2021 Projection Evaluation
Batting Projection Accuracy
Plate Appearances (PA)
Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adolis García | 34 | 622 | 588.0 |
| 2 | Evan White | 603 | 104 | 499.0 |
| 3 | Josh Rojas | 68 | 550 | 482.0 |
| 4 | Kyle Lewis | 627 | 147 | 480.0 |
| 5 | Jed Lowrie | 35 | 512 | 477.0 |
| 6 | Pavin Smith | 70 | 545 | 475.0 |
| 7 | Mike Trout | 620 | 146 | 474.0 |
| 8 | Cristian Pache | 536 | 68 | 468.0 |
| 9 | Odúbel Herrera | 34 | 492 | 458.0 |
| 10 | Adam Haseley | 471 | 21 | 450.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan India | 1 | 631 | 630.0 |
| 2 | Andrew Vaughn | 1 | 469 | 468.0 |
| 3 | Mitch Haniger | 227 | 691 | 464.0 |
| 4 | Akil Baddoo | 1 | 461 | 460.0 |
| 5 | Tyler Naquin | 1 | 454 | 453.0 |
| 6 | Adolis García | 205 | 622 | 417.0 |
| 7 | Bo Bichette | 295 | 690 | 395.0 |
| 8 | Salvador Perez | 276 | 665 | 389.0 |
| 9 | Cedric Mullins | 287 | 675 | 388.0 |
| 10 | Nathaniel Lowe | 259 | 642 | 383.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Seager | 1 | 670 | 669.0 |
| 2 | César Hernández | 1 | 637 | 636.0 |
| 3 | Nelson Cruz | 1 | 584 | 583.0 |
| 4 | Eric Hosmer | 1 | 565 | 564.0 |
| 5 | Josh Donaldson | 1 | 543 | 542.0 |
| 6 | Miguel Cabrera | 1 | 526 | 525.0 |
| 7 | Mike Trout | 668 | 146 | 522.0 |
| 8 | Jed Lowrie | 1 | 512 | 511.0 |
| 9 | Michael Brantley | 1 | 508 | 507.0 |
| 10 | Jonathan Villar | 1 | 505 | 504.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | 671 | 146 | 524.9 |
| 2 | Adolis García | 106 | 622 | 516.5 |
| 3 | Adalberto Mondesi | 646 | 136 | 509.6 |
| 4 | Kyle Lewis | 650 | 147 | 503.1 |
| 5 | Evan White | 576 | 104 | 472.3 |
| 6 | Aaron Hicks | 583 | 126 | 456.7 |
| 7 | Pavin Smith | 99 | 545 | 446.5 |
| 8 | Cristian Pache | 500 | 68 | 432.0 |
| 9 | Mike Moustakas | 638 | 206 | 431.7 |
| 10 | Marcell Ozuna | 635 | 208 | 426.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Vilade | 608 | 7 | 601.0 |
| 2 | Seth Beer | 584 | 10 | 574.0 |
| 3 | Josh Lowe | 541 | 2 | 539.0 |
| 4 | Khalil Lee | 551 | 18 | 533.0 |
| 5 | Dustin Fowler | 574 | 46 | 528.0 |
| 6 | Sheldon Neuse | 593 | 66 | 527.0 |
| 7 | Alex De Goti | 532 | 7 | 525.0 |
| 8 | Brian Miller | 535 | 11 | 524.0 |
| 9 | Renato Núñez | 570 | 55 | 515.0 |
| 10 | Mario Feliciano | 515 | 1 | 514.0 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.3804 |
0.3286
(41.4)
|
0.3135
(47.1)
|
0.3350
(36.0)
|
0.3373
(34.3)
|
0.3224
(32.3)
|
| Tyler O'Neill | 0.3838 |
0.3289
(35.3)
|
0.3101
(41.9)
|
0.3114
(43.7)
|
0.3166
(40.7)
|
0.3102
(34.6)
|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.3893 |
0.3457
(35.1)
|
0.3377
(36.1)
|
0.3284
(45.1)
|
0.3289
(44.5)
|
0.3173
(40.6)
|
| Cedric Mullins | 0.3720 |
0.2974
(57.7)
|
0.2948
(55.0)
|
0.2944
(58.5)
|
0.2974
(56.1)
|
0.2921
(47.7)
|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.3806 |
0.3074
(46.1)
|
0.3086
(41.8)
|
0.2957
(51.5)
|
0.3032
(47.2)
|
0.2944
(42.3)
|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.4028 |
0.3384
(48.1)
|
0.3433
(40.7)
|
0.3546
(36.6)
|
0.3541
(36.6)
|
0.3431
(32.3)
|
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.2240 |
0.3038
(29.5)
|
0.3232
(40.6)
|
0.3153
(35.3)
|
0.3120
(34.0)
|
0.3164
(43.5)
|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.4218 |
0.3559
(53.6)
|
0.3329
(65.0)
|
0.3758
(38.3)
|
0.3782
(36.5)
|
0.3574
(38.6)
|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.2394 |
0.3981
(51.8)
|
0.3746
(45.8)
|
0.3965
(51.8)
|
0.3936
(51.0)
|
0.3850
(54.2)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salvador Perez | 0.3101 | 0.3611 | 41.1 |
| 2 | Buster Posey | 0.3097 | 0.3823 | 37.9 |
| 3 | Yuli Gurriel | 0.3151 | 0.3643 | 36.3 |
| 4 | Mike Zunino | 0.2738 | 0.3585 | 35.8 |
| 5 | C.J. Cron | 0.3315 | 0.3847 | 35.0 |
| 6 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3770 | 0.3061 | 34.5 |
| 7 | Bryce Harper | 0.3891 | 0.4356 | 34.3 |
| 8 | Josh Harrison | 0.2790 | 0.3239 | 31.1 |
| 9 | Joey Votto | 0.3484 | 0.3947 | 30.4 |
| 10 | Luis Urías | 0.2981 | 0.3399 | 30.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryce Harper | 0.3748 | 0.4356 | 39.0 |
| 2 | Kyle Tucker | 0.3279 | 0.3839 | 34.2 |
| 3 | Christian Yelich | 0.4017 | 0.3285 | 32.7 |
| 4 | Carlos Santana | 0.3496 | 0.2957 | 32.7 |
| 5 | Buster Posey | 0.3156 | 0.3823 | 32.2 |
| 6 | Kevin Newman | 0.3106 | 0.2490 | 31.8 |
| 7 | David Fletcher | 0.3220 | 0.2713 | 30.9 |
| 8 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3637 | 0.3061 | 30.6 |
| 9 | Mike Zunino | 0.2822 | 0.3585 | 30.2 |
| 10 | Jonathan India | 0.3197 | 0.3626 | 29.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akil Baddoo | 0.2465 | 0.3295 | 42.4 |
| 2 | Jonathan India | 0.3092 | 0.3626 | 39.4 |
| 3 | Bryce Harper | 0.3859 | 0.4356 | 35.1 |
| 4 | Nick Castellanos | 0.3430 | 0.3938 | 35.0 |
| 5 | Adolis García | 0.2696 | 0.3142 | 33.3 |
| 6 | Mike Zunino | 0.2791 | 0.3585 | 33.1 |
| 7 | Buster Posey | 0.3197 | 0.3823 | 32.5 |
| 8 | Salvador Perez | 0.3221 | 0.3611 | 31.9 |
| 9 | Kyle Tucker | 0.3391 | 0.3839 | 30.5 |
| 10 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.3273 | 0.3695 | 30.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akil Baddoo | 0.2498 | 0.3295 | 40.7 |
| 2 | Jonathan India | 0.3093 | 0.3626 | 39.1 |
| 3 | Buster Posey | 0.3075 | 0.3823 | 37.9 |
| 4 | Nick Castellanos | 0.3404 | 0.3938 | 36.3 |
| 5 | Bryce Harper | 0.3868 | 0.4356 | 34.4 |
| 6 | Adolis García | 0.2690 | 0.3142 | 33.5 |
| 7 | Mike Zunino | 0.2790 | 0.3585 | 33.1 |
| 8 | Frank Schwindel | 0.2911 | 0.4053 | 31.8 |
| 9 | Trea Turner | 0.3506 | 0.3871 | 29.1 |
| 10 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.3297 | 0.3695 | 28.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gleyber Torres | 0.3775 | 0.3063 | 41.5 |
| 2 | Carlos Santana | 0.3454 | 0.2957 | 38.8 |
| 3 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3558 | 0.3061 | 33.8 |
| 4 | Jonathan India | 0.3004 | 0.3626 | 33.5 |
| 5 | Matt Chapman | 0.3555 | 0.3115 | 33.1 |
| 6 | Joey Votto | 0.3240 | 0.3947 | 32.8 |
| 7 | David Fletcher | 0.3108 | 0.2713 | 32.3 |
| 8 | Christian Yelich | 0.3843 | 0.3285 | 30.9 |
| 9 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.3520 | 0.3162 | 30.5 |
| 10 | Andrelton Simmons | 0.3085 | 0.2503 | 30.4 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson | 0.1679 |
0.2580
(59.0)
|
0.2565
(58.9)
|
0.2645
(66.1)
|
0.2664
(67.5)
|
0.2929
(77.0)
|
| Ryan Jeffers | 0.3686 |
0.2586
(32.9)
|
0.2437
(36.9)
|
0.2283
(40.6)
|
0.2271
(41.0)
|
0.2548
(36.4)
|
| Matt Chapman | 0.3248 |
0.2512
(47.3)
|
0.2406
(53.1)
|
0.2468
(47.4)
|
0.2493
(45.9)
|
0.2821
(33.1)
|
| Pete Alonso | 0.1994 |
0.2516
(31.7)
|
0.2545
(34.3)
|
0.2620
(41.0)
|
0.2631
(41.7)
|
0.2662
(35.8)
|
| Raimel Tapia | 0.1313 |
0.2259
(49.1)
|
0.2159
(44.4)
|
0.2134
(44.6)
|
0.2105
(43.1)
|
0.2011
(31.6)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan India | 0.3045 | 0.2235 | 49.6 |
| 2 | Patrick Wisdom | 0.2906 | 0.4080 | 44.9 |
| 3 | Tommy Edman | 0.1966 | 0.1375 | 39.2 |
| 4 | Chas McCormick | 0.2077 | 0.3250 | 38.3 |
| 5 | Kyle Tucker | 0.2284 | 0.1587 | 38.1 |
| 6 | Odúbel Herrera | 0.2353 | 0.1565 | 37.6 |
| 7 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2422 | 0.1842 | 35.9 |
| 8 | Juan Soto | 0.1991 | 0.1422 | 35.6 |
| 9 | Kevin Newman | 0.1390 | 0.0740 | 34.7 |
| 10 | Randy Arozarena | 0.2266 | 0.2815 | 34.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Wisdom | 0.2611 | 0.4080 | 55.5 |
| 2 | Brett Phillips | 0.2260 | 0.3870 | 47.4 |
| 3 | Ty France | 0.2359 | 0.1631 | 46.5 |
| 4 | Kevin Newman | 0.1554 | 0.0740 | 44.4 |
| 5 | Tommy Edman | 0.2028 | 0.1375 | 44.3 |
| 6 | Adolis García | 0.2439 | 0.3119 | 43.0 |
| 7 | Javier Báez | 0.2701 | 0.3364 | 36.9 |
| 8 | Trevor Larnach | 0.2260 | 0.3455 | 36.3 |
| 9 | Alex Jackson | 0.2440 | 0.4834 | 36.3 |
| 10 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.1967 | 0.1400 | 35.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Wisdom | 0.2260 | 0.4080 | 67.6 |
| 2 | Michael Brantley | 0.2260 | 0.1043 | 62.6 |
| 3 | Chas McCormick | 0.1840 | 0.3250 | 44.6 |
| 4 | Andrelton Simmons | 0.2260 | 0.1375 | 40.7 |
| 5 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.3152 | 0.2487 | 40.5 |
| 6 | Ronald Torreyes | 0.2260 | 0.1192 | 37.3 |
| 7 | Willians Astudillo | 0.2260 | 0.0556 | 37.2 |
| 8 | Harrison Bader | 0.3000 | 0.2120 | 36.0 |
| 9 | Hunter Renfroe | 0.2880 | 0.2273 | 35.7 |
| 10 | Alec Bohm | 0.1791 | 0.2662 | 35.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chas McCormick | 0.1868 | 0.3250 | 43.6 |
| 2 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.3127 | 0.2487 | 39.1 |
| 3 | Odúbel Herrera | 0.2321 | 0.1565 | 38.1 |
| 4 | Alec Bohm | 0.1772 | 0.2662 | 36.4 |
| 5 | Hunter Renfroe | 0.2890 | 0.2273 | 36.3 |
| 6 | Harrison Bader | 0.2998 | 0.2120 | 35.9 |
| 7 | Ty France | 0.2152 | 0.1631 | 35.0 |
| 8 | Kyle Farmer | 0.2475 | 0.1834 | 34.8 |
| 9 | Kevin Newman | 0.1350 | 0.0740 | 34.8 |
| 10 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2353 | 0.1842 | 34.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chas McCormick | 0.1709 | 0.3250 | 52.7 |
| 2 | Kyle Seager | 0.1781 | 0.2403 | 48.8 |
| 3 | Harrison Bader | 0.3182 | 0.2120 | 38.3 |
| 4 | Gio Urshela | 0.1713 | 0.2466 | 38.0 |
| 5 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.3228 | 0.2487 | 37.8 |
| 6 | Patrick Wisdom | 0.3188 | 0.4080 | 37.4 |
| 7 | Javier Báez | 0.2805 | 0.3364 | 36.3 |
| 8 | Robbie Grossman | 0.1879 | 0.2310 | 36.0 |
| 9 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2495 | 0.1842 | 35.4 |
| 10 | Ryan Mountcastle | 0.2252 | 0.2747 | 35.2 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 0.2217 |
0.1593
(41.2)
|
0.1565
(41.8)
|
0.1746
(33.0)
|
0.1746
(32.6)
|
0.1641
(32.0)
|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1232 |
0.0889
(24.4)
|
0.0874
(24.1)
|
0.0937
(22.8)
|
0.0940
(22.3)
|
0.0832
(21.9)
|
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.2320 |
0.1343
(36.9)
|
0.1461
(31.7)
|
0.1475
(32.9)
|
0.1478
(32.6)
|
0.1494
(27.7)
|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.1502 |
0.0960
(35.0)
|
0.0928
(35.8)
|
0.1026
(32.5)
|
0.1030
(31.9)
|
0.0991
(27.1)
|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.0669 |
0.1009
(18.0)
|
0.1031
(20.2)
|
0.1109
(21.9)
|
0.1128
(23.2)
|
0.1149
(30.5)
|
| Jake Fraley | 0.1736 |
0.0757
(26.1)
|
0.0762
(25.4)
|
0.0655
(29.5)
|
0.0658
(29.3)
|
0.0604
(27.7)
|
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.0975 |
0.0572
(24.7)
|
0.0572
(23.6)
|
0.0610
(24.1)
|
0.0614
(23.5)
|
0.0530
(21.7)
|
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.0836 |
0.1190
(20.8)
|
0.1124
(18.0)
|
0.1194
(19.4)
|
0.1219
(21.2)
|
0.1136
(23.1)
|
| Yoán Moncada | 0.1364 |
0.0959
(25.3)
|
0.0926
(26.1)
|
0.1019
(23.3)
|
0.1026
(22.5)
|
0.0936
(21.0)
|
| Leury García | 0.0865 |
0.0489
(18.1)
|
0.0479
(17.6)
|
0.0439
(21.7)
|
0.0443
(21.3)
|
0.0372
(19.3)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Gallo | 0.1354 | 0.1802 | 27.9 |
| 2 | Robbie Grossman | 0.1083 | 0.1461 | 25.7 |
| 3 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.0757 | 0.1075 | 22.0 |
| 4 | Bobby Dalbec | 0.1080 | 0.0618 | 20.6 |
| 5 | Matt Chapman | 0.0967 | 0.1286 | 20.2 |
| 6 | Mitch Haniger | 0.1058 | 0.0781 | 18.7 |
| 7 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0889 | 0.1161 | 18.0 |
| 8 | David Fletcher | 0.0728 | 0.0466 | 17.1 |
| 9 | Buster Posey | 0.0866 | 0.1233 | 16.9 |
| 10 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.1440 | 0.1061 | 16.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Gallo | 0.1304 | 0.1802 | 29.8 |
| 2 | David Fletcher | 0.0805 | 0.0466 | 23.4 |
| 3 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.0732 | 0.1075 | 22.4 |
| 4 | Nathaniel Lowe | 0.0888 | 0.1246 | 22.1 |
| 5 | Matt Chapman | 0.0928 | 0.1286 | 21.5 |
| 6 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.0702 | 0.0414 | 20.4 |
| 7 | Adolis García | 0.0829 | 0.0514 | 20.4 |
| 8 | Robbie Grossman | 0.1144 | 0.1461 | 20.4 |
| 9 | C.J. Cron | 0.0730 | 0.1097 | 19.3 |
| 10 | José Abreu | 0.0635 | 0.0926 | 18.3 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Donaldson | 0.0882 | 0.1363 | 27.9 |
| 2 | Joey Gallo | 0.1437 | 0.1802 | 24.5 |
| 3 | Aaron Judge | 0.1551 | 0.1185 | 21.1 |
| 4 | José Abreu | 0.0641 | 0.0926 | 20.9 |
| 5 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.1565 | 0.1061 | 20.9 |
| 6 | Brett Gardner | 0.0882 | 0.1302 | 20.8 |
| 7 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.0802 | 0.1075 | 20.7 |
| 8 | C.J. Cron | 0.0761 | 0.1097 | 20.1 |
| 9 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1315 | 0.0987 | 20.1 |
| 10 | Tom Murphy | 0.0652 | 0.1231 | 19.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Gallo | 0.1463 | 0.1802 | 22.6 |
| 2 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.1569 | 0.1061 | 21.3 |
| 3 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.0797 | 0.1075 | 20.8 |
| 4 | José Abreu | 0.0643 | 0.0926 | 20.4 |
| 5 | Aaron Judge | 0.1533 | 0.1185 | 20.3 |
| 6 | C.J. Cron | 0.0765 | 0.1097 | 19.7 |
| 7 | Tom Murphy | 0.0668 | 0.1231 | 19.2 |
| 8 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1293 | 0.0987 | 18.9 |
| 9 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0896 | 0.1161 | 18.9 |
| 10 | Jacob Stallings | 0.0744 | 0.1148 | 18.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1269 | 0.0987 | 25.0 |
| 2 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.1510 | 0.1061 | 23.7 |
| 3 | Aaron Judge | 0.1443 | 0.1185 | 21.8 |
| 4 | J.P. Crawford | 0.1064 | 0.0844 | 21.0 |
| 5 | Trent Grisham | 0.1321 | 0.1025 | 20.2 |
| 6 | Carlos Santana | 0.1521 | 0.1305 | 19.9 |
| 7 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.0620 | 0.0414 | 19.8 |
| 8 | Bobby Dalbec | 0.0956 | 0.0618 | 19.2 |
| 9 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1149 | 0.0903 | 19.2 |
| 10 | Darin Ruf | 0.0784 | 0.1474 | 18.8 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.0521 |
0.0000
(13.1)
|
0.0146
(12.0)
|
0.0159
(11.7)
|
0.0160
(11.7)
|
0.0188
(10.5)
|
| José Abreu | 0.0334 |
0.0000
(14.2)
|
0.0152
(11.5)
|
0.0160
(11.3)
|
0.0160
(11.2)
|
0.0170
(10.0)
|
| Mark Canha | 0.0432 |
0.0000
(19.6)
|
0.0299
(7.9)
|
0.0257
(10.8)
|
0.0250
(11.1)
|
0.0307
(7.1)
|
| Kyle Farmer | 0.0340 |
0.0000
(11.7)
|
0.0158
(9.2)
|
0.0142
(10.4)
|
0.0140
(10.4)
|
0.0129
(10.6)
|
| Nick Solak | 0.0294 |
0.0000
(9.0)
|
0.0149
(7.0)
|
0.0127
(8.4)
|
0.0130
(8.2)
|
0.0113
(8.6)
|
| Will Smith | 0.0359 |
0.0000
(12.1)
|
0.0171
(9.1)
|
0.0123
(11.7)
|
0.0120
(11.8)
|
0.0161
(9.3)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ty France | 0.0000 | 0.0415 | 19.3 |
| 2 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.0000 | 0.0399 | 16.2 |
| 3 | Jonathan India | 0.0000 | 0.0365 | 15.5 |
| 4 | Victor Robles | 0.0000 | 0.0434 | 11.6 |
| 5 | Josh Harrison | 0.0000 | 0.0323 | 11.4 |
| 6 | Bradley Zimmer | 0.0000 | 0.0431 | 10.9 |
| 7 | Willson Contreras | 0.0000 | 0.0290 | 8.3 |
| 8 | Kurt Suzuki | 0.0000 | 0.0445 | 8.1 |
| 9 | Matt Beaty | 0.0000 | 0.0427 | 7.2 |
| 10 | Kolten Wong | 0.0000 | 0.0264 | 7.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan India | 0.0118 | 0.0365 | 15.1 |
| 2 | Ty France | 0.0199 | 0.0415 | 13.6 |
| 3 | Josh Harrison | 0.0156 | 0.0323 | 8.9 |
| 4 | Sean Murphy | 0.0072 | 0.0268 | 8.5 |
| 5 | Javier Báez | 0.0080 | 0.0238 | 8.2 |
| 6 | Dylan Moore | 0.0292 | 0.0106 | 7.3 |
| 7 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.0100 | 0.0242 | 7.2 |
| 8 | Matt Beaty | 0.0118 | 0.0427 | 7.1 |
| 9 | Bradley Zimmer | 0.0221 | 0.0431 | 7.0 |
| 10 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.0157 | 0.0037 | 7.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan India | 0.0159 | 0.0365 | 12.8 |
| 2 | Ty France | 0.0237 | 0.0415 | 11.5 |
| 3 | Josh Harrison | 0.0144 | 0.0323 | 9.9 |
| 4 | Bradley Zimmer | 0.0167 | 0.0431 | 9.1 |
| 5 | Javier Báez | 0.0079 | 0.0238 | 8.5 |
| 6 | Kurt Suzuki | 0.0118 | 0.0445 | 8.0 |
| 7 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.0103 | 0.0242 | 7.3 |
| 8 | Sean Murphy | 0.0112 | 0.0268 | 6.9 |
| 9 | Rougned Odor | 0.0130 | 0.0305 | 6.2 |
| 10 | Matt Beaty | 0.0160 | 0.0427 | 6.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan India | 0.0160 | 0.0365 | 12.7 |
| 2 | Ty France | 0.0240 | 0.0415 | 11.1 |
| 3 | Josh Harrison | 0.0150 | 0.0323 | 9.4 |
| 4 | Bradley Zimmer | 0.0170 | 0.0431 | 8.9 |
| 5 | Javier Báez | 0.0080 | 0.0238 | 8.4 |
| 6 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.0100 | 0.0242 | 7.4 |
| 7 | Sean Murphy | 0.0110 | 0.0268 | 6.9 |
| 8 | Rougned Odor | 0.0130 | 0.0305 | 6.2 |
| 9 | Matt Beaty | 0.0160 | 0.0427 | 6.2 |
| 10 | Brent Rooker | 0.0140 | 0.0423 | 5.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Javier Báez | 0.0066 | 0.0238 | 8.8 |
| 2 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.0071 | 0.0242 | 8.5 |
| 3 | Mookie Betts | 0.0061 | 0.0200 | 7.0 |
| 4 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.0153 | 0.0037 | 7.0 |
| 5 | Kyle Seager | 0.0148 | 0.0060 | 6.7 |
| 6 | Andrew Vaughn | 0.0259 | 0.0128 | 6.7 |
| 7 | Dylan Moore | 0.0271 | 0.0106 | 6.7 |
| 8 | Trevor Story | 0.0062 | 0.0185 | 6.6 |
| 9 | Kris Bryant | 0.0252 | 0.0154 | 6.4 |
| 10 | Harrison Bader | 0.0273 | 0.0125 | 6.4 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.1505 |
0.0584
(36.7)
|
0.0538
(36.4)
|
0.0512
(39.3)
|
0.0661
(33.2)
|
0.0698
(28.9)
|
| Joey Votto | 0.1108 |
0.0585
(31.0)
|
0.0418
(36.9)
|
0.0565
(31.8)
|
0.0551
(31.9)
|
0.0417
(34.8)
|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.1277 |
0.0812
(28.6)
|
0.0823
(25.0)
|
0.0884
(24.4)
|
0.0895
(23.1)
|
0.0854
(21.0)
|
| Gleyber Torres | 0.0249 |
0.0744
(22.5)
|
0.0717
(23.9)
|
0.0758
(23.5)
|
0.0742
(23.3)
|
0.0819
(31.3)
|
| Mike Zunino | 0.1634 |
0.0563
(42.3)
|
0.0692
(35.5)
|
0.0818
(32.6)
|
0.0802
(32.8)
|
0.0859
(27.7)
|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.1314 |
0.0677
(44.4)
|
0.0701
(39.4)
|
0.0823
(34.8)
|
0.0816
(34.5)
|
0.0761
(33.0)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.0311 |
0.0977
(28.8)
|
0.0917
(28.6)
|
0.0855
(23.3)
|
0.0842
(23.2)
|
0.0849
(27.3)
|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.0968 |
0.0605
(29.4)
|
0.0464
(35.4)
|
0.0619
(28.1)
|
0.0614
(27.6)
|
0.0576
(24.7)
|
| Marcus Semien | 0.0884 |
0.0515
(31.0)
|
0.0464
(30.7)
|
0.0507
(31.2)
|
0.0502
(30.7)
|
0.0585
(19.0)
|
| Salvador Perez | 0.1057 |
0.0647
(31.2)
|
0.0707
(23.5)
|
0.0721
(25.9)
|
0.0729
(24.6)
|
0.0723
(19.7)
|
| Brandon Belt | 0.1300 |
0.0476
(33.6)
|
0.0487
(31.2)
|
0.0548
(30.7)
|
0.0561
(29.8)
|
0.0508
(28.7)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Lowe | 0.0596 | 0.1051 | 31.6 |
| 2 | Kyle Seager | 0.0456 | 0.0785 | 26.0 |
| 3 | Nathaniel Lowe | 0.0878 | 0.0452 | 23.5 |
| 4 | Mitch Haniger | 0.0576 | 0.0850 | 22.9 |
| 5 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0347 | 0.0621 | 22.5 |
| 6 | Javier Báez | 0.0614 | 0.0963 | 22.3 |
| 7 | Ryan Mountcastle | 0.0578 | 0.0868 | 20.5 |
| 8 | Jose Altuve | 0.0366 | 0.0600 | 19.8 |
| 9 | Seth Brown | 0.0455 | 0.1031 | 19.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.0645 | 0.1069 | 23.0 |
| 2 | Jorge Polanco | 0.0352 | 0.0693 | 22.2 |
| 3 | Adolis García | 0.0441 | 0.0793 | 22.1 |
| 4 | Ryan Mountcastle | 0.0526 | 0.0868 | 20.3 |
| 5 | Seth Brown | 0.0429 | 0.1031 | 18.6 |
| 6 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0352 | 0.0621 | 18.4 |
| 7 | Adam Duvall | 0.0784 | 0.1111 | 18.4 |
| 8 | Robbie Grossman | 0.0300 | 0.0561 | 17.7 |
| 9 | Avisaíl García | 0.0500 | 0.0841 | 17.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorge Polanco | 0.0374 | 0.0693 | 24.0 |
| 2 | Brandon Lowe | 0.0738 | 0.1051 | 22.6 |
| 3 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0344 | 0.0621 | 22.3 |
| 4 | Adam Duvall | 0.0768 | 0.1111 | 22.0 |
| 5 | Kyle Seager | 0.0512 | 0.0785 | 21.9 |
| 6 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0512 | 0.0800 | 20.0 |
| 7 | Avisaíl García | 0.0508 | 0.0841 | 19.9 |
| 8 | LaMonte Wade Jr. | 0.0248 | 0.0709 | 19.6 |
| 9 | Seth Brown | 0.0451 | 0.1031 | 19.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorge Polanco | 0.0376 | 0.0693 | 23.1 |
| 2 | Brandon Lowe | 0.0733 | 0.1051 | 22.2 |
| 3 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0351 | 0.0621 | 21.1 |
| 4 | Adam Duvall | 0.0785 | 0.1111 | 20.4 |
| 5 | Avisaíl García | 0.0504 | 0.0841 | 19.5 |
| 6 | Seth Brown | 0.0456 | 0.1031 | 18.9 |
| 7 | LaMonte Wade Jr. | 0.0255 | 0.0709 | 18.9 |
| 8 | Ryan Mountcastle | 0.0595 | 0.0868 | 18.5 |
| 9 | César Hernández | 0.0253 | 0.0479 | 17.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Olson | 0.1140 | 0.0842 | 22.6 |
| 2 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.1333 | 0.0983 | 22.5 |
| 3 | Miguel Sanó | 0.1399 | 0.1042 | 21.0 |
| 4 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.1101 | 0.0792 | 20.6 |
| 5 | Jorge Soler | 0.1000 | 0.0698 | 20.5 |
| 6 | Jorge Polanco | 0.0351 | 0.0693 | 19.6 |
| 7 | Yoán Moncada | 0.0658 | 0.0384 | 19.2 |
| 8 | Nelson Cruz | 0.1081 | 0.0800 | 18.6 |
| 9 | Avisaíl García | 0.0443 | 0.0841 | 18.5 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.3569 |
0.2971
(43.3)
|
0.2944
(40.8)
|
0.2858
(43.0)
|
0.2883
(43.2)
|
0.2988
(36.6)
|
| Austin Riley | 0.3678 |
0.2857
(62.5)
|
0.2892
(55.7)
|
0.2957
(48.2)
|
0.2991
(47.8)
|
0.2980
(48.1)
|
| Tyler O'Neill | 0.3662 |
0.3212
(30.8)
|
0.2931
(42.2)
|
0.2817
(45.8)
|
0.2874
(44.2)
|
0.2833
(46.1)
|
| Eugenio Suárez | 0.2240 |
0.3009
(37.0)
|
0.2958
(38.0)
|
0.2821
(32.9)
|
0.2849
(32.9)
|
0.2888
(35.5)
|
| Cedric Mullins | 0.3201 |
0.2814
(34.5)
|
0.2813
(30.0)
|
0.2760
(30.2)
|
0.2794
(29.8)
|
0.2815
(28.1)
|
| Adam Frazier | 0.3373 |
0.2877
(39.6)
|
0.2909
(33.2)
|
0.2891
(31.3)
|
0.2913
(31.6)
|
0.2903
(31.9)
|
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.3355 |
0.2913
(34.3)
|
0.2837
(34.7)
|
0.2743
(37.5)
|
0.2770
(37.5)
|
0.2607
(47.1)
|
| Teoscar Hernández | 0.3522 |
0.2961
(40.8)
|
0.3046
(31.6)
|
0.2970
(33.2)
|
0.3015
(32.2)
|
0.3039
(30.5)
|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.1963 |
0.3232
(40.1)
|
0.2927
(31.8)
|
0.2797
(28.9)
|
0.2830
(29.1)
|
0.2956
(33.7)
|
| Starling Marte | 0.3705 |
0.3014
(42.9)
|
0.3123
(33.5)
|
0.3057
(34.5)
|
0.3097
(33.8)
|
0.3100
(33.4)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.3563 | 0.2532 | 48.3 |
| 2 | Jarred Kelenic | 0.3480 | 0.2156 | 45.2 |
| 3 | Austin Meadows | 0.3342 | 0.2493 | 42.8 |
| 4 | Nicky Lopez | 0.2767 | 0.3372 | 41.2 |
| 5 | Trea Turner | 0.3193 | 0.3623 | 35.8 |
| 6 | Paul DeJong | 0.3163 | 0.2161 | 35.3 |
| 7 | Kyle Seager | 0.2912 | 0.2263 | 35.2 |
| 8 | Brandon Crawford | 0.2866 | 0.3343 | 33.0 |
| 9 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.2919 | 0.3625 | 32.0 |
| 10 | Brandon Lowe | 0.3430 | 0.2801 | 31.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Arozarena | 0.2973 | 0.3634 | 43.3 |
| 2 | Nicky Lopez | 0.2731 | 0.3372 | 39.3 |
| 3 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.3318 | 0.2532 | 38.9 |
| 4 | Josh Rojas | 0.2795 | 0.3401 | 36.4 |
| 5 | Austin Meadows | 0.3160 | 0.2493 | 36.1 |
| 6 | Kevin Newman | 0.3020 | 0.2333 | 35.0 |
| 7 | Dylan Carlson | 0.2824 | 0.3307 | 33.4 |
| 8 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.2917 | 0.3941 | 32.0 |
| 9 | Jorge Soler | 0.3015 | 0.2444 | 31.0 |
| 10 | Willi Castro | 0.3443 | 0.2724 | 29.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Seager | 0.2916 | 0.2263 | 43.2 |
| 2 | Akil Baddoo | 0.2449 | 0.3345 | 41.7 |
| 3 | Randy Arozarena | 0.3054 | 0.3634 | 35.4 |
| 4 | Kevin Newman | 0.2952 | 0.2333 | 33.8 |
| 5 | Didi Gregorius | 0.2916 | 0.2169 | 30.1 |
| 6 | Trea Turner | 0.3171 | 0.3623 | 29.6 |
| 7 | Brandon Crawford | 0.2828 | 0.3343 | 28.6 |
| 8 | Josh Rojas | 0.2892 | 0.3401 | 28.4 |
| 9 | Paul DeJong | 0.2875 | 0.2161 | 28.4 |
| 10 | Tim Anderson | 0.3226 | 0.3724 | 27.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akil Baddoo | 0.2480 | 0.3345 | 41.5 |
| 2 | Randy Arozarena | 0.3098 | 0.3634 | 34.4 |
| 3 | Kevin Newman | 0.2986 | 0.2333 | 34.2 |
| 4 | César Hernández | 0.3209 | 0.2662 | 32.6 |
| 5 | Trea Turner | 0.3180 | 0.3623 | 30.9 |
| 6 | Paul DeJong | 0.2921 | 0.2161 | 29.2 |
| 7 | Buster Posey | 0.2886 | 0.3493 | 29.1 |
| 8 | Josh Rojas | 0.2926 | 0.3401 | 28.1 |
| 9 | Jarred Kelenic | 0.2911 | 0.2156 | 27.2 |
| 10 | Tim Anderson | 0.3267 | 0.3724 | 27.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.3223 | 0.2532 | 35.2 |
| 2 | Nicky Lopez | 0.2785 | 0.3372 | 34.8 |
| 3 | Randy Arozarena | 0.3095 | 0.3634 | 34.3 |
| 4 | Jorge Soler | 0.3037 | 0.2444 | 33.9 |
| 5 | Akil Baddoo | 0.2670 | 0.3345 | 32.5 |
| 6 | César Hernández | 0.3183 | 0.2662 | 31.3 |
| 7 | Paul DeJong | 0.2964 | 0.2161 | 31.1 |
| 8 | Kevin Newman | 0.2913 | 0.2333 | 30.5 |
| 9 | Jarred Kelenic | 0.2935 | 0.2156 | 28.3 |
| 10 | Brandon Crawford | 0.2870 | 0.3343 | 27.6 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 0.2753 |
0.2181
(41.5)
|
0.2277
(32.9)
|
0.2115
(40.9)
|
0.2258
(34.2)
|
0.2216
(36.0)
|
| Austin Riley | 0.2821 |
0.2032
(56.4)
|
0.2206
(42.5)
|
0.2217
(39.1)
|
0.2239
(40.3)
|
0.2086
(49.5)
|
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.1551 |
0.2515
(48.0)
|
0.2275
(37.1)
|
0.2135
(31.8)
|
0.2088
(27.2)
|
0.2229
(35.4)
|
| Bo Bichette | 0.2741 |
0.2103
(48.3)
|
0.2268
(34.5)
|
0.2221
(34.9)
|
0.2255
(35.3)
|
0.2103
(44.9)
|
| Eugenio Suárez | 0.1494 |
0.2212
(37.7)
|
0.2254
(42.1)
|
0.2030
(31.5)
|
0.2150
(36.1)
|
0.2128
(35.6)
|
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.2665 |
0.1929
(42.2)
|
0.2089
(31.9)
|
0.2150
(26.5)
|
0.2125
(29.9)
|
0.1972
(37.3)
|
| Adam Frazier | 0.2564 |
0.2100
(33.6)
|
0.2109
(30.8)
|
0.2101
(28.7)
|
0.2160
(27.6)
|
0.2166
(26.3)
|
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.2680 |
0.2179
(34.1)
|
0.2057
(39.3)
|
0.1945
(43.7)
|
0.2046
(40.0)
|
0.1896
(48.2)
|
| Teoscar Hernández | 0.2742 |
0.2072
(43.6)
|
0.2132
(37.9)
|
0.2128
(35.8)
|
0.2175
(35.3)
|
0.2085
(39.9)
|
| Starling Marte | 0.2869 |
0.2146
(41.3)
|
0.2268
(33.1)
|
0.2323
(28.0)
|
0.2327
(29.9)
|
0.2378
(26.6)
|
| Trea Turner | 0.2820 |
0.2262
(40.1)
|
0.2388
(29.7)
|
0.2300
(32.7)
|
0.2337
(32.9)
|
0.2358
(30.7)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Meadows | 0.2411 | 0.1645 | 41.6 |
| 2 | Kyle Seager | 0.2172 | 0.1533 | 38.6 |
| 3 | Nicky Lopez | 0.2174 | 0.2752 | 36.2 |
| 4 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.2070 | 0.2521 | 34.6 |
| 5 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.2013 | 0.2792 | 32.5 |
| 6 | Nolan Arenado | 0.2261 | 0.1702 | 32.4 |
| 7 | Freddie Freeman | 0.2241 | 0.2629 | 31.3 |
| 8 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2171 | 0.2648 | 31.3 |
| 9 | Jarred Kelenic | 0.2402 | 0.1514 | 31.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicky Lopez | 0.2048 | 0.2752 | 41.3 |
| 2 | Javier Báez | 0.2179 | 0.2818 | 36.4 |
| 3 | Austin Meadows | 0.2264 | 0.1645 | 35.0 |
| 4 | Kevin Newman | 0.2431 | 0.1812 | 32.8 |
| 5 | Nolan Arenado | 0.2222 | 0.1702 | 32.2 |
| 6 | Dylan Carlson | 0.1941 | 0.2388 | 29.4 |
| 7 | Trevor Story | 0.2375 | 0.1875 | 28.1 |
| 8 | Willi Castro | 0.2678 | 0.2027 | 28.1 |
| 9 | Andrew McCutchen | 0.2180 | 0.1667 | 27.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Seager | 0.2165 | 0.1533 | 43.2 |
| 2 | Tim Anderson | 0.2338 | 0.2934 | 32.1 |
| 3 | J.P. Crawford | 0.1982 | 0.2455 | 31.6 |
| 4 | Freddie Freeman | 0.2207 | 0.2629 | 28.4 |
| 5 | Trevor Story | 0.2339 | 0.1875 | 28.4 |
| 6 | Kevin Newman | 0.2308 | 0.1812 | 28.2 |
| 7 | Nick Castellanos | 0.1903 | 0.2382 | 27.3 |
| 8 | Bradley Zimmer | 0.2096 | 0.2890 | 27.2 |
| 9 | Andrew McCutchen | 0.2116 | 0.1667 | 26.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Javier Báez | 0.2210 | 0.2818 | 34.7 |
| 2 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.2192 | 0.2676 | 27.5 |
| 3 | Kevin Newman | 0.2334 | 0.1812 | 27.4 |
| 4 | Freddie Freeman | 0.2270 | 0.2629 | 26.8 |
| 5 | Nicky Lopez | 0.2308 | 0.2752 | 26.6 |
| 6 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.2157 | 0.2521 | 26.4 |
| 7 | Salvador Perez | 0.2020 | 0.2389 | 26.3 |
| 8 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2229 | 0.2648 | 25.8 |
| 9 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.2331 | 0.1908 | 25.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2065 | 0.2648 | 34.5 |
| 2 | Nicky Lopez | 0.2203 | 0.2752 | 31.8 |
| 3 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.2024 | 0.2455 | 31.1 |
| 4 | Andrew McCutchen | 0.2208 | 0.1667 | 30.3 |
| 5 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.2146 | 0.2676 | 29.2 |
| 6 | Jorge Soler | 0.2185 | 0.1694 | 28.7 |
| 7 | Freddie Freeman | 0.2247 | 0.2629 | 27.5 |
| 8 | Javier Báez | 0.2340 | 0.2818 | 26.8 |
| 9 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.2125 | 0.2792 | 26.3 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 0.0519 |
0.0904
(21.8)
|
0.0893
(23.4)
|
0.0955
(27.4)
|
0.0839
(20.5)
|
0.0876
(23.9)
|
| Bryce Harper | 0.1292 |
0.0829
(30.8)
|
0.0888
(25.2)
|
0.0827
(28.9)
|
0.0782
(30.9)
|
0.0884
(24.0)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.0539 |
0.0862
(18.9)
|
0.0906
(24.4)
|
0.0934
(26.4)
|
0.0900
(24.7)
|
0.0985
(31.6)
|
| Matt Chapman | 0.0485 |
0.1000
(28.8)
|
0.0957
(28.3)
|
0.0824
(20.1)
|
0.0857
(22.8)
|
0.1000
(32.5)
|
| Guillermo Heredia | 0.1182 |
0.0582
(22.6)
|
0.0701
(17.2)
|
0.0691
(17.6)
|
0.0599
(20.4)
|
0.0594
(20.1)
|
| Joey Gallo | 0.0524 |
0.0836
(16.1)
|
0.0926
(23.8)
|
0.0827
(17.7)
|
0.0818
(17.8)
|
0.0984
(28.8)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael A. Taylor | 0.1024 | 0.0479 | 26.1 |
| 2 | Jesse Winker | 0.0613 | 0.0988 | 20.6 |
| 3 | Mitch Haniger | 0.0887 | 0.0548 | 19.9 |
| 4 | Bo Bichette | 0.0958 | 0.0628 | 19.3 |
| 5 | Kolten Wong | 0.0599 | 0.0912 | 17.9 |
| 6 | J.D. Martinez | 0.0838 | 0.1055 | 17.0 |
| 7 | Elias Díaz | 0.0311 | 0.0690 | 15.9 |
| 8 | Jeimer Candelario | 0.0838 | 0.1034 | 15.5 |
| 9 | Mitch Garver | 0.0628 | 0.1200 | 15.1 |
| 10 | Javier Báez | 0.0942 | 0.0619 | 14.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bo Bichette | 0.0979 | 0.0628 | 23.2 |
| 2 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.0673 | 0.1080 | 23.1 |
| 3 | Dominic Smith | 0.1078 | 0.0608 | 22.4 |
| 4 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0521 | 0.0817 | 21.0 |
| 5 | Michael A. Taylor | 0.0886 | 0.0479 | 20.7 |
| 6 | Carlos Santana | 0.0643 | 0.0334 | 19.3 |
| 7 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.0929 | 0.0592 | 18.6 |
| 8 | Kolten Wong | 0.0556 | 0.0912 | 18.3 |
| 9 | Jeimer Candelario | 0.0762 | 0.1034 | 18.0 |
| 10 | Josh Rojas | 0.0621 | 0.0930 | 17.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeimer Candelario | 0.0626 | 0.1034 | 26.6 |
| 2 | Josh Rojas | 0.0524 | 0.0930 | 23.2 |
| 3 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.0688 | 0.1080 | 22.3 |
| 4 | Ketel Marte | 0.0564 | 0.1086 | 20.1 |
| 5 | Kyle Tucker | 0.0638 | 0.0941 | 18.1 |
| 6 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.0742 | 0.1133 | 18.0 |
| 7 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.0608 | 0.0915 | 17.4 |
| 8 | Akil Baddoo | 0.0362 | 0.0712 | 16.9 |
| 9 | Nick Ahmed | 0.0579 | 0.0915 | 16.6 |
| 10 | Byron Buxton | 0.0866 | 0.1494 | 16.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.0719 | 0.1080 | 20.0 |
| 2 | Carlos Santana | 0.0637 | 0.0334 | 19.6 |
| 3 | Michael A. Taylor | 0.0849 | 0.0479 | 19.2 |
| 4 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0557 | 0.0817 | 17.9 |
| 5 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.0744 | 0.1133 | 17.5 |
| 6 | Jeimer Candelario | 0.0767 | 0.1034 | 17.1 |
| 7 | Byron Buxton | 0.0867 | 0.1494 | 16.1 |
| 8 | Bo Bichette | 0.0865 | 0.0628 | 16.0 |
| 9 | Kyle Tucker | 0.0670 | 0.0941 | 15.7 |
| 10 | Jesse Winker | 0.0676 | 0.0988 | 15.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael A. Taylor | 0.0917 | 0.0479 | 23.6 |
| 2 | Jonathan India | 0.0528 | 0.0907 | 23.4 |
| 3 | Mitch Haniger | 0.0856 | 0.0548 | 21.9 |
| 4 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.0931 | 0.0592 | 20.1 |
| 5 | Carlos Santana | 0.0609 | 0.0334 | 18.6 |
| 6 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.0733 | 0.1080 | 18.5 |
| 7 | José Ramírez | 0.1002 | 0.0737 | 17.4 |
| 8 | Dominic Smith | 0.0948 | 0.0608 | 17.2 |
| 9 | Byron Buxton | 0.0810 | 0.1494 | 17.2 |
| 10 | Jake Bauers | 0.0859 | 0.0348 | 16.3 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | 0.0000 |
0.0101
(6.2)
|
0.0126
(7.8)
|
0.0092
(6.0)
|
0.0090
(6.0)
|
0.0163
(9.5)
|
| David Peralta | 0.0206 |
0.0081
(7.3)
|
0.0086
(7.1)
|
0.0083
(6.8)
|
0.0080
(6.9)
|
0.0084
(7.9)
|
| Chris Owings | 0.1111 |
0.0000
(5.6)
|
0.0068
(5.3)
|
0.0062
(5.3)
|
0.0066
(5.2)
|
0.0087
(5.2)
|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.0000 |
0.0142
(7.2)
|
0.0179
(9.1)
|
0.0126
(6.6)
|
0.0127
(6.8)
|
0.0200
(9.6)
|
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.0211 |
0.0070
(6.9)
|
0.0071
(6.9)
|
0.0056
(7.2)
|
0.0057
(7.1)
|
0.0045
(8.6)
|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.0263 |
0.0104
(10.8)
|
0.0101
(11.2)
|
0.0077
(12.2)
|
0.0076
(12.1)
|
0.0078
(13.4)
|
| Steven Duggar | 0.0291 |
0.0000
(8.9)
|
0.0063
(7.1)
|
0.0059
(7.0)
|
0.0084
(6.2)
|
0.0129
(5.5)
|
| Luis Arraez | 0.0156 |
0.0046
(5.8)
|
0.0043
(6.0)
|
0.0041
(5.7)
|
0.0040
(5.7)
|
0.0040
(6.7)
|
| Yoán Moncada | 0.0028 |
0.0138
(6.1)
|
0.0138
(6.0)
|
0.0119
(5.3)
|
0.0113
(5.1)
|
0.0147
(5.8)
|
| Jake Rogers | 0.0469 |
0.0000
(6.1)
|
0.0078
(5.1)
|
0.0077
(5.0)
|
0.0068
(5.1)
|
0.0082
(5.2)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Rojas | 0.0222 | 0.0087 | 6.9 |
| 2 | Pavin Smith | 0.0000 | 0.0105 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Edmundo Sosa | 0.0000 | 0.0179 | 6.2 |
| 4 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0109 | 0.0190 | 5.9 |
| 5 | Brandon Lowe | 0.0106 | 0.0000 | 5.9 |
| 6 | Sergio Alcántara | 0.0000 | 0.0208 | 5.6 |
| 7 | Hunter Dozier | 0.0095 | 0.0186 | 5.5 |
| 8 | Billy McKinney | 0.0000 | 0.0168 | 5.3 |
| 9 | Tommy Edman | 0.0143 | 0.0055 | 5.3 |
| 10 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.0099 | 0.0000 | 5.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akil Baddoo | 0.0059 | 0.0249 | 9.3 |
| 2 | Brett Phillips | 0.0059 | 0.0305 | 7.5 |
| 3 | Tommy Edman | 0.0165 | 0.0055 | 6.7 |
| 4 | Nicky Lopez | 0.0040 | 0.0138 | 6.2 |
| 5 | Brandon Lowe | 0.0101 | 0.0000 | 5.5 |
| 6 | Kyle Tucker | 0.0183 | 0.0076 | 5.4 |
| 7 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.0102 | 0.0000 | 5.3 |
| 8 | Myles Straw | 0.0117 | 0.0023 | 5.2 |
| 9 | Ketel Marte | 0.0189 | 0.0037 | 5.2 |
| 10 | Wander Franco | 0.0059 | 0.0210 | 5.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akil Baddoo | 0.0099 | 0.0249 | 7.1 |
| 2 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0098 | 0.0190 | 6.2 |
| 3 | Brandon Lowe | 0.0090 | 0.0000 | 5.3 |
| 4 | Ozzie Albies | 0.0076 | 0.0146 | 5.2 |
| 5 | Kevin Kiermaier | 0.0155 | 0.0281 | 5.1 |
| 6 | Dom Nuñez | 0.0052 | 0.0234 | 4.9 |
| 7 | Max Kepler | 0.0031 | 0.0127 | 4.9 |
| 8 | Victor Reyes | 0.0059 | 0.0263 | 4.6 |
| 9 | Nicky Lopez | 0.0062 | 0.0138 | 4.5 |
| 10 | Wander Franco | 0.0069 | 0.0210 | 4.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akil Baddoo | 0.0096 | 0.0249 | 7.1 |
| 2 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.0101 | 0.0190 | 5.9 |
| 3 | Brandon Lowe | 0.0088 | 0.0000 | 5.3 |
| 4 | Kevin Kiermaier | 0.0152 | 0.0281 | 5.1 |
| 5 | Ozzie Albies | 0.0077 | 0.0146 | 5.0 |
| 6 | Dom Nuñez | 0.0052 | 0.0234 | 4.9 |
| 7 | Max Kepler | 0.0032 | 0.0127 | 4.8 |
| 8 | Nicky Lopez | 0.0058 | 0.0138 | 4.6 |
| 9 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.0077 | 0.0000 | 4.5 |
| 10 | Wander Franco | 0.0071 | 0.0210 | 4.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bo Bichette | 0.0154 | 0.0021 | 7.5 |
| 2 | Raimel Tapia | 0.0211 | 0.0048 | 7.4 |
| 3 | Dom Nuñez | 0.0049 | 0.0234 | 5.5 |
| 4 | Trea Turner | 0.0175 | 0.0065 | 5.5 |
| 5 | Mike Zunino | 0.0000 | 0.0118 | 5.3 |
| 6 | Luis Urías | 0.0146 | 0.0028 | 5.3 |
| 7 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 0.0258 | 0.0131 | 5.2 |
| 8 | Franmil Reyes | 0.0000 | 0.0083 | 5.0 |
| 9 | Dylan Carlson | 0.0210 | 0.0105 | 5.0 |
| 10 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.0118 | 0.0022 | 5.0 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.1439 |
0.1036
(26.4)
|
0.1124
(18.2)
|
0.0985
(27.9)
|
0.1003
(24.4)
|
0.1047
(18.5)
|
| Mike Zunino | 0.1707 |
0.0897
(33.3)
|
0.1037
(25.7)
|
0.1130
(23.7)
|
0.1091
(23.4)
|
0.0989
(24.8)
|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1762 |
0.1436
(28.2)
|
0.1183
(41.6)
|
0.1438
(26.4)
|
0.1466
(21.3)
|
0.1281
(29.7)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.1814 | 0.1237 | 33.9 |
| 2 | Trent Grisham | 0.1845 | 0.1157 | 32.1 |
| 3 | David Fletcher | 0.1639 | 0.1113 | 29.8 |
| 4 | Myles Straw | 0.0962 | 0.1348 | 29.6 |
| 5 | Marcus Semien | 0.1275 | 0.1588 | 28.3 |
| 6 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1253 | 0.1612 | 27.9 |
| 7 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.1238 | 0.1657 | 26.7 |
| 8 | Buster Posey | 0.0990 | 0.1498 | 26.6 |
| 9 | Nicky Lopez | 0.0991 | 0.1381 | 26.4 |
| 10 | Carlos Correa | 0.1297 | 0.1625 | 26.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bo Bichette | 0.1356 | 0.1754 | 28.6 |
| 2 | Carlos Correa | 0.1210 | 0.1625 | 27.6 |
| 3 | Carlos Santana | 0.1388 | 0.1002 | 24.4 |
| 4 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.1599 | 0.1237 | 23.5 |
| 5 | Dominic Smith | 0.1354 | 0.0872 | 22.9 |
| 6 | Didi Gregorius | 0.1425 | 0.0858 | 22.5 |
| 7 | Jonathan India | 0.1232 | 0.1553 | 21.3 |
| 8 | José Ramírez | 0.1444 | 0.1745 | 20.2 |
| 9 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1317 | 0.1612 | 19.9 |
| 10 | Buster Posey | 0.1079 | 0.1498 | 19.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bo Bichette | 0.1313 | 0.1754 | 34.2 |
| 2 | Jonathan India | 0.1105 | 0.1553 | 31.8 |
| 3 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.1166 | 0.1657 | 29.3 |
| 4 | Starling Marte | 0.1218 | 0.1692 | 27.8 |
| 5 | Brandon Lowe | 0.1213 | 0.1577 | 25.8 |
| 6 | Joey Wendle | 0.1018 | 0.1457 | 24.7 |
| 7 | Mitch Haniger | 0.1290 | 0.1592 | 24.7 |
| 8 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 0.0975 | 0.1381 | 23.3 |
| 9 | José Ramírez | 0.1443 | 0.1745 | 22.7 |
| 10 | Gleyber Torres | 0.1461 | 0.0969 | 22.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan India | 0.1090 | 0.1553 | 29.8 |
| 2 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.1172 | 0.1657 | 26.5 |
| 3 | Starling Marte | 0.1232 | 0.1692 | 24.6 |
| 4 | Chris Taylor | 0.1175 | 0.1581 | 24.1 |
| 5 | Tim Anderson | 0.1280 | 0.1706 | 23.9 |
| 6 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.1524 | 0.1105 | 23.8 |
| 7 | Gleyber Torres | 0.1420 | 0.0969 | 22.8 |
| 8 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.1118 | 0.1462 | 22.7 |
| 9 | Wander Franco | 0.1017 | 0.1721 | 21.9 |
| 10 | Joey Wendle | 0.1045 | 0.1457 | 21.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan India | 0.1060 | 0.1553 | 27.6 |
| 2 | Gleyber Torres | 0.1431 | 0.0969 | 26.7 |
| 3 | Pat Valaika | 0.1478 | 0.0605 | 26.1 |
| 4 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.1499 | 0.1105 | 26.0 |
| 5 | Didi Gregorius | 0.1398 | 0.0858 | 24.3 |
| 6 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.1538 | 0.1237 | 24.2 |
| 7 | Carlos Santana | 0.1293 | 0.1002 | 22.8 |
| 8 | Buster Posey | 0.0956 | 0.1498 | 22.1 |
| 9 | Dominic Smith | 0.1257 | 0.0872 | 21.7 |
| 10 | Brett Gardner | 0.1422 | 0.1020 | 21.1 |
RBI Rate
Everybody Missed for RBI Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Meadows | 0.1794 |
0.1248
(37.0)
|
0.1261
(32.0)
|
0.1282
(34.9)
|
0.1241
(36.3)
|
0.1303
(28.9)
|
| Adam Duvall | 0.2036 |
0.1472
(35.7)
|
0.1401
(35.7)
|
0.1314
(44.4)
|
0.1392
(39.2)
|
0.1451
(32.4)
|
Individual Misses for RBI Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.1238 | 0.1950 | 47.1 |
| 2 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1848 | 0.1194 | 39.9 |
| 3 | Carlos Santana | 0.1721 | 0.1047 | 39.1 |
| 4 | Hunter Renfroe | 0.1109 | 0.1678 | 37.1 |
| 5 | Mark Canha | 0.1640 | 0.0976 | 36.5 |
| 6 | Mike Zunino | 0.0815 | 0.1653 | 34.4 |
| 7 | Brandon Crawford | 0.1096 | 0.1639 | 34.2 |
| 8 | Patrick Wisdom | 0.0812 | 0.1627 | 33.6 |
| 9 | Joey Gallo | 0.1858 | 0.1250 | 32.5 |
| 10 | Josh Rojas | 0.1471 | 0.0800 | 32.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Votto | 0.0967 | 0.1857 | 47.9 |
| 2 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.1314 | 0.1950 | 38.3 |
| 3 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.1301 | 0.0839 | 30.7 |
| 4 | Brandon Crawford | 0.1095 | 0.1639 | 30.4 |
| 5 | Nick Castellanos | 0.1214 | 0.1709 | 29.5 |
| 6 | Jorge Polanco | 0.1114 | 0.1522 | 26.8 |
| 7 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1587 | 0.1194 | 26.7 |
| 8 | Avisaíl García | 0.1183 | 0.1670 | 25.5 |
| 9 | Ozzie Albies | 0.1199 | 0.1545 | 24.4 |
| 10 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1335 | 0.1824 | 23.2 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Votto | 0.1134 | 0.1857 | 42.7 |
| 2 | Brandon Crawford | 0.1053 | 0.1639 | 36.5 |
| 3 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.1217 | 0.1824 | 35.0 |
| 4 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.1500 | 0.1950 | 31.4 |
| 5 | Gleyber Torres | 0.1634 | 0.0988 | 29.2 |
| 6 | Kyle Seager | 0.1176 | 0.1507 | 27.4 |
| 7 | Salvador Perez | 0.1496 | 0.1820 | 26.8 |
| 8 | Nick Castellanos | 0.1338 | 0.1709 | 26.3 |
| 9 | Avisaíl García | 0.1247 | 0.1670 | 25.8 |
| 10 | Adolis García | 0.1114 | 0.1447 | 25.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Votto | 0.1100 | 0.1857 | 43.7 |
| 2 | Brandon Crawford | 0.1089 | 0.1639 | 33.6 |
| 3 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.1465 | 0.1950 | 32.5 |
| 4 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.1303 | 0.1824 | 29.7 |
| 5 | Jorge Polanco | 0.1148 | 0.1522 | 28.1 |
| 6 | Avisaíl García | 0.1213 | 0.1670 | 26.7 |
| 7 | Gleyber Torres | 0.1556 | 0.0988 | 26.1 |
| 8 | Nick Castellanos | 0.1337 | 0.1709 | 25.4 |
| 9 | Marcus Semien | 0.1121 | 0.1409 | 25.3 |
| 10 | Cody Bellinger | 0.1779 | 0.1029 | 24.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Votto | 0.0881 | 0.1857 | 52.0 |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 0.2203 | 0.1453 | 49.2 |
| 3 | Gleyber Torres | 0.1785 | 0.0988 | 41.1 |
| 4 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1776 | 0.1194 | 40.5 |
| 5 | Gary Sánchez | 0.1964 | 0.1227 | 32.5 |
| 6 | Cody Bellinger | 0.1898 | 0.1029 | 30.5 |
| 7 | Eric Hosmer | 0.1687 | 0.1150 | 30.4 |
| 8 | LaMonte Wade Jr. | 0.0698 | 0.1470 | 29.4 |
| 9 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.1237 | 0.0839 | 27.1 |
| 10 | Bryce Harper | 0.1844 | 0.1402 | 26.5 |
Stolen Base Rate
Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 0.2072 |
0.0849
(63.2)
|
0.0755
(68.5)
|
0.1079
(53.5)
|
0.1124
(50.8)
|
0.1505
(36.2)
|
| Nicky Lopez | 0.1272 |
0.0617
(38.3)
|
0.0260
(59.1)
|
0.0655
(38.4)
|
0.0660
(37.6)
|
0.0519
(50.9)
|
| Adalberto Mondesi | 0.7143 |
0.3894
(44.5)
|
0.3846
(45.3)
|
0.0526
(90.9)
|
0.4068
(42.6)
|
0.4466
(38.4)
|
| Leody Taveras | 0.3704 |
0.1441
(42.3)
|
0.1231
(46.4)
|
0.1522
(41.5)
|
0.1533
(41.2)
|
0.2000
(34.3)
|
| Tommy Edman | 0.1911 |
0.1000
(64.6)
|
0.0909
(71.6)
|
0.1012
(66.5)
|
0.1016
(65.6)
|
0.0986
(74.1)
|
| Starling Marte | 0.2956 |
0.1563
(74.6)
|
0.1667
(69.6)
|
0.1405
(84.9)
|
0.1421
(83.6)
|
0.1748
(71.3)
|
| Whit Merrifield | 0.2312 |
0.1290
(75.3)
|
0.1442
(65.1)
|
0.1371
(72.3)
|
0.1395
(70.0)
|
0.1728
(52.7)
|
Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan Carlson | 0.1039 | 0.0126 | 55.1 |
| 2 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.0935 | 0.1646 | 47.0 |
| 3 | Austin Slater | 0.0625 | 0.2055 | 44.5 |
| 4 | Manuel Margot | 0.2000 | 0.1140 | 38.8 |
| 5 | Billy Hamilton | 0.1890 | 0.4737 | 38.8 |
| 6 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.0880 | 0.0258 | 38.5 |
| 7 | Eddie Rosario | 0.0348 | 0.1236 | 37.6 |
| 8 | Josh Rojas | 0.1333 | 0.0643 | 36.7 |
| 9 | Max Kepler | 0.0234 | 0.0943 | 35.9 |
| 10 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.2017 | 0.0789 | 35.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0909 | 0.1765 | 60.1 |
| 2 | Adolis García | 0.0435 | 0.1345 | 58.7 |
| 3 | Brett Phillips | 0.0526 | 0.2295 | 52.7 |
| 4 | Akil Baddoo | 0.0526 | 0.1607 | 51.4 |
| 5 | Jonathan Villar | 0.2128 | 0.1129 | 48.7 |
| 6 | Ozzie Albies | 0.0897 | 0.1471 | 41.7 |
| 7 | Dylan Moore | 0.1644 | 0.2658 | 39.5 |
| 8 | Tyler Wade | 0.1111 | 0.3778 | 39.2 |
| 9 | David Fletcher | 0.0377 | 0.0915 | 38.0 |
| 10 | Bo Bichette | 0.0909 | 0.1412 | 37.1 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Hamilton | 0.0526 | 0.4737 | 57.7 |
| 2 | Gregory Polanco | 0.0526 | 0.1687 | 46.8 |
| 3 | Dylan Carlson | 0.0909 | 0.0126 | 44.6 |
| 4 | Jarrod Dyson | 0.0526 | 0.3448 | 44.5 |
| 5 | Ozzie Albies | 0.0902 | 0.1471 | 43.3 |
| 6 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1086 | 0.1646 | 39.8 |
| 7 | Austin Slater | 0.0835 | 0.2055 | 39.3 |
| 8 | Josh Rojas | 0.1396 | 0.0643 | 38.0 |
| 9 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.0526 | 0.1781 | 37.7 |
| 10 | Eddie Rosario | 0.0386 | 0.1236 | 37.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan Carlson | 0.0914 | 0.0126 | 45.4 |
| 2 | Jonathan Villar | 0.2072 | 0.1129 | 44.9 |
| 3 | Ozzie Albies | 0.0896 | 0.1471 | 43.1 |
| 4 | Josh Rojas | 0.1434 | 0.0643 | 40.5 |
| 5 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.1073 | 0.1646 | 40.0 |
| 6 | Austin Slater | 0.0853 | 0.2055 | 38.4 |
| 7 | Eddie Rosario | 0.0368 | 0.1236 | 38.0 |
| 8 | Tyler Wade | 0.1269 | 0.3778 | 37.2 |
| 9 | Gregory Polanco | 0.0788 | 0.1687 | 36.4 |
| 10 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.0196 | 0.0670 | 35.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Villar | 0.2690 | 0.1129 | 71.3 |
| 2 | Bo Bichette | 0.2250 | 0.1412 | 47.6 |
| 3 | Myles Straw | 0.2406 | 0.1596 | 42.3 |
| 4 | Dylan Carlson | 0.0924 | 0.0126 | 40.3 |
| 5 | Kris Bryant | 0.0199 | 0.0676 | 36.6 |
| 6 | David Fletcher | 0.0520 | 0.0915 | 36.1 |
| 7 | Max Kepler | 0.0376 | 0.0943 | 35.0 |
| 8 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.0305 | 0.0670 | 34.9 |
| 9 | Brandon Crawford | 0.0256 | 0.0743 | 34.8 |
| 10 | Austin Slater | 0.1066 | 0.2055 | 34.8 |
Batting Average
Everybody Missed for Batting Average
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Lopez | 0.2998 |
0.2443
(36.7)
|
0.2340
(39.7)
|
0.2597
(25.4)
|
0.2620
(24.9)
|
0.2449
(29.2)
|
| Bryce Harper | 0.3094 |
0.2650
(32.3)
|
0.2547
(35.4)
|
0.2515
(37.6)
|
0.2543
(36.8)
|
0.2588
(28.4)
|
| Austin Riley | 0.3034 |
0.2395
(48.5)
|
0.2379
(46.2)
|
0.2534
(36.3)
|
0.2555
(35.8)
|
0.2387
(40.7)
|
| Tyler O'Neill | 0.2863 |
0.2485
(25.4)
|
0.2333
(30.8)
|
0.2278
(34.0)
|
0.2328
(32.1)
|
0.2272
(30.0)
|
| Cedric Mullins | 0.2907 |
0.2409
(40.0)
|
0.2374
(39.0)
|
0.2390
(38.2)
|
0.2429
(36.5)
|
0.2452
(28.5)
|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.2981 |
0.2418
(36.1)
|
0.2452
(31.5)
|
0.2340
(37.9)
|
0.2392
(35.8)
|
0.2385
(30.9)
|
| Teoscar Hernández | 0.2964 |
0.2424
(37.7)
|
0.2468
(32.1)
|
0.2366
(38.5)
|
0.2398
(37.4)
|
0.2474
(27.2)
|
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.3189 |
0.2694
(35.6)
|
0.2751
(29.1)
|
0.2685
(33.4)
|
0.2702
(33.2)
|
0.2587
(34.4)
|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.1651 |
0.2935
(41.6)
|
0.2711
(35.6)
|
0.2756
(37.0)
|
0.2772
(37.1)
|
0.2727
(38.8)
|
Individual Misses for Batting Average
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Frazier | 0.2626 | 0.3050 | 33.2 |
| 2 | Trea Turner | 0.2860 | 0.3277 | 33.1 |
| 3 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.2634 | 0.1980 | 32.1 |
| 4 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.2758 | 0.3113 | 31.4 |
| 5 | Josh Harrison | 0.2379 | 0.2792 | 28.3 |
| 6 | Nick Castellanos | 0.2704 | 0.3089 | 28.0 |
| 7 | Matt Chapman | 0.2642 | 0.2098 | 28.0 |
| 8 | Jarred Kelenic | 0.2637 | 0.1810 | 27.6 |
| 9 | Bo Bichette | 0.2687 | 0.2984 | 27.0 |
| 10 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.2600 | 0.3382 | 25.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.2629 | 0.3113 | 36.8 |
| 2 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.2590 | 0.1980 | 32.5 |
| 3 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.2406 | 0.1628 | 31.4 |
| 4 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.2396 | 0.3382 | 30.5 |
| 5 | Adam Frazier | 0.2625 | 0.3050 | 29.9 |
| 6 | Trea Turner | 0.2877 | 0.3277 | 28.7 |
| 7 | Kyle Tucker | 0.2500 | 0.2945 | 27.7 |
| 8 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2661 | 0.3023 | 26.3 |
| 9 | J.P. Crawford | 0.2397 | 0.2730 | 25.9 |
| 10 | Matt Chapman | 0.2549 | 0.2098 | 25.3 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Brantley | 0.2474 | 0.3113 | 35.0 |
| 2 | Akil Baddoo | 0.1915 | 0.2591 | 33.4 |
| 3 | Nick Castellanos | 0.2578 | 0.3089 | 32.7 |
| 4 | Trea Turner | 0.2838 | 0.3277 | 31.6 |
| 5 | Adam Frazier | 0.2623 | 0.3050 | 30.4 |
| 6 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2604 | 0.3023 | 30.2 |
| 7 | Buster Posey | 0.2474 | 0.3038 | 27.8 |
| 8 | J.P. Crawford | 0.2377 | 0.2730 | 27.6 |
| 9 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.2588 | 0.2935 | 26.9 |
| 10 | Matt Olson | 0.2362 | 0.2708 | 26.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akil Baddoo | 0.1935 | 0.2591 | 33.1 |
| 2 | Nick Castellanos | 0.2593 | 0.3089 | 32.6 |
| 3 | Trea Turner | 0.2853 | 0.3277 | 31.5 |
| 4 | Adam Frazier | 0.2647 | 0.3050 | 29.7 |
| 5 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2633 | 0.3023 | 29.3 |
| 6 | J.P. Crawford | 0.2403 | 0.2730 | 26.7 |
| 7 | Aaron Judge | 0.2523 | 0.2873 | 26.1 |
| 8 | Buster Posey | 0.2544 | 0.3038 | 25.3 |
| 9 | Ty France | 0.2582 | 0.2907 | 25.2 |
| 10 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.2597 | 0.3382 | 25.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2475 | 0.3023 | 33.3 |
| 2 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.2333 | 0.1628 | 31.6 |
| 3 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.2467 | 0.1980 | 29.8 |
| 4 | Didi Gregorius | 0.2750 | 0.2092 | 28.2 |
| 5 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.3059 | 0.2680 | 27.9 |
| 6 | Willi Castro | 0.2770 | 0.2203 | 27.0 |
| 7 | Jonathan India | 0.2243 | 0.2688 | 26.0 |
| 8 | Andrelton Simmons | 0.2777 | 0.2233 | 26.0 |
| 9 | Carlos Santana | 0.2500 | 0.2142 | 25.8 |
| 10 | Kyle Seager | 0.2463 | 0.2123 | 25.0 |
On-Base Percentage
Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.3671 |
0.2983
(46.5)
|
0.3012
(45.3)
|
0.3168
(37.7)
|
0.3186
(36.9)
|
0.2968
(39.7)
|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.3901 |
0.3449
(30.2)
|
0.3352
(37.1)
|
0.3336
(40.8)
|
0.3350
(40.3)
|
0.3188
(39.4)
|
| Cedric Mullins | 0.3596 |
0.2954
(44.4)
|
0.3039
(39.3)
|
0.2982
(45.9)
|
0.3023
(43.7)
|
0.2959
(36.0)
|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.3734 |
0.3068
(37.4)
|
0.3170
(32.3)
|
0.3079
(39.7)
|
0.3132
(37.1)
|
0.3024
(33.3)
|
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.3835 |
0.3113
(44.6)
|
0.3197
(40.1)
|
0.3195
(42.7)
|
0.3212
(42.1)
|
0.3030
(42.4)
|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.2400 |
0.3829
(49.5)
|
0.3620
(41.8)
|
0.3753
(45.0)
|
0.3768
(45.3)
|
0.3657
(47.6)
|
| Jonathan India | 0.3762 |
0.3271
(32.0)
|
0.3212
(36.3)
|
0.3180
(41.0)
|
0.3201
(40.0)
|
0.3140
(32.7)
|
Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.3402 | 0.4011 | 43.7 |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 0.4074 | 0.4648 | 38.6 |
| 3 | Starling Marte | 0.3139 | 0.3829 | 37.1 |
| 4 | Nicky Lopez | 0.3033 | 0.3653 | 35.9 |
| 5 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3485 | 0.2857 | 35.2 |
| 6 | Adam Frazier | 0.3184 | 0.3679 | 32.6 |
| 7 | Bryce Harper | 0.3764 | 0.4288 | 32.3 |
| 8 | C.J. Cron | 0.3174 | 0.3748 | 32.2 |
| 9 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.3236 | 0.3725 | 32.2 |
| 10 | Josh Harrison | 0.2868 | 0.3411 | 31.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.3325 | 0.4011 | 49.7 |
| 2 | Nicky Lopez | 0.2920 | 0.3653 | 42.8 |
| 3 | Juan Soto | 0.4032 | 0.4648 | 42.0 |
| 4 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.3232 | 0.2360 | 36.3 |
| 5 | Bryce Harper | 0.3769 | 0.4288 | 32.6 |
| 6 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3447 | 0.2857 | 32.4 |
| 7 | Kevin Newman | 0.3235 | 0.2646 | 31.3 |
| 8 | C.J. Cron | 0.3212 | 0.3748 | 30.7 |
| 9 | Dylan Carlson | 0.2974 | 0.3430 | 29.8 |
| 10 | David Fletcher | 0.3446 | 0.2974 | 29.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akil Baddoo | 0.2569 | 0.3297 | 36.6 |
| 2 | Ty France | 0.3212 | 0.3677 | 34.6 |
| 3 | Starling Marte | 0.3241 | 0.3829 | 34.4 |
| 4 | Buster Posey | 0.3212 | 0.3899 | 34.2 |
| 5 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.2975 | 0.3520 | 32.9 |
| 6 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.3180 | 0.2360 | 32.2 |
| 7 | Yoán Moncada | 0.3301 | 0.3750 | 31.8 |
| 8 | Juan Soto | 0.4248 | 0.4648 | 30.6 |
| 9 | Bryce Harper | 0.3868 | 0.4288 | 29.2 |
| 10 | Adam Frazier | 0.3293 | 0.3679 | 29.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akil Baddoo | 0.2584 | 0.3297 | 36.3 |
| 2 | Ty France | 0.3233 | 0.3677 | 33.7 |
| 3 | Starling Marte | 0.3280 | 0.3829 | 32.8 |
| 4 | Buster Posey | 0.3273 | 0.3899 | 31.8 |
| 5 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.3008 | 0.3520 | 31.4 |
| 6 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.3161 | 0.2360 | 31.1 |
| 7 | Yoán Moncada | 0.3321 | 0.3750 | 31.0 |
| 8 | Juan Soto | 0.4269 | 0.4648 | 29.6 |
| 9 | Adam Frazier | 0.3299 | 0.3679 | 29.0 |
| 10 | Yasmani Grandal | 0.3503 | 0.4198 | 28.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.3168 | 0.2360 | 39.0 |
| 2 | Carlos Santana | 0.3669 | 0.3187 | 38.6 |
| 3 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3416 | 0.2857 | 38.0 |
| 4 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.3411 | 0.4011 | 34.7 |
| 5 | Kyle Seager | 0.3247 | 0.2851 | 33.5 |
| 6 | Kevin Newman | 0.3120 | 0.2646 | 32.0 |
| 7 | David Fletcher | 0.3293 | 0.2974 | 28.1 |
| 8 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.2898 | 0.3520 | 27.8 |
| 9 | Hunter Dozier | 0.3255 | 0.2855 | 27.4 |
| 10 | Starling Marte | 0.3209 | 0.3829 | 27.2 |
Slugging Percentage
Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.6010 |
0.4934
(93.6)
|
0.4400
(119.4)
|
0.5207
(70.3)
|
0.5228
(67.1)
|
0.4982
(64.3)
|
| Tyler O'Neill | 0.5602 |
0.4545
(71.0)
|
0.4185
(81.4)
|
0.4308
(80.4)
|
0.4428
(72.7)
|
0.4360
(60.9)
|
| Mike Zunino | 0.5586 |
0.3636
(83.1)
|
0.3862
(68.4)
|
0.3875
(71.8)
|
0.3853
(71.7)
|
0.3904
(59.0)
|
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5183 |
0.3909
(103.9)
|
0.3813
(99.2)
|
0.3857
(103.2)
|
0.3888
(99.6)
|
0.3900
(79.4)
|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5217 |
0.4009
(80.9)
|
0.3903
(77.6)
|
0.3687
(95.2)
|
0.3842
(85.4)
|
0.3720
(76.3)
|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5922 |
0.4665
(97.3)
|
0.4765
(80.3)
|
0.4957
(74.6)
|
0.4918
(75.6)
|
0.4716
(70.2)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.3734 |
0.5361
(64.7)
|
0.5583
(83.0)
|
0.5286
(64.1)
|
0.5239
(62.9)
|
0.5229
(76.1)
|
| Joey Votto | 0.5625 |
0.4481
(75.1)
|
0.4202
(81.2)
|
0.4439
(74.0)
|
0.4382
(75.9)
|
0.3844
(89.2)
|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.3016 |
0.5562
(79.8)
|
0.5190
(72.6)
|
0.5697
(86.7)
|
0.5587
(83.7)
|
0.5455
(89.1)
|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5969 |
0.4435
(68.6)
|
0.4381
(64.3)
|
0.4284
(71.9)
|
0.4461
(64.3)
|
0.4239
(61.8)
|
Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salvador Perez | 0.4435 | 0.5435 | 84.2 |
| 2 | Marcus Semien | 0.4613 | 0.5383 | 75.0 |
| 3 | Buster Posey | 0.3740 | 0.4987 | 68.7 |
| 4 | Bryce Harper | 0.5395 | 0.6148 | 61.0 |
| 5 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.4570 | 0.5224 | 59.4 |
| 6 | Kyle Tucker | 0.4831 | 0.5573 | 57.1 |
| 7 | Jose Altuve | 0.4319 | 0.4892 | 56.9 |
| 8 | Elias Díaz | 0.3393 | 0.4645 | 56.3 |
| 9 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.3995 | 0.4603 | 56.2 |
| 10 | C.J. Cron | 0.4553 | 0.5298 | 55.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.4881 | 0.3618 | 78.9 |
| 2 | Marcus Semien | 0.4409 | 0.5383 | 77.8 |
| 3 | Bryce Harper | 0.4969 | 0.6148 | 76.6 |
| 4 | Austin Riley | 0.4309 | 0.5305 | 72.6 |
| 5 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.4250 | 0.2610 | 65.9 |
| 6 | Kyle Tucker | 0.4533 | 0.5573 | 64.6 |
| 7 | Dominic Smith | 0.4983 | 0.3632 | 61.6 |
| 8 | Luis Urías | 0.3538 | 0.4449 | 57.6 |
| 9 | Carlos Santana | 0.4387 | 0.3416 | 57.4 |
| 10 | Buster Posey | 0.3889 | 0.4987 | 54.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcus Semien | 0.4444 | 0.5383 | 82.7 |
| 2 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.4282 | 0.5224 | 73.9 |
| 3 | Akil Baddoo | 0.3036 | 0.4358 | 70.3 |
| 4 | Bryce Harper | 0.5190 | 0.6148 | 69.6 |
| 5 | Gleyber Torres | 0.5116 | 0.3660 | 64.6 |
| 6 | Nick Castellanos | 0.4907 | 0.5763 | 62.0 |
| 7 | Jorge Polanco | 0.4275 | 0.5034 | 62.0 |
| 8 | Salvador Perez | 0.4727 | 0.5435 | 60.6 |
| 9 | Brandon Lowe | 0.4488 | 0.5234 | 58.4 |
| 10 | Kyle Tucker | 0.4756 | 0.5573 | 57.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcus Semien | 0.4456 | 0.5383 | 80.2 |
| 2 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.4290 | 0.5224 | 71.9 |
| 3 | Bryce Harper | 0.5192 | 0.6148 | 68.1 |
| 4 | Akil Baddoo | 0.3107 | 0.4358 | 66.0 |
| 5 | Nick Castellanos | 0.4824 | 0.5763 | 65.5 |
| 6 | Buster Posey | 0.3738 | 0.4987 | 64.9 |
| 7 | Gleyber Torres | 0.5063 | 0.3660 | 63.1 |
| 8 | Patrick Wisdom | 0.3811 | 0.5178 | 58.0 |
| 9 | Adolis García | 0.3793 | 0.4544 | 57.9 |
| 10 | Jorge Polanco | 0.4320 | 0.5034 | 57.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gleyber Torres | 0.5259 | 0.3660 | 88.0 |
| 2 | Matt Chapman | 0.5208 | 0.4026 | 80.2 |
| 3 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.4634 | 0.3618 | 76.2 |
| 4 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.4125 | 0.2610 | 69.5 |
| 5 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.4138 | 0.5224 | 63.2 |
| 6 | Dominic Smith | 0.4737 | 0.3632 | 59.7 |
| 7 | Carlos Santana | 0.4182 | 0.3416 | 57.5 |
| 8 | Pat Valaika | 0.4779 | 0.2896 | 55.9 |
| 9 | Andrelton Simmons | 0.3843 | 0.2743 | 54.5 |
| 10 | Buster Posey | 0.3686 | 0.4987 | 54.2 |
Pitching Projection Accuracy
Batters Faced (BF)
Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Fiers | 45 |
471
(426.0)
|
443
(398.0)
|
598
(553.4)
|
643
(597.6)
|
554
(509.0)
|
Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Irvin | 126 | 768 | 642.1 |
| 2 | Stephen Strasburg | 707 | 95 | 611.9 |
| 3 | Chris Archer | 606 | 83 | 523.1 |
| 4 | James Paxton | 513 | 5 | 508.1 |
| 5 | Jacob deGrom | 827 | 324 | 503.0 |
| 6 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 1 | 496 | 495.0 |
| 7 | Kohei Arihara | 660 | 178 | 482.1 |
| 8 | Dustin May | 573 | 93 | 480.1 |
| 9 | Luis Garcia | 163 | 633 | 470.0 |
| 10 | Tanner Roark | 500 | 31 | 468.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Irvin | 159 | 768 | 609.0 |
| 2 | Chris Flexen | 139 | 741 | 602.0 |
| 3 | Shane McClanahan | 1 | 517 | 516.0 |
| 4 | Logan Gilbert | 1 | 503 | 502.0 |
| 5 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 1 | 496 | 495.0 |
| 6 | Luis Garcia | 166 | 633 | 467.0 |
| 7 | Alek Manoah | 1 | 459 | 458.0 |
| 8 | Julio Urías | 321 | 745 | 424.0 |
| 9 | Walker Buehler | 399 | 815 | 416.0 |
| 10 | Nathan Eovaldi | 349 | 764 | 415.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 1 | 828 | 827.0 |
| 2 | Cole Irvin | 119 | 768 | 649.5 |
| 3 | Garrett Richards | 1 | 617 | 616.0 |
| 4 | Matt Harvey | 1 | 582 | 581.0 |
| 5 | Luis Garcia | 103 | 633 | 530.2 |
| 6 | Wil Crowe | 1 | 524 | 523.0 |
| 7 | Alec Mills | 1 | 517 | 516.0 |
| 8 | Julio Teheran | 519 | 20 | 499.1 |
| 9 | Caleb Smith | 1 | 500 | 499.0 |
| 10 | John Gant | 1 | 491 | 490.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Strasburg | 687 | 95 | 591.9 |
| 2 | Tanner Roark | 599 | 31 | 567.7 |
| 3 | Cole Irvin | 208 | 768 | 559.6 |
| 4 | Josh Lindblom | 639 | 85 | 554.2 |
| 5 | James Paxton | 557 | 5 | 552.1 |
| 6 | Chris Archer | 590 | 83 | 507.0 |
| 7 | Michael Lorenzen | 626 | 125 | 500.7 |
| 8 | Julio Teheran | 508 | 20 | 487.6 |
| 9 | Tejay Antone | 606 | 128 | 477.6 |
| 10 | Jacob deGrom | 800 | 324 | 476.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dakota Hudson | 691 | 34 | 657.1 |
| 2 | Bernardo Flores Jr. | 649 | 3 | 646.1 |
| 3 | Peter Lambert | 653 | 30 | 623.0 |
| 4 | Julio Teheran | 639 | 20 | 619.1 |
| 5 | Angel Rondón | 604 | 7 | 596.9 |
| 6 | Darren McCaughan | 624 | 39 | 585.1 |
| 7 | Tanner Roark | 592 | 31 | 560.9 |
| 8 | Dustin May | 645 | 93 | 551.9 |
| 9 | Packy Naughton | 651 | 108 | 543.1 |
| 10 | Tyler Beede | 545 | 6 | 539.1 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 0.2731 |
0.1313
(35.3)
|
0.3159
(31.4)
|
0.3143
(180.9)
|
0.3062
(36.1)
|
0.3070
(36.3)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.1234 | 0.2315 | 50.2 |
| 2 | Patrick Corbin | 0.1117 | 0.3576 | 46.1 |
| 3 | Carlos Rodón | 0.1464 | 0.2462 | 45.3 |
| 4 | Julio Urías | 0.1387 | 0.2651 | 43.3 |
| 5 | Freddy Peralta | 0.1400 | 0.2518 | 42.2 |
| 6 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1129 | 0.3555 | 41.8 |
| 7 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1256 | 0.3989 | 41.7 |
| 8 | Robbie Ray | 0.1551 | 0.2862 | 41.3 |
| 9 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1404 | 0.2776 | 39.6 |
| 10 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.1094 | 0.3435 | 38.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.3124 | 0.2315 | 50.0 |
| 2 | Patrick Corbin | 0.3073 | 0.3576 | 41.3 |
| 3 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.2974 | 0.3435 | 39.9 |
| 4 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.3051 | 0.3555 | 39.8 |
| 5 | Brad Keller | 0.2988 | 0.3584 | 39.4 |
| 6 | Zach Davies | 0.3078 | 0.3617 | 39.3 |
| 7 | Carlos Rodón | 0.3225 | 0.2462 | 38.2 |
| 8 | Ranger Suárez | 0.3310 | 0.2370 | 37.3 |
| 9 | Kevin Gausman | 0.3169 | 0.2647 | 36.7 |
| 10 | Robbie Ray | 0.3376 | 0.2862 | 36.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Manoah | 0.3143 | 0.2727 | 100.5 |
| 2 | Caleb Smith | 0.3143 | 0.3182 | 86.7 |
| 3 | John Gant | 0.3143 | 0.3201 | 84.2 |
| 4 | Garrett Richards | 0.3143 | 0.3569 | 83.1 |
| 5 | Matt Harvey | 0.3143 | 0.3539 | 80.1 |
| 6 | Paolo Espino | 0.3143 | 0.3183 | 78.8 |
| 7 | Nestor Cortes | 0.3143 | 0.2840 | 77.6 |
| 8 | Alec Mills | 0.3143 | 0.3420 | 77.3 |
| 9 | Taylor Hearn | 0.3143 | 0.3203 | 75.5 |
| 10 | Craig Stammen | 0.3143 | 0.2796 | 75.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Rodón | 0.3170 | 0.2462 | 43.5 |
| 2 | Corbin Burnes | 0.2846 | 0.2315 | 41.8 |
| 3 | Zack Wheeler | 0.2916 | 0.2553 | 39.7 |
| 4 | Patrick Corbin | 0.2948 | 0.3576 | 39.2 |
| 5 | Ranger Suárez | 0.3089 | 0.2370 | 34.5 |
| 6 | Jake Arrieta | 0.3188 | 0.3989 | 32.6 |
| 7 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.2886 | 0.3736 | 32.5 |
| 8 | Julio Urías | 0.2964 | 0.2651 | 31.2 |
| 9 | Freddy Peralta | 0.2941 | 0.2518 | 30.6 |
| 10 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.3020 | 0.2776 | 29.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.2836 | 0.3555 | 44.6 |
| 2 | Patrick Corbin | 0.2912 | 0.3576 | 42.3 |
| 3 | Carlos Rodón | 0.3108 | 0.2462 | 39.8 |
| 4 | Jake Arrieta | 0.3060 | 0.3989 | 38.9 |
| 5 | J.A. Happ | 0.2939 | 0.3601 | 37.7 |
| 6 | Zach Davies | 0.2963 | 0.3617 | 37.1 |
| 7 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.2879 | 0.3435 | 35.8 |
| 8 | Zack Wheeler | 0.2870 | 0.2553 | 35.3 |
| 9 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.2838 | 0.3736 | 34.9 |
| 10 | Garrett Richards | 0.2906 | 0.3569 | 34.8 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 0.3562 |
0.2819
(45.3)
|
0.2809
(49.0)
|
0.2790
(51.1)
|
0.2817
(47.6)
|
0.2900
(34.6)
|
| Jacob deGrom | 0.4506 |
0.3168
(41.6)
|
0.3068
(46.4)
|
0.3441
(34.7)
|
0.3461
(33.2)
|
0.3043
(43.1)
|
| Dylan Cease | 0.3192 |
0.2102
(73.4)
|
0.2173
(71.8)
|
0.2355
(59.7)
|
0.2288
(62.6)
|
0.2246
(57.5)
|
| Zack Wheeler | 0.2909 |
0.2070
(66.7)
|
0.2255
(55.1)
|
0.2283
(53.7)
|
0.2322
(48.2)
|
0.2187
(49.9)
|
| Carlos Rodón | 0.3464 |
0.2286
(60.1)
|
0.2214
(66.5)
|
0.2192
(68.3)
|
0.2202
(66.4)
|
0.2294
(55.4)
|
| Chris Flexen | 0.1687 |
0.2395
(56.4)
|
0.2158
(35.4)
|
0.2472
(57.7)
|
0.2514
(62.8)
|
0.2324
(57.2)
|
| Paul Sewald | 0.3939 |
0.2137
(46.2)
|
0.2231
(45.0)
|
0.2320
(42.9)
|
0.2068
(48.9)
|
0.2305
(39.6)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1800 | 0.2401 | 45.8 |
| 2 | Patrick Corbin | 0.2420 | 0.1904 | 42.8 |
| 3 | Logan Webb | 0.1916 | 0.2651 | 40.6 |
| 4 | Erick Fedde | 0.1442 | 0.2169 | 39.7 |
| 5 | Zack Greinke | 0.2217 | 0.1722 | 38.3 |
| 6 | Alex Cobb | 0.1480 | 0.2494 | 37.7 |
| 7 | Ranger Suárez | 0.1632 | 0.2560 | 36.5 |
| 8 | Kevin Gausman | 0.2436 | 0.2929 | 34.0 |
| 9 | Alex Wood | 0.1971 | 0.2598 | 33.5 |
| 10 | Matt Manning | 0.2276 | 0.1481 | 32.7 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Corbin | 0.2585 | 0.1904 | 51.5 |
| 2 | Zack Greinke | 0.2350 | 0.1722 | 44.2 |
| 3 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1921 | 0.1319 | 43.7 |
| 4 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.2338 | 0.1655 | 40.3 |
| 5 | Matt Peacock | 0.2320 | 0.1295 | 39.8 |
| 6 | Cole Irvin | 0.2138 | 0.1628 | 39.7 |
| 7 | Jon Lester | 0.2061 | 0.1451 | 38.6 |
| 8 | Michael Kopech | 0.2302 | 0.3614 | 37.2 |
| 9 | Kevin Gausman | 0.2461 | 0.2929 | 35.8 |
| 10 | Chi Chi González | 0.2040 | 0.1250 | 35.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chi Chi González | 0.2320 | 0.1250 | 47.6 |
| 2 | Sean Manaea | 0.2045 | 0.2573 | 40.3 |
| 3 | Luis Castillo | 0.2892 | 0.2391 | 39.7 |
| 4 | Logan Webb | 0.1991 | 0.2651 | 39.7 |
| 5 | Matt Harvey | 0.2320 | 0.1632 | 39.6 |
| 6 | Matt Peacock | 0.2320 | 0.1295 | 39.3 |
| 7 | Nick Pivetta | 0.2103 | 0.2648 | 36.4 |
| 8 | Yusmeiro Petit | 0.2320 | 0.1182 | 35.4 |
| 9 | Wily Peralta | 0.2320 | 0.1443 | 35.0 |
| 10 | Drew Smyly | 0.2776 | 0.2143 | 34.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Castillo | 0.2899 | 0.2391 | 42.4 |
| 2 | Sean Manaea | 0.1998 | 0.2573 | 41.9 |
| 3 | Nick Pivetta | 0.2017 | 0.2648 | 40.4 |
| 4 | Drew Smyly | 0.2826 | 0.2143 | 38.4 |
| 5 | Patrick Corbin | 0.2381 | 0.1904 | 37.3 |
| 6 | Logan Webb | 0.2038 | 0.2651 | 35.4 |
| 7 | Tanner Houck | 0.1892 | 0.3053 | 32.5 |
| 8 | Frankie Montas | 0.2230 | 0.2661 | 32.0 |
| 9 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 0.2368 | 0.1774 | 30.4 |
| 10 | Jon Lester | 0.1899 | 0.1451 | 29.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Greinke | 0.2376 | 0.1722 | 55.0 |
| 2 | Patrick Corbin | 0.2490 | 0.1904 | 54.1 |
| 3 | Lucas Giolito | 0.3402 | 0.2792 | 53.6 |
| 4 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1918 | 0.1319 | 52.8 |
| 5 | Walker Buehler | 0.3079 | 0.2601 | 49.9 |
| 6 | Michael Kopech | 0.2023 | 0.3614 | 41.5 |
| 7 | Wily Peralta | 0.2320 | 0.1443 | 40.7 |
| 8 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.2162 | 0.1655 | 37.6 |
| 9 | Garrett Richards | 0.2325 | 0.1864 | 36.7 |
| 10 | Yusmeiro Petit | 0.2202 | 0.1182 | 36.1 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 0.0518 |
0.0860
(24.7)
|
0.0903
(25.9)
|
0.0958
(28.9)
|
0.0956
(27.5)
|
0.0872
(20.4)
|
| Antonio Senzatela | 0.0478 |
0.0806
(24.3)
|
0.0830
(24.2)
|
0.0841
(24.3)
|
0.0819
(21.6)
|
0.0841
(21.3)
|
| John Gant | 0.1446 |
0.1051
(17.8)
|
0.1061
(18.5)
|
0.0869
(28.3)
|
0.1077
(19.1)
|
0.1026
(22.8)
|
| Robbie Ray | 0.0673 |
0.1239
(46.4)
|
0.1208
(42.1)
|
0.1206
(41.2)
|
0.1212
(40.2)
|
0.1205
(37.7)
|
| Sandy Alcantara | 0.0597 |
0.0963
(33.4)
|
0.0943
(29.6)
|
0.0969
(31.1)
|
0.0934
(26.6)
|
0.0996
(29.6)
|
| Chris Flexen | 0.0540 |
0.0754
(18.3)
|
0.1007
(35.3)
|
0.0905
(27.0)
|
0.0874
(23.3)
|
0.0823
(17.7)
|
| Zach Davies | 0.1123 |
0.0773
(21.1)
|
0.0774
(22.7)
|
0.0770
(23.6)
|
0.0764
(25.3)
|
0.0674
(33.0)
|
| Adbert Alzolay | 0.0655 |
0.1090
(24.3)
|
0.1020
(19.4)
|
0.1075
(21.8)
|
0.1084
(21.2)
|
0.1136
(22.7)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Urías | 0.0839 | 0.0510 | 27.0 |
| 2 | Shane McClanahan | 0.1174 | 0.0716 | 25.4 |
| 3 | Aaron Nola | 0.0800 | 0.0521 | 23.4 |
| 4 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0835 | 0.0541 | 23.0 |
| 5 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0846 | 0.0604 | 22.8 |
| 6 | Tarik Skubal | 0.1055 | 0.0741 | 22.0 |
| 7 | Luis Garcia | 0.1104 | 0.0790 | 22.0 |
| 8 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.0670 | 0.0458 | 18.7 |
| 9 | Carlos Rodón | 0.0985 | 0.0674 | 18.4 |
| 10 | Huascar Ynoa | 0.1124 | 0.0672 | 18.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Urías | 0.0841 | 0.0510 | 25.3 |
| 2 | Aaron Nola | 0.0849 | 0.0521 | 25.2 |
| 3 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0888 | 0.0541 | 25.0 |
| 4 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.0745 | 0.0458 | 22.6 |
| 5 | Kolby Allard | 0.0976 | 0.0581 | 21.6 |
| 6 | Cole Irvin | 0.0818 | 0.0547 | 21.5 |
| 7 | Blake Snell | 0.0888 | 0.1255 | 19.7 |
| 8 | José Alvarado | 0.1088 | 0.1873 | 19.5 |
| 9 | Joe Jiménez | 0.0806 | 0.1667 | 17.9 |
| 10 | Logan Webb | 0.0895 | 0.0604 | 17.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Urías | 0.0903 | 0.0510 | 29.2 |
| 2 | Luis Garcia | 0.1187 | 0.0790 | 25.1 |
| 3 | Alex Reyes | 0.0869 | 0.1640 | 24.4 |
| 4 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0869 | 0.0541 | 23.1 |
| 5 | Aaron Nola | 0.0818 | 0.0521 | 22.3 |
| 6 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0869 | 0.0604 | 22.0 |
| 7 | Kolby Allard | 0.0992 | 0.0581 | 22.0 |
| 8 | Blake Snell | 0.0893 | 0.1255 | 19.9 |
| 9 | Caleb Smith | 0.0869 | 0.1260 | 19.5 |
| 10 | Junior Guerra | 0.0869 | 0.1498 | 19.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Urías | 0.0869 | 0.0510 | 25.3 |
| 2 | Luis Garcia | 0.1198 | 0.0790 | 24.6 |
| 3 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0860 | 0.0541 | 21.1 |
| 4 | Aaron Nola | 0.0821 | 0.0521 | 21.0 |
| 5 | Blake Snell | 0.0914 | 0.1255 | 19.8 |
| 6 | Lance McCullers Jr. | 0.0841 | 0.1111 | 19.8 |
| 7 | Kolby Allard | 0.0952 | 0.0581 | 18.8 |
| 8 | Ryan Weathers | 0.1228 | 0.0748 | 18.5 |
| 9 | José Alvarado | 0.1195 | 0.1873 | 17.5 |
| 10 | Logan Webb | 0.0916 | 0.0604 | 17.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Garcia | 0.1360 | 0.0790 | 33.3 |
| 2 | Germán Márquez | 0.0608 | 0.0847 | 21.4 |
| 3 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.0668 | 0.1098 | 20.7 |
| 4 | Chi Chi González | 0.1118 | 0.0625 | 20.1 |
| 5 | Blake Snell | 0.0947 | 0.1255 | 19.4 |
| 6 | Tyler Kinley | 0.1576 | 0.0881 | 19.2 |
| 7 | Adrian Houser | 0.0793 | 0.1068 | 19.2 |
| 8 | Joe Jiménez | 0.0852 | 0.1667 | 18.0 |
| 9 | Lance McCullers Jr. | 0.0896 | 0.1111 | 17.8 |
| 10 | Triston McKenzie | 0.0868 | 0.1172 | 17.2 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Musgrove | 0.0241 |
0.0000
(9.3)
|
0.0123
(8.3)
|
0.0111
(8.6)
|
0.0111
(8.7)
|
0.0118
(8.9)
|
| Dillon Maples | 0.0576 |
0.0000
(6.4)
|
0.0171
(5.5)
|
0.0116
(6.2)
|
0.0138
(5.9)
|
0.0205
(5.1)
|
| Alex Wood | 0.0274 |
0.0000
(9.2)
|
0.0122
(8.5)
|
0.0113
(8.6)
|
0.0117
(8.4)
|
0.0098
(10.0)
|
| Rich Hill | 0.0242 |
0.0000
(8.4)
|
0.0117
(7.8)
|
0.0115
(7.4)
|
0.0114
(7.6)
|
0.0136
(6.8)
|
| Carlos Martinez | 0.0303 |
0.0000
(6.8)
|
0.0144
(5.5)
|
0.0116
(6.3)
|
0.0116
(6.3)
|
0.0119
(6.5)
|
| Dan Winkler | 0.0474 |
0.0000
(6.8)
|
0.0130
(6.4)
|
0.0116
(6.5)
|
0.0120
(6.5)
|
0.0182
(5.5)
|
| Austin Adams | 0.0996 |
0.0000
(21.2)
|
0.0074
(22.1)
|
0.0113
(20.9)
|
0.0121
(20.7)
|
0.0112
(21.2)
|
| Alek Manoah | 0.0349 |
0.0000
(10.7)
|
0.0116
(10.4)
|
0.0116
(10.0)
|
0.0116
(10.1)
|
0.0116
(10.5)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Morton | 0.0000 | 0.0225 | 8.3 |
| 2 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0014 | 7.1 |
| 3 | Gerrit Cole | 0.0000 | 0.0028 | 6.4 |
| 4 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0000 | 0.0028 | 6.3 |
| 5 | Hyun Jin Ryu | 0.0000 | 0.0029 | 6.1 |
| 6 | Zack Greinke | 0.0000 | 0.0029 | 6.1 |
| 7 | Edwin Díaz | 0.0000 | 0.0350 | 6.0 |
| 8 | José Berríos | 0.0000 | 0.0192 | 6.0 |
| 9 | Anthony DeSclafani | 0.0000 | 0.0030 | 5.8 |
| 10 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.0000 | 0.0030 | 5.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0104 | 0.0014 | 6.8 |
| 2 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0105 | 0.0028 | 6.0 |
| 3 | Lance Lynn | 0.0118 | 0.0031 | 6.0 |
| 4 | Ross Detwiler | 0.0091 | 0.0349 | 5.8 |
| 5 | Ian Anderson | 0.0118 | 0.0019 | 5.7 |
| 6 | Kendall Graveman | 0.0103 | 0.0360 | 5.6 |
| 7 | Wade Miley | 0.0116 | 0.0043 | 5.4 |
| 8 | Anthony DeSclafani | 0.0103 | 0.0030 | 5.4 |
| 9 | Taijuan Walker | 0.0135 | 0.0061 | 5.3 |
| 10 | Brett de Geus | 0.0116 | 0.0336 | 5.1 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0105 | 0.0028 | 6.6 |
| 2 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0090 | 0.0014 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Lance Lynn | 0.0108 | 0.0031 | 5.8 |
| 4 | Edwin Díaz | 0.0120 | 0.0350 | 5.6 |
| 5 | Kendall Graveman | 0.0098 | 0.0360 | 5.5 |
| 6 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.0092 | 0.0030 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Anthony DeSclafani | 0.0090 | 0.0030 | 5.1 |
| 8 | Charlie Morton | 0.0144 | 0.0225 | 5.1 |
| 9 | Ross Detwiler | 0.0116 | 0.0349 | 5.0 |
| 10 | Chad Kuhl | 0.0101 | 0.0258 | 5.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0105 | 0.0028 | 6.5 |
| 2 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0090 | 0.0014 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Lance Lynn | 0.0108 | 0.0031 | 5.8 |
| 4 | Edwin Díaz | 0.0120 | 0.0350 | 5.6 |
| 5 | Kendall Graveman | 0.0097 | 0.0360 | 5.5 |
| 6 | Ross Detwiler | 0.0093 | 0.0349 | 5.5 |
| 7 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.0095 | 0.0030 | 5.3 |
| 8 | Brett de Geus | 0.0104 | 0.0336 | 5.2 |
| 9 | Anthony DeSclafani | 0.0090 | 0.0030 | 5.0 |
| 10 | Chad Kuhl | 0.0100 | 0.0258 | 5.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.0085 | 0.0166 | 6.1 |
| 2 | Kendall Graveman | 0.0092 | 0.0360 | 5.9 |
| 3 | Chad Kuhl | 0.0091 | 0.0258 | 5.7 |
| 4 | Martín Pérez | 0.0065 | 0.0177 | 5.5 |
| 5 | Lance Lynn | 0.0113 | 0.0031 | 5.4 |
| 6 | Chris Flexen | 0.0121 | 0.0054 | 5.2 |
| 7 | Luis Garcia | 0.0126 | 0.0047 | 5.2 |
| 8 | Ian Anderson | 0.0112 | 0.0019 | 5.2 |
| 9 | Ross Detwiler | 0.0124 | 0.0349 | 5.1 |
| 10 | Jake Woodford | 0.0097 | 0.0273 | 5.0 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 0.0183 |
0.0504
(18.9)
|
0.0541
(22.0)
|
0.0493
(18.7)
|
0.0498
(19.0)
|
0.0463
(16.9)
|
| Tarik Skubal | 0.0839 |
0.0586
(18.1)
|
0.0628
(14.8)
|
0.0599
(16.9)
|
0.0596
(17.1)
|
0.0662
(12.7)
|
| JT Brubaker | 0.0773 |
0.0445
(19.5)
|
0.0489
(16.5)
|
0.0439
(19.4)
|
0.0420
(20.4)
|
0.0366
(23.2)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.0679 |
0.0446
(20.0)
|
0.0450
(18.9)
|
0.0474
(17.3)
|
0.0470
(17.6)
|
0.0494
(15.6)
|
| Kolby Allard | 0.0734 |
0.0517
(13.4)
|
0.0431
(17.4)
|
0.0528
(12.4)
|
0.0525
(12.5)
|
0.0521
(12.6)
|
| Nathan Eovaldi | 0.0285 |
0.0485
(12.8)
|
0.0591
(21.7)
|
0.0525
(16.4)
|
0.0514
(15.6)
|
0.0549
(18.4)
|
| Chris Flexen | 0.0332 |
0.0583
(16.1)
|
0.0532
(13.1)
|
0.0583
(16.7)
|
0.0560
(15.0)
|
0.0540
(13.6)
|
| Trevor Rogers | 0.0175 |
0.0588
(20.9)
|
0.0553
(19.5)
|
0.0458
(14.1)
|
0.0448
(13.6)
|
0.0456
(14.1)
|
| Griffin Jax | 0.0881 |
0.0445
(16.9)
|
0.0488
(15.0)
|
0.0488
(15.1)
|
0.0513
(14.2)
|
0.0463
(15.9)
|
| Josiah Gray | 0.0969 |
0.0536
(14.3)
|
0.0488
(15.5)
|
0.0418
(17.7)
|
0.0584
(12.6)
|
0.0585
(12.5)
|
| Jake Arrieta | 0.0714 |
0.0448
(14.0)
|
0.0455
(13.2)
|
0.0429
(14.6)
|
0.0434
(14.4)
|
0.0461
(13.0)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.0567 | 0.0788 | 14.9 |
| 2 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0554 | 0.0875 | 14.8 |
| 3 | Andrew Heaney | 0.0572 | 0.0803 | 14.8 |
| 4 | Zack Wheeler | 0.0493 | 0.0292 | 14.3 |
| 5 | Julio Urías | 0.0582 | 0.0376 | 12.9 |
| 6 | Walker Buehler | 0.0539 | 0.0349 | 12.8 |
| 7 | Yu Darvish | 0.0498 | 0.0651 | 12.7 |
| 8 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.0447 | 0.0229 | 12.4 |
| 9 | José Suarez | 0.0714 | 0.0382 | 12.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marco Gonzales | 0.0399 | 0.0674 | 17.4 |
| 2 | Steven Matz | 0.0664 | 0.0396 | 15.9 |
| 3 | Andrew Heaney | 0.0554 | 0.0803 | 15.2 |
| 4 | Dean Kremer | 0.0448 | 0.0988 | 13.8 |
| 5 | Ranger Suárez | 0.0495 | 0.0147 | 13.6 |
| 6 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.0580 | 0.0788 | 13.5 |
| 7 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0573 | 0.0875 | 13.5 |
| 8 | Alex Cobb | 0.0556 | 0.0193 | 13.4 |
| 9 | Adbert Alzolay | 0.0491 | 0.0710 | 12.5 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 0.0503 | 0.0292 | 15.7 |
| 2 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.0481 | 0.0229 | 15.2 |
| 3 | Wil Crowe | 0.0488 | 0.0714 | 13.2 |
| 4 | Yu Darvish | 0.0485 | 0.0651 | 13.0 |
| 5 | Ranger Suárez | 0.0473 | 0.0147 | 12.6 |
| 6 | Adam Plutko | 0.0488 | 0.0939 | 12.2 |
| 7 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.0451 | 0.0697 | 11.9 |
| 8 | Trevor Stephan | 0.0490 | 0.0867 | 11.3 |
| 9 | Trevor Bauer | 0.0509 | 0.0745 | 11.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.0486 | 0.0229 | 15.5 |
| 2 | Zack Wheeler | 0.0477 | 0.0292 | 13.5 |
| 3 | Yu Darvish | 0.0486 | 0.0651 | 13.0 |
| 4 | Wil Crowe | 0.0498 | 0.0714 | 12.7 |
| 5 | Steve Cishek | 0.0538 | 0.0102 | 12.6 |
| 6 | Andrew Heaney | 0.0621 | 0.0803 | 11.6 |
| 7 | Ranger Suárez | 0.0450 | 0.0147 | 11.6 |
| 8 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0629 | 0.0875 | 11.3 |
| 9 | Alex Cobb | 0.0504 | 0.0193 | 11.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marco Gonzales | 0.0432 | 0.0674 | 15.5 |
| 2 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.0551 | 0.0788 | 15.3 |
| 3 | Matt Harvey | 0.0707 | 0.0427 | 14.9 |
| 4 | Trevor Bauer | 0.0423 | 0.0745 | 14.9 |
| 5 | Andrew Heaney | 0.0562 | 0.0803 | 14.8 |
| 6 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.0459 | 0.0229 | 13.8 |
| 7 | Ryan Weathers | 0.0359 | 0.0676 | 13.7 |
| 8 | Alex Cobb | 0.0563 | 0.0193 | 13.6 |
| 9 | Lucas Luetge | 0.0738 | 0.0293 | 12.7 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller | 0.3878 |
0.2801
(48.6)
|
0.3158
(35.7)
|
0.2973
(46.3)
|
0.3014
(44.0)
|
0.2989
(41.6)
|
| Brad Keller | 0.3465 |
0.2792
(38.5)
|
0.2793
(43.6)
|
0.3068
(29.3)
|
0.3087
(27.6)
|
0.2729
(44.9)
|
| Sam Hentges | 0.3846 |
0.2854
(30.1)
|
0.2889
(31.7)
|
0.2889
(33.0)
|
0.2889
(32.7)
|
0.2912
(29.6)
|
| Brady Singer | 0.3501 |
0.2814
(37.7)
|
0.2795
(43.7)
|
0.3041
(31.7)
|
0.3067
(29.6)
|
0.2869
(36.8)
|
| Marco Gonzales | 0.2394 |
0.2773
(24.8)
|
0.2908
(27.8)
|
0.2948
(27.7)
|
0.2898
(25.3)
|
0.2895
(29.6)
|
| Sean Manaea | 0.3175 |
0.2740
(29.5)
|
0.2806
(30.8)
|
0.2918
(25.4)
|
0.2928
(24.0)
|
0.2730
(33.2)
|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.3626 |
0.2878
(47.5)
|
0.3052
(41.4)
|
0.3010
(47.0)
|
0.3021
(45.6)
|
0.2981
(43.2)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gerrit Cole | 0.2462 | 0.3053 | 39.7 |
| 2 | Luis Castillo | 0.2748 | 0.3176 | 30.9 |
| 3 | Justus Sheffield | 0.2698 | 0.3500 | 29.2 |
| 4 | Ranger Suárez | 0.3208 | 0.2565 | 28.7 |
| 5 | John Means | 0.2795 | 0.2399 | 26.0 |
| 6 | Corbin Burnes | 0.2653 | 0.3085 | 25.5 |
| 7 | Alex Vesia | 0.2947 | 0.1429 | 25.2 |
| 8 | Triston McKenzie | 0.2735 | 0.2274 | 25.0 |
| 9 | Dane Dunning | 0.2852 | 0.3383 | 24.9 |
| 10 | Trevor Williams | 0.2827 | 0.3481 | 24.7 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Scherzer | 0.3118 | 0.2474 | 41.9 |
| 2 | Freddy Peralta | 0.3034 | 0.2303 | 40.2 |
| 3 | Eric Lauer | 0.3172 | 0.2492 | 31.3 |
| 4 | Dane Dunning | 0.2810 | 0.3383 | 31.3 |
| 5 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2967 | 0.2561 | 30.4 |
| 6 | J.A. Happ | 0.2748 | 0.3141 | 29.0 |
| 7 | Alec Mills | 0.2739 | 0.3244 | 28.1 |
| 8 | Garrett Richards | 0.2911 | 0.3325 | 28.0 |
| 9 | Luis Castillo | 0.2872 | 0.3176 | 27.6 |
| 10 | Johnny Cueto | 0.2773 | 0.3265 | 26.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Richards | 0.2889 | 0.3325 | 31.9 |
| 2 | Freddy Peralta | 0.2931 | 0.2303 | 31.8 |
| 3 | Walker Buehler | 0.2929 | 0.2471 | 30.8 |
| 4 | Matt Harvey | 0.2889 | 0.3310 | 29.1 |
| 5 | Triston McKenzie | 0.2910 | 0.2274 | 27.5 |
| 6 | Jose Quintana | 0.2946 | 0.3780 | 27.2 |
| 7 | Justus Sheffield | 0.2889 | 0.3500 | 26.6 |
| 8 | Trevor Bauer | 0.2898 | 0.2203 | 26.5 |
| 9 | Jorge López | 0.3012 | 0.3399 | 25.9 |
| 10 | Max Scherzer | 0.2900 | 0.2474 | 23.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walker Buehler | 0.2937 | 0.2471 | 32.1 |
| 2 | Freddy Peralta | 0.2860 | 0.2303 | 28.2 |
| 3 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2970 | 0.2561 | 28.0 |
| 4 | Jorge López | 0.2973 | 0.3399 | 27.6 |
| 5 | Triston McKenzie | 0.2899 | 0.2274 | 27.4 |
| 6 | Jose Quintana | 0.2930 | 0.3780 | 27.4 |
| 7 | Trevor Bauer | 0.2897 | 0.2203 | 26.9 |
| 8 | Matt Harvey | 0.2928 | 0.3310 | 26.4 |
| 9 | Max Scherzer | 0.2912 | 0.2474 | 25.4 |
| 10 | Justus Sheffield | 0.2940 | 0.3500 | 24.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Castillo | 0.2799 | 0.3176 | 29.9 |
| 2 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2915 | 0.2561 | 29.7 |
| 3 | Max Scherzer | 0.2893 | 0.2474 | 29.4 |
| 4 | Triston McKenzie | 0.2839 | 0.2274 | 28.2 |
| 5 | Freddy Peralta | 0.2783 | 0.2303 | 28.1 |
| 6 | Jorge López | 0.2889 | 0.3399 | 28.0 |
| 7 | Trevor Bauer | 0.2821 | 0.2203 | 26.9 |
| 8 | Jose Quintana | 0.2892 | 0.3780 | 26.3 |
| 9 | Garrett Richards | 0.2907 | 0.3325 | 25.6 |
| 10 | Casey Mize | 0.2937 | 0.2536 | 24.8 |
Single Rate
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Singer | 0.0000 | 0.2865 | 41.7 |
| 2 | Freddy Peralta | 0.0000 | 0.1480 | 39.1 |
| 3 | Adrian Sampson | 0.2154 | 0.1684 | 38.0 |
| 4 | Andrés Machado | 0.2154 | 0.1900 | 37.1 |
| 5 | Marco Gonzales | 0.0000 | 0.1521 | 37.0 |
| 6 | Brad Keller | 0.0000 | 0.2748 | 36.4 |
| 7 | Mitch Keller | 0.0000 | 0.2885 | 34.3 |
| 8 | Walker Buehler | 0.0000 | 0.1749 | 33.0 |
| 9 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.0000 | 0.2630 | 32.2 |
| 10 | Jacob deGrom | 0.0000 | 0.1187 | 31.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Singer | 0.2165 | 0.2865 | 41.9 |
| 2 | Freddy Peralta | 0.2138 | 0.1480 | 37.3 |
| 3 | Marco Gonzales | 0.2136 | 0.1521 | 35.1 |
| 4 | Brad Keller | 0.2241 | 0.2748 | 31.9 |
| 5 | Gerrit Cole | 0.1962 | 0.2380 | 31.5 |
| 6 | Dylan Cease | 0.2022 | 0.2442 | 30.7 |
| 7 | Jacob deGrom | 0.2148 | 0.1187 | 30.6 |
| 8 | Mitch Keller | 0.2297 | 0.2885 | 28.3 |
| 9 | Steven Matz | 0.2176 | 0.2592 | 27.9 |
| 10 | Alec Mills | 0.2000 | 0.2520 | 27.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2154 | 0.1934 | 196.0 |
| 2 | Caleb Smith | 0.2154 | 0.1882 | 121.0 |
| 3 | Garrett Richards | 0.2154 | 0.2416 | 116.3 |
| 4 | John Gant | 0.2154 | 0.2051 | 110.5 |
| 5 | Matt Harvey | 0.2154 | 0.2441 | 108.3 |
| 6 | Alek Manoah | 0.2154 | 0.1970 | 107.0 |
| 7 | Paolo Espino | 0.2154 | 0.1950 | 107.0 |
| 8 | Wil Crowe | 0.2154 | 0.2369 | 101.2 |
| 9 | Chi Chi González | 0.2154 | 0.2118 | 97.8 |
| 10 | Griffin Jax | 0.2154 | 0.1597 | 97.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Singer | 0.3067 | 0.2865 | 35.4 |
| 2 | Marco Gonzales | 0.2898 | 0.1521 | 33.4 |
| 3 | Freddy Peralta | 0.2860 | 0.1480 | 33.3 |
| 4 | Mitch Keller | 0.3014 | 0.2885 | 31.8 |
| 5 | Walker Buehler | 0.2937 | 0.1749 | 31.1 |
| 6 | Jordan Montgomery | 0.2939 | 0.2576 | 29.3 |
| 7 | Brad Keller | 0.3087 | 0.2748 | 28.6 |
| 8 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.2957 | 0.1663 | 28.6 |
| 9 | Alek Manoah | 0.2154 | 0.1970 | 28.5 |
| 10 | Corbin Burnes | 0.2927 | 0.2553 | 28.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keller | 0.2729 | 0.2748 | 45.9 |
| 2 | Brady Singer | 0.2869 | 0.2865 | 42.5 |
| 3 | Marco Gonzales | 0.2895 | 0.1521 | 37.6 |
| 4 | Sean Manaea | 0.2730 | 0.2454 | 34.2 |
| 5 | Freddy Peralta | 0.2783 | 0.1480 | 33.2 |
| 6 | Mitch Keller | 0.2989 | 0.2885 | 29.4 |
| 7 | Jordan Montgomery | 0.2885 | 0.2576 | 27.9 |
| 8 | Jacob deGrom | 0.2737 | 0.1187 | 26.5 |
| 9 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.2833 | 0.1663 | 25.8 |
| 10 | Triston McKenzie | 0.2839 | 0.1588 | 25.8 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi | 0.1055 |
0.0000
(28.8)
|
0.0717
(27.1)
|
0.0000
(29.0)
|
0.0000
(28.8)
|
0.0000
(28.9)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Morton | 0.0000 | 0.0379 | 22.6 |
| 2 | Brandon Woodruff | 0.0000 | 0.0373 | 21.5 |
| 3 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.0000 | 0.0972 | 19.9 |
| 4 | Phil Maton | 0.0000 | 0.1250 | 17.0 |
| 5 | Marcus Stroman | 0.0000 | 0.0456 | 16.1 |
| 6 | Chi Chi González | 0.0000 | 0.1029 | 15.8 |
| 7 | Zach Davies | 0.0000 | 0.0913 | 15.8 |
| 8 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0000 | 0.0452 | 14.8 |
| 9 | Patrick Sandoval | 0.0000 | 0.0275 | 14.6 |
| 10 | Aaron Bummer | 0.0000 | 0.0076 | 14.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.0610 | 0.0972 | 25.5 |
| 2 | Zach Davies | 0.0563 | 0.0913 | 24.6 |
| 3 | Charlie Morton | 0.0694 | 0.0379 | 22.6 |
| 4 | Max Scherzer | 0.0837 | 0.0541 | 19.3 |
| 5 | Eric Lauer | 0.0749 | 0.0383 | 17.0 |
| 6 | Yu Darvish | 0.0645 | 0.0871 | 16.5 |
| 7 | José Berríos | 0.0621 | 0.0808 | 15.9 |
| 8 | Phil Maton | 0.0734 | 0.1250 | 15.8 |
| 9 | Joe Musgrove | 0.0827 | 0.0599 | 15.8 |
| 10 | Emilio Pagán | 0.0556 | 0.1139 | 15.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0677 | 0.0592 | 62.9 |
| 2 | John Gant | 0.0677 | 0.0545 | 39.6 |
| 3 | Alek Manoah | 0.0677 | 0.0492 | 39.5 |
| 4 | Wil Crowe | 0.0677 | 0.0615 | 38.6 |
| 5 | Taylor Hearn | 0.0677 | 0.0557 | 35.1 |
| 6 | Alex Reyes | 0.0677 | 0.0252 | 34.9 |
| 7 | Caleb Smith | 0.0677 | 0.0662 | 34.5 |
| 8 | Kyle Funkhouser | 0.0677 | 0.0213 | 34.0 |
| 9 | Matt Harvey | 0.0677 | 0.0775 | 33.6 |
| 10 | Alec Mills | 0.0677 | 0.0724 | 32.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Manoah | 0.0677 | 0.0492 | 39.6 |
| 2 | Charlie Morton | 0.0000 | 0.0379 | 22.6 |
| 3 | Brandon Woodruff | 0.0000 | 0.0373 | 21.5 |
| 4 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.0000 | 0.0972 | 19.9 |
| 5 | Phil Maton | 0.0000 | 0.1250 | 17.0 |
| 6 | Marcus Stroman | 0.0000 | 0.0456 | 16.1 |
| 7 | Chi Chi González | 0.0000 | 0.1029 | 15.8 |
| 8 | Zach Davies | 0.0000 | 0.0913 | 15.8 |
| 9 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0000 | 0.0452 | 14.8 |
| 10 | Patrick Sandoval | 0.0000 | 0.0275 | 14.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Manoah | 0.0677 | 0.0492 | 39.6 |
| 2 | Wily Peralta | 0.0677 | 0.0586 | 30.9 |
| 3 | Nestor Cortes | 0.0677 | 0.0609 | 27.9 |
| 4 | Tim Mayza | 0.0677 | 0.0226 | 23.7 |
| 5 | Charlie Morton | 0.0000 | 0.0379 | 22.6 |
| 6 | Brandon Woodruff | 0.0000 | 0.0373 | 21.5 |
| 7 | Jake Brentz | 0.0677 | 0.0592 | 21.2 |
| 8 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.0000 | 0.0972 | 19.9 |
| 9 | Lucas Gilbreath | 0.0677 | 0.0357 | 18.4 |
| 10 | Phil Maton | 0.0000 | 0.1250 | 17.0 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Kinley | 0.0214 |
0.0000
(4.6)
|
0.0000
(6.5)
|
0.0000
(4.6)
|
0.0000
(4.6)
|
0.0000
(4.6)
|
| Luis Castillo | 0.0137 |
0.0000
(6.4)
|
0.0035
(8.8)
|
0.0000
(6.4)
|
0.0000
(6.4)
|
0.0000
(6.4)
|
| Johnny Cueto | 0.0175 |
0.0000
(5.7)
|
0.0078
(5.1)
|
0.0000
(5.7)
|
0.0000
(5.7)
|
0.0000
(5.7)
|
| Michael Kopech | 0.0270 |
0.0000
(6.0)
|
0.0059
(6.2)
|
0.0000
(6.1)
|
0.0000
(6.0)
|
0.0000
(6.0)
|
| J.A. Happ | 0.0128 |
0.0000
(4.7)
|
0.0038
(6.5)
|
0.0000
(4.7)
|
0.0000
(4.7)
|
0.0000
(4.7)
|
| Joe Mantiply | 0.0417 |
0.0000
(6.3)
|
0.0137
(5.1)
|
0.0058
(5.3)
|
0.0000
(6.3)
|
0.0000
(6.3)
|
| Robert Stephenson | 0.0333 |
0.0000
(5.4)
|
0.0103
(4.7)
|
0.0000
(5.4)
|
0.0000
(5.4)
|
0.0000
(5.4)
|
| Luke Weaver | 0.0331 |
0.0000
(7.5)
|
0.0078
(7.2)
|
0.0000
(7.5)
|
0.0000
(7.5)
|
0.0000
(7.5)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Howard | 0.0000 | 0.0286 | 5.2 |
| 2 | Sonny Gray | 0.0000 | 0.0146 | 5.0 |
| 3 | Steven Brault | 0.0000 | 0.0435 | 4.8 |
| 4 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0000 | 0.0167 | 4.5 |
| 5 | Yu Darvish | 0.0000 | 0.0124 | 4.5 |
| 6 | Julio Urías | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.3 |
| 7 | Jon Gray | 0.0000 | 0.0125 | 4.3 |
| 8 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0119 | 4.3 |
| 9 | Jhoulys Chacín | 0.0000 | 0.0215 | 4.2 |
| 10 | Sean Poppen | 0.0000 | 0.0429 | 4.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Flexen | 0.0000 | 0.0090 | 7.2 |
| 2 | James Kaprielian | 0.0000 | 0.0127 | 6.8 |
| 3 | Aaron Nola | 0.0034 | 0.0111 | 6.2 |
| 4 | Trevor May | 0.0000 | 0.0201 | 5.5 |
| 5 | Cole Irvin | 0.0096 | 0.0018 | 5.5 |
| 6 | David Bednar | 0.0000 | 0.0222 | 5.4 |
| 7 | Steven Brault | 0.0047 | 0.0435 | 5.0 |
| 8 | Drew Smyly | 0.0099 | 0.0000 | 5.0 |
| 9 | Casey Mize | 0.0047 | 0.0120 | 4.9 |
| 10 | Jameson Taillon | 0.0112 | 0.0026 | 4.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0058 | 0.0035 | 6.7 |
| 2 | Alec Mills | 0.0058 | 0.0000 | 6.0 |
| 3 | Caleb Smith | 0.0058 | 0.0000 | 5.8 |
| 4 | Alek Manoah | 0.0058 | 0.0000 | 5.3 |
| 5 | Spencer Howard | 0.0000 | 0.0286 | 5.2 |
| 6 | Sonny Gray | 0.0000 | 0.0146 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0000 | 0.0167 | 4.5 |
| 8 | Yu Darvish | 0.0000 | 0.0124 | 4.5 |
| 9 | Justus Sheffield | 0.0058 | 0.0000 | 4.5 |
| 10 | Jon Gray | 0.0000 | 0.0125 | 4.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Manoah | 0.0058 | 0.0000 | 5.3 |
| 2 | Spencer Howard | 0.0000 | 0.0286 | 5.2 |
| 3 | Sonny Gray | 0.0000 | 0.0146 | 5.0 |
| 4 | Steven Brault | 0.0000 | 0.0435 | 4.8 |
| 5 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0000 | 0.0167 | 4.5 |
| 6 | Yu Darvish | 0.0000 | 0.0124 | 4.5 |
| 7 | Julio Urías | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.3 |
| 8 | Jon Gray | 0.0000 | 0.0125 | 4.3 |
| 9 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0119 | 4.3 |
| 10 | Jhoulys Chacín | 0.0000 | 0.0215 | 4.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Manoah | 0.0058 | 0.0000 | 5.3 |
| 2 | Spencer Howard | 0.0000 | 0.0286 | 5.2 |
| 3 | Sonny Gray | 0.0000 | 0.0146 | 5.0 |
| 4 | Steven Brault | 0.0000 | 0.0435 | 4.8 |
| 5 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0000 | 0.0167 | 4.5 |
| 6 | Yu Darvish | 0.0000 | 0.0124 | 4.5 |
| 7 | Julio Urías | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.3 |
| 8 | Jon Gray | 0.0000 | 0.0125 | 4.3 |
| 9 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0119 | 4.3 |
| 10 | Jhoulys Chacín | 0.0000 | 0.0215 | 4.2 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suárez | 0.0478 |
0.1360
(35.8)
|
0.1301
(33.9)
|
0.1191
(30.4)
|
0.1197
(30.1)
|
0.1222
(30.0)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Griffin Jax | 0.0000 | 0.1722 | 62.9 |
| 2 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 0.0000 | 0.1230 | 62.3 |
| 3 | Matt Peacock | 0.0000 | 0.1425 | 56.0 |
| 4 | Eli Morgan | 0.0000 | 0.1425 | 55.0 |
| 5 | Paolo Espino | 0.0000 | 0.1165 | 54.2 |
| 6 | Spenser Watkins | 0.0000 | 0.1961 | 50.6 |
| 7 | Tylor Megill | 0.0000 | 0.1214 | 47.0 |
| 8 | Alek Manoah | 0.0000 | 0.0959 | 45.2 |
| 9 | Josiah Gray | 0.0000 | 0.1433 | 44.8 |
| 10 | Wily Peralta | 0.0000 | 0.1020 | 42.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Ray | 0.1275 | 0.0802 | 35.7 |
| 2 | Patrick Corbin | 0.1059 | 0.1518 | 35.3 |
| 3 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1019 | 0.1458 | 32.5 |
| 4 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1262 | 0.1940 | 32.3 |
| 5 | Corbin Burnes | 0.1204 | 0.0715 | 31.3 |
| 6 | Kevin Gausman | 0.1244 | 0.0852 | 29.5 |
| 7 | Carlos Rodón | 0.1292 | 0.0730 | 29.3 |
| 8 | Walker Buehler | 0.1103 | 0.0748 | 27.9 |
| 9 | Logan Webb | 0.1355 | 0.0889 | 27.1 |
| 10 | Freddy Peralta | 0.1280 | 0.0810 | 26.6 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Ray | 0.1215 | 0.0802 | 33.0 |
| 2 | Carlos Rodón | 0.1288 | 0.0730 | 30.5 |
| 3 | Adam Wainwright | 0.1210 | 0.0870 | 29.4 |
| 4 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1307 | 0.1940 | 29.0 |
| 5 | Zack Wheeler | 0.1163 | 0.0848 | 27.9 |
| 6 | Patrick Corbin | 0.1154 | 0.1518 | 26.2 |
| 7 | Corbin Burnes | 0.1098 | 0.0715 | 26.1 |
| 8 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.1063 | 0.1670 | 25.9 |
| 9 | Cal Quantrill | 0.1300 | 0.0893 | 25.9 |
| 10 | Matt Harvey | 0.1210 | 0.1649 | 24.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Ray | 0.1227 | 0.0802 | 33.0 |
| 2 | Carlos Rodón | 0.1303 | 0.0730 | 30.7 |
| 3 | Adam Wainwright | 0.1221 | 0.0870 | 29.3 |
| 4 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1321 | 0.1940 | 28.9 |
| 5 | Patrick Corbin | 0.1136 | 0.1518 | 28.5 |
| 6 | Cal Quantrill | 0.1314 | 0.0893 | 26.1 |
| 7 | Zack Wheeler | 0.1143 | 0.0848 | 25.2 |
| 8 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.1104 | 0.1670 | 24.7 |
| 9 | Chris Bassitt | 0.1239 | 0.0863 | 24.1 |
| 10 | Wade Miley | 0.1274 | 0.0928 | 24.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1218 | 0.1940 | 35.1 |
| 2 | Patrick Corbin | 0.1098 | 0.1518 | 33.5 |
| 3 | Jesús Luzardo | 0.1044 | 0.1670 | 28.5 |
| 4 | Adam Wainwright | 0.1240 | 0.0870 | 28.5 |
| 5 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1111 | 0.1458 | 26.9 |
| 6 | Carlos Rodón | 0.1254 | 0.0730 | 26.5 |
| 7 | Cal Quantrill | 0.1332 | 0.0893 | 25.4 |
| 8 | Justus Sheffield | 0.1178 | 0.1792 | 24.7 |
| 9 | Ryan Yarbrough | 0.1128 | 0.1470 | 24.1 |
| 10 | Zack Wheeler | 0.1155 | 0.0848 | 23.8 |
Earned Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Shoemaker | 0.1901 |
0.1176
(21.6)
|
0.1108
(23.0)
|
0.1110
(22.5)
|
0.1219
(19.7)
|
0.1255
(19.7)
|
| Jesús Luzardo | 0.1602 |
0.1060
(25.3)
|
0.1094
(23.0)
|
0.0977
(27.3)
|
0.1016
(26.1)
|
0.0981
(29.1)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.1478 |
0.1040
(35.6)
|
0.0996
(37.5)
|
0.1065
(31.1)
|
0.1046
(33.4)
|
0.1031
(37.0)
|
| Carlos Rodón | 0.0655 |
0.1182
(26.2)
|
0.1181
(27.1)
|
0.1203
(29.2)
|
0.1220
(29.5)
|
0.1162
(24.6)
|
| Jake Arrieta | 0.1727 |
0.1311
(21.2)
|
0.1163
(27.3)
|
0.1213
(24.1)
|
0.1224
(24.2)
|
0.1139
(29.7)
|
| Ranger Suárez | 0.0383 |
0.1271
(35.6)
|
0.1164
(31.9)
|
0.1096
(29.8)
|
0.1102
(29.6)
|
0.1147
(30.1)
|
Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 0.1201 | 0.0777 | 32.9 |
| 2 | Cal Quantrill | 0.1343 | 0.0779 | 32.5 |
| 3 | Wade Miley | 0.1344 | 0.0884 | 29.2 |
| 4 | Adam Wainwright | 0.1234 | 0.0845 | 29.2 |
| 5 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1227 | 0.0872 | 26.6 |
| 6 | Aaron Nola | 0.0967 | 0.1242 | 23.3 |
| 7 | Trevor Rogers | 0.1158 | 0.0709 | 22.7 |
| 8 | Andrew Heaney | 0.1144 | 0.1505 | 22.2 |
| 9 | Garrett Whitlock | 0.1281 | 0.0537 | 21.1 |
| 10 | Chris Bassitt | 0.1229 | 0.0863 | 21.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Davies | 0.0989 | 0.1422 | 30.1 |
| 2 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.0926 | 0.1319 | 29.6 |
| 3 | Robbie Ray | 0.1186 | 0.0789 | 29.3 |
| 4 | Kevin Gausman | 0.1166 | 0.0774 | 29.0 |
| 5 | Corbin Burnes | 0.1137 | 0.0685 | 28.5 |
| 6 | Trevor Rogers | 0.1231 | 0.0709 | 27.7 |
| 7 | Hyun Jin Ryu | 0.0822 | 0.1170 | 25.6 |
| 8 | J.A. Happ | 0.1133 | 0.1461 | 23.2 |
| 9 | Keegan Akin | 0.1131 | 0.1639 | 22.5 |
| 10 | Logan Webb | 0.1228 | 0.0839 | 22.1 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Ray | 0.1138 | 0.0789 | 27.0 |
| 2 | Cal Quantrill | 0.1210 | 0.0779 | 26.5 |
| 3 | Zack Wheeler | 0.1074 | 0.0777 | 25.2 |
| 4 | Matt Harvey | 0.1110 | 0.1529 | 24.4 |
| 5 | Chi Chi González | 0.1110 | 0.1629 | 23.3 |
| 6 | Andrew Heaney | 0.1112 | 0.1505 | 22.0 |
| 7 | Adam Wainwright | 0.1110 | 0.0845 | 21.9 |
| 8 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.1132 | 0.0872 | 21.7 |
| 9 | J.C. Mejía | 0.1110 | 0.2017 | 21.6 |
| 10 | Corbin Burnes | 0.1014 | 0.0685 | 21.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Ray | 0.1152 | 0.0789 | 27.1 |
| 2 | Cal Quantrill | 0.1225 | 0.0779 | 26.7 |
| 3 | Lance Lynn | 0.1096 | 0.0733 | 22.5 |
| 4 | Zack Wheeler | 0.1053 | 0.0777 | 22.4 |
| 5 | Adam Wainwright | 0.1127 | 0.0845 | 22.3 |
| 6 | Andrew Heaney | 0.1130 | 0.1505 | 21.6 |
| 7 | Aaron Nola | 0.0971 | 0.1242 | 21.2 |
| 8 | Vince Velasquez | 0.1108 | 0.1583 | 20.3 |
| 9 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0993 | 0.0685 | 19.5 |
| 10 | Wade Miley | 0.1176 | 0.0884 | 19.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Heaney | 0.1055 | 0.1505 | 27.6 |
| 2 | Zach Davies | 0.1078 | 0.1422 | 26.0 |
| 3 | Aaron Nola | 0.0944 | 0.1242 | 25.7 |
| 4 | Cal Quantrill | 0.1241 | 0.0779 | 25.7 |
| 5 | J.A. Happ | 0.1132 | 0.1461 | 25.1 |
| 6 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1035 | 0.1319 | 23.7 |
| 7 | Adam Wainwright | 0.1161 | 0.0845 | 22.4 |
| 8 | Ryan Yarbrough | 0.1054 | 0.1348 | 22.1 |
| 9 | Spenser Watkins | 0.1110 | 0.1922 | 21.8 |
| 10 | J.C. Mejía | 0.1153 | 0.2017 | 21.6 |
Win Rate
Everybody Missed for Win Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | 0.4828 |
0.3214
(133.8)
|
0.1481
(182.8)
|
0.3609
(119.9)
|
0.3344
(104.6)
|
0.3077
(131.4)
|
| Adam Wainwright | 0.5313 |
0.2857
(241.0)
|
0.2667
(176.0)
|
0.1915
(333.8)
|
0.3348
(173.7)
|
0.3500
(173.3)
|
| Julio Urías | 0.6250 |
0.3462
(241.6)
|
0.1250
(333.7)
|
0.3939
(219.4)
|
0.2497
(289.5)
|
0.1556
(370.6)
|
| Carlos Rodón | 0.5417 |
0.3043
(151.0)
|
0.1667
(172.5)
|
0.3200
(152.3)
|
0.1420
(220.6)
|
0.3125
(137.3)
|
| Chris Flexen | 0.4516 |
0.3158
(134.4)
|
0.1250
(203.5)
|
0.3050
(155.7)
|
0.1848
(207.6)
|
0.1667
(231.9)
|
| Aaron Civale | 0.5714 |
0.2857
(164.9)
|
0.1818
(168.1)
|
0.3496
(142.1)
|
0.3236
(130.1)
|
0.3600
(119.2)
|
Individual Misses for Win Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alek Manoah | 0.0005 | 0.4500 | 227.2 |
| 2 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 0.0003 | 0.4091 | 225.3 |
| 3 | Cole Irvin | 0.1111 | 0.3125 | 189.6 |
| 4 | José Suarez | 0.0000 | 0.3478 | 162.4 |
| 5 | Luis Castillo | 0.4688 | 0.2424 | 145.2 |
| 6 | Wade Miley | 0.2692 | 0.4286 | 141.3 |
| 7 | Max Fried | 0.3548 | 0.5000 | 127.2 |
| 8 | Eli Morgan | 0.0003 | 0.2778 | 122.4 |
| 9 | Luis Garcia | 0.2222 | 0.3667 | 120.2 |
| 10 | Shane McClanahan | 0.2143 | 0.4000 | 119.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Gausman | 0.1379 | 0.4242 | 181.6 |
| 2 | Walker Buehler | 0.2222 | 0.4848 | 171.6 |
| 3 | Lance McCullers Jr. | 0.1667 | 0.4643 | 168.0 |
| 4 | Tyler Mahle | 0.1333 | 0.3939 | 158.3 |
| 5 | Framber Valdez | 0.2000 | 0.5000 | 141.8 |
| 6 | Corbin Burnes | 0.1250 | 0.3929 | 141.8 |
| 7 | Luis Garcia | 0.1053 | 0.3667 | 132.5 |
| 8 | Max Scherzer | 0.2593 | 0.5000 | 130.8 |
| 9 | Wade Miley | 0.1923 | 0.4286 | 127.1 |
| 10 | Anthony DeSclafani | 0.1852 | 0.4194 | 123.1 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Irvin | 0.0563 | 0.3125 | 245.5 |
| 2 | Shane McClanahan | 0.0528 | 0.4000 | 212.3 |
| 3 | James Kaprielian | 0.0453 | 0.3333 | 176.5 |
| 4 | Freddy Peralta | 0.1216 | 0.3571 | 173.4 |
| 5 | Alek Manoah | 0.1915 | 0.4500 | 147.8 |
| 6 | Anthony DeSclafani | 0.3130 | 0.4194 | 114.8 |
| 7 | Chris Bassitt | 0.3430 | 0.4444 | 105.1 |
| 8 | Wade Miley | 0.3415 | 0.4286 | 103.9 |
| 9 | Luis Castillo | 0.4315 | 0.2424 | 100.9 |
| 10 | Logan Webb | 0.3027 | 0.4074 | 100.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Irvin | 0.0717 | 0.3125 | 195.2 |
| 2 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 0.0478 | 0.4091 | 185.8 |
| 3 | Shane McClanahan | 0.0636 | 0.4000 | 180.9 |
| 4 | James Kaprielian | 0.0470 | 0.3333 | 150.5 |
| 5 | Jordan Lyles | 0.1341 | 0.3125 | 147.5 |
| 6 | Freddy Peralta | 0.1385 | 0.3571 | 134.6 |
| 7 | Alek Manoah | 0.1915 | 0.4500 | 124.8 |
| 8 | Luis Castillo | 0.4066 | 0.2424 | 121.1 |
| 9 | Alex Wood | 0.1938 | 0.3846 | 119.4 |
| 10 | Yu Darvish | 0.4384 | 0.2667 | 107.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.1579 | 0.3929 | 172.8 |
| 2 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.3333 | 0.0714 | 137.1 |
| 3 | Alek Manoah | 0.1915 | 0.4500 | 131.5 |
| 4 | Luis Castillo | 0.4333 | 0.2424 | 130.8 |
| 5 | Framber Valdez | 0.3000 | 0.5000 | 130.4 |
| 6 | Dylan Bundy | 0.4286 | 0.0870 | 124.5 |
| 7 | Chris Bassitt | 0.2800 | 0.4444 | 122.6 |
| 8 | Freddy Peralta | 0.1750 | 0.3571 | 121.9 |
| 9 | Austin Gomber | 0.1724 | 0.3913 | 120.5 |
| 10 | Drew Smyly | 0.1905 | 0.3793 | 118.4 |
Loss Rate
Everybody Missed for Loss Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin | 0.4688 |
0.2222
(223.0)
|
0.1111
(230.4)
|
0.0606
(341.8)
|
0.0841
(311.2)
|
0.2500
(179.4)
|
| Luis Castillo | 0.4848 |
0.2813
(198.7)
|
0.2333
(155.7)
|
0.2671
(204.5)
|
0.3024
(163.0)
|
0.3000
(160.4)
|
| Jake Arrieta | 0.5833 |
0.3750
(118.2)
|
0.2222
(142.3)
|
0.3252
(138.4)
|
0.3693
(110.0)
|
0.3810
(101.9)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.5161 |
0.3125
(185.8)
|
0.2143
(183.4)
|
0.2979
(191.6)
|
0.3251
(158.9)
|
0.2667
(198.5)
|
Individual Misses for Loss Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eli Morgan | 0.0004 | 0.3889 | 163.8 |
| 2 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 0.0003 | 0.2727 | 156.8 |
| 3 | Tylor Megill | 0.0004 | 0.3333 | 142.8 |
| 4 | Yu Darvish | 0.2188 | 0.3667 | 130.6 |
| 5 | Wily Peralta | 0.0003 | 0.2632 | 123.3 |
| 6 | Spenser Watkins | 0.0004 | 0.4375 | 122.6 |
| 7 | Griffin Jax | 0.0004 | 0.2778 | 115.6 |
| 8 | Logan Webb | 0.3462 | 0.1111 | 114.0 |
| 9 | Gerrit Cole | 0.1563 | 0.2667 | 112.0 |
| 10 | Cal Quantrill | 0.3000 | 0.0750 | 111.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JT Brubaker | 0.1563 | 0.5417 | 176.3 |
| 2 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.2143 | 0.4545 | 152.8 |
| 3 | Adbert Alzolay | 0.1111 | 0.4483 | 145.1 |
| 4 | Carlos Martinez | 0.1250 | 0.5625 | 137.9 |
| 5 | Matt Harvey | 0.2083 | 0.5000 | 136.2 |
| 6 | Austin Gomber | 0.0833 | 0.3913 | 122.2 |
| 7 | Mitch Keller | 0.1613 | 0.4783 | 121.9 |
| 8 | Brad Keller | 0.2069 | 0.4615 | 120.8 |
| 9 | Zac Gallen | 0.1515 | 0.4348 | 118.0 |
| 10 | Joe Ross | 0.1429 | 0.4500 | 114.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Harvey | 0.1942 | 0.5000 | 199.5 |
| 2 | Jorge López | 0.1145 | 0.4242 | 192.4 |
| 3 | JT Brubaker | 0.3256 | 0.5417 | 136.1 |
| 4 | Shane McClanahan | 0.0610 | 0.2400 | 111.7 |
| 5 | Patrick Sandoval | 0.0855 | 0.3529 | 110.5 |
| 6 | Cristian Javier | 0.3252 | 0.0278 | 110.4 |
| 7 | Bryse Wilson | 0.1349 | 0.4375 | 109.3 |
| 8 | Julio Urías | 0.2771 | 0.0938 | 109.0 |
| 9 | Adbert Alzolay | 0.2771 | 0.4483 | 108.0 |
| 10 | Huascar Ynoa | 0.0854 | 0.3333 | 106.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JT Brubaker | 0.2105 | 0.5417 | 189.2 |
| 2 | Jorge López | 0.1878 | 0.4242 | 142.7 |
| 3 | Jordan Lyles | 0.2419 | 0.4063 | 142.2 |
| 4 | Kolby Allard | 0.1444 | 0.3750 | 134.1 |
| 5 | Chris Bassitt | 0.3781 | 0.1481 | 133.4 |
| 6 | Cristian Javier | 0.3600 | 0.0278 | 132.2 |
| 7 | Logan Webb | 0.3477 | 0.1111 | 128.8 |
| 8 | Matt Harvey | 0.3101 | 0.5000 | 122.5 |
| 9 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 0.0500 | 0.2727 | 120.7 |
| 10 | Tyler Mahle | 0.3528 | 0.1818 | 114.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JT Brubaker | 0.2500 | 0.5417 | 164.9 |
| 2 | Jorge López | 0.1765 | 0.4242 | 145.8 |
| 3 | Sandy Alcantara | 0.3000 | 0.4545 | 141.8 |
| 4 | Adam Wainwright | 0.4000 | 0.2188 | 137.8 |
| 5 | Adbert Alzolay | 0.2000 | 0.4483 | 136.6 |
| 6 | Joe Ross | 0.1786 | 0.4500 | 131.7 |
| 7 | José Ureña | 0.0577 | 0.3077 | 120.8 |
| 8 | Austin Gomber | 0.1724 | 0.3913 | 114.1 |
| 9 | Matt Harvey | 0.3333 | 0.5000 | 105.6 |
| 10 | Trevor Williams | 0.3600 | 0.0870 | 104.6 |
Save Rate
Everybody Missed for Save Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McGee | 0.5000 |
0.2955
(50.8)
|
0.0345
(116.8)
|
0.0289
(109.1)
|
0.2155
(66.4)
|
0.2659
(53.1)
|
| Emmanuel Clase | 0.3380 |
0.0909
(71.2)
|
0.0588
(84.3)
|
0.0000
(90.2)
|
0.0928
(66.6)
|
0.1042
(61.9)
|
| Lou Trivino | 0.3099 |
0.0000
(98.5)
|
0.0323
(93.2)
|
0.0833
(65.6)
|
0.0000
(94.1)
|
0.0000
(92.3)
|
| Alex Reyes | 0.4203 |
0.0952
(105.6)
|
0.0476
(125.4)
|
0.0289
(119.4)
|
0.2240
(60.2)
|
0.6618
(80.4)
|
| Mark Melancon | 0.6094 |
0.4118
(54.5)
|
0.1613
(124.8)
|
0.0289
(149.9)
|
0.0813
(138.2)
|
0.0991
(132.0)
|
| Michael Fulmer | 0.2692 |
0.0000
(82.3)
|
0.0345
(76.5)
|
0.0000
(75.6)
|
0.0000
(78.0)
|
0.0000
(76.4)
|
Individual Misses for Save Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Karinchak | 0.6304 | 0.1833 | 103.2 |
| 2 | Greg Holland | 0.5556 | 0.1404 | 99.0 |
| 3 | Anthony Bass | 0.3636 | 0.0000 | 92.5 |
| 4 | Aroldis Chapman | 0.7692 | 0.4918 | 65.5 |
| 5 | Drew Steckenrider | 0.0001 | 0.2258 | 62.4 |
| 6 | Archie Bradley | 0.3158 | 0.0377 | 60.5 |
| 7 | Amir Garrett | 0.4000 | 0.1111 | 60.4 |
| 8 | Hansel Robles | 0.0000 | 0.1944 | 60.1 |
| 9 | Brad Hand | 0.5179 | 0.3088 | 55.9 |
| 10 | Garrett Richards | 0.0000 | 0.0750 | 51.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Romano | 0.0476 | 0.3710 | 87.6 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0.2414 | 0.5211 | 85.7 |
| 3 | Liam Hendriks | 0.2727 | 0.5507 | 80.4 |
| 4 | Gregory Soto | 0.0345 | 0.2903 | 77.0 |
| 5 | Ryan Pressly | 0.1290 | 0.4063 | 75.0 |
| 6 | Matt Barnes | 0.0909 | 0.4000 | 73.7 |
| 7 | Carlos Martinez | 0.2083 | 0.0000 | 67.3 |
| 8 | Scott Barlow | 0.0303 | 0.2254 | 66.7 |
| 9 | Ian Kennedy | 0.2083 | 0.4727 | 65.5 |
| 10 | Kenley Jansen | 0.3438 | 0.5507 | 63.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Kennedy | 0.0289 | 0.4727 | 97.8 |
| 2 | Jordan Romano | 0.0333 | 0.3710 | 81.7 |
| 3 | Brad Hand | 0.0289 | 0.3088 | 73.7 |
| 4 | Will Smith | 0.2500 | 0.5211 | 72.5 |
| 5 | Alex Colomé | 0.0289 | 0.2537 | 60.9 |
| 6 | Dylan Floro | 0.0000 | 0.2206 | 55.6 |
| 7 | Gregory Soto | 0.0833 | 0.2903 | 53.1 |
| 8 | Scott Barlow | 0.0500 | 0.2254 | 49.1 |
| 9 | Drew Steckenrider | 0.0289 | 0.2258 | 48.6 |
| 10 | Matt Barnes | 0.1667 | 0.4000 | 48.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Bass | 0.3424 | 0.0000 | 90.7 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0.2198 | 0.5211 | 83.5 |
| 3 | Ian Kennedy | 0.1110 | 0.4727 | 81.0 |
| 4 | Scott Barlow | 0.0160 | 0.2254 | 62.1 |
| 5 | Drew Steckenrider | 0.0000 | 0.2258 | 58.6 |
| 6 | Génesis Cabrera | 0.1736 | 0.0000 | 53.3 |
| 7 | Rafael Montero | 0.3780 | 0.1591 | 50.7 |
| 8 | Hansel Robles | 0.0184 | 0.1944 | 50.4 |
| 9 | Emilio Pagán | 0.1707 | 0.0000 | 46.6 |
| 10 | Dylan Floro | 0.0421 | 0.2206 | 46.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Kennedy | 0.0000 | 0.4727 | 105.0 |
| 2 | Anthony Bass | 0.3447 | 0.0000 | 92.8 |
| 3 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.7424 | 0.3810 | 87.8 |
| 4 | James Karinchak | 0.5290 | 0.1833 | 84.1 |
| 5 | Daniel Bard | 0.5610 | 0.2985 | 83.5 |
| 6 | Rafael Montero | 0.4759 | 0.1591 | 74.0 |
| 7 | Will Smith | 0.2660 | 0.5211 | 68.8 |
| 8 | Scott Barlow | 0.0151 | 0.2254 | 60.7 |
| 9 | Jordan Romano | 0.1286 | 0.3710 | 58.3 |
| 10 | Chris Martin | 0.3283 | 0.0217 | 57.7 |
Hold Rate
Everybody Missed for Hold Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Jackson | 0.4366 |
0.0968
(100.1)
|
0.0974
(86.1)
|
0.1883
(63.8)
|
0.0000
(98.0)
|
| Blake Treinen | 0.4444 |
0.1290
(102.7)
|
0.1948
(68.7)
|
0.2087
(66.4)
|
0.0000
(109.6)
|
| Garrett Whitlock | 0.3043 |
0.0612
(85.5)
|
0.0866
(62.1)
|
0.0917
(62.2)
|
0.0000
(72.5)
|
| Brad Boxberger | 0.3239 |
0.1111
(68.2)
|
0.0612
(67.4)
|
0.0779
(64.4)
|
0.0000
(69.9)
|
| Michael Kopech | 0.3409 |
0.1000
(81.1)
|
0.0000
(94.5)
|
0.0651
(77.5)
|
0.0000
(79.7)
|
| Jhoulys Chacín | 0.3913 |
0.0870
(93.6)
|
0.0612
(86.2)
|
0.0000
(104.2)
|
0.0000
(88.8)
|
| Génesis Cabrera | 0.3944 |
0.1304
(91.0)
|
0.1948
(56.3)
|
0.0952
(87.4)
|
0.0000
(98.6)
|
Individual Misses for Hold Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Matzek | 0.0909 | 0.3478 | 79.3 |
| 2 | Jonathan Loáisiga | 0.1200 | 0.3158 | 67.8 |
| 3 | John Gant | 0.2308 | 0.0513 | 66.7 |
| 4 | Paul Sewald | 0.0556 | 0.2581 | 65.0 |
| 5 | Hansel Robles | 0.0667 | 0.2361 | 63.3 |
| 6 | Ryne Stanek | 0.1176 | 0.2917 | 63.1 |
| 7 | A.J. Minter | 0.1379 | 0.3770 | 62.5 |
| 8 | Tyler Rogers | 0.2308 | 0.3750 | 61.2 |
| 9 | Julio Urías | 0.1250 | 0.0000 | 60.6 |
| 10 | Chris Flexen | 0.1250 | 0.0000 | 60.3 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freddy Peralta | 0.1468 | 0.0000 | 90.6 |
| 2 | Cole Irvin | 0.0866 | 0.0000 | 73.8 |
| 3 | Yusmeiro Petit | 0.0612 | 0.2821 | 66.1 |
| 4 | Steve Cishek | 0.0612 | 0.2838 | 65.6 |
| 5 | Tyler Matzek | 0.0928 | 0.3478 | 64.8 |
| 6 | Ryan Tepera | 0.0612 | 0.3385 | 64.3 |
| 7 | Bryan Shaw | 0.0612 | 0.2469 | 58.8 |
| 8 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0612 | 0.0000 | 58.6 |
| 9 | Cal Quantrill | 0.1083 | 0.0250 | 57.2 |
| 10 | Ryne Stanek | 0.0885 | 0.2917 | 56.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane McClanahan | 0.1431 | 0.0000 | 75.9 |
| 2 | Paul Sewald | 0.0000 | 0.2581 | 67.1 |
| 3 | Ross Stripling | 0.1462 | 0.0000 | 64.6 |
| 4 | Taylor Hearn | 0.1637 | 0.0238 | 63.3 |
| 5 | Mark Melancon | 0.2316 | 0.0000 | 62.4 |
| 6 | Cristian Javier | 0.0000 | 0.1389 | 57.3 |
| 7 | JT Chargois | 0.0000 | 0.2679 | 57.0 |
| 8 | T.J. McFarland | 0.0000 | 0.3947 | 56.3 |
| 9 | Tyler Rogers | 0.2100 | 0.3750 | 52.6 |
| 10 | Junior Guerra | 0.2142 | 0.0488 | 52.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Rogers | 0.0000 | 0.3750 | 102.3 |
| 2 | Giovanny Gallegos | 0.0000 | 0.3288 | 82.9 |
| 3 | Devin Williams | 0.0000 | 0.3966 | 75.8 |
| 4 | Tyler Matzek | 0.0000 | 0.3478 | 75.7 |
| 5 | Jonathan Loáisiga | 0.0000 | 0.3158 | 72.0 |
| 6 | Tyler Duffey | 0.0000 | 0.3438 | 71.8 |
| 7 | Adam Ottavino | 0.0000 | 0.3188 | 71.1 |
| 8 | A.J. Minter | 0.0000 | 0.3770 | 69.8 |
| 9 | Yusmeiro Petit | 0.0000 | 0.2821 | 69.1 |
| 10 | Steve Cishek | 0.0000 | 0.2838 | 68.6 |
ERA
Everybody Missed for ERA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Shoemaker | 8.0552 |
4.5421
(1034.4)
|
4.1557
(1107.2)
|
4.3493
(1042.9)
|
4.7658
(940.7)
|
4.9206
(969.7)
|
| Jesús Luzardo | 6.6084 |
4.0112
(1191.4)
|
4.1753
(1062.9)
|
3.6984
(1256.9)
|
3.8519
(1214.6)
|
3.7667
(1364.1)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 5.8194 |
3.9489
(1501.7)
|
3.7768
(1533.4)
|
4.0952
(1269.6)
|
4.0144
(1372.9)
|
3.9988
(1577.4)
|
| Carlos Rodón | 2.3744 |
4.5902
(1114.3)
|
4.5933
(1185.4)
|
4.7250
(1273.2)
|
4.7996
(1282.8)
|
4.6849
(1084.4)
|
| Justus Sheffield | 6.8340 |
4.6608
(886.4)
|
4.3096
(971.6)
|
4.3493
(943.7)
|
4.4956
(909.1)
|
4.4909
(1009.9)
|
| Ranger Suárez | 1.3585 |
5.1468
(1529.5)
|
4.5401
(1330.2)
|
4.3015
(1244.2)
|
4.3079
(1223.3)
|
4.5495
(1216.8)
|
| Jake Arrieta | 7.3885 |
5.2506
(1063.3)
|
4.5000
(1354.3)
|
4.8146
(1191.4)
|
4.8541
(1199.4)
|
4.5510
(1462.0)
|
Individual Misses for ERA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 4.6299 | 2.7844 | 1457.2 |
| 2 | Cal Quantrill | 5.3511 | 2.8864 | 1438.7 |
| 3 | Adam Wainwright | 4.8599 | 3.0533 | 1388.9 |
| 4 | Wade Miley | 5.4429 | 3.3681 | 1342.5 |
| 5 | Sandy Alcantara | 4.8400 | 3.1945 | 1269.2 |
| 6 | Marcus Stroman | 4.4613 | 3.0168 | 960.3 |
| 7 | Garrett Whitlock | 5.2308 | 1.9636 | 935.1 |
| 8 | Chris Bassitt | 4.7302 | 3.1462 | 926.8 |
| 9 | Trevor Rogers | 4.4428 | 2.6391 | 921.0 |
| 10 | Andrew Heaney | 4.3309 | 5.8303 | 908.7 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Ray | 4.6719 | 2.8397 | 1417.0 |
| 2 | Zach Davies | 3.7197 | 5.7770 | 1373.7 |
| 3 | Kevin Gausman | 4.4702 | 2.8125 | 1285.4 |
| 4 | Corbin Burnes | 4.3714 | 2.4251 | 1279.3 |
| 5 | Dallas Keuchel | 3.5398 | 5.2778 | 1250.7 |
| 6 | Trevor Rogers | 4.8425 | 2.6391 | 1212.3 |
| 7 | Logan Webb | 4.8322 | 3.0337 | 1072.4 |
| 8 | Jackson Kowar | 4.3493 | 11.2747 | 1066.4 |
| 9 | J.A. Happ | 4.2593 | 5.7899 | 1026.5 |
| 10 | Anthony DeSclafani | 4.6484 | 3.1670 | 1002.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Ray | 4.4510 | 2.8397 | 1271.5 |
| 2 | Zack Wheeler | 4.1096 | 2.7844 | 1153.7 |
| 3 | Cal Quantrill | 4.7013 | 2.8864 | 1138.7 |
| 4 | Adam Wainwright | 4.3493 | 3.0533 | 1101.0 |
| 5 | Matt Harvey | 4.3493 | 6.2742 | 1100.7 |
| 6 | Sandy Alcantara | 4.4748 | 3.1945 | 1099.8 |
| 7 | Corbin Burnes | 3.8931 | 2.4251 | 986.5 |
| 8 | Wade Miley | 4.7428 | 3.3681 | 971.7 |
| 9 | Jackson Kowar | 4.9680 | 11.2747 | 966.1 |
| 10 | Julio Urías | 4.2132 | 2.9569 | 961.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Ray | 4.5270 | 2.8397 | 1286.5 |
| 2 | Cal Quantrill | 4.7900 | 2.8864 | 1158.5 |
| 3 | Adam Wainwright | 4.4099 | 3.0533 | 1104.2 |
| 4 | Zack Wheeler | 3.9980 | 2.7844 | 1010.8 |
| 5 | Jackson Kowar | 5.0252 | 11.2747 | 966.0 |
| 6 | Lance Lynn | 4.2004 | 2.6943 | 950.7 |
| 7 | Wade Miley | 4.7416 | 3.3681 | 931.9 |
| 8 | Luis Garcia | 4.9705 | 3.4764 | 931.2 |
| 9 | Sandy Alcantara | 4.3127 | 3.1945 | 916.7 |
| 10 | Andrew Heaney | 4.2738 | 5.8303 | 881.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Davies | 4.2436 | 5.7770 | 1211.3 |
| 2 | Andrew Heaney | 3.9986 | 5.8303 | 1178.3 |
| 3 | Dallas Keuchel | 3.9922 | 5.2778 | 1127.1 |
| 4 | Cal Quantrill | 4.9756 | 2.8864 | 1114.6 |
| 5 | J.A. Happ | 4.4274 | 5.7899 | 1102.0 |
| 6 | Adam Wainwright | 4.6295 | 3.0533 | 1073.3 |
| 7 | Spenser Watkins | 4.3493 | 8.0671 | 1019.4 |
| 8 | Aaron Nola | 3.5558 | 4.6328 | 1016.3 |
| 9 | Jackson Kowar | 5.0268 | 11.2747 | 1005.3 |
| 10 | J.C. Mejía | 4.6625 | 8.2548 | 921.6 |
WHIP
Everybody Missed for WHIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller | 1.7881 |
1.3350
(219.0)
|
1.4212
(173.0)
|
1.4007
(194.1)
|
1.3997
(199.5)
|
1.4180
(209.3)
|
| Robbie Ray | 1.0448 |
1.3019
(188.7)
|
1.4398
(304.3)
|
1.3787
(238.3)
|
1.3901
(239.1)
|
1.3448
(173.7)
|
| Adam Wainwright | 1.0565 |
1.3748
(252.8)
|
1.3064
(205.8)
|
1.3128
(191.0)
|
1.3668
(227.0)
|
1.3862
(210.7)
|
| Sandy Alcantara | 1.0746 |
1.3833
(247.6)
|
1.3073
(193.7)
|
1.4126
(261.4)
|
1.3737
(220.2)
|
1.3978
(207.6)
|
| Carlos Rodón | 0.9573 |
1.3152
(184.2)
|
1.3397
(203.5)
|
1.4110
(228.6)
|
1.4045
(219.6)
|
1.4384
(216.7)
|
| Justus Sheffield | 1.8423 |
1.3595
(190.9)
|
1.3808
(178.2)
|
1.3128
(213.7)
|
1.4444
(167.1)
|
1.4700
(172.3)
|
| Jake Arrieta | 1.7736 |
1.4510
(157.4)
|
1.3936
(178.8)
|
1.4577
(160.2)
|
1.4652
(161.6)
|
1.3862
(217.0)
|
Individual Misses for WHIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 1.2835 | 1.0078 | 223.1 |
| 2 | Ranger Suárez | 1.4985 | 1.0000 | 203.0 |
| 3 | Patrick Corbin | 1.2196 | 1.4680 | 196.2 |
| 4 | Jesús Luzardo | 1.2053 | 1.6154 | 184.8 |
| 5 | Luis Castillo | 1.1739 | 1.3641 | 163.1 |
| 6 | John Means | 1.3153 | 1.0295 | 161.0 |
| 7 | Huascar Ynoa | 1.5254 | 1.1099 | 149.8 |
| 8 | Cal Quantrill | 1.4270 | 1.1759 | 146.7 |
| 9 | Brad Keller | 1.4408 | 1.6608 | 142.8 |
| 10 | Marcus Stroman | 1.3497 | 1.1453 | 139.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Davies | 1.2489 | 1.6014 | 236.3 |
| 2 | Corbin Burnes | 1.3000 | 0.9401 | 235.6 |
| 3 | Brad Keller | 1.2839 | 1.6608 | 231.9 |
| 4 | Max Scherzer | 1.1553 | 0.8643 | 200.7 |
| 5 | Freddy Peralta | 1.3149 | 0.9700 | 199.3 |
| 6 | Kevin Gausman | 1.2914 | 1.0417 | 192.5 |
| 7 | Zack Wheeler | 1.2336 | 1.0078 | 190.6 |
| 8 | Logan Webb | 1.4206 | 1.1056 | 186.9 |
| 9 | Dallas Keuchel | 1.2881 | 1.5309 | 175.7 |
| 10 | Garrett Richards | 1.3165 | 1.5951 | 172.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Urías | 1.3431 | 1.0180 | 223.1 |
| 2 | Zack Wheeler | 1.2797 | 1.0078 | 209.0 |
| 3 | Corbin Burnes | 1.2827 | 0.9401 | 208.2 |
| 4 | Garrett Richards | 1.3128 | 1.5951 | 190.0 |
| 5 | Luis Garcia | 1.4913 | 1.1781 | 182.0 |
| 6 | Jesús Luzardo | 1.2306 | 1.6154 | 179.4 |
| 7 | Logan Webb | 1.4257 | 1.1056 | 175.5 |
| 8 | Freddy Peralta | 1.2842 | 0.9700 | 167.4 |
| 9 | Ranger Suárez | 1.4015 | 1.0000 | 157.1 |
| 10 | Sam Hentges | 1.3128 | 1.7767 | 155.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 1.2536 | 0.9401 | 182.3 |
| 2 | Luis Garcia | 1.4944 | 1.1781 | 177.4 |
| 3 | Jesús Luzardo | 1.2468 | 1.6154 | 176.8 |
| 4 | Julio Urías | 1.2880 | 1.0180 | 174.3 |
| 5 | Zack Wheeler | 1.2458 | 1.0078 | 171.5 |
| 6 | Freddy Peralta | 1.2946 | 0.9700 | 167.4 |
| 7 | Logan Webb | 1.4091 | 1.1056 | 159.4 |
| 8 | Max Scherzer | 1.1227 | 0.8643 | 154.1 |
| 9 | Antonio Senzatela | 1.6050 | 1.3404 | 153.1 |
| 10 | Patrick Corbin | 1.3013 | 1.4680 | 152.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Keuchel | 1.2590 | 1.5309 | 249.9 |
| 2 | Brad Keller | 1.3518 | 1.6608 | 235.5 |
| 3 | Garrett Richards | 1.3056 | 1.5951 | 225.0 |
| 4 | Zach Davies | 1.3425 | 1.6014 | 223.1 |
| 5 | Jesús Luzardo | 1.2110 | 1.6154 | 209.6 |
| 6 | Luis Garcia | 1.5581 | 1.1781 | 193.0 |
| 7 | Luis Castillo | 1.2032 | 1.3641 | 189.6 |
| 8 | Patrick Corbin | 1.2926 | 1.4680 | 188.2 |
| 9 | Kyle Hendricks | 1.2147 | 1.3481 | 163.7 |
| 10 | J.A. Happ | 1.3145 | 1.4770 | 159.5 |