2021 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Biggest Plate Appearances (PA) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 1 631 630.0
2 Andrew Vaughn 1 469 468.0
3 Mitch Haniger 227 691 464.0
4 Akil Baddoo 1 461 460.0
5 Tyler Naquin 1 454 453.0
6 Adolis García 205 622 417.0
7 Bo Bichette 295 690 395.0
8 Salvador Perez 276 665 389.0
9 Cedric Mullins 287 675 388.0
10 Nathaniel Lowe 259 642 383.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 671 146 524.9
2 Adolis García 106 622 516.5
3 Adalberto Mondesi 646 136 509.6
4 Kyle Lewis 650 147 503.1
5 Evan White 576 104 472.3
6 Aaron Hicks 583 126 456.7
7 Pavin Smith 99 545 446.5
8 Cristian Pache 500 68 432.0
9 Mike Moustakas 638 206 431.7
10 Marcell Ozuna 635 208 426.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Vilade 608 7 601.0
2 Seth Beer 584 10 574.0
3 Josh Lowe 541 2 539.0
4 Khalil Lee 551 18 533.0
5 Dustin Fowler 574 46 528.0
6 Sheldon Neuse 593 66 527.0
7 Alex De Goti 532 7 525.0
8 Brian Miller 535 11 524.0
9 Renato Núñez 570 55 515.0
10 Mario Feliciano 515 1 514.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Seager 1 670 669.0
2 César Hernández 1 637 636.0
3 Nelson Cruz 1 584 583.0
4 Eric Hosmer 1 565 564.0
5 Josh Donaldson 1 543 542.0
6 Miguel Cabrera 1 526 525.0
7 Mike Trout 668 146 522.0
8 Jed Lowrie 1 512 511.0
9 Michael Brantley 1 508 507.0
10 Jonathan Villar 1 505 504.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adolis García 34 622 588.0
2 Evan White 603 104 499.0
3 Josh Rojas 68 550 482.0
4 Kyle Lewis 627 147 480.0
5 Jed Lowrie 35 512 477.0
6 Pavin Smith 70 545 475.0
7 Mike Trout 620 146 474.0
8 Cristian Pache 536 68 468.0
9 Odúbel Herrera 34 492 458.0
10 Adam Haseley 471 21 450.0

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3329 0.4218 65.0
2 Cedric Mullins 0.2948 0.3720 55.0
3 Austin Riley 0.3135 0.3804 47.1
4 Cody Bellinger 0.3746 0.2394 45.8
5 Tyler O'Neill 0.3101 0.3838 41.9
6 Brandon Crawford 0.3086 0.3806 41.8
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.3433 0.4028 40.7
8 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3232 0.2240 40.6
9 Bryce Harper 0.3748 0.4356 39.0
10 Bryan Reynolds 0.3377 0.3893 36.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 0.2974 0.3720 56.1
2 Cody Bellinger 0.3936 0.2394 51.0
3 Brandon Crawford 0.3032 0.3806 47.2
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.3289 0.3893 44.5
5 Tyler O'Neill 0.3166 0.3838 40.7
6 Akil Baddoo 0.2498 0.3295 40.7
7 Jonathan India 0.3093 0.3626 39.1
8 Buster Posey 0.3075 0.3823 37.9
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.3541 0.4028 36.6
10 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3782 0.4218 36.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.3850 0.2394 54.2
2 Cedric Mullins 0.2921 0.3720 47.7
3 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3164 0.2240 43.5
4 Brandon Crawford 0.2944 0.3806 42.3
5 Gleyber Torres 0.3775 0.3063 41.5
6 Bryan Reynolds 0.3173 0.3893 40.6
7 Carlos Santana 0.3454 0.2957 38.8
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3574 0.4218 38.6
9 Tyler O'Neill 0.3102 0.3838 34.6
10 Eugenio Suárez 0.3558 0.3061 33.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 0.2944 0.3720 58.5
2 Cody Bellinger 0.3965 0.2394 51.8
3 Brandon Crawford 0.2957 0.3806 51.5
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.3284 0.3893 45.1
5 Tyler O'Neill 0.3114 0.3838 43.7
6 Akil Baddoo 0.2465 0.3295 42.4
7 Jonathan India 0.3092 0.3626 39.4
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3758 0.4218 38.3
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.3546 0.4028 36.6
10 Austin Riley 0.3350 0.3804 36.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 0.2974 0.3720 57.7
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3559 0.4218 53.6
3 Cody Bellinger 0.3981 0.2394 51.8
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.3384 0.4028 48.1
5 Brandon Crawford 0.3074 0.3806 46.1
6 Austin Riley 0.3286 0.3804 41.4
7 Salvador Perez 0.3101 0.3611 41.1
8 Buster Posey 0.3097 0.3823 37.9
9 Yuli Gurriel 0.3151 0.3643 36.3
10 Mike Zunino 0.2738 0.3585 35.8

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.2565 0.1679 58.9
2 Patrick Wisdom 0.2611 0.4080 55.5
3 Matt Chapman 0.2406 0.3248 53.1
4 Brett Phillips 0.2260 0.3870 47.4
5 Ty France 0.2359 0.1631 46.5
6 Kevin Newman 0.1554 0.0740 44.4
7 Raimel Tapia 0.2159 0.1313 44.4
8 Tommy Edman 0.2028 0.1375 44.3
9 Adolis García 0.2439 0.3119 43.0
10 Ryan Jeffers 0.2437 0.3686 36.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.2664 0.1679 67.5
2 Matt Chapman 0.2493 0.3248 45.9
3 Chas McCormick 0.1868 0.3250 43.6
4 Raimel Tapia 0.2105 0.1313 43.1
5 Pete Alonso 0.2631 0.1994 41.7
6 Ryan Jeffers 0.2271 0.3686 41.0
7 Teoscar Hernández 0.3127 0.2487 39.1
8 Odúbel Herrera 0.2321 0.1565 38.1
9 Alec Bohm 0.1772 0.2662 36.4
10 Hunter Renfroe 0.2890 0.2273 36.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.2929 0.1679 77.0
2 Chas McCormick 0.1709 0.3250 52.7
3 Kyle Seager 0.1781 0.2403 48.8
4 Harrison Bader 0.3182 0.2120 38.3
5 Gio Urshela 0.1713 0.2466 38.0
6 Teoscar Hernández 0.3228 0.2487 37.8
7 Patrick Wisdom 0.3188 0.4080 37.4
8 Ryan Jeffers 0.2548 0.3686 36.4
9 Javier Báez 0.2805 0.3364 36.3
10 Robbie Grossman 0.1879 0.2310 36.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Wisdom 0.2260 0.4080 67.6
2 Matt Olson 0.2645 0.1679 66.1
3 Michael Brantley 0.2260 0.1043 62.6
4 Matt Chapman 0.2468 0.3248 47.4
5 Raimel Tapia 0.2134 0.1313 44.6
6 Chas McCormick 0.1840 0.3250 44.6
7 Pete Alonso 0.2620 0.1994 41.0
8 Andrelton Simmons 0.2260 0.1375 40.7
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.2283 0.3686 40.6
10 Teoscar Hernández 0.3152 0.2487 40.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.2580 0.1679 59.0
2 Jonathan India 0.3045 0.2235 49.6
3 Raimel Tapia 0.2259 0.1313 49.1
4 Matt Chapman 0.2512 0.3248 47.3
5 Patrick Wisdom 0.2906 0.4080 44.9
6 Tommy Edman 0.1966 0.1375 39.2
7 Chas McCormick 0.2077 0.3250 38.3
8 Kyle Tucker 0.2284 0.1587 38.1
9 Odúbel Herrera 0.2353 0.1565 37.6
10 Bryan Reynolds 0.2422 0.1842 35.9

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.1565 0.2217 41.8
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0928 0.1502 35.8
3 Yasmani Grandal 0.1461 0.2320 31.7
4 Joey Gallo 0.1304 0.1802 29.8
5 Yoán Moncada 0.0926 0.1364 26.1
6 Jake Fraley 0.0762 0.1736 25.4
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0874 0.1232 24.1
8 Yuli Gurriel 0.0572 0.0975 23.6
9 David Fletcher 0.0805 0.0466 23.4
10 DJ LeMahieu 0.0732 0.1075 22.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.1746 0.2217 32.6
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1478 0.2320 32.6
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1030 0.1502 31.9
4 Jake Fraley 0.0658 0.1736 29.3
5 Yuli Gurriel 0.0614 0.0975 23.5
6 Andrew Benintendi 0.1128 0.0669 23.2
7 Joey Gallo 0.1463 0.1802 22.6
8 Yoán Moncada 0.1026 0.1364 22.5
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0940 0.1232 22.3
10 Leury García 0.0443 0.0865 21.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.1641 0.2217 32.0
2 Andrew Benintendi 0.1149 0.0669 30.5
3 Yasmani Grandal 0.1494 0.2320 27.7
4 Jake Fraley 0.0604 0.1736 27.7
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.0991 0.1502 27.1
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1269 0.0987 25.0
7 Rhys Hoskins 0.1510 0.1061 23.7
8 Yordan Alvarez 0.1136 0.0836 23.1
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0832 0.1232 21.9
10 Aaron Judge 0.1443 0.1185 21.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.1746 0.2217 33.0
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1475 0.2320 32.9
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1026 0.1502 32.5
4 Jake Fraley 0.0655 0.1736 29.5
5 Josh Donaldson 0.0882 0.1363 27.9
6 Joey Gallo 0.1437 0.1802 24.5
7 Yuli Gurriel 0.0610 0.0975 24.1
8 Yoán Moncada 0.1019 0.1364 23.3
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0937 0.1232 22.8
10 Andrew Benintendi 0.1109 0.0669 21.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.1593 0.2217 41.2
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1343 0.2320 36.9
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.0960 0.1502 35.0
4 Joey Gallo 0.1354 0.1802 27.9
5 Jake Fraley 0.0757 0.1736 26.1
6 Robbie Grossman 0.1083 0.1461 25.7
7 Yoán Moncada 0.0959 0.1364 25.3
8 Yuli Gurriel 0.0572 0.0975 24.7
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0889 0.1232 24.4
10 DJ LeMahieu 0.0757 0.1075 22.0

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.0118 0.0365 15.1
2 Ty France 0.0199 0.0415 13.6
3 Edmundo Sosa 0.0146 0.0521 12.0
4 José Abreu 0.0152 0.0334 11.5
5 Kyle Farmer 0.0158 0.0340 9.2
6 Will Smith 0.0171 0.0359 9.1
7 Josh Harrison 0.0156 0.0323 8.9
8 Sean Murphy 0.0072 0.0268 8.5
9 Javier Báez 0.0080 0.0238 8.2
10 Mark Canha 0.0299 0.0432 7.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.0160 0.0365 12.7
2 Will Smith 0.0120 0.0359 11.8
3 Edmundo Sosa 0.0160 0.0521 11.7
4 José Abreu 0.0160 0.0334 11.2
5 Ty France 0.0240 0.0415 11.1
6 Mark Canha 0.0250 0.0432 11.1
7 Kyle Farmer 0.0140 0.0340 10.4
8 Josh Harrison 0.0150 0.0323 9.4
9 Bradley Zimmer 0.0170 0.0431 8.9
10 Javier Báez 0.0080 0.0238 8.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Farmer 0.0129 0.0340 10.6
2 Edmundo Sosa 0.0188 0.0521 10.5
3 José Abreu 0.0170 0.0334 10.0
4 Will Smith 0.0161 0.0359 9.3
5 Javier Báez 0.0066 0.0238 8.8
6 Nick Solak 0.0113 0.0294 8.6
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.0071 0.0242 8.5
8 Mark Canha 0.0307 0.0432 7.1
9 Mookie Betts 0.0061 0.0200 7.0
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0153 0.0037 7.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.0159 0.0365 12.8
2 Edmundo Sosa 0.0159 0.0521 11.7
3 Will Smith 0.0123 0.0359 11.7
4 Ty France 0.0237 0.0415 11.5
5 José Abreu 0.0160 0.0334 11.3
6 Mark Canha 0.0257 0.0432 10.8
7 Kyle Farmer 0.0142 0.0340 10.4
8 Josh Harrison 0.0144 0.0323 9.9
9 Bradley Zimmer 0.0167 0.0431 9.1
10 Javier Báez 0.0079 0.0238 8.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mark Canha 0.0000 0.0432 19.6
2 Ty France 0.0000 0.0415 19.3
3 Anthony Rizzo 0.0000 0.0399 16.2
4 Jonathan India 0.0000 0.0365 15.5
5 José Abreu 0.0000 0.0334 14.2
6 Edmundo Sosa 0.0000 0.0521 13.1
7 Will Smith 0.0000 0.0359 12.1
8 Kyle Farmer 0.0000 0.0340 11.7
9 Victor Robles 0.0000 0.0434 11.6
10 Josh Harrison 0.0000 0.0323 11.4

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.0701 0.1314 39.4
2 Joey Votto 0.0418 0.1108 36.9
3 Patrick Wisdom 0.0538 0.1505 36.4
4 Mike Zunino 0.0692 0.1634 35.5
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0464 0.0968 35.4
6 Brandon Belt 0.0487 0.1300 31.2
7 Marcus Semien 0.0464 0.0884 30.7
8 Christian Yelich 0.0917 0.0311 28.6
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0823 0.1277 25.0
10 Gleyber Torres 0.0717 0.0249 23.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.0816 0.1314 34.5
2 Patrick Wisdom 0.0661 0.1505 33.2
3 Mike Zunino 0.0802 0.1634 32.8
4 Joey Votto 0.0551 0.1108 31.9
5 Marcus Semien 0.0502 0.0884 30.7
6 Brandon Belt 0.0561 0.1300 29.8
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0614 0.0968 27.6
8 Salvador Perez 0.0729 0.1057 24.6
9 Gleyber Torres 0.0742 0.0249 23.3
10 Christian Yelich 0.0842 0.0311 23.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.0417 0.1108 34.8
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0761 0.1314 33.0
3 Gleyber Torres 0.0819 0.0249 31.3
4 Patrick Wisdom 0.0698 0.1505 28.9
5 Brandon Belt 0.0508 0.1300 28.7
6 Mike Zunino 0.0859 0.1634 27.7
7 Christian Yelich 0.0849 0.0311 27.3
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0576 0.0968 24.7
9 Matt Olson 0.1140 0.0842 22.6
10 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1333 0.0983 22.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Wisdom 0.0512 0.1505 39.3
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0823 0.1314 34.8
3 Mike Zunino 0.0818 0.1634 32.6
4 Joey Votto 0.0565 0.1108 31.8
5 Marcus Semien 0.0507 0.0884 31.2
6 Brandon Belt 0.0548 0.1300 30.7
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0619 0.0968 28.1
8 Salvador Perez 0.0721 0.1057 25.9
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0884 0.1277 24.4
10 Jorge Polanco 0.0374 0.0693 24.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.0677 0.1314 44.4
2 Mike Zunino 0.0563 0.1634 42.3
3 Patrick Wisdom 0.0584 0.1505 36.7
4 Brandon Belt 0.0476 0.1300 33.6
5 Brandon Lowe 0.0596 0.1051 31.6
6 Salvador Perez 0.0647 0.1057 31.2
7 Joey Votto 0.0585 0.1108 31.0
8 Marcus Semien 0.0515 0.0884 31.0
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0605 0.0968 29.4
10 Christian Yelich 0.0977 0.0311 28.8

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2892 0.3678 55.7
2 Randy Arozarena 0.2973 0.3634 43.3
3 Tyler O'Neill 0.2931 0.3662 42.2
4 Bryce Harper 0.2944 0.3569 40.8
5 Nicky Lopez 0.2731 0.3372 39.3
6 Mike Yastrzemski 0.3318 0.2532 38.9
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.2958 0.2240 38.0
8 Josh Rojas 0.2795 0.3401 36.4
9 Austin Meadows 0.3160 0.2493 36.1
10 Kevin Newman 0.3020 0.2333 35.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2991 0.3678 47.8
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.2874 0.3662 44.2
3 Bryce Harper 0.2883 0.3569 43.2
4 Akil Baddoo 0.2480 0.3345 41.5
5 Yuli Gurriel 0.2770 0.3355 37.5
6 Randy Arozarena 0.3098 0.3634 34.4
7 Kevin Newman 0.2986 0.2333 34.2
8 Starling Marte 0.3097 0.3705 33.8
9 Eugenio Suárez 0.2849 0.2240 32.9
10 César Hernández 0.3209 0.2662 32.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2980 0.3678 48.1
2 Yuli Gurriel 0.2607 0.3355 47.1
3 Tyler O'Neill 0.2833 0.3662 46.1
4 Bryce Harper 0.2988 0.3569 36.6
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.2888 0.2240 35.5
6 Mike Yastrzemski 0.3223 0.2532 35.2
7 Nicky Lopez 0.2785 0.3372 34.8
8 Randy Arozarena 0.3095 0.3634 34.3
9 Jorge Soler 0.3037 0.2444 33.9
10 Cody Bellinger 0.2956 0.1963 33.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2957 0.3678 48.2
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.2817 0.3662 45.8
3 Kyle Seager 0.2916 0.2263 43.2
4 Bryce Harper 0.2858 0.3569 43.0
5 Akil Baddoo 0.2449 0.3345 41.7
6 Yuli Gurriel 0.2743 0.3355 37.5
7 Randy Arozarena 0.3054 0.3634 35.4
8 Starling Marte 0.3057 0.3705 34.5
9 Kevin Newman 0.2952 0.2333 33.8
10 Teoscar Hernández 0.2970 0.3522 33.2

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2857 0.3678 62.5
2 Mike Yastrzemski 0.3563 0.2532 48.3
3 Jarred Kelenic 0.3480 0.2156 45.2
4 Bryce Harper 0.2971 0.3569 43.3
5 Starling Marte 0.3014 0.3705 42.9
6 Austin Meadows 0.3342 0.2493 42.8
7 Nicky Lopez 0.2767 0.3372 41.2
8 Teoscar Hernández 0.2961 0.3522 40.8
9 Cody Bellinger 0.3232 0.1963 40.1
10 Adam Frazier 0.2877 0.3373 39.6

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2206 0.2821 42.5
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.2254 0.1494 42.1
3 Nicky Lopez 0.2048 0.2752 41.3
4 Yuli Gurriel 0.2057 0.2680 39.3
5 Teoscar Hernández 0.2132 0.2742 37.9
6 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2275 0.1551 37.1
7 Javier Báez 0.2179 0.2818 36.4
8 Austin Meadows 0.2264 0.1645 35.0
9 Bo Bichette 0.2268 0.2741 34.5
10 Starling Marte 0.2268 0.2869 33.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2239 0.2821 40.3
2 Yuli Gurriel 0.2046 0.2680 40.0
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.2150 0.1494 36.1
4 Bo Bichette 0.2255 0.2741 35.3
5 Teoscar Hernández 0.2175 0.2742 35.3
6 Javier Báez 0.2210 0.2818 34.7
7 Juan Soto 0.2258 0.2753 34.2
8 Trea Turner 0.2337 0.2820 32.9
9 Michael A. Taylor 0.2125 0.2665 29.9
10 Starling Marte 0.2327 0.2869 29.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2086 0.2821 49.5
2 Yuli Gurriel 0.1896 0.2680 48.2
3 Bo Bichette 0.2103 0.2741 44.9
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.2085 0.2742 39.9
5 Michael A. Taylor 0.1972 0.2665 37.3
6 Juan Soto 0.2216 0.2753 36.0
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.2128 0.1494 35.6
8 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2229 0.1551 35.4
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2065 0.2648 34.5
10 Nicky Lopez 0.2203 0.2752 31.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yuli Gurriel 0.1945 0.2680 43.7
2 Kyle Seager 0.2165 0.1533 43.2
3 Juan Soto 0.2115 0.2753 40.9
4 Austin Riley 0.2217 0.2821 39.1
5 Teoscar Hernández 0.2128 0.2742 35.8
6 Bo Bichette 0.2221 0.2741 34.9
7 Trea Turner 0.2300 0.2820 32.7
8 Tim Anderson 0.2338 0.2934 32.1
9 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2135 0.1551 31.8
10 J.P. Crawford 0.1982 0.2455 31.6

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2032 0.2821 56.4
2 Bo Bichette 0.2103 0.2741 48.3
3 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2515 0.1551 48.0
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.2072 0.2742 43.6
5 Michael A. Taylor 0.1929 0.2665 42.2
6 Austin Meadows 0.2411 0.1645 41.6
7 Juan Soto 0.2181 0.2753 41.5
8 Starling Marte 0.2146 0.2869 41.3
9 Trea Turner 0.2262 0.2820 40.1
10 Kyle Seager 0.2172 0.1533 38.6

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Chapman 0.0957 0.0485 28.3
2 Bryce Harper 0.0888 0.1292 25.2
3 Freddie Freeman 0.0906 0.0539 24.4
4 Joey Gallo 0.0926 0.0524 23.8
5 Juan Soto 0.0893 0.0519 23.4
6 Bo Bichette 0.0979 0.0628 23.2
7 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0673 0.1080 23.1
8 Dominic Smith 0.1078 0.0608 22.4
9 Cedric Mullins 0.0521 0.0817 21.0
10 Michael A. Taylor 0.0886 0.0479 20.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0782 0.1292 30.9
2 Freddie Freeman 0.0900 0.0539 24.7
3 Matt Chapman 0.0857 0.0485 22.8
4 Juan Soto 0.0839 0.0519 20.5
5 Guillermo Heredia 0.0599 0.1182 20.4
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0719 0.1080 20.0
7 Carlos Santana 0.0637 0.0334 19.6
8 Michael A. Taylor 0.0849 0.0479 19.2
9 Cedric Mullins 0.0557 0.0817 17.9
10 Joey Gallo 0.0818 0.0524 17.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Chapman 0.1000 0.0485 32.5
2 Freddie Freeman 0.0985 0.0539 31.6
3 Joey Gallo 0.0984 0.0524 28.8
4 Bryce Harper 0.0884 0.1292 24.0
5 Juan Soto 0.0876 0.0519 23.9
6 Michael A. Taylor 0.0917 0.0479 23.6
7 Jonathan India 0.0528 0.0907 23.4
8 Mitch Haniger 0.0856 0.0548 21.9
9 Guillermo Heredia 0.0594 0.1182 20.1
10 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0931 0.0592 20.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0827 0.1292 28.9
2 Juan Soto 0.0955 0.0519 27.4
3 Jeimer Candelario 0.0626 0.1034 26.6
4 Freddie Freeman 0.0934 0.0539 26.4
5 Josh Rojas 0.0524 0.0930 23.2
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0688 0.1080 22.3
7 Ketel Marte 0.0564 0.1086 20.1
8 Matt Chapman 0.0824 0.0485 20.1
9 Kyle Tucker 0.0638 0.0941 18.1
10 Rhys Hoskins 0.0742 0.1133 18.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0829 0.1292 30.8
2 Matt Chapman 0.1000 0.0485 28.8
3 Michael A. Taylor 0.1024 0.0479 26.1
4 Guillermo Heredia 0.0582 0.1182 22.6
5 Juan Soto 0.0904 0.0519 21.8
6 Jesse Winker 0.0613 0.0988 20.6
7 Mitch Haniger 0.0887 0.0548 19.9
8 Bo Bichette 0.0958 0.0628 19.3
9 Freddie Freeman 0.0862 0.0539 18.9
10 Kolten Wong 0.0599 0.0912 17.9

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.0101 0.0263 11.2
2 Akil Baddoo 0.0059 0.0249 9.3
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0179 0.0000 9.1
4 J.P. Crawford 0.0126 0.0000 7.8
5 Brett Phillips 0.0059 0.0305 7.5
6 Steven Duggar 0.0063 0.0291 7.1
7 David Peralta 0.0086 0.0206 7.1
8 Bobby Dalbec 0.0071 0.0211 6.9
9 Tommy Edman 0.0165 0.0055 6.7
10 Nicky Lopez 0.0040 0.0138 6.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.0076 0.0263 12.1
2 Akil Baddoo 0.0096 0.0249 7.1
3 Bobby Dalbec 0.0057 0.0211 7.1
4 David Peralta 0.0080 0.0206 6.9
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0127 0.0000 6.8
6 Steven Duggar 0.0084 0.0291 6.2
7 J.P. Crawford 0.0090 0.0000 6.0
8 Bryan Reynolds 0.0101 0.0190 5.9
9 Luis Arraez 0.0040 0.0156 5.7
10 Brandon Lowe 0.0088 0.0000 5.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.0078 0.0263 13.4
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0200 0.0000 9.6
3 J.P. Crawford 0.0163 0.0000 9.5
4 Bobby Dalbec 0.0045 0.0211 8.6
5 David Peralta 0.0084 0.0206 7.9
6 Bo Bichette 0.0154 0.0021 7.5
7 Raimel Tapia 0.0211 0.0048 7.4
8 Luis Arraez 0.0040 0.0156 6.7
9 Yoán Moncada 0.0147 0.0028 5.8
10 Steven Duggar 0.0129 0.0291 5.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.0077 0.0263 12.2
2 Bobby Dalbec 0.0056 0.0211 7.2
3 Akil Baddoo 0.0099 0.0249 7.1
4 Steven Duggar 0.0059 0.0291 7.0
5 David Peralta 0.0083 0.0206 6.8
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0126 0.0000 6.6
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.0098 0.0190 6.2
8 J.P. Crawford 0.0092 0.0000 6.0
9 Luis Arraez 0.0041 0.0156 5.7
10 Yoán Moncada 0.0119 0.0028 5.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.0104 0.0263 10.8
2 Steven Duggar 0.0000 0.0291 8.9
3 David Peralta 0.0081 0.0206 7.3
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0142 0.0000 7.2
5 Bobby Dalbec 0.0070 0.0211 6.9
6 Josh Rojas 0.0222 0.0087 6.9
7 Pavin Smith 0.0000 0.0105 6.3
8 J.P. Crawford 0.0101 0.0000 6.2
9 Edmundo Sosa 0.0000 0.0179 6.2
10 Yoán Moncada 0.0138 0.0028 6.1

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1183 0.1762 41.6
2 Bo Bichette 0.1356 0.1754 28.6
3 Carlos Correa 0.1210 0.1625 27.6
4 Mike Zunino 0.1037 0.1707 25.7
5 Carlos Santana 0.1388 0.1002 24.4
6 DJ LeMahieu 0.1599 0.1237 23.5
7 Dominic Smith 0.1354 0.0872 22.9
8 Didi Gregorius 0.1425 0.0858 22.5
9 Jonathan India 0.1232 0.1553 21.3
10 José Ramírez 0.1444 0.1745 20.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan India 0.1090 0.1553 29.8
2 Tyler O'Neill 0.1172 0.1657 26.5
3 Starling Marte 0.1232 0.1692 24.6
4 Brandon Crawford 0.1003 0.1439 24.4
5 Chris Taylor 0.1175 0.1581 24.1
6 Tim Anderson 0.1280 0.1706 23.9
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1524 0.1105 23.8
8 Mike Zunino 0.1091 0.1707 23.4
9 Gleyber Torres 0.1420 0.0969 22.8
10 Jake Cronenworth 0.1118 0.1462 22.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1281 0.1762 29.7
2 Jonathan India 0.1060 0.1553 27.6
3 Gleyber Torres 0.1431 0.0969 26.7
4 Pat Valaika 0.1478 0.0605 26.1
5 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1499 0.1105 26.0
6 Mike Zunino 0.0989 0.1707 24.8
7 Didi Gregorius 0.1398 0.0858 24.3
8 DJ LeMahieu 0.1538 0.1237 24.2
9 Carlos Santana 0.1293 0.1002 22.8
10 Buster Posey 0.0956 0.1498 22.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Bichette 0.1313 0.1754 34.2
2 Jonathan India 0.1105 0.1553 31.8
3 Tyler O'Neill 0.1166 0.1657 29.3
4 Brandon Crawford 0.0985 0.1439 27.9
5 Starling Marte 0.1218 0.1692 27.8
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1438 0.1762 26.4
7 Brandon Lowe 0.1213 0.1577 25.8
8 Joey Wendle 0.1018 0.1457 24.7
9 Mitch Haniger 0.1290 0.1592 24.7
10 Mike Zunino 0.1130 0.1707 23.7

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DJ LeMahieu 0.1814 0.1237 33.9
2 Mike Zunino 0.0897 0.1707 33.3
3 Trent Grisham 0.1845 0.1157 32.1
4 David Fletcher 0.1639 0.1113 29.8
5 Myles Straw 0.0962 0.1348 29.6
6 Marcus Semien 0.1275 0.1588 28.3
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1436 0.1762 28.2
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.1253 0.1612 27.9
9 Tyler O'Neill 0.1238 0.1657 26.7
10 Buster Posey 0.0990 0.1498 26.6

RBI Rate

Biggest RBI Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.0967 0.1857 47.9
2 Teoscar Hernández 0.1314 0.1950 38.3
3 Adam Duvall 0.1401 0.2036 35.7
4 Austin Meadows 0.1261 0.1794 32.0
5 DJ LeMahieu 0.1301 0.0839 30.7
6 Brandon Crawford 0.1095 0.1639 30.4
7 Nick Castellanos 0.1214 0.1709 29.5
8 Jorge Polanco 0.1114 0.1522 26.8
9 Freddie Freeman 0.1587 0.1194 26.7
10 Avisaíl García 0.1183 0.1670 25.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.1100 0.1857 43.7
2 Adam Duvall 0.1392 0.2036 39.2
3 Austin Meadows 0.1241 0.1794 36.3
4 Brandon Crawford 0.1089 0.1639 33.6
5 Teoscar Hernández 0.1465 0.1950 32.5
6 Jesús Aguilar 0.1303 0.1824 29.7
7 Jorge Polanco 0.1148 0.1522 28.1
8 Avisaíl García 0.1213 0.1670 26.7
9 Gleyber Torres 0.1556 0.0988 26.1
10 Nick Castellanos 0.1337 0.1709 25.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.0881 0.1857 52.0
2 Juan Soto 0.2203 0.1453 49.2
3 Gleyber Torres 0.1785 0.0988 41.1
4 Freddie Freeman 0.1776 0.1194 40.5
5 Gary Sánchez 0.1964 0.1227 32.5
6 Adam Duvall 0.1451 0.2036 32.4
7 Cody Bellinger 0.1898 0.1029 30.5
8 Eric Hosmer 0.1687 0.1150 30.4
9 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.0698 0.1470 29.4
10 Austin Meadows 0.1303 0.1794 28.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Duvall 0.1314 0.2036 44.4
2 Joey Votto 0.1134 0.1857 42.7
3 Brandon Crawford 0.1053 0.1639 36.5
4 Jesús Aguilar 0.1217 0.1824 35.0
5 Austin Meadows 0.1282 0.1794 34.9
6 Teoscar Hernández 0.1500 0.1950 31.4
7 Gleyber Torres 0.1634 0.0988 29.2
8 Kyle Seager 0.1176 0.1507 27.4
9 Salvador Perez 0.1496 0.1820 26.8
10 Nick Castellanos 0.1338 0.1709 26.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Teoscar Hernández 0.1238 0.1950 47.1
2 Freddie Freeman 0.1848 0.1194 39.9
3 Carlos Santana 0.1721 0.1047 39.1
4 Hunter Renfroe 0.1109 0.1678 37.1
5 Austin Meadows 0.1248 0.1794 37.0
6 Mark Canha 0.1640 0.0976 36.5
7 Adam Duvall 0.1472 0.2036 35.7
8 Mike Zunino 0.0815 0.1653 34.4
9 Brandon Crawford 0.1096 0.1639 34.2
10 Patrick Wisdom 0.0812 0.1627 33.6

Stolen Base Rate

Biggest Stolen Base Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tommy Edman 0.0909 0.1911 71.6
2 Starling Marte 0.1667 0.2956 69.6
3 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0755 0.2072 68.5
4 Whit Merrifield 0.1442 0.2312 65.1
5 Cedric Mullins 0.0909 0.1765 60.1
6 Nicky Lopez 0.0260 0.1272 59.1
7 Adolis García 0.0435 0.1345 58.7
8 Brett Phillips 0.0526 0.2295 52.7
9 Akil Baddoo 0.0526 0.1607 51.4
10 Jonathan Villar 0.2128 0.1129 48.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Starling Marte 0.1421 0.2956 83.6
2 Whit Merrifield 0.1395 0.2312 70.0
3 Tommy Edman 0.1016 0.1911 65.6
4 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1124 0.2072 50.8
5 Dylan Carlson 0.0914 0.0126 45.4
6 Jonathan Villar 0.2072 0.1129 44.9
7 Ozzie Albies 0.0896 0.1471 43.1
8 Adalberto Mondesi 0.4068 0.7143 42.6
9 Leody Taveras 0.1533 0.3704 41.2
10 Josh Rojas 0.1434 0.0643 40.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tommy Edman 0.0986 0.1911 74.1
2 Jonathan Villar 0.2690 0.1129 71.3
3 Starling Marte 0.1748 0.2956 71.3
4 Whit Merrifield 0.1728 0.2312 52.7
5 Nicky Lopez 0.0519 0.1272 50.9
6 Bo Bichette 0.2250 0.1412 47.6
7 Myles Straw 0.2406 0.1596 42.3
8 Dylan Carlson 0.0924 0.0126 40.3
9 Adalberto Mondesi 0.4466 0.7143 38.4
10 Kris Bryant 0.0199 0.0676 36.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adalberto Mondesi 0.0526 0.7143 90.9
2 Starling Marte 0.1405 0.2956 84.9
3 Whit Merrifield 0.1371 0.2312 72.3
4 Tommy Edman 0.1012 0.1911 66.5
5 Billy Hamilton 0.0526 0.4737 57.7
6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1079 0.2072 53.5
7 Gregory Polanco 0.0526 0.1687 46.8
8 Dylan Carlson 0.0909 0.0126 44.6
9 Jarrod Dyson 0.0526 0.3448 44.5
10 Ozzie Albies 0.0902 0.1471 43.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Whit Merrifield 0.1290 0.2312 75.3
2 Starling Marte 0.1563 0.2956 74.6
3 Tommy Edman 0.1000 0.1911 64.6
4 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0849 0.2072 63.2
5 Dylan Carlson 0.1039 0.0126 55.1
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.0935 0.1646 47.0
7 Adalberto Mondesi 0.3894 0.7143 44.5
8 Austin Slater 0.0625 0.2055 44.5
9 Leody Taveras 0.1441 0.3704 42.3
10 Manuel Margot 0.2000 0.1140 38.8

Batting Average

Biggest Batting Average Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2379 0.3034 46.2
2 Nicky Lopez 0.2340 0.2998 39.7
3 Cedric Mullins 0.2374 0.2907 39.0
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2629 0.3113 36.8
5 Cody Bellinger 0.2711 0.1651 35.6
6 Bryce Harper 0.2547 0.3094 35.4
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.2590 0.1980 32.5
8 Teoscar Hernández 0.2468 0.2964 32.1
9 Brandon Crawford 0.2452 0.2981 31.5
10 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2406 0.1628 31.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Teoscar Hernández 0.2398 0.2964 37.4
2 Cody Bellinger 0.2772 0.1651 37.1
3 Bryce Harper 0.2543 0.3094 36.8
4 Cedric Mullins 0.2429 0.2907 36.5
5 Austin Riley 0.2555 0.3034 35.8
6 Brandon Crawford 0.2392 0.2981 35.8
7 Yuli Gurriel 0.2702 0.3189 33.2
8 Akil Baddoo 0.1935 0.2591 33.1
9 Nick Castellanos 0.2593 0.3089 32.6
10 Tyler O'Neill 0.2328 0.2863 32.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2387 0.3034 40.7
2 Cody Bellinger 0.2727 0.1651 38.8
3 Yuli Gurriel 0.2587 0.3189 34.4
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.2475 0.3023 33.3
5 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2333 0.1628 31.6
6 Brandon Crawford 0.2385 0.2981 30.9
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.2272 0.2863 30.0
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.2467 0.1980 29.8
9 Nicky Lopez 0.2449 0.2998 29.2
10 Cedric Mullins 0.2452 0.2907 28.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Teoscar Hernández 0.2366 0.2964 38.5
2 Cedric Mullins 0.2390 0.2907 38.2
3 Brandon Crawford 0.2340 0.2981 37.9
4 Bryce Harper 0.2515 0.3094 37.6
5 Cody Bellinger 0.2756 0.1651 37.0
6 Austin Riley 0.2534 0.3034 36.3
7 Michael Brantley 0.2474 0.3113 35.0
8 Tyler O'Neill 0.2278 0.2863 34.0
9 Akil Baddoo 0.1915 0.2591 33.4
10 Yuli Gurriel 0.2685 0.3189 33.4

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2395 0.3034 48.5
2 Cody Bellinger 0.2935 0.1651 41.6
3 Cedric Mullins 0.2409 0.2907 40.0
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.2424 0.2964 37.7
5 Nicky Lopez 0.2443 0.2998 36.7
6 Brandon Crawford 0.2418 0.2981 36.1
7 Yuli Gurriel 0.2694 0.3189 35.6
8 Adam Frazier 0.2626 0.3050 33.2
9 Trea Turner 0.2860 0.3277 33.1
10 Bryce Harper 0.2650 0.3094 32.3

On-Base Percentage

Biggest On-Base Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3325 0.4011 49.7
2 Austin Riley 0.3012 0.3671 45.3
3 Nicky Lopez 0.2920 0.3653 42.8
4 Juan Soto 0.4032 0.4648 42.0
5 Cody Bellinger 0.3620 0.2400 41.8
6 Yuli Gurriel 0.3197 0.3835 40.1
7 Cedric Mullins 0.3039 0.3596 39.3
8 Bryan Reynolds 0.3352 0.3901 37.1
9 Jonathan India 0.3212 0.3762 36.3
10 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3232 0.2360 36.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.3768 0.2400 45.3
2 Cedric Mullins 0.3023 0.3596 43.7
3 Yuli Gurriel 0.3212 0.3835 42.1
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.3350 0.3901 40.3
5 Jonathan India 0.3201 0.3762 40.0
6 Brandon Crawford 0.3132 0.3734 37.1
7 Austin Riley 0.3186 0.3671 36.9
8 Akil Baddoo 0.2584 0.3297 36.3
9 Ty France 0.3233 0.3677 33.7
10 Starling Marte 0.3280 0.3829 32.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.3657 0.2400 47.6
2 Yuli Gurriel 0.3030 0.3835 42.4
3 Austin Riley 0.2968 0.3671 39.7
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.3188 0.3901 39.4
5 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3168 0.2360 39.0
6 Carlos Santana 0.3669 0.3187 38.6
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.3416 0.2857 38.0
8 Cedric Mullins 0.2959 0.3596 36.0
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3411 0.4011 34.7
10 Kyle Seager 0.3247 0.2851 33.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 0.2982 0.3596 45.9
2 Cody Bellinger 0.3753 0.2400 45.0
3 Yuli Gurriel 0.3195 0.3835 42.7
4 Jonathan India 0.3180 0.3762 41.0
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.3336 0.3901 40.8
6 Brandon Crawford 0.3079 0.3734 39.7
7 Austin Riley 0.3168 0.3671 37.7
8 Akil Baddoo 0.2569 0.3297 36.6
9 Ty France 0.3212 0.3677 34.6
10 Starling Marte 0.3241 0.3829 34.4

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.3829 0.2400 49.5
2 Austin Riley 0.2983 0.3671 46.5
3 Yuli Gurriel 0.3113 0.3835 44.6
4 Cedric Mullins 0.2954 0.3596 44.4
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3402 0.4011 43.7
6 Juan Soto 0.4074 0.4648 38.6
7 Brandon Crawford 0.3068 0.3734 37.4
8 Starling Marte 0.3139 0.3829 37.1
9 Nicky Lopez 0.3033 0.3653 35.9
10 Eugenio Suárez 0.3485 0.2857 35.2

Slugging Percentage

Biggest Slugging Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.4400 0.6010 119.4
2 Cedric Mullins 0.3813 0.5183 99.2
3 Christian Yelich 0.5583 0.3734 83.0
4 Tyler O'Neill 0.4185 0.5602 81.4
5 Joey Votto 0.4202 0.5625 81.2
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.4765 0.5922 80.3
7 DJ LeMahieu 0.4881 0.3618 78.9
8 Marcus Semien 0.4409 0.5383 77.8
9 Brandon Crawford 0.3903 0.5217 77.6
10 Bryce Harper 0.4969 0.6148 76.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 0.3888 0.5183 99.6
2 Brandon Crawford 0.3842 0.5217 85.4
3 Cody Bellinger 0.5587 0.3016 83.7
4 Marcus Semien 0.4456 0.5383 80.2
5 Joey Votto 0.4382 0.5625 75.9
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.4918 0.5922 75.6
7 Tyler O'Neill 0.4428 0.5602 72.7
8 Bryan Reynolds 0.4290 0.5224 71.9
9 Mike Zunino 0.3853 0.5586 71.7
10 Bryce Harper 0.5192 0.6148 68.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.3844 0.5625 89.2
2 Cody Bellinger 0.5455 0.3016 89.1
3 Gleyber Torres 0.5259 0.3660 88.0
4 Matt Chapman 0.5208 0.4026 80.2
5 Cedric Mullins 0.3900 0.5183 79.4
6 Brandon Crawford 0.3720 0.5217 76.3
7 DJ LeMahieu 0.4634 0.3618 76.2
8 Christian Yelich 0.5229 0.3734 76.1
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.4716 0.5922 70.2
10 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.4125 0.2610 69.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 0.3857 0.5183 103.2
2 Brandon Crawford 0.3687 0.5217 95.2
3 Cody Bellinger 0.5697 0.3016 86.7
4 Marcus Semien 0.4444 0.5383 82.7
5 Tyler O'Neill 0.4308 0.5602 80.4
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.4957 0.5922 74.6
7 Joey Votto 0.4439 0.5625 74.0
8 Bryan Reynolds 0.4282 0.5224 73.9
9 Brandon Belt 0.4284 0.5969 71.9
10 Mike Zunino 0.3875 0.5586 71.8

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 0.3909 0.5183 103.9
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.4665 0.5922 97.3
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.4934 0.6010 93.6
4 Salvador Perez 0.4435 0.5435 84.2
5 Mike Zunino 0.3636 0.5586 83.1
6 Brandon Crawford 0.4009 0.5217 80.9
7 Cody Bellinger 0.5562 0.3016 79.8
8 Joey Votto 0.4481 0.5625 75.1
9 Marcus Semien 0.4613 0.5383 75.0
10 Tyler O'Neill 0.4545 0.5602 71.0

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Biggest Batters Faced (BF) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 159 768 609.0
2 Chris Flexen 139 741 602.0
3 Shane McClanahan 1 517 516.0
4 Logan Gilbert 1 503 502.0
5 Vladimir Gutierrez 1 496 495.0
6 Luis Garcia 166 633 467.0
7 Alek Manoah 1 459 458.0
8 Julio Urías 321 745 424.0
9 Walker Buehler 399 815 416.0
10 Nathan Eovaldi 349 764 415.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Fiers 643 45 597.6
2 Stephen Strasburg 687 95 591.9
3 Tanner Roark 599 31 567.7
4 Cole Irvin 208 768 559.6
5 Josh Lindblom 639 85 554.2
6 James Paxton 557 5 552.1
7 Chris Archer 590 83 507.0
8 Michael Lorenzen 626 125 500.7
9 Julio Teheran 508 20 487.6
10 Tejay Antone 606 128 477.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dakota Hudson 691 34 657.1
2 Bernardo Flores Jr. 649 3 646.1
3 Peter Lambert 653 30 623.0
4 Julio Teheran 639 20 619.1
5 Angel Rondón 604 7 596.9
6 Darren McCaughan 624 39 585.1
7 Tanner Roark 592 31 560.9
8 Dustin May 645 93 551.9
9 Packy Naughton 651 108 543.1
10 Tyler Beede 545 6 539.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 1 828 827.0
2 Cole Irvin 119 768 649.5
3 Garrett Richards 1 617 616.0
4 Matt Harvey 1 582 581.0
5 Mike Fiers 598 45 553.4
6 Luis Garcia 103 633 530.2
7 Wil Crowe 1 524 523.0
8 Alec Mills 1 517 516.0
9 Julio Teheran 519 20 499.1
10 Caleb Smith 1 500 499.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 126 768 642.1
2 Stephen Strasburg 707 95 611.9
3 Chris Archer 606 83 523.1
4 James Paxton 513 5 508.1
5 Jacob deGrom 827 324 503.0
6 Vladimir Gutierrez 1 496 495.0
7 Kohei Arihara 660 178 482.1
8 Dustin May 573 93 480.1
9 Luis Garcia 163 633 470.0
10 Tanner Roark 500 31 468.9

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.3124 0.2315 50.0
2 Patrick Corbin 0.3073 0.3576 41.3
3 Kyle Hendricks 0.2974 0.3435 39.9
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.3051 0.3555 39.8
5 Brad Keller 0.2988 0.3584 39.4
6 Zach Davies 0.3078 0.3617 39.3
7 Carlos Rodón 0.3225 0.2462 38.2
8 Ranger Suárez 0.3310 0.2370 37.3
9 Kevin Gausman 0.3169 0.2647 36.7
10 Robbie Ray 0.3376 0.2862 36.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.3170 0.2462 43.5
2 Corbin Burnes 0.2846 0.2315 41.8
3 Zack Wheeler 0.2916 0.2553 39.7
4 Patrick Corbin 0.2948 0.3576 39.2
5 Adam Wainwright 0.3062 0.2731 36.1
6 Ranger Suárez 0.3089 0.2370 34.5
7 Jake Arrieta 0.3188 0.3989 32.6
8 Jesús Luzardo 0.2886 0.3736 32.5
9 Julio Urías 0.2964 0.2651 31.2
10 Freddy Peralta 0.2941 0.2518 30.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dallas Keuchel 0.2836 0.3555 44.6
2 Patrick Corbin 0.2912 0.3576 42.3
3 Carlos Rodón 0.3108 0.2462 39.8
4 Jake Arrieta 0.3060 0.3989 38.9
5 J.A. Happ 0.2939 0.3601 37.7
6 Zach Davies 0.2963 0.3617 37.1
7 Adam Wainwright 0.3070 0.2731 36.3
8 Kyle Hendricks 0.2879 0.3435 35.8
9 Zack Wheeler 0.2870 0.2553 35.3
10 Jesús Luzardo 0.2838 0.3736 34.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.3143 0.2731 180.9
2 Alek Manoah 0.3143 0.2727 100.5
3 Caleb Smith 0.3143 0.3182 86.7
4 John Gant 0.3143 0.3201 84.2
5 Garrett Richards 0.3143 0.3569 83.1
6 Matt Harvey 0.3143 0.3539 80.1
7 Paolo Espino 0.3143 0.3183 78.8
8 Nestor Cortes 0.3143 0.2840 77.6
9 Alec Mills 0.3143 0.3420 77.3
10 Taylor Hearn 0.3143 0.3203 75.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.1234 0.2315 50.2
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1117 0.3576 46.1
3 Carlos Rodón 0.1464 0.2462 45.3
4 Julio Urías 0.1387 0.2651 43.3
5 Freddy Peralta 0.1400 0.2518 42.2
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.1129 0.3555 41.8
7 Jake Arrieta 0.1256 0.3989 41.7
8 Robbie Ray 0.1551 0.2862 41.3
9 Sandy Alcantara 0.1404 0.2776 39.6
10 Kyle Hendricks 0.1094 0.3435 38.9

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Cease 0.2173 0.3192 71.8
2 Carlos Rodón 0.2214 0.3464 66.5
3 Zack Wheeler 0.2255 0.2909 55.1
4 Patrick Corbin 0.2585 0.1904 51.5
5 Corbin Burnes 0.2809 0.3562 49.0
6 Jacob deGrom 0.3068 0.4506 46.4
7 Paul Sewald 0.2231 0.3939 45.0
8 Zack Greinke 0.2350 0.1722 44.2
9 Dallas Keuchel 0.1921 0.1319 43.7
10 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2338 0.1655 40.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.2202 0.3464 66.4
2 Chris Flexen 0.2514 0.1687 62.8
3 Dylan Cease 0.2288 0.3192 62.6
4 Paul Sewald 0.2068 0.3939 48.9
5 Zack Wheeler 0.2322 0.2909 48.2
6 Corbin Burnes 0.2817 0.3562 47.6
7 Luis Castillo 0.2899 0.2391 42.4
8 Sean Manaea 0.1998 0.2573 41.9
9 Nick Pivetta 0.2017 0.2648 40.4
10 Drew Smyly 0.2826 0.2143 38.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Cease 0.2246 0.3192 57.5
2 Chris Flexen 0.2324 0.1687 57.2
3 Carlos Rodón 0.2294 0.3464 55.4
4 Zack Greinke 0.2376 0.1722 55.0
5 Patrick Corbin 0.2490 0.1904 54.1
6 Lucas Giolito 0.3402 0.2792 53.6
7 Dallas Keuchel 0.1918 0.1319 52.8
8 Zack Wheeler 0.2187 0.2909 49.9
9 Walker Buehler 0.3079 0.2601 49.9
10 Jacob deGrom 0.3043 0.4506 43.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.2192 0.3464 68.3
2 Dylan Cease 0.2355 0.3192 59.7
3 Chris Flexen 0.2472 0.1687 57.7
4 Zack Wheeler 0.2283 0.2909 53.7
5 Corbin Burnes 0.2790 0.3562 51.1
6 Chi Chi González 0.2320 0.1250 47.6
7 Paul Sewald 0.2320 0.3939 42.9
8 Sean Manaea 0.2045 0.2573 40.3
9 Luis Castillo 0.2892 0.2391 39.7
10 Logan Webb 0.1991 0.2651 39.7

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Cease 0.2102 0.3192 73.4
2 Zack Wheeler 0.2070 0.2909 66.7
3 Carlos Rodón 0.2286 0.3464 60.1
4 Chris Flexen 0.2395 0.1687 56.4
5 Paul Sewald 0.2137 0.3939 46.2
6 Sandy Alcantara 0.1800 0.2401 45.8
7 Corbin Burnes 0.2819 0.3562 45.3
8 Patrick Corbin 0.2420 0.1904 42.8
9 Jacob deGrom 0.3168 0.4506 41.6
10 Logan Webb 0.1916 0.2651 40.6

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1208 0.0673 42.1
2 Chris Flexen 0.1007 0.0540 35.3
3 Sandy Alcantara 0.0943 0.0597 29.6
4 Corbin Burnes 0.0903 0.0518 25.9
5 Julio Urías 0.0841 0.0510 25.3
6 Aaron Nola 0.0849 0.0521 25.2
7 Tyler Anderson 0.0888 0.0541 25.0
8 Antonio Senzatela 0.0830 0.0478 24.2
9 Zach Davies 0.0774 0.1123 22.7
10 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0745 0.0458 22.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1212 0.0673 40.2
2 Corbin Burnes 0.0956 0.0518 27.5
3 Sandy Alcantara 0.0934 0.0597 26.6
4 Zach Davies 0.0764 0.1123 25.3
5 Julio Urías 0.0869 0.0510 25.3
6 Luis Garcia 0.1198 0.0790 24.6
7 Chris Flexen 0.0874 0.0540 23.3
8 Antonio Senzatela 0.0819 0.0478 21.6
9 Adbert Alzolay 0.1084 0.0655 21.2
10 Tyler Anderson 0.0860 0.0541 21.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1205 0.0673 37.7
2 Luis Garcia 0.1360 0.0790 33.3
3 Zach Davies 0.0674 0.1123 33.0
4 Sandy Alcantara 0.0996 0.0597 29.6
5 John Gant 0.1026 0.1446 22.8
6 Adbert Alzolay 0.1136 0.0655 22.7
7 Germán Márquez 0.0608 0.0847 21.4
8 Antonio Senzatela 0.0841 0.0478 21.3
9 Jesús Luzardo 0.0668 0.1098 20.7
10 Corbin Burnes 0.0872 0.0518 20.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1206 0.0673 41.2
2 Sandy Alcantara 0.0969 0.0597 31.1
3 Julio Urías 0.0903 0.0510 29.2
4 Corbin Burnes 0.0958 0.0518 28.9
5 John Gant 0.0869 0.1446 28.3
6 Chris Flexen 0.0905 0.0540 27.0
7 Luis Garcia 0.1187 0.0790 25.1
8 Alex Reyes 0.0869 0.1640 24.4
9 Antonio Senzatela 0.0841 0.0478 24.3
10 Zach Davies 0.0770 0.1123 23.6

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1239 0.0673 46.4
2 Sandy Alcantara 0.0963 0.0597 33.4
3 Julio Urías 0.0839 0.0510 27.0
4 Shane McClanahan 0.1174 0.0716 25.4
5 Corbin Burnes 0.0860 0.0518 24.7
6 Adbert Alzolay 0.1090 0.0655 24.3
7 Antonio Senzatela 0.0806 0.0478 24.3
8 Aaron Nola 0.0800 0.0521 23.4
9 Tyler Anderson 0.0835 0.0541 23.0
10 Adam Wainwright 0.0846 0.0604 22.8

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Adams 0.0074 0.0996 22.1
2 Alek Manoah 0.0116 0.0349 10.4
3 Alex Wood 0.0122 0.0274 8.5
4 Joe Musgrove 0.0123 0.0241 8.3
5 Rich Hill 0.0117 0.0242 7.8
6 Tyler Anderson 0.0104 0.0014 6.8
7 Dan Winkler 0.0130 0.0474 6.4
8 Lucas Giolito 0.0105 0.0028 6.0
9 Lance Lynn 0.0118 0.0031 6.0
10 Ross Detwiler 0.0091 0.0349 5.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Adams 0.0121 0.0996 20.7
2 Alek Manoah 0.0116 0.0349 10.1
3 Joe Musgrove 0.0111 0.0241 8.7
4 Alex Wood 0.0117 0.0274 8.4
5 Rich Hill 0.0114 0.0242 7.6
6 Lucas Giolito 0.0105 0.0028 6.5
7 Dan Winkler 0.0120 0.0474 6.5
8 Carlos Martinez 0.0116 0.0303 6.3
9 Tyler Anderson 0.0090 0.0014 6.3
10 Dillon Maples 0.0138 0.0576 5.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Adams 0.0112 0.0996 21.2
2 Alek Manoah 0.0116 0.0349 10.5
3 Alex Wood 0.0098 0.0274 10.0
4 Joe Musgrove 0.0118 0.0241 8.9
5 Rich Hill 0.0136 0.0242 6.8
6 Carlos Martinez 0.0119 0.0303 6.5
7 Kyle Hendricks 0.0085 0.0166 6.1
8 Kendall Graveman 0.0092 0.0360 5.9
9 Chad Kuhl 0.0091 0.0258 5.7
10 Martín Pérez 0.0065 0.0177 5.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Adams 0.0113 0.0996 20.9
2 Alek Manoah 0.0116 0.0349 10.0
3 Joe Musgrove 0.0111 0.0241 8.6
4 Alex Wood 0.0113 0.0274 8.6
5 Rich Hill 0.0115 0.0242 7.4
6 Lucas Giolito 0.0105 0.0028 6.6
7 Dan Winkler 0.0116 0.0474 6.5
8 Tyler Anderson 0.0090 0.0014 6.3
9 Carlos Martinez 0.0116 0.0303 6.3
10 Dillon Maples 0.0116 0.0576 6.2

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Adams 0.0000 0.0996 21.2
2 Alek Manoah 0.0000 0.0349 10.7
3 Joe Musgrove 0.0000 0.0241 9.3
4 Alex Wood 0.0000 0.0274 9.2
5 Rich Hill 0.0000 0.0242 8.4
6 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0225 8.3
7 Tyler Anderson 0.0000 0.0014 7.1
8 Dan Winkler 0.0000 0.0474 6.8
9 Carlos Martinez 0.0000 0.0303 6.8
10 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0028 6.4

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 0.0541 0.0183 22.0
2 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0591 0.0285 21.7
3 Trevor Rogers 0.0553 0.0175 19.5
4 Patrick Corbin 0.0450 0.0679 18.9
5 Marco Gonzales 0.0399 0.0674 17.4
6 Kolby Allard 0.0431 0.0734 17.4
7 JT Brubaker 0.0489 0.0773 16.5
8 Steven Matz 0.0664 0.0396 15.9
9 Josiah Gray 0.0488 0.0969 15.5
10 Andrew Heaney 0.0554 0.0803 15.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JT Brubaker 0.0420 0.0773 20.4
2 Corbin Burnes 0.0498 0.0183 19.0
3 Patrick Corbin 0.0470 0.0679 17.6
4 Tarik Skubal 0.0596 0.0839 17.1
5 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0514 0.0285 15.6
6 Antonio Senzatela 0.0486 0.0229 15.5
7 Chris Flexen 0.0560 0.0332 15.0
8 Jake Arrieta 0.0434 0.0714 14.4
9 Griffin Jax 0.0513 0.0881 14.2
10 Trevor Rogers 0.0448 0.0175 13.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JT Brubaker 0.0366 0.0773 23.2
2 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0549 0.0285 18.4
3 Corbin Burnes 0.0463 0.0183 16.9
4 Griffin Jax 0.0463 0.0881 15.9
5 Patrick Corbin 0.0494 0.0679 15.6
6 Marco Gonzales 0.0432 0.0674 15.5
7 Mike Foltynewicz 0.0551 0.0788 15.3
8 Matt Harvey 0.0707 0.0427 14.9
9 Trevor Bauer 0.0423 0.0745 14.9
10 Andrew Heaney 0.0562 0.0803 14.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JT Brubaker 0.0439 0.0773 19.4
2 Corbin Burnes 0.0493 0.0183 18.7
3 Josiah Gray 0.0418 0.0969 17.7
4 Patrick Corbin 0.0474 0.0679 17.3
5 Tarik Skubal 0.0599 0.0839 16.9
6 Chris Flexen 0.0583 0.0332 16.7
7 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0525 0.0285 16.4
8 Zack Wheeler 0.0503 0.0292 15.7
9 Antonio Senzatela 0.0481 0.0229 15.2
10 Griffin Jax 0.0488 0.0881 15.1

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0588 0.0175 20.9
2 Patrick Corbin 0.0446 0.0679 20.0
3 JT Brubaker 0.0445 0.0773 19.5
4 Corbin Burnes 0.0504 0.0183 18.9
5 Tarik Skubal 0.0586 0.0839 18.1
6 Griffin Jax 0.0445 0.0881 16.9
7 Chris Flexen 0.0583 0.0332 16.1
8 Mike Foltynewicz 0.0567 0.0788 14.9
9 Vince Velasquez 0.0554 0.0875 14.8
10 Andrew Heaney 0.0572 0.0803 14.8

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 0.2795 0.3501 43.7
2 Brad Keller 0.2793 0.3465 43.6
3 Max Scherzer 0.3118 0.2474 41.9
4 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.3052 0.3626 41.4
5 Freddy Peralta 0.3034 0.2303 40.2
6 Mitch Keller 0.3158 0.3878 35.7
7 Sam Hentges 0.2889 0.3846 31.7
8 Eric Lauer 0.3172 0.2492 31.3
9 Dane Dunning 0.2810 0.3383 31.3
10 Sean Manaea 0.2806 0.3175 30.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.3021 0.3626 45.6
2 Mitch Keller 0.3014 0.3878 44.0
3 Sam Hentges 0.2889 0.3846 32.7
4 Walker Buehler 0.2937 0.2471 32.1
5 Brady Singer 0.3067 0.3501 29.6
6 Freddy Peralta 0.2860 0.2303 28.2
7 Adam Wainwright 0.2970 0.2561 28.0
8 Jorge López 0.2973 0.3399 27.6
9 Brad Keller 0.3087 0.3465 27.6
10 Triston McKenzie 0.2899 0.2274 27.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brad Keller 0.2729 0.3465 44.9
2 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2981 0.3626 43.2
3 Mitch Keller 0.2989 0.3878 41.6
4 Brady Singer 0.2869 0.3501 36.8
5 Sean Manaea 0.2730 0.3175 33.2
6 Luis Castillo 0.2799 0.3176 29.9
7 Adam Wainwright 0.2915 0.2561 29.7
8 Marco Gonzales 0.2895 0.2394 29.6
9 Sam Hentges 0.2912 0.3846 29.6
10 Max Scherzer 0.2893 0.2474 29.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.3010 0.3626 47.0
2 Mitch Keller 0.2973 0.3878 46.3
3 Sam Hentges 0.2889 0.3846 33.0
4 Garrett Richards 0.2889 0.3325 31.9
5 Freddy Peralta 0.2931 0.2303 31.8
6 Brady Singer 0.3041 0.3501 31.7
7 Walker Buehler 0.2929 0.2471 30.8
8 Brad Keller 0.3068 0.3465 29.3
9 Matt Harvey 0.2889 0.3310 29.1
10 Marco Gonzales 0.2948 0.2394 27.7

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitch Keller 0.2801 0.3878 48.6
2 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2878 0.3626 47.5
3 Gerrit Cole 0.2462 0.3053 39.7
4 Brad Keller 0.2792 0.3465 38.5
5 Brady Singer 0.2814 0.3501 37.7
6 Luis Castillo 0.2748 0.3176 30.9
7 Sam Hentges 0.2854 0.3846 30.1
8 Sean Manaea 0.2740 0.3175 29.5
9 Justus Sheffield 0.2698 0.3500 29.2
10 Ranger Suárez 0.3208 0.2565 28.7

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 0.2165 0.2865 41.9
2 Freddy Peralta 0.2138 0.1480 37.3
3 Marco Gonzales 0.2136 0.1521 35.1
4 Brad Keller 0.2241 0.2748 31.9
5 Gerrit Cole 0.1962 0.2380 31.5
6 Dylan Cease 0.2022 0.2442 30.7
7 Jacob deGrom 0.2148 0.1187 30.6
8 Mitch Keller 0.2297 0.2885 28.3
9 Steven Matz 0.2176 0.2592 27.9
10 Alec Mills 0.2000 0.2520 27.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 0.3067 0.2865 35.4
2 Marco Gonzales 0.2898 0.1521 33.4
3 Freddy Peralta 0.2860 0.1480 33.3
4 Mitch Keller 0.3014 0.2885 31.8
5 Walker Buehler 0.2937 0.1749 31.1
6 Jordan Montgomery 0.2939 0.2576 29.3
7 Brad Keller 0.3087 0.2748 28.6
8 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2957 0.1663 28.6
9 Alek Manoah 0.2154 0.1970 28.5
10 Corbin Burnes 0.2927 0.2553 28.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brad Keller 0.2729 0.2748 45.9
2 Brady Singer 0.2869 0.2865 42.5
3 Marco Gonzales 0.2895 0.1521 37.6
4 Sean Manaea 0.2730 0.2454 34.2
5 Freddy Peralta 0.2783 0.1480 33.2
6 Mitch Keller 0.2989 0.2885 29.4
7 Jordan Montgomery 0.2885 0.2576 27.9
8 Jacob deGrom 0.2737 0.1187 26.5
9 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2833 0.1663 25.8
10 Triston McKenzie 0.2839 0.1588 25.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2154 0.1934 196.0
2 Caleb Smith 0.2154 0.1882 121.0
3 Garrett Richards 0.2154 0.2416 116.3
4 John Gant 0.2154 0.2051 110.5
5 Matt Harvey 0.2154 0.2441 108.3
6 Alek Manoah 0.2154 0.1970 107.0
7 Paolo Espino 0.2154 0.1950 107.0
8 Wil Crowe 0.2154 0.2369 101.2
9 Chi Chi González 0.2154 0.2118 97.8
10 Griffin Jax 0.2154 0.1597 97.4

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brady Singer 0.0000 0.2865 41.7
2 Freddy Peralta 0.0000 0.1480 39.1
3 Adrian Sampson 0.2154 0.1684 38.0
4 Andrés Machado 0.2154 0.1900 37.1
5 Marco Gonzales 0.0000 0.1521 37.0
6 Brad Keller 0.0000 0.2748 36.4
7 Mitch Keller 0.0000 0.2885 34.3
8 Walker Buehler 0.0000 0.1749 33.0
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.2630 32.2
10 Jacob deGrom 0.0000 0.1187 31.3

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0717 0.1055 27.1
2 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0610 0.0972 25.5
3 Zach Davies 0.0563 0.0913 24.6
4 Charlie Morton 0.0694 0.0379 22.6
5 Max Scherzer 0.0837 0.0541 19.3
6 Eric Lauer 0.0749 0.0383 17.0
7 Yu Darvish 0.0645 0.0871 16.5
8 José Berríos 0.0621 0.0808 15.9
9 Phil Maton 0.0734 0.1250 15.8
10 Joe Musgrove 0.0827 0.0599 15.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0677 0.0492 39.6
2 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.1055 28.8
3 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0379 22.6
4 Brandon Woodruff 0.0000 0.0373 21.5
5 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.0972 19.9
6 Phil Maton 0.0000 0.1250 17.0
7 Marcus Stroman 0.0000 0.0456 16.1
8 Chi Chi González 0.0000 0.1029 15.8
9 Zach Davies 0.0000 0.0913 15.8
10 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0452 14.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alek Manoah 0.0677 0.0492 39.6
2 Wily Peralta 0.0677 0.0586 30.9
3 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.1055 28.9
4 Nestor Cortes 0.0677 0.0609 27.9
5 Tim Mayza 0.0677 0.0226 23.7
6 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0379 22.6
7 Brandon Woodruff 0.0000 0.0373 21.5
8 Jake Brentz 0.0677 0.0592 21.2
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.0972 19.9
10 Lucas Gilbreath 0.0677 0.0357 18.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.0677 0.0592 62.9
2 John Gant 0.0677 0.0545 39.6
3 Alek Manoah 0.0677 0.0492 39.5
4 Wil Crowe 0.0677 0.0615 38.6
5 Taylor Hearn 0.0677 0.0557 35.1
6 Alex Reyes 0.0677 0.0252 34.9
7 Caleb Smith 0.0677 0.0662 34.5
8 Kyle Funkhouser 0.0677 0.0213 34.0
9 Matt Harvey 0.0677 0.0775 33.6
10 Alec Mills 0.0677 0.0724 32.5

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0000 0.1055 28.8
2 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0379 22.6
3 Brandon Woodruff 0.0000 0.0373 21.5
4 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0000 0.0972 19.9
5 Phil Maton 0.0000 0.1250 17.0
6 Marcus Stroman 0.0000 0.0456 16.1
7 Chi Chi González 0.0000 0.1029 15.8
8 Zach Davies 0.0000 0.0913 15.8
9 Corbin Burnes 0.0000 0.0452 14.8
10 Patrick Sandoval 0.0000 0.0275 14.6

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Castillo 0.0035 0.0137 8.8
2 Chris Flexen 0.0000 0.0090 7.2
3 Luke Weaver 0.0078 0.0331 7.2
4 James Kaprielian 0.0000 0.0127 6.8
5 Tyler Kinley 0.0000 0.0214 6.5
6 J.A. Happ 0.0038 0.0128 6.5
7 Aaron Nola 0.0034 0.0111 6.2
8 Michael Kopech 0.0059 0.0270 6.2
9 Trevor May 0.0000 0.0201 5.5
10 Cole Irvin 0.0096 0.0018 5.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0331 7.5
2 Luis Castillo 0.0000 0.0137 6.4
3 Joe Mantiply 0.0000 0.0417 6.3
4 Michael Kopech 0.0000 0.0270 6.0
5 Johnny Cueto 0.0000 0.0175 5.7
6 Robert Stephenson 0.0000 0.0333 5.4
7 Alek Manoah 0.0058 0.0000 5.3
8 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.2
9 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 5.0
10 Steven Brault 0.0000 0.0435 4.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0331 7.5
2 Luis Castillo 0.0000 0.0137 6.4
3 Joe Mantiply 0.0000 0.0417 6.3
4 Michael Kopech 0.0000 0.0270 6.0
5 Johnny Cueto 0.0000 0.0175 5.7
6 Robert Stephenson 0.0000 0.0333 5.4
7 Alek Manoah 0.0058 0.0000 5.3
8 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.2
9 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 5.0
10 Steven Brault 0.0000 0.0435 4.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0331 7.5
2 Adam Wainwright 0.0058 0.0035 6.7
3 Luis Castillo 0.0000 0.0137 6.4
4 Michael Kopech 0.0000 0.0270 6.1
5 Alec Mills 0.0058 0.0000 6.0
6 Caleb Smith 0.0058 0.0000 5.8
7 Johnny Cueto 0.0000 0.0175 5.7
8 Robert Stephenson 0.0000 0.0333 5.4
9 Joe Mantiply 0.0058 0.0417 5.3
10 Alek Manoah 0.0058 0.0000 5.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Weaver 0.0000 0.0331 7.5
2 Luis Castillo 0.0000 0.0137 6.4
3 Joe Mantiply 0.0000 0.0417 6.3
4 Michael Kopech 0.0000 0.0270 6.0
5 Johnny Cueto 0.0000 0.0175 5.7
6 Robert Stephenson 0.0000 0.0333 5.4
7 Spencer Howard 0.0000 0.0286 5.2
8 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0146 5.0
9 Steven Brault 0.0000 0.0435 4.8
10 J.A. Happ 0.0000 0.0128 4.7

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1275 0.0802 35.7
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1059 0.1518 35.3
3 Ranger Suárez 0.1301 0.0478 33.9
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.1019 0.1458 32.5
5 Jake Arrieta 0.1262 0.1940 32.3
6 Corbin Burnes 0.1204 0.0715 31.3
7 Kevin Gausman 0.1244 0.0852 29.5
8 Carlos Rodón 0.1292 0.0730 29.3
9 Walker Buehler 0.1103 0.0748 27.9
10 Logan Webb 0.1355 0.0889 27.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1227 0.0802 33.0
2 Carlos Rodón 0.1303 0.0730 30.7
3 Ranger Suárez 0.1197 0.0478 30.1
4 Adam Wainwright 0.1221 0.0870 29.3
5 Jake Arrieta 0.1321 0.1940 28.9
6 Patrick Corbin 0.1136 0.1518 28.5
7 Cal Quantrill 0.1314 0.0893 26.1
8 Zack Wheeler 0.1143 0.0848 25.2
9 Jesús Luzardo 0.1104 0.1670 24.7
10 Chris Bassitt 0.1239 0.0863 24.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.1218 0.1940 35.1
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1098 0.1518 33.5
3 Ranger Suárez 0.1222 0.0478 30.0
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.1044 0.1670 28.5
5 Adam Wainwright 0.1240 0.0870 28.5
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.1111 0.1458 26.9
7 Carlos Rodón 0.1254 0.0730 26.5
8 Cal Quantrill 0.1332 0.0893 25.4
9 Justus Sheffield 0.1178 0.1792 24.7
10 Ryan Yarbrough 0.1128 0.1470 24.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.1215 0.0802 33.0
2 Carlos Rodón 0.1288 0.0730 30.5
3 Ranger Suárez 0.1191 0.0478 30.4
4 Adam Wainwright 0.1210 0.0870 29.4
5 Jake Arrieta 0.1307 0.1940 29.0
6 Zack Wheeler 0.1163 0.0848 27.9
7 Patrick Corbin 0.1154 0.1518 26.2
8 Corbin Burnes 0.1098 0.0715 26.1
9 Jesús Luzardo 0.1063 0.1670 25.9
10 Cal Quantrill 0.1300 0.0893 25.9

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Griffin Jax 0.0000 0.1722 62.9
2 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0000 0.1230 62.3
3 Matt Peacock 0.0000 0.1425 56.0
4 Eli Morgan 0.0000 0.1425 55.0
5 Paolo Espino 0.0000 0.1165 54.2
6 Spenser Watkins 0.0000 0.1961 50.6
7 Tylor Megill 0.0000 0.1214 47.0
8 Alek Manoah 0.0000 0.0959 45.2
9 Josiah Gray 0.0000 0.1433 44.8
10 Wily Peralta 0.0000 0.1020 42.0

Earned Run Rate

Biggest Earned Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.0996 0.1478 37.5
2 Ranger Suárez 0.1164 0.0383 31.9
3 Zach Davies 0.0989 0.1422 30.1
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.0926 0.1319 29.6
5 Robbie Ray 0.1186 0.0789 29.3
6 Kevin Gausman 0.1166 0.0774 29.0
7 Corbin Burnes 0.1137 0.0685 28.5
8 Trevor Rogers 0.1231 0.0709 27.7
9 Jake Arrieta 0.1163 0.1727 27.3
10 Carlos Rodón 0.1181 0.0655 27.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1046 0.1478 33.4
2 Ranger Suárez 0.1102 0.0383 29.6
3 Carlos Rodón 0.1220 0.0655 29.5
4 Robbie Ray 0.1152 0.0789 27.1
5 Cal Quantrill 0.1225 0.0779 26.7
6 Jesús Luzardo 0.1016 0.1602 26.1
7 Jake Arrieta 0.1224 0.1727 24.2
8 Lance Lynn 0.1096 0.0733 22.5
9 Zack Wheeler 0.1053 0.0777 22.4
10 Adam Wainwright 0.1127 0.0845 22.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1031 0.1478 37.0
2 Ranger Suárez 0.1147 0.0383 30.1
3 Jake Arrieta 0.1139 0.1727 29.7
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.0981 0.1602 29.1
5 Andrew Heaney 0.1055 0.1505 27.6
6 Zach Davies 0.1078 0.1422 26.0
7 Aaron Nola 0.0944 0.1242 25.7
8 Cal Quantrill 0.1241 0.0779 25.7
9 J.A. Happ 0.1132 0.1461 25.1
10 Carlos Rodón 0.1162 0.0655 24.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1065 0.1478 31.1
2 Ranger Suárez 0.1096 0.0383 29.8
3 Carlos Rodón 0.1203 0.0655 29.2
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.0977 0.1602 27.3
5 Robbie Ray 0.1138 0.0789 27.0
6 Cal Quantrill 0.1210 0.0779 26.5
7 Zack Wheeler 0.1074 0.0777 25.2
8 Matt Harvey 0.1110 0.1529 24.4
9 Jake Arrieta 0.1213 0.1727 24.1
10 Chi Chi González 0.1110 0.1629 23.3

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.1040 0.1478 35.6
2 Ranger Suárez 0.1271 0.0383 35.6
3 Zack Wheeler 0.1201 0.0777 32.9
4 Cal Quantrill 0.1343 0.0779 32.5
5 Wade Miley 0.1344 0.0884 29.2
6 Adam Wainwright 0.1234 0.0845 29.2
7 Sandy Alcantara 0.1227 0.0872 26.6
8 Carlos Rodón 0.1182 0.0655 26.2
9 Jesús Luzardo 0.1060 0.1602 25.3
10 Aaron Nola 0.0967 0.1242 23.3

Win Rate

Biggest Win Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.1250 0.6250 333.7
2 Chris Flexen 0.1250 0.4516 203.5
3 Steven Matz 0.1481 0.4828 182.8
4 Kevin Gausman 0.1379 0.4242 181.6
5 Adam Wainwright 0.2667 0.5313 176.0
6 Carlos Rodón 0.1667 0.5417 172.5
7 Walker Buehler 0.2222 0.4848 171.6
8 Aaron Civale 0.1818 0.5714 168.1
9 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1667 0.4643 168.0
10 Tyler Mahle 0.1333 0.3939 158.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.2497 0.6250 289.5
2 Carlos Rodón 0.1420 0.5417 220.6
3 Chris Flexen 0.1848 0.4516 207.6
4 Cole Irvin 0.0717 0.3125 195.2
5 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0478 0.4091 185.8
6 Shane McClanahan 0.0636 0.4000 180.9
7 Adam Wainwright 0.3348 0.5313 173.7
8 James Kaprielian 0.0470 0.3333 150.5
9 Jordan Lyles 0.1341 0.3125 147.5
10 Freddy Peralta 0.1385 0.3571 134.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.1556 0.6250 370.6
2 Chris Flexen 0.1667 0.4516 231.9
3 Adam Wainwright 0.3500 0.5313 173.3
4 Corbin Burnes 0.1579 0.3929 172.8
5 Carlos Rodón 0.3125 0.5417 137.3
6 Mike Foltynewicz 0.3333 0.0714 137.1
7 Alek Manoah 0.1915 0.4500 131.5
8 Steven Matz 0.3077 0.4828 131.4
9 Luis Castillo 0.4333 0.2424 130.8
10 Framber Valdez 0.3000 0.5000 130.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.1915 0.5313 333.8
2 Cole Irvin 0.0563 0.3125 245.5
3 Julio Urías 0.3939 0.6250 219.4
4 Shane McClanahan 0.0528 0.4000 212.3
5 James Kaprielian 0.0453 0.3333 176.5
6 Freddy Peralta 0.1216 0.3571 173.4
7 Chris Flexen 0.3050 0.4516 155.7
8 Carlos Rodón 0.3200 0.5417 152.3
9 Alek Manoah 0.1915 0.4500 147.8
10 Aaron Civale 0.3496 0.5714 142.1

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Urías 0.3462 0.6250 241.6
2 Adam Wainwright 0.2857 0.5313 241.0
3 Alek Manoah 0.0005 0.4500 227.2
4 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0003 0.4091 225.3
5 Cole Irvin 0.1111 0.3125 189.6
6 Aaron Civale 0.2857 0.5714 164.9
7 José Suarez 0.0000 0.3478 162.4
8 Carlos Rodón 0.3043 0.5417 151.0
9 Luis Castillo 0.4688 0.2424 145.2
10 Wade Miley 0.2692 0.4286 141.3

Loss Rate

Biggest Loss Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 0.1111 0.4688 230.4
2 Patrick Corbin 0.2143 0.5161 183.4
3 JT Brubaker 0.1563 0.5417 176.3
4 Luis Castillo 0.2333 0.4848 155.7
5 Sandy Alcantara 0.2143 0.4545 152.8
6 Adbert Alzolay 0.1111 0.4483 145.1
7 Jake Arrieta 0.2222 0.5833 142.3
8 Carlos Martinez 0.1250 0.5625 137.9
9 Matt Harvey 0.2083 0.5000 136.2
10 Austin Gomber 0.0833 0.3913 122.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 0.0841 0.4688 311.2
2 JT Brubaker 0.2105 0.5417 189.2
3 Luis Castillo 0.3024 0.4848 163.0
4 Patrick Corbin 0.3251 0.5161 158.9
5 Jorge López 0.1878 0.4242 142.7
6 Jordan Lyles 0.2419 0.4063 142.2
7 Kolby Allard 0.1444 0.3750 134.1
8 Chris Bassitt 0.3781 0.1481 133.4
9 Cristian Javier 0.3600 0.0278 132.2
10 Logan Webb 0.3477 0.1111 128.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.2667 0.5161 198.5
2 Cole Irvin 0.2500 0.4688 179.4
3 JT Brubaker 0.2500 0.5417 164.9
4 Luis Castillo 0.3000 0.4848 160.4
5 Jorge López 0.1765 0.4242 145.8
6 Sandy Alcantara 0.3000 0.4545 141.8
7 Adam Wainwright 0.4000 0.2188 137.8
8 Adbert Alzolay 0.2000 0.4483 136.6
9 Joe Ross 0.1786 0.4500 131.7
10 José Ureña 0.0577 0.3077 120.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 0.0606 0.4688 341.8
2 Luis Castillo 0.2671 0.4848 204.5
3 Matt Harvey 0.1942 0.5000 199.5
4 Jorge López 0.1145 0.4242 192.4
5 Patrick Corbin 0.2979 0.5161 191.6
6 Jake Arrieta 0.3252 0.5833 138.4
7 JT Brubaker 0.3256 0.5417 136.1
8 Shane McClanahan 0.0610 0.2400 111.7
9 Patrick Sandoval 0.0855 0.3529 110.5
10 Cristian Javier 0.3252 0.0278 110.4

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Irvin 0.2222 0.4688 223.0
2 Luis Castillo 0.2813 0.4848 198.7
3 Patrick Corbin 0.3125 0.5161 185.8
4 Eli Morgan 0.0004 0.3889 163.8
5 Vladimir Gutierrez 0.0003 0.2727 156.8
6 Tylor Megill 0.0004 0.3333 142.8
7 Yu Darvish 0.2188 0.3667 130.6
8 Wily Peralta 0.0003 0.2632 123.3
9 Spenser Watkins 0.0004 0.4375 122.6
10 Jake Arrieta 0.3750 0.5833 118.2

Save Rate

Biggest Save Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Reyes 0.0476 0.4203 125.4
2 Mark Melancon 0.1613 0.6094 124.8
3 Jake McGee 0.0345 0.5000 116.8
4 Lou Trivino 0.0323 0.3099 93.2
5 Jordan Romano 0.0476 0.3710 87.6
6 Will Smith 0.2414 0.5211 85.7
7 Emmanuel Clase 0.0588 0.3380 84.3
8 Liam Hendriks 0.2727 0.5507 80.4
9 Gregory Soto 0.0345 0.2903 77.0
10 Michael Fulmer 0.0345 0.2692 76.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mark Melancon 0.0813 0.6094 138.2
2 Lou Trivino 0.0000 0.3099 94.1
3 Anthony Bass 0.3424 0.0000 90.7
4 Will Smith 0.2198 0.5211 83.5
5 Ian Kennedy 0.1110 0.4727 81.0
6 Michael Fulmer 0.0000 0.2692 78.0
7 Emmanuel Clase 0.0928 0.3380 66.6
8 Jake McGee 0.2155 0.5000 66.4
9 Scott Barlow 0.0160 0.2254 62.1
10 Alex Reyes 0.2240 0.4203 60.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mark Melancon 0.0991 0.6094 132.0
2 Ian Kennedy 0.0000 0.4727 105.0
3 Anthony Bass 0.3447 0.0000 92.8
4 Lou Trivino 0.0000 0.3099 92.3
5 Craig Kimbrel 0.7424 0.3810 87.8
6 James Karinchak 0.5290 0.1833 84.1
7 Daniel Bard 0.5610 0.2985 83.5
8 Alex Reyes 0.6618 0.4203 80.4
9 Michael Fulmer 0.0000 0.2692 76.4
10 Rafael Montero 0.4759 0.1591 74.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mark Melancon 0.0289 0.6094 149.9
2 Alex Reyes 0.0289 0.4203 119.4
3 Jake McGee 0.0289 0.5000 109.1
4 Ian Kennedy 0.0289 0.4727 97.8
5 Emmanuel Clase 0.0000 0.3380 90.2
6 Jordan Romano 0.0333 0.3710 81.7
7 Michael Fulmer 0.0000 0.2692 75.6
8 Brad Hand 0.0289 0.3088 73.7
9 Will Smith 0.2500 0.5211 72.5
10 Lou Trivino 0.0833 0.3099 65.6

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Reyes 0.0952 0.4203 105.6
2 James Karinchak 0.6304 0.1833 103.2
3 Greg Holland 0.5556 0.1404 99.0
4 Lou Trivino 0.0000 0.3099 98.5
5 Anthony Bass 0.3636 0.0000 92.5
6 Michael Fulmer 0.0000 0.2692 82.3
7 Emmanuel Clase 0.0909 0.3380 71.2
8 Aroldis Chapman 0.7692 0.4918 65.5
9 Drew Steckenrider 0.0001 0.2258 62.4
10 Archie Bradley 0.3158 0.0377 60.5

Hold Rate

Biggest Hold Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Treinen 0.1290 0.4444 102.7
2 Luke Jackson 0.0968 0.4366 100.1
3 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0870 0.3913 93.6
4 Génesis Cabrera 0.1304 0.3944 91.0
5 Garrett Whitlock 0.0612 0.3043 85.5
6 Michael Kopech 0.1000 0.3409 81.1
7 Tyler Matzek 0.0909 0.3478 79.3
8 Brad Boxberger 0.1111 0.3239 68.2
9 Jonathan Loáisiga 0.1200 0.3158 67.8
10 John Gant 0.2308 0.0513 66.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0000 0.3913 104.2
2 Génesis Cabrera 0.0952 0.3944 87.4
3 Michael Kopech 0.0651 0.3409 77.5
4 Shane McClanahan 0.1431 0.0000 75.9
5 Paul Sewald 0.0000 0.2581 67.1
6 Blake Treinen 0.2087 0.4444 66.4
7 Ross Stripling 0.1462 0.0000 64.6
8 Brad Boxberger 0.0779 0.3239 64.4
9 Luke Jackson 0.1883 0.4366 63.8
10 Taylor Hearn 0.1637 0.0238 63.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Treinen 0.0000 0.4444 109.6
2 Tyler Rogers 0.0000 0.3750 102.3
3 Génesis Cabrera 0.0000 0.3944 98.6
4 Luke Jackson 0.0000 0.4366 98.0
5 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0000 0.3913 88.8
6 Giovanny Gallegos 0.0000 0.3288 82.9
7 Michael Kopech 0.0000 0.3409 79.7
8 Devin Williams 0.0000 0.3966 75.8
9 Tyler Matzek 0.0000 0.3478 75.7
10 Garrett Whitlock 0.0000 0.3043 72.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Kopech 0.0000 0.3409 94.5
2 Freddy Peralta 0.1468 0.0000 90.6
3 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0612 0.3913 86.2
4 Luke Jackson 0.0974 0.4366 86.1
5 Cole Irvin 0.0866 0.0000 73.8
6 Blake Treinen 0.1948 0.4444 68.7
7 Brad Boxberger 0.0612 0.3239 67.4
8 Yusmeiro Petit 0.0612 0.2821 66.1
9 Steve Cishek 0.0612 0.2838 65.6
10 Tyler Matzek 0.0928 0.3478 64.8

Davenport

No data available.

ERA

Biggest ERA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 3.7768 5.8194 1533.4
2 Robbie Ray 4.6719 2.8397 1417.0
3 Zach Davies 3.7197 5.7770 1373.7
4 Jake Arrieta 4.5000 7.3885 1354.3
5 Ranger Suárez 4.5401 1.3585 1330.2
6 Kevin Gausman 4.4702 2.8125 1285.4
7 Corbin Burnes 4.3714 2.4251 1279.3
8 Dallas Keuchel 3.5398 5.2778 1250.7
9 Trevor Rogers 4.8425 2.6391 1212.3
10 Carlos Rodón 4.5933 2.3744 1185.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 4.0144 5.8194 1372.9
2 Robbie Ray 4.5270 2.8397 1286.5
3 Carlos Rodón 4.7996 2.3744 1282.8
4 Ranger Suárez 4.3079 1.3585 1223.3
5 Jesús Luzardo 3.8519 6.6084 1214.6
6 Jake Arrieta 4.8541 7.3885 1199.4
7 Cal Quantrill 4.7900 2.8864 1158.5
8 Adam Wainwright 4.4099 3.0533 1104.2
9 Zack Wheeler 3.9980 2.7844 1010.8
10 Jackson Kowar 5.0252 11.2747 966.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 3.9988 5.8194 1577.4
2 Jake Arrieta 4.5510 7.3885 1462.0
3 Jesús Luzardo 3.7667 6.6084 1364.1
4 Ranger Suárez 4.5495 1.3585 1216.8
5 Zach Davies 4.2436 5.7770 1211.3
6 Andrew Heaney 3.9986 5.8303 1178.3
7 Dallas Keuchel 3.9922 5.2778 1127.1
8 Cal Quantrill 4.9756 2.8864 1114.6
9 J.A. Happ 4.4274 5.7899 1102.0
10 Carlos Rodón 4.6849 2.3744 1084.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 4.7250 2.3744 1273.2
2 Robbie Ray 4.4510 2.8397 1271.5
3 Patrick Corbin 4.0952 5.8194 1269.6
4 Jesús Luzardo 3.6984 6.6084 1256.9
5 Ranger Suárez 4.3015 1.3585 1244.2
6 Jake Arrieta 4.8146 7.3885 1191.4
7 Zack Wheeler 4.1096 2.7844 1153.7
8 Cal Quantrill 4.7013 2.8864 1138.7
9 Adam Wainwright 4.3493 3.0533 1101.0
10 Matt Harvey 4.3493 6.2742 1100.7

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ranger Suárez 5.1468 1.3585 1529.5
2 Patrick Corbin 3.9489 5.8194 1501.7
3 Zack Wheeler 4.6299 2.7844 1457.2
4 Cal Quantrill 5.3511 2.8864 1438.7
5 Adam Wainwright 4.8599 3.0533 1388.9
6 Wade Miley 5.4429 3.3681 1342.5
7 Sandy Alcantara 4.8400 3.1945 1269.2
8 Jesús Luzardo 4.0112 6.6084 1191.4
9 Carlos Rodón 4.5902 2.3744 1114.3
10 Jake Arrieta 5.2506 7.3885 1063.3

WHIP

Biggest WHIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 1.4398 1.0448 304.3
2 Zach Davies 1.2489 1.6014 236.3
3 Corbin Burnes 1.3000 0.9401 235.6
4 Brad Keller 1.2839 1.6608 231.9
5 Adam Wainwright 1.3064 1.0565 205.8
6 Carlos Rodón 1.3397 0.9573 203.5
7 Max Scherzer 1.1553 0.8643 200.7
8 Freddy Peralta 1.3149 0.9700 199.3
9 Sandy Alcantara 1.3073 1.0746 193.7
10 Kevin Gausman 1.2914 1.0417 192.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 1.3901 1.0448 239.1
2 Adam Wainwright 1.3668 1.0565 227.0
3 Sandy Alcantara 1.3737 1.0746 220.2
4 Carlos Rodón 1.4045 0.9573 219.6
5 Mitch Keller 1.3997 1.7881 199.5
6 Corbin Burnes 1.2536 0.9401 182.3
7 Luis Garcia 1.4944 1.1781 177.4
8 Jesús Luzardo 1.2468 1.6154 176.8
9 Julio Urías 1.2880 1.0180 174.3
10 Zack Wheeler 1.2458 1.0078 171.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dallas Keuchel 1.2590 1.5309 249.9
2 Brad Keller 1.3518 1.6608 235.5
3 Garrett Richards 1.3056 1.5951 225.0
4 Zach Davies 1.3425 1.6014 223.1
5 Jake Arrieta 1.3862 1.7736 217.0
6 Carlos Rodón 1.4384 0.9573 216.7
7 Adam Wainwright 1.3862 1.0565 210.7
8 Jesús Luzardo 1.2110 1.6154 209.6
9 Mitch Keller 1.4180 1.7881 209.3
10 Sandy Alcantara 1.3978 1.0746 207.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sandy Alcantara 1.4126 1.0746 261.4
2 Robbie Ray 1.3787 1.0448 238.3
3 Carlos Rodón 1.4110 0.9573 228.6
4 Julio Urías 1.3431 1.0180 223.1
5 Justus Sheffield 1.3128 1.8423 213.7
6 Zack Wheeler 1.2797 1.0078 209.0
7 Corbin Burnes 1.2827 0.9401 208.2
8 Mitch Keller 1.4007 1.7881 194.1
9 Adam Wainwright 1.3128 1.0565 191.0
10 Garrett Richards 1.3128 1.5951 190.0

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 1.3748 1.0565 252.8
2 Sandy Alcantara 1.3833 1.0746 247.6
3 Zack Wheeler 1.2835 1.0078 223.1
4 Mitch Keller 1.3350 1.7881 219.0
5 Ranger Suárez 1.4985 1.0000 203.0
6 Patrick Corbin 1.2196 1.4680 196.2
7 Justus Sheffield 1.3595 1.8423 190.9
8 Robbie Ray 1.3019 1.0448 188.7
9 Jesús Luzardo 1.2053 1.6154 184.8
10 Carlos Rodón 1.3152 0.9573 184.2