2017 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Adam Eaton	107	622 (515.0)	651 (543.7)	666 (559.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Thames	1	551	550.0
2	Cody Bellinger	1	548	547.0
3	Paul DeJong	1	443	442.0
4	Martín Prado	575	147	428.0
5	Aaron Judge	253	678	425.0
6	Johnny Giavotella	432	10	422.0
7	Jorge Bonifacio	1	422	421.0
8	Billy Burns	424	6	418.0
9	Ian Happ	1	413	412.0
10	Pedro Alvarez	436	34	402.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Travis Jankowski	585	87	497.5
2	Cody Bellinger	51	548	496.9
3	Chris Taylor	91	568	476.9
4	Paul DeJong	1	443	442.0
5	Mark Reynolds	164	593	429.0
6	Yolmer Sánchez	106	534	428.5
7	Ben Gamel	133	550	417.4
8	Tommy Pham	114	530	415.8
9	Jorge Bonifacio	7	422	415.5
10	Ian Happ	1	413	412.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dustin Fowler	582	0	582.0
2	Miguel Andujar	576	8	568.0
3	Jack Reinheimer	572	5	567.0
4	Tim Locastro	562	1	561.0
5	Joey Wendle	571	14	557.0
6	Christian Walker	567	15	552.0
7	Alex Verdugo	570	25	545.0
8	AJ Reed	540	6	534.0
9	Christopher Bostick	560	32	528.0
10	Ryan McMahon	552	24	528.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Miguel Cabrera	0.3169	0.3860 (41.9)	0.3941 (44.1)	0.3813 (45.6)
Zack Cozart	0.3922	0.2981 (42.7)	0.2950 (46.1)	0.2958 (37.8)
Albert Pujols	0.2891	0.3312 (33.1)	0.3383 (35.2)	0.3275 (38.2)
Tommy Pham	0.3966	0.3280 (31.1)	0.3108 (42.2)	0.3182 (30.1)
José Bautista	0.2963	0.3666 (55.1)	0.3646 (51.1)	0.3693 (65.0)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3897	0.3184 (41.7)	0.3322 (34.8)	0.3225 (30.9)
José Ramírez	0.3988	0.3154 (47.3)	0.3288 (41.1)	0.3230 (34.9)
Aaron Judge	0.4344	0.2985 (85.4)	0.3273 (68.4)	0.3260 (58.8)
Ryan Zimmerman	0.3880	0.3013 (44.2)	0.3272 (31.5)	0.2980 (39.3)
Rougned Odor	0.2753	0.3209 (36.2)	0.3353 (43.1)	0.3373 (54.5)
Marwin Gonzalez	0.3820	0.3062 (33.9)	0.2922 (43.1)	0.3002 (30.9)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.3529	0.4162	38.6
2	Adam Engel	0.3267	0.2242	37.8
3	Avisaíl García	0.3011	0.3781	37.6
4	Chris Taylor	0.2869	0.3613	36.6
5	Justin Smoak	0.3080	0.3726	34.7
6	Alex Gordon	0.3240	0.2708	34.2
7	Anthony Rendon	0.3324	0.3971	33.1
8	Carlos Beltrán	0.3372	0.2858	31.3
9	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3630	0.4158	29.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.3417	0.4162	49.4
2	Cody Bellinger	0.3084	0.3873	39.8
3	J.D. Martinez	0.3476	0.4345	39.5
4	Justin Smoak	0.3096	0.3726	36.2
5	Chris Taylor	0.2962	0.3613	33.4
6	Manny Machado	0.3710	0.3291	33.2
7	Scooter Gennett	0.2945	0.3673	33.1
8	Paul DeJong	0.2795	0.3595	32.7
9	Avisaíl García	0.3144	0.3781	32.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Gordon	0.3200	0.2708	38.4
2	Manny Machado	0.3629	0.3291	38.3
3	Maikel Franco	0.3332	0.2938	38.1
4	Mark Trumbo	0.3358	0.2950	37.7
5	Carlos Beltrán	0.3307	0.2858	33.9
6	Chris Davis	0.3555	0.3150	32.7
7	Mookie Betts	0.3657	0.3434	31.3
8	Evan Longoria	0.3378	0.3142	30.7
9	Hunter Pence	0.3378	0.3037	30.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Justin Turner	0.1031	0.1770 (44.1)	0.1770 (46.3)	0.1735 (36.3)
Yonder Alonso	0.2265	0.1446 (38.8)	0.1373 (40.6)	0.1290 (52.6)
George Springer	0.1765	0.2464 (48.6)	0.2436 (49.4)	0.2746 (59.5)
Robbie Grossman	0.1732	0.2413 (34.4)	0.2342 (32.9)	0.2500 (33.4)
Justin Smoak	0.2009	0.2668 (46.7)	0.2775 (56.0)	0.2739 (44.2)
José Bautista	0.2478	0.1738 (45.7)	0.1878 (33.4)	0.1882 (43.3)
Joey Votto	0.1174	0.1870 (54.4)	0.1898 (59.2)	0.1943 (51.8)
Kris Bryant	0.1925	0.2480 (41.8)	0.2403 (39.3)	0.2708 (49.7)
Matt Holliday	0.2670	0.1698 (38.4)	0.1819 (31.5)	0.2006 (29.9)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Davidson	0.2098	0.3725	68.8
2	Whit Merrifield	0.2120	0.1397	50.2
3	Alex Bregman	0.2219	0.1550	46.5
4	Adam Engel	0.2115	0.3482	43.4
5	Eric Thames	0.2115	0.2958	42.4
6	Hunter Renfroe	0.1973	0.2923	41.9
7	Eddie Rosario	0.2407	0.1800	40.1
8	Keon Broxton	0.2853	0.3780	39.5
9	Ian Happ	0.2115	0.3123	38.6
10	Trevor Story	0.2734	0.3441	35.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Austin Hedges	0.1756	0.2926	44.1
2	Evan Longoria	0.2075	0.1610	39.2
3	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2807	0.2355	39.1
4	Rougned Odor	0.1800	0.2488	37.4
5	Tommy Pham	0.2764	0.2208	35.5
6	Trevor Story	0.2713	0.3441	34.1
7	Tyler Flowers	0.3024	0.2216	34.1
8	Anthony Rendon	0.1789	0.1355	33.1
9	Eddie Rosario	0.2212	0.1800	31.0
10	Jonathan Lucroy	0.1583	0.1060	30.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.2152	0.1099	57.4
2	Rougned Odor	0.1791	0.2488	47.7
3	Logan Morrison	0.1797	0.2479	43.1
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2996	0.2355	41.8
5	Evan Longoria	0.2173	0.1610	35.7
6	Austin Hedges	0.2120	0.2926	35.1
7	Khris Davis	0.2514	0.2991	33.4
8	Manuel Margot	0.1429	0.2004	32.3
9	Corey Seager	0.1674	0.2137	30.6
10	Logan Forsythe	0.1871	0.2483	28.4

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Martín Maldonado	0.0318	0.1029 (36.7)	0.1015 (34.9)	0.1005 (38.7)
Steven Souza Jr.	0.1361	0.0835 (28.2)	0.0876 (27.1)	0.0860 (22.6)
Brad Miller	0.1548	0.0830 (26.4)	0.0876 (25.5)	0.0855 (22.7)
Todd Frazier	0.1441	0.0804 (32.7)	0.0877 (29.8)	0.0820 (28.0)
Eugenio Suárez	0.1329	0.0710 (34.7)	0.0788 (31.3)	0.0740 (28.7)
Yasmani Grandal	0.0830	0.1295 (25.8)	0.1386 (29.0)	0.1404 (34.2)
Zack Cozart	0.1223	0.0658 (25.1)	0.0636 (27.4)	0.0609 (24.3)
José Bautista	0.1224	0.1523 (25.3)	0.1529 (24.0)	0.1510 (28.8)
Logan Forsythe	0.1572	0.0829 (29.6)	0.0822 (30.9)	0.0785 (28.6)
Aaron Judge	0.1873	0.0830 (66.0)	0.0946 (59.8)	0.0862 (59.4)
Eric Sogard	0.1505	0.0753 (20.4)	0.0714 (22.3)	0.0648 (21.6)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Carpenter	0.1248	0.1752	27.1
2	Logan Morrison	0.0846	0.1348	25.9
3	Eric Thames	0.0870	0.1361	23.2
4	Anthony Rendon	0.0936	0.1388	23.1
5	Jake Lamb	0.0941	0.1370	22.8
6	Edwin Encarnación	0.1159	0.1555	21.8
7	Mike Trout	0.1371	0.1854	21.0
8	Paul DeJong	0.0870	0.0474	20.6
9	Mookie Betts	0.0728	0.1081	20.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Carpenter	0.1325	0.1752	23.7
2	Logan Morrison	0.0936	0.1348	22.0
3	Matt Davidson	0.0875	0.0429	21.8
4	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0485	0.0951	21.7
5	Jake Lamb	0.0996	0.1370	20.8
6	Anthony Rendon	0.1007	0.1388	20.3
7	Edwin Encarnación	0.1210	0.1555	20.0
8	Elvis Andrus	0.0795	0.0552	19.9
9	Tommy Pham	0.0919	0.1340	19.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.0819	0.0390	31.8
2	Bryce Harper	0.1733	0.1382	23.9
3	Carlos Santana	0.1528	0.1319	22.9
4	Matt Davidson	0.0805	0.0429	22.6
5	Elvis Andrus	0.0718	0.0552	20.7
6	Corey Seager	0.0622	0.1093	20.6
7	Eric Thames	0.0868	0.1361	19.8
8	Matt Joyce	0.1440	0.1213	19.7
9	José Abreu	0.0675	0.0519	19.6

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jarrod Dyson	0.0256	0.0078 (6.8)	0.0100 (5.8)	0.0099 (5.8)
Martín Maldonado	0.0382	0.0143 (11.0)	0.0120 (12.0)	0.0183 (9.0)
Javier Báez	0.0020	0.0158 (7.3)	0.0140 (6.5)	0.0174 (8.3)
Kurt Suzuki	0.0421	0.0140 (8.5)	0.0130 (8.8)	0.0149 (8.1)
Justin Turner	0.0350	0.0182 (8.8)	0.0160 (9.9)	0.0174 (9.1)
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0144	0.0046 (6.5)	0.0050 (6.0)	0.0033 (7.1)
Todd Frazier	0.0243	0.0084 (8.9)	0.0090 (8.4)	0.0095 (8.0)
Tyler Flowers	0.0541	0.0202 (12.3)	0.0170 (13.4)	0.0225 (11.3)
Josh Harrison	0.0424	0.0099 (17.4)	0.0100 (17.2)	0.0116 (16.2)
Jonathan Lucroy	0.0166	0.0039 (5.9)	0.0050 (5.3)	0.0039 (5.7)
Joc Pederson	0.0310	0.0118 (6.0)	0.0100 (6.5)	0.0093 (6.7)
Yasiel Puig	0.0035	0.0143 (6.4)	0.0130 (5.8)	0.0148 (7.0)
Jose Iglesias	0.0020	0.0138 (6.0)	0.0120 (5.2)	0.0150 (6.8)
Eric Young Jr.	0.0560	0.0096 (5.7)	0.0100 (5.7)	0.0083 (5.8)
Carlos Gómez	0.0446	0.0170 (11.5)	0.0160 (11.9)	0.0193 (10.4)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.0110	0.0220 (7.3)	0.0190 (5.5)	0.0264 (10.4)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	James McCann	0.0069	0.0230	6.1
2	Guillermo Heredia	0.0116	0.0258	5.8
3	Mitch Haniger	0.0075	0.0220	5.7
4	Joey Gallo	0.0043	0.0150	5.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Freese	0.0160	0.0298	6.6
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.0250	0.0347	6.2
3	Tommy Pham	0.0070	0.0189	5.9
4	James McCann	0.0090	0.0230	5.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Dietrich	0.0528	0.0388	6.9
2	Tommy Pham	0.0058	0.0189	6.5
3	Brandon Moss	0.0150	0.0000	6.4
4	Leury García	0.0057	0.0245	5.8

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
J.D. Martinez	0.1461	0.0698 (32.6)	0.0675 (34.7)	0.0775 (27.8)
Matt Olson	0.1860	0.0323 (31.1)	0.0424 (29.4)	0.0546 (25.8)
Mark Trumbo	0.0560	0.0756 (17.7)	0.0837 (21.3)	0.0856 (25.0)
Jake Marisnick	0.1119	0.0296 (18.8)	0.0330 (18.4)	0.0351 (16.8)
Yonder Alonso	0.0841	0.0233 (26.6)	0.0245 (27.0)	0.0206 (26.9)
Scooter Gennett	0.0774	0.0311 (18.2)	0.0277 (20.9)	0.0319 (16.8)
Logan Morrison	0.1038	0.0436 (30.3)	0.0523 (26.4)	0.0417 (30.3)
Carlos González	0.0392	0.0640 (18.5)	0.0683 (19.6)	0.0747 (25.2)
José Bautista	0.0542	0.0733 (19.8)	0.0773 (21.0)	0.0811 (26.5)
Aaron Judge	0.1538	0.0497 (64.0)	0.0727 (49.8)	0.1024 (26.9)
Joey Gallo	0.1621	0.0584 (50.0)	0.0997 (29.1)	0.1172 (17.6)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.0505	0.1157	30.4
2	Eric Thames	0.0505	0.1013	22.6
3	Matt Davidson	0.0417	0.1024	22.6
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0944	0.1350	21.4
5	Ryan Zimmerman	0.0450	0.0893	19.9
6	Michael Conforto	0.0517	0.1031	18.3
7	Rhys Hoskins	0.0505	0.1429	17.5
8	Alex Gordon	0.0476	0.0253	17.4
9	Kyle Schwarber	0.0662	0.1103	16.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.0563	0.1157	28.4
2	Ian Happ	0.0331	0.0996	24.3
3	Chris Taylor	0.0129	0.0563	20.3
4	Paul DeJong	0.0356	0.0850	18.5
5	Evan Longoria	0.0578	0.0388	18.1
6	Michael Conforto	0.0543	0.1031	18.1
7	Khris Davis	0.0793	0.1138	17.5
8	Matt Davidson	0.0559	0.1024	17.2
9	Miguel Cabrera	0.0688	0.0442	17.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Evan Longoria	0.0644	0.0388	25.3
2	Ryan Zimmerman	0.0447	0.0893	18.9
3	Chris Davis	0.1223	0.0981	18.8
4	Alex Gordon	0.0472	0.0253	18.2
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.0580	0.0381	17.9
6	Kris Bryant	0.0829	0.0679	17.8
7	Miguel Cabrera	0.0655	0.0442	17.5
8	Chris Taylor	0.0143	0.0563	17.1
9	Ian Happ	0.0470	0.0996	16.9

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mookie Betts	0.2679	0.3149 (33.1)	0.3156 (33.6)	0.3204 (39.5)
Avisaíl García	0.3923	0.3077 (47.8)	0.3195 (41.1)	0.3214 (38.1)
Charlie Blackmon	0.3682	0.3238 (32.6)	0.3180 (36.7)	0.3189 (33.7)
Francisco Lindor	0.2720	0.3199 (34.2)	0.3164 (31.7)	0.3153 (33.4)
Mike Zunino	0.3547	0.2577 (42.4)	0.2670 (38.3)	0.2695 (35.8)
Mike Napoli	0.2236	0.2949 (34.3)	0.2904 (32.1)	0.2879 (32.6)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3548	0.3087 (31.7)	0.3132 (28.6)	0.3128 (26.6)
Aaron Judge	0.3566	0.2941 (42.8)	0.3077 (33.5)	0.2928 (41.3)
Tim Beckham	0.3642	0.3092 (31.9)	0.3093 (31.8)	0.3148 (26.7)
Ian Kinsler	0.2438	0.3067 (38.2)	0.2915 (29.0)	0.2961 (33.8)
Rougned Odor	0.2243	0.2923 (43.9)	0.2952 (45.8)	0.2931 (46.7)
Maikel Franco	0.2343	0.2818 (29.3)	0.2843 (30.9)	0.2909 (37.1)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2704	0.3351	37.6
2	Chris Taylor	0.3049	0.3608	32.1
3	Scott Schebler	0.3060	0.2477	30.7
4	Trey Mancini	0.3000	0.3516	30.5
5	Ben Gamel	0.2857	0.3395	29.9
6	Joey Gallo	0.3023	0.2500	27.5
7	Alex Avila	0.3081	0.3799	27.2
8	Luis Valbuena	0.2776	0.2098	26.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Sanó	0.3118	0.3750	30.8
2	Jose Altuve	0.3244	0.3696	30.3
3	Josh Reddick	0.2775	0.3325	30.0
4	Alex Gordon	0.3120	0.2594	28.2
5	Alex Avila	0.3062	0.3799	27.9
6	Kyle Schwarber	0.3016	0.2438	27.9
7	Matt Carpenter	0.3168	0.2725	27.3
8	Jonathan Schoop	0.2907	0.3297	26.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2734	0.3351	33.9
2	Scott Schebler	0.3048	0.2477	31.9
3	Manny Machado	0.3072	0.2648	31.3
4	Yasiel Puig	0.3221	0.2739	29.1
5	Joey Gallo	0.2986	0.2500	27.4
6	Luis Valbuena	0.2731	0.2098	26.5
7	Todd Frazier	0.2693	0.2263	26.5
8	Hanley Ramirez	0.3164	0.2717	26.3

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Curtis Granderson	0.1386	0.2000 (31.0)	0.1963 (28.5)	0.1952 (29.8)
Mookie Betts	0.1774	0.2290 (34.9)	0.2305 (35.3)	0.2302 (37.6)
Francisco Lindor	0.1820	0.2506 (47.7)	0.2469 (44.4)	0.2437 (44.6)
Tim Beckham	0.2977	0.2126 (50.5)	0.2309 (40.4)	0.2222 (43.4)
Enrique Hernández	0.1286	0.2165 (29.2)	0.2098 (26.6)	0.2093 (27.6)
Miguel Sanó	0.2991	0.2402 (29.7)	0.2216 (39.1)	0.2222 (37.1)
Scott Schebler	0.1641	0.2371 (37.4)	0.2191 (27.3)	0.2194 (29.3)
Lucas Duda	0.1308	0.2010 (33.2)	0.2054 (34.9)	0.1953 (31.7)
Marcell Ozuna	0.2811	0.2322 (35.0)	0.2326 (35.3)	0.2340 (32.0)
Avisaíl García	0.3103	0.2462 (37.4)	0.2569 (31.9)	0.2597 (28.4)
Joey Gallo	0.1509	0.2326 (42.0)	0.2136 (31.5)	0.2038 (28.1)
Orlando Arcia	0.2677	0.2055 (35.5)	0.2105 (33.3)	0.2127 (30.1)
Eric Hosmer	0.2836	0.2417 (29.9)	0.2383 (32.8)	0.2429 (27.3)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.2000	0.2673	35.8
2	Tommy Pham	0.2278	0.2880	33.3
3	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1918	0.2452	32.3
4	Trey Mancini	0.2214	0.2734	32.0
5	Ian Kinsler	0.2333	0.1806	30.7
6	Aaron Judge	0.2222	0.2622	28.9
7	AJ Pollock	0.2406	0.1765	28.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starlin Castro	0.2312	0.2908	29.9
2	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2620	0.3009	29.5
3	Ender Inciarte	0.2429	0.2801	29.3
4	Rougned Odor	0.2147	0.1671	28.7
5	Alex Avila	0.2325	0.3017	27.3
6	Corey Dickerson	0.2077	0.2476	27.3
7	Jason Kipnis	0.2298	0.1577	25.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.2091	0.2622	36.0
2	Corey Seager	0.2150	0.2674	32.1
3	Corey Dickerson	0.1993	0.2476	30.4
4	Tommy Pham	0.2319	0.2880	29.8
5	Mark Reynolds	0.2203	0.2704	29.7
6	Maikel Franco	0.2139	0.1692	27.9
7	Ian Kinsler	0.2257	0.1806	27.6

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Odúbel Herrera	0.1082	0.0627 (24.0)	0.0593 (25.8)	0.0657 (21.2)
Eduardo Escobar	0.0468	0.0801 (18.2)	0.0743 (15.3)	0.0749 (16.5)
Hunter Pence	0.0340	0.0707 (21.4)	0.0696 (20.9)	0.0675 (20.7)
Enrique Hernández	0.1143	0.0649 (15.8)	0.0639 (16.2)	0.0581 (17.5)
Kolten Wong	0.0918	0.0491 (16.3)	0.0488 (16.4)	0.0471 (16.4)
Jed Lowrie	0.1075	0.0614 (27.7)	0.0664 (24.4)	0.0604 (27.2)
Mike Zunino	0.1232	0.0670 (23.1)	0.0659 (23.5)	0.0664 (22.5)
Andrew Benintendi	0.0578	0.0879 (21.8)	0.0805 (17.0)	0.0779 (16.5)
José Ramírez	0.1138	0.0737 (23.9)	0.0720 (25.0)	0.0749 (21.9)
Justin Upton	0.1283	0.0760 (31.3)	0.0774 (30.3)	0.0758 (30.2)
Starling Marte	0.0290	0.0767 (17.2)	0.0802 (18.4)	0.0783 (18.4)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.0851	0.0462	21.4
2	Chris Taylor	0.0610	0.0966	18.5
3	Edwin Encarnación	0.0749	0.0514	17.8
4	Mitch Haniger	0.0511	0.0958	17.1
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.0612	0.0945	17.1
6	José Peraza	0.0506	0.0216	16.6
7	Nomar Mazara	0.0435	0.0732	16.4
8	Matt Chapman	0.0707	0.1237	16.3
9	Manuel Margot	0.0759	0.0483	16.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.0652	0.1237	18.0
2	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0831	0.0554	16.7
3	José Peraza	0.0500	0.0216	16.3
4	Lucas Duda	0.0714	0.1077	16.3
5	José Pirela	0.0564	0.1068	16.3
6	Shin-Soo Choo	0.0727	0.0505	16.1
7	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0673	0.1006	15.5
8	Adam Duvall	0.0661	0.0932	15.5
9	Albert Pujols	0.0562	0.0353	15.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nomar Mazara	0.0363	0.0732	19.7
2	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0857	0.0554	19.1
3	Matt Olson	0.1003	0.0190	18.6
4	Byron Buxton	0.0745	0.0462	17.0
5	Edwin Encarnación	0.0707	0.0514	16.2
6	Miguel Sanó	0.0947	0.0670	15.8
7	José Pirela	0.0561	0.1068	15.7
8	Rougned Odor	0.0690	0.0501	15.5
9	Shin-Soo Choo	0.0697	0.0505	15.3

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
David Peralta	0.0071	0.0253 (9.9)	0.0187 (6.6)	0.0282 (11.0)
Chris Owings	0.0037	0.0198 (5.9)	0.0188 (5.8)	0.0211 (5.9)
Charlie Blackmon	0.0293	0.0119 (13.3)	0.0098 (14.2)	0.0130 (13.3)
Nick Castellanos	0.0222	0.0123 (7.2)	0.0107 (7.7)	0.0138 (6.9)
Billy Hamilton	0.0243	0.0115 (8.7)	0.0084 (10.2)	0.0134 (8.2)
Yolmer Sánchez	0.0215	0.0043 (9.7)	0.0059 (8.4)	0.0083 (8.1)
José Abreu	0.0127	0.0049 (5.9)	0.0034 (6.3)	0.0045 (6.9)
Brandon Crawford	0.0025	0.0184 (8.5)	0.0166 (8.0)	0.0177 (7.5)
Dexter Fowler	0.0295	0.0178 (6.2)	0.0123 (8.5)	0.0173 (7.0)
Xander Bogaerts	0.0134	0.0043 (6.4)	0.0033 (6.5)	0.0041 (7.2)
Zack Cozart	0.0206	0.0086 (6.5)	0.0054 (7.7)	0.0091 (6.9)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eddie Rosario	0.0237	0.0048	10.6
2	Mikie Mahtook	0.0051	0.0232	7.2
3	Josh Bell	0.0051	0.0146	6.5
4	Keon Broxton	0.0054	0.0181	6.3
5	Franchy Cordero	0.0067	0.0652	5.9
6	Corey Seager	0.0102	0.0000	5.7
7	Clint Frazier	0.0067	0.0455	5.6
8	Jake Lamb	0.0209	0.0111	5.6
9	Ozzie Albies	0.0067	0.0281	5.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Benintendi	0.0154	0.0022	8.6
2	Max Kepler	0.0153	0.0052	5.7
3	George Springer	0.0087	0.0000	5.4
4	Clint Frazier	0.0080	0.0455	5.3
5	Cody Bellinger	0.0039	0.0134	5.3
6	Aaron Altherr	0.0077	0.0200	5.1
7	José Reyes	0.0079	0.0169	5.1
8	Mitch Garver	0.0023	0.0968	4.9
9	Josh Bell	0.0071	0.0146	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cory Spangenberg	0.0335	0.0065	12.1
2	Scott Schebler	0.0256	0.0062	9.3
3	Andrew Benintendi	0.0176	0.0022	8.8
4	Daniel Descalso	0.0058	0.0202	6.5
5	Max Kepler	0.0182	0.0052	6.2
6	José Reyes	0.0084	0.0169	5.9
7	Dansby Swanson	0.0179	0.0055	5.8
8	Tommy Pham	0.0193	0.0065	5.7
9	Eddie Rosario	0.0161	0.0048	5.5

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Miguel Cabrera	0.0945	0.1323 (23.8)	0.1475 (32.8)	0.1252 (21.5)
Charlie Blackmon	0.1890	0.1436 (27.7)	0.1419 (27.7)	0.1274 (37.4)
Scooter Gennett	0.1610	0.1105 (21.5)	0.0976 (27.0)	0.1148 (18.0)
Albert Pujols	0.0833	0.1196 (27.6)	0.1259 (32.8)	0.1205 (30.0)
Tommy Pham	0.1792	0.1359 (19.2)	0.1085 (32.8)	0.1268 (22.5)
José Ramírez	0.1659	0.1290 (19.2)	0.1165 (26.1)	0.1234 (21.0)
Manny Machado	0.1174	0.1372 (18.6)	0.1451 (25.3)	0.1409 (23.1)
Aaron Judge	0.1888	0.1107 (48.1)	0.1226 (38.8)	0.1360 (29.0)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1298	0.1777	28.2
2	Carlos Correa	0.1162	0.1705	22.7
3	Bryce Harper	0.1417	0.1931	21.8
4	Hunter Pence	0.1350	0.1020	21.6
5	Tommy Joseph	0.1263	0.0957	20.1
6	Joey Gallo	0.1154	0.1598	19.8
7	Jose Altuve	0.1323	0.1692	19.7
8	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.1364	0.1072	19.6
9	Troy Tulowitzki	0.1291	0.0615	19.4
10	George Springer	0.1401	0.1781	19.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Taylor	0.0888	0.1496	29.5
2	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1180	0.1640	25.8
3	Cody Bellinger	0.1041	0.1588	25.0
4	Zack Cozart	0.1057	0.1578	21.9
5	Hanley Ramirez	0.1334	0.1049	20.7
6	Jon Jay	0.0936	0.1501	20.6
7	Jake Marisnick	0.1063	0.1931	20.1
8	Brandon Phillips	0.0927	0.1341	19.6
9	Dustin Pedroia	0.1319	0.0994	19.2
10	Victor Martinez	0.1225	0.0874	19.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tommy Joseph	0.1395	0.0957	28.7
2	Hunter Pence	0.1379	0.1020	24.7
3	Wil Myers	0.1481	0.1233	22.7
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1364	0.1777	21.7
5	Maikel Franco	0.1291	0.1059	20.7
6	Gregory Polanco	0.1340	0.0949	20.2
7	Lucas Duda	0.1309	0.1018	19.2
8	Kyle Schwarber	0.1670	0.1379	19.1
9	David Freese	0.1151	0.0875	19.0
10	Kole Calhoun	0.1355	0.1177	18.2

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
J.D. Martinez	0.2127	0.1415 (30.9)	0.1439 (32.4)	0.1458 (28.7)
Mark Trumbo	0.1078	0.1421 (25.6)	0.1577 (31.6)	0.1706 (42.8)
Scooter Gennett	0.1952	0.0988 (43.9)	0.0979 (47.1)	0.1056 (40.4)
Lorenzo Cain	0.0760	0.1179 (32.2)	0.1102 (23.7)	0.1133 (29.4)
Carlos González	0.1067	0.1486 (26.7)	0.1571 (28.2)	0.1526 (28.9)
José Bautista	0.0948	0.1465 (41.0)	0.1460 (36.9)	0.1667 (55.0)
Marcell Ozuna	0.1826	0.1161 (39.7)	0.1350 (30.6)	0.1229 (34.9)
Kris Bryant	0.1098	0.1415 (26.5)	0.1451 (25.2)	0.1622 (40.4)
Marwin Gonzalez	0.1748	0.0942 (37.3)	0.1119 (31.1)	0.0968 (35.9)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.1067	0.1681	36.2
2	Gerardo Parra	0.0893	0.1671	29.6
3	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1306	0.1875	28.1
4	Cody Bellinger	0.1182	0.1770	27.8
5	Nomar Mazara	0.1111	0.1640	27.6
6	Corey Dickerson	0.1320	0.0986	26.1
7	Mark Reynolds	0.1116	0.1636	26.0
8	Guillermo Heredia	0.1085	0.0563	25.7
9	Anthony Rendon	0.1148	0.1653	25.6
10	Ian Kinsler	0.1174	0.0848	24.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1345	0.1805	28.9
2	Kevin Pillar	0.1087	0.0665	28.2
3	Cody Bellinger	0.1235	0.1770	27.9
4	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1365	0.1875	27.9
5	Charlie Blackmon	0.1055	0.1434	25.7
6	Ian Happ	0.1008	0.1646	25.3
7	Anthony Rendon	0.1216	0.1653	24.9
8	Justin Bour	0.1334	0.1935	24.7
9	Travis Shaw	0.1235	0.1667	24.6
10	Jake Lamb	0.1247	0.1654	24.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rajai Davis	0.1348	0.0546	32.4
2	Hanley Ramirez	0.1614	0.1121	31.8
3	Chris Davis	0.1664	0.1164	30.5
4	Kevin Pillar	0.1034	0.0665	28.6
5	Carlos Beltrán	0.1478	0.1002	28.4
6	Gerardo Parra	0.0934	0.1671	27.8
7	Eric Thames	0.1558	0.1143	27.4
8	Kyle Schwarber	0.1692	0.1214	27.3
9	Miguel Cabrera	0.1561	0.1134	27.0
10	Ian Kinsler	0.1189	0.0848	25.9

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Charlie Blackmon	0.0693	0.1513 (56.6)	0.1387 (45.0)	0.1500 (49.2)
Andrelton Simmons	0.1187	0.0465 (49.3)	0.0510 (48.5)	0.0493 (53.2)
Trea Turner	0.4182	0.2526 (75.7)	0.2420 (82.0)	0.2414 (84.8)
Rajai Davis	0.3580	0.2685 (34.2)	0.2720 (34.1)	0.0000 (135.7)
Alcides Escobar	0.0328	0.1181 (51.2)	0.1099 (43.9)	0.1192 (46.3)
Alex Bregman	0.1083	0.0571 (34.5)	0.0602 (34.6)	0.0611 (37.6)
Cameron Maybin	0.2973	0.1138 (84.3)	0.1105 (87.3)	0.1217 (84.8)
Byron Buxton	0.2358	0.1169 (62.7)	0.1445 (50.3)	0.1379 (56.5)
Whit Merrifield	0.2313	0.0805 (97.5)	0.1293 (68.8)	0.1395 (65.9)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bradley Zimmer	0.0572	0.2338	59.9
2	Tommy Pham	0.0541	0.1471	51.4
3	Taylor Motter	0.0508	0.2264	50.3
4	Andrew Benintendi	0.0469	0.1087	43.2
5	Todd Frazier	0.1008	0.0265	40.5
6	Alen Hanson	0.0755	0.2444	40.5
7	Delino DeShields	0.1444	0.2320	40.2
8	Rougned Odor	0.0820	0.1364	38.0
9	Hernán Pérez	0.2143	0.1354	34.3
10	Lane Adams	0.0612	0.3226	32.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Reyes	0.1282	0.1875	37.3
2	Eric Thames	0.1016	0.0292	35.9
3	Ben Gamel	0.1021	0.0299	35.7
4	Tommy Pham	0.0882	0.1471	35.0
5	Yasiel Puig	0.0521	0.1049	34.2
6	Brett Gardner	0.0809	0.1237	34.1
7	Yoán Moncada	0.2028	0.0500	33.6
8	Lane Adams	0.0572	0.3226	33.3
9	Grégor Blanco	0.0927	0.2143	33.0
10	Ben Revere	0.1662	0.2658	32.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Billy Hamilton	0.4720	0.3782	51.3
2	Allen Córdoba	0.2381	0.0357	43.0
3	Carlos Correa	0.1136	0.0145	41.5
4	Domingo Santana	0.0351	0.0904	41.3
5	Jarrod Dyson	0.3867	0.2692	40.8
6	Adam Engel	0.2743	0.1404	40.7
7	DJ LeMahieu	0.1000	0.0280	40.3
8	Yasiel Puig	0.0511	0.1049	38.0
9	Rougned Odor	0.0916	0.1364	37.5
10	Todd Frazier	0.1007	0.0265	35.4

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mookie Betts	0.2643	0.2988 (24.8)	0.3097 (30.8)	0.3070 (36.3)
Miguel Cabrera	0.2495	0.3104 (32.4)	0.3099 (30.9)	0.3014 (31.8)
Avisaíl García	0.3301	0.2500 (44.7)	0.2621 (39.3)	0.2569 (36.4)
Tommy Pham	0.3063	0.2482 (30.6)	0.2514 (30.2)	0.2444 (28.4)
José Bautista	0.2027	0.2541 (35.5)	0.2488 (30.2)	0.2518 (39.3)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3116	0.2626 (33.0)	0.2726 (27.9)	0.2649 (26.1)
Aaron Judge	0.2841	0.2335 (34.1)	0.2475 (26.2)	0.2291 (31.7)
Ryan Zimmerman	0.3034	0.2399 (36.4)	0.2602 (26.1)	0.2380 (32.9)
Rougned Odor	0.2043	0.2638 (39.0)	0.2748 (44.5)	0.2745 (51.1)
Eric Hosmer	0.3184	0.2742 (29.4)	0.2781 (28.4)	0.2767 (22.4)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Engel	0.2587	0.1661	31.2
2	Ian Kinsler	0.2823	0.2359	28.7
3	José Ramírez	0.2744	0.3179	27.9
4	Justin Smoak	0.2263	0.2696	27.4
5	Chris Taylor	0.2422	0.2879	25.8
6	Charlie Blackmon	0.2949	0.3307	25.7
7	Zack Cozart	0.2459	0.2968	25.6
8	Jonathan Schoop	0.2556	0.2926	24.7
9	Yuli Gurriel	0.2551	0.2987	24.3
10	Joe Mauer	0.2651	0.3048	23.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.2883	0.3307	32.3
2	Justin Smoak	0.2244	0.2696	30.2
3	Marwin Gonzalez	0.2513	0.3033	27.9
4	Tim Beckham	0.2313	0.2777	27.9
5	Josh Reddick	0.2669	0.3145	26.8
6	Zack Cozart	0.2466	0.2968	26.5
7	Kyle Schwarber	0.2643	0.2109	24.9
8	Justin Turner	0.2779	0.3217	24.9
9	Maikel Franco	0.2715	0.2296	24.8
10	Joey Votto	0.2883	0.3202	24.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Maikel Franco	0.2697	0.2296	30.1
2	Ian Kinsler	0.2754	0.2359	29.3
3	Manny Machado	0.2889	0.2587	26.5
4	Hanley Ramirez	0.2803	0.2419	25.8
5	Carlos Beltrán	0.2712	0.2313	24.6
6	Francisco Lindor	0.2980	0.2734	23.8
7	Mike Napoli	0.2335	0.1929	23.7
8	Alex Gordon	0.2424	0.2080	23.1
9	Tyler Saladino	0.2493	0.1779	22.4
10	Brad Miller	0.2479	0.2012	22.4

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Justin Turner	0.4151	0.3528 (30.7)	0.3448 (37.0)	0.3427 (29.4)
Anthony Rendon	0.4033	0.3434 (32.8)	0.3534 (28.9)	0.3430 (25.5)
Miguel Cabrera	0.3289	0.3873 (33.9)	0.3934 (35.2)	0.3791 (36.2)
Avisaíl García	0.3797	0.3091 (36.4)	0.3206 (32.0)	0.3116 (28.0)
Zack Cozart	0.3846	0.3006 (39.6)	0.2991 (42.3)	0.2977 (34.8)
Tommy Pham	0.4110	0.3279 (41.0)	0.3241 (45.0)	0.3199 (38.6)
José Bautista	0.3076	0.3711 (47.5)	0.3689 (43.5)	0.3686 (54.4)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3756	0.3148 (37.3)	0.3271 (31.5)	0.3173 (27.2)
Aaron Judge	0.4218	0.3016 (77.6)	0.3241 (64.9)	0.3008 (69.7)
Rougned Odor	0.2519	0.3052 (38.4)	0.3141 (41.8)	0.3109 (50.3)
Marwin Gonzalez	0.3770	0.3103 (31.3)	0.2934 (42.0)	0.3014 (29.5)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Engel	0.3289	0.2348	33.6
2	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2983	0.3576	30.9
3	Charlie Blackmon	0.3522	0.3989	29.6
4	Matt Davidson	0.3202	0.2596	29.4
5	Eric Hosmer	0.3361	0.3845	28.6
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.3166	0.3671	28.2
7	Mike Napoli	0.3375	0.2851	28.2
8	Justin Smoak	0.3050	0.3548	28.0
9	Alex Gordon	0.3374	0.2931	27.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.3460	0.3989	36.8
2	Eugenio Suárez	0.3142	0.3671	32.1
3	Manny Machado	0.3545	0.3101	32.0
4	Jose Altuve	0.3649	0.4100	28.5
5	Maikel Franco	0.3242	0.2809	28.2
6	Tyler Flowers	0.3011	0.3784	27.8
7	Jonathan Schoop	0.2964	0.3378	26.5
8	Albert Pujols	0.3257	0.2862	26.5
9	Eric Sogard	0.3021	0.3926	26.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.3488	0.3101	39.3
2	Maikel Franco	0.3219	0.2809	36.9
3	Mike Napoli	0.3347	0.2851	32.9
4	Alex Gordon	0.3327	0.2931	31.3
5	Hanley Ramirez	0.3583	0.3201	31.2
6	Albert Pujols	0.3150	0.2862	29.9
7	Ben Zobrist	0.3571	0.3178	28.5
8	Carlos Beltrán	0.3167	0.2829	26.5
9	Alcides Escobar	0.2944	0.2717	25.7

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
J.D. Martinez	0.6898	0.5169 (75.3)	0.4863 (93.4)	0.5235 (64.2)
Mark Trumbo	0.3971	0.4757 (58.8)	0.4935 (65.7)	0.4912 (77.9)
Miguel Cabrera	0.3987	0.5246 (76.5)	0.5402 (81.5)	0.5205 (83.0)
Aaron Judge	0.6273	0.3921 (146.7)	0.4458 (114.5)	0.4732 (80.7)
Albert Pujols	0.3862	0.4610 (59.5)	0.4725 (63.0)	0.4551 (66.1)
José Bautista	0.3663	0.4871 (95.8)	0.4852 (90.2)	0.4988 (115.0)
José Ramírez	0.5829	0.4095 (99.7)	0.4203 (96.7)	0.4194 (82.9)
Zack Cozart	0.5479	0.3944 (68.3)	0.3901 (73.6)	0.3956 (59.5)
Ryan Zimmerman	0.5725	0.4086 (83.6)	0.4471 (65.0)	0.4011 (78.6)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.4802	0.6009	73.9
2	Cody Bellinger	0.4341	0.5813	70.3
3	Joey Gallo	0.3894	0.5367	68.4
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.5146	0.6315	67.8
5	Chris Taylor	0.3587	0.4961	67.3
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.4319	0.5481	66.1
7	Dansby Swanson	0.4229	0.3238	65.0
8	Justin Smoak	0.4106	0.5286	63.1
9	Alex Gordon	0.4052	0.3151	58.9
10	Adam Engel	0.4341	0.2824	57.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.4595	0.6009	93.4
2	Cody Bellinger	0.4140	0.5813	84.7
3	Chris Taylor	0.3572	0.4961	71.7
4	Justin Smoak	0.4066	0.5286	69.6
5	Paul DeJong	0.3679	0.5324	67.3
6	Scooter Gennett	0.3856	0.5315	66.2
7	Rougned Odor	0.4858	0.3970	66.0
8	Marwin Gonzalez	0.3916	0.5297	64.6
9	Tommy Pham	0.3967	0.5203	58.8
10	Matt Olson	0.3716	0.6508	57.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.4958	0.3970	87.1
2	Carlos González	0.5231	0.4234	72.0
3	Logan Forsythe	0.4417	0.3269	65.8
4	Alex Gordon	0.4004	0.3151	65.1
5	Evan Longoria	0.4850	0.4241	65.0
6	Chris Davis	0.5087	0.4232	63.2
7	Dansby Swanson	0.4031	0.3238	63.0
8	Carlos Beltrán	0.4638	0.3833	58.8
9	Mookie Betts	0.5039	0.4586	57.2
10	Hunter Pence	0.4556	0.3854	56.7

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Aaron Sanchez	167	636 (469.0)	871 (704.4)	831 (664.0)
Shelby Miller	99	568 (469.0)	593 (494.2)	734 (635.0)
Noah Syndergaard	124	696 (572.0)	809 (684.8)	771 (647.0)
Brandon Finnegan	59	616 (557.0)	752 (693.5)	658 (599.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Freeland	1	688	687.0
2	Jordan Montgomery	1	649	648.0
3	Nick Pivetta	1	584	583.0
4	Hisashi Iwakuma	698	128	570.0
5	Antonio Senzatela	1	564	563.0
6	Clayton Richard	302	858	556.0
7	Clay Buchholz	549	40	509.0
8	Chad Bettis	701	200	501.0
9	Jered Weaver	688	191	497.0
10	Matt Wisler	650	153	497.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	758	128	630.0
2	Wei-Yin Chen	711	132	579.0
3	Garrett Richards	665	108	557.0
4	Mike Pelfrey	4	546	541.6
5	Junior Guerra	835	314	520.5
6	Steven Wright	632	114	518.5
7	Félix Hernández	865	368	496.7
8	Matt Shoemaker	809	326	483.0
9	Dinelson Lamet	4	485	480.6
10	Héctor Santiago	782	311	471.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Taylor Jungmann	648	6	642.0
2	Roenis Elías	627	2	625.0
3	Max Povse	644	21	623.0
4	Chris Heston	654	38	616.0
5	Jason Wheeler	634	18	616.0
6	Aaron Blair	629	19	610.0
7	David Price	914	317	597.0
8	Josh Lindblom	647	51	596.0
9	Jorge López	604	10	594.0
10	Matt Wisler	744	153	591.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Kluber	0.2398	0.2807 (40.5)	0.2697 (45.7)	0.2565 (33.8)
Chad Green	0.2016	0.3257 (34.3)	0.2984 (31.8)	0.3068 (33.4)
Chris Tillman	0.4126	0.3142 (38.7)	0.3129 (31.4)	0.2930 (41.2)
Bartolo Colon	0.3776	0.3088 (37.3)	0.2949 (34.8)	0.2904 (39.1)
Brad Peacock	0.2739	0.3209 (31.9)	0.3036 (32.0)	0.3076 (33.1)
Chase Anderson	0.2793	0.3284 (34.3)	0.3094 (33.6)	0.3057 (30.3)
Luis Severino	0.2618	0.3230 (56.7)	0.2954 (49.0)	0.2882 (41.7)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Zimmermann	0.3089	0.3717	36.7
2	Robbie Ray	0.3248	0.2822	35.9
3	José Berríos	0.3452	0.3009	34.3
4	Rick Porcello	0.2980	0.3476	33.9
5	Derek Holland	0.3230	0.3873	33.1
6	Johnny Cueto	0.2818	0.3439	33.0
7	Zack Godley	0.3238	0.2839	32.1
8	Gio González	0.3081	0.2811	31.7
9	James Paxton	0.3060	0.2633	29.8
10	Stephen Strasburg	0.2853	0.2547	29.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	0.3047	0.2902	37.6
2	Matt Moore	0.2791	0.3523	34.9
3	Chris Sale	0.2712	0.2595	34.6
4	Andrew Cashner	0.3230	0.3036	34.1
5	Jimmy Nelson	0.3143	0.2994	32.0
6	Jordan Montgomery	0.3134	0.2945	31.1
7	Tyler Glasnow	0.2887	0.4145	29.5
8	Matt Harvey	0.2798	0.3771	29.4
9	Max Scherzer	0.2558	0.2472	29.3
10	Parker Bridwell	0.3374	0.3086	28.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rick Porcello	0.2752	0.3476	40.3
2	Johnny Cueto	0.2571	0.3439	38.8
3	Jordan Zimmermann	0.2920	0.3717	37.6
4	Matt Harvey	0.2667	0.3771	36.0
5	Ricky Nolasco	0.2839	0.3556	35.3
6	Matt Moore	0.2815	0.3523	34.8
7	Derek Holland	0.3088	0.3873	32.3
8	Travis Wood	0.2804	0.3813	32.3
9	Tyler Glasnow	0.2834	0.4145	31.8
10	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.3049	0.3780	30.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Kluber	0.3411	0.2595 (58.1)	0.2540 (63.1)	0.2650 (45.6)
Charlie Morton	0.2642	0.1953 (38.3)	0.1976 (37.5)	0.1852 (38.0)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.1381	0.1989 (46.9)	0.1921 (41.5)	0.1961 (52.4)
Jimmy Nelson	0.2734	0.1880 (57.2)	0.1851 (60.0)	0.1887 (49.0)
Chris Sale	0.3619	0.2695 (72.9)	0.2515 (89.0)	0.2743 (59.8)
Brad Peacock	0.2949	0.2086 (43.4)	0.2193 (38.1)	0.2061 (39.0)
Ty Blach	0.1055	0.2009 (70.7)	0.1675 (46.9)	0.1414 (36.8)
Craig Kimbrel	0.4961	0.2983 (48.5)	0.3240 (42.2)	0.3448 (34.0)
Chad Green	0.4071	0.2258 (44.2)	0.2165 (46.8)	0.2077 (46.0)
Luis Severino	0.2937	0.2117 (58.9)	0.2166 (55.9)	0.2204 (43.8)
Zach Davies	0.1518	0.1997 (44.6)	0.1972 (41.9)	0.2003 (53.8)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.1984	0.1222	58.4
2	Corey Knebel	0.2338	0.4078	51.7
3	Robbie Ray	0.2447	0.3278	50.8
4	Kyle Freeland	0.2166	0.1555	46.7
5	Cole Hamels	0.2326	0.1710	42.0
6	Tommy Kahnle	0.2143	0.3750	39.4
7	Robert Gsellman	0.2130	0.1494	38.6
8	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1916	0.1445	38.4
9	Max Scherzer	0.2877	0.3436	38.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Greinke	0.2040	0.2684	46.9
2	Robbie Ray	0.2616	0.3278	40.2
3	Zack Godley	0.1942	0.2632	39.6
4	Jacob deGrom	0.2356	0.2890	39.4
5	Luis Castillo	0.1587	0.2730	38.9
6	Corey Knebel	0.2789	0.4078	38.0
7	Jose Quintana	0.2103	0.2620	36.3
8	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2043	0.2580	36.0
9	Trevor Bauer	0.2082	0.2617	35.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.1773	0.1222	51.0
2	Cole Hamels	0.2138	0.1710	36.9
3	Matt Moore	0.2128	0.1873	33.9
4	Blake Snell	0.2611	0.2176	33.3
5	Anthony Swarzak	0.1744	0.3003	32.9
6	Jharel Cotton	0.2255	0.1855	32.5
7	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1726	0.1445	32.4
8	Travis Wood	0.2061	0.1491	32.4
9	Michael Fulmer	0.1991	0.1686	32.3

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Derek Holland	0.1198	0.0752 (23.1)	0.0798 (20.9)	0.0761 (23.5)
Jeff Samardzija	0.0378	0.0625 (27.4)	0.0604 (24.8)	0.0555 (20.2)
Wade Miley	0.1277	0.0753 (32.6)	0.0760 (32.8)	0.0751 (33.8)
Adam Ottavino	0.1605	0.0741 (19.1)	0.0821 (17.4)	0.0870 (16.4)
Jimmy Nelson	0.0659	0.0926 (25.0)	0.0910 (23.1)	0.0844 (17.9)
Dellin Betances	0.1686	0.0912 (18.2)	0.0957 (17.3)	0.0965 (17.2)
Edinson Volquez	0.1335	0.0859 (15.9)	0.0869 (15.9)	0.0887 (15.3)
Chad Kuhl	0.1059	0.0747 (16.0)	0.0681 (21.2)	0.0631 (24.9)
Alex Cobb	0.0593	0.0731 (15.9)	0.0727 (14.9)	0.0785 (18.8)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Severino	0.0816	0.0651	18.9
2	José Leclerc	0.0979	0.2000	18.9
3	Corey Kluber	0.0629	0.0463	18.8
4	Clayton Richard	0.0828	0.0688	18.6
5	Ty Blach	0.0794	0.0621	17.3
6	Iván Nova	0.0597	0.0459	16.9
7	Matt Harvey	0.0629	0.1090	16.6
8	José Berríos	0.0971	0.0779	16.5
9	Nick Martinez	0.0852	0.0586	16.4
10	Robert Stephenson	0.0883	0.1384	16.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1069	0.0610	25.9
2	Matt Harvey	0.0585	0.1090	18.9
3	Tommy Kahnle	0.1296	0.0664	17.9
4	Luis Severino	0.0800	0.0651	16.8
5	Mike Pelfrey	0.0762	0.1136	16.8
6	José Torres	0.1081	0.0563	16.6
7	Corey Kluber	0.0608	0.0463	16.4
8	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1034	0.0781	16.3
9	Tyler Chatwood	0.0914	0.1220	15.1
10	Dylan Bundy	0.0879	0.0731	15.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1161	0.0610	30.2
2	Tommy Kahnle	0.1402	0.0664	20.5
3	Mike Pelfrey	0.0733	0.1136	18.6
4	José Alvarado	0.2031	0.0732	16.7
5	Jerad Eickhoff	0.0575	0.0920	16.4
6	Mike Fiers	0.0622	0.0924	16.1
7	José Torres	0.1068	0.0563	16.1
8	Julio Teheran	0.0635	0.0887	15.4
9	Craig Kimbrel	0.1078	0.0551	14.9
10	Jake Odorizzi	0.0704	0.1010	14.8

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
John Lackey	0.0164	0.0072 (6.2)	0.0076 (5.7)	0.0081 (6.5)
Francis Martes	0.0321	0.0095 (5.4)	0.0083 (5.7)	0.0115 (5.3)
Mike Fiers	0.0194	0.0089 (6.5)	0.0087 (6.5)	0.0091 (7.3)
José Berríos	0.0211	0.0121 (5.0)	0.0106 (5.9)	0.0115 (6.2)
Tyler Lyons	0.0318	0.0080 (5.1)	0.0071 (5.2)	0.0078 (5.4)
Max Scherzer	0.0141	0.0064 (5.4)	0.0071 (4.7)	0.0070 (6.0)
Gerrit Cole	0.0047	0.0119 (6.8)	0.0106 (5.8)	0.0117 (5.5)
Lance McCullers Jr.	0.0215	0.0061 (7.5)	0.0083 (6.2)	0.0076 (7.4)
Dellin Betances	0.0421	0.0070 (9.0)	0.0083 (8.6)	0.0064 (9.5)
Jhoulys Chacín	0.0183	0.0075 (7.7)	0.0078 (7.3)	0.0072 (8.9)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Martinez	0.0165	0.0042	6.3
2	Ty Blach	0.0093	0.0014	6.0
3	Jaime García	0.0091	0.0015	5.7
4	Jordan Montgomery	0.0095	0.0015	5.7
5	Drew Storen	0.0168	0.0407	5.7
6	Chris Sale	0.0151	0.0094	5.5
7	Dan Straily	0.0125	0.0065	5.2
8	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0123	0.0037	5.1
9	Brad Hand	0.0056	0.0225	5.0
10	Aaron Nola	0.0092	0.0029	4.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Storen	0.0119	0.0407	6.8
2	José Ureña	0.0103	0.0193	5.8
3	Zack Greinke	0.0059	0.0000	5.5
4	Jaime García	0.0087	0.0015	5.5
5	Alec Asher	0.0074	0.0264	4.8
6	J.A. Happ	0.0067	0.0000	4.8
7	Clayton Kershaw	0.0061	0.0000	4.8
8	Patrick Corbin	0.0084	0.0036	4.7
9	Ryan Tepera	0.0095	0.0251	4.7
10	Aaron Nola	0.0086	0.0029	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Montgomery	0.0124	0.0015	6.7
2	Jose Quintana	0.0050	0.0127	6.5
3	Brad Hand	0.0029	0.0225	6.3
4	Chris Sale	0.0170	0.0094	6.0
5	Sean Manaea	0.0064	0.0145	5.9
6	Ty Blach	0.0105	0.0014	5.9
7	Daniel Gossett	0.0146	0.0000	5.8
8	Carlos Carrasco	0.0060	0.0125	5.7
9	José Ureña	0.0122	0.0193	5.6
10	Cole Hamels	0.0097	0.0179	5.4

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
John Lackey	0.0696	0.0382 (16.9)	0.0425 (14.0)	0.0395 (17.5)
Andrew Cashner	0.0275	0.0387 (13.7)	0.0439 (17.1)	0.0433 (15.5)
Amir Garrett	0.1065	0.0478 (16.2)	0.0447 (17.3)	0.0472 (17.0)
Gerrit Cole	0.0522	0.0243 (16.7)	0.0312 (11.0)	0.0287 (14.6)
Kyle Freeland	0.0333	0.0478 (15.6)	0.0443 (13.0)	0.0491 (15.2)
Brad Peacock	0.0308	0.0471 (13.4)	0.0510 (15.4)	0.0511 (14.5)
Andrew Heaney	0.1846	0.0402 (13.8)	0.0427 (13.5)	0.0342 (14.6)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0740	0.0369 (18.7)	0.0435 (14.6)	0.0410 (17.3)
Masahiro Tanaka	0.0686	0.0426 (13.4)	0.0442 (12.4)	0.0435 (14.2)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Taijuan Walker	0.0525	0.0363	16.7
2	Junior Guerra	0.0352	0.0900	14.6
3	Trevor Williams	0.0442	0.0302	14.3
4	Stephen Strasburg	0.0406	0.0293	13.7
5	Bronson Arroyo	0.0393	0.0898	13.6
6	Derek Holland	0.0410	0.0706	13.4
7	Luis Perdomo	0.0427	0.0324	13.3
8	Jameson Taillon	0.0411	0.0267	13.3
9	Matthew Boyd	0.0546	0.0410	13.2
10	Mike Pelfrey	0.0310	0.0633	13.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	0.0422	0.0318	15.0
2	Aríel Miranda	0.0493	0.0782	14.2
3	Michael Fulmer	0.0381	0.0253	14.0
4	Chase Anderson	0.0515	0.0361	13.3
5	Stephen Strasburg	0.0402	0.0293	13.2
6	Danny Duffy	0.0430	0.0300	12.8
7	Junior Guerra	0.0438	0.0900	12.0
8	Mike Pelfrey	0.0339	0.0633	11.7
9	Shawn Kelley	0.0414	0.1429	11.3
10	Kirby Yates	0.0418	0.0984	11.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.0412	0.0782	20.9
2	Jake Odorizzi	0.0396	0.0725	16.1
3	Rick Porcello	0.0353	0.0585	15.0
4	Mike Fiers	0.0436	0.0711	14.3
5	Michael Fulmer	0.0400	0.0253	14.1
6	Jharel Cotton	0.0387	0.0693	13.8
7	Taijuan Walker	0.0501	0.0363	13.7
8	Matt Harvey	0.0297	0.0675	13.6
9	Tim Adleman	0.0488	0.0792	12.9
10	Ian Kennedy	0.0485	0.0742	12.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
José Ureña	0.2485	0.3036 (40.5)	0.3003 (36.8)	0.2837 (30.1)
Jake Odorizzi	0.2266	0.2784 (31.8)	0.2844 (34.4)	0.2809 (36.7)
Trevor Bauer	0.3369	0.2911 (33.7)	0.2948 (32.2)	0.2908 (29.7)
Jameson Taillon	0.3516	0.2936 (33.5)	0.3087 (25.7)	0.2914 (31.5)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.2456	0.2860 (28.7)	0.2928 (32.2)	0.2867 (33.1)
Rafael Montero	0.3665	0.3028 (34.5)	0.2973 (38.5)	0.2870 (40.1)
Ervin Santana	0.2446	0.2926 (42.3)	0.3016 (48.4)	0.2970 (50.9)
Kevin Gausman	0.3365	0.2998 (29.2)	0.2960 (33.8)	0.2948 (28.7)
Lance Lynn	0.2441	0.3045 (47.6)	0.2988 (41.7)	0.2911 (41.5)
Gio González	0.2575	0.3177 (50.5)	0.3043 (37.9)	0.2983 (39.1)
Clayton Richard	0.3506	0.3119 (32.5)	0.3085 (37.0)	0.2965 (41.0)
Cole Hamels	0.2506	0.2971 (29.1)	0.2992 (29.3)	0.2934 (30.2)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	0.3296	0.2672	42.1
2	Marco Estrada	0.2454	0.2947	39.0
3	Andrew Cashner	0.3104	0.2660	31.9
4	Jimmy Nelson	0.2970	0.3399	30.6
5	Josh Tomlin	0.2764	0.3287	30.1
6	Mike Pelfrey	0.3288	0.2757	29.5
7	Jason Hammel	0.2808	0.3177	28.9
8	Blake Snell	0.3267	0.2768	27.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2889	0.2453	33.3
2	Aríel Miranda	0.2853	0.2362	32.6
3	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2935	0.3542	29.7
4	Chris Archer	0.2916	0.3249	29.1
5	Sonny Gray	0.3103	0.2691	27.4
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.3030	0.2557	27.0
7	Jordan Zimmermann	0.2948	0.3302	25.9
8	Matt Moore	0.2882	0.3198	25.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.2873	0.2362	39.0
2	Robbie Ray	0.3144	0.2672	35.7
3	Marco Estrada	0.2468	0.2947	33.4
4	Jimmy Nelson	0.2888	0.3399	32.5
5	Max Scherzer	0.2784	0.2453	30.9
6	Andrew Cashner	0.3024	0.2660	30.1
7	Vance Worley	0.2828	0.3782	29.6
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2906	0.3542	27.5

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Aníbal Sánchez	0.2759	0.2254 (25.0)	0.2935 (28.3)	0.2906 (26.1)
Charlie Morton	0.1830	0.2265 (26.0)	0.3056 (28.5)	0.2934 (25.6)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.1591	0.1988 (26.6)	0.2928 (39.8)	0.2867 (40.7)
Rafael Montero	0.2955	0.2183 (43.2)	0.2973 (41.0)	0.2870 (42.6)
Ervin Santana	0.1893	0.2183 (24.0)	0.3016 (31.0)	0.2970 (33.4)
Jimmy Nelson	0.2763	0.2283 (35.9)	0.3079 (32.7)	0.2888 (41.2)
Kevin Gausman	0.2594	0.2276 (27.1)	0.2960 (32.5)	0.2948 (27.4)
Lance Lynn	0.1890	0.2273 (28.7)	0.2988 (25.9)	0.2911 (25.7)
Jason Hammel	0.2535	0.2032 (41.5)	0.2939 (28.9)	0.2847 (30.4)
Blake Wood	0.2961	0.2254 (23.9)	0.2964 (25.3)	0.2897 (25.1)
Cole Hamels	0.1803	0.2316 (30.6)	0.2992 (26.1)	0.2934 (27.0)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gio González	0.2431	0.1992	35.1
2	Mike Pelfrey	0.2648	0.2081	30.2
3	Martín Pérez	0.2241	0.2599	30.2
4	Blake Snell	0.2541	0.1977	30.1
5	Alex Wood	0.2475	0.1980	29.6
6	Drew Pomeranz	0.2110	0.2468	27.5
7	Casey Lawrence	0.2211	0.3200	26.4
8	Wade Miley	0.2313	0.2629	24.0
9	Dinelson Lamet	0.2211	0.1716	23.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2889	0.1698	33.3
2	Aríel Miranda	0.2853	0.1674	28.1
3	Matt Cain	0.2888	0.2618	28.0
4	Casey Lawrence	0.2969	0.3200	26.3
5	Wade Miley	0.3033	0.2629	26.2
6	Tyler Chatwood	0.3150	0.1976	25.9
7	Chris Archer	0.2916	0.2446	25.0
8	José Ureña	0.3003	0.1893	25.0
9	Jake Odorizzi	0.2844	0.1667	25.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.2873	0.1674	34.5
2	Max Scherzer	0.2784	0.1698	30.9
3	Martín Pérez	0.2927	0.2599	29.4
4	Clayton Richard	0.2965	0.2597	27.7
5	Jake Odorizzi	0.2809	0.1667	27.3
6	Jacob deGrom	0.2845	0.2485	27.3
7	Ian Kennedy	0.2857	0.1769	26.1
8	Dinelson Lamet	0.2926	0.1716	25.2
9	Jon Lester	0.2715	0.2353	25.0

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrew Cashner	0.0472	0.0735 (20.7)	0.0000 (15.4)	0.0000 (15.3)
Homer Bailey	0.1062	0.0613 (17.5)	0.0000 (15.6)	0.0000 (15.6)
Rick Porcello	0.0882	0.0598 (22.4)	0.0000 (17.0)	0.0000 (17.1)
Charlie Morton	0.1034	0.0684 (19.7)	0.0000 (21.3)	0.0000 (21.3)
Bartolo Colon	0.1010	0.0637 (22.1)	0.0000 (20.8)	0.0000 (20.8)
Wily Peralta	0.1437	0.0721 (18.4)	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0000 (20.1)
Michael Feliz	0.1441	0.0641 (16.7)	0.0000 (16.4)	0.0000 (16.4)
Ervin Santana	0.0469	0.0699 (22.6)	0.0000 (19.1)	0.0000 (19.1)
Lance Lynn	0.0413	0.0682 (23.3)	0.0000 (21.4)	0.0000 (21.4)
Marco Estrada	0.0932	0.0573 (26.3)	0.0000 (19.5)	0.0000 (19.5)
Tim Adleman	0.1009	0.0625 (18.7)	0.0000 (16.9)	0.0000 (16.9)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0944	0.0646 (17.3)	0.0000 (16.5)	0.0000 (16.5)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Moore	0.0545	0.0813	18.7
2	José Ureña	0.0714	0.0493	18.3
3	Robbie Ray	0.0740	0.0517	16.9
4	Clayton Richard	0.0550	0.0779	16.9
5	Jordan Montgomery	0.0690	0.0463	16.8
6	Chris Rusin	0.0777	0.0336	16.1
7	Luis Severino	0.0805	0.0632	16.0
8	Bronson Arroyo	0.0643	0.1159	15.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0949	20.4
2	Jaime García	0.0000	0.0933	16.4
3	Gregory Infante	0.0690	0.0662	16.3
4	Chad Kuhl	0.0000	0.0926	16.0
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0889	15.9
6	Jacob deGrom	0.0000	0.0501	15.6
7	Michael Fulmer	0.0000	0.0459	15.6
8	Jameson Taillon	0.0000	0.0948	15.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0949	20.4
2	Nick Goody	0.0690	0.0588	17.5
3	Jaime García	0.0000	0.0933	16.4
4	Chad Kuhl	0.0000	0.0926	16.0
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0889	15.9
6	Jacob deGrom	0.0000	0.0501	15.6
7	Michael Fulmer	0.0000	0.0459	15.6
8	Jameson Taillon	0.0000	0.0948	15.1

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jeff Samardzija	0.0209	0.0114 (8.8)	0.0000 (12.2)	0.0000 (12.2)
Oliver Drake	0.0316	0.0100 (5.7)	0.0000 (6.3)	0.0000 (6.3)
Sean Newcomb	0.0182	0.0065 (5.8)	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.3)
Kelvin Herrera	0.0347	0.0054 (7.8)	0.0000 (7.3)	0.0000 (7.3)
Luis Perdomo	0.0000	0.0079 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.6)
Josh Ravin	0.0789	0.0118 (4.8)	0.0000 (5.1)	0.0000 (5.1)
Danny Duffy	0.0166	0.0071 (6.4)	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0000 (6.2)
Gio González	0.0000	0.0107 (8.0)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.4)
Jeff Hoffman	0.0201	0.0049 (7.1)	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0000 (6.0)
Tyler Chatwood	0.0220	0.0074 (9.8)	0.0000 (9.8)	0.0000 (9.8)
Pedro Báez	0.0227	0.0056 (5.1)	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.5)
Matt Moore	0.0166	0.0042 (10.6)	0.0000 (8.0)	0.0000 (8.0)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.0142	0.0019	8.0
2	Rafael Montero	0.0141	0.0000	7.2
3	Yu Darvish	0.0106	0.0021	5.7
4	Jerad Eickhoff	0.0106	0.0000	5.6
5	Taijuan Walker	0.0048	0.0111	4.9
6	Hunter Strickland	0.0060	0.0229	4.8
7	Jon Gray	0.0073	0.0163	4.6
8	Parker Bridwell	0.0130	0.0027	4.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0148	5.9
2	Lance Lynn	0.0000	0.0138	5.7
3	Clayton Richard	0.0000	0.0130	5.6
4	Luis Severino	0.0000	0.0000	5.1
5	Corey Kluber	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
6	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0125	5.0
7	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	0.0000	4.9
8	Matthew Boyd	0.0000	0.0143	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0148	5.9
2	Lance Lynn	0.0000	0.0138	5.7
3	Clayton Richard	0.0000	0.0130	5.6
4	Luis Severino	0.0000	0.0000	5.1
5	Corey Kluber	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
6	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0125	5.0
7	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	0.0000	4.9
8	Matthew Boyd	0.0000	0.0143	4.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Tillman	0.1937	0.1105 (33.0)	0.1289 (25.1)	0.1173 (31.2)
Bartolo Colon	0.1728	0.1095 (35.2)	0.1191 (29.4)	0.1162 (32.7)
Brad Peacock	0.0842	0.1223 (25.7)	0.1244 (26.5)	0.1272 (26.8)
Gio González	0.0834	0.1151 (33.6)	0.1066 (26.1)	0.1055 (23.4)
Chase Anderson	0.0826	0.1211 (27.0)	0.1289 (31.1)	0.1248 (27.5)
Luis Severino	0.0932	0.1224 (29.9)	0.1156 (24.1)	0.1155 (22.3)
Jharel Cotton	0.1608	0.1073 (25.2)	0.1166 (20.3)	0.1095 (25.5)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	0.1245	0.0857	31.7
2	José Ureña	0.1352	0.1064	27.4
3	Corey Kluber	0.0983	0.0721	27.3
4	José Berríos	0.1505	0.1153	27.2
5	Robert Gsellman	0.0976	0.1548	26.5
6	Jon Lester	0.0898	0.1324	25.7
7	Zack Godley	0.1289	0.0973	25.5
8	Archie Bradley	0.1269	0.0483	25.4
9	Stephen Strasburg	0.1047	0.0785	24.6
10	Tanner Roark	0.0953	0.1353	24.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	0.1258	0.0984	30.9
2	Corey Kluber	0.1007	0.0721	28.8
3	Andrew Cashner	0.1371	0.1065	27.4
4	Matt Moore	0.1043	0.1468	27.0
5	Tyler Glasnow	0.1075	0.2000	25.7
6	Jimmy Nelson	0.1296	0.1030	25.4
7	Parker Bridwell	0.1462	0.1057	24.1
8	Kyle Freeland	0.1367	0.1134	21.8
9	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1268	0.1682	21.4
10	Chris Sale	0.1024	0.0858	21.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rick Porcello	0.0992	0.1412	31.8
2	Tyler Glasnow	0.0954	0.2000	30.0
3	Travis Wood	0.1031	0.1766	29.4
4	Matt Moore	0.1046	0.1468	28.5
5	Jon Lester	0.0895	0.1324	28.0
6	Parker Bridwell	0.1540	0.1057	26.8
7	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1145	0.1557	24.9
8	Ian Kennedy	0.1090	0.1511	23.6
9	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1264	0.1682	23.1
10	Alex Wood	0.1128	0.0814	23.1

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrew Cashner	0.0895	0.1129 (22.6)	0.1277 (32.8)	0.1187 (24.1)
Marcus Stroman	0.0827	0.1082 (28.5)	0.0984 (20.1)	0.1032 (21.2)
Chris Tillman	0.1824	0.1076 (29.4)	0.1201 (23.9)	0.1091 (30.3)
Bartolo Colon	0.1590	0.1023 (31.1)	0.1101 (26.2)	0.1088 (29.3)
Matt Harvey	0.1601	0.0990 (22.6)	0.0996 (22.5)	0.1002 (23.7)
Chase Anderson	0.0756	0.1116 (25.4)	0.1206 (30.4)	0.1167 (26.2)
Luis Severino	0.0817	0.1148 (32.7)	0.1066 (26.0)	0.1079 (24.4)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1667	0.1187 (25.5)	0.1176 (26.4)	0.1185 (28.0)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gio González	0.1080	0.0798	30.4
2	Robbie Ray	0.1132	0.0782	29.0
3	José Ureña	0.1301	0.0994	28.5
4	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1040	0.1515	27.7
5	José Berríos	0.1383	0.1023	27.5
6	Corey Kluber	0.0904	0.0656	26.0
7	Zack Godley	0.1232	0.0925	24.7
8	Stephen Strasburg	0.0963	0.0699	24.6
9	Archie Bradley	0.1186	0.0483	22.9
10	Dylan Covey	0.1130	0.1942	22.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	0.1170	0.0891	31.3
2	Corey Kluber	0.0923	0.0656	27.2
3	Jimmy Nelson	0.1202	0.0934	25.6
4	Matt Moore	0.0959	0.1354	24.6
5	Brad Peacock	0.1164	0.0806	24.1
6	Parker Bridwell	0.1372	0.0996	22.7
7	Kyle Freeland	0.1273	0.1032	22.4
8	Gio González	0.0973	0.0798	21.4
9	Nick Pivetta	0.1081	0.1524	21.0
10	Tyler Glasnow	0.0985	0.1738	20.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1065	0.1515	28.5
2	Travis Wood	0.0954	0.1628	27.2
3	Matt Moore	0.0972	0.1354	26.2
4	Parker Bridwell	0.1445	0.0996	24.6
5	Tyler Glasnow	0.0899	0.1738	24.1
6	Brad Peacock	0.1184	0.0806	23.4
7	Kyle Freeland	0.1306	0.1032	22.3
8	Ian Kennedy	0.1022	0.1405	21.8
9	Alex Wood	0.1053	0.0749	21.7
10	Ervin Santana	0.1089	0.0891	21.4

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
José Ureña	0.4118	0.1143 (177.6)	0.0776 (258.3)	0.2424 (132.4)
Trevor Bauer	0.5313	0.2439 (176.2)	0.3629 (143.0)	0.3125 (174.0)
Charlie Morton	0.5600	0.2174 (179.2)	0.3649 (134.3)	0.3333 (148.2)
Alex Wood	0.5926	0.2143 (200.3)	0.1610 (278.9)	0.2917 (193.1)
Jason Vargas	0.5625	0.1818 (248.4)	0.3197 (200.7)	0.3077 (202.9)
Ervin Santana	0.4848	0.2222 (181.8)	0.3368 (147.5)	0.3462 (131.5)
JC Ramírez	0.4074	0.0667 (178.9)	0.0839 (214.6)	0.0500 (230.0)
Zach Davies	0.5152	0.2500 (174.0)	0.3174 (180.1)	0.3333 (159.6)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Pomeranz	0.1739	0.5313	225.8
2	José Berríos	0.1429	0.5385	211.6
3	Corey Kluber	0.3158	0.6207	196.4
4	Robbie Ray	0.1905	0.5357	194.9
5	Luis Severino	0.1563	0.4516	190.4
6	Patrick Corbin	0.1463	0.4242	186.5
7	Carlos Carrasco	0.2778	0.5625	185.6
8	Parker Bridwell	0.0769	0.4762	170.8
9	CC Sabathia	0.2051	0.5185	162.7
10	Clayton Kershaw	0.3750	0.6667	162.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chase Anderson	0.1373	0.4800	207.9
2	Brad Peacock	0.0914	0.3824	171.2
3	Jakob Junis	0.0852	0.4500	163.5
4	Nick Pivetta	0.0639	0.3077	155.6
5	Zack Godley	0.0831	0.3077	155.0
6	Mike Clevinger	0.1636	0.4444	152.4
7	Corey Kluber	0.4531	0.6207	147.8
8	José Berríos	0.3236	0.5385	146.3
9	Zack Greinke	0.3731	0.5313	144.8
10	Robbie Ray	0.3684	0.5357	126.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Moore	0.4091	0.1875	164.4
2	Zack Godley	0.0606	0.3077	163.4
3	Parker Bridwell	0.1667	0.4762	159.0
4	Patrick Corbin	0.2692	0.4242	139.2
5	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2400	0.4063	137.5
6	Rick Porcello	0.5000	0.3333	135.5
7	Ian Kennedy	0.3793	0.1667	130.4
8	Chris Tillman	0.3448	0.0417	128.6
9	Luis Severino	0.3030	0.4516	126.9
10	CC Sabathia	0.3333	0.5185	123.8

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rick Porcello	0.5152	0.2250 (205.2)	0.3209 (193.0)	0.3000 (207.1)
Jeff Samardzija	0.4688	0.2632 (124.8)	0.3595 (112.6)	0.3103 (150.1)
Jimmy Nelson	0.2069	0.3250 (128.4)	0.4085 (129.5)	0.3793 (111.8)
JC Ramírez	0.3704	0.0889 (138.4)	0.0882 (189.6)	0.0500 (210.3)
Michael Fulmer	0.4800	0.1795 (163.8)	0.3321 (116.0)	0.2963 (136.9)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Richard	0.1143	0.4688	254.1
2	Jharel Cotton	0.1000	0.4167	146.3
3	Corey Kluber	0.2632	0.1379	142.6
4	Ty Blach	0.0909	0.3529	141.0
5	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1892	0.4483	139.0
6	Masahiro Tanaka	0.1579	0.4000	138.2
7	Derek Holland	0.2059	0.4828	136.8
8	Daniel Gossett	0.2227	0.6111	136.7
9	Matt Moore	0.2381	0.4688	136.2
10	Danny Duffy	0.1395	0.4167	133.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.0777	0.3846	193.1
2	Ty Blach	0.1225	0.3529	175.9
3	Zack Godley	0.0960	0.3462	171.7
4	Tim Adleman	0.0813	0.3667	164.1
5	Ben Lively	0.0833	0.4667	151.4
6	Rafael Montero	0.0848	0.3235	144.3
7	Joe Biagini	0.0472	0.2955	140.6
8	Matt Moore	0.3343	0.4688	124.9
9	Parker Bridwell	0.4141	0.1429	121.8
10	Wade Miley	0.3413	0.4688	110.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Richard	0.1481	0.4688	291.2
2	Zack Godley	0.0606	0.3462	190.8
3	Joe Biagini	0.0500	0.2955	136.6
4	Andrew Triggs	0.0476	0.5000	133.4
5	Miguel González	0.3200	0.4815	123.3
6	Madison Bumgarner	0.2813	0.5294	120.1
7	Yu Darvish	0.2500	0.3871	119.4
8	Patrick Corbin	0.2692	0.3939	118.6
9	Daniel Gossett	0.3462	0.6111	117.5
10	Derek Holland	0.3158	0.4828	116.3

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brad Brach	0.2687	0.0400 (69.5)	0.0000 (73.6)	0.0317 (63.4)
Sean Doolittle	0.4528	0.1563 (63.1)	0.1661 (56.3)	0.0909 (70.1)
Héctor Neris	0.3514	0.0400 (107.3)	0.1692 (57.9)	0.0286 (101.3)
Brad Hand	0.2917	0.0208 (91.7)	0.0563 (72.9)	0.0132 (84.7)
Felipe Vázquez	0.2877	0.0385 (81.9)	0.0219 (79.4)	0.0299 (75.5)
Bud Norris	0.3167	0.0263 (83.9)	0.0000 (84.3)	0.0000 (82.9)
Corey Knebel	0.5132	0.0303 (156.6)	0.0523 (142.0)	0.0370 (145.2)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Colomé	0.3158	0.7231	121.2
2	Raisel Iglesias	0.0882	0.4444	116.3
3	Ken Giles	0.1569	0.5397	100.5
4	Kelvin Herrera	0.0741	0.4063	92.2
5	Edwin Díaz	0.2121	0.5152	90.9
6	Fernando Rodney	0.3061	0.6393	82.5
7	Brandon Kintzler	0.1622	0.4028	76.2
8	Roberto Osuna	0.3148	0.5909	74.7
9	Blake Treinen	0.0208	0.2222	73.2
10	Wade Davis	0.2750	0.5424	70.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tony Watson	0.5564	0.1408	121.2
2	Greg Holland	0.2673	0.6721	94.9
3	Alex Colomé	0.4213	0.7231	84.5
4	Cam Bedrosian	0.5061	0.1250	72.6
5	Ryan Madson	0.3600	0.0333	71.8
6	David Robertson	0.4992	0.2295	71.5
7	Sam Dyson	0.5164	0.2545	68.4
8	Andrew Miller	0.3016	0.0351	65.3
9	Ryan Pressly	0.2387	0.0000	60.4
10	Seunghwan Oh	0.5475	0.3226	59.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Raisel Iglesias	0.0000	0.4444	134.1
2	Jeremy Jeffress	0.4286	0.0000	128.3
3	David Robertson	0.6379	0.2295	109.5
4	Luke Gregerson	0.3729	0.0154	95.7
5	Ryan Madson	0.4348	0.0333	89.3
6	Héctor Rondón	0.3607	0.0000	87.0
7	Santiago Casilla	0.5660	0.2540	82.5
8	Ken Giles	0.2143	0.5397	78.8
9	Edwin Díaz	0.2368	0.5152	75.6
10	Kelvin Herrera	0.1127	0.4063	74.4

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrew Miller	0.4737	0.2115 (73.0)	0.1411 (80.9)	0.0000 (101.4)
Anthony Swarzak	0.3857	0.0833 (102.9)	0.1428 (73.3)	0.0000 (99.2)
Ryan Madson	0.4167	0.1489 (66.8)	0.0952 (70.2)	0.0000 (78.5)
Tommy Hunter	0.4262	0.1176 (78.8)	0.1460 (63.7)	0.0000 (83.9)
Jacob Barnes	0.3425	0.0870 (89.0)	0.1499 (58.3)	0.0000 (86.4)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Devenski	0.1053	0.4032	105.9
2	Archie Bradley	0.0750	0.3968	104.1
3	José Ramirez	0.1111	0.3971	83.4
4	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0625	0.2500	79.5
5	Taylor Rogers	0.1389	0.4348	78.9
6	JC Ramírez	0.1556	0.0000	73.4
7	Ryan Tepera	0.0417	0.2329	72.9
8	Joe Biagini	0.1316	0.2273	68.7
9	Kirby Yates	0.0625	0.3226	68.7
10	Nick Vincent	0.2093	0.4203	65.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ureña	0.1938	0.0000	141.0
2	JC Ramírez	0.1986	0.0000	123.8
3	Brent Suter	0.2331	0.0000	79.8
4	Peter Moylan	0.0000	0.3038	73.6
5	Brad Peacock	0.1335	0.0000	73.4
6	Mike Minor	0.0291	0.2615	71.1
7	Trevor Williams	0.1090	0.0000	70.6
8	Francisco Liriano	0.0000	0.1579	68.9
9	Ty Blach	0.0913	0.0000	63.8
10	Kirby Yates	0.0487	0.3226	63.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Devenski	0.0000	0.4032	109.0
2	Archie Bradley	0.0000	0.3968	98.2
3	Nick Vincent	0.0000	0.4203	94.9
4	Taylor Rogers	0.0000	0.4348	89.2
5	José Ramirez	0.0000	0.3971	87.4
6	Joe Biagini	0.0000	0.2273	87.4
7	Bryan Shaw	0.0000	0.3291	84.5
8	Pedro Báez	0.0000	0.3485	81.3
9	David Phelps	0.0000	0.3889	78.7
10	Kyle Barraclough	0.0000	0.3333	78.7

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrew Cashner	3.4020	4.4056 (1028.4)	5.1015 (1480.6)	4.8045 (1092.8)
Chris Tillman	7.8387	4.0784 (1466.6)	4.7206 (1205.2)	4.3114 (1499.7)
Bartolo Colon	6.4825	3.8448 (1413.0)	4.2076 (1212.6)	4.2026 (1380.4)
Matt Harvey	6.7014	3.7143 (1090.4)	3.7530 (1096.8)	3.8298 (1173.2)
Chase Anderson	2.7382	4.2600 (1126.0)	4.7163 (1355.2)	4.6396 (1167.1)
Tyler Glasnow	7.6935	4.0068 (985.0)	3.8646 (1044.7)	3.6049 (1201.4)
Luis Severino	2.9793	4.4118 (1479.6)	4.0902 (1185.8)	4.2039 (1076.1)
Jeremy Guthrie	135.0000	4.7368 (1557.7)	5.2515 (1552.1)	4.4370 (1565.0)
Ubaldo Jiménez	6.8131	4.6616 (1097.9)	4.6469 (1142.2)	4.8100 (1201.0)

Individual Misses for ERA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gio González	4.1530	2.9552	1368.7
2	Robbie Ray	4.4417	2.8889	1336.6
3	José Berríos	5.5519	3.8924	1303.9
4	José Ureña	5.1114	3.8193	1266.5
5	Jordan Zimmermann	3.9041	6.0750	1221.9
6	Marcus Stroman	4.0663	3.0896	1195.9
7	Zack Godley	4.7955	3.3677	1181.9
8	Corey Kluber	3.2927	2.2537	1162.5
9	Stephen Strasburg	3.5607	2.5152	1053.4
10	Travis Wood	3.9857	6.7979	1026.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	4.5410	3.2792	1438.9
2	Jimmy Nelson	4.8010	3.4905	1247.8
3	Corey Kluber	3.4179	2.2537	1218.2
4	Parker Bridwell	5.6173	3.6446	1169.1
5	Matt Moore	3.6675	5.5239	1147.7
6	Brad Peacock	4.5361	3.0000	1059.1
7	Gio González	3.7449	2.9552	986.9
8	Kyle Freeland	5.1078	4.0962	973.7
9	Marcus Stroman	3.7291	3.0896	870.0
10	Chris Sale	3.4952	2.8974	852.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	6.1227	3.6446	1292.9
2	Travis Wood	3.7088	6.7979	1281.6
3	Jordan Zimmermann	4.1442	6.0750	1269.9
4	Matt Moore	3.8160	5.5239	1231.0
5	Brad Peacock	4.7647	3.0000	1045.3
6	Ervin Santana	4.3177	3.2792	1026.6
7	Kyle Freeland	5.4162	4.0962	1011.2
8	Alex Wood	4.0865	2.7177	932.4
9	Adam Conley	4.0165	6.1364	912.2
10	Jason Hammel	4.0280	5.2902	894.5

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Kluber	0.8691	1.1082 (234.6)	1.1492 (249.1)	1.1022 (185.3)
Chris Tillman	1.8925	1.3105 (230.5)	1.4154 (193.9)	1.3593 (234.4)
Bartolo Colon	1.5874	1.2395 (184.8)	1.2794 (173.4)	1.2729 (200.3)
Wade Miley	1.7288	1.3755 (211.5)	1.3855 (220.5)	1.3944 (239.6)
Ervin Santana	1.1262	1.2673 (176.2)	1.3627 (239.2)	1.3817 (225.4)
Zack Godley	1.1419	1.3631 (178.0)	1.3759 (172.0)	1.3929 (160.7)
Matt Harvey	1.6942	1.2381 (169.5)	1.2168 (188.4)	1.2199 (202.2)
Chase Anderson	1.0896	1.3333 (174.4)	1.3676 (181.1)	1.3819 (169.3)
Tyler Glasnow	2.0161	1.3356 (188.4)	1.4048 (174.1)	1.3978 (187.0)
Luis Severino	1.0397	1.3399 (284.2)	1.3128 (245.5)	1.2829 (194.6)
Jeremy Guthrie	15.0000	1.3889 (162.6)	1.4723 (161.8)	1.3566 (163.7)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Berríos	1.5152	1.2288	215.1
2	Robbie Ray	1.4065	1.1543	209.5
3	Derek Holland	1.3425	1.7111	191.4
4	Gio González	1.3418	1.1791	186.5
5	Alex Wood	1.2915	1.0569	182.6
6	Johnny Cueto	1.1216	1.4457	169.3
7	Chad Green	1.3398	0.7391	167.9
8	Jordan Zimmermann	1.2557	1.5500	165.1
9	Travis Wood	1.3000	1.7340	161.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	1.6002	1.1983	217.6
2	Jimmy Nelson	1.4630	1.2490	185.2
3	Matt Moore	1.2671	1.5315	177.0
4	Zack Greinke	1.2488	1.0725	173.6
5	Chris Sale	1.1264	0.9705	167.1
6	Jordan Montgomery	1.4401	1.2296	162.8
7	Rafael Montero	1.4200	1.7479	158.1
8	Max Scherzer	1.0638	0.9020	157.7
9	Andrew Cashner	1.4985	1.3200	154.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	1.6506	1.1983	225.1
2	Johnny Cueto	1.1268	1.4457	203.2
3	Travis Wood	1.3022	1.7340	186.0
4	Derek Holland	1.4098	1.7111	185.3
5	Rick Porcello	1.1826	1.3967	184.8
6	Jordan Zimmermann	1.2907	1.5500	181.1
7	Jerad Eickhoff	1.2098	1.5234	177.6
8	Jon Lester	1.0914	1.3229	172.5
9	Marco Estrada	1.1701	1.3817	166.3