2018 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Seager	115	589 (474.0)	592 (477.0)	610 (494.5)	666 (551.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jesús Aguilar	68	566	498.0
2	Juan Soto	1	494	493.0
3	Max Muncy	1	481	480.0
4	Dustin Pedroia	491	13	478.0
5	Byron Buxton	556	94	462.0
6	Yoenis Cespedes	613	157	456.0
7	Daniel Palka	1	449	448.0
8	Miguel Cabrera	602	157	445.0
9	Brian Anderson	226	670	444.0
10	Miguel Andujar	166	606	440.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Phillips	547	27	520.0
2	Juan Soto	1	494	493.0
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	1	487	486.0
4	Gleyber Torres	1	484	483.0
5	Scott Kingery	1	484	483.0
6	Dustin Pedroia	492	13	479.0
7	Chase Headley	538	60	478.0
8	Daniel Palka	1	449	448.0
9	Ronald Guzmán	1	428	427.0
10	Brian Anderson	253	670	417.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jesús Aguilar	13	566	552.9
2	Juan Soto	1	494	493.0
3	Max Muncy	1	481	480.0
4	Niko Goodrum	14	492	477.7
5	Byron Buxton	570	94	476.4
6	Brandon Phillips	472	27	445.4
7	Dustin Pedroia	456	13	443.4
8	Daniel Palka	13	449	436.1
9	Brian Anderson	239	670	431.3
10	Ronald Guzmán	19	428	408.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rio Ruiz	579	15	564.0
2	Myles Straw	558	10	548.0
3	AJ Reed	551	3	548.0
4	Blake Trahan	555	14	541.0
5	Tim Locastro	550	14	536.0
6	Christian Walker	587	53	534.0
7	Ildemaro Vargas	547	20	527.0
8	Jack Reinheimer	562	35	527.0
9	Richard Urena	632	108	524.0
10	Raimel Tapia	551	27	524.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Davis	0.2407	0.3388 (48.9)	0.3426 (49.2)	0.3460 (52.9)	0.3346 (48.2)
Christian Yelich	0.4228	0.3707 (36.8)	0.3506 (52.0)	0.3735 (34.8)	0.3642 (39.1)
Max Muncy	0.4106	0.2927 (58.8)	0.3015 (56.2)	0.2892 (60.4)	0.3004 (53.7)
Mookie Betts	0.4520	0.3704 (52.8)	0.3530 (65.5)	0.3762 (49.1)	0.3660 (53.7)
Brandon Nimmo	0.3864	0.3252 (35.1)	0.3289 (34.8)	0.3094 (43.4)	0.3074 (43.1)
Alex Bregman	0.3965	0.3462 (38.6)	0.3428 (43.2)	0.3494 (36.0)	0.3435 (38.4)
Juan Soto	0.3970	0.3003 (49.9)	0.3206 (41.5)	0.2686 (65.4)	0.3206 (38.5)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Andujar	0.2975	0.3621	41.8
2	Joey Wendle	0.2709	0.3391	39.6
3	J.D. Martinez	0.3784	0.4319	37.7
4	Charlie Culberson	0.2301	0.3402	36.9
5	Whit Merrifield	0.3018	0.3493	36.8
6	Kyle Seager	0.3486	0.2897	34.3
7	Jesús Aguilar	0.3219	0.3755	32.9
8	Johan Camargo	0.2938	0.3489	31.2
9	Carlos Correa	0.3868	0.3157	31.2
10	Mitch Haniger	0.3288	0.3685	30.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3206	0.3888	36.9
2	José Ramírez	0.3571	0.3979	33.8
3	Trevor Story	0.3421	0.3852	33.3
4	J.D. Martinez	0.3886	0.4319	33.1
5	Eugenio Suárez	0.3343	0.3800	32.3
6	Javier Báez	0.3282	0.3698	31.8
7	Eduardo Escobar	0.3091	0.3504	30.9
8	Mike Trout	0.4135	0.4558	30.4
9	Matt Chapman	0.3292	0.3692	29.4
10	Manny Machado	0.3511	0.3845	29.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.4280	0.3620	43.7
2	Jesús Aguilar	0.3123	0.3755	38.0
3	Joey Wendle	0.2749	0.3391	37.2
4	J.D. Martinez	0.3839	0.4319	33.8
5	Matt Chapman	0.3195	0.3692	33.1
6	Trevor Story	0.3393	0.3852	32.8
7	Kyle Seager	0.3456	0.2897	32.6
8	Scooter Gennett	0.3156	0.3615	31.9
9	Mitch Haniger	0.3265	0.3685	31.5
10	Miguel Andujar	0.3161	0.3621	30.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.4234	0.3620	42.2
2	Kyle Seager	0.3538	0.2897	39.4
3	Javier Báez	0.3137	0.3698	37.2
4	Johan Camargo	0.2808	0.3489	36.5
5	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3529	0.2712	36.4
6	Jesús Aguilar	0.3167	0.3755	34.1
7	Trevor Story	0.3348	0.3852	34.1
8	Joey Wendle	0.2824	0.3391	31.7
9	Carlos Correa	0.3847	0.3157	31.6
10	Brian Dozier	0.3526	0.3045	29.5

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Dickerson	0.1501	0.2391 (47.9)	0.2373 (51.0)	0.2293 (46.8)	0.2378 (49.1)
Trevor Story	0.2561	0.3081 (34.7)	0.3068 (38.9)	0.3014 (35.2)	0.3297 (51.2)
Nick Markakis	0.1135	0.1600 (33.4)	0.1551 (35.4)	0.1596 (38.5)	0.1557 (32.9)
Austin Jackson	0.3547	0.2116 (53.3)	0.2149 (49.2)	0.2212 (46.9)	0.2061 (54.0)
Enrique Hernández	0.1688	0.2484 (37.1)	0.2300 (32.2)	0.2345 (34.3)	0.2326 (31.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.3322	0.2370	59.2
2	Brian Anderson	0.2611	0.1925	46.5
3	Colin Moran	0.2645	0.1763	41.4
4	Chris Taylor	0.2304	0.2947	38.4
5	Joey Wendle	0.2423	0.1761	36.5
6	Kyle Seager	0.1637	0.2190	34.3
7	J.D. Martinez	0.2765	0.2250	34.0
8	José Bautista	0.1943	0.2782	33.1
9	Adrian Beltré	0.1303	0.1996	32.9
10	Jean Segura	0.1585	0.1092	31.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Palka	0.2169	0.3408	51.8
2	Alex Bregman	0.1815	0.1206	49.0
3	Jorge Alfaro	0.2453	0.3660	42.3
4	Jurickson Profar	0.2059	0.1481	39.4
5	Jean Segura	0.1583	0.1092	36.4
6	Ian Happ	0.2745	0.3615	36.3
7	Max Kepler	0.2070	0.1571	35.7
8	Brian Anderson	0.2372	0.1925	35.6
9	David Fletcher	0.2169	0.1107	35.2
10	Robinson Chirinos	0.2377	0.3286	35.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.2902	0.2370	38.0
2	Ian Happ	0.2724	0.3615	37.2
3	Victor Martinez	0.1586	0.0965	35.9
4	Chris Taylor	0.2275	0.2947	35.5
5	J.D. Martinez	0.2701	0.2250	34.8
6	Travis Shaw	0.2342	0.1840	34.4
7	Ronald Guzmán	0.1969	0.2827	33.1
8	Bryce Harper	0.1881	0.2432	32.4
9	Jean Segura	0.1517	0.1092	32.2
10	Joey Wendle	0.2214	0.1761	29.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.3167	0.2370	51.8
2	Ronald Guzmán	0.1858	0.2827	39.6
3	Chris Taylor	0.2280	0.2947	37.6
4	Joc Pederson	0.2695	0.1919	36.4
5	Adrian Beltré	0.1233	0.1996	34.6
6	Brian Anderson	0.2389	0.1925	34.1
7	J.D. Martinez	0.2687	0.2250	31.3
8	Ian Happ	0.2899	0.3615	31.0
9	Travis Shaw	0.2321	0.1840	30.9
10	Kyle Seager	0.1661	0.2190	30.5

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Davis	0.0785	0.1296 (26.2)	0.1183 (22.0)	0.1260 (26.1)	0.1146 (22.0)
Aaron Hicks	0.1549	0.1030 (30.7)	0.1031 (28.8)	0.1154 (21.4)	0.1158 (19.2)
Travis Shaw	0.1329	0.0964 (21.9)	0.0877 (25.2)	0.0929 (21.9)	0.0855 (24.2)
Max Muncy	0.1642	0.1208 (21.3)	0.0977 (30.9)	0.1034 (28.0)	0.1054 (25.4)
Ian Happ	0.1515	0.0959 (26.1)	0.0907 (27.0)	0.0895 (27.4)	0.0899 (25.7)
Mookie Betts	0.1319	0.0913 (25.5)	0.0844 (27.8)	0.0984 (19.0)	0.0936 (19.8)
José Ramírez	0.1519	0.0883 (45.0)	0.0790 (49.3)	0.0831 (46.2)	0.0778 (47.5)
Alex Bregman	0.1362	0.0926 (31.4)	0.0835 (35.5)	0.0899 (30.8)	0.0850 (31.8)
Justin Bour	0.1457	0.1022 (22.3)	0.0989 (22.3)	0.1035 (19.9)	0.1021 (18.8)
Lorenzo Cain	0.1145	0.0809 (21.4)	0.0749 (23.2)	0.0758 (22.4)	0.0708 (23.3)
Kyle Seager	0.0603	0.1005 (24.7)	0.0900 (20.1)	0.0960 (24.1)	0.0878 (21.1)
Juan Soto	0.1599	0.0705 (44.6)	0.0863 (35.2)	0.0520 (52.0)	0.0863 (33.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.1440	0.1075	25.2
2	Derek Dietrich	0.0970	0.0526	23.9
3	Joc Pederson	0.1392	0.0903	21.3
4	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0517	0.0153	20.9
5	Mike Trout	0.1685	0.2007	20.1
6	César Hernández	0.1075	0.1342	19.5
7	Corey Dickerson	0.0761	0.0394	19.1
8	Johan Camargo	0.0619	0.0973	19.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Andujar	0.0853	0.0413	28.1
2	Mike Trout	0.1534	0.2007	27.3
3	César Hernández	0.0993	0.1342	23.1
4	Matt Davidson	0.0562	0.1048	23.0
5	Bryce Harper	0.1525	0.1871	22.4
6	Ozzie Albies	0.0831	0.0526	22.4
7	Lewis Brinson	0.0897	0.0419	20.4
8	Trea Turner	0.0642	0.0932	19.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johan Camargo	0.0508	0.0973	23.0
2	Freddie Freeman	0.1351	0.1075	21.3
3	Joc Pederson	0.1355	0.0903	21.2
4	Stephen Piscotty	0.1014	0.0694	20.9
5	Whit Merrifield	0.0543	0.0863	20.8
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0475	0.0153	20.4
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1566	0.1304	19.9
8	Anthony Rendon	0.1211	0.0921	18.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.1360	0.1075	24.5
2	Joc Pederson	0.1368	0.0903	23.3
3	Whit Merrifield	0.0478	0.0863	22.9
4	Johan Camargo	0.0491	0.0973	22.1
5	Yonder Alonso	0.1206	0.0889	21.7
6	Stephen Piscotty	0.0973	0.0694	20.5
7	Edwin Encarnación	0.1352	0.1088	18.8
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1197	0.0993	18.7

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kris Bryant	0.0372	0.0000 (12.1)	0.0196 (7.6)	0.0190 (7.7)	0.0209 (6.8)
Francisco Cervelli	0.0371	0.0000 (10.7)	0.0155 (8.3)	0.0140 (8.8)	0.0192 (6.7)
Willson Contreras	0.0239	0.0000 (7.2)	0.0089 (7.6)	0.0100 (6.8)	0.0105 (6.5)
Chance Sisco	0.0598	0.0000 (9.0)	0.0137 (8.3)	0.0100 (8.9)	0.0186 (7.3)
C.J. Cron	0.0304	0.0000 (11.1)	0.0138 (8.7)	0.0140 (8.4)	0.0146 (8.1)
Robinson Chirinos	0.0446	0.0000 (14.5)	0.0219 (9.2)	0.0180 (10.8)	0.0259 (7.4)
Brian Anderson	0.0239	0.0000 (8.9)	0.0079 (10.0)	0.0110 (7.7)	0.0142 (5.6)
Daniel Robertson	0.0382	0.0000 (9.4)	0.0119 (8.6)	0.0140 (7.8)	0.0197 (5.8)
Brandon Nimmo	0.0411	0.0000 (16.3)	0.0093 (16.5)	0.0090 (16.5)	0.0084 (16.8)
Jorge Alfaro	0.0371	0.0000 (10.0)	0.0151 (7.9)	0.0150 (7.8)	0.0201 (5.9)
Carlos Gómez	0.0515	0.0000 (16.7)	0.0221 (11.6)	0.0200 (12.3)	0.0284 (8.9)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Dietrich	0.0000	0.0381	15.1
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.0000	0.0301	12.9
3	Jon Jay	0.0000	0.0307	11.8
4	Kolten Wong	0.0000	0.0344	9.7
5	Kurt Suzuki	0.0000	0.0335	8.9
6	Brandon Guyer	0.0000	0.0498	8.7
7	Nelson Cruz	0.0000	0.0237	7.7
8	Justin Turner	0.0000	0.0282	7.5
9	Adam Eaton	0.0000	0.0297	7.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoán Moncada	0.0122	0.0015	7.6
2	Harrison Bader	0.0079	0.0258	7.2
3	Starling Marte	0.0238	0.0132	7.1
4	Paul DeJong	0.0093	0.0245	6.9
5	Mitch Moreland	0.0132	0.0000	6.5
6	Salvador Perez	0.0099	0.0221	6.0
7	Joey Wendle	0.0046	0.0165	5.9
8	Starlin Castro	0.0080	0.0000	5.9
9	Juan Soto	0.0106	0.0000	5.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starling Marte	0.0230	0.0132	6.8
2	Paul DeJong	0.0100	0.0245	6.4
3	Mitch Moreland	0.0120	0.0000	6.1
4	Starlin Castro	0.0080	0.0000	6.1
5	Salvador Perez	0.0100	0.0221	5.8
6	JaCoby Jones	0.0100	0.0236	5.7
7	Nick Markakis	0.0080	0.0014	5.6
8	Nelson Cruz	0.0130	0.0237	5.5
9	Kurt Suzuki	0.0180	0.0335	5.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starling Marte	0.0298	0.0132	10.8
2	George Springer	0.0179	0.0081	6.9
3	Derek Dietrich	0.0481	0.0381	6.3
4	Salvador Perez	0.0095	0.0221	6.1
5	Mitch Moreland	0.0119	0.0000	6.1
6	Juan Soto	0.0106	0.0000	5.9
7	Paul DeJong	0.0116	0.0245	5.6
8	Mookie Betts	0.0028	0.0130	5.5
9	Starlin Castro	0.0071	0.0000	5.5

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Joey Votto	0.0296	0.0644 (19.7)	0.0673 (22.9)	0.0674 (23.3)	0.0617 (19.8)
Chris Davis	0.0567	0.1049 (23.5)	0.0969 (20.5)	0.1123 (28.8)	0.1115 (28.4)
Jesús Aguilar	0.0975	0.0682 (18.3)	0.0647 (19.1)	0.0641 (19.2)	0.0615 (20.6)
Max Muncy	0.1316	0.0391 (46.0)	0.0408 (44.1)	0.0409 (43.8)	0.0447 (42.0)
Christian Yelich	0.0816	0.0386 (30.0)	0.0375 (29.3)	0.0525 (19.2)	0.0457 (23.7)
Luke Voit	0.1500	0.0455 (17.3)	0.0440 (17.2)	0.0439 (17.2)	0.0473 (16.6)
Matt Carpenter	0.0876	0.0638 (18.2)	0.0582 (20.5)	0.0509 (25.1)	0.0528 (23.8)
José Ramírez	0.0774	0.0393 (28.7)	0.0381 (28.1)	0.0403 (26.2)	0.0383 (27.5)
Cody Bellinger	0.0611	0.0989 (21.9)	0.0924 (19.2)	0.0959 (21.7)	0.1013 (25.1)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	C.J. Cron	0.0459	0.0831	22.5
2	Mike Trout	0.0783	0.1108	21.6
3	Gleyber Torres	0.0400	0.0762	19.0
4	Corey Dickerson	0.0688	0.0304	18.9
5	Eugenio Suárez	0.0590	0.0870	18.8
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1194	0.0913	17.6
7	Freddie Freeman	0.0742	0.0467	17.2
8	Juan Soto	0.0380	0.0696	17.1
9	Travis Shaw	0.0551	0.0806	16.7
10	Nolan Arenado	0.1076	0.0800	16.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Palka	0.0463	0.1023	25.5
2	Matt Olson	0.1014	0.0692	20.7
3	Eugenio Suárez	0.0544	0.0870	20.3
4	David Peralta	0.0384	0.0685	19.1
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.0463	0.0973	19.0
6	Mookie Betts	0.0437	0.0737	19.0
7	Mike Trout	0.0811	0.1108	18.6
8	Willson Contreras	0.0631	0.0280	18.6
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0463	0.0831	18.3
10	Francisco Lindor	0.0443	0.0679	18.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1502	0.0913	41.2
2	Freddie Freeman	0.0771	0.0467	21.2
3	Gleyber Torres	0.0338	0.0762	20.7
4	Juan Soto	0.0288	0.0696	20.4
5	David Peralta	0.0381	0.0685	18.9
6	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0467	0.0831	17.9
7	Addison Russell	0.0540	0.0154	17.7
8	Daniel Palka	0.0632	0.1023	17.7
9	Adam Jones	0.0598	0.0305	17.7
10	Eugenio Suárez	0.0587	0.0870	17.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1576	0.0913	46.4
2	Freddie Freeman	0.0754	0.0467	20.0
3	Mookie Betts	0.0426	0.0737	19.4
4	David Peralta	0.0382	0.0685	18.9
5	Matt Olson	0.0976	0.0692	18.5
6	Francisco Lindor	0.0442	0.0679	17.9
7	Jed Lowrie	0.0232	0.0488	17.7
8	Johan Camargo	0.0200	0.0529	17.5
9	Matt Chapman	0.0882	0.0596	17.4
10	Kris Bryant	0.0827	0.0456	16.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Gary Sánchez	0.1972	0.2978 (35.3)	0.3059 (38.4)	0.2863 (32.2)	0.2848 (31.7)
Joey Wendle	0.3510	0.2985 (32.0)	0.2961 (33.3)	0.2917 (33.9)	0.2878 (36.0)
Mookie Betts	0.3682	0.2970 (47.5)	0.2973 (47.2)	0.3002 (43.6)	0.3074 (39.1)
José Ramírez	0.2516	0.3027 (31.3)	0.3077 (34.9)	0.3023 (33.3)	0.3068 (36.5)
Jorge Alfaro	0.4061	0.3089 (39.0)	0.3294 (31.2)	0.3085 (37.9)	0.3086 (37.8)
Matt Chapman	0.3377	0.2918 (32.1)	0.2952 (30.0)	0.2743 (40.9)	0.2796 (37.6)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Whit Merrifield	0.2925	0.3502	45.2
2	Odúbel Herrera	0.3624	0.2892	40.0
3	Kole Calhoun	0.3169	0.2399	39.1
4	Ryon Healy	0.3372	0.2570	38.8
5	Nick Castellanos	0.3103	0.3608	38.5
6	Nelson Cruz	0.3352	0.2645	38.1
7	Nolan Arenado	0.2638	0.3135	37.6
8	Travis Shaw	0.3103	0.2411	37.0
9	Trea Turner	0.3678	0.3126	36.3
10	J.D. Martinez	0.3286	0.3747	34.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2900	0.3333	34.8
2	Travis Shaw	0.3059	0.2411	34.5
3	Dexter Fowler	0.3149	0.2095	33.2
4	Nick Castellanos	0.3188	0.3608	32.6
5	Yan Gomes	0.2679	0.3358	32.2
6	Nelson Cruz	0.3227	0.2645	30.8
7	Wilson Ramos	0.2863	0.3529	30.3
8	Ben Zobrist	0.2784	0.3299	30.0
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2965	0.3519	30.0
10	DJ LeMahieu	0.3543	0.2966	29.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Desmond	0.3434	0.2781	38.6
2	Scooter Gennett	0.3001	0.3559	37.5
3	Wilson Ramos	0.2678	0.3529	36.7
4	Juan Soto	0.2688	0.3367	35.0
5	Dexter Fowler	0.3118	0.2095	33.2
6	Max Kepler	0.2928	0.2363	32.7
7	Nick Castellanos	0.3160	0.3608	32.4
8	Whit Merrifield	0.3090	0.3502	31.3
9	Matt Duffy	0.3013	0.3521	30.1
10	Mitch Haniger	0.2950	0.3357	29.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dexter Fowler	0.3158	0.2095	34.5
2	Scooter Gennett	0.3047	0.3559	34.5
3	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2891	0.3333	33.2
4	Matt Duffy	0.2969	0.3521	32.5
5	Logan Morrison	0.2885	0.1964	32.0
6	Chris Davis	0.2996	0.2368	31.2
7	Max Kepler	0.2899	0.2363	31.0
8	Mitch Haniger	0.2936	0.3357	30.7
9	Kole Calhoun	0.2981	0.2399	30.5
10	Yan Gomes	0.2689	0.3358	30.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Willy Adames	0.3387	0.2461 (31.7)	0.2192 (40.5)	0.2267 (37.7)	0.2275 (36.9)
Gary Sánchez	0.1174	0.2194 (36.1)	0.2336 (41.3)	0.2184 (36.0)	0.2121 (34.3)
Scooter Gennett	0.2815	0.2423 (28.5)	0.2399 (30.3)	0.2249 (39.1)	0.2244 (38.4)
Bryce Harper	0.1938	0.2444 (31.4)	0.2345 (24.2)	0.2361 (26.2)	0.2462 (34.3)
Jorge Alfaro	0.3147	0.2195 (38.0)	0.2529 (25.5)	0.2360 (31.4)	0.2344 (31.5)
Xander Bogaerts	0.1954	0.2550 (31.4)	0.2599 (34.0)	0.2473 (27.4)	0.2505 (30.2)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nolan Arenado	0.1558	0.2220	48.2
2	Trevor Story	0.1601	0.2242	45.6
3	Kyle Seager	0.2292	0.1639	37.7
4	J.D. Martinez	0.2229	0.2739	36.7
5	Gerardo Parra	0.2045	0.2800	35.9
6	Whit Merrifield	0.2170	0.2607	34.8
7	David Peralta	0.2051	0.2549	33.9
8	Nelson Cruz	0.2737	0.2121	33.2
9	Alex Bregman	0.2327	0.1809	32.7
10	José A. Martínez	0.2281	0.2775	32.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	DJ LeMahieu	0.2848	0.2202	34.1
2	Matt Duffy	0.2429	0.2958	32.9
3	Justin Upton	0.2192	0.2643	31.2
4	Ben Zobrist	0.1989	0.2513	30.3
5	Ian Desmond	0.2568	0.2041	29.0
6	Adam Engel	0.1883	0.2450	29.0
7	Jake Bauers	0.2192	0.1389	28.9
8	José Ramírez	0.2066	0.1613	27.5
9	J.D. Martinez	0.2379	0.2739	27.2
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2085	0.2407	26.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Duffy	0.2360	0.2958	36.1
2	Ian Desmond	0.2624	0.2041	33.2
3	Lorenzo Cain	0.2476	0.2952	32.4
4	José Ramírez	0.2102	0.1613	30.9
5	DJ LeMahieu	0.2773	0.2202	30.5
6	Max Kepler	0.2080	0.1551	29.5
7	Justin Upton	0.2213	0.2643	29.2
8	Jurickson Profar	0.2249	0.1714	29.0
9	Jake Bauers	0.2166	0.1389	28.4
10	Jonathan Villar	0.2408	0.2902	27.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1905	0.2407	37.6
2	Matt Duffy	0.2344	0.2958	36.1
3	J.D. Martinez	0.2233	0.2739	34.8
4	DJ LeMahieu	0.2817	0.2202	33.9
5	Justin Upton	0.2134	0.2643	33.1
6	José Ramírez	0.2092	0.1613	31.3
7	Jake Bauers	0.2182	0.1389	29.6
8	Lorenzo Cain	0.2506	0.2952	29.6
9	Jonathan Villar	0.2364	0.2902	29.3
10	Derek Dietrich	0.2063	0.2551	28.6

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Marcell Ozuna	0.0352	0.0650 (17.9)	0.0668 (19.9)	0.0729 (24.4)	0.0709 (23.3)
Miguel Andujar	0.1038	0.0763 (17.4)	0.0775 (15.8)	0.0631 (24.0)	0.0713 (18.8)
Odúbel Herrera	0.0466	0.0847 (22.0)	0.0773 (18.4)	0.0737 (16.9)	0.0777 (19.4)
Jonathan Villar	0.0442	0.0842 (20.0)	0.0789 (18.0)	0.0757 (16.8)	0.0735 (15.8)
Eduardo Escobar	0.1129	0.0778 (22.9)	0.0616 (32.3)	0.0689 (27.1)	0.0714 (25.3)
Mookie Betts	0.1169	0.0855 (20.1)	0.0790 (23.2)	0.0822 (20.6)	0.0815 (20.9)
Brandon Nimmo	0.1014	0.0699 (17.5)	0.0711 (16.2)	0.0687 (16.9)	0.0643 (19.1)
Alex Bregman	0.1060	0.0714 (25.2)	0.0836 (15.7)	0.0751 (21.0)	0.0778 (18.9)
Xander Bogaerts	0.1142	0.0738 (24.1)	0.0696 (25.8)	0.0716 (24.1)	0.0737 (22.7)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Smoak	0.0526	0.1040	31.2
2	Gerardo Parra	0.0990	0.0523	20.2
3	Ian Desmond	0.0863	0.0536	19.5
4	David Peralta	0.0940	0.0613	19.4
5	César Hernández	0.0624	0.0342	19.1
6	Jurickson Profar	0.0532	0.0833	18.6
7	Trea Turner	0.0782	0.0524	18.1
8	Matt Carpenter	0.0867	0.1120	18.0
9	Jordy Mercer	0.0557	0.0951	17.7
10	Gleyber Torres	0.0917	0.0550	17.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Upton	0.0931	0.0541	24.0
2	Matt Olson	0.0484	0.0846	23.8
3	Rhys Hoskins	0.0649	0.1000	23.1
4	Justin Smoak	0.0697	0.1040	20.3
5	Jurickson Profar	0.0497	0.0833	19.9
6	Miguel Rojas	0.0667	0.0313	18.7
7	Ryon Healy	0.0763	0.0419	18.1
8	Nick Ahmed	0.0524	0.0831	17.2
9	Devon Travis	0.0939	0.0496	16.8
10	Joey Wendle	0.0526	0.0833	16.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rhys Hoskins	0.0655	0.1000	22.0
2	Juan Soto	0.0426	0.0850	20.4
3	Matt Chapman	0.0771	0.1108	20.1
4	Yoán Moncada	0.0613	0.0920	19.2
5	Justin Upton	0.0839	0.0541	19.0
6	Justin Smoak	0.0712	0.1040	18.8
7	Miguel Rojas	0.0614	0.0313	16.5
8	Nick Castellanos	0.0777	0.1024	16.0
9	Wil Myers	0.0727	0.1202	15.9
10	César Hernández	0.0554	0.0342	15.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoán Moncada	0.0573	0.0920	21.6
2	Justin Upton	0.0854	0.0541	20.0
3	Javier Báez	0.0660	0.0976	19.4
4	Devon Travis	0.0996	0.0496	19.4
5	Yonder Alonso	0.0777	0.0507	16.3
6	Niko Goodrum	0.0631	0.0973	16.1
7	Rhys Hoskins	0.0745	0.1000	15.9
8	Yuli Gurriel	0.0967	0.0705	15.8
9	Matt Carpenter	0.0880	0.1120	15.3
10	Chris Davis	0.0729	0.0451	15.2

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Nicky Delmonico	0.0254	0.0028 (7.0)	0.0054 (6.5)	0.0069 (5.7)	0.0000 (8.5)
Christian Yelich	0.0173	0.0071 (6.3)	0.0049 (8.3)	0.0045 (8.0)	0.0091 (6.1)
Brandon Nimmo	0.0290	0.0140 (7.8)	0.0051 (13.0)	0.0070 (11.5)	0.0143 (8.5)
Ian Desmond	0.0204	0.0096 (6.4)	0.0068 (8.6)	0.0068 (8.1)	0.0058 (9.8)
Javier Báez	0.0220	0.0055 (10.3)	0.0061 (10.4)	0.0056 (10.2)	0.0063 (10.9)
Kevin Kiermaier	0.0378	0.0139 (8.6)	0.0129 (9.3)	0.0108 (9.7)	0.0189 (7.4)
Teoscar Hernández	0.0238	0.0000 (12.2)	0.0062 (9.4)	0.0073 (8.4)	0.0091 (8.3)
Ketel Marte	0.0279	0.0116 (9.2)	0.0072 (12.2)	0.0119 (9.0)	0.0151 (8.1)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yolmer Sánchez	0.0069	0.0218	9.6
2	Cody Bellinger	0.0063	0.0182	7.3
3	JaCoby Jones	0.0062	0.0215	6.9
4	Alen Hanson	0.0000	0.0226	6.9
5	Yoán Moncada	0.0063	0.0172	6.8
6	Ozzie Albies	0.0191	0.0099	6.6
7	Hunter Dozier	0.0000	0.0165	6.2
8	Johan Camargo	0.0140	0.0029	6.1
9	Denard Span	0.0073	0.0198	6.0
10	Billy Hamilton	0.0130	0.0241	6.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tim Beckham	0.0192	0.0000	7.6
2	Alex Bregman	0.0131	0.0021	7.5
3	JaCoby Jones	0.0060	0.0215	7.4
4	Yolmer Sánchez	0.0117	0.0218	6.9
5	Gregory Polanco	0.0061	0.0181	6.6
6	Chris Taylor	0.0128	0.0232	6.5
7	Mitch Moreland	0.0000	0.0137	6.5
8	Dexter Fowler	0.0195	0.0000	6.4
9	Willson Contreras	0.0035	0.0144	6.1
10	César Hernández	0.0157	0.0068	6.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gregory Polanco	0.0043	0.0181	7.1
2	Chris Taylor	0.0109	0.0232	7.1
3	Cody Bellinger	0.0075	0.0182	6.5
4	Tommy Pham	0.0061	0.0179	6.4
5	Jeff McNeil	0.0041	0.0297	6.2
6	Denard Span	0.0070	0.0198	6.1
7	Jurickson Profar	0.0039	0.0143	5.9
8	Ozzie Albies	0.0180	0.0099	5.8
9	Dexter Fowler	0.0168	0.0000	5.8
10	Alex Bregman	0.0093	0.0021	5.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Schebler	0.0175	0.0000	7.0
2	Mitch Moreland	0.0000	0.0137	6.8
3	César Hernández	0.0175	0.0068	6.7
4	Yolmer Sánchez	0.0133	0.0218	6.4
5	Rhys Hoskins	0.0106	0.0000	6.2
6	Gregory Polanco	0.0080	0.0181	6.1
7	Jeff McNeil	0.0069	0.0297	6.0
8	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0055	0.0129	5.9
9	Adam Eaton	0.0211	0.0040	5.9
10	Jon Jay	0.0072	0.0160	5.9

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Davis	0.0766	0.1235 (21.1)	0.1374 (29.8)	0.1335 (30.4)	0.1349 (29.8)
Christian Yelich	0.1813	0.1566 (20.2)	0.1288 (36.5)	0.1441 (23.4)	0.1408 (27.2)
Max Muncy	0.1559	0.1111 (24.7)	0.1116 (23.1)	0.0995 (26.5)	0.1131 (21.2)
Mookie Betts	0.2101	0.1795 (22.7)	0.1469 (41.1)	0.1583 (31.0)	0.1522 (36.3)
Javier Báez	0.1566	0.1272 (23.1)	0.1260 (22.1)	0.1177 (24.2)	0.1243 (21.7)
Adam Jones	0.0881	0.1267 (19.7)	0.1263 (21.2)	0.1279 (25.2)	0.1234 (20.8)
Juan Soto	0.1559	0.1111 (25.3)	0.1190 (20.1)	0.0918 (31.0)	0.1190 (18.9)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1602	0.1244 (20.6)	0.1190 (21.9)	0.1126 (22.5)	0.1229 (18.8)
Matt Chapman	0.1623	0.1164 (32.3)	0.1183 (29.4)	0.1199 (25.3)	0.1267 (22.8)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.1542	0.1113	24.3
2	Matt Carpenter	0.1349	0.1640	24.0
3	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1520	0.1054	23.6
4	Charlie Culberson	0.0808	0.1460	23.1
5	Francisco Lindor	0.1502	0.1732	22.0
6	Victor Martinez	0.1118	0.0630	21.5
7	Aaron Hicks	0.1248	0.1549	21.3
8	Andrew McCutchen	0.1587	0.1217	20.8
9	Brian Anderson	0.1062	0.1299	20.2
10	Jason Kipnis	0.1481	0.1082	20.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Francisco Lindor	0.1333	0.1732	32.4
2	Didi Gregorius	0.1168	0.1564	24.6
3	Andrew Benintendi	0.1257	0.1558	22.4
4	Aaron Hicks	0.1223	0.1549	21.1
5	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1448	0.1054	21.0
6	Ozzie Albies	0.1276	0.1535	20.2
7	Joey Votto	0.1426	0.1075	19.6
8	Cameron Maybin	0.1367	0.0833	19.1
9	Nick Castellanos	0.1054	0.1298	19.0
10	J.D. Martinez	0.1460	0.1710	18.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.1533	0.1113	28.8
2	Victor Martinez	0.1136	0.0630	26.4
3	Joey Votto	0.1467	0.1075	25.2
4	Tommy Pham	0.1348	0.1789	24.4
5	Manny Machado	0.1498	0.1185	23.1
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1759	0.1447	23.0
7	Ozzie Albies	0.1209	0.1535	21.4
8	Amed Rosario	0.0910	0.1284	21.3
9	Didi Gregorius	0.1181	0.1564	21.1
10	Brian Anderson	0.0977	0.1299	20.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Francisco Lindor	0.1351	0.1732	29.3
2	Didi Gregorius	0.1164	0.1564	23.5
3	Ozzie Albies	0.1205	0.1535	23.4
4	Charlie Culberson	0.0827	0.1460	20.8
5	Jake Cave	0.1098	0.1748	20.5
6	Anthony Rizzo	0.1429	0.1113	20.1
7	Tommy Pham	0.1466	0.1789	19.2
8	Joey Votto	0.1394	0.1075	19.1
9	Aaron Hicks	0.1253	0.1549	18.0
10	Greg Bird	0.1317	0.0740	17.6

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jed Lowrie	0.1456	0.1024 (33.8)	0.1016 (32.1)	0.1080 (29.6)	0.0940 (39.8)
Eugenio Suárez	0.1716	0.1214 (34.4)	0.1195 (33.6)	0.1217 (33.9)	0.1343 (26.8)
Max Muncy	0.1642	0.0966 (35.6)	0.0930 (35.8)	0.1010 (33.3)	0.1028 (32.9)
Christian Yelich	0.1690	0.1203 (35.9)	0.1192 (34.6)	0.1224 (34.2)	0.1305 (29.6)
Javier Báez	0.1721	0.1254 (34.3)	0.1319 (28.0)	0.1406 (24.2)	0.1400 (25.2)
Jesús Aguilar	0.1908	0.1324 (36.8)	0.1425 (29.2)	0.1298 (37.9)	0.1501 (27.0)
Xander Bogaerts	0.1776	0.1429 (23.9)	0.1133 (39.2)	0.1236 (34.8)	0.1144 (40.7)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gleyber Torres	0.0960	0.1591	33.7
2	Lorenzo Cain	0.1187	0.0613	31.6
3	Miguel Andujar	0.1084	0.1518	30.2
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1705	0.1203	30.1
5	Shin-Soo Choo	0.1440	0.0932	29.4
6	Willson Contreras	0.1593	0.0993	29.1
7	José Ramírez	0.1167	0.1504	28.1
8	Evan Gattis	0.1193	0.1729	27.1
9	Wilson Ramos	0.1123	0.1683	26.0
10	Johan Camargo	0.1038	0.1450	25.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.1602	0.2003	28.1
2	Jurickson Profar	0.0882	0.1296	26.5
3	Gregory Polanco	0.1064	0.1514	25.8
4	José Ramírez	0.1176	0.1504	25.2
5	Eric Hosmer	0.1412	0.1019	24.4
6	Lorenzo Cain	0.1034	0.0613	24.1
7	Gleyber Torres	0.1133	0.1591	23.8
8	Brandon Crawford	0.1342	0.0909	23.8
9	Trey Mancini	0.1312	0.0912	23.4
10	Starlin Castro	0.1220	0.0835	22.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2136	0.1418	46.4
2	Gleyber Torres	0.1069	0.1591	28.2
3	Chris Davis	0.1478	0.0939	25.0
4	Lorenzo Cain	0.1071	0.0613	24.7
5	Cody Bellinger	0.1648	0.1203	24.4
6	Nick Markakis	0.1034	0.1319	24.3
7	Juan Soto	0.0987	0.1417	24.2
8	Johan Camargo	0.1068	0.1450	23.2
9	Trey Mancini	0.1329	0.0912	22.7
10	David Peralta	0.1127	0.1417	21.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2310	0.1418	58.0
2	Cody Bellinger	0.1845	0.1203	36.2
3	Johan Camargo	0.0919	0.1450	31.5
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1693	0.1203	29.0
5	Jurickson Profar	0.0915	0.1296	26.8
6	Brandon Crawford	0.1411	0.0909	25.7
7	Chris Davis	0.1497	0.0939	25.5
8	Nick Markakis	0.1027	0.1319	25.5
9	José Ramírez	0.1213	0.1504	25.2
10	Ian Happ	0.1560	0.0952	24.8

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ender Inciarte	0.1647	0.1053 (41.4)	0.1047 (42.3)	0.1060 (43.2)	0.1183 (37.7)
Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.1441	0.0580 (47.8)	0.0611 (46.6)	0.0517 (53.0)	0.0597 (50.9)
Jace Peterson	0.2241	0.0504 (43.5)	0.0549 (42.6)	0.0683 (40.0)	0.0833 (37.3)
Trevor Story	0.1888	0.0882 (68.1)	0.0708 (80.1)	0.0737 (79.9)	0.0909 (71.3)
Javier Báez	0.1654	0.0719 (62.3)	0.0870 (53.2)	0.0872 (54.8)	0.1111 (41.9)
Michael A. Taylor	0.3038	0.1300 (68.2)	0.1633 (55.7)	0.1641 (56.4)	0.2019 (43.4)
Eduardo Núñez	0.0642	0.1733 (53.2)	0.1935 (62.9)	0.1735 (51.5)	0.2069 (66.2)
Billy Hamilton	0.2482	0.3478 (53.6)	0.3813 (71.8)	0.3540 (55.1)	0.4167 (87.7)
Adalberto Mondesi	0.5517	0.2364 (92.7)	0.1667 (113.2)	0.2415 (92.2)	0.2955 (77.7)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoán Moncada	0.1748	0.0805	59.2
2	Whit Merrifield	0.1496	0.2239	54.8
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.1500	0.0500	50.6
4	José Ramírez	0.1176	0.1799	45.7
5	Amed Rosario	0.1094	0.1832	45.6
6	Francisco Lindor	0.0833	0.1397	44.4
7	Gleyber Torres	0.1395	0.0488	42.4
8	Ian Kinsler	0.0596	0.1322	40.5
9	Ian Desmond	0.0826	0.1439	40.0
10	Rajai Davis	0.2326	0.4118	39.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trea Turner	0.3190	0.2129	75.5
2	Tim Anderson	0.1026	0.2185	72.7
3	Greg Allen	0.0566	0.2877	68.4
4	José Ramírez	0.1111	0.1799	50.8
5	Amed Rosario	0.1077	0.1832	47.1
6	Whit Merrifield	0.1615	0.2239	46.9
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1038	0.0359	44.1
8	Mallex Smith	0.1771	0.2532	43.6
9	Elvis Andrus	0.1419	0.0485	38.2
10	Jose Iglesias	0.0661	0.1442	38.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tim Anderson	0.1158	0.2185	66.3
2	Trea Turner	0.3070	0.2129	64.7
3	José Ramírez	0.1062	0.1799	56.1
4	Francisco Lindor	0.0843	0.1397	46.2
5	Whit Merrifield	0.1683	0.2239	44.0
6	Teoscar Hernández	0.1390	0.0500	43.0
7	Christian Yelich	0.0627	0.1189	41.0
8	Greg Allen	0.1574	0.2877	39.9
9	Amed Rosario	0.1247	0.1832	38.6
10	Yasiel Puig	0.0726	0.1500	37.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trea Turner	0.3309	0.2129	79.4
2	Tim Anderson	0.1452	0.2185	50.9
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2374	0.1311	46.5
4	Teoscar Hernández	0.1478	0.0500	45.5
5	Leonys Martin	0.2193	0.0824	44.6
6	Jose Altuve	0.1753	0.0914	43.8
7	Jose Iglesias	0.0672	0.1442	40.7
8	Francisco Lindor	0.0966	0.1397	40.1
9	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2961	0.2174	40.0
10	Cameron Maybin	0.2083	0.0952	39.3

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Davis	0.1681	0.2233 (26.2)	0.2340 (29.6)	0.2277 (27.4)	0.2229 (26.1)
Gary Sánchez	0.1858	0.2755 (31.7)	0.2766 (30.6)	0.2686 (28.3)	0.2614 (26.5)
Scooter Gennett	0.3099	0.2767 (24.3)	0.2735 (29.1)	0.2590 (37.1)	0.2649 (31.8)
Joey Wendle	0.2998	0.2337 (38.7)	0.2576 (28.0)	0.2399 (36.6)	0.2411 (34.6)
Trevor Story	0.2910	0.2447 (33.6)	0.2521 (31.5)	0.2517 (30.5)	0.2398 (36.7)
Mookie Betts	0.3462	0.2894 (37.9)	0.2860 (42.6)	0.2991 (33.3)	0.2964 (33.5)
J.D. Martinez	0.3304	0.2732 (40.3)	0.2902 (32.0)	0.2854 (33.9)	0.2878 (30.8)
Matt Chapman	0.2779	0.2222 (37.3)	0.2440 (26.5)	0.2264 (36.1)	0.2248 (35.6)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Whit Merrifield	0.2561	0.3038	37.2
2	Miguel Andujar	0.2436	0.2967	35.2
3	Bryce Harper	0.3013	0.2491	32.9
4	Brian Anderson	0.2308	0.2729	31.5
5	Kyle Seager	0.2757	0.2213	31.2
6	Kole Calhoun	0.2672	0.2077	30.1
7	César Hernández	0.2968	0.2529	27.6
8	Carlos Correa	0.3025	0.2388	27.5
9	Juan Soto	0.2420	0.2923	27.3
10	Max Muncy	0.2143	0.2633	25.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Christian Yelich	0.2870	0.3258	31.2
2	Ben Zobrist	0.2575	0.3055	29.7
3	Nick Castellanos	0.2685	0.2984	26.5
4	Mallex Smith	0.2583	0.2958	25.4
5	Miguel Andujar	0.2646	0.2967	25.0
6	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2517	0.2933	24.7
7	Juan Soto	0.2517	0.2923	24.5
8	Dexter Fowler	0.2612	0.1799	24.1
9	Anthony Rendon	0.2773	0.3081	23.8
10	Whit Merrifield	0.2801	0.3038	23.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.2323	0.2923	33.2
2	Bryce Harper	0.3012	0.2491	31.2
3	Mallex Smith	0.2497	0.2958	29.0
4	Whit Merrifield	0.2728	0.3038	27.0
5	Mitch Haniger	0.2535	0.2852	26.6
6	Ben Zobrist	0.2616	0.3055	26.5
7	Jesús Aguilar	0.2360	0.2744	25.8
8	Max Muncy	0.2179	0.2633	25.3
9	Nick Markakis	0.2689	0.2970	24.8
10	Wilson Ramos	0.2539	0.3063	24.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mallex Smith	0.2428	0.2958	31.4
2	Kyle Seager	0.2715	0.2213	28.6
3	Ben Zobrist	0.2554	0.3055	28.5
4	Bryce Harper	0.2947	0.2491	28.4
5	Christian Yelich	0.2893	0.3258	26.8
6	Javier Báez	0.2537	0.2904	26.7
7	Mitch Haniger	0.2511	0.2852	26.6
8	Nick Markakis	0.2653	0.2970	25.6
9	Dexter Fowler	0.2613	0.1799	25.6
10	Carlos Correa	0.2979	0.2388	25.4

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Whit Merrifield	0.3674	0.3018 (45.5)	0.3236 (35.1)	0.3160 (38.8)	0.3173 (34.5)
Chris Davis	0.2433	0.3239 (42.7)	0.3308 (42.6)	0.3313 (44.1)	0.3179 (39.6)
Max Muncy	0.3909	0.3092 (38.7)	0.3099 (41.8)	0.3040 (43.5)	0.3085 (39.1)
Mookie Betts	0.4381	0.3543 (50.7)	0.3464 (59.9)	0.3700 (44.0)	0.3622 (45.9)
Brandon Nimmo	0.4037	0.3362 (35.4)	0.3489 (32.5)	0.3328 (39.9)	0.3298 (38.9)
Alex Bregman	0.3943	0.3471 (32.4)	0.3382 (43.7)	0.3456 (36.8)	0.3388 (38.3)
J.D. Martinez	0.4022	0.3457 (35.8)	0.3570 (33.1)	0.3559 (32.3)	0.3547 (30.1)
Juan Soto	0.4057	0.2954 (53.9)	0.3227 (43.9)	0.2769 (65.4)	0.3227 (40.4)
Kyle Seager	0.2730	0.3485 (48.3)	0.3345 (35.0)	0.3379 (38.7)	0.3417 (44.0)
Matt Chapman	0.3555	0.3035 (31.2)	0.3181 (26.7)	0.3027 (34.7)	0.2975 (35.0)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wendle	0.2732	0.3536	43.1
2	Brian Anderson	0.2920	0.3567	42.5
3	Johan Camargo	0.2874	0.3492	31.7
4	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3401	0.2884	31.1
5	Kole Calhoun	0.3358	0.2831	29.8
6	DJ LeMahieu	0.3708	0.3212	29.5
7	Carlos Correa	0.3827	0.3226	28.7
8	Eric Hosmer	0.3626	0.3220	28.3
9	Lewis Brinson	0.3066	0.2395	27.7
10	Matt Davidson	0.2633	0.3185	26.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.4137	0.4596	31.5
2	Lorenzo Cain	0.3518	0.3952	30.6
3	José Ramírez	0.3514	0.3868	28.9
4	Manny Machado	0.3323	0.3667	28.6
5	Christian Yelich	0.3645	0.4025	28.5
6	DJ LeMahieu	0.3756	0.3212	28.2
7	Nick Castellanos	0.3197	0.3540	27.2
8	Mallex Smith	0.3234	0.3669	26.9
9	Aaron Hicks	0.3269	0.3661	26.2
10	Scooter Gennett	0.3228	0.3575	25.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wendle	0.2788	0.3536	42.7
2	Lorenzo Cain	0.3437	0.3952	34.1
3	Scooter Gennett	0.3085	0.3575	33.5
4	Brian Anderson	0.3105	0.3567	33.4
5	Mitch Haniger	0.3245	0.3660	30.8
6	Mallex Smith	0.3138	0.3669	30.8
7	Jesús Aguilar	0.3016	0.3516	30.3
8	Lewis Brinson	0.3168	0.2395	29.9
9	DJ LeMahieu	0.3746	0.3212	28.9
10	Kole Calhoun	0.3372	0.2831	27.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wendle	0.2776	0.3536	40.8
2	Lorenzo Cain	0.3385	0.3952	34.4
3	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3651	0.2914	34.0
4	Mallex Smith	0.3044	0.3669	33.3
5	Brian Anderson	0.3080	0.3567	31.9
6	Johan Camargo	0.2876	0.3492	31.7
7	Mitch Haniger	0.3198	0.3660	30.8
8	Matt Duffy	0.3077	0.3614	29.4
9	Scooter Gennett	0.3103	0.3575	29.3
10	Dexter Fowler	0.3610	0.2784	28.0

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Joey Votto	0.4195	0.5324 (63.4)	0.5414 (66.6)	0.5206 (56.8)	0.5190 (57.4)
Brian Dozier	0.3906	0.4847 (52.5)	0.4936 (55.6)	0.4818 (51.3)	0.4820 (53.0)
Miguel Andujar	0.5271	0.3974 (85.3)	0.4286 (68.8)	0.4294 (65.3)	0.4318 (62.3)
Chris Davis	0.2957	0.4605 (80.2)	0.4658 (80.9)	0.4766 (89.2)	0.4586 (81.1)
Christian Yelich	0.5976	0.4733 (88.1)	0.4424 (110.8)	0.4907 (76.1)	0.4716 (86.9)
Max Muncy	0.5823	0.3462 (118.9)	0.3842 (102.5)	0.3522 (115.5)	0.3743 (103.6)
Mookie Betts	0.6404	0.5113 (86.1)	0.4801 (107.7)	0.5163 (82.4)	0.4930 (95.1)
Javier Báez	0.5545	0.4720 (60.3)	0.4520 (75.8)	0.4615 (66.4)	0.4350 (81.9)
Juan Soto	0.5169	0.3965 (65.0)	0.4174 (56.6)	0.3403 (92.2)	0.4174 (52.8)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5520	0.4511 (54.5)	0.4174 (72.9)	0.4501 (54.5)	0.4520 (52.3)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jesús Aguilar	0.4355	0.5386	64.7
2	Charlie Culberson	0.2766	0.4662	64.6
3	Alex Bregman	0.4517	0.5320	64.4
4	J.D. Martinez	0.5464	0.6292	60.9
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.4190	0.5644	57.5
6	Joey Wendle	0.3478	0.4353	53.7
7	José Ramírez	0.4879	0.5519	52.4
8	Adam Duvall	0.4982	0.3646	52.3
9	Anthony Rendon	0.4587	0.5350	52.2
10	Bryce Harper	0.5797	0.4964	50.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Xander Bogaerts	0.4194	0.5224	68.5
2	Trevor Story	0.4811	0.5669	66.2
3	Eugenio Suárez	0.4352	0.5256	63.9
4	Jurickson Profar	0.3667	0.4580	63.2
5	Alex Bregman	0.4615	0.5320	60.3
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.4174	0.5644	59.5
7	José Ramírez	0.4870	0.5519	55.8
8	Eduardo Escobar	0.4161	0.4894	55.8
9	Gregory Polanco	0.4155	0.4989	52.7
10	J.D. Martinez	0.5646	0.6292	51.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.6535	0.5089	94.8
2	Jesús Aguilar	0.4259	0.5386	69.5
3	Trevor Story	0.4716	0.5669	69.1
4	Brandon Nimmo	0.3698	0.4827	65.8
5	Eugenio Suárez	0.4377	0.5256	59.3
6	J.D. Martinez	0.5534	0.6292	55.7
7	Matt Carpenter	0.4532	0.5230	54.1
8	Gleyber Torres	0.3807	0.4803	53.0
9	Bryce Harper	0.5823	0.4964	52.8
10	Xander Bogaerts	0.4440	0.5224	51.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.6563	0.5089	98.6
2	Brandon Nimmo	0.3617	0.4827	68.7
3	Jesús Aguilar	0.4276	0.5386	67.1
4	Trevor Story	0.4756	0.5669	64.8
5	Nick Markakis	0.3664	0.4398	57.0
6	Alex Bregman	0.4608	0.5320	55.4
7	Xander Bogaerts	0.4344	0.5224	55.4
8	Jonathan Lucroy	0.4488	0.3253	52.7
9	Charlie Culberson	0.3128	0.4662	51.8
10	Carlos Correa	0.5222	0.4055	51.2

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ervin Santana	114	675 (561.1)	746 (632.0)	664 (549.7)	747 (633.0)
Taijuan Walker	56	701 (645.1)	663 (607.0)	807 (750.6)	684 (628.0)
Jerad Eickhoff	26	581 (555.0)	619 (593.0)	610 (584.4)	653 (627.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel González	704	66	638.1
2	Johnny Cueto	798	214	583.9
3	Kyle Freeland	277	844	566.9
4	Kendall Graveman	705	158	547.1
5	Yu Darvish	699	180	518.9
6	Zack Wheeler	241	744	503.0
7	Sam Gaviglio	48	548	500.0
8	Dereck Rodríguez	1	487	486.0
9	Shane Bieber	1	485	484.0
10	Jeff Samardzija	686	207	478.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miles Mikolas	1	808	807.0
2	Andrew Suárez	1	665	664.0
3	Ryan Yarbrough	1	628	627.0
4	Brad Keller	1	583	582.0
5	Aríel Miranda	602	24	578.0
6	Miguel González	640	66	574.0
7	Joey Lucchesi	1	548	547.0
8	Trevor Richards	1	547	546.0
9	Jeff Samardzija	753	207	546.0
10	Jaime Barria	1	537	536.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Suárez	4	665	660.7
2	Miguel González	724	66	658.3
3	Kendall Graveman	768	158	609.6
4	Johnny Cueto	761	214	546.8
5	Jordan Montgomery	661	116	544.9
6	Yu Darvish	720	180	539.9
7	Wei-Yin Chen	39	572	532.5
8	Jeff Samardzija	727	207	519.6
9	Wade LeBlanc	149	662	513.2
10	Dylan Covey	40	542	501.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Thompson	737	76	661.0
2	Anthony Banda	672	56	616.0
3	Braden Shipley	634	21	613.0
4	Aaron Brooks	611	10	601.0
5	Aaron Slegers	657	60	597.0
6	Jeff Hoffman	640	44	596.0
7	Aríel Miranda	615	24	591.0
8	Alex McRae	623	32	591.0
9	Tyler Danish	621	31	590.0
10	Jen-Ho Tseng	597	10	587.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Blake Snell	0.2463	0.1332 (53.8)	0.3157 (47.4)	0.2894 (39.0)	0.2807 (37.9)
Trevor Bauer	0.2600	0.1167 (33.5)	0.3212 (42.6)	0.2980 (36.2)	0.2837 (31.2)
Patrick Corbin	0.2653	0.1158 (32.3)	0.3361 (55.2)	0.2999 (37.7)	0.3019 (45.1)
Aaron Nola	0.2508	0.1066 (38.0)	0.3060 (44.4)	0.2833 (37.4)	0.2677 (30.5)
Blake Treinen	0.1910	0.1112 (34.7)	0.3138 (38.1)	0.2895 (35.0)	0.2740 (32.4)
Jacob deGrom	0.2306	0.1101 (58.0)	0.2934 (51.0)	0.2716 (44.7)	0.2646 (44.9)
Mike Foltynewicz	0.2659	0.1243 (36.0)	0.3347 (49.9)	0.3102 (42.3)	0.3118 (48.9)
Zack Wheeler	0.2695	0.1361 (42.1)	0.3411 (52.0)	0.2990 (31.3)	0.3049 (41.1)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.1364	0.2588	56.2
2	Max Scherzer	0.1132	0.2528	43.6
3	Walker Buehler	0.1340	0.2467	41.8
4	Josh Hader	0.1523	0.2180	38.0
5	Gerrit Cole	0.1204	0.2646	36.5
6	Josh Tomlin	0.0948	0.3971	36.1
7	José Leclerc	0.1729	0.2031	35.6
8	Jason Hammel	0.1194	0.3682	34.3
9	Bartolo Colon	0.1180	0.3621	34.0
10	Edwin Díaz	0.1428	0.2144	33.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Walker Buehler	0.3249	0.2467	41.4
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3495	0.2739	40.9
3	Gerrit Cole	0.3120	0.2646	36.5
4	Miles Mikolas	0.3149	0.2706	34.4
5	Dylan Bundy	0.3183	0.3617	33.8
6	Derek Holland	0.3552	0.3080	33.1
7	Kyle Freeland	0.3309	0.2915	31.8
8	Marco Estrada	0.3109	0.3589	31.2
9	Jack Flaherty	0.3321	0.2822	29.6
10	Andrew Cashner	0.3249	0.3667	29.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Freeland	0.3228	0.2915	37.0
2	Gerrit Cole	0.2946	0.2646	34.0
3	Jhoulys Chacín	0.3130	0.2857	31.7
4	Justin Verlander	0.2827	0.2588	30.4
5	Miles Mikolas	0.2950	0.2706	29.9
6	Chris Archer	0.2738	0.3313	28.6
7	Trevor Williams	0.3140	0.2863	28.2
8	Seranthony Domínguez	0.3365	0.2311	27.3
9	José Leclerc	0.3124	0.2031	27.2
10	Mike Clevinger	0.3073	0.2874	26.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dylan Bundy	0.2878	0.3617	40.6
2	Dereck Rodríguez	0.3458	0.2894	37.1
3	Miles Mikolas	0.2966	0.2706	37.0
4	Kyle Freeland	0.3150	0.2915	36.6
5	Jhoulys Chacín	0.3089	0.2857	34.2
6	Walker Buehler	0.2864	0.2467	32.2
7	Marco Estrada	0.2883	0.3589	31.9
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3107	0.2739	31.3
9	Seranthony Domínguez	0.3427	0.2311	30.4
10	Chris Archer	0.2643	0.3313	30.1

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jake Arrieta	0.1906	0.2415 (47.6)	0.2357 (36.3)	0.2245 (32.8)	0.2287 (36.3)
Blake Snell	0.3157	0.2390 (43.4)	0.2222 (61.9)	0.2451 (41.4)	0.2428 (42.6)
Germán Márquez	0.2815	0.2109 (45.7)	0.2073 (56.5)	0.2098 (49.2)	0.1965 (59.6)
Jack Flaherty	0.2959	0.2039 (47.5)	0.2118 (48.6)	0.2026 (50.3)	0.2108 (44.9)
Chris Sale	0.3841	0.2800 (55.2)	0.2995 (49.1)	0.3100 (38.7)	0.2636 (66.9)
Patrick Corbin	0.3075	0.1954 (77.8)	0.2080 (75.5)	0.2012 (75.9)	0.1997 (76.5)
Justin Verlander	0.3481	0.2515 (68.2)	0.2520 (75.9)	0.2666 (58.4)	0.2610 (62.5)
Gerrit Cole	0.3454	0.2077 (98.2)	0.2213 (95.1)	0.2229 (88.7)	0.2247 (86.8)
Jacob deGrom	0.3222	0.2606 (39.1)	0.2601 (47.6)	0.2683 (35.4)	0.2526 (47.9)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Hader	0.2548	0.4673	60.5
2	Marco Estrada	0.2253	0.1643	47.5
3	Jon Lester	0.2425	0.1958	46.8
4	Miles Mikolas	0.2226	0.1807	45.8
5	Edwin Díaz	0.2697	0.4429	44.4
6	Lucas Giolito	0.2027	0.1613	43.5
7	Sean Manaea	0.2167	0.1651	43.4
8	Dallas Keuchel	0.2087	0.1751	42.3
9	Carlos Rodón	0.2440	0.1761	42.2
10	Zach Eflin	0.1369	0.2245	39.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Hader	0.2584	0.4673	62.4
2	Trevor Bauer	0.2323	0.3082	50.8
3	James Paxton	0.2432	0.3225	47.9
4	Edwin Díaz	0.2826	0.4429	43.5
5	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2085	0.2715	43.1
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.2160	0.1751	40.2
7	Derek Holland	0.1740	0.2325	38.8
8	Tyler Glasnow	0.2030	0.2906	38.6
9	Miles Mikolas	0.2228	0.1807	38.1
10	Brad Keller	0.2228	0.1647	36.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Hader	0.3005	0.4673	47.5
2	Trevor Bauer	0.2316	0.3082	46.7
3	Noah Syndergaard	0.2972	0.2407	43.8
4	James Paxton	0.2434	0.3225	43.6
5	Miles Mikolas	0.2189	0.1807	40.1
6	Clayton Kershaw	0.2869	0.2385	38.9
7	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2095	0.2715	37.6
8	Derek Holland	0.1699	0.2325	37.1
9	Lucas Giolito	0.1937	0.1613	34.0
10	Marco Estrada	0.2059	0.1643	33.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.2144	0.1613	50.5
2	Clayton Kershaw	0.3030	0.2385	49.8
3	Mike Minor	0.2633	0.2062	44.3
4	Shane Bieber	0.1407	0.2433	43.9
5	Derek Holland	0.1623	0.2325	42.2
6	Noah Syndergaard	0.2909	0.2407	40.1
7	Trevor Bauer	0.2412	0.3082	39.4
8	Jon Lester	0.2347	0.1958	38.8
9	Carlos Rodón	0.2384	0.1761	38.0
10	Frankie Montas	0.2740	0.1519	38.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Justin Anderson	0.1660	0.0954 (17.0)	0.0847 (18.9)	0.0982 (16.3)	0.0847 (18.9)
Danny Duffy	0.1012	0.0676 (23.0)	0.0701 (19.5)	0.0723 (20.0)	0.0656 (22.7)
Mike Clevinger	0.0827	0.1055 (18.6)	0.1073 (22.3)	0.1036 (16.9)	0.1044 (19.8)
Justin Verlander	0.0444	0.0772 (27.5)	0.0764 (29.1)	0.0757 (26.0)	0.0719 (25.2)
Robbie Erlin	0.0273	0.0752 (21.1)	0.0793 (24.1)	0.0733 (20.1)	0.0663 (18.3)
Julio Teheran	0.1160	0.0850 (22.3)	0.0786 (25.0)	0.0754 (29.4)	0.0770 (26.2)
Tyler Chatwood	0.1955	0.1113 (40.8)	0.1059 (42.1)	0.1052 (43.9)	0.1048 (42.7)
Sean Manaea	0.0489	0.0743 (16.7)	0.0751 (19.0)	0.0775 (18.7)	0.0742 (18.3)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Walker Buehler	0.1191	0.0684	27.6
2	Mike Fiers	0.0891	0.0518	26.8
3	Matt Harvey	0.0880	0.0558	21.5
4	John Gant	0.0759	0.1170	20.0
5	Zack Wheeler	0.0996	0.0739	19.3
6	Bryan Mitchell	0.0734	0.1276	18.2
7	Trevor Richards	0.0654	0.0987	18.1
8	Carlos Martinez	0.0832	0.1152	16.5
9	Miguel Castro	0.0889	0.1330	16.5
10	Wei-Yin Chen	0.0533	0.0822	16.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miles Mikolas	0.0847	0.0359	41.8
2	Lucas Giolito	0.0829	0.1161	23.5
3	Mike Fiers	0.0802	0.0518	22.4
4	Marco Gonzales	0.0759	0.0466	22.1
5	Steven Brault	0.0856	0.1380	20.4
6	Shane Bieber	0.0847	0.0474	19.5
7	Corey Kluber	0.0596	0.0404	18.6
8	Robbie Ray	0.0953	0.1331	18.3
9	Matt Harvey	0.0803	0.0558	18.2
10	Patrick Corbin	0.0791	0.0600	17.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Gonzales	0.0804	0.0466	23.1
2	Mike Minor	0.0926	0.0594	21.3
3	Mike Fiers	0.0811	0.0518	20.9
4	Steven Brault	0.0934	0.1380	18.4
5	Robbie Ray	0.0982	0.1331	18.4
6	John Gant	0.0801	0.1170	18.0
7	Jose Quintana	0.0684	0.0920	17.5
8	Buck Farmer	0.0795	0.1331	16.5
9	Carlos Martinez	0.0839	0.1152	16.3
10	Walker Buehler	0.0978	0.0684	15.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miles Mikolas	0.0752	0.0359	34.0
2	Tyson Ross	0.1291	0.0978	21.6
3	Walker Buehler	0.1034	0.0684	20.5
4	Tanner Scott	0.1981	0.1167	20.2
5	Mike Minor	0.0854	0.0594	18.4
6	Robert Stock	0.1842	0.0783	18.0
7	Lucas Giolito	0.0903	0.1161	17.9
8	Jose Quintana	0.0653	0.0920	17.7
9	Sean Newcomb	0.1390	0.1164	17.7
10	Miguel Castro	0.0838	0.1330	17.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Steve Cishek	0.0313	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0136 (4.7)	0.0096 (5.9)	0.0091 (6.2)
Lucas Giolito	0.0194	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0114 (5.2)	0.0098 (6.4)	0.0113 (5.9)
Sean Newcomb	0.0014	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0120 (8.2)	0.0095 (6.5)	0.0128 (8.2)
Chaz Roe	0.0394	0.0000 (5.9)	0.0071 (6.3)	0.0098 (5.8)	0.0093 (6.0)
Carlos Rodón	0.0235	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0104 (6.1)	0.0098 (6.4)	0.0103 (6.5)
Rick Porcello	0.0198	0.0000 (7.6)	0.0103 (6.7)	0.0098 (7.1)	0.0073 (9.7)
Carlos Martinez	0.0211	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0104 (5.0)	0.0103 (5.0)	0.0105 (5.3)
Cole Hamels	0.0236	0.0000 (10.6)	0.0126 (7.9)	0.0110 (9.1)	0.0119 (9.0)
Brad Hand	0.0299	0.0000 (5.9)	0.0129 (4.8)	0.0095 (5.8)	0.0094 (6.0)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Morton	0.0000	0.0230	8.8
2	Chris Sale	0.0000	0.0227	7.6
3	Jakob Junis	0.0000	0.0198	7.1
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.0000	0.0023	7.1
5	Blake Snell	0.0000	0.0014	6.3
6	Gio González	0.0000	0.0027	5.7
7	Corey Kluber	0.0000	0.0036	5.7
8	James Paxton	0.0000	0.0016	5.7
9	Wei-Yin Chen	0.0000	0.0017	4.9
10	Félix Hernández	0.0000	0.0175	4.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gio González	0.0094	0.0027	5.9
2	Homer Bailey	0.0147	0.0040	5.8
3	Tyler Mahle	0.0160	0.0059	5.7
4	Matthew Boyd	0.0067	0.0155	5.4
5	Chris Sale	0.0130	0.0227	5.2
6	Ian Kennedy	0.0107	0.0019	5.2
7	Corey Kluber	0.0083	0.0036	5.0
8	Jose Quintana	0.0096	0.0041	5.0
9	Andrew Cashner	0.0105	0.0044	5.0
10	Brad Keller	0.0104	0.0034	4.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Sale	0.0122	0.0227	5.7
2	Jack Flaherty	0.0075	0.0179	5.6
3	Gio González	0.0087	0.0027	5.4
4	Corey Kluber	0.0086	0.0036	5.3
5	Jakob Junis	0.0119	0.0198	5.0
6	Charlie Morton	0.0148	0.0230	4.9
7	Dallas Keuchel	0.0064	0.0023	4.7
8	Ian Kennedy	0.0097	0.0019	4.7
9	Matthew Boyd	0.0077	0.0155	4.6
10	Robby Scott	0.0098	0.1250	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.A. Happ	0.0033	0.0123	6.2
2	Andrew Suárez	0.0126	0.0045	5.7
3	Brad Keller	0.0125	0.0034	5.5
4	Mike Minor	0.0036	0.0125	5.4
5	Sonny Gray	0.0042	0.0137	5.3
6	Tyler Anderson	0.0108	0.0041	5.3
7	Homer Bailey	0.0139	0.0040	5.1
8	Shane Bieber	0.0138	0.0041	4.9
9	Tyler Mahle	0.0150	0.0059	4.8
10	Chris Stratton	0.0104	0.0032	4.8

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dylan Bundy	0.0810	0.0566 (20.0)	0.0507 (22.7)	0.0624 (15.4)	0.0480 (23.8)
Miles Mikolas	0.0256	0.0428 (12.1)	0.0441 (15.1)	0.0497 (18.0)	0.0406 (13.2)
Trevor Bauer	0.0209	0.0440 (14.9)	0.0442 (16.8)	0.0479 (17.9)	0.0411 (15.4)
Josh Tomlin	0.0965	0.0476 (16.4)	0.0541 (13.6)	0.0578 (13.0)	0.0565 (12.4)
Jacob deGrom	0.0194	0.0445 (19.0)	0.0437 (20.4)	0.0432 (18.3)	0.0388 (17.3)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	A.J. Cole	0.0459	0.1071	14.0
2	Tyler Anderson	0.0434	0.0587	13.0
3	Noah Syndergaard	0.0425	0.0203	12.8
4	Zack Wheeler	0.0468	0.0279	12.3
5	Chase Anderson	0.0500	0.0664	12.0
6	Brad Keller	0.0387	0.0161	11.8
7	Mike Fiers	0.0463	0.0604	11.7
8	Carlos Martinez	0.0389	0.0150	11.3
9	Nick Kingham	0.0440	0.0744	11.2
10	Cole Hamels	0.0428	0.0543	11.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Wheeler	0.0514	0.0279	17.6
2	Dylan Covey	0.0646	0.0327	17.4
3	James Paxton	0.0326	0.0584	16.6
4	Brad Keller	0.0441	0.0161	16.4
5	Adam Plutko	0.0390	0.0868	15.5
6	Chase Anderson	0.0446	0.0664	13.9
7	Tyler Mahle	0.0370	0.0645	13.9
8	Anthony DeSclafani	0.0411	0.0698	13.8
9	A.J. Cole	0.0480	0.1071	13.0
10	Mike Minor	0.0341	0.0541	12.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Lucchesi	0.0418	0.0646	13.5
2	Brad Keller	0.0402	0.0161	13.0
3	James Paxton	0.0403	0.0584	12.9
4	A.J. Cole	0.0511	0.1071	12.8
5	Lance Lynn	0.0499	0.0306	12.2
6	Steven Matz	0.0409	0.0576	12.2
7	Reynaldo López	0.0614	0.0444	12.1
8	Robbie Ray	0.0458	0.0664	11.8
9	Jake Odorizzi	0.0607	0.0425	11.6
10	Vince Velasquez	0.0600	0.0398	11.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	0.0616	0.0254	18.3
2	Zack Wheeler	0.0500	0.0279	17.4
3	James Paxton	0.0316	0.0584	16.4
4	Ryan Borucki	0.0535	0.0224	13.5
5	Jose Quintana	0.0299	0.0490	13.2
6	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0519	0.0363	12.6
7	Cole Hamels	0.0373	0.0543	12.6
8	Vince Velasquez	0.0584	0.0398	12.5
9	Steven Matz	0.0373	0.0576	12.4
10	Anthony DeSclafani	0.0428	0.0698	12.4

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jason Hammel	0.3480	0.2883 (32.1)	0.2988 (30.4)	0.2958 (31.8)	0.2903 (32.1)
Jhoulys Chacín	0.2500	0.2866 (32.8)	0.2888 (28.6)	0.3025 (39.9)	0.2890 (33.1)
Blake Snell	0.2412	0.2817 (31.6)	0.2997 (38.9)	0.2870 (30.4)	0.2917 (37.1)
Aaron Nola	0.2514	0.3056 (48.8)	0.3111 (47.1)	0.2983 (37.0)	0.2970 (40.0)
Carlos Rodón	0.2419	0.2956 (29.8)	0.3117 (34.2)	0.2963 (26.6)	0.2962 (29.1)
Julio Teheran	0.2167	0.2807 (49.7)	0.2786 (42.7)	0.2940 (54.2)	0.2773 (45.7)
Sean Manaea	0.2474	0.2912 (31.7)	0.3016 (33.5)	0.2995 (32.5)	0.2909 (30.1)
Lance Lynn	0.3363	0.2850 (32.7)	0.2719 (47.2)	0.2961 (29.8)	0.2849 (34.2)
Mike Foltynewicz	0.2506	0.3071 (45.5)	0.3144 (45.3)	0.2967 (32.6)	0.3000 (38.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3241	0.2549	40.8
2	Zack Godley	0.2697	0.3239	39.3
3	Alex Claudio	0.2553	0.3655	31.6
4	Mike Fiers	0.3058	0.2691	29.5
5	James Shields	0.2907	0.2617	29.3
6	John Gant	0.3085	0.2531	29.2
7	Steven Matz	0.3059	0.2665	28.8
8	Tanner Scott	0.2587	0.3798	28.0
9	Mike Montgomery	0.2528	0.3087	27.4
10	Clayton Richard	0.3241	0.2887	27.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matthew Boyd	0.3096	0.2581	34.4
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3186	0.2549	33.6
3	Shane Bieber	0.2930	0.3556	31.8
4	Junior Guerra	0.2677	0.3123	29.1
5	Clayton Richard	0.3341	0.2887	29.0
6	Walker Buehler	0.3023	0.2478	27.9
7	Zack Godley	0.2916	0.3239	27.9
8	Chase Anderson	0.2850	0.2393	27.5
9	Sonny Gray	0.2828	0.3263	27.1
10	Daniel Mengden	0.2966	0.2381	26.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chase Anderson	0.2964	0.2393	35.2
2	Chris Archer	0.2911	0.3383	31.6
3	Trevor Williams	0.3085	0.2615	31.3
4	Shane Bieber	0.2981	0.3556	29.0
5	James Shields	0.2955	0.2617	27.4
6	Daniel Mengden	0.2964	0.2381	26.6
7	Nick Pivetta	0.2932	0.3263	24.6
8	Eric Lauer	0.2869	0.3323	24.1
9	Blake Treinen	0.3080	0.2304	23.7
10	Walker Buehler	0.2926	0.2478	23.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chase Anderson	0.2861	0.2393	31.7
2	Shane Bieber	0.2913	0.3556	30.0
3	Sonny Gray	0.2735	0.3263	29.3
4	Matthew Boyd	0.2952	0.2581	28.1
5	Daniel Mengden	0.2939	0.2381	27.8
6	Reynaldo López	0.2911	0.2602	26.7
7	Dylan Bundy	0.2785	0.3161	26.3
8	Walker Buehler	0.2933	0.2478	26.0
9	Trevor Williams	0.2960	0.2615	26.0
10	Jack Flaherty	0.2953	0.2566	25.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jhoulys Chacín	0.1815	0.0000 (28.6)	0.2188 (26.8)	0.3025 (34.7)	0.2890 (28.6)
Blake Snell	0.1709	0.0000 (32.6)	0.2228 (33.8)	0.2870 (27.1)	0.2917 (34.5)
Daniel Mengden	0.1625	0.0000 (26.2)	0.2243 (27.7)	0.2964 (26.9)	0.2939 (28.5)
Aaron Nola	0.1886	0.0000 (24.0)	0.2373 (37.5)	0.2983 (26.9)	0.2970 (30.7)
Mike Minor	0.1602	0.0000 (36.7)	0.2059 (26.9)	0.2957 (37.2)	0.2832 (33.0)
Julio Teheran	0.1512	0.0000 (47.9)	0.2104 (40.2)	0.2940 (47.3)	0.2773 (39.4)
Dereck Rodríguez	0.1561	0.0000 (29.9)	0.2176 (28.2)	0.2843 (24.8)	0.2940 (32.3)
Lance Lynn	0.2573	0.0000 (27.9)	0.2080 (37.0)	0.2961 (27.1)	0.2849 (30.8)
Mike Foltynewicz	0.1840	0.0000 (24.9)	0.2323 (33.2)	0.2967 (26.2)	0.3000 (33.1)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.0000	0.1792	33.2
2	Nick Pivetta	0.0000	0.2629	31.5
3	Marco Estrada	0.0000	0.1693	30.2
4	Zack Godley	0.0000	0.2515	26.9
5	Lucas Giolito	0.0000	0.1834	26.4
6	Craig Kimbrel	0.0000	0.1171	24.8
7	Noah Syndergaard	0.0000	0.2558	24.7
8	James Shields	0.0000	0.1896	24.3
9	Martín Pérez	0.0000	0.2784	24.2
10	Eric Lauer	0.0000	0.2641	23.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Godley	0.2125	0.2515	33.7
2	Steven Matz	0.2420	0.1907	31.2
3	Clayton Richard	0.2538	0.2062	30.0
4	Carlos Rodón	0.2370	0.1770	28.8
5	Matthew Boyd	0.2285	0.1844	28.7
6	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2448	0.1905	28.1
7	Mike Wright Jr.	0.2118	0.2741	25.6
8	Eric Lauer	0.2176	0.2641	25.3
9	Adam Plutko	0.2297	0.1493	25.0
10	Ty Blach	0.2141	0.2584	24.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.2932	0.2629	32.7
2	Trevor Williams	0.3085	0.1896	29.1
3	Eric Lauer	0.2869	0.2641	27.5
4	Lucas Giolito	0.2949	0.1834	26.4
5	James Shields	0.2955	0.1896	24.8
6	Max Scherzer	0.2847	0.1792	24.4
7	Freddy Peralta	0.2944	0.1445	23.3
8	Mike Wright Jr.	0.2922	0.2741	23.0
9	Craig Kimbrel	0.2856	0.1171	22.5
10	Noah Syndergaard	0.2983	0.2558	22.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Anderson	0.2176	0.2835	33.1
2	Jordan Hicks	0.2176	0.2336	29.7
3	Matthew Boyd	0.2952	0.1844	27.8
4	Adam Plutko	0.3000	0.1493	25.8
5	Bartolo Colon	0.3075	0.1951	25.7
6	Nick Pivetta	0.2975	0.2629	25.7
7	Freddy Peralta	0.2946	0.1445	25.2
8	Max Scherzer	0.2794	0.1792	24.8
9	Steven Matz	0.3000	0.1907	24.7
10	Trevor Williams	0.2960	0.1896	24.4

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Shane Bieber	0.1216	0.0000 (25.8)	0.0684 (25.4)	0.0000 (25.9)	0.0000 (26.4)
Jake Odorizzi	0.0909	0.0000 (16.0)	0.0621 (19.9)	0.0000 (16.2)	0.0000 (16.8)
Ryan Yarbrough	0.0967	0.0000 (17.8)	0.0684 (17.2)	0.0000 (18.0)	0.0000 (18.5)
Kenta Maeda	0.0975	0.0000 (15.5)	0.0632 (17.8)	0.0000 (15.6)	0.0000 (16.1)
Miles Mikolas	0.0393	0.0000 (23.4)	0.0684 (24.2)	0.0000 (23.2)	0.0000 (22.5)
Kyle Freeland	0.0450	0.0000 (19.7)	0.0676 (19.8)	0.0000 (19.5)	0.0000 (18.8)
Chris Archer	0.0970	0.0000 (18.3)	0.0664 (19.0)	0.0000 (18.5)	0.0000 (19.0)
Marco Estrada	0.1106	0.0000 (26.5)	0.0734 (22.8)	0.0000 (26.7)	0.0000 (27.2)
Andrew Cashner	0.0900	0.0000 (14.7)	0.0641 (17.0)	0.0000 (14.9)	0.0000 (15.5)
Matt Moore	0.1187	0.0000 (23.7)	0.0672 (23.9)	0.0000 (23.9)	0.0000 (24.3)
Zack Wheeler	0.0411	0.0000 (20.3)	0.0644 (18.0)	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0000 (19.5)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0885	16.1
2	Derek Holland	0.0000	0.0897	15.5
3	Vince Velasquez	0.0000	0.0907	14.1
4	Sean Newcomb	0.0000	0.0482	14.1
5	Brad Keller	0.0000	0.0444	14.0
6	Jordan Hicks	0.0000	0.0280	13.7
7	Chase Anderson	0.0000	0.0474	13.5
8	Dylan Covey	0.0000	0.0443	13.1
9	Zach Eflin	0.0000	0.0921	13.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jameson Taillon	0.0815	0.0581	19.1
2	Sean Newcomb	0.0730	0.0482	17.9
3	Chase Anderson	0.0737	0.0474	17.5
4	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0765	0.0468	16.9
5	Lucas Giolito	0.0553	0.0772	16.3
6	Dylan Covey	0.0732	0.0443	16.1
7	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0752	0.0554	15.3
8	Rick Porcello	0.0728	0.0550	15.0
9	Carlos Carrasco	0.0824	0.0642	15.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoshihisa Hirano	0.0684	0.0407	25.1
2	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0885	16.3
3	Derek Holland	0.0000	0.0897	15.7
4	Vince Velasquez	0.0000	0.0907	14.2
5	Sean Newcomb	0.0000	0.0482	13.9
6	Brad Keller	0.0000	0.0444	13.8
7	Jordan Hicks	0.0000	0.0280	13.6
8	Chase Anderson	0.0000	0.0474	13.3
9	Zach Eflin	0.0000	0.0921	13.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Hicks	0.0684	0.0280	36.5
2	Justin Anderson	0.0684	0.0236	27.0
3	Caleb Ferguson	0.0684	0.0333	20.7
4	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0885	17.0
5	Derek Holland	0.0000	0.0897	16.4
6	Drew Hutchison	0.0684	0.0534	16.4
7	Paul Fry	0.0684	0.0388	15.4
8	Vince Velasquez	0.0000	0.0907	14.8
9	Zach Eflin	0.0000	0.0921	13.7

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Yovani Gallardo	0.0199	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0075 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.5)
Steve Cishek	0.0238	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0070 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.9)
Chris Stratton	0.0183	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0046 (8.6)	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0000 (7.1)
Luis Castillo	0.0000	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0072 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.9)
Jake McGee	0.0263	0.0000 (4.4)	0.0063 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.4)	0.0000 (4.4)
Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0103 (8.1)	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0000 (5.5)
Harrison Musgrave	0.0488	0.0000 (7.7)	0.0070 (7.8)	0.0000 (7.7)	0.0000 (7.8)
Eric Skoglund	0.0242	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0056 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (5.1)
Andrew Suárez	0.0151	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0070 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.5)
Corey Knebel	0.0294	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0062 (5.2)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (5.0)
Carlos Carrasco	0.0124	0.0000 (4.3)	0.0067 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.3)	0.0000 (4.3)
Bartolo Colon	0.0205	0.0000 (8.5)	0.0066 (8.9)	0.0000 (8.5)	0.0000 (8.6)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0141	5.8
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.0000	0.0016	4.8
3	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0000	0.0154	4.7
4	Alex Wood	0.0000	0.0000	4.5
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
6	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
7	Chris Rusin	0.0000	0.0252	4.4
8	Shane Greene	0.0000	0.0222	4.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matthew Boyd	0.0123	0.0022	7.1
2	Walker Buehler	0.0116	0.0000	6.2
3	James Shields	0.0105	0.0034	6.1
4	Kyle Hendricks	0.0024	0.0087	5.2
5	Robbie Ray	0.0100	0.0000	5.2
6	Jack Flaherty	0.0106	0.0029	4.6
7	Pierce Johnson	0.0000	0.0244	4.6
8	Dan Straily	0.0086	0.0000	4.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0141	5.8
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.0000	0.0016	4.7
3	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0000	0.0154	4.7
4	Alex Wood	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
6	Chris Rusin	0.0000	0.0252	4.4
7	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
8	Shane Greene	0.0000	0.0222	4.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0141	5.9
2	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0000	0.0154	4.8
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.0000	0.0016	4.7
4	Chris Rusin	0.0000	0.0252	4.4
5	Alex Wood	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
6	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	0.0000	4.4
7	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0000	0.0000	4.3
8	Shane Greene	0.0000	0.0222	4.3

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Blake Snell	0.0586	0.1015 (36.3)	0.1162 (40.6)	0.1078 (32.5)	0.1005 (31.2)
Kyle Freeland	0.0758	0.1371 (59.3)	0.1149 (33.2)	0.1322 (45.3)	0.1237 (42.6)
Aaron Nola	0.0686	0.1133 (44.6)	0.1123 (36.6)	0.1092 (31.5)	0.0959 (24.9)
Jacob deGrom	0.0575	0.1084 (50.0)	0.1015 (37.1)	0.1011 (34.1)	0.0966 (34.8)
Mike Foltynewicz	0.0874	0.1293 (37.9)	0.1233 (27.0)	0.1270 (27.4)	0.1264 (31.0)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Hess	0.0000	0.1410	59.9
2	Shane Bieber	0.0000	0.1237	55.6
3	Gerrit Cole	0.1318	0.0851	44.5
4	Ryan Borucki	0.0000	0.1157	44.3
5	Adam Plutko	0.0000	0.1380	42.1
6	Yefry Ramírez	0.0000	0.1497	41.4
7	Patrick Corbin	0.1292	0.0875	40.6
8	Corey Oswalt	0.0000	0.1525	40.5
9	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1507	0.0868	40.3
10	Matt Koch	0.0000	0.1194	39.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1493	0.0868	34.8
2	Lucas Giolito	0.1143	0.1587	34.2
3	Trevor Bauer	0.1161	0.0711	32.5
4	Derek Holland	0.1453	0.1018	31.9
5	Patrick Corbin	0.1262	0.0875	31.3
6	Félix Hernández	0.1147	0.1562	28.2
7	Dylan Bundy	0.1170	0.1547	28.0
8	Zack Wheeler	0.1280	0.0927	26.5
9	Clay Buchholz	0.1295	0.0636	26.0
10	Miles Mikolas	0.1166	0.0866	24.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Bauer	0.1172	0.0711	31.1
2	Mike Clevinger	0.1233	0.0877	26.6
3	Justin Verlander	0.1101	0.0756	26.4
4	Clay Buchholz	0.1322	0.0636	25.9
5	Jaime Barria	0.1429	0.0931	25.2
6	Mike Fiers	0.1372	0.0994	25.0
7	Félix Hernández	0.1227	0.1562	24.8
8	Gerrit Cole	0.1189	0.0851	24.7
9	Clayton Richard	0.1114	0.1437	23.9
10	Miles Mikolas	0.1184	0.0866	23.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1537	0.0883	33.1
2	Lucas Giolito	0.1142	0.1587	32.4
3	Clay Buchholz	0.1404	0.0636	31.2
4	Dylan Bundy	0.1142	0.1547	28.4
5	Mike Clevinger	0.1191	0.0877	27.6
6	Trevor Bauer	0.1069	0.0711	27.5
7	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1338	0.0868	27.5
8	Zack Wheeler	0.1270	0.0927	27.4
9	Félix Hernández	0.1146	0.1562	26.7
10	Brad Keller	0.1283	0.0858	26.4

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Félix Hernández	0.1401	0.1135 (21.7)	0.1046 (24.2)	0.1132 (20.3)	0.1072 (21.5)
Lucas Giolito	0.1523	0.1140 (33.5)	0.1029 (38.1)	0.1248 (23.3)	0.1072 (33.7)
Blake Snell	0.0543	0.0937 (24.1)	0.1026 (34.0)	0.0991 (29.6)	0.0940 (28.9)
Clay Buchholz	0.0560	0.1252 (25.3)	0.1187 (24.7)	0.1232 (25.4)	0.1308 (30.0)
Kyle Freeland	0.0758	0.1249 (37.2)	0.1064 (26.0)	0.1224 (37.1)	0.1156 (34.9)
Jacob deGrom	0.0491	0.0995 (37.9)	0.0932 (37.0)	0.0927 (34.2)	0.0899 (35.4)
Blake Treinen	0.0222	0.1018 (23.5)	0.0997 (24.5)	0.0955 (22.3)	0.0921 (22.5)
Trevor Bauer	0.0600	0.0996 (24.8)	0.1119 (37.4)	0.1086 (33.0)	0.1004 (30.1)
Mike Foltynewicz	0.0780	0.1191 (26.9)	0.1172 (29.4)	0.1187 (28.4)	0.1186 (31.4)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1398	0.0778	31.5
2	Gerrit Cole	0.1215	0.0801	29.1
3	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1381	0.0760	27.8
4	Burch Smith	0.0958	0.1676	27.5
5	Dylan Bundy	0.1086	0.1387	26.3
6	Aaron Nola	0.1036	0.0674	26.0
7	Jon Gray	0.1021	0.1319	25.9
8	Danny Duffy	0.0922	0.1214	23.6
9	Yovani Gallardo	0.1088	0.1588	23.2
10	T.J. McFarland	0.1364	0.0548	22.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1395	0.0778	34.3
2	Aaron Nola	0.1048	0.0674	31.3
3	Derek Holland	0.1318	0.0935	28.0
4	Miles Mikolas	0.1081	0.0780	24.5
5	Zack Wheeler	0.1192	0.0901	21.9
6	Walker Buehler	0.1136	0.0739	21.6
7	Burch Smith	0.1081	0.1676	21.2
8	Dylan Bundy	0.1106	0.1387	20.9
9	Kyle Gibson	0.1205	0.0956	20.7
10	Wade Miley	0.1283	0.0680	20.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Richard	0.1008	0.1378	27.0
2	Aaron Nola	0.1003	0.0674	25.2
3	Mike Clevinger	0.1151	0.0827	24.2
4	Miles Mikolas	0.1098	0.0780	23.6
5	Justin Verlander	0.1028	0.0720	23.5
6	Jaime Barria	0.1349	0.0912	22.0
7	Mike Fiers	0.1287	0.0952	22.0
8	Gerrit Cole	0.1102	0.0801	22.0
9	Trevor Williams	0.1176	0.0842	21.6
10	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1223	0.0760	21.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1444	0.0760	34.1
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1245	0.0778	26.7
3	Mike Clevinger	0.1109	0.0827	24.1
4	Dylan Bundy	0.1069	0.1387	22.7
5	Brad Keller	0.1194	0.0823	22.5
6	Miles Mikolas	0.1043	0.0780	22.5
7	Zack Wheeler	0.1179	0.0901	21.9
8	Seth Lugo	0.1238	0.0732	21.4
9	Derek Holland	0.1213	0.0935	21.3
10	Marcus Stroman	0.0920	0.1403	21.0

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Zach Eflin	0.4583	0.2000 (152.2)	0.1250 (162.5)	0.2767 (104.4)	0.2727 (122.6)
Luis Severino	0.5938	0.4516 (126.0)	0.2558 (235.0)	0.4480 (120.6)	0.4194 (165.7)
Kyle Freeland	0.5152	0.3636 (144.3)	0.2143 (222.9)	0.2351 (243.8)	0.3714 (153.4)
Blake Snell	0.6774	0.3871 (216.8)	0.1795 (322.9)	0.3464 (237.9)	0.3333 (267.5)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shane Bieber	0.0003	0.5500	276.0
2	Michael Fulmer	0.4231	0.1250	155.5
3	Dereck Rodríguez	0.0003	0.2857	148.5
4	Wade LeBlanc	0.0769	0.2813	148.1
5	Edwin Jackson	0.0003	0.3529	141.8
6	Ryan Yarbrough	0.2174	0.4211	140.1
7	Drew Pomeranz	0.5000	0.0769	138.8
8	Cole Hamels	0.4688	0.2813	135.4
9	Tyler Chatwood	0.4583	0.1667	132.3
10	Jason Hammel	0.3448	0.1026	129.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miles Mikolas	0.2118	0.5625	253.7
2	Marco Gonzales	0.1000	0.4483	213.7
3	Mike Minor	0.1000	0.4286	186.8
4	Aaron Nola	0.2564	0.5152	184.5
5	Zack Wheeler	0.1429	0.4138	174.3
6	Zack Godley	0.2000	0.4545	172.3
7	Trevor Williams	0.1707	0.4516	171.2
8	Corey Kluber	0.3784	0.6061	160.8
9	Jon Lester	0.3158	0.5625	159.8
10	Noah Syndergaard	0.2400	0.5200	156.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1417	0.4211	181.0
2	Zack Wheeler	0.1900	0.4138	173.1
3	Miles Mikolas	0.3596	0.5625	171.1
4	Wade LeBlanc	0.0483	0.2813	160.0
5	J.A. Happ	0.3675	0.5484	139.0
6	Jon Lester	0.4098	0.5625	122.9
7	Aaron Nola	0.3835	0.5152	116.7
8	Michael Fulmer	0.3417	0.1250	116.0
9	Homer Bailey	0.2906	0.0500	114.5
10	Trevor Williams	0.3015	0.4516	111.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.1017	0.4286	233.6
2	Miles Mikolas	0.3462	0.5625	205.6
3	Trevor Williams	0.2500	0.4516	168.0
4	Michael Fulmer	0.4615	0.1250	166.5
5	Marco Gonzales	0.2609	0.4483	154.7
6	Shane Bieber	0.2857	0.5500	146.6
7	Walker Buehler	0.1111	0.3333	140.8
8	Jameson Taillon	0.2963	0.4375	140.7
9	Alex Cobb	0.4231	0.1786	136.4
10	Clayton Kershaw	0.5926	0.3462	135.4

Loss Rate

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Hess	0.0005	0.4762	230.2
2	Sam Gaviglio	0.0000	0.3846	228.0
3	Kyle Freeland	0.4545	0.2121	178.0
4	Mike Wright Jr.	0.5000	0.0417	165.6
5	Ryan Borucki	0.0005	0.3529	159.3
6	Gerrit Cole	0.3871	0.1563	159.3
7	Ty Blach	0.4737	0.1489	150.2
8	Chad Bettis	0.3913	0.0741	148.0
9	Yefry Ramírez	0.0006	0.4706	147.4
10	Reynaldo López	0.5263	0.3125	145.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dylan Bundy	0.1905	0.5161	212.4
2	Homer Bailey	0.2571	0.7000	197.8
3	Jakob Junis	0.1143	0.4000	184.4
4	Alex Cobb	0.2250	0.5357	177.3
5	Tanner Roark	0.2195	0.4839	168.7
6	Félix Hernández	0.2069	0.4828	159.9
7	Marco Estrada	0.2051	0.5000	158.3
8	Dylan Covey	0.1875	0.5185	156.4
9	Lucas Giolito	0.1667	0.4063	152.8
10	Wei-Yin Chen	0.1667	0.4615	144.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sam Gaviglio	0.0482	0.3846	193.4
2	Trevor Richards	0.0816	0.3600	161.4
3	Homer Bailey	0.3964	0.7000	158.2
4	Miles Mikolas	0.3315	0.1250	153.4
5	Chad Bettis	0.3855	0.0741	152.7
6	Tanner Roark	0.3335	0.4839	126.9
7	Alex Cobb	0.3694	0.5357	120.9
8	Charlie Morton	0.2867	0.1000	118.2
9	Dylan Bundy	0.3774	0.5161	116.5
10	Blake Snell	0.3432	0.1613	115.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.0678	0.2857	151.1
2	Charlie Morton	0.3333	0.1000	149.5
3	Héctor Santiago	0.4000	0.0612	147.5
4	Marco Estrada	0.2857	0.5000	145.8
5	Dylan Covey	0.2727	0.5185	143.1
6	Francisco Liriano	0.2258	0.4444	138.8
7	Alex Cobb	0.3462	0.5357	137.3
8	Brad Keller	0.4000	0.1463	137.3
9	Miles Mikolas	0.3077	0.1250	132.9
10	Zack Wheeler	0.4375	0.2414	132.4

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Sergio Romo	0.3425	0.0408 (85.0)	0.0465 (89.6)	0.0573 (78.7)	0.0000 (95.3)
Robert Gsellman	0.1912	0.0000 (65.1)	0.0263 (63.6)	0.0000 (63.1)	0.0000 (63.6)
Carlos Martinez	0.1515	0.0000 (77.7)	0.0250 (76.1)	0.0000 (74.7)	0.0000 (75.4)
Seranthony Domínguez	0.3019	0.0000 (69.2)	0.0288 (67.6)	0.0000 (67.9)	0.0000 (68.2)
Blake Treinen	0.5588	0.3684 (59.2)	0.1111 (147.2)	0.3365 (67.5)	0.3170 (74.0)
Alex Colomé	0.1714	0.5500 (107.4)	0.4667 (77.7)	0.5154 (99.3)	0.5068 (96.5)
Edwin Díaz	0.7808	0.5500 (64.0)	0.3333 (130.8)	0.4934 (78.2)	0.4655 (86.4)
Bud Norris	0.4375	0.0000 (106.6)	0.1500 (75.2)	0.0000 (105.2)	0.0000 (105.5)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeurys Familia	0.7105	0.2571	137.6
2	Mark Melancon	0.6136	0.0732	94.4
3	Greg Holland	0.4744	0.0536	89.7
4	Brad Ziegler	0.3793	0.1220	79.2
5	Zack Britton	0.5714	0.1707	68.1
6	Cody Allen	0.5946	0.3857	61.0
7	Héctor Rondón	0.0000	0.2381	58.9
8	Archie Bradley	0.2273	0.0395	56.3
9	Wily Peralta	0.0000	0.3784	56.0
10	Will Smith	0.0000	0.2593	54.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Felipe Vázquez	0.1455	0.5286	119.2
2	Shane Greene	0.0889	0.4848	115.9
3	Brad Hand	0.1346	0.4638	105.0
4	Brad Boxberger	0.1333	0.5333	98.6
5	Keone Kela	0.0278	0.4444	92.5
6	Greg Holland	0.4359	0.0536	76.9
7	Brandon Morrow	0.0323	0.6286	75.1
8	Wade Davis	0.3864	0.6232	66.9
9	Craig Kimbrel	0.4200	0.6667	65.8
10	Raisel Iglesias	0.2500	0.4545	65.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cam Bedrosian	0.3844	0.0141	102.6
2	Keone Kela	0.0000	0.4444	92.5
3	Alex Claudio	0.3024	0.0152	88.3
4	Brad Ziegler	0.3867	0.1220	83.2
5	Juan Minaya	0.3996	0.0192	81.2
6	Jeurys Familia	0.5146	0.2571	80.2
7	Tony Watson	0.2497	0.0000	67.3
8	Jeremy Jeffress	0.0000	0.2055	59.0
9	A.J. Minter	0.0000	0.2308	57.9
10	Héctor Rondón	0.0000	0.2381	57.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cam Bedrosian	0.4543	0.0141	121.1
2	Brad Ziegler	0.4842	0.1220	112.6
3	Juan Minaya	0.5195	0.0192	106.0
4	Archie Bradley	0.3778	0.0395	102.2
5	Jeurys Familia	0.5669	0.2571	95.6
6	Keone Kela	0.0000	0.4444	92.8
7	Alex Claudio	0.3017	0.0152	87.7
8	Brad Boxberger	0.2429	0.5333	66.7
9	Mark Melancon	0.4209	0.0732	61.7
10	Josh Hader	0.0100	0.2182	61.6

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Amir Garrett	0.3182	0.1176 (61.4)	0.0000 (82.7)	0.0000 (68.1)
Tony Watson	0.4444	0.2500 (59.1)	0.1607 (72.8)	0.0000 (100.3)
Jordan Hicks	0.3288	0.0612 (101.6)	0.1104 (72.3)	0.0612 (70.3)
Yoshihisa Hirano	0.4267	0.0612 (104.1)	0.0612 (94.5)	0.0000 (96.0)
Archie Bradley	0.4474	0.2500 (67.9)	0.1871 (75.6)	0.0000 (114.6)
Lou Trivino	0.3333	0.0612 (90.9)	0.0758 (75.5)	0.0000 (81.7)
Alex Colomé	0.4286	0.0667 (111.1)	0.0290 (111.3)	0.0000 (103.9)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.2000	0.0000	107.5
2	Chaz Roe	0.0952	0.5082	90.3
3	Justin Anderson	0.0612	0.3860	86.0
4	José Alvarado	0.1538	0.4429	84.4
5	Adam Ottavino	0.2381	0.4533	76.4
6	Joe Jiménez	0.0909	0.3382	74.6
7	Seth Lugo	0.0588	0.2037	72.5
8	David Robertson	0.0833	0.3043	71.6
9	Austin Gomber	0.0612	0.2414	70.9
10	Craig Stammen	0.1538	0.3151	61.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Montgomery	0.2390	0.0000	130.3
2	Wade LeBlanc	0.1521	0.0000	104.0
3	Ross Stripling	0.2754	0.0909	95.3
4	Justin Anderson	0.0000	0.3860	91.8
5	Austin Gomber	0.0000	0.2414	79.0
6	Seth Lugo	0.0239	0.2037	71.7
7	Dan Otero	0.2892	0.0164	68.6
8	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1000	0.0000	65.9
9	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.1282	65.6
10	Richard Rodríguez	0.0000	0.2381	65.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Ottavino	0.0000	0.4533	121.5
2	José Alvarado	0.0000	0.4429	100.6
3	Josh Hader	0.0000	0.3818	98.4
4	Chaz Roe	0.0000	0.5082	91.0
5	Matt Barnes	0.0000	0.4032	90.9
6	Tommy Hunter	0.0000	0.3846	87.6
7	Craig Stammen	0.0000	0.3151	80.8
8	Carl Edwards Jr.	0.0000	0.3966	74.7
9	Joe Jiménez	0.0000	0.3382	74.2
10	Steve Cishek	0.0000	0.3125	72.7

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Lucas Giolito	6.1269	4.4970 (1452.0)	3.9036 (1665.9)	4.9953 (948.4)	4.2484 (1460.7)
Blake Snell	1.8930	3.6584 (1065.2)	3.9706 (1505.9)	3.8108 (1278.0)	3.6958 (1257.6)
Clay Buchholz	2.0136	4.9462 (1056.8)	4.5552 (1027.8)	4.8638 (1083.9)	5.2308 (1261.9)
Kyle Freeland	2.8468	5.0470 (1651.3)	4.1722 (1180.8)	4.8991 (1654.4)	4.7099 (1567.2)
Jacob deGrom	1.7005	3.7980 (1548.0)	3.4477 (1520.5)	3.4455 (1380.2)	3.3750 (1393.0)
Mike Foltynewicz	2.8525	4.7615 (1239.1)	4.6293 (1376.8)	4.6556 (1273.0)	4.7610 (1415.3)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aníbal Sánchez	5.5818	2.8317	1386.0
2	Gerrit Cole	4.7788	2.8752	1326.3
3	Dereck Rodríguez	5.6400	2.8141	1257.6
4	Burch Smith	3.8336	6.9231	1193.3
5	Aaron Nola	3.9800	2.3736	1132.4
6	Dylan Bundy	4.1872	5.4524	1131.6
7	Danny Duffy	3.5003	4.8774	1121.6
8	Jason Hammel	4.4405	6.0236	1065.0
9	Zack Wheeler	4.9755	3.3071	1060.0
10	Jon Gray	3.9379	5.1180	1057.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Bauer	4.2857	2.2072	1543.1
2	Aníbal Sánchez	5.4944	2.8317	1513.2
3	Aaron Nola	3.9673	2.3736	1385.5
4	Derek Holland	5.2466	3.5720	1271.0
5	Miles Mikolas	4.2138	2.8256	1181.2
6	Zack Wheeler	4.6821	3.3071	1077.8
7	Félix Hernández	3.9796	5.5503	1025.5
8	Patrick Corbin	4.3557	3.1500	1023.5
9	Walker Buehler	4.4118	2.6214	1008.5
10	Kyle Gibson	4.7120	3.6153	966.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Bauer	4.1772	2.2072	1346.5
2	Mike Clevinger	4.5027	3.0150	1130.5
3	Aaron Nola	3.7736	2.3736	1086.9
4	Justin Verlander	3.8659	2.5234	1041.6
5	Clayton Richard	3.9201	5.3319	1025.7
6	Trevor Williams	4.6628	3.1113	1023.0
7	Mike Fiers	5.0815	3.5581	1021.9
8	Miles Mikolas	4.1644	2.8256	1007.4
9	Gerrit Cole	4.1910	2.8752	977.7
10	Jaime Barria	5.3095	3.4098	970.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	6.0344	2.8141	1565.2
2	Trevor Bauer	3.9079	2.2072	1214.9
3	Aníbal Sánchez	4.9157	2.8317	1149.0
4	Mike Clevinger	4.4348	3.0150	1144.9
5	Brad Keller	4.9024	3.0784	1059.7
6	Miles Mikolas	4.1259	2.8256	1045.5
7	Zack Wheeler	4.7114	3.3071	1040.1
8	Jhoulys Chacín	4.7721	3.5035	1004.8
9	Derek Holland	4.9576	3.5720	1002.8
10	Dylan Bundy	4.1234	5.4524	1001.5

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jason Hammel	1.6299	1.3170 (210.5)	1.3166 (179.2)	1.3688 (171.5)	1.3274 (191.9)
Blake Snell	0.9742	1.3376 (220.7)	1.3897 (295.1)	1.3285 (224.9)	1.3460 (241.7)
Patrick Corbin	1.0500	1.4316 (266.8)	1.4217 (302.1)	1.3569 (219.1)	1.3810 (243.5)
Justin Verlander	0.9019	1.1707 (183.9)	1.1458 (208.2)	1.1977 (219.0)	1.1215 (160.8)
Tyler Chatwood	1.8039	1.3561 (241.0)	1.3879 (199.2)	1.4410 (192.4)	1.3981 (210.1)
Jacob deGrom	0.9124	1.2425 (235.4)	1.1893 (236.1)	1.1621 (180.9)	1.1581 (182.9)
Mike Foltynewicz	1.0820	1.4429 (232.7)	1.4095 (248.1)	1.3707 (190.2)	1.4060 (221.3)
Zack Wheeler	1.1243	1.5472 (278.8)	1.4547 (250.3)	1.3634 (153.3)	1.3893 (177.3)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gerrit Cole	1.3696	1.0333	230.2
2	Walker Buehler	1.4340	0.9612	229.7
3	Danny Duffy	1.2178	1.4903	221.9
4	Zack Godley	1.2360	1.4467	204.7
5	Aaron Nola	1.2667	0.9749	202.5
6	Luke Weaver	1.2328	1.4963	189.8
7	Drew Pomeranz	1.2670	1.7703	189.7
8	Dereck Rodríguez	1.5385	1.1324	174.3
9	José Ureña	1.4696	1.1839	169.1
10	Aníbal Sánchez	1.4367	1.0829	169.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Nola	1.2594	0.9749	241.5
2	Walker Buehler	1.3725	0.9612	225.8
3	Miles Mikolas	1.3173	1.0714	203.5
4	Matthew Boyd	1.4338	1.1566	200.8
5	Aníbal Sánchez	1.4359	1.0829	198.5
6	Gerrit Cole	1.2751	1.0333	198.0
7	Trevor Bauer	1.3382	1.0894	182.7
8	Marco Gonzales	1.4722	1.2240	174.4
9	Lance Lynn	1.2812	1.5255	166.8
10	José Berríos	1.3470	1.1438	166.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jhoulys Chacín	1.4323	1.1626	188.3
2	Kyle Freeland	1.4997	1.2455	186.7
3	Luke Weaver	1.2287	1.4963	183.1
4	José Ureña	1.4628	1.1839	175.1
5	Aaron Nola	1.2152	0.9749	172.2
6	Trevor Williams	1.4484	1.1777	166.6
7	Sean Manaea	1.3614	1.0768	164.6
8	Drew Pomeranz	1.3426	1.7703	158.5
9	Mike Clevinger	1.3828	1.1550	157.8
10	Seranthony Domínguez	1.6418	0.9310	156.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyson Ross	1.6493	1.2962	207.0
2	Dereck Rodríguez	1.5817	1.1324	205.8
3	Jhoulys Chacín	1.4442	1.1626	202.9
4	Danny Duffy	1.2267	1.4903	200.8
5	Miles Mikolas	1.3416	1.0714	196.8
6	Seranthony Domínguez	1.7377	0.9310	180.2
7	Drew Pomeranz	1.2775	1.7703	178.6
8	Sonny Gray	1.2178	1.4962	177.5
9	Mike Clevinger	1.3986	1.1550	175.7
10	Kyle Freeland	1.4787	1.2455	174.4