2016 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Biggest Plate Appearances (PA) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nomar Mazara 1 568 567.0
2 Michael Brantley 566 43 523.0
3 AJ Pollock 565 46 519.0
4 Pablo Sandoval 515 7 508.0
5 Aledmys Díaz 1 460 459.0
6 Mike Moustakas 560 113 447.0
7 Tim Anderson 1 431 430.0
8 Andre Ethier 454 26 428.0
9 Corey Seager 267 687 420.0
10 Trevor Story 1 415 414.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nomar Mazara 20 568 548.1
2 Kyle Schwarber 537 5 531.9
3 Cory Spangenberg 550 53 496.5
4 Héctor Olivera 512 21 491.4
5 Mike Moustakas 574 113 460.5
6 Eduardo Núñez 159 595 436.0
7 Hernán Pérez 1 430 429.0
8 Pablo Sandoval 421 7 413.6
9 David Peralta 587 183 403.6
10 Shin-Soo Choo 608 210 398.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charles Tilson 598 2 596.0
2 Dalton Pompey 598 2 596.0
3 Max Moroff 584 2 582.0
4 Kyle Schwarber 586 5 581.0
5 Matt Olson 607 28 579.0
6 Matt Davidson 580 2 578.0
7 Michael Brantley 614 43 571.0
8 Arismendy Alcántara 585 19 566.0
9 Matt Duffy 564 3 561.0
10 Raimel Tapia 600 41 559.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 585 5 580.0
2 Chris Colabello 507 32 475.0
3 Nomar Mazara 102 568 466.0
4 Michael Brantley 508 43 465.0
5 Aledmys Díaz 1 460 459.0
6 José Ramírez 171 618 447.0
7 Hernán Pérez 1 430 429.0
8 Paulo Orlando 65 484 419.0
9 Mike Moustakas 517 113 404.0
10 Cory Spangenberg 456 53 403.0

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jean Segura 0.2854 0.3694 51.4
2 Daniel Murphy 0.3193 0.4133 48.9
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.3066 0.3875 45.0
4 Andrew McCutchen 0.3816 0.3325 39.8
5 Jonathan Villar 0.2900 0.3550 37.4
6 José Ramírez 0.2856 0.3547 36.5
7 Jose Altuve 0.3337 0.3936 35.8
8 Jason Heyward 0.3314 0.2813 35.6
9 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.2921 0.3568 34.8
10 Charlie Blackmon 0.3315 0.3939 33.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jean Segura 0.2912 0.3694 49.1
2 DJ LeMahieu 0.3143 0.3875 41.7
3 Jason Heyward 0.3441 0.2813 41.6
4 Daniel Murphy 0.3349 0.4133 41.2
5 Bryce Harper 0.4121 0.3543 40.9
6 Jonathan Villar 0.2890 0.3550 39.7
7 Andrew McCutchen 0.3823 0.3325 38.7
8 Charlie Blackmon 0.3283 0.3939 37.2
9 Jose Altuve 0.3350 0.3936 36.6
10 Corey Seager 0.3138 0.3745 36.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.4310 0.3543 60.9
2 Jason Heyward 0.3413 0.2813 47.7
3 Andrew McCutchen 0.3803 0.3325 46.1
4 Jean Segura 0.2856 0.3694 43.9
5 Daniel Murphy 0.3220 0.4133 41.1
6 Chris Davis 0.3815 0.3416 40.2
7 DJ LeMahieu 0.3109 0.3875 35.6
8 Derek Norris 0.3128 0.2565 35.2
9 Mark Teixeira 0.3409 0.2880 32.1
10 Giancarlo Stanton 0.3945 0.3469 32.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew McCutchen 0.3932 0.3325 45.2
2 Daniel Murphy 0.3308 0.4133 44.4
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.3133 0.3875 43.2
4 Jean Segura 0.3018 0.3694 42.6
5 Jonathan Villar 0.2873 0.3550 41.8
6 Jason Heyward 0.3445 0.2813 41.1
7 Charlie Blackmon 0.3254 0.3939 39.9
8 David Ortiz 0.3582 0.4257 38.4
9 Bryce Harper 0.4093 0.3543 38.3
10 Aledmys Díaz 0.2899 0.3722 35.0

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bryant 0.2773 0.2203 44.5
2 Trevor Story 0.2059 0.3133 41.8
3 Alex Gordon 0.2038 0.2925 41.5
4 Russell Martin 0.1984 0.2766 38.3
5 Aledmys Díaz 0.2059 0.1304 37.8
6 Keon Broxton 0.2049 0.3607 36.4
7 Derek Norris 0.2174 0.3035 36.4
8 DJ LeMahieu 0.1764 0.1260 36.2
9 Byron Buxton 0.2437 0.3565 35.1
10 Ryan Schimpf 0.2059 0.3182 34.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bryant 0.2831 0.2203 52.7
2 Carlos Santana 0.1857 0.1439 37.5
3 Byron Buxton 0.2332 0.3565 36.6
4 Alex Gordon 0.2092 0.2925 35.7
5 Salvador Perez 0.1399 0.2179 35.7
6 Brett Gardner 0.2106 0.1672 35.6
7 Kole Calhoun 0.2149 0.1756 34.9
8 DJ LeMahieu 0.1681 0.1260 34.8
9 Ian Desmond 0.2746 0.2363 34.5
10 Derek Norris 0.2185 0.3035 33.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bryant 0.3024 0.2203 56.2
2 George Springer 0.3062 0.2392 48.5
3 Salvador Perez 0.1387 0.2179 44.2
4 Alex Gordon 0.2139 0.2925 40.6
5 Ian Kinsler 0.1141 0.1694 38.7
6 Rougned Odor 0.1582 0.2136 36.1
7 Edwin Encarnación 0.1480 0.1966 35.3
8 Francisco Lindor 0.1811 0.1287 34.8
9 Victor Martinez 0.0926 0.1475 34.6
10 Chase Utley 0.1444 0.2035 34.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bryant 0.2918 0.2203 53.3
2 George Springer 0.2937 0.2392 44.0
3 Nomar Mazara 0.2647 0.1972 41.0
4 Javier Báez 0.3213 0.2400 38.7
5 Derek Norris 0.2146 0.3035 38.5
6 Brett Gardner 0.2224 0.1672 38.0
7 Alex Gordon 0.2135 0.2925 37.6
8 Salvador Perez 0.1444 0.2179 37.6
9 Carlos Santana 0.1908 0.1439 35.5
10 Russell Martin 0.2084 0.2766 34.0

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Belt 0.0911 0.1588 40.8
2 Josh Donaldson 0.1031 0.1557 33.1
3 Nolan Arenado 0.0540 0.0977 26.7
4 Mike Trout 0.1262 0.1703 26.4
5 Didi Gregorius 0.0701 0.0318 26.1
6 Tim Anderson 0.0832 0.0302 25.2
7 Ben Zobrist 0.1071 0.1521 25.0
8 Matt Joyce 0.1108 0.2014 24.9
9 Ketel Marte 0.0866 0.0386 24.9
10 Jonathan Villar 0.0767 0.1163 23.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Belt 0.0949 0.1588 38.5
2 Josh Donaldson 0.1013 0.1557 34.6
3 Matt Joyce 0.1087 0.2014 25.7
4 Nolan Arenado 0.0577 0.0977 24.3
5 Kirk Nieuwenhuis 0.0788 0.1429 23.1
6 Didi Gregorius 0.0654 0.0318 23.1
7 Jonathan Villar 0.0778 0.1163 22.8
8 Ben Zobrist 0.1123 0.1521 22.0
9 Odúbel Herrera 0.0579 0.0960 21.7
10 Francisco Cervelli 0.0836 0.1425 21.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Belt 0.0969 0.1588 32.9
2 Joey Votto 0.1951 0.1595 32.0
3 Josh Donaldson 0.0985 0.1557 31.9
4 Didi Gregorius 0.0661 0.0318 27.4
5 Manny Machado 0.0948 0.0690 26.1
6 Andrew McCutchen 0.1290 0.1022 26.0
7 Justin Upton 0.1084 0.0799 25.2
8 Nolan Arenado 0.0507 0.0977 24.6
9 Evan Longoria 0.0828 0.0613 22.7
10 Matt Joyce 0.1122 0.2014 22.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Belt 0.0955 0.1588 39.4
2 Josh Donaldson 0.1066 0.1557 32.2
3 Nolan Arenado 0.0566 0.0977 26.4
4 Mookie Betts 0.0981 0.0671 24.9
5 Ben Zobrist 0.1100 0.1521 24.6
6 Andrew McCutchen 0.1354 0.1022 24.5
7 Joey Votto 0.1920 0.1595 24.1
8 Didi Gregorius 0.0688 0.0318 23.9
9 DJ LeMahieu 0.0631 0.1039 23.9
10 Jonathan Villar 0.0786 0.1163 23.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Guyer 0.0404 0.0899 17.0
2 Derek Dietrich 0.0327 0.0583 10.4
3 Danny Espinosa 0.0181 0.0333 9.0
4 Rougned Odor 0.0201 0.0063 8.9
5 Kris Bryant 0.0129 0.0258 8.8
6 Ian Kinsler 0.0067 0.0191 8.3
7 Addison Russell 0.0062 0.0201 8.1
8 Stephen Piscotty 0.0060 0.0185 8.0
9 Javier Báez 0.0074 0.0244 7.6
10 Neil Walker 0.0162 0.0022 6.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Guyer 0.0310 0.0899 20.2
2 Derek Dietrich 0.0310 0.0583 11.1
3 Danny Espinosa 0.0160 0.0333 10.2
4 Kris Bryant 0.0130 0.0258 8.7
5 Ian Kinsler 0.0080 0.0191 7.4
6 Jung Ho Kang 0.0180 0.0378 7.2
7 Addison Russell 0.0080 0.0201 7.0
8 Neil Walker 0.0160 0.0022 6.5
9 Dexter Fowler 0.0080 0.0200 6.4
10 Tyler Flowers 0.0140 0.0338 6.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Guyer 0.0455 0.0899 15.1
2 Rougned Odor 0.0214 0.0063 10.0
3 Addison Russell 0.0060 0.0201 8.0
4 Ian Kinsler 0.0078 0.0191 7.2
5 Danny Espinosa 0.0207 0.0333 7.2
6 Jon Jay 0.0339 0.0160 6.9
7 Kris Bryant 0.0152 0.0258 6.9
8 Dexter Fowler 0.0070 0.0200 6.8
9 Derek Dietrich 0.0413 0.0583 6.7
10 Neil Walker 0.0160 0.0022 6.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Guyer 0.0000 0.0899 27.8
2 Derek Dietrich 0.0000 0.0583 20.2
3 Danny Espinosa 0.0000 0.0333 14.5
4 Kris Bryant 0.0000 0.0258 11.6
5 Starling Marte 0.0000 0.0302 11.2
6 Jung Ho Kang 0.0000 0.0378 10.6
7 Anthony Rizzo 0.0000 0.0237 9.8
8 José Abreu 0.0000 0.0216 8.6
9 Tyler Flowers 0.0000 0.0338 8.0
10 Adam Eaton 0.0000 0.0198 7.5

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mark Trumbo 0.0580 0.1061 26.0
2 Trevor Story 0.0459 0.1102 22.9
3 Yasmany Tomás 0.0305 0.0785 21.9
4 Jake Lamb 0.0319 0.0777 21.8
5 Gary Sánchez 0.0340 0.1370 21.5
6 Brian Dozier 0.0485 0.0868 20.2
7 Ryan Schimpf 0.0459 0.1149 19.8
8 Carlos González 0.0769 0.0548 19.7
9 Jedd Gyorko 0.0453 0.0984 19.3
10 Brad Miller 0.0342 0.0746 18.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brian Dozier 0.0429 0.0868 25.4
2 Trevor Story 0.0423 0.1102 25.2
3 Khris Davis 0.0620 0.1066 22.8
4 Jake Lamb 0.0366 0.0777 20.2
5 Brad Miller 0.0342 0.0746 20.0
6 Bryce Harper 0.0848 0.0602 19.9
7 Mark Trumbo 0.0697 0.1061 19.5
8 Yasmany Tomás 0.0376 0.0785 19.0
9 Robinson Canó 0.0362 0.0696 18.8
10 José Abreu 0.0687 0.0492 18.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0942 0.0602 28.3
2 Mark Reynolds 0.0947 0.0495 24.9
3 Carlos González 0.0826 0.0548 24.6
4 Khris Davis 0.0561 0.1066 24.0
5 George Springer 0.0804 0.0621 21.9
6 Jake Lamb 0.0324 0.0777 20.3
7 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0720 0.0548 20.0
8 José Abreu 0.0668 0.0492 20.0
9 Jason Heyward 0.0385 0.0159 19.9
10 Carlos Correa 0.0635 0.0454 19.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos González 0.0923 0.0548 27.1
2 Trevor Story 0.0507 0.1102 22.5
3 José Abreu 0.0758 0.0492 22.2
4 George Springer 0.0863 0.0621 22.0
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0804 0.0548 21.9
6 Mike Napoli 0.0558 0.0924 20.2
7 Brian Dozier 0.0523 0.0868 20.1
8 Ryan Schimpf 0.0489 0.1149 20.0
9 Bryce Harper 0.0861 0.0602 19.6
10 Javier Báez 0.0820 0.0443 19.4

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Villar 0.3010 0.3679 45.3
2 Bryce Harper 0.3362 0.2640 45.3
3 Joe Panik 0.3247 0.2434 42.8
4 José Ramírez 0.2635 0.3320 42.3
5 Paulo Orlando 0.2913 0.3757 40.8
6 Tyler Naquin 0.2999 0.4070 39.1
7 Jean Segura 0.2945 0.3506 38.8
8 Mark Reynolds 0.2765 0.3606 37.0
9 J.T. Realmuto 0.2896 0.3566 36.5
10 Ben Revere 0.3272 0.2327 35.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.3321 0.2640 43.9
2 Jonathan Villar 0.3025 0.3679 43.2
3 Corey Seager 0.2973 0.3553 38.6
4 J.T. Realmuto 0.2844 0.3566 38.4
5 Paulo Orlando 0.2991 0.3757 36.2
6 Ben Revere 0.3250 0.2327 35.3
7 Jean Segura 0.3014 0.3506 32.8
8 José Ramírez 0.2775 0.3320 32.6
9 Andrew McCutchen 0.3412 0.2972 30.9
10 Sandy León 0.2740 0.3838 30.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.3456 0.2640 53.1
2 Paulo Orlando 0.2874 0.3757 41.2
3 Mark Reynolds 0.2720 0.3606 37.7
4 Todd Frazier 0.2881 0.2354 37.2
5 Ben Revere 0.3254 0.2327 36.0
6 Tyler Naquin 0.3092 0.4070 34.5
7 Jonathan Villar 0.3139 0.3679 34.5
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.2917 0.3566 33.7
9 José Ramírez 0.2745 0.3320 33.6
10 Yan Gomes 0.3099 0.1886 32.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paulo Orlando 0.2708 0.3757 53.0
2 Sandy León 0.2203 0.3838 47.6
3 Bryce Harper 0.3435 0.2640 46.9
4 Mark Reynolds 0.2746 0.3606 39.9
5 Ben Revere 0.3416 0.2327 39.1
6 Carlos González 0.2885 0.3457 39.0
7 Hyun Soo Kim 0.2449 0.3454 36.4
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.2984 0.3566 34.2
9 José Ramírez 0.2826 0.3320 33.4
10 Ryan Howard 0.3007 0.2051 32.9

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paulo Orlando 0.2000 0.2966 47.5
2 Joe Panik 0.2529 0.1759 39.7
3 Jake Lamb 0.2454 0.1773 39.6
4 J.T. Realmuto 0.2149 0.2793 35.9
5 Ben Revere 0.2778 0.1824 35.2
6 Ryan Schimpf 0.2243 0.1169 35.0
7 Bryce Harper 0.2500 0.1947 33.8
8 Jonathan Villar 0.2194 0.2667 33.1
9 Corey Dickerson 0.2320 0.1746 30.6
10 David Freese 0.2327 0.2908 29.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.T. Realmuto 0.2143 0.2793 35.9
2 Jake Lamb 0.2379 0.1773 35.4
3 Ben Revere 0.2774 0.1824 35.3
4 Danny Valencia 0.2148 0.2786 33.5
5 Ian Desmond 0.2304 0.2780 32.9
6 Paulo Orlando 0.2329 0.2966 31.3
7 Joe Panik 0.2361 0.1759 31.2
8 Bryce Harper 0.2451 0.1947 31.0
9 César Hernández 0.2524 0.3009 30.8
10 Cameron Maybin 0.2344 0.3118 30.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.2569 0.1947 39.4
2 Ben Revere 0.2781 0.1824 36.1
3 Paulo Orlando 0.2246 0.2966 34.6
4 Jake Lamb 0.2342 0.1773 34.2
5 Corey Seager 0.2097 0.2596 33.8
6 J.T. Realmuto 0.2167 0.2793 33.8
7 Danny Valencia 0.2140 0.2786 33.0
8 Mark Reynolds 0.1967 0.2714 32.7
9 Joe Panik 0.2335 0.1759 30.6
10 Ian Desmond 0.2324 0.2780 30.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paulo Orlando 0.2083 0.2966 44.8
2 Carlos González 0.1803 0.2436 42.7
3 J.T. Realmuto 0.2095 0.2793 40.3
4 Ben Revere 0.2940 0.1824 40.3
5 Ian Desmond 0.2230 0.2780 40.1
6 Bryce Harper 0.2614 0.1947 39.2
7 Cameron Maybin 0.2277 0.3118 34.5
8 Hyun Soo Kim 0.1837 0.2771 33.8
9 Nomar Mazara 0.2031 0.2583 33.7
10 Jake Lamb 0.2380 0.1773 33.5

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jean Segura 0.0388 0.0785 26.3
2 José Ramírez 0.0540 0.0926 22.7
3 Nomar Mazara 0.0685 0.0332 21.1
4 Odúbel Herrera 0.0767 0.0479 20.1
5 Colby Rasmus 0.0879 0.0420 19.9
6 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 0.1024 0.0370 19.6
7 Freddie Freeman 0.0811 0.1105 19.1
8 Travis Shaw 0.0642 0.1015 18.8
9 David Ortiz 0.0826 0.1143 18.6
10 Maikel Franco 0.0775 0.0507 18.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Villar 0.0595 0.0938 21.8
2 José Ramírez 0.0558 0.0926 21.3
3 Jean Segura 0.0470 0.0785 20.3
4 Joc Pederson 0.0585 0.1024 19.8
5 David Ortiz 0.0815 0.1143 19.1
6 Danny Espinosa 0.0749 0.0456 19.0
7 Freddie Freeman 0.0817 0.1105 18.4
8 Adam Jones 0.0639 0.0393 18.1
9 Neil Walker 0.0660 0.0292 17.9
10 Nomar Mazara 0.0617 0.0332 17.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jean Segura 0.0391 0.0785 24.7
2 Maikel Franco 0.0823 0.0507 22.4
3 Jonathan Villar 0.0583 0.0938 21.5
4 Danny Espinosa 0.0766 0.0456 21.0
5 Neil Walker 0.0696 0.0292 20.3
6 Colby Rasmus 0.0866 0.0420 20.2
7 Albert Pujols 0.0655 0.0385 20.1
8 Adam Jones 0.0649 0.0393 19.9
9 Hanley Ramirez 0.0976 0.0695 19.8
10 Nomar Mazara 0.0637 0.0332 19.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nomar Mazara 0.0938 0.0332 34.5
2 José Ramírez 0.0507 0.0926 25.7
3 David Ortiz 0.0742 0.1143 25.0
4 Jean Segura 0.0446 0.0785 23.4
5 Kris Bryant 0.1169 0.0847 22.6
6 Nick Markakis 0.0440 0.0769 22.4
7 Nolan Arenado 0.1044 0.0726 22.3
8 Andrew McCutchen 0.0918 0.0599 21.7
9 Jonathan Villar 0.0616 0.0938 21.7
10 Cameron Rupp 0.0507 0.1000 20.6

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 César Hernández 0.0096 0.0255 10.1
2 Trea Turner 0.0065 0.0338 8.9
3 Ryan Schimpf 0.0072 0.0325 8.4
4 Chris Owings 0.0138 0.0315 8.4
5 Eddie Rosario 0.0324 0.0084 8.4
6 J.T. Realmuto 0.0149 0.0000 8.0
7 Byron Buxton 0.0108 0.0339 7.7
8 Brandon Belt 0.0095 0.0210 7.7
9 Brandon Crawford 0.0138 0.0253 7.3
10 Kolten Wong 0.0073 0.0268 7.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 César Hernández 0.0092 0.0255 9.8
2 Ryan Schimpf 0.0034 0.0325 9.4
3 Chris Owings 0.0113 0.0315 9.2
4 Brandon Crawford 0.0104 0.0253 8.9
5 Evan Gattis 0.0154 0.0000 8.0
6 Jake Lamb 0.0125 0.0262 7.8
7 Freddie Freeman 0.0038 0.0154 7.7
8 Trea Turner 0.0096 0.0338 7.6
9 Adam Duvall 0.0040 0.0165 7.3
10 Tyler Naquin 0.0048 0.0251 7.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Schimpf 0.0039 0.0325 9.9
2 Jay Bruce 0.0027 0.0157 8.5
3 Brandon Crawford 0.0135 0.0253 8.2
4 Chris Owings 0.0156 0.0315 8.1
5 Freddie Freeman 0.0053 0.0154 8.0
6 Brandon Belt 0.0102 0.0210 8.0
7 Jake Lamb 0.0149 0.0262 7.5
8 Rougned Odor 0.0224 0.0091 7.5
9 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0262 0.0071 7.3
10 Jonathan Villar 0.0194 0.0074 7.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Lamb 0.0090 0.0262 10.5
2 Brandon Crawford 0.0119 0.0253 8.7
3 Ryan Schimpf 0.0068 0.0325 8.7
4 Chris Owings 0.0140 0.0315 8.4
5 Brandon Belt 0.0093 0.0210 8.0
6 Yasmany Tomás 0.0174 0.0027 7.9
7 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0268 0.0071 7.9
8 Trea Turner 0.0111 0.0338 7.5
9 Freddie Freeman 0.0053 0.0154 7.4
10 Elvis Andrus 0.0043 0.0159 6.9

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Troy Tulowitzki 0.1480 0.0993 30.3
2 Kris Bryant 0.1275 0.1731 27.0
3 Ian Desmond 0.1117 0.1581 26.7
4 Xander Bogaerts 0.1159 0.1599 26.7
5 José Abreu 0.1275 0.0964 26.4
6 DJ LeMahieu 0.1182 0.1638 24.6
7 Nolan Arenado 0.1248 0.1667 24.3
8 Charlie Blackmon 0.1291 0.1732 23.8
9 Alcides Escobar 0.1100 0.0836 22.7
10 Jean Segura 0.1075 0.1470 22.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.1305 0.0964 29.9
2 DJ LeMahieu 0.1106 0.1638 28.0
3 Ian Desmond 0.1077 0.1581 28.0
4 Jean Segura 0.0982 0.1470 27.6
5 Ian Kinsler 0.1245 0.1723 26.3
6 Jason Heyward 0.1347 0.1030 24.1
7 Aledmys Díaz 0.0948 0.1543 23.2
8 Corey Seager 0.1110 0.1528 22.6
9 Prince Fielder 0.1289 0.0784 22.0
10 Xander Bogaerts 0.1223 0.1599 20.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.1375 0.0964 34.3
2 DJ LeMahieu 0.1046 0.1638 32.3
3 Charlie Blackmon 0.1144 0.1732 32.3
4 Nolan Arenado 0.1144 0.1667 30.6
5 Xander Bogaerts 0.1137 0.1599 27.3
6 Jason Heyward 0.1387 0.1030 26.0
7 Ian Desmond 0.1118 0.1581 25.7
8 Alcides Escobar 0.1121 0.0836 25.1
9 Erick Aybar 0.1203 0.0741 25.0
10 Dustin Pedroia 0.1071 0.1504 24.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.1494 0.0964 38.7
2 DJ LeMahieu 0.1009 0.1638 38.2
3 Troy Tulowitzki 0.1540 0.0993 31.2
4 Jean Segura 0.1022 0.1470 29.3
5 Xander Bogaerts 0.1177 0.1599 28.4
6 Alcides Escobar 0.1220 0.0836 28.0
7 Nolan Arenado 0.1265 0.1667 26.1
8 Carlos Gómez 0.1492 0.0993 23.8
9 Cameron Maybin 0.1028 0.1662 23.8
10 Erick Aybar 0.1232 0.0741 23.8

RBI Rate

Biggest RBI Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Christian Yelich 0.0832 0.1487 38.2
2 Adam Duvall 0.1020 0.1694 36.3
3 Daniel Murphy 0.1113 0.1787 34.8
4 Travis Jankowski 0.1102 0.0313 33.1
5 Jake Lamb 0.0913 0.1532 32.2
6 Chris Davis 0.1621 0.1263 28.9
7 Nick Markakis 0.0807 0.1301 28.6
8 Addison Russell 0.1040 0.1589 28.3
9 Gregory Polanco 0.0911 0.1465 28.1
10 Mookie Betts 0.1097 0.1548 27.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Murphy 0.1092 0.1787 38.5
2 Christian Yelich 0.0946 0.1487 33.4
3 Nick Markakis 0.0809 0.1301 31.4
4 Gregory Polanco 0.0924 0.1465 29.8
5 Mookie Betts 0.1119 0.1548 28.8
6 David Ortiz 0.1546 0.2029 28.1
7 Jose Altuve 0.0925 0.1339 27.3
8 Addison Russell 0.1106 0.1589 26.9
9 Brian Dozier 0.1020 0.1433 26.2
10 Yangervis Solarte 0.0992 0.1603 25.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.1835 0.1263 44.0
2 Mark Teixeira 0.1829 0.1005 40.0
3 Christian Yelich 0.0856 0.1487 35.7
4 Ryan Zimmerman 0.1620 0.0985 33.8
5 Michael Saunders 0.1516 0.1022 32.6
6 Nick Markakis 0.0767 0.1301 30.5
7 Nolan Arenado 0.1422 0.1911 27.9
8 Daniel Murphy 0.1221 0.1787 27.7
9 Brian McCann 0.1649 0.1179 27.5
10 Brett Gardner 0.0987 0.0647 27.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bryant 0.2133 0.1459 48.6
2 Mookie Betts 0.0949 0.1548 42.2
3 Chris Davis 0.1870 0.1263 41.7
4 Jose Altuve 0.0737 0.1339 41.6
5 George Springer 0.1626 0.1102 40.6
6 Jayson Werth 0.1758 0.1139 38.9
7 Josh Donaldson 0.1902 0.1414 35.6
8 Mark Trumbo 0.1070 0.1619 35.2
9 Andrew McCutchen 0.1664 0.1170 34.8
10 Christian Yelich 0.0946 0.1487 34.2

Stolen Base Rate

Biggest Stolen Base Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hernán Pérez 0.0822 0.3579 120.6
2 Trea Turner 0.0714 0.3882 104.2
3 Jonathan Villar 0.2090 0.3280 84.1
4 Eduardo Núñez 0.1370 0.2685 81.0
5 Travis Jankowski 0.0702 0.2752 80.3
6 Wil Myers 0.0667 0.1687 72.2
7 Starling Marte 0.1986 0.3287 71.3
8 Keon Broxton 0.0816 0.3485 66.3
9 Freddy Galvis 0.0574 0.1417 55.5
10 Rajai Davis 0.2700 0.3772 55.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hernán Pérez 0.1068 0.3579 111.7
2 Starling Marte 0.1732 0.3287 86.9
3 Trea Turner 0.1511 0.3882 79.7
4 Eduardo Núñez 0.1459 0.2685 78.1
5 Wil Myers 0.0679 0.1687 74.0
6 Rajai Davis 0.2392 0.3772 72.7
7 Freddy Galvis 0.0491 0.1417 63.2
8 Charlie Blackmon 0.1985 0.0977 59.0
9 B.J. Upton 0.1285 0.2288 58.8
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0711 0.1397 54.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hernán Pérez 0.1313 0.3579 104.0
2 Wil Myers 0.0734 0.1687 74.7
3 Trea Turner 0.1739 0.3882 74.4
4 Freddy Galvis 0.0476 0.1417 68.2
5 Starling Marte 0.2157 0.3287 67.8
6 Bryce Harper 0.0269 0.1141 64.2
7 Eduardo Núñez 0.1833 0.2685 59.7
8 Manny Machado 0.1000 0.0000 59.0
9 Carlos Correa 0.1729 0.0726 56.2
10 George Springer 0.1339 0.0441 55.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hernán Pérez 0.1261 0.3579 100.8
2 Eduardo Núñez 0.1333 0.2685 81.9
3 Wil Myers 0.0559 0.1687 78.0
4 Trea Turner 0.1633 0.3882 73.7
5 Starling Marte 0.2031 0.3287 67.8
6 Freddy Galvis 0.0405 0.1417 64.7
7 Rajai Davis 0.2500 0.3772 64.2
8 George Springer 0.1310 0.0441 62.7
9 B.J. Upton 0.1228 0.2288 58.5
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0622 0.1397 56.5

Batting Average

Biggest Batting Average Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.2426 0.3115 41.8
2 DJ LeMahieu 0.2819 0.3478 41.1
3 Jean Segura 0.2625 0.3187 38.1
4 Daniel Murphy 0.2805 0.3465 37.7
5 Derek Norris 0.2553 0.1855 32.5
6 Bryce Harper 0.2921 0.2431 31.5
7 Ben Revere 0.2980 0.2171 30.8
8 Joe Panik 0.2941 0.2392 29.5
9 Wilson Ramos 0.2495 0.3071 29.5
10 Jonathan Villar 0.2407 0.2852 29.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DJ LeMahieu 0.2881 0.3478 38.2
2 Bryce Harper 0.3005 0.2431 35.8
3 Jean Segura 0.2703 0.3187 33.8
4 Jonathan Villar 0.2382 0.2852 32.2
5 Corey Seager 0.2624 0.3078 31.4
6 José Ramírez 0.2616 0.3115 31.1
7 Ben Revere 0.2998 0.2171 30.9
8 Prince Fielder 0.2909 0.2117 29.2
9 Wilson Ramos 0.2516 0.3071 29.2
10 Ian Desmond 0.2428 0.2848 28.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.3108 0.2431 47.5
2 Chris Davis 0.2654 0.2208 34.9
3 Ben Revere 0.3007 0.2171 34.4
4 DJ LeMahieu 0.2868 0.3478 33.7
5 Derek Norris 0.2470 0.1855 31.8
6 Daniel Murphy 0.2850 0.3465 31.2
7 Jason Heyward 0.2744 0.2302 30.9
8 Andrew McCutchen 0.2927 0.2559 30.3
9 Jean Segura 0.2670 0.3187 30.3
10 David Ortiz 0.2637 0.3147 26.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DJ LeMahieu 0.2885 0.3478 37.8
2 Paulo Orlando 0.2258 0.3020 36.9
3 David Ortiz 0.2578 0.3147 35.7
4 Ben Revere 0.3110 0.2171 35.1
5 Andrew McCutchen 0.3075 0.2559 34.8
6 Bryce Harper 0.2975 0.2431 34.1
7 José Ramírez 0.2579 0.3115 33.2
8 Sandy León 0.1954 0.3095 32.3
9 Charlie Blackmon 0.2737 0.3235 32.0
10 Jonathan Villar 0.2396 0.2852 31.0

On-Base Percentage

Biggest On-Base Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DJ LeMahieu 0.3327 0.4163 49.7
2 Jean Segura 0.2989 0.3681 44.4
3 Jonathan Villar 0.3017 0.3694 42.4
4 Andrew McCutchen 0.3927 0.3363 41.6
5 Daniel Murphy 0.3226 0.3900 36.2
6 Derek Norris 0.3264 0.2555 34.9
7 José Ramírez 0.3039 0.3630 33.3
8 Wilson Ramos 0.2869 0.3537 32.2
9 Jose Altuve 0.3467 0.3964 31.8
10 Adam Lind 0.3542 0.2860 31.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DJ LeMahieu 0.3390 0.4163 46.7
2 Jonathan Villar 0.3007 0.3694 44.1
3 Jean Segura 0.3033 0.3681 42.4
4 Andrew McCutchen 0.3945 0.3363 41.8
5 Josh Donaldson 0.3497 0.4040 35.4
6 Corey Seager 0.3118 0.3654 34.2
7 Brandon Belt 0.3400 0.3939 32.9
8 Jason Heyward 0.3566 0.3063 32.0
9 César Hernández 0.3166 0.3712 31.6
10 Wilson Ramos 0.2903 0.3537 31.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew McCutchen 0.3917 0.3363 48.5
2 Bryce Harper 0.4308 0.3732 46.4
3 DJ LeMahieu 0.3350 0.4163 41.1
4 Jason Heyward 0.3524 0.3063 37.0
5 Derek Norris 0.3184 0.2555 36.4
6 Jean Segura 0.3002 0.3681 35.7
7 Jonathan Villar 0.3027 0.3694 34.2
8 Justin Upton 0.3479 0.3099 34.1
9 Ben Revere 0.3310 0.2601 32.8
10 Gerardo Parra 0.3351 0.2711 30.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew McCutchen 0.4013 0.3363 48.9
2 DJ LeMahieu 0.3333 0.4163 47.9
3 Jonathan Villar 0.2994 0.3694 42.5
4 Jean Segura 0.3065 0.3681 37.6
5 Jason Heyward 0.3588 0.3063 35.6
6 Charlie Blackmon 0.3182 0.3809 35.4
7 Aledmys Díaz 0.2864 0.3690 34.5
8 Ben Revere 0.3393 0.2601 32.5
9 Derek Norris 0.3184 0.2555 32.3
10 David Ortiz 0.3451 0.4010 30.3

Slugging Percentage

Biggest Slugging Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Murphy 0.4187 0.5951 91.6
2 Jean Segura 0.3640 0.4992 80.6
3 Brian Dozier 0.4252 0.5463 70.5
4 DJ LeMahieu 0.3726 0.4946 65.3
5 Jason Heyward 0.4141 0.3245 64.3
6 Bryce Harper 0.5213 0.4407 62.5
7 Freddie Freeman 0.4622 0.5688 60.6
8 Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.3720 0.4857 60.1
9 Charlie Blackmon 0.4400 0.5519 59.5
10 Jose Altuve 0.4293 0.5313 59.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brian Dozier 0.4050 0.5463 87.9
2 Daniel Murphy 0.4325 0.5951 86.4
3 Bryce Harper 0.5619 0.4407 84.9
4 Jason Heyward 0.4422 0.3245 78.1
5 Jean Segura 0.3735 0.4992 77.4
6 Charlie Blackmon 0.4319 0.5519 67.8
7 David Ortiz 0.4976 0.6201 67.8
8 Jose Altuve 0.4307 0.5313 61.9
9 DJ LeMahieu 0.3840 0.4946 61.2
10 Prince Fielder 0.4736 0.3344 56.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.5920 0.4407 115.8
2 Chris Davis 0.5558 0.4594 86.4
3 Jason Heyward 0.4328 0.3245 83.9
4 Daniel Murphy 0.4230 0.5951 80.7
5 Jean Segura 0.3613 0.4992 72.5
6 Andrew McCutchen 0.4927 0.4298 65.1
7 Mark Teixeira 0.4636 0.3618 59.3
8 Colby Rasmus 0.4610 0.3550 58.1
9 Ramón Flores 0.4204 0.2610 55.7
10 José Bautista 0.5216 0.4515 53.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Murphy 0.4328 0.5951 87.9
2 Brian Dozier 0.4262 0.5463 75.3
3 Bryce Harper 0.5496 0.4407 75.3
4 David Ortiz 0.4911 0.6201 73.8
5 Jason Heyward 0.4313 0.3245 69.8
6 José Abreu 0.5551 0.4679 68.4
7 Jean Segura 0.3918 0.4992 66.8
8 Charlie Blackmon 0.4395 0.5519 64.9
9 Paul Goldschmidt 0.5694 0.4888 64.8
10 DJ LeMahieu 0.3827 0.4946 63.9

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Biggest Batters Faced (BF) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenta Maeda 1 716 715.0
2 Tyson Ross 727 27 700.0
3 Luis Perdomo 1 662 661.0
4 Michael Fulmer 1 647 646.0
5 John Danks 722 100 622.0
6 Chris Heston 627 29 598.0
7 Sean Manaea 1 594 593.0
8 Garrett Richards 732 148 584.0
9 Brett Anderson 639 62 577.0
10 Drew Hutchison 669 104 565.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyson Ross 793 27 766.1
2 Garrett Richards 826 148 677.6
3 Kyle Lohse 707 48 659.3
4 Michael Fulmer 40 647 607.1
5 Andrew Heaney 628 25 602.9
6 Zach Davies 80 682 601.7
7 Phil Hughes 835 259 575.6
8 Christian Friedrich 4 567 562.6
9 Miguel González 4 566 561.7
10 Luis Perdomo 111 662 551.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Heaney 764 25 739.0
2 Tyson Ross 765 27 738.0
3 Adrian Sampson 686 21 665.0
4 John Danks 736 100 636.0
5 Chris Heston 662 29 633.0
6 Jhoulys Chacín 1 632 631.0
7 Ryan Merritt 666 37 629.0
8 Garrett Richards 770 148 622.0
9 Adam Plutko 633 18 615.0
10 Roenis Elías 654 41 613.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyson Ross 786 27 758.9
2 Garrett Richards 812 148 663.9
3 Luis Perdomo 1 662 661.0
4 Andrew Heaney 655 25 630.0
5 Charlie Morton 673 71 601.9
6 Dan Straily 203 792 588.9
7 Christian Friedrich 1 567 566.0
8 Miguel González 1 566 565.0
9 Tanner Roark 350 855 505.0
10 John Danks 603 100 503.0

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rick Porcello 0.3174 0.2738 49.8
2 James Shields 0.3139 0.3767 41.4
3 Justin Verlander 0.3044 0.2712 41.1
4 Adam Wainwright 0.2762 0.3339 38.4
5 Kyle Hendricks 0.2920 0.2544 37.3
6 Chris Devenski 0.3181 0.2415 36.3
7 Chris Young 0.2952 0.3942 35.2
8 Jered Weaver 0.3078 0.3646 34.1
9 Kenta Maeda 0.3181 0.2846 32.8
10 Seunghwan Oh 0.3181 0.2261 32.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Sanchez 0.3042 0.2763 51.7
2 James Shields 0.2821 0.3767 46.9
3 Kyle Hendricks 0.2773 0.2544 45.0
4 Justin Verlander 0.2827 0.2712 44.2
5 Marco Estrada 0.3014 0.2795 42.9
6 Tanner Roark 0.2923 0.2804 42.3
7 Rick Porcello 0.2826 0.2738 41.2
8 Chris Devenski 0.3031 0.2415 40.4
9 Rich Hill 0.2876 0.2409 36.9
10 Steven Wright 0.3047 0.2891 34.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 0.2715 0.3767 62.2
2 Chris Devenski 0.3332 0.2415 49.5
3 Adam Wainwright 0.2550 0.3339 41.8
4 Michael Fulmer 0.3124 0.2839 37.6
5 Rich Hill 0.2959 0.2409 37.1
6 Rick Porcello 0.2844 0.2738 35.7
7 Kyle Hendricks 0.2717 0.2544 34.9
8 Patrick Corbin 0.2753 0.3519 32.9
9 Tim Lincecum 0.2864 0.4729 31.4
10 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2753 0.3518 31.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.3181 0.3147 103.6
2 Matt Bush 0.3181 0.2310 73.0
3 Clayton Kershaw 0.0834 0.2033 50.8
4 James Shields 0.1056 0.3767 47.6
5 Aaron Sanchez 0.1192 0.2763 44.4
6 Mike Pelfrey 0.0908 0.3766 39.3
7 Justin Verlander 0.1011 0.2712 38.9
8 Marco Estrada 0.1194 0.2795 38.4
9 Buddy Boshers 0.3181 0.2825 37.8
10 Rich Hill 0.1115 0.2409 36.8

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.2029 0.2813 65.0
2 José Fernández 0.2628 0.3433 54.6
3 Robbie Ray 0.2051 0.2809 53.9
4 James Shields 0.2190 0.1642 50.3
5 Martín Pérez 0.1722 0.1205 49.7
6 David Phelps 0.1835 0.3239 47.2
7 Danny Duffy 0.1869 0.2572 46.8
8 Brad Hand 0.1718 0.3049 46.1
9 Kyle Barraclough 0.2215 0.3693 43.3
10 Félix Hernández 0.2423 0.1863 40.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.1947 0.2813 74.4
2 Edwin Díaz 0.1808 0.4055 47.9
3 Martín Pérez 0.1712 0.1205 46.9
4 Chris Sale 0.3015 0.2569 44.2
5 James Shields 0.2135 0.1642 43.9
6 Junior Guerra 0.2873 0.2033 43.4
7 David Phelps 0.2062 0.3239 40.0
8 José Fernández 0.2862 0.3433 39.0
9 Brad Hand 0.1949 0.3049 38.5
10 Robbie Ray 0.2273 0.2809 38.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 0.2291 0.1642 66.7
2 Justin Verlander 0.2006 0.2813 58.2
3 Chris Sale 0.2994 0.2569 53.3
4 Félix Hernández 0.2449 0.1863 49.1
5 Yordano Ventura 0.2164 0.1765 45.8
6 David Phelps 0.1812 0.3239 44.5
7 Edwin Díaz 0.1860 0.4055 44.1
8 Brad Hand 0.1677 0.3049 44.0
9 Michael Feliz 0.1756 0.3519 43.2
10 Danny Duffy 0.1832 0.2572 42.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.1986 0.2813 65.7
2 James Shields 0.2284 0.1642 60.8
3 David Phelps 0.1656 0.3239 52.2
4 Brad Hand 0.1535 0.3049 51.5
5 Robbie Ray 0.2077 0.2809 49.1
6 Tanner Roark 0.1371 0.2012 46.3
7 Edwin Díaz 0.1836 0.4055 46.0
8 Michael Feliz 0.1720 0.3519 45.9
9 Danny Duffy 0.1852 0.2572 45.4
10 José Fernández 0.2734 0.3433 44.3

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Iván Nova 0.0776 0.0409 29.2
2 Danny Duffy 0.0865 0.0575 25.7
3 Rick Porcello 0.0571 0.0360 24.3
4 James Paxton 0.0882 0.0470 24.2
5 Zach Davies 0.0838 0.0557 23.3
6 Carlos Rodón 0.1005 0.0755 22.2
7 Mike Leake 0.0625 0.0396 21.9
8 Josh Tomlin 0.0514 0.0276 21.7
9 Jerad Eickhoff 0.0722 0.0518 21.5
10 Clayton Kershaw 0.0535 0.0202 21.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Sanchez 0.1102 0.0797 29.3
2 Carlos Rodón 0.1077 0.0755 27.7
3 Jerad Eickhoff 0.0779 0.0518 26.5
4 Iván Nova 0.0722 0.0409 25.9
5 Zach Davies 0.0854 0.0557 24.8
6 James Paxton 0.0881 0.0470 24.4
7 Sean Manaea 0.0966 0.0623 24.3
8 Luis Perdomo 0.0985 0.0695 23.6
9 Rick Porcello 0.0543 0.0360 22.2
10 Félix Hernández 0.0608 0.0992 20.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Sanchez 0.1106 0.0797 27.8
2 Mike Foltynewicz 0.1089 0.0667 24.4
3 Jerad Eickhoff 0.0776 0.0518 24.4
4 Iván Nova 0.0720 0.0409 24.2
5 Danny Duffy 0.0861 0.0575 24.0
6 Félix Hernández 0.0591 0.0992 23.5
7 Tanner Roark 0.0548 0.0854 22.5
8 Patrick Corbin 0.0583 0.0942 22.1
9 Jameson Taillon 0.0888 0.0407 21.9
10 James Paxton 0.0854 0.0470 21.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Danny Duffy 0.0888 0.0575 27.8
2 Clayton Kershaw 0.0618 0.0202 26.3
3 Mike Leake 0.0674 0.0396 26.1
4 Iván Nova 0.0716 0.0409 25.6
5 James Paxton 0.0900 0.0470 25.4
6 Rick Porcello 0.0557 0.0360 23.6
7 Carlos Rodón 0.1010 0.0755 23.0
8 Mike Fiers 0.0813 0.0580 21.7
9 Tanner Roark 0.0543 0.0854 20.9
10 Julio Teheran 0.0739 0.0541 20.1

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 0.0115 0.0012 8.8
2 Mike Montgomery 0.0087 0.0242 6.2
3 Adam Conley 0.0083 0.0188 6.0
4 Jon Gray 0.0084 0.0169 5.8
5 Tanner Roark 0.0082 0.0152 5.7
6 Ian Kennedy 0.0087 0.0159 5.6
7 Jered Weaver 0.0121 0.0052 5.5
8 Drew Pomeranz 0.0085 0.0014 5.2
9 Rick Porcello 0.0086 0.0146 5.1
10 John Lackey 0.0052 0.0120 4.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 0.0101 0.0012 7.8
2 Jimmy Nelson 0.0129 0.0211 6.2
3 Mike Montgomery 0.0094 0.0242 5.9
4 Jon Gray 0.0083 0.0169 5.7
5 Tanner Roark 0.0081 0.0152 5.7
6 Mike Wright Jr. 0.0104 0.0274 5.4
7 Chris Sale 0.0123 0.0187 5.3
8 Ian Kennedy 0.0089 0.0159 5.3
9 Robbie Ross Jr. 0.0111 0.0336 5.2
10 Adam Conley 0.0095 0.0188 5.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 0.0110 0.0012 7.3
2 Ian Kennedy 0.0086 0.0159 6.8
3 John Lackey 0.0039 0.0120 6.8
4 Tanner Roark 0.0083 0.0152 6.8
5 Francisco Liriano 0.0042 0.0123 6.6
6 Gio González 0.0043 0.0118 6.5
7 Rick Porcello 0.0087 0.0146 6.2
8 Félix Hernández 0.0072 0.0153 5.9
9 Mike Montgomery 0.0121 0.0242 5.4
10 Jimmy Nelson 0.0155 0.0211 5.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jimmy Nelson 0.0000 0.0211 9.8
2 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0187 8.9
3 Jeff Samardzija 0.0000 0.0012 6.4
4 Mike Montgomery 0.0000 0.0242 6.3
5 Mike Wright Jr. 0.0000 0.0274 6.1
6 Zack Greinke 0.0000 0.0000 6.0
7 Robbie Ross Jr. 0.0000 0.0336 5.9
8 Adam Conley 0.0000 0.0188 5.8
9 Ian Kennedy 0.0000 0.0159 5.7
10 Jon Gray 0.0000 0.0169 5.6

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Young 0.0421 0.1045 22.0
2 Noah Syndergaard 0.0435 0.0229 21.5
3 Johnny Cueto 0.0349 0.0238 17.0
4 Miguel González 0.0462 0.0256 16.3
5 Steven Wright 0.0413 0.0259 15.5
6 Chris Devenski 0.0434 0.0142 15.3
7 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0234 0.0594 14.6
8 James Shields 0.0417 0.0670 14.1
9 A.J. Griffin 0.0444 0.0802 14.0
10 Masahiro Tanaka 0.0458 0.0366 14.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Young 0.0499 0.1045 19.0
2 James Shields 0.0370 0.0670 18.1
3 Miguel González 0.0478 0.0256 17.1
4 Francisco Liriano 0.0261 0.0554 15.7
5 Noah Syndergaard 0.0350 0.0229 14.9
6 Chris Devenski 0.0418 0.0142 14.5
7 Jonathon Niese 0.0270 0.0613 14.4
8 Steven Wright 0.0391 0.0259 13.8
9 Tanner Roark 0.0360 0.0285 13.2
10 Jaime García 0.0242 0.0493 12.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Young 0.0412 0.1045 22.9
2 James Shields 0.0349 0.0670 20.8
3 Max Scherzer 0.0269 0.0558 19.8
4 Chris Devenski 0.0550 0.0142 19.4
5 Miguel González 0.0487 0.0256 17.0
6 Jonathon Niese 0.0243 0.0613 16.4
7 Chris Archer 0.0289 0.0548 16.2
8 Noah Syndergaard 0.0362 0.0229 15.1
9 Francisco Liriano 0.0280 0.0554 15.0
10 Junior Guerra 0.0518 0.0289 14.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Young 0.0474 0.1045 20.3
2 James Shields 0.0385 0.0670 17.6
3 Noah Syndergaard 0.0379 0.0229 16.4
4 Johnny Cueto 0.0353 0.0238 16.3
5 Chris Devenski 0.0451 0.0142 15.5
6 Steven Wright 0.0410 0.0259 14.5
7 Miguel González 0.0420 0.0256 13.3
8 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0373 0.0632 12.6
9 Jonathon Niese 0.0320 0.0613 12.1
10 Rich Hill 0.0350 0.0149 11.9

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.2988 0.2545 42.7
2 Dan Straily 0.2880 0.2388 41.2
3 Rick Porcello 0.3115 0.2686 40.8
4 Jon Lester 0.3004 0.2558 37.9
5 Noah Syndergaard 0.2834 0.3340 35.5
6 Adam Wainwright 0.2857 0.3300 35.0
7 Kyle Hendricks 0.2928 0.2500 34.1
8 John Lackey 0.2970 0.2547 33.9
9 Corey Kluber 0.3060 0.2706 33.0
10 Colby Lewis 0.3051 0.2407 31.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.2812 0.3523 46.3
2 Jake Arrieta 0.2853 0.2406 44.6
3 Kyle Hendricks 0.2870 0.2500 36.1
4 Dan Straily 0.2725 0.2388 35.7
5 Rick Porcello 0.2965 0.2686 35.0
6 Collin McHugh 0.2832 0.3383 34.8
7 Marco Estrada 0.2703 0.2339 34.6
8 Michael Pineda 0.2841 0.3391 32.9
9 Justin Verlander 0.2790 0.2545 32.4
10 Aaron Sanchez 0.2953 0.2674 31.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dan Straily 0.2966 0.2388 52.9
2 Justin Verlander 0.2889 0.2545 39.2
3 Robbie Ray 0.2941 0.3523 38.1
4 Max Scherzer 0.2855 0.2552 35.4
5 Collin McHugh 0.2863 0.3383 34.2
6 Rick Porcello 0.2978 0.2686 34.1
7 Adam Wainwright 0.2830 0.3300 32.1
8 Kyle Hendricks 0.2834 0.2500 31.6
9 Colby Lewis 0.2945 0.2407 29.7
10 Michael Fulmer 0.3045 0.2679 29.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dan Straily 0.2866 0.2388 46.8
2 Jon Lester 0.2978 0.2558 42.5
3 Justin Verlander 0.2848 0.2545 37.7
4 Rick Porcello 0.2994 0.2686 37.6
5 John Lackey 0.2933 0.2547 37.4
6 Kyle Hendricks 0.2881 0.2500 36.9
7 Collin McHugh 0.2810 0.3383 36.6
8 Colby Lewis 0.3054 0.2407 36.0
9 Brandon Finnegan 0.2922 0.2564 34.7
10 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.2778 0.3827 32.9

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.2162 0.2713 42.0
2 Dan Straily 0.2147 0.1670 38.5
3 Justin Verlander 0.2235 0.1841 36.5
4 Rick Porcello 0.2421 0.2038 34.9
5 Luis Perdomo 0.2232 0.2744 33.3
6 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2540 0.1923 32.9
7 Chris Young 0.1703 0.2500 31.9
8 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2075 0.2562 31.8
9 Mike Leake 0.2063 0.2452 28.7
10 Travis Wood 0.2251 0.1163 27.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Ray 0.2812 0.2713 40.9
2 Max Scherzer 0.2778 0.1771 34.4
3 Dan Straily 0.2725 0.1670 34.1
4 Trevor Rosenthal 0.2808 0.3774 31.3
5 Jake Arrieta 0.2853 0.1834 31.3
6 Luis Perdomo 0.2902 0.2744 30.9
7 Justin Verlander 0.2790 0.1841 29.2
8 Mike Pelfrey 0.2958 0.2871 29.1
9 Marco Estrada 0.2703 0.1695 27.7
10 Dillon Gee 0.2813 0.2684 27.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jhoulys Chacín 0.2232 0.2483 56.9
2 Dan Straily 0.2966 0.1670 51.3
3 Max Scherzer 0.2855 0.1771 39.2
4 Jeremy Hellickson 0.2983 0.1860 36.6
5 Justin Verlander 0.2889 0.1841 36.0
6 Robbie Ray 0.2941 0.2713 32.7
7 Daniel Mengden 0.2232 0.2512 30.8
8 Edinson Volquez 0.2766 0.2467 29.9
9 Carlos Rodón 0.2900 0.2651 28.5
10 Luis Perdomo 0.2963 0.2744 28.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.2232 0.2411 98.1
2 Matt Bush 0.2232 0.2025 59.3
3 Dan Straily 0.0000 0.1670 44.5
4 Max Scherzer 0.0000 0.1771 41.5
5 Marco Estrada 0.0000 0.1695 38.8
6 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.2713 37.4
7 Justin Verlander 0.0000 0.1841 35.3
8 Mike Pelfrey 0.0000 0.2871 34.6
9 Luis Perdomo 0.0000 0.2744 33.9
10 Buddy Boshers 0.2232 0.2308 32.8

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan Verrett 0.0556 0.1227 26.4
2 Chad Bettis 0.0887 0.0595 25.5
3 Tanner Roark 0.0616 0.0345 25.0
4 Matt Wisler 0.0817 0.0503 22.5
5 Ian Kennedy 0.0802 0.0556 21.9
6 Jon Lester 0.0731 0.0481 21.6
7 Archie Bradley 0.0630 0.0980 21.0
8 Mike Fiers 0.0604 0.0913 20.8
9 Matt Moore 0.0659 0.0449 19.4
10 Doug Fister 0.0507 0.0771 18.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Roark 0.0000 0.0345 27.7
2 Tony Barnette 0.0669 0.0405 22.9
3 Logan Verrett 0.0000 0.1227 22.7
4 Matt Bush 0.0669 0.0429 22.1
5 Tyler Duffey 0.0000 0.1002 19.9
6 Archie Bradley 0.0000 0.0980 19.9
7 Michael Pineda 0.0000 0.0929 19.7
8 Steven Wright 0.0000 0.0376 19.2
9 Matt Moore 0.0000 0.0449 18.4
10 Mike Fiers 0.0000 0.0913 17.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0669 0.0615 45.6
2 Tanner Roark 0.0000 0.0345 27.7
3 Tim Adleman 0.0669 0.0545 22.7
4 Logan Verrett 0.0000 0.1227 22.7
5 Matt Bush 0.0669 0.0429 22.1
6 Tyler Duffey 0.0000 0.1002 19.9
7 Archie Bradley 0.0000 0.0980 19.9
8 Michael Pineda 0.0000 0.0929 19.7
9 Steven Wright 0.0000 0.0376 19.2
10 Matt Moore 0.0000 0.0449 18.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Anderson 0.0669 0.0655 32.6
2 Tanner Roark 0.0000 0.0345 27.7
3 Logan Verrett 0.0000 0.1227 22.7
4 Matt Bush 0.0669 0.0429 22.1
5 Tyler Duffey 0.0000 0.1002 19.9
6 Archie Bradley 0.0000 0.0980 19.9
7 Michael Pineda 0.0000 0.0929 19.7
8 Steven Wright 0.0000 0.0376 19.2
9 Matt Moore 0.0000 0.0449 18.4
10 Mike Fiers 0.0000 0.0913 17.7

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Kennedy 0.0134 0.0019 9.2
2 Jason Grilli 0.0081 0.0397 8.0
3 Chad Bettis 0.0061 0.0153 7.6
4 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0057 0.0205 6.7
5 Carlos Martinez 0.0100 0.0019 6.4
6 Martín Pérez 0.0091 0.0015 6.4
7 Chaz Roe 0.0076 0.0571 6.2
8 Andrew Cashner 0.0103 0.0205 6.1
9 Jose Quintana 0.0091 0.0017 6.1
10 Jonathon Niese 0.0078 0.0183 5.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jason Grilli 0.0000 0.0397 8.2
2 Andrew Cashner 0.0000 0.0205 7.9
3 Jake Peavy 0.0000 0.0221 7.8
4 Chad Bettis 0.0000 0.0153 6.7
5 Juan Nicasio 0.0000 0.0195 6.4
6 Chaz Roe 0.0000 0.0571 6.2
7 Ryan Vogelsong 0.0000 0.0240 6.2
8 Jonathon Niese 0.0000 0.0183 6.1
9 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0000 0.0205 6.0
10 Colin Rea 0.0000 0.0194 5.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jason Grilli 0.0000 0.0397 8.2
2 Andrew Cashner 0.0000 0.0205 7.9
3 Jake Peavy 0.0000 0.0221 7.8
4 Chad Bettis 0.0000 0.0153 6.7
5 Juan Nicasio 0.0000 0.0195 6.4
6 Chaz Roe 0.0000 0.0571 6.2
7 Ryan Vogelsong 0.0000 0.0240 6.2
8 Jonathon Niese 0.0000 0.0183 6.1
9 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0000 0.0205 6.0
10 Colin Rea 0.0000 0.0194 5.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jason Grilli 0.0000 0.0397 8.2
2 Andrew Cashner 0.0000 0.0205 7.9
3 Jake Peavy 0.0000 0.0221 7.8
4 Chad Bettis 0.0000 0.0153 6.7
5 Juan Nicasio 0.0000 0.0195 6.4
6 Chaz Roe 0.0000 0.0571 6.2
7 Ryan Vogelsong 0.0000 0.0240 6.2
8 Jonathon Niese 0.0000 0.0183 6.1
9 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0000 0.0205 6.0
10 Colin Rea 0.0000 0.0194 5.6

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Duffey 0.0997 0.1728 38.2
2 Patrick Corbin 0.1011 0.1555 31.8
3 Kyle Hendricks 0.1047 0.0711 31.7
4 Rick Porcello 0.1214 0.0955 31.1
5 James Shields 0.1029 0.1484 30.0
6 Justin Verlander 0.1129 0.0897 29.1
7 Jon Lester 0.0988 0.0716 28.8
8 Dan Straily 0.1272 0.1010 27.9
9 Adam Wainwright 0.0860 0.1275 27.5
10 Sonny Gray 0.0927 0.1547 27.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Roark 0.1172 0.0842 37.2
2 Aaron Sanchez 0.1214 0.0873 35.2
3 Kyle Hendricks 0.1047 0.0711 32.8
4 Patrick Corbin 0.1016 0.1555 30.4
5 Chris Devenski 0.1243 0.0637 29.0
6 Michael Fulmer 0.1221 0.0881 28.8
7 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1109 0.1617 26.9
8 Jon Lester 0.0944 0.0716 26.6
9 Tyler Duffey 0.1182 0.1728 26.3
10 Justin Verlander 0.1079 0.0897 26.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Devenski 0.1528 0.0637 38.3
2 James Shields 0.0987 0.1484 36.9
3 Patrick Corbin 0.1038 0.1555 32.9
4 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1093 0.1617 31.8
5 Sonny Gray 0.0902 0.1547 30.9
6 Michael Fulmer 0.1303 0.0881 30.4
7 Dan Straily 0.1342 0.1010 30.1
8 Francisco Liriano 0.0891 0.1341 29.4
9 Ian Kennedy 0.1298 0.0990 29.1
10 Adam Wainwright 0.0892 0.1275 28.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Perdomo 0.0000 0.1495 94.0
2 Christian Friedrich 0.0000 0.1305 69.7
3 Aaron Blair 0.0000 0.1883 58.5
4 Miguel González 0.0000 0.1078 56.7
5 Daniel Mengden 0.0000 0.1627 51.5
6 Pat Dean 0.0000 0.1567 44.7
7 Ross Stripling 0.0000 0.1098 42.8
8 Justin Nicolino 0.0000 0.1301 42.4
9 Zach Eflin 0.0000 0.1544 39.9
10 Tanner Roark 0.1229 0.0842 39.5

Earned Run Rate

Biggest Earned Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Hendricks 0.0986 0.0604 35.0
2 Tyler Duffey 0.0945 0.1594 33.5
3 James Shields 0.0950 0.1436 32.7
4 Adam Wainwright 0.0780 0.1204 28.6
5 Rick Porcello 0.1100 0.0876 27.7
6 Sonny Gray 0.0836 0.1431 26.3
7 Alfredo Simon 0.1083 0.2047 26.1
8 Zack Greinke 0.0692 0.1154 25.0
9 Noah Syndergaard 0.0947 0.0712 24.0
10 Shelby Miller 0.0896 0.1500 23.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Roark 0.1079 0.0772 35.5
2 Kyle Hendricks 0.0950 0.0604 33.9
3 Aaron Sanchez 0.1110 0.0810 32.3
4 James Shields 0.1007 0.1436 26.3
5 Michael Fulmer 0.1130 0.0835 26.2
6 Chris Devenski 0.1151 0.0637 25.4
7 Alfredo Simon 0.1095 0.2047 25.1
8 Steven Wright 0.1157 0.0884 25.1
9 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1021 0.1497 24.5
10 Rich Hill 0.1040 0.0592 24.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 0.0924 0.1436 39.1
2 Chris Devenski 0.1429 0.0637 33.8
3 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1028 0.1497 28.9
4 Adam Wainwright 0.0831 0.1204 28.6
5 Sonny Gray 0.0846 0.1431 28.4
6 Michael Fulmer 0.1226 0.0835 27.6
7 Kyle Hendricks 0.0938 0.0604 27.6
8 Aaron Blair 0.1030 0.1821 24.5
9 Zack Greinke 0.0756 0.1154 24.1
10 Shelby Miller 0.0943 0.1500 23.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Roark 0.1123 0.0772 36.5
2 James Shields 0.0944 0.1436 34.2
3 Kyle Hendricks 0.0971 0.0604 33.0
4 Aaron Sanchez 0.1123 0.0810 30.7
5 Chris Devenski 0.1262 0.0637 28.6
6 Rick Porcello 0.1110 0.0876 27.5
7 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1009 0.1497 27.5
8 Michael Fulmer 0.1183 0.0835 27.5
9 Steven Wright 0.1204 0.0884 26.0
10 Tyler Duffey 0.1089 0.1594 25.6

Win Rate

Biggest Win Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rick Porcello 0.2703 0.6667 305.1
2 Aaron Sanchez 0.1250 0.5000 253.9
3 J.A. Happ 0.2564 0.6250 250.7
4 Carlos Martinez 0.1837 0.5161 225.6
5 Rich Hill 0.0833 0.6000 203.3
6 Jon Lester 0.2895 0.5938 199.6
7 Steven Wright 0.1852 0.5417 198.7
8 Corey Kluber 0.2821 0.5625 195.1
9 Tanner Roark 0.1944 0.4706 190.3
10 Kyle Hendricks 0.2195 0.5161 181.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dan Straily 0.0808 0.4118 274.6
2 Rick Porcello 0.3938 0.6667 256.9
3 Aaron Sanchez 0.2144 0.5000 238.1
4 Bartolo Colon 0.1633 0.4412 232.3
5 Steven Wright 0.2086 0.5417 228.8
6 J.A. Happ 0.3687 0.6250 216.6
7 Junior Guerra 0.0499 0.4500 204.6
8 Trevor Bauer 0.1197 0.3429 193.8
9 Danny Duffy 0.0837 0.2857 159.2
10 Drew Pomeranz 0.1493 0.3548 155.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Sanchez 0.1636 0.5000 272.0
2 J.A. Happ 0.3462 0.6250 228.3
3 Rick Porcello 0.4667 0.6667 185.0
4 Kyle Hendricks 0.2857 0.5161 177.5
5 Michael Pineda 0.4286 0.1875 176.3
6 Tyler Chatwood 0.2000 0.4444 168.8
7 Tanner Roark 0.2813 0.4706 168.6
8 José Fernández 0.3462 0.5517 157.3
9 Patrick Corbin 0.3636 0.1389 152.0
10 Steven Wright 0.3182 0.5417 151.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rick Porcello 0.3077 0.6667 328.9
2 Dan Straily 0.1250 0.4118 235.5
3 J.A. Happ 0.3462 0.6250 230.4
4 Aaron Sanchez 0.2692 0.5000 190.6
5 Tanner Roark 0.2667 0.4706 183.4
6 Luis Perdomo 0.0003 0.2571 177.0
7 Chris Tillman 0.3103 0.5333 167.0
8 Steven Wright 0.3077 0.5417 160.4
9 Carlos Martinez 0.3462 0.5161 146.0
10 Stephen Strasburg 0.3929 0.6250 145.1

Loss Rate

Biggest Loss Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 0.1842 0.5758 273.3
2 Chris Archer 0.2439 0.5758 231.8
3 Rick Porcello 0.2973 0.1212 209.3
4 Christian Friedrich 0.0976 0.5000 194.7
5 Tyler Duffey 0.1290 0.4615 162.9
6 Jerad Eickhoff 0.1667 0.4242 161.0
7 Danny Duffy 0.2308 0.0714 159.7
8 Drew Pomeranz 0.1250 0.3871 142.7
9 Johnny Cueto 0.2564 0.1563 140.3
10 Matt Harvey 0.1892 0.5882 136.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Christian Friedrich 0.0504 0.5000 265.3
2 Chris Archer 0.3239 0.5758 229.6
3 Matt Shoemaker 0.2080 0.4815 194.9
4 Drew Pomeranz 0.1674 0.3871 167.3
5 Luis Perdomo 0.0571 0.2857 163.5
6 Rick Porcello 0.3202 0.1212 160.8
7 Brandon Finnegan 0.1642 0.3548 153.4
8 James Shields 0.4097 0.5758 151.5
9 Cole Hamels 0.3435 0.1563 143.3
10 Masahiro Tanaka 0.3251 0.1290 143.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Archer 0.2727 0.5758 272.1
2 Christian Friedrich 0.0667 0.5000 255.4
3 Rick Porcello 0.4000 0.1212 232.9
4 James Shields 0.3103 0.5758 232.2
5 Drew Pomeranz 0.1538 0.3871 176.0
6 Masahiro Tanaka 0.3600 0.1290 172.2
7 Brandon Finnegan 0.1538 0.3548 160.1
8 Shelby Miller 0.2813 0.6000 154.5
9 Matt Harvey 0.2308 0.5882 150.6
10 Luis Perdomo 0.5263 0.2857 148.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Christian Friedrich 0.0003 0.5000 291.6
2 Chris Archer 0.3125 0.5758 236.1
3 Daniel Mengden 0.0006 0.6429 218.1
4 Luis Perdomo 0.0006 0.2857 198.4
5 Miguel González 0.0005 0.3333 196.6
6 Rick Porcello 0.3462 0.1212 187.2
7 Aaron Sanchez 0.3077 0.0667 178.9
8 Ross Stripling 0.0009 0.4091 177.1
9 James Shields 0.3750 0.5758 177.0
10 Danny Duffy 0.3000 0.0714 156.4

Save Rate

Biggest Save Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeanmar Gómez 0.0227 0.5286 156.9
2 Alex Colomé 0.0263 0.6491 145.8
3 Sam Dyson 0.0426 0.5205 142.6
4 Jeurys Familia 0.2909 0.6538 123.7
5 Ryan Madson 0.0513 0.4762 120.7
6 AJ Ramos 0.1961 0.5970 117.7
7 Jeremy Jeffress 0.0217 0.4576 110.4
8 Roberto Osuna 0.2143 0.5000 88.7
9 Wade Davis 0.1333 0.6000 86.1
10 Edwin Díaz 0.0289 0.3673 78.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeanmar Gómez 0.0400 0.5286 144.8
2 Sam Dyson 0.0385 0.5205 137.1
3 Alex Colomé 0.0431 0.6491 136.8
4 David Hernandez 0.4308 0.0143 134.4
5 Ryan Madson 0.0523 0.4762 114.2
6 Ken Giles 0.5062 0.2174 82.8
7 Edwin Díaz 0.0000 0.3673 79.5
8 Seunghwan Oh 0.0000 0.2500 78.0
9 Jason Grilli 0.3523 0.0597 73.7
10 Jim Johnson 0.0345 0.3077 72.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeurys Familia 0.0000 0.6538 200.6
2 Zack Britton 0.0000 0.6812 165.7
3 Francisco Rodríguez 0.0000 0.7213 162.7
4 Mark Melancon 0.0000 0.6267 161.4
5 Kenley Jansen 0.0000 0.6620 158.9
6 AJ Ramos 0.0000 0.5970 157.9
7 David Robertson 0.0000 0.5968 151.6
8 Jeanmar Gómez 0.0000 0.5286 148.4
9 Alex Colomé 0.0000 0.6491 140.2
10 Sam Dyson 0.0000 0.5205 140.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeanmar Gómez 0.0323 0.5286 147.8
2 Sam Dyson 0.0588 0.5205 132.0
3 Ryan Madson 0.1071 0.4762 100.0
4 Jason Grilli 0.4444 0.0597 96.2
5 Sean Doolittle 0.6944 0.0909 93.3
6 Edwin Díaz 0.0000 0.3673 80.0
7 David Hernandez 0.2549 0.0143 77.0
8 Jim Johnson 0.0286 0.3077 74.6
9 Ken Giles 0.4675 0.2174 71.1
10 Brandon Kintzler 0.0000 0.3148 70.8

Hold Rate

Biggest Hold Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Addison Reed 0.1111 0.5000 129.5
2 Aaron Sanchez 0.2000 0.0000 128.6
3 David Phelps 0.0857 0.3906 120.4
4 Joe Blanton 0.0690 0.3733 107.6
5 Héctor Neris 0.0800 0.3544 102.2
6 Carlos Martinez 0.1633 0.0000 101.9
7 Neftalí Feliz 0.0556 0.4677 98.0
8 Matt Bush 0.0554 0.3793 87.8
9 Felipe Vázquez 0.1250 0.3467 84.7
10 Erasmo Ramírez 0.0488 0.2344 84.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dan Straily 0.1808 0.0000 141.2
2 Trevor Bauer 0.1622 0.0000 129.5
3 Danny Duffy 0.2035 0.0476 112.1
4 Kyle Barraclough 0.0309 0.3867 109.6
5 Dillon Gee 0.1582 0.0000 85.7
6 Carlos Torres 0.0285 0.2778 85.4
7 Erasmo Ramírez 0.0167 0.2344 83.3
8 Shane Greene 0.0000 0.3200 82.6
9 Matt Bush 0.0554 0.3793 79.3
10 Addison Reed 0.2496 0.5000 76.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Addison Reed 0.0000 0.5000 135.2
2 David Phelps 0.0000 0.3906 118.0
3 Kyle Barraclough 0.0000 0.3867 101.4
4 Joe Blanton 0.0000 0.3733 100.2
5 Dellin Betances 0.0000 0.3836 98.1
6 Héctor Neris 0.0000 0.3544 98.1
7 Felipe Vázquez 0.0000 0.3467 95.3
8 Will Harris 0.0000 0.4242 94.1
9 Nate Jones 0.0000 0.3944 92.9
10 Neftalí Feliz 0.0000 0.4677 89.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

ERA

Biggest ERA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 3.5880 5.8459 1487.2
2 Kyle Hendricks 3.6585 2.1316 1471.8
3 Tyler Duffey 3.5762 6.4286 1432.7
4 Alfredo Simon 4.1573 9.3580 1416.1
5 Rick Porcello 4.1622 3.1480 1301.9
6 Adam Wainwright 2.8247 4.6208 1141.4
7 Sonny Gray 3.0687 5.6923 1124.5
8 Justin Verlander 3.8351 3.0439 1119.5
9 Michael Fulmer 4.2664 3.0566 1073.0
10 Shelby Miller 3.3768 6.1485 1068.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Roark 4.1680 2.8286 1576.1
2 Aaron Sanchez 4.4116 3.0000 1513.3
3 Kyle Hendricks 3.5992 2.1316 1468.8
4 Alfredo Simon 4.2788 9.3580 1363.4
5 James Shields 3.8549 5.8459 1222.3
6 Michael Fulmer 4.3937 3.0566 1191.2
7 Chris Devenski 4.4856 2.1600 1154.5
8 Steven Wright 4.5472 3.3319 1127.9
9 Justin Verlander 3.7886 3.0439 1127.6
10 Ervin Santana 4.3582 3.3750 1112.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 3.5386 5.8459 1818.0
2 Chris Devenski 5.8731 2.1600 1554.0
3 Alfredo Simon 4.9143 9.3580 1295.7
4 Michael Fulmer 4.9448 3.0566 1283.5
5 Sonny Gray 3.1991 5.6923 1239.6
6 Aníbal Sánchez 3.9375 5.8696 1226.7
7 Adam Wainwright 3.1154 4.6208 1194.1
8 Kyle Hendricks 3.6075 2.1316 1170.8
9 Aaron Blair 4.0719 7.5857 1107.5
10 Shelby Miller 3.6486 6.1485 1105.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Roark 4.3667 2.8286 1597.5
2 James Shields 3.6178 5.8459 1560.0
3 Kyle Hendricks 3.7073 2.1316 1419.9
4 Aaron Sanchez 4.4626 3.0000 1416.4
5 Alfredo Simon 4.5042 9.3580 1348.0
6 Chris Devenski 5.0800 2.1600 1326.1
7 Rick Porcello 4.3020 3.1480 1321.0
8 Michael Fulmer 4.6612 3.0566 1251.8
9 Steven Wright 4.7875 3.3319 1171.5
10 Tyler Duffey 4.1849 6.4286 1140.4

WHIP

Biggest WHIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rick Porcello 1.2973 1.0090 313.2
2 Justin Verlander 1.2715 1.0015 301.2
3 James Shields 1.2680 1.5963 217.7
4 Kyle Hendricks 1.1882 0.9789 203.3
5 Alfredo Simon 1.3109 2.0455 200.0
6 Chris Devenski 1.3394 0.9138 199.6
7 Adam Wainwright 1.1147 1.4044 191.5
8 Jeremy Hellickson 1.3372 1.1534 190.9
9 Kenta Maeda 1.3394 1.1385 189.3
10 Tim Lincecum 1.3724 2.3739 187.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Sanchez 1.4760 1.1667 309.6
2 Justin Verlander 1.2376 1.0015 287.9
3 Rick Porcello 1.2408 1.0090 279.8
4 Kyle Hendricks 1.2205 0.9789 241.5
5 Chris Devenski 1.3589 0.9138 215.3
6 James Shields 1.2562 1.5963 211.7
7 Julio Teheran 1.2450 1.0532 208.0
8 Patrick Corbin 1.1922 1.5610 200.6
9 Michael Fulmer 1.3434 1.1195 198.3
10 Rich Hill 1.3471 0.9970 190.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 1.2118 1.5963 305.7
2 Chris Devenski 1.5136 0.9138 249.9
3 Rick Porcello 1.2705 1.0090 244.0
4 Justin Verlander 1.2536 1.0015 239.0
5 Patrick Corbin 1.2280 1.5610 224.6
6 Adam Wainwright 1.1410 1.4044 212.3
7 Michael Fulmer 1.4302 1.1195 209.2
8 Rich Hill 1.4405 0.9970 200.2
9 Aaron Sanchez 1.4074 1.1667 200.2
10 Tim Lincecum 1.3690 2.3739 198.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rick Porcello 1.3067 1.0090 306.6
2 Justin Verlander 1.2608 1.0015 276.4
3 Chris Devenski 1.4736 0.9138 247.4
4 James Shields 1.2585 1.5963 239.3
5 Kyle Hendricks 1.2443 0.9789 232.5
6 Aaron Sanchez 1.4135 1.1667 231.9
7 Julio Teheran 1.2903 1.0532 215.2
8 John Lackey 1.2857 1.0566 206.3
9 Jeremy Hellickson 1.3636 1.1534 198.4
10 Michael Fulmer 1.3774 1.1195 197.1