2015 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Biggest Plate Appearances (PA) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bryant 1 650 649.0
2 Odúbel Herrera 1 537 536.0
3 Anthony Gose 1 535 534.0
4 Addison Russell 1 523 522.0
5 Delino DeShields 1 492 491.0
6 Mark Canha 1 485 484.0
7 Eddie Rosario 1 474 473.0
8 Jung Ho Kang 1 467 466.0
9 Francisco Lindor 1 438 437.0
10 Carlos Correa 1 432 431.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Duffy 100 612 512.5
2 Addison Russell 33 523 489.8
3 Billy Burns 101 555 454.0
4 Desmond Jennings 555 108 446.6
5 Carlos Correa 1 432 431.0
6 Devin Mesoraco 469 51 418.0
7 Oswaldo Arcia 476 65 410.6
8 J.T. Realmuto 62 467 405.1
9 Arismendy Alcántara 428 32 395.8
10 Michael Saunders 431 36 394.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Arismendy Alcántara 645 32 613.0
2 Jorge Polanco 596 12 584.0
3 Javier Báez 650 80 570.0
4 Brandon Drury 625 59 566.0
5 Kyle Waldrop 563 1 562.0
6 Matt Duffy 567 9 558.0
7 Michael Choice 559 1 558.0
8 Christian Walker 569 12 557.0
9 Sócrates Brito 585 34 551.0
10 Robbie Grossman 604 54 550.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.3439 0.4663 77.3
2 Victor Martinez 0.3690 0.2928 39.0
3 Mike Moustakas 0.2895 0.3515 35.5
4 Manny Machado 0.3166 0.3700 35.1
5 René Rivera 0.3136 0.2118 33.8
6 Logan Forsythe 0.2917 0.3507 33.7
7 Omar Infante 0.3039 0.2365 32.6
8 Josh Donaldson 0.3475 0.3965 31.8
9 Nolan Arenado 0.3254 0.3773 31.7
10 Danny Santana 0.3362 0.2272 31.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.3653 0.4663 62.6
2 Carlos Correa 0.2556 0.3666 45.7
3 Nelson Cruz 0.3291 0.4000 42.9
4 AJ Pollock 0.3041 0.3708 41.4
5 Victor Martinez 0.3717 0.2928 40.9
6 Logan Forsythe 0.2844 0.3507 37.5
7 Alex Rodriguez 0.3007 0.3636 35.8
8 Lorenzo Cain 0.3003 0.3624 34.3
9 Odúbel Herrera 0.2619 0.3302 33.9
10 Pablo Sandoval 0.3489 0.2880 33.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.3690 0.4663 53.6
2 Troy Tulowitzki 0.4025 0.3380 42.6
3 Victor Martinez 0.3601 0.2928 40.1
4 Chris Owings 0.3099 0.2538 39.4
5 Wilson Ramos 0.3254 0.2663 37.5
6 Adam LaRoche 0.3452 0.2831 37.5
7 Nelson Cruz 0.3303 0.4000 35.6
8 Ian Desmond 0.3289 0.2916 33.7
9 Pablo Sandoval 0.3368 0.2880 32.4
10 Melky Cabrera 0.3379 0.3068 31.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bryant 0.1987 0.3062 68.8
2 Steven Souza Jr. 0.2074 0.3380 55.0
3 Kevin Pillar 0.2202 0.1354 54.3
4 Miguel Sanó 0.1987 0.3552 51.9
5 Josh Reddick 0.1933 0.1117 48.4
6 Xander Bogaerts 0.2250 0.1544 47.2
7 Joc Pederson 0.2115 0.2906 45.3
8 Addison Russell 0.1987 0.2849 44.2
9 Matt Carpenter 0.1603 0.2271 43.3
10 Brett Lawrie 0.1701 0.2392 40.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Reddick 0.1847 0.1117 46.9
2 Brett Lawrie 0.1557 0.2392 45.7
3 Steven Souza Jr. 0.2343 0.3380 41.0
4 Matt Carpenter 0.1581 0.2271 40.8
5 Daniel Murphy 0.1371 0.0706 39.8
6 A.J. Pierzynski 0.1668 0.0849 39.0
7 Xander Bogaerts 0.2064 0.1544 38.9
8 Stephen Drew 0.2444 0.1659 36.9
9 Chris Owings 0.1878 0.2609 36.1
10 Lorenzo Cain 0.2135 0.1623 35.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Carpenter 0.1556 0.2271 52.6
2 Brett Lawrie 0.1667 0.2392 48.2
3 Josh Reddick 0.1976 0.1117 45.6
4 Chris Owings 0.1873 0.2609 44.8
5 Ian Desmond 0.2358 0.2917 40.7
6 Jung Ho Kang 0.3048 0.2120 39.8
7 Nick Castellanos 0.1965 0.2555 39.6
8 Troy Tulowitzki 0.1488 0.2135 38.6
9 Kole Calhoun 0.1913 0.2391 38.0
10 Randal Grichuk 0.2142 0.3143 37.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0994 0.1896 59.0
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1206 0.1698 34.1
3 Manny Machado 0.0517 0.0982 33.1
4 Joc Pederson 0.1013 0.1573 32.7
5 Miguel Sanó 0.0782 0.1582 26.8
6 Joey Votto 0.1679 0.2058 26.3
7 Kris Bryant 0.0782 0.1185 26.2
8 Derek Norris 0.1087 0.0628 25.6
9 Alex Rodriguez 0.0948 0.1355 25.2
10 Miguel Cabrera 0.1013 0.1507 25.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.1109 0.1896 50.8
2 Joc Pederson 0.1035 0.1573 30.9
3 Alex Rodriguez 0.0891 0.1355 28.1
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1285 0.1698 28.0
5 Manny Machado 0.0584 0.0982 27.6
6 Miguel Sanó 0.0760 0.1582 27.2
7 Derek Norris 0.1089 0.0628 26.2
8 José Abreu 0.0949 0.0584 25.0
9 Joey Votto 0.1695 0.2058 24.5
10 Stephen Vogt 0.0638 0.1096 22.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.1127 0.1896 46.0
2 Derek Norris 0.1214 0.0628 36.3
3 Manny Machado 0.0494 0.0982 30.1
4 José Abreu 0.0962 0.0584 29.7
5 Miguel Sanó 0.0799 0.1582 24.0
6 Joc Pederson 0.1099 0.1573 23.8
7 Troy Tulowitzki 0.1072 0.0712 22.8
8 Prince Fielder 0.1182 0.0924 22.5
9 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1311 0.1698 22.3
10 Ryan Howard 0.0913 0.0537 22.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Rizzo 0.0153 0.0428 19.1
2 Brandon Guyer 0.0231 0.0623 15.1
3 Jung Ho Kang 0.0089 0.0364 12.8
4 Kolten Wong 0.0092 0.0245 9.2
5 Alex Gordon 0.0119 0.0332 8.9
6 Rougned Odor 0.0117 0.0298 8.4
7 Justin Turner 0.0105 0.0296 8.3
8 Mike Moustakas 0.0079 0.0212 8.1
9 Brandon Crawford 0.0056 0.0196 7.8
10 Khris Davis 0.0183 0.0023 7.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Rizzo 0.0130 0.0428 20.7
2 Brandon Guyer 0.0210 0.0623 15.8
3 Jung Ho Kang 0.0070 0.0364 13.6
4 Kolten Wong 0.0080 0.0245 9.9
5 Alex Gordon 0.0110 0.0332 9.2
6 Rougned Odor 0.0110 0.0298 8.7
7 Justin Turner 0.0110 0.0296 8.0
8 Mike Moustakas 0.0090 0.0212 7.3
9 Lucas Duda 0.0120 0.0253 7.2
10 Logan Forsythe 0.0110 0.0228 7.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Rizzo 0.0154 0.0428 19.1
2 Brandon Guyer 0.0298 0.0623 12.5
3 Kolten Wong 0.0072 0.0245 10.4
4 Jung Ho Kang 0.0159 0.0364 9.5
5 Alex Gordon 0.0121 0.0332 8.8
6 Brandon Crawford 0.0056 0.0196 7.7
7 Rougned Odor 0.0134 0.0298 7.6
8 Mike Moustakas 0.0088 0.0212 7.5
9 Evan Gattis 0.0169 0.0050 7.4
10 Khris Davis 0.0187 0.0023 7.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0510 0.1066 33.6
2 Nolan Arenado 0.0354 0.0812 27.6
3 Joc Pederson 0.0325 0.0828 27.0
4 Matt Carpenter 0.0223 0.0656 26.0
5 J.D. Martinez 0.0489 0.0903 24.4
6 Miguel Sanó 0.0398 0.1111 22.5
7 Manny Machado 0.0338 0.0663 20.2
8 Alex Rodriguez 0.0493 0.0857 20.0
9 Josh Donaldson 0.0509 0.0822 19.2
10 Nelson Cruz 0.0700 0.1030 18.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0616 0.1066 27.8
2 Matt Carpenter 0.0217 0.0656 27.6
3 Alex Rodriguez 0.0426 0.0857 25.2
4 Nolan Arenado 0.0419 0.0812 24.6
5 Nelson Cruz 0.0662 0.1030 22.5
6 Carlos Correa 0.0185 0.0703 21.3
7 J.D. Martinez 0.0560 0.0903 20.9
8 Chris Davis 0.0944 0.1270 20.2
9 Xander Bogaerts 0.0412 0.0135 19.7
10 Manny Machado 0.0388 0.0663 17.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nolan Arenado 0.0346 0.0812 26.6
2 Matt Carpenter 0.0197 0.0656 26.1
3 Chase Headley 0.0559 0.0245 24.4
4 Adam LaRoche 0.0801 0.0403 22.5
5 George Springer 0.0970 0.0563 21.3
6 Brandon Moss 0.0915 0.0586 20.8
7 Bryce Harper 0.0683 0.1066 20.7
8 Delino DeShields 0.0398 0.0060 19.9
9 Carlos Correa 0.0199 0.0703 18.9
10 Kris Bryant 0.0932 0.0712 18.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kris Bryant 0.2993 0.3776 50.7
2 Xander Bogaerts 0.2951 0.3699 48.7
3 Odúbel Herrera 0.2993 0.3819 44.2
4 Chris Colabello 0.2921 0.4107 42.6
5 Torii Hunter 0.3325 0.2581 42.3
6 Yunel Escobar 0.2778 0.3464 40.4
7 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.3210 0.3785 37.4
8 Albert Pujols 0.2706 0.2170 35.6
9 Nelson Cruz 0.2957 0.3499 35.3
10 Bryce Harper 0.3154 0.3693 35.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Odúbel Herrera 0.2853 0.3819 48.4
2 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.3025 0.3785 45.5
3 Torii Hunter 0.3291 0.2581 43.8
4 Nelson Cruz 0.2816 0.3499 40.5
5 Xander Bogaerts 0.3016 0.3699 40.5
6 Albert Pujols 0.2674 0.2170 37.5
7 Chris Colabello 0.3028 0.4107 36.6
8 Miguel Sanó 0.2829 0.3958 35.7
9 Billy Burns 0.2681 0.3387 35.6
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3238 0.3811 35.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nelson Cruz 0.2821 0.3499 42.5
2 Chris Colabello 0.2899 0.4107 42.4
3 Jay Bruce 0.3094 0.2512 39.7
4 Albert Pujols 0.2701 0.2170 37.1
5 Miguel Sanó 0.2877 0.3958 35.2
6 Yunel Escobar 0.2847 0.3464 34.7
7 Xander Bogaerts 0.3155 0.3699 33.6
8 Joc Pederson 0.3121 0.2604 32.0
9 Torii Hunter 0.3102 0.2581 31.2
10 Billy Hamilton 0.3228 0.2572 31.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nelson Cruz 0.2151 0.2898 49.8
2 Xander Bogaerts 0.2235 0.2955 48.0
3 Freddy Galvis 0.1884 0.2630 45.8
4 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2568 0.3183 41.0
5 Yunel Escobar 0.2222 0.2898 40.7
6 Chris Colabello 0.2178 0.3214 37.8
7 Odúbel Herrera 0.2242 0.2912 36.7
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2296 0.2788 35.1
9 Todd Frazier 0.2237 0.1736 33.0
10 Kris Bryant 0.2242 0.2714 31.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nelson Cruz 0.2061 0.2898 53.1
2 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2430 0.3183 47.4
3 Xander Bogaerts 0.2267 0.2955 43.2
4 Freddy Galvis 0.1904 0.2630 42.2
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2251 0.2788 35.5
6 Jay Bruce 0.2065 0.1579 33.2
7 Chris Colabello 0.2283 0.3214 32.6
8 Billy Burns 0.2164 0.2769 32.1
9 Odúbel Herrera 0.2292 0.2912 31.9
10 Torii Hunter 0.2554 0.2030 31.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nelson Cruz 0.2103 0.2898 51.8
2 Freddy Galvis 0.1871 0.2630 45.5
3 Jay Bruce 0.2210 0.1579 41.2
4 Jorge Soler 0.1798 0.2815 40.9
5 Xander Bogaerts 0.2330 0.2955 40.6
6 Chris Colabello 0.2085 0.3214 40.5
7 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2254 0.2788 36.8
8 Yunel Escobar 0.2323 0.2898 33.7
9 Aramis Ramirez 0.2364 0.1722 33.4
10 Prince Fielder 0.2211 0.2682 32.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0604 0.1080 30.3
2 Hanley Ramirez 0.0841 0.0381 20.3
3 Lucas Duda 0.0692 0.1068 20.2
4 Albert Pujols 0.0734 0.0446 19.8
5 Todd Frazier 0.0643 0.0945 19.7
6 Jhonny Peralta 0.0842 0.0569 18.3
7 Matt Carpenter 0.0822 0.1103 17.9
8 Freddy Galvis 0.0580 0.0304 17.3
9 Randal Grichuk 0.0667 0.1168 17.1
10 Billy Hamilton 0.0584 0.0231 16.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0698 0.1080 23.3
2 Hanley Ramirez 0.0844 0.0381 21.0
3 Matt Carpenter 0.0769 0.1103 20.6
4 Lucas Duda 0.0693 0.1068 19.5
5 Todd Frazier 0.0656 0.0945 18.0
6 Randal Grichuk 0.0631 0.1168 17.9
7 Odúbel Herrera 0.0474 0.0824 17.5
8 Brandon Crawford 0.0556 0.0889 17.4
9 Freddy Galvis 0.0562 0.0304 17.0
10 Logan Morrison 0.0697 0.0414 15.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0633 0.1080 27.2
2 Hanley Ramirez 0.0931 0.0381 25.0
3 Freddy Galvis 0.0680 0.0304 24.5
4 Albert Pujols 0.0763 0.0446 23.0
5 Odúbel Herrera 0.0425 0.0824 19.8
6 Matt Carpenter 0.0783 0.1103 19.2
7 Evan Gattis 0.0749 0.0471 18.7
8 Michael A. Taylor 0.0811 0.0495 17.7
9 Todd Frazier 0.0655 0.0945 17.6
10 Jhonny Peralta 0.0803 0.0569 17.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eddie Rosario 0.0076 0.0457 17.9
2 Rajai Davis 0.0057 0.0421 13.3
3 Evan Gattis 0.0035 0.0259 13.3
4 Delino DeShields 0.0076 0.0300 10.8
5 Starling Marte 0.0201 0.0045 10.1
6 Anthony Gose 0.0076 0.0237 8.4
7 Randal Grichuk 0.0111 0.0355 8.4
8 Brett Gardner 0.0180 0.0070 7.5
9 Billy Burns 0.0069 0.0206 7.3
10 Michael Bourn 0.0208 0.0061 7.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eddie Rosario 0.0107 0.0457 16.0
2 Rajai Davis 0.0065 0.0421 12.7
3 Evan Gattis 0.0041 0.0259 12.4
4 Delino DeShields 0.0082 0.0300 10.1
5 Randal Grichuk 0.0076 0.0355 9.3
6 Starling Marte 0.0164 0.0045 8.3
7 Billy Burns 0.0070 0.0206 6.8
8 Charlie Blackmon 0.0074 0.0182 6.5
9 Brett Gardner 0.0148 0.0070 6.0
10 Marcell Ozuna 0.0108 0.0000 6.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eddie Rosario 0.0090 0.0457 17.7
2 Evan Gattis 0.0037 0.0259 13.7
3 Rajai Davis 0.0061 0.0421 13.5
4 Starling Marte 0.0250 0.0045 12.6
5 Delino DeShields 0.0076 0.0300 11.3
6 Brett Gardner 0.0208 0.0070 8.8
7 Randal Grichuk 0.0120 0.0355 8.4
8 AJ Pollock 0.0240 0.0118 7.8
9 Michael Bourn 0.0223 0.0061 7.6
10 James McCann 0.0000 0.0162 7.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lorenzo Cain 0.1131 0.1672 31.4
2 Bryce Harper 0.1317 0.1804 30.5
3 Josh Donaldson 0.1291 0.1716 28.7
4 J.D. Martinez 0.0992 0.1416 26.5
5 Delino DeShields 0.1145 0.1687 25.6
6 Yadier Molina 0.1104 0.0642 25.6
7 AJ Pollock 0.1269 0.1649 24.2
8 Kole Calhoun 0.1457 0.1137 23.4
9 Danny Valencia 0.0924 0.1561 23.3
10 Brandon Moss 0.1306 0.0894 22.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 AJ Pollock 0.1046 0.1649 37.0
2 Lorenzo Cain 0.1069 0.1672 33.2
3 Delino DeShields 0.0987 0.1687 31.8
4 Bryce Harper 0.1320 0.1804 28.2
5 Victor Martinez 0.1299 0.0804 26.6
6 Josh Donaldson 0.1312 0.1716 24.9
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.0940 0.1905 24.9
8 DJ LeMahieu 0.0923 0.1371 24.5
9 Nick Castellanos 0.1061 0.0706 24.3
10 Grégor Blanco 0.0880 0.1586 24.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lorenzo Cain 0.1094 0.1672 34.3
2 Bryce Harper 0.1332 0.1804 30.2
3 Josh Donaldson 0.1293 0.1716 29.3
4 Nolan Arenado 0.1039 0.1459 27.2
5 Delino DeShields 0.1145 0.1687 26.2
6 DJ LeMahieu 0.0960 0.1371 24.9
7 Kole Calhoun 0.1478 0.1137 24.1
8 Melky Cabrera 0.1355 0.1025 23.2
9 Jedd Gyorko 0.1234 0.0742 23.0
10 Russell Martin 0.1038 0.1499 22.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

RBI Rate

Biggest RBI Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nolan Arenado 0.1142 0.1955 52.0
2 Anthony Gose 0.1091 0.0486 34.0
3 Bryce Harper 0.0994 0.1514 32.0
4 Kendrys Morales 0.1190 0.1659 27.9
5 Josh Donaldson 0.1324 0.1730 26.7
6 Kris Bryant 0.1091 0.1523 26.1
7 Justin Smoak 0.1000 0.1799 25.2
8 Brandon Crawford 0.1019 0.1497 25.1
9 Shin-Soo Choo 0.0851 0.1256 24.4
10 Starling Marte 0.0879 0.1280 23.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nolan Arenado 0.1326 0.1955 41.0
2 Brandon Crawford 0.0892 0.1497 33.3
3 Carlos Correa 0.0826 0.1574 31.8
4 Matt Carpenter 0.0833 0.1263 27.8
5 Kendrys Morales 0.1221 0.1659 27.2
6 Matt Duffy 0.0832 0.1258 25.3
7 Daniel Murphy 0.0897 0.1357 24.1
8 Justin Bour 0.1087 0.1637 24.0
9 Pablo Sandoval 0.1382 0.0931 23.4
10 Mitch Moreland 0.1193 0.1650 23.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nolan Arenado 0.1180 0.1955 49.1
2 Mark Trumbo 0.1780 0.1174 35.0
3 Adam LaRoche 0.1498 0.0909 30.3
4 George Springer 0.1501 0.0909 28.4
5 Gregory Polanco 0.1193 0.0798 28.2
6 Marcell Ozuna 0.1402 0.0891 27.1
7 Pablo Sandoval 0.1412 0.0931 26.2
8 Shin-Soo Choo 0.0821 0.1256 25.9
9 Marcus Semien 0.1136 0.0749 25.5
10 Bryce Harper 0.1107 0.1514 24.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Stolen Base Rate

Biggest Stolen Base Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Billy Hamilton 0.3471 0.5327 88.8
2 Charlie Blackmon 0.1324 0.2416 81.3
3 Kevin Pillar 0.0492 0.1656 79.4
4 Jake Marisnick 0.1282 0.3200 75.1
5 AJ Pollock 0.1183 0.2143 71.3
6 Delino DeShields 0.0572 0.1880 69.3
7 Anthony Gose 0.0572 0.1716 66.6
8 Brandon Phillips 0.0492 0.1345 59.4
9 Carlos González 0.1196 0.0154 57.3
10 Manny Machado 0.0381 0.1058 55.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Blackmon 0.1375 0.2416 78.4
2 Brandon Phillips 0.0329 0.1345 70.0
3 AJ Pollock 0.1264 0.2143 66.4
4 Jake Marisnick 0.1668 0.3200 61.0
5 Ryan Braun 0.0790 0.1633 54.0
6 Joc Pederson 0.1284 0.0256 53.8
7 Justin Upton 0.0492 0.1242 53.1
8 Manny Machado 0.0444 0.1058 51.5
9 Billy Hamilton 0.4369 0.5327 48.4
10 Anthony Rizzo 0.0367 0.0854 41.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Blackmon 0.1387 0.2416 82.5
2 Delino DeShields 0.0572 0.1880 73.2
3 Brandon Phillips 0.0444 0.1345 67.4
4 Billy Hamilton 0.4091 0.5327 64.3
5 Jake Marisnick 0.1721 0.3200 61.7
6 Manny Machado 0.0397 0.1058 60.1
7 Jace Peterson 0.1967 0.0795 59.2
8 Carlos González 0.1287 0.0154 57.9
9 Joc Pederson 0.1389 0.0256 55.7
10 Jimmy Paredes 0.2039 0.0444 54.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Batting Average

Biggest Batting Average Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Xander Bogaerts 0.2431 0.3197 49.5
2 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2680 0.3333 42.0
3 Bryce Harper 0.2689 0.3301 39.4
4 Yunel Escobar 0.2549 0.3140 34.4
5 Chris Colabello 0.2305 0.3213 32.3
6 Mike Moustakas 0.2306 0.2842 32.3
7 Victor Martinez 0.3072 0.2455 30.4
8 Torii Hunter 0.2926 0.2399 30.4
9 AJ Pollock 0.2722 0.3153 28.3
10 Jayson Werth 0.2931 0.2205 27.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2557 0.3333 48.9
2 Xander Bogaerts 0.2596 0.3197 37.5
3 Billy Burns 0.2281 0.2942 35.2
4 AJ Pollock 0.2604 0.3153 35.1
5 Francisco Lindor 0.2341 0.3128 33.3
6 Nelson Cruz 0.2497 0.3017 32.3
7 Bryce Harper 0.2787 0.3301 31.8
8 Victor Martinez 0.3082 0.2455 31.7
9 Jason Kipnis 0.2525 0.3027 30.4
10 Odúbel Herrera 0.2395 0.2970 29.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Xander Bogaerts 0.2628 0.3197 32.1
2 Victor Martinez 0.3033 0.2455 31.9
3 Chris Owings 0.2755 0.2272 31.1
4 Logan Forsythe 0.2240 0.2815 30.5
5 Chris Colabello 0.2298 0.3213 30.1
6 Billy Burns 0.2338 0.2942 29.1
7 Nelson Cruz 0.2496 0.3017 28.9
8 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2814 0.3333 28.7
9 Bryce Harper 0.2800 0.3301 27.6
10 Ian Desmond 0.2679 0.2333 27.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

On-Base Percentage

Biggest On-Base Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.3449 0.4602 74.9
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3796 0.4352 38.0
3 Mike Moustakas 0.2866 0.3475 36.9
4 Omar Infante 0.3111 0.2340 35.5
5 Victor Martinez 0.3717 0.3010 34.7
6 Xander Bogaerts 0.3031 0.3548 33.3
7 Logan Forsythe 0.3053 0.3593 32.7
8 René Rivera 0.3142 0.2134 32.4
9 Yunel Escobar 0.3190 0.3746 32.4
10 Joey Votto 0.4123 0.4590 31.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.3612 0.4602 62.5
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3767 0.4352 38.2
3 Victor Martinez 0.3752 0.3010 37.7
4 Nelson Cruz 0.3089 0.3695 37.4
5 Omar Infante 0.3109 0.2340 36.6
6 AJ Pollock 0.3097 0.3670 36.2
7 Joey Votto 0.4050 0.4590 35.1
8 Logan Forsythe 0.2998 0.3593 34.5
9 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.3044 0.3586 33.1
10 Hanley Ramirez 0.3632 0.2907 32.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.3649 0.4602 54.4
2 Omar Infante 0.3020 0.2340 36.5
3 Victor Martinez 0.3604 0.3010 34.7
4 Troy Tulowitzki 0.3895 0.3371 34.5
5 Wilson Ramos 0.3121 0.2579 33.4
6 Nelson Cruz 0.3088 0.3695 31.7
7 Chris Owings 0.3087 0.2642 31.3
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3782 0.4352 31.2
9 Joe Mauer 0.3712 0.3383 30.0
10 Jean Segura 0.3179 0.2806 28.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Slugging Percentage

Biggest Slugging Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.4499 0.6488 123.5
2 Nolan Arenado 0.4406 0.5747 82.5
3 Josh Donaldson 0.4537 0.5677 74.0
4 Victor Martinez 0.4814 0.3659 60.9
5 Mark Teixeira 0.4173 0.5485 56.0
6 Adam LaRoche 0.4444 0.3403 55.2
7 Yadier Molina 0.4429 0.3504 54.3
8 Yoenis Cespedes 0.4539 0.5419 52.7
9 Mike Moustakas 0.3772 0.4699 50.8
10 Troy Tulowitzki 0.5251 0.4403 50.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.4871 0.6488 99.6
2 Carlos Correa 0.3110 0.5116 82.7
3 Nelson Cruz 0.4565 0.5661 65.7
4 Alex Rodriguez 0.3723 0.4857 64.5
5 Nolan Arenado 0.4685 0.5747 64.4
6 AJ Pollock 0.3932 0.4975 63.9
7 Francisco Lindor 0.3293 0.4821 62.8
8 Victor Martinez 0.4848 0.3659 62.2
9 Matt Carpenter 0.4032 0.5052 61.7
10 Josh Donaldson 0.4722 0.5677 61.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.4941 0.6488 84.4
2 Troy Tulowitzki 0.5525 0.4403 73.5
3 Adam LaRoche 0.4623 0.3403 71.4
4 Victor Martinez 0.4728 0.3659 64.2
5 Chris Owings 0.4102 0.3223 62.6
6 Nolan Arenado 0.4630 0.5747 57.3
7 Pablo Sandoval 0.4535 0.3660 57.1
8 Carlos Correa 0.3571 0.5116 55.7
9 Ian Desmond 0.4437 0.3842 54.5
10 Nelson Cruz 0.4578 0.5661 54.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Biggest Batters Faced (BF) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 785 111 674.0
2 Brandon McCarthy 725 94 631.0
3 Carlos Rodón 1 607 606.0
4 Noah Syndergaard 1 603 602.0
5 Henderson Alvarez III 699 102 597.0
6 Homer Bailey 637 51 586.0
7 Chris Heston 169 746 577.0
8 Brad Peacock 568 22 546.0
9 Anthony DeSclafani 241 785 544.0
10 Kevin Correia 644 114 530.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Heston 4 746 741.7
2 Adam Wainwright 810 111 698.5
3 Homer Bailey 701 51 650.1
4 Brandon McCarthy 728 94 633.7
5 Derek Holland 864 245 619.2
6 Jason Vargas 798 183 614.8
7 Carlos Rodón 1 607 606.0
8 Henderson Alvarez III 698 102 595.9
9 Chris Rusin 4 594 589.7
10 Ricky Nolasco 754 173 581.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Wainwright 841 111 730.1
2 Tyler Matzek 811 102 708.9
3 Homer Bailey 731 51 680.1
4 Dan Straily 742 76 666.0
5 Marcus Stroman 734 103 631.0
6 Andrew Albers 631 11 620.1
7 Chris Volstad 625 7 617.9
8 Henderson Alvarez III 716 102 614.1
9 Brandon McCarthy 705 94 611.1
10 Chris Beck 642 31 610.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 0.2910 0.2235 62.7
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.3131 0.2541 59.9
3 Jake Arrieta 0.2815 0.2254 54.7
4 Kyle Kendrick 0.3216 0.3901 38.8
5 Kyle Lohse 0.2965 0.3601 37.8
6 Matt Garza 0.2966 0.3565 35.4
7 David Buchanan 0.3094 0.4098 32.8
8 Jacob deGrom 0.2855 0.2487 32.8
9 Jaime García 0.3104 0.2541 32.2
10 Max Scherzer 0.2857 0.2571 31.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.2924 0.2254 65.1
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.3100 0.2541 58.1
3 Zack Greinke 0.2808 0.2235 55.0
4 Jacob deGrom 0.2958 0.2487 41.3
5 Sonny Gray 0.3028 0.2619 40.5
6 Chris Archer 0.3047 0.2716 35.5
7 Chris Young 0.3353 0.2781 32.6
8 Chris Rusin 0.3111 0.3722 31.7
9 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.3428 0.2903 31.4
10 Marco Estrada 0.3098 0.2764 29.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.2763 0.2254 63.1
2 James Shields 0.2543 0.3350 50.7
3 Zack Greinke 0.2555 0.2235 45.3
4 Andrew Cashner 0.2597 0.3328 41.3
5 Dallas Keuchel 0.2774 0.2541 41.0
6 Phil Hughes 0.2615 0.3461 40.9
7 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.3468 0.2903 40.7
8 Matt Garza 0.2774 0.3565 38.3
9 Kyle Kendrick 0.3100 0.3901 36.8
10 Kyle Lohse 0.2838 0.3601 36.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Archer 0.2069 0.2903 70.6
2 Clayton Kershaw 0.2673 0.3382 61.3
3 R.A. Dickey 0.1995 0.1425 52.1
4 Carlos Carrasco 0.2232 0.2959 51.6
5 Dallas Keuchel 0.1795 0.2371 50.7
6 Chris Sale 0.2619 0.3208 48.6
7 Jeff Samardzija 0.2284 0.1791 46.7
8 Alex Wood 0.2296 0.1735 46.5
9 Noah Syndergaard 0.2040 0.2753 41.8
10 Mark Buehrle 0.1582 0.1100 41.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Archer 0.2070 0.2903 71.7
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.1748 0.2371 56.2
3 Carlos Carrasco 0.2287 0.2959 48.6
4 Clayton Kershaw 0.2886 0.3382 43.6
5 Travis Wood 0.1781 0.2816 43.1
6 Alex Wood 0.2265 0.1735 43.0
7 Jacob deGrom 0.2201 0.2730 39.2
8 Jeff Samardzija 0.2211 0.1791 38.8
9 Kyle Hendricks 0.1729 0.2260 38.7
10 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1769 0.2481 36.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 0.2376 0.1791 67.8
2 Chris Archer 0.2033 0.2903 61.7
3 Phil Hughes 0.2120 0.1444 54.4
4 Alex Wood 0.2200 0.1735 50.1
5 R.A. Dickey 0.1818 0.1425 48.9
6 Brett Anderson 0.1992 0.1547 45.5
7 Carlos Carrasco 0.2185 0.2959 44.8
8 Dallas Keuchel 0.1731 0.2371 43.7
9 Jered Weaver 0.1830 0.1345 43.1
10 Yovani Gallardo 0.1892 0.1526 41.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Scherzer 0.0708 0.0378 29.9
2 James Shields 0.0610 0.0942 28.2
3 Carlos Rodón 0.0766 0.1170 24.3
4 Jake Arrieta 0.0794 0.0552 21.4
5 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.1117 0.0860 20.6
6 Jacob deGrom 0.0776 0.0506 20.6
7 Taijuan Walker 0.0852 0.0567 20.4
8 Julio Teheran 0.0627 0.0866 19.8
9 Trevor May 0.0878 0.0528 17.4
10 Michael Lorenzen 0.0766 0.1107 17.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 0.0573 0.0942 30.8
2 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1330 0.0827 26.7
3 Max Scherzer 0.0653 0.0378 25.7
4 Carlos Rodón 0.0766 0.1170 23.8
5 Trevor May 0.0999 0.0528 23.7
6 Taijuan Walker 0.0880 0.0567 22.9
7 Jake Arrieta 0.0801 0.0552 22.6
8 Julio Teheran 0.0615 0.0866 20.3
9 Roberto Osuna 0.1199 0.0590 16.8
10 Jacob deGrom 0.0714 0.0506 16.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 0.0562 0.0942 36.2
2 Julio Teheran 0.0565 0.0866 28.8
3 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1397 0.0827 27.5
4 Jake Arrieta 0.0901 0.0552 26.9
5 Raisel Iglesias 0.1403 0.0709 25.8
6 Trevor May 0.1024 0.0528 22.4
7 Max Scherzer 0.0660 0.0378 21.6
8 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.1140 0.0860 18.9
9 Félix Hernández 0.0520 0.0702 18.4
10 Mike Fiers 0.0641 0.0841 18.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.0055 0.0233 9.8
2 Chris Heston 0.0059 0.0174 8.4
3 Chris Archer 0.0111 0.0035 6.8
4 Jered Weaver 0.0081 0.0179 6.5
5 Rick Porcello 0.0053 0.0136 6.0
6 Fernando Rodney 0.0075 0.0289 5.9
7 Dallas Keuchel 0.0082 0.0022 5.7
8 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0067 0.0139 5.6
9 Scott Feldman 0.0114 0.0000 5.2
10 Mike Leake 0.0102 0.0039 5.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.0080 0.0233 8.3
2 Jered Weaver 0.0079 0.0179 6.5
3 Justin Masterson 0.0144 0.0366 6.0
4 Chris Archer 0.0099 0.0035 5.9
5 Fernando Rodney 0.0082 0.0289 5.6
6 Mike Pelfrey 0.0090 0.0168 5.3
7 Chris Heston 0.0101 0.0174 5.2
8 Chris Bassitt 0.0103 0.0249 5.2
9 Dallas Keuchel 0.0073 0.0022 4.9
10 Rick Porcello 0.0067 0.0136 4.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0045 0.0139 8.6
2 Nick Martinez 0.0097 0.0233 8.4
3 Jered Weaver 0.0070 0.0179 8.3
4 Rick Porcello 0.0051 0.0136 7.4
5 Chris Archer 0.0122 0.0035 6.3
6 Fernando Rodney 0.0079 0.0289 6.2
7 Raisel Iglesias 0.0036 0.0177 6.2
8 Scott Kazmir 0.0053 0.0118 6.2
9 Cole Hamels 0.0059 0.0114 6.1
10 Corey Kluber 0.0071 0.0124 6.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0221 0.0614 23.3
2 James Shields 0.0326 0.0596 19.7
3 Kyle Kendrick 0.0346 0.0664 17.4
4 Ian Kennedy 0.0363 0.0646 17.2
5 Shelby Miller 0.0373 0.0213 17.2
6 Taijuan Walker 0.0280 0.0500 12.6
7 Matthew Boyd 0.0376 0.0904 12.3
8 Jake Arrieta 0.0273 0.0172 12.3
9 Mike Pelfrey 0.0318 0.0193 11.9
10 Gio González 0.0270 0.0155 11.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 0.0323 0.0596 20.7
2 Shelby Miller 0.0398 0.0213 18.6
3 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0325 0.0614 17.0
4 Ian Kennedy 0.0378 0.0646 16.9
5 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0408 0.0200 16.1
6 Jake Arrieta 0.0311 0.0172 14.8
7 Gio González 0.0312 0.0155 14.3
8 Kyle Kendrick 0.0408 0.0664 14.1
9 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0437 0.0296 13.6
10 Rubby De La Rosa 0.0344 0.0541 13.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Shields 0.0228 0.0596 29.9
2 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0239 0.0614 23.5
3 Ian Kennedy 0.0335 0.0646 20.7
4 Shelby Miller 0.0412 0.0213 18.8
5 Phil Hughes 0.0252 0.0538 17.4
6 Kyle Kendrick 0.0374 0.0664 17.0
7 Jake Arrieta 0.0330 0.0172 15.5
8 Max Scherzer 0.0278 0.0462 14.8
9 Rubby De La Rosa 0.0339 0.0541 14.7
10 Carlos Rodón 0.0492 0.0283 13.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 0.2990 0.2295 60.5
2 Marco Estrada 0.2727 0.2157 43.0
3 Michael Pineda 0.2664 0.3319 42.2
4 Gio González 0.2870 0.3406 38.8
5 Andrew Cashner 0.2805 0.3303 38.2
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.3048 0.2688 34.8
7 Masahiro Tanaka 0.2961 0.2422 34.2
8 Will Harris 0.3095 0.1921 33.0
9 Jake Arrieta 0.2806 0.2456 32.4
10 Héctor Santiago 0.2901 0.2520 31.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 0.2842 0.2295 50.6
2 Marco Estrada 0.2798 0.2157 50.3
3 Jake Arrieta 0.2908 0.2456 44.0
4 Sonny Gray 0.2970 0.2551 39.3
5 Dallas Keuchel 0.3026 0.2688 35.7
6 Gio González 0.2898 0.3406 34.4
7 Chris Young 0.2694 0.2095 32.6
8 Drew Hutchison 0.2886 0.3428 32.4
9 Masahiro Tanaka 0.2858 0.2422 29.8
10 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2875 0.3367 29.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 0.2818 0.2295 52.2
2 Marco Estrada 0.2745 0.2157 49.6
3 Gio González 0.2797 0.3406 38.8
4 Jake Arrieta 0.2780 0.2456 36.5
5 Andrew Cashner 0.2755 0.3303 36.3
6 Dan Haren 0.2923 0.2558 35.4
7 Chris Young 0.2697 0.2095 34.9
8 Will Harris 0.3007 0.1921 32.6
9 Masahiro Tanaka 0.2839 0.2422 31.2
10 Drew Hutchison 0.2884 0.3428 29.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Héctor Santiago 0.2310 0.1726 45.4
2 Gio González 0.2106 0.2638 40.1
3 Masahiro Tanaka 0.2207 0.1559 39.6
4 A.J. Burnett 0.2231 0.2763 37.0
5 Zack Greinke 0.2303 0.1866 37.0
6 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2336 0.2837 33.6
7 Jordan Zimmermann 0.2178 0.2567 32.2
8 Drew Hutchison 0.2081 0.2555 31.3
9 Jake Odorizzi 0.2243 0.1801 31.1
10 Marco Estrada 0.2005 0.1588 30.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2156 0.2837 42.9
2 Marco Estrada 0.2098 0.1588 40.1
3 Héctor Santiago 0.2194 0.1726 39.6
4 Masahiro Tanaka 0.2143 0.1559 38.2
5 Drew Hutchison 0.1943 0.2555 37.7
6 A.J. Burnett 0.2182 0.2763 37.6
7 Jake Arrieta 0.2181 0.1825 34.8
8 CC Sabathia 0.2160 0.2653 32.7
9 Gio González 0.2173 0.2638 32.0
10 Dan Haren 0.2092 0.1735 30.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dan Haren 0.2923 0.1735 42.5
2 Masahiro Tanaka 0.2839 0.1559 39.4
3 Marco Estrada 0.2745 0.1588 37.9
4 Gio González 0.2797 0.2638 36.0
5 Héctor Santiago 0.2805 0.1726 34.5
6 A.J. Burnett 0.2906 0.2763 34.3
7 Chris Young 0.2697 0.1397 33.3
8 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2994 0.2837 32.1
9 Jordan Zimmermann 0.2816 0.2567 32.0
10 Tyson Ross 0.2781 0.2529 31.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 CC Sabathia 0.0764 0.0436 24.9
2 Zack Greinke 0.0626 0.0377 22.3
3 Brett Anderson 0.0724 0.0458 21.1
4 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0644 0.0419 19.9
5 John Lackey 0.0684 0.0498 18.0
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.0629 0.0448 17.8
7 A.J. Burnett 0.0724 0.0495 17.0
8 Eddie Butler 0.0651 0.1124 16.9
9 Michael Lorenzen 0.0655 0.0997 16.9
10 Bud Norris 0.0677 0.1133 16.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sonny Gray 0.0672 0.0394 23.5
2 Zack Greinke 0.0643 0.0377 22.8
3 Chris Heston 0.0394 0.0703 22.8
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.0685 0.0448 21.9
5 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0654 0.0419 19.8
6 Wei-Yin Chen 0.0635 0.0885 19.5
7 Chad Bettis 0.0682 0.1063 18.9
8 Bud Norris 0.0642 0.1133 18.3
9 Kyle Hendricks 0.0466 0.0714 18.1
10 Michael Lorenzen 0.0646 0.0997 17.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 0.0000 0.0377 23.5
2 Trevor Gott 0.0655 0.0195 22.5
3 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0394 21.7
4 Chad Bettis 0.0000 0.1063 20.5
5 Matthew Boyd 0.0655 0.0526 19.8
6 Jordan Zimmermann 0.0000 0.0419 19.6
7 Dallas Keuchel 0.0000 0.0448 18.9
8 Wei-Yin Chen 0.0000 0.0885 18.2
9 Bud Norris 0.0000 0.1133 18.0
10 Michael Lorenzen 0.0000 0.0997 17.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Kennedy 0.0079 0.0245 11.4
2 Alfredo Simon 0.0047 0.0166 9.2
3 Aaron Harang 0.0077 0.0197 8.6
4 Danny Salazar 0.0029 0.0146 8.4
5 Shane Greene 0.0071 0.0289 7.9
6 Mike Fiers 0.0042 0.0144 7.2
7 Rubby De La Rosa 0.0096 0.0018 6.9
8 Collin McHugh 0.0103 0.0033 6.6
9 Kendall Graveman 0.0123 0.0000 6.5
10 Mike Bolsinger 0.0159 0.0032 6.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Kennedy 0.0068 0.0245 12.2
2 Aaron Harang 0.0069 0.0197 9.2
3 Shane Greene 0.0042 0.0289 9.0
4 Alfredo Simon 0.0070 0.0166 7.3
5 Garrett Richards 0.0071 0.0000 6.7
6 Chris Archer 0.0069 0.0000 6.5
7 Jake Odorizzi 0.0067 0.0166 6.5
8 Kyle Gibson 0.0072 0.0000 6.5
9 Drew Hutchison 0.0090 0.0000 6.4
10 Gio González 0.0069 0.0157 6.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Kennedy 0.0000 0.0245 12.1
2 Aaron Harang 0.0000 0.0197 9.2
3 Shane Greene 0.0000 0.0289 8.0
4 Alfredo Simon 0.0000 0.0166 7.5
5 Chris Archer 0.0000 0.0000 6.5
6 Garrett Richards 0.0000 0.0000 6.5
7 Jake Odorizzi 0.0000 0.0166 6.4
8 Gio González 0.0000 0.0157 6.3
9 Kyle Kendrick 0.0000 0.0172 6.1
10 Kyle Gibson 0.0000 0.0000 6.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.1030 0.0598 41.7
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.1110 0.0746 37.3
3 Zack Greinke 0.0883 0.0510 35.3
4 John Lackey 0.1088 0.0792 30.7
5 Andrew Cashner 0.0968 0.1381 29.4
6 Kyle Lohse 0.1014 0.1489 28.5
7 Alfredo Simon 0.0988 0.1366 27.1
8 Bud Norris 0.1093 0.1804 25.0
9 Shane Greene 0.1090 0.1796 24.6
10 Matt Garza 0.1121 0.1532 24.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.1034 0.0598 40.9
2 Zack Greinke 0.0914 0.0510 36.9
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.1084 0.0746 33.8
4 Yovani Gallardo 0.1258 0.0958 26.4
5 John Lackey 0.1045 0.0792 25.7
6 Drew Hutchison 0.1142 0.1551 25.0
7 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1375 0.0942 24.2
8 Jacob deGrom 0.1069 0.0786 23.8
9 Bud Norris 0.1142 0.1804 23.7
10 Matt Garza 0.1153 0.1532 23.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Cashner 0.0919 0.1381 37.3
2 Jake Arrieta 0.1006 0.0598 35.3
3 Matt Garza 0.1063 0.1532 31.3
4 Zack Greinke 0.0874 0.0510 30.5
5 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1486 0.0942 28.2
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.1053 0.0746 27.7
7 Cody Anderson 0.1617 0.0877 26.9
8 Odrisamer Despaigne 0.1009 0.1499 26.9
9 Rick Porcello 0.1036 0.1398 26.8
10 Kyle Lohse 0.1098 0.1489 26.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Earned Run Rate

Biggest Earned Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.0980 0.0517 44.6
2 Kyle Lohse 0.0931 0.1489 33.8
3 Zack Greinke 0.0828 0.0486 32.9
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.1014 0.0703 32.9
5 Odrisamer Despaigne 0.0939 0.1481 26.9
6 Alfredo Simon 0.0905 0.1280 26.8
7 John Lackey 0.0992 0.0748 26.3
8 Kyle Kendrick 0.1127 0.1590 26.0
9 Shane Greene 0.0972 0.1716 25.9
10 Jeff Samardzija 0.0964 0.1297 25.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.0943 0.0517 40.5
2 Zack Greinke 0.0821 0.0486 31.5
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.0978 0.0703 28.7
4 Yovani Gallardo 0.1163 0.0883 25.3
5 Shelby Miller 0.1047 0.0802 24.4
6 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1284 0.0865 23.8
7 Jacob deGrom 0.0978 0.0719 22.4
8 Kyle Lohse 0.1116 0.1489 22.2
9 John Lackey 0.0952 0.0748 21.8
10 David Price 0.0882 0.0676 21.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.0946 0.0517 36.3
2 Kyle Lohse 0.1026 0.1489 31.6
3 Odrisamer Despaigne 0.0936 0.1481 30.5
4 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0903 0.1318 28.2
5 Matt Garza 0.0997 0.1396 27.4
6 Zack Greinke 0.0823 0.0486 27.3
7 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.1397 0.0865 27.0
8 Jeff Samardzija 0.1013 0.1297 26.9
9 David Price 0.0971 0.0676 25.1
10 Jeremy Guthrie 0.1111 0.1476 25.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Win Rate

Biggest Win Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.2222 0.6667 335.4
2 Dallas Keuchel 0.2250 0.6061 293.5
3 Collin McHugh 0.2162 0.5938 273.7
4 Michael Wacha 0.1765 0.5667 252.4
5 Carlos Martinez 0.0682 0.4516 245.0
6 Colby Lewis 0.2222 0.5152 201.5
7 Nathan Eovaldi 0.1707 0.5185 194.4
8 Rubby De La Rosa 0.1471 0.4375 187.3
9 Carlos Carrasco 0.1538 0.4667 185.3
10 Gerrit Cole 0.3143 0.5938 183.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.3825 0.6667 253.6
2 Marco Estrada 0.0852 0.3824 220.8
3 Dallas Keuchel 0.3816 0.6061 211.2
4 Collin McHugh 0.3623 0.5938 205.1
5 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.1330 0.3750 197.3
6 Chris Heston 0.1384 0.3871 191.0
7 Gerrit Cole 0.3849 0.5938 179.9
8 Colby Lewis 0.3331 0.5152 163.1
9 Josh Tomlin 0.0816 0.7000 157.1
10 Chad Bettis 0.0951 0.4000 156.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.3103 0.6667 311.2
2 Carlos Carrasco 0.1714 0.4667 216.6
3 Collin McHugh 0.3667 0.5938 196.3
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.3929 0.6061 195.5
5 Michael Wacha 0.3200 0.5667 189.1
6 Johnny Cueto 0.5556 0.3438 182.2
7 Corey Kluber 0.4839 0.2813 178.3
8 Tanner Roark 0.4643 0.1000 169.5
9 Colby Lewis 0.3333 0.5152 157.8
10 Shelby Miller 0.3667 0.1818 157.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Loss Rate

Biggest Loss Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.1951 0.5000 217.4
2 Shelby Miller 0.2143 0.5152 207.5
3 Andrew Cashner 0.2059 0.5161 201.6
4 Anthony DeSclafani 0.1250 0.4194 184.3
5 Jesse Chavez 0.1707 0.5000 181.2
6 Matt Garza 0.2222 0.5385 171.0
7 Iván Nova 0.1818 0.6471 167.5
8 Rick Porcello 0.2500 0.5357 166.7
9 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2927 0.1111 162.3
10 Max Scherzer 0.1282 0.3636 158.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesse Chavez 0.1404 0.5000 251.7
2 Chris Rusin 0.0494 0.4167 227.1
3 Robbie Ray 0.1296 0.5217 221.9
4 Corey Kluber 0.3005 0.5000 190.1
5 Rick Porcello 0.3160 0.5357 173.0
6 Zack Greinke 0.3064 0.0938 166.6
7 Nathan Eovaldi 0.3672 0.1111 162.3
8 Chris Heston 0.1622 0.3548 154.9
9 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.1403 0.3125 148.1
10 Kyle Lobstein 0.1681 0.6154 129.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.2581 0.5000 226.7
2 Jesse Chavez 0.1818 0.5000 223.2
3 Shelby Miller 0.3000 0.5152 197.0
4 Carlos Carrasco 0.1714 0.4000 177.0
5 Matt Garza 0.2917 0.5385 173.7
6 Rick Porcello 0.3226 0.5357 167.4
7 Max Scherzer 0.1935 0.3636 165.5
8 Alex Wood 0.2000 0.3750 151.4
9 Garrett Richards 0.2143 0.3750 151.1
10 Andrew Cashner 0.3478 0.5161 146.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Save Rate

Biggest Save Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeurys Familia 0.0652 0.5658 160.9
2 Brad Boxberger 0.0488 0.5942 153.7
3 Andrew Miller 0.0204 0.6000 147.9
4 Shawn Tolleson 0.0244 0.4795 142.1
5 Trevor Rosenthal 0.2830 0.7059 127.6
6 AJ Ramos 0.0208 0.4507 125.1
7 Mark Melancon 0.2692 0.6538 119.1
8 Brad Ziegler 0.0577 0.4545 110.1
9 Luke Gregerson 0.0556 0.4844 107.7
10 Cody Allen 0.1636 0.4857 98.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeurys Familia 0.1036 0.5658 142.1
2 Shawn Tolleson 0.0462 0.4795 128.8
3 Joaquín Benoit 0.5246 0.0299 125.9
4 Brad Boxberger 0.1292 0.5942 125.8
5 AJ Ramos 0.0182 0.4507 119.5
6 Steve Cishek 0.5138 0.0678 108.6
7 Brad Ziegler 0.0431 0.4545 108.0
8 Andrew Miller 0.1831 0.6000 102.3
9 Addison Reed 0.4954 0.0727 102.1
10 John Axford 0.0400 0.4167 93.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rosenthal 0.0000 0.7059 194.1
2 Mark Melancon 0.0000 0.6538 183.0
3 Jeurys Familia 0.0000 0.5658 165.2
4 Huston Street 0.0000 0.6452 157.0
5 Brad Boxberger 0.0000 0.5942 153.1
6 Craig Kimbrel 0.0000 0.6393 145.8
7 Andrew Miller 0.0000 0.6000 140.4
8 Zack Britton 0.0000 0.5625 134.9
9 David Robertson 0.0000 0.5667 134.3
10 Shawn Tolleson 0.0000 0.4795 134.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Hold Rate

Biggest Hold Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jim Johnson 0.0444 0.3472 100.0
2 Carlos Martinez 0.2045 0.0323 99.3
3 Sergio Romo 0.1458 0.4857 87.5
4 Daniel Hudson 0.1053 0.3281 76.5
5 Keone Kela 0.0524 0.3235 75.8
6 Sam Dyson 0.0769 0.2800 75.3
7 Tony Watson 0.3214 0.5325 73.8
8 Drew Pomeranz 0.0667 0.2264 71.6
9 Ryan Madson 0.0524 0.2941 70.1
10 Jeremy Jeffress 0.1154 0.3194 69.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Estrada 0.2567 0.0000 182.1
2 Aaron Sanchez 0.0114 0.2439 90.4
3 Joaquín Benoit 0.0704 0.4179 89.7
4 Tony Watson 0.2580 0.5325 82.0
5 Keone Kela 0.0000 0.3235 80.0
6 Dellin Betances 0.1488 0.3784 78.0
7 Alex Colomé 0.0225 0.1860 77.3
8 Drew Pomeranz 0.0189 0.2264 76.0
9 Trevor May 0.0000 0.1458 74.4
10 Justin De Fratus 0.2165 0.0164 70.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tony Watson 0.0000 0.5325 140.7
2 Joe Smith 0.0000 0.4571 109.7
3 Dellin Betances 0.0000 0.3784 108.2
4 Sergio Romo 0.0000 0.4857 99.7
5 Joaquín Benoit 0.0000 0.4179 92.8
6 Kevin Siegrist 0.0000 0.3457 91.5
7 Jim Johnson 0.0000 0.3472 85.8
8 Pedro Strop 0.0000 0.3684 85.3
9 Pat Neshek 0.0000 0.4242 82.9
10 Justin Wilson 0.0000 0.3919 82.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

ERA

Biggest ERA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 3.6200 1.7686 1834.6
2 Dallas Keuchel 3.8364 2.4828 1467.6
3 Kyle Lohse 3.4516 5.8490 1423.1
4 Zack Greinke 3.0457 1.6572 1387.5
5 Alfredo Simon 3.4034 5.0535 1142.1
6 John Lackey 3.7306 2.7661 1094.8
7 Odrisamer Despaigne 3.5570 5.8011 1086.7
8 Matt Garza 3.7548 5.6300 1077.5
9 Shane Greene 3.7576 6.8845 1070.3
10 Gerrit Cole 3.6225 2.5962 1068.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 3.5710 1.7686 1731.5
2 Zack Greinke 3.0256 1.6572 1312.0
3 Dallas Keuchel 3.7253 2.4828 1303.1
4 Lance McCullers Jr. 5.2569 3.2228 1155.4
5 Shelby Miller 4.0562 3.0244 1048.9
6 Yovani Gallardo 4.5238 3.4177 1026.1
7 Jacob deGrom 3.6968 2.5445 1006.4
8 Gerrit Cole 3.5660 2.5962 963.2
9 Sonny Gray 3.6727 2.7260 942.8
10 Bud Norris 4.0549 6.7229 935.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 3.6747 1.7686 1525.2
2 Lance McCullers Jr. 6.0772 3.2228 1404.7
3 Kyle Lohse 3.9130 5.8490 1389.2
4 Matt Garza 3.8217 5.6300 1306.3
5 Odrisamer Despaigne 3.6516 5.8011 1259.5
6 Cody Anderson 6.3391 3.0547 1143.0
7 Jeremy Guthrie 4.3916 5.9461 1133.8
8 Aníbal Sánchez 3.4342 4.9873 1126.0
9 Jeff Samardzija 3.8969 4.9626 1109.0
10 Dallas Keuchel 3.8028 2.4828 1063.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

WHIP

Biggest WHIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Greinke 1.1788 0.8443 307.1
2 Dallas Keuchel 1.3134 1.0172 296.9
3 Jake Arrieta 1.1650 0.8646 287.3
4 Max Scherzer 1.1496 0.9184 234.7
5 Matt Garza 1.2195 1.5673 211.8
6 Jacob deGrom 1.2073 0.9791 193.8
7 Ross Detwiler 1.3443 2.0229 186.8
8 David Buchanan 1.2893 1.8482 185.7
9 Andrew Cashner 1.1810 1.4404 184.7
10 Erasmo Ramírez 1.3772 1.1327 182.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 1.2290 0.8646 343.3
2 Dallas Keuchel 1.3078 1.0172 292.2
3 Zack Greinke 1.1199 0.8443 257.8
4 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.6007 1.1857 231.5
5 Jacob deGrom 1.2286 0.9791 210.1
6 Sonny Gray 1.2978 1.0817 204.7
7 Chris Rusin 1.2829 1.6025 171.9
8 Max Scherzer 1.0750 0.9184 168.0
9 Matt Garza 1.2893 1.5673 165.0
10 Roberto Osuna 1.4947 0.9187 164.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 1.2767 0.8646 325.8
2 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.7685 1.1857 283.5
3 Matt Garza 1.2314 1.5673 248.8
4 Andrew Cashner 1.1878 1.4404 233.4
5 James Shields 1.1285 1.3344 209.5
6 Zack Greinke 1.1223 0.8443 202.6
7 Dallas Keuchel 1.2728 1.0172 198.5
8 Kyle Lohse 1.2064 1.4639 196.3
9 Ross Detwiler 1.3834 2.0229 195.0
10 Julio Teheran 1.1324 1.3056 177.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.