.5
8	Matt McLain	0.1962	0.2692	33.0
9	Jon Berti	0.2162	0.2848	32.9
10	Eugenio Suárez	0.1982	0.2359	32.3

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ketel Marte	0.0997	0.0591	27.7
2	Randy Arozarena	0.0896	0.0504	27.0
3	Matt Chapman	0.0703	0.1185	26.9
4	Corey Seager	0.0641	0.1160	26.8
5	Freddie Freeman	0.0823	0.1199	26.0
6	Adley Rutschman	0.0979	0.0657	23.5
7	Jarren Duran	0.0780	0.1435	23.0
8	Brandon Belt	0.0701	0.1271	22.2
9	Dominic Smith	0.0841	0.0493	21.6
10	Brice Turang	0.0701	0.0291	19.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.0746	0.1199	32.3
2	Brandon Belt	0.0631	0.1271	25.4
3	Matt Chapman	0.0743	0.1185	25.1
4	Jarren Duran	0.0741	0.1435	24.7
5	Corey Seager	0.0710	0.1160	23.5
6	Randy Arozarena	0.0824	0.0504	21.6
7	Dominic Smith	0.0822	0.0493	19.9
8	Anthony Santander	0.0686	0.0988	19.0
9	Luke Raley	0.0606	0.1080	18.8
10	Adam Duvall	0.0697	0.1237	18.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.0743	0.1199	32.5
2	Adley Rutschman	0.1051	0.0657	27.8
3	Jarren Duran	0.0691	0.1435	26.5
4	Randy Arozarena	0.0882	0.0504	25.5
5	Ketel Marte	0.0952	0.0591	24.2
6	Matt Chapman	0.0776	0.1185	23.1
7	Dominic Smith	0.0854	0.0493	21.8
8	Corey Seager	0.0754	0.1160	21.2
9	Luke Raley	0.0558	0.1080	20.7
10	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0845	0.0561	20.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jarren Duran	0.0717	0.1435	26.0
2	Dominic Smith	0.0927	0.0493	25.4
3	Brandon Belt	0.0658	0.1271	24.8
4	Freddie Freeman	0.0880	0.1199	23.4
5	Randy Arozarena	0.0861	0.0504	23.3
6	Matt Chapman	0.0809	0.1185	21.9
7	Adam Duvall	0.0650	0.1237	20.8
8	Connor Joe	0.0621	0.1058	20.7
9	Corey Seager	0.0787	0.1160	20.1
10	Luke Raley	0.0587	0.1080	20.1

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.0732	0.1199	32.6
2	Corey Seager	0.0667	0.1160	25.3
3	Anthony Santander	0.0594	0.0988	24.5
4	Ketel Marte	0.0943	0.0591	24.2
5	Randy Arozarena	0.0836	0.0504	23.1
6	Matt Chapman	0.0771	0.1185	22.8
7	Luke Raley	0.0515	0.1080	22.1
8	Brandon Belt	0.0714	0.1271	21.6
9	Yandy Díaz	0.0477	0.0852	21.2
10	Jarren Duran	0.0849	0.1435	20.4

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Will Benson	0.0067	0.0460	12.9
2	Gunnar Henderson	0.0058	0.0239	11.3
3	Elly De La Cruz	0.0060	0.0300	10.2
4	Ketel Marte	0.0055	0.0205	9.7
5	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0109	0.0220	7.7
6	Corbin Carroll	0.0118	0.0235	7.5
7	Drew Waters	0.0065	0.0263	6.7
8	Brenton Doyle	0.0060	0.0205	6.2
9	Trevor Larnach	0.0000	0.0286	6.0
10	Shohei Ohtani	0.0150	0.0252	6.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Will Benson	0.0091	0.0460	12.0
2	Ketel Marte	0.0047	0.0205	10.0
3	Elly De La Cruz	0.0101	0.0300	8.3
4	Gunnar Henderson	0.0105	0.0239	8.1
5	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0102	0.0220	7.9
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.0121	0.0252	7.6
7	Seiya Suzuki	0.0051	0.0161	6.2
8	Adolis García	0.0082	0.0000	5.4
9	Jake Cronenworth	0.0089	0.0196	5.4
10	Trevor Larnach	0.0029	0.0286	5.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Will Benson	0.0165	0.0460	10.1
2	Ketel Marte	0.0079	0.0205	8.8
3	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0121	0.0220	7.7
4	Blake Sabol	0.0201	0.0000	6.5
5	Akil Baddoo	0.0239	0.0047	6.5
6	Adolis García	0.0112	0.0000	6.4
7	Matt Olson	0.0000	0.0077	6.3
8	Trevor Larnach	0.0000	0.0286	6.3
9	Seiya Suzuki	0.0072	0.0161	5.8
10	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.0086	0.0185	5.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Will Benson	0.0105	0.0460	11.6
2	Ketel Marte	0.0048	0.0205	10.1
3	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0103	0.0220	8.0
4	Gunnar Henderson	0.0115	0.0239	7.7
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.0126	0.0252	7.4
6	Seiya Suzuki	0.0050	0.0161	6.4
7	Elly De La Cruz	0.0150	0.0300	6.4
8	Adolis García	0.0084	0.0000	5.4
9	Jake Cronenworth	0.0091	0.0196	5.4
10	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.0082	0.0185	5.3

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0073	0.0220	9.9
2	Will Benson	0.0163	0.0460	9.6
3	Brenton Doyle	0.0000	0.0205	8.6
4	Ketel Marte	0.0074	0.0205	8.2
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.0114	0.0252	8.0
6	Willi Castro	0.0000	0.0196	7.8
7	Nolan Jones	0.0000	0.0180	7.4
8	Gunnar Henderson	0.0122	0.0239	7.0
9	Jake Cronenworth	0.0071	0.0196	6.3
10	Brandon Marsh	0.0101	0.0237	6.2

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Carroll	0.1161	0.1798	39.9
2	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1563	0.2027	32.7
3	Matt Olson	0.1297	0.1764	32.2
4	Gunnar Henderson	0.1083	0.1608	31.4
5	Tim Anderson	0.1562	0.0992	30.9
6	Adolis García	0.1273	0.1709	26.3
7	Teoscar Hernández	0.1393	0.1032	25.8
8	Cody Bellinger	0.1228	0.1709	25.6
9	Josh Bell	0.1213	0.0843	24.1
10	Austin Riley	0.1298	0.1636	22.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adolis García	0.1143	0.1709	33.9
2	Cody Bellinger	0.1144	0.1709	29.8
3	Corbin Carroll	0.1315	0.1798	29.2
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1528	0.1144	28.2
5	Josh Bell	0.1243	0.0843	26.5
6	Gunnar Henderson	0.1158	0.1608	26.1
7	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1647	0.2027	25.8
8	Juan Soto	0.1684	0.1370	24.3
9	Matt McLain	0.1026	0.1613	22.5
10	Alejandro Kirk	0.1305	0.0806	22.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Carroll	0.1293	0.1798	32.3
2	Matt Olson	0.1346	0.1764	29.7
3	Tim Anderson	0.1471	0.0992	25.3
4	Daulton Varsho	0.1536	0.1119	24.5
5	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1698	0.2027	23.8
6	Teoscar Hernández	0.1349	0.1032	21.8
7	Esteury Ruiz	0.1379	0.0946	21.8
8	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1767	0.1433	21.6
9	Ha-Seong Kim	0.0994	0.1342	21.4
10	Nico Hoerner	0.1109	0.1424	21.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adolis García	0.1150	0.1709	38.1
2	Cody Bellinger	0.1139	0.1709	34.2
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1665	0.1144	32.5
4	Corbin Carroll	0.1340	0.1798	32.4
5	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1681	0.2027	28.7
6	Juan Soto	0.1790	0.1370	26.6
7	Josh Bell	0.1301	0.0843	25.5
8	Gunnar Henderson	0.1266	0.1608	24.0
9	Matt Olson	0.1480	0.1764	23.6
10	Francisco Lindor	0.1277	0.1572	23.3

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.P. Crawford	0.0832	0.1473	38.5
2	Tim Anderson	0.1601	0.0992	33.9
3	Gunnar Henderson	0.1049	0.1608	32.4
4	Cody Bellinger	0.1098	0.1709	31.9
5	Xander Bogaerts	0.1656	0.1248	29.6
6	Adolis García	0.1218	0.1709	28.6
7	Brandon Nimmo	0.1669	0.1305	27.4
8	Bo Bichette	0.1562	0.1148	27.1
9	Josh Bell	0.1233	0.0843	26.4
10	Willy Adames	0.1512	0.1144	25.9

RBI Rate

Biggest RBI Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.1236	0.2150	42.2
2	Jonah Heim	0.1096	0.1896	38.4
3	José Ramírez	0.1661	0.1158	37.0
4	Isaac Paredes	0.1046	0.1716	36.4
5	Josh Lowe	0.0915	0.1657	35.5
6	Spencer Torkelson	0.0845	0.1374	34.0
7	Josh Naylor	0.1263	0.1960	32.9
8	Dominic Smith	0.1284	0.0785	31.2
9	Cody Bellinger	0.1170	0.1745	30.2
10	Cedric Mullins	0.0944	0.1626	29.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.1325	0.2150	39.3
2	Jonah Heim	0.1118	0.1896	38.7
3	Matt Olson	0.1440	0.1931	34.9
4	Josh Lowe	0.1031	0.1657	31.0
5	Cedric Mullins	0.0960	0.1626	30.0
6	Cody Bellinger	0.1206	0.1745	29.7
7	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1684	0.1228	29.3
8	Josh Naylor	0.1366	0.1960	29.1
9	Alec Bohm	0.1127	0.1588	27.8
10	Max Muncy	0.1341	0.1813	27.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonah Heim	0.1134	0.1896	40.3
2	J.D. Martinez	0.1413	0.2150	37.3
3	Daulton Varsho	0.1704	0.1050	35.5
4	José Ramírez	0.1695	0.1158	34.2
5	Cody Bellinger	0.1238	0.1745	30.5
6	Max Muncy	0.1342	0.1813	29.8
7	Josh Naylor	0.1420	0.1960	28.8
8	Carlos Santana	0.0969	0.1389	28.7
9	Josh Lowe	0.1138	0.1657	28.1
10	MJ Melendez	0.1436	0.0930	27.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.1441	0.2150	35.2
2	Jonah Heim	0.1219	0.1896	35.2
3	Cedric Mullins	0.0964	0.1626	31.3
4	Josh Lowe	0.1072	0.1657	30.6
5	Cody Bellinger	0.1227	0.1745	30.2
6	Xander Bogaerts	0.1345	0.0872	29.7
7	Matt Olson	0.1559	0.1931	28.6
8	Jeremy Peña	0.1283	0.0820	27.7
9	Tim Anderson	0.1025	0.0477	27.4
10	Corey Seager	0.1318	0.1791	26.7

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Benintendi	0.1365	0.0725	42.3
2	Matt Olson	0.1313	0.1931	41.6
3	José Ramírez	0.1709	0.1158	40.9
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.1013	0.1689	37.6
5	Spencer Torkelson	0.0797	0.1374	36.7
6	Isaac Paredes	0.1040	0.1716	36.3
7	Ty France	0.1375	0.0872	36.1
8	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1640	0.1164	35.4
9	Cedric Mullins	0.0836	0.1626	34.1
10	Cody Bellinger	0.1098	0.1745	33.7

Stolen Base Rate

Biggest Stolen Base Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Esteury Ruiz	0.0612	0.5583	235.6
2	CJ Abrams	0.0833	0.3588	154.9
3	Corbin Carroll	0.0678	0.3253	151.2
4	Elly De La Cruz	0.0801	0.3763	116.6
5	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1594	0.3230	103.2
6	Dairon Blanco	0.0625	0.8000	98.6
7	Josh Lowe	0.0735	0.2832	93.5
8	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1754	0.3224	85.9
9	Willi Castro	0.0816	0.3113	84.5
10	Brenton Doyle	0.0801	0.2895	80.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	CJ Abrams	0.1371	0.3588	128.0
2	Esteury Ruiz	0.3019	0.5583	120.9
3	Corbin Carroll	0.1347	0.3253	114.4
4	Elly De La Cruz	0.1685	0.3763	83.1
5	Dairon Blanco	0.2204	0.8000	78.2
6	Wander Franco	0.0719	0.2439	78.0
7	Brenton Doyle	0.0957	0.2895	77.9
8	Jon Berti	0.3046	0.1345	77.7
9	Josh Lowe	0.1186	0.2832	75.9
10	Adolis García	0.1691	0.0647	74.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Esteury Ruiz	0.2880	0.5583	125.6
2	CJ Abrams	0.1509	0.3588	116.7
3	Corbin Carroll	0.1333	0.3253	112.4
4	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1761	0.3230	95.0
5	Willi Castro	0.1000	0.3113	79.2
6	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1938	0.3224	76.9
7	Dairon Blanco	0.2323	0.8000	75.9
8	Wander Franco	0.0769	0.2439	73.3
9	Luke Williams	0.2286	4.0000	71.3
10	Ha-Seong Kim	0.0855	0.2135	69.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	CJ Abrams	0.1363	0.3588	125.0
2	Corbin Carroll	0.1307	0.3253	113.4
3	Esteury Ruiz	0.3188	0.5583	109.7
4	Dairon Blanco	0.0801	0.8000	96.7
5	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1866	0.3230	86.4
6	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1853	0.3224	82.0
7	Wander Franco	0.0625	0.2439	79.8
8	Willi Castro	0.1020	0.3113	77.9
9	Elly De La Cruz	0.1798	0.3763	75.9
10	Brenton Doyle	0.0990	0.2895	74.0

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Berti	0.4359	0.1345	115.4
2	Garrett Hampson	0.5000	0.0704	100.9
3	Randy Arozarena	0.2868	0.1140	93.9
4	Adolis García	0.2373	0.0647	90.5
5	Ezequiel Tovar	0.2613	0.0917	86.3
6	CJ Abrams	0.2521	0.3588	83.5
7	Willi Castro	0.1429	0.3113	80.9
8	Leody Taveras	0.2759	0.1129	74.1
9	Dairon Blanco	0.2990	0.8000	73.2
10	Wander Franco	0.1267	0.2439	71.9

Batting Average

Biggest Batting Average Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.2095	0.3066	52.7
2	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2642	0.3375	52.1
3	Luis Arraez	0.2976	0.3537	33.1
4	Yandy Díaz	0.2731	0.3295	32.4
5	Corey Seager	0.2652	0.3270	31.9
6	Pete Alonso	0.2613	0.2165	31.0
7	José Abreu	0.2835	0.2370	29.0
8	Carlos Correa	0.2759	0.2296	28.2
9	Tim Anderson	0.2953	0.2454	27.3
10	Trea Turner	0.3032	0.2660	27.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2733	0.3375	48.2
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2345	0.3066	40.8
3	Luis Arraez	0.2978	0.3537	35.3
4	Josh Lowe	0.2239	0.2918	34.7
5	Matt McLain	0.2100	0.2904	33.0
6	Corbin Carroll	0.2369	0.2850	31.9
7	Yandy Díaz	0.2817	0.3295	29.5
8	Pete Alonso	0.2614	0.2165	28.6
9	William Contreras	0.2447	0.2889	27.8
10	Spencer Steer	0.2320	0.2715	27.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2742	0.3375	42.8
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2296	0.3066	40.0
3	Pete Alonso	0.2611	0.2165	32.7
4	Kyle Schwarber	0.2350	0.1966	31.3
5	Yandy Díaz	0.2725	0.3295	31.1
6	Carlos Correa	0.2764	0.2296	30.1
7	Josh Lowe	0.2271	0.2918	29.9
8	José Abreu	0.2793	0.2370	28.2
9	Corey Seager	0.2700	0.3270	27.9
10	Trea Turner	0.3010	0.2660	27.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2704	0.3375	50.3
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2245	0.3066	46.4
3	Luis Arraez	0.2977	0.3537	35.3
4	Josh Lowe	0.2276	0.2918	32.8
5	Yandy Díaz	0.2797	0.3295	30.7
6	Corey Seager	0.2720	0.3270	30.2
7	Shohei Ohtani	0.2555	0.3038	29.7
8	Freddie Freeman	0.2938	0.3312	28.3
9	Corbin Carroll	0.2427	0.2850	28.1
10	Pete Alonso	0.2597	0.2165	27.5

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2653	0.3375	53.5
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2304	0.3066	42.7
3	Yandy Díaz	0.2668	0.3295	38.0
4	Matt McLain	0.2116	0.2904	32.0
5	Spencer Steer	0.2249	0.2715	31.4
6	Kyle Schwarber	0.2383	0.1966	29.6
7	Jon Berti	0.2259	0.2938	29.1
8	Mookie Betts	0.2675	0.3065	27.5
9	Corey Seager	0.2776	0.3270	26.9
10	Pete Alonso	0.2577	0.2165	26.6

On-Base Percentage

Biggest On-Base Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.2773	0.3561	42.6
2	Mookie Betts	0.3468	0.4084	41.2
3	José Abreu	0.3598	0.2963	39.0
4	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3613	0.4163	38.8
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.3507	0.4125	35.7
6	Matt Olson	0.3387	0.3889	34.5
7	Nolan Jones	0.3095	0.3892	32.8
8	Brenton Doyle	0.3201	0.2500	31.2
9	Brandon Marsh	0.3045	0.3715	30.6
10	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.3139	0.3728	29.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mookie Betts	0.3549	0.4084	37.7
2	Brandon Marsh	0.2944	0.3715	36.8
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.3549	0.4125	35.0
4	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3699	0.4163	34.7
5	Spencer Steer	0.3071	0.3564	33.3
6	James Outman	0.2981	0.3527	31.5
7	William Contreras	0.3170	0.3672	31.2
8	Matt Olson	0.3492	0.3889	29.2
9	Adolis García	0.2823	0.3275	29.2
10	José Abreu	0.3458	0.2963	28.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.3509	0.2963	36.1
2	Brandon Marsh	0.2927	0.3715	34.3
3	Mookie Betts	0.3539	0.4084	33.5
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.3515	0.4125	32.8
5	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3709	0.4163	28.9
6	Carlos Correa	0.3547	0.3121	28.3
7	Trea Turner	0.3528	0.3198	27.0
8	William Contreras	0.3178	0.3672	26.4
9	J.P. Crawford	0.3339	0.3795	25.2
10	Carlos Santana	0.3527	0.3183	25.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.3499	0.4125	38.3
2	Mookie Betts	0.3554	0.4084	37.7
3	Brandon Marsh	0.2955	0.3715	36.6
4	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3682	0.4163	36.4
5	Matt Olson	0.3411	0.3889	35.4
6	Cody Bellinger	0.2991	0.3561	32.5
7	Adolis García	0.2823	0.3275	29.5
8	J.P. Crawford	0.3357	0.3795	28.8
9	William Contreras	0.3223	0.3672	28.3
10	José Abreu	0.3453	0.2963	28.3

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Steer	0.2825	0.3564	43.5
2	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3487	0.4163	43.5
3	Mookie Betts	0.3409	0.4084	40.9
4	Ryan Noda	0.2852	0.3636	34.6
5	James Outman	0.2862	0.3527	32.9
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.3492	0.4125	32.8
7	Yandy Díaz	0.3503	0.4100	30.8
8	Cody Bellinger	0.2934	0.3561	30.2
9	Masataka Yoshida	0.3810	0.3379	29.9
10	Nolan Jones	0.3106	0.3892	29.7

Slugging Percentage

Biggest Slugging Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.4738	0.5956	85.7
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.5097	0.6539	83.3
3	Matt Olson	0.4841	0.6036	82.2
4	Tim Anderson	0.4392	0.2961	77.7
5	Cody Bellinger	0.3801	0.5251	77.6
6	Corey Seager	0.4754	0.6226	76.1
7	Marcell Ozuna	0.4292	0.5585	73.4
8	Yandy Díaz	0.4053	0.5219	66.8
9	Joey Meneses	0.4913	0.4010	62.8
10	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.5411	0.4487	62.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.5102	0.6539	87.4
2	Matt Olson	0.4930	0.6036	81.2
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.4874	0.5956	81.1
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.4345	0.5585	74.7
5	Corey Seager	0.4861	0.6226	74.3
6	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.5673	0.4487	74.0
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.5528	0.4435	73.0
8	J.D. Martinez	0.4342	0.5718	67.0
9	Tim Anderson	0.4235	0.2961	65.6
10	Josh Lowe	0.3734	0.5000	64.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.5699	0.4487	85.1
2	Tim Anderson	0.4317	0.2961	77.7
3	Daulton Varsho	0.5031	0.3890	73.7
4	Corey Seager	0.4734	0.6226	73.1
5	George Springer	0.4913	0.4046	68.0
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.5295	0.6539	66.9
7	Jake Burger	0.3916	0.5183	61.5
8	Javier Báez	0.4218	0.3255	59.7
9	Cody Bellinger	0.4056	0.5251	59.3
10	Yandy Díaz	0.4122	0.5219	58.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.5144	0.6539	88.7
2	Matt Olson	0.4893	0.6036	88.5
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.4844	0.5956	88.0
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.4335	0.5585	79.0
5	Corey Seager	0.4861	0.6226	77.8
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.5628	0.4435	75.6
7	Cody Bellinger	0.4018	0.5251	73.3
8	Tim Anderson	0.4364	0.2961	69.0
9	Yandy Díaz	0.4209	0.5219	65.7
10	J.D. Martinez	0.4497	0.5718	62.5

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.4917	0.6539	89.5
2	Marcell Ozuna	0.3984	0.5585	87.2
3	Yandy Díaz	0.3755	0.5219	80.1
4	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.4750	0.5956	79.2
5	Corey Seager	0.4632	0.6226	78.5
6	Matt Olson	0.4840	0.6036	76.8
7	Tim Anderson	0.4203	0.2961	71.8
8	Nolan Jones	0.3613	0.5422	71.2
9	Cody Bellinger	0.3935	0.5251	66.0
10	Yainer Diaz	0.3587	0.5380	62.7

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Biggest Batters Faced (BF) Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kodai Senga	1	694	693.0
2	Robbie Ray	711	19	692.0
3	Germán Márquez	722	80	642.0
4	Frankie Montas	634	7	627.0
5	Triston McKenzie	679	73	606.0
6	Tanner Bibee	1	585	584.0
7	J.P. France	1	581	580.0
8	Madison Bumgarner	654	90	564.0
9	Logan Allen	1	537	536.0
10	Bryce Miller	1	537	536.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	798	19	779.0
2	Germán Márquez	842	80	762.1
3	Antonio Senzatela	645	30	614.8
4	Tyler Mahle	711	102	608.9
5	Kyle Wright	743	155	588.4
6	Jeffrey Springs	639	55	583.6
7	Bryce Elder	151	732	580.8
8	Tanner Bibee	4	585	580.8
9	Nick Lodolo	734	166	568.2
10	Drew Rasmussen	727	177	549.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	699	19	680.0
2	Germán Márquez	706	80	626.0
3	Frankie Montas	590	7	583.0
4	Triston McKenzie	655	73	582.0
5	Drew Rucinski	645	95	550.0
6	Darren McCaughan	564	27	537.0
7	Colin Rea	1	517	516.0
8	Madison Bumgarner	599	90	509.0
9	Kyle Leahy	524	15	509.0
10	Kris Bubic	565	68	497.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	767	19	747.6
2	Germán Márquez	771	80	691.4
3	Madison Bumgarner	688	90	598.4
4	Luis Garcia	693	115	578.0
5	Marco Gonzales	770	215	555.2
6	Kyle Wright	710	155	554.7
7	Tyler Mahle	648	102	545.9
8	Jeffrey Springs	597	55	542.3
9	Logan Allen	1	537	536.0
10	Bryce Miller	1	537	536.0

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	756	19	737.1
2	Germán Márquez	786	80	706.0
3	Bryce Elder	147	732	585.1
4	Tanner Bibee	1	585	584.0
5	Tyler Mahle	638	102	535.9
6	Antonio Senzatela	556	30	526.0
7	Luis Garcia	635	115	520.0
8	Jeffrey Springs	571	55	516.1
9	Colin Rea	1	517	516.0
10	Madison Bumgarner	606	90	515.9

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2955	0.4118	51.7
2	Kyle Bradish	0.3229	0.2669	44.0
3	Luis Severino	0.2872	0.3888	38.4
4	Lance Lynn	0.2920	0.3475	37.2
5	Kyle Muller	0.3068	0.4160	37.1
6	Alek Manoah	0.2748	0.3711	36.0
7	Joey Wentz	0.2999	0.3803	34.9
8	Michael Kopech	0.2943	0.3626	34.7
9	Zach Eflin	0.3129	0.2754	33.0
10	Gerrit Cole	0.2854	0.2552	32.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.3048	0.4118	40.3
2	Kyle Muller	0.2918	0.4160	37.4
3	Luis Severino	0.2779	0.3888	36.4
4	Kyle Bradish	0.2967	0.2669	35.9
5	Sonny Gray	0.2914	0.2701	34.0
6	Chris Flexen	0.2997	0.3912	31.6
7	Ken Waldichuk	0.2868	0.3597	31.4
8	Carlos Carrasco	0.2912	0.3897	31.2
9	Tylor Megill	0.2734	0.3499	29.9
10	Lance Lynn	0.2875	0.3475	29.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.3006	0.4118	43.5
2	Luis Severino	0.2662	0.3888	42.2
3	Kyle Muller	0.2824	0.4160	41.8
4	Kyle Bradish	0.3075	0.2669	41.6
5	Jack Flaherty	0.2767	0.3560	37.7
6	Trevor Williams	0.3030	0.3773	35.0
7	Ken Waldichuk	0.2837	0.3597	34.9
8	Alek Manoah	0.2664	0.3711	34.6
9	Lucas Giolito	0.2775	0.3395	32.3
10	Lance Lynn	0.2863	0.3475	32.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Miller	0.3180	0.3088	109.4
2	Colin Rea	0.3180	0.3110	104.2
3	Logan Allen	0.3180	0.3245	100.9
4	Bryan Woo	0.3180	0.3049	77.0
5	Michael Tonkin	0.3180	0.2823	74.8
6	Ian Gibaut	0.3180	0.3015	67.1
7	Jesse Scholtens	0.3180	0.3494	61.5
8	Elvis Peguero	0.3180	0.2812	58.3
9	Ian Hamilton	0.3180	0.2768	56.3
10	Tom Cosgrove	0.3180	0.2389	56.1

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gerrit Cole	0.1144	0.2552	54.3
2	Adam Wainwright	0.0986	0.4118	51.4
3	Blake Snell	0.1178	0.2659	43.7
4	Kyle Bradish	0.1183	0.2669	39.2
5	Chris Flexen	0.1038	0.3912	37.5
6	Dylan Covey	0.3180	0.3337	36.5
7	Trevor Williams	0.1157	0.3773	36.0
8	Luke Weaver	0.1149	0.3847	35.4
9	Sonny Gray	0.1082	0.2701	34.0
10	Ty Blach	0.0861	0.3887	33.7

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Félix Bautista	0.2731	0.4641	45.8
2	Kodai Senga	0.2277	0.2911	45.6
3	Nick Pivetta	0.2368	0.3118	45.4
4	Ryne Nelson	0.2271	0.1551	43.2
5	Spencer Strider	0.3143	0.3683	42.9
6	Pablo López	0.2418	0.2921	42.2
7	Mitch Keller	0.2064	0.2545	41.6
8	Adam Wainwright	0.1994	0.1136	40.4
9	Cristian Javier	0.2907	0.2314	39.1
10	Austin Gomber	0.2090	0.1443	37.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.2194	0.3118	52.9
2	Tylor Megill	0.2696	0.1852	49.1
3	J.P. France	0.2526	0.1738	47.1
4	Mitch Keller	0.1978	0.2545	45.0
5	Pablo López	0.2349	0.2921	44.0
6	Zach Eflin	0.2008	0.2646	43.2
7	Justin Verlander	0.2753	0.2152	41.7
8	Taj Bradley	0.1880	0.2804	41.5
9	Merrill Kelly	0.2006	0.2590	40.5
10	Cristian Javier	0.2857	0.2314	38.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cristian Javier	0.3024	0.2314	52.3
2	Nick Pivetta	0.2268	0.3118	46.8
3	J.P. France	0.2482	0.1738	46.2
4	Tylor Megill	0.2581	0.1852	44.3
5	Corbin Burnes	0.3054	0.2551	43.5
6	Justin Verlander	0.2731	0.2152	42.2
7	Gerrit Cole	0.3164	0.2704	42.0
8	Ryne Nelson	0.2170	0.1551	41.5
9	Andrew Heaney	0.2947	0.2356	41.2
10	Shane Bieber	0.2700	0.2008	39.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.2160	0.3118	56.1
2	Adam Wainwright	0.2277	0.1136	55.3
3	Tylor Megill	0.2689	0.1852	47.6
4	Pablo López	0.2340	0.2921	46.4
5	Mitch Keller	0.1995	0.2545	45.3
6	Zach Eflin	0.2006	0.2646	44.8
7	J.P. France	0.2469	0.1738	42.6
8	Justin Verlander	0.2773	0.2152	41.7
9	Merrill Kelly	0.2016	0.2590	41.3
10	Taj Bradley	0.1917	0.2804	40.7

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.2162	0.3118	50.9
2	Pablo López	0.2214	0.2921	49.6
3	Cristian Javier	0.2942	0.2314	49.2
4	Corbin Burnes	0.3018	0.2551	43.5
5	Zach Eflin	0.1952	0.2646	42.6
6	Félix Bautista	0.2803	0.4641	41.5
7	Justin Verlander	0.2680	0.2152	41.2
8	Mitch Keller	0.2003	0.2545	37.5
9	Taj Bradley	0.1903	0.2804	37.4
10	Kevin Gausman	0.2534	0.3106	36.9

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Steele	0.0939	0.0503	34.1
2	Michael Kopech	0.0974	0.1540	31.1
3	Logan Webb	0.0689	0.0365	31.0
4	George Kirby	0.0595	0.0251	29.0
5	Braxton Garrett	0.0817	0.0440	27.5
6	Yusei Kikuchi	0.1026	0.0686	26.6
7	Alek Manoah	0.0748	0.1422	26.3
8	Daniel Bard	0.0973	0.2112	25.5
9	Mitch Keller	0.0933	0.0667	25.2
10	Brad Keller	0.0923	0.2133	24.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Steele	0.0947	0.0503	35.8
2	Michael Kopech	0.0961	0.1540	30.9
3	Logan Webb	0.0663	0.0365	30.0
4	Alek Manoah	0.0718	0.1422	26.9
5	George Kirby	0.0550	0.0251	26.8
6	Blake Snell	0.0932	0.1334	25.7
7	Braxton Garrett	0.0768	0.0440	25.2
8	Daniel Bard	0.0973	0.2112	25.1
9	Brad Keller	0.0887	0.2133	25.1
10	Cristopher Sánchez	0.0968	0.0404	24.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Kopech	0.0959	0.1540	34.3
2	Justin Steele	0.0980	0.0503	34.2
3	Tyler Anderson	0.0529	0.1017	30.7
4	Alek Manoah	0.0685	0.1422	30.6
5	Blake Snell	0.0925	0.1334	30.3
6	Kodai Senga	0.0684	0.1110	29.5
7	Braxton Garrett	0.0852	0.0440	27.2
8	Brad Keller	0.0909	0.2133	25.8
9	Cristopher Sánchez	0.1041	0.0404	25.3
10	Charlie Morton	0.0816	0.1159	24.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Steele	0.0966	0.0503	37.7
2	Logan Webb	0.0673	0.0365	31.6
3	Michael Kopech	0.0959	0.1540	30.6
4	George Kirby	0.0549	0.0251	27.3
5	Alek Manoah	0.0713	0.1422	26.8
6	Braxton Garrett	0.0770	0.0440	25.9
7	Blake Snell	0.0937	0.1334	24.8
8	Brad Keller	0.0895	0.2133	24.8
9	Cristopher Sánchez	0.0959	0.0404	24.5
10	Daniel Bard	0.1001	0.2112	24.3

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Steele	0.0951	0.0503	37.0
2	Logan Webb	0.0688	0.0365	33.3
3	Blake Snell	0.0903	0.1334	26.9
4	Yusei Kikuchi	0.1000	0.0686	26.8
5	George Kirby	0.0533	0.0251	26.5
6	Michael Kopech	0.1025	0.1540	26.4
7	Alek Manoah	0.0743	0.1422	25.3
8	Braxton Garrett	0.0754	0.0440	25.2
9	Daniel Bard	0.0974	0.2112	24.8
10	Brad Keller	0.0893	0.2133	24.7

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	JP Sears	0.0086	0.0218	9.5
2	Kyle Freeland	0.0146	0.0015	9.0
3	Aaron Nola	0.0109	0.0013	7.8
4	Yohan Ramírez	0.0199	0.0625	7.5
5	Kevin Kelly	0.0114	0.0362	6.8
6	MacKenzie Gore	0.0127	0.0017	6.5
7	Zac Gallen	0.0134	0.0059	6.5
8	Alexis Díaz	0.0126	0.0350	6.3
9	Lucas Sims	0.0143	0.0388	6.3
10	Noah Syndergaard	0.0095	0.0256	6.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Nola	0.0104	0.0013	8.5
2	JP Sears	0.0088	0.0218	8.4
3	Yohan Ramírez	0.0149	0.0625	8.1
4	Kyle Freeland	0.0118	0.0015	8.0
5	Lucas Sims	0.0114	0.0388	6.7
6	Logan Gilbert	0.0093	0.0026	6.3
7	Alexis Díaz	0.0114	0.0350	6.3
8	Peter Strzelecki	0.0102	0.0491	6.1
9	Noah Syndergaard	0.0087	0.0256	6.0
10	Kevin Kelly	0.0131	0.0362	6.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Kopech	0.0044	0.0186	8.6
2	Aaron Nola	0.0119	0.0013	8.1
3	Noah Syndergaard	0.0068	0.0256	7.5
4	Kyle Freeland	0.0125	0.0015	7.2
5	Tanner Houck	0.0277	0.0130	6.7
6	Lucas Sims	0.0155	0.0388	6.1
7	Peter Strzelecki	0.0124	0.0491	6.0
8	Brandon Williamson	0.0166	0.0041	6.0
9	JP Sears	0.0142	0.0218	5.8
10	Lucas Giolito	0.0046	0.0113	5.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Nola	0.0104	0.0013	8.5
2	JP Sears	0.0087	0.0218	8.5
3	Kyle Freeland	0.0119	0.0015	8.1
4	Yohan Ramírez	0.0152	0.0625	8.0
5	Lucas Sims	0.0114	0.0388	6.7
6	Logan Gilbert	0.0093	0.0026	6.4
7	Alexis Díaz	0.0115	0.0350	6.3
8	Peter Strzelecki	0.0101	0.0491	6.1
9	Noah Syndergaard	0.0087	0.0256	6.0
10	Logan Allen	0.0114	0.0019	6.0

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yohan Ramírez	0.0000	0.0625	9.0
2	Aaron Nola	0.0000	0.0013	8.0
3	JP Sears	0.0000	0.0218	7.6
4	Lucas Sims	0.0000	0.0388	7.1
5	Kevin Kelly	0.0000	0.0362	6.9
6	Logan Gilbert	0.0000	0.0026	6.8
7	Alexis Díaz	0.0000	0.0350	6.7
8	Kyle Freeland	0.0000	0.0015	6.7
9	Jason Adam	0.0000	0.0405	6.5
10	Peter Strzelecki	0.0000	0.0491	6.1

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance Lynn	0.0477	0.0813	25.2
2	Josiah Gray	0.0762	0.0472	21.9
3	Sonny Gray	0.0417	0.0157	21.4
4	Lucas Giolito	0.0530	0.0807	20.1
5	Gerrit Cole	0.0587	0.0368	20.0
6	Michael Kopech	0.0467	0.0817	19.2
7	JP Sears	0.0407	0.0673	17.8
8	MacKenzie Gore	0.0425	0.0724	16.0
9	Charlie Morton	0.0501	0.0320	14.8
10	Kyle Hendricks	0.0516	0.0286	14.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance Lynn	0.0493	0.0813	23.6
2	Sonny Gray	0.0400	0.0157	20.5
3	Lucas Giolito	0.0536	0.0807	19.2
4	JP Sears	0.0415	0.0673	16.9
5	Hunter Brown	0.0341	0.0615	16.3
6	Jordan Lyles	0.0462	0.0676	13.9
7	MacKenzie Gore	0.0463	0.0724	13.5
8	Gerrit Cole	0.0501	0.0368	13.3
9	Michael Kopech	0.0565	0.0817	13.2
10	Tanner Bibee	0.0524	0.0330	13.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance Lynn	0.0477	0.0813	25.9
2	Lucas Giolito	0.0486	0.0807	24.2
3	Sonny Gray	0.0405	0.0157	19.9
4	Joe Ryan	0.0435	0.0736	19.2
5	JP Sears	0.0412	0.0673	18.0
6	Luis Castillo	0.0304	0.0536	17.4
7	MacKenzie Gore	0.0412	0.0724	17.3
8	Dean Kremer	0.0282	0.0521	16.4
9	Taj Bradley	0.0423	0.0790	16.2
10	Michael Kopech	0.0530	0.0817	16.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance Lynn	0.0497	0.0813	23.4
2	Sonny Gray	0.0404	0.0157	20.6
3	Lucas Giolito	0.0536	0.0807	19.4
4	JP Sears	0.0410	0.0673	17.4
5	Hunter Brown	0.0368	0.0615	14.6
6	MacKenzie Gore	0.0450	0.0724	14.4
7	Jordan Lyles	0.0467	0.0676	13.6
8	Gerrit Cole	0.0504	0.0368	13.4
9	Josiah Gray	0.0635	0.0472	13.3
10	Johnny Cueto	0.0449	0.1056	12.6

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.0410	0.0807	25.9
2	Lance Lynn	0.0438	0.0813	24.5
3	Sonny Gray	0.0383	0.0157	22.4
4	Gerrit Cole	0.0529	0.0368	19.1
5	Josiah Gray	0.0661	0.0472	18.2
6	Johan Oviedo	0.0490	0.0361	15.7
7	MacKenzie Gore	0.0390	0.0724	15.3
8	Taj Bradley	0.0389	0.0790	15.2
9	Michael Kopech	0.0506	0.0817	14.1
10	Kyle Hendricks	0.0457	0.0286	14.0

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jack Flaherty	0.2793	0.3563	46.4
2	Jordan Lyles	0.3023	0.2546	39.8
3	Dylan Cease	0.2791	0.3305	35.8
4	Blake Snell	0.2961	0.2558	34.1
5	Corbin Burnes	0.2803	0.2439	33.0
6	Adam Wainwright	0.2837	0.3569	32.8
7	Miles Mikolas	0.2641	0.3077	32.7
8	David Peterson	0.2979	0.3699	32.6
9	Tyler Wells	0.2620	0.2000	31.8
10	Kyle Muller	0.2834	0.3721	30.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jack Flaherty	0.2892	0.3563	44.2
2	Tyler Wells	0.2850	0.2000	39.5
3	Corbin Burnes	0.2920	0.2439	37.0
4	David Peterson	0.2964	0.3699	36.6
5	Dylan Cease	0.2857	0.3305	35.8
6	Jordan Lyles	0.3010	0.2546	34.0
7	Wade Miley	0.2987	0.2345	31.0
8	Kyle Muller	0.2911	0.3721	30.5
9	Adam Wainwright	0.2975	0.3569	29.2
10	Matt Brash	0.2897	0.3804	28.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jack Flaherty	0.2639	0.3563	57.6
2	Jordan Lyles	0.3029	0.2546	38.8
3	Corbin Burnes	0.2888	0.2439	38.1
4	David Peterson	0.2917	0.3699	36.7
5	Dylan Cease	0.2806	0.3305	36.2
6	Tyler Wells	0.2714	0.2000	35.3
7	Blake Snell	0.2963	0.2558	32.8
8	Adam Wainwright	0.2872	0.3569	32.0
9	Kyle Muller	0.2857	0.3721	30.8
10	Wade Miley	0.2903	0.2345	29.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Medina	0.4103	0.3065	52.1
2	Jack Flaherty	0.2861	0.3563	44.7
3	Dylan Cease	0.2743	0.3305	42.9
4	Corbin Burnes	0.2948	0.2439	41.1
5	Wade Miley	0.3075	0.2345	36.5
6	Jordan Lyles	0.2984	0.2546	33.9
7	David Peterson	0.3030	0.3699	32.2
8	Tyler Wells	0.2664	0.2000	31.9
9	Bryce Elder	0.3154	0.2743	31.1
10	Kyle Muller	0.2891	0.3721	30.3

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jack Flaherty	0.2724	0.3563	46.0
2	Tyler Wells	0.2694	0.2000	38.8
3	David Peterson	0.2792	0.3699	38.1
4	Dylan Cease	0.2702	0.3305	37.0
5	Kyle Muller	0.2666	0.3721	34.4
6	Adam Wainwright	0.2770	0.3569	32.3
7	Tyler Holton	0.2938	0.2117	30.9
8	Paul Blackburn	0.2704	0.3498	30.8
9	Michael Tonkin	0.3143	0.2406	28.2
10	Brady Singer	0.2763	0.3293	27.9

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.2236	0.1617	48.1
2	David Peterson	0.2192	0.2979	37.6
3	Pablo López	0.2014	0.2490	36.2
4	Jack Flaherty	0.2117	0.2604	30.1
5	Nick Pivetta	0.2182	0.1692	30.1
6	Lucas Giolito	0.2214	0.1863	29.8
7	Luis Castillo	0.2173	0.1842	28.4
8	Joe Ryan	0.1838	0.2283	28.3
9	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2079	0.2500	27.8
10	Tyler Wells	0.1956	0.1414	26.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.3010	0.1617	47.1
2	David Peterson	0.2964	0.2979	38.3
3	Nick Pivetta	0.2995	0.1692	31.7
4	Tyler Wells	0.2850	0.1414	31.6
5	Jack Flaherty	0.2892	0.2604	30.9
6	Matt Brash	0.2897	0.3129	30.7
7	Chris Flexen	0.2892	0.2708	27.0
8	Johan Oviedo	0.2994	0.1890	26.6
9	Luis Castillo	0.2936	0.1842	26.5
10	Wade Miley	0.2987	0.1695	25.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.3029	0.1617	51.9
2	Jack Flaherty	0.2639	0.2604	44.4
3	David Peterson	0.2917	0.2979	38.4
4	Nick Pivetta	0.2976	0.1692	33.2
5	Jon Gray	0.2836	0.2564	29.2
6	Matt Brash	0.2910	0.3129	28.8
7	Yu Darvish	0.2665	0.2445	28.6
8	Pablo López	0.2854	0.2490	28.3
9	Adrian Houser	0.2776	0.2641	28.0
10	Kutter Crawford	0.3095	0.1856	27.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Miller	0.2191	0.1907	132.7
2	Colin Rea	0.2191	0.1930	126.6
3	Logan Allen	0.2191	0.2351	108.9
4	Adam Wainwright	0.2191	0.2534	89.3
5	Bryan Hoeing	0.2191	0.1517	87.0
6	Bryan Woo	0.2191	0.2115	84.0
7	Michael Tonkin	0.2191	0.2028	76.4
8	Emmet Sheehan	0.2191	0.1644	67.8
9	Drew VerHagen	0.2191	0.1890	66.7
10	Albert Abreu	0.2191	0.1975	64.4

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.0000	0.1617	42.9
2	David Peterson	0.0000	0.2979	38.8
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.2191	0.2258	36.5
4	Tyler Wells	0.0000	0.1414	36.5
5	Andrew Suárez	0.2191	0.1868	32.7
6	Dylan Covey	0.2191	0.2701	32.1
7	Nick Pivetta	0.0000	0.1692	29.3
8	Matt Brash	0.0000	0.3129	28.9
9	Domingo Germán	0.0000	0.1556	28.2
10	Luis Castillo	0.0000	0.1842	28.0

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Greene	0.0703	0.1218	24.4
2	Brady Singer	0.0538	0.0894	23.3
3	Dane Dunning	0.0815	0.0543	21.4
4	Pablo López	0.0764	0.0535	20.3
5	Kevin Gausman	0.0691	0.0958	18.4
6	Jon Gray	0.0627	0.0373	18.3
7	Tyler Anderson	0.0641	0.0955	18.2
8	Rich Hill	0.0714	0.0993	16.8
9	Adam Wainwright	0.0612	0.0981	16.6
10	Jack Flaherty	0.0631	0.0909	16.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Greene	0.0000	0.1218	26.1
2	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0389	23.9
3	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0373	21.1
4	Kevin Gausman	0.0000	0.0958	20.1
5	Luke Weaver	0.0000	0.1050	20.0
6	José Soriano	0.0694	0.0316	19.8
7	Rich Hill	0.0000	0.0993	19.7
8	Jesús Luzardo	0.0000	0.0956	19.4
9	Ken Waldichuk	0.0000	0.0968	17.5
10	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0955	16.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Colin Rea	0.0694	0.0526	44.6
2	Bryan Woo	0.0694	0.0529	31.9
3	Hunter Greene	0.0000	0.1218	26.1
4	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0389	23.9
5	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0373	21.1
6	Kevin Gausman	0.0000	0.0958	20.1
7	Luke Weaver	0.0000	0.1050	20.0
8	José Soriano	0.0694	0.0316	19.8
9	Rich Hill	0.0000	0.0993	19.7
10	Dylan Covey	0.0694	0.0365	19.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Colin Rea	0.0694	0.0526	44.5
2	Jesse Scholtens	0.0694	0.0441	35.7
3	Michael Tonkin	0.0694	0.0330	34.4
4	Logan Allen	0.0694	0.0793	31.9
5	Bryan Woo	0.0694	0.0529	31.9
6	Ian Gibaut	0.0694	0.0478	28.9
7	Elvis Peguero	0.0694	0.0244	28.8
8	Hunter Greene	0.0000	0.1218	26.1
9	Tom Cosgrove	0.0694	0.0149	25.4
10	Andrew Vasquez	0.0694	0.0282	24.2

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Greene	0.0000	0.1218	26.1
2	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0389	23.9
3	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0373	21.1
4	Kevin Gausman	0.0000	0.0958	20.1
5	Luke Weaver	0.0000	0.1050	20.0
6	Rich Hill	0.0000	0.0993	19.7
7	Dylan Covey	0.0694	0.0365	19.5
8	Jesús Luzardo	0.0000	0.0956	19.4
9	Ken Waldichuk	0.0000	0.0968	17.5
10	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0955	16.4

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Peter Lambert	0.0058	0.0356	10.9
2	Dylan Cease	0.0049	0.0194	10.8
3	Ryne Nelson	0.0105	0.0221	6.7
4	Drew Smith	0.0000	0.0280	6.6
5	Alec Marsh	0.0060	0.0259	6.5
6	Corbin Burnes	0.0095	0.0020	6.4
7	Patrick Corbin	0.0087	0.0017	6.1
8	Tanner Banks	0.0000	0.0230	5.7
9	Freddy Peralta	0.0075	0.0000	5.6
10	Fernando Cruz	0.0000	0.0207	5.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Peter Lambert	0.0000	0.0356	11.1
2	Dylan Cease	0.0000	0.0194	10.5
3	Ryne Nelson	0.0000	0.0221	10.0
4	Lucas Giolito	0.0000	0.0150	7.1
5	Alec Marsh	0.0000	0.0259	6.8
6	Drew Smith	0.0000	0.0280	5.4
7	George Kirby	0.0000	0.0130	5.3
8	Sean Manaea	0.0000	0.0163	5.1
9	José Ureña	0.0000	0.0290	4.7
10	Ray Kerr	0.0000	0.0469	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Peter Lambert	0.0000	0.0356	11.1
2	Dylan Cease	0.0000	0.0194	10.5
3	Ryne Nelson	0.0000	0.0221	10.0
4	Lucas Giolito	0.0000	0.0150	7.1
5	Alec Marsh	0.0000	0.0259	6.8
6	Drew Smith	0.0000	0.0280	5.4
7	George Kirby	0.0000	0.0130	5.3
8	Sean Manaea	0.0000	0.0163	5.1
9	José Ureña	0.0000	0.0290	4.7
10	Ray Kerr	0.0000	0.0469	4.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Peter Lambert	0.0000	0.0356	11.1
2	Dylan Cease	0.0000	0.0194	10.5
3	Ryne Nelson	0.0000	0.0221	10.0
4	Lucas Giolito	0.0000	0.0150	7.1
5	Alec Marsh	0.0000	0.0259	6.8
6	Logan Allen	0.0060	0.0000	6.5
7	Bryce Miller	0.0060	0.0000	6.5
8	Drew Smith	0.0000	0.0280	5.4
9	George Kirby	0.0000	0.0130	5.3
10	Sean Manaea	0.0000	0.0163	5.1

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Peter Lambert	0.0000	0.0356	11.1
2	Dylan Cease	0.0000	0.0194	10.5
3	Ryne Nelson	0.0000	0.0221	10.0
4	Lucas Giolito	0.0000	0.0150	7.1
5	Alec Marsh	0.0000	0.0259	6.8
6	Drew Smith	0.0000	0.0280	5.4
7	George Kirby	0.0000	0.0130	5.3
8	Sean Manaea	0.0000	0.0163	5.1
9	José Ureña	0.0000	0.0290	4.7
10	Ray Kerr	0.0000	0.0469	4.7

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0997	0.1839	37.7
2	Blake Snell	0.1063	0.0633	36.5
3	Kyle Bradish	0.1260	0.0805	34.7
4	Lance Lynn	0.1093	0.1572	33.7
5	Jordan Lyles	0.1275	0.1738	30.0
6	Chris Flexen	0.1053	0.1738	29.1
7	Kodai Senga	0.1216	0.0865	28.7
8	Joey Wentz	0.1128	0.1768	28.4
9	Luis Severino	0.1025	0.1751	27.7
10	Sonny Gray	0.1075	0.0782	26.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Blake Snell	0.0987	0.0633	31.9
2	Sonny Gray	0.1128	0.0782	31.8
3	Lance Lynn	0.1121	0.1572	30.2
4	Kyle Bradish	0.1158	0.0805	28.8
5	Tanner Bibee	0.1232	0.0838	27.5
6	Adam Wainwright	0.1211	0.1839	26.7
7	Luis Severino	0.1039	0.1751	26.5
8	Josiah Gray	0.1313	0.1032	25.0
9	Jordan Lyles	0.1352	0.1738	23.2
10	Hunter Brown	0.0998	0.1414	22.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Bradish	0.1294	0.0805	35.3
2	Adam Wainwright	0.1118	0.1839	33.1
3	Lance Lynn	0.1127	0.1572	33.0
4	Blake Snell	0.1040	0.0633	32.9
5	Luis Severino	0.1030	0.1751	28.5
6	Shintaro Fujinami	0.1002	0.1821	27.9
7	Jordan Lyles	0.1336	0.1738	27.3
8	Tanner Bibee	0.1242	0.0838	25.8
9	Sonny Gray	0.1081	0.0782	25.3
10	Chris Flexen	0.1182	0.1738	24.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Bibee	0.1452	0.0838	41.4
2	Blake Snell	0.0997	0.0633	33.9
3	Lance Lynn	0.1085	0.1572	31.8
4	Sonny Gray	0.1087	0.0782	30.1
5	Kyle Bradish	0.1146	0.0805	29.2
6	Jordan Lyles	0.1285	0.1738	26.9
7	Luis Severino	0.1017	0.1751	26.7
8	Adam Wainwright	0.1216	0.1839	25.6
9	Joey Wentz	0.1171	0.1768	24.8
10	Gavin Williams	0.1548	0.0928	24.7

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Colin Rea	0.0000	0.1257	60.2
2	Jesse Scholtens	0.0000	0.1432	50.5
3	Ben Lively	0.0000	0.1384	49.4
4	Alec Marsh	0.0000	0.1462	46.8
5	Tanner Bibee	0.0000	0.0838	43.5
6	Andrew Abbott	0.0000	0.1024	42.7
7	Bryan Hoeing	0.0000	0.1480	42.2
8	Quinn Priester	0.0000	0.1838	40.8
9	Bryan Woo	0.0000	0.1186	40.5
10	Zack Littell	0.0000	0.1135	39.5

Earned Run Rate

Biggest Earned Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance Lynn	0.0950	0.1448	34.9
2	Blake Snell	0.0993	0.0606	33.6
3	Adam Wainwright	0.0954	0.1715	33.6
4	Kyle Bradish	0.1182	0.0790	30.8
5	Jordan Lyles	0.1204	0.1658	29.0
6	Joey Wentz	0.1006	0.1646	28.2
7	Chris Flexen	0.1002	0.1674	28.2
8	Kodai Senga	0.1124	0.0793	27.6
9	Gerrit Cole	0.0972	0.0743	24.2
10	Luis Severino	0.0957	0.1583	23.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Blake Snell	0.0910	0.0606	27.5
2	Lance Lynn	0.1041	0.1448	27.4
3	Sonny Gray	0.1039	0.0756	26.4
4	Adam Wainwright	0.1119	0.1715	25.6
5	Kyle Muller	0.1023	0.1747	24.4
6	Tanner Bibee	0.1151	0.0803	24.3
7	Jordan Lyles	0.1267	0.1658	24.2
8	Hunter Brown	0.0905	0.1323	23.3
9	Kyle Bradish	0.1070	0.0790	23.3
10	Chris Flexen	0.1107	0.1674	23.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.1027	0.1715	31.7
2	Lance Lynn	0.1036	0.1448	30.6
3	Kyle Bradish	0.1196	0.0790	29.5
4	Blake Snell	0.0963	0.0606	29.0
5	Shintaro Fujinami	0.0929	0.1765	28.6
6	Jordan Lyles	0.1242	0.1658	28.6
7	Kyle Muller	0.1025	0.1747	25.6
8	Chris Flexen	0.1093	0.1674	25.5
9	Luis Severino	0.0960	0.1583	24.6
10	Noah Syndergaard	0.0986	0.1637	24.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Bibee	0.1355	0.0803	37.2
2	Blake Snell	0.0922	0.0606	29.7
3	Lance Lynn	0.1004	0.1448	29.0
4	Jordan Lyles	0.1206	0.1658	27.4
5	Sonny Gray	0.1001	0.0756	24.9
6	Adam Wainwright	0.1124	0.1715	24.5
7	Justin Steele	0.1079	0.0824	24.3
8	Kyle Muller	0.1023	0.1747	23.8
9	Kyle Bradish	0.1059	0.0790	23.7
10	Carlos Rodón	0.0807	0.1713	23.5

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josiah Gray	0.1294	0.0989	28.1
2	Adam Wainwright	0.1055	0.1715	27.2
3	Lance Lynn	0.1019	0.1448	26.8
4	Luis Severino	0.0846	0.1583	26.6
5	Chris Flexen	0.1021	0.1674	25.9
6	Blake Snell	0.0857	0.0606	25.8
7	Kyle Bradish	0.1052	0.0790	24.1
8	Hogan Harris	0.0815	0.1761	24.1
9	Carlos Rodón	0.0800	0.1713	23.3
10	Jordan Lyles	0.1253	0.1658	23.0

Win Rate

Biggest Win Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Strider	0.2250	0.6250	266.2
2	Justin Steele	0.1500	0.5333	237.9
3	Zach Eflin	0.1563	0.5161	217.1
4	Zac Gallen	0.2143	0.5000	198.5
5	Michael Wacha	0.2105	0.5833	177.9
6	Mitch Keller	0.1395	0.4063	177.9
7	Brayan Bello	0.1176	0.4286	173.6
8	Bryce Elder	0.1212	0.3871	157.2
9	Kyle Bradish	0.1282	0.4000	148.1
10	Kyle Gibson	0.2250	0.4545	144.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.P. France	0.0525	0.4583	232.6
2	Bryce Elder	0.0707	0.3871	227.5
3	Dane Dunning	0.0869	0.3429	180.7
4	Bobby Miller	0.1393	0.5000	179.3
5	Spencer Strider	0.4238	0.6250	149.2
6	Michael Wacha	0.3090	0.5833	148.6
7	Hunter Brown	0.1301	0.3548	145.7
8	Bryce Miller	0.0512	0.3200	141.3
9	Zack Greinke	0.2950	0.0667	138.7
10	Justin Steele	0.3396	0.5333	134.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Strider	0.3333	0.6250	223.8
2	Michael Wacha	0.2174	0.5833	203.3
3	Justin Steele	0.2609	0.5333	196.3
4	J.P. France	0.1429	0.4583	184.3
5	Kyle Gibson	0.2308	0.4545	181.9
6	Zac Gallen	0.3103	0.5000	161.9
7	Dylan Cease	0.4194	0.2121	161.2
8	Mitch Keller	0.2143	0.4063	159.8
9	Seth Lugo	0.0588	0.3077	151.3
10	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.2800	0.5000	137.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.P. France	0.0620	0.4583	239.1
2	Dane Dunning	0.0876	0.3429	195.3
3	Spencer Strider	0.3859	0.6250	194.1
4	Bobby Miller	0.1373	0.5000	190.9
5	Bryce Elder	0.1465	0.3871	187.3
6	Justin Steele	0.3011	0.5333	177.2
7	Zach Eflin	0.3166	0.5161	151.0
8	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.2740	0.5000	149.8
9	Tylor Megill	0.1336	0.3600	137.0
10	Sandy Alcantara	0.4448	0.2500	136.8

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Bibee	0.0007	0.4000	239.8
2	Justin Steele	0.2692	0.5333	196.7
3	Spencer Strider	0.3929	0.6250	185.2
4	Andrew Abbott	0.0010	0.3810	179.3
5	Zach Eflin	0.2857	0.5161	169.4
6	J.P. France	0.2000	0.4583	156.2
7	Taijuan Walker	0.2857	0.4839	153.0
8	Kyle Gibson	0.2857	0.4545	144.8
9	Zac Gallen	0.3438	0.5000	141.1
10	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.2857	0.5000	139.6

Loss Rate

Biggest Loss Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	JP Sears	0.1250	0.4375	187.3
2	Hunter Brown	0.0909	0.4194	180.0
3	Johan Oviedo	0.1563	0.4375	174.6
4	Joey Wentz	0.1212	0.5200	167.8
5	Jordan Lyles	0.2683	0.5484	166.3
6	Lucas Giolito	0.2000	0.4545	156.3
7	Zack Greinke	0.1892	0.5000	150.1
8	Charlie Morton	0.1463	0.4000	140.3
9	Rich Hill	0.1842	0.4375	129.1
10	Logan Webb	0.1860	0.3939	127.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Brown	0.0981	0.4194	210.3
2	Johan Oviedo	0.1701	0.4375	205.0
3	Luis Medina	0.0524	0.4348	186.8
4	JP Sears	0.1798	0.4375	185.7
5	Tanner Houck	0.0943	0.4762	174.5
6	Dean Kremer	0.3763	0.1563	165.4
7	Martín Pérez	0.3730	0.1143	160.4
8	Gerrit Cole	0.2808	0.1212	135.2
9	Taijuan Walker	0.3672	0.1935	131.0
10	Justin Steele	0.3379	0.1667	126.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johan Oviedo	0.2222	0.4375	167.8
2	JP Sears	0.2308	0.4375	151.6
3	Patrick Sandoval	0.2400	0.4643	145.9
4	Tanner Houck	0.1613	0.4762	145.6
5	Hunter Brown	0.2143	0.4194	136.1
6	Jordan Montgomery	0.1724	0.3438	132.8
7	Charlie Morton	0.2143	0.4000	132.6
8	Logan Webb	0.2414	0.3939	129.3
9	Seth Lugo	0.0588	0.2692	126.8
10	Martín Pérez	0.3103	0.1143	119.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johan Oviedo	0.1678	0.4375	197.8
2	JP Sears	0.1883	0.4375	171.1
3	Joey Wentz	0.1781	0.5200	160.1
4	Tanner Houck	0.1152	0.4762	159.5
5	Adam Wainwright	0.2034	0.5238	147.1
6	Dean Kremer	0.3282	0.1563	138.5
7	Jordan Lyles	0.3527	0.5484	134.1
8	Martín Pérez	0.3116	0.1143	130.0
9	Patrick Sandoval	0.2517	0.4643	127.9
10	Lucas Giolito	0.2825	0.4545	123.6

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Elder	0.4000	0.1290	191.1
2	Alec Marsh	0.0006	0.5294	184.2
3	Shintaro Fujinami	0.6111	0.1250	170.0
4	Ben Lively	0.0006	0.3684	144.7
5	JP Sears	0.2609	0.4375	137.1
6	Andrew Abbott	0.0010	0.2857	135.2
7	Martín Pérez	0.3448	0.1143	134.2
8	Jesse Scholtens	0.0004	0.3462	134.1
9	Patrick Sandoval	0.2759	0.4643	129.3
10	Tanner Houck	0.2083	0.4762	128.6

Save Rate

Biggest Save Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Bednar	0.1750	0.5909	119.9
2	Carlos Estévez	0.0851	0.4921	119.1
3	Alexis Díaz	0.1316	0.5211	116.2
4	Devin Williams	0.1250	0.5902	111.3
5	Alex Lange	0.0213	0.3881	110.5
6	Félix Bautista	0.1463	0.5893	109.0
7	Camilo Doval	0.2340	0.5652	97.8
8	Jhoan Duran	0.1026	0.4576	94.8
9	Kyle Finnegan	0.1200	0.4179	90.7
10	Adbert Alzolay	0.0417	0.3793	89.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Bard	0.4078	0.0200	91.9
2	Adbert Alzolay	0.0655	0.3793	77.3
3	Jhoan Duran	0.1568	0.4576	74.6
4	Will Smith	0.0324	0.3667	73.7
5	Tanner Banks	0.3092	0.0313	73.0
6	Jorge López	0.2816	0.0492	64.0
7	Carlos Estévez	0.2573	0.4921	63.6
8	José Leclerc	0.3198	0.0702	60.1
9	Evan Phillips	0.1309	0.3871	58.0
10	Yonny Chirinos	0.1408	0.0000	54.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Bard	0.5278	0.0200	120.5
2	Jorge López	0.4479	0.0492	109.2
3	Yonny Chirinos	0.2406	0.0000	92.6
4	José Leclerc	0.4042	0.0702	80.6
5	Tanner Banks	0.3274	0.0313	78.5
6	Will Smith	0.0341	0.3667	72.5
7	David Robertson	0.5278	0.2903	67.0
8	Jhoan Duran	0.1904	0.4576	65.2
9	Carlos Estévez	0.2615	0.4921	61.5
10	Scott Barlow	0.3790	0.2063	55.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Estévez	0.1080	0.4921	104.8
2	Adbert Alzolay	0.0529	0.3793	79.8
3	Daniel Bard	0.3527	0.0200	79.8
4	Trevor May	0.0303	0.4286	79.4
5	Will Smith	0.0309	0.3667	73.4
6	Kyle Finnegan	0.1543	0.4179	72.7
7	Paul Sewald	0.2504	0.5231	65.1
8	Jhoan Duran	0.2003	0.4576	62.8
9	Evan Phillips	0.1080	0.3871	62.7
10	Alexis Díaz	0.3086	0.5211	57.6

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge López	0.5641	0.0492	137.1
2	Daniel Bard	0.4394	0.0200	97.4
3	Will Smith	0.0000	0.3667	82.8
4	Carlos Estévez	0.2000	0.4921	82.0
5	Adbert Alzolay	0.0952	0.3793	71.8
6	Michael Fulmer	0.3137	0.0345	66.3
7	Michael King	0.2692	0.1224	63.4
8	Dylan Floro	0.3667	0.1129	63.0
9	Clay Holmes	0.6038	0.3636	63.0
10	José Leclerc	0.3281	0.0702	60.2

Hold Rate

Biggest Hold Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	0.2045	0.0000	102.4
2	Yennier Cano	0.1111	0.4306	100.3
3	Colin Holderman	0.0870	0.4655	99.3
4	Josh Winckowski	0.0833	0.3167	98.5
5	Joel Payamps	0.0833	0.3913	98.4
6	Jason Foley	0.1250	0.4000	85.6
7	Mark Leiter Jr.	0.1290	0.4058	83.9
8	Michael Lorenzen	0.1622	0.0000	79.3
9	Erik Swanson	0.1667	0.4203	75.6
10	Michael Kopech	0.1628	0.0000	75.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yennier Cano	0.0432	0.4306	106.2
2	Josh Winckowski	0.0161	0.3167	105.8
3	Joel Payamps	0.0153	0.3913	104.4
4	Mark Leiter Jr.	0.0301	0.4058	97.8
5	Nick Martinez	0.0149	0.2381	97.3
6	Justin Topa	0.0129	0.3067	78.5
7	Tyler Rogers	0.1919	0.4412	73.3
8	Elvis Peguero	0.0583	0.3559	71.9
9	Tyler Holton	0.0181	0.2373	67.1
10	Danny Coulombe	0.0302	0.3607	66.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adbert Alzolay	0.6296	0.1207	131.7
2	Jakob Junis	0.3724	0.0500	122.5
3	Yennier Cano	0.0159	0.4306	114.1
4	Joel Payamps	0.0153	0.3913	104.6
5	Jaime Barria	0.3333	0.0588	103.5
6	Josh Winckowski	0.0268	0.3167	102.2
7	Mark Leiter Jr.	0.0186	0.4058	101.1
8	Nick Martinez	0.0148	0.2381	97.6
9	Michael King	0.3535	0.1633	86.9
10	Elvis Peguero	0.0142	0.3559	83.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Martinez	0.0000	0.2381	107.2
2	Yennier Cano	0.0505	0.4306	106.0
3	Colin Holderman	0.0579	0.4655	96.5
4	Jason Foley	0.0463	0.4000	96.1
5	Joel Payamps	0.0515	0.3913	96.0
6	Josh Winckowski	0.0617	0.3167	91.6
7	Steven Wilson	0.0463	0.4231	81.3
8	Ian Gibaut	0.0644	0.3108	76.6
9	Elvis Peguero	0.0644	0.3559	72.1
10	Mark Leiter Jr.	0.1515	0.4058	66.9

Davenport

No data available.

ERA

Biggest ERA Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	3.5554	7.3960	1681.3
2	Lance Lynn	3.5677	5.7332	1453.4
3	Kyle Bradish	4.5636	2.8281	1410.7
4	Blake Snell	3.7721	2.2500	1401.5
5	Joey Wentz	3.8224	6.8991	1333.2
6	Chris Flexen	3.8037	6.8599	1253.3
7	Kodai Senga	4.3995	2.9760	1242.5
8	Luis Severino	3.5228	6.6493	1150.8
9	Alek Manoah	2.9032	5.8740	1080.7
10	Tanner Bibee	4.3995	2.9789	1045.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	4.3550	7.3960	1309.0
2	Kyle Muller	3.9293	7.5974	1239.4
3	Lance Lynn	3.9175	5.7332	1195.2
4	Sonny Gray	4.0123	2.7880	1176.8
5	Luis Severino	3.5987	6.6493	1131.7
6	Blake Snell	3.3951	2.2500	1099.4
7	Kyle Bradish	4.1149	2.8281	1089.2
8	Chris Flexen	4.2627	6.8599	1053.5
9	Carlos Carrasco	3.9497	6.8000	1048.3
10	Tanner Bibee	4.3987	2.9789	1027.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	3.9560	7.3960	1582.3
2	Kyle Bradish	4.6923	2.8281	1365.5
3	Lance Lynn	3.8952	5.7332	1347.1
4	Kyle Muller	3.9289	7.5974	1301.2
5	Luis Severino	3.5379	6.6493	1226.2
6	Shintaro Fujinami	3.7053	7.1772	1178.5
7	Chris Flexen	4.2273	6.8599	1147.2
8	Blake Snell	3.6087	2.2500	1134.8
9	Carlos Rodón	3.0318	6.8549	1044.6
10	Noah Syndergaard	3.7100	6.4962	1022.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Bibee	4.8774	2.9789	1357.9
2	Adam Wainwright	4.3995	7.3960	1245.8
3	Lance Lynn	3.7693	5.7332	1245.4
4	Blake Snell	3.4506	2.2500	1204.4
5	Kyle Muller	3.9468	7.5974	1200.8
6	Luis Severino	3.5022	6.6493	1136.1
7	Sonny Gray	3.8517	2.7880	1120.7
8	Kyle Bradish	4.0670	2.8281	1114.9
9	Joey Wentz	4.2846	6.8991	1078.4
10	Justin Steele	4.1197	3.0635	1058.8

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	4.0415	7.3960	1406.7
2	Luis Severino	3.0986	6.6493	1293.7
3	Lance Lynn	3.8199	5.7332	1183.9
4	Kyle Muller	4.0105	7.5974	1167.6
5	Chris Flexen	3.9519	6.8599	1146.3
6	Kyle Bradish	4.0490	2.8281	1119.9
7	Josiah Gray	5.0086	3.9057	1082.7
8	Carlos Carrasco	3.7676	6.8000	1077.6
9	Dinelson Lamet	3.9000	11.7108	1067.6
10	Blake Snell	3.1796	2.2500	1022.3

WHIP

Biggest WHIP Misses

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	1.2028	1.9010	307.7
2	Alek Manoah	1.0772	1.7405	249.4
3	Kyle Bradish	1.3466	1.0435	245.3
4	Kyle Muller	1.3139	1.9610	217.5
5	Mitch Keller	1.4410	1.2453	212.9
6	George Kirby	1.2422	1.0385	201.5
7	Luis Severino	1.1184	1.6455	193.8
8	Joey Wentz	1.2355	1.6845	190.2
9	Michael Kopech	1.2105	1.5928	189.1
10	Zach Eflin	1.2253	1.0244	185.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	1.3562	1.9010	249.0
2	Kyle Muller	1.3133	1.9610	229.6
3	Tylor Megill	1.1577	1.5752	219.5
4	Logan Webb	1.2898	1.0741	209.2
5	Kyle Bradish	1.3152	1.0435	202.7
6	Alek Manoah	1.2255	1.7405	201.1
7	Luis Severino	1.1838	1.6455	179.9
8	Zach Eflin	1.2433	1.0244	175.3
9	Carlos Carrasco	1.2595	1.7000	171.0
10	Ken Waldichuk	1.2625	1.5603	170.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	1.3122	1.9010	278.7
2	Alek Manoah	1.0663	1.7405	274.4
3	Jack Flaherty	1.1572	1.5797	266.3
4	Kyle Bradish	1.4017	1.0435	249.0
5	Kyle Muller	1.2854	1.9610	246.6
6	Luis Severino	1.1122	1.6455	217.0
7	Tylor Megill	1.2118	1.5752	198.8
8	Trevor Williams	1.3111	1.6005	182.2
9	Ken Waldichuk	1.2713	1.5603	176.5
10	Michael Kopech	1.2835	1.5928	175.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	1.3286	1.9010	254.2
2	Kyle Muller	1.3156	1.9610	222.6
3	Logan Webb	1.2765	1.0741	212.2
4	Kyle Bradish	1.3108	1.0435	211.0
5	Tylor Megill	1.1566	1.5752	210.6
6	Alek Manoah	1.1905	1.7405	208.6
7	Zach Eflin	1.2450	1.0244	188.2
8	Luis Severino	1.1639	1.6455	181.2
9	Wade Miley	1.4495	1.1385	175.5
10	Brandon Williamson	1.5886	1.2821	173.7

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	1.2579	1.9010	282.4
2	Kyle Muller	1.2603	1.9610	238.5
3	Luis Severino	1.0682	1.6455	215.9
4	Alek Manoah	1.1649	1.7405	214.1
5	Kyle Bradish	1.2777	1.0435	197.2
6	Jack Flaherty	1.2259	1.5797	191.2
7	Carlos Carrasco	1.2011	1.7000	183.2
8	Tyler Holton	1.3483	0.8672	175.2
9	Ken Waldichuk	1.2337	1.5603	170.6
10	Logan Webb	1.2077	1.0741	164.2