2016 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Pablo Sandoval	7	373 (366.0)	515 (508.0)	421 (413.6)	547 (540.0)
Michael Brantley	43	508 (465.0)	566 (523.0)	436 (392.9)	614 (571.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	585	5	580.0
2	Chris Colabello	507	32	475.0
3	Nomar Mazara	102	568	466.0
4	Aledmys Díaz	1	460	459.0
5	José Ramírez	171	618	447.0
6	Hernán Pérez	1	430	429.0
7	Paulo Orlando	65	484	419.0
8	Mike Moustakas	517	113	404.0
9	Cory Spangenberg	456	53	403.0
10	Dustin Ackley	469	70	399.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nomar Mazara	1	568	567.0
2	AJ Pollock	565	46	519.0
3	Aledmys Díaz	1	460	459.0
4	Mike Moustakas	560	113	447.0
5	Tim Anderson	1	431	430.0
6	Andre Ethier	454	26	428.0
7	Corey Seager	267	687	420.0
8	Trevor Story	1	415	414.0
9	Will Venable	433	19	414.0
10	Mark Canha	448	44	404.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nomar Mazara	20	568	548.1
2	Kyle Schwarber	537	5	531.9
3	Cory Spangenberg	550	53	496.5
4	Héctor Olivera	512	21	491.4
5	Mike Moustakas	574	113	460.5
6	Eduardo Núñez	159	595	436.0
7	Hernán Pérez	1	430	429.0
8	David Peralta	587	183	403.6
9	Shin-Soo Choo	608	210	398.3
10	Cheslor Cuthbert	120	510	390.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charles Tilson	598	2	596.0
2	Dalton Pompey	598	2	596.0
3	Max Moroff	584	2	582.0
4	Kyle Schwarber	586	5	581.0
5	Matt Olson	607	28	579.0
6	Matt Davidson	580	2	578.0
7	Arismendy Alcántara	585	19	566.0
8	Matt Duffy	564	3	561.0
9	Raimel Tapia	600	41	559.0
10	Jesús Aguilar	560	6	554.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
David Ortiz	0.4257	0.3582 (36.7)	0.3749 (28.7)	0.3658 (30.9)	0.3687 (29.4)
Jose Altuve	0.3936	0.3431 (29.9)	0.3337 (39.4)	0.3350 (34.5)	0.3343 (35.3)
Jonathan Villar	0.3550	0.2873 (39.9)	0.2900 (40.8)	0.2890 (37.7)	0.2912 (36.4)
Charlie Blackmon	0.3939	0.3254 (38.2)	0.3315 (36.8)	0.3283 (35.3)	0.3315 (33.5)
Jason Heyward	0.2813	0.3445 (42.7)	0.3314 (32.6)	0.3441 (43.4)	0.3413 (41.5)
Wilson Ramos	0.3627	0.2964 (30.0)	0.2920 (34.4)	0.2977 (28.5)	0.2894 (33.1)
DJ LeMahieu	0.3875	0.3133 (41.5)	0.3066 (48.2)	0.3143 (39.8)	0.3109 (42.2)
Jean Segura	0.3694	0.3018 (40.7)	0.2854 (54.9)	0.2912 (47.0)	0.2856 (51.2)
Daniel Murphy	0.4133	0.3308 (42.8)	0.3193 (51.8)	0.3349 (39.5)	0.3220 (47.2)
José Ramírez	0.3547	0.2953 (31.2)	0.2856 (39.6)	0.2962 (29.6)	0.2977 (28.9)
Derek Norris	0.2565	0.3079 (27.6)	0.3168 (29.9)	0.3054 (27.2)	0.3128 (30.4)
Andrew McCutchen	0.3325	0.3932 (47.0)	0.3816 (36.5)	0.3823 (40.7)	0.3803 (39.0)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.4093	0.3543	40.0
2	Aledmys Díaz	0.2899	0.3722	33.8
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.4253	0.3879	32.7
4	Brian Dozier	0.3189	0.3716	30.2
5	José Abreu	0.3859	0.3522	29.6
6	Ben Revere	0.3128	0.2446	28.9
7	Ryan Zimmerman	0.3289	0.2775	28.2
8	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.3043	0.3568	27.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2921	0.3568	38.0
2	Brian Dozier	0.3210	0.3716	31.5
3	Kris Bryant	0.3514	0.3984	29.4
4	Freddie Freeman	0.3619	0.4090	29.3
5	Elvis Andrus	0.2877	0.3432	28.7
6	Nolan Arenado	0.3448	0.3904	28.3
7	Prince Fielder	0.3478	0.2775	27.8
8	Trea Turner	0.3058	0.3951	27.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.4121	0.3543	42.8
2	Prince Fielder	0.3642	0.2775	36.0
3	Corey Seager	0.3138	0.3745	34.4
4	Brian Dozier	0.3127	0.3716	33.4
5	Aledmys Díaz	0.2925	0.3722	31.8
6	Ryan Zimmerman	0.3303	0.2775	29.6
7	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3966	0.3469	28.3
8	Nelson Cruz	0.3355	0.3855	26.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.4310	0.3543	54.4
2	Aledmys Díaz	0.2891	0.3722	33.6
3	Chris Davis	0.3815	0.3416	33.3
4	Tyler Naquin	0.2757	0.3756	32.8
5	Trea Turner	0.2952	0.3951	29.1
6	Corey Seager	0.3234	0.3745	28.1
7	Mark Teixeira	0.3409	0.2880	27.6
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3945	0.3469	27.1

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Salvador Perez	0.2179	0.1444 (36.4)	0.1481 (33.5)	0.1399 (35.4)	0.1387 (39.6)
Kris Bryant	0.2203	0.2918 (54.8)	0.2773 (45.7)	0.2831 (53.1)	0.3024 (62.0)
Alex Gordon	0.2925	0.2135 (36.5)	0.2038 (40.6)	0.2092 (35.5)	0.2139 (36.4)
Russell Martin	0.2766	0.2084 (32.8)	0.1984 (37.3)	0.2071 (30.2)	0.2156 (29.1)
Carlos Santana	0.1439	0.1908 (37.0)	0.1843 (33.6)	0.1857 (37.8)	0.1847 (32.6)
Francisco Lindor	0.1287	0.1698 (32.8)	0.1728 (36.0)	0.1584 (29.4)	0.1811 (40.4)
DJ LeMahieu	0.1260	0.1694 (31.9)	0.1764 (37.4)	0.1681 (35.1)	0.1653 (29.1)
Derek Norris	0.3035	0.2146 (37.6)	0.2174 (35.6)	0.2185 (32.9)	0.2329 (29.3)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.2937	0.2392	45.6
2	Nomar Mazara	0.2647	0.1972	42.3
3	Javier Báez	0.3213	0.2400	39.7
4	Brett Gardner	0.2224	0.1672	39.4
5	Ian Desmond	0.2798	0.2363	34.1
6	Carlos González	0.2505	0.2041	33.7
7	Jay Bruce	0.2625	0.2139	32.6
8	Byron Buxton	0.2514	0.3565	32.5
9	Hernán Pérez	0.1367	0.2186	32.3
10	Marcell Ozuna	0.2335	0.1891	31.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Story	0.2059	0.3133	41.0
2	Aledmys Díaz	0.2059	0.1304	38.6
3	Keon Broxton	0.2049	0.3607	35.9
4	Byron Buxton	0.2437	0.3565	34.5
5	Ryan Schimpf	0.2059	0.3182	34.3
6	Tyler Naquin	0.2059	0.3068	33.8
7	Carlos Gómez	0.2200	0.3002	32.5
8	José Ramírez	0.1442	0.1003	32.4
9	Adam Rosales	0.2166	0.3548	32.2
10	Mookie Betts	0.1451	0.1096	32.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.2332	0.3565	36.4
2	Brett Gardner	0.2106	0.1672	35.9
3	Kole Calhoun	0.2149	0.1756	35.3
4	Ian Desmond	0.2746	0.2363	34.9
5	Travis Jankowski	0.1660	0.2611	31.4
6	George Springer	0.2679	0.2392	31.1
7	Rougned Odor	0.1512	0.2136	31.1
8	José Abreu	0.2106	0.1799	30.5
9	Adam Rosales	0.2214	0.3548	29.8
10	James McCann	0.1994	0.2922	29.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.3062	0.2392	54.7
2	Nomar Mazara	0.2583	0.1972	38.5
3	Aledmys Díaz	0.1984	0.1304	34.3
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.2369	0.1891	33.1
5	Ian Kinsler	0.1141	0.1694	33.1
6	Brett Gardner	0.2102	0.1672	31.5
7	Justin Smoak	0.2306	0.3284	31.1
8	Rougned Odor	0.1582	0.2136	30.9
9	Adam Rosales	0.2252	0.3548	30.5
10	Chase Utley	0.1444	0.2035	29.7

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Francisco Cervelli	0.1425	0.0915 (18.6)	0.0851 (21.0)	0.0836 (20.5)	0.0859 (19.4)
Ben Zobrist	0.1521	0.1100 (24.3)	0.1071 (25.9)	0.1123 (21.0)	0.1143 (19.3)
Odúbel Herrera	0.0960	0.0651 (17.9)	0.0604 (20.8)	0.0579 (20.7)	0.0529 (23.5)
Jonathan Villar	0.1163	0.0786 (23.2)	0.0767 (24.2)	0.0778 (21.7)	0.0766 (22.0)
Didi Gregorius	0.0318	0.0688 (24.2)	0.0701 (25.2)	0.0654 (24.0)	0.0661 (24.8)
Kirk Nieuwenhuis	0.1429	0.0878 (20.1)	0.0880 (19.9)	0.0788 (22.6)	0.0785 (22.3)
Nolan Arenado	0.0977	0.0566 (26.1)	0.0540 (27.7)	0.0577 (23.2)	0.0507 (27.6)
DJ LeMahieu	0.1039	0.0631 (23.6)	0.0688 (19.8)	0.0690 (18.0)	0.0658 (19.6)
Josh Donaldson	0.1557	0.1066 (31.8)	0.1031 (34.1)	0.1013 (33.5)	0.0985 (34.9)
Matt Joyce	0.2014	0.1269 (20.7)	0.1108 (25.4)	0.1087 (25.2)	0.1122 (24.0)
Brandon Belt	0.1588	0.0955 (39.0)	0.0911 (41.7)	0.0949 (37.5)	0.0969 (35.7)
Andrew McCutchen	0.1022	0.1354 (24.9)	0.1256 (18.5)	0.1283 (22.1)	0.1290 (23.0)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mookie Betts	0.0981	0.0671	25.3
2	Joey Votto	0.1920	0.1595	24.5
3	Jose Altuve	0.0497	0.0837	21.7
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1484	0.1064	21.5
5	Evan Longoria	0.0871	0.0613	20.2
6	Justin Upton	0.1069	0.0799	19.2
7	B.J. Upton	0.1004	0.0686	19.1
8	Mike Trout	0.1395	0.1703	18.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.1262	0.1703	27.3
2	Tim Anderson	0.0832	0.0302	24.6
3	Ketel Marte	0.0866	0.0386	24.2
4	Jose Altuve	0.0527	0.0837	19.3
5	Adam Lind	0.0996	0.0605	18.5
6	Bryce Harper	0.1389	0.1722	18.4
7	Javier Báez	0.0701	0.0333	18.3
8	Yoenis Cespedes	0.0568	0.0939	18.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Evan Longoria	0.0847	0.0613	20.5
2	Joey Votto	0.1827	0.1595	20.1
3	Justin Upton	0.1051	0.0799	19.9
4	Adam Lind	0.0987	0.0605	19.3
5	Rougned Odor	0.0529	0.0301	18.6
6	Matt Kemp	0.0734	0.0536	17.7
7	Mike Trout	0.1382	0.1703	17.4
8	Mookie Betts	0.0839	0.0671	17.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.1951	0.1595	29.1
2	Manny Machado	0.0948	0.0690	23.1
3	Justin Upton	0.1084	0.0799	22.5
4	Adam Lind	0.1006	0.0605	20.4
5	Evan Longoria	0.0828	0.0613	19.7
6	Jose Altuve	0.0491	0.0837	19.6
7	Yoenis Cespedes	0.0525	0.0939	18.5
8	Matt Kemp	0.0737	0.0536	18.4

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kris Bryant	0.0258	0.0000 (11.6)	0.0129 (8.8)	0.0130 (8.6)	0.0152 (7.1)
Stephen Piscotty	0.0185	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0060 (8.0)	0.0090 (5.9)	0.0104 (5.0)
Ryan Schimpf	0.0273	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0091 (5.9)	0.0100 (5.5)	0.0109 (5.3)
Danny Espinosa	0.0333	0.0000 (14.5)	0.0181 (9.0)	0.0160 (10.1)	0.0207 (7.4)
Tyler Flowers	0.0338	0.0000 (8.0)	0.0142 (6.3)	0.0140 (6.3)	0.0177 (5.1)
Dexter Fowler	0.0200	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0084 (6.2)	0.0080 (6.3)	0.0070 (7.0)
Brett Wallace	0.0352	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0119 (5.9)	0.0120 (5.8)	0.0149 (5.1)
Ian Kinsler	0.0191	0.0000 (6.8)	0.0067 (8.3)	0.0080 (7.3)	0.0078 (7.5)
Javier Báez	0.0244	0.0000 (6.9)	0.0074 (7.6)	0.0110 (5.8)	0.0133 (4.9)
Brandon Guyer	0.0899	0.0000 (27.8)	0.0404 (17.0)	0.0310 (20.1)	0.0455 (15.2)
Addison Russell	0.0201	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0062 (8.1)	0.0080 (6.9)	0.0060 (8.2)
Derek Dietrich	0.0583	0.0000 (20.2)	0.0327 (10.4)	0.0310 (11.0)	0.0413 (6.8)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starling Marte	0.0000	0.0302	11.2
2	Jung Ho Kang	0.0000	0.0378	10.6
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.0000	0.0237	9.8
4	José Abreu	0.0000	0.0216	8.7
5	Adam Eaton	0.0000	0.0198	7.6
6	Charlie Blackmon	0.0000	0.0203	7.1
7	Dustin Pedroia	0.0000	0.0000	6.4
8	Melky Cabrera	0.0000	0.0000	5.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.0201	0.0063	8.9
2	Neil Walker	0.0162	0.0022	6.5
3	Daniel Murphy	0.0038	0.0137	5.6
4	Jean Segura	0.0090	0.0173	5.6
5	Jon Jay	0.0300	0.0160	5.3
6	Andrew McCutchen	0.0149	0.0074	5.2
7	Todd Frazier	0.0133	0.0060	5.0
8	Adam Jones	0.0144	0.0074	4.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jung Ho Kang	0.0180	0.0378	7.2
2	Neil Walker	0.0160	0.0022	6.5
3	Rougned Odor	0.0160	0.0063	6.4
4	Jean Segura	0.0090	0.0173	5.4
5	Todd Frazier	0.0130	0.0060	5.0
6	Daniel Murphy	0.0050	0.0137	4.8
7	Andrés Blanco	0.0100	0.0335	4.8
8	Andrew McCutchen	0.0140	0.0074	4.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.0214	0.0063	9.8
2	Jon Jay	0.0339	0.0160	6.8
3	Neil Walker	0.0160	0.0022	6.5
4	Daniel Murphy	0.0033	0.0137	5.9
5	Adam Jones	0.0156	0.0074	5.7
6	Andrew McCutchen	0.0154	0.0074	5.6
7	Devon Travis	0.0116	0.0000	5.2
8	Jean Segura	0.0099	0.0173	4.9

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Khris Davis	0.1066	0.0732 (16.4)	0.0690 (18.7)	0.0620 (22.0)	0.0561 (26.1)
Brian Dozier	0.0868	0.0523 (19.4)	0.0485 (21.6)	0.0429 (24.5)	0.0526 (18.3)
Trevor Story	0.1102	0.0507 (22.0)	0.0459 (23.8)	0.0423 (24.7)	0.0537 (20.3)
Carlos González	0.0548	0.0923 (27.7)	0.0769 (18.4)	0.0748 (18.0)	0.0826 (22.4)
Brad Miller	0.0746	0.0384 (17.9)	0.0342 (20.1)	0.0342 (19.2)	0.0345 (19.5)
José Abreu	0.0492	0.0758 (23.0)	0.0644 (15.4)	0.0687 (19.4)	0.0668 (17.5)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.0863	0.0621	22.8
2	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0804	0.0548	22.6
3	Bryce Harper	0.0861	0.0602	20.3
4	Javier Báez	0.0820	0.0443	19.9
5	Ryan Schimpf	0.0489	0.1149	19.7
6	Mike Napoli	0.0558	0.0924	19.5
7	Sean Rodríguez	0.0278	0.0891	18.8
8	Mark Reynolds	0.0839	0.0495	18.0
9	Ryan Howard	0.0580	0.1136	17.8
10	Kris Bryant	0.1047	0.0863	17.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Trumbo	0.0580	0.1061	27.4
2	Jake Lamb	0.0319	0.0777	23.1
3	Yasmany Tomás	0.0305	0.0785	23.1
4	Gary Sánchez	0.0340	0.1370	22.0
5	Ryan Schimpf	0.0459	0.1149	20.5
6	Jedd Gyorko	0.0453	0.0984	20.2
7	Freddie Freeman	0.0458	0.0804	19.1
8	Yasmani Grandal	0.0510	0.0982	18.4
9	Robinson Canó	0.0371	0.0696	18.3
10	Todd Frazier	0.0587	0.0920	17.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.0848	0.0602	20.7
2	Jake Lamb	0.0366	0.0777	19.4
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0734	0.0548	19.0
4	Mark Trumbo	0.0697	0.1061	18.7
5	Yasmany Tomás	0.0376	0.0785	18.3
6	Jason Heyward	0.0380	0.0159	18.1
7	Mike Trout	0.0875	0.0695	17.9
8	Robinson Canó	0.0362	0.0696	17.9
9	Jedd Gyorko	0.0496	0.0984	17.7
10	Yasmani Grandal	0.0519	0.0982	17.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.0942	0.0602	26.1
2	Mark Reynolds	0.0947	0.0495	23.3
3	Jake Lamb	0.0324	0.0777	22.4
4	Robinson Canó	0.0340	0.0696	20.0
5	George Springer	0.0804	0.0621	19.3
6	Jedd Gyorko	0.0484	0.0984	18.5
7	Todd Frazier	0.0571	0.0920	18.1
8	Sean Rodríguez	0.0287	0.0891	18.0
9	Jason Heyward	0.0385	0.0159	17.9
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0720	0.0548	17.5

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
J.T. Realmuto	0.3566	0.2984 (32.7)	0.2896 (37.6)	0.2844 (37.6)	0.2917 (34.9)
Yan Gomes	0.1886	0.3072 (30.9)	0.3110 (31.8)	0.2995 (30.1)	0.3099 (32.3)
Paulo Orlando	0.3757	0.2708 (51.6)	0.2913 (41.8)	0.2991 (35.5)	0.2874 (42.3)
Sandy León	0.3838	0.2203 (46.7)	0.2660 (33.9)	0.2740 (30.2)	0.2663 (33.0)
Bryce Harper	0.2640	0.3435 (48.7)	0.3362 (44.0)	0.3321 (44.8)	0.3456 (51.7)
Joe Panik	0.2434	0.3043 (31.1)	0.3247 (41.7)	0.2992 (31.1)	0.2996 (30.0)
José Ramírez	0.3320	0.2826 (31.6)	0.2635 (43.6)	0.2775 (31.7)	0.2745 (35.0)
Ben Revere	0.2327	0.3416 (40.2)	0.3272 (34.7)	0.3250 (35.8)	0.3254 (35.1)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Reynolds	0.2746	0.3606	38.7
2	Carlos González	0.2885	0.3457	37.2
3	Hyun Soo Kim	0.2449	0.3454	35.4
4	Andrew McCutchen	0.3499	0.2972	34.4
5	Ryan Howard	0.3007	0.2051	34.0
6	Jake Lamb	0.3494	0.2936	32.1
7	Cameron Maybin	0.3003	0.3799	31.8
8	Whit Merrifield	0.2673	0.3598	31.3
9	Kris Bryant	0.3766	0.3317	30.2
10	Wilson Ramos	0.2718	0.3273	29.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.3010	0.3679	46.8
2	Jean Segura	0.2945	0.3506	40.3
3	Tyler Naquin	0.2999	0.4070	39.8
4	Mark Reynolds	0.2765	0.3606	38.0
5	DJ LeMahieu	0.3333	0.3811	31.6
6	Derek Norris	0.3086	0.2377	31.5
7	Todd Frazier	0.2843	0.2354	31.2
8	Cameron Maybin	0.3036	0.3799	30.6
9	Trea Turner	0.2968	0.3882	30.3
10	Tim Anderson	0.2999	0.3677	30.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.3025	0.3679	42.2
2	Corey Seager	0.2973	0.3553	37.6
3	Andrew McCutchen	0.3412	0.2972	31.9
4	Jean Segura	0.3014	0.3506	31.9
5	Ryan Howard	0.2826	0.2051	29.2
6	Tyler Naquin	0.3237	0.4070	29.2
7	Freddie Freeman	0.3250	0.3702	29.0
8	Todd Frazier	0.2755	0.2354	28.9
9	Prince Fielder	0.3091	0.2346	28.8
10	Danny Espinosa	0.2988	0.2553	28.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Reynolds	0.2720	0.3606	38.7
2	Jonathan Villar	0.3139	0.3679	36.0
3	Todd Frazier	0.2881	0.2354	35.7
4	Tyler Naquin	0.3092	0.4070	35.4
5	Corey Seager	0.3046	0.3553	34.2
6	Jean Segura	0.3004	0.3506	34.2
7	David Freese	0.3053	0.3723	32.5
8	Derek Norris	0.3023	0.2377	30.0
9	David Ortiz	0.2632	0.3119	29.9
10	Ian Desmond	0.3055	0.3498	29.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Dickerson	0.1746	0.2314 (29.8)	0.2320 (30.1)	0.2185 (24.0)	0.2256 (27.9)
Jake Lamb	0.1773	0.2380 (34.6)	0.2454 (39.0)	0.2379 (35.9)	0.2342 (33.8)
Danny Valencia	0.2786	0.2212 (30.9)	0.2254 (28.8)	0.2148 (33.1)	0.2140 (33.4)
J.T. Realmuto	0.2793	0.2095 (39.3)	0.2149 (36.4)	0.2143 (35.5)	0.2167 (34.1)
Yan Gomes	0.1200	0.2353 (29.8)	0.2274 (27.7)	0.2187 (26.0)	0.2218 (26.9)
Paulo Orlando	0.2966	0.2083 (43.9)	0.2000 (48.0)	0.2329 (30.9)	0.2246 (34.9)
Ian Desmond	0.2780	0.2230 (38.8)	0.2398 (27.6)	0.2304 (32.3)	0.2324 (30.9)
Bryce Harper	0.1947	0.2614 (40.4)	0.2500 (33.1)	0.2451 (31.5)	0.2569 (39.0)
Joe Panik	0.1759	0.2394 (32.2)	0.2529 (39.2)	0.2361 (31.6)	0.2335 (30.3)
Ben Revere	0.1824	0.2940 (41.0)	0.2778 (34.8)	0.2774 (35.6)	0.2781 (35.9)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos González	0.1803	0.2436	41.5
2	Cameron Maybin	0.2277	0.3118	33.8
3	Hyun Soo Kim	0.1837	0.2771	33.1
4	Nomar Mazara	0.2031	0.2583	32.7
5	Brad Miller	0.2369	0.1828	31.1
6	Mark Reynolds	0.2042	0.2714	30.6
7	Michael Conforto	0.2478	0.1602	29.7
8	Justin Turner	0.2561	0.2070	29.1
9	Nolan Arenado	0.1689	0.2075	28.5
10	Charlie Blackmon	0.2191	0.2599	27.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Schimpf	0.2243	0.1169	34.6
2	Jonathan Villar	0.2194	0.2667	33.8
3	David Freese	0.2327	0.2908	29.8
4	Cameron Maybin	0.2423	0.3118	28.1
5	José Peraza	0.2065	0.3125	27.8
6	César Hernández	0.2588	0.3009	27.8
7	Mark Reynolds	0.2121	0.2714	27.2
8	Prince Fielder	0.2475	0.1731	26.6
9	Jose Iglesias	0.2641	0.2104	26.3
10	Justin Turner	0.2508	0.2070	25.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cameron Maybin	0.2344	0.3118	30.3
2	César Hernández	0.2524	0.3009	30.3
3	Corey Seager	0.2172	0.2596	29.2
4	Dustin Pedroia	0.2332	0.2714	26.8
5	Brad Miller	0.2260	0.1828	25.9
6	Neil Walker	0.2134	0.2695	25.8
7	Prince Fielder	0.2394	0.1731	24.5
8	Ian Kinsler	0.2096	0.2448	24.0
9	Jed Lowrie	0.2044	0.2691	23.9
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2374	0.2705	23.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.2097	0.2596	34.2
2	Mark Reynolds	0.1967	0.2714	32.9
3	Mike Trout	0.2308	0.2758	30.6
4	Byron Buxton	0.2707	0.1808	29.8
5	David Freese	0.2336	0.2908	28.1
6	Dustin Pedroia	0.2313	0.2714	28.0
7	Jed Lowrie	0.1949	0.2691	27.4
8	ByungHo Park	0.2620	0.1508	27.1
9	Chase Utley	0.1758	0.2234	26.9
10	Neil Walker	0.2113	0.2695	26.6

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
David Ortiz	0.1143	0.0742 (24.4)	0.0826 (19.3)	0.0815 (18.8)	0.0819 (19.1)
Nomar Mazara	0.0332	0.0938 (35.0)	0.0685 (20.4)	0.0617 (17.7)	0.0637 (18.4)
Colby Rasmus	0.0420	0.0878 (19.5)	0.0879 (19.5)	0.0738 (14.4)	0.0866 (19.4)
Freddie Freeman	0.1105	0.0822 (18.9)	0.0811 (19.9)	0.0817 (18.1)	0.0847 (16.6)
Neil Walker	0.0292	0.0738 (20.9)	0.0667 (17.5)	0.0660 (18.1)	0.0696 (19.4)
José Ramírez	0.0926	0.0507 (25.2)	0.0540 (23.4)	0.0558 (21.0)	0.0588 (19.7)
Adam Jones	0.0393	0.0693 (20.9)	0.0635 (16.8)	0.0639 (18.4)	0.0649 (18.5)
Jean Segura	0.0785	0.0446 (22.8)	0.0388 (27.0)	0.0470 (20.0)	0.0391 (26.0)
Joc Pederson	0.1024	0.0625 (18.5)	0.0645 (17.7)	0.0585 (19.6)	0.0623 (18.2)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bryant	0.1169	0.0847	23.2
2	Nolan Arenado	0.1044	0.0726	22.9
3	Andrew McCutchen	0.0918	0.0599	22.3
4	Nick Markakis	0.0440	0.0769	21.8
5	Jonathan Villar	0.0616	0.0938	21.1
6	Cameron Rupp	0.0507	0.1000	20.2
7	Ian Desmond	0.0929	0.0650	19.6
8	José Abreu	0.0926	0.0663	19.1
9	Jon Jay	0.0455	0.0967	18.7
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1050	0.0797	18.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Travis Shaw	0.0642	0.1015	19.4
2	Odúbel Herrera	0.0767	0.0479	19.4
3	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.1024	0.0370	19.3
4	Jake Lamb	0.0586	0.0901	18.3
5	Michael Saunders	0.0701	0.1022	17.5
6	Seth Smith	0.0932	0.0542	17.5
7	Jon Jay	0.0494	0.0967	17.4
8	Maikel Franco	0.0775	0.0507	17.4
9	Andrew McCutchen	0.0846	0.0599	17.2
10	Danny Espinosa	0.0730	0.0456	16.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.0595	0.0938	21.5
2	Danny Espinosa	0.0749	0.0456	19.3
3	Andrew McCutchen	0.0817	0.0599	16.6
4	Jedd Gyorko	0.0661	0.0327	15.8
5	Cameron Rupp	0.0598	0.1000	15.7
6	Byron Buxton	0.0575	0.1073	15.6
7	Marcell Ozuna	0.0773	0.0544	15.6
8	César Hernández	0.0547	0.0324	15.6
9	Albert Pujols	0.0590	0.0385	15.0
10	Jake Smolinski	0.0673	0.0248	14.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.0583	0.0938	22.9
2	Maikel Franco	0.0823	0.0507	21.2
3	Danny Espinosa	0.0766	0.0456	19.8
4	Jon Jay	0.0435	0.0967	19.2
5	Albert Pujols	0.0655	0.0385	18.8
6	Hanley Ramirez	0.0976	0.0695	18.6
7	Byron Buxton	0.0526	0.1073	17.5
8	Odúbel Herrera	0.0720	0.0479	17.0
9	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.0904	0.0370	16.2
10	Daniel Murphy	0.0735	0.1028	16.0

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Elvis Andrus	0.0159	0.0043 (6.8)	0.0043 (6.8)	0.0038 (6.5)	0.0057 (6.4)
Evan Gattis	0.0000	0.0140 (6.7)	0.0137 (6.7)	0.0154 (8.0)	0.0150 (7.0)
Jake Lamb	0.0262	0.0090 (10.4)	0.0147 (7.0)	0.0125 (7.7)	0.0149 (7.3)
Ryan Schimpf	0.0325	0.0068 (8.6)	0.0072 (8.4)	0.0034 (9.4)	0.0039 (9.8)
Freddie Freeman	0.0154	0.0053 (7.3)	0.0060 (6.7)	0.0038 (7.6)	0.0053 (7.7)
J.T. Realmuto	0.0000	0.0127 (6.7)	0.0149 (8.0)	0.0126 (7.2)	0.0139 (7.0)
Kolten Wong	0.0268	0.0097 (6.4)	0.0073 (7.1)	0.0075 (6.7)	0.0116 (5.9)
Jay Bruce	0.0157	0.0055 (6.2)	0.0055 (6.2)	0.0060 (5.3)	0.0027 (8.3)
Chris Owings	0.0315	0.0140 (8.4)	0.0138 (8.4)	0.0113 (9.1)	0.0156 (7.9)
Kevin Kiermaier	0.0071	0.0268 (7.9)	0.0241 (6.9)	0.0195 (5.4)	0.0262 (7.5)
Trea Turner	0.0338	0.0111 (7.5)	0.0065 (8.9)	0.0096 (7.6)	0.0150 (6.4)
Brandon Belt	0.0210	0.0093 (7.9)	0.0095 (7.7)	0.0096 (7.0)	0.0102 (7.8)
Brandon Crawford	0.0253	0.0119 (8.6)	0.0138 (7.3)	0.0104 (8.8)	0.0135 (8.0)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yasmany Tomás	0.0174	0.0027	8.0
2	Corey Dickerson	0.0213	0.0085	6.8
3	Adam Rosales	0.0000	0.0256	6.5
4	Rougned Odor	0.0194	0.0091	6.3
5	Adam Duvall	0.0067	0.0165	6.2
6	David Dahl	0.0000	0.0256	6.2
7	Matt Carpenter	0.0072	0.0171	5.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	César Hernández	0.0096	0.0255	10.0
2	Eddie Rosario	0.0324	0.0084	8.4
3	Byron Buxton	0.0108	0.0339	7.7
4	Tyler Naquin	0.0072	0.0251	6.7
5	Rougned Odor	0.0195	0.0091	6.4
6	Adam Duvall	0.0064	0.0165	6.3
7	Joe Panik	0.0057	0.0169	6.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	César Hernández	0.0092	0.0255	9.7
2	Adam Duvall	0.0040	0.0165	7.2
3	Tyler Naquin	0.0048	0.0251	7.2
4	Matt Carpenter	0.0059	0.0171	5.9
5	Tim Beckham	0.0114	0.0391	5.8
6	Eddie Rosario	0.0230	0.0084	5.4
7	Joe Panik	0.0059	0.0169	5.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.0224	0.0091	7.7
2	Jonathan Villar	0.0194	0.0074	7.4
3	Rajai Davis	0.0211	0.0059	7.0
4	Lonnie Chisenhall	0.0029	0.0159	5.9
5	Yoenis Cespedes	0.0140	0.0029	5.5
6	Eddie Rosario	0.0247	0.0084	5.4
7	Alejandro De Aza	0.0213	0.0000	5.4

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Alcides Escobar	0.0836	0.1220 (28.3)	0.1100 (21.1)	0.1039 (21.0)	0.1121 (22.8)
DJ LeMahieu	0.1638	0.1009 (38.0)	0.1182 (26.1)	0.1106 (27.1)	0.1046 (34.5)
Jean Segura	0.1470	0.1022 (29.0)	0.1075 (24.2)	0.0982 (26.5)	0.1086 (23.2)
Ian Desmond	0.1581	0.1216 (22.6)	0.1117 (28.3)	0.1077 (27.0)	0.1118 (28.0)
José Abreu	0.0964	0.1494 (39.0)	0.1275 (24.8)	0.1305 (31.0)	0.1375 (32.0)
Xander Bogaerts	0.1599	0.1177 (28.1)	0.1159 (28.4)	0.1223 (19.5)	0.1137 (29.7)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Troy Tulowitzki	0.1540	0.0993	31.5
2	Nolan Arenado	0.1265	0.1667	25.8
3	Carlos Gómez	0.1492	0.0993	24.0
4	Erick Aybar	0.1232	0.0741	24.0
5	Cameron Maybin	0.1028	0.1662	23.6
6	Wil Myers	0.1107	0.1464	22.1
7	Jason Heyward	0.1361	0.1030	21.4
8	Trea Turner	0.0980	0.1636	20.2
9	Jacoby Ellsbury	0.1423	0.1134	20.0
10	Denard Span	0.1375	0.1099	19.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Troy Tulowitzki	0.1480	0.0993	29.0
2	Kris Bryant	0.1275	0.1731	28.7
3	Nolan Arenado	0.1248	0.1667	26.0
4	Charlie Blackmon	0.1291	0.1732	25.3
5	Ian Kinsler	0.1348	0.1723	22.4
6	Jose Altuve	0.1150	0.1506	22.3
7	Erick Aybar	0.1159	0.0741	21.3
8	Dustin Pedroia	0.1154	0.1504	21.3
9	Corey Dickerson	0.1382	0.1040	21.2
10	Cameron Maybin	0.1089	0.1662	20.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Kinsler	0.1245	0.1723	25.3
2	Jason Heyward	0.1347	0.1030	25.0
3	Aledmys Díaz	0.0948	0.1543	22.6
4	Prince Fielder	0.1289	0.0784	22.6
5	Corey Seager	0.1110	0.1528	21.5
6	Troy Tulowitzki	0.1256	0.0993	20.0
7	Charlie Blackmon	0.1326	0.1732	19.3
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1486	0.1191	18.8
9	Kris Bryant	0.1359	0.1731	18.7
10	Chase Utley	0.0966	0.1398	18.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.1144	0.1732	34.5
2	Nolan Arenado	0.1144	0.1667	33.0
3	Dustin Pedroia	0.1071	0.1504	26.8
4	Mike Napoli	0.0979	0.1426	25.6
5	Jason Heyward	0.1387	0.1030	24.0
6	Ian Kinsler	0.1328	0.1723	23.5
7	Erick Aybar	0.1203	0.0741	23.5
8	Francisco Lindor	0.1060	0.1447	23.1
9	Josh Donaldson	0.1385	0.1743	21.6
10	Trevor Story	0.1050	0.1614	21.4

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jose Altuve	0.1339	0.0737 (41.2)	0.0895 (28.3)	0.0925 (26.4)	0.0924 (27.4)
Yangervis Solarte	0.1603	0.0861 (31.6)	0.1020 (23.6)	0.0992 (25.0)	0.0993 (25.5)
Chris Davis	0.1263	0.1870 (42.1)	0.1621 (27.1)	0.1572 (23.6)	0.1835 (40.2)
Christian Yelich	0.1487	0.0946 (33.9)	0.0832 (39.9)	0.0946 (32.6)	0.0856 (39.4)
Trevor Story	0.1735	0.0889 (34.0)	0.1142 (22.5)	0.1124 (23.4)	0.1160 (22.5)
Mookie Betts	0.1548	0.0949 (41.8)	0.1097 (29.2)	0.1119 (27.9)	0.1151 (26.5)
Daniel Murphy	0.1787	0.1205 (32.3)	0.1113 (36.3)	0.1092 (37.7)	0.1221 (31.0)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bryant	0.2133	0.1459	49.0
2	George Springer	0.1626	0.1102	41.0
3	Jayson Werth	0.1758	0.1139	39.2
4	Josh Donaldson	0.1902	0.1414	36.0
5	Andrew McCutchen	0.1664	0.1170	35.1
6	Mark Trumbo	0.1070	0.1619	34.8
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1802	0.1348	33.9
8	Addison Russell	0.1024	0.1589	32.2
9	Charlie Blackmon	0.0752	0.1279	32.1
10	B.J. Upton	0.0541	0.1132	30.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Duvall	0.1020	0.1694	37.9
2	Jake Lamb	0.0913	0.1532	33.8
3	Travis Jankowski	0.1102	0.0313	32.1
4	Nick Markakis	0.0807	0.1301	30.4
5	Addison Russell	0.1040	0.1589	29.8
6	Gregory Polanco	0.0911	0.1465	29.6
7	Nolan Arenado	0.1484	0.1911	26.2
8	Hanley Ramirez	0.1323	0.1790	25.9
9	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1470	0.0985	25.0
10	Albert Pujols	0.1414	0.1831	23.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Markakis	0.0809	0.1301	30.5
2	Gregory Polanco	0.0924	0.1465	29.0
3	David Ortiz	0.1546	0.2029	27.3
4	Addison Russell	0.1106	0.1589	26.1
5	Brian Dozier	0.1020	0.1433	25.3
6	Jake Lamb	0.1082	0.1532	24.0
7	Josh Reddick	0.1313	0.0843	22.7
8	Brett Gardner	0.0956	0.0647	22.5
9	Jonathan Lucroy	0.1032	0.1489	22.3
10	Travis Jankowski	0.0823	0.0313	21.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Teixeira	0.1829	0.1005	37.5
2	Nick Markakis	0.0767	0.1301	34.3
3	Nolan Arenado	0.1422	0.1911	31.7
4	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1620	0.0985	31.2
5	Michael Saunders	0.1516	0.1022	29.5
6	Jake Lamb	0.1009	0.1532	29.1
7	Mike Napoli	0.1116	0.1566	26.9
8	Gregory Polanco	0.1005	0.1465	25.1
9	Travis d'Arnaud	0.1418	0.0543	25.0
10	Brian McCann	0.1649	0.1179	24.8

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Hernán Pérez	0.3579	0.1261 (100.7)	0.0822 (120.8)	0.1068 (112.1)	0.1313 (102.5)
Eduardo Núñez	0.2685	0.1333 (81.7)	0.1370 (81.4)	0.1459 (78.6)	0.1833 (57.7)
Keon Broxton	0.3485	0.1467 (49.8)	0.0816 (66.4)	0.1706 (45.7)	0.1782 (44.4)
Rajai Davis	0.3772	0.2500 (64.1)	0.2700 (55.7)	0.2392 (73.1)	0.2941 (47.0)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1397	0.0622 (56.3)	0.0800 (45.9)	0.0711 (55.2)	0.0894 (43.8)
Freddy Galvis	0.1417	0.0405 (64.5)	0.0574 (55.9)	0.0491 (63.7)	0.0476 (66.0)
Starling Marte	0.3287	0.2031 (67.6)	0.1986 (71.6)	0.1732 (87.3)	0.2157 (66.0)
Trea Turner	0.3882	0.1633 (73.6)	0.0714 (104.4)	0.1511 (79.9)	0.1739 (73.3)
Bryce Harper	0.1141	0.0393 (48.3)	0.0407 (49.4)	0.0369 (54.5)	0.0269 (62.1)
B.J. Upton	0.2288	0.1228 (58.3)	0.1325 (54.8)	0.1285 (59.3)	0.1548 (46.3)
Wil Myers	0.1687	0.0559 (77.7)	0.0667 (72.6)	0.0679 (74.6)	0.0734 (72.4)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.1310	0.0441	63.0
2	Jonathan Villar	0.2523	0.3280	53.0
3	Chris Owings	0.1078	0.1981	43.1
4	Kevin Kiermaier	0.1040	0.2039	42.3
5	Jace Peterson	0.1429	0.0424	40.1
6	Jacoby Ellsbury	0.1875	0.1227	39.2
7	Matt Kemp	0.0677	0.0077	38.8
8	Ezequiel Carrera	0.2083	0.0854	37.4
9	Billy Hamilton	0.4083	0.4874	37.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.2090	0.3280	84.5
2	Travis Jankowski	0.0702	0.2752	80.6
3	Mallex Smith	0.0570	0.3019	53.8
4	Charlie Blackmon	0.1842	0.0977	52.0
5	Jacoby Ellsbury	0.2045	0.1227	47.9
6	Manny Machado	0.0728	0.0000	47.0
7	José Peraza	0.0980	0.2727	46.1
8	Rougned Odor	0.0536	0.1197	45.1
9	Jose Altuve	0.2083	0.1415	44.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.1985	0.0977	58.5
2	Tim Anderson	0.2402	0.1075	53.0
3	Manny Machado	0.0858	0.0000	53.0
4	Jonathan Villar	0.2660	0.3280	48.6
5	Mike Trout	0.0764	0.1282	41.8
6	Chris Owings	0.1193	0.1981	41.2
7	Travis Jankowski	0.1841	0.2752	38.6
8	Derek Norris	0.0301	0.1047	38.5
9	George Springer	0.1049	0.0441	38.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.1000	0.0000	61.4
2	Carlos Correa	0.1729	0.0726	58.4
3	George Springer	0.1339	0.0441	58.0
4	Charlie Blackmon	0.1852	0.0977	48.5
5	Jose Altuve	0.2151	0.1415	44.3
6	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0570	0.3333	42.9
7	Rougned Odor	0.0647	0.1197	42.2
8	Tim Anderson	0.2162	0.1075	41.8
9	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0506	0.1111	37.4

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
David Ortiz	0.3147	0.2578 (34.5)	0.2743 (26.5)	0.2742 (24.7)	0.2637 (30.7)
Jonathan Villar	0.2852	0.2396 (29.8)	0.2407 (31.4)	0.2382 (31.2)	0.2399 (29.5)
J.T. Realmuto	0.3026	0.2537 (25.6)	0.2572 (25.7)	0.2557 (24.9)	0.2517 (26.7)
Wilson Ramos	0.3071	0.2513 (28.2)	0.2495 (31.1)	0.2516 (28.4)	0.2493 (29.2)
DJ LeMahieu	0.3478	0.2885 (36.6)	0.2819 (43.1)	0.2881 (37.3)	0.2868 (37.6)
Sandy León	0.3095	0.1954 (31.8)	0.2186 (26.2)	0.2221 (24.4)	0.2114 (27.2)
Jean Segura	0.3187	0.2780 (27.0)	0.2625 (40.3)	0.2703 (32.8)	0.2670 (34.5)
Bryce Harper	0.2431	0.2975 (35.2)	0.2921 (29.6)	0.3005 (36.7)	0.3108 (43.6)
José Ramírez	0.3115	0.2579 (32.1)	0.2426 (43.7)	0.2616 (30.2)	0.2622 (29.3)
Derek Norris	0.1855	0.2494 (30.0)	0.2553 (31.1)	0.2400 (25.4)	0.2470 (29.0)
Andrew McCutchen	0.2559	0.3075 (36.1)	0.2971 (26.6)	0.2965 (28.2)	0.2927 (26.2)
Ben Revere	0.2171	0.3110 (35.9)	0.2980 (29.6)	0.2998 (31.4)	0.3007 (32.1)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paulo Orlando	0.2258	0.3020	36.0
2	Jason Heyward	0.2805	0.2302	30.9
3	Charlie Blackmon	0.2737	0.3235	30.8
4	Daniel Murphy	0.2949	0.3465	29.0
5	Joey Votto	0.2810	0.3255	29.0
6	Aledmys Díaz	0.2411	0.2995	26.0
7	Cameron Maybin	0.2481	0.3152	25.5
8	Mark Reynolds	0.2241	0.2824	24.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Murphy	0.2805	0.3465	39.5
2	Trea Turner	0.2512	0.3420	30.0
3	Joe Panik	0.2941	0.2392	27.9
4	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2262	0.2670	27.1
5	Mookie Betts	0.2832	0.3185	27.1
6	Charlie Blackmon	0.2836	0.3235	26.7
7	Mark Reynolds	0.2244	0.2824	26.4
8	Prince Fielder	0.2840	0.2117	26.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.2624	0.3078	30.5
2	Prince Fielder	0.2909	0.2117	29.7
3	Jason Heyward	0.2787	0.2302	29.4
4	Ian Desmond	0.2428	0.2848	27.7
5	Joey Votto	0.2841	0.3255	27.3
6	Charlie Blackmon	0.2807	0.3235	26.8
7	Alex Gordon	0.2707	0.2202	26.1
8	Dustin Pedroia	0.2817	0.3175	24.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Murphy	0.2850	0.3465	34.7
2	Chris Davis	0.2654	0.2208	30.9
3	Corey Seager	0.2655	0.3078	27.7
4	Jason Heyward	0.2744	0.2302	27.3
5	Trea Turner	0.2584	0.3420	26.5
6	Paulo Orlando	0.2458	0.3020	26.3
7	Joey Votto	0.2857	0.3255	25.7
8	Dustin Pedroia	0.2792	0.3175	25.4

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jonathan Villar	0.3694	0.2994 (41.0)	0.3017 (45.0)	0.3007 (42.4)	0.3027 (40.2)
Wilson Ramos	0.3537	0.2886 (29.1)	0.2869 (34.2)	0.2903 (29.9)	0.2832 (33.0)
DJ LeMahieu	0.4163	0.3333 (46.6)	0.3327 (52.1)	0.3390 (45.1)	0.3350 (46.8)
Josh Donaldson	0.4040	0.3557 (27.1)	0.3581 (31.1)	0.3497 (33.6)	0.3529 (30.6)
Jean Segura	0.3681	0.3065 (36.1)	0.2989 (47.0)	0.3033 (40.6)	0.3002 (41.9)
Derek Norris	0.2555	0.3184 (33.2)	0.3264 (33.2)	0.3119 (28.7)	0.3184 (32.3)
Andrew McCutchen	0.3363	0.4013 (50.4)	0.3927 (39.1)	0.3945 (43.5)	0.3917 (42.5)
Ben Revere	0.2601	0.3393 (33.3)	0.3322 (27.6)	0.3325 (29.5)	0.3310 (29.4)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Heyward	0.3588	0.3063	36.8
2	Charlie Blackmon	0.3182	0.3809	34.0
3	Aledmys Díaz	0.2864	0.3690	33.6
4	David Ortiz	0.3451	0.4010	28.9
5	Bryce Harper	0.4097	0.3732	28.9
6	Ryan Zimmerman	0.3235	0.2719	28.6
7	Paulo Orlando	0.2615	0.3292	28.1
8	Corey Dickerson	0.3339	0.2925	28.0
9	Daniel Murphy	0.3333	0.3900	27.4
10	Adam Lind	0.3400	0.2860	27.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Murphy	0.3226	0.3900	38.4
2	José Ramírez	0.3039	0.3630	35.6
3	Jose Altuve	0.3467	0.3964	34.5
4	Mike Trout	0.3904	0.4405	33.1
5	Brandon Belt	0.3433	0.3939	32.2
6	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2987	0.3491	31.1
7	Adam Lind	0.3542	0.2860	29.9
8	Nolan Arenado	0.3193	0.3621	28.8
9	Charlie Blackmon	0.3356	0.3809	28.1
10	Yan Gomes	0.3056	0.2008	28.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Heyward	0.3566	0.3063	33.5
2	Corey Seager	0.3118	0.3654	32.5
3	Prince Fielder	0.3716	0.2919	31.8
4	Brandon Belt	0.3400	0.3939	31.2
5	César Hernández	0.3166	0.3712	30.0
6	Aledmys Díaz	0.2976	0.3690	30.0
7	Ryan Zimmerman	0.3286	0.2719	29.4
8	Justin Upton	0.3493	0.3099	28.6
9	Jose Altuve	0.3503	0.3964	28.6
10	Gerardo Parra	0.3397	0.2711	28.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.4308	0.3732	40.8
2	Daniel Murphy	0.3251	0.3900	33.4
3	Aledmys Díaz	0.2896	0.3690	33.1
4	Corey Seager	0.3110	0.3654	32.2
5	Jason Heyward	0.3524	0.3063	31.7
6	Jose Altuve	0.3464	0.3964	30.5
7	Brandon Belt	0.3402	0.3939	30.2
8	Tyler Naquin	0.2850	0.3719	29.0
9	Justin Upton	0.3479	0.3099	28.5
10	Yan Gomes	0.2977	0.2008	27.6

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brian Dozier	0.5463	0.4262 (72.1)	0.4252 (76.5)	0.4050 (84.7)	0.4373 (63.7)
Jose Altuve	0.5313	0.4384 (55.2)	0.4293 (65.6)	0.4307 (58.5)	0.4317 (59.3)
Charlie Blackmon	0.5519	0.4395 (62.0)	0.4400 (65.1)	0.4319 (64.8)	0.4381 (62.1)
Jason Heyward	0.3245	0.4313 (72.5)	0.4141 (59.2)	0.4422 (80.8)	0.4328 (74.1)
DJ LeMahieu	0.4946	0.3827 (61.0)	0.3726 (70.9)	0.3840 (58.2)	0.3824 (60.5)
Jean Segura	0.4992	0.3918 (63.6)	0.3640 (86.6)	0.3735 (74.2)	0.3613 (84.0)
Daniel Murphy	0.5951	0.4328 (85.3)	0.4187 (96.6)	0.4325 (83.6)	0.4230 (90.3)
Bryce Harper	0.4407	0.5496 (78.2)	0.5213 (57.0)	0.5619 (87.8)	0.5920 (105.5)
Trea Turner	0.5668	0.4005 (48.8)	0.3913 (53.5)	0.3952 (49.5)	0.3775 (55.8)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.5551	0.4679	71.6
2	David Ortiz	0.4911	0.6201	70.9
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.5694	0.4888	68.0
4	Andrew McCutchen	0.5132	0.4298	67.0
5	Jonathan Villar	0.3548	0.4567	58.5
6	Trevor Story	0.4135	0.5672	57.2
7	Ryan Schimpf	0.3468	0.5326	56.1
8	Chris Davis	0.5241	0.4594	53.5
9	Evan Longoria	0.4294	0.5213	52.2
10	Aledmys Díaz	0.3832	0.5099	51.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.4622	0.5688	66.6
2	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.3720	0.4857	65.7
3	Jake Lamb	0.3910	0.5086	63.7
4	Mark Trumbo	0.4323	0.5334	60.6
5	Gary Sánchez	0.3904	0.6567	58.6
6	Kris Bryant	0.4607	0.5539	57.9
7	José Ramírez	0.3612	0.4619	55.8
8	Yasmany Tomás	0.3995	0.5075	55.0
9	Trevor Story	0.4250	0.5672	54.7
10	David Ortiz	0.5253	0.6201	52.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Ortiz	0.4976	0.6201	64.9
2	Prince Fielder	0.4736	0.3344	58.5
3	Andrew McCutchen	0.4945	0.4298	56.4
4	Trevor Story	0.4217	0.5672	52.6
5	Robinson Canó	0.4425	0.5328	51.1
6	Freddie Freeman	0.4766	0.5688	50.8
7	Ramón Flores	0.4178	0.2610	50.8
8	Aledmys Díaz	0.3823	0.5099	50.0
9	Corey Seager	0.4212	0.5120	49.4
10	Jonathan Villar	0.3652	0.4567	49.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Davis	0.5558	0.4594	75.4
2	Jake Lamb	0.3903	0.5086	60.2
3	Freddie Freeman	0.4686	0.5688	57.7
4	Khris Davis	0.4150	0.5243	56.3
5	Robinson Canó	0.4391	0.5328	54.9
6	Tyler Naquin	0.3488	0.5140	54.1
7	Andrew McCutchen	0.4927	0.4298	53.9
8	Mark Teixeira	0.4636	0.3618	52.0
9	Colby Rasmus	0.4610	0.3550	51.2
10	Ramón Flores	0.4204	0.2610	50.9

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tyson Ross	27	786 (758.9)	727 (700.0)	793 (766.1)	765 (738.0)
John Danks	100	603 (503.0)	722 (622.0)	622 (522.1)	736 (636.0)
Garrett Richards	148	812 (663.9)	732 (584.0)	826 (677.6)	770 (622.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Perdomo	1	662	661.0
2	Andrew Heaney	655	25	630.0
3	Charlie Morton	673	71	601.9
4	Dan Straily	203	792	588.9
5	Christian Friedrich	1	567	566.0
6	Miguel González	1	566	565.0
7	Tanner Roark	350	855	505.0
8	Michael Fulmer	159	647	488.1
9	Tyler Anderson	1	478	477.0
10	Phil Hughes	720	259	461.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kenta Maeda	1	716	715.0
2	Luis Perdomo	1	662	661.0
3	Michael Fulmer	1	647	646.0
4	Chris Heston	627	29	598.0
5	Sean Manaea	1	594	593.0
6	Brett Anderson	639	62	577.0
7	Drew Hutchison	669	104	565.0
8	Kyle Lohse	609	48	561.0
9	Roenis Elías	564	41	523.0
10	Charlie Morton	593	71	522.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Lohse	707	48	659.3
2	Michael Fulmer	40	647	607.1
3	Andrew Heaney	628	25	602.9
4	Zach Davies	80	682	601.7
5	Phil Hughes	835	259	575.6
6	Christian Friedrich	4	567	562.6
7	Miguel González	4	566	561.7
8	Luis Perdomo	111	662	551.4
9	Chris Bassitt	660	133	526.6
10	Dan Straily	281	792	511.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Heaney	764	25	739.0
2	Adrian Sampson	686	21	665.0
3	Chris Heston	662	29	633.0
4	Jhoulys Chacín	1	632	631.0
5	Ryan Merritt	666	37	629.0
6	Adam Plutko	633	18	615.0
7	Roenis Elías	654	41	613.0
8	Henry Owens	714	103	611.0
9	Shawn Morimando	633	27	606.0
10	Scott Diamond	612	7	605.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Devenski	0.2415	0.1177 (35.6)	0.3181 (36.3)	0.3031 (39.8)	0.3332 (51.4)
Justin Verlander	0.2712	0.1011 (36.9)	0.3044 (41.1)	0.2827 (42.8)	0.2748 (34.1)
Rick Porcello	0.2738	0.0977 (31.1)	0.3174 (49.8)	0.2826 (39.8)	0.2844 (39.9)
Kyle Hendricks	0.2544	0.0883 (33.5)	0.2920 (37.3)	0.2773 (43.8)	0.2717 (38.4)
James Shields	0.3767	0.1056 (49.4)	0.3139 (41.4)	0.2821 (48.3)	0.2715 (58.3)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.3181	0.3147	102.5
2	Matt Bush	0.3181	0.2310	72.4
3	Clayton Kershaw	0.0834	0.2033	49.6
4	Aaron Sanchez	0.1192	0.2763	42.6
5	Mike Pelfrey	0.0908	0.3766	40.5
6	Adam Wainwright	0.0774	0.3339	38.6
7	Buddy Boshers	0.3181	0.2825	37.5
8	Marco Estrada	0.1194	0.2795	36.8
9	Rich Hill	0.1115	0.2409	35.8
10	Tyler Duffey	0.0989	0.3696	35.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2762	0.3339	38.4
2	Chris Young	0.2952	0.3942	35.2
3	Jered Weaver	0.3078	0.3646	34.1
4	Kenta Maeda	0.3181	0.2846	32.8
5	Seunghwan Oh	0.3181	0.2261	32.7
6	Tyler Duffey	0.3034	0.3696	32.1
7	Sonny Gray	0.2743	0.3482	31.8
8	Jon Lester	0.2894	0.2628	31.0
9	Michael Fulmer	0.3181	0.2839	30.2
10	Alfredo Simon	0.3190	0.4314	29.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	0.3042	0.2763	50.4
2	Marco Estrada	0.3014	0.2795	41.7
3	Tanner Roark	0.2923	0.2804	40.9
4	Rich Hill	0.2876	0.2409	36.2
5	Steven Wright	0.3047	0.2891	33.8
6	Michael Fulmer	0.2981	0.2839	32.4
7	Clayton Kershaw	0.2257	0.2033	31.7
8	Patrick Corbin	0.2725	0.3519	30.5
9	Matt Bush	0.3181	0.2310	29.9
10	Julio Teheran	0.2828	0.2803	29.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Fulmer	0.3124	0.2839	40.6
2	Rich Hill	0.2959	0.2409	39.2
3	Adam Wainwright	0.2550	0.3339	37.9
4	Aaron Sanchez	0.2862	0.2763	34.9
5	Tim Lincecum	0.2864	0.4729	30.5
6	Steven Wright	0.3002	0.2891	29.7
7	Patrick Corbin	0.2753	0.3519	29.7
8	Matt Bush	0.3181	0.2310	29.5
9	Dan Straily	0.3095	0.3068	29.3
10	Chris Young	0.2888	0.3942	28.9

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
José Fernández	0.3433	0.2734 (41.3)	0.2628 (56.9)	0.2862 (37.1)	0.2808 (40.9)
Michael Feliz	0.3519	0.1720 (44.8)	0.2031 (39.3)	0.2137 (35.5)	0.1756 (45.7)
Justin Verlander	0.2813	0.1986 (62.1)	0.2029 (67.8)	0.1947 (72.1)	0.2006 (66.5)
Kyle Barraclough	0.3693	0.2368 (36.3)	0.2215 (44.2)	0.2485 (34.9)	0.2439 (36.2)
Juan Nicasio	0.2690	0.1881 (34.4)	0.1949 (36.3)	0.1943 (34.8)	0.1924 (35.7)
Robbie Ray	0.2809	0.2077 (46.0)	0.2051 (56.3)	0.2273 (36.4)	0.2138 (46.7)
James Shields	0.1642	0.2284 (64.1)	0.2190 (47.7)	0.2135 (46.1)	0.2291 (59.1)
Edwin Díaz	0.4055	0.1836 (45.2)	0.2113 (41.4)	0.1808 (47.3)	0.1860 (46.1)
Tyler Thornburg	0.3422	0.1770 (39.8)	0.2040 (35.5)	0.2030 (34.8)	0.2091 (33.2)
David Phelps	0.3239	0.1656 (50.8)	0.1835 (48.3)	0.2062 (39.0)	0.1812 (47.7)
Brad Hand	0.3049	0.1535 (50.1)	0.1718 (47.3)	0.1949 (37.6)	0.1677 (47.4)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Martín Pérez	0.1581	0.1205	44.1
2	Tanner Roark	0.1371	0.2012	42.9
3	Danny Duffy	0.1852	0.2572	42.4
4	Junior Guerra	0.2670	0.2033	38.2
5	Clay Buchholz	0.2065	0.1582	36.6
6	Josh Tomlin	0.1985	0.1628	36.0
7	Andrew Miller	0.3044	0.4473	35.5
8	Yordano Ventura	0.2051	0.1765	34.7
9	Félix Hernández	0.2238	0.1863	33.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Duffy	0.1869	0.2572	49.0
2	Martín Pérez	0.1722	0.1205	47.0
3	Michael Pineda	0.2188	0.2738	39.1
4	Félix Hernández	0.2423	0.1863	38.8
5	Josh Tomlin	0.2108	0.1628	37.2
6	Luis Perdomo	0.2113	0.1586	37.0
7	Andrew Miller	0.3123	0.4473	36.2
8	Seunghwan Oh	0.2113	0.3291	35.8
9	Jon Gray	0.2079	0.2598	34.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Martín Pérez	0.1712	0.1205	49.2
2	Chris Sale	0.3015	0.2569	46.6
3	Junior Guerra	0.2873	0.2033	44.7
4	Michael Pineda	0.2197	0.2738	35.8
5	Chris Devenski	0.1611	0.2549	35.5
6	Marco Estrada	0.1740	0.2282	34.3
7	Brandon Finnegan	0.2372	0.1975	34.1
8	Dan Straily	0.2396	0.2045	33.2
9	Mike Fiers	0.2212	0.1851	31.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Duffy	0.1832	0.2572	49.0
2	Jon Gray	0.1888	0.2598	45.6
3	Chris Sale	0.2994	0.2569	44.9
4	Félix Hernández	0.2449	0.1863	43.0
5	Michael Pineda	0.2150	0.2738	39.1
6	Yordano Ventura	0.2164	0.1765	38.3
7	Chris Devenski	0.1567	0.2549	37.2
8	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.2072	0.1758	32.1
9	Rich Hill	0.2143	0.2938	31.8

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Félix Hernández	0.0992	0.0660 (18.1)	0.0633 (19.7)	0.0608 (21.6)	0.0591 (22.1)
Danny Duffy	0.0575	0.0888 (27.0)	0.0865 (25.6)	0.0786 (19.5)	0.0861 (25.6)
Jake Arrieta	0.0956	0.0683 (17.3)	0.0668 (18.1)	0.0662 (19.0)	0.0657 (18.7)
Clayton Kershaw	0.0202	0.0618 (25.7)	0.0535 (21.3)	0.0508 (19.6)	0.0485 (18.9)
Jerad Eickhoff	0.0518	0.0693 (18.7)	0.0722 (21.4)	0.0779 (25.6)	0.0776 (26.1)
Mike Leake	0.0396	0.0674 (25.3)	0.0625 (21.8)	0.0591 (18.9)	0.0582 (18.9)
Patrick Corbin	0.0942	0.0636 (17.5)	0.0621 (18.3)	0.0625 (18.4)	0.0583 (20.7)
James Paxton	0.0470	0.0900 (24.9)	0.0882 (24.1)	0.0881 (23.8)	0.0854 (22.9)
Zach Davies	0.0557	0.0779 (19.0)	0.0838 (23.2)	0.0854 (24.0)	0.0814 (21.9)
Iván Nova	0.0409	0.0716 (24.8)	0.0776 (29.1)	0.0722 (25.1)	0.0720 (25.6)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rick Porcello	0.0557	0.0360	22.6
2	Carlos Rodón	0.1010	0.0755	22.2
3	Tanner Roark	0.0543	0.0854	21.8
4	Mike Fiers	0.0813	0.0580	20.9
5	Julio Teheran	0.0739	0.0541	19.3
6	Luis Perdomo	0.0923	0.0695	18.8
7	Doug Fister	0.0500	0.0796	18.7
8	Aaron Sanchez	0.0976	0.0797	18.6
9	Josh Tomlin	0.0462	0.0276	17.6
10	Sean Manaea	0.0857	0.0623	17.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rick Porcello	0.0571	0.0360	24.2
2	Carlos Rodón	0.1005	0.0755	22.1
3	Josh Tomlin	0.0514	0.0276	21.6
4	Jameson Taillon	0.0818	0.0407	19.7
5	Mike Fiers	0.0791	0.0580	19.6
6	Julio Teheran	0.0736	0.0541	19.3
7	Zach Neal	0.0818	0.0214	18.6
8	Tyler Duffey	0.0787	0.0537	18.5
9	Brandon Finnegan	0.0833	0.1144	18.5
10	Danny Salazar	0.0720	0.1079	17.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	0.1102	0.0797	28.3
2	Carlos Rodón	0.1077	0.0755	26.9
3	Sean Manaea	0.0966	0.0623	23.6
4	Luis Perdomo	0.0985	0.0695	22.8
5	Rick Porcello	0.0543	0.0360	21.2
6	Tanner Roark	0.0576	0.0854	19.1
7	Yovani Gallardo	0.0749	0.1160	18.7
8	Logan Verrett	0.0550	0.1059	18.5
9	Danny Salazar	0.0721	0.1079	17.7
10	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0947	0.0667	17.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	0.1106	0.0797	29.5
2	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1089	0.0667	25.6
3	Jameson Taillon	0.0888	0.0407	22.8
4	Sean Manaea	0.0922	0.0623	21.5
5	Rich Hill	0.1164	0.0752	20.9
6	Tanner Roark	0.0548	0.0854	20.7
7	Danny Salazar	0.0671	0.1079	20.1
8	Michael Pineda	0.0375	0.0701	19.8
9	James Shields	0.0709	0.0998	18.5
10	Derek Law	0.1220	0.0421	18.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jeff Samardzija	0.0012	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0115 (8.9)	0.0101 (7.9)	0.0110 (7.9)
Robbie Ross Jr.	0.0336	0.0000 (5.9)	0.0137 (4.6)	0.0111 (5.2)	0.0128 (5.0)
Rick Porcello	0.0146	0.0000 (5.1)	0.0086 (5.0)	0.0084 (5.0)	0.0087 (5.5)
Mike Montgomery	0.0242	0.0000 (6.3)	0.0087 (6.2)	0.0094 (5.9)	0.0121 (5.1)
Drew Pomeranz	0.0014	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0085 (5.3)	0.0075 (4.7)	0.0093 (5.3)
Tanner Roark	0.0152	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0082 (5.6)	0.0081 (5.6)	0.0083 (6.1)
Ian Kennedy	0.0159	0.0000 (5.7)	0.0087 (5.5)	0.0089 (5.2)	0.0086 (6.2)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jimmy Nelson	0.0000	0.0211	9.8
2	Chris Sale	0.0000	0.0187	8.9
3	Mike Wright Jr.	0.0000	0.0274	6.1
4	Zack Greinke	0.0000	0.0000	5.9
5	Adam Conley	0.0000	0.0188	5.8
6	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0169	5.7
7	Tyler Anderson	0.0089	0.0063	5.5
8	Oliver Pérez	0.0000	0.0385	5.4
9	Alfredo Simon	0.0000	0.0268	5.3
10	Drew Storen	0.0000	0.0307	5.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Conley	0.0083	0.0188	5.9
2	Jon Gray	0.0084	0.0169	5.7
3	Jered Weaver	0.0121	0.0052	5.6
4	Zack Greinke	0.0067	0.0000	4.7
5	John Lackey	0.0052	0.0120	4.7
6	Héctor Santiago	0.0118	0.0064	4.6
7	Michael Wacha	0.0087	0.0017	4.6
8	Francisco Liriano	0.0057	0.0123	4.5
9	Oliver Pérez	0.0138	0.0385	4.4
10	Félix Hernández	0.0081	0.0153	4.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jimmy Nelson	0.0129	0.0211	6.2
2	Jon Gray	0.0083	0.0169	5.7
3	Mike Wright Jr.	0.0104	0.0274	5.4
4	Chris Sale	0.0123	0.0187	5.3
5	Adam Conley	0.0095	0.0188	5.1
6	Zack Greinke	0.0069	0.0000	5.0
7	Oliver Pérez	0.0110	0.0385	4.9
8	Drew Storen	0.0098	0.0307	4.6
9	Vince Velasquez	0.0097	0.0018	4.6
10	Félix Hernández	0.0077	0.0153	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Lackey	0.0039	0.0120	6.3
2	Francisco Liriano	0.0042	0.0123	6.1
3	Gio González	0.0043	0.0118	5.9
4	Félix Hernández	0.0072	0.0153	5.4
5	Bud Norris	0.0171	0.0061	5.4
6	Vince Velasquez	0.0118	0.0018	5.3
7	Héctor Santiago	0.0134	0.0064	5.3
8	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.0151	0.0000	5.2
9	Brandon Finnegan	0.0128	0.0054	5.2
10	Jered Weaver	0.0122	0.0052	5.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Steven Wright	0.0259	0.0410 (14.4)	0.0413 (14.8)	0.0391 (13.7)	0.0408 (14.6)
Chris Devenski	0.0142	0.0451 (15.4)	0.0434 (14.8)	0.0418 (14.4)	0.0550 (19.6)
Miguel González	0.0256	0.0420 (13.2)	0.0462 (15.7)	0.0478 (16.9)	0.0487 (17.3)
Jonathon Niese	0.0613	0.0320 (12.2)	0.0322 (12.0)	0.0270 (14.5)	0.0243 (16.1)
James Shields	0.0670	0.0385 (17.8)	0.0417 (14.9)	0.0370 (18.4)	0.0349 (20.3)
Chris Young	0.1045	0.0474 (20.4)	0.0421 (22.4)	0.0499 (19.1)	0.0412 (22.7)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.0632	0.0373 (12.7)	0.0385 (11.6)	0.0383 (11.5)	0.0369 (12.6)
Noah Syndergaard	0.0229	0.0379 (16.3)	0.0435 (20.7)	0.0350 (14.7)	0.0362 (15.5)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	0.0353	0.0238	16.1
2	Rich Hill	0.0350	0.0149	11.8
3	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0301	0.0594	11.8
4	Tanner Roark	0.0353	0.0285	11.7
5	Jeurys Familia	0.0340	0.0049	11.5
6	Erik Johnson	0.0369	0.1228	11.5
7	Dan Straily	0.0354	0.0568	11.5
8	Trevor Bauer	0.0426	0.0355	11.4
9	Aaron Sanchez	0.0342	0.0267	11.3
10	Dylan Bundy	0.0253	0.0559	11.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	0.0349	0.0238	16.1
2	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0234	0.0594	15.1
3	A.J. Griffin	0.0444	0.0802	14.6
4	Chris Archer	0.0308	0.0548	14.4
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0458	0.0366	13.2
6	Francisco Liriano	0.0306	0.0554	12.9
7	Brett Oberholtzer	0.0297	0.0759	12.5
8	Blake Snell	0.0434	0.0198	12.3
9	Jaime García	0.0261	0.0493	11.9
10	Tanner Roark	0.0351	0.0285	11.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Francisco Liriano	0.0261	0.0554	15.9
2	Jaime García	0.0242	0.0493	13.0
3	Tanner Roark	0.0360	0.0285	13.0
4	Chris Archer	0.0326	0.0548	12.4
5	Rich Hill	0.0345	0.0149	12.0
6	A.J. Griffin	0.0503	0.0802	11.3
7	Brandon Finnegan	0.0352	0.0579	11.1
8	Johnny Cueto	0.0287	0.0238	11.0
9	Trevor Bauer	0.0414	0.0355	11.0
10	Taijuan Walker	0.0398	0.0660	10.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.0269	0.0558	19.4
2	Chris Archer	0.0289	0.0548	15.7
3	Junior Guerra	0.0518	0.0289	14.9
4	Francisco Liriano	0.0280	0.0554	14.6
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0466	0.0366	14.0
6	Rich Hill	0.0363	0.0149	12.7
7	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0434	0.0309	12.6
8	CC Sabathia	0.0493	0.0406	12.3
9	Héctor Santiago	0.0362	0.0592	12.2
10	Michael Fulmer	0.0453	0.0345	11.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jon Lester	0.2558	0.2978 (40.5)	0.3004 (38.1)	0.2828 (30.6)	0.2804 (27.4)
Lance McCullers Jr.	0.3827	0.2778 (33.8)	0.2914 (31.0)	0.2855 (30.2)	0.2929 (28.1)
Dan Straily	0.2388	0.2866 (44.8)	0.2880 (41.5)	0.2725 (35.7)	0.2966 (53.6)
Justin Verlander	0.2545	0.2848 (35.3)	0.2988 (43.0)	0.2790 (32.4)	0.2889 (40.0)
Rick Porcello	0.2686	0.2994 (35.3)	0.3115 (41.2)	0.2965 (35.0)	0.2978 (34.9)
Robbie Ray	0.3523	0.3055 (29.5)	0.3108 (29.6)	0.2812 (46.3)	0.2941 (37.5)
Colby Lewis	0.2407	0.3054 (34.7)	0.3051 (32.0)	0.2856 (26.6)	0.2945 (30.1)
Kyle Hendricks	0.2500	0.2881 (35.0)	0.2928 (34.4)	0.2870 (36.1)	0.2834 (32.3)
Collin McHugh	0.3383	0.2810 (38.6)	0.2975 (29.9)	0.2832 (34.8)	0.2863 (33.6)
Noah Syndergaard	0.3340	0.2848 (30.1)	0.2834 (35.2)	0.2844 (28.4)	0.2876 (27.2)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Lackey	0.2933	0.2547	35.5
2	Brandon Finnegan	0.2922	0.2564	32.8
3	José Fernández	0.2799	0.3317	31.7
4	Carlos Rodón	0.2786	0.3297	30.2
5	James Paxton	0.2795	0.3472	30.1
6	Jeremy Hellickson	0.3024	0.2744	28.4
7	Wade Miley	0.2792	0.3279	28.4
8	Michael Pineda	0.2929	0.3391	28.3
9	Marco Estrada	0.2640	0.2339	28.1
10	Kyle Gibson	0.2779	0.3298	28.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2857	0.3300	34.7
2	John Lackey	0.2970	0.2547	34.2
3	Corey Kluber	0.3060	0.2706	33.3
4	J.A. Happ	0.3037	0.2679	31.1
5	Ian Kennedy	0.3029	0.2682	31.1
6	James Paxton	0.2838	0.3472	30.7
7	Ricky Nolasco	0.3286	0.2943	30.7
8	Cody Anderson	0.2654	0.3810	30.3
9	Michael Wacha	0.2812	0.3341	30.1
10	Junior Guerra	0.3077	0.2500	30.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Arrieta	0.2853	0.2406	44.6
2	Marco Estrada	0.2703	0.2339	34.6
3	Michael Pineda	0.2841	0.3391	32.9
4	Aaron Sanchez	0.2953	0.2674	31.1
5	Max Scherzer	0.2778	0.2552	30.7
6	John Lackey	0.2842	0.2547	30.7
7	Tanner Roark	0.2910	0.2690	28.6
8	José Fernández	0.2837	0.3317	27.0
9	Ryan Dull	0.2887	0.2094	26.3
10	Brandon Finnegan	0.2807	0.2564	26.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2855	0.2552	36.2
2	Adam Wainwright	0.2830	0.3300	31.4
3	Michael Fulmer	0.3045	0.2679	30.1
4	Matt Harvey	0.2723	0.3527	28.3
5	Michael Wacha	0.2778	0.3341	28.1
6	Edinson Volquez	0.2766	0.3191	27.8
7	Jake Arrieta	0.2656	0.2406	27.7
8	Archie Bradley	0.2857	0.3382	27.2
9	Tim Lincecum	0.2869	0.4318	27.0
10	James Paxton	0.2848	0.3472	26.8

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Max Scherzer	0.1771	0.0000 (40.5)	0.2036 (25.3)	0.2778 (34.7)	0.2855 (42.0)
Luis Perdomo	0.2744	0.0000 (34.7)	0.2232 (32.9)	0.2902 (30.7)	0.2963 (26.4)
Justin Verlander	0.1841	0.0000 (34.2)	0.2235 (37.0)	0.2790 (29.5)	0.2889 (38.9)
Robbie Ray	0.2713	0.0000 (38.3)	0.2162 (41.6)	0.2812 (40.6)	0.2941 (30.2)
Trevor Rosenthal	0.3774	0.0000 (30.6)	0.2472 (25.3)	0.2808 (31.3)	0.2983 (27.7)
Dan Straily	0.1670	0.0000 (43.6)	0.2147 (39.0)	0.2725 (34.3)	0.2966 (53.8)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.2232	0.2411	97.6
2	Matt Bush	0.2232	0.2025	59.0
3	Marco Estrada	0.0000	0.1695	38.0
4	Mike Pelfrey	0.0000	0.2871	35.2
5	Buddy Boshers	0.2232	0.2308	32.6
6	Carlos Rodón	0.0000	0.2651	30.8
7	Jake Arrieta	0.0000	0.1834	30.7
8	Jeremy Hellickson	0.0000	0.1860	27.8
9	Héctor Santiago	0.0000	0.1870	27.5
10	Chris Tillman	0.0000	0.1843	27.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rick Porcello	0.2421	0.2038	35.5
2	Nathan Eovaldi	0.2540	0.1923	33.2
3	Chris Young	0.1703	0.2500	31.7
4	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2075	0.2562	31.4
5	Mike Leake	0.2063	0.2452	28.3
6	Junior Guerra	0.2308	0.1756	27.9
7	Travis Wood	0.2251	0.1163	27.8
8	Corey Kluber	0.2242	0.1938	27.5
9	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2043	0.2483	26.8
10	Boone Logan	0.2560	0.1154	26.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Arrieta	0.2853	0.1834	31.5
2	Mike Pelfrey	0.2958	0.2871	28.9
3	Marco Estrada	0.2703	0.1695	27.9
4	Rick Porcello	0.2965	0.2038	27.2
5	Dillon Gee	0.2813	0.2684	27.2
6	Jeremy Hellickson	0.2828	0.1860	26.7
7	Carlos Rodón	0.2900	0.2651	26.7
8	Chris Tillman	0.2833	0.1843	26.4
9	Blake Snell	0.2800	0.2834	26.3
10	Junior Guerra	0.2904	0.1756	25.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2232	0.2483	54.9
2	Jeremy Hellickson	0.2983	0.1860	39.1
3	Corey Kluber	0.2914	0.1938	30.9
4	Daniel Mengden	0.2232	0.2512	29.8
5	Rick Porcello	0.2978	0.2038	28.8
6	Jerad Eickhoff	0.2883	0.1915	28.5
7	Edinson Volquez	0.2766	0.2467	27.2
8	Nathan Eovaldi	0.3051	0.1923	26.8
9	Travis Wood	0.2839	0.1163	26.7
10	Carlos Rodón	0.2900	0.2651	26.3

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Steven Wright	0.0376	0.0000 (19.0)	0.0603 (16.1)	0.0000 (19.0)	0.0000 (17.8)
Michael Pineda	0.0929	0.0000 (19.9)	0.0691 (16.6)	0.0000 (19.9)	0.0000 (21.3)
Logan Verrett	0.1227	0.0000 (22.8)	0.0556 (26.5)	0.0000 (22.8)	0.0000 (23.6)
Jake Peavy	0.0994	0.0000 (17.1)	0.0663 (16.3)	0.0000 (17.1)	0.0000 (18.1)
Tyler Duffey	0.1002	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0690 (17.6)	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0000 (21.2)
Dillon Gee	0.0354	0.0000 (17.1)	0.0636 (16.5)	0.0000 (17.1)	0.0000 (16.1)
Michael Wacha	0.0951	0.0000 (17.3)	0.0634 (18.1)	0.0000 (17.3)	0.0000 (18.4)
Mike Fiers	0.0913	0.0000 (17.9)	0.0604 (21.0)	0.0000 (17.9)	0.0000 (19.2)
Archie Bradley	0.0980	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0630 (21.2)	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0000 (21.3)
Matt Moore	0.0449	0.0000 (18.1)	0.0659 (19.2)	0.0000 (18.2)	0.0000 (16.6)
Tanner Roark	0.0345	0.0000 (27.4)	0.0616 (24.7)	0.0000 (27.4)	0.0000 (25.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0669	0.0655	32.4
2	Matt Bush	0.0669	0.0429	22.0
3	Iván Nova	0.0000	0.0926	17.8
4	Chris Tillman	0.0000	0.0911	17.6
5	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.0464	16.3
6	Brandon Finnegan	0.0000	0.0445	16.2
7	Albert Suárez	0.0000	0.1115	16.0
8	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0921	15.3
9	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.0458	14.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chad Bettis	0.0887	0.0595	25.2
2	Matt Wisler	0.0817	0.0503	22.3
3	Ian Kennedy	0.0802	0.0556	21.6
4	Jon Lester	0.0731	0.0481	21.4
5	Doug Fister	0.0507	0.0771	19.2
6	Sonny Gray	0.0471	0.0831	17.7
7	J.A. Happ	0.0759	0.0569	16.6
8	Kenta Maeda	0.0669	0.0458	16.4
9	Noah Syndergaard	0.0535	0.0766	15.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tony Barnette	0.0669	0.0405	22.9
2	Matt Bush	0.0669	0.0429	22.0
3	Iván Nova	0.0000	0.0926	17.8
4	Chris Tillman	0.0000	0.0911	17.5
5	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.0464	16.3
6	Brandon Finnegan	0.0000	0.0445	16.2
7	Albert Suárez	0.0000	0.1115	16.0
8	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0921	15.3
9	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.0458	14.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0669	0.0615	44.3
2	Tim Adleman	0.0669	0.0545	22.1
3	Matt Bush	0.0669	0.0429	21.5
4	Iván Nova	0.0000	0.0926	19.0
5	Chris Tillman	0.0000	0.0911	18.9
6	Daniel Mengden	0.0669	0.0791	17.4
7	Lucas Harrell	0.0669	0.0504	16.9
8	Albert Suárez	0.0000	0.1115	16.6
9	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0921	16.4

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chad Bettis	0.0153	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0061 (7.5)	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0000 (6.9)
Jordan Zimmermann	0.0205	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0057 (6.7)	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0000 (6.1)
Chaz Roe	0.0571	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0076 (6.1)	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0000 (6.2)
Jason Grilli	0.0397	0.0000 (8.2)	0.0081 (8.0)	0.0000 (8.2)	0.0000 (8.2)
Martín Pérez	0.0015	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0091 (6.4)	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.6)
Colin Rea	0.0194	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0089 (4.8)	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0000 (5.7)
Jake Peavy	0.0221	0.0000 (7.8)	0.0128 (4.9)	0.0000 (7.8)	0.0000 (7.9)
Mark Lowe	0.0284	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0068 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.8)
Andrew Cashner	0.0205	0.0000 (7.9)	0.0103 (6.0)	0.0000 (7.9)	0.0000 (8.0)
Jonathon Niese	0.0183	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0078 (5.7)	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0000 (6.2)
Aaron Blair	0.0223	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0071 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0000 (5.0)
Justin Miller	0.0331	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0083 (4.8)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (5.1)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Nicasio	0.0000	0.0195	6.4
2	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0000	0.0240	6.2
3	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0137	5.5
4	Ervin Santana	0.0000	0.0000	5.3
5	Drew Pomeranz	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
6	Michael Pineda	0.0000	0.0130	4.5
7	Jose Quintana	0.0000	0.0017	4.5
8	Cole Hamels	0.0000	0.0019	4.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Kennedy	0.0134	0.0019	9.3
2	Carlos Martinez	0.0100	0.0019	6.5
3	Jose Quintana	0.0091	0.0017	6.1
4	A.J. Griffin	0.0058	0.0156	5.0
5	Matt Andriese	0.0096	0.0000	5.0
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.0054	0.0123	4.9
7	Jon Lester	0.0079	0.0019	4.7
8	Matt Moore	0.0073	0.0018	4.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Nicasio	0.0000	0.0195	6.4
2	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0000	0.0240	6.2
3	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0137	5.5
4	Ervin Santana	0.0000	0.0000	5.3
5	Drew Pomeranz	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
6	Michael Pineda	0.0000	0.0130	4.5
7	Jose Quintana	0.0000	0.0017	4.5
8	Cole Hamels	0.0000	0.0019	4.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Nicasio	0.0000	0.0195	6.5
2	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0000	0.0240	6.3
3	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0137	5.7
4	Ervin Santana	0.0000	0.0000	5.1
5	Drew Pomeranz	0.0000	0.0000	4.8
6	Michael Pineda	0.0000	0.0130	4.6
7	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0071	0.0068	4.5
8	A.J. Griffin	0.0000	0.0156	4.4

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rick Porcello	0.0955	0.1207 (38.9)	0.1214 (30.9)	0.1108 (22.1)	0.1152 (25.4)
Michael Fulmer	0.0881	0.1259 (36.4)	0.1178 (24.9)	0.1221 (28.2)	0.1303 (33.0)
Justin Verlander	0.0897	0.1108 (35.7)	0.1129 (28.9)	0.1079 (25.1)	0.1081 (24.6)
Kyle Hendricks	0.0711	0.1049 (38.9)	0.1047 (31.6)	0.1047 (32.1)	0.0997 (27.8)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Perdomo	0.0000	0.1495	86.8
2	Christian Friedrich	0.0000	0.1305	63.5
3	Aaron Blair	0.0000	0.1883	55.0
4	Miguel González	0.0000	0.1078	50.5
5	Tanner Roark	0.1229	0.0842	48.8
6	Daniel Mengden	0.0000	0.1627	47.9
7	Aaron Sanchez	0.1216	0.0873	41.7
8	Pat Dean	0.0000	0.1567	41.5
9	Justin Nicolino	0.0000	0.1301	38.6
10	Ross Stripling	0.0000	0.1098	38.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Duffey	0.0997	0.1728	38.3
2	Patrick Corbin	0.1011	0.1555	31.9
3	James Shields	0.1029	0.1484	30.2
4	Jon Lester	0.0988	0.0716	28.6
5	Dan Straily	0.1272	0.1010	27.7
6	Adam Wainwright	0.0860	0.1275	27.7
7	Sonny Gray	0.0927	0.1547	27.5
8	Alfredo Simon	0.1171	0.2148	26.5
9	Drew Smyly	0.0954	0.1396	26.1
10	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1141	0.1617	25.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Roark	0.1172	0.0842	36.3
2	Aaron Sanchez	0.1214	0.0873	34.4
3	Patrick Corbin	0.1016	0.1555	31.1
4	Chris Devenski	0.1243	0.0637	28.6
5	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1109	0.1617	27.5
6	Tyler Duffey	0.1182	0.1728	26.9
7	Jon Lester	0.0944	0.0716	25.8
8	Alfredo Simon	0.1191	0.2148	25.7
9	Drew Smyly	0.0961	0.1396	25.0
10	Rich Hill	0.1129	0.0661	24.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Devenski	0.1528	0.0637	39.9
2	James Shields	0.0987	0.1484	33.6
3	Dan Straily	0.1342	0.1010	33.3
4	Ian Kennedy	0.1298	0.0990	32.4
5	J.A. Happ	0.1205	0.0905	31.0
6	Patrick Corbin	0.1038	0.1555	30.1
7	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1093	0.1617	29.1
8	Sonny Gray	0.0902	0.1547	28.8
9	CC Sabathia	0.1343	0.1081	26.9
10	Francisco Liriano	0.0891	0.1341	26.4

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Devenski	0.0637	0.1262 (27.4)	0.1092 (22.0)	0.1151 (25.0)	0.1429 (35.3)
Rick Porcello	0.0876	0.1110 (24.9)	0.1100 (27.4)	0.1013 (20.9)	0.1078 (24.6)
Michael Fulmer	0.0835	0.1183 (25.6)	0.1092 (22.1)	0.1130 (25.5)	0.1226 (30.1)
Kyle Hendricks	0.0604	0.0971 (30.8)	0.0986 (34.8)	0.0950 (33.1)	0.0938 (30.4)
James Shields	0.1436	0.0944 (36.6)	0.0950 (33.0)	0.1007 (27.2)	0.0924 (35.9)
Aaron Blair	0.1821	0.1135 (20.7)	0.1092 (20.9)	0.1072 (21.1)	0.1030 (23.2)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.1497	0.1009 (29.5)	0.1077 (22.4)	0.1021 (25.2)	0.1028 (26.4)
Alfredo Simon	0.2047	0.1143 (25.5)	0.1083 (26.2)	0.1095 (25.4)	0.1221 (22.4)
Tanner Roark	0.0772	0.1123 (34.0)	0.0943 (21.8)	0.1079 (34.7)	0.0963 (22.7)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	0.1123	0.0810	28.5
2	Tyler Duffey	0.1089	0.1594	27.3
3	Sonny Gray	0.0887	0.1431	25.7
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.0802	0.1213	25.5
5	Steven Wright	0.1204	0.0884	24.1
6	Wade Miley	0.1029	0.1392	22.5
7	Rich Hill	0.1056	0.0592	22.4
8	Jon Lester	0.0920	0.0691	22.0
9	Adam Wainwright	0.0917	0.1204	20.3
10	Justin Verlander	0.1027	0.0853	20.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Duffey	0.0945	0.1594	33.6
2	Adam Wainwright	0.0780	0.1204	28.8
3	Sonny Gray	0.0836	0.1431	26.4
4	Zack Greinke	0.0692	0.1154	25.2
5	Shelby Miller	0.0896	0.1500	23.9
6	Noah Syndergaard	0.0947	0.0712	23.8
7	Edinson Volquez	0.0971	0.1325	23.0
8	Justin Verlander	0.1015	0.0853	22.3
9	Drew Smyly	0.0902	0.1287	22.2
10	Jon Lester	0.0881	0.0691	21.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	0.1110	0.0810	31.5
2	Steven Wright	0.1157	0.0884	24.4
3	Tyler Duffey	0.1088	0.1594	24.3
4	Rich Hill	0.1040	0.0592	24.0
5	Ervin Santana	0.1124	0.0909	23.5
6	Drew Smyly	0.0881	0.1287	22.7
7	Justin Verlander	0.0996	0.0853	21.9
8	Marco Estrada	0.1135	0.0941	21.2
9	Jon Lester	0.0855	0.0691	20.9
10	Dallas Keuchel	0.0819	0.1213	20.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	0.0846	0.1431	26.4
2	J.A. Happ	0.1121	0.0867	26.1
3	Adam Wainwright	0.0831	0.1204	25.3
4	Ian Kennedy	0.1213	0.0978	25.3
5	Dan Straily	0.1252	0.1010	25.0
6	CC Sabathia	0.1252	0.1016	23.9
7	Rich Hill	0.1058	0.0592	23.7
8	Jerad Eickhoff	0.1202	0.0986	23.5
9	Mike Montgomery	0.1159	0.0676	23.1
10	Ervin Santana	0.1141	0.0909	22.9

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Steven Wright	0.5417	0.3077 (146.8)	0.1852 (207.0)	0.2086 (220.2)	0.3182 (163.6)
Rick Porcello	0.6667	0.3077 (310.4)	0.2703 (316.4)	0.3938 (245.3)	0.4667 (201.1)
Aaron Sanchez	0.5000	0.2692 (174.3)	0.1250 (264.0)	0.2144 (227.8)	0.1636 (286.2)
J.A. Happ	0.6250	0.3462 (213.9)	0.2564 (260.9)	0.3687 (206.2)	0.3462 (242.6)
Tanner Roark	0.4706	0.2667 (165.7)	0.1944 (201.2)	0.3323 (120.6)	0.2813 (184.1)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dan Straily	0.1250	0.4118	219.1
2	Luis Perdomo	0.0003	0.2571	163.3
3	Chris Tillman	0.3103	0.5333	152.2
4	Michael Pineda	0.3750	0.1875	149.4
5	Stephen Strasburg	0.3929	0.6250	132.7
6	Carlos Martinez	0.3462	0.5161	129.3
7	Corey Kluber	0.4063	0.5625	125.6
8	Marcus Stroman	0.4167	0.2813	124.5
9	Patrick Corbin	0.3043	0.1389	123.1
10	Chris Archer	0.4063	0.2727	122.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Martinez	0.1837	0.5161	235.9
2	Jon Lester	0.2895	0.5938	209.7
3	Rich Hill	0.0833	0.6000	208.9
4	Corey Kluber	0.2821	0.5625	206.0
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.2195	0.5161	190.5
6	Johnny Cueto	0.3077	0.5625	188.5
7	Chad Bettis	0.1667	0.4375	187.2
8	Dan Straily	0.1364	0.4118	185.7
9	José Fernández	0.2593	0.5517	185.4
10	Chris Sale	0.2895	0.5313	182.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dan Straily	0.0808	0.4118	264.3
2	Bartolo Colon	0.1633	0.4412	221.9
3	Junior Guerra	0.0499	0.4500	198.2
4	Trevor Bauer	0.1197	0.3429	183.2
5	Patrick Corbin	0.3604	0.1389	153.4
6	Michael Pineda	0.3926	0.1875	153.0
7	Danny Duffy	0.0837	0.2857	149.6
8	Drew Pomeranz	0.1493	0.3548	146.4
9	Luis Perdomo	0.0403	0.2571	145.4
10	Chris Tillman	0.3418	0.5333	138.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Hendricks	0.2857	0.5161	191.0
2	Tyler Chatwood	0.2000	0.4444	180.9
3	José Fernández	0.3462	0.5517	170.6
4	Michael Pineda	0.4286	0.1875	162.6
5	Chris Tillman	0.3333	0.5333	161.6
6	Drew Pomeranz	0.1538	0.3548	159.6
7	Jason Hammel	0.3077	0.5000	151.0
8	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1515	0.4091	148.9
9	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.3333	0.4848	148.4
10	Junior Guerra	0.1852	0.4500	143.1

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dallas Keuchel	0.4615	0.2581 (139.9)	0.2250 (129.9)	0.2924 (124.5)	0.3000 (120.9)
Chris Archer	0.5758	0.3125 (220.4)	0.2439 (238.6)	0.3239 (221.3)	0.2727 (266.9)
Rick Porcello	0.1212	0.3462 (203.7)	0.2973 (202.3)	0.3202 (169.5)	0.4000 (238.3)
James Shields	0.5758	0.3750 (161.8)	0.1842 (279.8)	0.4097 (143.5)	0.3103 (227.2)
Christian Friedrich	0.5000	0.0003 (281.1)	0.0976 (199.2)	0.0504 (259.8)	0.0667 (251.9)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Mengden	0.0006	0.6429	211.9
2	Aaron Sanchez	0.3077	0.0667	193.5
3	Luis Perdomo	0.0006	0.2857	186.2
4	Miguel González	0.0005	0.3333	186.1
5	Danny Duffy	0.3000	0.0714	170.0
6	Ross Stripling	0.0009	0.4091	169.4
7	Aaron Blair	0.0005	0.4667	149.8
8	J.A. Happ	0.3077	0.1250	148.6
9	Jake Thompson	0.0005	0.6000	141.1
10	Cole Hamels	0.3125	0.1563	135.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Duffey	0.1290	0.4615	167.7
2	Jerad Eickhoff	0.1667	0.4242	167.4
3	Danny Duffy	0.2308	0.0714	153.9
4	Drew Pomeranz	0.1250	0.3871	148.3
5	Matt Harvey	0.1892	0.5882	139.8
6	Matt Wisler	0.2222	0.4815	139.6
7	Matt Shoemaker	0.2222	0.4815	139.0
8	Drew Smyly	0.1613	0.4000	138.4
9	Brandon Finnegan	0.1154	0.3548	138.2
10	R.A. Dickey	0.2632	0.5000	135.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Shoemaker	0.2080	0.4815	188.4
2	Drew Pomeranz	0.1674	0.3871	160.5
3	Luis Perdomo	0.0571	0.2857	157.0
4	Cole Hamels	0.3435	0.1563	151.6
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.3251	0.1290	151.0
6	J.A. Happ	0.3192	0.1250	147.8
7	Brandon Finnegan	0.1642	0.3548	146.2
8	Johnny Cueto	0.3277	0.1563	143.5
9	Dan Straily	0.0802	0.2353	129.6
10	Aaron Sanchez	0.2328	0.0667	124.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Masahiro Tanaka	0.3600	0.1290	177.1
2	Drew Pomeranz	0.1538	0.3871	171.7
3	Brandon Finnegan	0.1538	0.3548	155.6
4	Luis Perdomo	0.5263	0.2857	152.0
5	Shelby Miller	0.2813	0.6000	151.7
6	Matt Harvey	0.2308	0.5882	148.1
7	Bartolo Colon	0.4286	0.2353	144.2
8	Daniel Mengden	0.2273	0.6429	141.6
9	Robbie Ray	0.3000	0.4688	139.5
10	J.A. Happ	0.3077	0.1250	136.7

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Alex Colomé	0.6491	0.3636 (63.1)	0.0263 (145.2)	0.0431 (135.5)	0.0000 (140.4)
Ryan Madson	0.4762	0.1071 (98.0)	0.0513 (120.0)	0.0523 (112.7)	0.0000 (121.0)
Sam Dyson	0.5205	0.0588 (129.8)	0.0426 (141.8)	0.0385 (135.5)	0.0000 (140.4)
Jeanmar Gómez	0.5286	0.0323 (145.6)	0.0227 (156.0)	0.0400 (143.2)	0.0000 (148.7)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Grilli	0.4444	0.0597	98.1
2	Sean Doolittle	0.6944	0.0909	94.5
3	David Hernandez	0.2549	0.0143	79.4
4	Edwin Díaz	0.0000	0.3673	78.4
5	Ken Giles	0.4675	0.2174	73.3
6	Jim Johnson	0.0286	0.3077	72.6
7	Brandon Kintzler	0.0000	0.3148	69.1
8	AJ Ramos	0.3600	0.5970	64.2
9	Seunghwan Oh	0.0541	0.2500	59.4
10	Brad Boxberger	0.5000	0.0000	57.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeurys Familia	0.2909	0.6538	122.8
2	AJ Ramos	0.1961	0.5970	116.9
3	Jeremy Jeffress	0.0217	0.4576	109.7
4	Roberto Osuna	0.2143	0.5000	87.9
5	Wade Davis	0.1333	0.6000	85.6
6	Edwin Díaz	0.0289	0.3673	77.7
7	Seunghwan Oh	0.0289	0.2500	75.3
8	Zack Britton	0.4130	0.6812	73.1
9	Francisco Rodríguez	0.4565	0.7213	66.8
10	Jason Grilli	0.3429	0.0597	66.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Hernandez	0.4308	0.0143	136.2
2	Ken Giles	0.5062	0.2174	84.4
3	Edwin Díaz	0.0000	0.3673	78.3
4	Seunghwan Oh	0.0000	0.2500	76.2
5	Jason Grilli	0.3523	0.0597	75.1
6	Jim Johnson	0.0345	0.3077	70.9
7	Brandon Kintzler	0.0000	0.3148	69.1
8	Sean Doolittle	0.5046	0.0909	65.1
9	Aroldis Chapman	0.3255	0.6102	61.8
10	Tony Cingrani	0.0545	0.2615	54.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeurys Familia	0.0000	0.6538	200.9
2	Zack Britton	0.0000	0.6812	165.9
3	Francisco Rodríguez	0.0000	0.7213	162.9
4	Mark Melancon	0.0000	0.6267	161.7
5	Kenley Jansen	0.0000	0.6620	159.1
6	AJ Ramos	0.0000	0.5970	158.2
7	David Robertson	0.0000	0.5968	151.9
8	Roberto Osuna	0.0000	0.5000	135.9
9	Aroldis Chapman	0.0000	0.6102	129.2
10	Cody Allen	0.0000	0.4776	118.7

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Joe Blanton	0.3733	0.0690 (105.9)	0.1604 (66.7)	0.0000 (100.7)
Addison Reed	0.5000	0.1111 (127.9)	0.2496 (75.8)	0.0000 (135.7)
Kyle Barraclough	0.3867	0.1818 (72.4)	0.0309 (108.5)	0.0000 (101.9)
David Phelps	0.3906	0.0857 (118.5)	0.2107 (62.9)	0.0000 (118.6)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	0.2000	0.0000	132.8
2	Carlos Martinez	0.1633	0.0000	106.3
3	Héctor Neris	0.0800	0.3544	100.5
4	Neftalí Feliz	0.0556	0.4677	96.8
5	Matt Bush	0.0554	0.3793	86.5
6	Drew Pomeranz	0.1500	0.0000	83.1
7	Felipe Vázquez	0.1250	0.3467	82.9
8	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0488	0.2344	82.2
9	Will Harris	0.1489	0.4242	78.3
10	Brad Hand	0.0789	0.2561	76.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dan Straily	0.1808	0.0000	144.1
2	Trevor Bauer	0.1622	0.0000	132.5
3	Danny Duffy	0.2035	0.0476	114.8
4	Dillon Gee	0.1582	0.0000	87.8
5	Carlos Torres	0.0285	0.2778	84.1
6	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0167	0.2344	81.9
7	Shane Greene	0.0000	0.3200	81.6
8	Matt Bush	0.0554	0.3793	78.4
9	Edwin Jackson	0.2086	0.0000	78.2
10	Junior Guerra	0.1424	0.0000	70.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Héctor Neris	0.0000	0.3544	98.7
2	Dellin Betances	0.0000	0.3836	98.7
3	Felipe Vázquez	0.0000	0.3467	95.8
4	Will Harris	0.0000	0.4242	94.5
5	Nate Jones	0.0000	0.3944	93.4
6	Neftalí Feliz	0.0000	0.4677	90.3
7	Brad Brach	0.0000	0.3380	88.5
8	Kelvin Herrera	0.0000	0.3611	87.0
9	Andrew Miller	0.0000	0.3571	83.5
10	Justin Wilson	0.0000	0.3788	81.6

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Devenski	2.1600	5.0800 (1269.6)	4.2664 (1035.8)	4.4856 (1134.7)	5.8731 (1631.1)
Justin Verlander	3.0439	3.9378 (980.4)	3.8351 (1104.8)	3.7886 (1083.7)	3.8884 (1019.7)
Rick Porcello	3.1480	4.3020 (1197.8)	4.1622 (1287.4)	3.8355 (1017.3)	4.1797 (1171.7)
Michael Fulmer	3.0566	4.6612 (1162.2)	4.2664 (1062.4)	4.3937 (1159.8)	4.9448 (1405.9)
Kyle Hendricks	2.1316	3.7073 (1316.8)	3.6585 (1459.7)	3.5992 (1432.7)	3.6075 (1311.7)
James Shields	5.8459	3.6178 (1673.8)	3.5880 (1500.6)	3.8549 (1262.2)	3.5386 (1662.5)
Aaron Blair	7.5857	4.4700 (947.4)	4.2664 (935.4)	4.1836 (954.7)	4.0719 (1046.2)
Aníbal Sánchez	5.8696	3.8480 (1222.3)	4.0388 (934.1)	3.8621 (1036.7)	3.9375 (1100.4)
Alfredo Simon	9.3580	4.5042 (1389.3)	4.1573 (1421.0)	4.2788 (1377.9)	4.9143 (1239.3)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Roark	4.3667	2.8286	1479.0
2	Aaron Sanchez	4.4626	3.0000	1306.9
3	Tyler Duffey	4.1849	6.4286	1222.9
4	Sonny Gray	3.3510	5.6923	1111.3
5	Steven Wright	4.7875	3.3319	1080.7
6	Jon Lester	3.4807	2.4424	979.1
7	Dallas Keuchel	2.9779	4.5536	970.1
8	Rich Hill	4.0892	2.1208	948.3
9	José Berríos	4.4838	8.0229	940.6
10	Shelby Miller	3.9814	6.1485	908.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Duffey	3.5762	6.4286	1442.4
2	Adam Wainwright	2.8247	4.6208	1155.1
3	Sonny Gray	3.0687	5.6923	1132.9
4	Shelby Miller	3.3768	6.1485	1076.1
5	Edinson Volquez	3.7287	5.3715	1032.5
6	Noah Syndergaard	3.4964	2.5971	990.7
7	Jon Lester	3.2495	2.4424	986.5
8	Zack Greinke	2.4723	4.3676	975.9
9	Tanner Roark	3.4966	2.8286	940.8
10	José Berríos	4.2664	8.0229	934.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Roark	4.1680	2.8286	1534.6
2	Aaron Sanchez	4.4116	3.0000	1475.0
3	Steven Wright	4.5472	3.3319	1096.0
4	Ervin Santana	4.3582	3.3750	1076.1
5	Tyler Duffey	4.1891	6.4286	1063.3
6	Rich Hill	4.0523	2.1208	1047.9
7	Marco Estrada	4.3968	3.4773	994.1
8	José Berríos	4.0983	8.0229	974.8
9	Jon Lester	3.1673	2.4424	939.5
10	J.A. Happ	3.8847	3.1846	919.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dan Straily	4.9800	3.7631	1189.3
2	J.A. Happ	4.3784	3.1846	1176.9
3	Ian Kennedy	4.8013	3.6797	1150.3
4	Jerad Eickhoff	4.7718	3.6486	1141.8
5	Sonny Gray	3.1991	5.6923	1141.8
6	Rich Hill	4.2857	2.1208	1075.4
7	Ervin Santana	4.5106	3.3750	1062.4
8	CC Sabathia	4.9813	3.9072	1043.5
9	Adam Wainwright	3.1154	4.6208	1033.9
10	Shelby Miller	3.6486	6.1485	1019.0

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tim Lincecum	2.3739	1.5492 (160.6)	1.3724 (187.3)	1.4157 (177.3)	1.3690 (191.6)
Chris Devenski	0.9138	1.4736 (237.3)	1.3394 (200.2)	1.3589 (210.9)	1.5136 (263.8)
Justin Verlander	1.0015	1.2608 (253.9)	1.2715 (302.6)	1.2376 (278.2)	1.2536 (269.9)
Rick Porcello	1.0090	1.3067 (284.4)	1.2973 (314.6)	1.2408 (270.3)	1.2705 (274.4)
Julio Teheran	1.0532	1.2903 (196.3)	1.2259 (180.3)	1.2450 (199.9)	1.2183 (160.6)
Jeremy Hellickson	1.1534	1.3636 (179.2)	1.3372 (192.1)	1.2708 (146.1)	1.3317 (173.7)
Michael Fulmer	1.1195	1.3774 (181.0)	1.3394 (184.4)	1.3434 (191.4)	1.4302 (231.3)
Kyle Hendricks	0.9789	1.2443 (214.0)	1.1882 (204.4)	1.2205 (233.6)	1.2150 (210.7)
James Shields	1.5963	1.2585 (259.7)	1.2680 (216.4)	1.2562 (220.4)	1.2118 (277.6)
Alfredo Simon	2.0455	1.3777 (192.5)	1.3109 (199.5)	1.3421 (188.2)	1.4197 (172.5)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	1.4135	1.1667	212.2
2	John Lackey	1.2857	1.0566	187.7
3	Clayton Kershaw	1.0302	0.7248	178.0
4	Danny Duffy	1.3451	1.1410	165.2
5	Jon Lester	1.2018	1.0164	165.0
6	Francisco Liriano	1.2457	1.4847	158.7
7	Jerad Eickhoff	1.3329	1.1605	157.6
8	José Berríos	1.2996	1.8686	153.7
9	Tanner Roark	1.3210	1.1714	146.6
10	Shelby Miller	1.3390	1.6733	143.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kenta Maeda	1.3394	1.1385	190.5
2	Adam Wainwright	1.1147	1.4044	190.2
3	Ricky Nolasco	1.4037	1.2445	183.3
4	John Lackey	1.2357	1.0566	182.7
5	Patrick Corbin	1.2440	1.5610	176.6
6	Jon Lester	1.1707	1.0164	174.6
7	Jorge De La Rosa	1.3049	1.6418	166.8
8	Dan Straily	1.3313	1.1864	166.4
9	J.A. Happ	1.3104	1.1692	164.2
10	Chris Young	1.1907	1.6579	163.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	1.4760	1.1667	301.2
2	Patrick Corbin	1.1922	1.5610	208.1
3	Rich Hill	1.3471	0.9970	185.3
4	Marco Estrada	1.2990	1.1193	181.9
5	Tanner Roark	1.2987	1.1714	170.3
6	John Lackey	1.2001	1.0566	161.1
7	Clayton Kershaw	0.9442	0.7248	158.5
8	Sean Manaea	1.3762	1.1889	154.0
9	Jerad Eickhoff	1.2744	1.1605	150.7
10	Steven Wright	1.3943	1.2447	145.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	1.4074	1.1667	227.1
2	Rich Hill	1.4405	0.9970	215.2
3	Jerad Eickhoff	1.3624	1.1605	201.7
4	Patrick Corbin	1.2280	1.5610	200.7
5	Dan Straily	1.3733	1.1864	185.1
6	Adam Wainwright	1.1410	1.4044	183.4
7	Jameson Taillon	1.4776	1.1154	171.0
8	Danny Duffy	1.3200	1.1410	165.0
9	J.A. Happ	1.3268	1.1692	162.6
10	Shelby Miller	1.2757	1.6733	161.4