2023 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Oneil Cruz 577 40 537.0
2 Maikel Garcia 33 515 482.0
3 Austin Meadows 488 21 467.0
4 Michael Brantley 469 57 412.0
5 Jake Burger 132 540 408.0
6 Jose Miranda 555 152 403.0
7 Matt McLain 1 403 402.0
8 Brenton Doyle 33 431 398.0
9 Garrett Mitchell 458 73 385.0
10 Darick Hall 435 56 379.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Volpe 1 601 600.0
2 Masataka Yoshida 1 580 579.0
3 Ryan Noda 1 495 494.0
4 Jordan Walker 1 465 464.0
5 Brice Turang 1 448 447.0
6 Ben Gamel 449 15 434.0
7 Luke Voit 504 74 430.0
8 Brenton Doyle 1 431 430.0
9 Elly De La Cruz 1 427 426.0
10 Franmil Reyes 486 65 421.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Oneil Cruz 586 40 546.0
2 Austin Meadows 514 21 493.0
3 Brent Rooker 45 526 481.0
4 Maikel Garcia 44 515 471.0
5 Matt McLain 1 403 402.0
6 Luis Urías 578 177 401.0
7 Jake Burger 141 540 399.0
8 Avisaíl García 509 118 391.0
9 Brenton Doyle 46 431 385.0
10 Jose Miranda 534 152 382.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Oneil Cruz 582 40 541.8
2 Maikel Garcia 19 515 495.7
3 Austin Meadows 491 21 469.9
4 Jake Burger 99 540 441.1
5 Wil Myers 563 141 422.0
6 Avisaíl García 539 118 421.5
7 Jesús Aguilar 526 115 410.9
8 Brenton Doyle 26 431 404.7
9 Darick Hall 460 56 403.8
10 Matt McLain 1 403 402.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Siani 550 6 544.0
2 Livan Soto 554 12 542.0
3 Jacob Amaya 545 9 536.0
4 José Tena 563 34 529.0
5 Jonathan Ornelas 534 8 526.0
6 Eguy Rosario 552 37 515.0
7 Josh Lester 535 23 512.0
8 José Rodríguez 512 0 512.0
9 Mason McCoy 510 1 509.0
10 Colton Cowser 581 77 504.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Matt Olson 0.4159
0.3582
(36.1)
0.3521
(43.9)
0.3552
(45.7)
0.3590
(41.2)
0.3689
(28.9)
Yandy Díaz 0.4017
0.3233
(42.5)
0.3442
(32.9)
0.3483
(33.7)
0.3507
(30.8)
0.3451
(29.8)
Mookie Betts 0.4177
0.3553
(38.0)
0.3618
(36.8)
0.3636
(39.4)
0.3604
(40.0)
0.3655
(31.4)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.4287
0.3552
(48.4)
0.3608
(47.9)
0.3652
(48.7)
0.3662
(46.2)
0.3758
(33.8)
Shohei Ohtani 0.4391
0.3608
(42.4)
0.3664
(41.9)
0.3662
(45.3)
0.3675
(43.1)
0.3736
(35.1)
Marcell Ozuna 0.3815
0.3006
(43.4)
0.3172
(36.4)
0.3201
(38.0)
0.3217
(35.6)
0.3282
(27.4)
Corey Seager 0.4232
0.3486
(36.0)
0.3496
(38.0)
0.3555
(37.8)
0.3594
(34.4)
0.3510
(35.0)
Tim Anderson 0.2596
0.3242
(37.8)
0.3355
(41.2)
0.3231
(31.8)
0.3183
(30.6)
0.3263
(38.5)
Cody Bellinger 0.3720
0.2988
(36.5)
0.2849
(46.9)
0.3033
(39.7)
0.3101
(34.6)
0.3104
(30.4)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Steer 0.2855 0.3548 41.1
2 Nolan Jones 0.2976 0.3971 39.0
3 Brent Rooker 0.2810 0.3489 31.7
4 Matt McLain 0.2880 0.3702 30.1
5 Zack Gelof 0.2504 0.3581 30.0
6 Andrew Benintendi 0.3416 0.3017 29.5
7 Daulton Varsho 0.3342 0.2916 29.2
8 Adolis García 0.3013 0.3542 28.6
9 Ryan Noda 0.2783 0.3424 28.0
10 Jorge Soler 0.3074 0.3630 27.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.3570 0.2958 37.9
2 Nolan Jones 0.3062 0.3971 37.4
3 Spencer Steer 0.3053 0.3548 31.1
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3751 0.3312 29.6
5 Isaac Paredes 0.3081 0.3623 29.4
6 J.P. Crawford 0.3095 0.3579 29.1
7 Brenton Doyle 0.3184 0.2555 28.3
8 Jorge Soler 0.3122 0.3630 27.9
9 Brandon Marsh 0.2978 0.3589 27.6
10 Brice Turang 0.3184 0.2609 27.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adolis García 0.3009 0.3542 35.4
2 Brandon Marsh 0.2889 0.3589 34.4
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3851 0.3312 32.5
4 J.P. Crawford 0.3106 0.3579 31.9
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3917 0.3423 31.8
6 Freddie Freeman 0.3772 0.4153 29.8
7 Chas McCormick 0.3008 0.3612 28.9
8 Corbin Carroll 0.3256 0.3673 28.7
9 Luis Arraez 0.3306 0.3736 28.2
10 Josh Lowe 0.3034 0.3554 27.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3902 0.3312 37.2
2 Matt McLain 0.2829 0.3702 35.3
3 Brandon Marsh 0.2861 0.3589 34.5
4 Adolis García 0.3011 0.3542 33.7
5 Corbin Carroll 0.3158 0.3673 33.5
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3891 0.3423 31.6
7 Spencer Steer 0.3078 0.3548 31.5
8 Nolan Jones 0.3237 0.3971 31.3
9 Josh Lowe 0.2941 0.3554 30.9
10 J.P. Crawford 0.3109 0.3579 30.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3844 0.3312 38.2
2 Daulton Varsho 0.3480 0.2916 36.8
3 José Abreu 0.3469 0.2958 34.4
4 Brandon Marsh 0.2831 0.3589 32.5
5 George Springer 0.3576 0.3193 30.9
6 Carlos Correa 0.3562 0.3106 30.5
7 Brett Baty 0.3297 0.2629 28.7
8 Javier Báez 0.3052 0.2602 28.4
9 J.P. Crawford 0.3066 0.3579 28.3
10 Kris Bryant 0.3755 0.3019 27.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
DJ LeMahieu 0.2224
0.1407
(46.6)
0.1474
(41.3)
0.1379
(42.0)
0.1377
(42.8)
0.1353
(53.5)
Luis Robert Jr. 0.2891
0.2118
(46.7)
0.2215
(39.4)
0.1998
(47.3)
0.1999
(48.0)
0.2180
(47.1)
Gleyber Torres 0.1458
0.2077
(40.7)
0.2151
(47.5)
0.2072
(47.8)
0.2073
(47.1)
0.2106
(38.1)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1143
0.2385
(90.4)
0.2402
(93.7)
0.2264
(89.5)
0.2272
(89.3)
0.2340
(82.1)
Cody Bellinger 0.1565
0.2575
(55.5)
0.2515
(53.6)
0.2466
(55.5)
0.2481
(55.7)
0.2343
(38.8)
Ryan McMahon 0.3158
0.2517
(41.0)
0.2581
(35.3)
0.2558
(31.5)
0.2525
(34.3)
0.2605
(39.7)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.2923 0.1938 62.7
2 Dominic Smith 0.2378 0.1553 47.6
3 Bryson Stott 0.2238 0.1563 42.5
4 Joey Meneses 0.2616 0.1979 41.1
5 Brandon Belt 0.2527 0.3490 39.4
6 Adley Rutschman 0.2015 0.1470 36.6
7 Josh Lowe 0.3212 0.2475 36.3
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2268 0.1744 35.6
9 J.D. Martinez 0.2407 0.3111 34.3
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.2770 0.2220 34.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Noda 0.2273 0.3434 56.8
2 Brenton Doyle 0.2273 0.3503 52.4
3 Masataka Yoshida 0.2273 0.1397 51.7
4 Elly De La Cruz 0.2273 0.3372 46.3
5 Dominic Smith 0.2294 0.1553 44.3
6 James Outman 0.2406 0.3192 43.8
7 Luis García Jr. 0.2126 0.1245 43.2
8 Nick Pratto 0.2852 0.4000 39.1
9 Brandon Belt 0.2526 0.3490 38.3
10 Blake Sabol 0.2273 0.3401 38.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ezequiel Tovar 0.1760 0.2699 51.8
2 Corbin Carroll 0.2592 0.1938 48.4
3 Josh Lowe 0.3144 0.2475 38.4
4 Dominic Smith 0.2109 0.1553 38.3
5 Anthony Volpe 0.2061 0.2779 37.3
6 William Contreras 0.2572 0.2062 37.1
7 Luis García Jr. 0.1906 0.1245 36.6
8 Elehuris Montero 0.2362 0.3616 35.5
9 Bryson Stott 0.1968 0.1563 32.2
10 Alec Bohm 0.1967 0.1538 32.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.2671 0.1938 52.8
2 Ezequiel Tovar 0.1827 0.2699 48.4
3 Josh Lowe 0.3189 0.2475 40.1
4 William Contreras 0.2612 0.2062 38.9
5 Dominic Smith 0.2103 0.1553 37.3
6 Luis García Jr. 0.1901 0.1245 35.8
7 Elehuris Montero 0.2402 0.3616 34.6
8 Bryson Stott 0.2004 0.1563 33.8
9 Anthony Volpe 0.2139 0.2779 33.3
10 Alec Bohm 0.1966 0.1538 31.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ezequiel Tovar 0.1913 0.2699 53.3
2 Corbin Carroll 0.2793 0.1938 50.0
3 Nick Castellanos 0.2252 0.2757 39.3
4 Brandon Belt 0.2618 0.3490 38.5
5 Josh Lowe 0.3284 0.2475 36.5
6 Teoscar Hernández 0.2682 0.3112 34.6
7 Bryson Stott 0.2179 0.1563 34.3
8 Elehuris Montero 0.2593 0.3616 33.9
9 J.D. Martinez 0.2487 0.3111 33.7
10 Gabriel Arias 0.2386 0.3275 33.5

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Ha-Seong Kim 0.1198
0.0865
(19.3)
0.0840
(22.2)
0.0849
(21.9)
0.0845
(21.8)
0.0855
(19.8)
Mookie Betts 0.1385
0.1002
(24.9)
0.0981
(27.7)
0.1025
(25.0)
0.1017
(25.2)
0.1071
(19.9)
J.P. Crawford 0.1473
0.0917
(33.9)
0.0976
(31.5)
0.0996
(30.5)
0.0995
(30.2)
0.1026
(26.9)
Ian Happ 0.1433
0.0998
(28.3)
0.1010
(28.9)
0.1059
(25.9)
0.1037
(27.0)
0.1043
(25.1)
Lane Thomas 0.0528
0.0792
(19.7)
0.0915
(26.7)
0.0895
(25.0)
0.0887
(24.8)
0.0885
(26.1)
Kyle Schwarber 0.1750
0.1234
(35.4)
0.1241
(36.3)
0.1255
(35.7)
0.1251
(35.6)
0.1312
(29.6)
Andrew McCutchen 0.1586
0.1004
(26.3)
0.1086
(23.4)
0.1087
(23.6)
0.1079
(23.7)
0.1162
(18.8)
Aaron Judge 0.1921
0.1334
(25.8)
0.1299
(28.3)
0.1380
(24.8)
0.1399
(23.7)
0.1415
(22.0)
Adolis García 0.1028
0.0694
(19.6)
0.0611
(26.1)
0.0576
(28.6)
0.0576
(28.3)
0.0546
(28.8)
Randy Arozarena 0.1223
0.0818
(24.9)
0.0819
(26.2)
0.0813
(26.9)
0.0813
(26.5)
0.0820
(24.7)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0959 0.1464 24.9
2 Ryan Noda 0.1031 0.1556 24.7
3 Jack Suwinski 0.0956 0.1404 22.6
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1131 0.1519 21.8
5 Mike Tauchman 0.0882 0.1397 19.6
6 Trent Grisham 0.0973 0.1351 19.6
7 Nolan Gorman 0.0709 0.1142 18.9
8 James Outman 0.0842 0.1199 18.9
9 Luis Arraez 0.0846 0.0567 18.7
10 Masataka Yoshida 0.0874 0.0586 18.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Noda 0.0859 0.1556 34.3
2 Edouard Julien 0.0859 0.1569 28.8
3 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0907 0.1464 28.7
4 Brandon Marsh 0.0710 0.1250 25.3
5 Yasmani Grandal 0.1483 0.0889 24.2
6 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0793 0.0407 24.0
7 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0949 0.1285 24.0
8 Yainer Diaz 0.0861 0.0292 21.6
9 Matt Olson 0.1151 0.1444 20.8
10 Jack Suwinski 0.1013 0.1404 20.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Masataka Yoshida 0.1145 0.0586 32.4
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1493 0.0889 24.4
3 Brandon Marsh 0.0767 0.1250 22.8
4 Matt Olson 0.1151 0.1444 21.2
5 Esteury Ruiz 0.0819 0.0402 20.7
6 Nathaniel Lowe 0.1016 0.1285 19.5
7 Nolan Gorman 0.0731 0.1142 19.1
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.1206 0.1519 18.8
9 James Outman 0.0876 0.1199 18.4
10 Joc Pederson 0.0912 0.1341 18.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Masataka Yoshida 0.1169 0.0586 34.1
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1485 0.0889 24.3
3 Brandon Marsh 0.0751 0.1250 23.3
4 James Outman 0.0812 0.1199 21.7
5 Matt Olson 0.1141 0.1444 21.5
6 Jack Suwinski 0.1017 0.1404 20.4
7 Nolan Gorman 0.0707 0.1142 20.0
8 Ryan Noda 0.1156 0.1556 19.5
9 Esteury Ruiz 0.0777 0.0402 18.9
10 Nathaniel Lowe 0.1021 0.1285 18.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Santana 0.1550 0.1050 32.6
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1590 0.0889 29.5
3 Jack Suwinski 0.0965 0.1404 22.0
4 Luis Arraez 0.0892 0.0567 21.7
5 Brandon Marsh 0.0766 0.1250 21.6
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.1202 0.0900 20.4
7 Masataka Yoshida 0.0903 0.0586 19.9
8 Juan Soto 0.2109 0.1864 19.2
9 James Outman 0.0843 0.1199 18.7
10 Ryan Noda 0.1158 0.1556 18.4

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Ty France 0.0511
0.0000
(26.4)
0.0315
(13.2)
0.0282
(15.4)
0.0280
(15.4)
0.0388
(8.4)
Sean Murphy 0.0411
0.0000
(13.0)
0.0200
(9.3)
0.0167
(10.8)
0.0170
(10.5)
0.0230
(8.1)
Isaac Paredes 0.0350
0.0000
(13.4)
0.0097
(14.5)
0.0098
(14.5)
0.0100
(14.3)
0.0117
(13.6)
José Caballero 0.0607
0.0000
(13.8)
0.0115
(13.8)
0.0115
(13.8)
0.0110
(13.9)
0.0221
(10.9)
Pete Alonso 0.0319
0.0000
(13.5)
0.0182
(9.2)
0.0161
(10.5)
0.0160
(10.5)
0.0216
(7.0)
Matt Wallner 0.0512
0.0000
(10.1)
0.0169
(8.8)
0.0133
(9.7)
0.0130
(9.7)
0.0223
(7.4)
Miguel Amaya 0.0705
0.0000
(9.2)
0.0115
(9.2)
0.0133
(8.9)
0.0130
(9.0)
0.0224
(7.6)
Freddie Freeman 0.0219
0.0000
(7.6)
0.0098
(9.0)
0.0103
(8.6)
0.0100
(8.7)
0.0092
(9.6)
Luis Urías 0.0565
0.0000
(8.0)
0.0179
(6.9)
0.0161
(7.2)
0.0160
(7.2)
0.0221
(6.2)
Donovan Solano 0.0333
0.0000
(9.8)
0.0159
(7.9)
0.0151
(8.3)
0.0150
(8.2)
0.0187
(6.8)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Raley 0.0000 0.0443 13.3
2 Andrés Giménez 0.0000 0.0325 12.9
3 Zach Neto 0.0000 0.0486 12.2
4 Mark Canha 0.0000 0.0335 11.2
5 Jeff McNeil 0.0000 0.0278 10.6
6 Randy Arozarena 0.0000 0.0275 10.5
7 Esteury Ruiz 0.0000 0.0322 10.3
8 Jonathan India 0.0000 0.0302 9.9
9 Will Smith 0.0000 0.0271 8.6
10 Willson Contreras 0.0000 0.0263 7.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Neto 0.0115 0.0486 12.3
2 Esteury Ruiz 0.0089 0.0322 11.7
3 Michael Massey 0.0263 0.0087 8.1
4 Luke Raley 0.0247 0.0443 8.0
5 Chas McCormick 0.0068 0.0241 7.9
6 Jeimer Candelario 0.0101 0.0226 7.3
7 Ryan Jeffers 0.0085 0.0299 7.2
8 Lane Thomas 0.0060 0.0161 7.0
9 José Abreu 0.0219 0.0101 6.9
10 Yordan Alvarez 0.0127 0.0262 6.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Neto 0.0115 0.0486 12.3
2 Jeff McNeil 0.0159 0.0278 7.8
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.0117 0.0262 7.3
4 Jeimer Candelario 0.0101 0.0226 7.2
5 Luke Raley 0.0267 0.0443 7.2
6 Chas McCormick 0.0087 0.0241 7.1
7 Ryan Jeffers 0.0091 0.0299 7.0
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.0123 0.0216 6.5
9 Randy Arozarena 0.0179 0.0275 6.4
10 Danny Jansen 0.0121 0.0332 6.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Neto 0.0140 0.0486 11.4
2 Jeff McNeil 0.0160 0.0278 7.6
3 Jeimer Candelario 0.0100 0.0226 7.2
4 Yordan Alvarez 0.0120 0.0262 7.0
5 Luke Raley 0.0270 0.0443 7.0
6 Ryan Jeffers 0.0090 0.0299 7.0
7 Chas McCormick 0.0090 0.0241 6.9
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.0120 0.0216 6.7
9 Danny Jansen 0.0120 0.0332 6.4
10 Randy Arozarena 0.0180 0.0275 6.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Davis 0.0567 0.0157 10.4
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.0098 0.0262 8.3
3 Anthony Volpe 0.0220 0.0083 8.0
4 José Abreu 0.0231 0.0101 7.5
5 Jeimer Candelario 0.0112 0.0226 6.8
6 Chas McCormick 0.0100 0.0241 6.6
7 Ryan Jeffers 0.0113 0.0299 6.4
8 Adley Rutschman 0.0125 0.0029 6.3
9 Austin Hays 0.0166 0.0053 6.2
10 Danny Jansen 0.0134 0.0332 6.1

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
J.D. Martinez 0.1122
0.0475
(28.5)
0.0518
(28.2)
0.0584
(26.4)
0.0573
(25.9)
0.0601
(23.4)
Jeremy Peña 0.0221
0.0442
(17.3)
0.0528
(20.5)
0.0535
(19.1)
0.0518
(19.4)
0.0529
(21.6)
Matt Olson 0.1213
0.0743
(30.1)
0.0769
(30.8)
0.0800
(30.8)
0.0785
(30.2)
0.0845
(24.2)
Luis Robert Jr. 0.0997
0.0456
(29.1)
0.0514
(27.8)
0.0571
(26.2)
0.0538
(26.8)
0.0564
(23.8)
Joey Meneses 0.0269
0.0504
(18.9)
0.0631
(24.8)
0.0627
(22.7)
0.0568
(20.2)
0.0655
(27.5)
Jake Burger 0.0980
0.0465
(25.0)
0.0570
(21.3)
0.0637
(19.3)
0.0582
(21.0)
0.0556
(21.2)
Marcell Ozuna 0.1005
0.0522
(25.5)
0.0627
(21.4)
0.0616
(23.8)
0.0612
(22.8)
0.0700
(16.1)
Michael A. Taylor 0.0917
0.0263
(23.3)
0.0377
(20.3)
0.0342
(22.8)
0.0328
(22.5)
0.0393
(19.1)
Jose Siri 0.1179
0.0443
(24.9)
0.0474
(25.1)
0.0621
(20.8)
0.0561
(22.2)
0.0534
(22.3)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.0916 0.1542 26.2
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0737 0.1215 25.5
3 Max Muncy 0.0625 0.1075 23.0
4 Adolis García 0.0602 0.1010 22.5
5 Patrick Wisdom 0.0741 0.1447 19.7
6 Joey Gallo 0.0873 0.1500 19.1
7 Pete Alonso 0.0753 0.1093 18.9
8 Christopher Morel 0.0523 0.1008 18.6
9 Jake Rogers 0.0427 0.0972 18.0
10 Tim Anderson 0.0317 0.0027 18.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0964 0.0571 26.0
2 Brent Rooker 0.0533 0.1017 24.6
3 Spencer Torkelson 0.0366 0.0705 22.0
4 Adolis García 0.0654 0.1010 21.5
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.0836 0.0557 20.5
6 Javier Báez 0.0588 0.0231 20.4
7 George Springer 0.0694 0.0426 19.4
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.0877 0.1215 19.3
9 Tim Anderson 0.0379 0.0027 19.3
10 Max Muncy 0.0727 0.1075 19.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adolis García 0.0640 0.1010 24.3
2 Max Muncy 0.0719 0.1075 21.4
3 Aaron Judge 0.1104 0.1542 20.6
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0825 0.0514 20.3
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.0891 0.1215 20.3
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0899 0.0571 20.0
7 Joey Gallo 0.0954 0.1500 18.6
8 J.P. Crawford 0.0184 0.0459 18.4
9 William Contreras 0.0719 0.0408 18.2
10 Patrick Wisdom 0.0859 0.1447 18.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0991 0.0571 27.2
2 Adolis García 0.0631 0.1010 23.4
3 Max Muncy 0.0704 0.1075 21.0
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0807 0.0514 20.6
5 Aaron Judge 0.1085 0.1542 20.5
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.0869 0.1215 20.2
7 Christopher Morel 0.0552 0.1008 19.2
8 Joey Gallo 0.0929 0.1500 18.7
9 Patrick Wisdom 0.0836 0.1447 18.2
10 Brent Rooker 0.0668 0.1017 17.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1165 0.0571 39.8
2 George Springer 0.0718 0.0426 22.2
3 Matt Chapman 0.0822 0.0491 21.1
4 Eugenio Suárez 0.0821 0.0557 20.6
5 Daulton Varsho 0.0822 0.0504 20.4
6 Tim Anderson 0.0357 0.0027 19.0
7 Hunter Renfroe 0.0843 0.0532 18.8
8 Javier Báez 0.0538 0.0231 18.5
9 MJ Melendez 0.0696 0.0436 17.6
10 William Contreras 0.0657 0.0408 17.2

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Yandy Díaz 0.3674
0.2959
(46.7)
0.3079
(33.5)
0.3056
(33.4)
0.3071
(33.9)
0.2970
(41.9)
Mickey Moniak 0.3967
0.2923
(35.8)
0.2675
(40.6)
0.2775
(36.5)
0.2760
(37.7)
0.2902
(34.3)
Austin Hays 0.3451
0.2934
(32.9)
0.2907
(28.8)
0.2773
(34.9)
0.2810
(34.1)
0.2880
(32.0)
Kyle Schwarber 0.2086
0.2952
(57.8)
0.2647
(43.0)
0.2562
(38.7)
0.2687
(46.1)
0.2704
(44.8)
Jarred Kelenic 0.3593
0.2857
(33.3)
0.2312
(51.8)
0.2562
(40.4)
0.2645
(37.8)
0.2638
(39.5)
Pete Alonso 0.2053
0.2824
(46.6)
0.2782
(50.3)
0.2686
(45.6)
0.2703
(45.3)
0.2718
(44.1)
Jared Triolo 0.4397
0.2857
(33.5)
0.2954
(29.4)
0.3019
(27.5)
0.2950
(29.4)
0.2997
(29.1)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.2943 0.3846 38.9
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.2692 0.3137 35.2
3 Nick Pratto 0.2925 0.3879 35.1
4 Ryan Noda 0.2839 0.3468 34.3
5 Ezequiel Duran 0.2847 0.3564 34.2
6 Tony Kemp 0.3008 0.2160 32.8
7 Andrés Giménez 0.3446 0.2860 32.1
8 Ryan Jeffers 0.2624 0.3514 31.9
9 Elias Díaz 0.2702 0.3240 31.7
10 Rafael Devers 0.3455 0.2925 30.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nolan Jones 0.3038 0.4009 39.6
2 Cody Bellinger 0.2461 0.3191 38.6
3 Nick Pratto 0.2733 0.3879 38.3
4 Matt McLain 0.2954 0.3846 34.5
5 Nick Maton 0.3141 0.2047 33.1
6 Will Benson 0.2867 0.3908 33.1
7 Willy Adames 0.3045 0.2581 31.9
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2830 0.2098 31.9
9 Josh Donaldson 0.2769 0.1154 31.2
10 José Abreu 0.3248 0.2764 30.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Belt 0.2662 0.3702 39.5
2 Will Benson 0.2683 0.3908 38.3
3 Nick Pratto 0.2738 0.3879 37.3
4 Freddie Freeman 0.3132 0.3699 37.0
5 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2918 0.2098 36.5
6 Josh Donaldson 0.2954 0.1154 35.2
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.2589 0.3137 33.8
8 Matt McLain 0.2954 0.3846 33.5
9 Brandon Marsh 0.3229 0.3953 31.3
10 Ryan Noda 0.2780 0.3468 31.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.2807 0.3846 40.3
2 Will Benson 0.2757 0.3908 36.6
3 Nick Pratto 0.2807 0.3879 35.7
4 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2911 0.2098 35.4
5 Brandon Belt 0.2826 0.3702 33.8
6 Ryan Noda 0.2772 0.3468 32.6
7 Brandon Marsh 0.3238 0.3953 31.9
8 Nolan Jones 0.3223 0.4009 31.7
9 William Contreras 0.2921 0.3475 31.5
10 Josh Donaldson 0.2764 0.1154 31.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddie Freeman 0.3153 0.3699 39.5
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.2588 0.3137 37.7
3 Brandon Marsh 0.3201 0.3953 35.2
4 Brandon Belt 0.2877 0.3702 33.1
5 Ryan Noda 0.2835 0.3468 31.1
6 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2822 0.2098 30.3
7 José Abreu 0.3267 0.2764 30.2
8 Josh Donaldson 0.2695 0.1154 29.2
9 Lars Nootbaar 0.2481 0.3060 28.8
10 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.3296 0.2817 28.7

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
James Outman 0.2756
0.2138
(40.1)
0.2256
(27.5)
0.2028
(37.8)
0.2169
(32.0)
0.2163
(33.3)
Kyle Schwarber 0.1472
0.2159
(43.0)
0.1928
(34.0)
0.1872
(33.1)
0.2017
(40.9)
0.1922
(32.7)
Pete Alonso 0.1440
0.2163
(41.7)
0.2126
(46.2)
0.2045
(43.8)
0.2022
(39.8)
0.2020
(38.5)
Miguel Vargas 0.1237
0.2289
(29.3)
0.2053
(25.3)
0.2030
(25.9)
0.2166
(29.0)
0.2252
(31.0)
Jared Triolo 0.3621
0.2381
(27.8)
0.2193
(29.5)
0.2296
(26.4)
0.2200
(29.2)
0.2171
(30.2)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Maikel Garcia 0.2083 0.2753 39.1
2 Ezequiel Duran 0.1944 0.2691 36.7
3 Nick Pratto 0.1981 0.2909 35.1
4 Alex Verdugo 0.2645 0.2000 33.5
5 Matt McLain 0.1962 0.2692 33.0
6 Jon Berti 0.2162 0.2848 32.9
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.1982 0.2359 32.3
8 Garrett Hampson 0.1739 0.2885 31.1
9 CJ Abrams 0.2575 0.1986 30.7
10 Ha-Seong Kim 0.2063 0.2457 30.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.1745 0.2437 37.6
2 Nick Pratto 0.1860 0.2909 35.6
3 Carlos Correa 0.2466 0.1875 35.2
4 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2302 0.1518 33.2
5 Jarred Kelenic 0.1658 0.2424 31.2
6 Adley Rutschman 0.1888 0.2352 30.8
7 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2508 0.2012 30.5
8 Matt Olson 0.1828 0.2251 29.3
9 Eugenio Suárez 0.1922 0.2359 29.2
10 Elias Díaz 0.1944 0.2514 29.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2302 0.1518 35.0
2 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.2453 0.1948 33.5
3 Nick Pratto 0.1927 0.2909 31.8
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.2106 0.2633 31.7
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.1851 0.2359 31.1
6 Josh Donaldson 0.2193 0.0673 29.9
7 Bo Bichette 0.2237 0.2792 29.7
8 Willy Adames 0.2151 0.1747 29.6
9 Jarred Kelenic 0.1665 0.2424 29.1
10 Brent Rooker 0.1792 0.2377 27.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Pratto 0.1938 0.2909 32.7
2 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2271 0.1518 32.2
3 Luis Arraez 0.2456 0.2996 31.9
4 Kerry Carpenter 0.2072 0.2711 28.3
5 Bo Bichette 0.2305 0.2792 27.8
6 Yandy Díaz 0.2351 0.2822 26.9
7 Maikel Garcia 0.2210 0.2753 26.8
8 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.2377 0.1948 26.8
9 Willy Adames 0.2141 0.1747 26.6
10 Matt McLain 0.2010 0.2692 26.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adley Rutschman 0.1806 0.2352 37.1
2 Lars Nootbaar 0.1667 0.2303 31.7
3 Yandy Díaz 0.2289 0.2822 31.7
4 Ha-Seong Kim 0.1948 0.2457 31.5
5 Brenton Doyle 0.2772 0.2049 31.4
6 Eugenio Suárez 0.1917 0.2359 30.3
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2230 0.1518 29.8
8 Bryce Harper 0.2050 0.2586 29.0
9 Kerry Carpenter 0.2075 0.2711 29.0
10 Carlos Correa 0.2364 0.1875 28.6

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jarren Duran 0.1435
0.0849
(20.4)
0.0780
(23.0)
0.0717
(26.0)
0.0741
(24.7)
0.0691
(26.5)
Matt Chapman 0.1185
0.0771
(22.8)
0.0703
(26.9)
0.0809
(21.9)
0.0743
(25.1)
0.0776
(23.1)
William Contreras 0.0950
0.0648
(17.1)
0.0617
(19.1)
0.0655
(18.1)
0.0637
(18.5)
0.0625
(19.2)
Corey Seager 0.1160
0.0667
(25.3)
0.0641
(26.8)
0.0787
(20.1)
0.0710
(23.5)
0.0754
(21.2)
Freddie Freeman 0.1199
0.0732
(32.6)
0.0823
(26.0)
0.0880
(23.4)
0.0746
(32.3)
0.0743
(32.5)
Luke Raley 0.1080
0.0515
(22.1)
0.0616
(18.0)
0.0587
(20.1)
0.0606
(18.8)
0.0558
(20.7)
Randy Arozarena 0.0504
0.0836
(23.1)
0.0896
(27.0)
0.0861
(23.3)
0.0824
(21.6)
0.0882
(25.5)
Brandon Belt 0.1271
0.0714
(21.6)
0.0701
(22.2)
0.0658
(24.8)
0.0631
(25.4)
0.0755
(20.4)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Santander 0.0594 0.0988 24.5
2 Ketel Marte 0.0943 0.0591 24.2
3 Yandy Díaz 0.0477 0.0852 21.2
4 Carlos Santana 0.0423 0.0773 20.4
5 J.P. Crawford 0.0552 0.0886 20.0
6 Luis Robert Jr. 0.0704 0.1050 19.3
7 Ryan Noda 0.0581 0.0991 19.3
8 James Outman 0.0881 0.0565 19.1
9 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0592 0.0914 18.5
10 Adam Duvall 0.0723 0.1237 17.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.0997 0.0591 27.7
2 Adley Rutschman 0.0979 0.0657 23.5
3 Dominic Smith 0.0841 0.0493 21.6
4 Brice Turang 0.0701 0.0291 19.2
5 Jarred Kelenic 0.0603 0.1082 19.1
6 Adam Duvall 0.0684 0.1237 18.8
7 Jeff McNeil 0.0746 0.0484 18.2
8 Luis García Jr. 0.0822 0.0466 18.1
9 Connor Joe 0.0655 0.1058 18.1
10 Anthony Santander 0.0695 0.0988 17.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dominic Smith 0.0927 0.0493 25.4
2 Adam Duvall 0.0650 0.1237 20.8
3 Connor Joe 0.0621 0.1058 20.7
4 Jeff McNeil 0.0784 0.0484 19.4
5 James Outman 0.0907 0.0565 19.3
6 Jace Peterson 0.0795 0.0368 18.3
7 Ryan McMahon 0.0632 0.0920 18.1
8 Nick Allen 0.0704 0.0157 17.9
9 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0630 0.0914 17.5
10 Alex Bregman 0.0786 0.0547 17.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dominic Smith 0.0822 0.0493 19.9
2 Anthony Santander 0.0686 0.0988 19.0
3 Adam Duvall 0.0697 0.1237 18.7
4 Ketel Marte 0.0865 0.0591 18.6
5 Connor Joe 0.0659 0.1058 18.3
6 Trent Grisham 0.0669 0.1006 18.1
7 Luis Robert Jr. 0.0750 0.1050 17.1
8 Nick Allen 0.0658 0.0157 16.9
9 Jeff McNeil 0.0734 0.0484 16.9
10 Jeimer Candelario 0.0778 0.1080 16.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adley Rutschman 0.1051 0.0657 27.8
2 Ketel Marte 0.0952 0.0591 24.2
3 Dominic Smith 0.0854 0.0493 21.8
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0845 0.0561 20.5
5 Luis Robert Jr. 0.0698 0.1050 20.3
6 Kris Bryant 0.1020 0.0450 19.4
7 Alex Bregman 0.0804 0.0547 19.4
8 Jake Burger 0.0543 0.0895 18.4
9 Trent Grisham 0.0675 0.1006 17.8
10 Jeff McNeil 0.0747 0.0484 17.7

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Gunnar Henderson 0.0239
0.0122
(7.0)
0.0058
(11.3)
0.0115
(7.7)
0.0105
(8.1)
0.0161
(5.6)
Trevor Larnach 0.0286
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0039
(5.2)
0.0029
(5.3)
0.0000
(6.3)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0220
0.0073
(9.9)
0.0109
(7.7)
0.0103
(8.0)
0.0102
(7.9)
0.0121
(7.7)
Ramón Laureano 0.0167
0.0031
(5.3)
0.0038
(5.2)
0.0035
(5.3)
0.0034
(5.2)
0.0039
(5.6)
Will Benson 0.0460
0.0163
(9.6)
0.0067
(12.9)
0.0105
(11.6)
0.0091
(12.0)
0.0165
(10.1)
Shohei Ohtani 0.0252
0.0114
(8.0)
0.0150
(6.0)
0.0126
(7.4)
0.0121
(7.6)
0.0171
(5.5)
Ketel Marte 0.0205
0.0074
(8.2)
0.0055
(9.7)
0.0048
(10.1)
0.0047
(10.0)
0.0079
(8.8)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.0185
0.0078
(5.4)
0.0085
(5.3)
0.0082
(5.3)
0.0083
(5.1)
0.0086
(5.8)
Seiya Suzuki 0.0161
0.0062
(5.5)
0.0075
(5.0)
0.0050
(6.4)
0.0051
(6.2)
0.0072
(5.8)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brenton Doyle 0.0000 0.0205 8.6
2 Willi Castro 0.0000 0.0196 7.8
3 Nolan Jones 0.0000 0.0180 7.4
4 Jake Cronenworth 0.0071 0.0196 6.3
5 Brandon Marsh 0.0101 0.0237 6.2
6 Drew Waters 0.0093 0.0263 5.6
7 Maikel Garcia 0.0000 0.0112 5.6
8 Luke Raley 0.0000 0.0141 5.5
9 Eduardo Escobar 0.0064 0.0242 5.4
10 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0078 0.0214 5.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0060 0.0300 10.2
2 Corbin Carroll 0.0118 0.0235 7.5
3 Drew Waters 0.0065 0.0263 6.7
4 Brenton Doyle 0.0060 0.0205 6.2
5 Alek Thomas 0.0034 0.0176 5.7
6 Jake Rogers 0.0155 0.0000 5.7
7 Adolis García 0.0084 0.0000 5.3
8 Alex Verdugo 0.0023 0.0112 5.3
9 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0084 0.0000 5.3
10 Esteury Ruiz 0.0133 0.0028 5.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0150 0.0300 6.4
2 Adolis García 0.0084 0.0000 5.4
3 Jake Cronenworth 0.0091 0.0196 5.4
4 Willi Castro 0.0064 0.0196 5.3
5 Dairon Blanco 0.0060 0.0444 5.3
6 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0086 0.0214 5.1
7 Nolan Jones 0.0065 0.0180 4.8
8 Eduardo Escobar 0.0084 0.0242 4.8
9 Jared Young 0.0051 0.1071 4.8
10 Brandon Marsh 0.0136 0.0237 4.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0101 0.0300 8.3
2 Adolis García 0.0082 0.0000 5.4
3 Jake Cronenworth 0.0089 0.0196 5.4
4 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0087 0.0214 5.0
5 Brandon Marsh 0.0129 0.0237 4.9
6 Nolan Jones 0.0061 0.0180 4.9
7 Willi Castro 0.0073 0.0196 4.9
8 Dairon Blanco 0.0092 0.0444 4.8
9 Miguel Vargas 0.0044 0.0206 4.8
10 Eduardo Escobar 0.0085 0.0242 4.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Sabol 0.0201 0.0000 6.5
2 Akil Baddoo 0.0239 0.0047 6.5
3 Adolis García 0.0112 0.0000 6.4
4 Matt Olson 0.0000 0.0077 6.3
5 Shea Langeliers 0.0034 0.0140 5.7
6 CJ Abrams 0.0057 0.0139 5.7
7 Jake Rogers 0.0155 0.0000 5.3
8 Jarren Duran 0.0240 0.0084 5.2
9 Miguel Vargas 0.0050 0.0206 5.1
10 Brandon Marsh 0.0144 0.0237 4.9

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Adolis García 0.1709
0.1218
(28.6)
0.1273
(26.3)
0.1150
(38.1)
0.1143
(33.9)
0.1407
(18.7)
J.P. Crawford 0.1473
0.0832
(38.5)
0.1150
(19.4)
0.1176
(21.8)
0.1098
(22.1)
0.1138
(21.1)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1144
0.1481
(25.6)
0.1435
(21.2)
0.1665
(32.5)
0.1528
(28.2)
0.1422
(19.3)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Anderson 0.1601 0.0992 33.9
2 Gunnar Henderson 0.1049 0.1608 32.4
3 Cody Bellinger 0.1098 0.1709 31.9
4 Xander Bogaerts 0.1656 0.1248 29.6
5 Brandon Nimmo 0.1669 0.1305 27.4
6 Bo Bichette 0.1562 0.1148 27.1
7 Josh Bell 0.1233 0.0843 26.4
8 Willy Adames 0.1512 0.1144 25.9
9 Luis Arraez 0.1520 0.1151 25.1
10 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0890 0.1434 25.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.1161 0.1798 39.9
2 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1563 0.2027 32.7
3 Matt Olson 0.1297 0.1764 32.2
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1083 0.1608 31.4
5 Tim Anderson 0.1562 0.0992 30.9
6 Teoscar Hernández 0.1393 0.1032 25.8
7 Cody Bellinger 0.1228 0.1709 25.6
8 Josh Bell 0.1213 0.0843 24.1
9 Austin Riley 0.1298 0.1636 22.8
10 DJ LeMahieu 0.1342 0.0979 21.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.1139 0.1709 34.2
2 Corbin Carroll 0.1340 0.1798 32.4
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1681 0.2027 28.7
4 Juan Soto 0.1790 0.1370 26.6
5 Josh Bell 0.1301 0.0843 25.5
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.1266 0.1608 24.0
7 Matt Olson 0.1480 0.1764 23.6
8 Francisco Lindor 0.1277 0.1572 23.3
9 Alejandro Kirk 0.1390 0.0806 22.8
10 Jorge Mateo 0.1050 0.1657 22.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.1144 0.1709 29.8
2 Corbin Carroll 0.1315 0.1798 29.2
3 Josh Bell 0.1243 0.0843 26.5
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1158 0.1608 26.1
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1647 0.2027 25.8
6 Juan Soto 0.1684 0.1370 24.3
7 Matt McLain 0.1026 0.1613 22.5
8 Alejandro Kirk 0.1305 0.0806 22.3
9 Mauricio Dubón 0.1073 0.1545 21.8
10 Rowdy Tellez 0.1309 0.0741 21.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.1293 0.1798 32.3
2 Matt Olson 0.1346 0.1764 29.7
3 Tim Anderson 0.1471 0.0992 25.3
4 Daulton Varsho 0.1536 0.1119 24.5
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1698 0.2027 23.8
6 Teoscar Hernández 0.1349 0.1032 21.8
7 Esteury Ruiz 0.1379 0.0946 21.8
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1767 0.1433 21.6
9 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0994 0.1342 21.4
10 Nico Hoerner 0.1109 0.1424 21.4

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
J.D. Martinez 0.2150
0.1437
(32.2)
0.1236
(42.2)
0.1441
(35.2)
0.1325
(39.3)
0.1413
(37.3)
Jonah Heim 0.1896
0.1215
(32.1)
0.1096
(38.4)
0.1219
(35.2)
0.1118
(38.7)
0.1134
(40.3)
Cedric Mullins 0.1626
0.0836
(34.1)
0.0944
(29.6)
0.0964
(31.3)
0.0960
(30.0)
0.1094
(26.2)
Corey Seager 0.1791
0.1135
(33.0)
0.1311
(24.0)
0.1318
(26.7)
0.1297
(26.2)
0.1320
(27.5)
Cody Bellinger 0.1745
0.1098
(33.7)
0.1170
(30.2)
0.1227
(30.2)
0.1206
(29.7)
0.1238
(30.5)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Benintendi 0.1365 0.0725 42.3
2 Matt Olson 0.1313 0.1931 41.6
3 José Ramírez 0.1709 0.1158 40.9
4 Marcell Ozuna 0.1013 0.1689 37.6
5 Spencer Torkelson 0.0797 0.1374 36.7
6 Isaac Paredes 0.1040 0.1716 36.3
7 Ty France 0.1375 0.0872 36.1
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1640 0.1164 35.4
9 Nolan Gorman 0.0875 0.1638 33.5
10 Jake Cronenworth 0.1500 0.0920 32.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.1661 0.1158 37.0
2 Isaac Paredes 0.1046 0.1716 36.4
3 Josh Lowe 0.0915 0.1657 35.5
4 Spencer Torkelson 0.0845 0.1374 34.0
5 Josh Naylor 0.1263 0.1960 32.9
6 Dominic Smith 0.1284 0.0785 31.2
7 Matt Olson 0.1507 0.1931 28.1
8 Tim Anderson 0.0979 0.0477 28.0
9 Max Muncy 0.1308 0.1813 27.4
10 Andrew Benintendi 0.1128 0.0725 27.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Lowe 0.1072 0.1657 30.6
2 Xander Bogaerts 0.1345 0.0872 29.7
3 Matt Olson 0.1559 0.1931 28.6
4 Jeremy Peña 0.1283 0.0820 27.7
5 Tim Anderson 0.1025 0.0477 27.4
6 Josh Naylor 0.1448 0.1960 26.6
7 Max Muncy 0.1383 0.1813 26.4
8 Alec Bohm 0.1190 0.1588 25.8
9 Matt Chapman 0.1392 0.0929 25.4
10 Ozzie Albies 0.1299 0.1652 24.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.1440 0.1931 34.9
2 Josh Lowe 0.1031 0.1657 31.0
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1684 0.1228 29.3
4 Josh Naylor 0.1366 0.1960 29.1
5 Alec Bohm 0.1127 0.1588 27.8
6 Max Muncy 0.1341 0.1813 27.0
7 Andrew Benintendi 0.1150 0.0725 26.8
8 Tim Anderson 0.0972 0.0477 26.2
9 Isaac Paredes 0.1252 0.1716 26.2
10 Ozzie Albies 0.1265 0.1652 25.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daulton Varsho 0.1704 0.1050 35.5
2 José Ramírez 0.1695 0.1158 34.2
3 Max Muncy 0.1342 0.1813 29.8
4 Josh Naylor 0.1420 0.1960 28.8
5 Carlos Santana 0.0969 0.1389 28.7
6 Josh Lowe 0.1138 0.1657 28.1
7 MJ Melendez 0.1436 0.0930 27.9
8 George Springer 0.1494 0.1054 27.1
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1698 0.1228 27.1
10 Alec Bohm 0.1190 0.1588 26.9

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Dairon Blanco 0.8000
0.2990
(73.2)
0.0625
(98.6)
0.0801
(96.7)
0.2204
(78.2)
0.2323
(75.9)
Brenton Doyle 0.2895
0.1667
(65.5)
0.0801
(80.3)
0.0990
(74.0)
0.0957
(77.9)
0.1226
(64.3)
Willi Castro 0.3113
0.1429
(80.9)
0.0816
(84.5)
0.1020
(77.9)
0.1225
(71.9)
0.1000
(79.2)
Luke Williams 4.0000
0.2636
(71.5)
0.1449
(72.8)
0.2197
(71.5)
0.2385
(71.2)
0.2286
(71.3)
Wander Franco 0.2439
0.1267
(71.9)
0.0594
(79.2)
0.0625
(79.8)
0.0719
(78.0)
0.0769
(73.3)
CJ Abrams 0.3588
0.2521
(83.5)
0.0833
(154.9)
0.1363
(125.0)
0.1371
(128.0)
0.1509
(116.7)
Adolis García 0.0647
0.2373
(90.5)
0.1429
(64.0)
0.1415
(60.4)
0.1691
(74.3)
0.1441
(61.3)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Berti 0.4359 0.1345 115.4
2 Garrett Hampson 0.5000 0.0704 100.9
3 Randy Arozarena 0.2868 0.1140 93.9
4 Ezequiel Tovar 0.2613 0.0917 86.3
5 Leody Taveras 0.2759 0.1129 74.1
6 Anthony Volpe 0.3438 0.1967 70.8
7 Jordan Walker 0.2261 0.0574 64.8
8 Matt Vierling 0.1944 0.0435 64.5
9 Joey Wiemer 0.3158 0.1310 63.8
10 Bo Bichette 0.1678 0.0331 63.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Esteury Ruiz 0.0612 0.5583 235.6
2 Corbin Carroll 0.0678 0.3253 151.2
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.0801 0.3763 116.6
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1594 0.3230 103.2
5 Josh Lowe 0.0735 0.2832 93.5
6 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1754 0.3224 85.9
7 Jorge Mateo 0.2449 0.4638 68.5
8 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0820 0.2135 67.9
9 Jarren Duran 0.1029 0.2963 61.6
10 Brice Turang 0.0801 0.2385 60.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Carroll 0.1307 0.3253 113.4
2 Esteury Ruiz 0.3188 0.5583 109.7
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1866 0.3230 86.4
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1853 0.3224 82.0
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.1798 0.3763 75.9
6 Josh Lowe 0.1190 0.2832 72.8
7 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0821 0.2135 70.5
8 Francisco Lindor 0.0785 0.1879 62.2
9 José Caballero 0.0801 0.3171 61.1
10 Jorge Mateo 0.2762 0.4638 59.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Esteury Ruiz 0.3019 0.5583 120.9
2 Corbin Carroll 0.1347 0.3253 114.4
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.1685 0.3763 83.1
4 Jon Berti 0.3046 0.1345 77.7
5 Josh Lowe 0.1186 0.2832 75.9
6 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0902 0.2135 68.9
7 Randy Arozarena 0.2038 0.1140 67.3
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.2273 0.3230 60.7
9 Marcus Semien 0.1412 0.0741 60.4
10 Bo Bichette 0.1175 0.0331 58.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Esteury Ruiz 0.2880 0.5583 125.6
2 Corbin Carroll 0.1333 0.3253 112.4
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1761 0.3230 95.0
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1938 0.3224 76.9
5 Ha-Seong Kim 0.0855 0.2135 69.1
6 Jon Berti 0.2766 0.1345 67.8
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.2041 0.3763 66.0
8 Francisco Lindor 0.0823 0.1879 60.4
9 Nico Hoerner 0.1148 0.2172 58.3
10 Jorge Mateo 0.2796 0.4638 58.3

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Yandy Díaz 0.3295
0.2668
(38.0)
0.2731
(32.4)
0.2797
(30.7)
0.2817
(29.5)
0.2725
(31.1)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.3375
0.2653
(53.5)
0.2642
(52.1)
0.2704
(50.3)
0.2733
(48.2)
0.2742
(42.8)
Corey Seager 0.3270
0.2776
(26.9)
0.2652
(31.9)
0.2720
(30.2)
0.2821
(24.8)
0.2700
(27.9)
Pete Alonso 0.2165
0.2577
(26.6)
0.2613
(31.0)
0.2597
(27.5)
0.2614
(28.6)
0.2611
(32.7)
Cody Bellinger 0.3066
0.2304
(42.7)
0.2095
(52.7)
0.2245
(46.4)
0.2345
(40.8)
0.2296
(40.0)
Jon Berti 0.2938
0.2259
(29.1)
0.2345
(24.2)
0.2402
(23.3)
0.2395
(23.6)
0.2303
(24.8)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.2116 0.2904 32.0
2 Spencer Steer 0.2249 0.2715 31.4
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.2383 0.1966 29.6
4 Mookie Betts 0.2675 0.3065 27.5
5 Nolan Jones 0.2353 0.2970 26.4
6 Ezequiel Duran 0.2176 0.2759 25.9
7 Alex Verdugo 0.3049 0.2637 24.4
8 Daulton Varsho 0.2627 0.2201 24.4
9 Josh Jung 0.2195 0.2657 24.1
10 Marcell Ozuna 0.2335 0.2736 24.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Arraez 0.2976 0.3537 33.1
2 José Abreu 0.2835 0.2370 29.0
3 Carlos Correa 0.2759 0.2296 28.2
4 Tim Anderson 0.2953 0.2454 27.3
5 Trea Turner 0.3032 0.2660 27.3
6 Kyle Schwarber 0.2320 0.1966 27.2
7 Josh Lowe 0.2355 0.2918 27.1
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.2568 0.3038 26.8
9 Josh Naylor 0.2511 0.3075 26.8
10 Bryson Stott 0.2369 0.2803 26.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Arraez 0.2977 0.3537 35.3
2 Josh Lowe 0.2276 0.2918 32.8
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.2555 0.3038 29.7
4 Freddie Freeman 0.2938 0.3312 28.3
5 Corbin Carroll 0.2427 0.2850 28.1
6 Brenton Doyle 0.2651 0.2030 26.2
7 Mookie Betts 0.2716 0.3065 25.1
8 Matt Olson 0.2495 0.2829 25.0
9 William Contreras 0.2495 0.2889 24.9
10 Ryan O'Hearn 0.2268 0.2890 23.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Arraez 0.2978 0.3537 35.3
2 Josh Lowe 0.2239 0.2918 34.7
3 Matt McLain 0.2100 0.2904 33.0
4 Corbin Carroll 0.2369 0.2850 31.9
5 William Contreras 0.2447 0.2889 27.8
6 Spencer Steer 0.2320 0.2715 27.1
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.2616 0.3038 26.1
8 Kyle Schwarber 0.2340 0.1966 26.0
9 Mookie Betts 0.2724 0.3065 24.6
10 Freddie Freeman 0.3002 0.3312 23.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.2350 0.1966 31.3
2 Carlos Correa 0.2764 0.2296 30.1
3 Josh Lowe 0.2271 0.2918 29.9
4 José Abreu 0.2793 0.2370 28.2
5 Trea Turner 0.3010 0.2660 27.7
6 Tim Anderson 0.2930 0.2454 27.6
7 Willy Adames 0.2523 0.2170 25.8
8 Freddie Freeman 0.2935 0.3312 23.8
9 Brenton Doyle 0.2516 0.2030 23.2
10 Luis Arraez 0.3111 0.3537 23.1

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani 0.4125
0.3492
(32.8)
0.3507
(35.7)
0.3499
(38.3)
0.3549
(35.0)
0.3515
(32.8)
Mookie Betts 0.4084
0.3409
(40.9)
0.3468
(41.2)
0.3554
(37.7)
0.3549
(37.7)
0.3539
(33.5)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.4163
0.3487
(43.5)
0.3613
(38.8)
0.3682
(36.4)
0.3699
(34.7)
0.3709
(28.9)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Steer 0.2825 0.3564 43.5
2 Ryan Noda 0.2852 0.3636 34.6
3 James Outman 0.2862 0.3527 32.9
4 Yandy Díaz 0.3503 0.4100 30.8
5 Cody Bellinger 0.2934 0.3561 30.2
6 Masataka Yoshida 0.3810 0.3379 29.9
7 Nolan Jones 0.3106 0.3892 29.7
8 Andrew McCutchen 0.3092 0.3784 28.7
9 Daulton Varsho 0.3234 0.2850 27.2
10 Randy Arozarena 0.3139 0.3639 27.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.2773 0.3561 42.6
2 José Abreu 0.3598 0.2963 39.0
3 Matt Olson 0.3387 0.3889 34.5
4 Nolan Jones 0.3095 0.3892 32.8
5 Brenton Doyle 0.3201 0.2500 31.2
6 Brandon Marsh 0.3045 0.3715 30.6
7 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.3139 0.3728 29.4
8 Tim Anderson 0.3357 0.2863 27.0
9 J.P. Crawford 0.3351 0.3795 27.0
10 Spencer Steer 0.3140 0.3564 26.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Marsh 0.2955 0.3715 36.6
2 Matt Olson 0.3411 0.3889 35.4
3 Cody Bellinger 0.2991 0.3561 32.5
4 Adolis García 0.2823 0.3275 29.5
5 J.P. Crawford 0.3357 0.3795 28.8
6 William Contreras 0.3223 0.3672 28.3
7 José Abreu 0.3453 0.2963 28.3
8 Ryan Jeffers 0.2883 0.3686 27.4
9 Ezequiel Tovar 0.3324 0.2871 27.0
10 Andrew McCutchen 0.3235 0.3784 26.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Marsh 0.2944 0.3715 36.8
2 Spencer Steer 0.3071 0.3564 33.3
3 James Outman 0.2981 0.3527 31.5
4 William Contreras 0.3170 0.3672 31.2
5 Matt Olson 0.3492 0.3889 29.2
6 Adolis García 0.2823 0.3275 29.2
7 José Abreu 0.3458 0.2963 28.9
8 Cody Bellinger 0.3063 0.3561 28.2
9 Masataka Yoshida 0.3872 0.3379 28.1
10 Ryan Noda 0.3081 0.3636 27.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.3509 0.2963 36.1
2 Brandon Marsh 0.2927 0.3715 34.3
3 Carlos Correa 0.3547 0.3121 28.3
4 Trea Turner 0.3528 0.3198 27.0
5 William Contreras 0.3178 0.3672 26.4
6 J.P. Crawford 0.3339 0.3795 25.2
7 Carlos Santana 0.3527 0.3183 25.1
8 Pete Alonso 0.3493 0.3176 24.9
9 James Outman 0.3034 0.3527 24.5
10 Anthony Volpe 0.3176 0.2833 24.3

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Matt Olson 0.6036
0.4840
(76.8)
0.4841
(82.2)
0.4893
(88.5)
0.4930
(81.2)
0.5124
(56.5)
Yandy Díaz 0.5219
0.3755
(80.1)
0.4053
(66.8)
0.4209
(65.7)
0.4229
(60.7)
0.4122
(58.2)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.5956
0.4750
(79.2)
0.4738
(85.7)
0.4844
(88.0)
0.4874
(81.1)
0.5040
(57.9)
Shohei Ohtani 0.6539
0.4917
(89.5)
0.5097
(83.3)
0.5144
(88.7)
0.5102
(87.4)
0.5295
(66.9)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5585
0.3984
(87.2)
0.4292
(73.4)
0.4335
(79.0)
0.4345
(74.7)
0.4491
(57.2)
Corey Seager 0.6226
0.4632
(78.5)
0.4754
(76.1)
0.4861
(77.8)
0.4861
(74.3)
0.4734
(73.1)
Tim Anderson 0.2961
0.4203
(71.8)
0.4392
(77.7)
0.4364
(69.0)
0.4235
(65.6)
0.4317
(77.7)
Cody Bellinger 0.5251
0.3935
(66.0)
0.3801
(77.6)
0.4018
(73.3)
0.4129
(63.5)
0.4056
(59.3)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nolan Jones 0.3613 0.5422 71.2
2 Yainer Diaz 0.3587 0.5380 62.7
3 Jake Burger 0.3902 0.5183 62.2
4 Andy Ibáñez 0.2581 0.4326 61.9
5 J.D. Martinez 0.4333 0.5718 60.2
6 Zack Gelof 0.3000 0.5037 57.2
7 Jorge Soler 0.4038 0.5119 55.2
8 Mookie Betts 0.4883 0.5788 53.7
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.3908 0.4893 53.2
10 Brent Rooker 0.3744 0.4881 53.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Meneses 0.4913 0.4010 62.8
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5411 0.4487 62.0
3 George Springer 0.4879 0.4046 60.5
4 Nolan Jones 0.3947 0.5422 60.3
5 Spencer Torkelson 0.3523 0.4455 60.2
6 Javier Báez 0.4229 0.3255 56.2
7 Josh Lowe 0.3841 0.5000 55.4
8 Brice Turang 0.4146 0.2995 53.9
9 José Abreu 0.4674 0.3833 53.1
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.5187 0.4469 53.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5628 0.4435 75.6
2 J.D. Martinez 0.4497 0.5718 62.5
3 Adolis García 0.4214 0.5081 60.2
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5504 0.4487 59.1
5 Josh Lowe 0.3914 0.5000 58.7
6 Corbin Carroll 0.4275 0.5062 56.2
7 Mookie Betts 0.5077 0.5788 55.1
8 Chas McCormick 0.3777 0.4888 54.7
9 Jorge Soler 0.4273 0.5119 54.0
10 Freddie Freeman 0.5013 0.5667 54.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5673 0.4487 74.0
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5528 0.4435 73.0
3 J.D. Martinez 0.4342 0.5718 67.0
4 Josh Lowe 0.3734 0.5000 64.5
5 Matt McLain 0.3503 0.5068 64.0
6 Corbin Carroll 0.4131 0.5062 61.4
7 Mookie Betts 0.4939 0.5788 60.3
8 Jake Burger 0.4141 0.5183 57.4
9 Adolis García 0.4220 0.5081 55.8
10 Freddie Freeman 0.4944 0.5667 54.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5699 0.4487 85.1
2 Daulton Varsho 0.5031 0.3890 73.7
3 George Springer 0.4913 0.4046 68.0
4 Jake Burger 0.3916 0.5183 61.5
5 Javier Báez 0.4218 0.3255 59.7
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5137 0.4435 56.6
7 Josh Lowe 0.3812 0.5000 53.1
8 Ty France 0.4327 0.3663 52.7
9 Salvador Perez 0.4989 0.4219 52.1
10 J.D. Martinez 0.4511 0.5718 51.7

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Germán Márquez 80
786
(706.0)
722
(642.0)
771
(691.4)
842
(762.1)
706
(626.0)
Madison Bumgarner 90
606
(515.9)
654
(564.0)
688
(598.4)
637
(547.0)
599
(509.0)
Robbie Ray 19
756
(737.1)
711
(692.0)
767
(747.6)
798
(779.0)
699
(680.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Elder 147 732 585.1
2 Tanner Bibee 1 585 584.0
3 Tyler Mahle 638 102 535.9
4 Antonio Senzatela 556 30 526.0
5 Luis Garcia 635 115 520.0
6 Jeffrey Springs 571 55 516.1
7 Colin Rea 1 517 516.0
8 Kyle Wright 657 155 501.9
9 Bryce Miller 63 537 474.0
10 J.P. France 108 581 472.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kodai Senga 1 694 693.0
2 Frankie Montas 634 7 627.0
3 Triston McKenzie 679 73 606.0
4 Tanner Bibee 1 585 584.0
5 J.P. France 1 581 580.0
6 Logan Allen 1 537 536.0
7 Bryce Miller 1 537 536.0
8 Jake Irvin 1 530 529.0
9 Kris Bubic 592 68 524.0
10 Luis Garcia 636 115 521.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Garcia 693 115 578.0
2 Marco Gonzales 770 215 555.2
3 Kyle Wright 710 155 554.7
4 Tyler Mahle 648 102 545.9
5 Jeffrey Springs 597 55 542.3
6 Logan Allen 1 537 536.0
7 Bryce Miller 1 537 536.0
8 Tanner Bibee 62 585 523.0
9 Bryce Elder 210 732 522.4
10 Colin Rea 1 517 516.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Antonio Senzatela 645 30 614.8
2 Tyler Mahle 711 102 608.9
3 Kyle Wright 743 155 588.4
4 Jeffrey Springs 639 55 583.6
5 Bryce Elder 151 732 580.8
6 Tanner Bibee 4 585 580.8
7 Nick Lodolo 734 166 568.2
8 Drew Rasmussen 727 177 549.9
9 Luis Garcia 663 115 548.0
10 Jacob deGrom 645 115 529.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Frankie Montas 590 7 583.0
2 Triston McKenzie 655 73 582.0
3 Drew Rucinski 645 95 550.0
4 Darren McCaughan 564 27 537.0
5 Colin Rea 1 517 516.0
6 Kyle Leahy 524 15 509.0
7 Kris Bubic 565 68 497.0
8 Jonathan Heasley 553 63 490.0
9 Kyle Wright 643 155 488.0
10 Michael Plassmeyer 507 23 484.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Adam Wainwright 0.4118
0.0986
(51.4)
0.2955
(51.7)
0.3180
(48.7)
0.3048
(40.3)
0.3006
(43.5)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gerrit Cole 0.1144 0.2552 54.3
2 Blake Snell 0.1178 0.2659 43.7
3 Kyle Bradish 0.1183 0.2669 39.2
4 Chris Flexen 0.1038 0.3912 37.5
5 Dylan Covey 0.3180 0.3337 36.5
6 Trevor Williams 0.1157 0.3773 36.0
7 Luke Weaver 0.1149 0.3847 35.4
8 Sonny Gray 0.1082 0.2701 34.0
9 Ty Blach 0.0861 0.3887 33.7
10 Carlos Carrasco 0.1037 0.3897 33.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Bradish 0.3229 0.2669 44.0
2 Luis Severino 0.2872 0.3888 38.4
3 Lance Lynn 0.2920 0.3475 37.2
4 Kyle Muller 0.3068 0.4160 37.1
5 Alek Manoah 0.2748 0.3711 36.0
6 Joey Wentz 0.2999 0.3803 34.9
7 Michael Kopech 0.2943 0.3626 34.7
8 Zach Eflin 0.3129 0.2754 33.0
9 Gerrit Cole 0.2854 0.2552 32.5
10 Kodai Senga 0.3180 0.2811 32.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Miller 0.3180 0.3088 109.4
2 Colin Rea 0.3180 0.3110 104.2
3 Logan Allen 0.3180 0.3245 100.9
4 Bryan Woo 0.3180 0.3049 77.0
5 Michael Tonkin 0.3180 0.2823 74.8
6 Ian Gibaut 0.3180 0.3015 67.1
7 Jesse Scholtens 0.3180 0.3494 61.5
8 Elvis Peguero 0.3180 0.2812 58.3
9 Ian Hamilton 0.3180 0.2768 56.3
10 Tom Cosgrove 0.3180 0.2389 56.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Muller 0.2918 0.4160 37.4
2 Luis Severino 0.2779 0.3888 36.4
3 Kyle Bradish 0.2967 0.2669 35.9
4 Sonny Gray 0.2914 0.2701 34.0
5 Chris Flexen 0.2997 0.3912 31.6
6 Ken Waldichuk 0.2868 0.3597 31.4
7 Carlos Carrasco 0.2912 0.3897 31.2
8 Tylor Megill 0.2734 0.3499 29.9
9 Lance Lynn 0.2875 0.3475 29.4
10 Zach Eflin 0.2923 0.2754 28.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Severino 0.2662 0.3888 42.2
2 Kyle Muller 0.2824 0.4160 41.8
3 Kyle Bradish 0.3075 0.2669 41.6
4 Jack Flaherty 0.2767 0.3560 37.7
5 Trevor Williams 0.3030 0.3773 35.0
6 Ken Waldichuk 0.2837 0.3597 34.9
7 Alek Manoah 0.2664 0.3711 34.6
8 Lucas Giolito 0.2775 0.3395 32.3
9 Lance Lynn 0.2863 0.3475 32.3
10 Chris Flexen 0.3023 0.3912 31.5

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Merrill Kelly 0.2590
0.2029
(34.2)
0.2149
(33.5)
0.2016
(41.3)
0.2006
(40.5)
0.2021
(37.4)
Corbin Burnes 0.2551
0.3018
(43.5)
0.3028
(35.6)
0.3009
(36.1)
0.2982
(35.6)
0.3054
(43.5)
Mitch Keller 0.2545
0.2003
(37.5)
0.2064
(41.6)
0.1995
(45.3)
0.1978
(45.0)
0.2062
(35.6)
Félix Bautista 0.4641
0.2803
(41.5)
0.2731
(45.8)
0.3135
(35.6)
0.3158
(34.6)
0.3140
(34.4)
Pablo López 0.2921
0.2214
(49.6)
0.2418
(42.2)
0.2340
(46.4)
0.2349
(44.0)
0.2442
(34.2)
Nick Pivetta 0.3118
0.2162
(50.9)
0.2368
(45.4)
0.2160
(56.1)
0.2194
(52.9)
0.2268
(46.8)
Cristian Javier 0.2314
0.2942
(49.2)
0.2907
(39.1)
0.2880
(39.0)
0.2857
(38.8)
0.3024
(52.3)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Eflin 0.1952 0.2646 42.6
2 Justin Verlander 0.2680 0.2152 41.2
3 Taj Bradley 0.1903 0.2804 37.4
4 Kevin Gausman 0.2534 0.3106 36.9
5 Adam Wainwright 0.1802 0.1136 36.5
6 Andrew Heaney 0.2827 0.2356 35.8
7 Tylor Megill 0.2392 0.1852 35.6
8 Shane Bieber 0.2556 0.2008 33.9
9 Kyle Freeland 0.1798 0.1388 33.7
10 Aroldis Chapman 0.2711 0.4137 33.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kodai Senga 0.2277 0.2911 45.6
2 Ryne Nelson 0.2271 0.1551 43.2
3 Spencer Strider 0.3143 0.3683 42.9
4 Adam Wainwright 0.1994 0.1136 40.4
5 Austin Gomber 0.2090 0.1443 37.6
6 Shane Bieber 0.2684 0.2008 34.8
7 Joe Ryan 0.2439 0.2932 34.7
8 Aroldis Chapman 0.2780 0.4137 34.3
9 Trevor Williams 0.2222 0.1684 33.9
10 Kyle Freeland 0.1910 0.1388 33.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2277 0.1136 55.3
2 Tylor Megill 0.2689 0.1852 47.6
3 Zach Eflin 0.2006 0.2646 44.8
4 J.P. France 0.2469 0.1738 42.6
5 Justin Verlander 0.2773 0.2152 41.7
6 Taj Bradley 0.1917 0.2804 40.7
7 Kevin Gausman 0.2642 0.3106 35.2
8 Joe Ryan 0.2429 0.2932 33.6
9 Freddy Peralta 0.2614 0.3088 32.1
10 Luis Severino 0.2630 0.1894 30.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tylor Megill 0.2696 0.1852 49.1
2 J.P. France 0.2526 0.1738 47.1
3 Zach Eflin 0.2008 0.2646 43.2
4 Justin Verlander 0.2753 0.2152 41.7
5 Taj Bradley 0.1880 0.2804 41.5
6 Gerrit Cole 0.3095 0.2704 34.0
7 Kevin Gausman 0.2648 0.3106 33.2
8 Luis Severino 0.2646 0.1894 32.3
9 Freddy Peralta 0.2592 0.3088 32.2
10 Joe Ryan 0.2438 0.2932 31.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. France 0.2482 0.1738 46.2
2 Tylor Megill 0.2581 0.1852 44.3
3 Justin Verlander 0.2731 0.2152 42.2
4 Gerrit Cole 0.3164 0.2704 42.0
5 Ryne Nelson 0.2170 0.1551 41.5
6 Andrew Heaney 0.2947 0.2356 41.2
7 Shane Bieber 0.2700 0.2008 39.7
8 Kyle Muller 0.2429 0.1505 36.3
9 Ken Waldichuk 0.2573 0.2066 35.7
10 Austin Gomber 0.1965 0.1443 34.6

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Blake Snell 0.1334
0.0903
(26.9)
0.0993
(22.4)
0.0937
(24.8)
0.0932
(25.7)
0.0925
(30.3)
Justin Steele 0.0503
0.0951
(37.0)
0.0939
(34.1)
0.0966
(37.7)
0.0947
(35.8)
0.0980
(34.2)
Brad Keller 0.2133
0.0893
(24.7)
0.0923
(24.7)
0.0895
(24.8)
0.0887
(25.1)
0.0909
(25.8)
Daniel Bard 0.2112
0.0974
(24.8)
0.0973
(25.5)
0.1001
(24.3)
0.0973
(25.1)
0.1086
(23.8)
Cristopher Sánchez 0.0404
0.0924
(23.3)
0.0909
(21.6)
0.0959
(24.5)
0.0968
(24.5)
0.1041
(25.3)
Michael Kopech 0.1540
0.1025
(26.4)
0.0974
(31.1)
0.0959
(30.6)
0.0961
(30.9)
0.0959
(34.3)
Tyler Anderson 0.1017
0.0606
(21.6)
0.0616
(22.8)
0.0595
(22.6)
0.0600
(22.8)
0.0529
(30.7)
Braxton Garrett 0.0440
0.0754
(25.2)
0.0817
(27.5)
0.0770
(25.9)
0.0768
(25.2)
0.0852
(27.2)
Yusei Kikuchi 0.0686
0.1000
(26.8)
0.1026
(26.6)
0.0916
(20.5)
0.0929
(20.9)
0.0994
(21.6)
Logan Webb 0.0365
0.0688
(33.3)
0.0689
(31.0)
0.0673
(31.6)
0.0663
(30.0)
0.0611
(21.0)
Alek Manoah 0.1422
0.0743
(25.3)
0.0748
(26.3)
0.0713
(26.8)
0.0718
(26.9)
0.0685
(30.6)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 George Kirby 0.0533 0.0251 26.5
2 Mitch Keller 0.0887 0.0667 23.8
3 Zac Gallen 0.0731 0.0556 20.6
4 Joe Ryan 0.0743 0.0506 20.5
5 Logan Gilbert 0.0665 0.0468 20.4
6 Bryce Miller 0.0794 0.0484 20.3
7 Zack Littell 0.0775 0.0317 19.9
8 Yennier Cano 0.1083 0.0459 19.6
9 Kyle Bradish 0.0876 0.0656 19.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 George Kirby 0.0595 0.0251 29.0
2 Mitch Keller 0.0933 0.0667 25.2
3 Bryce Miller 0.0860 0.0484 22.3
4 Zac Gallen 0.0774 0.0556 21.8
5 Joe Ryan 0.0789 0.0506 21.7
6 Charlie Morton 0.0825 0.1159 21.1
7 Zack Littell 0.0830 0.0317 21.0
8 Zach Eflin 0.0590 0.0341 20.2
9 Clarke Schmidt 0.0909 0.0663 19.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 George Kirby 0.0549 0.0251 27.3
2 Mitch Keller 0.0897 0.0667 24.2
3 Charlie Morton 0.0762 0.1159 23.9
4 Bryce Miller 0.0860 0.0484 23.5
5 Zac Gallen 0.0757 0.0556 22.4
6 Zack Littell 0.0832 0.0317 21.9
7 Zach Eflin 0.0572 0.0341 20.6
8 Julio Teheran 0.1095 0.0451 20.4
9 Seth Lugo 0.0868 0.0596 20.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 George Kirby 0.0550 0.0251 26.8
2 Charlie Morton 0.0764 0.1159 24.3
3 Mitch Keller 0.0888 0.0667 22.8
4 Zack Littell 0.0832 0.0317 21.6
5 Zac Gallen 0.0742 0.0556 20.5
6 Edward Cabrera 0.0996 0.1521 20.4
7 Zach Eflin 0.0574 0.0341 20.2
8 Bryce Miller 0.0772 0.0484 18.4
9 Seth Lugo 0.0842 0.0596 18.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kodai Senga 0.0684 0.1110 29.5
2 Charlie Morton 0.0816 0.1159 24.5
3 J.P. France 0.1182 0.0809 21.7
4 Edward Cabrera 0.1045 0.1521 20.6
5 Kyle Bradish 0.0961 0.0656 20.5
6 Taijuan Walker 0.0696 0.0969 19.9
7 Gregory Santos 0.1270 0.0588 19.7
8 Phil Bickford 0.0648 0.1283 19.3
9 Brandon Williamson 0.1185 0.0794 19.2

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Aaron Nola 0.0013
0.0000
(8.0)
0.0109
(7.8)
0.0104
(8.5)
0.0104
(8.5)
0.0119
(8.1)
Peter Strzelecki 0.0491
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0111
(6.2)
0.0101
(6.1)
0.0102
(6.1)
0.0124
(6.0)
MacKenzie Gore 0.0017
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0127
(6.5)
0.0099
(5.7)
0.0100
(5.7)
0.0107
(5.0)
Drew VerHagen 0.0336
0.0000
(5.9)
0.0129
(5.5)
0.0114
(5.5)
0.0102
(5.8)
0.0147
(5.2)
Kyle Freeland 0.0015
0.0000
(6.7)
0.0146
(9.0)
0.0119
(8.1)
0.0118
(8.0)
0.0125
(7.2)
Yohan Ramírez 0.0625
0.0000
(9.0)
0.0199
(7.5)
0.0152
(8.0)
0.0149
(8.1)
0.0346
(5.0)
Noah Syndergaard 0.0256
0.0000
(5.5)
0.0095
(6.2)
0.0087
(6.0)
0.0087
(6.0)
0.0068
(7.5)
Lucas Sims 0.0388
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0143
(6.3)
0.0114
(6.7)
0.0114
(6.7)
0.0155
(6.1)
JP Sears 0.0218
0.0000
(7.6)
0.0086
(9.5)
0.0087
(8.5)
0.0088
(8.4)
0.0142
(5.8)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Kelly 0.0000 0.0362 6.9
2 Logan Gilbert 0.0000 0.0026 6.8
3 Alexis Díaz 0.0000 0.0350 6.7
4 Jason Adam 0.0000 0.0405 6.5
5 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0016 6.1
6 Phil Maton 0.0000 0.0328 5.9
7 Kevin Gausman 0.0000 0.0039 5.7
8 Reid Detmers 0.0000 0.0202 5.7
9 Joey Wentz 0.0000 0.0000 5.6
10 Blake Snell 0.0000 0.0040 5.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Kelly 0.0114 0.0362 6.8
2 Zac Gallen 0.0134 0.0059 6.5
3 Alexis Díaz 0.0126 0.0350 6.3
4 Logan Gilbert 0.0100 0.0026 5.9
5 Michael Kopech 0.0087 0.0186 5.8
6 Max Scherzer 0.0154 0.0064 5.7
7 Zach Eflin 0.0118 0.0043 5.4
8 Ryne Nelson 0.0102 0.0016 5.4
9 Edward Cabrera 0.0212 0.0092 5.3
10 Osvaldo Bido 0.0114 0.0339 5.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan Gilbert 0.0093 0.0026 6.4
2 Alexis Díaz 0.0115 0.0350 6.3
3 Logan Allen 0.0114 0.0019 6.0
4 Kevin Kelly 0.0132 0.0362 5.9
5 Jason Adam 0.0126 0.0405 5.9
6 Zac Gallen 0.0111 0.0059 5.7
7 Andrew Abbott 0.0124 0.0022 5.4
8 Logan Webb 0.0106 0.0059 5.3
9 Ryne Nelson 0.0087 0.0016 5.3
10 Michael Kopech 0.0081 0.0186 5.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan Gilbert 0.0093 0.0026 6.3
2 Alexis Díaz 0.0114 0.0350 6.3
3 Kevin Kelly 0.0131 0.0362 6.0
4 Jason Adam 0.0127 0.0405 5.9
5 Zac Gallen 0.0111 0.0059 5.7
6 Ryne Nelson 0.0087 0.0016 5.3
7 Logan Webb 0.0106 0.0059 5.3
8 Michael Kopech 0.0081 0.0186 5.3
9 Alec Marsh 0.0100 0.0263 5.1
10 Reid Detmers 0.0108 0.0202 5.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Kopech 0.0044 0.0186 8.6
2 Tanner Houck 0.0277 0.0130 6.7
3 Brandon Williamson 0.0166 0.0041 6.0
4 Lucas Giolito 0.0046 0.0113 5.7
5 Grayson Rodriguez 0.0152 0.0039 5.7
6 Alec Marsh 0.0103 0.0263 5.6
7 Touki Toussaint 0.0329 0.0182 5.5
8 Jake Diekman 0.0268 0.0041 5.4
9 José Ruiz 0.0040 0.0290 5.3
10 Michael Tonkin 0.0222 0.0062 5.1

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Taj Bradley 0.0790
0.0389
(15.2)
0.0470
(13.6)
0.0495
(12.4)
0.0495
(12.2)
0.0423
(16.2)
MacKenzie Gore 0.0724
0.0390
(15.3)
0.0425
(16.0)
0.0450
(14.4)
0.0463
(13.5)
0.0412
(17.3)
Johnny Cueto 0.1056
0.0363
(13.5)
0.0377
(14.3)
0.0449
(12.6)
0.0439
(12.8)
0.0393
(14.1)
Lucas Giolito 0.0807
0.0410
(25.9)
0.0530
(20.1)
0.0536
(19.4)
0.0536
(19.2)
0.0486
(24.2)
Sonny Gray 0.0157
0.0383
(22.4)
0.0417
(21.4)
0.0404
(20.6)
0.0400
(20.5)
0.0405
(19.9)
Kyle Hendricks 0.0286
0.0457
(14.0)
0.0516
(14.7)
0.0465
(11.9)
0.0476
(12.6)
0.0489
(12.6)
Lance Lynn 0.0813
0.0438
(24.5)
0.0477
(25.2)
0.0497
(23.4)
0.0493
(23.6)
0.0477
(25.9)
Michael Kopech 0.0817
0.0506
(14.1)
0.0467
(19.2)
0.0577
(12.6)
0.0565
(13.2)
0.0530
(16.0)
JP Sears 0.0673
0.0425
(13.0)
0.0407
(17.8)
0.0410
(17.4)
0.0415
(16.9)
0.0412
(18.0)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gerrit Cole 0.0529 0.0368 19.1
2 Josiah Gray 0.0661 0.0472 18.2
3 Johan Oviedo 0.0490 0.0361 15.7
4 Chris Flexen 0.0347 0.0714 13.8
5 Max Scherzer 0.0418 0.0704 13.3
6 Hunter Brown 0.0345 0.0615 13.2
7 Tyler Wells 0.0450 0.0794 12.8
8 Jordan Montgomery 0.0413 0.0322 12.6
9 Marcus Stroman 0.0373 0.0224 12.6
10 Charlie Morton 0.0424 0.0320 12.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josiah Gray 0.0762 0.0472 21.9
2 Gerrit Cole 0.0587 0.0368 20.0
3 Charlie Morton 0.0501 0.0320 14.8
4 Joey Wentz 0.0402 0.0720 14.5
5 Freddy Peralta 0.0397 0.0634 14.4
6 Luke Weaver 0.0432 0.0707 14.1
7 Joe Ryan 0.0503 0.0736 14.0
8 Chris Flexen 0.0392 0.0714 13.9
9 Hunter Brown 0.0385 0.0615 13.7
10 Trevor Williams 0.0463 0.0694 13.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Brown 0.0368 0.0615 14.6
2 Jordan Lyles 0.0467 0.0676 13.6
3 Gerrit Cole 0.0504 0.0368 13.4
4 Josiah Gray 0.0635 0.0472 13.3
5 Dylan Cease 0.0523 0.0394 12.1
6 Eric Lauer 0.0538 0.1111 11.5
7 Joey Wentz 0.0465 0.0720 11.3
8 Luis Severino 0.0475 0.0769 11.2
9 Max Scherzer 0.0499 0.0704 11.1
10 Gregory Santos 0.0456 0.0100 11.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Brown 0.0341 0.0615 16.3
2 Jordan Lyles 0.0462 0.0676 13.9
3 Gerrit Cole 0.0501 0.0368 13.3
4 Tanner Bibee 0.0524 0.0330 13.0
5 Josiah Gray 0.0621 0.0472 12.4
6 Dylan Cease 0.0517 0.0394 11.9
7 Joey Wentz 0.0457 0.0720 11.5
8 Eric Lauer 0.0537 0.1111 11.5
9 Luis Severino 0.0465 0.0769 11.5
10 Luis Castillo 0.0367 0.0536 11.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Ryan 0.0435 0.0736 19.2
2 Luis Castillo 0.0304 0.0536 17.4
3 Dean Kremer 0.0282 0.0521 16.4
4 Michael King 0.0702 0.0375 14.8
5 Trevor Williams 0.0468 0.0694 13.9
6 Julio Urías 0.0413 0.0716 13.9
7 Luis Severino 0.0424 0.0769 13.7
8 Kyle Bradish 0.0497 0.0310 13.6
9 Hayden Wesneski 0.0399 0.0766 13.3
10 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0416 0.0738 12.9

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Corbin Burnes 0.2439
0.2651
(27.0)
0.2803
(33.0)
0.2948
(41.1)
0.2920
(37.0)
0.2888
(38.1)
Kyle Muller 0.3721
0.2666
(34.4)
0.2834
(30.9)
0.2891
(30.3)
0.2911
(30.5)
0.2857
(30.8)
Jordan Lyles 0.2546
0.2781
(27.4)
0.3023
(39.8)
0.2984
(33.9)
0.3010
(34.0)
0.3029
(38.8)
Wade Miley 0.2345
0.2717
(24.7)
0.2895
(29.7)
0.3075
(36.5)
0.2987
(31.0)
0.2903
(29.2)
Jack Flaherty 0.3563
0.2724
(46.0)
0.2793
(46.4)
0.2861
(44.7)
0.2892
(44.2)
0.2639
(57.6)
Adam Wainwright 0.3569
0.2770
(32.3)
0.2837
(32.8)
0.2946
(29.5)
0.2975
(29.2)
0.2872
(32.0)
Tyler Wells 0.2000
0.2694
(38.8)
0.2620
(31.8)
0.2664
(31.9)
0.2850
(39.5)
0.2714
(35.3)
Dylan Cease 0.3305
0.2702
(37.0)
0.2791
(35.8)
0.2743
(42.9)
0.2857
(35.8)
0.2806
(36.2)
David Peterson 0.3699
0.2792
(38.1)
0.2979
(32.6)
0.3030
(32.2)
0.2964
(36.6)
0.2917
(36.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Holton 0.2938 0.2117 30.9
2 Paul Blackburn 0.2704 0.3498 30.8
3 Michael Tonkin 0.3143 0.2406 28.2
4 Brady Singer 0.2763 0.3293 27.9
5 Hunter Brown 0.2761 0.3300 27.1
6 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2621 0.3136 26.9
7 Charlie Morton 0.2703 0.3208 26.7
8 Nick Sandlin 0.2899 0.1926 26.4
9 Devin Williams 0.2973 0.1982 25.9
10 Pablo López 0.2679 0.3128 25.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Snell 0.2961 0.2558 34.1
2 Miles Mikolas 0.2641 0.3077 32.7
3 Luis Castillo 0.2963 0.2672 27.8
4 Alex Faedo 0.3108 0.2105 27.7
5 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.3125 0.2743 27.2
6 Yu Darvish 0.2661 0.3187 27.0
7 Brayan Bello 0.3400 0.3059 26.6
8 Joey Wentz 0.2698 0.3292 26.5
9 Lucas Giolito 0.3017 0.2741 26.4
10 Dylan Floro 0.2901 0.4012 26.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Medina 0.4103 0.3065 52.1
2 Bryce Elder 0.3154 0.2743 31.1
3 Hunter Greene 0.2781 0.3395 29.9
4 Clayton Kershaw 0.2994 0.2500 26.6
5 Tyler Holton 0.2910 0.2117 26.1
6 Domingo Germán 0.2904 0.2333 26.0
7 Tanner Bibee 0.3285 0.2861 25.7
8 Joe Ryan 0.2657 0.3052 25.6
9 Blake Snell 0.2887 0.2558 25.5
10 Nick Sandlin 0.2950 0.1926 24.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Brash 0.2897 0.3804 28.2
2 Tony Gonsolin 0.2969 0.2334 27.2
3 Tyler Holton 0.2935 0.2117 26.2
4 Matt Manning 0.2960 0.2140 25.6
5 Kevin Gausman 0.2884 0.3207 25.4
6 Clayton Kershaw 0.2989 0.2500 25.1
7 Dylan Floro 0.3011 0.4012 25.1
8 Domingo Germán 0.2894 0.2333 24.5
9 Hunter Greene 0.2920 0.3395 24.1
10 Nick Sandlin 0.2943 0.1926 24.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Snell 0.2963 0.2558 32.8
2 Tyler Holton 0.2968 0.2117 28.8
3 Yu Darvish 0.2665 0.3187 27.8
4 Matt Manning 0.2951 0.2140 26.8
5 Matt Brash 0.2910 0.3804 26.4
6 Dylan Floro 0.2949 0.4012 25.5
7 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.3110 0.2743 25.1
8 Hunter Brown 0.2888 0.3300 24.9
9 Alex Faedo 0.3014 0.2105 24.8
10 Hunter Greene 0.2871 0.3395 24.3

Single Rate

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Lyles 0.0000 0.1617 42.9
2 David Peterson 0.0000 0.2979 38.8
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.2191 0.2258 36.5
4 Tyler Wells 0.0000 0.1414 36.5
5 Andrew Suárez 0.2191 0.1868 32.7
6 Dylan Covey 0.2191 0.2701 32.1
7 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.1692 29.3
8 Matt Brash 0.0000 0.3129 28.9
9 Domingo Germán 0.0000 0.1556 28.2
10 Luis Castillo 0.0000 0.1842 28.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Lyles 0.2236 0.1617 48.1
2 David Peterson 0.2192 0.2979 37.6
3 Pablo López 0.2014 0.2490 36.2
4 Jack Flaherty 0.2117 0.2604 30.1
5 Nick Pivetta 0.2182 0.1692 30.1
6 Lucas Giolito 0.2214 0.1863 29.8
7 Luis Castillo 0.2173 0.1842 28.4
8 Joe Ryan 0.1838 0.2283 28.3
9 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2079 0.2500 27.8
10 Tyler Wells 0.1956 0.1414 26.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Miller 0.2191 0.1907 132.7
2 Colin Rea 0.2191 0.1930 126.6
3 Logan Allen 0.2191 0.2351 108.9
4 Adam Wainwright 0.2191 0.2534 89.3
5 Bryan Hoeing 0.2191 0.1517 87.0
6 Bryan Woo 0.2191 0.2115 84.0
7 Michael Tonkin 0.2191 0.2028 76.4
8 Emmet Sheehan 0.2191 0.1644 67.8
9 Drew VerHagen 0.2191 0.1890 66.7
10 Albert Abreu 0.2191 0.1975 64.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Lyles 0.3010 0.1617 47.1
2 David Peterson 0.2964 0.2979 38.3
3 Nick Pivetta 0.2995 0.1692 31.7
4 Tyler Wells 0.2850 0.1414 31.6
5 Jack Flaherty 0.2892 0.2604 30.9
6 Matt Brash 0.2897 0.3129 30.7
7 Chris Flexen 0.2892 0.2708 27.0
8 Johan Oviedo 0.2994 0.1890 26.6
9 Luis Castillo 0.2936 0.1842 26.5
10 Wade Miley 0.2987 0.1695 25.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Lyles 0.3029 0.1617 51.9
2 Jack Flaherty 0.2639 0.2604 44.4
3 David Peterson 0.2917 0.2979 38.4
4 Nick Pivetta 0.2976 0.1692 33.2
5 Jon Gray 0.2836 0.2564 29.2
6 Matt Brash 0.2910 0.3129 28.8
7 Yu Darvish 0.2665 0.2445 28.6
8 Pablo López 0.2854 0.2490 28.3
9 Adrian Houser 0.2776 0.2641 28.0
10 Kutter Crawford 0.3095 0.1856 27.5

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Corbin Burnes 0.0389
0.0000
(23.9)
0.0546
(14.2)
0.0000
(23.8)
0.0000
(23.9)
0.0000
(23.9)
Jon Gray 0.0373
0.0000
(21.1)
0.0627
(18.3)
0.0000
(21.0)
0.0000
(21.1)
0.0000
(21.1)
Kevin Gausman 0.0958
0.0000
(20.1)
0.0691
(18.4)
0.0000
(20.2)
0.0000
(20.1)
0.0000
(20.1)
Hunter Greene 0.1218
0.0000
(26.1)
0.0703
(24.4)
0.0000
(26.1)
0.0000
(26.1)
0.0000
(26.1)
Bryce Miller 0.0981
0.0000
(15.4)
0.0694
(14.1)
0.0694
(21.8)
0.0000
(15.4)
0.0000
(15.4)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.1050 20.0
2 Rich Hill 0.0000 0.0993 19.7
3 Dylan Covey 0.0694 0.0365 19.5
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0956 19.4
5 Ken Waldichuk 0.0000 0.0968 17.5
6 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0955 16.4
7 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0496 16.3
8 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.0954 15.2
9 Luis Medina 0.0000 0.1000 15.1
10 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.0367 15.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 0.0538 0.0894 23.3
2 Dane Dunning 0.0815 0.0543 21.4
3 Pablo López 0.0764 0.0535 20.3
4 Tyler Anderson 0.0641 0.0955 18.2
5 Rich Hill 0.0714 0.0993 16.8
6 Adam Wainwright 0.0612 0.0981 16.6
7 Jack Flaherty 0.0631 0.0909 16.5
8 Gerrit Cole 0.0671 0.0496 16.4
9 Dean Kremer 0.0728 0.0530 16.4
10 Kyle Freeland 0.0802 0.0587 16.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colin Rea 0.0694 0.0526 44.5
2 Jesse Scholtens 0.0694 0.0441 35.7
3 Michael Tonkin 0.0694 0.0330 34.4
4 Logan Allen 0.0694 0.0793 31.9
5 Bryan Woo 0.0694 0.0529 31.9
6 Ian Gibaut 0.0694 0.0478 28.9
7 Elvis Peguero 0.0694 0.0244 28.8
8 Tom Cosgrove 0.0694 0.0149 25.4
9 Andrew Vasquez 0.0694 0.0282 24.2
10 Jose Cuas 0.0694 0.0585 23.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.1050 20.0
2 José Soriano 0.0694 0.0316 19.8
3 Rich Hill 0.0000 0.0993 19.7
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0956 19.4
5 Ken Waldichuk 0.0000 0.0968 17.5
6 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0955 16.4
7 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0496 16.3
8 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.0954 15.2
9 Luis Medina 0.0000 0.1000 15.1
10 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.0367 15.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colin Rea 0.0694 0.0526 44.6
2 Bryan Woo 0.0694 0.0529 31.9
3 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.1050 20.0
4 José Soriano 0.0694 0.0316 19.8
5 Rich Hill 0.0000 0.0993 19.7
6 Dylan Covey 0.0694 0.0365 19.5
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0956 19.4
8 Ken Waldichuk 0.0000 0.0968 17.5
9 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0955 16.4
10 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0496 16.3

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Alec Marsh 0.0259
0.0000
(6.8)
0.0060
(6.5)
0.0000
(6.8)
0.0000
(6.8)
0.0000
(6.8)
Drew Smith 0.0280
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(6.6)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
Blake Snell 0.0000
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0060
(5.1)
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0000
(4.5)
Jovani Morán 0.0283
0.0000
(4.1)
0.0000
(5.1)
0.0000
(4.1)
0.0000
(4.1)
0.0000
(4.1)
Ryne Nelson 0.0221
0.0000
(10.0)
0.0105
(6.7)
0.0000
(10.0)
0.0000
(10.0)
0.0000
(10.0)
Ray Kerr 0.0469
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.7)
Lucas Giolito 0.0150
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0073
(5.5)
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0000
(7.1)
Hunter Greene 0.0148
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0032
(5.4)
0.0000
(4.4)
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0000
(4.3)
Tanner Banks 0.0230
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0000
(5.7)
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0000
(4.3)
Dylan Cease 0.0194
0.0000
(10.5)
0.0049
(10.8)
0.0000
(10.5)
0.0000
(10.5)
0.0000
(10.5)
Peter Lambert 0.0356
0.0000
(11.1)
0.0058
(10.9)
0.0000
(11.1)
0.0000
(11.1)
0.0000
(11.1)
George Kirby 0.0130
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0056
(5.1)
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.3)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sean Manaea 0.0000 0.0163 5.1
2 José Ureña 0.0000 0.0290 4.7
3 Louis Varland 0.0000 0.0225 4.7
4 Kodai Senga 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
5 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.0133 4.2
6 Freddy Peralta 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
7 Fernando Cruz 0.0000 0.0207 4.1
8 Andrew Chafin 0.0000 0.0238 4.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0095 0.0020 6.4
2 Patrick Corbin 0.0087 0.0017 6.1
3 Freddy Peralta 0.0075 0.0000 5.6
4 Fernando Cruz 0.0000 0.0207 5.6
5 Josh Winckowski 0.0141 0.0000 5.4
6 Bailey Ober 0.0112 0.0027 5.4
7 Zack Wheeler 0.0099 0.0039 5.3
8 Sandy Alcantara 0.0076 0.0019 5.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan Allen 0.0060 0.0000 6.5
2 Bryce Miller 0.0060 0.0000 6.5
3 Sean Manaea 0.0000 0.0163 5.1
4 José Ureña 0.0000 0.0290 4.7
5 Louis Varland 0.0000 0.0225 4.7
6 Jesse Scholtens 0.0060 0.0000 4.5
7 Kodai Senga 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
8 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.0133 4.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sean Manaea 0.0000 0.0163 5.1
2 José Ureña 0.0000 0.0290 4.7
3 Louis Varland 0.0000 0.0225 4.7
4 Kodai Senga 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
5 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.0133 4.2
6 Freddy Peralta 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
7 Fernando Cruz 0.0000 0.0207 4.1
8 Andrew Chafin 0.0000 0.0238 4.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sean Manaea 0.0000 0.0163 5.1
2 José Ureña 0.0000 0.0290 4.7
3 Louis Varland 0.0000 0.0225 4.7
4 Kodai Senga 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
5 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.0133 4.2
6 Freddy Peralta 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
7 Fernando Cruz 0.0000 0.0207 4.1
8 Andrew Chafin 0.0000 0.0238 4.0

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Luis Severino 0.1751
0.0929
(30.4)
0.1025
(27.7)
0.1017
(26.7)
0.1039
(26.5)
0.1030
(28.5)
Tanner Bibee 0.0838
0.0000
(43.5)
0.1216
(25.8)
0.1452
(41.4)
0.1232
(27.5)
0.1242
(25.8)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colin Rea 0.0000 0.1257 60.2
2 Jesse Scholtens 0.0000 0.1432 50.5
3 Ben Lively 0.0000 0.1384 49.4
4 Alec Marsh 0.0000 0.1462 46.8
5 Andrew Abbott 0.0000 0.1024 42.7
6 Bryan Hoeing 0.0000 0.1480 42.2
7 Quinn Priester 0.0000 0.1838 40.8
8 Bryan Woo 0.0000 0.1186 40.5
9 Zack Littell 0.0000 0.1135 39.5
10 Tristan Beck 0.0000 0.1130 36.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.0997 0.1839 37.7
2 Blake Snell 0.1063 0.0633 36.5
3 Kyle Bradish 0.1260 0.0805 34.7
4 Lance Lynn 0.1093 0.1572 33.7
5 Jordan Lyles 0.1275 0.1738 30.0
6 Chris Flexen 0.1053 0.1738 29.1
7 Kodai Senga 0.1216 0.0865 28.7
8 Joey Wentz 0.1128 0.1768 28.4
9 Sonny Gray 0.1075 0.0782 26.7
10 Gerrit Cole 0.1028 0.0780 25.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Snell 0.0997 0.0633 33.9
2 Lance Lynn 0.1085 0.1572 31.8
3 Sonny Gray 0.1087 0.0782 30.1
4 Kyle Bradish 0.1146 0.0805 29.2
5 Jordan Lyles 0.1285 0.1738 26.9
6 Adam Wainwright 0.1216 0.1839 25.6
7 Joey Wentz 0.1171 0.1768 24.8
8 Gavin Williams 0.1548 0.0928 24.7
9 Carlos Rodón 0.0875 0.1783 23.3
10 Wade Miley 0.1271 0.0898 22.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Snell 0.0987 0.0633 31.9
2 Sonny Gray 0.1128 0.0782 31.8
3 Lance Lynn 0.1121 0.1572 30.2
4 Kyle Bradish 0.1158 0.0805 28.8
5 Adam Wainwright 0.1211 0.1839 26.7
6 Josiah Gray 0.1313 0.1032 25.0
7 Jordan Lyles 0.1352 0.1738 23.2
8 Hunter Brown 0.0998 0.1414 22.5
9 Michael Wacha 0.1213 0.0886 22.3
10 Carlos Rodón 0.0931 0.1783 22.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Bradish 0.1294 0.0805 35.3
2 Adam Wainwright 0.1118 0.1839 33.1
3 Lance Lynn 0.1127 0.1572 33.0
4 Blake Snell 0.1040 0.0633 32.9
5 Shintaro Fujinami 0.1002 0.1821 27.9
6 Jordan Lyles 0.1336 0.1738 27.3
7 Sonny Gray 0.1081 0.0782 25.3
8 Chris Flexen 0.1182 0.1738 24.2
9 Carlos Rodón 0.0901 0.1783 24.2
10 Dane Dunning 0.1304 0.1011 23.8

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Tanner Bibee 0.0803
0.1046
(19.9)
0.1124
(22.6)
0.1355
(37.2)
0.1151
(24.3)
0.1141
(21.7)
Blake Snell 0.0606
0.0857
(25.8)
0.0993
(33.6)
0.0922
(29.7)
0.0910
(27.5)
0.0963
(29.0)
Jordan Lyles 0.1658
0.1253
(23.0)
0.1204
(29.0)
0.1206
(27.4)
0.1267
(24.2)
0.1242
(28.6)
Adam Wainwright 0.1715
0.1055
(27.2)
0.0954
(33.6)
0.1124
(24.5)
0.1119
(25.6)
0.1027
(31.7)
Kyle Bradish 0.0790
0.1052
(24.1)
0.1182
(30.8)
0.1059
(23.7)
0.1070
(23.3)
0.1196
(29.5)
Sonny Gray 0.0756
0.0938
(21.1)
0.0984
(22.2)
0.1001
(24.9)
0.1039
(26.4)
0.1004
(21.2)
Lance Lynn 0.1448
0.1019
(26.8)
0.0950
(34.9)
0.1004
(29.0)
0.1041
(27.4)
0.1036
(30.6)
Carlos Rodón 0.1713
0.0800
(23.3)
0.0856
(22.6)
0.0807
(23.5)
0.0862
(22.4)
0.0839
(24.1)
Chris Flexen 0.1674
0.1021
(25.9)
0.1002
(28.2)
0.1101
(22.7)
0.1107
(23.3)
0.1093
(25.5)
Luis Severino 0.1583
0.0846
(26.6)
0.0957
(23.3)
0.0936
(23.4)
0.0958
(23.2)
0.0960
(24.6)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josiah Gray 0.1294 0.0989 28.1
2 Hogan Harris 0.0815 0.1761 24.1
3 Kyle Muller 0.1046 0.1747 22.5
4 Carlos Carrasco 0.0996 0.1631 22.4
5 Noah Syndergaard 0.0983 0.1637 21.7
6 Javier Assad 0.1190 0.0824 20.8
7 Justin Steele 0.1011 0.0824 20.3
8 Dinelson Lamet 0.0996 0.2483 20.1
9 Aaron Bummer 0.0809 0.1648 19.8
10 Connor Seabold 0.1216 0.1789 19.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 0.1006 0.1646 28.2
2 Kodai Senga 0.1124 0.0793 27.6
3 Gerrit Cole 0.0972 0.0743 24.2
4 Yennier Cano 0.1325 0.0601 22.4
5 Hunter Brown 0.0928 0.1323 21.9
6 Alek Manoah 0.0790 0.1373 21.5
7 Josiah Gray 0.1226 0.0989 21.2
8 Brady Singer 0.1030 0.1396 21.0
9 Josh Winckowski 0.1232 0.0736 20.6
10 Shintaro Fujinami 0.1124 0.1765 20.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Steele 0.1079 0.0824 24.3
2 Kyle Muller 0.1023 0.1747 23.8
3 Brady Singer 0.0982 0.1396 23.1
4 Joey Wentz 0.1094 0.1646 23.0
5 Gavin Williams 0.1435 0.0870 22.5
6 Shintaro Fujinami 0.1066 0.1765 21.9
7 Carlos Carrasco 0.1049 0.1631 20.7
8 Wade Miley 0.1168 0.0857 19.4
9 Dinelson Lamet 0.1070 0.2483 19.3
10 Hogan Harris 0.1005 0.1761 19.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Muller 0.1023 0.1747 24.4
2 Hunter Brown 0.0905 0.1323 23.3
3 Brady Singer 0.1009 0.1396 22.5
4 Josiah Gray 0.1240 0.0989 22.3
5 Carlos Carrasco 0.1038 0.1631 21.9
6 Aaron Bummer 0.0801 0.1648 20.8
7 Shintaro Fujinami 0.1127 0.1765 20.4
8 Joey Wentz 0.1165 0.1646 20.4
9 Merrill Kelly 0.1113 0.0900 20.2
10 Hogan Harris 0.0990 0.1761 20.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shintaro Fujinami 0.0929 0.1765 28.6
2 Kyle Muller 0.1025 0.1747 25.6
3 Noah Syndergaard 0.0986 0.1637 24.1
4 Brady Singer 0.1033 0.1396 23.2
5 Aaron Bummer 0.0841 0.1648 20.7
6 Hunter Brown 0.0985 0.1323 20.3
7 Carlos Carrasco 0.1123 0.1631 19.8
8 Josh Winckowski 0.1240 0.0736 19.7
9 Connor Seabold 0.1283 0.1789 19.3
10 Zach Davies 0.1152 0.1698 19.3

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Spencer Strider 0.6250
0.3929
(185.2)
0.2250
(266.2)
0.3859
(194.1)
0.4238
(149.2)
0.3333
(223.8)
Zach Eflin 0.5161
0.2857
(169.4)
0.1563
(217.1)
0.3166
(151.0)
0.3445
(116.7)
0.3333
(129.7)
Justin Steele 0.5333
0.2692
(196.7)
0.1500
(237.9)
0.3011
(177.2)
0.3396
(134.7)
0.2609
(196.3)
Eduardo Rodriguez 0.5000
0.2857
(139.6)
0.2286
(136.8)
0.2740
(149.8)
0.3221
(107.0)
0.2800
(137.7)
Michael Wacha 0.5833
0.3462
(137.0)
0.2105
(177.9)
0.3833
(119.1)
0.3090
(148.6)
0.2174
(203.3)
Taijuan Walker 0.4839
0.2857
(153.0)
0.2439
(138.4)
0.3288
(124.9)
0.3180
(117.5)
0.3077
(130.4)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Bibee 0.0007 0.4000 239.8
2 Andrew Abbott 0.0010 0.3810 179.3
3 J.P. France 0.2000 0.4583 156.2
4 Kyle Gibson 0.2857 0.4545 144.8
5 Zac Gallen 0.3438 0.5000 141.1
6 Dean Kremer 0.2308 0.4063 136.7
7 Mitch Keller 0.2581 0.4063 131.0
8 Colin Rea 0.0003 0.2308 124.6
9 Dylan Cease 0.3750 0.2121 119.4
10 Zack Greinke 0.2500 0.0667 102.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zac Gallen 0.2143 0.5000 198.5
2 Mitch Keller 0.1395 0.4063 177.9
3 Brayan Bello 0.1176 0.4286 173.6
4 Bryce Elder 0.1212 0.3871 157.2
5 Kyle Bradish 0.1282 0.4000 148.1
6 Kyle Gibson 0.2250 0.4545 144.0
7 Blake Snell 0.2051 0.4375 134.5
8 George Kirby 0.1951 0.4194 131.1
9 Luis Castillo 0.2105 0.4242 130.4
10 Dean Kremer 0.1795 0.4063 129.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. France 0.0620 0.4583 239.1
2 Dane Dunning 0.0876 0.3429 195.3
3 Bobby Miller 0.1373 0.5000 190.9
4 Bryce Elder 0.1465 0.3871 187.3
5 Tylor Megill 0.1336 0.3600 137.0
6 Sandy Alcantara 0.4448 0.2500 136.8
7 Adrian Houser 0.0793 0.3478 136.5
8 Yusei Kikuchi 0.1667 0.3438 134.6
9 Kyle Gibson 0.3082 0.4545 130.4
10 Reid Detmers 0.3562 0.1429 127.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. France 0.0525 0.4583 232.6
2 Bryce Elder 0.0707 0.3871 227.5
3 Dane Dunning 0.0869 0.3429 180.7
4 Bobby Miller 0.1393 0.5000 179.3
5 Hunter Brown 0.1301 0.3548 145.7
6 Bryce Miller 0.0512 0.3200 141.3
7 Zack Greinke 0.2950 0.0667 138.7
8 Tylor Megill 0.1178 0.3600 134.2
9 Reid Detmers 0.3430 0.1429 132.5
10 Dylan Cease 0.3715 0.2121 129.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. France 0.1429 0.4583 184.3
2 Kyle Gibson 0.2308 0.4545 181.9
3 Zac Gallen 0.3103 0.5000 161.9
4 Dylan Cease 0.4194 0.2121 161.2
5 Mitch Keller 0.2143 0.4063 159.8
6 Seth Lugo 0.0588 0.3077 151.3
7 Kyle Bradish 0.2000 0.4000 135.3
8 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2500 0.4800 133.7
9 Noah Syndergaard 0.4400 0.1111 127.9
10 Miles Mikolas 0.4074 0.2571 127.8

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Tanner Houck 0.4762
0.2083
(128.6)
0.1515
(123.6)
0.1152
(159.5)
0.0943
(174.5)
0.1613
(145.6)
JP Sears 0.4375
0.2609
(137.1)
0.1250
(187.3)
0.1883
(171.1)
0.1798
(185.7)
0.2308
(151.6)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Elder 0.4000 0.1290 191.1
2 Alec Marsh 0.0006 0.5294 184.2
3 Shintaro Fujinami 0.6111 0.1250 170.0
4 Ben Lively 0.0006 0.3684 144.7
5 Andrew Abbott 0.0010 0.2857 135.2
6 Martín Pérez 0.3448 0.1143 134.2
7 Jesse Scholtens 0.0004 0.3462 134.1
8 Patrick Sandoval 0.2759 0.4643 129.3
9 Colin Rea 0.0005 0.2308 124.2
10 Lucas Giolito 0.3103 0.4545 122.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Brown 0.0909 0.4194 180.0
2 Johan Oviedo 0.1563 0.4375 174.6
3 Joey Wentz 0.1212 0.5200 167.8
4 Jordan Lyles 0.2683 0.5484 166.3
5 Lucas Giolito 0.2000 0.4545 156.3
6 Zack Greinke 0.1892 0.5000 150.1
7 Charlie Morton 0.1463 0.4000 140.3
8 Rich Hill 0.1842 0.4375 129.1
9 Logan Webb 0.1860 0.3939 127.6
10 Josiah Gray 0.1951 0.4333 126.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Johan Oviedo 0.1678 0.4375 197.8
2 Joey Wentz 0.1781 0.5200 160.1
3 Adam Wainwright 0.2034 0.5238 147.1
4 Dean Kremer 0.3282 0.1563 138.5
5 Jordan Lyles 0.3527 0.5484 134.1
6 Martín Pérez 0.3116 0.1143 130.0
7 Patrick Sandoval 0.2517 0.4643 127.9
8 Lucas Giolito 0.2825 0.4545 123.6
9 Hunter Brown 0.2268 0.4194 117.1
10 Tylor Megill 0.1011 0.3200 114.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Brown 0.0981 0.4194 210.3
2 Johan Oviedo 0.1701 0.4375 205.0
3 Luis Medina 0.0524 0.4348 186.8
4 Dean Kremer 0.3763 0.1563 165.4
5 Martín Pérez 0.3730 0.1143 160.4
6 Gerrit Cole 0.2808 0.1212 135.2
7 Taijuan Walker 0.3672 0.1935 131.0
8 Justin Steele 0.3379 0.1667 126.2
9 Tylor Megill 0.0970 0.3200 123.6
10 Griffin Canning 0.0986 0.3333 123.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Johan Oviedo 0.2222 0.4375 167.8
2 Patrick Sandoval 0.2400 0.4643 145.9
3 Hunter Brown 0.2143 0.4194 136.1
4 Jordan Montgomery 0.1724 0.3438 132.8
5 Charlie Morton 0.2143 0.4000 132.6
6 Logan Webb 0.2414 0.3939 129.3
7 Seth Lugo 0.0588 0.2692 126.8
8 Martín Pérez 0.3103 0.1143 119.5
9 Luis Severino 0.1429 0.4211 115.8
10 Trevor Williams 0.1600 0.3333 113.9

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Evan Phillips 0.3871
0.1846
(47.3)
0.0488
(83.1)
0.1080
(62.7)
0.1309
(58.0)
0.1571
(51.1)
Carlos Estévez 0.4921
0.2000
(82.0)
0.0851
(119.1)
0.1080
(104.8)
0.2573
(63.6)
0.2615
(61.5)
Daniel Bard 0.0200
0.4394
(97.4)
0.3333
(68.8)
0.3527
(79.8)
0.4078
(91.9)
0.5278
(120.5)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge López 0.5641 0.0492 137.1
2 Will Smith 0.0000 0.3667 82.8
3 Adbert Alzolay 0.0952 0.3793 71.8
4 Michael Fulmer 0.3137 0.0345 66.3
5 Michael King 0.2692 0.1224 63.4
6 Dylan Floro 0.3667 0.1129 63.0
7 Clay Holmes 0.6038 0.3636 63.0
8 José Leclerc 0.3281 0.0702 60.2
9 Justin Lawrence 0.0000 0.1594 51.9
10 Reynaldo López 0.2703 0.0882 50.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 David Bednar 0.1750 0.5909 119.9
2 Alexis Díaz 0.1316 0.5211 116.2
3 Devin Williams 0.1250 0.5902 111.3
4 Alex Lange 0.0213 0.3881 110.5
5 Félix Bautista 0.1463 0.5893 109.0
6 Camilo Doval 0.2340 0.5652 97.8
7 Jhoan Duran 0.1026 0.4576 94.8
8 Kyle Finnegan 0.1200 0.4179 90.7
9 Adbert Alzolay 0.0417 0.3793 89.7
10 Paul Sewald 0.1875 0.5231 87.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adbert Alzolay 0.0529 0.3793 79.8
2 Trevor May 0.0303 0.4286 79.4
3 Will Smith 0.0309 0.3667 73.4
4 Kyle Finnegan 0.1543 0.4179 72.7
5 Paul Sewald 0.2504 0.5231 65.1
6 Jhoan Duran 0.2003 0.4576 62.8
7 Alexis Díaz 0.3086 0.5211 57.6
8 Pierce Johnson 0.0000 0.1940 50.7
9 Jordan Hicks 0.0000 0.1846 49.5
10 Justin Lawrence 0.0000 0.1594 48.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adbert Alzolay 0.0655 0.3793 77.3
2 Jhoan Duran 0.1568 0.4576 74.6
3 Will Smith 0.0324 0.3667 73.7
4 Tanner Banks 0.3092 0.0313 73.0
5 Jorge López 0.2816 0.0492 64.0
6 José Leclerc 0.3198 0.0702 60.1
7 Yonny Chirinos 0.1408 0.0000 54.7
8 Paul Sewald 0.2960 0.5231 54.5
9 Michael Fulmer 0.2465 0.0345 52.2
10 Pierce Johnson 0.0153 0.1940 47.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge López 0.4479 0.0492 109.2
2 Yonny Chirinos 0.2406 0.0000 92.6
3 José Leclerc 0.4042 0.0702 80.6
4 Tanner Banks 0.3274 0.0313 78.5
5 Will Smith 0.0341 0.3667 72.5
6 David Robertson 0.5278 0.2903 67.0
7 Jhoan Duran 0.1904 0.4576 65.2
8 Scott Barlow 0.3790 0.2063 55.1
9 Michael Fulmer 0.2241 0.0345 47.7
10 Pierce Johnson 0.0221 0.1940 44.4

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player Actual Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Mark Leiter Jr. 0.4058
0.1290
(83.9)
0.1515
(66.9)
0.0301
(97.8)
0.0186
(101.1)
Joel Payamps 0.3913
0.0833
(98.4)
0.0515
(96.0)
0.0153
(104.4)
0.0153
(104.6)
Josh Winckowski 0.3167
0.0833
(98.5)
0.0617
(91.6)
0.0161
(105.8)
0.0268
(102.2)
Tyler Rogers 0.4412
0.2453
(71.4)
0.2469
(58.3)
0.1919
(73.3)
0.2132
(66.9)
Yennier Cano 0.4306
0.1111
(100.3)
0.0505
(106.0)
0.0432
(106.2)
0.0159
(114.1)
Elvis Peguero 0.3559
0.1053
(72.0)
0.0644
(72.1)
0.0583
(71.9)
0.0142
(83.2)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Seth Lugo 0.2045 0.0000 102.4
2 Colin Holderman 0.0870 0.4655 99.3
3 Jason Foley 0.1250 0.4000 85.6
4 Michael Lorenzen 0.1622 0.0000 79.3
5 Erik Swanson 0.1667 0.4203 75.6
6 Michael Kopech 0.1628 0.0000 75.5
7 Gregory Soto 0.0816 0.3478 75.3
8 Ian Gibaut 0.1111 0.3108 74.7
9 Steven Wilson 0.1176 0.4231 74.6
10 Trevor Stephan 0.1778 0.3944 74.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.2381 107.2
2 Colin Holderman 0.0579 0.4655 96.5
3 Jason Foley 0.0463 0.4000 96.1
4 Steven Wilson 0.0463 0.4231 81.3
5 Ian Gibaut 0.0644 0.3108 76.6
6 Danny Coulombe 0.0505 0.3607 64.0
7 Jhoan Duran 0.2504 0.0169 60.9
8 José Soriano 0.0644 0.3947 60.1
9 Carlos Hernández 0.0494 0.2537 59.7
10 Zack Littell 0.1515 0.0000 59.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.0149 0.2381 97.3
2 Justin Topa 0.0129 0.3067 78.5
3 Tyler Holton 0.0181 0.2373 67.1
4 Danny Coulombe 0.0302 0.3607 66.8
5 Colin Holderman 0.1843 0.4655 64.6
6 Josh Sborz 0.0145 0.3182 62.7
7 Héctor Neris 0.2004 0.4366 61.2
8 Jake Bird 0.0144 0.1857 60.6
9 José Soriano 0.0644 0.3947 58.9
10 Jason Foley 0.1799 0.4000 57.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adbert Alzolay 0.6296 0.1207 131.7
2 Jakob Junis 0.3724 0.0500 122.5
3 Jaime Barria 0.3333 0.0588 103.5
4 Nick Martinez 0.0148 0.2381 97.6
5 Michael King 0.3535 0.1633 86.9
6 Bryse Wilson 0.3433 0.0943 81.8
7 Ty Blach 0.2104 0.0000 78.1
8 Justin Topa 0.0239 0.3067 75.7
9 Chris Flexen 0.1491 0.0000 74.8
10 Zack Thompson 0.2791 0.0400 71.9

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Tanner Bibee 2.9789
3.9800
(847.8)
4.3995
(1045.7)
4.8774
(1357.9)
4.3987
(1027.4)
4.3077
(877.3)
Kyle Muller 7.5974
4.0105
(1167.6)
4.4672
(1028.0)
3.9468
(1200.8)
3.9293
(1239.4)
3.9289
(1301.2)
Blake Snell 2.2500
3.1796
(1022.3)
3.7721
(1401.5)
3.4506
(1204.4)
3.3951
(1099.4)
3.6087
(1134.8)
Carlos Carrasco 6.8000
3.7676
(1077.6)
4.1618
(947.1)
4.0116
(986.5)
3.9497
(1048.3)
4.3454
(952.3)
Adam Wainwright 7.3960
4.0415
(1406.7)
3.5554
(1681.3)
4.3995
(1245.8)
4.3550
(1309.0)
3.9560
(1582.3)
Kyle Bradish 2.8281
4.0490
(1119.9)
4.5636
(1410.7)
4.0670
(1114.9)
4.1149
(1089.2)
4.6923
(1365.5)
Sonny Gray 2.7880
3.5297
(897.1)
3.6986
(963.2)
3.8517
(1120.7)
4.0123
(1176.8)
3.7956
(888.5)
Lance Lynn 5.7332
3.8199
(1183.9)
3.5677
(1453.4)
3.7693
(1245.4)
3.9175
(1195.2)
3.8952
(1347.1)
Dinelson Lamet 11.7108
3.9000
(1067.6)
4.2857
(1023.5)
4.0185
(1054.1)
4.3708
(1015.5)
4.6359
(1001.1)
Carlos Rodón 6.8549
2.9168
(998.1)
3.1343
(959.2)
2.9586
(993.5)
3.1656
(958.9)
3.0318
(1044.6)
Chris Flexen 6.8599
3.9519
(1146.3)
3.8037
(1253.3)
4.2978
(997.0)
4.2627
(1053.5)
4.2273
(1147.2)
Luis Severino 6.6493
3.0986
(1293.7)
3.5228
(1150.8)
3.5022
(1136.1)
3.5987
(1131.7)
3.5379
(1226.2)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josiah Gray 5.0086 3.9057 1082.7
2 Hogan Harris 3.1263 7.1429 1013.4
3 Connor Seabold 4.7302 7.5229 956.6
4 Joey Wentz 4.5370 6.8991 941.6
5 Javier Assad 4.6929 3.0457 940.8
6 Justin Steele 3.9067 3.0635 924.6
7 Noah Syndergaard 3.6985 6.4962 918.7
8 Aaron Bummer 3.1585 6.7886 849.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 3.8224 6.8991 1333.2
2 Kodai Senga 4.3995 2.9760 1242.5
3 Alek Manoah 2.9032 5.8740 1080.7
4 Gerrit Cole 3.5224 2.6268 1036.4
5 Yennier Cano 5.2941 2.1055 1006.2
6 Tyler Anderson 3.5578 5.4255 944.1
7 Jordan Lyles 4.6618 6.2814 937.1
8 Jesús Luzardo 4.3997 3.5765 881.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 4.2846 6.8991 1078.4
2 Justin Steele 4.1197 3.0635 1058.8
3 Brady Singer 3.7208 5.5240 969.2
4 Wade Miley 4.6206 3.1413 931.9
5 Shintaro Fujinami 4.2294 7.1772 901.5
6 Merrill Kelly 4.0914 3.2927 881.8
7 Jordan Lyles 4.7329 6.2814 842.2
8 Kyle Hendricks 4.7698 3.7445 836.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 4.5955 6.8991 967.8
2 Merrill Kelly 4.2774 3.2927 953.9
3 Brady Singer 3.8449 5.5240 942.5
4 Aaron Bummer 3.0111 6.7886 918.7
5 Josiah Gray 4.8737 3.9057 910.6
6 Hunter Brown 3.4342 5.0878 875.9
7 Shintaro Fujinami 4.4475 7.1772 854.4
8 Hogan Harris 3.8277 7.1429 846.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shintaro Fujinami 3.7053 7.1772 1178.5
2 Noah Syndergaard 3.7100 6.4962 1022.6
3 Brady Singer 3.9567 5.5240 980.3
4 Alek Manoah 3.4309 5.8740 943.0
5 Connor Seabold 5.0865 7.5229 924.4
6 Jordan Lyles 4.8799 6.2814 920.6
7 Aaron Bummer 3.1765 6.7886 918.8
8 Ken Waldichuk 3.7869 5.3617 897.1

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Kyle Muller 1.9610
1.2603
(238.5)
1.3139
(217.5)
1.3156
(222.6)
1.3133
(229.6)
1.2854
(246.6)
Jack Flaherty 1.5797
1.2259
(191.2)
1.2802
(154.1)
1.2930
(155.7)
1.2945
(165.6)
1.1572
(266.3)
Adam Wainwright 1.9010
1.2579
(282.4)
1.2028
(307.7)
1.3286
(254.2)
1.3562
(249.0)
1.3122
(278.7)
Kyle Bradish 1.0435
1.2777
(197.2)
1.3466
(245.3)
1.3108
(211.0)
1.3152
(202.7)
1.4017
(249.0)
Luis Severino 1.6455
1.0682
(215.9)
1.1184
(193.8)
1.1639
(181.2)
1.1838
(179.9)
1.1122
(217.0)
Alek Manoah 1.7405
1.1649
(214.1)
1.0772
(249.4)
1.1905
(208.6)
1.2255
(201.1)
1.0663
(274.4)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Carrasco 1.2011 1.7000 183.2
2 Tyler Holton 1.3483 0.8672 175.2
3 Ken Waldichuk 1.2337 1.5603 170.6
4 Logan Webb 1.2077 1.0741 164.2
5 Andrew Heaney 1.0640 1.3778 163.0
6 Tylor Megill 1.2317 1.5752 161.0
7 Kutter Crawford 1.3493 1.1057 159.8
8 Trevor Williams 1.3008 1.6005 158.2
9 Joey Wentz 1.3151 1.6845 152.4
10 Cristopher Sánchez 1.3602 1.0470 147.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 1.4410 1.2453 212.9
2 George Kirby 1.2422 1.0385 201.5
3 Joey Wentz 1.2355 1.6845 190.2
4 Michael Kopech 1.2105 1.5928 189.1
5 Zach Eflin 1.2253 1.0244 185.1
6 Kutter Crawford 1.3716 1.1057 173.0
7 Tyler Anderson 1.1550 1.4894 171.0
8 Nick Pivetta 1.3370 1.1215 163.1
9 Braxton Garrett 1.3296 1.1461 162.1
10 Justin Steele 1.3277 1.1712 156.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan Webb 1.2765 1.0741 212.2
2 Tylor Megill 1.1566 1.5752 210.6
3 Zach Eflin 1.2450 1.0244 188.2
4 Wade Miley 1.4495 1.1385 175.5
5 Brandon Williamson 1.5886 1.2821 173.7
6 Tyler Holton 1.3429 0.8672 169.4
7 Mitch Keller 1.4018 1.2453 168.0
8 Justin Steele 1.3570 1.1712 166.8
9 Nick Pivetta 1.3501 1.1215 161.9
10 Jordan Lyles 1.4119 1.2439 160.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tylor Megill 1.1577 1.5752 219.5
2 Logan Webb 1.2898 1.0741 209.2
3 Zach Eflin 1.2433 1.0244 175.3
4 Carlos Carrasco 1.2595 1.7000 171.0
5 Ken Waldichuk 1.2625 1.5603 170.9
6 Nick Pivetta 1.3780 1.1215 168.4
7 Tyler Holton 1.3368 0.8672 162.0
8 Jordan Lyles 1.4266 1.2439 159.4
9 Chris Flexen 1.3022 1.6710 157.7
10 Wade Miley 1.4214 1.1385 153.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tylor Megill 1.2118 1.5752 198.8
2 Trevor Williams 1.3111 1.6005 182.2
3 Ken Waldichuk 1.2713 1.5603 176.5
4 Michael Kopech 1.2835 1.5928 175.2
5 Dylan Cease 1.1875 1.4181 170.7
6 Kutter Crawford 1.3935 1.1057 158.5
7 Nick Pivetta 1.3748 1.1215 156.2
8 Charlie Morton 1.1997 1.4265 153.2
9 Tyler Anderson 1.2349 1.4894 152.0
10 Carlos Carrasco 1.3278 1.7000 149.9