2018 Projection Evaluation
Batting Projection Accuracy
Plate Appearances (PA)
Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager | 115 |
589
(474.0)
|
592
(477.0)
|
610
(494.5)
|
666
(551.0)
|
Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesús Aguilar | 68 | 566 | 498.0 |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 1 | 494 | 493.0 |
| 3 | Max Muncy | 1 | 481 | 480.0 |
| 4 | Dustin Pedroia | 491 | 13 | 478.0 |
| 5 | Byron Buxton | 556 | 94 | 462.0 |
| 6 | Yoenis Cespedes | 613 | 157 | 456.0 |
| 7 | Daniel Palka | 1 | 449 | 448.0 |
| 8 | Miguel Cabrera | 602 | 157 | 445.0 |
| 9 | Brian Anderson | 226 | 670 | 444.0 |
| 10 | Miguel Andujar | 166 | 606 | 440.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Phillips | 547 | 27 | 520.0 |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 1 | 494 | 493.0 |
| 3 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 1 | 487 | 486.0 |
| 4 | Gleyber Torres | 1 | 484 | 483.0 |
| 5 | Scott Kingery | 1 | 484 | 483.0 |
| 6 | Dustin Pedroia | 492 | 13 | 479.0 |
| 7 | Chase Headley | 538 | 60 | 478.0 |
| 8 | Daniel Palka | 1 | 449 | 448.0 |
| 9 | Ronald Guzmán | 1 | 428 | 427.0 |
| 10 | Brian Anderson | 253 | 670 | 417.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesús Aguilar | 13 | 566 | 552.9 |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 1 | 494 | 493.0 |
| 3 | Max Muncy | 1 | 481 | 480.0 |
| 4 | Niko Goodrum | 14 | 492 | 477.7 |
| 5 | Byron Buxton | 570 | 94 | 476.4 |
| 6 | Brandon Phillips | 472 | 27 | 445.4 |
| 7 | Dustin Pedroia | 456 | 13 | 443.4 |
| 8 | Daniel Palka | 13 | 449 | 436.1 |
| 9 | Brian Anderson | 239 | 670 | 431.3 |
| 10 | Ronald Guzmán | 19 | 428 | 408.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Ruiz | 579 | 15 | 564.0 |
| 2 | Myles Straw | 558 | 10 | 548.0 |
| 3 | AJ Reed | 551 | 3 | 548.0 |
| 4 | Blake Trahan | 555 | 14 | 541.0 |
| 5 | Tim Locastro | 550 | 14 | 536.0 |
| 6 | Christian Walker | 587 | 53 | 534.0 |
| 7 | Ildemaro Vargas | 547 | 20 | 527.0 |
| 8 | Jack Reinheimer | 562 | 35 | 527.0 |
| 9 | Richard Urena | 632 | 108 | 524.0 |
| 10 | Raimel Tapia | 551 | 27 | 524.0 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 0.3970 |
0.3003
(52.3)
|
0.3206
(40.0)
|
0.2686
(68.1)
|
0.3206
(33.2)
|
| Mookie Betts | 0.4520 |
0.3704
(55.8)
|
0.3530
(63.6)
|
0.3762
(52.4)
|
0.3660
(47.2)
|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.3864 |
0.3252
(37.7)
|
0.3289
(33.2)
|
0.3094
(46.2)
|
0.3074
(37.3)
|
| Chris Davis | 0.2407 |
0.3388
(46.4)
|
0.3426
(50.8)
|
0.3460
(50.1)
|
0.3346
(53.8)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.4228 |
0.3707
(39.9)
|
0.3506
(49.9)
|
0.3735
(38.3)
|
0.3642
(32.1)
|
| Alex Bregman | 0.3965 |
0.3462
(42.0)
|
0.3428
(41.0)
|
0.3494
(39.8)
|
0.3435
(30.8)
|
| Max Muncy | 0.4106 |
0.2927
(61.2)
|
0.3015
(54.6)
|
0.2892
(62.9)
|
0.3004
(48.6)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miguel Andujar | 0.2975 | 0.3621 | 44.7 |
| 2 | Joey Wendle | 0.2709 | 0.3391 | 42.2 |
| 3 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3784 | 0.4319 | 40.8 |
| 4 | Whit Merrifield | 0.3018 | 0.3493 | 40.2 |
| 5 | Charlie Culberson | 0.2301 | 0.3402 | 38.4 |
| 6 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.3219 | 0.3755 | 35.6 |
| 7 | Johan Camargo | 0.2938 | 0.3489 | 33.7 |
| 8 | Mitch Haniger | 0.3288 | 0.3685 | 33.4 |
| 9 | Matt Chapman | 0.3249 | 0.3692 | 33.0 |
| 10 | Brian Anderson | 0.2951 | 0.3341 | 32.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.3206 | 0.3888 | 35.4 |
| 2 | José Ramírez | 0.3571 | 0.3979 | 31.6 |
| 3 | Trevor Story | 0.3421 | 0.3852 | 31.3 |
| 4 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3886 | 0.4319 | 31.0 |
| 5 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.3343 | 0.3800 | 30.4 |
| 6 | Kyle Seager | 0.3423 | 0.2897 | 30.3 |
| 7 | Javier Báez | 0.3282 | 0.3698 | 29.8 |
| 8 | Eduardo Escobar | 0.3091 | 0.3504 | 28.9 |
| 9 | Brian Dozier | 0.3543 | 0.3045 | 28.7 |
| 10 | Mike Trout | 0.4135 | 0.4558 | 28.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.3123 | 0.3755 | 41.1 |
| 2 | Joey Wendle | 0.2749 | 0.3391 | 40.1 |
| 3 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.4280 | 0.3620 | 39.9 |
| 4 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3839 | 0.4319 | 37.3 |
| 5 | Matt Chapman | 0.3195 | 0.3692 | 36.4 |
| 6 | Trevor Story | 0.3393 | 0.3852 | 36.3 |
| 7 | Scooter Gennett | 0.3156 | 0.3615 | 35.3 |
| 8 | Mitch Haniger | 0.3265 | 0.3685 | 35.1 |
| 9 | Miguel Andujar | 0.3161 | 0.3621 | 33.6 |
| 10 | Whit Merrifield | 0.3116 | 0.3493 | 33.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.4234 | 0.3620 | 49.7 |
| 2 | Kyle Seager | 0.3538 | 0.2897 | 46.2 |
| 3 | Jonathan Lucroy | 0.3529 | 0.2712 | 41.3 |
| 4 | Carlos Correa | 0.3847 | 0.3157 | 36.6 |
| 5 | Brian Dozier | 0.3526 | 0.3045 | 36.2 |
| 6 | Dexter Fowler | 0.3466 | 0.2604 | 31.9 |
| 7 | Johan Camargo | 0.2808 | 0.3489 | 30.8 |
| 8 | Javier Báez | 0.3137 | 0.3698 | 30.2 |
| 9 | Carlos Santana | 0.3718 | 0.3365 | 30.2 |
| 10 | Joey Votto | 0.4112 | 0.3728 | 29.7 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Jackson | 0.3547 |
0.2116
(52.9)
|
0.2149
(49.8)
|
0.2212
(46.4)
|
0.2061
(56.4)
|
| Enrique Hernández | 0.1688 |
0.2484
(37.7)
|
0.2300
(31.4)
|
0.2345
(34.9)
|
0.2326
(28.6)
|
| Trevor Story | 0.2561 |
0.3081
(35.4)
|
0.3068
(37.8)
|
0.3014
(36.2)
|
0.3297
(47.0)
|
| Corey Dickerson | 0.1501 |
0.2391
(48.5)
|
0.2373
(50.1)
|
0.2293
(47.5)
|
0.2378
(45.7)
|
| Nick Markakis | 0.1135 |
0.1600
(34.2)
|
0.1551
(34.2)
|
0.1596
(39.5)
|
0.1557
(28.5)
|
| Brian Anderson | 0.1925 |
0.2611
(47.3)
|
0.2372
(34.5)
|
0.2234
(27.3)
|
0.2389
(29.8)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Chapman | 0.3322 | 0.2370 | 59.9 |
| 2 | Colin Moran | 0.2645 | 0.1763 | 41.9 |
| 3 | Chris Taylor | 0.2304 | 0.2947 | 37.7 |
| 4 | Joey Wendle | 0.2423 | 0.1761 | 37.1 |
| 5 | J.D. Martinez | 0.2765 | 0.2250 | 34.8 |
| 6 | Kyle Seager | 0.1637 | 0.2190 | 33.6 |
| 7 | José Bautista | 0.1943 | 0.2782 | 32.7 |
| 8 | Jean Segura | 0.1585 | 0.1092 | 32.4 |
| 9 | Adrian Beltré | 0.1303 | 0.1996 | 32.4 |
| 10 | Joc Pederson | 0.2616 | 0.1919 | 31.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Palka | 0.2169 | 0.3408 | 52.5 |
| 2 | Alex Bregman | 0.1815 | 0.1206 | 47.8 |
| 3 | Jorge Alfaro | 0.2453 | 0.3660 | 42.9 |
| 4 | Jurickson Profar | 0.2059 | 0.1481 | 38.4 |
| 5 | Ian Happ | 0.2745 | 0.3615 | 37.0 |
| 6 | Robinson Chirinos | 0.2377 | 0.3286 | 35.8 |
| 7 | Jean Segura | 0.1583 | 0.1092 | 35.4 |
| 8 | David Fletcher | 0.2169 | 0.1107 | 34.7 |
| 9 | Max Kepler | 0.2070 | 0.1571 | 34.7 |
| 10 | José Peraza | 0.1523 | 0.1098 | 33.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Chapman | 0.2902 | 0.2370 | 38.8 |
| 2 | Ian Happ | 0.2724 | 0.3615 | 36.6 |
| 3 | Victor Martinez | 0.1586 | 0.0965 | 36.6 |
| 4 | J.D. Martinez | 0.2701 | 0.2250 | 35.7 |
| 5 | Travis Shaw | 0.2342 | 0.1840 | 35.3 |
| 6 | Chris Taylor | 0.2275 | 0.2947 | 34.6 |
| 7 | Jean Segura | 0.1517 | 0.1092 | 33.1 |
| 8 | Ronald Guzmán | 0.1969 | 0.2827 | 32.5 |
| 9 | Bryce Harper | 0.1881 | 0.2432 | 31.4 |
| 10 | Joey Wendle | 0.2214 | 0.1761 | 30.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Chapman | 0.3167 | 0.2370 | 47.9 |
| 2 | Ronald Guzmán | 0.1858 | 0.2827 | 42.3 |
| 3 | Chris Taylor | 0.2280 | 0.2947 | 41.4 |
| 4 | Adrian Beltré | 0.1233 | 0.1996 | 37.6 |
| 5 | Kyle Seager | 0.1661 | 0.2190 | 34.5 |
| 6 | Yoán Moncada | 0.2832 | 0.3338 | 34.2 |
| 7 | Ian Happ | 0.2899 | 0.3615 | 33.9 |
| 8 | Joc Pederson | 0.2695 | 0.1919 | 33.5 |
| 9 | AJ Pollock | 0.1471 | 0.2174 | 33.2 |
| 10 | Freddy Galvis | 0.1755 | 0.2241 | 33.1 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 0.1599 |
0.0705
(45.6)
|
0.0863
(34.9)
|
0.0520
(53.2)
|
0.0863
(31.7)
|
| Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.0153 |
0.0517
(19.8)
|
0.0466
(20.1)
|
0.0475
(19.0)
|
0.0392
(19.6)
|
| Ian Happ | 0.1515 |
0.0959
(27.0)
|
0.0907
(26.8)
|
0.0895
(28.5)
|
0.0899
(24.1)
|
| Kyle Seager | 0.0603 |
0.1005
(23.5)
|
0.0900
(20.5)
|
0.0960
(22.6)
|
0.0878
(23.2)
|
| Travis Shaw | 0.1329 |
0.0964
(23.0)
|
0.0877
(24.9)
|
0.0929
(23.3)
|
0.0855
(22.3)
|
| Lorenzo Cain | 0.1145 |
0.0809
(22.6)
|
0.0749
(22.8)
|
0.0758
(23.9)
|
0.0708
(21.3)
|
| Chris Davis | 0.0785 |
0.1296
(25.2)
|
0.1183
(22.3)
|
0.1260
(24.9)
|
0.1146
(23.7)
|
| José Ramírez | 0.1519 |
0.0883
(46.3)
|
0.0790
(48.9)
|
0.0831
(47.9)
|
0.0778
(45.2)
|
| Alex Bregman | 0.1362 |
0.0926
(32.7)
|
0.0835
(35.1)
|
0.0899
(32.4)
|
0.0850
(29.5)
|
| Max Muncy | 0.1642 |
0.1208
(22.3)
|
0.0977
(30.6)
|
0.1034
(29.2)
|
0.1054
(23.8)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Hicks | 0.1030 | 0.1549 | 31.8 |
| 2 | Mookie Betts | 0.0913 | 0.1319 | 26.7 |
| 3 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1440 | 0.1075 | 23.8 |
| 4 | Justin Bour | 0.1022 | 0.1457 | 23.2 |
| 5 | Derek Dietrich | 0.0970 | 0.0526 | 22.9 |
| 6 | Mike Trout | 0.1685 | 0.2007 | 21.2 |
| 7 | César Hernández | 0.1075 | 0.1342 | 20.9 |
| 8 | Joc Pederson | 0.1392 | 0.0903 | 20.4 |
| 9 | Justin Smoak | 0.1086 | 0.1397 | 20.2 |
| 10 | Johan Camargo | 0.0619 | 0.0973 | 20.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miguel Andujar | 0.0853 | 0.0413 | 28.4 |
| 2 | Aaron Hicks | 0.1031 | 0.1549 | 28.4 |
| 3 | Mookie Betts | 0.0844 | 0.1319 | 27.4 |
| 4 | Mike Trout | 0.1534 | 0.2007 | 27.0 |
| 5 | Ozzie Albies | 0.0831 | 0.0526 | 22.8 |
| 6 | Matt Davidson | 0.0562 | 0.1048 | 22.7 |
| 7 | César Hernández | 0.0993 | 0.1342 | 22.7 |
| 8 | Justin Bour | 0.0989 | 0.1457 | 22.0 |
| 9 | Bryce Harper | 0.1525 | 0.1871 | 22.0 |
| 10 | Lewis Brinson | 0.0897 | 0.0419 | 20.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johan Camargo | 0.0508 | 0.0973 | 24.3 |
| 2 | Aaron Hicks | 0.1154 | 0.1549 | 22.8 |
| 3 | Whit Merrifield | 0.0543 | 0.0863 | 22.4 |
| 4 | Justin Bour | 0.1035 | 0.1457 | 21.1 |
| 5 | Mookie Betts | 0.0984 | 0.1319 | 20.5 |
| 6 | Joc Pederson | 0.1355 | 0.0903 | 20.1 |
| 7 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1351 | 0.1075 | 19.6 |
| 8 | Stephen Piscotty | 0.1014 | 0.0694 | 19.5 |
| 9 | César Hernández | 0.1071 | 0.1342 | 19.0 |
| 10 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.1143 | 0.1495 | 18.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1360 | 0.1075 | 26.8 |
| 2 | Joc Pederson | 0.1368 | 0.0903 | 24.8 |
| 3 | Yonder Alonso | 0.1206 | 0.0889 | 23.6 |
| 4 | Stephen Piscotty | 0.0973 | 0.0694 | 22.5 |
| 5 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.1197 | 0.0993 | 21.0 |
| 6 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.1352 | 0.1088 | 20.7 |
| 7 | Whit Merrifield | 0.0478 | 0.0863 | 20.6 |
| 8 | Johan Camargo | 0.0491 | 0.0973 | 20.3 |
| 9 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1261 | 0.1053 | 20.1 |
| 10 | Anthony Rendon | 0.1162 | 0.0921 | 20.0 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.0411 |
0.0000
(16.3)
|
0.0093
(16.4)
|
0.0090
(16.5)
|
0.0084
(16.6)
|
| Robinson Chirinos | 0.0446 |
0.0000
(14.5)
|
0.0219
(9.2)
|
0.0180
(10.8)
|
0.0259
(7.2)
|
| C.J. Cron | 0.0304 |
0.0000
(11.1)
|
0.0138
(8.6)
|
0.0140
(8.4)
|
0.0146
(7.9)
|
| Willson Contreras | 0.0239 |
0.0000
(7.2)
|
0.0089
(7.5)
|
0.0100
(6.9)
|
0.0105
(6.4)
|
| Daniel Robertson | 0.0382 |
0.0000
(9.4)
|
0.0119
(8.6)
|
0.0140
(7.8)
|
0.0197
(5.7)
|
| Francisco Cervelli | 0.0371 |
0.0000
(10.7)
|
0.0155
(8.3)
|
0.0140
(8.8)
|
0.0192
(6.6)
|
| Carlos Gómez | 0.0515 |
0.0000
(16.7)
|
0.0221
(11.5)
|
0.0200
(12.3)
|
0.0284
(8.7)
|
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.0371 |
0.0000
(10.0)
|
0.0151
(7.9)
|
0.0150
(7.9)
|
0.0201
(5.8)
|
| Kris Bryant | 0.0372 |
0.0000
(12.1)
|
0.0196
(7.5)
|
0.0190
(7.7)
|
0.0209
(6.7)
|
| Chance Sisco | 0.0598 |
0.0000
(9.0)
|
0.0137
(8.3)
|
0.0100
(8.9)
|
0.0186
(7.3)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Dietrich | 0.0000 | 0.0381 | 15.1 |
| 2 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.0000 | 0.0301 | 12.9 |
| 3 | Jon Jay | 0.0000 | 0.0307 | 11.8 |
| 4 | Kolten Wong | 0.0000 | 0.0344 | 9.7 |
| 5 | Brian Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0239 | 8.9 |
| 6 | Kurt Suzuki | 0.0000 | 0.0335 | 8.9 |
| 7 | Brandon Guyer | 0.0000 | 0.0498 | 8.7 |
| 8 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0000 | 0.0237 | 7.7 |
| 9 | Justin Turner | 0.0000 | 0.0282 | 7.5 |
| 10 | Adam Eaton | 0.0000 | 0.0297 | 7.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Anderson | 0.0079 | 0.0239 | 9.9 |
| 2 | Yoán Moncada | 0.0122 | 0.0015 | 7.7 |
| 3 | Harrison Bader | 0.0079 | 0.0258 | 7.1 |
| 4 | Starling Marte | 0.0238 | 0.0132 | 7.1 |
| 5 | Paul DeJong | 0.0093 | 0.0245 | 6.9 |
| 6 | Mitch Moreland | 0.0132 | 0.0000 | 6.6 |
| 7 | Salvador Perez | 0.0099 | 0.0221 | 6.0 |
| 8 | Starlin Castro | 0.0080 | 0.0000 | 5.9 |
| 9 | Joey Wendle | 0.0046 | 0.0165 | 5.9 |
| 10 | Juan Soto | 0.0106 | 0.0000 | 5.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Anderson | 0.0110 | 0.0239 | 7.8 |
| 2 | Starling Marte | 0.0230 | 0.0132 | 6.7 |
| 3 | Paul DeJong | 0.0100 | 0.0245 | 6.5 |
| 4 | Mitch Moreland | 0.0120 | 0.0000 | 6.1 |
| 5 | Starlin Castro | 0.0080 | 0.0000 | 6.0 |
| 6 | Salvador Perez | 0.0100 | 0.0221 | 5.9 |
| 7 | JaCoby Jones | 0.0100 | 0.0236 | 5.7 |
| 8 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0130 | 0.0237 | 5.6 |
| 9 | Nick Markakis | 0.0080 | 0.0014 | 5.5 |
| 10 | Jon Jay | 0.0200 | 0.0307 | 5.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Starling Marte | 0.0298 | 0.0132 | 11.1 |
| 2 | George Springer | 0.0179 | 0.0081 | 7.1 |
| 3 | Derek Dietrich | 0.0481 | 0.0381 | 6.4 |
| 4 | Mitch Moreland | 0.0119 | 0.0000 | 6.2 |
| 5 | Juan Soto | 0.0106 | 0.0000 | 6.1 |
| 6 | Salvador Perez | 0.0095 | 0.0221 | 5.9 |
| 7 | Starlin Castro | 0.0071 | 0.0000 | 5.7 |
| 8 | Charlie Blackmon | 0.0179 | 0.0115 | 5.6 |
| 9 | James McCann | 0.0147 | 0.0044 | 5.5 |
| 10 | Paul DeJong | 0.0116 | 0.0245 | 5.5 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Votto | 0.0296 |
0.0644
(18.6)
|
0.0673
(23.6)
|
0.0674
(21.8)
|
0.0617
(22.4)
|
| Matt Carpenter | 0.0876 |
0.0638
(19.5)
|
0.0582
(19.8)
|
0.0509
(26.7)
|
0.0528
(21.0)
|
| Chris Davis | 0.0567 |
0.1049
(22.6)
|
0.0969
(21.0)
|
0.1123
(27.6)
|
0.1115
(30.6)
|
| José Ramírez | 0.0774 |
0.0393
(30.0)
|
0.0381
(27.3)
|
0.0403
(27.9)
|
0.0383
(24.6)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.0816 |
0.0386
(31.2)
|
0.0375
(28.7)
|
0.0525
(20.8)
|
0.0457
(20.9)
|
| Max Muncy | 0.1316 |
0.0391
(46.9)
|
0.0408
(43.6)
|
0.0409
(45.0)
|
0.0447
(39.9)
|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.0611 |
0.0989
(20.7)
|
0.0924
(19.8)
|
0.0959
(20.2)
|
0.1013
(27.8)
|
| Jesús Aguilar | 0.0975 |
0.0682
(19.4)
|
0.0647
(18.5)
|
0.0641
(20.5)
|
0.0615
(18.2)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Cron | 0.0459 | 0.0831 | 23.6 |
| 2 | Mike Trout | 0.0783 | 0.1108 | 22.8 |
| 3 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.0590 | 0.0870 | 19.9 |
| 4 | Gleyber Torres | 0.0400 | 0.0762 | 19.9 |
| 5 | Juan Soto | 0.0380 | 0.0696 | 18.0 |
| 6 | Corey Dickerson | 0.0688 | 0.0304 | 17.8 |
| 7 | Travis Shaw | 0.0551 | 0.0806 | 17.8 |
| 8 | Luke Voit | 0.0455 | 0.1500 | 17.6 |
| 9 | Francisco Lindor | 0.0497 | 0.0679 | 17.2 |
| 10 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.0566 | 0.0973 | 16.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Palka | 0.0463 | 0.1023 | 25.0 |
| 2 | Matt Olson | 0.1014 | 0.0692 | 21.4 |
| 3 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.0544 | 0.0870 | 19.6 |
| 4 | Willson Contreras | 0.0631 | 0.0280 | 19.2 |
| 5 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.0463 | 0.0973 | 18.7 |
| 6 | David Peralta | 0.0384 | 0.0685 | 18.4 |
| 7 | Mookie Betts | 0.0437 | 0.0737 | 18.3 |
| 8 | Mike Trout | 0.0811 | 0.1108 | 18.0 |
| 9 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.0463 | 0.0831 | 17.8 |
| 10 | C.J. Cron | 0.0514 | 0.0831 | 17.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.1502 | 0.0913 | 39.5 |
| 2 | Gleyber Torres | 0.0338 | 0.0762 | 21.8 |
| 3 | Juan Soto | 0.0288 | 0.0696 | 21.5 |
| 4 | David Peralta | 0.0381 | 0.0685 | 20.4 |
| 5 | Freddie Freeman | 0.0771 | 0.0467 | 19.5 |
| 6 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.0467 | 0.0831 | 19.1 |
| 7 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.0587 | 0.0870 | 18.8 |
| 8 | Daniel Palka | 0.0632 | 0.1023 | 18.8 |
| 9 | Luke Voit | 0.0439 | 0.1500 | 17.5 |
| 10 | Johan Camargo | 0.0230 | 0.0529 | 17.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.1576 | 0.0913 | 49.4 |
| 2 | Freddie Freeman | 0.0754 | 0.0467 | 23.0 |
| 3 | Matt Olson | 0.0976 | 0.0692 | 21.3 |
| 4 | Matt Chapman | 0.0882 | 0.0596 | 20.0 |
| 5 | Marcus Semien | 0.0522 | 0.0294 | 18.7 |
| 6 | Kris Bryant | 0.0827 | 0.0456 | 18.7 |
| 7 | Adam Jones | 0.0568 | 0.0305 | 18.5 |
| 8 | Addison Russell | 0.0503 | 0.0154 | 18.0 |
| 9 | Corey Dickerson | 0.0600 | 0.0304 | 17.8 |
| 10 | George Springer | 0.0758 | 0.0513 | 17.6 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Wendle | 0.3510 |
0.2985
(33.3)
|
0.2961
(32.4)
|
0.2917
(34.9)
|
0.2878
(34.5)
|
| Mookie Betts | 0.3682 |
0.2970
(49.0)
|
0.2973
(46.2)
|
0.3002
(44.7)
|
0.3074
(37.4)
|
| Matt Chapman | 0.3377 |
0.2918
(33.6)
|
0.2952
(28.9)
|
0.2743
(42.0)
|
0.2796
(35.9)
|
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.4061 |
0.3089
(39.9)
|
0.3294
(30.6)
|
0.3085
(38.6)
|
0.3086
(36.8)
|
| Gary Sánchez | 0.1972 |
0.2978
(34.4)
|
0.3059
(39.0)
|
0.2863
(31.6)
|
0.2848
(32.7)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whit Merrifield | 0.2925 | 0.3502 | 46.9 |
| 2 | Nick Castellanos | 0.3103 | 0.3608 | 40.1 |
| 3 | Nolan Arenado | 0.2638 | 0.3135 | 39.2 |
| 4 | Odúbel Herrera | 0.3624 | 0.2892 | 38.5 |
| 5 | Kole Calhoun | 0.3169 | 0.2399 | 37.8 |
| 6 | Ryon Healy | 0.3372 | 0.2570 | 37.5 |
| 7 | Nelson Cruz | 0.3352 | 0.2645 | 36.7 |
| 8 | Travis Shaw | 0.3103 | 0.2411 | 35.6 |
| 9 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3286 | 0.3747 | 35.5 |
| 10 | Trevor Story | 0.3007 | 0.3451 | 34.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Ramírez | 0.3077 | 0.2516 | 36.1 |
| 2 | Travis Shaw | 0.3059 | 0.2411 | 35.5 |
| 3 | Dexter Fowler | 0.3149 | 0.2095 | 33.7 |
| 4 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2900 | 0.3333 | 33.6 |
| 5 | Nelson Cruz | 0.3227 | 0.2645 | 31.8 |
| 6 | Nick Castellanos | 0.3188 | 0.3608 | 31.5 |
| 7 | Yan Gomes | 0.2679 | 0.3358 | 31.4 |
| 8 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.3543 | 0.2966 | 30.9 |
| 9 | Ryon Healy | 0.3188 | 0.2570 | 30.1 |
| 10 | Odúbel Herrera | 0.3440 | 0.2892 | 30.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scooter Gennett | 0.3001 | 0.3559 | 38.7 |
| 2 | Ian Desmond | 0.3434 | 0.2781 | 37.5 |
| 3 | Wilson Ramos | 0.2678 | 0.3529 | 37.4 |
| 4 | Juan Soto | 0.2688 | 0.3367 | 35.9 |
| 5 | Nick Castellanos | 0.3160 | 0.3608 | 33.6 |
| 6 | Dexter Fowler | 0.3118 | 0.2095 | 32.6 |
| 7 | Whit Merrifield | 0.3090 | 0.3502 | 32.5 |
| 8 | José Ramírez | 0.3023 | 0.2516 | 32.0 |
| 9 | Max Kepler | 0.2928 | 0.2363 | 31.6 |
| 10 | Matt Duffy | 0.3013 | 0.3521 | 31.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Ramírez | 0.3068 | 0.2516 | 38.4 |
| 2 | Dexter Fowler | 0.3158 | 0.2095 | 35.4 |
| 3 | Logan Morrison | 0.2885 | 0.1964 | 33.0 |
| 4 | Scooter Gennett | 0.3047 | 0.3559 | 32.8 |
| 5 | Chris Davis | 0.2996 | 0.2368 | 32.7 |
| 6 | Max Kepler | 0.2899 | 0.2363 | 32.6 |
| 7 | Kole Calhoun | 0.2981 | 0.2399 | 32.0 |
| 8 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2891 | 0.3333 | 31.3 |
| 9 | Matt Duffy | 0.2969 | 0.3521 | 31.0 |
| 10 | Travis Shaw | 0.2936 | 0.2411 | 30.7 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.1938 |
0.2444
(30.1)
|
0.2345
(24.9)
|
0.2361
(25.6)
|
0.2462
(35.0)
|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.1714 |
0.2281
(29.4)
|
0.2210
(26.5)
|
0.2249
(28.5)
|
0.2186
(26.8)
|
| Scooter Gennett | 0.2815 |
0.2423
(29.7)
|
0.2399
(29.7)
|
0.2249
(39.6)
|
0.2244
(37.8)
|
| Willy Adames | 0.3387 |
0.2461
(32.3)
|
0.2192
(40.2)
|
0.2267
(38.0)
|
0.2275
(36.6)
|
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.1954 |
0.2550
(30.3)
|
0.2599
(34.5)
|
0.2473
(26.9)
|
0.2505
(30.8)
|
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.3147 |
0.2195
(38.6)
|
0.2529
(25.1)
|
0.2360
(31.8)
|
0.2344
(31.1)
|
| Gary Sánchez | 0.1174 |
0.2194
(35.4)
|
0.2336
(41.6)
|
0.2184
(35.7)
|
0.2121
(34.7)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nolan Arenado | 0.1558 | 0.2220 | 49.5 |
| 2 | Trevor Story | 0.1601 | 0.2242 | 46.8 |
| 3 | J.D. Martinez | 0.2229 | 0.2739 | 37.9 |
| 4 | Gerardo Parra | 0.2045 | 0.2800 | 36.7 |
| 5 | Kyle Seager | 0.2292 | 0.1639 | 36.5 |
| 6 | Whit Merrifield | 0.2170 | 0.2607 | 36.1 |
| 7 | David Peralta | 0.2051 | 0.2549 | 35.0 |
| 8 | José A. Martínez | 0.2281 | 0.2775 | 33.5 |
| 9 | Nelson Cruz | 0.2737 | 0.2121 | 32.1 |
| 10 | Alex Bregman | 0.2327 | 0.1809 | 31.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.2848 | 0.2202 | 34.6 |
| 2 | Matt Duffy | 0.2429 | 0.2958 | 32.4 |
| 3 | Justin Upton | 0.2192 | 0.2643 | 30.6 |
| 4 | Ben Zobrist | 0.1989 | 0.2513 | 29.8 |
| 5 | Ian Desmond | 0.2568 | 0.2041 | 29.6 |
| 6 | Jake Bauers | 0.2192 | 0.1389 | 29.3 |
| 7 | Adam Engel | 0.1883 | 0.2450 | 28.5 |
| 8 | José Ramírez | 0.2066 | 0.1613 | 28.2 |
| 9 | J.D. Martinez | 0.2379 | 0.2739 | 26.5 |
| 10 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2085 | 0.2407 | 26.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Duffy | 0.2360 | 0.2958 | 36.6 |
| 2 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.2476 | 0.2952 | 32.9 |
| 3 | Ian Desmond | 0.2624 | 0.2041 | 32.7 |
| 4 | José Ramírez | 0.2102 | 0.1613 | 30.3 |
| 5 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.2773 | 0.2202 | 30.0 |
| 6 | Justin Upton | 0.2213 | 0.2643 | 29.7 |
| 7 | Max Kepler | 0.2080 | 0.1551 | 29.0 |
| 8 | Jonathan Villar | 0.2408 | 0.2902 | 28.3 |
| 9 | Jake Bauers | 0.2166 | 0.1389 | 28.0 |
| 10 | Whit Merrifield | 0.2267 | 0.2607 | 27.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.1905 | 0.2407 | 36.9 |
| 2 | Matt Duffy | 0.2344 | 0.2958 | 35.6 |
| 3 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.2817 | 0.2202 | 34.5 |
| 4 | J.D. Martinez | 0.2233 | 0.2739 | 34.2 |
| 5 | Justin Upton | 0.2134 | 0.2643 | 32.4 |
| 6 | José Ramírez | 0.2092 | 0.1613 | 32.0 |
| 7 | Jake Bauers | 0.2182 | 0.1389 | 30.0 |
| 8 | Ian Desmond | 0.2529 | 0.2041 | 29.0 |
| 9 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.2506 | 0.2952 | 28.9 |
| 10 | Jonathan Villar | 0.2364 | 0.2902 | 28.8 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Andujar | 0.1038 |
0.0763
(17.7)
|
0.0775
(15.5)
|
0.0631
(24.5)
|
0.0713
(17.7)
|
| Odúbel Herrera | 0.0466 |
0.0847
(21.8)
|
0.0773
(18.8)
|
0.0737
(16.3)
|
0.0777
(20.5)
|
| Mookie Betts | 0.1169 |
0.0855
(20.3)
|
0.0790
(22.8)
|
0.0822
(21.2)
|
0.0815
(19.8)
|
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.1129 |
0.0778
(23.2)
|
0.0616
(31.9)
|
0.0689
(27.6)
|
0.0714
(24.1)
|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.1014 |
0.0699
(17.7)
|
0.0711
(15.8)
|
0.0687
(17.4)
|
0.0643
(18.1)
|
| Jonathan Villar | 0.0442 |
0.0842
(19.8)
|
0.0789
(18.3)
|
0.0757
(16.4)
|
0.0735
(16.8)
|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.0352 |
0.0650
(17.6)
|
0.0668
(20.3)
|
0.0729
(23.8)
|
0.0709
(24.4)
|
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.1142 |
0.0738
(24.4)
|
0.0696
(25.4)
|
0.0716
(24.6)
|
0.0737
(21.6)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Smoak | 0.0526 | 0.1040 | 31.5 |
| 2 | Alex Bregman | 0.0714 | 0.1060 | 25.6 |
| 3 | Gerardo Parra | 0.0990 | 0.0523 | 20.0 |
| 4 | Ian Desmond | 0.0863 | 0.0536 | 19.2 |
| 5 | David Peralta | 0.0940 | 0.0613 | 19.1 |
| 6 | Jurickson Profar | 0.0532 | 0.0833 | 18.9 |
| 7 | César Hernández | 0.0624 | 0.0342 | 18.8 |
| 8 | Matt Carpenter | 0.0867 | 0.1120 | 18.3 |
| 9 | Jordy Mercer | 0.0557 | 0.0951 | 17.9 |
| 10 | Trea Turner | 0.0782 | 0.0524 | 17.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Upton | 0.0931 | 0.0541 | 24.4 |
| 2 | Matt Olson | 0.0484 | 0.0846 | 23.4 |
| 3 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.0649 | 0.1000 | 22.7 |
| 4 | Justin Smoak | 0.0697 | 0.1040 | 19.9 |
| 5 | Jurickson Profar | 0.0497 | 0.0833 | 19.5 |
| 6 | Miguel Rojas | 0.0667 | 0.0313 | 19.1 |
| 7 | Ryon Healy | 0.0763 | 0.0419 | 18.4 |
| 8 | Devon Travis | 0.0939 | 0.0496 | 17.0 |
| 9 | Nick Ahmed | 0.0524 | 0.0831 | 16.9 |
| 10 | Joey Wendle | 0.0526 | 0.0833 | 16.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.0655 | 0.1000 | 22.6 |
| 2 | Alex Bregman | 0.0751 | 0.1060 | 21.7 |
| 3 | Juan Soto | 0.0426 | 0.0850 | 20.9 |
| 4 | Matt Chapman | 0.0771 | 0.1108 | 20.7 |
| 5 | Yoán Moncada | 0.0613 | 0.0920 | 19.8 |
| 6 | Justin Smoak | 0.0712 | 0.1040 | 19.3 |
| 7 | Justin Upton | 0.0839 | 0.0541 | 18.4 |
| 8 | Nick Castellanos | 0.0777 | 0.1024 | 16.7 |
| 9 | Javier Báez | 0.0719 | 0.0976 | 16.4 |
| 10 | Wil Myers | 0.0727 | 0.1202 | 16.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Upton | 0.0854 | 0.0541 | 21.2 |
| 2 | Yoán Moncada | 0.0573 | 0.0920 | 20.4 |
| 3 | Devon Travis | 0.0996 | 0.0496 | 20.1 |
| 4 | Javier Báez | 0.0660 | 0.0976 | 18.2 |
| 5 | Alex Bregman | 0.0778 | 0.1060 | 17.6 |
| 6 | Yonder Alonso | 0.0777 | 0.0507 | 17.4 |
| 7 | Yuli Gurriel | 0.0967 | 0.0705 | 16.9 |
| 8 | Chris Davis | 0.0729 | 0.0451 | 16.2 |
| 9 | Nick Williams | 0.0753 | 0.0430 | 15.9 |
| 10 | Niko Goodrum | 0.0631 | 0.0973 | 15.2 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Báez | 0.0220 |
0.0055
(10.4)
|
0.0061
(10.4)
|
0.0056
(10.2)
|
0.0063
(11.0)
|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.0290 |
0.0140
(7.8)
|
0.0051
(12.9)
|
0.0070
(11.5)
|
0.0143
(8.6)
|
| Ian Desmond | 0.0204 |
0.0096
(6.5)
|
0.0068
(8.6)
|
0.0068
(8.1)
|
0.0058
(9.9)
|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.0378 |
0.0139
(8.7)
|
0.0129
(9.3)
|
0.0108
(9.7)
|
0.0189
(7.4)
|
| Ketel Marte | 0.0279 |
0.0116
(9.3)
|
0.0072
(12.2)
|
0.0119
(9.0)
|
0.0151
(8.2)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.0173 |
0.0071
(6.4)
|
0.0049
(8.3)
|
0.0045
(8.0)
|
0.0091
(6.2)
|
| Teoscar Hernández | 0.0238 |
0.0000
(12.3)
|
0.0062
(9.4)
|
0.0073
(8.4)
|
0.0091
(8.4)
|
| Nicky Delmonico | 0.0254 |
0.0028
(7.1)
|
0.0054
(6.4)
|
0.0069
(5.7)
|
0.0000
(8.5)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yolmer Sánchez | 0.0069 | 0.0218 | 9.6 |
| 2 | Cody Bellinger | 0.0063 | 0.0182 | 7.3 |
| 3 | JaCoby Jones | 0.0062 | 0.0215 | 7.0 |
| 4 | Alen Hanson | 0.0000 | 0.0226 | 6.9 |
| 5 | Yoán Moncada | 0.0063 | 0.0172 | 6.9 |
| 6 | Ozzie Albies | 0.0191 | 0.0099 | 6.5 |
| 7 | Hunter Dozier | 0.0000 | 0.0165 | 6.3 |
| 8 | Denard Span | 0.0073 | 0.0198 | 6.1 |
| 9 | Jurickson Profar | 0.0038 | 0.0143 | 6.0 |
| 10 | Billy Hamilton | 0.0130 | 0.0241 | 6.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Beckham | 0.0192 | 0.0000 | 7.6 |
| 2 | Alex Bregman | 0.0131 | 0.0021 | 7.6 |
| 3 | JaCoby Jones | 0.0060 | 0.0215 | 7.4 |
| 4 | Yolmer Sánchez | 0.0117 | 0.0218 | 6.9 |
| 5 | Gregory Polanco | 0.0061 | 0.0181 | 6.6 |
| 6 | Chris Taylor | 0.0128 | 0.0232 | 6.4 |
| 7 | Dexter Fowler | 0.0195 | 0.0000 | 6.4 |
| 8 | Mitch Moreland | 0.0000 | 0.0137 | 6.4 |
| 9 | César Hernández | 0.0157 | 0.0068 | 6.1 |
| 10 | Willson Contreras | 0.0035 | 0.0144 | 6.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregory Polanco | 0.0043 | 0.0181 | 7.1 |
| 2 | Chris Taylor | 0.0109 | 0.0232 | 7.1 |
| 3 | Cody Bellinger | 0.0075 | 0.0182 | 6.5 |
| 4 | Tommy Pham | 0.0061 | 0.0179 | 6.4 |
| 5 | Jeff McNeil | 0.0041 | 0.0297 | 6.2 |
| 6 | Denard Span | 0.0070 | 0.0198 | 6.2 |
| 7 | Jurickson Profar | 0.0039 | 0.0143 | 5.9 |
| 8 | Ozzie Albies | 0.0180 | 0.0099 | 5.8 |
| 9 | Dexter Fowler | 0.0168 | 0.0000 | 5.8 |
| 10 | Alex Bregman | 0.0093 | 0.0021 | 5.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Schebler | 0.0175 | 0.0000 | 6.9 |
| 2 | Mitch Moreland | 0.0000 | 0.0137 | 6.9 |
| 3 | César Hernández | 0.0175 | 0.0068 | 6.6 |
| 4 | Yolmer Sánchez | 0.0133 | 0.0218 | 6.5 |
| 5 | Gregory Polanco | 0.0080 | 0.0181 | 6.2 |
| 6 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.0106 | 0.0000 | 6.1 |
| 7 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.0055 | 0.0129 | 6.1 |
| 8 | Jeff McNeil | 0.0069 | 0.0297 | 6.0 |
| 9 | Jon Jay | 0.0072 | 0.0160 | 6.0 |
| 10 | JaCoby Jones | 0.0102 | 0.0215 | 5.9 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 0.1559 |
0.1111
(26.0)
|
0.1190
(19.4)
|
0.0918
(32.3)
|
0.1190
(16.8)
|
| Javier Báez | 0.1566 |
0.1272
(24.1)
|
0.1260
(21.3)
|
0.1177
(25.9)
|
0.1243
(19.0)
|
| Mookie Betts | 0.2101 |
0.1795
(23.7)
|
0.1469
(40.3)
|
0.1583
(32.6)
|
0.1522
(33.8)
|
| Matt Chapman | 0.1623 |
0.1164
(33.2)
|
0.1183
(28.6)
|
0.1199
(26.9)
|
0.1267
(20.2)
|
| Chris Davis | 0.0766 |
0.1235
(20.3)
|
0.1374
(30.5)
|
0.1335
(29.0)
|
0.1349
(31.9)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.1813 |
0.1566
(21.2)
|
0.1288
(35.7)
|
0.1441
(25.1)
|
0.1408
(24.5)
|
| Max Muncy | 0.1559 |
0.1111
(25.4)
|
0.1116
(22.4)
|
0.0995
(27.8)
|
0.1131
(19.2)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Carpenter | 0.1349 | 0.1640 | 25.0 |
| 2 | Charlie Culberson | 0.0808 | 0.1460 | 23.5 |
| 3 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1542 | 0.1113 | 23.3 |
| 4 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1502 | 0.1732 | 23.1 |
| 5 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.1520 | 0.1054 | 22.7 |
| 6 | Aaron Hicks | 0.1248 | 0.1549 | 22.1 |
| 7 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1244 | 0.1602 | 21.3 |
| 8 | Brian Anderson | 0.1062 | 0.1299 | 21.2 |
| 9 | Victor Martinez | 0.1118 | 0.0630 | 20.7 |
| 10 | Tommy Pham | 0.1521 | 0.1789 | 19.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1333 | 0.1732 | 31.4 |
| 2 | Didi Gregorius | 0.1168 | 0.1564 | 23.9 |
| 3 | Adam Jones | 0.1263 | 0.0881 | 22.0 |
| 4 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.1448 | 0.1054 | 21.8 |
| 5 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.1257 | 0.1558 | 21.5 |
| 6 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1190 | 0.1602 | 21.2 |
| 7 | Joey Votto | 0.1426 | 0.1075 | 20.4 |
| 8 | Aaron Hicks | 0.1223 | 0.1549 | 20.3 |
| 9 | Cameron Maybin | 0.1367 | 0.0833 | 19.6 |
| 10 | Ozzie Albies | 0.1276 | 0.1535 | 19.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1533 | 0.1113 | 27.0 |
| 2 | Tommy Pham | 0.1348 | 0.1789 | 25.9 |
| 3 | Victor Martinez | 0.1136 | 0.0630 | 25.0 |
| 4 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.1126 | 0.1602 | 23.8 |
| 5 | Joey Votto | 0.1467 | 0.1075 | 23.6 |
| 6 | Adam Jones | 0.1279 | 0.0881 | 23.6 |
| 7 | Ozzie Albies | 0.1209 | 0.1535 | 23.2 |
| 8 | Amed Rosario | 0.0910 | 0.1284 | 22.9 |
| 9 | Didi Gregorius | 0.1181 | 0.1564 | 22.6 |
| 10 | Brian Anderson | 0.0977 | 0.1299 | 22.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Lindor | 0.1351 | 0.1732 | 26.3 |
| 2 | Adam Jones | 0.1234 | 0.0881 | 23.4 |
| 3 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1429 | 0.1113 | 22.9 |
| 4 | Joey Votto | 0.1394 | 0.1075 | 21.6 |
| 5 | Didi Gregorius | 0.1164 | 0.1564 | 21.2 |
| 6 | Ozzie Albies | 0.1205 | 0.1535 | 20.6 |
| 7 | Charlie Culberson | 0.0827 | 0.1460 | 19.5 |
| 8 | Jake Cave | 0.1098 | 0.1748 | 19.2 |
| 9 | Eric Hosmer | 0.1317 | 0.1064 | 19.1 |
| 10 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.1686 | 0.1447 | 18.9 |
RBI Rate
Everybody Missed for RBI Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Lowrie | 0.1456 |
0.1024
(34.7)
|
0.1016
(31.2)
|
0.1080
(31.4)
|
0.0940
(35.4)
|
| Lorenzo Cain | 0.0613 |
0.1187
(30.8)
|
0.1034
(24.9)
|
0.1071
(23.0)
|
0.1019
(24.8)
|
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.1776 |
0.1429
(24.7)
|
0.1133
(38.3)
|
0.1236
(36.3)
|
0.1144
(37.0)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.1690 |
0.1203
(36.8)
|
0.1192
(33.6)
|
0.1224
(35.9)
|
0.1305
(25.4)
|
| Max Muncy | 0.1642 |
0.0966
(36.3)
|
0.0930
(35.1)
|
0.1010
(34.6)
|
0.1028
(29.8)
|
| Jesús Aguilar | 0.1908 |
0.1324
(37.5)
|
0.1425
(28.4)
|
0.1298
(39.4)
|
0.1501
(23.4)
|
Individual Misses for RBI Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.1214 | 0.1716 | 35.2 |
| 2 | Javier Báez | 0.1254 | 0.1721 | 35.1 |
| 3 | Gleyber Torres | 0.0960 | 0.1591 | 34.3 |
| 4 | Miguel Andujar | 0.1084 | 0.1518 | 31.0 |
| 5 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1705 | 0.1203 | 29.2 |
| 6 | José Ramírez | 0.1167 | 0.1504 | 29.0 |
| 7 | Shin-Soo Choo | 0.1440 | 0.0932 | 28.6 |
| 8 | Willson Contreras | 0.1593 | 0.0993 | 28.4 |
| 9 | Evan Gattis | 0.1193 | 0.1729 | 27.7 |
| 10 | Wilson Ramos | 0.1123 | 0.1683 | 26.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.1195 | 0.1716 | 32.7 |
| 2 | J.D. Martinez | 0.1602 | 0.2003 | 27.2 |
| 3 | Javier Báez | 0.1319 | 0.1721 | 27.1 |
| 4 | Jurickson Profar | 0.0882 | 0.1296 | 25.7 |
| 5 | Eric Hosmer | 0.1412 | 0.1019 | 25.3 |
| 6 | Gregory Polanco | 0.1064 | 0.1514 | 25.1 |
| 7 | Brandon Crawford | 0.1342 | 0.0909 | 24.6 |
| 8 | Trey Mancini | 0.1312 | 0.0912 | 24.3 |
| 9 | José Ramírez | 0.1176 | 0.1504 | 24.2 |
| 10 | Starlin Castro | 0.1220 | 0.0835 | 23.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2136 | 0.1418 | 44.5 |
| 2 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.1217 | 0.1716 | 35.5 |
| 3 | Gleyber Torres | 0.1069 | 0.1591 | 29.4 |
| 4 | Nick Markakis | 0.1034 | 0.1319 | 26.2 |
| 5 | Javier Báez | 0.1406 | 0.1721 | 25.9 |
| 6 | Juan Soto | 0.0987 | 0.1417 | 25.5 |
| 7 | Johan Camargo | 0.1068 | 0.1450 | 24.6 |
| 8 | Chris Davis | 0.1478 | 0.0939 | 23.6 |
| 9 | David Peralta | 0.1127 | 0.1417 | 23.1 |
| 10 | Cody Bellinger | 0.1648 | 0.1203 | 22.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2310 | 0.1418 | 62.5 |
| 2 | Cody Bellinger | 0.1845 | 0.1203 | 40.3 |
| 3 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1693 | 0.1203 | 33.4 |
| 4 | Brandon Crawford | 0.1411 | 0.0909 | 29.5 |
| 5 | Chris Davis | 0.1497 | 0.0939 | 28.9 |
| 6 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.1888 | 0.1455 | 28.2 |
| 7 | Johan Camargo | 0.0919 | 0.1450 | 28.1 |
| 8 | Ian Happ | 0.1560 | 0.0952 | 27.8 |
| 9 | Addison Russell | 0.1398 | 0.0817 | 26.7 |
| 10 | Trey Mancini | 0.1332 | 0.0912 | 26.4 |
Stolen Base Rate
Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Báez | 0.1654 |
0.0719
(61.5)
|
0.0870
(52.3)
|
0.0872
(53.5)
|
0.1111
(43.1)
|
| Eduardo Núñez | 0.0642 |
0.1733
(53.8)
|
0.1935
(63.6)
|
0.1735
(52.5)
|
0.2069
(65.3)
|
| Adalberto Mondesi | 0.5517 |
0.2364
(92.3)
|
0.1667
(112.8)
|
0.2415
(91.7)
|
0.2955
(78.2)
|
| Billy Hamilton | 0.2482 |
0.3478
(54.3)
|
0.3813
(72.5)
|
0.3540
(56.2)
|
0.4167
(86.7)
|
| Ender Inciarte | 0.1647 |
0.1053
(40.5)
|
0.1047
(41.4)
|
0.1060
(41.9)
|
0.1183
(38.9)
|
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.1441 |
0.0580
(47.1)
|
0.0611
(45.8)
|
0.0517
(52.0)
|
0.0597
(51.9)
|
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.3038 |
0.1300
(67.7)
|
0.1633
(55.1)
|
0.1641
(55.6)
|
0.2019
(44.1)
|
| Trevor Story | 0.1888 |
0.0882
(67.2)
|
0.0708
(79.2)
|
0.0737
(78.6)
|
0.0909
(72.5)
|
| Jace Peterson | 0.2241 |
0.0504
(43.2)
|
0.0549
(42.3)
|
0.0683
(39.5)
|
0.0833
(37.7)
|
Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yoán Moncada | 0.1748 | 0.0805 | 60.0 |
| 2 | Whit Merrifield | 0.1496 | 0.2239 | 53.9 |
| 3 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.1500 | 0.0500 | 51.3 |
| 4 | Amed Rosario | 0.1094 | 0.1832 | 44.9 |
| 5 | José Ramírez | 0.1176 | 0.1799 | 44.8 |
| 6 | Francisco Lindor | 0.0833 | 0.1397 | 43.4 |
| 7 | Gleyber Torres | 0.1395 | 0.0488 | 43.0 |
| 8 | Ian Kinsler | 0.0596 | 0.1322 | 39.8 |
| 9 | Ian Desmond | 0.0826 | 0.1439 | 39.2 |
| 10 | Rajai Davis | 0.2326 | 0.4118 | 39.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trea Turner | 0.3190 | 0.2129 | 76.5 |
| 2 | Tim Anderson | 0.1026 | 0.2185 | 71.9 |
| 3 | Greg Allen | 0.0566 | 0.2877 | 68.0 |
| 4 | José Ramírez | 0.1111 | 0.1799 | 49.9 |
| 5 | Amed Rosario | 0.1077 | 0.1832 | 46.3 |
| 6 | Whit Merrifield | 0.1615 | 0.2239 | 46.0 |
| 7 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1038 | 0.0359 | 45.0 |
| 8 | Mallex Smith | 0.1771 | 0.2532 | 42.9 |
| 9 | Elvis Andrus | 0.1419 | 0.0485 | 38.8 |
| 10 | Jose Iglesias | 0.0661 | 0.1442 | 37.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trea Turner | 0.3070 | 0.2129 | 66.1 |
| 2 | Tim Anderson | 0.1158 | 0.2185 | 65.1 |
| 3 | José Ramírez | 0.1062 | 0.1799 | 54.7 |
| 4 | Francisco Lindor | 0.0843 | 0.1397 | 44.8 |
| 5 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.1390 | 0.0500 | 44.1 |
| 6 | Whit Merrifield | 0.1683 | 0.2239 | 42.6 |
| 7 | Christian Yelich | 0.0627 | 0.1189 | 39.7 |
| 8 | Greg Allen | 0.1574 | 0.2877 | 39.3 |
| 9 | Amed Rosario | 0.1247 | 0.1832 | 37.4 |
| 10 | Yasiel Puig | 0.0726 | 0.1500 | 36.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trea Turner | 0.3309 | 0.2129 | 78.0 |
| 2 | Tim Anderson | 0.1452 | 0.2185 | 52.0 |
| 3 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.2374 | 0.1311 | 45.6 |
| 4 | Teoscar Hernández | 0.1478 | 0.0500 | 44.6 |
| 5 | Leonys Martin | 0.2193 | 0.0824 | 43.9 |
| 6 | Jose Altuve | 0.1753 | 0.0914 | 42.7 |
| 7 | Jose Iglesias | 0.0672 | 0.1442 | 41.6 |
| 8 | Francisco Lindor | 0.0966 | 0.1397 | 41.4 |
| 9 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.2961 | 0.2174 | 38.9 |
| 10 | Cameron Maybin | 0.2083 | 0.0952 | 38.6 |
Batting Average
Everybody Missed for Batting Average
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Martinez | 0.3304 |
0.2732
(42.2)
|
0.2902
(30.5)
|
0.2854
(35.7)
|
0.2878
(26.7)
|
| Bryce Harper | 0.2491 |
0.3013
(30.8)
|
0.2877
(22.1)
|
0.3012
(29.3)
|
0.2947
(32.8)
|
| Joey Wendle | 0.2998 |
0.2337
(40.3)
|
0.2576
(26.8)
|
0.2399
(38.1)
|
0.2411
(31.2)
|
| Mookie Betts | 0.3462 |
0.2894
(39.7)
|
0.2860
(41.2)
|
0.2991
(35.0)
|
0.2964
(29.6)
|
| Scooter Gennett | 0.3099 |
0.2767
(26.2)
|
0.2735
(27.6)
|
0.2590
(38.9)
|
0.2649
(27.7)
|
| Matt Chapman | 0.2779 |
0.2222
(39.1)
|
0.2440
(25.1)
|
0.2264
(37.9)
|
0.2248
(31.7)
|
| Trevor Story | 0.2910 |
0.2447
(35.6)
|
0.2521
(30.0)
|
0.2517
(32.3)
|
0.2398
(32.5)
|
| Ben Zobrist | 0.3055 |
0.2648
(25.3)
|
0.2575
(28.5)
|
0.2616
(28.0)
|
0.2554
(25.2)
|
| Gary Sánchez | 0.1858 |
0.2755
(30.6)
|
0.2766
(31.4)
|
0.2686
(27.2)
|
0.2614
(28.9)
|
Individual Misses for Batting Average
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whit Merrifield | 0.2561 | 0.3038 | 39.3 |
| 2 | Miguel Andujar | 0.2436 | 0.2967 | 37.0 |
| 3 | Brian Anderson | 0.2308 | 0.2729 | 33.5 |
| 4 | Kyle Seager | 0.2757 | 0.2213 | 29.3 |
| 5 | Juan Soto | 0.2420 | 0.2923 | 28.7 |
| 6 | Kole Calhoun | 0.2672 | 0.2077 | 28.5 |
| 7 | Max Muncy | 0.2143 | 0.2633 | 27.4 |
| 8 | Nick Castellanos | 0.2671 | 0.2984 | 26.5 |
| 9 | José A. Martínez | 0.2682 | 0.3052 | 26.5 |
| 10 | Carlos Correa | 0.3025 | 0.2388 | 26.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Davis | 0.2340 | 0.1681 | 30.8 |
| 2 | Christian Yelich | 0.2870 | 0.3258 | 29.7 |
| 3 | Nick Castellanos | 0.2685 | 0.2984 | 24.9 |
| 4 | Dexter Fowler | 0.2612 | 0.1799 | 24.8 |
| 5 | Mallex Smith | 0.2583 | 0.2958 | 24.2 |
| 6 | Brian Dozier | 0.2596 | 0.2152 | 23.7 |
| 7 | Miguel Andujar | 0.2646 | 0.2967 | 23.6 |
| 8 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.2517 | 0.2933 | 23.6 |
| 9 | Juan Soto | 0.2517 | 0.2923 | 23.4 |
| 10 | Anthony Rendon | 0.2773 | 0.3081 | 22.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Soto | 0.2323 | 0.2923 | 34.6 |
| 2 | Mallex Smith | 0.2497 | 0.2958 | 30.5 |
| 3 | Whit Merrifield | 0.2728 | 0.3038 | 29.0 |
| 4 | Mitch Haniger | 0.2535 | 0.2852 | 28.5 |
| 5 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.2360 | 0.2744 | 27.4 |
| 6 | Nick Markakis | 0.2689 | 0.2970 | 26.8 |
| 7 | Max Muncy | 0.2179 | 0.2633 | 26.6 |
| 8 | Wilson Ramos | 0.2539 | 0.3063 | 25.9 |
| 9 | Chris Davis | 0.2277 | 0.1681 | 25.9 |
| 10 | Christian Yelich | 0.2962 | 0.3258 | 25.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Seager | 0.2715 | 0.2213 | 32.6 |
| 2 | Chris Davis | 0.2229 | 0.1681 | 29.4 |
| 3 | Carlos Correa | 0.2979 | 0.2388 | 28.4 |
| 4 | Kole Calhoun | 0.2571 | 0.2077 | 28.1 |
| 5 | Mallex Smith | 0.2428 | 0.2958 | 28.0 |
| 6 | Dexter Fowler | 0.2613 | 0.1799 | 27.7 |
| 7 | Brian Dozier | 0.2573 | 0.2152 | 27.6 |
| 8 | Jonathan Lucroy | 0.2977 | 0.2410 | 26.5 |
| 9 | Logan Morrison | 0.2550 | 0.1855 | 25.5 |
| 10 | Yangervis Solarte | 0.2727 | 0.2265 | 24.2 |
On-Base Percentage
Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 0.4057 |
0.2954
(55.9)
|
0.3227
(42.7)
|
0.2769
(67.5)
|
0.3227
(36.3)
|
| Mookie Betts | 0.4381 |
0.3543
(53.2)
|
0.3464
(58.4)
|
0.3700
(46.7)
|
0.3622
(40.7)
|
| Kyle Seager | 0.2730 |
0.3485
(45.7)
|
0.3345
(36.6)
|
0.3379
(35.9)
|
0.3417
(49.3)
|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.4037 |
0.3362
(37.7)
|
0.3489
(31.2)
|
0.3328
(42.2)
|
0.3298
(34.4)
|
| Chris Davis | 0.2433 |
0.3239
(40.6)
|
0.3308
(43.9)
|
0.3313
(41.8)
|
0.3179
(43.9)
|
| Alex Bregman | 0.3943 |
0.3471
(35.3)
|
0.3382
(42.0)
|
0.3456
(39.9)
|
0.3388
(32.4)
|
| Max Muncy | 0.3909 |
0.3092
(40.7)
|
0.3099
(40.6)
|
0.3040
(45.6)
|
0.3085
(35.0)
|
| Whit Merrifield | 0.3674 |
0.3018
(48.4)
|
0.3236
(33.4)
|
0.3160
(41.9)
|
0.3173
(28.6)
|
Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Wendle | 0.2732 | 0.3536 | 45.4 |
| 2 | Brian Anderson | 0.2920 | 0.3567 | 45.3 |
| 3 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3457 | 0.4022 | 38.5 |
| 4 | Johan Camargo | 0.2874 | 0.3492 | 33.9 |
| 5 | Matt Chapman | 0.3035 | 0.3555 | 33.8 |
| 6 | Mitch Haniger | 0.3256 | 0.3660 | 29.6 |
| 7 | Matt Davidson | 0.2633 | 0.3185 | 28.8 |
| 8 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.3401 | 0.2884 | 28.7 |
| 9 | Charlie Culberson | 0.2424 | 0.3261 | 27.9 |
| 10 | Kole Calhoun | 0.3358 | 0.2831 | 27.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3570 | 0.4022 | 31.5 |
| 2 | Mike Trout | 0.4137 | 0.4596 | 30.0 |
| 3 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.3756 | 0.3212 | 29.6 |
| 4 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.3518 | 0.3952 | 29.0 |
| 5 | José Ramírez | 0.3514 | 0.3868 | 27.1 |
| 6 | Christian Yelich | 0.3645 | 0.4025 | 26.9 |
| 7 | Manny Machado | 0.3323 | 0.3667 | 26.8 |
| 8 | Lewis Brinson | 0.3090 | 0.2395 | 26.8 |
| 9 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.3362 | 0.2884 | 26.1 |
| 10 | Dexter Fowler | 0.3596 | 0.2784 | 26.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Wendle | 0.2788 | 0.3536 | 45.1 |
| 2 | Matt Chapman | 0.3027 | 0.3555 | 37.4 |
| 3 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.3437 | 0.3952 | 36.8 |
| 4 | Scooter Gennett | 0.3085 | 0.3575 | 36.3 |
| 5 | Brian Anderson | 0.3105 | 0.3567 | 36.3 |
| 6 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3559 | 0.4022 | 35.2 |
| 7 | Mitch Haniger | 0.3245 | 0.3660 | 33.8 |
| 8 | Mallex Smith | 0.3138 | 0.3669 | 33.2 |
| 9 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.3016 | 0.3516 | 32.8 |
| 10 | Lewis Brinson | 0.3168 | 0.2395 | 28.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Lucroy | 0.3651 | 0.2914 | 37.8 |
| 2 | Joey Wendle | 0.2776 | 0.3536 | 36.2 |
| 3 | Kole Calhoun | 0.3323 | 0.2831 | 32.4 |
| 4 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.3673 | 0.3212 | 32.3 |
| 5 | Dexter Fowler | 0.3610 | 0.2784 | 30.8 |
| 6 | Yangervis Solarte | 0.3282 | 0.2772 | 30.6 |
| 7 | Carlos Correa | 0.3780 | 0.3226 | 30.4 |
| 8 | Matt Chapman | 0.2975 | 0.3555 | 29.8 |
| 9 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.3385 | 0.3952 | 29.2 |
| 10 | Brian Dozier | 0.3414 | 0.3054 | 28.8 |
Slugging Percentage
Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Andujar | 0.5271 |
0.3974
(89.9)
|
0.4286
(65.6)
|
0.4294
(70.7)
|
0.4318
(51.1)
|
| Javier Báez | 0.5545 |
0.4720
(65.3)
|
0.4520
(72.3)
|
0.4615
(72.2)
|
0.4350
(70.0)
|
| Mookie Betts | 0.6404 |
0.5113
(90.8)
|
0.4801
(104.4)
|
0.5163
(87.9)
|
0.4930
(83.8)
|
| Chris Davis | 0.2957 |
0.4605
(76.2)
|
0.4658
(83.7)
|
0.4766
(84.5)
|
0.4586
(90.7)
|
| Christian Yelich | 0.5976 |
0.4733
(93.1)
|
0.4424
(107.3)
|
0.4907
(82.0)
|
0.4716
(74.9)
|
| Max Muncy | 0.5823 |
0.3462
(122.6)
|
0.3842
(99.9)
|
0.3522
(119.8)
|
0.3743
(94.8)
|
Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Bregman | 0.4517 | 0.5320 | 69.8 |
| 2 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.4355 | 0.5386 | 69.0 |
| 3 | Juan Soto | 0.3965 | 0.5169 | 68.8 |
| 4 | Charlie Culberson | 0.2766 | 0.4662 | 67.1 |
| 5 | J.D. Martinez | 0.5464 | 0.6292 | 65.9 |
| 6 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.4190 | 0.5644 | 60.3 |
| 7 | Joey Votto | 0.5324 | 0.4195 | 58.6 |
| 8 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.4511 | 0.5520 | 58.3 |
| 9 | Joey Wendle | 0.3478 | 0.4353 | 57.9 |
| 10 | José Ramírez | 0.4879 | 0.5519 | 57.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.4174 | 0.5520 | 70.2 |
| 2 | Joey Votto | 0.5414 | 0.4195 | 69.9 |
| 3 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.4194 | 0.5224 | 65.4 |
| 4 | Trevor Story | 0.4811 | 0.5669 | 62.6 |
| 5 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.4352 | 0.5256 | 60.7 |
| 6 | Jurickson Profar | 0.3667 | 0.4580 | 60.0 |
| 7 | Brian Dozier | 0.4936 | 0.3906 | 59.0 |
| 8 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.4174 | 0.5644 | 57.5 |
| 9 | Alex Bregman | 0.4615 | 0.5320 | 56.5 |
| 10 | Juan Soto | 0.4174 | 0.5169 | 53.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Soto | 0.3403 | 0.5169 | 96.6 |
| 2 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.6535 | 0.5089 | 88.5 |
| 3 | Trevor Story | 0.4716 | 0.5669 | 75.0 |
| 4 | Jesús Aguilar | 0.4259 | 0.5386 | 74.5 |
| 5 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.3698 | 0.4827 | 70.6 |
| 6 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.4377 | 0.5256 | 64.8 |
| 7 | J.D. Martinez | 0.5534 | 0.6292 | 61.5 |
| 8 | Matt Carpenter | 0.4532 | 0.5230 | 60.2 |
| 9 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.4501 | 0.5520 | 58.9 |
| 10 | Gleyber Torres | 0.3807 | 0.4803 | 57.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.6563 | 0.5089 | 111.5 |
| 2 | Joey Votto | 0.5190 | 0.4195 | 68.8 |
| 3 | Brian Dozier | 0.4820 | 0.3906 | 64.6 |
| 4 | Cody Bellinger | 0.5578 | 0.4704 | 62.2 |
| 5 | Jonathan Lucroy | 0.4488 | 0.3253 | 61.0 |
| 6 | Carlos Santana | 0.4922 | 0.4143 | 60.3 |
| 7 | Carlos Correa | 0.5222 | 0.4055 | 59.7 |
| 8 | Kyle Seager | 0.4834 | 0.3997 | 59.6 |
| 9 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.3617 | 0.4827 | 58.9 |
| 10 | Adam Duvall | 0.4865 | 0.3646 | 56.7 |
Pitching Projection Accuracy
Batters Faced (BF)
Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerad Eickhoff | 26 |
581
(555.0)
|
619
(593.0)
|
610
(584.4)
|
653
(627.0)
|
| Ervin Santana | 114 |
675
(561.1)
|
746
(632.0)
|
664
(549.7)
|
747
(633.0)
|
| Taijuan Walker | 56 |
701
(645.1)
|
663
(607.0)
|
807
(750.6)
|
684
(628.0)
|
Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miguel González | 704 | 66 | 638.1 |
| 2 | Johnny Cueto | 798 | 214 | 583.9 |
| 3 | Kyle Freeland | 277 | 844 | 566.9 |
| 4 | Kendall Graveman | 705 | 158 | 547.1 |
| 5 | Yu Darvish | 699 | 180 | 518.9 |
| 6 | Zack Wheeler | 241 | 744 | 503.0 |
| 7 | Sam Gaviglio | 48 | 548 | 500.0 |
| 8 | Dereck Rodríguez | 1 | 487 | 486.0 |
| 9 | Shane Bieber | 1 | 485 | 484.0 |
| 10 | Jeff Samardzija | 686 | 207 | 478.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miles Mikolas | 1 | 808 | 807.0 |
| 2 | Andrew Suárez | 1 | 665 | 664.0 |
| 3 | Ryan Yarbrough | 1 | 628 | 627.0 |
| 4 | Brad Keller | 1 | 583 | 582.0 |
| 5 | Aríel Miranda | 602 | 24 | 578.0 |
| 6 | Miguel González | 640 | 66 | 574.0 |
| 7 | Joey Lucchesi | 1 | 548 | 547.0 |
| 8 | Trevor Richards | 1 | 547 | 546.0 |
| 9 | Jeff Samardzija | 753 | 207 | 546.0 |
| 10 | Jaime Barria | 1 | 537 | 536.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Suárez | 4 | 665 | 660.7 |
| 2 | Miguel González | 724 | 66 | 658.3 |
| 3 | Kendall Graveman | 768 | 158 | 609.6 |
| 4 | Johnny Cueto | 761 | 214 | 546.8 |
| 5 | Jordan Montgomery | 661 | 116 | 544.9 |
| 6 | Yu Darvish | 720 | 180 | 539.9 |
| 7 | Wei-Yin Chen | 39 | 572 | 532.5 |
| 8 | Jeff Samardzija | 727 | 207 | 519.6 |
| 9 | Wade LeBlanc | 149 | 662 | 513.2 |
| 10 | Dylan Covey | 40 | 542 | 501.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake Thompson | 737 | 76 | 661.0 |
| 2 | Anthony Banda | 672 | 56 | 616.0 |
| 3 | Braden Shipley | 634 | 21 | 613.0 |
| 4 | Aaron Brooks | 611 | 10 | 601.0 |
| 5 | Aaron Slegers | 657 | 60 | 597.0 |
| 6 | Jeff Hoffman | 640 | 44 | 596.0 |
| 7 | Aríel Miranda | 615 | 24 | 591.0 |
| 8 | Alex McRae | 623 | 32 | 591.0 |
| 9 | Tyler Danish | 621 | 31 | 590.0 |
| 10 | Jen-Ho Tseng | 597 | 10 | 587.0 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 0.2463 |
0.1332
(54.7)
|
0.3157
(46.5)
|
0.2894
(40.1)
|
0.2807
(33.6)
|
| Jacob deGrom | 0.2306 |
0.1101
(59.0)
|
0.2934
(49.9)
|
0.2716
(46.0)
|
0.2646
(39.7)
|
| Blake Treinen | 0.1910 |
0.1112
(35.1)
|
0.3138
(37.7)
|
0.2895
(35.5)
|
0.2740
(30.4)
|
| Zack Wheeler | 0.2695 |
0.1361
(43.0)
|
0.3411
(51.0)
|
0.2990
(32.5)
|
0.3049
(36.4)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.2653 |
0.1158
(33.3)
|
0.3361
(54.2)
|
0.2999
(39.0)
|
0.3019
(40.1)
|
| Mike Foltynewicz | 0.2659 |
0.1243
(36.9)
|
0.3347
(48.9)
|
0.3102
(43.5)
|
0.3118
(44.2)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Verlander | 0.1364 | 0.2588 | 57.2 |
| 2 | Max Scherzer | 0.1132 | 0.2528 | 44.6 |
| 3 | Walker Buehler | 0.1340 | 0.2467 | 42.5 |
| 4 | Aaron Nola | 0.1066 | 0.2508 | 39.0 |
| 5 | Josh Hader | 0.1523 | 0.2180 | 38.4 |
| 6 | Gerrit Cole | 0.1204 | 0.2646 | 37.5 |
| 7 | José Leclerc | 0.1729 | 0.2031 | 35.9 |
| 8 | Josh Tomlin | 0.0948 | 0.3971 | 35.7 |
| 9 | Trevor Bauer | 0.1167 | 0.2600 | 34.4 |
| 10 | Mike Clevinger | 0.1378 | 0.2874 | 33.6 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Nola | 0.3060 | 0.2508 | 43.3 |
| 2 | Trevor Bauer | 0.3212 | 0.2600 | 41.7 |
| 3 | Walker Buehler | 0.3249 | 0.2467 | 40.7 |
| 4 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.3495 | 0.2739 | 40.2 |
| 5 | Gerrit Cole | 0.3120 | 0.2646 | 35.4 |
| 6 | Dylan Bundy | 0.3183 | 0.3617 | 34.8 |
| 7 | Miles Mikolas | 0.3149 | 0.2706 | 33.3 |
| 8 | Derek Holland | 0.3552 | 0.3080 | 32.1 |
| 9 | Marco Estrada | 0.3109 | 0.3589 | 32.0 |
| 10 | Kyle Freeland | 0.3309 | 0.2915 | 30.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Nola | 0.2833 | 0.2508 | 38.8 |
| 2 | Kyle Freeland | 0.3228 | 0.2915 | 38.4 |
| 3 | Trevor Bauer | 0.2980 | 0.2600 | 37.4 |
| 4 | Gerrit Cole | 0.2946 | 0.2646 | 35.3 |
| 5 | Jhoulys Chacín | 0.3130 | 0.2857 | 33.0 |
| 6 | Justin Verlander | 0.2827 | 0.2588 | 31.7 |
| 7 | Miles Mikolas | 0.2950 | 0.2706 | 31.2 |
| 8 | Trevor Williams | 0.3140 | 0.2863 | 29.3 |
| 9 | Seranthony Domínguez | 0.3365 | 0.2311 | 27.6 |
| 10 | Chris Archer | 0.2738 | 0.3313 | 27.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan Bundy | 0.2878 | 0.3617 | 45.3 |
| 2 | Marco Estrada | 0.2883 | 0.3589 | 35.8 |
| 3 | Chris Archer | 0.2643 | 0.3313 | 34.1 |
| 4 | Dereck Rodríguez | 0.3458 | 0.2894 | 34.1 |
| 5 | Alex Cobb | 0.2831 | 0.3463 | 32.8 |
| 6 | Martín Pérez | 0.2951 | 0.3896 | 32.1 |
| 7 | Miles Mikolas | 0.2966 | 0.2706 | 31.9 |
| 8 | Kyle Freeland | 0.3150 | 0.2915 | 31.3 |
| 9 | Jose Quintana | 0.2611 | 0.3169 | 31.2 |
| 10 | Drew Pomeranz | 0.2805 | 0.3847 | 31.2 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germán Márquez | 0.2815 |
0.2109
(50.7)
|
0.2073
(54.4)
|
0.2098
(51.7)
|
0.1965
(51.6)
|
| Jacob deGrom | 0.3222 |
0.2606
(44.3)
|
0.2601
(45.5)
|
0.2683
(37.9)
|
0.2526
(39.8)
|
| Gerrit Cole | 0.3454 |
0.2077
(103.2)
|
0.2213
(93.1)
|
0.2229
(91.1)
|
0.2247
(79.0)
|
| Jack Flaherty | 0.2959 |
0.2039
(51.3)
|
0.2118
(47.0)
|
0.2026
(52.2)
|
0.2108
(38.9)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.3075 |
0.1954
(82.8)
|
0.2080
(73.5)
|
0.2012
(78.3)
|
0.1997
(68.7)
|
| Chris Sale | 0.3841 |
0.2800
(59.0)
|
0.2995
(47.5)
|
0.3100
(40.5)
|
0.2636
(60.9)
|
| Justin Verlander | 0.3481 |
0.2515
(73.4)
|
0.2520
(73.7)
|
0.2666
(60.9)
|
0.2610
(54.4)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Hader | 0.2548 | 0.4673 | 62.4 |
| 2 | Blake Snell | 0.2390 | 0.3157 | 47.8 |
| 3 | Edwin Díaz | 0.2697 | 0.4429 | 46.1 |
| 4 | Max Scherzer | 0.2865 | 0.3464 | 44.5 |
| 5 | Kyle Freeland | 0.1444 | 0.2050 | 44.0 |
| 6 | Marco Estrada | 0.2253 | 0.1643 | 43.6 |
| 7 | Zach Eflin | 0.1369 | 0.2245 | 43.3 |
| 8 | Jake Arrieta | 0.2415 | 0.1906 | 43.1 |
| 9 | Jon Lester | 0.2425 | 0.1958 | 42.0 |
| 10 | Miles Mikolas | 0.2226 | 0.1807 | 40.7 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Hader | 0.2584 | 0.4673 | 61.6 |
| 2 | Blake Snell | 0.2222 | 0.3157 | 60.1 |
| 3 | Trevor Bauer | 0.2323 | 0.3082 | 49.0 |
| 4 | James Paxton | 0.2432 | 0.3225 | 46.2 |
| 5 | Edwin Díaz | 0.2826 | 0.4429 | 42.7 |
| 6 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.2160 | 0.1751 | 42.5 |
| 7 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.2085 | 0.2715 | 41.2 |
| 8 | Miles Mikolas | 0.2228 | 0.1807 | 40.2 |
| 9 | Brad Keller | 0.2228 | 0.1647 | 38.3 |
| 10 | Jake Arrieta | 0.2357 | 0.1906 | 38.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Bauer | 0.2316 | 0.3082 | 48.9 |
| 2 | Josh Hader | 0.3005 | 0.4673 | 48.5 |
| 3 | James Paxton | 0.2434 | 0.3225 | 45.5 |
| 4 | Blake Snell | 0.2451 | 0.3157 | 43.5 |
| 5 | Noah Syndergaard | 0.2972 | 0.2407 | 41.8 |
| 6 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.2095 | 0.2715 | 39.8 |
| 7 | Derek Holland | 0.1699 | 0.2325 | 39.3 |
| 8 | Miles Mikolas | 0.2189 | 0.1807 | 37.7 |
| 9 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.2869 | 0.2385 | 37.0 |
| 10 | J.A. Happ | 0.2070 | 0.2633 | 35.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Giolito | 0.2144 | 0.1613 | 58.1 |
| 2 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.3030 | 0.2385 | 56.2 |
| 3 | Mike Minor | 0.2633 | 0.2062 | 50.6 |
| 4 | Noah Syndergaard | 0.2909 | 0.2407 | 46.4 |
| 5 | Jon Lester | 0.2347 | 0.1958 | 46.3 |
| 6 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.2060 | 0.1751 | 46.2 |
| 7 | Jake Arrieta | 0.2287 | 0.1906 | 43.4 |
| 8 | Carlos Rodón | 0.2384 | 0.1761 | 43.0 |
| 9 | Frankie Montas | 0.2740 | 0.1519 | 40.8 |
| 10 | Kevin Gausman | 0.2194 | 0.1907 | 39.2 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Teheran | 0.1160 |
0.0850
(21.9)
|
0.0786
(24.8)
|
0.0754
(28.5)
|
0.0770
(28.6)
|
| Danny Duffy | 0.1012 |
0.0676
(22.6)
|
0.0701
(19.3)
|
0.0723
(19.1)
|
0.0656
(24.9)
|
| Justin Verlander | 0.0444 |
0.0772
(28.0)
|
0.0764
(29.3)
|
0.0757
(27.1)
|
0.0719
(22.5)
|
| Justin Anderson | 0.1660 |
0.0954
(16.8)
|
0.0847
(18.8)
|
0.0982
(16.0)
|
0.0847
(19.7)
|
| Tyler Chatwood | 0.1955 |
0.1113
(40.5)
|
0.1059
(42.0)
|
0.1052
(43.3)
|
0.1048
(44.3)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walker Buehler | 0.1191 | 0.0684 | 27.9 |
| 2 | Mike Fiers | 0.0891 | 0.0518 | 27.2 |
| 3 | Matt Harvey | 0.0880 | 0.0558 | 21.9 |
| 4 | Robbie Erlin | 0.0752 | 0.0273 | 21.4 |
| 5 | Zack Wheeler | 0.0996 | 0.0739 | 19.7 |
| 6 | John Gant | 0.0759 | 0.1170 | 19.7 |
| 7 | Mike Clevinger | 0.1055 | 0.0827 | 19.1 |
| 8 | Bryan Mitchell | 0.0734 | 0.1276 | 18.0 |
| 9 | Trevor Richards | 0.0654 | 0.0987 | 17.8 |
| 10 | Sean Manaea | 0.0743 | 0.0489 | 17.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miles Mikolas | 0.0847 | 0.0359 | 42.0 |
| 2 | Robbie Erlin | 0.0793 | 0.0273 | 24.2 |
| 3 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0829 | 0.1161 | 23.4 |
| 4 | Mike Fiers | 0.0802 | 0.0518 | 22.5 |
| 5 | Mike Clevinger | 0.1073 | 0.0827 | 22.4 |
| 6 | Marco Gonzales | 0.0759 | 0.0466 | 22.3 |
| 7 | Steven Brault | 0.0856 | 0.1380 | 20.3 |
| 8 | Shane Bieber | 0.0847 | 0.0474 | 19.6 |
| 9 | Sean Manaea | 0.0751 | 0.0489 | 19.2 |
| 10 | Corey Kluber | 0.0596 | 0.0404 | 18.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marco Gonzales | 0.0804 | 0.0466 | 24.0 |
| 2 | Mike Minor | 0.0926 | 0.0594 | 22.1 |
| 3 | Mike Fiers | 0.0811 | 0.0518 | 21.8 |
| 4 | Robbie Erlin | 0.0733 | 0.0273 | 20.7 |
| 5 | Sean Manaea | 0.0775 | 0.0489 | 19.5 |
| 6 | Steven Brault | 0.0934 | 0.1380 | 17.9 |
| 7 | Mike Clevinger | 0.1036 | 0.0827 | 17.9 |
| 8 | Robbie Ray | 0.0982 | 0.1331 | 17.7 |
| 9 | John Gant | 0.0801 | 0.1170 | 17.4 |
| 10 | Patrick Corbin | 0.0798 | 0.0600 | 16.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miles Mikolas | 0.0752 | 0.0359 | 31.4 |
| 2 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0903 | 0.1161 | 20.4 |
| 3 | Jose Quintana | 0.0653 | 0.0920 | 20.1 |
| 4 | Tyson Ross | 0.1291 | 0.0978 | 19.6 |
| 5 | Tanner Scott | 0.1981 | 0.1167 | 19.4 |
| 6 | Carlos Martinez | 0.0790 | 0.1152 | 19.1 |
| 7 | Tyler Mahle | 0.0675 | 0.1045 | 19.0 |
| 8 | Walker Buehler | 0.1034 | 0.0684 | 18.7 |
| 9 | Miguel Castro | 0.0838 | 0.1330 | 18.7 |
| 10 | Robbie Ray | 0.0985 | 0.1331 | 18.4 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rick Porcello | 0.0198 |
0.0000
(7.6)
|
0.0103
(6.6)
|
0.0098
(7.0)
|
0.0073
(10.1)
|
| Sean Newcomb | 0.0014 |
0.0000
(6.2)
|
0.0120
(8.3)
|
0.0095
(6.5)
|
0.0128
(7.8)
|
| Steve Cishek | 0.0313 |
0.0000
(6.0)
|
0.0136
(4.7)
|
0.0096
(5.9)
|
0.0091
(6.4)
|
| Brad Hand | 0.0299 |
0.0000
(5.9)
|
0.0129
(4.7)
|
0.0095
(5.8)
|
0.0094
(6.2)
|
| Carlos Martinez | 0.0211 |
0.0000
(5.6)
|
0.0104
(4.9)
|
0.0103
(5.0)
|
0.0105
(5.6)
|
| Lucas Giolito | 0.0194 |
0.0000
(7.0)
|
0.0114
(5.1)
|
0.0098
(6.4)
|
0.0113
(6.3)
|
| Carlos Rodón | 0.0235 |
0.0000
(6.7)
|
0.0104
(6.0)
|
0.0098
(6.3)
|
0.0103
(6.8)
|
| Chaz Roe | 0.0394 |
0.0000
(5.9)
|
0.0071
(6.3)
|
0.0098
(5.8)
|
0.0093
(6.1)
|
| Cole Hamels | 0.0236 |
0.0000
(10.6)
|
0.0126
(7.8)
|
0.0110
(9.1)
|
0.0119
(9.4)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Morton | 0.0000 | 0.0230 | 8.8 |
| 2 | Chris Sale | 0.0000 | 0.0227 | 7.6 |
| 3 | Jakob Junis | 0.0000 | 0.0198 | 7.1 |
| 4 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.0000 | 0.0023 | 7.1 |
| 5 | Blake Snell | 0.0000 | 0.0014 | 6.3 |
| 6 | Gio González | 0.0000 | 0.0027 | 5.7 |
| 7 | Corey Kluber | 0.0000 | 0.0036 | 5.7 |
| 8 | James Paxton | 0.0000 | 0.0016 | 5.7 |
| 9 | Wei-Yin Chen | 0.0000 | 0.0017 | 4.9 |
| 10 | Félix Hernández | 0.0000 | 0.0175 | 4.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gio González | 0.0094 | 0.0027 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Homer Bailey | 0.0147 | 0.0040 | 5.9 |
| 3 | Tyler Mahle | 0.0160 | 0.0059 | 5.8 |
| 4 | Matthew Boyd | 0.0067 | 0.0155 | 5.3 |
| 5 | Ian Kennedy | 0.0107 | 0.0019 | 5.2 |
| 6 | Chris Sale | 0.0130 | 0.0227 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Corey Kluber | 0.0083 | 0.0036 | 5.1 |
| 8 | Jose Quintana | 0.0096 | 0.0041 | 5.1 |
| 9 | Andrew Cashner | 0.0105 | 0.0044 | 5.1 |
| 10 | Brad Keller | 0.0104 | 0.0034 | 4.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Sale | 0.0122 | 0.0227 | 5.7 |
| 2 | Jack Flaherty | 0.0075 | 0.0179 | 5.6 |
| 3 | Gio González | 0.0087 | 0.0027 | 5.5 |
| 4 | Corey Kluber | 0.0086 | 0.0036 | 5.4 |
| 5 | Jakob Junis | 0.0119 | 0.0198 | 5.0 |
| 6 | Charlie Morton | 0.0148 | 0.0230 | 4.8 |
| 7 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.0064 | 0.0023 | 4.8 |
| 8 | Ian Kennedy | 0.0097 | 0.0019 | 4.7 |
| 9 | Matthew Boyd | 0.0077 | 0.0155 | 4.6 |
| 10 | Robby Scott | 0.0098 | 0.1250 | 4.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.A. Happ | 0.0033 | 0.0123 | 6.6 |
| 2 | Mike Minor | 0.0036 | 0.0125 | 5.8 |
| 3 | Sonny Gray | 0.0042 | 0.0137 | 5.6 |
| 4 | Andrew Suárez | 0.0126 | 0.0045 | 5.4 |
| 5 | Brad Keller | 0.0125 | 0.0034 | 5.2 |
| 6 | Jakob Junis | 0.0133 | 0.0198 | 5.0 |
| 7 | Zack Greinke | 0.0014 | 0.0072 | 4.9 |
| 8 | Stephen Strasburg | 0.0058 | 0.0147 | 4.9 |
| 9 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0108 | 0.0041 | 4.9 |
| 10 | David Price | 0.0072 | 0.0139 | 4.8 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Bauer | 0.0209 |
0.0440
(15.0)
|
0.0442
(16.6)
|
0.0479
(18.1)
|
0.0411
(14.6)
|
| Jacob deGrom | 0.0194 |
0.0445
(19.1)
|
0.0437
(20.3)
|
0.0432
(18.4)
|
0.0388
(16.3)
|
| Miles Mikolas | 0.0256 |
0.0428
(12.2)
|
0.0441
(14.9)
|
0.0497
(18.1)
|
0.0406
(12.3)
|
| Josh Tomlin | 0.0965 |
0.0476
(16.4)
|
0.0541
(13.6)
|
0.0578
(13.0)
|
0.0565
(12.8)
|
| A.J. Cole | 0.1071 |
0.0459
(14.0)
|
0.0480
(13.1)
|
0.0511
(12.8)
|
0.0532
(11.9)
|
| Dylan Bundy | 0.0810 |
0.0566
(19.9)
|
0.0507
(22.8)
|
0.0624
(15.2)
|
0.0480
(24.6)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noah Syndergaard | 0.0425 | 0.0203 | 12.9 |
| 2 | Tyler Anderson | 0.0434 | 0.0587 | 12.9 |
| 3 | Zack Wheeler | 0.0468 | 0.0279 | 12.4 |
| 4 | Chase Anderson | 0.0500 | 0.0664 | 11.9 |
| 5 | Brad Keller | 0.0387 | 0.0161 | 11.9 |
| 6 | Mike Fiers | 0.0463 | 0.0604 | 11.6 |
| 7 | Carlos Martinez | 0.0389 | 0.0150 | 11.3 |
| 8 | Lance Lynn | 0.0487 | 0.0306 | 11.1 |
| 9 | Nick Kingham | 0.0440 | 0.0744 | 11.1 |
| 10 | Cole Hamels | 0.0428 | 0.0543 | 11.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 0.0514 | 0.0279 | 17.4 |
| 2 | Dylan Covey | 0.0646 | 0.0327 | 17.3 |
| 3 | James Paxton | 0.0326 | 0.0584 | 16.7 |
| 4 | Brad Keller | 0.0441 | 0.0161 | 16.3 |
| 5 | Adam Plutko | 0.0390 | 0.0868 | 15.6 |
| 6 | Chase Anderson | 0.0446 | 0.0664 | 14.1 |
| 7 | Tyler Mahle | 0.0370 | 0.0645 | 14.0 |
| 8 | Anthony DeSclafani | 0.0411 | 0.0698 | 13.9 |
| 9 | Mike Minor | 0.0341 | 0.0541 | 12.9 |
| 10 | Jon Gray | 0.0366 | 0.0538 | 12.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Lucchesi | 0.0418 | 0.0646 | 13.4 |
| 2 | Brad Keller | 0.0402 | 0.0161 | 13.1 |
| 3 | James Paxton | 0.0403 | 0.0584 | 12.7 |
| 4 | Lance Lynn | 0.0499 | 0.0306 | 12.3 |
| 5 | Reynaldo López | 0.0614 | 0.0444 | 12.2 |
| 6 | Steven Matz | 0.0409 | 0.0576 | 12.0 |
| 7 | Jake Odorizzi | 0.0607 | 0.0425 | 11.8 |
| 8 | Robbie Ray | 0.0458 | 0.0664 | 11.7 |
| 9 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0600 | 0.0398 | 11.6 |
| 10 | Nick Kingham | 0.0427 | 0.0744 | 11.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dereck Rodríguez | 0.0616 | 0.0254 | 17.7 |
| 2 | James Paxton | 0.0316 | 0.0584 | 17.2 |
| 3 | Zack Wheeler | 0.0500 | 0.0279 | 16.5 |
| 4 | Jose Quintana | 0.0299 | 0.0490 | 14.1 |
| 5 | Cole Hamels | 0.0373 | 0.0543 | 13.5 |
| 6 | Steven Matz | 0.0373 | 0.0576 | 13.2 |
| 7 | Anthony DeSclafani | 0.0428 | 0.0698 | 13.0 |
| 8 | Ryan Borucki | 0.0535 | 0.0224 | 13.0 |
| 9 | Nick Kingham | 0.0368 | 0.0744 | 12.8 |
| 10 | J.A. Happ | 0.0390 | 0.0563 | 12.5 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 0.2412 |
0.2817
(32.9)
|
0.2997
(38.6)
|
0.2870
(30.2)
|
0.2917
(36.5)
|
| Aaron Nola | 0.2514 |
0.3056
(50.4)
|
0.3111
(46.8)
|
0.2983
(36.7)
|
0.2970
(39.3)
|
| Jhoulys Chacín | 0.2500 |
0.2866
(34.3)
|
0.2888
(28.2)
|
0.3025
(39.7)
|
0.2890
(32.4)
|
| Julio Teheran | 0.2167 |
0.2807
(51.0)
|
0.2786
(42.4)
|
0.2940
(54.0)
|
0.2773
(45.1)
|
| Lance Lynn | 0.3363 |
0.2850
(31.4)
|
0.2719
(47.5)
|
0.2961
(30.0)
|
0.2849
(34.8)
|
| Carlos Rodón | 0.2419 |
0.2956
(30.7)
|
0.3117
(34.0)
|
0.2963
(26.4)
|
0.2962
(28.6)
|
| Jason Hammel | 0.3480 |
0.2883
(31.0)
|
0.2988
(30.7)
|
0.2958
(32.0)
|
0.2903
(32.6)
|
| Mike Foltynewicz | 0.2506 |
0.3071
(46.9)
|
0.3144
(45.0)
|
0.2967
(32.3)
|
0.3000
(38.1)
|
| Chase Anderson | 0.2393 |
0.2768
(28.3)
|
0.2850
(27.3)
|
0.2964
(35.0)
|
0.2861
(31.2)
|
| Sean Manaea | 0.2474 |
0.2912
(32.9)
|
0.3016
(33.2)
|
0.2995
(32.3)
|
0.2909
(29.6)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.3241 | 0.2549 | 41.8 |
| 2 | Zack Godley | 0.2697 | 0.3239 | 37.8 |
| 3 | Alex Claudio | 0.2553 | 0.3655 | 31.0 |
| 4 | James Shields | 0.2907 | 0.2617 | 30.9 |
| 5 | Mike Fiers | 0.3058 | 0.2691 | 30.9 |
| 6 | John Gant | 0.3085 | 0.2531 | 30.2 |
| 7 | Steven Matz | 0.3059 | 0.2665 | 30.0 |
| 8 | Clayton Richard | 0.3241 | 0.2887 | 28.6 |
| 9 | Jack Flaherty | 0.2954 | 0.2566 | 27.9 |
| 10 | Bartolo Colon | 0.3252 | 0.2875 | 27.7 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Boyd | 0.3096 | 0.2581 | 34.1 |
| 2 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.3186 | 0.2549 | 33.4 |
| 3 | Shane Bieber | 0.2930 | 0.3556 | 32.0 |
| 4 | Junior Guerra | 0.2677 | 0.3123 | 29.4 |
| 5 | Clayton Richard | 0.3341 | 0.2887 | 28.7 |
| 6 | Zack Godley | 0.2916 | 0.3239 | 28.3 |
| 7 | Walker Buehler | 0.3023 | 0.2478 | 27.7 |
| 8 | Sonny Gray | 0.2828 | 0.3263 | 27.3 |
| 9 | Daniel Mengden | 0.2966 | 0.2381 | 26.2 |
| 10 | Jack Flaherty | 0.3016 | 0.2566 | 25.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Archer | 0.2911 | 0.3383 | 31.8 |
| 2 | Trevor Williams | 0.3085 | 0.2615 | 31.1 |
| 3 | Shane Bieber | 0.2981 | 0.3556 | 29.2 |
| 4 | James Shields | 0.2955 | 0.2617 | 27.1 |
| 5 | Daniel Mengden | 0.2964 | 0.2381 | 26.5 |
| 6 | Nick Pivetta | 0.2932 | 0.3263 | 24.8 |
| 7 | Eric Lauer | 0.2869 | 0.3323 | 24.2 |
| 8 | Blake Treinen | 0.3080 | 0.2304 | 23.6 |
| 9 | Walker Buehler | 0.2926 | 0.2478 | 22.8 |
| 10 | Dylan Bundy | 0.2885 | 0.3161 | 22.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane Bieber | 0.2913 | 0.3556 | 30.4 |
| 2 | Sonny Gray | 0.2735 | 0.3263 | 29.7 |
| 3 | Matthew Boyd | 0.2952 | 0.2581 | 27.5 |
| 4 | Daniel Mengden | 0.2939 | 0.2381 | 27.4 |
| 5 | Dylan Bundy | 0.2785 | 0.3161 | 26.9 |
| 6 | Reynaldo López | 0.2911 | 0.2602 | 26.1 |
| 7 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.2798 | 0.3147 | 26.0 |
| 8 | Walker Buehler | 0.2933 | 0.2478 | 25.6 |
| 9 | Trevor Williams | 0.2960 | 0.2615 | 25.4 |
| 10 | Chris Archer | 0.2972 | 0.3383 | 25.1 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 0.1709 |
0.0000
(32.7)
|
0.2228
(33.7)
|
0.2870
(26.7)
|
0.2917
(33.0)
|
| Aaron Nola | 0.1886 |
0.0000
(24.1)
|
0.2373
(37.3)
|
0.2983
(26.3)
|
0.2970
(28.9)
|
| Mike Minor | 0.1602 |
0.0000
(36.7)
|
0.2059
(26.8)
|
0.2957
(36.8)
|
0.2832
(31.6)
|
| Julio Teheran | 0.1512 |
0.0000
(48.0)
|
0.2104
(40.0)
|
0.2940
(46.8)
|
0.2773
(37.9)
|
| Dereck Rodríguez | 0.1561 |
0.0000
(30.0)
|
0.2176
(28.1)
|
0.2843
(24.5)
|
0.2940
(31.3)
|
| Daniel Mengden | 0.1625 |
0.0000
(26.2)
|
0.2243
(27.6)
|
0.2964
(26.6)
|
0.2939
(27.5)
|
| Lance Lynn | 0.2573 |
0.0000
(27.8)
|
0.2080
(37.2)
|
0.2961
(27.5)
|
0.2849
(32.3)
|
| Mike Foltynewicz | 0.1840 |
0.0000
(25.0)
|
0.2323
(33.1)
|
0.2967
(25.7)
|
0.3000
(31.5)
|
| Jhoulys Chacín | 0.1815 |
0.0000
(28.7)
|
0.2188
(26.6)
|
0.3025
(34.2)
|
0.2890
(27.0)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Scherzer | 0.0000 | 0.1792 | 33.3 |
| 2 | Nick Pivetta | 0.0000 | 0.2629 | 31.5 |
| 3 | Marco Estrada | 0.0000 | 0.1693 | 30.3 |
| 4 | Zack Godley | 0.0000 | 0.2515 | 26.8 |
| 5 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0000 | 0.1834 | 26.5 |
| 6 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.0000 | 0.1171 | 24.8 |
| 7 | Noah Syndergaard | 0.0000 | 0.2558 | 24.6 |
| 8 | James Shields | 0.0000 | 0.1896 | 24.4 |
| 9 | Martín Pérez | 0.0000 | 0.2784 | 24.1 |
| 10 | Matthew Boyd | 0.0000 | 0.1844 | 23.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Godley | 0.2125 | 0.2515 | 33.9 |
| 2 | Steven Matz | 0.2420 | 0.1907 | 31.0 |
| 3 | Clayton Richard | 0.2538 | 0.2062 | 29.8 |
| 4 | Carlos Rodón | 0.2370 | 0.1770 | 28.7 |
| 5 | Matthew Boyd | 0.2285 | 0.1844 | 28.5 |
| 6 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.2448 | 0.1905 | 27.9 |
| 7 | Mike Wright Jr. | 0.2118 | 0.2741 | 25.7 |
| 8 | Eric Lauer | 0.2176 | 0.2641 | 25.4 |
| 9 | Adam Plutko | 0.2297 | 0.1493 | 25.0 |
| 10 | Ty Blach | 0.2141 | 0.2584 | 24.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Pivetta | 0.2932 | 0.2629 | 33.2 |
| 2 | Trevor Williams | 0.3085 | 0.1896 | 28.6 |
| 3 | Eric Lauer | 0.2869 | 0.2641 | 27.8 |
| 4 | Lucas Giolito | 0.2949 | 0.1834 | 25.9 |
| 5 | James Shields | 0.2955 | 0.1896 | 24.3 |
| 6 | Max Scherzer | 0.2847 | 0.1792 | 23.8 |
| 7 | Mike Wright Jr. | 0.2922 | 0.2741 | 23.3 |
| 8 | Freddy Peralta | 0.2944 | 0.1445 | 23.0 |
| 9 | Noah Syndergaard | 0.2983 | 0.2558 | 22.9 |
| 10 | Danny Duffy | 0.2900 | 0.2445 | 22.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Anderson | 0.2176 | 0.2835 | 33.6 |
| 2 | Jordan Hicks | 0.2176 | 0.2336 | 30.4 |
| 3 | Nick Pivetta | 0.2975 | 0.2629 | 27.1 |
| 4 | Matthew Boyd | 0.2952 | 0.1844 | 26.3 |
| 5 | Adam Plutko | 0.3000 | 0.1493 | 25.1 |
| 6 | Mike Montgomery | 0.2717 | 0.2449 | 25.0 |
| 7 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.2798 | 0.2381 | 25.0 |
| 8 | Zack Godley | 0.2941 | 0.2515 | 24.5 |
| 9 | Freddy Peralta | 0.2946 | 0.1445 | 24.5 |
| 10 | Bartolo Colon | 0.3075 | 0.1951 | 24.4 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Archer | 0.0970 |
0.0000
(18.3)
|
0.0664
(19.1)
|
0.0000
(18.3)
|
0.0000
(18.3)
|
| Andrew Cashner | 0.0900 |
0.0000
(14.7)
|
0.0641
(17.1)
|
0.0000
(14.7)
|
0.0000
(14.7)
|
| Jake Odorizzi | 0.0909 |
0.0000
(16.0)
|
0.0621
(20.0)
|
0.0000
(16.0)
|
0.0000
(16.0)
|
| Sean Newcomb | 0.0482 |
0.0000
(14.1)
|
0.0730
(17.8)
|
0.0000
(14.1)
|
0.0000
(14.1)
|
| Miles Mikolas | 0.0393 |
0.0000
(23.5)
|
0.0684
(24.1)
|
0.0000
(23.5)
|
0.0000
(23.5)
|
| Zack Wheeler | 0.0411 |
0.0000
(20.3)
|
0.0644
(17.9)
|
0.0000
(20.3)
|
0.0000
(20.3)
|
| Shane Bieber | 0.1216 |
0.0000
(25.8)
|
0.0684
(25.4)
|
0.0000
(25.8)
|
0.0000
(25.8)
|
| Kyle Freeland | 0.0450 |
0.0000
(19.8)
|
0.0676
(19.7)
|
0.0000
(19.8)
|
0.0000
(19.8)
|
| Marco Estrada | 0.1106 |
0.0000
(26.5)
|
0.0734
(22.8)
|
0.0000
(26.5)
|
0.0000
(26.5)
|
| Kenta Maeda | 0.0975 |
0.0000
(15.5)
|
0.0632
(17.9)
|
0.0000
(15.5)
|
0.0000
(15.5)
|
| Ryan Yarbrough | 0.0967 |
0.0000
(17.8)
|
0.0684
(17.3)
|
0.0000
(17.8)
|
0.0000
(17.8)
|
| Matt Moore | 0.1187 |
0.0000
(23.7)
|
0.0672
(23.9)
|
0.0000
(23.7)
|
0.0000
(23.7)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Corbin | 0.0000 | 0.0885 | 16.1 |
| 2 | Derek Holland | 0.0000 | 0.0897 | 15.5 |
| 3 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0000 | 0.0907 | 14.0 |
| 4 | Brad Keller | 0.0000 | 0.0444 | 14.0 |
| 5 | Jordan Hicks | 0.0000 | 0.0280 | 13.7 |
| 6 | Chase Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0474 | 13.5 |
| 7 | Dylan Covey | 0.0000 | 0.0443 | 13.1 |
| 8 | Zach Eflin | 0.0000 | 0.0921 | 13.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jameson Taillon | 0.0815 | 0.0581 | 19.0 |
| 2 | Chase Anderson | 0.0737 | 0.0474 | 17.4 |
| 3 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.0765 | 0.0468 | 16.9 |
| 4 | Lucas Giolito | 0.0553 | 0.0772 | 16.4 |
| 5 | Dylan Covey | 0.0732 | 0.0443 | 16.1 |
| 6 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.0752 | 0.0554 | 15.2 |
| 7 | Rick Porcello | 0.0728 | 0.0550 | 14.9 |
| 8 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.0824 | 0.0642 | 14.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yoshihisa Hirano | 0.0684 | 0.0407 | 25.2 |
| 2 | Patrick Corbin | 0.0000 | 0.0885 | 16.1 |
| 3 | Derek Holland | 0.0000 | 0.0897 | 15.5 |
| 4 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0000 | 0.0907 | 14.0 |
| 5 | Brad Keller | 0.0000 | 0.0444 | 14.0 |
| 6 | Jordan Hicks | 0.0000 | 0.0280 | 13.7 |
| 7 | Chase Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.0474 | 13.5 |
| 8 | Dylan Covey | 0.0000 | 0.0443 | 13.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Hicks | 0.0684 | 0.0280 | 36.9 |
| 2 | Justin Anderson | 0.0684 | 0.0236 | 27.3 |
| 3 | Caleb Ferguson | 0.0684 | 0.0333 | 20.9 |
| 4 | Drew Hutchison | 0.0684 | 0.0534 | 16.6 |
| 5 | Patrick Corbin | 0.0000 | 0.0885 | 16.1 |
| 6 | Paul Fry | 0.0684 | 0.0388 | 15.6 |
| 7 | Derek Holland | 0.0000 | 0.0897 | 15.5 |
| 8 | Vince Velasquez | 0.0000 | 0.0907 | 14.0 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Suárez | 0.0151 |
0.0000
(5.4)
|
0.0070
(5.5)
|
0.0000
(5.4)
|
0.0000
(5.4)
|
| Yovani Gallardo | 0.0199 |
0.0000
(5.5)
|
0.0075
(5.3)
|
0.0000
(5.5)
|
0.0000
(5.5)
|
| Bartolo Colon | 0.0205 |
0.0000
(8.5)
|
0.0066
(8.9)
|
0.0000
(8.5)
|
0.0000
(8.5)
|
| Carlos Carrasco | 0.0124 |
0.0000
(4.3)
|
0.0067
(4.7)
|
0.0000
(4.3)
|
0.0000
(4.3)
|
| Jake McGee | 0.0263 |
0.0000
(4.4)
|
0.0063
(4.6)
|
0.0000
(4.4)
|
0.0000
(4.4)
|
| Harrison Musgrave | 0.0488 |
0.0000
(7.7)
|
0.0070
(7.8)
|
0.0000
(7.7)
|
0.0000
(7.7)
|
| Steve Cishek | 0.0238 |
0.0000
(4.8)
|
0.0070
(4.9)
|
0.0000
(4.8)
|
0.0000
(4.8)
|
| Luis Castillo | 0.0000 |
0.0000
(5.0)
|
0.0072
(4.9)
|
0.0000
(5.0)
|
0.0000
(5.0)
|
| Eric Skoglund | 0.0242 |
0.0000
(5.0)
|
0.0056
(5.5)
|
0.0000
(5.0)
|
0.0000
(5.0)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 0.0000 |
0.0000
(5.6)
|
0.0103
(8.0)
|
0.0000
(5.6)
|
0.0000
(5.6)
|
| Corey Knebel | 0.0294 |
0.0000
(5.0)
|
0.0062
(5.2)
|
0.0000
(5.0)
|
0.0000
(5.0)
|
| Chris Stratton | 0.0183 |
0.0000
(7.0)
|
0.0046
(8.7)
|
0.0000
(7.0)
|
0.0000
(7.0)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germán Márquez | 0.0000 | 0.0141 | 5.8 |
| 2 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.0000 | 0.0016 | 4.8 |
| 3 | Jordan Zimmermann | 0.0000 | 0.0154 | 4.7 |
| 4 | Alex Wood | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.5 |
| 5 | Masahiro Tanaka | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.4 |
| 6 | Ryan Yarbrough | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.4 |
| 7 | Chris Rusin | 0.0000 | 0.0252 | 4.4 |
| 8 | Shane Greene | 0.0000 | 0.0222 | 4.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Boyd | 0.0123 | 0.0022 | 7.0 |
| 2 | Walker Buehler | 0.0116 | 0.0000 | 6.2 |
| 3 | James Shields | 0.0105 | 0.0034 | 6.0 |
| 4 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.0024 | 0.0087 | 5.3 |
| 5 | Robbie Ray | 0.0100 | 0.0000 | 5.1 |
| 6 | Pierce Johnson | 0.0000 | 0.0244 | 4.6 |
| 7 | Jack Flaherty | 0.0106 | 0.0029 | 4.6 |
| 8 | Dan Straily | 0.0086 | 0.0000 | 4.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germán Márquez | 0.0000 | 0.0141 | 5.8 |
| 2 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.0000 | 0.0016 | 4.8 |
| 3 | Jordan Zimmermann | 0.0000 | 0.0154 | 4.7 |
| 4 | Alex Wood | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.5 |
| 5 | Masahiro Tanaka | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.4 |
| 6 | Ryan Yarbrough | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.4 |
| 7 | Chris Rusin | 0.0000 | 0.0252 | 4.4 |
| 8 | Shane Greene | 0.0000 | 0.0222 | 4.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germán Márquez | 0.0000 | 0.0141 | 5.8 |
| 2 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.0000 | 0.0016 | 4.8 |
| 3 | Jordan Zimmermann | 0.0000 | 0.0154 | 4.7 |
| 4 | Alex Wood | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.5 |
| 5 | Masahiro Tanaka | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.4 |
| 6 | Ryan Yarbrough | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.4 |
| 7 | Chris Rusin | 0.0000 | 0.0252 | 4.4 |
| 8 | Shane Greene | 0.0000 | 0.0222 | 4.2 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 0.0758 |
0.1371
(48.9)
|
0.1149
(32.5)
|
0.1322
(46.0)
|
0.1237
(38.7)
|
| Jacob deGrom | 0.0575 |
0.1084
(39.6)
|
0.1015
(36.4)
|
0.1011
(34.8)
|
0.0966
(31.0)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Hess | 0.0000 | 0.1410 | 65.5 |
| 2 | Shane Bieber | 0.0000 | 0.1237 | 61.7 |
| 3 | Ryan Borucki | 0.0000 | 0.1157 | 49.4 |
| 4 | Adam Plutko | 0.0000 | 0.1380 | 46.1 |
| 5 | Yefry Ramírez | 0.0000 | 0.1497 | 45.0 |
| 6 | Dereck Rodríguez | 0.0000 | 0.0883 | 44.7 |
| 7 | Matt Koch | 0.0000 | 0.1194 | 44.2 |
| 8 | Corey Oswalt | 0.0000 | 0.1525 | 44.0 |
| 9 | Heath Fillmyer | 0.0000 | 0.1192 | 42.2 |
| 10 | Elieser Hernández | 0.0000 | 0.1338 | 39.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blake Snell | 0.1162 | 0.0586 | 40.0 |
| 2 | Aaron Nola | 0.1123 | 0.0686 | 35.9 |
| 3 | Lucas Giolito | 0.1143 | 0.1587 | 34.8 |
| 4 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.1493 | 0.0868 | 34.3 |
| 5 | Trevor Bauer | 0.1161 | 0.0711 | 31.9 |
| 6 | Derek Holland | 0.1453 | 0.1018 | 31.3 |
| 7 | Patrick Corbin | 0.1262 | 0.0875 | 30.6 |
| 8 | Félix Hernández | 0.1147 | 0.1562 | 28.8 |
| 9 | Dylan Bundy | 0.1170 | 0.1547 | 28.6 |
| 10 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.1233 | 0.0874 | 26.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blake Snell | 0.1078 | 0.0586 | 33.1 |
| 2 | Aaron Nola | 0.1092 | 0.0686 | 32.2 |
| 3 | Trevor Bauer | 0.1172 | 0.0711 | 31.7 |
| 4 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.1270 | 0.0874 | 28.1 |
| 5 | Mike Clevinger | 0.1233 | 0.0877 | 27.3 |
| 6 | Justin Verlander | 0.1101 | 0.0756 | 27.1 |
| 7 | Clay Buchholz | 0.1322 | 0.0636 | 26.2 |
| 8 | Jaime Barria | 0.1429 | 0.0931 | 25.7 |
| 9 | Mike Fiers | 0.1372 | 0.0994 | 25.6 |
| 10 | Gerrit Cole | 0.1189 | 0.0851 | 25.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Giolito | 0.1142 | 0.1587 | 36.0 |
| 2 | Dylan Bundy | 0.1142 | 0.1547 | 31.8 |
| 3 | Dereck Rodríguez | 0.1537 | 0.0883 | 30.9 |
| 4 | Félix Hernández | 0.1146 | 0.1562 | 29.9 |
| 5 | Clay Buchholz | 0.1404 | 0.0636 | 29.4 |
| 6 | Blake Snell | 0.1005 | 0.0586 | 28.0 |
| 7 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.1264 | 0.0874 | 27.5 |
| 8 | Alex Cobb | 0.1047 | 0.1407 | 25.1 |
| 9 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.1338 | 0.0868 | 24.9 |
| 10 | Marcus Stroman | 0.0982 | 0.1514 | 24.8 |
Earned Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Bauer | 0.0600 |
0.0996
(26.7)
|
0.1119
(36.9)
|
0.1086
(33.6)
|
0.1004
(27.0)
|
| Blake Snell | 0.0543 |
0.0937
(25.9)
|
0.1026
(33.4)
|
0.0991
(30.2)
|
0.0940
(25.9)
|
| Jacob deGrom | 0.0491 |
0.0995
(40.1)
|
0.0932
(36.4)
|
0.0927
(35.0)
|
0.0899
(31.8)
|
| Blake Treinen | 0.0222 |
0.1018
(24.3)
|
0.0997
(24.2)
|
0.0955
(22.6)
|
0.0921
(21.1)
|
| Kyle Freeland | 0.0758 |
0.1249
(39.4)
|
0.1064
(25.4)
|
0.1224
(37.9)
|
0.1156
(31.2)
|
| Lucas Giolito | 0.1523 |
0.1140
(31.5)
|
0.1029
(38.7)
|
0.1248
(22.6)
|
0.1072
(37.1)
|
| Mike Foltynewicz | 0.0780 |
0.1191
(28.8)
|
0.1172
(28.8)
|
0.1187
(29.0)
|
0.1186
(28.2)
|
| Clay Buchholz | 0.0560 |
0.1252
(26.3)
|
0.1187
(24.4)
|
0.1232
(25.8)
|
0.1308
(28.3)
|
Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.1398 | 0.0778 | 33.0 |
| 2 | Gerrit Cole | 0.1215 | 0.0801 | 31.2 |
| 3 | Dereck Rodríguez | 0.1381 | 0.0760 | 29.1 |
| 4 | Aaron Nola | 0.1036 | 0.0674 | 28.2 |
| 5 | Burch Smith | 0.0958 | 0.1676 | 26.5 |
| 6 | Dylan Bundy | 0.1086 | 0.1387 | 24.3 |
| 7 | Derek Holland | 0.1290 | 0.0935 | 24.1 |
| 8 | Jon Gray | 0.1021 | 0.1319 | 23.9 |
| 9 | T.J. McFarland | 0.1364 | 0.0548 | 23.1 |
| 10 | Reynaldo López | 0.1337 | 0.1026 | 23.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.1395 | 0.0778 | 33.9 |
| 2 | Aaron Nola | 0.1048 | 0.0674 | 30.7 |
| 3 | Derek Holland | 0.1318 | 0.0935 | 27.4 |
| 4 | Félix Hernández | 0.1046 | 0.1401 | 24.7 |
| 5 | Miles Mikolas | 0.1081 | 0.0780 | 23.9 |
| 6 | Burch Smith | 0.1081 | 0.1676 | 21.5 |
| 7 | Dylan Bundy | 0.1106 | 0.1387 | 21.5 |
| 8 | Zack Wheeler | 0.1192 | 0.0901 | 21.3 |
| 9 | Walker Buehler | 0.1136 | 0.0739 | 21.2 |
| 10 | Marco Estrada | 0.1111 | 0.1435 | 20.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clayton Richard | 0.1008 | 0.1378 | 26.4 |
| 2 | Aaron Nola | 0.1003 | 0.0674 | 25.9 |
| 3 | Mike Clevinger | 0.1151 | 0.0827 | 24.9 |
| 4 | Miles Mikolas | 0.1098 | 0.0780 | 24.3 |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | 0.1028 | 0.0720 | 24.2 |
| 6 | Gerrit Cole | 0.1102 | 0.0801 | 22.7 |
| 7 | Mike Fiers | 0.1287 | 0.0952 | 22.7 |
| 8 | Jaime Barria | 0.1349 | 0.0912 | 22.5 |
| 9 | Trevor Williams | 0.1176 | 0.0842 | 22.3 |
| 10 | Dereck Rodríguez | 0.1223 | 0.0760 | 21.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dereck Rodríguez | 0.1444 | 0.0760 | 32.0 |
| 2 | Dylan Bundy | 0.1069 | 0.1387 | 25.9 |
| 3 | Félix Hernández | 0.1072 | 0.1401 | 24.5 |
| 4 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.1245 | 0.0778 | 24.3 |
| 5 | Marcus Stroman | 0.0920 | 0.1403 | 22.9 |
| 6 | Jon Gray | 0.1039 | 0.1319 | 22.9 |
| 7 | Matt Moore | 0.1205 | 0.1635 | 21.5 |
| 8 | Marco Estrada | 0.1132 | 0.1435 | 20.8 |
| 9 | Mike Clevinger | 0.1109 | 0.0827 | 20.6 |
| 10 | Alex Cobb | 0.0974 | 0.1256 | 20.5 |
Win Rate
Everybody Missed for Win Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino | 0.5938 |
0.4516
(146.3)
|
0.2558
(227.7)
|
0.4480
(134.4)
|
0.4194
(155.0)
|
| Kyle Freeland | 0.5152 |
0.3636
(166.2)
|
0.2143
(215.1)
|
0.2351
(258.8)
|
0.3714
(141.8)
|
| Blake Snell | 0.6774 |
0.3871
(235.0)
|
0.1795
(316.4)
|
0.3464
(250.3)
|
0.3333
(257.9)
|
Individual Misses for Win Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane Bieber | 0.0003 | 0.5500 | 288.6 |
| 2 | Zach Eflin | 0.2000 | 0.4583 | 166.5 |
| 3 | Wade LeBlanc | 0.0769 | 0.2813 | 165.3 |
| 4 | Dereck Rodríguez | 0.0003 | 0.2857 | 161.1 |
| 5 | Ryan Yarbrough | 0.2174 | 0.4211 | 156.4 |
| 6 | Edwin Jackson | 0.0003 | 0.3529 | 151.7 |
| 7 | Michael Fulmer | 0.4231 | 0.1250 | 141.0 |
| 8 | Freddy Peralta | 0.0004 | 0.3750 | 134.8 |
| 9 | Drew Pomeranz | 0.5000 | 0.0769 | 129.9 |
| 10 | Jon Lester | 0.4375 | 0.5625 | 129.7 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miles Mikolas | 0.2118 | 0.5625 | 246.2 |
| 2 | Marco Gonzales | 0.1000 | 0.4483 | 207.4 |
| 3 | Mike Minor | 0.1000 | 0.4286 | 180.9 |
| 4 | Aaron Nola | 0.2564 | 0.5152 | 176.8 |
| 5 | Zack Wheeler | 0.1429 | 0.4138 | 167.4 |
| 6 | Zack Godley | 0.2000 | 0.4545 | 165.0 |
| 7 | Trevor Williams | 0.1707 | 0.4516 | 164.7 |
| 8 | Zach Eflin | 0.1250 | 0.4583 | 157.5 |
| 9 | Corey Kluber | 0.3784 | 0.6061 | 153.0 |
| 10 | Jon Lester | 0.3158 | 0.5625 | 152.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Yarbrough | 0.1417 | 0.4211 | 192.1 |
| 2 | Zack Wheeler | 0.1900 | 0.4138 | 186.3 |
| 3 | Miles Mikolas | 0.3596 | 0.5625 | 185.4 |
| 4 | Wade LeBlanc | 0.0483 | 0.2813 | 171.8 |
| 5 | J.A. Happ | 0.3675 | 0.5484 | 152.0 |
| 6 | Jon Lester | 0.4098 | 0.5625 | 136.4 |
| 7 | Aaron Nola | 0.3835 | 0.5152 | 131.5 |
| 8 | Trevor Williams | 0.3015 | 0.4516 | 123.8 |
| 9 | Corey Kluber | 0.4888 | 0.6061 | 121.1 |
| 10 | Rick Porcello | 0.3974 | 0.5152 | 116.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Minor | 0.1017 | 0.4286 | 224.7 |
| 2 | Miles Mikolas | 0.3462 | 0.5625 | 194.4 |
| 3 | Michael Fulmer | 0.4615 | 0.1250 | 174.2 |
| 4 | Trevor Williams | 0.2500 | 0.4516 | 158.4 |
| 5 | Alex Cobb | 0.4231 | 0.1786 | 145.6 |
| 6 | Marco Gonzales | 0.2609 | 0.4483 | 145.2 |
| 7 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.5926 | 0.3462 | 144.4 |
| 8 | Shane Bieber | 0.2857 | 0.5500 | 140.0 |
| 9 | Dylan Bundy | 0.4615 | 0.2581 | 134.4 |
| 10 | Walker Buehler | 0.1111 | 0.3333 | 133.4 |
Loss Rate
Everybody Missed for Loss Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 0.1563 |
0.3871
(140.1)
|
0.2500
(114.8)
|
0.3118
(99.1)
|
0.3226
(114.2)
|
| Tanner Roark | 0.4839 |
0.3548
(140.2)
|
0.2195
(162.9)
|
0.3335
(138.3)
|
0.3333
(132.2)
|
| Homer Bailey | 0.7000 |
0.5000
(126.2)
|
0.2571
(194.1)
|
0.3964
(165.6)
|
0.4762
(122.1)
|
| Dylan Bundy | 0.5161 |
0.3750
(147.4)
|
0.1905
(206.8)
|
0.3774
(127.7)
|
0.3846
(116.2)
|
Individual Misses for Loss Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Gaviglio | 0.0000 | 0.3846 | 241.2 |
| 2 | David Hess | 0.0005 | 0.4762 | 241.1 |
| 3 | Ryan Borucki | 0.0005 | 0.3529 | 169.3 |
| 4 | Kyle Freeland | 0.4545 | 0.2121 | 157.8 |
| 5 | Mike Wright Jr. | 0.5000 | 0.0417 | 156.3 |
| 6 | Yefry Ramírez | 0.0006 | 0.4706 | 154.5 |
| 7 | Shane Bieber | 0.0006 | 0.2500 | 147.9 |
| 8 | Ty Blach | 0.4737 | 0.1489 | 137.9 |
| 9 | Chad Bettis | 0.3913 | 0.0741 | 135.6 |
| 10 | Félix Hernández | 0.3448 | 0.4828 | 132.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jakob Junis | 0.1143 | 0.4000 | 178.7 |
| 2 | Alex Cobb | 0.2250 | 0.5357 | 172.3 |
| 3 | Félix Hernández | 0.2069 | 0.4828 | 154.7 |
| 4 | Marco Estrada | 0.2051 | 0.5000 | 153.5 |
| 5 | Dylan Covey | 0.1875 | 0.5185 | 152.3 |
| 6 | Lucas Giolito | 0.1667 | 0.4063 | 146.9 |
| 7 | Wei-Yin Chen | 0.1667 | 0.4615 | 140.1 |
| 8 | Danny Duffy | 0.1842 | 0.4286 | 134.5 |
| 9 | Andrew Cashner | 0.2895 | 0.5357 | 133.7 |
| 10 | James Shields | 0.2727 | 0.4706 | 128.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Gaviglio | 0.0482 | 0.3846 | 201.7 |
| 2 | Trevor Richards | 0.0816 | 0.3600 | 169.6 |
| 3 | Chad Bettis | 0.3855 | 0.0741 | 144.9 |
| 4 | Miles Mikolas | 0.3315 | 0.1250 | 141.3 |
| 5 | Alex Cobb | 0.3694 | 0.5357 | 130.9 |
| 6 | Francisco Liriano | 0.2707 | 0.4444 | 120.3 |
| 7 | Andrew Cashner | 0.3942 | 0.5357 | 117.9 |
| 8 | Andrew Suárez | 0.3072 | 0.4483 | 114.8 |
| 9 | Charlie Morton | 0.2867 | 0.1000 | 107.8 |
| 10 | Eric Skoglund | 0.0937 | 0.4286 | 107.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Minor | 0.0678 | 0.2857 | 154.4 |
| 2 | Marco Estrada | 0.2857 | 0.5000 | 149.0 |
| 3 | Charlie Morton | 0.3333 | 0.1000 | 145.9 |
| 4 | Dylan Covey | 0.2727 | 0.5185 | 145.9 |
| 5 | Héctor Santiago | 0.4000 | 0.0612 | 145.1 |
| 6 | Francisco Liriano | 0.2258 | 0.4444 | 141.8 |
| 7 | Alex Cobb | 0.3462 | 0.5357 | 140.8 |
| 8 | Wei-Yin Chen | 0.2500 | 0.4615 | 134.4 |
| 9 | Brad Keller | 0.4000 | 0.1463 | 134.3 |
| 10 | Miles Mikolas | 0.3077 | 0.1250 | 128.7 |
Save Rate
Everybody Missed for Save Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 0.3019 |
0.0000
(70.3)
|
0.0288
(67.9)
|
0.0000
(68.9)
|
0.0000
(66.6)
|
| Blake Treinen | 0.5588 |
0.3684
(60.7)
|
0.1111
(147.6)
|
0.3365
(68.9)
|
0.3170
(71.8)
|
| Carlos Martinez | 0.1515 |
0.0000
(80.2)
|
0.0250
(76.8)
|
0.0000
(77.0)
|
0.0000
(71.8)
|
| Edwin Díaz | 0.7808 |
0.5500
(65.3)
|
0.3333
(131.1)
|
0.4934
(79.4)
|
0.4655
(84.4)
|
| Sergio Romo | 0.3425 |
0.0408
(86.4)
|
0.0465
(90.0)
|
0.0573
(79.9)
|
0.0000
(93.4)
|
| Bud Norris | 0.4375 |
0.0000
(107.8)
|
0.1500
(75.5)
|
0.0000
(106.3)
|
0.0000
(103.8)
|
| Alex Colomé | 0.1714 |
0.5500
(106.1)
|
0.4667
(77.4)
|
0.5154
(98.1)
|
0.5068
(98.4)
|
| Robert Gsellman | 0.1912 |
0.0000
(66.8)
|
0.0263
(64.1)
|
0.0000
(64.7)
|
0.0000
(61.2)
|
Individual Misses for Save Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeurys Familia | 0.7105 | 0.2571 | 136.2 |
| 2 | Mark Melancon | 0.6136 | 0.0732 | 93.6 |
| 3 | Greg Holland | 0.4744 | 0.0536 | 88.7 |
| 4 | Brad Ziegler | 0.3793 | 0.1220 | 77.8 |
| 5 | Zack Britton | 0.5714 | 0.1707 | 67.3 |
| 6 | Héctor Rondón | 0.0000 | 0.2381 | 60.1 |
| 7 | Cody Allen | 0.5946 | 0.3857 | 59.7 |
| 8 | Wily Peralta | 0.0000 | 0.3784 | 56.7 |
| 9 | Will Smith | 0.0000 | 0.2593 | 54.9 |
| 10 | Archie Bradley | 0.2273 | 0.0395 | 54.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felipe Vázquez | 0.1455 | 0.5286 | 119.6 |
| 2 | Shane Greene | 0.0889 | 0.4848 | 116.3 |
| 3 | Brad Hand | 0.1346 | 0.4638 | 105.4 |
| 4 | Brad Boxberger | 0.1333 | 0.5333 | 98.9 |
| 5 | Keone Kela | 0.0278 | 0.4444 | 92.8 |
| 6 | Greg Holland | 0.4359 | 0.0536 | 76.6 |
| 7 | Brandon Morrow | 0.0323 | 0.6286 | 75.3 |
| 8 | Wade Davis | 0.3864 | 0.6232 | 67.3 |
| 9 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.4200 | 0.6667 | 66.1 |
| 10 | Raisel Iglesias | 0.2500 | 0.4545 | 65.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Bedrosian | 0.3844 | 0.0141 | 101.4 |
| 2 | Keone Kela | 0.0000 | 0.4444 | 93.4 |
| 3 | Alex Claudio | 0.3024 | 0.0152 | 87.0 |
| 4 | Brad Ziegler | 0.3867 | 0.1220 | 81.9 |
| 5 | Juan Minaya | 0.3996 | 0.0192 | 80.3 |
| 6 | Jeurys Familia | 0.5146 | 0.2571 | 78.9 |
| 7 | Tony Watson | 0.2497 | 0.0000 | 66.1 |
| 8 | Jeremy Jeffress | 0.0000 | 0.2055 | 60.3 |
| 9 | A.J. Minter | 0.0000 | 0.2308 | 59.0 |
| 10 | Héctor Rondón | 0.0000 | 0.2381 | 58.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Bedrosian | 0.4543 | 0.0141 | 123.0 |
| 2 | Brad Ziegler | 0.4842 | 0.1220 | 114.7 |
| 3 | Juan Minaya | 0.5195 | 0.0192 | 107.4 |
| 4 | Archie Bradley | 0.3778 | 0.0395 | 104.2 |
| 5 | Jeurys Familia | 0.5669 | 0.2571 | 97.7 |
| 6 | Keone Kela | 0.0000 | 0.4444 | 91.3 |
| 7 | Alex Claudio | 0.3017 | 0.0152 | 89.8 |
| 8 | Brad Boxberger | 0.2429 | 0.5333 | 65.0 |
| 9 | Sam Dyson | 0.2575 | 0.0405 | 63.0 |
| 10 | Mark Melancon | 0.4209 | 0.0732 | 62.9 |
Hold Rate
Everybody Missed for Hold Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Garrett | 0.3182 |
0.1176
(62.9)
|
0.0000
(83.7)
|
0.0000
(67.8)
|
| Yoshihisa Hirano | 0.4267 |
0.0612
(105.7)
|
0.0612
(95.4)
|
0.0000
(95.8)
|
| Jordan Hicks | 0.3288 |
0.0612
(103.5)
|
0.1104
(73.6)
|
0.0612
(70.0)
|
| Tony Watson | 0.4444 |
0.2500
(60.6)
|
0.1607
(73.7)
|
0.0000
(100.0)
|
| Archie Bradley | 0.4474 |
0.2500
(69.6)
|
0.1871
(76.6)
|
0.0000
(114.3)
|
| Lou Trivino | 0.3333 |
0.0612
(92.7)
|
0.0758
(76.6)
|
0.0000
(81.4)
|
| Alex Colomé | 0.4286 |
0.0667
(112.7)
|
0.0290
(112.3)
|
0.0000
(103.6)
|
Individual Misses for Hold Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Minor | 0.2000 | 0.0000 | 103.8 |
| 2 | Chaz Roe | 0.0952 | 0.5082 | 91.5 |
| 3 | Justin Anderson | 0.0612 | 0.3860 | 87.4 |
| 4 | José Alvarado | 0.1538 | 0.4429 | 86.0 |
| 5 | Adam Ottavino | 0.2381 | 0.4533 | 78.2 |
| 6 | Joe Jiménez | 0.0909 | 0.3382 | 76.1 |
| 7 | Seth Lugo | 0.0588 | 0.2037 | 74.9 |
| 8 | David Robertson | 0.0833 | 0.3043 | 73.3 |
| 9 | Austin Gomber | 0.0612 | 0.2414 | 72.8 |
| 10 | Craig Stammen | 0.1538 | 0.3151 | 63.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Montgomery | 0.2390 | 0.0000 | 128.3 |
| 2 | Wade LeBlanc | 0.1521 | 0.0000 | 101.6 |
| 3 | Ross Stripling | 0.2754 | 0.0909 | 93.5 |
| 4 | Justin Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.3860 | 92.7 |
| 5 | Austin Gomber | 0.0000 | 0.2414 | 80.2 |
| 6 | Seth Lugo | 0.0239 | 0.2037 | 73.2 |
| 7 | Dan Otero | 0.2892 | 0.0164 | 67.7 |
| 8 | Kenta Maeda | 0.0000 | 0.1282 | 67.5 |
| 9 | Richard Rodríguez | 0.0000 | 0.2381 | 66.1 |
| 10 | Ryan Yarbrough | 0.1000 | 0.0000 | 63.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Ottavino | 0.0000 | 0.4533 | 121.2 |
| 2 | José Alvarado | 0.0000 | 0.4429 | 100.4 |
| 3 | Josh Hader | 0.0000 | 0.3818 | 98.1 |
| 4 | Chaz Roe | 0.0000 | 0.5082 | 90.7 |
| 5 | Matt Barnes | 0.0000 | 0.4032 | 90.6 |
| 6 | Tommy Hunter | 0.0000 | 0.3846 | 87.3 |
| 7 | Craig Stammen | 0.0000 | 0.3151 | 80.5 |
| 8 | Carl Edwards Jr. | 0.0000 | 0.3966 | 74.4 |
| 9 | Joe Jiménez | 0.0000 | 0.3382 | 74.0 |
| 10 | Steve Cishek | 0.0000 | 0.3125 | 72.4 |
ERA
Everybody Missed for ERA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Bauer | 2.2072 |
3.8387
(1087.8)
|
4.2857
(1525.4)
|
4.1772
(1379.1)
|
3.9079
(1058.0)
|
| Blake Snell | 1.8930 |
3.6584
(1155.7)
|
3.9706
(1488.6)
|
3.8108
(1309.8)
|
3.6958
(1104.4)
|
| Jacob deGrom | 1.7005 |
3.7980
(1656.0)
|
3.4477
(1499.8)
|
3.4455
(1418.2)
|
3.3750
(1210.3)
|
| Kyle Freeland | 2.8468 |
5.0470
(1760.4)
|
4.1722
(1160.0)
|
4.8991
(1692.8)
|
4.7099
(1382.5)
|
| Lucas Giolito | 6.1269 |
4.4970
(1351.8)
|
3.9036
(1685.1)
|
4.9953
(913.1)
|
4.2484
(1630.3)
|
| Mike Foltynewicz | 2.8525 |
4.7615
(1335.2)
|
4.6293
(1358.4)
|
4.6556
(1306.9)
|
4.7610
(1252.5)
|
| Clay Buchholz | 2.0136 |
4.9462
(1107.6)
|
4.5552
(1018.1)
|
4.8638
(1101.8)
|
5.2308
(1175.9)
|
Individual Misses for ERA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aníbal Sánchez | 5.5818 | 2.8317 | 1457.5 |
| 2 | Gerrit Cole | 4.7788 | 2.8752 | 1429.6 |
| 3 | Dereck Rodríguez | 5.6400 | 2.8141 | 1320.5 |
| 4 | Aaron Nola | 3.9800 | 2.3736 | 1239.8 |
| 5 | Zack Wheeler | 4.9755 | 3.3071 | 1156.1 |
| 6 | Patrick Corbin | 4.7094 | 3.1500 | 1156.0 |
| 7 | Burch Smith | 3.8336 | 6.9231 | 1147.0 |
| 8 | Derek Holland | 5.2547 | 3.5720 | 1140.2 |
| 9 | Mike Fiers | 5.2004 | 3.5581 | 1090.9 |
| 10 | Walker Buehler | 4.6698 | 2.6214 | 1046.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aníbal Sánchez | 5.4944 | 2.8317 | 1499.6 |
| 2 | Aaron Nola | 3.9673 | 2.3736 | 1365.0 |
| 3 | Derek Holland | 5.2466 | 3.5720 | 1253.1 |
| 4 | Miles Mikolas | 4.2138 | 2.8256 | 1161.2 |
| 5 | Zack Wheeler | 4.6821 | 3.3071 | 1059.4 |
| 6 | Félix Hernández | 3.9796 | 5.5503 | 1042.4 |
| 7 | Patrick Corbin | 4.3557 | 3.1500 | 1003.7 |
| 8 | Walker Buehler | 4.4118 | 2.6214 | 995.1 |
| 9 | Blake Treinen | 3.7662 | 0.7842 | 954.8 |
| 10 | Burch Smith | 4.2138 | 6.9231 | 952.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Clevinger | 4.5027 | 3.0150 | 1167.3 |
| 2 | Aaron Nola | 3.7736 | 2.3736 | 1124.7 |
| 3 | Justin Verlander | 3.8659 | 2.5234 | 1079.5 |
| 4 | Trevor Williams | 4.6628 | 3.1113 | 1054.9 |
| 5 | Mike Fiers | 5.0815 | 3.5581 | 1054.4 |
| 6 | Miles Mikolas | 4.1644 | 2.8256 | 1044.1 |
| 7 | Gerrit Cole | 4.1910 | 2.8752 | 1014.1 |
| 8 | Jaime Barria | 5.3095 | 3.4098 | 995.1 |
| 9 | Clayton Richard | 3.9201 | 5.3319 | 994.6 |
| 10 | Dereck Rodríguez | 4.8555 | 2.8141 | 971.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dereck Rodríguez | 6.0344 | 2.8141 | 1458.7 |
| 2 | Dylan Bundy | 4.1234 | 5.4524 | 1165.6 |
| 3 | Félix Hernández | 4.2097 | 5.5503 | 1072.5 |
| 4 | Aníbal Sánchez | 4.9157 | 2.8317 | 1028.0 |
| 5 | Marcus Stroman | 3.5402 | 5.5407 | 999.3 |
| 6 | Matt Moore | 4.9197 | 6.7941 | 988.9 |
| 7 | Mike Clevinger | 4.4348 | 3.0150 | 967.7 |
| 8 | Jason Hammel | 4.5995 | 6.0236 | 961.5 |
| 9 | Marco Estrada | 4.3709 | 5.6381 | 935.6 |
| 10 | Jon Gray | 4.0851 | 5.1180 | 934.7 |
WHIP
Everybody Missed for WHIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 0.9742 |
1.3376
(237.6)
|
1.3897
(292.0)
|
1.3285
(232.4)
|
1.3460
(212.0)
|
| Patrick Corbin | 1.0500 |
1.4316
(286.2)
|
1.4217
(298.6)
|
1.3569
(227.7)
|
1.3810
(209.5)
|
| Mike Foltynewicz | 1.0820 |
1.4429
(250.7)
|
1.4095
(244.9)
|
1.3707
(198.2)
|
1.4060
(189.8)
|
| Jason Hammel | 1.6299 |
1.3170
(196.4)
|
1.3166
(181.7)
|
1.3688
(165.2)
|
1.3274
(216.6)
|
| Tyler Chatwood | 1.8039 |
1.3561
(229.3)
|
1.3879
(201.3)
|
1.4410
(187.2)
|
1.3981
(230.7)
|
Individual Misses for WHIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 1.5472 | 1.1243 | 296.8 |
| 2 | Jacob deGrom | 1.2425 | 0.9124 | 255.6 |
| 3 | Gerrit Cole | 1.3696 | 1.0333 | 249.6 |
| 4 | Walker Buehler | 1.4340 | 0.9612 | 242.8 |
| 5 | Aaron Nola | 1.2667 | 0.9749 | 222.6 |
| 6 | Danny Duffy | 1.2178 | 1.4903 | 205.2 |
| 7 | Justin Verlander | 1.1707 | 0.9019 | 204.0 |
| 8 | Kyle Freeland | 1.4911 | 1.2455 | 187.1 |
| 9 | José Ureña | 1.4696 | 1.1839 | 186.4 |
| 10 | Dereck Rodríguez | 1.5385 | 1.1324 | 186.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 1.4547 | 1.1243 | 247.0 |
| 2 | Aaron Nola | 1.2594 | 0.9749 | 237.8 |
| 3 | Jacob deGrom | 1.1893 | 0.9124 | 232.5 |
| 4 | Walker Buehler | 1.3725 | 0.9612 | 223.4 |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | 1.1458 | 0.9019 | 204.6 |
| 6 | Miles Mikolas | 1.3173 | 1.0714 | 200.0 |
| 7 | Matthew Boyd | 1.4338 | 1.1566 | 197.7 |
| 8 | Aníbal Sánchez | 1.4359 | 1.0829 | 196.1 |
| 9 | Gerrit Cole | 1.2751 | 1.0333 | 194.5 |
| 10 | Trevor Bauer | 1.3382 | 1.0894 | 179.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Verlander | 1.1977 | 0.9019 | 227.9 |
| 2 | Jhoulys Chacín | 1.4323 | 1.1626 | 196.9 |
| 3 | Kyle Freeland | 1.4997 | 1.2455 | 195.7 |
| 4 | Jacob deGrom | 1.1621 | 0.9124 | 189.8 |
| 5 | José Ureña | 1.4628 | 1.1839 | 182.7 |
| 6 | Aaron Nola | 1.2152 | 0.9749 | 181.1 |
| 7 | Luke Weaver | 1.2287 | 1.4963 | 176.5 |
| 8 | Trevor Williams | 1.4484 | 1.1777 | 174.1 |
| 9 | Sean Manaea | 1.3614 | 1.0768 | 171.6 |
| 10 | Mike Clevinger | 1.3828 | 1.1550 | 166.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Duffy | 1.2267 | 1.4903 | 230.2 |
| 2 | Sonny Gray | 1.2178 | 1.4962 | 202.2 |
| 3 | Luke Weaver | 1.2419 | 1.4963 | 197.0 |
| 4 | Drew Pomeranz | 1.2775 | 1.7703 | 193.2 |
| 5 | Dereck Rodríguez | 1.5817 | 1.1324 | 185.2 |
| 6 | Tyson Ross | 1.6493 | 1.2962 | 180.1 |
| 7 | Dylan Bundy | 1.2427 | 1.4097 | 177.0 |
| 8 | Dallas Keuchel | 1.1811 | 1.3143 | 176.8 |
| 9 | Martín Pérez | 1.4167 | 1.7813 | 172.1 |
| 10 | Chris Archer | 1.1755 | 1.3753 | 171.5 |