2021 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adolis García 34 622 588.0
2 Evan White 603 104 499.0
3 Josh Rojas 68 550 482.0
4 Kyle Lewis 627 147 480.0
5 Jed Lowrie 35 512 477.0
6 Pavin Smith 70 545 475.0
7 Mike Trout 620 146 474.0
8 Cristian Pache 536 68 468.0
9 Odúbel Herrera 34 492 458.0
10 Adam Haseley 471 21 450.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 1 631 630.0
2 Andrew Vaughn 1 469 468.0
3 Mitch Haniger 227 691 464.0
4 Akil Baddoo 1 461 460.0
5 Tyler Naquin 1 454 453.0
6 Adolis García 205 622 417.0
7 Bo Bichette 295 690 395.0
8 Salvador Perez 276 665 389.0
9 Cedric Mullins 287 675 388.0
10 Nathaniel Lowe 259 642 383.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Seager 1 670 669.0
2 César Hernández 1 637 636.0
3 Nelson Cruz 1 584 583.0
4 Eric Hosmer 1 565 564.0
5 Josh Donaldson 1 543 542.0
6 Miguel Cabrera 1 526 525.0
7 Mike Trout 668 146 522.0
8 Jed Lowrie 1 512 511.0
9 Michael Brantley 1 508 507.0
10 Jonathan Villar 1 505 504.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 671 146 524.9
2 Adolis García 106 622 516.5
3 Adalberto Mondesi 646 136 509.6
4 Kyle Lewis 650 147 503.1
5 Evan White 576 104 472.3
6 Aaron Hicks 583 126 456.7
7 Pavin Smith 99 545 446.5
8 Cristian Pache 500 68 432.0
9 Mike Moustakas 638 206 431.7
10 Marcell Ozuna 635 208 426.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Vilade 608 7 601.0
2 Seth Beer 584 10 574.0
3 Josh Lowe 541 2 539.0
4 Khalil Lee 551 18 533.0
5 Dustin Fowler 574 46 528.0
6 Sheldon Neuse 593 66 527.0
7 Alex De Goti 532 7 525.0
8 Brian Miller 535 11 524.0
9 Renato Núñez 570 55 515.0
10 Mario Feliciano 515 1 514.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Austin Riley 0.3804
0.3286
(39.1)
0.3135
(50.1)
0.3350
(33.0)
0.3373
(30.5)
0.3224
(40.2)
Mike Zunino 0.3585
0.2738
(34.5)
0.2822
(31.9)
0.2791
(31.4)
0.2790
(30.9)
0.2797
(30.6)
Shohei Ohtani 0.4028
0.3384
(45.8)
0.3433
(43.7)
0.3546
(33.7)
0.3541
(33.0)
0.3431
(39.9)
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2240
0.3038
(31.0)
0.3232
(38.7)
0.3153
(37.2)
0.3120
(36.4)
0.3164
(38.4)
Tyler O'Neill 0.3838
0.3289
(33.4)
0.3101
(44.3)
0.3114
(41.3)
0.3166
(37.7)
0.3102
(41.0)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.4218
0.3559
(51.1)
0.3329
(68.2)
0.3758
(35.2)
0.3782
(32.5)
0.3574
(46.9)
Bryan Reynolds 0.3893
0.3457
(32.9)
0.3377
(39.0)
0.3284
(42.2)
0.3289
(40.9)
0.3173
(48.3)
Bryce Harper 0.4356
0.3891
(32.2)
0.3748
(41.7)
0.3859
(32.4)
0.3868
(31.0)
0.3888
(29.6)
Cedric Mullins 0.3720
0.2974
(55.3)
0.2948
(58.1)
0.2944
(55.4)
0.2974
(52.3)
0.2921
(55.8)
Cody Bellinger 0.2394
0.3981
(53.0)
0.3746
(44.2)
0.3965
(53.4)
0.3936
(52.9)
0.3850
(50.0)
Brandon Crawford 0.3806
0.3074
(44.2)
0.3086
(44.4)
0.2957
(49.1)
0.3032
(44.1)
0.2944
(48.8)
Buster Posey 0.3823
0.3097
(36.3)
0.3156
(34.3)
0.3197
(30.5)
0.3075
(35.3)
0.3097
(34.2)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Salvador Perez 0.3101 0.3611 38.7
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.3770 0.3061 36.5
3 Yuli Gurriel 0.3151 0.3643 34.2
4 C.J. Cron 0.3315 0.3847 33.1
5 Carlos Santana 0.3487 0.2957 30.1
6 Kevin Newman 0.3092 0.2490 29.4
7 Josh Harrison 0.2790 0.3239 29.1
8 Joey Votto 0.3484 0.3947 28.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Tucker 0.3279 0.3839 36.8
2 Jonathan India 0.3197 0.3626 32.6
3 C.J. Cron 0.3359 0.3847 31.5
4 Matt Olson 0.3466 0.3841 31.2
5 Nicky Lopez 0.2759 0.3217 30.9
6 Joey Votto 0.3459 0.3947 30.7
7 Christian Yelich 0.4017 0.3285 30.6
8 Marcus Semien 0.3354 0.3676 29.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.2465 0.3295 40.4
2 Jonathan India 0.3092 0.3626 36.5
3 Nick Castellanos 0.3430 0.3938 32.3
4 Adolis García 0.2696 0.3142 30.5
5 Gleyber Torres 0.3694 0.3063 30.3
6 Andrelton Simmons 0.3197 0.2503 29.3
7 Salvador Perez 0.3221 0.3611 28.9
8 Brandon Belt 0.3396 0.4085 28.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.2498 0.3295 38.1
2 Jonathan India 0.3093 0.3626 35.5
3 Nick Castellanos 0.3404 0.3938 33.0
4 Carlos Santana 0.3464 0.2957 31.5
5 Frank Schwindel 0.2911 0.4053 30.3
6 Gleyber Torres 0.3672 0.3063 29.9
7 Adolis García 0.2690 0.3142 29.9
8 Kevin Newman 0.3054 0.2490 29.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.3004 0.3626 41.0
2 Joey Votto 0.3240 0.3947 39.1
3 Gleyber Torres 0.3775 0.3063 35.3
4 Yuli Gurriel 0.3107 0.3643 34.1
5 Carlos Santana 0.3454 0.2957 30.9
6 Nick Castellanos 0.3446 0.3938 30.4
7 Akil Baddoo 0.2678 0.3295 29.7
8 Frank Schwindel 0.2944 0.4053 29.4

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Matt Olson 0.1679
0.2580
(59.2)
0.2565
(61.3)
0.2645
(65.5)
0.2664
(66.3)
0.2929
(83.3)
Bryan Reynolds 0.1842
0.2422
(36.1)
0.2356
(34.8)
0.2361
(34.0)
0.2353
(33.0)
0.2495
(41.4)
Ryan Jeffers 0.3686
0.2586
(32.8)
0.2437
(35.9)
0.2283
(40.9)
0.2271
(41.5)
0.2548
(33.7)
Pete Alonso 0.1994
0.2516
(32.0)
0.2545
(36.6)
0.2620
(40.4)
0.2631
(40.6)
0.2662
(41.8)
Raimel Tapia 0.1313
0.2259
(49.4)
0.2159
(46.4)
0.2134
(44.1)
0.2105
(42.2)
0.2011
(36.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.3045 0.2235 49.9
2 Matt Chapman 0.2512 0.3248 47.0
3 Patrick Wisdom 0.2906 0.4080 44.8
4 Tommy Edman 0.1966 0.1375 39.5
5 Kyle Tucker 0.2284 0.1587 38.4
6 Chas McCormick 0.2077 0.3250 38.2
7 Odúbel Herrera 0.2353 0.1565 37.8
8 Juan Soto 0.1991 0.1422 35.9
9 Kevin Newman 0.1390 0.0740 34.9
10 J.P. Crawford 0.2185 0.1659 34.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Wisdom 0.2611 0.4080 54.2
2 Matt Chapman 0.2406 0.3248 50.8
3 Ty France 0.2359 0.1631 48.9
4 Tommy Edman 0.2028 0.1375 46.8
5 Kevin Newman 0.1554 0.0740 46.5
6 Brett Phillips 0.2260 0.3870 46.3
7 Adolis García 0.2439 0.3119 40.8
8 Jake Cronenworth 0.1967 0.1400 38.0
9 Juan Soto 0.1963 0.1422 37.0
10 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.1842 0.1329 36.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Wisdom 0.2260 0.4080 68.0
2 Michael Brantley 0.2260 0.1043 62.1
3 Matt Chapman 0.2468 0.3248 48.0
4 Chas McCormick 0.1840 0.3250 44.9
5 Andrelton Simmons 0.2260 0.1375 40.2
6 Teoscar Hernández 0.3152 0.2487 40.0
7 Ronald Torreyes 0.2260 0.1192 37.0
8 Willians Astudillo 0.2260 0.0556 37.0
9 Alec Bohm 0.1791 0.2662 36.0
10 Bobby Bradley 0.2260 0.3548 35.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Chapman 0.2493 0.3248 47.0
2 Chas McCormick 0.1868 0.3250 44.2
3 Teoscar Hernández 0.3127 0.2487 38.0
4 Odúbel Herrera 0.2321 0.1565 37.2
5 Alec Bohm 0.1772 0.2662 37.1
6 Hunter Renfroe 0.2890 0.2273 35.3
7 Harrison Bader 0.2998 0.2120 35.2
8 Kyle Farmer 0.2475 0.1834 33.9
9 Ty France 0.2152 0.1631 33.9
10 Kevin Newman 0.1350 0.0740 33.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chas McCormick 0.1709 0.3250 49.7
2 Teoscar Hernández 0.3228 0.2487 43.3
3 Kyle Seager 0.1781 0.2403 42.5
4 Harrison Bader 0.3182 0.2120 42.1
5 Jonathan India 0.2880 0.2235 39.9
6 Jorge Soler 0.3004 0.2359 38.1
7 Aaron Judge 0.3106 0.2496 37.8
8 Tommy Edman 0.1916 0.1375 36.5
9 Ryan McMahon 0.3092 0.2466 36.5
10 Patrick Wisdom 0.3188 0.4080 33.9

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani 0.1502
0.0960
(34.3)
0.0928
(36.5)
0.1026
(31.3)
0.1030
(30.2)
0.0991
(29.7)
Andrew Benintendi 0.0669
0.1009
(18.6)
0.1031
(19.7)
0.1109
(23.0)
0.1128
(24.6)
0.1149
(28.3)
Jake Fraley 0.1736
0.0757
(25.8)
0.0762
(25.7)
0.0655
(29.0)
0.0658
(28.6)
0.0604
(28.8)
Yuli Gurriel 0.0975
0.0572
(24.0)
0.0572
(24.2)
0.0610
(22.9)
0.0614
(21.9)
0.0530
(24.1)
Yoán Moncada 0.1364
0.0959
(24.6)
0.0926
(26.7)
0.1019
(22.0)
0.1026
(20.8)
0.0936
(23.5)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1232
0.0889
(23.6)
0.0874
(24.7)
0.0937
(21.5)
0.0940
(20.4)
0.0832
(24.7)
DJ LeMahieu 0.1075
0.0757
(21.2)
0.0732
(23.1)
0.0802
(19.4)
0.0797
(18.9)
0.0719
(21.0)
Yasmani Grandal 0.2320
0.1343
(36.4)
0.1461
(32.1)
0.1475
(32.2)
0.1478
(31.6)
0.1494
(29.2)
Leury García 0.0865
0.0489
(17.6)
0.0479
(18.1)
0.0439
(20.8)
0.0443
(20.0)
0.0372
(21.2)
Joey Gallo 0.1802
0.1354
(27.3)
0.1304
(30.4)
0.1437
(23.3)
0.1463
(20.9)
0.1414
(21.0)
Juan Soto 0.2217
0.1593
(40.5)
0.1565
(42.4)
0.1746
(31.7)
0.1746
(30.9)
0.1641
(34.6)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Grossman 0.1083 0.1461 24.9
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.1190 0.0836 21.5
3 Bobby Dalbec 0.1080 0.0618 21.2
4 Matt Chapman 0.0967 0.1286 19.5
5 Mitch Haniger 0.1058 0.0781 19.4
6 David Fletcher 0.0728 0.0466 17.8
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.0889 0.1161 17.3
8 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.0663 0.0414 17.2
9 Rhys Hoskins 0.1440 0.1061 17.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 David Fletcher 0.0805 0.0466 22.8
2 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0888 0.1246 22.8
3 Matt Chapman 0.0928 0.1286 22.1
4 Robbie Grossman 0.1144 0.1461 21.0
5 C.J. Cron 0.0730 0.1097 19.9
6 Adolis García 0.0829 0.0514 19.8
7 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.0702 0.0414 19.8
8 José Abreu 0.0635 0.0926 19.0
9 Bryan Reynolds 0.0877 0.1161 18.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Donaldson 0.0882 0.1363 26.8
2 Aaron Judge 0.1551 0.1185 22.3
3 Rhys Hoskins 0.1565 0.1061 21.8
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1315 0.0987 21.4
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.1194 0.0836 20.6
6 Brett Gardner 0.0882 0.1302 19.9
7 José Abreu 0.0641 0.0926 19.6
8 Tom Murphy 0.0652 0.1231 19.2
9 C.J. Cron 0.0761 0.1097 19.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yordan Alvarez 0.1219 0.0836 22.8
2 Rhys Hoskins 0.1569 0.1061 22.5
3 Aaron Judge 0.1533 0.1185 22.0
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1293 0.0987 20.7
5 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.0706 0.0414 19.7
6 David Fletcher 0.0763 0.0466 19.7
7 José Abreu 0.0643 0.0926 18.7
8 Tom Murphy 0.0668 0.1231 18.3
9 C.J. Cron 0.0765 0.1097 18.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1269 0.0987 22.3
2 Rhys Hoskins 0.1510 0.1061 22.0
3 José Abreu 0.0560 0.0926 21.0
4 Yordan Alvarez 0.1136 0.0836 20.7
5 Matt Chapman 0.0912 0.1286 20.3
6 Darin Ruf 0.0784 0.1474 20.1
7 Aaron Judge 0.1443 0.1185 19.3
8 Tom Murphy 0.0604 0.1231 18.8
9 J.P. Crawford 0.1064 0.0844 18.3

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Mark Canha 0.0432
0.0000
(19.6)
0.0299
(7.9)
0.0257
(10.8)
0.0250
(11.0)
0.0307
(7.2)
Will Smith 0.0359
0.0000
(12.1)
0.0171
(9.1)
0.0123
(11.7)
0.0120
(11.7)
0.0161
(9.4)
Nick Solak 0.0294
0.0000
(9.0)
0.0149
(7.0)
0.0127
(8.4)
0.0130
(8.1)
0.0113
(8.7)
Edmundo Sosa 0.0521
0.0000
(13.2)
0.0146
(12.0)
0.0159
(11.7)
0.0160
(11.6)
0.0188
(10.5)
Kyle Farmer 0.0340
0.0000
(11.8)
0.0158
(9.2)
0.0142
(10.3)
0.0140
(10.3)
0.0129
(10.6)
José Abreu 0.0334
0.0000
(14.2)
0.0152
(11.5)
0.0160
(11.3)
0.0160
(11.1)
0.0170
(10.1)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ty France 0.0000 0.0415 19.3
2 Anthony Rizzo 0.0000 0.0399 16.2
3 Jonathan India 0.0000 0.0365 15.6
4 Victor Robles 0.0000 0.0434 11.6
5 Josh Harrison 0.0000 0.0323 11.4
6 Bradley Zimmer 0.0000 0.0431 10.9
7 Willson Contreras 0.0000 0.0290 8.3
8 Kurt Suzuki 0.0000 0.0445 8.1
9 Matt Beaty 0.0000 0.0427 7.2
10 Kolten Wong 0.0000 0.0264 7.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.0118 0.0365 15.1
2 Ty France 0.0199 0.0415 13.6
3 Josh Harrison 0.0156 0.0323 8.9
4 Sean Murphy 0.0072 0.0268 8.5
5 Javier Báez 0.0080 0.0238 8.2
6 Dylan Moore 0.0292 0.0106 7.3
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.0100 0.0242 7.2
8 Matt Beaty 0.0118 0.0427 7.1
9 Bradley Zimmer 0.0221 0.0431 7.0
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0157 0.0037 7.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.0159 0.0365 12.8
2 Ty France 0.0237 0.0415 11.4
3 Josh Harrison 0.0144 0.0323 9.8
4 Bradley Zimmer 0.0167 0.0431 9.1
5 Javier Báez 0.0079 0.0238 8.5
6 Kurt Suzuki 0.0118 0.0445 8.0
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.0103 0.0242 7.3
8 Sean Murphy 0.0112 0.0268 6.8
9 Rougned Odor 0.0130 0.0305 6.2
10 Matt Beaty 0.0160 0.0427 6.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.0160 0.0365 12.6
2 Ty France 0.0240 0.0415 11.0
3 Josh Harrison 0.0150 0.0323 9.3
4 Bradley Zimmer 0.0170 0.0431 8.9
5 Javier Báez 0.0080 0.0238 8.3
6 Tyler O'Neill 0.0100 0.0242 7.3
7 Sean Murphy 0.0110 0.0268 6.8
8 Matt Beaty 0.0160 0.0427 6.1
9 Rougned Odor 0.0130 0.0305 6.1
10 Brent Rooker 0.0140 0.0423 5.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Javier Báez 0.0066 0.0238 8.8
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.0071 0.0242 8.6
3 Mookie Betts 0.0061 0.0200 7.0
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0153 0.0037 6.9
5 Trevor Story 0.0062 0.0185 6.7
6 Kyle Seager 0.0148 0.0060 6.7
7 Andrew Vaughn 0.0259 0.0128 6.7
8 Dylan Moore 0.0271 0.0106 6.6
9 Kris Bryant 0.0252 0.0154 6.4
10 Harrison Bader 0.0273 0.0125 6.4

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Salvador Perez 0.1057
0.0647
(29.8)
0.0707
(24.5)
0.0721
(24.3)
0.0729
(22.8)
0.0723
(22.7)
Mike Zunino 0.1634
0.0563
(41.6)
0.0692
(36.0)
0.0818
(31.7)
0.0802
(31.8)
0.0859
(29.4)
Shohei Ohtani 0.1314
0.0677
(43.1)
0.0701
(40.4)
0.0823
(33.3)
0.0816
(32.8)
0.0761
(35.8)
Gleyber Torres 0.0249
0.0744
(23.6)
0.0717
(23.2)
0.0758
(24.7)
0.0742
(24.6)
0.0819
(29.0)
Joey Votto 0.1108
0.0585
(29.9)
0.0418
(37.7)
0.0565
(30.5)
0.0551
(30.5)
0.0417
(37.2)
Christian Yelich 0.0311
0.0977
(29.8)
0.0917
(27.9)
0.0855
(24.4)
0.0842
(24.5)
0.0849
(25.2)
Marcus Semien 0.0884
0.0515
(29.5)
0.0464
(31.8)
0.0507
(29.5)
0.0502
(28.8)
0.0585
(22.2)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0968
0.0605
(28.0)
0.0464
(36.5)
0.0619
(26.4)
0.0614
(25.7)
0.0576
(27.8)
Cedric Mullins 0.0621
0.0347
(21.1)
0.0352
(19.4)
0.0344
(20.7)
0.0351
(19.3)
0.0311
(21.4)
Brandon Belt 0.1300
0.0476
(32.9)
0.0487
(31.7)
0.0548
(29.8)
0.0561
(28.8)
0.0508
(30.5)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1277
0.0812
(27.5)
0.0823
(25.8)
0.0884
(23.0)
0.0895
(21.7)
0.0854
(23.5)
Patrick Wisdom 0.1505
0.0584
(36.0)
0.0538
(37.0)
0.0512
(38.4)
0.0661
(32.2)
0.0698
(30.6)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Lowe 0.0596 0.1051 30.4
2 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0878 0.0452 24.9
3 Kyle Seager 0.0456 0.0785 24.6
4 Mitch Haniger 0.0576 0.0850 21.5
5 Javier Báez 0.0614 0.0963 21.2
6 Dominic Smith 0.0761 0.0324 19.7
7 Ryan Mountcastle 0.0578 0.0868 19.3
8 Seth Brown 0.0455 0.1031 18.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler O'Neill 0.0645 0.1069 23.8
2 Jorge Polanco 0.0352 0.0693 23.2
3 Adolis García 0.0441 0.0793 23.0
4 Ryan Mountcastle 0.0526 0.0868 21.1
5 Adam Duvall 0.0784 0.1111 19.2
6 Seth Brown 0.0429 0.1031 19.1
7 Robbie Grossman 0.0300 0.0561 18.7
8 Avisaíl García 0.0500 0.0841 18.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Polanco 0.0374 0.0693 22.5
2 Brandon Lowe 0.0738 0.1051 21.1
3 Adam Duvall 0.0768 0.1111 20.7
4 Kyle Seager 0.0512 0.0785 20.3
5 Seth Brown 0.0451 0.1031 18.7
6 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0248 0.0709 18.7
7 Avisaíl García 0.0508 0.0841 18.7
8 Nelson Cruz 0.0512 0.0800 18.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Polanco 0.0376 0.0693 21.4
2 Brandon Lowe 0.0733 0.1051 20.5
3 Adam Duvall 0.0785 0.1111 18.9
4 Seth Brown 0.0456 0.1031 18.1
5 Avisaíl García 0.0504 0.0841 18.1
6 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0255 0.0709 17.9
7 Ryan Mountcastle 0.0595 0.0868 16.9
8 Cody Bellinger 0.0915 0.0446 15.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Polanco 0.0351 0.0693 22.5
2 Avisaíl García 0.0443 0.0841 20.9
3 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1333 0.0983 19.8
4 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0201 0.0709 19.6
5 Matt Olson 0.1140 0.0842 19.5
6 Adam Duvall 0.0776 0.1111 19.0
7 Buster Posey 0.0174 0.0581 18.8
8 Ryan Mountcastle 0.0557 0.0868 18.7

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Austin Riley 0.3678
0.2857
(61.8)
0.2892
(57.0)
0.2957
(47.7)
0.2991
(46.8)
0.2980
(50.2)
Eugenio Suárez 0.2240
0.3009
(37.7)
0.2958
(36.9)
0.2821
(33.4)
0.2849
(33.8)
0.2888
(33.7)
Yuli Gurriel 0.3355
0.2913
(33.6)
0.2837
(35.9)
0.2743
(37.0)
0.2770
(36.6)
0.2607
(48.9)
Starling Marte 0.3705
0.3014
(42.3)
0.3123
(34.6)
0.3057
(34.1)
0.3097
(33.0)
0.3100
(35.0)
Adam Frazier 0.3373
0.2877
(38.9)
0.2909
(34.4)
0.2891
(30.8)
0.2913
(30.7)
0.2903
(33.8)
Kevin Newman 0.2333
0.3007
(31.1)
0.3020
(33.9)
0.2952
(34.3)
0.2986
(35.1)
0.2913
(28.8)
Bryce Harper 0.3569
0.2971
(42.6)
0.2944
(42.0)
0.2858
(42.6)
0.2883
(42.3)
0.2988
(38.4)
Teoscar Hernández 0.3522
0.2961
(40.1)
0.3046
(32.8)
0.2970
(32.8)
0.3015
(31.4)
0.3039
(32.3)
Cody Bellinger 0.1963
0.3232
(40.5)
0.2927
(31.1)
0.2797
(29.2)
0.2830
(29.6)
0.2956
(32.7)
Cedric Mullins 0.3201
0.2814
(33.7)
0.2813
(31.3)
0.2760
(29.7)
0.2794
(28.9)
0.2815
(30.1)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Yastrzemski 0.3563 0.2532 48.9
2 Jarred Kelenic 0.3480 0.2156 45.7
3 Austin Meadows 0.3342 0.2493 43.5
4 Nicky Lopez 0.2767 0.3372 40.5
5 Kyle Seager 0.2912 0.2263 35.9
6 Paul DeJong 0.3163 0.2161 35.8
7 Trea Turner 0.3193 0.3623 35.0
8 Brandon Crawford 0.2866 0.3343 32.4
9 Brandon Lowe 0.3430 0.2801 31.8
10 Brandon Nimmo 0.2919 0.3625 31.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Randy Arozarena 0.2973 0.3634 44.4
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.2931 0.3662 43.3
3 Nicky Lopez 0.2731 0.3372 40.4
4 Mike Yastrzemski 0.3318 0.2532 37.8
5 Josh Rojas 0.2795 0.3401 37.5
6 Austin Meadows 0.3160 0.2493 35.0
7 Dylan Carlson 0.2824 0.3307 34.6
8 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2917 0.3941 32.5
9 Jared Walsh 0.2899 0.3352 30.9
10 Brandon Marsh 0.2916 0.4000 30.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler O'Neill 0.2817 0.3662 45.4
2 Kyle Seager 0.2916 0.2263 43.8
3 Akil Baddoo 0.2449 0.3345 41.3
4 Randy Arozarena 0.3054 0.3634 35.0
5 Didi Gregorius 0.2916 0.2169 30.4
6 Trea Turner 0.3171 0.3623 29.1
7 Paul DeJong 0.2875 0.2161 28.7
8 Brandon Crawford 0.2828 0.3343 28.2
9 Josh Rojas 0.2892 0.3401 28.0
10 Tim Anderson 0.3226 0.3724 27.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler O'Neill 0.2874 0.3662 43.4
2 Akil Baddoo 0.2480 0.3345 40.8
3 César Hernández 0.3209 0.2662 33.6
4 Randy Arozarena 0.3098 0.3634 33.6
5 Trea Turner 0.3180 0.3623 29.9
6 Paul DeJong 0.2921 0.2161 29.7
7 Buster Posey 0.2886 0.3493 28.5
8 Jarred Kelenic 0.2911 0.2156 27.7
9 Josh Rojas 0.2926 0.3401 27.3
10 Jorge Soler 0.2907 0.2444 26.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler O'Neill 0.2833 0.3662 47.8
2 Nicky Lopez 0.2785 0.3372 36.6
3 Randy Arozarena 0.3095 0.3634 36.2
4 Akil Baddoo 0.2670 0.3345 33.9
5 Mike Yastrzemski 0.3223 0.2532 33.6
6 Jorge Soler 0.3037 0.2444 32.1
7 Paul DeJong 0.2964 0.2161 29.9
8 César Hernández 0.3183 0.2662 29.4
9 Brandon Crawford 0.2870 0.3343 29.3
10 Josh Rojas 0.2936 0.3401 28.9

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Austin Riley 0.2821
0.2032
(56.3)
0.2206
(43.1)
0.2217
(39.4)
0.2239
(40.0)
0.2086
(50.3)
Eugenio Suárez 0.1494
0.2212
(37.7)
0.2254
(41.6)
0.2030
(31.4)
0.2150
(36.4)
0.2128
(35.0)
Mike Yastrzemski 0.1551
0.2515
(48.0)
0.2275
(36.6)
0.2135
(31.6)
0.2088
(27.4)
0.2229
(34.8)
Yuli Gurriel 0.2680
0.2179
(34.0)
0.2057
(39.9)
0.1945
(43.9)
0.2046
(39.7)
0.1896
(48.9)
Starling Marte 0.2869
0.2146
(41.3)
0.2268
(33.5)
0.2323
(28.2)
0.2327
(29.7)
0.2378
(27.2)
Michael A. Taylor 0.2665
0.1929
(42.1)
0.2089
(32.3)
0.2150
(26.7)
0.2125
(29.7)
0.1972
(37.9)
Trea Turner 0.2820
0.2262
(40.0)
0.2388
(30.2)
0.2300
(33.0)
0.2337
(32.6)
0.2358
(31.4)
Adam Frazier 0.2564
0.2100
(33.6)
0.2109
(31.4)
0.2101
(29.0)
0.2160
(27.2)
0.2166
(27.0)
Teoscar Hernández 0.2742
0.2072
(43.5)
0.2132
(38.4)
0.2128
(36.0)
0.2175
(35.0)
0.2085
(40.6)
Juan Soto 0.2753
0.2181
(41.5)
0.2277
(33.5)
0.2115
(41.1)
0.2258
(33.8)
0.2216
(36.7)
Bo Bichette 0.2741
0.2103
(48.3)
0.2268
(35.1)
0.2221
(35.1)
0.2255
(35.0)
0.2103
(45.7)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Meadows 0.2411 0.1645 41.7
2 Kyle Seager 0.2172 0.1533 38.7
3 Nicky Lopez 0.2174 0.2752 36.2
4 Jonathan Schoop 0.2070 0.2521 34.6
5 Nolan Arenado 0.2261 0.1702 32.5
6 Brandon Nimmo 0.2013 0.2792 32.4
7 Freddie Freeman 0.2241 0.2629 31.2
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2171 0.2648 31.2
9 Jarred Kelenic 0.2402 0.1514 31.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nicky Lopez 0.2048 0.2752 41.8
2 Javier Báez 0.2179 0.2818 36.9
3 Austin Meadows 0.2264 0.1645 34.5
4 Kevin Newman 0.2431 0.1812 32.3
5 Nolan Arenado 0.2222 0.1702 31.6
6 Dylan Carlson 0.1941 0.2388 29.9
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.2184 0.2676 28.4
8 Myles Straw 0.2281 0.2680 27.8
9 Willi Castro 0.2678 0.2027 27.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Seager 0.2165 0.1533 43.0
2 Tim Anderson 0.2338 0.2934 32.3
3 J.P. Crawford 0.1982 0.2455 31.8
4 Freddie Freeman 0.2207 0.2629 28.7
5 Trevor Story 0.2339 0.1875 28.2
6 Kevin Newman 0.2308 0.1812 28.0
7 Nick Castellanos 0.1903 0.2382 27.5
8 Bradley Zimmer 0.2096 0.2890 27.3
9 Javier Báez 0.2321 0.2818 26.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Javier Báez 0.2210 0.2818 34.4
2 Kevin Newman 0.2334 0.1812 27.7
3 Tyler O'Neill 0.2192 0.2676 27.2
4 Freddie Freeman 0.2270 0.2629 26.5
5 Nicky Lopez 0.2308 0.2752 26.3
6 Jonathan Schoop 0.2157 0.2521 26.0
7 Salvador Perez 0.2020 0.2389 26.0
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.2331 0.1908 25.6
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2229 0.2648 25.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2065 0.2648 35.2
2 Nicky Lopez 0.2203 0.2752 32.4
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2024 0.2455 31.9
4 Tyler O'Neill 0.2146 0.2676 29.8
5 Andrew McCutchen 0.2208 0.1667 29.7
6 Freddie Freeman 0.2247 0.2629 28.3
7 Jorge Soler 0.2185 0.1694 28.0
8 Javier Báez 0.2340 0.2818 27.5
9 Brandon Nimmo 0.2125 0.2792 26.7

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Freddie Freeman 0.0539
0.0862
(19.5)
0.0906
(23.6)
0.0934
(27.1)
0.0900
(25.4)
0.0985
(30.0)
Guillermo Heredia 0.1182
0.0582
(22.3)
0.0701
(17.6)
0.0691
(17.2)
0.0599
(20.1)
0.0594
(20.9)
Bryce Harper 0.1292
0.0829
(30.4)
0.0888
(25.8)
0.0827
(28.2)
0.0782
(30.3)
0.0884
(25.3)
Joey Gallo 0.0524
0.0836
(16.6)
0.0926
(23.1)
0.0827
(18.3)
0.0818
(18.4)
0.0984
(27.5)
Matt Chapman 0.0485
0.1000
(29.3)
0.0957
(27.7)
0.0824
(20.7)
0.0857
(23.4)
0.1000
(31.1)
Juan Soto 0.0519
0.0904
(22.3)
0.0893
(22.7)
0.0955
(28.1)
0.0839
(21.2)
0.0876
(22.4)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael A. Taylor 0.1024 0.0479 26.5
2 Mitch Haniger 0.0887 0.0548 20.5
3 Jesse Winker 0.0613 0.0988 20.3
4 Bo Bichette 0.0958 0.0628 19.8
5 Kolten Wong 0.0599 0.0912 17.5
6 J.D. Martinez 0.0838 0.1055 16.5
7 Elias Díaz 0.0311 0.0690 15.6
8 Javier Báez 0.0942 0.0619 15.4
9 Robbie Grossman 0.0864 0.0594 15.2
10 Jeimer Candelario 0.0838 0.1034 15.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0673 0.1080 23.7
2 Bo Bichette 0.0979 0.0628 22.4
3 Dominic Smith 0.1078 0.0608 21.9
4 Cedric Mullins 0.0521 0.0817 21.8
5 Michael A. Taylor 0.0886 0.0479 20.1
6 Kolten Wong 0.0556 0.0912 18.8
7 Jeimer Candelario 0.0762 0.1034 18.7
8 Carlos Santana 0.0643 0.0334 18.6
9 Josh Rojas 0.0621 0.0930 18.5
10 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0929 0.0592 17.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeimer Candelario 0.0626 0.1034 25.9
2 Josh Rojas 0.0524 0.0930 22.6
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0688 0.1080 21.7
4 Ketel Marte 0.0564 0.1086 19.7
5 Rhys Hoskins 0.0742 0.1133 17.6
6 Kyle Tucker 0.0638 0.0941 17.5
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.0608 0.0915 16.8
8 Mitch Haniger 0.0794 0.0548 16.7
9 Akil Baddoo 0.0362 0.0712 16.4
10 Albert Pujols 0.0691 0.0140 16.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Santana 0.0637 0.0334 20.2
2 Michael A. Taylor 0.0849 0.0479 19.7
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0719 0.1080 19.5
4 Cedric Mullins 0.0557 0.0817 17.3
5 Rhys Hoskins 0.0744 0.1133 17.0
6 Bo Bichette 0.0865 0.0628 16.7
7 Jeimer Candelario 0.0767 0.1034 16.5
8 Byron Buxton 0.0867 0.1494 15.8
9 Kyle Tucker 0.0670 0.0941 15.2
10 Jesse Winker 0.0676 0.0988 14.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.0528 0.0907 24.8
2 Michael A. Taylor 0.0917 0.0479 22.4
3 Mitch Haniger 0.0856 0.0548 20.3
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0733 0.1080 19.7
5 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0931 0.0592 18.8
6 Byron Buxton 0.0810 0.1494 17.7
7 Carlos Santana 0.0609 0.0334 17.2
8 Willy Adames 0.0723 0.1009 16.7
9 Tommy Edman 0.0537 0.0758 16.2
10 Myles Straw 0.0414 0.0653 16.2

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani 0.0263
0.0104
(10.7)
0.0101
(11.2)
0.0077
(12.2)
0.0076
(12.1)
0.0078
(13.2)
Jake Rogers 0.0469
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0078
(5.1)
0.0077
(5.0)
0.0068
(5.1)
0.0082
(5.2)
Luis Arraez 0.0156
0.0046
(5.7)
0.0043
(6.0)
0.0041
(5.7)
0.0040
(5.7)
0.0040
(6.6)
J.P. Crawford 0.0000
0.0101
(6.4)
0.0126
(7.8)
0.0092
(6.1)
0.0090
(6.0)
0.0163
(9.7)
David Peralta 0.0206
0.0081
(7.1)
0.0086
(7.1)
0.0083
(6.8)
0.0080
(6.9)
0.0084
(7.7)
Yoán Moncada 0.0028
0.0138
(6.2)
0.0138
(6.0)
0.0119
(5.3)
0.0113
(5.1)
0.0147
(6.0)
Bobby Dalbec 0.0211
0.0070
(6.7)
0.0071
(6.9)
0.0056
(7.2)
0.0057
(7.1)
0.0045
(8.5)
Chris Owings 0.1111
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0068
(5.3)
0.0062
(5.3)
0.0066
(5.2)
0.0087
(5.2)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0000
0.0142
(7.3)
0.0179
(9.1)
0.0126
(6.7)
0.0127
(6.8)
0.0200
(9.8)
Steven Duggar 0.0291
0.0000
(8.9)
0.0063
(7.1)
0.0059
(7.0)
0.0084
(6.2)
0.0129
(5.4)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Rojas 0.0222 0.0087 7.0
2 Pavin Smith 0.0000 0.0105 6.1
3 Edmundo Sosa 0.0000 0.0179 6.1
4 Brandon Lowe 0.0106 0.0000 6.0
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.0109 0.0190 5.8
6 Sergio Alcántara 0.0000 0.0208 5.5
7 Tommy Edman 0.0143 0.0055 5.5
8 Teoscar Hernández 0.0099 0.0000 5.4
9 Hunter Dozier 0.0095 0.0186 5.4
10 Billy McKinney 0.0000 0.0168 5.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.0059 0.0249 9.3
2 Brett Phillips 0.0059 0.0305 7.5
3 Tommy Edman 0.0165 0.0055 6.7
4 Nicky Lopez 0.0040 0.0138 6.2
5 Brandon Lowe 0.0101 0.0000 5.5
6 Kyle Tucker 0.0183 0.0076 5.4
7 Teoscar Hernández 0.0102 0.0000 5.3
8 Myles Straw 0.0117 0.0023 5.2
9 Ketel Marte 0.0189 0.0037 5.2
10 Wander Franco 0.0059 0.0210 5.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.0099 0.0249 7.1
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.0098 0.0190 6.2
3 Brandon Lowe 0.0090 0.0000 5.3
4 Ozzie Albies 0.0076 0.0146 5.1
5 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0155 0.0281 5.1
6 Dom Nuñez 0.0052 0.0234 4.9
7 Max Kepler 0.0031 0.0127 4.9
8 Victor Reyes 0.0059 0.0263 4.6
9 Nicky Lopez 0.0062 0.0138 4.5
10 Wander Franco 0.0069 0.0210 4.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.0096 0.0249 7.2
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.0101 0.0190 5.9
3 Brandon Lowe 0.0088 0.0000 5.3
4 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0152 0.0281 5.1
5 Ozzie Albies 0.0077 0.0146 5.0
6 Dom Nuñez 0.0052 0.0234 4.9
7 Max Kepler 0.0032 0.0127 4.8
8 Nicky Lopez 0.0058 0.0138 4.6
9 Teoscar Hernández 0.0077 0.0000 4.4
10 Wander Franco 0.0071 0.0210 4.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.0154 0.0021 7.7
2 Raimel Tapia 0.0211 0.0048 7.5
3 Trea Turner 0.0175 0.0065 5.7
4 Luis Urías 0.0146 0.0028 5.5
5 Dom Nuñez 0.0049 0.0234 5.4
6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0258 0.0131 5.4
7 Mike Zunino 0.0000 0.0118 5.2
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0118 0.0022 5.2
9 Dylan Carlson 0.0210 0.0105 5.2
10 Teoscar Hernández 0.0106 0.0000 5.1

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Mike Zunino 0.1707
0.0897
(32.8)
0.1037
(26.5)
0.1130
(22.8)
0.1091
(22.3)
0.0989
(26.8)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1762
0.1436
(27.3)
0.1183
(43.0)
0.1438
(24.8)
0.1466
(19.2)
0.1281
(33.4)
Brandon Crawford 0.1439
0.1036
(25.7)
0.1124
(19.3)
0.0985
(26.6)
0.1003
(22.8)
0.1047
(21.4)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DJ LeMahieu 0.1814 0.1237 34.7
2 Trent Grisham 0.1845 0.1157 32.8
3 David Fletcher 0.1639 0.1113 30.7
4 Myles Straw 0.0962 0.1348 28.8
5 Marcus Semien 0.1275 0.1588 27.4
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1253 0.1612 27.1
7 Buster Posey 0.0990 0.1498 26.0
8 Tyler O'Neill 0.1238 0.1657 26.0
9 Max Kepler 0.1835 0.1245 25.7
10 Nicky Lopez 0.0991 0.1381 25.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.1356 0.1754 30.0
2 Carlos Correa 0.1210 0.1625 28.9
3 Carlos Santana 0.1388 0.1002 23.1
4 Jonathan India 0.1232 0.1553 22.6
5 DJ LeMahieu 0.1599 0.1237 22.1
6 Dominic Smith 0.1354 0.0872 21.9
7 Didi Gregorius 0.1425 0.0858 21.6
8 José Ramírez 0.1444 0.1745 21.5
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1317 0.1612 21.2
10 Jose Altuve 0.1453 0.1726 21.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.1313 0.1754 32.5
2 Jonathan India 0.1105 0.1553 30.2
3 Tyler O'Neill 0.1166 0.1657 28.0
4 Starling Marte 0.1218 0.1692 26.5
5 Brandon Lowe 0.1213 0.1577 24.3
6 Gleyber Torres 0.1461 0.0969 23.8
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1547 0.1105 23.8
8 Joey Wendle 0.1018 0.1457 23.5
9 Mitch Haniger 0.1290 0.1592 23.0
10 DJ LeMahieu 0.1599 0.1237 22.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.1090 0.1553 27.9
2 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1524 0.1105 25.5
3 Tyler O'Neill 0.1172 0.1657 24.9
4 Gleyber Torres 0.1420 0.0969 24.4
5 Starling Marte 0.1232 0.1692 23.1
6 Chris Taylor 0.1175 0.1581 22.3
7 Tim Anderson 0.1280 0.1706 22.3
8 Wander Franco 0.1017 0.1721 21.0
9 Jake Cronenworth 0.1118 0.1462 20.8
10 Alcides Escobar 0.0928 0.1519 19.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.1060 0.1553 31.0
2 Pat Valaika 0.1478 0.0605 24.6
3 Buster Posey 0.0956 0.1498 24.5
4 Gleyber Torres 0.1431 0.0969 23.9
5 Bo Bichette 0.1413 0.1754 23.4
6 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1499 0.1105 22.9
7 Didi Gregorius 0.1398 0.0858 22.1
8 DJ LeMahieu 0.1538 0.1237 20.6
9 Nicky Lopez 0.1019 0.1381 20.4
10 Hunter Renfroe 0.1212 0.1556 19.6

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Austin Meadows 0.1794
0.1248
(35.3)
0.1261
(33.2)
0.1282
(33.1)
0.1241
(34.7)
0.1303
(33.5)
Adam Duvall 0.2036
0.1472
(34.2)
0.1401
(36.9)
0.1314
(42.8)
0.1392
(37.7)
0.1451
(36.7)
Brandon Crawford 0.1639
0.1096
(32.7)
0.1095
(31.5)
0.1053
(34.8)
0.1089
(32.1)
0.1225
(26.9)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Teoscar Hernández 0.1238 0.1950 45.4
2 Freddie Freeman 0.1848 0.1194 41.9
3 Carlos Santana 0.1721 0.1047 41.0
4 Mark Canha 0.1640 0.0976 38.3
5 Hunter Renfroe 0.1109 0.1678 35.5
6 Joey Gallo 0.1858 0.1250 34.2
7 Josh Rojas 0.1471 0.0800 34.0
8 Mike Zunino 0.0815 0.1653 33.4
9 Eric Hosmer 0.1788 0.1150 33.1
10 Michael Conforto 0.1885 0.1148 32.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.0967 0.1857 49.0
2 Teoscar Hernández 0.1314 0.1950 39.5
3 Nick Castellanos 0.1214 0.1709 30.7
4 DJ LeMahieu 0.1301 0.0839 29.3
5 Jorge Polanco 0.1114 0.1522 28.1
6 Avisaíl García 0.1183 0.1670 26.6
7 Ozzie Albies 0.1199 0.1545 25.8
8 Freddie Freeman 0.1587 0.1194 25.3
9 Salvador Perez 0.1486 0.1820 24.2
10 Franmil Reyes 0.1335 0.1824 24.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.1134 0.1857 41.1
2 Jesús Aguilar 0.1217 0.1824 33.4
3 Gleyber Torres 0.1634 0.0988 30.8
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.1500 0.1950 29.6
5 Cody Bellinger 0.1808 0.1029 25.6
6 Kyle Seager 0.1176 0.1507 25.4
7 Salvador Perez 0.1496 0.1820 24.8
8 Nick Castellanos 0.1338 0.1709 24.6
9 Avisaíl García 0.1247 0.1670 24.3
10 Adolis García 0.1114 0.1447 23.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.1100 0.1857 42.2
2 Teoscar Hernández 0.1465 0.1950 30.9
3 Jesús Aguilar 0.1303 0.1824 28.3
4 Gleyber Torres 0.1556 0.0988 27.5
5 Jorge Polanco 0.1148 0.1522 26.3
6 Avisaíl García 0.1213 0.1670 25.3
7 Cody Bellinger 0.1779 0.1029 25.1
8 Nick Castellanos 0.1337 0.1709 23.8
9 Marcus Semien 0.1121 0.1409 23.3
10 Victor Robles 0.1151 0.0515 22.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.0881 0.1857 56.1
2 Juan Soto 0.2203 0.1453 44.1
3 Gleyber Torres 0.1785 0.0988 37.1
4 Freddie Freeman 0.1776 0.1194 35.1
5 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0698 0.1470 32.3
6 Jorge Polanco 0.1134 0.1522 29.9
7 Gary Sánchez 0.1964 0.1227 29.1
8 Cody Bellinger 0.1898 0.1029 27.8
9 Avisaíl García 0.1219 0.1670 27.2
10 Bryan Reynolds 0.1056 0.1393 26.7

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Whit Merrifield 0.2312
0.1290
(74.0)
0.1442
(64.4)
0.1371
(71.0)
0.1395
(69.6)
0.1728
(48.5)
Leody Taveras 0.3704
0.1441
(42.0)
0.1231
(46.2)
0.1522
(41.2)
0.1533
(41.1)
0.2000
(33.2)
Starling Marte 0.2956
0.1563
(73.6)
0.1667
(69.1)
0.1405
(84.0)
0.1421
(83.3)
0.1748
(68.3)
Tommy Edman 0.1911
0.1000
(63.3)
0.0909
(70.9)
0.1012
(65.3)
0.1016
(65.2)
0.0986
(70.1)
Nicky Lopez 0.1272
0.0617
(37.3)
0.0260
(58.6)
0.0655
(37.5)
0.0660
(37.3)
0.0519
(47.7)
Adalberto Mondesi 0.7143
0.3894
(44.3)
0.3846
(45.2)
0.0526
(90.6)
0.4068
(42.5)
0.4466
(37.6)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.2072
0.0849
(62.3)
0.0755
(68.0)
0.1079
(52.7)
0.1124
(50.5)
0.1505
(33.3)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Carlson 0.1039 0.0126 56.2
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0935 0.1646 45.8
3 Austin Slater 0.0625 0.2055 43.9
4 Manuel Margot 0.2000 0.1140 39.6
5 Jake Cronenworth 0.0880 0.0258 39.6
6 Billy Hamilton 0.1890 0.4737 38.5
7 Josh Rojas 0.1333 0.0643 37.7
8 Eddie Rosario 0.0348 0.1236 36.8
9 Myles Straw 0.2177 0.1596 36.7
10 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2017 0.0789 36.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 0.0909 0.1765 59.4
2 Adolis García 0.0435 0.1345 58.1
3 Brett Phillips 0.0526 0.2295 52.4
4 Akil Baddoo 0.0526 0.1607 51.0
5 Jonathan Villar 0.2128 0.1129 49.2
6 Ozzie Albies 0.0897 0.1471 41.0
7 Dylan Moore 0.1644 0.2658 39.2
8 Tyler Wade 0.1111 0.3778 39.0
9 David Fletcher 0.0377 0.0915 37.4
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1340 0.1984 36.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Billy Hamilton 0.0526 0.4737 57.5
2 Gregory Polanco 0.0526 0.1687 46.1
3 Dylan Carlson 0.0909 0.0126 45.6
4 Jarrod Dyson 0.0526 0.3448 44.2
5 Ozzie Albies 0.0902 0.1471 42.2
6 Josh Rojas 0.1396 0.0643 38.9
7 Austin Slater 0.0835 0.2055 38.7
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.1086 0.1646 38.7
9 Lorenzo Cain 0.0526 0.1781 37.2
10 Eddie Rosario 0.0386 0.1236 36.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Carlson 0.0914 0.0126 45.7
2 Jonathan Villar 0.2072 0.1129 45.1
3 Ozzie Albies 0.0896 0.1471 42.8
4 Josh Rojas 0.1434 0.0643 40.8
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1073 0.1646 39.7
6 Austin Slater 0.0853 0.2055 38.3
7 Eddie Rosario 0.0368 0.1236 37.8
8 Tyler Wade 0.1269 0.3778 37.1
9 Gregory Polanco 0.0788 0.1687 36.2
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0196 0.0670 35.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Villar 0.2690 0.1129 74.3
2 Bo Bichette 0.2250 0.1412 51.6
3 Myles Straw 0.2406 0.1596 45.9
4 Dylan Carlson 0.0924 0.0126 43.8
5 Josh Rojas 0.1395 0.0643 36.4
6 Mookie Betts 0.1404 0.0680 34.8
7 Kris Bryant 0.0199 0.0676 33.2
8 Austin Slater 0.1066 0.2055 33.0
9 Tyler Wade 0.1596 0.3778 32.9
10 Jake Cronenworth 0.0853 0.0258 32.4

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Austin Riley 0.3034
0.2395
(47.5)
0.2379
(48.4)
0.2534
(34.9)
0.2555
(34.0)
0.2387
(45.6)
Tyler O'Neill 0.2863
0.2485
(24.5)
0.2333
(32.6)
0.2278
(32.9)
0.2328
(30.6)
0.2272
(34.0)
Yuli Gurriel 0.3189
0.2694
(34.6)
0.2751
(31.1)
0.2685
(32.1)
0.2702
(31.5)
0.2587
(38.9)
Adam Frazier 0.3050
0.2626
(32.1)
0.2625
(32.1)
0.2623
(29.1)
0.2647
(27.9)
0.2659
(27.7)
Bryce Harper 0.3094
0.2650
(31.3)
0.2547
(37.4)
0.2515
(36.4)
0.2543
(35.1)
0.2588
(32.8)
Teoscar Hernández 0.2964
0.2424
(36.8)
0.2468
(34.0)
0.2366
(37.2)
0.2398
(35.7)
0.2474
(31.6)
Cody Bellinger 0.1651
0.2935
(42.2)
0.2711
(34.4)
0.2756
(37.7)
0.2772
(38.1)
0.2727
(36.2)
Brandon Crawford 0.2981
0.2418
(35.2)
0.2452
(33.3)
0.2340
(36.7)
0.2392
(34.2)
0.2385
(35.0)
Cedric Mullins 0.2907
0.2409
(38.9)
0.2374
(41.2)
0.2390
(36.8)
0.2429
(34.6)
0.2452
(33.6)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nicky Lopez 0.2443 0.2998 35.8
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.2634 0.1980 33.0
3 Trea Turner 0.2860 0.3277 32.0
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2758 0.3113 30.2
5 Matt Chapman 0.2642 0.2098 29.0
6 Jarred Kelenic 0.2637 0.1810 28.2
7 Josh Harrison 0.2379 0.2792 27.4
8 Nick Castellanos 0.2704 0.3089 27.1
9 Bo Bichette 0.2687 0.2984 25.9
10 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2600 0.3382 25.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nicky Lopez 0.2340 0.2998 41.5
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2629 0.3113 39.1
3 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2396 0.3382 31.5
4 Trea Turner 0.2877 0.3277 30.8
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.2590 0.1980 30.6
6 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2406 0.1628 30.0
7 Kyle Tucker 0.2500 0.2945 29.6
8 Bryan Reynolds 0.2661 0.3023 28.4
9 J.P. Crawford 0.2397 0.2730 28.1
10 Dylan Carlson 0.2305 0.2657 26.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Brantley 0.2474 0.3113 33.9
2 Akil Baddoo 0.1915 0.2591 32.4
3 Nick Castellanos 0.2578 0.3089 31.5
4 Trea Turner 0.2838 0.3277 30.2
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.2604 0.3023 28.8
6 Buster Posey 0.2474 0.3038 26.9
7 J.P. Crawford 0.2377 0.2730 26.2
8 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2254 0.1628 25.6
9 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2588 0.2935 25.5
10 Matt Olson 0.2362 0.2708 25.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.1935 0.2591 31.8
2 Nick Castellanos 0.2593 0.3089 31.0
3 Trea Turner 0.2853 0.3277 29.6
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.2633 0.3023 27.4
5 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2256 0.1628 25.4
6 J.P. Crawford 0.2403 0.2730 24.8
7 Aaron Judge 0.2523 0.2873 24.3
8 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2597 0.3382 24.2
9 Buster Posey 0.2544 0.3038 24.0
10 Ty France 0.2582 0.2907 23.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.2475 0.3023 38.1
2 Nicky Lopez 0.2449 0.2998 33.4
3 Jonathan India 0.2243 0.2688 30.8
4 Nick Castellanos 0.2639 0.3089 28.8
5 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2333 0.1628 28.4
6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1970 0.2478 27.9
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2757 0.3113 27.7
8 Akil Baddoo 0.2060 0.2591 26.4
9 Eugenio Suárez 0.2467 0.1980 25.5
10 Matt Olson 0.2374 0.2708 25.3

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Austin Riley 0.3671
0.2983
(45.0)
0.3012
(47.7)
0.3168
(35.4)
0.3186
(33.8)
0.2968
(46.2)
Eugenio Suárez 0.2857
0.3485
(36.5)
0.3447
(30.3)
0.3423
(30.6)
0.3427
(31.2)
0.3416
(32.4)
Yuli Gurriel 0.3835
0.3113
(43.2)
0.3197
(42.3)
0.3195
(40.7)
0.3212
(39.3)
0.3030
(48.3)
Bryan Reynolds 0.3901
0.3449
(28.7)
0.3352
(39.5)
0.3336
(38.6)
0.3350
(37.3)
0.3188
(45.7)
Jonathan India 0.3762
0.3271
(30.5)
0.3212
(38.6)
0.3180
(38.8)
0.3201
(37.1)
0.3140
(38.9)
Cedric Mullins 0.3596
0.2954
(42.9)
0.3039
(41.8)
0.2982
(43.6)
0.3023
(40.5)
0.2959
(42.6)
Cody Bellinger 0.2400
0.3829
(50.3)
0.3620
(40.5)
0.3753
(46.2)
0.3768
(46.9)
0.3657
(44.2)
Brandon Crawford 0.3734
0.3068
(36.2)
0.3170
(34.4)
0.3079
(37.8)
0.3132
(34.6)
0.3024
(38.7)
Juan Soto 0.4648
0.4074
(37.1)
0.4032
(44.4)
0.4248
(28.3)
0.4269
(26.6)
0.4203
(28.8)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3402 0.4011 42.1
2 Starling Marte 0.3139 0.3829 35.9
3 Nicky Lopez 0.3033 0.3653 34.6
4 Adam Frazier 0.3184 0.3679 31.2
5 C.J. Cron 0.3174 0.3748 31.0
6 Bryce Harper 0.3764 0.4288 31.0
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.3236 0.3725 30.8
8 Josh Harrison 0.2868 0.3411 29.9
9 Yasmani Grandal 0.3394 0.4198 29.9
10 Kevin Newman 0.3137 0.2646 27.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3325 0.4011 52.2
2 Nicky Lopez 0.2920 0.3653 44.9
3 Bryce Harper 0.3769 0.4288 34.8
4 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3232 0.2360 34.7
5 C.J. Cron 0.3212 0.3748 32.7
6 Dylan Carlson 0.2974 0.3430 32.1
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.3303 0.3725 30.9
8 Ty France 0.3267 0.3677 30.7
9 Tyler O'Neill 0.3010 0.3520 30.7
10 Adam Frazier 0.3271 0.3679 30.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.2569 0.3297 35.1
2 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3180 0.2360 33.7
3 Buster Posey 0.3212 0.3899 32.6
4 Starling Marte 0.3241 0.3829 32.6
5 Ty France 0.3212 0.3677 32.4
6 Tyler O'Neill 0.2975 0.3520 31.0
7 Yoán Moncada 0.3301 0.3750 29.6
8 Kevin Newman 0.3190 0.2646 28.4
9 Yasmani Grandal 0.3492 0.4198 27.7
10 Bryce Harper 0.3868 0.4288 27.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.2584 0.3297 34.1
2 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3161 0.2360 33.1
3 Ty France 0.3233 0.3677 30.6
4 Starling Marte 0.3280 0.3829 30.3
5 Kevin Newman 0.3217 0.2646 30.1
6 Buster Posey 0.3273 0.3899 29.6
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.3008 0.3520 28.9
8 Yoán Moncada 0.3321 0.3750 28.1
9 Yasmani Grandal 0.3503 0.4198 27.1
10 Carlos Santana 0.3612 0.3187 26.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3411 0.4011 41.5
2 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3168 0.2360 34.8
3 Tyler O'Neill 0.2898 0.3520 33.1
4 Nicky Lopez 0.3071 0.3653 32.5
5 Starling Marte 0.3209 0.3829 32.3
6 Carlos Santana 0.3669 0.3187 32.2
7 Yasmani Grandal 0.3448 0.4198 27.9
8 Kyle Seager 0.3247 0.2851 26.9
9 Kevin Newman 0.3120 0.2646 26.5
10 Shohei Ohtani 0.3304 0.3725 26.5

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Mike Zunino 0.5586
0.3636
(80.5)
0.3862
(71.3)
0.3875
(68.5)
0.3853
(68.1)
0.3904
(66.5)
Shohei Ohtani 0.5922
0.4665
(92.9)
0.4765
(85.3)
0.4957
(69.0)
0.4918
(69.5)
0.4716
(83.0)
Joey Votto 0.5625
0.4481
(71.4)
0.4202
(85.4)
0.4439
(69.4)
0.4382
(70.7)
0.3844
(99.9)
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2610
0.4062
(53.7)
0.4250
(62.6)
0.4113
(59.4)
0.4047
(57.9)
0.4125
(60.9)
Christian Yelich 0.3734
0.5361
(67.9)
0.5583
(79.3)
0.5286
(68.2)
0.5239
(67.5)
0.5229
(66.6)
Tyler O'Neill 0.5602
0.4545
(67.3)
0.4185
(85.7)
0.4308
(75.7)
0.4428
(67.5)
0.4360
(71.6)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.6010
0.4934
(88.8)
0.4400
(124.8)
0.5207
(64.2)
0.5228
(60.4)
0.4982
(78.3)
Bryce Harper 0.6148
0.5395
(56.9)
0.4969
(81.3)
0.5190
(64.3)
0.5192
(62.3)
0.5235
(60.2)
Cedric Mullins 0.5183
0.3909
(99.2)
0.3813
(104.5)
0.3857
(97.3)
0.3888
(93.0)
0.3900
(92.9)
Brandon Belt 0.5969
0.4435
(66.0)
0.4381
(67.3)
0.4284
(68.6)
0.4461
(60.6)
0.4239
(69.4)
Cody Bellinger 0.3016
0.5562
(82.2)
0.5190
(69.8)
0.5697
(89.8)
0.5587
(87.1)
0.5455
(82.1)
Brandon Crawford 0.5217
0.4009
(77.1)
0.3903
(81.9)
0.3687
(90.4)
0.3842
(80.1)
0.3720
(87.3)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Salvador Perez 0.4435 0.5435 79.6
2 Marcus Semien 0.4613 0.5383 70.0
3 Buster Posey 0.3740 0.4987 65.6
4 Carlos Santana 0.4467 0.3416 56.3
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.5433 0.4277 55.1
6 Bryan Reynolds 0.4570 0.5224 54.9
7 Elias Díaz 0.3393 0.4645 53.7
8 Gleyber Torres 0.4894 0.3660 53.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Semien 0.4409 0.5383 83.5
2 Austin Riley 0.4309 0.5305 77.8
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.4881 0.3618 73.6
4 Kyle Tucker 0.4533 0.5573 69.1
5 Luis Urías 0.3538 0.4449 62.1
6 Nick Castellanos 0.4944 0.5763 58.4
7 Buster Posey 0.3889 0.4987 58.0
8 Dominic Smith 0.4983 0.3632 57.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Semien 0.4444 0.5383 76.4
2 Gleyber Torres 0.5116 0.3660 69.1
3 Bryan Reynolds 0.4282 0.5224 68.3
4 Akil Baddoo 0.3036 0.4358 66.3
5 Andrelton Simmons 0.4185 0.2743 59.8
6 DJ LeMahieu 0.4576 0.3618 57.2
7 Nick Castellanos 0.4907 0.5763 56.9
8 Jorge Polanco 0.4275 0.5034 56.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Semien 0.4456 0.5383 73.2
2 Gleyber Torres 0.5063 0.3660 68.1
3 Bryan Reynolds 0.4290 0.5224 65.7
4 Akil Baddoo 0.3107 0.4358 61.5
5 Buster Posey 0.3738 0.4987 60.5
6 Nick Castellanos 0.4824 0.5763 59.8
7 DJ LeMahieu 0.4550 0.3618 57.6
8 Alec Bohm 0.4815 0.3421 54.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gleyber Torres 0.5259 0.3660 77.7
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.4138 0.5224 76.1
3 Matt Chapman 0.5208 0.4026 67.7
4 Jonathan India 0.3661 0.4586 64.2
5 Buster Posey 0.3686 0.4987 63.3
6 DJ LeMahieu 0.4634 0.3618 62.7
7 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.3306 0.4821 61.3
8 Jesse Winker 0.4474 0.5556 56.9

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Mike Fiers 45
471
(426.0)
443
(398.0)
598
(553.4)
643
(597.6)
554
(509.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 126 768 642.1
2 Stephen Strasburg 707 95 611.9
3 Chris Archer 606 83 523.1
4 James Paxton 513 5 508.1
5 Jacob deGrom 827 324 503.0
6 Vladimir Gutierrez 1 496 495.0
7 Kohei Arihara 660 178 482.1
8 Dustin May 573 93 480.1
9 Luis Garcia 163 633 470.0
10 Tanner Roark 500 31 468.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 159 768 609.0
2 Chris Flexen 139 741 602.0
3 Shane McClanahan 1 517 516.0
4 Logan Gilbert 1 503 502.0
5 Vladimir Gutierrez 1 496 495.0
6 Luis Garcia 166 633 467.0
7 Alek Manoah 1 459 458.0
8 Julio Urías 321 745 424.0
9 Walker Buehler 399 815 416.0
10 Nathan Eovaldi 349 764 415.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 1 828 827.0
2 Cole Irvin 119 768 649.5
3 Garrett Richards 1 617 616.0
4 Matt Harvey 1 582 581.0
5 Luis Garcia 103 633 530.2
6 Wil Crowe 1 524 523.0
7 Alec Mills 1 517 516.0
8 Julio Teheran 519 20 499.1
9 Caleb Smith 1 500 499.0
10 John Gant 1 491 490.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Stephen Strasburg 687 95 591.9
2 Tanner Roark 599 31 567.7
3 Cole Irvin 208 768 559.6
4 Josh Lindblom 639 85 554.2
5 James Paxton 557 5 552.1
6 Chris Archer 590 83 507.0
7 Michael Lorenzen 626 125 500.7
8 Julio Teheran 508 20 487.6
9 Tejay Antone 606 128 477.6
10 Jacob deGrom 800 324 476.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dakota Hudson 691 34 657.1
2 Bernardo Flores Jr. 649 3 646.1
3 Peter Lambert 653 30 623.0
4 Julio Teheran 639 20 619.1
5 Angel Rondón 604 7 596.9
6 Darren McCaughan 624 39 585.1
7 Tanner Roark 592 31 560.9
8 Dustin May 645 93 551.9
9 Packy Naughton 651 108 543.1
10 Tyler Beede 545 6 539.1

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Adam Wainwright 0.2731
0.1313
(33.5)
0.3159
(33.2)
0.3143
(139.2)
0.3062
(34.5)
0.3070
(39.7)
Jake Arrieta 0.3989
0.1256
(42.7)
0.3297
(33.8)
0.1306
(66.3)
0.3188
(33.6)
0.3060
(37.0)
Patrick Corbin 0.3576
0.1117
(47.7)
0.3073
(39.7)
0.1223
(81.4)
0.2948
(40.7)
0.2912
(39.2)
Kyle Hendricks 0.3435
0.1094
(40.6)
0.2974
(38.2)
0.1088
(84.6)
0.2985
(28.6)
0.2879
(32.6)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.1234 0.2315 48.8
2 Carlos Rodón 0.1464 0.2462 44.1
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1129 0.3555 43.4
4 Julio Urías 0.1387 0.2651 41.7
5 Freddy Peralta 0.1400 0.2518 41.0
6 Robbie Ray 0.1551 0.2862 39.6
7 Sandy Alcantara 0.1404 0.2776 37.7
8 Jacob deGrom 0.1032 0.1739 36.2
9 Zack Wheeler 0.1149 0.2553 35.6
10 Max Scherzer 0.1153 0.2477 34.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.3124 0.2315 51.4
2 Carlos Rodón 0.3225 0.2462 39.3
3 Kevin Gausman 0.3169 0.2647 38.4
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.3051 0.3555 38.2
5 Ranger Suárez 0.3310 0.2370 38.2
6 Brad Keller 0.2988 0.3584 38.1
7 Zach Davies 0.3078 0.3617 37.8
8 Robbie Ray 0.3376 0.2862 37.7
9 Freddy Peralta 0.3142 0.2518 34.6
10 Logan Webb 0.3336 0.2730 34.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dallas Keuchel 0.1188 0.3555 79.0
2 Alek Manoah 0.3143 0.2727 77.4
3 Zach Davies 0.1311 0.3617 69.2
4 J.A. Happ 0.1319 0.3601 68.0
5 Brad Keller 0.1219 0.3584 67.2
6 Caleb Smith 0.3143 0.3182 61.5
7 John Gant 0.3143 0.3201 59.5
8 Nestor Cortes 0.3143 0.2840 58.8
9 Cole Irvin 0.1188 0.3207 57.6
10 Jorge López 0.1395 0.3699 57.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.3170 0.2462 42.4
2 Corbin Burnes 0.2846 0.2315 40.5
3 Zack Wheeler 0.2916 0.2553 38.0
4 Ranger Suárez 0.3089 0.2370 33.6
5 Jesús Luzardo 0.2886 0.3736 33.4
6 Mitch Keller 0.3050 0.3772 29.9
7 Julio Urías 0.2964 0.2651 29.7
8 Freddy Peralta 0.2941 0.2518 29.5
9 Sandy Alcantara 0.3020 0.2776 27.5
10 Lance Lynn 0.2973 0.2635 27.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.3108 0.2462 42.0
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.2836 0.3555 41.6
3 Zack Wheeler 0.2870 0.2553 38.8
4 Corbin Burnes 0.2744 0.2315 37.4
5 J.A. Happ 0.2939 0.3601 35.0
6 Zach Davies 0.2963 0.3617 34.3
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.2838 0.3736 33.1
8 Garrett Richards 0.2906 0.3569 32.2
9 Ranger Suárez 0.2988 0.2370 31.7
10 Brad Keller 0.2931 0.3584 31.4

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Chris Flexen 0.1687
0.2395
(61.5)
0.2158
(34.3)
0.2472
(58.5)
0.2514
(65.8)
0.2324
(51.6)
Corbin Burnes 0.3562
0.2819
(40.8)
0.2809
(50.0)
0.2790
(50.4)
0.2817
(44.9)
0.2900
(39.6)
Carlos Rodón 0.3464
0.2286
(56.4)
0.2214
(67.2)
0.2192
(67.7)
0.2202
(64.1)
0.2294
(59.4)
Dylan Cease 0.3192
0.2102
(68.6)
0.2173
(72.7)
0.2355
(58.9)
0.2288
(59.7)
0.2246
(62.8)
Paul Sewald 0.3939
0.2137
(44.4)
0.2231
(45.3)
0.2320
(42.6)
0.2068
(47.8)
0.2305
(41.6)
Jacob deGrom 0.4506
0.3168
(39.4)
0.3068
(46.8)
0.3441
(34.4)
0.3461
(31.9)
0.3043
(45.5)
Zack Wheeler 0.2909
0.2070
(61.0)
0.2255
(56.3)
0.2283
(52.8)
0.2322
(44.7)
0.2187
(56.3)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.2420 0.1904 47.9
2 Zack Greinke 0.2217 0.1722 43.0
3 Sandy Alcantara 0.1800 0.2401 40.2
4 Logan Webb 0.1916 0.2651 36.6
5 Erick Fedde 0.1442 0.2169 35.8
6 Matt Manning 0.2276 0.1481 35.3
7 Alex Cobb 0.1480 0.2494 35.1
8 Luis Castillo 0.2697 0.2391 34.3
9 Zach Plesac 0.2120 0.1672 34.1
10 Ranger Suárez 0.1632 0.2560 33.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.2585 0.1904 50.5
2 Zack Greinke 0.2350 0.1722 43.3
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1921 0.1319 42.8
4 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2338 0.1655 39.5
5 Matt Peacock 0.2320 0.1295 39.2
6 Cole Irvin 0.2138 0.1628 38.6
7 Jon Lester 0.2061 0.1451 37.7
8 Michael Kopech 0.2302 0.3614 37.6
9 Kevin Gausman 0.2461 0.2929 36.9
10 Chi Chi González 0.2040 0.1250 35.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chi Chi González 0.2320 0.1250 48.1
2 Luis Castillo 0.2892 0.2391 40.6
3 Matt Harvey 0.2320 0.1632 40.3
4 Matt Peacock 0.2320 0.1295 39.7
5 Sean Manaea 0.2045 0.2573 39.5
6 Logan Webb 0.1991 0.2651 39.1
7 Yusmeiro Petit 0.2320 0.1182 35.7
8 Nick Pivetta 0.2103 0.2648 35.7
9 Wily Peralta 0.2320 0.1443 35.4
10 Drew Smyly 0.2776 0.2143 34.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Castillo 0.2899 0.2391 45.7
2 Drew Smyly 0.2826 0.2143 40.7
3 Patrick Corbin 0.2381 0.1904 40.4
4 Sean Manaea 0.1998 0.2573 38.7
5 Nick Pivetta 0.2017 0.2648 37.6
6 Logan Webb 0.2038 0.2651 32.9
7 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.2368 0.1774 32.5
8 Jon Lester 0.1899 0.1451 31.9
9 Tanner Houck 0.1892 0.3053 31.3
10 Kyle Hendricks 0.2003 0.1669 31.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 0.2376 0.1722 49.7
2 Patrick Corbin 0.2490 0.1904 48.4
3 Lucas Giolito 0.3402 0.2792 48.2
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.1918 0.1319 47.3
5 Walker Buehler 0.3079 0.2601 43.7
6 Michael Kopech 0.2023 0.3614 43.7
7 Sandy Alcantara 0.1861 0.2401 40.3
8 Wily Peralta 0.2320 0.1443 37.6
9 Nick Pivetta 0.2052 0.2648 35.5
10 Sean Manaea 0.2059 0.2573 34.3

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Corbin Burnes 0.0518
0.0860
(23.2)
0.0903
(26.3)
0.0958
(28.7)
0.0956
(26.6)
0.0872
(22.8)
Blake Snell 0.1255
0.0903
(18.8)
0.0888
(19.3)
0.0893
(20.1)
0.0914
(20.6)
0.0947
(17.4)
John Gant 0.1446
0.1051
(18.9)
0.1061
(18.1)
0.0869
(28.5)
0.1077
(19.8)
0.1026
(21.0)
Antonio Senzatela 0.0478
0.0806
(22.7)
0.0830
(24.6)
0.0841
(24.1)
0.0819
(20.7)
0.0841
(23.8)
Aaron Nola 0.0521
0.0800
(21.7)
0.0849
(25.7)
0.0818
(22.1)
0.0821
(20.0)
0.0765
(17.8)
Zach Davies 0.1123
0.0773
(22.7)
0.0774
(22.3)
0.0770
(23.8)
0.0764
(26.2)
0.0674
(30.5)
Robbie Ray 0.0673
0.1239
(44.6)
0.1208
(42.6)
0.1206
(41.0)
0.1212
(39.1)
0.1205
(40.5)
Sandy Alcantara 0.0597
0.0963
(31.5)
0.0943
(30.2)
0.0969
(30.8)
0.0934
(25.4)
0.0996
(32.7)
Adbert Alzolay 0.0655
0.1090
(23.1)
0.1020
(19.7)
0.1075
(21.6)
0.1084
(20.5)
0.1136
(24.6)
Tyler Anderson 0.0541
0.0835
(21.4)
0.0888
(25.5)
0.0869
(22.9)
0.0860
(20.1)
0.0811
(18.5)
Julio Urías 0.0510
0.0839
(25.3)
0.0841
(25.8)
0.0903
(29.0)
0.0869
(24.2)
0.0778
(19.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane McClanahan 0.1174 0.0716 24.2
2 Adam Wainwright 0.0846 0.0604 20.9
3 Tarik Skubal 0.1055 0.0741 20.6
4 Luis Garcia 0.1104 0.0790 20.6
5 José Alvarado 0.1130 0.1873 18.4
6 Joe Jiménez 0.0802 0.1667 17.9
7 Germán Márquez 0.0606 0.0847 17.4
8 Huascar Ynoa 0.1124 0.0672 17.2
9 Carlos Rodón 0.0985 0.0674 17.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Flexen 0.1007 0.0540 35.8
2 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0745 0.0458 23.1
3 Cole Irvin 0.0818 0.0547 22.0
4 Kolby Allard 0.0976 0.0581 21.9
5 José Alvarado 0.1088 0.1873 19.3
6 Logan Webb 0.0895 0.0604 18.3
7 Joe Jiménez 0.0806 0.1667 17.7
8 Adam Wainwright 0.0796 0.0604 17.2
9 Alex Reyes 0.1091 0.1640 16.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Flexen 0.0905 0.0540 26.8
2 Luis Garcia 0.1187 0.0790 24.9
3 Alex Reyes 0.0869 0.1640 24.5
4 Kolby Allard 0.0992 0.0581 21.8
5 Adam Wainwright 0.0869 0.0604 21.7
6 Caleb Smith 0.0869 0.1260 19.7
7 Junior Guerra 0.0869 0.1498 19.4
8 Logan Webb 0.0928 0.0604 19.1
9 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0709 0.0458 18.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Garcia 0.1198 0.0790 23.7
2 Chris Flexen 0.0874 0.0540 22.3
3 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.0841 0.1111 20.8
4 Kolby Allard 0.0952 0.0581 18.1
5 Ryan Weathers 0.1228 0.0748 17.9
6 José Alvarado 0.1195 0.1873 17.8
7 Triston McKenzie 0.0857 0.1172 17.2
8 Joe Jiménez 0.0906 0.1667 16.7
9 Logan Webb 0.0916 0.0604 16.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Garcia 0.1360 0.0790 35.6
2 Chi Chi González 0.1118 0.0625 21.8
3 Chris Flexen 0.0823 0.0540 20.4
4 Tyler Kinley 0.1576 0.0881 20.3
5 Jesús Luzardo 0.0668 0.1098 19.1
6 Carlos Rodón 0.1040 0.0674 19.1
7 Germán Márquez 0.0608 0.0847 18.6
8 Shane McClanahan 0.1068 0.0716 17.8
9 Huascar Ynoa 0.1151 0.0672 17.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Dan Winkler 0.0474
0.0000
(6.8)
0.0130
(6.4)
0.0116
(6.6)
0.0120
(6.5)
0.0182
(5.4)
Alek Manoah 0.0349
0.0000
(10.7)
0.0116
(10.4)
0.0116
(10.2)
0.0116
(10.1)
0.0116
(10.4)
Alex Wood 0.0274
0.0000
(9.3)
0.0122
(8.5)
0.0113
(8.8)
0.0117
(8.4)
0.0098
(9.8)
Joe Musgrove 0.0241
0.0000
(9.4)
0.0123
(8.3)
0.0111
(9.0)
0.0111
(8.7)
0.0118
(8.6)
Carlos Martinez 0.0303
0.0000
(6.8)
0.0144
(5.5)
0.0116
(6.4)
0.0116
(6.3)
0.0119
(6.4)
Dillon Maples 0.0576
0.0000
(6.4)
0.0171
(5.5)
0.0116
(6.3)
0.0138
(5.9)
0.0205
(5.0)
Austin Adams 0.0996
0.0000
(21.2)
0.0074
(22.1)
0.0113
(21.0)
0.0121
(20.7)
0.0112
(21.1)
Rich Hill 0.0242
0.0000
(8.4)
0.0117
(7.8)
0.0115
(7.7)
0.0114
(7.6)
0.0136
(6.5)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0225 8.3
2 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0014 7.1
3 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0028 6.4
4 Lucas Giolito 0.0000 0.0028 6.3
5 Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0000 0.0029 6.1
6 Edwin Díaz 0.0000 0.0350 6.0
7 Zack Greinke 0.0000 0.0029 6.0
8 José Berríos 0.0000 0.0192 6.0
9 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0000 0.0030 5.8
10 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.0030 5.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.0104 0.0014 6.8
2 Lucas Giolito 0.0105 0.0028 6.0
3 Lance Lynn 0.0118 0.0031 6.0
4 Ross Detwiler 0.0091 0.0349 5.8
5 Ian Anderson 0.0118 0.0019 5.7
6 Kendall Graveman 0.0103 0.0360 5.6
7 Wade Miley 0.0116 0.0043 5.4
8 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0103 0.0030 5.4
9 Taijuan Walker 0.0135 0.0061 5.3
10 Brett de Geus 0.0116 0.0336 5.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.0105 0.0028 6.3
2 Tyler Anderson 0.0090 0.0014 6.0
3 Edwin Díaz 0.0120 0.0350 5.7
4 Kendall Graveman 0.0098 0.0360 5.6
5 Lance Lynn 0.0108 0.0031 5.5
6 Charlie Morton 0.0144 0.0225 5.4
7 Chad Kuhl 0.0101 0.0258 5.1
8 Ross Detwiler 0.0116 0.0349 5.1
9 Joe Jiménez 0.0129 0.0381 5.1
10 Brett de Geus 0.0116 0.0336 5.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.0105 0.0028 6.5
2 Tyler Anderson 0.0090 0.0014 6.3
3 Lance Lynn 0.0108 0.0031 5.8
4 Edwin Díaz 0.0120 0.0350 5.6
5 Kendall Graveman 0.0097 0.0360 5.6
6 Ross Detwiler 0.0093 0.0349 5.6
7 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0095 0.0030 5.3
8 Brett de Geus 0.0104 0.0336 5.2
9 Chad Kuhl 0.0100 0.0258 5.0
10 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0090 0.0030 5.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kendall Graveman 0.0092 0.0360 5.8
2 Kyle Hendricks 0.0085 0.0166 5.8
3 Lance Lynn 0.0113 0.0031 5.7
4 Chad Kuhl 0.0091 0.0258 5.6
5 Chris Flexen 0.0121 0.0054 5.5
6 Luis Garcia 0.0126 0.0047 5.4
7 Ian Anderson 0.0112 0.0019 5.4
8 Martín Pérez 0.0065 0.0177 5.3
9 Taijuan Walker 0.0134 0.0061 5.3
10 Ross Detwiler 0.0124 0.0349 5.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Chris Flexen 0.0332
0.0583
(16.5)
0.0532
(13.8)
0.0583
(17.4)
0.0560
(15.0)
0.0540
(14.0)
Jake Arrieta 0.0714
0.0448
(13.8)
0.0455
(12.8)
0.0429
(14.1)
0.0434
(14.3)
0.0461
(12.8)
Corbin Burnes 0.0183
0.0504
(19.3)
0.0541
(22.6)
0.0493
(19.3)
0.0498
(19.0)
0.0463
(17.2)
Tarik Skubal 0.0839
0.0586
(17.8)
0.0628
(14.3)
0.0599
(16.3)
0.0596
(17.0)
0.0662
(12.4)
Antonio Senzatela 0.0229
0.0447
(12.8)
0.0432
(12.7)
0.0481
(15.8)
0.0486
(15.6)
0.0459
(14.2)
Patrick Corbin 0.0679
0.0446
(19.6)
0.0450
(18.2)
0.0474
(16.6)
0.0470
(17.5)
0.0494
(15.2)
JT Brubaker 0.0773
0.0445
(19.2)
0.0489
(16.0)
0.0439
(18.9)
0.0420
(20.4)
0.0366
(22.9)
Trevor Rogers 0.0175
0.0588
(21.2)
0.0553
(20.0)
0.0458
(14.6)
0.0448
(13.6)
0.0456
(14.4)
Josiah Gray 0.0969
0.0536
(14.2)
0.0488
(15.2)
0.0418
(17.4)
0.0584
(12.6)
0.0585
(12.4)
Griffin Jax 0.0881
0.0445
(16.7)
0.0488
(14.6)
0.0488
(14.8)
0.0513
(14.1)
0.0463
(15.7)
Nathan Eovaldi 0.0285
0.0485
(13.2)
0.0591
(22.4)
0.0525
(17.1)
0.0514
(15.6)
0.0549
(18.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 0.0493 0.0292 14.7
2 Mike Foltynewicz 0.0567 0.0788 14.6
3 Vince Velasquez 0.0554 0.0875 14.5
4 Andrew Heaney 0.0572 0.0803 14.5
5 Walker Buehler 0.0539 0.0349 13.3
6 Julio Urías 0.0582 0.0376 13.3
7 Kolby Allard 0.0517 0.0734 13.1
8 José Suarez 0.0714 0.0382 12.6
9 Yu Darvish 0.0498 0.0651 12.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.0399 0.0674 16.9
2 Kolby Allard 0.0431 0.0734 16.9
3 Steven Matz 0.0664 0.0396 16.4
4 Andrew Heaney 0.0554 0.0803 14.7
5 Ranger Suárez 0.0495 0.0147 14.0
6 Alex Cobb 0.0556 0.0193 13.7
7 Dean Kremer 0.0448 0.0988 13.6
8 Vince Velasquez 0.0573 0.0875 13.2
9 Mike Foltynewicz 0.0580 0.0788 13.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 0.0503 0.0292 16.5
2 Ranger Suárez 0.0473 0.0147 13.0
3 Wil Crowe 0.0488 0.0714 12.7
4 Yu Darvish 0.0485 0.0651 12.4
5 Adam Plutko 0.0488 0.0939 11.9
6 Kolby Allard 0.0528 0.0734 11.9
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.0451 0.0697 11.5
8 Steve Cishek 0.0488 0.0102 11.4
9 Alex Cobb 0.0496 0.0193 11.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 0.0477 0.0292 13.6
2 Yu Darvish 0.0486 0.0651 13.0
3 Wil Crowe 0.0498 0.0714 12.7
4 Steve Cishek 0.0538 0.0102 12.7
5 Kolby Allard 0.0525 0.0734 12.5
6 Ranger Suárez 0.0450 0.0147 11.6
7 Andrew Heaney 0.0621 0.0803 11.6
8 Vince Velasquez 0.0629 0.0875 11.3
9 Alex Cobb 0.0504 0.0193 11.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Harvey 0.0707 0.0427 15.3
2 Marco Gonzales 0.0432 0.0674 15.2
3 Mike Foltynewicz 0.0551 0.0788 15.0
4 Trevor Bauer 0.0423 0.0745 14.7
5 Andrew Heaney 0.0562 0.0803 14.5
6 Alex Cobb 0.0563 0.0193 13.8
7 Ryan Weathers 0.0359 0.0676 13.4
8 Lucas Luetge 0.0738 0.0293 12.9
9 Zack Wheeler 0.0461 0.0292 12.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Brady Singer 0.3501
0.2814
(38.3)
0.2795
(43.4)
0.3041
(30.4)
0.3067
(29.7)
0.2869
(36.5)
Brad Keller 0.3465
0.2792
(39.2)
0.2793
(43.3)
0.3068
(28.0)
0.3087
(27.6)
0.2729
(44.7)
Sam Hentges 0.3846
0.2854
(30.5)
0.2889
(31.5)
0.2889
(32.3)
0.2889
(32.7)
0.2912
(29.4)
Sean Manaea 0.3175
0.2740
(30.3)
0.2806
(30.4)
0.2918
(23.9)
0.2928
(24.0)
0.2730
(32.9)
Mitch Keller 0.3878
0.2801
(49.1)
0.3158
(35.5)
0.2973
(45.3)
0.3014
(44.0)
0.2989
(41.4)
Eduardo Rodriguez 0.3626
0.2878
(48.2)
0.3052
(41.1)
0.3010
(45.6)
0.3021
(45.7)
0.2981
(43.0)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gerrit Cole 0.2462 0.3053 40.4
2 Luis Castillo 0.2748 0.3176 31.7
3 Justus Sheffield 0.2698 0.3500 29.6
4 Ranger Suárez 0.3208 0.2565 28.3
5 Corbin Burnes 0.2653 0.3085 26.1
6 Dane Dunning 0.2852 0.3383 25.4
7 John Means 0.2795 0.2399 25.4
8 Trevor Williams 0.2827 0.3481 25.1
9 Garrett Richards 0.2885 0.3325 25.1
10 Alex Vesia 0.2947 0.1429 25.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Scherzer 0.3118 0.2474 42.2
2 Freddy Peralta 0.3034 0.2303 40.4
3 Eric Lauer 0.3172 0.2492 31.5
4 Dane Dunning 0.2810 0.3383 31.1
5 Adam Wainwright 0.2967 0.2561 30.7
6 J.A. Happ 0.2748 0.3141 28.7
7 Marco Gonzales 0.2908 0.2394 28.0
8 Alec Mills 0.2739 0.3244 27.9
9 Garrett Richards 0.2911 0.3325 27.7
10 Luis Castillo 0.2872 0.3176 27.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddy Peralta 0.2931 0.2303 33.0
2 Walker Buehler 0.2929 0.2471 32.5
3 Garrett Richards 0.2889 0.3325 30.6
4 Marco Gonzales 0.2948 0.2394 28.9
5 Triston McKenzie 0.2910 0.2274 28.5
6 Matt Harvey 0.2889 0.3310 27.9
7 Trevor Bauer 0.2898 0.2203 27.4
8 Jose Quintana 0.2946 0.3780 26.5
9 Justus Sheffield 0.2889 0.3500 25.8
10 Max Scherzer 0.2900 0.2474 25.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walker Buehler 0.2937 0.2471 32.1
2 Freddy Peralta 0.2860 0.2303 28.2
3 Adam Wainwright 0.2970 0.2561 28.0
4 Jorge López 0.2973 0.3399 27.6
5 Jose Quintana 0.2930 0.3780 27.4
6 Triston McKenzie 0.2899 0.2274 27.4
7 Trevor Bauer 0.2897 0.2203 26.9
8 Matt Harvey 0.2928 0.3310 26.4
9 Max Scherzer 0.2912 0.2474 25.4
10 Marco Gonzales 0.2898 0.2394 25.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2915 0.2561 30.0
2 Marco Gonzales 0.2895 0.2394 29.8
3 Max Scherzer 0.2893 0.2474 29.6
4 Luis Castillo 0.2799 0.3176 29.6
5 Triston McKenzie 0.2839 0.2274 28.4
6 Freddy Peralta 0.2783 0.2303 28.4
7 Jorge López 0.2889 0.3399 27.8
8 Trevor Bauer 0.2821 0.2203 27.0
9 Jose Quintana 0.2892 0.3780 26.1
10 Garrett Richards 0.2907 0.3325 25.3

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Steven Matz 0.2592
0.0000
(29.0)
0.2176
(28.0)
0.0000
(68.2)
0.2980
(26.7)
0.2940
(22.4)
Brady Singer 0.2865
0.0000
(42.2)
0.2165
(41.9)
0.0000
(77.7)
0.3067
(35.0)
0.2869
(40.4)
Brad Keller 0.2748
0.0000
(37.0)
0.2241
(32.0)
0.0000
(74.1)
0.3087
(28.3)
0.2729
(43.7)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddy Peralta 0.0000 0.1480 38.5
2 Adrian Sampson 0.2154 0.1684 37.9
3 Andrés Machado 0.2154 0.1900 36.9
4 Marco Gonzales 0.0000 0.1521 36.4
5 Mitch Keller 0.0000 0.2885 34.8
6 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.2630 32.8
7 Walker Buehler 0.0000 0.1749 32.2
8 Jacob deGrom 0.0000 0.1187 31.0
9 Jordan Montgomery 0.0000 0.2576 28.5
10 Mike Foltynewicz 0.0000 0.1663 28.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddy Peralta 0.2138 0.1480 37.2
2 Marco Gonzales 0.2136 0.1521 35.0
3 Gerrit Cole 0.1962 0.2380 31.6
4 Dylan Cease 0.2022 0.2442 30.8
5 Jacob deGrom 0.2148 0.1187 30.6
6 Mitch Keller 0.2297 0.2885 28.4
7 Alec Mills 0.2000 0.2520 27.7
8 José Berríos 0.2255 0.1899 26.5
9 Walker Buehler 0.2088 0.1749 26.3
10 Adam Wainwright 0.2267 0.1934 26.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2154 0.1934 145.6
2 Caleb Smith 0.2154 0.1882 90.5
3 John Gant 0.2154 0.2051 80.6
4 Paolo Espino 0.2154 0.1950 79.3
5 Alek Manoah 0.2154 0.1970 79.1
6 Garrett Richards 0.2154 0.2416 78.7
7 Griffin Jax 0.2154 0.1597 75.4
8 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.2630 73.7
9 Matt Harvey 0.2154 0.2441 72.8
10 Wily Peralta 0.2154 0.1897 72.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.2898 0.1521 33.7
2 Freddy Peralta 0.2860 0.1480 33.6
3 Walker Buehler 0.2937 0.1749 31.6
4 Mitch Keller 0.3014 0.2885 31.5
5 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2957 0.1663 28.9
6 Jordan Montgomery 0.2939 0.2576 28.9
7 Alek Manoah 0.2154 0.1970 28.3
8 Jacob deGrom 0.2859 0.1187 28.2
9 Corbin Burnes 0.2927 0.2553 28.0
10 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.3021 0.2630 27.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.2895 0.1521 39.8
2 Freddy Peralta 0.2783 0.1480 35.3
3 Sean Manaea 0.2730 0.2454 31.5
4 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2833 0.1663 27.9
5 Mitch Keller 0.2989 0.2885 27.7
6 Jacob deGrom 0.2737 0.1187 27.7
7 Triston McKenzie 0.2839 0.1588 27.6
8 Trevor Bauer 0.2821 0.1525 26.0
9 Jordan Montgomery 0.2885 0.2576 25.5
10 Griffin Jax 0.2993 0.1597 25.3

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Zach Davies 0.0913
0.0000
(16.0)
0.0563
(24.2)
0.0000
(28.7)
0.0000
(16.2)
0.0000
(17.8)
Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0972
0.0000
(20.1)
0.0610
(25.2)
0.0000
(32.9)
0.0000
(20.3)
0.0000
(21.9)
Nathan Eovaldi 0.1055
0.0000
(29.1)
0.0717
(26.7)
0.0000
(43.6)
0.0000
(29.3)
0.0000
(31.1)
Phil Maton 0.1250
0.0000
(17.1)
0.0734
(15.7)
0.0000
(22.8)
0.0000
(17.2)
0.0000
(17.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0379 22.3
2 Brandon Woodruff 0.0000 0.0373 21.3
3 Chi Chi González 0.0000 0.1029 15.9
4 Marcus Stroman 0.0000 0.0456 15.9
5 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0452 14.6
6 Patrick Sandoval 0.0000 0.0275 14.5
7 Aaron Bummer 0.0000 0.0076 14.5
8 Eric Lauer 0.0000 0.0383 14.2
9 Ranger Suárez 0.0000 0.0335 14.2
10 Cody Ponce 0.0000 0.1463 14.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0694 0.0379 23.0
2 Max Scherzer 0.0837 0.0541 19.7
3 Eric Lauer 0.0749 0.0383 17.3
4 Joe Musgrove 0.0827 0.0599 16.2
5 Yu Darvish 0.0645 0.0871 16.1
6 Patrick Sandoval 0.0721 0.0275 15.8
7 Emilio Pagán 0.0556 0.1139 15.7
8 José Berríos 0.0621 0.0808 15.5
9 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.0881 0.0650 15.0
10 Corbin Burnes 0.0686 0.0452 14.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.0677 0.0592 47.1
2 Alek Manoah 0.0677 0.0492 30.7
3 John Gant 0.0677 0.0545 30.2
4 Alex Reyes 0.0677 0.0252 28.8
5 Wil Crowe 0.0677 0.0615 28.6
6 Kyle Funkhouser 0.0677 0.0213 28.3
7 Taylor Hearn 0.0677 0.0557 26.6
8 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0871 26.4
9 Yusmeiro Petit 0.0677 0.0319 26.4
10 José Berríos 0.0000 0.0808 25.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0677 0.0492 39.3
2 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0379 22.1
3 Brandon Woodruff 0.0000 0.0373 21.1
4 Chi Chi González 0.0000 0.1029 16.1
5 Marcus Stroman 0.0000 0.0456 15.7
6 Aaron Bummer 0.0000 0.0076 14.4
7 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0452 14.4
8 Patrick Sandoval 0.0000 0.0275 14.4
9 Hyeon-Jong Yang 0.0677 0.0459 14.2
10 Cody Ponce 0.0000 0.1463 14.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0677 0.0492 38.2
2 Wily Peralta 0.0677 0.0586 29.7
3 Nestor Cortes 0.0677 0.0609 26.8
4 Tim Mayza 0.0677 0.0226 23.1
5 Jake Brentz 0.0677 0.0592 20.4
6 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0379 20.3
7 Brandon Woodruff 0.0000 0.0373 19.4
8 Lucas Gilbreath 0.0677 0.0357 17.9
9 Chi Chi González 0.0000 0.1029 17.1
10 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0871 15.2

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Johnny Cueto 0.0175
0.0000
(5.7)
0.0078
(5.1)
0.0000
(6.5)
0.0000
(5.8)
0.0000
(5.9)
Luke Weaver 0.0331
0.0000
(7.5)
0.0078
(7.2)
0.0000
(8.0)
0.0000
(7.5)
0.0000
(7.6)
Robert Stephenson 0.0333
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0103
(4.7)
0.0000
(5.8)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.5)
Luis Castillo 0.0137
0.0000
(6.4)
0.0035
(8.8)
0.0000
(7.7)
0.0000
(6.4)
0.0000
(6.6)
Jesús Luzardo 0.0150
0.0000
(4.0)
0.0048
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.0)
0.0000
(4.1)
Michael Kopech 0.0270
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0059
(6.2)
0.0000
(6.5)
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0000
(6.1)
Joe Mantiply 0.0417
0.0000
(6.4)
0.0137
(5.1)
0.0058
(5.6)
0.0000
(6.4)
0.0000
(6.4)
J.A. Happ 0.0128
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0038
(6.5)
0.0000
(5.8)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.9)
Tyler Kinley 0.0214
0.0000
(4.6)
0.0000
(6.5)
0.0000
(5.1)
0.0000
(4.6)
0.0000
(4.7)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.2
2 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 5.1
3 Steven Brault 0.0000 0.0435 4.8
4 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0167 4.5
5 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0124 4.5
6 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0125 4.3
7 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0119 4.3
8 Julio Urías 0.0000 0.0000 4.3
9 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0000 0.0215 4.2
10 Sean Poppen 0.0000 0.0429 4.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Flexen 0.0000 0.0090 7.2
2 James Kaprielian 0.0000 0.0127 6.7
3 Aaron Nola 0.0034 0.0111 6.2
4 Trevor May 0.0000 0.0201 5.5
5 Cole Irvin 0.0096 0.0018 5.5
6 David Bednar 0.0000 0.0222 5.4
7 Steven Brault 0.0047 0.0435 5.0
8 Drew Smyly 0.0099 0.0000 5.0
9 Casey Mize 0.0047 0.0120 4.8
10 Jameson Taillon 0.0112 0.0026 4.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 6.0
2 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0124 5.6
3 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.6
4 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0119 5.5
5 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0125 5.4
6 Adam Wainwright 0.0058 0.0035 5.4
7 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0167 5.2
8 Aaron Nola 0.0000 0.0111 5.2
9 Alec Mills 0.0058 0.0000 5.1
10 Caleb Smith 0.0058 0.0000 5.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0058 0.0000 5.3
2 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.2
3 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 5.1
4 Steven Brault 0.0000 0.0435 4.8
5 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0124 4.6
6 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0167 4.6
7 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0125 4.3
8 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0119 4.3
9 Julio Urías 0.0000 0.0000 4.3
10 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0000 0.0215 4.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.3
2 Alek Manoah 0.0058 0.0000 5.2
3 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 5.2
4 Steven Brault 0.0000 0.0435 4.8
5 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0124 4.7
6 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0167 4.6
7 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0119 4.5
8 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0125 4.5
9 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0000 0.0215 4.3
10 Julio Urías 0.0000 0.0000 4.1

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Robbie Ray 0.0802
0.1153
(37.5)
0.1275
(36.5)
0.1215
(32.6)
0.1227
(32.2)
0.1129
(25.8)
Ranger Suárez 0.0478
0.1360
(42.4)
0.1301
(34.3)
0.1191
(30.1)
0.1197
(29.7)
0.1222
(31.3)
Carlos Rodón 0.0730
0.1282
(36.6)
0.1292
(29.9)
0.1288
(30.2)
0.1303
(30.1)
0.1254
(28.3)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Griffin Jax 0.0000 0.1722 57.2
2 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0000 0.1230 54.4
3 Adam Wainwright 0.1345 0.0870 50.4
4 Matt Peacock 0.0000 0.1425 49.8
5 Eli Morgan 0.0000 0.1425 48.9
6 Zack Wheeler 0.1288 0.0848 48.7
7 Paolo Espino 0.0000 0.1165 46.9
8 Spenser Watkins 0.0000 0.1961 46.6
9 Wade Miley 0.1464 0.0928 46.3
10 Cal Quantrill 0.1458 0.0893 43.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1059 0.1518 34.6
2 Corbin Burnes 0.1204 0.0715 32.0
3 Jake Arrieta 0.1262 0.1940 31.9
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.1019 0.1458 31.8
5 Kevin Gausman 0.1244 0.0852 30.3
6 Walker Buehler 0.1103 0.0748 28.8
7 Logan Webb 0.1355 0.0889 27.7
8 Chris Flexen 0.1367 0.0999 27.2
9 Freddy Peralta 0.1280 0.0810 27.2
10 Trevor Rogers 0.1321 0.0836 26.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.1307 0.1940 29.3
2 Adam Wainwright 0.1210 0.0870 28.9
3 Zack Wheeler 0.1163 0.0848 27.5
4 Patrick Corbin 0.1154 0.1518 26.7
5 Jesús Luzardo 0.1063 0.1670 26.2
6 Corbin Burnes 0.1098 0.0715 25.7
7 Cal Quantrill 0.1300 0.0893 25.6
8 Matt Harvey 0.1210 0.1649 25.1
9 Wade Miley 0.1271 0.0928 24.3
10 Chris Bassitt 0.1215 0.0863 23.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.1321 0.1940 29.4
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1136 0.1518 29.3
3 Adam Wainwright 0.1221 0.0870 28.4
4 Cal Quantrill 0.1314 0.0893 25.4
5 Jesús Luzardo 0.1104 0.1670 25.1
6 Zack Wheeler 0.1143 0.0848 24.3
7 Chris Bassitt 0.1239 0.0863 23.4
8 Corbin Burnes 0.1079 0.0715 23.3
9 Wade Miley 0.1274 0.0928 23.3
10 Lance Lynn 0.1177 0.0811 22.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.1218 0.1940 33.6
2 Adam Wainwright 0.1240 0.0870 31.2
3 Patrick Corbin 0.1098 0.1518 31.1
4 Cal Quantrill 0.1332 0.0893 27.5
5 Jesús Luzardo 0.1044 0.1670 27.1
6 Zack Wheeler 0.1155 0.0848 26.6
7 Dallas Keuchel 0.1111 0.1458 24.5
8 Wade Miley 0.1271 0.0928 24.2
9 Justus Sheffield 0.1178 0.1792 23.4
10 Ryan Yarbrough 0.1128 0.1470 21.9

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jake Arrieta 0.1727
0.1311
(22.4)
0.1163
(26.7)
0.1213
(24.2)
0.1224
(24.6)
0.1139
(28.2)
Jesús Luzardo 0.1602
0.1060
(26.4)
0.1094
(22.5)
0.0977
(27.4)
0.1016
(26.6)
0.0981
(27.7)
Patrick Corbin 0.1478
0.1040
(37.5)
0.0996
(36.7)
0.1065
(31.2)
0.1046
(34.2)
0.1031
(34.6)
Carlos Rodón 0.0655
0.1182
(24.8)
0.1181
(27.7)
0.1203
(29.1)
0.1220
(29.0)
0.1162
(26.3)
Ranger Suárez 0.0383
0.1271
(34.6)
0.1164
(32.4)
0.1096
(29.8)
0.1102
(29.1)
0.1147
(31.4)
Cal Quantrill 0.0779
0.1343
(30.9)
0.1130
(21.2)
0.1210
(26.4)
0.1225
(26.1)
0.1241
(27.6)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 0.1201 0.0777 30.7
2 Wade Miley 0.1344 0.0884 27.5
3 Adam Wainwright 0.1234 0.0845 27.1
4 Aaron Nola 0.0967 0.1242 25.2
5 Sandy Alcantara 0.1227 0.0872 24.5
6 Andrew Heaney 0.1144 0.1505 23.6
7 Matt Shoemaker 0.1176 0.1901 22.3
8 Trevor Rogers 0.1158 0.0709 21.3
9 Garrett Whitlock 0.1281 0.0537 20.3
10 Chris Bassitt 0.1229 0.0863 19.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1186 0.0789 30.2
2 Kevin Gausman 0.1166 0.0774 29.9
3 Zach Davies 0.0989 0.1422 29.3
4 Corbin Burnes 0.1137 0.0685 29.3
5 Dallas Keuchel 0.0926 0.1319 28.8
6 Trevor Rogers 0.1231 0.0709 28.4
7 Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0822 0.1170 24.8
8 Logan Webb 0.1228 0.0839 22.8
9 Matt Shoemaker 0.1108 0.1901 22.7
10 J.A. Happ 0.1133 0.1461 22.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1138 0.0789 26.9
2 Zack Wheeler 0.1074 0.0777 25.1
3 Matt Harvey 0.1110 0.1529 24.5
4 Chi Chi González 0.1110 0.1629 23.3
5 Matt Shoemaker 0.1110 0.1901 22.5
6 Andrew Heaney 0.1112 0.1505 22.0
7 Adam Wainwright 0.1110 0.0845 21.8
8 J.C. Mejía 0.1110 0.2017 21.6
9 Sandy Alcantara 0.1132 0.0872 21.6
10 Corbin Burnes 0.1014 0.0685 21.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1152 0.0789 26.3
2 Andrew Heaney 0.1130 0.1505 22.2
3 Aaron Nola 0.0971 0.1242 22.0
4 Lance Lynn 0.1096 0.0733 21.8
5 Zack Wheeler 0.1053 0.0777 21.5
6 Adam Wainwright 0.1127 0.0845 21.5
7 Vince Velasquez 0.1108 0.1583 20.7
8 Matt Shoemaker 0.1219 0.1901 20.0
9 Jackson Kowar 0.1261 0.2468 18.9
10 Corbin Burnes 0.0993 0.0685 18.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Heaney 0.1055 0.1505 25.9
2 Adam Wainwright 0.1161 0.0845 25.0
3 Zack Wheeler 0.1073 0.0777 24.0
4 Zach Davies 0.1078 0.1422 23.9
5 Aaron Nola 0.0944 0.1242 23.3
6 J.A. Happ 0.1132 0.1461 23.0
7 Dallas Keuchel 0.1035 0.1319 21.4
8 Spenser Watkins 0.1110 0.1922 21.0
9 J.C. Mejía 0.1153 0.2017 20.9
10 Sandy Alcantara 0.1127 0.0872 20.2

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Julio Urías 0.6250
0.3462
(213.8)
0.1250
(342.2)
0.3939
(203.5)
0.2497
(279.8)
0.1556
(376.9)
Adam Wainwright 0.5313
0.2857
(210.1)
0.2667
(185.4)
0.1915
(316.1)
0.3348
(162.9)
0.3500
(180.2)
Aaron Civale 0.5714
0.2857
(146.4)
0.1818
(173.8)
0.3496
(131.4)
0.3236
(123.6)
0.3600
(123.4)
Carlos Rodón 0.5417
0.3043
(131.1)
0.1667
(178.5)
0.3200
(140.9)
0.1420
(213.6)
0.3125
(141.8)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0005 0.4500 210.1
2 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0003 0.4091 206.8
3 Luis Castillo 0.4688 0.2424 175.2
4 Cole Irvin 0.1111 0.3125 160.9
5 José Suarez 0.0000 0.3478 147.0
6 Aaron Nola 0.4688 0.2813 134.3
7 Zac Gallen 0.4375 0.1739 133.6
8 Kolby Allard 0.3333 0.0938 123.6
9 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2857 0.0714 120.8
10 Wade Miley 0.2692 0.4286 115.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Flexen 0.1250 0.4516 211.9
2 Kevin Gausman 0.1379 0.4242 190.4
3 Steven Matz 0.1481 0.4828 190.2
4 Walker Buehler 0.2222 0.4848 180.9
5 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1667 0.4643 175.8
6 Tyler Mahle 0.1333 0.3939 167.0
7 Corbin Burnes 0.1250 0.3929 149.3
8 Framber Valdez 0.2000 0.5000 148.4
9 Luis Garcia 0.1053 0.3667 139.7
10 Max Scherzer 0.2593 0.5000 138.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 0.0563 0.3125 229.1
2 Shane McClanahan 0.0528 0.4000 201.3
3 James Kaprielian 0.0453 0.3333 165.7
4 Freddy Peralta 0.1216 0.3571 161.0
5 Chris Flexen 0.3050 0.4516 139.8
6 Alek Manoah 0.1915 0.4500 138.0
7 Luis Castillo 0.4315 0.2424 118.0
8 Steven Matz 0.3609 0.4828 106.1
9 Anthony DeSclafani 0.3130 0.4194 100.4
10 Jose Quintana 0.3740 0.0000 98.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Flexen 0.1848 0.4516 197.9
2 Cole Irvin 0.0717 0.3125 185.2
3 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0478 0.4091 179.3
4 Shane McClanahan 0.0636 0.4000 174.1
5 James Kaprielian 0.0470 0.3333 143.9
6 Jordan Lyles 0.1341 0.3125 137.5
7 Luis Castillo 0.4066 0.2424 131.6
8 Freddy Peralta 0.1385 0.3571 127.0
9 Alek Manoah 0.1915 0.4500 118.8
10 Yu Darvish 0.4384 0.2667 116.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Flexen 0.1667 0.4516 238.1
2 Corbin Burnes 0.1579 0.3929 178.3
3 Steven Matz 0.3077 0.4828 136.8
4 Alek Manoah 0.1915 0.4500 135.3
5 Framber Valdez 0.3000 0.5000 135.2
6 Mike Foltynewicz 0.3333 0.0714 132.1
7 Chris Bassitt 0.2800 0.4444 127.9
8 Freddy Peralta 0.1750 0.3571 126.8
9 Austin Gomber 0.1724 0.3913 124.6
10 Luis Castillo 0.4333 0.2424 124.1

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Luis Castillo 0.4848
0.2813
(174.6)
0.2333
(162.6)
0.2671
(194.7)
0.3024
(154.9)
0.3000
(158.3)
Jake Arrieta 0.5833
0.3750
(104.2)
0.2222
(146.4)
0.3252
(132.7)
0.3693
(105.3)
0.3810
(100.7)
Patrick Corbin 0.5161
0.3125
(163.3)
0.2143
(189.9)
0.2979
(182.5)
0.3251
(151.4)
0.2667
(196.5)
Cole Irvin 0.4688
0.2222
(199.9)
0.1111
(237.0)
0.0606
(332.5)
0.0841
(303.5)
0.2500
(177.4)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eli Morgan 0.0004 0.3889 152.5
2 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0003 0.2727 141.9
3 Logan Webb 0.3462 0.1111 131.9
4 Tylor Megill 0.0004 0.3333 131.4
5 Cal Quantrill 0.3000 0.0750 130.1
6 Alex Wood 0.3810 0.1538 124.8
7 Chris Bassitt 0.3462 0.1481 117.4
8 Spenser Watkins 0.0004 0.4375 115.0
9 Cristian Javier 0.3125 0.0278 114.9
10 Tyler Mahle 0.3448 0.1818 113.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JT Brubaker 0.1563 0.5417 181.0
2 Sandy Alcantara 0.2143 0.4545 160.1
3 Adbert Alzolay 0.1111 0.4483 149.5
4 Matt Harvey 0.2083 0.5000 141.2
5 Carlos Martinez 0.1250 0.5625 141.0
6 Austin Gomber 0.0833 0.3913 126.4
7 Brad Keller 0.2069 0.4615 126.0
8 Mitch Keller 0.1613 0.4783 125.9
9 Zac Gallen 0.1515 0.4348 122.5
10 Jordan Lyles 0.2000 0.4063 120.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Harvey 0.1942 0.5000 192.4
2 Jorge López 0.1145 0.4242 185.7
3 JT Brubaker 0.3256 0.5417 129.6
4 Julio Urías 0.2771 0.0938 118.1
5 Cristian Javier 0.3252 0.0278 115.6
6 Chris Bassitt 0.3502 0.1481 112.9
7 Patrick Sandoval 0.0855 0.3529 106.1
8 Bryse Wilson 0.1349 0.4375 105.4
9 Shane McClanahan 0.0610 0.2400 105.4
10 Logan Webb 0.3081 0.1111 102.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JT Brubaker 0.2105 0.5417 183.8
2 Chris Bassitt 0.3781 0.1481 139.8
3 Jorge López 0.1878 0.4242 137.1
4 Cristian Javier 0.3600 0.0278 136.4
5 Logan Webb 0.3477 0.1111 134.7
6 Jordan Lyles 0.2419 0.4063 134.5
7 Kolby Allard 0.1444 0.3750 128.8
8 Tyler Mahle 0.3528 0.1818 121.8
9 Matt Harvey 0.3101 0.5000 116.6
10 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0500 0.2727 115.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JT Brubaker 0.2500 0.5417 163.5
2 Jorge López 0.1765 0.4242 144.3
3 Adam Wainwright 0.4000 0.2188 140.0
4 Sandy Alcantara 0.3000 0.4545 139.6
5 Adbert Alzolay 0.2000 0.4483 135.2
6 Joe Ross 0.1786 0.4500 130.5
7 José Ureña 0.0577 0.3077 119.6
8 Austin Gomber 0.1724 0.3913 112.8
9 Trevor Williams 0.3600 0.0870 105.6
10 Matt Harvey 0.3333 0.5000 104.1

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jake McGee 0.5000
0.2955
(48.7)
0.0345
(116.3)
0.0289
(110.1)
0.2155
(66.0)
0.2659
(54.8)
Michael Fulmer 0.2692
0.0000
(79.7)
0.0345
(76.0)
0.0000
(76.9)
0.0000
(77.5)
0.0000
(78.5)
Mark Melancon 0.6094
0.4118
(52.2)
0.1613
(124.4)
0.0289
(151.1)
0.0813
(137.7)
0.0991
(134.0)
Lou Trivino 0.3099
0.0000
(95.8)
0.0323
(92.7)
0.0833
(67.0)
0.0000
(93.5)
0.0000
(94.6)
Alex Reyes 0.4203
0.0952
(102.8)
0.0476
(124.9)
0.0289
(120.8)
0.2240
(59.6)
0.6618
(78.1)
Emmanuel Clase 0.3380
0.0909
(68.7)
0.0588
(83.8)
0.0000
(91.4)
0.0928
(66.1)
0.1042
(63.9)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Karinchak 0.6304 0.1833 105.2
2 Greg Holland 0.5556 0.1404 101.1
3 Anthony Bass 0.3636 0.0000 94.7
4 Aroldis Chapman 0.7692 0.4918 67.6
5 Archie Bradley 0.3158 0.0377 62.4
6 Amir Garrett 0.4000 0.1111 62.3
7 Drew Steckenrider 0.0001 0.2258 60.1
8 Brad Hand 0.5179 0.3088 58.3
9 Hansel Robles 0.0000 0.1944 57.5
10 Craig Kimbrel 0.6042 0.3810 52.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Romano 0.0476 0.3710 87.2
2 Will Smith 0.2414 0.5211 85.2
3 Liam Hendriks 0.2727 0.5507 79.9
4 Gregory Soto 0.0345 0.2903 76.5
5 Ryan Pressly 0.1290 0.4063 74.6
6 Matt Barnes 0.0909 0.4000 73.3
7 Carlos Martinez 0.2083 0.0000 67.9
8 Scott Barlow 0.0303 0.2254 66.2
9 Ian Kennedy 0.2083 0.4727 65.1
10 Kenley Jansen 0.3438 0.5507 63.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Kennedy 0.0289 0.4727 98.8
2 Jordan Romano 0.0333 0.3710 82.8
3 Brad Hand 0.0289 0.3088 75.0
4 Will Smith 0.2500 0.5211 73.8
5 Alex Colomé 0.0289 0.2537 62.2
6 Dylan Floro 0.0000 0.2206 56.8
7 Gregory Soto 0.0833 0.2903 54.3
8 Scott Barlow 0.0500 0.2254 50.5
9 Drew Steckenrider 0.0289 0.2258 49.8
10 Matt Barnes 0.1667 0.4000 49.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Bass 0.3424 0.0000 91.2
2 Will Smith 0.2198 0.5211 82.9
3 Ian Kennedy 0.1110 0.4727 80.6
4 Scott Barlow 0.0160 0.2254 61.5
5 Drew Steckenrider 0.0000 0.2258 58.1
6 Génesis Cabrera 0.1736 0.0000 53.8
7 Rafael Montero 0.3780 0.1591 51.1
8 Hansel Robles 0.0184 0.1944 49.8
9 Emilio Pagán 0.1707 0.0000 47.1
10 Dylan Floro 0.0421 0.2206 45.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Kennedy 0.0000 0.4727 106.7
2 Anthony Bass 0.3447 0.0000 90.9
3 Craig Kimbrel 0.7424 0.3810 86.1
4 James Karinchak 0.5290 0.1833 82.4
5 Daniel Bard 0.5610 0.2985 81.3
6 Rafael Montero 0.4759 0.1591 72.4
7 Will Smith 0.2660 0.5211 70.8
8 Scott Barlow 0.0151 0.2254 62.9
9 Jordan Romano 0.1286 0.3710 60.1
10 Drew Steckenrider 0.0000 0.2258 59.0

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player Actual Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Génesis Cabrera 0.3944
0.1304
(89.1)
0.1948
(56.9)
0.0952
(86.2)
0.0000
(99.4)
Jhoulys Chacín 0.3913
0.0870
(91.9)
0.0612
(86.9)
0.0000
(103.1)
0.0000
(89.5)
Garrett Whitlock 0.3043
0.0612
(83.5)
0.0866
(62.8)
0.0917
(61.0)
0.0000
(73.3)
Brad Boxberger 0.3239
0.1111
(66.5)
0.0612
(68.0)
0.0779
(63.3)
0.0000
(70.6)
Michael Kopech 0.3409
0.1000
(79.3)
0.0000
(95.1)
0.0651
(76.3)
0.0000
(80.5)
Luke Jackson 0.4366
0.0968
(98.4)
0.0974
(86.7)
0.1883
(62.7)
0.0000
(98.7)
Blake Treinen 0.4444
0.1290
(100.9)
0.1948
(69.3)
0.2087
(65.1)
0.0000
(110.4)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Matzek 0.0909 0.3478 77.7
2 John Gant 0.2308 0.0513 69.9
3 Jonathan Loáisiga 0.1200 0.3158 65.9
4 Julio Urías 0.1250 0.0000 65.4
5 Chris Flexen 0.1250 0.0000 65.1
6 Paul Sewald 0.0556 0.2581 63.3
7 Hansel Robles 0.0667 0.2361 61.4
8 Ryne Stanek 0.1176 0.2917 61.3
9 A.J. Minter 0.1379 0.3770 61.1
10 Tyler Rogers 0.2308 0.3750 59.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddy Peralta 0.1468 0.0000 89.3
2 Cole Irvin 0.0866 0.0000 72.0
3 Yusmeiro Petit 0.0612 0.2821 66.9
4 Steve Cishek 0.0612 0.2838 66.3
5 Tyler Matzek 0.0928 0.3478 65.4
6 Ryan Tepera 0.0612 0.3385 64.8
7 Bryan Shaw 0.0612 0.2469 59.6
8 Ryne Stanek 0.0885 0.2917 56.8
9 Adam Wainwright 0.0612 0.0000 56.6
10 Cristian Javier 0.0000 0.1389 55.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane McClanahan 0.1431 0.0000 78.1
2 Ross Stripling 0.1462 0.0000 66.5
3 Paul Sewald 0.0000 0.2581 66.0
4 Taylor Hearn 0.1637 0.0238 65.2
5 Mark Melancon 0.2316 0.0000 63.5
6 JT Chargois 0.0000 0.2679 56.1
7 T.J. McFarland 0.0000 0.3947 55.7
8 Cristian Javier 0.0000 0.1389 55.5
9 Junior Guerra 0.2142 0.0488 53.3
10 Tyler Rogers 0.2100 0.3750 51.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Rogers 0.0000 0.3750 103.2
2 Giovanny Gallegos 0.0000 0.3288 83.8
3 Devin Williams 0.0000 0.3966 76.4
4 Tyler Matzek 0.0000 0.3478 76.4
5 Jonathan Loáisiga 0.0000 0.3158 72.8
6 Tyler Duffey 0.0000 0.3438 72.5
7 Adam Ottavino 0.0000 0.3188 71.9
8 A.J. Minter 0.0000 0.3770 70.4
9 Yusmeiro Petit 0.0000 0.2821 70.0
10 Steve Cishek 0.0000 0.2838 69.4

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jake Arrieta 7.3885
5.2506
(1122.2)
4.5000
(1333.8)
4.8146
(1199.2)
4.8541
(1224.7)
4.5510
(1383.5)
Jesús Luzardo 6.6084
4.0112
(1246.3)
4.1753
(1043.8)
3.6984
(1264.2)
3.8519
(1238.2)
3.7667
(1291.0)
Justus Sheffield 6.8340
4.6608
(934.8)
4.3096
(954.7)
4.3493
(950.1)
4.4956
(929.9)
4.4909
(945.4)
Patrick Corbin 5.8194
3.9489
(1596.1)
3.7768
(1500.5)
4.0952
(1282.2)
4.0144
(1413.4)
3.9988
(1451.7)
Carlos Rodón 2.3744
4.5902
(1047.2)
4.5933
(1208.8)
4.7250
(1264.3)
4.7996
(1254.0)
4.6849
(1173.8)
Ranger Suárez 1.3585
5.1468
(1477.0)
4.5401
(1348.6)
4.3015
(1237.2)
4.3079
(1200.7)
4.5495
(1286.8)
Matt Shoemaker 8.0552
4.5421
(1070.1)
4.1557
(1094.8)
4.3493
(1047.7)
4.7658
(956.1)
4.9206
(922.2)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cal Quantrill 5.3511 2.8864 1361.3
2 Zack Wheeler 4.6299 2.7844 1350.6
3 Adam Wainwright 4.8599 3.0533 1284.9
4 Wade Miley 5.4429 3.3681 1255.8
5 Sandy Alcantara 4.8400 3.1945 1164.1
6 Andrew Heaney 4.3309 5.8303 978.8
7 Aaron Nola 3.6208 4.6328 948.8
8 Garrett Whitlock 5.2308 1.9636 897.7
9 Marcus Stroman 4.4613 3.0168 868.6
10 Mitch Keller 4.5814 6.1689 865.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 4.6719 2.8397 1450.8
2 Zach Davies 3.7197 5.7770 1344.5
3 Kevin Gausman 4.4702 2.8125 1319.3
4 Corbin Burnes 4.3714 2.4251 1308.0
5 Trevor Rogers 4.8425 2.6391 1236.4
6 Dallas Keuchel 3.5398 5.2778 1219.2
7 Logan Webb 4.8322 3.0337 1098.5
8 Jackson Kowar 4.3493 11.2747 1059.6
9 Anthony DeSclafani 4.6484 3.1670 1031.6
10 Freddy Peralta 4.5156 2.8060 1017.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 4.4510 2.8397 1258.6
2 Zack Wheeler 4.1096 2.7844 1139.5
3 Cal Quantrill 4.7013 2.8864 1128.4
4 Matt Harvey 4.3493 6.2742 1110.4
5 Adam Wainwright 4.3493 3.0533 1087.1
6 Sandy Alcantara 4.4748 3.1945 1085.8
7 Corbin Burnes 3.8931 2.4251 975.5
8 Jackson Kowar 4.9680 11.2747 968.6
9 Wade Miley 4.7428 3.3681 960.2
10 Julio Urías 4.2132 2.9569 948.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 4.5270 2.8397 1244.9
2 Cal Quantrill 4.7900 2.8864 1125.2
3 Adam Wainwright 4.4099 3.0533 1059.5
4 Jackson Kowar 5.0252 11.2747 974.3
5 Zack Wheeler 3.9980 2.7844 965.0
6 Lance Lynn 4.2004 2.6943 916.1
7 Andrew Heaney 4.2738 5.8303 911.5
8 Luis Garcia 4.9705 3.4764 897.1
9 Wade Miley 4.7416 3.3681 894.7
10 Vince Velasquez 4.2645 6.2968 879.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cal Quantrill 4.9756 2.8864 1217.7
2 Adam Wainwright 4.6295 3.0533 1212.0
3 Zach Davies 4.2436 5.7770 1099.4
4 Andrew Heaney 3.9986 5.8303 1084.8
5 Zack Wheeler 4.1409 2.7844 1056.3
6 Dallas Keuchel 3.9922 5.2778 1006.6
7 Sandy Alcantara 4.5079 3.1945 1005.2
8 J.A. Happ 4.4274 5.7899 989.7
9 Jackson Kowar 5.0268 11.2747 979.5
10 Spenser Watkins 4.3493 8.0671 976.7

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jake Arrieta 1.7736
1.4510
(169.7)
1.3936
(175.2)
1.4577
(158.2)
1.4652
(168.3)
1.3862
(199.7)
Adam Wainwright 1.0565
1.3748
(231.1)
1.3064
(212.2)
1.3128
(194.6)
1.3668
(215.2)
1.3862
(241.1)
Justus Sheffield 1.8423
1.3595
(200.9)
1.3808
(175.2)
1.3128
(212.1)
1.4444
(172.6)
1.4700
(158.2)
Carlos Rodón 0.9573
1.3152
(170.2)
1.3397
(207.6)
1.4110
(230.9)
1.4045
(211.9)
1.4384
(236.3)
Robbie Ray 1.0448
1.3019
(168.5)
1.4398
(310.2)
1.3787
(241.6)
1.3901
(228.0)
1.3448
(202.1)
Sandy Alcantara 1.0746
1.3833
(225.7)
1.3073
(200.2)
1.4126
(265.1)
1.3737
(208.2)
1.3978
(238.3)
Mitch Keller 1.7881
1.3350
(231.3)
1.4212
(169.4)
1.4007
(192.1)
1.3997
(206.2)
1.4180
(192.0)
Zack Wheeler 1.0078
1.2835
(200.9)
1.2336
(197.1)
1.2797
(212.7)
1.2458
(159.3)
1.2464
(169.9)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 1.2196 1.4680 215.9
2 Jesús Luzardo 1.2053 1.6154 196.3
3 Ranger Suárez 1.4985 1.0000 192.0
4 Luis Castillo 1.1739 1.3641 184.1
5 Brad Keller 1.4408 1.6608 158.8
6 John Means 1.3153 1.0295 145.5
7 Blake Snell 1.0993 1.3212 143.6
8 Brady Singer 1.3491 1.5506 141.1
9 Kyle Hendricks 1.2081 1.3481 140.6
10 Huascar Ynoa 1.5254 1.1099 140.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 1.3000 0.9401 240.7
2 Zach Davies 1.2489 1.6014 231.2
3 Brad Keller 1.2839 1.6608 227.2
4 Max Scherzer 1.1553 0.8643 206.1
5 Freddy Peralta 1.3149 0.9700 203.8
6 Kevin Gausman 1.2914 1.0417 198.5
7 Logan Webb 1.4206 1.1056 191.5
8 Dallas Keuchel 1.2881 1.5309 170.2
9 Garrett Richards 1.3165 1.5951 168.0
10 Ranger Suárez 1.3947 1.0000 167.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 1.3431 1.0180 226.4
2 Corbin Burnes 1.2827 0.9401 211.1
3 Garrett Richards 1.3128 1.5951 187.3
4 Luis Garcia 1.4913 1.1781 184.8
5 Logan Webb 1.4257 1.1056 178.0
6 Jesús Luzardo 1.2306 1.6154 177.5
7 Freddy Peralta 1.2842 0.9700 169.9
8 Ranger Suárez 1.4015 1.0000 158.9
9 Brandon Woodruff 1.2066 0.9647 156.2
10 Max Scherzer 1.1108 0.8643 156.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 1.2468 1.6154 183.1
2 Corbin Burnes 1.2536 0.9401 172.9
3 Luis Garcia 1.4944 1.1781 168.3
4 Julio Urías 1.2880 1.0180 163.7
5 Patrick Corbin 1.3013 1.4680 163.0
6 Freddy Peralta 1.2946 0.9700 159.1
7 Luis Castillo 1.2230 1.3641 153.8
8 Logan Webb 1.4091 1.1056 150.9
9 Max Scherzer 1.1227 0.8643 144.2
10 Garrett Richards 1.4128 1.5951 143.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dallas Keuchel 1.2590 1.5309 223.5
2 Luis Garcia 1.5581 1.1781 216.2
3 Brad Keller 1.3518 1.6608 213.0
4 Garrett Richards 1.3056 1.5951 202.4
5 Zach Davies 1.3425 1.6014 198.6
6 Jesús Luzardo 1.2110 1.6154 193.5
7 Patrick Corbin 1.2926 1.4680 160.6
8 Luis Castillo 1.2032 1.3641 160.1
9 Corbin Burnes 1.2187 0.9401 157.7
10 Chris Bassitt 1.3282 1.0551 149.5