2017 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Adam Eaton	107	622 (515.0)	651 (543.7)	666 (559.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Thames	1	551	550.0
2	Cody Bellinger	1	548	547.0
3	Paul DeJong	1	443	442.0
4	Martín Prado	575	147	428.0
5	Aaron Judge	253	678	425.0
6	Johnny Giavotella	432	10	422.0
7	Jorge Bonifacio	1	422	421.0
8	Billy Burns	424	6	418.0
9	Ian Happ	1	413	412.0
10	Pedro Alvarez	436	34	402.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Travis Jankowski	585	87	497.5
2	Cody Bellinger	51	548	496.9
3	Chris Taylor	91	568	476.9
4	Paul DeJong	1	443	442.0
5	Mark Reynolds	164	593	429.0
6	Yolmer Sánchez	106	534	428.5
7	Ben Gamel	133	550	417.4
8	Tommy Pham	114	530	415.8
9	Jorge Bonifacio	7	422	415.5
10	Ian Happ	1	413	412.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dustin Fowler	582	0	582.0
2	Miguel Andujar	576	8	568.0
3	Jack Reinheimer	572	5	567.0
4	Tim Locastro	562	1	561.0
5	Joey Wendle	571	14	557.0
6	Christian Walker	567	15	552.0
7	Alex Verdugo	570	25	545.0
8	AJ Reed	540	6	534.0
9	Christopher Bostick	560	32	528.0
10	Ryan McMahon	552	24	528.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rougned Odor	0.2753	0.3209 (33.7)	0.3353 (45.7)	0.3373 (48.2)
Marwin Gonzalez	0.3820	0.3062 (35.8)	0.2922 (41.0)	0.3002 (35.9)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3897	0.3184 (44.2)	0.3322 (32.1)	0.3225 (37.5)
Alex Gordon	0.2708	0.3240 (32.2)	0.3198 (32.0)	0.3200 (33.2)
Chris Taylor	0.3613	0.2869 (38.7)	0.2962 (31.2)	0.2943 (31.2)
José Bautista	0.2963	0.3666 (52.5)	0.3646 (53.8)	0.3693 (58.3)
Charlie Blackmon	0.4162	0.3529 (41.3)	0.3417 (46.6)	0.3592 (32.6)
Miguel Cabrera	0.3169	0.3860 (39.9)	0.3941 (46.2)	0.3813 (40.4)
Tommy Pham	0.3966	0.3280 (33.0)	0.3108 (40.1)	0.3182 (35.2)
Zack Cozart	0.3922	0.2981 (44.5)	0.2950 (44.1)	0.2958 (42.8)
Justin Smoak	0.3726	0.3080 (37.1)	0.3096 (33.6)	0.3146 (29.2)
José Ramírez	0.3988	0.3154 (49.7)	0.3288 (38.6)	0.3230 (41.2)
Aaron Judge	0.4344	0.2985 (87.9)	0.3273 (65.7)	0.3260 (65.4)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.3013	0.3880	46.3
2	Avisaíl García	0.3011	0.3781	39.7
3	Adam Engel	0.3267	0.2242	36.5
4	Anthony Rendon	0.3324	0.3971	35.3
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3630	0.4158	32.1
6	Logan Morrison	0.3085	0.3671	31.4
7	Michael Conforto	0.3188	0.3955	31.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Albert Pujols	0.3383	0.2891	37.8
2	Cody Bellinger	0.3084	0.3873	37.6
3	J.D. Martinez	0.3476	0.4345	37.5
4	Manny Machado	0.3710	0.3291	36.0
5	Mark Trumbo	0.3407	0.2950	33.8
6	Maikel Franco	0.3367	0.2938	33.1
7	Scooter Gennett	0.2945	0.3673	31.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2980	0.3880	44.9
2	Avisaíl García	0.3053	0.3781	34.1
3	Albert Pujols	0.3275	0.2891	32.1
4	Maikel Franco	0.3332	0.2938	32.0
5	Mark Trumbo	0.3358	0.2950	31.9
6	Manny Machado	0.3629	0.3291	31.6
7	Cody Bellinger	0.3196	0.3873	30.5

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kris Bryant	0.1925	0.2480 (42.6)	0.2403 (39.0)	0.2708 (54.4)
Eddie Rosario	0.1800	0.2407 (40.8)	0.2212 (30.6)	0.2311 (32.1)
Joey Votto	0.1174	0.1870 (55.2)	0.1898 (58.8)	0.1943 (56.7)
George Springer	0.1765	0.2464 (49.3)	0.2436 (49.0)	0.2746 (63.8)
Justin Turner	0.1031	0.1770 (44.7)	0.1770 (46.0)	0.1735 (40.1)
José Bautista	0.2478	0.1738 (44.9)	0.1878 (33.7)	0.1882 (38.5)
Robbie Grossman	0.1732	0.2413 (34.9)	0.2342 (32.7)	0.2500 (36.6)
Justin Smoak	0.2009	0.2668 (47.4)	0.2775 (55.7)	0.2739 (48.6)
Yonder Alonso	0.2265	0.1446 (38.3)	0.1373 (40.8)	0.1290 (49.0)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Davidson	0.2098	0.3725	68.3
2	Whit Merrifield	0.2120	0.1397	50.9
3	Alex Bregman	0.2219	0.1550	47.2
4	Adam Engel	0.2115	0.3482	43.1
5	Eric Thames	0.2115	0.2958	41.8
6	Hunter Renfroe	0.1973	0.2923	41.4
7	Keon Broxton	0.2853	0.3780	39.0
8	Ian Happ	0.2115	0.3123	38.1
9	Matt Holliday	0.1698	0.2670	37.9
10	Trevor Story	0.2734	0.3441	34.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Austin Hedges	0.1756	0.2926	44.3
2	Evan Longoria	0.2075	0.1610	38.8
3	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2807	0.2355	38.7
4	Rougned Odor	0.1800	0.2488	37.8
5	Tommy Pham	0.2764	0.2208	35.2
6	Trevor Story	0.2713	0.3441	34.4
7	Tyler Flowers	0.3024	0.2216	33.9
8	Anthony Rendon	0.1789	0.1355	32.8
9	Matt Holliday	0.1819	0.2670	31.7
10	Kyle Schwarber	0.2348	0.3086	30.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.2152	0.1099	61.3
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2996	0.2355	46.7
3	Rougned Odor	0.1791	0.2488	43.2
4	Evan Longoria	0.2173	0.1610	40.4
5	Logan Morrison	0.1797	0.2479	38.9
6	Austin Hedges	0.2120	0.2926	32.2
7	Tyler Flowers	0.3006	0.2216	30.5
8	Anthony Rizzo	0.1709	0.1302	30.5
9	Avisaíl García	0.2484	0.1979	30.3
10	Joc Pederson	0.2981	0.2105	29.4

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Logan Morrison	0.1348	0.0846 (26.5)	0.0936 (20.9)	0.0899 (21.3)
Eugenio Suárez	0.1329	0.0710 (35.3)	0.0788 (30.1)	0.0740 (31.2)
Logan Forsythe	0.1572	0.0829 (30.0)	0.0822 (30.1)	0.0785 (30.4)
José Bautista	0.1224	0.1523 (24.7)	0.1529 (25.3)	0.1510 (26.1)
Eric Sogard	0.1505	0.0753 (20.7)	0.0714 (21.7)	0.0648 (22.8)
Matt Carpenter	0.1752	0.1248 (27.6)	0.1325 (22.5)	0.1314 (21.3)
Steven Souza Jr.	0.1361	0.0835 (28.7)	0.0876 (25.9)	0.0860 (25.1)
Yasmani Grandal	0.0830	0.1295 (25.3)	0.1386 (29.9)	0.1404 (32.3)
Martín Maldonado	0.0318	0.1029 (36.3)	0.1015 (35.9)	0.1005 (36.8)
Zack Cozart	0.1223	0.0658 (25.6)	0.0636 (26.5)	0.0609 (26.3)
Todd Frazier	0.1441	0.0804 (33.2)	0.0877 (28.7)	0.0820 (30.3)
Brad Miller	0.1548	0.0830 (26.7)	0.0876 (24.7)	0.0855 (24.3)
Aaron Judge	0.1873	0.0830 (66.6)	0.0946 (58.5)	0.0862 (62.1)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Thames	0.0870	0.1361	23.7
2	Anthony Rendon	0.0936	0.1388	23.7
3	Jake Lamb	0.0941	0.1370	23.4
4	Edwin Encarnación	0.1159	0.1555	22.4
5	Mike Trout	0.1371	0.1854	21.4
6	Mookie Betts	0.0728	0.1081	20.9
7	Yonder Alonso	0.0851	0.1305	20.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Davidson	0.0875	0.0429	22.7
2	Elvis Andrus	0.0795	0.0552	21.2
3	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0485	0.0951	20.7
4	Bryce Harper	0.1735	0.1382	20.6
5	Carlos Santana	0.1557	0.1319	20.2
6	Jake Lamb	0.0996	0.1370	19.6
7	Odúbel Herrera	0.0831	0.0551	19.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.0819	0.0390	29.6
2	Corey Seager	0.0622	0.1093	23.0
3	Bryce Harper	0.1733	0.1382	22.0
4	Eric Thames	0.0868	0.1361	21.9
5	Anthony Rendon	0.0937	0.1388	21.6
6	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0438	0.0951	21.6
7	Matt Davidson	0.0805	0.0429	20.9

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0144	0.0046 (6.5)	0.0050 (6.0)	0.0033 (7.2)
Justin Turner	0.0350	0.0182 (8.8)	0.0160 (9.9)	0.0174 (9.2)
Tyler Flowers	0.0541	0.0202 (12.3)	0.0170 (13.4)	0.0225 (11.4)
Jarrod Dyson	0.0256	0.0078 (6.8)	0.0100 (5.8)	0.0099 (5.9)
Yasiel Puig	0.0035	0.0143 (6.4)	0.0130 (5.9)	0.0148 (6.8)
Eric Young Jr.	0.0560	0.0096 (5.7)	0.0100 (5.6)	0.0083 (5.9)
Josh Harrison	0.0424	0.0099 (17.3)	0.0100 (17.1)	0.0116 (16.3)
Jonathan Lucroy	0.0166	0.0039 (5.9)	0.0050 (5.2)	0.0039 (5.8)
Martín Maldonado	0.0382	0.0143 (11.0)	0.0120 (12.0)	0.0183 (9.1)
Javier Báez	0.0020	0.0158 (7.3)	0.0140 (6.5)	0.0174 (8.2)
Kurt Suzuki	0.0421	0.0140 (8.5)	0.0130 (8.7)	0.0149 (8.2)
Todd Frazier	0.0243	0.0084 (8.9)	0.0090 (8.3)	0.0095 (8.1)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.0110	0.0220 (7.3)	0.0190 (5.6)	0.0264 (10.2)
Joc Pederson	0.0310	0.0118 (6.0)	0.0100 (6.5)	0.0093 (6.8)
Jose Iglesias	0.0020	0.0138 (6.0)	0.0120 (5.3)	0.0150 (6.7)
Carlos Gómez	0.0446	0.0170 (11.5)	0.0160 (11.8)	0.0193 (10.5)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	James McCann	0.0069	0.0230	6.1
2	Guillermo Heredia	0.0116	0.0258	5.8
3	Mitch Haniger	0.0075	0.0220	5.7
4	Joey Gallo	0.0043	0.0150	5.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Freese	0.0160	0.0298	6.5
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.0250	0.0347	6.2
3	Tommy Pham	0.0070	0.0189	5.9
4	Brandon Crawford	0.0100	0.0018	5.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Dietrich	0.0528	0.0388	6.8
2	Tommy Pham	0.0058	0.0189	6.6
3	Brandon Moss	0.0150	0.0000	6.3
4	Leury García	0.0057	0.0245	5.9

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Matt Olson	0.1860	0.0323 (31.5)	0.0424 (29.0)	0.0546 (26.6)
Logan Morrison	0.1038	0.0436 (31.3)	0.0523 (25.3)	0.0417 (32.5)
José Bautista	0.0542	0.0733 (18.6)	0.0773 (22.3)	0.0811 (24.0)
Scooter Gennett	0.0774	0.0311 (19.0)	0.0277 (20.0)	0.0319 (18.6)
Carlos González	0.0392	0.0640 (17.6)	0.0683 (20.6)	0.0747 (23.3)
Ian Happ	0.0996	0.0505 (16.9)	0.0331 (23.5)	0.0470 (18.4)
J.D. Martinez	0.1461	0.0698 (33.4)	0.0675 (33.8)	0.0775 (29.6)
Aaron Judge	0.1538	0.0497 (65.2)	0.0727 (48.5)	0.1024 (29.4)
Joey Gallo	0.1621	0.0584 (50.9)	0.0997 (28.1)	0.1172 (19.6)
Yonder Alonso	0.0841	0.0233 (27.5)	0.0245 (26.1)	0.0206 (28.9)
Jake Marisnick	0.1119	0.0296 (19.2)	0.0330 (18.0)	0.0351 (17.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.0505	0.1157	31.3
2	Eric Thames	0.0505	0.1013	23.5
3	Matt Davidson	0.0417	0.1024	23.3
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0944	0.1350	22.5
5	Ryan Zimmerman	0.0450	0.0893	20.9
6	Michael Conforto	0.0517	0.1031	19.1
7	Rhys Hoskins	0.0505	0.1429	17.9
8	Kyle Schwarber	0.0662	0.1103	17.5
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.0453	0.0786	17.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.0563	0.1157	27.3
2	Mark Trumbo	0.0837	0.0560	22.5
3	Evan Longoria	0.0578	0.0388	19.4
4	Chris Taylor	0.0129	0.0563	19.2
5	Miguel Cabrera	0.0688	0.0442	18.0
6	Paul DeJong	0.0356	0.0850	17.7
7	Michael Conforto	0.0543	0.1031	17.2
8	Matt Davidson	0.0559	0.1024	16.4
9	Khris Davis	0.0793	0.1138	16.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Evan Longoria	0.0644	0.0388	22.8
2	Mark Trumbo	0.0856	0.0560	22.7
3	Ryan Zimmerman	0.0447	0.0893	21.0
4	Chris Taylor	0.0143	0.0563	19.2
5	Khris Davis	0.0771	0.1138	18.6
6	José Ramírez	0.0198	0.0557	17.9
7	Mike Moustakas	0.0441	0.0814	17.5
8	Kurt Suzuki	0.0154	0.0792	17.2
9	Chris Davis	0.1223	0.0981	16.9

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rougned Odor	0.2243	0.2923 (42.8)	0.2952 (46.5)	0.2931 (45.3)
Mike Zunino	0.3547	0.2577 (43.1)	0.2670 (37.9)	0.2695 (36.7)
Avisaíl García	0.3923	0.3077 (48.7)	0.3195 (40.5)	0.3214 (39.3)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3548	0.3087 (32.8)	0.3132 (27.9)	0.3128 (28.0)
Charlie Blackmon	0.3682	0.3238 (33.7)	0.3180 (36.0)	0.3189 (35.2)
Francisco Lindor	0.2720	0.3199 (33.1)	0.3164 (32.5)	0.3153 (31.8)
Ian Kinsler	0.2438	0.3067 (37.2)	0.2915 (29.6)	0.2961 (32.5)
Maikel Franco	0.2343	0.2818 (28.3)	0.2843 (31.5)	0.2909 (35.8)
Mike Napoli	0.2236	0.2949 (33.5)	0.2904 (32.6)	0.2879 (31.6)
Mookie Betts	0.2679	0.3149 (31.9)	0.3156 (34.3)	0.3204 (38.0)
Tim Beckham	0.3642	0.3092 (32.8)	0.3093 (31.2)	0.3148 (27.9)
Aaron Judge	0.3566	0.2941 (43.8)	0.3077 (32.8)	0.2928 (42.8)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2704	0.3351	38.5
2	Chris Taylor	0.3049	0.3608	33.0
3	Trey Mancini	0.3000	0.3516	31.5
4	Ben Gamel	0.2857	0.3395	30.7
5	Scott Schebler	0.3060	0.2477	29.8
6	Alex Avila	0.3081	0.3799	27.8
7	Tommy Pham	0.3167	0.3657	27.1
8	Eric Hosmer	0.3128	0.3508	27.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Sanó	0.3118	0.3750	30.3
2	Jose Altuve	0.3244	0.3696	29.6
3	Josh Reddick	0.2775	0.3325	29.4
4	Alex Gordon	0.3120	0.2594	28.8
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.3016	0.2438	28.4
6	Matt Carpenter	0.3168	0.2725	27.9
7	Alex Avila	0.3062	0.3799	27.5
8	Yasiel Puig	0.3208	0.2739	27.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2734	0.3351	35.1
2	Scott Schebler	0.3048	0.2477	30.8
3	Manny Machado	0.3072	0.2648	29.8
4	Yasiel Puig	0.3221	0.2739	27.9
5	Tommy Pham	0.3140	0.3657	27.0
6	Mark Reynolds	0.2966	0.3428	26.9
7	Corey Seager	0.3083	0.3522	26.4
8	Joey Gallo	0.2986	0.2500	26.3

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Avisaíl García	0.3103	0.2462 (37.9)	0.2569 (31.8)	0.2597 (28.8)
Curtis Granderson	0.1386	0.2000 (30.5)	0.1963 (28.7)	0.1952 (29.4)
Marcell Ozuna	0.2811	0.2322 (35.6)	0.2326 (35.1)	0.2340 (32.5)
Miguel Sanó	0.2991	0.2402 (30.1)	0.2216 (39.0)	0.2222 (37.5)
Eric Hosmer	0.2836	0.2417 (30.4)	0.2383 (32.6)	0.2429 (27.8)
Orlando Arcia	0.2677	0.2055 (36.0)	0.2105 (33.2)	0.2127 (30.5)
Francisco Lindor	0.1820	0.2506 (47.1)	0.2469 (44.6)	0.2437 (44.1)
Mookie Betts	0.1774	0.2290 (34.3)	0.2305 (35.5)	0.2302 (37.1)
Tim Beckham	0.2977	0.2126 (50.9)	0.2309 (40.3)	0.2222 (43.8)
Joey Gallo	0.1509	0.2326 (41.6)	0.2136 (31.6)	0.2038 (27.7)
Scott Schebler	0.1641	0.2371 (36.9)	0.2191 (27.5)	0.2194 (28.9)
Enrique Hernández	0.1286	0.2165 (28.9)	0.2098 (26.7)	0.2093 (27.3)
Lucas Duda	0.1308	0.2010 (32.8)	0.2054 (35.1)	0.1953 (31.3)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.2000	0.2673	36.2
2	Tommy Pham	0.2278	0.2880	33.8
3	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1918	0.2452	32.8
4	Trey Mancini	0.2214	0.2734	32.5
5	Ian Kinsler	0.2333	0.1806	30.2
6	Aaron Judge	0.2222	0.2622	29.5
7	AJ Pollock	0.2406	0.1765	28.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starlin Castro	0.2312	0.2908	29.7
2	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2620	0.3009	29.3
3	Ender Inciarte	0.2429	0.2801	29.1
4	Rougned Odor	0.2147	0.1671	28.9
5	Alex Avila	0.2325	0.3017	27.2
6	Corey Dickerson	0.2077	0.2476	27.1
7	Jason Kipnis	0.2298	0.1577	25.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.2091	0.2622	36.5
2	Corey Seager	0.2150	0.2674	32.6
3	Corey Dickerson	0.1993	0.2476	30.8
4	Mark Reynolds	0.2203	0.2704	30.2
5	Tommy Pham	0.2319	0.2880	30.2
6	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1978	0.2452	27.7
7	Maikel Franco	0.2139	0.1692	27.4

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jed Lowrie	0.1075	0.0614 (28.2)	0.0664 (23.9)	0.0604 (28.1)
Mike Zunino	0.1232	0.0670 (23.4)	0.0659 (23.2)	0.0664 (23.1)
Justin Upton	0.1283	0.0760 (31.7)	0.0774 (29.8)	0.0758 (31.0)
Odúbel Herrera	0.1082	0.0627 (24.3)	0.0593 (25.4)	0.0657 (22.0)
Andrew Benintendi	0.0578	0.0879 (21.4)	0.0805 (17.6)	0.0779 (15.6)
Hunter Pence	0.0340	0.0707 (21.0)	0.0696 (21.3)	0.0675 (20.0)
Kolten Wong	0.0918	0.0491 (16.6)	0.0488 (16.1)	0.0471 (16.9)
Eduardo Escobar	0.0468	0.0801 (17.8)	0.0743 (15.7)	0.0749 (15.8)
Starling Marte	0.0290	0.0767 (17.0)	0.0802 (18.7)	0.0783 (17.9)
Enrique Hernández	0.1143	0.0649 (16.1)	0.0639 (15.9)	0.0581 (18.0)
José Ramírez	0.1138	0.0737 (24.3)	0.0720 (24.5)	0.0749 (22.8)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.0851	0.0462	21.1
2	Chris Taylor	0.0610	0.0966	18.9
3	Yuli Gurriel	0.0612	0.0945	17.4
4	Mitch Haniger	0.0511	0.0958	17.3
5	Edwin Encarnación	0.0749	0.0514	17.3
6	Nomar Mazara	0.0435	0.0732	16.8
7	Matt Chapman	0.0707	0.1237	16.5
8	José Peraza	0.0506	0.0216	16.2
9	Manuel Margot	0.0759	0.0483	15.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.0652	0.1237	17.8
2	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0831	0.0554	17.1
3	José Peraza	0.0500	0.0216	16.7
4	Shin-Soo Choo	0.0727	0.0505	16.6
5	José Pirela	0.0564	0.1068	16.0
6	Lucas Duda	0.0714	0.1077	15.9
7	Albert Pujols	0.0562	0.0353	15.7
8	Jason Heyward	0.0693	0.0418	15.1
9	Rougned Odor	0.0694	0.0501	15.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nomar Mazara	0.0363	0.0732	20.5
2	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0857	0.0554	18.3
3	Matt Olson	0.1003	0.0190	18.3
4	Byron Buxton	0.0745	0.0462	16.3
5	José Pirela	0.0561	0.1068	16.2
6	Edwin Encarnación	0.0707	0.0514	15.3
7	Brian Goodwin	0.0641	0.1221	15.1
8	Miguel Sanó	0.0947	0.0670	15.1
9	Ryan Schimpf	0.0949	0.0241	14.6

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Charlie Blackmon	0.0293	0.0119 (13.4)	0.0098 (14.2)	0.0130 (13.2)
Dexter Fowler	0.0295	0.0178 (6.3)	0.0123 (8.5)	0.0173 (7.0)
David Peralta	0.0071	0.0253 (9.9)	0.0187 (6.6)	0.0282 (11.0)
Yolmer Sánchez	0.0215	0.0043 (9.8)	0.0059 (8.4)	0.0083 (8.1)
Chris Owings	0.0037	0.0198 (5.8)	0.0188 (5.8)	0.0211 (5.9)
Zack Cozart	0.0206	0.0086 (6.6)	0.0054 (7.7)	0.0091 (6.8)
Billy Hamilton	0.0243	0.0115 (8.8)	0.0084 (10.2)	0.0134 (8.2)
Brandon Crawford	0.0025	0.0184 (8.5)	0.0166 (8.0)	0.0177 (7.5)
José Abreu	0.0127	0.0049 (6.0)	0.0034 (6.3)	0.0045 (6.9)
Nick Castellanos	0.0222	0.0123 (7.3)	0.0107 (7.7)	0.0138 (6.9)
Xander Bogaerts	0.0134	0.0043 (6.4)	0.0033 (6.5)	0.0041 (7.2)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eddie Rosario	0.0237	0.0048	10.6
2	Mikie Mahtook	0.0051	0.0232	7.2
3	Josh Bell	0.0051	0.0146	6.6
4	Keon Broxton	0.0054	0.0181	6.4
5	Franchy Cordero	0.0067	0.0652	5.9
6	Clint Frazier	0.0067	0.0455	5.7
7	Corey Seager	0.0102	0.0000	5.6
8	Jake Lamb	0.0209	0.0111	5.5
9	Ozzie Albies	0.0067	0.0281	5.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Benintendi	0.0154	0.0022	8.6
2	Max Kepler	0.0153	0.0052	5.7
3	George Springer	0.0087	0.0000	5.4
4	Clint Frazier	0.0080	0.0455	5.3
5	Cody Bellinger	0.0039	0.0134	5.3
6	Aaron Altherr	0.0077	0.0200	5.1
7	José Reyes	0.0079	0.0169	5.1
8	Mitch Garver	0.0023	0.0968	4.9
9	Josh Bell	0.0071	0.0146	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cory Spangenberg	0.0335	0.0065	12.2
2	Scott Schebler	0.0256	0.0062	9.3
3	Andrew Benintendi	0.0176	0.0022	8.8
4	Daniel Descalso	0.0058	0.0202	6.5
5	Max Kepler	0.0182	0.0052	6.3
6	José Reyes	0.0084	0.0169	5.9
7	Dansby Swanson	0.0179	0.0055	5.8
8	Tommy Pham	0.0193	0.0065	5.8
9	Eddie Rosario	0.0161	0.0048	5.5

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Charlie Blackmon	0.1890	0.1436 (29.2)	0.1419 (26.0)	0.1274 (40.1)
Scooter Gennett	0.1610	0.1105 (22.5)	0.0976 (25.9)	0.1148 (19.8)
Miguel Cabrera	0.0945	0.1323 (22.7)	0.1475 (34.0)	0.1252 (19.6)
Albert Pujols	0.0833	0.1196 (26.3)	0.1259 (34.2)	0.1205 (27.6)
Tommy Pham	0.1792	0.1359 (20.2)	0.1085 (31.6)	0.1268 (24.5)
José Ramírez	0.1659	0.1290 (20.4)	0.1165 (24.6)	0.1234 (23.4)
Aaron Judge	0.1888	0.1107 (49.5)	0.1226 (37.3)	0.1360 (31.5)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1298	0.1777	29.6
2	Carlos Correa	0.1162	0.1705	23.6
3	Bryce Harper	0.1417	0.1931	22.8
4	Jose Altuve	0.1323	0.1692	21.0
5	Joey Gallo	0.1154	0.1598	20.9
6	George Springer	0.1401	0.1781	20.6
7	Hunter Pence	0.1350	0.1020	20.6
8	Chris Taylor	0.1098	0.1496	19.7
9	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1178	0.1563	19.2
10	Tommy Joseph	0.1263	0.0957	19.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Taylor	0.0888	0.1496	28.2
2	Manny Machado	0.1451	0.1174	26.9
3	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1180	0.1640	24.2
4	Cody Bellinger	0.1041	0.1588	23.8
5	Hanley Ramirez	0.1334	0.1049	22.0
6	Zack Cozart	0.1057	0.1578	20.7
7	Dustin Pedroia	0.1319	0.0994	20.3
8	Victor Martinez	0.1225	0.0874	20.2
9	Jon Jay	0.0936	0.1501	19.6
10	Jake Marisnick	0.1063	0.1931	19.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tommy Joseph	0.1395	0.0957	26.7
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1364	0.1777	24.3
3	Hunter Pence	0.1379	0.1020	22.7
4	Manny Machado	0.1409	0.1174	20.5
5	Wil Myers	0.1481	0.1233	20.2
6	J.D. Martinez	0.1271	0.1738	19.8
7	Bryce Harper	0.1467	0.1931	19.7
8	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1162	0.1563	19.4
9	Carlos Correa	0.1246	0.1705	19.0
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1413	0.1759	18.9

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kris Bryant	0.1098	0.1415 (25.0)	0.1451 (26.5)	0.1622 (36.6)
Anthony Rendon	0.1653	0.1148 (27.0)	0.1216 (23.8)	0.1193 (26.3)
Mark Trumbo	0.1078	0.1421 (24.2)	0.1577 (32.8)	0.1706 (39.4)
Marcell Ozuna	0.1826	0.1161 (41.2)	0.1350 (29.3)	0.1229 (38.8)
Marwin Gonzalez	0.1748	0.0942 (38.5)	0.1119 (30.1)	0.0968 (38.8)
José Bautista	0.0948	0.1465 (39.5)	0.1460 (38.2)	0.1667 (51.1)
Scooter Gennett	0.1952	0.0988 (45.0)	0.0979 (46.1)	0.1056 (43.2)
Carlos González	0.1067	0.1486 (25.5)	0.1571 (29.3)	0.1526 (25.9)
Ryan Zimmerman	0.1875	0.1306 (29.4)	0.1365 (26.8)	0.1380 (27.0)
J.D. Martinez	0.2127	0.1415 (32.0)	0.1439 (31.5)	0.1458 (31.4)
Lorenzo Cain	0.0760	0.1179 (30.8)	0.1102 (25.0)	0.1133 (25.8)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.1067	0.1681	37.7
2	Gerardo Parra	0.0893	0.1671	30.6
3	Cody Bellinger	0.1182	0.1770	29.0
4	Nomar Mazara	0.1111	0.1640	29.0
5	Mark Reynolds	0.1116	0.1636	27.4
6	Guillermo Heredia	0.1085	0.0563	24.7
7	Corey Dickerson	0.1320	0.0986	24.7
8	Trevor Plouffe	0.1316	0.0607	24.0
9	Ian Kinsler	0.1174	0.0848	23.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Pillar	0.1087	0.0665	29.5
2	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1345	0.1805	27.6
3	Cody Bellinger	0.1235	0.1770	26.9
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.1556	0.1134	24.7
5	Hanley Ramirez	0.1522	0.1121	24.6
6	Ian Happ	0.1008	0.1646	24.5
7	Charlie Blackmon	0.1055	0.1434	24.3
8	Justin Bour	0.1334	0.1935	23.9
9	Travis Shaw	0.1235	0.1667	23.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rajai Davis	0.1348	0.0546	30.3
2	Gerardo Parra	0.0934	0.1671	30.2
3	Hanley Ramirez	0.1614	0.1121	28.7
4	Travis Shaw	0.1181	0.1667	27.9
5	Chris Davis	0.1664	0.1164	27.6
6	Carlos Beltrán	0.1478	0.1002	25.6
7	Nomar Mazara	0.1204	0.1640	25.2
8	Kevin Pillar	0.1034	0.0665	25.0
9	Charlie Blackmon	0.1069	0.1434	24.6

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Whit Merrifield	0.2313	0.0805 (98.1)	0.1293 (69.0)	0.1395 (63.5)
Alcides Escobar	0.0328	0.1181 (50.6)	0.1099 (43.8)	0.1192 (48.6)
Charlie Blackmon	0.0693	0.1513 (56.0)	0.1387 (44.8)	0.1500 (51.9)
Andrelton Simmons	0.1187	0.0465 (49.8)	0.0510 (48.7)	0.0493 (50.8)
Rajai Davis	0.3580	0.2685 (34.5)	0.2720 (34.2)	0.0000 (134.4)
Cameron Maybin	0.2973	0.1138 (84.7)	0.1105 (87.4)	0.1217 (83.1)
Alex Bregman	0.1083	0.0571 (35.0)	0.0602 (34.8)	0.0611 (35.2)
Trea Turner	0.4182	0.2526 (76.1)	0.2420 (82.1)	0.2414 (83.1)
Byron Buxton	0.2358	0.1169 (63.2)	0.1445 (50.4)	0.1379 (54.6)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bradley Zimmer	0.0572	0.2338	60.2
2	Tommy Pham	0.0541	0.1471	51.8
3	Taylor Motter	0.0508	0.2264	50.5
4	Andrew Benintendi	0.0469	0.1087	43.8
5	Alen Hanson	0.0755	0.2444	40.7
6	Delino DeShields	0.1444	0.2320	40.6
7	Todd Frazier	0.1008	0.0265	40.0
8	Rougned Odor	0.0820	0.1364	38.5
9	Hernán Pérez	0.2143	0.1354	33.9
10	Lane Adams	0.0612	0.3226	32.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Reyes	0.1282	0.1875	37.4
2	Eric Thames	0.1016	0.0292	35.8
3	Ben Gamel	0.1021	0.0299	35.6
4	Tommy Pham	0.0882	0.1471	35.1
5	Yasiel Puig	0.0521	0.1049	34.4
6	Brett Gardner	0.0809	0.1237	34.3
7	Yoán Moncada	0.2028	0.0500	33.6
8	Lane Adams	0.0572	0.3226	33.3
9	Grégor Blanco	0.0927	0.2143	33.0
10	Ben Revere	0.1662	0.2658	33.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Billy Hamilton	0.4720	0.3782	53.6
2	Allen Córdoba	0.2381	0.0357	43.9
3	Carlos Correa	0.1136	0.0145	43.3
4	DJ LeMahieu	0.1000	0.0280	42.9
5	Jarrod Dyson	0.3867	0.2692	42.3
6	Adam Engel	0.2743	0.1404	42.0
7	Domingo Santana	0.0351	0.0904	39.1
8	Todd Frazier	0.1007	0.0265	37.5
9	Yasiel Puig	0.0511	0.1049	35.8
10	Rougned Odor	0.0916	0.1364	35.0

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rougned Odor	0.2043	0.2638 (37.5)	0.2748 (45.8)	0.2745 (47.5)
Avisaíl García	0.3301	0.2500 (46.0)	0.2621 (38.3)	0.2569 (39.6)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3116	0.2626 (34.5)	0.2726 (26.6)	0.2649 (29.9)
José Bautista	0.2027	0.2541 (33.9)	0.2488 (31.4)	0.2518 (35.5)
Eric Hosmer	0.3184	0.2742 (30.9)	0.2781 (27.2)	0.2767 (26.2)
Josh Reddick	0.3145	0.2708 (24.6)	0.2669 (25.8)	0.2667 (24.4)
Miguel Cabrera	0.2495	0.3104 (31.2)	0.3099 (31.8)	0.3014 (28.9)
Tommy Pham	0.3063	0.2482 (31.8)	0.2514 (29.2)	0.2444 (31.4)
Ryan Zimmerman	0.3034	0.2399 (37.7)	0.2602 (25.0)	0.2380 (36.2)
Zack Cozart	0.2968	0.2459 (26.8)	0.2466 (25.6)	0.2482 (23.3)
Justin Smoak	0.2696	0.2263 (28.9)	0.2244 (29.0)	0.2303 (23.4)
Aaron Judge	0.2841	0.2335 (35.6)	0.2475 (25.0)	0.2291 (35.5)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Engel	0.2587	0.1661	30.5
2	José Ramírez	0.2744	0.3179	29.4
3	Charlie Blackmon	0.2949	0.3307	27.4
4	Ian Kinsler	0.2823	0.2359	27.3
5	Chris Taylor	0.2422	0.2879	27.1
6	Jonathan Schoop	0.2556	0.2926	26.2
7	Yuli Gurriel	0.2551	0.2987	25.6
8	Joe Mauer	0.2651	0.3048	24.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mookie Betts	0.3097	0.2643	32.1
2	Charlie Blackmon	0.2883	0.3307	30.9
3	Marwin Gonzalez	0.2513	0.3033	26.9
4	Tim Beckham	0.2313	0.2777	26.8
5	Maikel Franco	0.2715	0.2296	26.0
6	Kyle Schwarber	0.2643	0.2109	25.8
7	Manny Machado	0.2936	0.2587	23.9
8	Justin Turner	0.2779	0.3217	23.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mookie Betts	0.3070	0.2643	32.2
2	Maikel Franco	0.2697	0.2296	26.6
3	Ian Kinsler	0.2754	0.2359	25.8
4	Joe Mauer	0.2624	0.3048	23.7
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.2543	0.2987	23.6
6	Tim Beckham	0.2355	0.2777	22.7
7	Hanley Ramirez	0.2803	0.2419	22.7
8	Manny Machado	0.2889	0.2587	22.6

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rougned Odor	0.2519	0.3052 (36.7)	0.3141 (43.9)	0.3109 (45.0)
Avisaíl García	0.3797	0.3091 (37.9)	0.3206 (30.2)	0.3116 (32.6)
Justin Turner	0.4151	0.3528 (32.1)	0.3448 (35.3)	0.3427 (33.9)
Marwin Gonzalez	0.3770	0.3103 (32.7)	0.2934 (40.3)	0.3014 (33.7)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3756	0.3148 (39.1)	0.3271 (29.3)	0.3173 (32.7)
Eugenio Suárez	0.3671	0.3166 (29.9)	0.3142 (30.1)	0.3140 (27.2)
Zack Cozart	0.3846	0.3006 (41.0)	0.2991 (40.7)	0.2977 (39.0)
José Bautista	0.3076	0.3711 (45.7)	0.3689 (45.7)	0.3686 (48.8)
Charlie Blackmon	0.3989	0.3522 (31.6)	0.3460 (34.5)	0.3513 (27.2)
Miguel Cabrera	0.3289	0.3873 (32.5)	0.3934 (36.9)	0.3791 (31.8)
Anthony Rendon	0.4033	0.3434 (34.4)	0.3534 (27.0)	0.3430 (30.4)
Tommy Pham	0.4110	0.3279 (42.4)	0.3241 (43.3)	0.3199 (43.0)
Aaron Judge	0.4218	0.3016 (79.4)	0.3241 (62.7)	0.3008 (75.3)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Engel	0.3289	0.2348	32.7
2	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2983	0.3576	32.4
3	Eric Hosmer	0.3361	0.3845	30.4
4	Justin Smoak	0.3050	0.3548	29.7
5	Matt Davidson	0.3202	0.2596	28.2
6	Jonathan Schoop	0.2931	0.3378	28.1
7	Michael Conforto	0.3176	0.3841	27.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.3545	0.3101	34.2
2	Maikel Franco	0.3242	0.2809	30.2
3	Albert Pujols	0.3257	0.2862	28.5
4	Mike Napoli	0.3367	0.2851	27.6
5	Tyler Flowers	0.3011	0.3784	26.6
6	Jose Altuve	0.3649	0.4100	26.4
7	Ben Zobrist	0.3649	0.3178	26.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.3488	0.3101	33.6
2	Maikel Franco	0.3219	0.2809	31.8
3	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2954	0.3576	30.1
4	Mike Napoli	0.3347	0.2851	28.9
5	Alex Gordon	0.3327	0.2931	26.8
6	Hanley Ramirez	0.3583	0.3201	26.7
7	Eric Hosmer	0.3349	0.3845	26.6

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Zack Cozart	0.5479	0.3944 (71.7)	0.3901 (70.2)	0.3956 (67.6)
Aaron Judge	0.6273	0.3921 (151.3)	0.4458 (109.9)	0.4732 (91.6)
Chris Taylor	0.4961	0.3587 (71.2)	0.3572 (67.9)	0.3689 (61.5)
José Bautista	0.3663	0.4871 (91.2)	0.4852 (94.9)	0.4988 (103.9)
Charlie Blackmon	0.6009	0.4802 (78.8)	0.4595 (88.5)	0.5017 (58.2)
Miguel Cabrera	0.3987	0.5246 (73.0)	0.5402 (85.1)	0.5205 (74.5)
Ryan Zimmerman	0.5725	0.4086 (87.5)	0.4471 (61.0)	0.4011 (87.8)
J.D. Martinez	0.6898	0.5169 (78.6)	0.4863 (90.1)	0.5235 (72.1)
Justin Smoak	0.5286	0.4106 (67.4)	0.4066 (65.3)	0.4169 (59.1)
José Ramírez	0.5829	0.4095 (104.0)	0.4203 (92.3)	0.4194 (93.3)
Cody Bellinger	0.5813	0.4341 (74.0)	0.4140 (81.0)	0.4524 (60.2)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.5146	0.6315	72.5
2	Joey Gallo	0.3894	0.5367	71.9
3	Marcell Ozuna	0.4319	0.5481	70.7
4	Dansby Swanson	0.4229	0.3238	61.3
5	Logan Morrison	0.4020	0.5156	61.0
6	Avisaíl García	0.3850	0.5058	61.0
7	Matt Olson	0.3776	0.6508	56.4
8	Anthony Rendon	0.4291	0.5335	55.8
9	Aaron Altherr	0.3695	0.5161	55.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.4858	0.3970	70.4
2	Mark Trumbo	0.4935	0.3971	69.8
3	Albert Pujols	0.4725	0.3862	67.3
4	Paul DeJong	0.3679	0.5324	64.3
5	Scooter Gennett	0.3856	0.5315	62.8
6	Marwin Gonzalez	0.3916	0.5297	61.1
7	Alex Gordon	0.4016	0.3151	57.3
8	Carlos González	0.5106	0.4234	56.9
9	Matt Olson	0.3716	0.6508	56.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.4958	0.3970	76.7
2	Mark Trumbo	0.4912	0.3971	68.2
3	Carlos González	0.5231	0.4234	63.4
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.4378	0.5481	62.0
5	Logan Forsythe	0.4417	0.3269	58.7
6	Logan Morrison	0.3995	0.5156	58.4
7	Alex Gordon	0.4004	0.3151	56.4
8	Albert Pujols	0.4551	0.3862	55.9
9	Chris Davis	0.5087	0.4232	54.7

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Finnegan	59	616 (557.0)	752 (693.5)	658 (599.0)
Shelby Miller	99	568 (469.0)	593 (494.2)	734 (635.0)
Aaron Sanchez	167	636 (469.0)	871 (704.4)	831 (664.0)
Noah Syndergaard	124	696 (572.0)	809 (684.8)	771 (647.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Freeland	1	688	687.0
2	Jordan Montgomery	1	649	648.0
3	Nick Pivetta	1	584	583.0
4	Hisashi Iwakuma	698	128	570.0
5	Antonio Senzatela	1	564	563.0
6	Clayton Richard	302	858	556.0
7	Clay Buchholz	549	40	509.0
8	Chad Bettis	701	200	501.0
9	Jered Weaver	688	191	497.0
10	Matt Wisler	650	153	497.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	758	128	630.0
2	Wei-Yin Chen	711	132	579.0
3	Garrett Richards	665	108	557.0
4	Mike Pelfrey	4	546	541.6
5	Junior Guerra	835	314	520.5
6	Steven Wright	632	114	518.5
7	Félix Hernández	865	368	496.7
8	Matt Shoemaker	809	326	483.0
9	Dinelson Lamet	4	485	480.6
10	Héctor Santiago	782	311	471.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Taylor Jungmann	648	6	642.0
2	Roenis Elías	627	2	625.0
3	Max Povse	644	21	623.0
4	Chris Heston	654	38	616.0
5	Jason Wheeler	634	18	616.0
6	Aaron Blair	629	19	610.0
7	David Price	914	317	597.0
8	Josh Lindblom	647	51	596.0
9	Jorge López	604	10	594.0
10	Matt Wisler	744	153	591.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chad Green	0.2016	0.3257 (34.2)	0.2984 (31.4)	0.3068 (34.7)
Johnny Cueto	0.3439	0.2818 (33.0)	0.2747 (27.3)	0.2571 (35.5)
Corey Kluber	0.2398	0.2807 (40.4)	0.2697 (44.3)	0.2565 (37.7)
Jordan Zimmermann	0.3717	0.3089 (36.8)	0.3050 (28.2)	0.2920 (34.0)
Chris Tillman	0.4126	0.3142 (38.7)	0.3129 (32.2)	0.2930 (38.9)
Luis Severino	0.2618	0.3230 (56.6)	0.2954 (47.5)	0.2882 (45.6)
Rick Porcello	0.3476	0.2980 (34.0)	0.2874 (29.3)	0.2752 (35.8)
Brad Peacock	0.2739	0.3209 (31.8)	0.3036 (31.0)	0.3076 (35.9)
Bartolo Colon	0.3776	0.3088 (37.3)	0.2949 (36.0)	0.2904 (35.8)
Chase Anderson	0.2793	0.3284 (34.3)	0.3094 (32.6)	0.3057 (33.2)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	0.3248	0.2822	35.8
2	José Berríos	0.3452	0.3009	34.2
3	Derek Holland	0.3230	0.3873	33.2
4	Zack Godley	0.3238	0.2839	32.0
5	Gio González	0.3081	0.2811	31.5
6	James Paxton	0.3060	0.2633	29.7
7	Stephen Strasburg	0.2853	0.2547	29.3
8	Chris Sale	0.2825	0.2595	29.1
9	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.3223	0.3780	28.9
10	Travis Wood	0.3045	0.3813	28.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Moore	0.2791	0.3523	36.4
2	Ervin Santana	0.3047	0.2902	36.0
3	Chris Sale	0.2712	0.2595	33.0
4	Andrew Cashner	0.3230	0.3036	32.8
5	Jimmy Nelson	0.3143	0.2994	30.6
6	Matt Harvey	0.2798	0.3771	30.2
7	Tyler Glasnow	0.2887	0.4145	30.1
8	Jordan Montgomery	0.3134	0.2945	29.9
9	Max Scherzer	0.2558	0.2472	27.9
10	Parker Bridwell	0.3374	0.3086	27.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Harvey	0.2667	0.3771	33.8
2	Ervin Santana	0.2961	0.2902	32.7
3	Ricky Nolasco	0.2839	0.3556	31.3
4	Jordan Montgomery	0.3100	0.2945	30.8
5	Matt Moore	0.2815	0.3523	30.8
6	Parker Bridwell	0.3391	0.3086	30.7
7	Tyler Glasnow	0.2834	0.4145	30.3
8	Zack Godley	0.3000	0.2839	30.1
9	Travis Wood	0.2804	0.3813	30.0
10	James Paxton	0.2847	0.2633	29.4

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chad Green	0.4071	0.2258 (44.7)	0.2165 (45.9)	0.2077 (48.0)
Corey Kluber	0.3411	0.2595 (59.6)	0.2540 (60.6)	0.2650 (51.5)
Charlie Morton	0.2642	0.1953 (39.5)	0.1976 (35.5)	0.1852 (42.8)
Jimmy Nelson	0.2734	0.1880 (58.6)	0.1851 (57.7)	0.1887 (54.6)
Luis Severino	0.2937	0.2117 (60.5)	0.2166 (53.3)	0.2204 (49.9)
Craig Kimbrel	0.4961	0.2983 (49.0)	0.3240 (41.4)	0.3448 (36.0)
Chris Sale	0.3619	0.2695 (74.6)	0.2515 (86.3)	0.2743 (66.4)
Zach Davies	0.1518	0.1997 (43.1)	0.1972 (44.5)	0.2003 (47.5)
Brad Peacock	0.2949	0.2086 (44.5)	0.2193 (36.3)	0.2061 (43.2)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.1381	0.1989 (45.5)	0.1921 (43.8)	0.1961 (47.0)
Corey Knebel	0.4078	0.2338 (52.3)	0.2789 (37.0)	0.2898 (33.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ty Blach	0.2009	0.1055	69.4
2	Andrew Cashner	0.1984	0.1222	57.0
3	Robbie Ray	0.2447	0.3278	52.1
4	Kyle Freeland	0.2166	0.1555	45.3
5	Cole Hamels	0.2326	0.1710	40.8
6	Tommy Kahnle	0.2143	0.3750	39.9
7	Max Scherzer	0.2877	0.3436	39.8
8	Zack Godley	0.1977	0.2632	38.0
9	Robert Gsellman	0.2130	0.1494	37.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ty Blach	0.1675	0.1055	49.2
2	Zack Greinke	0.2040	0.2684	44.4
3	Robbie Ray	0.2616	0.3278	38.0
4	Matt Moore	0.2264	0.1873	38.0
5	Luis Castillo	0.1587	0.2730	37.8
6	Zack Godley	0.1942	0.2632	37.6
7	Jacob deGrom	0.2356	0.2890	36.7
8	Jose Quintana	0.2103	0.2620	33.7
9	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2043	0.2580	33.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.1773	0.1222	45.6
2	Zack Greinke	0.2119	0.2684	37.5
3	Anthony Swarzak	0.1744	0.3003	35.2
4	Jose Quintana	0.2082	0.2620	34.9
5	Jacob deGrom	0.2386	0.2890	33.7
6	Dinelson Lamet	0.2075	0.2866	33.7
7	Max Scherzer	0.2908	0.3436	33.6
8	Aaron Nola	0.2080	0.2655	33.2
9	Luis Castillo	0.1714	0.2730	33.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dellin Betances	0.1686	0.0912 (18.3)	0.0957 (17.7)	0.0965 (16.6)
Derek Holland	0.1198	0.0752 (23.4)	0.0798 (21.8)	0.0761 (22.1)
Corey Kluber	0.0463	0.0629 (18.5)	0.0608 (15.3)	0.0567 (14.6)
Mike Pelfrey	0.1136	0.0786 (15.1)	0.0762 (17.6)	0.0733 (17.4)
Jeff Samardzija	0.0378	0.0625 (27.0)	0.0604 (23.5)	0.0555 (22.1)
Chad Kuhl	0.1059	0.0747 (16.3)	0.0681 (22.2)	0.0631 (23.4)
Jimmy Nelson	0.0659	0.0926 (24.7)	0.0910 (22.0)	0.0844 (19.6)
Wade Miley	0.1277	0.0753 (33.0)	0.0760 (33.9)	0.0751 (32.2)
Adam Ottavino	0.1605	0.0741 (19.3)	0.0821 (17.8)	0.0870 (15.8)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Leclerc	0.0979	0.2000	19.0
2	Luis Severino	0.0816	0.0651	18.5
3	Clayton Richard	0.0828	0.0688	18.2
4	Ty Blach	0.0794	0.0621	16.9
5	Matt Harvey	0.0629	0.1090	16.8
6	Iván Nova	0.0597	0.0459	16.5
7	Robert Stephenson	0.0883	0.1384	16.4
8	José Berríos	0.0971	0.0779	16.2
9	Nick Martinez	0.0852	0.0586	16.1
10	Edinson Volquez	0.0859	0.1335	16.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1069	0.0610	25.1
2	Matt Harvey	0.0585	0.1090	19.6
3	Tommy Kahnle	0.1296	0.0664	17.5
4	Edinson Volquez	0.0869	0.1335	16.5
5	José Torres	0.1081	0.0563	16.2
6	Tyler Chatwood	0.0914	0.1220	16.1
7	Luis Severino	0.0800	0.0651	15.7
8	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1034	0.0781	15.6
9	Jake Odorizzi	0.0713	0.1010	14.8
10	Julio Teheran	0.0660	0.0887	14.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1161	0.0610	31.3
2	Tommy Kahnle	0.1402	0.0664	21.0
3	Alex Cobb	0.0785	0.0593	20.5
4	José Alvarado	0.2031	0.0732	17.0
5	José Torres	0.1068	0.0563	16.7
6	Craig Kimbrel	0.1078	0.0551	15.5
7	Lucas Sims	0.1419	0.0902	15.3
8	Jerad Eickhoff	0.0575	0.0920	15.0
9	Dan Straily	0.0891	0.0780	15.0
10	Gregory Infante	0.1445	0.0881	14.7

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jaime García	0.0015	0.0091 (5.7)	0.0087 (5.5)	0.0091 (5.1)
Dellin Betances	0.0421	0.0070 (9.0)	0.0083 (8.6)	0.0064 (9.3)
Francis Martes	0.0321	0.0095 (5.4)	0.0083 (5.7)	0.0115 (5.1)
Max Scherzer	0.0141	0.0064 (5.4)	0.0071 (4.7)	0.0070 (5.6)
John Lackey	0.0164	0.0072 (6.2)	0.0076 (5.8)	0.0081 (6.1)
Jhoulys Chacín	0.0183	0.0075 (7.7)	0.0078 (7.3)	0.0072 (8.5)
Lance McCullers Jr.	0.0215	0.0061 (7.5)	0.0083 (6.3)	0.0076 (7.1)
Tyler Lyons	0.0318	0.0080 (5.1)	0.0071 (5.2)	0.0078 (5.3)
José Berríos	0.0211	0.0121 (5.1)	0.0106 (5.9)	0.0115 (5.9)
Mike Fiers	0.0194	0.0089 (6.5)	0.0087 (6.5)	0.0091 (6.9)
Gerrit Cole	0.0047	0.0119 (6.7)	0.0106 (5.7)	0.0117 (6.0)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Martinez	0.0165	0.0042	6.2
2	Ty Blach	0.0093	0.0014	6.0
3	Drew Storen	0.0168	0.0407	5.7
4	Jordan Montgomery	0.0095	0.0015	5.7
5	Chris Sale	0.0151	0.0094	5.5
6	Dan Straily	0.0125	0.0065	5.2
7	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0123	0.0037	5.1
8	Brad Hand	0.0056	0.0225	5.0
9	Aaron Nola	0.0092	0.0029	4.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Storen	0.0119	0.0407	6.9
2	José Ureña	0.0103	0.0193	5.9
3	Zack Greinke	0.0059	0.0000	5.5
4	Alec Asher	0.0074	0.0264	4.8
5	J.A. Happ	0.0067	0.0000	4.7
6	Clayton Kershaw	0.0061	0.0000	4.7
7	Ryan Tepera	0.0095	0.0251	4.7
8	Patrick Corbin	0.0084	0.0036	4.7
9	Aaron Nola	0.0086	0.0029	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Montgomery	0.0124	0.0015	7.1
2	Chris Sale	0.0170	0.0094	6.5
3	Ty Blach	0.0105	0.0014	6.3
4	Brad Hand	0.0029	0.0225	6.1
5	Jose Quintana	0.0050	0.0127	6.1
6	Daniel Gossett	0.0146	0.0000	6.1
7	Sean Manaea	0.0064	0.0145	5.6
8	Carlos Carrasco	0.0060	0.0125	5.2
9	José Ureña	0.0122	0.0193	5.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Masahiro Tanaka	0.0686	0.0426 (13.7)	0.0442 (12.5)	0.0435 (13.5)
Amir Garrett	0.1065	0.0478 (16.4)	0.0447 (17.3)	0.0472 (16.7)
John Lackey	0.0696	0.0382 (17.3)	0.0425 (14.0)	0.0395 (16.7)
Kyle Freeland	0.0333	0.0478 (15.3)	0.0443 (13.0)	0.0491 (15.9)
Andrew Heaney	0.1846	0.0402 (13.8)	0.0427 (13.5)	0.0342 (14.5)
Andrew Cashner	0.0275	0.0387 (13.3)	0.0439 (17.1)	0.0433 (16.2)
Brad Peacock	0.0308	0.0471 (13.1)	0.0510 (15.4)	0.0511 (15.1)
Stephen Strasburg	0.0293	0.0406 (13.3)	0.0402 (13.1)	0.0400 (12.6)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0740	0.0369 (19.1)	0.0435 (14.6)	0.0410 (16.7)
Gerrit Cole	0.0522	0.0243 (17.1)	0.0312 (11.1)	0.0287 (13.7)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Taijuan Walker	0.0525	0.0363	16.4
2	Junior Guerra	0.0352	0.0900	14.8
3	Trevor Williams	0.0442	0.0302	14.0
4	Bronson Arroyo	0.0393	0.0898	13.8
5	Derek Holland	0.0410	0.0706	13.7
6	Mike Pelfrey	0.0310	0.0633	13.4
7	Chris Tillman	0.0364	0.0736	13.1
8	Jameson Taillon	0.0411	0.0267	13.0
9	Luis Perdomo	0.0427	0.0324	12.9
10	Matthew Boyd	0.0546	0.0410	12.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	0.0422	0.0318	14.9
2	Aríel Miranda	0.0493	0.0782	14.3
3	Michael Fulmer	0.0381	0.0253	14.0
4	Chase Anderson	0.0515	0.0361	13.2
5	Danny Duffy	0.0430	0.0300	12.8
6	Junior Guerra	0.0438	0.0900	12.0
7	Mike Pelfrey	0.0339	0.0633	11.7
8	Shawn Kelley	0.0414	0.1429	11.3
9	Kirby Yates	0.0418	0.0984	11.2
10	Rick Porcello	0.0381	0.0585	11.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.0412	0.0782	20.2
2	Jake Odorizzi	0.0396	0.0725	15.5
3	Michael Fulmer	0.0400	0.0253	14.8
4	Taijuan Walker	0.0501	0.0363	14.4
5	Rick Porcello	0.0353	0.0585	14.1
6	Mike Fiers	0.0436	0.0711	13.6
7	Jharel Cotton	0.0387	0.0693	13.2
8	Matt Harvey	0.0297	0.0675	13.2
9	Tim Adleman	0.0488	0.0792	12.3
10	Luis Perdomo	0.0420	0.0324	12.1

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ervin Santana	0.2446	0.2926 (42.2)	0.3016 (48.3)	0.2970 (51.5)
Jake Odorizzi	0.2266	0.2784 (31.8)	0.2844 (34.3)	0.2809 (37.2)
Jameson Taillon	0.3516	0.2936 (33.6)	0.3087 (25.8)	0.2914 (31.1)
Rafael Montero	0.3665	0.3028 (34.5)	0.2973 (38.6)	0.2870 (39.7)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.2456	0.2860 (28.7)	0.2928 (32.1)	0.2867 (33.6)
Gio González	0.2575	0.3177 (50.5)	0.3043 (37.7)	0.2983 (39.7)
Kevin Gausman	0.3365	0.2998 (29.2)	0.2960 (33.9)	0.2948 (28.1)
Lance Lynn	0.2441	0.3045 (47.6)	0.2988 (41.6)	0.2911 (42.0)
Trevor Bauer	0.3369	0.2911 (33.7)	0.2948 (32.4)	0.2908 (29.2)
Cole Hamels	0.2506	0.2971 (29.1)	0.2992 (29.2)	0.2934 (30.7)
Clayton Richard	0.3506	0.3119 (32.5)	0.3085 (37.2)	0.2965 (40.3)
José Ureña	0.2485	0.3036 (40.5)	0.3003 (36.7)	0.2837 (30.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	0.3296	0.2672	42.0
2	Marco Estrada	0.2454	0.2947	39.0
3	Andrew Cashner	0.3104	0.2660	31.9
4	Jimmy Nelson	0.2970	0.3399	30.6
5	Josh Tomlin	0.2764	0.3287	30.1
6	Mike Pelfrey	0.3288	0.2757	29.5
7	Jason Hammel	0.2808	0.3177	29.0
8	Blake Snell	0.3267	0.2768	27.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2889	0.2453	33.2
2	Aríel Miranda	0.2853	0.2362	32.5
3	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2935	0.3542	29.8
4	Chris Archer	0.2916	0.3249	29.2
5	Sonny Gray	0.3103	0.2691	27.2
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.3030	0.2557	26.9
7	Jordan Zimmermann	0.2948	0.3302	26.0
8	Matt Moore	0.2882	0.3198	25.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.2873	0.2362	39.5
2	Robbie Ray	0.3144	0.2672	36.1
3	Marco Estrada	0.2468	0.2947	32.8
4	Jimmy Nelson	0.2888	0.3399	32.0
5	Max Scherzer	0.2784	0.2453	31.4
6	Andrew Cashner	0.3024	0.2660	30.6
7	Vance Worley	0.2828	0.3782	29.4
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2906	0.3542	27.2

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ervin Santana	0.1893	0.2183 (24.0)	0.3016 (31.0)	0.2970 (34.8)
Jason Hammel	0.2535	0.2032 (41.4)	0.2939 (28.9)	0.2847 (29.1)
Charlie Morton	0.1830	0.2265 (26.1)	0.3056 (28.5)	0.2934 (26.5)
Jimmy Nelson	0.2763	0.2283 (35.9)	0.3079 (32.6)	0.2888 (40.0)
Rafael Montero	0.2955	0.2183 (43.1)	0.2973 (41.0)	0.2870 (41.7)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.1591	0.1988 (26.7)	0.2928 (39.8)	0.2867 (41.8)
Kevin Gausman	0.2594	0.2276 (27.0)	0.2960 (32.5)	0.2948 (26.1)
Lance Lynn	0.1890	0.2273 (28.8)	0.2988 (25.9)	0.2911 (26.9)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.2759	0.2254 (24.9)	0.2935 (28.3)	0.2906 (25.4)
Cole Hamels	0.1803	0.2316 (30.7)	0.2992 (26.1)	0.2934 (28.0)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gio González	0.2431	0.1992	35.2
2	Mike Pelfrey	0.2648	0.2081	30.3
3	Blake Snell	0.2541	0.1977	30.2
4	Martín Pérez	0.2241	0.2599	30.1
5	Alex Wood	0.2475	0.1980	29.6
6	Drew Pomeranz	0.2110	0.2468	27.5
7	Casey Lawrence	0.2211	0.3200	26.4
8	Wade Miley	0.2313	0.2629	24.0
9	Blake Wood	0.2254	0.2961	23.9
10	Dinelson Lamet	0.2211	0.1716	23.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2889	0.1698	33.3
2	Aríel Miranda	0.2853	0.1674	28.1
3	Matt Cain	0.2888	0.2618	28.0
4	Casey Lawrence	0.2969	0.3200	26.3
5	Wade Miley	0.3033	0.2629	26.2
6	Tyler Chatwood	0.3150	0.1976	25.9
7	Blake Wood	0.2964	0.2961	25.3
8	Chris Archer	0.2916	0.2446	25.0
9	José Ureña	0.3003	0.1893	25.0
10	Jake Odorizzi	0.2844	0.1667	25.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.2873	0.1674	35.6
2	Max Scherzer	0.2784	0.1698	32.1
3	Jake Odorizzi	0.2809	0.1667	28.3
4	Martín Pérez	0.2927	0.2599	28.1
5	Ian Kennedy	0.2857	0.1769	27.1
6	Clayton Richard	0.2965	0.2597	26.3
7	Gio González	0.2983	0.1992	26.2
8	Jacob deGrom	0.2845	0.2485	26.0
9	Dinelson Lamet	0.2926	0.1716	26.0
10	Yu Darvish	0.3062	0.2060	25.1

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ervin Santana	0.0469	0.0699 (22.4)	0.0000 (18.9)	0.0000 (18.4)
Homer Bailey	0.1062	0.0613 (17.6)	0.0000 (15.7)	0.0000 (16.0)
Wily Peralta	0.1437	0.0721 (18.5)	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0000 (20.3)
Charlie Morton	0.1034	0.0684 (19.8)	0.0000 (21.4)	0.0000 (21.8)
Michael Feliz	0.1441	0.0641 (16.8)	0.0000 (16.4)	0.0000 (16.5)
Marco Estrada	0.0932	0.0573 (26.5)	0.0000 (19.6)	0.0000 (20.1)
Rick Porcello	0.0882	0.0598 (22.6)	0.0000 (17.2)	0.0000 (17.8)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0944	0.0646 (17.4)	0.0000 (16.6)	0.0000 (17.0)
Lance Lynn	0.0413	0.0682 (23.1)	0.0000 (21.3)	0.0000 (20.8)
Tim Adleman	0.1009	0.0625 (18.8)	0.0000 (17.0)	0.0000 (17.4)
Bartolo Colon	0.1010	0.0637 (22.3)	0.0000 (20.9)	0.0000 (21.3)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.0735	0.0472	20.6
2	Matt Moore	0.0545	0.0813	18.9
3	José Ureña	0.0714	0.0493	18.1
4	Clayton Richard	0.0550	0.0779	17.1
5	Robbie Ray	0.0740	0.0517	16.8
6	Jordan Montgomery	0.0690	0.0463	16.6
7	Chris Rusin	0.0777	0.0336	16.0
8	Luis Severino	0.0805	0.0632	15.8
9	Bronson Arroyo	0.0643	0.1159	15.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0949	20.5
2	Jaime García	0.0000	0.0933	16.5
3	Gregory Infante	0.0690	0.0662	16.2
4	Chad Kuhl	0.0000	0.0926	16.1
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0889	16.0
6	Michael Fulmer	0.0000	0.0459	15.5
7	Jacob deGrom	0.0000	0.0501	15.5
8	Andrew Cashner	0.0000	0.0472	15.2
9	Jameson Taillon	0.0000	0.0948	15.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0949	21.0
2	Nick Goody	0.0690	0.0588	17.3
3	Jaime García	0.0000	0.0933	16.9
4	Chad Kuhl	0.0000	0.0926	16.6
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0889	16.5
6	Jameson Taillon	0.0000	0.0948	15.6
7	Bronson Arroyo	0.0000	0.1159	15.4
8	Trevor Bauer	0.0000	0.0886	15.3
9	Josh Tomlin	0.0000	0.0943	15.3

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Danny Duffy	0.0166	0.0071 (6.3)	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0000 (6.2)
Luis Perdomo	0.0000	0.0079 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.6)
Sean Newcomb	0.0182	0.0065 (5.7)	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.4)
Jeff Samardzija	0.0209	0.0114 (8.8)	0.0000 (12.2)	0.0000 (12.3)
Kelvin Herrera	0.0347	0.0054 (7.8)	0.0000 (7.3)	0.0000 (7.3)
Josh Ravin	0.0789	0.0118 (4.8)	0.0000 (5.1)	0.0000 (5.2)
Oliver Drake	0.0316	0.0100 (5.6)	0.0000 (6.3)	0.0000 (6.3)
Jeff Hoffman	0.0201	0.0049 (7.0)	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0000 (6.0)
Tyler Chatwood	0.0220	0.0074 (9.7)	0.0000 (9.8)	0.0000 (9.8)
Pedro Báez	0.0227	0.0056 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.6)
Gio González	0.0000	0.0107 (8.1)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.3)
Matt Moore	0.0166	0.0042 (10.5)	0.0000 (8.0)	0.0000 (8.1)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.0142	0.0019	8.1
2	Rafael Montero	0.0141	0.0000	7.3
3	Yu Darvish	0.0106	0.0021	5.8
4	Jerad Eickhoff	0.0106	0.0000	5.6
5	Taijuan Walker	0.0048	0.0111	4.9
6	Hunter Strickland	0.0060	0.0229	4.7
7	Parker Bridwell	0.0130	0.0027	4.6
8	Jon Gray	0.0073	0.0163	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0148	5.9
2	Lance Lynn	0.0000	0.0138	5.7
3	Clayton Richard	0.0000	0.0130	5.6
4	Luis Severino	0.0000	0.0000	5.1
5	Corey Kluber	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
6	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0125	5.0
7	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	0.0000	4.9
8	Matthew Boyd	0.0000	0.0143	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0148	5.9
2	Lance Lynn	0.0000	0.0138	5.7
3	Clayton Richard	0.0000	0.0130	5.6
4	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0125	5.1
5	Luis Severino	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
6	Corey Kluber	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
7	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	0.0000	4.8
8	Matthew Boyd	0.0000	0.0143	4.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Tillman	0.1937	0.1105 (33.1)	0.1289 (25.5)	0.1173 (29.2)
Luis Severino	0.0932	0.1224 (29.7)	0.1156 (23.3)	0.1155 (25.7)
Jharel Cotton	0.1608	0.1073 (25.3)	0.1166 (20.9)	0.1095 (23.1)
Brad Peacock	0.0842	0.1223 (25.6)	0.1244 (25.9)	0.1272 (29.2)
Gio González	0.0834	0.1151 (33.4)	0.1066 (25.2)	0.1055 (27.0)
Bartolo Colon	0.1728	0.1095 (35.4)	0.1191 (30.0)	0.1162 (29.8)
Chase Anderson	0.0826	0.1211 (26.9)	0.1289 (30.5)	0.1248 (30.0)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	0.1245	0.0857	31.6
2	José Ureña	0.1352	0.1064	27.2
3	Corey Kluber	0.0983	0.0721	27.2
4	José Berríos	0.1505	0.1153	27.1
5	Robert Gsellman	0.0976	0.1548	26.6
6	Jon Lester	0.0898	0.1324	25.8
7	Zack Godley	0.1289	0.0973	25.3
8	Archie Bradley	0.1269	0.0483	25.3
9	Stephen Strasburg	0.1047	0.0785	24.5
10	Tanner Roark	0.0953	0.1353	24.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	0.1258	0.0984	30.0
2	Corey Kluber	0.1007	0.0721	28.0
3	Matt Moore	0.1043	0.1468	27.8
4	Andrew Cashner	0.1371	0.1065	26.7
5	Tyler Glasnow	0.1075	0.2000	26.0
6	Jimmy Nelson	0.1296	0.1030	24.7
7	Parker Bridwell	0.1462	0.1057	23.6
8	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1268	0.1682	22.1
9	Kyle Freeland	0.1367	0.1134	21.1
10	Chris Sale	0.1024	0.0858	20.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1540	0.1057	29.0
2	Tyler Glasnow	0.0954	0.2000	28.7
3	Rick Porcello	0.0992	0.1412	27.9
4	Travis Wood	0.1031	0.1766	27.4
5	Kyle Freeland	0.1404	0.1134	25.9
6	Alex Wood	0.1128	0.0814	25.8
7	Matt Moore	0.1046	0.1468	25.0
8	Jon Lester	0.0895	0.1324	24.6
9	Ervin Santana	0.1161	0.0984	24.5
10	Anthony Swarzak	0.1335	0.0693	22.7

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Marcus Stroman	0.0827	0.1082 (28.4)	0.0984 (19.3)	0.1032 (24.6)
Chris Tillman	0.1824	0.1076 (29.5)	0.1201 (24.4)	0.1091 (28.5)
Luis Severino	0.0817	0.1148 (32.5)	0.1066 (25.2)	0.1079 (27.6)
Andrew Cashner	0.0895	0.1129 (22.5)	0.1277 (32.1)	0.1187 (27.0)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1667	0.1187 (25.6)	0.1176 (27.0)	0.1185 (25.3)
Gio González	0.0798	0.1080 (30.3)	0.0973 (20.6)	0.0985 (22.9)
Bartolo Colon	0.1590	0.1023 (31.2)	0.1101 (26.8)	0.1088 (26.6)
Matt Harvey	0.1601	0.0990 (22.6)	0.0996 (22.9)	0.1002 (21.9)
Chase Anderson	0.0756	0.1116 (25.4)	0.1206 (29.8)	0.1167 (28.6)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	0.1132	0.0782	28.9
2	José Ureña	0.1301	0.0994	28.4
3	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1040	0.1515	27.8
4	José Berríos	0.1383	0.1023	27.5
5	Corey Kluber	0.0904	0.0656	25.9
6	Zack Godley	0.1232	0.0925	24.6
7	Stephen Strasburg	0.0963	0.0699	24.5
8	Archie Bradley	0.1186	0.0483	22.9
9	Dylan Covey	0.1130	0.1942	22.5
10	Travis Wood	0.1040	0.1628	21.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	0.1170	0.0891	30.4
2	Corey Kluber	0.0923	0.0656	26.5
3	Matt Moore	0.0959	0.1354	25.4
4	Jimmy Nelson	0.1202	0.0934	24.9
5	Brad Peacock	0.1164	0.0806	23.6
6	Parker Bridwell	0.1372	0.0996	22.2
7	Kyle Freeland	0.1273	0.1032	21.7
8	Nick Pivetta	0.1081	0.1524	21.6
9	Tyler Glasnow	0.0985	0.1738	20.7
10	Richard Bleier	0.1171	0.0528	19.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1445	0.0996	26.6
2	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1065	0.1515	25.6
3	Brad Peacock	0.1184	0.0806	25.6
4	Travis Wood	0.0954	0.1628	25.4
5	Kyle Freeland	0.1306	0.1032	25.1
6	Ervin Santana	0.1089	0.0891	24.9
7	Alex Wood	0.1053	0.0749	24.2
8	Matt Moore	0.0972	0.1354	23.0
9	Tyler Glasnow	0.0899	0.1738	22.8
10	Richard Bleier	0.1232	0.0528	21.1

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ervin Santana	0.4848	0.2222 (186.9)	0.3368 (128.6)	0.3462 (140.2)
JC Ramírez	0.4074	0.0667 (182.5)	0.0839 (201.1)	0.0500 (236.2)
Charlie Morton	0.5600	0.2174 (182.8)	0.3649 (120.8)	0.3333 (154.4)
Alex Wood	0.5926	0.2143 (203.8)	0.1610 (265.5)	0.2917 (199.3)
Jason Vargas	0.5625	0.1818 (252.8)	0.3197 (184.2)	0.3077 (210.5)
Zach Davies	0.5152	0.2500 (178.8)	0.3174 (162.2)	0.3333 (167.8)
Trevor Bauer	0.5313	0.2439 (180.5)	0.3629 (126.6)	0.3125 (181.5)
José Ureña	0.4118	0.1143 (181.8)	0.0776 (242.5)	0.2424 (139.7)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Pomeranz	0.1739	0.5313	230.2
2	José Berríos	0.1429	0.5385	215.2
3	Corey Kluber	0.3158	0.6207	200.9
4	Robbie Ray	0.1905	0.5357	198.8
5	Luis Severino	0.1563	0.4516	195.0
6	Patrick Corbin	0.1463	0.4242	191.3
7	Carlos Carrasco	0.2778	0.5625	190.2
8	Parker Bridwell	0.0769	0.4762	173.6
9	Clayton Kershaw	0.3750	0.6667	166.6
10	CC Sabathia	0.2051	0.5185	166.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chase Anderson	0.1373	0.4800	195.4
2	Brad Peacock	0.0914	0.3824	159.3
3	Jakob Junis	0.0852	0.4500	154.2
4	Nick Pivetta	0.0639	0.3077	142.8
5	Mike Clevinger	0.1636	0.4444	141.4
6	Zack Godley	0.0831	0.3077	141.3
7	Matt Moore	0.3653	0.1875	139.9
8	Ricky Nolasco	0.3585	0.1818	138.5
9	José Berríos	0.3236	0.5385	132.8
10	Corey Kluber	0.4531	0.6207	130.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Godley	0.0606	0.3077	169.7
2	Parker Bridwell	0.1667	0.4762	163.9
3	Matt Moore	0.4091	0.1875	156.4
4	Patrick Corbin	0.2692	0.4242	147.5
5	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2400	0.4063	145.2
6	Luis Severino	0.3030	0.4516	134.8
7	CC Sabathia	0.3333	0.5185	130.1
8	Rick Porcello	0.5000	0.3333	126.6
9	Chris Tillman	0.3448	0.0417	124.1
10	Ian Kennedy	0.3793	0.1667	123.8

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
JC Ramírez	0.3704	0.0889 (141.5)	0.0882 (178.7)	0.0500 (204.5)
Corey Kluber	0.1379	0.2632 (138.7)	0.2958 (117.9)	0.2903 (111.0)
Jimmy Nelson	0.2069	0.3250 (124.7)	0.4085 (142.3)	0.3793 (118.6)
Rick Porcello	0.5152	0.2250 (209.7)	0.3209 (177.4)	0.3000 (198.8)
Michael Fulmer	0.4800	0.1795 (167.2)	0.3321 (104.2)	0.2963 (130.6)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Richard	0.1143	0.4688	258.5
2	Jharel Cotton	0.1000	0.4167	149.1
3	Ty Blach	0.0909	0.3529	144.5
4	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1892	0.4483	142.5
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.1579	0.4000	142.0
6	Matt Moore	0.2381	0.4688	140.2
7	Derek Holland	0.2059	0.4828	140.0
8	Daniel Gossett	0.2227	0.6111	138.8
9	Danny Duffy	0.1395	0.4167	136.4
10	Bartolo Colon	0.2368	0.5000	136.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.0777	0.3846	182.8
2	Ty Blach	0.1225	0.3529	163.7
3	Zack Godley	0.0960	0.3462	160.7
4	Tim Adleman	0.0813	0.3667	154.8
5	Ben Lively	0.0833	0.4667	144.9
6	Rafael Montero	0.0848	0.3235	134.7
7	Joe Biagini	0.0472	0.2955	131.5
8	Parker Bridwell	0.4141	0.1429	130.4
9	Ervin Santana	0.3868	0.2424	119.4
10	Matt Moore	0.3343	0.4688	111.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Richard	0.1481	0.4688	283.2
2	Zack Godley	0.0606	0.3462	185.0
3	Jeff Samardzija	0.3103	0.4688	142.2
4	Joe Biagini	0.0500	0.2955	131.8
5	Andrew Triggs	0.0476	0.5000	130.7
6	Miguel González	0.3200	0.4815	116.9
7	Madison Bumgarner	0.2813	0.5294	115.9
8	Daniel Gossett	0.3462	0.6111	113.6
9	Yu Darvish	0.2500	0.3871	112.3
10	Patrick Corbin	0.2692	0.3939	110.8

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Sean Doolittle	0.4528	0.1563 (62.5)	0.1661 (55.3)	0.0909 (71.3)
Felipe Vázquez	0.2877	0.0385 (81.0)	0.0219 (77.9)	0.0299 (77.3)
Brad Brach	0.2687	0.0400 (68.6)	0.0000 (72.2)	0.0317 (65.2)
Corey Knebel	0.5132	0.0303 (155.6)	0.0523 (140.5)	0.0370 (147.1)
Héctor Neris	0.3514	0.0400 (106.3)	0.1692 (56.3)	0.0286 (103.3)
Bud Norris	0.3167	0.0263 (83.1)	0.0000 (82.9)	0.0000 (84.6)
Brad Hand	0.2917	0.0208 (90.7)	0.0563 (71.3)	0.0132 (86.6)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Colomé	0.3158	0.7231	120.3
2	Raisel Iglesias	0.0882	0.4444	115.4
3	Ken Giles	0.1569	0.5397	99.7
4	Kelvin Herrera	0.0741	0.4063	91.4
5	Edwin Díaz	0.2121	0.5152	90.0
6	Fernando Rodney	0.3061	0.6393	81.8
7	Brandon Kintzler	0.1622	0.4028	75.3
8	Roberto Osuna	0.3148	0.5909	73.9
9	Blake Treinen	0.0208	0.2222	72.2
10	Wade Davis	0.2750	0.5424	69.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tony Watson	0.5564	0.1408	122.7
2	Greg Holland	0.2673	0.6721	93.7
3	Alex Colomé	0.4213	0.7231	83.1
4	Cam Bedrosian	0.5061	0.1250	73.6
5	Ryan Madson	0.3600	0.0333	72.9
6	David Robertson	0.4992	0.2295	72.8
7	Sam Dyson	0.5164	0.2545	69.7
8	Andrew Miller	0.3016	0.0351	66.5
9	Ryan Pressly	0.2387	0.0000	61.7
10	Seunghwan Oh	0.5475	0.3226	61.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Raisel Iglesias	0.0000	0.4444	136.0
2	Jeremy Jeffress	0.4286	0.0000	126.4
3	David Robertson	0.6379	0.2295	107.8
4	Luke Gregerson	0.3729	0.0154	94.0
5	Ryan Madson	0.4348	0.0333	87.9
6	Héctor Rondón	0.3607	0.0000	85.5
7	Santiago Casilla	0.5660	0.2540	80.8
8	Ken Giles	0.2143	0.5397	80.4
9	Edwin Díaz	0.2368	0.5152	77.4
10	Kelvin Herrera	0.1127	0.4063	76.0

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ryan Madson	0.4167	0.1489 (66.1)	0.0952 (69.6)	0.0000 (78.6)
Anthony Swarzak	0.3857	0.0833 (101.9)	0.1428 (72.5)	0.0000 (99.4)
Andrew Miller	0.4737	0.2115 (72.2)	0.1411 (80.3)	0.0000 (101.5)
Tommy Hunter	0.4262	0.1176 (78.1)	0.1460 (63.1)	0.0000 (84.1)
Jacob Barnes	0.3425	0.0870 (88.0)	0.1499 (57.4)	0.0000 (86.6)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Devenski	0.1053	0.4032	104.9
2	Archie Bradley	0.0750	0.3968	103.2
3	José Ramirez	0.1111	0.3971	82.5
4	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0625	0.2500	78.4
5	Taylor Rogers	0.1389	0.4348	78.2
6	JC Ramírez	0.1556	0.0000	75.4
7	Ryan Tepera	0.0417	0.2329	71.8
8	Kirby Yates	0.0625	0.3226	67.9
9	Joe Biagini	0.1316	0.2273	67.0
10	Nick Vincent	0.2093	0.4203	64.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ureña	0.1938	0.0000	143.0
2	JC Ramírez	0.1986	0.0000	125.4
3	Brent Suter	0.2331	0.0000	80.7
4	Brad Peacock	0.1335	0.0000	74.9
5	Peter Moylan	0.0000	0.3038	72.9
6	Trevor Williams	0.1090	0.0000	72.3
7	Mike Minor	0.0291	0.2615	70.2
8	Francisco Liriano	0.0000	0.1579	67.7
9	Ty Blach	0.0913	0.0000	65.7
10	Kirby Yates	0.0487	0.3226	62.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Devenski	0.0000	0.4032	109.2
2	Archie Bradley	0.0000	0.3968	98.4
3	Nick Vincent	0.0000	0.4203	95.0
4	Taylor Rogers	0.0000	0.4348	89.4
5	Joe Biagini	0.0000	0.2273	87.7
6	José Ramirez	0.0000	0.3971	87.6
7	Bryan Shaw	0.0000	0.3291	84.7
8	Pedro Báez	0.0000	0.3485	81.5
9	Kyle Barraclough	0.0000	0.3333	78.9
10	David Phelps	0.0000	0.3889	78.9

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Kluber	2.2537	3.2927 (1152.0)	3.4179 (1178.7)	3.1054 (931.5)
Marcus Stroman	3.0896	4.0663 (1184.6)	3.7291 (827.6)	3.9668 (1021.1)
Jordan Zimmermann	6.0750	3.9041 (1231.5)	4.5417 (841.7)	4.1442 (1129.2)
Chris Tillman	7.8387	4.0784 (1472.6)	4.7206 (1227.8)	4.3114 (1412.0)
Luis Severino	2.9793	4.4118 (1469.0)	4.0902 (1146.0)	4.2039 (1230.7)
Andrew Cashner	3.4020	4.4056 (1018.9)	5.1015 (1444.8)	4.8045 (1231.7)
Tyler Glasnow	7.6935	4.0068 (989.1)	3.8646 (1060.2)	3.6049 (1141.2)
Jeremy Guthrie	135.0000	4.7368 (1557.8)	5.2515 (1552.7)	4.4370 (1562.6)
Ubaldo Jiménez	6.8131	4.6616 (1106.7)	4.6469 (1175.1)	4.8100 (1073.1)
Gio González	2.9552	4.1530 (1357.5)	3.7449 (944.8)	3.8572 (1032.9)
Bartolo Colon	6.4825	3.8448 (1421.8)	4.2076 (1245.6)	4.2026 (1252.5)
Matt Harvey	6.7014	3.7143 (1096.2)	3.7530 (1118.7)	3.8298 (1088.1)
Chase Anderson	2.7382	4.2600 (1118.4)	4.7163 (1326.2)	4.6396 (1279.4)

Individual Misses for ERA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	4.4417	2.8889	1327.7
2	José Berríos	5.5519	3.8924	1295.6
3	José Ureña	5.1114	3.8193	1256.7
4	Zack Godley	4.7955	3.3677	1173.4
5	Stephen Strasburg	3.5607	2.5152	1043.9
6	Travis Wood	3.9857	6.7979	1032.7
7	Archie Bradley	4.7093	1.7260	993.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	4.5410	3.2792	1395.0
2	Jimmy Nelson	4.8010	3.4905	1210.8
3	Matt Moore	3.6675	5.5239	1187.8
4	Parker Bridwell	5.6173	3.6446	1144.1
5	Brad Peacock	4.5361	3.0000	1031.3
6	Kyle Freeland	5.1078	4.0962	938.7
7	Nick Pivetta	4.2285	6.0226	841.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	6.1227	3.6446	1390.0
2	Ervin Santana	4.3177	3.2792	1197.2
3	Travis Wood	3.7088	6.7979	1195.5
4	Brad Peacock	4.7647	3.0000	1153.0
5	Kyle Freeland	5.4162	4.0962	1147.0
6	Matt Moore	3.8160	5.5239	1075.0
7	Alex Wood	4.0865	2.7177	1053.5

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ervin Santana	1.1262	1.2673 (174.8)	1.3627 (227.7)	1.3817 (253.6)
Derek Holland	1.7111	1.3425 (192.4)	1.4327 (157.4)	1.4098 (164.8)
Corey Kluber	0.8691	1.1082 (233.3)	1.1492 (238.7)	1.1022 (210.7)
Chris Tillman	1.8925	1.3105 (231.2)	1.4154 (199.8)	1.3593 (219.8)
Luis Severino	1.0397	1.3399 (283.0)	1.3128 (235.0)	1.2829 (220.2)
Tyler Glasnow	2.0161	1.3356 (188.9)	1.4048 (178.2)	1.3978 (177.0)
Wade Miley	1.7288	1.3755 (212.7)	1.3855 (230.3)	1.3944 (215.8)
Jeremy Guthrie	15.0000	1.3889 (162.6)	1.4723 (162.0)	1.3566 (163.3)
Zack Godley	1.1419	1.3631 (177.0)	1.3759 (163.6)	1.3929 (181.2)
Bartolo Colon	1.5874	1.2395 (185.8)	1.2794 (182.1)	1.2729 (179.1)
Matt Harvey	1.6942	1.2381 (170.2)	1.2168 (194.1)	1.2199 (188.1)
Chase Anderson	1.0896	1.3333 (173.5)	1.3676 (173.5)	1.3819 (187.9)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Berríos	1.5152	1.2288	214.1
2	Robbie Ray	1.4065	1.1543	208.4
3	Gio González	1.3418	1.1791	185.2
4	Alex Wood	1.2915	1.0569	181.7
5	Johnny Cueto	1.1216	1.4457	170.3
6	Chad Green	1.3398	0.7391	167.4
7	Jordan Zimmermann	1.2557	1.5500	166.2
8	Travis Wood	1.3000	1.7340	162.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	1.6002	1.1983	211.0
2	Matt Moore	1.2671	1.5315	187.5
3	Jimmy Nelson	1.4630	1.2490	175.5
4	Rafael Montero	1.4200	1.7479	165.5
5	Zack Greinke	1.2488	1.0725	162.8
6	Kevin Gausman	1.2732	1.4946	158.6
7	Chris Sale	1.1264	0.9705	155.7
8	Jordan Montgomery	1.4401	1.2296	154.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	1.6506	1.1983	241.2
2	Johnny Cueto	1.1268	1.4457	182.0
3	Travis Wood	1.3022	1.7340	171.7
4	Chad Green	1.3679	0.7391	168.7
5	Jhoulys Chacín	1.4514	1.2699	167.9
6	Alex Wood	1.2811	1.0569	161.0
7	Max Scherzer	1.0680	0.9020	159.2
8	Jerad Eickhoff	1.2098	1.5234	158.8