2022 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Biggest Plate Appearances (PA) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Steven Kwan 1 638 637.0
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 1 632 631.0
3 Julio Rodríguez 1 560 559.0
4 Jeremy Peña 1 558 557.0
5 MJ Melendez 1 534 533.0
6 Jose Miranda 1 483 482.0
7 Adley Rutschman 1 470 469.0
8 Brendan Donovan 1 468 467.0
9 Bryson Stott 1 466 465.0
10 Seiya Suzuki 1 446 445.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Sanó 619 71 548.0
2 Brandon Drury 38 568 529.7
3 Kris Bryant 669 181 487.5
4 Adalberto Mondesi 536 54 482.4
5 Brendan Donovan 20 468 448.3
6 Michael Harris II 1 441 440.0
7 Willie Calhoun 494 62 432.4
8 David Fletcher 655 228 426.6
9 Christopher Morel 1 425 424.0
10 Bobby Bradley 439 17 422.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Vargas 577 50 527.0
2 Nick Solak 618 95 523.0
3 Otto Lopez 532 10 522.0
4 Brendon Davis 521 11 510.0
5 Lenyn Sosa 539 36 503.0
6 Joe Perez 500 1 499.0
7 Eguy Rosario 504 6 498.0
8 Heliot Ramos 515 22 493.0
9 Gabriel Arias 542 57 485.0
10 Jack Larsen 484 1 483.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 César Hernández 1 617 616.0
2 Brandon Drury 1 568 567.0
3 Josh Donaldson 1 546 545.0
4 Nelson Cruz 1 507 506.0
5 Miguel Sanó 542 71 471.0
6 Kris Bryant 633 181 452.0
7 Luis Rengifo 60 511 451.0
8 Austin Meadows 594 147 447.0
9 Michael Harris II 1 441 440.0
10 Miguel Cabrera 1 433 432.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Drury 35 568 533.0
2 Miguel Sanó 531 71 460.0
3 Luis Rengifo 67 511 444.0
4 Kris Bryant 622 181 441.0
5 Michael Harris II 1 441 440.0
6 Adalberto Mondesi 491 54 437.0
7 Brendan Donovan 33 468 435.0
8 Christopher Morel 1 425 424.0
9 Bobby Bradley 427 17 410.0
10 Alcides Escobar 535 131 404.0

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3789 0.4619 69.5
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3657 0.4184 45.3
3 Julio Rodríguez 0.3099 0.3684 42.2
4 Andrés Giménez 0.3055 0.3638 41.9
5 Brandon Drury 0.2971 0.3496 39.4
6 Jose Altuve 0.3498 0.3979 39.2
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.3796 0.4308 38.2
8 Jonathan Schoop 0.3316 0.2463 34.9
9 Nelson Cruz 0.3762 0.2906 34.8
10 Geraldo Perdomo 0.3305 0.2469 33.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3884 0.4619 67.7
2 Michael Harris II 0.2762 0.3667 50.4
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3654 0.4184 50.1
4 Andrés Giménez 0.3085 0.3638 44.1
5 Jose Altuve 0.3539 0.3979 41.0
6 Yordan Alvarez 0.3887 0.4308 37.0
7 Brandon Drury 0.3092 0.3496 36.5
8 Nolan Arenado 0.3505 0.3825 34.7
9 Adolis García 0.2984 0.3255 33.5
10 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.4247 0.3544 32.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3895 0.4619 53.7
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3533 0.4184 45.5
3 Juan Soto 0.4459 0.3781 41.8
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.4165 0.3544 40.5
5 Franmil Reyes 0.3632 0.2798 37.2
6 Yasmani Grandal 0.3658 0.2642 36.4
7 Jonathan Schoop 0.3218 0.2463 36.0
8 Cody Bellinger 0.3509 0.2840 34.1
9 Michael Harris II 0.2943 0.3667 34.1
10 Nelson Cruz 0.3622 0.2906 33.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3905 0.4619 67.5
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3658 0.4184 51.0
3 Andrés Giménez 0.3121 0.3638 43.1
4 Jose Altuve 0.3554 0.3979 41.2
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.3875 0.4308 38.7
6 Brandon Drury 0.3099 0.3496 37.1
7 Michael Harris II 0.3099 0.3667 36.4
8 Nolan Arenado 0.3501 0.3825 36.1
9 Adolis García 0.2966 0.3255 35.8
10 Joc Pederson 0.3215 0.3754 34.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3679 0.4619 76.4
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3479 0.4184 56.2
3 Jose Altuve 0.3268 0.3979 52.4
4 Michael Harris II 0.2750 0.3667 47.3
5 Albert Pujols 0.2657 0.3808 45.9
6 Andrés Giménez 0.2996 0.3638 44.5
7 Nolan Arenado 0.3324 0.3825 40.8
8 Yordan Alvarez 0.3746 0.4308 40.3
9 Yandy Díaz 0.3111 0.3673 40.1
10 Brandon Drury 0.2969 0.3496 38.8

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Steven Kwan 0.2242 0.0940 80.3
2 Brett Phillips 0.2242 0.4178 44.5
3 Christopher Morel 0.2242 0.3224 43.5
4 Oneil Cruz 0.2370 0.3490 42.0
5 Alec Bohm 0.2442 0.1743 41.5
6 Chris Taylor 0.2697 0.3524 39.5
7 Nico Hoerner 0.1902 0.1103 39.1
8 José Abreu 0.2216 0.1620 37.6
9 Kole Calhoun 0.2370 0.3208 37.3
10 Alejandro Kirk 0.1797 0.1072 37.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.2292 0.1620 48.3
2 Oneil Cruz 0.2217 0.3490 44.6
3 Alec Bohm 0.2359 0.1743 41.3
4 Diego Castillo 0.1391 0.2650 34.5
5 Yandy Díaz 0.1652 0.1075 34.3
6 Trent Grisham 0.2170 0.2863 34.3
7 Javier Báez 0.3021 0.2492 33.5
8 Nolan Gorman 0.2186 0.3291 33.4
9 Jose Barrero 0.2426 0.4368 33.1
10 Chris Taylor 0.2757 0.3524 33.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Oneil Cruz 0.2355 0.3490 44.8
2 Diego Castillo 0.1352 0.2650 39.7
3 Kole Calhoun 0.2376 0.3208 39.7
4 Nolan Gorman 0.2190 0.3291 37.8
5 Jake Cronenworth 0.1477 0.1915 37.3
6 Ian Happ 0.3009 0.2324 37.1
7 Manny Machado 0.1607 0.2065 36.3
8 Chris Taylor 0.2838 0.3524 36.0
9 Seiya Suzuki 0.1767 0.2466 35.9
10 Jose Barrero 0.2478 0.4368 34.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.2260 0.1620 45.9
2 Oneil Cruz 0.2202 0.3490 45.2
3 Alec Bohm 0.2364 0.1743 41.5
4 Kole Calhoun 0.2242 0.3208 39.4
5 Aristides Aquino 0.2242 0.3659 38.1
6 Trent Grisham 0.2132 0.2863 36.4
7 Yandy Díaz 0.1680 0.1075 35.8
8 Chris Taylor 0.2708 0.3524 35.4
9 Diego Castillo 0.1376 0.2650 35.0
10 Christian Walker 0.2450 0.1964 34.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 MJ Melendez 0.3284 0.2453 42.5
2 José Abreu 0.2201 0.1620 37.0
3 Chris Taylor 0.2751 0.3524 36.7
4 Kole Calhoun 0.2383 0.3208 36.5
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2748 0.2136 36.4
6 Trent Grisham 0.2231 0.2863 34.9
7 Josh Bell 0.2125 0.1577 33.2
8 Seiya Suzuki 0.1760 0.2466 33.1
9 Trevor Story 0.2284 0.3081 32.9
10 Alec Bohm 0.2299 0.1743 32.8

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1160 0.1595 34.4
2 Jorge Polanco 0.0752 0.1438 33.1
3 Adley Rutschman 0.0816 0.1383 29.4
4 Jesse Winker 0.1085 0.1536 27.9
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.0957 0.1390 27.6
6 MJ Melendez 0.0816 0.1236 25.6
7 Brendan Donovan 0.0816 0.1282 24.6
8 Luis Rengifo 0.0863 0.0333 24.1
9 Marcell Ozuna 0.1098 0.0611 21.7
10 Lars Nootbaar 0.0933 0.1470 20.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Polanco 0.0769 0.1438 33.9
2 Aaron Judge 0.1267 0.1595 29.2
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.0987 0.1390 27.8
4 Jesse Winker 0.1135 0.1536 27.0
5 Mike Trout 0.1705 0.1082 26.5
6 Nathaniel Lowe 0.1244 0.0744 26.3
7 Brendan Donovan 0.0821 0.1282 25.9
8 Anthony Santander 0.0589 0.0850 22.9
9 DJ LeMahieu 0.0912 0.1238 22.7
10 Bryce Harper 0.1694 0.1080 22.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1814 0.1082 37.1
2 Jorge Polanco 0.0727 0.1438 31.1
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.1208 0.0744 30.6
4 Bryce Harper 0.1708 0.1080 27.3
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1184 0.0822 26.4
6 Brandon Nimmo 0.1429 0.1055 25.9
7 Cody Bellinger 0.1144 0.0691 25.6
8 Brendan Donovan 0.0732 0.1282 25.2
9 Aaron Judge 0.1235 0.1595 24.3
10 Ian Happ 0.1271 0.0905 24.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Polanco 0.0771 0.1438 34.0
2 Aaron Judge 0.1263 0.1595 29.9
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.0986 0.1390 28.2
4 Jesse Winker 0.1132 0.1536 27.4
5 Brendan Donovan 0.0827 0.1282 25.9
6 Mike Trout 0.1687 0.1082 25.3
7 Nathaniel Lowe 0.1225 0.0744 24.8
8 Anthony Santander 0.0580 0.0850 23.8
9 DJ LeMahieu 0.0910 0.1238 23.1
10 Bryce Harper 0.1711 0.1080 22.8

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1113 0.1595 38.7
2 Jorge Polanco 0.0764 0.1438 33.3
3 Jesse Winker 0.1048 0.1536 30.8
4 Yordan Alvarez 0.0978 0.1390 27.3
5 DJ LeMahieu 0.0903 0.1238 22.2
6 Brendan Donovan 0.0909 0.1282 21.0
7 Yandy Díaz 0.1099 0.1398 20.9
8 Anthony Santander 0.0603 0.0850 20.8
9 Lars Nootbaar 0.0967 0.1470 20.0
10 J.P. Crawford 0.0875 0.1128 19.8

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Willson Contreras 0.0281 0.0493 10.6
2 Andrés Giménez 0.0274 0.0449 10.0
3 Brendan Donovan 0.0112 0.0299 9.0
4 Mark Canha 0.0358 0.0517 8.8
5 Dylan Moore 0.0199 0.0510 8.1
6 Joey Votto 0.0063 0.0266 7.8
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.0109 0.0228 7.6
8 Jake Cronenworth 0.0129 0.0234 7.5
9 Austin Riley 0.0142 0.0245 7.5
10 Anthony Santander 0.0091 0.0201 7.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrés Giménez 0.0210 0.0449 13.6
2 Mark Canha 0.0310 0.0517 11.5
3 Willson Contreras 0.0270 0.0493 11.1
4 Dylan Moore 0.0190 0.0510 8.3
5 Austin Riley 0.0140 0.0245 7.7
6 Bryan Reynolds 0.0110 0.0228 7.6
7 Thairo Estrada 0.0130 0.0259 7.3
8 Joey Votto 0.0080 0.0266 7.2
9 Travis d'Arnaud 0.0100 0.0258 7.0
10 Anthony Santander 0.0100 0.0201 6.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Willson Contreras 0.0304 0.0493 9.1
2 Andrés Giménez 0.0292 0.0449 8.7
3 Austin Riley 0.0127 0.0245 8.2
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.0094 0.0228 8.1
5 Travis d'Arnaud 0.0068 0.0258 8.1
6 Anthony Santander 0.0075 0.0201 8.0
7 Joey Votto 0.0062 0.0266 7.6
8 Mark Canha 0.0377 0.0517 7.5
9 Dylan Moore 0.0214 0.0510 7.5
10 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.0197 0.0000 7.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrés Giménez 0.0206 0.0449 13.9
2 Mark Canha 0.0317 0.0517 11.2
3 Willson Contreras 0.0272 0.0493 11.1
4 Dylan Moore 0.0182 0.0510 8.5
5 Thairo Estrada 0.0124 0.0259 7.7
6 Austin Riley 0.0142 0.0245 7.6
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.0111 0.0228 7.6
8 Travis d'Arnaud 0.0096 0.0258 7.2
9 Brendan Donovan 0.0154 0.0299 7.1
10 Joey Votto 0.0084 0.0266 7.1

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrés Giménez 0.0250 0.0449 11.4
2 Victor Robles 0.0479 0.0221 10.3
3 Travis d'Arnaud 0.0030 0.0258 10.0
4 C.J. Cron 0.0273 0.0127 8.8
5 Dylan Moore 0.0180 0.0510 8.6
6 Jose Altuve 0.0033 0.0166 8.4
7 Brandon Drury 0.0000 0.0141 8.4
8 Michael Massey 0.0000 0.0412 8.1
9 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.0220 0.0000 7.9
10 Greg Allen 0.0735 0.0149 7.8

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.0929 0.1535 48.6
2 Cal Raleigh 0.0391 0.1067 31.9
3 Nelson Cruz 0.0895 0.0299 25.5
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.0935 0.1214 24.8
5 Christian Walker 0.0512 0.0784 24.3
6 Julio Rodríguez 0.0431 0.0763 23.8
7 Anthony Rizzo 0.0563 0.0874 22.1
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0924 0.0436 21.1
9 José Abreu 0.0703 0.0303 20.8
10 Mike Trout 0.1011 0.1333 20.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1023 0.1535 45.3
2 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1039 0.0436 24.7
3 Cal Raleigh 0.0618 0.1067 24.5
4 Mike Trout 0.1012 0.1333 23.0
5 Christian Walker 0.0580 0.0784 23.0
6 Byron Buxton 0.0800 0.1244 22.3
7 Nelson Cruz 0.0872 0.0299 22.0
8 Michael Harris II 0.0283 0.0617 20.9
9 Julio Rodríguez 0.0540 0.0763 20.3
10 Brandon Drury 0.0502 0.0707 19.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1037 0.1535 38.4
2 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1070 0.0436 30.9
3 Nelson Cruz 0.0870 0.0299 26.2
4 Franmil Reyes 0.1093 0.0493 25.8
5 Ian Happ 0.0828 0.0397 24.1
6 Yasmani Grandal 0.0868 0.0200 23.1
7 Joey Gallo 0.1617 0.1011 22.6
8 Cal Raleigh 0.0576 0.1067 22.6
9 Christian Walker 0.0514 0.0784 21.7
10 Christian Yelich 0.0692 0.0337 20.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1035 0.1535 45.1
2 Cal Raleigh 0.0609 0.1067 25.1
3 Brandon Drury 0.0431 0.0707 24.0
4 Christian Walker 0.0573 0.0784 23.9
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1031 0.0436 23.9
6 Mike Trout 0.1023 0.1333 22.8
7 Albert Pujols 0.0431 0.0930 22.7
8 Byron Buxton 0.0799 0.1244 22.6
9 Julio Rodríguez 0.0541 0.0763 20.7
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0672 0.0822 19.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.0927 0.1535 48.1
2 Mike Trout 0.0841 0.1333 28.7
3 Christian Walker 0.0446 0.0784 28.1
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1024 0.0436 26.9
5 Cal Raleigh 0.0526 0.1067 25.9
6 Kyle Schwarber 0.0915 0.1214 25.6
7 Anthony Rizzo 0.0518 0.0874 24.1
8 Michael Harris II 0.0158 0.0617 23.9
9 Brandon Drury 0.0400 0.0707 22.2
10 Matt Carpenter 0.0238 0.1579 21.9

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.3234 0.2488 45.7
2 Corey Seager 0.3138 0.2424 43.5
3 Giancarlo Stanton 0.3190 0.2265 39.2
4 Manny Machado 0.2869 0.3373 36.2
5 Andrés Giménez 0.2905 0.3496 36.1
6 Jonathan Schoop 0.3100 0.2343 35.6
7 Taylor Walls 0.3000 0.2183 35.4
8 Ian Happ 0.2867 0.3358 35.1
9 Yoán Moncada 0.3503 0.2637 35.0
10 Dansby Swanson 0.3035 0.3478 34.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Seager 0.3117 0.2424 44.8
2 Juan Soto 0.3154 0.2488 43.1
3 José Abreu 0.2937 0.3500 39.4
4 Michael Harris II 0.2733 0.3599 38.9
5 Dansby Swanson 0.2941 0.3478 38.6
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3083 0.3657 38.5
7 Freddie Freeman 0.3072 0.3589 37.8
8 Rowdy Tellez 0.2803 0.2154 37.8
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.3073 0.2265 35.7
10 Manny Machado 0.2840 0.3373 35.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.3316 0.2488 53.0
2 Rowdy Tellez 0.2937 0.2154 45.0
3 Corey Seager 0.3119 0.2424 44.0
4 Myles Straw 0.3365 0.2599 43.8
5 José Abreu 0.2995 0.3500 36.4
6 Christian Walker 0.3057 0.2482 36.3
7 Trent Grisham 0.2968 0.2253 35.9
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.3080 0.2265 35.4
9 Dansby Swanson 0.3005 0.3478 35.1
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3154 0.3657 34.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Seager 0.3106 0.2424 43.5
2 Juan Soto 0.3165 0.2488 43.2
3 José Abreu 0.2944 0.3500 39.5
4 Rowdy Tellez 0.2836 0.2154 39.3
5 Dansby Swanson 0.2940 0.3478 39.3
6 Freddie Freeman 0.3067 0.3589 38.7
7 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3098 0.3657 38.1
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.3107 0.2265 36.9
9 Manny Machado 0.2853 0.3373 35.2
10 Xander Bogaerts 0.3094 0.3619 34.8

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff McNeil 0.2765 0.3526 48.5
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2989 0.3657 47.6
3 Freddie Freeman 0.3032 0.3589 43.9
4 Juan Soto 0.3204 0.2488 43.4
5 José Abreu 0.2972 0.3500 40.2
6 Andrés Giménez 0.2849 0.3496 39.6
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.2475 0.3022 38.4
8 Manny Machado 0.2847 0.3373 38.0
9 MJ Melendez 0.3333 0.2579 36.9
10 Giancarlo Stanton 0.3135 0.2265 36.5

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.2455 0.1816 41.3
2 Dansby Swanson 0.2168 0.2723 39.8
3 Ketel Marte 0.2310 0.1615 37.9
4 Jonathan Schoop 0.2399 0.1689 35.3
5 Taylor Walls 0.2167 0.1479 31.3
6 Andrew Benintendi 0.2257 0.2831 30.8
7 Anthony Rizzo 0.2060 0.1497 29.9
8 Andrés Giménez 0.2190 0.2710 29.9
9 Alejandro Kirk 0.1981 0.2512 29.7
10 Rowdy Tellez 0.2049 0.1543 29.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dansby Swanson 0.2127 0.2723 39.8
2 Juan Soto 0.2357 0.1816 37.6
3 Ketel Marte 0.2207 0.1615 34.4
4 José Abreu 0.2150 0.2667 33.4
5 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2396 0.2936 33.2
6 Carlos Correa 0.2171 0.2742 32.2
7 Xander Bogaerts 0.2205 0.2738 32.1
8 Francisco Lindor 0.1914 0.2385 31.5
9 Andrés Giménez 0.2127 0.2710 31.1
10 Jonathan Schoop 0.2264 0.1689 30.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.2494 0.1816 44.3
2 Dansby Swanson 0.2150 0.2723 40.6
3 Myles Straw 0.2725 0.2048 39.7
4 Alejandro Kirk 0.1835 0.2512 37.2
5 Rowdy Tellez 0.2168 0.1543 36.8
6 José Abreu 0.2157 0.2667 35.3
7 Ketel Marte 0.2219 0.1615 33.2
8 Yuli Gurriel 0.2376 0.1799 33.1
9 Xander Bogaerts 0.2230 0.2738 32.7
10 Isaac Paredes 0.2156 0.1301 32.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.2378 0.1615 44.1
2 José Abreu 0.2038 0.2667 40.9
3 Dansby Swanson 0.2165 0.2723 37.0
4 Jonathan Schoop 0.2351 0.1689 35.1
5 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2370 0.2936 34.8
6 Carlos Correa 0.2126 0.2742 34.8
7 Andrés Giménez 0.2063 0.2710 34.5
8 Xander Bogaerts 0.2190 0.2738 32.9
9 Francisco Lindor 0.1906 0.2385 31.9
10 Freddie Freeman 0.2127 0.2601 31.7

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2326 0.2936 41.3
2 Dansby Swanson 0.2190 0.2723 39.2
3 Juan Soto 0.2431 0.1816 38.9
4 Steven Kwan 0.2030 0.2584 37.3
5 Ketel Marte 0.2304 0.1615 36.8
6 Francisco Lindor 0.1908 0.2385 35.8
7 Matt Olson 0.2210 0.1683 34.8
8 Andrés Giménez 0.2122 0.2710 34.4
9 Kyle Schwarber 0.2215 0.1682 33.7
10 Rowdy Tellez 0.2121 0.1543 32.9

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adley Rutschman 0.0671 0.1159 24.4
2 Matt Olson 0.0742 0.1058 24.2
3 Garrett Cooper 0.0690 0.1134 22.3
4 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0759 0.0297 21.6
5 Ian Happ 0.0717 0.1022 21.5
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0751 0.1049 21.3
7 Corey Seager 0.0862 0.0519 20.7
8 Justin Turner 0.0618 0.0963 20.0
9 Teoscar Hernández 0.0749 0.1087 19.7
10 Manny Machado 0.0628 0.0892 18.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.0706 0.1058 27.1
2 Adley Rutschman 0.0639 0.1159 26.1
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0727 0.1049 23.2
4 Patrick Wisdom 0.0688 0.1061 21.8
5 Ian Happ 0.0730 0.1022 21.0
6 Garrett Cooper 0.0723 0.1134 21.0
7 Jose Altuve 0.0649 0.0944 20.0
8 J.D. Martinez 0.0851 0.1138 19.2
9 Nolan Arenado 0.0641 0.0915 19.2
10 Michael Harris II 0.0554 0.0934 18.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adley Rutschman 0.0618 0.1159 25.6
2 Garrett Cooper 0.0619 0.1134 24.3
3 Justin Turner 0.0521 0.0963 23.7
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0718 0.1049 21.7
5 Corey Seager 0.0842 0.0519 21.1
6 Jose Altuve 0.0628 0.0944 19.3
7 Christian Walker 0.0860 0.0591 17.7
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0692 0.0299 17.6
9 Patrick Wisdom 0.0739 0.1061 17.4
10 Teoscar Hernández 0.0767 0.1087 17.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Happ 0.0655 0.1022 26.4
2 Ketel Marte 0.0670 0.1094 26.1
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0696 0.1049 25.8
4 Patrick Wisdom 0.0624 0.1061 25.7
5 Matt Olson 0.0745 0.1058 25.0
6 Adley Rutschman 0.0680 0.1159 24.6
7 Garrett Cooper 0.0656 0.1134 24.5
8 David Peralta 0.0533 0.0940 22.2
9 Jesse Winker 0.0874 0.0439 21.4
10 Nolan Arenado 0.0616 0.0915 21.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.0691 0.1058 27.7
2 Justin Turner 0.0481 0.0963 27.2
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0661 0.1049 27.1
4 Adley Rutschman 0.0633 0.1159 26.1
5 Jose Altuve 0.0598 0.0944 22.7
6 Garrett Cooper 0.0699 0.1134 21.8
7 Victor Robles 0.0909 0.0369 20.8
8 Yuli Gurriel 0.0536 0.0857 20.5
9 Corey Seager 0.0844 0.0519 19.6
10 Teoscar Hernández 0.0756 0.1087 19.3

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Mateo 0.0050 0.0205 8.9
2 Steven Kwan 0.0055 0.0139 6.1
3 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0055 0.0136 5.8
4 TJ Friedl 0.0068 0.0273 5.6
5 Christopher Morel 0.0055 0.0173 5.5
6 Oneil Cruz 0.0075 0.0212 5.3
7 Gavin Lux 0.0116 0.0217 5.3
8 Rodolfo Castro 0.0063 0.0237 5.1
9 Tyler Naquin 0.0055 0.0193 5.0
10 Kyle Tucker 0.0115 0.0024 4.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Thomas 0.0222 0.0033 7.5
2 Jorge Mateo 0.0094 0.0205 6.3
3 Gavin Lux 0.0107 0.0217 5.5
4 Rodolfo Castro 0.0046 0.0237 5.5
5 Luis Arraez 0.0113 0.0020 5.2
6 Tyler Naquin 0.0058 0.0193 4.7
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.0026 0.0090 4.7
8 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0158 0.0059 4.6
9 Starling Marte 0.0057 0.0142 4.6
10 Adolis García 0.0061 0.0125 4.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Thomas 0.0233 0.0033 7.5
2 Brett Phillips 0.0339 0.0000 7.2
3 Trevor Story 0.0162 0.0000 5.8
4 Andrew Velazquez 0.0175 0.0000 5.5
5 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0258 0.0000 5.3
6 Rodolfo Castro 0.0065 0.0237 5.2
7 Francisco Lindor 0.0050 0.0105 5.0
8 Connor Joe 0.0043 0.0133 5.0
9 Nick Senzel 0.0135 0.0000 5.0
10 Ketel Marte 0.0153 0.0052 4.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Thomas 0.0221 0.0033 7.4
2 Jorge Mateo 0.0094 0.0205 6.4
3 Rodolfo Castro 0.0037 0.0237 5.8
4 Gavin Lux 0.0108 0.0217 5.5
5 Luis Arraez 0.0115 0.0020 5.2
6 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0167 0.0059 5.0
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.0027 0.0090 4.8
8 Starling Marte 0.0056 0.0142 4.7
9 Connor Joe 0.0040 0.0133 4.7
10 Tyler Naquin 0.0061 0.0193 4.7

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Thomas 0.0227 0.0033 7.8
2 Jorge Mateo 0.0074 0.0205 7.2
3 Rodolfo Castro 0.0000 0.0237 6.7
4 Gavin Lux 0.0084 0.0217 6.4
5 Matt Chapman 0.0122 0.0029 5.5
6 Luis Rengifo 0.0000 0.0102 5.4
7 Nick Senzel 0.0123 0.0000 5.0
8 Edmundo Sosa 0.0063 0.0317 4.9
9 Starling Marte 0.0049 0.0142 4.9
10 Jake Cave 0.0000 0.0268 4.8

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1483 0.1911 37.4
2 Brandon Drury 0.1008 0.1532 36.0
3 Yasmani Grandal 0.1372 0.0399 32.4
4 Michael Harris II 0.1144 0.1701 29.4
5 Julio Rodríguez 0.1144 0.1500 26.1
6 Steven Kwan 0.1144 0.1395 23.0
7 Nick Castellanos 0.1515 0.1004 22.4
8 Yonathan Daza 0.0951 0.1373 21.7
9 Adley Rutschman 0.1144 0.1489 21.4
10 Jesse Winker 0.1432 0.0932 21.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Harris II 0.1052 0.1701 34.2
2 Aaron Judge 0.1572 0.1911 32.4
3 Yasmani Grandal 0.1382 0.0399 32.2
4 Brandon Drury 0.1145 0.1532 29.1
5 Tommy Edman 0.1231 0.1508 25.4
6 Dansby Swanson 0.1224 0.1422 22.6
7 Adolis García 0.1146 0.1339 21.0
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1851 0.1332 21.0
9 Luis Arraez 0.1239 0.1459 20.9
10 Jose Altuve 0.1487 0.1705 20.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1478 0.1911 34.5
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1306 0.0399 31.8
3 Brandon Drury 0.1070 0.1532 29.8
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1754 0.1275 29.4
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1887 0.1332 26.3
6 Jeremy Peña 0.0894 0.1290 25.6
7 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1328 0.1628 23.6
8 Juan Soto 0.1793 0.1401 21.9
9 Nick Castellanos 0.1443 0.1004 21.0
10 Manny Machado 0.1295 0.1553 20.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yasmani Grandal 0.1452 0.0399 32.8
2 Michael Harris II 0.1144 0.1701 32.6
3 Brandon Drury 0.1144 0.1532 32.4
4 Aaron Judge 0.1686 0.1911 28.3
5 Tommy Edman 0.1257 0.1508 27.2
6 Adolis García 0.1135 0.1339 25.4
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1792 0.1275 23.7
8 Julio Rodríguez 0.1278 0.1500 22.6
9 Adley Rutschman 0.1215 0.1489 21.4
10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1913 0.1332 21.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Harris II 0.1017 0.1701 34.5
2 Miguel Rojas 0.1420 0.0671 33.0
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1926 0.1351 31.8
4 Adley Rutschman 0.0917 0.1489 31.5
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.2018 0.1332 31.3
6 Jesse Winker 0.1599 0.0932 31.1
7 Bo Bichette 0.1837 0.1306 30.2
8 Yasmani Grandal 0.1292 0.0399 29.9
9 Elvis Andrus 0.0736 0.1144 29.2
10 Brandon Drury 0.1143 0.1532 27.7

RBI Rate

Biggest RBI Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.1758 0.1105 37.7
2 Aaron Judge 0.1445 0.1882 37.3
3 Pete Alonso 0.1502 0.1912 34.9
4 Josh Naylor 0.0991 0.1586 34.6
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1341 0.1767 34.2
6 Francisco Lindor 0.1145 0.1516 33.1
7 Willy Adames 0.1151 0.1588 33.1
8 Brandon Drury 0.1048 0.1532 33.1
9 Connor Joe 0.1377 0.0600 31.7
10 Juan Soto 0.1510 0.0934 31.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1359 0.1767 37.7
2 José Ramírez 0.1550 0.1839 31.6
3 Juan Soto 0.1578 0.0934 31.3
4 Aaron Judge 0.1644 0.1882 28.6
5 Michael Harris II 0.0979 0.1451 28.4
6 Brandon Drury 0.1221 0.1532 27.5
7 Willy Adames 0.1318 0.1588 27.3
8 Albert Pujols 0.1369 0.1937 26.0
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1891 0.1374 24.3
10 Matt Carpenter 0.1016 0.2403 24.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.1778 0.0934 52.8
2 José Abreu 0.1775 0.1105 42.2
3 Josh Bell 0.1761 0.1097 39.7
4 Franmil Reyes 0.1794 0.0994 35.5
5 Jared Walsh 0.1796 0.0969 35.3
6 Matt Olson 0.1997 0.1474 33.2
7 Max Muncy 0.1837 0.1221 32.0
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1328 0.1767 31.7
9 Christian Yelich 0.1349 0.0849 30.2
10 Adam Duvall 0.2148 0.1143 30.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1324 0.1767 40.3
2 Albert Pujols 0.1092 0.1937 35.9
3 Brandon Drury 0.1092 0.1532 35.0
4 José Ramírez 0.1544 0.1839 32.4
5 Willy Adames 0.1256 0.1588 31.4
6 Aaron Judge 0.1613 0.1882 31.0
7 Juan Soto 0.1564 0.0934 30.1
8 Joc Pederson 0.1176 0.1617 26.7
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1919 0.1374 26.0
10 Franmil Reyes 0.1709 0.0994 25.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1109 0.1767 49.1
2 Juan Soto 0.1724 0.0934 46.0
3 Aaron Judge 0.1336 0.1882 44.8
4 José Abreu 0.1780 0.1105 39.3
5 Jared Walsh 0.1856 0.0969 35.9
6 Albert Pujols 0.1031 0.1937 35.2
7 Cal Raleigh 0.0778 0.1518 34.7
8 J.D. Martinez 0.1715 0.1040 34.5
9 Kyle Tucker 0.1299 0.1757 33.8
10 Willy Adames 0.1143 0.1588 33.4

Stolen Base Rate

Biggest Stolen Base Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Mateo 0.1324 0.3646 120.9
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0592 0.2326 106.2
3 Jon Berti 0.1304 0.3832 99.9
4 Billy Hamilton 0.2281 3.3333 71.3
5 Julio Rodríguez 0.0592 0.1825 66.0
6 Randy Arozarena 0.1119 0.2177 64.7
7 Michael Harris II 0.0592 0.2000 59.7
8 Marcus Semien 0.0735 0.1582 57.4
9 Bubba Thompson 0.0592 0.3750 56.2
10 Jake McCarthy 0.0877 0.2473 54.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Berti 0.1222 0.3832 103.4
2 Jorge Mateo 0.1683 0.3646 102.0
3 Billy Hamilton 0.2279 3.3333 71.3
4 Marcus Semien 0.0679 0.1582 61.8
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1342 0.2326 59.0
6 Randy Arozarena 0.1215 0.2177 58.8
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.1434 0.0659 54.9
8 Julio Rodríguez 0.0795 0.1825 54.9
9 Adolis García 0.1096 0.1908 50.1
10 Thairo Estrada 0.0600 0.1544 48.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Berti 0.1529 0.3832 95.7
2 Jorge Mateo 0.2073 0.3646 87.4
3 Billy Hamilton 0.3276 3.3333 69.3
4 Marcus Semien 0.0788 0.1582 62.4
5 Nick Gordon 0.1975 0.0612 57.4
6 Thairo Estrada 0.0568 0.1544 56.5
7 Randy Arozarena 0.1389 0.2177 55.2
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.1458 0.0659 48.8
9 Adolis García 0.1238 0.1908 48.5
10 Bo Bichette 0.1543 0.0793 47.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Berti 0.1205 0.3832 104.9
2 Jorge Mateo 0.1683 0.3646 103.0
3 Billy Hamilton 0.0592 3.3333 75.2
4 Marcus Semien 0.0679 0.1582 63.2
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1325 0.2326 61.3
6 Michael Harris II 0.0592 0.2000 60.8
7 Randy Arozarena 0.1217 0.2177 59.9
8 Bubba Thompson 0.0592 0.3750 56.6
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1476 0.0659 56.4
10 Julio Rodríguez 0.0802 0.1825 55.6

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Mateo 0.1548 0.3646 108.0
2 Jon Berti 0.1136 0.3832 106.0
3 Marcus Semien 0.0483 0.1582 74.3
4 Randy Arozarena 0.0993 0.2177 71.7
5 Billy Hamilton 0.2857 3.3333 69.9
6 Adolis García 0.0952 0.1908 58.0
7 J.T. Realmuto 0.0414 0.1511 57.6
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1356 0.2326 56.7
9 Julio Rodríguez 0.0833 0.1825 51.4
10 Brendan Donovan 0.1111 0.0127 49.4

Batting Average

Biggest Batting Average Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Steven Kwan 0.2427 0.2984 40.2
2 Andrés Giménez 0.2389 0.2974 36.6
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2580 0.3019 33.0
4 Jeff McNeil 0.2784 0.3265 32.6
5 Aaron Judge 0.2729 0.3105 31.2
6 Juan Soto 0.2958 0.2424 30.7
7 Jonathan Schoop 0.2682 0.2017 30.3
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2784 0.3173 30.1
9 Ketel Marte 0.3008 0.2398 30.0
10 Jesse Winker 0.2793 0.2193 28.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.3117 0.2424 39.1
2 José Abreu 0.2594 0.3045 37.7
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2581 0.3019 35.0
4 Michael Harris II 0.2286 0.2971 34.8
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2744 0.3173 34.7
6 Andrés Giménez 0.2470 0.2974 33.9
7 Jeff McNeil 0.2796 0.3265 33.8
8 Aaron Judge 0.2731 0.3105 33.3
9 Freddie Freeman 0.2918 0.3252 31.0
10 Dansby Swanson 0.2452 0.2766 29.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.3136 0.2424 46.4
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2681 0.3173 32.9
3 Trent Grisham 0.2464 0.1840 32.0
4 Jonathan Schoop 0.2654 0.2017 31.8
5 Corey Seager 0.2912 0.2445 30.0
6 Myles Straw 0.2709 0.2206 29.2
7 José Abreu 0.2641 0.3045 28.3
8 Max Muncy 0.2467 0.1961 27.8
9 Ketel Marte 0.2904 0.2398 27.5
10 Jeff McNeil 0.2817 0.3265 27.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.3120 0.2424 38.7
2 José Abreu 0.2614 0.3045 37.0
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2574 0.3019 36.0
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2760 0.3173 34.3
5 Jeff McNeil 0.2805 0.3265 33.8
6 Andrés Giménez 0.2487 0.2974 33.5
7 Aaron Judge 0.2744 0.3105 33.1
8 Freddie Freeman 0.2940 0.3252 30.2
9 Dansby Swanson 0.2456 0.2766 29.5
10 Michael Harris II 0.2427 0.2971 29.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff McNeil 0.2526 0.3265 46.0
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2585 0.3173 41.0
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2425 0.3019 41.0
4 Freddie Freeman 0.2757 0.3252 38.0
5 Andrés Giménez 0.2354 0.2974 36.9
6 Aaron Judge 0.2626 0.3105 36.3
7 José Abreu 0.2587 0.3045 34.0
8 Juan Soto 0.2970 0.2424 33.4
9 Yandy Díaz 0.2406 0.2960 33.3
10 Steven Kwan 0.2531 0.2984 31.6

On-Base Percentage

Biggest On-Base Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3612 0.4249 52.3
2 Steven Kwan 0.3115 0.3726 46.4
3 Brendan Donovan 0.3115 0.3940 44.0
4 Andrés Giménez 0.3089 0.3707 40.9
5 Jose Altuve 0.3369 0.3874 37.5
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3593 0.4037 36.4
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.3535 0.4064 36.1
8 Yandy Díaz 0.3514 0.4014 34.4
9 Jonathan Schoop 0.3176 0.2392 34.1
10 José Abreu 0.3425 0.3785 32.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3693 0.4249 50.4
2 Andrés Giménez 0.3012 0.3707 48.1
3 José Abreu 0.3321 0.3785 43.0
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3583 0.4037 40.5
5 Brendan Donovan 0.3286 0.3940 38.5
6 Yordan Alvarez 0.3572 0.4064 37.1
7 Jose Altuve 0.3509 0.3874 32.2
8 Michael Harris II 0.2841 0.3386 31.5
9 Jeff McNeil 0.3456 0.3820 31.4
10 Adolis García 0.2709 0.2998 30.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3687 0.4249 39.4
2 Juan Soto 0.4607 0.4012 39.3
3 Brendan Donovan 0.3130 0.3940 38.1
4 Cody Bellinger 0.3333 0.2655 37.1
5 Andrés Giménez 0.3061 0.3707 36.2
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3488 0.4037 36.0
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3898 0.3385 35.9
8 Matt Olson 0.3752 0.3247 35.0
9 Jonathan Schoop 0.3066 0.2392 34.1
10 José Abreu 0.3306 0.3785 32.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3699 0.4249 50.9
2 Andrés Giménez 0.3024 0.3707 48.2
3 José Abreu 0.3339 0.3785 42.6
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3608 0.4037 39.7
5 Brendan Donovan 0.3301 0.3940 38.4
6 Yordan Alvarez 0.3582 0.4064 37.2
7 Jose Altuve 0.3508 0.3874 33.1
8 Adolis García 0.2697 0.2998 31.7
9 Jeff McNeil 0.3470 0.3820 31.3
10 Andrew Benintendi 0.3341 0.3731 29.8

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.3499 0.4249 60.1
2 Andrés Giménez 0.2942 0.3707 49.0
3 Yandy Díaz 0.3275 0.4014 47.6
4 Jose Altuve 0.3213 0.3874 46.9
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3483 0.4037 43.5
6 Steven Kwan 0.3197 0.3726 41.1
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.3491 0.4064 38.6
8 Jeff McNeil 0.3302 0.3820 37.3
9 Brendan Donovan 0.3333 0.3940 33.8
10 José Abreu 0.3404 0.3785 33.7

Slugging Percentage

Biggest Slugging Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5175 0.6860 138.9
2 Nelson Cruz 0.5289 0.3371 81.5
3 Julio Rodríguez 0.3953 0.5088 81.0
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.4845 0.5775 80.8
5 Brandon Drury 0.3930 0.4923 74.1
6 Jesse Winker 0.5012 0.3443 68.8
7 Geraldo Perdomo 0.4300 0.2622 68.3
8 Nathaniel Lowe 0.4200 0.4924 66.8
9 Michael Harris II 0.3953 0.5145 66.3
10 Yordan Alvarez 0.5308 0.6128 63.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5393 0.6860 134.4
2 Michael Harris II 0.3440 0.5145 95.7
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.4898 0.5775 87.4
4 Brandon Drury 0.4174 0.4923 68.9
5 Jose Altuve 0.4710 0.5332 65.6
6 Nelson Cruz 0.5124 0.3371 65.4
7 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.5797 0.4133 64.0
8 Juan Soto 0.5945 0.4523 63.6
9 Matt Carpenter 0.3607 0.7266 63.5
10 Mike Trout 0.5513 0.6301 62.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5383 0.6860 112.2
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.4620 0.5775 84.1
3 Nelson Cruz 0.5077 0.3371 79.6
4 Juan Soto 0.5813 0.4523 76.7
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.5622 0.4133 72.2
6 Franmil Reyes 0.5234 0.3653 68.4
7 Yasmani Grandal 0.4640 0.2691 68.2
8 Max Muncy 0.5156 0.3836 66.9
9 Michael Harris II 0.3804 0.5145 65.1
10 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5852 0.4796 65.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5419 0.6860 135.1
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.4882 0.5775 90.7
3 Brandon Drury 0.3953 0.4923 83.5
4 Michael Harris II 0.3953 0.5145 74.6
5 Albert Pujols 0.3953 0.5505 72.0
6 Juan Soto 0.6025 0.4523 66.5
7 Christian Walker 0.4283 0.4768 65.7
8 Nolan Arenado 0.4786 0.5332 64.8
9 Jose Altuve 0.4765 0.5332 64.5
10 Matt Carpenter 0.3624 0.7266 63.8

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5000 0.6860 145.1
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.4453 0.5775 100.7
3 Michael Harris II 0.3294 0.5145 91.5
4 Albert Pujols 0.3258 0.5505 86.7
5 Jose Altuve 0.4239 0.5332 79.6
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.5653 0.4133 69.1
7 Christian Walker 0.3967 0.4768 68.4
8 Matt Carpenter 0.3051 0.7266 68.4
9 Nolan Arenado 0.4485 0.5332 66.4
10 Yordan Alvarez 0.5189 0.6128 65.2

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Biggest Batters Faced (BF) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Casey Mize 592 45 547.0
2 George Kirby 1 542 541.0
3 Hunter Greene 1 531 530.0
4 John Means 562 34 528.0
5 Anthony DeSclafani 604 94 510.0
6 Kyle Bradish 1 509 508.0
7 Hyun Jin Ryu 615 113 502.0
8 Miles Mikolas 342 805 463.0
9 Graham Ashcraft 1 464 463.0
10 Kyle Wright 281 738 457.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Casey Mize 741 45 695.5
2 John Means 723 34 689.4
3 Anthony DeSclafani 753 94 658.6
4 Hyun Jin Ryu 705 113 592.0
5 Walker Buehler 839 274 564.7
6 Luis Patiño 630 98 531.8
7 Stephen Strasburg 547 23 524.4
8 Steven Matz 696 207 489.2
9 Vladimir Gutierrez 644 179 465.1
10 Kyle Wright 278 738 459.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Casey Mize 628 45 583.0
2 Matthew Boyd 634 53 581.0
3 John Means 608 34 574.0
4 Bowden Francis 555 3 552.0
5 Anthony DeSclafani 629 94 535.0
6 Rico Garcia 563 35 528.0
7 Cade Cavalli 541 23 518.0
8 Yonny Chirinos 545 30 515.0
9 Hyun Jin Ryu 623 113 510.0
10 Cooper Criswell 513 13 500.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 1 803 802.0
2 John Means 728 34 693.8
3 Corey Kluber 1 689 688.0
4 Casey Mize 694 45 648.8
5 Anthony DeSclafani 693 94 598.6
6 Hyun Jin Ryu 693 113 579.7
7 Huascar Ynoa 591 37 553.5
8 Kyle Wright 201 738 536.8
9 Walker Buehler 794 274 519.5
10 Chad Kuhl 139 617 478.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hyun Jin Ryu 743 113 629.9
2 John Means 645 34 610.9
3 Anthony DeSclafani 686 94 591.9
4 Casey Mize 615 45 570.1
5 Huascar Ynoa 519 37 482.1
6 Kyle Wright 257 738 480.9
7 Wade Miley 639 159 480.1
8 Walker Buehler 750 274 476.1
9 Spenser Watkins 1 459 458.0
10 Chris Sale 482 25 457.1

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Berríos 0.3037 0.3490 40.8
2 Lucas Giolito 0.2953 0.3448 40.8
3 Nestor Cortes 0.3199 0.2451 40.5
4 Justin Verlander 0.2883 0.2214 38.6
5 Patrick Corbin 0.3391 0.3833 37.9
6 Spencer Strider 0.3160 0.2360 37.5
7 Mike Minor 0.3168 0.3882 36.6
8 Martín Pérez 0.3409 0.2877 36.3
9 Shane McClanahan 0.3125 0.2488 35.1
10 Zac Gallen 0.3079 0.2501 34.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.3134 0.3833 47.4
2 Tyler Anderson 0.3304 0.2697 45.3
3 Nestor Cortes 0.3093 0.2451 41.5
4 José Berríos 0.2915 0.3490 40.8
5 Tony Gonsolin 0.3174 0.2394 40.5
6 Zac Gallen 0.3031 0.2501 40.2
7 Justin Verlander 0.2766 0.2214 39.0
8 Triston McKenzie 0.3124 0.2672 36.0
9 Lucas Giolito 0.2914 0.3448 34.9
10 Cristian Javier 0.3059 0.2504 34.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.3026 0.3833 55.9
2 Lucas Giolito 0.2651 0.3448 54.0
3 José Berríos 0.2856 0.3490 46.0
4 Nestor Cortes 0.3102 0.2451 41.4
5 Spencer Strider 0.3089 0.2360 39.7
6 Tony Gonsolin 0.3124 0.2394 37.5
7 Trevor Rogers 0.2739 0.3540 37.1
8 Germán Márquez 0.2923 0.3410 36.1
9 Tyler Anderson 0.3167 0.2697 34.8
10 Martín Pérez 0.3276 0.2877 34.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.3096 0.3067 139.9
2 Corey Kluber 0.3096 0.3149 114.4
3 Adrian Sampson 0.3096 0.3024 76.4
4 Andre Pallante 0.3096 0.3202 73.5
5 Graham Ashcraft 0.3096 0.3273 71.3
6 Spenser Watkins 0.3096 0.3310 68.8
7 Drew Hutchison 0.3096 0.3379 66.4
8 Mitch White 0.3096 0.3322 65.5
9 Taylor Hearn 0.3096 0.3365 64.9
10 Collin McHugh 0.3096 0.2487 63.2

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1266 0.3833 52.5
2 Cristian Javier 0.1546 0.2504 51.0
3 Tony Gonsolin 0.1558 0.2394 49.6
4 Spencer Strider 0.1460 0.2360 49.2
5 Zac Gallen 0.1356 0.2501 48.9
6 Triston McKenzie 0.1482 0.2672 47.5
7 Jackson Stephens 0.3096 0.2905 47.5
8 José Berríos 0.1100 0.3490 42.1
9 Nestor Cortes 0.1303 0.2451 42.0
10 Justin Verlander 0.0995 0.2214 40.7

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 0.2261 0.3826 87.8
2 Hunter Greene 0.2245 0.3089 50.0
3 Edwin Díaz 0.3028 0.5021 49.2
4 Marco Gonzales 0.2003 0.1315 46.2
5 Cristian Javier 0.2668 0.3316 43.7
6 Zack Greinke 0.2063 0.1248 41.9
7 Ryan Helsley 0.2279 0.3933 41.9
8 Dakota Hudson 0.2079 0.1309 40.0
9 Andrés Muñoz 0.2411 0.3871 38.7
10 Dylan Bundy 0.2311 0.1580 37.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 0.2799 0.3826 55.3
2 Hunter Greene 0.2317 0.3089 42.1
3 Michael Kopech 0.2988 0.2126 41.6
4 Marco Gonzales 0.1829 0.1315 38.6
5 Ryan Helsley 0.2343 0.3933 38.5
6 Edwin Díaz 0.3411 0.5021 38.3
7 Mike Clevinger 0.2660 0.1876 37.0
8 Graham Ashcraft 0.2315 0.1530 35.5
9 Cristian Javier 0.2739 0.3316 35.0
10 Merrill Kelly 0.1804 0.2201 33.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 0.2317 0.3826 79.9
2 Shane Bieber 0.3197 0.2503 54.6
3 Michael Kopech 0.3140 0.2126 49.9
4 Dylan Bundy 0.2320 0.1580 43.8
5 Marco Gonzales 0.1815 0.1315 38.8
6 Robbie Ray 0.3239 0.2735 38.7
7 Ryan Helsley 0.2346 0.3933 38.0
8 Mike Clevinger 0.2662 0.1876 37.9
9 Jeffrey Springs 0.3317 0.2623 37.9
10 Tyler Wells 0.2688 0.1797 37.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 0.2703 0.3826 61.9
2 Cristian Javier 0.2620 0.3316 43.6
3 Hunter Greene 0.2318 0.3089 43.5
4 Edwin Díaz 0.3368 0.5021 40.0
5 Ryan Helsley 0.2348 0.3933 39.0
6 Michael Kopech 0.2962 0.2126 38.9
7 Marco Gonzales 0.1853 0.1315 38.3
8 Spenser Watkins 0.2245 0.1373 37.8
9 Merrill Kelly 0.1785 0.2201 37.4
10 Jesús Luzardo 0.2127 0.3000 36.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 0.2326 0.3826 77.3
2 Michael Kopech 0.3111 0.2126 50.5
3 Hunter Greene 0.2133 0.3089 48.8
4 Marco Gonzales 0.1891 0.1315 47.9
5 Edwin Díaz 0.3042 0.5021 45.7
6 Shane Bieber 0.3030 0.2503 44.5
7 Ryan Helsley 0.2056 0.3933 44.0
8 Noah Syndergaard 0.2408 0.1681 43.1
9 Zack Greinke 0.1941 0.1248 42.6
10 Jesús Luzardo 0.2021 0.3000 37.7

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.0926 0.0305 40.2
2 Triston McKenzie 0.1014 0.0594 28.3
3 Aaron Nola 0.0714 0.0359 25.5
4 Jameson Taillon 0.0776 0.0440 21.7
5 Kevin Gausman 0.0708 0.0386 20.5
6 Kyle Wright 0.1032 0.0718 20.3
7 George Kirby 0.0817 0.0406 20.2
8 Shane Bieber 0.0747 0.0455 20.0
9 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0887 0.1278 19.5
10 Ross Stripling 0.0766 0.0373 19.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.0813 0.0305 32.3
2 Triston McKenzie 0.1025 0.0594 29.1
3 Aaron Nola 0.0684 0.0359 23.1
4 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0844 0.1278 21.4
5 Drew Rasmussen 0.0931 0.0531 21.1
6 Kevin Gausman 0.0685 0.0386 18.9
7 Jeffrey Springs 0.0936 0.0565 18.3
8 Max Fried 0.0714 0.0437 17.5
9 Dylan Bundy 0.0791 0.0471 16.8
10 Michael Kopech 0.0854 0.1154 16.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0785 0.1278 25.9
2 Triston McKenzie 0.0989 0.0594 23.6
3 Corey Kluber 0.0711 0.0305 22.7
4 Drew Rasmussen 0.0965 0.0531 20.9
5 Aaron Nola 0.0675 0.0359 19.2
6 Sean Manaea 0.0538 0.0745 19.0
7 Chris Flexen 0.0623 0.0864 18.8
8 Lance Lynn 0.0794 0.0371 17.7
9 Félix Bautista 0.1685 0.0909 17.7
10 Jeffrey Springs 0.0962 0.0565 17.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.0817 0.0305 33.3
2 Triston McKenzie 0.0990 0.0594 27.2
3 Aaron Nola 0.0693 0.0359 24.6
4 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0834 0.1278 21.4
5 Drew Rasmussen 0.0922 0.0531 21.2
6 Max Fried 0.0726 0.0437 19.1
7 Kevin Gausman 0.0678 0.0386 19.1
8 Jeffrey Springs 0.0923 0.0565 18.1
9 Michael Kopech 0.0830 0.1154 17.4
10 Zach Jackson 0.0817 0.1634 17.1

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Triston McKenzie 0.1083 0.0594 33.2
2 Aaron Nola 0.0778 0.0359 30.5
3 Corey Kluber 0.0735 0.0305 26.9
4 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0841 0.1278 21.7
5 Kevin Gausman 0.0720 0.0386 21.2
6 Tony Gonsolin 0.1169 0.0703 21.2
7 Jameson Taillon 0.0769 0.0440 21.1
8 Yu Darvish 0.0783 0.0480 20.2
9 James Kaprielian 0.0714 0.1023 20.1
10 Chris Flexen 0.0574 0.0864 19.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0112 0.0431 14.1
2 Kyle Freeland 0.0091 0.0209 9.1
3 Taylor Rogers 0.0101 0.0401 8.3
4 Steve Cishek 0.0191 0.0453 7.5
5 Carlos Rodón 0.0135 0.0042 6.5
6 Adrian Sampson 0.0199 0.0047 6.5
7 Mike Clevinger 0.0076 0.0206 6.4
8 Chad Kuhl 0.0182 0.0081 6.2
9 Dylan Cease 0.0124 0.0040 6.2
10 A.J. Puk 0.0144 0.0356 6.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0119 0.0431 13.4
2 Kyle Freeland 0.0088 0.0209 8.6
3 Steve Cishek 0.0150 0.0453 8.4
4 Taylor Rogers 0.0102 0.0401 8.0
5 A.J. Puk 0.0101 0.0356 6.9
6 Carlos Rodón 0.0125 0.0042 6.5
7 Glenn Otto 0.0105 0.0221 6.3
8 Braxton Garrett 0.0095 0.0268 6.1
9 Charlie Morton 0.0155 0.0247 6.1
10 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0132 0.0310 6.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0084 0.0431 15.4
2 Kyle Freeland 0.0069 0.0209 10.9
3 Alek Manoah 0.0315 0.0191 9.6
4 Taylor Rogers 0.0102 0.0401 8.3
5 Mike Clevinger 0.0043 0.0206 8.0
6 A.J. Puk 0.0114 0.0356 6.9
7 Tyler Anderson 0.0034 0.0127 6.7
8 Joe Jiménez 0.0267 0.0000 6.1
9 Carlos Rodón 0.0130 0.0042 6.1
10 Rich Hill 0.0194 0.0076 6.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0119 0.0431 13.3
2 Steve Cishek 0.0112 0.0453 9.5
3 Kyle Freeland 0.0087 0.0209 8.6
4 Taylor Rogers 0.0102 0.0401 7.9
5 A.J. Puk 0.0100 0.0356 6.9
6 Carlos Rodón 0.0125 0.0042 6.5
7 Glenn Otto 0.0107 0.0221 6.2
8 Charlie Morton 0.0155 0.0247 6.1
9 Braxton Garrett 0.0096 0.0268 6.1
10 Dylan Cease 0.0112 0.0040 6.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0000 0.0431 14.0
2 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0247 9.8
3 Steve Cishek 0.0000 0.0453 9.8
4 Taylor Rogers 0.0000 0.0401 7.9
5 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.0209 7.4
6 Kevin Gausman 0.0000 0.0014 7.2
7 Merrill Kelly 0.0000 0.0025 7.0
8 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0000 0.0310 7.0
9 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0025 6.9
10 Shane Bieber 0.0000 0.0025 6.9

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0377 0.0633 24.8
2 Hunter Greene 0.0418 0.0777 23.5
3 Patrick Sandoval 0.0563 0.0190 18.5
4 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0558 0.0875 18.2
5 Josiah Gray 0.0709 0.0903 18.0
6 Jose Quintana 0.0507 0.0163 17.7
7 Martín Pérez 0.0490 0.0191 17.6
8 Tarik Skubal 0.0725 0.0275 17.5
9 Corbin Burnes 0.0343 0.0469 16.8
10 Justin Verlander 0.0596 0.0269 16.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0489 0.0875 21.9
2 Tyler Anderson 0.0670 0.0266 21.7
3 Charlie Morton 0.0436 0.0633 21.4
4 Josiah Gray 0.0676 0.0903 20.9
5 Justin Verlander 0.0617 0.0269 16.8
6 Gerrit Cole 0.0570 0.0682 16.5
7 Johnny Cueto 0.0638 0.0294 16.1
8 Sean Manaea 0.0489 0.0628 15.8
9 Martín Pérez 0.0473 0.0191 15.3
10 Jose Quintana 0.0474 0.0163 14.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.0748 0.0269 25.9
2 Charlie Morton 0.0391 0.0633 24.2
3 Tyler Anderson 0.0668 0.0266 22.1
4 Gerrit Cole 0.0493 0.0682 22.1
5 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0498 0.0875 21.2
6 Josiah Gray 0.0694 0.0903 19.4
7 Patrick Sandoval 0.0560 0.0190 17.9
8 Jordan Lyles 0.0776 0.0456 17.8
9 Corbin Burnes 0.0350 0.0469 16.6
10 Spenser Watkins 0.0744 0.0304 16.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0421 0.0633 22.6
2 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0510 0.0875 21.0
3 Josiah Gray 0.0689 0.0903 20.2
4 Tyler Anderson 0.0647 0.0266 20.0
5 Justin Verlander 0.0630 0.0269 17.5
6 Sean Manaea 0.0469 0.0628 17.3
7 Martín Pérez 0.0483 0.0191 16.0
8 Gerrit Cole 0.0584 0.0682 15.5
9 Jose Quintana 0.0484 0.0163 15.2
10 Johnny Cueto 0.0623 0.0294 15.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josiah Gray 0.0526 0.0903 27.9
2 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0452 0.0875 21.6
3 Jose Quintana 0.0508 0.0163 19.8
4 Charlie Morton 0.0455 0.0633 16.9
5 Martín Pérez 0.0449 0.0191 16.8
6 Gerrit Cole 0.0524 0.0682 16.7
7 Hunter Greene 0.0521 0.0777 16.4
8 Carlos Rodón 0.0569 0.0287 16.2
9 Sean Manaea 0.0458 0.0628 15.0
10 Patrick Sandoval 0.0453 0.0190 13.4

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.2886 0.3634 55.2
2 Lucas Giolito 0.2760 0.3403 45.7
3 Patrick Corbin 0.3061 0.3645 42.6
4 Corbin Burnes 0.3077 0.2591 37.7
5 Kris Bubic 0.2891 0.3520 37.7
6 Glenn Otto 0.3202 0.2552 37.4
7 Shane McClanahan 0.3102 0.2506 37.4
8 Michael Kopech 0.2975 0.2229 36.2
9 Zac Gallen 0.2844 0.2366 33.2
10 José Berríos 0.2864 0.3276 32.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.2896 0.3634 58.1
2 Patrick Corbin 0.3043 0.3645 47.5
3 Lucas Giolito 0.2847 0.3403 43.2
4 Zac Gallen 0.3016 0.2366 41.9
5 Tony Gonsolin 0.2884 0.2067 37.5
6 Julio Urías 0.2894 0.2291 37.2
7 Kris Bubic 0.2978 0.3520 35.6
8 Carlos Carrasco 0.2918 0.3372 33.4
9 José Berríos 0.2912 0.3276 32.1
10 Triston McKenzie 0.2843 0.2369 30.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.2867 0.3634 59.8
2 Lucas Giolito 0.2745 0.3403 49.9
3 Patrick Corbin 0.3046 0.3645 46.8
4 Kris Bubic 0.2912 0.3520 39.1
5 José Berríos 0.2854 0.3276 36.1
6 Michael Kopech 0.2971 0.2229 33.8
7 Nestor Cortes 0.2918 0.2323 33.0
8 Zac Gallen 0.2886 0.2366 33.0
9 Tony Gonsolin 0.2769 0.2067 32.1
10 Antonio Senzatela 0.3126 0.3827 31.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.2933 0.3634 56.0
2 Patrick Corbin 0.3037 0.3645 48.5
3 Lucas Giolito 0.2913 0.3403 39.2
4 Zac Gallen 0.2985 0.2366 39.1
5 Kris Bubic 0.2960 0.3520 37.0
6 Tony Gonsolin 0.2871 0.2067 36.5
7 Julio Urías 0.2889 0.2291 36.3
8 Triston McKenzie 0.2884 0.2369 32.9
9 Brayan Bello 0.2887 0.4044 32.9
10 Carlos Carrasco 0.2942 0.3372 32.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.2633 0.3634 62.0
2 Patrick Corbin 0.2652 0.3645 60.4
3 Lucas Giolito 0.2577 0.3403 47.5
4 JT Brubaker 0.2581 0.3341 39.6
5 Alex Cobb 0.2643 0.3365 36.3
6 José Berríos 0.2652 0.3276 35.9
7 Carlos Carrasco 0.2671 0.3372 35.8
8 Kris Bubic 0.2766 0.3520 35.7
9 Antonio Senzatela 0.2833 0.3827 35.0
10 Paul Sewald 0.2840 0.1583 34.0

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.2164 0.2815 46.4
2 Corbin Burnes 0.2426 0.1949 38.9
3 José Berríos 0.2079 0.2601 38.6
4 Patrick Corbin 0.2313 0.2849 37.4
5 Zac Gallen 0.2126 0.1629 36.2
6 Kris Bubic 0.2153 0.2730 33.2
7 Alex Cobb 0.2280 0.2800 32.1
8 Patrick Sandoval 0.2127 0.2633 31.6
9 Lucas Giolito 0.2031 0.2477 30.4
10 Roansy Contreras 0.2209 0.1493 29.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.2896 0.2815 50.9
2 Zac Gallen 0.3016 0.1629 43.1
3 Patrick Corbin 0.3043 0.2849 42.0
4 Germán Márquez 0.3236 0.1992 35.8
5 José Berríos 0.2912 0.2601 35.5
6 Tony Gonsolin 0.2884 0.1398 35.0
7 Alex Cobb 0.3077 0.2800 31.9
8 Daniel Lynch IV 0.2982 0.2725 31.6
9 Kris Bubic 0.2978 0.2730 31.4
10 Patrick Sandoval 0.2954 0.2633 29.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.2867 0.2815 52.6
2 Patrick Corbin 0.3046 0.2849 41.3
3 José Berríos 0.2854 0.2601 39.5
4 Alex Cobb 0.2980 0.2800 37.7
5 Lucas Giolito 0.2745 0.2477 35.5
6 Kris Bubic 0.2912 0.2730 34.9
7 Zac Gallen 0.2886 0.1629 34.2
8 Jeurys Familia 0.2168 0.3030 33.5
9 Patrick Sandoval 0.2925 0.2633 31.0
10 Tyler Alexander 0.2168 0.2112 30.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2168 0.2367 157.7
2 Corey Kluber 0.2168 0.2465 128.6
3 Taylor Hearn 0.2168 0.2237 94.0
4 Spenser Watkins 0.2168 0.2336 91.6
5 Drew Hutchison 0.2168 0.2374 90.8
6 Mitch White 0.2168 0.2286 90.0
7 Adrian Sampson 0.2168 0.2247 89.2
8 Chase De Jong 0.2168 0.1429 85.0
9 Andre Pallante 0.2168 0.2545 81.6
10 Graham Ashcraft 0.2168 0.2587 80.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.2849 48.6
2 Jackson Stephens 0.2168 0.2327 47.2
3 Kevin Gausman 0.0000 0.2815 46.9
4 Alex Cobb 0.0000 0.2800 39.9
5 Manny Bañuelos 0.2168 0.2056 39.9
6 Zac Gallen 0.0000 0.1629 38.4
7 Tony Gonsolin 0.0000 0.1398 38.3
8 Daniel Lynch IV 0.0000 0.2725 33.4
9 Triston McKenzie 0.0000 0.1719 33.2
10 Kris Bubic 0.0000 0.2730 33.0

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ranger Suárez 0.0515 0.0852 23.5
2 Yu Darvish 0.0744 0.0457 20.6
3 Adam Oller 0.0666 0.1202 18.7
4 Brandon Woodruff 0.0487 0.0767 18.5
5 Taylor Hearn 0.0591 0.0983 18.5
6 Justin Verlander 0.0634 0.0346 17.9
7 Madison Bumgarner 0.0767 0.0994 17.2
8 Shane McClanahan 0.0693 0.0413 16.7
9 Kyle Wright 0.0678 0.0435 16.5
10 Glenn Otto 0.0739 0.0443 16.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Madison Bumgarner 0.0000 0.0994 22.9
2 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.1144 22.8
3 Justin Verlander 0.0000 0.0346 21.3
4 Framber Valdez 0.0000 0.0441 18.6
5 Adam Oller 0.0000 0.1202 18.1
6 JT Brubaker 0.0000 0.0931 17.1
7 Kyle Wright 0.0000 0.0435 17.0
8 Shane McClanahan 0.0000 0.0413 16.2
9 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0457 16.1
10 Julio Urías 0.0000 0.0441 15.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Alexander 0.0666 0.0621 30.3
2 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0666 0.0464 25.3
3 Madison Bumgarner 0.0000 0.0994 22.9
4 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.1144 22.8
5 Justin Verlander 0.0000 0.0346 21.3
6 Framber Valdez 0.0000 0.0441 18.5
7 Adam Oller 0.0000 0.1202 18.1
8 JT Brubaker 0.0000 0.0931 17.1
9 Kyle Wright 0.0000 0.0435 17.0
10 Shane McClanahan 0.0000 0.0413 16.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.0666 0.0600 58.6
2 Corey Kluber 0.0666 0.0641 47.4
3 Drew Hutchison 0.0666 0.0504 38.3
4 Andre Pallante 0.0666 0.0539 36.1
5 Graham Ashcraft 0.0666 0.0552 36.1
6 Steve Cishek 0.0666 0.0185 32.9
7 Adrian Sampson 0.0666 0.0570 32.5
8 Beau Brieske 0.0666 0.0408 31.2
9 Wil Crowe 0.0666 0.0419 30.3
10 Spenser Watkins 0.0666 0.0712 28.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Madison Bumgarner 0.0000 0.0994 22.9
2 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.1144 22.8
3 Justin Verlander 0.0000 0.0346 21.3
4 Framber Valdez 0.0000 0.0441 18.6
5 Adam Oller 0.0000 0.1202 18.1
6 Jackson Stephens 0.0666 0.0566 18.0
7 JT Brubaker 0.0000 0.0931 17.1
8 Kyle Wright 0.0000 0.0435 17.0
9 Shane McClanahan 0.0000 0.0413 16.2
10 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0457 16.1

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yu Darvish 0.0110 0.0000 8.2
2 Rich Hill 0.0027 0.0166 7.5
3 Kyle Freeland 0.0054 0.0146 7.4
4 Zack Wheeler 0.0044 0.0154 6.9
5 Chad Kuhl 0.0043 0.0143 6.5
6 Luis Castillo 0.0095 0.0000 5.6
7 Taylor Rogers 0.0000 0.0196 5.5
8 Sandy Alcantara 0.0043 0.0099 5.4
9 Josh Winckowski 0.0054 0.0215 5.2
10 Pablo López 0.0063 0.0125 4.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.0146 7.1
2 James Kaprielian 0.0000 0.0175 7.0
3 Zack Wheeler 0.0000 0.0154 6.1
4 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0128 5.9
5 Rich Hill 0.0000 0.0166 5.9
6 Chad Kuhl 0.0000 0.0143 5.5
7 Pablo López 0.0000 0.0125 5.2
8 Josh Winckowski 0.0000 0.0215 5.1
9 Jesse Chavez 0.0000 0.0212 4.6
10 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0117 4.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.0146 7.1
2 James Kaprielian 0.0000 0.0175 7.0
3 Zack Wheeler 0.0000 0.0154 6.1
4 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0128 5.9
5 Rich Hill 0.0000 0.0166 5.9
6 Chad Kuhl 0.0000 0.0143 5.5
7 Pablo López 0.0000 0.0125 5.2
8 Josh Winckowski 0.0000 0.0215 5.1
9 Jesse Chavez 0.0000 0.0212 4.6
10 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0117 4.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.0146 7.1
2 James Kaprielian 0.0000 0.0175 7.0
3 Zack Wheeler 0.0000 0.0154 6.1
4 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0128 5.9
5 Rich Hill 0.0000 0.0166 5.9
6 Chad Kuhl 0.0000 0.0143 5.5
7 Pablo López 0.0000 0.0125 5.2
8 Graham Ashcraft 0.0054 0.0000 5.0
9 Jesse Chavez 0.0000 0.0212 4.6
10 Adam Wainwright 0.0054 0.0051 4.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.0146 7.1
2 James Kaprielian 0.0000 0.0175 7.0
3 Zack Wheeler 0.0000 0.0154 6.1
4 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0128 5.9
5 Rich Hill 0.0000 0.0166 5.9
6 Chad Kuhl 0.0000 0.0143 5.5
7 Pablo López 0.0000 0.0125 5.2
8 Josh Winckowski 0.0000 0.0215 5.1
9 Jesse Chavez 0.0000 0.0212 4.6
10 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0117 4.5

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Martín Pérez 0.1336 0.0853 34.4
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.1236 0.2277 33.5
3 Patrick Corbin 0.1306 0.1669 30.5
4 Jose Quintana 0.1407 0.0898 30.2
5 Kyle Wright 0.1352 0.0908 28.1
6 Dylan Cease 0.1175 0.0736 28.0
7 Tyler Anderson 0.1262 0.0806 27.7
8 Alek Manoah 0.1080 0.0700 24.9
9 José Berríos 0.1103 0.1368 24.8
10 Jeffrey Springs 0.1280 0.0765 24.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.1398 0.0806 37.0
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1258 0.1669 34.2
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1279 0.2277 32.3
4 Alek Manoah 0.1155 0.0700 30.3
5 Tony Gonsolin 0.1304 0.0643 29.5
6 Nestor Cortes 0.1254 0.0715 28.9
7 Martín Pérez 0.1272 0.0853 28.8
8 Sandy Alcantara 0.1127 0.0756 26.7
9 Julio Urías 0.1195 0.0740 26.6
10 Merrill Kelly 0.1357 0.0958 26.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1156 0.1669 42.7
2 Martín Pérez 0.1363 0.0853 34.8
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1218 0.2277 34.7
4 Tyler Anderson 0.1351 0.0806 32.5
5 Sean Manaea 0.1046 0.1416 30.6
6 Lucas Giolito 0.0990 0.1318 28.9
7 Tony Gonsolin 0.1269 0.0643 26.9
8 Trevor Rogers 0.0969 0.1447 26.9
9 Nestor Cortes 0.1238 0.0715 26.8
10 José Berríos 0.1102 0.1368 26.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1257 0.1669 33.6
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.1262 0.2277 32.6
3 Nestor Cortes 0.1280 0.0715 31.1
4 Martín Pérez 0.1285 0.0853 30.6
5 Tyler Anderson 0.1299 0.0806 30.6
6 Alek Manoah 0.1138 0.0700 29.8
7 Sandy Alcantara 0.1137 0.0756 28.4
8 Merrill Kelly 0.1357 0.0958 27.3
9 Cristian Javier 0.1273 0.0752 27.0
10 Sean Manaea 0.1088 0.1416 26.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spenser Watkins 0.0000 0.1285 61.4
2 Josh Winckowski 0.0000 0.1487 48.7
3 Joel Kuhnel 0.0000 0.1608 42.3
4 Adrian Sampson 0.0000 0.0935 42.3
5 Beau Brieske 0.0000 0.1150 40.8
6 Davis Martin 0.0000 0.1338 37.4
7 Alek Manoah 0.1228 0.0700 37.4
8 Brayan Bello 0.0000 0.1269 35.4
9 Martín Pérez 0.1327 0.0853 34.6
10 Mark Leiter Jr. 0.0000 0.1135 33.5

Earned Run Rate

Biggest Earned Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Cease 0.1082 0.0602 30.6
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.1140 0.2046 29.6
3 José Berríos 0.1015 0.1328 28.8
4 Tyler Anderson 0.1198 0.0721 28.8
5 Martín Pérez 0.1174 0.0767 27.7
6 Jose Quintana 0.1254 0.0795 26.4
7 Justin Verlander 0.0966 0.0511 25.7
8 Kyle Wright 0.1281 0.0867 25.4
9 Alek Manoah 0.1000 0.0623 24.2
10 Trevor Rogers 0.0929 0.1363 24.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.1322 0.0721 36.3
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1170 0.1501 29.8
3 Julio Urías 0.1120 0.0610 29.2
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.1175 0.2046 29.0
5 Alek Manoah 0.1077 0.0623 28.8
6 José Berríos 0.1046 0.1328 27.7
7 Dylan Cease 0.1060 0.0602 27.7
8 Martín Pérez 0.1180 0.0767 26.8
9 Justin Verlander 0.0992 0.0511 26.3
10 Sandy Alcantara 0.1038 0.0655 26.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1086 0.1501 37.1
2 Martín Pérez 0.1267 0.0767 32.3
3 Lucas Giolito 0.0919 0.1261 31.2
4 Tyler Anderson 0.1267 0.0721 31.1
5 José Berríos 0.1025 0.1328 30.8
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.1139 0.2046 30.7
7 Sean Manaea 0.0985 0.1297 28.0
8 Trevor Rogers 0.0901 0.1363 27.0
9 Alex Wood 0.0960 0.1333 26.6
10 Charlie Morton 0.0912 0.1140 24.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.1224 0.0721 30.1
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1165 0.1501 29.4
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1158 0.2046 29.2
4 Martín Pérez 0.1192 0.0767 28.5
5 Alek Manoah 0.1062 0.0623 28.5
6 Sandy Alcantara 0.1051 0.0655 28.3
7 José Berríos 0.1033 0.1328 28.0
8 Dylan Cease 0.1041 0.0602 27.0
9 Justin Verlander 0.0991 0.0511 26.9
10 Nestor Cortes 0.1205 0.0699 26.4

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.1123 0.0623 34.5
2 Martín Pérez 0.1217 0.0767 31.9
3 Sandy Alcantara 0.1072 0.0655 31.7
4 Patrick Corbin 0.1147 0.1501 29.5
5 Dallas Keuchel 0.1192 0.2046 27.7
6 Dylan Cease 0.1029 0.0602 27.3
7 José Berríos 0.1033 0.1328 26.8
8 Lucas Giolito 0.0943 0.1261 26.4
9 Tyler Anderson 0.1146 0.0721 25.8
10 Zac Gallen 0.1121 0.0728 23.7

Win Rate

Biggest Win Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Wright 0.1071 0.7000 393.3
2 Justin Verlander 0.2000 0.6429 255.0
3 Tony Gonsolin 0.1563 0.6667 224.3
4 Carlos Carrasco 0.1333 0.5172 209.0
5 Framber Valdez 0.2432 0.5484 202.8
6 Yu Darvish 0.2105 0.5333 202.7
7 Alek Manoah 0.2051 0.5161 197.3
8 Tyler Anderson 0.1667 0.5000 193.3
9 Cal Quantrill 0.1591 0.4688 192.3
10 Luis Garcia 0.2093 0.5357 171.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Wright 0.1909 0.7000 373.9
2 Tony Gonsolin 0.1943 0.6667 234.0
3 Tyler Anderson 0.2239 0.5000 193.4
4 Justin Verlander 0.4135 0.6429 151.0
5 Michael Wacha 0.1886 0.4783 147.9
6 Spencer Strider 0.0799 0.3548 143.9
7 Cristian Javier 0.1270 0.3667 138.7
8 JT Brubaker 0.3107 0.1071 133.1
9 Yu Darvish 0.3624 0.5333 129.8
10 Keegan Thompson 0.0760 0.3448 129.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Wright 0.3333 0.7000 276.9
2 Tony Gonsolin 0.2000 0.6667 236.6
3 Nestor Cortes 0.1481 0.4286 177.7
4 Drew Rasmussen 0.1026 0.3929 174.5
5 Cristian Javier 0.0833 0.3667 170.7
6 Michael Lorenzen 0.0465 0.4444 167.0
7 Michael Wacha 0.1852 0.4783 155.3
8 Patrick Corbin 0.4138 0.1935 151.0
9 Yu Darvish 0.3462 0.5333 150.9
10 Hunter Greene 0.5000 0.2083 150.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Wright 0.1027 0.7000 470.8
2 Tyler Anderson 0.1952 0.5000 244.2
3 Tony Gonsolin 0.2346 0.6667 235.4
4 Justin Verlander 0.4321 0.6429 167.4
5 Yu Darvish 0.3758 0.5333 152.8
6 Cal Quantrill 0.3164 0.4688 148.6
7 Spencer Strider 0.1174 0.3548 146.8
8 Adam Wainwright 0.2034 0.3438 145.3
9 Jeffrey Springs 0.0509 0.2727 144.1
10 Keegan Thompson 0.0938 0.3448 141.4

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Wright 0.3000 0.7000 306.9
2 Cal Quantrill 0.2143 0.4688 208.2
3 Tony Gonsolin 0.2778 0.6667 201.6
4 Framber Valdez 0.3462 0.5484 180.4
5 Chris Bassitt 0.2759 0.5000 178.8
6 Justin Verlander 0.3929 0.6429 177.1
7 Carlos Carrasco 0.2692 0.5172 170.2
8 Luis Garcia 0.3077 0.5357 156.9
9 Tyler Anderson 0.2941 0.5000 156.8
10 Yu Darvish 0.3571 0.5333 148.1

Loss Rate

Biggest Loss Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joan Adon 0.0968 0.8571 215.5
2 Patrick Corbin 0.2821 0.6129 189.4
3 Marco Gonzales 0.1944 0.4688 163.7
4 Alex Wood 0.1250 0.4615 150.6
5 Madison Bumgarner 0.2222 0.5000 148.3
6 Hunter Greene 0.2054 0.5417 143.9
7 Daniel Lynch IV 0.1892 0.4815 136.2
8 Mike Minor 0.2703 0.6316 134.7
9 Jonathan Heasley 0.1250 0.4762 133.0
10 Zach Plesac 0.1842 0.4800 130.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cal Quantrill 0.3965 0.1563 183.7
2 Patrick Corbin 0.3603 0.6129 181.4
3 Jonathan Heasley 0.1052 0.4762 173.3
4 Zac Gallen 0.3561 0.1290 160.9
5 Erick Fedde 0.2252 0.4815 147.8
6 Joan Adon 0.3930 0.8571 144.4
7 José Ureña 0.0504 0.3810 143.5
8 Aaron Ashby 0.0719 0.3704 142.6
9 Jameson Taillon 0.3336 0.1563 127.9
10 Tyler Alexander 0.1098 0.4074 127.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.3448 0.6129 183.7
2 Joan Adon 0.3182 0.8571 163.9
3 Aaron Nola 0.2188 0.4063 142.9
4 Alex Wood 0.2000 0.4615 139.4
5 Cristian Javier 0.0556 0.3000 136.9
6 Cal Quantrill 0.3214 0.1563 135.2
7 Mike Minor 0.3333 0.6316 131.0
8 Kris Bubic 0.2333 0.4643 129.5
9 Michael Kopech 0.0882 0.3600 129.1
10 Josiah Gray 0.1500 0.3571 127.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.3048 0.6129 224.6
2 Jonathan Heasley 0.1150 0.4762 171.2
3 Joan Adon 0.3505 0.8571 159.2
4 Cal Quantrill 0.3673 0.1563 157.2
5 Mike Minor 0.3164 0.6316 146.5
6 José Ureña 0.0543 0.3810 144.1
7 Adam Wainwright 0.2054 0.3750 141.7
8 Hunter Greene 0.3004 0.5417 131.8
9 Aaron Nola 0.2565 0.4063 126.4
10 Zac Gallen 0.3034 0.1290 119.6

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.3571 0.6129 191.5
2 Brayan Bello 0.0006 0.6154 168.2
3 Hunter Greene 0.2632 0.5417 154.7
4 Josh Winckowski 0.0006 0.4667 151.3
5 Joan Adon 0.4000 0.8571 145.7
6 Beau Brieske 0.0006 0.4000 139.7
7 Mike Minor 0.3462 0.6316 135.7
8 Zac Gallen 0.3214 0.1290 128.3
9 Spenser Watkins 0.0005 0.2609 125.4
10 Davis Martin 0.0005 0.4286 118.6

Save Rate

Biggest Save Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge López 0.0250 0.3433 100.1
2 Daniel Bard 0.2093 0.5965 99.2
3 Jordan Romano 0.2143 0.5714 96.7
4 Camilo Doval 0.0800 0.3971 95.7
5 Emmanuel Clase 0.2222 0.5455 92.4
6 Gregory Soto 0.1591 0.4688 86.1
7 Tanner Scott 0.0233 0.2985 84.7
8 Clay Holmes 0.0233 0.3226 82.4
9 David Bednar 0.0500 0.4222 81.9
10 David Robertson 0.0526 0.3448 81.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenley Jansen 0.1003 0.6308 135.9
2 Daniel Bard 0.0939 0.5965 121.2
3 Tanner Scott 0.0167 0.2985 79.2
4 Clay Holmes 0.0174 0.3226 77.3
5 Will Smith 0.3591 0.0769 75.6
6 Ryan Helsley 0.0338 0.3519 74.2
7 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.1702 72.8
8 Kyle Finnegan 0.4219 0.1667 70.5
9 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.2500 59.8
10 Josh Hader 0.3876 0.6429 54.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Bard 0.0949 0.5965 119.7
2 Rowan Wick 0.4555 0.1406 96.4
3 Jorge López 0.0277 0.3433 90.2
4 Kyle Finnegan 0.4727 0.1667 85.5
5 Jordan Hicks 0.2875 0.0000 79.0
6 Clay Holmes 0.0189 0.3226 75.6
7 Ryan Helsley 0.0234 0.3519 75.4
8 Tanner Scott 0.0291 0.2985 74.1
9 Dinelson Lamet 0.4752 0.0000 72.7
10 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.1702 70.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Bard 0.1080 0.5965 117.4
2 David Robertson 0.0000 0.3448 88.5
3 Jorge López 0.0529 0.3433 83.7
4 Tanner Scott 0.0000 0.2985 83.5
5 Ryan Helsley 0.0000 0.3519 81.8
6 Clay Holmes 0.0000 0.3226 81.4
7 Raisel Iglesias 0.5682 0.2537 79.7
8 Gregory Soto 0.1852 0.4688 72.1
9 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.1702 72.0
10 Mark Melancon 0.0298 0.2903 62.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Bard 0.0645 0.5965 130.5
2 Ryan Helsley 0.0000 0.3519 84.2
3 Raisel Iglesias 0.5806 0.2537 80.3
4 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.1702 76.5
5 Chris Stratton 0.3043 0.0333 75.5
6 Tanner Scott 0.0400 0.2985 74.9
7 Clay Holmes 0.0400 0.3226 73.6
8 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.2500 61.9
9 Robert Suarez 0.3281 0.0222 58.3
10 Aroldis Chapman 0.5593 0.2093 55.9

Hold Rate

Biggest Hold Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Kopech 0.2222 0.0000 92.5
2 Zach Jackson 0.0621 0.4815 91.8
3 Michael King 0.0968 0.4706 81.4
4 Yimi García 0.0952 0.3770 78.3
5 Michael Fulmer 0.1250 0.3731 78.2
6 Cionel Pérez 0.0833 0.3788 77.3
7 Jhoan Duran 0.0621 0.3158 76.8
8 Wil Crowe 0.0732 0.2667 75.9
9 Andre Pallante 0.0621 0.1915 75.2
10 Kendall Graveman 0.1892 0.4154 74.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Jackson 0.0184 0.4815 91.9
2 Ross Stripling 0.1509 0.0000 85.2
3 Austin Voth 0.2050 0.0244 83.3
4 Colin Poche 0.0190 0.3538 80.1
5 Michael King 0.0737 0.4706 77.4
6 Graham Ashcraft 0.1514 0.0000 73.9
7 Griffin Jax 0.0149 0.2769 73.7
8 John Schreiber 0.0493 0.3438 73.6
9 Andre Pallante 0.0286 0.1915 70.8
10 Nick Martinez 0.0126 0.1702 67.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ross Stripling 0.3417 0.0000 190.6
2 Austin Voth 0.2681 0.0244 113.9
3 Aaron Ashby 0.2318 0.0370 99.2
4 David Robertson 0.4079 0.0517 97.7
5 Caleb Smith 0.4424 0.1364 96.6
6 Jorge López 0.3206 0.0149 95.2
7 Brent Suter 0.3521 0.0185 94.5
8 Zach Jackson 0.0000 0.4815 94.4
9 John Schreiber 0.0000 0.3438 84.8
10 Andre Pallante 0.0000 0.1915 81.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.2413 0.0000 128.0
2 Brad Boxberger 0.0621 0.4286 100.4
3 Austin Voth 0.2469 0.0244 94.8
4 Zach Jackson 0.0621 0.4815 86.4
5 John Schreiber 0.0621 0.3438 74.5
6 Anthony Bass 0.0621 0.3151 71.8
7 José Ureña 0.1728 0.0000 71.2
8 Wil Crowe 0.0621 0.2667 70.6
9 Bailey Falter 0.2058 0.0000 69.0
10 Camilo Doval 0.2573 0.0147 67.1

Davenport

No data available.

ERA

Biggest ERA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dallas Keuchel 4.4499 9.1978 1508.4
2 Dylan Cease 4.1860 2.2011 1310.7
3 Tyler Anderson 4.6044 2.5690 1276.1
4 José Berríos 3.8028 5.2326 1250.0
5 Jose Quintana 4.9865 2.9336 1237.5
6 Martín Pérez 4.6236 2.8879 1235.8
7 Patrick Corbin 4.8406 6.3079 1210.4
8 Kyle Wright 5.0546 3.1941 1203.1
9 Dean Kremer 5.4817 3.2314 1034.2
10 Trevor Rogers 3.5347 5.4673 1031.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 5.1854 2.5690 1607.3
2 Patrick Corbin 4.5377 6.3079 1506.7
3 Dallas Keuchel 4.6939 9.1978 1468.6
4 José Berríos 3.9584 5.2326 1217.8
5 Julio Urías 4.2551 2.1600 1207.2
6 Alek Manoah 4.1125 2.2424 1200.3
7 Martín Pérez 4.6713 2.8879 1182.5
8 Tony Gonsolin 4.8528 2.1407 1179.8
9 Sandy Alcantara 3.9386 2.2828 1163.1
10 Dylan Cease 4.0532 2.2011 1127.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 4.1621 6.3079 1855.0
2 Dallas Keuchel 4.4587 9.1978 1574.1
3 Martín Pérez 5.0914 2.8879 1434.8
4 Lucas Giolito 3.3556 4.8990 1395.5
5 José Berríos 3.8363 5.2326 1394.7
6 Tyler Anderson 4.8100 2.5690 1262.0
7 Trevor Rogers 3.3830 5.4673 1211.7
8 Sean Manaea 3.6844 4.9557 1158.9
9 Alex Wood 3.6525 5.0969 1054.7
10 Dean Kremer 5.6418 3.2314 1000.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 4.5000 6.3079 1498.3
2 Dallas Keuchel 4.6292 9.1978 1473.2
3 Tyler Anderson 4.7586 2.5690 1340.5
4 Sandy Alcantara 4.0130 2.2828 1272.8
5 Martín Pérez 4.7189 2.8879 1262.2
6 Alek Manoah 4.0734 2.2424 1208.4
7 José Berríos 3.9253 5.2326 1205.4
8 Nestor Cortes 4.6771 2.4442 1192.6
9 Cristian Javier 4.7734 2.5426 1133.3
10 Dylan Cease 3.9831 2.2011 1111.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 4.4296 6.3079 1496.6
2 Dallas Keuchel 4.7059 9.1978 1428.0
3 Sandy Alcantara 4.0753 2.2828 1392.5
4 Alek Manoah 4.2044 2.2424 1368.6
5 Martín Pérez 4.7734 2.8879 1366.7
6 José Berríos 3.8226 5.2326 1228.0
7 Lucas Giolito 3.4673 4.8990 1153.5
8 Tyler Anderson 4.3742 2.5690 1120.2
9 Dylan Cease 3.9085 2.2011 1110.5
10 Zac Gallen 4.2963 2.5435 1093.9

WHIP

Biggest WHIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zac Gallen 1.2597 0.9130 237.1
2 Patrick Corbin 1.3878 1.6965 230.5
3 Shane McClanahan 1.2841 0.9259 220.3
4 Lucas Giolito 1.1429 1.4351 214.1
5 Dallas Keuchel 1.3997 2.0604 204.6
6 Tyler Anderson 1.3029 1.0019 202.5
7 Kris Bubic 1.3699 1.6977 201.0
8 Nestor Cortes 1.2615 0.9221 199.8
9 José Berríos 1.1758 1.4186 193.8
10 Mike Minor 1.2544 1.6327 178.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 1.3675 1.6965 275.5
2 Triston McKenzie 1.3542 0.9512 256.1
3 Zac Gallen 1.3263 0.9130 254.0
4 Tony Gonsolin 1.3918 0.8747 228.9
5 Tyler Anderson 1.3749 1.0019 223.1
6 Lucas Giolito 1.2063 1.4351 199.8
7 José Berríos 1.2146 1.4186 196.8
8 Sandy Alcantara 1.2589 0.9796 196.6
9 Nestor Cortes 1.2961 0.9221 194.7
10 Dallas Keuchel 1.4806 2.0604 193.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 1.3103 1.6965 330.7
2 Lucas Giolito 1.0899 1.4351 295.1
3 José Berríos 1.1601 1.4186 253.1
4 Dallas Keuchel 1.3899 2.0604 226.7
5 Kris Bubic 1.4148 1.6977 211.6
6 Mike Minor 1.2735 1.6327 198.7
7 Tony Gonsolin 1.3467 0.8747 196.4
8 Zac Gallen 1.2531 0.9130 187.3
9 Trevor Rogers 1.1915 1.5047 186.4
10 Félix Bautista 1.7411 0.9289 185.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 1.3636 1.6965 272.6
2 Triston McKenzie 1.3517 0.9512 260.1
3 Zac Gallen 1.3180 0.9130 253.8
4 Cristian Javier 1.3960 0.9484 232.9
5 Tony Gonsolin 1.3694 0.8747 221.7
6 Sandy Alcantara 1.2733 0.9796 216.3
7 Nestor Cortes 1.3170 0.9221 212.4
8 Tyler Anderson 1.3448 1.0019 207.5
9 Kris Bubic 1.4105 1.6977 197.6
10 Dallas Keuchel 1.4775 2.0604 191.6

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 1.2913 1.6965 293.5
2 Lucas Giolito 1.0842 1.4351 249.3
3 Triston McKenzie 1.2927 0.9512 248.3
4 Zac Gallen 1.2585 0.9130 242.1
5 José Berríos 1.1129 1.4186 235.0
6 Tony Gonsolin 1.3258 0.8747 221.5
7 Sandy Alcantara 1.2220 0.9796 209.2
8 Dallas Keuchel 1.3856 2.0604 206.4
9 Kris Bubic 1.3711 1.6977 195.4
10 Cristian Javier 1.2845 0.9484 192.9