2015 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bryant	1	650	649.0
2	Odúbel Herrera	1	537	536.0
3	Anthony Gose	1	535	534.0
4	Addison Russell	1	523	522.0
5	Delino DeShields	1	492	491.0
6	Mark Canha	1	485	484.0
7	Eddie Rosario	1	474	473.0
8	Jung Ho Kang	1	467	466.0
9	Francisco Lindor	1	438	437.0
10	Carlos Correa	1	432	431.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Duffy	100	612	512.5
2	Addison Russell	33	523	489.8
3	Billy Burns	101	555	454.0
4	Desmond Jennings	555	108	446.6
5	Carlos Correa	1	432	431.0
6	Devin Mesoraco	469	51	418.0
7	Oswaldo Arcia	476	65	410.6
8	J.T. Realmuto	62	467	405.1
9	Arismendy Alcántara	428	32	395.8
10	Michael Saunders	431	36	394.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Arismendy Alcántara	645	32	613.0
2	Jorge Polanco	596	12	584.0
3	Javier Báez	650	80	570.0
4	Brandon Drury	625	59	566.0
5	Kyle Waldrop	563	1	562.0
6	Matt Duffy	567	9	558.0
7	Michael Choice	559	1	558.0
8	Christian Walker	569	12	557.0
9	Sócrates Brito	585	34	551.0
10	Robbie Grossman	604	54	550.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Joey Votto	0.4325	0.3876 (31.3)	0.3806 (29.6)	0.3883 (27.7)
Nelson Cruz	0.4000	0.3499 (32.9)	0.3291 (40.3)	0.3303 (42.8)
Logan Forsythe	0.3507	0.2917 (36.3)	0.2844 (35.0)	0.2847 (37.9)
Victor Martinez	0.2928	0.3690 (36.9)	0.3717 (42.9)	0.3601 (34.7)
Bryce Harper	0.4663	0.3439 (80.2)	0.3653 (60.0)	0.3690 (60.8)
Lorenzo Cain	0.3624	0.3095 (32.0)	0.3003 (31.8)	0.3081 (30.2)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.3166	0.3700	38.2
2	Mike Moustakas	0.2895	0.3515	38.1
3	Josh Donaldson	0.3475	0.3965	34.9
4	Nolan Arenado	0.3254	0.3773	34.6
5	Kris Bryant	0.3185	0.3708	34.0
6	René Rivera	0.3136	0.2118	32.4
7	Kendrys Morales	0.3158	0.3659	32.0
8	Paul Goldschmidt	0.3834	0.4282	31.2
9	Chris Colabello	0.2948	0.3809	31.0
10	David Peralta	0.3213	0.3810	30.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Correa	0.2556	0.3666	43.9
2	AJ Pollock	0.3041	0.3708	38.6
3	Pablo Sandoval	0.3489	0.2880	35.5
4	Wilson Ramos	0.3242	0.2663	33.9
5	Alex Rodriguez	0.3007	0.3636	33.2
6	Troy Tulowitzki	0.3899	0.3380	32.7
7	Omar Infante	0.2981	0.2365	32.3
8	Odúbel Herrera	0.2619	0.3302	31.7
9	Adam LaRoche	0.3379	0.2831	31.1
10	Francisco Lindor	0.2683	0.3471	30.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Troy Tulowitzki	0.4025	0.3380	36.8
2	Chris Owings	0.3099	0.2538	33.4
3	Adam LaRoche	0.3452	0.2831	32.2
4	Wilson Ramos	0.3254	0.2663	32.0
5	Josh Donaldson	0.3484	0.3965	31.1
6	Alex Rodriguez	0.3122	0.3636	29.2
7	Carlos Correa	0.2956	0.3666	28.8
8	Andrés Blanco	0.2545	0.3674	28.3
9	Joe Panik	0.2907	0.3601	28.1
10	Mike Moustakas	0.3017	0.3515	27.9

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brett Lawrie	0.2392	0.1701 (38.8)	0.1557 (45.9)	0.1667 (42.6)
Josh Reddick	0.1117	0.1933 (50.2)	0.1847 (46.7)	0.1976 (51.1)
Daniel Murphy	0.0706	0.1443 (42.2)	0.1371 (39.6)	0.1291 (32.4)
Matt Carpenter	0.2271	0.1603 (41.3)	0.1581 (41.0)	0.1556 (46.3)
Xander Bogaerts	0.1544	0.2250 (49.2)	0.2064 (38.7)	0.2142 (40.3)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bryant	0.1987	0.3062	66.8
2	Kevin Pillar	0.2202	0.1354	56.2
3	Steven Souza Jr.	0.2074	0.3380	53.7
4	Miguel Sanó	0.1987	0.3552	50.9
5	Joc Pederson	0.2115	0.2906	43.6
6	Addison Russell	0.1987	0.2849	42.7
7	Jose Iglesias	0.1803	0.0969	40.0
8	Michael A. Taylor	0.2281	0.3092	39.1
9	Anthony Gose	0.1987	0.2710	36.2
10	Buster Posey	0.1363	0.0835	35.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Steven Souza Jr.	0.2343	0.3380	41.1
2	A.J. Pierzynski	0.1668	0.0849	38.9
3	Stephen Drew	0.2444	0.1659	36.7
4	Chris Owings	0.1878	0.2609	36.3
5	Lorenzo Cain	0.2135	0.1623	35.3
6	Randal Grichuk	0.2082	0.3143	34.6
7	Starling Marte	0.2389	0.1943	32.8
8	Jorge Soler	0.2119	0.2995	32.5
9	Addison Russell	0.2173	0.2849	31.6
10	Brandon Phillips	0.1517	0.1091	31.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jung Ho Kang	0.3048	0.2120	44.2
2	Chris Owings	0.1873	0.2609	39.6
3	Stephen Drew	0.2565	0.1659	39.6
4	George Springer	0.3245	0.2417	38.2
5	Anthony Rizzo	0.1997	0.1498	36.3
6	Aaron Hicks	0.2580	0.1692	35.3
7	Ian Desmond	0.2358	0.2917	34.7
8	Randal Grichuk	0.2142	0.3143	34.4
9	Nick Castellanos	0.1965	0.2555	34.0
10	Troy Tulowitzki	0.1488	0.2135	33.6

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Alex Rodriguez	0.1355	0.0948 (25.7)	0.0891 (26.9)	0.0983 (21.5)
Stephen Vogt	0.1096	0.0646 (23.4)	0.0638 (21.9)	0.0625 (22.8)
Manny Machado	0.0982	0.0517 (33.7)	0.0584 (26.2)	0.0494 (33.0)
Miguel Sanó	0.1582	0.0782 (27.1)	0.0760 (26.6)	0.0799 (25.4)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1698	0.1206 (34.7)	0.1285 (26.7)	0.1311 (25.1)
Miguel Cabrera	0.1507	0.1013 (25.6)	0.1067 (21.0)	0.1050 (22.0)
Ryan Howard	0.0537	0.0901 (17.9)	0.0945 (22.0)	0.0913 (20.2)
Ryan Goins	0.0911	0.0481 (18.7)	0.0445 (18.7)	0.0448 (18.7)
Jean Segura	0.0223	0.0542 (18.2)	0.0511 (18.6)	0.0492 (17.2)
Troy Tulowitzki	0.0712	0.1101 (20.4)	0.1094 (22.0)	0.1072 (20.6)
Bryce Harper	0.1896	0.0994 (59.5)	0.1109 (49.6)	0.1127 (48.6)
Joc Pederson	0.1573	0.1013 (33.2)	0.1035 (29.8)	0.1099 (26.2)
Derek Norris	0.0628	0.1087 (25.1)	0.1089 (27.3)	0.1214 (34.1)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.1679	0.2058	26.8
2	Kris Bryant	0.0782	0.1185	26.7
3	Eddie Rosario	0.0782	0.0316	21.7
4	Andrew McCutchen	0.1134	0.1431	20.9
5	José Bautista	0.1347	0.1652	20.8
6	Chris Davis	0.0962	0.1254	20.0
7	Yangervis Solarte	0.0936	0.0595	19.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.0949	0.0584	26.3
2	Joey Votto	0.1695	0.2058	23.2
3	Prince Fielder	0.1217	0.0924	22.4
4	Matt Kemp	0.0907	0.0602	21.7
5	Hanley Ramirez	0.0956	0.0488	21.4
6	Xander Bogaerts	0.0735	0.0489	18.0
7	Chase Headley	0.1041	0.0794	17.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.0962	0.0584	27.0
2	David Peralta	0.0415	0.0851	21.2
3	Hanley Ramirez	0.0929	0.0488	20.1
4	Prince Fielder	0.1182	0.0924	19.7
5	Billy Burns	0.0790	0.0468	19.3
6	Matt Kemp	0.0870	0.0602	19.0
7	Marcus Semien	0.0976	0.0699	18.2

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rougned Odor	0.0298	0.0117 (8.4)	0.0110 (8.7)	0.0134 (7.6)
Evan Gattis	0.0050	0.0137 (5.4)	0.0130 (5.0)	0.0169 (7.3)
Khris Davis	0.0023	0.0183 (7.1)	0.0160 (6.2)	0.0187 (7.3)
Justin Turner	0.0296	0.0105 (8.3)	0.0110 (8.0)	0.0157 (6.1)
Jason Kipnis	0.0140	0.0055 (5.4)	0.0060 (5.0)	0.0048 (5.9)
Logan Forsythe	0.0228	0.0127 (6.1)	0.0110 (7.1)	0.0140 (5.3)
Jung Ho Kang	0.0364	0.0089 (12.7)	0.0070 (13.6)	0.0159 (9.5)
Alex Gordon	0.0332	0.0119 (8.9)	0.0110 (9.2)	0.0121 (8.9)
Anthony Rizzo	0.0428	0.0153 (19.1)	0.0130 (20.7)	0.0154 (19.2)
Brian McCann	0.0206	0.0099 (5.6)	0.0090 (6.0)	0.0102 (5.5)
Mike Moustakas	0.0212	0.0079 (8.0)	0.0090 (7.3)	0.0088 (7.5)
Kolten Wong	0.0245	0.0092 (9.2)	0.0080 (9.9)	0.0072 (10.5)
David Freese	0.0255	0.0119 (6.3)	0.0120 (6.2)	0.0138 (5.5)
Brandon Guyer	0.0623	0.0231 (15.0)	0.0210 (15.8)	0.0298 (12.5)
Lorenzo Cain	0.0199	0.0081 (7.0)	0.0090 (6.4)	0.0094 (6.2)
Brandon Crawford	0.0196	0.0056 (7.8)	0.0070 (6.9)	0.0056 (7.8)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aramis Ramirez	0.0204	0.0097	5.7
2	Adam Eaton	0.0119	0.0203	5.6
3	Lucas Duda	0.0149	0.0253	5.6
4	Didi Gregorius	0.0100	0.0190	5.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Duda	0.0120	0.0253	7.2
2	José Abreu	0.0120	0.0225	6.8
3	Derek Dietrich	0.0240	0.0450	6.0
4	Jon Jay	0.0240	0.0449	5.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aramis Ramirez	0.0235	0.0097	7.2
2	Francisco Cervelli	0.0284	0.0157	6.6
3	Odúbel Herrera	0.0035	0.0149	6.0
4	Victor Martinez	0.0038	0.0144	5.1

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kris Bryant	0.0712	0.0398 (18.7)	0.0898 (14.4)	0.0932 (16.5)
Nelson Cruz	0.1030	0.0700 (19.9)	0.0662 (21.7)	0.0692 (20.0)
Bryce Harper	0.1066	0.0510 (34.6)	0.0616 (27.0)	0.0683 (22.9)
Alex Rodriguez	0.0857	0.0493 (20.9)	0.0426 (24.4)	0.0570 (15.7)
Manny Machado	0.0663	0.0338 (21.2)	0.0388 (17.0)	0.0372 (18.4)
Nolan Arenado	0.0812	0.0354 (28.7)	0.0419 (23.7)	0.0346 (28.8)
J.D. Martinez	0.0903	0.0489 (25.4)	0.0560 (20.1)	0.0574 (19.4)
Matt Carpenter	0.0656	0.0223 (27.0)	0.0217 (26.7)	0.0197 (28.3)
Justin Bour	0.0744	0.0294 (18.9)	0.0384 (14.4)	0.0333 (16.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joc Pederson	0.0325	0.0828	27.9
2	Miguel Sanó	0.0398	0.1111	23.0
3	Josh Donaldson	0.0509	0.0822	20.3
4	Chris Davis	0.0952	0.1270	19.5
5	Mike Trout	0.0676	0.0972	18.3
6	Delino DeShields	0.0398	0.0060	18.0
7	Mark Teixeira	0.0581	0.0994	17.8
8	Carlos González	0.0618	0.0935	17.6
9	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0883	0.1444	17.0
10	Khris Davis	0.0580	0.0989	16.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Correa	0.0185	0.0703	20.8
2	Xander Bogaerts	0.0412	0.0135	20.5
3	Chris Davis	0.0944	0.1270	19.4
4	José Abreu	0.0875	0.0633	18.6
5	Franklin Gutierrez	0.0314	0.1271	17.4
6	Brandon Moss	0.0878	0.0586	17.3
7	Brandon Crawford	0.0215	0.0536	15.9
8	Luis Valbuena	0.0396	0.0755	15.9
9	Mike Trout	0.0708	0.0972	15.5
10	Mark Teixeira	0.0636	0.0994	14.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chase Headley	0.0559	0.0245	22.3
2	Adam LaRoche	0.0801	0.0403	20.9
3	Carlos Correa	0.0199	0.0703	20.3
4	George Springer	0.0970	0.0563	19.8
5	Brandon Moss	0.0915	0.0586	19.0
6	Delino DeShields	0.0398	0.0060	18.3
7	Franklin Gutierrez	0.0393	0.1271	16.0
8	Luis Valbuena	0.0418	0.0755	15.0
9	Xander Bogaerts	0.0329	0.0135	14.8
10	Brandon Crawford	0.0242	0.0536	14.6

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3785	0.3210 (38.5)	0.3025 (44.0)	0.3364 (27.5)
Torii Hunter	0.2581	0.3325 (41.4)	0.3291 (45.1)	0.3102 (29.5)
Chris Colabello	0.4107	0.2921 (43.2)	0.3028 (35.8)	0.2899 (43.5)
Nelson Cruz	0.3499	0.2957 (36.4)	0.2816 (39.1)	0.2821 (44.4)
Jason Kipnis	0.3529	0.3040 (32.2)	0.2951 (31.6)	0.3021 (32.5)
Miguel Sanó	0.3958	0.2993 (32.8)	0.2829 (34.9)	0.2877 (36.2)
Stephen Drew	0.1987	0.2727 (31.1)	0.2709 (34.6)	0.2647 (28.3)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.3811	0.3396 (29.7)	0.3238 (33.8)	0.3353 (31.8)
Albert Pujols	0.2170	0.2706 (34.5)	0.2674 (39.0)	0.2701 (35.1)
Bryce Harper	0.3693	0.3154 (36.1)	0.3177 (28.2)	0.3233 (30.0)
Xander Bogaerts	0.3699	0.2951 (49.8)	0.3016 (39.1)	0.3155 (35.5)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Bryant	0.2993	0.3776	51.8
2	Odúbel Herrera	0.2993	0.3819	45.1
3	Yunel Escobar	0.2778	0.3464	41.4
4	Jayson Werth	0.3388	0.2531	31.9
5	Nick Hundley	0.2766	0.3559	31.4
6	Jimmy Paredes	0.2952	0.3689	28.8
7	David Peralta	0.3139	0.3681	28.7
8	Nick Markakis	0.2975	0.3378	28.6
9	Ian Kinsler	0.2827	0.3234	28.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Odúbel Herrera	0.2853	0.3819	47.2
2	Carlos González	0.3338	0.2835	35.8
3	Billy Burns	0.2681	0.3387	34.4
4	Hanley Ramirez	0.3259	0.2571	33.3
5	Randal Grichuk	0.2626	0.3655	33.0
6	Jayson Werth	0.3300	0.2531	32.3
7	Kris Bryant	0.3207	0.3776	31.4
8	Victor Martinez	0.3083	0.2526	31.2
9	David Peralta	0.2996	0.3681	31.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jay Bruce	0.3094	0.2512	37.8
2	Yunel Escobar	0.2847	0.3464	36.4
3	Joc Pederson	0.3121	0.2604	30.3
4	Billy Hamilton	0.3228	0.2572	29.8
5	Billy Burns	0.2861	0.3387	29.1
6	Logan Forsythe	0.2759	0.3230	28.9
7	Nick Markakis	0.2962	0.3378	28.4
8	Randal Grichuk	0.2861	0.3655	27.8
9	Miguel Cabrera	0.3296	0.3837	27.6

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3183	0.2568 (41.6)	0.2430 (46.7)	0.2723 (30.6)
Chris Colabello	0.3214	0.2178 (38.1)	0.2283 (32.2)	0.2085 (41.0)
Nelson Cruz	0.2898	0.2151 (50.5)	0.2061 (52.4)	0.2103 (52.7)
Yunel Escobar	0.2898	0.2222 (41.3)	0.2399 (27.2)	0.2323 (34.5)
José Bautista	0.1580	0.2059 (30.4)	0.1974 (28.7)	0.2037 (29.8)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.2788	0.2296 (35.8)	0.2251 (34.7)	0.2254 (37.7)
Brandon Phillips	0.2734	0.2286 (29.4)	0.2232 (28.9)	0.2245 (31.1)
Freddy Galvis	0.2630	0.1884 (46.4)	0.1904 (41.5)	0.1871 (46.4)
Jay Bruce	0.1579	0.2012 (26.6)	0.2065 (34.0)	0.2210 (40.4)
Todd Frazier	0.1736	0.2237 (32.4)	0.2110 (27.9)	0.2191 (30.2)
Xander Bogaerts	0.2955	0.2235 (48.6)	0.2267 (42.5)	0.2330 (41.5)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Odúbel Herrera	0.2242	0.2912	37.2
2	Kris Bryant	0.2242	0.2714	32.1
3	DJ LeMahieu	0.2538	0.3026	31.7
4	Billy Burns	0.2222	0.2769	31.6
5	Cameron Maybin	0.2140	0.2645	29.3
6	Torii Hunter	0.2563	0.2030	29.0
7	Jayson Werth	0.2568	0.1826	27.2
8	Aramis Ramirez	0.2269	0.1722	27.1
9	Ian Kinsler	0.2079	0.2454	26.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Torii Hunter	0.2554	0.2030	31.9
2	Billy Burns	0.2164	0.2769	31.5
3	Odúbel Herrera	0.2292	0.2912	31.3
4	Omar Infante	0.2376	0.1733	30.9
5	Francisco Cervelli	0.2328	0.2930	28.8
6	Brian Dozier	0.2032	0.1674	27.8
7	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2359	0.1686	27.7
8	Jorge Soler	0.2112	0.2815	26.9
9	David Ortiz	0.2126	0.1728	26.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge Soler	0.1798	0.2815	41.5
2	Prince Fielder	0.2211	0.2682	33.3
3	Aramis Ramirez	0.2364	0.1722	32.7
4	Francisco Cervelli	0.2313	0.2930	31.9
5	Joc Pederson	0.2452	0.1910	31.2
6	Miguel Cabrera	0.2405	0.2961	28.9
7	Joey Votto	0.2388	0.2794	28.8
8	Yasmany Tomás	0.2137	0.2778	27.7
9	Daniel Murphy	0.2412	0.1898	27.2

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Evan Gattis	0.0471	0.0729 (15.9)	0.0681 (14.8)	0.0749 (17.7)
Bryce Harper	0.1080	0.0604 (30.7)	0.0698 (22.7)	0.0633 (28.3)
Hanley Ramirez	0.0381	0.0841 (20.0)	0.0844 (21.4)	0.0931 (24.2)
Freddy Galvis	0.0304	0.0580 (16.9)	0.0562 (17.7)	0.0680 (23.5)
Albert Pujols	0.0446	0.0734 (19.4)	0.0646 (15.5)	0.0763 (21.8)
Todd Frazier	0.0945	0.0643 (20.1)	0.0656 (17.3)	0.0655 (18.7)
Matt Carpenter	0.1103	0.0822 (18.3)	0.0769 (19.9)	0.0783 (20.3)
Lucas Duda	0.1068	0.0692 (20.5)	0.0693 (18.9)	0.0756 (16.5)
Brandon Crawford	0.0889	0.0618 (14.9)	0.0556 (16.8)	0.0606 (15.1)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jhonny Peralta	0.0842	0.0569	17.8
2	Randal Grichuk	0.0667	0.1168	17.3
3	Jason Kipnis	0.0667	0.0937	17.0
4	Miguel Sanó	0.0674	0.1181	16.8
5	Logan Forsythe	0.0513	0.0789	16.7
6	Billy Hamilton	0.0584	0.0231	16.2
7	Francisco Cervelli	0.0785	0.0479	15.9
8	Kris Bryant	0.0674	0.0914	15.3
9	Gregory Polanco	0.0512	0.0751	15.2
10	Yoenis Cespedes	0.0687	0.0909	14.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Randal Grichuk	0.0631	0.1168	17.6
2	Odúbel Herrera	0.0474	0.0824	16.9
3	Logan Morrison	0.0697	0.0414	16.2
4	Brandon Phillips	0.0592	0.0371	15.9
5	Alcides Escobar	0.0562	0.0364	15.4
6	Michael Conforto	0.0271	0.1094	15.3
7	Andrés Blanco	0.0571	0.1189	15.2
8	Michael Brantley	0.0676	0.0962	15.0
9	Ichiro Suzuki	0.0436	0.0141	14.4
10	Miguel Sanó	0.0716	0.1181	14.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Odúbel Herrera	0.0425	0.0824	20.7
2	Andrés Blanco	0.0518	0.1189	17.2
3	Jason Kipnis	0.0656	0.0937	17.1
4	Michael A. Taylor	0.0811	0.0495	16.8
5	Logan Forsythe	0.0517	0.0789	15.9
6	Jhonny Peralta	0.0803	0.0569	15.9
7	Yoenis Cespedes	0.0665	0.0909	15.6
8	Kole Calhoun	0.0723	0.0516	15.2
9	Billy Hamilton	0.0542	0.0231	14.7
10	Ryan Howard	0.0630	0.0935	14.7

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Eddie Rosario	0.0457	0.0076 (17.9)	0.0107 (16.0)	0.0090 (17.6)
Evan Gattis	0.0259	0.0035 (13.3)	0.0041 (12.3)	0.0037 (13.6)
Marcell Ozuna	0.0000	0.0137 (7.0)	0.0108 (6.0)	0.0145 (7.0)
Michael Bourn	0.0061	0.0208 (7.3)	0.0167 (5.8)	0.0223 (7.6)
Charlie Blackmon	0.0182	0.0074 (7.2)	0.0074 (6.5)	0.0095 (6.2)
Rajai Davis	0.0421	0.0057 (13.3)	0.0065 (12.7)	0.0061 (13.5)
Starling Marte	0.0045	0.0201 (10.1)	0.0164 (8.3)	0.0250 (12.7)
Delino DeShields	0.0300	0.0076 (10.8)	0.0082 (10.1)	0.0076 (11.2)
Randal Grichuk	0.0355	0.0111 (8.4)	0.0076 (9.3)	0.0120 (8.4)
Brett Gardner	0.0070	0.0180 (7.5)	0.0148 (6.0)	0.0208 (8.8)
Billy Burns	0.0206	0.0069 (7.4)	0.0070 (6.8)	0.0107 (5.7)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Gose	0.0076	0.0237	8.4
2	Mookie Betts	0.0045	0.0158	7.2
3	Bryce Harper	0.0134	0.0028	7.2
4	Tommy Pham	0.0072	0.0463	6.7
5	Carlos Gómez	0.0159	0.0031	6.3
6	Paulo Orlando	0.0076	0.0326	6.2
7	Josh Harrison	0.0161	0.0029	6.1
8	Jason Kipnis	0.0053	0.0153	6.1
9	Abraham Almonte	0.0046	0.0278	5.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Kipnis	0.0048	0.0153	5.9
2	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0175	0.0297	5.8
3	David Peralta	0.0164	0.0290	5.8
4	Alejandro De Aza	0.0123	0.0294	5.8
5	Kris Bryant	0.0047	0.0147	5.6
6	Aaron Altherr	0.0064	0.0426	5.6
7	Bryce Harper	0.0099	0.0028	5.5
8	Mookie Betts	0.0061	0.0158	5.5
9	Tommy Pham	0.0138	0.0463	5.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	AJ Pollock	0.0240	0.0118	7.9
2	James McCann	0.0000	0.0162	7.0
3	Josh Harrison	0.0184	0.0029	6.8
4	Andre Ethier	0.0093	0.0227	6.1
5	Carlos Gómez	0.0161	0.0031	6.0
6	Didi Gregorius	0.0152	0.0045	5.9
7	Cameron Maybin	0.0159	0.0050	5.8
8	Carlos González	0.0150	0.0052	5.8
9	Christian Yelich	0.0167	0.0054	5.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Bourn	0.0809	0.1253 (21.6)	0.1132 (19.1)	0.1235 (19.5)
DJ LeMahieu	0.1371	0.1040 (20.2)	0.0923 (23.3)	0.0960 (26.8)
Delino DeShields	0.1687	0.1145 (26.4)	0.0987 (30.9)	0.1145 (27.7)
Josh Donaldson	0.1716	0.1291 (29.9)	0.1312 (23.6)	0.1293 (31.6)
Bryce Harper	0.1804	0.1317 (31.5)	0.1320 (26.9)	0.1332 (32.3)
Lorenzo Cain	0.1672	0.1131 (32.4)	0.1069 (32.1)	0.1094 (36.2)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.0992	0.1416	27.6
2	AJ Pollock	0.1269	0.1649	25.3
3	Yadier Molina	0.1104	0.0642	24.7
4	Danny Valencia	0.0924	0.1561	23.9
5	Eric Hosmer	0.1107	0.1469	23.9
6	Russell Martin	0.1029	0.1499	23.6
7	Nolan Arenado	0.1102	0.1459	23.4
8	Chris Colabello	0.0892	0.1528	22.7
9	Kole Calhoun	0.1457	0.1137	22.3
10	Yunel Escobar	0.0891	0.1269	22.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	AJ Pollock	0.1046	0.1649	35.7
2	Victor Martinez	0.1299	0.0804	27.5
3	Nick Castellanos	0.1061	0.0706	25.5
4	Kyle Schwarber	0.0940	0.1905	24.4
5	Brandon Moss	0.1284	0.0894	24.3
6	Yadier Molina	0.1021	0.0642	23.9
7	Grégor Blanco	0.0880	0.1586	23.6
8	Pablo Sandoval	0.1245	0.0851	23.5
9	Adam LaRoche	0.1206	0.0847	20.9
10	Matt Duffy	0.0848	0.1258	20.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nolan Arenado	0.1039	0.1459	29.4
2	Russell Martin	0.1038	0.1499	24.5
3	Danny Valencia	0.0960	0.1561	23.5
4	J.D. Martinez	0.1082	0.1416	23.4
5	Yunel Escobar	0.0906	0.1269	22.7
6	Dexter Fowler	0.1179	0.1478	22.2
7	Kole Calhoun	0.1478	0.1137	21.9
8	Jedd Gyorko	0.1234	0.0742	21.5
9	Melky Cabrera	0.1355	0.1025	21.0
10	Ángel Pagán	0.1398	0.0998	20.9

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kendrys Morales	0.1659	0.1190 (29.3)	0.1221 (26.2)	0.1328 (22.5)
Nolan Arenado	0.1955	0.1142 (53.4)	0.1326 (40.0)	0.1180 (53.0)
Josh Donaldson	0.1730	0.1324 (28.2)	0.1400 (21.5)	0.1435 (22.5)
Justin Bour	0.1637	0.1107 (23.2)	0.1087 (23.3)	0.1166 (21.9)
Brandon Crawford	0.1497	0.1019 (26.3)	0.0892 (32.4)	0.1128 (21.9)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.0994	0.1514	33.4
2	Anthony Gose	0.1091	0.0486	32.9
3	Kris Bryant	0.1091	0.1523	27.5
4	Justin Smoak	0.1000	0.1799	25.9
5	Shin-Soo Choo	0.0851	0.1256	25.8
6	Starling Marte	0.0879	0.1280	24.8
7	David Peralta	0.1037	0.1509	23.9
8	Xander Bogaerts	0.0865	0.1239	23.8
9	Mitch Moreland	0.1195	0.1650	23.0
10	Danny Valencia	0.1148	0.1746	22.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Correa	0.0826	0.1574	31.1
2	Matt Carpenter	0.0833	0.1263	26.8
3	Matt Duffy	0.0832	0.1258	24.4
4	Pablo Sandoval	0.1382	0.0931	24.2
5	Marcus Semien	0.1114	0.0749	23.6
6	Anthony Gose	0.0894	0.0486	23.3
7	Daniel Murphy	0.0897	0.1357	23.3
8	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1272	0.1872	22.3
9	Mitch Moreland	0.1193	0.1650	22.2
10	Danny Valencia	0.1139	0.1746	21.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Trumbo	0.1780	0.1174	31.9
2	Shin-Soo Choo	0.0821	0.1256	29.7
3	Bryce Harper	0.1107	0.1514	28.0
4	Adam LaRoche	0.1498	0.0909	27.5
5	George Springer	0.1501	0.0909	25.7
6	Xander Bogaerts	0.0873	0.1239	25.3
7	Gregory Polanco	0.1193	0.0798	24.4
8	Marcell Ozuna	0.1402	0.0891	24.2
9	Carlos Correa	0.1044	0.1574	23.8
10	Pablo Sandoval	0.1412	0.0931	23.2

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ryan Braun	0.1633	0.1016 (39.9)	0.0790 (54.4)	0.1069 (40.7)
Justin Upton	0.1242	0.0658 (41.5)	0.0492 (53.6)	0.0723 (41.7)
Anthony Rizzo	0.0854	0.0397 (38.0)	0.0367 (42.2)	0.0357 (45.6)
Manny Machado	0.1058	0.0381 (54.4)	0.0444 (52.0)	0.0397 (58.1)
Charlie Blackmon	0.2416	0.1324 (80.3)	0.1375 (78.9)	0.1387 (80.6)
Brandon Phillips	0.1345	0.0492 (58.5)	0.0329 (70.5)	0.0444 (65.7)
Carlos González	0.0154	0.1196 (58.2)	0.0880 (37.1)	0.1287 (59.6)
AJ Pollock	0.2143	0.1183 (70.3)	0.1264 (66.9)	0.1630 (44.8)
Billy Hamilton	0.5327	0.3471 (88.1)	0.4369 (48.7)	0.4091 (63.1)
Jake Marisnick	0.3200	0.1282 (74.5)	0.1668 (61.3)	0.1721 (60.7)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Pillar	0.0492	0.1656	78.4
2	Delino DeShields	0.0572	0.1880	68.5
3	Anthony Gose	0.0572	0.1716	65.8
4	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0674	0.1607	54.5
5	César Hernández	0.0405	0.1496	53.1
6	Mike Trout	0.1421	0.0564	52.6
7	Jason Kipnis	0.1528	0.0674	49.3
8	Michael A. Taylor	0.0577	0.1416	47.2
9	Alcides Escobar	0.1752	0.1043	41.3
10	Carlos Correa	0.0572	0.1346	37.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joc Pederson	0.1284	0.0256	53.3
2	Jason Heyward	0.0807	0.1369	41.3
3	Cameron Maybin	0.0976	0.1523	36.8
4	Ezequiel Carrera	0.2354	0.0408	35.1
5	Jimmy Paredes	0.1475	0.0444	35.1
6	José Reyes	0.1382	0.1935	34.7
7	Billy Burns	0.2434	0.1699	34.4
8	Kevin Kiermaier	0.1090	0.1607	33.8
9	Addison Russell	0.1099	0.0342	33.6
10	Jace Peterson	0.1470	0.0795	33.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Delino DeShields	0.0572	0.1880	71.9
2	Jace Peterson	0.1967	0.0795	60.9
3	Joc Pederson	0.1389	0.0256	57.3
4	Jimmy Paredes	0.2039	0.0444	55.3
5	Billy Burns	0.2754	0.1699	50.0
6	Jason Kipnis	0.1553	0.0674	46.5
7	Alcides Escobar	0.1849	0.1043	43.2
8	Jason Heyward	0.0870	0.1369	39.8
9	Ezequiel Carrera	0.2632	0.0408	39.7
10	Ben Revere	0.2426	0.1685	37.3

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3333	0.2680 (43.9)	0.2557 (47.3)	0.2814 (33.3)
Torii Hunter	0.2399	0.2926 (28.7)	0.2850 (28.4)	0.2787 (22.6)
Chris Colabello	0.3213	0.2305 (33.4)	0.2460 (25.3)	0.2298 (32.6)
Nelson Cruz	0.3017	0.2654 (25.1)	0.2497 (30.7)	0.2496 (33.5)
Jason Kipnis	0.3027	0.2593 (29.0)	0.2525 (28.8)	0.2563 (29.0)
Logan Forsythe	0.2815	0.2394 (27.1)	0.2321 (27.2)	0.2240 (34.7)
Bryce Harper	0.3301	0.2689 (41.3)	0.2787 (30.3)	0.2800 (32.1)
Victor Martinez	0.2455	0.3072 (29.0)	0.3082 (32.9)	0.3033 (28.6)
Francisco Lindor	0.3128	0.2581 (24.8)	0.2341 (32.2)	0.2441 (29.7)
Matt Duffy	0.2949	0.2535 (26.6)	0.2478 (25.8)	0.2478 (28.2)
Billy Burns	0.2942	0.2527 (24.1)	0.2281 (33.9)	0.2338 (33.0)
Xander Bogaerts	0.3197	0.2431 (51.4)	0.2596 (36.0)	0.2628 (36.6)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yunel Escobar	0.2549	0.3140	36.1
2	Mike Moustakas	0.2306	0.2842	34.1
3	AJ Pollock	0.2722	0.3153	30.3
4	Nick Hundley	0.2284	0.3005	28.8
5	Jayson Werth	0.2931	0.2205	26.7
6	Chase Utley	0.2693	0.2118	23.5
7	Kendrys Morales	0.2553	0.2900	23.4
8	René Rivera	0.2530	0.1779	23.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	AJ Pollock	0.2604	0.3153	33.5
2	Odúbel Herrera	0.2395	0.2970	28.1
3	Jayson Werth	0.2857	0.2205	26.6
4	Omar Infante	0.2737	0.2205	26.6
5	Pablo Sandoval	0.2913	0.2447	26.1
6	Ender Inciarte	0.2545	0.3034	24.6
7	Carlos Correa	0.2194	0.2791	23.6
8	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2821	0.3210	23.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Prince Fielder	0.2618	0.3051	29.3
2	Chris Owings	0.2755	0.2272	27.2
3	Yunel Escobar	0.2676	0.3140	26.8
4	Jung Ho Kang	0.2301	0.2874	26.3
5	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2829	0.3210	25.8
6	Mike Moustakas	0.2418	0.2842	25.4
7	Joey Votto	0.2788	0.3138	23.6
8	Ian Desmond	0.2679	0.2333	22.9

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Curtis Granderson	0.3636	0.3210 (30.6)	0.3128 (29.8)	0.3192 (28.3)
Joey Votto	0.4590	0.4123 (34.0)	0.4050 (32.6)	0.4167 (27.4)
Nelson Cruz	0.3695	0.3275 (29.0)	0.3089 (35.0)	0.3088 (37.9)
Logan Forsythe	0.3593	0.3053 (34.7)	0.2998 (32.2)	0.3006 (34.4)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.4352	0.3796 (40.2)	0.3767 (35.7)	0.3782 (37.6)
Victor Martinez	0.3010	0.3717 (33.2)	0.3752 (39.4)	0.3604 (30.2)
David Peralta	0.3714	0.3173 (29.1)	0.3089 (28.6)	0.3151 (27.6)
Bryce Harper	0.4602	0.3449 (77.0)	0.3612 (60.1)	0.3649 (60.5)
Omar Infante	0.2340	0.3111 (34.0)	0.3109 (38.2)	0.3020 (32.2)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Moustakas	0.2866	0.3475	38.9
2	Xander Bogaerts	0.3031	0.3548	35.4
3	Yunel Escobar	0.3190	0.3746	34.2
4	Manny Machado	0.3137	0.3586	33.7
5	Kendrys Morales	0.3117	0.3615	33.3
6	Kris Bryant	0.3211	0.3692	32.8
7	René Rivera	0.3142	0.2134	31.4
8	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3154	0.3586	29.7
9	Jayson Werth	0.3820	0.3016	29.5
10	DJ LeMahieu	0.3145	0.3582	28.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hanley Ramirez	0.3632	0.2907	34.3
2	AJ Pollock	0.3097	0.3670	33.8
3	Wilson Ramos	0.3153	0.2579	32.5
4	Pablo Sandoval	0.3455	0.2917	30.8
5	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3044	0.3586	30.7
6	Odúbel Herrera	0.2808	0.3440	30.1
7	Jayson Werth	0.3736	0.3016	29.9
8	Carlos Correa	0.2694	0.3449	29.6
9	Troy Tulowitzki	0.3833	0.3371	28.5
10	Joe Panik	0.3046	0.3776	28.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Sanó	0.2881	0.3851	31.5
2	Mike Moustakas	0.2951	0.3475	30.5
3	Troy Tulowitzki	0.3895	0.3371	29.5
4	Wilson Ramos	0.3121	0.2579	28.7
5	Miguel Cabrera	0.3820	0.4403	28.3
6	Kendrys Morales	0.3148	0.3615	28.0
7	Chris Colabello	0.2871	0.3667	27.6
8	Chris Owings	0.3087	0.2642	26.1
9	Alex Rodriguez	0.3120	0.3565	25.8
10	Jason Kipnis	0.3296	0.3721	25.4

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Nelson Cruz	0.5661	0.4865 (50.4)	0.4565 (61.6)	0.4578 (65.4)
Logan Forsythe	0.4444	0.3577 (51.7)	0.3457 (51.2)	0.3407 (58.7)
Nolan Arenado	0.5747	0.4406 (87.5)	0.4685 (60.3)	0.4630 (68.7)
Victor Martinez	0.3659	0.4814 (57.3)	0.4848 (65.2)	0.4728 (55.9)
Adam LaRoche	0.3403	0.4444 (51.6)	0.4331 (52.4)	0.4623 (63.1)
Josh Donaldson	0.5677	0.4537 (79.3)	0.4722 (56.9)	0.4682 (64.8)
Mark Teixeira	0.5485	0.4173 (59.4)	0.4121 (55.9)	0.4325 (49.7)
Bryce Harper	0.6488	0.4499 (128.4)	0.4871 (95.6)	0.4941 (95.7)
Matt Carpenter	0.5052	0.4257 (51.2)	0.4032 (57.6)	0.4044 (61.5)
Lorenzo Cain	0.4773	0.3877 (52.6)	0.3763 (51.6)	0.3866 (49.7)
Brandon Crawford	0.4615	0.3727 (48.4)	0.3498 (54.0)	0.3705 (46.4)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoenis Cespedes	0.4539	0.5419	57.8
2	J.D. Martinez	0.4483	0.5352	55.4
3	Mike Moustakas	0.3772	0.4699	55.4
4	Manny Machado	0.4246	0.5024	53.6
5	Chris Colabello	0.3763	0.5195	50.6
6	Yadier Molina	0.4429	0.3504	50.4
7	Randal Grichuk	0.4033	0.5480	49.7
8	Kris Bryant	0.4123	0.4884	47.8
9	David Peralta	0.4269	0.5216	47.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Correa	0.3110	0.5116	80.0
2	Alex Rodriguez	0.3723	0.4857	60.7
3	Francisco Lindor	0.3293	0.4821	60.1
4	AJ Pollock	0.3932	0.4975	59.8
5	Pablo Sandoval	0.4632	0.3660	56.9
6	Troy Tulowitzki	0.5254	0.4403	53.7
7	Franklin Gutierrez	0.3353	0.6199	50.9
8	Michael Conforto	0.2323	0.5057	50.0
9	Mike Zunino	0.4133	0.3000	49.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Troy Tulowitzki	0.5525	0.4403	64.4
2	Carlos Correa	0.3571	0.5116	63.1
3	Billy Burns	0.2857	0.3923	54.5
4	Chris Owings	0.4102	0.3223	53.1
5	Matt Duffy	0.3326	0.4276	53.0
6	Francisco Lindor	0.3583	0.4821	50.5
7	Andrés Blanco	0.3067	0.5021	48.8
8	Pablo Sandoval	0.4535	0.3660	48.5
9	Alex Rodriguez	0.3994	0.4857	48.3

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Henderson Alvarez III	102	699 (597.0)	698 (595.9)	716 (614.1)
Homer Bailey	51	637 (586.0)	701 (650.1)	731 (680.1)
Adam Wainwright	111	785 (674.0)	810 (698.5)	841 (730.1)
Brandon McCarthy	94	725 (631.0)	728 (633.7)	705 (611.1)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Rodón	1	607	606.0
2	Noah Syndergaard	1	603	602.0
3	Chris Heston	169	746	577.0
4	Brad Peacock	568	22	546.0
5	Anthony DeSclafani	241	785	544.0
6	Kevin Correia	644	114	530.0
7	Eduardo Rodriguez	1	522	521.0
8	Jason Vargas	704	183	521.0
9	Lance McCullers Jr.	1	520	519.0
10	Michael Lorenzen	1	515	514.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Heston	4	746	741.7
2	Derek Holland	864	245	619.2
3	Jason Vargas	798	183	614.8
4	Carlos Rodón	1	607	606.0
5	Chris Rusin	4	594	589.7
6	Ricky Nolasco	754	173	581.2
7	Jhoulys Chacín	654	111	543.3
8	Brett Oberholtzer	688	171	517.2
9	Lance McCullers Jr.	5	520	515.4
10	Michael Lorenzen	4	515	510.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Matzek	811	102	708.9
2	Dan Straily	742	76	666.0
3	Marcus Stroman	734	103	631.0
4	Andrew Albers	631	11	620.1
5	Chris Volstad	625	7	617.9
6	Chris Beck	642	31	610.9
7	Adam Wilk	618	10	608.0
8	Jon Moscot	653	50	603.1
9	Scott Copeland	667	69	597.9
10	Zach Lee	613	24	589.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Matt Garza	0.3565	0.2966 (34.9)	0.3132 (24.5)	0.2774 (34.6)
Kyle Kendrick	0.3901	0.3216 (38.3)	0.3401 (27.3)	0.3100 (33.3)
Jake Arrieta	0.2254	0.2815 (55.4)	0.2924 (64.0)	0.2763 (67.9)
Dallas Keuchel	0.2541	0.3131 (60.6)	0.3100 (56.9)	0.2774 (46.1)
Zack Greinke	0.2235	0.2910 (63.3)	0.2808 (53.9)	0.2555 (50.0)
Marco Estrada	0.2764	0.3066 (27.3)	0.3098 (29.0)	0.2949 (33.1)
David Buchanan	0.4098	0.3094 (32.6)	0.3276 (26.5)	0.3035 (27.7)
Jeremy Guthrie	0.3739	0.3259 (26.8)	0.3293 (25.2)	0.3014 (30.1)
Jacob deGrom	0.2487	0.2855 (33.3)	0.2958 (40.4)	0.2625 (30.9)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Lohse	0.2965	0.3601	37.3
2	Jaime García	0.3104	0.2541	32.6
3	Max Scherzer	0.2857	0.2571	32.5
4	Andrew Cashner	0.2864	0.3328	31.2
5	Michael Lorenzen	0.3130	0.3795	30.4
6	Erasmo Ramírez	0.3252	0.2880	29.8
7	Alfredo Simon	0.3021	0.3448	28.8
8	Gerrit Cole	0.2994	0.2726	28.6
9	Eddie Butler	0.3200	0.4025	27.7
10	Ross Detwiler	0.3165	0.4198	27.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	0.3028	0.2619	39.4
2	Chris Archer	0.3047	0.2716	34.4
3	Chris Rusin	0.3111	0.3722	32.4
4	Chris Young	0.3353	0.2781	31.9
5	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.3428	0.2903	30.8
6	Ian Kennedy	0.2981	0.3453	28.9
7	James Shields	0.2961	0.3350	27.8
8	Erasmo Ramírez	0.3225	0.2880	27.4
9	Clayton Kershaw	0.2544	0.2303	27.3
10	Mike Foltynewicz	0.3096	0.3801	25.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	James Shields	0.2543	0.3350	46.0
2	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.3468	0.2903	43.6
3	Phil Hughes	0.2615	0.3461	37.3
4	Andrew Cashner	0.2597	0.3328	36.9
5	Cody Anderson	0.3479	0.2805	34.6
6	Kyle Lohse	0.2838	0.3601	32.6
7	Ian Kennedy	0.2769	0.3453	29.3
8	Jaime García	0.2844	0.2541	29.3
9	Sonny Gray	0.2689	0.2619	28.4
10	Rick Porcello	0.2747	0.3394	27.6

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
R.A. Dickey	0.1425	0.1995 (50.1)	0.1832 (37.9)	0.1818 (41.4)
Travis Wood	0.2816	0.1861 (40.1)	0.1781 (42.4)	0.1791 (39.8)
Phil Hughes	0.1444	0.2061 (40.0)	0.1993 (37.2)	0.2120 (48.9)
Clayton Kershaw	0.3382	0.2673 (63.3)	0.2886 (42.1)	0.2823 (43.0)
Alex Wood	0.1735	0.2296 (44.7)	0.2265 (44.2)	0.2200 (43.3)
Jeff Samardzija	0.1791	0.2284 (44.7)	0.2211 (40.3)	0.2376 (60.1)
Dallas Keuchel	0.2371	0.1795 (52.7)	0.1748 (54.7)	0.1731 (51.4)
Jake Arrieta	0.2713	0.2314 (34.9)	0.2335 (30.9)	0.2193 (38.7)
Chris Archer	0.2903	0.2069 (72.6)	0.2070 (70.4)	0.2033 (69.0)
Chris Sale	0.3208	0.2619 (50.5)	0.2835 (30.0)	0.2662 (40.2)
Kyle Hendricks	0.2260	0.1762 (37.0)	0.1729 (37.6)	0.1627 (41.2)
Carlos Carrasco	0.2959	0.2232 (53.2)	0.2287 (47.4)	0.2185 (51.0)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Noah Syndergaard	0.2040	0.2753	43.1
2	James Shields	0.2042	0.2512	40.6
3	Mark Buehrle	0.1582	0.1100	39.7
4	Justin Nicolino	0.2040	0.0764	38.3
5	Jered Weaver	0.1911	0.1345	37.7
6	Max Scherzer	0.2677	0.3070	35.6
7	Dellin Betances	0.2917	0.3946	34.2
8	Carson Smith	0.2097	0.3239	32.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jacob deGrom	0.2201	0.2730	38.0
2	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.1901	0.1261	36.2
3	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1769	0.2481	35.8
4	Carlos Martinez	0.1974	0.2437	33.3
5	Brett Anderson	0.1930	0.1547	30.4
6	Matt Garza	0.1982	0.1562	29.5
7	Wily Peralta	0.1849	0.1255	29.5
8	James Shields	0.2151	0.2512	29.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brett Anderson	0.1992	0.1547	39.1
2	Jacob deGrom	0.2149	0.2730	38.0
3	Jered Weaver	0.1830	0.1345	37.4
4	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.1853	0.1261	36.5
5	Yovani Gallardo	0.1892	0.1526	35.0
6	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1796	0.2481	31.7
7	Matt Garza	0.1960	0.1562	31.6
8	Marco Estrada	0.2156	0.1807	30.8

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Max Scherzer	0.0378	0.0708 (30.2)	0.0653 (24.5)	0.0660 (23.9)
Ross Detwiler	0.1250	0.0705 (15.5)	0.0764 (14.1)	0.0686 (16.7)
Jake Arrieta	0.0552	0.0794 (21.6)	0.0801 (21.5)	0.0901 (29.0)
Michael Pineda	0.0314	0.0546 (15.9)	0.0541 (15.0)	0.0586 (17.1)
Taijuan Walker	0.0567	0.0852 (20.6)	0.0880 (21.9)	0.0838 (18.0)
Julio Teheran	0.0866	0.0627 (19.6)	0.0615 (21.4)	0.0565 (26.7)
Trevor May	0.0528	0.0878 (17.5)	0.0999 (23.0)	0.1024 (23.6)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0860	0.1117 (20.8)	0.1044 (14.4)	0.1140 (20.9)
James Shields	0.0942	0.0610 (28.0)	0.0573 (31.9)	0.0562 (34.0)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Rodón	0.0766	0.1170	24.1
2	Jacob deGrom	0.0776	0.0506	20.8
3	Michael Lorenzen	0.0766	0.1107	17.2
4	Mike Pelfrey	0.0864	0.0630	17.1
5	J.A. Happ	0.0847	0.0628	16.2
6	Madison Bumgarner	0.0628	0.0449	16.2
7	Mark Buehrle	0.0585	0.0399	15.9
8	Noah Syndergaard	0.0766	0.0514	15.6
9	Dellin Betances	0.0729	0.1205	15.6
10	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0828	0.0601	15.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1330	0.0827	26.0
2	Carlos Rodón	0.0766	0.1170	24.6
3	Mike Fiers	0.0619	0.0841	17.1
4	Roberto Osuna	0.1199	0.0590	16.4
5	Blake Treinen	0.0569	0.1143	16.1
6	Jacob deGrom	0.0714	0.0506	15.4
7	Gerrit Cole	0.0714	0.0529	15.2
8	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0722	0.0970	15.0
9	Juan Nicasio	0.0662	0.1231	14.9
10	Andrew Cashner	0.0643	0.0821	14.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1397	0.0827	28.8
2	Raisel Iglesias	0.1403	0.0709	26.8
3	Matt Harvey	0.0763	0.0490	19.5
4	Alex Colomé	0.1084	0.0678	17.8
5	Chris Bassitt	0.1311	0.0831	16.8
6	Jake Odorizzi	0.0911	0.0657	16.7
7	Mike Fiers	0.0641	0.0841	16.4
8	Félix Hernández	0.0520	0.0702	16.3
9	Blake Treinen	0.0577	0.1143	16.3
10	J.A. Happ	0.0860	0.0628	15.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jered Weaver	0.0179	0.0081 (6.5)	0.0079 (6.5)	0.0070 (7.8)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0022	0.0082 (5.7)	0.0073 (4.9)	0.0085 (5.0)
Nick Martinez	0.0233	0.0055 (9.8)	0.0080 (8.4)	0.0097 (8.0)
Fernando Rodney	0.0289	0.0075 (5.9)	0.0082 (5.6)	0.0079 (6.0)
Chris Heston	0.0174	0.0059 (8.4)	0.0101 (5.3)	0.0116 (4.9)
Chris Archer	0.0035	0.0111 (6.8)	0.0099 (5.8)	0.0122 (6.9)
Rick Porcello	0.0136	0.0053 (5.9)	0.0067 (4.9)	0.0051 (6.8)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0139	0.0067 (5.6)	0.0075 (4.9)	0.0045 (8.0)
Scott Feldman	0.0000	0.0114 (5.3)	0.0097 (4.5)	0.0133 (5.7)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Leake	0.0102	0.0039	5.1
2	Justin Masterson	0.0180	0.0366	5.0
3	Jesse Chavez	0.0101	0.0030	5.0
4	Drew Hutchison	0.0090	0.0166	4.9
5	Trevor Bauer	0.0130	0.0067	4.8
6	Carson Smith	0.0081	0.0246	4.6
7	Danny Duffy	0.0073	0.0153	4.6
8	Alfredo Simon	0.0151	0.0098	4.5
9	Scott Kazmir	0.0056	0.0118	4.5
10	John Danks	0.0095	0.0039	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Masterson	0.0144	0.0366	6.0
2	Mike Pelfrey	0.0090	0.0168	5.4
3	Chris Bassitt	0.0103	0.0249	5.2
4	C.J. Wilson	0.0094	0.0181	4.7
5	Randy Choate	0.0116	0.0513	4.6
6	Jonathan Papelbon	0.0096	0.0269	4.4
7	Drew Hutchison	0.0097	0.0166	4.4
8	Mike Leake	0.0091	0.0039	4.3
9	Jesse Hahn	0.0090	0.0197	4.3
10	Carson Smith	0.0095	0.0246	4.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Raisel Iglesias	0.0036	0.0177	5.9
2	Anthony DeSclafani	0.0144	0.0064	5.7
3	Scott Kazmir	0.0053	0.0118	5.6
4	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0115	0.0016	5.5
5	Cole Hamels	0.0059	0.0114	5.5
6	Mike Pelfrey	0.0100	0.0168	5.4
7	Corey Kluber	0.0071	0.0124	5.4
8	Jesse Chavez	0.0118	0.0030	5.4
9	Kyle Gibson	0.0027	0.0085	5.4
10	Trevor Bauer	0.0147	0.0067	5.4

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Yovani Gallardo	0.0249	0.0354 (11.3)	0.0374 (12.4)	0.0370 (12.0)
Shelby Miller	0.0213	0.0373 (17.0)	0.0398 (18.5)	0.0412 (19.7)
Jake Arrieta	0.0172	0.0273 (12.0)	0.0311 (14.7)	0.0330 (16.4)
Mike Pelfrey	0.0193	0.0318 (11.7)	0.0344 (12.9)	0.0342 (12.9)
Rubby De La Rosa	0.0541	0.0372 (10.6)	0.0344 (13.4)	0.0339 (13.8)
James Shields	0.0596	0.0326 (19.9)	0.0323 (20.9)	0.0228 (29.0)
Kyle Kendrick	0.0664	0.0346 (17.6)	0.0408 (14.2)	0.0374 (16.3)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.0614	0.0221 (23.5)	0.0325 (17.1)	0.0239 (22.8)
Matthew Boyd	0.0904	0.0376 (12.4)	0.0393 (12.1)	0.0376 (12.5)
Ian Kennedy	0.0646	0.0363 (17.4)	0.0378 (17.0)	0.0335 (19.9)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Taijuan Walker	0.0280	0.0500	12.8
2	Gio González	0.0270	0.0155	11.6
3	Gerrit Cole	0.0290	0.0191	11.4
4	Matt Shoemaker	0.0343	0.0580	11.3
5	Kyle Lohse	0.0363	0.0569	11.2
6	Jaime García	0.0338	0.0158	11.1
7	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0449	0.0326	10.7
8	Kirby Yates	0.0397	0.1587	10.6
9	John Lackey	0.0394	0.0316	10.4
10	Juan Nicasio	0.0421	0.0062	10.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0408	0.0200	16.0
2	Gio González	0.0312	0.0155	14.2
3	Anthony DeSclafani	0.0437	0.0296	13.5
4	Jose Quintana	0.0363	0.0253	12.1
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0341	0.0566	11.9
6	Kirby Yates	0.0343	0.1587	11.2
7	Rick Porcello	0.0283	0.0463	11.1
8	Evan Scribner	0.0338	0.0833	11.1
9	Colby Lewis	0.0485	0.0390	10.8
10	Brandon McCarthy	0.0299	0.1475	10.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Phil Hughes	0.0252	0.0538	16.6
2	Carlos Rodón	0.0492	0.0283	14.6
3	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.0532	0.0292	14.1
4	Max Scherzer	0.0278	0.0462	13.8
5	Anthony DeSclafani	0.0435	0.0296	13.3
6	Héctor Santiago	0.0347	0.0544	12.9
7	Edinson Volquez	0.0379	0.0260	12.8
8	Matt Shoemaker	0.0331	0.0580	12.4
9	Robbie Ray	0.0435	0.0244	12.1
10	Jaime García	0.0360	0.0158	11.9

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Drew Hutchison	0.3428	0.2941 (30.6)	0.2886 (32.4)	0.2884 (29.2)
Masahiro Tanaka	0.2422	0.2961 (34.4)	0.2858 (29.8)	0.2839 (31.8)
Héctor Santiago	0.2520	0.2901 (31.6)	0.2805 (26.3)	0.2805 (30.3)
Jake Arrieta	0.2456	0.2806 (32.7)	0.2908 (44.0)	0.2780 (37.3)
Dallas Keuchel	0.2688	0.3048 (35.1)	0.3026 (35.7)	0.2918 (30.5)
Michael Pineda	0.3319	0.2664 (42.0)	0.2824 (29.5)	0.2833 (25.5)
Zack Greinke	0.2295	0.2990 (60.8)	0.2842 (50.7)	0.2818 (52.9)
Marco Estrada	0.2157	0.2727 (43.2)	0.2798 (50.4)	0.2745 (50.2)
Will Harris	0.1921	0.3095 (33.1)	0.2909 (28.8)	0.3007 (32.9)
Josh Tomlin	0.1988	0.3092 (28.4)	0.2931 (25.0)	0.3019 (28.5)
Gio González	0.3406	0.2870 (38.6)	0.2898 (34.4)	0.2797 (38.2)
Chris Young	0.2095	0.2621 (27.6)	0.2694 (32.6)	0.2697 (35.3)
Dan Haren	0.2558	0.2892 (27.6)	0.2880 (28.9)	0.2923 (36.1)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.2805	0.3303	37.9
2	Danny Salazar	0.3167	0.2777	31.5
3	Max Scherzer	0.2988	0.2675	30.4
4	Mike Leake	0.2949	0.2598	29.3
5	Colby Lewis	0.3204	0.2891	29.2
6	Wade Davis	0.3116	0.2000	28.7
7	Chris Sale	0.2867	0.3227	28.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	0.2970	0.2551	39.3
2	Nathan Eovaldi	0.2875	0.3367	29.5
3	R.A. Dickey	0.2848	0.2572	29.1
4	Mike Leake	0.2907	0.2598	28.2
5	Joaquín Benoit	0.2832	0.1824	27.0
6	Chi Chi González	0.2948	0.2057	26.4
7	Garrett Richards	0.2982	0.2738	25.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.2755	0.3303	35.6
2	Sonny Gray	0.2784	0.2551	28.1
3	Cody Anderson	0.3008	0.2369	27.1
4	Chi Chi González	0.2904	0.2057	26.6
5	Rick Porcello	0.2857	0.3320	26.5
6	Tyson Ross	0.2781	0.3196	25.6
7	David Buchanan	0.2869	0.3688	25.1

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Masahiro Tanaka	0.1559	0.2207 (39.7)	0.2143 (38.4)	0.2839 (40.8)
Héctor Santiago	0.1726	0.2310 (45.6)	0.2194 (39.9)	0.2805 (36.4)
Jake Arrieta	0.1825	0.2117 (25.8)	0.2181 (35.0)	0.2780 (30.0)
Jordan Zimmermann	0.2567	0.2178 (32.0)	0.2167 (29.4)	0.2816 (30.0)
Zack Greinke	0.1866	0.2303 (37.1)	0.2131 (26.2)	0.2818 (28.8)
Marco Estrada	0.1588	0.2005 (30.5)	0.2098 (40.3)	0.2745 (39.7)
A.J. Burnett	0.2763	0.2231 (36.9)	0.2182 (37.3)	0.2906 (32.6)
Gio González	0.2638	0.2106 (40.0)	0.2173 (31.7)	0.2797 (34.1)
Dan Haren	0.1735	0.2108 (29.0)	0.2092 (31.0)	0.2923 (44.4)
Nathan Eovaldi	0.2837	0.2336 (33.4)	0.2156 (42.7)	0.2994 (30.5)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Odorizzi	0.2243	0.1801	31.2
2	Drew Hutchison	0.2081	0.2555	31.2
3	Wade Davis	0.2465	0.1267	30.2
4	Andrew Cashner	0.2104	0.2464	28.6
5	Danny Salazar	0.2405	0.2046	27.5
6	Michael Pineda	0.2007	0.2420	27.3
7	Josh Tomlin	0.2336	0.1287	26.4
8	CC Sabathia	0.2292	0.2653	25.9
9	Alex Colomé	0.2158	0.2708	24.9
10	Max Scherzer	0.2175	0.1903	24.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Hutchison	0.1943	0.2555	37.5
2	CC Sabathia	0.2160	0.2653	32.4
3	Chris Sale	0.2166	0.2530	27.2
4	Mike Pelfrey	0.2259	0.2679	26.7
5	Aroldis Chapman	0.1996	0.2975	25.9
6	R.A. Dickey	0.2136	0.1891	25.7
7	Chris Heston	0.2464	0.2168	25.6
8	Joaquín Benoit	0.2124	0.1195	24.8
9	Brett Anderson	0.2213	0.2588	24.6
10	Max Scherzer	0.2130	0.1903	24.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Young	0.2697	0.1397	34.5
2	Tyson Ross	0.2781	0.2529	29.5
3	Josh Tomlin	0.3019	0.1287	28.2
4	Jake Odorizzi	0.2812	0.1801	28.0
5	Ian Kennedy	0.2890	0.1893	27.6
6	Alfredo Simon	0.2931	0.1990	27.2
7	Alex Wood	0.2831	0.2551	26.5
8	Rick Porcello	0.2857	0.2602	26.2
9	Andrew Cashner	0.2755	0.2464	25.6
10	Chris Sale	0.2842	0.2530	25.4

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kevin Jepsen	0.0103	0.0659 (16.3)	0.0650 (15.6)	0.0000 (15.3)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0448	0.0629 (17.8)	0.0685 (21.7)	0.0000 (17.6)
Jordan Zimmermann	0.0419	0.0644 (19.9)	0.0654 (19.6)	0.0000 (18.4)
Zack Greinke	0.0377	0.0626 (22.3)	0.0643 (22.6)	0.0000 (22.3)
Michael Lorenzen	0.0997	0.0655 (16.8)	0.0646 (18.0)	0.0000 (18.3)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.0901	0.0640 (15.6)	0.0643 (16.3)	0.0000 (16.5)
Bud Norris	0.1133	0.0677 (16.6)	0.0642 (18.4)	0.0000 (18.5)
CC Sabathia	0.0436	0.0764 (25.0)	0.0652 (15.8)	0.0000 (14.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brett Anderson	0.0724	0.0458	21.1
2	John Lackey	0.0684	0.0498	18.0
3	A.J. Burnett	0.0724	0.0495	17.1
4	Eddie Butler	0.0651	0.1124	16.9
5	James Shields	0.0622	0.0825	16.2
6	Will Harris	0.0794	0.0226	16.1
7	Marco Estrada	0.0668	0.0471	15.5
8	Mat Latos	0.0593	0.0920	15.4
9	Cole Hamels	0.0772	0.0613	15.4
10	Jaime García	0.0739	0.0455	15.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	0.0672	0.0394	23.2
2	Chris Heston	0.0394	0.0703	23.0
3	Wei-Yin Chen	0.0635	0.0885	19.7
4	Chad Bettis	0.0682	0.1063	19.1
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.0466	0.0714	18.3
6	A.J. Burnett	0.0747	0.0495	17.7
7	Pedro Báez	0.0381	0.1212	17.3
8	Kendall Graveman	0.0924	0.0599	16.4
9	Brett Anderson	0.0668	0.0458	15.9
10	Ian Kennedy	0.0649	0.0869	15.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Gott	0.0655	0.0195	22.3
2	Chad Bettis	0.0000	0.1063	21.2
3	Sonny Gray	0.0000	0.0394	20.6
4	Matthew Boyd	0.0655	0.0526	19.4
5	Wei-Yin Chen	0.0000	0.0885	19.3
6	Eddie Butler	0.0000	0.1124	17.8
7	Wade Miley	0.0000	0.0851	17.5
8	Ian Kennedy	0.0000	0.0869	16.2
9	James Shields	0.0000	0.0825	15.8
10	Drew Hutchison	0.0000	0.0873	15.4

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kyle Gibson	0.0000	0.0061 (5.5)	0.0072 (6.4)	0.0000 (6.0)
Jason Hammel	0.0149	0.0066 (5.4)	0.0064 (5.6)	0.0000 (5.4)
Ian Kennedy	0.0245	0.0079 (11.3)	0.0068 (12.2)	0.0000 (12.3)
Chris Archer	0.0000	0.0061 (5.9)	0.0069 (6.5)	0.0000 (6.4)
Juan Nicasio	0.0311	0.0088 (5.6)	0.0068 (6.2)	0.0000 (6.2)
Danny Salazar	0.0146	0.0029 (8.4)	0.0068 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.5)
Mike Fiers	0.0144	0.0042 (7.2)	0.0067 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.4)
Shane Greene	0.0289	0.0071 (7.9)	0.0042 (9.0)	0.0000 (8.0)
Alfredo Simon	0.0166	0.0047 (9.2)	0.0070 (7.4)	0.0000 (7.6)
Aaron Harang	0.0197	0.0077 (8.6)	0.0069 (9.2)	0.0000 (9.3)
Jonathan Broxton	0.0303	0.0062 (6.0)	0.0060 (6.1)	0.0000 (5.9)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rubby De La Rosa	0.0096	0.0018	6.9
2	Collin McHugh	0.0103	0.0033	6.6
3	Kendall Graveman	0.0123	0.0000	6.5
4	Mike Bolsinger	0.0159	0.0032	6.2
5	Tom Koehler	0.0123	0.0054	6.1
6	Robbie Ray	0.0051	0.0167	6.0
7	J.A. Happ	0.0096	0.0020	5.9
8	Yovani Gallardo	0.0058	0.0136	5.7
9	Mark Buehrle	0.0018	0.0089	5.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Garrett Richards	0.0071	0.0000	6.7
2	Jake Odorizzi	0.0067	0.0166	6.5
3	Drew Hutchison	0.0090	0.0000	6.4
4	Gio González	0.0069	0.0157	6.3
5	Kyle Kendrick	0.0071	0.0172	6.0
6	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0068	0.0170	5.7
7	Jacob deGrom	0.0068	0.0000	5.6
8	Jeff Samardzija	0.0071	0.0137	5.5
9	Junichi Tazawa	0.0069	0.0291	5.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Odorizzi	0.0000	0.0166	6.5
2	Gio González	0.0000	0.0157	6.4
3	Garrett Richards	0.0000	0.0000	6.3
4	Kyle Kendrick	0.0000	0.0172	6.2
5	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0137	5.8
6	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0000	0.0170	5.8
7	Jacob deGrom	0.0000	0.0000	5.5
8	Junichi Tazawa	0.0000	0.0291	5.4
9	Taijuan Walker	0.0000	0.0000	5.2

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Drew Hutchison	0.1551	0.1145 (23.6)	0.1142 (25.5)	0.1160 (23.2)
Matt Garza	0.1532	0.1121 (23.9)	0.1153 (23.5)	0.1063 (28.4)
John Lackey	0.0792	0.1088 (31.0)	0.1045 (25.0)	0.1028 (24.9)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0746	0.1110 (37.7)	0.1084 (33.1)	0.1053 (31.8)
Jake Arrieta	0.0598	0.1030 (42.1)	0.1034 (40.2)	0.1006 (39.2)
Zack Greinke	0.0510	0.0883 (35.7)	0.0914 (36.2)	0.0874 (34.2)
Andrew Cashner	0.1381	0.0968 (29.1)	0.1093 (21.0)	0.0919 (33.8)
Shane Greene	0.1796	0.1090 (24.4)	0.1229 (20.2)	0.1183 (21.3)
Bud Norris	0.1804	0.1093 (24.9)	0.1142 (24.0)	0.1135 (23.6)
Matthew Boyd	0.1984	0.1124 (20.4)	0.1165 (20.0)	0.1124 (20.6)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Lohse	0.1014	0.1489	28.2
2	Alfredo Simon	0.0988	0.1366	26.8
3	Jaime García	0.1120	0.0725	22.7
4	David Price	0.0988	0.0788	22.2
5	Kyle Kendrick	0.1220	0.1622	22.1
6	Carlos Martinez	0.1101	0.0861	22.0
7	Jeremy Guthrie	0.1158	0.1521	20.7
8	Marco Estrada	0.1157	0.0924	20.6
9	Dan Haren	0.1243	0.1029	20.4
10	David Buchanan	0.1087	0.1709	20.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yovani Gallardo	0.1258	0.0958	25.8
2	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1375	0.0942	23.8
3	Jacob deGrom	0.1069	0.0786	23.2
4	Chris Rusin	0.1098	0.1481	21.2
5	Sonny Gray	0.1065	0.0854	19.6
6	Chris Young	0.1243	0.0880	19.4
7	Carlos Martinez	0.1089	0.0861	19.2
8	Rick Porcello	0.1113	0.1398	19.1
9	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1085	0.1579	18.7
10	Kyle Kendrick	0.1300	0.1622	18.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1486	0.0942	30.4
2	Cody Anderson	0.1617	0.0877	28.6
3	Marco Estrada	0.1244	0.0924	26.2
4	David Price	0.1038	0.0788	25.9
5	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.1009	0.1499	24.5
6	Rick Porcello	0.1036	0.1398	23.6
7	Kyle Lohse	0.1098	0.1489	23.2
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0966	0.1348	22.5
9	Jaime García	0.1111	0.0725	21.8
10	Ian Kennedy	0.1011	0.1332	19.9

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
John Lackey	0.0748	0.0992 (26.6)	0.0952 (21.1)	0.0961 (21.7)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0703	0.1014 (33.2)	0.0978 (28.0)	0.0981 (28.0)
Jake Arrieta	0.0517	0.0980 (44.9)	0.0943 (39.8)	0.0946 (39.8)
David Price	0.0676	0.0902 (24.9)	0.0882 (21.1)	0.0971 (28.8)
Zack Greinke	0.0486	0.0828 (33.2)	0.0821 (30.9)	0.0823 (30.8)
Kyle Lohse	0.1489	0.0931 (33.6)	0.1116 (22.7)	0.1026 (28.8)
Jeff Samardzija	0.1297	0.0964 (25.4)	0.1041 (20.4)	0.1013 (23.1)
Jeremy Guthrie	0.1476	0.1079 (22.8)	0.1136 (20.5)	0.1111 (22.3)
Odrisamer Despaigne	0.1481	0.0939 (26.7)	0.1066 (21.0)	0.0936 (28.2)
Shane Greene	0.1716	0.0972 (25.8)	0.1133 (20.6)	0.1104 (21.7)
Bud Norris	0.1645	0.1034 (21.0)	0.1056 (21.0)	0.1064 (20.8)
Kyle Kendrick	0.1590	0.1127 (25.7)	0.1206 (22.2)	0.1242 (20.1)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.1318	0.0900 (24.1)	0.0980 (20.3)	0.0903 (25.5)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alfredo Simon	0.0905	0.1280	26.5
2	Gerrit Cole	0.0975	0.0721	25.5
3	Matt Garza	0.0998	0.1396	23.0
4	Carlos Martinez	0.1042	0.0795	22.7
5	Chris Tillman	0.0940	0.1296	22.4
6	David Buchanan	0.0990	0.1652	21.4
7	Robbie Ray	0.1246	0.0917	20.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yovani Gallardo	0.1163	0.0883	24.7
2	Shelby Miller	0.1047	0.0802	23.7
3	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1284	0.0865	23.4
4	Jacob deGrom	0.0978	0.0719	21.8
5	Gerrit Cole	0.0942	0.0721	21.0
6	Drew Hutchison	0.1062	0.1401	20.4
7	Matthew Boyd	0.1076	0.1905	20.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1397	0.0865	29.2
2	Cody Anderson	0.1506	0.0849	25.0
3	Matt Garza	0.0997	0.1396	24.7
4	Marco Estrada	0.1161	0.0869	23.3
5	Matthew Boyd	0.1041	0.1905	21.0
6	Rick Porcello	0.0972	0.1275	20.2
7	Jaime García	0.1051	0.0686	20.1

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jake Arrieta	0.6667	0.2222 (345.6)	0.3825 (243.1)	0.3103 (328.3)
Dallas Keuchel	0.6061	0.2250 (304.1)	0.3816 (200.2)	0.3929 (213.4)
Nathan Eovaldi	0.5185	0.1707 (202.3)	0.3348 (120.5)	0.2857 (170.8)
Zack Greinke	0.5938	0.3684 (150.1)	0.4181 (144.1)	0.4333 (153.0)
Michael Wacha	0.5667	0.1765 (261.4)	0.3717 (145.0)	0.3200 (204.0)
Collin McHugh	0.5938	0.2162 (283.7)	0.3623 (194.8)	0.3667 (213.1)
Gerrit Cole	0.5938	0.3143 (193.2)	0.3849 (169.9)	0.4643 (125.2)
Colby Lewis	0.5152	0.2222 (211.6)	0.3331 (152.7)	0.3333 (174.6)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Martinez	0.0682	0.4516	253.8
2	Rubby De La Rosa	0.1471	0.4375	196.8
3	Carlos Carrasco	0.1538	0.4667	193.9
4	Danny Salazar	0.1714	0.4667	187.8
5	Félix Hernández	0.3077	0.5806	186.5
6	Garrett Richards	0.2143	0.4688	179.3
7	Chris Heston	0.1111	0.3871	170.7
8	David Price	0.3333	0.5625	161.6
9	Matt Harvey	0.1905	0.4483	159.0
10	Jacob deGrom	0.2222	0.4667	148.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Estrada	0.0852	0.3824	212.0
2	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1330	0.3750	187.7
3	Chris Heston	0.1384	0.3871	182.1
4	Josh Tomlin	0.0816	0.7000	154.1
5	Chad Bettis	0.0951	0.4000	150.7
6	Corey Kluber	0.4375	0.2813	142.6
7	Kyle Lohse	0.3327	0.1351	134.5
8	Madison Bumgarner	0.4145	0.5625	124.5
9	CC Sabathia	0.3698	0.2069	121.6
10	Andrew Cashner	0.3380	0.1935	119.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Carrasco	0.1714	0.4667	230.9
2	Johnny Cueto	0.5556	0.3438	165.2
3	Corey Kluber	0.4839	0.2813	160.9
4	Tanner Roark	0.4643	0.1000	160.3
5	Rubby De La Rosa	0.2759	0.4375	147.8
6	Chad Bettis	0.1389	0.4000	141.6
7	Shelby Miller	0.3667	0.1818	140.9
8	Félix Hernández	0.4375	0.5806	135.6
9	Marco Estrada	0.2258	0.3824	128.7
10	Kyle Lohse	0.3462	0.1351	126.3

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Kluber	0.5000	0.1951 (224.6)	0.3005 (182.3)	0.2581 (224.1)
Rick Porcello	0.5357	0.2500 (172.7)	0.3160 (166.5)	0.3226 (165.2)
Andrew Cashner	0.5161	0.2059 (208.1)	0.3733 (119.9)	0.3478 (144.2)
Iván Nova	0.6471	0.1818 (170.9)	0.3609 (120.8)	0.3500 (127.2)
Jesse Chavez	0.5000	0.1707 (186.7)	0.1404 (245.8)	0.1818 (221.2)
Nathan Eovaldi	0.1111	0.2927 (156.8)	0.3672 (168.2)	0.3214 (134.1)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shelby Miller	0.2143	0.5152	214.6
2	Anthony DeSclafani	0.1250	0.4194	190.7
3	Matt Garza	0.2222	0.5385	176.4
4	Max Scherzer	0.1282	0.3636	165.5
5	Eddie Butler	0.1429	0.6250	159.4
6	Alfredo Simon	0.1429	0.3871	158.1
7	Garrett Richards	0.1429	0.3750	156.4
8	Robbie Ray	0.1852	0.5217	155.4
9	Kendall Graveman	0.0769	0.4286	150.7
10	Chris Heston	0.1111	0.3548	143.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Rusin	0.0494	0.4167	221.9
2	Robbie Ray	0.1296	0.5217	217.1
3	Zack Greinke	0.3064	0.0938	174.1
4	Chris Heston	0.1622	0.3548	148.3
5	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1403	0.3125	141.1
6	James Shields	0.3729	0.2121	133.0
7	Josh Collmenter	0.4079	0.1364	132.4
8	Erasmo Ramírez	0.3781	0.1765	130.1
9	Kyle Lobstein	0.1681	0.6154	127.0
10	Julio Teheran	0.3984	0.2424	126.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shelby Miller	0.3000	0.5152	194.5
2	Carlos Carrasco	0.1714	0.4000	174.9
3	Matt Garza	0.2917	0.5385	171.7
4	Max Scherzer	0.1935	0.3636	162.8
5	Alex Wood	0.2000	0.3750	149.0
6	Garrett Richards	0.2143	0.3750	148.5
7	Colby Lewis	0.4444	0.2727	138.4
8	Zack Greinke	0.2667	0.0938	136.5
9	Chris Sale	0.2143	0.3548	129.4
10	Drew Hutchison	0.3704	0.1667	128.0

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brad Ziegler	0.4545	0.0577 (109.2)	0.0431 (106.4)	0.0000 (112.0)
Shawn Tolleson	0.4795	0.0244 (141.1)	0.0462 (127.1)	0.0000 (134.3)
Francisco Rodríguez	0.6333	0.3265 (70.2)	0.3477 (60.2)	0.0000 (130.6)
Brad Boxberger	0.5942	0.0488 (152.8)	0.1292 (124.1)	0.0000 (153.2)
Andrew Miller	0.6000	0.0204 (147.1)	0.1831 (100.9)	0.0000 (140.5)
Jeurys Familia	0.5658	0.0652 (159.8)	0.1036 (140.2)	0.0000 (165.4)
AJ Ramos	0.4507	0.0208 (124.2)	0.0182 (117.9)	0.0000 (116.9)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rosenthal	0.2830	0.7059	126.6
2	Mark Melancon	0.2692	0.6538	118.1
3	Luke Gregerson	0.0556	0.4844	106.9
4	Cody Allen	0.1636	0.4857	97.4
5	Drew Storen	0.1020	0.5000	94.9
6	Santiago Casilla	0.2045	0.5672	93.0
7	David Robertson	0.2653	0.5667	79.9
8	Addison Reed	0.4167	0.0727	78.5
9	Roberto Osuna	0.0294	0.2941	76.7
10	Steve Cishek	0.4000	0.0678	76.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joaquín Benoit	0.5246	0.0299	127.4
2	Steve Cishek	0.5138	0.0678	110.1
3	Addison Reed	0.4954	0.0727	103.5
4	John Axford	0.0400	0.4167	92.4
5	Jason Grilli	0.0369	0.6667	87.2
6	Dellin Betances	0.3677	0.1216	84.0
7	Fernando Rodney	0.5169	0.2353	79.9
8	Roberto Osuna	0.0000	0.2941	77.8
9	Brett Cecil	0.4000	0.0794	70.1
10	Neftalí Feliz	0.5123	0.2083	65.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rosenthal	0.0000	0.7059	194.3
2	Mark Melancon	0.0000	0.6538	183.1
3	Huston Street	0.0000	0.6452	157.2
4	Craig Kimbrel	0.0000	0.6393	145.9
5	Zack Britton	0.0000	0.5625	135.0
6	David Robertson	0.0000	0.5667	134.5
7	Aroldis Chapman	0.0000	0.5077	133.1
8	Santiago Casilla	0.0000	0.5672	131.4
9	Cody Allen	0.0000	0.4857	130.7
10	Kenley Jansen	0.0000	0.6667	127.6

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dellin Betances	0.3784	0.2273 (61.7)	0.1488 (75.3)	0.0000 (108.6)
Joe Smith	0.4571	0.2545 (64.3)	0.2178 (64.1)	0.0000 (110.0)
Tony Watson	0.5325	0.3214 (72.0)	0.2580 (79.6)	0.0000 (141.0)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Martinez	0.2045	0.0323	103.8
2	Jim Johnson	0.0444	0.3472	98.2
3	Sergio Romo	0.1458	0.4857	86.2
4	Daniel Hudson	0.1053	0.3281	74.7
5	Keone Kela	0.0524	0.3235	74.3
6	Sam Dyson	0.0769	0.2800	73.5
7	Drew Pomeranz	0.0667	0.2264	69.4
8	Ryan Madson	0.0524	0.2941	68.6
9	Jeremy Jeffress	0.1154	0.3194	68.1
10	Zach Duke	0.1395	0.3662	66.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Estrada	0.2567	0.0000	188.0
2	Joaquín Benoit	0.0704	0.4179	87.6
3	Aaron Sanchez	0.0114	0.2439	87.3
4	Keone Kela	0.0000	0.3235	78.0
5	Alex Colomé	0.0225	0.1860	73.5
6	Justin De Fratus	0.2165	0.0164	73.4
7	Drew Pomeranz	0.0189	0.2264	73.1
8	Trevor May	0.0000	0.1458	70.4
9	Jeurys Familia	0.2385	0.0132	70.2
10	Yusmeiro Petit	0.2173	0.0000	69.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sergio Romo	0.0000	0.4857	99.9
2	Joaquín Benoit	0.0000	0.4179	93.1
3	Kevin Siegrist	0.0000	0.3457	91.8
4	Jim Johnson	0.0000	0.3472	86.1
5	Pedro Strop	0.0000	0.3684	85.6
6	Pat Neshek	0.0000	0.4242	83.2
7	Justin Wilson	0.0000	0.3919	83.1
8	Zach Duke	0.0000	0.3662	80.3
9	Daniel Hudson	0.0000	0.3281	80.3
10	Kevin Jepsen	0.0000	0.3200	76.6

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Matt Garza	5.6300	3.7548 (1069.6)	4.0978 (920.9)	3.8217 (1171.8)
Jake Arrieta	1.7686	3.6200 (1844.9)	3.5710 (1698.2)	3.6747 (1700.9)
Dallas Keuchel	2.4828	3.8364 (1478.4)	3.7253 (1268.1)	3.8028 (1247.1)
Kyle Lohse	5.8490	3.4516 (1415.3)	4.3017 (929.6)	3.9130 (1254.9)
Zack Greinke	1.6572	3.0457 (1397.4)	3.0256 (1279.6)	3.0638 (1227.0)
Jeremy Guthrie	5.9461	4.1461 (1016.5)	4.4238 (911.5)	4.3916 (999.7)
Shane Greene	6.8845	3.7576 (1065.9)	4.4149 (865.4)	4.4776 (879.5)
Bud Norris	6.7229	3.9598 (940.2)	4.0549 (949.5)	4.2109 (928.6)

Individual Misses for ERA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alfredo Simon	3.4034	5.0535	1132.4
2	John Lackey	3.7306	2.7661	1105.4
3	Odrisamer Despaigne	3.5570	5.8011	1080.3
4	Gerrit Cole	3.6225	2.5962	1077.9
5	Kyle Kendrick	4.3840	6.3232	1050.5
6	David Buchanan	3.7934	6.9911	1027.9
7	Jeff Samardzija	3.5887	4.9626	1005.3
8	David Price	3.2938	2.4508	987.6
9	Carlos Martinez	4.0076	3.0056	959.8
10	Ross Detwiler	3.8272	7.2514	908.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	5.2569	3.2228	1135.5
2	Shelby Miller	4.0562	3.0244	1015.9
3	Yovani Gallardo	4.5238	3.4177	995.7
4	Jacob deGrom	3.6968	2.5445	977.6
5	Gerrit Cole	3.5660	2.5962	931.3
6	Sonny Gray	3.6727	2.7260	910.9
7	Drew Hutchison	4.0565	5.5676	904.1
8	Cory Mazzoni	3.8214	20.7692	890.3
9	Edinson Volquez	4.4381	3.5491	882.8
10	Kyle Kendrick	4.7756	6.3232	879.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	6.0772	3.2228	1509.7
2	Cody Anderson	6.3391	3.0547	1216.7
3	Odrisamer Despaigne	3.6516	5.8011	1149.0
4	David Price	3.6735	2.4508	1129.1
5	Aníbal Sánchez	3.4342	4.9873	992.7
6	Marco Estrada	4.4366	3.1326	980.9
7	Jeff Samardzija	3.8969	4.9626	925.3
8	Edinson Volquez	4.5632	3.5491	903.6
9	Matthew Boyd	4.0233	7.5349	872.6
10	Cory Mazzoni	4.2767	20.7692	871.5

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Matt Garza	1.5673	1.2195 (208.8)	1.2893 (170.9)	1.2314 (224.7)
Erasmo Ramírez	1.1327	1.3772 (185.7)	1.3344 (148.6)	1.3614 (151.3)
Ross Detwiler	2.0229	1.3443 (185.6)	1.4486 (159.2)	1.3834 (184.6)
Dallas Keuchel	1.0172	1.3134 (301.0)	1.3078 (284.1)	1.2728 (231.4)
Jake Arrieta	0.8646	1.1650 (291.2)	1.2290 (335.6)	1.2767 (357.2)
Zack Greinke	0.8443	1.1788 (310.8)	1.1199 (250.3)	1.1223 (233.1)
Andrew Cashner	1.4404	1.1810 (181.1)	1.2465 (138.7)	1.1878 (204.3)
David Buchanan	1.8482	1.2893 (184.2)	1.3980 (150.5)	1.3973 (158.8)
Jacob deGrom	0.9791	1.2073 (197.1)	1.2286 (203.4)	1.2163 (177.0)
Eric O'Flaherty	2.1667	1.1989 (148.4)	1.3086 (133.0)	1.2378 (147.9)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	1.1496	0.9184	238.7
2	Noah Syndergaard	1.3066	1.0467	177.4
3	Colby Lewis	1.4004	1.2362	170.9
4	Kyle Lohse	1.1734	1.4639	170.4
5	Michael Lorenzen	1.3066	1.6588	163.8
6	Danny Salazar	1.3079	1.1297	160.8
7	Alfredo Simon	1.2185	1.4385	152.3
8	Eddie Butler	1.3714	1.8151	151.5
9	Corey Kluber	1.1894	1.0541	150.2
10	Gerrit Cole	1.2283	1.0913	142.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.6007	1.1857	226.9
2	Sonny Gray	1.2978	1.0817	197.3
3	Chris Rusin	1.2829	1.6025	177.2
4	Roberto Osuna	1.4947	0.9187	161.9
5	Max Scherzer	1.0750	0.9184	160.1
6	Chris Archer	1.2947	1.1368	155.6
7	Chris Young	1.3422	1.0865	138.5
8	Cody Anderson	1.4605	1.1058	137.2
9	Drew Hutchison	1.2589	1.4834	134.9
10	Marco Estrada	1.2080	1.0442	134.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.7685	1.1857	302.3
2	Cody Anderson	1.6174	1.1058	186.2
3	James Shields	1.1285	1.3344	178.4
4	Raisel Iglesias	1.5920	1.1434	176.6
5	Kyle Lohse	1.2064	1.4639	172.3
6	Colby Lewis	1.4158	1.2362	153.4
7	Julio Teheran	1.1324	1.3056	147.4
8	Chris Bassitt	1.6632	1.2558	146.5
9	Sonny Gray	1.2576	1.0817	144.9
10	Jeremy Guthrie	1.3373	1.5506	142.6