2019 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Jed Lowrie 8
384
(376.0)
594
(586.0)
566
(557.6)
566
(558.0)
Giancarlo Stanton 72
624
(552.0)
620
(548.0)
601
(529.2)
649
(577.0)
Miguel Andujar 49
510
(461.0)
519
(470.0)
557
(508.2)
618
(569.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 35 546 511.0
2 Cedric Mullins 575 74 501.0
3 Danny Santana 33 511 478.0
4 Gio Urshela 1 476 475.0
5 Leury García 165 618 453.0
6 Hanser Alberto 98 550 452.0
7 Óscar Mercado 33 482 449.0
8 Eric Sogard 1 442 441.0
9 Daniel Palka 534 93 441.0
10 Cavan Biggio 1 430 429.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Alonso 1 693 692.0
2 Bryan Reynolds 1 546 545.0
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1 514 513.0
4 Eloy Jiménez 1 504 503.0
5 Óscar Mercado 1 482 481.0
6 Harold Ramírez 1 446 445.0
7 José Pirela 469 24 445.0
8 Scooter Gennett 569 139 430.0
9 Cavan Biggio 1 430 429.0
10 Matt Kemp 491 62 429.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 7 546 539.3
2 Danny Santana 1 511 510.0
3 Gio Urshela 1 476 475.0
4 Mark Trumbo 503 31 472.4
5 Zack Cozart 575 107 467.5
6 Leury García 157 618 460.7
7 Brian Goodwin 1 458 457.0
8 Christian Walker 151 603 451.8
9 Harold Ramírez 1 446 445.0
10 Eric Sogard 1 442 441.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cedric Mullins 630 74 556.0
2 Erick Mejia 577 27 550.0
3 Frank Schwindel 552 15 537.0
4 Abiatal Avelino 523 8 515.0
5 Jake Noll 527 13 514.0
6 Chris Shaw 533 20 513.0
7 Magneuris Sierra 549 42 507.0
8 Bobby Bradley 552 49 503.0
9 Lane Thomas 545 44 501.0
10 Ian Miller 514 17 497.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Christian Yelich 0.4485
0.3973
(32.6)
0.3685
(44.6)
0.3772
(35.6)
0.3777
(33.9)
Marcus Semien 0.3734
0.3291
(37.0)
0.3074
(47.0)
0.3101
(39.9)
0.3054
(41.7)
Yordan Alvarez 0.4349
0.3236
(43.0)
0.3254
(39.3)
0.3042
(44.5)
0.3181
(38.6)
Gio Urshela 0.3697
0.2970
(37.1)
0.2824
(40.1)
0.2820
(37.0)
0.2692
(42.0)
Pete Alonso 0.3868
0.3293
(43.4)
0.3254
(40.4)
0.3277
(34.0)
0.3277
(32.4)
Ketel Marte 0.4056
0.3359
(47.0)
0.3072
(59.9)
0.3301
(41.2)
0.3249
(43.0)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Khris Davis 0.3682 0.2912 38.3
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.3083 0.3710 37.0
3 Mark Canha 0.3181 0.3862 36.4
4 Jeff McNeil 0.3310 0.3855 33.8
5 DJ LeMahieu 0.3288 0.3742 33.1
6 Cody Bellinger 0.3791 0.4230 32.4
7 Keston Hiura 0.3015 0.3887 32.1
8 Kevin Newman 0.2848 0.3395 31.8
9 Eric Sogard 0.2764 0.3414 31.0
10 Trey Mancini 0.3349 0.3742 30.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.3516 0.4230 45.2
2 Rafael Devers 0.3162 0.3795 42.3
3 Alex Bregman 0.3591 0.4192 39.4
4 Jorge Soler 0.3180 0.3781 38.7
5 Hunter Dozier 0.2927 0.3610 38.2
6 J.D. Davis 0.2891 0.3748 37.4
7 Yoán Moncada 0.3099 0.3799 37.3
8 Mark Canha 0.3085 0.3862 37.1
9 Joey Votto 0.3886 0.3327 35.8
10 Austin Meadows 0.3196 0.3828 35.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.3496 0.4230 41.9
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.2905 0.3992 36.7
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.3094 0.3742 35.9
4 Hunter Dozier 0.2903 0.3610 35.6
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.2984 0.3710 34.2
6 Austin Meadows 0.3154 0.3828 34.0
7 Yoán Moncada 0.3094 0.3799 33.8
8 Khris Davis 0.3439 0.2912 33.4
9 Mark Canha 0.3091 0.3862 33.4
10 Tim Anderson 0.2891 0.3631 33.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.2776 0.3710 44.3
2 Joey Votto 0.3832 0.3327 38.2
3 Hunter Dozier 0.2849 0.3610 37.4
4 Khris Davis 0.3484 0.2912 37.0
5 Austin Meadows 0.3097 0.3828 36.0
6 Mitch Garver 0.2923 0.4044 35.9
7 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.2964 0.3992 33.7
8 DJ LeMahieu 0.3106 0.3742 33.7
9 Tim Anderson 0.2877 0.3631 32.7
10 Yoán Moncada 0.3106 0.3799 31.8

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Rougned Odor 0.3064
0.1806
(48.3)
0.2330
(36.7)
0.2250
(39.6)
0.2334
(39.2)
Alex Gordon 0.1580
0.1870
(45.3)
0.2367
(56.3)
0.2419
(61.5)
0.2381
(54.1)
Marcus Semien 0.1365
0.1631
(51.6)
0.2068
(60.1)
0.1966
(54.8)
0.2059
(55.9)
Matt Adams 0.3453
0.1964
(35.4)
0.2283
(35.6)
0.2369
(31.7)
0.2335
(35.4)
César Hernández 0.1499
0.1675
(40.1)
0.2026
(41.9)
0.2038
(44.7)
0.2037
(39.5)
Rafael Devers 0.1695
0.1886
(43.2)
0.2366
(54.3)
0.2245
(47.9)
0.2364
(50.8)
Chris Owings 0.3980
0.1843
(33.5)
0.2203
(32.8)
0.2118
(33.9)
0.2311
(31.6)
Tommy Pham 0.1881
0.2074
(40.4)
0.2449
(43.8)
0.2627
(57.5)
0.2774
(61.9)
Cody Bellinger 0.1634
0.2080
(57.6)
0.2449
(60.6)
0.2309
(53.4)
0.2388
(53.4)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wil Myers 0.2168 0.3429 40.9
2 Óscar Mercado 0.2121 0.1743 38.7
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.2745 0.2557 37.4
4 Nolan Arenado 0.1535 0.1405 36.8
5 David Fletcher 0.1104 0.0980 35.9
6 Eugenio Suárez 0.1888 0.2855 35.9
7 Tommy La Stella 0.1523 0.0872 34.5
8 Jeff McNeil 0.1499 0.1323 34.1
9 Kevin Pillar 0.1480 0.1380 33.9
10 Josh Reddick 0.1384 0.1200 33.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hanser Alberto 0.2156 0.0909 74.2
2 Kevin Newman 0.2213 0.1168 60.9
3 Luis Arraez 0.2237 0.0792 56.6
4 David Fletcher 0.1575 0.0980 45.5
5 Nicky Lopez 0.2237 0.1269 43.0
6 Austin Riley 0.2237 0.3636 38.5
7 Michael Chavis 0.2237 0.3325 37.6
8 Wil Myers 0.2569 0.3429 37.1
9 Eddie Rosario 0.1953 0.1458 35.3
10 Brandon Lowe 0.2313 0.3456 34.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Benintendi 0.1545 0.2276 36.9
2 Eloy Jiménez 0.1797 0.2659 36.8
3 Matt Chapman 0.2578 0.2194 34.6
4 Brandon Lowe 0.2311 0.3456 33.1
5 J.D. Martinez 0.2466 0.2100 32.7
6 Wilson Ramos 0.1802 0.1317 32.4
7 Hunter Dozier 0.2944 0.2526 32.3
8 Dylan Moore 0.2023 0.3298 32.2
9 Eddie Rosario 0.1863 0.1458 31.7
10 Garrett Hampson 0.1600 0.2691 31.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Chapman 0.2876 0.2194 49.4
2 Paul DeJong 0.2736 0.2244 36.2
3 Andrew Benintendi 0.1654 0.2276 34.9
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.3055 0.2557 33.7
5 Trey Mancini 0.2524 0.2106 32.0
6 J.D. Martinez 0.2534 0.2100 32.0
7 Eddie Rosario 0.1944 0.1458 31.9
8 Brandon Belt 0.2521 0.2062 31.6
9 Justin Smoak 0.2697 0.2120 31.6
10 Jorge Soler 0.3031 0.2622 31.5

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Mark Canha 0.1348
0.0838
(21.1)
0.0733
(30.5)
0.0766
(27.9)
0.0744
(28.3)
Cavan Biggio 0.1651
0.1136
(18.5)
0.0868
(33.6)
0.1114
(22.2)
0.1170
(19.2)
Marcell Ozuna 0.1129
0.0710
(18.4)
0.0756
(20.4)
0.0768
(18.7)
0.0689
(22.3)
Eric Hosmer 0.0600
0.0909
(26.3)
0.0911
(20.8)
0.0990
(27.4)
0.0951
(25.7)
Rhys Hoskins 0.1645
0.1192
(26.0)
0.1283
(25.4)
0.1274
(24.7)
0.1238
(26.3)
Marcus Semien 0.1165
0.0774
(22.9)
0.0881
(21.1)
0.0885
(19.4)
0.0842
(21.5)
Luke Voit 0.1392
0.0769
(27.5)
0.0847
(27.7)
0.0883
(24.9)
0.0973
(19.6)
César Hernández 0.0675
0.1057
(31.1)
0.1144
(31.4)
0.1213
(37.3)
0.1210
(38.0)
Alex Bregman 0.1725
0.1080
(38.7)
0.1079
(44.4)
0.1156
(37.8)
0.1148
(37.5)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yasmani Grandal 0.1065 0.1725 36.4
2 Carlos Santana 0.1078 0.1574 28.2
3 Daniel Vogelbach 0.1106 0.1649 25.6
4 Starlin Castro 0.0634 0.0414 20.6
5 Charlie Blackmon 0.0870 0.0631 20.5
6 Jason Heyward 0.0725 0.1154 20.3
7 Nicky Lopez 0.0857 0.0448 19.8
8 Eddie Rosario 0.0617 0.0373 19.4
9 Justin Smoak 0.1117 0.1580 19.0
10 Josh Donaldson 0.1155 0.1517 18.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Vogelbach 0.0973 0.1649 37.6
2 Yasmani Grandal 0.1151 0.1725 36.2
3 Mookie Betts 0.1026 0.1374 24.5
4 Hanser Alberto 0.0734 0.0291 24.4
5 Cody Bellinger 0.1071 0.1437 24.1
6 Joey Votto 0.1632 0.1250 23.3
7 Harold Castro 0.0813 0.0244 21.1
8 Harold Ramírez 0.0868 0.0404 20.8
9 Yordan Alvarez 0.0868 0.1409 19.9
10 Carson Kelly 0.0769 0.1315 19.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.1702 0.1250 28.7
2 Yoán Moncada 0.1115 0.0716 23.5
3 Christian Walker 0.0703 0.1111 23.4
4 Bryce Harper 0.1757 0.1452 22.2
5 Yasmani Grandal 0.1355 0.1725 22.1
6 David Fletcher 0.0487 0.0842 21.9
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.0811 0.1409 21.3
8 Cody Bellinger 0.1117 0.1437 19.8
9 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1410 0.1144 19.6
10 Daniel Vogelbach 0.1286 0.1649 19.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.1766 0.1250 33.4
2 Bryce Harper 0.1842 0.1452 29.0
3 David Fletcher 0.0450 0.0842 23.4
4 Yoán Moncada 0.1095 0.0716 23.1
5 Christian Walker 0.0719 0.1111 21.6
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1426 0.1144 21.6
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.0824 0.1409 20.4
8 Yan Gomes 0.0512 0.1061 18.5
9 Miguel Cabrera 0.1166 0.0874 17.9
10 Harrison Bader 0.0669 0.1133 17.4

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Mark Canha 0.0362
0.0000
(12.6)
0.0213
(7.1)
0.0180
(8.6)
0.0233
(5.9)
Derek Dietrich 0.0817
0.0000
(21.7)
0.0365
(13.6)
0.0340
(14.3)
0.0431
(11.5)
Mike Trout 0.0267
0.0000
(9.5)
0.0143
(7.0)
0.0150
(6.5)
0.0159
(5.8)
Tim Locastro 0.0880
0.0000
(19.3)
0.0143
(18.2)
0.0290
(14.5)
0.0470
(10.0)
Anthony Rizzo 0.0440
0.0000
(20.3)
0.0267
(10.2)
0.0260
(10.5)
0.0324
(6.4)
Victor Robles 0.0405
0.0000
(18.3)
0.0163
(14.5)
0.0190
(12.7)
0.0255
(8.6)
Jeff McNeil 0.0370
0.0000
(14.8)
0.0152
(11.9)
0.0130
(13.1)
0.0165
(11.0)
David Fletcher 0.0000
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0110
(7.7)
0.0090
(6.5)
0.0090
(6.6)
César Puello 0.0748
0.0000
(9.4)
0.0098
(9.5)
0.0210
(7.8)
0.0306
(6.3)
Shin-Soo Choo 0.0273
0.0000
(10.8)
0.0137
(8.5)
0.0140
(8.2)
0.0165
(6.4)
Pete Alonso 0.0303
0.0000
(13.5)
0.0109
(13.0)
0.0150
(10.0)
0.0210
(5.7)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Gordon 0.0000 0.0300 12.1
2 Starling Marte 0.0000 0.0273 9.6
3 Brian Anderson 0.0000 0.0269 8.4
4 Robinson Chirinos 0.0000 0.0297 8.3
5 Kris Bryant 0.0000 0.0237 8.1
6 Justin Turner 0.0000 0.0255 8.0
7 Kolten Wong 0.0000 0.0237 7.0
8 Chance Sisco 0.0000 0.0455 6.8
9 Todd Frazier 0.0000 0.0240 6.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Gordon 0.0189 0.0300 6.6
2 Christian Vázquez 0.0108 0.0000 6.0
3 Jake Cave 0.0084 0.0351 5.9
4 Ramón Laureano 0.0102 0.0229 5.8
5 Jesse Winker 0.0052 0.0208 5.7
6 Dylan Moore 0.0109 0.0319 5.7
7 Luis Urías 0.0127 0.0361 5.7
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0099 0.0029 5.2
9 Javier Báez 0.0086 0.0000 5.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Gordon 0.0170 0.0300 7.7
2 Christian Vázquez 0.0110 0.0000 6.2
3 Javier Báez 0.0100 0.0000 6.1
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0110 0.0029 6.1
5 Matt Olson 0.0100 0.0219 6.0
6 Jake Cave 0.0090 0.0351 5.7
7 Xander Bogaerts 0.0100 0.0029 5.6
8 Luis Urías 0.0130 0.0361 5.5
9 Dylan Moore 0.0120 0.0319 5.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Danny Jansen 0.0274 0.0104 7.0
2 Javier Báez 0.0103 0.0000 6.4
3 Matt Olson 0.0098 0.0219 6.0
4 Jake Cave 0.0075 0.0351 6.0
5 Christian Vázquez 0.0096 0.0000 5.6
6 Rougned Odor 0.0166 0.0086 5.3
7 J.T. Realmuto 0.0161 0.0084 5.2
8 Xander Bogaerts 0.0092 0.0029 5.2
9 Tyler Flowers 0.0350 0.0194 5.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Khris Davis 0.0682
0.0966
(17.8)
0.1038
(23.0)
0.1021
(24.1)
0.1074
(26.7)
George Springer 0.1054
0.0579
(23.7)
0.0593
(21.4)
0.0620
(17.9)
0.0574
(20.6)
Eugenio Suárez 0.1250
0.0831
(24.4)
0.0678
(32.8)
0.0690
(29.6)
0.0750
(25.8)
Mitch Garver 0.1372
0.0553
(27.6)
0.0352
(33.9)
0.0384
(31.4)
0.0308
(34.3)
Josh Bell 0.0889
0.0504
(20.6)
0.0436
(23.1)
0.0447
(20.2)
0.0402
(23.2)
Pete Alonso 0.1271
0.0782
(30.5)
0.0562
(43.8)
0.0763
(27.4)
0.0727
(30.1)
Christian Yelich 0.1176
0.0613
(29.8)
0.0564
(31.1)
0.0618
(25.9)
0.0619
(25.9)
Jorge Soler 0.1148
0.0839
(17.7)
0.0553
(35.2)
0.0654
(25.9)
0.0644
(26.8)
Yordan Alvarez 0.1222
0.0586
(21.6)
0.0562
(21.5)
0.0556
(20.4)
0.0625
(18.0)
Ketel Marte 0.0660
0.0334
(17.4)
0.0254
(20.7)
0.0262
(17.9)
0.0242
(19.4)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kole Calhoun 0.0419 0.0840 23.5
2 J.D. Martinez 0.1090 0.0813 21.4
3 Christin Stewart 0.0827 0.0368 21.2
4 Miguel Sanó 0.1013 0.1532 20.6
5 Mike Trout 0.0882 0.1271 20.4
6 Daniel Vogelbach 0.0548 0.0952 19.8
7 Jose Altuve 0.0330 0.0735 19.5
8 Brett Gardner 0.0340 0.0725 18.5
9 Miguel Cabrera 0.0584 0.0308 17.9
10 Yuli Gurriel 0.0275 0.0614 17.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Sanó 0.0848 0.1532 26.6
2 Danny Santana 0.0307 0.0851 23.9
3 Nicky Lopez 0.0562 0.0060 23.3
4 Daniel Vogelbach 0.0476 0.0952 22.3
5 Kole Calhoun 0.0436 0.0840 20.7
6 Mike Trout 0.0875 0.1271 19.2
7 Alex Bregman 0.0504 0.0856 19.0
8 Roberto Pérez 0.0390 0.0879 18.5
9 Luis Arraez 0.0562 0.0133 18.5
10 Aristides Aquino 0.0426 0.1293 17.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Sanó 0.0913 0.1532 22.2
2 Miguel Cabrera 0.0577 0.0308 21.0
3 Danny Santana 0.0332 0.0851 20.8
4 Rhys Hoskins 0.0883 0.0716 19.7
5 Keston Hiura 0.0279 0.0913 18.2
6 Yolmer Sánchez 0.0266 0.0051 18.2
7 Austin Meadows 0.0423 0.0827 17.2
8 Christin Stewart 0.0653 0.0368 16.6
9 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0273 0.0784 16.4
10 Brett Gardner 0.0324 0.0725 15.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Roberto Pérez 0.0320 0.0879 20.2
2 Tommy Pham 0.0637 0.0472 18.0
3 Randal Grichuk 0.0903 0.0729 17.8
4 Rhys Hoskins 0.0859 0.0716 17.8
5 Yolmer Sánchez 0.0255 0.0051 17.4
6 Brett Gardner 0.0303 0.0725 17.2
7 Kole Calhoun 0.0459 0.0840 17.1
8 Willson Contreras 0.0401 0.0923 16.9
9 Nelson Cruz 0.0822 0.1254 16.8
10 Keston Hiura 0.0326 0.0913 16.6

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Marcell Ozuna 0.2566
0.3213
(33.4)
0.3174
(31.9)
0.3175
(33.9)
0.3167
(32.9)
Yoán Moncada 0.4048
0.3342
(41.6)
0.3280
(44.5)
0.3146
(49.9)
0.3264
(44.0)
Bryan Reynolds 0.3866
0.3043
(47.0)
0.2982
(49.8)
0.3203
(35.7)
0.2893
(53.3)
James McCann 0.3579
0.2766
(40.5)
0.2871
(35.0)
0.2924
(30.8)
0.2978
(28.8)
Gio Urshela 0.3491
0.2861
(31.8)
0.2791
(34.7)
0.2755
(34.7)
0.2763
(34.8)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.4098
0.3302
(31.0)
0.2982
(42.5)
0.3000
(40.5)
0.3038
(39.5)
Joey Gallo 0.3645
0.2279
(41.7)
0.2627
(31.0)
0.2747
(26.4)
0.2732
(27.2)
Derek Dietrich 0.1750
0.3286
(45.8)
0.3193
(43.3)
0.3033
(39.5)
0.3151
(42.8)
Tim Anderson 0.3995
0.3109
(47.8)
0.3125
(46.5)
0.3093
(46.3)
0.3155
(43.6)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Story 0.2965 0.3613 45.0
2 Danny Santana 0.2727 0.3522 42.5
3 Daniel Vogelbach 0.3116 0.2316 42.5
4 Nelson Cruz 0.2818 0.3497 37.3
5 Rafael Devers 0.2911 0.3387 36.0
6 David Dahl 0.2995 0.3828 36.0
7 Jurickson Profar 0.2908 0.2180 35.8
8 Matt Chapman 0.3259 0.2705 34.6
9 Jay Bruce 0.3029 0.2000 33.0
10 Mallex Smith 0.3602 0.3005 31.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.D. Davis 0.2733 0.3549 38.3
2 Keston Hiura 0.2982 0.4021 37.1
3 Danny Santana 0.2848 0.3522 35.8
4 Ketel Marte 0.2924 0.3422 33.0
5 Paul DeJong 0.3107 0.2585 32.8
6 Justin Smoak 0.2901 0.2230 32.2
7 Rafael Devers 0.2971 0.3387 31.1
8 Nelson Cruz 0.2939 0.3497 30.5
9 Brandon Lowe 0.2881 0.3772 30.1
10 Victor Reyes 0.2857 0.3839 29.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Keston Hiura 0.3079 0.4021 32.5
2 DJ LeMahieu 0.2986 0.3483 32.0
3 Daniel Vogelbach 0.2877 0.2316 31.8
4 Jurickson Profar 0.2771 0.2180 31.0
5 Justin Smoak 0.2820 0.2230 29.9
6 J.D. Davis 0.2921 0.3549 28.1
7 Paul DeJong 0.2990 0.2585 27.4
8 Harold Castro 0.2908 0.3643 26.8
9 Brandon Lowe 0.2985 0.3772 25.5
10 Orlando Arcia 0.2971 0.2513 25.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nelson Cruz 0.2866 0.3497 33.0
2 Daniel Vogelbach 0.2885 0.2316 31.5
3 Paul DeJong 0.3054 0.2585 30.9
4 Harold Castro 0.2861 0.3643 29.0
5 Justin Smoak 0.2803 0.2230 28.5
6 Jurickson Profar 0.2732 0.2180 28.4
7 Jorge Soler 0.3333 0.2919 27.9
8 Keston Hiura 0.3230 0.4021 27.6
9 Austin Meadows 0.2844 0.3306 27.5
10 Donovan Solano 0.2908 0.4085 26.9

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Marcell Ozuna 0.1866
0.2670
(38.5)
0.2569
(36.4)
0.2481
(32.0)
0.2489
(32.9)
Michael Chavis 0.2921
0.1975
(40.0)
0.2182
(29.7)
0.2168
(30.0)
0.2078
(33.1)
Carlos Santana 0.2217
0.1835
(33.2)
0.1825
(29.6)
0.1839
(28.2)
0.1823
(28.7)
Yoán Moncada 0.2887
0.2440
(30.7)
0.2293
(35.4)
0.2316
(33.7)
0.2404
(28.4)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3171
0.2286
(36.7)
0.2182
(38.3)
0.2232
(36.1)
0.2154
(38.7)
Derek Dietrich 0.1125
0.2429
(36.8)
0.2319
(35.3)
0.2208
(32.1)
0.2186
(31.7)
Tim Anderson 0.3137
0.2390
(44.0)
0.2344
(43.1)
0.2355
(42.2)
0.2413
(38.7)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Story 0.1806 0.2487 51.4
2 Danny Santana 0.1818 0.2558 43.0
3 Nolan Arenado 0.1868 0.2403 42.2
4 Daniel Vogelbach 0.2536 0.1719 39.9
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.2174 0.2717 35.2
6 Christian Walker 0.1878 0.2341 34.1
7 Roberto Pérez 0.1737 0.2369 33.0
8 Jurickson Profar 0.2192 0.1471 32.1
9 Tom Murphy 0.1538 0.2564 31.7
10 Jay Bruce 0.2215 0.1171 31.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hanser Alberto 0.2027 0.2671 37.6
2 Corey Seager 0.2546 0.1835 36.3
3 J.D. Davis 0.2035 0.2765 34.8
4 Danny Santana 0.1962 0.2558 32.5
5 Jose Iglesias 0.2016 0.2582 32.1
6 Harold Castro 0.2302 0.3123 31.7
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.2182 0.2717 31.4
8 Rougned Odor 0.2028 0.1456 31.0
9 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.2394 0.2743 27.8
10 Kevin Newman 0.2235 0.2701 26.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rougned Odor 0.2047 0.1456 32.5
2 Jorge Alfaro 0.2459 0.3065 29.7
3 Garrett Cooper 0.2248 0.2907 29.1
4 Harold Castro 0.2377 0.3123 28.7
5 Jose Iglesias 0.2099 0.2582 27.3
6 J.D. Davis 0.2200 0.2765 27.1
7 DJ LeMahieu 0.2396 0.2770 26.6
8 Daniel Vogelbach 0.2225 0.1719 26.4
9 Ian Desmond 0.2464 0.1889 26.1
10 Josh Bell 0.2276 0.1821 26.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jorge Soler 0.2540 0.2000 35.0
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.2107 0.2717 34.6
3 Rougned Odor 0.2072 0.1456 34.4
4 Daniel Vogelbach 0.2276 0.1719 29.7
5 Roberto Pérez 0.1736 0.2369 29.5
6 Mark Canha 0.1832 0.2401 29.5
7 Garrett Cooper 0.2231 0.2907 29.5
8 Harold Castro 0.2389 0.3123 27.9
9 Hanser Alberto 0.2201 0.2671 27.2
10 Byron Buxton 0.2308 0.1378 26.7

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Khris Davis 0.0350
0.0722
(23.3)
0.0762
(23.0)
0.0763
(24.1)
0.0741
(22.7)
Scott Kingery 0.1153
0.0663
(21.2)
0.0698
(21.8)
0.0663
(22.5)
0.0679
(21.9)
Roberto Pérez 0.0361
0.0737
(19.8)
0.0711
(16.5)
0.0747
(19.1)
0.0744
(18.8)
Byron Buxton 0.1531
0.0762
(20.7)
0.0652
(25.4)
0.0752
(21.8)
0.0692
(23.7)
Yordan Alvarez 0.1340
0.0659
(22.7)
0.0733
(21.7)
0.0668
(23.3)
0.0706
(22.1)
Nick Castellanos 0.1295
0.0871
(23.8)
0.0885
(26.0)
0.0870
(25.5)
0.0898
(23.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Seager 0.0652 0.1170 24.5
2 Elvis Andrus 0.0784 0.0538 20.2
3 James McCann 0.0426 0.0912 20.0
4 Pablo Sandoval 0.0442 0.1173 19.7
5 Rafael Devers 0.0759 0.1082 18.0
6 Brian Anderson 0.0594 0.1006 18.0
7 Nolan Arenado 0.0875 0.0671 17.8
8 Stephen Vogt 0.0616 0.1311 17.6
9 Eduardo Escobar 0.0780 0.0603 17.0
10 Tim Beckham 0.0542 0.1123 16.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joc Pederson 0.0919 0.0525 21.2
2 Rafael Devers 0.0767 0.1082 20.8
3 Ian Desmond 0.0570 0.1010 20.3
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0810 0.0549 20.0
5 Corey Seager 0.0787 0.1170 19.7
6 Gio Urshela 0.0581 0.1006 19.3
7 Xander Bogaerts 0.0825 0.1118 19.2
8 Randal Grichuk 0.1000 0.0736 17.8
9 Trea Turner 0.0618 0.0946 17.6
10 James McCann 0.0528 0.0912 17.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.0633 0.1036 19.8
2 Gio Urshela 0.0558 0.1006 19.4
3 Eduardo Escobar 0.0825 0.0603 18.4
4 Xander Bogaerts 0.0816 0.1118 18.3
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0759 0.0549 17.9
6 Corey Seager 0.0808 0.1170 17.4
7 Joey Gallo 0.0776 0.1402 17.4
8 Randal Grichuk 0.0971 0.0736 17.3
9 Stephen Vogt 0.0658 0.1311 17.2
10 Ian Desmond 0.0619 0.1010 16.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gio Urshela 0.0461 0.1006 24.2
2 Randal Grichuk 0.1062 0.0736 22.7
3 Joc Pederson 0.0927 0.0525 22.5
4 Eduardo Escobar 0.0885 0.0603 22.3
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0806 0.0549 20.9
6 Bryan Reynolds 0.0643 0.1036 19.5
7 Ian Desmond 0.0580 0.1010 19.0
8 Michael Chavis 0.0952 0.0495 18.8
9 Manny Machado 0.0735 0.0488 18.7
10 Jeff McNeil 0.0559 0.0920 18.4

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Whit Merrifield 0.0184
0.0065
(8.9)
0.0089
(7.5)
0.0066
(8.6)
0.0080
(8.8)
Austin Meadows 0.0191
0.0079
(6.7)
0.0097
(6.0)
0.0069
(7.2)
0.0092
(6.8)
Rhys Hoskins 0.0133
0.0050
(5.9)
0.0030
(7.7)
0.0027
(7.4)
0.0055
(6.6)
Marcus Semien 0.0134
0.0045
(6.7)
0.0050
(6.8)
0.0044
(6.6)
0.0069
(6.0)
Eduardo Escobar 0.0208
0.0122
(6.1)
0.0078
(9.6)
0.0095
(7.9)
0.0130
(6.5)
Jeff McNeil 0.0024
0.0144
(6.7)
0.0207
(9.9)
0.0133
(6.2)
0.0172
(7.5)
Greg Garcia 0.0176
0.0000
(6.6)
0.0046
(5.1)
0.0043
(4.9)
0.0051
(5.2)
Phillip Ervin 0.0417
0.0000
(10.9)
0.0047
(9.8)
0.0084
(8.6)
0.0108
(8.4)
Tommy Edman 0.0276
0.0115
(5.7)
0.0067
(7.5)
0.0085
(6.6)
0.0125
(5.8)
Hunter Dozier 0.0282
0.0063
(13.0)
0.0119
(10.0)
0.0096
(10.9)
0.0061
(13.9)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0293
0.0127
(6.2)
0.0067
(8.7)
0.0119
(6.4)
0.0154
(5.7)
Adalberto Mondesi 0.0353
0.0134
(9.8)
0.0129
(10.2)
0.0153
(8.8)
0.0191
(7.9)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Danny Santana 0.0000 0.0199 10.3
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.0000 0.0112 6.2
3 Ramón Laureano 0.0122 0.0000 5.8
4 Ryan McMahon 0.0139 0.0034 5.6
5 Ben Gamel 0.0159 0.0000 5.6
6 Dawel Lugo 0.0000 0.0189 5.5
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.0064 0.0191 5.4
8 Mark Canha 0.0000 0.0108 5.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dexter Fowler 0.0156 0.0030 6.8
2 Juan Soto 0.0035 0.0131 6.8
3 Victor Robles 0.0183 0.0075 6.2
4 Tyler Flowers 0.0000 0.0191 6.1
5 Niko Goodrum 0.0071 0.0182 5.5
6 Delino DeShields 0.0035 0.0152 5.1
7 Tim Anderson 0.0104 0.0000 5.0
8 Ben Gamel 0.0147 0.0000 5.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Eaton 0.0061 0.0153 6.0
2 Mallex Smith 0.0148 0.0246 5.5
3 Willy Adames 0.0116 0.0028 5.2
4 Tyler Flowers 0.0024 0.0191 5.2
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.0071 0.0191 5.1
6 Max Kepler 0.0084 0.0000 5.0
7 Tommy Pham 0.0122 0.0047 4.9
8 Danny Santana 0.0103 0.0199 4.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ben Gamel 0.0219 0.0000 7.2
2 Max Kepler 0.0127 0.0000 6.6
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.0050 0.0191 6.6
4 Tyler Flowers 0.0000 0.0191 6.4
5 Dexter Fowler 0.0152 0.0030 6.1
6 Ramón Laureano 0.0136 0.0000 5.8
7 Christian Walker 0.0133 0.0029 5.3
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0139 0.0050 5.3

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Mitch Garver 0.1950
0.1275
(26.6)
0.1147
(27.1)
0.1106
(26.0)
0.1080
(27.8)
Marcus Semien 0.1647
0.1252
(34.3)
0.1254
(25.7)
0.1185
(25.6)
0.1217
(25.0)
Miguel Cabrera 0.0747
0.1304
(27.0)
0.1142
(24.3)
0.1302
(37.0)
0.1054
(22.1)
Rafael Devers 0.1838
0.1384
(36.4)
0.1235
(39.0)
0.1286
(30.4)
0.1313
(30.1)
Trey Mancini 0.1561
0.1294
(22.5)
0.1113
(27.2)
0.1150
(19.8)
0.1127
(23.0)
Anthony Rendon 0.1811
0.1542
(21.6)
0.1377
(24.9)
0.1349
(22.2)
0.1340
(24.3)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Benintendi 0.1845 0.1171 37.5
2 Tommy Pham 0.1773 0.1177 34.7
3 C.J. Cron 0.1673 0.1022 29.2
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1636 0.1012 28.7
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1458 0.1776 27.4
6 Christin Stewart 0.1431 0.0769 24.8
7 Cody Bellinger 0.1536 0.1831 23.8
8 Ketel Marte 0.1233 0.1545 23.6
9 Max Muncy 0.1398 0.1715 22.5
10 Danny Santana 0.1212 0.1585 22.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tommy Pham 0.1645 0.1177 33.7
2 Jorge Polanco 0.1098 0.1520 26.3
3 Cody Bellinger 0.1395 0.1831 25.6
4 Gleyber Torres 0.1135 0.1589 24.5
5 Jonathan Villar 0.1171 0.1555 24.0
6 Max Kepler 0.1224 0.1644 22.2
7 Leury García 0.1102 0.1505 21.9
8 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.1321 0.0855 21.7
9 Trevor Story 0.1320 0.1692 21.3
10 Alex Bregman 0.1413 0.1768 21.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Benintendi 0.1504 0.1171 27.8
2 DJ LeMahieu 0.1156 0.1664 25.5
3 Christin Stewart 0.1245 0.0769 24.7
4 Cody Bellinger 0.1338 0.1831 24.7
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1368 0.1012 24.5
6 Bryan Reynolds 0.0963 0.1520 23.9
7 Jon Berti 0.0889 0.1812 23.1
8 Leury García 0.1021 0.1505 22.5
9 Tommy Edman 0.0929 0.1691 22.4
10 Rhys Hoskins 0.1398 0.1220 21.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tommy Pham 0.1566 0.1177 31.7
2 Jorge Polanco 0.1078 0.1520 24.4
3 José Ramírez 0.1593 0.1255 23.5
4 Leury García 0.1029 0.1505 23.5
5 Jonathan Villar 0.1133 0.1555 23.3
6 Delino DeShields 0.1483 0.1029 22.4
7 Rhys Hoskins 0.1442 0.1220 22.4
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1351 0.1012 22.3
9 Gio Urshela 0.0973 0.1534 22.2
10 Christin Stewart 0.1199 0.0769 21.9

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Joey Votto 0.0773
0.1490
(40.5)
0.1263
(33.3)
0.1243
(32.3)
0.1256
(33.4)
Josh Bell 0.1892
0.1477
(28.6)
0.1232
(36.9)
0.1252
(35.5)
0.1262
(34.6)
Rhys Hoskins 0.1206
0.1787
(37.4)
0.1515
(25.9)
0.1548
(28.4)
0.1771
(44.5)
DJ LeMahieu 0.1557
0.1160
(29.3)
0.1027
(30.9)
0.1032
(30.4)
0.0917
(37.7)
Anthony Rendon 0.1950
0.1638
(23.5)
0.1467
(27.5)
0.1357
(34.4)
0.1474
(26.6)
Jorge Soler 0.1723
0.1317
(31.0)
0.1047
(42.0)
0.1266
(26.8)
0.1048
(41.4)
Yordan Alvarez 0.2114
0.1508
(24.2)
0.1226
(30.6)
0.1225
(30.5)
0.1318
(27.0)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eduardo Escobar 0.1235 0.1688 35.2
2 Josh Phegley 0.0909 0.1813 32.6
3 Leury García 0.1212 0.0647 31.8
4 Starlin Castro 0.0894 0.1272 29.0
5 George Springer 0.1297 0.1727 26.7
6 Travis Shaw 0.1609 0.0593 26.1
7 Travis d'Arnaud 0.1176 0.1765 25.0
8 Asdrúbal Cabrera 0.1348 0.1770 24.3
9 Mitch Garver 0.1242 0.1866 24.2
10 Khris Davis 0.1873 0.1370 24.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eddie Rosario 0.1219 0.1847 33.7
2 Leury García 0.1102 0.0647 31.7
3 Pete Alonso 0.1226 0.1732 31.0
4 Ketel Marte 0.0914 0.1465 31.0
5 Asdrúbal Cabrera 0.1162 0.1770 28.3
6 Danny Santana 0.0983 0.1585 27.8
7 Corey Dickerson 0.1080 0.2115 27.3
8 Renato Núñez 0.1000 0.1503 26.6
9 George Springer 0.1191 0.1727 26.6
10 Brett Gardner 0.0820 0.1345 25.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eduardo Escobar 0.1131 0.1688 34.7
2 George Springer 0.1179 0.1727 27.0
3 Ketel Marte 0.0987 0.1465 26.1
4 Mitch Garver 0.1098 0.1866 25.4
5 Asdrúbal Cabrera 0.1227 0.1770 24.8
6 Nick Castellanos 0.1407 0.1099 24.5
7 Travis Shaw 0.1409 0.0593 23.7
8 Josh Phegley 0.1061 0.1813 23.6
9 Mookie Betts 0.1402 0.1133 23.3
10 Eddie Rosario 0.1395 0.1847 23.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eddie Rosario 0.1296 0.1847 28.7
2 Leury García 0.1029 0.0647 27.7
3 Christian Vázquez 0.0796 0.1382 27.1
4 Gio Urshela 0.0923 0.1555 27.0
5 Brett Gardner 0.0791 0.1345 26.9
6 Travis Shaw 0.1518 0.0593 26.7
7 Trevor Story 0.1636 0.1296 26.6
8 Corey Dickerson 0.1103 0.2115 26.4
9 Khris Davis 0.1794 0.1370 26.1
10 Ketel Marte 0.0985 0.1465 26.1

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Whit Merrifield 0.1058
0.1656
(39.9)
0.1887
(55.9)
0.1854
(52.3)
0.2083
(65.8)
Manuel Margot 0.2020
0.1327
(33.0)
0.1092
(43.9)
0.1298
(35.5)
0.1231
(40.5)
Marcell Ozuna 0.0945
0.0185
(44.7)
0.0134
(48.3)
0.0144
(48.6)
0.0127
(52.0)
Elvis Andrus 0.1938
0.0922
(69.3)
0.1102
(58.6)
0.0901
(72.6)
0.0956
(72.0)
Christian Yelich 0.1734
0.0939
(49.3)
0.0843
(55.6)
0.0831
(57.2)
0.1033
(48.2)
Kolten Wong 0.1538
0.0656
(51.5)
0.0588
(55.9)
0.0638
(54.0)
0.0708
(52.7)
Mookie Betts 0.0792
0.1366
(36.7)
0.1419
(39.5)
0.1387
(36.1)
0.1602
(48.1)
Mallex Smith 0.3407
0.2303
(65.6)
0.2101
(77.8)
0.2369
(63.5)
0.2701
(47.3)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adalberto Mondesi 0.2727 0.4831 95.6
2 Luis Rengifo 0.1875 0.0196 65.9
3 José Ramírez 0.1133 0.2034 51.8
4 Kevin Kiermaier 0.1204 0.2065 44.0
5 Francisco Lindor 0.0935 0.1517 41.6
6 Byron Buxton 0.1569 0.2917 41.4
7 Jose Altuve 0.1204 0.0455 38.1
8 Nicky Lopez 0.1111 0.0119 37.7
9 Jorge Polanco 0.0769 0.0221 34.8
10 Paul DeJong 0.0156 0.0604 33.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adalberto Mondesi 0.3200 0.4831 75.3
2 Victor Robles 0.0877 0.1918 68.4
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1053 0.1897 65.3
4 Jon Berti 0.0638 0.2152 45.4
5 Óscar Mercado 0.0529 0.1389 44.8
6 Tommy Edman 0.0529 0.1724 44.1
7 Garrett Hampson 0.0690 0.1948 43.4
8 Nick Senzel 0.0529 0.1505 43.3
9 Kevin Newman 0.0339 0.1074 42.7
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0529 0.1600 42.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adalberto Mondesi 0.3478 0.4831 63.6
2 Luis Rengifo 0.1632 0.0196 54.9
3 Jorge Polanco 0.0969 0.0221 46.8
4 José Ramírez 0.1348 0.2034 41.7
5 Kevin Kiermaier 0.1318 0.2065 39.9
6 Byron Buxton 0.1670 0.2917 39.3
7 Ian Desmond 0.1213 0.0319 39.1
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1481 0.1897 35.7
9 Paul DeJong 0.0185 0.0604 33.4
10 Charlie Blackmon 0.0741 0.0133 33.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Rengifo 0.1888 0.0196 63.5
2 Ian Desmond 0.1333 0.0319 42.7
3 Jonathan Villar 0.2932 0.2235 40.6
4 Jose Altuve 0.1290 0.0455 38.7
5 Paul DeJong 0.0168 0.0604 37.5
6 Shin-Soo Choo 0.0390 0.0798 35.5
7 Byron Buxton 0.1848 0.2917 35.3
8 Kevin Kiermaier 0.1474 0.2065 34.6
9 Jorge Polanco 0.0840 0.0221 34.5
10 Austin Meadows 0.1531 0.0822 34.2

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Travis Shaw 0.1565
0.2733
(27.4)
0.2526
(25.3)
0.2492
(25.1)
0.2536
(27.1)
Eric Sogard 0.2904
0.2240
(36.1)
0.2377
(24.3)
0.2379
(23.1)
0.2261
(27.0)
Howie Kendrick 0.3443
0.2919
(25.0)
0.2796
(24.8)
0.2808
(23.4)
0.2779
(23.3)
Yoán Moncada 0.3151
0.2669
(35.5)
0.2380
(44.4)
0.2359
(44.1)
0.2335
(43.7)
Rafael Devers 0.3107
0.2756
(35.3)
0.2523
(42.7)
0.2701
(28.3)
0.2648
(29.9)
Bryan Reynolds 0.3136
0.2500
(43.1)
0.2557
(32.9)
0.2634
(27.3)
0.2282
(44.8)
Gio Urshela 0.3145
0.2623
(32.1)
0.2409
(36.2)
0.2486
(31.2)
0.2434
(32.2)
J.D. Davis 0.3073
0.2675
(24.9)
0.2273
(37.3)
0.2409
(30.0)
0.2389
(29.5)
Tim Anderson 0.3353
0.2769
(38.2)
0.2537
(43.5)
0.2531
(42.4)
0.2520
(41.4)
Ketel Marte 0.3286
0.2790
(40.8)
0.2579
(45.9)
0.2809
(29.8)
0.2772
(30.2)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mallex Smith 0.3053 0.2275 35.4
2 Kevin Newman 0.2579 0.3083 34.9
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.2928 0.3272 32.6
4 Jeff McNeil 0.2807 0.3176 29.6
5 Daniel Vogelbach 0.2757 0.2078 29.4
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.2588 0.3174 27.5
7 Nolan Arenado 0.2906 0.3146 26.0
8 Trevor Story 0.2701 0.2942 25.8
9 Carlos Santana 0.2601 0.2810 24.8
10 Luis Arraez 0.2819 0.3344 24.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hanser Alberto 0.2347 0.3053 40.2
2 Kevin Newman 0.2402 0.3083 37.4
3 Cody Bellinger 0.2606 0.3047 30.7
4 Luis Arraez 0.2557 0.3344 29.7
5 Marcus Semien 0.2486 0.2846 28.7
6 Danny Santana 0.2326 0.2827 26.8
7 Hunter Dozier 0.2363 0.2792 26.5
8 Mallex Smith 0.2737 0.2275 24.8
9 Carlos Santana 0.2480 0.2810 24.2
10 Alex Gordon 0.2308 0.2662 23.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DJ LeMahieu 0.2697 0.3272 37.5
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.2337 0.3174 31.0
3 Cody Bellinger 0.2575 0.3047 31.0
4 Hunter Dozier 0.2325 0.2792 27.2
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.2419 0.3131 26.1
6 Marcell Ozuna 0.2880 0.2412 25.8
7 Rougned Odor 0.2480 0.2050 25.2
8 Marcus Semien 0.2513 0.2846 24.7
9 Jeff McNeil 0.2751 0.3176 23.9
10 Daniel Vogelbach 0.2478 0.2078 22.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.2215 0.3174 34.4
2 DJ LeMahieu 0.2736 0.3272 33.0
3 Hunter Dozier 0.2265 0.2792 28.9
4 Rougned Odor 0.2486 0.2050 27.3
5 Carlos Santana 0.2391 0.2810 26.4
6 Daniel Vogelbach 0.2483 0.2078 24.5
7 Kevin Newman 0.2606 0.3083 23.5
8 Marcus Semien 0.2500 0.2846 23.3
9 Luis Arraez 0.2681 0.3344 23.0
10 Jeff McNeil 0.2740 0.3176 22.8

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Mark Canha 0.3964
0.3174
(39.8)
0.3073
(45.0)
0.3125
(40.4)
0.3093
(40.0)
Bryan Reynolds 0.3773
0.3143
(35.0)
0.3269
(28.3)
0.3193
(30.3)
0.2890
(44.6)
Trey Mancini 0.3638
0.3210
(29.8)
0.3162
(33.3)
0.3169
(30.1)
0.3111
(31.3)
Alex Bregman 0.4232
0.3865
(26.0)
0.3641
(41.8)
0.3714
(34.0)
0.3672
(34.1)
Gio Urshela 0.3550
0.3000
(26.7)
0.2971
(28.3)
0.2892
(30.1)
0.2800
(32.6)
Cody Bellinger 0.4061
0.3648
(28.0)
0.3424
(43.0)
0.3432
(39.9)
0.3574
(27.9)
Yordan Alvarez 0.4119
0.3259
(32.1)
0.3269
(31.9)
0.3073
(37.7)
0.3153
(33.2)
Tim Anderson 0.3571
0.3074
(26.3)
0.2895
(35.8)
0.2884
(34.3)
0.2839
(34.5)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Santana 0.3399 0.3965 39.6
2 Ketel Marte 0.3367 0.3885 33.3
3 Mallex Smith 0.3580 0.2996 32.4
4 Luis Arraez 0.3184 0.3989 29.9
5 Pete Alonso 0.3185 0.3579 28.1
6 Kevin Newman 0.3018 0.3535 28.0
7 Jeff McNeil 0.3362 0.3845 28.0
8 Brandon Drury 0.3243 0.2617 27.5
9 Khris Davis 0.3436 0.2927 26.6
10 Yasmani Grandal 0.3393 0.3797 26.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ketel Marte 0.3225 0.3885 42.4
2 Marcus Semien 0.3158 0.3695 41.2
3 Joey Votto 0.4190 0.3569 36.9
4 Rafael Devers 0.3113 0.3609 35.8
5 J.D. Davis 0.2948 0.3687 34.1
6 Hunter Dozier 0.2929 0.3481 33.2
7 Christian Yelich 0.3752 0.4293 32.2
8 Yasmani Grandal 0.3313 0.3797 31.5
9 Carlos Santana 0.3539 0.3965 30.2
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3901 0.3456 29.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Semien 0.3191 0.3695 35.7
2 Joey Votto 0.4074 0.3569 32.2
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.2944 0.3790 30.5
4 Jeff McNeil 0.3291 0.3845 30.0
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3853 0.3456 28.9
6 J.D. Davis 0.3031 0.3687 28.5
7 Christian Walker 0.2985 0.3483 28.5
8 Hunter Dozier 0.2971 0.3481 28.4
9 Austin Meadows 0.3150 0.3638 27.3
10 Luis Arraez 0.3234 0.3989 26.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.4211 0.3569 43.0
2 Marcus Semien 0.3130 0.3695 37.3
3 Hunter Dozier 0.2855 0.3481 32.9
4 José Ramírez 0.3799 0.3266 32.5
5 David Fletcher 0.2935 0.3497 32.4
6 Austin Meadows 0.3036 0.3638 31.7
7 Luis Arraez 0.3094 0.3989 30.4
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.2922 0.3790 29.9
9 J.D. Davis 0.2973 0.3687 29.4
10 Anthony Rendon 0.3601 0.4118 29.1

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Khris Davis 0.3867
0.5440
(78.1)
0.5202
(77.0)
0.5043
(75.2)
0.5160
(83.2)
George Springer 0.5908
0.4949
(59.3)
0.4560
(68.9)
0.4640
(57.4)
0.4444
(66.5)
Mitch Garver 0.6302
0.4599
(65.0)
0.4125
(74.2)
0.4018
(73.5)
0.3708
(83.5)
Josh Bell 0.5693
0.4728
(65.7)
0.4335
(76.5)
0.4448
(61.9)
0.4324
(67.5)
Pete Alonso 0.5829
0.4635
(90.2)
0.4432
(89.2)
0.4614
(67.9)
0.4500
(73.5)
Christian Yelich 0.6708
0.5538
(74.1)
0.5029
(91.0)
0.5183
(74.8)
0.5220
(70.7)
Marcus Semien 0.5221
0.4339
(73.9)
0.4049
(79.3)
0.4122
(64.5)
0.4052
(67.3)
Gio Urshela 0.5339
0.3981
(69.8)
0.3636
(75.8)
0.3773
(63.4)
0.3492
(75.2)
Yordan Alvarez 0.6550
0.4345
(85.3)
0.4432
(74.1)
0.4129
(80.6)
0.4401
(69.4)
Jorge Soler 0.5688
0.4954
(57.1)
0.4252
(90.0)
0.4378
(72.9)
0.4235
(80.5)
Ketel Marte 0.5923
0.4583
(90.9)
0.3953
(116.8)
0.4347
(84.2)
0.4288
(85.8)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yuli Gurriel 0.4384 0.5408 69.3
2 Eric Sogard 0.3149 0.4571 67.6
3 Cody Bellinger 0.5459 0.6290 62.1
4 Anthony Rendon 0.5132 0.5982 61.9
5 DJ LeMahieu 0.4347 0.5183 61.8
6 Bryan Reynolds 0.4063 0.5031 58.7
7 Keston Hiura 0.4127 0.5701 58.5
8 Michael Brantley 0.4229 0.5026 57.6
9 Jeff McNeil 0.4432 0.5314 56.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.5000 0.6290 78.0
2 Danny Santana 0.3767 0.5338 74.6
3 Rafael Devers 0.4392 0.5549 73.5
4 Yoán Moncada 0.4060 0.5479 73.2
5 Hunter Dozier 0.3956 0.5220 67.6
6 Xander Bogaerts 0.4522 0.5554 64.4
7 Alex Bregman 0.4882 0.5921 64.1
8 Austin Meadows 0.4404 0.5585 63.3
9 Eugenio Suárez 0.4668 0.5722 62.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Bellinger 0.4940 0.6290 73.7
2 Yoán Moncada 0.3987 0.5479 70.3
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.3881 0.5183 69.9
4 Hunter Dozier 0.3848 0.5220 66.6
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3903 0.5898 65.5
6 Miguel Cabrera 0.4813 0.3976 58.9
7 Austin Meadows 0.4356 0.5585 58.7
8 Danny Santana 0.3967 0.5338 58.0
9 Anthony Rendon 0.4854 0.5982 57.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Dozier 0.3828 0.5220 65.9
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.3564 0.5031 65.4
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.3931 0.5183 64.4
4 Yoán Moncada 0.4064 0.5479 64.1
5 Travis Shaw 0.4724 0.2696 62.0
6 Matt Carpenter 0.4839 0.3918 58.5
7 Nelson Cruz 0.5000 0.6388 58.3
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.4064 0.5898 58.3
9 Anthony Rendon 0.4828 0.5982 57.2

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Alex Cobb 60
694
(633.9)
651
(591.0)
748
(688.3)
598
(538.0)
Jameson Taillon 158
778
(620.1)
713
(555.0)
801
(643.1)
727
(569.0)
Luis Severino 48
623
(575.1)
730
(682.0)
691
(642.8)
774
(726.0)
Corey Kluber 168
844
(675.9)
736
(568.0)
823
(654.7)
796
(628.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Glenn Sparkman 1 606 605.0
2 Ervin Santana 646 64 581.9
3 Tyler Anderson 667 106 560.9
4 Michael Soroka 155 701 545.9
5 Carlos Rodón 685 158 527.1
6 John Means 122 637 515.0
7 Max Fried 189 702 513.0
8 Alex Wood 653 153 499.9
9 Carlos Carrasco 828 341 486.9
10 Dallas Keuchel 1 487 486.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Merrill Kelly 1 777 776.0
2 Yusei Kikuchi 1 721 720.0
3 Trent Thornton 1 677 676.0
4 Dakota Hudson 169 757 588.0
5 Chris Paddack 1 568 567.0
6 Sandy Alcantara 271 838 567.0
7 Sean Manaea 662 109 553.0
8 Tyler Anderson 653 106 547.0
9 Marco Estrada 633 106 527.0
10 John Means 116 637 521.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Merrill Kelly 1 777 776.0
2 John Means 41 637 596.4
3 Carlos Rodón 734 158 575.6
4 Matt Moore 606 33 573.0
5 Adrian Sampson 4 563 558.6
6 Tyler Anderson 631 106 524.9
7 Edinson Volquez 586 75 510.6
8 Brett Anderson 257 743 486.1
9 Tyler Beede 41 523 482.2
10 Logan Allen 606 127 478.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Homer Bailey 1 696 695.0
2 Chase De Jong 683 9 674.0
3 Ryan Borucki 682 40 642.0
4 Michael King 639 9 630.0
5 Enyel De Los Santos 639 46 593.0
6 Yohander Méndez 611 21 590.0
7 Andrew Moore 605 20 585.0
8 Rico Garcia 602 30 572.0
9 Andrew Suárez 717 148 569.0
10 Cody Reed 591 25 566.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Lucas Giolito 0.2754
0.1286
(39.8)
0.3279
(43.6)
0.3265
(53.7)
0.3095
(44.4)
Zack Greinke 0.2622
0.1099
(41.3)
0.2901
(30.2)
0.2844
(38.3)
0.2701
(29.7)
Luis Castillo 0.2749
0.1131
(32.5)
0.3023
(28.7)
0.2859
(28.2)
0.2791
(25.8)
Jack Flaherty 0.2541
0.1194
(53.0)
0.2939
(37.9)
0.2768
(36.9)
0.2748
(38.3)
Edwin Jackson 0.4489
0.1266
(40.0)
0.3231
(39.1)
0.3213
(34.5)
0.3079
(37.7)
Justin Verlander 0.2424
0.1023
(53.6)
0.2748
(35.4)
0.2587
(35.1)
0.2470
(28.4)
Hyun Jin Ryu 0.2613
0.1107
(38.1)
0.3055
(38.7)
0.2777
(30.0)
0.2881
(40.2)
Yusei Kikuchi 0.3677
0.1158
(35.0)
0.3197
(27.8)
0.3056
(26.7)
0.2878
(36.8)
Brandon Workman 0.2141
0.1234
(32.2)
0.3051
(28.7)
0.2987
(31.4)
0.2930
(30.8)
Gerrit Cole 0.2459
0.1020
(48.6)
0.2904
(44.0)
0.2665
(37.3)
0.2562
(32.0)
Sonny Gray 0.2630
0.1095
(35.3)
0.3147
(43.2)
0.2907
(37.4)
0.2813
(33.4)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.0990 0.2488 43.0
2 Brendan McKay 0.3197 0.3313 41.4
3 Stephen Strasburg 0.1095 0.2658 39.6
4 Mike Leake 0.0915 0.3410 38.5
5 Adrian Sampson 0.1172 0.3822 34.7
6 Walker Buehler 0.1113 0.2692 33.5
7 Iván Nova 0.1064 0.3498 32.3
8 Glenn Sparkman 0.1087 0.3638 31.3
9 Antonio Senzatela 0.1161 0.3730 31.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane Bieber 0.3214 0.2798 43.8
2 Homer Bailey 0.3513 0.3062 37.9
3 Michael Soroka 0.3151 0.2710 37.5
4 Chris Paddack 0.3197 0.2664 35.6
5 Dan Straily 0.3168 0.4639 32.5
6 Adrian Sampson 0.3209 0.3822 29.2
7 Charlie Morton 0.2961 0.2701 28.0
8 Kyle Freeland 0.3050 0.3733 27.9
9 Mike Montgomery 0.3019 0.3794 27.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Means 0.3241 0.2949 34.5
2 Jake Odorizzi 0.3109 0.2870 32.2
3 Michael Soroka 0.2917 0.2710 32.1
4 Lance Lynn 0.3041 0.2938 31.0
5 Ryan Yarbrough 0.3009 0.2740 29.2
6 Stephen Strasburg 0.2746 0.2658 28.5
7 Dan Straily 0.3208 0.4639 27.8
8 Andrew Cashner 0.3329 0.3162 26.5
9 José Suarez 0.2984 0.3932 26.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lance Lynn 0.3068 0.2938 36.7
2 John Means 0.3220 0.2949 35.6
3 Homer Bailey 0.3197 0.3062 29.5
4 Antonio Senzatela 0.2946 0.3730 28.8
5 Dan Straily 0.3146 0.4639 28.4
6 Ryan Yarbrough 0.2943 0.2740 27.7
7 José Suarez 0.2913 0.3932 27.4
8 Chris Paddack 0.2839 0.2664 26.3
9 Mike Montgomery 0.2860 0.3794 25.9

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Shane Bieber 0.3015
0.2212
(59.4)
0.2312
(55.0)
0.2151
(62.1)
0.1965
(71.6)
Gerrit Cole 0.3990
0.2867
(82.6)
0.2721
(98.6)
0.2886
(78.7)
0.2759
(82.9)
Nick Anderson 0.4167
0.2682
(36.3)
0.2300
(47.6)
0.2808
(32.1)
0.2740
(31.9)
Lucas Giolito 0.3234
0.1974
(81.0)
0.1798
(96.8)
0.1775
(92.9)
0.1635
(97.5)
Yusei Kikuchi 0.1609
0.2687
(85.8)
0.2300
(54.3)
0.2222
(54.4)
0.2093
(50.5)
Lance Lynn 0.2811
0.2244
(39.9)
0.2162
(51.3)
0.2081
(51.6)
0.1900
(60.7)
Matthew Boyd 0.3020
0.2262
(50.9)
0.2109
(66.9)
0.2019
(67.8)
0.1957
(66.7)
Sonny Gray 0.2895
0.2095
(48.8)
0.2132
(49.6)
0.2227
(37.4)
0.2187
(34.8)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.2188 0.1697 52.1
2 Masahiro Tanaka 0.2481 0.1963 47.8
3 Luis Castillo 0.2180 0.2894 47.0
4 Josh Hader 0.3061 0.4775 46.3
5 Rick Porcello 0.2352 0.1862 46.2
6 Adrian Houser 0.1500 0.2532 42.5
7 Mike Fiers 0.2107 0.1671 41.3
8 Brett Anderson 0.1654 0.1211 41.2
9 Jordan Lyles 0.1691 0.2437 38.0
10 Drew Pomeranz 0.2076 0.3011 37.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.2892 0.3542 49.8
2 Brett Anderson 0.1759 0.1211 45.4
3 Liam Hendriks 0.2374 0.3735 43.1
4 Mike Clevinger 0.2475 0.3387 42.4
5 Peter Lambert 0.2300 0.1357 42.2
6 Glenn Sparkman 0.1947 0.1337 40.8
7 Josh Hader 0.3310 0.4775 40.5
8 Marco Gonzales 0.2097 0.1697 40.0
9 Antonio Senzatela 0.1921 0.1306 39.4
10 Luke Jackson 0.2072 0.3365 38.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Pomeranz 0.1951 0.3011 41.8
2 Antonio Senzatela 0.1866 0.1306 40.8
3 Brandon Workman 0.2101 0.3636 39.9
4 Homer Bailey 0.1453 0.2141 38.1
5 Mike Clevinger 0.2494 0.3387 37.5
6 Masahiro Tanaka 0.2316 0.1963 37.5
7 Jake Odorizzi 0.2035 0.2705 34.8
8 Liam Hendriks 0.2550 0.3735 34.7
9 Brandon Woodruff 0.2097 0.2901 32.7
10 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2197 0.1882 32.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Antonio Senzatela 0.1854 0.1306 44.6
2 Mike Clevinger 0.2295 0.3387 43.7
3 Justin Verlander 0.2825 0.3542 42.3
4 Masahiro Tanaka 0.2278 0.1963 40.4
5 Brandon Workman 0.2022 0.3636 40.0
6 Iván Nova 0.1684 0.1414 39.2
7 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2212 0.1882 38.9
8 Yoan López 0.2867 0.1707 33.9
9 Mike Fiers 0.1900 0.1671 33.6
10 Drew Pomeranz 0.2062 0.3011 33.3

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Matt Strahm 0.0452
0.0841
(20.8)
0.0943
(25.1)
0.0921
(23.6)
0.0853
(20.9)
Max Fried 0.0670
0.1164
(37.4)
0.0980
(23.5)
0.1089
(30.4)
0.1238
(41.9)
Walker Buehler 0.0502
0.0865
(29.5)
0.0783
(22.4)
0.0787
(22.0)
0.0773
(22.1)
Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0332
0.0810
(37.3)
0.0728
(30.4)
0.0632
(22.7)
0.0559
(18.4)
Daniel Norris 0.0623
0.0901
(19.3)
0.0888
(17.6)
0.0920
(19.0)
0.0945
(21.4)
Brandon Workman 0.1573
0.0829
(20.2)
0.0825
(20.7)
0.0891
(19.1)
0.0824
(20.6)
Lance Lynn 0.0674
0.0878
(21.2)
0.1006
(31.1)
0.0997
(29.5)
0.0980
(29.3)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 0.0763 0.0370 34.8
2 Madison Bumgarner 0.0841 0.0509 31.2
3 Zack Wheeler 0.0867 0.0604 24.9
4 Kyle Hendricks 0.0736 0.0438 24.5
5 Max Scherzer 0.0778 0.0476 23.5
6 Jose Quintana 0.0889 0.0617 23.1
7 Germán Márquez 0.0744 0.0485 21.4
8 Dakota Hudson 0.0823 0.1136 20.8
9 Jon Lester 0.0912 0.0681 20.5
10 Jace Fry 0.0899 0.1713 19.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0805 0.0355 26.7
2 Tyler Mahle 0.0974 0.0612 21.5
3 Zack Greinke 0.0599 0.0370 20.4
4 Jace Fry 0.0889 0.1713 20.1
5 Zack Wheeler 0.0820 0.0604 19.8
6 José Berríos 0.0814 0.0606 19.6
7 Mike Leake 0.0529 0.0323 19.1
8 Germán Márquez 0.0725 0.0485 19.0
9 Chris Paddack 0.0852 0.0546 18.7
10 Trevor Rosenthal 0.0930 0.3059 17.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0816 0.0355 26.8
2 Trent Thornton 0.0556 0.0901 22.4
3 Luis Castillo 0.0712 0.1012 22.3
4 Zack Greinke 0.0630 0.0370 22.2
5 Lucas Giolito 0.1104 0.0809 21.8
6 Mike Leake 0.0533 0.0323 18.7
7 Aaron Nola 0.0706 0.0939 18.6
8 Germán Márquez 0.0716 0.0485 17.6
9 Tyler Beede 0.1198 0.0880 17.4
10 Wes Parsons 0.0743 0.1847 17.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Nola 0.0600 0.0939 26.5
2 Trent Thornton 0.0514 0.0901 24.3
3 Luis Castillo 0.0700 0.1012 22.1
4 Tyler Beede 0.1274 0.0880 22.1
5 Brad Keller 0.0669 0.0987 20.6
6 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0691 0.0355 20.5
7 Lucas Giolito 0.1058 0.0809 19.6
8 Jairo Díaz 0.1534 0.0776 19.3
9 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0544 0.1159 17.7
10 Tyler Mahle 0.0885 0.0612 16.8

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Clay Holmes 0.0375
0.0000
(6.5)
0.0132
(5.6)
0.0123
(5.8)
0.0110
(6.2)
Alec Mills 0.0461
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0110
(5.2)
0.0094
(5.4)
0.0110
(5.3)
Merrill Kelly 0.0026
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0106
(6.9)
0.0106
(7.2)
0.0120
(7.6)
Dario Agrazal 0.0312
0.0000
(6.6)
0.0106
(6.3)
0.0118
(5.8)
0.0100
(6.7)
José Suarez 0.0267
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0106
(5.7)
0.0099
(5.8)
0.0117
(5.4)
Trevor Bauer 0.0209
0.0000
(9.4)
0.0102
(9.0)
0.0096
(9.2)
0.0096
(9.9)
Spencer Turnbull 0.0244
0.0000
(9.1)
0.0078
(10.3)
0.0113
(7.8)
0.0131
(7.1)
Zack Wheeler 0.0024
0.0000
(6.7)
0.0104
(7.3)
0.0099
(7.2)
0.0114
(7.8)
Jake Diekman 0.0390
0.0000
(8.0)
0.0132
(7.0)
0.0113
(7.5)
0.0136
(7.0)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Stroman 0.0000 0.0013 7.2
2 Chris Bassitt 0.0000 0.0212 6.5
3 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0212 6.5
4 Pablo López 0.0000 0.0235 6.0
5 Julio Teheran 0.0000 0.0186 6.0
6 Masahiro Tanaka 0.0000 0.0026 6.0
7 Jose Quintana 0.0000 0.0027 5.9
8 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.0036 5.8
9 Gerrit Cole 0.0000 0.0037 5.6
10 Andrew Miller 0.0000 0.0339 5.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.0163 0.0057 8.1
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.0041 0.0185 6.6
3 Max Fried 0.0157 0.0071 6.6
4 Elieser Hernández 0.0070 0.0255 6.2
5 Jordan Lyles 0.0112 0.0017 6.2
6 Jorge López 0.0069 0.0182 5.7
7 Masahiro Tanaka 0.0093 0.0026 5.7
8 Zach Davies 0.0103 0.0030 5.5
9 José Berríos 0.0163 0.0107 5.4
10 Aaron Brooks 0.0089 0.0207 5.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Lyles 0.0105 0.0017 6.0
2 Aaron Brooks 0.0073 0.0207 5.9
3 Marcus Stroman 0.0076 0.0013 5.8
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.0057 0.0185 5.7
5 Julio Teheran 0.0103 0.0186 5.4
6 Gerrit Cole 0.0090 0.0037 5.3
7 Pablo López 0.0110 0.0235 5.3
8 Zach Davies 0.0097 0.0030 5.3
9 Lucas Giolito 0.0120 0.0057 5.3
10 Masahiro Tanaka 0.0083 0.0026 5.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.0165 0.0057 7.9
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.0026 0.0185 7.5
3 Aaron Sanchez 0.0070 0.0182 6.5
4 Jordan Lyles 0.0120 0.0017 6.5
5 Elieser Hernández 0.0085 0.0255 5.9
6 Zach Davies 0.0109 0.0030 5.6
7 Julio Teheran 0.0110 0.0186 5.3
8 Vince Velasquez 0.0069 0.0174 5.2
9 José Berríos 0.0164 0.0107 5.2
10 Tyler Clippard 0.0078 0.0290 5.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Jake Odorizzi 0.0378
0.0482
(13.5)
0.0507
(13.9)
0.0589
(19.8)
0.0465
(13.5)
Caleb Smith 0.0801
0.0446
(16.3)
0.0494
(14.4)
0.0477
(15.2)
0.0460
(14.4)
Corbin Burnes 0.1172
0.0401
(15.7)
0.0462
(14.8)
0.0457
(14.7)
0.0423
(14.8)
Zack Greinke 0.0357
0.0425
(13.8)
0.0469
(15.8)
0.0429
(13.1)
0.0481
(19.6)
Jeff Hoffman 0.1005
0.0465
(13.8)
0.0430
(15.5)
0.0504
(13.0)
0.0427
(14.5)
Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0320
0.0411
(14.0)
0.0498
(18.9)
0.0422
(13.9)
0.0517
(22.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0439 0.0312 18.1
2 Matthew Boyd 0.0487 0.0793 16.1
3 Josh Hader 0.0550 0.1181 15.3
4 Brandon Workman 0.0503 0.0074 15.2
5 Edwin Díaz 0.0473 0.1163 14.9
6 Dan Straily 0.0500 0.1229 14.8
7 David Hess 0.0552 0.1057 14.7
8 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0372 0.0786 14.7
9 CC Sabathia 0.0444 0.0846 14.1
10 Marco Gonzales 0.0411 0.0350 14.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Smyly 0.0511 0.0950 18.2
2 Matthew Boyd 0.0485 0.0793 17.7
3 Josh Hader 0.0488 0.1181 17.6
4 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0358 0.0786 16.2
5 CC Sabathia 0.0433 0.0846 15.5
6 Trevor Bauer 0.0360 0.0610 15.3
7 Edwin Díaz 0.0479 0.1163 15.3
8 David Hess 0.0557 0.1057 15.2
9 Charlie Morton 0.0415 0.0312 14.7
10 Brandon Workman 0.0493 0.0074 14.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edwin Díaz 0.0372 0.1163 17.8
2 Josh Hader 0.0516 0.1181 16.7
3 Marco Gonzales 0.0440 0.0350 15.6
4 Chris Archer 0.0392 0.0772 15.3
5 Yu Darvish 0.0463 0.0759 15.1
6 Michael Soroka 0.0394 0.0274 14.7
7 Drew Smyly 0.0590 0.0950 13.9
8 Brandon Workman 0.0462 0.0074 13.6
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0494 0.0426 13.6
10 José Quijada 0.0404 0.1429 13.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jason Vargas 0.0647 0.0461 19.7
2 Matthew Boyd 0.0459 0.0793 17.0
3 Trevor Bauer 0.0318 0.0610 15.9
4 Homer Bailey 0.0539 0.0429 15.9
5 Julio Teheran 0.0537 0.0444 15.8
6 José Quijada 0.0242 0.1429 15.4
7 Chris Sale 0.0344 0.0698 14.4
8 CC Sabathia 0.0427 0.0846 14.1
9 Jaime Barria 0.0415 0.0920 14.1
10 Chris Archer 0.0392 0.0772 13.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Kenta Maeda 0.2434
0.2799
(28.2)
0.2979
(34.9)
0.2876
(28.1)
0.2879
(31.3)
Corbin Burnes 0.4141
0.2953
(25.9)
0.2742
(32.5)
0.2994
(26.8)
0.2857
(28.8)
Jon Lester 0.3469
0.2949
(33.1)
0.2919
(40.9)
0.2960
(38.4)
0.2819
(45.3)
Yonny Chirinos 0.2459
0.2876
(26.7)
0.2975
(28.1)
0.2948
(26.3)
0.2885
(25.6)
Jeff Samardzija 0.2398
0.2858
(40.4)
0.2931
(40.5)
0.2919
(39.0)
0.2875
(39.5)
Jack Flaherty 0.2423
0.2711
(28.9)
0.2756
(26.8)
0.2896
(37.1)
0.2825
(35.4)
Yimi García 0.1712
0.2829
(29.7)
0.3010
(32.4)
0.2825
(27.7)
0.2917
(31.1)
Justin Verlander 0.2181
0.2715
(52.5)
0.2752
(49.5)
0.2832
(55.7)
0.2643
(43.9)
Chris Paddack 0.2366
0.2848
(32.3)
0.2962
(34.6)
0.2917
(31.7)
0.2928
(35.1)
Mitch Keller 0.4748
0.2885
(40.3)
0.2962
(40.2)
0.3030
(38.8)
0.2900
(40.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sonny Gray 0.2918 0.2555 31.9
2 Max Fried 0.2821 0.3355 31.5
3 John Means 0.2941 0.2556 30.1
4 Zach Plesac 0.3057 0.2554 28.0
5 Tyler Webb 0.2991 0.1844 27.3
6 Zack Wheeler 0.2704 0.3113 26.7
7 Edwin Díaz 0.2671 0.3772 25.8
8 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2922 0.2652 25.4
9 Brandon Workman 0.2877 0.2090 25.0
10 Luke Jackson 0.3003 0.3860 24.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Scherzer 0.2646 0.3214 38.4
2 Sonny Gray 0.3000 0.2555 32.5
3 Reynaldo López 0.2753 0.3158 31.6
4 John Means 0.3026 0.2556 30.9
5 Blake Snell 0.2747 0.3431 29.5
6 Brett Anderson 0.3148 0.2776 28.7
7 Edwin Jackson 0.2769 0.3628 28.4
8 Tommy Milone 0.3122 0.2516 28.1
9 Shane Bieber 0.3274 0.2964 27.9
10 Mike Fiers 0.2873 0.2537 26.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sonny Gray 0.3054 0.2555 35.8
2 Mike Fiers 0.2920 0.2537 29.4
3 Luke Jackson 0.2975 0.3860 27.6
4 Luis Castillo 0.2959 0.2617 27.2
5 Junior Guerra 0.2942 0.2176 26.6
6 Max Scherzer 0.2825 0.3214 26.5
7 Dakota Hudson 0.3069 0.2738 25.6
8 Reynaldo López 0.2839 0.3158 25.2
9 Brandon Workman 0.2947 0.2090 24.7
10 Tyler Webb 0.2917 0.1844 23.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Means 0.2988 0.2556 31.1
2 Max Scherzer 0.2735 0.3214 29.3
3 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2994 0.2652 28.4
4 Jose Quintana 0.2849 0.3257 26.2
5 Cole Hamels 0.2667 0.3147 26.2
6 Blake Snell 0.2784 0.3431 26.0
7 Luke Jackson 0.2978 0.3860 26.0
8 Caleb Smith 0.2851 0.2507 25.9
9 Mike Fiers 0.2824 0.2537 25.9
10 Brandon Workman 0.2928 0.2090 25.6

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Caleb Smith 0.1689
0.0000
(31.0)
0.2080
(24.3)
0.2834
(24.3)
0.2851
(29.3)
Robert Stephenson 0.1149
0.0000
(26.7)
0.2143
(25.7)
0.2854
(24.5)
0.2939
(28.3)
Jon Lester 0.2694
0.0000
(40.2)
0.2266
(33.8)
0.2960
(38.4)
0.2819
(44.6)
Yimi García 0.1027
0.0000
(28.2)
0.2233
(29.4)
0.2825
(25.4)
0.2917
(29.1)
Jeff Samardzija 0.1760
0.0000
(30.2)
0.2138
(26.9)
0.2919
(28.8)
0.2875
(30.0)
Corbin Burnes 0.3281
0.0000
(26.2)
0.2016
(30.1)
0.2994
(24.8)
0.2857
(26.6)
Justin Verlander 0.1425
0.0000
(62.9)
0.2058
(52.3)
0.2832
(54.0)
0.2643
(43.0)
Luke Jackson 0.3333
0.0000
(36.7)
0.2329
(32.1)
0.2975
(35.5)
0.2978
(33.6)
Tommy Milone 0.1548
0.0000
(28.1)
0.2381
(37.1)
0.2880
(25.5)
0.2994
(33.3)
Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2574
0.0000
(34.9)
0.2210
(32.5)
0.2911
(37.1)
0.2929
(30.5)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brendan McKay 0.2179 0.2132 47.8
2 José Cisnero 0.2179 0.2211 34.6
3 Max Fried 0.0000 0.2632 32.5
4 Hector Noesí 0.2179 0.1795 31.6
5 Kyle Gibson 0.0000 0.2565 28.1
6 Zack Wheeler 0.0000 0.2504 27.9
7 John Means 0.0000 0.1756 26.3
8 Iván Nova 0.0000 0.2492 26.1
9 Mitch Keller 0.0000 0.3309 25.9
10 Jake Arrieta 0.0000 0.2593 25.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Minor 0.1829 0.2366 47.6
2 Jake Arrieta 0.2071 0.2593 31.8
3 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2278 0.1822 31.4
4 Blake Snell 0.2000 0.2678 30.5
5 Iván Nova 0.2143 0.2492 29.3
6 Trevor Bauer 0.2238 0.1912 28.3
7 Mitch Keller 0.2179 0.3309 26.0
8 Ian Kennedy 0.2064 0.3018 25.7
9 Joe Musgrove 0.2281 0.1911 25.5
10 Chris Paddack 0.2179 0.1746 23.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Merrill Kelly 0.2179 0.2128 55.8
2 Max Fried 0.3011 0.2632 27.4
3 Zack Wheeler 0.2953 0.2504 26.6
4 Joe Musgrove 0.3038 0.1911 25.8
5 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2945 0.1822 25.2
6 Blake Snell 0.2888 0.2678 24.7
7 Drew Pomeranz 0.2929 0.2691 24.2
8 Ian Kennedy 0.2882 0.3018 24.1
9 Sonny Gray 0.3054 0.1946 23.9
10 Mitch Keller 0.3030 0.3309 23.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Homer Bailey 0.2179 0.2431 66.9
2 John Means 0.2988 0.1756 33.3
3 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2994 0.1822 32.9
4 Jake Arrieta 0.2754 0.2593 32.6
5 Cole Hamels 0.2667 0.2437 29.6
6 Zack Wheeler 0.2860 0.2504 29.3
7 Trevor Bauer 0.2939 0.1912 28.8
8 Max Fried 0.2943 0.2632 28.0
9 Chris Paddack 0.2928 0.1746 26.8
10 Blake Snell 0.2784 0.2678 26.6

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Justin Anderson 0.1356
0.0000
(14.0)
0.0504
(17.8)
0.0000
(14.0)
0.0000
(14.2)
Adrian Sampson 0.0979
0.0000
(15.0)
0.0591
(20.0)
0.0000
(15.1)
0.0000
(15.6)
Michael Soroka 0.0423
0.0000
(20.4)
0.0822
(30.3)
0.0000
(20.2)
0.0000
(19.6)
Homer Bailey 0.0512
0.0000
(14.0)
0.0792
(21.8)
0.0000
(13.9)
0.0717
(63.1)
Max Scherzer 0.1097
0.0000
(26.6)
0.0726
(23.4)
0.0000
(26.8)
0.0000
(27.4)
Jeff Samardzija 0.0464
0.0000
(18.4)
0.0655
(16.6)
0.0000
(18.2)
0.0000
(17.6)
Joe Musgrove 0.0976
0.0000
(18.9)
0.0643
(21.5)
0.0000
(19.0)
0.0000
(19.7)
Chris Sale 0.0938
0.0000
(13.7)
0.0674
(14.1)
0.0000
(13.9)
0.0000
(14.4)
Wilmer Font 0.1226
0.0000
(18.3)
0.0633
(20.0)
0.0000
(18.4)
0.0000
(18.7)
Mike Minor 0.0502
0.0000
(18.2)
0.0796
(28.3)
0.0000
(18.0)
0.0000
(17.3)
Mike Fiers 0.0354
0.0000
(27.0)
0.0668
(26.1)
0.0000
(26.9)
0.0000
(26.2)
Stephen Strasburg 0.0500
0.0000
(17.9)
0.0722
(21.5)
0.0000
(17.7)
0.0000
(17.0)
Wade Miley 0.0509
0.0000
(14.7)
0.0680
(14.7)
0.0000
(14.5)
0.0000
(13.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brad Keller 0.0000 0.0385 23.2
2 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0511 14.3
3 Jack Flaherty 0.0000 0.0529 14.2
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.0000 0.0422 14.2
5 Darwinzon Hernández 0.0000 0.1667 14.0
6 Clayton Kershaw 0.0000 0.0516 13.9
7 Nick Kingham 0.0000 0.1243 13.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane Bieber 0.0973 0.0707 25.7
2 Brett Anderson 0.0833 0.0569 22.1
3 Sonny Gray 0.0769 0.0511 20.6
4 David Price 0.0636 0.1000 15.2
5 Robbie Ray 0.0604 0.0840 15.1
6 Kenta Maeda 0.0760 0.0556 14.8
7 Adrian Houser 0.0761 0.0484 14.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Merrill Kelly 0.0717 0.0716 55.3
2 Nick Ramirez 0.0717 0.0705 25.1
3 Brad Keller 0.0000 0.0385 23.1
4 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0511 14.2
5 Dallas Keuchel 0.0000 0.0422 14.1
6 Jack Flaherty 0.0000 0.0529 14.1
7 Darwinzon Hernández 0.0000 0.1667 14.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Plesac 0.0717 0.0769 30.8
2 Brad Keller 0.0000 0.0385 22.4
3 Darwinzon Hernández 0.0000 0.1667 14.2
4 Nick Kingham 0.0000 0.1243 14.0
5 Dylan Bundy 0.0000 0.0899 13.8
6 David Price 0.0000 0.1000 13.7
7 Dallas Keuchel 0.0000 0.0422 13.6

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Nick Pivetta 0.0186
0.0000
(5.1)
0.0071
(5.0)
0.0000
(5.1)
0.0000
(5.1)
Jimmy Nelson 0.0536
0.0000
(4.9)
0.0047
(5.2)
0.0000
(4.9)
0.0000
(4.9)
Dakota Hudson 0.0000
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0090
(6.5)
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0000
(4.9)
Kyle Freeland 0.0213
0.0000
(7.0)
0.0077
(6.7)
0.0000
(7.0)
0.0000
(7.0)
Justin Verlander 0.0151
0.0000
(7.2)
0.0067
(7.5)
0.0000
(7.3)
0.0000
(7.3)
Mike Minor 0.0000
0.0000
(5.7)
0.0088
(7.3)
0.0000
(5.7)
0.0000
(5.6)
Brad Keller 0.0203
0.0000
(9.7)
0.0059
(10.5)
0.0000
(9.7)
0.0000
(9.8)
Iván Nova 0.0000
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0084
(6.4)
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.2)
Gio González 0.0248
0.0000
(6.7)
0.0022
(8.4)
0.0000
(6.7)
0.0000
(6.7)
Trevor Bauer 0.0134
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0070
(6.2)
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0000
(6.3)
Chase Anderson 0.0155
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0048
(6.6)
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.3)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 0.0000 0.0174 8.0
2 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0000 0.0188 6.2
3 Scott Barlow 0.0000 0.0233 5.2
4 Adrian Sampson 0.0000 0.0155 5.0
5 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0129 5.0
6 Martín Pérez 0.0000 0.0000 4.8
7 Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0000 0.0000 4.8
8 Zach Eflin 0.0000 0.0000 4.6
9 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0000 4.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Domingo Germán 0.0125 0.0000 7.2
2 Walker Buehler 0.0031 0.0109 6.1
3 Aaron Brooks 0.0000 0.0119 6.0
4 Sonny Gray 0.0026 0.0097 5.4
5 Robbie Ray 0.0060 0.0127 5.3
6 David Phelps 0.0000 0.0341 5.1
7 Yu Darvish 0.0040 0.0100 4.7
8 Max Scherzer 0.0070 0.0000 4.6
9 Mychal Givens 0.0054 0.0226 4.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 0.0000 0.0174 8.0
2 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0000 0.0188 6.2
3 Scott Barlow 0.0000 0.0233 5.2
4 Adrian Sampson 0.0000 0.0155 5.0
5 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0129 5.0
6 Martín Pérez 0.0000 0.0000 4.8
7 Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0000 0.0000 4.7
8 Zach Eflin 0.0000 0.0000 4.6
9 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.0127 4.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 0.0000 0.0174 8.1
2 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0000 0.0188 6.2
3 Scott Barlow 0.0000 0.0233 5.2
4 Adrian Sampson 0.0000 0.0155 5.1
5 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0129 5.1
6 Martín Pérez 0.0000 0.0000 4.8
7 Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0000 0.0000 4.7
8 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.0127 4.7
9 Homer Bailey 0.0066 0.0064 4.6

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Edwin Jackson 0.2411
0.0000
(76.8)
0.1228
(36.8)
0.1388
(31.7)
0.1248
(35.3)
Michael Soroka 0.0799
0.1354
(47.7)
0.1196
(33.9)
0.1163
(31.2)
0.0991
(21.4)
Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0733
0.1186
(41.8)
0.1028
(27.6)
0.1068
(30.0)
0.1090
(34.0)
Sonny Gray 0.0833
0.1320
(43.4)
0.1235
(34.6)
0.1119
(25.9)
0.1141
(29.8)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Glenn Sparkman 0.0000 0.1584 88.4
2 Mike Minor 0.1558 0.0997 59.3
3 Shaun Anderson 0.0000 0.1429 55.6
4 Tommy Milone 0.0000 0.1347 55.3
5 Ross Detwiler 0.0000 0.1714 50.0
6 Dan Straily 0.0000 0.2246 50.0
7 Zach Plesac 0.0000 0.1095 46.0
8 Dillon Peters 0.0000 0.1529 45.9
9 Dallas Keuchel 0.0000 0.1027 43.9
10 Nick Margevicius 0.0000 0.1749 42.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.1397 0.0979 35.6
2 Kyle Freeland 0.0964 0.1797 35.3
3 Jack Flaherty 0.1073 0.0803 27.5
4 Homer Bailey 0.1486 0.1207 25.5
5 Dereck Rodríguez 0.1020 0.1686 25.4
6 Gerrit Cole 0.1032 0.0808 25.4
7 Corbin Burnes 0.1058 0.2213 25.1
8 Shane Bieber 0.1206 0.1001 25.0
9 Brett Anderson 0.1314 0.1077 24.1
10 Dan Straily 0.1149 0.2246 23.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.1407 0.0979 35.9
2 Jake Odorizzi 0.1338 0.0988 28.3
3 John Means 0.1423 0.1068 27.7
4 Mike Minor 0.1233 0.0997 27.3
5 Jack Flaherty 0.1052 0.0803 25.4
6 Zack Greinke 0.1134 0.0901 25.3
7 Lance Lynn 0.1219 0.1017 24.6
8 Gerrit Cole 0.1028 0.0808 24.5
9 Justin Verlander 0.0988 0.0779 24.4
10 Mike Fiers 0.1320 0.1088 23.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Minor 0.1243 0.0997 31.1
2 Lucas Giolito 0.1305 0.0979 31.0
3 John Means 0.1422 0.1068 29.8
4 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1346 0.1081 26.9
5 Chris Sale 0.0772 0.1307 25.8
6 Jack Flaherty 0.1011 0.0803 24.8
7 Jeff Samardzija 0.1270 0.1054 24.3
8 Corbin Burnes 0.1068 0.2213 24.2
9 Trevor Bauer 0.0918 0.1295 24.1
10 Lance Lynn 0.1176 0.1017 23.8

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Lucas Giolito 0.0950
0.1086
(19.5)
0.1322
(31.8)
0.1318
(31.1)
0.1223
(25.9)
Jack Flaherty 0.0777
0.0918
(21.7)
0.1022
(25.0)
0.0969
(20.5)
0.0942
(20.1)
Edwin Jackson 0.2143
0.1089
(30.7)
0.1118
(31.8)
0.1305
(25.7)
0.1173
(29.4)
Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0650
0.0915
(29.4)
0.0899
(23.7)
0.0979
(29.1)
0.1011
(33.0)
Sonny Gray 0.0791
0.1027
(26.7)
0.1134
(29.8)
0.1022
(21.5)
0.1062
(26.0)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Minor 0.1215 0.0962 34.0
2 Dakota Hudson 0.1152 0.0859 32.9
3 Michael Soroka 0.1051 0.0742 31.6
4 Gerrit Cole 0.0886 0.0722 24.9
5 Jordan Zimmermann 0.1096 0.1706 23.6
6 Dan Straily 0.1089 0.2203 23.0
7 Zack Greinke 0.0973 0.0840 22.2
8 Dylan Covey 0.0952 0.1857 21.4
9 Justin Verlander 0.0861 0.0756 20.8
10 Lance Lynn 0.1065 0.0971 20.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Freeland 0.0911 0.1649 31.2
2 Gerrit Cole 0.0979 0.0722 27.3
3 Shane Bieber 0.1146 0.0908 27.2
4 Michael Soroka 0.1043 0.0742 26.6
5 Marcus Stroman 0.1105 0.0853 25.6
6 Dan Straily 0.1081 0.2203 24.6
7 Jeff Samardzija 0.1194 0.0959 23.2
8 Corbin Burnes 0.1005 0.2043 22.5
9 Brett Anderson 0.1247 0.1023 22.5
10 Antonio Senzatela 0.1148 0.1598 21.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Means 0.1342 0.0973 28.1
2 Michael Soroka 0.1069 0.0742 28.1
3 Jake Odorizzi 0.1263 0.0942 26.0
4 Gerrit Cole 0.0950 0.0722 24.6
5 Dakota Hudson 0.1099 0.0859 23.8
6 Mike Minor 0.1155 0.0962 23.0
7 Marcus Stroman 0.1074 0.0853 22.8
8 Zack Greinke 0.1045 0.0840 22.6
9 Julio Teheran 0.1207 0.0981 22.5
10 Frankie Montas 0.1195 0.0711 22.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Means 0.1329 0.0973 28.8
2 Mike Minor 0.1156 0.0962 25.0
3 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1250 0.0997 24.8
4 Jeff Samardzija 0.1182 0.0959 23.5
5 Dakota Hudson 0.1068 0.0859 23.1
6 Corbin Burnes 0.1000 0.2043 22.2
7 Chris Sale 0.0718 0.1176 22.2
8 Antonio Senzatela 0.1126 0.1598 21.9
9 Marcus Stroman 0.1038 0.0853 21.8
10 José Suarez 0.1057 0.1707 20.8

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Lucas Giolito 0.4828
0.3214
(126.4)
0.2143
(163.5)
0.2628
(163.6)
0.3000
(152.5)
Domingo Germán 0.6667
0.2308
(269.6)
0.0909
(320.3)
0.1731
(300.3)
0.2000
(297.1)
Max Fried 0.5152
0.0714
(324.1)
0.1111
(258.0)
0.1656
(253.8)
0.2414
(215.7)
Dakota Hudson 0.4848
0.3077
(147.7)
0.1304
(240.7)
0.1899
(232.4)
0.2500
(203.2)
Lance Lynn 0.4848
0.3548
(129.5)
0.2250
(195.4)
0.3327
(143.7)
0.3571
(141.1)
Eduardo Rodriguez 0.5588
0.4138
(140.0)
0.2432
(239.7)
0.3967
(149.6)
0.3448
(212.6)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dallas Keuchel 0.0004 0.4211 213.6
2 Zach Plesac 0.0003 0.3810 189.3
3 John Means 0.1111 0.3871 187.3
4 Chris Sale 0.5313 0.2400 167.2
5 Yusei Kikuchi 0.4231 0.1875 156.9
6 Zack Greinke 0.3750 0.5455 152.6
7 Yu Darvish 0.4167 0.1935 150.0
8 Alex Young 0.0002 0.4118 149.9
9 Adrian Houser 0.5000 0.1714 143.5
10 Spencer Turnbull 0.3333 0.1000 141.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gerrit Cole 0.2927 0.6061 226.2
2 Justin Verlander 0.3250 0.6176 217.0
3 Jordan Lyles 0.0769 0.4286 188.8
4 Luis Castillo 0.1951 0.4688 185.2
5 Walker Buehler 0.1795 0.4667 184.8
6 Mike Minor 0.1875 0.4375 184.3
7 Michael Soroka 0.1563 0.4483 179.1
8 John Means 0.0769 0.3871 174.3
9 Jake Odorizzi 0.2000 0.5000 173.4
10 Homer Bailey 0.1389 0.4194 169.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 0.2006 0.4516 195.9
2 Chris Sale 0.5215 0.2400 164.9
3 Merrill Kelly 0.2061 0.4063 164.8
4 Zack Greinke 0.3569 0.5455 162.5
5 Jordan Lyles 0.1706 0.4286 161.7
6 Gerrit Cole 0.4405 0.6061 145.1
7 Chris Bassitt 0.1334 0.3571 144.3
8 Justin Verlander 0.4634 0.6176 140.8
9 Yu Darvish 0.3945 0.1935 138.1
10 Frankie Montas 0.2314 0.5625 135.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Lyles 0.1026 0.4286 215.4
2 Gerrit Cole 0.4194 0.6061 179.9
3 Homer Bailey 0.2061 0.4194 171.7
4 Brandon Woodruff 0.1875 0.5000 170.6
5 Jake Odorizzi 0.3000 0.5000 153.7
6 Chris Sale 0.5172 0.2400 149.1
7 Mike Clevinger 0.3750 0.6190 138.5
8 Marco Gonzales 0.3462 0.4706 136.8
9 Brett Anderson 0.2727 0.4194 133.9
10 Frankie Montas 0.2581 0.5625 133.2

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Chris Sale 0.4400
0.2500
(135.7)
0.1714
(140.2)
0.2061
(156.8)
0.1724
(173.8)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Glenn Sparkman 0.0005 0.3548 234.0
2 Michael Soroka 0.5000 0.1379 231.5
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.0004 0.4211 220.3
4 Tommy Milone 0.0006 0.4348 211.1
5 Edwin Jackson 0.0005 0.5556 197.2
6 Asher Wojciechowski 0.0006 0.4706 181.1
7 Zack Greinke 0.4063 0.1515 180.6
8 John Means 0.1111 0.3548 175.5
9 Dakota Hudson 0.4615 0.2121 164.7
10 Taylor Clarke 0.6667 0.2174 154.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Turnbull 0.1481 0.5667 248.7
2 Brad Keller 0.1429 0.5000 225.3
3 Miles Mikolas 0.1190 0.4375 213.2
4 Sandy Alcantara 0.1481 0.4375 209.4
5 Aaron Sanchez 0.1818 0.5185 179.9
6 Reynaldo López 0.2143 0.4545 162.5
7 Merrill Kelly 0.2004 0.4375 153.6
8 John Means 0.0769 0.3548 151.9
9 Trevor Bauer 0.1795 0.3824 148.9
10 Jakob Junis 0.2195 0.4516 148.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Turnbull 0.1952 0.5667 258.2
2 Merrill Kelly 0.2004 0.4375 201.5
3 Mike Fiers 0.3738 0.1212 173.7
4 Daniel Norris 0.1524 0.4063 168.4
5 Trent Thornton 0.0570 0.2813 166.9
6 Zack Greinke 0.3649 0.1515 154.9
7 Andrew Cashner 0.4477 0.1905 149.5
8 Glenn Sparkman 0.1384 0.3548 144.6
9 Asher Wojciechowski 0.1091 0.4706 138.5
10 Michael Soroka 0.3323 0.1379 120.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brad Keller 0.2093 0.5000 217.8
2 Spencer Turnbull 0.2800 0.5667 198.9
3 Aaron Sanchez 0.2500 0.5185 172.4
4 Sandy Alcantara 0.2500 0.4375 170.9
5 Antonio Senzatela 0.2000 0.4400 149.3
6 Reynaldo López 0.2903 0.4545 146.2
7 Trevor Bauer 0.2414 0.3824 143.4
8 Miles Mikolas 0.2759 0.4375 136.1
9 Jordan Zimmermann 0.3333 0.5652 125.2
10 Andrew Cashner 0.4000 0.1905 122.8

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Emilio Pagán 0.3030
0.0000
(79.5)
0.0250
(78.7)
0.0000
(78.2)
0.0000
(78.5)
Roenis Elías 0.2917
0.0000
(61.9)
0.0370
(58.6)
0.0000
(60.8)
0.0000
(61.1)
Hansel Robles 0.3239
0.0000
(90.2)
0.0238
(89.7)
0.0000
(88.8)
0.0000
(89.2)
Carlos Martinez 0.5000
0.0000
(98.9)
0.0571
(91.9)
0.0000
(97.9)
0.0000
(98.2)
Luke Jackson 0.2571
0.0000
(79.3)
0.0303
(76.7)
0.0000
(77.8)
0.0000
(78.2)
Héctor Neris 0.4118
0.0357
(102.0)
0.1778
(68.9)
0.0000
(110.4)
0.0000
(110.8)
Taylor Rogers 0.5000
0.0678
(118.7)
0.0185
(138.5)
0.0289
(128.1)
0.0243
(129.8)
Brandon Workman 0.2192
0.0000
(61.2)
0.0294
(59.1)
0.0000
(59.8)
0.0000
(60.2)
Liam Hendriks 0.3333
0.0000
(108.9)
0.0294
(106.5)
0.0000
(107.3)
0.0000
(107.7)
Ian Kennedy 0.4762
0.0000
(125.3)
0.0294
(123.3)
0.0000
(123.9)
0.0000
(124.3)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor May 0.4259 0.0308 106.5
2 Matt Barnes 0.3788 0.0571 93.2
3 Ryne Stanek 0.2857 0.0159 90.0
4 José Leclerc 0.4833 0.2000 86.3
5 Blake Treinen 0.5139 0.2807 63.4
6 Wade Davis 0.5873 0.3000 60.3
7 Edwin Díaz 0.6250 0.3939 60.0
8 Adam Conley 0.2174 0.0333 53.6
9 Craig Kimbrel 0.0018 0.5652 53.6
10 Kirby Yates 0.4648 0.6833 51.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Hader 0.1163 0.6066 146.5
2 Kirby Yates 0.1020 0.6833 145.3
3 Will Smith 0.1351 0.5397 108.3
4 Archie Bradley 0.0426 0.2727 78.3
5 Brad Hand 0.2642 0.5667 77.3
6 Jeurys Familia 0.2708 0.0000 69.6
7 Fernando Rodney 0.3469 0.0364 61.7
8 Aroldis Chapman 0.3953 0.6167 55.9
9 Felipe Vázquez 0.2830 0.5000 55.2
10 Raisel Iglesias 0.3191 0.5000 55.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Brasier 0.5388 0.1129 105.1
2 Josh Hader 0.2800 0.6066 91.4
3 Blake Parker 0.4807 0.1667 82.7
4 Mychal Givens 0.4522 0.1897 70.9
5 Will Smith 0.2731 0.5397 65.9
6 Kirby Yates 0.4371 0.6833 57.3
7 Craig Kimbrel 0.0000 0.5652 53.3
8 José Alvarado 0.5429 0.2000 51.6
9 Hunter Strickland 0.5376 0.0714 50.0
10 Jake Diekman 0.1609 0.0000 48.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Swarzak 0.7259 0.0678 156.1
2 Ryan Brasier 0.6036 0.1129 120.4
3 Alex Colomé 0.0260 0.4839 111.8
4 Josh Hader 0.2407 0.6066 103.2
5 Andrew Miller 0.4713 0.0822 93.9
6 Blake Parker 0.5029 0.1667 88.0
7 Mychal Givens 0.4360 0.1897 66.3
8 Will Smith 0.3122 0.5397 56.2
9 Craig Kimbrel 0.0000 0.5652 53.4
10 Joakim Soria 0.1745 0.0141 47.1

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player Actual Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Aaron Bummer 0.4655
0.1250
(98.5)
0.0365
(111.1)
0.0000
(106.5)
Ryan Pressly 0.5636
0.1887
(86.6)
0.2223
(70.9)
0.0000
(106.5)
Drew Pomeranz 0.2609
0.0645
(105.5)
0.0000
(116.4)
0.0000
(91.9)
Craig Stammen 0.4079
0.2200
(75.8)
0.2138
(64.1)
0.0000
(118.3)
Tommy Kahnle 0.3750
0.1563
(63.1)
0.1423
(56.4)
0.0000
(78.4)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dakota Hudson 0.2174 0.0000 137.6
2 Mike Minor 0.1458 0.0000 95.2
3 Zack Britton 0.1111 0.4394 89.1
4 Junior Guerra 0.0769 0.2778 81.3
5 John Means 0.1538 0.0000 75.3
6 John Gant 0.0541 0.2969 74.9
7 Sean Newcomb 0.0714 0.2909 74.7
8 Spencer Turnbull 0.1481 0.0000 73.9
9 Seth Lugo 0.1538 0.3443 71.0
10 Yusmeiro Petit 0.1765 0.3625 68.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trent Thornton 0.2278 0.0000 157.7
2 Steven Brault 0.2573 0.0000 132.5
3 Chase Anderson 0.1852 0.0000 112.6
4 Sean Newcomb 0.0000 0.2909 83.7
5 Evan Marshall 0.0000 0.3455 71.1
6 Génesis Cabrera 0.8487 0.1538 69.3
7 Wilmer Font 0.2289 0.0417 68.5
8 Hansel Robles 0.2572 0.0282 66.3
9 Kenta Maeda 0.0000 0.1081 64.3
10 Wander Suero 0.0336 0.2436 60.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Diekman 0.0000 0.4079 98.4
2 Yusmeiro Petit 0.0000 0.3625 93.5
3 Ty Buttrey 0.0000 0.3611 93.4
4 Zack Britton 0.0000 0.4394 93.2
5 Adam Ottavino 0.0000 0.3836 91.9
6 Seth Lugo 0.0000 0.3443 89.6
7 Matt Barnes 0.0000 0.3714 89.0
8 Homer Bailey 0.0602 0.0000 83.0
9 Tony Watson 0.0000 0.4167 82.6
10 Pedro Báez 0.0000 0.3521 80.9

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Sonny Gray 2.8745
4.0200
(1240.0)
4.4143
(1383.7)
3.9366
(1001.3)
4.1396
(1143.8)
Lucas Giolito 3.4132
4.2711
(1032.0)
5.1946
(1548.1)
5.3201
(1592.6)
5.0272
(1385.0)
Jack Flaherty 2.7504
3.4897
(1038.5)
3.8298
(1153.3)
3.6765
(986.8)
3.6213
(942.9)
Edwin Jackson 9.5764
4.3400
(1555.8)
4.3058
(1631.6)
5.2318
(1341.4)
4.7514
(1503.4)
Ty Blach 12.0000
4.2864
(988.0)
4.3712
(1002.8)
4.0925
(1050.2)
4.5466
(987.3)
Austen Williams 162.0000
3.7540
(1103.5)
4.4702
(1099.8)
4.0660
(1103.1)
4.7762
(1098.1)
Hyun Jin Ryu 2.3157
3.5076
(1299.8)
3.3720
(1063.4)
3.7172
(1267.9)
3.8864
(1389.0)
Dan Straily 9.8182
4.2800
(1164.0)
4.1117
(1248.9)
5.2911
(985.3)
5.0418
(1044.5)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Minor 4.7273 3.5856 1508.2
2 Michael Soroka 4.1092 2.6794 1427.1
3 Dakota Hudson 4.5947 3.3492 1401.5
4 Zack Greinke 3.7409 2.9329 1145.3
5 Gerrit Cole 3.2910 2.5008 1140.7
6 Jordan Zimmermann 4.2710 6.9107 1025.0
7 Dylan Covey 3.7466 7.9773 1014.9
8 Lance Lynn 4.1890 3.6720 982.6
9 Justin Verlander 3.1081 2.5830 958.0
10 Yusei Kikuchi 3.6010 5.4557 900.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Freeland 3.4927 6.7284 1334.4
2 Shane Bieber 4.3829 3.2753 1307.5
3 Gerrit Cole 3.6399 2.5008 1269.3
4 Michael Soroka 4.0316 2.6794 1238.5
5 Antonio Senzatela 4.4026 6.7139 1103.9
6 Marcus Stroman 4.2241 3.2224 1096.1
7 Corbin Burnes 3.7916 8.8163 1083.4
8 Jeff Samardzija 4.5177 3.5239 1042.2
9 Brett Anderson 4.8184 3.8864 1000.5
10 Chris Paddack 4.5851 3.3270 950.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Means 5.3054 3.6000 1310.6
2 Michael Soroka 4.1249 2.6794 1260.1
3 Jake Odorizzi 4.9809 3.5094 1199.9
4 Zack Greinke 3.9864 2.9329 1138.6
5 Gerrit Cole 3.5231 2.5008 1122.9
6 Mike Minor 4.4448 3.5856 1045.4
7 Dakota Hudson 4.3582 3.3492 1030.3
8 Julio Teheran 4.8203 3.8130 1025.1
9 Lance Lynn 4.4691 3.6720 1005.6
10 Marcus Stroman 4.1685 3.2224 1004.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Means 5.4000 3.6000 1369.9
2 Antonio Senzatela 4.4672 6.7139 1103.6
3 Mike Minor 4.4887 3.5856 1081.8
4 Corbin Burnes 3.9237 8.8163 1067.4
5 Jeff Samardzija 4.5914 3.5239 1049.3
6 Lance Lynn 4.5000 3.6720 1031.2
7 Aníbal Sánchez 4.9298 3.8494 1018.8
8 Dakota Hudson 4.3200 3.3492 1000.2
9 José Suarez 4.1777 7.1111 968.6
10 Adrian Houser 5.4205 3.7186 948.2

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Gerrit Cole 0.8948
1.1294
(219.2)
1.1856
(273.4)
1.1465
(217.0)
1.1277
(190.9)
Ryan Yarbrough 0.9953
1.2835
(181.3)
1.2977
(195.0)
1.3609
(213.6)
1.3301
(188.9)
Lucas Giolito 1.0642
1.3715
(240.6)
1.3878
(259.1)
1.5407
(345.8)
1.4937
(303.4)
Zack Greinke 0.9824
1.2717
(261.7)
1.1432
(165.7)
1.2604
(236.4)
1.1479
(134.7)
Taylor Hearn 21.0000
1.4822
(155.9)
1.3497
(156.9)
1.4888
(156.0)
1.5839
(155.3)
Jack Flaherty 0.9677
1.2257
(225.3)
1.2057
(217.5)
1.2346
(216.8)
1.2130
(190.0)
Edwin Jackson 2.0246
1.4266
(189.6)
1.3508
(211.7)
1.4919
(174.3)
1.4749
(184.4)
Justin Verlander 0.8027
1.0132
(206.9)
1.0670
(261.0)
1.0685
(236.9)
1.0231
(187.4)
John Means 1.1355
1.3571
(162.7)
1.3284
(150.8)
1.4142
(186.4)
1.4581
(206.1)
Hyun Jin Ryu 1.0073
1.2590
(206.5)
1.2400
(199.9)
1.2209
(164.5)
1.2500
(176.1)
Lance Lynn 1.2192
1.3703
(161.9)
1.3813
(180.2)
1.4323
(198.6)
1.5000
(246.4)
Sonny Gray 1.0837
1.3475
(210.7)
1.3690
(233.1)
1.3468
(196.1)
1.3043
(156.8)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yusei Kikuchi 1.1963 1.5155 205.7
2 Jeff Samardzija 1.3475 1.1085 201.9
3 Michael Soroka 1.3445 1.1107 187.6
4 Stephen Strasburg 1.2036 1.0383 167.5
5 Shane Bieber 1.2147 1.0544 166.7
6 Kyle Hendricks 1.3122 1.1299 157.7
7 Madison Bumgarner 1.2768 1.1268 155.2
8 Walker Buehler 1.2123 1.0420 150.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane Bieber 1.3266 1.0544 271.5
2 Chris Paddack 1.3497 0.9810 234.3
3 Antonio Senzatela 1.3358 1.7487 214.7
4 Michael Soroka 1.3439 1.1107 194.2
5 Homer Bailey 1.5480 1.3163 191.8
6 Dan Straily 1.2908 1.9930 155.4
7 Tommy Milone 1.4127 1.1194 152.7
8 Giovanny Gallegos 1.3070 0.8108 150.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Antonio Senzatela 1.4429 1.7487 169.9
2 Yusmeiro Petit 1.3110 0.8072 159.4
3 Sandy Alcantara 1.4854 1.3176 152.2
4 Michael Soroka 1.3132 1.1107 151.7
5 Jeff Samardzija 1.2960 1.1085 149.0
6 Jesse Biddle 1.2969 2.2857 148.2
7 Andrew Cashner 1.5585 1.3467 143.5
8 Nick Kingham 1.2908 1.8503 141.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Antonio Senzatela 1.3723 1.7487 218.6
2 Sandy Alcantara 1.5352 1.3176 183.1
3 Jon Lester 1.2944 1.4971 154.2
4 Robert Stephenson 1.6050 1.0361 149.3
5 Jeurys Familia 1.2239 1.7333 139.4
6 Adrian Houser 1.5341 1.2395 136.5
7 Frankie Montas 1.4535 1.1146 133.9
8 Alex Young 1.5674 1.1880 132.7