2022 Projection Evaluation
Batting Projection Accuracy
Plate Appearances (PA)
Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Drury | 35 | 568 | 533.0 |
| 2 | Miguel Sanó | 531 | 71 | 460.0 |
| 3 | Luis Rengifo | 67 | 511 | 444.0 |
| 4 | Kris Bryant | 622 | 181 | 441.0 |
| 5 | Michael Harris II | 1 | 441 | 440.0 |
| 6 | Adalberto Mondesi | 491 | 54 | 437.0 |
| 7 | Brendan Donovan | 33 | 468 | 435.0 |
| 8 | Christopher Morel | 1 | 425 | 424.0 |
| 9 | Bobby Bradley | 427 | 17 | 410.0 |
| 10 | Alcides Escobar | 535 | 131 | 404.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Kwan | 1 | 638 | 637.0 |
| 2 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 1 | 632 | 631.0 |
| 3 | Julio Rodríguez | 1 | 560 | 559.0 |
| 4 | Jeremy Peña | 1 | 558 | 557.0 |
| 5 | MJ Melendez | 1 | 534 | 533.0 |
| 6 | Jose Miranda | 1 | 483 | 482.0 |
| 7 | Adley Rutschman | 1 | 470 | 469.0 |
| 8 | Brendan Donovan | 1 | 468 | 467.0 |
| 9 | Bryson Stott | 1 | 466 | 465.0 |
| 10 | Seiya Suzuki | 1 | 446 | 445.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Hernández | 1 | 617 | 616.0 |
| 2 | Brandon Drury | 1 | 568 | 567.0 |
| 3 | Josh Donaldson | 1 | 546 | 545.0 |
| 4 | Nelson Cruz | 1 | 507 | 506.0 |
| 5 | Miguel Sanó | 542 | 71 | 471.0 |
| 6 | Kris Bryant | 633 | 181 | 452.0 |
| 7 | Luis Rengifo | 60 | 511 | 451.0 |
| 8 | Austin Meadows | 594 | 147 | 447.0 |
| 9 | Michael Harris II | 1 | 441 | 440.0 |
| 10 | Miguel Cabrera | 1 | 433 | 432.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miguel Sanó | 619 | 71 | 548.0 |
| 2 | Brandon Drury | 38 | 568 | 529.7 |
| 3 | Kris Bryant | 669 | 181 | 487.5 |
| 4 | Adalberto Mondesi | 536 | 54 | 482.4 |
| 5 | Brendan Donovan | 20 | 468 | 448.3 |
| 6 | Michael Harris II | 1 | 441 | 440.0 |
| 7 | Willie Calhoun | 494 | 62 | 432.4 |
| 8 | David Fletcher | 655 | 228 | 426.6 |
| 9 | Christopher Morel | 1 | 425 | 424.0 |
| 10 | Bobby Bradley | 439 | 17 | 422.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miguel Vargas | 577 | 50 | 527.0 |
| 2 | Nick Solak | 618 | 95 | 523.0 |
| 3 | Otto Lopez | 532 | 10 | 522.0 |
| 4 | Brendon Davis | 521 | 11 | 510.0 |
| 5 | Lenyn Sosa | 539 | 36 | 503.0 |
| 6 | Joe Perez | 500 | 1 | 499.0 |
| 7 | Eguy Rosario | 504 | 6 | 498.0 |
| 8 | Heliot Ramos | 515 | 22 | 493.0 |
| 9 | Gabriel Arias | 542 | 57 | 485.0 |
| 10 | Jack Larsen | 484 | 1 | 483.0 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve | 0.3979 |
0.3268
(50.1)
|
0.3498
(41.0)
|
0.3554
(38.2)
|
0.3539
(39.0)
|
0.3495
(39.5)
|
| Michael Harris II | 0.3667 |
0.2750
(45.7)
|
0.3099
(33.7)
|
0.3099
(34.2)
|
0.2762
(48.9)
|
0.2943
(39.4)
|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.3825 |
0.3324
(38.4)
|
0.3557
(28.9)
|
0.3501
(33.0)
|
0.3505
(32.6)
|
0.3450
(33.8)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.4184 |
0.3479
(53.7)
|
0.3657
(47.2)
|
0.3658
(47.8)
|
0.3654
(47.9)
|
0.3533
(53.5)
|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.2463 |
0.3173
(30.1)
|
0.3316
(33.4)
|
0.3213
(27.6)
|
0.3260
(30.2)
|
0.3218
(29.8)
|
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.2642 |
0.3613
(32.0)
|
0.3671
(31.2)
|
0.3689
(31.5)
|
0.3649
(30.1)
|
0.3658
(31.8)
|
| Albert Pujols | 0.3808 |
0.2657
(44.6)
|
0.3112
(31.3)
|
0.3099
(32.2)
|
0.3194
(28.7)
|
0.2947
(36.2)
|
| Brandon Drury | 0.3496 |
0.2969
(36.7)
|
0.2971
(41.0)
|
0.3099
(34.3)
|
0.3092
(34.6)
|
0.3056
(34.7)
|
| Andrés Giménez | 0.3638 |
0.2996
(42.4)
|
0.3055
(43.5)
|
0.3121
(40.4)
|
0.3085
(42.2)
|
0.3147
(36.9)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.4619 |
0.3679
(73.7)
|
0.3789
(71.5)
|
0.3905
(64.1)
|
0.3884
(65.4)
|
0.3895
(62.3)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.3746 | 0.4308 | 38.2 |
| 2 | Yandy Díaz | 0.3111 | 0.3673 | 38.0 |
| 3 | Jeff McNeil | 0.3200 | 0.3657 | 33.9 |
| 4 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.4135 | 0.3381 | 33.8 |
| 5 | Nathaniel Lowe | 0.3291 | 0.3693 | 33.6 |
| 6 | Matt Carpenter | 0.2716 | 0.4700 | 32.4 |
| 7 | Jared Walsh | 0.3648 | 0.2819 | 32.2 |
| 8 | Elvis Andrus | 0.2670 | 0.3100 | 31.7 |
| 9 | Joc Pederson | 0.3182 | 0.3754 | 29.9 |
| 10 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.3278 | 0.3684 | 29.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.3099 | 0.3684 | 43.8 |
| 2 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.3796 | 0.4308 | 39.8 |
| 3 | Nathaniel Lowe | 0.3352 | 0.3693 | 34.8 |
| 4 | Taylor Ward | 0.3210 | 0.3619 | 34.2 |
| 5 | Nelson Cruz | 0.3762 | 0.2906 | 33.4 |
| 6 | Steven Kwan | 0.3099 | 0.3414 | 32.7 |
| 7 | Manny Machado | 0.3555 | 0.3864 | 32.6 |
| 8 | Geraldo Perdomo | 0.3305 | 0.2469 | 31.9 |
| 9 | Austin Riley | 0.3524 | 0.3771 | 30.8 |
| 10 | Adley Rutschman | 0.3099 | 0.3538 | 29.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.3875 | 0.4308 | 36.0 |
| 2 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.4253 | 0.3544 | 35.4 |
| 3 | Adolis García | 0.2966 | 0.3255 | 32.6 |
| 4 | Joc Pederson | 0.3215 | 0.3754 | 32.4 |
| 5 | Juan Soto | 0.4474 | 0.3781 | 32.2 |
| 6 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3179 | 0.3442 | 29.7 |
| 7 | Franmil Reyes | 0.3621 | 0.2798 | 29.1 |
| 8 | Taylor Ward | 0.3314 | 0.3619 | 29.0 |
| 9 | Matt Carpenter | 0.3038 | 0.4700 | 28.8 |
| 10 | Christian Walker | 0.3267 | 0.3472 | 27.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.4247 | 0.3544 | 35.2 |
| 2 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.3887 | 0.4308 | 35.1 |
| 3 | Adolis García | 0.2984 | 0.3255 | 31.3 |
| 4 | Juan Soto | 0.4455 | 0.3781 | 31.2 |
| 5 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3165 | 0.3442 | 30.3 |
| 6 | Joc Pederson | 0.3267 | 0.3754 | 30.0 |
| 7 | Nelson Cruz | 0.3680 | 0.2906 | 28.8 |
| 8 | Matt Carpenter | 0.3037 | 0.4700 | 28.8 |
| 9 | Franmil Reyes | 0.3606 | 0.2798 | 28.6 |
| 10 | Taylor Ward | 0.3319 | 0.3619 | 28.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Soto | 0.4459 | 0.3781 | 33.7 |
| 2 | Brendan Donovan | 0.2970 | 0.3488 | 32.2 |
| 3 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.4165 | 0.3544 | 31.8 |
| 4 | Franmil Reyes | 0.3632 | 0.2798 | 31.4 |
| 5 | Manny Machado | 0.3566 | 0.3864 | 30.2 |
| 6 | Yandy Díaz | 0.3309 | 0.3673 | 29.8 |
| 7 | Joey Gallo | 0.3719 | 0.2860 | 28.2 |
| 8 | Christopher Morel | 0.2711 | 0.3201 | 28.1 |
| 9 | Jared Walsh | 0.3600 | 0.2819 | 27.7 |
| 10 | Joc Pederson | 0.3285 | 0.3754 | 27.7 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz | 0.3490 |
0.2695
(29.8)
|
0.2370
(40.4)
|
0.2202
(44.9)
|
0.2217
(44.5)
|
0.2355
(40.5)
|
| Chris Taylor | 0.3524 |
0.2751
(36.4)
|
0.2697
(37.5)
|
0.2708
(35.0)
|
0.2757
(33.0)
|
0.2838
(30.6)
|
| Kole Calhoun | 0.3208 |
0.2383
(36.2)
|
0.2370
(35.5)
|
0.2242
(39.0)
|
0.2400
(32.5)
|
0.2376
(34.7)
|
| Alec Bohm | 0.1743 |
0.2299
(33.2)
|
0.2442
(44.2)
|
0.2364
(42.0)
|
0.2359
(41.4)
|
0.2330
(37.8)
|
| José Abreu | 0.1620 |
0.2201
(37.4)
|
0.2216
(40.6)
|
0.2260
(46.5)
|
0.2292
(48.4)
|
0.2199
(40.2)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MJ Melendez | 0.3284 | 0.2453 | 42.8 |
| 2 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.2748 | 0.2136 | 36.8 |
| 3 | Trent Grisham | 0.2231 | 0.2863 | 34.6 |
| 4 | Josh Bell | 0.2125 | 0.1577 | 33.6 |
| 5 | Seiya Suzuki | 0.1760 | 0.2466 | 32.8 |
| 6 | Trevor Story | 0.2284 | 0.3081 | 32.7 |
| 7 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2119 | 0.1478 | 31.9 |
| 8 | Dylan Carlson | 0.2606 | 0.1926 | 31.8 |
| 9 | José Barrero | 0.2574 | 0.4368 | 31.7 |
| 10 | Sean Murphy | 0.2572 | 0.2026 | 31.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Kwan | 0.2242 | 0.0940 | 83.1 |
| 2 | Brett Phillips | 0.2242 | 0.4178 | 43.5 |
| 3 | Christopher Morel | 0.2242 | 0.3224 | 41.7 |
| 4 | Nico Hoerner | 0.1902 | 0.1103 | 41.4 |
| 5 | Alejandro Kirk | 0.1797 | 0.1072 | 39.3 |
| 6 | Yandy Díaz | 0.1746 | 0.1075 | 37.5 |
| 7 | Ha-Seong Kim | 0.2351 | 0.1718 | 36.9 |
| 8 | Luis Rengifo | 0.2236 | 0.1546 | 35.3 |
| 9 | Brendan Donovan | 0.2242 | 0.1496 | 35.0 |
| 10 | Keibert Ruiz | 0.1953 | 0.1155 | 34.6 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aristides Aquino | 0.2242 | 0.3659 | 37.9 |
| 2 | Yandy Díaz | 0.1680 | 0.1075 | 36.3 |
| 3 | Trent Grisham | 0.2132 | 0.2863 | 35.9 |
| 4 | Christian Walker | 0.2450 | 0.1964 | 35.4 |
| 5 | Javier Báez | 0.3044 | 0.2492 | 35.3 |
| 6 | Diego Castillo | 0.1376 | 0.2650 | 34.8 |
| 7 | Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.2242 | 0.1141 | 34.1 |
| 8 | Nolan Gorman | 0.2166 | 0.3291 | 33.8 |
| 9 | José Barrero | 0.2387 | 0.4368 | 33.7 |
| 10 | Michael Brantley | 0.2242 | 0.1083 | 33.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diego Castillo | 0.1391 | 0.2650 | 34.5 |
| 2 | Yandy Díaz | 0.1652 | 0.1075 | 34.4 |
| 3 | Trent Grisham | 0.2170 | 0.2863 | 34.2 |
| 4 | Javier Báez | 0.3021 | 0.2492 | 33.6 |
| 5 | Nolan Gorman | 0.2186 | 0.3291 | 33.3 |
| 6 | José Barrero | 0.2426 | 0.4368 | 33.1 |
| 7 | Christian Walker | 0.2416 | 0.1964 | 32.8 |
| 8 | Myles Straw | 0.1912 | 0.1460 | 29.4 |
| 9 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.2112 | 0.1724 | 28.9 |
| 10 | Sean Murphy | 0.2455 | 0.2026 | 28.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Happ | 0.3009 | 0.2324 | 44.7 |
| 2 | Sean Murphy | 0.2668 | 0.2026 | 40.1 |
| 3 | Christian Walker | 0.2530 | 0.1964 | 38.6 |
| 4 | Diego Castillo | 0.1352 | 0.2650 | 36.4 |
| 5 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.2918 | 0.2417 | 34.2 |
| 6 | Nolan Gorman | 0.2190 | 0.3291 | 34.1 |
| 7 | Will Smith | 0.2231 | 0.1661 | 33.7 |
| 8 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.2203 | 0.1724 | 33.1 |
| 9 | José Barrero | 0.2478 | 0.4368 | 32.7 |
| 10 | Pete Alonso | 0.2329 | 0.1869 | 32.4 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.1282 |
0.0909
(20.4)
|
0.0816
(24.9)
|
0.0827
(24.8)
|
0.0821
(24.9)
|
0.0732
(27.0)
|
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.0744 |
0.1120
(20.1)
|
0.1103
(18.9)
|
0.1225
(26.2)
|
0.1244
(27.6)
|
0.1208
(28.2)
|
| Jorge Polanco | 0.1438 |
0.0764
(32.8)
|
0.0752
(33.5)
|
0.0771
(33.1)
|
0.0769
(33.0)
|
0.0727
(32.8)
|
| Jesse Winker | 0.1536 |
0.1048
(30.2)
|
0.1085
(28.3)
|
0.1132
(26.2)
|
0.1135
(25.8)
|
0.1130
(23.6)
|
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.1470 |
0.0967
(19.7)
|
0.0933
(20.9)
|
0.0984
(19.5)
|
0.0970
(19.8)
|
0.0912
(20.3)
|
| Luis Rengifo | 0.0333 |
0.0746
(17.9)
|
0.0863
(23.7)
|
0.0800
(20.0)
|
0.0808
(20.6)
|
0.0763
(20.6)
|
| MJ Melendez | 0.1236 |
0.0970
(17.6)
|
0.0816
(25.9)
|
0.0949
(19.4)
|
0.0967
(18.2)
|
0.0851
(22.0)
|
| Anthony Santander | 0.0850 |
0.0603
(20.1)
|
0.0594
(20.9)
|
0.0580
(22.3)
|
0.0589
(21.5)
|
0.0491
(25.0)
|
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.1238 |
0.0903
(21.6)
|
0.0922
(20.7)
|
0.0910
(21.9)
|
0.0912
(21.5)
|
0.0849
(22.5)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.1595 |
0.1113
(38.0)
|
0.1160
(34.9)
|
0.1263
(28.3)
|
0.1267
(27.8)
|
0.1235
(26.9)
|
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.1390 |
0.0978
(26.7)
|
0.0957
(28.0)
|
0.0986
(26.9)
|
0.0987
(26.6)
|
0.0993
(23.7)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yandy Díaz | 0.1099 | 0.1398 | 20.2 |
| 2 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.1072 | 0.0611 | 20.1 |
| 3 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.1007 | 0.0552 | 19.9 |
| 4 | J.P. Crawford | 0.0875 | 0.1128 | 19.1 |
| 5 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.0923 | 0.1161 | 18.9 |
| 6 | Brendan Rodgers | 0.0535 | 0.0792 | 18.6 |
| 7 | C.J. Cron | 0.1036 | 0.0680 | 18.5 |
| 8 | Tommy Pham | 0.1260 | 0.0900 | 18.4 |
| 9 | Bryce Harper | 0.1570 | 0.1080 | 18.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adley Rutschman | 0.0816 | 0.1383 | 29.7 |
| 2 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.1098 | 0.0611 | 21.3 |
| 3 | Rowdy Tellez | 0.0763 | 0.1035 | 20.2 |
| 4 | Jeremy Peña | 0.0816 | 0.0394 | 19.9 |
| 5 | Cody Bellinger | 0.1114 | 0.0691 | 19.6 |
| 6 | Mike Trout | 0.1525 | 0.1082 | 18.8 |
| 7 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.0975 | 0.0552 | 18.1 |
| 8 | Juan Soto | 0.1829 | 0.2033 | 17.9 |
| 9 | CJ Abrams | 0.0816 | 0.0166 | 17.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | 0.1687 | 0.1082 | 26.4 |
| 2 | Bryce Harper | 0.1711 | 0.1080 | 23.7 |
| 3 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.1451 | 0.1055 | 21.6 |
| 4 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1175 | 0.0822 | 19.6 |
| 5 | Cody Bellinger | 0.1121 | 0.0691 | 19.5 |
| 6 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.1009 | 0.0552 | 19.3 |
| 7 | Brendan Rodgers | 0.0540 | 0.0792 | 19.0 |
| 8 | Adley Rutschman | 0.1068 | 0.1383 | 18.3 |
| 9 | Mookie Betts | 0.1217 | 0.0861 | 17.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | 0.1705 | 0.1082 | 27.5 |
| 2 | Bryce Harper | 0.1694 | 0.1080 | 23.1 |
| 3 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.1439 | 0.1055 | 21.0 |
| 4 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1183 | 0.0822 | 20.5 |
| 5 | Cody Bellinger | 0.1126 | 0.0691 | 20.0 |
| 6 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.0999 | 0.0552 | 19.0 |
| 7 | Brendan Rodgers | 0.0543 | 0.0792 | 18.6 |
| 8 | Mookie Betts | 0.1222 | 0.0861 | 18.5 |
| 9 | Jeimer Candelario | 0.1063 | 0.0600 | 18.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | 0.1814 | 0.1082 | 35.2 |
| 2 | Bryce Harper | 0.1708 | 0.1080 | 25.6 |
| 3 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1184 | 0.0822 | 23.8 |
| 4 | Cody Bellinger | 0.1144 | 0.0691 | 23.5 |
| 5 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.1429 | 0.1055 | 23.4 |
| 6 | Ian Happ | 0.1271 | 0.0905 | 21.8 |
| 7 | Tommy Pham | 0.1266 | 0.0900 | 21.1 |
| 8 | Mookie Betts | 0.1215 | 0.0861 | 20.9 |
| 9 | Josh Donaldson | 0.1386 | 0.0989 | 20.2 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Votto | 0.0266 |
0.0077
(6.9)
|
0.0063
(7.8)
|
0.0084
(7.1)
|
0.0080
(7.2)
|
0.0062
(7.7)
|
| Travis d'Arnaud | 0.0258 |
0.0030
(9.4)
|
0.0091
(7.3)
|
0.0096
(7.1)
|
0.0100
(6.9)
|
0.0068
(8.1)
|
| Dylan Moore | 0.0510 |
0.0180
(8.3)
|
0.0199
(8.0)
|
0.0182
(8.5)
|
0.0190
(8.3)
|
0.0214
(7.5)
|
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.0000 |
0.0220
(8.4)
|
0.0185
(6.7)
|
0.0167
(6.0)
|
0.0170
(6.1)
|
0.0197
(7.3)
|
| Anthony Santander | 0.0201 |
0.0089
(6.9)
|
0.0091
(7.3)
|
0.0101
(6.8)
|
0.0100
(6.8)
|
0.0075
(8.1)
|
| Andrés Giménez | 0.0449 |
0.0250
(10.7)
|
0.0274
(9.9)
|
0.0206
(13.8)
|
0.0210
(13.6)
|
0.0292
(8.7)
|
| Michael Massey | 0.0412 |
0.0000
(7.9)
|
0.0112
(5.9)
|
0.0112
(5.9)
|
0.0120
(5.8)
|
0.0096
(6.1)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Robles | 0.0479 | 0.0221 | 10.8 |
| 2 | C.J. Cron | 0.0273 | 0.0127 | 9.6 |
| 3 | José Abreu | 0.0291 | 0.0177 | 8.2 |
| 4 | Greg Allen | 0.0735 | 0.0149 | 7.9 |
| 5 | Brandon Drury | 0.0000 | 0.0141 | 7.6 |
| 6 | Jose Altuve | 0.0033 | 0.0166 | 7.6 |
| 7 | Francisco Mejía | 0.0309 | 0.0067 | 7.4 |
| 8 | Jeff McNeil | 0.0302 | 0.0187 | 7.2 |
| 9 | Taylor Ward | 0.0192 | 0.0071 | 7.2 |
| 10 | Michael Chavis | 0.0207 | 0.0047 | 7.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Willson Contreras | 0.0281 | 0.0493 | 10.5 |
| 2 | Brendan Donovan | 0.0112 | 0.0299 | 8.9 |
| 3 | Mark Canha | 0.0358 | 0.0517 | 8.8 |
| 4 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0109 | 0.0228 | 7.5 |
| 5 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.0129 | 0.0234 | 7.5 |
| 6 | Austin Riley | 0.0142 | 0.0245 | 7.4 |
| 7 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.0057 | 0.0158 | 6.6 |
| 8 | Jesse Winker | 0.0195 | 0.0073 | 6.5 |
| 9 | Albert Pujols | 0.0114 | 0.0285 | 6.1 |
| 10 | Jose Altuve | 0.0072 | 0.0166 | 5.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Canha | 0.0317 | 0.0517 | 11.1 |
| 2 | Willson Contreras | 0.0272 | 0.0493 | 11.0 |
| 3 | Thairo Estrada | 0.0124 | 0.0259 | 7.6 |
| 4 | Austin Riley | 0.0142 | 0.0245 | 7.5 |
| 5 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0111 | 0.0228 | 7.5 |
| 6 | Brendan Donovan | 0.0154 | 0.0299 | 7.1 |
| 7 | Albert Pujols | 0.0112 | 0.0285 | 6.3 |
| 8 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.0149 | 0.0234 | 6.2 |
| 9 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.0069 | 0.0158 | 6.0 |
| 10 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.0157 | 0.0238 | 5.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Canha | 0.0310 | 0.0517 | 11.5 |
| 2 | Willson Contreras | 0.0270 | 0.0493 | 11.1 |
| 3 | Austin Riley | 0.0140 | 0.0245 | 7.6 |
| 4 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0110 | 0.0228 | 7.5 |
| 5 | Thairo Estrada | 0.0130 | 0.0259 | 7.2 |
| 6 | Brendan Donovan | 0.0160 | 0.0299 | 6.7 |
| 7 | Albert Pujols | 0.0110 | 0.0285 | 6.3 |
| 8 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.0150 | 0.0234 | 6.1 |
| 9 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.0070 | 0.0158 | 5.9 |
| 10 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.0320 | 0.0420 | 5.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Willson Contreras | 0.0304 | 0.0493 | 9.2 |
| 2 | Austin Riley | 0.0127 | 0.0245 | 8.3 |
| 3 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0094 | 0.0228 | 8.2 |
| 4 | Mark Canha | 0.0377 | 0.0517 | 7.6 |
| 5 | C.J. Cron | 0.0239 | 0.0127 | 7.0 |
| 6 | Randy Arozarena | 0.0280 | 0.0171 | 7.0 |
| 7 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.0134 | 0.0234 | 6.9 |
| 8 | Brendan Rodgers | 0.0163 | 0.0052 | 6.5 |
| 9 | Victor Robles | 0.0380 | 0.0221 | 6.4 |
| 10 | CJ Abrams | 0.0092 | 0.0298 | 6.2 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.0436 |
0.1024
(27.9)
|
0.0924
(20.8)
|
0.1031
(25.6)
|
0.1039
(25.8)
|
0.1070
(29.1)
|
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.0874 |
0.0518
(23.0)
|
0.0563
(22.4)
|
0.0693
(16.2)
|
0.0689
(16.6)
|
0.0594
(20.2)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.0822 |
0.0597
(18.8)
|
0.0649
(17.6)
|
0.0672
(17.2)
|
0.0680
(16.9)
|
0.0602
(20.0)
|
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.0200 |
0.0800
(20.2)
|
0.0805
(19.1)
|
0.0854
(20.3)
|
0.0829
(19.2)
|
0.0868
(21.8)
|
| Cal Raleigh | 0.1067 |
0.0526
(25.1)
|
0.0391
(32.1)
|
0.0609
(23.8)
|
0.0618
(23.6)
|
0.0576
(24.1)
|
| Christian Walker | 0.0784 |
0.0446
(26.8)
|
0.0512
(24.6)
|
0.0573
(21.7)
|
0.0580
(21.5)
|
0.0514
(23.9)
|
| Matt Carpenter | 0.1579 |
0.0238
(21.6)
|
0.0408
(19.5)
|
0.0522
(18.0)
|
0.0516
(18.2)
|
0.0481
(18.3)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.1535 |
0.0927
(46.8)
|
0.0929
(48.9)
|
0.1035
(42.7)
|
0.1023
(43.8)
|
0.1037
(40.7)
|
| José Abreu | 0.0303 |
0.0652
(19.4)
|
0.0703
(20.5)
|
0.0730
(21.2)
|
0.0722
(20.4)
|
0.0641
(17.0)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | 0.0841 | 0.1333 | 27.8 |
| 2 | Kyle Schwarber | 0.0915 | 0.1214 | 24.3 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 0.0158 | 0.0617 | 23.1 |
| 4 | Brandon Drury | 0.0400 | 0.0707 | 21.1 |
| 5 | Albert Pujols | 0.0417 | 0.0930 | 20.3 |
| 6 | Nick Castellanos | 0.0743 | 0.0328 | 19.6 |
| 7 | Elvis Andrus | 0.0119 | 0.0384 | 19.0 |
| 8 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.0818 | 0.1170 | 18.8 |
| 9 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0500 | 0.0763 | 18.3 |
| 10 | César Hernández | 0.0362 | 0.0022 | 17.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0895 | 0.0299 | 25.3 |
| 2 | Kyle Schwarber | 0.0935 | 0.1214 | 25.1 |
| 3 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0431 | 0.0763 | 24.0 |
| 4 | Mike Trout | 0.1011 | 0.1333 | 20.9 |
| 5 | Jack Suwinski | 0.0431 | 0.0892 | 20.8 |
| 6 | Byron Buxton | 0.0815 | 0.1244 | 20.1 |
| 7 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.0822 | 0.1170 | 20.1 |
| 8 | Rowdy Tellez | 0.0615 | 0.0852 | 20.0 |
| 9 | Isaac Paredes | 0.0331 | 0.0752 | 19.7 |
| 10 | Brandon Drury | 0.0471 | 0.0707 | 19.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Drury | 0.0431 | 0.0707 | 22.1 |
| 2 | Albert Pujols | 0.0431 | 0.0930 | 21.5 |
| 3 | Byron Buxton | 0.0799 | 0.1244 | 21.4 |
| 4 | Mike Trout | 0.1023 | 0.1333 | 21.2 |
| 5 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1046 | 0.0493 | 20.8 |
| 6 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0541 | 0.0763 | 18.8 |
| 7 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.0984 | 0.0608 | 18.4 |
| 8 | Ian Happ | 0.0797 | 0.0397 | 18.3 |
| 9 | César Hernández | 0.0431 | 0.0022 | 18.2 |
| 10 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 0.0610 | 0.0134 | 17.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0872 | 0.0299 | 23.1 |
| 2 | Mike Trout | 0.1012 | 0.1333 | 21.9 |
| 3 | Byron Buxton | 0.0800 | 0.1244 | 21.5 |
| 4 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1043 | 0.0493 | 20.4 |
| 5 | Michael Harris II | 0.0283 | 0.0617 | 19.9 |
| 6 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0540 | 0.0763 | 19.1 |
| 7 | Ian Happ | 0.0807 | 0.0397 | 18.7 |
| 8 | Brandon Drury | 0.0502 | 0.0707 | 18.3 |
| 9 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.0980 | 0.0608 | 17.9 |
| 10 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 0.0608 | 0.0134 | 17.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0870 | 0.0299 | 24.5 |
| 2 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1093 | 0.0493 | 24.2 |
| 3 | Ian Happ | 0.0828 | 0.0397 | 22.0 |
| 4 | Joey Gallo | 0.1617 | 0.1011 | 21.3 |
| 5 | Elvis Andrus | 0.0139 | 0.0384 | 19.2 |
| 6 | Byron Buxton | 0.0851 | 0.1244 | 18.4 |
| 7 | Christian Yelich | 0.0692 | 0.0337 | 17.9 |
| 8 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 0.0585 | 0.0134 | 17.9 |
| 9 | Albert Pujols | 0.0512 | 0.0930 | 17.8 |
| 10 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1141 | 0.0794 | 17.2 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2265 |
0.3135
(37.0)
|
0.3190
(38.7)
|
0.3107
(37.1)
|
0.3073
(35.9)
|
0.3080
(33.7)
|
| Dansby Swanson | 0.3478 |
0.3061
(32.6)
|
0.3035
(35.7)
|
0.2940
(39.0)
|
0.2941
(38.3)
|
0.3005
(37.7)
|
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.2154 |
0.2761
(33.3)
|
0.2787
(33.7)
|
0.2836
(39.5)
|
0.2803
(38.0)
|
0.2937
(42.8)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.3589 |
0.3032
(43.1)
|
0.3224
(30.8)
|
0.3067
(38.4)
|
0.3072
(37.5)
|
0.3174
(34.2)
|
| Manny Machado | 0.3373 |
0.2847
(37.2)
|
0.2869
(37.0)
|
0.2853
(34.9)
|
0.2840
(35.2)
|
0.2892
(35.4)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.3657 |
0.2989
(46.8)
|
0.3208
(33.8)
|
0.3098
(37.8)
|
0.3083
(38.2)
|
0.3154
(37.2)
|
| Jeff McNeil | 0.3526 |
0.2765
(47.8)
|
0.3067
(31.1)
|
0.3031
(30.4)
|
0.3015
(30.9)
|
0.3063
(31.3)
|
| Christian Walker | 0.2482 |
0.3000
(31.1)
|
0.3058
(33.7)
|
0.2948
(29.6)
|
0.2952
(30.5)
|
0.3057
(33.8)
|
| Andrés Giménez | 0.3496 |
0.2849
(38.9)
|
0.2905
(36.8)
|
0.2926
(32.9)
|
0.2911
(33.3)
|
0.3035
(29.5)
|
| Juan Soto | 0.2488 |
0.3204
(44.2)
|
0.3234
(44.9)
|
0.3165
(43.5)
|
0.3154
(43.4)
|
0.3316
(50.5)
|
| José Abreu | 0.3500 |
0.2972
(39.4)
|
0.3081
(33.2)
|
0.2944
(39.2)
|
0.2937
(39.2)
|
0.2995
(38.9)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.2475 | 0.3022 | 37.6 |
| 2 | MJ Melendez | 0.3333 | 0.2579 | 37.6 |
| 3 | Francisco Lindor | 0.2560 | 0.3013 | 35.5 |
| 4 | Harold Ramírez | 0.2755 | 0.3495 | 34.4 |
| 5 | Nathaniel Lowe | 0.3156 | 0.3628 | 33.7 |
| 6 | Kyle Schwarber | 0.2953 | 0.2402 | 33.4 |
| 7 | Ian Happ | 0.2892 | 0.3358 | 33.1 |
| 8 | Yandy Díaz | 0.2711 | 0.3235 | 32.1 |
| 9 | Steven Kwan | 0.2772 | 0.3221 | 31.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corey Seager | 0.3138 | 0.2424 | 42.7 |
| 2 | Ian Happ | 0.2867 | 0.3358 | 35.9 |
| 3 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.2891 | 0.3451 | 35.3 |
| 4 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.3100 | 0.2343 | 35.0 |
| 5 | Taylor Walls | 0.3000 | 0.2183 | 34.8 |
| 6 | Yoán Moncada | 0.3503 | 0.2637 | 34.5 |
| 7 | Michael Harris II | 0.2891 | 0.3599 | 34.3 |
| 8 | Myles Straw | 0.3232 | 0.2599 | 33.6 |
| 9 | Trent Grisham | 0.2941 | 0.2253 | 32.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corey Seager | 0.3106 | 0.2424 | 43.7 |
| 2 | Myles Straw | 0.3203 | 0.2599 | 34.7 |
| 3 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.3094 | 0.3619 | 34.5 |
| 4 | Nathaniel Lowe | 0.3141 | 0.3628 | 32.8 |
| 5 | Michael Harris II | 0.2891 | 0.3599 | 32.2 |
| 6 | Taylor Walls | 0.2883 | 0.2183 | 31.6 |
| 7 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.2947 | 0.2343 | 29.7 |
| 8 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.2573 | 0.3022 | 29.6 |
| 9 | Trent Grisham | 0.2838 | 0.2253 | 29.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corey Seager | 0.3117 | 0.2424 | 45.1 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 0.2733 | 0.3599 | 38.8 |
| 3 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.3087 | 0.3619 | 34.4 |
| 4 | Myles Straw | 0.3181 | 0.2599 | 33.9 |
| 5 | Taylor Walls | 0.2885 | 0.2183 | 32.1 |
| 6 | Nathaniel Lowe | 0.3152 | 0.3628 | 31.6 |
| 7 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.2969 | 0.2343 | 31.3 |
| 8 | Ian Happ | 0.2897 | 0.3358 | 30.4 |
| 9 | Trayce Thompson | 0.2601 | 0.3739 | 29.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Myles Straw | 0.3365 | 0.2599 | 41.6 |
| 2 | Corey Seager | 0.3119 | 0.2424 | 41.5 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 0.2866 | 0.3599 | 35.3 |
| 4 | Trent Grisham | 0.2968 | 0.2253 | 33.9 |
| 5 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.3165 | 0.3619 | 33.0 |
| 6 | Trayce Thompson | 0.2565 | 0.3739 | 31.7 |
| 7 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.2603 | 0.3022 | 30.6 |
| 8 | Taylor Walls | 0.2901 | 0.2183 | 30.3 |
| 9 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.2993 | 0.2343 | 29.7 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.2936 |
0.2326
(41.5)
|
0.2547
(26.8)
|
0.2370
(35.1)
|
0.2396
(33.3)
|
0.2507
(29.6)
|
| Dansby Swanson | 0.2723 |
0.2190
(39.4)
|
0.2168
(40.5)
|
0.2165
(37.4)
|
0.2127
(39.9)
|
0.2150
(42.0)
|
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.1543 |
0.2121
(32.7)
|
0.2049
(28.7)
|
0.2003
(28.9)
|
0.2023
(30.2)
|
0.2168
(35.6)
|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.1689 |
0.2322
(30.6)
|
0.2399
(34.8)
|
0.2351
(34.8)
|
0.2264
(30.5)
|
0.2320
(30.6)
|
| Ketel Marte | 0.1615 |
0.2304
(36.6)
|
0.2310
(37.3)
|
0.2378
(43.8)
|
0.2207
(34.4)
|
0.2219
(32.1)
|
| Andrés Giménez | 0.2710 |
0.2122
(34.6)
|
0.2190
(30.4)
|
0.2063
(34.8)
|
0.2127
(31.2)
|
0.2236
(28.1)
|
| Carlos Correa | 0.2742 |
0.2240
(31.5)
|
0.2292
(28.1)
|
0.2126
(35.1)
|
0.2171
(32.3)
|
0.2211
(33.1)
|
| José Abreu | 0.2667 |
0.2222
(32.4)
|
0.2267
(28.9)
|
0.2038
(41.3)
|
0.2150
(33.5)
|
0.2157
(36.6)
|
| Juan Soto | 0.1816 |
0.2431
(38.7)
|
0.2455
(40.6)
|
0.2252
(30.4)
|
0.2357
(37.5)
|
0.2494
(43.0)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Kwan | 0.2030 | 0.2584 | 37.5 |
| 2 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1908 | 0.2385 | 36.0 |
| 3 | Matt Olson | 0.2210 | 0.1683 | 34.6 |
| 4 | Kyle Schwarber | 0.2215 | 0.1682 | 33.5 |
| 5 | Harold Ramírez | 0.2041 | 0.2766 | 33.0 |
| 6 | Jeff McNeil | 0.2145 | 0.2671 | 32.9 |
| 7 | Patrick Wisdom | 0.2305 | 0.1667 | 32.3 |
| 8 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.2857 | 0.2236 | 31.5 |
| 9 | Freddie Freeman | 0.2225 | 0.2601 | 28.9 |
| 10 | Cal Raleigh | 0.2037 | 0.1327 | 28.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2257 | 0.2831 | 31.3 |
| 2 | Taylor Walls | 0.2167 | 0.1479 | 30.8 |
| 3 | Alejandro Kirk | 0.1981 | 0.2512 | 30.2 |
| 4 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.2060 | 0.1497 | 29.4 |
| 5 | Steven Kwan | 0.2165 | 0.2584 | 28.5 |
| 6 | Francisco Lindor | 0.2012 | 0.2385 | 28.2 |
| 7 | Patrick Wisdom | 0.2216 | 0.1667 | 27.9 |
| 8 | Isaac Paredes | 0.2057 | 0.1301 | 27.8 |
| 9 | Myles Straw | 0.2541 | 0.2048 | 27.8 |
| 10 | Leody Taveras | 0.1937 | 0.2711 | 27.3 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.2190 | 0.2738 | 33.3 |
| 2 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1906 | 0.2385 | 32.3 |
| 3 | Freddie Freeman | 0.2127 | 0.2601 | 32.0 |
| 4 | Miguel Cabrera | 0.2165 | 0.2905 | 31.1 |
| 5 | Taylor Walls | 0.2093 | 0.1479 | 29.6 |
| 6 | Isaac Paredes | 0.2023 | 0.1301 | 28.3 |
| 7 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2268 | 0.2831 | 28.2 |
| 8 | Alejandro Kirk | 0.1974 | 0.2512 | 28.0 |
| 9 | Myles Straw | 0.2492 | 0.2048 | 27.7 |
| 10 | Steven Kwan | 0.2139 | 0.2584 | 27.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.2205 | 0.2738 | 32.2 |
| 2 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1914 | 0.2385 | 31.6 |
| 3 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2239 | 0.2831 | 29.6 |
| 4 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.2013 | 0.1497 | 29.5 |
| 5 | Myles Straw | 0.2508 | 0.2048 | 28.8 |
| 6 | Taylor Walls | 0.2072 | 0.1479 | 28.7 |
| 7 | Isaac Paredes | 0.2029 | 0.1301 | 28.6 |
| 8 | Max Muncy | 0.1999 | 0.1526 | 28.1 |
| 9 | Corey Seager | 0.2250 | 0.1883 | 25.9 |
| 10 | Yuli Gurriel | 0.2214 | 0.1799 | 25.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Myles Straw | 0.2725 | 0.2048 | 38.5 |
| 2 | Alejandro Kirk | 0.1835 | 0.2512 | 38.3 |
| 3 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.2230 | 0.2738 | 33.9 |
| 4 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2225 | 0.2831 | 33.2 |
| 5 | Yuli Gurriel | 0.2376 | 0.1799 | 32.0 |
| 6 | Isaac Paredes | 0.2156 | 0.1301 | 31.4 |
| 7 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.2088 | 0.1497 | 30.7 |
| 8 | Taylor Ward | 0.2115 | 0.2577 | 27.7 |
| 9 | Taylor Walls | 0.2099 | 0.1479 | 27.5 |
| 10 | Willy Adames | 0.2418 | 0.1946 | 27.3 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson | 0.1058 |
0.0691
(26.8)
|
0.0742
(24.5)
|
0.0745
(24.4)
|
0.0706
(26.7)
|
0.0829
(17.6)
|
| Jose Altuve | 0.0944 |
0.0598
(21.9)
|
0.0668
(18.7)
|
0.0698
(17.0)
|
0.0649
(19.7)
|
0.0628
(20.5)
|
| Garrett Cooper | 0.1134 |
0.0699
(21.2)
|
0.0690
(22.4)
|
0.0656
(24.1)
|
0.0723
(20.7)
|
0.0619
(25.2)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1049 |
0.0661
(26.2)
|
0.0751
(21.6)
|
0.0696
(25.3)
|
0.0727
(22.9)
|
0.0718
(23.0)
|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.1159 |
0.0633
(25.4)
|
0.0671
(24.6)
|
0.0680
(24.2)
|
0.0639
(25.9)
|
0.0618
(26.5)
|
| Corey Seager | 0.0519 |
0.0844
(20.5)
|
0.0862
(20.4)
|
0.0803
(16.4)
|
0.0788
(15.8)
|
0.0842
(19.9)
|
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.1061 |
0.0741
(17.9)
|
0.0773
(17.2)
|
0.0624
(25.2)
|
0.0688
(21.5)
|
0.0739
(18.4)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Turner | 0.0481 | 0.0963 | 26.5 |
| 2 | Victor Robles | 0.0909 | 0.0369 | 21.3 |
| 3 | Yuli Gurriel | 0.0536 | 0.0857 | 19.7 |
| 4 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0831 | 0.0505 | 19.0 |
| 5 | Andrew Velazquez | 0.0952 | 0.0394 | 18.9 |
| 6 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.0756 | 0.1087 | 18.5 |
| 7 | Trayce Thompson | 0.0556 | 0.1217 | 17.3 |
| 8 | Yandy Díaz | 0.0524 | 0.0815 | 17.1 |
| 9 | Jesse Winker | 0.0763 | 0.0439 | 16.9 |
| 10 | Sean Murphy | 0.0664 | 0.0923 | 16.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Happ | 0.0717 | 0.1022 | 21.7 |
| 2 | Geraldo Perdomo | 0.0759 | 0.0297 | 21.4 |
| 3 | Justin Turner | 0.0618 | 0.0963 | 20.2 |
| 4 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.0749 | 0.1087 | 19.9 |
| 5 | Manny Machado | 0.0628 | 0.0892 | 19.2 |
| 6 | Jesse Winker | 0.0811 | 0.0439 | 18.5 |
| 7 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0824 | 0.0505 | 17.5 |
| 8 | Freddie Freeman | 0.0738 | 0.0948 | 17.3 |
| 9 | Nolan Arenado | 0.0677 | 0.0915 | 16.9 |
| 10 | Austin Riley | 0.0737 | 0.0944 | 16.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Happ | 0.0655 | 0.1022 | 25.8 |
| 2 | Ketel Marte | 0.0670 | 0.1094 | 25.7 |
| 3 | Jesse Winker | 0.0874 | 0.0439 | 21.8 |
| 4 | David Peralta | 0.0533 | 0.0940 | 21.7 |
| 5 | Nolan Arenado | 0.0616 | 0.0915 | 20.8 |
| 6 | Nick Senzel | 0.0911 | 0.0428 | 18.8 |
| 7 | Victor Robles | 0.0866 | 0.0369 | 18.8 |
| 8 | J.D. Martinez | 0.0870 | 0.1138 | 18.1 |
| 9 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.0728 | 0.0299 | 17.7 |
| 10 | Austin Riley | 0.0730 | 0.0944 | 17.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Happ | 0.0730 | 0.1022 | 20.7 |
| 2 | J.D. Martinez | 0.0851 | 0.1138 | 18.9 |
| 3 | Nolan Arenado | 0.0641 | 0.0915 | 18.9 |
| 4 | Michael A. Taylor | 0.0762 | 0.0332 | 18.2 |
| 5 | Michael Harris II | 0.0554 | 0.0934 | 18.1 |
| 6 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.0725 | 0.0299 | 17.9 |
| 7 | Mike Trout | 0.0755 | 0.1077 | 17.6 |
| 8 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.0790 | 0.1087 | 17.5 |
| 9 | Justin Turner | 0.0666 | 0.0963 | 17.4 |
| 10 | Manny Machado | 0.0655 | 0.0892 | 17.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Turner | 0.0521 | 0.0963 | 24.7 |
| 2 | Ian Happ | 0.0758 | 0.1022 | 18.4 |
| 3 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.0767 | 0.1087 | 18.3 |
| 4 | J.D. Martinez | 0.0863 | 0.1138 | 17.7 |
| 5 | Nolan Arenado | 0.0652 | 0.0915 | 17.7 |
| 6 | Manny Machado | 0.0650 | 0.0892 | 17.0 |
| 7 | Yuli Gurriel | 0.0588 | 0.0857 | 17.0 |
| 8 | Ketel Marte | 0.0816 | 0.1094 | 16.7 |
| 9 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.0692 | 0.0299 | 16.7 |
| 10 | Christian Walker | 0.0860 | 0.0591 | 16.4 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodolfo Castro | 0.0237 |
0.0000
(6.6)
|
0.0063
(5.1)
|
0.0037
(5.7)
|
0.0046
(5.5)
|
0.0065
(5.2)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Thomas | 0.0227 | 0.0033 | 7.9 |
| 2 | Jorge Mateo | 0.0074 | 0.0205 | 7.2 |
| 3 | Gavin Lux | 0.0084 | 0.0217 | 6.4 |
| 4 | Matt Chapman | 0.0122 | 0.0029 | 5.6 |
| 5 | Luis Rengifo | 0.0000 | 0.0102 | 5.3 |
| 6 | Nick Senzel | 0.0123 | 0.0000 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.0072 | 0.0000 | 4.9 |
| 8 | Edmundo Sosa | 0.0063 | 0.0317 | 4.9 |
| 9 | Geraldo Perdomo | 0.0159 | 0.0059 | 4.8 |
| 10 | Starling Marte | 0.0049 | 0.0142 | 4.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorge Mateo | 0.0050 | 0.0205 | 8.7 |
| 2 | Steven Kwan | 0.0055 | 0.0139 | 5.9 |
| 3 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.0055 | 0.0136 | 5.7 |
| 4 | TJ Friedl | 0.0068 | 0.0273 | 5.5 |
| 5 | Christopher Morel | 0.0055 | 0.0173 | 5.4 |
| 6 | Oneil Cruz | 0.0075 | 0.0212 | 5.2 |
| 7 | Gavin Lux | 0.0116 | 0.0217 | 5.2 |
| 8 | Kyle Tucker | 0.0115 | 0.0024 | 5.0 |
| 9 | Tyler Naquin | 0.0055 | 0.0193 | 4.9 |
| 10 | Kevin Kiermaier | 0.0228 | 0.0000 | 4.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Thomas | 0.0221 | 0.0033 | 7.4 |
| 2 | Jorge Mateo | 0.0094 | 0.0205 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Gavin Lux | 0.0108 | 0.0217 | 5.4 |
| 4 | Luis Arraez | 0.0115 | 0.0020 | 5.3 |
| 5 | Geraldo Perdomo | 0.0167 | 0.0059 | 5.0 |
| 6 | Kyle Schwarber | 0.0027 | 0.0090 | 4.7 |
| 7 | Starling Marte | 0.0056 | 0.0142 | 4.7 |
| 8 | Tyler Naquin | 0.0061 | 0.0193 | 4.7 |
| 9 | Connor Joe | 0.0040 | 0.0133 | 4.6 |
| 10 | Brett Phillips | 0.0209 | 0.0000 | 4.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Thomas | 0.0222 | 0.0033 | 7.5 |
| 2 | Jorge Mateo | 0.0094 | 0.0205 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Gavin Lux | 0.0107 | 0.0217 | 5.5 |
| 4 | Luis Arraez | 0.0113 | 0.0020 | 5.2 |
| 5 | Tyler Naquin | 0.0058 | 0.0193 | 4.7 |
| 6 | Kyle Schwarber | 0.0026 | 0.0090 | 4.7 |
| 7 | Starling Marte | 0.0057 | 0.0142 | 4.6 |
| 8 | Adolis García | 0.0061 | 0.0125 | 4.6 |
| 9 | Geraldo Perdomo | 0.0158 | 0.0059 | 4.6 |
| 10 | Connor Joe | 0.0042 | 0.0133 | 4.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Thomas | 0.0233 | 0.0033 | 7.6 |
| 2 | Brett Phillips | 0.0339 | 0.0000 | 7.3 |
| 3 | Trevor Story | 0.0162 | 0.0000 | 5.8 |
| 4 | Andrew Velazquez | 0.0175 | 0.0000 | 5.6 |
| 5 | Kevin Kiermaier | 0.0258 | 0.0000 | 5.4 |
| 6 | Nick Senzel | 0.0135 | 0.0000 | 5.0 |
| 7 | Francisco Lindor | 0.0050 | 0.0105 | 4.9 |
| 8 | Connor Joe | 0.0043 | 0.0133 | 4.9 |
| 9 | Ketel Marte | 0.0153 | 0.0052 | 4.8 |
| 10 | Matt Chapman | 0.0121 | 0.0029 | 4.8 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | 0.1701 |
0.1017
(33.9)
|
0.1144
(29.8)
|
0.1144
(31.2)
|
0.1052
(33.3)
|
0.1385
(18.4)
|
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.0399 |
0.1292
(30.4)
|
0.1372
(32.1)
|
0.1452
(34.0)
|
0.1382
(32.9)
|
0.1306
(30.3)
|
| Brandon Drury | 0.1532 |
0.1143
(26.9)
|
0.1008
(36.4)
|
0.1144
(30.6)
|
0.1145
(28.0)
|
0.1070
(32.0)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.1911 |
0.1644
(24.5)
|
0.1483
(38.0)
|
0.1686
(26.1)
|
0.1572
(31.0)
|
0.1478
(37.2)
|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1332 |
0.2018
(32.1)
|
0.1805
(18.9)
|
0.1913
(22.9)
|
0.1851
(22.0)
|
0.1887
(24.2)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miguel Rojas | 0.1420 | 0.0671 | 33.7 |
| 2 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1926 | 0.1351 | 32.7 |
| 3 | Jesse Winker | 0.1599 | 0.0932 | 31.9 |
| 4 | Bo Bichette | 0.1837 | 0.1306 | 31.1 |
| 5 | Adley Rutschman | 0.0917 | 0.1489 | 30.9 |
| 6 | Elvis Andrus | 0.0736 | 0.1144 | 28.4 |
| 7 | Nick Castellanos | 0.1583 | 0.1004 | 27.6 |
| 8 | Luis Arraez | 0.1107 | 0.1459 | 26.3 |
| 9 | Jonathan India | 0.1805 | 0.1114 | 26.2 |
| 10 | Jared Walsh | 0.1550 | 0.0903 | 25.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.1144 | 0.1500 | 26.5 |
| 2 | Steven Kwan | 0.1144 | 0.1395 | 23.5 |
| 3 | Yonathan Daza | 0.0951 | 0.1373 | 22.0 |
| 4 | Nick Castellanos | 0.1515 | 0.1004 | 22.0 |
| 5 | Adley Rutschman | 0.1144 | 0.1489 | 21.8 |
| 6 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1413 | 0.1628 | 21.7 |
| 7 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.1322 | 0.1516 | 20.9 |
| 8 | Jesse Winker | 0.1432 | 0.0932 | 20.9 |
| 9 | Tommy Pham | 0.1235 | 0.1431 | 19.5 |
| 10 | Miguel Rojas | 0.1172 | 0.0671 | 19.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1792 | 0.1275 | 25.9 |
| 2 | Tommy Edman | 0.1257 | 0.1508 | 25.3 |
| 3 | Adolis García | 0.1135 | 0.1339 | 23.3 |
| 4 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.1278 | 0.1500 | 20.8 |
| 5 | Juan Soto | 0.1859 | 0.1401 | 20.5 |
| 6 | Adley Rutschman | 0.1215 | 0.1489 | 20.0 |
| 7 | Jake McCarthy | 0.1112 | 0.1497 | 19.0 |
| 8 | Charlie Blackmon | 0.1515 | 0.1040 | 18.8 |
| 9 | Matt Olson | 0.1643 | 0.1230 | 18.3 |
| 10 | Keibert Ruiz | 0.1336 | 0.0762 | 18.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy Edman | 0.1231 | 0.1508 | 24.2 |
| 2 | Dansby Swanson | 0.1224 | 0.1422 | 21.3 |
| 3 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1680 | 0.1275 | 21.0 |
| 4 | Adolis García | 0.1146 | 0.1339 | 19.7 |
| 5 | Luis Arraez | 0.1239 | 0.1459 | 19.7 |
| 6 | Jose Altuve | 0.1487 | 0.1705 | 19.7 |
| 7 | Jesse Winker | 0.1397 | 0.0932 | 19.6 |
| 8 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.1260 | 0.0769 | 19.4 |
| 9 | Juan Soto | 0.1795 | 0.1401 | 19.0 |
| 10 | Miguel Cabrera | 0.1122 | 0.0577 | 18.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Peña | 0.0894 | 0.1290 | 27.8 |
| 2 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1754 | 0.1275 | 26.7 |
| 3 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1328 | 0.1628 | 26.1 |
| 4 | Manny Machado | 0.1295 | 0.1553 | 23.1 |
| 5 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.1283 | 0.1516 | 22.4 |
| 6 | Yonathan Daza | 0.0966 | 0.1373 | 20.7 |
| 7 | Juan Soto | 0.1793 | 0.1401 | 19.3 |
| 8 | Travis d'Arnaud | 0.1081 | 0.1432 | 19.3 |
| 9 | Nick Castellanos | 0.1443 | 0.1004 | 18.9 |
| 10 | Luis Arraez | 0.1250 | 0.1459 | 18.7 |
RBI Rate
Everybody Missed for RBI Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames | 0.1588 |
0.1143
(32.8)
|
0.1151
(33.7)
|
0.1256
(29.2)
|
0.1318
(26.3)
|
0.1182
(32.4)
|
| Connor Joe | 0.0600 |
0.1353
(31.1)
|
0.1377
(31.2)
|
0.1235
(23.1)
|
0.1219
(21.6)
|
0.1270
(25.8)
|
| Juan Soto | 0.0934 |
0.1724
(46.7)
|
0.1510
(31.0)
|
0.1564
(32.4)
|
0.1578
(32.5)
|
0.1778
(48.2)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1767 |
0.1109
(48.5)
|
0.1341
(34.8)
|
0.1324
(38.0)
|
0.1359
(36.6)
|
0.1328
(36.3)
|
Individual Misses for RBI Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Judge | 0.1336 | 0.1882 | 44.1 |
| 2 | José Abreu | 0.1780 | 0.1105 | 39.9 |
| 3 | Jared Walsh | 0.1856 | 0.0969 | 36.3 |
| 4 | J.D. Martinez | 0.1715 | 0.1040 | 35.0 |
| 5 | Albert Pujols | 0.1031 | 0.1937 | 34.9 |
| 6 | Cal Raleigh | 0.0778 | 0.1518 | 34.3 |
| 7 | Christian Yelich | 0.1438 | 0.0849 | 33.7 |
| 8 | Kyle Tucker | 0.1299 | 0.1757 | 33.2 |
| 9 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.1757 | 0.1157 | 32.4 |
| 10 | Elvis Andrus | 0.0552 | 0.1005 | 31.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Judge | 0.1445 | 0.1882 | 38.0 |
| 2 | José Abreu | 0.1758 | 0.1105 | 37.0 |
| 3 | Pete Alonso | 0.1502 | 0.1912 | 35.6 |
| 4 | Josh Naylor | 0.0991 | 0.1586 | 35.1 |
| 5 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1145 | 0.1516 | 33.9 |
| 6 | Brandon Drury | 0.1048 | 0.1532 | 33.7 |
| 7 | José Ramírez | 0.1550 | 0.1839 | 27.3 |
| 8 | Christian Walker | 0.1171 | 0.1409 | 23.2 |
| 9 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.1568 | 0.1006 | 22.9 |
| 10 | Cal Raleigh | 0.1075 | 0.1518 | 22.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albert Pujols | 0.1092 | 0.1937 | 34.6 |
| 2 | Brandon Drury | 0.1092 | 0.1532 | 33.0 |
| 3 | José Ramírez | 0.1544 | 0.1839 | 29.9 |
| 4 | Aaron Judge | 0.1613 | 0.1882 | 28.5 |
| 5 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1919 | 0.1374 | 28.5 |
| 6 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1709 | 0.0994 | 27.2 |
| 7 | Joc Pederson | 0.1176 | 0.1617 | 25.2 |
| 8 | César Hernández | 0.1092 | 0.0551 | 24.7 |
| 9 | Jared Walsh | 0.1653 | 0.0969 | 24.6 |
| 10 | Matt Carpenter | 0.1000 | 0.2403 | 23.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Ramírez | 0.1550 | 0.1839 | 30.5 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 0.0979 | 0.1451 | 27.7 |
| 3 | Aaron Judge | 0.1644 | 0.1882 | 27.4 |
| 4 | Brandon Drury | 0.1221 | 0.1532 | 26.5 |
| 5 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1891 | 0.1374 | 25.5 |
| 6 | Albert Pujols | 0.1369 | 0.1937 | 25.4 |
| 7 | Matt Carpenter | 0.1016 | 0.2403 | 23.7 |
| 8 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1649 | 0.0994 | 23.6 |
| 9 | Spencer Torkelson | 0.1421 | 0.0693 | 23.1 |
| 10 | Christian Yelich | 0.1348 | 0.0849 | 23.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.1775 | 0.1105 | 37.5 |
| 2 | Josh Bell | 0.1761 | 0.1097 | 35.2 |
| 3 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1794 | 0.0994 | 32.2 |
| 4 | Jared Walsh | 0.1796 | 0.0969 | 32.2 |
| 5 | Josh Naylor | 0.1127 | 0.1586 | 28.8 |
| 6 | Matt Olson | 0.1997 | 0.1474 | 28.3 |
| 7 | Max Muncy | 0.1837 | 0.1221 | 28.1 |
| 8 | Adam Duvall | 0.2148 | 0.1143 | 27.9 |
| 9 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1263 | 0.1516 | 26.2 |
| 10 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.1641 | 0.1006 | 26.2 |
Stolen Base Rate
Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli White | 0.4444 |
0.0714
(42.8)
|
0.0725
(42.9)
|
0.0881
(41.4)
|
0.0887
(41.1)
|
0.0920
(41.4)
|
| Jorge Mateo | 0.3646 |
0.1548
(108.0)
|
0.1324
(120.9)
|
0.1683
(103.3)
|
0.1683
(102.5)
|
0.2073
(84.3)
|
| Adolis García | 0.1908 |
0.0952
(58.1)
|
0.1058
(52.4)
|
0.1141
(48.7)
|
0.1096
(50.7)
|
0.1238
(44.6)
|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.2177 |
0.0993
(71.7)
|
0.1119
(64.7)
|
0.1217
(60.2)
|
0.1215
(59.4)
|
0.1389
(51.4)
|
| Marcus Semien | 0.1582 |
0.0483
(74.4)
|
0.0735
(57.4)
|
0.0679
(63.5)
|
0.0679
(62.5)
|
0.0788
(58.2)
|
| Jon Berti | 0.3832 |
0.1136
(106.0)
|
0.1304
(99.9)
|
0.1205
(105.1)
|
0.1222
(103.8)
|
0.1529
(93.4)
|
| Billy Hamilton | 3.3333 |
0.2857
(69.9)
|
0.2281
(71.3)
|
0.0592
(75.2)
|
0.2279
(71.3)
|
0.3276
(69.2)
|
Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.T. Realmuto | 0.0414 | 0.1511 | 57.6 |
| 2 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.1356 | 0.2326 | 56.8 |
| 3 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0833 | 0.1825 | 51.5 |
| 4 | Brendan Donovan | 0.1111 | 0.0127 | 49.4 |
| 5 | Jose Altuve | 0.0274 | 0.1078 | 44.2 |
| 6 | Cedric Mullins | 0.1429 | 0.2112 | 41.1 |
| 7 | Tim Locastro | 0.1190 | 1.0000 | 40.2 |
| 8 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.0650 | 0.1408 | 38.4 |
| 9 | Bo Bichette | 0.1266 | 0.0793 | 38.0 |
| 10 | Nico Hoerner | 0.0721 | 0.1515 | 37.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.0592 | 0.2326 | 106.2 |
| 2 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0592 | 0.1825 | 66.0 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 0.0592 | 0.2000 | 59.7 |
| 4 | Bubba Thompson | 0.0592 | 0.3750 | 56.2 |
| 5 | Jake McCarthy | 0.0877 | 0.2473 | 54.6 |
| 6 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1395 | 0.0659 | 52.6 |
| 7 | Thairo Estrada | 0.0615 | 0.1544 | 47.3 |
| 8 | Josh Rojas | 0.0661 | 0.1631 | 46.7 |
| 9 | Andrew Velazquez | 0.1346 | 0.2656 | 43.8 |
| 10 | Harrison Bader | 0.0928 | 0.2297 | 41.2 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.1325 | 0.2326 | 61.6 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 0.0592 | 0.2000 | 60.9 |
| 3 | Bubba Thompson | 0.0592 | 0.3750 | 56.7 |
| 4 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1476 | 0.0659 | 56.2 |
| 5 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0802 | 0.1825 | 55.8 |
| 6 | Thairo Estrada | 0.0572 | 0.1544 | 51.2 |
| 7 | Kyle Tucker | 0.0971 | 0.1773 | 47.3 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 0.0700 | 0.1511 | 44.1 |
| 9 | Harrison Bader | 0.0874 | 0.2297 | 43.7 |
| 10 | Cody Bellinger | 0.0633 | 0.1443 | 43.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.1342 | 0.2326 | 59.6 |
| 2 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.0795 | 0.1825 | 55.4 |
| 3 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1434 | 0.0659 | 54.3 |
| 4 | Thairo Estrada | 0.0600 | 0.1544 | 48.9 |
| 5 | Kyle Tucker | 0.0989 | 0.1773 | 45.3 |
| 6 | Bubba Thompson | 0.1283 | 0.3750 | 43.9 |
| 7 | Cody Bellinger | 0.0605 | 0.1443 | 43.9 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 0.0702 | 0.1511 | 43.2 |
| 9 | Michael Harris II | 0.0988 | 0.2000 | 42.8 |
| 10 | Harrison Bader | 0.0897 | 0.2297 | 42.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Gordon | 0.1975 | 0.0612 | 60.0 |
| 2 | Thairo Estrada | 0.0568 | 0.1544 | 53.3 |
| 3 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1458 | 0.0659 | 52.6 |
| 4 | Bo Bichette | 0.1543 | 0.0793 | 51.7 |
| 5 | Michael A. Taylor | 0.1354 | 0.0333 | 46.1 |
| 6 | Byron Buxton | 0.2000 | 0.0822 | 44.6 |
| 7 | J.T. Realmuto | 0.0763 | 0.1511 | 42.5 |
| 8 | Starling Marte | 0.2230 | 0.1385 | 42.2 |
| 9 | Harrison Bader | 0.0971 | 0.2297 | 41.8 |
| 10 | Nico Hoerner | 0.0769 | 0.1515 | 39.0 |
Batting Average
Everybody Missed for Batting Average
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham | 0.1840 |
0.2395
(27.4)
|
0.2442
(26.4)
|
0.2480
(28.4)
|
0.2472
(28.2)
|
0.2464
(27.6)
|
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.3019 |
0.2425
(40.3)
|
0.2580
(34.6)
|
0.2574
(35.0)
|
0.2581
(34.3)
|
0.2648
(30.1)
|
| Michael Harris II | 0.2971 |
0.2353
(28.6)
|
0.2427
(28.3)
|
0.2427
(28.3)
|
0.2286
(34.3)
|
0.2416
(28.7)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.3252 |
0.2757
(37.2)
|
0.2951
(28.2)
|
0.2940
(29.0)
|
0.2918
(30.3)
|
0.2933
(29.4)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.3173 |
0.2585
(40.3)
|
0.2784
(31.7)
|
0.2760
(33.2)
|
0.2744
(34.0)
|
0.2681
(38.3)
|
| Jeff McNeil | 0.3265 |
0.2526
(45.3)
|
0.2784
(34.1)
|
0.2805
(32.8)
|
0.2796
(33.1)
|
0.2817
(32.1)
|
| Andrés Giménez | 0.2974 |
0.2354
(36.2)
|
0.2389
(38.0)
|
0.2487
(32.6)
|
0.2470
(33.3)
|
0.2517
(30.8)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.3105 |
0.2626
(35.5)
|
0.2729
(33.0)
|
0.2744
(31.9)
|
0.2731
(32.6)
|
0.2762
(30.6)
|
| José Abreu | 0.3045 |
0.2587
(33.2)
|
0.2727
(28.2)
|
0.2614
(35.9)
|
0.2594
(37.0)
|
0.2641
(34.0)
|
| Juan Soto | 0.2424 |
0.2970
(34.2)
|
0.2958
(29.0)
|
0.3120
(39.8)
|
0.3117
(39.8)
|
0.3136
(40.9)
|
Individual Misses for Batting Average
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yandy Díaz | 0.2406 | 0.2960 | 32.7 |
| 2 | Steven Kwan | 0.2531 | 0.2984 | 30.9 |
| 3 | Mark Canha | 0.2125 | 0.2662 | 30.8 |
| 4 | Jose Altuve | 0.2536 | 0.2998 | 29.8 |
| 5 | Nolan Arenado | 0.2496 | 0.2926 | 28.6 |
| 6 | Francisco Lindor | 0.2330 | 0.2698 | 28.2 |
| 7 | Ketel Marte | 0.2927 | 0.2398 | 27.8 |
| 8 | Ian Happ | 0.2306 | 0.2705 | 27.6 |
| 9 | Harold Ramírez | 0.2400 | 0.3002 | 27.6 |
| 10 | Luis Arraez | 0.2754 | 0.3163 | 26.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Kwan | 0.2427 | 0.2984 | 41.8 |
| 2 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.2682 | 0.2017 | 29.0 |
| 3 | Ketel Marte | 0.3008 | 0.2398 | 28.5 |
| 4 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.2427 | 0.2838 | 28.5 |
| 5 | Jesse Winker | 0.2793 | 0.2193 | 27.5 |
| 6 | Ian Happ | 0.2384 | 0.2705 | 26.9 |
| 7 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2623 | 0.3037 | 26.7 |
| 8 | Luis Rengifo | 0.2230 | 0.2638 | 25.9 |
| 9 | Yandy Díaz | 0.2608 | 0.2960 | 25.1 |
| 10 | Jose Altuve | 0.2691 | 0.2998 | 24.5 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dansby Swanson | 0.2456 | 0.2766 | 28.4 |
| 2 | Max Muncy | 0.2534 | 0.1961 | 26.9 |
| 3 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2622 | 0.3037 | 26.7 |
| 4 | Taylor Ward | 0.2439 | 0.2808 | 26.3 |
| 5 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.2625 | 0.2017 | 26.0 |
| 6 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.2776 | 0.3070 | 24.7 |
| 7 | Nolan Arenado | 0.2630 | 0.2926 | 24.4 |
| 8 | Jake McCarthy | 0.2251 | 0.2835 | 24.1 |
| 9 | Corey Seager | 0.2905 | 0.2445 | 24.0 |
| 10 | Oscar Gonzalez | 0.2427 | 0.2956 | 24.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dansby Swanson | 0.2452 | 0.2766 | 28.3 |
| 2 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.2640 | 0.2017 | 27.0 |
| 3 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.2638 | 0.3037 | 25.7 |
| 4 | Max Muncy | 0.2507 | 0.1961 | 25.6 |
| 5 | Taylor Ward | 0.2455 | 0.2808 | 25.2 |
| 6 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.2767 | 0.3070 | 25.0 |
| 7 | Ian Happ | 0.2416 | 0.2705 | 24.6 |
| 8 | Nolan Arenado | 0.2624 | 0.2926 | 24.5 |
| 9 | Corey Seager | 0.2905 | 0.2445 | 24.3 |
| 10 | Jake McCarthy | 0.2245 | 0.2835 | 24.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.2654 | 0.2017 | 27.6 |
| 2 | Ian Happ | 0.2386 | 0.2705 | 26.6 |
| 3 | Dansby Swanson | 0.2496 | 0.2766 | 25.5 |
| 4 | Jake McCarthy | 0.2225 | 0.2835 | 25.0 |
| 5 | Corey Seager | 0.2912 | 0.2445 | 24.5 |
| 6 | Myles Straw | 0.2709 | 0.2206 | 24.2 |
| 7 | Nolan Arenado | 0.2633 | 0.2926 | 24.1 |
| 8 | Yandy Díaz | 0.2630 | 0.2960 | 23.8 |
| 9 | Alejandro Kirk | 0.2519 | 0.2851 | 23.2 |
| 10 | Taylor Ward | 0.2494 | 0.2808 | 23.2 |
On-Base Percentage
Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.3940 |
0.3333
(32.4)
|
0.3115
(45.2)
|
0.3301
(36.9)
|
0.3286
(37.3)
|
0.3130
(42.9)
|
| Jose Altuve | 0.3874 |
0.3213
(45.2)
|
0.3369
(39.0)
|
0.3508
(31.2)
|
0.3509
(30.7)
|
0.3403
(34.9)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.4037 |
0.3483
(41.7)
|
0.3593
(38.1)
|
0.3608
(37.6)
|
0.3583
(38.8)
|
0.3488
(42.7)
|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.2392 |
0.3107
(32.1)
|
0.3176
(32.8)
|
0.3093
(28.1)
|
0.3110
(29.4)
|
0.3066
(28.9)
|
| Yoán Moncada | 0.2731 |
0.3552
(31.8)
|
0.3557
(29.6)
|
0.3529
(28.0)
|
0.3534
(28.6)
|
0.3457
(26.7)
|
| Jeff McNeil | 0.3820 |
0.3302
(35.6)
|
0.3472
(28.8)
|
0.3470
(29.4)
|
0.3456
(29.8)
|
0.3458
(27.6)
|
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.4064 |
0.3491
(37.0)
|
0.3535
(37.6)
|
0.3582
(35.4)
|
0.3572
(35.6)
|
0.3664
(28.4)
|
| Andrés Giménez | 0.3707 |
0.2942
(47.4)
|
0.3089
(42.3)
|
0.3024
(46.4)
|
0.3012
(46.6)
|
0.3061
(42.0)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.4249 |
0.3499
(58.2)
|
0.3612
(54.1)
|
0.3699
(48.6)
|
0.3693
(48.5)
|
0.3687
(46.6)
|
| José Abreu | 0.3785 |
0.3404
(31.8)
|
0.3425
(34.1)
|
0.3339
(40.4)
|
0.3321
(41.2)
|
0.3306
(39.8)
|
Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yandy Díaz | 0.3275 | 0.4014 | 46.1 |
| 2 | Steven Kwan | 0.3197 | 0.3726 | 39.3 |
| 3 | Nolan Arenado | 0.3153 | 0.3581 | 31.9 |
| 4 | Freddie Freeman | 0.3716 | 0.4068 | 31.0 |
| 5 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.3432 | 0.2742 | 30.6 |
| 6 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.2932 | 0.3323 | 30.0 |
| 7 | Albert Pujols | 0.2680 | 0.3447 | 30.0 |
| 8 | Jared Walsh | 0.3430 | 0.2687 | 29.8 |
| 9 | Matt Olson | 0.3754 | 0.3247 | 29.4 |
| 10 | Harold Ramírez | 0.2857 | 0.3425 | 28.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Kwan | 0.3115 | 0.3726 | 48.0 |
| 2 | Yandy Díaz | 0.3514 | 0.4014 | 35.8 |
| 3 | Alejandro Kirk | 0.3279 | 0.3715 | 31.3 |
| 4 | Adley Rutschman | 0.3115 | 0.3617 | 30.3 |
| 5 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.3298 | 0.3731 | 29.9 |
| 6 | Ha-Seong Kim | 0.2906 | 0.3247 | 28.1 |
| 7 | Brandon Drury | 0.2851 | 0.3204 | 28.1 |
| 8 | Taylor Ward | 0.3252 | 0.3599 | 27.6 |
| 9 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.3115 | 0.3446 | 26.5 |
| 10 | Cody Bellinger | 0.3275 | 0.2655 | 26.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Bellinger | 0.3357 | 0.2655 | 30.4 |
| 2 | Adolis García | 0.2697 | 0.2998 | 29.6 |
| 3 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.3341 | 0.3731 | 28.1 |
| 4 | Abraham Toro | 0.3333 | 0.2386 | 28.1 |
| 5 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.3919 | 0.3385 | 27.2 |
| 6 | Yandy Díaz | 0.3683 | 0.4014 | 26.8 |
| 7 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.3417 | 0.2742 | 26.7 |
| 8 | Juan Soto | 0.4559 | 0.4012 | 26.4 |
| 9 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3056 | 0.3323 | 26.2 |
| 10 | Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.3115 | 0.3826 | 25.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Harris II | 0.2841 | 0.3386 | 30.3 |
| 2 | Cody Bellinger | 0.3329 | 0.2655 | 29.3 |
| 3 | Abraham Toro | 0.3349 | 0.2386 | 28.9 |
| 4 | Adolis García | 0.2709 | 0.2998 | 28.3 |
| 5 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.3923 | 0.3385 | 27.9 |
| 6 | Juan Soto | 0.4555 | 0.4012 | 26.6 |
| 7 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.3362 | 0.3731 | 26.6 |
| 8 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.3407 | 0.2742 | 26.6 |
| 9 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3050 | 0.3323 | 26.1 |
| 10 | Nolan Arenado | 0.3309 | 0.3581 | 25.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yandy Díaz | 0.3519 | 0.4014 | 33.7 |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 0.4607 | 0.4012 | 32.4 |
| 3 | Cody Bellinger | 0.3333 | 0.2655 | 31.4 |
| 4 | Alejandro Kirk | 0.3267 | 0.3715 | 30.1 |
| 5 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.3898 | 0.3385 | 28.6 |
| 6 | Matt Olson | 0.3752 | 0.3247 | 27.8 |
| 7 | Nolan Arenado | 0.3242 | 0.3581 | 27.6 |
| 8 | Albert Pujols | 0.2809 | 0.3447 | 26.2 |
| 9 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.3339 | 0.3731 | 26.0 |
| 10 | Steven Kwan | 0.3427 | 0.3726 | 26.0 |
Slugging Percentage
Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve | 0.5332 |
0.4239
(76.1)
|
0.4699
(59.8)
|
0.4765
(58.8)
|
0.4710
(62.2)
|
0.4659
(60.6)
|
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.4924 |
0.4163
(59.9)
|
0.4200
(69.7)
|
0.4508
(53.1)
|
0.4498
(53.8)
|
0.4426
(53.4)
|
| Michael Harris II | 0.5145 |
0.3294
(89.0)
|
0.3953
(68.3)
|
0.3953
(70.5)
|
0.3440
(93.2)
|
0.3804
(73.7)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5775 |
0.4453
(97.0)
|
0.4845
(83.7)
|
0.4882
(84.6)
|
0.4898
(83.7)
|
0.4620
(96.7)
|
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.2691 |
0.4508
(62.0)
|
0.4660
(60.6)
|
0.4718
(60.9)
|
0.4606
(56.7)
|
0.4640
(60.9)
|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5505 |
0.3258
(84.7)
|
0.4169
(59.4)
|
0.3953
(68.7)
|
0.4374
(54.0)
|
0.3953
(66.0)
|
| Christian Walker | 0.4768 |
0.3967
(64.6)
|
0.4293
(55.5)
|
0.4283
(59.5)
|
0.4381
(53.1)
|
0.4276
(54.9)
|
| Brandon Drury | 0.4923 |
0.4063
(58.4)
|
0.3930
(76.6)
|
0.3953
(78.2)
|
0.4174
(65.7)
|
0.4116
(64.6)
|
| Matt Carpenter | 0.7266 |
0.3051
(67.5)
|
0.3521
(63.2)
|
0.3624
(62.3)
|
0.3607
(62.6)
|
0.3642
(60.9)
|
| Aaron Judge | 0.6860 |
0.5000
(141.1)
|
0.5175
(142.1)
|
0.5419
(128.5)
|
0.5393
(130.4)
|
0.5383
(125.8)
|
Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.5653 | 0.4133 | 72.1 |
| 2 | Jesse Winker | 0.4780 | 0.3443 | 64.0 |
| 3 | Nolan Arenado | 0.4485 | 0.5332 | 62.9 |
| 4 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.5189 | 0.6128 | 62.0 |
| 5 | Elvis Andrus | 0.3144 | 0.4037 | 61.2 |
| 6 | Nick Castellanos | 0.5133 | 0.3893 | 59.9 |
| 7 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.4238 | 0.5088 | 57.0 |
| 8 | Joc Pederson | 0.4084 | 0.5211 | 56.0 |
| 9 | Mookie Betts | 0.4636 | 0.5332 | 55.1 |
| 10 | Cal Raleigh | 0.3739 | 0.4892 | 54.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.3953 | 0.5088 | 83.5 |
| 2 | Nelson Cruz | 0.5289 | 0.3371 | 79.2 |
| 3 | Jesse Winker | 0.5012 | 0.3443 | 66.4 |
| 4 | Geraldo Perdomo | 0.4300 | 0.2622 | 66.1 |
| 5 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.5308 | 0.6128 | 66.0 |
| 6 | Andrés Giménez | 0.3857 | 0.4664 | 64.8 |
| 7 | Cal Raleigh | 0.3740 | 0.4892 | 62.6 |
| 8 | Luis Rengifo | 0.3525 | 0.4294 | 57.5 |
| 9 | Austin Riley | 0.4823 | 0.5285 | 56.7 |
| 10 | Taylor Ward | 0.4110 | 0.4727 | 54.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Soto | 0.6025 | 0.4523 | 72.7 |
| 2 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.6172 | 0.4796 | 68.4 |
| 3 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.5760 | 0.4133 | 65.1 |
| 4 | Nolan Arenado | 0.4786 | 0.5332 | 59.0 |
| 5 | Joc Pederson | 0.4270 | 0.5211 | 58.3 |
| 6 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.5516 | 0.6128 | 57.1 |
| 7 | Mike Trout | 0.5571 | 0.6301 | 56.7 |
| 8 | Franmil Reyes | 0.5177 | 0.3653 | 52.9 |
| 9 | Max Muncy | 0.5177 | 0.3836 | 52.8 |
| 10 | Adolis García | 0.4185 | 0.4562 | 51.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.5124 | 0.3371 | 68.3 |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 0.5945 | 0.4523 | 67.3 |
| 3 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.5797 | 0.4133 | 67.0 |
| 4 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.6115 | 0.4796 | 64.3 |
| 5 | Mike Trout | 0.5513 | 0.6301 | 59.7 |
| 6 | Nolan Arenado | 0.4817 | 0.5332 | 57.2 |
| 7 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.5540 | 0.6128 | 55.8 |
| 8 | Andrés Giménez | 0.4109 | 0.4664 | 53.6 |
| 9 | Joc Pederson | 0.4393 | 0.5211 | 53.0 |
| 10 | Spencer Torkelson | 0.4905 | 0.3194 | 52.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.5077 | 0.3371 | 69.8 |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 0.5813 | 0.4523 | 63.7 |
| 3 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.5622 | 0.4133 | 61.8 |
| 4 | Franmil Reyes | 0.5234 | 0.3653 | 59.2 |
| 5 | Max Muncy | 0.5156 | 0.3836 | 55.9 |
| 6 | Nolan Arenado | 0.4769 | 0.5332 | 55.4 |
| 7 | Spencer Torkelson | 0.4892 | 0.3194 | 55.2 |
| 8 | Manny Machado | 0.4807 | 0.5311 | 53.8 |
| 9 | Elvis Andrus | 0.3452 | 0.4037 | 52.9 |
| 10 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5852 | 0.4796 | 51.2 |
Pitching Projection Accuracy
Batters Faced (BF)
Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize | 45 |
615
(570.1)
|
592
(547.0)
|
694
(648.8)
|
741
(695.5)
|
628
(583.0)
|
| John Means | 34 |
645
(610.9)
|
562
(528.0)
|
728
(693.8)
|
723
(689.4)
|
608
(574.0)
|
| Hyun Jin Ryu | 113 |
743
(629.9)
|
615
(502.0)
|
693
(579.7)
|
705
(592.0)
|
623
(510.0)
|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 94 |
686
(591.9)
|
604
(510.0)
|
693
(598.6)
|
753
(658.6)
|
629
(535.0)
|
Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huascar Ynoa | 519 | 37 | 482.1 |
| 2 | Kyle Wright | 257 | 738 | 480.9 |
| 3 | Wade Miley | 639 | 159 | 480.1 |
| 4 | Walker Buehler | 750 | 274 | 476.1 |
| 5 | Spenser Watkins | 1 | 459 | 458.0 |
| 6 | Chris Sale | 482 | 25 | 457.1 |
| 7 | Zac Lowther | 473 | 28 | 445.0 |
| 8 | Kyle Hendricks | 797 | 356 | 441.1 |
| 9 | Stephen Strasburg | 461 | 23 | 438.0 |
| 10 | Steven Matz | 642 | 207 | 434.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Kirby | 1 | 542 | 541.0 |
| 2 | Hunter Greene | 1 | 531 | 530.0 |
| 3 | Kyle Bradish | 1 | 509 | 508.0 |
| 4 | Miles Mikolas | 342 | 805 | 463.0 |
| 5 | Graham Ashcraft | 1 | 464 | 463.0 |
| 6 | Kyle Wright | 281 | 738 | 457.0 |
| 7 | Andre Pallante | 1 | 457 | 456.0 |
| 8 | Nick Martinez | 1 | 448 | 447.0 |
| 9 | Nick Lodolo | 1 | 441 | 440.0 |
| 10 | Adbert Alzolay | 488 | 52 | 436.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 1 | 803 | 802.0 |
| 2 | Corey Kluber | 1 | 689 | 688.0 |
| 3 | Huascar Ynoa | 591 | 37 | 553.5 |
| 4 | Kyle Wright | 201 | 738 | 536.8 |
| 5 | Walker Buehler | 794 | 274 | 519.5 |
| 6 | Chad Kuhl | 139 | 617 | 478.3 |
| 7 | Drew Hutchison | 1 | 464 | 463.0 |
| 8 | Graham Ashcraft | 1 | 464 | 463.0 |
| 9 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 638 | 179 | 459.4 |
| 10 | Spenser Watkins | 1 | 459 | 458.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walker Buehler | 839 | 274 | 564.7 |
| 2 | Luis Patiño | 630 | 98 | 531.8 |
| 3 | Stephen Strasburg | 547 | 23 | 524.4 |
| 4 | Steven Matz | 696 | 207 | 489.2 |
| 5 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 644 | 179 | 465.1 |
| 6 | Kyle Wright | 278 | 738 | 459.9 |
| 7 | Wade Miley | 617 | 159 | 458.5 |
| 8 | Huascar Ynoa | 495 | 37 | 458.5 |
| 9 | Graham Ashcraft | 17 | 464 | 446.8 |
| 10 | Kyle Hendricks | 802 | 356 | 446.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Boyd | 634 | 53 | 581.0 |
| 2 | Bowden Francis | 555 | 3 | 552.0 |
| 3 | Rico Garcia | 563 | 35 | 528.0 |
| 4 | Cade Cavalli | 541 | 23 | 518.0 |
| 5 | Yonny Chirinos | 545 | 30 | 515.0 |
| 6 | Cooper Criswell | 513 | 13 | 500.0 |
| 7 | Walker Buehler | 761 | 274 | 487.0 |
| 8 | Tanner Tully | 512 | 30 | 482.0 |
| 9 | Max Kranick | 490 | 19 | 471.0 |
| 10 | Alec Mills | 547 | 84 | 463.0 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Berríos | 0.3490 |
0.1100
(42.7)
|
0.3037
(39.2)
|
0.1274
(63.4)
|
0.2915
(41.8)
|
0.2856
(42.2)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.3833 |
0.1266
(53.1)
|
0.3391
(36.3)
|
0.1339
(79.9)
|
0.3134
(48.4)
|
0.3026
(52.3)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristian Javier | 0.1546 | 0.2504 | 50.6 |
| 2 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1558 | 0.2394 | 49.2 |
| 3 | Spencer Strider | 0.1460 | 0.2360 | 48.7 |
| 4 | Zac Gallen | 0.1356 | 0.2501 | 48.3 |
| 5 | Jackson Stephens | 0.3096 | 0.2905 | 47.3 |
| 6 | Triston McKenzie | 0.1482 | 0.2672 | 46.9 |
| 7 | Nestor Cortes | 0.1303 | 0.2451 | 41.4 |
| 8 | Justin Verlander | 0.0995 | 0.2214 | 40.2 |
| 9 | Dylan Cease | 0.1353 | 0.2639 | 40.1 |
| 10 | Shane McClanahan | 0.1271 | 0.2488 | 38.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nestor Cortes | 0.3199 | 0.2451 | 41.8 |
| 2 | Justin Verlander | 0.2883 | 0.2214 | 40.0 |
| 3 | Lucas Giolito | 0.2953 | 0.3448 | 39.3 |
| 4 | Spencer Strider | 0.3160 | 0.2360 | 38.7 |
| 5 | Martín Pérez | 0.3409 | 0.2877 | 38.1 |
| 6 | Shane McClanahan | 0.3125 | 0.2488 | 36.5 |
| 7 | Zac Gallen | 0.3079 | 0.2501 | 36.4 |
| 8 | Mike Minor | 0.3168 | 0.3882 | 35.6 |
| 9 | Dylan Cease | 0.3170 | 0.2639 | 34.6 |
| 10 | Tyler Anderson | 0.3244 | 0.2697 | 33.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 0.3096 | 0.3067 | 112.6 |
| 2 | Corey Kluber | 0.3096 | 0.3149 | 91.0 |
| 3 | Adrian Sampson | 0.3096 | 0.3024 | 61.9 |
| 4 | Andre Pallante | 0.3096 | 0.3202 | 57.9 |
| 5 | Germán Márquez | 0.1306 | 0.3410 | 56.9 |
| 6 | Graham Ashcraft | 0.3096 | 0.3273 | 55.5 |
| 7 | Kris Bubic | 0.1389 | 0.3707 | 55.4 |
| 8 | Collin McHugh | 0.3096 | 0.2487 | 53.9 |
| 9 | Spenser Watkins | 0.3096 | 0.3310 | 53.2 |
| 10 | Anthony Bass | 0.3096 | 0.2535 | 53.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Anderson | 0.3304 | 0.2697 | 44.3 |
| 2 | Nestor Cortes | 0.3093 | 0.2451 | 40.7 |
| 3 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.3174 | 0.2394 | 39.8 |
| 4 | Zac Gallen | 0.3031 | 0.2501 | 39.2 |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | 0.2766 | 0.2214 | 38.1 |
| 6 | Lucas Giolito | 0.2914 | 0.3448 | 35.9 |
| 7 | Triston McKenzie | 0.3124 | 0.2672 | 35.0 |
| 8 | Cristian Javier | 0.3059 | 0.2504 | 33.6 |
| 9 | Max Fried | 0.2978 | 0.2564 | 31.8 |
| 10 | Mike Minor | 0.3162 | 0.3882 | 31.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Giolito | 0.2651 | 0.3448 | 50.5 |
| 2 | Nestor Cortes | 0.3102 | 0.2451 | 44.5 |
| 3 | Spencer Strider | 0.3089 | 0.2360 | 42.3 |
| 4 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.3124 | 0.2394 | 40.0 |
| 5 | Martín Pérez | 0.3276 | 0.2877 | 38.8 |
| 6 | Tyler Anderson | 0.3167 | 0.2697 | 38.4 |
| 7 | Zac Gallen | 0.2948 | 0.2501 | 37.1 |
| 8 | Justin Verlander | 0.2689 | 0.2214 | 36.5 |
| 9 | Trevor Rogers | 0.2739 | 0.3540 | 34.7 |
| 10 | Germán Márquez | 0.2923 | 0.3410 | 32.2 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 0.2503 |
0.3030
(45.8)
|
0.3050
(34.8)
|
0.2967
(34.2)
|
0.2930
(34.3)
|
0.3197
(47.6)
|
| Spencer Strider | 0.3826 |
0.2326
(76.4)
|
0.2261
(88.2)
|
0.2703
(60.9)
|
0.2799
(53.9)
|
0.2317
(84.5)
|
| Hunter Greene | 0.3089 |
0.2133
(47.9)
|
0.2245
(50.4)
|
0.2318
(42.5)
|
0.2317
(40.6)
|
0.2478
(37.3)
|
| Ryan Helsley | 0.3933 |
0.2056
(43.6)
|
0.2279
(42.1)
|
0.2348
(38.6)
|
0.2343
(37.8)
|
0.2346
(40.1)
|
| Marco Gonzales | 0.1315 |
0.1891
(49.2)
|
0.2003
(45.5)
|
0.1853
(39.6)
|
0.1829
(40.7)
|
0.1815
(31.9)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Kopech | 0.3111 | 0.2126 | 51.3 |
| 2 | Edwin Díaz | 0.3042 | 0.5021 | 45.3 |
| 3 | Noah Syndergaard | 0.2408 | 0.1681 | 44.1 |
| 4 | Zack Greinke | 0.1941 | 0.1248 | 43.6 |
| 5 | Glenn Otto | 0.2416 | 0.1823 | 37.9 |
| 6 | Andrés Muñoz | 0.2321 | 0.3871 | 37.1 |
| 7 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.2021 | 0.3000 | 37.0 |
| 8 | Mike Clevinger | 0.2587 | 0.1876 | 37.0 |
| 9 | Dylan Bundy | 0.2137 | 0.1580 | 36.3 |
| 10 | José Berríos | 0.2405 | 0.1979 | 36.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwin Díaz | 0.3028 | 0.5021 | 49.3 |
| 2 | Cristian Javier | 0.2668 | 0.3316 | 44.1 |
| 3 | Zack Greinke | 0.2063 | 0.1248 | 41.5 |
| 4 | Dakota Hudson | 0.2079 | 0.1309 | 39.6 |
| 5 | Andrés Muñoz | 0.2411 | 0.3871 | 38.9 |
| 6 | Shane McClanahan | 0.2543 | 0.3027 | 37.8 |
| 7 | Dylan Bundy | 0.2311 | 0.1580 | 37.2 |
| 8 | Nick Lodolo | 0.2245 | 0.2971 | 36.7 |
| 9 | Carlos Rodón | 0.2942 | 0.3338 | 35.7 |
| 10 | Andrew Heaney | 0.2561 | 0.3548 | 33.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristian Javier | 0.2620 | 0.3316 | 42.6 |
| 2 | Michael Kopech | 0.2962 | 0.2126 | 39.8 |
| 3 | Edwin Díaz | 0.3368 | 0.5021 | 39.6 |
| 4 | Spenser Watkins | 0.2245 | 0.1373 | 38.6 |
| 5 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.2127 | 0.3000 | 36.2 |
| 6 | Merrill Kelly | 0.1785 | 0.2201 | 36.0 |
| 7 | José Berríos | 0.2479 | 0.1979 | 35.4 |
| 8 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2245 | 0.1781 | 34.8 |
| 9 | Drew Hutchison | 0.2245 | 0.1466 | 34.7 |
| 10 | Andrew Heaney | 0.2466 | 0.3548 | 34.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Kopech | 0.2988 | 0.2126 | 42.9 |
| 2 | Mike Clevinger | 0.2660 | 0.1876 | 38.3 |
| 3 | Edwin Díaz | 0.3411 | 0.5021 | 37.7 |
| 4 | Graham Ashcraft | 0.2315 | 0.1530 | 36.7 |
| 5 | José Berríos | 0.2434 | 0.1979 | 34.7 |
| 6 | Cristian Javier | 0.2739 | 0.3316 | 33.4 |
| 7 | Robbie Ray | 0.3154 | 0.2735 | 33.0 |
| 8 | Andrew Heaney | 0.2486 | 0.3548 | 32.7 |
| 9 | Merrill Kelly | 0.1804 | 0.2201 | 31.5 |
| 10 | James Kaprielian | 0.2234 | 0.1698 | 31.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Kopech | 0.3140 | 0.2126 | 45.6 |
| 2 | Dylan Bundy | 0.2320 | 0.1580 | 38.6 |
| 3 | Martín Pérez | 0.1708 | 0.2058 | 36.3 |
| 4 | David Peterson | 0.2093 | 0.2775 | 35.1 |
| 5 | Tyler Wells | 0.2688 | 0.1797 | 33.8 |
| 6 | Jhoan Duran | 0.2167 | 0.3346 | 33.8 |
| 7 | Mike Clevinger | 0.2662 | 0.1876 | 33.7 |
| 8 | Jeffrey Springs | 0.3317 | 0.2623 | 33.1 |
| 9 | Merrill Kelly | 0.1884 | 0.2201 | 32.9 |
| 10 | Félix Bautista | 0.2303 | 0.3478 | 32.0 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kluber | 0.0305 |
0.0735
(27.0)
|
0.0926
(40.9)
|
0.0817
(33.6)
|
0.0813
(31.9)
|
0.0711
(24.7)
|
| Aaron Nola | 0.0359 |
0.0778
(30.7)
|
0.0714
(26.4)
|
0.0693
(24.9)
|
0.0684
(22.5)
|
0.0675
(21.6)
|
| Triston McKenzie | 0.0594 |
0.1083
(33.4)
|
0.1014
(29.0)
|
0.0990
(27.5)
|
0.1025
(28.6)
|
0.0989
(25.8)
|
| Jeffrey Springs | 0.0565 |
0.0942
(18.6)
|
0.0900
(16.9)
|
0.0923
(18.3)
|
0.0936
(17.9)
|
0.0962
(19.2)
|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 0.1278 |
0.0841
(21.6)
|
0.0887
(19.0)
|
0.0834
(21.2)
|
0.0844
(21.7)
|
0.0785
(24.5)
|
| Drew Rasmussen | 0.0531 |
0.0872
(17.7)
|
0.0874
(18.4)
|
0.0922
(21.4)
|
0.0931
(20.7)
|
0.0965
(22.6)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Gausman | 0.0720 | 0.0386 | 21.4 |
| 2 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1169 | 0.0703 | 21.3 |
| 3 | Jameson Taillon | 0.0769 | 0.0440 | 21.2 |
| 4 | Yu Darvish | 0.0783 | 0.0480 | 20.4 |
| 5 | James Kaprielian | 0.0714 | 0.1023 | 20.0 |
| 6 | Chris Flexen | 0.0574 | 0.0864 | 19.4 |
| 7 | Max Fried | 0.0737 | 0.0437 | 19.3 |
| 8 | Zac Gallen | 0.0961 | 0.0658 | 18.9 |
| 9 | Shane McClanahan | 0.0922 | 0.0593 | 18.6 |
| 10 | Kyle Freeland | 0.0958 | 0.0692 | 17.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jameson Taillon | 0.0776 | 0.0440 | 22.5 |
| 2 | Kevin Gausman | 0.0708 | 0.0386 | 21.3 |
| 3 | Kyle Wright | 0.1032 | 0.0718 | 21.1 |
| 4 | Shane Bieber | 0.0747 | 0.0455 | 20.9 |
| 5 | George Kirby | 0.0817 | 0.0406 | 20.7 |
| 6 | Ross Stripling | 0.0766 | 0.0373 | 19.5 |
| 7 | Dylan Bundy | 0.0821 | 0.0471 | 19.2 |
| 8 | Brady Singer | 0.0892 | 0.0564 | 18.6 |
| 9 | Max Fried | 0.0718 | 0.0437 | 18.5 |
| 10 | Lance Lynn | 0.0751 | 0.0371 | 18.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Fried | 0.0726 | 0.0437 | 19.4 |
| 2 | Kevin Gausman | 0.0678 | 0.0386 | 19.3 |
| 3 | Michael Kopech | 0.0830 | 0.1154 | 17.2 |
| 4 | Zach Jackson | 0.0817 | 0.1634 | 17.0 |
| 5 | George Kirby | 0.0737 | 0.0406 | 16.6 |
| 6 | Joe Mantiply | 0.0942 | 0.0247 | 16.3 |
| 7 | Lance Lynn | 0.0709 | 0.0371 | 16.0 |
| 8 | Dylan Bundy | 0.0765 | 0.0471 | 16.0 |
| 9 | Yu Darvish | 0.0709 | 0.0480 | 15.7 |
| 10 | Caleb Smith | 0.0817 | 0.1291 | 15.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Gausman | 0.0685 | 0.0386 | 18.4 |
| 2 | Max Fried | 0.0714 | 0.0437 | 17.0 |
| 3 | Michael Kopech | 0.0854 | 0.1154 | 17.0 |
| 4 | Dylan Bundy | 0.0791 | 0.0471 | 16.4 |
| 5 | Lance Lynn | 0.0732 | 0.0371 | 16.2 |
| 6 | James Kaprielian | 0.0795 | 0.1023 | 15.7 |
| 7 | Joe Mantiply | 0.0927 | 0.0247 | 15.4 |
| 8 | George Kirby | 0.0733 | 0.0406 | 15.3 |
| 9 | Glenn Otto | 0.0842 | 0.1056 | 15.2 |
| 10 | Brady Singer | 0.0851 | 0.0564 | 15.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lance Lynn | 0.0794 | 0.0371 | 19.2 |
| 2 | Félix Bautista | 0.1685 | 0.0909 | 18.5 |
| 3 | Sean Manaea | 0.0538 | 0.0745 | 17.0 |
| 4 | Chris Flexen | 0.0623 | 0.0864 | 17.0 |
| 5 | Adam Ottavino | 0.1320 | 0.0620 | 16.8 |
| 6 | Dylan Bundy | 0.0800 | 0.0471 | 16.8 |
| 7 | Andrés Muñoz | 0.1300 | 0.0605 | 16.1 |
| 8 | Brady Singer | 0.0866 | 0.0564 | 15.9 |
| 9 | Yu Darvish | 0.0732 | 0.0480 | 15.8 |
| 10 | Jason Foley | 0.1084 | 0.0430 | 15.5 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo | 0.0431 |
0.0000
(14.1)
|
0.0112
(14.0)
|
0.0119
(13.4)
|
0.0119
(13.4)
|
0.0084
(15.2)
|
| Ryan Yarbrough | 0.0310 |
0.0000
(7.0)
|
0.0145
(5.8)
|
0.0131
(6.1)
|
0.0132
(6.0)
|
0.0147
(5.7)
|
| Steve Cishek | 0.0453 |
0.0000
(9.8)
|
0.0191
(7.5)
|
0.0112
(9.6)
|
0.0150
(8.4)
|
0.0263
(5.4)
|
| Kyle Freeland | 0.0209 |
0.0000
(7.4)
|
0.0091
(9.0)
|
0.0087
(8.7)
|
0.0088
(8.6)
|
0.0069
(10.6)
|
| Taylor Rogers | 0.0401 |
0.0000
(7.9)
|
0.0101
(8.2)
|
0.0102
(8.0)
|
0.0102
(8.0)
|
0.0102
(8.2)
|
| Braxton Garrett | 0.0268 |
0.0000
(5.8)
|
0.0120
(5.5)
|
0.0096
(6.1)
|
0.0095
(6.1)
|
0.0118
(5.6)
|
| A.J. Puk | 0.0356 |
0.0000
(6.9)
|
0.0144
(5.9)
|
0.0100
(7.0)
|
0.0101
(6.9)
|
0.0114
(6.8)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Morton | 0.0000 | 0.0247 | 9.9 |
| 2 | Kevin Gausman | 0.0000 | 0.0014 | 7.1 |
| 3 | Merrill Kelly | 0.0000 | 0.0025 | 7.0 |
| 4 | Gerrit Cole | 0.0000 | 0.0025 | 6.9 |
| 5 | Shane Bieber | 0.0000 | 0.0025 | 6.9 |
| 6 | Glenn Otto | 0.0000 | 0.0221 | 6.4 |
| 7 | Erick Fedde | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 6.4 |
| 8 | Alek Manoah | 0.0000 | 0.0191 | 6.2 |
| 9 | Luis Garcia | 0.0000 | 0.0016 | 6.2 |
| 10 | Clay Holmes | 0.0000 | 0.0346 | 6.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Rodón | 0.0135 | 0.0042 | 6.6 |
| 2 | Adrian Sampson | 0.0199 | 0.0047 | 6.5 |
| 3 | Mike Clevinger | 0.0076 | 0.0206 | 6.3 |
| 4 | Chad Kuhl | 0.0182 | 0.0081 | 6.3 |
| 5 | Dylan Cease | 0.0124 | 0.0040 | 6.3 |
| 6 | Lance Lynn | 0.0083 | 0.0195 | 5.7 |
| 7 | Glenn Otto | 0.0125 | 0.0221 | 5.6 |
| 8 | Andrew Heaney | 0.0112 | 0.0290 | 5.5 |
| 9 | Zac Gallen | 0.0091 | 0.0168 | 5.5 |
| 10 | Brad Keller | 0.0120 | 0.0032 | 5.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Rodón | 0.0125 | 0.0042 | 6.4 |
| 2 | Glenn Otto | 0.0107 | 0.0221 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Charlie Morton | 0.0155 | 0.0247 | 6.2 |
| 4 | Dylan Cease | 0.0112 | 0.0040 | 5.9 |
| 5 | Mike Clevinger | 0.0080 | 0.0206 | 5.7 |
| 6 | Ranger Suárez | 0.0109 | 0.0030 | 5.7 |
| 7 | Merrill Kelly | 0.0088 | 0.0025 | 5.7 |
| 8 | Erick Fedde | 0.0090 | 0.0000 | 5.6 |
| 9 | Andrew Heaney | 0.0105 | 0.0290 | 5.5 |
| 10 | Kevin Gausman | 0.0082 | 0.0014 | 5.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Rodón | 0.0125 | 0.0042 | 6.5 |
| 2 | Glenn Otto | 0.0105 | 0.0221 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Charlie Morton | 0.0155 | 0.0247 | 6.1 |
| 4 | Dylan Cease | 0.0111 | 0.0040 | 6.0 |
| 5 | Merrill Kelly | 0.0088 | 0.0025 | 5.7 |
| 6 | Ranger Suárez | 0.0108 | 0.0030 | 5.7 |
| 7 | Mike Clevinger | 0.0079 | 0.0206 | 5.7 |
| 8 | Erick Fedde | 0.0090 | 0.0000 | 5.7 |
| 9 | Kevin Gausman | 0.0082 | 0.0014 | 5.6 |
| 10 | Luis Garcia | 0.0093 | 0.0016 | 5.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Manoah | 0.0315 | 0.0191 | 9.9 |
| 2 | Mike Clevinger | 0.0043 | 0.0206 | 7.8 |
| 3 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0034 | 0.0127 | 6.5 |
| 4 | Carlos Rodón | 0.0130 | 0.0042 | 6.3 |
| 5 | Rich Hill | 0.0194 | 0.0076 | 6.3 |
| 6 | Joe Jiménez | 0.0267 | 0.0000 | 6.2 |
| 7 | Lance Lynn | 0.0079 | 0.0195 | 5.9 |
| 8 | Ranger Suárez | 0.0116 | 0.0030 | 5.8 |
| 9 | Dylan Cease | 0.0115 | 0.0040 | 5.7 |
| 10 | Andrew Heaney | 0.0112 | 0.0290 | 5.5 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | 0.0633 |
0.0455
(16.9)
|
0.0377
(24.0)
|
0.0421
(21.3)
|
0.0436
(21.4)
|
0.0391
(23.8)
|
| Justin Verlander | 0.0269 |
0.0509
(12.5)
|
0.0596
(16.9)
|
0.0630
(18.7)
|
0.0617
(16.7)
|
0.0748
(26.3)
|
| Patrick Sandoval | 0.0190 |
0.0453
(13.5)
|
0.0563
(19.2)
|
0.0477
(13.2)
|
0.0468
(11.6)
|
0.0560
(18.2)
|
| Martín Pérez | 0.0191 |
0.0449
(16.9)
|
0.0490
(18.6)
|
0.0483
(17.4)
|
0.0473
(15.3)
|
0.0472
(16.2)
|
| Hunter Greene | 0.0777 |
0.0521
(16.4)
|
0.0418
(23.0)
|
0.0602
(13.5)
|
0.0612
(13.9)
|
0.0565
(15.7)
|
| Jose Quintana | 0.0163 |
0.0508
(19.9)
|
0.0507
(18.4)
|
0.0484
(16.4)
|
0.0474
(14.6)
|
0.0487
(16.3)
|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 0.0875 |
0.0452
(21.6)
|
0.0558
(17.7)
|
0.0510
(20.2)
|
0.0489
(21.9)
|
0.0498
(20.9)
|
| Josiah Gray | 0.0903 |
0.0526
(27.8)
|
0.0709
(17.3)
|
0.0689
(19.1)
|
0.0676
(21.0)
|
0.0694
(19.0)
|
| Sean Manaea | 0.0628 |
0.0458
(15.0)
|
0.0474
(15.2)
|
0.0469
(16.1)
|
0.0489
(15.8)
|
0.0489
(15.0)
|
| Gerrit Cole | 0.0682 |
0.0524
(16.7)
|
0.0571
(14.6)
|
0.0584
(14.1)
|
0.0570
(16.5)
|
0.0493
(21.7)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Rodón | 0.0569 | 0.0287 | 16.3 |
| 2 | Alek Manoah | 0.0517 | 0.0296 | 13.2 |
| 3 | Germán Márquez | 0.0425 | 0.0534 | 12.6 |
| 4 | Elieser Hernández | 0.0592 | 0.0990 | 12.5 |
| 5 | Bruce Zimmermann | 0.0484 | 0.0817 | 12.4 |
| 6 | Matt Swarmer | 0.0494 | 0.1237 | 12.2 |
| 7 | Mike Minor | 0.0509 | 0.0723 | 12.1 |
| 8 | Robbie Ray | 0.0548 | 0.0648 | 11.8 |
| 9 | Spencer Strider | 0.0526 | 0.0252 | 11.7 |
| 10 | Mike Mayers | 0.0482 | 0.0949 | 11.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 0.0725 | 0.0275 | 18.0 |
| 2 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0343 | 0.0469 | 15.9 |
| 3 | Justin Steele | 0.0606 | 0.0240 | 15.0 |
| 4 | Ross Stripling | 0.0647 | 0.0298 | 14.8 |
| 5 | Dean Kremer | 0.0634 | 0.0285 | 14.1 |
| 6 | Matt Swarmer | 0.0418 | 0.1237 | 13.7 |
| 7 | Germán Márquez | 0.0434 | 0.0534 | 13.5 |
| 8 | Eric Lauer | 0.0479 | 0.0609 | 13.5 |
| 9 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.0413 | 0.0625 | 13.1 |
| 10 | Reynaldo López | 0.0638 | 0.0056 | 12.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0647 | 0.0266 | 21.2 |
| 2 | Johnny Cueto | 0.0623 | 0.0294 | 16.2 |
| 3 | Alek Manoah | 0.0567 | 0.0296 | 14.9 |
| 4 | Dean Kremer | 0.0638 | 0.0285 | 14.0 |
| 5 | Matt Swarmer | 0.0418 | 0.1237 | 13.8 |
| 6 | Nestor Cortes | 0.0690 | 0.0388 | 13.6 |
| 7 | Kevin Gausman | 0.0565 | 0.0305 | 13.0 |
| 8 | Logan Gilbert | 0.0600 | 0.0354 | 12.7 |
| 9 | Elieser Hernández | 0.0630 | 0.0990 | 12.2 |
| 10 | Nick Nelson | 0.0530 | 0.0051 | 12.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0670 | 0.0266 | 21.7 |
| 2 | Johnny Cueto | 0.0638 | 0.0294 | 16.1 |
| 3 | Elieser Hernández | 0.0619 | 0.0990 | 13.0 |
| 4 | Alek Manoah | 0.0551 | 0.0296 | 12.4 |
| 5 | Bruce Zimmermann | 0.0532 | 0.0817 | 12.2 |
| 6 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.0469 | 0.0625 | 11.6 |
| 7 | Matt Swarmer | 0.0581 | 0.1237 | 11.5 |
| 8 | Reynaldo López | 0.0583 | 0.0056 | 10.9 |
| 9 | Nestor Cortes | 0.0660 | 0.0388 | 10.7 |
| 10 | Nick Nelson | 0.0496 | 0.0051 | 10.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0668 | 0.0266 | 22.5 |
| 2 | Jordan Lyles | 0.0776 | 0.0456 | 18.2 |
| 3 | Spenser Watkins | 0.0744 | 0.0304 | 16.3 |
| 4 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0350 | 0.0469 | 16.2 |
| 5 | Germán Márquez | 0.0419 | 0.0534 | 15.5 |
| 6 | Dean Kremer | 0.0665 | 0.0285 | 15.1 |
| 7 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.0413 | 0.0625 | 13.6 |
| 8 | Nestor Cortes | 0.0688 | 0.0388 | 13.3 |
| 9 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.0670 | 0.0324 | 13.0 |
| 10 | Logan Gilbert | 0.0595 | 0.0354 | 12.0 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 0.2366 |
0.2633
(29.0)
|
0.2844
(33.3)
|
0.2985
(40.1)
|
0.3016
(41.8)
|
0.2886
(33.7)
|
| Lucas Giolito | 0.3403 |
0.2577
(48.0)
|
0.2760
(45.7)
|
0.2913
(38.2)
|
0.2847
(43.3)
|
0.2745
(49.3)
|
| Kris Bubic | 0.3520 |
0.2766
(36.2)
|
0.2891
(37.7)
|
0.2960
(36.2)
|
0.2978
(35.6)
|
0.2912
(38.5)
|
| Nestor Cortes | 0.2323 |
0.2691
(31.1)
|
0.2838
(30.9)
|
0.2872
(30.2)
|
0.2820
(26.6)
|
0.2918
(33.6)
|
| José Berríos | 0.3276 |
0.2652
(36.5)
|
0.2864
(31.9)
|
0.2949
(28.9)
|
0.2912
(32.2)
|
0.2854
(35.4)
|
| Brayan Bello | 0.4044 |
0.2897
(27.0)
|
0.2887
(31.3)
|
0.2887
(32.5)
|
0.3027
(29.0)
|
0.2980
(29.8)
|
| Michael Kopech | 0.2229 |
0.2673
(28.8)
|
0.2975
(36.2)
|
0.2941
(32.3)
|
0.2870
(28.5)
|
0.2971
(34.3)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.3645 |
0.2652
(61.0)
|
0.3061
(42.5)
|
0.3037
(47.5)
|
0.3043
(47.5)
|
0.3046
(46.2)
|
| Alexis Díaz | 0.1783 |
0.2783
(29.0)
|
0.2887
(27.9)
|
0.3070
(31.4)
|
0.2963
(28.4)
|
0.2960
(28.8)
|
| Paul Sewald | 0.1583 |
0.2840
(33.8)
|
0.2837
(30.1)
|
0.2894
(30.3)
|
0.2791
(27.7)
|
0.2929
(31.4)
|
| Kevin Gausman | 0.3634 |
0.2633
(62.6)
|
0.2886
(55.2)
|
0.2933
(55.0)
|
0.2896
(58.2)
|
0.2867
(59.1)
|
| Tony Gonsolin | 0.2067 |
0.2500
(28.5)
|
0.2667
(29.3)
|
0.2871
(37.2)
|
0.2884
(37.5)
|
0.2769
(32.6)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JT Brubaker | 0.2581 | 0.3341 | 40.2 |
| 2 | Alex Cobb | 0.2643 | 0.3365 | 36.8 |
| 3 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.2671 | 0.3372 | 36.3 |
| 4 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.2833 | 0.3827 | 35.3 |
| 5 | Corey Kluber | 0.2604 | 0.3166 | 29.2 |
| 6 | Mitch Keller | 0.2634 | 0.3197 | 29.2 |
| 7 | Trevor Rogers | 0.2558 | 0.3301 | 28.8 |
| 8 | Cristian Javier | 0.2612 | 0.2278 | 27.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.3077 | 0.2591 | 37.8 |
| 2 | Glenn Otto | 0.3202 | 0.2552 | 37.4 |
| 3 | Shane McClanahan | 0.3102 | 0.2506 | 37.4 |
| 4 | Julio Urías | 0.2756 | 0.2291 | 31.2 |
| 5 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.3109 | 0.3827 | 30.2 |
| 6 | Miles Mikolas | 0.2876 | 0.2491 | 30.0 |
| 7 | JT Brubaker | 0.2920 | 0.3341 | 28.0 |
| 8 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.2964 | 0.3843 | 27.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Urías | 0.2889 | 0.2291 | 37.3 |
| 2 | Triston McKenzie | 0.2884 | 0.2369 | 33.9 |
| 3 | Alek Manoah | 0.2918 | 0.2443 | 32.8 |
| 4 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.2942 | 0.3372 | 31.4 |
| 5 | JT Brubaker | 0.2934 | 0.3341 | 30.0 |
| 6 | Miles Mikolas | 0.2919 | 0.2491 | 29.8 |
| 7 | Cristian Javier | 0.2842 | 0.2278 | 29.6 |
| 8 | Shane McClanahan | 0.3005 | 0.2506 | 28.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Urías | 0.2894 | 0.2291 | 37.1 |
| 2 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.2918 | 0.3372 | 33.5 |
| 3 | Triston McKenzie | 0.2843 | 0.2369 | 30.3 |
| 4 | Miles Mikolas | 0.2931 | 0.2491 | 30.2 |
| 5 | Alek Manoah | 0.2879 | 0.2443 | 29.2 |
| 6 | JT Brubaker | 0.2980 | 0.3341 | 27.5 |
| 7 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.3037 | 0.3843 | 26.4 |
| 8 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.2977 | 0.2616 | 26.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Urías | 0.2789 | 0.2291 | 31.0 |
| 2 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.3126 | 0.3827 | 30.9 |
| 3 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.2914 | 0.3843 | 29.6 |
| 4 | Glenn Otto | 0.3101 | 0.2552 | 29.4 |
| 5 | Shane McClanahan | 0.2994 | 0.2506 | 28.1 |
| 6 | Lou Trivino | 0.2818 | 0.3893 | 28.1 |
| 7 | Michael Wacha | 0.3185 | 0.2598 | 27.7 |
| 8 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.2995 | 0.3372 | 27.4 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Bubic | 0.2730 |
0.0000
(33.6)
|
0.2153
(33.4)
|
0.0000
(58.2)
|
0.2978
(31.3)
|
0.2912
(33.4)
|
| José Berríos | 0.2601 |
0.0000
(33.4)
|
0.2079
(38.8)
|
0.0000
(64.9)
|
0.2912
(35.4)
|
0.2854
(37.6)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.2849 |
0.0000
(49.3)
|
0.2313
(37.7)
|
0.0000
(79.1)
|
0.3043
(41.8)
|
0.3046
(39.6)
|
| Alex Cobb | 0.2800 |
0.0000
(40.5)
|
0.2280
(32.4)
|
0.0000
(67.0)
|
0.3077
(31.8)
|
0.2980
(36.1)
|
| Kevin Gausman | 0.2815 |
0.0000
(47.7)
|
0.2164
(46.7)
|
0.0000
(78.0)
|
0.2896
(50.8)
|
0.2867
(50.8)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Stephens | 0.2168 | 0.2327 | 47.0 |
| 2 | Manny Bañuelos | 0.2168 | 0.2056 | 39.7 |
| 3 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.0000 | 0.1398 | 37.8 |
| 4 | Zac Gallen | 0.0000 | 0.1629 | 37.7 |
| 5 | Daniel Lynch IV | 0.0000 | 0.2725 | 34.0 |
| 6 | Triston McKenzie | 0.0000 | 0.1719 | 32.5 |
| 7 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.0000 | 0.2901 | 30.7 |
| 8 | Patrick Sandoval | 0.0000 | 0.2633 | 30.3 |
| 9 | Huascar Brazobán | 0.2168 | 0.2267 | 29.0 |
| 10 | Cristian Javier | 0.0000 | 0.1677 | 28.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.2426 | 0.1949 | 38.6 |
| 2 | Zac Gallen | 0.2126 | 0.1629 | 35.9 |
| 3 | Patrick Sandoval | 0.2127 | 0.2633 | 31.8 |
| 4 | Lucas Giolito | 0.2031 | 0.2477 | 30.6 |
| 5 | Roansy Contreras | 0.2209 | 0.1493 | 29.5 |
| 6 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1956 | 0.1398 | 28.1 |
| 7 | Michael Kopech | 0.2215 | 0.1656 | 28.0 |
| 8 | Dakota Hudson | 0.1967 | 0.2437 | 27.6 |
| 9 | Zach Thompson | 0.1956 | 0.2468 | 27.4 |
| 10 | Jordan Montgomery | 0.2404 | 0.2036 | 27.1 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2168 | 0.2367 | 123.6 |
| 2 | Corey Kluber | 0.2168 | 0.2465 | 99.3 |
| 3 | Taylor Hearn | 0.2168 | 0.2237 | 75.0 |
| 4 | Chase De Jong | 0.2168 | 0.1429 | 72.6 |
| 5 | Spenser Watkins | 0.2168 | 0.2336 | 72.1 |
| 6 | Mitch White | 0.2168 | 0.2286 | 71.3 |
| 7 | Drew Hutchison | 0.2168 | 0.2374 | 71.1 |
| 8 | Adrian Sampson | 0.2168 | 0.2247 | 71.0 |
| 9 | Caleb Smith | 0.2168 | 0.1694 | 66.8 |
| 10 | Beau Brieske | 0.2168 | 0.1959 | 66.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zac Gallen | 0.3016 | 0.1629 | 43.2 |
| 2 | Germán Márquez | 0.3236 | 0.1992 | 36.0 |
| 3 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.2884 | 0.1398 | 35.1 |
| 4 | Daniel Lynch IV | 0.2982 | 0.2725 | 31.5 |
| 5 | Patrick Sandoval | 0.2954 | 0.2633 | 29.3 |
| 6 | Lucas Giolito | 0.2847 | 0.2477 | 28.7 |
| 7 | Merrill Kelly | 0.3025 | 0.1915 | 26.4 |
| 8 | Roansy Contreras | 0.2915 | 0.1493 | 26.1 |
| 9 | Triston McKenzie | 0.2843 | 0.1719 | 25.4 |
| 10 | George Kirby | 0.2954 | 0.2629 | 24.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zac Gallen | 0.2886 | 0.1629 | 36.0 |
| 2 | Lucas Giolito | 0.2745 | 0.2477 | 33.8 |
| 3 | Jeurys Familia | 0.2168 | 0.3030 | 32.9 |
| 4 | Roansy Contreras | 0.3005 | 0.1493 | 31.0 |
| 5 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.2769 | 0.1398 | 30.8 |
| 6 | Tyler Alexander | 0.2168 | 0.2112 | 29.7 |
| 7 | Patrick Sandoval | 0.2925 | 0.2633 | 29.4 |
| 8 | Michael Wacha | 0.3185 | 0.1872 | 28.9 |
| 9 | Michael Kopech | 0.2971 | 0.1656 | 27.8 |
| 10 | Joel Kuhnel | 0.2168 | 0.2500 | 27.7 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | 0.0846 |
0.0000
(14.2)
|
0.0668
(14.9)
|
0.0000
(24.1)
|
0.0000
(14.1)
|
0.0000
(15.0)
|
| Adam Oller | 0.1202 |
0.0000
(18.2)
|
0.0666
(18.6)
|
0.0000
(22.5)
|
0.0000
(18.1)
|
0.0000
(18.5)
|
| Madison Bumgarner | 0.0994 |
0.0000
(23.1)
|
0.0767
(16.9)
|
0.0000
(32.1)
|
0.0000
(23.1)
|
0.0000
(23.9)
|
| JT Brubaker | 0.0931 |
0.0000
(17.3)
|
0.0708
(15.4)
|
0.0000
(25.6)
|
0.0000
(17.3)
|
0.0000
(18.1)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Rogers | 0.0000 | 0.1144 | 23.0 |
| 2 | Justin Verlander | 0.0000 | 0.0346 | 21.1 |
| 3 | Framber Valdez | 0.0000 | 0.0441 | 18.3 |
| 4 | Jackson Stephens | 0.0666 | 0.0566 | 17.9 |
| 5 | Kyle Wright | 0.0000 | 0.0435 | 16.8 |
| 6 | Shane McClanahan | 0.0000 | 0.0413 | 16.0 |
| 7 | Yu Darvish | 0.0000 | 0.0457 | 15.8 |
| 8 | Roansy Contreras | 0.0000 | 0.1045 | 15.6 |
| 9 | Richard Bleier | 0.0000 | 0.1364 | 15.6 |
| 10 | Ryan Brasier | 0.0000 | 0.1250 | 15.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ranger Suárez | 0.0515 | 0.0852 | 23.3 |
| 2 | Yu Darvish | 0.0744 | 0.0457 | 20.9 |
| 3 | Taylor Hearn | 0.0591 | 0.0983 | 18.3 |
| 4 | Brandon Woodruff | 0.0487 | 0.0767 | 18.3 |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | 0.0634 | 0.0346 | 18.2 |
| 6 | Shane McClanahan | 0.0693 | 0.0413 | 16.9 |
| 7 | Kyle Wright | 0.0678 | 0.0435 | 16.8 |
| 8 | Glenn Otto | 0.0739 | 0.0443 | 16.5 |
| 9 | Scott Barlow | 0.0788 | 0.0223 | 15.9 |
| 10 | Ryan Brasier | 0.0667 | 0.1250 | 15.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0666 | 0.0600 | 48.1 |
| 2 | Corey Kluber | 0.0666 | 0.0641 | 38.5 |
| 3 | Drew Hutchison | 0.0666 | 0.0504 | 32.3 |
| 4 | Andre Pallante | 0.0666 | 0.0539 | 30.2 |
| 5 | Graham Ashcraft | 0.0666 | 0.0552 | 30.0 |
| 6 | Steve Cishek | 0.0666 | 0.0185 | 29.1 |
| 7 | Trevor Rogers | 0.0000 | 0.1144 | 29.1 |
| 8 | Adrian Sampson | 0.0666 | 0.0570 | 27.0 |
| 9 | Beau Brieske | 0.0666 | 0.0408 | 26.8 |
| 10 | Wil Crowe | 0.0666 | 0.0419 | 25.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Rogers | 0.0000 | 0.1144 | 22.9 |
| 2 | Justin Verlander | 0.0000 | 0.0346 | 21.1 |
| 3 | Framber Valdez | 0.0000 | 0.0441 | 18.4 |
| 4 | Kyle Wright | 0.0000 | 0.0435 | 16.9 |
| 5 | Shane McClanahan | 0.0000 | 0.0413 | 16.0 |
| 6 | Yu Darvish | 0.0000 | 0.0457 | 15.9 |
| 7 | Roansy Contreras | 0.0000 | 0.1045 | 15.6 |
| 8 | Richard Bleier | 0.0000 | 0.1364 | 15.6 |
| 9 | Ryan Brasier | 0.0000 | 0.1250 | 15.4 |
| 10 | Julio Urías | 0.0000 | 0.0441 | 15.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Alexander | 0.0666 | 0.0621 | 29.7 |
| 2 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.0666 | 0.0464 | 24.9 |
| 3 | Trevor Rogers | 0.0000 | 0.1144 | 23.5 |
| 4 | Justin Verlander | 0.0000 | 0.0346 | 20.4 |
| 5 | Framber Valdez | 0.0000 | 0.0441 | 17.4 |
| 6 | Roansy Contreras | 0.0000 | 0.1045 | 16.1 |
| 7 | Kyle Wright | 0.0000 | 0.0435 | 16.0 |
| 8 | Kyle Freeland | 0.0000 | 0.0859 | 15.9 |
| 9 | Richard Bleier | 0.0000 | 0.1364 | 15.8 |
| 10 | Ryan Brasier | 0.0000 | 0.1250 | 15.7 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Kuhl | 0.0143 |
0.0000
(5.5)
|
0.0043
(6.4)
|
0.0000
(6.2)
|
0.0000
(5.5)
|
0.0000
(5.6)
|
| Kyle Freeland | 0.0146 |
0.0000
(7.1)
|
0.0054
(7.3)
|
0.0000
(7.9)
|
0.0000
(7.1)
|
0.0000
(7.2)
|
| James Kaprielian | 0.0175 |
0.0000
(7.0)
|
0.0098
(4.7)
|
0.0000
(7.6)
|
0.0000
(7.0)
|
0.0000
(7.1)
|
| Sandy Alcantara | 0.0099 |
0.0000
(4.0)
|
0.0043
(5.3)
|
0.0000
(5.0)
|
0.0000
(4.0)
|
0.0000
(4.1)
|
| Pablo López | 0.0125 |
0.0000
(5.2)
|
0.0063
(4.9)
|
0.0000
(6.0)
|
0.0000
(5.2)
|
0.0000
(5.3)
|
| Taylor Rogers | 0.0196 |
0.0000
(3.9)
|
0.0000
(5.5)
|
0.0000
(4.2)
|
0.0000
(3.9)
|
0.0000
(3.9)
|
| Rich Hill | 0.0166 |
0.0000
(5.9)
|
0.0027
(7.5)
|
0.0000
(6.5)
|
0.0000
(5.9)
|
0.0000
(6.0)
|
| Sean Manaea | 0.0115 |
0.0000
(4.1)
|
0.0047
(4.8)
|
0.0000
(4.8)
|
0.0000
(4.1)
|
0.0000
(4.2)
|
| Zack Wheeler | 0.0154 |
0.0000
(6.1)
|
0.0044
(6.9)
|
0.0000
(6.7)
|
0.0000
(6.1)
|
0.0000
(6.1)
|
| Joan Adon | 0.0198 |
0.0000
(4.5)
|
0.0058
(4.5)
|
0.0000
(4.8)
|
0.0000
(4.5)
|
0.0000
(4.5)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0000 | 0.0128 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Josh Winckowski | 0.0000 | 0.0215 | 5.1 |
| 3 | Jesse Chavez | 0.0000 | 0.0212 | 4.6 |
| 4 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0117 | 4.5 |
| 5 | Martín Pérez | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.4 |
| 6 | Robbie Ray | 0.0000 | 0.0108 | 4.2 |
| 7 | Marco Gonzales | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.2 |
| 8 | Austin Gomber | 0.0000 | 0.0132 | 4.2 |
| 9 | Yu Darvish | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.1 |
| 10 | Kenley Jansen | 0.0000 | 0.0210 | 4.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yu Darvish | 0.0110 | 0.0000 | 8.2 |
| 2 | Luis Castillo | 0.0095 | 0.0000 | 5.6 |
| 3 | Josh Winckowski | 0.0054 | 0.0215 | 5.2 |
| 4 | Nick Pivetta | 0.0086 | 0.0020 | 4.8 |
| 5 | Johnny Cueto | 0.0116 | 0.0040 | 4.7 |
| 6 | Michael Kopech | 0.0127 | 0.0032 | 4.5 |
| 7 | Aaron Civale | 0.0110 | 0.0000 | 4.3 |
| 8 | Aaron Nola | 0.0076 | 0.0019 | 4.2 |
| 9 | John Brebbia | 0.0000 | 0.0143 | 4.2 |
| 10 | Luis Severino | 0.0108 | 0.0000 | 4.2 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0000 | 0.0128 | 6.8 |
| 2 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0117 | 5.2 |
| 3 | Robbie Ray | 0.0000 | 0.0108 | 5.0 |
| 4 | Jesse Chavez | 0.0000 | 0.0212 | 4.9 |
| 5 | Austin Gomber | 0.0000 | 0.0132 | 4.7 |
| 6 | Graham Ashcraft | 0.0054 | 0.0000 | 4.5 |
| 7 | Kenley Jansen | 0.0000 | 0.0210 | 4.3 |
| 8 | Noah Syndergaard | 0.0000 | 0.0119 | 4.3 |
| 9 | Ryan Feltner | 0.0000 | 0.0139 | 4.1 |
| 10 | Jeff Hoffman | 0.0000 | 0.0248 | 4.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0000 | 0.0128 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Josh Winckowski | 0.0000 | 0.0215 | 5.1 |
| 3 | Jesse Chavez | 0.0000 | 0.0212 | 4.6 |
| 4 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0117 | 4.5 |
| 5 | Martín Pérez | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.4 |
| 6 | Robbie Ray | 0.0000 | 0.0108 | 4.2 |
| 7 | Marco Gonzales | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.2 |
| 8 | Austin Gomber | 0.0000 | 0.0132 | 4.2 |
| 9 | Yu Darvish | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.1 |
| 10 | Kenley Jansen | 0.0000 | 0.0210 | 4.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0000 | 0.0128 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Josh Winckowski | 0.0000 | 0.0215 | 5.1 |
| 3 | Jesse Chavez | 0.0000 | 0.0212 | 4.6 |
| 4 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0117 | 4.6 |
| 5 | Martín Pérez | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.3 |
| 6 | Robbie Ray | 0.0000 | 0.0108 | 4.3 |
| 7 | Austin Gomber | 0.0000 | 0.0132 | 4.2 |
| 8 | Marco Gonzales | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.1 |
| 9 | Kenley Jansen | 0.0000 | 0.0210 | 4.1 |
| 10 | Yu Darvish | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.1 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson | 0.0806 |
0.1232
(34.5)
|
0.1262
(28.7)
|
0.1299
(31.2)
|
0.1398
(36.4)
|
0.1351
(35.0)
|
| Nestor Cortes | 0.0715 |
0.1189
(32.9)
|
0.1168
(24.8)
|
0.1280
(31.6)
|
0.1254
(28.4)
|
0.1238
(29.1)
|
| Martín Pérez | 0.0853 |
0.1327
(44.1)
|
0.1336
(35.6)
|
0.1285
(31.3)
|
0.1272
(28.1)
|
0.1363
(37.8)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spenser Watkins | 0.0000 | 0.1285 | 56.1 |
| 2 | Alek Manoah | 0.1228 | 0.0700 | 46.4 |
| 3 | Josh Winckowski | 0.0000 | 0.1487 | 45.0 |
| 4 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1176 | 0.0756 | 42.7 |
| 5 | Joel Kuhnel | 0.0000 | 0.1608 | 39.4 |
| 6 | Adrian Sampson | 0.0000 | 0.0935 | 37.3 |
| 7 | Beau Brieske | 0.0000 | 0.1150 | 36.9 |
| 8 | Merrill Kelly | 0.1352 | 0.0958 | 36.7 |
| 9 | Zac Gallen | 0.1208 | 0.0784 | 34.7 |
| 10 | Davis Martin | 0.0000 | 0.1338 | 34.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1236 | 0.2277 | 33.1 |
| 2 | Jose Quintana | 0.1407 | 0.0898 | 31.1 |
| 3 | Patrick Corbin | 0.1306 | 0.1669 | 29.5 |
| 4 | Kyle Wright | 0.1352 | 0.0908 | 29.1 |
| 5 | Dylan Cease | 0.1175 | 0.0736 | 29.0 |
| 6 | Alek Manoah | 0.1080 | 0.0700 | 25.9 |
| 7 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1097 | 0.0756 | 25.7 |
| 8 | Jeffrey Springs | 0.1280 | 0.0765 | 25.5 |
| 9 | Triston McKenzie | 0.1267 | 0.0877 | 25.2 |
| 10 | Dean Kremer | 0.1465 | 0.0938 | 24.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Corbin | 0.1257 | 0.1669 | 33.0 |
| 2 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1262 | 0.2277 | 32.3 |
| 3 | Alek Manoah | 0.1138 | 0.0700 | 30.4 |
| 4 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1137 | 0.0756 | 29.2 |
| 5 | Merrill Kelly | 0.1357 | 0.0958 | 28.0 |
| 6 | Cristian Javier | 0.1273 | 0.0752 | 27.5 |
| 7 | Zac Gallen | 0.1208 | 0.0784 | 26.6 |
| 8 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1223 | 0.0643 | 26.3 |
| 9 | Sean Manaea | 0.1088 | 0.1416 | 25.5 |
| 10 | Triston McKenzie | 0.1272 | 0.0877 | 25.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Corbin | 0.1258 | 0.1669 | 34.8 |
| 2 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1279 | 0.2277 | 32.6 |
| 3 | Alek Manoah | 0.1155 | 0.0700 | 29.6 |
| 4 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1304 | 0.0643 | 29.1 |
| 5 | Sean Manaea | 0.1106 | 0.1416 | 26.0 |
| 6 | Julio Urías | 0.1195 | 0.0740 | 26.0 |
| 7 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1127 | 0.0756 | 25.9 |
| 8 | Merrill Kelly | 0.1357 | 0.0958 | 25.8 |
| 9 | Zac Gallen | 0.1209 | 0.0784 | 24.7 |
| 10 | Dylan Cease | 0.1136 | 0.0736 | 24.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Corbin | 0.1156 | 0.1669 | 40.1 |
| 2 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1218 | 0.2277 | 33.6 |
| 3 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1269 | 0.0643 | 28.8 |
| 4 | Sean Manaea | 0.1046 | 0.1416 | 28.1 |
| 5 | Triston McKenzie | 0.1282 | 0.0877 | 26.3 |
| 6 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0990 | 0.1318 | 26.3 |
| 7 | Dean Kremer | 0.1497 | 0.0938 | 26.1 |
| 8 | Trevor Rogers | 0.0969 | 0.1447 | 25.1 |
| 9 | Merrill Kelly | 0.1306 | 0.0958 | 24.0 |
| 10 | José Berríos | 0.1102 | 0.1368 | 23.7 |
Earned Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Keuchel | 0.2046 |
0.1192
(28.0)
|
0.1140
(29.1)
|
0.1158
(28.9)
|
0.1175
(29.3)
|
0.1139
(29.6)
|
| José Berríos | 0.1328 |
0.1033
(27.4)
|
0.1015
(27.7)
|
0.1033
(27.1)
|
0.1046
(28.4)
|
0.1025
(28.2)
|
| Martín Pérez | 0.0767 |
0.1217
(31.2)
|
0.1174
(28.9)
|
0.1192
(29.5)
|
0.1180
(26.1)
|
0.1267
(35.2)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.1501 |
0.1147
(30.1)
|
0.1244
(22.2)
|
0.1165
(28.5)
|
0.1170
(30.3)
|
0.1086
(34.6)
|
| Dylan Cease | 0.0602 |
0.1029
(26.7)
|
0.1082
(31.7)
|
0.1041
(27.9)
|
0.1060
(27.1)
|
0.1004
(24.7)
|
| Trevor Rogers | 0.1363 |
0.1025
(19.4)
|
0.0929
(23.3)
|
0.1003
(20.2)
|
0.0997
(22.0)
|
0.0901
(25.4)
|
| Tyler Anderson | 0.0721 |
0.1146
(25.2)
|
0.1198
(29.8)
|
0.1224
(30.9)
|
0.1322
(35.7)
|
0.1267
(33.5)
|
Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Manoah | 0.1123 | 0.0623 | 33.8 |
| 2 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1072 | 0.0655 | 30.9 |
| 3 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0943 | 0.1261 | 27.0 |
| 4 | Zac Gallen | 0.1121 | 0.0728 | 23.1 |
| 5 | Sean Manaea | 0.1037 | 0.1297 | 22.0 |
| 6 | Nestor Cortes | 0.1119 | 0.0699 | 21.6 |
| 7 | Germán Márquez | 0.1082 | 0.1284 | 21.1 |
| 8 | Julio Urías | 0.0985 | 0.0610 | 21.1 |
| 9 | Merrill Kelly | 0.1254 | 0.0933 | 20.2 |
| 10 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1091 | 0.0622 | 19.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Quintana | 0.1254 | 0.0795 | 27.4 |
| 2 | Justin Verlander | 0.0966 | 0.0511 | 26.7 |
| 3 | Kyle Wright | 0.1281 | 0.0867 | 26.5 |
| 4 | Alek Manoah | 0.1000 | 0.0623 | 25.3 |
| 5 | Dean Kremer | 0.1389 | 0.0879 | 23.3 |
| 6 | Triston McKenzie | 0.1209 | 0.0850 | 22.5 |
| 7 | Jeffrey Springs | 0.1137 | 0.0674 | 22.4 |
| 8 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.0954 | 0.0655 | 21.7 |
| 9 | Austin Gomber | 0.1102 | 0.1456 | 21.6 |
| 10 | Matt Moore | 0.1282 | 0.0526 | 21.3 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1051 | 0.0655 | 29.4 |
| 2 | Alek Manoah | 0.1062 | 0.0623 | 29.4 |
| 3 | Justin Verlander | 0.0991 | 0.0511 | 27.6 |
| 4 | Nestor Cortes | 0.1205 | 0.0699 | 27.1 |
| 5 | Julio Urías | 0.1056 | 0.0610 | 26.3 |
| 6 | Cristian Javier | 0.1203 | 0.0718 | 24.6 |
| 7 | Sean Manaea | 0.1007 | 0.1297 | 23.8 |
| 8 | Zac Gallen | 0.1125 | 0.0728 | 23.7 |
| 9 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1149 | 0.0622 | 23.0 |
| 10 | Merrill Kelly | 0.1269 | 0.0933 | 21.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Urías | 0.1120 | 0.0610 | 28.6 |
| 2 | Alek Manoah | 0.1077 | 0.0623 | 28.2 |
| 3 | Justin Verlander | 0.0992 | 0.0511 | 25.7 |
| 4 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1038 | 0.0655 | 25.5 |
| 5 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1228 | 0.0622 | 25.4 |
| 6 | Sean Manaea | 0.1022 | 0.1297 | 24.8 |
| 7 | Nestor Cortes | 0.1182 | 0.0699 | 23.8 |
| 8 | Zac Gallen | 0.1127 | 0.0728 | 21.7 |
| 9 | Alex Wood | 0.1044 | 0.1333 | 21.4 |
| 10 | Adrian Sampson | 0.1416 | 0.0841 | 20.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0919 | 0.1261 | 28.8 |
| 2 | Sean Manaea | 0.0985 | 0.1297 | 25.7 |
| 3 | Justin Verlander | 0.0957 | 0.0511 | 25.0 |
| 4 | Alex Wood | 0.0960 | 0.1333 | 24.6 |
| 5 | Nestor Cortes | 0.1165 | 0.0699 | 24.3 |
| 6 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1176 | 0.0622 | 24.0 |
| 7 | Matt Moore | 0.1361 | 0.0526 | 23.2 |
| 8 | Dean Kremer | 0.1397 | 0.0879 | 22.9 |
| 9 | Charlie Morton | 0.0912 | 0.1140 | 21.8 |
| 10 | Jose Quintana | 0.1183 | 0.0795 | 21.5 |
Win Rate
Everybody Missed for Win Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Wright | 0.7000 |
0.3000
(292.0)
|
0.1071
(401.1)
|
0.1027
(461.9)
|
0.1909
(368.1)
|
0.3333
(286.3)
|
| Tyler Anderson | 0.5000 |
0.2941
(142.5)
|
0.1667
(200.8)
|
0.1952
(235.8)
|
0.2239
(187.9)
|
0.2963
(159.1)
|
| Tony Gonsolin | 0.6667 |
0.2778
(191.5)
|
0.1563
(229.6)
|
0.2346
(229.5)
|
0.1943
(230.1)
|
0.2000
(243.0)
|
| Yu Darvish | 0.5333 |
0.3571
(132.5)
|
0.2105
(210.8)
|
0.3758
(143.5)
|
0.3624
(123.8)
|
0.3462
(160.7)
|
Individual Misses for Win Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cal Quantrill | 0.2143 | 0.4688 | 192.6 |
| 2 | Chris Bassitt | 0.2759 | 0.5000 | 163.8 |
| 3 | Framber Valdez | 0.3462 | 0.5484 | 163.7 |
| 4 | Justin Verlander | 0.3929 | 0.6429 | 163.6 |
| 5 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.2692 | 0.5172 | 157.2 |
| 6 | Luis Garcia | 0.3077 | 0.5357 | 143.9 |
| 7 | Mitch White | 0.3333 | 0.0400 | 131.0 |
| 8 | Julio Urías | 0.3548 | 0.5484 | 130.4 |
| 9 | Kris Bubic | 0.3043 | 0.1071 | 118.3 |
| 10 | Zack Greinke | 0.3462 | 0.1538 | 115.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Verlander | 0.2000 | 0.6429 | 262.1 |
| 2 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.1333 | 0.5172 | 215.8 |
| 3 | Framber Valdez | 0.2432 | 0.5484 | 211.5 |
| 4 | Alek Manoah | 0.2051 | 0.5161 | 205.6 |
| 5 | Cal Quantrill | 0.1591 | 0.4688 | 200.4 |
| 6 | Luis Garcia | 0.2093 | 0.5357 | 178.1 |
| 7 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1951 | 0.4375 | 171.0 |
| 8 | Joe Ryan | 0.1563 | 0.4815 | 166.6 |
| 9 | Nestor Cortes | 0.1176 | 0.4286 | 160.8 |
| 10 | Jameson Taillon | 0.1707 | 0.4375 | 158.3 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Verlander | 0.4321 | 0.6429 | 159.5 |
| 2 | Spencer Strider | 0.1174 | 0.3548 | 140.5 |
| 3 | Cal Quantrill | 0.3164 | 0.4688 | 139.4 |
| 4 | Jeffrey Springs | 0.0509 | 0.2727 | 137.5 |
| 5 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2034 | 0.3438 | 135.7 |
| 6 | Keegan Thompson | 0.0938 | 0.3448 | 135.6 |
| 7 | Paul Blackburn | 0.0717 | 0.3333 | 135.6 |
| 8 | Paolo Espino | 0.2923 | 0.0000 | 128.4 |
| 9 | Ross Stripling | 0.1028 | 0.3125 | 127.7 |
| 10 | Luis Garcia | 0.3745 | 0.5357 | 122.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Verlander | 0.4135 | 0.6429 | 145.9 |
| 2 | Michael Wacha | 0.1886 | 0.4783 | 143.9 |
| 3 | Spencer Strider | 0.0799 | 0.3548 | 139.7 |
| 4 | JT Brubaker | 0.3107 | 0.1071 | 138.2 |
| 5 | Cristian Javier | 0.1270 | 0.3667 | 134.2 |
| 6 | Dane Dunning | 0.3252 | 0.1379 | 132.6 |
| 7 | Keegan Thompson | 0.0760 | 0.3448 | 125.4 |
| 8 | Kris Bubic | 0.3103 | 0.1071 | 125.3 |
| 9 | Dean Kremer | 0.1118 | 0.3636 | 123.7 |
| 10 | Cal Quantrill | 0.2995 | 0.4688 | 122.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nestor Cortes | 0.1481 | 0.4286 | 185.6 |
| 2 | Drew Rasmussen | 0.1026 | 0.3929 | 182.0 |
| 3 | Cristian Javier | 0.0833 | 0.3667 | 178.2 |
| 4 | Michael Lorenzen | 0.0465 | 0.4444 | 172.3 |
| 5 | Michael Wacha | 0.1852 | 0.4783 | 161.9 |
| 6 | Chris Bassitt | 0.3077 | 0.5000 | 159.1 |
| 7 | Martín Pérez | 0.2188 | 0.3750 | 145.8 |
| 8 | Hunter Greene | 0.5000 | 0.2083 | 143.6 |
| 9 | Patrick Corbin | 0.4138 | 0.1935 | 141.8 |
| 10 | JT Brubaker | 0.3478 | 0.1071 | 141.7 |
Loss Rate
Everybody Missed for Loss Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.6129 |
0.3571
(177.4)
|
0.2821
(195.4)
|
0.3048
(221.5)
|
0.3603
(177.1)
|
0.3448
(182.9)
|
| Mike Minor | 0.6316 |
0.3462
(126.7)
|
0.2703
(138.6)
|
0.3164
(144.6)
|
0.3778
(113.5)
|
0.3333
(130.4)
|
| Joan Adon | 0.8571 |
0.4000
(139.6)
|
0.0968
(218.1)
|
0.3505
(157.9)
|
0.3930
(142.6)
|
0.3182
(163.5)
|
Individual Misses for Loss Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brayan Bello | 0.0006 | 0.6154 | 162.9 |
| 2 | Josh Winckowski | 0.0006 | 0.4667 | 145.1 |
| 3 | Hunter Greene | 0.2632 | 0.5417 | 144.2 |
| 4 | Zac Gallen | 0.3214 | 0.1290 | 142.3 |
| 5 | Beau Brieske | 0.0006 | 0.4000 | 133.0 |
| 6 | Cal Quantrill | 0.3214 | 0.1563 | 132.5 |
| 7 | Framber Valdez | 0.3462 | 0.1935 | 132.0 |
| 8 | Spenser Watkins | 0.0005 | 0.2609 | 116.3 |
| 9 | Davis Martin | 0.0005 | 0.4286 | 113.3 |
| 10 | Zach Davies | 0.3684 | 0.1852 | 108.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marco Gonzales | 0.1944 | 0.4688 | 170.3 |
| 2 | Alex Wood | 0.1250 | 0.4615 | 155.3 |
| 3 | Madison Bumgarner | 0.2222 | 0.5000 | 154.3 |
| 4 | Hunter Greene | 0.2054 | 0.5417 | 148.4 |
| 5 | Daniel Lynch IV | 0.1892 | 0.4815 | 141.3 |
| 6 | Jonathan Heasley | 0.1250 | 0.4762 | 136.9 |
| 7 | Zach Plesac | 0.1842 | 0.4800 | 135.8 |
| 8 | Erick Fedde | 0.2000 | 0.4815 | 128.8 |
| 9 | Daulton Jefferies | 0.0952 | 0.8750 | 124.4 |
| 10 | Miles Mikolas | 0.1852 | 0.3939 | 122.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Heasley | 0.1150 | 0.4762 | 169.2 |
| 2 | Cal Quantrill | 0.3673 | 0.1563 | 160.5 |
| 3 | José Ureña | 0.0543 | 0.3810 | 142.2 |
| 4 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2054 | 0.3750 | 138.3 |
| 5 | Hunter Greene | 0.3004 | 0.5417 | 129.5 |
| 6 | Aaron Nola | 0.2565 | 0.4063 | 122.9 |
| 7 | Zac Gallen | 0.3034 | 0.1290 | 122.6 |
| 8 | Merrill Kelly | 0.3891 | 0.2424 | 115.8 |
| 9 | Brayan Bello | 0.2054 | 0.6154 | 110.6 |
| 10 | Taijuan Walker | 0.3436 | 0.1724 | 109.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cal Quantrill | 0.3965 | 0.1563 | 188.3 |
| 2 | Jonathan Heasley | 0.1052 | 0.4762 | 170.5 |
| 3 | Zac Gallen | 0.3561 | 0.1290 | 165.2 |
| 4 | Erick Fedde | 0.2252 | 0.4815 | 144.4 |
| 5 | José Ureña | 0.0504 | 0.3810 | 141.0 |
| 6 | Aaron Ashby | 0.0719 | 0.3704 | 139.8 |
| 7 | Jameson Taillon | 0.3336 | 0.1563 | 132.2 |
| 8 | Merrill Kelly | 0.4004 | 0.2424 | 130.4 |
| 9 | Zach Davies | 0.4052 | 0.1852 | 127.8 |
| 10 | Taijuan Walker | 0.3615 | 0.1724 | 125.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Nola | 0.2188 | 0.4063 | 142.0 |
| 2 | Alex Wood | 0.2000 | 0.4615 | 138.7 |
| 3 | Cristian Javier | 0.0556 | 0.3000 | 136.2 |
| 4 | Cal Quantrill | 0.3214 | 0.1563 | 136.1 |
| 5 | Kris Bubic | 0.2333 | 0.4643 | 128.8 |
| 6 | Michael Kopech | 0.0882 | 0.3600 | 128.5 |
| 7 | Josiah Gray | 0.1500 | 0.3571 | 126.9 |
| 8 | Madison Bumgarner | 0.3077 | 0.5000 | 126.2 |
| 9 | Erick Fedde | 0.2500 | 0.4815 | 126.0 |
| 10 | Daulton Jefferies | 0.1364 | 0.8750 | 125.1 |
Save Rate
Everybody Missed for Save Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Félix Bautista | 0.2308 |
0.0426
(46.4)
|
0.0298
(54.8)
|
0.0000
(56.1)
|
0.0158
(51.6)
|
0.0000
(56.5)
|
| Daniel Bard | 0.5965 |
0.0645
(129.2)
|
0.2093
(98.7)
|
0.1080
(117.4)
|
0.0939
(120.4)
|
0.0949
(121.1)
|
| Nick Martinez | 0.1702 |
0.0000
(74.1)
|
0.0298
(69.9)
|
0.0000
(72.2)
|
0.0000
(71.3)
|
0.0000
(72.9)
|
| Clay Holmes | 0.3226 |
0.0400
(72.2)
|
0.0233
(81.9)
|
0.0000
(81.5)
|
0.0174
(76.5)
|
0.0189
(77.0)
|
| Ryan Helsley | 0.3519 |
0.0000
(83.0)
|
0.0278
(81.2)
|
0.0000
(81.9)
|
0.0338
(73.4)
|
0.0234
(76.7)
|
| Tanner Scott | 0.2985 |
0.0400
(73.3)
|
0.0233
(84.1)
|
0.0000
(83.6)
|
0.0167
(78.3)
|
0.0291
(75.7)
|
| Kenley Jansen | 0.6308 |
0.4429
(47.6)
|
0.3830
(68.5)
|
0.4174
(53.1)
|
0.1003
(135.0)
|
0.4035
(57.2)
|
Individual Misses for Save Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raisel Iglesias | 0.5806 | 0.2537 | 81.6 |
| 2 | Chris Stratton | 0.3043 | 0.0333 | 76.9 |
| 3 | Tanner Houck | 0.0000 | 0.2500 | 60.6 |
| 4 | Robert Suarez | 0.3281 | 0.0222 | 59.3 |
| 5 | Aroldis Chapman | 0.5593 | 0.2093 | 56.8 |
| 6 | Dillon Tate | 0.2600 | 0.0746 | 55.5 |
| 7 | Rafael Montero | 0.0000 | 0.1972 | 52.0 |
| 8 | Giovanny Gallegos | 0.4531 | 0.2456 | 49.9 |
| 9 | Alex Colomé | 0.3000 | 0.0755 | 49.3 |
| 10 | Camilo Doval | 0.2222 | 0.3971 | 48.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorge López | 0.0250 | 0.3433 | 99.5 |
| 2 | Jordan Romano | 0.2143 | 0.5714 | 96.2 |
| 3 | Camilo Doval | 0.0800 | 0.3971 | 95.1 |
| 4 | Emmanuel Clase | 0.2222 | 0.5455 | 91.8 |
| 5 | Gregory Soto | 0.1591 | 0.4688 | 85.5 |
| 6 | David Bednar | 0.0500 | 0.4222 | 81.4 |
| 7 | David Robertson | 0.0526 | 0.3448 | 81.3 |
| 8 | Ryan Pressly | 0.2727 | 0.6600 | 73.3 |
| 9 | Scott Barlow | 0.1224 | 0.3478 | 69.9 |
| 10 | Liam Hendriks | 0.3617 | 0.6379 | 68.6 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Robertson | 0.0000 | 0.3448 | 88.6 |
| 2 | Jorge López | 0.0529 | 0.3433 | 83.8 |
| 3 | Raisel Iglesias | 0.5682 | 0.2537 | 79.6 |
| 4 | Gregory Soto | 0.1852 | 0.4688 | 72.2 |
| 5 | Mark Melancon | 0.0298 | 0.2903 | 62.1 |
| 6 | Tanner Houck | 0.0000 | 0.2500 | 59.5 |
| 7 | Camilo Doval | 0.2058 | 0.3971 | 52.1 |
| 8 | Rafael Montero | 0.0000 | 0.1972 | 50.8 |
| 9 | Jimmy Herget | 0.0000 | 0.1837 | 46.4 |
| 10 | Paul Sewald | 0.1080 | 0.3077 | 46.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Smith | 0.3591 | 0.0769 | 76.5 |
| 2 | Kyle Finnegan | 0.4219 | 0.1667 | 71.4 |
| 3 | Tanner Houck | 0.0000 | 0.2500 | 59.0 |
| 4 | Josh Hader | 0.3876 | 0.6429 | 53.5 |
| 5 | Lou Trivino | 0.3679 | 0.1719 | 51.8 |
| 6 | Rafael Montero | 0.0000 | 0.1972 | 50.2 |
| 7 | Rowan Wick | 0.2991 | 0.1406 | 49.8 |
| 8 | Aroldis Chapman | 0.5032 | 0.2093 | 48.8 |
| 9 | Paul Sewald | 0.0959 | 0.3077 | 48.6 |
| 10 | Raisel Iglesias | 0.4379 | 0.2537 | 48.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rowan Wick | 0.4555 | 0.1406 | 94.8 |
| 2 | Jorge López | 0.0277 | 0.3433 | 91.8 |
| 3 | Kyle Finnegan | 0.4727 | 0.1667 | 84.0 |
| 4 | Jordan Hicks | 0.2875 | 0.0000 | 77.6 |
| 5 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.4752 | 0.0000 | 71.9 |
| 6 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.0747 | 0.3492 | 69.4 |
| 7 | Raisel Iglesias | 0.5025 | 0.2537 | 63.0 |
| 8 | Corey Knebel | 0.5682 | 0.2609 | 61.1 |
| 9 | Tanner Houck | 0.0000 | 0.2500 | 59.9 |
| 10 | Aroldis Chapman | 0.5751 | 0.2093 | 59.7 |
Hold Rate
Everybody Missed for Hold Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 0.1915 |
0.0621
(73.0)
|
0.0621
(61.3)
|
0.0286
(68.0)
|
0.0000
(84.2)
|
| Zach Jackson | 0.4815 |
0.0621
(90.8)
|
0.0621
(85.7)
|
0.0184
(90.7)
|
0.0000
(95.8)
|
| John Schreiber | 0.3438 |
0.1250
(64.0)
|
0.0621
(73.6)
|
0.0493
(72.1)
|
0.0000
(86.5)
|
Individual Misses for Hold Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Kopech | 0.2222 | 0.0000 | 94.8 |
| 2 | Michael King | 0.0968 | 0.4706 | 80.4 |
| 3 | Yimi García | 0.0952 | 0.3770 | 77.1 |
| 4 | Michael Fulmer | 0.1250 | 0.3731 | 76.8 |
| 5 | Cionel Pérez | 0.0833 | 0.3788 | 76.2 |
| 6 | Michael Lorenzen | 0.2143 | 0.0000 | 75.6 |
| 7 | Jhoan Duran | 0.0621 | 0.3158 | 75.6 |
| 8 | Wil Crowe | 0.0732 | 0.2667 | 74.3 |
| 9 | Kendall Graveman | 0.1892 | 0.4154 | 73.1 |
| 10 | Héctor Neris | 0.1200 | 0.3571 | 70.3 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeffrey Springs | 0.2413 | 0.0000 | 129.9 |
| 2 | Brad Boxberger | 0.0621 | 0.4286 | 99.5 |
| 3 | Austin Voth | 0.2469 | 0.0244 | 96.3 |
| 4 | José Ureña | 0.1728 | 0.0000 | 72.6 |
| 5 | Anthony Bass | 0.0621 | 0.3151 | 70.9 |
| 6 | Bailey Falter | 0.2058 | 0.0000 | 70.2 |
| 7 | Wil Crowe | 0.0621 | 0.2667 | 69.5 |
| 8 | Camilo Doval | 0.2573 | 0.0147 | 68.0 |
| 9 | Jorge López | 0.2469 | 0.0149 | 67.7 |
| 10 | Tanner Scott | 0.2932 | 0.0597 | 66.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross Stripling | 0.1509 | 0.0000 | 88.4 |
| 2 | Austin Voth | 0.2050 | 0.0244 | 86.0 |
| 3 | Colin Poche | 0.0190 | 0.3538 | 78.6 |
| 4 | Graham Ashcraft | 0.1514 | 0.0000 | 76.8 |
| 5 | Michael King | 0.0737 | 0.4706 | 76.2 |
| 6 | Griffin Jax | 0.0149 | 0.2769 | 71.9 |
| 7 | Paolo Espino | 0.1197 | 0.0000 | 65.1 |
| 8 | Nick Martinez | 0.0126 | 0.1702 | 64.3 |
| 9 | Matt Moore | 0.0000 | 0.2222 | 63.3 |
| 10 | Wil Crowe | 0.0625 | 0.2667 | 63.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross Stripling | 0.3417 | 0.0000 | 187.0 |
| 2 | Austin Voth | 0.2681 | 0.0244 | 110.9 |
| 3 | Aaron Ashby | 0.2318 | 0.0370 | 95.9 |
| 4 | David Robertson | 0.4079 | 0.0517 | 95.9 |
| 5 | Caleb Smith | 0.4424 | 0.1364 | 94.6 |
| 6 | Jorge López | 0.3206 | 0.0149 | 93.2 |
| 7 | Brent Suter | 0.3521 | 0.0185 | 92.7 |
| 8 | Colin Poche | 0.0095 | 0.3538 | 82.6 |
| 9 | Jhoan Duran | 0.0000 | 0.3158 | 82.1 |
| 10 | Trevor Williams | 0.2327 | 0.0333 | 76.8 |
ERA
Everybody Missed for ERA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Keuchel | 9.1978 |
4.7059
(1439.6)
|
4.4499
(1491.0)
|
4.6292
(1460.4)
|
4.6939
(1481.1)
|
4.4587
(1521.9)
|
| Nestor Cortes | 2.4442 |
4.2353
(942.2)
|
4.1284
(929.4)
|
4.6771
(1218.8)
|
4.5820
(1078.4)
|
4.4384
(1051.8)
|
| José Berríos | 5.2326 |
3.8226
(1256.8)
|
3.8028
(1206.9)
|
3.9253
(1173.4)
|
3.9584
(1248.8)
|
3.8363
(1265.1)
|
| Martín Pérez | 2.8879 |
4.7734
(1335.2)
|
4.6236
(1282.9)
|
4.7189
(1297.1)
|
4.6713
(1148.6)
|
5.0914
(1576.0)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 6.3079 |
4.4296
(1523.9)
|
4.8406
(1169.5)
|
4.5000
(1468.0)
|
4.5377
(1536.1)
|
4.1621
(1732.3)
|
| Dylan Cease | 2.2011 |
3.9085
(1081.9)
|
4.1860
(1353.5)
|
3.9831
(1143.7)
|
4.0532
(1096.5)
|
3.8809
(1042.8)
|
| Tyler Anderson | 2.5690 |
4.3742
(1093.1)
|
4.6044
(1316.7)
|
4.7586
(1370.5)
|
5.1854
(1578.1)
|
4.8100
(1383.7)
|
Individual Misses for ERA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandy Alcantara | 4.0753 | 2.2828 | 1358.6 |
| 2 | Alek Manoah | 4.2044 | 2.2424 | 1338.5 |
| 3 | Lucas Giolito | 3.4673 | 4.8990 | 1180.2 |
| 4 | Zac Gallen | 4.2963 | 2.5435 | 1066.6 |
| 5 | Merrill Kelly | 4.9141 | 3.3694 | 1033.7 |
| 6 | Sean Manaea | 3.8222 | 4.9557 | 934.4 |
| 7 | Tony Gonsolin | 4.2472 | 2.1407 | 920.0 |
| 8 | Kyle Wright | 4.6734 | 3.1941 | 900.5 |
| 9 | Trevor Rogers | 3.8493 | 5.4673 | 895.4 |
| 10 | Mike Minor | 4.4444 | 6.0612 | 853.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Quintana | 4.9865 | 2.9336 | 1276.5 |
| 2 | Kyle Wright | 5.0546 | 3.1941 | 1245.4 |
| 3 | Alek Manoah | 3.7720 | 2.2424 | 1066.3 |
| 4 | Justin Verlander | 3.5204 | 1.7486 | 1064.8 |
| 5 | Dean Kremer | 5.4817 | 3.2314 | 1063.6 |
| 6 | Triston McKenzie | 4.5182 | 2.9634 | 1023.9 |
| 7 | Trevor Rogers | 3.5347 | 5.4673 | 1004.3 |
| 8 | Sandy Alcantara | 3.5680 | 2.2828 | 985.5 |
| 9 | Elvin Rodríguez | 4.0350 | 10.6180 | 966.1 |
| 10 | Jeffrey Springs | 4.3902 | 2.4606 | 964.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandy Alcantara | 4.0130 | 2.2828 | 1310.5 |
| 2 | Alek Manoah | 4.0734 | 2.2424 | 1241.9 |
| 3 | Cristian Javier | 4.7734 | 2.5426 | 1158.2 |
| 4 | Justin Verlander | 3.6664 | 1.7486 | 1110.1 |
| 5 | Julio Urías | 4.0000 | 2.1600 | 1094.8 |
| 6 | Zac Gallen | 4.3251 | 2.5435 | 1092.8 |
| 7 | Triston McKenzie | 4.6762 | 2.9634 | 1083.2 |
| 8 | Merrill Kelly | 4.9519 | 3.3694 | 1070.5 |
| 9 | Tony Gonsolin | 4.5161 | 2.1407 | 1057.9 |
| 10 | Elvin Rodríguez | 4.0350 | 10.6180 | 977.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Urías | 4.2551 | 2.1600 | 1178.8 |
| 2 | Alek Manoah | 4.1125 | 2.2424 | 1167.9 |
| 3 | Tony Gonsolin | 4.8528 | 2.1407 | 1159.3 |
| 4 | Sandy Alcantara | 3.9386 | 2.2828 | 1126.6 |
| 5 | Sean Manaea | 3.8244 | 4.9557 | 1016.9 |
| 6 | Zac Gallen | 4.3512 | 2.5435 | 1016.3 |
| 7 | Justin Verlander | 3.6478 | 1.7486 | 1008.9 |
| 8 | Trevor Rogers | 3.7642 | 5.4673 | 995.7 |
| 9 | Merrill Kelly | 4.9798 | 3.3694 | 985.8 |
| 10 | Triston McKenzie | 4.6713 | 2.9634 | 980.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Giolito | 3.3556 | 4.8990 | 1275.4 |
| 2 | Trevor Rogers | 3.3830 | 5.4673 | 1129.6 |
| 3 | Dean Kremer | 5.6418 | 3.2314 | 1088.8 |
| 4 | Tony Gonsolin | 4.5600 | 2.1407 | 1063.5 |
| 5 | Sean Manaea | 3.6844 | 4.9557 | 1043.5 |
| 6 | Matt Moore | 5.5125 | 1.9459 | 997.9 |
| 7 | Chase De Jong | 6.2395 | 2.6372 | 972.3 |
| 8 | Jose Quintana | 4.6311 | 2.9336 | 959.9 |
| 9 | Alex Wood | 3.6525 | 5.0969 | 959.2 |
| 10 | Triston McKenzie | 4.5349 | 2.9634 | 954.1 |
WHIP
Everybody Missed for WHIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 0.9130 |
1.2585
(238.4)
|
1.2597
(242.8)
|
1.3180
(258.8)
|
1.3263
(247.8)
|
1.2531
(213.1)
|
| Lucas Giolito | 1.4351 |
1.0842
(252.9)
|
1.1429
(208.5)
|
1.2111
(186.0)
|
1.2063
(205.8)
|
1.0899
(270.0)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 2.0604 |
1.3856
(208.0)
|
1.3997
(202.2)
|
1.4775
(189.5)
|
1.4806
(195.7)
|
1.3899
(215.8)
|
| Kris Bubic | 1.6977 |
1.3711
(198.4)
|
1.3699
(196.3)
|
1.4105
(193.5)
|
1.4333
(194.0)
|
1.4148
(190.5)
|
| Nestor Cortes | 0.9221 |
1.2059
(167.4)
|
1.2615
(204.7)
|
1.3170
(216.7)
|
1.2961
(189.3)
|
1.2637
(184.5)
|
| José Berríos | 1.4186 |
1.1129
(238.9)
|
1.1758
(187.8)
|
1.2246
(178.1)
|
1.2146
(203.4)
|
1.1601
(226.0)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 1.6965 |
1.2913
(297.2)
|
1.3878
(224.8)
|
1.3636
(267.7)
|
1.3675
(281.7)
|
1.3103
(305.0)
|
| Mike Minor | 1.6327 |
1.2222
(192.0)
|
1.2544
(175.1)
|
1.3253
(159.2)
|
1.3126
(175.7)
|
1.2735
(182.3)
|
| Triston McKenzie | 0.9512 |
1.2927
(244.5)
|
1.2065
(184.3)
|
1.3517
(265.3)
|
1.3542
(249.6)
|
1.2636
(200.6)
|
| Tyler Anderson | 1.0019 |
1.2394
(159.8)
|
1.3029
(208.2)
|
1.3448
(212.4)
|
1.3749
(217.0)
|
1.2755
(164.1)
|
| Shane McClanahan | 0.9259 |
1.1857
(159.2)
|
1.2841
(225.5)
|
1.2516
(181.6)
|
1.2288
(151.8)
|
1.2460
(178.6)
|
| Tony Gonsolin | 0.8747 |
1.3258
(218.9)
|
1.2198
(168.6)
|
1.3694
(225.2)
|
1.3918
(224.6)
|
1.3467
(214.3)
|
Individual Misses for WHIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandy Alcantara | 1.2220 | 0.9796 | 204.6 |
| 2 | Cristian Javier | 1.2845 | 0.9484 | 189.9 |
| 3 | Ryan Helsley | 1.4775 | 0.7423 | 173.0 |
| 4 | Erick Fedde | 1.3438 | 1.6299 | 170.6 |
| 5 | Merrill Kelly | 1.3558 | 1.1381 | 165.8 |
| 6 | Spencer Strider | 1.3193 | 0.9949 | 165.2 |
| 7 | Trevor Rogers | 1.1745 | 1.5047 | 163.0 |
| 8 | Jimmy Herget | 1.5152 | 0.9130 | 157.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Nola | 1.1873 | 0.9610 | 177.4 |
| 2 | Kyle Wright | 1.4041 | 1.1590 | 176.1 |
| 3 | Miles Mikolas | 1.2577 | 1.0329 | 175.7 |
| 4 | Sandy Alcantara | 1.1775 | 0.9796 | 169.6 |
| 5 | Brady Singer | 1.4060 | 1.1413 | 160.3 |
| 6 | Justin Verlander | 1.0714 | 0.8286 | 157.4 |
| 7 | Spencer Strider | 1.2963 | 0.9949 | 155.7 |
| 8 | Jose Quintana | 1.4459 | 1.2133 | 153.5 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristian Javier | 1.3960 | 0.9484 | 237.0 |
| 2 | Sandy Alcantara | 1.2733 | 0.9796 | 222.5 |
| 3 | Miles Mikolas | 1.3143 | 1.0329 | 192.2 |
| 4 | Alek Manoah | 1.2526 | 0.9915 | 171.8 |
| 5 | Aaron Nola | 1.2162 | 0.9610 | 171.7 |
| 6 | Merrill Kelly | 1.3888 | 1.1381 | 167.4 |
| 7 | Max Fried | 1.2850 | 1.0144 | 167.2 |
| 8 | Yu Darvish | 1.2068 | 0.9503 | 165.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandy Alcantara | 1.2589 | 0.9796 | 188.9 |
| 2 | Cristian Javier | 1.3317 | 0.9484 | 185.6 |
| 3 | Miles Mikolas | 1.3159 | 1.0329 | 174.5 |
| 4 | Trevor Rogers | 1.2330 | 1.5047 | 161.1 |
| 5 | Max Fried | 1.2954 | 1.0144 | 157.5 |
| 6 | Merrill Kelly | 1.3990 | 1.1381 | 156.6 |
| 7 | Kyle Wright | 1.4280 | 1.1590 | 149.7 |
| 8 | Julio Urías | 1.2412 | 0.9600 | 148.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Félix Bautista | 1.7411 | 0.9289 | 194.9 |
| 2 | Spencer Strider | 1.3723 | 0.9949 | 177.3 |
| 3 | Trevor Rogers | 1.1915 | 1.5047 | 169.2 |
| 4 | Martín Pérez | 1.5000 | 1.2581 | 164.5 |
| 5 | Ryan Helsley | 1.4458 | 0.7423 | 158.2 |
| 6 | Antonio Senzatela | 1.3660 | 1.6895 | 150.8 |
| 7 | Jason Adam | 1.4302 | 0.7579 | 149.5 |
| 8 | Sam Hentges | 1.6136 | 0.9677 | 148.1 |