2022 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Drury	35	568	533.0
2	Miguel Sanó	531	71	460.0
3	Luis Rengifo	67	511	444.0
4	Kris Bryant	622	181	441.0
5	Michael Harris II	1	441	440.0
6	Adalberto Mondesi	491	54	437.0
7	Brendan Donovan	33	468	435.0
8	Christopher Morel	1	425	424.0
9	Bobby Bradley	427	17	410.0
10	Alcides Escobar	535	131	404.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Steven Kwan	1	638	637.0
2	Bobby Witt Jr.	1	632	631.0
3	Julio Rodríguez	1	560	559.0
4	Jeremy Peña	1	558	557.0
5	MJ Melendez	1	534	533.0
6	Jose Miranda	1	483	482.0
7	Adley Rutschman	1	470	469.0
8	Brendan Donovan	1	468	467.0
9	Bryson Stott	1	466	465.0
10	Seiya Suzuki	1	446	445.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	César Hernández	1	617	616.0
2	Brandon Drury	1	568	567.0
3	Josh Donaldson	1	546	545.0
4	Nelson Cruz	1	507	506.0
5	Miguel Sanó	542	71	471.0
6	Kris Bryant	633	181	452.0
7	Luis Rengifo	60	511	451.0
8	Austin Meadows	594	147	447.0
9	Michael Harris II	1	441	440.0
10	Miguel Cabrera	1	433	432.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Sanó	619	71	548.0
2	Brandon Drury	38	568	529.7
3	Kris Bryant	669	181	487.5
4	Adalberto Mondesi	536	54	482.4
5	Brendan Donovan	20	468	448.3
6	Michael Harris II	1	441	440.0
7	Willie Calhoun	494	62	432.4
8	David Fletcher	655	228	426.6
9	Christopher Morel	1	425	424.0
10	Bobby Bradley	439	17	422.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Vargas	577	50	527.0
2	Nick Solak	618	95	523.0
3	Otto Lopez	532	10	522.0
4	Brendon Davis	521	11	510.0
5	Lenyn Sosa	539	36	503.0
6	Joe Perez	500	1	499.0
7	Eguy Rosario	504	6	498.0
8	Heliot Ramos	515	22	493.0
9	Gabriel Arias	542	57	485.0
10	Jack Larsen	484	1	483.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jose Altuve	0.3979	0.3268 (52.4)	0.3498 (39.2)	0.3554 (41.2)	0.3539 (41.0)	0.3495 (32.1)
Andrés Giménez	0.3638	0.2996 (44.5)	0.3055 (41.9)	0.3121 (43.1)	0.3085 (44.1)	0.3147 (30.0)
Yasmani Grandal	0.2642	0.3613 (30.6)	0.3671 (32.3)	0.3689 (29.7)	0.3649 (28.9)	0.3658 (36.4)
Albert Pujols	0.3808	0.2657 (45.9)	0.3112 (30.3)	0.3099 (33.9)	0.3194 (29.9)	0.2947 (31.9)
Michael Harris II	0.3667	0.2750 (47.3)	0.3099 (32.5)	0.3099 (36.4)	0.2762 (50.4)	0.2943 (34.1)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.4184	0.3479 (56.2)	0.3657 (45.3)	0.3658 (51.0)	0.3654 (50.1)	0.3533 (45.5)
Aaron Judge	0.4619	0.3679 (76.4)	0.3789 (69.5)	0.3905 (67.5)	0.3884 (67.7)	0.3895 (53.7)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nolan Arenado	0.3324	0.3825	40.8
2	Yordan Alvarez	0.3746	0.4308	40.3
3	Yandy Díaz	0.3111	0.3673	40.1
4	Brandon Drury	0.2969	0.3496	38.8
5	Jeff McNeil	0.3200	0.3657	36.2
6	Nathaniel Lowe	0.3291	0.3693	36.0
7	Elvis Andrus	0.2670	0.3100	33.9
8	Matt Carpenter	0.2716	0.4700	33.0
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.4135	0.3381	31.8
10	Julio Rodríguez	0.3278	0.3684	31.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.3099	0.3684	42.2
2	Brandon Drury	0.2971	0.3496	39.4
3	Yordan Alvarez	0.3796	0.4308	38.2
4	Jonathan Schoop	0.3316	0.2463	34.9
5	Nelson Cruz	0.3762	0.2906	34.8
6	Geraldo Perdomo	0.3305	0.2469	33.4
7	Nathaniel Lowe	0.3352	0.3693	32.9
8	Taylor Ward	0.3210	0.3619	32.6
9	Steven Kwan	0.3099	0.3414	30.8
10	Manny Machado	0.3555	0.3864	30.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yordan Alvarez	0.3875	0.4308	38.7
2	Brandon Drury	0.3099	0.3496	37.1
3	Nolan Arenado	0.3501	0.3825	36.1
4	Adolis García	0.2966	0.3255	35.8
5	Joc Pederson	0.3215	0.3754	34.5
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.3179	0.3442	32.7
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4253	0.3544	31.9
8	Taylor Ward	0.3314	0.3619	31.7
9	Christian Walker	0.3267	0.3472	30.8
10	Dansby Swanson	0.3193	0.3374	30.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yordan Alvarez	0.3887	0.4308	37.0
2	Brandon Drury	0.3092	0.3496	36.5
3	Nolan Arenado	0.3505	0.3825	34.7
4	Adolis García	0.2984	0.3255	33.5
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4247	0.3544	32.8
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.3165	0.3442	32.4
7	Joc Pederson	0.3267	0.3754	31.4
8	Taylor Ward	0.3319	0.3619	30.4
9	Jeff McNeil	0.3395	0.3657	29.5
10	Matt Carpenter	0.3037	0.4700	29.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.4459	0.3781	41.8
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4165	0.3544	40.5
3	Franmil Reyes	0.3632	0.2798	37.2
4	Jonathan Schoop	0.3218	0.2463	36.0
5	Cody Bellinger	0.3509	0.2840	34.1
6	Nelson Cruz	0.3622	0.2906	33.8
7	Jared Walsh	0.3600	0.2819	33.3
8	Joey Gallo	0.3719	0.2860	33.2
9	Matt Olson	0.3989	0.3467	33.1
10	Max Muncy	0.3816	0.3186	32.9

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Oneil Cruz	0.3490	0.2695 (30.0)	0.2370 (42.0)	0.2202 (45.2)	0.2217 (44.6)	0.2355 (44.8)
José Abreu	0.1620	0.2201 (37.0)	0.2216 (37.6)	0.2260 (45.9)	0.2292 (48.3)	0.2199 (32.1)
Kole Calhoun	0.3208	0.2383 (36.5)	0.2370 (37.3)	0.2242 (39.4)	0.2400 (32.6)	0.2376 (39.7)
Chris Taylor	0.3524	0.2751 (36.7)	0.2697 (39.5)	0.2708 (35.4)	0.2757 (33.1)	0.2838 (36.0)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	MJ Melendez	0.3284	0.2453	42.5
2	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.2748	0.2136	36.4
3	Trent Grisham	0.2231	0.2863	34.9
4	Josh Bell	0.2125	0.1577	33.2
5	Seiya Suzuki	0.1760	0.2466	33.1
6	Trevor Story	0.2284	0.3081	32.9
7	Alec Bohm	0.2299	0.1743	32.8
8	José Barrero	0.2574	0.4368	31.8
9	Andrew Benintendi	0.2119	0.1478	31.6
10	Dylan Carlson	0.2606	0.1926	31.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Steven Kwan	0.2242	0.0940	80.3
2	Brett Phillips	0.2242	0.4178	44.5
3	Christopher Morel	0.2242	0.3224	43.5
4	Alec Bohm	0.2442	0.1743	41.5
5	Nico Hoerner	0.1902	0.1103	39.1
6	Alejandro Kirk	0.1797	0.1072	37.0
7	Cody Bellinger	0.2104	0.2727	36.6
8	Tommy Pham	0.2160	0.2685	35.2
9	Yandy Díaz	0.1746	0.1075	35.1
10	Joey Bart	0.2706	0.3849	34.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alec Bohm	0.2364	0.1743	41.5
2	Aristides Aquino	0.2242	0.3659	38.1
3	Trent Grisham	0.2132	0.2863	36.4
4	Yandy Díaz	0.1680	0.1075	35.8
5	Diego Castillo	0.1376	0.2650	35.0
6	Christian Walker	0.2450	0.1964	34.9
7	Javier Báez	0.3044	0.2492	34.8
8	Nolan Gorman	0.2166	0.3291	34.1
9	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.2242	0.1141	33.9
10	José Barrero	0.2387	0.4368	33.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alec Bohm	0.2359	0.1743	41.3
2	Diego Castillo	0.1391	0.2650	34.5
3	Yandy Díaz	0.1652	0.1075	34.3
4	Trent Grisham	0.2170	0.2863	34.3
5	Javier Báez	0.3021	0.2492	33.5
6	Nolan Gorman	0.2186	0.3291	33.4
7	José Barrero	0.2426	0.4368	33.1
8	Christian Walker	0.2416	0.1964	32.7
9	Myles Straw	0.1912	0.1460	29.3
10	Brandon Nimmo	0.2112	0.1724	28.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Diego Castillo	0.1352	0.2650	39.7
2	Nolan Gorman	0.2190	0.3291	37.8
3	Jake Cronenworth	0.1477	0.1915	37.3
4	Ian Happ	0.3009	0.2324	37.1
5	Manny Machado	0.1607	0.2065	36.3
6	Seiya Suzuki	0.1767	0.2466	35.9
7	José Barrero	0.2478	0.4368	34.7
8	Tommy Pham	0.2235	0.2685	34.6
9	Trent Grisham	0.2310	0.2863	34.5
10	Wilmer Flores	0.1271	0.1711	32.8

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Nathaniel Lowe	0.0744	0.1120 (19.4)	0.1103 (19.3)	0.1225 (24.8)	0.1244 (26.3)	0.1208 (30.6)
Jesse Winker	0.1536	0.1048 (30.8)	0.1085 (27.9)	0.1132 (27.4)	0.1135 (27.0)	0.1130 (21.5)
Anthony Santander	0.0850	0.0603 (20.8)	0.0594 (20.4)	0.0580 (23.8)	0.0589 (22.9)	0.0491 (22.5)
Jorge Polanco	0.1438	0.0764 (33.3)	0.0752 (33.1)	0.0771 (34.0)	0.0769 (33.9)	0.0727 (31.1)
Brendan Donovan	0.1282	0.0909 (21.0)	0.0816 (24.6)	0.0827 (25.9)	0.0821 (25.9)	0.0732 (25.2)
Yordan Alvarez	0.1390	0.0978 (27.3)	0.0957 (27.6)	0.0986 (28.2)	0.0987 (27.8)	0.0993 (21.6)
Aaron Judge	0.1595	0.1113 (38.7)	0.1160 (34.4)	0.1263 (29.9)	0.1267 (29.2)	0.1235 (24.3)
Jesús Aguilar	0.0552	0.1007 (19.3)	0.0975 (18.4)	0.1009 (18.2)	0.0999 (18.0)	0.0963 (21.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	DJ LeMahieu	0.0903	0.1238	22.2
2	Yandy Díaz	0.1099	0.1398	20.9
3	Lars Nootbaar	0.0967	0.1470	20.0
4	J.P. Crawford	0.0875	0.1128	19.8
5	Eugenio Suárez	0.0923	0.1161	19.7
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.1072	0.0611	19.6
7	Brendan Rodgers	0.0535	0.0792	19.2
8	MJ Melendez	0.0970	0.1236	18.2
9	Max Muncy	0.1348	0.1593	18.1
10	C.J. Cron	0.1036	0.0680	17.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adley Rutschman	0.0816	0.1383	29.4
2	MJ Melendez	0.0816	0.1236	25.6
3	Luis Rengifo	0.0863	0.0333	24.1
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.1098	0.0611	21.7
5	Lars Nootbaar	0.0933	0.1470	20.7
6	DJ LeMahieu	0.0922	0.1238	20.3
7	Jeremy Peña	0.0816	0.0394	20.2
8	Cody Bellinger	0.1114	0.0691	20.0
9	Rowdy Tellez	0.0763	0.1035	19.8
10	Mike Trout	0.1525	0.1082	19.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.1687	0.1082	25.3
2	DJ LeMahieu	0.0910	0.1238	23.1
3	Bryce Harper	0.1711	0.1080	22.8
4	MJ Melendez	0.0949	0.1236	20.5
5	Brendan Rodgers	0.0540	0.0792	20.3
6	Lars Nootbaar	0.0984	0.1470	20.2
7	Brandon Nimmo	0.1451	0.1055	20.1
8	Adley Rutschman	0.1068	0.1383	19.4
9	Luis Rengifo	0.0800	0.0333	18.9
10	Cody Bellinger	0.1121	0.0691	18.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.1705	0.1082	26.5
2	DJ LeMahieu	0.0912	0.1238	22.7
3	Bryce Harper	0.1694	0.1080	22.2
4	Lars Nootbaar	0.0970	0.1470	20.5
5	Brendan Rodgers	0.0543	0.0792	19.8
6	Brandon Nimmo	0.1439	0.1055	19.6
7	Luis Rengifo	0.0808	0.0333	19.6
8	MJ Melendez	0.0967	0.1236	19.3
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1183	0.0822	19.0
10	Cody Bellinger	0.1126	0.0691	18.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.1814	0.1082	37.1
2	Bryce Harper	0.1708	0.1080	27.3
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1184	0.0822	26.4
4	Brandon Nimmo	0.1429	0.1055	25.9
5	Cody Bellinger	0.1144	0.0691	25.6
6	Ian Happ	0.1271	0.0905	24.2
7	Tommy Pham	0.1266	0.0900	23.5
8	Mookie Betts	0.1215	0.0861	23.4
9	Luis Rengifo	0.0763	0.0333	22.6
10	Josh Donaldson	0.1386	0.0989	22.3

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrés Giménez	0.0449	0.0250 (11.4)	0.0274 (10.0)	0.0206 (13.9)	0.0210 (13.6)	0.0292 (8.7)
Michael Massey	0.0412	0.0000 (8.1)	0.0112 (5.9)	0.0112 (6.0)	0.0120 (5.8)	0.0096 (6.1)
Anthony Santander	0.0201	0.0089 (7.7)	0.0091 (7.4)	0.0101 (6.9)	0.0100 (6.9)	0.0075 (8.0)
Dylan Moore	0.0510	0.0180 (8.6)	0.0199 (8.1)	0.0182 (8.5)	0.0190 (8.3)	0.0214 (7.5)
Travis d'Arnaud	0.0258	0.0030 (10.0)	0.0091 (7.3)	0.0096 (7.2)	0.0100 (7.0)	0.0068 (8.1)
Joey Votto	0.0266	0.0077 (7.4)	0.0063 (7.8)	0.0084 (7.1)	0.0080 (7.2)	0.0062 (7.6)
Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0000	0.0220 (7.9)	0.0185 (6.7)	0.0167 (5.9)	0.0170 (6.1)	0.0197 (7.3)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Victor Robles	0.0479	0.0221	10.3
2	C.J. Cron	0.0273	0.0127	8.8
3	Jose Altuve	0.0033	0.0166	8.4
4	Brandon Drury	0.0000	0.0141	8.4
5	Greg Allen	0.0735	0.0149	7.8
6	José Abreu	0.0291	0.0177	7.4
7	Josh Smith	0.0000	0.0277	7.2
8	Francisco Mejía	0.0309	0.0067	7.0
9	Anthony Rizzo	0.0298	0.0420	7.0
10	Wilmer Flores	0.0074	0.0183	6.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Willson Contreras	0.0281	0.0493	10.6
2	Brendan Donovan	0.0112	0.0299	9.0
3	Mark Canha	0.0358	0.0517	8.8
4	Bryan Reynolds	0.0109	0.0228	7.6
5	Jake Cronenworth	0.0129	0.0234	7.5
6	Austin Riley	0.0142	0.0245	7.5
7	Xander Bogaerts	0.0057	0.0158	6.7
8	Jesse Winker	0.0195	0.0073	6.4
9	Albert Pujols	0.0114	0.0285	6.2
10	Jose Altuve	0.0072	0.0166	5.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Canha	0.0317	0.0517	11.2
2	Willson Contreras	0.0272	0.0493	11.1
3	Thairo Estrada	0.0124	0.0259	7.7
4	Austin Riley	0.0142	0.0245	7.6
5	Bryan Reynolds	0.0111	0.0228	7.6
6	Brendan Donovan	0.0154	0.0299	7.1
7	Jake Cronenworth	0.0149	0.0234	6.3
8	Albert Pujols	0.0112	0.0285	6.3
9	Xander Bogaerts	0.0069	0.0158	6.1
10	Brandon Nimmo	0.0157	0.0238	5.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Canha	0.0310	0.0517	11.5
2	Willson Contreras	0.0270	0.0493	11.1
3	Austin Riley	0.0140	0.0245	7.7
4	Bryan Reynolds	0.0110	0.0228	7.6
5	Thairo Estrada	0.0130	0.0259	7.3
6	Brendan Donovan	0.0160	0.0299	6.8
7	Albert Pujols	0.0110	0.0285	6.3
8	Jake Cronenworth	0.0150	0.0234	6.1
9	Xander Bogaerts	0.0070	0.0158	6.0
10	Anthony Rizzo	0.0320	0.0420	5.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Willson Contreras	0.0304	0.0493	9.1
2	Austin Riley	0.0127	0.0245	8.2
3	Bryan Reynolds	0.0094	0.0228	8.1
4	Mark Canha	0.0377	0.0517	7.5
5	C.J. Cron	0.0239	0.0127	7.1
6	Randy Arozarena	0.0280	0.0171	7.1
7	Jake Cronenworth	0.0134	0.0234	6.7
8	Brendan Rodgers	0.0163	0.0052	6.5
9	Victor Robles	0.0380	0.0221	6.5
10	Matt Olson	0.0145	0.0057	6.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Anthony Rizzo	0.0874	0.0518 (24.1)	0.0563 (22.1)	0.0693 (18.0)	0.0689 (17.8)	0.0594 (18.3)
Matt Carpenter	0.1579	0.0238 (21.9)	0.0408 (19.5)	0.0522 (18.5)	0.0516 (18.5)	0.0481 (17.7)
Yasmani Grandal	0.0200	0.0800 (19.4)	0.0805 (19.3)	0.0854 (19.1)	0.0829 (18.4)	0.0868 (23.1)
Cal Raleigh	0.1067	0.0526 (25.9)	0.0391 (31.9)	0.0609 (25.1)	0.0618 (24.5)	0.0576 (22.6)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0436	0.1024 (26.9)	0.0924 (21.1)	0.1031 (23.9)	0.1039 (24.7)	0.1070 (30.9)
José Abreu	0.0303	0.0652 (18.1)	0.0703 (20.8)	0.0730 (19.0)	0.0722 (18.9)	0.0641 (19.3)
Christian Walker	0.0784	0.0446 (28.1)	0.0512 (24.3)	0.0573 (23.9)	0.0580 (23.0)	0.0514 (21.7)
Aaron Judge	0.1535	0.0927 (48.1)	0.0929 (48.6)	0.1035 (45.1)	0.1023 (45.3)	0.1037 (38.4)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.0841	0.1333	28.7
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.0915	0.1214	25.6
3	Michael Harris II	0.0158	0.0617	23.9
4	Brandon Drury	0.0400	0.0707	22.2
5	Albert Pujols	0.0417	0.0930	20.9
6	Elvis Andrus	0.0119	0.0384	20.1
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0597	0.0822	20.0
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0818	0.1170	19.6
9	Julio Rodríguez	0.0500	0.0763	19.4
10	Nick Castellanos	0.0743	0.0328	18.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.0895	0.0299	25.5
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.0935	0.1214	24.8
3	Julio Rodríguez	0.0431	0.0763	23.8
4	Mike Trout	0.1011	0.1333	20.7
5	Jack Suwinski	0.0431	0.0892	20.6
6	Byron Buxton	0.0815	0.1244	19.9
7	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0822	0.1170	19.9
8	Rowdy Tellez	0.0615	0.0852	19.7
9	Isaac Paredes	0.0331	0.0752	19.5
10	Brandon Drury	0.0471	0.0707	18.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Drury	0.0431	0.0707	24.0
2	Mike Trout	0.1023	0.1333	22.8
3	Albert Pujols	0.0431	0.0930	22.7
4	Byron Buxton	0.0799	0.1244	22.6
5	Julio Rodríguez	0.0541	0.0763	20.7
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0672	0.0822	19.3
7	Franmil Reyes	0.1046	0.0493	19.2
8	Elvis Andrus	0.0212	0.0384	18.4
9	Willy Adames	0.0632	0.0773	17.8
10	Bryan Reynolds	0.0531	0.0670	17.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.1012	0.1333	23.0
2	Byron Buxton	0.0800	0.1244	22.3
3	Nelson Cruz	0.0872	0.0299	22.0
4	Michael Harris II	0.0283	0.0617	20.9
5	Julio Rodríguez	0.0540	0.0763	20.3
6	Brandon Drury	0.0502	0.0707	19.6
7	Franmil Reyes	0.1043	0.0493	19.4
8	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0680	0.0822	18.3
9	Elvis Andrus	0.0214	0.0384	17.9
10	Bryan Reynolds	0.0526	0.0670	17.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.0870	0.0299	26.2
2	Franmil Reyes	0.1093	0.0493	25.8
3	Ian Happ	0.0828	0.0397	24.1
4	Joey Gallo	0.1617	0.1011	22.6
5	Christian Yelich	0.0692	0.0337	20.2
6	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.0585	0.0134	19.6
7	Shohei Ohtani	0.1141	0.0794	19.5
8	Freddie Freeman	0.0730	0.0406	19.1
9	Josh Bell	0.0711	0.0370	18.5
10	César Hernández	0.0370	0.0022	18.2

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Juan Soto	0.2488	0.3204 (43.4)	0.3234 (45.7)	0.3165 (43.2)	0.3154 (43.1)	0.3316 (53.0)
José Abreu	0.3500	0.2972 (40.2)	0.3081 (32.3)	0.2944 (39.5)	0.2937 (39.4)	0.2995 (36.4)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.3657	0.2989 (47.6)	0.3208 (33.0)	0.3098 (38.1)	0.3083 (38.5)	0.3154 (34.8)
Dansby Swanson	0.3478	0.3061 (33.4)	0.3035 (34.9)	0.2940 (39.3)	0.2941 (38.6)	0.3005 (35.1)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.2265	0.3135 (36.5)	0.3190 (39.2)	0.3107 (36.9)	0.3073 (35.7)	0.3080 (35.4)
Manny Machado	0.3373	0.2847 (38.0)	0.2869 (36.2)	0.2853 (35.2)	0.2840 (35.5)	0.2892 (33.0)
Freddie Freeman	0.3589	0.3032 (43.9)	0.3224 (29.9)	0.3067 (38.7)	0.3072 (37.8)	0.3174 (31.5)
Rowdy Tellez	0.2154	0.2761 (32.6)	0.2787 (34.4)	0.2836 (39.3)	0.2803 (37.8)	0.2937 (45.0)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff McNeil	0.2765	0.3526	48.5
2	Andrés Giménez	0.2849	0.3496	39.6
3	Eugenio Suárez	0.2475	0.3022	38.4
4	MJ Melendez	0.3333	0.2579	36.9
5	Francisco Lindor	0.2560	0.3013	36.4
6	Harold Ramírez	0.2755	0.3495	34.9
7	Nathaniel Lowe	0.3156	0.3628	34.5
8	Ian Happ	0.2892	0.3358	33.9
9	Yandy Díaz	0.2711	0.3235	32.7
10	Steven Kwan	0.2772	0.3221	32.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.3138	0.2424	43.5
2	Andrés Giménez	0.2905	0.3496	36.1
3	Jonathan Schoop	0.3100	0.2343	35.6
4	Taylor Walls	0.3000	0.2183	35.4
5	Ian Happ	0.2867	0.3358	35.1
6	Yoán Moncada	0.3503	0.2637	35.0
7	Julio Rodríguez	0.2891	0.3451	34.6
8	Christian Walker	0.3058	0.2482	34.5
9	Myles Straw	0.3232	0.2599	34.3
10	Michael Harris II	0.2891	0.3599	33.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.3106	0.2424	43.5
2	Xander Bogaerts	0.3094	0.3619	34.8
3	Myles Straw	0.3203	0.2599	34.4
4	Andrés Giménez	0.2926	0.3496	33.2
5	Nathaniel Lowe	0.3141	0.3628	33.1
6	Michael Harris II	0.2891	0.3599	32.4
7	Taylor Walls	0.2883	0.2183	31.4
8	Jeff McNeil	0.3031	0.3526	30.7
9	Eugenio Suárez	0.2573	0.3022	29.8
10	Jonathan Schoop	0.2947	0.2343	29.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.3117	0.2424	44.8
2	Michael Harris II	0.2733	0.3599	38.9
3	Xander Bogaerts	0.3087	0.3619	34.7
4	Myles Straw	0.3181	0.2599	33.6
5	Andrés Giménez	0.2911	0.3496	33.6
6	Taylor Walls	0.2885	0.2183	31.9
7	Nathaniel Lowe	0.3152	0.3628	31.8
8	Jeff McNeil	0.3015	0.3526	31.1
9	Jonathan Schoop	0.2969	0.2343	31.0
10	Ian Happ	0.2897	0.3358	30.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.3119	0.2424	44.0
2	Myles Straw	0.3365	0.2599	43.8
3	Christian Walker	0.3057	0.2482	36.3
4	Trent Grisham	0.2968	0.2253	35.9
5	Michael Harris II	0.2866	0.3599	33.7
6	Taylor Walls	0.2901	0.2183	32.0
7	Jonathan Schoop	0.2993	0.2343	31.6
8	Trayce Thompson	0.2565	0.3739	30.7
9	Xander Bogaerts	0.3165	0.3619	30.6
10	Yoán Moncada	0.3370	0.2637	30.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Juan Soto	0.1816	0.2431 (38.9)	0.2455 (41.3)	0.2252 (30.8)	0.2357 (37.6)	0.2494 (44.3)
Nathaniel Lowe	0.2936	0.2326 (41.3)	0.2547 (26.1)	0.2370 (34.8)	0.2396 (33.2)	0.2507 (28.3)
Andrés Giménez	0.2710	0.2122 (34.4)	0.2190 (29.9)	0.2063 (34.5)	0.2127 (31.1)	0.2236 (27.0)
José Abreu	0.2667	0.2222 (32.2)	0.2267 (28.2)	0.2038 (40.9)	0.2150 (33.4)	0.2157 (35.3)
Ketel Marte	0.1615	0.2304 (36.8)	0.2310 (37.9)	0.2378 (44.1)	0.2207 (34.4)	0.2219 (33.2)
Dansby Swanson	0.2723	0.2190 (39.2)	0.2168 (39.8)	0.2165 (37.0)	0.2127 (39.8)	0.2150 (40.6)
Jonathan Schoop	0.1689	0.2322 (30.7)	0.2399 (35.3)	0.2351 (35.1)	0.2264 (30.5)	0.2320 (31.6)
Carlos Correa	0.2742	0.2240 (31.3)	0.2292 (27.5)	0.2126 (34.8)	0.2171 (32.2)	0.2211 (31.9)
Rowdy Tellez	0.1543	0.2121 (32.9)	0.2049 (29.4)	0.2003 (29.2)	0.2023 (30.2)	0.2168 (36.8)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Steven Kwan	0.2030	0.2584	37.3
2	Francisco Lindor	0.1908	0.2385	35.8
3	Matt Olson	0.2210	0.1683	34.8
4	Kyle Schwarber	0.2215	0.1682	33.7
5	Harold Ramírez	0.2041	0.2766	32.8
6	Jeff McNeil	0.2145	0.2671	32.7
7	Patrick Wisdom	0.2305	0.1667	32.5
8	Teoscar Hernández	0.2857	0.2236	31.6
9	Freddie Freeman	0.2225	0.2601	28.7
10	Cal Raleigh	0.2037	0.1327	28.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Taylor Walls	0.2167	0.1479	31.3
2	Andrew Benintendi	0.2257	0.2831	30.8
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.2060	0.1497	29.9
4	Alejandro Kirk	0.1981	0.2512	29.7
5	Patrick Wisdom	0.2216	0.1667	28.5
6	Myles Straw	0.2541	0.2048	28.4
7	Isaac Paredes	0.2057	0.1301	28.2
8	Steven Kwan	0.2165	0.2584	27.8
9	Francisco Lindor	0.2012	0.2385	27.5
10	Leody Taveras	0.1937	0.2711	27.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Xander Bogaerts	0.2190	0.2738	32.9
2	Francisco Lindor	0.1906	0.2385	31.9
3	Freddie Freeman	0.2127	0.2601	31.7
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.2165	0.2905	30.9
5	Taylor Walls	0.2093	0.1479	29.9
6	Isaac Paredes	0.2023	0.1301	28.5
7	Myles Straw	0.2492	0.2048	28.1
8	Andrew Benintendi	0.2268	0.2831	27.9
9	Alejandro Kirk	0.1974	0.2512	27.7
10	Steven Kwan	0.2139	0.2584	26.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Xander Bogaerts	0.2205	0.2738	32.1
2	Francisco Lindor	0.1914	0.2385	31.5
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.2013	0.1497	29.6
4	Andrew Benintendi	0.2239	0.2831	29.6
5	Myles Straw	0.2508	0.2048	28.8
6	Taylor Walls	0.2072	0.1479	28.8
7	Isaac Paredes	0.2029	0.1301	28.7
8	Max Muncy	0.1999	0.1526	28.1
9	Corey Seager	0.2250	0.1883	26.0
10	Yuli Gurriel	0.2214	0.1799	25.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Myles Straw	0.2725	0.2048	39.7
2	Alejandro Kirk	0.1835	0.2512	37.2
3	Yuli Gurriel	0.2376	0.1799	33.1
4	Xander Bogaerts	0.2230	0.2738	32.7
5	Isaac Paredes	0.2156	0.1301	32.2
6	Andrew Benintendi	0.2225	0.2831	32.1
7	Anthony Rizzo	0.2088	0.1497	31.8
8	Willy Adames	0.2418	0.1946	28.5
9	Taylor Walls	0.2099	0.1479	28.4
10	Lars Nootbaar	0.2383	0.1571	27.8

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Matt Olson	0.1058	0.0691 (27.7)	0.0742 (24.2)	0.0745 (25.0)	0.0706 (27.1)	0.0829 (16.2)
Patrick Wisdom	0.1061	0.0741 (18.7)	0.0773 (17.0)	0.0624 (25.7)	0.0688 (21.8)	0.0739 (17.4)
Jose Altuve	0.0944	0.0598 (22.7)	0.0668 (18.5)	0.0698 (17.5)	0.0649 (20.0)	0.0628 (19.3)
Garrett Cooper	0.1134	0.0699 (21.8)	0.0690 (22.3)	0.0656 (24.5)	0.0723 (21.0)	0.0619 (24.3)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1049	0.0661 (27.1)	0.0751 (21.3)	0.0696 (25.8)	0.0727 (23.2)	0.0718 (21.7)
Adley Rutschman	0.1159	0.0633 (26.1)	0.0671 (24.4)	0.0680 (24.6)	0.0639 (26.1)	0.0618 (25.6)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Turner	0.0481	0.0963	27.2
2	Victor Robles	0.0909	0.0369	20.8
3	Yuli Gurriel	0.0536	0.0857	20.5
4	Corey Seager	0.0844	0.0519	19.6
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.0756	0.1087	19.3
6	Andrew Velazquez	0.0952	0.0394	18.5
7	Bryan Reynolds	0.0831	0.0505	18.2
8	Yandy Díaz	0.0524	0.0815	17.9
9	Sean Murphy	0.0664	0.0923	17.7
10	Trayce Thompson	0.0556	0.1217	17.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0759	0.0297	21.6
2	Ian Happ	0.0717	0.1022	21.5
3	Corey Seager	0.0862	0.0519	20.7
4	Justin Turner	0.0618	0.0963	20.0
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.0749	0.1087	19.7
6	Manny Machado	0.0628	0.0892	18.9
7	Jesse Winker	0.0811	0.0439	18.7
8	Bryan Reynolds	0.0824	0.0505	17.7
9	Freddie Freeman	0.0738	0.0948	17.0
10	Nolan Arenado	0.0677	0.0915	16.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Happ	0.0655	0.1022	26.4
2	Ketel Marte	0.0670	0.1094	26.1
3	David Peralta	0.0533	0.0940	22.2
4	Jesse Winker	0.0874	0.0439	21.4
5	Nolan Arenado	0.0616	0.0915	21.3
6	J.D. Martinez	0.0870	0.1138	18.6
7	Victor Robles	0.0866	0.0369	18.4
8	Nick Senzel	0.0911	0.0428	18.4
9	Austin Riley	0.0730	0.0944	17.9
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0728	0.0299	17.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Happ	0.0730	0.1022	21.0
2	J.D. Martinez	0.0851	0.1138	19.2
3	Nolan Arenado	0.0641	0.0915	19.2
4	Michael Harris II	0.0554	0.0934	18.3
5	Michael A. Taylor	0.0762	0.0332	18.0
6	Mike Trout	0.0755	0.1077	17.8
7	Teoscar Hernández	0.0790	0.1087	17.8
8	Justin Turner	0.0666	0.0963	17.7
9	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0725	0.0299	17.6
10	Freddie Freeman	0.0736	0.0948	17.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Turner	0.0521	0.0963	23.7
2	Corey Seager	0.0842	0.0519	21.1
3	Christian Walker	0.0860	0.0591	17.7
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0692	0.0299	17.6
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.0767	0.1087	17.3
6	Ian Happ	0.0758	0.1022	17.1
7	Taylor Ward	0.0923	0.0616	17.1
8	Bryan Reynolds	0.0784	0.0505	16.9
9	Victor Robles	0.0781	0.0369	16.6
10	J.D. Martinez	0.0863	0.1138	16.6

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Rodolfo Castro	0.0237	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0063 (5.1)	0.0037 (5.8)	0.0046 (5.5)	0.0065 (5.2)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Thomas	0.0227	0.0033	7.8
2	Jorge Mateo	0.0074	0.0205	7.2
3	Gavin Lux	0.0084	0.0217	6.4
4	Matt Chapman	0.0122	0.0029	5.5
5	Luis Rengifo	0.0000	0.0102	5.4
6	Nick Senzel	0.0123	0.0000	5.0
7	Edmundo Sosa	0.0063	0.0317	4.9
8	Starling Marte	0.0049	0.0142	4.9
9	Jake Cave	0.0000	0.0268	4.8
10	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0072	0.0000	4.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge Mateo	0.0050	0.0205	8.9
2	Steven Kwan	0.0055	0.0139	6.1
3	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0055	0.0136	5.8
4	TJ Friedl	0.0068	0.0273	5.6
5	Christopher Morel	0.0055	0.0173	5.5
6	Oneil Cruz	0.0075	0.0212	5.3
7	Gavin Lux	0.0116	0.0217	5.3
8	Tyler Naquin	0.0055	0.0193	5.0
9	Kyle Tucker	0.0115	0.0024	4.9
10	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0228	0.0000	4.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Thomas	0.0221	0.0033	7.4
2	Jorge Mateo	0.0094	0.0205	6.4
3	Gavin Lux	0.0108	0.0217	5.5
4	Luis Arraez	0.0115	0.0020	5.2
5	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0167	0.0059	5.0
6	Kyle Schwarber	0.0027	0.0090	4.8
7	Starling Marte	0.0056	0.0142	4.7
8	Connor Joe	0.0040	0.0133	4.7
9	Tyler Naquin	0.0061	0.0193	4.7
10	Adolis García	0.0063	0.0125	4.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Thomas	0.0222	0.0033	7.5
2	Jorge Mateo	0.0094	0.0205	6.3
3	Gavin Lux	0.0107	0.0217	5.5
4	Luis Arraez	0.0113	0.0020	5.2
5	Tyler Naquin	0.0058	0.0193	4.7
6	Kyle Schwarber	0.0026	0.0090	4.7
7	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0158	0.0059	4.6
8	Starling Marte	0.0057	0.0142	4.6
9	Adolis García	0.0061	0.0125	4.6
10	Connor Joe	0.0042	0.0133	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Thomas	0.0233	0.0033	7.5
2	Brett Phillips	0.0339	0.0000	7.2
3	Trevor Story	0.0162	0.0000	5.8
4	Andrew Velazquez	0.0175	0.0000	5.5
5	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0258	0.0000	5.3
6	Francisco Lindor	0.0050	0.0105	5.0
7	Connor Joe	0.0043	0.0133	5.0
8	Nick Senzel	0.0135	0.0000	5.0
9	Ketel Marte	0.0153	0.0052	4.7
10	Matt Chapman	0.0121	0.0029	4.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Aaron Judge	0.1911	0.1644 (25.4)	0.1483 (37.4)	0.1686 (28.3)	0.1572 (32.4)	0.1478 (34.5)
Yasmani Grandal	0.0399	0.1292 (29.9)	0.1372 (32.4)	0.1452 (32.8)	0.1382 (32.2)	0.1306 (31.8)
Brandon Drury	0.1532	0.1143 (27.7)	0.1008 (36.0)	0.1144 (32.4)	0.1145 (29.1)	0.1070 (29.8)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1332	0.2018 (31.3)	0.1805 (19.4)	0.1913 (21.3)	0.1851 (21.0)	0.1887 (26.3)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Harris II	0.1017	0.1701	34.5
2	Miguel Rojas	0.1420	0.0671	33.0
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.1926	0.1351	31.8
4	Adley Rutschman	0.0917	0.1489	31.5
5	Jesse Winker	0.1599	0.0932	31.1
6	Bo Bichette	0.1837	0.1306	30.2
7	Elvis Andrus	0.0736	0.1144	29.2
8	Luis Arraez	0.1107	0.1459	27.2
9	Nick Castellanos	0.1583	0.1004	26.9
10	Brendan Donovan	0.0909	0.1368	26.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Harris II	0.1144	0.1701	29.4
2	Julio Rodríguez	0.1144	0.1500	26.1
3	Steven Kwan	0.1144	0.1395	23.0
4	Nick Castellanos	0.1515	0.1004	22.4
5	Yonathan Daza	0.0951	0.1373	21.7
6	Adley Rutschman	0.1144	0.1489	21.4
7	Jesse Winker	0.1432	0.0932	21.3
8	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1413	0.1628	21.2
9	Brandon Nimmo	0.1322	0.1516	20.4
10	Miguel Rojas	0.1172	0.0671	19.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Harris II	0.1144	0.1701	32.6
2	Tommy Edman	0.1257	0.1508	27.2
3	Adolis García	0.1135	0.1339	25.4
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1792	0.1275	23.7
5	Julio Rodríguez	0.1278	0.1500	22.6
6	Adley Rutschman	0.1215	0.1489	21.4
7	Jake McCarthy	0.1112	0.1497	20.1
8	Dansby Swanson	0.1317	0.1422	20.0
9	Yordan Alvarez	0.1530	0.1693	19.3
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1517	0.1628	19.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Harris II	0.1052	0.1701	34.2
2	Tommy Edman	0.1231	0.1508	25.4
3	Dansby Swanson	0.1224	0.1422	22.6
4	Adolis García	0.1146	0.1339	21.0
5	Luis Arraez	0.1239	0.1459	20.9
6	Jose Altuve	0.1487	0.1705	20.8
7	Mookie Betts	0.1648	0.1831	19.8
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1680	0.1275	19.7
9	Julio Rodríguez	0.1276	0.1500	19.6
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1459	0.1628	19.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1754	0.1275	29.4
2	Jeremy Peña	0.0894	0.1290	25.6
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1328	0.1628	23.6
4	Juan Soto	0.1793	0.1401	21.9
5	Nick Castellanos	0.1443	0.1004	21.0
6	Manny Machado	0.1295	0.1553	20.6
7	Kyle Tucker	0.1563	0.1166	20.4
8	Brandon Nimmo	0.1283	0.1516	19.8
9	Bo Bichette	0.1647	0.1306	19.4
10	Yonathan Daza	0.0966	0.1373	19.2

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Juan Soto	0.0934	0.1724 (46.0)	0.1510 (31.7)	0.1564 (30.1)	0.1578 (31.3)	0.1778 (52.8)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1767	0.1109 (49.1)	0.1341 (34.2)	0.1324 (40.3)	0.1359 (37.7)	0.1328 (31.7)
Willy Adames	0.1588	0.1143 (33.4)	0.1151 (33.1)	0.1256 (31.4)	0.1318 (27.3)	0.1182 (28.1)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.1336	0.1882	44.8
2	José Abreu	0.1780	0.1105	39.3
3	Jared Walsh	0.1856	0.0969	35.9
4	Albert Pujols	0.1031	0.1937	35.2
5	Cal Raleigh	0.0778	0.1518	34.7
6	J.D. Martinez	0.1715	0.1040	34.5
7	Kyle Tucker	0.1299	0.1757	33.8
8	Christian Yelich	0.1438	0.0849	33.0
9	Xander Bogaerts	0.1757	0.1157	31.8
10	Elvis Andrus	0.0552	0.1005	31.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.1758	0.1105	37.7
2	Aaron Judge	0.1445	0.1882	37.3
3	Pete Alonso	0.1502	0.1912	34.9
4	Josh Naylor	0.0991	0.1586	34.6
5	Francisco Lindor	0.1145	0.1516	33.1
6	Brandon Drury	0.1048	0.1532	33.1
7	Connor Joe	0.1377	0.0600	31.7
8	José Ramírez	0.1550	0.1839	26.6
9	Jesús Aguilar	0.1568	0.1006	23.5
10	Cal Raleigh	0.1075	0.1518	22.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Albert Pujols	0.1092	0.1937	35.9
2	Brandon Drury	0.1092	0.1532	35.0
3	José Ramírez	0.1544	0.1839	32.4
4	Aaron Judge	0.1613	0.1882	31.0
5	Joc Pederson	0.1176	0.1617	26.7
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1919	0.1374	26.0
7	Franmil Reyes	0.1709	0.0994	25.5
8	Adolis García	0.1338	0.1537	24.7
9	Matt Carpenter	0.1000	0.2403	24.3
10	Michael Harris II	0.1092	0.1451	23.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ramírez	0.1550	0.1839	31.6
2	Aaron Judge	0.1644	0.1882	28.6
3	Michael Harris II	0.0979	0.1451	28.4
4	Brandon Drury	0.1221	0.1532	27.5
5	Albert Pujols	0.1369	0.1937	26.0
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1891	0.1374	24.3
7	Matt Carpenter	0.1016	0.2403	24.0
8	Adolis García	0.1356	0.1537	23.3
9	Franmil Reyes	0.1649	0.0994	22.8
10	Spencer Torkelson	0.1421	0.0693	22.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.1775	0.1105	42.2
2	Josh Bell	0.1761	0.1097	39.7
3	Franmil Reyes	0.1794	0.0994	35.5
4	Jared Walsh	0.1796	0.0969	35.3
5	Matt Olson	0.1997	0.1474	33.2
6	Max Muncy	0.1837	0.1221	32.0
7	Christian Yelich	0.1349	0.0849	30.2
8	Adam Duvall	0.2148	0.1143	30.1
9	Jesús Aguilar	0.1641	0.1006	29.7
10	Connor Joe	0.1270	0.0600	29.0

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jon Berti	0.3832	0.1136 (106.0)	0.1304 (99.9)	0.1205 (104.9)	0.1222 (103.4)	0.1529 (95.7)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.2326	0.1356 (56.7)	0.0592 (106.2)	0.1325 (61.3)	0.1342 (59.0)	0.1756 (40.3)
Billy Hamilton	3.3333	0.2857 (69.9)	0.2281 (71.3)	0.0592 (75.2)	0.2279 (71.3)	0.3276 (69.3)
Adolis García	0.1908	0.0952 (58.0)	0.1058 (52.4)	0.1141 (48.5)	0.1096 (50.1)	0.1238 (48.5)
Marcus Semien	0.1582	0.0483 (74.3)	0.0735 (57.4)	0.0679 (63.2)	0.0679 (61.8)	0.0788 (62.4)
Randy Arozarena	0.2177	0.0993 (71.7)	0.1119 (64.7)	0.1217 (59.9)	0.1215 (58.8)	0.1389 (55.2)
Jorge Mateo	0.3646	0.1548 (108.0)	0.1324 (120.9)	0.1683 (103.0)	0.1683 (102.0)	0.2073 (87.4)
Eli White	0.4444	0.0714 (42.8)	0.0725 (42.9)	0.0881 (41.3)	0.0887 (41.0)	0.0920 (42.0)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.T. Realmuto	0.0414	0.1511	57.6
2	Julio Rodríguez	0.0833	0.1825	51.4
3	Brendan Donovan	0.1111	0.0127	49.4
4	Jose Altuve	0.0274	0.1078	44.2
5	Cedric Mullins	0.1429	0.2112	41.0
6	Tim Locastro	0.1190	1.0000	40.2
7	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.0650	0.1408	38.4
8	Bo Bichette	0.1266	0.0793	38.1
9	Nico Hoerner	0.0721	0.1515	37.3
10	Gilberto Celestino	0.1429	0.0430	37.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.0592	0.1825	66.0
2	Michael Harris II	0.0592	0.2000	59.7
3	Bubba Thompson	0.0592	0.3750	56.2
4	Jake McCarthy	0.0877	0.2473	54.6
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.1395	0.0659	52.6
6	Thairo Estrada	0.0615	0.1544	47.3
7	Josh Rojas	0.0661	0.1631	46.7
8	Andrew Velazquez	0.1346	0.2656	43.8
9	Harrison Bader	0.0928	0.2297	41.2
10	Jurickson Profar	0.0857	0.0305	39.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Harris II	0.0592	0.2000	60.8
2	Bubba Thompson	0.0592	0.3750	56.6
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.1476	0.0659	56.4
4	Julio Rodríguez	0.0802	0.1825	55.6
5	Thairo Estrada	0.0572	0.1544	50.9
6	Kyle Tucker	0.0971	0.1773	47.0
7	J.T. Realmuto	0.0700	0.1511	43.9
8	Harrison Bader	0.0874	0.2297	43.6
9	Cody Bellinger	0.0633	0.1443	42.9
10	Josh Rojas	0.0795	0.1631	41.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.1434	0.0659	54.9
2	Julio Rodríguez	0.0795	0.1825	54.9
3	Thairo Estrada	0.0600	0.1544	48.4
4	Kyle Tucker	0.0989	0.1773	44.7
5	Bubba Thompson	0.1283	0.3750	43.8
6	Cody Bellinger	0.0605	0.1443	43.4
7	J.T. Realmuto	0.0702	0.1511	42.6
8	Michael Harris II	0.0988	0.2000	42.4
9	Harrison Bader	0.0897	0.2297	42.3
10	Nick Gordon	0.1491	0.0612	41.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Gordon	0.1975	0.0612	57.4
2	Thairo Estrada	0.0568	0.1544	56.5
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.1458	0.0659	48.8
4	Bo Bichette	0.1543	0.0793	47.6
5	J.T. Realmuto	0.0763	0.1511	45.8
6	Harrison Bader	0.0971	0.2297	43.6
7	Michael A. Taylor	0.1354	0.0333	43.5
8	Byron Buxton	0.2000	0.0822	42.4
9	Jose Altuve	0.0449	0.1078	42.1
10	Nico Hoerner	0.0769	0.1515	42.1

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Juan Soto	0.2424	0.2970 (33.4)	0.2958 (30.7)	0.3120 (38.7)	0.3117 (39.1)	0.3136 (46.4)
Nathaniel Lowe	0.3019	0.2425 (41.0)	0.2580 (33.0)	0.2574 (36.0)	0.2581 (35.0)	0.2648 (24.8)
Andrés Giménez	0.2974	0.2354 (36.9)	0.2389 (36.6)	0.2487 (33.5)	0.2470 (33.9)	0.2517 (26.2)
José Abreu	0.3045	0.2587 (34.0)	0.2727 (26.5)	0.2614 (37.0)	0.2594 (37.7)	0.2641 (28.3)
Michael Harris II	0.2971	0.2353 (29.1)	0.2427 (27.2)	0.2427 (29.0)	0.2286 (34.8)	0.2416 (25.1)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.3173	0.2585 (41.0)	0.2784 (30.1)	0.2760 (34.3)	0.2744 (34.7)	0.2681 (32.9)
Aaron Judge	0.3105	0.2626 (36.3)	0.2729 (31.2)	0.2744 (33.1)	0.2731 (33.3)	0.2762 (24.8)
Freddie Freeman	0.3252	0.2757 (38.0)	0.2951 (26.4)	0.2940 (30.2)	0.2918 (31.0)	0.2933 (23.5)
Jeff McNeil	0.3265	0.2526 (46.0)	0.2784 (32.6)	0.2805 (33.8)	0.2796 (33.8)	0.2817 (27.2)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yandy Díaz	0.2406	0.2960	33.3
2	Steven Kwan	0.2531	0.2984	31.6
3	Mark Canha	0.2125	0.2662	31.4
4	Jose Altuve	0.2536	0.2998	30.5
5	Nolan Arenado	0.2496	0.2926	29.3
6	Francisco Lindor	0.2330	0.2698	29.0
7	Ian Happ	0.2306	0.2705	28.3
8	Harold Ramírez	0.2400	0.3002	28.1
9	Luis Arraez	0.2754	0.3163	27.2
10	Sean Murphy	0.2094	0.2495	27.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Steven Kwan	0.2427	0.2984	40.2
2	Jonathan Schoop	0.2682	0.2017	30.3
3	Ketel Marte	0.3008	0.2398	30.0
4	Jesse Winker	0.2793	0.2193	28.9
5	Trent Grisham	0.2442	0.1840	27.8
6	Julio Rodríguez	0.2427	0.2838	27.1
7	Andrew Benintendi	0.2623	0.3037	25.3
8	Ian Happ	0.2384	0.2705	25.2
9	Taylor Walls	0.2326	0.1720	24.9
10	Luis Rengifo	0.2230	0.2638	24.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dansby Swanson	0.2456	0.2766	29.5
2	Trent Grisham	0.2480	0.1840	27.6
3	Andrew Benintendi	0.2622	0.3037	27.5
4	Taylor Ward	0.2439	0.2808	27.2
5	Max Muncy	0.2534	0.1961	25.9
6	Xander Bogaerts	0.2776	0.3070	25.7
7	Nolan Arenado	0.2630	0.2926	25.4
8	Jonathan Schoop	0.2625	0.2017	25.2
9	Ian Happ	0.2430	0.2705	25.0
10	Adolis García	0.2233	0.2496	24.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dansby Swanson	0.2452	0.2766	29.1
2	Trent Grisham	0.2472	0.1840	27.6
3	Jonathan Schoop	0.2640	0.2017	26.5
4	Andrew Benintendi	0.2638	0.3037	26.2
5	Taylor Ward	0.2455	0.2808	25.8
6	Xander Bogaerts	0.2767	0.3070	25.7
7	Ian Happ	0.2416	0.2705	25.2
8	Nolan Arenado	0.2624	0.2926	25.2
9	Max Muncy	0.2507	0.1961	25.0
10	Jake McCarthy	0.2245	0.2835	24.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trent Grisham	0.2464	0.1840	32.0
2	Jonathan Schoop	0.2654	0.2017	31.8
3	Corey Seager	0.2912	0.2445	30.0
4	Myles Straw	0.2709	0.2206	29.2
5	Max Muncy	0.2467	0.1961	27.8
6	Ketel Marte	0.2904	0.2398	27.5
7	Jesse Winker	0.2675	0.2193	25.6
8	Wilmer Flores	0.2722	0.2286	25.5
9	Yuli Gurriel	0.2860	0.2422	24.8
10	Jake Cronenworth	0.2758	0.2385	24.6

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jose Altuve	0.3874	0.3213 (46.9)	0.3369 (37.5)	0.3508 (33.1)	0.3509 (32.2)	0.3403 (28.7)
Andrés Giménez	0.3707	0.2942 (49.0)	0.3089 (40.9)	0.3024 (48.2)	0.3012 (48.1)	0.3061 (36.2)
José Abreu	0.3785	0.3404 (33.7)	0.3425 (32.3)	0.3339 (42.6)	0.3321 (43.0)	0.3306 (32.8)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.4037	0.3483 (43.5)	0.3593 (36.4)	0.3608 (39.7)	0.3583 (40.5)	0.3488 (36.0)
Brendan Donovan	0.3940	0.3333 (33.8)	0.3115 (44.0)	0.3301 (38.4)	0.3286 (38.5)	0.3130 (38.1)
Aaron Judge	0.4249	0.3499 (60.1)	0.3612 (52.3)	0.3699 (50.9)	0.3693 (50.4)	0.3687 (39.4)
Jonathan Schoop	0.2392	0.3107 (30.6)	0.3176 (34.1)	0.3093 (26.5)	0.3110 (28.0)	0.3066 (34.1)
Yoán Moncada	0.2731	0.3552 (30.6)	0.3557 (30.7)	0.3529 (26.6)	0.3534 (27.4)	0.3457 (31.2)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yandy Díaz	0.3275	0.4014	47.6
2	Steven Kwan	0.3197	0.3726	41.1
3	Yordan Alvarez	0.3491	0.4064	38.6
4	Jeff McNeil	0.3302	0.3820	37.3
5	Nolan Arenado	0.3153	0.3581	33.6
6	Freddie Freeman	0.3716	0.4068	33.0
7	Eugenio Suárez	0.2932	0.3323	31.8
8	Albert Pujols	0.2680	0.3447	30.9
9	Harold Ramírez	0.2857	0.3425	29.7
10	Luis Arraez	0.3375	0.3748	29.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Steven Kwan	0.3115	0.3726	46.4
2	Yordan Alvarez	0.3535	0.4064	36.1
3	Yandy Díaz	0.3514	0.4014	34.4
4	Alejandro Kirk	0.3279	0.3715	29.9
5	Adley Rutschman	0.3115	0.3617	29.0
6	Andrew Benintendi	0.3298	0.3731	28.5
7	Cody Bellinger	0.3275	0.2655	27.8
8	Yuli Gurriel	0.3464	0.2877	27.6
9	Jeff McNeil	0.3472	0.3820	27.3
10	Marcell Ozuna	0.3394	0.2742	27.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yordan Alvarez	0.3582	0.4064	37.2
2	Adolis García	0.2697	0.2998	31.7
3	Jeff McNeil	0.3470	0.3820	31.3
4	Andrew Benintendi	0.3341	0.3731	29.8
5	Cody Bellinger	0.3357	0.2655	28.6
6	Yandy Díaz	0.3683	0.4014	28.6
7	Eugenio Suárez	0.3056	0.3323	28.2
8	Nolan Arenado	0.3319	0.3581	27.5
9	Gio Urshela	0.3064	0.3376	27.2
10	Steven Kwan	0.3484	0.3726	27.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yordan Alvarez	0.3572	0.4064	37.1
2	Michael Harris II	0.2841	0.3386	31.5
3	Jeff McNeil	0.3456	0.3820	31.4
4	Adolis García	0.2709	0.2998	30.1
5	Abraham Toro	0.3349	0.2386	28.0
6	Andrew Benintendi	0.3362	0.3731	28.0
7	Cody Bellinger	0.3329	0.2655	27.8
8	Eugenio Suárez	0.3050	0.3323	27.8
9	Nolan Arenado	0.3309	0.3581	27.3
10	Steven Kwan	0.3474	0.3726	26.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.4607	0.4012	39.3
2	Cody Bellinger	0.3333	0.2655	37.1
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3898	0.3385	35.9
4	Matt Olson	0.3752	0.3247	35.0
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.3418	0.2877	31.4
6	Myles Straw	0.3422	0.2912	30.1
7	Marcell Ozuna	0.3333	0.2742	29.8
8	Tommy Pham	0.3594	0.3119	29.3
9	Joey Gallo	0.3521	0.2805	29.2
10	Jeimer Candelario	0.3344	0.2719	29.0

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Matt Carpenter	0.7266	0.3051 (68.4)	0.3521 (62.5)	0.3624 (63.8)	0.3607 (63.5)	0.3642 (57.9)
Yasmani Grandal	0.2691	0.4508 (59.9)	0.4660 (62.3)	0.4718 (57.4)	0.4606 (54.5)	0.4640 (68.2)
Albert Pujols	0.5505	0.3258 (86.7)	0.4169 (57.8)	0.3953 (72.0)	0.4374 (56.0)	0.3953 (59.2)
Michael Harris II	0.5145	0.3294 (91.5)	0.3953 (66.3)	0.3953 (74.6)	0.3440 (95.7)	0.3804 (65.1)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.5775	0.4453 (100.7)	0.4845 (80.8)	0.4882 (90.7)	0.4898 (87.4)	0.4620 (84.1)
Brandon Drury	0.4923	0.4063 (61.6)	0.3930 (74.1)	0.3953 (83.5)	0.4174 (68.9)	0.4116 (53.5)
Aaron Judge	0.6860	0.5000 (145.1)	0.5175 (138.9)	0.5419 (135.1)	0.5393 (134.4)	0.5383 (112.2)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Altuve	0.4239	0.5332	79.6
2	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5653	0.4133	69.1
3	Christian Walker	0.3967	0.4768	68.4
4	Nolan Arenado	0.4485	0.5332	66.4
5	Yordan Alvarez	0.5189	0.6128	65.2
6	Elvis Andrus	0.3144	0.4037	64.5
7	Nathaniel Lowe	0.4163	0.4924	63.6
8	Jesse Winker	0.4780	0.3443	60.8
9	Julio Rodríguez	0.4238	0.5088	60.2
10	Mookie Betts	0.4636	0.5332	58.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.5289	0.3371	81.5
2	Julio Rodríguez	0.3953	0.5088	81.0
3	Jesse Winker	0.5012	0.3443	68.8
4	Geraldo Perdomo	0.4300	0.2622	68.3
5	Nathaniel Lowe	0.4200	0.4924	66.8
6	Yordan Alvarez	0.5308	0.6128	63.4
7	Andrés Giménez	0.3857	0.4664	62.3
8	Cal Raleigh	0.3740	0.4892	60.7
9	Jose Altuve	0.4699	0.5332	57.1
10	Nick Castellanos	0.5214	0.3893	56.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.6025	0.4523	66.5
2	Christian Walker	0.4283	0.4768	65.7
3	Nolan Arenado	0.4786	0.5332	64.8
4	Jose Altuve	0.4765	0.5332	64.5
5	Yordan Alvarez	0.5516	0.6128	62.4
6	Joc Pederson	0.4270	0.5211	62.4
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.6172	0.4796	61.8
8	Mike Trout	0.5571	0.6301	61.4
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5760	0.4133	60.1
10	Nathaniel Lowe	0.4508	0.4924	59.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Altuve	0.4710	0.5332	65.6
2	Nelson Cruz	0.5124	0.3371	65.4
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5797	0.4133	64.0
4	Juan Soto	0.5945	0.4523	63.6
5	Mike Trout	0.5513	0.6301	62.5
6	Nolan Arenado	0.4817	0.5332	60.7
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.6115	0.4796	60.3
8	Yordan Alvarez	0.5540	0.6128	59.0
9	Nathaniel Lowe	0.4498	0.4924	57.4
10	Christian Walker	0.4381	0.4768	56.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.5077	0.3371	79.6
2	Juan Soto	0.5813	0.4523	76.7
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5622	0.4133	72.2
4	Franmil Reyes	0.5234	0.3653	68.4
5	Max Muncy	0.5156	0.3836	66.9
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.5852	0.4796	65.0
7	Spencer Torkelson	0.4892	0.3194	63.1
8	Christian Yelich	0.4807	0.3826	56.8
9	Joey Gallo	0.5069	0.3571	55.9
10	Jared Walsh	0.5096	0.3735	55.6

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Casey Mize	45	615 (570.1)	592 (547.0)	694 (648.8)	741 (695.5)	628 (583.0)
Hyun Jin Ryu	113	743 (629.9)	615 (502.0)	693 (579.7)	705 (592.0)	623 (510.0)
John Means	34	645 (610.9)	562 (528.0)	728 (693.8)	723 (689.4)	608 (574.0)
Anthony DeSclafani	94	686 (591.9)	604 (510.0)	693 (598.6)	753 (658.6)	629 (535.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Huascar Ynoa	519	37	482.1
2	Kyle Wright	257	738	480.9
3	Wade Miley	639	159	480.1
4	Walker Buehler	750	274	476.1
5	Spenser Watkins	1	459	458.0
6	Chris Sale	482	25	457.1
7	Zac Lowther	473	28	445.0
8	Kyle Hendricks	797	356	441.1
9	Stephen Strasburg	461	23	438.0
10	Steven Matz	642	207	434.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Kirby	1	542	541.0
2	Hunter Greene	1	531	530.0
3	Kyle Bradish	1	509	508.0
4	Miles Mikolas	342	805	463.0
5	Graham Ashcraft	1	464	463.0
6	Kyle Wright	281	738	457.0
7	Andre Pallante	1	457	456.0
8	Nick Martinez	1	448	447.0
9	Nick Lodolo	1	441	440.0
10	Adbert Alzolay	488	52	436.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	1	803	802.0
2	Corey Kluber	1	689	688.0
3	Huascar Ynoa	591	37	553.5
4	Kyle Wright	201	738	536.8
5	Walker Buehler	794	274	519.5
6	Chad Kuhl	139	617	478.3
7	Drew Hutchison	1	464	463.0
8	Graham Ashcraft	1	464	463.0
9	Vladimir Gutierrez	638	179	459.4
10	Spenser Watkins	1	459	458.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Walker Buehler	839	274	564.7
2	Luis Patiño	630	98	531.8
3	Stephen Strasburg	547	23	524.4
4	Steven Matz	696	207	489.2
5	Vladimir Gutierrez	644	179	465.1
6	Kyle Wright	278	738	459.9
7	Wade Miley	617	159	458.5
8	Huascar Ynoa	495	37	458.5
9	Graham Ashcraft	17	464	446.8
10	Kyle Hendricks	802	356	446.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matthew Boyd	634	53	581.0
2	Bowden Francis	555	3	552.0
3	Rico Garcia	563	35	528.0
4	Cade Cavalli	541	23	518.0
5	Yonny Chirinos	545	30	515.0
6	Cooper Criswell	513	13	500.0
7	Walker Buehler	761	274	487.0
8	Tanner Tully	512	30	482.0
9	Max Kranick	490	19	471.0
10	Alec Mills	547	84	463.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Justin Verlander	0.2214	0.0995 (40.7)	0.2883 (38.6)	0.1302 (53.4)	0.2766 (39.0)	0.2689 (33.2)
Patrick Corbin	0.3833	0.1266 (52.5)	0.3391 (37.9)	0.1339 (55.6)	0.3134 (47.4)	0.3026 (55.9)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cristian Javier	0.1546	0.2504	51.0
2	Tony Gonsolin	0.1558	0.2394	49.6
3	Spencer Strider	0.1460	0.2360	49.2
4	Zac Gallen	0.1356	0.2501	48.9
5	Triston McKenzie	0.1482	0.2672	47.5
6	Jackson Stephens	0.3096	0.2905	47.5
7	José Berríos	0.1100	0.3490	42.1
8	Nestor Cortes	0.1303	0.2451	42.0
9	Dylan Cease	0.1353	0.2639	40.7
10	Shane McClanahan	0.1271	0.2488	39.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Berríos	0.3037	0.3490	40.8
2	Lucas Giolito	0.2953	0.3448	40.8
3	Nestor Cortes	0.3199	0.2451	40.5
4	Spencer Strider	0.3160	0.2360	37.5
5	Mike Minor	0.3168	0.3882	36.6
6	Martín Pérez	0.3409	0.2877	36.3
7	Shane McClanahan	0.3125	0.2488	35.1
8	Zac Gallen	0.3079	0.2501	34.9
9	Dylan Cease	0.3170	0.2639	33.0
10	Tyler Anderson	0.3244	0.2697	32.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.3096	0.3067	139.9
2	Corey Kluber	0.3096	0.3149	114.4
3	Adrian Sampson	0.3096	0.3024	76.4
4	Andre Pallante	0.3096	0.3202	73.5
5	Graham Ashcraft	0.3096	0.3273	71.3
6	Spenser Watkins	0.3096	0.3310	68.8
7	Drew Hutchison	0.3096	0.3379	66.4
8	Mitch White	0.3096	0.3322	65.5
9	Taylor Hearn	0.3096	0.3365	64.9
10	Collin McHugh	0.3096	0.2487	63.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.3304	0.2697	45.3
2	Nestor Cortes	0.3093	0.2451	41.5
3	José Berríos	0.2915	0.3490	40.8
4	Tony Gonsolin	0.3174	0.2394	40.5
5	Zac Gallen	0.3031	0.2501	40.2
6	Triston McKenzie	0.3124	0.2672	36.0
7	Lucas Giolito	0.2914	0.3448	34.9
8	Cristian Javier	0.3059	0.2504	34.4
9	Max Fried	0.2978	0.2564	32.8
10	Spencer Strider	0.2940	0.2360	32.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.2651	0.3448	54.0
2	José Berríos	0.2856	0.3490	46.0
3	Nestor Cortes	0.3102	0.2451	41.4
4	Spencer Strider	0.3089	0.2360	39.7
5	Tony Gonsolin	0.3124	0.2394	37.5
6	Trevor Rogers	0.2739	0.3540	37.1
7	Germán Márquez	0.2923	0.3410	36.1
8	Tyler Anderson	0.3167	0.2697	34.8
9	Martín Pérez	0.3276	0.2877	34.7
10	Zac Gallen	0.2948	0.2501	33.6

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Spencer Strider	0.3826	0.2326 (77.3)	0.2261 (87.8)	0.2703 (61.9)	0.2799 (55.3)	0.2317 (79.9)
Marco Gonzales	0.1315	0.1891 (47.9)	0.2003 (46.2)	0.1853 (38.3)	0.1829 (38.6)	0.1815 (38.8)
Shane Bieber	0.2503	0.3030 (44.5)	0.3050 (35.4)	0.2967 (32.8)	0.2930 (32.1)	0.3197 (54.6)
Ryan Helsley	0.3933	0.2056 (44.0)	0.2279 (41.9)	0.2348 (39.0)	0.2343 (38.5)	0.2346 (38.0)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Kopech	0.3111	0.2126	50.5
2	Hunter Greene	0.2133	0.3089	48.8
3	Edwin Díaz	0.3042	0.5021	45.7
4	Noah Syndergaard	0.2408	0.1681	43.1
5	Zack Greinke	0.1941	0.1248	42.6
6	Jesús Luzardo	0.2021	0.3000	37.7
7	Andrés Muñoz	0.2321	0.3871	37.6
8	Glenn Otto	0.2416	0.1823	36.9
9	Mike Clevinger	0.2587	0.1876	36.2
10	David Peterson	0.1953	0.2775	35.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Greene	0.2245	0.3089	50.0
2	Edwin Díaz	0.3028	0.5021	49.2
3	Cristian Javier	0.2668	0.3316	43.7
4	Zack Greinke	0.2063	0.1248	41.9
5	Dakota Hudson	0.2079	0.1309	40.0
6	Andrés Muñoz	0.2411	0.3871	38.7
7	Dylan Bundy	0.2311	0.1580	37.6
8	Shane McClanahan	0.2543	0.3027	37.3
9	Nick Lodolo	0.2245	0.2971	36.3
10	Carlos Rodón	0.2942	0.3338	35.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cristian Javier	0.2620	0.3316	43.6
2	Hunter Greene	0.2318	0.3089	43.5
3	Edwin Díaz	0.3368	0.5021	40.0
4	Michael Kopech	0.2962	0.2126	38.9
5	Spenser Watkins	0.2245	0.1373	37.8
6	Merrill Kelly	0.1785	0.2201	37.4
7	Jesús Luzardo	0.2127	0.3000	36.9
8	Andrew Heaney	0.2466	0.3548	35.1
9	Carlos Rodón	0.2901	0.3338	34.5
10	José Berríos	0.2479	0.1979	34.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Greene	0.2317	0.3089	42.1
2	Michael Kopech	0.2988	0.2126	41.6
3	Edwin Díaz	0.3411	0.5021	38.3
4	Mike Clevinger	0.2660	0.1876	37.0
5	Graham Ashcraft	0.2315	0.1530	35.5
6	Cristian Javier	0.2739	0.3316	35.0
7	Merrill Kelly	0.1804	0.2201	33.6
8	Andrew Heaney	0.2486	0.3548	33.6
9	José Berríos	0.2434	0.1979	32.7
10	Jesús Luzardo	0.2222	0.3000	31.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Kopech	0.3140	0.2126	49.9
2	Dylan Bundy	0.2320	0.1580	43.8
3	Robbie Ray	0.3239	0.2735	38.7
4	Mike Clevinger	0.2662	0.1876	37.9
5	Jeffrey Springs	0.3317	0.2623	37.9
6	Tyler Wells	0.2688	0.1797	37.5
7	José Berríos	0.2477	0.1979	37.3
8	Lucas Giolito	0.3069	0.2536	37.0
9	James Kaprielian	0.2337	0.1698	36.6
10	Alek Manoah	0.2756	0.2290	36.3

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Kluber	0.0305	0.0735 (26.9)	0.0926 (40.2)	0.0817 (33.3)	0.0813 (32.3)	0.0711 (22.7)
Drew Rasmussen	0.0531	0.0872 (17.5)	0.0874 (17.8)	0.0922 (21.2)	0.0931 (21.1)	0.0965 (20.9)
Aaron Nola	0.0359	0.0778 (30.5)	0.0714 (25.5)	0.0693 (24.6)	0.0684 (23.1)	0.0675 (19.2)
Triston McKenzie	0.0594	0.1083 (33.2)	0.1014 (28.3)	0.0990 (27.2)	0.1025 (29.1)	0.0989 (23.6)
Jeffrey Springs	0.0565	0.0942 (18.5)	0.0900 (16.3)	0.0923 (18.1)	0.0936 (18.3)	0.0962 (17.6)
Yusei Kikuchi	0.1278	0.0841 (21.7)	0.0887 (19.5)	0.0834 (21.4)	0.0844 (21.4)	0.0785 (25.9)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Gausman	0.0720	0.0386	21.2
2	Tony Gonsolin	0.1169	0.0703	21.2
3	Jameson Taillon	0.0769	0.0440	21.1
4	Yu Darvish	0.0783	0.0480	20.2
5	James Kaprielian	0.0714	0.1023	20.1
6	Chris Flexen	0.0574	0.0864	19.5
7	Max Fried	0.0737	0.0437	19.1
8	Zac Gallen	0.0961	0.0658	18.7
9	Shane McClanahan	0.0922	0.0593	18.5
10	Kyle Freeland	0.0958	0.0692	17.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jameson Taillon	0.0776	0.0440	21.7
2	Kevin Gausman	0.0708	0.0386	20.5
3	Kyle Wright	0.1032	0.0718	20.3
4	George Kirby	0.0817	0.0406	20.2
5	Shane Bieber	0.0747	0.0455	20.0
6	Ross Stripling	0.0766	0.0373	19.0
7	Dylan Bundy	0.0821	0.0471	18.5
8	Brady Singer	0.0892	0.0564	18.0
9	Max Fried	0.0718	0.0437	17.8
10	Lance Lynn	0.0751	0.0371	17.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Fried	0.0726	0.0437	19.1
2	Kevin Gausman	0.0678	0.0386	19.1
3	Michael Kopech	0.0830	0.1154	17.4
4	Zach Jackson	0.0817	0.1634	17.1
5	George Kirby	0.0737	0.0406	16.4
6	Joe Mantiply	0.0942	0.0247	16.2
7	Lance Lynn	0.0709	0.0371	15.9
8	Dylan Bundy	0.0765	0.0471	15.8
9	Yu Darvish	0.0709	0.0480	15.5
10	Caleb Smith	0.0817	0.1291	15.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Gausman	0.0685	0.0386	18.9
2	Max Fried	0.0714	0.0437	17.5
3	Dylan Bundy	0.0791	0.0471	16.8
4	Michael Kopech	0.0854	0.1154	16.7
5	Lance Lynn	0.0732	0.0371	16.5
6	George Kirby	0.0733	0.0406	15.6
7	Joe Mantiply	0.0927	0.0247	15.6
8	Brady Singer	0.0851	0.0564	15.5
9	James Kaprielian	0.0795	0.1023	15.3
10	Jason Foley	0.1062	0.0430	15.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sean Manaea	0.0538	0.0745	19.0
2	Chris Flexen	0.0623	0.0864	18.8
3	Lance Lynn	0.0794	0.0371	17.7
4	Félix Bautista	0.1685	0.0909	17.7
5	Adam Ottavino	0.1320	0.0620	16.1
6	Andrés Muñoz	0.1300	0.0605	15.3
7	Dylan Bundy	0.0800	0.0471	15.0
8	Pablo López	0.0594	0.0720	14.9
9	Jason Foley	0.1084	0.0430	14.8
10	Bruce Zimmermann	0.0892	0.0375	14.1

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Nick Lodolo	0.0431	0.0000 (14.0)	0.0112 (14.1)	0.0119 (13.3)	0.0119 (13.4)	0.0084 (15.4)
Ryan Yarbrough	0.0310	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0145 (5.9)	0.0131 (6.0)	0.0132 (6.0)	0.0147 (5.8)
Steve Cishek	0.0453	0.0000 (9.8)	0.0191 (7.5)	0.0112 (9.5)	0.0150 (8.4)	0.0263 (5.5)
Kyle Freeland	0.0209	0.0000 (7.4)	0.0091 (9.1)	0.0087 (8.6)	0.0088 (8.6)	0.0069 (10.9)
Glenn Otto	0.0221	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0125 (5.7)	0.0107 (6.2)	0.0105 (6.3)	0.0130 (5.4)
Braxton Garrett	0.0268	0.0000 (5.8)	0.0120 (5.5)	0.0096 (6.1)	0.0095 (6.1)	0.0118 (5.7)
Taylor Rogers	0.0401	0.0000 (7.9)	0.0101 (8.3)	0.0102 (7.9)	0.0102 (8.0)	0.0102 (8.3)
A.J. Puk	0.0356	0.0000 (6.8)	0.0144 (6.0)	0.0100 (6.9)	0.0101 (6.9)	0.0114 (6.9)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Morton	0.0000	0.0247	9.8
2	Kevin Gausman	0.0000	0.0014	7.2
3	Merrill Kelly	0.0000	0.0025	7.0
4	Gerrit Cole	0.0000	0.0025	6.9
5	Shane Bieber	0.0000	0.0025	6.9
6	Erick Fedde	0.0000	0.0000	6.4
7	Luis Garcia	0.0000	0.0016	6.2
8	Alek Manoah	0.0000	0.0191	6.2
9	Clay Holmes	0.0000	0.0346	6.1
10	Alex Wood	0.0000	0.0216	5.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Rodón	0.0135	0.0042	6.5
2	Adrian Sampson	0.0199	0.0047	6.5
3	Mike Clevinger	0.0076	0.0206	6.4
4	Chad Kuhl	0.0182	0.0081	6.2
5	Dylan Cease	0.0124	0.0040	6.2
6	Lance Lynn	0.0083	0.0195	5.8
7	Zac Gallen	0.0091	0.0168	5.6
8	Andrew Heaney	0.0112	0.0290	5.6
9	Bryse Wilson	0.0072	0.0177	5.4
10	Brad Keller	0.0120	0.0032	5.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Rodón	0.0125	0.0042	6.5
2	Charlie Morton	0.0155	0.0247	6.1
3	Dylan Cease	0.0112	0.0040	6.0
4	Merrill Kelly	0.0088	0.0025	5.8
5	Ranger Suárez	0.0109	0.0030	5.8
6	Erick Fedde	0.0090	0.0000	5.7
7	Mike Clevinger	0.0080	0.0206	5.7
8	Kevin Gausman	0.0082	0.0014	5.6
9	Luis Garcia	0.0093	0.0016	5.6
10	Shane Bieber	0.0086	0.0025	5.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Rodón	0.0125	0.0042	6.5
2	Charlie Morton	0.0155	0.0247	6.1
3	Dylan Cease	0.0111	0.0040	6.0
4	Merrill Kelly	0.0088	0.0025	5.8
5	Ranger Suárez	0.0108	0.0030	5.8
6	Mike Clevinger	0.0079	0.0206	5.7
7	Erick Fedde	0.0090	0.0000	5.7
8	Kevin Gausman	0.0082	0.0014	5.6
9	Luis Garcia	0.0093	0.0016	5.6
10	Shane Bieber	0.0085	0.0025	5.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.0315	0.0191	9.6
2	Mike Clevinger	0.0043	0.0206	8.0
3	Tyler Anderson	0.0034	0.0127	6.7
4	Joe Jiménez	0.0267	0.0000	6.1
5	Carlos Rodón	0.0130	0.0042	6.1
6	Rich Hill	0.0194	0.0076	6.1
7	Lance Lynn	0.0079	0.0195	6.0
8	Jordan Montgomery	0.0034	0.0110	5.7
9	Andrew Heaney	0.0112	0.0290	5.6
10	Ranger Suárez	0.0116	0.0030	5.6

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Charlie Morton	0.0633	0.0455 (16.9)	0.0377 (24.8)	0.0421 (22.6)	0.0436 (21.4)	0.0391 (24.2)
Jose Quintana	0.0163	0.0508 (19.8)	0.0507 (17.7)	0.0484 (15.2)	0.0474 (14.6)	0.0487 (15.9)
Gerrit Cole	0.0682	0.0524 (16.7)	0.0571 (15.4)	0.0584 (15.5)	0.0570 (16.5)	0.0493 (22.1)
Martín Pérez	0.0191	0.0449 (16.8)	0.0490 (17.6)	0.0483 (16.0)	0.0473 (15.3)	0.0472 (15.8)
Hunter Greene	0.0777	0.0521 (16.4)	0.0418 (23.5)	0.0602 (14.5)	0.0612 (13.9)	0.0565 (16.0)
Patrick Sandoval	0.0190	0.0453 (13.4)	0.0563 (18.5)	0.0477 (12.1)	0.0468 (11.6)	0.0560 (17.9)
Justin Verlander	0.0269	0.0509 (12.4)	0.0596 (16.2)	0.0630 (17.5)	0.0617 (16.8)	0.0748 (25.9)
Sean Manaea	0.0628	0.0458 (15.0)	0.0474 (16.0)	0.0469 (17.3)	0.0489 (15.8)	0.0489 (15.3)
Yusei Kikuchi	0.0875	0.0452 (21.6)	0.0558 (18.2)	0.0510 (21.0)	0.0489 (21.9)	0.0498 (21.2)
Josiah Gray	0.0903	0.0526 (27.9)	0.0709 (18.0)	0.0689 (20.2)	0.0676 (20.9)	0.0694 (19.4)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Rodón	0.0569	0.0287	16.2
2	Alek Manoah	0.0517	0.0296	13.1
3	Germán Márquez	0.0425	0.0534	12.6
4	Elieser Hernández	0.0592	0.0990	12.5
5	Bruce Zimmermann	0.0484	0.0817	12.4
6	Matt Swarmer	0.0494	0.1237	12.2
7	Mike Minor	0.0509	0.0723	12.2
8	Robbie Ray	0.0548	0.0648	11.9
9	Spencer Strider	0.0526	0.0252	11.7
10	Mike Mayers	0.0482	0.0949	11.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tarik Skubal	0.0725	0.0275	17.5
2	Corbin Burnes	0.0343	0.0469	16.8
3	Justin Steele	0.0606	0.0240	14.4
4	Germán Márquez	0.0434	0.0534	14.4
5	Ross Stripling	0.0647	0.0298	14.2
6	Eric Lauer	0.0479	0.0609	14.2
7	Matt Swarmer	0.0418	0.1237	13.8
8	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0413	0.0625	13.6
9	Dean Kremer	0.0634	0.0285	13.6
10	Reynaldo López	0.0638	0.0056	12.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0647	0.0266	20.0
2	Johnny Cueto	0.0623	0.0294	15.0
3	Matt Swarmer	0.0418	0.1237	14.0
4	Alek Manoah	0.0567	0.0296	13.5
5	Dean Kremer	0.0638	0.0285	13.1
6	Elieser Hernández	0.0630	0.0990	12.7
7	Nestor Cortes	0.0690	0.0388	12.5
8	Elvin Rodríguez	0.0418	0.1176	12.3
9	Caleb Smith	0.0418	0.0711	11.8
10	Bruce Zimmermann	0.0546	0.0817	11.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0670	0.0266	21.7
2	Johnny Cueto	0.0638	0.0294	16.1
3	Elieser Hernández	0.0619	0.0990	13.0
4	Alek Manoah	0.0551	0.0296	12.5
5	Bruce Zimmermann	0.0532	0.0817	12.2
6	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0469	0.0625	11.6
7	Matt Swarmer	0.0581	0.1237	11.5
8	Reynaldo López	0.0583	0.0056	10.9
9	Nestor Cortes	0.0660	0.0388	10.8
10	Nick Nelson	0.0496	0.0051	10.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0668	0.0266	22.1
2	Jordan Lyles	0.0776	0.0456	17.8
3	Corbin Burnes	0.0350	0.0469	16.6
4	Spenser Watkins	0.0744	0.0304	16.1
5	Germán Márquez	0.0419	0.0534	15.9
6	Dean Kremer	0.0665	0.0285	14.9
7	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0413	0.0625	13.9
8	Nestor Cortes	0.0688	0.0388	12.9
9	Tony Gonsolin	0.0670	0.0324	12.8
10	Craig Kimbrel	0.0800	0.0258	11.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
José Berríos	0.3276	0.2652 (35.9)	0.2864 (32.0)	0.2949 (30.0)	0.2912 (32.1)	0.2854 (36.1)
Nestor Cortes	0.2323	0.2691 (31.6)	0.2838 (30.9)	0.2872 (29.4)	0.2820 (26.6)	0.2918 (33.0)
Zac Gallen	0.2366	0.2633 (29.5)	0.2844 (33.2)	0.2985 (39.1)	0.3016 (41.9)	0.2886 (33.0)
Patrick Corbin	0.3645	0.2652 (60.4)	0.3061 (42.6)	0.3037 (48.5)	0.3043 (47.5)	0.3046 (46.8)
Kevin Gausman	0.3634	0.2633 (62.0)	0.2886 (55.2)	0.2933 (56.0)	0.2896 (58.1)	0.2867 (59.8)
Lucas Giolito	0.3403	0.2577 (47.5)	0.2760 (45.7)	0.2913 (39.2)	0.2847 (43.2)	0.2745 (49.9)
Michael Kopech	0.2229	0.2673 (29.1)	0.2975 (36.2)	0.2941 (31.6)	0.2870 (28.5)	0.2971 (33.8)
Tony Gonsolin	0.2067	0.2500 (28.9)	0.2667 (29.2)	0.2871 (36.5)	0.2884 (37.5)	0.2769 (32.1)
Alexis Díaz	0.1783	0.2783 (29.2)	0.2887 (27.8)	0.3070 (31.0)	0.2963 (28.5)	0.2960 (28.5)
Paul Sewald	0.1583	0.2840 (34.0)	0.2837 (30.0)	0.2894 (30.0)	0.2791 (27.7)	0.2929 (31.2)
Kris Bubic	0.3520	0.2766 (35.7)	0.2891 (37.7)	0.2960 (37.0)	0.2978 (35.6)	0.2912 (39.1)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	JT Brubaker	0.2581	0.3341	39.6
2	Alex Cobb	0.2643	0.3365	36.3
3	Carlos Carrasco	0.2671	0.3372	35.8
4	Antonio Senzatela	0.2833	0.3827	35.0
5	Corey Kluber	0.2604	0.3166	28.7
6	Mitch Keller	0.2634	0.3197	28.6
7	Trevor Rogers	0.2558	0.3301	28.4
8	Cristian Javier	0.2612	0.2278	28.1
9	Alek Manoah	0.2643	0.2443	27.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.3077	0.2591	37.7
2	Glenn Otto	0.3202	0.2552	37.4
3	Shane McClanahan	0.3102	0.2506	37.4
4	Brayan Bello	0.2887	0.4044	31.3
5	Julio Urías	0.2756	0.2291	31.2
6	Antonio Senzatela	0.3109	0.3827	30.2
7	Miles Mikolas	0.2876	0.2491	29.9
8	JT Brubaker	0.2920	0.3341	28.0
9	Dallas Keuchel	0.2964	0.3843	27.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Urías	0.2889	0.2291	36.3
2	Triston McKenzie	0.2884	0.2369	32.9
3	Brayan Bello	0.2887	0.4044	32.9
4	Carlos Carrasco	0.2942	0.3372	32.3
5	Alek Manoah	0.2918	0.2443	31.7
6	JT Brubaker	0.2934	0.3341	30.9
7	Cristian Javier	0.2842	0.2278	28.8
8	Miles Mikolas	0.2919	0.2491	28.7
9	Daniel Lynch IV	0.2956	0.3350	27.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Urías	0.2894	0.2291	37.2
2	Carlos Carrasco	0.2918	0.3372	33.4
3	Triston McKenzie	0.2843	0.2369	30.4
4	Miles Mikolas	0.2931	0.2491	30.3
5	Alek Manoah	0.2879	0.2443	29.3
6	Brayan Bello	0.3027	0.4044	28.9
7	JT Brubaker	0.2980	0.3341	27.5
8	Sandy Alcantara	0.2977	0.2616	26.4
9	Dallas Keuchel	0.3037	0.3843	26.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Antonio Senzatela	0.3126	0.3827	31.3
2	Julio Urías	0.2789	0.2291	30.4
3	Brayan Bello	0.2980	0.4044	30.1
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.2914	0.3843	29.9
5	Glenn Otto	0.3101	0.2552	28.8
6	Lou Trivino	0.2818	0.3893	28.3
7	Carlos Carrasco	0.2995	0.3372	28.0
8	Alex Cobb	0.2980	0.3365	27.9
9	Shane McClanahan	0.2994	0.2506	27.5

Single Rate

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.2849	48.6
2	Jackson Stephens	0.2168	0.2327	47.2
3	Kevin Gausman	0.0000	0.2815	46.9
4	Alex Cobb	0.0000	0.2800	39.9
5	Manny Bañuelos	0.2168	0.2056	39.9
6	Zac Gallen	0.0000	0.1629	38.4
7	Tony Gonsolin	0.0000	0.1398	38.3
8	Daniel Lynch IV	0.0000	0.2725	33.4
9	Triston McKenzie	0.0000	0.1719	33.2
10	Kris Bubic	0.0000	0.2730	33.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Gausman	0.2164	0.2815	46.4
2	Corbin Burnes	0.2426	0.1949	38.9
3	José Berríos	0.2079	0.2601	38.6
4	Patrick Corbin	0.2313	0.2849	37.4
5	Zac Gallen	0.2126	0.1629	36.2
6	Kris Bubic	0.2153	0.2730	33.2
7	Alex Cobb	0.2280	0.2800	32.1
8	Patrick Sandoval	0.2127	0.2633	31.6
9	Lucas Giolito	0.2031	0.2477	30.4
10	Roansy Contreras	0.2209	0.1493	29.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2168	0.2367	157.7
2	Corey Kluber	0.2168	0.2465	128.6
3	Taylor Hearn	0.2168	0.2237	94.0
4	Spenser Watkins	0.2168	0.2336	91.6
5	Drew Hutchison	0.2168	0.2374	90.8
6	Mitch White	0.2168	0.2286	90.0
7	Adrian Sampson	0.2168	0.2247	89.2
8	Chase De Jong	0.2168	0.1429	85.0
9	Andre Pallante	0.2168	0.2545	81.6
10	Graham Ashcraft	0.2168	0.2587	80.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Gausman	0.2896	0.2815	50.9
2	Zac Gallen	0.3016	0.1629	43.1
3	Patrick Corbin	0.3043	0.2849	42.0
4	Germán Márquez	0.3236	0.1992	35.8
5	José Berríos	0.2912	0.2601	35.5
6	Tony Gonsolin	0.2884	0.1398	35.0
7	Alex Cobb	0.3077	0.2800	31.9
8	Daniel Lynch IV	0.2982	0.2725	31.6
9	Kris Bubic	0.2978	0.2730	31.4
10	Patrick Sandoval	0.2954	0.2633	29.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Gausman	0.2867	0.2815	52.6
2	Patrick Corbin	0.3046	0.2849	41.3
3	José Berríos	0.2854	0.2601	39.5
4	Alex Cobb	0.2980	0.2800	37.7
5	Lucas Giolito	0.2745	0.2477	35.5
6	Kris Bubic	0.2912	0.2730	34.9
7	Zac Gallen	0.2886	0.1629	34.2
8	Jeurys Familia	0.2168	0.3030	33.5
9	Patrick Sandoval	0.2925	0.2633	31.0
10	Tyler Alexander	0.2168	0.2112	30.8

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Madison Bumgarner	0.0994	0.0000 (22.9)	0.0767 (17.2)	0.0000 (23.0)	0.0000 (22.9)	0.0000 (22.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rogers	0.0000	0.1144	22.8
2	Justin Verlander	0.0000	0.0346	21.3
3	Framber Valdez	0.0000	0.0441	18.6
4	Adam Oller	0.0000	0.1202	18.1
5	Jackson Stephens	0.0666	0.0566	18.0
6	JT Brubaker	0.0000	0.0931	17.1
7	Kyle Wright	0.0000	0.0435	17.0
8	Shane McClanahan	0.0000	0.0413	16.2
9	Yu Darvish	0.0000	0.0457	16.1
10	Julio Urías	0.0000	0.0441	15.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ranger Suárez	0.0515	0.0852	23.5
2	Yu Darvish	0.0744	0.0457	20.6
3	Adam Oller	0.0666	0.1202	18.7
4	Brandon Woodruff	0.0487	0.0767	18.5
5	Taylor Hearn	0.0591	0.0983	18.5
6	Justin Verlander	0.0634	0.0346	17.9
7	Shane McClanahan	0.0693	0.0413	16.7
8	Kyle Wright	0.0678	0.0435	16.5
9	Glenn Otto	0.0739	0.0443	16.3
10	Jakob Junis	0.0663	0.0976	15.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0666	0.0600	58.6
2	Corey Kluber	0.0666	0.0641	47.4
3	Drew Hutchison	0.0666	0.0504	38.3
4	Andre Pallante	0.0666	0.0539	36.1
5	Graham Ashcraft	0.0666	0.0552	36.1
6	Steve Cishek	0.0666	0.0185	32.9
7	Adrian Sampson	0.0666	0.0570	32.5
8	Beau Brieske	0.0666	0.0408	31.2
9	Wil Crowe	0.0666	0.0419	30.3
10	Spenser Watkins	0.0666	0.0712	28.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rogers	0.0000	0.1144	22.8
2	Justin Verlander	0.0000	0.0346	21.3
3	Framber Valdez	0.0000	0.0441	18.6
4	Adam Oller	0.0000	0.1202	18.1
5	JT Brubaker	0.0000	0.0931	17.1
6	Kyle Wright	0.0000	0.0435	17.0
7	Shane McClanahan	0.0000	0.0413	16.2
8	Yu Darvish	0.0000	0.0457	16.1
9	Julio Urías	0.0000	0.0441	15.5
10	Richard Bleier	0.0000	0.1364	15.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Alexander	0.0666	0.0621	30.3
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0666	0.0464	25.3
3	Trevor Rogers	0.0000	0.1144	22.8
4	Justin Verlander	0.0000	0.0346	21.3
5	Framber Valdez	0.0000	0.0441	18.5
6	Adam Oller	0.0000	0.1202	18.1
7	JT Brubaker	0.0000	0.0931	17.1
8	Kyle Wright	0.0000	0.0435	17.0
9	Shane McClanahan	0.0000	0.0413	16.2
10	Yu Darvish	0.0000	0.0457	16.1

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Joan Adon	0.0198	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0058 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.5)
Zack Wheeler	0.0154	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0044 (6.9)	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0000 (6.1)
Pablo López	0.0125	0.0000 (5.2)	0.0063 (4.9)	0.0000 (5.2)	0.0000 (5.2)	0.0000 (5.2)
Kyle Freeland	0.0146	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0054 (7.4)	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0000 (7.1)
James Kaprielian	0.0175	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0098 (4.7)	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0000 (7.0)
Sandy Alcantara	0.0099	0.0000 (4.0)	0.0043 (5.4)	0.0000 (4.0)	0.0000 (4.0)	0.0000 (4.0)
Yu Darvish	0.0000	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0110 (8.2)	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0000 (4.2)
Sean Manaea	0.0115	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0047 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0000 (4.1)
Chad Kuhl	0.0143	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0043 (6.5)	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.5)
Rich Hill	0.0166	0.0000 (5.9)	0.0027 (7.5)	0.0000 (5.9)	0.0000 (5.9)	0.0000 (5.9)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0128	5.9
2	Josh Winckowski	0.0000	0.0215	5.1
3	Jesse Chavez	0.0000	0.0212	4.6
4	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0117	4.5
5	Martín Pérez	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
6	Marco Gonzales	0.0000	0.0000	4.2
7	Robbie Ray	0.0000	0.0108	4.2
8	Austin Gomber	0.0000	0.0132	4.1
9	Kenley Jansen	0.0000	0.0210	4.1
10	Taylor Rogers	0.0000	0.0196	3.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Castillo	0.0095	0.0000	5.6
2	Taylor Rogers	0.0000	0.0196	5.5
3	Josh Winckowski	0.0054	0.0215	5.2
4	Nick Pivetta	0.0086	0.0020	4.7
5	Johnny Cueto	0.0116	0.0040	4.7
6	Michael Kopech	0.0127	0.0032	4.5
7	Aaron Civale	0.0110	0.0000	4.3
8	John Brebbia	0.0000	0.0143	4.2
9	Aaron Nola	0.0076	0.0019	4.2
10	Luis Severino	0.0108	0.0000	4.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0128	5.9
2	Graham Ashcraft	0.0054	0.0000	5.0
3	Jesse Chavez	0.0000	0.0212	4.6
4	Adam Wainwright	0.0054	0.0051	4.5
5	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0117	4.5
6	Martín Pérez	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
7	Marco Gonzales	0.0000	0.0000	4.2
8	Robbie Ray	0.0000	0.0108	4.2
9	Austin Gomber	0.0000	0.0132	4.1
10	Kenley Jansen	0.0000	0.0210	4.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0128	5.9
2	Josh Winckowski	0.0000	0.0215	5.1
3	Jesse Chavez	0.0000	0.0212	4.6
4	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0117	4.5
5	Martín Pérez	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
6	Marco Gonzales	0.0000	0.0000	4.2
7	Robbie Ray	0.0000	0.0108	4.2
8	Austin Gomber	0.0000	0.0132	4.1
9	Kenley Jansen	0.0000	0.0210	4.1
10	Taylor Rogers	0.0000	0.0196	3.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0128	5.9
2	Josh Winckowski	0.0000	0.0215	5.1
3	Jesse Chavez	0.0000	0.0212	4.6
4	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0117	4.5
5	Martín Pérez	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
6	Marco Gonzales	0.0000	0.0000	4.2
7	Robbie Ray	0.0000	0.0108	4.2
8	Austin Gomber	0.0000	0.0132	4.1
9	Kenley Jansen	0.0000	0.0210	4.1
10	Taylor Rogers	0.0000	0.0196	3.9

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Martín Pérez	0.0853	0.1327 (34.6)	0.1336 (34.4)	0.1285 (30.6)	0.1272 (28.8)	0.1363 (34.8)
Dallas Keuchel	0.2277	0.1326 (30.4)	0.1236 (33.5)	0.1262 (32.6)	0.1279 (32.3)	0.1218 (34.7)
Patrick Corbin	0.1669	0.1255 (33.3)	0.1306 (30.5)	0.1257 (33.6)	0.1258 (34.2)	0.1156 (42.7)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spenser Watkins	0.0000	0.1285	61.4
2	Josh Winckowski	0.0000	0.1487	48.7
3	Joel Kuhnel	0.0000	0.1608	42.3
4	Adrian Sampson	0.0000	0.0935	42.3
5	Beau Brieske	0.0000	0.1150	40.8
6	Davis Martin	0.0000	0.1338	37.4
7	Alek Manoah	0.1228	0.0700	37.4
8	Brayan Bello	0.0000	0.1269	35.4
9	Mark Leiter Jr.	0.0000	0.1135	33.5
10	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0000	0.0893	32.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Quintana	0.1407	0.0898	30.2
2	Kyle Wright	0.1352	0.0908	28.1
3	Dylan Cease	0.1175	0.0736	28.0
4	Tyler Anderson	0.1262	0.0806	27.7
5	Alek Manoah	0.1080	0.0700	24.9
6	José Berríos	0.1103	0.1368	24.8
7	Jeffrey Springs	0.1280	0.0765	24.7
8	Sandy Alcantara	0.1097	0.0756	24.5
9	Triston McKenzie	0.1267	0.0877	24.1
10	Nestor Cortes	0.1168	0.0715	23.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nestor Cortes	0.1280	0.0715	31.1
2	Tyler Anderson	0.1299	0.0806	30.6
3	Alek Manoah	0.1138	0.0700	29.8
4	Sandy Alcantara	0.1137	0.0756	28.4
5	Merrill Kelly	0.1357	0.0958	27.3
6	Cristian Javier	0.1273	0.0752	27.0
7	Sean Manaea	0.1088	0.1416	26.0
8	Zac Gallen	0.1208	0.0784	26.0
9	Tony Gonsolin	0.1223	0.0643	25.9
10	Triston McKenzie	0.1272	0.0877	24.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.1398	0.0806	37.0
2	Alek Manoah	0.1155	0.0700	30.3
3	Tony Gonsolin	0.1304	0.0643	29.5
4	Nestor Cortes	0.1254	0.0715	28.9
5	Sandy Alcantara	0.1127	0.0756	26.7
6	Julio Urías	0.1195	0.0740	26.6
7	Merrill Kelly	0.1357	0.0958	26.5
8	Sean Manaea	0.1106	0.1416	25.4
9	Zac Gallen	0.1209	0.0784	25.4
10	Dylan Cease	0.1136	0.0736	24.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.1351	0.0806	32.5
2	Sean Manaea	0.1046	0.1416	30.6
3	Lucas Giolito	0.0990	0.1318	28.9
4	Tony Gonsolin	0.1269	0.0643	26.9
5	Trevor Rogers	0.0969	0.1447	26.9
6	Nestor Cortes	0.1238	0.0715	26.8
7	José Berríos	0.1102	0.1368	26.5
8	Alex Wood	0.1036	0.1405	25.3
9	Germán Márquez	0.1168	0.1399	24.7
10	Dean Kremer	0.1497	0.0938	24.2

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
José Berríos	0.1328	0.1033 (26.8)	0.1015 (28.8)	0.1033 (28.0)	0.1046 (27.7)	0.1025 (30.8)
Patrick Corbin	0.1501	0.1147 (29.5)	0.1244 (23.2)	0.1165 (29.4)	0.1170 (29.8)	0.1086 (37.1)
Martín Pérez	0.0767	0.1217 (31.9)	0.1174 (27.7)	0.1192 (28.5)	0.1180 (26.8)	0.1267 (32.3)
Sean Manaea	0.1297	0.1037 (21.5)	0.1063 (20.3)	0.1007 (24.6)	0.1022 (24.2)	0.0985 (28.0)
Tyler Anderson	0.0721	0.1146 (25.8)	0.1198 (28.8)	0.1224 (30.1)	0.1322 (36.3)	0.1267 (31.1)
Dallas Keuchel	0.2046	0.1192 (27.7)	0.1140 (29.6)	0.1158 (29.2)	0.1175 (29.0)	0.1139 (30.7)
Dylan Cease	0.0602	0.1029 (27.3)	0.1082 (30.6)	0.1041 (27.0)	0.1060 (27.7)	0.1004 (22.1)
Trevor Rogers	0.1363	0.1025 (19.0)	0.0929 (24.0)	0.1003 (20.8)	0.0997 (21.6)	0.0901 (27.0)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.1123	0.0623	34.5
2	Sandy Alcantara	0.1072	0.0655	31.7
3	Lucas Giolito	0.0943	0.1261	26.4
4	Zac Gallen	0.1121	0.0728	23.7
5	Nestor Cortes	0.1119	0.0699	22.1
6	Julio Urías	0.0985	0.0610	21.7
7	Merrill Kelly	0.1254	0.0933	20.9
8	Kyle Wright	0.1206	0.0867	20.5
9	Germán Márquez	0.1082	0.1284	20.4
10	Tony Gonsolin	0.1091	0.0622	20.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Quintana	0.1254	0.0795	26.4
2	Justin Verlander	0.0966	0.0511	25.7
3	Kyle Wright	0.1281	0.0867	25.4
4	Alek Manoah	0.1000	0.0623	24.2
5	Dean Kremer	0.1389	0.0879	22.6
6	Austin Gomber	0.1102	0.1456	22.4
7	Lucas Giolito	0.1012	0.1261	22.2
8	Jeffrey Springs	0.1137	0.0674	21.6
9	Triston McKenzie	0.1209	0.0850	21.4
10	Elvin Rodríguez	0.1041	0.2448	21.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.1062	0.0623	28.5
2	Sandy Alcantara	0.1051	0.0655	28.3
3	Justin Verlander	0.0991	0.0511	26.9
4	Nestor Cortes	0.1205	0.0699	26.4
5	Julio Urías	0.1056	0.0610	25.5
6	Cristian Javier	0.1203	0.0718	23.9
7	Zac Gallen	0.1125	0.0728	22.8
8	Tony Gonsolin	0.1149	0.0622	22.4
9	Elvin Rodríguez	0.1041	0.2448	21.2
10	Merrill Kelly	0.1269	0.0933	20.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Urías	0.1120	0.0610	29.2
2	Alek Manoah	0.1077	0.0623	28.8
3	Justin Verlander	0.0992	0.0511	26.3
4	Sandy Alcantara	0.1038	0.0655	26.2
5	Tony Gonsolin	0.1228	0.0622	25.8
6	Nestor Cortes	0.1182	0.0699	24.3
7	Zac Gallen	0.1127	0.0728	22.3
8	Alex Wood	0.1044	0.1333	20.9
9	Adrian Sampson	0.1416	0.0841	20.9
10	Matt Moore	0.1289	0.0526	20.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.0919	0.1261	31.2
2	Alex Wood	0.0960	0.1333	26.6
3	Charlie Morton	0.0912	0.1140	24.3
4	Gerrit Cole	0.0787	0.0984	23.9
5	Germán Márquez	0.1087	0.1284	23.6
6	Justin Verlander	0.0957	0.0511	22.7
7	Tony Gonsolin	0.1176	0.0622	22.3
8	Matt Moore	0.1361	0.0526	22.2
9	Nestor Cortes	0.1165	0.0699	22.2
10	Dean Kremer	0.1397	0.0879	21.1

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Yu Darvish	0.5333	0.3571 (148.1)	0.2105 (202.7)	0.3758 (152.8)	0.3624 (129.8)	0.3462 (150.9)
Tony Gonsolin	0.6667	0.2778 (201.6)	0.1563 (224.3)	0.2346 (235.4)	0.1943 (234.0)	0.2000 (236.6)
Tyler Anderson	0.5000	0.2941 (156.8)	0.1667 (193.3)	0.1952 (244.2)	0.2239 (193.4)	0.2963 (150.0)
Kyle Wright	0.7000	0.3000 (306.9)	0.1071 (393.3)	0.1027 (470.8)	0.1909 (373.9)	0.3333 (276.9)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cal Quantrill	0.2143	0.4688	208.2
2	Framber Valdez	0.3462	0.5484	180.4
3	Chris Bassitt	0.2759	0.5000	178.8
4	Justin Verlander	0.3929	0.6429	177.1
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.2692	0.5172	170.2
6	Luis Garcia	0.3077	0.5357	156.9
7	Julio Urías	0.3548	0.5484	144.3
8	Logan Webb	0.3214	0.4688	128.5
9	Alek Manoah	0.3750	0.5161	123.4
10	Taijuan Walker	0.2414	0.4138	122.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.2000	0.6429	255.0
2	Carlos Carrasco	0.1333	0.5172	209.0
3	Framber Valdez	0.2432	0.5484	202.8
4	Alek Manoah	0.2051	0.5161	197.3
5	Cal Quantrill	0.1591	0.4688	192.3
6	Luis Garcia	0.2093	0.5357	171.3
7	Sandy Alcantara	0.1951	0.4375	161.6
8	Joe Ryan	0.1563	0.4815	160.2
9	Nestor Cortes	0.1176	0.4286	154.4
10	Jameson Taillon	0.1707	0.4375	150.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.4321	0.6429	167.4
2	Cal Quantrill	0.3164	0.4688	148.6
3	Spencer Strider	0.1174	0.3548	146.8
4	Adam Wainwright	0.2034	0.3438	145.3
5	Jeffrey Springs	0.0509	0.2727	144.1
6	Keegan Thompson	0.0938	0.3448	141.4
7	Paul Blackburn	0.0717	0.3333	141.2
8	Ross Stripling	0.1028	0.3125	134.2
9	Luis Garcia	0.3745	0.5357	129.8
10	Carlos Carrasco	0.3600	0.5172	127.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.4135	0.6429	151.0
2	Michael Wacha	0.1886	0.4783	147.9
3	Spencer Strider	0.0799	0.3548	143.9
4	Cristian Javier	0.1270	0.3667	138.7
5	JT Brubaker	0.3107	0.1071	133.1
6	Keegan Thompson	0.0760	0.3448	129.2
7	Cal Quantrill	0.2995	0.4688	128.4
8	Dean Kremer	0.1118	0.3636	127.6
9	Dane Dunning	0.3252	0.1379	127.3
10	Ross Stripling	0.0759	0.3125	125.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nestor Cortes	0.1481	0.4286	177.7
2	Drew Rasmussen	0.1026	0.3929	174.5
3	Cristian Javier	0.0833	0.3667	170.7
4	Michael Lorenzen	0.0465	0.4444	167.0
5	Michael Wacha	0.1852	0.4783	155.3
6	Patrick Corbin	0.4138	0.1935	151.0
7	Hunter Greene	0.5000	0.2083	150.4
8	JT Brubaker	0.3478	0.1071	150.0
9	Chris Bassitt	0.3077	0.5000	149.6
10	Martín Pérez	0.2188	0.3750	135.3

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Minor	0.6316	0.3462 (135.7)	0.2703 (134.7)	0.3164 (146.5)	0.3778 (116.3)	0.3333 (131.0)
Joan Adon	0.8571	0.4000 (145.7)	0.0968 (215.5)	0.3505 (159.2)	0.3930 (144.4)	0.3182 (163.9)
Patrick Corbin	0.6129	0.3571 (191.5)	0.2821 (189.4)	0.3048 (224.6)	0.3603 (181.4)	0.3448 (183.7)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brayan Bello	0.0006	0.6154	168.2
2	Hunter Greene	0.2632	0.5417	154.7
3	Josh Winckowski	0.0006	0.4667	151.3
4	Beau Brieske	0.0006	0.4000	139.7
5	Zac Gallen	0.3214	0.1290	128.3
6	Spenser Watkins	0.0005	0.2609	125.4
7	Davis Martin	0.0005	0.4286	118.6
8	Cal Quantrill	0.3214	0.1563	117.4
9	Framber Valdez	0.3462	0.1935	115.6
10	Aaron Nola	0.2759	0.4063	115.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Gonzales	0.1944	0.4688	163.7
2	Alex Wood	0.1250	0.4615	150.6
3	Madison Bumgarner	0.2222	0.5000	148.3
4	Hunter Greene	0.2054	0.5417	143.9
5	Daniel Lynch IV	0.1892	0.4815	136.2
6	Jonathan Heasley	0.1250	0.4762	133.0
7	Zach Plesac	0.1842	0.4800	130.9
8	Erick Fedde	0.2000	0.4815	123.9
9	Daulton Jefferies	0.0952	0.8750	122.9
10	Kris Bubic	0.2000	0.4643	116.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Heasley	0.1150	0.4762	171.2
2	Cal Quantrill	0.3673	0.1563	157.2
3	José Ureña	0.0543	0.3810	144.1
4	Adam Wainwright	0.2054	0.3750	141.7
5	Hunter Greene	0.3004	0.5417	131.8
6	Aaron Nola	0.2565	0.4063	126.4
7	Zac Gallen	0.3034	0.1290	119.6
8	Merrill Kelly	0.3891	0.2424	112.4
9	Germán Márquez	0.2825	0.4194	112.0
10	Brayan Bello	0.2054	0.6154	111.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cal Quantrill	0.3965	0.1563	183.7
2	Jonathan Heasley	0.1052	0.4762	173.3
3	Zac Gallen	0.3561	0.1290	160.9
4	Erick Fedde	0.2252	0.4815	147.8
5	José Ureña	0.0504	0.3810	143.5
6	Aaron Ashby	0.0719	0.3704	142.6
7	Jameson Taillon	0.3336	0.1563	127.9
8	Tyler Alexander	0.1098	0.4074	127.8
9	Merrill Kelly	0.4004	0.2424	125.6
10	Drew Hutchison	0.0530	0.3214	125.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Nola	0.2188	0.4063	142.9
2	Alex Wood	0.2000	0.4615	139.4
3	Cristian Javier	0.0556	0.3000	136.9
4	Cal Quantrill	0.3214	0.1563	135.2
5	Kris Bubic	0.2333	0.4643	129.5
6	Michael Kopech	0.0882	0.3600	129.1
7	Josiah Gray	0.1500	0.3571	127.7
8	Madison Bumgarner	0.3077	0.5000	127.0
9	Erick Fedde	0.2500	0.4815	126.7
10	Daulton Jefferies	0.1364	0.8750	125.3

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Clay Holmes	0.3226	0.0400 (73.6)	0.0233 (82.4)	0.0000 (81.4)	0.0174 (77.3)	0.0189 (75.6)
Daniel Bard	0.5965	0.0645 (130.5)	0.2093 (99.2)	0.1080 (117.4)	0.0939 (121.2)	0.0949 (119.7)
Félix Bautista	0.2308	0.0426 (47.8)	0.0298 (55.3)	0.0000 (56.0)	0.0158 (52.4)	0.0000 (55.1)
Nick Martinez	0.1702	0.0000 (76.5)	0.0298 (70.8)	0.0000 (72.0)	0.0000 (72.8)	0.0000 (70.5)
Kenley Jansen	0.6308	0.4429 (49.0)	0.3830 (69.0)	0.4174 (53.0)	0.1003 (135.9)	0.4035 (55.7)
Tanner Scott	0.2985	0.0400 (74.9)	0.0233 (84.7)	0.0000 (83.5)	0.0167 (79.2)	0.0291 (74.1)
Ryan Helsley	0.3519	0.0000 (84.2)	0.0278 (81.7)	0.0000 (81.8)	0.0338 (74.2)	0.0234 (75.4)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Raisel Iglesias	0.5806	0.2537	80.3
2	Chris Stratton	0.3043	0.0333	75.5
3	Tanner Houck	0.0000	0.2500	61.9
4	Robert Suarez	0.3281	0.0222	58.3
5	Aroldis Chapman	0.5593	0.2093	55.9
6	Dillon Tate	0.2600	0.0746	54.0
7	Rafael Montero	0.0000	0.1972	53.4
8	Camilo Doval	0.2222	0.3971	50.2
9	Jimmy Herget	0.0000	0.1837	49.0
10	Giovanny Gallegos	0.4531	0.2456	48.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge López	0.0250	0.3433	100.1
2	Jordan Romano	0.2143	0.5714	96.7
3	Camilo Doval	0.0800	0.3971	95.7
4	Emmanuel Clase	0.2222	0.5455	92.4
5	Gregory Soto	0.1591	0.4688	86.1
6	David Bednar	0.0500	0.4222	81.9
7	David Robertson	0.0526	0.3448	81.8
8	Ryan Pressly	0.2727	0.6600	73.7
9	Scott Barlow	0.1224	0.3478	70.5
10	Liam Hendriks	0.3617	0.6379	69.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Robertson	0.0000	0.3448	88.5
2	Jorge López	0.0529	0.3433	83.7
3	Raisel Iglesias	0.5682	0.2537	79.7
4	Gregory Soto	0.1852	0.4688	72.1
5	Mark Melancon	0.0298	0.2903	62.0
6	Tanner Houck	0.0000	0.2500	59.4
7	Camilo Doval	0.2058	0.3971	52.0
8	Rafael Montero	0.0000	0.1972	50.7
9	Jimmy Herget	0.0000	0.1837	46.3
10	Paul Sewald	0.1080	0.3077	46.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Will Smith	0.3591	0.0769	75.6
2	Kyle Finnegan	0.4219	0.1667	70.5
3	Tanner Houck	0.0000	0.2500	59.8
4	Josh Hader	0.3876	0.6429	54.2
5	Rafael Montero	0.0000	0.1972	51.2
6	Lou Trivino	0.3679	0.1719	50.9
7	Paul Sewald	0.0959	0.3077	49.4
8	Rowan Wick	0.2991	0.1406	48.8
9	Aroldis Chapman	0.5032	0.2093	48.3
10	Raisel Iglesias	0.4379	0.2537	47.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rowan Wick	0.4555	0.1406	96.4
2	Jorge López	0.0277	0.3433	90.2
3	Kyle Finnegan	0.4727	0.1667	85.5
4	Jordan Hicks	0.2875	0.0000	79.0
5	Dinelson Lamet	0.4752	0.0000	72.7
6	Craig Kimbrel	0.0747	0.3492	68.0
7	Raisel Iglesias	0.5025	0.2537	64.4
8	Corey Knebel	0.5682	0.2609	62.1
9	Aroldis Chapman	0.5751	0.2093	60.6
10	Alex Colomé	0.3386	0.0755	59.4

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Zach Jackson	0.4815	0.0621 (91.8)	0.0621 (86.4)	0.0184 (91.9)	0.0000 (94.4)
John Schreiber	0.3438	0.1250 (65.2)	0.0621 (74.5)	0.0493 (73.6)	0.0000 (84.8)
Andre Pallante	0.1915	0.0621 (75.2)	0.0621 (62.8)	0.0286 (70.8)	0.0000 (81.1)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Kopech	0.2222	0.0000	92.5
2	Michael King	0.0968	0.4706	81.4
3	Yimi García	0.0952	0.3770	78.3
4	Michael Fulmer	0.1250	0.3731	78.2
5	Cionel Pérez	0.0833	0.3788	77.3
6	Jhoan Duran	0.0621	0.3158	76.8
7	Wil Crowe	0.0732	0.2667	75.9
8	Kendall Graveman	0.1892	0.4154	74.5
9	Michael Lorenzen	0.2143	0.0000	73.7
10	Héctor Neris	0.1200	0.3571	71.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeffrey Springs	0.2413	0.0000	128.0
2	Brad Boxberger	0.0621	0.4286	100.4
3	Austin Voth	0.2469	0.0244	94.8
4	Anthony Bass	0.0621	0.3151	71.8
5	José Ureña	0.1728	0.0000	71.2
6	Wil Crowe	0.0621	0.2667	70.6
7	Bailey Falter	0.2058	0.0000	69.0
8	Camilo Doval	0.2573	0.0147	67.1
9	Jorge López	0.2469	0.0149	66.7
10	Michael King	0.1434	0.4706	66.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ross Stripling	0.1509	0.0000	85.2
2	Austin Voth	0.2050	0.0244	83.3
3	Colin Poche	0.0190	0.3538	80.1
4	Michael King	0.0737	0.4706	77.4
5	Graham Ashcraft	0.1514	0.0000	73.9
6	Griffin Jax	0.0149	0.2769	73.7
7	Nick Martinez	0.0126	0.1702	67.0
8	Wil Crowe	0.0625	0.2667	65.2
9	Matt Moore	0.0000	0.2222	65.1
10	A.J. Minter	0.2083	0.4533	64.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ross Stripling	0.3417	0.0000	190.6
2	Austin Voth	0.2681	0.0244	113.9
3	Aaron Ashby	0.2318	0.0370	99.2
4	David Robertson	0.4079	0.0517	97.7
5	Caleb Smith	0.4424	0.1364	96.6
6	Jorge López	0.3206	0.0149	95.2
7	Brent Suter	0.3521	0.0185	94.5
8	Colin Poche	0.0095	0.3538	80.9
9	Jhoan Duran	0.0000	0.3158	80.3
10	Trevor Williams	0.2327	0.0333	79.3

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
José Berríos	5.2326	3.8226 (1228.0)	3.8028 (1250.0)	3.9253 (1205.4)	3.9584 (1217.8)	3.8363 (1394.7)
Nestor Cortes	2.4442	4.2353 (965.7)	4.1284 (894.1)	4.6771 (1192.6)	4.5820 (1103.7)	4.4384 (946.0)
Patrick Corbin	6.3079	4.4296 (1496.6)	4.8406 (1210.4)	4.5000 (1498.3)	4.5377 (1506.7)	4.1621 (1855.0)
Martín Pérez	2.8879	4.7734 (1366.7)	4.6236 (1235.8)	4.7189 (1262.2)	4.6713 (1182.5)	5.0914 (1434.8)
Tyler Anderson	2.5690	4.3742 (1120.2)	4.6044 (1276.1)	4.7586 (1340.5)	5.1854 (1607.3)	4.8100 (1262.0)
Dallas Keuchel	9.1978	4.7059 (1428.0)	4.4499 (1508.4)	4.6292 (1473.2)	4.6939 (1468.6)	4.4587 (1574.1)
Dylan Cease	2.2011	3.9085 (1110.5)	4.1860 (1310.7)	3.9831 (1111.9)	4.0532 (1127.3)	3.8809 (914.3)
Trevor Rogers	5.4673	3.8493 (877.1)	3.5347 (1031.7)	3.8018 (934.5)	3.7642 (976.0)	3.3830 (1211.7)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sandy Alcantara	4.0753	2.2828	1392.5
2	Alek Manoah	4.2044	2.2424	1368.6
3	Lucas Giolito	3.4673	4.8990	1153.5
4	Zac Gallen	4.2963	2.5435	1093.9
5	Merrill Kelly	4.9141	3.3694	1064.4
6	Tony Gonsolin	4.2472	2.1407	939.1
7	Kyle Wright	4.6734	3.1941	928.7
8	Sean Manaea	3.8222	4.9557	908.8
9	Julio Urías	3.6226	2.1600	855.6
10	Elvin Rodríguez	4.9606	10.6180	840.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Quintana	4.9865	2.9336	1237.5
2	Kyle Wright	5.0546	3.1941	1203.1
3	Dean Kremer	5.4817	3.2314	1034.2
4	Justin Verlander	3.5204	1.7486	1026.6
5	Alek Manoah	3.7720	2.2424	1021.2
6	Lucas Giolito	3.7143	4.8990	987.7
7	Triston McKenzie	4.5182	2.9634	981.4
8	Elvin Rodríguez	4.0350	10.6180	974.3
9	Carlos Hernández	4.0909	7.3929	939.6
10	Sandy Alcantara	3.5680	2.2828	934.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sandy Alcantara	4.0130	2.2828	1272.8
2	Alek Manoah	4.0734	2.2424	1208.4
3	Cristian Javier	4.7734	2.5426	1133.3
4	Justin Verlander	3.6664	1.7486	1081.8
5	Julio Urías	4.0000	2.1600	1065.5
6	Zac Gallen	4.3251	2.5435	1062.5
7	Triston McKenzie	4.6762	2.9634	1051.6
8	Tony Gonsolin	4.5161	2.1407	1036.8
9	Merrill Kelly	4.9519	3.3694	1036.3
10	Sean Manaea	3.7817	4.9557	984.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Urías	4.2551	2.1600	1207.2
2	Alek Manoah	4.1125	2.2424	1200.3
3	Tony Gonsolin	4.8528	2.1407	1179.8
4	Sandy Alcantara	3.9386	2.2828	1163.1
5	Zac Gallen	4.3512	2.5435	1045.7
6	Justin Verlander	3.6478	1.7486	1036.4
7	Merrill Kelly	4.9798	3.3694	1018.9
8	Triston McKenzie	4.6713	2.9634	1011.3
9	Sean Manaea	3.8244	4.9557	989.3
10	Adrian Sampson	5.7066	3.1054	966.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	3.3556	4.8990	1395.5
2	Sean Manaea	3.6844	4.9557	1158.9
3	Alex Wood	3.6525	5.0969	1054.7
4	Dean Kremer	5.6418	3.2314	1000.7
5	Charlie Morton	3.4433	4.3430	986.9
6	Germán Márquez	4.1538	4.9541	978.6
7	Tony Gonsolin	4.5600	2.1407	977.8
8	Matt Moore	5.5125	1.9459	945.6
9	Chase De Jong	6.2395	2.6372	921.9
10	Gerrit Cole	2.8187	3.4983	900.5

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
José Berríos	1.4186	1.1129 (235.0)	1.1758 (193.8)	1.2246 (183.4)	1.2146 (196.8)	1.1601 (253.1)
Triston McKenzie	0.9512	1.2927 (248.3)	1.2065 (178.4)	1.3517 (260.1)	1.3542 (256.1)	1.2636 (173.9)
Mike Minor	1.6327	1.2222 (189.6)	1.2544 (178.7)	1.3253 (162.4)	1.3126 (171.8)	1.2735 (198.7)
Shane McClanahan	0.9259	1.1857 (162.5)	1.2841 (220.3)	1.2516 (177.1)	1.2288 (157.4)	1.2460 (155.5)
Zac Gallen	0.9130	1.2585 (242.1)	1.2597 (237.1)	1.3180 (253.8)	1.3263 (254.0)	1.2531 (187.3)
Patrick Corbin	1.6965	1.2913 (293.5)	1.3878 (230.5)	1.3636 (272.6)	1.3675 (275.5)	1.3103 (330.7)
Lucas Giolito	1.4351	1.0842 (249.3)	1.1429 (214.1)	1.2111 (190.9)	1.2063 (199.8)	1.0899 (295.1)
Tony Gonsolin	0.8747	1.3258 (221.5)	1.2198 (164.6)	1.3694 (221.7)	1.3918 (228.9)	1.3467 (196.4)
Dallas Keuchel	2.0604	1.3856 (206.4)	1.3997 (204.6)	1.4775 (191.6)	1.4806 (193.1)	1.3899 (226.7)
Nestor Cortes	0.9221	1.2059 (170.6)	1.2615 (199.8)	1.3170 (212.4)	1.2961 (194.7)	1.2637 (162.3)
Kris Bubic	1.6977	1.3711 (195.4)	1.3699 (201.0)	1.4105 (197.6)	1.4333 (188.9)	1.4148 (211.6)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sandy Alcantara	1.2220	0.9796	209.2
2	Cristian Javier	1.2845	0.9484	192.9
3	Ryan Helsley	1.4775	0.7423	174.2
4	Merrill Kelly	1.3558	1.1381	169.9
5	Spencer Strider	1.3193	0.9949	167.9
6	Erick Fedde	1.3438	1.6299	167.6
7	Tyler Anderson	1.2394	1.0019	163.4
8	Trevor Rogers	1.1745	1.5047	160.5
9	Jimmy Herget	1.5152	0.9130	158.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	1.3029	1.0019	202.5
2	Aaron Nola	1.1873	0.9610	170.9
3	Kyle Wright	1.4041	1.1590	170.2
4	Miles Mikolas	1.2577	1.0329	169.2
5	Sandy Alcantara	1.1775	0.9796	162.5
6	Brady Singer	1.4060	1.1413	155.4
7	Madison Bumgarner	1.2307	1.4370	154.2
8	Justin Verlander	1.0714	0.8286	152.1
9	Spencer Strider	1.2963	0.9949	151.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cristian Javier	1.3960	0.9484	232.9
2	Sandy Alcantara	1.2733	0.9796	216.3
3	Tyler Anderson	1.3448	1.0019	207.5
4	Miles Mikolas	1.3143	1.0329	186.6
5	Alek Manoah	1.2526	0.9915	166.3
6	Aaron Nola	1.2162	0.9610	166.0
7	Max Fried	1.2850	1.0144	162.1
8	Merrill Kelly	1.3888	1.1381	161.7
9	Yu Darvish	1.2068	0.9503	159.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	1.3749	1.0019	223.1
2	Sandy Alcantara	1.2589	0.9796	196.6
3	Cristian Javier	1.3317	0.9484	190.7
4	Miles Mikolas	1.3159	1.0329	181.6
5	Max Fried	1.2954	1.0144	163.9
6	Merrill Kelly	1.3990	1.1381	163.6
7	Trevor Rogers	1.2330	1.5047	157.0
8	Kyle Wright	1.4280	1.1590	156.1
9	Julio Urías	1.2412	0.9600	154.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rogers	1.1915	1.5047	186.4
2	Félix Bautista	1.7411	0.9289	185.8
3	Antonio Senzatela	1.3660	1.6895	165.7
4	Erick Fedde	1.4240	1.6299	162.5
5	Madison Bumgarner	1.2877	1.4370	158.4
6	Spencer Strider	1.3723	0.9949	158.3
7	Ian Anderson	1.2816	1.5134	152.6
8	Robbie Ray	1.0740	1.1905	150.4
9	Ryan Helsley	1.4458	0.7423	149.6