2022 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Drury 35 568 533.0
2 Miguel Sanó 531 71 460.0
3 Luis Rengifo 67 511 444.0
4 Kris Bryant 622 181 441.0
5 Michael Harris II 1 441 440.0
6 Adalberto Mondesi 491 54 437.0
7 Brendan Donovan 33 468 435.0
8 Christopher Morel 1 425 424.0
9 Bobby Bradley 427 17 410.0
10 Alcides Escobar 535 131 404.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Steven Kwan 1 638 637.0
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 1 632 631.0
3 Julio Rodríguez 1 560 559.0
4 Jeremy Peña 1 558 557.0
5 MJ Melendez 1 534 533.0
6 Jose Miranda 1 483 482.0
7 Adley Rutschman 1 470 469.0
8 Brendan Donovan 1 468 467.0
9 Bryson Stott 1 466 465.0
10 Seiya Suzuki 1 446 445.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 César Hernández 1 617 616.0
2 Brandon Drury 1 568 567.0
3 Josh Donaldson 1 546 545.0
4 Nelson Cruz 1 507 506.0
5 Miguel Sanó 542 71 471.0
6 Kris Bryant 633 181 452.0
7 Luis Rengifo 60 511 451.0
8 Austin Meadows 594 147 447.0
9 Michael Harris II 1 441 440.0
10 Miguel Cabrera 1 433 432.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Sanó 619 71 548.0
2 Brandon Drury 38 568 529.7
3 Kris Bryant 669 181 487.5
4 Adalberto Mondesi 536 54 482.4
5 Brendan Donovan 20 468 448.3
6 Michael Harris II 1 441 440.0
7 Willie Calhoun 494 62 432.4
8 David Fletcher 655 228 426.6
9 Christopher Morel 1 425 424.0
10 Bobby Bradley 439 17 422.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Vargas 577 50 527.0
2 Nick Solak 618 95 523.0
3 Otto Lopez 532 10 522.0
4 Brendon Davis 521 11 510.0
5 Lenyn Sosa 539 36 503.0
6 Joe Perez 500 1 499.0
7 Eguy Rosario 504 6 498.0
8 Heliot Ramos 515 22 493.0
9 Gabriel Arias 542 57 485.0
10 Jack Larsen 484 1 483.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jose Altuve 0.3979
0.3268
(50.1)
0.3498
(41.0)
0.3554
(38.2)
0.3539
(39.0)
0.3495
(39.5)
Michael Harris II 0.3667
0.2750
(45.7)
0.3099
(33.7)
0.3099
(34.2)
0.2762
(48.9)
0.2943
(39.4)
Nolan Arenado 0.3825
0.3324
(38.4)
0.3557
(28.9)
0.3501
(33.0)
0.3505
(32.6)
0.3450
(33.8)
Paul Goldschmidt 0.4184
0.3479
(53.7)
0.3657
(47.2)
0.3658
(47.8)
0.3654
(47.9)
0.3533
(53.5)
Jonathan Schoop 0.2463
0.3173
(30.1)
0.3316
(33.4)
0.3213
(27.6)
0.3260
(30.2)
0.3218
(29.8)
Yasmani Grandal 0.2642
0.3613
(32.0)
0.3671
(31.2)
0.3689
(31.5)
0.3649
(30.1)
0.3658
(31.8)
Albert Pujols 0.3808
0.2657
(44.6)
0.3112
(31.3)
0.3099
(32.2)
0.3194
(28.7)
0.2947
(36.2)
Brandon Drury 0.3496
0.2969
(36.7)
0.2971
(41.0)
0.3099
(34.3)
0.3092
(34.6)
0.3056
(34.7)
Andrés Giménez 0.3638
0.2996
(42.4)
0.3055
(43.5)
0.3121
(40.4)
0.3085
(42.2)
0.3147
(36.9)
Aaron Judge 0.4619
0.3679
(73.7)
0.3789
(71.5)
0.3905
(64.1)
0.3884
(65.4)
0.3895
(62.3)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yordan Alvarez 0.3746 0.4308 38.2
2 Yandy Díaz 0.3111 0.3673 38.0
3 Jeff McNeil 0.3200 0.3657 33.9
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.4135 0.3381 33.8
5 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3291 0.3693 33.6
6 Matt Carpenter 0.2716 0.4700 32.4
7 Jared Walsh 0.3648 0.2819 32.2
8 Elvis Andrus 0.2670 0.3100 31.7
9 Joc Pederson 0.3182 0.3754 29.9
10 Julio Rodríguez 0.3278 0.3684 29.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Rodríguez 0.3099 0.3684 43.8
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.3796 0.4308 39.8
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3352 0.3693 34.8
4 Taylor Ward 0.3210 0.3619 34.2
5 Nelson Cruz 0.3762 0.2906 33.4
6 Steven Kwan 0.3099 0.3414 32.7
7 Manny Machado 0.3555 0.3864 32.6
8 Geraldo Perdomo 0.3305 0.2469 31.9
9 Austin Riley 0.3524 0.3771 30.8
10 Adley Rutschman 0.3099 0.3538 29.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yordan Alvarez 0.3875 0.4308 36.0
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.4253 0.3544 35.4
3 Adolis García 0.2966 0.3255 32.6
4 Joc Pederson 0.3215 0.3754 32.4
5 Juan Soto 0.4474 0.3781 32.2
6 Eugenio Suárez 0.3179 0.3442 29.7
7 Franmil Reyes 0.3621 0.2798 29.1
8 Taylor Ward 0.3314 0.3619 29.0
9 Matt Carpenter 0.3038 0.4700 28.8
10 Christian Walker 0.3267 0.3472 27.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.4247 0.3544 35.2
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.3887 0.4308 35.1
3 Adolis García 0.2984 0.3255 31.3
4 Juan Soto 0.4455 0.3781 31.2
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.3165 0.3442 30.3
6 Joc Pederson 0.3267 0.3754 30.0
7 Nelson Cruz 0.3680 0.2906 28.8
8 Matt Carpenter 0.3037 0.4700 28.8
9 Franmil Reyes 0.3606 0.2798 28.6
10 Taylor Ward 0.3319 0.3619 28.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.4459 0.3781 33.7
2 Brendan Donovan 0.2970 0.3488 32.2
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.4165 0.3544 31.8
4 Franmil Reyes 0.3632 0.2798 31.4
5 Manny Machado 0.3566 0.3864 30.2
6 Yandy Díaz 0.3309 0.3673 29.8
7 Joey Gallo 0.3719 0.2860 28.2
8 Christopher Morel 0.2711 0.3201 28.1
9 Jared Walsh 0.3600 0.2819 27.7
10 Joc Pederson 0.3285 0.3754 27.7

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Oneil Cruz 0.3490
0.2695
(29.8)
0.2370
(40.4)
0.2202
(44.9)
0.2217
(44.5)
0.2355
(40.5)
Chris Taylor 0.3524
0.2751
(36.4)
0.2697
(37.5)
0.2708
(35.0)
0.2757
(33.0)
0.2838
(30.6)
Kole Calhoun 0.3208
0.2383
(36.2)
0.2370
(35.5)
0.2242
(39.0)
0.2400
(32.5)
0.2376
(34.7)
Alec Bohm 0.1743
0.2299
(33.2)
0.2442
(44.2)
0.2364
(42.0)
0.2359
(41.4)
0.2330
(37.8)
José Abreu 0.1620
0.2201
(37.4)
0.2216
(40.6)
0.2260
(46.5)
0.2292
(48.4)
0.2199
(40.2)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 MJ Melendez 0.3284 0.2453 42.8
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2748 0.2136 36.8
3 Trent Grisham 0.2231 0.2863 34.6
4 Josh Bell 0.2125 0.1577 33.6
5 Seiya Suzuki 0.1760 0.2466 32.8
6 Trevor Story 0.2284 0.3081 32.7
7 Andrew Benintendi 0.2119 0.1478 31.9
8 Dylan Carlson 0.2606 0.1926 31.8
9 José Barrero 0.2574 0.4368 31.7
10 Sean Murphy 0.2572 0.2026 31.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Steven Kwan 0.2242 0.0940 83.1
2 Brett Phillips 0.2242 0.4178 43.5
3 Christopher Morel 0.2242 0.3224 41.7
4 Nico Hoerner 0.1902 0.1103 41.4
5 Alejandro Kirk 0.1797 0.1072 39.3
6 Yandy Díaz 0.1746 0.1075 37.5
7 Ha-Seong Kim 0.2351 0.1718 36.9
8 Luis Rengifo 0.2236 0.1546 35.3
9 Brendan Donovan 0.2242 0.1496 35.0
10 Keibert Ruiz 0.1953 0.1155 34.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aristides Aquino 0.2242 0.3659 37.9
2 Yandy Díaz 0.1680 0.1075 36.3
3 Trent Grisham 0.2132 0.2863 35.9
4 Christian Walker 0.2450 0.1964 35.4
5 Javier Báez 0.3044 0.2492 35.3
6 Diego Castillo 0.1376 0.2650 34.8
7 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.2242 0.1141 34.1
8 Nolan Gorman 0.2166 0.3291 33.8
9 José Barrero 0.2387 0.4368 33.7
10 Michael Brantley 0.2242 0.1083 33.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Diego Castillo 0.1391 0.2650 34.5
2 Yandy Díaz 0.1652 0.1075 34.4
3 Trent Grisham 0.2170 0.2863 34.2
4 Javier Báez 0.3021 0.2492 33.6
5 Nolan Gorman 0.2186 0.3291 33.3
6 José Barrero 0.2426 0.4368 33.1
7 Christian Walker 0.2416 0.1964 32.8
8 Myles Straw 0.1912 0.1460 29.4
9 Brandon Nimmo 0.2112 0.1724 28.9
10 Sean Murphy 0.2455 0.2026 28.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Happ 0.3009 0.2324 44.7
2 Sean Murphy 0.2668 0.2026 40.1
3 Christian Walker 0.2530 0.1964 38.6
4 Diego Castillo 0.1352 0.2650 36.4
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.2918 0.2417 34.2
6 Nolan Gorman 0.2190 0.3291 34.1
7 Will Smith 0.2231 0.1661 33.7
8 Brandon Nimmo 0.2203 0.1724 33.1
9 José Barrero 0.2478 0.4368 32.7
10 Pete Alonso 0.2329 0.1869 32.4

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Brendan Donovan 0.1282
0.0909
(20.4)
0.0816
(24.9)
0.0827
(24.8)
0.0821
(24.9)
0.0732
(27.0)
Nathaniel Lowe 0.0744
0.1120
(20.1)
0.1103
(18.9)
0.1225
(26.2)
0.1244
(27.6)
0.1208
(28.2)
Jorge Polanco 0.1438
0.0764
(32.8)
0.0752
(33.5)
0.0771
(33.1)
0.0769
(33.0)
0.0727
(32.8)
Jesse Winker 0.1536
0.1048
(30.2)
0.1085
(28.3)
0.1132
(26.2)
0.1135
(25.8)
0.1130
(23.6)
Lars Nootbaar 0.1470
0.0967
(19.7)
0.0933
(20.9)
0.0984
(19.5)
0.0970
(19.8)
0.0912
(20.3)
Luis Rengifo 0.0333
0.0746
(17.9)
0.0863
(23.7)
0.0800
(20.0)
0.0808
(20.6)
0.0763
(20.6)
MJ Melendez 0.1236
0.0970
(17.6)
0.0816
(25.9)
0.0949
(19.4)
0.0967
(18.2)
0.0851
(22.0)
Anthony Santander 0.0850
0.0603
(20.1)
0.0594
(20.9)
0.0580
(22.3)
0.0589
(21.5)
0.0491
(25.0)
DJ LeMahieu 0.1238
0.0903
(21.6)
0.0922
(20.7)
0.0910
(21.9)
0.0912
(21.5)
0.0849
(22.5)
Aaron Judge 0.1595
0.1113
(38.0)
0.1160
(34.9)
0.1263
(28.3)
0.1267
(27.8)
0.1235
(26.9)
Yordan Alvarez 0.1390
0.0978
(26.7)
0.0957
(28.0)
0.0986
(26.9)
0.0987
(26.6)
0.0993
(23.7)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yandy Díaz 0.1099 0.1398 20.2
2 Marcell Ozuna 0.1072 0.0611 20.1
3 Jesús Aguilar 0.1007 0.0552 19.9
4 J.P. Crawford 0.0875 0.1128 19.1
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.0923 0.1161 18.9
6 Brendan Rodgers 0.0535 0.0792 18.6
7 C.J. Cron 0.1036 0.0680 18.5
8 Tommy Pham 0.1260 0.0900 18.4
9 Bryce Harper 0.1570 0.1080 18.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adley Rutschman 0.0816 0.1383 29.7
2 Marcell Ozuna 0.1098 0.0611 21.3
3 Rowdy Tellez 0.0763 0.1035 20.2
4 Jeremy Peña 0.0816 0.0394 19.9
5 Cody Bellinger 0.1114 0.0691 19.6
6 Mike Trout 0.1525 0.1082 18.8
7 Jesús Aguilar 0.0975 0.0552 18.1
8 Juan Soto 0.1829 0.2033 17.9
9 CJ Abrams 0.0816 0.0166 17.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1687 0.1082 26.4
2 Bryce Harper 0.1711 0.1080 23.7
3 Brandon Nimmo 0.1451 0.1055 21.6
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1175 0.0822 19.6
5 Cody Bellinger 0.1121 0.0691 19.5
6 Jesús Aguilar 0.1009 0.0552 19.3
7 Brendan Rodgers 0.0540 0.0792 19.0
8 Adley Rutschman 0.1068 0.1383 18.3
9 Mookie Betts 0.1217 0.0861 17.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1705 0.1082 27.5
2 Bryce Harper 0.1694 0.1080 23.1
3 Brandon Nimmo 0.1439 0.1055 21.0
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1183 0.0822 20.5
5 Cody Bellinger 0.1126 0.0691 20.0
6 Jesús Aguilar 0.0999 0.0552 19.0
7 Brendan Rodgers 0.0543 0.0792 18.6
8 Mookie Betts 0.1222 0.0861 18.5
9 Jeimer Candelario 0.1063 0.0600 18.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1814 0.1082 35.2
2 Bryce Harper 0.1708 0.1080 25.6
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1184 0.0822 23.8
4 Cody Bellinger 0.1144 0.0691 23.5
5 Brandon Nimmo 0.1429 0.1055 23.4
6 Ian Happ 0.1271 0.0905 21.8
7 Tommy Pham 0.1266 0.0900 21.1
8 Mookie Betts 0.1215 0.0861 20.9
9 Josh Donaldson 0.1386 0.0989 20.2

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Joey Votto 0.0266
0.0077
(6.9)
0.0063
(7.8)
0.0084
(7.1)
0.0080
(7.2)
0.0062
(7.7)
Travis d'Arnaud 0.0258
0.0030
(9.4)
0.0091
(7.3)
0.0096
(7.1)
0.0100
(6.9)
0.0068
(8.1)
Dylan Moore 0.0510
0.0180
(8.3)
0.0199
(8.0)
0.0182
(8.5)
0.0190
(8.3)
0.0214
(7.5)
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.0000
0.0220
(8.4)
0.0185
(6.7)
0.0167
(6.0)
0.0170
(6.1)
0.0197
(7.3)
Anthony Santander 0.0201
0.0089
(6.9)
0.0091
(7.3)
0.0101
(6.8)
0.0100
(6.8)
0.0075
(8.1)
Andrés Giménez 0.0449
0.0250
(10.7)
0.0274
(9.9)
0.0206
(13.8)
0.0210
(13.6)
0.0292
(8.7)
Michael Massey 0.0412
0.0000
(7.9)
0.0112
(5.9)
0.0112
(5.9)
0.0120
(5.8)
0.0096
(6.1)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Robles 0.0479 0.0221 10.8
2 C.J. Cron 0.0273 0.0127 9.6
3 José Abreu 0.0291 0.0177 8.2
4 Greg Allen 0.0735 0.0149 7.9
5 Brandon Drury 0.0000 0.0141 7.6
6 Jose Altuve 0.0033 0.0166 7.6
7 Francisco Mejía 0.0309 0.0067 7.4
8 Jeff McNeil 0.0302 0.0187 7.2
9 Taylor Ward 0.0192 0.0071 7.2
10 Michael Chavis 0.0207 0.0047 7.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Willson Contreras 0.0281 0.0493 10.5
2 Brendan Donovan 0.0112 0.0299 8.9
3 Mark Canha 0.0358 0.0517 8.8
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.0109 0.0228 7.5
5 Jake Cronenworth 0.0129 0.0234 7.5
6 Austin Riley 0.0142 0.0245 7.4
7 Xander Bogaerts 0.0057 0.0158 6.6
8 Jesse Winker 0.0195 0.0073 6.5
9 Albert Pujols 0.0114 0.0285 6.1
10 Jose Altuve 0.0072 0.0166 5.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mark Canha 0.0317 0.0517 11.1
2 Willson Contreras 0.0272 0.0493 11.0
3 Thairo Estrada 0.0124 0.0259 7.6
4 Austin Riley 0.0142 0.0245 7.5
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.0111 0.0228 7.5
6 Brendan Donovan 0.0154 0.0299 7.1
7 Albert Pujols 0.0112 0.0285 6.3
8 Jake Cronenworth 0.0149 0.0234 6.2
9 Xander Bogaerts 0.0069 0.0158 6.0
10 Brandon Nimmo 0.0157 0.0238 5.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mark Canha 0.0310 0.0517 11.5
2 Willson Contreras 0.0270 0.0493 11.1
3 Austin Riley 0.0140 0.0245 7.6
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.0110 0.0228 7.5
5 Thairo Estrada 0.0130 0.0259 7.2
6 Brendan Donovan 0.0160 0.0299 6.7
7 Albert Pujols 0.0110 0.0285 6.3
8 Jake Cronenworth 0.0150 0.0234 6.1
9 Xander Bogaerts 0.0070 0.0158 5.9
10 Anthony Rizzo 0.0320 0.0420 5.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Willson Contreras 0.0304 0.0493 9.2
2 Austin Riley 0.0127 0.0245 8.3
3 Bryan Reynolds 0.0094 0.0228 8.2
4 Mark Canha 0.0377 0.0517 7.6
5 C.J. Cron 0.0239 0.0127 7.0
6 Randy Arozarena 0.0280 0.0171 7.0
7 Jake Cronenworth 0.0134 0.0234 6.9
8 Brendan Rodgers 0.0163 0.0052 6.5
9 Victor Robles 0.0380 0.0221 6.4
10 CJ Abrams 0.0092 0.0298 6.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0436
0.1024
(27.9)
0.0924
(20.8)
0.1031
(25.6)
0.1039
(25.8)
0.1070
(29.1)
Anthony Rizzo 0.0874
0.0518
(23.0)
0.0563
(22.4)
0.0693
(16.2)
0.0689
(16.6)
0.0594
(20.2)
Paul Goldschmidt 0.0822
0.0597
(18.8)
0.0649
(17.6)
0.0672
(17.2)
0.0680
(16.9)
0.0602
(20.0)
Yasmani Grandal 0.0200
0.0800
(20.2)
0.0805
(19.1)
0.0854
(20.3)
0.0829
(19.2)
0.0868
(21.8)
Cal Raleigh 0.1067
0.0526
(25.1)
0.0391
(32.1)
0.0609
(23.8)
0.0618
(23.6)
0.0576
(24.1)
Christian Walker 0.0784
0.0446
(26.8)
0.0512
(24.6)
0.0573
(21.7)
0.0580
(21.5)
0.0514
(23.9)
Matt Carpenter 0.1579
0.0238
(21.6)
0.0408
(19.5)
0.0522
(18.0)
0.0516
(18.2)
0.0481
(18.3)
Aaron Judge 0.1535
0.0927
(46.8)
0.0929
(48.9)
0.1035
(42.7)
0.1023
(43.8)
0.1037
(40.7)
José Abreu 0.0303
0.0652
(19.4)
0.0703
(20.5)
0.0730
(21.2)
0.0722
(20.4)
0.0641
(17.0)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.0841 0.1333 27.8
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.0915 0.1214 24.3
3 Michael Harris II 0.0158 0.0617 23.1
4 Brandon Drury 0.0400 0.0707 21.1
5 Albert Pujols 0.0417 0.0930 20.3
6 Nick Castellanos 0.0743 0.0328 19.6
7 Elvis Andrus 0.0119 0.0384 19.0
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0818 0.1170 18.8
9 Julio Rodríguez 0.0500 0.0763 18.3
10 César Hernández 0.0362 0.0022 17.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nelson Cruz 0.0895 0.0299 25.3
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.0935 0.1214 25.1
3 Julio Rodríguez 0.0431 0.0763 24.0
4 Mike Trout 0.1011 0.1333 20.9
5 Jack Suwinski 0.0431 0.0892 20.8
6 Byron Buxton 0.0815 0.1244 20.1
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0822 0.1170 20.1
8 Rowdy Tellez 0.0615 0.0852 20.0
9 Isaac Paredes 0.0331 0.0752 19.7
10 Brandon Drury 0.0471 0.0707 19.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Drury 0.0431 0.0707 22.1
2 Albert Pujols 0.0431 0.0930 21.5
3 Byron Buxton 0.0799 0.1244 21.4
4 Mike Trout 0.1023 0.1333 21.2
5 Franmil Reyes 0.1046 0.0493 20.8
6 Julio Rodríguez 0.0541 0.0763 18.8
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0984 0.0608 18.4
8 Ian Happ 0.0797 0.0397 18.3
9 César Hernández 0.0431 0.0022 18.2
10 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.0610 0.0134 17.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nelson Cruz 0.0872 0.0299 23.1
2 Mike Trout 0.1012 0.1333 21.9
3 Byron Buxton 0.0800 0.1244 21.5
4 Franmil Reyes 0.1043 0.0493 20.4
5 Michael Harris II 0.0283 0.0617 19.9
6 Julio Rodríguez 0.0540 0.0763 19.1
7 Ian Happ 0.0807 0.0397 18.7
8 Brandon Drury 0.0502 0.0707 18.3
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0980 0.0608 17.9
10 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.0608 0.0134 17.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nelson Cruz 0.0870 0.0299 24.5
2 Franmil Reyes 0.1093 0.0493 24.2
3 Ian Happ 0.0828 0.0397 22.0
4 Joey Gallo 0.1617 0.1011 21.3
5 Elvis Andrus 0.0139 0.0384 19.2
6 Byron Buxton 0.0851 0.1244 18.4
7 Christian Yelich 0.0692 0.0337 17.9
8 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.0585 0.0134 17.9
9 Albert Pujols 0.0512 0.0930 17.8
10 Shohei Ohtani 0.1141 0.0794 17.2

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Giancarlo Stanton 0.2265
0.3135
(37.0)
0.3190
(38.7)
0.3107
(37.1)
0.3073
(35.9)
0.3080
(33.7)
Dansby Swanson 0.3478
0.3061
(32.6)
0.3035
(35.7)
0.2940
(39.0)
0.2941
(38.3)
0.3005
(37.7)
Rowdy Tellez 0.2154
0.2761
(33.3)
0.2787
(33.7)
0.2836
(39.5)
0.2803
(38.0)
0.2937
(42.8)
Freddie Freeman 0.3589
0.3032
(43.1)
0.3224
(30.8)
0.3067
(38.4)
0.3072
(37.5)
0.3174
(34.2)
Manny Machado 0.3373
0.2847
(37.2)
0.2869
(37.0)
0.2853
(34.9)
0.2840
(35.2)
0.2892
(35.4)
Paul Goldschmidt 0.3657
0.2989
(46.8)
0.3208
(33.8)
0.3098
(37.8)
0.3083
(38.2)
0.3154
(37.2)
Jeff McNeil 0.3526
0.2765
(47.8)
0.3067
(31.1)
0.3031
(30.4)
0.3015
(30.9)
0.3063
(31.3)
Christian Walker 0.2482
0.3000
(31.1)
0.3058
(33.7)
0.2948
(29.6)
0.2952
(30.5)
0.3057
(33.8)
Andrés Giménez 0.3496
0.2849
(38.9)
0.2905
(36.8)
0.2926
(32.9)
0.2911
(33.3)
0.3035
(29.5)
Juan Soto 0.2488
0.3204
(44.2)
0.3234
(44.9)
0.3165
(43.5)
0.3154
(43.4)
0.3316
(50.5)
José Abreu 0.3500
0.2972
(39.4)
0.3081
(33.2)
0.2944
(39.2)
0.2937
(39.2)
0.2995
(38.9)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eugenio Suárez 0.2475 0.3022 37.6
2 MJ Melendez 0.3333 0.2579 37.6
3 Francisco Lindor 0.2560 0.3013 35.5
4 Harold Ramírez 0.2755 0.3495 34.4
5 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3156 0.3628 33.7
6 Kyle Schwarber 0.2953 0.2402 33.4
7 Ian Happ 0.2892 0.3358 33.1
8 Yandy Díaz 0.2711 0.3235 32.1
9 Steven Kwan 0.2772 0.3221 31.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Seager 0.3138 0.2424 42.7
2 Ian Happ 0.2867 0.3358 35.9
3 Julio Rodríguez 0.2891 0.3451 35.3
4 Jonathan Schoop 0.3100 0.2343 35.0
5 Taylor Walls 0.3000 0.2183 34.8
6 Yoán Moncada 0.3503 0.2637 34.5
7 Michael Harris II 0.2891 0.3599 34.3
8 Myles Straw 0.3232 0.2599 33.6
9 Trent Grisham 0.2941 0.2253 32.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Seager 0.3106 0.2424 43.7
2 Myles Straw 0.3203 0.2599 34.7
3 Xander Bogaerts 0.3094 0.3619 34.5
4 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3141 0.3628 32.8
5 Michael Harris II 0.2891 0.3599 32.2
6 Taylor Walls 0.2883 0.2183 31.6
7 Jonathan Schoop 0.2947 0.2343 29.7
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.2573 0.3022 29.6
9 Trent Grisham 0.2838 0.2253 29.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Seager 0.3117 0.2424 45.1
2 Michael Harris II 0.2733 0.3599 38.8
3 Xander Bogaerts 0.3087 0.3619 34.4
4 Myles Straw 0.3181 0.2599 33.9
5 Taylor Walls 0.2885 0.2183 32.1
6 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3152 0.3628 31.6
7 Jonathan Schoop 0.2969 0.2343 31.3
8 Ian Happ 0.2897 0.3358 30.4
9 Trayce Thompson 0.2601 0.3739 29.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Myles Straw 0.3365 0.2599 41.6
2 Corey Seager 0.3119 0.2424 41.5
3 Michael Harris II 0.2866 0.3599 35.3
4 Trent Grisham 0.2968 0.2253 33.9
5 Xander Bogaerts 0.3165 0.3619 33.0
6 Trayce Thompson 0.2565 0.3739 31.7
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.2603 0.3022 30.6
8 Taylor Walls 0.2901 0.2183 30.3
9 Jonathan Schoop 0.2993 0.2343 29.7

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Nathaniel Lowe 0.2936
0.2326
(41.5)
0.2547
(26.8)
0.2370
(35.1)
0.2396
(33.3)
0.2507
(29.6)
Dansby Swanson 0.2723
0.2190
(39.4)
0.2168
(40.5)
0.2165
(37.4)
0.2127
(39.9)
0.2150
(42.0)
Rowdy Tellez 0.1543
0.2121
(32.7)
0.2049
(28.7)
0.2003
(28.9)
0.2023
(30.2)
0.2168
(35.6)
Jonathan Schoop 0.1689
0.2322
(30.6)
0.2399
(34.8)
0.2351
(34.8)
0.2264
(30.5)
0.2320
(30.6)
Ketel Marte 0.1615
0.2304
(36.6)
0.2310
(37.3)
0.2378
(43.8)
0.2207
(34.4)
0.2219
(32.1)
Andrés Giménez 0.2710
0.2122
(34.6)
0.2190
(30.4)
0.2063
(34.8)
0.2127
(31.2)
0.2236
(28.1)
Carlos Correa 0.2742
0.2240
(31.5)
0.2292
(28.1)
0.2126
(35.1)
0.2171
(32.3)
0.2211
(33.1)
José Abreu 0.2667
0.2222
(32.4)
0.2267
(28.9)
0.2038
(41.3)
0.2150
(33.5)
0.2157
(36.6)
Juan Soto 0.1816
0.2431
(38.7)
0.2455
(40.6)
0.2252
(30.4)
0.2357
(37.5)
0.2494
(43.0)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Steven Kwan 0.2030 0.2584 37.5
2 Francisco Lindor 0.1908 0.2385 36.0
3 Matt Olson 0.2210 0.1683 34.6
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.2215 0.1682 33.5
5 Harold Ramírez 0.2041 0.2766 33.0
6 Jeff McNeil 0.2145 0.2671 32.9
7 Patrick Wisdom 0.2305 0.1667 32.3
8 Teoscar Hernández 0.2857 0.2236 31.5
9 Freddie Freeman 0.2225 0.2601 28.9
10 Cal Raleigh 0.2037 0.1327 28.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Benintendi 0.2257 0.2831 31.3
2 Taylor Walls 0.2167 0.1479 30.8
3 Alejandro Kirk 0.1981 0.2512 30.2
4 Anthony Rizzo 0.2060 0.1497 29.4
5 Steven Kwan 0.2165 0.2584 28.5
6 Francisco Lindor 0.2012 0.2385 28.2
7 Patrick Wisdom 0.2216 0.1667 27.9
8 Isaac Paredes 0.2057 0.1301 27.8
9 Myles Straw 0.2541 0.2048 27.8
10 Leody Taveras 0.1937 0.2711 27.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Xander Bogaerts 0.2190 0.2738 33.3
2 Francisco Lindor 0.1906 0.2385 32.3
3 Freddie Freeman 0.2127 0.2601 32.0
4 Miguel Cabrera 0.2165 0.2905 31.1
5 Taylor Walls 0.2093 0.1479 29.6
6 Isaac Paredes 0.2023 0.1301 28.3
7 Andrew Benintendi 0.2268 0.2831 28.2
8 Alejandro Kirk 0.1974 0.2512 28.0
9 Myles Straw 0.2492 0.2048 27.7
10 Steven Kwan 0.2139 0.2584 27.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Xander Bogaerts 0.2205 0.2738 32.2
2 Francisco Lindor 0.1914 0.2385 31.6
3 Andrew Benintendi 0.2239 0.2831 29.6
4 Anthony Rizzo 0.2013 0.1497 29.5
5 Myles Straw 0.2508 0.2048 28.8
6 Taylor Walls 0.2072 0.1479 28.7
7 Isaac Paredes 0.2029 0.1301 28.6
8 Max Muncy 0.1999 0.1526 28.1
9 Corey Seager 0.2250 0.1883 25.9
10 Yuli Gurriel 0.2214 0.1799 25.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Myles Straw 0.2725 0.2048 38.5
2 Alejandro Kirk 0.1835 0.2512 38.3
3 Xander Bogaerts 0.2230 0.2738 33.9
4 Andrew Benintendi 0.2225 0.2831 33.2
5 Yuli Gurriel 0.2376 0.1799 32.0
6 Isaac Paredes 0.2156 0.1301 31.4
7 Anthony Rizzo 0.2088 0.1497 30.7
8 Taylor Ward 0.2115 0.2577 27.7
9 Taylor Walls 0.2099 0.1479 27.5
10 Willy Adames 0.2418 0.1946 27.3

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Matt Olson 0.1058
0.0691
(26.8)
0.0742
(24.5)
0.0745
(24.4)
0.0706
(26.7)
0.0829
(17.6)
Jose Altuve 0.0944
0.0598
(21.9)
0.0668
(18.7)
0.0698
(17.0)
0.0649
(19.7)
0.0628
(20.5)
Garrett Cooper 0.1134
0.0699
(21.2)
0.0690
(22.4)
0.0656
(24.1)
0.0723
(20.7)
0.0619
(25.2)
Paul Goldschmidt 0.1049
0.0661
(26.2)
0.0751
(21.6)
0.0696
(25.3)
0.0727
(22.9)
0.0718
(23.0)
Adley Rutschman 0.1159
0.0633
(25.4)
0.0671
(24.6)
0.0680
(24.2)
0.0639
(25.9)
0.0618
(26.5)
Corey Seager 0.0519
0.0844
(20.5)
0.0862
(20.4)
0.0803
(16.4)
0.0788
(15.8)
0.0842
(19.9)
Patrick Wisdom 0.1061
0.0741
(17.9)
0.0773
(17.2)
0.0624
(25.2)
0.0688
(21.5)
0.0739
(18.4)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Turner 0.0481 0.0963 26.5
2 Victor Robles 0.0909 0.0369 21.3
3 Yuli Gurriel 0.0536 0.0857 19.7
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.0831 0.0505 19.0
5 Andrew Velazquez 0.0952 0.0394 18.9
6 Teoscar Hernández 0.0756 0.1087 18.5
7 Trayce Thompson 0.0556 0.1217 17.3
8 Yandy Díaz 0.0524 0.0815 17.1
9 Jesse Winker 0.0763 0.0439 16.9
10 Sean Murphy 0.0664 0.0923 16.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Happ 0.0717 0.1022 21.7
2 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0759 0.0297 21.4
3 Justin Turner 0.0618 0.0963 20.2
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.0749 0.1087 19.9
5 Manny Machado 0.0628 0.0892 19.2
6 Jesse Winker 0.0811 0.0439 18.5
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.0824 0.0505 17.5
8 Freddie Freeman 0.0738 0.0948 17.3
9 Nolan Arenado 0.0677 0.0915 16.9
10 Austin Riley 0.0737 0.0944 16.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Happ 0.0655 0.1022 25.8
2 Ketel Marte 0.0670 0.1094 25.7
3 Jesse Winker 0.0874 0.0439 21.8
4 David Peralta 0.0533 0.0940 21.7
5 Nolan Arenado 0.0616 0.0915 20.8
6 Nick Senzel 0.0911 0.0428 18.8
7 Victor Robles 0.0866 0.0369 18.8
8 J.D. Martinez 0.0870 0.1138 18.1
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0728 0.0299 17.7
10 Austin Riley 0.0730 0.0944 17.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Happ 0.0730 0.1022 20.7
2 J.D. Martinez 0.0851 0.1138 18.9
3 Nolan Arenado 0.0641 0.0915 18.9
4 Michael A. Taylor 0.0762 0.0332 18.2
5 Michael Harris II 0.0554 0.0934 18.1
6 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0725 0.0299 17.9
7 Mike Trout 0.0755 0.1077 17.6
8 Teoscar Hernández 0.0790 0.1087 17.5
9 Justin Turner 0.0666 0.0963 17.4
10 Manny Machado 0.0655 0.0892 17.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Turner 0.0521 0.0963 24.7
2 Ian Happ 0.0758 0.1022 18.4
3 Teoscar Hernández 0.0767 0.1087 18.3
4 J.D. Martinez 0.0863 0.1138 17.7
5 Nolan Arenado 0.0652 0.0915 17.7
6 Manny Machado 0.0650 0.0892 17.0
7 Yuli Gurriel 0.0588 0.0857 17.0
8 Ketel Marte 0.0816 0.1094 16.7
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0692 0.0299 16.7
10 Christian Walker 0.0860 0.0591 16.4

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Rodolfo Castro 0.0237
0.0000
(6.6)
0.0063
(5.1)
0.0037
(5.7)
0.0046
(5.5)
0.0065
(5.2)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Thomas 0.0227 0.0033 7.9
2 Jorge Mateo 0.0074 0.0205 7.2
3 Gavin Lux 0.0084 0.0217 6.4
4 Matt Chapman 0.0122 0.0029 5.6
5 Luis Rengifo 0.0000 0.0102 5.3
6 Nick Senzel 0.0123 0.0000 5.1
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0072 0.0000 4.9
8 Edmundo Sosa 0.0063 0.0317 4.9
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0159 0.0059 4.8
10 Starling Marte 0.0049 0.0142 4.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Mateo 0.0050 0.0205 8.7
2 Steven Kwan 0.0055 0.0139 5.9
3 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0055 0.0136 5.7
4 TJ Friedl 0.0068 0.0273 5.5
5 Christopher Morel 0.0055 0.0173 5.4
6 Oneil Cruz 0.0075 0.0212 5.2
7 Gavin Lux 0.0116 0.0217 5.2
8 Kyle Tucker 0.0115 0.0024 5.0
9 Tyler Naquin 0.0055 0.0193 4.9
10 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0228 0.0000 4.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Thomas 0.0221 0.0033 7.4
2 Jorge Mateo 0.0094 0.0205 6.3
3 Gavin Lux 0.0108 0.0217 5.4
4 Luis Arraez 0.0115 0.0020 5.3
5 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0167 0.0059 5.0
6 Kyle Schwarber 0.0027 0.0090 4.7
7 Starling Marte 0.0056 0.0142 4.7
8 Tyler Naquin 0.0061 0.0193 4.7
9 Connor Joe 0.0040 0.0133 4.6
10 Brett Phillips 0.0209 0.0000 4.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Thomas 0.0222 0.0033 7.5
2 Jorge Mateo 0.0094 0.0205 6.3
3 Gavin Lux 0.0107 0.0217 5.5
4 Luis Arraez 0.0113 0.0020 5.2
5 Tyler Naquin 0.0058 0.0193 4.7
6 Kyle Schwarber 0.0026 0.0090 4.7
7 Starling Marte 0.0057 0.0142 4.6
8 Adolis García 0.0061 0.0125 4.6
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0158 0.0059 4.6
10 Connor Joe 0.0042 0.0133 4.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Thomas 0.0233 0.0033 7.6
2 Brett Phillips 0.0339 0.0000 7.3
3 Trevor Story 0.0162 0.0000 5.8
4 Andrew Velazquez 0.0175 0.0000 5.6
5 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0258 0.0000 5.4
6 Nick Senzel 0.0135 0.0000 5.0
7 Francisco Lindor 0.0050 0.0105 4.9
8 Connor Joe 0.0043 0.0133 4.9
9 Ketel Marte 0.0153 0.0052 4.8
10 Matt Chapman 0.0121 0.0029 4.8

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Michael Harris II 0.1701
0.1017
(33.9)
0.1144
(29.8)
0.1144
(31.2)
0.1052
(33.3)
0.1385
(18.4)
Yasmani Grandal 0.0399
0.1292
(30.4)
0.1372
(32.1)
0.1452
(34.0)
0.1382
(32.9)
0.1306
(30.3)
Brandon Drury 0.1532
0.1143
(26.9)
0.1008
(36.4)
0.1144
(30.6)
0.1145
(28.0)
0.1070
(32.0)
Aaron Judge 0.1911
0.1644
(24.5)
0.1483
(38.0)
0.1686
(26.1)
0.1572
(31.0)
0.1478
(37.2)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1332
0.2018
(32.1)
0.1805
(18.9)
0.1913
(22.9)
0.1851
(22.0)
0.1887
(24.2)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Rojas 0.1420 0.0671 33.7
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.1926 0.1351 32.7
3 Jesse Winker 0.1599 0.0932 31.9
4 Bo Bichette 0.1837 0.1306 31.1
5 Adley Rutschman 0.0917 0.1489 30.9
6 Elvis Andrus 0.0736 0.1144 28.4
7 Nick Castellanos 0.1583 0.1004 27.6
8 Luis Arraez 0.1107 0.1459 26.3
9 Jonathan India 0.1805 0.1114 26.2
10 Jared Walsh 0.1550 0.0903 25.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Rodríguez 0.1144 0.1500 26.5
2 Steven Kwan 0.1144 0.1395 23.5
3 Yonathan Daza 0.0951 0.1373 22.0
4 Nick Castellanos 0.1515 0.1004 22.0
5 Adley Rutschman 0.1144 0.1489 21.8
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1413 0.1628 21.7
7 Brandon Nimmo 0.1322 0.1516 20.9
8 Jesse Winker 0.1432 0.0932 20.9
9 Tommy Pham 0.1235 0.1431 19.5
10 Miguel Rojas 0.1172 0.0671 19.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1792 0.1275 25.9
2 Tommy Edman 0.1257 0.1508 25.3
3 Adolis García 0.1135 0.1339 23.3
4 Julio Rodríguez 0.1278 0.1500 20.8
5 Juan Soto 0.1859 0.1401 20.5
6 Adley Rutschman 0.1215 0.1489 20.0
7 Jake McCarthy 0.1112 0.1497 19.0
8 Charlie Blackmon 0.1515 0.1040 18.8
9 Matt Olson 0.1643 0.1230 18.3
10 Keibert Ruiz 0.1336 0.0762 18.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tommy Edman 0.1231 0.1508 24.2
2 Dansby Swanson 0.1224 0.1422 21.3
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1680 0.1275 21.0
4 Adolis García 0.1146 0.1339 19.7
5 Luis Arraez 0.1239 0.1459 19.7
6 Jose Altuve 0.1487 0.1705 19.7
7 Jesse Winker 0.1397 0.0932 19.6
8 Jesús Aguilar 0.1260 0.0769 19.4
9 Juan Soto 0.1795 0.1401 19.0
10 Miguel Cabrera 0.1122 0.0577 18.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeremy Peña 0.0894 0.1290 27.8
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1754 0.1275 26.7
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1328 0.1628 26.1
4 Manny Machado 0.1295 0.1553 23.1
5 Brandon Nimmo 0.1283 0.1516 22.4
6 Yonathan Daza 0.0966 0.1373 20.7
7 Juan Soto 0.1793 0.1401 19.3
8 Travis d'Arnaud 0.1081 0.1432 19.3
9 Nick Castellanos 0.1443 0.1004 18.9
10 Luis Arraez 0.1250 0.1459 18.7

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Willy Adames 0.1588
0.1143
(32.8)
0.1151
(33.7)
0.1256
(29.2)
0.1318
(26.3)
0.1182
(32.4)
Connor Joe 0.0600
0.1353
(31.1)
0.1377
(31.2)
0.1235
(23.1)
0.1219
(21.6)
0.1270
(25.8)
Juan Soto 0.0934
0.1724
(46.7)
0.1510
(31.0)
0.1564
(32.4)
0.1578
(32.5)
0.1778
(48.2)
Paul Goldschmidt 0.1767
0.1109
(48.5)
0.1341
(34.8)
0.1324
(38.0)
0.1359
(36.6)
0.1328
(36.3)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1336 0.1882 44.1
2 José Abreu 0.1780 0.1105 39.9
3 Jared Walsh 0.1856 0.0969 36.3
4 J.D. Martinez 0.1715 0.1040 35.0
5 Albert Pujols 0.1031 0.1937 34.9
6 Cal Raleigh 0.0778 0.1518 34.3
7 Christian Yelich 0.1438 0.0849 33.7
8 Kyle Tucker 0.1299 0.1757 33.2
9 Xander Bogaerts 0.1757 0.1157 32.4
10 Elvis Andrus 0.0552 0.1005 31.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.1445 0.1882 38.0
2 José Abreu 0.1758 0.1105 37.0
3 Pete Alonso 0.1502 0.1912 35.6
4 Josh Naylor 0.0991 0.1586 35.1
5 Francisco Lindor 0.1145 0.1516 33.9
6 Brandon Drury 0.1048 0.1532 33.7
7 José Ramírez 0.1550 0.1839 27.3
8 Christian Walker 0.1171 0.1409 23.2
9 Jesús Aguilar 0.1568 0.1006 22.9
10 Cal Raleigh 0.1075 0.1518 22.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Albert Pujols 0.1092 0.1937 34.6
2 Brandon Drury 0.1092 0.1532 33.0
3 José Ramírez 0.1544 0.1839 29.9
4 Aaron Judge 0.1613 0.1882 28.5
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1919 0.1374 28.5
6 Franmil Reyes 0.1709 0.0994 27.2
7 Joc Pederson 0.1176 0.1617 25.2
8 César Hernández 0.1092 0.0551 24.7
9 Jared Walsh 0.1653 0.0969 24.6
10 Matt Carpenter 0.1000 0.2403 23.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.1550 0.1839 30.5
2 Michael Harris II 0.0979 0.1451 27.7
3 Aaron Judge 0.1644 0.1882 27.4
4 Brandon Drury 0.1221 0.1532 26.5
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1891 0.1374 25.5
6 Albert Pujols 0.1369 0.1937 25.4
7 Matt Carpenter 0.1016 0.2403 23.7
8 Franmil Reyes 0.1649 0.0994 23.6
9 Spencer Torkelson 0.1421 0.0693 23.1
10 Christian Yelich 0.1348 0.0849 23.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.1775 0.1105 37.5
2 Josh Bell 0.1761 0.1097 35.2
3 Franmil Reyes 0.1794 0.0994 32.2
4 Jared Walsh 0.1796 0.0969 32.2
5 Josh Naylor 0.1127 0.1586 28.8
6 Matt Olson 0.1997 0.1474 28.3
7 Max Muncy 0.1837 0.1221 28.1
8 Adam Duvall 0.2148 0.1143 27.9
9 Francisco Lindor 0.1263 0.1516 26.2
10 Jesús Aguilar 0.1641 0.1006 26.2

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Eli White 0.4444
0.0714
(42.8)
0.0725
(42.9)
0.0881
(41.4)
0.0887
(41.1)
0.0920
(41.4)
Jorge Mateo 0.3646
0.1548
(108.0)
0.1324
(120.9)
0.1683
(103.3)
0.1683
(102.5)
0.2073
(84.3)
Adolis García 0.1908
0.0952
(58.1)
0.1058
(52.4)
0.1141
(48.7)
0.1096
(50.7)
0.1238
(44.6)
Randy Arozarena 0.2177
0.0993
(71.7)
0.1119
(64.7)
0.1217
(60.2)
0.1215
(59.4)
0.1389
(51.4)
Marcus Semien 0.1582
0.0483
(74.4)
0.0735
(57.4)
0.0679
(63.5)
0.0679
(62.5)
0.0788
(58.2)
Jon Berti 0.3832
0.1136
(106.0)
0.1304
(99.9)
0.1205
(105.1)
0.1222
(103.8)
0.1529
(93.4)
Billy Hamilton 3.3333
0.2857
(69.9)
0.2281
(71.3)
0.0592
(75.2)
0.2279
(71.3)
0.3276
(69.2)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.T. Realmuto 0.0414 0.1511 57.6
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1356 0.2326 56.8
3 Julio Rodríguez 0.0833 0.1825 51.5
4 Brendan Donovan 0.1111 0.0127 49.4
5 Jose Altuve 0.0274 0.1078 44.2
6 Cedric Mullins 0.1429 0.2112 41.1
7 Tim Locastro 0.1190 1.0000 40.2
8 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.0650 0.1408 38.4
9 Bo Bichette 0.1266 0.0793 38.0
10 Nico Hoerner 0.0721 0.1515 37.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0592 0.2326 106.2
2 Julio Rodríguez 0.0592 0.1825 66.0
3 Michael Harris II 0.0592 0.2000 59.7
4 Bubba Thompson 0.0592 0.3750 56.2
5 Jake McCarthy 0.0877 0.2473 54.6
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1395 0.0659 52.6
7 Thairo Estrada 0.0615 0.1544 47.3
8 Josh Rojas 0.0661 0.1631 46.7
9 Andrew Velazquez 0.1346 0.2656 43.8
10 Harrison Bader 0.0928 0.2297 41.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1325 0.2326 61.6
2 Michael Harris II 0.0592 0.2000 60.9
3 Bubba Thompson 0.0592 0.3750 56.7
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1476 0.0659 56.2
5 Julio Rodríguez 0.0802 0.1825 55.8
6 Thairo Estrada 0.0572 0.1544 51.2
7 Kyle Tucker 0.0971 0.1773 47.3
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.0700 0.1511 44.1
9 Harrison Bader 0.0874 0.2297 43.7
10 Cody Bellinger 0.0633 0.1443 43.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1342 0.2326 59.6
2 Julio Rodríguez 0.0795 0.1825 55.4
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1434 0.0659 54.3
4 Thairo Estrada 0.0600 0.1544 48.9
5 Kyle Tucker 0.0989 0.1773 45.3
6 Bubba Thompson 0.1283 0.3750 43.9
7 Cody Bellinger 0.0605 0.1443 43.9
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.0702 0.1511 43.2
9 Michael Harris II 0.0988 0.2000 42.8
10 Harrison Bader 0.0897 0.2297 42.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Gordon 0.1975 0.0612 60.0
2 Thairo Estrada 0.0568 0.1544 53.3
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1458 0.0659 52.6
4 Bo Bichette 0.1543 0.0793 51.7
5 Michael A. Taylor 0.1354 0.0333 46.1
6 Byron Buxton 0.2000 0.0822 44.6
7 J.T. Realmuto 0.0763 0.1511 42.5
8 Starling Marte 0.2230 0.1385 42.2
9 Harrison Bader 0.0971 0.2297 41.8
10 Nico Hoerner 0.0769 0.1515 39.0

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Trent Grisham 0.1840
0.2395
(27.4)
0.2442
(26.4)
0.2480
(28.4)
0.2472
(28.2)
0.2464
(27.6)
Nathaniel Lowe 0.3019
0.2425
(40.3)
0.2580
(34.6)
0.2574
(35.0)
0.2581
(34.3)
0.2648
(30.1)
Michael Harris II 0.2971
0.2353
(28.6)
0.2427
(28.3)
0.2427
(28.3)
0.2286
(34.3)
0.2416
(28.7)
Freddie Freeman 0.3252
0.2757
(37.2)
0.2951
(28.2)
0.2940
(29.0)
0.2918
(30.3)
0.2933
(29.4)
Paul Goldschmidt 0.3173
0.2585
(40.3)
0.2784
(31.7)
0.2760
(33.2)
0.2744
(34.0)
0.2681
(38.3)
Jeff McNeil 0.3265
0.2526
(45.3)
0.2784
(34.1)
0.2805
(32.8)
0.2796
(33.1)
0.2817
(32.1)
Andrés Giménez 0.2974
0.2354
(36.2)
0.2389
(38.0)
0.2487
(32.6)
0.2470
(33.3)
0.2517
(30.8)
Aaron Judge 0.3105
0.2626
(35.5)
0.2729
(33.0)
0.2744
(31.9)
0.2731
(32.6)
0.2762
(30.6)
José Abreu 0.3045
0.2587
(33.2)
0.2727
(28.2)
0.2614
(35.9)
0.2594
(37.0)
0.2641
(34.0)
Juan Soto 0.2424
0.2970
(34.2)
0.2958
(29.0)
0.3120
(39.8)
0.3117
(39.8)
0.3136
(40.9)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yandy Díaz 0.2406 0.2960 32.7
2 Steven Kwan 0.2531 0.2984 30.9
3 Mark Canha 0.2125 0.2662 30.8
4 Jose Altuve 0.2536 0.2998 29.8
5 Nolan Arenado 0.2496 0.2926 28.6
6 Francisco Lindor 0.2330 0.2698 28.2
7 Ketel Marte 0.2927 0.2398 27.8
8 Ian Happ 0.2306 0.2705 27.6
9 Harold Ramírez 0.2400 0.3002 27.6
10 Luis Arraez 0.2754 0.3163 26.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Steven Kwan 0.2427 0.2984 41.8
2 Jonathan Schoop 0.2682 0.2017 29.0
3 Ketel Marte 0.3008 0.2398 28.5
4 Julio Rodríguez 0.2427 0.2838 28.5
5 Jesse Winker 0.2793 0.2193 27.5
6 Ian Happ 0.2384 0.2705 26.9
7 Andrew Benintendi 0.2623 0.3037 26.7
8 Luis Rengifo 0.2230 0.2638 25.9
9 Yandy Díaz 0.2608 0.2960 25.1
10 Jose Altuve 0.2691 0.2998 24.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dansby Swanson 0.2456 0.2766 28.4
2 Max Muncy 0.2534 0.1961 26.9
3 Andrew Benintendi 0.2622 0.3037 26.7
4 Taylor Ward 0.2439 0.2808 26.3
5 Jonathan Schoop 0.2625 0.2017 26.0
6 Xander Bogaerts 0.2776 0.3070 24.7
7 Nolan Arenado 0.2630 0.2926 24.4
8 Jake McCarthy 0.2251 0.2835 24.1
9 Corey Seager 0.2905 0.2445 24.0
10 Oscar Gonzalez 0.2427 0.2956 24.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dansby Swanson 0.2452 0.2766 28.3
2 Jonathan Schoop 0.2640 0.2017 27.0
3 Andrew Benintendi 0.2638 0.3037 25.7
4 Max Muncy 0.2507 0.1961 25.6
5 Taylor Ward 0.2455 0.2808 25.2
6 Xander Bogaerts 0.2767 0.3070 25.0
7 Ian Happ 0.2416 0.2705 24.6
8 Nolan Arenado 0.2624 0.2926 24.5
9 Corey Seager 0.2905 0.2445 24.3
10 Jake McCarthy 0.2245 0.2835 24.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Schoop 0.2654 0.2017 27.6
2 Ian Happ 0.2386 0.2705 26.6
3 Dansby Swanson 0.2496 0.2766 25.5
4 Jake McCarthy 0.2225 0.2835 25.0
5 Corey Seager 0.2912 0.2445 24.5
6 Myles Straw 0.2709 0.2206 24.2
7 Nolan Arenado 0.2633 0.2926 24.1
8 Yandy Díaz 0.2630 0.2960 23.8
9 Alejandro Kirk 0.2519 0.2851 23.2
10 Taylor Ward 0.2494 0.2808 23.2

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Brendan Donovan 0.3940
0.3333
(32.4)
0.3115
(45.2)
0.3301
(36.9)
0.3286
(37.3)
0.3130
(42.9)
Jose Altuve 0.3874
0.3213
(45.2)
0.3369
(39.0)
0.3508
(31.2)
0.3509
(30.7)
0.3403
(34.9)
Paul Goldschmidt 0.4037
0.3483
(41.7)
0.3593
(38.1)
0.3608
(37.6)
0.3583
(38.8)
0.3488
(42.7)
Jonathan Schoop 0.2392
0.3107
(32.1)
0.3176
(32.8)
0.3093
(28.1)
0.3110
(29.4)
0.3066
(28.9)
Yoán Moncada 0.2731
0.3552
(31.8)
0.3557
(29.6)
0.3529
(28.0)
0.3534
(28.6)
0.3457
(26.7)
Jeff McNeil 0.3820
0.3302
(35.6)
0.3472
(28.8)
0.3470
(29.4)
0.3456
(29.8)
0.3458
(27.6)
Yordan Alvarez 0.4064
0.3491
(37.0)
0.3535
(37.6)
0.3582
(35.4)
0.3572
(35.6)
0.3664
(28.4)
Andrés Giménez 0.3707
0.2942
(47.4)
0.3089
(42.3)
0.3024
(46.4)
0.3012
(46.6)
0.3061
(42.0)
Aaron Judge 0.4249
0.3499
(58.2)
0.3612
(54.1)
0.3699
(48.6)
0.3693
(48.5)
0.3687
(46.6)
José Abreu 0.3785
0.3404
(31.8)
0.3425
(34.1)
0.3339
(40.4)
0.3321
(41.2)
0.3306
(39.8)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yandy Díaz 0.3275 0.4014 46.1
2 Steven Kwan 0.3197 0.3726 39.3
3 Nolan Arenado 0.3153 0.3581 31.9
4 Freddie Freeman 0.3716 0.4068 31.0
5 Marcell Ozuna 0.3432 0.2742 30.6
6 Eugenio Suárez 0.2932 0.3323 30.0
7 Albert Pujols 0.2680 0.3447 30.0
8 Jared Walsh 0.3430 0.2687 29.8
9 Matt Olson 0.3754 0.3247 29.4
10 Harold Ramírez 0.2857 0.3425 28.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Steven Kwan 0.3115 0.3726 48.0
2 Yandy Díaz 0.3514 0.4014 35.8
3 Alejandro Kirk 0.3279 0.3715 31.3
4 Adley Rutschman 0.3115 0.3617 30.3
5 Andrew Benintendi 0.3298 0.3731 29.9
6 Ha-Seong Kim 0.2906 0.3247 28.1
7 Brandon Drury 0.2851 0.3204 28.1
8 Taylor Ward 0.3252 0.3599 27.6
9 Julio Rodríguez 0.3115 0.3446 26.5
10 Cody Bellinger 0.3275 0.2655 26.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.3357 0.2655 30.4
2 Adolis García 0.2697 0.2998 29.6
3 Andrew Benintendi 0.3341 0.3731 28.1
4 Abraham Toro 0.3333 0.2386 28.1
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3919 0.3385 27.2
6 Yandy Díaz 0.3683 0.4014 26.8
7 Marcell Ozuna 0.3417 0.2742 26.7
8 Juan Soto 0.4559 0.4012 26.4
9 Eugenio Suárez 0.3056 0.3323 26.2
10 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.3115 0.3826 25.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Harris II 0.2841 0.3386 30.3
2 Cody Bellinger 0.3329 0.2655 29.3
3 Abraham Toro 0.3349 0.2386 28.9
4 Adolis García 0.2709 0.2998 28.3
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3923 0.3385 27.9
6 Juan Soto 0.4555 0.4012 26.6
7 Andrew Benintendi 0.3362 0.3731 26.6
8 Marcell Ozuna 0.3407 0.2742 26.6
9 Eugenio Suárez 0.3050 0.3323 26.1
10 Nolan Arenado 0.3309 0.3581 25.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yandy Díaz 0.3519 0.4014 33.7
2 Juan Soto 0.4607 0.4012 32.4
3 Cody Bellinger 0.3333 0.2655 31.4
4 Alejandro Kirk 0.3267 0.3715 30.1
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3898 0.3385 28.6
6 Matt Olson 0.3752 0.3247 27.8
7 Nolan Arenado 0.3242 0.3581 27.6
8 Albert Pujols 0.2809 0.3447 26.2
9 Andrew Benintendi 0.3339 0.3731 26.0
10 Steven Kwan 0.3427 0.3726 26.0

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jose Altuve 0.5332
0.4239
(76.1)
0.4699
(59.8)
0.4765
(58.8)
0.4710
(62.2)
0.4659
(60.6)
Nathaniel Lowe 0.4924
0.4163
(59.9)
0.4200
(69.7)
0.4508
(53.1)
0.4498
(53.8)
0.4426
(53.4)
Michael Harris II 0.5145
0.3294
(89.0)
0.3953
(68.3)
0.3953
(70.5)
0.3440
(93.2)
0.3804
(73.7)
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5775
0.4453
(97.0)
0.4845
(83.7)
0.4882
(84.6)
0.4898
(83.7)
0.4620
(96.7)
Yasmani Grandal 0.2691
0.4508
(62.0)
0.4660
(60.6)
0.4718
(60.9)
0.4606
(56.7)
0.4640
(60.9)
Albert Pujols 0.5505
0.3258
(84.7)
0.4169
(59.4)
0.3953
(68.7)
0.4374
(54.0)
0.3953
(66.0)
Christian Walker 0.4768
0.3967
(64.6)
0.4293
(55.5)
0.4283
(59.5)
0.4381
(53.1)
0.4276
(54.9)
Brandon Drury 0.4923
0.4063
(58.4)
0.3930
(76.6)
0.3953
(78.2)
0.4174
(65.7)
0.4116
(64.6)
Matt Carpenter 0.7266
0.3051
(67.5)
0.3521
(63.2)
0.3624
(62.3)
0.3607
(62.6)
0.3642
(60.9)
Aaron Judge 0.6860
0.5000
(141.1)
0.5175
(142.1)
0.5419
(128.5)
0.5393
(130.4)
0.5383
(125.8)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.5653 0.4133 72.1
2 Jesse Winker 0.4780 0.3443 64.0
3 Nolan Arenado 0.4485 0.5332 62.9
4 Yordan Alvarez 0.5189 0.6128 62.0
5 Elvis Andrus 0.3144 0.4037 61.2
6 Nick Castellanos 0.5133 0.3893 59.9
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.4238 0.5088 57.0
8 Joc Pederson 0.4084 0.5211 56.0
9 Mookie Betts 0.4636 0.5332 55.1
10 Cal Raleigh 0.3739 0.4892 54.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Rodríguez 0.3953 0.5088 83.5
2 Nelson Cruz 0.5289 0.3371 79.2
3 Jesse Winker 0.5012 0.3443 66.4
4 Geraldo Perdomo 0.4300 0.2622 66.1
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.5308 0.6128 66.0
6 Andrés Giménez 0.3857 0.4664 64.8
7 Cal Raleigh 0.3740 0.4892 62.6
8 Luis Rengifo 0.3525 0.4294 57.5
9 Austin Riley 0.4823 0.5285 56.7
10 Taylor Ward 0.4110 0.4727 54.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.6025 0.4523 72.7
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.6172 0.4796 68.4
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.5760 0.4133 65.1
4 Nolan Arenado 0.4786 0.5332 59.0
5 Joc Pederson 0.4270 0.5211 58.3
6 Yordan Alvarez 0.5516 0.6128 57.1
7 Mike Trout 0.5571 0.6301 56.7
8 Franmil Reyes 0.5177 0.3653 52.9
9 Max Muncy 0.5177 0.3836 52.8
10 Adolis García 0.4185 0.4562 51.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nelson Cruz 0.5124 0.3371 68.3
2 Juan Soto 0.5945 0.4523 67.3
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.5797 0.4133 67.0
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.6115 0.4796 64.3
5 Mike Trout 0.5513 0.6301 59.7
6 Nolan Arenado 0.4817 0.5332 57.2
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.5540 0.6128 55.8
8 Andrés Giménez 0.4109 0.4664 53.6
9 Joc Pederson 0.4393 0.5211 53.0
10 Spencer Torkelson 0.4905 0.3194 52.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nelson Cruz 0.5077 0.3371 69.8
2 Juan Soto 0.5813 0.4523 63.7
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.5622 0.4133 61.8
4 Franmil Reyes 0.5234 0.3653 59.2
5 Max Muncy 0.5156 0.3836 55.9
6 Nolan Arenado 0.4769 0.5332 55.4
7 Spencer Torkelson 0.4892 0.3194 55.2
8 Manny Machado 0.4807 0.5311 53.8
9 Elvis Andrus 0.3452 0.4037 52.9
10 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5852 0.4796 51.2

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Casey Mize 45
615
(570.1)
592
(547.0)
694
(648.8)
741
(695.5)
628
(583.0)
John Means 34
645
(610.9)
562
(528.0)
728
(693.8)
723
(689.4)
608
(574.0)
Hyun Jin Ryu 113
743
(629.9)
615
(502.0)
693
(579.7)
705
(592.0)
623
(510.0)
Anthony DeSclafani 94
686
(591.9)
604
(510.0)
693
(598.6)
753
(658.6)
629
(535.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Huascar Ynoa 519 37 482.1
2 Kyle Wright 257 738 480.9
3 Wade Miley 639 159 480.1
4 Walker Buehler 750 274 476.1
5 Spenser Watkins 1 459 458.0
6 Chris Sale 482 25 457.1
7 Zac Lowther 473 28 445.0
8 Kyle Hendricks 797 356 441.1
9 Stephen Strasburg 461 23 438.0
10 Steven Matz 642 207 434.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 George Kirby 1 542 541.0
2 Hunter Greene 1 531 530.0
3 Kyle Bradish 1 509 508.0
4 Miles Mikolas 342 805 463.0
5 Graham Ashcraft 1 464 463.0
6 Kyle Wright 281 738 457.0
7 Andre Pallante 1 457 456.0
8 Nick Martinez 1 448 447.0
9 Nick Lodolo 1 441 440.0
10 Adbert Alzolay 488 52 436.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 1 803 802.0
2 Corey Kluber 1 689 688.0
3 Huascar Ynoa 591 37 553.5
4 Kyle Wright 201 738 536.8
5 Walker Buehler 794 274 519.5
6 Chad Kuhl 139 617 478.3
7 Drew Hutchison 1 464 463.0
8 Graham Ashcraft 1 464 463.0
9 Vladimir Gutierrez 638 179 459.4
10 Spenser Watkins 1 459 458.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walker Buehler 839 274 564.7
2 Luis Patiño 630 98 531.8
3 Stephen Strasburg 547 23 524.4
4 Steven Matz 696 207 489.2
5 Vladimir Gutierrez 644 179 465.1
6 Kyle Wright 278 738 459.9
7 Wade Miley 617 159 458.5
8 Huascar Ynoa 495 37 458.5
9 Graham Ashcraft 17 464 446.8
10 Kyle Hendricks 802 356 446.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matthew Boyd 634 53 581.0
2 Bowden Francis 555 3 552.0
3 Rico Garcia 563 35 528.0
4 Cade Cavalli 541 23 518.0
5 Yonny Chirinos 545 30 515.0
6 Cooper Criswell 513 13 500.0
7 Walker Buehler 761 274 487.0
8 Tanner Tully 512 30 482.0
9 Max Kranick 490 19 471.0
10 Alec Mills 547 84 463.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
José Berríos 0.3490
0.1100
(42.7)
0.3037
(39.2)
0.1274
(63.4)
0.2915
(41.8)
0.2856
(42.2)
Patrick Corbin 0.3833
0.1266
(53.1)
0.3391
(36.3)
0.1339
(79.9)
0.3134
(48.4)
0.3026
(52.3)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cristian Javier 0.1546 0.2504 50.6
2 Tony Gonsolin 0.1558 0.2394 49.2
3 Spencer Strider 0.1460 0.2360 48.7
4 Zac Gallen 0.1356 0.2501 48.3
5 Jackson Stephens 0.3096 0.2905 47.3
6 Triston McKenzie 0.1482 0.2672 46.9
7 Nestor Cortes 0.1303 0.2451 41.4
8 Justin Verlander 0.0995 0.2214 40.2
9 Dylan Cease 0.1353 0.2639 40.1
10 Shane McClanahan 0.1271 0.2488 38.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nestor Cortes 0.3199 0.2451 41.8
2 Justin Verlander 0.2883 0.2214 40.0
3 Lucas Giolito 0.2953 0.3448 39.3
4 Spencer Strider 0.3160 0.2360 38.7
5 Martín Pérez 0.3409 0.2877 38.1
6 Shane McClanahan 0.3125 0.2488 36.5
7 Zac Gallen 0.3079 0.2501 36.4
8 Mike Minor 0.3168 0.3882 35.6
9 Dylan Cease 0.3170 0.2639 34.6
10 Tyler Anderson 0.3244 0.2697 33.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.3096 0.3067 112.6
2 Corey Kluber 0.3096 0.3149 91.0
3 Adrian Sampson 0.3096 0.3024 61.9
4 Andre Pallante 0.3096 0.3202 57.9
5 Germán Márquez 0.1306 0.3410 56.9
6 Graham Ashcraft 0.3096 0.3273 55.5
7 Kris Bubic 0.1389 0.3707 55.4
8 Collin McHugh 0.3096 0.2487 53.9
9 Spenser Watkins 0.3096 0.3310 53.2
10 Anthony Bass 0.3096 0.2535 53.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.3304 0.2697 44.3
2 Nestor Cortes 0.3093 0.2451 40.7
3 Tony Gonsolin 0.3174 0.2394 39.8
4 Zac Gallen 0.3031 0.2501 39.2
5 Justin Verlander 0.2766 0.2214 38.1
6 Lucas Giolito 0.2914 0.3448 35.9
7 Triston McKenzie 0.3124 0.2672 35.0
8 Cristian Javier 0.3059 0.2504 33.6
9 Max Fried 0.2978 0.2564 31.8
10 Mike Minor 0.3162 0.3882 31.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.2651 0.3448 50.5
2 Nestor Cortes 0.3102 0.2451 44.5
3 Spencer Strider 0.3089 0.2360 42.3
4 Tony Gonsolin 0.3124 0.2394 40.0
5 Martín Pérez 0.3276 0.2877 38.8
6 Tyler Anderson 0.3167 0.2697 38.4
7 Zac Gallen 0.2948 0.2501 37.1
8 Justin Verlander 0.2689 0.2214 36.5
9 Trevor Rogers 0.2739 0.3540 34.7
10 Germán Márquez 0.2923 0.3410 32.2

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Shane Bieber 0.2503
0.3030
(45.8)
0.3050
(34.8)
0.2967
(34.2)
0.2930
(34.3)
0.3197
(47.6)
Spencer Strider 0.3826
0.2326
(76.4)
0.2261
(88.2)
0.2703
(60.9)
0.2799
(53.9)
0.2317
(84.5)
Hunter Greene 0.3089
0.2133
(47.9)
0.2245
(50.4)
0.2318
(42.5)
0.2317
(40.6)
0.2478
(37.3)
Ryan Helsley 0.3933
0.2056
(43.6)
0.2279
(42.1)
0.2348
(38.6)
0.2343
(37.8)
0.2346
(40.1)
Marco Gonzales 0.1315
0.1891
(49.2)
0.2003
(45.5)
0.1853
(39.6)
0.1829
(40.7)
0.1815
(31.9)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Kopech 0.3111 0.2126 51.3
2 Edwin Díaz 0.3042 0.5021 45.3
3 Noah Syndergaard 0.2408 0.1681 44.1
4 Zack Greinke 0.1941 0.1248 43.6
5 Glenn Otto 0.2416 0.1823 37.9
6 Andrés Muñoz 0.2321 0.3871 37.1
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.2021 0.3000 37.0
8 Mike Clevinger 0.2587 0.1876 37.0
9 Dylan Bundy 0.2137 0.1580 36.3
10 José Berríos 0.2405 0.1979 36.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edwin Díaz 0.3028 0.5021 49.3
2 Cristian Javier 0.2668 0.3316 44.1
3 Zack Greinke 0.2063 0.1248 41.5
4 Dakota Hudson 0.2079 0.1309 39.6
5 Andrés Muñoz 0.2411 0.3871 38.9
6 Shane McClanahan 0.2543 0.3027 37.8
7 Dylan Bundy 0.2311 0.1580 37.2
8 Nick Lodolo 0.2245 0.2971 36.7
9 Carlos Rodón 0.2942 0.3338 35.7
10 Andrew Heaney 0.2561 0.3548 33.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cristian Javier 0.2620 0.3316 42.6
2 Michael Kopech 0.2962 0.2126 39.8
3 Edwin Díaz 0.3368 0.5021 39.6
4 Spenser Watkins 0.2245 0.1373 38.6
5 Jesús Luzardo 0.2127 0.3000 36.2
6 Merrill Kelly 0.1785 0.2201 36.0
7 José Berríos 0.2479 0.1979 35.4
8 Adam Wainwright 0.2245 0.1781 34.8
9 Drew Hutchison 0.2245 0.1466 34.7
10 Andrew Heaney 0.2466 0.3548 34.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Kopech 0.2988 0.2126 42.9
2 Mike Clevinger 0.2660 0.1876 38.3
3 Edwin Díaz 0.3411 0.5021 37.7
4 Graham Ashcraft 0.2315 0.1530 36.7
5 José Berríos 0.2434 0.1979 34.7
6 Cristian Javier 0.2739 0.3316 33.4
7 Robbie Ray 0.3154 0.2735 33.0
8 Andrew Heaney 0.2486 0.3548 32.7
9 Merrill Kelly 0.1804 0.2201 31.5
10 James Kaprielian 0.2234 0.1698 31.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Kopech 0.3140 0.2126 45.6
2 Dylan Bundy 0.2320 0.1580 38.6
3 Martín Pérez 0.1708 0.2058 36.3
4 David Peterson 0.2093 0.2775 35.1
5 Tyler Wells 0.2688 0.1797 33.8
6 Jhoan Duran 0.2167 0.3346 33.8
7 Mike Clevinger 0.2662 0.1876 33.7
8 Jeffrey Springs 0.3317 0.2623 33.1
9 Merrill Kelly 0.1884 0.2201 32.9
10 Félix Bautista 0.2303 0.3478 32.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Corey Kluber 0.0305
0.0735
(27.0)
0.0926
(40.9)
0.0817
(33.6)
0.0813
(31.9)
0.0711
(24.7)
Aaron Nola 0.0359
0.0778
(30.7)
0.0714
(26.4)
0.0693
(24.9)
0.0684
(22.5)
0.0675
(21.6)
Triston McKenzie 0.0594
0.1083
(33.4)
0.1014
(29.0)
0.0990
(27.5)
0.1025
(28.6)
0.0989
(25.8)
Jeffrey Springs 0.0565
0.0942
(18.6)
0.0900
(16.9)
0.0923
(18.3)
0.0936
(17.9)
0.0962
(19.2)
Yusei Kikuchi 0.1278
0.0841
(21.6)
0.0887
(19.0)
0.0834
(21.2)
0.0844
(21.7)
0.0785
(24.5)
Drew Rasmussen 0.0531
0.0872
(17.7)
0.0874
(18.4)
0.0922
(21.4)
0.0931
(20.7)
0.0965
(22.6)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.0720 0.0386 21.4
2 Tony Gonsolin 0.1169 0.0703 21.3
3 Jameson Taillon 0.0769 0.0440 21.2
4 Yu Darvish 0.0783 0.0480 20.4
5 James Kaprielian 0.0714 0.1023 20.0
6 Chris Flexen 0.0574 0.0864 19.4
7 Max Fried 0.0737 0.0437 19.3
8 Zac Gallen 0.0961 0.0658 18.9
9 Shane McClanahan 0.0922 0.0593 18.6
10 Kyle Freeland 0.0958 0.0692 17.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jameson Taillon 0.0776 0.0440 22.5
2 Kevin Gausman 0.0708 0.0386 21.3
3 Kyle Wright 0.1032 0.0718 21.1
4 Shane Bieber 0.0747 0.0455 20.9
5 George Kirby 0.0817 0.0406 20.7
6 Ross Stripling 0.0766 0.0373 19.5
7 Dylan Bundy 0.0821 0.0471 19.2
8 Brady Singer 0.0892 0.0564 18.6
9 Max Fried 0.0718 0.0437 18.5
10 Lance Lynn 0.0751 0.0371 18.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Fried 0.0726 0.0437 19.4
2 Kevin Gausman 0.0678 0.0386 19.3
3 Michael Kopech 0.0830 0.1154 17.2
4 Zach Jackson 0.0817 0.1634 17.0
5 George Kirby 0.0737 0.0406 16.6
6 Joe Mantiply 0.0942 0.0247 16.3
7 Lance Lynn 0.0709 0.0371 16.0
8 Dylan Bundy 0.0765 0.0471 16.0
9 Yu Darvish 0.0709 0.0480 15.7
10 Caleb Smith 0.0817 0.1291 15.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.0685 0.0386 18.4
2 Max Fried 0.0714 0.0437 17.0
3 Michael Kopech 0.0854 0.1154 17.0
4 Dylan Bundy 0.0791 0.0471 16.4
5 Lance Lynn 0.0732 0.0371 16.2
6 James Kaprielian 0.0795 0.1023 15.7
7 Joe Mantiply 0.0927 0.0247 15.4
8 George Kirby 0.0733 0.0406 15.3
9 Glenn Otto 0.0842 0.1056 15.2
10 Brady Singer 0.0851 0.0564 15.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lance Lynn 0.0794 0.0371 19.2
2 Félix Bautista 0.1685 0.0909 18.5
3 Sean Manaea 0.0538 0.0745 17.0
4 Chris Flexen 0.0623 0.0864 17.0
5 Adam Ottavino 0.1320 0.0620 16.8
6 Dylan Bundy 0.0800 0.0471 16.8
7 Andrés Muñoz 0.1300 0.0605 16.1
8 Brady Singer 0.0866 0.0564 15.9
9 Yu Darvish 0.0732 0.0480 15.8
10 Jason Foley 0.1084 0.0430 15.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Nick Lodolo 0.0431
0.0000
(14.1)
0.0112
(14.0)
0.0119
(13.4)
0.0119
(13.4)
0.0084
(15.2)
Ryan Yarbrough 0.0310
0.0000
(7.0)
0.0145
(5.8)
0.0131
(6.1)
0.0132
(6.0)
0.0147
(5.7)
Steve Cishek 0.0453
0.0000
(9.8)
0.0191
(7.5)
0.0112
(9.6)
0.0150
(8.4)
0.0263
(5.4)
Kyle Freeland 0.0209
0.0000
(7.4)
0.0091
(9.0)
0.0087
(8.7)
0.0088
(8.6)
0.0069
(10.6)
Taylor Rogers 0.0401
0.0000
(7.9)
0.0101
(8.2)
0.0102
(8.0)
0.0102
(8.0)
0.0102
(8.2)
Braxton Garrett 0.0268
0.0000
(5.8)
0.0120
(5.5)
0.0096
(6.1)
0.0095
(6.1)
0.0118
(5.6)
A.J. Puk 0.0356
0.0000
(6.9)
0.0144
(5.9)
0.0100
(7.0)
0.0101
(6.9)
0.0114
(6.8)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0247 9.9
2 Kevin Gausman 0.0000 0.0014 7.1
3 Merrill Kelly 0.0000 0.0025 7.0
4 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0025 6.9
5 Shane Bieber 0.0000 0.0025 6.9
6 Glenn Otto 0.0000 0.0221 6.4
7 Erick Fedde 0.0000 0.0000 6.4
8 Alek Manoah 0.0000 0.0191 6.2
9 Luis Garcia 0.0000 0.0016 6.2
10 Clay Holmes 0.0000 0.0346 6.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.0135 0.0042 6.6
2 Adrian Sampson 0.0199 0.0047 6.5
3 Mike Clevinger 0.0076 0.0206 6.3
4 Chad Kuhl 0.0182 0.0081 6.3
5 Dylan Cease 0.0124 0.0040 6.3
6 Lance Lynn 0.0083 0.0195 5.7
7 Glenn Otto 0.0125 0.0221 5.6
8 Andrew Heaney 0.0112 0.0290 5.5
9 Zac Gallen 0.0091 0.0168 5.5
10 Brad Keller 0.0120 0.0032 5.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.0125 0.0042 6.4
2 Glenn Otto 0.0107 0.0221 6.3
3 Charlie Morton 0.0155 0.0247 6.2
4 Dylan Cease 0.0112 0.0040 5.9
5 Mike Clevinger 0.0080 0.0206 5.7
6 Ranger Suárez 0.0109 0.0030 5.7
7 Merrill Kelly 0.0088 0.0025 5.7
8 Erick Fedde 0.0090 0.0000 5.6
9 Andrew Heaney 0.0105 0.0290 5.5
10 Kevin Gausman 0.0082 0.0014 5.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.0125 0.0042 6.5
2 Glenn Otto 0.0105 0.0221 6.3
3 Charlie Morton 0.0155 0.0247 6.1
4 Dylan Cease 0.0111 0.0040 6.0
5 Merrill Kelly 0.0088 0.0025 5.7
6 Ranger Suárez 0.0108 0.0030 5.7
7 Mike Clevinger 0.0079 0.0206 5.7
8 Erick Fedde 0.0090 0.0000 5.7
9 Kevin Gausman 0.0082 0.0014 5.6
10 Luis Garcia 0.0093 0.0016 5.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0315 0.0191 9.9
2 Mike Clevinger 0.0043 0.0206 7.8
3 Tyler Anderson 0.0034 0.0127 6.5
4 Carlos Rodón 0.0130 0.0042 6.3
5 Rich Hill 0.0194 0.0076 6.3
6 Joe Jiménez 0.0267 0.0000 6.2
7 Lance Lynn 0.0079 0.0195 5.9
8 Ranger Suárez 0.0116 0.0030 5.8
9 Dylan Cease 0.0115 0.0040 5.7
10 Andrew Heaney 0.0112 0.0290 5.5

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Charlie Morton 0.0633
0.0455
(16.9)
0.0377
(24.0)
0.0421
(21.3)
0.0436
(21.4)
0.0391
(23.8)
Justin Verlander 0.0269
0.0509
(12.5)
0.0596
(16.9)
0.0630
(18.7)
0.0617
(16.7)
0.0748
(26.3)
Patrick Sandoval 0.0190
0.0453
(13.5)
0.0563
(19.2)
0.0477
(13.2)
0.0468
(11.6)
0.0560
(18.2)
Martín Pérez 0.0191
0.0449
(16.9)
0.0490
(18.6)
0.0483
(17.4)
0.0473
(15.3)
0.0472
(16.2)
Hunter Greene 0.0777
0.0521
(16.4)
0.0418
(23.0)
0.0602
(13.5)
0.0612
(13.9)
0.0565
(15.7)
Jose Quintana 0.0163
0.0508
(19.9)
0.0507
(18.4)
0.0484
(16.4)
0.0474
(14.6)
0.0487
(16.3)
Yusei Kikuchi 0.0875
0.0452
(21.6)
0.0558
(17.7)
0.0510
(20.2)
0.0489
(21.9)
0.0498
(20.9)
Josiah Gray 0.0903
0.0526
(27.8)
0.0709
(17.3)
0.0689
(19.1)
0.0676
(21.0)
0.0694
(19.0)
Sean Manaea 0.0628
0.0458
(15.0)
0.0474
(15.2)
0.0469
(16.1)
0.0489
(15.8)
0.0489
(15.0)
Gerrit Cole 0.0682
0.0524
(16.7)
0.0571
(14.6)
0.0584
(14.1)
0.0570
(16.5)
0.0493
(21.7)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.0569 0.0287 16.3
2 Alek Manoah 0.0517 0.0296 13.2
3 Germán Márquez 0.0425 0.0534 12.6
4 Elieser Hernández 0.0592 0.0990 12.5
5 Bruce Zimmermann 0.0484 0.0817 12.4
6 Matt Swarmer 0.0494 0.1237 12.2
7 Mike Minor 0.0509 0.0723 12.1
8 Robbie Ray 0.0548 0.0648 11.8
9 Spencer Strider 0.0526 0.0252 11.7
10 Mike Mayers 0.0482 0.0949 11.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tarik Skubal 0.0725 0.0275 18.0
2 Corbin Burnes 0.0343 0.0469 15.9
3 Justin Steele 0.0606 0.0240 15.0
4 Ross Stripling 0.0647 0.0298 14.8
5 Dean Kremer 0.0634 0.0285 14.1
6 Matt Swarmer 0.0418 0.1237 13.7
7 Germán Márquez 0.0434 0.0534 13.5
8 Eric Lauer 0.0479 0.0609 13.5
9 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0413 0.0625 13.1
10 Reynaldo López 0.0638 0.0056 12.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.0647 0.0266 21.2
2 Johnny Cueto 0.0623 0.0294 16.2
3 Alek Manoah 0.0567 0.0296 14.9
4 Dean Kremer 0.0638 0.0285 14.0
5 Matt Swarmer 0.0418 0.1237 13.8
6 Nestor Cortes 0.0690 0.0388 13.6
7 Kevin Gausman 0.0565 0.0305 13.0
8 Logan Gilbert 0.0600 0.0354 12.7
9 Elieser Hernández 0.0630 0.0990 12.2
10 Nick Nelson 0.0530 0.0051 12.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.0670 0.0266 21.7
2 Johnny Cueto 0.0638 0.0294 16.1
3 Elieser Hernández 0.0619 0.0990 13.0
4 Alek Manoah 0.0551 0.0296 12.4
5 Bruce Zimmermann 0.0532 0.0817 12.2
6 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0469 0.0625 11.6
7 Matt Swarmer 0.0581 0.1237 11.5
8 Reynaldo López 0.0583 0.0056 10.9
9 Nestor Cortes 0.0660 0.0388 10.7
10 Nick Nelson 0.0496 0.0051 10.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.0668 0.0266 22.5
2 Jordan Lyles 0.0776 0.0456 18.2
3 Spenser Watkins 0.0744 0.0304 16.3
4 Corbin Burnes 0.0350 0.0469 16.2
5 Germán Márquez 0.0419 0.0534 15.5
6 Dean Kremer 0.0665 0.0285 15.1
7 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0413 0.0625 13.6
8 Nestor Cortes 0.0688 0.0388 13.3
9 Tony Gonsolin 0.0670 0.0324 13.0
10 Logan Gilbert 0.0595 0.0354 12.0

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Zac Gallen 0.2366
0.2633
(29.0)
0.2844
(33.3)
0.2985
(40.1)
0.3016
(41.8)
0.2886
(33.7)
Lucas Giolito 0.3403
0.2577
(48.0)
0.2760
(45.7)
0.2913
(38.2)
0.2847
(43.3)
0.2745
(49.3)
Kris Bubic 0.3520
0.2766
(36.2)
0.2891
(37.7)
0.2960
(36.2)
0.2978
(35.6)
0.2912
(38.5)
Nestor Cortes 0.2323
0.2691
(31.1)
0.2838
(30.9)
0.2872
(30.2)
0.2820
(26.6)
0.2918
(33.6)
José Berríos 0.3276
0.2652
(36.5)
0.2864
(31.9)
0.2949
(28.9)
0.2912
(32.2)
0.2854
(35.4)
Brayan Bello 0.4044
0.2897
(27.0)
0.2887
(31.3)
0.2887
(32.5)
0.3027
(29.0)
0.2980
(29.8)
Michael Kopech 0.2229
0.2673
(28.8)
0.2975
(36.2)
0.2941
(32.3)
0.2870
(28.5)
0.2971
(34.3)
Patrick Corbin 0.3645
0.2652
(61.0)
0.3061
(42.5)
0.3037
(47.5)
0.3043
(47.5)
0.3046
(46.2)
Alexis Díaz 0.1783
0.2783
(29.0)
0.2887
(27.9)
0.3070
(31.4)
0.2963
(28.4)
0.2960
(28.8)
Paul Sewald 0.1583
0.2840
(33.8)
0.2837
(30.1)
0.2894
(30.3)
0.2791
(27.7)
0.2929
(31.4)
Kevin Gausman 0.3634
0.2633
(62.6)
0.2886
(55.2)
0.2933
(55.0)
0.2896
(58.2)
0.2867
(59.1)
Tony Gonsolin 0.2067
0.2500
(28.5)
0.2667
(29.3)
0.2871
(37.2)
0.2884
(37.5)
0.2769
(32.6)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JT Brubaker 0.2581 0.3341 40.2
2 Alex Cobb 0.2643 0.3365 36.8
3 Carlos Carrasco 0.2671 0.3372 36.3
4 Antonio Senzatela 0.2833 0.3827 35.3
5 Corey Kluber 0.2604 0.3166 29.2
6 Mitch Keller 0.2634 0.3197 29.2
7 Trevor Rogers 0.2558 0.3301 28.8
8 Cristian Javier 0.2612 0.2278 27.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.3077 0.2591 37.8
2 Glenn Otto 0.3202 0.2552 37.4
3 Shane McClanahan 0.3102 0.2506 37.4
4 Julio Urías 0.2756 0.2291 31.2
5 Antonio Senzatela 0.3109 0.3827 30.2
6 Miles Mikolas 0.2876 0.2491 30.0
7 JT Brubaker 0.2920 0.3341 28.0
8 Dallas Keuchel 0.2964 0.3843 27.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.2889 0.2291 37.3
2 Triston McKenzie 0.2884 0.2369 33.9
3 Alek Manoah 0.2918 0.2443 32.8
4 Carlos Carrasco 0.2942 0.3372 31.4
5 JT Brubaker 0.2934 0.3341 30.0
6 Miles Mikolas 0.2919 0.2491 29.8
7 Cristian Javier 0.2842 0.2278 29.6
8 Shane McClanahan 0.3005 0.2506 28.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.2894 0.2291 37.1
2 Carlos Carrasco 0.2918 0.3372 33.5
3 Triston McKenzie 0.2843 0.2369 30.3
4 Miles Mikolas 0.2931 0.2491 30.2
5 Alek Manoah 0.2879 0.2443 29.2
6 JT Brubaker 0.2980 0.3341 27.5
7 Dallas Keuchel 0.3037 0.3843 26.4
8 Sandy Alcantara 0.2977 0.2616 26.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.2789 0.2291 31.0
2 Antonio Senzatela 0.3126 0.3827 30.9
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.2914 0.3843 29.6
4 Glenn Otto 0.3101 0.2552 29.4
5 Shane McClanahan 0.2994 0.2506 28.1
6 Lou Trivino 0.2818 0.3893 28.1
7 Michael Wacha 0.3185 0.2598 27.7
8 Carlos Carrasco 0.2995 0.3372 27.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Kris Bubic 0.2730
0.0000
(33.6)
0.2153
(33.4)
0.0000
(58.2)
0.2978
(31.3)
0.2912
(33.4)
José Berríos 0.2601
0.0000
(33.4)
0.2079
(38.8)
0.0000
(64.9)
0.2912
(35.4)
0.2854
(37.6)
Patrick Corbin 0.2849
0.0000
(49.3)
0.2313
(37.7)
0.0000
(79.1)
0.3043
(41.8)
0.3046
(39.6)
Alex Cobb 0.2800
0.0000
(40.5)
0.2280
(32.4)
0.0000
(67.0)
0.3077
(31.8)
0.2980
(36.1)
Kevin Gausman 0.2815
0.0000
(47.7)
0.2164
(46.7)
0.0000
(78.0)
0.2896
(50.8)
0.2867
(50.8)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jackson Stephens 0.2168 0.2327 47.0
2 Manny Bañuelos 0.2168 0.2056 39.7
3 Tony Gonsolin 0.0000 0.1398 37.8
4 Zac Gallen 0.0000 0.1629 37.7
5 Daniel Lynch IV 0.0000 0.2725 34.0
6 Triston McKenzie 0.0000 0.1719 32.5
7 Antonio Senzatela 0.0000 0.2901 30.7
8 Patrick Sandoval 0.0000 0.2633 30.3
9 Huascar Brazobán 0.2168 0.2267 29.0
10 Cristian Javier 0.0000 0.1677 28.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.2426 0.1949 38.6
2 Zac Gallen 0.2126 0.1629 35.9
3 Patrick Sandoval 0.2127 0.2633 31.8
4 Lucas Giolito 0.2031 0.2477 30.6
5 Roansy Contreras 0.2209 0.1493 29.5
6 Tony Gonsolin 0.1956 0.1398 28.1
7 Michael Kopech 0.2215 0.1656 28.0
8 Dakota Hudson 0.1967 0.2437 27.6
9 Zach Thompson 0.1956 0.2468 27.4
10 Jordan Montgomery 0.2404 0.2036 27.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2168 0.2367 123.6
2 Corey Kluber 0.2168 0.2465 99.3
3 Taylor Hearn 0.2168 0.2237 75.0
4 Chase De Jong 0.2168 0.1429 72.6
5 Spenser Watkins 0.2168 0.2336 72.1
6 Mitch White 0.2168 0.2286 71.3
7 Drew Hutchison 0.2168 0.2374 71.1
8 Adrian Sampson 0.2168 0.2247 71.0
9 Caleb Smith 0.2168 0.1694 66.8
10 Beau Brieske 0.2168 0.1959 66.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zac Gallen 0.3016 0.1629 43.2
2 Germán Márquez 0.3236 0.1992 36.0
3 Tony Gonsolin 0.2884 0.1398 35.1
4 Daniel Lynch IV 0.2982 0.2725 31.5
5 Patrick Sandoval 0.2954 0.2633 29.3
6 Lucas Giolito 0.2847 0.2477 28.7
7 Merrill Kelly 0.3025 0.1915 26.4
8 Roansy Contreras 0.2915 0.1493 26.1
9 Triston McKenzie 0.2843 0.1719 25.4
10 George Kirby 0.2954 0.2629 24.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zac Gallen 0.2886 0.1629 36.0
2 Lucas Giolito 0.2745 0.2477 33.8
3 Jeurys Familia 0.2168 0.3030 32.9
4 Roansy Contreras 0.3005 0.1493 31.0
5 Tony Gonsolin 0.2769 0.1398 30.8
6 Tyler Alexander 0.2168 0.2112 29.7
7 Patrick Sandoval 0.2925 0.2633 29.4
8 Michael Wacha 0.3185 0.1872 28.9
9 Michael Kopech 0.2971 0.1656 27.8
10 Joel Kuhnel 0.2168 0.2500 27.7

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jordan Lyles 0.0846
0.0000
(14.2)
0.0668
(14.9)
0.0000
(24.1)
0.0000
(14.1)
0.0000
(15.0)
Adam Oller 0.1202
0.0000
(18.2)
0.0666
(18.6)
0.0000
(22.5)
0.0000
(18.1)
0.0000
(18.5)
Madison Bumgarner 0.0994
0.0000
(23.1)
0.0767
(16.9)
0.0000
(32.1)
0.0000
(23.1)
0.0000
(23.9)
JT Brubaker 0.0931
0.0000
(17.3)
0.0708
(15.4)
0.0000
(25.6)
0.0000
(17.3)
0.0000
(18.1)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.1144 23.0
2 Justin Verlander 0.0000 0.0346 21.1
3 Framber Valdez 0.0000 0.0441 18.3
4 Jackson Stephens 0.0666 0.0566 17.9
5 Kyle Wright 0.0000 0.0435 16.8
6 Shane McClanahan 0.0000 0.0413 16.0
7 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0457 15.8
8 Roansy Contreras 0.0000 0.1045 15.6
9 Richard Bleier 0.0000 0.1364 15.6
10 Ryan Brasier 0.0000 0.1250 15.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ranger Suárez 0.0515 0.0852 23.3
2 Yu Darvish 0.0744 0.0457 20.9
3 Taylor Hearn 0.0591 0.0983 18.3
4 Brandon Woodruff 0.0487 0.0767 18.3
5 Justin Verlander 0.0634 0.0346 18.2
6 Shane McClanahan 0.0693 0.0413 16.9
7 Kyle Wright 0.0678 0.0435 16.8
8 Glenn Otto 0.0739 0.0443 16.5
9 Scott Barlow 0.0788 0.0223 15.9
10 Ryan Brasier 0.0667 0.1250 15.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.0666 0.0600 48.1
2 Corey Kluber 0.0666 0.0641 38.5
3 Drew Hutchison 0.0666 0.0504 32.3
4 Andre Pallante 0.0666 0.0539 30.2
5 Graham Ashcraft 0.0666 0.0552 30.0
6 Steve Cishek 0.0666 0.0185 29.1
7 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.1144 29.1
8 Adrian Sampson 0.0666 0.0570 27.0
9 Beau Brieske 0.0666 0.0408 26.8
10 Wil Crowe 0.0666 0.0419 25.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.1144 22.9
2 Justin Verlander 0.0000 0.0346 21.1
3 Framber Valdez 0.0000 0.0441 18.4
4 Kyle Wright 0.0000 0.0435 16.9
5 Shane McClanahan 0.0000 0.0413 16.0
6 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0457 15.9
7 Roansy Contreras 0.0000 0.1045 15.6
8 Richard Bleier 0.0000 0.1364 15.6
9 Ryan Brasier 0.0000 0.1250 15.4
10 Julio Urías 0.0000 0.0441 15.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Alexander 0.0666 0.0621 29.7
2 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0666 0.0464 24.9
3 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.1144 23.5
4 Justin Verlander 0.0000 0.0346 20.4
5 Framber Valdez 0.0000 0.0441 17.4
6 Roansy Contreras 0.0000 0.1045 16.1
7 Kyle Wright 0.0000 0.0435 16.0
8 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.0859 15.9
9 Richard Bleier 0.0000 0.1364 15.8
10 Ryan Brasier 0.0000 0.1250 15.7

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Chad Kuhl 0.0143
0.0000
(5.5)
0.0043
(6.4)
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0000
(5.5)
0.0000
(5.6)
Kyle Freeland 0.0146
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0054
(7.3)
0.0000
(7.9)
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0000
(7.2)
James Kaprielian 0.0175
0.0000
(7.0)
0.0098
(4.7)
0.0000
(7.6)
0.0000
(7.0)
0.0000
(7.1)
Sandy Alcantara 0.0099
0.0000
(4.0)
0.0043
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0000
(4.0)
0.0000
(4.1)
Pablo López 0.0125
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0063
(4.9)
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.3)
Taylor Rogers 0.0196
0.0000
(3.9)
0.0000
(5.5)
0.0000
(4.2)
0.0000
(3.9)
0.0000
(3.9)
Rich Hill 0.0166
0.0000
(5.9)
0.0027
(7.5)
0.0000
(6.5)
0.0000
(5.9)
0.0000
(6.0)
Sean Manaea 0.0115
0.0000
(4.1)
0.0047
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.1)
0.0000
(4.2)
Zack Wheeler 0.0154
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0044
(6.9)
0.0000
(6.7)
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0000
(6.1)
Joan Adon 0.0198
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0058
(4.5)
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.5)
0.0000
(4.5)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0128 6.0
2 Josh Winckowski 0.0000 0.0215 5.1
3 Jesse Chavez 0.0000 0.0212 4.6
4 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0117 4.5
5 Martín Pérez 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
6 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.0108 4.2
7 Marco Gonzales 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
8 Austin Gomber 0.0000 0.0132 4.2
9 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
10 Kenley Jansen 0.0000 0.0210 4.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yu Darvish 0.0110 0.0000 8.2
2 Luis Castillo 0.0095 0.0000 5.6
3 Josh Winckowski 0.0054 0.0215 5.2
4 Nick Pivetta 0.0086 0.0020 4.8
5 Johnny Cueto 0.0116 0.0040 4.7
6 Michael Kopech 0.0127 0.0032 4.5
7 Aaron Civale 0.0110 0.0000 4.3
8 Aaron Nola 0.0076 0.0019 4.2
9 John Brebbia 0.0000 0.0143 4.2
10 Luis Severino 0.0108 0.0000 4.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0128 6.8
2 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0117 5.2
3 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.0108 5.0
4 Jesse Chavez 0.0000 0.0212 4.9
5 Austin Gomber 0.0000 0.0132 4.7
6 Graham Ashcraft 0.0054 0.0000 4.5
7 Kenley Jansen 0.0000 0.0210 4.3
8 Noah Syndergaard 0.0000 0.0119 4.3
9 Ryan Feltner 0.0000 0.0139 4.1
10 Jeff Hoffman 0.0000 0.0248 4.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0128 6.0
2 Josh Winckowski 0.0000 0.0215 5.1
3 Jesse Chavez 0.0000 0.0212 4.6
4 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0117 4.5
5 Martín Pérez 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
6 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.0108 4.2
7 Marco Gonzales 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
8 Austin Gomber 0.0000 0.0132 4.2
9 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
10 Kenley Jansen 0.0000 0.0210 4.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0128 6.0
2 Josh Winckowski 0.0000 0.0215 5.1
3 Jesse Chavez 0.0000 0.0212 4.6
4 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0117 4.6
5 Martín Pérez 0.0000 0.0000 4.3
6 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.0108 4.3
7 Austin Gomber 0.0000 0.0132 4.2
8 Marco Gonzales 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
9 Kenley Jansen 0.0000 0.0210 4.1
10 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0000 4.1

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Tyler Anderson 0.0806
0.1232
(34.5)
0.1262
(28.7)
0.1299
(31.2)
0.1398
(36.4)
0.1351
(35.0)
Nestor Cortes 0.0715
0.1189
(32.9)
0.1168
(24.8)
0.1280
(31.6)
0.1254
(28.4)
0.1238
(29.1)
Martín Pérez 0.0853
0.1327
(44.1)
0.1336
(35.6)
0.1285
(31.3)
0.1272
(28.1)
0.1363
(37.8)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spenser Watkins 0.0000 0.1285 56.1
2 Alek Manoah 0.1228 0.0700 46.4
3 Josh Winckowski 0.0000 0.1487 45.0
4 Sandy Alcantara 0.1176 0.0756 42.7
5 Joel Kuhnel 0.0000 0.1608 39.4
6 Adrian Sampson 0.0000 0.0935 37.3
7 Beau Brieske 0.0000 0.1150 36.9
8 Merrill Kelly 0.1352 0.0958 36.7
9 Zac Gallen 0.1208 0.0784 34.7
10 Davis Martin 0.0000 0.1338 34.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dallas Keuchel 0.1236 0.2277 33.1
2 Jose Quintana 0.1407 0.0898 31.1
3 Patrick Corbin 0.1306 0.1669 29.5
4 Kyle Wright 0.1352 0.0908 29.1
5 Dylan Cease 0.1175 0.0736 29.0
6 Alek Manoah 0.1080 0.0700 25.9
7 Sandy Alcantara 0.1097 0.0756 25.7
8 Jeffrey Springs 0.1280 0.0765 25.5
9 Triston McKenzie 0.1267 0.0877 25.2
10 Dean Kremer 0.1465 0.0938 24.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1257 0.1669 33.0
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.1262 0.2277 32.3
3 Alek Manoah 0.1138 0.0700 30.4
4 Sandy Alcantara 0.1137 0.0756 29.2
5 Merrill Kelly 0.1357 0.0958 28.0
6 Cristian Javier 0.1273 0.0752 27.5
7 Zac Gallen 0.1208 0.0784 26.6
8 Tony Gonsolin 0.1223 0.0643 26.3
9 Sean Manaea 0.1088 0.1416 25.5
10 Triston McKenzie 0.1272 0.0877 25.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1258 0.1669 34.8
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.1279 0.2277 32.6
3 Alek Manoah 0.1155 0.0700 29.6
4 Tony Gonsolin 0.1304 0.0643 29.1
5 Sean Manaea 0.1106 0.1416 26.0
6 Julio Urías 0.1195 0.0740 26.0
7 Sandy Alcantara 0.1127 0.0756 25.9
8 Merrill Kelly 0.1357 0.0958 25.8
9 Zac Gallen 0.1209 0.0784 24.7
10 Dylan Cease 0.1136 0.0736 24.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1156 0.1669 40.1
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.1218 0.2277 33.6
3 Tony Gonsolin 0.1269 0.0643 28.8
4 Sean Manaea 0.1046 0.1416 28.1
5 Triston McKenzie 0.1282 0.0877 26.3
6 Lucas Giolito 0.0990 0.1318 26.3
7 Dean Kremer 0.1497 0.0938 26.1
8 Trevor Rogers 0.0969 0.1447 25.1
9 Merrill Kelly 0.1306 0.0958 24.0
10 José Berríos 0.1102 0.1368 23.7

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Dallas Keuchel 0.2046
0.1192
(28.0)
0.1140
(29.1)
0.1158
(28.9)
0.1175
(29.3)
0.1139
(29.6)
José Berríos 0.1328
0.1033
(27.4)
0.1015
(27.7)
0.1033
(27.1)
0.1046
(28.4)
0.1025
(28.2)
Martín Pérez 0.0767
0.1217
(31.2)
0.1174
(28.9)
0.1192
(29.5)
0.1180
(26.1)
0.1267
(35.2)
Patrick Corbin 0.1501
0.1147
(30.1)
0.1244
(22.2)
0.1165
(28.5)
0.1170
(30.3)
0.1086
(34.6)
Dylan Cease 0.0602
0.1029
(26.7)
0.1082
(31.7)
0.1041
(27.9)
0.1060
(27.1)
0.1004
(24.7)
Trevor Rogers 0.1363
0.1025
(19.4)
0.0929
(23.3)
0.1003
(20.2)
0.0997
(22.0)
0.0901
(25.4)
Tyler Anderson 0.0721
0.1146
(25.2)
0.1198
(29.8)
0.1224
(30.9)
0.1322
(35.7)
0.1267
(33.5)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.1123 0.0623 33.8
2 Sandy Alcantara 0.1072 0.0655 30.9
3 Lucas Giolito 0.0943 0.1261 27.0
4 Zac Gallen 0.1121 0.0728 23.1
5 Sean Manaea 0.1037 0.1297 22.0
6 Nestor Cortes 0.1119 0.0699 21.6
7 Germán Márquez 0.1082 0.1284 21.1
8 Julio Urías 0.0985 0.0610 21.1
9 Merrill Kelly 0.1254 0.0933 20.2
10 Tony Gonsolin 0.1091 0.0622 19.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jose Quintana 0.1254 0.0795 27.4
2 Justin Verlander 0.0966 0.0511 26.7
3 Kyle Wright 0.1281 0.0867 26.5
4 Alek Manoah 0.1000 0.0623 25.3
5 Dean Kremer 0.1389 0.0879 23.3
6 Triston McKenzie 0.1209 0.0850 22.5
7 Jeffrey Springs 0.1137 0.0674 22.4
8 Sandy Alcantara 0.0954 0.0655 21.7
9 Austin Gomber 0.1102 0.1456 21.6
10 Matt Moore 0.1282 0.0526 21.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sandy Alcantara 0.1051 0.0655 29.4
2 Alek Manoah 0.1062 0.0623 29.4
3 Justin Verlander 0.0991 0.0511 27.6
4 Nestor Cortes 0.1205 0.0699 27.1
5 Julio Urías 0.1056 0.0610 26.3
6 Cristian Javier 0.1203 0.0718 24.6
7 Sean Manaea 0.1007 0.1297 23.8
8 Zac Gallen 0.1125 0.0728 23.7
9 Tony Gonsolin 0.1149 0.0622 23.0
10 Merrill Kelly 0.1269 0.0933 21.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.1120 0.0610 28.6
2 Alek Manoah 0.1077 0.0623 28.2
3 Justin Verlander 0.0992 0.0511 25.7
4 Sandy Alcantara 0.1038 0.0655 25.5
5 Tony Gonsolin 0.1228 0.0622 25.4
6 Sean Manaea 0.1022 0.1297 24.8
7 Nestor Cortes 0.1182 0.0699 23.8
8 Zac Gallen 0.1127 0.0728 21.7
9 Alex Wood 0.1044 0.1333 21.4
10 Adrian Sampson 0.1416 0.0841 20.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.0919 0.1261 28.8
2 Sean Manaea 0.0985 0.1297 25.7
3 Justin Verlander 0.0957 0.0511 25.0
4 Alex Wood 0.0960 0.1333 24.6
5 Nestor Cortes 0.1165 0.0699 24.3
6 Tony Gonsolin 0.1176 0.0622 24.0
7 Matt Moore 0.1361 0.0526 23.2
8 Dean Kremer 0.1397 0.0879 22.9
9 Charlie Morton 0.0912 0.1140 21.8
10 Jose Quintana 0.1183 0.0795 21.5

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Kyle Wright 0.7000
0.3000
(292.0)
0.1071
(401.1)
0.1027
(461.9)
0.1909
(368.1)
0.3333
(286.3)
Tyler Anderson 0.5000
0.2941
(142.5)
0.1667
(200.8)
0.1952
(235.8)
0.2239
(187.9)
0.2963
(159.1)
Tony Gonsolin 0.6667
0.2778
(191.5)
0.1563
(229.6)
0.2346
(229.5)
0.1943
(230.1)
0.2000
(243.0)
Yu Darvish 0.5333
0.3571
(132.5)
0.2105
(210.8)
0.3758
(143.5)
0.3624
(123.8)
0.3462
(160.7)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cal Quantrill 0.2143 0.4688 192.6
2 Chris Bassitt 0.2759 0.5000 163.8
3 Framber Valdez 0.3462 0.5484 163.7
4 Justin Verlander 0.3929 0.6429 163.6
5 Carlos Carrasco 0.2692 0.5172 157.2
6 Luis Garcia 0.3077 0.5357 143.9
7 Mitch White 0.3333 0.0400 131.0
8 Julio Urías 0.3548 0.5484 130.4
9 Kris Bubic 0.3043 0.1071 118.3
10 Zack Greinke 0.3462 0.1538 115.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.2000 0.6429 262.1
2 Carlos Carrasco 0.1333 0.5172 215.8
3 Framber Valdez 0.2432 0.5484 211.5
4 Alek Manoah 0.2051 0.5161 205.6
5 Cal Quantrill 0.1591 0.4688 200.4
6 Luis Garcia 0.2093 0.5357 178.1
7 Sandy Alcantara 0.1951 0.4375 171.0
8 Joe Ryan 0.1563 0.4815 166.6
9 Nestor Cortes 0.1176 0.4286 160.8
10 Jameson Taillon 0.1707 0.4375 158.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.4321 0.6429 159.5
2 Spencer Strider 0.1174 0.3548 140.5
3 Cal Quantrill 0.3164 0.4688 139.4
4 Jeffrey Springs 0.0509 0.2727 137.5
5 Adam Wainwright 0.2034 0.3438 135.7
6 Keegan Thompson 0.0938 0.3448 135.6
7 Paul Blackburn 0.0717 0.3333 135.6
8 Paolo Espino 0.2923 0.0000 128.4
9 Ross Stripling 0.1028 0.3125 127.7
10 Luis Garcia 0.3745 0.5357 122.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.4135 0.6429 145.9
2 Michael Wacha 0.1886 0.4783 143.9
3 Spencer Strider 0.0799 0.3548 139.7
4 JT Brubaker 0.3107 0.1071 138.2
5 Cristian Javier 0.1270 0.3667 134.2
6 Dane Dunning 0.3252 0.1379 132.6
7 Keegan Thompson 0.0760 0.3448 125.4
8 Kris Bubic 0.3103 0.1071 125.3
9 Dean Kremer 0.1118 0.3636 123.7
10 Cal Quantrill 0.2995 0.4688 122.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nestor Cortes 0.1481 0.4286 185.6
2 Drew Rasmussen 0.1026 0.3929 182.0
3 Cristian Javier 0.0833 0.3667 178.2
4 Michael Lorenzen 0.0465 0.4444 172.3
5 Michael Wacha 0.1852 0.4783 161.9
6 Chris Bassitt 0.3077 0.5000 159.1
7 Martín Pérez 0.2188 0.3750 145.8
8 Hunter Greene 0.5000 0.2083 143.6
9 Patrick Corbin 0.4138 0.1935 141.8
10 JT Brubaker 0.3478 0.1071 141.7

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Patrick Corbin 0.6129
0.3571
(177.4)
0.2821
(195.4)
0.3048
(221.5)
0.3603
(177.1)
0.3448
(182.9)
Mike Minor 0.6316
0.3462
(126.7)
0.2703
(138.6)
0.3164
(144.6)
0.3778
(113.5)
0.3333
(130.4)
Joan Adon 0.8571
0.4000
(139.6)
0.0968
(218.1)
0.3505
(157.9)
0.3930
(142.6)
0.3182
(163.5)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brayan Bello 0.0006 0.6154 162.9
2 Josh Winckowski 0.0006 0.4667 145.1
3 Hunter Greene 0.2632 0.5417 144.2
4 Zac Gallen 0.3214 0.1290 142.3
5 Beau Brieske 0.0006 0.4000 133.0
6 Cal Quantrill 0.3214 0.1563 132.5
7 Framber Valdez 0.3462 0.1935 132.0
8 Spenser Watkins 0.0005 0.2609 116.3
9 Davis Martin 0.0005 0.4286 113.3
10 Zach Davies 0.3684 0.1852 108.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.1944 0.4688 170.3
2 Alex Wood 0.1250 0.4615 155.3
3 Madison Bumgarner 0.2222 0.5000 154.3
4 Hunter Greene 0.2054 0.5417 148.4
5 Daniel Lynch IV 0.1892 0.4815 141.3
6 Jonathan Heasley 0.1250 0.4762 136.9
7 Zach Plesac 0.1842 0.4800 135.8
8 Erick Fedde 0.2000 0.4815 128.8
9 Daulton Jefferies 0.0952 0.8750 124.4
10 Miles Mikolas 0.1852 0.3939 122.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Heasley 0.1150 0.4762 169.2
2 Cal Quantrill 0.3673 0.1563 160.5
3 José Ureña 0.0543 0.3810 142.2
4 Adam Wainwright 0.2054 0.3750 138.3
5 Hunter Greene 0.3004 0.5417 129.5
6 Aaron Nola 0.2565 0.4063 122.9
7 Zac Gallen 0.3034 0.1290 122.6
8 Merrill Kelly 0.3891 0.2424 115.8
9 Brayan Bello 0.2054 0.6154 110.6
10 Taijuan Walker 0.3436 0.1724 109.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cal Quantrill 0.3965 0.1563 188.3
2 Jonathan Heasley 0.1052 0.4762 170.5
3 Zac Gallen 0.3561 0.1290 165.2
4 Erick Fedde 0.2252 0.4815 144.4
5 José Ureña 0.0504 0.3810 141.0
6 Aaron Ashby 0.0719 0.3704 139.8
7 Jameson Taillon 0.3336 0.1563 132.2
8 Merrill Kelly 0.4004 0.2424 130.4
9 Zach Davies 0.4052 0.1852 127.8
10 Taijuan Walker 0.3615 0.1724 125.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Nola 0.2188 0.4063 142.0
2 Alex Wood 0.2000 0.4615 138.7
3 Cristian Javier 0.0556 0.3000 136.2
4 Cal Quantrill 0.3214 0.1563 136.1
5 Kris Bubic 0.2333 0.4643 128.8
6 Michael Kopech 0.0882 0.3600 128.5
7 Josiah Gray 0.1500 0.3571 126.9
8 Madison Bumgarner 0.3077 0.5000 126.2
9 Erick Fedde 0.2500 0.4815 126.0
10 Daulton Jefferies 0.1364 0.8750 125.1

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Félix Bautista 0.2308
0.0426
(46.4)
0.0298
(54.8)
0.0000
(56.1)
0.0158
(51.6)
0.0000
(56.5)
Daniel Bard 0.5965
0.0645
(129.2)
0.2093
(98.7)
0.1080
(117.4)
0.0939
(120.4)
0.0949
(121.1)
Nick Martinez 0.1702
0.0000
(74.1)
0.0298
(69.9)
0.0000
(72.2)
0.0000
(71.3)
0.0000
(72.9)
Clay Holmes 0.3226
0.0400
(72.2)
0.0233
(81.9)
0.0000
(81.5)
0.0174
(76.5)
0.0189
(77.0)
Ryan Helsley 0.3519
0.0000
(83.0)
0.0278
(81.2)
0.0000
(81.9)
0.0338
(73.4)
0.0234
(76.7)
Tanner Scott 0.2985
0.0400
(73.3)
0.0233
(84.1)
0.0000
(83.6)
0.0167
(78.3)
0.0291
(75.7)
Kenley Jansen 0.6308
0.4429
(47.6)
0.3830
(68.5)
0.4174
(53.1)
0.1003
(135.0)
0.4035
(57.2)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Raisel Iglesias 0.5806 0.2537 81.6
2 Chris Stratton 0.3043 0.0333 76.9
3 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.2500 60.6
4 Robert Suarez 0.3281 0.0222 59.3
5 Aroldis Chapman 0.5593 0.2093 56.8
6 Dillon Tate 0.2600 0.0746 55.5
7 Rafael Montero 0.0000 0.1972 52.0
8 Giovanny Gallegos 0.4531 0.2456 49.9
9 Alex Colomé 0.3000 0.0755 49.3
10 Camilo Doval 0.2222 0.3971 48.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge López 0.0250 0.3433 99.5
2 Jordan Romano 0.2143 0.5714 96.2
3 Camilo Doval 0.0800 0.3971 95.1
4 Emmanuel Clase 0.2222 0.5455 91.8
5 Gregory Soto 0.1591 0.4688 85.5
6 David Bednar 0.0500 0.4222 81.4
7 David Robertson 0.0526 0.3448 81.3
8 Ryan Pressly 0.2727 0.6600 73.3
9 Scott Barlow 0.1224 0.3478 69.9
10 Liam Hendriks 0.3617 0.6379 68.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 David Robertson 0.0000 0.3448 88.6
2 Jorge López 0.0529 0.3433 83.8
3 Raisel Iglesias 0.5682 0.2537 79.6
4 Gregory Soto 0.1852 0.4688 72.2
5 Mark Melancon 0.0298 0.2903 62.1
6 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.2500 59.5
7 Camilo Doval 0.2058 0.3971 52.1
8 Rafael Montero 0.0000 0.1972 50.8
9 Jimmy Herget 0.0000 0.1837 46.4
10 Paul Sewald 0.1080 0.3077 46.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Will Smith 0.3591 0.0769 76.5
2 Kyle Finnegan 0.4219 0.1667 71.4
3 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.2500 59.0
4 Josh Hader 0.3876 0.6429 53.5
5 Lou Trivino 0.3679 0.1719 51.8
6 Rafael Montero 0.0000 0.1972 50.2
7 Rowan Wick 0.2991 0.1406 49.8
8 Aroldis Chapman 0.5032 0.2093 48.8
9 Paul Sewald 0.0959 0.3077 48.6
10 Raisel Iglesias 0.4379 0.2537 48.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rowan Wick 0.4555 0.1406 94.8
2 Jorge López 0.0277 0.3433 91.8
3 Kyle Finnegan 0.4727 0.1667 84.0
4 Jordan Hicks 0.2875 0.0000 77.6
5 Dinelson Lamet 0.4752 0.0000 71.9
6 Craig Kimbrel 0.0747 0.3492 69.4
7 Raisel Iglesias 0.5025 0.2537 63.0
8 Corey Knebel 0.5682 0.2609 61.1
9 Tanner Houck 0.0000 0.2500 59.9
10 Aroldis Chapman 0.5751 0.2093 59.7

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player Actual Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Andre Pallante 0.1915
0.0621
(73.0)
0.0621
(61.3)
0.0286
(68.0)
0.0000
(84.2)
Zach Jackson 0.4815
0.0621
(90.8)
0.0621
(85.7)
0.0184
(90.7)
0.0000
(95.8)
John Schreiber 0.3438
0.1250
(64.0)
0.0621
(73.6)
0.0493
(72.1)
0.0000
(86.5)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Kopech 0.2222 0.0000 94.8
2 Michael King 0.0968 0.4706 80.4
3 Yimi García 0.0952 0.3770 77.1
4 Michael Fulmer 0.1250 0.3731 76.8
5 Cionel Pérez 0.0833 0.3788 76.2
6 Michael Lorenzen 0.2143 0.0000 75.6
7 Jhoan Duran 0.0621 0.3158 75.6
8 Wil Crowe 0.0732 0.2667 74.3
9 Kendall Graveman 0.1892 0.4154 73.1
10 Héctor Neris 0.1200 0.3571 70.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.2413 0.0000 129.9
2 Brad Boxberger 0.0621 0.4286 99.5
3 Austin Voth 0.2469 0.0244 96.3
4 José Ureña 0.1728 0.0000 72.6
5 Anthony Bass 0.0621 0.3151 70.9
6 Bailey Falter 0.2058 0.0000 70.2
7 Wil Crowe 0.0621 0.2667 69.5
8 Camilo Doval 0.2573 0.0147 68.0
9 Jorge López 0.2469 0.0149 67.7
10 Tanner Scott 0.2932 0.0597 66.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ross Stripling 0.1509 0.0000 88.4
2 Austin Voth 0.2050 0.0244 86.0
3 Colin Poche 0.0190 0.3538 78.6
4 Graham Ashcraft 0.1514 0.0000 76.8
5 Michael King 0.0737 0.4706 76.2
6 Griffin Jax 0.0149 0.2769 71.9
7 Paolo Espino 0.1197 0.0000 65.1
8 Nick Martinez 0.0126 0.1702 64.3
9 Matt Moore 0.0000 0.2222 63.3
10 Wil Crowe 0.0625 0.2667 63.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ross Stripling 0.3417 0.0000 187.0
2 Austin Voth 0.2681 0.0244 110.9
3 Aaron Ashby 0.2318 0.0370 95.9
4 David Robertson 0.4079 0.0517 95.9
5 Caleb Smith 0.4424 0.1364 94.6
6 Jorge López 0.3206 0.0149 93.2
7 Brent Suter 0.3521 0.0185 92.7
8 Colin Poche 0.0095 0.3538 82.6
9 Jhoan Duran 0.0000 0.3158 82.1
10 Trevor Williams 0.2327 0.0333 76.8

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Dallas Keuchel 9.1978
4.7059
(1439.6)
4.4499
(1491.0)
4.6292
(1460.4)
4.6939
(1481.1)
4.4587
(1521.9)
Nestor Cortes 2.4442
4.2353
(942.2)
4.1284
(929.4)
4.6771
(1218.8)
4.5820
(1078.4)
4.4384
(1051.8)
José Berríos 5.2326
3.8226
(1256.8)
3.8028
(1206.9)
3.9253
(1173.4)
3.9584
(1248.8)
3.8363
(1265.1)
Martín Pérez 2.8879
4.7734
(1335.2)
4.6236
(1282.9)
4.7189
(1297.1)
4.6713
(1148.6)
5.0914
(1576.0)
Patrick Corbin 6.3079
4.4296
(1523.9)
4.8406
(1169.5)
4.5000
(1468.0)
4.5377
(1536.1)
4.1621
(1732.3)
Dylan Cease 2.2011
3.9085
(1081.9)
4.1860
(1353.5)
3.9831
(1143.7)
4.0532
(1096.5)
3.8809
(1042.8)
Tyler Anderson 2.5690
4.3742
(1093.1)
4.6044
(1316.7)
4.7586
(1370.5)
5.1854
(1578.1)
4.8100
(1383.7)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sandy Alcantara 4.0753 2.2828 1358.6
2 Alek Manoah 4.2044 2.2424 1338.5
3 Lucas Giolito 3.4673 4.8990 1180.2
4 Zac Gallen 4.2963 2.5435 1066.6
5 Merrill Kelly 4.9141 3.3694 1033.7
6 Sean Manaea 3.8222 4.9557 934.4
7 Tony Gonsolin 4.2472 2.1407 920.0
8 Kyle Wright 4.6734 3.1941 900.5
9 Trevor Rogers 3.8493 5.4673 895.4
10 Mike Minor 4.4444 6.0612 853.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jose Quintana 4.9865 2.9336 1276.5
2 Kyle Wright 5.0546 3.1941 1245.4
3 Alek Manoah 3.7720 2.2424 1066.3
4 Justin Verlander 3.5204 1.7486 1064.8
5 Dean Kremer 5.4817 3.2314 1063.6
6 Triston McKenzie 4.5182 2.9634 1023.9
7 Trevor Rogers 3.5347 5.4673 1004.3
8 Sandy Alcantara 3.5680 2.2828 985.5
9 Elvin Rodríguez 4.0350 10.6180 966.1
10 Jeffrey Springs 4.3902 2.4606 964.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sandy Alcantara 4.0130 2.2828 1310.5
2 Alek Manoah 4.0734 2.2424 1241.9
3 Cristian Javier 4.7734 2.5426 1158.2
4 Justin Verlander 3.6664 1.7486 1110.1
5 Julio Urías 4.0000 2.1600 1094.8
6 Zac Gallen 4.3251 2.5435 1092.8
7 Triston McKenzie 4.6762 2.9634 1083.2
8 Merrill Kelly 4.9519 3.3694 1070.5
9 Tony Gonsolin 4.5161 2.1407 1057.9
10 Elvin Rodríguez 4.0350 10.6180 977.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 4.2551 2.1600 1178.8
2 Alek Manoah 4.1125 2.2424 1167.9
3 Tony Gonsolin 4.8528 2.1407 1159.3
4 Sandy Alcantara 3.9386 2.2828 1126.6
5 Sean Manaea 3.8244 4.9557 1016.9
6 Zac Gallen 4.3512 2.5435 1016.3
7 Justin Verlander 3.6478 1.7486 1008.9
8 Trevor Rogers 3.7642 5.4673 995.7
9 Merrill Kelly 4.9798 3.3694 985.8
10 Triston McKenzie 4.6713 2.9634 980.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 3.3556 4.8990 1275.4
2 Trevor Rogers 3.3830 5.4673 1129.6
3 Dean Kremer 5.6418 3.2314 1088.8
4 Tony Gonsolin 4.5600 2.1407 1063.5
5 Sean Manaea 3.6844 4.9557 1043.5
6 Matt Moore 5.5125 1.9459 997.9
7 Chase De Jong 6.2395 2.6372 972.3
8 Jose Quintana 4.6311 2.9336 959.9
9 Alex Wood 3.6525 5.0969 959.2
10 Triston McKenzie 4.5349 2.9634 954.1

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Zac Gallen 0.9130
1.2585
(238.4)
1.2597
(242.8)
1.3180
(258.8)
1.3263
(247.8)
1.2531
(213.1)
Lucas Giolito 1.4351
1.0842
(252.9)
1.1429
(208.5)
1.2111
(186.0)
1.2063
(205.8)
1.0899
(270.0)
Dallas Keuchel 2.0604
1.3856
(208.0)
1.3997
(202.2)
1.4775
(189.5)
1.4806
(195.7)
1.3899
(215.8)
Kris Bubic 1.6977
1.3711
(198.4)
1.3699
(196.3)
1.4105
(193.5)
1.4333
(194.0)
1.4148
(190.5)
Nestor Cortes 0.9221
1.2059
(167.4)
1.2615
(204.7)
1.3170
(216.7)
1.2961
(189.3)
1.2637
(184.5)
José Berríos 1.4186
1.1129
(238.9)
1.1758
(187.8)
1.2246
(178.1)
1.2146
(203.4)
1.1601
(226.0)
Patrick Corbin 1.6965
1.2913
(297.2)
1.3878
(224.8)
1.3636
(267.7)
1.3675
(281.7)
1.3103
(305.0)
Mike Minor 1.6327
1.2222
(192.0)
1.2544
(175.1)
1.3253
(159.2)
1.3126
(175.7)
1.2735
(182.3)
Triston McKenzie 0.9512
1.2927
(244.5)
1.2065
(184.3)
1.3517
(265.3)
1.3542
(249.6)
1.2636
(200.6)
Tyler Anderson 1.0019
1.2394
(159.8)
1.3029
(208.2)
1.3448
(212.4)
1.3749
(217.0)
1.2755
(164.1)
Shane McClanahan 0.9259
1.1857
(159.2)
1.2841
(225.5)
1.2516
(181.6)
1.2288
(151.8)
1.2460
(178.6)
Tony Gonsolin 0.8747
1.3258
(218.9)
1.2198
(168.6)
1.3694
(225.2)
1.3918
(224.6)
1.3467
(214.3)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sandy Alcantara 1.2220 0.9796 204.6
2 Cristian Javier 1.2845 0.9484 189.9
3 Ryan Helsley 1.4775 0.7423 173.0
4 Erick Fedde 1.3438 1.6299 170.6
5 Merrill Kelly 1.3558 1.1381 165.8
6 Spencer Strider 1.3193 0.9949 165.2
7 Trevor Rogers 1.1745 1.5047 163.0
8 Jimmy Herget 1.5152 0.9130 157.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Nola 1.1873 0.9610 177.4
2 Kyle Wright 1.4041 1.1590 176.1
3 Miles Mikolas 1.2577 1.0329 175.7
4 Sandy Alcantara 1.1775 0.9796 169.6
5 Brady Singer 1.4060 1.1413 160.3
6 Justin Verlander 1.0714 0.8286 157.4
7 Spencer Strider 1.2963 0.9949 155.7
8 Jose Quintana 1.4459 1.2133 153.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cristian Javier 1.3960 0.9484 237.0
2 Sandy Alcantara 1.2733 0.9796 222.5
3 Miles Mikolas 1.3143 1.0329 192.2
4 Alek Manoah 1.2526 0.9915 171.8
5 Aaron Nola 1.2162 0.9610 171.7
6 Merrill Kelly 1.3888 1.1381 167.4
7 Max Fried 1.2850 1.0144 167.2
8 Yu Darvish 1.2068 0.9503 165.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sandy Alcantara 1.2589 0.9796 188.9
2 Cristian Javier 1.3317 0.9484 185.6
3 Miles Mikolas 1.3159 1.0329 174.5
4 Trevor Rogers 1.2330 1.5047 161.1
5 Max Fried 1.2954 1.0144 157.5
6 Merrill Kelly 1.3990 1.1381 156.6
7 Kyle Wright 1.4280 1.1590 149.7
8 Julio Urías 1.2412 0.9600 148.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Félix Bautista 1.7411 0.9289 194.9
2 Spencer Strider 1.3723 0.9949 177.3
3 Trevor Rogers 1.1915 1.5047 169.2
4 Martín Pérez 1.5000 1.2581 164.5
5 Ryan Helsley 1.4458 0.7423 158.2
6 Antonio Senzatela 1.3660 1.6895 150.8
7 Jason Adam 1.4302 0.7579 149.5
8 Sam Hentges 1.6136 0.9677 148.1