2020 Projection Evaluation
Batting Projection Accuracy
Plate Appearances (PA)
Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 52 |
584
(532.0)
|
251
(199.0)
|
240
(187.8)
|
239
(187.0)
|
Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorenzo Cain | 565 | 21 | 544.0 |
| 2 | Starlin Castro | 601 | 63 | 538.0 |
| 3 | Yolmer Sánchez | 547 | 21 | 526.0 |
| 4 | Ozzie Albies | 642 | 124 | 518.0 |
| 5 | Mallex Smith | 544 | 47 | 497.0 |
| 6 | Brian Dozier | 498 | 16 | 482.0 |
| 7 | Leury García | 536 | 63 | 473.0 |
| 8 | Amed Rosario | 601 | 147 | 454.0 |
| 9 | Tommy Pham | 579 | 125 | 454.0 |
| 10 | Shin-Soo Choo | 580 | 127 | 453.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Hernández | 1 | 261 | 260.0 |
| 2 | Kyle Seager | 1 | 248 | 247.0 |
| 3 | Maikel Franco | 1 | 243 | 242.0 |
| 4 | Didi Gregorius | 1 | 237 | 236.0 |
| 5 | Adalberto Mondesi | 1 | 233 | 232.0 |
| 6 | Miguel Cabrera | 1 | 231 | 230.0 |
| 7 | Kole Calhoun | 1 | 228 | 227.0 |
| 8 | Renato Núñez | 1 | 216 | 215.0 |
| 9 | Nelson Cruz | 1 | 214 | 213.0 |
| 10 | Victor Reyes | 1 | 213 | 212.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorenzo Cain | 226 | 21 | 205.3 |
| 2 | Yordan Alvarez | 192 | 9 | 182.6 |
| 3 | Jake Cronenworth | 22 | 192 | 169.8 |
| 4 | Isan Díaz | 184 | 22 | 162.2 |
| 5 | C.J. Cron | 203 | 52 | 151.2 |
| 6 | Danny Santana | 209 | 63 | 145.7 |
| 7 | Nick Markakis | 1 | 141 | 140.0 |
| 8 | Luis García Jr. | 1 | 139 | 138.0 |
| 9 | Starlin Castro | 200 | 63 | 137.5 |
| 10 | Mallex Smith | 178 | 47 | 131.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Mendick | 409 | 114 | 295.0 |
| 2 | Dawel Lugo | 224 | 11 | 213.0 |
| 3 | Seth Brown | 208 | 5 | 203.0 |
| 4 | Yordan Alvarez | 210 | 9 | 201.0 |
| 5 | Cristian Pache | 204 | 4 | 200.0 |
| 6 | Jahmai Jones | 206 | 7 | 199.0 |
| 7 | Erick Mejia | 214 | 16 | 198.0 |
| 8 | Will Craig | 202 | 4 | 198.0 |
| 9 | Ian Miller | 196 | 0 | 196.0 |
| 10 | Harold Ramírez | 204 | 11 | 193.0 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez | 0.4103 |
0.3167
(16.4)
|
0.3156
(16.3)
|
0.3205
(15.5)
|
0.3119
(16.4)
|
| J.D. Martinez | 0.2950 |
0.4026
(22.7)
|
0.3974
(22.0)
|
0.3975
(22.1)
|
0.3838
(19.5)
|
| Dominic Smith | 0.4118 |
0.3268
(19.2)
|
0.3113
(21.9)
|
0.3112
(21.9)
|
0.3094
(21.7)
|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.4465 |
0.3459
(30.0)
|
0.3576
(26.3)
|
0.3561
(26.6)
|
0.3639
(23.9)
|
| Jose Altuve | 0.2779 |
0.3729
(17.5)
|
0.3611
(15.4)
|
0.3609
(15.5)
|
0.3692
(17.8)
|
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.4093 |
0.3455
(17.0)
|
0.3115
(24.2)
|
0.3169
(22.9)
|
0.3204
(21.5)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.4625 |
0.3861
(23.1)
|
0.3928
(20.8)
|
0.3915
(21.0)
|
0.3953
(19.3)
|
| José Abreu | 0.4122 |
0.3508
(19.2)
|
0.3585
(16.6)
|
0.3539
(17.7)
|
0.3368
(21.5)
|
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.4286 |
0.3476
(20.0)
|
0.3372
(21.8)
|
0.3344
(22.3)
|
0.3362
(21.4)
|
| Javier Báez | 0.2560 |
0.3486
(19.0)
|
0.3474
(19.2)
|
0.3454
(18.8)
|
0.3464
(19.7)
|
| Trea Turner | 0.4126 |
0.3420
(21.3)
|
0.3489
(19.0)
|
0.3493
(18.8)
|
0.3429
(19.8)
|
| Brandon Belt | 0.4286 |
0.3306
(19.6)
|
0.3448
(16.7)
|
0.3470
(16.3)
|
0.3323
(18.5)
|
| Wil Myers | 0.3996 |
0.3273
(18.3)
|
0.3167
(20.2)
|
0.3177
(19.9)
|
0.3261
(17.5)
|
| Juan Soto | 0.4912 |
0.3860
(22.9)
|
0.4044
(18.9)
|
0.4065
(18.4)
|
0.4135
(16.5)
|
| Jose Iglesias | 0.4075 |
0.3040
(17.3)
|
0.2996
(17.6)
|
0.3002
(17.5)
|
0.2965
(17.7)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Travis d'Arnaud | 0.3189 | 0.3920 | 15.6 |
| 2 | Jeimer Candelario | 0.3092 | 0.3731 | 15.6 |
| 3 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.3201 | 0.4693 | 15.3 |
| 4 | Manny Machado | 0.3487 | 0.3963 | 15.1 |
| 5 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.3596 | 0.2762 | 14.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.3201 | 0.4182 | 23.0 |
| 2 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.3007 | 0.4693 | 16.9 |
| 3 | Kyle Lewis | 0.2895 | 0.3494 | 16.8 |
| 4 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.3156 | 0.3821 | 15.8 |
| 5 | Josh Bell | 0.3711 | 0.2937 | 15.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.3036 | 0.4693 | 16.6 |
| 2 | Kyle Lewis | 0.2903 | 0.3494 | 16.5 |
| 3 | Gregory Polanco | 0.3321 | 0.2303 | 16.1 |
| 4 | Josh Bell | 0.3737 | 0.2937 | 15.8 |
| 5 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.3165 | 0.3821 | 15.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Gallo | 0.3852 | 0.3003 | 17.6 |
| 2 | Kyle Lewis | 0.2846 | 0.3494 | 17.3 |
| 3 | Donovan Solano | 0.2791 | 0.3569 | 17.2 |
| 4 | Gregory Polanco | 0.3348 | 0.2303 | 17.0 |
| 5 | Eduardo Escobar | 0.3455 | 0.2648 | 16.4 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Polanco | 0.3736 |
0.2136
(25.3)
|
0.2343
(21.8)
|
0.2282
(22.3)
|
0.2432
(20.1)
|
| Willy Adames | 0.3610 |
0.2607
(17.6)
|
0.2386
(22.2)
|
0.2424
(20.7)
|
0.2611
(17.4)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.3077 |
0.2054
(21.7)
|
0.2033
(22.3)
|
0.2032
(21.5)
|
0.2060
(21.4)
|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.1911 |
0.2597
(18.7)
|
0.2695
(20.8)
|
0.2692
(21.5)
|
0.2704
(21.2)
|
| Evan White | 0.4158 |
0.2343
(33.8)
|
0.2283
(35.0)
|
0.2219
(35.6)
|
0.2775
(24.9)
|
| Bryce Harper | 0.1762 |
0.2410
(19.3)
|
0.2502
(21.5)
|
0.2484
(21.9)
|
0.2616
(24.5)
|
| Kyle Seager | 0.1331 |
0.2004
(20.3)
|
0.2343
(28.6)
|
0.2058
(22.4)
|
0.1960
(19.3)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy La Stella | 0.1432 | 0.0526 | 23.9 |
| 2 | Jo Adell | 0.2343 | 0.4167 | 22.2 |
| 3 | Nick Madrigal | 0.2343 | 0.0642 | 20.1 |
| 4 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.2343 | 0.1563 | 17.8 |
| 5 | Miguel Sanó | 0.3385 | 0.4390 | 17.7 |
| 6 | Niko Goodrum | 0.2725 | 0.3855 | 17.6 |
| 7 | Trea Turner | 0.1912 | 0.1390 | 17.2 |
| 8 | Mitch Garver | 0.2300 | 0.4568 | 17.2 |
| 9 | Gary Sánchez | 0.2505 | 0.3596 | 16.8 |
| 10 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1909 | 0.1412 | 16.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Didi Gregorius | 0.2343 | 0.1181 | 30.9 |
| 2 | Jared Walsh | 0.3333 | 0.1389 | 22.5 |
| 3 | Maikel Franco | 0.2343 | 0.1564 | 22.4 |
| 4 | Robinson Canó | 0.2343 | 0.1319 | 21.2 |
| 5 | Tommy La Stella | 0.1274 | 0.0526 | 20.2 |
| 6 | Christian Walker | 0.2687 | 0.2058 | 18.7 |
| 7 | Michael Brantley | 0.2343 | 0.1497 | 18.4 |
| 8 | Rafael Devers | 0.1821 | 0.2702 | 18.4 |
| 9 | Garrett Hampson | 0.2130 | 0.3261 | 18.2 |
| 10 | Niko Goodrum | 0.2700 | 0.3855 | 18.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Walsh | 0.3191 | 0.1389 | 21.4 |
| 2 | Tommy La Stella | 0.1256 | 0.0526 | 20.6 |
| 3 | Christian Walker | 0.2673 | 0.2058 | 19.2 |
| 4 | Rafael Devers | 0.1790 | 0.2702 | 18.3 |
| 5 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1925 | 0.1412 | 18.0 |
| 6 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.2501 | 0.1852 | 17.8 |
| 7 | Garrett Hampson | 0.2125 | 0.3261 | 17.7 |
| 8 | Randal Grichuk | 0.2702 | 0.2121 | 17.4 |
| 9 | Niko Goodrum | 0.2718 | 0.3855 | 17.2 |
| 10 | Nicky Lopez | 0.1074 | 0.2135 | 17.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Walsh | 0.3228 | 0.1389 | 21.5 |
| 2 | Rafael Devers | 0.1753 | 0.2702 | 19.8 |
| 3 | Trea Turner | 0.2000 | 0.1390 | 19.7 |
| 4 | Randal Grichuk | 0.2783 | 0.2121 | 18.8 |
| 5 | Garrett Hampson | 0.2105 | 0.3261 | 18.5 |
| 6 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.2511 | 0.1861 | 18.5 |
| 7 | Cavan Biggio | 0.2844 | 0.2302 | 18.4 |
| 8 | Jo Adell | 0.2643 | 0.4167 | 18.1 |
| 9 | Keston Hiura | 0.2578 | 0.3455 | 17.9 |
| 10 | Nicky Lopez | 0.1063 | 0.2135 | 17.7 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.1423 |
0.0896
(13.1)
|
0.0902
(13.0)
|
0.0902
(12.4)
|
0.0905
(12.0)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.1718 |
0.1142
(14.1)
|
0.1216
(12.2)
|
0.1228
(11.3)
|
0.1208
(11.5)
|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.1943 |
0.1305
(12.7)
|
0.1297
(12.9)
|
0.1295
(12.4)
|
0.1301
(12.1)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.1862 |
0.1153
(16.6)
|
0.1298
(13.1)
|
0.1285
(12.8)
|
0.1245
(13.5)
|
| Jason Heyward | 0.1657 |
0.0963
(11.9)
|
0.1048
(10.4)
|
0.1031
(10.3)
|
0.1010
(10.4)
|
| Sean Murphy | 0.1714 |
0.0897
(10.9)
|
0.0739
(13.2)
|
0.0748
(12.7)
|
0.0789
(12.0)
|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.1638 |
0.1136
(10.8)
|
0.1136
(10.8)
|
0.1143
(10.1)
|
0.1111
(10.6)
|
| Martín Maldonado | 0.1636 |
0.0618
(16.2)
|
0.0641
(15.8)
|
0.0636
(15.5)
|
0.0725
(13.9)
|
| Kyle Lewis | 0.1405 |
0.0741
(15.2)
|
0.0723
(15.6)
|
0.0732
(14.9)
|
0.0663
(16.2)
|
| J.D. Davis | 0.1354 |
0.0835
(11.0)
|
0.0818
(11.5)
|
0.0829
(10.7)
|
0.0765
(11.9)
|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1881 |
0.0987
(17.3)
|
0.1024
(16.6)
|
0.1030
(16.0)
|
0.1047
(15.4)
|
| Clint Frazier | 0.1563 |
0.0751
(12.4)
|
0.0750
(12.4)
|
0.0743
(12.2)
|
0.0718
(12.4)
|
| Ketel Marte | 0.0359 |
0.0898
(11.2)
|
0.0858
(10.4)
|
0.0856
(10.8)
|
0.0812
(10.2)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Canha | 0.1006 | 0.1523 | 11.7 |
| 2 | Bryce Harper | 0.1498 | 0.2008 | 11.5 |
| 3 | Juan Soto | 0.1476 | 0.2092 | 11.3 |
| 4 | Hunter Dozier | 0.0827 | 0.1452 | 10.9 |
| 5 | Kyle Seager | 0.0814 | 0.1290 | 10.9 |
| 6 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.0817 | 0.1333 | 10.8 |
| 7 | Luke Voit | 0.1146 | 0.0726 | 10.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Canha | 0.0995 | 0.1523 | 12.0 |
| 2 | Victor Reyes | 0.0916 | 0.0423 | 11.3 |
| 3 | Adalberto Mondesi | 0.0916 | 0.0472 | 11.2 |
| 4 | Brett Gardner | 0.0916 | 0.1646 | 11.0 |
| 5 | Jon Berti | 0.0786 | 0.1544 | 10.8 |
| 6 | Hunter Dozier | 0.0855 | 0.1452 | 10.4 |
| 7 | Erik González | 0.0916 | 0.0415 | 10.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Canha | 0.1004 | 0.1523 | 11.2 |
| 2 | Mike Trout | 0.1853 | 0.1452 | 11.1 |
| 3 | Kyle Seager | 0.0820 | 0.1290 | 10.2 |
| 4 | Carlos Correa | 0.1125 | 0.0724 | 10.2 |
| 5 | Andrew McCutchen | 0.1274 | 0.0913 | 10.1 |
| 6 | Jon Berti | 0.0813 | 0.1544 | 10.0 |
| 7 | Luke Voit | 0.1094 | 0.0726 | 10.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew McCutchen | 0.1319 | 0.0913 | 11.5 |
| 2 | Mike Trout | 0.1855 | 0.1452 | 11.4 |
| 3 | Luke Voit | 0.1141 | 0.0726 | 11.3 |
| 4 | Carlos Correa | 0.1156 | 0.0724 | 11.1 |
| 5 | Carson Kelly | 0.1223 | 0.0465 | 10.7 |
| 6 | Brett Gardner | 0.0916 | 0.1646 | 10.4 |
| 7 | Jean Segura | 0.0517 | 0.1060 | 10.3 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keston Hiura | 0.0447 |
0.0182
(6.2)
|
0.0167
(6.6)
|
0.0160
(6.6)
|
0.0222
(5.0)
|
| Willson Contreras | 0.0622 |
0.0173
(9.8)
|
0.0157
(10.2)
|
0.0160
(10.0)
|
0.0176
(9.5)
|
| Dylan Moore | 0.0503 |
0.0233
(4.1)
|
0.0150
(5.4)
|
0.0160
(5.2)
|
0.0199
(4.5)
|
| Justin Upton | 0.0422 |
0.0078
(5.5)
|
0.0123
(4.8)
|
0.0090
(5.2)
|
0.0057
(5.7)
|
| Carter Kieboom | 0.0410 |
0.0087
(3.8)
|
0.0104
(3.6)
|
0.0100
(3.6)
|
0.0096
(3.5)
|
| Bradley Zimmer | 0.1000 |
0.0091
(4.5)
|
0.0200
(3.9)
|
0.0110
(4.4)
|
0.0149
(4.1)
|
| Ramón Laureano | 0.0541 |
0.0172
(7.9)
|
0.0142
(8.6)
|
0.0140
(8.5)
|
0.0160
(7.9)
|
| Matt Carpenter | 0.0355 |
0.0119
(3.7)
|
0.0118
(3.8)
|
0.0120
(3.7)
|
0.0102
(3.9)
|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.0260 |
0.0041
(3.9)
|
0.0060
(3.6)
|
0.0060
(3.5)
|
0.0059
(3.4)
|
| Abraham Toro | 0.0722 |
0.0119
(5.7)
|
0.0114
(5.8)
|
0.0120
(5.7)
|
0.0174
(5.1)
|
| J.D. Davis | 0.0306 |
0.0068
(5.1)
|
0.0084
(4.8)
|
0.0080
(4.7)
|
0.0055
(5.2)
|
| Kyle Seager | 0.0282 |
0.0104
(4.1)
|
0.0123
(3.6)
|
0.0100
(4.1)
|
0.0101
(3.9)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freddy Galvis | 0.0036 | 0.0314 | 4.2 |
| 2 | Andrés Giménez | 0.0123 | 0.0455 | 4.2 |
| 3 | AJ Pollock | 0.0170 | 0.0000 | 3.9 |
| 4 | Randy Arozarena | 0.0138 | 0.0658 | 3.8 |
| 5 | Kole Calhoun | 0.0089 | 0.0263 | 3.6 |
| 6 | Starling Marte | 0.0200 | 0.0360 | 3.6 |
| 7 | Michael Conforto | 0.0134 | 0.0300 | 3.5 |
| 8 | Joey Bart | 0.0123 | 0.0450 | 3.5 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chance Sisco | 0.0123 | 0.0496 | 4.4 |
| 2 | Starling Marte | 0.0183 | 0.0360 | 4.1 |
| 3 | Derek Dietrich | 0.0123 | 0.0667 | 4.0 |
| 4 | Victor Robles | 0.0254 | 0.0476 | 4.0 |
| 5 | Joey Bart | 0.0099 | 0.0450 | 3.8 |
| 6 | Mark Canha | 0.0246 | 0.0412 | 3.7 |
| 7 | Andrés Giménez | 0.0167 | 0.0455 | 3.6 |
| 8 | Jake Cave | 0.0114 | 0.0407 | 3.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Canha | 0.0230 | 0.0412 | 4.0 |
| 2 | Victor Robles | 0.0250 | 0.0476 | 3.9 |
| 3 | Freddy Galvis | 0.0050 | 0.0314 | 3.9 |
| 4 | Starling Marte | 0.0190 | 0.0360 | 3.8 |
| 5 | Joey Bart | 0.0100 | 0.0450 | 3.7 |
| 6 | AJ Pollock | 0.0150 | 0.0000 | 3.5 |
| 7 | Andrés Giménez | 0.0170 | 0.0455 | 3.5 |
| 8 | Randy Arozarena | 0.0200 | 0.0658 | 3.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.0201 | 0.0044 | 4.1 |
| 2 | Freddy Galvis | 0.0044 | 0.0314 | 3.9 |
| 3 | Dominic Smith | 0.0054 | 0.0251 | 3.5 |
| 4 | Jeff McNeil | 0.0283 | 0.0144 | 3.4 |
| 5 | Avisaíl García | 0.0104 | 0.0290 | 3.4 |
| 6 | Jake Cave | 0.0110 | 0.0407 | 3.4 |
| 7 | Kole Calhoun | 0.0093 | 0.0263 | 3.3 |
| 8 | Michael Conforto | 0.0134 | 0.0300 | 3.3 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.1065 |
0.0635
(11.5)
|
0.0738
(9.0)
|
0.0730
(8.9)
|
0.0705
(9.2)
|
| Jesse Winker | 0.1154 |
0.0490
(12.1)
|
0.0484
(12.4)
|
0.0489
(12.1)
|
0.0367
(14.1)
|
| Luke Voit | 0.1375 |
0.0732
(15.0)
|
0.0689
(16.3)
|
0.0697
(15.8)
|
0.0796
(13.2)
|
| José Abreu | 0.1044 |
0.0610
(11.3)
|
0.0695
(9.4)
|
0.0678
(9.5)
|
0.0592
(11.5)
|
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.1951 |
0.0539
(13.0)
|
0.0769
(11.0)
|
0.0780
(10.7)
|
0.0769
(10.7)
|
| Kole Calhoun | 0.1111 |
0.0598
(11.7)
|
0.0539
(13.3)
|
0.0640
(10.7)
|
0.0643
(10.4)
|
| AJ Pollock | 0.1046 |
0.0550
(10.4)
|
0.0571
(10.2)
|
0.0574
(9.8)
|
0.0566
(9.8)
|
| J.D. Martinez | 0.0455 |
0.0925
(11.2)
|
0.0936
(11.2)
|
0.0938
(11.6)
|
0.0822
(9.0)
|
| Byron Buxton | 0.1354 |
0.0456
(12.1)
|
0.0538
(11.2)
|
0.0538
(11.0)
|
0.0538
(10.8)
|
| Joey Gallo | 0.0877 |
0.1280
(9.1)
|
0.1375
(11.0)
|
0.1385
(11.6)
|
0.1781
(20.7)
|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1400 |
0.0827
(11.6)
|
0.0884
(10.6)
|
0.0878
(10.5)
|
0.0843
(11.0)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Duvall | 0.0653 | 0.1168 | 10.7 |
| 2 | Nick Solak | 0.0546 | 0.0117 | 10.0 |
| 3 | Shogo Akiyama | 0.0539 | 0.0000 | 9.9 |
| 4 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.0780 | 0.1240 | 9.5 |
| 5 | Nick Castellanos | 0.0541 | 0.0933 | 9.5 |
| 6 | Wil Myers | 0.0623 | 0.1056 | 9.4 |
| 7 | DJ Stewart | 0.0521 | 0.1346 | 9.2 |
| 8 | Brian Anderson | 0.0416 | 0.0815 | 9.1 |
| 9 | Jedd Gyorko | 0.0457 | 0.1111 | 8.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0539 | 0.1260 | 15.6 |
| 2 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.0749 | 0.1240 | 10.4 |
| 3 | Carlos Correa | 0.0794 | 0.0327 | 10.1 |
| 4 | Randy Arozarena | 0.0360 | 0.1628 | 9.7 |
| 5 | Shogo Akiyama | 0.0539 | 0.0000 | 9.7 |
| 6 | Nick Solak | 0.0533 | 0.0117 | 9.5 |
| 7 | César Hernández | 0.0539 | 0.0169 | 9.4 |
| 8 | Avisaíl García | 0.0600 | 0.0152 | 9.1 |
| 9 | Wil Myers | 0.0651 | 0.1056 | 9.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Correa | 0.0788 | 0.0327 | 10.3 |
| 2 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.0752 | 0.1240 | 10.0 |
| 3 | Nick Solak | 0.0539 | 0.0117 | 9.9 |
| 4 | Avisaíl García | 0.0601 | 0.0152 | 9.4 |
| 5 | Randy Arozarena | 0.0397 | 0.1628 | 9.3 |
| 6 | Nomar Mazara | 0.0693 | 0.0109 | 8.8 |
| 7 | DJ Stewart | 0.0573 | 0.1346 | 8.6 |
| 8 | Gleyber Torres | 0.0811 | 0.0278 | 8.6 |
| 9 | Franmil Reyes | 0.0964 | 0.0612 | 8.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franmil Reyes | 0.1040 | 0.0612 | 10.7 |
| 2 | Gleyber Torres | 0.0920 | 0.0278 | 10.5 |
| 3 | Mark Canha | 0.0741 | 0.0352 | 9.8 |
| 4 | Randy Arozarena | 0.0357 | 0.1628 | 9.5 |
| 5 | Eric Thames | 0.1034 | 0.0370 | 9.5 |
| 6 | Avisaíl García | 0.0588 | 0.0152 | 9.3 |
| 7 | DJ Stewart | 0.0508 | 0.1346 | 9.2 |
| 8 | José Ramírez | 0.0588 | 0.0960 | 9.1 |
| 9 | Carlos Correa | 0.0714 | 0.0327 | 8.9 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez | 0.3750 |
0.2686
(18.3)
|
0.2639
(18.4)
|
0.2681
(17.9)
|
0.2636
(18.8)
|
| Michael Conforto | 0.4118 |
0.2974
(29.2)
|
0.2881
(30.4)
|
0.2862
(31.2)
|
0.3016
(27.7)
|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.3907 |
0.3023
(26.5)
|
0.3026
(25.3)
|
0.3028
(25.6)
|
0.3103
(23.8)
|
| Eugenio Suárez | 0.2137 |
0.3116
(20.1)
|
0.2999
(18.3)
|
0.2945
(16.8)
|
0.3023
(18.4)
|
| Travis d'Arnaud | 0.4112 |
0.2755
(26.9)
|
0.2865
(24.2)
|
0.2865
(24.4)
|
0.2887
(24.2)
|
| Willi Castro | 0.4432 |
0.3036
(21.0)
|
0.3046
(20.4)
|
0.3131
(19.3)
|
0.3086
(20.1)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.2589 |
0.3450
(18.6)
|
0.3485
(20.4)
|
0.3426
(18.7)
|
0.3357
(16.8)
|
| Max Muncy | 0.2030 |
0.2872
(18.2)
|
0.2824
(18.0)
|
0.2864
(18.7)
|
0.2913
(19.7)
|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.3721 |
0.2832
(20.5)
|
0.2880
(18.7)
|
0.2966
(17.2)
|
0.2901
(18.7)
|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.2295 |
0.3587
(24.6)
|
0.3380
(21.1)
|
0.3435
(22.0)
|
0.3285
(18.7)
|
| Jose Iglesias | 0.4065 |
0.2985
(17.8)
|
0.2935
(18.0)
|
0.2908
(18.6)
|
0.2885
(19.0)
|
| Alec Bohm | 0.4098 |
0.2901
(23.5)
|
0.2908
(22.6)
|
0.2838
(24.1)
|
0.2925
(22.7)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.3333 | 0.1889 | 21.0 |
| 2 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.2646 | 0.1546 | 18.0 |
| 3 | Alex Verdugo | 0.3003 | 0.3709 | 18.0 |
| 4 | Dansby Swanson | 0.2931 | 0.3503 | 17.9 |
| 5 | Keston Hiura | 0.3556 | 0.2727 | 17.7 |
| 6 | Dominic Smith | 0.2900 | 0.3680 | 17.7 |
| 7 | Ty France | 0.2879 | 0.3900 | 17.5 |
| 8 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3428 | 0.2585 | 17.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.2901 | 0.1546 | 23.3 |
| 2 | César Hernández | 0.2901 | 0.3600 | 20.0 |
| 3 | Dominic Smith | 0.2845 | 0.3680 | 18.0 |
| 4 | Gary Sánchez | 0.2635 | 0.1585 | 17.5 |
| 5 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3387 | 0.2585 | 17.4 |
| 6 | Franmil Reyes | 0.2907 | 0.3551 | 17.1 |
| 7 | Hunter Renfroe | 0.2712 | 0.1410 | 17.1 |
| 8 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.3012 | 0.3701 | 17.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.2642 | 0.1546 | 18.4 |
| 2 | Dominic Smith | 0.2852 | 0.3680 | 18.1 |
| 3 | Hunter Renfroe | 0.2730 | 0.1410 | 17.2 |
| 4 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.3349 | 0.2292 | 17.1 |
| 5 | Willy Adames | 0.3134 | 0.3883 | 17.0 |
| 6 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3355 | 0.2585 | 16.3 |
| 7 | Gary Sánchez | 0.2582 | 0.1585 | 16.3 |
| 8 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.3061 | 0.3701 | 16.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.3516 | 0.2292 | 19.9 |
| 2 | Donovan Solano | 0.3084 | 0.3960 | 19.6 |
| 3 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.3146 | 0.1889 | 18.3 |
| 4 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.2991 | 0.3701 | 18.0 |
| 5 | Hunter Renfroe | 0.2762 | 0.1410 | 17.5 |
| 6 | Rougned Odor | 0.2824 | 0.1566 | 17.3 |
| 7 | Joey Votto | 0.3206 | 0.2348 | 17.1 |
| 8 | Willy Adames | 0.3143 | 0.3883 | 17.0 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Conforto | 0.3235 |
0.2187
(25.5)
|
0.2074
(27.8)
|
0.2050
(28.6)
|
0.2222
(24.6)
|
| Edwin Encarnación | 0.1031 |
0.2062
(17.9)
|
0.2162
(19.9)
|
0.2007
(16.9)
|
0.2041
(17.5)
|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.2980 |
0.2401
(16.6)
|
0.2320
(18.4)
|
0.2327
(18.5)
|
0.2345
(18.1)
|
| Eugenio Suárez | 0.1453 |
0.2404
(20.9)
|
0.2254
(17.8)
|
0.2214
(16.6)
|
0.2248
(17.4)
|
| Nelson Cruz | 0.3063 |
0.2323
(16.8)
|
0.2162
(19.9)
|
0.2445
(14.1)
|
0.2308
(17.1)
|
| Travis d'Arnaud | 0.3364 |
0.2075
(24.5)
|
0.2146
(23.0)
|
0.2148
(23.1)
|
0.2268
(20.9)
|
| Willi Castro | 0.3750 |
0.2143
(23.1)
|
0.2296
(20.8)
|
0.2357
(20.1)
|
0.2284
(21.1)
|
| Kyle Lewis | 0.3175 |
0.2162
(25.6)
|
0.2267
(22.7)
|
0.2225
(24.0)
|
0.2281
(22.6)
|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.3441 |
0.2162
(18.5)
|
0.2422
(14.7)
|
0.2385
(15.3)
|
0.2353
(15.8)
|
| J.D. Martinez | 0.1497 |
0.2493
(22.6)
|
0.2474
(22.4)
|
0.2453
(21.7)
|
0.2388
(20.1)
|
| Teoscar Hernández | 0.2832 |
0.2022
(17.7)
|
0.2143
(14.9)
|
0.2117
(15.6)
|
0.2110
(15.8)
|
| Alec Bohm | 0.3197 |
0.2162
(19.4)
|
0.2211
(18.3)
|
0.2147
(19.6)
|
0.2245
(17.9)
|
| Raimel Tapia | 0.3179 |
0.2375
(17.5)
|
0.2469
(15.2)
|
0.2463
(15.6)
|
0.2481
(15.2)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.2573 | 0.1333 | 18.8 |
| 2 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2571 | 0.1639 | 18.5 |
| 3 | Jurickson Profar | 0.1726 | 0.2500 | 16.5 |
| 4 | Christian Yelich | 0.2544 | 0.1875 | 15.4 |
| 5 | Adam Eaton | 0.2487 | 0.1575 | 15.3 |
| 6 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.2541 | 0.1744 | 15.2 |
| 7 | Matt Joyce | 0.2095 | 0.3059 | 14.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2540 | 0.1639 | 18.1 |
| 2 | Kole Calhoun | 0.2162 | 0.1406 | 16.5 |
| 3 | Franmil Reyes | 0.2181 | 0.2826 | 16.3 |
| 4 | Hunter Renfroe | 0.1964 | 0.0769 | 16.2 |
| 5 | Gregory Polanco | 0.2162 | 0.1236 | 15.6 |
| 6 | Christian Yelich | 0.2536 | 0.1875 | 15.6 |
| 7 | Gary Sánchez | 0.1958 | 0.1098 | 14.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2568 | 0.1639 | 18.5 |
| 2 | Hunter Renfroe | 0.1971 | 0.0769 | 16.1 |
| 3 | Matt Joyce | 0.2032 | 0.3059 | 15.8 |
| 4 | Franmil Reyes | 0.2231 | 0.2826 | 15.3 |
| 5 | Adam Eaton | 0.2464 | 0.1575 | 14.9 |
| 6 | Christian Yelich | 0.2485 | 0.1875 | 14.1 |
| 7 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.2021 | 0.2628 | 14.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler O'Neill | 0.2472 | 0.1333 | 17.2 |
| 2 | Matt Joyce | 0.2000 | 0.3059 | 16.3 |
| 3 | Adam Eaton | 0.2533 | 0.1575 | 16.1 |
| 4 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.2566 | 0.1744 | 15.8 |
| 5 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.1966 | 0.2628 | 15.3 |
| 6 | Hunter Renfroe | 0.1905 | 0.0769 | 15.2 |
| 7 | Randal Grichuk | 0.1811 | 0.2420 | 15.0 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson | 0.0336 |
0.0781
(9.7)
|
0.0755
(9.5)
|
0.0793
(10.4)
|
0.0820
(11.0)
|
| Corey Dickerson | 0.0327 |
0.0949
(12.1)
|
0.0824
(9.8)
|
0.0834
(9.9)
|
0.0887
(11.0)
|
| Keston Hiura | 0.0331 |
0.0978
(14.7)
|
0.0883
(12.8)
|
0.0881
(12.7)
|
0.0882
(12.7)
|
| Dominic Smith | 0.1680 |
0.0800
(18.5)
|
0.0725
(19.6)
|
0.0728
(19.6)
|
0.0732
(19.6)
|
| Willy Adames | 0.1456 |
0.0634
(17.8)
|
0.0645
(17.3)
|
0.0652
(17.2)
|
0.0643
(17.4)
|
| Jason Castro | 0.2000 |
0.0773
(11.7)
|
0.0681
(12.4)
|
0.0771
(11.6)
|
0.0714
(12.1)
|
| Josh Bell | 0.0227 |
0.0820
(12.1)
|
0.0771
(11.4)
|
0.0791
(11.8)
|
0.0828
(12.6)
|
| Miguel Sanó | 0.1446 |
0.0856
(13.1)
|
0.0857
(12.7)
|
0.0875
(12.4)
|
0.0921
(11.5)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.1402 |
0.0867
(15.3)
|
0.0885
(14.4)
|
0.0877
(14.7)
|
0.0927
(13.4)
|
| Nick Markakis | 0.1415 |
0.0778
(9.7)
|
0.0681
(10.8)
|
0.0735
(10.1)
|
0.0676
(10.9)
|
| César Hernández | 0.1143 |
0.0558
(16.5)
|
0.0681
(12.9)
|
0.0634
(14.2)
|
0.0529
(16.9)
|
| Jose Iglesias | 0.1382 |
0.0672
(11.4)
|
0.0627
(11.8)
|
0.0623
(11.9)
|
0.0641
(11.6)
|
| Kyle Lewis | 0.0238 |
0.0811
(12.7)
|
0.0750
(11.6)
|
0.0736
(11.2)
|
0.0789
(12.5)
|
| Ji Man Choi | 0.1512 |
0.0780
(11.3)
|
0.0760
(11.4)
|
0.0763
(11.3)
|
0.0714
(12.1)
|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1279 |
0.0683
(13.0)
|
0.0695
(12.5)
|
0.0702
(12.3)
|
0.0724
(11.9)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.0565 | 0.0927 | 11.0 |
| 2 | Christian Walker | 0.0741 | 0.1098 | 9.8 |
| 3 | Juan Soto | 0.0806 | 0.1239 | 9.4 |
| 4 | Max Muncy | 0.0727 | 0.0301 | 9.4 |
| 5 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.0675 | 0.0226 | 9.1 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavan Biggio | 0.0688 | 0.1053 | 10.5 |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 0.0777 | 0.1239 | 9.7 |
| 3 | Andrew Stevenson | 0.0513 | 0.2500 | 9.5 |
| 4 | JaCoby Jones | 0.0681 | 0.1525 | 9.5 |
| 5 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.0631 | 0.1079 | 9.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavan Biggio | 0.0679 | 0.1053 | 10.8 |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 0.0794 | 0.1239 | 9.4 |
| 3 | Miguel Cabrera | 0.0715 | 0.0276 | 9.4 |
| 4 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.0635 | 0.1079 | 9.2 |
| 5 | Andrew Stevenson | 0.0581 | 0.2500 | 9.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavan Biggio | 0.0614 | 0.1053 | 12.5 |
| 2 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.0543 | 0.1079 | 11.0 |
| 3 | Hunter Dozier | 0.0952 | 0.0385 | 9.9 |
| 4 | Marwin Gonzalez | 0.0826 | 0.0301 | 9.8 |
| 5 | Andrew Stevenson | 0.0517 | 0.2500 | 9.5 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asdrúbal Cabrera | 0.0205 |
0.0029
(4.1)
|
0.0058
(3.3)
|
0.0028
(3.9)
|
0.0000
(4.7)
|
| Harrison Bader | 0.0317 |
0.0075
(3.2)
|
0.0080
(3.0)
|
0.0081
(3.0)
|
0.0099
(2.9)
|
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.0315 |
0.0120
(4.7)
|
0.0122
(4.5)
|
0.0124
(4.5)
|
0.0085
(5.5)
|
| Michael Chavis | 0.0215 |
0.0043
(2.9)
|
0.0041
(2.8)
|
0.0043
(2.8)
|
0.0000
(3.6)
|
| Trevor Story | 0.0248 |
0.0115
(3.8)
|
0.0111
(3.7)
|
0.0112
(3.7)
|
0.0146
(3.0)
|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.0233 |
0.0072
(3.6)
|
0.0092
(3.0)
|
0.0093
(3.0)
|
0.0076
(3.5)
|
| Kevin Pillar | 0.0186 |
0.0047
(3.4)
|
0.0033
(3.5)
|
0.0038
(3.5)
|
0.0058
(3.2)
|
| Kyle Tucker | 0.0387 |
0.0061
(7.8)
|
0.0073
(7.3)
|
0.0070
(7.4)
|
0.0068
(7.6)
|
| Bryce Harper | 0.0146 |
0.0029
(3.2)
|
0.0031
(2.9)
|
0.0028
(3.1)
|
0.0000
(3.9)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.0058 | 0.0216 | 3.3 |
| 2 | Brett Phillips | 0.0058 | 0.0588 | 3.2 |
| 3 | Joey Bart | 0.0058 | 0.0323 | 3.1 |
| 4 | Whit Merrifield | 0.0130 | 0.0000 | 3.0 |
| 5 | Daulton Varsho | 0.0058 | 0.0308 | 3.0 |
| 6 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0114 | 0.0288 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Trent Grisham | 0.0109 | 0.0208 | 2.9 |
| 8 | Jay Bruce | 0.0040 | 0.0303 | 2.9 |
| 9 | Tommy La Stella | 0.0000 | 0.0110 | 2.8 |
| 10 | George Springer | 0.0029 | 0.0142 | 2.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0000 | 0.0288 | 4.5 |
| 2 | Adalberto Mondesi | 0.0058 | 0.0207 | 3.6 |
| 3 | Daulton Varsho | 0.0000 | 0.0308 | 3.6 |
| 4 | Trea Turner | 0.0088 | 0.0214 | 3.4 |
| 5 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.0155 | 0.0000 | 3.4 |
| 6 | Andrés Giménez | 0.0000 | 0.0227 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Yoán Moncada | 0.0117 | 0.0242 | 3.0 |
| 8 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.0098 | 0.0222 | 2.9 |
| 9 | Whit Merrifield | 0.0116 | 0.0000 | 2.9 |
| 10 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.0049 | 0.0169 | 2.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trea Turner | 0.0090 | 0.0214 | 3.4 |
| 2 | Yoán Moncada | 0.0108 | 0.0242 | 3.3 |
| 3 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.0151 | 0.0000 | 3.3 |
| 4 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0089 | 0.0288 | 3.2 |
| 5 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.0099 | 0.0222 | 2.9 |
| 6 | Taylor Ward | 0.0022 | 0.0303 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.0050 | 0.0169 | 2.9 |
| 8 | Jay Bruce | 0.0032 | 0.0303 | 2.9 |
| 9 | Whit Merrifield | 0.0115 | 0.0000 | 2.9 |
| 10 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.0078 | 0.0216 | 2.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.0242 | 0.0000 | 5.2 |
| 2 | Yoán Moncada | 0.0076 | 0.0242 | 4.1 |
| 3 | Aaron Hicks | 0.0000 | 0.0160 | 3.7 |
| 4 | Jorge Polanco | 0.0172 | 0.0000 | 3.6 |
| 5 | Joey Gallo | 0.0167 | 0.0000 | 3.5 |
| 6 | Keston Hiura | 0.0147 | 0.0000 | 3.3 |
| 7 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.0000 | 0.0169 | 3.2 |
| 8 | Taylor Ward | 0.0000 | 0.0303 | 3.2 |
| 9 | Matt Chapman | 0.0074 | 0.0253 | 2.9 |
| 10 | Jared Walsh | 0.0000 | 0.0256 | 2.9 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dansby Swanson | 0.1856 |
0.1178
(18.4)
|
0.1217
(17.6)
|
0.1144
(17.7)
|
0.1238
(16.0)
|
| Jonathan Villar | 0.0628 |
0.1316
(13.8)
|
0.1254
(12.4)
|
0.1195
(12.6)
|
0.1277
(13.6)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.1947 |
0.1485
(12.6)
|
0.1487
(12.7)
|
0.1416
(12.8)
|
0.1500
(11.4)
|
| Willie Calhoun | 0.0278 |
0.1295
(10.8)
|
0.1228
(10.0)
|
0.1322
(11.7)
|
0.1324
(11.4)
|
| Francisco Lindor | 0.1128 |
0.1527
(10.1)
|
0.1596
(11.7)
|
0.1520
(11.6)
|
0.1597
(12.8)
|
| J.D. Martinez | 0.0928 |
0.1570
(14.7)
|
0.1544
(14.0)
|
0.1591
(16.7)
|
0.1441
(12.4)
|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.1946 |
0.1481
(12.4)
|
0.1443
(13.6)
|
0.1426
(12.3)
|
0.1509
(10.9)
|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.2277 |
0.1624
(13.6)
|
0.1635
(13.5)
|
0.1569
(13.5)
|
0.1705
(11.3)
|
| Tim Anderson | 0.2036 |
0.1331
(16.0)
|
0.1385
(15.0)
|
0.1320
(14.9)
|
0.1327
(15.4)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manny Machado | 0.1207 | 0.1732 | 13.8 |
| 2 | Willson Contreras | 0.1169 | 0.1644 | 11.1 |
| 3 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.1310 | 0.1892 | 11.1 |
| 4 | Charlie Blackmon | 0.1713 | 0.1255 | 10.8 |
| 5 | Joey Gallo | 0.1509 | 0.1018 | 10.7 |
| 6 | Trent Grisham | 0.1267 | 0.1667 | 10.6 |
| 7 | Alex Verdugo | 0.1174 | 0.1629 | 10.5 |
| 8 | José Abreu | 0.1261 | 0.1641 | 10.5 |
| 9 | Randal Grichuk | 0.1232 | 0.1645 | 10.0 |
| 10 | Adam Duvall | 0.1180 | 0.1627 | 9.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Lewis | 0.0911 | 0.1529 | 15.6 |
| 2 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.1176 | 0.1733 | 13.1 |
| 3 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1626 | 0.1070 | 12.8 |
| 4 | Trent Grisham | 0.1235 | 0.1667 | 11.6 |
| 5 | Luke Voit | 0.1320 | 0.1752 | 10.7 |
| 6 | Dylan Moore | 0.1000 | 0.1635 | 10.5 |
| 7 | Jeff McNeil | 0.1432 | 0.0909 | 10.4 |
| 8 | J.P. Crawford | 0.1009 | 0.1422 | 10.2 |
| 9 | Juan Soto | 0.1500 | 0.1990 | 10.1 |
| 10 | Ketel Marte | 0.1516 | 0.0974 | 10.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.1075 | 0.1733 | 13.9 |
| 2 | Kyle Lewis | 0.0944 | 0.1529 | 13.1 |
| 3 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1519 | 0.1070 | 11.9 |
| 4 | Jorge Polanco | 0.1417 | 0.0973 | 11.0 |
| 5 | Hanser Alberto | 0.1000 | 0.1515 | 10.9 |
| 6 | Luke Voit | 0.1246 | 0.1752 | 10.8 |
| 7 | Marwin Gonzalez | 0.1233 | 0.0754 | 10.4 |
| 8 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.1382 | 0.1898 | 10.2 |
| 9 | Jeff McNeil | 0.1346 | 0.0909 | 10.0 |
| 10 | Carlos Correa | 0.1405 | 0.0995 | 10.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Gallo | 0.1707 | 0.1018 | 15.8 |
| 2 | Kyle Lewis | 0.0969 | 0.1529 | 13.3 |
| 3 | José Abreu | 0.1139 | 0.1641 | 12.9 |
| 4 | Manny Machado | 0.1235 | 0.1732 | 12.4 |
| 5 | Miguel Cabrera | 0.0719 | 0.1212 | 11.2 |
| 6 | Alex Bregman | 0.1653 | 0.1056 | 10.9 |
| 7 | Hanser Alberto | 0.1031 | 0.1515 | 10.9 |
| 8 | Eric Thames | 0.1465 | 0.0714 | 10.7 |
| 9 | Alex Verdugo | 0.1136 | 0.1629 | 10.7 |
| 10 | Gregory Polanco | 0.1284 | 0.0690 | 10.5 |
RBI Rate
Everybody Missed for RBI Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avisaíl García | 0.0725 |
0.1329
(12.2)
|
0.1408
(12.8)
|
0.1346
(12.2)
|
0.1503
(15.1)
|
| Dominic Smith | 0.2111 |
0.1153
(19.4)
|
0.1261
(18.2)
|
0.1184
(19.1)
|
0.1129
(20.5)
|
| Eric Hosmer | 0.2308 |
0.1288
(16.2)
|
0.1200
(18.3)
|
0.1270
(16.7)
|
0.1369
(15.4)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.0891 |
0.1495
(14.5)
|
0.1641
(16.9)
|
0.1586
(16.4)
|
0.1674
(18.1)
|
| Luke Voit | 0.2222 |
0.1359
(20.6)
|
0.1350
(21.9)
|
0.1320
(21.8)
|
0.1467
(18.8)
|
| Wil Myers | 0.1835 |
0.1130
(15.8)
|
0.1205
(15.1)
|
0.1164
(15.3)
|
0.1263
(13.5)
|
| José Abreu | 0.2290 |
0.1546
(19.9)
|
0.1649
(18.5)
|
0.1554
(20.1)
|
0.1561
(20.4)
|
Individual Misses for RBI Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Tucker | 0.1151 | 0.1842 | 16.2 |
| 2 | Jared Walsh | 0.1016 | 0.2407 | 15.2 |
| 3 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.1549 | 0.2097 | 15.1 |
| 4 | Kole Calhoun | 0.1117 | 0.1754 | 14.9 |
| 5 | Trea Turner | 0.1027 | 0.1583 | 14.9 |
| 6 | J.D. Martinez | 0.1758 | 0.1139 | 14.2 |
| 7 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1501 | 0.2023 | 14.1 |
| 8 | Brian Anderson | 0.1107 | 0.1659 | 13.1 |
| 9 | Manny Machado | 0.1355 | 0.1850 | 13.0 |
| 10 | Shogo Akiyama | 0.1200 | 0.0492 | 12.6 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.D. Martinez | 0.1933 | 0.1139 | 17.3 |
| 2 | Cody Bellinger | 0.2000 | 0.1235 | 17.0 |
| 3 | Brian Anderson | 0.1082 | 0.1659 | 14.7 |
| 4 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.0982 | 0.1556 | 14.4 |
| 5 | Kole Calhoun | 0.1200 | 0.1754 | 14.1 |
| 6 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.1294 | 0.1751 | 13.4 |
| 7 | Austin Nola | 0.0871 | 0.1522 | 13.2 |
| 8 | Didi Gregorius | 0.1200 | 0.1688 | 13.1 |
| 9 | Javier Báez | 0.1643 | 0.1021 | 13.1 |
| 10 | Kyle Schwarber | 0.1711 | 0.1071 | 12.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.1542 | 0.2097 | 15.6 |
| 2 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.1187 | 0.1751 | 15.3 |
| 3 | J.D. Martinez | 0.1767 | 0.1139 | 14.2 |
| 4 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1574 | 0.1015 | 14.1 |
| 5 | Trea Turner | 0.1074 | 0.1583 | 14.0 |
| 6 | Brian Anderson | 0.1093 | 0.1659 | 13.7 |
| 7 | Alex Verdugo | 0.1320 | 0.0679 | 13.5 |
| 8 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1544 | 0.2023 | 13.4 |
| 9 | David Bote | 0.1115 | 0.2000 | 13.3 |
| 10 | Kole Calhoun | 0.1207 | 0.1754 | 13.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Muncy | 0.1753 | 0.1089 | 15.2 |
| 2 | Eduardo Escobar | 0.1609 | 0.0901 | 14.6 |
| 3 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1630 | 0.0988 | 14.4 |
| 4 | Donovan Solano | 0.0797 | 0.1429 | 13.8 |
| 5 | Cody Bellinger | 0.1849 | 0.1235 | 13.7 |
| 6 | Javier Báez | 0.1651 | 0.1021 | 13.7 |
| 7 | Charlie Blackmon | 0.1197 | 0.1700 | 13.7 |
| 8 | Trea Turner | 0.1106 | 0.1583 | 13.6 |
| 9 | Josh Bell | 0.1644 | 0.0987 | 13.6 |
| 10 | Carlos Correa | 0.1792 | 0.1131 | 13.5 |
Stolen Base Rate
Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot | 0.2857 |
0.1296
(24.9)
|
0.1429
(23.1)
|
0.1402
(23.4)
|
0.1628
(20.2)
|
| Trent Grisham | 0.1493 |
0.0405
(27.5)
|
0.0661
(21.6)
|
0.0660
(21.5)
|
0.0727
(20.3)
|
| Amed Rosario | 0.0000 |
0.1357
(19.9)
|
0.1421
(20.5)
|
0.1393
(20.2)
|
0.1455
(20.8)
|
| Trevor Story | 0.2344 |
0.1324
(26.5)
|
0.1307
(27.5)
|
0.1345
(26.4)
|
0.1321
(27.6)
|
| Monte Harrison | 0.6000 |
0.0561
(27.8)
|
0.0561
(27.9)
|
0.1574
(22.7)
|
0.2162
(19.8)
|
| Scott Heineman | 0.5000 |
0.0545
(24.1)
|
0.0822
(22.7)
|
0.0817
(22.7)
|
0.1053
(21.5)
|
| Roman Quinn | 0.5000 |
0.1692
(38.4)
|
0.0561
(51.8)
|
0.1888
(36.3)
|
0.3000
(23.7)
|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.1818 |
0.0379
(27.7)
|
0.0470
(26.4)
|
0.0462
(26.4)
|
0.0435
(27.4)
|
| Billy Hamilton | 1.2000 |
0.2571
(34.0)
|
0.0561
(41.3)
|
0.2409
(34.6)
|
0.3095
(32.2)
|
Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan Moore | 0.1154 | 0.3000 | 29.4 |
| 2 | Adalberto Mondesi | 0.3750 | 0.5000 | 29.2 |
| 3 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.0561 | 0.1837 | 29.0 |
| 4 | Leody Taveras | 0.0561 | 0.2667 | 28.3 |
| 5 | Brett Phillips | 0.0561 | 0.4286 | 22.0 |
| 6 | Andrés Giménez | 0.0561 | 0.2222 | 22.0 |
| 7 | Cedric Mullins | 0.0517 | 0.1892 | 21.1 |
| 8 | Tommy Edman | 0.1263 | 0.0339 | 20.9 |
| 9 | Myles Straw | 0.1233 | 0.3529 | 19.8 |
| 10 | Anderson Tejeda | 0.0561 | 0.3077 | 19.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adalberto Mondesi | 0.0561 | 0.5000 | 104.0 |
| 2 | Jonathan Villar | 0.0561 | 0.2909 | 49.1 |
| 3 | Jarrod Dyson | 0.0561 | 0.4000 | 22.9 |
| 4 | Niko Goodrum | 0.0888 | 0.2059 | 21.4 |
| 5 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.0346 | 0.1270 | 21.4 |
| 6 | Kevin Newman | 0.1228 | 0.0000 | 20.7 |
| 7 | Dylan Moore | 0.1744 | 0.3000 | 20.4 |
| 8 | Anthony Alford | 0.0561 | 0.7500 | 20.2 |
| 9 | Victor Reyes | 0.0561 | 0.1481 | 20.2 |
| 10 | Anderson Tejeda | 0.0561 | 0.3077 | 19.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adalberto Mondesi | 0.3691 | 0.5000 | 30.9 |
| 2 | Dylan Moore | 0.1667 | 0.3000 | 21.5 |
| 3 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.0335 | 0.1270 | 21.5 |
| 4 | Kevin Newman | 0.1233 | 0.0000 | 20.9 |
| 5 | Niko Goodrum | 0.0947 | 0.2059 | 20.3 |
| 6 | Austin Slater | 0.0503 | 0.2353 | 19.4 |
| 7 | Brett Phillips | 0.1052 | 0.4286 | 19.2 |
| 8 | Jonathan Villar | 0.2004 | 0.2909 | 19.1 |
| 9 | Victor Robles | 0.1885 | 0.0870 | 18.8 |
| 10 | Tommy Edman | 0.1171 | 0.0339 | 18.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trea Turner | 0.2712 | 0.1690 | 25.4 |
| 2 | Ramón Laureano | 0.1463 | 0.0333 | 24.2 |
| 3 | Tommy Edman | 0.1373 | 0.0339 | 22.5 |
| 4 | Michael A. Taylor | 0.2222 | 0.0000 | 21.6 |
| 5 | Wil Myers | 0.1429 | 0.0435 | 20.8 |
| 6 | Victor Robles | 0.1964 | 0.0870 | 19.9 |
| 7 | Yoán Moncada | 0.0893 | 0.0000 | 19.7 |
| 8 | Niko Goodrum | 0.1026 | 0.2059 | 19.2 |
| 9 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.0476 | 0.1270 | 18.8 |
| 10 | Christian Yelich | 0.1385 | 0.0588 | 18.7 |
Batting Average
Everybody Missed for Batting Average
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez | 0.3333 |
0.2500
(15.1)
|
0.2488
(15.0)
|
0.2529
(14.7)
|
0.2467
(15.3)
|
| Michael Conforto | 0.3218 |
0.2554
(18.6)
|
0.2523
(19.0)
|
0.2525
(19.4)
|
0.2565
(17.8)
|
| J.D. Martinez | 0.2133 |
0.3043
(18.4)
|
0.2981
(17.3)
|
0.2984
(16.9)
|
0.2908
(15.7)
|
| Dominic Smith | 0.3164 |
0.2466
(16.6)
|
0.2450
(16.6)
|
0.2437
(17.2)
|
0.2515
(15.1)
|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.3377 |
0.2712
(21.4)
|
0.2746
(20.0)
|
0.2743
(20.6)
|
0.2814
(18.0)
|
| Willi Castro | 0.3488 |
0.2447
(16.5)
|
0.2559
(14.7)
|
0.2576
(14.7)
|
0.2535
(14.9)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.2050 |
0.3056
(21.5)
|
0.3106
(23.1)
|
0.3063
(21.6)
|
0.3000
(20.7)
|
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.3641 |
0.2992
(16.9)
|
0.2894
(18.7)
|
0.2853
(20.0)
|
0.2944
(17.5)
|
| Trea Turner | 0.3348 |
0.2788
(18.0)
|
0.2885
(15.1)
|
0.2887
(15.5)
|
0.2804
(17.0)
|
| Jose Iglesias | 0.3732 |
0.2704
(17.4)
|
0.2689
(17.4)
|
0.2689
(17.7)
|
0.2667
(17.7)
|
Individual Misses for Batting Average
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alec Bohm | 0.2444 | 0.3375 | 19.2 |
| 2 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2943 | 0.1892 | 19.0 |
| 3 | Jeimer Candelario | 0.2283 | 0.2973 | 17.0 |
| 4 | Juan Soto | 0.2801 | 0.3506 | 16.5 |
| 5 | Jose Altuve | 0.3075 | 0.2188 | 15.8 |
| 6 | Freddie Freeman | 0.2946 | 0.3411 | 15.7 |
| 7 | Travis d'Arnaud | 0.2493 | 0.3212 | 15.7 |
| 8 | Gregory Polanco | 0.2500 | 0.1529 | 14.5 |
| 9 | Javier Báez | 0.2779 | 0.2027 | 14.5 |
| 10 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.2506 | 0.1572 | 14.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2829 | 0.1892 | 17.0 |
| 2 | Freddie Freeman | 0.2915 | 0.3411 | 16.1 |
| 3 | Gary Sánchez | 0.2470 | 0.1474 | 15.6 |
| 4 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.2411 | 0.2969 | 15.2 |
| 5 | Robinson Canó | 0.2444 | 0.3158 | 15.2 |
| 6 | Nelson Cruz | 0.2444 | 0.3027 | 15.0 |
| 7 | Wil Myers | 0.2329 | 0.2879 | 14.6 |
| 8 | Javier Báez | 0.2762 | 0.2027 | 14.5 |
| 9 | Jeimer Candelario | 0.2393 | 0.2973 | 14.4 |
| 10 | Juan Soto | 0.2893 | 0.3506 | 14.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.2882 | 0.1892 | 17.7 |
| 2 | Freddie Freeman | 0.2912 | 0.3411 | 16.7 |
| 3 | Alec Bohm | 0.2638 | 0.3375 | 15.8 |
| 4 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.2446 | 0.2969 | 14.9 |
| 5 | Wil Myers | 0.2337 | 0.2879 | 14.8 |
| 6 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.2321 | 0.2895 | 14.7 |
| 7 | Travis d'Arnaud | 0.2565 | 0.3212 | 14.5 |
| 8 | Gary Sánchez | 0.2423 | 0.1474 | 14.4 |
| 9 | Gregory Polanco | 0.2490 | 0.1529 | 14.3 |
| 10 | Juan Soto | 0.2917 | 0.3506 | 14.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.2685 | 0.3167 | 15.5 |
| 2 | Jose Altuve | 0.3035 | 0.2188 | 15.4 |
| 3 | Donovan Solano | 0.2615 | 0.3263 | 15.4 |
| 4 | Alec Bohm | 0.2646 | 0.3375 | 15.1 |
| 5 | Brandon Belt | 0.2364 | 0.3087 | 15.0 |
| 6 | Gary Sánchez | 0.2418 | 0.1474 | 14.8 |
| 7 | Jeimer Candelario | 0.2368 | 0.2973 | 14.8 |
| 8 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.2837 | 0.1895 | 14.5 |
| 9 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.2442 | 0.2969 | 14.4 |
| 10 | Gregory Polanco | 0.2443 | 0.1529 | 14.0 |
On-Base Percentage
Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.4307 |
0.3383
(26.8)
|
0.3420
(25.6)
|
0.3416
(25.5)
|
0.3484
(22.7)
|
| Dominic Smith | 0.3769 |
0.3115
(14.6)
|
0.3061
(15.5)
|
0.3056
(15.4)
|
0.3065
(14.6)
|
| Gregory Polanco | 0.2139 |
0.3204
(17.1)
|
0.3218
(17.6)
|
0.3257
(18.4)
|
0.3243
(18.7)
|
| Jose Altuve | 0.2857 |
0.3717
(16.4)
|
0.3611
(14.4)
|
0.3608
(14.4)
|
0.3649
(16.0)
|
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.4000 |
0.3292
(17.8)
|
0.3128
(21.2)
|
0.3158
(20.4)
|
0.3105
(20.8)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.4618 |
0.3807
(23.4)
|
0.3828
(22.5)
|
0.3839
(22.1)
|
0.3917
(19.1)
|
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.4213 |
0.3523
(16.6)
|
0.3476
(17.4)
|
0.3443
(18.0)
|
0.3462
(16.8)
|
| Javier Báez | 0.2383 |
0.3187
(17.0)
|
0.3173
(16.9)
|
0.3143
(16.4)
|
0.3119
(16.6)
|
| J.D. Martinez | 0.2911 |
0.3788
(18.9)
|
0.3736
(17.9)
|
0.3754
(18.5)
|
0.3649
(16.8)
|
| Kyle Lewis | 0.3636 |
0.3140
(14.0)
|
0.2898
(19.6)
|
0.2901
(19.3)
|
0.2806
(20.8)
|
| Juan Soto | 0.4898 |
0.3881
(21.5)
|
0.4026
(18.5)
|
0.4059
(17.7)
|
0.4143
(15.3)
|
| Jose Iglesias | 0.4000 |
0.3097
(14.8)
|
0.3074
(14.9)
|
0.3081
(14.7)
|
0.3037
(14.9)
|
Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Belt | 0.3394 | 0.4246 | 16.7 |
| 2 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.3484 | 0.2500 | 16.3 |
| 3 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.3595 | 0.2754 | 15.8 |
| 4 | Alec Bohm | 0.3218 | 0.4000 | 15.5 |
| 5 | Travis d'Arnaud | 0.3096 | 0.3859 | 15.5 |
| 6 | Trea Turner | 0.3422 | 0.3938 | 15.5 |
| 7 | Michael Conforto | 0.3563 | 0.4120 | 14.9 |
| 8 | Kyle Seager | 0.3054 | 0.3548 | 14.3 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.3218 | 0.3972 | 17.6 |
| 2 | Michael Conforto | 0.3563 | 0.4120 | 14.6 |
| 3 | Will Smith | 0.3026 | 0.4015 | 14.5 |
| 4 | Travis d'Arnaud | 0.3151 | 0.3859 | 14.3 |
| 5 | Clint Frazier | 0.3136 | 0.3937 | 13.9 |
| 6 | Alec Bohm | 0.3295 | 0.4000 | 13.9 |
| 7 | Brandon Belt | 0.3546 | 0.4246 | 13.8 |
| 8 | Mark Canha | 0.3372 | 0.3868 | 13.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.3471 | 0.2500 | 16.4 |
| 2 | Alec Bohm | 0.3239 | 0.4000 | 14.8 |
| 3 | Clint Frazier | 0.3088 | 0.3937 | 14.6 |
| 4 | Bryan Reynolds | 0.3507 | 0.2754 | 14.4 |
| 5 | Travis d'Arnaud | 0.3153 | 0.3859 | 14.1 |
| 6 | Will Smith | 0.3050 | 0.4015 | 14.1 |
| 7 | Michael Conforto | 0.3588 | 0.4120 | 13.9 |
| 8 | Josh Bell | 0.3702 | 0.3049 | 13.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clint Frazier | 0.2983 | 0.3937 | 15.7 |
| 2 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.3393 | 0.2500 | 15.7 |
| 3 | Brandon Belt | 0.3420 | 0.4246 | 15.3 |
| 4 | Jo Adell | 0.3260 | 0.2121 | 14.7 |
| 5 | Trea Turner | 0.3404 | 0.3938 | 14.6 |
| 6 | Donovan Solano | 0.2971 | 0.3645 | 14.3 |
| 7 | David Fletcher | 0.3176 | 0.3755 | 14.0 |
| 8 | Tim Anderson | 0.2978 | 0.3575 | 13.8 |
Slugging Percentage
Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez | 0.6333 |
0.4492
(32.6)
|
0.4622
(30.2)
|
0.4691
(29.3)
|
0.4533
(30.7)
|
| Dominic Smith | 0.6158 |
0.4521
(37.5)
|
0.4240
(42.7)
|
0.4216
(43.3)
|
0.4094
(44.4)
|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.6360 |
0.4700
(50.9)
|
0.4995
(42.5)
|
0.4969
(43.4)
|
0.5075
(38.8)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.6402 |
0.5272
(36.0)
|
0.5420
(31.6)
|
0.5405
(32.2)
|
0.5362
(31.6)
|
| Trea Turner | 0.5880 |
0.4522
(41.5)
|
0.4693
(36.6)
|
0.4686
(37.0)
|
0.4579
(38.0)
|
| Luke Voit | 0.6103 |
0.4755
(37.3)
|
0.4535
(42.0)
|
0.4467
(43.7)
|
0.4938
(31.2)
|
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5897 |
0.4564
(34.1)
|
0.4389
(37.5)
|
0.4349
(38.5)
|
0.4346
(37.1)
|
| Javier Báez | 0.3604 |
0.5127
(30.0)
|
0.5110
(30.1)
|
0.5086
(29.3)
|
0.5122
(31.8)
|
| J.D. Martinez | 0.3886 |
0.5814
(39.9)
|
0.5720
(38.1)
|
0.5740
(38.4)
|
0.5459
(33.3)
|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5906 |
0.4198
(35.0)
|
0.4394
(31.1)
|
0.4452
(30.2)
|
0.4182
(33.9)
|
| Wil Myers | 0.6061 |
0.4376
(42.1)
|
0.4216
(45.1)
|
0.4235
(44.9)
|
0.4438
(39.0)
|
| Juan Soto | 0.6948 |
0.5148
(40.1)
|
0.5515
(32.5)
|
0.5549
(32.0)
|
0.5604
(29.6)
|
| José Abreu | 0.6167 |
0.4954
(38.2)
|
0.5096
(34.0)
|
0.5013
(36.3)
|
0.4722
(42.2)
|
Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corey Seager | 0.4658 | 0.5849 | 33.3 |
| 2 | Manny Machado | 0.4834 | 0.5804 | 30.9 |
| 3 | Kole Calhoun | 0.4194 | 0.5263 | 30.0 |
| 4 | José Ramírez | 0.5147 | 0.6073 | 29.8 |
| 5 | Kyle Tucker | 0.4097 | 0.5120 | 28.9 |
| 6 | Jeimer Candelario | 0.3871 | 0.5027 | 28.9 |
| 7 | Jared Walsh | 0.4072 | 0.6465 | 28.5 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nelson Cruz | 0.4181 | 0.5946 | 42.6 |
| 2 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.4124 | 0.5677 | 40.0 |
| 3 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.4380 | 0.5789 | 33.8 |
| 4 | Carlos Santana | 0.4934 | 0.3495 | 30.9 |
| 5 | Alex Dickerson | 0.4181 | 0.5762 | 30.7 |
| 6 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.3818 | 0.6824 | 30.7 |
| 7 | Christian Yelich | 0.5740 | 0.4300 | 30.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.4198 | 0.5677 | 38.5 |
| 2 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.4401 | 0.5789 | 33.6 |
| 3 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.3861 | 0.6824 | 30.4 |
| 4 | Corey Seager | 0.4816 | 0.5849 | 29.4 |
| 5 | Carlos Santana | 0.4865 | 0.3495 | 29.0 |
| 6 | AJ Pollock | 0.4532 | 0.5663 | 28.7 |
| 7 | Jose Iglesias | 0.3888 | 0.5563 | 28.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Gallo | 0.5662 | 0.3782 | 38.7 |
| 2 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.4360 | 0.5677 | 33.4 |
| 3 | Eduardo Escobar | 0.5000 | 0.3350 | 32.9 |
| 4 | Alex Dickerson | 0.4112 | 0.5762 | 30.9 |
| 5 | Christian Yelich | 0.5700 | 0.4300 | 30.4 |
| 6 | Corey Seager | 0.4706 | 0.5849 | 30.4 |
| 7 | Jose Altuve | 0.5025 | 0.3438 | 29.8 |
Pitching Projection Accuracy
Batters Faced (BF)
Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Lucchesi | 32 |
662
(630.0)
|
248
(215.7)
|
267
(235.4)
|
233
(201.0)
|
| Michael Soroka | 57 |
640
(583.0)
|
268
(210.6)
|
299
(242.5)
|
273
(216.0)
|
| Mike Foltynewicz | 16 |
576
(560.0)
|
268
(252.4)
|
272
(255.8)
|
252
(236.0)
|
| Justin Verlander | 21 |
744
(723.0)
|
271
(250.0)
|
275
(254.0)
|
281
(260.0)
|
Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Strasburg | 722 | 23 | 699.0 |
| 2 | Jose Quintana | 692 | 41 | 651.0 |
| 3 | Reynaldo López | 751 | 121 | 630.0 |
| 4 | Iván Nova | 716 | 88 | 628.0 |
| 5 | Homer Bailey | 656 | 33 | 623.0 |
| 6 | Cole Hamels | 625 | 14 | 611.0 |
| 7 | Jakob Junis | 717 | 114 | 603.0 |
| 8 | Jake Odorizzi | 658 | 60 | 598.0 |
| 9 | Eric Lauer | 649 | 61 | 588.0 |
| 10 | Wade Miley | 647 | 67 | 580.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 1 | 262 | 261.0 |
| 2 | Rick Porcello | 1 | 261 | 260.0 |
| 3 | Alec Mills | 1 | 252 | 251.0 |
| 4 | Justus Sheffield | 1 | 232 | 231.0 |
| 5 | Kris Bubic | 1 | 222 | 221.0 |
| 6 | Tanner Roark | 1 | 220 | 219.0 |
| 7 | Tyler Anderson | 43 | 260 | 217.5 |
| 8 | Framber Valdez | 71 | 288 | 216.8 |
| 9 | Cristian Javier | 1 | 214 | 213.0 |
| 10 | Garrett Richards | 1 | 213 | 212.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Strasburg | 308 | 23 | 285.5 |
| 2 | Corey Kluber | 284 | 3 | 281.1 |
| 3 | Jeff Samardzija | 309 | 77 | 231.5 |
| 4 | Caleb Smith | 290 | 60 | 230.1 |
| 5 | Kris Bubic | 5 | 222 | 217.5 |
| 6 | Mike Montgomery | 231 | 23 | 207.6 |
| 7 | Cole Hamels | 220 | 14 | 206.4 |
| 8 | Jake Odorizzi | 260 | 60 | 200.2 |
| 9 | Homer Bailey | 228 | 33 | 195.5 |
| 10 | Cristian Javier | 28 | 214 | 186.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Strasburg | 282 | 23 | 259.0 |
| 2 | Bernardo Flores Jr. | 245 | 10 | 235.0 |
| 3 | Ariel Jurado | 248 | 21 | 227.0 |
| 4 | Corey Kluber | 227 | 3 | 224.0 |
| 5 | Jose Quintana | 264 | 41 | 223.0 |
| 6 | Kris Bubic | 1 | 222 | 221.0 |
| 7 | Foster Griffin | 220 | 6 | 214.0 |
| 8 | Cole Hamels | 227 | 14 | 213.0 |
| 9 | Alex McRae | 221 | 10 | 211.0 |
| 10 | Antonio Santos | 238 | 35 | 203.0 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | 0.3912 |
0.3156
(18.5)
|
0.1527
(29.0)
|
0.3001
(19.6)
|
0.2868
(20.9)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.3580 |
0.2948
(18.0)
|
0.1200
(33.9)
|
0.2847
(17.8)
|
0.2792
(17.0)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.3429 | 0.2387 | 25.5 |
| 2 | Shane Bieber | 0.3029 | 0.2216 | 24.7 |
| 3 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.3149 | 0.2247 | 24.6 |
| 4 | Trevor Bauer | 0.3077 | 0.2287 | 22.5 |
| 5 | Kenta Maeda | 0.2984 | 0.2188 | 20.3 |
| 6 | Jordan Yamamoto | 0.3060 | 0.5962 | 19.3 |
| 7 | Tanner Roark | 0.3277 | 0.4173 | 19.3 |
| 8 | Dylan Bundy | 0.3339 | 0.2682 | 18.1 |
| 9 | Devin Williams | 0.3377 | 0.1621 | 17.8 |
| 10 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.3117 | 0.3860 | 17.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 0.3198 | 0.2773 | 43.4 |
| 2 | Justus Sheffield | 0.3198 | 0.2846 | 36.7 |
| 3 | Cristian Javier | 0.3198 | 0.2804 | 34.8 |
| 4 | Kyle Gibson | 0.1262 | 0.3570 | 32.4 |
| 5 | Alec Mills | 0.3198 | 0.3162 | 31.9 |
| 6 | Steven Brault | 0.3198 | 0.2669 | 31.3 |
| 7 | Trevor Williams | 0.1336 | 0.3803 | 31.2 |
| 8 | Aaron Civale | 0.1220 | 0.3393 | 29.4 |
| 9 | Matthew Boyd | 0.1469 | 0.3763 | 28.8 |
| 10 | Ross Stripling | 0.1150 | 0.3692 | 28.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenta Maeda | 0.3100 | 0.2188 | 25.8 |
| 2 | Trevor Bauer | 0.2965 | 0.2287 | 22.4 |
| 3 | Corbin Burnes | 0.3135 | 0.2387 | 21.0 |
| 4 | Brad Keller | 0.3189 | 0.2356 | 20.7 |
| 5 | Shane Bieber | 0.2777 | 0.2216 | 20.5 |
| 6 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.3124 | 0.2470 | 20.1 |
| 7 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.2863 | 0.2247 | 19.9 |
| 8 | Zach Plesac | 0.3218 | 0.2412 | 19.3 |
| 9 | Zach Davies | 0.3272 | 0.2725 | 18.6 |
| 10 | Tanner Roark | 0.3214 | 0.4173 | 18.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.2930 | 0.2247 | 23.9 |
| 2 | Kenta Maeda | 0.2876 | 0.2188 | 22.3 |
| 3 | Shane Bieber | 0.2742 | 0.2216 | 21.9 |
| 4 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.3241 | 0.2247 | 21.2 |
| 5 | Trevor Bauer | 0.2831 | 0.2287 | 21.0 |
| 6 | Tanner Roark | 0.3023 | 0.4173 | 20.7 |
| 7 | Jordan Yamamoto | 0.2995 | 0.5962 | 18.5 |
| 8 | Brad Keller | 0.2989 | 0.2356 | 18.1 |
| 9 | Matthew Boyd | 0.2897 | 0.3763 | 17.8 |
| 10 | Trevor Williams | 0.2894 | 0.3803 | 17.6 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 0.4108 |
0.2701
(40.5)
|
0.2656
(40.7)
|
0.2595
(39.8)
|
0.2633
(40.8)
|
| Jordan Lyles | 0.1353 |
0.2296
(26.3)
|
0.2042
(20.5)
|
0.2054
(23.2)
|
0.2200
(25.2)
|
| Corbin Burnes | 0.3667 |
0.2480
(27.4)
|
0.2213
(32.9)
|
0.2162
(32.0)
|
0.2566
(24.0)
|
| Devin Williams | 0.5300 |
0.2199
(30.6)
|
0.2281
(29.4)
|
0.2280
(28.5)
|
0.2710
(24.9)
|
| Joe Musgrove | 0.3313 |
0.2171
(18.2)
|
0.2022
(20.1)
|
0.2013
(18.7)
|
0.2131
(17.9)
|
| Aaron Nola | 0.3322 |
0.2598
(19.6)
|
0.2498
(21.5)
|
0.2483
(19.3)
|
0.2590
(18.2)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.2034 |
0.2691
(20.7)
|
0.2586
(18.7)
|
0.2566
(20.8)
|
0.2630
(20.6)
|
| Jacob deGrom | 0.3881 |
0.2967
(23.3)
|
0.2966
(22.3)
|
0.2957
(20.1)
|
0.2986
(21.3)
|
| Jon Gray | 0.1264 |
0.2365
(19.9)
|
0.2220
(18.0)
|
0.2270
(20.5)
|
0.2351
(20.7)
|
| Kevin Gausman | 0.3224 |
0.2210
(23.8)
|
0.2013
(27.7)
|
0.2036
(24.9)
|
0.2292
(20.4)
|
| Zach Eflin | 0.2857 |
0.2003
(19.8)
|
0.1759
(24.9)
|
0.1748
(23.0)
|
0.1926
(20.3)
|
| Trevor Bauer | 0.3597 |
0.2719
(23.2)
|
0.2638
(24.4)
|
0.2617
(22.4)
|
0.2715
(21.7)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Karinchak | 0.2314 | 0.4862 | 27.3 |
| 2 | Tyler Glasnow | 0.2633 | 0.3824 | 27.3 |
| 3 | Lucas Giolito | 0.2458 | 0.3368 | 24.9 |
| 4 | Ryan Castellani | 0.2348 | 0.1323 | 20.2 |
| 5 | Daniel Castano | 0.2348 | 0.0952 | 18.2 |
| 6 | Tyler Anderson | 0.2225 | 0.1577 | 18.0 |
| 7 | Randy Dobnak | 0.2196 | 0.1350 | 17.8 |
| 8 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.2771 | 0.3483 | 17.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Davies | 0.1392 | 0.2283 | 22.3 |
| 2 | Ryan Castellani | 0.2348 | 0.1323 | 20.9 |
| 3 | Dylan Cease | 0.2441 | 0.1725 | 20.3 |
| 4 | Kenta Maeda | 0.2336 | 0.3226 | 20.1 |
| 5 | Thomas Eshelman | 0.2348 | 0.1119 | 18.7 |
| 6 | Daniel Castano | 0.2348 | 0.0952 | 18.6 |
| 7 | Tyler Glasnow | 0.2984 | 0.3824 | 18.1 |
| 8 | Ryan Weber | 0.2348 | 0.1459 | 17.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan Cease | 0.2399 | 0.1725 | 21.6 |
| 2 | Zach Davies | 0.1408 | 0.2283 | 19.4 |
| 3 | Tyler Anderson | 0.2127 | 0.1577 | 18.8 |
| 4 | Luke Jackson | 0.2758 | 0.1515 | 18.7 |
| 5 | Tejay Antone | 0.1703 | 0.3191 | 18.6 |
| 6 | Kenta Maeda | 0.2309 | 0.3226 | 18.5 |
| 7 | Zack Wheeler | 0.2293 | 0.1840 | 18.0 |
| 8 | Drew Smyly | 0.2174 | 0.3784 | 16.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Anderson | 0.2340 | 0.1577 | 22.5 |
| 2 | Luke Jackson | 0.2931 | 0.1515 | 20.0 |
| 3 | Tejay Antone | 0.1781 | 0.3191 | 18.5 |
| 4 | Julio Urías | 0.2656 | 0.2009 | 16.8 |
| 5 | Jake McGee | 0.1972 | 0.4177 | 16.6 |
| 6 | Dylan Cease | 0.2271 | 0.1725 | 16.5 |
| 7 | Zach Davies | 0.1592 | 0.2283 | 16.3 |
| 8 | Zach Plesac | 0.1885 | 0.2767 | 16.1 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenta Maeda | 0.0403 |
0.0794
(11.5)
|
0.0817
(11.6)
|
0.0839
(12.3)
|
0.0880
(12.9)
|
| Antonio Senzatela | 0.0594 |
0.0894
(11.3)
|
0.0901
(11.0)
|
0.0877
(10.4)
|
0.0854
(9.1)
|
| Tyler Zuber | 0.2020 |
0.0916
(10.2)
|
0.0990
(9.7)
|
0.0985
(9.7)
|
0.0941
(10.3)
|
| Justin Dunn | 0.1566 |
0.1004
(9.7)
|
0.1007
(10.0)
|
0.0964
(10.7)
|
0.0972
(10.9)
|
| Yu Darvish | 0.0471 |
0.0825
(12.6)
|
0.0815
(11.9)
|
0.0817
(12.0)
|
0.0753
(9.6)
|
| Robbie Ray | 0.1793 |
0.1090
(15.8)
|
0.1103
(15.9)
|
0.1075
(16.5)
|
0.1098
(16.4)
|
| Kyle Hendricks | 0.0254 |
0.0577
(12.4)
|
0.0562
(11.4)
|
0.0563
(11.6)
|
0.0526
(9.9)
|
| Framber Valdez | 0.0556 |
0.1140
(18.9)
|
0.1110
(17.5)
|
0.1112
(17.7)
|
0.1186
(19.4)
|
| Marco Gonzales | 0.0253 |
0.0646
(12.9)
|
0.0647
(12.4)
|
0.0616
(11.7)
|
0.0618
(11.3)
|
| Mitch Keller | 0.2069 |
0.0807
(10.4)
|
0.0889
(9.8)
|
0.0856
(10.0)
|
0.0921
(9.6)
|
| Zach Plesac | 0.0291 |
0.0851
(13.0)
|
0.0707
(9.7)
|
0.0739
(10.4)
|
0.0731
(9.9)
|
| Tony Gonsolin | 0.0398 |
0.0873
(9.6)
|
0.0868
(9.3)
|
0.0903
(9.9)
|
0.1013
(11.6)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Civale | 0.0796 | 0.0513 | 11.1 |
| 2 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.0823 | 0.0352 | 10.8 |
| 3 | Yohan Ramírez | 0.0916 | 0.2128 | 10.7 |
| 4 | Andre Scrubb | 0.0916 | 0.1961 | 9.9 |
| 5 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0856 | 0.0573 | 9.3 |
| 6 | Geoff Hartlieb | 0.0890 | 0.1881 | 9.3 |
| 7 | Sean Manaea | 0.0684 | 0.0360 | 8.8 |
| 8 | Chad Kuhl | 0.0906 | 0.1421 | 8.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masahiro Tanaka | 0.0916 | 0.0406 | 11.1 |
| 2 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0916 | 0.0573 | 10.4 |
| 3 | Chad Kuhl | 0.0840 | 0.1421 | 10.4 |
| 4 | Rick Porcello | 0.0916 | 0.0575 | 10.3 |
| 5 | Andre Scrubb | 0.0916 | 0.1961 | 10.1 |
| 6 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.0562 | 0.0964 | 9.7 |
| 7 | Geoff Hartlieb | 0.0916 | 0.1881 | 9.2 |
| 8 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.0755 | 0.0352 | 9.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deivi García | 0.1107 | 0.0411 | 11.0 |
| 2 | Chad Kuhl | 0.0812 | 0.1421 | 10.8 |
| 3 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.0771 | 0.0352 | 9.5 |
| 4 | John Curtiss | 0.1201 | 0.0303 | 9.5 |
| 5 | Cristian Javier | 0.1222 | 0.0841 | 9.4 |
| 6 | Trevor Bauer | 0.0882 | 0.0612 | 9.2 |
| 7 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.0586 | 0.0964 | 8.9 |
| 8 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0838 | 0.0573 | 8.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Matzek | 0.2632 | 0.0826 | 22.4 |
| 2 | Cristian Javier | 0.1512 | 0.0841 | 15.3 |
| 3 | John Curtiss | 0.1446 | 0.0303 | 11.7 |
| 4 | Deivi García | 0.1167 | 0.0411 | 11.6 |
| 5 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.1111 | 0.0749 | 10.8 |
| 6 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.0537 | 0.0964 | 10.8 |
| 7 | Greg Holland | 0.1449 | 0.0625 | 9.7 |
| 8 | Trevor Rosenthal | 0.1864 | 0.0879 | 9.4 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize | 0.0376 |
0.0123
(3.1)
|
0.0120
(3.2)
|
0.0113
(3.2)
|
0.0126
(3.0)
|
| Ryan Yarbrough | 0.0299 |
0.0138
(3.3)
|
0.0121
(3.8)
|
0.0122
(3.6)
|
0.0126
(3.5)
|
| Matt Strahm | 0.0602 |
0.0122
(3.8)
|
0.0120
(3.9)
|
0.0116
(3.8)
|
0.0126
(3.8)
|
| Germán Márquez | 0.0000 |
0.0084
(3.5)
|
0.0096
(3.9)
|
0.0096
(4.1)
|
0.0106
(4.4)
|
| Logan Webb | 0.0285 |
0.0085
(4.5)
|
0.0087
(4.4)
|
0.0086
(4.3)
|
0.0123
(3.4)
|
| Zac Grotz | 0.0870 |
0.0138
(3.3)
|
0.0123
(3.4)
|
0.0115
(3.4)
|
0.0083
(3.5)
|
| Nick Wittgren | 0.0510 |
0.0041
(4.4)
|
0.0123
(3.6)
|
0.0080
(4.0)
|
0.0000
(4.8)
|
| Jared Hughes | 0.0459 |
0.0109
(3.6)
|
0.0123
(3.5)
|
0.0107
(3.6)
|
0.0100
(3.7)
|
| Johan Oviedo | 0.0446 |
0.0123
(3.4)
|
0.0123
(3.4)
|
0.0106
(3.5)
|
0.0132
(3.3)
|
| Joe Jiménez | 0.0495 |
0.0111
(3.7)
|
0.0109
(3.7)
|
0.0107
(3.7)
|
0.0102
(3.7)
|
| Zack Wheeler | 0.0243 |
0.0068
(4.5)
|
0.0082
(4.1)
|
0.0082
(3.9)
|
0.0071
(4.3)
|
| Madison Bumgarner | 0.0316 |
0.0110
(3.6)
|
0.0099
(3.8)
|
0.0100
(3.6)
|
0.0108
(3.5)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alec Mills | 0.0202 | 0.0079 | 3.5 |
| 2 | Julio Urías | 0.0126 | 0.0000 | 3.2 |
| 3 | Chris Bassitt | 0.0180 | 0.0077 | 3.2 |
| 4 | Griffin Canning | 0.0154 | 0.0042 | 3.1 |
| 5 | Max Scherzer | 0.0121 | 0.0034 | 3.1 |
| 6 | Jonathan Loáisiga | 0.0084 | 0.0400 | 3.0 |
| 7 | Spencer Turnbull | 0.0185 | 0.0083 | 2.9 |
| 8 | Phil Maton | 0.0094 | 0.0417 | 2.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Touki Toussaint | 0.0137 | 0.0417 | 3.2 |
| 2 | Génesis Cabrera | 0.0088 | 0.0417 | 3.0 |
| 3 | Kyle Gibson | 0.0084 | 0.0199 | 3.0 |
| 4 | Phil Maton | 0.0094 | 0.0417 | 2.9 |
| 5 | Jonathan Loáisiga | 0.0099 | 0.0400 | 2.8 |
| 6 | Zach Davies | 0.0086 | 0.0000 | 2.8 |
| 7 | Julio Urías | 0.0110 | 0.0000 | 2.8 |
| 8 | Brooks Raley | 0.0123 | 0.0476 | 2.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Davies | 0.0087 | 0.0000 | 3.1 |
| 2 | Julio Urías | 0.0108 | 0.0000 | 3.0 |
| 3 | Touki Toussaint | 0.0146 | 0.0417 | 3.0 |
| 4 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.0100 | 0.0032 | 2.9 |
| 5 | Dustin May | 0.0150 | 0.0045 | 2.9 |
| 6 | Max Scherzer | 0.0107 | 0.0034 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Kenta Maeda | 0.0092 | 0.0000 | 2.9 |
| 8 | Génesis Cabrera | 0.0097 | 0.0417 | 2.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Griffin Canning | 0.0233 | 0.0042 | 5.1 |
| 2 | Spencer Turnbull | 0.0250 | 0.0083 | 4.6 |
| 3 | Ryan Castellani | 0.0068 | 0.0265 | 3.3 |
| 4 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.0113 | 0.0032 | 3.3 |
| 5 | Pablo López | 0.0195 | 0.0083 | 3.2 |
| 6 | Max Scherzer | 0.0116 | 0.0034 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Taylor Clarke | 0.0145 | 0.0000 | 3.1 |
| 8 | Yusei Kikuchi | 0.0128 | 0.0000 | 2.9 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Bundy | 0.0287 |
0.0624
(9.8)
|
0.0602
(8.8)
|
0.0602
(8.7)
|
0.0588
(9.0)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 0.0101 |
0.0386
(8.1)
|
0.0407
(8.2)
|
0.0406
(8.1)
|
0.0423
(9.2)
|
| Derek Holland | 0.1034 |
0.0557
(8.0)
|
0.0525
(8.9)
|
0.0534
(8.8)
|
0.0513
(8.7)
|
| Robert Stephenson | 0.3077 |
0.0526
(10.8)
|
0.0514
(11.0)
|
0.0614
(10.5)
|
0.0645
(10.3)
|
| Germán Márquez | 0.0244 |
0.0512
(10.3)
|
0.0535
(10.5)
|
0.0509
(9.5)
|
0.0464
(8.8)
|
| Steven Matz | 0.1458 |
0.0549
(12.5)
|
0.0478
(13.7)
|
0.0518
(13.2)
|
0.0446
(13.9)
|
| Zack Wheeler | 0.0142 |
0.0393
(8.1)
|
0.0522
(11.3)
|
0.0549
(12.1)
|
0.0452
(10.0)
|
| Trevor Williams | 0.0843 |
0.0434
(9.5)
|
0.0509
(8.1)
|
0.0528
(7.6)
|
0.0347
(11.6)
|
| Heath Hembree | 0.1500 |
0.0567
(8.1)
|
0.0587
(8.1)
|
0.0618
(7.8)
|
0.0600
(7.8)
|
| David Phelps | 0.1458 |
0.0504
(7.8)
|
0.0525
(7.8)
|
0.0536
(7.7)
|
0.0408
(8.6)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0667 | 0.0160 | 12.9 |
| 2 | Yu Darvish | 0.0635 | 0.0266 | 11.9 |
| 3 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0623 | 0.0263 | 10.1 |
| 4 | Justus Sheffield | 0.0485 | 0.0124 | 9.1 |
| 5 | Tyler Glasnow | 0.0485 | 0.0880 | 8.7 |
| 6 | Tanner Roark | 0.0485 | 0.0909 | 8.6 |
| 7 | Julio Teheran | 0.0491 | 0.1081 | 8.3 |
| 8 | Daniel Ponce de Leon | 0.0457 | 0.1053 | 8.1 |
| 9 | Madison Bumgarner | 0.0472 | 0.0922 | 8.0 |
| 10 | John Means | 0.0496 | 0.0976 | 7.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0667 | 0.0263 | 10.8 |
| 2 | Justus Sheffield | 0.0525 | 0.0124 | 9.6 |
| 3 | Robbie Ray | 0.0571 | 0.0949 | 9.1 |
| 4 | Spencer Turnbull | 0.0488 | 0.0125 | 9.1 |
| 5 | Tarik Skubal | 0.0402 | 0.1071 | 8.8 |
| 6 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0507 | 0.0160 | 8.6 |
| 7 | Tyler Glasnow | 0.0507 | 0.0880 | 8.6 |
| 8 | Yu Darvish | 0.0528 | 0.0266 | 8.2 |
| 9 | Tanner Roark | 0.0525 | 0.0909 | 8.2 |
| 10 | Jordan Yamamoto | 0.0525 | 0.1702 | 7.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0521 | 0.0160 | 8.9 |
| 2 | Robbie Ray | 0.0584 | 0.0949 | 8.9 |
| 3 | Tyler Glasnow | 0.0500 | 0.0880 | 8.8 |
| 4 | Yu Darvish | 0.0543 | 0.0266 | 8.6 |
| 5 | Spencer Turnbull | 0.0468 | 0.0125 | 8.6 |
| 6 | Justus Sheffield | 0.0478 | 0.0124 | 8.5 |
| 7 | Rick Porcello | 0.0560 | 0.0263 | 8.0 |
| 8 | Jordan Yamamoto | 0.0515 | 0.1702 | 7.9 |
| 9 | Austin Voth | 0.0526 | 0.0881 | 7.7 |
| 10 | Trevor Gott | 0.0383 | 0.1750 | 7.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Turnbull | 0.0563 | 0.0125 | 11.4 |
| 2 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.0660 | 0.0164 | 9.4 |
| 3 | Daniel Ponce de Leon | 0.0388 | 0.1053 | 9.0 |
| 4 | Trevor Gott | 0.0182 | 0.1750 | 8.7 |
| 5 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0543 | 0.0263 | 8.2 |
| 6 | Robbie Ray | 0.0596 | 0.0949 | 8.0 |
| 7 | Blake Snell | 0.0397 | 0.0820 | 7.9 |
| 8 | Zack Greinke | 0.0556 | 0.0306 | 7.8 |
| 9 | Tanner Roark | 0.0520 | 0.0909 | 7.8 |
| 10 | Jordan Yamamoto | 0.0511 | 0.1702 | 7.7 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 0.3550 |
0.2887
(20.6)
|
0.2887
(20.6)
|
0.2846
(22.2)
|
0.2759
(23.0)
|
| Kenta Maeda | 0.2081 |
0.2771
(16.3)
|
0.2926
(20.1)
|
0.2926
(19.7)
|
0.2923
(21.2)
|
| Justin Dunn | 0.1795 |
0.2825
(19.7)
|
0.2898
(21.2)
|
0.2898
(20.9)
|
0.2920
(22.5)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.3623 |
0.2974
(20.2)
|
0.3009
(19.1)
|
0.2993
(20.0)
|
0.2928
(20.1)
|
| Cristian Javier | 0.1938 |
0.2904
(19.9)
|
0.2904
(19.9)
|
0.2776
(16.9)
|
0.2889
(20.6)
|
| Rick Porcello | 0.3730 |
0.3002
(19.9)
|
0.2904
(22.4)
|
0.2969
(21.1)
|
0.2896
(21.4)
|
| Tommy Milone | 0.3710 |
0.2799
(17.1)
|
0.2937
(14.6)
|
0.2907
(15.4)
|
0.2899
(14.4)
|
| Brandon Workman | 0.4426 |
0.2628
(18.5)
|
0.2904
(15.7)
|
0.2968
(15.2)
|
0.2830
(16.0)
|
| Lance Lynn | 0.2417 |
0.3096
(22.2)
|
0.2920
(16.1)
|
0.2957
(16.9)
|
0.3006
(20.7)
|
| Trevor Bauer | 0.2148 |
0.2959
(21.6)
|
0.2944
(21.2)
|
0.2962
(21.3)
|
0.2889
(21.0)
|
| Mitch Keller | 0.1042 |
0.3580
(21.8)
|
0.3070
(17.4)
|
0.3046
(17.0)
|
0.3026
(17.4)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Civale | 0.2789 | 0.3333 | 18.1 |
| 2 | Dylan Cease | 0.3109 | 0.2375 | 17.8 |
| 3 | Luis Castillo | 0.2738 | 0.3295 | 17.3 |
| 4 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.2804 | 0.3471 | 17.2 |
| 5 | Chad Green | 0.3107 | 0.1455 | 16.2 |
| 6 | Adam Wainwright | 0.3119 | 0.2473 | 16.0 |
| 7 | Miguel Castro | 0.2723 | 0.4068 | 15.9 |
| 8 | Jordan Yamamoto | 0.2622 | 0.4872 | 15.3 |
| 9 | Javy Guerra | 0.2771 | 0.5000 | 15.2 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dakota Hudson | 0.3094 | 0.1919 | 17.2 |
| 2 | David Peterson | 0.3148 | 0.2331 | 16.0 |
| 3 | Erick Fedde | 0.3080 | 0.2327 | 16.0 |
| 4 | Ryan Castellani | 0.2904 | 0.2066 | 15.2 |
| 5 | Brad Keller | 0.3050 | 0.2327 | 14.8 |
| 6 | Javy Guerra | 0.2904 | 0.5000 | 14.3 |
| 7 | Kyle Hart | 0.2904 | 0.5000 | 14.3 |
| 8 | Alec Mills | 0.2904 | 0.2326 | 13.7 |
| 9 | Wilmer Font | 0.2904 | 0.4483 | 13.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Castellani | 0.3014 | 0.2066 | 17.0 |
| 2 | Dakota Hudson | 0.3076 | 0.1919 | 16.7 |
| 3 | Erick Fedde | 0.3045 | 0.2327 | 14.8 |
| 4 | Jeffrey Springs | 0.2880 | 0.4310 | 14.6 |
| 5 | Javy Guerra | 0.2904 | 0.5000 | 14.4 |
| 6 | Kyle Hart | 0.2904 | 0.5000 | 14.4 |
| 7 | Brad Keller | 0.3043 | 0.2327 | 14.3 |
| 8 | Vince Velasquez | 0.2854 | 0.3735 | 14.3 |
| 9 | Alec Mills | 0.2941 | 0.2326 | 14.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Castellani | 0.3021 | 0.2066 | 18.3 |
| 2 | Luis Castillo | 0.2738 | 0.3295 | 15.9 |
| 3 | Miguel Castro | 0.2697 | 0.4068 | 15.6 |
| 4 | Michael Fulmer | 0.2734 | 0.3895 | 15.6 |
| 5 | Alec Mills | 0.2920 | 0.2326 | 15.3 |
| 6 | Adam Wainwright | 0.3034 | 0.2473 | 15.1 |
| 7 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.2847 | 0.3471 | 15.0 |
| 8 | Dylan Cease | 0.2937 | 0.2375 | 14.7 |
| 9 | Jordan Yamamoto | 0.2692 | 0.4872 | 14.5 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 0.2781 |
0.1969
(24.1)
|
0.0000
(39.7)
|
0.2846
(21.0)
|
0.2759
(21.5)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.2754 |
0.2155
(17.8)
|
0.0000
(38.9)
|
0.2993
(15.8)
|
0.2928
(15.7)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan Cease | 0.2360 | 0.1437 | 23.4 |
| 2 | Lance Lynn | 0.2301 | 0.1659 | 22.0 |
| 3 | Max Fried | 0.2487 | 0.1544 | 21.0 |
| 4 | Martín Pérez | 0.2483 | 0.1751 | 19.1 |
| 5 | Gio González | 0.2110 | 0.3261 | 17.7 |
| 6 | Mitch Keller | 0.2593 | 0.0625 | 17.1 |
| 7 | Rick Porcello | 0.2215 | 0.2865 | 17.1 |
| 8 | Michael Fulmer | 0.2123 | 0.3368 | 17.0 |
| 9 | Lance McCullers Jr. | 0.2097 | 0.1348 | 16.9 |
| 10 | Javy Guerra | 0.1928 | 0.4375 | 16.4 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alec Mills | 0.2172 | 0.1686 | 48.4 |
| 2 | Cristian Javier | 0.2172 | 0.1473 | 45.7 |
| 3 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2172 | 0.1978 | 42.7 |
| 4 | Ryan Castellani | 0.2172 | 0.1488 | 40.1 |
| 5 | Framber Valdez | 0.0000 | 0.2634 | 34.5 |
| 6 | Kyle Gibson | 0.0000 | 0.2564 | 34.0 |
| 7 | Garrett Richards | 0.2172 | 0.2057 | 33.0 |
| 8 | Ryan Weber | 0.2172 | 0.1880 | 32.0 |
| 9 | Tejay Antone | 0.2172 | 0.1351 | 31.8 |
| 10 | Nick Margevicius | 0.2172 | 0.1754 | 31.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lance McCullers Jr. | 0.3021 | 0.1348 | 20.4 |
| 2 | Javy Guerra | 0.2172 | 0.4375 | 20.0 |
| 3 | Dylan Cease | 0.2961 | 0.1437 | 19.1 |
| 4 | Lance Lynn | 0.2957 | 0.1659 | 17.9 |
| 5 | Rick Porcello | 0.2969 | 0.2865 | 17.5 |
| 6 | Tyler Matzek | 0.2172 | 0.2769 | 16.6 |
| 7 | Gio González | 0.2984 | 0.3261 | 16.1 |
| 8 | Max Fried | 0.3034 | 0.1544 | 16.0 |
| 9 | Gerrit Cole | 0.2867 | 0.1553 | 15.5 |
| 10 | Michael Fulmer | 0.3025 | 0.3368 | 15.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lance McCullers Jr. | 0.3061 | 0.1348 | 22.8 |
| 2 | Kris Bubic | 0.2172 | 0.2482 | 22.6 |
| 3 | Lance Lynn | 0.3006 | 0.1659 | 22.0 |
| 4 | Dylan Cease | 0.2937 | 0.1437 | 20.2 |
| 5 | Gio González | 0.2774 | 0.3261 | 18.3 |
| 6 | Michael Fulmer | 0.2734 | 0.3368 | 18.2 |
| 7 | Rick Porcello | 0.2896 | 0.2865 | 17.6 |
| 8 | Max Fried | 0.3025 | 0.1544 | 17.3 |
| 9 | Justin Dunn | 0.2920 | 0.1368 | 16.7 |
| 10 | Luke Jackson | 0.2879 | 0.3368 | 15.8 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fried | 0.1074 |
0.0707
(8.7)
|
0.0000
(14.1)
|
0.0000
(9.1)
|
0.0000
(9.2)
|
| Luis Castillo | 0.1040 |
0.0701
(10.5)
|
0.0000
(17.4)
|
0.0000
(10.8)
|
0.0000
(11.0)
|
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 0.1277 |
0.0806
(11.2)
|
0.0000
(18.9)
|
0.0000
(13.8)
|
0.0000
(13.9)
|
| Robbie Ray | 0.1129 |
0.0722
(10.8)
|
0.0000
(17.2)
|
0.0000
(11.5)
|
0.0000
(11.7)
|
| Steven Brault | 0.0180 |
0.0795
(10.6)
|
0.0674
(16.7)
|
0.0000
(8.7)
|
0.0000
(8.6)
|
| Zach Eflin | 0.1192 |
0.0749
(11.4)
|
0.0000
(18.3)
|
0.0000
(12.8)
|
0.0000
(12.9)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Bauer | 0.0778 | 0.0268 | 13.6 |
| 2 | Shane Bieber | 0.0823 | 0.0411 | 11.6 |
| 3 | Zac Gallen | 0.0758 | 0.0347 | 11.3 |
| 4 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.0818 | 0.0433 | 11.0 |
| 5 | Kenta Maeda | 0.0714 | 0.0268 | 10.5 |
| 6 | Seth Elledge | 0.0674 | 0.2593 | 10.1 |
| 7 | Justus Sheffield | 0.0765 | 0.0314 | 10.0 |
| 8 | Trevor Rogers | 0.0674 | 0.1408 | 9.8 |
| 9 | John Means | 0.0731 | 0.0180 | 9.3 |
| 10 | Tyler Chatwood | 0.0586 | 0.1600 | 8.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justus Sheffield | 0.0674 | 0.0314 | 18.7 |
| 2 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0674 | 0.0495 | 16.4 |
| 3 | Matthew Boyd | 0.0000 | 0.1006 | 15.2 |
| 4 | Luke Weaver | 0.0000 | 0.1053 | 14.3 |
| 5 | Cristian Javier | 0.0674 | 0.0465 | 14.0 |
| 6 | Ryan Castellani | 0.0674 | 0.0413 | 13.3 |
| 7 | Austin Voth | 0.0000 | 0.1034 | 13.3 |
| 8 | Logan Webb | 0.0000 | 0.0970 | 12.9 |
| 9 | Zack Greinke | 0.0000 | 0.0895 | 12.3 |
| 10 | Kris Bubic | 0.0674 | 0.0567 | 12.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keller | 0.0000 | 0.0126 | 11.7 |
| 2 | Trevor Bauer | 0.0000 | 0.0268 | 11.1 |
| 3 | Tyler Matzek | 0.0674 | 0.0462 | 10.7 |
| 4 | Seth Elledge | 0.0000 | 0.2593 | 10.0 |
| 5 | Framber Valdez | 0.0000 | 0.0323 | 10.0 |
| 6 | Kenta Maeda | 0.0000 | 0.0268 | 9.9 |
| 7 | Trevor Rogers | 0.0000 | 0.1408 | 9.6 |
| 8 | Zac Gallen | 0.0000 | 0.0347 | 9.4 |
| 9 | Dustin May | 0.0000 | 0.0260 | 9.2 |
| 10 | Matthew Boyd | 0.0000 | 0.1006 | 9.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kris Bubic | 0.0674 | 0.0567 | 17.1 |
| 2 | Brad Keller | 0.0000 | 0.0126 | 11.6 |
| 3 | Trevor Bauer | 0.0000 | 0.0268 | 11.0 |
| 4 | Seth Elledge | 0.0000 | 0.2593 | 10.0 |
| 5 | Framber Valdez | 0.0000 | 0.0323 | 9.8 |
| 6 | Kenta Maeda | 0.0000 | 0.0268 | 9.8 |
| 7 | Trevor Rogers | 0.0000 | 0.1408 | 9.7 |
| 8 | Matthew Boyd | 0.0000 | 0.1006 | 9.3 |
| 9 | Kyle Cody | 0.0674 | 0.0333 | 9.2 |
| 10 | Zac Gallen | 0.0000 | 0.0347 | 9.2 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mahle | 0.0273 |
0.0051
(4.7)
|
0.0000
(4.7)
|
0.0000
(4.3)
|
0.0000
(4.3)
|
| Nick Goody | 0.0645 |
0.0083
(3.1)
|
0.0058
(3.0)
|
0.0000
(3.2)
|
0.0000
(3.2)
|
| Carlos Estévez | 0.0423 |
0.0059
(4.3)
|
0.0000
(4.5)
|
0.0000
(4.2)
|
0.0000
(4.2)
|
| Dean Kremer | 0.0612 |
0.0058
(4.7)
|
0.0000
(4.8)
|
0.0000
(4.6)
|
0.0000
(4.6)
|
| Phil Maton | 0.0377 |
0.0073
(3.0)
|
0.0000
(3.3)
|
0.0000
(3.1)
|
0.0000
(3.1)
|
| Robbie Erlin | 0.0375 |
0.0050
(4.1)
|
0.0058
(3.4)
|
0.0000
(3.9)
|
0.0000
(3.9)
|
| Marcus Walden | 0.0638 |
0.0057
(4.2)
|
0.0058
(3.8)
|
0.0000
(4.1)
|
0.0000
(4.1)
|
| Tommy Milone | 0.0323 |
0.0037
(5.3)
|
0.0000
(5.1)
|
0.0000
(4.8)
|
0.0000
(4.8)
|
| Ryan Pressly | 0.0385 |
0.0068
(3.0)
|
0.0000
(3.1)
|
0.0000
(3.0)
|
0.0000
(3.0)
|
| Artie Lewicki | 0.1667 |
0.0093
(2.9)
|
0.0058
(2.8)
|
0.0000
(2.9)
|
0.0000
(2.9)
|
| Trevor Bauer | 0.0201 |
0.0086
(3.5)
|
0.0000
(4.5)
|
0.0000
(4.0)
|
0.0000
(4.0)
|
| Framber Valdez | 0.0161 |
0.0047
(3.6)
|
0.0000
(3.5)
|
0.0000
(3.0)
|
0.0000
(3.0)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Freeland | 0.0128 | 0.0000 | 3.6 |
| 2 | Josh Lindblom | 0.0000 | 0.0175 | 3.5 |
| 3 | Wandy Peralta | 0.0000 | 0.0274 | 3.2 |
| 4 | Héctor Rondón | 0.0059 | 0.0357 | 3.0 |
| 5 | James Karinchak | 0.0000 | 0.0256 | 2.9 |
| 6 | Shun Yamaguchi | 0.0058 | 0.0290 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Michael Wacha | 0.0027 | 0.0198 | 2.8 |
| 8 | Brad Keller | 0.0135 | 0.0000 | 2.7 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Glasnow | 0.0000 | 0.0175 | 3.3 |
| 2 | Aaron Civale | 0.0000 | 0.0141 | 3.2 |
| 3 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0000 | 0.0163 | 3.0 |
| 4 | Germán Márquez | 0.0000 | 0.0125 | 3.0 |
| 5 | Bryan Shaw | 0.0000 | 0.0769 | 2.8 |
| 6 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.0000 | 0.0130 | 2.8 |
| 7 | Wandy Peralta | 0.0000 | 0.0274 | 2.7 |
| 8 | Kendall Graveman | 0.0000 | 0.0385 | 2.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Héctor Rondón | 0.0000 | 0.0357 | 2.9 |
| 2 | Tyler Glasnow | 0.0000 | 0.0175 | 2.8 |
| 3 | Shun Yamaguchi | 0.0000 | 0.0290 | 2.8 |
| 4 | Bryan Shaw | 0.0000 | 0.0769 | 2.7 |
| 5 | Aaron Civale | 0.0000 | 0.0141 | 2.6 |
| 6 | Aroldis Chapman | 0.0000 | 0.0625 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Kendall Graveman | 0.0000 | 0.0385 | 2.5 |
| 8 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0000 | 0.0163 | 2.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Héctor Rondón | 0.0000 | 0.0357 | 2.9 |
| 2 | Tyler Glasnow | 0.0000 | 0.0175 | 2.8 |
| 3 | Shun Yamaguchi | 0.0000 | 0.0290 | 2.8 |
| 4 | Bryan Shaw | 0.0000 | 0.0769 | 2.7 |
| 5 | Aaron Civale | 0.0000 | 0.0141 | 2.6 |
| 6 | Aroldis Chapman | 0.0000 | 0.0625 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Corbin Burnes | 0.0000 | 0.0163 | 2.5 |
| 8 | Kendall Graveman | 0.0000 | 0.0385 | 2.5 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 0.0505 |
0.1110
(19.5)
|
0.1064
(17.3)
|
0.1079
(17.6)
|
0.1033
(17.6)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 0.0584 |
0.1057
(13.5)
|
0.1223
(17.0)
|
0.1230
(17.1)
|
0.1149
(16.2)
|
| Corbin Burnes | 0.0625 |
0.1480
(21.8)
|
0.1250
(15.5)
|
0.1276
(16.1)
|
0.1118
(13.4)
|
| Antonio Senzatela | 0.0957 |
0.1413
(15.4)
|
0.1485
(16.7)
|
0.1473
(16.2)
|
0.1423
(16.1)
|
| Trevor Bauer | 0.0612 |
0.1121
(15.6)
|
0.1155
(15.8)
|
0.1169
(16.0)
|
0.1026
(13.3)
|
| Yu Darvish | 0.0606 |
0.1159
(17.9)
|
0.1152
(16.9)
|
0.1163
(17.1)
|
0.1004
(13.8)
|
| Carlos Martinez | 0.2500 |
0.1060
(14.4)
|
0.1230
(13.0)
|
0.1226
(13.1)
|
0.0991
(15.0)
|
| Chris Bassitt | 0.0690 |
0.1115
(12.4)
|
0.1248
(15.2)
|
0.1211
(14.1)
|
0.1156
(13.9)
|
| Julio Teheran | 0.2349 |
0.1140
(17.3)
|
0.1396
(13.9)
|
0.1388
(14.0)
|
0.1264
(15.2)
|
| Touki Toussaint | 0.2333 |
0.1265
(12.2)
|
0.1181
(13.6)
|
0.1139
(14.1)
|
0.1168
(13.2)
|
| Steven Matz | 0.2324 |
0.1222
(14.9)
|
0.1260
(14.8)
|
0.1264
(14.8)
|
0.1096
(16.5)
|
| Jordan Yamamoto | 0.3582 |
0.1253
(15.3)
|
0.1253
(15.5)
|
0.1300
(15.2)
|
0.1250
(15.2)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.1229 | 0.0674 | 16.2 |
| 2 | Jordan Lyles | 0.1252 | 0.1842 | 14.3 |
| 3 | Max Fried | 0.1152 | 0.0625 | 13.0 |
| 4 | Ross Stripling | 0.1045 | 0.1682 | 12.9 |
| 5 | Kyle Hart | 0.1253 | 0.3134 | 12.3 |
| 6 | Matt Wisler | 0.1374 | 0.0280 | 12.3 |
| 7 | Adrian Houser | 0.1124 | 0.1667 | 12.1 |
| 8 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.1138 | 0.0786 | 11.3 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.1264 | 0.0825 | 14.5 |
| 2 | Zach Plesac | 0.1353 | 0.0680 | 14.3 |
| 3 | Zach Davies | 0.1388 | 0.0942 | 12.9 |
| 4 | Jordan Lyles | 0.1347 | 0.1842 | 12.6 |
| 5 | Kenta Maeda | 0.1289 | 0.0806 | 12.5 |
| 6 | Matthew Boyd | 0.1214 | 0.1697 | 12.5 |
| 7 | Kyle Hart | 0.1253 | 0.3134 | 12.5 |
| 8 | Brad Keller | 0.1288 | 0.0744 | 12.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.1272 | 0.0825 | 14.7 |
| 2 | Zach Plesac | 0.1363 | 0.0680 | 14.5 |
| 3 | Zach Davies | 0.1389 | 0.0942 | 12.9 |
| 4 | Kenta Maeda | 0.1293 | 0.0806 | 12.5 |
| 5 | Brad Keller | 0.1304 | 0.0744 | 12.4 |
| 6 | Jordan Lyles | 0.1356 | 0.1842 | 12.4 |
| 7 | Matthew Boyd | 0.1223 | 0.1697 | 12.3 |
| 8 | Kyle Hart | 0.1316 | 0.3134 | 12.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.1111 | 0.0674 | 13.4 |
| 2 | Zach Plesac | 0.1231 | 0.0680 | 12.7 |
| 3 | Adrian Houser | 0.1128 | 0.1667 | 11.6 |
| 4 | Matt Wisler | 0.1302 | 0.0280 | 11.6 |
| 5 | Matthew Boyd | 0.1204 | 0.1697 | 11.6 |
| 6 | Tony Gonsolin | 0.1329 | 0.0739 | 11.5 |
| 7 | Trevor Williams | 0.1144 | 0.1667 | 11.5 |
| 8 | Hansel Robles | 0.1009 | 0.2500 | 11.4 |
Earned Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 0.0471 |
0.1029
(17.7)
|
0.0983
(15.5)
|
0.0995
(15.6)
|
0.0967
(15.8)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 0.0545 |
0.0988
(12.3)
|
0.1116
(15.0)
|
0.1125
(15.0)
|
0.1073
(14.5)
|
| Corbin Burnes | 0.0583 |
0.1360
(19.5)
|
0.1161
(14.1)
|
0.1187
(14.5)
|
0.1053
(12.1)
|
| Antonio Senzatela | 0.0924 |
0.1342
(13.8)
|
0.1386
(14.3)
|
0.1374
(13.7)
|
0.1341
(13.7)
|
| Trevor Bauer | 0.0504 |
0.1018
(15.3)
|
0.1074
(16.1)
|
0.1087
(16.3)
|
0.0960
(13.7)
|
| Dinelson Lamet | 0.0599 |
0.1108
(14.6)
|
0.1020
(11.5)
|
0.1025
(11.4)
|
0.1056
(13.1)
|
| Yu Darvish | 0.0572 |
0.1095
(16.6)
|
0.1076
(15.3)
|
0.1083
(15.2)
|
0.0962
(12.6)
|
| Julio Teheran | 0.2349 |
0.1054
(18.7)
|
0.1317
(15.2)
|
0.1307
(15.5)
|
0.1190
(16.7)
|
| Chris Bassitt | 0.0613 |
0.1025
(11.7)
|
0.1159
(14.5)
|
0.1127
(13.4)
|
0.1106
(13.8)
|
| Steven Matz | 0.2324 |
0.1116
(16.6)
|
0.1172
(16.2)
|
0.1175
(16.3)
|
0.1053
(17.5)
|
| Jordan Yamamoto | 0.3433 |
0.1160
(15.0)
|
0.1149
(15.2)
|
0.1215
(14.8)
|
0.1154
(15.0)
|
| Matthew Boyd | 0.1661 |
0.1191
(11.7)
|
0.1146
(13.7)
|
0.1152
(13.7)
|
0.1131
(13.4)
|
Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Lyles | 0.1157 | 0.1692 | 13.2 |
| 2 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.1030 | 0.1592 | 12.9 |
| 3 | Carlos Martinez | 0.0960 | 0.2115 | 11.6 |
| 4 | Luke Weaver | 0.1091 | 0.1610 | 11.4 |
| 5 | Kwang Hyun Kim | 0.1149 | 0.0455 | 11.3 |
| 6 | Kyle Hart | 0.1149 | 0.2836 | 11.1 |
| 7 | Hansel Robles | 0.0968 | 0.2375 | 11.0 |
| 8 | Matt Wisler | 0.1260 | 0.0280 | 10.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Davies | 0.1293 | 0.0761 | 15.0 |
| 2 | Taijuan Walker | 0.1260 | 0.0711 | 12.6 |
| 3 | Zach Plesac | 0.1266 | 0.0680 | 12.3 |
| 4 | Matt Hall | 0.1149 | 0.3333 | 11.7 |
| 5 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.1175 | 0.0825 | 11.3 |
| 6 | Hyun Jin Ryu | 0.1127 | 0.0727 | 11.3 |
| 7 | Kyle Hart | 0.1149 | 0.2836 | 11.2 |
| 8 | Jordan Lyles | 0.1264 | 0.1692 | 11.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Davies | 0.1295 | 0.0761 | 14.8 |
| 2 | Zach Plesac | 0.1279 | 0.0680 | 12.4 |
| 3 | Matt Hall | 0.1129 | 0.3333 | 11.9 |
| 4 | Taijuan Walker | 0.1236 | 0.0711 | 11.8 |
| 5 | Touki Toussaint | 0.1054 | 0.2000 | 11.3 |
| 6 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.1183 | 0.0825 | 11.3 |
| 7 | Jordan Lyles | 0.1273 | 0.1692 | 11.1 |
| 8 | Luke Weaver | 0.1144 | 0.1610 | 11.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Martinez | 0.0901 | 0.2115 | 12.3 |
| 2 | Michael Fulmer | 0.1099 | 0.1985 | 11.6 |
| 3 | Robbie Ray | 0.1023 | 0.1514 | 11.4 |
| 4 | Matt Hall | 0.1244 | 0.3333 | 11.1 |
| 5 | Touki Toussaint | 0.1066 | 0.2000 | 10.8 |
| 6 | Matt Wisler | 0.1243 | 0.0280 | 10.7 |
| 7 | Taijuan Walker | 0.1149 | 0.0711 | 10.7 |
| 8 | Hansel Robles | 0.1009 | 0.2375 | 10.6 |
Win Rate
Everybody Missed for Win Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 0.6667 |
0.2955
(102.2)
|
0.4298
(80.9)
|
0.4644
(63.3)
|
0.4167
(85.6)
|
| David Peterson | 0.6000 |
0.1879
(78.9)
|
0.2361
(81.9)
|
0.3310
(57.3)
|
0.2222
(85.3)
|
| Randy Dobnak | 0.6000 |
0.1481
(85.0)
|
0.0833
(110.5)
|
0.1293
(96.3)
|
0.3333
(61.0)
|
| Max Fried | 0.6364 |
0.2500
(80.5)
|
0.3704
(67.6)
|
0.3840
(58.9)
|
0.4167
(57.8)
|
| Alec Mills | 0.4545 |
0.1200
(77.5)
|
0.1879
(76.2)
|
0.1729
(73.7)
|
0.2000
(73.8)
|
| Yu Darvish | 0.6667 |
0.1538
(144.3)
|
0.3158
(114.8)
|
0.3783
(88.8)
|
0.3000
(120.3)
|
| Zach Davies | 0.5833 |
0.2250
(91.5)
|
0.2396
(104.7)
|
0.2654
(90.7)
|
0.2727
(96.3)
|
| Pablo López | 0.5455 |
0.1579
(86.5)
|
0.3039
(66.5)
|
0.2943
(62.9)
|
0.3000
(68.1)
|
| Marco Gonzales | 0.6364 |
0.2955
(87.0)
|
0.2895
(106.0)
|
0.3105
(93.2)
|
0.4545
(61.0)
|
| Framber Valdez | 0.4545 |
0.1563
(78.1)
|
0.1538
(96.9)
|
0.1832
(81.2)
|
0.2500
(70.0)
|
Individual Misses for Win Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan Bundy | 0.2051 | 0.5455 | 83.7 |
| 2 | Kenta Maeda | 0.2093 | 0.5455 | 76.7 |
| 3 | Brad Keller | 0.1860 | 0.5556 | 73.6 |
| 4 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.2564 | 0.5000 | 68.2 |
| 5 | Rick Porcello | 0.3077 | 0.0833 | 65.6 |
| 6 | Josh Fleming | 0.1879 | 0.7143 | 64.9 |
| 7 | Tyler Glasnow | 0.1563 | 0.4545 | 64.6 |
| 8 | Justus Sheffield | 0.1000 | 0.4000 | 63.3 |
| 9 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.2727 | 0.5455 | 63.2 |
| 10 | Dylan Cease | 0.1429 | 0.4167 | 62.9 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Wainwright | 0.1879 | 0.5000 | 91.1 |
| 2 | Josh Fleming | 0.1879 | 0.7143 | 73.1 |
| 3 | Mike Fiers | 0.3158 | 0.5455 | 68.2 |
| 4 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.3421 | 0.5000 | 61.0 |
| 5 | Kyle Gibson | 0.4035 | 0.1667 | 60.6 |
| 6 | Jordan Lyles | 0.3452 | 0.0833 | 60.2 |
| 7 | Justus Sheffield | 0.1879 | 0.4000 | 57.5 |
| 8 | Dylan Bundy | 0.3684 | 0.5455 | 56.8 |
| 9 | Cristian Javier | 0.1879 | 0.4167 | 56.6 |
| 10 | Brad Keller | 0.3333 | 0.5556 | 55.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristian Javier | 0.1072 | 0.4167 | 68.5 |
| 2 | Mike Minor | 0.3575 | 0.0833 | 63.0 |
| 3 | Chris Bassitt | 0.2309 | 0.4545 | 61.2 |
| 4 | Kenta Maeda | 0.3128 | 0.5455 | 60.4 |
| 5 | Ryan Yarbrough | 0.3551 | 0.0909 | 59.3 |
| 6 | Patrick Corbin | 0.3932 | 0.1818 | 59.2 |
| 7 | Josh Fleming | 0.2777 | 0.7143 | 58.2 |
| 8 | Mike Fiers | 0.3320 | 0.5455 | 57.6 |
| 9 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2980 | 0.5000 | 55.7 |
| 10 | Luke Weaver | 0.3246 | 0.0833 | 54.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Fiers | 0.3000 | 0.5455 | 72.9 |
| 2 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.1250 | 0.4444 | 71.2 |
| 3 | Kenta Maeda | 0.3077 | 0.5455 | 68.5 |
| 4 | Mike Minor | 0.4000 | 0.0833 | 66.5 |
| 5 | Kyle Freeland | 0.4000 | 0.1538 | 63.2 |
| 6 | Rick Porcello | 0.3636 | 0.0833 | 63.1 |
| 7 | Luke Weaver | 0.3750 | 0.0833 | 59.8 |
| 8 | Corbin Burnes | 0.1333 | 0.3333 | 57.2 |
| 9 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.3636 | 0.5000 | 55.0 |
| 10 | Cristian Javier | 0.2000 | 0.4167 | 54.6 |
Loss Rate
Everybody Missed for Loss Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson | 0.5000 |
0.2308
(68.5)
|
0.3333
(58.8)
|
0.3355
(51.9)
|
0.3000
(64.1)
|
| Luke Weaver | 0.7500 |
0.1935
(121.5)
|
0.3333
(105.1)
|
0.3500
(96.3)
|
0.2500
(121.1)
|
| Alec Mills | 0.4545 |
0.0800
(83.9)
|
0.1952
(72.6)
|
0.2093
(63.8)
|
0.2000
(67.4)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.6364 |
0.1951
(117.9)
|
0.3246
(100.4)
|
0.3173
(96.5)
|
0.2727
(111.1)
|
| Rick Porcello | 0.5833 |
0.2564
(74.5)
|
0.1952
(108.8)
|
0.3865
(53.5)
|
0.3636
(60.7)
|
| Adrian Houser | 0.5000 |
0.1500
(75.9)
|
0.3235
(50.4)
|
0.3000
(51.2)
|
0.1429
(91.1)
|
| Aaron Civale | 0.5000 |
0.1818
(86.3)
|
0.3229
(64.2)
|
0.3259
(56.8)
|
0.3333
(56.1)
|
| Trevor Williams | 0.7273 |
0.2368
(113.1)
|
0.4074
(87.8)
|
0.4278
(77.5)
|
0.3000
(111.0)
|
| Matthew Boyd | 0.5833 |
0.2683
(74.1)
|
0.3158
(80.3)
|
0.3424
(67.5)
|
0.3636
(63.1)
|
Individual Misses for Loss Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kris Bubic | 0.1952 | 0.6000 | 80.6 |
| 2 | Jordan Lyles | 0.1628 | 0.5000 | 78.6 |
| 3 | Germán Márquez | 0.2000 | 0.4615 | 75.6 |
| 4 | Frankie Montas | 0.1176 | 0.4545 | 70.0 |
| 5 | Brandon Woodruff | 0.1053 | 0.3846 | 69.6 |
| 6 | Luis Castillo | 0.2381 | 0.5000 | 64.3 |
| 7 | Austin Voth | 0.1333 | 0.4545 | 62.9 |
| 8 | Mike Minor | 0.1957 | 0.5000 | 62.8 |
| 9 | Aaron Nola | 0.1707 | 0.4167 | 59.0 |
| 10 | Patrick Sandoval | 0.1515 | 0.5556 | 57.6 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kris Bubic | 0.1952 | 0.6000 | 96.2 |
| 2 | Randy Dobnak | 0.0682 | 0.4000 | 72.1 |
| 3 | Patrick Sandoval | 0.1481 | 0.5556 | 69.3 |
| 4 | Taylor Clarke | 0.3646 | 0.0000 | 61.5 |
| 5 | Julio Urías | 0.3021 | 0.0000 | 61.3 |
| 6 | Framber Valdez | 0.0897 | 0.2727 | 60.9 |
| 7 | Max Fried | 0.2963 | 0.0000 | 60.0 |
| 8 | Luis Castillo | 0.3246 | 0.5000 | 59.6 |
| 9 | Mike Minor | 0.3070 | 0.5000 | 53.0 |
| 10 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.3056 | 0.0833 | 51.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Fried | 0.3097 | 0.0000 | 67.6 |
| 2 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.3252 | 0.0833 | 62.4 |
| 3 | Patrick Sandoval | 0.1836 | 0.5556 | 60.4 |
| 4 | Randy Dobnak | 0.1105 | 0.4000 | 59.5 |
| 5 | Kolby Allard | 0.1856 | 0.5455 | 55.9 |
| 6 | Marco Gonzales | 0.3886 | 0.1818 | 55.1 |
| 7 | Julio Urías | 0.2517 | 0.0000 | 54.6 |
| 8 | Shane Bieber | 0.2737 | 0.0833 | 54.2 |
| 9 | Justin Dunn | 0.3735 | 0.1000 | 52.6 |
| 10 | Jordan Lyles | 0.3136 | 0.5000 | 51.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kris Bubic | 0.1952 | 0.6000 | 92.8 |
| 2 | Luis Castillo | 0.2727 | 0.5000 | 70.2 |
| 3 | Germán Márquez | 0.2727 | 0.4615 | 69.4 |
| 4 | Jordan Lyles | 0.2727 | 0.5000 | 63.9 |
| 5 | Dinelson Lamet | 0.3333 | 0.0833 | 63.3 |
| 6 | José Ureña | 0.0417 | 0.6000 | 59.4 |
| 7 | Carlos Martinez | 0.0435 | 0.6000 | 59.2 |
| 8 | Brandon Woodruff | 0.2000 | 0.3846 | 57.9 |
| 9 | Josh Fleming | 0.4444 | 0.0000 | 56.1 |
| 10 | Max Fried | 0.2500 | 0.0000 | 53.1 |
Save Rate
Everybody Missed for Save Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | 0.2609 |
0.0280
(26.5)
|
0.0000
(26.7)
|
0.0000
(26.6)
|
0.0280
(23.7)
|
| Zack Britton | 0.4000 |
0.1087
(23.4)
|
0.0280
(27.6)
|
0.0771
(23.8)
|
0.0204
(28.2)
|
| Anthony Bass | 0.2692 |
0.0606
(22.6)
|
0.0280
(23.2)
|
0.0350
(22.4)
|
0.0421
(21.8)
|
| Taylor Williams | 0.4000 |
0.0400
(25.3)
|
0.0280
(24.3)
|
0.0000
(26.1)
|
0.0000
(26.2)
|
| Jeremy Jeffress | 0.3636 |
0.0930
(25.3)
|
0.0280
(28.8)
|
0.0135
(29.9)
|
0.0138
(30.0)
|
| Rafael Montero | 0.4706 |
0.0455
(31.8)
|
0.0450
(30.0)
|
0.0274
(31.2)
|
0.0186
(31.9)
|
| Ryan Pressly | 0.5217 |
0.0426
(45.2)
|
0.0417
(42.9)
|
0.0668
(40.5)
|
0.0427
(42.8)
|
| Daniel Hudson | 0.4762 |
0.0600
(39.9)
|
0.1667
(27.7)
|
0.2258
(22.1)
|
0.2476
(20.2)
|
| Matt Barnes | 0.3750 |
0.0392
(36.0)
|
0.0417
(33.1)
|
0.0779
(29.3)
|
0.0821
(28.9)
|
| Trevor Rosenthal | 0.4783 |
0.0909
(36.8)
|
0.0280
(40.2)
|
0.0000
(42.6)
|
0.0455
(38.5)
|
Individual Misses for Save Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Kintzler | 0.0833 | 0.5000 | 43.8 |
| 2 | Liam Hendriks | 0.1698 | 0.5833 | 39.6 |
| 3 | Mark Melancon | 0.1277 | 0.4783 | 34.9 |
| 4 | Brandon Workman | 0.1224 | 0.4286 | 32.6 |
| 5 | Brad Hand | 0.3617 | 0.6957 | 30.2 |
| 6 | Shane Greene | 0.2800 | 0.0000 | 28.7 |
| 7 | Josh Hader | 0.2979 | 0.6190 | 26.4 |
| 8 | Blake Treinen | 0.2826 | 0.0370 | 24.5 |
| 9 | Alex Colomé | 0.3265 | 0.5714 | 23.6 |
| 10 | Taylor Rogers | 0.1923 | 0.4286 | 23.0 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Hand | 0.0280 | 0.6957 | 56.7 |
| 2 | Alex Colomé | 0.0280 | 0.5714 | 48.1 |
| 3 | Brandon Kintzler | 0.0280 | 0.5000 | 46.8 |
| 4 | Mark Melancon | 0.0280 | 0.4783 | 41.9 |
| 5 | Brandon Workman | 0.0280 | 0.4286 | 39.6 |
| 6 | Cole Sulser | 0.0000 | 0.2632 | 25.4 |
| 7 | Archie Bradley | 0.0280 | 0.3750 | 24.7 |
| 8 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.4286 | 0.1111 | 22.5 |
| 9 | Seth Lugo | 0.0450 | 0.1875 | 21.4 |
| 10 | Greg Holland | 0.0280 | 0.2143 | 19.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Kennedy | 0.4244 | 0.0000 | 30.0 |
| 2 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.5156 | 0.1111 | 28.6 |
| 3 | Edwin Díaz | 0.4596 | 0.2308 | 26.3 |
| 4 | Hansel Robles | 0.3621 | 0.0556 | 25.3 |
| 5 | Cole Sulser | 0.0000 | 0.2632 | 25.3 |
| 6 | Joe Jiménez | 0.4391 | 0.2000 | 25.2 |
| 7 | Seth Lugo | 0.0287 | 0.1875 | 23.8 |
| 8 | Kwang Hyun Kim | 0.2675 | 0.1250 | 23.5 |
| 9 | Héctor Neris | 0.4082 | 0.2083 | 21.6 |
| 10 | Josh Hader | 0.3416 | 0.6190 | 20.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.7293 | 0.1111 | 43.3 |
| 2 | Ian Kennedy | 0.4433 | 0.0000 | 31.2 |
| 3 | Cole Sulser | 0.0000 | 0.2632 | 25.4 |
| 4 | Hansel Robles | 0.3632 | 0.0556 | 25.3 |
| 5 | Seth Lugo | 0.0314 | 0.1875 | 23.5 |
| 6 | Joe Jiménez | 0.4214 | 0.2000 | 23.3 |
| 7 | Edwin Díaz | 0.4248 | 0.2308 | 22.4 |
| 8 | Stefan Crichton | 0.0000 | 0.1923 | 20.0 |
| 9 | Rafael Dolis | 0.0000 | 0.2083 | 19.9 |
| 10 | Tony Watson | 0.3560 | 0.0952 | 19.7 |
Hold Rate
Everybody Missed for Hold Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Williams | 0.4091 |
0.1111
(33.0)
|
0.1111
(28.5)
|
0.0623
(34.5)
|
0.0000
(34.8)
|
| Ryan Weber | 0.2941 |
0.0833
(44.9)
|
0.0619
(40.6)
|
0.0000
(54.1)
|
0.0000
(43.1)
|
| Tyler Duffey | 0.5455 |
0.2000
(34.7)
|
0.1802
(32.4)
|
0.3013
(22.3)
|
0.0000
(44.6)
|
| Kendall Graveman | 0.4545 |
0.0833
(31.0)
|
0.0000
(34.0)
|
0.0000
(34.9)
|
0.0000
(30.3)
|
| Jake Diekman | 0.6190 |
0.2778
(31.3)
|
0.2500
(29.9)
|
0.2463
(31.2)
|
0.0000
(46.9)
|
Individual Misses for Hold Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seth Lugo | 0.2381 | 0.0000 | 33.0 |
| 2 | Blake Treinen | 0.0652 | 0.3333 | 32.1 |
| 3 | Julio Urías | 0.1667 | 0.0000 | 30.2 |
| 4 | Ryan Brasier | 0.1667 | 0.4000 | 29.2 |
| 5 | Anthony Misiewicz | 0.0619 | 0.3810 | 29.1 |
| 6 | Jimmy Cordero | 0.1034 | 0.3000 | 28.3 |
| 7 | Tyler Rogers | 0.1579 | 0.3448 | 26.9 |
| 8 | Josh Staumont | 0.1053 | 0.3077 | 26.2 |
| 9 | Rafael Dolis | 0.0619 | 0.2917 | 26.2 |
| 10 | Justin Wilson | 0.1667 | 0.4348 | 25.8 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Framber Valdez | 0.1282 | 0.0000 | 40.7 |
| 2 | Nick Wittgren | 0.0619 | 0.4000 | 31.9 |
| 3 | Seth Lugo | 0.1802 | 0.0000 | 30.9 |
| 4 | Sergio Romo | 0.0619 | 0.4167 | 29.7 |
| 5 | Tony Watson | 0.0619 | 0.4762 | 29.3 |
| 6 | Trevor May | 0.0619 | 0.3750 | 28.8 |
| 7 | Jimmy Cordero | 0.0619 | 0.3000 | 27.9 |
| 8 | Touki Toussaint | 0.2083 | 0.0000 | 26.6 |
| 9 | Tommy Hunter | 0.0619 | 0.3333 | 26.4 |
| 10 | Anthony Misiewicz | 0.0619 | 0.3810 | 25.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seth Lugo | 0.2111 | 0.0000 | 34.0 |
| 2 | Daniel Ponce de Leon | 0.2091 | 0.0000 | 30.1 |
| 3 | Huascar Ynoa | 0.2813 | 0.0000 | 28.3 |
| 4 | Steve Cishek | 0.2734 | 0.0000 | 25.6 |
| 5 | Luke Jackson | 0.2411 | 0.0526 | 25.1 |
| 6 | Tyler Mahle | 0.1225 | 0.0000 | 24.9 |
| 7 | Anthony Misiewicz | 0.0796 | 0.3810 | 24.9 |
| 8 | Tony Watson | 0.1354 | 0.4762 | 24.8 |
| 9 | Josh James | 0.0198 | 0.3077 | 23.8 |
| 10 | Rafael Dolis | 0.0619 | 0.2917 | 22.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Brasier | 0.0000 | 0.4000 | 37.3 |
| 2 | Tyler Rogers | 0.0000 | 0.3448 | 34.9 |
| 3 | Nick Wittgren | 0.0000 | 0.4000 | 33.2 |
| 4 | Justin Wilson | 0.0000 | 0.4348 | 32.1 |
| 5 | Sergio Romo | 0.0000 | 0.4167 | 30.9 |
| 6 | Tony Watson | 0.0000 | 0.4762 | 30.3 |
| 7 | Trevor May | 0.0000 | 0.3750 | 30.1 |
| 8 | Jimmy Cordero | 0.0000 | 0.3000 | 29.6 |
| 9 | Tanner Rainey | 0.0000 | 0.4500 | 29.2 |
| 10 | Blake Treinen | 0.0000 | 0.3333 | 29.1 |
ERA
Everybody Missed for ERA
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 1.6293 |
3.8140
(758.9)
|
3.6354
(651.7)
|
3.6871
(672.2)
|
3.6250
(668.6)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 1.9895 |
3.7832
(556.2)
|
4.3947
(666.5)
|
4.4384
(682.2)
|
4.2000
(633.8)
|
| Corbin Burnes | 2.1117 |
5.3684
(870.5)
|
4.5000
(618.4)
|
4.6252
(652.6)
|
4.1143
(541.9)
|
| Jordan Yamamoto | 18.2647 |
4.3988
(904.2)
|
4.6746
(897.9)
|
4.8062
(887.9)
|
4.5957
(898.7)
|
| Antonio Senzatela | 3.4364 |
5.3444
(690.4)
|
5.6375
(724.0)
|
5.5709
(709.1)
|
5.5000
(702.7)
|
| Trevor Bauer | 1.7260 |
3.8747
(700.3)
|
4.1114
(715.5)
|
4.1768
(738.5)
|
3.7286
(627.7)
|
| Cody Carroll | 54.0000 |
5.0186
(1020.8)
|
4.6746
(1031.9)
|
4.9521
(1025.7)
|
5.2500
(1018.4)
|
| Yu Darvish | 2.0132 |
4.1126
(733.6)
|
4.0421
(658.5)
|
4.0766
(673.9)
|
3.6316
(556.5)
|
| Julio Teheran | 10.0532 |
4.0388
(840.9)
|
5.3138
(678.1)
|
5.2652
(682.8)
|
4.7213
(756.4)
|
| Steven Matz | 9.6848 |
4.3163
(709.7)
|
4.5572
(701.4)
|
4.5719
(696.8)
|
4.1538
(749.1)
|
| José Suarez | 38.5714 |
5.6598
(748.4)
|
4.3000
(783.9)
|
4.7136
(774.0)
|
4.9091
(768.4)
|
| Kyle Hart | 15.5455 |
4.6746
(703.5)
|
4.6746
(715.7)
|
4.8665
(701.7)
|
5.3617
(665.2)
|
| Matt Hall | 18.6923 |
5.4617
(694.4)
|
4.6746
(746.8)
|
4.4469
(758.1)
|
5.1429
(717.9)
|
| Roel Ramírez | 81.0000 |
4.6746
(607.6)
|
4.6746
(609.1)
|
4.9941
(606.4)
|
4.8462
(607.2)
|
Individual Misses for ERA
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinelson Lamet | 4.2636 | 2.0870 | 680.1 |
| 2 | Carlos Martinez | 3.6812 | 9.9000 | 608.2 |
| 3 | Jordan Lyles | 4.4634 | 7.0231 | 582.3 |
| 4 | Aníbal Sánchez | 3.9416 | 6.6226 | 566.1 |
| 5 | Robinson Leyer | 4.6746 | 21.2143 | 549.8 |
| 6 | Michael Fulmer | 4.3725 | 8.7831 | 549.5 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Davies | 5.2347 | 2.7260 | 744.4 |
| 2 | Chris Bassitt | 4.4549 | 2.2857 | 615.3 |
| 3 | Zach Plesac | 4.9773 | 2.2771 | 595.0 |
| 4 | Matthew Boyd | 4.3349 | 6.7127 | 593.4 |
| 5 | Kyle Hendricks | 4.5132 | 2.8770 | 574.7 |
| 6 | Robinson Leyer | 4.6746 | 21.2143 | 555.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Davies | 5.2445 | 2.7260 | 751.9 |
| 2 | Zach Plesac | 5.0358 | 2.2771 | 610.7 |
| 3 | Kyle Hendricks | 4.5484 | 2.8770 | 591.3 |
| 4 | Matthew Boyd | 4.3649 | 6.7127 | 580.5 |
| 5 | Chris Bassitt | 4.3041 | 2.2857 | 580.5 |
| 6 | Kenta Maeda | 4.7237 | 2.7000 | 552.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Martinez | 3.4615 | 9.9000 | 643.0 |
| 2 | Dinelson Lamet | 4.1707 | 2.0870 | 624.6 |
| 3 | Chris Bassitt | 4.4000 | 2.2857 | 618.5 |
| 4 | Robbie Ray | 3.9836 | 6.6194 | 597.5 |
| 5 | Michael Fulmer | 4.2857 | 8.7831 | 576.9 |
| 6 | Matthew Boyd | 4.3594 | 6.7127 | 568.5 |
WHIP
Everybody Missed for WHIP
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Razzball | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenta Maeda | 0.7500 |
1.1830
(120.3)
|
1.3293
(148.8)
|
1.3432
(149.5)
|
1.2800
(134.5)
|
| Trevor Bauer | 0.7945 |
1.2371
(137.6)
|
1.2702
(137.9)
|
1.2856
(139.2)
|
1.2571
(132.0)
|
| Dinelson Lamet | 0.8551 |
1.2873
(129.4)
|
1.2367
(107.4)
|
1.2458
(106.9)
|
1.3171
(126.6)
|
| Cody Carroll | 7.0000 |
1.4126
(116.2)
|
1.3653
(117.9)
|
1.4864
(115.6)
|
1.6250
(112.6)
|
| Edwar Colina | 18.0000 |
1.3653
(116.1)
|
1.3653
(116.3)
|
1.5843
(114.8)
|
1.5714
(114.9)
|
| Robbie Ray | 1.8968 |
1.3103
(134.1)
|
1.3592
(129.8)
|
1.3404
(137.3)
|
1.2951
(148.0)
|
| Michael Fulmer | 2.0602 |
1.2821
(98.7)
|
1.3501
(93.8)
|
1.3504
(95.2)
|
1.2857
(103.7)
|
| José Suarez | 6.4286 |
1.4742
(112.7)
|
1.3222
(117.0)
|
1.3984
(115.5)
|
1.4318
(114.6)
|
| Kyle Hart | 3.0909 |
1.3653
(112.1)
|
1.3653
(114.2)
|
1.4182
(111.4)
|
1.5319
(103.6)
|
| Jordan Yamamoto | 3.0000 |
1.2414
(114.3)
|
1.3653
(108.1)
|
1.4164
(105.5)
|
1.3617
(108.9)
|
| Marco Gonzales | 0.9474 |
1.3046
(113.4)
|
1.3538
(118.3)
|
1.3310
(108.9)
|
1.3333
(110.3)
|
| Zach Plesac | 0.7952 |
1.2759
(109.8)
|
1.3674
(122.1)
|
1.3915
(124.8)
|
1.3559
(118.0)
|
Individual Misses for WHIP
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Framber Valdez | 1.4433 | 1.1179 | 108.8 |
| 2 | Corbin Burnes | 1.4211 | 1.0223 | 108.2 |
| 3 | Adam Wainwright | 1.4059 | 1.0508 | 106.8 |
| 4 | Shane Bieber | 1.1723 | 0.8664 | 106.4 |
| 5 | Lance Lynn | 1.3107 | 1.0595 | 104.4 |
| 6 | Antonio Senzatela | 1.4964 | 1.2136 | 101.5 |
| 7 | Brandon Workman | 1.1957 | 2.2373 | 99.9 |
| 8 | Robinson Leyer | 1.3653 | 4.2857 | 97.5 |
Razzball
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonio Senzatela | 1.6004 | 1.2136 | 123.4 |
| 2 | Zach Davies | 1.4918 | 1.0673 | 122.8 |
| 3 | Kyle Hendricks | 1.3085 | 0.9959 | 104.9 |
| 4 | Brad Keller | 1.4728 | 1.0244 | 100.8 |
| 5 | Robinson Leyer | 1.3653 | 4.2857 | 98.6 |
| 6 | Brandon Woodruff | 1.3009 | 0.9910 | 96.8 |
| 7 | Matt Hall | 1.3653 | 3.1154 | 93.4 |
| 8 | Jairo Díaz | 1.3653 | 2.2500 | 91.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Davies | 1.4988 | 1.0673 | 121.7 |
| 2 | Antonio Senzatela | 1.5833 | 1.2136 | 114.9 |
| 3 | Kyle Hendricks | 1.3129 | 0.9959 | 102.8 |
| 4 | Adam Wainwright | 1.4276 | 1.0508 | 101.2 |
| 5 | Brad Keller | 1.4794 | 1.0244 | 99.9 |
| 6 | Brandon Woodruff | 1.3079 | 0.9910 | 95.6 |
| 7 | Robinson Leyer | 1.5072 | 4.2857 | 94.1 |
| 8 | Luke Jackson | 1.2633 | 1.9747 | 92.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Matzek | 2.2857 | 1.1379 | 140.4 |
| 2 | Cristian Javier | 1.5946 | 0.9939 | 131.2 |
| 3 | Max Scherzer | 0.9844 | 1.3812 | 113.4 |
| 4 | Tony Gonsolin | 1.4571 | 0.8357 | 111.5 |
| 5 | Adam Wainwright | 1.4255 | 1.0508 | 101.4 |
| 6 | Devin Williams | 1.6087 | 0.6296 | 99.1 |
| 7 | Jairo Díaz | 1.3200 | 2.2500 | 97.3 |
| 8 | Framber Valdez | 1.4419 | 1.1179 | 96.8 |