2018 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Corey Seager 115
589
(474.0)
592
(477.0)
610
(494.5)
666
(551.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Aguilar 68 566 498.0
2 Juan Soto 1 494 493.0
3 Max Muncy 1 481 480.0
4 Dustin Pedroia 491 13 478.0
5 Byron Buxton 556 94 462.0
6 Yoenis Cespedes 613 157 456.0
7 Daniel Palka 1 449 448.0
8 Miguel Cabrera 602 157 445.0
9 Brian Anderson 226 670 444.0
10 Miguel Andujar 166 606 440.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Phillips 547 27 520.0
2 Juan Soto 1 494 493.0
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 487 486.0
4 Gleyber Torres 1 484 483.0
5 Scott Kingery 1 484 483.0
6 Dustin Pedroia 492 13 479.0
7 Chase Headley 538 60 478.0
8 Daniel Palka 1 449 448.0
9 Ronald Guzmán 1 428 427.0
10 Brian Anderson 253 670 417.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Aguilar 13 566 552.9
2 Juan Soto 1 494 493.0
3 Max Muncy 1 481 480.0
4 Niko Goodrum 14 492 477.7
5 Byron Buxton 570 94 476.4
6 Brandon Phillips 472 27 445.4
7 Dustin Pedroia 456 13 443.4
8 Daniel Palka 13 449 436.1
9 Brian Anderson 239 670 431.3
10 Ronald Guzmán 19 428 408.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rio Ruiz 579 15 564.0
2 Myles Straw 558 10 548.0
3 AJ Reed 551 3 548.0
4 Blake Trahan 555 14 541.0
5 Tim Locastro 550 14 536.0
6 Christian Walker 587 53 534.0
7 Ildemaro Vargas 547 20 527.0
8 Jack Reinheimer 562 35 527.0
9 Richard Urena 632 108 524.0
10 Raimel Tapia 551 27 524.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Juan Soto 0.3970
0.3003
(52.3)
0.3206
(40.0)
0.2686
(68.1)
0.3206
(33.2)
Mookie Betts 0.4520
0.3704
(55.8)
0.3530
(63.6)
0.3762
(52.4)
0.3660
(47.2)
Brandon Nimmo 0.3864
0.3252
(37.7)
0.3289
(33.2)
0.3094
(46.2)
0.3074
(37.3)
Chris Davis 0.2407
0.3388
(46.4)
0.3426
(50.8)
0.3460
(50.1)
0.3346
(53.8)
Christian Yelich 0.4228
0.3707
(39.9)
0.3506
(49.9)
0.3735
(38.3)
0.3642
(32.1)
Alex Bregman 0.3965
0.3462
(42.0)
0.3428
(41.0)
0.3494
(39.8)
0.3435
(30.8)
Max Muncy 0.4106
0.2927
(61.2)
0.3015
(54.6)
0.2892
(62.9)
0.3004
(48.6)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Andujar 0.2975 0.3621 44.7
2 Joey Wendle 0.2709 0.3391 42.2
3 J.D. Martinez 0.3784 0.4319 40.8
4 Whit Merrifield 0.3018 0.3493 40.2
5 Charlie Culberson 0.2301 0.3402 38.4
6 Jesús Aguilar 0.3219 0.3755 35.6
7 Johan Camargo 0.2938 0.3489 33.7
8 Mitch Haniger 0.3288 0.3685 33.4
9 Matt Chapman 0.3249 0.3692 33.0
10 Brian Anderson 0.2951 0.3341 32.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.3206 0.3888 35.4
2 José Ramírez 0.3571 0.3979 31.6
3 Trevor Story 0.3421 0.3852 31.3
4 J.D. Martinez 0.3886 0.4319 31.0
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.3343 0.3800 30.4
6 Kyle Seager 0.3423 0.2897 30.3
7 Javier Báez 0.3282 0.3698 29.8
8 Eduardo Escobar 0.3091 0.3504 28.9
9 Brian Dozier 0.3543 0.3045 28.7
10 Mike Trout 0.4135 0.4558 28.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Aguilar 0.3123 0.3755 41.1
2 Joey Wendle 0.2749 0.3391 40.1
3 Giancarlo Stanton 0.4280 0.3620 39.9
4 J.D. Martinez 0.3839 0.4319 37.3
5 Matt Chapman 0.3195 0.3692 36.4
6 Trevor Story 0.3393 0.3852 36.3
7 Scooter Gennett 0.3156 0.3615 35.3
8 Mitch Haniger 0.3265 0.3685 35.1
9 Miguel Andujar 0.3161 0.3621 33.6
10 Whit Merrifield 0.3116 0.3493 33.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.4234 0.3620 49.7
2 Kyle Seager 0.3538 0.2897 46.2
3 Jonathan Lucroy 0.3529 0.2712 41.3
4 Carlos Correa 0.3847 0.3157 36.6
5 Brian Dozier 0.3526 0.3045 36.2
6 Dexter Fowler 0.3466 0.2604 31.9
7 Johan Camargo 0.2808 0.3489 30.8
8 Javier Báez 0.3137 0.3698 30.2
9 Carlos Santana 0.3718 0.3365 30.2
10 Joey Votto 0.4112 0.3728 29.7

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Austin Jackson 0.3547
0.2116
(52.9)
0.2149
(49.8)
0.2212
(46.4)
0.2061
(56.4)
Enrique Hernández 0.1688
0.2484
(37.7)
0.2300
(31.4)
0.2345
(34.9)
0.2326
(28.6)
Trevor Story 0.2561
0.3081
(35.4)
0.3068
(37.8)
0.3014
(36.2)
0.3297
(47.0)
Corey Dickerson 0.1501
0.2391
(48.5)
0.2373
(50.1)
0.2293
(47.5)
0.2378
(45.7)
Nick Markakis 0.1135
0.1600
(34.2)
0.1551
(34.2)
0.1596
(39.5)
0.1557
(28.5)
Brian Anderson 0.1925
0.2611
(47.3)
0.2372
(34.5)
0.2234
(27.3)
0.2389
(29.8)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Chapman 0.3322 0.2370 59.9
2 Colin Moran 0.2645 0.1763 41.9
3 Chris Taylor 0.2304 0.2947 37.7
4 Joey Wendle 0.2423 0.1761 37.1
5 J.D. Martinez 0.2765 0.2250 34.8
6 Kyle Seager 0.1637 0.2190 33.6
7 José Bautista 0.1943 0.2782 32.7
8 Jean Segura 0.1585 0.1092 32.4
9 Adrian Beltré 0.1303 0.1996 32.4
10 Joc Pederson 0.2616 0.1919 31.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Palka 0.2169 0.3408 52.5
2 Alex Bregman 0.1815 0.1206 47.8
3 Jorge Alfaro 0.2453 0.3660 42.9
4 Jurickson Profar 0.2059 0.1481 38.4
5 Ian Happ 0.2745 0.3615 37.0
6 Robinson Chirinos 0.2377 0.3286 35.8
7 Jean Segura 0.1583 0.1092 35.4
8 David Fletcher 0.2169 0.1107 34.7
9 Max Kepler 0.2070 0.1571 34.7
10 José Peraza 0.1523 0.1098 33.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Chapman 0.2902 0.2370 38.8
2 Ian Happ 0.2724 0.3615 36.6
3 Victor Martinez 0.1586 0.0965 36.6
4 J.D. Martinez 0.2701 0.2250 35.7
5 Travis Shaw 0.2342 0.1840 35.3
6 Chris Taylor 0.2275 0.2947 34.6
7 Jean Segura 0.1517 0.1092 33.1
8 Ronald Guzmán 0.1969 0.2827 32.5
9 Bryce Harper 0.1881 0.2432 31.4
10 Joey Wendle 0.2214 0.1761 30.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Chapman 0.3167 0.2370 47.9
2 Ronald Guzmán 0.1858 0.2827 42.3
3 Chris Taylor 0.2280 0.2947 41.4
4 Adrian Beltré 0.1233 0.1996 37.6
5 Kyle Seager 0.1661 0.2190 34.5
6 Yoán Moncada 0.2832 0.3338 34.2
7 Ian Happ 0.2899 0.3615 33.9
8 Joc Pederson 0.2695 0.1919 33.5
9 AJ Pollock 0.1471 0.2174 33.2
10 Freddy Galvis 0.1755 0.2241 33.1

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Juan Soto 0.1599
0.0705
(45.6)
0.0863
(34.9)
0.0520
(53.2)
0.0863
(31.7)
Dee Strange-Gordon 0.0153
0.0517
(19.8)
0.0466
(20.1)
0.0475
(19.0)
0.0392
(19.6)
Ian Happ 0.1515
0.0959
(27.0)
0.0907
(26.8)
0.0895
(28.5)
0.0899
(24.1)
Kyle Seager 0.0603
0.1005
(23.5)
0.0900
(20.5)
0.0960
(22.6)
0.0878
(23.2)
Travis Shaw 0.1329
0.0964
(23.0)
0.0877
(24.9)
0.0929
(23.3)
0.0855
(22.3)
Lorenzo Cain 0.1145
0.0809
(22.6)
0.0749
(22.8)
0.0758
(23.9)
0.0708
(21.3)
Chris Davis 0.0785
0.1296
(25.2)
0.1183
(22.3)
0.1260
(24.9)
0.1146
(23.7)
José Ramírez 0.1519
0.0883
(46.3)
0.0790
(48.9)
0.0831
(47.9)
0.0778
(45.2)
Alex Bregman 0.1362
0.0926
(32.7)
0.0835
(35.1)
0.0899
(32.4)
0.0850
(29.5)
Max Muncy 0.1642
0.1208
(22.3)
0.0977
(30.6)
0.1034
(29.2)
0.1054
(23.8)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Hicks 0.1030 0.1549 31.8
2 Mookie Betts 0.0913 0.1319 26.7
3 Freddie Freeman 0.1440 0.1075 23.8
4 Justin Bour 0.1022 0.1457 23.2
5 Derek Dietrich 0.0970 0.0526 22.9
6 Mike Trout 0.1685 0.2007 21.2
7 César Hernández 0.1075 0.1342 20.9
8 Joc Pederson 0.1392 0.0903 20.4
9 Justin Smoak 0.1086 0.1397 20.2
10 Johan Camargo 0.0619 0.0973 20.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Andujar 0.0853 0.0413 28.4
2 Aaron Hicks 0.1031 0.1549 28.4
3 Mookie Betts 0.0844 0.1319 27.4
4 Mike Trout 0.1534 0.2007 27.0
5 Ozzie Albies 0.0831 0.0526 22.8
6 Matt Davidson 0.0562 0.1048 22.7
7 César Hernández 0.0993 0.1342 22.7
8 Justin Bour 0.0989 0.1457 22.0
9 Bryce Harper 0.1525 0.1871 22.0
10 Lewis Brinson 0.0897 0.0419 20.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Johan Camargo 0.0508 0.0973 24.3
2 Aaron Hicks 0.1154 0.1549 22.8
3 Whit Merrifield 0.0543 0.0863 22.4
4 Justin Bour 0.1035 0.1457 21.1
5 Mookie Betts 0.0984 0.1319 20.5
6 Joc Pederson 0.1355 0.0903 20.1
7 Freddie Freeman 0.1351 0.1075 19.6
8 Stephen Piscotty 0.1014 0.0694 19.5
9 César Hernández 0.1071 0.1342 19.0
10 Brandon Nimmo 0.1143 0.1495 18.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddie Freeman 0.1360 0.1075 26.8
2 Joc Pederson 0.1368 0.0903 24.8
3 Yonder Alonso 0.1206 0.0889 23.6
4 Stephen Piscotty 0.0973 0.0694 22.5
5 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1197 0.0993 21.0
6 Edwin Encarnación 0.1352 0.1088 20.7
7 Whit Merrifield 0.0478 0.0863 20.6
8 Johan Camargo 0.0491 0.0973 20.3
9 Anthony Rizzo 0.1261 0.1053 20.1
10 Anthony Rendon 0.1162 0.0921 20.0

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Brandon Nimmo 0.0411
0.0000
(16.3)
0.0093
(16.4)
0.0090
(16.5)
0.0084
(16.6)
Robinson Chirinos 0.0446
0.0000
(14.5)
0.0219
(9.2)
0.0180
(10.8)
0.0259
(7.2)
C.J. Cron 0.0304
0.0000
(11.1)
0.0138
(8.6)
0.0140
(8.4)
0.0146
(7.9)
Willson Contreras 0.0239
0.0000
(7.2)
0.0089
(7.5)
0.0100
(6.9)
0.0105
(6.4)
Daniel Robertson 0.0382
0.0000
(9.4)
0.0119
(8.6)
0.0140
(7.8)
0.0197
(5.7)
Francisco Cervelli 0.0371
0.0000
(10.7)
0.0155
(8.3)
0.0140
(8.8)
0.0192
(6.6)
Carlos Gómez 0.0515
0.0000
(16.7)
0.0221
(11.5)
0.0200
(12.3)
0.0284
(8.7)
Jorge Alfaro 0.0371
0.0000
(10.0)
0.0151
(7.9)
0.0150
(7.9)
0.0201
(5.8)
Kris Bryant 0.0372
0.0000
(12.1)
0.0196
(7.5)
0.0190
(7.7)
0.0209
(6.7)
Chance Sisco 0.0598
0.0000
(9.0)
0.0137
(8.3)
0.0100
(8.9)
0.0186
(7.3)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derek Dietrich 0.0000 0.0381 15.1
2 Anthony Rizzo 0.0000 0.0301 12.9
3 Jon Jay 0.0000 0.0307 11.8
4 Kolten Wong 0.0000 0.0344 9.7
5 Brian Anderson 0.0000 0.0239 8.9
6 Kurt Suzuki 0.0000 0.0335 8.9
7 Brandon Guyer 0.0000 0.0498 8.7
8 Nelson Cruz 0.0000 0.0237 7.7
9 Justin Turner 0.0000 0.0282 7.5
10 Adam Eaton 0.0000 0.0297 7.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brian Anderson 0.0079 0.0239 9.9
2 Yoán Moncada 0.0122 0.0015 7.7
3 Harrison Bader 0.0079 0.0258 7.1
4 Starling Marte 0.0238 0.0132 7.1
5 Paul DeJong 0.0093 0.0245 6.9
6 Mitch Moreland 0.0132 0.0000 6.6
7 Salvador Perez 0.0099 0.0221 6.0
8 Starlin Castro 0.0080 0.0000 5.9
9 Joey Wendle 0.0046 0.0165 5.9
10 Juan Soto 0.0106 0.0000 5.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brian Anderson 0.0110 0.0239 7.8
2 Starling Marte 0.0230 0.0132 6.7
3 Paul DeJong 0.0100 0.0245 6.5
4 Mitch Moreland 0.0120 0.0000 6.1
5 Starlin Castro 0.0080 0.0000 6.0
6 Salvador Perez 0.0100 0.0221 5.9
7 JaCoby Jones 0.0100 0.0236 5.7
8 Nelson Cruz 0.0130 0.0237 5.6
9 Nick Markakis 0.0080 0.0014 5.5
10 Jon Jay 0.0200 0.0307 5.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Starling Marte 0.0298 0.0132 11.1
2 George Springer 0.0179 0.0081 7.1
3 Derek Dietrich 0.0481 0.0381 6.4
4 Mitch Moreland 0.0119 0.0000 6.2
5 Juan Soto 0.0106 0.0000 6.1
6 Salvador Perez 0.0095 0.0221 5.9
7 Starlin Castro 0.0071 0.0000 5.7
8 Charlie Blackmon 0.0179 0.0115 5.6
9 James McCann 0.0147 0.0044 5.5
10 Paul DeJong 0.0116 0.0245 5.5

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Joey Votto 0.0296
0.0644
(18.6)
0.0673
(23.6)
0.0674
(21.8)
0.0617
(22.4)
Matt Carpenter 0.0876
0.0638
(19.5)
0.0582
(19.8)
0.0509
(26.7)
0.0528
(21.0)
Chris Davis 0.0567
0.1049
(22.6)
0.0969
(21.0)
0.1123
(27.6)
0.1115
(30.6)
José Ramírez 0.0774
0.0393
(30.0)
0.0381
(27.3)
0.0403
(27.9)
0.0383
(24.6)
Christian Yelich 0.0816
0.0386
(31.2)
0.0375
(28.7)
0.0525
(20.8)
0.0457
(20.9)
Max Muncy 0.1316
0.0391
(46.9)
0.0408
(43.6)
0.0409
(45.0)
0.0447
(39.9)
Cody Bellinger 0.0611
0.0989
(20.7)
0.0924
(19.8)
0.0959
(20.2)
0.1013
(27.8)
Jesús Aguilar 0.0975
0.0682
(19.4)
0.0647
(18.5)
0.0641
(20.5)
0.0615
(18.2)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 C.J. Cron 0.0459 0.0831 23.6
2 Mike Trout 0.0783 0.1108 22.8
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.0590 0.0870 19.9
4 Gleyber Torres 0.0400 0.0762 19.9
5 Juan Soto 0.0380 0.0696 18.0
6 Corey Dickerson 0.0688 0.0304 17.8
7 Travis Shaw 0.0551 0.0806 17.8
8 Luke Voit 0.0455 0.1500 17.6
9 Francisco Lindor 0.0497 0.0679 17.2
10 Shohei Ohtani 0.0566 0.0973 16.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Palka 0.0463 0.1023 25.0
2 Matt Olson 0.1014 0.0692 21.4
3 Eugenio Suárez 0.0544 0.0870 19.6
4 Willson Contreras 0.0631 0.0280 19.2
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.0463 0.0973 18.7
6 David Peralta 0.0384 0.0685 18.4
7 Mookie Betts 0.0437 0.0737 18.3
8 Mike Trout 0.0811 0.1108 18.0
9 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0463 0.0831 17.8
10 C.J. Cron 0.0514 0.0831 17.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1502 0.0913 39.5
2 Gleyber Torres 0.0338 0.0762 21.8
3 Juan Soto 0.0288 0.0696 21.5
4 David Peralta 0.0381 0.0685 20.4
5 Freddie Freeman 0.0771 0.0467 19.5
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0467 0.0831 19.1
7 Eugenio Suárez 0.0587 0.0870 18.8
8 Daniel Palka 0.0632 0.1023 18.8
9 Luke Voit 0.0439 0.1500 17.5
10 Johan Camargo 0.0230 0.0529 17.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1576 0.0913 49.4
2 Freddie Freeman 0.0754 0.0467 23.0
3 Matt Olson 0.0976 0.0692 21.3
4 Matt Chapman 0.0882 0.0596 20.0
5 Marcus Semien 0.0522 0.0294 18.7
6 Kris Bryant 0.0827 0.0456 18.7
7 Adam Jones 0.0568 0.0305 18.5
8 Addison Russell 0.0503 0.0154 18.0
9 Corey Dickerson 0.0600 0.0304 17.8
10 George Springer 0.0758 0.0513 17.6

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Joey Wendle 0.3510
0.2985
(33.3)
0.2961
(32.4)
0.2917
(34.9)
0.2878
(34.5)
Mookie Betts 0.3682
0.2970
(49.0)
0.2973
(46.2)
0.3002
(44.7)
0.3074
(37.4)
Matt Chapman 0.3377
0.2918
(33.6)
0.2952
(28.9)
0.2743
(42.0)
0.2796
(35.9)
Jorge Alfaro 0.4061
0.3089
(39.9)
0.3294
(30.6)
0.3085
(38.6)
0.3086
(36.8)
Gary Sánchez 0.1972
0.2978
(34.4)
0.3059
(39.0)
0.2863
(31.6)
0.2848
(32.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Whit Merrifield 0.2925 0.3502 46.9
2 Nick Castellanos 0.3103 0.3608 40.1
3 Nolan Arenado 0.2638 0.3135 39.2
4 Odúbel Herrera 0.3624 0.2892 38.5
5 Kole Calhoun 0.3169 0.2399 37.8
6 Ryon Healy 0.3372 0.2570 37.5
7 Nelson Cruz 0.3352 0.2645 36.7
8 Travis Shaw 0.3103 0.2411 35.6
9 J.D. Martinez 0.3286 0.3747 35.5
10 Trevor Story 0.3007 0.3451 34.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.3077 0.2516 36.1
2 Travis Shaw 0.3059 0.2411 35.5
3 Dexter Fowler 0.3149 0.2095 33.7
4 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2900 0.3333 33.6
5 Nelson Cruz 0.3227 0.2645 31.8
6 Nick Castellanos 0.3188 0.3608 31.5
7 Yan Gomes 0.2679 0.3358 31.4
8 DJ LeMahieu 0.3543 0.2966 30.9
9 Ryon Healy 0.3188 0.2570 30.1
10 Odúbel Herrera 0.3440 0.2892 30.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Scooter Gennett 0.3001 0.3559 38.7
2 Ian Desmond 0.3434 0.2781 37.5
3 Wilson Ramos 0.2678 0.3529 37.4
4 Juan Soto 0.2688 0.3367 35.9
5 Nick Castellanos 0.3160 0.3608 33.6
6 Dexter Fowler 0.3118 0.2095 32.6
7 Whit Merrifield 0.3090 0.3502 32.5
8 José Ramírez 0.3023 0.2516 32.0
9 Max Kepler 0.2928 0.2363 31.6
10 Matt Duffy 0.3013 0.3521 31.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.3068 0.2516 38.4
2 Dexter Fowler 0.3158 0.2095 35.4
3 Logan Morrison 0.2885 0.1964 33.0
4 Scooter Gennett 0.3047 0.3559 32.8
5 Chris Davis 0.2996 0.2368 32.7
6 Max Kepler 0.2899 0.2363 32.6
7 Kole Calhoun 0.2981 0.2399 32.0
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2891 0.3333 31.3
9 Matt Duffy 0.2969 0.3521 31.0
10 Travis Shaw 0.2936 0.2411 30.7

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Bryce Harper 0.1938
0.2444
(30.1)
0.2345
(24.9)
0.2361
(25.6)
0.2462
(35.0)
Jurickson Profar 0.1714
0.2281
(29.4)
0.2210
(26.5)
0.2249
(28.5)
0.2186
(26.8)
Scooter Gennett 0.2815
0.2423
(29.7)
0.2399
(29.7)
0.2249
(39.6)
0.2244
(37.8)
Willy Adames 0.3387
0.2461
(32.3)
0.2192
(40.2)
0.2267
(38.0)
0.2275
(36.6)
Xander Bogaerts 0.1954
0.2550
(30.3)
0.2599
(34.5)
0.2473
(26.9)
0.2505
(30.8)
Jorge Alfaro 0.3147
0.2195
(38.6)
0.2529
(25.1)
0.2360
(31.8)
0.2344
(31.1)
Gary Sánchez 0.1174
0.2194
(35.4)
0.2336
(41.6)
0.2184
(35.7)
0.2121
(34.7)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nolan Arenado 0.1558 0.2220 49.5
2 Trevor Story 0.1601 0.2242 46.8
3 J.D. Martinez 0.2229 0.2739 37.9
4 Gerardo Parra 0.2045 0.2800 36.7
5 Kyle Seager 0.2292 0.1639 36.5
6 Whit Merrifield 0.2170 0.2607 36.1
7 David Peralta 0.2051 0.2549 35.0
8 José A. Martínez 0.2281 0.2775 33.5
9 Nelson Cruz 0.2737 0.2121 32.1
10 Alex Bregman 0.2327 0.1809 31.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DJ LeMahieu 0.2848 0.2202 34.6
2 Matt Duffy 0.2429 0.2958 32.4
3 Justin Upton 0.2192 0.2643 30.6
4 Ben Zobrist 0.1989 0.2513 29.8
5 Ian Desmond 0.2568 0.2041 29.6
6 Jake Bauers 0.2192 0.1389 29.3
7 Adam Engel 0.1883 0.2450 28.5
8 José Ramírez 0.2066 0.1613 28.2
9 J.D. Martinez 0.2379 0.2739 26.5
10 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2085 0.2407 26.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Duffy 0.2360 0.2958 36.6
2 Lorenzo Cain 0.2476 0.2952 32.9
3 Ian Desmond 0.2624 0.2041 32.7
4 José Ramírez 0.2102 0.1613 30.3
5 DJ LeMahieu 0.2773 0.2202 30.0
6 Justin Upton 0.2213 0.2643 29.7
7 Max Kepler 0.2080 0.1551 29.0
8 Jonathan Villar 0.2408 0.2902 28.3
9 Jake Bauers 0.2166 0.1389 28.0
10 Whit Merrifield 0.2267 0.2607 27.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1905 0.2407 36.9
2 Matt Duffy 0.2344 0.2958 35.6
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.2817 0.2202 34.5
4 J.D. Martinez 0.2233 0.2739 34.2
5 Justin Upton 0.2134 0.2643 32.4
6 José Ramírez 0.2092 0.1613 32.0
7 Jake Bauers 0.2182 0.1389 30.0
8 Ian Desmond 0.2529 0.2041 29.0
9 Lorenzo Cain 0.2506 0.2952 28.9
10 Jonathan Villar 0.2364 0.2902 28.8

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Miguel Andujar 0.1038
0.0763
(17.7)
0.0775
(15.5)
0.0631
(24.5)
0.0713
(17.7)
Odúbel Herrera 0.0466
0.0847
(21.8)
0.0773
(18.8)
0.0737
(16.3)
0.0777
(20.5)
Mookie Betts 0.1169
0.0855
(20.3)
0.0790
(22.8)
0.0822
(21.2)
0.0815
(19.8)
Eduardo Escobar 0.1129
0.0778
(23.2)
0.0616
(31.9)
0.0689
(27.6)
0.0714
(24.1)
Brandon Nimmo 0.1014
0.0699
(17.7)
0.0711
(15.8)
0.0687
(17.4)
0.0643
(18.1)
Jonathan Villar 0.0442
0.0842
(19.8)
0.0789
(18.3)
0.0757
(16.4)
0.0735
(16.8)
Marcell Ozuna 0.0352
0.0650
(17.6)
0.0668
(20.3)
0.0729
(23.8)
0.0709
(24.4)
Xander Bogaerts 0.1142
0.0738
(24.4)
0.0696
(25.4)
0.0716
(24.6)
0.0737
(21.6)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Smoak 0.0526 0.1040 31.5
2 Alex Bregman 0.0714 0.1060 25.6
3 Gerardo Parra 0.0990 0.0523 20.0
4 Ian Desmond 0.0863 0.0536 19.2
5 David Peralta 0.0940 0.0613 19.1
6 Jurickson Profar 0.0532 0.0833 18.9
7 César Hernández 0.0624 0.0342 18.8
8 Matt Carpenter 0.0867 0.1120 18.3
9 Jordy Mercer 0.0557 0.0951 17.9
10 Trea Turner 0.0782 0.0524 17.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Upton 0.0931 0.0541 24.4
2 Matt Olson 0.0484 0.0846 23.4
3 Rhys Hoskins 0.0649 0.1000 22.7
4 Justin Smoak 0.0697 0.1040 19.9
5 Jurickson Profar 0.0497 0.0833 19.5
6 Miguel Rojas 0.0667 0.0313 19.1
7 Ryon Healy 0.0763 0.0419 18.4
8 Devon Travis 0.0939 0.0496 17.0
9 Nick Ahmed 0.0524 0.0831 16.9
10 Joey Wendle 0.0526 0.0833 16.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rhys Hoskins 0.0655 0.1000 22.6
2 Alex Bregman 0.0751 0.1060 21.7
3 Juan Soto 0.0426 0.0850 20.9
4 Matt Chapman 0.0771 0.1108 20.7
5 Yoán Moncada 0.0613 0.0920 19.8
6 Justin Smoak 0.0712 0.1040 19.3
7 Justin Upton 0.0839 0.0541 18.4
8 Nick Castellanos 0.0777 0.1024 16.7
9 Javier Báez 0.0719 0.0976 16.4
10 Wil Myers 0.0727 0.1202 16.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Upton 0.0854 0.0541 21.2
2 Yoán Moncada 0.0573 0.0920 20.4
3 Devon Travis 0.0996 0.0496 20.1
4 Javier Báez 0.0660 0.0976 18.2
5 Alex Bregman 0.0778 0.1060 17.6
6 Yonder Alonso 0.0777 0.0507 17.4
7 Yuli Gurriel 0.0967 0.0705 16.9
8 Chris Davis 0.0729 0.0451 16.2
9 Nick Williams 0.0753 0.0430 15.9
10 Niko Goodrum 0.0631 0.0973 15.2

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Javier Báez 0.0220
0.0055
(10.4)
0.0061
(10.4)
0.0056
(10.2)
0.0063
(11.0)
Brandon Nimmo 0.0290
0.0140
(7.8)
0.0051
(12.9)
0.0070
(11.5)
0.0143
(8.6)
Ian Desmond 0.0204
0.0096
(6.5)
0.0068
(8.6)
0.0068
(8.1)
0.0058
(9.9)
Kevin Kiermaier 0.0378
0.0139
(8.7)
0.0129
(9.3)
0.0108
(9.7)
0.0189
(7.4)
Ketel Marte 0.0279
0.0116
(9.3)
0.0072
(12.2)
0.0119
(9.0)
0.0151
(8.2)
Christian Yelich 0.0173
0.0071
(6.4)
0.0049
(8.3)
0.0045
(8.0)
0.0091
(6.2)
Teoscar Hernández 0.0238
0.0000
(12.3)
0.0062
(9.4)
0.0073
(8.4)
0.0091
(8.4)
Nicky Delmonico 0.0254
0.0028
(7.1)
0.0054
(6.4)
0.0069
(5.7)
0.0000
(8.5)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yolmer Sánchez 0.0069 0.0218 9.6
2 Cody Bellinger 0.0063 0.0182 7.3
3 JaCoby Jones 0.0062 0.0215 7.0
4 Alen Hanson 0.0000 0.0226 6.9
5 Yoán Moncada 0.0063 0.0172 6.9
6 Ozzie Albies 0.0191 0.0099 6.5
7 Hunter Dozier 0.0000 0.0165 6.3
8 Denard Span 0.0073 0.0198 6.1
9 Jurickson Profar 0.0038 0.0143 6.0
10 Billy Hamilton 0.0130 0.0241 6.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Beckham 0.0192 0.0000 7.6
2 Alex Bregman 0.0131 0.0021 7.6
3 JaCoby Jones 0.0060 0.0215 7.4
4 Yolmer Sánchez 0.0117 0.0218 6.9
5 Gregory Polanco 0.0061 0.0181 6.6
6 Chris Taylor 0.0128 0.0232 6.4
7 Dexter Fowler 0.0195 0.0000 6.4
8 Mitch Moreland 0.0000 0.0137 6.4
9 César Hernández 0.0157 0.0068 6.1
10 Willson Contreras 0.0035 0.0144 6.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gregory Polanco 0.0043 0.0181 7.1
2 Chris Taylor 0.0109 0.0232 7.1
3 Cody Bellinger 0.0075 0.0182 6.5
4 Tommy Pham 0.0061 0.0179 6.4
5 Jeff McNeil 0.0041 0.0297 6.2
6 Denard Span 0.0070 0.0198 6.2
7 Jurickson Profar 0.0039 0.0143 5.9
8 Ozzie Albies 0.0180 0.0099 5.8
9 Dexter Fowler 0.0168 0.0000 5.8
10 Alex Bregman 0.0093 0.0021 5.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Scott Schebler 0.0175 0.0000 6.9
2 Mitch Moreland 0.0000 0.0137 6.9
3 César Hernández 0.0175 0.0068 6.6
4 Yolmer Sánchez 0.0133 0.0218 6.5
5 Gregory Polanco 0.0080 0.0181 6.2
6 Rhys Hoskins 0.0106 0.0000 6.1
7 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0055 0.0129 6.1
8 Jeff McNeil 0.0069 0.0297 6.0
9 Jon Jay 0.0072 0.0160 6.0
10 JaCoby Jones 0.0102 0.0215 5.9

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Juan Soto 0.1559
0.1111
(26.0)
0.1190
(19.4)
0.0918
(32.3)
0.1190
(16.8)
Javier Báez 0.1566
0.1272
(24.1)
0.1260
(21.3)
0.1177
(25.9)
0.1243
(19.0)
Mookie Betts 0.2101
0.1795
(23.7)
0.1469
(40.3)
0.1583
(32.6)
0.1522
(33.8)
Matt Chapman 0.1623
0.1164
(33.2)
0.1183
(28.6)
0.1199
(26.9)
0.1267
(20.2)
Chris Davis 0.0766
0.1235
(20.3)
0.1374
(30.5)
0.1335
(29.0)
0.1349
(31.9)
Christian Yelich 0.1813
0.1566
(21.2)
0.1288
(35.7)
0.1441
(25.1)
0.1408
(24.5)
Max Muncy 0.1559
0.1111
(25.4)
0.1116
(22.4)
0.0995
(27.8)
0.1131
(19.2)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Carpenter 0.1349 0.1640 25.0
2 Charlie Culberson 0.0808 0.1460 23.5
3 Anthony Rizzo 0.1542 0.1113 23.3
4 Francisco Lindor 0.1502 0.1732 23.1
5 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.1520 0.1054 22.7
6 Aaron Hicks 0.1248 0.1549 22.1
7 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1244 0.1602 21.3
8 Brian Anderson 0.1062 0.1299 21.2
9 Victor Martinez 0.1118 0.0630 20.7
10 Tommy Pham 0.1521 0.1789 19.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Francisco Lindor 0.1333 0.1732 31.4
2 Didi Gregorius 0.1168 0.1564 23.9
3 Adam Jones 0.1263 0.0881 22.0
4 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.1448 0.1054 21.8
5 Andrew Benintendi 0.1257 0.1558 21.5
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1190 0.1602 21.2
7 Joey Votto 0.1426 0.1075 20.4
8 Aaron Hicks 0.1223 0.1549 20.3
9 Cameron Maybin 0.1367 0.0833 19.6
10 Ozzie Albies 0.1276 0.1535 19.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Rizzo 0.1533 0.1113 27.0
2 Tommy Pham 0.1348 0.1789 25.9
3 Victor Martinez 0.1136 0.0630 25.0
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1126 0.1602 23.8
5 Joey Votto 0.1467 0.1075 23.6
6 Adam Jones 0.1279 0.0881 23.6
7 Ozzie Albies 0.1209 0.1535 23.2
8 Amed Rosario 0.0910 0.1284 22.9
9 Didi Gregorius 0.1181 0.1564 22.6
10 Brian Anderson 0.0977 0.1299 22.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Francisco Lindor 0.1351 0.1732 26.3
2 Adam Jones 0.1234 0.0881 23.4
3 Anthony Rizzo 0.1429 0.1113 22.9
4 Joey Votto 0.1394 0.1075 21.6
5 Didi Gregorius 0.1164 0.1564 21.2
6 Ozzie Albies 0.1205 0.1535 20.6
7 Charlie Culberson 0.0827 0.1460 19.5
8 Jake Cave 0.1098 0.1748 19.2
9 Eric Hosmer 0.1317 0.1064 19.1
10 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1686 0.1447 18.9

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Jed Lowrie 0.1456
0.1024
(34.7)
0.1016
(31.2)
0.1080
(31.4)
0.0940
(35.4)
Lorenzo Cain 0.0613
0.1187
(30.8)
0.1034
(24.9)
0.1071
(23.0)
0.1019
(24.8)
Xander Bogaerts 0.1776
0.1429
(24.7)
0.1133
(38.3)
0.1236
(36.3)
0.1144
(37.0)
Christian Yelich 0.1690
0.1203
(36.8)
0.1192
(33.6)
0.1224
(35.9)
0.1305
(25.4)
Max Muncy 0.1642
0.0966
(36.3)
0.0930
(35.1)
0.1010
(34.6)
0.1028
(29.8)
Jesús Aguilar 0.1908
0.1324
(37.5)
0.1425
(28.4)
0.1298
(39.4)
0.1501
(23.4)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eugenio Suárez 0.1214 0.1716 35.2
2 Javier Báez 0.1254 0.1721 35.1
3 Gleyber Torres 0.0960 0.1591 34.3
4 Miguel Andujar 0.1084 0.1518 31.0
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1705 0.1203 29.2
6 José Ramírez 0.1167 0.1504 29.0
7 Shin-Soo Choo 0.1440 0.0932 28.6
8 Willson Contreras 0.1593 0.0993 28.4
9 Evan Gattis 0.1193 0.1729 27.7
10 Wilson Ramos 0.1123 0.1683 26.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eugenio Suárez 0.1195 0.1716 32.7
2 J.D. Martinez 0.1602 0.2003 27.2
3 Javier Báez 0.1319 0.1721 27.1
4 Jurickson Profar 0.0882 0.1296 25.7
5 Eric Hosmer 0.1412 0.1019 25.3
6 Gregory Polanco 0.1064 0.1514 25.1
7 Brandon Crawford 0.1342 0.0909 24.6
8 Trey Mancini 0.1312 0.0912 24.3
9 José Ramírez 0.1176 0.1504 24.2
10 Starlin Castro 0.1220 0.0835 23.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2136 0.1418 44.5
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.1217 0.1716 35.5
3 Gleyber Torres 0.1069 0.1591 29.4
4 Nick Markakis 0.1034 0.1319 26.2
5 Javier Báez 0.1406 0.1721 25.9
6 Juan Soto 0.0987 0.1417 25.5
7 Johan Camargo 0.1068 0.1450 24.6
8 Chris Davis 0.1478 0.0939 23.6
9 David Peralta 0.1127 0.1417 23.1
10 Cody Bellinger 0.1648 0.1203 22.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2310 0.1418 62.5
2 Cody Bellinger 0.1845 0.1203 40.3
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1693 0.1203 33.4
4 Brandon Crawford 0.1411 0.0909 29.5
5 Chris Davis 0.1497 0.0939 28.9
6 Rhys Hoskins 0.1888 0.1455 28.2
7 Johan Camargo 0.0919 0.1450 28.1
8 Ian Happ 0.1560 0.0952 27.8
9 Addison Russell 0.1398 0.0817 26.7
10 Trey Mancini 0.1332 0.0912 26.4

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Javier Báez 0.1654
0.0719
(61.5)
0.0870
(52.3)
0.0872
(53.5)
0.1111
(43.1)
Eduardo Núñez 0.0642
0.1733
(53.8)
0.1935
(63.6)
0.1735
(52.5)
0.2069
(65.3)
Adalberto Mondesi 0.5517
0.2364
(92.3)
0.1667
(112.8)
0.2415
(91.7)
0.2955
(78.2)
Billy Hamilton 0.2482
0.3478
(54.3)
0.3813
(72.5)
0.3540
(56.2)
0.4167
(86.7)
Ender Inciarte 0.1647
0.1053
(40.5)
0.1047
(41.4)
0.1060
(41.9)
0.1183
(38.9)
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.1441
0.0580
(47.1)
0.0611
(45.8)
0.0517
(52.0)
0.0597
(51.9)
Michael A. Taylor 0.3038
0.1300
(67.7)
0.1633
(55.1)
0.1641
(55.6)
0.2019
(44.1)
Trevor Story 0.1888
0.0882
(67.2)
0.0708
(79.2)
0.0737
(78.6)
0.0909
(72.5)
Jace Peterson 0.2241
0.0504
(43.2)
0.0549
(42.3)
0.0683
(39.5)
0.0833
(37.7)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoán Moncada 0.1748 0.0805 60.0
2 Whit Merrifield 0.1496 0.2239 53.9
3 Teoscar Hernández 0.1500 0.0500 51.3
4 Amed Rosario 0.1094 0.1832 44.9
5 José Ramírez 0.1176 0.1799 44.8
6 Francisco Lindor 0.0833 0.1397 43.4
7 Gleyber Torres 0.1395 0.0488 43.0
8 Ian Kinsler 0.0596 0.1322 39.8
9 Ian Desmond 0.0826 0.1439 39.2
10 Rajai Davis 0.2326 0.4118 39.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trea Turner 0.3190 0.2129 76.5
2 Tim Anderson 0.1026 0.2185 71.9
3 Greg Allen 0.0566 0.2877 68.0
4 José Ramírez 0.1111 0.1799 49.9
5 Amed Rosario 0.1077 0.1832 46.3
6 Whit Merrifield 0.1615 0.2239 46.0
7 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1038 0.0359 45.0
8 Mallex Smith 0.1771 0.2532 42.9
9 Elvis Andrus 0.1419 0.0485 38.8
10 Jose Iglesias 0.0661 0.1442 37.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trea Turner 0.3070 0.2129 66.1
2 Tim Anderson 0.1158 0.2185 65.1
3 José Ramírez 0.1062 0.1799 54.7
4 Francisco Lindor 0.0843 0.1397 44.8
5 Teoscar Hernández 0.1390 0.0500 44.1
6 Whit Merrifield 0.1683 0.2239 42.6
7 Christian Yelich 0.0627 0.1189 39.7
8 Greg Allen 0.1574 0.2877 39.3
9 Amed Rosario 0.1247 0.1832 37.4
10 Yasiel Puig 0.0726 0.1500 36.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trea Turner 0.3309 0.2129 78.0
2 Tim Anderson 0.1452 0.2185 52.0
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.2374 0.1311 45.6
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.1478 0.0500 44.6
5 Leonys Martin 0.2193 0.0824 43.9
6 Jose Altuve 0.1753 0.0914 42.7
7 Jose Iglesias 0.0672 0.1442 41.6
8 Francisco Lindor 0.0966 0.1397 41.4
9 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2961 0.2174 38.9
10 Cameron Maybin 0.2083 0.0952 38.6

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
J.D. Martinez 0.3304
0.2732
(42.2)
0.2902
(30.5)
0.2854
(35.7)
0.2878
(26.7)
Bryce Harper 0.2491
0.3013
(30.8)
0.2877
(22.1)
0.3012
(29.3)
0.2947
(32.8)
Joey Wendle 0.2998
0.2337
(40.3)
0.2576
(26.8)
0.2399
(38.1)
0.2411
(31.2)
Mookie Betts 0.3462
0.2894
(39.7)
0.2860
(41.2)
0.2991
(35.0)
0.2964
(29.6)
Scooter Gennett 0.3099
0.2767
(26.2)
0.2735
(27.6)
0.2590
(38.9)
0.2649
(27.7)
Matt Chapman 0.2779
0.2222
(39.1)
0.2440
(25.1)
0.2264
(37.9)
0.2248
(31.7)
Trevor Story 0.2910
0.2447
(35.6)
0.2521
(30.0)
0.2517
(32.3)
0.2398
(32.5)
Ben Zobrist 0.3055
0.2648
(25.3)
0.2575
(28.5)
0.2616
(28.0)
0.2554
(25.2)
Gary Sánchez 0.1858
0.2755
(30.6)
0.2766
(31.4)
0.2686
(27.2)
0.2614
(28.9)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Whit Merrifield 0.2561 0.3038 39.3
2 Miguel Andujar 0.2436 0.2967 37.0
3 Brian Anderson 0.2308 0.2729 33.5
4 Kyle Seager 0.2757 0.2213 29.3
5 Juan Soto 0.2420 0.2923 28.7
6 Kole Calhoun 0.2672 0.2077 28.5
7 Max Muncy 0.2143 0.2633 27.4
8 Nick Castellanos 0.2671 0.2984 26.5
9 José A. Martínez 0.2682 0.3052 26.5
10 Carlos Correa 0.3025 0.2388 26.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.2340 0.1681 30.8
2 Christian Yelich 0.2870 0.3258 29.7
3 Nick Castellanos 0.2685 0.2984 24.9
4 Dexter Fowler 0.2612 0.1799 24.8
5 Mallex Smith 0.2583 0.2958 24.2
6 Brian Dozier 0.2596 0.2152 23.7
7 Miguel Andujar 0.2646 0.2967 23.6
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.2517 0.2933 23.6
9 Juan Soto 0.2517 0.2923 23.4
10 Anthony Rendon 0.2773 0.3081 22.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.2323 0.2923 34.6
2 Mallex Smith 0.2497 0.2958 30.5
3 Whit Merrifield 0.2728 0.3038 29.0
4 Mitch Haniger 0.2535 0.2852 28.5
5 Jesús Aguilar 0.2360 0.2744 27.4
6 Nick Markakis 0.2689 0.2970 26.8
7 Max Muncy 0.2179 0.2633 26.6
8 Wilson Ramos 0.2539 0.3063 25.9
9 Chris Davis 0.2277 0.1681 25.9
10 Christian Yelich 0.2962 0.3258 25.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Seager 0.2715 0.2213 32.6
2 Chris Davis 0.2229 0.1681 29.4
3 Carlos Correa 0.2979 0.2388 28.4
4 Kole Calhoun 0.2571 0.2077 28.1
5 Mallex Smith 0.2428 0.2958 28.0
6 Dexter Fowler 0.2613 0.1799 27.7
7 Brian Dozier 0.2573 0.2152 27.6
8 Jonathan Lucroy 0.2977 0.2410 26.5
9 Logan Morrison 0.2550 0.1855 25.5
10 Yangervis Solarte 0.2727 0.2265 24.2

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Juan Soto 0.4057
0.2954
(55.9)
0.3227
(42.7)
0.2769
(67.5)
0.3227
(36.3)
Mookie Betts 0.4381
0.3543
(53.2)
0.3464
(58.4)
0.3700
(46.7)
0.3622
(40.7)
Kyle Seager 0.2730
0.3485
(45.7)
0.3345
(36.6)
0.3379
(35.9)
0.3417
(49.3)
Brandon Nimmo 0.4037
0.3362
(37.7)
0.3489
(31.2)
0.3328
(42.2)
0.3298
(34.4)
Chris Davis 0.2433
0.3239
(40.6)
0.3308
(43.9)
0.3313
(41.8)
0.3179
(43.9)
Alex Bregman 0.3943
0.3471
(35.3)
0.3382
(42.0)
0.3456
(39.9)
0.3388
(32.4)
Max Muncy 0.3909
0.3092
(40.7)
0.3099
(40.6)
0.3040
(45.6)
0.3085
(35.0)
Whit Merrifield 0.3674
0.3018
(48.4)
0.3236
(33.4)
0.3160
(41.9)
0.3173
(28.6)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wendle 0.2732 0.3536 45.4
2 Brian Anderson 0.2920 0.3567 45.3
3 J.D. Martinez 0.3457 0.4022 38.5
4 Johan Camargo 0.2874 0.3492 33.9
5 Matt Chapman 0.3035 0.3555 33.8
6 Mitch Haniger 0.3256 0.3660 29.6
7 Matt Davidson 0.2633 0.3185 28.8
8 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.3401 0.2884 28.7
9 Charlie Culberson 0.2424 0.3261 27.9
10 Kole Calhoun 0.3358 0.2831 27.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.D. Martinez 0.3570 0.4022 31.5
2 Mike Trout 0.4137 0.4596 30.0
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.3756 0.3212 29.6
4 Lorenzo Cain 0.3518 0.3952 29.0
5 José Ramírez 0.3514 0.3868 27.1
6 Christian Yelich 0.3645 0.4025 26.9
7 Manny Machado 0.3323 0.3667 26.8
8 Lewis Brinson 0.3090 0.2395 26.8
9 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.3362 0.2884 26.1
10 Dexter Fowler 0.3596 0.2784 26.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wendle 0.2788 0.3536 45.1
2 Matt Chapman 0.3027 0.3555 37.4
3 Lorenzo Cain 0.3437 0.3952 36.8
4 Scooter Gennett 0.3085 0.3575 36.3
5 Brian Anderson 0.3105 0.3567 36.3
6 J.D. Martinez 0.3559 0.4022 35.2
7 Mitch Haniger 0.3245 0.3660 33.8
8 Mallex Smith 0.3138 0.3669 33.2
9 Jesús Aguilar 0.3016 0.3516 32.8
10 Lewis Brinson 0.3168 0.2395 28.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Lucroy 0.3651 0.2914 37.8
2 Joey Wendle 0.2776 0.3536 36.2
3 Kole Calhoun 0.3323 0.2831 32.4
4 DJ LeMahieu 0.3673 0.3212 32.3
5 Dexter Fowler 0.3610 0.2784 30.8
6 Yangervis Solarte 0.3282 0.2772 30.6
7 Carlos Correa 0.3780 0.3226 30.4
8 Matt Chapman 0.2975 0.3555 29.8
9 Lorenzo Cain 0.3385 0.3952 29.2
10 Brian Dozier 0.3414 0.3054 28.8

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Miguel Andujar 0.5271
0.3974
(89.9)
0.4286
(65.6)
0.4294
(70.7)
0.4318
(51.1)
Javier Báez 0.5545
0.4720
(65.3)
0.4520
(72.3)
0.4615
(72.2)
0.4350
(70.0)
Mookie Betts 0.6404
0.5113
(90.8)
0.4801
(104.4)
0.5163
(87.9)
0.4930
(83.8)
Chris Davis 0.2957
0.4605
(76.2)
0.4658
(83.7)
0.4766
(84.5)
0.4586
(90.7)
Christian Yelich 0.5976
0.4733
(93.1)
0.4424
(107.3)
0.4907
(82.0)
0.4716
(74.9)
Max Muncy 0.5823
0.3462
(122.6)
0.3842
(99.9)
0.3522
(119.8)
0.3743
(94.8)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Bregman 0.4517 0.5320 69.8
2 Jesús Aguilar 0.4355 0.5386 69.0
3 Juan Soto 0.3965 0.5169 68.8
4 Charlie Culberson 0.2766 0.4662 67.1
5 J.D. Martinez 0.5464 0.6292 65.9
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.4190 0.5644 60.3
7 Joey Votto 0.5324 0.4195 58.6
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.4511 0.5520 58.3
9 Joey Wendle 0.3478 0.4353 57.9
10 José Ramírez 0.4879 0.5519 57.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.4174 0.5520 70.2
2 Joey Votto 0.5414 0.4195 69.9
3 Xander Bogaerts 0.4194 0.5224 65.4
4 Trevor Story 0.4811 0.5669 62.6
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.4352 0.5256 60.7
6 Jurickson Profar 0.3667 0.4580 60.0
7 Brian Dozier 0.4936 0.3906 59.0
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.4174 0.5644 57.5
9 Alex Bregman 0.4615 0.5320 56.5
10 Juan Soto 0.4174 0.5169 53.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juan Soto 0.3403 0.5169 96.6
2 Giancarlo Stanton 0.6535 0.5089 88.5
3 Trevor Story 0.4716 0.5669 75.0
4 Jesús Aguilar 0.4259 0.5386 74.5
5 Brandon Nimmo 0.3698 0.4827 70.6
6 Eugenio Suárez 0.4377 0.5256 64.8
7 J.D. Martinez 0.5534 0.6292 61.5
8 Matt Carpenter 0.4532 0.5230 60.2
9 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.4501 0.5520 58.9
10 Gleyber Torres 0.3807 0.4803 57.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.6563 0.5089 111.5
2 Joey Votto 0.5190 0.4195 68.8
3 Brian Dozier 0.4820 0.3906 64.6
4 Cody Bellinger 0.5578 0.4704 62.2
5 Jonathan Lucroy 0.4488 0.3253 61.0
6 Carlos Santana 0.4922 0.4143 60.3
7 Carlos Correa 0.5222 0.4055 59.7
8 Kyle Seager 0.4834 0.3997 59.6
9 Brandon Nimmo 0.3617 0.4827 58.9
10 Adam Duvall 0.4865 0.3646 56.7

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Jerad Eickhoff 26
581
(555.0)
619
(593.0)
610
(584.4)
653
(627.0)
Ervin Santana 114
675
(561.1)
746
(632.0)
664
(549.7)
747
(633.0)
Taijuan Walker 56
701
(645.1)
663
(607.0)
807
(750.6)
684
(628.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel González 704 66 638.1
2 Johnny Cueto 798 214 583.9
3 Kyle Freeland 277 844 566.9
4 Kendall Graveman 705 158 547.1
5 Yu Darvish 699 180 518.9
6 Zack Wheeler 241 744 503.0
7 Sam Gaviglio 48 548 500.0
8 Dereck Rodríguez 1 487 486.0
9 Shane Bieber 1 485 484.0
10 Jeff Samardzija 686 207 478.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miles Mikolas 1 808 807.0
2 Andrew Suárez 1 665 664.0
3 Ryan Yarbrough 1 628 627.0
4 Brad Keller 1 583 582.0
5 Aríel Miranda 602 24 578.0
6 Miguel González 640 66 574.0
7 Joey Lucchesi 1 548 547.0
8 Trevor Richards 1 547 546.0
9 Jeff Samardzija 753 207 546.0
10 Jaime Barria 1 537 536.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Suárez 4 665 660.7
2 Miguel González 724 66 658.3
3 Kendall Graveman 768 158 609.6
4 Johnny Cueto 761 214 546.8
5 Jordan Montgomery 661 116 544.9
6 Yu Darvish 720 180 539.9
7 Wei-Yin Chen 39 572 532.5
8 Jeff Samardzija 727 207 519.6
9 Wade LeBlanc 149 662 513.2
10 Dylan Covey 40 542 501.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Thompson 737 76 661.0
2 Anthony Banda 672 56 616.0
3 Braden Shipley 634 21 613.0
4 Aaron Brooks 611 10 601.0
5 Aaron Slegers 657 60 597.0
6 Jeff Hoffman 640 44 596.0
7 Aríel Miranda 615 24 591.0
8 Alex McRae 623 32 591.0
9 Tyler Danish 621 31 590.0
10 Jen-Ho Tseng 597 10 587.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Blake Snell 0.2463
0.1332
(54.7)
0.3157
(46.5)
0.2894
(40.1)
0.2807
(33.6)
Jacob deGrom 0.2306
0.1101
(59.0)
0.2934
(49.9)
0.2716
(46.0)
0.2646
(39.7)
Blake Treinen 0.1910
0.1112
(35.1)
0.3138
(37.7)
0.2895
(35.5)
0.2740
(30.4)
Zack Wheeler 0.2695
0.1361
(43.0)
0.3411
(51.0)
0.2990
(32.5)
0.3049
(36.4)
Patrick Corbin 0.2653
0.1158
(33.3)
0.3361
(54.2)
0.2999
(39.0)
0.3019
(40.1)
Mike Foltynewicz 0.2659
0.1243
(36.9)
0.3347
(48.9)
0.3102
(43.5)
0.3118
(44.2)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.1364 0.2588 57.2
2 Max Scherzer 0.1132 0.2528 44.6
3 Walker Buehler 0.1340 0.2467 42.5
4 Aaron Nola 0.1066 0.2508 39.0
5 Josh Hader 0.1523 0.2180 38.4
6 Gerrit Cole 0.1204 0.2646 37.5
7 José Leclerc 0.1729 0.2031 35.9
8 Josh Tomlin 0.0948 0.3971 35.7
9 Trevor Bauer 0.1167 0.2600 34.4
10 Mike Clevinger 0.1378 0.2874 33.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Nola 0.3060 0.2508 43.3
2 Trevor Bauer 0.3212 0.2600 41.7
3 Walker Buehler 0.3249 0.2467 40.7
4 Aníbal Sánchez 0.3495 0.2739 40.2
5 Gerrit Cole 0.3120 0.2646 35.4
6 Dylan Bundy 0.3183 0.3617 34.8
7 Miles Mikolas 0.3149 0.2706 33.3
8 Derek Holland 0.3552 0.3080 32.1
9 Marco Estrada 0.3109 0.3589 32.0
10 Kyle Freeland 0.3309 0.2915 30.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Nola 0.2833 0.2508 38.8
2 Kyle Freeland 0.3228 0.2915 38.4
3 Trevor Bauer 0.2980 0.2600 37.4
4 Gerrit Cole 0.2946 0.2646 35.3
5 Jhoulys Chacín 0.3130 0.2857 33.0
6 Justin Verlander 0.2827 0.2588 31.7
7 Miles Mikolas 0.2950 0.2706 31.2
8 Trevor Williams 0.3140 0.2863 29.3
9 Seranthony Domínguez 0.3365 0.2311 27.6
10 Chris Archer 0.2738 0.3313 27.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Bundy 0.2878 0.3617 45.3
2 Marco Estrada 0.2883 0.3589 35.8
3 Chris Archer 0.2643 0.3313 34.1
4 Dereck Rodríguez 0.3458 0.2894 34.1
5 Alex Cobb 0.2831 0.3463 32.8
6 Martín Pérez 0.2951 0.3896 32.1
7 Miles Mikolas 0.2966 0.2706 31.9
8 Kyle Freeland 0.3150 0.2915 31.3
9 Jose Quintana 0.2611 0.3169 31.2
10 Drew Pomeranz 0.2805 0.3847 31.2

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Germán Márquez 0.2815
0.2109
(50.7)
0.2073
(54.4)
0.2098
(51.7)
0.1965
(51.6)
Jacob deGrom 0.3222
0.2606
(44.3)
0.2601
(45.5)
0.2683
(37.9)
0.2526
(39.8)
Gerrit Cole 0.3454
0.2077
(103.2)
0.2213
(93.1)
0.2229
(91.1)
0.2247
(79.0)
Jack Flaherty 0.2959
0.2039
(51.3)
0.2118
(47.0)
0.2026
(52.2)
0.2108
(38.9)
Patrick Corbin 0.3075
0.1954
(82.8)
0.2080
(73.5)
0.2012
(78.3)
0.1997
(68.7)
Chris Sale 0.3841
0.2800
(59.0)
0.2995
(47.5)
0.3100
(40.5)
0.2636
(60.9)
Justin Verlander 0.3481
0.2515
(73.4)
0.2520
(73.7)
0.2666
(60.9)
0.2610
(54.4)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Hader 0.2548 0.4673 62.4
2 Blake Snell 0.2390 0.3157 47.8
3 Edwin Díaz 0.2697 0.4429 46.1
4 Max Scherzer 0.2865 0.3464 44.5
5 Kyle Freeland 0.1444 0.2050 44.0
6 Marco Estrada 0.2253 0.1643 43.6
7 Zach Eflin 0.1369 0.2245 43.3
8 Jake Arrieta 0.2415 0.1906 43.1
9 Jon Lester 0.2425 0.1958 42.0
10 Miles Mikolas 0.2226 0.1807 40.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Hader 0.2584 0.4673 61.6
2 Blake Snell 0.2222 0.3157 60.1
3 Trevor Bauer 0.2323 0.3082 49.0
4 James Paxton 0.2432 0.3225 46.2
5 Edwin Díaz 0.2826 0.4429 42.7
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.2160 0.1751 42.5
7 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2085 0.2715 41.2
8 Miles Mikolas 0.2228 0.1807 40.2
9 Brad Keller 0.2228 0.1647 38.3
10 Jake Arrieta 0.2357 0.1906 38.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Bauer 0.2316 0.3082 48.9
2 Josh Hader 0.3005 0.4673 48.5
3 James Paxton 0.2434 0.3225 45.5
4 Blake Snell 0.2451 0.3157 43.5
5 Noah Syndergaard 0.2972 0.2407 41.8
6 Mike Foltynewicz 0.2095 0.2715 39.8
7 Derek Holland 0.1699 0.2325 39.3
8 Miles Mikolas 0.2189 0.1807 37.7
9 Clayton Kershaw 0.2869 0.2385 37.0
10 J.A. Happ 0.2070 0.2633 35.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.2144 0.1613 58.1
2 Clayton Kershaw 0.3030 0.2385 56.2
3 Mike Minor 0.2633 0.2062 50.6
4 Noah Syndergaard 0.2909 0.2407 46.4
5 Jon Lester 0.2347 0.1958 46.3
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.2060 0.1751 46.2
7 Jake Arrieta 0.2287 0.1906 43.4
8 Carlos Rodón 0.2384 0.1761 43.0
9 Frankie Montas 0.2740 0.1519 40.8
10 Kevin Gausman 0.2194 0.1907 39.2

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Julio Teheran 0.1160
0.0850
(21.9)
0.0786
(24.8)
0.0754
(28.5)
0.0770
(28.6)
Danny Duffy 0.1012
0.0676
(22.6)
0.0701
(19.3)
0.0723
(19.1)
0.0656
(24.9)
Justin Verlander 0.0444
0.0772
(28.0)
0.0764
(29.3)
0.0757
(27.1)
0.0719
(22.5)
Justin Anderson 0.1660
0.0954
(16.8)
0.0847
(18.8)
0.0982
(16.0)
0.0847
(19.7)
Tyler Chatwood 0.1955
0.1113
(40.5)
0.1059
(42.0)
0.1052
(43.3)
0.1048
(44.3)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walker Buehler 0.1191 0.0684 27.9
2 Mike Fiers 0.0891 0.0518 27.2
3 Matt Harvey 0.0880 0.0558 21.9
4 Robbie Erlin 0.0752 0.0273 21.4
5 Zack Wheeler 0.0996 0.0739 19.7
6 John Gant 0.0759 0.1170 19.7
7 Mike Clevinger 0.1055 0.0827 19.1
8 Bryan Mitchell 0.0734 0.1276 18.0
9 Trevor Richards 0.0654 0.0987 17.8
10 Sean Manaea 0.0743 0.0489 17.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miles Mikolas 0.0847 0.0359 42.0
2 Robbie Erlin 0.0793 0.0273 24.2
3 Lucas Giolito 0.0829 0.1161 23.4
4 Mike Fiers 0.0802 0.0518 22.5
5 Mike Clevinger 0.1073 0.0827 22.4
6 Marco Gonzales 0.0759 0.0466 22.3
7 Steven Brault 0.0856 0.1380 20.3
8 Shane Bieber 0.0847 0.0474 19.6
9 Sean Manaea 0.0751 0.0489 19.2
10 Corey Kluber 0.0596 0.0404 18.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Gonzales 0.0804 0.0466 24.0
2 Mike Minor 0.0926 0.0594 22.1
3 Mike Fiers 0.0811 0.0518 21.8
4 Robbie Erlin 0.0733 0.0273 20.7
5 Sean Manaea 0.0775 0.0489 19.5
6 Steven Brault 0.0934 0.1380 17.9
7 Mike Clevinger 0.1036 0.0827 17.9
8 Robbie Ray 0.0982 0.1331 17.7
9 John Gant 0.0801 0.1170 17.4
10 Patrick Corbin 0.0798 0.0600 16.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miles Mikolas 0.0752 0.0359 31.4
2 Lucas Giolito 0.0903 0.1161 20.4
3 Jose Quintana 0.0653 0.0920 20.1
4 Tyson Ross 0.1291 0.0978 19.6
5 Tanner Scott 0.1981 0.1167 19.4
6 Carlos Martinez 0.0790 0.1152 19.1
7 Tyler Mahle 0.0675 0.1045 19.0
8 Walker Buehler 0.1034 0.0684 18.7
9 Miguel Castro 0.0838 0.1330 18.7
10 Robbie Ray 0.0985 0.1331 18.4

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Rick Porcello 0.0198
0.0000
(7.6)
0.0103
(6.6)
0.0098
(7.0)
0.0073
(10.1)
Sean Newcomb 0.0014
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0120
(8.3)
0.0095
(6.5)
0.0128
(7.8)
Steve Cishek 0.0313
0.0000
(6.0)
0.0136
(4.7)
0.0096
(5.9)
0.0091
(6.4)
Brad Hand 0.0299
0.0000
(5.9)
0.0129
(4.7)
0.0095
(5.8)
0.0094
(6.2)
Carlos Martinez 0.0211
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0104
(4.9)
0.0103
(5.0)
0.0105
(5.6)
Lucas Giolito 0.0194
0.0000
(7.0)
0.0114
(5.1)
0.0098
(6.4)
0.0113
(6.3)
Carlos Rodón 0.0235
0.0000
(6.7)
0.0104
(6.0)
0.0098
(6.3)
0.0103
(6.8)
Chaz Roe 0.0394
0.0000
(5.9)
0.0071
(6.3)
0.0098
(5.8)
0.0093
(6.1)
Cole Hamels 0.0236
0.0000
(10.6)
0.0126
(7.8)
0.0110
(9.1)
0.0119
(9.4)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0230 8.8
2 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0227 7.6
3 Jakob Junis 0.0000 0.0198 7.1
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.0000 0.0023 7.1
5 Blake Snell 0.0000 0.0014 6.3
6 Gio González 0.0000 0.0027 5.7
7 Corey Kluber 0.0000 0.0036 5.7
8 James Paxton 0.0000 0.0016 5.7
9 Wei-Yin Chen 0.0000 0.0017 4.9
10 Félix Hernández 0.0000 0.0175 4.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gio González 0.0094 0.0027 6.0
2 Homer Bailey 0.0147 0.0040 5.9
3 Tyler Mahle 0.0160 0.0059 5.8
4 Matthew Boyd 0.0067 0.0155 5.3
5 Ian Kennedy 0.0107 0.0019 5.2
6 Chris Sale 0.0130 0.0227 5.1
7 Corey Kluber 0.0083 0.0036 5.1
8 Jose Quintana 0.0096 0.0041 5.1
9 Andrew Cashner 0.0105 0.0044 5.1
10 Brad Keller 0.0104 0.0034 4.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Sale 0.0122 0.0227 5.7
2 Jack Flaherty 0.0075 0.0179 5.6
3 Gio González 0.0087 0.0027 5.5
4 Corey Kluber 0.0086 0.0036 5.4
5 Jakob Junis 0.0119 0.0198 5.0
6 Charlie Morton 0.0148 0.0230 4.8
7 Dallas Keuchel 0.0064 0.0023 4.8
8 Ian Kennedy 0.0097 0.0019 4.7
9 Matthew Boyd 0.0077 0.0155 4.6
10 Robby Scott 0.0098 0.1250 4.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.A. Happ 0.0033 0.0123 6.6
2 Mike Minor 0.0036 0.0125 5.8
3 Sonny Gray 0.0042 0.0137 5.6
4 Andrew Suárez 0.0126 0.0045 5.4
5 Brad Keller 0.0125 0.0034 5.2
6 Jakob Junis 0.0133 0.0198 5.0
7 Zack Greinke 0.0014 0.0072 4.9
8 Stephen Strasburg 0.0058 0.0147 4.9
9 Tyler Anderson 0.0108 0.0041 4.9
10 David Price 0.0072 0.0139 4.8

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Trevor Bauer 0.0209
0.0440
(15.0)
0.0442
(16.6)
0.0479
(18.1)
0.0411
(14.6)
Jacob deGrom 0.0194
0.0445
(19.1)
0.0437
(20.3)
0.0432
(18.4)
0.0388
(16.3)
Miles Mikolas 0.0256
0.0428
(12.2)
0.0441
(14.9)
0.0497
(18.1)
0.0406
(12.3)
Josh Tomlin 0.0965
0.0476
(16.4)
0.0541
(13.6)
0.0578
(13.0)
0.0565
(12.8)
A.J. Cole 0.1071
0.0459
(14.0)
0.0480
(13.1)
0.0511
(12.8)
0.0532
(11.9)
Dylan Bundy 0.0810
0.0566
(19.9)
0.0507
(22.8)
0.0624
(15.2)
0.0480
(24.6)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Noah Syndergaard 0.0425 0.0203 12.9
2 Tyler Anderson 0.0434 0.0587 12.9
3 Zack Wheeler 0.0468 0.0279 12.4
4 Chase Anderson 0.0500 0.0664 11.9
5 Brad Keller 0.0387 0.0161 11.9
6 Mike Fiers 0.0463 0.0604 11.6
7 Carlos Martinez 0.0389 0.0150 11.3
8 Lance Lynn 0.0487 0.0306 11.1
9 Nick Kingham 0.0440 0.0744 11.1
10 Cole Hamels 0.0428 0.0543 11.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 0.0514 0.0279 17.4
2 Dylan Covey 0.0646 0.0327 17.3
3 James Paxton 0.0326 0.0584 16.7
4 Brad Keller 0.0441 0.0161 16.3
5 Adam Plutko 0.0390 0.0868 15.6
6 Chase Anderson 0.0446 0.0664 14.1
7 Tyler Mahle 0.0370 0.0645 14.0
8 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0411 0.0698 13.9
9 Mike Minor 0.0341 0.0541 12.9
10 Jon Gray 0.0366 0.0538 12.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Lucchesi 0.0418 0.0646 13.4
2 Brad Keller 0.0402 0.0161 13.1
3 James Paxton 0.0403 0.0584 12.7
4 Lance Lynn 0.0499 0.0306 12.3
5 Reynaldo López 0.0614 0.0444 12.2
6 Steven Matz 0.0409 0.0576 12.0
7 Jake Odorizzi 0.0607 0.0425 11.8
8 Robbie Ray 0.0458 0.0664 11.7
9 Vince Velasquez 0.0600 0.0398 11.6
10 Nick Kingham 0.0427 0.0744 11.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dereck Rodríguez 0.0616 0.0254 17.7
2 James Paxton 0.0316 0.0584 17.2
3 Zack Wheeler 0.0500 0.0279 16.5
4 Jose Quintana 0.0299 0.0490 14.1
5 Cole Hamels 0.0373 0.0543 13.5
6 Steven Matz 0.0373 0.0576 13.2
7 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0428 0.0698 13.0
8 Ryan Borucki 0.0535 0.0224 13.0
9 Nick Kingham 0.0368 0.0744 12.8
10 J.A. Happ 0.0390 0.0563 12.5

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Blake Snell 0.2412
0.2817
(32.9)
0.2997
(38.6)
0.2870
(30.2)
0.2917
(36.5)
Aaron Nola 0.2514
0.3056
(50.4)
0.3111
(46.8)
0.2983
(36.7)
0.2970
(39.3)
Jhoulys Chacín 0.2500
0.2866
(34.3)
0.2888
(28.2)
0.3025
(39.7)
0.2890
(32.4)
Julio Teheran 0.2167
0.2807
(51.0)
0.2786
(42.4)
0.2940
(54.0)
0.2773
(45.1)
Lance Lynn 0.3363
0.2850
(31.4)
0.2719
(47.5)
0.2961
(30.0)
0.2849
(34.8)
Carlos Rodón 0.2419
0.2956
(30.7)
0.3117
(34.0)
0.2963
(26.4)
0.2962
(28.6)
Jason Hammel 0.3480
0.2883
(31.0)
0.2988
(30.7)
0.2958
(32.0)
0.2903
(32.6)
Mike Foltynewicz 0.2506
0.3071
(46.9)
0.3144
(45.0)
0.2967
(32.3)
0.3000
(38.1)
Chase Anderson 0.2393
0.2768
(28.3)
0.2850
(27.3)
0.2964
(35.0)
0.2861
(31.2)
Sean Manaea 0.2474
0.2912
(32.9)
0.3016
(33.2)
0.2995
(32.3)
0.2909
(29.6)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aníbal Sánchez 0.3241 0.2549 41.8
2 Zack Godley 0.2697 0.3239 37.8
3 Alex Claudio 0.2553 0.3655 31.0
4 James Shields 0.2907 0.2617 30.9
5 Mike Fiers 0.3058 0.2691 30.9
6 John Gant 0.3085 0.2531 30.2
7 Steven Matz 0.3059 0.2665 30.0
8 Clayton Richard 0.3241 0.2887 28.6
9 Jack Flaherty 0.2954 0.2566 27.9
10 Bartolo Colon 0.3252 0.2875 27.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matthew Boyd 0.3096 0.2581 34.1
2 Aníbal Sánchez 0.3186 0.2549 33.4
3 Shane Bieber 0.2930 0.3556 32.0
4 Junior Guerra 0.2677 0.3123 29.4
5 Clayton Richard 0.3341 0.2887 28.7
6 Zack Godley 0.2916 0.3239 28.3
7 Walker Buehler 0.3023 0.2478 27.7
8 Sonny Gray 0.2828 0.3263 27.3
9 Daniel Mengden 0.2966 0.2381 26.2
10 Jack Flaherty 0.3016 0.2566 25.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Archer 0.2911 0.3383 31.8
2 Trevor Williams 0.3085 0.2615 31.1
3 Shane Bieber 0.2981 0.3556 29.2
4 James Shields 0.2955 0.2617 27.1
5 Daniel Mengden 0.2964 0.2381 26.5
6 Nick Pivetta 0.2932 0.3263 24.8
7 Eric Lauer 0.2869 0.3323 24.2
8 Blake Treinen 0.3080 0.2304 23.6
9 Walker Buehler 0.2926 0.2478 22.8
10 Dylan Bundy 0.2885 0.3161 22.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane Bieber 0.2913 0.3556 30.4
2 Sonny Gray 0.2735 0.3263 29.7
3 Matthew Boyd 0.2952 0.2581 27.5
4 Daniel Mengden 0.2939 0.2381 27.4
5 Dylan Bundy 0.2785 0.3161 26.9
6 Reynaldo López 0.2911 0.2602 26.1
7 Carlos Carrasco 0.2798 0.3147 26.0
8 Walker Buehler 0.2933 0.2478 25.6
9 Trevor Williams 0.2960 0.2615 25.4
10 Chris Archer 0.2972 0.3383 25.1

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Blake Snell 0.1709
0.0000
(32.7)
0.2228
(33.7)
0.2870
(26.7)
0.2917
(33.0)
Aaron Nola 0.1886
0.0000
(24.1)
0.2373
(37.3)
0.2983
(26.3)
0.2970
(28.9)
Mike Minor 0.1602
0.0000
(36.7)
0.2059
(26.8)
0.2957
(36.8)
0.2832
(31.6)
Julio Teheran 0.1512
0.0000
(48.0)
0.2104
(40.0)
0.2940
(46.8)
0.2773
(37.9)
Dereck Rodríguez 0.1561
0.0000
(30.0)
0.2176
(28.1)
0.2843
(24.5)
0.2940
(31.3)
Daniel Mengden 0.1625
0.0000
(26.2)
0.2243
(27.6)
0.2964
(26.6)
0.2939
(27.5)
Lance Lynn 0.2573
0.0000
(27.8)
0.2080
(37.2)
0.2961
(27.5)
0.2849
(32.3)
Mike Foltynewicz 0.1840
0.0000
(25.0)
0.2323
(33.1)
0.2967
(25.7)
0.3000
(31.5)
Jhoulys Chacín 0.1815
0.0000
(28.7)
0.2188
(26.6)
0.3025
(34.2)
0.2890
(27.0)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Scherzer 0.0000 0.1792 33.3
2 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.2629 31.5
3 Marco Estrada 0.0000 0.1693 30.3
4 Zack Godley 0.0000 0.2515 26.8
5 Lucas Giolito 0.0000 0.1834 26.5
6 Craig Kimbrel 0.0000 0.1171 24.8
7 Noah Syndergaard 0.0000 0.2558 24.6
8 James Shields 0.0000 0.1896 24.4
9 Martín Pérez 0.0000 0.2784 24.1
10 Matthew Boyd 0.0000 0.1844 23.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Godley 0.2125 0.2515 33.9
2 Steven Matz 0.2420 0.1907 31.0
3 Clayton Richard 0.2538 0.2062 29.8
4 Carlos Rodón 0.2370 0.1770 28.7
5 Matthew Boyd 0.2285 0.1844 28.5
6 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2448 0.1905 27.9
7 Mike Wright Jr. 0.2118 0.2741 25.7
8 Eric Lauer 0.2176 0.2641 25.4
9 Adam Plutko 0.2297 0.1493 25.0
10 Ty Blach 0.2141 0.2584 24.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Pivetta 0.2932 0.2629 33.2
2 Trevor Williams 0.3085 0.1896 28.6
3 Eric Lauer 0.2869 0.2641 27.8
4 Lucas Giolito 0.2949 0.1834 25.9
5 James Shields 0.2955 0.1896 24.3
6 Max Scherzer 0.2847 0.1792 23.8
7 Mike Wright Jr. 0.2922 0.2741 23.3
8 Freddy Peralta 0.2944 0.1445 23.0
9 Noah Syndergaard 0.2983 0.2558 22.9
10 Danny Duffy 0.2900 0.2445 22.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Anderson 0.2176 0.2835 33.6
2 Jordan Hicks 0.2176 0.2336 30.4
3 Nick Pivetta 0.2975 0.2629 27.1
4 Matthew Boyd 0.2952 0.1844 26.3
5 Adam Plutko 0.3000 0.1493 25.1
6 Mike Montgomery 0.2717 0.2449 25.0
7 Carlos Carrasco 0.2798 0.2381 25.0
8 Zack Godley 0.2941 0.2515 24.5
9 Freddy Peralta 0.2946 0.1445 24.5
10 Bartolo Colon 0.3075 0.1951 24.4

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Chris Archer 0.0970
0.0000
(18.3)
0.0664
(19.1)
0.0000
(18.3)
0.0000
(18.3)
Andrew Cashner 0.0900
0.0000
(14.7)
0.0641
(17.1)
0.0000
(14.7)
0.0000
(14.7)
Jake Odorizzi 0.0909
0.0000
(16.0)
0.0621
(20.0)
0.0000
(16.0)
0.0000
(16.0)
Sean Newcomb 0.0482
0.0000
(14.1)
0.0730
(17.8)
0.0000
(14.1)
0.0000
(14.1)
Miles Mikolas 0.0393
0.0000
(23.5)
0.0684
(24.1)
0.0000
(23.5)
0.0000
(23.5)
Zack Wheeler 0.0411
0.0000
(20.3)
0.0644
(17.9)
0.0000
(20.3)
0.0000
(20.3)
Shane Bieber 0.1216
0.0000
(25.8)
0.0684
(25.4)
0.0000
(25.8)
0.0000
(25.8)
Kyle Freeland 0.0450
0.0000
(19.8)
0.0676
(19.7)
0.0000
(19.8)
0.0000
(19.8)
Marco Estrada 0.1106
0.0000
(26.5)
0.0734
(22.8)
0.0000
(26.5)
0.0000
(26.5)
Kenta Maeda 0.0975
0.0000
(15.5)
0.0632
(17.9)
0.0000
(15.5)
0.0000
(15.5)
Ryan Yarbrough 0.0967
0.0000
(17.8)
0.0684
(17.3)
0.0000
(17.8)
0.0000
(17.8)
Matt Moore 0.1187
0.0000
(23.7)
0.0672
(23.9)
0.0000
(23.7)
0.0000
(23.7)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.0885 16.1
2 Derek Holland 0.0000 0.0897 15.5
3 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0907 14.0
4 Brad Keller 0.0000 0.0444 14.0
5 Jordan Hicks 0.0000 0.0280 13.7
6 Chase Anderson 0.0000 0.0474 13.5
7 Dylan Covey 0.0000 0.0443 13.1
8 Zach Eflin 0.0000 0.0921 13.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jameson Taillon 0.0815 0.0581 19.0
2 Chase Anderson 0.0737 0.0474 17.4
3 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0765 0.0468 16.9
4 Lucas Giolito 0.0553 0.0772 16.4
5 Dylan Covey 0.0732 0.0443 16.1
6 Mike Foltynewicz 0.0752 0.0554 15.2
7 Rick Porcello 0.0728 0.0550 14.9
8 Carlos Carrasco 0.0824 0.0642 14.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoshihisa Hirano 0.0684 0.0407 25.2
2 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.0885 16.1
3 Derek Holland 0.0000 0.0897 15.5
4 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0907 14.0
5 Brad Keller 0.0000 0.0444 14.0
6 Jordan Hicks 0.0000 0.0280 13.7
7 Chase Anderson 0.0000 0.0474 13.5
8 Dylan Covey 0.0000 0.0443 13.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Hicks 0.0684 0.0280 36.9
2 Justin Anderson 0.0684 0.0236 27.3
3 Caleb Ferguson 0.0684 0.0333 20.9
4 Drew Hutchison 0.0684 0.0534 16.6
5 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.0885 16.1
6 Paul Fry 0.0684 0.0388 15.6
7 Derek Holland 0.0000 0.0897 15.5
8 Vince Velasquez 0.0000 0.0907 14.0

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Andrew Suárez 0.0151
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0070
(5.5)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
Yovani Gallardo 0.0199
0.0000
(5.5)
0.0075
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.5)
0.0000
(5.5)
Bartolo Colon 0.0205
0.0000
(8.5)
0.0066
(8.9)
0.0000
(8.5)
0.0000
(8.5)
Carlos Carrasco 0.0124
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0067
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.3)
0.0000
(4.3)
Jake McGee 0.0263
0.0000
(4.4)
0.0063
(4.6)
0.0000
(4.4)
0.0000
(4.4)
Harrison Musgrave 0.0488
0.0000
(7.7)
0.0070
(7.8)
0.0000
(7.7)
0.0000
(7.7)
Steve Cishek 0.0238
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0070
(4.9)
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.8)
Luis Castillo 0.0000
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0072
(4.9)
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0000
(5.0)
Eric Skoglund 0.0242
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0056
(5.5)
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0000
(5.0)
Patrick Corbin 0.0000
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0103
(8.0)
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0000
(5.6)
Corey Knebel 0.0294
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0062
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0000
(5.0)
Chris Stratton 0.0183
0.0000
(7.0)
0.0046
(8.7)
0.0000
(7.0)
0.0000
(7.0)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0141 5.8
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.0000 0.0016 4.8
3 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0000 0.0154 4.7
4 Alex Wood 0.0000 0.0000 4.5
5 Masahiro Tanaka 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
6 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
7 Chris Rusin 0.0000 0.0252 4.4
8 Shane Greene 0.0000 0.0222 4.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matthew Boyd 0.0123 0.0022 7.0
2 Walker Buehler 0.0116 0.0000 6.2
3 James Shields 0.0105 0.0034 6.0
4 Kyle Hendricks 0.0024 0.0087 5.3
5 Robbie Ray 0.0100 0.0000 5.1
6 Pierce Johnson 0.0000 0.0244 4.6
7 Jack Flaherty 0.0106 0.0029 4.6
8 Dan Straily 0.0086 0.0000 4.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0141 5.8
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.0000 0.0016 4.8
3 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0000 0.0154 4.7
4 Alex Wood 0.0000 0.0000 4.5
5 Masahiro Tanaka 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
6 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
7 Chris Rusin 0.0000 0.0252 4.4
8 Shane Greene 0.0000 0.0222 4.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0141 5.8
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.0000 0.0016 4.8
3 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0000 0.0154 4.7
4 Alex Wood 0.0000 0.0000 4.5
5 Masahiro Tanaka 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
6 Ryan Yarbrough 0.0000 0.0000 4.4
7 Chris Rusin 0.0000 0.0252 4.4
8 Shane Greene 0.0000 0.0222 4.2

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Kyle Freeland 0.0758
0.1371
(48.9)
0.1149
(32.5)
0.1322
(46.0)
0.1237
(38.7)
Jacob deGrom 0.0575
0.1084
(39.6)
0.1015
(36.4)
0.1011
(34.8)
0.0966
(31.0)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 David Hess 0.0000 0.1410 65.5
2 Shane Bieber 0.0000 0.1237 61.7
3 Ryan Borucki 0.0000 0.1157 49.4
4 Adam Plutko 0.0000 0.1380 46.1
5 Yefry Ramírez 0.0000 0.1497 45.0
6 Dereck Rodríguez 0.0000 0.0883 44.7
7 Matt Koch 0.0000 0.1194 44.2
8 Corey Oswalt 0.0000 0.1525 44.0
9 Heath Fillmyer 0.0000 0.1192 42.2
10 Elieser Hernández 0.0000 0.1338 39.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Snell 0.1162 0.0586 40.0
2 Aaron Nola 0.1123 0.0686 35.9
3 Lucas Giolito 0.1143 0.1587 34.8
4 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1493 0.0868 34.3
5 Trevor Bauer 0.1161 0.0711 31.9
6 Derek Holland 0.1453 0.1018 31.3
7 Patrick Corbin 0.1262 0.0875 30.6
8 Félix Hernández 0.1147 0.1562 28.8
9 Dylan Bundy 0.1170 0.1547 28.6
10 Mike Foltynewicz 0.1233 0.0874 26.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Snell 0.1078 0.0586 33.1
2 Aaron Nola 0.1092 0.0686 32.2
3 Trevor Bauer 0.1172 0.0711 31.7
4 Mike Foltynewicz 0.1270 0.0874 28.1
5 Mike Clevinger 0.1233 0.0877 27.3
6 Justin Verlander 0.1101 0.0756 27.1
7 Clay Buchholz 0.1322 0.0636 26.2
8 Jaime Barria 0.1429 0.0931 25.7
9 Mike Fiers 0.1372 0.0994 25.6
10 Gerrit Cole 0.1189 0.0851 25.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.1142 0.1587 36.0
2 Dylan Bundy 0.1142 0.1547 31.8
3 Dereck Rodríguez 0.1537 0.0883 30.9
4 Félix Hernández 0.1146 0.1562 29.9
5 Clay Buchholz 0.1404 0.0636 29.4
6 Blake Snell 0.1005 0.0586 28.0
7 Mike Foltynewicz 0.1264 0.0874 27.5
8 Alex Cobb 0.1047 0.1407 25.1
9 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1338 0.0868 24.9
10 Marcus Stroman 0.0982 0.1514 24.8

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Trevor Bauer 0.0600
0.0996
(26.7)
0.1119
(36.9)
0.1086
(33.6)
0.1004
(27.0)
Blake Snell 0.0543
0.0937
(25.9)
0.1026
(33.4)
0.0991
(30.2)
0.0940
(25.9)
Jacob deGrom 0.0491
0.0995
(40.1)
0.0932
(36.4)
0.0927
(35.0)
0.0899
(31.8)
Blake Treinen 0.0222
0.1018
(24.3)
0.0997
(24.2)
0.0955
(22.6)
0.0921
(21.1)
Kyle Freeland 0.0758
0.1249
(39.4)
0.1064
(25.4)
0.1224
(37.9)
0.1156
(31.2)
Lucas Giolito 0.1523
0.1140
(31.5)
0.1029
(38.7)
0.1248
(22.6)
0.1072
(37.1)
Mike Foltynewicz 0.0780
0.1191
(28.8)
0.1172
(28.8)
0.1187
(29.0)
0.1186
(28.2)
Clay Buchholz 0.0560
0.1252
(26.3)
0.1187
(24.4)
0.1232
(25.8)
0.1308
(28.3)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1398 0.0778 33.0
2 Gerrit Cole 0.1215 0.0801 31.2
3 Dereck Rodríguez 0.1381 0.0760 29.1
4 Aaron Nola 0.1036 0.0674 28.2
5 Burch Smith 0.0958 0.1676 26.5
6 Dylan Bundy 0.1086 0.1387 24.3
7 Derek Holland 0.1290 0.0935 24.1
8 Jon Gray 0.1021 0.1319 23.9
9 T.J. McFarland 0.1364 0.0548 23.1
10 Reynaldo López 0.1337 0.1026 23.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1395 0.0778 33.9
2 Aaron Nola 0.1048 0.0674 30.7
3 Derek Holland 0.1318 0.0935 27.4
4 Félix Hernández 0.1046 0.1401 24.7
5 Miles Mikolas 0.1081 0.0780 23.9
6 Burch Smith 0.1081 0.1676 21.5
7 Dylan Bundy 0.1106 0.1387 21.5
8 Zack Wheeler 0.1192 0.0901 21.3
9 Walker Buehler 0.1136 0.0739 21.2
10 Marco Estrada 0.1111 0.1435 20.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Clayton Richard 0.1008 0.1378 26.4
2 Aaron Nola 0.1003 0.0674 25.9
3 Mike Clevinger 0.1151 0.0827 24.9
4 Miles Mikolas 0.1098 0.0780 24.3
5 Justin Verlander 0.1028 0.0720 24.2
6 Gerrit Cole 0.1102 0.0801 22.7
7 Mike Fiers 0.1287 0.0952 22.7
8 Jaime Barria 0.1349 0.0912 22.5
9 Trevor Williams 0.1176 0.0842 22.3
10 Dereck Rodríguez 0.1223 0.0760 21.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dereck Rodríguez 0.1444 0.0760 32.0
2 Dylan Bundy 0.1069 0.1387 25.9
3 Félix Hernández 0.1072 0.1401 24.5
4 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1245 0.0778 24.3
5 Marcus Stroman 0.0920 0.1403 22.9
6 Jon Gray 0.1039 0.1319 22.9
7 Matt Moore 0.1205 0.1635 21.5
8 Marco Estrada 0.1132 0.1435 20.8
9 Mike Clevinger 0.1109 0.0827 20.6
10 Alex Cobb 0.0974 0.1256 20.5

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Luis Severino 0.5938
0.4516
(146.3)
0.2558
(227.7)
0.4480
(134.4)
0.4194
(155.0)
Kyle Freeland 0.5152
0.3636
(166.2)
0.2143
(215.1)
0.2351
(258.8)
0.3714
(141.8)
Blake Snell 0.6774
0.3871
(235.0)
0.1795
(316.4)
0.3464
(250.3)
0.3333
(257.9)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane Bieber 0.0003 0.5500 288.6
2 Zach Eflin 0.2000 0.4583 166.5
3 Wade LeBlanc 0.0769 0.2813 165.3
4 Dereck Rodríguez 0.0003 0.2857 161.1
5 Ryan Yarbrough 0.2174 0.4211 156.4
6 Edwin Jackson 0.0003 0.3529 151.7
7 Michael Fulmer 0.4231 0.1250 141.0
8 Freddy Peralta 0.0004 0.3750 134.8
9 Drew Pomeranz 0.5000 0.0769 129.9
10 Jon Lester 0.4375 0.5625 129.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miles Mikolas 0.2118 0.5625 246.2
2 Marco Gonzales 0.1000 0.4483 207.4
3 Mike Minor 0.1000 0.4286 180.9
4 Aaron Nola 0.2564 0.5152 176.8
5 Zack Wheeler 0.1429 0.4138 167.4
6 Zack Godley 0.2000 0.4545 165.0
7 Trevor Williams 0.1707 0.4516 164.7
8 Zach Eflin 0.1250 0.4583 157.5
9 Corey Kluber 0.3784 0.6061 153.0
10 Jon Lester 0.3158 0.5625 152.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Yarbrough 0.1417 0.4211 192.1
2 Zack Wheeler 0.1900 0.4138 186.3
3 Miles Mikolas 0.3596 0.5625 185.4
4 Wade LeBlanc 0.0483 0.2813 171.8
5 J.A. Happ 0.3675 0.5484 152.0
6 Jon Lester 0.4098 0.5625 136.4
7 Aaron Nola 0.3835 0.5152 131.5
8 Trevor Williams 0.3015 0.4516 123.8
9 Corey Kluber 0.4888 0.6061 121.1
10 Rick Porcello 0.3974 0.5152 116.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Minor 0.1017 0.4286 224.7
2 Miles Mikolas 0.3462 0.5625 194.4
3 Michael Fulmer 0.4615 0.1250 174.2
4 Trevor Williams 0.2500 0.4516 158.4
5 Alex Cobb 0.4231 0.1786 145.6
6 Marco Gonzales 0.2609 0.4483 145.2
7 Clayton Kershaw 0.5926 0.3462 144.4
8 Shane Bieber 0.2857 0.5500 140.0
9 Dylan Bundy 0.4615 0.2581 134.4
10 Walker Buehler 0.1111 0.3333 133.4

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Gerrit Cole 0.1563
0.3871
(140.1)
0.2500
(114.8)
0.3118
(99.1)
0.3226
(114.2)
Tanner Roark 0.4839
0.3548
(140.2)
0.2195
(162.9)
0.3335
(138.3)
0.3333
(132.2)
Homer Bailey 0.7000
0.5000
(126.2)
0.2571
(194.1)
0.3964
(165.6)
0.4762
(122.1)
Dylan Bundy 0.5161
0.3750
(147.4)
0.1905
(206.8)
0.3774
(127.7)
0.3846
(116.2)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Gaviglio 0.0000 0.3846 241.2
2 David Hess 0.0005 0.4762 241.1
3 Ryan Borucki 0.0005 0.3529 169.3
4 Kyle Freeland 0.4545 0.2121 157.8
5 Mike Wright Jr. 0.5000 0.0417 156.3
6 Yefry Ramírez 0.0006 0.4706 154.5
7 Shane Bieber 0.0006 0.2500 147.9
8 Ty Blach 0.4737 0.1489 137.9
9 Chad Bettis 0.3913 0.0741 135.6
10 Félix Hernández 0.3448 0.4828 132.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Junis 0.1143 0.4000 178.7
2 Alex Cobb 0.2250 0.5357 172.3
3 Félix Hernández 0.2069 0.4828 154.7
4 Marco Estrada 0.2051 0.5000 153.5
5 Dylan Covey 0.1875 0.5185 152.3
6 Lucas Giolito 0.1667 0.4063 146.9
7 Wei-Yin Chen 0.1667 0.4615 140.1
8 Danny Duffy 0.1842 0.4286 134.5
9 Andrew Cashner 0.2895 0.5357 133.7
10 James Shields 0.2727 0.4706 128.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Gaviglio 0.0482 0.3846 201.7
2 Trevor Richards 0.0816 0.3600 169.6
3 Chad Bettis 0.3855 0.0741 144.9
4 Miles Mikolas 0.3315 0.1250 141.3
5 Alex Cobb 0.3694 0.5357 130.9
6 Francisco Liriano 0.2707 0.4444 120.3
7 Andrew Cashner 0.3942 0.5357 117.9
8 Andrew Suárez 0.3072 0.4483 114.8
9 Charlie Morton 0.2867 0.1000 107.8
10 Eric Skoglund 0.0937 0.4286 107.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Minor 0.0678 0.2857 154.4
2 Marco Estrada 0.2857 0.5000 149.0
3 Charlie Morton 0.3333 0.1000 145.9
4 Dylan Covey 0.2727 0.5185 145.9
5 Héctor Santiago 0.4000 0.0612 145.1
6 Francisco Liriano 0.2258 0.4444 141.8
7 Alex Cobb 0.3462 0.5357 140.8
8 Wei-Yin Chen 0.2500 0.4615 134.4
9 Brad Keller 0.4000 0.1463 134.3
10 Miles Mikolas 0.3077 0.1250 128.7

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Seranthony Domínguez 0.3019
0.0000
(70.3)
0.0288
(67.9)
0.0000
(68.9)
0.0000
(66.6)
Blake Treinen 0.5588
0.3684
(60.7)
0.1111
(147.6)
0.3365
(68.9)
0.3170
(71.8)
Carlos Martinez 0.1515
0.0000
(80.2)
0.0250
(76.8)
0.0000
(77.0)
0.0000
(71.8)
Edwin Díaz 0.7808
0.5500
(65.3)
0.3333
(131.1)
0.4934
(79.4)
0.4655
(84.4)
Sergio Romo 0.3425
0.0408
(86.4)
0.0465
(90.0)
0.0573
(79.9)
0.0000
(93.4)
Bud Norris 0.4375
0.0000
(107.8)
0.1500
(75.5)
0.0000
(106.3)
0.0000
(103.8)
Alex Colomé 0.1714
0.5500
(106.1)
0.4667
(77.4)
0.5154
(98.1)
0.5068
(98.4)
Robert Gsellman 0.1912
0.0000
(66.8)
0.0263
(64.1)
0.0000
(64.7)
0.0000
(61.2)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeurys Familia 0.7105 0.2571 136.2
2 Mark Melancon 0.6136 0.0732 93.6
3 Greg Holland 0.4744 0.0536 88.7
4 Brad Ziegler 0.3793 0.1220 77.8
5 Zack Britton 0.5714 0.1707 67.3
6 Héctor Rondón 0.0000 0.2381 60.1
7 Cody Allen 0.5946 0.3857 59.7
8 Wily Peralta 0.0000 0.3784 56.7
9 Will Smith 0.0000 0.2593 54.9
10 Archie Bradley 0.2273 0.0395 54.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Felipe Vázquez 0.1455 0.5286 119.6
2 Shane Greene 0.0889 0.4848 116.3
3 Brad Hand 0.1346 0.4638 105.4
4 Brad Boxberger 0.1333 0.5333 98.9
5 Keone Kela 0.0278 0.4444 92.8
6 Greg Holland 0.4359 0.0536 76.6
7 Brandon Morrow 0.0323 0.6286 75.3
8 Wade Davis 0.3864 0.6232 67.3
9 Craig Kimbrel 0.4200 0.6667 66.1
10 Raisel Iglesias 0.2500 0.4545 65.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cam Bedrosian 0.3844 0.0141 101.4
2 Keone Kela 0.0000 0.4444 93.4
3 Alex Claudio 0.3024 0.0152 87.0
4 Brad Ziegler 0.3867 0.1220 81.9
5 Juan Minaya 0.3996 0.0192 80.3
6 Jeurys Familia 0.5146 0.2571 78.9
7 Tony Watson 0.2497 0.0000 66.1
8 Jeremy Jeffress 0.0000 0.2055 60.3
9 A.J. Minter 0.0000 0.2308 59.0
10 Héctor Rondón 0.0000 0.2381 58.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cam Bedrosian 0.4543 0.0141 123.0
2 Brad Ziegler 0.4842 0.1220 114.7
3 Juan Minaya 0.5195 0.0192 107.4
4 Archie Bradley 0.3778 0.0395 104.2
5 Jeurys Familia 0.5669 0.2571 97.7
6 Keone Kela 0.0000 0.4444 91.3
7 Alex Claudio 0.3017 0.0152 89.8
8 Brad Boxberger 0.2429 0.5333 65.0
9 Sam Dyson 0.2575 0.0405 63.0
10 Mark Melancon 0.4209 0.0732 62.9

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player Actual Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Amir Garrett 0.3182
0.1176
(62.9)
0.0000
(83.7)
0.0000
(67.8)
Yoshihisa Hirano 0.4267
0.0612
(105.7)
0.0612
(95.4)
0.0000
(95.8)
Jordan Hicks 0.3288
0.0612
(103.5)
0.1104
(73.6)
0.0612
(70.0)
Tony Watson 0.4444
0.2500
(60.6)
0.1607
(73.7)
0.0000
(100.0)
Archie Bradley 0.4474
0.2500
(69.6)
0.1871
(76.6)
0.0000
(114.3)
Lou Trivino 0.3333
0.0612
(92.7)
0.0758
(76.6)
0.0000
(81.4)
Alex Colomé 0.4286
0.0667
(112.7)
0.0290
(112.3)
0.0000
(103.6)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Minor 0.2000 0.0000 103.8
2 Chaz Roe 0.0952 0.5082 91.5
3 Justin Anderson 0.0612 0.3860 87.4
4 José Alvarado 0.1538 0.4429 86.0
5 Adam Ottavino 0.2381 0.4533 78.2
6 Joe Jiménez 0.0909 0.3382 76.1
7 Seth Lugo 0.0588 0.2037 74.9
8 David Robertson 0.0833 0.3043 73.3
9 Austin Gomber 0.0612 0.2414 72.8
10 Craig Stammen 0.1538 0.3151 63.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Montgomery 0.2390 0.0000 128.3
2 Wade LeBlanc 0.1521 0.0000 101.6
3 Ross Stripling 0.2754 0.0909 93.5
4 Justin Anderson 0.0000 0.3860 92.7
5 Austin Gomber 0.0000 0.2414 80.2
6 Seth Lugo 0.0239 0.2037 73.2
7 Dan Otero 0.2892 0.0164 67.7
8 Kenta Maeda 0.0000 0.1282 67.5
9 Richard Rodríguez 0.0000 0.2381 66.1
10 Ryan Yarbrough 0.1000 0.0000 63.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Ottavino 0.0000 0.4533 121.2
2 José Alvarado 0.0000 0.4429 100.4
3 Josh Hader 0.0000 0.3818 98.1
4 Chaz Roe 0.0000 0.5082 90.7
5 Matt Barnes 0.0000 0.4032 90.6
6 Tommy Hunter 0.0000 0.3846 87.3
7 Craig Stammen 0.0000 0.3151 80.5
8 Carl Edwards Jr. 0.0000 0.3966 74.4
9 Joe Jiménez 0.0000 0.3382 74.0
10 Steve Cishek 0.0000 0.3125 72.4

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Trevor Bauer 2.2072
3.8387
(1087.8)
4.2857
(1525.4)
4.1772
(1379.1)
3.9079
(1058.0)
Blake Snell 1.8930
3.6584
(1155.7)
3.9706
(1488.6)
3.8108
(1309.8)
3.6958
(1104.4)
Jacob deGrom 1.7005
3.7980
(1656.0)
3.4477
(1499.8)
3.4455
(1418.2)
3.3750
(1210.3)
Kyle Freeland 2.8468
5.0470
(1760.4)
4.1722
(1160.0)
4.8991
(1692.8)
4.7099
(1382.5)
Lucas Giolito 6.1269
4.4970
(1351.8)
3.9036
(1685.1)
4.9953
(913.1)
4.2484
(1630.3)
Mike Foltynewicz 2.8525
4.7615
(1335.2)
4.6293
(1358.4)
4.6556
(1306.9)
4.7610
(1252.5)
Clay Buchholz 2.0136
4.9462
(1107.6)
4.5552
(1018.1)
4.8638
(1101.8)
5.2308
(1175.9)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aníbal Sánchez 5.5818 2.8317 1457.5
2 Gerrit Cole 4.7788 2.8752 1429.6
3 Dereck Rodríguez 5.6400 2.8141 1320.5
4 Aaron Nola 3.9800 2.3736 1239.8
5 Zack Wheeler 4.9755 3.3071 1156.1
6 Patrick Corbin 4.7094 3.1500 1156.0
7 Burch Smith 3.8336 6.9231 1147.0
8 Derek Holland 5.2547 3.5720 1140.2
9 Mike Fiers 5.2004 3.5581 1090.9
10 Walker Buehler 4.6698 2.6214 1046.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aníbal Sánchez 5.4944 2.8317 1499.6
2 Aaron Nola 3.9673 2.3736 1365.0
3 Derek Holland 5.2466 3.5720 1253.1
4 Miles Mikolas 4.2138 2.8256 1161.2
5 Zack Wheeler 4.6821 3.3071 1059.4
6 Félix Hernández 3.9796 5.5503 1042.4
7 Patrick Corbin 4.3557 3.1500 1003.7
8 Walker Buehler 4.4118 2.6214 995.1
9 Blake Treinen 3.7662 0.7842 954.8
10 Burch Smith 4.2138 6.9231 952.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Clevinger 4.5027 3.0150 1167.3
2 Aaron Nola 3.7736 2.3736 1124.7
3 Justin Verlander 3.8659 2.5234 1079.5
4 Trevor Williams 4.6628 3.1113 1054.9
5 Mike Fiers 5.0815 3.5581 1054.4
6 Miles Mikolas 4.1644 2.8256 1044.1
7 Gerrit Cole 4.1910 2.8752 1014.1
8 Jaime Barria 5.3095 3.4098 995.1
9 Clayton Richard 3.9201 5.3319 994.6
10 Dereck Rodríguez 4.8555 2.8141 971.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dereck Rodríguez 6.0344 2.8141 1458.7
2 Dylan Bundy 4.1234 5.4524 1165.6
3 Félix Hernández 4.2097 5.5503 1072.5
4 Aníbal Sánchez 4.9157 2.8317 1028.0
5 Marcus Stroman 3.5402 5.5407 999.3
6 Matt Moore 4.9197 6.7941 988.9
7 Mike Clevinger 4.4348 3.0150 967.7
8 Jason Hammel 4.5995 6.0236 961.5
9 Marco Estrada 4.3709 5.6381 935.6
10 Jon Gray 4.0851 5.1180 934.7

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Davenport Marcel Steamer ZiPS
Blake Snell 0.9742
1.3376
(237.6)
1.3897
(292.0)
1.3285
(232.4)
1.3460
(212.0)
Patrick Corbin 1.0500
1.4316
(286.2)
1.4217
(298.6)
1.3569
(227.7)
1.3810
(209.5)
Mike Foltynewicz 1.0820
1.4429
(250.7)
1.4095
(244.9)
1.3707
(198.2)
1.4060
(189.8)
Jason Hammel 1.6299
1.3170
(196.4)
1.3166
(181.7)
1.3688
(165.2)
1.3274
(216.6)
Tyler Chatwood 1.8039
1.3561
(229.3)
1.3879
(201.3)
1.4410
(187.2)
1.3981
(230.7)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 1.5472 1.1243 296.8
2 Jacob deGrom 1.2425 0.9124 255.6
3 Gerrit Cole 1.3696 1.0333 249.6
4 Walker Buehler 1.4340 0.9612 242.8
5 Aaron Nola 1.2667 0.9749 222.6
6 Danny Duffy 1.2178 1.4903 205.2
7 Justin Verlander 1.1707 0.9019 204.0
8 Kyle Freeland 1.4911 1.2455 187.1
9 José Ureña 1.4696 1.1839 186.4
10 Dereck Rodríguez 1.5385 1.1324 186.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Wheeler 1.4547 1.1243 247.0
2 Aaron Nola 1.2594 0.9749 237.8
3 Jacob deGrom 1.1893 0.9124 232.5
4 Walker Buehler 1.3725 0.9612 223.4
5 Justin Verlander 1.1458 0.9019 204.6
6 Miles Mikolas 1.3173 1.0714 200.0
7 Matthew Boyd 1.4338 1.1566 197.7
8 Aníbal Sánchez 1.4359 1.0829 196.1
9 Gerrit Cole 1.2751 1.0333 194.5
10 Trevor Bauer 1.3382 1.0894 179.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 1.1977 0.9019 227.9
2 Jhoulys Chacín 1.4323 1.1626 196.9
3 Kyle Freeland 1.4997 1.2455 195.7
4 Jacob deGrom 1.1621 0.9124 189.8
5 José Ureña 1.4628 1.1839 182.7
6 Aaron Nola 1.2152 0.9749 181.1
7 Luke Weaver 1.2287 1.4963 176.5
8 Trevor Williams 1.4484 1.1777 174.1
9 Sean Manaea 1.3614 1.0768 171.6
10 Mike Clevinger 1.3828 1.1550 166.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Danny Duffy 1.2267 1.4903 230.2
2 Sonny Gray 1.2178 1.4962 202.2
3 Luke Weaver 1.2419 1.4963 197.0
4 Drew Pomeranz 1.2775 1.7703 193.2
5 Dereck Rodríguez 1.5817 1.1324 185.2
6 Tyson Ross 1.6493 1.2962 180.1
7 Dylan Bundy 1.2427 1.4097 177.0
8 Dallas Keuchel 1.1811 1.3143 176.8
9 Martín Pérez 1.4167 1.7813 172.1
10 Chris Archer 1.1755 1.3753 171.5