2016 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Pablo Sandoval	7	373 (366.0)	515 (508.0)	421 (413.6)	547 (540.0)
Michael Brantley	43	508 (465.0)	566 (523.0)	436 (392.9)	614 (571.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	585	5	580.0
2	Chris Colabello	507	32	475.0
3	Nomar Mazara	102	568	466.0
4	Aledmys Díaz	1	460	459.0
5	José Ramírez	171	618	447.0
6	Hernán Pérez	1	430	429.0
7	Paulo Orlando	65	484	419.0
8	Mike Moustakas	517	113	404.0
9	Cory Spangenberg	456	53	403.0
10	Dustin Ackley	469	70	399.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nomar Mazara	1	568	567.0
2	AJ Pollock	565	46	519.0
3	Aledmys Díaz	1	460	459.0
4	Mike Moustakas	560	113	447.0
5	Tim Anderson	1	431	430.0
6	Andre Ethier	454	26	428.0
7	Corey Seager	267	687	420.0
8	Trevor Story	1	415	414.0
9	Will Venable	433	19	414.0
10	Mark Canha	448	44	404.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nomar Mazara	20	568	548.1
2	Kyle Schwarber	537	5	531.9
3	Cory Spangenberg	550	53	496.5
4	Héctor Olivera	512	21	491.4
5	Mike Moustakas	574	113	460.5
6	Eduardo Núñez	159	595	436.0
7	Hernán Pérez	1	430	429.0
8	David Peralta	587	183	403.6
9	Shin-Soo Choo	608	210	398.3
10	Cheslor Cuthbert	120	510	390.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charles Tilson	598	2	596.0
2	Dalton Pompey	598	2	596.0
3	Max Moroff	584	2	582.0
4	Kyle Schwarber	586	5	581.0
5	Matt Olson	607	28	579.0
6	Matt Davidson	580	2	578.0
7	Arismendy Alcántara	585	19	566.0
8	Matt Duffy	564	3	561.0
9	Raimel Tapia	600	41	559.0
10	Jesús Aguilar	560	6	554.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
DJ LeMahieu	0.3875	0.3133 (43.2)	0.3066 (45.0)	0.3143 (41.7)	0.3109 (35.6)
Bryce Harper	0.3543	0.4093 (38.3)	0.3903 (28.8)	0.4121 (40.9)	0.4310 (60.9)
Jose Altuve	0.3936	0.3431 (31.8)	0.3337 (35.8)	0.3350 (36.6)	0.3343 (27.8)
Jonathan Villar	0.3550	0.2873 (41.8)	0.2900 (37.4)	0.2890 (39.7)	0.2912 (29.3)
Andrew McCutchen	0.3325	0.3932 (45.2)	0.3816 (39.8)	0.3823 (38.7)	0.3803 (46.1)
Jason Heyward	0.2813	0.3445 (41.1)	0.3314 (35.6)	0.3441 (41.6)	0.3413 (47.7)
Daniel Murphy	0.4133	0.3308 (44.4)	0.3193 (48.9)	0.3349 (41.2)	0.3220 (41.1)
Jean Segura	0.3694	0.3018 (42.6)	0.2854 (51.4)	0.2912 (49.1)	0.2856 (43.9)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.3254	0.3939	39.9
2	David Ortiz	0.3582	0.4257	38.4
3	Aledmys Díaz	0.2899	0.3722	35.0
4	José Ramírez	0.2953	0.3547	32.8
5	Brian Dozier	0.3189	0.3716	32.1
6	Wilson Ramos	0.2964	0.3627	31.4
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.4253	0.3879	30.8
8	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.3043	0.3568	29.4
9	Sandy León	0.2526	0.3582	28.1
10	Sean Rodríguez	0.2756	0.3641	28.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ramírez	0.2856	0.3547	36.5
2	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2921	0.3568	34.8
3	Charlie Blackmon	0.3315	0.3939	33.6
4	Derek Norris	0.3168	0.2565	32.2
5	Wilson Ramos	0.2920	0.3627	31.8
6	Prince Fielder	0.3478	0.2775	29.7
7	Ketel Marte	0.3167	0.2646	28.9
8	Ryan Zimmerman	0.3292	0.2775	28.8
9	Brian Dozier	0.3210	0.3716	28.0
10	Ben Revere	0.3062	0.2446	26.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.3283	0.3939	37.2
2	Corey Seager	0.3138	0.3745	36.5
3	Brian Dozier	0.3127	0.3716	35.5
4	Prince Fielder	0.3642	0.2775	34.9
5	Aledmys Díaz	0.2925	0.3722	33.2
6	David Ortiz	0.3658	0.4257	32.8
7	José Ramírez	0.2962	0.3547	31.5
8	Wilson Ramos	0.2977	0.3627	30.1
9	Nelson Cruz	0.3355	0.3855	28.4
10	Ryan Zimmerman	0.3303	0.2775	28.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Davis	0.3815	0.3416	40.2
2	Derek Norris	0.3128	0.2565	35.2
3	Mark Teixeira	0.3409	0.2880	32.1
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3945	0.3469	32.0
5	Ryan Zimmerman	0.3250	0.2775	31.8
6	Prince Fielder	0.3397	0.2775	30.6
7	Colby Rasmus	0.3316	0.2809	29.7
8	Tyler Naquin	0.2757	0.3756	29.0
9	Aledmys Díaz	0.2891	0.3722	28.8
10	Ben Revere	0.2998	0.2446	28.4

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Salvador Perez	0.2179	0.1444 (37.6)	0.1481 (34.5)	0.1399 (35.7)	0.1387 (44.2)
Derek Norris	0.3035	0.2146 (38.5)	0.2174 (36.4)	0.2185 (33.1)	0.2329 (33.1)
Francisco Lindor	0.1287	0.1698 (31.4)	0.1728 (34.8)	0.1584 (29.0)	0.1811 (34.8)
Alex Gordon	0.2925	0.2135 (37.6)	0.2038 (41.5)	0.2092 (35.7)	0.2139 (40.6)
Kris Bryant	0.2203	0.2918 (53.3)	0.2773 (44.5)	0.2831 (52.7)	0.3024 (56.2)
Byron Buxton	0.3565	0.2514 (33.2)	0.2437 (35.1)	0.2332 (36.6)	0.2647 (30.9)
Russell Martin	0.2766	0.2084 (34.0)	0.1984 (38.3)	0.2071 (30.5)	0.2156 (33.6)
Adam Rosales	0.3548	0.2268 (30.6)	0.2166 (32.6)	0.2214 (30.0)	0.2252 (32.6)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.2937	0.2392	44.0
2	Nomar Mazara	0.2647	0.1972	41.0
3	Javier Báez	0.3213	0.2400	38.7
4	Brett Gardner	0.2224	0.1672	38.0
5	Carlos Santana	0.1908	0.1439	35.5
6	Hernán Pérez	0.1367	0.2186	33.2
7	Ian Desmond	0.2798	0.2363	32.6
8	Carlos González	0.2505	0.2041	32.3
9	Ian Kinsler	0.1176	0.1694	32.0
10	Jay Bruce	0.2625	0.2139	31.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Story	0.2059	0.3133	41.8
2	Aledmys Díaz	0.2059	0.1304	37.8
3	Keon Broxton	0.2049	0.3607	36.4
4	DJ LeMahieu	0.1764	0.1260	36.2
5	Ryan Schimpf	0.2059	0.3182	34.9
6	Tyler Naquin	0.2059	0.3068	34.4
7	Carlos Gómez	0.2200	0.3002	33.3
8	Carlos Santana	0.1843	0.1439	32.4
9	José Ramírez	0.1442	0.1003	31.3
10	Mookie Betts	0.1451	0.1096	30.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Santana	0.1857	0.1439	37.5
2	Brett Gardner	0.2106	0.1672	35.6
3	Kole Calhoun	0.2149	0.1756	34.9
4	DJ LeMahieu	0.1681	0.1260	34.8
5	Ian Desmond	0.2746	0.2363	34.5
6	Travis Jankowski	0.1660	0.2611	31.6
7	Rougned Odor	0.1512	0.2136	31.4
8	George Springer	0.2679	0.2392	30.7
9	José Abreu	0.2106	0.1799	30.1
10	James McCann	0.1994	0.2922	29.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.3062	0.2392	48.5
2	Ian Kinsler	0.1141	0.1694	38.7
3	Rougned Odor	0.1582	0.2136	36.1
4	Edwin Encarnación	0.1480	0.1966	35.3
5	Victor Martinez	0.0926	0.1475	34.6
6	Chase Utley	0.1444	0.2035	34.4
7	Justin Smoak	0.2306	0.3284	33.9
8	Nomar Mazara	0.2583	0.1972	33.8
9	David Freese	0.2238	0.2886	32.7
10	Travis Jankowski	0.1822	0.2611	30.8

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Josh Donaldson	0.1557	0.1066 (32.2)	0.1031 (33.1)	0.1013 (34.6)	0.0985 (31.9)
Odúbel Herrera	0.0960	0.0651 (18.2)	0.0604 (19.8)	0.0579 (21.7)	0.0529 (20.6)
Matt Joyce	0.2014	0.1269 (20.9)	0.1108 (24.9)	0.1087 (25.7)	0.1122 (22.7)
Jonathan Villar	0.1163	0.0786 (23.5)	0.0767 (23.3)	0.0778 (22.8)	0.0766 (19.1)
Andrew McCutchen	0.1022	0.1354 (24.5)	0.1256 (19.4)	0.1283 (21.0)	0.1290 (26.0)
Nolan Arenado	0.0977	0.0566 (26.4)	0.0540 (26.7)	0.0577 (24.3)	0.0507 (24.6)
Evan Longoria	0.0613	0.0871 (19.8)	0.0832 (18.7)	0.0847 (19.5)	0.0828 (22.7)
Kirk Nieuwenhuis	0.1429	0.0878 (20.3)	0.0880 (19.4)	0.0788 (23.1)	0.0785 (20.6)
Didi Gregorius	0.0318	0.0688 (23.9)	0.0701 (26.1)	0.0654 (23.1)	0.0661 (27.4)
Justin Upton	0.0799	0.1069 (18.9)	0.1028 (17.7)	0.1051 (18.9)	0.1084 (25.2)
Brandon Belt	0.1588	0.0955 (39.4)	0.0911 (40.8)	0.0949 (38.5)	0.0969 (32.9)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mookie Betts	0.0981	0.0671	24.9
2	Ben Zobrist	0.1100	0.1521	24.6
3	Joey Votto	0.1920	0.1595	24.1
4	DJ LeMahieu	0.0631	0.1039	23.9
5	Jose Altuve	0.0497	0.0837	22.1
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1484	0.1064	21.3
7	Mike Trout	0.1395	0.1703	18.8
8	B.J. Upton	0.1004	0.0686	18.8
9	Francisco Cervelli	0.0915	0.1425	18.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.1262	0.1703	26.4
2	Tim Anderson	0.0832	0.0302	25.2
3	Ben Zobrist	0.1071	0.1521	25.0
4	Ketel Marte	0.0866	0.0386	24.9
5	Francisco Cervelli	0.0851	0.1425	20.4
6	Adam Lind	0.0996	0.0605	19.1
7	Javier Báez	0.0701	0.0333	19.0
8	DJ LeMahieu	0.0688	0.1039	18.9
9	Jose Altuve	0.0527	0.0837	18.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ben Zobrist	0.1123	0.1521	22.0
2	Francisco Cervelli	0.0836	0.1425	21.1
3	Joey Votto	0.1827	0.1595	19.1
4	DJ LeMahieu	0.0690	0.1039	19.0
5	Adam Lind	0.0987	0.0605	18.6
6	Mike Trout	0.1382	0.1703	18.4
7	Rougned Odor	0.0529	0.0301	17.7
8	Yoenis Cespedes	0.0578	0.0939	16.9
9	Matt Kemp	0.0734	0.0536	16.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.1951	0.1595	32.0
2	Manny Machado	0.0948	0.0690	26.1
3	Adam Lind	0.1006	0.0605	22.3
4	Matt Kemp	0.0737	0.0536	21.3
5	Rougned Odor	0.0511	0.0301	20.6
6	Steven Souza Jr.	0.0981	0.0662	20.4
7	Mookie Betts	0.0820	0.0671	19.4
8	B.J. Upton	0.0909	0.0686	18.3
9	Kris Bryant	0.1216	0.1073	18.1

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Stephen Piscotty	0.0185	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0060 (8.0)	0.0090 (6.0)	0.0104 (4.8)
Tyler Flowers	0.0338	0.0000 (8.0)	0.0142 (6.3)	0.0140 (6.4)	0.0177 (5.0)
Brett Wallace	0.0352	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0119 (5.9)	0.0120 (5.9)	0.0149 (5.0)
Addison Russell	0.0201	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0062 (8.1)	0.0080 (7.0)	0.0060 (8.0)
Danny Espinosa	0.0333	0.0000 (14.5)	0.0181 (9.0)	0.0160 (10.2)	0.0207 (7.2)
Dexter Fowler	0.0200	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0084 (6.2)	0.0080 (6.4)	0.0070 (6.8)
Ryan Schimpf	0.0273	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0091 (5.9)	0.0100 (5.6)	0.0109 (5.2)
Kris Bryant	0.0258	0.0000 (11.6)	0.0129 (8.8)	0.0130 (8.7)	0.0152 (6.9)
Derek Dietrich	0.0583	0.0000 (20.2)	0.0327 (10.4)	0.0310 (11.1)	0.0413 (6.7)
Ian Kinsler	0.0191	0.0000 (6.8)	0.0067 (8.3)	0.0080 (7.4)	0.0078 (7.2)
Brandon Guyer	0.0899	0.0000 (27.8)	0.0404 (17.0)	0.0310 (20.2)	0.0455 (15.1)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starling Marte	0.0000	0.0302	11.2
2	Jung Ho Kang	0.0000	0.0378	10.6
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.0000	0.0237	9.8
4	José Abreu	0.0000	0.0216	8.6
5	Adam Eaton	0.0000	0.0198	7.5
6	Charlie Blackmon	0.0000	0.0203	7.1
7	Javier Báez	0.0000	0.0244	6.9
8	Dustin Pedroia	0.0000	0.0000	6.4
9	Melky Cabrera	0.0000	0.0000	5.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.0201	0.0063	8.9
2	Javier Báez	0.0074	0.0244	7.6
3	Neil Walker	0.0162	0.0022	6.5
4	Daniel Murphy	0.0038	0.0137	5.7
5	Jean Segura	0.0090	0.0173	5.6
6	Jon Jay	0.0300	0.0160	5.3
7	Andrew McCutchen	0.0149	0.0074	5.2
8	Todd Frazier	0.0133	0.0060	5.0
9	Adam Jones	0.0144	0.0074	4.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jung Ho Kang	0.0180	0.0378	7.2
2	Neil Walker	0.0160	0.0022	6.5
3	Rougned Odor	0.0160	0.0063	6.3
4	Javier Báez	0.0110	0.0244	5.9
5	Jean Segura	0.0090	0.0173	5.6
6	Daniel Murphy	0.0050	0.0137	4.9
7	Todd Frazier	0.0130	0.0060	4.9
8	Andrés Blanco	0.0100	0.0335	4.8
9	Andrew McCutchen	0.0140	0.0074	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.0214	0.0063	10.0
2	Jon Jay	0.0339	0.0160	6.9
3	Neil Walker	0.0160	0.0022	6.6
4	Adam Jones	0.0156	0.0074	5.9
5	Andrew McCutchen	0.0154	0.0074	5.8
6	Daniel Murphy	0.0033	0.0137	5.7
7	Devon Travis	0.0116	0.0000	5.3
8	Todd Frazier	0.0128	0.0060	5.0
9	Alcides Escobar	0.0108	0.0044	4.8

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brad Miller	0.0746	0.0384 (18.6)	0.0342 (18.8)	0.0342 (20.0)	0.0345 (17.4)
Brian Dozier	0.0868	0.0523 (20.1)	0.0485 (20.2)	0.0429 (25.4)	0.0526 (15.9)
Khris Davis	0.1066	0.0732 (17.1)	0.0690 (17.4)	0.0620 (22.8)	0.0561 (24.0)
José Abreu	0.0492	0.0758 (22.2)	0.0644 (16.9)	0.0687 (18.5)	0.0668 (20.0)
Carlos González	0.0548	0.0923 (27.1)	0.0769 (19.7)	0.0748 (17.2)	0.0826 (24.6)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.0548	0.0804 (21.9)	0.0684 (16.0)	0.0734 (18.1)	0.0720 (20.0)
Trevor Story	0.1102	0.0507 (22.5)	0.0459 (22.9)	0.0423 (25.2)	0.0537 (18.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.0863	0.0621	22.0
2	Mike Napoli	0.0558	0.0924	20.2
3	Ryan Schimpf	0.0489	0.1149	20.0
4	Bryce Harper	0.0861	0.0602	19.6
5	Javier Báez	0.0820	0.0443	19.4
6	Sean Rodríguez	0.0278	0.0891	19.1
7	Ryan Howard	0.0580	0.1136	18.2
8	Ian Kinsler	0.0234	0.0553	18.0
9	Danny Espinosa	0.0332	0.0680	17.7
10	Yasmany Tomás	0.0418	0.0785	17.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Trumbo	0.0580	0.1061	26.0
2	Yasmany Tomás	0.0305	0.0785	21.9
3	Jake Lamb	0.0319	0.0777	21.8
4	Gary Sánchez	0.0340	0.1370	21.5
5	Ryan Schimpf	0.0459	0.1149	19.8
6	Jedd Gyorko	0.0453	0.0984	19.3
7	Freddie Freeman	0.0458	0.0804	17.6
8	Yasmani Grandal	0.0510	0.0982	17.4
9	Robinson Canó	0.0371	0.0696	16.8
10	Ryan Howard	0.0588	0.1136	16.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Lamb	0.0366	0.0777	20.2
2	Bryce Harper	0.0848	0.0602	19.9
3	Mark Trumbo	0.0697	0.1061	19.5
4	Yasmany Tomás	0.0376	0.0785	19.0
5	Robinson Canó	0.0362	0.0696	18.8
6	Jedd Gyorko	0.0496	0.0984	18.2
7	Yasmani Grandal	0.0519	0.0982	17.9
8	Todd Frazier	0.0580	0.0920	17.9
9	Jason Heyward	0.0380	0.0159	17.3
10	Gary Sánchez	0.0548	0.1370	17.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.0942	0.0602	28.3
2	Mark Reynolds	0.0947	0.0495	24.9
3	George Springer	0.0804	0.0621	21.9
4	Jake Lamb	0.0324	0.0777	20.3
5	Jason Heyward	0.0385	0.0159	19.9
6	Carlos Correa	0.0635	0.0454	19.3
7	Mike Trout	0.0867	0.0695	19.2
8	Robinson Canó	0.0340	0.0696	17.5
9	Brett Gardner	0.0318	0.0156	17.4
10	J.D. Martinez	0.0873	0.0653	17.1

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Yan Gomes	0.1886	0.3072 (30.1)	0.3110 (32.4)	0.2995 (29.8)	0.3099 (32.8)
Bryce Harper	0.2640	0.3435 (46.9)	0.3362 (45.3)	0.3321 (43.9)	0.3456 (53.1)
Sandy León	0.3838	0.2203 (47.6)	0.2660 (33.3)	0.2740 (30.6)	0.2663 (32.4)
J.T. Realmuto	0.3566	0.2984 (34.2)	0.2896 (36.5)	0.2844 (38.4)	0.2917 (33.7)
Jonathan Villar	0.3679	0.3288 (29.7)	0.3010 (45.3)	0.3025 (43.2)	0.3139 (34.5)
Paulo Orlando	0.3757	0.2708 (53.0)	0.2913 (40.8)	0.2991 (36.2)	0.2874 (41.2)
Ben Revere	0.2327	0.3416 (39.1)	0.3272 (35.5)	0.3250 (35.3)	0.3254 (36.0)
José Ramírez	0.3320	0.2826 (33.4)	0.2635 (42.3)	0.2775 (32.6)	0.2745 (33.6)
Ryan Howard	0.2051	0.3007 (32.9)	0.2895 (30.6)	0.2826 (28.7)	0.2829 (29.3)
Joe Panik	0.2434	0.3043 (29.6)	0.3247 (42.8)	0.2992 (30.3)	0.2996 (31.2)
Jean Segura	0.3506	0.3125 (29.6)	0.2945 (38.8)	0.3014 (32.8)	0.3004 (32.6)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Reynolds	0.2746	0.3606	39.9
2	Carlos González	0.2885	0.3457	39.0
3	Hyun Soo Kim	0.2449	0.3454	36.4
4	Cameron Maybin	0.3003	0.3799	32.9
5	Andrew McCutchen	0.3499	0.2972	32.4
6	Whit Merrifield	0.2673	0.3598	32.2
7	Wilson Ramos	0.2718	0.3273	31.4
8	David Ortiz	0.2671	0.3119	31.0
9	Jake Lamb	0.3494	0.2936	30.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Naquin	0.2999	0.4070	39.1
2	Mark Reynolds	0.2765	0.3606	37.0
3	Todd Frazier	0.2843	0.2354	32.6
4	Derek Norris	0.3086	0.2377	32.5
5	Troy Tulowitzki	0.3293	0.2722	31.1
6	DJ LeMahieu	0.3333	0.3811	30.2
7	Cameron Maybin	0.3036	0.3799	29.8
8	Andrew McCutchen	0.3410	0.2972	29.6
9	Trea Turner	0.2968	0.3882	29.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.2973	0.3553	38.6
2	Andrew McCutchen	0.3412	0.2972	30.9
3	Freddie Freeman	0.3250	0.3702	30.0
4	Tyler Naquin	0.3237	0.4070	29.7
5	Cameron Maybin	0.3056	0.3799	28.4
6	Prince Fielder	0.3091	0.2346	28.2
7	Todd Frazier	0.2755	0.2354	27.9
8	Danny Espinosa	0.2988	0.2553	27.2
9	Danny Valencia	0.2919	0.3460	27.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Reynolds	0.2720	0.3606	37.7
2	Todd Frazier	0.2881	0.2354	37.2
3	Tyler Naquin	0.3092	0.4070	34.5
4	Corey Seager	0.3046	0.3553	32.7
5	David Freese	0.3053	0.3723	31.4
6	Derek Norris	0.3023	0.2377	31.0
7	Chris Davis	0.3189	0.2788	28.7
8	David Ortiz	0.2632	0.3119	28.5
9	Jason Heyward	0.3106	0.2656	28.5

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Yan Gomes	0.1200	0.2353 (29.3)	0.2274 (28.0)	0.2187 (25.8)	0.2218 (27.1)
Bryce Harper	0.1947	0.2614 (39.2)	0.2500 (33.8)	0.2451 (31.0)	0.2569 (39.4)
Jake Lamb	0.1773	0.2380 (33.5)	0.2454 (39.6)	0.2379 (35.4)	0.2342 (34.2)
J.T. Realmuto	0.2793	0.2095 (40.3)	0.2149 (35.9)	0.2143 (35.9)	0.2167 (33.8)
Paulo Orlando	0.2966	0.2083 (44.8)	0.2000 (47.5)	0.2329 (31.3)	0.2246 (34.6)
Ian Desmond	0.2780	0.2230 (40.1)	0.2398 (26.9)	0.2304 (32.9)	0.2324 (30.5)
Ben Revere	0.1824	0.2940 (40.3)	0.2778 (35.2)	0.2774 (35.3)	0.2781 (36.1)
Danny Valencia	0.2786	0.2212 (31.8)	0.2254 (28.3)	0.2148 (33.5)	0.2140 (33.0)
Joe Panik	0.1759	0.2394 (31.2)	0.2529 (39.7)	0.2361 (31.2)	0.2335 (30.6)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos González	0.1803	0.2436	42.7
2	Cameron Maybin	0.2277	0.3118	34.5
3	Hyun Soo Kim	0.1837	0.2771	33.8
4	Nomar Mazara	0.2031	0.2583	33.7
5	Mark Reynolds	0.2042	0.2714	31.5
6	Brad Miller	0.2369	0.1828	30.0
7	Nolan Arenado	0.1689	0.2075	29.8
8	Michael Conforto	0.2478	0.1602	29.0
9	Charlie Blackmon	0.2191	0.2599	28.9
10	Corey Dickerson	0.2314	0.1746	28.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Schimpf	0.2243	0.1169	35.0
2	Jonathan Villar	0.2194	0.2667	33.1
3	Corey Dickerson	0.2320	0.1746	30.6
4	David Freese	0.2327	0.2908	29.3
5	Cameron Maybin	0.2423	0.3118	27.7
6	José Peraza	0.2065	0.3125	27.5
7	César Hernández	0.2588	0.3009	27.1
8	Prince Fielder	0.2475	0.1731	27.0
9	Jose Iglesias	0.2641	0.2104	26.8
10	Mark Reynolds	0.2121	0.2714	26.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	César Hernández	0.2524	0.3009	30.8
2	Cameron Maybin	0.2344	0.3118	30.7
3	Corey Seager	0.2172	0.2596	29.7
4	Dustin Pedroia	0.2332	0.2714	27.3
5	Neil Walker	0.2134	0.2695	26.1
6	Brad Miller	0.2260	0.1828	25.4
7	Ian Kinsler	0.2096	0.2448	24.5
8	Jed Lowrie	0.2044	0.2691	24.2
9	Prince Fielder	0.2394	0.1731	24.2
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2374	0.2705	24.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.2097	0.2596	33.8
2	Mark Reynolds	0.1967	0.2714	32.7
3	Mike Trout	0.2308	0.2758	30.2
4	Byron Buxton	0.2707	0.1808	30.0
5	Corey Dickerson	0.2256	0.1746	28.3
6	David Freese	0.2336	0.2908	27.8
7	Dustin Pedroia	0.2313	0.2714	27.5
8	ByungHo Park	0.2620	0.1508	27.3
9	Jed Lowrie	0.1949	0.2691	27.1
10	Chase Utley	0.1758	0.2234	26.5

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Adam Jones	0.0393	0.0693 (20.3)	0.0635 (17.5)	0.0639 (18.1)	0.0649 (19.9)
David Ortiz	0.1143	0.0742 (25.0)	0.0826 (18.6)	0.0815 (19.1)	0.0819 (17.9)
Nomar Mazara	0.0332	0.0938 (34.5)	0.0685 (21.1)	0.0617 (17.5)	0.0637 (19.5)
Joc Pederson	0.1024	0.0625 (18.9)	0.0645 (17.1)	0.0585 (19.8)	0.0623 (17.2)
Neil Walker	0.0292	0.0738 (20.5)	0.0667 (18.0)	0.0660 (17.9)	0.0696 (20.3)
José Ramírez	0.0926	0.0507 (25.7)	0.0540 (22.7)	0.0558 (21.3)	0.0588 (18.4)
Jean Segura	0.0785	0.0446 (23.4)	0.0388 (26.3)	0.0470 (20.3)	0.0391 (24.7)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bryant	0.1169	0.0847	22.6
2	Nick Markakis	0.0440	0.0769	22.4
3	Nolan Arenado	0.1044	0.0726	22.3
4	Andrew McCutchen	0.0918	0.0599	21.7
5	Jonathan Villar	0.0616	0.0938	21.7
6	Cameron Rupp	0.0507	0.1000	20.6
7	Freddie Freeman	0.0822	0.1105	19.5
8	Colby Rasmus	0.0878	0.0420	19.2
9	Ian Desmond	0.0929	0.0650	19.1
10	Jon Jay	0.0455	0.0967	19.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Odúbel Herrera	0.0767	0.0479	20.1
2	Colby Rasmus	0.0879	0.0420	19.9
3	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.1024	0.0370	19.6
4	Freddie Freeman	0.0811	0.1105	19.1
5	Travis Shaw	0.0642	0.1015	18.8
6	Maikel Franco	0.0775	0.0507	18.1
7	Seth Smith	0.0932	0.0542	17.9
8	Andrew McCutchen	0.0846	0.0599	17.9
9	Jake Lamb	0.0586	0.0901	17.6
10	Danny Espinosa	0.0730	0.0456	17.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.0595	0.0938	21.8
2	Danny Espinosa	0.0749	0.0456	19.0
3	Freddie Freeman	0.0817	0.1105	18.4
4	Andrew McCutchen	0.0817	0.0599	16.2
5	Cameron Rupp	0.0598	0.1000	15.9
6	Byron Buxton	0.0575	0.1073	15.8
7	Jedd Gyorko	0.0661	0.0327	15.6
8	Marcell Ozuna	0.0773	0.0544	15.3
9	César Hernández	0.0547	0.0324	15.3
10	Albert Pujols	0.0590	0.0385	14.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Maikel Franco	0.0823	0.0507	22.4
2	Jonathan Villar	0.0583	0.0938	21.5
3	Danny Espinosa	0.0766	0.0456	21.0
4	Colby Rasmus	0.0866	0.0420	20.2
5	Albert Pujols	0.0655	0.0385	20.1
6	Hanley Ramirez	0.0976	0.0695	19.8
7	Jon Jay	0.0435	0.0967	18.4
8	Odúbel Herrera	0.0720	0.0479	18.3
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.0783	0.0544	16.9
10	Byron Buxton	0.0526	0.1073	16.8

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jake Lamb	0.0262	0.0090 (10.5)	0.0147 (7.0)	0.0125 (7.8)	0.0149 (7.5)
Chris Owings	0.0315	0.0140 (8.4)	0.0138 (8.4)	0.0113 (9.2)	0.0156 (8.1)
Elvis Andrus	0.0159	0.0043 (6.9)	0.0043 (6.8)	0.0038 (6.6)	0.0057 (6.6)
Kolten Wong	0.0268	0.0097 (6.4)	0.0073 (7.2)	0.0075 (6.8)	0.0116 (6.0)
J.T. Realmuto	0.0000	0.0127 (6.6)	0.0149 (8.0)	0.0126 (7.2)	0.0139 (6.8)
Adam Duvall	0.0165	0.0067 (6.3)	0.0064 (6.3)	0.0040 (7.3)	0.0089 (5.5)
Brandon Crawford	0.0253	0.0119 (8.7)	0.0138 (7.3)	0.0104 (8.9)	0.0135 (8.2)
Kevin Kiermaier	0.0071	0.0268 (7.9)	0.0241 (6.9)	0.0195 (5.4)	0.0262 (7.3)
Jay Bruce	0.0157	0.0055 (6.3)	0.0055 (6.2)	0.0060 (5.4)	0.0027 (8.5)
Ryan Schimpf	0.0325	0.0068 (8.7)	0.0072 (8.4)	0.0034 (9.4)	0.0039 (9.9)
Freddie Freeman	0.0154	0.0053 (7.4)	0.0060 (6.7)	0.0038 (7.7)	0.0053 (8.0)
Evan Gattis	0.0000	0.0140 (6.7)	0.0137 (6.7)	0.0154 (8.0)	0.0150 (6.8)
Brandon Belt	0.0210	0.0093 (8.0)	0.0095 (7.7)	0.0096 (7.1)	0.0102 (8.0)
Trea Turner	0.0338	0.0111 (7.5)	0.0065 (8.9)	0.0096 (7.6)	0.0150 (6.5)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yasmany Tomás	0.0174	0.0027	7.9
2	Corey Dickerson	0.0213	0.0085	6.7
3	Adam Rosales	0.0000	0.0256	6.5
4	David Dahl	0.0000	0.0256	6.2
5	Rougned Odor	0.0194	0.0091	6.2
6	Matt Carpenter	0.0072	0.0171	6.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	César Hernández	0.0096	0.0255	10.1
2	Eddie Rosario	0.0324	0.0084	8.4
3	Byron Buxton	0.0108	0.0339	7.7
4	Tyler Naquin	0.0072	0.0251	6.7
5	Rougned Odor	0.0195	0.0091	6.4
6	Joe Panik	0.0057	0.0169	6.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	César Hernández	0.0092	0.0255	9.8
2	Tyler Naquin	0.0048	0.0251	7.2
3	Matt Carpenter	0.0059	0.0171	6.0
4	Tim Beckham	0.0114	0.0391	5.8
5	Joe Panik	0.0059	0.0169	5.5
6	Eddie Rosario	0.0230	0.0084	5.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.0224	0.0091	7.5
2	Jonathan Villar	0.0194	0.0074	7.2
3	Rajai Davis	0.0211	0.0059	6.8
4	Lonnie Chisenhall	0.0029	0.0159	6.0
5	Tim Beckham	0.0152	0.0391	5.4
6	Alejandro De Aza	0.0213	0.0000	5.3

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
DJ LeMahieu	0.1638	0.1009 (38.2)	0.1182 (24.6)	0.1106 (28.0)	0.1046 (32.3)
Ian Desmond	0.1581	0.1216 (22.9)	0.1117 (26.7)	0.1077 (28.0)	0.1118 (25.7)
José Abreu	0.0964	0.1494 (38.7)	0.1275 (26.4)	0.1305 (29.9)	0.1375 (34.3)
Nolan Arenado	0.1667	0.1265 (26.1)	0.1248 (24.3)	0.1319 (17.9)	0.1144 (30.6)
Alcides Escobar	0.0836	0.1220 (28.0)	0.1100 (22.7)	0.1039 (20.0)	0.1121 (25.1)
Xander Bogaerts	0.1599	0.1177 (28.4)	0.1159 (26.7)	0.1223 (20.6)	0.1137 (27.3)
Jean Segura	0.1470	0.1022 (29.3)	0.1075 (22.6)	0.0982 (27.6)	0.1086 (20.9)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Troy Tulowitzki	0.1540	0.0993	31.2
2	Carlos Gómez	0.1492	0.0993	23.8
3	Cameron Maybin	0.1028	0.1662	23.8
4	Erick Aybar	0.1232	0.0741	23.8
5	Wil Myers	0.1107	0.1464	22.4
6	Jason Heyward	0.1361	0.1030	21.1
7	Trea Turner	0.0980	0.1636	20.4
8	Jacoby Ellsbury	0.1423	0.1134	19.7
9	Rajai Davis	0.1071	0.1495	19.6
10	Mark Trumbo	0.1089	0.1409	19.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Troy Tulowitzki	0.1480	0.0993	30.3
2	Kris Bryant	0.1275	0.1731	27.0
3	Charlie Blackmon	0.1291	0.1732	23.8
4	Corey Dickerson	0.1382	0.1040	22.5
5	Erick Aybar	0.1159	0.0741	22.4
6	Ian Kinsler	0.1348	0.1723	20.8
7	Jose Altuve	0.1150	0.1506	20.6
8	Cameron Maybin	0.1089	0.1662	19.7
9	Dustin Pedroia	0.1154	0.1504	19.6
10	Derek Dietrich	0.1335	0.0947	18.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Kinsler	0.1245	0.1723	26.3
2	Jason Heyward	0.1347	0.1030	24.1
3	Aledmys Díaz	0.0948	0.1543	23.2
4	Corey Seager	0.1110	0.1528	22.6
5	Prince Fielder	0.1289	0.0784	22.0
6	Charlie Blackmon	0.1326	0.1732	20.2
7	Kris Bryant	0.1359	0.1731	19.7
8	Chase Utley	0.0966	0.1398	19.4
9	Troy Tulowitzki	0.1256	0.0993	19.2
10	Cameron Maybin	0.1103	0.1662	18.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.1144	0.1732	32.3
2	Jason Heyward	0.1387	0.1030	26.0
3	Erick Aybar	0.1203	0.0741	25.0
4	Dustin Pedroia	0.1071	0.1504	24.4
5	Mike Napoli	0.0979	0.1426	23.5
6	Bryce Harper	0.1606	0.1340	21.9
7	Ian Kinsler	0.1328	0.1723	21.2
8	Derek Dietrich	0.1370	0.0947	20.9
9	Francisco Lindor	0.1060	0.1447	20.8
10	Maikel Franco	0.1304	0.1063	20.4

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jose Altuve	0.1339	0.0737 (41.6)	0.0895 (26.4)	0.0925 (27.3)	0.0924 (23.4)
Yangervis Solarte	0.1603	0.0861 (31.9)	0.1020 (22.4)	0.0992 (25.5)	0.0993 (23.1)
Chris Davis	0.1263	0.1870 (41.7)	0.1621 (28.9)	0.1572 (22.8)	0.1835 (44.0)
Christian Yelich	0.1487	0.0946 (34.2)	0.0832 (38.2)	0.0946 (33.4)	0.0856 (35.7)
Daniel Murphy	0.1787	0.1205 (32.6)	0.1113 (34.8)	0.1092 (38.5)	0.1221 (27.7)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bryant	0.2133	0.1459	48.6
2	Mookie Betts	0.0949	0.1548	42.2
3	George Springer	0.1626	0.1102	40.6
4	Jayson Werth	0.1758	0.1139	38.9
5	Josh Donaldson	0.1902	0.1414	35.6
6	Mark Trumbo	0.1070	0.1619	35.2
7	Andrew McCutchen	0.1664	0.1170	34.8
8	Trevor Story	0.0889	0.1735	34.2
9	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1802	0.1348	33.5
10	Addison Russell	0.1024	0.1589	32.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Duvall	0.1020	0.1694	36.3
2	Travis Jankowski	0.1102	0.0313	33.1
3	Jake Lamb	0.0913	0.1532	32.2
4	Nick Markakis	0.0807	0.1301	28.6
5	Addison Russell	0.1040	0.1589	28.3
6	Gregory Polanco	0.0911	0.1465	28.1
7	Mookie Betts	0.1097	0.1548	27.3
8	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1470	0.0985	26.2
9	Brett Gardner	0.0957	0.0647	24.5
10	Nolan Arenado	0.1484	0.1911	24.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Markakis	0.0809	0.1301	31.4
2	Gregory Polanco	0.0924	0.1465	29.8
3	Mookie Betts	0.1119	0.1548	28.8
4	David Ortiz	0.1546	0.2029	28.1
5	Addison Russell	0.1106	0.1589	26.9
6	Brian Dozier	0.1020	0.1433	26.2
7	Jake Lamb	0.1082	0.1532	24.7
8	Trevor Story	0.1124	0.1735	24.0
9	Jonathan Lucroy	0.1032	0.1489	23.0
10	Josh Reddick	0.1313	0.0843	22.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Teixeira	0.1829	0.1005	40.0
2	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1620	0.0985	33.8
3	Michael Saunders	0.1516	0.1022	32.6
4	Nick Markakis	0.0767	0.1301	30.5
5	Nolan Arenado	0.1422	0.1911	27.9
6	Brian McCann	0.1649	0.1179	27.5
7	Brett Gardner	0.0987	0.0647	27.2
8	Corey Seager	0.1353	0.1048	27.1
9	Howie Kendrick	0.1138	0.0737	26.6
10	Travis d'Arnaud	0.1418	0.0543	26.6

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Keon Broxton	0.3485	0.1467 (49.9)	0.0816 (66.3)	0.1706 (45.5)	0.1782 (45.2)
Bryce Harper	0.1141	0.0393 (48.5)	0.0407 (49.0)	0.0369 (53.9)	0.0269 (64.2)
Eduardo Núñez	0.2685	0.1333 (81.9)	0.1370 (81.0)	0.1459 (78.1)	0.1833 (59.7)
Rajai Davis	0.3772	0.2500 (64.2)	0.2700 (55.4)	0.2392 (72.7)	0.2941 (48.6)
B.J. Upton	0.2288	0.1228 (58.5)	0.1325 (54.4)	0.1285 (58.8)	0.1548 (48.1)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1397	0.0622 (56.5)	0.0800 (45.5)	0.0711 (54.6)	0.0894 (46.2)
Freddy Galvis	0.1417	0.0405 (64.7)	0.0574 (55.5)	0.0491 (63.2)	0.0476 (68.2)
Wil Myers	0.1687	0.0559 (78.0)	0.0667 (72.2)	0.0679 (74.0)	0.0734 (74.7)
Hernán Pérez	0.3579	0.1261 (100.8)	0.0822 (120.6)	0.1068 (111.7)	0.1313 (104.0)
Starling Marte	0.3287	0.2031 (67.8)	0.1986 (71.3)	0.1732 (86.9)	0.2157 (67.8)
Trea Turner	0.3882	0.1633 (73.7)	0.0714 (104.2)	0.1511 (79.7)	0.1739 (74.4)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.1310	0.0441	62.7
2	Jonathan Villar	0.2523	0.3280	53.2
3	Chris Owings	0.1078	0.1981	43.3
4	Kevin Kiermaier	0.1040	0.2039	42.4
5	Jace Peterson	0.1429	0.0424	39.9
6	Jacoby Ellsbury	0.1875	0.1227	38.9
7	Matt Kemp	0.0677	0.0077	38.6
8	Billy Hamilton	0.4083	0.4874	37.6
9	Ezequiel Carrera	0.2083	0.0854	37.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.2090	0.3280	84.1
2	Travis Jankowski	0.0702	0.2752	80.3
3	Mallex Smith	0.0570	0.3019	53.7
4	Charlie Blackmon	0.1842	0.0977	52.4
5	Jacoby Ellsbury	0.2045	0.1227	48.3
6	Manny Machado	0.0728	0.0000	47.4
7	José Peraza	0.0980	0.2727	45.9
8	Rougned Odor	0.0536	0.1197	44.8
9	Jose Altuve	0.2083	0.1415	44.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.1985	0.0977	59.0
2	Manny Machado	0.0858	0.0000	53.6
3	Tim Anderson	0.2402	0.1075	53.4
4	Jonathan Villar	0.2660	0.3280	48.1
5	Mike Trout	0.0764	0.1282	41.2
6	Chris Owings	0.1193	0.1981	40.8
7	George Springer	0.1049	0.0441	38.7
8	Travis Jankowski	0.1841	0.2752	38.3
9	Derek Norris	0.0301	0.1047	38.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.1000	0.0000	59.0
2	Carlos Correa	0.1729	0.0726	56.2
3	George Springer	0.1339	0.0441	55.5
4	Charlie Blackmon	0.1852	0.0977	46.4
5	Rougned Odor	0.0647	0.1197	44.3
6	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0570	0.3333	43.4
7	Jose Altuve	0.2151	0.1415	41.9
8	Tim Anderson	0.2162	0.1075	40.3
9	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0506	0.1111	39.2

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
DJ LeMahieu	0.3478	0.2885 (37.8)	0.2819 (41.1)	0.2881 (38.2)	0.2868 (33.7)
Bryce Harper	0.2431	0.2975 (34.1)	0.2921 (31.5)	0.3005 (35.8)	0.3108 (47.5)
Sandy León	0.3095	0.1954 (32.3)	0.2186 (25.4)	0.2221 (24.8)	0.2114 (25.5)
Jonathan Villar	0.2852	0.2396 (31.0)	0.2407 (29.3)	0.2382 (32.2)	0.2399 (25.3)
Andrew McCutchen	0.2559	0.3075 (34.8)	0.2971 (28.7)	0.2965 (27.2)	0.2927 (30.3)
José Ramírez	0.3115	0.2579 (33.2)	0.2426 (41.8)	0.2616 (31.1)	0.2622 (25.5)
Jason Heyward	0.2302	0.2805 (29.7)	0.2734 (26.4)	0.2787 (28.5)	0.2744 (30.9)
Daniel Murphy	0.3465	0.2949 (30.1)	0.2805 (37.7)	0.3042 (24.9)	0.2850 (31.2)
Ben Revere	0.2171	0.3110 (35.1)	0.2980 (30.8)	0.2998 (30.9)	0.3007 (34.4)
Wilson Ramos	0.3071	0.2513 (29.2)	0.2495 (29.5)	0.2516 (29.2)	0.2493 (26.0)
Jean Segura	0.3187	0.2780 (28.3)	0.2625 (38.1)	0.2703 (33.8)	0.2670 (30.3)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paulo Orlando	0.2258	0.3020	36.9
2	David Ortiz	0.2578	0.3147	35.7
3	Charlie Blackmon	0.2737	0.3235	32.0
4	Joey Votto	0.2810	0.3255	30.2
5	Derek Norris	0.2494	0.1855	29.2
6	Aledmys Díaz	0.2411	0.2995	26.9
7	J.T. Realmuto	0.2537	0.3026	26.7
8	Cameron Maybin	0.2481	0.3152	26.3
9	Mark Reynolds	0.2241	0.2824	25.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Norris	0.2553	0.1855	32.5
2	Joe Panik	0.2941	0.2392	29.5
3	Trea Turner	0.2512	0.3420	29.0
4	Prince Fielder	0.2840	0.2117	27.2
5	Yan Gomes	0.2621	0.1673	25.4
6	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2262	0.2670	25.2
7	Mark Reynolds	0.2244	0.2824	25.0
8	Mookie Betts	0.2832	0.3185	24.8
9	Charlie Blackmon	0.2836	0.3235	24.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Seager	0.2624	0.3078	31.4
2	Prince Fielder	0.2909	0.2117	29.2
3	Ian Desmond	0.2428	0.2848	28.7
4	Joey Votto	0.2841	0.3255	28.3
5	Charlie Blackmon	0.2807	0.3235	27.7
6	J.T. Realmuto	0.2557	0.3026	25.7
7	David Ortiz	0.2742	0.3147	25.6
8	Alex Gordon	0.2707	0.2202	25.4
9	Dustin Pedroia	0.2817	0.3175	25.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Davis	0.2654	0.2208	34.9
2	Derek Norris	0.2470	0.1855	31.8
3	David Ortiz	0.2637	0.3147	26.9
4	Yan Gomes	0.2563	0.1673	25.6
5	Todd Frazier	0.2553	0.2254	25.3
6	Prince Fielder	0.2708	0.2117	24.9
7	Alex Gordon	0.2612	0.2202	24.8
8	Trea Turner	0.2584	0.3420	24.5
9	Joe Panik	0.2766	0.2392	23.9

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
DJ LeMahieu	0.4163	0.3333 (47.9)	0.3327 (49.7)	0.3390 (46.7)	0.3350 (41.1)
Derek Norris	0.2555	0.3184 (32.3)	0.3264 (34.9)	0.3119 (27.5)	0.3184 (36.4)
Jonathan Villar	0.3694	0.2994 (42.5)	0.3017 (42.4)	0.3007 (44.1)	0.3027 (34.2)
Andrew McCutchen	0.3363	0.4013 (48.9)	0.3927 (41.6)	0.3945 (41.8)	0.3917 (48.5)
Jason Heyward	0.3063	0.3588 (35.6)	0.3484 (28.1)	0.3566 (32.0)	0.3524 (37.0)
Ryan Zimmerman	0.2719	0.3235 (27.6)	0.3261 (27.7)	0.3286 (28.2)	0.3192 (29.8)
Ben Revere	0.2601	0.3393 (32.5)	0.3322 (29.0)	0.3325 (28.6)	0.3310 (32.8)
Wilson Ramos	0.3537	0.2886 (30.2)	0.2869 (32.2)	0.2903 (31.2)	0.2832 (28.3)
Jean Segura	0.3681	0.3065 (37.6)	0.2989 (44.4)	0.3033 (42.4)	0.3002 (35.7)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.3182	0.3809	35.4
2	Aledmys Díaz	0.2864	0.3690	34.5
3	David Ortiz	0.3451	0.4010	30.3
4	Paulo Orlando	0.2615	0.3292	29.1
5	Daniel Murphy	0.3333	0.3900	28.6
6	Josh Donaldson	0.3557	0.4040	28.5
7	José Ramírez	0.3099	0.3630	28.2
8	Bryce Harper	0.4097	0.3732	27.6
9	Danny Espinosa	0.2530	0.3064	27.6
10	Cameron Maybin	0.3061	0.3830	27.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Murphy	0.3226	0.3900	36.2
2	José Ramírez	0.3039	0.3630	33.3
3	Jose Altuve	0.3467	0.3964	31.8
4	Adam Lind	0.3542	0.2860	31.6
5	Mike Trout	0.3904	0.4405	30.6
6	Brandon Belt	0.3433	0.3939	29.7
7	Yan Gomes	0.3056	0.2008	29.1
8	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2987	0.3491	28.7
9	Josh Donaldson	0.3581	0.4040	28.5
10	Troy Tulowitzki	0.3647	0.3180	28.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Donaldson	0.3497	0.4040	35.4
2	Corey Seager	0.3118	0.3654	34.2
3	Brandon Belt	0.3400	0.3939	32.9
4	César Hernández	0.3166	0.3712	31.6
5	Aledmys Díaz	0.2976	0.3690	31.1
6	Prince Fielder	0.3716	0.2919	30.9
7	Jose Altuve	0.3503	0.3964	30.4
8	Odúbel Herrera	0.3134	0.3609	28.7
9	Gerardo Parra	0.3397	0.2711	27.6
10	José Ramírez	0.3150	0.3630	27.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.4308	0.3732	46.4
2	Justin Upton	0.3479	0.3099	34.1
3	Gerardo Parra	0.3351	0.2711	30.7
4	Yan Gomes	0.2977	0.2008	29.9
5	Prince Fielder	0.3549	0.2919	29.4
6	Aledmys Díaz	0.2896	0.3690	28.9
7	Daniel Murphy	0.3251	0.3900	28.2
8	Rougned Odor	0.3239	0.2959	28.1
9	Adam Lind	0.3340	0.2860	27.7
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3687	0.3262	27.7

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
DJ LeMahieu	0.4946	0.3827 (63.9)	0.3726 (65.3)	0.3840 (61.2)	0.3824 (50.0)
Bryce Harper	0.4407	0.5496 (75.3)	0.5213 (62.5)	0.5619 (84.9)	0.5920 (115.8)
Charlie Blackmon	0.5519	0.4395 (64.9)	0.4400 (59.5)	0.4319 (67.8)	0.4381 (51.5)
Brian Dozier	0.5463	0.4262 (75.3)	0.4252 (70.5)	0.4050 (87.9)	0.4373 (52.2)
Andrew McCutchen	0.4298	0.5132 (63.9)	0.4932 (55.7)	0.4945 (53.2)	0.4927 (65.1)
Jason Heyward	0.3245	0.4313 (69.8)	0.4141 (64.3)	0.4422 (78.1)	0.4328 (83.9)
Daniel Murphy	0.5951	0.4328 (87.9)	0.4187 (91.6)	0.4325 (86.4)	0.4230 (80.7)
Jean Segura	0.4992	0.3918 (66.8)	0.3640 (80.6)	0.3735 (77.4)	0.3613 (72.5)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Ortiz	0.4911	0.6201	73.8
2	José Abreu	0.5551	0.4679	68.4
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.5694	0.4888	64.8
4	Jonathan Villar	0.3548	0.4567	61.6
5	Trevor Story	0.4135	0.5672	59.2
6	Jose Altuve	0.4384	0.5313	58.5
7	Ryan Schimpf	0.3468	0.5326	57.6
8	Evan Longoria	0.4294	0.5213	55.3
9	José Ramírez	0.3648	0.4619	53.1
10	Aledmys Díaz	0.3832	0.5099	53.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.4622	0.5688	60.6
2	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.3720	0.4857	60.1
3	Jose Altuve	0.4293	0.5313	59.4
4	Jake Lamb	0.3910	0.5086	58.5
5	Gary Sánchez	0.3904	0.6567	56.6
6	Mark Trumbo	0.4323	0.5334	54.8
7	Chris Davis	0.5207	0.4594	53.5
8	Colby Rasmus	0.4630	0.3550	53.0
9	Kris Bryant	0.4607	0.5539	51.8
10	Trevor Story	0.4250	0.5672	51.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Ortiz	0.4976	0.6201	67.8
2	Jose Altuve	0.4307	0.5313	61.9
3	Prince Fielder	0.4736	0.3344	56.8
4	Trevor Story	0.4217	0.5672	54.5
5	Robinson Canó	0.4425	0.5328	54.5
6	Freddie Freeman	0.4766	0.5688	54.0
7	Corey Seager	0.4212	0.5120	52.6
8	Jonathan Villar	0.3652	0.4567	52.5
9	Aledmys Díaz	0.3823	0.5099	52.2
10	Evan Longoria	0.4318	0.5213	51.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Davis	0.5558	0.4594	86.4
2	Mark Teixeira	0.4636	0.3618	59.3
3	Colby Rasmus	0.4610	0.3550	58.1
4	Ramón Flores	0.4204	0.2610	55.7
5	José Bautista	0.5216	0.4515	53.5
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.5691	0.4891	53.3
7	Adam Jones	0.4793	0.4362	51.5
8	Trea Turner	0.3775	0.5668	50.5
9	Jake Lamb	0.3903	0.5086	50.4
10	Carlos Correa	0.4920	0.4506	49.4

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tyson Ross	27	786 (758.9)	727 (700.0)	793 (766.1)	765 (738.0)
John Danks	100	603 (503.0)	722 (622.0)	622 (522.1)	736 (636.0)
Garrett Richards	148	812 (663.9)	732 (584.0)	826 (677.6)	770 (622.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Perdomo	1	662	661.0
2	Andrew Heaney	655	25	630.0
3	Charlie Morton	673	71	601.9
4	Dan Straily	203	792	588.9
5	Christian Friedrich	1	567	566.0
6	Miguel González	1	566	565.0
7	Tanner Roark	350	855	505.0
8	Michael Fulmer	159	647	488.1
9	Tyler Anderson	1	478	477.0
10	Phil Hughes	720	259	461.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kenta Maeda	1	716	715.0
2	Luis Perdomo	1	662	661.0
3	Michael Fulmer	1	647	646.0
4	Chris Heston	627	29	598.0
5	Sean Manaea	1	594	593.0
6	Brett Anderson	639	62	577.0
7	Drew Hutchison	669	104	565.0
8	Kyle Lohse	609	48	561.0
9	Roenis Elías	564	41	523.0
10	Charlie Morton	593	71	522.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Lohse	707	48	659.3
2	Michael Fulmer	40	647	607.1
3	Andrew Heaney	628	25	602.9
4	Zach Davies	80	682	601.7
5	Phil Hughes	835	259	575.6
6	Christian Friedrich	4	567	562.6
7	Miguel González	4	566	561.7
8	Luis Perdomo	111	662	551.4
9	Chris Bassitt	660	133	526.6
10	Dan Straily	281	792	511.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Heaney	764	25	739.0
2	Adrian Sampson	686	21	665.0
3	Chris Heston	662	29	633.0
4	Jhoulys Chacín	1	632	631.0
5	Ryan Merritt	666	37	629.0
6	Adam Plutko	633	18	615.0
7	Roenis Elías	654	41	613.0
8	Henry Owens	714	103	611.0
9	Shawn Morimando	633	27	606.0
10	Scott Diamond	612	7	605.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rick Porcello	0.2738	0.0977 (33.1)	0.3174 (49.8)	0.2826 (41.2)	0.2844 (35.7)
James Shields	0.3767	0.1056 (47.6)	0.3139 (41.4)	0.2821 (46.9)	0.2715 (62.2)
Kyle Hendricks	0.2544	0.0883 (35.1)	0.2920 (37.3)	0.2773 (45.0)	0.2717 (34.9)
Justin Verlander	0.2712	0.1011 (38.9)	0.3044 (41.1)	0.2827 (44.2)	0.2748 (29.9)
Chris Devenski	0.2415	0.1177 (36.5)	0.3181 (36.3)	0.3031 (40.4)	0.3332 (49.5)
Alfredo Simon	0.4314	0.1019 (34.6)	0.3190 (29.8)	0.2988 (28.3)	0.3061 (28.5)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.3181	0.3147	103.6
2	Matt Bush	0.3181	0.2310	73.0
3	Clayton Kershaw	0.0834	0.2033	50.8
4	Aaron Sanchez	0.1192	0.2763	44.4
5	Mike Pelfrey	0.0908	0.3766	39.3
6	Marco Estrada	0.1194	0.2795	38.4
7	Buddy Boshers	0.3181	0.2825	37.8
8	Rich Hill	0.1115	0.2409	36.8
9	Adam Wainwright	0.0774	0.3339	36.7
10	Max Scherzer	0.0902	0.2654	34.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2762	0.3339	38.4
2	Chris Young	0.2952	0.3942	35.2
3	Jered Weaver	0.3078	0.3646	34.1
4	Kenta Maeda	0.3181	0.2846	32.8
5	Seunghwan Oh	0.3181	0.2261	32.7
6	Tyler Duffey	0.3034	0.3696	32.0
7	Sonny Gray	0.2743	0.3482	31.8
8	Jon Lester	0.2894	0.2628	31.0
9	Michael Fulmer	0.3181	0.2839	30.2
10	Jaime García	0.2801	0.3326	29.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	0.3042	0.2763	51.7
2	Marco Estrada	0.3014	0.2795	42.9
3	Tanner Roark	0.2923	0.2804	42.3
4	Rich Hill	0.2876	0.2409	36.9
5	Steven Wright	0.3047	0.2891	34.9
6	Michael Fulmer	0.2981	0.2839	33.4
7	Clayton Kershaw	0.2257	0.2033	32.6
8	Julio Teheran	0.2828	0.2803	30.3
9	Matt Bush	0.3181	0.2310	30.3
10	Patrick Corbin	0.2725	0.3519	29.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2550	0.3339	41.8
2	Michael Fulmer	0.3124	0.2839	37.6
3	Rich Hill	0.2959	0.2409	37.1
4	Patrick Corbin	0.2753	0.3519	32.9
5	Tim Lincecum	0.2864	0.4729	31.4
6	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2753	0.3518	31.3
7	Aaron Sanchez	0.2862	0.2763	31.2
8	Jonathon Niese	0.2855	0.3722	31.2
9	Andrew Cashner	0.2758	0.3583	31.2
10	Francisco Liriano	0.2614	0.3335	31.1

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brad Hand	0.3049	0.1535 (51.5)	0.1718 (46.1)	0.1949 (38.5)	0.1677 (44.0)
Robbie Ray	0.2809	0.2077 (49.1)	0.2051 (53.9)	0.2273 (38.4)	0.2138 (39.5)
Michael Feliz	0.3519	0.1720 (45.9)	0.2031 (38.4)	0.2137 (36.2)	0.1756 (43.2)
David Phelps	0.3239	0.1656 (52.2)	0.1835 (47.2)	0.2062 (40.0)	0.1812 (44.5)
Martín Pérez	0.1205	0.1581 (40.7)	0.1722 (49.7)	0.1712 (46.9)	0.1492 (38.5)
James Shields	0.1642	0.2284 (60.8)	0.2190 (50.3)	0.2135 (43.9)	0.2291 (66.7)
Justin Verlander	0.2813	0.1986 (65.7)	0.2029 (65.0)	0.1947 (74.4)	0.2006 (58.2)
José Fernández	0.3433	0.2734 (44.3)	0.2628 (54.6)	0.2862 (39.0)	0.2808 (34.1)
Edwin Díaz	0.4055	0.1836 (46.0)	0.2113 (40.8)	0.1808 (47.9)	0.1860 (44.1)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Roark	0.1371	0.2012	46.3
2	Danny Duffy	0.1852	0.2572	45.4
3	Tyler Thornburg	0.1770	0.3422	40.8
4	Kyle Barraclough	0.2368	0.3693	37.5
5	Andrew Miller	0.3044	0.4473	36.6
6	Michael Pineda	0.2157	0.2738	36.5
7	Juan Nicasio	0.1881	0.2690	36.4
8	Junior Guerra	0.2670	0.2033	36.2
9	Clay Buchholz	0.2065	0.1582	34.2
10	Aaron Sanchez	0.1507	0.2038	34.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Duffy	0.1869	0.2572	46.8
2	Kyle Barraclough	0.2215	0.3693	43.3
3	Félix Hernández	0.2423	0.1863	40.9
4	Josh Tomlin	0.2108	0.1628	39.4
5	Luis Perdomo	0.2113	0.1586	39.1
6	Michael Pineda	0.2188	0.2738	36.8
7	Mike Fiers	0.2294	0.1851	36.7
8	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.2128	0.1758	36.2
9	Andrew Miller	0.3123	0.4473	35.4
10	Kendall Graveman	0.1758	0.1374	35.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Sale	0.3015	0.2569	44.2
2	Junior Guerra	0.2873	0.2033	43.4
3	Michael Pineda	0.2197	0.2738	37.8
4	Chris Devenski	0.1611	0.2549	36.6
5	Marco Estrada	0.1740	0.2282	36.2
6	Juan Nicasio	0.1943	0.2690	36.2
7	Kyle Barraclough	0.2485	0.3693	35.7
8	Tyler Thornburg	0.2030	0.3422	35.5
9	Brandon Finnegan	0.2372	0.1975	32.2
10	Seunghwan Oh	0.2243	0.3291	31.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Sale	0.2994	0.2569	53.3
2	Félix Hernández	0.2449	0.1863	49.1
3	Yordano Ventura	0.2164	0.1765	45.8
4	Danny Duffy	0.1832	0.2572	42.2
5	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.2072	0.1758	39.9
6	Jon Gray	0.1888	0.2598	39.0
7	Brandon Finnegan	0.2327	0.1975	37.8
8	Josh Tomlin	0.1983	0.1628	37.6
9	Junior Guerra	0.2605	0.2033	36.2
10	Clay Buchholz	0.1996	0.1582	34.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jerad Eickhoff	0.0518	0.0693 (19.6)	0.0722 (21.5)	0.0779 (26.5)	0.0776 (24.4)
Félix Hernández	0.0992	0.0660 (17.4)	0.0633 (19.6)	0.0608 (20.8)	0.0591 (23.5)
Iván Nova	0.0409	0.0716 (25.6)	0.0776 (29.2)	0.0722 (25.9)	0.0720 (24.2)
James Paxton	0.0470	0.0900 (25.4)	0.0882 (24.2)	0.0881 (24.4)	0.0854 (21.8)
Danny Duffy	0.0575	0.0888 (27.8)	0.0865 (25.7)	0.0786 (20.3)	0.0861 (24.0)
Zach Davies	0.0557	0.0779 (19.7)	0.0838 (23.3)	0.0854 (24.8)	0.0814 (20.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Kershaw	0.0618	0.0202	26.3
2	Mike Leake	0.0674	0.0396	26.1
3	Rick Porcello	0.0557	0.0360	23.6
4	Carlos Rodón	0.1010	0.0755	23.0
5	Mike Fiers	0.0813	0.0580	21.7
6	Tanner Roark	0.0543	0.0854	20.9
7	Julio Teheran	0.0739	0.0541	20.1
8	Luis Perdomo	0.0923	0.0695	19.6
9	Aaron Sanchez	0.0976	0.0797	19.4
10	Josh Tomlin	0.0462	0.0276	18.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rick Porcello	0.0571	0.0360	24.3
2	Carlos Rodón	0.1005	0.0755	22.2
3	Mike Leake	0.0625	0.0396	21.9
4	Josh Tomlin	0.0514	0.0276	21.7
5	Clayton Kershaw	0.0535	0.0202	21.4
6	Jameson Taillon	0.0818	0.0407	19.7
7	Mike Fiers	0.0791	0.0580	19.7
8	Julio Teheran	0.0736	0.0541	19.4
9	Zach Neal	0.0818	0.0214	18.7
10	Tyler Duffey	0.0787	0.0537	18.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	0.1102	0.0797	29.3
2	Carlos Rodón	0.1077	0.0755	27.7
3	Sean Manaea	0.0966	0.0623	24.3
4	Luis Perdomo	0.0985	0.0695	23.6
5	Rick Porcello	0.0543	0.0360	22.2
6	Clayton Kershaw	0.0508	0.0202	20.2
7	Mike Leake	0.0591	0.0396	19.7
8	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0947	0.0667	18.2
9	Yovani Gallardo	0.0749	0.1160	18.1
10	Jake Arrieta	0.0662	0.0956	18.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	0.1106	0.0797	27.8
2	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1089	0.0667	24.4
3	Tanner Roark	0.0548	0.0854	22.5
4	Patrick Corbin	0.0583	0.0942	22.1
5	Jameson Taillon	0.0888	0.0407	21.9
6	Michael Pineda	0.0375	0.0701	21.4
7	Danny Salazar	0.0671	0.1079	21.3
8	Jake Arrieta	0.0657	0.0956	20.4
9	Sean Manaea	0.0922	0.0623	20.3
10	James Shields	0.0709	0.0998	20.2

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tanner Roark	0.0152	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0082 (5.7)	0.0081 (5.7)	0.0083 (6.8)
Rick Porcello	0.0146	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0086 (5.1)	0.0084 (5.1)	0.0087 (6.2)
Jeff Samardzija	0.0012	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0115 (8.8)	0.0101 (7.8)	0.0110 (7.3)
Mike Montgomery	0.0242	0.0000 (6.3)	0.0087 (6.2)	0.0094 (5.9)	0.0121 (5.4)
Robbie Ross Jr.	0.0336	0.0000 (5.9)	0.0137 (4.6)	0.0111 (5.2)	0.0128 (5.2)
Jon Gray	0.0169	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0084 (5.8)	0.0083 (5.7)	0.0112 (4.7)
Drew Pomeranz	0.0014	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0085 (5.2)	0.0075 (4.7)	0.0093 (4.8)
Alfredo Simon	0.0268	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0117 (4.4)	0.0109 (4.6)	0.0115 (4.9)
Ian Kennedy	0.0159	0.0000 (5.7)	0.0087 (5.6)	0.0089 (5.3)	0.0086 (6.8)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jimmy Nelson	0.0000	0.0211	9.8
2	Chris Sale	0.0000	0.0187	8.9
3	Mike Wright Jr.	0.0000	0.0274	6.1
4	Zack Greinke	0.0000	0.0000	6.0
5	Adam Conley	0.0000	0.0188	5.8
6	Tyler Anderson	0.0089	0.0063	5.5
7	Oliver Pérez	0.0000	0.0385	5.4
8	Drew Storen	0.0000	0.0307	5.0
9	Noah Syndergaard	0.0000	0.0027	4.7
10	Chris Archer	0.0000	0.0035	4.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Conley	0.0083	0.0188	6.0
2	Jered Weaver	0.0121	0.0052	5.5
3	John Lackey	0.0052	0.0120	4.8
4	Zack Greinke	0.0067	0.0000	4.7
5	Francisco Liriano	0.0057	0.0123	4.6
6	Héctor Santiago	0.0118	0.0064	4.5
7	Michael Wacha	0.0087	0.0017	4.5
8	Félix Hernández	0.0081	0.0153	4.5
9	Oliver Pérez	0.0138	0.0385	4.4
10	Gio González	0.0058	0.0118	4.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jimmy Nelson	0.0129	0.0211	6.2
2	Mike Wright Jr.	0.0104	0.0274	5.4
3	Chris Sale	0.0123	0.0187	5.3
4	Adam Conley	0.0095	0.0188	5.1
5	Zack Greinke	0.0069	0.0000	4.9
6	Oliver Pérez	0.0110	0.0385	4.9
7	Drew Storen	0.0098	0.0307	4.7
8	Vince Velasquez	0.0097	0.0018	4.6
9	Félix Hernández	0.0077	0.0153	4.6
10	Chris Archer	0.0081	0.0035	4.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Lackey	0.0039	0.0120	6.8
2	Francisco Liriano	0.0042	0.0123	6.6
3	Gio González	0.0043	0.0118	6.5
4	Félix Hernández	0.0072	0.0153	5.9
5	Jimmy Nelson	0.0155	0.0211	5.3
6	Bud Norris	0.0171	0.0061	5.0
7	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.0151	0.0000	5.0
8	Felipe Vázquez	0.0042	0.0183	4.9
9	Vince Velasquez	0.0118	0.0018	4.9
10	Mike Wright Jr.	0.0137	0.0274	4.8

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Young	0.1045	0.0474 (20.3)	0.0421 (22.0)	0.0499 (19.0)	0.0412 (22.9)
Miguel González	0.0256	0.0420 (13.3)	0.0462 (16.3)	0.0478 (17.1)	0.0487 (17.0)
Steven Wright	0.0259	0.0410 (14.5)	0.0413 (15.5)	0.0391 (13.8)	0.0408 (14.3)
Jonathon Niese	0.0613	0.0320 (12.1)	0.0322 (11.4)	0.0270 (14.4)	0.0243 (16.4)
James Shields	0.0670	0.0385 (17.6)	0.0417 (14.1)	0.0370 (18.1)	0.0349 (20.8)
Noah Syndergaard	0.0229	0.0379 (16.4)	0.0435 (21.5)	0.0350 (14.9)	0.0362 (15.1)
Chris Devenski	0.0142	0.0451 (15.5)	0.0434 (15.3)	0.0418 (14.5)	0.0550 (19.4)
Rich Hill	0.0149	0.0350 (11.9)	0.0333 (11.7)	0.0345 (12.1)	0.0363 (12.4)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	0.0353	0.0238	16.3
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0373	0.0632	12.6
3	Tanner Roark	0.0353	0.0285	11.9
4	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0301	0.0594	11.7
5	Jeurys Familia	0.0340	0.0049	11.6
6	Erik Johnson	0.0369	0.1228	11.5
7	Trevor Bauer	0.0426	0.0355	11.5
8	Aaron Sanchez	0.0342	0.0267	11.4
9	Dan Straily	0.0354	0.0568	11.3
10	Blake Snell	0.0410	0.0198	11.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	0.0349	0.0238	17.0
2	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0234	0.0594	14.6
3	A.J. Griffin	0.0444	0.0802	14.0
4	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0458	0.0366	14.0
5	Chris Archer	0.0308	0.0548	13.5
6	Blake Snell	0.0434	0.0198	12.8
7	Tanner Roark	0.0351	0.0285	12.7
8	CC Sabathia	0.0484	0.0406	12.3
9	Brett Oberholtzer	0.0297	0.0759	12.2
10	Francisco Liriano	0.0306	0.0554	12.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Francisco Liriano	0.0261	0.0554	15.7
2	Tanner Roark	0.0360	0.0285	13.2
3	Jaime García	0.0242	0.0493	12.8
4	Chris Archer	0.0326	0.0548	12.2
5	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0383	0.0632	11.3
6	Johnny Cueto	0.0287	0.0238	11.3
7	Trevor Bauer	0.0414	0.0355	11.2
8	A.J. Griffin	0.0503	0.0802	11.2
9	Brandon Finnegan	0.0352	0.0579	10.9
10	Taijuan Walker	0.0398	0.0660	10.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.0269	0.0558	19.8
2	Chris Archer	0.0289	0.0548	16.2
3	Francisco Liriano	0.0280	0.0554	15.0
4	Junior Guerra	0.0518	0.0289	14.7
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0466	0.0366	13.6
6	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0369	0.0632	13.0
7	Héctor Santiago	0.0362	0.0592	12.7
8	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0434	0.0309	12.3
9	CC Sabathia	0.0493	0.0406	11.9
10	Justin Verlander	0.0313	0.0514	11.9

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rick Porcello	0.2686	0.2994 (37.6)	0.3115 (40.8)	0.2965 (35.0)	0.2978 (34.1)
Colby Lewis	0.2407	0.3054 (36.0)	0.3051 (31.8)	0.2856 (26.6)	0.2945 (29.7)
Collin McHugh	0.3383	0.2810 (36.6)	0.2975 (30.2)	0.2832 (34.8)	0.2863 (34.2)
Lance McCullers Jr.	0.3827	0.2778 (32.9)	0.2914 (31.1)	0.2855 (30.2)	0.2929 (28.4)
Jon Lester	0.2558	0.2978 (42.5)	0.3004 (37.9)	0.2828 (30.6)	0.2804 (26.8)
Robbie Ray	0.3523	0.3055 (27.5)	0.3108 (29.9)	0.2812 (46.3)	0.2941 (38.1)
Dan Straily	0.2388	0.2866 (46.8)	0.2880 (41.2)	0.2725 (35.7)	0.2966 (52.9)
Kyle Hendricks	0.2500	0.2881 (36.9)	0.2928 (34.1)	0.2870 (36.1)	0.2834 (31.6)
Justin Verlander	0.2545	0.2848 (37.7)	0.2988 (42.7)	0.2790 (32.4)	0.2889 (39.2)
Noah Syndergaard	0.3340	0.2848 (28.2)	0.2834 (35.5)	0.2844 (28.4)	0.2876 (27.8)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Lackey	0.2933	0.2547	37.4
2	Brandon Finnegan	0.2922	0.2564	34.7
3	Jeremy Hellickson	0.3024	0.2744	30.4
4	Marco Estrada	0.2640	0.2339	30.0
5	José Fernández	0.2799	0.3317	29.8
6	Michael Fulmer	0.3012	0.2679	28.9
7	James Paxton	0.2795	0.3472	28.7
8	Carlos Rodón	0.2786	0.3297	28.4
9	Jake Arrieta	0.2647	0.2406	28.2
10	Corey Kluber	0.2906	0.2706	27.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2857	0.3300	35.0
2	John Lackey	0.2970	0.2547	33.9
3	Corey Kluber	0.3060	0.2706	33.0
4	James Paxton	0.2838	0.3472	30.9
5	J.A. Happ	0.3037	0.2679	30.8
6	Ian Kennedy	0.3029	0.2682	30.8
7	Ricky Nolasco	0.3286	0.2943	30.4
8	Cody Anderson	0.2654	0.3810	30.4
9	Michael Wacha	0.2812	0.3341	30.3
10	Junior Guerra	0.3077	0.2500	29.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Arrieta	0.2853	0.2406	44.6
2	Marco Estrada	0.2703	0.2339	34.6
3	Michael Pineda	0.2841	0.3391	32.9
4	Aaron Sanchez	0.2953	0.2674	31.1
5	Max Scherzer	0.2778	0.2552	30.7
6	John Lackey	0.2842	0.2547	30.7
7	Tanner Roark	0.2910	0.2690	28.6
8	José Fernández	0.2837	0.3317	27.0
9	Ryan Dull	0.2887	0.2094	26.3
10	Brandon Finnegan	0.2807	0.2564	26.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2855	0.2552	35.4
2	Adam Wainwright	0.2830	0.3300	32.1
3	Michael Fulmer	0.3045	0.2679	29.5
4	Matt Harvey	0.2723	0.3527	28.7
5	Michael Wacha	0.2778	0.3341	28.6
6	Edinson Volquez	0.2766	0.3191	28.5
7	Archie Bradley	0.2857	0.3382	27.7
8	James Paxton	0.2848	0.3472	27.3
9	Tim Lincecum	0.2869	0.4318	27.2
10	Jake Arrieta	0.2656	0.2406	27.0

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Luis Perdomo	0.2744	0.0000 (33.9)	0.2232 (33.3)	0.2902 (30.9)	0.2963 (28.5)
Trevor Rosenthal	0.3774	0.0000 (30.4)	0.2472 (25.4)	0.2808 (31.3)	0.2983 (28.3)
Robbie Ray	0.2713	0.0000 (37.4)	0.2162 (42.0)	0.2812 (40.9)	0.2941 (32.7)
Dan Straily	0.1670	0.0000 (44.5)	0.2147 (38.5)	0.2725 (34.1)	0.2966 (51.3)
Justin Verlander	0.1841	0.0000 (35.3)	0.2235 (36.5)	0.2790 (29.2)	0.2889 (36.0)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.2232	0.2411	98.1
2	Matt Bush	0.2232	0.2025	59.3
3	Max Scherzer	0.0000	0.1771	41.5
4	Marco Estrada	0.0000	0.1695	38.8
5	Mike Pelfrey	0.0000	0.2871	34.6
6	Buddy Boshers	0.2232	0.2308	32.8
7	Jake Arrieta	0.0000	0.1834	31.6
8	Carlos Rodón	0.0000	0.2651	30.0
9	Jeremy Hellickson	0.0000	0.1860	28.7
10	Héctor Santiago	0.0000	0.1870	28.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rick Porcello	0.2421	0.2038	34.9
2	Nathan Eovaldi	0.2540	0.1923	32.9
3	Chris Young	0.1703	0.2500	31.9
4	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2075	0.2562	31.8
5	Mike Leake	0.2063	0.2452	28.7
6	Travis Wood	0.2251	0.1163	27.7
7	Junior Guerra	0.2308	0.1756	27.6
8	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2043	0.2483	27.2
9	Corey Kluber	0.2242	0.1938	27.0
10	Boone Logan	0.2560	0.1154	26.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2778	0.1771	34.4
2	Jake Arrieta	0.2853	0.1834	31.3
3	Mike Pelfrey	0.2958	0.2871	29.1
4	Marco Estrada	0.2703	0.1695	27.7
5	Dillon Gee	0.2813	0.2684	27.3
6	Carlos Rodón	0.2900	0.2651	26.9
7	Rick Porcello	0.2965	0.2038	26.9
8	Jeremy Hellickson	0.2828	0.1860	26.5
9	Blake Snell	0.2800	0.2834	26.4
10	Chris Tillman	0.2833	0.1843	26.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2232	0.2483	56.9
2	Max Scherzer	0.2855	0.1771	39.2
3	Jeremy Hellickson	0.2983	0.1860	36.6
4	Daniel Mengden	0.2232	0.2512	30.8
5	Edinson Volquez	0.2766	0.2467	29.9
6	Carlos Rodón	0.2900	0.2651	28.5
7	Corey Kluber	0.2914	0.1938	28.2
8	Mike Pelfrey	0.3015	0.2871	27.3
9	Dillon Gee	0.2845	0.2684	26.8
10	Kyle Gibson	0.2867	0.2617	26.0

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Fiers	0.0913	0.0000 (17.7)	0.0604 (20.8)	0.0000 (17.7)	0.0000 (17.7)
Tanner Roark	0.0345	0.0000 (27.7)	0.0616 (25.0)	0.0000 (27.7)	0.0000 (27.7)
Steven Wright	0.0376	0.0000 (19.2)	0.0603 (16.3)	0.0000 (19.2)	0.0000 (19.2)
Logan Verrett	0.1227	0.0000 (22.7)	0.0556 (26.4)	0.0000 (22.7)	0.0000 (22.7)
Dillon Gee	0.0354	0.0000 (17.3)	0.0636 (16.7)	0.0000 (17.3)	0.0000 (17.3)
Archie Bradley	0.0980	0.0000 (19.9)	0.0630 (21.0)	0.0000 (19.9)	0.0000 (19.9)
Tyler Duffey	0.1002	0.0000 (19.9)	0.0690 (17.4)	0.0000 (19.9)	0.0000 (19.9)
Michael Wacha	0.0951	0.0000 (17.1)	0.0634 (17.9)	0.0000 (17.1)	0.0000 (17.1)
Jake Peavy	0.0994	0.0000 (16.9)	0.0663 (16.1)	0.0000 (17.0)	0.0000 (17.0)
Matt Moore	0.0449	0.0000 (18.4)	0.0659 (19.4)	0.0000 (18.4)	0.0000 (18.4)
Michael Pineda	0.0929	0.0000 (19.7)	0.0691 (16.4)	0.0000 (19.7)	0.0000 (19.7)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0669	0.0655	32.6
2	Matt Bush	0.0669	0.0429	22.1
3	Iván Nova	0.0000	0.0926	17.6
4	Chris Tillman	0.0000	0.0911	17.3
5	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.0464	16.6
6	Brandon Finnegan	0.0000	0.0445	16.4
7	Albert Suárez	0.0000	0.1115	15.9
8	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.0458	15.1
9	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0921	15.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chad Bettis	0.0887	0.0595	25.5
2	Matt Wisler	0.0817	0.0503	22.5
3	Ian Kennedy	0.0802	0.0556	21.9
4	Jon Lester	0.0731	0.0481	21.6
5	Doug Fister	0.0507	0.0771	18.9
6	Sonny Gray	0.0471	0.0831	17.5
7	J.A. Happ	0.0759	0.0569	16.8
8	Kenta Maeda	0.0669	0.0458	16.6
9	Noah Syndergaard	0.0535	0.0766	15.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tony Barnette	0.0669	0.0405	22.9
2	Matt Bush	0.0669	0.0429	22.1
3	Iván Nova	0.0000	0.0926	17.6
4	Chris Tillman	0.0000	0.0911	17.3
5	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.0464	16.6
6	Brandon Finnegan	0.0000	0.0445	16.4
7	Albert Suárez	0.0000	0.1115	15.9
8	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0921	15.1
9	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.0458	15.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0669	0.0615	45.6
2	Tim Adleman	0.0669	0.0545	22.7
3	Matt Bush	0.0669	0.0429	22.1
4	Daniel Mengden	0.0669	0.0791	18.1
5	Iván Nova	0.0000	0.0926	17.6
6	Chris Tillman	0.0000	0.0911	17.3
7	Lucas Harrell	0.0669	0.0504	17.3
8	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.0464	16.6
9	Joe Biagini	0.0669	0.0777	16.5

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jason Grilli	0.0397	0.0000 (8.2)	0.0081 (8.0)	0.0000 (8.2)	0.0000 (8.2)
Andrew Cashner	0.0205	0.0000 (7.9)	0.0103 (6.1)	0.0000 (7.9)	0.0000 (7.9)
Jonathon Niese	0.0183	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0078 (5.8)	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0000 (6.1)
Jordan Zimmermann	0.0205	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0057 (6.7)	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0000 (6.0)
Jose Quintana	0.0017	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0091 (6.1)	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.5)
Mark Lowe	0.0284	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0068 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.8)
Justin Miller	0.0331	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0083 (4.8)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (5.0)
Martín Pérez	0.0015	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0091 (6.4)	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.7)
Colin Rea	0.0194	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0089 (4.8)	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0000 (5.6)
Aaron Blair	0.0223	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0071 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.9)
Chaz Roe	0.0571	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0076 (6.2)	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0000 (6.2)
Chad Bettis	0.0153	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0061 (7.6)	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0000 (6.7)
Jake Peavy	0.0221	0.0000 (7.8)	0.0128 (4.9)	0.0000 (7.8)	0.0000 (7.8)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Nicasio	0.0000	0.0195	6.4
2	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0000	0.0240	6.2
3	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0137	5.5
4	Ervin Santana	0.0000	0.0000	5.3
5	Drew Pomeranz	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
6	Michael Pineda	0.0000	0.0130	4.4
7	Cole Hamels	0.0000	0.0019	4.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Kennedy	0.0134	0.0019	9.2
2	Carlos Martinez	0.0100	0.0019	6.4
3	A.J. Griffin	0.0058	0.0156	5.1
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.0054	0.0123	5.0
5	Matt Andriese	0.0096	0.0000	5.0
6	Jon Lester	0.0079	0.0019	4.6
7	Steven Wright	0.0043	0.0111	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Nicasio	0.0000	0.0195	6.4
2	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0000	0.0240	6.2
3	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0137	5.5
4	Ervin Santana	0.0000	0.0000	5.3
5	Drew Pomeranz	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
6	Michael Pineda	0.0000	0.0130	4.4
7	Cole Hamels	0.0000	0.0019	4.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Nicasio	0.0000	0.0195	6.4
2	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0000	0.0240	6.2
3	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0137	5.5
4	Ervin Santana	0.0000	0.0000	5.3
5	Drew Pomeranz	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
6	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0071	0.0068	4.6
7	Michael Pineda	0.0000	0.0130	4.4

Run Rate

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Perdomo	0.0000	0.1495	94.0
2	Christian Friedrich	0.0000	0.1305	69.7
3	Aaron Blair	0.0000	0.1883	58.5
4	Miguel González	0.0000	0.1078	56.7
5	Daniel Mengden	0.0000	0.1627	51.5
6	Pat Dean	0.0000	0.1567	44.7
7	Ross Stripling	0.0000	0.1098	42.8
8	Justin Nicolino	0.0000	0.1301	42.4
9	Zach Eflin	0.0000	0.1544	39.9
10	Tanner Roark	0.1229	0.0842	39.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Duffey	0.0997	0.1728	38.2
2	Patrick Corbin	0.1011	0.1555	31.8
3	Kyle Hendricks	0.1047	0.0711	31.7
4	Rick Porcello	0.1214	0.0955	31.1
5	James Shields	0.1029	0.1484	30.0
6	Justin Verlander	0.1129	0.0897	29.1
7	Jon Lester	0.0988	0.0716	28.8
8	Dan Straily	0.1272	0.1010	27.9
9	Adam Wainwright	0.0860	0.1275	27.5
10	Sonny Gray	0.0927	0.1547	27.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Roark	0.1172	0.0842	37.2
2	Aaron Sanchez	0.1214	0.0873	35.2
3	Kyle Hendricks	0.1047	0.0711	32.8
4	Patrick Corbin	0.1016	0.1555	30.4
5	Chris Devenski	0.1243	0.0637	29.0
6	Michael Fulmer	0.1221	0.0881	28.8
7	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1109	0.1617	26.9
8	Jon Lester	0.0944	0.0716	26.6
9	Tyler Duffey	0.1182	0.1728	26.3
10	Justin Verlander	0.1079	0.0897	26.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Devenski	0.1528	0.0637	38.3
2	James Shields	0.0987	0.1484	36.9
3	Patrick Corbin	0.1038	0.1555	32.9
4	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1093	0.1617	31.8
5	Sonny Gray	0.0902	0.1547	30.9
6	Michael Fulmer	0.1303	0.0881	30.4
7	Dan Straily	0.1342	0.1010	30.1
8	Francisco Liriano	0.0891	0.1341	29.4
9	Ian Kennedy	0.1298	0.0990	29.1
10	Adam Wainwright	0.0892	0.1275	28.4

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Aníbal Sánchez	0.1497	0.1009 (27.5)	0.1077 (22.2)	0.1021 (24.5)	0.1028 (28.9)
Tyler Duffey	0.1594	0.1089 (25.6)	0.0945 (33.5)	0.1088 (23.7)	0.1158 (23.8)
James Shields	0.1436	0.0944 (34.2)	0.0950 (32.7)	0.1007 (26.3)	0.0924 (39.1)
Kyle Hendricks	0.0604	0.0971 (33.0)	0.0986 (35.0)	0.0950 (33.9)	0.0938 (27.6)
Chris Devenski	0.0637	0.1262 (28.6)	0.1092 (22.1)	0.1151 (25.4)	0.1429 (33.8)
Alfredo Simon	0.2047	0.1143 (24.7)	0.1083 (26.1)	0.1095 (25.1)	0.1221 (23.5)
Michael Fulmer	0.0835	0.1183 (27.5)	0.1092 (22.3)	0.1130 (26.2)	0.1226 (27.6)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Roark	0.1123	0.0772	36.5
2	Aaron Sanchez	0.1123	0.0810	30.7
3	Rick Porcello	0.1110	0.0876	27.5
4	Steven Wright	0.1204	0.0884	26.0
5	Jon Lester	0.0920	0.0691	24.3
6	Sonny Gray	0.0887	0.1431	24.2
7	Rich Hill	0.1056	0.0592	23.7
8	Dallas Keuchel	0.0802	0.1213	23.5
9	Justin Verlander	0.1027	0.0853	22.6
10	J.A. Happ	0.1056	0.0867	21.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0780	0.1204	28.6
2	Rick Porcello	0.1100	0.0876	27.7
3	Sonny Gray	0.0836	0.1431	26.3
4	Zack Greinke	0.0692	0.1154	25.0
5	Noah Syndergaard	0.0947	0.0712	24.0
6	Shelby Miller	0.0896	0.1500	23.8
7	Edinson Volquez	0.0971	0.1325	22.8
8	Justin Verlander	0.1015	0.0853	22.5
9	Jon Lester	0.0881	0.0691	22.1
10	Tanner Roark	0.0943	0.0772	22.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Roark	0.1079	0.0772	35.5
2	Aaron Sanchez	0.1110	0.0810	32.3
3	Steven Wright	0.1157	0.0884	25.1
4	Rich Hill	0.1040	0.0592	24.4
5	Ervin Santana	0.1124	0.0909	24.2
6	Justin Verlander	0.0996	0.0853	22.8
7	Drew Smyly	0.0881	0.1287	22.0
8	Marco Estrada	0.1135	0.0941	21.9
9	Rick Porcello	0.1013	0.0876	21.8
10	Jon Lester	0.0855	0.0691	21.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0831	0.1204	28.6
2	Sonny Gray	0.0846	0.1431	28.4
3	Aaron Blair	0.1030	0.1821	24.5
4	Zack Greinke	0.0756	0.1154	24.1
5	Shelby Miller	0.0943	0.1500	23.9
6	J.A. Happ	0.1121	0.0867	23.1
7	Edinson Volquez	0.1021	0.1325	22.9
8	Ian Kennedy	0.1213	0.0978	22.1
9	Rich Hill	0.1058	0.0592	22.0
10	Dan Straily	0.1252	0.1010	22.0

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tanner Roark	0.4706	0.2667 (183.4)	0.1944 (190.3)	0.3323 (131.8)	0.2813 (168.6)
Steven Wright	0.5417	0.3077 (160.4)	0.1852 (198.7)	0.2086 (228.8)	0.3182 (151.8)
Rick Porcello	0.6667	0.3077 (328.9)	0.2703 (305.1)	0.3938 (256.9)	0.4667 (185.0)
J.A. Happ	0.6250	0.3462 (230.4)	0.2564 (250.7)	0.3687 (216.6)	0.3462 (228.3)
Aaron Sanchez	0.5000	0.2692 (190.6)	0.1250 (253.9)	0.2144 (238.1)	0.1636 (272.0)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dan Straily	0.1250	0.4118	235.5
2	Luis Perdomo	0.0003	0.2571	177.0
3	Chris Tillman	0.3103	0.5333	167.0
4	Carlos Martinez	0.3462	0.5161	146.0
5	Stephen Strasburg	0.3929	0.6250	145.1
6	Corey Kluber	0.4063	0.5625	143.4
7	Johnny Cueto	0.4194	0.5625	135.4
8	Michael Pineda	0.3750	0.1875	133.8
9	Jon Lester	0.4375	0.5938	132.8
10	Rich Hill	0.3125	0.6000	130.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Martinez	0.1837	0.5161	225.6
2	Rich Hill	0.0833	0.6000	203.3
3	Jon Lester	0.2895	0.5938	199.6
4	Corey Kluber	0.2821	0.5625	195.1
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.2195	0.5161	181.1
6	Johnny Cueto	0.3077	0.5625	177.3
7	Chad Bettis	0.1667	0.4375	176.8
8	José Fernández	0.2593	0.5517	176.1
9	Dan Straily	0.1364	0.4118	175.7
10	Chris Sale	0.2895	0.5313	170.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dan Straily	0.0808	0.4118	274.6
2	Bartolo Colon	0.1633	0.4412	232.3
3	Junior Guerra	0.0499	0.4500	204.6
4	Trevor Bauer	0.1197	0.3429	193.8
5	Danny Duffy	0.0837	0.2857	159.2
6	Drew Pomeranz	0.1493	0.3548	155.6
7	Luis Perdomo	0.0403	0.2571	154.0
8	Johnny Cueto	0.4081	0.5625	149.9
9	Chris Tillman	0.3418	0.5333	148.3
10	Patrick Corbin	0.3604	0.1389	144.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Hendricks	0.2857	0.5161	177.5
2	Michael Pineda	0.4286	0.1875	176.3
3	Tyler Chatwood	0.2000	0.4444	168.8
4	José Fernández	0.3462	0.5517	157.3
5	Patrick Corbin	0.3636	0.1389	152.0
6	Chris Tillman	0.3333	0.5333	148.7
7	Drew Pomeranz	0.1538	0.3548	146.9
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.4167	0.2000	139.5
9	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1515	0.4091	139.4
10	Jason Hammel	0.3077	0.5000	138.5

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Archer	0.5758	0.3125 (236.1)	0.2439 (231.8)	0.3239 (229.6)	0.2727 (272.1)
Rick Porcello	0.1212	0.3462 (187.2)	0.2973 (209.3)	0.3202 (160.8)	0.4000 (232.9)
R.A. Dickey	0.5000	0.3103 (148.7)	0.2632 (129.4)	0.3587 (116.2)	0.3571 (116.4)
James Shields	0.5758	0.3750 (177.0)	0.1842 (273.3)	0.4097 (151.5)	0.3103 (232.2)
J.A. Happ	0.1250	0.3077 (133.8)	0.2308 (131.2)	0.3192 (140.0)	0.3077 (131.8)
Dallas Keuchel	0.4615	0.2581 (152.8)	0.2250 (124.4)	0.2924 (131.4)	0.3000 (125.2)
Christian Friedrich	0.5000	0.0003 (291.6)	0.0976 (194.7)	0.0504 (265.3)	0.0667 (255.4)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Mengden	0.0006	0.6429	218.1
2	Luis Perdomo	0.0006	0.2857	198.4
3	Miguel González	0.0005	0.3333	196.6
4	Aaron Sanchez	0.3077	0.0667	178.9
5	Ross Stripling	0.0009	0.4091	177.1
6	Danny Duffy	0.3000	0.0714	156.4
7	Aaron Blair	0.0005	0.4667	155.7
8	Jake Thompson	0.0005	0.6000	145.5
9	Jimmy Nelson	0.3448	0.5000	137.0
10	Tim Lincecum	0.0005	0.6667	136.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Duffey	0.1290	0.4615	162.9
2	Jerad Eickhoff	0.1667	0.4242	161.0
3	Danny Duffy	0.2308	0.0714	159.7
4	Drew Pomeranz	0.1250	0.3871	142.7
5	Johnny Cueto	0.2564	0.1563	140.3
6	Matt Harvey	0.1892	0.5882	136.7
7	Matt Wisler	0.2222	0.4815	134.3
8	Matt Shoemaker	0.2222	0.4815	133.7
9	Drew Smyly	0.1613	0.4000	132.5
10	Brandon Finnegan	0.1154	0.3548	132.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Shoemaker	0.2080	0.4815	194.9
2	Drew Pomeranz	0.1674	0.3871	167.3
3	Luis Perdomo	0.0571	0.2857	163.5
4	Brandon Finnegan	0.1642	0.3548	153.4
5	Cole Hamels	0.3435	0.1563	143.3
6	Masahiro Tanaka	0.3251	0.1290	143.1
7	Dan Straily	0.0802	0.2353	137.3
8	Johnny Cueto	0.3277	0.1563	134.9
9	Matt Andriese	0.0617	0.2759	122.5
10	Aaron Sanchez	0.2328	0.0667	116.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Pomeranz	0.1538	0.3871	176.0
2	Masahiro Tanaka	0.3600	0.1290	172.2
3	Brandon Finnegan	0.1538	0.3548	160.1
4	Shelby Miller	0.2813	0.6000	154.5
5	Matt Harvey	0.2308	0.5882	150.6
6	Luis Perdomo	0.5263	0.2857	148.0
7	Robbie Ray	0.3000	0.4688	144.2
8	Daniel Mengden	0.2273	0.6429	143.6
9	Bartolo Colon	0.4286	0.2353	139.4
10	Jimmy Nelson	0.3448	0.5000	139.0

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Sam Dyson	0.5205	0.0588 (132.0)	0.0426 (142.6)	0.0385 (137.1)	0.0000 (140.1)
Jeanmar Gómez	0.5286	0.0323 (147.8)	0.0227 (156.9)	0.0400 (144.8)	0.0000 (148.4)
Ryan Madson	0.4762	0.1071 (100.0)	0.0513 (120.7)	0.0523 (114.2)	0.0000 (120.8)
Alex Colomé	0.6491	0.3636 (64.8)	0.0263 (145.8)	0.0431 (136.8)	0.0000 (140.2)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Grilli	0.4444	0.0597	96.2
2	Sean Doolittle	0.6944	0.0909	93.3
3	Edwin Díaz	0.0000	0.3673	80.0
4	David Hernandez	0.2549	0.0143	77.0
5	Jim Johnson	0.0286	0.3077	74.6
6	Ken Giles	0.4675	0.2174	71.1
7	Brandon Kintzler	0.0000	0.3148	70.8
8	AJ Ramos	0.3600	0.5970	66.3
9	Seunghwan Oh	0.0541	0.2500	61.8
10	Tony Cingrani	0.0465	0.2615	58.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeurys Familia	0.2909	0.6538	123.7
2	AJ Ramos	0.1961	0.5970	117.7
3	Jeremy Jeffress	0.0217	0.4576	110.4
4	Roberto Osuna	0.2143	0.5000	88.7
5	Wade Davis	0.1333	0.6000	86.1
6	Edwin Díaz	0.0289	0.3673	78.3
7	Seunghwan Oh	0.0289	0.2500	76.2
8	Zack Britton	0.4130	0.6812	73.8
9	Francisco Rodríguez	0.4565	0.7213	67.5
10	Tony Cingrani	0.0370	0.2615	66.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Hernandez	0.4308	0.0143	134.4
2	Ken Giles	0.5062	0.2174	82.8
3	Edwin Díaz	0.0000	0.3673	79.5
4	Seunghwan Oh	0.0000	0.2500	78.0
5	Jason Grilli	0.3523	0.0597	73.7
6	Jim Johnson	0.0345	0.3077	72.4
7	Brandon Kintzler	0.0000	0.3148	70.3
8	Sean Doolittle	0.5046	0.0909	64.3
9	Aroldis Chapman	0.3255	0.6102	63.0
10	Tony Cingrani	0.0545	0.2615	55.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeurys Familia	0.0000	0.6538	200.6
2	Zack Britton	0.0000	0.6812	165.7
3	Francisco Rodríguez	0.0000	0.7213	162.7
4	Mark Melancon	0.0000	0.6267	161.4
5	Kenley Jansen	0.0000	0.6620	158.9
6	AJ Ramos	0.0000	0.5970	157.9
7	David Robertson	0.0000	0.5968	151.6
8	Roberto Osuna	0.0000	0.5000	135.7
9	Aroldis Chapman	0.0000	0.6102	129.0
10	Cody Allen	0.0000	0.4776	118.5

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kyle Barraclough	0.3867	0.1818 (74.1)	0.0309 (109.6)	0.0000 (101.4)
Joe Blanton	0.3733	0.0690 (107.6)	0.1604 (67.9)	0.0000 (100.2)
David Phelps	0.3906	0.0857 (120.4)	0.2107 (64.2)	0.0000 (118.0)
Felipe Vázquez	0.3467	0.1250 (84.7)	0.1586 (62.3)	0.0000 (95.3)
Addison Reed	0.5000	0.1111 (129.5)	0.2496 (76.9)	0.0000 (135.2)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	0.2000	0.0000	128.6
2	Héctor Neris	0.0800	0.3544	102.2
3	Carlos Martinez	0.1633	0.0000	101.9
4	Neftalí Feliz	0.0556	0.4677	98.0
5	Matt Bush	0.0554	0.3793	87.8
6	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0488	0.2344	84.2
7	Will Harris	0.1489	0.4242	79.7
8	Drew Pomeranz	0.1500	0.0000	79.3
9	Brad Hand	0.0789	0.2561	78.0
10	Shane Greene	0.0606	0.3200	75.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dan Straily	0.1808	0.0000	141.2
2	Trevor Bauer	0.1622	0.0000	129.5
3	Danny Duffy	0.2035	0.0476	112.1
4	Dillon Gee	0.1582	0.0000	85.7
5	Carlos Torres	0.0285	0.2778	85.4
6	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0167	0.2344	83.3
7	Shane Greene	0.0000	0.3200	82.6
8	Matt Bush	0.0554	0.3793	79.3
9	Edwin Jackson	0.2086	0.0000	76.8
10	Jeanmar Gómez	0.2496	0.0143	69.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dellin Betances	0.0000	0.3836	98.1
2	Héctor Neris	0.0000	0.3544	98.1
3	Will Harris	0.0000	0.4242	94.1
4	Nate Jones	0.0000	0.3944	92.9
5	Neftalí Feliz	0.0000	0.4677	89.9
6	Brad Brach	0.0000	0.3380	87.9
7	Kelvin Herrera	0.0000	0.3611	86.5
8	Andrew Miller	0.0000	0.3571	83.0
9	Justin Wilson	0.0000	0.3788	81.2
10	Tyler Clippard	0.0000	0.3623	80.4

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
José Berríos	8.0229	4.4838 (901.7)	4.2664 (929.5)	4.0983 (961.2)	4.1822 (1052.3)
Rick Porcello	3.1480	4.3020 (1321.0)	4.1622 (1301.9)	3.8355 (1060.5)	4.1797 (1003.4)
James Shields	5.8459	3.6178 (1560.0)	3.5880 (1487.2)	3.8549 (1222.3)	3.5386 (1818.0)
Kyle Hendricks	2.1316	3.7073 (1419.9)	3.6585 (1471.8)	3.5992 (1468.8)	3.6075 (1170.8)
Aaron Blair	7.5857	4.4700 (902.5)	4.2664 (930.1)	4.1836 (939.0)	4.0719 (1107.5)
Alfredo Simon	9.3580	4.5042 (1348.0)	4.1573 (1416.1)	4.2788 (1363.4)	4.9143 (1295.7)
Tyler Duffey	6.4286	4.1849 (1140.4)	3.5762 (1432.7)	4.1891 (1034.3)	4.5793 (1045.2)
Chris Devenski	2.1600	5.0800 (1326.1)	4.2664 (1042.4)	4.4856 (1154.5)	5.8731 (1554.0)
Michael Fulmer	3.0566	4.6612 (1251.8)	4.2664 (1073.0)	4.3937 (1191.2)	4.9448 (1283.5)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Roark	4.3667	2.8286	1597.5
2	Aaron Sanchez	4.4626	3.0000	1416.4
3	Steven Wright	4.7875	3.3319	1171.5
4	Aníbal Sánchez	3.8480	5.8696	1129.8
5	Justin Verlander	3.9378	3.0439	1105.4
6	Jon Lester	3.4807	2.4424	1089.4
7	Sonny Gray	3.3510	5.6923	1039.7
8	Rich Hill	4.0892	2.1208	1009.1
9	J.A. Happ	4.1129	3.1846	1001.8
10	Ervin Santana	4.2985	3.3750	937.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	2.8247	4.6208	1141.4
2	Sonny Gray	3.0687	5.6923	1124.5
3	Justin Verlander	3.8351	3.0439	1119.5
4	Shelby Miller	3.3768	6.1485	1068.6
5	Edinson Volquez	3.7287	5.3715	1018.6
6	Noah Syndergaard	3.4964	2.5971	1002.8
7	Jon Lester	3.2495	2.4424	999.5
8	Zack Greinke	2.4723	4.3676	965.0
9	Tanner Roark	3.4966	2.8286	954.7
10	Dan Straily	4.4932	3.7631	933.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Roark	4.1680	2.8286	1576.1
2	Aaron Sanchez	4.4116	3.0000	1513.3
3	Steven Wright	4.5472	3.3319	1127.9
4	Justin Verlander	3.7886	3.0439	1127.6
5	Ervin Santana	4.3582	3.3750	1112.4
6	Rich Hill	4.0523	2.1208	1069.2
7	Marco Estrada	4.3968	3.4773	1029.2
8	Aníbal Sánchez	3.8621	5.8696	1004.3
9	Jon Lester	3.1673	2.4424	978.2
10	J.A. Happ	3.8847	3.1846	958.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	3.1991	5.6923	1239.6
2	Aníbal Sánchez	3.9375	5.8696	1226.7
3	Adam Wainwright	3.1154	4.6208	1194.1
4	Shelby Miller	3.6486	6.1485	1105.9
5	Edinson Volquez	4.0551	5.3715	1041.2
6	Dan Straily	4.9800	3.7631	1039.6
7	Francisco Liriano	3.1924	4.6933	1027.2
8	J.A. Happ	4.3784	3.1846	1026.4
9	Ian Kennedy	4.8013	3.6797	995.7
10	Rich Hill	4.2857	2.1208	992.4

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rick Porcello	1.0090	1.3067 (306.6)	1.2973 (313.2)	1.2408 (279.8)	1.2705 (244.0)
Tim Lincecum	2.3739	1.5492 (155.6)	1.3724 (187.6)	1.4157 (175.1)	1.3690 (198.5)
James Shields	1.5963	1.2585 (239.3)	1.2680 (217.7)	1.2562 (211.7)	1.2118 (305.7)
Kyle Hendricks	0.9789	1.2443 (232.5)	1.1882 (203.3)	1.2205 (241.5)	1.2150 (185.3)
Justin Verlander	1.0015	1.2608 (276.4)	1.2715 (301.2)	1.2376 (287.9)	1.2536 (239.0)
Chris Devenski	0.9138	1.4736 (247.4)	1.3394 (199.6)	1.3589 (215.3)	1.5136 (249.9)
Alfredo Simon	2.0455	1.3777 (185.1)	1.3109 (200.0)	1.3421 (185.0)	1.4197 (182.7)
Michael Fulmer	1.1195	1.3774 (197.1)	1.3394 (183.4)	1.3434 (198.3)	1.4302 (209.2)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	1.4135	1.1667	231.9
2	Julio Teheran	1.2903	1.0532	215.2
3	John Lackey	1.2857	1.0566	206.3
4	Jeremy Hellickson	1.3636	1.1534	198.4
5	Clayton Kershaw	1.0302	0.7248	191.5
6	Jon Lester	1.2018	1.0164	184.8
7	Danny Duffy	1.3451	1.1410	183.4
8	Jerad Eickhoff	1.3329	1.1605	177.7
9	Tanner Roark	1.3210	1.1714	167.8
10	J.A. Happ	1.3263	1.1692	162.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	1.1147	1.4044	191.5
2	Jeremy Hellickson	1.3372	1.1534	190.9
3	Kenta Maeda	1.3394	1.1385	189.3
4	Ricky Nolasco	1.4037	1.2445	182.0
5	John Lackey	1.2357	1.0566	181.5
6	Julio Teheran	1.2259	1.0532	179.1
7	Patrick Corbin	1.2440	1.5610	177.7
8	Jon Lester	1.1707	1.0164	173.3
9	Jorge De La Rosa	1.3049	1.6418	167.8
10	Dan Straily	1.3313	1.1864	165.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Sanchez	1.4760	1.1667	309.6
2	Julio Teheran	1.2450	1.0532	208.0
3	Patrick Corbin	1.1922	1.5610	200.6
4	Rich Hill	1.3471	0.9970	190.0
5	Marco Estrada	1.2990	1.1193	189.6
6	Tanner Roark	1.2987	1.1714	179.4
7	John Lackey	1.2001	1.0566	169.1
8	Clayton Kershaw	0.9442	0.7248	164.3
9	Sean Manaea	1.3762	1.1889	160.3
10	Jerad Eickhoff	1.2744	1.1605	159.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Patrick Corbin	1.2280	1.5610	224.6
2	Adam Wainwright	1.1410	1.4044	212.3
3	Rich Hill	1.4405	0.9970	200.2
4	Aaron Sanchez	1.4074	1.1667	200.2
5	Shelby Miller	1.2757	1.6733	177.1
6	Francisco Liriano	1.2325	1.4847	175.1
7	Jerad Eickhoff	1.3624	1.1605	174.0
8	Hisashi Iwakuma	1.1106	1.3266	170.0
9	José Berríos	1.2916	1.8686	158.6
10	Dan Straily	1.3733	1.1864	158.0