2019 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Miguel Andujar	49	510 (461.0)	519 (470.0)	557 (508.2)	618 (569.0)
Jed Lowrie	8	384 (376.0)	594 (586.0)	566 (557.6)	566 (558.0)
Giancarlo Stanton	72	624 (552.0)	620 (548.0)	601 (529.2)	649 (577.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryan Reynolds	35	546	511.0
2	Cedric Mullins	575	74	501.0
3	Danny Santana	33	511	478.0
4	Gio Urshela	1	476	475.0
5	Leury García	165	618	453.0
6	Hanser Alberto	98	550	452.0
7	Óscar Mercado	33	482	449.0
8	Eric Sogard	1	442	441.0
9	Daniel Palka	534	93	441.0
10	Cavan Biggio	1	430	429.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pete Alonso	1	693	692.0
2	Bryan Reynolds	1	546	545.0
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1	514	513.0
4	Eloy Jiménez	1	504	503.0
5	Óscar Mercado	1	482	481.0
6	Harold Ramírez	1	446	445.0
7	José Pirela	469	24	445.0
8	Scooter Gennett	569	139	430.0
9	Cavan Biggio	1	430	429.0
10	Matt Kemp	491	62	429.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryan Reynolds	7	546	539.3
2	Danny Santana	1	511	510.0
3	Gio Urshela	1	476	475.0
4	Mark Trumbo	503	31	472.4
5	Zack Cozart	575	107	467.5
6	Leury García	157	618	460.7
7	Brian Goodwin	1	458	457.0
8	Christian Walker	151	603	451.8
9	Harold Ramírez	1	446	445.0
10	Eric Sogard	1	442	441.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cedric Mullins	630	74	556.0
2	Erick Mejia	577	27	550.0
3	Frank Schwindel	552	15	537.0
4	Abiatal Avelino	523	8	515.0
5	Jake Noll	527	13	514.0
6	Chris Shaw	533	20	513.0
7	Magneuris Sierra	549	42	507.0
8	Bobby Bradley	552	49	503.0
9	Lane Thomas	545	44	501.0
10	Ian Miller	514	17	497.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Gio Urshela	0.3697	0.2970 (39.3)	0.2824 (38.3)	0.2820 (39.3)	0.2692 (37.2)
Ketel Marte	0.4056	0.3359 (50.0)	0.3072 (57.5)	0.3301 (44.2)	0.3249 (36.7)
Yordan Alvarez	0.4349	0.3236 (44.7)	0.3254 (37.9)	0.3042 (46.3)	0.3181 (34.9)
Christian Yelich	0.4485	0.3973 (35.4)	0.3685 (42.4)	0.3772 (38.3)	0.3777 (28.1)
Marcus Semien	0.3734	0.3291 (40.5)	0.3074 (44.2)	0.3101 (43.4)	0.3054 (34.2)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pete Alonso	0.3293	0.3868	46.7
2	Bryan Reynolds	0.3083	0.3710	39.6
3	Mark Canha	0.3181	0.3862	38.8
4	Jeff McNeil	0.3310	0.3855	36.5
5	DJ LeMahieu	0.3288	0.3742	36.2
6	Khris Davis	0.3682	0.2912	35.8
7	Cody Bellinger	0.3791	0.4230	35.6
8	Kevin Newman	0.2848	0.3395	34.3
9	Keston Hiura	0.3015	0.3887	33.8
10	Trey Mancini	0.3349	0.3742	33.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.3516	0.4230	42.7
2	Rafael Devers	0.3162	0.3795	39.6
3	Joey Votto	0.3886	0.3327	38.1
4	Pete Alonso	0.3254	0.3868	37.8
5	Alex Bregman	0.3591	0.4192	36.7
6	Jorge Soler	0.3180	0.3781	36.1
7	Hunter Dozier	0.2927	0.3610	36.0
8	J.D. Davis	0.2891	0.3748	35.7
9	Yoán Moncada	0.3099	0.3799	35.2
10	Mark Canha	0.3085	0.3862	35.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.3496	0.4230	45.1
2	DJ LeMahieu	0.3094	0.3742	39.0
3	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.2905	0.3992	38.5
4	Hunter Dozier	0.2903	0.3610	38.4
5	Pete Alonso	0.3277	0.3868	37.3
6	Bryan Reynolds	0.2984	0.3710	36.8
7	Austin Meadows	0.3154	0.3828	36.7
8	Yoán Moncada	0.3094	0.3799	36.5
9	Mark Canha	0.3091	0.3862	35.7
10	Tim Anderson	0.2891	0.3631	35.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.3832	0.3327	44.3
2	Khris Davis	0.3484	0.2912	42.4
3	Bryan Reynolds	0.2776	0.3710	38.8
4	José Ramírez	0.3813	0.3364	36.4
5	Matt Carpenter	0.3614	0.3142	34.2
6	Lorenzo Cain	0.3323	0.3017	32.9
7	Mitch Garver	0.2923	0.4044	32.3
8	Bryce Harper	0.3952	0.3707	31.9
9	Hunter Dozier	0.2849	0.3610	31.5
10	Daniel Murphy	0.3679	0.3271	30.2

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Owings	0.3980	0.1843 (33.5)	0.2203 (33.2)	0.2118 (34.3)	0.2311 (33.3)
Alex Gordon	0.1580	0.1870 (45.4)	0.2367 (55.0)	0.2419 (60.1)	0.2381 (48.6)
Tommy Pham	0.1881	0.2074 (40.5)	0.2449 (42.5)	0.2627 (56.1)	0.2774 (56.2)
César Hernández	0.1499	0.1675 (40.1)	0.2026 (40.6)	0.2038 (43.3)	0.2037 (33.7)
Wil Myers	0.3429	0.2168 (40.9)	0.2569 (38.1)	0.2670 (31.7)	0.2783 (33.3)
Marcus Semien	0.1365	0.1631 (51.7)	0.2068 (58.6)	0.1966 (53.2)	0.2059 (49.4)
Cody Bellinger	0.1634	0.2080 (57.7)	0.2449 (59.3)	0.2309 (52.0)	0.2388 (47.7)
Rougned Odor	0.3064	0.1806 (48.3)	0.2330 (37.9)	0.2250 (40.8)	0.2334 (44.3)
Matt Adams	0.3453	0.1964 (35.4)	0.2283 (36.3)	0.2369 (32.4)	0.2335 (38.3)
Rafael Devers	0.1695	0.1886 (43.3)	0.2366 (52.9)	0.2245 (46.4)	0.2364 (44.7)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Óscar Mercado	0.2121	0.1743	38.8
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.2745	0.2557	37.5
3	Nolan Arenado	0.1535	0.1405	36.8
4	David Fletcher	0.1104	0.0980	35.9
5	Eugenio Suárez	0.1888	0.2855	35.8
6	Tommy La Stella	0.1523	0.0872	34.6
7	Jeff McNeil	0.1499	0.1323	34.2
8	Kevin Pillar	0.1480	0.1380	33.9
9	Josh Reddick	0.1384	0.1200	33.6
10	Michael Brantley	0.1136	0.1036	33.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hanser Alberto	0.2156	0.0909	73.1
2	Kevin Newman	0.2213	0.1168	59.9
3	Luis Arraez	0.2237	0.0792	55.9
4	David Fletcher	0.1575	0.0980	44.2
5	Nicky Lopez	0.2237	0.1269	42.2
6	Austin Riley	0.2237	0.3636	39.1
7	Michael Chavis	0.2237	0.3325	38.4
8	Brandon Lowe	0.2313	0.3456	34.7
9	Eddie Rosario	0.1953	0.1458	34.1
10	Alex Bregman	0.1556	0.1203	30.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Benintendi	0.1545	0.2276	38.2
2	Eloy Jiménez	0.1797	0.2659	37.8
3	Brandon Lowe	0.2311	0.3456	33.8
4	Matt Chapman	0.2578	0.2194	33.1
5	Dylan Moore	0.2023	0.3298	32.8
6	Garrett Hampson	0.1600	0.2691	32.1
7	J.D. Martinez	0.2466	0.2100	31.3
8	Wilson Ramos	0.1802	0.1317	31.2
9	Hunter Dozier	0.2944	0.2526	31.0
10	Keston Hiura	0.2084	0.3075	30.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.2876	0.2194	43.5
2	Andrew Benintendi	0.1654	0.2276	40.3
3	Eric Hosmer	0.1963	0.2444	34.3
4	Eloy Jiménez	0.2029	0.2659	33.4
5	Garrett Hampson	0.1721	0.2691	32.8
6	Ben Gamel	0.2038	0.2921	32.6
7	Jason Heyward	0.1353	0.1868	32.3
8	Travis Shaw	0.2143	0.3296	32.0
9	Gordon Beckham	0.1533	0.2833	32.0
10	Daniel Vogelbach	0.2155	0.2670	30.6

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Alex Bregman	0.1725	0.1080 (39.6)	0.1079 (43.6)	0.1156 (39.8)	0.1148 (34.7)
Rhys Hoskins	0.1645	0.1192 (27.0)	0.1283 (24.6)	0.1274 (26.8)	0.1238 (23.5)
César Hernández	0.0675	0.1057 (30.2)	0.1144 (32.2)	0.1213 (35.4)	0.1210 (40.6)
Mark Canha	0.1348	0.0838 (21.8)	0.0733 (29.9)	0.0766 (29.3)	0.0744 (26.3)
Marcell Ozuna	0.1129	0.0710 (19.2)	0.0756 (19.8)	0.0768 (20.3)	0.0689 (20.1)
Marcus Semien	0.1165	0.0774 (23.9)	0.0881 (20.2)	0.0885 (21.5)	0.0842 (18.5)
Eric Hosmer	0.0600	0.0909 (25.3)	0.0911 (21.6)	0.0990 (25.5)	0.0951 (28.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yasmani Grandal	0.1065	0.1725	37.2
2	Carlos Santana	0.1078	0.1574	29.2
3	Luke Voit	0.0769	0.1392	28.2
4	Daniel Vogelbach	0.1106	0.1649	26.4
5	Jason Heyward	0.0725	0.1154	21.1
6	Justin Smoak	0.1117	0.1580	19.7
7	Starlin Castro	0.0634	0.0414	19.6
8	Charlie Blackmon	0.0870	0.0631	19.6
9	Josh Donaldson	0.1155	0.1517	19.3
10	Nicky Lopez	0.0857	0.0448	19.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Vogelbach	0.0973	0.1649	37.0
2	Yasmani Grandal	0.1151	0.1725	35.4
3	Cavan Biggio	0.0868	0.1651	33.1
4	Luke Voit	0.0847	0.1392	27.1
5	Hanser Alberto	0.0734	0.0291	25.1
6	Joey Votto	0.1632	0.1250	24.0
7	Mookie Betts	0.1026	0.1374	23.6
8	Cody Bellinger	0.1071	0.1437	23.3
9	Harold Castro	0.0813	0.0244	21.5
10	Harold Ramírez	0.0868	0.0404	21.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.1702	0.1250	27.0
2	Luke Voit	0.0883	0.1392	26.4
3	Christian Walker	0.0703	0.1111	25.1
4	Yasmani Grandal	0.1355	0.1725	23.9
5	David Fletcher	0.0487	0.0842	23.7
6	Cavan Biggio	0.1114	0.1651	23.4
7	Yordan Alvarez	0.0811	0.1409	22.4
8	Yoán Moncada	0.1115	0.0716	21.9
9	Cody Bellinger	0.1117	0.1437	21.7
10	Daniel Vogelbach	0.1286	0.1649	20.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.1766	0.1250	35.9
2	Bryce Harper	0.1842	0.1452	31.7
3	Yoán Moncada	0.1095	0.0716	25.4
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1426	0.1144	24.3
5	David Fletcher	0.0450	0.0842	20.8
6	Miguel Cabrera	0.1166	0.0874	20.1
7	Yasiel Puig	0.0963	0.0720	19.4
8	Christian Walker	0.0719	0.1111	19.2
9	Kyle Schwarber	0.1385	0.1148	19.0
10	Yordan Alvarez	0.0824	0.1409	18.9

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.0267	0.0000 (9.5)	0.0143 (6.9)	0.0150 (6.5)	0.0159 (5.6)
Anthony Rizzo	0.0440	0.0000 (20.3)	0.0267 (10.1)	0.0260 (10.6)	0.0324 (6.3)
Victor Robles	0.0405	0.0000 (18.3)	0.0163 (14.4)	0.0190 (12.8)	0.0255 (8.4)
César Puello	0.0748	0.0000 (9.4)	0.0098 (9.4)	0.0210 (7.8)	0.0306 (6.3)
Tim Locastro	0.0880	0.0000 (19.3)	0.0143 (18.2)	0.0290 (14.5)	0.0470 (9.9)
Mark Canha	0.0362	0.0000 (12.6)	0.0213 (7.0)	0.0180 (8.6)	0.0233 (5.8)
David Fletcher	0.0000	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0110 (7.8)	0.0090 (6.4)	0.0090 (6.7)
Pete Alonso	0.0303	0.0000 (13.5)	0.0109 (12.8)	0.0150 (10.0)	0.0210 (5.5)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.0273	0.0000 (10.8)	0.0137 (8.3)	0.0140 (8.2)	0.0165 (6.2)
Derek Dietrich	0.0817	0.0000 (21.7)	0.0365 (13.5)	0.0340 (14.3)	0.0431 (11.4)
Jeff McNeil	0.0370	0.0000 (14.8)	0.0152 (11.9)	0.0130 (13.2)	0.0165 (10.9)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Gordon	0.0000	0.0300	12.1
2	Starling Marte	0.0000	0.0273	9.6
3	Brian Anderson	0.0000	0.0269	8.3
4	Robinson Chirinos	0.0000	0.0297	8.2
5	Kris Bryant	0.0000	0.0237	8.1
6	Justin Turner	0.0000	0.0255	8.0
7	Kolten Wong	0.0000	0.0237	7.0
8	Chance Sisco	0.0000	0.0455	6.8
9	Todd Frazier	0.0000	0.0240	6.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Gordon	0.0189	0.0300	6.4
2	Christian Vázquez	0.0108	0.0000	6.1
3	Jake Cave	0.0084	0.0351	5.9
4	Dylan Moore	0.0109	0.0319	5.7
5	Ramón Laureano	0.0102	0.0229	5.7
6	Jesse Winker	0.0052	0.0208	5.7
7	Luis Urías	0.0127	0.0361	5.6
8	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0099	0.0029	5.4
9	Javier Báez	0.0086	0.0000	5.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Gordon	0.0170	0.0300	7.7
2	Christian Vázquez	0.0110	0.0000	6.2
3	Javier Báez	0.0100	0.0000	6.1
4	Matt Olson	0.0100	0.0219	6.1
5	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0110	0.0029	6.1
6	Jake Cave	0.0090	0.0351	5.8
7	Xander Bogaerts	0.0100	0.0029	5.6
8	Luis Urías	0.0130	0.0361	5.6
9	Dylan Moore	0.0120	0.0319	5.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Jansen	0.0274	0.0104	7.0
2	Javier Báez	0.0103	0.0000	6.5
3	Jake Cave	0.0075	0.0351	6.0
4	Matt Olson	0.0098	0.0219	5.9
5	Christian Vázquez	0.0096	0.0000	5.7
6	Rougned Odor	0.0166	0.0086	5.4
7	Xander Bogaerts	0.0092	0.0029	5.4
8	J.T. Realmuto	0.0161	0.0084	5.4
9	Nelson Cruz	0.0222	0.0134	5.3

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Eugenio Suárez	0.1250	0.0831 (26.0)	0.0678 (31.8)	0.0690 (31.8)	0.0750 (23.8)
George Springer	0.1054	0.0579 (25.0)	0.0593 (20.5)	0.0620 (19.7)	0.0574 (18.9)
Mitch Garver	0.1372	0.0553 (28.5)	0.0352 (33.3)	0.0384 (32.6)	0.0308 (33.2)
Ketel Marte	0.0660	0.0334 (18.8)	0.0254 (19.7)	0.0262 (20.0)	0.0242 (17.4)
Pete Alonso	0.1271	0.0782 (32.1)	0.0562 (42.7)	0.0763 (29.7)	0.0727 (28.0)
Christian Yelich	0.1176	0.0613 (31.2)	0.0564 (30.2)	0.0618 (27.8)	0.0619 (24.2)
Jorge Soler	0.1148	0.0839 (19.3)	0.0553 (34.2)	0.0654 (28.2)	0.0644 (24.7)
Josh Bell	0.0889	0.0504 (22.0)	0.0436 (22.1)	0.0447 (22.3)	0.0402 (21.3)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kole Calhoun	0.0419	0.0840	25.0
2	Yordan Alvarez	0.0586	0.1222	22.5
3	Mike Trout	0.0882	0.1271	21.8
4	Miguel Sanó	0.1013	0.1532	21.7
5	Daniel Vogelbach	0.0548	0.0952	21.1
6	Jose Altuve	0.0330	0.0735	20.8
7	Christin Stewart	0.0827	0.0368	20.2
8	J.D. Martinez	0.1090	0.0813	19.9
9	Brett Gardner	0.0340	0.0725	19.8
10	Yuli Gurriel	0.0275	0.0614	19.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Sanó	0.0848	0.1532	25.9
2	Nicky Lopez	0.0562	0.0060	23.9
3	Khris Davis	0.1038	0.0682	23.9
4	Danny Santana	0.0307	0.0851	23.1
5	Daniel Vogelbach	0.0476	0.0952	21.4
6	Yordan Alvarez	0.0562	0.1222	20.9
7	Kole Calhoun	0.0436	0.0840	19.7
8	Luis Arraez	0.0562	0.0133	19.1
9	Mike Trout	0.0875	0.1271	18.3
10	Alex Bregman	0.0504	0.0856	17.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Sanó	0.0913	0.1532	23.7
2	Danny Santana	0.0332	0.0851	22.5
3	Khris Davis	0.1021	0.0682	22.3
4	Yordan Alvarez	0.0556	0.1222	21.6
5	Keston Hiura	0.0279	0.0913	19.3
6	Austin Meadows	0.0423	0.0827	19.2
7	Miguel Cabrera	0.0577	0.0308	19.1
8	Mike Yastrzemski	0.0273	0.0784	17.7
9	Brett Gardner	0.0324	0.0725	17.7
10	Kole Calhoun	0.0481	0.0840	17.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Khris Davis	0.1074	0.0682	28.4
2	Tommy Pham	0.0637	0.0472	20.0
3	Rhys Hoskins	0.0859	0.0716	19.9
4	Randal Grichuk	0.0903	0.0729	19.7
5	Yolmer Sánchez	0.0255	0.0051	19.1
6	Roberto Pérez	0.0320	0.0879	18.8
7	Yasiel Puig	0.0714	0.0563	17.8
8	Miguel Cabrera	0.0490	0.0308	17.7
9	J.D. Martinez	0.0940	0.0813	17.6
10	Christin Stewart	0.0650	0.0368	17.6

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Keston Hiura	0.4021	0.3182 (31.2)	0.2982 (36.8)	0.3079 (32.8)	0.3230 (26.7)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.4098	0.3302 (31.7)	0.2982 (42.1)	0.3000 (40.8)	0.3038 (38.5)
James McCann	0.3579	0.2766 (41.4)	0.2871 (34.5)	0.2924 (31.2)	0.2978 (27.4)
Gio Urshela	0.3491	0.2861 (32.7)	0.2791 (34.1)	0.2755 (35.1)	0.2763 (33.5)
Bryan Reynolds	0.3866	0.3043 (48.0)	0.2982 (49.2)	0.3203 (36.2)	0.2893 (51.7)
Marcell Ozuna	0.2566	0.3213 (32.4)	0.3174 (32.5)	0.3175 (33.5)	0.3167 (34.4)
Tim Anderson	0.3995	0.3109 (48.8)	0.3125 (45.9)	0.3093 (46.7)	0.3155 (42.2)
Derek Dietrich	0.1750	0.3286 (45.2)	0.3193 (43.6)	0.3033 (39.2)	0.3151 (43.6)
Yoán Moncada	0.4048	0.3342 (42.6)	0.3280 (43.8)	0.3146 (50.4)	0.3264 (42.4)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Story	0.2965	0.3613	46.2
2	Danny Santana	0.2727	0.3522	43.5
3	Joey Gallo	0.2279	0.3645	42.3
4	Daniel Vogelbach	0.3116	0.2316	41.5
5	Nelson Cruz	0.2818	0.3497	38.3
6	Rafael Devers	0.2911	0.3387	37.4
7	David Dahl	0.2995	0.3828	36.7
8	Jurickson Profar	0.2908	0.2180	34.8
9	Matt Chapman	0.3259	0.2705	33.3
10	Jay Bruce	0.3029	0.2000	32.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Davis	0.2733	0.3549	37.8
2	Danny Santana	0.2848	0.3522	35.3
3	Paul DeJong	0.3107	0.2585	33.5
4	Justin Smoak	0.2901	0.2230	32.7
5	Ketel Marte	0.2924	0.3422	32.3
6	Joey Gallo	0.2627	0.3645	30.7
7	Rafael Devers	0.2971	0.3387	30.4
8	Nelson Cruz	0.2939	0.3497	29.9
9	Matt Chapman	0.3166	0.2705	29.8
10	Brandon Lowe	0.2881	0.3772	29.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	DJ LeMahieu	0.2986	0.3483	32.5
2	Daniel Vogelbach	0.2877	0.2316	31.3
3	Jurickson Profar	0.2771	0.2180	30.6
4	Justin Smoak	0.2820	0.2230	29.5
5	J.D. Davis	0.2921	0.3549	28.5
6	Harold Castro	0.2908	0.3643	27.1
7	Paul DeJong	0.2990	0.2585	26.8
8	Joey Gallo	0.2747	0.3645	26.7
9	Brandon Lowe	0.2985	0.3772	25.7
10	David Dahl	0.3210	0.3828	25.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Vogelbach	0.2885	0.2316	33.1
2	Paul DeJong	0.3054	0.2585	32.8
3	Nelson Cruz	0.2866	0.3497	31.6
4	Jurickson Profar	0.2732	0.2180	29.9
5	Justin Smoak	0.2803	0.2230	29.9
6	Jorge Soler	0.3333	0.2919	29.8
7	Orlando Arcia	0.3000	0.2513	27.9
8	Harold Castro	0.2861	0.3643	27.9
9	Rougned Odor	0.2890	0.2437	27.8
10	Brandon Belt	0.3167	0.2746	27.5

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Chavis	0.2921	0.1975 (40.5)	0.2182 (29.8)	0.2168 (30.0)	0.2078 (32.7)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3171	0.2286 (37.2)	0.2182 (38.3)	0.2232 (36.1)	0.2154 (38.3)
Carlos Santana	0.2217	0.1835 (34.2)	0.1825 (29.7)	0.1839 (28.1)	0.1823 (28.0)
Marcell Ozuna	0.1866	0.2670 (37.8)	0.2569 (36.4)	0.2481 (32.0)	0.2489 (33.5)
Tim Anderson	0.3137	0.2390 (44.7)	0.2344 (43.2)	0.2355 (42.1)	0.2413 (38.2)
Derek Dietrich	0.1125	0.2429 (36.4)	0.2319 (35.3)	0.2208 (32.2)	0.2186 (32.1)
Yoán Moncada	0.2887	0.2440 (31.4)	0.2293 (35.5)	0.2316 (33.7)	0.2404 (27.8)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Story	0.1806	0.2487	52.3
2	Danny Santana	0.1818	0.2558	43.7
3	Nolan Arenado	0.1868	0.2403	43.1
4	Daniel Vogelbach	0.2536	0.1719	39.1
5	Bryan Reynolds	0.2174	0.2717	36.0
6	Christian Walker	0.1878	0.2341	34.9
7	Roberto Pérez	0.1737	0.2369	33.6
8	Tom Murphy	0.1538	0.2564	32.1
9	Jurickson Profar	0.2192	0.1471	31.4
10	Jay Bruce	0.2215	0.1171	30.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hanser Alberto	0.2027	0.2671	37.7
2	Corey Seager	0.2546	0.1835	36.3
3	J.D. Davis	0.2035	0.2765	34.9
4	Danny Santana	0.1962	0.2558	32.5
5	Jose Iglesias	0.2016	0.2582	32.2
6	Harold Castro	0.2302	0.3123	31.8
7	Bryan Reynolds	0.2182	0.2717	31.4
8	Rougned Odor	0.2028	0.1456	30.9
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2394	0.2743	27.9
10	Kevin Newman	0.2235	0.2701	26.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.2047	0.1456	32.6
2	Jorge Alfaro	0.2459	0.3065	29.6
3	Garrett Cooper	0.2248	0.2907	29.0
4	Harold Castro	0.2377	0.3123	28.7
5	Jose Iglesias	0.2099	0.2582	27.3
6	J.D. Davis	0.2200	0.2765	27.0
7	DJ LeMahieu	0.2396	0.2770	26.5
8	Daniel Vogelbach	0.2225	0.1719	26.4
9	Ian Desmond	0.2464	0.1889	26.2
10	Josh Bell	0.2276	0.1821	26.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge Soler	0.2540	0.2000	35.7
2	Rougned Odor	0.2072	0.1456	35.0
3	Bryan Reynolds	0.2107	0.2717	34.0
4	Daniel Vogelbach	0.2276	0.1719	30.3
5	Roberto Pérez	0.1736	0.2369	29.1
6	Garrett Cooper	0.2231	0.2907	29.0
7	Mark Canha	0.1832	0.2401	29.0
8	Harold Castro	0.2389	0.3123	27.6
9	Byron Buxton	0.2308	0.1378	27.0
10	Corey Seager	0.2347	0.1835	26.9

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Scott Kingery	0.1153	0.0663 (21.3)	0.0698 (21.2)	0.0663 (22.9)	0.0679 (20.9)
Khris Davis	0.0350	0.0722 (23.1)	0.0762 (23.6)	0.0763 (23.7)	0.0741 (23.7)
Roberto Pérez	0.0361	0.0737 (19.7)	0.0711 (17.1)	0.0747 (18.7)	0.0744 (19.6)
Nick Castellanos	0.1295	0.0871 (24.0)	0.0885 (25.2)	0.0870 (26.1)	0.0898 (22.7)
Gio Urshela	0.1006	0.0595 (16.6)	0.0581 (18.7)	0.0558 (19.8)	0.0461 (23.4)
Yordan Alvarez	0.1340	0.0659 (22.8)	0.0733 (21.3)	0.0668 (23.6)	0.0706 (21.4)
Byron Buxton	0.1531	0.0762 (20.8)	0.0652 (25.0)	0.0752 (22.1)	0.0692 (23.1)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.0652	0.1170	24.6
2	James McCann	0.0426	0.0912	20.2
3	Elvis Andrus	0.0784	0.0538	20.0
4	Pablo Sandoval	0.0442	0.1173	19.8
5	Rafael Devers	0.0759	0.1082	18.3
6	Brian Anderson	0.0594	0.1006	18.2
7	Stephen Vogt	0.0616	0.1311	17.7
8	Nolan Arenado	0.0875	0.0671	17.6
9	Tim Beckham	0.0542	0.1123	17.0
10	Trey Mancini	0.0573	0.0886	17.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joc Pederson	0.0919	0.0525	21.8
2	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0810	0.0549	20.9
3	Rafael Devers	0.0767	0.1082	20.0
4	Ian Desmond	0.0570	0.1010	19.7
5	Corey Seager	0.0787	0.1170	19.1
6	Randal Grichuk	0.1000	0.0736	18.5
7	Xander Bogaerts	0.0825	0.1118	18.3
8	Manny Machado	0.0726	0.0488	17.7
9	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0850	0.0622	17.7
10	Trea Turner	0.0618	0.0946	16.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryan Reynolds	0.0633	0.1036	20.3
2	Xander Bogaerts	0.0816	0.1118	18.9
3	Corey Seager	0.0808	0.1170	17.9
4	Eduardo Escobar	0.0825	0.0603	17.8
5	Joey Gallo	0.0776	0.1402	17.6
6	Stephen Vogt	0.0658	0.1311	17.4
7	Ian Desmond	0.0619	0.1010	17.3
8	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0759	0.0549	17.3
9	Corey Dickerson	0.0791	0.1436	17.1
10	Ronald Guzmán	0.0621	0.1227	16.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Randal Grichuk	0.1062	0.0736	23.9
2	Eduardo Escobar	0.0885	0.0603	23.6
3	Joc Pederson	0.0927	0.0525	23.5
4	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0806	0.0549	22.3
5	Manny Machado	0.0735	0.0488	19.9
6	Michael Chavis	0.0952	0.0495	19.6
7	Bryan Reynolds	0.0643	0.1036	18.5
8	Ian Desmond	0.0580	0.1010	18.1
9	Mark Canha	0.0879	0.0573	17.9
10	Nolan Arenado	0.0880	0.0671	17.5

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Eduardo Escobar	0.0208	0.0122 (6.3)	0.0078 (9.6)	0.0095 (7.9)	0.0130 (6.6)
Greg Garcia	0.0176	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0046 (5.1)	0.0043 (4.9)	0.0051 (5.3)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0293	0.0127 (6.3)	0.0067 (8.6)	0.0119 (6.5)	0.0154 (5.8)
Adalberto Mondesi	0.0353	0.0134 (9.9)	0.0129 (10.2)	0.0153 (8.9)	0.0191 (7.9)
Rhys Hoskins	0.0133	0.0050 (6.1)	0.0030 (7.7)	0.0027 (7.5)	0.0055 (6.6)
Hunter Dozier	0.0282	0.0063 (13.1)	0.0119 (10.0)	0.0096 (10.9)	0.0061 (13.9)
Tommy Edman	0.0276	0.0115 (5.8)	0.0067 (7.5)	0.0085 (6.6)	0.0125 (5.8)
Phillip Ervin	0.0417	0.0000 (10.9)	0.0047 (9.8)	0.0084 (8.7)	0.0108 (8.5)
Marcus Semien	0.0134	0.0045 (6.9)	0.0050 (6.8)	0.0044 (6.7)	0.0069 (6.1)
Jeff McNeil	0.0024	0.0144 (6.5)	0.0207 (9.9)	0.0133 (6.1)	0.0172 (7.5)
Austin Meadows	0.0191	0.0079 (6.9)	0.0097 (6.0)	0.0069 (7.2)	0.0092 (6.8)
Whit Merrifield	0.0184	0.0065 (9.1)	0.0089 (7.5)	0.0066 (8.7)	0.0080 (8.9)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.0000	0.0199	10.4
2	Bryan Reynolds	0.0000	0.0112	6.3
3	Ramón Laureano	0.0122	0.0000	5.7
4	Dawel Lugo	0.0000	0.0189	5.5
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.0064	0.0191	5.5
6	Mark Canha	0.0000	0.0108	5.5
7	Ben Gamel	0.0159	0.0000	5.5
8	Ryan McMahon	0.0139	0.0034	5.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dexter Fowler	0.0156	0.0030	6.8
2	Juan Soto	0.0035	0.0131	6.8
3	Victor Robles	0.0183	0.0075	6.2
4	Tyler Flowers	0.0000	0.0191	6.1
5	Niko Goodrum	0.0071	0.0182	5.5
6	Delino DeShields	0.0035	0.0152	5.1
7	Tim Anderson	0.0104	0.0000	5.0
8	Ben Gamel	0.0147	0.0000	5.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Eaton	0.0061	0.0153	6.0
2	Mallex Smith	0.0148	0.0246	5.5
3	Tyler Flowers	0.0024	0.0191	5.2
4	Willy Adames	0.0116	0.0028	5.1
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.0071	0.0191	5.1
6	Max Kepler	0.0084	0.0000	5.0
7	Danny Santana	0.0103	0.0199	4.9
8	Tommy Pham	0.0122	0.0047	4.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ben Gamel	0.0219	0.0000	7.2
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.0050	0.0191	6.7
3	Max Kepler	0.0127	0.0000	6.6
4	Tyler Flowers	0.0000	0.0191	6.4
5	Dexter Fowler	0.0152	0.0030	6.1
6	Ramón Laureano	0.0136	0.0000	5.7
7	Christian Walker	0.0133	0.0029	5.3
8	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0139	0.0050	5.2

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Anthony Rendon	0.1811	0.1542 (22.8)	0.1377 (23.7)	0.1349 (24.0)	0.1340 (21.7)
Miguel Cabrera	0.0747	0.1304 (25.9)	0.1142 (25.4)	0.1302 (35.5)	0.1054 (24.3)
Trey Mancini	0.1561	0.1294 (23.9)	0.1113 (25.8)	0.1150 (21.7)	0.1127 (20.3)
Mitch Garver	0.1950	0.1275 (27.3)	0.1147 (26.4)	0.1106 (27.0)	0.1080 (26.4)
Marcus Semien	0.1647	0.1252 (35.8)	0.1254 (24.3)	0.1185 (27.7)	0.1217 (22.0)
Rafael Devers	0.1838	0.1384 (37.8)	0.1235 (37.6)	0.1286 (32.3)	0.1313 (27.3)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Benintendi	0.1845	0.1171	36.3
2	Tommy Pham	0.1773	0.1177	33.4
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1458	0.1776	28.8
4	C.J. Cron	0.1673	0.1022	28.3
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1636	0.1012	27.8
6	Cody Bellinger	0.1536	0.1831	25.1
7	Ketel Marte	0.1233	0.1545	24.8
8	Christin Stewart	0.1431	0.0769	24.0
9	Max Muncy	0.1398	0.1715	23.6
10	Danny Santana	0.1212	0.1585	23.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tommy Pham	0.1645	0.1177	35.0
2	Jorge Polanco	0.1098	0.1520	24.9
3	Cody Bellinger	0.1395	0.1831	24.4
4	Gleyber Torres	0.1135	0.1589	23.3
5	Jonathan Villar	0.1171	0.1555	22.6
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1321	0.0855	22.5
7	Max Kepler	0.1224	0.1644	21.0
8	Leury García	0.1102	0.1505	20.7
9	Delino DeShields	0.1457	0.1029	20.2
10	Trevor Story	0.1320	0.1692	20.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	DJ LeMahieu	0.1156	0.1664	27.3
2	Cody Bellinger	0.1338	0.1831	26.5
3	Andrew Benintendi	0.1504	0.1171	26.1
4	Bryan Reynolds	0.0963	0.1520	25.5
5	Leury García	0.1021	0.1505	24.3
6	Jon Berti	0.0889	0.1812	23.9
7	Christin Stewart	0.1245	0.0769	23.6
8	Tommy Edman	0.0929	0.1691	23.4
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1368	0.1012	23.0
10	Max Muncy	0.1243	0.1715	22.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tommy Pham	0.1566	0.1177	34.3
2	José Ramírez	0.1593	0.1255	25.7
3	Rhys Hoskins	0.1442	0.1220	25.2
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1351	0.1012	24.4
5	Andrew Benintendi	0.1429	0.1171	24.2
6	Delino DeShields	0.1483	0.1029	24.0
7	Christin Stewart	0.1199	0.0769	23.5
8	Matt Carpenter	0.1508	0.1199	21.8
9	Jorge Polanco	0.1078	0.1520	21.6
10	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1227	0.0855	21.4

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
DJ LeMahieu	0.1557	0.1160 (30.6)	0.1027 (29.8)	0.1032 (32.4)	0.0917 (34.1)
Anthony Rendon	0.1950	0.1638 (24.8)	0.1467 (26.4)	0.1357 (36.3)	0.1474 (23.0)
Travis Shaw	0.0593	0.1609 (25.5)	0.1444 (25.0)	0.1409 (22.9)	0.1518 (28.2)
Rhys Hoskins	0.1206	0.1787 (36.0)	0.1515 (27.1)	0.1548 (26.3)	0.1771 (48.4)
Yordan Alvarez	0.2114	0.1508 (25.0)	0.1226 (30.0)	0.1225 (31.7)	0.1318 (24.9)
Joey Votto	0.0773	0.1490 (39.3)	0.1263 (34.3)	0.1243 (30.4)	0.1256 (36.7)
Jorge Soler	0.1723	0.1317 (32.4)	0.1047 (40.9)	0.1266 (28.9)	0.1048 (37.7)
Josh Bell	0.1892	0.1477 (29.8)	0.1232 (35.9)	0.1252 (37.4)	0.1262 (31.2)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eduardo Escobar	0.1235	0.1688	36.6
2	Josh Phegley	0.0909	0.1813	33.3
3	Leury García	0.1212	0.0647	30.5
4	Starlin Castro	0.0894	0.1272	30.3
5	George Springer	0.1297	0.1727	27.8
6	Travis d'Arnaud	0.1176	0.1765	25.8
7	Asdrúbal Cabrera	0.1348	0.1770	25.4
8	Mitch Garver	0.1242	0.1866	25.0
9	Corey Dickerson	0.1306	0.2115	24.5
10	Kurt Suzuki	0.1338	0.2039	23.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Leury García	0.1102	0.0647	32.7
2	Eddie Rosario	0.1219	0.1847	32.7
3	Ketel Marte	0.0914	0.1465	29.9
4	Pete Alonso	0.1226	0.1732	29.9
5	Asdrúbal Cabrera	0.1162	0.1770	27.4
6	Danny Santana	0.0983	0.1585	27.0
7	Corey Dickerson	0.1080	0.2115	26.8
8	George Springer	0.1191	0.1727	25.6
9	Renato Núñez	0.1000	0.1503	25.6
10	Brett Gardner	0.0820	0.1345	24.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eduardo Escobar	0.1131	0.1688	36.8
2	George Springer	0.1179	0.1727	28.7
3	Ketel Marte	0.0987	0.1465	28.1
4	Mitch Garver	0.1098	0.1866	26.5
5	Asdrúbal Cabrera	0.1227	0.1770	26.4
6	Eddie Rosario	0.1395	0.1847	24.9
7	Josh Phegley	0.1061	0.1813	24.7
8	Yuli Gurriel	0.1275	0.1699	24.1
9	Danny Santana	0.1083	0.1585	24.1
10	Kurt Suzuki	0.1261	0.2039	23.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Leury García	0.1029	0.0647	31.1
2	Trevor Story	0.1636	0.1296	30.2
3	Khris Davis	0.1794	0.1370	29.0
4	Nick Castellanos	0.1398	0.1099	27.8
5	Mookie Betts	0.1391	0.1133	26.7
6	Eddie Rosario	0.1296	0.1847	25.5
7	Corey Dickerson	0.1103	0.2115	24.9
8	Gio Urshela	0.0923	0.1555	24.3
9	Christian Vázquez	0.0796	0.1382	24.2
10	Brett Gardner	0.0791	0.1345	23.9

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mallex Smith	0.3407	0.2303 (64.9)	0.2101 (77.4)	0.2369 (62.7)	0.2701 (47.9)
Mookie Betts	0.0792	0.1366 (37.7)	0.1419 (39.9)	0.1387 (37.1)	0.1602 (47.4)
Elvis Andrus	0.1938	0.0922 (68.5)	0.1102 (58.2)	0.0901 (71.6)	0.0956 (72.6)
Kolten Wong	0.1538	0.0656 (50.7)	0.0588 (55.6)	0.0638 (53.2)	0.0708 (53.2)
Marcell Ozuna	0.0945	0.0185 (44.0)	0.0134 (47.9)	0.0144 (47.8)	0.0127 (52.5)
Christian Yelich	0.1734	0.0939 (48.5)	0.0843 (55.3)	0.0831 (56.4)	0.1033 (48.8)
Manuel Margot	0.2020	0.1327 (32.4)	0.1092 (43.7)	0.1298 (34.9)	0.1231 (41.0)
Whit Merrifield	0.1058	0.1656 (40.9)	0.1887 (56.3)	0.1854 (53.4)	0.2083 (65.1)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.2727	0.4831	95.0
2	Luis Rengifo	0.1875	0.0196	66.5
3	José Ramírez	0.1133	0.2034	51.0
4	Kevin Kiermaier	0.1204	0.2065	43.3
5	Byron Buxton	0.1569	0.2917	41.0
6	Francisco Lindor	0.0935	0.1517	40.7
7	Jose Altuve	0.1204	0.0455	38.8
8	Nicky Lopez	0.1111	0.0119	38.2
9	Jorge Polanco	0.0769	0.0221	35.7
10	Paul DeJong	0.0156	0.0604	32.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.3200	0.4831	75.0
2	Victor Robles	0.0877	0.1918	68.0
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1053	0.1897	64.9
4	Jon Berti	0.0638	0.2152	45.2
5	Óscar Mercado	0.0529	0.1389	44.5
6	Tommy Edman	0.0529	0.1724	43.9
7	Garrett Hampson	0.0690	0.1948	43.2
8	Nick Senzel	0.0529	0.1505	43.0
9	Kevin Newman	0.0339	0.1074	42.3
10	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0529	0.1600	42.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.3478	0.4831	63.0
2	Luis Rengifo	0.1632	0.0196	55.5
3	Jorge Polanco	0.0969	0.0221	47.8
4	José Ramírez	0.1348	0.2034	40.9
5	Ian Desmond	0.1213	0.0319	39.8
6	Kevin Kiermaier	0.1318	0.2065	39.2
7	Byron Buxton	0.1670	0.2917	38.8
8	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1481	0.1897	34.7
9	Charlie Blackmon	0.0741	0.0133	34.2
10	Paul DeJong	0.0185	0.0604	32.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Rengifo	0.1888	0.0196	63.0
2	Ian Desmond	0.1333	0.0319	42.2
3	Jonathan Villar	0.2932	0.2235	39.9
4	Paul DeJong	0.0168	0.0604	38.2
5	Jose Altuve	0.1290	0.0455	38.2
6	Shin-Soo Choo	0.0390	0.0798	36.1
7	Byron Buxton	0.1848	0.2917	35.6
8	Kevin Kiermaier	0.1474	0.2065	35.1
9	Jorge Polanco	0.0840	0.0221	33.8
10	Austin Meadows	0.1531	0.0822	33.6

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Travis Shaw	0.1565	0.2733 (26.7)	0.2526 (25.9)	0.2492 (24.8)	0.2536 (28.9)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3174	0.2588 (28.5)	0.2557 (23.0)	0.2337 (31.5)	0.2215 (32.0)
Gio Urshela	0.3145	0.2623 (33.4)	0.2409 (35.1)	0.2486 (31.8)	0.2434 (29.1)
Eric Sogard	0.2904	0.2240 (37.3)	0.2377 (23.4)	0.2379 (23.7)	0.2261 (24.1)
Bryan Reynolds	0.3136	0.2500 (44.6)	0.2557 (31.8)	0.2634 (28.0)	0.2282 (41.3)
Ketel Marte	0.3286	0.2790 (42.5)	0.2579 (44.5)	0.2809 (30.6)	0.2772 (26.1)
J.D. Davis	0.3073	0.2675 (26.2)	0.2273 (36.4)	0.2409 (30.5)	0.2389 (26.5)
Tim Anderson	0.3353	0.2769 (39.6)	0.2537 (42.4)	0.2531 (43.1)	0.2520 (38.0)
Yoán Moncada	0.3151	0.2669 (37.0)	0.2380 (43.2)	0.2359 (44.8)	0.2335 (40.1)
Rafael Devers	0.3107	0.2756 (37.3)	0.2523 (41.1)	0.2701 (29.2)	0.2648 (25.3)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Newman	0.2579	0.3083	36.4
2	DJ LeMahieu	0.2928	0.3272	34.4
3	Mallex Smith	0.3053	0.2275	33.9
4	Jeff McNeil	0.2807	0.3176	31.1
5	Nolan Arenado	0.2906	0.3146	27.9
6	Daniel Vogelbach	0.2757	0.2078	27.8
7	Trevor Story	0.2701	0.2942	27.6
8	Carlos Santana	0.2601	0.2810	26.7
9	Howie Kendrick	0.2919	0.3443	26.0
10	Luis Arraez	0.2819	0.3344	25.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hanser Alberto	0.2347	0.3053	39.0
2	Kevin Newman	0.2402	0.3083	36.3
3	Cody Bellinger	0.2606	0.3047	29.2
4	Luis Arraez	0.2557	0.3344	28.9
5	Marcus Semien	0.2486	0.2846	27.1
6	Mallex Smith	0.2737	0.2275	26.1
7	Danny Santana	0.2326	0.2827	25.7
8	Hunter Dozier	0.2363	0.2792	25.3
9	Howie Kendrick	0.2796	0.3443	24.0
10	Joey Votto	0.2989	0.2610	23.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	DJ LeMahieu	0.2697	0.3272	38.3
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2575	0.3047	31.8
3	Hunter Dozier	0.2325	0.2792	27.9
4	Yordan Alvarez	0.2419	0.3131	26.6
5	Marcus Semien	0.2513	0.2846	25.6
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.2880	0.2412	25.1
7	Jeff McNeil	0.2751	0.3176	24.7
8	Rougned Odor	0.2480	0.2050	24.4
9	Howie Kendrick	0.2808	0.3443	23.9
10	Chris Owings	0.2527	0.1389	22.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.2486	0.2050	31.1
2	DJ LeMahieu	0.2736	0.3272	28.7
3	Daniel Vogelbach	0.2483	0.2078	28.1
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.2784	0.2412	25.8
5	José Ramírez	0.2930	0.2552	25.8
6	Hunter Dozier	0.2265	0.2792	25.1
7	Rhys Hoskins	0.2509	0.2263	24.3
8	Joey Votto	0.2905	0.2610	24.0
9	Derek Dietrich	0.2544	0.1873	23.6
10	Mallex Smith	0.2584	0.2275	23.1

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Alex Bregman	0.4232	0.3865 (28.5)	0.3641 (39.8)	0.3714 (36.3)	0.3672 (28.0)
Gio Urshela	0.3550	0.3000 (28.4)	0.2971 (26.9)	0.2892 (31.7)	0.2800 (28.3)
Bryan Reynolds	0.3773	0.3143 (36.9)	0.3269 (26.7)	0.3193 (32.1)	0.2890 (39.7)
Mark Canha	0.3964	0.3174 (41.6)	0.3073 (43.5)	0.3125 (42.1)	0.3093 (35.6)
Yordan Alvarez	0.4119	0.3259 (33.4)	0.3269 (30.8)	0.3073 (38.9)	0.3153 (29.9)
Tim Anderson	0.3571	0.3074 (28.2)	0.2895 (34.3)	0.2884 (36.0)	0.2839 (29.9)
Marcus Semien	0.3695	0.3377 (27.2)	0.3158 (39.0)	0.3191 (38.2)	0.3130 (30.6)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Santana	0.3399	0.3965	42.0
2	Ketel Marte	0.3367	0.3885	35.5
3	Trey Mancini	0.3210	0.3638	32.2
4	Luis Arraez	0.3184	0.3989	31.2
5	Pete Alonso	0.3185	0.3579	30.5
6	Mallex Smith	0.3580	0.2996	30.4
7	Cody Bellinger	0.3648	0.4061	30.3
8	Jeff McNeil	0.3362	0.3845	30.0
9	Kevin Newman	0.3018	0.3535	29.9
10	Yasmani Grandal	0.3393	0.3797	28.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.3424	0.4061	41.1
2	Ketel Marte	0.3225	0.3885	40.5
3	Joey Votto	0.4190	0.3569	38.7
4	Rafael Devers	0.3113	0.3609	33.8
5	J.D. Davis	0.2948	0.3687	32.8
6	Hunter Dozier	0.2929	0.3481	31.5
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.3901	0.3456	31.4
8	Trey Mancini	0.3162	0.3638	31.3
9	Christian Yelich	0.3752	0.4293	30.5
10	Yasmani Grandal	0.3313	0.3797	29.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.3432	0.4061	42.1
2	Trey Mancini	0.3169	0.3638	32.4
3	Jeff McNeil	0.3291	0.3845	31.9
4	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.2944	0.3790	31.8
5	Christian Walker	0.2985	0.3483	30.5
6	Hunter Dozier	0.2971	0.3481	30.4
7	Joey Votto	0.4074	0.3569	30.2
8	J.D. Davis	0.3031	0.3687	30.1
9	Austin Meadows	0.3150	0.3638	29.3
10	Luis Arraez	0.3234	0.3989	27.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.4211	0.3569	48.4
2	José Ramírez	0.3799	0.3266	37.3
3	Bryce Harper	0.4071	0.3724	34.2
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.3788	0.3456	33.3
5	Lorenzo Cain	0.3592	0.3248	31.1
6	Eric Hosmer	0.3374	0.3103	28.4
7	Hunter Dozier	0.2855	0.3481	27.6
8	Luis Arraez	0.3094	0.3989	27.1
9	David Fletcher	0.2935	0.3497	26.6
10	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.2922	0.3790	26.5

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Khris Davis	0.3867	0.5440 (73.4)	0.5202 (80.7)	0.5043 (70.5)	0.5160 (92.0)
George Springer	0.5908	0.4949 (64.3)	0.4560 (65.0)	0.4640 (62.3)	0.4444 (57.4)
Gio Urshela	0.5339	0.3981 (74.0)	0.3636 (72.6)	0.3773 (67.5)	0.3492 (67.4)
Mitch Garver	0.6302	0.4599 (68.2)	0.4125 (71.8)	0.4018 (76.7)	0.3708 (77.6)
Ketel Marte	0.5923	0.4583 (96.4)	0.3953 (112.5)	0.4347 (89.7)	0.4288 (75.5)
Pete Alonso	0.5829	0.4635 (96.3)	0.4432 (84.5)	0.4614 (74.0)	0.4500 (62.2)
Christian Yelich	0.6708	0.5538 (79.2)	0.5029 (87.0)	0.5183 (79.9)	0.5220 (61.2)
Yordan Alvarez	0.6550	0.4345 (88.6)	0.4432 (71.6)	0.4129 (83.9)	0.4401 (63.3)
Marcus Semien	0.5221	0.4339 (80.5)	0.4049 (74.2)	0.4122 (71.1)	0.4052 (55.0)
Jorge Soler	0.5688	0.4954 (63.1)	0.4252 (85.3)	0.4378 (78.9)	0.4235 (69.3)
Josh Bell	0.5693	0.4728 (71.2)	0.4335 (72.3)	0.4448 (67.3)	0.4324 (57.4)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.4384	0.5408	74.7
2	Eric Sogard	0.3149	0.4571	71.5
3	Cody Bellinger	0.5459	0.6290	67.9
4	DJ LeMahieu	0.4347	0.5183	67.6
5	Anthony Rendon	0.5132	0.5982	67.6
6	Bryan Reynolds	0.4063	0.5031	63.6
7	Michael Brantley	0.4229	0.5026	63.3
8	Keston Hiura	0.4127	0.5701	61.6
9	Jeff McNeil	0.4432	0.5314	61.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.5000	0.6290	73.5
2	Danny Santana	0.3767	0.5338	71.1
3	Yoán Moncada	0.4060	0.5479	69.4
4	Rafael Devers	0.4392	0.5549	68.7
5	Hunter Dozier	0.3956	0.5220	63.6
6	Joey Votto	0.4946	0.4114	61.4
7	Xander Bogaerts	0.4522	0.5554	59.6
8	Alex Bregman	0.4882	0.5921	59.4
9	Austin Meadows	0.4404	0.5585	59.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.4940	0.6290	79.5
2	DJ LeMahieu	0.3881	0.5183	75.6
3	Yoán Moncada	0.3987	0.5479	75.2
4	Hunter Dozier	0.3848	0.5220	71.8
5	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3903	0.5898	68.8
6	Austin Meadows	0.4356	0.5585	63.9
7	Anthony Rendon	0.4854	0.5982	63.3
8	Danny Santana	0.3967	0.5338	62.5
9	Eugenio Suárez	0.4643	0.5722	61.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Carpenter	0.4839	0.3918	66.5
2	Travis Shaw	0.4724	0.2696	66.4
3	Rhys Hoskins	0.5000	0.4544	62.6
4	Joey Votto	0.4674	0.4114	60.3
5	Brandon Crawford	0.4103	0.3500	57.9
6	Randal Grichuk	0.5042	0.4573	56.6
7	Bryan Reynolds	0.3564	0.5031	56.5
8	Yolmer Sánchez	0.3788	0.3206	56.3
9	Hunter Dozier	0.3828	0.5220	56.3

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Alex Cobb	60	694 (633.9)	651 (591.0)	748 (688.3)	598 (538.0)
Corey Kluber	168	844 (675.9)	736 (568.0)	823 (654.7)	796 (628.0)
Jameson Taillon	158	778 (620.1)	713 (555.0)	801 (643.1)	727 (569.0)
Luis Severino	48	623 (575.1)	730 (682.0)	691 (642.8)	774 (726.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Glenn Sparkman	1	606	605.0
2	Ervin Santana	646	64	581.9
3	Tyler Anderson	667	106	560.9
4	Michael Soroka	155	701	545.9
5	Carlos Rodón	685	158	527.1
6	John Means	122	637	515.0
7	Max Fried	189	702	513.0
8	Alex Wood	653	153	499.9
9	Carlos Carrasco	828	341	486.9
10	Dallas Keuchel	1	487	486.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Merrill Kelly	1	777	776.0
2	Yusei Kikuchi	1	721	720.0
3	Trent Thornton	1	677	676.0
4	Dakota Hudson	169	757	588.0
5	Chris Paddack	1	568	567.0
6	Sandy Alcantara	271	838	567.0
7	Sean Manaea	662	109	553.0
8	Tyler Anderson	653	106	547.0
9	Marco Estrada	633	106	527.0
10	John Means	116	637	521.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Merrill Kelly	1	777	776.0
2	John Means	41	637	596.4
3	Carlos Rodón	734	158	575.6
4	Matt Moore	606	33	573.0
5	Adrian Sampson	4	563	558.6
6	Tyler Anderson	631	106	524.9
7	Edinson Volquez	586	75	510.6
8	Brett Anderson	257	743	486.1
9	Tyler Beede	41	523	482.2
10	Logan Allen	606	127	478.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Homer Bailey	1	696	695.0
2	Chase De Jong	683	9	674.0
3	Ryan Borucki	682	40	642.0
4	Michael King	639	9	630.0
5	Enyel De Los Santos	639	46	593.0
6	Yohander Méndez	611	21	590.0
7	Andrew Moore	605	20	585.0
8	Rico Garcia	602	30	572.0
9	Andrew Suárez	717	148	569.0
10	Cody Reed	591	25	566.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Gerrit Cole	0.2459	0.1020 (50.3)	0.2904 (44.5)	0.2665 (38.7)	0.2562 (27.8)
Jack Flaherty	0.2541	0.1194 (54.6)	0.2939 (38.4)	0.2768 (38.2)	0.2748 (34.4)
Lucas Giolito	0.2754	0.1286 (41.3)	0.3279 (44.0)	0.3265 (54.9)	0.3095 (40.8)
Edwin Jackson	0.4489	0.1266 (39.3)	0.3231 (38.9)	0.3213 (33.9)	0.3079 (39.4)
Sonny Gray	0.2630	0.1095 (36.8)	0.3147 (43.6)	0.2907 (38.6)	0.2813 (29.8)
Brandon Workman	0.2141	0.1234 (32.8)	0.3051 (28.9)	0.2987 (31.9)	0.2930 (29.4)
Hyun Jin Ryu	0.2613	0.1107 (39.6)	0.3055 (39.1)	0.2777 (31.2)	0.2881 (36.5)
Zack Greinke	0.2622	0.1099 (43.1)	0.2901 (30.6)	0.2844 (39.7)	0.2701 (25.6)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.1023	0.2424	55.3
2	Jacob deGrom	0.0990	0.2488	44.7
3	Brendan McKay	0.3197	0.3313	41.9
4	Stephen Strasburg	0.1095	0.2658	41.4
5	Mike Leake	0.0915	0.3410	36.7
6	Walker Buehler	0.1113	0.2692	35.1
7	Luis Castillo	0.1131	0.2749	34.1
8	Adrian Sampson	0.1172	0.3822	33.5
9	Yusei Kikuchi	0.1158	0.3677	33.5
10	Charlie Morton	0.1051	0.2701	32.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shane Bieber	0.3214	0.2798	44.3
2	Homer Bailey	0.3513	0.3062	38.3
3	Michael Soroka	0.3151	0.2710	37.9
4	Chris Paddack	0.3197	0.2664	35.9
5	Justin Verlander	0.2748	0.2424	35.8
6	Dan Straily	0.3168	0.4639	32.4
7	Luis Castillo	0.3023	0.2749	29.1
8	Adrian Sampson	0.3209	0.3822	28.9
9	Charlie Morton	0.2961	0.2701	28.4
10	Kyle Freeland	0.3050	0.3733	27.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.2587	0.2424	36.5
2	John Means	0.3241	0.2949	35.6
3	Jake Odorizzi	0.3109	0.2870	33.4
4	Michael Soroka	0.2917	0.2710	33.3
5	Lance Lynn	0.3041	0.2938	32.5
6	Ryan Yarbrough	0.3009	0.2740	30.2
7	Stephen Strasburg	0.2746	0.2658	30.0
8	Luis Castillo	0.2859	0.2749	29.5
9	Andrew Cashner	0.3329	0.3162	27.6
10	Dan Straily	0.3208	0.4639	27.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2878	0.3677	40.5
2	John Means	0.3220	0.2949	32.4
3	Lance Lynn	0.3068	0.2938	32.2
4	Antonio Senzatela	0.2946	0.3730	31.8
5	Dan Straily	0.3146	0.4639	29.6
6	José Suarez	0.2913	0.3932	29.3
7	Mike Montgomery	0.2860	0.3794	28.0
8	Trevor Williams	0.2831	0.3496	27.2
9	Homer Bailey	0.3197	0.3062	25.9
10	Trevor Bauer	0.2622	0.3142	25.7

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Matthew Boyd	0.3020	0.2262 (56.2)	0.2109 (65.2)	0.2019 (71.2)	0.1957 (60.3)
Gerrit Cole	0.3990	0.2867 (88.0)	0.2721 (96.8)	0.2886 (82.2)	0.2759 (76.2)
Shane Bieber	0.3015	0.2212 (65.1)	0.2312 (53.2)	0.2151 (65.8)	0.1965 (64.6)
Lucas Giolito	0.3234	0.1974 (85.7)	0.1798 (95.3)	0.1775 (95.9)	0.1635 (91.7)
Lance Lynn	0.2811	0.2244 (45.7)	0.2162 (49.5)	0.2081 (55.3)	0.1900 (53.6)
Yusei Kikuchi	0.1609	0.2687 (81.0)	0.2300 (55.9)	0.2222 (51.3)	0.2093 (56.4)
Mike Clevinger	0.3387	0.2573 (38.3)	0.2475 (41.3)	0.2494 (39.7)	0.2295 (39.6)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	0.2095	0.2895	53.5
2	Luis Castillo	0.2180	0.2894	52.3
3	Josh Hader	0.3061	0.4775	48.2
4	Marco Gonzales	0.2188	0.1697	46.4
5	Adrian Houser	0.1500	0.2532	45.6
6	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2481	0.1963	42.7
7	Jordan Lyles	0.1691	0.2437	42.0
8	Rick Porcello	0.2352	0.1862	41.1
9	Drew Pomeranz	0.2076	0.3011	40.5
10	Brandon Woodruff	0.2069	0.2901	38.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	0.2132	0.2895	48.1
2	Justin Verlander	0.2892	0.3542	47.9
3	Nick Anderson	0.2300	0.4167	47.1
4	Brett Anderson	0.1759	0.1211	47.0
5	Peter Lambert	0.2300	0.1357	43.1
6	Liam Hendriks	0.2374	0.3735	42.4
7	Glenn Sparkman	0.1947	0.1337	42.1
8	Marco Gonzales	0.2097	0.1697	41.9
9	Antonio Senzatela	0.1921	0.1306	40.7
10	Josh Hader	0.3310	0.4775	39.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Pomeranz	0.1951	0.3011	43.8
2	Brandon Workman	0.2101	0.3636	41.1
3	Homer Bailey	0.1453	0.2141	41.0
4	Sonny Gray	0.2227	0.2895	40.4
5	Antonio Senzatela	0.1866	0.1306	38.3
6	Jake Odorizzi	0.2035	0.2705	37.6
7	Liam Hendriks	0.2550	0.3735	36.1
8	Luis Castillo	0.2342	0.2894	35.4
9	Brandon Woodruff	0.2097	0.2901	34.8
10	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2316	0.1963	34.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Antonio Senzatela	0.1854	0.1306	49.3
2	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2278	0.1963	46.6
3	Iván Nova	0.1684	0.1414	45.8
4	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2212	0.1882	44.7
5	Mike Fiers	0.1900	0.1671	39.8
6	Rick Porcello	0.2076	0.1862	39.4
7	Brett Anderson	0.1419	0.1211	37.6
8	Brandon Workman	0.2022	0.3636	37.6
9	Yoan López	0.2867	0.1707	35.9
10	Zach Plesac	0.2300	0.1853	35.4

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Daniel Norris	0.0623	0.0901 (19.3)	0.0888 (17.4)	0.0920 (19.1)	0.0945 (18.7)
Walker Buehler	0.0502	0.0865 (29.6)	0.0783 (22.1)	0.0787 (22.2)	0.0773 (18.8)
Matt Strahm	0.0452	0.0841 (20.8)	0.0943 (24.9)	0.0921 (23.6)	0.0853 (18.7)
Lance Lynn	0.0674	0.0878 (21.2)	0.1006 (30.7)	0.0997 (29.6)	0.0980 (25.3)
Max Fried	0.0670	0.1164 (37.4)	0.0980 (23.2)	0.1089 (30.5)	0.1238 (38.7)
Brandon Workman	0.1573	0.0829 (20.2)	0.0825 (20.8)	0.0891 (19.1)	0.0824 (21.9)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0810	0.0332	37.3
2	Zack Greinke	0.0763	0.0370	34.9
3	Madison Bumgarner	0.0841	0.0509	31.3
4	Zack Wheeler	0.0867	0.0604	24.9
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.0736	0.0438	24.6
6	Max Scherzer	0.0778	0.0476	23.6
7	Jose Quintana	0.0889	0.0617	23.1
8	Germán Márquez	0.0744	0.0485	21.4
9	Dakota Hudson	0.0823	0.1136	20.8
10	Jon Lester	0.0912	0.0681	20.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0728	0.0332	30.1
2	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0805	0.0355	26.5
3	Tyler Mahle	0.0974	0.0612	21.2
4	Jace Fry	0.0889	0.1713	20.2
5	Zack Greinke	0.0599	0.0370	20.1
6	Zack Wheeler	0.0820	0.0604	19.5
7	José Berríos	0.0814	0.0606	19.2
8	Mike Leake	0.0529	0.0323	18.8
9	Germán Márquez	0.0725	0.0485	18.7
10	Chris Paddack	0.0852	0.0546	18.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0816	0.0355	26.8
2	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0632	0.0332	22.8
3	Trent Thornton	0.0556	0.0901	22.3
4	Zack Greinke	0.0630	0.0370	22.3
5	Luis Castillo	0.0712	0.1012	22.2
6	Lucas Giolito	0.1104	0.0809	21.9
7	Mike Leake	0.0533	0.0323	18.8
8	Aaron Nola	0.0706	0.0939	18.5
9	Germán Márquez	0.0716	0.0485	17.8
10	Tyler Beede	0.1198	0.0880	17.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Nola	0.0600	0.0939	30.3
2	Trent Thornton	0.0514	0.0901	27.3
3	Luis Castillo	0.0700	0.1012	25.6
4	Brad Keller	0.0669	0.0987	23.8
5	Tyler Beede	0.1274	0.0880	19.8
6	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0544	0.1159	19.1
7	Jason Vargas	0.0704	0.0971	18.4
8	Jakob Junis	0.0531	0.0752	18.4
9	Jairo Díaz	0.1534	0.0776	18.2
10	Drew Smyly	0.0734	0.1070	18.1

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Merrill Kelly	0.0026	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0106 (7.0)	0.0106 (7.2)	0.0120 (7.2)
Trevor Bauer	0.0209	0.0000 (9.3)	0.0102 (8.9)	0.0096 (9.2)	0.0096 (10.3)
Clay Holmes	0.0375	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0132 (5.6)	0.0123 (5.7)	0.0110 (6.4)
Alec Mills	0.0461	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0110 (5.2)	0.0094 (5.4)	0.0110 (5.3)
Zack Wheeler	0.0024	0.0000 (6.8)	0.0104 (7.4)	0.0099 (7.2)	0.0114 (7.4)
Jake Diekman	0.0390	0.0000 (8.0)	0.0132 (7.0)	0.0113 (7.5)	0.0136 (7.2)
José Suarez	0.0267	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0106 (5.7)	0.0099 (5.8)	0.0117 (5.6)
Spencer Turnbull	0.0244	0.0000 (9.0)	0.0078 (10.3)	0.0113 (7.8)	0.0131 (7.5)
Dario Agrazal	0.0312	0.0000 (6.6)	0.0106 (6.3)	0.0118 (5.8)	0.0100 (6.8)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marcus Stroman	0.0000	0.0013	7.2
2	Chris Bassitt	0.0000	0.0212	6.5
3	Chris Sale	0.0000	0.0212	6.5
4	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	0.0026	6.1
5	Pablo López	0.0000	0.0235	6.0
6	Julio Teheran	0.0000	0.0186	6.0
7	Jose Quintana	0.0000	0.0027	5.9
8	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0036	5.9
9	Gerrit Cole	0.0000	0.0037	5.7
10	Andrew Miller	0.0000	0.0339	5.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.0163	0.0057	8.2
2	Max Fried	0.0157	0.0071	6.7
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.0041	0.0185	6.6
4	Jordan Lyles	0.0112	0.0017	6.3
5	Elieser Hernández	0.0070	0.0255	6.2
6	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0093	0.0026	5.8
7	Jorge López	0.0069	0.0182	5.7
8	Zach Davies	0.0103	0.0030	5.5
9	José Berríos	0.0163	0.0107	5.5
10	Aaron Brooks	0.0089	0.0207	5.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.0105	0.0017	6.0
2	Aaron Brooks	0.0073	0.0207	5.9
3	Marcus Stroman	0.0076	0.0013	5.8
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.0057	0.0185	5.7
5	Gerrit Cole	0.0090	0.0037	5.4
6	Julio Teheran	0.0103	0.0186	5.4
7	Zach Davies	0.0097	0.0030	5.3
8	Lucas Giolito	0.0120	0.0057	5.3
9	Pablo López	0.0110	0.0235	5.3
10	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0083	0.0026	5.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dallas Keuchel	0.0026	0.0185	7.8
2	Lucas Giolito	0.0165	0.0057	7.6
3	Aaron Sanchez	0.0070	0.0182	6.8
4	Jordan Lyles	0.0120	0.0017	6.2
5	Elieser Hernández	0.0085	0.0255	6.0
6	Julio Teheran	0.0110	0.0186	5.7
7	Vince Velasquez	0.0069	0.0174	5.5
8	Zach Davies	0.0109	0.0030	5.3
9	Tyler Clippard	0.0078	0.0290	5.2
10	Pablo López	0.0126	0.0235	5.1

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corbin Burnes	0.1172	0.0401 (15.6)	0.0462 (14.6)	0.0457 (14.7)	0.0423 (15.0)
Caleb Smith	0.0801	0.0446 (16.1)	0.0494 (13.9)	0.0477 (15.1)	0.0460 (14.7)
Brandon Workman	0.0074	0.0503 (15.3)	0.0493 (14.6)	0.0462 (13.7)	0.0423 (13.2)
Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0320	0.0411 (14.3)	0.0498 (19.6)	0.0422 (14.0)	0.0517 (22.4)
Zack Greinke	0.0357	0.0425 (14.1)	0.0469 (16.5)	0.0429 (13.2)	0.0481 (19.2)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Morton	0.0439	0.0312	18.4
2	Matthew Boyd	0.0487	0.0793	15.8
3	Josh Hader	0.0550	0.1181	15.2
4	Edwin Díaz	0.0473	0.1163	14.8
5	Dan Straily	0.0500	0.1229	14.7
6	David Hess	0.0552	0.1057	14.6
7	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0372	0.0786	14.5
8	Marco Gonzales	0.0411	0.0350	14.4
9	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0482	0.0426	14.0
10	CC Sabathia	0.0444	0.0846	13.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Smyly	0.0511	0.0950	17.8
2	Josh Hader	0.0488	0.1181	17.4
3	Matthew Boyd	0.0485	0.0793	17.0
4	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0358	0.0786	15.8
5	Charlie Morton	0.0415	0.0312	15.4
6	Jeff Hoffman	0.0430	0.1005	15.2
7	CC Sabathia	0.0433	0.0846	15.1
8	Edwin Díaz	0.0479	0.1163	15.0
9	David Hess	0.0557	0.1057	14.9
10	Michael Soroka	0.0395	0.0274	14.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Odorizzi	0.0589	0.0378	19.9
2	Edwin Díaz	0.0372	0.1163	17.8
3	Josh Hader	0.0516	0.1181	16.6
4	Marco Gonzales	0.0440	0.0350	15.7
5	Chris Archer	0.0392	0.0772	15.2
6	Yu Darvish	0.0463	0.0759	15.0
7	Michael Soroka	0.0394	0.0274	14.8
8	Drew Smyly	0.0590	0.0950	13.8
9	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0494	0.0426	13.7
10	José Quijada	0.0404	0.1429	13.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Vargas	0.0647	0.0461	19.4
2	Matthew Boyd	0.0459	0.0793	17.4
3	Trevor Bauer	0.0318	0.0610	16.3
4	Homer Bailey	0.0539	0.0429	15.5
5	Julio Teheran	0.0537	0.0444	15.5
6	José Quijada	0.0242	0.1429	15.5
7	Chris Sale	0.0344	0.0698	14.7
8	Jeff Hoffman	0.0427	0.1005	14.6
9	CC Sabathia	0.0427	0.0846	14.4
10	Jaime Barria	0.0415	0.0920	14.3

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corbin Burnes	0.4141	0.2953 (25.7)	0.2742 (32.4)	0.2994 (26.8)	0.2857 (29.0)
Mitch Keller	0.4748	0.2885 (40.1)	0.2962 (40.1)	0.3030 (38.9)	0.2900 (40.8)
Jeff Samardzija	0.2398	0.2858 (41.0)	0.2931 (41.0)	0.2919 (38.9)	0.2875 (38.9)
Jack Flaherty	0.2423	0.2711 (29.5)	0.2756 (27.4)	0.2896 (37.0)	0.2825 (34.9)
Jon Lester	0.3469	0.2949 (32.5)	0.2919 (40.3)	0.2960 (38.5)	0.2819 (45.8)
Justin Verlander	0.2181	0.2715 (53.2)	0.2752 (50.1)	0.2832 (55.6)	0.2643 (43.3)
Kenta Maeda	0.2434	0.2799 (28.7)	0.2979 (35.4)	0.2876 (28.0)	0.2879 (30.9)
Chris Paddack	0.2366	0.2848 (32.7)	0.2962 (35.1)	0.2917 (31.6)	0.2928 (34.7)
Yimi García	0.1712	0.2829 (29.9)	0.3010 (32.6)	0.2825 (27.6)	0.2917 (31.0)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	0.2918	0.2555	32.4
2	Max Fried	0.2821	0.3355	30.9
3	John Means	0.2941	0.2556	30.6
4	Zach Plesac	0.3057	0.2554	28.4
5	Tyler Webb	0.2991	0.1844	27.4
6	Yonny Chirinos	0.2876	0.2459	27.1
7	Zack Wheeler	0.2704	0.3113	26.0
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2922	0.2652	26.0
9	Edwin Díaz	0.2671	0.3772	25.6
10	Brandon Workman	0.2877	0.2090	25.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2646	0.3214	37.9
2	Sonny Gray	0.3000	0.2555	33.1
3	John Means	0.3026	0.2556	31.4
4	Reynaldo López	0.2753	0.3158	31.0
5	Brett Anderson	0.3148	0.2776	29.3
6	Blake Snell	0.2747	0.3431	29.2
7	Shane Bieber	0.3274	0.2964	28.6
8	Yonny Chirinos	0.2975	0.2459	28.5
9	Tommy Milone	0.3122	0.2516	28.4
10	Edwin Jackson	0.2769	0.3628	28.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	0.3054	0.2555	35.7
2	Mike Fiers	0.2920	0.2537	29.3
3	Luke Jackson	0.2975	0.3860	27.7
4	Luis Castillo	0.2959	0.2617	27.1
5	Max Scherzer	0.2825	0.3214	26.6
6	Junior Guerra	0.2942	0.2176	26.5
7	Yonny Chirinos	0.2948	0.2459	26.3
8	Dakota Hudson	0.3069	0.2738	25.5
9	Reynaldo López	0.2839	0.3158	25.3
10	Brandon Workman	0.2947	0.2090	24.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Means	0.2988	0.2556	30.7
2	Max Scherzer	0.2735	0.3214	29.7
3	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2994	0.2652	27.9
4	Jose Quintana	0.2849	0.3257	26.7
5	Cole Hamels	0.2667	0.3147	26.6
6	Blake Snell	0.2784	0.3431	26.3
7	Luke Jackson	0.2978	0.3860	26.2
8	Edwin Jackson	0.2816	0.3628	25.6
9	Caleb Smith	0.2851	0.2507	25.5
10	Max Fried	0.2943	0.3355	25.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corbin Burnes	0.3281	0.0000 (25.9)	0.2016 (30.0)	0.2994 (25.0)	0.2857 (27.2)
Tommy Milone	0.1548	0.0000 (28.6)	0.2381 (37.2)	0.2880 (25.1)	0.2994 (32.3)
Jeff Samardzija	0.1760	0.0000 (31.0)	0.2138 (27.1)	0.2919 (28.3)	0.2875 (28.3)
Luke Jackson	0.3333	0.0000 (36.4)	0.2329 (32.0)	0.2975 (35.8)	0.2978 (34.3)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.1822	0.0000 (25.4)	0.2278 (31.6)	0.2945 (24.7)	0.2994 (31.3)
Jon Lester	0.2694	0.0000 (39.3)	0.2266 (33.6)	0.2960 (39.0)	0.2819 (46.4)
Caleb Smith	0.1689	0.0000 (31.7)	0.2080 (24.5)	0.2834 (23.8)	0.2851 (27.8)
Justin Verlander	0.1425	0.0000 (63.8)	0.2058 (52.6)	0.2832 (53.3)	0.2643 (41.0)
Eduardo Rodriguez	0.2574	0.0000 (34.0)	0.2210 (32.3)	0.2911 (37.8)	0.2929 (32.4)
Yimi García	0.1027	0.0000 (28.4)	0.2233 (29.5)	0.2825 (25.2)	0.2917 (28.6)
Robert Stephenson	0.1149	0.0000 (27.0)	0.2143 (25.7)	0.2854 (24.3)	0.2939 (27.7)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brendan McKay	0.2179	0.2132	48.1
2	José Cisnero	0.2179	0.2211	34.8
3	Max Fried	0.0000	0.2632	31.8
4	Hector Noesí	0.2179	0.1795	31.8
5	Kyle Gibson	0.0000	0.2565	27.3
6	Zack Wheeler	0.0000	0.2504	27.0
7	John Means	0.0000	0.1756	27.0
8	Mitch Keller	0.0000	0.3309	25.7
9	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.1772	25.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.1829	0.2366	47.3
2	Jake Arrieta	0.2071	0.2593	31.7
3	Blake Snell	0.2000	0.2678	30.4
4	Iván Nova	0.2143	0.2492	29.1
5	Trevor Bauer	0.2238	0.1912	28.6
6	Mitch Keller	0.2179	0.3309	25.9
7	Joe Musgrove	0.2281	0.1911	25.7
8	Ian Kennedy	0.2064	0.3018	25.7
9	Chris Paddack	0.2179	0.1746	23.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Merrill Kelly	0.2179	0.2128	56.4
2	Max Fried	0.3011	0.2632	27.9
3	Zack Wheeler	0.2953	0.2504	27.2
4	Joe Musgrove	0.3038	0.1911	25.2
5	Blake Snell	0.2888	0.2678	25.0
6	Drew Pomeranz	0.2929	0.2691	24.5
7	Ian Kennedy	0.2882	0.3018	24.3
8	Mitch Keller	0.3030	0.3309	24.0
9	Sonny Gray	0.3054	0.1946	23.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Homer Bailey	0.2179	0.2431	68.5
2	Jake Arrieta	0.2754	0.2593	33.9
3	John Means	0.2988	0.1756	31.8
4	Zack Wheeler	0.2860	0.2504	31.2
5	Cole Hamels	0.2667	0.2437	31.0
6	Max Fried	0.2943	0.2632	29.6
7	Blake Snell	0.2784	0.2678	27.6
8	Trevor Bauer	0.2939	0.1912	26.8
9	Kyle Gibson	0.2927	0.2565	26.2

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Joe Musgrove	0.0976	0.0000 (18.6)	0.0643 (21.1)	0.0000 (18.6)	0.0000 (18.6)
Mike Fiers	0.0354	0.0000 (27.3)	0.0668 (26.6)	0.0000 (27.3)	0.0000 (27.3)
Homer Bailey	0.0512	0.0000 (14.3)	0.0792 (22.2)	0.0000 (14.3)	0.0717 (64.1)
Jeff Samardzija	0.0464	0.0000 (18.7)	0.0655 (17.0)	0.0000 (18.7)	0.0000 (18.7)
Wade Miley	0.0509	0.0000 (14.9)	0.0680 (15.1)	0.0000 (14.9)	0.0000 (14.9)
Michael Soroka	0.0423	0.0000 (20.6)	0.0822 (30.7)	0.0000 (20.6)	0.0000 (20.6)
Mike Minor	0.0502	0.0000 (18.5)	0.0796 (28.8)	0.0000 (18.5)	0.0000 (18.5)
Max Scherzer	0.1097	0.0000 (26.4)	0.0726 (23.0)	0.0000 (26.4)	0.0000 (26.4)
Stephen Strasburg	0.0500	0.0000 (18.2)	0.0722 (22.0)	0.0000 (18.2)	0.0000 (18.2)
Sonny Gray	0.0511	0.0000 (14.6)	0.0769 (21.0)	0.0000 (14.6)	0.0000 (14.6)
Adrian Sampson	0.0979	0.0000 (14.8)	0.0591 (19.6)	0.0000 (14.8)	0.0000 (14.8)
Wilmer Font	0.1226	0.0000 (18.2)	0.0633 (19.7)	0.0000 (18.2)	0.0000 (18.2)
Justin Anderson	0.1356	0.0000 (13.9)	0.0504 (17.6)	0.0000 (13.9)	0.0000 (13.9)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0422	0.0000 (14.4)	0.0674 (14.2)	0.0000 (14.4)	0.0000 (14.4)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brad Keller	0.0000	0.0385	23.5
2	Jack Flaherty	0.0000	0.0529	14.5
3	Clayton Kershaw	0.0000	0.0516	14.2
4	Darwinzon Hernández	0.0000	0.1667	14.0
5	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0000	0.0556	13.8
6	Nick Kingham	0.0000	0.1243	13.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shane Bieber	0.0973	0.0707	26.2
2	Brett Anderson	0.0833	0.0569	22.5
3	Kenta Maeda	0.0760	0.0556	15.2
4	David Price	0.0636	0.1000	14.9
5	Robbie Ray	0.0604	0.0840	14.7
6	Adrian Houser	0.0761	0.0484	14.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Merrill Kelly	0.0717	0.0716	55.8
2	Nick Ramirez	0.0717	0.0705	25.3
3	Brad Keller	0.0000	0.0385	23.5
4	Jack Flaherty	0.0000	0.0529	14.5
5	Clayton Kershaw	0.0000	0.0516	14.2
6	Darwinzon Hernández	0.0000	0.1667	14.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Plesac	0.0717	0.0769	31.5
2	Brad Keller	0.0000	0.0385	23.5
3	Jack Flaherty	0.0000	0.0529	14.5
4	Clayton Kershaw	0.0000	0.0516	14.2
5	Darwinzon Hernández	0.0000	0.1667	14.0
6	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0000	0.0556	13.8

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Trevor Bauer	0.0134	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0070 (6.3)	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0000 (6.2)
Charlie Morton	0.0129	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0076 (4.6)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (5.0)
Dakota Hudson	0.0000	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0090 (6.4)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (5.0)
Brad Keller	0.0203	0.0000 (9.7)	0.0059 (10.6)	0.0000 (9.7)	0.0000 (9.7)
Mike Minor	0.0000	0.0000 (5.7)	0.0088 (7.2)	0.0000 (5.7)	0.0000 (5.7)
Nick Pivetta	0.0186	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0071 (5.1)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (5.0)
Kyle Freeland	0.0213	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0077 (6.7)	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0000 (7.0)
Iván Nova	0.0000	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0084 (6.3)	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.3)
Jimmy Nelson	0.0536	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0047 (5.2)	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.9)
Justin Verlander	0.0151	0.0000 (7.2)	0.0067 (7.6)	0.0000 (7.2)	0.0000 (7.2)
Gio González	0.0248	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0022 (8.5)	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0000 (6.7)
Chase Anderson	0.0155	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0048 (6.6)	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.3)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0174	8.0
2	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0000	0.0188	6.2
3	Scott Barlow	0.0000	0.0233	5.2
4	Adrian Sampson	0.0000	0.0155	5.0
5	Martín Pérez	0.0000	0.0000	4.9
6	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0000	0.0000	4.8
7	Zach Eflin	0.0000	0.0000	4.7
8	Max Fried	0.0000	0.0000	4.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Domingo Germán	0.0125	0.0000	7.1
2	Walker Buehler	0.0031	0.0109	6.2
3	Aaron Brooks	0.0000	0.0119	6.0
4	Sonny Gray	0.0026	0.0097	5.5
5	Robbie Ray	0.0060	0.0127	5.4
6	David Phelps	0.0000	0.0341	5.1
7	Yu Darvish	0.0040	0.0100	4.8
8	Mychal Givens	0.0054	0.0226	4.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0174	8.0
2	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0000	0.0188	6.2
3	Scott Barlow	0.0000	0.0233	5.2
4	Adrian Sampson	0.0000	0.0155	5.0
5	Martín Pérez	0.0000	0.0000	4.9
6	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0000	0.0000	4.8
7	Zach Eflin	0.0000	0.0000	4.7
8	Max Fried	0.0000	0.0000	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0174	8.0
2	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0000	0.0188	6.2
3	Scott Barlow	0.0000	0.0233	5.2
4	Adrian Sampson	0.0000	0.0155	5.0
5	Martín Pérez	0.0000	0.0000	4.9
6	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0000	0.0000	4.8
7	Homer Bailey	0.0066	0.0064	4.7
8	Zach Eflin	0.0000	0.0000	4.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edwin Jackson	0.2411	0.0000 (82.4)	0.1228 (36.7)	0.1388 (31.3)	0.1248 (36.5)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Glenn Sparkman	0.0000	0.1584	98.5
2	Tommy Milone	0.0000	0.1347	62.9
3	Shaun Anderson	0.0000	0.1429	62.7
4	Ross Detwiler	0.0000	0.1714	55.3
5	Dan Straily	0.0000	0.2246	54.0
6	Zach Plesac	0.0000	0.1095	53.9
7	Dallas Keuchel	0.0000	0.1027	52.0
8	Dillon Peters	0.0000	0.1529	51.3
9	Griffin Canning	0.0000	0.1198	47.6
10	Asher Wojciechowski	0.0000	0.1274	47.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.1397	0.0979	35.9
2	Kyle Freeland	0.0964	0.1797	35.1
3	Sonny Gray	0.1235	0.0833	34.9
4	Michael Soroka	0.1196	0.0799	34.3
5	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.1028	0.0733	27.9
6	Jack Flaherty	0.1073	0.0803	27.9
7	Homer Bailey	0.1486	0.1207	25.8
8	Gerrit Cole	0.1032	0.0808	25.8
9	Shane Bieber	0.1206	0.1001	25.4
10	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1020	0.1686	25.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.1407	0.0979	36.6
2	Michael Soroka	0.1163	0.0799	31.9
3	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.1068	0.0733	30.8
4	Jake Odorizzi	0.1338	0.0988	29.0
5	John Means	0.1423	0.1068	28.4
6	Mike Minor	0.1233	0.0997	28.3
7	Sonny Gray	0.1119	0.0833	26.6
8	Jack Flaherty	0.1052	0.0803	26.2
9	Zack Greinke	0.1134	0.0901	26.2
10	Lance Lynn	0.1219	0.1017	25.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.1090	0.0733	31.4
2	Lucas Giolito	0.1305	0.0979	28.4
3	Chris Sale	0.0772	0.1307	28.0
4	Mike Minor	0.1243	0.0997	28.0
5	John Means	0.1422	0.1068	27.5
6	Trevor Bauer	0.0918	0.1295	27.4
7	Sonny Gray	0.1141	0.0833	27.2
8	Yusei Kikuchi	0.1086	0.1512	25.1
9	Corbin Burnes	0.1068	0.2213	25.1
10	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1346	0.1081	24.3

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Lucas Giolito	0.0950	0.1086 (20.5)	0.1322 (32.1)	0.1318 (31.8)	0.1223 (23.6)
Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0650	0.0915 (30.4)	0.0899 (24.1)	0.0979 (29.9)	0.1011 (30.6)
Edwin Jackson	0.2143	0.1089 (30.2)	0.1118 (31.6)	0.1305 (25.3)	0.1173 (30.5)
Sonny Gray	0.0791	0.1027 (27.7)	0.1134 (30.2)	0.1022 (22.3)	0.1062 (23.6)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.1215	0.0962	35.2
2	Dakota Hudson	0.1152	0.0859	34.0
3	Michael Soroka	0.1051	0.0742	32.5
4	Gerrit Cole	0.0886	0.0722	26.0
5	Zack Greinke	0.0973	0.0840	23.4
6	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1096	0.1706	22.9
7	Jack Flaherty	0.0918	0.0777	22.8
8	Dan Straily	0.1089	0.2203	22.7
9	Justin Verlander	0.0861	0.0756	22.0
10	Lance Lynn	0.1065	0.0971	21.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Freeland	0.0911	0.1649	30.9
2	Gerrit Cole	0.0979	0.0722	27.8
3	Shane Bieber	0.1146	0.0908	27.7
4	Michael Soroka	0.1043	0.0742	27.0
5	Marcus Stroman	0.1105	0.0853	26.0
6	Jack Flaherty	0.1022	0.0777	25.4
7	Dan Straily	0.1081	0.2203	24.5
8	Jeff Samardzija	0.1194	0.0959	23.6
9	Brett Anderson	0.1247	0.1023	22.9
10	Corbin Burnes	0.1005	0.2043	22.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Means	0.1342	0.0973	28.8
2	Michael Soroka	0.1069	0.0742	28.8
3	Jake Odorizzi	0.1263	0.0942	26.7
4	Gerrit Cole	0.0950	0.0722	25.5
5	Dakota Hudson	0.1099	0.0859	24.6
6	Mike Minor	0.1155	0.0962	24.0
7	Marcus Stroman	0.1074	0.0853	23.7
8	Zack Greinke	0.1045	0.0840	23.5
9	Julio Teheran	0.1207	0.0981	23.3
10	Frankie Montas	0.1195	0.0711	22.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Means	0.1329	0.0973	26.6
2	Chris Sale	0.0718	0.1176	24.3
3	Antonio Senzatela	0.1126	0.1598	23.9
4	Corbin Burnes	0.1000	0.2043	23.0
5	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1250	0.0997	22.4
6	Mike Minor	0.1156	0.0962	22.1
7	Noah Syndergaard	0.0810	0.1139	22.1
8	José Suarez	0.1057	0.1707	22.0
9	Trevor Bauer	0.0863	0.1164	21.7
10	Kyle Freeland	0.1133	0.1649	21.5

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dakota Hudson	0.4848	0.3077 (171.2)	0.1304 (234.8)	0.1899 (240.2)	0.2500 (194.7)
Gerrit Cole	0.6061	0.5000 (126.6)	0.2927 (219.9)	0.4405 (153.5)	0.4194 (170.8)
Lucas Giolito	0.4828	0.3214 (148.2)	0.2143 (158.1)	0.2628 (170.8)	0.3000 (144.6)
Max Fried	0.5152	0.0714 (345.8)	0.1111 (252.6)	0.1656 (261.0)	0.2414 (207.9)
Lance Lynn	0.4848	0.3548 (156.6)	0.2250 (188.7)	0.3327 (152.6)	0.3571 (131.3)
Eduardo Rodriguez	0.5588	0.4138 (166.6)	0.2432 (233.1)	0.3967 (158.4)	0.3448 (203.1)
Domingo Germán	0.6667	0.2308 (288.0)	0.0909 (315.8)	0.1731 (306.4)	0.2000 (290.5)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dallas Keuchel	0.0004	0.4211	228.7
2	John Means	0.1111	0.3871	207.0
3	Zach Plesac	0.0003	0.3810	204.0
4	Zack Greinke	0.3750	0.5455	177.7
5	Alex Young	0.0002	0.4118	160.7
6	Mike Minor	0.3043	0.4375	157.1
7	Chris Sale	0.5313	0.2400	148.3
8	Homer Bailey	0.2667	0.4194	140.3
9	Yusei Kikuchi	0.4231	0.1875	134.6
10	Merrill Kelly	0.2857	0.4063	131.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.3250	0.6176	210.5
2	Jordan Lyles	0.0769	0.4286	184.2
3	Luis Castillo	0.1951	0.4688	179.2
4	Walker Buehler	0.1795	0.4667	179.1
5	Mike Minor	0.1875	0.4375	177.6
6	Michael Soroka	0.1563	0.4483	173.7
7	John Means	0.0769	0.3871	169.4
8	Jake Odorizzi	0.2000	0.5000	168.3
9	Homer Bailey	0.1389	0.4194	164.5
10	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.2121	0.4828	163.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2006	0.4516	203.6
2	Merrill Kelly	0.2061	0.4063	172.8
3	Zack Greinke	0.3569	0.5455	170.8
4	Jordan Lyles	0.1706	0.4286	167.9
5	Chris Sale	0.5215	0.2400	158.6
6	Chris Bassitt	0.1334	0.3571	150.6
7	Justin Verlander	0.4634	0.6176	149.5
8	Marco Gonzales	0.3291	0.4706	141.8
9	Frankie Montas	0.2314	0.5625	139.2
10	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1693	0.3929	138.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.1026	0.4286	208.7
2	Brandon Woodruff	0.1875	0.5000	165.1
3	Homer Bailey	0.2061	0.4194	164.0
4	Chris Sale	0.5172	0.2400	156.0
5	Jake Odorizzi	0.3000	0.5000	146.3
6	Yu Darvish	0.4091	0.1935	141.2
7	Mike Clevinger	0.3750	0.6190	133.0
8	Frankie Montas	0.2581	0.5625	128.8
9	Marco Gonzales	0.3462	0.4706	127.2
10	Brett Anderson	0.2727	0.4194	125.6

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Spencer Turnbull	0.5667	0.4286 (130.7)	0.1481 (244.6)	0.1952 (262.6)	0.2800 (201.9)
Chris Sale	0.4400	0.2500 (153.7)	0.1714 (136.4)	0.2061 (160.8)	0.1724 (176.7)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Glenn Sparkman	0.0005	0.3548	251.8
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.0004	0.4211	234.7
3	Tommy Milone	0.0006	0.4348	224.4
4	Michael Soroka	0.5000	0.1379	210.9
5	Edwin Jackson	0.0005	0.5556	207.1
6	John Means	0.1111	0.3548	194.2
7	Asher Wojciechowski	0.0006	0.4706	191.8
8	Zach Plesac	0.0005	0.2857	164.6
9	Gabriel Ynoa	0.0000	0.2778	162.7
10	Zack Greinke	0.4063	0.1515	156.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brad Keller	0.1429	0.5000	220.8
2	Miles Mikolas	0.1190	0.4375	208.4
3	Sandy Alcantara	0.1481	0.4375	204.2
4	Aaron Sanchez	0.1818	0.5185	176.1
5	Reynaldo López	0.2143	0.4545	157.4
6	Merrill Kelly	0.2004	0.4375	148.7
7	John Means	0.0769	0.3548	147.9
8	Jakob Junis	0.2195	0.4516	143.7
9	Trevor Bauer	0.1795	0.3824	143.2
10	Jordan Zimmermann	0.2500	0.5652	135.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Merrill Kelly	0.2004	0.4375	206.6
2	Daniel Norris	0.1524	0.4063	172.4
3	Trent Thornton	0.0570	0.2813	171.4
4	Mike Fiers	0.3738	0.1212	168.7
5	Zack Greinke	0.3649	0.1515	149.5
6	Glenn Sparkman	0.1384	0.3548	148.6
7	Andrew Cashner	0.4477	0.1905	145.3
8	Asher Wojciechowski	0.1091	0.4706	140.9
9	Gabriel Ynoa	0.0536	0.2778	121.5
10	Michael Soroka	0.3323	0.1379	116.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brad Keller	0.2093	0.5000	221.1
2	Aaron Sanchez	0.2500	0.5185	175.2
3	Sandy Alcantara	0.2500	0.4375	174.8
4	Antonio Senzatela	0.2000	0.4400	152.0
5	Reynaldo López	0.2903	0.4545	149.9
6	Trevor Bauer	0.2414	0.3824	147.7
7	Miles Mikolas	0.2759	0.4375	139.6
8	Jordan Zimmermann	0.3333	0.5652	127.5
9	Andrew Cashner	0.4000	0.1905	119.8
10	Mike Fiers	0.2963	0.1212	116.1

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Liam Hendriks	0.3333	0.0000 (111.5)	0.0294 (107.1)	0.0000 (109.2)	0.0000 (105.9)
Luke Jackson	0.2571	0.0000 (81.8)	0.0303 (77.3)	0.0000 (79.6)	0.0000 (76.5)
Héctor Neris	0.4118	0.0357 (104.1)	0.1778 (69.5)	0.0000 (112.0)	0.0000 (109.3)
Hansel Robles	0.3239	0.0000 (92.4)	0.0238 (90.2)	0.0000 (90.4)	0.0000 (87.6)
Carlos Martinez	0.5000	0.0000 (100.5)	0.0571 (92.3)	0.0000 (99.1)	0.0000 (97.1)
Roenis Elías	0.2917	0.0000 (63.6)	0.0370 (59.0)	0.0000 (62.0)	0.0000 (59.9)
Brandon Workman	0.2192	0.0000 (63.4)	0.0294 (59.6)	0.0000 (61.4)	0.0000 (58.6)
Taylor Rogers	0.5000	0.0678 (120.9)	0.0185 (139.0)	0.0289 (129.7)	0.0243 (128.2)
Emilio Pagán	0.3030	0.0000 (81.6)	0.0250 (79.2)	0.0000 (79.7)	0.0000 (77.1)
Ian Kennedy	0.4762	0.0000 (127.4)	0.0294 (123.8)	0.0000 (125.5)	0.0000 (122.8)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor May	0.4259	0.0308	104.4
2	Matt Barnes	0.3788	0.0571	90.9
3	Ryne Stanek	0.2857	0.0159	87.4
4	José Leclerc	0.4833	0.2000	83.9
5	Blake Treinen	0.5139	0.2807	61.3
6	Wade Davis	0.5873	0.3000	58.6
7	Edwin Díaz	0.6250	0.3939	58.0
8	Craig Kimbrel	0.0018	0.5652	54.3
9	Kirby Yates	0.4648	0.6833	53.8
10	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.0811	52.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Hader	0.1163	0.6066	147.1
2	Kirby Yates	0.1020	0.6833	145.8
3	Will Smith	0.1351	0.5397	108.8
4	Archie Bradley	0.0426	0.2727	78.9
5	Brad Hand	0.2642	0.5667	77.7
6	Jeurys Familia	0.2708	0.0000	69.1
7	Fernando Rodney	0.3469	0.0364	61.3
8	Aroldis Chapman	0.3953	0.6167	56.4
9	Raisel Iglesias	0.3191	0.5000	55.7
10	Felipe Vázquez	0.2830	0.5000	55.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Brasier	0.5388	0.1129	103.7
2	Josh Hader	0.2800	0.6066	93.1
3	Blake Parker	0.4807	0.1667	81.2
4	Mychal Givens	0.4522	0.1897	69.4
5	Will Smith	0.2731	0.5397	67.4
6	Kirby Yates	0.4371	0.6833	58.7
7	Craig Kimbrel	0.0000	0.5652	53.8
8	José Alvarado	0.5429	0.2000	50.7
9	Hunter Strickland	0.5376	0.0714	49.4
10	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.0811	47.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Swarzak	0.7259	0.0678	157.4
2	Ryan Brasier	0.6036	0.1129	121.7
3	Alex Colomé	0.0260	0.4839	110.4
4	Josh Hader	0.2407	0.6066	101.6
5	Andrew Miller	0.4713	0.0822	95.2
6	Blake Parker	0.5029	0.1667	89.4
7	Mychal Givens	0.4360	0.1897	67.8
8	Will Smith	0.3122	0.5397	54.8
9	Craig Kimbrel	0.0000	0.5652	52.9
10	Joakim Soria	0.1745	0.0141	48.6

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Craig Stammen	0.4079	0.2200 (77.4)	0.2138 (65.8)	0.0000 (117.9)
Aaron Bummer	0.4655	0.1250 (99.8)	0.0365 (112.4)	0.0000 (106.2)
Drew Pomeranz	0.2609	0.0645 (107.8)	0.0000 (118.7)	0.0000 (91.3)
Tommy Kahnle	0.3750	0.1563 (64.3)	0.1423 (57.7)	0.0000 (78.1)
Ryan Pressly	0.5636	0.1887 (87.7)	0.2223 (72.0)	0.0000 (106.2)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dakota Hudson	0.2174	0.0000	133.9
2	Mike Minor	0.1458	0.0000	90.9
3	Zack Britton	0.1111	0.4394	90.4
4	Junior Guerra	0.0769	0.2778	83.0
5	John Gant	0.0541	0.2969	76.2
6	Sean Newcomb	0.0714	0.2909	76.2
7	Seth Lugo	0.1538	0.3443	72.5
8	John Means	0.1538	0.0000	72.2
9	Spencer Turnbull	0.1481	0.0000	70.6
10	Yusmeiro Petit	0.1765	0.3625	69.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trent Thornton	0.2278	0.0000	154.2
2	Steven Brault	0.2573	0.0000	129.9
3	Chase Anderson	0.1852	0.0000	109.6
4	Sean Newcomb	0.0000	0.2909	85.3
5	Evan Marshall	0.0000	0.3455	72.2
6	Génesis Cabrera	0.8487	0.1538	68.8
7	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.1081	67.5
8	Wilmer Font	0.2289	0.0417	66.6
9	Hansel Robles	0.2572	0.0282	64.8
10	Wander Suero	0.0336	0.2436	62.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Diekman	0.0000	0.4079	98.0
2	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0000	0.3625	93.1
3	Ty Buttrey	0.0000	0.3611	93.0
4	Zack Britton	0.0000	0.4394	92.9
5	Adam Ottavino	0.0000	0.3836	91.5
6	Seth Lugo	0.0000	0.3443	89.2
7	Matt Barnes	0.0000	0.3714	88.7
8	Homer Bailey	0.0602	0.0000	83.8
9	Tony Watson	0.0000	0.4167	82.3
10	Pedro Báez	0.0000	0.3521	80.6

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Austen Williams	162.0000	3.7540 (1103.0)	4.4702 (1099.6)	4.0660 (1102.7)	4.7762 (1099.4)
Ty Blach	12.0000	4.2864 (978.0)	4.3712 (998.2)	4.0925 (1043.2)	4.5466 (1012.3)
Lucas Giolito	3.4132	4.2711 (1082.5)	5.1946 (1571.2)	5.3201 (1628.3)	5.0272 (1258.1)
Edwin Jackson	9.5764	4.3400 (1531.7)	4.3058 (1620.6)	5.2318 (1324.4)	4.7514 (1563.9)
Sonny Gray	2.8745	4.0200 (1290.7)	4.4143 (1406.9)	3.9366 (1037.1)	4.1396 (1016.4)
Hyun Jin Ryu	2.3157	3.5076 (1351.7)	3.3720 (1087.1)	3.7172 (1304.5)	3.8864 (1258.9)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	4.7273	3.5856	1570.1
2	Michael Soroka	4.1092	2.6794	1477.3
3	Dakota Hudson	4.5947	3.3492	1455.7
4	Zack Greinke	3.7409	2.9329	1203.4
5	Gerrit Cole	3.2910	2.5008	1199.3
6	Dan Straily	4.2800	9.8182	1147.1
7	Jack Flaherty	3.4897	2.7504	1093.8
8	Lance Lynn	4.1890	3.6720	1045.3
9	Justin Verlander	3.1081	2.5830	1018.8
10	Dylan Covey	3.7466	7.9773	994.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shane Bieber	4.3829	3.2753	1335.7
2	Kyle Freeland	3.4927	6.7284	1318.9
3	Gerrit Cole	3.6399	2.5008	1296.1
4	Michael Soroka	4.0316	2.6794	1261.5
5	Dan Straily	4.1117	9.8182	1241.2
6	Jack Flaherty	3.8298	2.7504	1178.6
7	Marcus Stroman	4.2241	3.2224	1121.5
8	Antonio Senzatela	4.4026	6.7139	1084.8
9	Corbin Burnes	3.7916	8.8163	1075.7
10	Jeff Samardzija	4.5177	3.5239	1066.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Means	5.3054	3.6000	1342.8
2	Michael Soroka	4.1249	2.6794	1295.6
3	Jake Odorizzi	4.9809	3.5094	1233.2
4	Zack Greinke	3.9864	2.9329	1179.5
5	Gerrit Cole	3.5231	2.5008	1164.2
6	Mike Minor	4.4448	3.5856	1089.1
7	Dakota Hudson	4.3582	3.3492	1068.6
8	Julio Teheran	4.8203	3.8130	1063.2
9	Lance Lynn	4.4691	3.6720	1049.9
10	Marcus Stroman	4.1685	3.2224	1044.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Means	5.4000	3.6000	1255.3
2	Antonio Senzatela	4.4672	6.7139	1208.3
3	Corbin Burnes	3.9237	8.8163	1109.7
4	Dan Straily	5.0418	9.8182	1087.0
5	José Suarez	4.1777	7.1111	1036.1
6	Chris Sale	2.6209	4.3982	983.3
7	Wade Davis	3.7185	8.6484	980.4
8	Jordan Zimmermann	4.8316	6.9107	961.9
9	Kyle Freeland	4.5416	6.7284	953.7
10	Aaron Sanchez	4.1702	5.8934	939.4

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Gerrit Cole	0.8948	1.1294 (234.2)	1.1856 (274.9)	1.1465 (224.5)	1.1277 (156.8)
John Means	1.1355	1.3571 (174.4)	1.3284 (152.0)	1.4142 (192.2)	1.4581 (179.5)
Jack Flaherty	0.9677	1.2257 (239.4)	1.2057 (219.0)	1.2346 (223.8)	1.2130 (157.8)
Lucas Giolito	1.0642	1.3715 (253.5)	1.3878 (260.4)	1.5407 (352.2)	1.4937 (274.0)
Edwin Jackson	2.0246	1.4266 (183.4)	1.3508 (211.0)	1.4919 (171.3)	1.4749 (198.5)
Lance Lynn	1.2192	1.3703 (177.9)	1.3813 (181.9)	1.4323 (206.6)	1.5000 (209.9)
Justin Verlander	0.8027	1.0132 (222.4)	1.0670 (262.6)	1.0685 (244.6)	1.0231 (152.0)
Ryan Yarbrough	0.9953	1.2835 (191.6)	1.2977 (196.0)	1.3609 (218.8)	1.3301 (165.4)
Hyun Jin Ryu	1.0073	1.2590 (219.7)	1.2400 (201.3)	1.2209 (171.1)	1.2500 (145.9)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Greinke	1.2717	0.9824	276.5
2	Sonny Gray	1.3475	1.0837	223.7
3	Jeff Samardzija	1.3475	1.1085	215.4
4	Michael Soroka	1.3445	1.1107	200.5
5	Yusei Kikuchi	1.1963	1.5155	192.5
6	Stephen Strasburg	1.2036	1.0383	182.9
7	Shane Bieber	1.2147	1.0544	182.5
8	Kyle Hendricks	1.3122	1.1299	171.1
9	Madison Bumgarner	1.2768	1.1268	170.6
10	Walker Buehler	1.2123	1.0420	163.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shane Bieber	1.3266	1.0544	273.1
2	Chris Paddack	1.3497	0.9810	235.4
3	Sonny Gray	1.3690	1.0837	234.4
4	Antonio Senzatela	1.3358	1.7487	213.6
5	Michael Soroka	1.3439	1.1107	195.5
6	Homer Bailey	1.5480	1.3163	193.1
7	Zack Greinke	1.1432	0.9824	167.3
8	Taylor Hearn	1.3497	21.0000	156.8
9	Dan Straily	1.2908	1.9930	154.9
10	Tommy Milone	1.4127	1.1194	153.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Greinke	1.2604	0.9824	243.8
2	Sonny Gray	1.3468	1.0837	202.6
3	Antonio Senzatela	1.4429	1.7487	164.6
4	Yusmeiro Petit	1.3110	0.8072	162.3
5	Sandy Alcantara	1.4854	1.3176	159.9
6	Michael Soroka	1.3132	1.1107	158.1
7	Taylor Hearn	1.4888	21.0000	155.9
8	Jeff Samardzija	1.2960	1.1085	155.8
9	Andrew Cashner	1.5585	1.3467	149.4
10	Jesse Biddle	1.2969	2.2857	146.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Antonio Senzatela	1.3723	1.7487	242.9
2	Jon Lester	1.2944	1.4971	186.1
3	Taylor Hearn	1.5839	21.0000	155.7
4	Jeurys Familia	1.2239	1.7333	150.8
5	Yusei Kikuchi	1.3489	1.5155	149.5
6	Sandy Alcantara	1.5352	1.3176	148.1
7	Jakob Junis	1.2753	1.4259	147.6
8	Aaron Nola	1.1354	1.2652	145.4
9	Dan Straily	1.4300	1.9930	142.5
10	Iván Nova	1.3235	1.4545	138.6