2014 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Marco Scutaro	13	513 (500.0)	526 (513.0)	471 (458.3)	545 (532.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Jeter	1	634	633.0
2	Torii Hunter	1	586	585.0
3	Adam LaRoche	1	586	585.0
4	Yangervis Solarte	1	535	534.0
5	Adam Dunn	1	511	510.0
6	J.D. Martinez	1	480	479.0
7	Prince Fielder	655	178	477.0
8	Shane Victorino	581	133	448.0
9	Matt Wieters	552	112	440.0
10	Chris Coghlan	1	432	431.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	1	622	621.0
2	Yangervis Solarte	1	535	534.0
3	Casey McGehee	233	691	458.0
4	Ender Inciarte	1	447	446.0
5	Prince Fielder	623	178	445.0
6	Matt Wieters	552	112	440.0
7	Danny Santana	1	430	429.0
8	Rougned Odor	1	417	416.0
9	Pete Kozma	440	26	414.0
10	Billy Hamilton	217	611	394.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yangervis Solarte	1	535	534.0
2	Charlie Blackmon	177	648	470.9
3	Prince Fielder	634	178	456.4
4	Ender Inciarte	1	447	446.0
5	Rafael Furcal	475	37	437.9
6	Chris Coghlan	1	432	431.0
7	Rougned Odor	1	417	416.0
8	Shane Victorino	547	133	414.1
9	J.D. Martinez	69	480	410.8
10	Jose Tabata	582	186	395.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Guerrero	665	13	652.0
2	Lane Adams	588	3	585.0
3	Matt Hague	585	2	583.0
4	Gary Brown	573	7	566.0
5	Johnny Giavotella	601	41	560.0
6	Joey Butler	557	6	551.0
7	Carlos Triunfel	564	16	548.0
8	Jemile Weeks	592	45	547.0
9	Maikel Franco	602	58	544.0
10	Jesús Aguilar	580	38	542.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jose Altuve	0.3654	0.3328 (36.0)	0.3092 (45.0)	0.3133 (43.6)	0.3108 (35.4)
Josh Harrison	0.3645	0.3230 (33.0)	0.2937 (43.0)	0.3023 (39.5)	0.3032 (31.2)
Michael Brantley	0.3904	0.3355 (49.5)	0.3221 (51.1)	0.3180 (55.5)	0.3195 (44.9)
Allen Craig	0.2692	0.3715 (42.4)	0.3642 (44.2)	0.3578 (39.9)	0.3483 (42.2)
Victor Martinez	0.4235	0.3483 (60.0)	0.3480 (53.1)	0.3415 (58.7)	0.3383 (51.8)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.2440	0.3599	57.7
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.3505	0.4000	41.8
3	Devin Mesoraco	0.3166	0.3896	40.2
4	Justin Morneau	0.3213	0.3751	39.7
5	Corey Dickerson	0.3400	0.4024	38.6
6	Adam LaRoche	0.3153	0.3615	37.8
7	Steve Pearce	0.3249	0.4047	37.6
8	Drew Stubbs	0.2893	0.3573	36.6
9	Chris Coghlan	0.2920	0.3521	33.9
10	Anthony Rendon	0.3301	0.3607	33.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.3153	0.4179	68.4
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.3295	0.4000	48.0
3	J.D. Martinez	0.3049	0.3945	46.5
4	Devin Mesoraco	0.2988	0.3896	43.2
5	Corey Dickerson	0.3233	0.4024	41.3
6	Steve Pearce	0.3155	0.4047	37.0
7	Anthony Rendon	0.3170	0.3607	34.8
8	Justin Morneau	0.3220	0.3751	33.3
9	Derek Jeter	0.3321	0.2752	31.4
10	David Wright	0.3724	0.3117	31.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.3055	0.3945	47.3
2	Devin Mesoraco	0.3109	0.3896	38.9
3	Danny Santana	0.2807	0.3599	38.2
4	Justin Turner	0.2935	0.3951	35.8
5	Carlos Gómez	0.3232	0.3670	34.4
6	Russell Martin	0.3072	0.3719	34.2
7	Brian Dozier	0.3001	0.3386	34.0
8	Corey Dickerson	0.3440	0.4024	32.5
9	Steve Pearce	0.3299	0.4047	32.4
10	Lucas Duda	0.3217	0.3655	31.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Domonic Brown	0.3615	0.2830	42.5
2	J.D. Martinez	0.3042	0.3945	41.2
3	Chris Davis	0.3844	0.3141	39.3
4	Jay Bruce	0.3565	0.2909	38.2
5	Nate Schierholtz	0.3346	0.2459	35.7
6	Danny Santana	0.2740	0.3599	35.0
7	Ryan Braun	0.3954	0.3416	33.8
8	Jean Segura	0.3265	0.2705	33.7
9	David Wright	0.3636	0.3117	33.1
10	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.3119	0.2433	30.9

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.2610	0.2067 (37.8)	0.2019 (37.8)	0.1867 (43.0)	0.1863 (57.2)
Jose Altuve	0.0750	0.1415 (47.6)	0.1345 (46.0)	0.1140 (37.0)	0.1250 (30.8)
Mike Zunino	0.3319	0.2538 (36.9)	0.2215 (49.9)	0.2437 (35.7)	0.2525 (40.9)
Ian Desmond	0.2824	0.2211 (39.3)	0.2131 (41.3)	0.2115 (37.4)	0.2163 (47.0)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Dunn	0.1985	0.3112	57.2
2	Casey McGehee	0.2257	0.1476	54.5
3	Justin Morneau	0.1802	0.1091	39.5
4	Derek Jeter	0.1985	0.1372	39.3
5	Curtis Granderson	0.2727	0.2156	37.8
6	Marlon Byrd	0.2320	0.2904	36.7
7	Victor Martinez	0.1210	0.0655	36.0
8	José Abreu	0.2663	0.2106	35.1
9	Jason Heyward	0.2043	0.1510	35.0
10	Anthony Rendon	0.1990	0.1523	32.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Singleton	0.1985	0.3702	60.1
2	Yangervis Solarte	0.1985	0.1084	51.2
3	Javier Báez	0.1985	0.4148	48.3
4	Marlon Byrd	0.2130	0.2904	45.8
5	Mike Olt	0.2115	0.3876	44.0
6	George Springer	0.1985	0.3304	43.6
7	Marcell Ozuna	0.1966	0.2680	40.3
8	Justin Morneau	0.1761	0.1091	39.9
9	Ender Inciarte	0.1985	0.1186	38.2
10	Jason Heyward	0.2012	0.1510	36.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Curtis Granderson	0.2760	0.2156	48.1
2	Justin Morneau	0.1720	0.1091	41.9
3	Casey McGehee	0.1917	0.1476	39.6
4	Seth Smith	0.2251	0.1670	37.1
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.2011	0.2680	32.8
6	Miguel Montero	0.2181	0.1732	32.6
7	Torii Hunter	0.1937	0.1519	32.3
8	Jon Singleton	0.2678	0.3702	32.3
9	Javier Báez	0.2609	0.4148	32.2
10	Robinson Canó	0.1368	0.1023	31.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marlon Byrd	0.1947	0.2904	65.1
2	Casey McGehee	0.2209	0.1476	46.2
3	Jason Heyward	0.2175	0.1510	39.0
4	Derek Norris	0.2882	0.1946	38.5
5	Nick Castellanos	0.1820	0.2418	38.4
6	Travis d'Arnaud	0.2411	0.1520	34.8
7	Matt Dominguez	0.1583	0.2059	32.8
8	Dexter Fowler	0.2833	0.2139	31.8
9	Ike Davis	0.2629	0.1827	31.5
10	Ichiro Suzuki	0.1026	0.1766	31.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rubén Tejada	0.1193	0.0671 (25.2)	0.0699 (22.0)	0.0669 (23.9)	0.0612 (22.9)
Miguel Cabrera	0.0876	0.1322 (25.2)	0.1216 (21.2)	0.1306 (26.3)	0.1250 (28.1)
Brian Dozier	0.1259	0.0762 (40.7)	0.0725 (39.9)	0.0724 (41.1)	0.0696 (37.3)
Matt Carpenter	0.1340	0.1042 (26.7)	0.0980 (27.7)	0.1057 (23.3)	0.1008 (21.0)
Ian Kinsler	0.0399	0.0968 (35.6)	0.0922 (35.7)	0.0908 (33.6)	0.0906 (39.4)
David Wright	0.0717	0.1154 (21.0)	0.1102 (20.8)	0.1138 (22.0)	0.1091 (24.0)
Seth Smith	0.1324	0.0915 (25.4)	0.0944 (21.4)	0.0960 (21.4)	0.0924 (19.0)
Victor Martinez	0.1092	0.0694 (30.6)	0.0803 (20.5)	0.0781 (22.9)	0.0736 (20.5)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam LaRoche	0.0777	0.1399	41.1
2	Adam Dunn	0.0777	0.1389	35.3
3	Josh Willingham	0.0777	0.1456	27.6
4	Jonathan Lucroy	0.0714	0.1008	24.4
5	Carlos Santana	0.1431	0.1712	23.7
6	José Abreu	0.1270	0.0820	23.1
7	Adrian Beltré	0.0648	0.0928	22.1
8	Freddie Freeman	0.1050	0.1271	21.2
9	Evan Longoria	0.1194	0.0814	21.1
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1232	0.1473	20.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.0966	0.1271	23.7
2	Carlos Santana	0.1385	0.1712	23.6
3	Jonathan Schoop	0.0791	0.0270	23.6
4	Jon Singleton	0.0777	0.1381	23.0
5	Robbie Grossman	0.0795	0.1303	22.7
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1148	0.1473	22.7
7	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.0813	0.1264	21.0
8	Jonathan Lucroy	0.0720	0.1008	20.8
9	Coco Crisp	0.0882	0.1231	20.4
10	Mike Zunino	0.0814	0.0357	20.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yangervis Solarte	0.0548	0.0991	26.1
2	Jonathan Lucroy	0.0727	0.1008	21.4
3	Adam LaRoche	0.1084	0.1399	21.2
4	Mike Napoli	0.1191	0.1560	20.7
5	Adrian Beltré	0.0638	0.0928	20.6
6	Brian McCann	0.1012	0.0595	20.0
7	Coco Crisp	0.0905	0.1231	19.9
8	Billy Butler	0.1053	0.0680	19.7
9	Freddie Freeman	0.1041	0.1271	19.5
10	Carlos Santana	0.1463	0.1712	19.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brian McCann	0.1034	0.0595	25.6
2	Yangervis Solarte	0.0494	0.0991	24.7
3	Evan Longoria	0.1122	0.0814	24.1
4	Billy Butler	0.1026	0.0680	23.0
5	Jason Castro	0.1076	0.0664	22.9
6	Dustin Ackley	0.0972	0.0590	22.6
7	Khris Davis	0.0919	0.0583	20.4
8	John Jaso	0.1364	0.0814	20.1
9	Ben Revere	0.0491	0.0208	20.0
10	Mike Zunino	0.0733	0.0357	19.6

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Anthony Rizzo	0.0244	0.0000 (9.4)	0.0101 (8.3)	0.0100 (8.5)	0.0107 (8.2)
Charlie Blackmon	0.0201	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0117 (5.0)	0.0100 (6.1)	0.0101 (6.2)
Mike Zunino	0.0357	0.0000 (12.6)	0.0130 (10.4)	0.0110 (11.5)	0.0163 (9.0)
Devin Mesoraco	0.0273	0.0000 (8.0)	0.0025 (10.6)	0.0060 (9.1)	0.0051 (9.6)
Jon Jay	0.0427	0.0000 (15.7)	0.0213 (9.7)	0.0180 (11.3)	0.0211 (9.9)
Carlos Gómez	0.0295	0.0000 (13.1)	0.0148 (9.0)	0.0130 (10.2)	0.0163 (8.2)
Derek Dietrich	0.0546	0.0000 (8.3)	0.0185 (6.5)	0.0170 (6.8)	0.0247 (5.4)
Matt Holliday	0.0255	0.0000 (10.9)	0.0143 (7.0)	0.0130 (7.9)	0.0139 (7.5)
Russell Martin	0.0326	0.0000 (10.8)	0.0141 (8.2)	0.0130 (8.7)	0.0153 (7.8)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starling Marte	0.0000	0.0312	12.0
2	Adam LaRoche	0.0092	0.0034	8.7
3	Danny Espinosa	0.0000	0.0330	8.7
4	Brandon Guyer	0.0000	0.0374	8.3
5	Aramis Ramirez	0.0000	0.0245	8.1
6	Carlos Ruiz	0.0000	0.0270	7.9
7	Shin-Soo Choo	0.0000	0.0227	7.2
8	Chase Utley	0.0000	0.0196	6.9
9	Daniel Nava	0.0000	0.0245	6.3
10	Reed Johnson	0.0000	0.0398	6.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Guyer	0.0050	0.0374	9.3
2	Yan Gomes	0.0186	0.0058	7.0
3	Jason Castro	0.0042	0.0176	6.5
4	Grady Sizemore	0.0152	0.0000	6.1
5	Leonys Martin	0.0128	0.0034	5.9
6	George Springer	0.0092	0.0261	5.6
7	Robinson Chirinos	0.0047	0.0207	5.2
8	Billy Hamilton	0.0092	0.0016	5.1
9	Chris Iannetta	0.0071	0.0214	5.1
10	Matt Kemp	0.0077	0.0000	5.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Guyer	0.0160	0.0374	6.1
2	Jason Castro	0.0060	0.0176	5.6
3	George Springer	0.0100	0.0261	5.3
4	Danny Espinosa	0.0180	0.0330	5.2
5	Matt Kemp	0.0080	0.0000	5.2
6	J.P. Arencibia	0.0080	0.0315	5.1
7	Adam Eaton	0.0180	0.0093	5.0
8	Alex Gordon	0.0090	0.0171	4.8
9	Chris Iannetta	0.0080	0.0214	4.8
10	Leonys Martin	0.0110	0.0034	4.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Eaton	0.0267	0.0093	9.6
2	Grady Sizemore	0.0178	0.0000	6.9
3	Marlon Byrd	0.0228	0.0126	6.8
4	Jason Castro	0.0046	0.0176	6.4
5	Yan Gomes	0.0172	0.0058	6.2
6	Leonys Martin	0.0133	0.0034	6.0
7	J.P. Arencibia	0.0064	0.0315	5.5
8	George Springer	0.0099	0.0261	5.4
9	Josh Harrison	0.0162	0.0073	5.1
10	Martín Prado	0.0030	0.0122	5.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.0841	0.0644 (20.0)	0.0583 (20.6)	0.0578 (21.6)	0.0614 (16.3)
Miguel Cabrera	0.0495	0.0833 (17.2)	0.0769 (16.5)	0.0777 (16.3)	0.0814 (21.5)
Lucas Duda	0.0783	0.0588 (16.8)	0.0496 (19.1)	0.0496 (19.7)	0.0557 (13.7)
Devin Mesoraco	0.0880	0.0400 (24.9)	0.0372 (23.9)	0.0424 (22.0)	0.0461 (18.7)
Casey McGehee	0.0077	0.0460 (20.5)	0.0353 (16.7)	0.0328 (14.3)	0.0348 (18.4)
Victor Martinez	0.0610	0.0330 (23.5)	0.0261 (24.5)	0.0284 (23.7)	0.0280 (21.4)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Dunn	0.0339	0.0803	28.1
2	Adam LaRoche	0.0339	0.0660	23.9
3	Chris Carter	0.0828	0.1125	21.9
4	Corey Dickerson	0.0395	0.0708	19.1
5	Matt Adams	0.0780	0.0357	18.9
6	Brett Gardner	0.0203	0.0386	17.2
7	Evan Longoria	0.0769	0.0439	17.0
8	Brian Dozier	0.0327	0.0479	16.9
9	Anthony Rizzo	0.0590	0.0777	16.9
10	George Springer	0.0694	0.1093	16.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.0339	0.0839	33.2
2	George Springer	0.0339	0.1093	27.2
3	Marcell Ozuna	0.0230	0.0567	22.7
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.0456	0.0777	21.9
5	Mike Zunino	0.0381	0.0775	20.3
6	Chris Carter	0.0819	0.1125	19.4
7	J.D. Martinez	0.0352	0.0717	19.1
8	Curtis Granderson	0.0792	0.0467	19.0
9	Corey Dickerson	0.0351	0.0708	18.7
10	Steve Pearce	0.0352	0.0798	18.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.0351	0.0717	19.6
2	Jason Heyward	0.0572	0.0230	19.3
3	Brian Dozier	0.0275	0.0479	17.5
4	Mike Zunino	0.0457	0.0775	17.2
5	Marlon Byrd	0.0388	0.0611	17.0
6	Chris Carter	0.0875	0.1125	16.8
7	George Springer	0.0655	0.1093	16.6
8	Steve Pearce	0.0419	0.0798	16.2
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.0347	0.0567	16.1
10	Corey Dickerson	0.0416	0.0708	16.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Heyward	0.0556	0.0230	20.8
2	J.D. Martinez	0.0312	0.0717	19.7
3	Domonic Brown	0.0645	0.0259	19.5
4	David Wright	0.0500	0.0187	18.0
5	Matt Adams	0.0656	0.0357	16.6
6	Mike Zunino	0.0433	0.0775	16.5
7	Brian Dozier	0.0261	0.0479	15.8
8	Evan Longoria	0.0663	0.0439	15.4
9	Marlon Byrd	0.0382	0.0611	14.9
10	Austin Jackson	0.0318	0.0086	14.9

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
J.D. Martinez	0.3893	0.3000 (48.8)	0.3029 (40.9)	0.3012 (40.4)	0.3129 (35.4)
Tyler Flowers	0.3532	0.2903 (33.3)	0.2762 (33.5)	0.2660 (36.8)	0.2848 (29.1)
Justin Turner	0.4044	0.3268 (29.0)	0.3008 (33.0)	0.2871 (36.5)	0.2950 (34.4)
Danny Santana	0.4026	0.3043 (47.6)	0.2985 (44.3)	0.3011 (42.0)	0.3013 (42.4)
David Ortiz	0.2563	0.3194 (30.5)	0.3144 (35.7)	0.3007 (29.0)	0.3045 (30.6)
Lorenzo Cain	0.3795	0.3151 (38.5)	0.3065 (36.1)	0.3157 (30.1)	0.3112 (33.0)
Chris Davis	0.2412	0.3249 (37.4)	0.3313 (47.9)	0.3245 (45.7)	0.3260 (45.9)
Juan Uribe	0.3675	0.2971 (33.4)	0.2896 (31.0)	0.2734 (36.5)	0.2780 (35.1)
Russell Martin	0.3333	0.2656 (36.9)	0.2570 (34.6)	0.2611 (31.5)	0.2667 (29.4)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Stubbs	0.3147	0.4008	41.7
2	Chris Coghlan	0.2660	0.3333	34.4
3	Casey McGehee	0.2982	0.3346	33.7
4	Yasiel Puig	0.3137	0.3539	33.7
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3144	0.3533	32.7
6	Allen Craig	0.3419	0.2661	32.0
7	Marcell Ozuna	0.2977	0.3368	31.5
8	Mike Moustakas	0.2906	0.2198	29.2
9	Michael Choice	0.3227	0.2079	28.7
10	Adrian Beltré	0.3117	0.3449	28.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Casey McGehee	0.2561	0.3346	53.4
2	Josh Harrison	0.2744	0.3512	41.5
3	Allen Craig	0.3422	0.2661	39.1
4	Drew Stubbs	0.3098	0.4008	38.1
5	José Abreu	0.2985	0.3562	35.2
6	Adam Eaton	0.2913	0.3571	34.7
7	Jose Altuve	0.3108	0.3597	33.7
8	Stephen Drew	0.3023	0.1937	32.9
9	Brock Holt	0.2818	0.3437	29.8
10	Scott Van Slyke	0.2732	0.3939	29.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.2796	0.3562	45.3
2	Jose Altuve	0.3044	0.3597	36.4
3	Casey McGehee	0.2783	0.3346	36.3
4	Allen Craig	0.3293	0.2661	33.9
5	Michael Choice	0.3239	0.2079	33.6
6	Mike Moustakas	0.2766	0.2198	30.3
7	Josh Harrison	0.2926	0.3512	30.1
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3028	0.3533	29.8
9	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2947	0.3439	29.5
10	Stephen Drew	0.2866	0.1937	29.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.2877	0.3562	41.0
2	Josh Harrison	0.2845	0.3512	35.2
3	Jon Singleton	0.3293	0.2378	34.1
4	Stephen Drew	0.2983	0.1937	32.2
5	Drew Stubbs	0.3235	0.4008	31.7
6	Mike Moustakas	0.2805	0.2198	31.6
7	Michael Choice	0.3178	0.2079	31.5
8	Mark Reynolds	0.2868	0.2176	31.1
9	Jose Altuve	0.3145	0.3597	30.1
10	Carlos Santana	0.2902	0.2494	28.7

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Bryce Harper	0.2971	0.2335 (30.5)	0.2200 (29.5)	0.2196 (28.8)	0.2126 (32.2)
Todd Frazier	0.2564	0.2040 (43.6)	0.2011 (34.8)	0.1972 (36.1)	0.1960 (37.8)
Chris Davis	0.1790	0.2542 (32.4)	0.2388 (32.7)	0.2363 (32.4)	0.2382 (32.7)
Juan Uribe	0.2914	0.2300 (30.3)	0.2189 (28.3)	0.2064 (32.6)	0.2116 (31.0)
Casey McGehee	0.2766	0.2349 (38.2)	0.1890 (58.8)	0.2098 (43.1)	0.2222 (35.5)
Leonys Martin	0.2827	0.2368 (34.7)	0.2226 (33.6)	0.2305 (27.8)	0.2236 (32.7)
Russell Martin	0.2660	0.2098 (32.1)	0.1950 (31.5)	0.2028 (27.1)	0.2067 (25.9)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lorenzo Cain	0.2344	0.2881	33.8
2	J.D. Martinez	0.2219	0.2785	33.7
3	Dexter Fowler	0.2239	0.2719	31.1
4	Jon Singleton	0.2574	0.1585	30.8
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.2201	0.2559	30.2
6	Corey Dickerson	0.2016	0.2508	30.0
7	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2241	0.2575	30.0
8	Jhonny Peralta	0.2647	0.2042	29.5
9	Robinson Canó	0.2292	0.2597	29.3
10	Khris Davis	0.2350	0.1680	29.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Flowers	0.2000	0.2809	34.6
2	Adrián González	0.2488	0.2052	30.4
3	Mike Zunino	0.2228	0.1641	29.1
4	Allen Craig	0.2594	0.2047	28.9
5	Stephen Drew	0.2058	0.1152	27.9
6	Justin Turner	0.2195	0.3067	27.3
7	Lorenzo Cain	0.2323	0.2881	26.8
8	Danny Santana	0.2259	0.2904	26.7
9	Mike Trout	0.2624	0.2270	26.6
10	Jon Singleton	0.2259	0.1585	25.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Flowers	0.1963	0.2809	35.4
2	José Abreu	0.2121	0.2621	28.4
3	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2087	0.2575	28.3
4	Justin Turner	0.2151	0.3067	28.1
5	Stephen Drew	0.2038	0.1152	27.9
6	Adrián González	0.2424	0.2052	27.4
7	James Loney	0.2213	0.2669	26.8
8	Mike Trout	0.2588	0.2270	25.5
9	Derek Norris	0.1930	0.2543	25.1
10	Khris Davis	0.2093	0.1680	25.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Singleton	0.2439	0.1585	32.0
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2063	0.2575	30.7
3	Mike Zunino	0.2233	0.1641	29.6
4	Tyler Flowers	0.2119	0.2809	29.1
5	Justin Turner	0.2146	0.3067	28.7
6	Khris Davis	0.2164	0.1680	28.2
7	Jon Jay	0.2411	0.3038	27.9
8	Stephen Drew	0.2034	0.1152	27.4
9	Billy Hamilton	0.2640	0.2252	25.6
10	Derek Norris	0.1946	0.2543	25.1

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jonathan Lucroy	0.1054	0.0544 (32.5)	0.0591 (30.8)	0.0562 (32.8)	0.0556 (32.0)
Miguel Cabrera	0.1083	0.0598 (32.3)	0.0783 (21.1)	0.0802 (19.9)	0.0746 (22.4)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1373	0.0739 (29.7)	0.0907 (22.7)	0.0877 (24.2)	0.0883 (23.0)
Kirk Nieuwenhuis	0.1944	0.0556 (17.9)	0.0615 (17.4)	0.0675 (16.6)	0.0714 (15.9)
Trevor Plouffe	0.0995	0.0650 (19.3)	0.0667 (19.6)	0.0661 (20.0)	0.0667 (18.5)
Chris Iannetta	0.1033	0.0482 (20.0)	0.0637 (15.1)	0.0599 (16.5)	0.0609 (15.4)
Leonys Martin	0.0309	0.0748 (26.4)	0.0640 (18.9)	0.0667 (20.4)	0.0652 (20.6)
Michael Morse	0.1049	0.0580 (22.0)	0.0704 (17.0)	0.0675 (18.5)	0.0704 (16.2)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.0622	0.0962	23.1
2	Matt Carpenter	0.0989	0.0678	23.1
3	Steve Pearce	0.0472	0.1074	22.6
4	DJ LeMahieu	0.0724	0.0374	19.6
5	Drew Stubbs	0.0438	0.0909	19.4
6	Jhonny Peralta	0.0561	0.0882	19.2
7	Danny Santana	0.0435	0.0891	19.0
8	Mike Trout	0.0713	0.0995	18.9
9	Luis Valbuena	0.0586	0.0940	18.6
10	Derek Jeter	0.0658	0.0378	18.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eduardo Escobar	0.0498	0.1029	25.1
2	Ryan Howard	0.0860	0.0499	22.9
3	Josh Harrison	0.0512	0.0884	20.9
4	Matt Carpenter	0.0943	0.0678	18.3
5	Steve Pearce	0.0625	0.1074	17.5
6	Freddie Freeman	0.0724	0.0962	17.5
7	J.D. Martinez	0.0657	0.1007	17.2
8	Evan Longoria	0.0792	0.0543	16.9
9	Conor Gillaspie	0.0487	0.0812	16.8
10	Mike Trout	0.0767	0.0995	16.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eduardo Escobar	0.0543	0.1029	23.1
2	Mike Trout	0.0731	0.0995	19.3
3	Evan Longoria	0.0823	0.0543	19.0
4	Danny Santana	0.0492	0.0891	17.6
5	Khris Davis	0.0726	0.1019	16.6
6	Hanley Ramirez	0.0678	0.0992	16.5
7	Michael Brantley	0.0599	0.0833	16.5
8	Freddie Freeman	0.0741	0.0962	16.3
9	José Abreu	0.0639	0.0891	16.2
10	Matt Kemp	0.0748	0.1008	16.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eduardo Escobar	0.0537	0.1029	22.4
2	Todd Frazier	0.0795	0.0508	19.6
3	Ryan Howard	0.0787	0.0499	19.3
4	Danny Santana	0.0437	0.0891	19.1
5	Evan Longoria	0.0792	0.0543	18.2
6	Mark Reynolds	0.0772	0.0377	17.6
7	Matt Kemp	0.0717	0.1008	16.9
8	Carlos Santana	0.0871	0.0636	16.1
9	Conor Gillaspie	0.0488	0.0812	15.9
10	Michael Brantley	0.0592	0.0833	15.7

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
David Peralta	0.0342	0.0122 (7.7)	0.0068 (9.7)	0.0030 (10.7)	0.0068 (10.0)
Michael Bourn	0.0301	0.0169 (6.5)	0.0157 (7.2)	0.0135 (7.9)	0.0158 (7.7)
Hunter Pence	0.0199	0.0044 (11.0)	0.0095 (7.7)	0.0078 (8.3)	0.0085 (9.0)
Andre Ethier	0.0226	0.0034 (7.4)	0.0028 (7.7)	0.0039 (7.0)	0.0027 (8.1)
Alex Rios	0.0200	0.0067 (7.0)	0.0090 (6.0)	0.0092 (5.4)	0.0083 (6.8)
Josh Reddick	0.0240	0.0080 (6.4)	0.0091 (6.1)	0.0072 (6.5)	0.0108 (5.8)
Brandon Crawford	0.0275	0.0052 (12.6)	0.0079 (11.3)	0.0068 (11.4)	0.0113 (9.9)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.0000	0.0231	10.0
2	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0099	0.0237	9.1
3	Adam Eaton	0.0114	0.0246	7.2
4	Alejandro De Aza	0.0090	0.0225	7.2
5	Brandon Barnes	0.0000	0.0211	6.6
6	Brian Dozier	0.0113	0.0022	6.3
7	José Reyes	0.0173	0.0075	6.3
8	Ender Inciarte	0.0196	0.0055	6.3
9	Ian Stewart	0.0000	0.0857	6.2
10	Starlin Castro	0.0127	0.0024	5.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0093	0.0237	9.6
2	Yasiel Puig	0.0072	0.0214	9.3
3	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0070	0.0311	8.9
4	Danny Santana	0.0068	0.0231	7.2
5	Billy Hamilton	0.0067	0.0177	7.0
6	Josh Rutledge	0.0107	0.0306	6.9
7	Matt Carpenter	0.0142	0.0041	6.8
8	Rougned Odor	0.0068	0.0222	6.6
9	Chris Owings	0.0060	0.0249	6.4
10	Christian Yelich	0.0044	0.0136	6.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yasiel Puig	0.0068	0.0214	9.1
2	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0118	0.0237	7.5
3	Josh Rutledge	0.0093	0.0306	7.2
4	Adam Eaton	0.0110	0.0246	7.1
5	Alejandro De Aza	0.0093	0.0225	6.7
6	B.J. Upton	0.0046	0.0147	5.7
7	Ian Stewart	0.0069	0.0857	5.6
8	Rougned Odor	0.0084	0.0222	5.6
9	Matt Adams	0.0023	0.0123	5.4
10	AJ Pollock	0.0093	0.0282	5.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Eaton	0.0103	0.0246	8.4
2	Matt Adams	0.0000	0.0123	7.7
3	Curtis Granderson	0.0181	0.0049	7.7
4	Josh Rutledge	0.0118	0.0306	6.9
5	Rougned Odor	0.0073	0.0222	6.8
6	Alejandro De Aza	0.0112	0.0225	6.7
7	Will Venable	0.0218	0.0068	6.1
8	Ian Stewart	0.0068	0.0857	5.8
9	Ryan Kalish	0.0000	0.0426	5.7
10	Starlin Castro	0.0134	0.0024	5.5

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1415	0.0940 (33.6)	0.1168 (19.1)	0.0984 (31.0)	0.1153 (19.3)
Anthony Rendon	0.1625	0.1151 (35.2)	0.1051 (42.4)	0.1092 (39.5)	0.1136 (35.8)
Brian Dozier	0.1584	0.1042 (41.3)	0.1105 (37.2)	0.1087 (38.3)	0.1181 (31.0)
Danny Santana	0.1628	0.1000 (28.8)	0.1094 (25.0)	0.0965 (30.5)	0.1018 (27.7)
Troy Tulowitzki	0.1893	0.1368 (21.3)	0.1368 (21.5)	0.1400 (20.2)	0.1304 (23.4)
Kole Calhoun	0.1676	0.1208 (27.3)	0.1199 (28.2)	0.1214 (27.2)	0.1181 (28.5)
Derek Jeter	0.0741	0.1094 (19.7)	0.1300 (32.4)	0.1182 (25.1)	0.1200 (26.9)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Denard Span	0.0958	0.1407	32.8
2	Christian Yelich	0.1047	0.1424	27.6
3	Todd Frazier	0.1000	0.1333	24.7
4	Andrelton Simmons	0.1223	0.0764	24.0
5	Anthony Rizzo	0.1096	0.1445	24.0
6	Allen Craig	0.1314	0.0812	23.3
7	Drew Stubbs	0.1087	0.1580	22.6
8	Corey Dickerson	0.1127	0.1548	22.1
9	José Molina	0.1094	0.0162	22.0
10	Chris Johnson	0.1098	0.0704	21.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.1057	0.1445	26.8
2	Curtis Granderson	0.1528	0.1116	23.9
3	Austin Jackson	0.1493	0.1082	23.9
4	David Ortiz	0.1418	0.0980	23.5
5	Allen Craig	0.1318	0.0812	23.2
6	Michael Brantley	0.1099	0.1391	22.9
7	Yunel Escobar	0.1083	0.0624	21.8
8	Hunter Pence	0.1264	0.1497	19.8
9	Aramis Ramirez	0.1305	0.0885	19.8
10	Christian Yelich	0.1175	0.1424	19.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Pence	0.1138	0.1497	28.7
2	Josh Harrison	0.0994	0.1400	24.8
3	Christian Yelich	0.1111	0.1424	23.6
4	Michael Brantley	0.1097	0.1391	22.9
5	Carlos Gómez	0.1167	0.1475	22.8
6	David Ortiz	0.1404	0.0980	22.8
7	Gregory Polanco	0.0956	0.1603	21.6
8	Todd Frazier	0.1062	0.1333	20.9
9	Yunel Escobar	0.1037	0.0624	19.5
10	Shin-Soo Choo	0.1484	0.1096	18.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Victor Martinez	0.1008	0.1357	24.7
2	Corey Dickerson	0.1115	0.1548	22.4
3	Jason Castro	0.1281	0.0840	20.8
4	Brock Holt	0.0994	0.1382	20.8
5	David Wright	0.1309	0.0922	20.7
6	Bryce Harper	0.1586	0.1038	20.3
7	Jedd Gyorko	0.1320	0.0835	19.9
8	Yunel Escobar	0.1024	0.0624	19.3
9	Curtis Granderson	0.1435	0.1116	18.5
10	Allen Craig	0.1213	0.0812	18.5

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Lucas Duda	0.1544	0.1111 (28.2)	0.1111 (28.2)	0.1103 (30.2)	0.1169 (24.0)
Devin Mesoraco	0.1818	0.1020 (36.9)	0.1072 (34.6)	0.1117 (33.8)	0.1333 (22.6)
Michael Brantley	0.1435	0.0938 (36.4)	0.1065 (27.8)	0.0983 (35.1)	0.1099 (24.6)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ben Zobrist	0.1388	0.0795	36.1
2	Mike Trout	0.1140	0.1574	33.5
3	Adam LaRoche	0.1040	0.1570	33.4
4	Hunter Pence	0.1545	0.1045	32.6
5	Corey Dickerson	0.0954	0.1590	32.3
6	Allen Craig	0.1569	0.0911	31.2
7	Jayson Werth	0.0862	0.1304	30.3
8	Jason Kipnis	0.1280	0.0739	27.8
9	Starlin Castro	0.0706	0.1142	27.1
10	Curtis Granderson	0.1458	0.1009	26.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.1040	0.1720	44.9
2	Allen Craig	0.1638	0.0911	34.7
3	Corey Dickerson	0.0924	0.1590	33.8
4	Justin Upton	0.1134	0.1591	32.0
5	Kyle Seager	0.1081	0.1468	28.0
6	James Jones	0.1040	0.0274	23.8
7	Hunter Pence	0.1412	0.1045	23.1
8	Mike Trout	0.1289	0.1574	23.0
9	Adam LaRoche	0.1218	0.1570	23.0
10	Jason Kipnis	0.1194	0.0739	23.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Victor Martinez	0.1211	0.1607	29.7
2	Adrián González	0.1395	0.1758	28.4
3	J.D. Martinez	0.1112	0.1583	25.8
4	Justin Upton	0.1267	0.1591	25.1
5	Mike Trout	0.1304	0.1574	23.8
6	Russell Martin	0.1016	0.1457	23.4
7	Ian Kinsler	0.1016	0.1267	23.1
8	Brandon Crawford	0.0909	0.1223	21.5
9	Kyle Seager	0.1212	0.1468	21.1
10	James Jones	0.0974	0.0274	20.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Allen Craig	0.1670	0.0911	36.9
2	Mark Teixeira	0.1966	0.1220	36.5
3	José Abreu	0.1208	0.1720	33.6
4	Justin Upton	0.1130	0.1591	31.4
5	Freddie Freeman	0.1557	0.1102	30.3
6	Kyle Seager	0.1077	0.1468	27.4
7	Jason Kipnis	0.1259	0.0739	27.4
8	Mark Reynolds	0.1692	0.1039	27.1
9	Jonathan Lucroy	0.1482	0.1053	26.3
10	Chris Johnson	0.1385	0.0949	24.9

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.0879	0.1768 (63.1)	0.1728 (54.9)	0.1536 (41.9)	0.2000 (70.1)
Jose Altuve	0.2679	0.1571 (77.9)	0.1783 (68.3)	0.1728 (71.7)	0.1954 (60.2)
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3699	0.2456 (80.4)	0.2838 (60.5)	0.2925 (54.4)	0.2993 (54.2)
Michael Bourn	0.0820	0.1709 (43.6)	0.2000 (54.1)	0.1843 (46.8)	0.2048 (53.7)
Charlie Blackmon	0.1687	0.0787 (58.0)	0.0976 (50.6)	0.0942 (52.3)	0.1140 (43.6)
Anthony Rendon	0.0983	0.0132 (57.7)	0.0297 (51.6)	0.0245 (54.7)	0.0159 (64.9)
Todd Frazier	0.1176	0.0263 (59.9)	0.0480 (50.6)	0.0552 (45.4)	0.0738 (37.3)
Denard Span	0.1685	0.0704 (65.1)	0.1060 (46.4)	0.1059 (46.0)	0.1088 (48.3)
Lorenzo Cain	0.2121	0.1008 (55.6)	0.1193 (50.1)	0.1091 (54.9)	0.1316 (46.8)
Jordan Schafer	0.4918	0.1818 (74.3)	0.2421 (61.6)	0.2361 (62.9)	0.2727 (55.6)
James Jones	0.3553	0.1538 (65.9)	0.0629 (98.2)	0.1862 (57.5)	0.1574 (69.0)
Eric Young Jr.	0.3896	0.2500 (43.9)	0.2593 (43.4)	0.2568 (43.9)	0.2783 (39.2)
Ben Revere	0.2737	0.1506 (76.7)	0.2149 (41.2)	0.1945 (53.5)	0.2252 (38.3)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Leury García	0.1250	0.4400	48.7
2	Drew Stubbs	0.0882	0.1961	45.5
3	Rougned Odor	0.1500	0.0435	44.7
4	Kolten Wong	0.1048	0.2083	44.6
5	Mike Zunino	0.0864	0.0000	41.4
6	Austin Jackson	0.0613	0.1235	40.4
7	Chris Heisey	0.0357	0.1698	39.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Billy Hamilton	0.2593	0.4088	95.6
2	Danny Santana	0.0629	0.1818	54.1
3	Kolten Wong	0.0926	0.2083	53.1
4	Leury García	0.1311	0.4400	49.0
5	Ender Inciarte	0.0629	0.1624	47.6
6	Coco Crisp	0.2214	0.1293	45.6
7	Anthony Gose	0.0629	0.2055	41.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.1810	0.0435	54.7
2	Billy Hamilton	0.4972	0.4088	50.2
3	George Springer	0.1965	0.0575	45.8
4	Carl Crawford	0.1199	0.2300	43.0
5	Alcides Escobar	0.1422	0.2039	42.2
6	Jimmy Rollins	0.1233	0.1830	40.2
7	Kolten Wong	0.1248	0.2083	38.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Gómez	0.3019	0.2024	55.9
2	Rougned Odor	0.1641	0.0435	45.0
3	Jean Segura	0.2431	0.1504	44.6
4	Rajai Davis	0.4021	0.3000	44.2
5	George Springer	0.1915	0.0575	41.9
6	Ender Inciarte	0.2624	0.1624	39.1
7	Austin Jackson	0.0769	0.1235	38.8

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
J.D. Martinez	0.3152	0.2667 (28.7)	0.2507 (32.5)	0.2512 (32.7)	0.2532 (27.8)
Jose Altuve	0.3409	0.2971 (38.9)	0.2794 (45.7)	0.2809 (45.4)	0.2853 (36.5)
Josh Harrison	0.3154	0.2772 (27.2)	0.2520 (36.6)	0.2657 (29.6)	0.2638 (26.1)
Danny Santana	0.3185	0.2414 (38.0)	0.2549 (28.8)	0.2586 (27.5)	0.2540 (26.0)
Michael Brantley	0.3273	0.2888 (33.7)	0.2769 (36.2)	0.2725 (39.9)	0.2776 (30.9)
Allen Craig	0.2148	0.3050 (39.9)	0.3015 (42.2)	0.2920 (36.9)	0.2838 (36.9)
Chris Davis	0.1956	0.2737 (35.1)	0.2739 (39.5)	0.2679 (35.8)	0.2665 (39.4)
Juan Uribe	0.3109	0.2500 (29.1)	0.2474 (26.9)	0.2370 (31.5)	0.2421 (26.1)
Casey McGehee	0.2873	0.2489 (34.3)	0.2275 (43.6)	0.2417 (34.4)	0.2489 (23.8)
Russell Martin	0.2902	0.2322 (31.9)	0.2294 (29.5)	0.2278 (30.6)	0.2344 (23.8)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Morneau	0.2606	0.3187	38.1
2	Drew Stubbs	0.2300	0.2887	29.6
3	Lorenzo Cain	0.2554	0.3015	28.8
4	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2565	0.2890	28.4
5	Victor Martinez	0.3021	0.3351	28.4
6	Anthony Rendon	0.2569	0.2871	28.3
7	Chris Coghlan	0.2292	0.2831	28.1
8	Corey Dickerson	0.2663	0.3119	27.2
9	Denard Span	0.2744	0.3016	25.7
10	Todd Frazier	0.2459	0.2730	25.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.2549	0.3165	40.4
2	Justin Morneau	0.2574	0.3187	35.5
3	Jon Singleton	0.2549	0.1677	30.4
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.2420	0.2863	29.3
5	Corey Dickerson	0.2570	0.3119	27.8
6	Adam Eaton	0.2532	0.3004	27.1
7	Kurt Suzuki	0.2376	0.2876	26.8
8	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2519	0.2890	26.2
9	Justin Turner	0.2644	0.3403	25.5
10	Lorenzo Cain	0.2543	0.3015	25.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.2686	0.3165	32.4
2	Victor Martinez	0.2895	0.3351	31.9
3	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2468	0.2890	30.1
4	Justin Turner	0.2542	0.3403	29.1
5	Michael Choice	0.2779	0.1818	25.7
6	Kurt Suzuki	0.2422	0.2876	24.9
7	Carlos Gómez	0.2510	0.2840	23.9
8	Todd Frazier	0.2414	0.2730	23.6
9	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2575	0.1979	23.5
10	Justin Morneau	0.2804	0.3187	23.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nate Schierholtz	0.2597	0.1955	26.1
2	Victor Martinez	0.2909	0.3351	25.8
3	Jon Singleton	0.2330	0.1677	25.1
4	José Abreu	0.2725	0.3165	24.8
5	Adam Eaton	0.2505	0.3004	24.7
6	Derek Norris	0.2110	0.2701	24.3
7	Stephen Drew	0.2390	0.1624	24.2
8	Justin Turner	0.2613	0.3403	24.1
9	Matt Dominguez	0.2491	0.2145	23.4
10	Jean Segura	0.2836	0.2456	23.4

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Anthony Rizzo	0.3864	0.3333 (39.3)	0.3238 (41.5)	0.3462 (28.8)	0.3359 (27.0)
Jose Altuve	0.3768	0.3346 (37.5)	0.3219 (42.2)	0.3244 (41.8)	0.3230 (33.4)
Allen Craig	0.2792	0.3595 (35.1)	0.3566 (36.7)	0.3487 (31.8)	0.3380 (33.0)
Michael Brantley	0.3846	0.3438 (34.9)	0.3322 (38.7)	0.3316 (40.3)	0.3312 (31.6)
Russell Martin	0.4017	0.3165 (44.2)	0.3213 (39.2)	0.3197 (40.8)	0.3260 (31.8)
Victor Martinez	0.4087	0.3505 (44.2)	0.3556 (37.1)	0.3464 (44.3)	0.3411 (39.1)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.2667	0.3528	41.7
2	Yasiel Puig	0.3304	0.3824	40.2
3	Casey McGehee	0.3129	0.3546	36.3
4	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3333	0.3725	32.7
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3551	0.3950	32.4
6	Adam LaRoche	0.3181	0.3618	31.9
7	Carlos Gómez	0.3178	0.3561	31.7
8	Jayson Werth	0.3555	0.3943	31.2
9	Seth Smith	0.3201	0.3673	30.2
10	Adrian Beltré	0.3507	0.3876	29.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Casey McGehee	0.2888	0.3546	48.7
2	José Abreu	0.3181	0.3826	43.1
3	Jonathan Schoop	0.3239	0.2437	36.3
4	Brian Dozier	0.3035	0.3452	32.8
5	Devin Mesoraco	0.2943	0.3591	30.6
6	Josh Harrison	0.2967	0.3467	30.1
7	J.D. Martinez	0.3027	0.3583	29.0
8	Lonnie Chisenhall	0.2933	0.3428	28.9
9	Kurt Suzuki	0.2922	0.3446	28.8
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3548	0.3950	28.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Casey McGehee	0.3052	0.3546	38.7
2	Carlos Gómez	0.3051	0.3561	37.1
3	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3280	0.3725	33.5
4	Justin Turner	0.3071	0.4037	33.3
5	Brian Dozier	0.3048	0.3452	33.3
6	J.D. Martinez	0.3011	0.3583	30.7
7	Adrian Beltré	0.3444	0.3876	30.6
8	Danny Santana	0.2899	0.3528	29.9
9	Devin Mesoraco	0.3029	0.3591	27.7
10	Kurt Suzuki	0.2980	0.3446	26.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brian McCann	0.3397	0.2862	32.3
2	Ian Kinsler	0.3445	0.3071	32.0
3	Jonathan Schoop	0.3006	0.2437	30.6
4	Jay Bruce	0.3293	0.2813	29.8
5	Jason Castro	0.3372	0.2857	29.7
6	Nate Schierholtz	0.3122	0.2428	29.1
7	Ryan Braun	0.3675	0.3241	29.0
8	Nick Swisher	0.3419	0.2775	28.5
9	Aaron Hill	0.3314	0.2865	27.9
10	Billy Butler	0.3629	0.3234	27.9

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Josh Harrison	0.4904	0.4185 (55.6)	0.3780 (69.9)	0.3822 (69.2)	0.3995 (48.5)
Michael Brantley	0.5057	0.4100 (84.5)	0.3942 (85.3)	0.3847 (93.8)	0.3915 (75.4)
Allen Craig	0.3145	0.4832 (70.4)	0.4740 (73.1)	0.4664 (67.7)	0.4541 (71.9)
Devin Mesoraco	0.5339	0.4005 (71.5)	0.3781 (75.0)	0.4036 (65.1)	0.4209 (48.5)
Chris Davis	0.4044	0.5456 (58.8)	0.5310 (58.7)	0.5266 (54.8)	0.5460 (75.7)
Steve Pearce	0.5562	0.3916 (74.2)	0.3865 (70.6)	0.4114 (62.2)	0.4041 (57.2)
Victor Martinez	0.5651	0.4340 (102.7)	0.4313 (95.1)	0.4272 (99.7)	0.4246 (88.3)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Danny Santana	0.2759	0.4716	96.7
2	Justin Morneau	0.3958	0.4960	71.2
3	Drew Stubbs	0.3463	0.4820	69.9
4	Anthony Rendon	0.4055	0.4731	66.1
5	Corey Dickerson	0.4613	0.5665	64.3
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3141	0.3777	60.3
7	Chris Coghlan	0.3438	0.4519	59.3
8	Anthony Rizzo	0.4604	0.5267	58.9
9	Nolan Arenado	0.4123	0.5000	54.6
10	Nelson Cruz	0.4746	0.5253	54.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.3936	0.5809	125.6
2	J.D. Martinez	0.3854	0.5533	87.6
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.4159	0.5267	77.3
4	Corey Dickerson	0.4261	0.5665	74.1
5	Anthony Rendon	0.3918	0.4731	65.5
6	Jose Altuve	0.3796	0.4530	62.3
7	Drew Stubbs	0.3552	0.4820	60.0
8	Justin Morneau	0.4067	0.4960	57.2
9	Nolan Arenado	0.4023	0.5000	52.5
10	Evan Longoria	0.4901	0.4038	50.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.3898	0.5533	87.0
2	Lucas Duda	0.3912	0.4805	63.8
3	Danny Santana	0.3471	0.4716	61.1
4	Jose Altuve	0.3856	0.4530	60.2
5	Anthony Rendon	0.4072	0.4731	57.1
6	Nelson Cruz	0.4615	0.5253	55.3
7	Corey Dickerson	0.4688	0.5665	55.2
8	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3134	0.3777	53.3
9	Justin Turner	0.3525	0.4931	50.9
10	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.4007	0.2656	49.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.3820	0.5533	80.9
2	Domonic Brown	0.4968	0.3488	77.2
3	Jay Bruce	0.4854	0.3732	62.6
4	Danny Santana	0.3375	0.4716	56.5
5	Nate Schierholtz	0.4530	0.3088	56.3
6	David Wright	0.4668	0.3738	56.1
7	Jean Segura	0.4217	0.3255	55.1
8	Evan Longoria	0.4766	0.4038	52.8
9	Zack Cozart	0.3949	0.3004	52.8
10	José Abreu	0.4936	0.5809	52.6

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Scott Carroll	573	1 (572.0)	1 (572.0)	5 (568.0)	1 (572.0)
Iván Nova	96	750 (653.9)	625 (529.0)	739 (643.0)	726 (630.0)
Roenis Elías	693	1 (692.0)	1 (692.0)	4 (689.0)	1 (692.0)
CC Sabathia	209	932 (722.9)	773 (564.0)	807 (598.0)	843 (633.9)
Matt Moore	44	779 (735.0)	666 (622.0)	739 (695.0)	739 (694.9)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hiroki Kuroda	1	820	819.0
2	Hector Noesí	1	733	732.0
3	Aaron Harang	209	876	667.0
4	Tyler Chatwood	726	101	624.9
5	Collin McHugh	1	619	618.0
6	Mike Pelfrey	736	119	617.1
7	Matt Harrison	689	84	604.9
8	José Fernández	794	205	589.1
9	Cliff Lee	918	352	565.9
10	Wandy Rodriguez	684	125	559.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Holland	776	145	631.0
2	Nick Martinez	1	610	609.0
3	Lucas Harrell	646	66	580.0
4	Jacob deGrom	1	565	564.0
5	Masahiro Tanaka	1	542	541.0
6	Tanner Roark	264	798	534.0
7	Marcus Stroman	1	534	533.0
8	Sonny Gray	368	899	531.0
9	Joe Saunders	722	215	507.0
10	David Buchanan	1	503	502.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Harang	42	876	834.0
2	Hector Noesí	43	733	690.0
3	Colby Lewis	124	762	638.0
4	Erik Johnson	718	109	609.0
5	Nick Martinez	5	610	605.0
6	Edinson Volquez	210	809	599.0
7	José Fernández	803	205	598.0
8	Mike Pelfrey	717	119	598.0
9	Collin McHugh	43	619	576.0
10	Chris Young	129	688	559.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Holland	830	145	684.9
2	Brian Flynn	702	35	667.1
3	Blake Beavan	682	16	665.9
4	Chris Rusin	696	58	638.1
5	Nick Martinez	1	610	609.0
6	Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez	637	29	607.9
7	Jose Alvarez	606	3	602.9
8	Taylor Hill	643	45	598.1
9	Lucas Harrell	661	66	595.0
10	Eric Jokisch	638	66	572.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ricky Nolasco	0.3738	0.0918 (51.4)	0.3179 (42.3)	0.3109 (33.7)	0.2939 (47.8)
Carlos Carrasco	0.2444	0.1011 (34.2)	0.3371 (46.4)	0.3031 (38.6)	0.3170 (44.3)
Justin Masterson	0.3641	0.0947 (36.3)	0.3061 (37.3)	0.2911 (34.8)	0.2804 (43.0)
Dellin Betances	0.2043	0.1312 (46.0)	0.3271 (40.2)	0.3052 (39.3)	0.3572 (55.9)
Edwin Jackson	0.3771	0.1022 (42.3)	0.3278 (34.3)	0.2955 (42.6)	0.2891 (48.6)
Garrett Richards	0.2442	0.0889 (35.8)	0.3214 (49.0)	0.3056 (51.3)	0.3013 (46.2)
Jake Arrieta	0.2417	0.1203 (53.2)	0.3270 (49.4)	0.3003 (44.8)	0.3087 (48.0)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hiroki Kuroda	0.3096	0.2935	183.9
2	Hector Noesí	0.3096	0.3385	131.4
3	Josh Beckett	0.3096	0.3103	98.5
4	Daisuke Matsuzaka	0.3096	0.3118	73.9
5	Brandon League	0.3096	0.3068	57.6
6	Paul Maholm	0.3096	0.3585	49.5
7	Clayton Kershaw	0.0799	0.2310	42.7
8	Félix Hernández	0.0800	0.2437	40.5
9	Colby Lewis	0.1072	0.3657	38.4
10	Brian Wilson	0.3096	0.3474	38.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	0.3590	0.2622	56.8
2	Justin Verlander	0.2895	0.3318	42.1
3	Corey Kluber	0.3263	0.2771	42.1
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.3443	0.2907	39.3
5	Colby Lewis	0.3198	0.3657	38.7
6	Félix Hernández	0.2904	0.2437	38.1
7	Wade Davis	0.3317	0.1956	36.6
8	Phil Hughes	0.3398	0.2945	34.5
9	Franklin Morales	0.3255	0.3730	33.8
10	Travis Wood	0.3077	0.3443	32.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	0.2894	0.2585	43.4
2	Franklin Morales	0.3028	0.3730	36.1
3	Félix Hernández	0.2684	0.2437	35.6
4	A.J. Burnett	0.2774	0.3297	35.5
5	Roenis Elías	0.3552	0.3184	35.5
6	Clayton Kershaw	0.2619	0.2310	33.9
7	Justin Verlander	0.2816	0.3318	32.0
8	David Buchanan	0.3642	0.3170	31.0
9	Collin McHugh	0.2972	0.2622	30.5
10	Corey Kluber	0.2938	0.2771	29.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.2596	0.3318	54.5
2	Collin McHugh	0.3242	0.2622	45.2
3	Mike Minor	0.2712	0.3489	42.4
4	Eric Stults	0.2778	0.3364	36.3
5	Travis Wood	0.2874	0.3443	35.8
6	Wade Davis	0.3103	0.1956	35.1
7	Colby Lewis	0.3129	0.3657	31.8
8	Tim Lincecum	0.2804	0.3386	31.7
9	Jake Peavy	0.2759	0.3236	31.2
10	Clay Buchholz	0.2803	0.3323	30.1

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Kluber	0.2829	0.2068 (66.8)	0.2096 (64.7)	0.1985 (73.7)	0.2148 (46.7)
Carlos Carrasco	0.2647	0.1838 (39.7)	0.1731 (45.7)	0.1809 (40.6)	0.1632 (43.6)
Shelby Miller	0.1662	0.2198 (45.4)	0.2228 (47.2)	0.2300 (54.0)	0.2317 (64.5)
Wade Davis	0.3907	0.1864 (55.3)	0.1936 (53.5)	0.2065 (49.5)	0.1867 (51.6)
Johnny Cueto	0.2518	0.1797 (63.7)	0.1922 (52.3)	0.1897 (53.0)	0.1771 (53.6)
Dellin Betances	0.3959	0.2335 (53.4)	0.2109 (61.3)	0.2342 (52.8)	0.1801 (67.1)
Justin Verlander	0.1781	0.2375 (58.3)	0.2354 (55.9)	0.2234 (46.7)	0.2500 (81.2)
Garrett Richards	0.2419	0.1610 (50.9)	0.1703 (45.0)	0.1564 (53.2)	0.1532 (47.2)
Jake Arrieta	0.2720	0.1830 (51.0)	0.1974 (42.6)	0.1965 (42.0)	0.1822 (43.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Kershaw	0.2385	0.3191	56.0
2	Andrew Miller	0.2324	0.4256	45.3
3	Chris Sale	0.2353	0.3036	42.8
4	Tyson Ross	0.1835	0.2404	41.4
5	Aroldis Chapman	0.3174	0.5248	40.7
6	Jason Hammel	0.1586	0.2210	40.4
7	Yusmeiro Petit	0.1971	0.2885	39.4
8	Jacob deGrom	0.1797	0.2549	39.2
9	Alex Wood	0.1848	0.2450	37.6
10	Brandon McCarthy	0.1589	0.2093	37.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Carroll	0.2036	0.1117	55.7
2	Clayton Kershaw	0.2463	0.3191	50.6
3	Nick Martinez	0.2036	0.1262	50.4
4	Brad Boxberger	0.2143	0.4211	49.8
5	Nick Tepesch	0.1907	0.1043	49.2
6	Collin McHugh	0.1709	0.2536	48.0
7	David Price	0.2188	0.2686	45.0
8	Andrew Miller	0.2350	0.4256	44.9
9	Jon Lester	0.1985	0.2486	39.7
10	Aroldis Chapman	0.3258	0.5248	39.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Price	0.2149	0.2686	47.1
2	Clayton Kershaw	0.2494	0.3191	47.0
3	Brandon McCarthy	0.1477	0.2093	45.7
4	Jon Lester	0.1907	0.2486	45.1
5	Franklin Morales	0.2154	0.1548	43.6
6	Matt Shoemaker	0.1460	0.2284	41.0
7	Jake Odorizzi	0.1804	0.2420	39.3
8	Brad Boxberger	0.2556	0.4211	39.1
9	Jacob deGrom	0.1787	0.2549	39.1
10	Shane Greene	0.1173	0.2348	38.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Carroll	0.2036	0.1117	63.5
2	Nick Martinez	0.2036	0.1262	58.8
3	Josh Collmenter	0.2195	0.1599	56.5
4	Jacob deGrom	0.1441	0.2549	51.8
5	Collin McHugh	0.1559	0.2536	48.8
6	Chris Tillman	0.2069	0.1722	46.8
7	Yovani Gallardo	0.2131	0.1787	43.6
8	Yusmeiro Petit	0.1757	0.2885	43.3
9	Jake Odorizzi	0.1629	0.2420	43.3
10	David Buchanan	0.2036	0.1412	41.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Roberto Hernandez	0.1011	0.0539 (31.0)	0.0670 (26.2)	0.0644 (27.7)	0.0608 (34.9)
Justin Masterson	0.1166	0.0749 (22.1)	0.0886 (17.9)	0.0860 (19.1)	0.0845 (23.7)
Nathan Eovaldi	0.0504	0.0840 (32.4)	0.0878 (30.0)	0.0924 (34.4)	0.0873 (24.7)
Phil Hughes	0.0187	0.0500 (30.4)	0.0671 (39.4)	0.0641 (37.3)	0.0628 (30.8)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1392	0.0863 (26.9)	0.1011 (22.3)	0.0993 (23.1)	0.1001 (26.1)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hiroki Kuroda	0.0762	0.0427	31.0
2	Jeff Samardzija	0.0788	0.0489	30.0
3	Stephen Strasburg	0.0792	0.0495	29.5
4	C.J. Wilson	0.0740	0.1117	25.5
5	John Danks	0.0527	0.0865	25.3
6	Tim Hudson	0.0673	0.0431	22.4
7	Yovani Gallardo	0.0887	0.0661	22.0
8	Daisuke Matsuzaka	0.0762	0.1393	21.1
9	Wily Peralta	0.0936	0.0728	21.0
10	Madison Bumgarner	0.0688	0.0493	20.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff Samardzija	0.0846	0.0489	29.4
2	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0637	0.0296	22.6
3	A.J. Burnett	0.0814	0.1027	22.0
4	John Danks	0.0646	0.0865	20.7
5	Trevor Rosenthal	0.0717	0.1364	20.6
6	Stephen Strasburg	0.0748	0.0495	20.0
7	David Price	0.0597	0.0377	19.9
8	Jon Lester	0.0784	0.0542	19.4
9	James Shields	0.0697	0.0469	19.4
10	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0762	0.0387	19.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff Samardzija	0.0848	0.0489	30.0
2	Tyler Matzek	0.1439	0.0875	27.5
3	Trevor Bauer	0.1285	0.0905	24.1
4	TJ House	0.1071	0.0513	23.2
5	Wily Peralta	0.0996	0.0728	21.0
6	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0596	0.0296	20.0
7	Dellin Betances	0.1292	0.0704	19.5
8	Jarred Cosart	0.1223	0.0953	19.4
9	Jim Johnson	0.0616	0.1331	19.3
10	Corey Kluber	0.0756	0.0536	19.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Bauer	0.1583	0.0905	39.6
2	Dellin Betances	0.1739	0.0704	32.6
3	Francisco Liriano	0.0866	0.1172	26.7
4	Jake Peavy	0.0511	0.0739	26.3
5	Wade Miley	0.0659	0.0866	24.9
6	Rubby De La Rosa	0.1428	0.0794	24.4
7	Edwin Jackson	0.0715	0.0995	22.8
8	C.J. Wilson	0.0900	0.1117	22.7
9	Tyler Matzek	0.1402	0.0875	22.5
10	A.J. Burnett	0.0868	0.1027	22.4

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
John Lackey	0.0012	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0109 (8.8)	0.0115 (9.0)	0.0112 (7.0)
Charlie Morton	0.0285	0.0000 (13.0)	0.0190 (5.8)	0.0156 (8.2)	0.0203 (6.5)
Scott Carroll	0.0209	0.0000 (6.9)	0.0090 (6.4)	0.0064 (8.1)	0.0090 (7.7)
Justin Masterson	0.0253	0.0000 (9.7)	0.0161 (5.0)	0.0139 (6.5)	0.0164 (6.2)
Edinson Volquez	0.0173	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0070 (7.7)	0.0080 (7.1)	0.0068 (9.8)
Bud Norris	0.0204	0.0000 (7.8)	0.0085 (7.6)	0.0080 (8.1)	0.0079 (9.6)
Mike Leake	0.0144	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0068 (6.1)	0.0077 (5.6)	0.0065 (8.5)
Jeremy Guthrie	0.0162	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0091 (5.4)	0.0095 (5.4)	0.0095 (7.1)
A.J. Burnett	0.0171	0.0000 (7.6)	0.0110 (4.9)	0.0102 (6.0)	0.0107 (7.5)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hector Noesí	0.0090	0.0027	11.2
2	Hiroki Kuroda	0.0090	0.0085	7.7
3	Aaron Harang	0.0000	0.0011	6.9
4	Johnny Cueto	0.0000	0.0156	6.4
5	Samuel Deduno	0.0000	0.0226	6.0
6	R.A. Dickey	0.0000	0.0153	5.8
7	Darren O'Day	0.0000	0.0295	5.6
8	Jose Quintana	0.0000	0.0024	5.5
9	Zack Greinke	0.0000	0.0024	5.4
10	Jimmy Nelson	0.0000	0.0257	5.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Teheran	0.0136	0.0045	8.7
2	Kyle Gibson	0.0132	0.0026	8.6
3	Ian Kennedy	0.0136	0.0047	8.2
4	Héctor Santiago	0.0189	0.0055	7.7
5	Aaron Harang	0.0079	0.0011	6.6
6	Jimmy Nelson	0.0060	0.0257	5.9
7	Stephen Strasburg	0.0115	0.0058	5.7
8	Oliver Pérez	0.0044	0.0273	5.7
9	David Holmberg	0.0073	0.0438	4.9
10	Brandon McCarthy	0.0086	0.0036	4.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Teheran	0.0135	0.0045	8.4
2	Ian Kennedy	0.0122	0.0047	6.7
3	Shelby Miller	0.0099	0.0026	5.9
4	Aaron Harang	0.0073	0.0011	5.8
5	Héctor Santiago	0.0148	0.0055	5.4
6	Oliver Pérez	0.0072	0.0273	5.0
7	David Holmberg	0.0087	0.0438	4.7
8	Darren O'Day	0.0118	0.0295	4.7
9	R.A. Dickey	0.0097	0.0153	4.7
10	Stephen Strasburg	0.0106	0.0058	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Gibson	0.0156	0.0026	8.6
2	Julio Teheran	0.0143	0.0045	7.2
3	Héctor Santiago	0.0202	0.0055	7.2
4	R.A. Dickey	0.0096	0.0153	6.7
5	Bartolo Colon	0.0000	0.0059	6.3
6	Oliver Pérez	0.0043	0.0273	6.3
7	Jacob deGrom	0.0142	0.0018	6.2
8	Ian Kennedy	0.0135	0.0047	6.1
9	C.J. Wilson	0.0082	0.0145	5.9
10	Roenis Elías	0.0090	0.0159	5.8

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jose Quintana	0.0167	0.0338 (13.0)	0.0350 (12.4)	0.0422 (17.1)	0.0352 (11.9)
Phil Hughes	0.0247	0.0421 (13.7)	0.0478 (16.9)	0.0491 (16.7)	0.0436 (12.6)
Marco Estrada	0.0644	0.0379 (17.5)	0.0437 (15.0)	0.0507 (11.6)	0.0442 (15.2)
Juan Nicasio	0.0605	0.0329 (11.8)	0.0347 (11.9)	0.0417 (9.7)	0.0342 (12.4)
Jake Arrieta	0.0124	0.0369 (14.2)	0.0440 (17.3)	0.0365 (11.8)	0.0387 (13.6)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hector Noesí	0.0320	0.0507	14.8
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.0364	0.0181	13.6
3	Eric Stults	0.0270	0.0431	13.3
4	Francisco Rodríguez	0.0324	0.0795	13.0
5	J.J. Hoover	0.0316	0.0774	13.0
6	Garrett Richards	0.0304	0.0110	12.2
7	Brandon McCarthy	0.0273	0.0400	11.8
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0342	0.0106	11.5
9	Kelvin Herrera	0.0414	0.0000	11.4
10	Jarred Cosart	0.0319	0.0157	11.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dallas Keuchel	0.0396	0.0181	14.6
2	Eric Stults	0.0278	0.0431	14.2
3	Vidal Nuño	0.0343	0.0502	13.1
4	J.J. Hoover	0.0343	0.0774	12.8
5	Ervin Santana	0.0468	0.0280	12.6
6	Brandon McCarthy	0.0287	0.0400	12.3
7	Francisco Rodríguez	0.0377	0.0795	12.1
8	Garrett Richards	0.0316	0.0110	11.7
9	Brad Boxberger	0.0351	0.0756	10.9
10	Aaron Harang	0.0389	0.0233	10.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Harang	0.0485	0.0233	17.8
2	Francisco Rodríguez	0.0372	0.0795	12.7
3	Mark Buehrle	0.0411	0.0218	12.4
4	Chris Tillman	0.0508	0.0323	11.9
5	Stephen Strasburg	0.0317	0.0398	11.2
6	Brett Oberholtzer	0.0467	0.0241	11.1
7	Marcus Stroman	0.0430	0.0179	10.8
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0364	0.0106	10.8
9	Jarred Cosart	0.0346	0.0157	10.8
10	Brad Boxberger	0.0375	0.0756	10.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marcus Stroman	0.0583	0.0179	19.4
2	Eric Stults	0.0241	0.0431	17.7
3	Brett Oberholtzer	0.0537	0.0241	15.9
4	Aaron Harang	0.0446	0.0233	15.0
5	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0429	0.0174	13.5
6	Johnny Cueto	0.0255	0.0344	12.6
7	Jason Vargas	0.0509	0.0309	12.6
8	Jason Hammel	0.0323	0.0455	12.4
9	Brandon McCarthy	0.0297	0.0400	12.1
10	Alex Wood	0.0205	0.0338	12.1

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Young	0.2383	0.2869 (39.8)	0.2823 (32.2)	0.2776 (30.1)	0.2750 (31.3)
Ricky Nolasco	0.3515	0.3020 (28.0)	0.3053 (30.1)	0.3044 (29.6)	0.3001 (29.5)
Félix Hernández	0.2580	0.3050 (51.3)	0.3066 (47.0)	0.2952 (38.0)	0.2936 (40.5)
Colby Lewis	0.3394	0.2870 (32.9)	0.2814 (42.0)	0.2886 (35.3)	0.2809 (37.9)
Johnny Cueto	0.2382	0.2799 (48.9)	0.2774 (40.4)	0.2895 (53.6)	0.2708 (39.8)
Adam Wainwright	0.2669	0.2855 (25.0)	0.3051 (36.9)	0.2948 (29.1)	0.2917 (30.2)
Danny Duffy	0.2388	0.2940 (39.1)	0.3045 (41.6)	0.2804 (28.0)	0.2941 (38.9)
Jorge De La Rosa	0.2632	0.3010 (36.1)	0.2975 (28.6)	0.2978 (30.0)	0.2951 (31.3)
Edwin Jackson	0.3521	0.3018 (26.0)	0.3062 (27.3)	0.2945 (33.6)	0.2951 (30.5)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	R.A. Dickey	0.2912	0.2632	34.1
2	Jacob Turner	0.2789	0.3542	33.1
3	Trevor Cahill	0.2755	0.3497	32.4
4	Tom Wilhelmsen	0.2909	0.2040	30.5
5	Ervin Santana	0.2746	0.3189	28.6
6	Marco Estrada	0.2917	0.2565	27.7
7	Stephen Strasburg	0.2747	0.3153	27.2
8	Alfredo Simon	0.2876	0.2646	26.4
9	Nathan Eovaldi	0.2826	0.3225	26.2
10	Collin McHugh	0.2902	0.2587	25.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Travis Wood	0.2625	0.3195	42.3
2	Ervin Santana	0.2665	0.3189	40.5
3	Collin McHugh	0.3198	0.2587	39.6
4	Edinson Volquez	0.3061	0.2628	37.3
5	Jacob Turner	0.2824	0.3542	34.5
6	Doug Fister	0.3070	0.2621	31.6
7	Yu Darvish	0.2806	0.3343	30.7
8	Trevor Cahill	0.2918	0.3497	27.4
9	Brett Oberholtzer	0.2784	0.3251	27.3
10	Mike Minor	0.2771	0.3229	27.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edinson Volquez	0.2972	0.2628	31.5
2	Roenis Elías	0.3350	0.2941	31.4
3	David Buchanan	0.3389	0.2842	29.7
4	Tom Wilhelmsen	0.2904	0.2040	28.8
5	Justin Verlander	0.2807	0.3173	28.7
6	Tommy Kahnle	0.3363	0.2404	28.6
7	Travis Wood	0.2787	0.3195	28.4
8	Garrett Richards	0.3005	0.2639	27.9
9	Doug Fister	0.2983	0.2621	26.9
10	Brandon McCarthy	0.2920	0.3283	26.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Travis Wood	0.2673	0.3195	33.9
2	Jacob Turner	0.2780	0.3542	33.7
3	Collin McHugh	0.3025	0.2587	32.6
4	Edinson Volquez	0.2918	0.2628	30.6
5	Yu Darvish	0.2754	0.3343	30.3
6	Trevor Cahill	0.2812	0.3497	29.8
7	Stephen Strasburg	0.2729	0.3153	29.2
8	Ervin Santana	0.2768	0.3189	27.2
9	Mike Minor	0.2734	0.3229	25.9
10	Tom Wilhelmsen	0.2768	0.2040	25.9

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
R.A. Dickey	0.1786	0.0000 (41.7)	0.2078 (29.5)	0.2867 (38.1)	0.2722 (28.8)
Chris Young	0.1548	0.0000 (47.8)	0.2010 (33.9)	0.2776 (38.8)	0.2750 (40.0)
Johnny Cueto	0.1799	0.0000 (42.6)	0.2165 (38.1)	0.2895 (41.5)	0.2708 (27.7)
Daisuke Matsuzaka	0.1507	0.2243 (106.9)	0.2208 (26.3)	0.2831 (23.7)	0.2846 (25.8)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hiroki Kuroda	0.2243	0.2157	190.9
2	Hector Noesí	0.2243	0.2347	156.7
3	Josh Beckett	0.2243	0.1726	131.0
4	Paul Maholm	0.2243	0.2437	63.7
5	Brandon League	0.2243	0.2647	50.2
6	Brian Wilson	0.2243	0.2443	45.5
7	Scott Downs	0.2243	0.1780	44.6
8	Juan Carlos Oviedo	0.2243	0.1413	43.0
9	Francisley Bueno	0.2243	0.2072	34.3
10	Matt Guerrier	0.2243	0.2100	29.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Félix Hernández	0.2422	0.1993	41.9
2	Travis Wood	0.1853	0.2368	37.8
3	Colby Lewis	0.2060	0.2500	31.1
4	Aaron Harang	0.2090	0.2468	30.4
5	Jacob Turner	0.2112	0.2708	28.3
6	Mike Minor	0.1996	0.2466	28.0
7	Roberto Hernandez	0.2253	0.1899	27.8
8	Jorge De La Rosa	0.2265	0.1936	27.7
9	Brett Oberholtzer	0.2015	0.2490	27.7
10	Henderson Alvarez III	0.2079	0.2442	25.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.3350	0.2179	35.1
2	Shane Greene	0.2509	0.2805	33.1
3	Roberto Hernandez	0.2971	0.1899	29.4
4	Jorge De La Rosa	0.2978	0.1936	29.0
5	Félix Hernández	0.2952	0.1993	26.8
6	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.2243	0.2196	25.0
7	David Buchanan	0.3389	0.2237	24.5
8	Drew Hutchison	0.2945	0.1973	24.2
9	Edinson Volquez	0.2972	0.2011	24.0
10	Tommy Kahnle	0.3363	0.1858	23.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Carroll	0.2243	0.2301	38.9
2	Roenis Elías	0.2243	0.2179	38.6
3	Chase Whitley	0.2243	0.2731	36.6
4	David Buchanan	0.2243	0.2237	30.9
5	Jorge De La Rosa	0.2951	0.1936	30.2
6	Félix Hernández	0.2936	0.1993	29.3
7	Danny Duffy	0.2941	0.1844	28.9
8	Jacob Turner	0.2780	0.2708	27.5
9	Roberto Hernandez	0.2887	0.1899	26.5
10	Jim Johnson	0.2743	0.3086	25.3

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Sergio Santos	0.2037	0.0000 (14.8)	0.0693 (14.3)	0.0000 (14.8)	0.0000 (14.8)
Ryan Vogelsong	0.0846	0.0000 (15.9)	0.0627 (17.2)	0.0000 (15.9)	0.0000 (15.9)
Max Scherzer	0.0867	0.0000 (20.4)	0.0685 (16.7)	0.0000 (20.4)	0.0000 (20.4)
Collin McHugh	0.0398	0.0000 (15.1)	0.0761 (22.4)	0.0000 (15.1)	0.0000 (15.1)
Drew Hutchison	0.0918	0.0000 (21.7)	0.0700 (17.3)	0.0000 (21.7)	0.0000 (21.7)
Edwin Jackson	0.1033	0.0000 (24.7)	0.0775 (16.4)	0.0000 (24.7)	0.0000 (24.7)
Mark Buehrle	0.0832	0.0000 (16.3)	0.0657 (15.1)	0.0000 (16.3)	0.0000 (16.3)
Doug Fister	0.0350	0.0000 (19.4)	0.0570 (14.5)	0.0000 (19.4)	0.0000 (19.4)
Jeremy Guthrie	0.0459	0.0000 (15.8)	0.0662 (17.4)	0.0000 (15.8)	0.0000 (15.8)
A.J. Burnett	0.0832	0.0000 (17.8)	0.0649 (17.3)	0.0000 (17.8)	0.0000 (17.8)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hector Noesí	0.0642	0.0477	59.1
2	Hiroki Kuroda	0.0642	0.0588	57.0
3	Paul Maholm	0.0642	0.0588	21.6
4	Josh Beckett	0.0642	0.0847	20.8
5	Brandon League	0.0642	0.0539	20.3
6	Sonny Gray	0.0000	0.0435	18.6
7	Yovani Gallardo	0.0000	0.0439	16.6
8	Daisuke Matsuzaka	0.0642	0.0868	14.9
9	Tyson Ross	0.0000	0.0460	14.8
10	J.A. Happ	0.0000	0.0860	14.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Stephen Strasburg	0.0499	0.0721	19.4
2	Hector Noesí	0.0729	0.0477	18.3
3	Justin Verlander	0.0608	0.0789	16.3
4	John Danks	0.0625	0.0809	15.9
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.0717	0.0429	15.2
6	Jake Odorizzi	0.0733	0.0521	15.1
7	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0717	0.0526	15.1
8	Vance Worley	0.0789	0.0464	14.8
9	R.A. Dickey	0.0612	0.0766	14.2
10	Ervin Santana	0.0586	0.0757	14.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.0642	0.0439	34.1
2	Sonny Gray	0.0000	0.0435	18.6
3	Yovani Gallardo	0.0000	0.0439	16.6
4	Tyson Ross	0.0000	0.0460	14.8
5	J.A. Happ	0.0000	0.0860	14.7
6	Carlos Villanueva	0.0000	0.1070	14.7
7	Travis Wood	0.0000	0.0827	14.5
8	John Danks	0.0000	0.0809	14.3
9	Julio Teheran	0.0000	0.0483	14.0
10	Mike Leake	0.0000	0.0798	14.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.0642	0.0741	37.6
2	Scott Carroll	0.0642	0.0638	37.0
3	David Buchanan	0.0642	0.0553	36.8
4	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.0642	0.0439	34.1
5	Nick Martinez	0.0642	0.0766	31.6
6	Dominic Leone	0.0642	0.0529	20.5
7	Chase Whitley	0.0642	0.0672	20.2
8	Sonny Gray	0.0000	0.0435	18.6
9	Yovani Gallardo	0.0000	0.0439	16.6
10	Mario Hollands	0.0642	0.0556	14.9

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rick Porcello	0.0154	0.0000 (7.3)	0.0038 (9.8)	0.0000 (7.3)	0.0000 (7.3)
Tim Lincecum	0.0243	0.0000 (11.9)	0.0081 (10.9)	0.0000 (11.9)	0.0000 (11.9)
Justin Masterson	0.0184	0.0000 (6.9)	0.0040 (8.6)	0.0000 (6.9)	0.0000 (6.9)
Grant Balfour	0.0357	0.0000 (7.8)	0.0060 (8.0)	0.0000 (7.8)	0.0000 (7.8)
Tim Hudson	0.0179	0.0000 (8.9)	0.0071 (8.6)	0.0000 (8.9)	0.0000 (8.9)
Juan Gutierrez	0.0352	0.0000 (7.6)	0.0065 (7.7)	0.0000 (7.6)	0.0000 (7.6)
Justin Verlander	0.0139	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0057 (7.4)	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0000 (6.4)
Gio González	0.0166	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0041 (8.2)	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0000 (6.4)
Chase Anderson	0.0186	0.0000 (5.8)	0.0067 (5.8)	0.0000 (5.8)	0.0000 (5.8)
Mike Bolsinger	0.0361	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0067 (7.0)	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0067 (5.4)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hiroki Kuroda	0.0067	0.0049	7.0
2	Josh Beckett	0.0067	0.0000	6.4
3	Cole Hamels	0.0000	0.0000	5.6
4	Travis Wood	0.0000	0.0000	5.2
5	C.J. Wilson	0.0000	0.0000	5.1
6	Chris Perez	0.0000	0.0320	5.1
7	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.0194	4.9
8	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0136	4.8
9	Christian Bergman	0.0000	0.0253	4.6
10	Alex Cobb	0.0000	0.0000	4.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edinson Volquez	0.0105	0.0018	7.0
2	Jorge De La Rosa	0.0023	0.0113	6.9
3	Lance Lynn	0.0124	0.0051	6.3
4	Max Scherzer	0.0104	0.0035	6.1
5	Jonathon Niese	0.0043	0.0121	6.1
6	Gerrit Cole	0.0029	0.0134	6.0
7	Eric Stults	0.0095	0.0017	5.9
8	Alfredo Simon	0.0089	0.0017	5.9
9	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0054	0.0123	5.6
10	Danny Duffy	0.0136	0.0047	5.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cole Hamels	0.0000	0.0000	5.6
2	Travis Wood	0.0000	0.0000	5.2
3	C.J. Wilson	0.0000	0.0000	5.1
4	Chris Perez	0.0000	0.0320	5.1
5	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.0194	4.9
6	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0136	4.8
7	Christian Bergman	0.0000	0.0253	4.6
8	Alex Cobb	0.0000	0.0000	4.6
9	Garrett Richards	0.0000	0.0000	4.6
10	Jered Weaver	0.0000	0.0016	4.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.0067	0.0022	7.8
2	Cole Hamels	0.0000	0.0000	5.6
3	Travis Wood	0.0000	0.0000	5.2
4	C.J. Wilson	0.0000	0.0000	5.1
5	Chris Perez	0.0000	0.0320	5.1
6	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.0194	4.9
7	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0136	4.8
8	Alex Cobb	0.0000	0.0000	4.6
9	Garrett Richards	0.0000	0.0000	4.6
10	Jered Weaver	0.0000	0.0016	4.5

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Kluber	0.0757	0.1157 (37.9)	0.1186 (38.5)	0.1154 (33.8)	0.1118 (27.9)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Carroll	0.0000	0.1414	81.1
2	Roenis Elías	0.0000	0.1111	77.2
3	Nick Tepesch	0.0000	0.1229	66.1
4	Marcus Stroman	0.0000	0.1049	56.1
5	Chase Anderson	0.0000	0.1152	56.1
6	David Buchanan	0.0000	0.1093	55.1
7	Collin McHugh	0.0000	0.0856	53.1
8	Tyler Matzek	0.0000	0.1054	53.1
9	Rubby De La Rosa	0.0000	0.1156	51.1
10	Scott Baker	0.0000	0.1476	49.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	0.1491	0.0856	37.8
2	Clay Buchholz	0.1005	0.1465	35.7
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.1336	0.0879	35.0
4	Jake Arrieta	0.1338	0.0749	34.7
5	Justin Verlander	0.0949	0.1277	31.4
6	Robbie Ross Jr.	0.0959	0.1781	30.9
7	Travis Wood	0.1043	0.1408	30.4
8	Garrett Richards	0.1213	0.0752	29.6
9	Edwin Jackson	0.1236	0.1659	28.3
10	Justin Masterson	0.1087	0.1520	27.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Jackson	0.1194	0.1659	32.0
2	Johnny Cueto	0.1079	0.0718	30.7
3	Garrett Richards	0.1246	0.0752	30.7
4	Robbie Ross Jr.	0.0982	0.1781	30.7
5	Justin Verlander	0.1007	0.1277	27.8
6	Justin Masterson	0.1107	0.1520	26.9
7	A.J. Burnett	0.1061	0.1305	26.6
8	Tanner Roark	0.1174	0.0802	26.4
9	Aaron Harang	0.1325	0.1005	24.4
10	Dallas Keuchel	0.1219	0.0879	24.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.0878	0.1277	41.6
2	Edwin Jackson	0.1086	0.1659	40.5
3	Clay Buchholz	0.1009	0.1465	38.6
4	Dellin Betances	0.1490	0.0440	33.5
5	Justin Masterson	0.1033	0.1520	32.8
6	Travis Wood	0.1075	0.1408	31.3
7	Robbie Ross Jr.	0.0993	0.1781	31.2
8	Dallas Keuchel	0.1323	0.0879	30.4
9	A.J. Burnett	0.1068	0.1305	28.4
10	Carlos Carrasco	0.1344	0.0756	27.5

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Kluber	0.0673	0.1057 (36.8)	0.1082 (36.4)	0.1061 (33.1)	0.1045 (27.6)
Justin Masterson	0.1419	0.0932 (28.7)	0.1020 (25.2)	0.1007 (26.8)	0.0963 (31.8)
Edwin Jackson	0.1564	0.1041 (32.9)	0.1124 (29.6)	0.1098 (32.0)	0.1020 (39.6)
Justin Verlander	0.1165	0.0860 (26.9)	0.0848 (30.7)	0.0923 (25.2)	0.0822 (37.8)
Dallas Keuchel	0.0804	0.1184 (30.9)	0.1221 (31.5)	0.1116 (21.9)	0.1238 (28.4)
Clay Buchholz	0.1370	0.0930 (32.3)	0.0932 (34.3)	0.1096 (23.2)	0.0937 (38.0)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Lester	0.0987	0.0678	27.6
2	Johnny Cueto	0.0914	0.0635	27.1
3	Chris Young	0.1360	0.0974	26.8
4	Garrett Richards	0.1083	0.0723	24.6
5	Henderson Alvarez III	0.1025	0.0712	24.4
6	A.J. Burnett	0.0911	0.1166	23.5
7	Jacob Turner	0.1072	0.1537	23.2
8	Félix Hernández	0.0864	0.0614	23.0
9	Wade Davis	0.1102	0.0287	22.8
10	Jake Arrieta	0.1080	0.0717	22.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	0.1382	0.0759	36.9
2	Jake Arrieta	0.1272	0.0717	32.4
3	Jon Lester	0.1062	0.0678	31.6
4	Edinson Volquez	0.1212	0.0803	30.8
5	Henderson Alvarez III	0.1101	0.0712	27.9
6	Jacob Turner	0.1029	0.1537	26.8
7	Carlos Carrasco	0.1218	0.0718	25.0
8	Lance Lynn	0.1024	0.0716	24.4
9	Robbie Ross Jr.	0.0849	0.1479	24.0
10	Ricky Nolasco	0.1064	0.1367	22.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	0.0982	0.0635	29.5
2	Jon Lester	0.1042	0.0678	28.6
3	Garrett Richards	0.1144	0.0723	25.8
4	Edinson Volquez	0.1158	0.0803	25.4
5	Aaron Harang	0.1242	0.0925	24.2
6	Robbie Ross Jr.	0.0888	0.1479	23.1
7	Franklin Morales	0.1005	0.1316	22.7
8	A.J. Burnett	0.0965	0.1166	22.6
9	Henderson Alvarez III	0.1039	0.0712	22.1
10	Chris Young	0.1333	0.0974	21.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dellin Betances	0.1387	0.0411	30.5
2	Jacob Turner	0.1077	0.1537	27.1
3	Collin McHugh	0.1277	0.0759	27.0
4	C.J. Wilson	0.0900	0.1156	25.7
5	Ricky Nolasco	0.1079	0.1367	25.6
6	Travis Wood	0.0999	0.1242	25.3
7	Mike Minor	0.0906	0.1209	24.5
8	Carlos Carrasco	0.1248	0.0718	23.7
9	Robbie Ross Jr.	0.0922	0.1479	23.3
10	A.J. Burnett	0.1001	0.1166	23.0

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Phil Hughes	0.5000	0.2857 (205.1)	0.2105 (190.3)	0.3336 (154.1)	0.2963 (166.0)
Corey Kluber	0.5294	0.3448 (199.8)	0.2432 (208.5)	0.3842 (151.2)	0.3462 (165.2)
Alfredo Simon	0.4688	0.1818 (255.6)	0.1000 (246.9)	0.1004 (312.6)	0.0784 (311.5)
Clayton Kershaw	0.7778	0.5484 (191.0)	0.3590 (263.5)	0.4649 (244.7)	0.5455 (166.9)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	0.0004	0.4400	287.9
2	Roenis Elías	0.0005	0.3448	256.4
3	Marcus Stroman	0.0005	0.4231	239.3
4	Johnny Cueto	0.3704	0.5882	233.9
5	Matt Shoemaker	0.1875	0.5926	233.8
6	Chase Anderson	0.0004	0.4286	220.5
7	Vance Worley	0.0005	0.4444	215.0
8	Wily Peralta	0.3200	0.5313	198.4
9	Kyle Hendricks	0.0004	0.5385	180.9
10	Tyler Matzek	0.0003	0.3000	163.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Shoemaker	0.1111	0.5926	225.1
2	Yordano Ventura	0.1071	0.4516	217.0
3	Johnny Cueto	0.3077	0.5882	205.3
4	Wily Peralta	0.2195	0.5313	205.1
5	Garrett Richards	0.1333	0.5000	203.2
6	Tyson Ross	0.1053	0.4194	200.4
7	Adam Wainwright	0.3415	0.6250	194.5
8	Doug Fister	0.2895	0.6400	187.7
9	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2465	0.6500	182.4
10	Jarred Cosart	0.1290	0.4333	181.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.0000	0.3448	248.5
2	Collin McHugh	0.0539	0.4400	247.5
3	Johnny Cueto	0.3778	0.5882	215.5
4	Chase Anderson	0.0000	0.4286	215.0
5	Jacob deGrom	0.0548	0.4091	208.0
6	Josh Collmenter	0.0623	0.3333	204.8
7	Tanner Roark	0.2561	0.4839	192.8
8	Wily Peralta	0.3175	0.5313	190.7
9	Dallas Keuchel	0.1939	0.4138	188.9
10	Adam Wainwright	0.4390	0.6250	179.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Garrett Richards	0.1750	0.5000	213.9
2	Francisco Liriano	0.5000	0.2414	185.3
3	Jake Peavy	0.4167	0.2188	176.7
4	Josh Collmenter	0.0926	0.3333	166.2
5	Kyle Gibson	0.1905	0.4194	166.1
6	Trevor Cahill	0.4000	0.0938	157.6
7	A.J. Burnett	0.3929	0.2353	156.2
8	Matt Shoemaker	0.2963	0.5926	155.7
9	Jeff Samardzija	0.3793	0.2121	155.3
10	Tyson Ross	0.2258	0.4194	149.2

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
A.J. Burnett	0.5294	0.3548 (193.5)	0.2432 (202.9)	0.3881 (150.1)	0.3571 (160.9)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.0005	0.4138	308.9
2	Tyler Matzek	0.0005	0.5500	292.7
3	Nick Tepesch	0.0005	0.4783	274.0
4	Collin McHugh	0.0004	0.3600	242.7
5	Scott Carroll	0.0005	0.3846	238.7
6	David Buchanan	0.0005	0.4000	217.3
7	Rubby De La Rosa	0.0004	0.4211	199.8
8	Odrisamer Despaigne	0.0007	0.4375	189.6
9	Chase Anderson	0.0005	0.3333	177.5
10	Eric Stults	0.3478	0.5313	164.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Stults	0.2250	0.5313	180.9
2	Brett Oberholtzer	0.2000	0.5417	169.8
3	Jake Odorizzi	0.1200	0.4194	165.5
4	Colby Lewis	0.2105	0.4828	154.8
5	Drew Smyly	0.0488	0.3571	147.8
6	Jimmy Nelson	0.1176	0.6429	141.8
7	Drew Hutchison	0.1600	0.4063	139.2
8	Julio Teheran	0.1750	0.3939	132.4
9	Jarred Cosart	0.1290	0.3667	129.1
10	Brandon Workman	0.1250	0.5263	125.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roenis Elías	0.0000	0.4138	300.1
2	Tyler Matzek	0.0000	0.5500	286.3
3	Nick Martinez	0.0000	0.4138	264.1
4	Hector Noesí	0.0438	0.3636	248.5
5	Scott Carroll	0.0000	0.3846	231.4
6	David Buchanan	0.0000	0.4000	210.9
7	Collin McHugh	0.0432	0.3600	208.0
8	Alfredo Simon	0.1075	0.3125	183.4
9	Josh Collmenter	0.0369	0.2727	183.4
10	Jimmy Nelson	0.0884	0.6429	178.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alfredo Simon	0.0588	0.3125	207.4
2	Matt Shoemaker	0.4444	0.1481	161.0
3	Tyson Ross	0.2581	0.4516	156.8
4	Josh Collmenter	0.0556	0.2727	156.0
5	Colby Lewis	0.2857	0.4828	150.0
6	Chris Tillman	0.3438	0.1765	145.8
7	Mike Minor	0.2581	0.4800	141.3
8	Eric Stults	0.3462	0.5313	141.1
9	Justin Verlander	0.2188	0.3750	139.4
10	Alex Wood	0.1176	0.3143	136.4

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jenrry Mejia	0.4444	0.0000 (187.2)	0.0370 (179.6)	0.0000 (185.5)	0.0000 (173.5)
Francisco Rodríguez	0.6377	0.0909 (147.8)	0.1395 (139.7)	0.0769 (150.4)	0.0000 (163.3)
Zack Britton	0.5211	0.0000 (149.8)	0.0400 (143.7)	0.0000 (148.6)	0.0000 (140.4)
Mark Melancon	0.4583	0.1667 (82.1)	0.1633 (88.2)	0.0615 (110.0)	0.0000 (119.1)
Héctor Rondón	0.4531	0.0000 (116.7)	0.0323 (113.2)	0.0000 (115.6)	0.0000 (108.3)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tommy Hunter	0.9677	0.1833	187.9
2	Jim Johnson	0.6316	0.0370	155.2
3	Trevor Rosenthal	1.0882	0.6250	141.3
4	Grant Balfour	0.6724	0.1846	130.5
5	John Axford	0.5313	0.1613	88.8
6	Jason Grilli	0.5472	0.1935	82.0
7	Jose Veras	0.3770	0.0217	71.2
8	Sergio Romo	0.6667	0.3594	69.6
9	Sean Doolittle	0.0784	0.3607	67.7
10	Jake Petricka	0.0002	0.2090	65.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rosenthal	0.0435	0.6250	186.3
2	David Robertson	0.0392	0.6190	156.2
3	Jim Johnson	0.4902	0.0370	113.1
4	Kenley Jansen	0.2778	0.6471	105.2
5	Steve Cishek	0.2745	0.5821	91.0
6	Greg Holland	0.3673	0.7077	87.3
7	Fernando Rodney	0.4200	0.6957	85.5
8	Cody Allen	0.0417	0.3158	83.0
9	Sean Doolittle	0.0426	0.3607	80.6
10	Tom Wilhelmsen	0.2889	0.0175	78.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jim Johnson	0.4462	0.0370	107.5
2	Fernando Rodney	0.3692	0.6957	93.5
3	Sean Doolittle	0.0182	0.3607	80.9
4	Jason Grilli	0.5231	0.1935	77.4
5	Jose Veras	0.3692	0.0217	70.5
6	Santiago Casilla	0.0308	0.3519	70.1
7	Huston Street	0.3692	0.6721	69.4
8	Grant Balfour	0.4308	0.1846	66.4
9	Josh Fields	0.3538	0.0741	64.5
10	Jake Petricka	0.0000	0.2090	64.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Fernando Rodney	0.0000	0.6957	190.9
2	Trevor Rosenthal	0.0000	0.6250	183.8
3	Craig Kimbrel	0.0000	0.7460	175.1
4	Kenley Jansen	0.0000	0.6471	165.8
5	Greg Holland	0.0000	0.7077	163.0
6	David Robertson	0.0000	0.6190	153.0
7	Steve Cishek	0.0000	0.5821	152.3
8	Huston Street	0.0000	0.6721	147.4
9	Jonathan Papelbon	0.0000	0.5909	145.7
10	Joe Nathan	0.0000	0.5645	138.9

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Will Smith	0.3846	0.1600 (76.3)	0.0000 (95.2)	0.0000 (95.2)
Adam Warren	0.3333	0.0667 (100.1)	0.0000 (91.2)	0.0000 (91.2)
Wade Davis	0.4648	0.0750 (120.5)	0.0000 (115.2)	0.0000 (115.2)
Carlos Martinez	0.2982	0.1364 (78.8)	0.0000 (95.1)	0.0000 (95.1)
Joba Chamberlain	0.4203	0.1515 (81.8)	0.0000 (96.9)	0.0000 (96.9)
Tony Watson	0.4359	0.2500 (69.6)	0.0000 (117.1)	0.0000 (117.1)
Brad Ziegler	0.4265	0.1607 (86.5)	0.0000 (105.3)	0.0000 (105.3)
Dellin Betances	0.3143	0.0714 (97.2)	0.0000 (89.5)	0.0000 (89.5)
Tyler Clippard	0.5333	0.3269 (69.1)	0.0000 (133.8)	0.0000 (133.8)
Brian Wilson	0.3607	0.1000 (67.5)	0.0000 (68.9)	0.0000 (68.9)
Jeurys Familia	0.3026	0.0588 (92.1)	0.0000 (80.7)	0.0000 (80.7)
Pat Neshek	0.3521	0.0909 (77.4)	0.0000 (76.6)	0.0000 (76.6)
J.P. Howell	0.3971	0.1224 (63.0)	0.0000 (68.7)	0.0000 (68.7)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Franklin Morales	0.1852	0.0000	92.4
2	David Robertson	0.3922	0.0000	90.6
3	Drew Smyly	0.2195	0.0357	87.5
4	Evan Marshall	0.0519	0.3333	68.0
5	Tanner Roark	0.1250	0.0000	66.1
6	Trevor Rosenthal	0.2826	0.0278	65.5
7	Zach Putnam	0.0714	0.3265	63.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Darren O'Day	0.0000	0.3676	85.6
2	Casey Fien	0.0000	0.3562	79.1
3	Bryan Shaw	0.0000	0.3000	77.7
4	Jonathan Broxton	0.0000	0.3710	73.7
5	Brett Cecil	0.0000	0.3636	72.9
6	Luke Gregerson	0.0000	0.3056	72.0
7	Kelvin Herrera	0.0000	0.2857	66.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Darren O'Day	0.0000	0.3676	85.6
2	Casey Fien	0.0000	0.3562	79.1
3	Bryan Shaw	0.0000	0.3000	77.7
4	Jonathan Broxton	0.0000	0.3710	73.7
5	Brett Cecil	0.0000	0.3636	73.0
6	Luke Gregerson	0.0000	0.3056	72.0
7	Roenis Elías	0.0519	0.0000	71.9

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Kluber	2.4441	4.0582 (1556.7)	4.1147 (1540.7)	4.0667 (1403.6)	4.0248 (1073.4)
Jim Johnson	7.0875	3.2100 (1013.8)	3.2432 (1024.3)	3.3964 (1009.3)	3.2500 (1128.1)
Justin Masterson	5.8756	3.5700 (1351.4)	3.8997 (1199.7)	3.8901 (1262.2)	3.7788 (1508.9)
Edwin Jackson	6.3341	4.1314 (1379.9)	4.3531 (1285.9)	4.2320 (1423.4)	3.9896 (1770.2)
Justin Verlander	4.5437	3.2508 (1134.2)	3.1439 (1295.1)	3.4566 (1101.7)	3.0734 (1716.6)
Dallas Keuchel	2.9250	4.6710 (1429.3)	4.8111 (1483.2)	4.3291 (1016.1)	5.0192 (1326.9)
Jake Arrieta	2.5277	4.2832 (1091.9)	4.9245 (1440.7)	4.2615 (974.6)	4.6385 (1018.6)

Individual Misses for ERA

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clay Buchholz	3.5376	5.3366	1309.1
2	Chris Young	5.4249	3.6545	1233.7
3	Johnny Cueto	3.4788	2.2531	1199.9
4	Jon Lester	3.7817	2.4583	1191.4
5	Garrett Richards	4.1675	2.6146	1068.3
6	Félix Hernández	3.2483	2.1356	1035.6
7	Henderson Alvarez III	3.9578	2.6471	1029.5
8	A.J. Burnett	3.5287	4.5913	972.1
9	Carlos Carrasco	4.3329	2.5522	954.0
10	Jacob Turner	4.2089	6.1327	952.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	5.4633	2.7349	1657.6
2	Clay Buchholz	3.4589	5.3366	1421.0
3	Edinson Volquez	4.8363	3.0363	1415.4
4	Jon Lester	4.0514	2.4583	1365.3
5	Carlos Carrasco	4.7832	2.5522	1153.5
6	Henderson Alvarez III	4.1642	2.6471	1132.3
7	Robbie Ross Jr.	3.2243	6.2043	1106.1
8	Jacob Turner	3.9767	6.1327	1105.4
9	Travis Wood	3.7140	5.0269	1064.8
10	Garrett Richards	4.1667	2.6146	1018.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	3.7401	2.2531	1288.1
2	Jon Lester	4.0092	2.4583	1242.8
3	Garrett Richards	4.4795	2.6146	1164.9
4	Edinson Volquez	4.5647	3.0363	1117.8
5	Robbie Ross Jr.	3.3549	6.2043	1093.5
6	Chris Young	5.3804	3.6545	1086.5
7	Aaron Harang	4.8953	3.5677	1034.5
8	Franklin Morales	3.9476	5.3747	1016.6
9	Jarred Cosart	5.1529	3.6932	1005.9
10	A.J. Burnett	3.6675	4.5913	1000.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clay Buchholz	3.6364	5.3366	1586.2
2	Dellin Betances	6.2358	1.4000	1494.9
3	Collin McHugh	5.2500	2.7349	1277.1
4	Travis Wood	3.8789	5.0269	1249.6
5	Mike Minor	3.4051	4.7683	1156.3
6	Ricky Nolasco	4.2037	5.3774	1129.8
7	Jacob Turner	4.3484	6.1327	1120.4
8	Robbie Ross Jr.	3.6000	6.2043	1115.5
9	C.J. Wilson	3.5124	4.5085	1102.0
10	Carlos Carrasco	5.0737	2.5522	1094.8

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Davenport	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Carlos Carrasco	0.9851	1.3143 (180.4)	1.4406 (238.5)	1.3576 (187.4)	1.4744 (215.7)
Jim Johnson	1.9500	1.1500 (207.3)	1.2312 (190.3)	1.2479 (189.5)	1.1806 (223.8)
Justin Masterson	1.6321	1.2571 (215.0)	1.2999 (199.5)	1.3303 (189.5)	1.2903 (250.7)
Dellin Betances	0.7778	1.3778 (208.6)	1.3758 (202.3)	1.4383 (219.0)	1.9235 (362.8)
Justin Verlander	1.3981	1.1980 (168.1)	1.1783 (200.4)	1.1947 (197.9)	1.1352 (307.6)
Garrett Richards	1.0375	1.2739 (168.2)	1.3721 (223.6)	1.4178 (245.4)	1.4317 (211.8)
Jake Arrieta	0.9894	1.4061 (263.1)	1.3491 (218.0)	1.3837 (230.9)	1.4603 (239.0)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Davenport

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff Samardzija	1.3716	1.0653	279.6
2	Johnny Cueto	1.2304	0.9603	270.9
3	Félix Hernández	1.1794	0.9153	251.6
4	Colby Lewis	1.2100	1.5205	227.7
5	Jason Hammel	1.4027	1.1229	208.5
6	Jorge De La Rosa	1.4823	1.2369	197.5
7	Clayton Kershaw	1.0991	0.8571	190.0
8	Dallas Keuchel	1.3822	1.1750	176.9
9	Corey Kluber	1.2646	1.0948	172.7
10	Julio Teheran	1.2541	1.0814	163.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Collin McHugh	1.4696	1.0216	274.5
2	Travis Wood	1.2210	1.5317	246.3
3	Colby Lewis	1.2139	1.5205	237.3
4	Dallas Keuchel	1.4683	1.1750	233.2
5	Félix Hernández	1.1743	0.9153	231.9
6	Corey Kluber	1.3135	1.0948	203.5
7	Jeff Samardzija	1.3013	1.0653	203.4
8	Edinson Volquez	1.4824	1.2301	200.3
9	Johnny Cueto	1.1713	0.9603	198.2
10	Franklin Morales	1.3306	1.6230	191.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johnny Cueto	1.2507	0.9603	261.5
2	Edwin Jackson	1.3214	1.6422	214.6
3	Félix Hernández	1.1514	0.9153	198.7
4	Franklin Morales	1.3525	1.6230	186.6
5	Jon Lester	1.3231	1.1017	179.7
6	Tyler Matzek	1.7685	1.3938	179.3
7	Clayton Kershaw	1.1146	0.8571	179.1
8	Tanner Roark	1.3335	1.0923	177.9
9	Corey Kluber	1.2986	1.0948	176.4
10	Robbie Ross Jr.	1.2524	1.6979	169.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Travis Wood	1.2711	1.5317	267.3
2	Collin McHugh	1.5076	1.0216	250.3
3	Edwin Jackson	1.3299	1.6422	249.4
4	Trevor Bauer	1.8196	1.3791	237.9
5	Mike Minor	1.1613	1.4381	228.3
6	Colby Lewis	1.3077	1.5205	224.4
7	Ricky Nolasco	1.2831	1.5157	218.5
8	Robbie Ross Jr.	1.2769	1.6979	183.5
9	Tyler Matzek	1.8270	1.3938	176.8
10	C.J. Wilson	1.3026	1.4459	171.2