2021 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adolis García 34 622 588.0
2 Evan White 603 104 499.0
3 Josh Rojas 68 550 482.0
4 Kyle Lewis 627 147 480.0
5 Jed Lowrie 35 512 477.0
6 Pavin Smith 70 545 475.0
7 Mike Trout 620 146 474.0
8 Cristian Pache 536 68 468.0
9 Odúbel Herrera 34 492 458.0
10 Adam Haseley 471 21 450.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 1 631 630.0
2 Andrew Vaughn 1 469 468.0
3 Mitch Haniger 227 691 464.0
4 Akil Baddoo 1 461 460.0
5 Tyler Naquin 1 454 453.0
6 Adolis García 205 622 417.0
7 Bo Bichette 295 690 395.0
8 Salvador Perez 276 665 389.0
9 Cedric Mullins 287 675 388.0
10 Nathaniel Lowe 259 642 383.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Seager 1 670 669.0
2 César Hernández 1 637 636.0
3 Nelson Cruz 1 584 583.0
4 Eric Hosmer 1 565 564.0
5 Josh Donaldson 1 543 542.0
6 Miguel Cabrera 1 526 525.0
7 Mike Trout 668 146 522.0
8 Jed Lowrie 1 512 511.0
9 Michael Brantley 1 508 507.0
10 Jonathan Villar 1 505 504.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 671 146 524.9
2 Adolis García 106 622 516.5
3 Adalberto Mondesi 646 136 509.6
4 Kyle Lewis 650 147 503.1
5 Evan White 576 104 472.3
6 Aaron Hicks 583 126 456.7
7 Pavin Smith 99 545 446.5
8 Cristian Pache 500 68 432.0
9 Mike Moustakas 638 206 431.7
10 Marcell Ozuna 635 208 426.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Vilade 608 7 601.0
2 Seth Beer 584 10 574.0
3 Josh Lowe 541 2 539.0
4 Khalil Lee 551 18 533.0
5 Dustin Fowler 574 46 528.0
6 Sheldon Neuse 593 66 527.0
7 Alex De Goti 532 7 525.0
8 Brian Miller 535 11 524.0
9 Renato Núñez 570 55 515.0
10 Mario Feliciano 515 1 514.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Austin Riley 0.3804
0.3286
(41.4)
0.3135
(47.1)
0.3350
(36.0)
0.3373
(34.3)
0.3224
(32.3)
Tyler O'Neill 0.3838
0.3289
(35.3)
0.3101
(41.9)
0.3114
(43.7)
0.3166
(40.7)
0.3102
(34.6)
Bryan Reynolds 0.3893
0.3457
(35.1)
0.3377
(36.1)
0.3284
(45.1)
0.3289
(44.5)
0.3173
(40.6)
Cedric Mullins 0.3720
0.2974
(57.7)
0.2948
(55.0)
0.2944
(58.5)
0.2974
(56.1)
0.2921
(47.7)
Brandon Crawford 0.3806
0.3074
(46.1)
0.3086
(41.8)
0.2957
(51.5)
0.3032
(47.2)
0.2944
(42.3)
Shohei Ohtani 0.4028
0.3384
(48.1)
0.3433
(40.7)
0.3546
(36.6)
0.3541
(36.6)
0.3431
(32.3)
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2240
0.3038
(29.5)
0.3232
(40.6)
0.3153
(35.3)
0.3120
(34.0)
0.3164
(43.5)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.4218
0.3559
(53.6)
0.3329
(65.0)
0.3758
(38.3)
0.3782
(36.5)
0.3574
(38.6)
Cody Bellinger 0.2394
0.3981
(51.8)
0.3746
(45.8)
0.3965
(51.8)
0.3936
(51.0)
0.3850
(54.2)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Salvador Perez 0.3101 0.3611 41.1
2 Buster Posey 0.3097 0.3823 37.9
3 Yuli Gurriel 0.3151 0.3643 36.3
4 Mike Zunino 0.2738 0.3585 35.8
5 C.J. Cron 0.3315 0.3847 35.0
6 Eugenio Suárez 0.3770 0.3061 34.5
7 Bryce Harper 0.3891 0.4356 34.3
8 Josh Harrison 0.2790 0.3239 31.1
9 Joey Votto 0.3484 0.3947 30.4
10 Luis Urías 0.2981 0.3399 30.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.3748 0.4356 39.0
2 Kyle Tucker 0.3279 0.3839 34.2
3 Christian Yelich 0.4017 0.3285 32.7
4 Carlos Santana 0.3496 0.2957 32.7
5 Buster Posey 0.3156 0.3823 32.2
6 Kevin Newman 0.3106 0.2490 31.8
7 David Fletcher 0.3220 0.2713 30.9
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.3637 0.3061 30.6
9 Mike Zunino 0.2822 0.3585 30.2
10 Jonathan India 0.3197 0.3626 29.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.2465 0.3295 42.4
2 Jonathan India 0.3092 0.3626 39.4
3 Bryce Harper 0.3859 0.4356 35.1
4 Nick Castellanos 0.3430 0.3938 35.0
5 Adolis García 0.2696 0.3142 33.3
6 Mike Zunino 0.2791 0.3585 33.1
7 Buster Posey 0.3197 0.3823 32.5
8 Salvador Perez 0.3221 0.3611 31.9
9 Kyle Tucker 0.3391 0.3839 30.5
10 Teoscar Hernández 0.3273 0.3695 30.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.2498 0.3295 40.7
2 Jonathan India 0.3093 0.3626 39.1
3 Buster Posey 0.3075 0.3823 37.9
4 Nick Castellanos 0.3404 0.3938 36.3
5 Bryce Harper 0.3868 0.4356 34.4
6 Adolis García 0.2690 0.3142 33.5
7 Mike Zunino 0.2790 0.3585 33.1
8 Frank Schwindel 0.2911 0.4053 31.8
9 Trea Turner 0.3506 0.3871 29.1
10 Teoscar Hernández 0.3297 0.3695 28.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gleyber Torres 0.3775 0.3063 41.5
2 Carlos Santana 0.3454 0.2957 38.8
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.3558 0.3061 33.8
4 Jonathan India 0.3004 0.3626 33.5
5 Matt Chapman 0.3555 0.3115 33.1
6 Joey Votto 0.3240 0.3947 32.8
7 David Fletcher 0.3108 0.2713 32.3
8 Christian Yelich 0.3843 0.3285 30.9
9 DJ LeMahieu 0.3520 0.3162 30.5
10 Andrelton Simmons 0.3085 0.2503 30.4

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Matt Olson 0.1679
0.2580
(59.0)
0.2565
(58.9)
0.2645
(66.1)
0.2664
(67.5)
0.2929
(77.0)
Ryan Jeffers 0.3686
0.2586
(32.9)
0.2437
(36.9)
0.2283
(40.6)
0.2271
(41.0)
0.2548
(36.4)
Matt Chapman 0.3248
0.2512
(47.3)
0.2406
(53.1)
0.2468
(47.4)
0.2493
(45.9)
0.2821
(33.1)
Pete Alonso 0.1994
0.2516
(31.7)
0.2545
(34.3)
0.2620
(41.0)
0.2631
(41.7)
0.2662
(35.8)
Raimel Tapia 0.1313
0.2259
(49.1)
0.2159
(44.4)
0.2134
(44.6)
0.2105
(43.1)
0.2011
(31.6)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.3045 0.2235 49.6
2 Patrick Wisdom 0.2906 0.4080 44.9
3 Tommy Edman 0.1966 0.1375 39.2
4 Chas McCormick 0.2077 0.3250 38.3
5 Kyle Tucker 0.2284 0.1587 38.1
6 Odúbel Herrera 0.2353 0.1565 37.6
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.2422 0.1842 35.9
8 Juan Soto 0.1991 0.1422 35.6
9 Kevin Newman 0.1390 0.0740 34.7
10 Randy Arozarena 0.2266 0.2815 34.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Wisdom 0.2611 0.4080 55.5
2 Brett Phillips 0.2260 0.3870 47.4
3 Ty France 0.2359 0.1631 46.5
4 Kevin Newman 0.1554 0.0740 44.4
5 Tommy Edman 0.2028 0.1375 44.3
6 Adolis García 0.2439 0.3119 43.0
7 Javier Báez 0.2701 0.3364 36.9
8 Trevor Larnach 0.2260 0.3455 36.3
9 Alex Jackson 0.2440 0.4834 36.3
10 Jake Cronenworth 0.1967 0.1400 35.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Wisdom 0.2260 0.4080 67.6
2 Michael Brantley 0.2260 0.1043 62.6
3 Chas McCormick 0.1840 0.3250 44.6
4 Andrelton Simmons 0.2260 0.1375 40.7
5 Teoscar Hernández 0.3152 0.2487 40.5
6 Ronald Torreyes 0.2260 0.1192 37.3
7 Willians Astudillo 0.2260 0.0556 37.2
8 Harrison Bader 0.3000 0.2120 36.0
9 Hunter Renfroe 0.2880 0.2273 35.7
10 Alec Bohm 0.1791 0.2662 35.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chas McCormick 0.1868 0.3250 43.6
2 Teoscar Hernández 0.3127 0.2487 39.1
3 Odúbel Herrera 0.2321 0.1565 38.1
4 Alec Bohm 0.1772 0.2662 36.4
5 Hunter Renfroe 0.2890 0.2273 36.3
6 Harrison Bader 0.2998 0.2120 35.9
7 Ty France 0.2152 0.1631 35.0
8 Kyle Farmer 0.2475 0.1834 34.8
9 Kevin Newman 0.1350 0.0740 34.8
10 Bryan Reynolds 0.2353 0.1842 34.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chas McCormick 0.1709 0.3250 52.7
2 Kyle Seager 0.1781 0.2403 48.8
3 Harrison Bader 0.3182 0.2120 38.3
4 Gio Urshela 0.1713 0.2466 38.0
5 Teoscar Hernández 0.3228 0.2487 37.8
6 Patrick Wisdom 0.3188 0.4080 37.4
7 Javier Báez 0.2805 0.3364 36.3
8 Robbie Grossman 0.1879 0.2310 36.0
9 Bryan Reynolds 0.2495 0.1842 35.4
10 Ryan Mountcastle 0.2252 0.2747 35.2

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Juan Soto 0.2217
0.1593
(41.2)
0.1565
(41.8)
0.1746
(33.0)
0.1746
(32.6)
0.1641
(32.0)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1232
0.0889
(24.4)
0.0874
(24.1)
0.0937
(22.8)
0.0940
(22.3)
0.0832
(21.9)
Yasmani Grandal 0.2320
0.1343
(36.9)
0.1461
(31.7)
0.1475
(32.9)
0.1478
(32.6)
0.1494
(27.7)
Shohei Ohtani 0.1502
0.0960
(35.0)
0.0928
(35.8)
0.1026
(32.5)
0.1030
(31.9)
0.0991
(27.1)
Andrew Benintendi 0.0669
0.1009
(18.0)
0.1031
(20.2)
0.1109
(21.9)
0.1128
(23.2)
0.1149
(30.5)
Jake Fraley 0.1736
0.0757
(26.1)
0.0762
(25.4)
0.0655
(29.5)
0.0658
(29.3)
0.0604
(27.7)
Yuli Gurriel 0.0975
0.0572
(24.7)
0.0572
(23.6)
0.0610
(24.1)
0.0614
(23.5)
0.0530
(21.7)
Yordan Alvarez 0.0836
0.1190
(20.8)
0.1124
(18.0)
0.1194
(19.4)
0.1219
(21.2)
0.1136
(23.1)
Yoán Moncada 0.1364
0.0959
(25.3)
0.0926
(26.1)
0.1019
(23.3)
0.1026
(22.5)
0.0936
(21.0)
Leury García 0.0865
0.0489
(18.1)
0.0479
(17.6)
0.0439
(21.7)
0.0443
(21.3)
0.0372
(19.3)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Gallo 0.1354 0.1802 27.9
2 Robbie Grossman 0.1083 0.1461 25.7
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.0757 0.1075 22.0
4 Bobby Dalbec 0.1080 0.0618 20.6
5 Matt Chapman 0.0967 0.1286 20.2
6 Mitch Haniger 0.1058 0.0781 18.7
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.0889 0.1161 18.0
8 David Fletcher 0.0728 0.0466 17.1
9 Buster Posey 0.0866 0.1233 16.9
10 Rhys Hoskins 0.1440 0.1061 16.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Gallo 0.1304 0.1802 29.8
2 David Fletcher 0.0805 0.0466 23.4
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.0732 0.1075 22.4
4 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0888 0.1246 22.1
5 Matt Chapman 0.0928 0.1286 21.5
6 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.0702 0.0414 20.4
7 Adolis García 0.0829 0.0514 20.4
8 Robbie Grossman 0.1144 0.1461 20.4
9 C.J. Cron 0.0730 0.1097 19.3
10 José Abreu 0.0635 0.0926 18.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Donaldson 0.0882 0.1363 27.9
2 Joey Gallo 0.1437 0.1802 24.5
3 Aaron Judge 0.1551 0.1185 21.1
4 José Abreu 0.0641 0.0926 20.9
5 Rhys Hoskins 0.1565 0.1061 20.9
6 Brett Gardner 0.0882 0.1302 20.8
7 DJ LeMahieu 0.0802 0.1075 20.7
8 C.J. Cron 0.0761 0.1097 20.1
9 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1315 0.0987 20.1
10 Tom Murphy 0.0652 0.1231 19.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Gallo 0.1463 0.1802 22.6
2 Rhys Hoskins 0.1569 0.1061 21.3
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.0797 0.1075 20.8
4 José Abreu 0.0643 0.0926 20.4
5 Aaron Judge 0.1533 0.1185 20.3
6 C.J. Cron 0.0765 0.1097 19.7
7 Tom Murphy 0.0668 0.1231 19.2
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1293 0.0987 18.9
9 Bryan Reynolds 0.0896 0.1161 18.9
10 Jacob Stallings 0.0744 0.1148 18.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1269 0.0987 25.0
2 Rhys Hoskins 0.1510 0.1061 23.7
3 Aaron Judge 0.1443 0.1185 21.8
4 J.P. Crawford 0.1064 0.0844 21.0
5 Trent Grisham 0.1321 0.1025 20.2
6 Carlos Santana 0.1521 0.1305 19.9
7 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.0620 0.0414 19.8
8 Bobby Dalbec 0.0956 0.0618 19.2
9 Anthony Rizzo 0.1149 0.0903 19.2
10 Darin Ruf 0.0784 0.1474 18.8

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Edmundo Sosa 0.0521
0.0000
(13.1)
0.0146
(12.0)
0.0159
(11.7)
0.0160
(11.7)
0.0188
(10.5)
José Abreu 0.0334
0.0000
(14.2)
0.0152
(11.5)
0.0160
(11.3)
0.0160
(11.2)
0.0170
(10.0)
Mark Canha 0.0432
0.0000
(19.6)
0.0299
(7.9)
0.0257
(10.8)
0.0250
(11.1)
0.0307
(7.1)
Kyle Farmer 0.0340
0.0000
(11.7)
0.0158
(9.2)
0.0142
(10.4)
0.0140
(10.4)
0.0129
(10.6)
Nick Solak 0.0294
0.0000
(9.0)
0.0149
(7.0)
0.0127
(8.4)
0.0130
(8.2)
0.0113
(8.6)
Will Smith 0.0359
0.0000
(12.1)
0.0171
(9.1)
0.0123
(11.7)
0.0120
(11.8)
0.0161
(9.3)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ty France 0.0000 0.0415 19.3
2 Anthony Rizzo 0.0000 0.0399 16.2
3 Jonathan India 0.0000 0.0365 15.5
4 Victor Robles 0.0000 0.0434 11.6
5 Josh Harrison 0.0000 0.0323 11.4
6 Bradley Zimmer 0.0000 0.0431 10.9
7 Willson Contreras 0.0000 0.0290 8.3
8 Kurt Suzuki 0.0000 0.0445 8.1
9 Matt Beaty 0.0000 0.0427 7.2
10 Kolten Wong 0.0000 0.0264 7.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.0118 0.0365 15.1
2 Ty France 0.0199 0.0415 13.6
3 Josh Harrison 0.0156 0.0323 8.9
4 Sean Murphy 0.0072 0.0268 8.5
5 Javier Báez 0.0080 0.0238 8.2
6 Dylan Moore 0.0292 0.0106 7.3
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.0100 0.0242 7.2
8 Matt Beaty 0.0118 0.0427 7.1
9 Bradley Zimmer 0.0221 0.0431 7.0
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0157 0.0037 7.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.0159 0.0365 12.8
2 Ty France 0.0237 0.0415 11.5
3 Josh Harrison 0.0144 0.0323 9.9
4 Bradley Zimmer 0.0167 0.0431 9.1
5 Javier Báez 0.0079 0.0238 8.5
6 Kurt Suzuki 0.0118 0.0445 8.0
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.0103 0.0242 7.3
8 Sean Murphy 0.0112 0.0268 6.9
9 Rougned Odor 0.0130 0.0305 6.2
10 Matt Beaty 0.0160 0.0427 6.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.0160 0.0365 12.7
2 Ty France 0.0240 0.0415 11.1
3 Josh Harrison 0.0150 0.0323 9.4
4 Bradley Zimmer 0.0170 0.0431 8.9
5 Javier Báez 0.0080 0.0238 8.4
6 Tyler O'Neill 0.0100 0.0242 7.4
7 Sean Murphy 0.0110 0.0268 6.9
8 Rougned Odor 0.0130 0.0305 6.2
9 Matt Beaty 0.0160 0.0427 6.2
10 Brent Rooker 0.0140 0.0423 5.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Javier Báez 0.0066 0.0238 8.8
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.0071 0.0242 8.5
3 Mookie Betts 0.0061 0.0200 7.0
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0153 0.0037 7.0
5 Kyle Seager 0.0148 0.0060 6.7
6 Andrew Vaughn 0.0259 0.0128 6.7
7 Dylan Moore 0.0271 0.0106 6.7
8 Trevor Story 0.0062 0.0185 6.6
9 Kris Bryant 0.0252 0.0154 6.4
10 Harrison Bader 0.0273 0.0125 6.4

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Patrick Wisdom 0.1505
0.0584
(36.7)
0.0538
(36.4)
0.0512
(39.3)
0.0661
(33.2)
0.0698
(28.9)
Joey Votto 0.1108
0.0585
(31.0)
0.0418
(36.9)
0.0565
(31.8)
0.0551
(31.9)
0.0417
(34.8)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1277
0.0812
(28.6)
0.0823
(25.0)
0.0884
(24.4)
0.0895
(23.1)
0.0854
(21.0)
Gleyber Torres 0.0249
0.0744
(22.5)
0.0717
(23.9)
0.0758
(23.5)
0.0742
(23.3)
0.0819
(31.3)
Mike Zunino 0.1634
0.0563
(42.3)
0.0692
(35.5)
0.0818
(32.6)
0.0802
(32.8)
0.0859
(27.7)
Shohei Ohtani 0.1314
0.0677
(44.4)
0.0701
(39.4)
0.0823
(34.8)
0.0816
(34.5)
0.0761
(33.0)
Christian Yelich 0.0311
0.0977
(28.8)
0.0917
(28.6)
0.0855
(23.3)
0.0842
(23.2)
0.0849
(27.3)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0968
0.0605
(29.4)
0.0464
(35.4)
0.0619
(28.1)
0.0614
(27.6)
0.0576
(24.7)
Marcus Semien 0.0884
0.0515
(31.0)
0.0464
(30.7)
0.0507
(31.2)
0.0502
(30.7)
0.0585
(19.0)
Salvador Perez 0.1057
0.0647
(31.2)
0.0707
(23.5)
0.0721
(25.9)
0.0729
(24.6)
0.0723
(19.7)
Brandon Belt 0.1300
0.0476
(33.6)
0.0487
(31.2)
0.0548
(30.7)
0.0561
(29.8)
0.0508
(28.7)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Lowe 0.0596 0.1051 31.6
2 Kyle Seager 0.0456 0.0785 26.0
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0878 0.0452 23.5
4 Mitch Haniger 0.0576 0.0850 22.9
5 Cedric Mullins 0.0347 0.0621 22.5
6 Javier Báez 0.0614 0.0963 22.3
7 Ryan Mountcastle 0.0578 0.0868 20.5
8 Jose Altuve 0.0366 0.0600 19.8
9 Seth Brown 0.0455 0.1031 19.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler O'Neill 0.0645 0.1069 23.0
2 Jorge Polanco 0.0352 0.0693 22.2
3 Adolis García 0.0441 0.0793 22.1
4 Ryan Mountcastle 0.0526 0.0868 20.3
5 Seth Brown 0.0429 0.1031 18.6
6 Cedric Mullins 0.0352 0.0621 18.4
7 Adam Duvall 0.0784 0.1111 18.4
8 Robbie Grossman 0.0300 0.0561 17.7
9 Avisaíl García 0.0500 0.0841 17.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Polanco 0.0374 0.0693 24.0
2 Brandon Lowe 0.0738 0.1051 22.6
3 Cedric Mullins 0.0344 0.0621 22.3
4 Adam Duvall 0.0768 0.1111 22.0
5 Kyle Seager 0.0512 0.0785 21.9
6 Nelson Cruz 0.0512 0.0800 20.0
7 Avisaíl García 0.0508 0.0841 19.9
8 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0248 0.0709 19.6
9 Seth Brown 0.0451 0.1031 19.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Polanco 0.0376 0.0693 23.1
2 Brandon Lowe 0.0733 0.1051 22.2
3 Cedric Mullins 0.0351 0.0621 21.1
4 Adam Duvall 0.0785 0.1111 20.4
5 Avisaíl García 0.0504 0.0841 19.5
6 Seth Brown 0.0456 0.1031 18.9
7 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0255 0.0709 18.9
8 Ryan Mountcastle 0.0595 0.0868 18.5
9 César Hernández 0.0253 0.0479 17.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.1140 0.0842 22.6
2 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1333 0.0983 22.5
3 Miguel Sanó 0.1399 0.1042 21.0
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.1101 0.0792 20.6
5 Jorge Soler 0.1000 0.0698 20.5
6 Jorge Polanco 0.0351 0.0693 19.6
7 Yoán Moncada 0.0658 0.0384 19.2
8 Nelson Cruz 0.1081 0.0800 18.6
9 Avisaíl García 0.0443 0.0841 18.5

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Bryce Harper 0.3569
0.2971
(43.3)
0.2944
(40.8)
0.2858
(43.0)
0.2883
(43.2)
0.2988
(36.6)
Austin Riley 0.3678
0.2857
(62.5)
0.2892
(55.7)
0.2957
(48.2)
0.2991
(47.8)
0.2980
(48.1)
Tyler O'Neill 0.3662
0.3212
(30.8)
0.2931
(42.2)
0.2817
(45.8)
0.2874
(44.2)
0.2833
(46.1)
Eugenio Suárez 0.2240
0.3009
(37.0)
0.2958
(38.0)
0.2821
(32.9)
0.2849
(32.9)
0.2888
(35.5)
Cedric Mullins 0.3201
0.2814
(34.5)
0.2813
(30.0)
0.2760
(30.2)
0.2794
(29.8)
0.2815
(28.1)
Adam Frazier 0.3373
0.2877
(39.6)
0.2909
(33.2)
0.2891
(31.3)
0.2913
(31.6)
0.2903
(31.9)
Yuli Gurriel 0.3355
0.2913
(34.3)
0.2837
(34.7)
0.2743
(37.5)
0.2770
(37.5)
0.2607
(47.1)
Teoscar Hernández 0.3522
0.2961
(40.8)
0.3046
(31.6)
0.2970
(33.2)
0.3015
(32.2)
0.3039
(30.5)
Cody Bellinger 0.1963
0.3232
(40.1)
0.2927
(31.8)
0.2797
(28.9)
0.2830
(29.1)
0.2956
(33.7)
Starling Marte 0.3705
0.3014
(42.9)
0.3123
(33.5)
0.3057
(34.5)
0.3097
(33.8)
0.3100
(33.4)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Yastrzemski 0.3563 0.2532 48.3
2 Jarred Kelenic 0.3480 0.2156 45.2
3 Austin Meadows 0.3342 0.2493 42.8
4 Nicky Lopez 0.2767 0.3372 41.2
5 Trea Turner 0.3193 0.3623 35.8
6 Paul DeJong 0.3163 0.2161 35.3
7 Kyle Seager 0.2912 0.2263 35.2
8 Brandon Crawford 0.2866 0.3343 33.0
9 Brandon Nimmo 0.2919 0.3625 32.0
10 Brandon Lowe 0.3430 0.2801 31.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Randy Arozarena 0.2973 0.3634 43.3
2 Nicky Lopez 0.2731 0.3372 39.3
3 Mike Yastrzemski 0.3318 0.2532 38.9
4 Josh Rojas 0.2795 0.3401 36.4
5 Austin Meadows 0.3160 0.2493 36.1
6 Kevin Newman 0.3020 0.2333 35.0
7 Dylan Carlson 0.2824 0.3307 33.4
8 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2917 0.3941 32.0
9 Jorge Soler 0.3015 0.2444 31.0
10 Willi Castro 0.3443 0.2724 29.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Seager 0.2916 0.2263 43.2
2 Akil Baddoo 0.2449 0.3345 41.7
3 Randy Arozarena 0.3054 0.3634 35.4
4 Kevin Newman 0.2952 0.2333 33.8
5 Didi Gregorius 0.2916 0.2169 30.1
6 Trea Turner 0.3171 0.3623 29.6
7 Brandon Crawford 0.2828 0.3343 28.6
8 Josh Rojas 0.2892 0.3401 28.4
9 Paul DeJong 0.2875 0.2161 28.4
10 Tim Anderson 0.3226 0.3724 27.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.2480 0.3345 41.5
2 Randy Arozarena 0.3098 0.3634 34.4
3 Kevin Newman 0.2986 0.2333 34.2
4 César Hernández 0.3209 0.2662 32.6
5 Trea Turner 0.3180 0.3623 30.9
6 Paul DeJong 0.2921 0.2161 29.2
7 Buster Posey 0.2886 0.3493 29.1
8 Josh Rojas 0.2926 0.3401 28.1
9 Jarred Kelenic 0.2911 0.2156 27.2
10 Tim Anderson 0.3267 0.3724 27.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Yastrzemski 0.3223 0.2532 35.2
2 Nicky Lopez 0.2785 0.3372 34.8
3 Randy Arozarena 0.3095 0.3634 34.3
4 Jorge Soler 0.3037 0.2444 33.9
5 Akil Baddoo 0.2670 0.3345 32.5
6 César Hernández 0.3183 0.2662 31.3
7 Paul DeJong 0.2964 0.2161 31.1
8 Kevin Newman 0.2913 0.2333 30.5
9 Jarred Kelenic 0.2935 0.2156 28.3
10 Brandon Crawford 0.2870 0.3343 27.6

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Juan Soto 0.2753
0.2181
(41.5)
0.2277
(32.9)
0.2115
(40.9)
0.2258
(34.2)
0.2216
(36.0)
Austin Riley 0.2821
0.2032
(56.4)
0.2206
(42.5)
0.2217
(39.1)
0.2239
(40.3)
0.2086
(49.5)
Mike Yastrzemski 0.1551
0.2515
(48.0)
0.2275
(37.1)
0.2135
(31.8)
0.2088
(27.2)
0.2229
(35.4)
Bo Bichette 0.2741
0.2103
(48.3)
0.2268
(34.5)
0.2221
(34.9)
0.2255
(35.3)
0.2103
(44.9)
Eugenio Suárez 0.1494
0.2212
(37.7)
0.2254
(42.1)
0.2030
(31.5)
0.2150
(36.1)
0.2128
(35.6)
Michael A. Taylor 0.2665
0.1929
(42.2)
0.2089
(31.9)
0.2150
(26.5)
0.2125
(29.9)
0.1972
(37.3)
Adam Frazier 0.2564
0.2100
(33.6)
0.2109
(30.8)
0.2101
(28.7)
0.2160
(27.6)
0.2166
(26.3)
Yuli Gurriel 0.2680
0.2179
(34.1)
0.2057
(39.3)
0.1945
(43.7)
0.2046
(40.0)
0.1896
(48.2)
Teoscar Hernández 0.2742
0.2072
(43.6)
0.2132
(37.9)
0.2128
(35.8)
0.2175
(35.3)
0.2085
(39.9)
Starling Marte 0.2869
0.2146
(41.3)
0.2268
(33.1)
0.2323
(28.0)
0.2327
(29.9)
0.2378
(26.6)
Trea Turner 0.2820
0.2262
(40.1)
0.2388
(29.7)
0.2300
(32.7)
0.2337
(32.9)
0.2358
(30.7)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Meadows 0.2411 0.1645 41.6
2 Kyle Seager 0.2172 0.1533 38.6
3 Nicky Lopez 0.2174 0.2752 36.2
4 Jonathan Schoop 0.2070 0.2521 34.6
5 Brandon Nimmo 0.2013 0.2792 32.5
6 Nolan Arenado 0.2261 0.1702 32.4
7 Freddie Freeman 0.2241 0.2629 31.3
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2171 0.2648 31.3
9 Jarred Kelenic 0.2402 0.1514 31.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nicky Lopez 0.2048 0.2752 41.3
2 Javier Báez 0.2179 0.2818 36.4
3 Austin Meadows 0.2264 0.1645 35.0
4 Kevin Newman 0.2431 0.1812 32.8
5 Nolan Arenado 0.2222 0.1702 32.2
6 Dylan Carlson 0.1941 0.2388 29.4
7 Trevor Story 0.2375 0.1875 28.1
8 Willi Castro 0.2678 0.2027 28.1
9 Andrew McCutchen 0.2180 0.1667 27.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Seager 0.2165 0.1533 43.2
2 Tim Anderson 0.2338 0.2934 32.1
3 J.P. Crawford 0.1982 0.2455 31.6
4 Freddie Freeman 0.2207 0.2629 28.4
5 Trevor Story 0.2339 0.1875 28.4
6 Kevin Newman 0.2308 0.1812 28.2
7 Nick Castellanos 0.1903 0.2382 27.3
8 Bradley Zimmer 0.2096 0.2890 27.2
9 Andrew McCutchen 0.2116 0.1667 26.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Javier Báez 0.2210 0.2818 34.7
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.2192 0.2676 27.5
3 Kevin Newman 0.2334 0.1812 27.4
4 Freddie Freeman 0.2270 0.2629 26.8
5 Nicky Lopez 0.2308 0.2752 26.6
6 Jonathan Schoop 0.2157 0.2521 26.4
7 Salvador Perez 0.2020 0.2389 26.3
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2229 0.2648 25.8
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.2331 0.1908 25.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2065 0.2648 34.5
2 Nicky Lopez 0.2203 0.2752 31.8
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2024 0.2455 31.1
4 Andrew McCutchen 0.2208 0.1667 30.3
5 Tyler O'Neill 0.2146 0.2676 29.2
6 Jorge Soler 0.2185 0.1694 28.7
7 Freddie Freeman 0.2247 0.2629 27.5
8 Javier Báez 0.2340 0.2818 26.8
9 Brandon Nimmo 0.2125 0.2792 26.3

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Juan Soto 0.0519
0.0904
(21.8)
0.0893
(23.4)
0.0955
(27.4)
0.0839
(20.5)
0.0876
(23.9)
Bryce Harper 0.1292
0.0829
(30.8)
0.0888
(25.2)
0.0827
(28.9)
0.0782
(30.9)
0.0884
(24.0)
Freddie Freeman 0.0539
0.0862
(18.9)
0.0906
(24.4)
0.0934
(26.4)
0.0900
(24.7)
0.0985
(31.6)
Matt Chapman 0.0485
0.1000
(28.8)
0.0957
(28.3)
0.0824
(20.1)
0.0857
(22.8)
0.1000
(32.5)
Guillermo Heredia 0.1182
0.0582
(22.6)
0.0701
(17.2)
0.0691
(17.6)
0.0599
(20.4)
0.0594
(20.1)
Joey Gallo 0.0524
0.0836
(16.1)
0.0926
(23.8)
0.0827
(17.7)
0.0818
(17.8)
0.0984
(28.8)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael A. Taylor 0.1024 0.0479 26.1
2 Jesse Winker 0.0613 0.0988 20.6
3 Mitch Haniger 0.0887 0.0548 19.9
4 Bo Bichette 0.0958 0.0628 19.3
5 Kolten Wong 0.0599 0.0912 17.9
6 J.D. Martinez 0.0838 0.1055 17.0
7 Elias Díaz 0.0311 0.0690 15.9
8 Jeimer Candelario 0.0838 0.1034 15.5
9 Mitch Garver 0.0628 0.1200 15.1
10 Javier Báez 0.0942 0.0619 14.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.0979 0.0628 23.2
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0673 0.1080 23.1
3 Dominic Smith 0.1078 0.0608 22.4
4 Cedric Mullins 0.0521 0.0817 21.0
5 Michael A. Taylor 0.0886 0.0479 20.7
6 Carlos Santana 0.0643 0.0334 19.3
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0929 0.0592 18.6
8 Kolten Wong 0.0556 0.0912 18.3
9 Jeimer Candelario 0.0762 0.1034 18.0
10 Josh Rojas 0.0621 0.0930 17.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeimer Candelario 0.0626 0.1034 26.6
2 Josh Rojas 0.0524 0.0930 23.2
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0688 0.1080 22.3
4 Ketel Marte 0.0564 0.1086 20.1
5 Kyle Tucker 0.0638 0.0941 18.1
6 Rhys Hoskins 0.0742 0.1133 18.0
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.0608 0.0915 17.4
8 Akil Baddoo 0.0362 0.0712 16.9
9 Nick Ahmed 0.0579 0.0915 16.6
10 Byron Buxton 0.0866 0.1494 16.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0719 0.1080 20.0
2 Carlos Santana 0.0637 0.0334 19.6
3 Michael A. Taylor 0.0849 0.0479 19.2
4 Cedric Mullins 0.0557 0.0817 17.9
5 Rhys Hoskins 0.0744 0.1133 17.5
6 Jeimer Candelario 0.0767 0.1034 17.1
7 Byron Buxton 0.0867 0.1494 16.1
8 Bo Bichette 0.0865 0.0628 16.0
9 Kyle Tucker 0.0670 0.0941 15.7
10 Jesse Winker 0.0676 0.0988 15.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael A. Taylor 0.0917 0.0479 23.6
2 Jonathan India 0.0528 0.0907 23.4
3 Mitch Haniger 0.0856 0.0548 21.9
4 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0931 0.0592 20.1
5 Carlos Santana 0.0609 0.0334 18.6
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0733 0.1080 18.5
7 José Ramírez 0.1002 0.0737 17.4
8 Dominic Smith 0.0948 0.0608 17.2
9 Byron Buxton 0.0810 0.1494 17.2
10 Jake Bauers 0.0859 0.0348 16.3

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
J.P. Crawford 0.0000
0.0101
(6.2)
0.0126
(7.8)
0.0092
(6.0)
0.0090
(6.0)
0.0163
(9.5)
David Peralta 0.0206
0.0081
(7.3)
0.0086
(7.1)
0.0083
(6.8)
0.0080
(6.9)
0.0084
(7.9)
Chris Owings 0.1111
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0068
(5.3)
0.0062
(5.3)
0.0066
(5.2)
0.0087
(5.2)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0000
0.0142
(7.2)
0.0179
(9.1)
0.0126
(6.6)
0.0127
(6.8)
0.0200
(9.6)
Bobby Dalbec 0.0211
0.0070
(6.9)
0.0071
(6.9)
0.0056
(7.2)
0.0057
(7.1)
0.0045
(8.6)
Shohei Ohtani 0.0263
0.0104
(10.8)
0.0101
(11.2)
0.0077
(12.2)
0.0076
(12.1)
0.0078
(13.4)
Steven Duggar 0.0291
0.0000
(8.9)
0.0063
(7.1)
0.0059
(7.0)
0.0084
(6.2)
0.0129
(5.5)
Luis Arraez 0.0156
0.0046
(5.8)
0.0043
(6.0)
0.0041
(5.7)
0.0040
(5.7)
0.0040
(6.7)
Yoán Moncada 0.0028
0.0138
(6.1)
0.0138
(6.0)
0.0119
(5.3)
0.0113
(5.1)
0.0147
(5.8)
Jake Rogers 0.0469
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0078
(5.1)
0.0077
(5.0)
0.0068
(5.1)
0.0082
(5.2)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Rojas 0.0222 0.0087 6.9
2 Pavin Smith 0.0000 0.0105 6.3
3 Edmundo Sosa 0.0000 0.0179 6.2
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.0109 0.0190 5.9
5 Brandon Lowe 0.0106 0.0000 5.9
6 Sergio Alcántara 0.0000 0.0208 5.6
7 Hunter Dozier 0.0095 0.0186 5.5
8 Billy McKinney 0.0000 0.0168 5.3
9 Tommy Edman 0.0143 0.0055 5.3
10 Teoscar Hernández 0.0099 0.0000 5.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.0059 0.0249 9.3
2 Brett Phillips 0.0059 0.0305 7.5
3 Tommy Edman 0.0165 0.0055 6.7
4 Nicky Lopez 0.0040 0.0138 6.2
5 Brandon Lowe 0.0101 0.0000 5.5
6 Kyle Tucker 0.0183 0.0076 5.4
7 Teoscar Hernández 0.0102 0.0000 5.3
8 Myles Straw 0.0117 0.0023 5.2
9 Ketel Marte 0.0189 0.0037 5.2
10 Wander Franco 0.0059 0.0210 5.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.0099 0.0249 7.1
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.0098 0.0190 6.2
3 Brandon Lowe 0.0090 0.0000 5.3
4 Ozzie Albies 0.0076 0.0146 5.2
5 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0155 0.0281 5.1
6 Dom Nuñez 0.0052 0.0234 4.9
7 Max Kepler 0.0031 0.0127 4.9
8 Victor Reyes 0.0059 0.0263 4.6
9 Nicky Lopez 0.0062 0.0138 4.5
10 Wander Franco 0.0069 0.0210 4.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.0096 0.0249 7.1
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.0101 0.0190 5.9
3 Brandon Lowe 0.0088 0.0000 5.3
4 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0152 0.0281 5.1
5 Ozzie Albies 0.0077 0.0146 5.0
6 Dom Nuñez 0.0052 0.0234 4.9
7 Max Kepler 0.0032 0.0127 4.8
8 Nicky Lopez 0.0058 0.0138 4.6
9 Teoscar Hernández 0.0077 0.0000 4.5
10 Wander Franco 0.0071 0.0210 4.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.0154 0.0021 7.5
2 Raimel Tapia 0.0211 0.0048 7.4
3 Dom Nuñez 0.0049 0.0234 5.5
4 Trea Turner 0.0175 0.0065 5.5
5 Mike Zunino 0.0000 0.0118 5.3
6 Luis Urías 0.0146 0.0028 5.3
7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0258 0.0131 5.2
8 Franmil Reyes 0.0000 0.0083 5.0
9 Dylan Carlson 0.0210 0.0105 5.0
10 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0118 0.0022 5.0

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Brandon Crawford 0.1439
0.1036
(26.4)
0.1124
(18.2)
0.0985
(27.9)
0.1003
(24.4)
0.1047
(18.5)
Mike Zunino 0.1707
0.0897
(33.3)
0.1037
(25.7)
0.1130
(23.7)
0.1091
(23.4)
0.0989
(24.8)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1762
0.1436
(28.2)
0.1183
(41.6)
0.1438
(26.4)
0.1466
(21.3)
0.1281
(29.7)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DJ LeMahieu 0.1814 0.1237 33.9
2 Trent Grisham 0.1845 0.1157 32.1
3 David Fletcher 0.1639 0.1113 29.8
4 Myles Straw 0.0962 0.1348 29.6
5 Marcus Semien 0.1275 0.1588 28.3
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1253 0.1612 27.9
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.1238 0.1657 26.7
8 Buster Posey 0.0990 0.1498 26.6
9 Nicky Lopez 0.0991 0.1381 26.4
10 Carlos Correa 0.1297 0.1625 26.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.1356 0.1754 28.6
2 Carlos Correa 0.1210 0.1625 27.6
3 Carlos Santana 0.1388 0.1002 24.4
4 DJ LeMahieu 0.1599 0.1237 23.5
5 Dominic Smith 0.1354 0.0872 22.9
6 Didi Gregorius 0.1425 0.0858 22.5
7 Jonathan India 0.1232 0.1553 21.3
8 José Ramírez 0.1444 0.1745 20.2
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1317 0.1612 19.9
10 Buster Posey 0.1079 0.1498 19.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.1313 0.1754 34.2
2 Jonathan India 0.1105 0.1553 31.8
3 Tyler O'Neill 0.1166 0.1657 29.3
4 Starling Marte 0.1218 0.1692 27.8
5 Brandon Lowe 0.1213 0.1577 25.8
6 Joey Wendle 0.1018 0.1457 24.7
7 Mitch Haniger 0.1290 0.1592 24.7
8 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0975 0.1381 23.3
9 José Ramírez 0.1443 0.1745 22.7
10 Gleyber Torres 0.1461 0.0969 22.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.1090 0.1553 29.8
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.1172 0.1657 26.5
3 Starling Marte 0.1232 0.1692 24.6
4 Chris Taylor 0.1175 0.1581 24.1
5 Tim Anderson 0.1280 0.1706 23.9
6 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1524 0.1105 23.8
7 Gleyber Torres 0.1420 0.0969 22.8
8 Jake Cronenworth 0.1118 0.1462 22.7
9 Wander Franco 0.1017 0.1721 21.9
10 Joey Wendle 0.1045 0.1457 21.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.1060 0.1553 27.6
2 Gleyber Torres 0.1431 0.0969 26.7
3 Pat Valaika 0.1478 0.0605 26.1
4 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1499 0.1105 26.0
5 Didi Gregorius 0.1398 0.0858 24.3
6 DJ LeMahieu 0.1538 0.1237 24.2
7 Carlos Santana 0.1293 0.1002 22.8
8 Buster Posey 0.0956 0.1498 22.1
9 Dominic Smith 0.1257 0.0872 21.7
10 Brett Gardner 0.1422 0.1020 21.1

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Austin Meadows 0.1794
0.1248
(37.0)
0.1261
(32.0)
0.1282
(34.9)
0.1241
(36.3)
0.1303
(28.9)
Adam Duvall 0.2036
0.1472
(35.7)
0.1401
(35.7)
0.1314
(44.4)
0.1392
(39.2)
0.1451
(32.4)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Teoscar Hernández 0.1238 0.1950 47.1
2 Freddie Freeman 0.1848 0.1194 39.9
3 Carlos Santana 0.1721 0.1047 39.1
4 Hunter Renfroe 0.1109 0.1678 37.1
5 Mark Canha 0.1640 0.0976 36.5
6 Mike Zunino 0.0815 0.1653 34.4
7 Brandon Crawford 0.1096 0.1639 34.2
8 Patrick Wisdom 0.0812 0.1627 33.6
9 Joey Gallo 0.1858 0.1250 32.5
10 Josh Rojas 0.1471 0.0800 32.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.0967 0.1857 47.9
2 Teoscar Hernández 0.1314 0.1950 38.3
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.1301 0.0839 30.7
4 Brandon Crawford 0.1095 0.1639 30.4
5 Nick Castellanos 0.1214 0.1709 29.5
6 Jorge Polanco 0.1114 0.1522 26.8
7 Freddie Freeman 0.1587 0.1194 26.7
8 Avisaíl García 0.1183 0.1670 25.5
9 Ozzie Albies 0.1199 0.1545 24.4
10 Franmil Reyes 0.1335 0.1824 23.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.1134 0.1857 42.7
2 Brandon Crawford 0.1053 0.1639 36.5
3 Jesús Aguilar 0.1217 0.1824 35.0
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.1500 0.1950 31.4
5 Gleyber Torres 0.1634 0.0988 29.2
6 Kyle Seager 0.1176 0.1507 27.4
7 Salvador Perez 0.1496 0.1820 26.8
8 Nick Castellanos 0.1338 0.1709 26.3
9 Avisaíl García 0.1247 0.1670 25.8
10 Adolis García 0.1114 0.1447 25.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.1100 0.1857 43.7
2 Brandon Crawford 0.1089 0.1639 33.6
3 Teoscar Hernández 0.1465 0.1950 32.5
4 Jesús Aguilar 0.1303 0.1824 29.7
5 Jorge Polanco 0.1148 0.1522 28.1
6 Avisaíl García 0.1213 0.1670 26.7
7 Gleyber Torres 0.1556 0.0988 26.1
8 Nick Castellanos 0.1337 0.1709 25.4
9 Marcus Semien 0.1121 0.1409 25.3
10 Cody Bellinger 0.1779 0.1029 24.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.0881 0.1857 52.0
2 Juan Soto 0.2203 0.1453 49.2
3 Gleyber Torres 0.1785 0.0988 41.1
4 Freddie Freeman 0.1776 0.1194 40.5
5 Gary Sánchez 0.1964 0.1227 32.5
6 Cody Bellinger 0.1898 0.1029 30.5
7 Eric Hosmer 0.1687 0.1150 30.4
8 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0698 0.1470 29.4
9 DJ LeMahieu 0.1237 0.0839 27.1
10 Bryce Harper 0.1844 0.1402 26.5

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.2072
0.0849
(63.2)
0.0755
(68.5)
0.1079
(53.5)
0.1124
(50.8)
0.1505
(36.2)
Nicky Lopez 0.1272
0.0617
(38.3)
0.0260
(59.1)
0.0655
(38.4)
0.0660
(37.6)
0.0519
(50.9)
Adalberto Mondesi 0.7143
0.3894
(44.5)
0.3846
(45.3)
0.0526
(90.9)
0.4068
(42.6)
0.4466
(38.4)
Leody Taveras 0.3704
0.1441
(42.3)
0.1231
(46.4)
0.1522
(41.5)
0.1533
(41.2)
0.2000
(34.3)
Tommy Edman 0.1911
0.1000
(64.6)
0.0909
(71.6)
0.1012
(66.5)
0.1016
(65.6)
0.0986
(74.1)
Starling Marte 0.2956
0.1563
(74.6)
0.1667
(69.6)
0.1405
(84.9)
0.1421
(83.6)
0.1748
(71.3)
Whit Merrifield 0.2312
0.1290
(75.3)
0.1442
(65.1)
0.1371
(72.3)
0.1395
(70.0)
0.1728
(52.7)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Carlson 0.1039 0.0126 55.1
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0935 0.1646 47.0
3 Austin Slater 0.0625 0.2055 44.5
4 Manuel Margot 0.2000 0.1140 38.8
5 Billy Hamilton 0.1890 0.4737 38.8
6 Jake Cronenworth 0.0880 0.0258 38.5
7 Eddie Rosario 0.0348 0.1236 37.6
8 Josh Rojas 0.1333 0.0643 36.7
9 Max Kepler 0.0234 0.0943 35.9
10 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2017 0.0789 35.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 0.0909 0.1765 60.1
2 Adolis García 0.0435 0.1345 58.7
3 Brett Phillips 0.0526 0.2295 52.7
4 Akil Baddoo 0.0526 0.1607 51.4
5 Jonathan Villar 0.2128 0.1129 48.7
6 Ozzie Albies 0.0897 0.1471 41.7
7 Dylan Moore 0.1644 0.2658 39.5
8 Tyler Wade 0.1111 0.3778 39.2
9 David Fletcher 0.0377 0.0915 38.0
10 Bo Bichette 0.0909 0.1412 37.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Billy Hamilton 0.0526 0.4737 57.7
2 Gregory Polanco 0.0526 0.1687 46.8
3 Dylan Carlson 0.0909 0.0126 44.6
4 Jarrod Dyson 0.0526 0.3448 44.5
5 Ozzie Albies 0.0902 0.1471 43.3
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1086 0.1646 39.8
7 Austin Slater 0.0835 0.2055 39.3
8 Josh Rojas 0.1396 0.0643 38.0
9 Lorenzo Cain 0.0526 0.1781 37.7
10 Eddie Rosario 0.0386 0.1236 37.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Carlson 0.0914 0.0126 45.4
2 Jonathan Villar 0.2072 0.1129 44.9
3 Ozzie Albies 0.0896 0.1471 43.1
4 Josh Rojas 0.1434 0.0643 40.5
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1073 0.1646 40.0
6 Austin Slater 0.0853 0.2055 38.4
7 Eddie Rosario 0.0368 0.1236 38.0
8 Tyler Wade 0.1269 0.3778 37.2
9 Gregory Polanco 0.0788 0.1687 36.4
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0196 0.0670 35.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Villar 0.2690 0.1129 71.3
2 Bo Bichette 0.2250 0.1412 47.6
3 Myles Straw 0.2406 0.1596 42.3
4 Dylan Carlson 0.0924 0.0126 40.3
5 Kris Bryant 0.0199 0.0676 36.6
6 David Fletcher 0.0520 0.0915 36.1
7 Max Kepler 0.0376 0.0943 35.0
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0305 0.0670 34.9
9 Brandon Crawford 0.0256 0.0743 34.8
10 Austin Slater 0.1066 0.2055 34.8

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Nicky Lopez 0.2998
0.2443
(36.7)
0.2340
(39.7)
0.2597
(25.4)
0.2620
(24.9)
0.2449
(29.2)
Bryce Harper 0.3094
0.2650
(32.3)
0.2547
(35.4)
0.2515
(37.6)
0.2543
(36.8)
0.2588
(28.4)
Austin Riley 0.3034
0.2395
(48.5)
0.2379
(46.2)
0.2534
(36.3)
0.2555
(35.8)
0.2387
(40.7)
Tyler O'Neill 0.2863
0.2485
(25.4)
0.2333
(30.8)
0.2278
(34.0)
0.2328
(32.1)
0.2272
(30.0)
Cedric Mullins 0.2907
0.2409
(40.0)
0.2374
(39.0)
0.2390
(38.2)
0.2429
(36.5)
0.2452
(28.5)
Brandon Crawford 0.2981
0.2418
(36.1)
0.2452
(31.5)
0.2340
(37.9)
0.2392
(35.8)
0.2385
(30.9)
Teoscar Hernández 0.2964
0.2424
(37.7)
0.2468
(32.1)
0.2366
(38.5)
0.2398
(37.4)
0.2474
(27.2)
Yuli Gurriel 0.3189
0.2694
(35.6)
0.2751
(29.1)
0.2685
(33.4)
0.2702
(33.2)
0.2587
(34.4)
Cody Bellinger 0.1651
0.2935
(41.6)
0.2711
(35.6)
0.2756
(37.0)
0.2772
(37.1)
0.2727
(38.8)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Frazier 0.2626 0.3050 33.2
2 Trea Turner 0.2860 0.3277 33.1
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.2634 0.1980 32.1
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2758 0.3113 31.4
5 Josh Harrison 0.2379 0.2792 28.3
6 Nick Castellanos 0.2704 0.3089 28.0
7 Matt Chapman 0.2642 0.2098 28.0
8 Jarred Kelenic 0.2637 0.1810 27.6
9 Bo Bichette 0.2687 0.2984 27.0
10 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2600 0.3382 25.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2629 0.3113 36.8
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.2590 0.1980 32.5
3 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2406 0.1628 31.4
4 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2396 0.3382 30.5
5 Adam Frazier 0.2625 0.3050 29.9
6 Trea Turner 0.2877 0.3277 28.7
7 Kyle Tucker 0.2500 0.2945 27.7
8 Bryan Reynolds 0.2661 0.3023 26.3
9 J.P. Crawford 0.2397 0.2730 25.9
10 Matt Chapman 0.2549 0.2098 25.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Brantley 0.2474 0.3113 35.0
2 Akil Baddoo 0.1915 0.2591 33.4
3 Nick Castellanos 0.2578 0.3089 32.7
4 Trea Turner 0.2838 0.3277 31.6
5 Adam Frazier 0.2623 0.3050 30.4
6 Bryan Reynolds 0.2604 0.3023 30.2
7 Buster Posey 0.2474 0.3038 27.8
8 J.P. Crawford 0.2377 0.2730 27.6
9 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2588 0.2935 26.9
10 Matt Olson 0.2362 0.2708 26.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.1935 0.2591 33.1
2 Nick Castellanos 0.2593 0.3089 32.6
3 Trea Turner 0.2853 0.3277 31.5
4 Adam Frazier 0.2647 0.3050 29.7
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.2633 0.3023 29.3
6 J.P. Crawford 0.2403 0.2730 26.7
7 Aaron Judge 0.2523 0.2873 26.1
8 Buster Posey 0.2544 0.3038 25.3
9 Ty France 0.2582 0.2907 25.2
10 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2597 0.3382 25.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.2475 0.3023 33.3
2 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2333 0.1628 31.6
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.2467 0.1980 29.8
4 Didi Gregorius 0.2750 0.2092 28.2
5 DJ LeMahieu 0.3059 0.2680 27.9
6 Willi Castro 0.2770 0.2203 27.0
7 Jonathan India 0.2243 0.2688 26.0
8 Andrelton Simmons 0.2777 0.2233 26.0
9 Carlos Santana 0.2500 0.2142 25.8
10 Kyle Seager 0.2463 0.2123 25.0

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Austin Riley 0.3671
0.2983
(46.5)
0.3012
(45.3)
0.3168
(37.7)
0.3186
(36.9)
0.2968
(39.7)
Bryan Reynolds 0.3901
0.3449
(30.2)
0.3352
(37.1)
0.3336
(40.8)
0.3350
(40.3)
0.3188
(39.4)
Cedric Mullins 0.3596
0.2954
(44.4)
0.3039
(39.3)
0.2982
(45.9)
0.3023
(43.7)
0.2959
(36.0)
Brandon Crawford 0.3734
0.3068
(37.4)
0.3170
(32.3)
0.3079
(39.7)
0.3132
(37.1)
0.3024
(33.3)
Yuli Gurriel 0.3835
0.3113
(44.6)
0.3197
(40.1)
0.3195
(42.7)
0.3212
(42.1)
0.3030
(42.4)
Cody Bellinger 0.2400
0.3829
(49.5)
0.3620
(41.8)
0.3753
(45.0)
0.3768
(45.3)
0.3657
(47.6)
Jonathan India 0.3762
0.3271
(32.0)
0.3212
(36.3)
0.3180
(41.0)
0.3201
(40.0)
0.3140
(32.7)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3402 0.4011 43.7
2 Juan Soto 0.4074 0.4648 38.6
3 Starling Marte 0.3139 0.3829 37.1
4 Nicky Lopez 0.3033 0.3653 35.9
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.3485 0.2857 35.2
6 Adam Frazier 0.3184 0.3679 32.6
7 Bryce Harper 0.3764 0.4288 32.3
8 C.J. Cron 0.3174 0.3748 32.2
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.3236 0.3725 32.2
10 Josh Harrison 0.2868 0.3411 31.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3325 0.4011 49.7
2 Nicky Lopez 0.2920 0.3653 42.8
3 Juan Soto 0.4032 0.4648 42.0
4 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3232 0.2360 36.3
5 Bryce Harper 0.3769 0.4288 32.6
6 Eugenio Suárez 0.3447 0.2857 32.4
7 Kevin Newman 0.3235 0.2646 31.3
8 C.J. Cron 0.3212 0.3748 30.7
9 Dylan Carlson 0.2974 0.3430 29.8
10 David Fletcher 0.3446 0.2974 29.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.2569 0.3297 36.6
2 Ty France 0.3212 0.3677 34.6
3 Starling Marte 0.3241 0.3829 34.4
4 Buster Posey 0.3212 0.3899 34.2
5 Tyler O'Neill 0.2975 0.3520 32.9
6 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3180 0.2360 32.2
7 Yoán Moncada 0.3301 0.3750 31.8
8 Juan Soto 0.4248 0.4648 30.6
9 Bryce Harper 0.3868 0.4288 29.2
10 Adam Frazier 0.3293 0.3679 29.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Akil Baddoo 0.2584 0.3297 36.3
2 Ty France 0.3233 0.3677 33.7
3 Starling Marte 0.3280 0.3829 32.8
4 Buster Posey 0.3273 0.3899 31.8
5 Tyler O'Neill 0.3008 0.3520 31.4
6 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3161 0.2360 31.1
7 Yoán Moncada 0.3321 0.3750 31.0
8 Juan Soto 0.4269 0.4648 29.6
9 Adam Frazier 0.3299 0.3679 29.0
10 Yasmani Grandal 0.3503 0.4198 28.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3168 0.2360 39.0
2 Carlos Santana 0.3669 0.3187 38.6
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.3416 0.2857 38.0
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3411 0.4011 34.7
5 Kyle Seager 0.3247 0.2851 33.5
6 Kevin Newman 0.3120 0.2646 32.0
7 David Fletcher 0.3293 0.2974 28.1
8 Tyler O'Neill 0.2898 0.3520 27.8
9 Hunter Dozier 0.3255 0.2855 27.4
10 Starling Marte 0.3209 0.3829 27.2

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.6010
0.4934
(93.6)
0.4400
(119.4)
0.5207
(70.3)
0.5228
(67.1)
0.4982
(64.3)
Tyler O'Neill 0.5602
0.4545
(71.0)
0.4185
(81.4)
0.4308
(80.4)
0.4428
(72.7)
0.4360
(60.9)
Mike Zunino 0.5586
0.3636
(83.1)
0.3862
(68.4)
0.3875
(71.8)
0.3853
(71.7)
0.3904
(59.0)
Cedric Mullins 0.5183
0.3909
(103.9)
0.3813
(99.2)
0.3857
(103.2)
0.3888
(99.6)
0.3900
(79.4)
Brandon Crawford 0.5217
0.4009
(80.9)
0.3903
(77.6)
0.3687
(95.2)
0.3842
(85.4)
0.3720
(76.3)
Shohei Ohtani 0.5922
0.4665
(97.3)
0.4765
(80.3)
0.4957
(74.6)
0.4918
(75.6)
0.4716
(70.2)
Christian Yelich 0.3734
0.5361
(64.7)
0.5583
(83.0)
0.5286
(64.1)
0.5239
(62.9)
0.5229
(76.1)
Joey Votto 0.5625
0.4481
(75.1)
0.4202
(81.2)
0.4439
(74.0)
0.4382
(75.9)
0.3844
(89.2)
Cody Bellinger 0.3016
0.5562
(79.8)
0.5190
(72.6)
0.5697
(86.7)
0.5587
(83.7)
0.5455
(89.1)
Brandon Belt 0.5969
0.4435
(68.6)
0.4381
(64.3)
0.4284
(71.9)
0.4461
(64.3)
0.4239
(61.8)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Salvador Perez 0.4435 0.5435 84.2
2 Marcus Semien 0.4613 0.5383 75.0
3 Buster Posey 0.3740 0.4987 68.7
4 Bryce Harper 0.5395 0.6148 61.0
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.4570 0.5224 59.4
6 Kyle Tucker 0.4831 0.5573 57.1
7 Jose Altuve 0.4319 0.4892 56.9
8 Elias Díaz 0.3393 0.4645 56.3
9 Jake Cronenworth 0.3995 0.4603 56.2
10 C.J. Cron 0.4553 0.5298 55.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DJ LeMahieu 0.4881 0.3618 78.9
2 Marcus Semien 0.4409 0.5383 77.8
3 Bryce Harper 0.4969 0.6148 76.6
4 Austin Riley 0.4309 0.5305 72.6
5 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.4250 0.2610 65.9
6 Kyle Tucker 0.4533 0.5573 64.6
7 Dominic Smith 0.4983 0.3632 61.6
8 Luis Urías 0.3538 0.4449 57.6
9 Carlos Santana 0.4387 0.3416 57.4
10 Buster Posey 0.3889 0.4987 54.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Semien 0.4444 0.5383 82.7
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.4282 0.5224 73.9
3 Akil Baddoo 0.3036 0.4358 70.3
4 Bryce Harper 0.5190 0.6148 69.6
5 Gleyber Torres 0.5116 0.3660 64.6
6 Nick Castellanos 0.4907 0.5763 62.0
7 Jorge Polanco 0.4275 0.5034 62.0
8 Salvador Perez 0.4727 0.5435 60.6
9 Brandon Lowe 0.4488 0.5234 58.4
10 Kyle Tucker 0.4756 0.5573 57.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Semien 0.4456 0.5383 80.2
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.4290 0.5224 71.9
3 Bryce Harper 0.5192 0.6148 68.1
4 Akil Baddoo 0.3107 0.4358 66.0
5 Nick Castellanos 0.4824 0.5763 65.5
6 Buster Posey 0.3738 0.4987 64.9
7 Gleyber Torres 0.5063 0.3660 63.1
8 Patrick Wisdom 0.3811 0.5178 58.0
9 Adolis García 0.3793 0.4544 57.9
10 Jorge Polanco 0.4320 0.5034 57.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gleyber Torres 0.5259 0.3660 88.0
2 Matt Chapman 0.5208 0.4026 80.2
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.4634 0.3618 76.2
4 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.4125 0.2610 69.5
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.4138 0.5224 63.2
6 Dominic Smith 0.4737 0.3632 59.7
7 Carlos Santana 0.4182 0.3416 57.5
8 Pat Valaika 0.4779 0.2896 55.9
9 Andrelton Simmons 0.3843 0.2743 54.5
10 Buster Posey 0.3686 0.4987 54.2

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Mike Fiers 45
471
(426.0)
443
(398.0)
598
(553.4)
643
(597.6)
554
(509.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 126 768 642.1
2 Stephen Strasburg 707 95 611.9
3 Chris Archer 606 83 523.1
4 James Paxton 513 5 508.1
5 Jacob deGrom 827 324 503.0
6 Vladimir Gutierrez 1 496 495.0
7 Kohei Arihara 660 178 482.1
8 Dustin May 573 93 480.1
9 Luis Garcia 163 633 470.0
10 Tanner Roark 500 31 468.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 159 768 609.0
2 Chris Flexen 139 741 602.0
3 Shane McClanahan 1 517 516.0
4 Logan Gilbert 1 503 502.0
5 Vladimir Gutierrez 1 496 495.0
6 Luis Garcia 166 633 467.0
7 Alek Manoah 1 459 458.0
8 Julio Urías 321 745 424.0
9 Walker Buehler 399 815 416.0
10 Nathan Eovaldi 349 764 415.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 1 828 827.0
2 Cole Irvin 119 768 649.5
3 Garrett Richards 1 617 616.0
4 Matt Harvey 1 582 581.0
5 Luis Garcia 103 633 530.2
6 Wil Crowe 1 524 523.0
7 Alec Mills 1 517 516.0
8 Julio Teheran 519 20 499.1
9 Caleb Smith 1 500 499.0
10 John Gant 1 491 490.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Stephen Strasburg 687 95 591.9
2 Tanner Roark 599 31 567.7
3 Cole Irvin 208 768 559.6
4 Josh Lindblom 639 85 554.2
5 James Paxton 557 5 552.1
6 Chris Archer 590 83 507.0
7 Michael Lorenzen 626 125 500.7
8 Julio Teheran 508 20 487.6
9 Tejay Antone 606 128 477.6
10 Jacob deGrom 800 324 476.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dakota Hudson 691 34 657.1
2 Bernardo Flores Jr. 649 3 646.1
3 Peter Lambert 653 30 623.0
4 Julio Teheran 639 20 619.1
5 Angel Rondón 604 7 596.9
6 Darren McCaughan 624 39 585.1
7 Tanner Roark 592 31 560.9
8 Dustin May 645 93 551.9
9 Packy Naughton 651 108 543.1
10 Tyler Beede 545 6 539.1

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Adam Wainwright 0.2731
0.1313
(35.3)
0.3159
(31.4)
0.3143
(180.9)
0.3062
(36.1)
0.3070
(36.3)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.1234 0.2315 50.2
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1117 0.3576 46.1
3 Carlos Rodón 0.1464 0.2462 45.3
4 Julio Urías 0.1387 0.2651 43.3
5 Freddy Peralta 0.1400 0.2518 42.2
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.1129 0.3555 41.8
7 Jake Arrieta 0.1256 0.3989 41.7
8 Robbie Ray 0.1551 0.2862 41.3
9 Sandy Alcantara 0.1404 0.2776 39.6
10 Kyle Hendricks 0.1094 0.3435 38.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.3124 0.2315 50.0
2 Patrick Corbin 0.3073 0.3576 41.3
3 Kyle Hendricks 0.2974 0.3435 39.9
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.3051 0.3555 39.8
5 Brad Keller 0.2988 0.3584 39.4
6 Zach Davies 0.3078 0.3617 39.3
7 Carlos Rodón 0.3225 0.2462 38.2
8 Ranger Suárez 0.3310 0.2370 37.3
9 Kevin Gausman 0.3169 0.2647 36.7
10 Robbie Ray 0.3376 0.2862 36.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.3143 0.2727 100.5
2 Caleb Smith 0.3143 0.3182 86.7
3 John Gant 0.3143 0.3201 84.2
4 Garrett Richards 0.3143 0.3569 83.1
5 Matt Harvey 0.3143 0.3539 80.1
6 Paolo Espino 0.3143 0.3183 78.8
7 Nestor Cortes 0.3143 0.2840 77.6
8 Alec Mills 0.3143 0.3420 77.3
9 Taylor Hearn 0.3143 0.3203 75.5
10 Craig Stammen 0.3143 0.2796 75.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.3170 0.2462 43.5
2 Corbin Burnes 0.2846 0.2315 41.8
3 Zack Wheeler 0.2916 0.2553 39.7
4 Patrick Corbin 0.2948 0.3576 39.2
5 Ranger Suárez 0.3089 0.2370 34.5
6 Jake Arrieta 0.3188 0.3989 32.6
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.2886 0.3736 32.5
8 Julio Urías 0.2964 0.2651 31.2
9 Freddy Peralta 0.2941 0.2518 30.6
10 Sandy Alcantara 0.3020 0.2776 29.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dallas Keuchel 0.2836 0.3555 44.6
2 Patrick Corbin 0.2912 0.3576 42.3
3 Carlos Rodón 0.3108 0.2462 39.8
4 Jake Arrieta 0.3060 0.3989 38.9
5 J.A. Happ 0.2939 0.3601 37.7
6 Zach Davies 0.2963 0.3617 37.1
7 Kyle Hendricks 0.2879 0.3435 35.8
8 Zack Wheeler 0.2870 0.2553 35.3
9 Jesús Luzardo 0.2838 0.3736 34.9
10 Garrett Richards 0.2906 0.3569 34.8

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Corbin Burnes 0.3562
0.2819
(45.3)
0.2809
(49.0)
0.2790
(51.1)
0.2817
(47.6)
0.2900
(34.6)
Jacob deGrom 0.4506
0.3168
(41.6)
0.3068
(46.4)
0.3441
(34.7)
0.3461
(33.2)
0.3043
(43.1)
Dylan Cease 0.3192
0.2102
(73.4)
0.2173
(71.8)
0.2355
(59.7)
0.2288
(62.6)
0.2246
(57.5)
Zack Wheeler 0.2909
0.2070
(66.7)
0.2255
(55.1)
0.2283
(53.7)
0.2322
(48.2)
0.2187
(49.9)
Carlos Rodón 0.3464
0.2286
(60.1)
0.2214
(66.5)
0.2192
(68.3)
0.2202
(66.4)
0.2294
(55.4)
Chris Flexen 0.1687
0.2395
(56.4)
0.2158
(35.4)
0.2472
(57.7)
0.2514
(62.8)
0.2324
(57.2)
Paul Sewald 0.3939
0.2137
(46.2)
0.2231
(45.0)
0.2320
(42.9)
0.2068
(48.9)
0.2305
(39.6)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sandy Alcantara 0.1800 0.2401 45.8
2 Patrick Corbin 0.2420 0.1904 42.8
3 Logan Webb 0.1916 0.2651 40.6
4 Erick Fedde 0.1442 0.2169 39.7
5 Zack Greinke 0.2217 0.1722 38.3
6 Alex Cobb 0.1480 0.2494 37.7
7 Ranger Suárez 0.1632 0.2560 36.5
8 Kevin Gausman 0.2436 0.2929 34.0
9 Alex Wood 0.1971 0.2598 33.5
10 Matt Manning 0.2276 0.1481 32.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.2585 0.1904 51.5
2 Zack Greinke 0.2350 0.1722 44.2
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1921 0.1319 43.7
4 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2338 0.1655 40.3
5 Matt Peacock 0.2320 0.1295 39.8
6 Cole Irvin 0.2138 0.1628 39.7
7 Jon Lester 0.2061 0.1451 38.6
8 Michael Kopech 0.2302 0.3614 37.2
9 Kevin Gausman 0.2461 0.2929 35.8
10 Chi Chi González 0.2040 0.1250 35.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chi Chi González 0.2320 0.1250 47.6
2 Sean Manaea 0.2045 0.2573 40.3
3 Luis Castillo 0.2892 0.2391 39.7
4 Logan Webb 0.1991 0.2651 39.7
5 Matt Harvey 0.2320 0.1632 39.6
6 Matt Peacock 0.2320 0.1295 39.3
7 Nick Pivetta 0.2103 0.2648 36.4
8 Yusmeiro Petit 0.2320 0.1182 35.4
9 Wily Peralta 0.2320 0.1443 35.0
10 Drew Smyly 0.2776 0.2143 34.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Castillo 0.2899 0.2391 42.4
2 Sean Manaea 0.1998 0.2573 41.9
3 Nick Pivetta 0.2017 0.2648 40.4
4 Drew Smyly 0.2826 0.2143 38.4
5 Patrick Corbin 0.2381 0.1904 37.3
6 Logan Webb 0.2038 0.2651 35.4
7 Tanner Houck 0.1892 0.3053 32.5
8 Frankie Montas 0.2230 0.2661 32.0
9 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.2368 0.1774 30.4
10 Jon Lester 0.1899 0.1451 29.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 0.2376 0.1722 55.0
2 Patrick Corbin 0.2490 0.1904 54.1
3 Lucas Giolito 0.3402 0.2792 53.6
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.1918 0.1319 52.8
5 Walker Buehler 0.3079 0.2601 49.9
6 Michael Kopech 0.2023 0.3614 41.5
7 Wily Peralta 0.2320 0.1443 40.7
8 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2162 0.1655 37.6
9 Garrett Richards 0.2325 0.1864 36.7
10 Yusmeiro Petit 0.2202 0.1182 36.1

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Corbin Burnes 0.0518
0.0860
(24.7)
0.0903
(25.9)
0.0958
(28.9)
0.0956
(27.5)
0.0872
(20.4)
Antonio Senzatela 0.0478
0.0806
(24.3)
0.0830
(24.2)
0.0841
(24.3)
0.0819
(21.6)
0.0841
(21.3)
John Gant 0.1446
0.1051
(17.8)
0.1061
(18.5)
0.0869
(28.3)
0.1077
(19.1)
0.1026
(22.8)
Robbie Ray 0.0673
0.1239
(46.4)
0.1208
(42.1)
0.1206
(41.2)
0.1212
(40.2)
0.1205
(37.7)
Sandy Alcantara 0.0597
0.0963
(33.4)
0.0943
(29.6)
0.0969
(31.1)
0.0934
(26.6)
0.0996
(29.6)
Chris Flexen 0.0540
0.0754
(18.3)
0.1007
(35.3)
0.0905
(27.0)
0.0874
(23.3)
0.0823
(17.7)
Zach Davies 0.1123
0.0773
(21.1)
0.0774
(22.7)
0.0770
(23.6)
0.0764
(25.3)
0.0674
(33.0)
Adbert Alzolay 0.0655
0.1090
(24.3)
0.1020
(19.4)
0.1075
(21.8)
0.1084
(21.2)
0.1136
(22.7)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.0839 0.0510 27.0
2 Shane McClanahan 0.1174 0.0716 25.4
3 Aaron Nola 0.0800 0.0521 23.4
4 Tyler Anderson 0.0835 0.0541 23.0
5 Adam Wainwright 0.0846 0.0604 22.8
6 Tarik Skubal 0.1055 0.0741 22.0
7 Luis Garcia 0.1104 0.0790 22.0
8 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0670 0.0458 18.7
9 Carlos Rodón 0.0985 0.0674 18.4
10 Huascar Ynoa 0.1124 0.0672 18.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.0841 0.0510 25.3
2 Aaron Nola 0.0849 0.0521 25.2
3 Tyler Anderson 0.0888 0.0541 25.0
4 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0745 0.0458 22.6
5 Kolby Allard 0.0976 0.0581 21.6
6 Cole Irvin 0.0818 0.0547 21.5
7 Blake Snell 0.0888 0.1255 19.7
8 José Alvarado 0.1088 0.1873 19.5
9 Joe Jiménez 0.0806 0.1667 17.9
10 Logan Webb 0.0895 0.0604 17.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.0903 0.0510 29.2
2 Luis Garcia 0.1187 0.0790 25.1
3 Alex Reyes 0.0869 0.1640 24.4
4 Tyler Anderson 0.0869 0.0541 23.1
5 Aaron Nola 0.0818 0.0521 22.3
6 Adam Wainwright 0.0869 0.0604 22.0
7 Kolby Allard 0.0992 0.0581 22.0
8 Blake Snell 0.0893 0.1255 19.9
9 Caleb Smith 0.0869 0.1260 19.5
10 Junior Guerra 0.0869 0.1498 19.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.0869 0.0510 25.3
2 Luis Garcia 0.1198 0.0790 24.6
3 Tyler Anderson 0.0860 0.0541 21.1
4 Aaron Nola 0.0821 0.0521 21.0
5 Blake Snell 0.0914 0.1255 19.8
6 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.0841 0.1111 19.8
7 Kolby Allard 0.0952 0.0581 18.8
8 Ryan Weathers 0.1228 0.0748 18.5
9 José Alvarado 0.1195 0.1873 17.5
10 Logan Webb 0.0916 0.0604 17.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Garcia 0.1360 0.0790 33.3
2 Germán Márquez 0.0608 0.0847 21.4
3 Jesús Luzardo 0.0668 0.1098 20.7
4 Chi Chi González 0.1118 0.0625 20.1
5 Blake Snell 0.0947 0.1255 19.4
6 Tyler Kinley 0.1576 0.0881 19.2
7 Adrian Houser 0.0793 0.1068 19.2
8 Joe Jiménez 0.0852 0.1667 18.0
9 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.0896 0.1111 17.8
10 Triston McKenzie 0.0868 0.1172 17.2

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Joe Musgrove 0.0241
0.0000
(9.3)
0.0123
(8.3)
0.0111
(8.6)
0.0111
(8.7)
0.0118
(8.9)
Dillon Maples 0.0576
0.0000
(6.4)
0.0171
(5.5)
0.0116
(6.2)
0.0138
(5.9)
0.0205
(5.1)
Alex Wood 0.0274
0.0000
(9.2)
0.0122
(8.5)
0.0113
(8.6)
0.0117
(8.4)
0.0098
(10.0)
Rich Hill 0.0242
0.0000
(8.4)
0.0117
(7.8)
0.0115
(7.4)
0.0114
(7.6)
0.0136
(6.8)
Carlos Martinez 0.0303
0.0000
(6.8)
0.0144
(5.5)
0.0116
(6.3)
0.0116
(6.3)
0.0119
(6.5)
Dan Winkler 0.0474
0.0000
(6.8)
0.0130
(6.4)
0.0116
(6.5)
0.0120
(6.5)
0.0182
(5.5)
Austin Adams 0.0996
0.0000
(21.2)
0.0074
(22.1)
0.0113
(20.9)
0.0121
(20.7)
0.0112
(21.2)
Alek Manoah 0.0349
0.0000
(10.7)
0.0116
(10.4)
0.0116
(10.0)
0.0116
(10.1)
0.0116
(10.5)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0225 8.3
2 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0014 7.1
3 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0028 6.4
4 Lucas Giolito 0.0000 0.0028 6.3
5 Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0000 0.0029 6.1
6 Zack Greinke 0.0000 0.0029 6.1
7 Edwin Díaz 0.0000 0.0350 6.0
8 José Berríos 0.0000 0.0192 6.0
9 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0000 0.0030 5.8
10 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.0030 5.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.0104 0.0014 6.8
2 Lucas Giolito 0.0105 0.0028 6.0
3 Lance Lynn 0.0118 0.0031 6.0
4 Ross Detwiler 0.0091 0.0349 5.8
5 Ian Anderson 0.0118 0.0019 5.7
6 Kendall Graveman 0.0103 0.0360 5.6
7 Wade Miley 0.0116 0.0043 5.4
8 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0103 0.0030 5.4
9 Taijuan Walker 0.0135 0.0061 5.3
10 Brett de Geus 0.0116 0.0336 5.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.0105 0.0028 6.6
2 Tyler Anderson 0.0090 0.0014 6.3
3 Lance Lynn 0.0108 0.0031 5.8
4 Edwin Díaz 0.0120 0.0350 5.6
5 Kendall Graveman 0.0098 0.0360 5.5
6 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0092 0.0030 5.1
7 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0090 0.0030 5.1
8 Charlie Morton 0.0144 0.0225 5.1
9 Ross Detwiler 0.0116 0.0349 5.0
10 Chad Kuhl 0.0101 0.0258 5.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.0105 0.0028 6.5
2 Tyler Anderson 0.0090 0.0014 6.3
3 Lance Lynn 0.0108 0.0031 5.8
4 Edwin Díaz 0.0120 0.0350 5.6
5 Kendall Graveman 0.0097 0.0360 5.5
6 Ross Detwiler 0.0093 0.0349 5.5
7 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0095 0.0030 5.3
8 Brett de Geus 0.0104 0.0336 5.2
9 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0090 0.0030 5.0
10 Chad Kuhl 0.0100 0.0258 5.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Hendricks 0.0085 0.0166 6.1
2 Kendall Graveman 0.0092 0.0360 5.9
3 Chad Kuhl 0.0091 0.0258 5.7
4 Martín Pérez 0.0065 0.0177 5.5
5 Lance Lynn 0.0113 0.0031 5.4
6 Chris Flexen 0.0121 0.0054 5.2
7 Luis Garcia 0.0126 0.0047 5.2
8 Ian Anderson 0.0112 0.0019 5.2
9 Ross Detwiler 0.0124 0.0349 5.1
10 Jake Woodford 0.0097 0.0273 5.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Corbin Burnes 0.0183
0.0504
(18.9)
0.0541
(22.0)
0.0493
(18.7)
0.0498
(19.0)
0.0463
(16.9)
Tarik Skubal 0.0839
0.0586
(18.1)
0.0628
(14.8)
0.0599
(16.9)
0.0596
(17.1)
0.0662
(12.7)
JT Brubaker 0.0773
0.0445
(19.5)
0.0489
(16.5)
0.0439
(19.4)
0.0420
(20.4)
0.0366
(23.2)
Patrick Corbin 0.0679
0.0446
(20.0)
0.0450
(18.9)
0.0474
(17.3)
0.0470
(17.6)
0.0494
(15.6)
Kolby Allard 0.0734
0.0517
(13.4)
0.0431
(17.4)
0.0528
(12.4)
0.0525
(12.5)
0.0521
(12.6)
Nathan Eovaldi 0.0285
0.0485
(12.8)
0.0591
(21.7)
0.0525
(16.4)
0.0514
(15.6)
0.0549
(18.4)
Chris Flexen 0.0332
0.0583
(16.1)
0.0532
(13.1)
0.0583
(16.7)
0.0560
(15.0)
0.0540
(13.6)
Trevor Rogers 0.0175
0.0588
(20.9)
0.0553
(19.5)
0.0458
(14.1)
0.0448
(13.6)
0.0456
(14.1)
Griffin Jax 0.0881
0.0445
(16.9)
0.0488
(15.0)
0.0488
(15.1)
0.0513
(14.2)
0.0463
(15.9)
Josiah Gray 0.0969
0.0536
(14.3)
0.0488
(15.5)
0.0418
(17.7)
0.0584
(12.6)
0.0585
(12.5)
Jake Arrieta 0.0714
0.0448
(14.0)
0.0455
(13.2)
0.0429
(14.6)
0.0434
(14.4)
0.0461
(13.0)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Foltynewicz 0.0567 0.0788 14.9
2 Vince Velasquez 0.0554 0.0875 14.8
3 Andrew Heaney 0.0572 0.0803 14.8
4 Zack Wheeler 0.0493 0.0292 14.3
5 Julio Urías 0.0582 0.0376 12.9
6 Walker Buehler 0.0539 0.0349 12.8
7 Yu Darvish 0.0498 0.0651 12.7
8 Antonio Senzatela 0.0447 0.0229 12.4
9 José Suarez 0.0714 0.0382 12.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.0399 0.0674 17.4
2 Steven Matz 0.0664 0.0396 15.9
3 Andrew Heaney 0.0554 0.0803 15.2
4 Dean Kremer 0.0448 0.0988 13.8
5 Ranger Suárez 0.0495 0.0147 13.6
6 Mike Foltynewicz 0.0580 0.0788 13.5
7 Vince Velasquez 0.0573 0.0875 13.5
8 Alex Cobb 0.0556 0.0193 13.4
9 Adbert Alzolay 0.0491 0.0710 12.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 0.0503 0.0292 15.7
2 Antonio Senzatela 0.0481 0.0229 15.2
3 Wil Crowe 0.0488 0.0714 13.2
4 Yu Darvish 0.0485 0.0651 13.0
5 Ranger Suárez 0.0473 0.0147 12.6
6 Adam Plutko 0.0488 0.0939 12.2
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.0451 0.0697 11.9
8 Trevor Stephan 0.0490 0.0867 11.3
9 Trevor Bauer 0.0509 0.0745 11.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Antonio Senzatela 0.0486 0.0229 15.5
2 Zack Wheeler 0.0477 0.0292 13.5
3 Yu Darvish 0.0486 0.0651 13.0
4 Wil Crowe 0.0498 0.0714 12.7
5 Steve Cishek 0.0538 0.0102 12.6
6 Andrew Heaney 0.0621 0.0803 11.6
7 Ranger Suárez 0.0450 0.0147 11.6
8 Vince Velasquez 0.0629 0.0875 11.3
9 Alex Cobb 0.0504 0.0193 11.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.0432 0.0674 15.5
2 Mike Foltynewicz 0.0551 0.0788 15.3
3 Matt Harvey 0.0707 0.0427 14.9
4 Trevor Bauer 0.0423 0.0745 14.9
5 Andrew Heaney 0.0562 0.0803 14.8
6 Antonio Senzatela 0.0459 0.0229 13.8
7 Ryan Weathers 0.0359 0.0676 13.7
8 Alex Cobb 0.0563 0.0193 13.6
9 Lucas Luetge 0.0738 0.0293 12.7

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Mitch Keller 0.3878
0.2801
(48.6)
0.3158
(35.7)
0.2973
(46.3)
0.3014
(44.0)
0.2989
(41.6)
Brad Keller 0.3465
0.2792
(38.5)
0.2793
(43.6)
0.3068
(29.3)
0.3087
(27.6)
0.2729
(44.9)
Sam Hentges 0.3846
0.2854
(30.1)
0.2889
(31.7)
0.2889
(33.0)
0.2889
(32.7)
0.2912
(29.6)
Brady Singer 0.3501
0.2814
(37.7)
0.2795
(43.7)
0.3041
(31.7)
0.3067
(29.6)
0.2869
(36.8)
Marco Gonzales 0.2394
0.2773
(24.8)
0.2908
(27.8)
0.2948
(27.7)
0.2898
(25.3)
0.2895
(29.6)
Sean Manaea 0.3175
0.2740
(29.5)
0.2806
(30.8)
0.2918
(25.4)
0.2928
(24.0)
0.2730
(33.2)
Eduardo Rodriguez 0.3626
0.2878
(47.5)
0.3052
(41.4)
0.3010
(47.0)
0.3021
(45.6)
0.2981
(43.2)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gerrit Cole 0.2462 0.3053 39.7
2 Luis Castillo 0.2748 0.3176 30.9
3 Justus Sheffield 0.2698 0.3500 29.2
4 Ranger Suárez 0.3208 0.2565 28.7
5 John Means 0.2795 0.2399 26.0
6 Corbin Burnes 0.2653 0.3085 25.5
7 Alex Vesia 0.2947 0.1429 25.2
8 Triston McKenzie 0.2735 0.2274 25.0
9 Dane Dunning 0.2852 0.3383 24.9
10 Trevor Williams 0.2827 0.3481 24.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Scherzer 0.3118 0.2474 41.9
2 Freddy Peralta 0.3034 0.2303 40.2
3 Eric Lauer 0.3172 0.2492 31.3
4 Dane Dunning 0.2810 0.3383 31.3
5 Adam Wainwright 0.2967 0.2561 30.4
6 J.A. Happ 0.2748 0.3141 29.0
7 Alec Mills 0.2739 0.3244 28.1
8 Garrett Richards 0.2911 0.3325 28.0
9 Luis Castillo 0.2872 0.3176 27.6
10 Johnny Cueto 0.2773 0.3265 26.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Richards 0.2889 0.3325 31.9
2 Freddy Peralta 0.2931 0.2303 31.8
3 Walker Buehler 0.2929 0.2471 30.8
4 Matt Harvey 0.2889 0.3310 29.1
5 Triston McKenzie 0.2910 0.2274 27.5
6 Jose Quintana 0.2946 0.3780 27.2
7 Justus Sheffield 0.2889 0.3500 26.6
8 Trevor Bauer 0.2898 0.2203 26.5
9 Jorge López 0.3012 0.3399 25.9
10 Max Scherzer 0.2900 0.2474 23.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walker Buehler 0.2937 0.2471 32.1
2 Freddy Peralta 0.2860 0.2303 28.2
3 Adam Wainwright 0.2970 0.2561 28.0
4 Jorge López 0.2973 0.3399 27.6
5 Triston McKenzie 0.2899 0.2274 27.4
6 Jose Quintana 0.2930 0.3780 27.4
7 Trevor Bauer 0.2897 0.2203 26.9
8 Matt Harvey 0.2928 0.3310 26.4
9 Max Scherzer 0.2912 0.2474 25.4
10 Justus Sheffield 0.2940 0.3500 24.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Castillo 0.2799 0.3176 29.9
2 Adam Wainwright 0.2915 0.2561 29.7
3 Max Scherzer 0.2893 0.2474 29.4
4 Triston McKenzie 0.2839 0.2274 28.2
5 Freddy Peralta 0.2783 0.2303 28.1
6 Jorge López 0.2889 0.3399 28.0
7 Trevor Bauer 0.2821 0.2203 26.9
8 Jose Quintana 0.2892 0.3780 26.3
9 Garrett Richards 0.2907 0.3325 25.6
10 Casey Mize 0.2937 0.2536 24.8

Single Rate

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 0.0000 0.2865 41.7
2 Freddy Peralta 0.0000 0.1480 39.1
3 Adrian Sampson 0.2154 0.1684 38.0
4 Andrés Machado 0.2154 0.1900 37.1
5 Marco Gonzales 0.0000 0.1521 37.0
6 Brad Keller 0.0000 0.2748 36.4
7 Mitch Keller 0.0000 0.2885 34.3
8 Walker Buehler 0.0000 0.1749 33.0
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.2630 32.2
10 Jacob deGrom 0.0000 0.1187 31.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 0.2165 0.2865 41.9
2 Freddy Peralta 0.2138 0.1480 37.3
3 Marco Gonzales 0.2136 0.1521 35.1
4 Brad Keller 0.2241 0.2748 31.9
5 Gerrit Cole 0.1962 0.2380 31.5
6 Dylan Cease 0.2022 0.2442 30.7
7 Jacob deGrom 0.2148 0.1187 30.6
8 Mitch Keller 0.2297 0.2885 28.3
9 Steven Matz 0.2176 0.2592 27.9
10 Alec Mills 0.2000 0.2520 27.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2154 0.1934 196.0
2 Caleb Smith 0.2154 0.1882 121.0
3 Garrett Richards 0.2154 0.2416 116.3
4 John Gant 0.2154 0.2051 110.5
5 Matt Harvey 0.2154 0.2441 108.3
6 Alek Manoah 0.2154 0.1970 107.0
7 Paolo Espino 0.2154 0.1950 107.0
8 Wil Crowe 0.2154 0.2369 101.2
9 Chi Chi González 0.2154 0.2118 97.8
10 Griffin Jax 0.2154 0.1597 97.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 0.3067 0.2865 35.4
2 Marco Gonzales 0.2898 0.1521 33.4
3 Freddy Peralta 0.2860 0.1480 33.3
4 Mitch Keller 0.3014 0.2885 31.8
5 Walker Buehler 0.2937 0.1749 31.1
6 Jordan Montgomery 0.2939 0.2576 29.3
7 Brad Keller 0.3087 0.2748 28.6
8 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2957 0.1663 28.6
9 Alek Manoah 0.2154 0.1970 28.5
10 Corbin Burnes 0.2927 0.2553 28.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brad Keller 0.2729 0.2748 45.9
2 Brady Singer 0.2869 0.2865 42.5
3 Marco Gonzales 0.2895 0.1521 37.6
4 Sean Manaea 0.2730 0.2454 34.2
5 Freddy Peralta 0.2783 0.1480 33.2
6 Mitch Keller 0.2989 0.2885 29.4
7 Jordan Montgomery 0.2885 0.2576 27.9
8 Jacob deGrom 0.2737 0.1187 26.5
9 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2833 0.1663 25.8
10 Triston McKenzie 0.2839 0.1588 25.8

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Nathan Eovaldi 0.1055
0.0000
(28.8)
0.0717
(27.1)
0.0000
(29.0)
0.0000
(28.8)
0.0000
(28.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0379 22.6
2 Brandon Woodruff 0.0000 0.0373 21.5
3 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.0972 19.9
4 Phil Maton 0.0000 0.1250 17.0
5 Marcus Stroman 0.0000 0.0456 16.1
6 Chi Chi González 0.0000 0.1029 15.8
7 Zach Davies 0.0000 0.0913 15.8
8 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0452 14.8
9 Patrick Sandoval 0.0000 0.0275 14.6
10 Aaron Bummer 0.0000 0.0076 14.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0610 0.0972 25.5
2 Zach Davies 0.0563 0.0913 24.6
3 Charlie Morton 0.0694 0.0379 22.6
4 Max Scherzer 0.0837 0.0541 19.3
5 Eric Lauer 0.0749 0.0383 17.0
6 Yu Darvish 0.0645 0.0871 16.5
7 José Berríos 0.0621 0.0808 15.9
8 Phil Maton 0.0734 0.1250 15.8
9 Joe Musgrove 0.0827 0.0599 15.8
10 Emilio Pagán 0.0556 0.1139 15.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.0677 0.0592 62.9
2 John Gant 0.0677 0.0545 39.6
3 Alek Manoah 0.0677 0.0492 39.5
4 Wil Crowe 0.0677 0.0615 38.6
5 Taylor Hearn 0.0677 0.0557 35.1
6 Alex Reyes 0.0677 0.0252 34.9
7 Caleb Smith 0.0677 0.0662 34.5
8 Kyle Funkhouser 0.0677 0.0213 34.0
9 Matt Harvey 0.0677 0.0775 33.6
10 Alec Mills 0.0677 0.0724 32.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0677 0.0492 39.6
2 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0379 22.6
3 Brandon Woodruff 0.0000 0.0373 21.5
4 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.0972 19.9
5 Phil Maton 0.0000 0.1250 17.0
6 Marcus Stroman 0.0000 0.0456 16.1
7 Chi Chi González 0.0000 0.1029 15.8
8 Zach Davies 0.0000 0.0913 15.8
9 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0452 14.8
10 Patrick Sandoval 0.0000 0.0275 14.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0677 0.0492 39.6
2 Wily Peralta 0.0677 0.0586 30.9
3 Nestor Cortes 0.0677 0.0609 27.9
4 Tim Mayza 0.0677 0.0226 23.7
5 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0379 22.6
6 Brandon Woodruff 0.0000 0.0373 21.5
7 Jake Brentz 0.0677 0.0592 21.2
8 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.0972 19.9
9 Lucas Gilbreath 0.0677 0.0357 18.4
10 Phil Maton 0.0000 0.1250 17.0

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Tyler Kinley 0.0214
0.0000
(4.6)
0.0000
(6.5)
0.0000
(4.6)
0.0000
(4.6)
0.0000
(4.6)
Luis Castillo 0.0137
0.0000
(6.4)
0.0035
(8.8)
0.0000
(6.4)
0.0000
(6.4)
0.0000
(6.4)
Johnny Cueto 0.0175
0.0000
(5.7)
0.0078
(5.1)
0.0000
(5.7)
0.0000
(5.7)
0.0000
(5.7)
Michael Kopech 0.0270
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0059
(6.2)
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0000
(6.0)
J.A. Happ 0.0128
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0038
(6.5)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.7)
Joe Mantiply 0.0417
0.0000
(6.3)
0.0137
(5.1)
0.0058
(5.3)
0.0000
(6.3)
0.0000
(6.3)
Robert Stephenson 0.0333
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0103
(4.7)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
Luke Weaver 0.0331
0.0000
(7.5)
0.0078
(7.2)
0.0000
(7.5)
0.0000
(7.5)
0.0000
(7.5)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.2
2 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 5.0
3 Steven Brault 0.0000 0.0435 4.8
4 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0167 4.5
5 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0124 4.5
6 Julio Urías 0.0000 0.0000 4.3
7 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0125 4.3
8 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0119 4.3
9 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0000 0.0215 4.2
10 Sean Poppen 0.0000 0.0429 4.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Flexen 0.0000 0.0090 7.2
2 James Kaprielian 0.0000 0.0127 6.8
3 Aaron Nola 0.0034 0.0111 6.2
4 Trevor May 0.0000 0.0201 5.5
5 Cole Irvin 0.0096 0.0018 5.5
6 David Bednar 0.0000 0.0222 5.4
7 Steven Brault 0.0047 0.0435 5.0
8 Drew Smyly 0.0099 0.0000 5.0
9 Casey Mize 0.0047 0.0120 4.9
10 Jameson Taillon 0.0112 0.0026 4.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.0058 0.0035 6.7
2 Alec Mills 0.0058 0.0000 6.0
3 Caleb Smith 0.0058 0.0000 5.8
4 Alek Manoah 0.0058 0.0000 5.3
5 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.2
6 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 5.1
7 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0167 4.5
8 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0124 4.5
9 Justus Sheffield 0.0058 0.0000 4.5
10 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0125 4.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0058 0.0000 5.3
2 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.2
3 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 5.0
4 Steven Brault 0.0000 0.0435 4.8
5 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0167 4.5
6 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0124 4.5
7 Julio Urías 0.0000 0.0000 4.3
8 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0125 4.3
9 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0119 4.3
10 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0000 0.0215 4.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0058 0.0000 5.3
2 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.2
3 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 5.0
4 Steven Brault 0.0000 0.0435 4.8
5 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0167 4.5
6 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0124 4.5
7 Julio Urías 0.0000 0.0000 4.3
8 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0125 4.3
9 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0119 4.3
10 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0000 0.0215 4.2

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Ranger Suárez 0.0478
0.1360
(35.8)
0.1301
(33.9)
0.1191
(30.4)
0.1197
(30.1)
0.1222
(30.0)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Griffin Jax 0.0000 0.1722 62.9
2 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0000 0.1230 62.3
3 Matt Peacock 0.0000 0.1425 56.0
4 Eli Morgan 0.0000 0.1425 55.0
5 Paolo Espino 0.0000 0.1165 54.2
6 Spenser Watkins 0.0000 0.1961 50.6
7 Tylor Megill 0.0000 0.1214 47.0
8 Alek Manoah 0.0000 0.0959 45.2
9 Josiah Gray 0.0000 0.1433 44.8
10 Wily Peralta 0.0000 0.1020 42.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1275 0.0802 35.7
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1059 0.1518 35.3
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1019 0.1458 32.5
4 Jake Arrieta 0.1262 0.1940 32.3
5 Corbin Burnes 0.1204 0.0715 31.3
6 Kevin Gausman 0.1244 0.0852 29.5
7 Carlos Rodón 0.1292 0.0730 29.3
8 Walker Buehler 0.1103 0.0748 27.9
9 Logan Webb 0.1355 0.0889 27.1
10 Freddy Peralta 0.1280 0.0810 26.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1215 0.0802 33.0
2 Carlos Rodón 0.1288 0.0730 30.5
3 Adam Wainwright 0.1210 0.0870 29.4
4 Jake Arrieta 0.1307 0.1940 29.0
5 Zack Wheeler 0.1163 0.0848 27.9
6 Patrick Corbin 0.1154 0.1518 26.2
7 Corbin Burnes 0.1098 0.0715 26.1
8 Jesús Luzardo 0.1063 0.1670 25.9
9 Cal Quantrill 0.1300 0.0893 25.9
10 Matt Harvey 0.1210 0.1649 24.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1227 0.0802 33.0
2 Carlos Rodón 0.1303 0.0730 30.7
3 Adam Wainwright 0.1221 0.0870 29.3
4 Jake Arrieta 0.1321 0.1940 28.9
5 Patrick Corbin 0.1136 0.1518 28.5
6 Cal Quantrill 0.1314 0.0893 26.1
7 Zack Wheeler 0.1143 0.0848 25.2
8 Jesús Luzardo 0.1104 0.1670 24.7
9 Chris Bassitt 0.1239 0.0863 24.1
10 Wade Miley 0.1274 0.0928 24.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.1218 0.1940 35.1
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1098 0.1518 33.5
3 Jesús Luzardo 0.1044 0.1670 28.5
4 Adam Wainwright 0.1240 0.0870 28.5
5 Dallas Keuchel 0.1111 0.1458 26.9
6 Carlos Rodón 0.1254 0.0730 26.5
7 Cal Quantrill 0.1332 0.0893 25.4
8 Justus Sheffield 0.1178 0.1792 24.7
9 Ryan Yarbrough 0.1128 0.1470 24.1
10 Zack Wheeler 0.1155 0.0848 23.8

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Matt Shoemaker 0.1901
0.1176
(21.6)
0.1108
(23.0)
0.1110
(22.5)
0.1219
(19.7)
0.1255
(19.7)
Jesús Luzardo 0.1602
0.1060
(25.3)
0.1094
(23.0)
0.0977
(27.3)
0.1016
(26.1)
0.0981
(29.1)
Patrick Corbin 0.1478
0.1040
(35.6)
0.0996
(37.5)
0.1065
(31.1)
0.1046
(33.4)
0.1031
(37.0)
Carlos Rodón 0.0655
0.1182
(26.2)
0.1181
(27.1)
0.1203
(29.2)
0.1220
(29.5)
0.1162
(24.6)
Jake Arrieta 0.1727
0.1311
(21.2)
0.1163
(27.3)
0.1213
(24.1)
0.1224
(24.2)
0.1139
(29.7)
Ranger Suárez 0.0383
0.1271
(35.6)
0.1164
(31.9)
0.1096
(29.8)
0.1102
(29.6)
0.1147
(30.1)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 0.1201 0.0777 32.9
2 Cal Quantrill 0.1343 0.0779 32.5
3 Wade Miley 0.1344 0.0884 29.2
4 Adam Wainwright 0.1234 0.0845 29.2
5 Sandy Alcantara 0.1227 0.0872 26.6
6 Aaron Nola 0.0967 0.1242 23.3
7 Trevor Rogers 0.1158 0.0709 22.7
8 Andrew Heaney 0.1144 0.1505 22.2
9 Garrett Whitlock 0.1281 0.0537 21.1
10 Chris Bassitt 0.1229 0.0863 21.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 0.0989 0.1422 30.1
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.0926 0.1319 29.6
3 Robbie Ray 0.1186 0.0789 29.3
4 Kevin Gausman 0.1166 0.0774 29.0
5 Corbin Burnes 0.1137 0.0685 28.5
6 Trevor Rogers 0.1231 0.0709 27.7
7 Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0822 0.1170 25.6
8 J.A. Happ 0.1133 0.1461 23.2
9 Keegan Akin 0.1131 0.1639 22.5
10 Logan Webb 0.1228 0.0839 22.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1138 0.0789 27.0
2 Cal Quantrill 0.1210 0.0779 26.5
3 Zack Wheeler 0.1074 0.0777 25.2
4 Matt Harvey 0.1110 0.1529 24.4
5 Chi Chi González 0.1110 0.1629 23.3
6 Andrew Heaney 0.1112 0.1505 22.0
7 Adam Wainwright 0.1110 0.0845 21.9
8 Sandy Alcantara 0.1132 0.0872 21.7
9 J.C. Mejía 0.1110 0.2017 21.6
10 Corbin Burnes 0.1014 0.0685 21.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1152 0.0789 27.1
2 Cal Quantrill 0.1225 0.0779 26.7
3 Lance Lynn 0.1096 0.0733 22.5
4 Zack Wheeler 0.1053 0.0777 22.4
5 Adam Wainwright 0.1127 0.0845 22.3
6 Andrew Heaney 0.1130 0.1505 21.6
7 Aaron Nola 0.0971 0.1242 21.2
8 Vince Velasquez 0.1108 0.1583 20.3
9 Corbin Burnes 0.0993 0.0685 19.5
10 Wade Miley 0.1176 0.0884 19.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Heaney 0.1055 0.1505 27.6
2 Zach Davies 0.1078 0.1422 26.0
3 Aaron Nola 0.0944 0.1242 25.7
4 Cal Quantrill 0.1241 0.0779 25.7
5 J.A. Happ 0.1132 0.1461 25.1
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.1035 0.1319 23.7
7 Adam Wainwright 0.1161 0.0845 22.4
8 Ryan Yarbrough 0.1054 0.1348 22.1
9 Spenser Watkins 0.1110 0.1922 21.8
10 J.C. Mejía 0.1153 0.2017 21.6

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Steven Matz 0.4828
0.3214
(133.8)
0.1481
(182.8)
0.3609
(119.9)
0.3344
(104.6)
0.3077
(131.4)
Adam Wainwright 0.5313
0.2857
(241.0)
0.2667
(176.0)
0.1915
(333.8)
0.3348
(173.7)
0.3500
(173.3)
Julio Urías 0.6250
0.3462
(241.6)
0.1250
(333.7)
0.3939
(219.4)
0.2497
(289.5)
0.1556
(370.6)
Carlos Rodón 0.5417
0.3043
(151.0)
0.1667
(172.5)
0.3200
(152.3)
0.1420
(220.6)
0.3125
(137.3)
Chris Flexen 0.4516
0.3158
(134.4)
0.1250
(203.5)
0.3050
(155.7)
0.1848
(207.6)
0.1667
(231.9)
Aaron Civale 0.5714
0.2857
(164.9)
0.1818
(168.1)
0.3496
(142.1)
0.3236
(130.1)
0.3600
(119.2)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0005 0.4500 227.2
2 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0003 0.4091 225.3
3 Cole Irvin 0.1111 0.3125 189.6
4 José Suarez 0.0000 0.3478 162.4
5 Luis Castillo 0.4688 0.2424 145.2
6 Wade Miley 0.2692 0.4286 141.3
7 Max Fried 0.3548 0.5000 127.2
8 Eli Morgan 0.0003 0.2778 122.4
9 Luis Garcia 0.2222 0.3667 120.2
10 Shane McClanahan 0.2143 0.4000 119.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 0.1379 0.4242 181.6
2 Walker Buehler 0.2222 0.4848 171.6
3 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1667 0.4643 168.0
4 Tyler Mahle 0.1333 0.3939 158.3
5 Framber Valdez 0.2000 0.5000 141.8
6 Corbin Burnes 0.1250 0.3929 141.8
7 Luis Garcia 0.1053 0.3667 132.5
8 Max Scherzer 0.2593 0.5000 130.8
9 Wade Miley 0.1923 0.4286 127.1
10 Anthony DeSclafani 0.1852 0.4194 123.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 0.0563 0.3125 245.5
2 Shane McClanahan 0.0528 0.4000 212.3
3 James Kaprielian 0.0453 0.3333 176.5
4 Freddy Peralta 0.1216 0.3571 173.4
5 Alek Manoah 0.1915 0.4500 147.8
6 Anthony DeSclafani 0.3130 0.4194 114.8
7 Chris Bassitt 0.3430 0.4444 105.1
8 Wade Miley 0.3415 0.4286 103.9
9 Luis Castillo 0.4315 0.2424 100.9
10 Logan Webb 0.3027 0.4074 100.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 0.0717 0.3125 195.2
2 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0478 0.4091 185.8
3 Shane McClanahan 0.0636 0.4000 180.9
4 James Kaprielian 0.0470 0.3333 150.5
5 Jordan Lyles 0.1341 0.3125 147.5
6 Freddy Peralta 0.1385 0.3571 134.6
7 Alek Manoah 0.1915 0.4500 124.8
8 Luis Castillo 0.4066 0.2424 121.1
9 Alex Wood 0.1938 0.3846 119.4
10 Yu Darvish 0.4384 0.2667 107.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.1579 0.3929 172.8
2 Mike Foltynewicz 0.3333 0.0714 137.1
3 Alek Manoah 0.1915 0.4500 131.5
4 Luis Castillo 0.4333 0.2424 130.8
5 Framber Valdez 0.3000 0.5000 130.4
6 Dylan Bundy 0.4286 0.0870 124.5
7 Chris Bassitt 0.2800 0.4444 122.6
8 Freddy Peralta 0.1750 0.3571 121.9
9 Austin Gomber 0.1724 0.3913 120.5
10 Drew Smyly 0.1905 0.3793 118.4

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Cole Irvin 0.4688
0.2222
(223.0)
0.1111
(230.4)
0.0606
(341.8)
0.0841
(311.2)
0.2500
(179.4)
Luis Castillo 0.4848
0.2813
(198.7)
0.2333
(155.7)
0.2671
(204.5)
0.3024
(163.0)
0.3000
(160.4)
Jake Arrieta 0.5833
0.3750
(118.2)
0.2222
(142.3)
0.3252
(138.4)
0.3693
(110.0)
0.3810
(101.9)
Patrick Corbin 0.5161
0.3125
(185.8)
0.2143
(183.4)
0.2979
(191.6)
0.3251
(158.9)
0.2667
(198.5)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eli Morgan 0.0004 0.3889 163.8
2 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0003 0.2727 156.8
3 Tylor Megill 0.0004 0.3333 142.8
4 Yu Darvish 0.2188 0.3667 130.6
5 Wily Peralta 0.0003 0.2632 123.3
6 Spenser Watkins 0.0004 0.4375 122.6
7 Griffin Jax 0.0004 0.2778 115.6
8 Logan Webb 0.3462 0.1111 114.0
9 Gerrit Cole 0.1563 0.2667 112.0
10 Cal Quantrill 0.3000 0.0750 111.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JT Brubaker 0.1563 0.5417 176.3
2 Sandy Alcantara 0.2143 0.4545 152.8
3 Adbert Alzolay 0.1111 0.4483 145.1
4 Carlos Martinez 0.1250 0.5625 137.9
5 Matt Harvey 0.2083 0.5000 136.2
6 Austin Gomber 0.0833 0.3913 122.2
7 Mitch Keller 0.1613 0.4783 121.9
8 Brad Keller 0.2069 0.4615 120.8
9 Zac Gallen 0.1515 0.4348 118.0
10 Joe Ross 0.1429 0.4500 114.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Harvey 0.1942 0.5000 199.5
2 Jorge López 0.1145 0.4242 192.4
3 JT Brubaker 0.3256 0.5417 136.1
4 Shane McClanahan 0.0610 0.2400 111.7
5 Patrick Sandoval 0.0855 0.3529 110.5
6 Cristian Javier 0.3252 0.0278 110.4
7 Bryse Wilson 0.1349 0.4375 109.3
8 Julio Urías 0.2771 0.0938 109.0
9 Adbert Alzolay 0.2771 0.4483 108.0
10 Huascar Ynoa 0.0854 0.3333 106.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JT Brubaker 0.2105 0.5417 189.2
2 Jorge López 0.1878 0.4242 142.7
3 Jordan Lyles 0.2419 0.4063 142.2
4 Kolby Allard 0.1444 0.3750 134.1
5 Chris Bassitt 0.3781 0.1481 133.4
6 Cristian Javier 0.3600 0.0278 132.2
7 Logan Webb 0.3477 0.1111 128.8
8 Matt Harvey 0.3101 0.5000 122.5
9 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0500 0.2727 120.7
10 Tyler Mahle 0.3528 0.1818 114.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JT Brubaker 0.2500 0.5417 164.9
2 Jorge López 0.1765 0.4242 145.8
3 Sandy Alcantara 0.3000 0.4545 141.8
4 Adam Wainwright 0.4000 0.2188 137.8
5 Adbert Alzolay 0.2000 0.4483 136.6
6 Joe Ross 0.1786 0.4500 131.7
7 José Ureña 0.0577 0.3077 120.8
8 Austin Gomber 0.1724 0.3913 114.1
9 Matt Harvey 0.3333 0.5000 105.6
10 Trevor Williams 0.3600 0.0870 104.6

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Jake McGee 0.5000
0.2955
(50.8)
0.0345
(116.8)
0.0289
(109.1)
0.2155
(66.4)
0.2659
(53.1)
Emmanuel Clase 0.3380
0.0909
(71.2)
0.0588
(84.3)
0.0000
(90.2)
0.0928
(66.6)
0.1042
(61.9)
Lou Trivino 0.3099
0.0000
(98.5)
0.0323
(93.2)
0.0833
(65.6)
0.0000
(94.1)
0.0000
(92.3)
Alex Reyes 0.4203
0.0952
(105.6)
0.0476
(125.4)
0.0289
(119.4)
0.2240
(60.2)
0.6618
(80.4)
Mark Melancon 0.6094
0.4118
(54.5)
0.1613
(124.8)
0.0289
(149.9)
0.0813
(138.2)
0.0991
(132.0)
Michael Fulmer 0.2692
0.0000
(82.3)
0.0345
(76.5)
0.0000
(75.6)
0.0000
(78.0)
0.0000
(76.4)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Karinchak 0.6304 0.1833 103.2
2 Greg Holland 0.5556 0.1404 99.0
3 Anthony Bass 0.3636 0.0000 92.5
4 Aroldis Chapman 0.7692 0.4918 65.5
5 Drew Steckenrider 0.0001 0.2258 62.4
6 Archie Bradley 0.3158 0.0377 60.5
7 Amir Garrett 0.4000 0.1111 60.4
8 Hansel Robles 0.0000 0.1944 60.1
9 Brad Hand 0.5179 0.3088 55.9
10 Garrett Richards 0.0000 0.0750 51.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Romano 0.0476 0.3710 87.6
2 Will Smith 0.2414 0.5211 85.7
3 Liam Hendriks 0.2727 0.5507 80.4
4 Gregory Soto 0.0345 0.2903 77.0
5 Ryan Pressly 0.1290 0.4063 75.0
6 Matt Barnes 0.0909 0.4000 73.7
7 Carlos Martinez 0.2083 0.0000 67.3
8 Scott Barlow 0.0303 0.2254 66.7
9 Ian Kennedy 0.2083 0.4727 65.5
10 Kenley Jansen 0.3438 0.5507 63.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Kennedy 0.0289 0.4727 97.8
2 Jordan Romano 0.0333 0.3710 81.7
3 Brad Hand 0.0289 0.3088 73.7
4 Will Smith 0.2500 0.5211 72.5
5 Alex Colomé 0.0289 0.2537 60.9
6 Dylan Floro 0.0000 0.2206 55.6
7 Gregory Soto 0.0833 0.2903 53.1
8 Scott Barlow 0.0500 0.2254 49.1
9 Drew Steckenrider 0.0289 0.2258 48.6
10 Matt Barnes 0.1667 0.4000 48.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Bass 0.3424 0.0000 90.7
2 Will Smith 0.2198 0.5211 83.5
3 Ian Kennedy 0.1110 0.4727 81.0
4 Scott Barlow 0.0160 0.2254 62.1
5 Drew Steckenrider 0.0000 0.2258 58.6
6 Génesis Cabrera 0.1736 0.0000 53.3
7 Rafael Montero 0.3780 0.1591 50.7
8 Hansel Robles 0.0184 0.1944 50.4
9 Emilio Pagán 0.1707 0.0000 46.6
10 Dylan Floro 0.0421 0.2206 46.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Kennedy 0.0000 0.4727 105.0
2 Anthony Bass 0.3447 0.0000 92.8
3 Craig Kimbrel 0.7424 0.3810 87.8
4 James Karinchak 0.5290 0.1833 84.1
5 Daniel Bard 0.5610 0.2985 83.5
6 Rafael Montero 0.4759 0.1591 74.0
7 Will Smith 0.2660 0.5211 68.8
8 Scott Barlow 0.0151 0.2254 60.7
9 Jordan Romano 0.1286 0.3710 58.3
10 Chris Martin 0.3283 0.0217 57.7

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player Actual Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Luke Jackson 0.4366
0.0968
(100.1)
0.0974
(86.1)
0.1883
(63.8)
0.0000
(98.0)
Blake Treinen 0.4444
0.1290
(102.7)
0.1948
(68.7)
0.2087
(66.4)
0.0000
(109.6)
Garrett Whitlock 0.3043
0.0612
(85.5)
0.0866
(62.1)
0.0917
(62.2)
0.0000
(72.5)
Brad Boxberger 0.3239
0.1111
(68.2)
0.0612
(67.4)
0.0779
(64.4)
0.0000
(69.9)
Michael Kopech 0.3409
0.1000
(81.1)
0.0000
(94.5)
0.0651
(77.5)
0.0000
(79.7)
Jhoulys Chacín 0.3913
0.0870
(93.6)
0.0612
(86.2)
0.0000
(104.2)
0.0000
(88.8)
Génesis Cabrera 0.3944
0.1304
(91.0)
0.1948
(56.3)
0.0952
(87.4)
0.0000
(98.6)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Matzek 0.0909 0.3478 79.3
2 Jonathan Loáisiga 0.1200 0.3158 67.8
3 John Gant 0.2308 0.0513 66.7
4 Paul Sewald 0.0556 0.2581 65.0
5 Hansel Robles 0.0667 0.2361 63.3
6 Ryne Stanek 0.1176 0.2917 63.1
7 A.J. Minter 0.1379 0.3770 62.5
8 Tyler Rogers 0.2308 0.3750 61.2
9 Julio Urías 0.1250 0.0000 60.6
10 Chris Flexen 0.1250 0.0000 60.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddy Peralta 0.1468 0.0000 90.6
2 Cole Irvin 0.0866 0.0000 73.8
3 Yusmeiro Petit 0.0612 0.2821 66.1
4 Steve Cishek 0.0612 0.2838 65.6
5 Tyler Matzek 0.0928 0.3478 64.8
6 Ryan Tepera 0.0612 0.3385 64.3
7 Bryan Shaw 0.0612 0.2469 58.8
8 Adam Wainwright 0.0612 0.0000 58.6
9 Cal Quantrill 0.1083 0.0250 57.2
10 Ryne Stanek 0.0885 0.2917 56.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane McClanahan 0.1431 0.0000 75.9
2 Paul Sewald 0.0000 0.2581 67.1
3 Ross Stripling 0.1462 0.0000 64.6
4 Taylor Hearn 0.1637 0.0238 63.3
5 Mark Melancon 0.2316 0.0000 62.4
6 Cristian Javier 0.0000 0.1389 57.3
7 JT Chargois 0.0000 0.2679 57.0
8 T.J. McFarland 0.0000 0.3947 56.3
9 Tyler Rogers 0.2100 0.3750 52.6
10 Junior Guerra 0.2142 0.0488 52.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Rogers 0.0000 0.3750 102.3
2 Giovanny Gallegos 0.0000 0.3288 82.9
3 Devin Williams 0.0000 0.3966 75.8
4 Tyler Matzek 0.0000 0.3478 75.7
5 Jonathan Loáisiga 0.0000 0.3158 72.0
6 Tyler Duffey 0.0000 0.3438 71.8
7 Adam Ottavino 0.0000 0.3188 71.1
8 A.J. Minter 0.0000 0.3770 69.8
9 Yusmeiro Petit 0.0000 0.2821 69.1
10 Steve Cishek 0.0000 0.2838 68.6

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Matt Shoemaker 8.0552
4.5421
(1034.4)
4.1557
(1107.2)
4.3493
(1042.9)
4.7658
(940.7)
4.9206
(969.7)
Jesús Luzardo 6.6084
4.0112
(1191.4)
4.1753
(1062.9)
3.6984
(1256.9)
3.8519
(1214.6)
3.7667
(1364.1)
Patrick Corbin 5.8194
3.9489
(1501.7)
3.7768
(1533.4)
4.0952
(1269.6)
4.0144
(1372.9)
3.9988
(1577.4)
Carlos Rodón 2.3744
4.5902
(1114.3)
4.5933
(1185.4)
4.7250
(1273.2)
4.7996
(1282.8)
4.6849
(1084.4)
Justus Sheffield 6.8340
4.6608
(886.4)
4.3096
(971.6)
4.3493
(943.7)
4.4956
(909.1)
4.4909
(1009.9)
Ranger Suárez 1.3585
5.1468
(1529.5)
4.5401
(1330.2)
4.3015
(1244.2)
4.3079
(1223.3)
4.5495
(1216.8)
Jake Arrieta 7.3885
5.2506
(1063.3)
4.5000
(1354.3)
4.8146
(1191.4)
4.8541
(1199.4)
4.5510
(1462.0)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 4.6299 2.7844 1457.2
2 Cal Quantrill 5.3511 2.8864 1438.7
3 Adam Wainwright 4.8599 3.0533 1388.9
4 Wade Miley 5.4429 3.3681 1342.5
5 Sandy Alcantara 4.8400 3.1945 1269.2
6 Marcus Stroman 4.4613 3.0168 960.3
7 Garrett Whitlock 5.2308 1.9636 935.1
8 Chris Bassitt 4.7302 3.1462 926.8
9 Trevor Rogers 4.4428 2.6391 921.0
10 Andrew Heaney 4.3309 5.8303 908.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 4.6719 2.8397 1417.0
2 Zach Davies 3.7197 5.7770 1373.7
3 Kevin Gausman 4.4702 2.8125 1285.4
4 Corbin Burnes 4.3714 2.4251 1279.3
5 Dallas Keuchel 3.5398 5.2778 1250.7
6 Trevor Rogers 4.8425 2.6391 1212.3
7 Logan Webb 4.8322 3.0337 1072.4
8 Jackson Kowar 4.3493 11.2747 1066.4
9 J.A. Happ 4.2593 5.7899 1026.5
10 Anthony DeSclafani 4.6484 3.1670 1002.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 4.4510 2.8397 1271.5
2 Zack Wheeler 4.1096 2.7844 1153.7
3 Cal Quantrill 4.7013 2.8864 1138.7
4 Adam Wainwright 4.3493 3.0533 1101.0
5 Matt Harvey 4.3493 6.2742 1100.7
6 Sandy Alcantara 4.4748 3.1945 1099.8
7 Corbin Burnes 3.8931 2.4251 986.5
8 Wade Miley 4.7428 3.3681 971.7
9 Jackson Kowar 4.9680 11.2747 966.1
10 Julio Urías 4.2132 2.9569 961.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 4.5270 2.8397 1286.5
2 Cal Quantrill 4.7900 2.8864 1158.5
3 Adam Wainwright 4.4099 3.0533 1104.2
4 Zack Wheeler 3.9980 2.7844 1010.8
5 Jackson Kowar 5.0252 11.2747 966.0
6 Lance Lynn 4.2004 2.6943 950.7
7 Wade Miley 4.7416 3.3681 931.9
8 Luis Garcia 4.9705 3.4764 931.2
9 Sandy Alcantara 4.3127 3.1945 916.7
10 Andrew Heaney 4.2738 5.8303 881.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 4.2436 5.7770 1211.3
2 Andrew Heaney 3.9986 5.8303 1178.3
3 Dallas Keuchel 3.9922 5.2778 1127.1
4 Cal Quantrill 4.9756 2.8864 1114.6
5 J.A. Happ 4.4274 5.7899 1102.0
6 Adam Wainwright 4.6295 3.0533 1073.3
7 Spenser Watkins 4.3493 8.0671 1019.4
8 Aaron Nola 3.5558 4.6328 1016.3
9 Jackson Kowar 5.0268 11.2747 1005.3
10 J.C. Mejía 4.6625 8.2548 921.6

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Razzball Steamer ZiPS
Mitch Keller 1.7881
1.3350
(219.0)
1.4212
(173.0)
1.4007
(194.1)
1.3997
(199.5)
1.4180
(209.3)
Robbie Ray 1.0448
1.3019
(188.7)
1.4398
(304.3)
1.3787
(238.3)
1.3901
(239.1)
1.3448
(173.7)
Adam Wainwright 1.0565
1.3748
(252.8)
1.3064
(205.8)
1.3128
(191.0)
1.3668
(227.0)
1.3862
(210.7)
Sandy Alcantara 1.0746
1.3833
(247.6)
1.3073
(193.7)
1.4126
(261.4)
1.3737
(220.2)
1.3978
(207.6)
Carlos Rodón 0.9573
1.3152
(184.2)
1.3397
(203.5)
1.4110
(228.6)
1.4045
(219.6)
1.4384
(216.7)
Justus Sheffield 1.8423
1.3595
(190.9)
1.3808
(178.2)
1.3128
(213.7)
1.4444
(167.1)
1.4700
(172.3)
Jake Arrieta 1.7736
1.4510
(157.4)
1.3936
(178.8)
1.4577
(160.2)
1.4652
(161.6)
1.3862
(217.0)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 1.2835 1.0078 223.1
2 Ranger Suárez 1.4985 1.0000 203.0
3 Patrick Corbin 1.2196 1.4680 196.2
4 Jesús Luzardo 1.2053 1.6154 184.8
5 Luis Castillo 1.1739 1.3641 163.1
6 John Means 1.3153 1.0295 161.0
7 Huascar Ynoa 1.5254 1.1099 149.8
8 Cal Quantrill 1.4270 1.1759 146.7
9 Brad Keller 1.4408 1.6608 142.8
10 Marcus Stroman 1.3497 1.1453 139.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Davies 1.2489 1.6014 236.3
2 Corbin Burnes 1.3000 0.9401 235.6
3 Brad Keller 1.2839 1.6608 231.9
4 Max Scherzer 1.1553 0.8643 200.7
5 Freddy Peralta 1.3149 0.9700 199.3
6 Kevin Gausman 1.2914 1.0417 192.5
7 Zack Wheeler 1.2336 1.0078 190.6
8 Logan Webb 1.4206 1.1056 186.9
9 Dallas Keuchel 1.2881 1.5309 175.7
10 Garrett Richards 1.3165 1.5951 172.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 1.3431 1.0180 223.1
2 Zack Wheeler 1.2797 1.0078 209.0
3 Corbin Burnes 1.2827 0.9401 208.2
4 Garrett Richards 1.3128 1.5951 190.0
5 Luis Garcia 1.4913 1.1781 182.0
6 Jesús Luzardo 1.2306 1.6154 179.4
7 Logan Webb 1.4257 1.1056 175.5
8 Freddy Peralta 1.2842 0.9700 167.4
9 Ranger Suárez 1.4015 1.0000 157.1
10 Sam Hentges 1.3128 1.7767 155.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 1.2536 0.9401 182.3
2 Luis Garcia 1.4944 1.1781 177.4
3 Jesús Luzardo 1.2468 1.6154 176.8
4 Julio Urías 1.2880 1.0180 174.3
5 Zack Wheeler 1.2458 1.0078 171.5
6 Freddy Peralta 1.2946 0.9700 167.4
7 Logan Webb 1.4091 1.1056 159.4
8 Max Scherzer 1.1227 0.8643 154.1
9 Antonio Senzatela 1.6050 1.3404 153.1
10 Patrick Corbin 1.3013 1.4680 152.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dallas Keuchel 1.2590 1.5309 249.9
2 Brad Keller 1.3518 1.6608 235.5
3 Garrett Richards 1.3056 1.5951 225.0
4 Zach Davies 1.3425 1.6014 223.1
5 Jesús Luzardo 1.2110 1.6154 209.6
6 Luis Garcia 1.5581 1.1781 193.0
7 Luis Castillo 1.2032 1.3641 189.6
8 Patrick Corbin 1.2926 1.4680 188.2
9 Kyle Hendricks 1.2147 1.3481 163.7
10 J.A. Happ 1.3145 1.4770 159.5