2014 Projection Evaluation
Batting Projection Accuracy
Plate Appearances (PA)
Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Scutaro | 13 |
513
(500.0)
|
526
(513.0)
|
471
(458.3)
|
545
(532.0)
|
Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Jeter | 1 | 634 | 633.0 |
| 2 | Torii Hunter | 1 | 586 | 585.0 |
| 3 | Adam LaRoche | 1 | 586 | 585.0 |
| 4 | Yangervis Solarte | 1 | 535 | 534.0 |
| 5 | Adam Dunn | 1 | 511 | 510.0 |
| 6 | J.D. Martinez | 1 | 480 | 479.0 |
| 7 | Prince Fielder | 655 | 178 | 477.0 |
| 8 | Shane Victorino | 581 | 133 | 448.0 |
| 9 | Matt Wieters | 552 | 112 | 440.0 |
| 10 | Chris Coghlan | 1 | 432 | 431.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 1 | 622 | 621.0 |
| 2 | Yangervis Solarte | 1 | 535 | 534.0 |
| 3 | Casey McGehee | 233 | 691 | 458.0 |
| 4 | Ender Inciarte | 1 | 447 | 446.0 |
| 5 | Prince Fielder | 623 | 178 | 445.0 |
| 6 | Matt Wieters | 552 | 112 | 440.0 |
| 7 | Danny Santana | 1 | 430 | 429.0 |
| 8 | Rougned Odor | 1 | 417 | 416.0 |
| 9 | Pete Kozma | 440 | 26 | 414.0 |
| 10 | Billy Hamilton | 217 | 611 | 394.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yangervis Solarte | 1 | 535 | 534.0 |
| 2 | Charlie Blackmon | 177 | 648 | 470.9 |
| 3 | Prince Fielder | 634 | 178 | 456.4 |
| 4 | Ender Inciarte | 1 | 447 | 446.0 |
| 5 | Rafael Furcal | 475 | 37 | 437.9 |
| 6 | Chris Coghlan | 1 | 432 | 431.0 |
| 7 | Rougned Odor | 1 | 417 | 416.0 |
| 8 | Shane Victorino | 547 | 133 | 414.1 |
| 9 | J.D. Martinez | 69 | 480 | 410.8 |
| 10 | Jose Tabata | 582 | 186 | 395.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Guerrero | 665 | 13 | 652.0 |
| 2 | Lane Adams | 588 | 3 | 585.0 |
| 3 | Matt Hague | 585 | 2 | 583.0 |
| 4 | Gary Brown | 573 | 7 | 566.0 |
| 5 | Johnny Giavotella | 601 | 41 | 560.0 |
| 6 | Joey Butler | 557 | 6 | 551.0 |
| 7 | Carlos Triunfel | 564 | 16 | 548.0 |
| 8 | Jemile Weeks | 592 | 45 | 547.0 |
| 9 | Maikel Franco | 602 | 58 | 544.0 |
| 10 | Jesús Aguilar | 580 | 38 | 542.0 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Dickerson | 0.4024 |
0.3400
(36.4)
|
0.3233
(43.2)
|
0.3440
(30.8)
|
0.3424
(31.6)
|
| Jose Altuve | 0.3654 |
0.3328
(32.8)
|
0.3092
(47.8)
|
0.3133
(41.1)
|
0.3108
(42.9)
|
| Devin Mesoraco | 0.3896 |
0.3166
(38.2)
|
0.2988
(44.9)
|
0.3109
(37.3)
|
0.3244
(31.4)
|
| Michael Brantley | 0.3904 |
0.3355
(46.4)
|
0.3221
(53.9)
|
0.3180
(53.0)
|
0.3195
(52.0)
|
| Victor Martinez | 0.4235 |
0.3483
(57.0)
|
0.3480
(55.7)
|
0.3415
(56.4)
|
0.3383
(58.5)
|
| Josh Harrison | 0.3645 |
0.3230
(30.4)
|
0.2937
(45.2)
|
0.3023
(37.5)
|
0.3032
(37.1)
|
| Allen Craig | 0.2692 |
0.3715
(44.7)
|
0.3642
(42.2)
|
0.3578
(41.7)
|
0.3483
(36.9)
|
| Steve Pearce | 0.4047 |
0.3249
(35.8)
|
0.3155
(38.6)
|
0.3299
(31.0)
|
0.3285
(31.5)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Santana | 0.2440 | 0.3599 | 55.7 |
| 2 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.3505 | 0.4000 | 38.9 |
| 3 | Justin Morneau | 0.3213 | 0.3751 | 37.2 |
| 4 | Adam LaRoche | 0.3153 | 0.3615 | 35.1 |
| 5 | Drew Stubbs | 0.2893 | 0.3573 | 34.6 |
| 6 | Chris Davis | 0.3892 | 0.3141 | 32.2 |
| 7 | Chris Coghlan | 0.2920 | 0.3521 | 31.9 |
| 8 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.3315 | 0.2433 | 31.5 |
| 9 | Evan Longoria | 0.3793 | 0.3213 | 30.9 |
| 10 | Russell Martin | 0.3193 | 0.3719 | 30.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.3153 | 0.4179 | 70.9 |
| 2 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.3295 | 0.4000 | 50.5 |
| 3 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3049 | 0.3945 | 48.5 |
| 4 | Anthony Rendon | 0.3170 | 0.3607 | 37.6 |
| 5 | Justin Morneau | 0.3220 | 0.3751 | 35.5 |
| 6 | Chris Coghlan | 0.2893 | 0.3521 | 32.1 |
| 7 | Drew Stubbs | 0.2936 | 0.3573 | 31.8 |
| 8 | Justin Turner | 0.3100 | 0.3951 | 31.1 |
| 9 | Brian Dozier | 0.3062 | 0.3386 | 30.9 |
| 10 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.3796 | 0.4139 | 29.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3055 | 0.3945 | 45.6 |
| 2 | Danny Santana | 0.2807 | 0.3599 | 36.6 |
| 3 | Justin Turner | 0.2935 | 0.3951 | 34.7 |
| 4 | Russell Martin | 0.3072 | 0.3719 | 32.5 |
| 5 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.3253 | 0.2433 | 32.2 |
| 6 | Carlos Gómez | 0.3232 | 0.3670 | 32.1 |
| 7 | Jay Bruce | 0.3547 | 0.2909 | 31.5 |
| 8 | Brian Dozier | 0.3001 | 0.3386 | 31.5 |
| 9 | David Wright | 0.3704 | 0.3117 | 30.9 |
| 10 | Lucas Duda | 0.3217 | 0.3655 | 29.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3042 | 0.3945 | 46.2 |
| 2 | Danny Santana | 0.2740 | 0.3599 | 39.5 |
| 3 | Domonic Brown | 0.3615 | 0.2830 | 37.1 |
| 4 | Chris Davis | 0.3844 | 0.3141 | 33.7 |
| 5 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.3526 | 0.4000 | 32.9 |
| 6 | Jay Bruce | 0.3565 | 0.2909 | 32.5 |
| 7 | Nate Schierholtz | 0.3346 | 0.2459 | 31.7 |
| 8 | Brian Dozier | 0.3008 | 0.3386 | 31.0 |
| 9 | Justin Turner | 0.3060 | 0.3951 | 30.7 |
| 10 | José Abreu | 0.3778 | 0.4179 | 28.7 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Zunino | 0.3319 |
0.2538
(36.4)
|
0.2215
(48.6)
|
0.2437
(35.4)
|
0.2525
(36.2)
|
| Mike Trout | 0.2610 |
0.2067
(37.2)
|
0.2019
(35.8)
|
0.1867
(42.6)
|
0.1863
(50.3)
|
| Jose Altuve | 0.0750 |
0.1415
(48.2)
|
0.1345
(48.0)
|
0.1140
(37.4)
|
0.1250
(37.8)
|
| Casey McGehee | 0.1476 |
0.2257
(55.1)
|
0.1888
(34.3)
|
0.1917
(40.0)
|
0.2209
(53.0)
|
| Ian Desmond | 0.2824 |
0.2211
(38.7)
|
0.2131
(39.5)
|
0.2115
(37.0)
|
0.2163
(40.7)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Dunn | 0.1985 | 0.3112 | 56.7 |
| 2 | Justin Morneau | 0.1802 | 0.1091 | 40.0 |
| 3 | Derek Jeter | 0.1985 | 0.1372 | 39.9 |
| 4 | Curtis Granderson | 0.2727 | 0.2156 | 38.4 |
| 5 | Victor Martinez | 0.1210 | 0.0655 | 36.6 |
| 6 | Marlon Byrd | 0.2320 | 0.2904 | 36.2 |
| 7 | José Abreu | 0.2663 | 0.2106 | 35.6 |
| 8 | Jason Heyward | 0.2043 | 0.1510 | 35.6 |
| 9 | Anthony Rendon | 0.1990 | 0.1523 | 33.0 |
| 10 | Michael Brantley | 0.1299 | 0.0828 | 32.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Singleton | 0.1985 | 0.3702 | 59.1 |
| 2 | Yangervis Solarte | 0.1985 | 0.1084 | 52.7 |
| 3 | Javier Báez | 0.1985 | 0.4148 | 47.6 |
| 4 | Marlon Byrd | 0.2130 | 0.2904 | 44.0 |
| 5 | Mike Olt | 0.2115 | 0.3876 | 43.3 |
| 6 | George Springer | 0.1985 | 0.3304 | 42.6 |
| 7 | Justin Morneau | 0.1761 | 0.1091 | 41.4 |
| 8 | Ender Inciarte | 0.1985 | 0.1186 | 39.5 |
| 9 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.1966 | 0.2680 | 38.5 |
| 10 | Jason Heyward | 0.2012 | 0.1510 | 38.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curtis Granderson | 0.2760 | 0.2156 | 48.5 |
| 2 | Justin Morneau | 0.1720 | 0.1091 | 42.2 |
| 3 | Seth Smith | 0.2251 | 0.1670 | 37.5 |
| 4 | Miguel Montero | 0.2181 | 0.1732 | 32.9 |
| 5 | Torii Hunter | 0.1937 | 0.1519 | 32.6 |
| 6 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.2011 | 0.2680 | 32.5 |
| 7 | Robinson Canó | 0.1368 | 0.1023 | 32.2 |
| 8 | Javier Báez | 0.2609 | 0.4148 | 32.1 |
| 9 | Jon Singleton | 0.2678 | 0.3702 | 32.0 |
| 10 | Adam LaRoche | 0.2241 | 0.1843 | 31.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marlon Byrd | 0.1947 | 0.2904 | 58.8 |
| 2 | Jason Heyward | 0.2175 | 0.1510 | 45.3 |
| 3 | Derek Norris | 0.2882 | 0.1946 | 42.9 |
| 4 | Travis d'Arnaud | 0.2411 | 0.1520 | 38.9 |
| 5 | Dexter Fowler | 0.2833 | 0.2139 | 36.8 |
| 6 | Christian Yelich | 0.2585 | 0.2076 | 35.8 |
| 7 | Ike Davis | 0.2629 | 0.1827 | 35.7 |
| 8 | Matt Adams | 0.2618 | 0.2025 | 35.3 |
| 9 | Nick Castellanos | 0.1820 | 0.2418 | 32.7 |
| 10 | Wilin Rosario | 0.2447 | 0.1707 | 31.7 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Dozier | 0.1259 |
0.0762
(39.3)
|
0.0725
(40.1)
|
0.0724
(39.5)
|
0.0696
(39.9)
|
| Adrian Beltré | 0.0928 |
0.0648
(20.8)
|
0.0634
(20.1)
|
0.0638
(19.3)
|
0.0585
(21.2)
|
| Victor Martinez | 0.1092 |
0.0694
(29.2)
|
0.0803
(20.7)
|
0.0781
(21.5)
|
0.0736
(22.9)
|
| Adam LaRoche | 0.1399 |
0.0777
(39.9)
|
0.1091
(20.0)
|
0.1084
(19.9)
|
0.1068
(19.5)
|
| Seth Smith | 0.1324 |
0.0915
(24.4)
|
0.0944
(21.6)
|
0.0960
(20.2)
|
0.0924
(21.0)
|
| Ian Kinsler | 0.0399 |
0.0968
(37.0)
|
0.0922
(35.5)
|
0.0908
(35.2)
|
0.0906
(36.7)
|
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.0876 |
0.1322
(26.6)
|
0.1216
(21.0)
|
0.1306
(27.8)
|
0.1250
(25.5)
|
| David Wright | 0.0717 |
0.1154
(22.2)
|
0.1102
(20.6)
|
0.1138
(23.3)
|
0.1091
(21.8)
|
| Jonathan Lucroy | 0.1008 |
0.0714
(23.0)
|
0.0720
(21.0)
|
0.0727
(20.0)
|
0.0711
(19.5)
|
| Matt Carpenter | 0.1340 |
0.1042
(25.2)
|
0.0980
(27.9)
|
0.1057
(21.7)
|
0.1008
(23.7)
|
| Rubén Tejada | 0.1193 |
0.0671
(24.3)
|
0.0699
(22.1)
|
0.0669
(23.0)
|
0.0612
(24.4)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Dunn | 0.0777 | 0.1389 | 34.3 |
| 2 | Josh Willingham | 0.0777 | 0.1456 | 26.8 |
| 3 | José Abreu | 0.1270 | 0.0820 | 24.4 |
| 4 | Evan Longoria | 0.1194 | 0.0814 | 22.5 |
| 5 | Carlos Santana | 0.1431 | 0.1712 | 22.4 |
| 6 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.0769 | 0.0270 | 21.2 |
| 7 | Jason Castro | 0.1124 | 0.0664 | 20.6 |
| 8 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1050 | 0.1271 | 19.8 |
| 9 | Brian McCann | 0.1010 | 0.0595 | 19.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freddie Freeman | 0.0966 | 0.1271 | 24.0 |
| 2 | Carlos Santana | 0.1385 | 0.1712 | 23.8 |
| 3 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.0791 | 0.0270 | 23.4 |
| 4 | Jon Singleton | 0.0777 | 0.1381 | 23.1 |
| 5 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.1148 | 0.1473 | 22.9 |
| 6 | Robbie Grossman | 0.0795 | 0.1303 | 22.8 |
| 7 | Jarrod Saltalamacchia | 0.0813 | 0.1264 | 21.1 |
| 8 | Coco Crisp | 0.0882 | 0.1231 | 20.5 |
| 9 | Mike Zunino | 0.0814 | 0.0357 | 20.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yangervis Solarte | 0.0548 | 0.0991 | 25.0 |
| 2 | Brian McCann | 0.1012 | 0.0595 | 21.1 |
| 3 | Billy Butler | 0.1053 | 0.0680 | 21.0 |
| 4 | Ben Revere | 0.0554 | 0.0208 | 20.2 |
| 5 | Dustin Ackley | 0.0977 | 0.0590 | 19.7 |
| 6 | Mike Napoli | 0.1191 | 0.1560 | 19.6 |
| 7 | Aramis Ramirez | 0.0788 | 0.0395 | 19.6 |
| 8 | Evan Longoria | 0.1117 | 0.0814 | 19.5 |
| 9 | Coco Crisp | 0.0905 | 0.1231 | 18.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yangervis Solarte | 0.0494 | 0.0991 | 26.7 |
| 2 | Brian McCann | 0.1034 | 0.0595 | 23.5 |
| 3 | Evan Longoria | 0.1122 | 0.0814 | 21.4 |
| 4 | Jason Castro | 0.1076 | 0.0664 | 21.0 |
| 5 | Billy Butler | 0.1026 | 0.0680 | 20.8 |
| 6 | Dustin Ackley | 0.0972 | 0.0590 | 20.6 |
| 7 | John Jaso | 0.1364 | 0.0814 | 18.8 |
| 8 | Khris Davis | 0.0919 | 0.0583 | 18.4 |
| 9 | Coco Crisp | 0.0893 | 0.1231 | 18.2 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Zunino | 0.0357 |
0.0000
(12.8)
|
0.0130
(10.5)
|
0.0110
(11.5)
|
0.0163
(9.1)
|
| Matt Holliday | 0.0255 |
0.0000
(11.1)
|
0.0143
(7.1)
|
0.0130
(7.9)
|
0.0139
(7.5)
|
| Devin Mesoraco | 0.0273 |
0.0000
(8.1)
|
0.0025
(10.7)
|
0.0060
(9.1)
|
0.0051
(9.6)
|
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.0244 |
0.0000
(9.6)
|
0.0101
(8.5)
|
0.0100
(8.4)
|
0.0107
(8.2)
|
| Russell Martin | 0.0326 |
0.0000
(11.0)
|
0.0141
(8.3)
|
0.0130
(8.7)
|
0.0153
(7.8)
|
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.0201 |
0.0000
(7.3)
|
0.0117
(5.1)
|
0.0100
(6.1)
|
0.0101
(6.3)
|
| Jon Jay | 0.0427 |
0.0000
(15.9)
|
0.0213
(9.8)
|
0.0180
(11.3)
|
0.0211
(10.0)
|
| Derek Dietrich | 0.0546 |
0.0000
(8.4)
|
0.0185
(6.5)
|
0.0170
(6.8)
|
0.0247
(5.4)
|
| Carlos Gómez | 0.0295 |
0.0000
(13.3)
|
0.0148
(9.1)
|
0.0130
(10.2)
|
0.0163
(8.3)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Starling Marte | 0.0000 | 0.0312 | 12.2 |
| 2 | Danny Espinosa | 0.0000 | 0.0330 | 8.8 |
| 3 | Adam LaRoche | 0.0092 | 0.0034 | 8.5 |
| 4 | Brandon Guyer | 0.0000 | 0.0374 | 8.4 |
| 5 | Aramis Ramirez | 0.0000 | 0.0245 | 8.3 |
| 6 | Carlos Ruiz | 0.0000 | 0.0270 | 8.1 |
| 7 | Shin-Soo Choo | 0.0000 | 0.0227 | 7.4 |
| 8 | Chase Utley | 0.0000 | 0.0196 | 7.2 |
| 9 | Daniel Nava | 0.0000 | 0.0245 | 6.4 |
| 10 | Yasiel Puig | 0.0000 | 0.0187 | 6.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Guyer | 0.0050 | 0.0374 | 9.4 |
| 2 | Yan Gomes | 0.0186 | 0.0058 | 6.9 |
| 3 | Jason Castro | 0.0042 | 0.0176 | 6.6 |
| 4 | Grady Sizemore | 0.0152 | 0.0000 | 6.0 |
| 5 | Leonys Martin | 0.0128 | 0.0034 | 5.8 |
| 6 | George Springer | 0.0092 | 0.0261 | 5.6 |
| 7 | Robinson Chirinos | 0.0047 | 0.0207 | 5.2 |
| 8 | Chris Iannetta | 0.0071 | 0.0214 | 5.1 |
| 9 | J.P. Arencibia | 0.0082 | 0.0315 | 5.1 |
| 10 | Billy Hamilton | 0.0092 | 0.0016 | 5.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Guyer | 0.0160 | 0.0374 | 6.1 |
| 2 | Jason Castro | 0.0060 | 0.0176 | 5.6 |
| 3 | George Springer | 0.0100 | 0.0261 | 5.3 |
| 4 | Danny Espinosa | 0.0180 | 0.0330 | 5.2 |
| 5 | Matt Kemp | 0.0080 | 0.0000 | 5.2 |
| 6 | J.P. Arencibia | 0.0080 | 0.0315 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Adam Eaton | 0.0180 | 0.0093 | 5.0 |
| 8 | Alex Gordon | 0.0090 | 0.0171 | 4.8 |
| 9 | Leonys Martin | 0.0110 | 0.0034 | 4.8 |
| 10 | Chris Iannetta | 0.0080 | 0.0214 | 4.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Eaton | 0.0267 | 0.0093 | 9.6 |
| 2 | Grady Sizemore | 0.0178 | 0.0000 | 6.9 |
| 3 | Marlon Byrd | 0.0228 | 0.0126 | 6.8 |
| 4 | Jason Castro | 0.0046 | 0.0176 | 6.5 |
| 5 | Yan Gomes | 0.0172 | 0.0058 | 6.1 |
| 6 | Leonys Martin | 0.0133 | 0.0034 | 6.0 |
| 7 | J.P. Arencibia | 0.0064 | 0.0315 | 5.5 |
| 8 | George Springer | 0.0099 | 0.0261 | 5.5 |
| 9 | Josh Harrison | 0.0162 | 0.0073 | 5.1 |
| 10 | Martín Prado | 0.0030 | 0.0122 | 5.1 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Dickerson | 0.0708 |
0.0395
(18.1)
|
0.0351
(19.1)
|
0.0416
(15.3)
|
0.0446
(14.3)
|
| Casey McGehee | 0.0077 |
0.0460
(21.9)
|
0.0353
(16.1)
|
0.0328
(15.4)
|
0.0348
(16.1)
|
| Mike Trout | 0.0841 |
0.0644
(18.6)
|
0.0583
(21.2)
|
0.0578
(20.5)
|
0.0614
(18.6)
|
| Devin Mesoraco | 0.0880 |
0.0400
(24.0)
|
0.0372
(24.3)
|
0.0424
(21.3)
|
0.0461
(20.1)
|
| Victor Martinez | 0.0610 |
0.0330
(22.2)
|
0.0261
(25.1)
|
0.0284
(22.6)
|
0.0280
(23.6)
|
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.0495 |
0.0833
(18.6)
|
0.0769
(15.9)
|
0.0777
(17.4)
|
0.0814
(19.2)
|
| Steve Pearce | 0.0798 |
0.0450
(15.9)
|
0.0352
(18.7)
|
0.0419
(15.6)
|
0.0470
(14.0)
|
| Lucas Duda | 0.0783 |
0.0588
(15.6)
|
0.0496
(19.6)
|
0.0496
(18.8)
|
0.0557
(15.7)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Dunn | 0.0339 | 0.0803 | 27.1 |
| 2 | Adam LaRoche | 0.0339 | 0.0660 | 22.7 |
| 3 | Chris Carter | 0.0828 | 0.1125 | 20.7 |
| 4 | Matt Adams | 0.0780 | 0.0357 | 20.1 |
| 5 | Evan Longoria | 0.0769 | 0.0439 | 18.5 |
| 6 | Jason Heyward | 0.0544 | 0.0230 | 16.1 |
| 7 | George Springer | 0.0694 | 0.1093 | 16.0 |
| 8 | Brett Gardner | 0.0203 | 0.0386 | 15.9 |
| 9 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.0590 | 0.0777 | 15.6 |
| 10 | Josh Willingham | 0.0339 | 0.0700 | 15.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.0339 | 0.0839 | 33.8 |
| 2 | George Springer | 0.0339 | 0.1093 | 27.5 |
| 3 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.0230 | 0.0567 | 23.2 |
| 4 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.0456 | 0.0777 | 22.4 |
| 5 | Mike Zunino | 0.0381 | 0.0775 | 20.8 |
| 6 | Chris Carter | 0.0819 | 0.1125 | 19.9 |
| 7 | J.D. Martinez | 0.0352 | 0.0717 | 19.5 |
| 8 | Curtis Granderson | 0.0792 | 0.0467 | 18.4 |
| 9 | Mike Olt | 0.0347 | 0.0923 | 16.0 |
| 10 | Jon Singleton | 0.0339 | 0.0734 | 15.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Heyward | 0.0572 | 0.0230 | 20.4 |
| 2 | J.D. Martinez | 0.0351 | 0.0717 | 18.9 |
| 3 | Mike Zunino | 0.0457 | 0.0775 | 16.4 |
| 4 | Brian Dozier | 0.0275 | 0.0479 | 16.4 |
| 5 | George Springer | 0.0655 | 0.1093 | 16.1 |
| 6 | Marlon Byrd | 0.0388 | 0.0611 | 16.0 |
| 7 | Chris Carter | 0.0875 | 0.1125 | 15.9 |
| 8 | David Wright | 0.0475 | 0.0187 | 15.2 |
| 9 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.0347 | 0.0567 | 15.2 |
| 10 | Evan Longoria | 0.0682 | 0.0439 | 15.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.D. Martinez | 0.0312 | 0.0717 | 21.2 |
| 2 | Jason Heyward | 0.0556 | 0.0230 | 18.7 |
| 3 | Brian Dozier | 0.0261 | 0.0479 | 18.1 |
| 4 | Mike Zunino | 0.0433 | 0.0775 | 18.0 |
| 5 | Domonic Brown | 0.0645 | 0.0259 | 17.8 |
| 6 | Marlon Byrd | 0.0382 | 0.0611 | 17.0 |
| 7 | David Wright | 0.0500 | 0.0187 | 16.1 |
| 8 | Brett Gardner | 0.0183 | 0.0386 | 15.3 |
| 9 | Matt Adams | 0.0656 | 0.0357 | 14.7 |
| 10 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0660 | 0.0837 | 14.5 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Ortiz | 0.2563 |
0.3194
(32.1)
|
0.3144
(34.2)
|
0.3007
(29.7)
|
0.3045
(29.4)
|
| Justin Turner | 0.4044 |
0.3268
(28.1)
|
0.3008
(33.8)
|
0.2871
(36.2)
|
0.2950
(35.0)
|
| Danny Santana | 0.4026 |
0.3043
(46.5)
|
0.2985
(45.3)
|
0.3011
(41.5)
|
0.3013
(43.2)
|
| Juan Uribe | 0.3675 |
0.2971
(32.4)
|
0.2896
(32.0)
|
0.2734
(36.0)
|
0.2780
(35.9)
|
| Tyler Flowers | 0.3532 |
0.2903
(32.1)
|
0.2762
(34.6)
|
0.2660
(36.3)
|
0.2848
(29.9)
|
| Russell Martin | 0.3333 |
0.2656
(35.6)
|
0.2570
(35.7)
|
0.2611
(30.9)
|
0.2667
(30.3)
|
| Chris Davis | 0.2412 |
0.3249
(38.8)
|
0.3313
(46.6)
|
0.3245
(46.3)
|
0.3260
(44.9)
|
| J.D. Martinez | 0.3893 |
0.3000
(47.5)
|
0.3029
(42.1)
|
0.3012
(39.9)
|
0.3129
(36.3)
|
| Lorenzo Cain | 0.3795 |
0.3151
(37.2)
|
0.3065
(37.3)
|
0.3157
(29.5)
|
0.3112
(33.9)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drew Stubbs | 0.3147 | 0.4008 | 40.6 |
| 2 | Allen Craig | 0.3419 | 0.2661 | 33.4 |
| 3 | Chris Coghlan | 0.2660 | 0.3333 | 33.3 |
| 4 | Yasiel Puig | 0.3137 | 0.3539 | 32.0 |
| 5 | Casey McGehee | 0.2982 | 0.3346 | 31.9 |
| 6 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.3144 | 0.3533 | 31.0 |
| 7 | Mike Moustakas | 0.2906 | 0.2198 | 30.5 |
| 8 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.2977 | 0.3368 | 29.9 |
| 9 | Michael Choice | 0.3227 | 0.2079 | 29.4 |
| 10 | Carlos Santana | 0.3012 | 0.2494 | 27.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey McGehee | 0.2561 | 0.3346 | 55.2 |
| 2 | Josh Harrison | 0.2744 | 0.3512 | 42.9 |
| 3 | Drew Stubbs | 0.3098 | 0.4008 | 39.2 |
| 4 | Allen Craig | 0.3422 | 0.2661 | 37.8 |
| 5 | José Abreu | 0.2985 | 0.3562 | 36.7 |
| 6 | Adam Eaton | 0.2913 | 0.3571 | 36.1 |
| 7 | Jose Altuve | 0.3108 | 0.3597 | 35.5 |
| 8 | Stephen Drew | 0.3023 | 0.1937 | 32.2 |
| 9 | Brock Holt | 0.2818 | 0.3437 | 31.1 |
| 10 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.2977 | 0.3439 | 30.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.2796 | 0.3562 | 44.6 |
| 2 | Jose Altuve | 0.3044 | 0.3597 | 35.6 |
| 3 | Casey McGehee | 0.2783 | 0.3346 | 35.5 |
| 4 | Allen Craig | 0.3293 | 0.2661 | 34.4 |
| 5 | Michael Choice | 0.3239 | 0.2079 | 33.9 |
| 6 | Mike Moustakas | 0.2766 | 0.2198 | 30.9 |
| 7 | Josh Harrison | 0.2926 | 0.3512 | 29.5 |
| 8 | Stephen Drew | 0.2866 | 0.1937 | 29.4 |
| 9 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.3028 | 0.3533 | 29.0 |
| 10 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.2947 | 0.3439 | 28.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.2877 | 0.3562 | 42.1 |
| 2 | Josh Harrison | 0.2845 | 0.3512 | 36.3 |
| 3 | Jon Singleton | 0.3293 | 0.2378 | 33.4 |
| 4 | Drew Stubbs | 0.3235 | 0.4008 | 32.5 |
| 5 | Stephen Drew | 0.2983 | 0.1937 | 31.6 |
| 6 | Jose Altuve | 0.3145 | 0.3597 | 31.4 |
| 7 | Michael Choice | 0.3178 | 0.2079 | 31.0 |
| 8 | Mike Moustakas | 0.2805 | 0.2198 | 30.7 |
| 9 | Mark Reynolds | 0.2868 | 0.2176 | 30.3 |
| 10 | Adam Eaton | 0.3015 | 0.3571 | 29.5 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey McGehee | 0.2766 |
0.2349
(36.6)
|
0.1890
(60.0)
|
0.2098
(42.9)
|
0.2222
(35.7)
|
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.2575 |
0.2241
(28.5)
|
0.2168
(25.5)
|
0.2087
(28.1)
|
0.2063
(31.0)
|
| Juan Uribe | 0.2914 |
0.2300
(29.4)
|
0.2189
(29.0)
|
0.2064
(32.4)
|
0.2116
(31.2)
|
| Leonys Martin | 0.2827 |
0.2368
(33.4)
|
0.2226
(34.6)
|
0.2305
(27.7)
|
0.2236
(32.9)
|
| Russell Martin | 0.2660 |
0.2098
(31.0)
|
0.1950
(32.3)
|
0.2028
(26.9)
|
0.2067
(26.1)
|
| Chris Davis | 0.1790 |
0.2542
(33.6)
|
0.2388
(31.8)
|
0.2363
(32.5)
|
0.2382
(32.5)
|
| Todd Frazier | 0.2564 |
0.2040
(42.1)
|
0.2011
(35.9)
|
0.1972
(35.9)
|
0.1960
(38.1)
|
| Bryce Harper | 0.2971 |
0.2335
(29.6)
|
0.2200
(30.1)
|
0.2196
(28.7)
|
0.2126
(32.3)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.2344 | 0.2881 | 32.7 |
| 2 | J.D. Martinez | 0.2219 | 0.2785 | 32.6 |
| 3 | Jon Singleton | 0.2574 | 0.1585 | 31.7 |
| 4 | Jhonny Peralta | 0.2647 | 0.2042 | 30.9 |
| 5 | Khris Davis | 0.2350 | 0.1680 | 30.5 |
| 6 | Mike Moustakas | 0.2330 | 0.1609 | 30.4 |
| 7 | Dexter Fowler | 0.2239 | 0.2719 | 29.9 |
| 8 | Allen Craig | 0.2751 | 0.2047 | 29.8 |
| 9 | Yonder Alonso | 0.2757 | 0.1630 | 29.2 |
| 10 | Corey Dickerson | 0.2016 | 0.2508 | 28.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Flowers | 0.2000 | 0.2809 | 35.4 |
| 2 | Adrián González | 0.2488 | 0.2052 | 29.3 |
| 3 | Mike Zunino | 0.2228 | 0.1641 | 28.3 |
| 4 | Allen Craig | 0.2594 | 0.2047 | 28.0 |
| 5 | Justin Turner | 0.2195 | 0.3067 | 27.8 |
| 6 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.2323 | 0.2881 | 27.6 |
| 7 | Stephen Drew | 0.2058 | 0.1152 | 27.4 |
| 8 | Danny Santana | 0.2259 | 0.2904 | 27.4 |
| 9 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1910 | 0.2342 | 26.2 |
| 10 | Mike Trout | 0.2624 | 0.2270 | 25.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Flowers | 0.1963 | 0.2809 | 35.3 |
| 2 | José Abreu | 0.2121 | 0.2621 | 28.2 |
| 3 | Stephen Drew | 0.2038 | 0.1152 | 28.0 |
| 4 | Justin Turner | 0.2151 | 0.3067 | 28.0 |
| 5 | Adrián González | 0.2424 | 0.2052 | 27.6 |
| 6 | James Loney | 0.2213 | 0.2669 | 26.6 |
| 7 | Mike Trout | 0.2588 | 0.2270 | 25.7 |
| 8 | Khris Davis | 0.2093 | 0.1680 | 25.2 |
| 9 | Derek Norris | 0.1930 | 0.2543 | 25.0 |
| 10 | Jose Altuve | 0.2376 | 0.2772 | 24.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Singleton | 0.2439 | 0.1585 | 31.9 |
| 2 | Mike Zunino | 0.2233 | 0.1641 | 29.4 |
| 3 | Tyler Flowers | 0.2119 | 0.2809 | 29.3 |
| 4 | Justin Turner | 0.2146 | 0.3067 | 28.8 |
| 5 | Jon Jay | 0.2411 | 0.3038 | 28.1 |
| 6 | Khris Davis | 0.2164 | 0.1680 | 28.0 |
| 7 | Stephen Drew | 0.2034 | 0.1152 | 27.3 |
| 8 | Billy Hamilton | 0.2640 | 0.2252 | 25.4 |
| 9 | Derek Norris | 0.1946 | 0.2543 | 25.2 |
| 10 | Josh Harrison | 0.1983 | 0.2465 | 25.1 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Morse | 0.1049 |
0.0580
(21.8)
|
0.0704
(17.4)
|
0.0675
(18.0)
|
0.0704
(16.9)
|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.0962 |
0.0622
(22.8)
|
0.0724
(18.0)
|
0.0741
(15.7)
|
0.0742
(16.0)
|
| Leonys Martin | 0.0309 |
0.0748
(26.6)
|
0.0640
(18.4)
|
0.0667
(20.9)
|
0.0652
(19.7)
|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.1373 |
0.0739
(29.5)
|
0.0907
(23.1)
|
0.0877
(23.8)
|
0.0883
(23.8)
|
| Jonathan Lucroy | 0.1054 |
0.0544
(32.2)
|
0.0591
(31.3)
|
0.0562
(32.2)
|
0.0556
(33.0)
|
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.1083 |
0.0598
(32.0)
|
0.0783
(21.7)
|
0.0802
(19.3)
|
0.0746
(23.5)
|
| Trevor Plouffe | 0.0995 |
0.0650
(19.1)
|
0.0667
(20.0)
|
0.0661
(19.5)
|
0.0667
(19.5)
|
| Kirk Nieuwenhuis | 0.1944 |
0.0556
(17.8)
|
0.0615
(17.5)
|
0.0675
(16.5)
|
0.0714
(16.1)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Carpenter | 0.0989 | 0.0678 | 23.4 |
| 2 | Steve Pearce | 0.0472 | 0.1074 | 22.4 |
| 3 | Chris Iannetta | 0.0482 | 0.1033 | 19.9 |
| 4 | DJ LeMahieu | 0.0724 | 0.0374 | 19.8 |
| 5 | Drew Stubbs | 0.0438 | 0.0909 | 19.2 |
| 6 | Jhonny Peralta | 0.0561 | 0.0882 | 19.0 |
| 7 | Danny Santana | 0.0435 | 0.0891 | 18.9 |
| 8 | Derek Jeter | 0.0658 | 0.0378 | 18.8 |
| 9 | Mike Trout | 0.0713 | 0.0995 | 18.7 |
| 10 | Luis Valbuena | 0.0586 | 0.0940 | 18.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eduardo Escobar | 0.0498 | 0.1029 | 25.5 |
| 2 | Ryan Howard | 0.0860 | 0.0499 | 22.4 |
| 3 | Josh Harrison | 0.0512 | 0.0884 | 21.3 |
| 4 | Steve Pearce | 0.0625 | 0.1074 | 17.8 |
| 5 | Matt Carpenter | 0.0943 | 0.0678 | 17.7 |
| 6 | J.D. Martinez | 0.0657 | 0.1007 | 17.5 |
| 7 | Conor Gillaspie | 0.0487 | 0.0812 | 17.2 |
| 8 | Mike Trout | 0.0767 | 0.0995 | 17.2 |
| 9 | Devin Mesoraco | 0.0596 | 0.0965 | 16.9 |
| 10 | Evan Longoria | 0.0792 | 0.0543 | 16.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eduardo Escobar | 0.0543 | 0.1029 | 22.7 |
| 2 | Evan Longoria | 0.0823 | 0.0543 | 19.6 |
| 3 | Mike Trout | 0.0731 | 0.0995 | 18.6 |
| 4 | Danny Santana | 0.0492 | 0.0891 | 17.2 |
| 5 | Ryan Howard | 0.0756 | 0.0499 | 16.7 |
| 6 | Chris Iannetta | 0.0599 | 0.1033 | 16.2 |
| 7 | Khris Davis | 0.0726 | 0.1019 | 16.1 |
| 8 | Hanley Ramirez | 0.0678 | 0.0992 | 16.0 |
| 9 | Michael Brantley | 0.0599 | 0.0833 | 15.9 |
| 10 | José Abreu | 0.0639 | 0.0891 | 15.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eduardo Escobar | 0.0537 | 0.1029 | 23.2 |
| 2 | Danny Santana | 0.0437 | 0.0891 | 19.8 |
| 3 | Todd Frazier | 0.0795 | 0.0508 | 18.6 |
| 4 | Ryan Howard | 0.0787 | 0.0499 | 18.3 |
| 5 | Matt Kemp | 0.0717 | 0.1008 | 17.8 |
| 6 | Evan Longoria | 0.0792 | 0.0543 | 17.0 |
| 7 | Mark Reynolds | 0.0772 | 0.0377 | 16.9 |
| 8 | Michael Brantley | 0.0592 | 0.0833 | 16.7 |
| 9 | Conor Gillaspie | 0.0488 | 0.0812 | 16.7 |
| 10 | Chris Iannetta | 0.0609 | 0.1033 | 16.0 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bourn | 0.0301 |
0.0169
(6.5)
|
0.0157
(7.2)
|
0.0135
(8.0)
|
0.0158
(7.6)
|
| Hunter Pence | 0.0199 |
0.0044
(11.1)
|
0.0095
(7.7)
|
0.0078
(8.4)
|
0.0085
(9.0)
|
| Josh Reddick | 0.0240 |
0.0080
(6.4)
|
0.0091
(6.1)
|
0.0072
(6.5)
|
0.0108
(5.7)
|
| David Peralta | 0.0342 |
0.0122
(7.7)
|
0.0068
(9.7)
|
0.0030
(10.8)
|
0.0068
(10.0)
|
| Andre Ethier | 0.0226 |
0.0034
(7.4)
|
0.0028
(7.7)
|
0.0039
(7.0)
|
0.0027
(8.1)
|
| Alex Rios | 0.0200 |
0.0067
(7.0)
|
0.0090
(6.0)
|
0.0092
(5.4)
|
0.0083
(6.8)
|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.0275 |
0.0052
(12.6)
|
0.0079
(11.3)
|
0.0068
(11.5)
|
0.0113
(9.8)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Santana | 0.0000 | 0.0231 | 10.0 |
| 2 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.0099 | 0.0237 | 9.1 |
| 3 | Adam Eaton | 0.0114 | 0.0246 | 7.2 |
| 4 | Alejandro De Aza | 0.0090 | 0.0225 | 7.2 |
| 5 | Brandon Barnes | 0.0000 | 0.0211 | 6.6 |
| 6 | José Reyes | 0.0173 | 0.0075 | 6.3 |
| 7 | Brian Dozier | 0.0113 | 0.0022 | 6.3 |
| 8 | Ender Inciarte | 0.0196 | 0.0055 | 6.2 |
| 9 | Ian Stewart | 0.0000 | 0.0857 | 6.2 |
| 10 | Starlin Castro | 0.0127 | 0.0024 | 5.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.0093 | 0.0237 | 9.7 |
| 2 | Yasiel Puig | 0.0072 | 0.0214 | 9.4 |
| 3 | Kevin Kiermaier | 0.0070 | 0.0311 | 9.0 |
| 4 | Danny Santana | 0.0068 | 0.0231 | 7.2 |
| 5 | Billy Hamilton | 0.0067 | 0.0177 | 7.0 |
| 6 | Josh Rutledge | 0.0107 | 0.0306 | 7.0 |
| 7 | Matt Carpenter | 0.0142 | 0.0041 | 6.8 |
| 8 | Rougned Odor | 0.0068 | 0.0222 | 6.6 |
| 9 | Chris Owings | 0.0060 | 0.0249 | 6.4 |
| 10 | Christian Yelich | 0.0044 | 0.0136 | 6.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yasiel Puig | 0.0068 | 0.0214 | 9.1 |
| 2 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.0118 | 0.0237 | 7.5 |
| 3 | Josh Rutledge | 0.0093 | 0.0306 | 7.2 |
| 4 | Adam Eaton | 0.0110 | 0.0246 | 7.1 |
| 5 | Alejandro De Aza | 0.0093 | 0.0225 | 6.8 |
| 6 | B.J. Upton | 0.0046 | 0.0147 | 5.7 |
| 7 | Ian Stewart | 0.0069 | 0.0857 | 5.7 |
| 8 | Rougned Odor | 0.0084 | 0.0222 | 5.6 |
| 9 | Matt Adams | 0.0023 | 0.0123 | 5.5 |
| 10 | AJ Pollock | 0.0093 | 0.0282 | 5.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Eaton | 0.0103 | 0.0246 | 8.4 |
| 2 | Curtis Granderson | 0.0181 | 0.0049 | 7.8 |
| 3 | Matt Adams | 0.0000 | 0.0123 | 7.7 |
| 4 | Josh Rutledge | 0.0118 | 0.0306 | 6.8 |
| 5 | Rougned Odor | 0.0073 | 0.0222 | 6.7 |
| 6 | Alejandro De Aza | 0.0112 | 0.0225 | 6.6 |
| 7 | Will Venable | 0.0218 | 0.0068 | 6.2 |
| 8 | Ian Stewart | 0.0068 | 0.0857 | 5.8 |
| 9 | Ryan Kalish | 0.0000 | 0.0426 | 5.7 |
| 10 | Starlin Castro | 0.0134 | 0.0024 | 5.5 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.1415 |
0.0940
(32.6)
|
0.1168
(20.3)
|
0.0984
(29.9)
|
0.1153
(21.6)
|
| Brian Dozier | 0.1584 |
0.1042
(40.1)
|
0.1105
(38.5)
|
0.1087
(37.1)
|
0.1181
(33.4)
|
| Michael Brantley | 0.1391 |
0.1118
(20.1)
|
0.1099
(24.1)
|
0.1097
(21.8)
|
0.1179
(19.0)
|
| Danny Santana | 0.1628 |
0.1000
(28.1)
|
0.1094
(25.8)
|
0.0965
(29.7)
|
0.1018
(29.2)
|
| Derek Jeter | 0.0741 |
0.1094
(20.7)
|
0.1300
(31.3)
|
0.1182
(26.2)
|
0.1200
(24.6)
|
| Kole Calhoun | 0.1676 |
0.1208
(26.5)
|
0.1199
(29.1)
|
0.1214
(26.3)
|
0.1181
(30.3)
|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.1625 |
0.1151
(34.1)
|
0.1051
(43.7)
|
0.1092
(38.3)
|
0.1136
(38.2)
|
| Troy Tulowitzki | 0.1893 |
0.1368
(20.7)
|
0.1368
(22.1)
|
0.1400
(19.6)
|
0.1304
(24.7)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denard Span | 0.0958 | 0.1407 | 31.7 |
| 2 | Christian Yelich | 0.1047 | 0.1424 | 26.6 |
| 3 | Andrelton Simmons | 0.1223 | 0.0764 | 25.0 |
| 4 | Allen Craig | 0.1314 | 0.0812 | 24.1 |
| 5 | Todd Frazier | 0.1000 | 0.1333 | 23.7 |
| 6 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1096 | 0.1445 | 23.1 |
| 7 | Chris Johnson | 0.1098 | 0.0704 | 22.5 |
| 8 | José Molina | 0.1094 | 0.0162 | 22.4 |
| 9 | Drew Stubbs | 0.1087 | 0.1580 | 22.0 |
| 10 | Corey Dickerson | 0.1127 | 0.1548 | 21.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1057 | 0.1445 | 27.9 |
| 2 | Curtis Granderson | 0.1528 | 0.1116 | 22.7 |
| 3 | Austin Jackson | 0.1493 | 0.1082 | 22.7 |
| 4 | David Ortiz | 0.1418 | 0.0980 | 22.4 |
| 5 | Allen Craig | 0.1318 | 0.0812 | 22.3 |
| 6 | Hunter Pence | 0.1264 | 0.1497 | 21.1 |
| 7 | Yunel Escobar | 0.1083 | 0.0624 | 20.8 |
| 8 | Christian Yelich | 0.1175 | 0.1424 | 20.8 |
| 9 | Luis Valbuena | 0.0939 | 0.1243 | 20.2 |
| 10 | Victor Martinez | 0.1109 | 0.1357 | 20.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunter Pence | 0.1138 | 0.1497 | 27.4 |
| 2 | Josh Harrison | 0.0994 | 0.1400 | 23.9 |
| 3 | David Ortiz | 0.1404 | 0.0980 | 23.8 |
| 4 | Christian Yelich | 0.1111 | 0.1424 | 22.5 |
| 5 | Carlos Gómez | 0.1167 | 0.1475 | 21.7 |
| 6 | Gregory Polanco | 0.0956 | 0.1603 | 21.0 |
| 7 | Yunel Escobar | 0.1037 | 0.0624 | 20.4 |
| 8 | Todd Frazier | 0.1062 | 0.1333 | 19.8 |
| 9 | Shin-Soo Choo | 0.1484 | 0.1096 | 19.0 |
| 10 | Kendrys Morales | 0.1192 | 0.0698 | 18.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Martinez | 0.1008 | 0.1357 | 26.9 |
| 2 | Corey Dickerson | 0.1115 | 0.1548 | 24.0 |
| 3 | Brock Holt | 0.0994 | 0.1382 | 22.5 |
| 4 | Denard Span | 0.1186 | 0.1407 | 19.4 |
| 5 | Jason Castro | 0.1281 | 0.0840 | 19.0 |
| 6 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1206 | 0.1445 | 19.0 |
| 7 | Bryce Harper | 0.1586 | 0.1038 | 18.9 |
| 8 | Alexei Ramirez | 0.1031 | 0.1248 | 18.9 |
| 9 | Nelson Cruz | 0.1077 | 0.1283 | 18.7 |
| 10 | David Wright | 0.1309 | 0.0922 | 18.6 |
RBI Rate
Everybody Missed for RBI Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Dickerson | 0.1590 |
0.0954
(31.5)
|
0.0924
(34.6)
|
0.1225
(19.9)
|
0.1187
(23.1)
|
| Mike Trout | 0.1574 |
0.1140
(32.3)
|
0.1289
(24.2)
|
0.1304
(22.7)
|
0.1331
(22.8)
|
| Devin Mesoraco | 0.1818 |
0.1020
(36.1)
|
0.1072
(35.4)
|
0.1117
(33.1)
|
0.1333
(24.8)
|
| Michael Brantley | 0.1435 |
0.0938
(35.2)
|
0.1065
(29.0)
|
0.0983
(34.0)
|
0.1099
(28.1)
|
| Lucas Duda | 0.1544 |
0.1111
(27.2)
|
0.1111
(29.2)
|
0.1103
(29.3)
|
0.1169
(27.1)
|
Individual Misses for RBI Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Zobrist | 0.1388 | 0.0795 | 37.2 |
| 2 | Hunter Pence | 0.1545 | 0.1045 | 33.8 |
| 3 | Adam LaRoche | 0.1040 | 0.1570 | 32.4 |
| 4 | Allen Craig | 0.1569 | 0.0911 | 32.1 |
| 5 | Jayson Werth | 0.0862 | 0.1304 | 29.3 |
| 6 | Jason Kipnis | 0.1280 | 0.0739 | 28.7 |
| 7 | Curtis Granderson | 0.1458 | 0.1009 | 27.8 |
| 8 | Leonys Martin | 0.1178 | 0.0686 | 27.3 |
| 9 | Starlin Castro | 0.0706 | 0.1142 | 26.1 |
| 10 | Elvis Andrus | 0.1003 | 0.0599 | 26.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.1040 | 0.1720 | 45.9 |
| 2 | Allen Craig | 0.1638 | 0.0911 | 33.8 |
| 3 | Justin Upton | 0.1134 | 0.1591 | 33.0 |
| 4 | Kyle Seager | 0.1081 | 0.1468 | 29.1 |
| 5 | Adam LaRoche | 0.1218 | 0.1570 | 24.0 |
| 6 | Dustin Ackley | 0.0818 | 0.1199 | 23.8 |
| 7 | James Jones | 0.1040 | 0.0274 | 23.2 |
| 8 | Jason Kipnis | 0.1194 | 0.0739 | 22.1 |
| 9 | Hunter Pence | 0.1412 | 0.1045 | 21.9 |
| 10 | Trevor Plouffe | 0.1057 | 0.1375 | 21.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Martinez | 0.1211 | 0.1607 | 28.7 |
| 2 | Adrián González | 0.1395 | 0.1758 | 27.3 |
| 3 | J.D. Martinez | 0.1112 | 0.1583 | 25.1 |
| 4 | Justin Upton | 0.1267 | 0.1591 | 24.0 |
| 5 | Russell Martin | 0.1016 | 0.1457 | 22.6 |
| 6 | Ian Kinsler | 0.1016 | 0.1267 | 22.0 |
| 7 | Nick Markakis | 0.1061 | 0.0704 | 21.7 |
| 8 | James Jones | 0.0974 | 0.0274 | 21.3 |
| 9 | Brandon Crawford | 0.0909 | 0.1223 | 20.6 |
| 10 | B.J. Upton | 0.1002 | 0.0601 | 20.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.1208 | 0.1720 | 36.8 |
| 2 | Justin Upton | 0.1130 | 0.1591 | 34.7 |
| 3 | Allen Craig | 0.1670 | 0.0911 | 34.3 |
| 4 | Mark Teixeira | 0.1966 | 0.1220 | 33.9 |
| 5 | Kyle Seager | 0.1077 | 0.1468 | 30.8 |
| 6 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1557 | 0.1102 | 26.6 |
| 7 | Dustin Ackley | 0.0818 | 0.1199 | 25.0 |
| 8 | Mark Reynolds | 0.1692 | 0.1039 | 24.8 |
| 9 | Jason Kipnis | 0.1259 | 0.0739 | 24.5 |
| 10 | Trevor Plouffe | 0.1043 | 0.1375 | 23.9 |
Stolen Base Rate
Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.3699 |
0.2456
(81.5)
|
0.2838
(61.3)
|
0.2925
(56.0)
|
0.2993
(53.2)
|
| Mike Trout | 0.0879 |
0.1768
(61.9)
|
0.1728
(54.1)
|
0.1536
(40.2)
|
0.2000
(71.1)
|
| Jose Altuve | 0.2679 |
0.1571
(79.1)
|
0.1783
(69.1)
|
0.1728
(73.4)
|
0.1954
(59.2)
|
| Michael Bourn | 0.0820 |
0.1709
(42.8)
|
0.2000
(53.5)
|
0.1843
(45.6)
|
0.2048
(54.4)
|
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.1687 |
0.0787
(59.0)
|
0.0976
(51.4)
|
0.0942
(53.9)
|
0.1140
(42.7)
|
| Eric Young Jr. | 0.3896 |
0.2500
(44.4)
|
0.2593
(43.8)
|
0.2568
(44.7)
|
0.2783
(38.7)
|
| James Jones | 0.3553 |
0.1538
(66.4)
|
0.0629
(98.6)
|
0.1862
(58.3)
|
0.1574
(68.6)
|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.0983 |
0.0132
(58.8)
|
0.0297
(52.4)
|
0.0245
(56.3)
|
0.0159
(64.0)
|
| Ben Revere | 0.2737 |
0.1506
(77.7)
|
0.2149
(41.9)
|
0.1945
(55.0)
|
0.2252
(37.4)
|
| Lorenzo Cain | 0.2121 |
0.1008
(56.4)
|
0.1193
(50.7)
|
0.1091
(56.1)
|
0.1316
(46.1)
|
| Denard Span | 0.1685 |
0.0704
(66.2)
|
0.1060
(47.2)
|
0.1059
(47.6)
|
0.1088
(47.3)
|
| Jordan Schafer | 0.4918 |
0.1818
(74.6)
|
0.2421
(61.9)
|
0.2361
(63.5)
|
0.2727
(55.3)
|
Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Todd Frazier | 0.0263 | 0.1176 | 61.0 |
| 2 | Leury García | 0.1250 | 0.4400 | 49.0 |
| 3 | Drew Stubbs | 0.0882 | 0.1961 | 46.2 |
| 4 | Kolten Wong | 0.1048 | 0.2083 | 45.3 |
| 5 | Rougned Odor | 0.1500 | 0.0435 | 44.0 |
| 6 | Austin Jackson | 0.0613 | 0.1235 | 41.4 |
| 7 | Mike Zunino | 0.0864 | 0.0000 | 40.7 |
| 8 | Chris Heisey | 0.0357 | 0.1698 | 40.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Hamilton | 0.2593 | 0.4088 | 96.3 |
| 2 | Danny Santana | 0.0629 | 0.1818 | 54.6 |
| 3 | Kolten Wong | 0.0926 | 0.2083 | 53.6 |
| 4 | Todd Frazier | 0.0480 | 0.1176 | 51.3 |
| 5 | Leury García | 0.1311 | 0.4400 | 49.1 |
| 6 | Ender Inciarte | 0.0629 | 0.1624 | 48.1 |
| 7 | Coco Crisp | 0.2214 | 0.1293 | 45.0 |
| 8 | Anthony Gose | 0.0629 | 0.2055 | 41.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rougned Odor | 0.1810 | 0.0435 | 53.7 |
| 2 | Billy Hamilton | 0.4972 | 0.4088 | 48.7 |
| 3 | Todd Frazier | 0.0552 | 0.1176 | 47.0 |
| 4 | George Springer | 0.1965 | 0.0575 | 45.0 |
| 5 | Carl Crawford | 0.1199 | 0.2300 | 43.9 |
| 6 | Alcides Escobar | 0.1422 | 0.2039 | 43.7 |
| 7 | Jimmy Rollins | 0.1233 | 0.1830 | 41.7 |
| 8 | Kolten Wong | 0.1248 | 0.2083 | 39.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Gómez | 0.3019 | 0.2024 | 56.8 |
| 2 | Rougned Odor | 0.1641 | 0.0435 | 45.6 |
| 3 | Jean Segura | 0.2431 | 0.1504 | 45.4 |
| 4 | Rajai Davis | 0.4021 | 0.3000 | 44.9 |
| 5 | George Springer | 0.1915 | 0.0575 | 42.4 |
| 6 | Ender Inciarte | 0.2624 | 0.1624 | 39.7 |
| 7 | Austin Jackson | 0.0769 | 0.1235 | 37.9 |
| 8 | Coco Crisp | 0.2109 | 0.1293 | 37.8 |
Batting Average
Everybody Missed for Batting Average
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.2890 |
0.2565
(26.7)
|
0.2519
(28.3)
|
0.2468
(29.2)
|
0.2510
(26.1)
|
| Casey McGehee | 0.2873 |
0.2489
(32.5)
|
0.2275
(45.8)
|
0.2417
(33.4)
|
0.2489
(28.1)
|
| Jose Altuve | 0.3409 |
0.2971
(37.1)
|
0.2794
(48.0)
|
0.2809
(44.4)
|
0.2853
(40.9)
|
| Danny Santana | 0.3185 |
0.2414
(36.9)
|
0.2549
(30.1)
|
0.2586
(26.9)
|
0.2540
(28.7)
|
| Michael Brantley | 0.3273 |
0.2888
(31.9)
|
0.2769
(38.4)
|
0.2725
(38.9)
|
0.2776
(35.2)
|
| Juan Uribe | 0.3109 |
0.2500
(28.1)
|
0.2474
(28.2)
|
0.2370
(30.9)
|
0.2421
(28.7)
|
| Russell Martin | 0.2902 |
0.2322
(30.7)
|
0.2294
(31.0)
|
0.2278
(30.0)
|
0.2344
(26.7)
|
| Chris Davis | 0.1956 |
0.2737
(36.5)
|
0.2739
(37.8)
|
0.2679
(36.6)
|
0.2665
(36.1)
|
| Josh Harrison | 0.3154 |
0.2772
(25.8)
|
0.2520
(38.4)
|
0.2657
(28.8)
|
0.2638
(29.6)
|
| Allen Craig | 0.2148 |
0.3050
(41.2)
|
0.3015
(40.5)
|
0.2920
(37.6)
|
0.2838
(33.8)
|
| J.D. Martinez | 0.3152 |
0.2667
(27.5)
|
0.2507
(34.1)
|
0.2512
(32.0)
|
0.2532
(30.8)
|
Individual Misses for Batting Average
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Morneau | 0.2606 | 0.3187 | 36.7 |
| 2 | Drew Stubbs | 0.2300 | 0.2887 | 28.6 |
| 3 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.2554 | 0.3015 | 27.5 |
| 4 | Chris Coghlan | 0.2292 | 0.2831 | 27.0 |
| 5 | Victor Martinez | 0.3021 | 0.3351 | 26.7 |
| 6 | Anthony Rendon | 0.2569 | 0.2871 | 26.6 |
| 7 | Corey Dickerson | 0.2663 | 0.3119 | 26.0 |
| 8 | Jedd Gyorko | 0.2751 | 0.2100 | 25.0 |
| 9 | Denard Span | 0.2744 | 0.3016 | 24.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.2549 | 0.3165 | 42.4 |
| 2 | Justin Morneau | 0.2574 | 0.3187 | 37.3 |
| 3 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.2420 | 0.2863 | 31.2 |
| 4 | Corey Dickerson | 0.2570 | 0.3119 | 29.3 |
| 5 | Jon Singleton | 0.2549 | 0.1677 | 29.2 |
| 6 | Adam Eaton | 0.2532 | 0.3004 | 28.9 |
| 7 | Kurt Suzuki | 0.2376 | 0.2876 | 28.4 |
| 8 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.2543 | 0.3015 | 26.9 |
| 9 | Justin Turner | 0.2644 | 0.3403 | 26.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.2686 | 0.3165 | 31.5 |
| 2 | Victor Martinez | 0.2895 | 0.3351 | 31.0 |
| 3 | Justin Turner | 0.2542 | 0.3403 | 28.6 |
| 4 | Michael Choice | 0.2779 | 0.1818 | 26.1 |
| 5 | Kurt Suzuki | 0.2422 | 0.2876 | 24.2 |
| 6 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.2575 | 0.1979 | 24.1 |
| 7 | Carlos Gómez | 0.2510 | 0.2840 | 23.0 |
| 8 | Todd Frazier | 0.2414 | 0.2730 | 22.7 |
| 9 | Nate Schierholtz | 0.2573 | 0.1955 | 22.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Martinez | 0.2909 | 0.3351 | 29.8 |
| 2 | José Abreu | 0.2725 | 0.3165 | 28.8 |
| 3 | Adam Eaton | 0.2505 | 0.3004 | 28.1 |
| 4 | Derek Norris | 0.2110 | 0.2701 | 27.1 |
| 5 | Justin Turner | 0.2613 | 0.3403 | 26.2 |
| 6 | Lorenzo Cain | 0.2523 | 0.3015 | 25.8 |
| 7 | Nate Schierholtz | 0.2597 | 0.1955 | 23.7 |
| 8 | Jon Singleton | 0.2330 | 0.1677 | 22.8 |
| 9 | Corey Dickerson | 0.2671 | 0.3119 | 22.5 |
On-Base Percentage
Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey McGehee | 0.3546 |
0.3129
(33.8)
|
0.2888
(50.9)
|
0.3052
(36.7)
|
0.3112
(31.2)
|
| Justin Turner | 0.4037 |
0.3264
(27.2)
|
0.3230
(28.6)
|
0.3071
(32.3)
|
0.3134
(29.7)
|
| Jose Altuve | 0.3768 |
0.3346
(34.9)
|
0.3219
(44.4)
|
0.3244
(39.7)
|
0.3230
(39.4)
|
| Michael Brantley | 0.3846 |
0.3438
(32.5)
|
0.3322
(40.8)
|
0.3316
(38.4)
|
0.3312
(37.4)
|
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.3864 |
0.3333
(37.1)
|
0.3238
(43.4)
|
0.3462
(27.0)
|
0.3359
(32.3)
|
| Russell Martin | 0.4017 |
0.3165
(42.5)
|
0.3213
(40.7)
|
0.3197
(39.5)
|
0.3260
(35.7)
|
| Victor Martinez | 0.4087 |
0.3505
(41.9)
|
0.3556
(39.1)
|
0.3464
(42.4)
|
0.3411
(44.6)
|
| Jonathan Lucroy | 0.3725 |
0.3333
(30.4)
|
0.3352
(29.6)
|
0.3280
(31.6)
|
0.3307
(28.6)
|
| Allen Craig | 0.2792 |
0.3595
(36.9)
|
0.3566
(35.1)
|
0.3487
(33.2)
|
0.3380
(28.7)
|
| Carlos Gómez | 0.3561 |
0.3178
(29.3)
|
0.3196
(28.6)
|
0.3051
(35.3)
|
0.3128
(29.2)
|
Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Santana | 0.2667 | 0.3528 | 40.1 |
| 2 | Yasiel Puig | 0.3304 | 0.3824 | 37.9 |
| 3 | Jason Castro | 0.3536 | 0.2857 | 31.1 |
| 4 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.3551 | 0.3950 | 30.0 |
| 5 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.3132 | 0.2437 | 30.0 |
| 6 | Adam LaRoche | 0.3181 | 0.3618 | 29.8 |
| 7 | Jayson Werth | 0.3555 | 0.3943 | 28.9 |
| 8 | Seth Smith | 0.3201 | 0.3673 | 28.3 |
| 9 | Alberto Callaspo | 0.3588 | 0.2905 | 27.6 |
| 10 | Adrian Beltré | 0.3507 | 0.3876 | 27.1 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.3181 | 0.3826 | 45.1 |
| 2 | Brian Dozier | 0.3035 | 0.3452 | 35.1 |
| 3 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.3239 | 0.2437 | 34.8 |
| 4 | Devin Mesoraco | 0.2943 | 0.3591 | 32.0 |
| 5 | Josh Harrison | 0.2967 | 0.3467 | 31.9 |
| 6 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.3548 | 0.3950 | 30.7 |
| 7 | Lonnie Chisenhall | 0.2933 | 0.3428 | 30.6 |
| 8 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3027 | 0.3583 | 30.5 |
| 9 | Kurt Suzuki | 0.2922 | 0.3446 | 30.4 |
| 10 | Justin Morneau | 0.3216 | 0.3636 | 27.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Dozier | 0.3048 | 0.3452 | 31.2 |
| 2 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3011 | 0.3583 | 29.3 |
| 3 | Adrian Beltré | 0.3444 | 0.3876 | 28.8 |
| 4 | Danny Santana | 0.2899 | 0.3528 | 28.6 |
| 5 | Miguel Cabrera | 0.4146 | 0.3708 | 27.4 |
| 6 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.3337 | 0.2654 | 27.3 |
| 7 | Devin Mesoraco | 0.3029 | 0.3591 | 26.4 |
| 8 | Brian McCann | 0.3387 | 0.2862 | 26.2 |
| 9 | Nate Schierholtz | 0.3131 | 0.2428 | 25.5 |
| 10 | Kurt Suzuki | 0.2980 | 0.3446 | 25.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Dozier | 0.3034 | 0.3452 | 30.9 |
| 2 | Danny Santana | 0.2855 | 0.3528 | 29.8 |
| 3 | Adrian Beltré | 0.3411 | 0.3876 | 29.7 |
| 4 | Brian McCann | 0.3397 | 0.2862 | 27.7 |
| 5 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3030 | 0.3583 | 27.5 |
| 6 | Jayson Werth | 0.3529 | 0.3943 | 27.2 |
| 7 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.3006 | 0.2437 | 26.5 |
| 8 | Nate Schierholtz | 0.3122 | 0.2428 | 25.8 |
| 9 | Ian Kinsler | 0.3445 | 0.3071 | 25.8 |
| 10 | Josh Harrison | 0.3019 | 0.3467 | 25.7 |
Slugging Percentage
Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5665 |
0.4613
(60.8)
|
0.4261
(77.2)
|
0.4688
(52.5)
|
0.4717
(51.9)
|
| Devin Mesoraco | 0.5339 |
0.4005
(68.4)
|
0.3781
(77.8)
|
0.4036
(62.7)
|
0.4209
(55.8)
|
| Michael Brantley | 0.5057 |
0.4100
(79.6)
|
0.3942
(89.6)
|
0.3847
(90.1)
|
0.3915
(86.6)
|
| Chris Davis | 0.4044 |
0.5456
(62.6)
|
0.5310
(55.4)
|
0.5266
(57.7)
|
0.5460
(67.0)
|
| Victor Martinez | 0.5651 |
0.4340
(98.1)
|
0.4313
(99.2)
|
0.4272
(96.2)
|
0.4246
(98.9)
|
| Josh Harrison | 0.4904 |
0.4185
(51.7)
|
0.3780
(73.4)
|
0.3822
(66.2)
|
0.3995
(57.6)
|
| Allen Craig | 0.3145 |
0.4832
(74.0)
|
0.4740
(69.9)
|
0.4664
(70.5)
|
0.4541
(63.5)
|
| Steve Pearce | 0.5562 |
0.3916
(71.5)
|
0.3865
(73.1)
|
0.4114
(60.1)
|
0.4041
(63.6)
|
Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Santana | 0.2759 | 0.4716 | 93.6 |
| 2 | Justin Morneau | 0.3958 | 0.4960 | 67.3 |
| 3 | Drew Stubbs | 0.3463 | 0.4820 | 66.9 |
| 4 | Anthony Rendon | 0.4055 | 0.4731 | 61.2 |
| 5 | Chris Coghlan | 0.3438 | 0.4519 | 56.2 |
| 6 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.3141 | 0.3777 | 55.6 |
| 7 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.4604 | 0.5267 | 54.4 |
| 8 | Evan Longoria | 0.5027 | 0.4038 | 53.8 |
| 9 | Jedd Gyorko | 0.4740 | 0.3325 | 52.9 |
| 10 | Jay Bruce | 0.4906 | 0.3732 | 52.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Abreu | 0.3936 | 0.5809 | 129.6 |
| 2 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3854 | 0.5533 | 90.7 |
| 3 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.4159 | 0.5267 | 81.2 |
| 4 | Anthony Rendon | 0.3918 | 0.4731 | 69.9 |
| 5 | Jose Altuve | 0.3796 | 0.4530 | 66.8 |
| 6 | Drew Stubbs | 0.3552 | 0.4820 | 62.7 |
| 7 | Justin Morneau | 0.4067 | 0.4960 | 60.7 |
| 8 | Nolan Arenado | 0.4023 | 0.5000 | 55.5 |
| 9 | Lucas Duda | 0.4132 | 0.4805 | 52.7 |
| 10 | Chris Coghlan | 0.3531 | 0.4519 | 51.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3898 | 0.5533 | 84.3 |
| 2 | Lucas Duda | 0.3912 | 0.4805 | 60.5 |
| 3 | Danny Santana | 0.3471 | 0.4716 | 58.8 |
| 4 | Jose Altuve | 0.3856 | 0.4530 | 56.3 |
| 5 | Anthony Rendon | 0.4072 | 0.4731 | 53.3 |
| 6 | Jay Bruce | 0.4814 | 0.3732 | 52.3 |
| 7 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.4007 | 0.2656 | 52.0 |
| 8 | Nelson Cruz | 0.4615 | 0.5253 | 51.5 |
| 9 | David Wright | 0.4712 | 0.3738 | 49.9 |
| 10 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.3134 | 0.3777 | 49.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.D. Martinez | 0.3820 | 0.5533 | 88.9 |
| 2 | Domonic Brown | 0.4968 | 0.3488 | 68.6 |
| 3 | Danny Santana | 0.3375 | 0.4716 | 63.6 |
| 4 | José Abreu | 0.4936 | 0.5809 | 63.0 |
| 5 | Jose Altuve | 0.3835 | 0.4530 | 59.0 |
| 6 | Jay Bruce | 0.4854 | 0.3732 | 53.6 |
| 7 | Nate Schierholtz | 0.4530 | 0.3088 | 49.9 |
| 8 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.3148 | 0.3777 | 49.9 |
| 9 | Lucas Duda | 0.4124 | 0.4805 | 48.9 |
| 10 | Nelson Cruz | 0.4690 | 0.5253 | 47.5 |
Pitching Projection Accuracy
Batters Faced (BF)
Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roenis Elías | 693 |
1
(692.0)
|
1
(692.0)
|
4
(689.0)
|
1
(692.0)
|
| Scott Carroll | 573 |
1
(572.0)
|
1
(572.0)
|
5
(568.0)
|
1
(572.0)
|
| Iván Nova | 96 |
750
(653.9)
|
625
(529.0)
|
739
(643.0)
|
726
(630.0)
|
| Matt Moore | 44 |
779
(735.0)
|
666
(622.0)
|
739
(695.0)
|
739
(694.9)
|
| CC Sabathia | 209 |
932
(722.9)
|
773
(564.0)
|
807
(598.0)
|
843
(633.9)
|
Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroki Kuroda | 1 | 820 | 819.0 |
| 2 | Hector Noesí | 1 | 733 | 732.0 |
| 3 | Aaron Harang | 209 | 876 | 667.0 |
| 4 | Tyler Chatwood | 726 | 101 | 624.9 |
| 5 | Collin McHugh | 1 | 619 | 618.0 |
| 6 | Mike Pelfrey | 736 | 119 | 617.1 |
| 7 | Matt Harrison | 689 | 84 | 604.9 |
| 8 | José Fernández | 794 | 205 | 589.1 |
| 9 | Cliff Lee | 918 | 352 | 565.9 |
| 10 | Wandy Rodriguez | 684 | 125 | 559.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Holland | 776 | 145 | 631.0 |
| 2 | Nick Martinez | 1 | 610 | 609.0 |
| 3 | Lucas Harrell | 646 | 66 | 580.0 |
| 4 | Jacob deGrom | 1 | 565 | 564.0 |
| 5 | Masahiro Tanaka | 1 | 542 | 541.0 |
| 6 | Tanner Roark | 264 | 798 | 534.0 |
| 7 | Marcus Stroman | 1 | 534 | 533.0 |
| 8 | Sonny Gray | 368 | 899 | 531.0 |
| 9 | Joe Saunders | 722 | 215 | 507.0 |
| 10 | David Buchanan | 1 | 503 | 502.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Harang | 42 | 876 | 834.0 |
| 2 | Hector Noesí | 43 | 733 | 690.0 |
| 3 | Colby Lewis | 124 | 762 | 638.0 |
| 4 | Erik Johnson | 718 | 109 | 609.0 |
| 5 | Nick Martinez | 5 | 610 | 605.0 |
| 6 | Edinson Volquez | 210 | 809 | 599.0 |
| 7 | José Fernández | 803 | 205 | 598.0 |
| 8 | Mike Pelfrey | 717 | 119 | 598.0 |
| 9 | Collin McHugh | 43 | 619 | 576.0 |
| 10 | Chris Young | 129 | 688 | 559.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Holland | 830 | 145 | 684.9 |
| 2 | Brian Flynn | 702 | 35 | 667.1 |
| 3 | Blake Beavan | 682 | 16 | 665.9 |
| 4 | Chris Rusin | 696 | 58 | 638.1 |
| 5 | Nick Martinez | 1 | 610 | 609.0 |
| 6 | Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez | 637 | 29 | 607.9 |
| 7 | Jose Alvarez | 606 | 3 | 602.9 |
| 8 | Taylor Hill | 643 | 45 | 598.1 |
| 9 | Lucas Harrell | 661 | 66 | 595.0 |
| 10 | Eric Jokisch | 638 | 66 | 572.0 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dellin Betances | 0.2043 |
0.1312
(43.6)
|
0.3271
(40.8)
|
0.3052
(38.1)
|
0.3572
(58.0)
|
| Jake Arrieta | 0.2417 |
0.1203
(48.9)
|
0.3270
(50.6)
|
0.3003
(42.6)
|
0.3087
(51.8)
|
| Justin Masterson | 0.3641 |
0.0947
(40.5)
|
0.3061
(36.1)
|
0.2911
(36.9)
|
0.2804
(39.4)
|
| Edwin Jackson | 0.3771 |
0.1022
(46.8)
|
0.3278
(33.1)
|
0.2955
(44.8)
|
0.2891
(44.7)
|
| Ricky Nolasco | 0.3738 |
0.0918
(56.2)
|
0.3179
(40.9)
|
0.3109
(36.2)
|
0.2939
(43.5)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroki Kuroda | 0.3096 | 0.2935 | 178.1 |
| 2 | Hector Noesí | 0.3096 | 0.3385 | 126.2 |
| 3 | Josh Beckett | 0.3096 | 0.3103 | 95.2 |
| 4 | Daisuke Matsuzaka | 0.3096 | 0.3118 | 71.4 |
| 5 | Brandon League | 0.3096 | 0.3068 | 55.7 |
| 6 | Paul Maholm | 0.3096 | 0.3585 | 47.3 |
| 7 | Colby Lewis | 0.1072 | 0.3657 | 43.8 |
| 8 | Eric Stults | 0.0812 | 0.3364 | 41.4 |
| 9 | Kevin Correia | 0.0964 | 0.3571 | 41.0 |
| 10 | Brandon McCarthy | 0.0792 | 0.3265 | 38.7 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collin McHugh | 0.3590 | 0.2622 | 58.0 |
| 2 | Garrett Richards | 0.3214 | 0.2442 | 50.3 |
| 3 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.3371 | 0.2444 | 47.4 |
| 4 | Corey Kluber | 0.3263 | 0.2771 | 43.9 |
| 5 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.3443 | 0.2907 | 40.9 |
| 6 | Justin Verlander | 0.2895 | 0.3318 | 40.4 |
| 7 | Félix Hernández | 0.2904 | 0.2437 | 39.8 |
| 8 | Colby Lewis | 0.3198 | 0.3657 | 37.2 |
| 9 | Wade Davis | 0.3317 | 0.1956 | 37.1 |
| 10 | Phil Hughes | 0.3398 | 0.2945 | 36.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Richards | 0.3056 | 0.2442 | 48.9 |
| 2 | Johnny Cueto | 0.2894 | 0.2585 | 40.0 |
| 3 | A.J. Burnett | 0.2774 | 0.3297 | 38.9 |
| 4 | Franklin Morales | 0.3028 | 0.3730 | 38.4 |
| 5 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.3031 | 0.2444 | 36.7 |
| 6 | Justin Verlander | 0.2816 | 0.3318 | 35.2 |
| 7 | Roenis Elías | 0.3552 | 0.3184 | 33.0 |
| 8 | Félix Hernández | 0.2684 | 0.2437 | 32.3 |
| 9 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.2619 | 0.2310 | 31.2 |
| 10 | Mike Minor | 0.2913 | 0.3489 | 29.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Richards | 0.3013 | 0.2442 | 50.4 |
| 2 | Collin McHugh | 0.3242 | 0.2622 | 49.0 |
| 3 | Justin Verlander | 0.2596 | 0.3318 | 49.0 |
| 4 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.3170 | 0.2444 | 47.5 |
| 5 | Mike Minor | 0.2712 | 0.3489 | 38.5 |
| 6 | Wade Davis | 0.3103 | 0.1956 | 36.8 |
| 7 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.3152 | 0.2907 | 33.8 |
| 8 | Kyle Gibson | 0.3284 | 0.3026 | 32.6 |
| 9 | Eric Stults | 0.2778 | 0.3364 | 31.6 |
| 10 | Zack Britton | 0.3216 | 0.2291 | 31.3 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dellin Betances | 0.3959 |
0.2335
(52.2)
|
0.2109
(61.7)
|
0.2342
(51.7)
|
0.1801
(70.2)
|
| Wade Davis | 0.3907 |
0.1864
(54.4)
|
0.1936
(53.9)
|
0.2065
(48.6)
|
0.1867
(54.2)
|
| Johnny Cueto | 0.2518 |
0.1797
(60.4)
|
0.1922
(53.5)
|
0.1897
(50.0)
|
0.1771
(62.4)
|
| Shelby Miller | 0.1662 |
0.2198
(48.0)
|
0.2228
(46.2)
|
0.2300
(56.4)
|
0.2317
(57.5)
|
| Jake Arrieta | 0.2720 |
0.1830
(49.0)
|
0.1974
(43.4)
|
0.1965
(40.1)
|
0.1822
(49.1)
|
| Corey Kluber | 0.2829 |
0.2068
(63.6)
|
0.2096
(65.9)
|
0.1985
(70.7)
|
0.2148
(55.4)
|
| Justin Verlander | 0.1781 |
0.2375
(61.3)
|
0.2354
(54.7)
|
0.2234
(49.5)
|
0.2500
(73.0)
|
| Carlos Carrasco | 0.2647 |
0.1838
(37.9)
|
0.1731
(46.4)
|
0.1809
(39.0)
|
0.1632
(48.5)
|
| Garrett Richards | 0.2419 |
0.1610
(48.6)
|
0.1703
(45.9)
|
0.1564
(51.1)
|
0.1532
(53.5)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.2385 | 0.3191 | 53.5 |
| 2 | Andrew Miller | 0.2324 | 0.4256 | 44.5 |
| 3 | Chris Sale | 0.2353 | 0.3036 | 40.5 |
| 4 | Aroldis Chapman | 0.3174 | 0.5248 | 40.0 |
| 5 | Tyson Ross | 0.1835 | 0.2404 | 38.7 |
| 6 | Chris Tillman | 0.2070 | 0.1722 | 38.3 |
| 7 | Jason Hammel | 0.1586 | 0.2210 | 38.0 |
| 8 | Yusmeiro Petit | 0.1971 | 0.2885 | 37.9 |
| 9 | Jacob deGrom | 0.1797 | 0.2549 | 37.3 |
| 10 | Tommy Milone | 0.2044 | 0.1445 | 35.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Carroll | 0.2036 | 0.1117 | 54.9 |
| 2 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.2463 | 0.3191 | 51.6 |
| 3 | Brad Boxberger | 0.2143 | 0.4211 | 50.1 |
| 4 | Nick Martinez | 0.2036 | 0.1262 | 49.6 |
| 5 | Collin McHugh | 0.1709 | 0.2536 | 48.8 |
| 6 | Nick Tepesch | 0.1907 | 0.1043 | 48.5 |
| 7 | David Price | 0.2188 | 0.2686 | 46.3 |
| 8 | Andrew Miller | 0.2350 | 0.4256 | 45.2 |
| 9 | Jon Lester | 0.1985 | 0.2486 | 40.9 |
| 10 | Aroldis Chapman | 0.3258 | 0.5248 | 39.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin Morales | 0.2154 | 0.1548 | 45.6 |
| 2 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.2494 | 0.3191 | 44.6 |
| 3 | David Price | 0.2149 | 0.2686 | 44.0 |
| 4 | Brandon McCarthy | 0.1477 | 0.2093 | 43.1 |
| 5 | Jon Lester | 0.1907 | 0.2486 | 42.3 |
| 6 | A.J. Burnett | 0.2363 | 0.2032 | 40.3 |
| 7 | Josh Collmenter | 0.2046 | 0.1599 | 39.3 |
| 8 | Matt Shoemaker | 0.1460 | 0.2284 | 39.3 |
| 9 | Brad Boxberger | 0.2556 | 0.4211 | 38.4 |
| 10 | Jacob deGrom | 0.1787 | 0.2549 | 37.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Carroll | 0.2036 | 0.1117 | 58.3 |
| 2 | Jacob deGrom | 0.1441 | 0.2549 | 57.0 |
| 3 | Collin McHugh | 0.1559 | 0.2536 | 54.4 |
| 4 | Nick Martinez | 0.2036 | 0.1262 | 53.2 |
| 5 | Josh Collmenter | 0.2195 | 0.1599 | 49.9 |
| 6 | Jake Odorizzi | 0.1629 | 0.2420 | 49.9 |
| 7 | Yusmeiro Petit | 0.1757 | 0.2885 | 47.5 |
| 8 | Matt Shoemaker | 0.1357 | 0.2284 | 45.0 |
| 9 | Zach Duke | 0.1253 | 0.3109 | 41.9 |
| 10 | Brandon McCarthy | 0.1508 | 0.2093 | 40.7 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ubaldo Jiménez | 0.1392 |
0.0863
(27.2)
|
0.1011
(21.7)
|
0.0993
(23.4)
|
0.1001
(23.3)
|
| Roberto Hernandez | 0.1011 |
0.0539
(31.3)
|
0.0670
(25.4)
|
0.0644
(28.1)
|
0.0608
(31.3)
|
| Phil Hughes | 0.0187 |
0.0500
(30.0)
|
0.0671
(40.4)
|
0.0641
(36.9)
|
0.0628
(35.1)
|
| Nathan Eovaldi | 0.0504 |
0.0840
(32.0)
|
0.0878
(30.9)
|
0.0924
(33.9)
|
0.0873
(28.9)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroki Kuroda | 0.0762 | 0.0427 | 30.6 |
| 2 | Jeff Samardzija | 0.0788 | 0.0489 | 29.6 |
| 3 | Stephen Strasburg | 0.0792 | 0.0495 | 29.1 |
| 4 | C.J. Wilson | 0.0740 | 0.1117 | 25.8 |
| 5 | John Danks | 0.0527 | 0.0865 | 25.7 |
| 6 | Justin Masterson | 0.0749 | 0.1166 | 22.4 |
| 7 | Tim Hudson | 0.0673 | 0.0431 | 22.1 |
| 8 | Yovani Gallardo | 0.0887 | 0.0661 | 21.6 |
| 9 | Daisuke Matsuzaka | 0.0762 | 0.1393 | 21.3 |
| 10 | Brad Peacock | 0.0796 | 0.1188 | 20.8 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeff Samardzija | 0.0846 | 0.0489 | 30.3 |
| 2 | Hisashi Iwakuma | 0.0637 | 0.0296 | 23.4 |
| 3 | David Price | 0.0597 | 0.0377 | 21.0 |
| 4 | A.J. Burnett | 0.0814 | 0.1027 | 21.0 |
| 5 | Stephen Strasburg | 0.0748 | 0.0495 | 20.9 |
| 6 | James Shields | 0.0697 | 0.0469 | 20.4 |
| 7 | Jon Lester | 0.0784 | 0.0542 | 20.3 |
| 8 | Trevor Rosenthal | 0.0717 | 0.1364 | 20.3 |
| 9 | Wei-Yin Chen | 0.0722 | 0.0453 | 19.9 |
| 10 | John Danks | 0.0646 | 0.0865 | 19.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeff Samardzija | 0.0848 | 0.0489 | 29.5 |
| 2 | Tyler Matzek | 0.1439 | 0.0875 | 27.2 |
| 3 | Trevor Bauer | 0.1285 | 0.0905 | 23.7 |
| 4 | TJ House | 0.1071 | 0.0513 | 23.0 |
| 5 | Wily Peralta | 0.0996 | 0.0728 | 20.6 |
| 6 | Hisashi Iwakuma | 0.0596 | 0.0296 | 19.6 |
| 7 | Justin Masterson | 0.0860 | 0.1166 | 19.4 |
| 8 | Jim Johnson | 0.0616 | 0.1331 | 19.4 |
| 9 | A.J. Burnett | 0.0843 | 0.1027 | 19.4 |
| 10 | Dellin Betances | 0.1292 | 0.0704 | 19.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Bauer | 0.1583 | 0.0905 | 42.9 |
| 2 | Dellin Betances | 0.1739 | 0.0704 | 34.2 |
| 3 | Rubby De La Rosa | 0.1428 | 0.0794 | 26.6 |
| 4 | Tyler Matzek | 0.1402 | 0.0875 | 25.0 |
| 5 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1093 | 0.0668 | 24.2 |
| 6 | Francisco Liriano | 0.0866 | 0.1172 | 23.3 |
| 7 | Wily Peralta | 0.1028 | 0.0728 | 22.6 |
| 8 | Jake Peavy | 0.0511 | 0.0739 | 22.1 |
| 9 | Justin Masterson | 0.0845 | 0.1166 | 20.8 |
| 10 | Wade Miley | 0.0659 | 0.0866 | 20.6 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lackey | 0.0012 |
0.0000
(6.3)
|
0.0109
(8.7)
|
0.0115
(8.9)
|
0.0112
(7.8)
|
| Edinson Volquez | 0.0173 |
0.0000
(7.0)
|
0.0070
(7.8)
|
0.0080
(7.2)
|
0.0068
(9.0)
|
| Charlie Morton | 0.0285 |
0.0000
(13.2)
|
0.0190
(5.9)
|
0.0156
(8.3)
|
0.0203
(5.9)
|
| Justin Masterson | 0.0253 |
0.0000
(9.8)
|
0.0161
(5.0)
|
0.0139
(6.5)
|
0.0164
(5.6)
|
| Mike Leake | 0.0144 |
0.0000
(5.1)
|
0.0068
(6.2)
|
0.0077
(5.7)
|
0.0065
(7.7)
|
| Scott Carroll | 0.0209 |
0.0000
(7.0)
|
0.0090
(6.4)
|
0.0064
(8.1)
|
0.0090
(7.2)
|
| Jeremy Guthrie | 0.0162 |
0.0000
(6.5)
|
0.0091
(5.5)
|
0.0095
(5.5)
|
0.0095
(6.3)
|
| A.J. Burnett | 0.0171 |
0.0000
(7.9)
|
0.0110
(5.0)
|
0.0102
(6.1)
|
0.0107
(6.6)
|
| Bud Norris | 0.0204 |
0.0000
(8.0)
|
0.0085
(7.7)
|
0.0080
(8.2)
|
0.0079
(9.0)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hector Noesí | 0.0090 | 0.0027 | 11.0 |
| 2 | Hiroki Kuroda | 0.0090 | 0.0085 | 7.5 |
| 3 | Aaron Harang | 0.0000 | 0.0011 | 6.6 |
| 4 | Johnny Cueto | 0.0000 | 0.0156 | 6.6 |
| 5 | Samuel Deduno | 0.0000 | 0.0226 | 6.1 |
| 6 | R.A. Dickey | 0.0000 | 0.0153 | 6.0 |
| 7 | Darren O'Day | 0.0000 | 0.0295 | 5.6 |
| 8 | Jimmy Nelson | 0.0000 | 0.0257 | 5.3 |
| 9 | Jose Quintana | 0.0000 | 0.0024 | 5.2 |
| 10 | Trevor Bauer | 0.0000 | 0.0166 | 5.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Teheran | 0.0136 | 0.0045 | 8.7 |
| 2 | Kyle Gibson | 0.0132 | 0.0026 | 8.5 |
| 3 | Ian Kennedy | 0.0136 | 0.0047 | 8.1 |
| 4 | Héctor Santiago | 0.0189 | 0.0055 | 7.6 |
| 5 | Aaron Harang | 0.0079 | 0.0011 | 6.5 |
| 6 | Jimmy Nelson | 0.0060 | 0.0257 | 5.9 |
| 7 | Oliver Pérez | 0.0044 | 0.0273 | 5.7 |
| 8 | Stephen Strasburg | 0.0115 | 0.0058 | 5.6 |
| 9 | David Holmberg | 0.0073 | 0.0438 | 4.9 |
| 10 | Brandon McCarthy | 0.0086 | 0.0036 | 4.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julio Teheran | 0.0135 | 0.0045 | 8.3 |
| 2 | Ian Kennedy | 0.0122 | 0.0047 | 6.6 |
| 3 | Shelby Miller | 0.0099 | 0.0026 | 5.8 |
| 4 | Aaron Harang | 0.0073 | 0.0011 | 5.7 |
| 5 | Héctor Santiago | 0.0148 | 0.0055 | 5.3 |
| 6 | Oliver Pérez | 0.0072 | 0.0273 | 5.1 |
| 7 | R.A. Dickey | 0.0097 | 0.0153 | 4.8 |
| 8 | David Holmberg | 0.0087 | 0.0438 | 4.8 |
| 9 | Darren O'Day | 0.0118 | 0.0295 | 4.7 |
| 10 | Stephen Strasburg | 0.0106 | 0.0058 | 4.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Gibson | 0.0156 | 0.0026 | 9.3 |
| 2 | Julio Teheran | 0.0143 | 0.0045 | 8.1 |
| 3 | Héctor Santiago | 0.0202 | 0.0055 | 7.7 |
| 4 | Ian Kennedy | 0.0135 | 0.0047 | 6.9 |
| 5 | Jacob deGrom | 0.0142 | 0.0018 | 6.7 |
| 6 | Oliver Pérez | 0.0043 | 0.0273 | 6.1 |
| 7 | Yordano Ventura | 0.0146 | 0.0064 | 6.0 |
| 8 | R.A. Dickey | 0.0096 | 0.0153 | 5.8 |
| 9 | Bartolo Colon | 0.0000 | 0.0059 | 5.5 |
| 10 | Jarred Cosart | 0.0116 | 0.0039 | 5.4 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Arrieta | 0.0124 |
0.0369
(14.1)
|
0.0440
(17.7)
|
0.0365
(11.4)
|
0.0387
(14.2)
|
| Phil Hughes | 0.0247 |
0.0421
(13.6)
|
0.0478
(17.3)
|
0.0491
(16.2)
|
0.0436
(13.4)
|
| Marco Estrada | 0.0644 |
0.0379
(17.6)
|
0.0437
(14.7)
|
0.0507
(12.0)
|
0.0442
(14.6)
|
| Juan Nicasio | 0.0605 |
0.0329
(11.9)
|
0.0347
(11.7)
|
0.0417
(10.0)
|
0.0342
(12.0)
|
| Jose Quintana | 0.0167 |
0.0338
(12.9)
|
0.0350
(12.8)
|
0.0422
(16.6)
|
0.0352
(12.7)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hector Noesí | 0.0320 | 0.0507 | 14.9 |
| 2 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.0364 | 0.0181 | 13.5 |
| 3 | Eric Stults | 0.0270 | 0.0431 | 13.5 |
| 4 | Francisco Rodríguez | 0.0324 | 0.0795 | 13.0 |
| 5 | J.J. Hoover | 0.0316 | 0.0774 | 13.0 |
| 6 | Garrett Richards | 0.0304 | 0.0110 | 12.1 |
| 7 | Brandon McCarthy | 0.0273 | 0.0400 | 11.9 |
| 8 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.0342 | 0.0106 | 11.4 |
| 9 | Kelvin Herrera | 0.0414 | 0.0000 | 11.4 |
| 10 | Brad Boxberger | 0.0313 | 0.0756 | 11.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.0396 | 0.0181 | 15.0 |
| 2 | Eric Stults | 0.0278 | 0.0431 | 13.8 |
| 3 | Ervin Santana | 0.0468 | 0.0280 | 13.0 |
| 4 | Vidal Nuño | 0.0343 | 0.0502 | 12.7 |
| 5 | J.J. Hoover | 0.0343 | 0.0774 | 12.6 |
| 6 | Garrett Richards | 0.0316 | 0.0110 | 12.0 |
| 7 | Francisco Rodríguez | 0.0377 | 0.0795 | 12.0 |
| 8 | Brandon McCarthy | 0.0287 | 0.0400 | 11.8 |
| 9 | Aaron Harang | 0.0389 | 0.0233 | 11.1 |
| 10 | Chris Archer | 0.0372 | 0.0211 | 10.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Harang | 0.0485 | 0.0233 | 17.2 |
| 2 | Francisco Rodríguez | 0.0372 | 0.0795 | 12.8 |
| 3 | Mark Buehrle | 0.0411 | 0.0218 | 11.9 |
| 4 | Stephen Strasburg | 0.0317 | 0.0398 | 11.8 |
| 5 | Chris Tillman | 0.0508 | 0.0323 | 11.3 |
| 6 | Hector Noesí | 0.0413 | 0.0507 | 10.9 |
| 7 | Brad Boxberger | 0.0375 | 0.0756 | 10.8 |
| 8 | Brett Oberholtzer | 0.0467 | 0.0241 | 10.7 |
| 9 | Jason Hammel | 0.0363 | 0.0455 | 10.5 |
| 10 | Marcus Stroman | 0.0430 | 0.0179 | 10.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcus Stroman | 0.0583 | 0.0179 | 19.9 |
| 2 | Eric Stults | 0.0241 | 0.0431 | 16.9 |
| 3 | Brett Oberholtzer | 0.0537 | 0.0241 | 16.5 |
| 4 | Aaron Harang | 0.0446 | 0.0233 | 15.8 |
| 5 | Hyun Jin Ryu | 0.0429 | 0.0174 | 14.1 |
| 6 | Jason Vargas | 0.0509 | 0.0309 | 13.3 |
| 7 | Mark Buehrle | 0.0399 | 0.0218 | 12.8 |
| 8 | Todd Redmond | 0.0633 | 0.0222 | 11.9 |
| 9 | Jason Hammel | 0.0323 | 0.0455 | 11.7 |
| 10 | Johnny Cueto | 0.0255 | 0.0344 | 11.7 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Félix Hernández | 0.2580 |
0.3050
(51.1)
|
0.3066
(47.5)
|
0.2952
(36.0)
|
0.2936
(41.3)
|
| Johnny Cueto | 0.2382 |
0.2799
(48.7)
|
0.2774
(40.9)
|
0.2895
(51.4)
|
0.2708
(40.6)
|
| Jorge De La Rosa | 0.2632 |
0.3010
(36.0)
|
0.2975
(29.0)
|
0.2978
(28.3)
|
0.2951
(31.9)
|
| Edwin Jackson | 0.3521 |
0.3018
(26.1)
|
0.3062
(26.9)
|
0.2945
(35.0)
|
0.2951
(29.9)
|
| Adam Wainwright | 0.2669 |
0.2855
(24.8)
|
0.3051
(37.4)
|
0.2948
(27.1)
|
0.2917
(31.0)
|
| Jacob Turner | 0.3542 |
0.2789
(33.2)
|
0.2824
(34.2)
|
0.2987
(26.7)
|
0.2780
(33.3)
|
| Ricky Nolasco | 0.3515 |
0.3020
(28.1)
|
0.3053
(29.7)
|
0.3044
(31.2)
|
0.3001
(29.0)
|
| Trevor Cahill | 0.3497 |
0.2755
(32.6)
|
0.2918
(27.2)
|
0.2939
(26.7)
|
0.2812
(29.4)
|
| Chris Young | 0.2383 |
0.2869
(39.6)
|
0.2823
(32.6)
|
0.2776
(28.6)
|
0.2750
(31.9)
|
| Colby Lewis | 0.3394 |
0.2870
(33.1)
|
0.2814
(41.6)
|
0.2886
(37.0)
|
0.2809
(37.3)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Duffy | 0.2940 | 0.2388 | 38.9 |
| 2 | R.A. Dickey | 0.2912 | 0.2632 | 33.9 |
| 3 | Tom Wilhelmsen | 0.2909 | 0.2040 | 30.4 |
| 4 | Ervin Santana | 0.2746 | 0.3189 | 28.8 |
| 5 | Marco Estrada | 0.2917 | 0.2565 | 27.5 |
| 6 | Stephen Strasburg | 0.2747 | 0.3153 | 27.4 |
| 7 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.2826 | 0.3225 | 26.4 |
| 8 | Alfredo Simon | 0.2876 | 0.2646 | 26.2 |
| 9 | Collin McHugh | 0.2902 | 0.2587 | 25.1 |
| 10 | Justin Masterson | 0.2892 | 0.3395 | 24.5 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Duffy | 0.3045 | 0.2388 | 41.9 |
| 2 | Travis Wood | 0.2625 | 0.3195 | 41.9 |
| 3 | Ervin Santana | 0.2665 | 0.3189 | 40.0 |
| 4 | Collin McHugh | 0.3198 | 0.2587 | 39.9 |
| 5 | Edinson Volquez | 0.3061 | 0.2628 | 37.8 |
| 6 | Doug Fister | 0.3070 | 0.2621 | 31.9 |
| 7 | Yu Darvish | 0.2806 | 0.3343 | 30.4 |
| 8 | Zack Britton | 0.3080 | 0.2154 | 27.4 |
| 9 | Brett Oberholtzer | 0.2784 | 0.3251 | 27.0 |
| 10 | Mike Minor | 0.2771 | 0.3229 | 27.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Verlander | 0.2807 | 0.3173 | 30.7 |
| 2 | Travis Wood | 0.2787 | 0.3195 | 30.2 |
| 3 | Roenis Elías | 0.3350 | 0.2941 | 29.9 |
| 4 | Edinson Volquez | 0.2972 | 0.2628 | 29.7 |
| 5 | David Buchanan | 0.3389 | 0.2842 | 28.6 |
| 6 | Brandon McCarthy | 0.2920 | 0.3283 | 28.5 |
| 7 | Tom Wilhelmsen | 0.2904 | 0.2040 | 28.1 |
| 8 | Tommy Kahnle | 0.3363 | 0.2404 | 27.9 |
| 9 | Max Scherzer | 0.2822 | 0.3150 | 27.6 |
| 10 | Scott Carroll | 0.2551 | 0.3052 | 27.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Duffy | 0.2941 | 0.2388 | 39.4 |
| 2 | Travis Wood | 0.2673 | 0.3195 | 33.3 |
| 3 | Collin McHugh | 0.3025 | 0.2587 | 33.1 |
| 4 | Edinson Volquez | 0.2918 | 0.2628 | 31.3 |
| 5 | Yu Darvish | 0.2754 | 0.3343 | 29.8 |
| 6 | Stephen Strasburg | 0.2729 | 0.3153 | 28.4 |
| 7 | Ervin Santana | 0.2768 | 0.3189 | 26.5 |
| 8 | Tom Wilhelmsen | 0.2768 | 0.2040 | 26.1 |
| 9 | Mike Minor | 0.2734 | 0.3229 | 25.3 |
| 10 | Zack Britton | 0.2943 | 0.2154 | 25.2 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisuke Matsuzaka | 0.1507 |
0.2243
(104.5)
|
0.2208
(26.4)
|
0.2831
(23.1)
|
0.2846
(27.1)
|
| R.A. Dickey | 0.1786 |
0.0000
(35.5)
|
0.2078
(29.7)
|
0.2867
(36.4)
|
0.2722
(32.1)
|
| Johnny Cueto | 0.1799 |
0.0000
(36.1)
|
0.2165
(38.3)
|
0.2895
(39.8)
|
0.2708
(31.2)
|
| Chris Young | 0.1548 |
0.0000
(43.1)
|
0.2010
(34.0)
|
0.2776
(37.6)
|
0.2750
(42.5)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroki Kuroda | 0.2243 | 0.2157 | 185.3 |
| 2 | Hector Noesí | 0.2243 | 0.2347 | 151.7 |
| 3 | Josh Beckett | 0.2243 | 0.1726 | 127.8 |
| 4 | Paul Maholm | 0.2243 | 0.2437 | 61.6 |
| 5 | Brandon League | 0.2243 | 0.2647 | 48.3 |
| 6 | Brian Wilson | 0.2243 | 0.2443 | 44.0 |
| 7 | Scott Downs | 0.2243 | 0.1780 | 43.5 |
| 8 | Juan Carlos Oviedo | 0.2243 | 0.1413 | 42.1 |
| 9 | Francisley Bueno | 0.2243 | 0.2072 | 33.3 |
| 10 | C.J. Wilson | 0.0000 | 0.2555 | 29.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Félix Hernández | 0.2422 | 0.1993 | 42.1 |
| 2 | Travis Wood | 0.1853 | 0.2368 | 37.7 |
| 3 | Colby Lewis | 0.2060 | 0.2500 | 31.0 |
| 4 | Aaron Harang | 0.2090 | 0.2468 | 30.2 |
| 5 | Jacob Turner | 0.2112 | 0.2708 | 28.2 |
| 6 | Roberto Hernandez | 0.2253 | 0.1899 | 27.9 |
| 7 | Mike Minor | 0.1996 | 0.2466 | 27.9 |
| 8 | Jorge De La Rosa | 0.2265 | 0.1936 | 27.8 |
| 9 | Brett Oberholtzer | 0.2015 | 0.2490 | 27.5 |
| 10 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2293 | 0.2040 | 25.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roenis Elías | 0.3350 | 0.2179 | 33.9 |
| 2 | Shane Greene | 0.2509 | 0.2805 | 33.7 |
| 3 | Roberto Hernandez | 0.2971 | 0.1899 | 28.1 |
| 4 | Jorge De La Rosa | 0.2978 | 0.1936 | 27.6 |
| 5 | Odrisamer Despaigne | 0.2243 | 0.2196 | 25.7 |
| 6 | Félix Hernández | 0.2952 | 0.1993 | 25.2 |
| 7 | Scott Carroll | 0.2551 | 0.2301 | 24.8 |
| 8 | Jenrry Mejia | 0.2974 | 0.2868 | 24.0 |
| 9 | David Buchanan | 0.3389 | 0.2237 | 23.6 |
| 10 | Jesse Chavez | 0.2888 | 0.2585 | 23.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Carroll | 0.2243 | 0.2301 | 36.8 |
| 2 | Roenis Elías | 0.2243 | 0.2179 | 36.1 |
| 3 | Chase Whitley | 0.2243 | 0.2731 | 35.4 |
| 4 | Jorge De La Rosa | 0.2951 | 0.1936 | 33.0 |
| 5 | Félix Hernández | 0.2936 | 0.1993 | 32.6 |
| 6 | Danny Duffy | 0.2941 | 0.1844 | 31.1 |
| 7 | Roberto Hernandez | 0.2887 | 0.1899 | 29.1 |
| 8 | David Buchanan | 0.2243 | 0.2237 | 29.1 |
| 9 | Adam Wainwright | 0.2917 | 0.2040 | 26.3 |
| 10 | Drew Hutchison | 0.2890 | 0.1973 | 26.2 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Hutchison | 0.0918 |
0.0000
(23.2)
|
0.0700
(17.1)
|
0.0000
(22.0)
|
0.0000
(23.7)
|
| Max Scherzer | 0.0867 |
0.0000
(22.1)
|
0.0685
(16.5)
|
0.0000
(20.8)
|
0.0000
(22.7)
|
| Ryan Vogelsong | 0.0846 |
0.0000
(17.4)
|
0.0627
(17.0)
|
0.0000
(16.2)
|
0.0000
(17.9)
|
| John Danks | 0.0809 |
0.0000
(15.9)
|
0.0625
(15.7)
|
0.0000
(14.7)
|
0.0000
(16.5)
|
| Edwin Jackson | 0.1033 |
0.0000
(26.0)
|
0.0775
(16.3)
|
0.0000
(25.0)
|
0.0000
(26.4)
|
| Mark Buehrle | 0.0832 |
0.0000
(18.0)
|
0.0657
(14.9)
|
0.0000
(16.7)
|
0.0000
(18.5)
|
| A.J. Burnett | 0.0832 |
0.0000
(19.6)
|
0.0649
(17.1)
|
0.0000
(18.2)
|
0.0000
(20.1)
|
| Doug Fister | 0.0350 |
0.0000
(18.1)
|
0.0570
(14.6)
|
0.0000
(19.1)
|
0.0000
(17.7)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hector Noesí | 0.0642 | 0.0477 | 57.7 |
| 2 | Hiroki Kuroda | 0.0642 | 0.0588 | 55.5 |
| 3 | Paul Maholm | 0.0642 | 0.0588 | 21.0 |
| 4 | Josh Beckett | 0.0642 | 0.0847 | 19.8 |
| 5 | Brandon League | 0.0642 | 0.0539 | 19.8 |
| 6 | Sonny Gray | 0.0000 | 0.0435 | 16.8 |
| 7 | J.A. Happ | 0.0000 | 0.0860 | 16.0 |
| 8 | Travis Wood | 0.0000 | 0.0827 | 16.0 |
| 9 | Mike Leake | 0.0000 | 0.0798 | 15.8 |
| 10 | Carlos Villanueva | 0.0000 | 0.1070 | 15.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collin McHugh | 0.0761 | 0.0398 | 22.5 |
| 2 | Stephen Strasburg | 0.0499 | 0.0721 | 19.2 |
| 3 | Hector Noesí | 0.0729 | 0.0477 | 18.5 |
| 4 | Jeremy Guthrie | 0.0662 | 0.0459 | 17.6 |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | 0.0608 | 0.0789 | 16.1 |
| 6 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.0717 | 0.0429 | 15.3 |
| 7 | Jake Odorizzi | 0.0733 | 0.0521 | 15.3 |
| 8 | Jordan Zimmermann | 0.0717 | 0.0526 | 15.3 |
| 9 | Vance Worley | 0.0789 | 0.0464 | 14.9 |
| 10 | Sergio Santos | 0.0693 | 0.2037 | 14.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odrisamer Despaigne | 0.0642 | 0.0439 | 34.0 |
| 2 | Sonny Gray | 0.0000 | 0.0435 | 18.2 |
| 3 | Yovani Gallardo | 0.0000 | 0.0439 | 16.2 |
| 4 | Jeremy Guthrie | 0.0000 | 0.0459 | 15.5 |
| 5 | J.A. Happ | 0.0000 | 0.0860 | 15.0 |
| 6 | Collin McHugh | 0.0000 | 0.0398 | 14.8 |
| 7 | Sergio Santos | 0.0000 | 0.2037 | 14.8 |
| 8 | Carlos Villanueva | 0.0000 | 0.1070 | 14.8 |
| 9 | Travis Wood | 0.0000 | 0.0827 | 14.8 |
| 10 | Tyson Ross | 0.0000 | 0.0460 | 14.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roenis Elías | 0.0642 | 0.0741 | 35.9 |
| 2 | Scott Carroll | 0.0642 | 0.0638 | 35.6 |
| 3 | David Buchanan | 0.0642 | 0.0553 | 35.5 |
| 4 | Odrisamer Despaigne | 0.0642 | 0.0439 | 33.1 |
| 5 | Nick Martinez | 0.0642 | 0.0766 | 30.1 |
| 6 | Dominic Leone | 0.0642 | 0.0529 | 19.8 |
| 7 | Chase Whitley | 0.0642 | 0.0672 | 19.3 |
| 8 | Travis Wood | 0.0000 | 0.0827 | 16.4 |
| 9 | J.A. Happ | 0.0000 | 0.0860 | 16.4 |
| 10 | Mike Leake | 0.0000 | 0.0798 | 16.3 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Balfour | 0.0357 |
0.0000
(7.9)
|
0.0060
(8.0)
|
0.0000
(7.8)
|
0.0000
(7.9)
|
| Mike Bolsinger | 0.0361 |
0.0000
(7.1)
|
0.0067
(7.0)
|
0.0000
(7.0)
|
0.0067
(5.5)
|
| Jordan Zimmermann | 0.0123 |
0.0000
(4.6)
|
0.0054
(5.5)
|
0.0000
(4.5)
|
0.0000
(4.7)
|
| Justin Masterson | 0.0184 |
0.0000
(7.1)
|
0.0040
(8.5)
|
0.0000
(7.0)
|
0.0000
(7.1)
|
| Tim Lincecum | 0.0243 |
0.0000
(12.0)
|
0.0081
(10.9)
|
0.0000
(11.9)
|
0.0000
(12.0)
|
| Justin Verlander | 0.0139 |
0.0000
(6.6)
|
0.0057
(7.3)
|
0.0000
(6.5)
|
0.0000
(6.7)
|
| Rick Porcello | 0.0154 |
0.0000
(7.5)
|
0.0038
(9.8)
|
0.0000
(7.4)
|
0.0000
(7.5)
|
| Juan Gutierrez | 0.0352 |
0.0000
(7.7)
|
0.0065
(7.7)
|
0.0000
(7.6)
|
0.0000
(7.7)
|
| Gio González | 0.0166 |
0.0000
(6.6)
|
0.0041
(8.1)
|
0.0000
(6.5)
|
0.0000
(6.6)
|
| Tim Hudson | 0.0179 |
0.0000
(9.0)
|
0.0071
(8.6)
|
0.0000
(8.9)
|
0.0000
(9.1)
|
| Chase Anderson | 0.0186 |
0.0000
(5.9)
|
0.0067
(5.8)
|
0.0000
(5.8)
|
0.0000
(5.9)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroki Kuroda | 0.0067 | 0.0049 | 6.8 |
| 2 | Josh Beckett | 0.0067 | 0.0000 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Cole Hamels | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 5.4 |
| 4 | Chris Perez | 0.0000 | 0.0320 | 5.1 |
| 5 | Travis Wood | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 5.1 |
| 6 | Carlos Martinez | 0.0000 | 0.0194 | 5.0 |
| 7 | C.J. Wilson | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 5.0 |
| 8 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.0000 | 0.0136 | 4.9 |
| 9 | Christian Bergman | 0.0000 | 0.0253 | 4.7 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edinson Volquez | 0.0105 | 0.0018 | 7.1 |
| 2 | Jorge De La Rosa | 0.0023 | 0.0113 | 6.9 |
| 3 | Lance Lynn | 0.0124 | 0.0051 | 6.3 |
| 4 | Max Scherzer | 0.0104 | 0.0035 | 6.2 |
| 5 | Jonathon Niese | 0.0043 | 0.0121 | 6.1 |
| 6 | Gerrit Cole | 0.0029 | 0.0134 | 6.0 |
| 7 | Eric Stults | 0.0095 | 0.0017 | 6.0 |
| 8 | Alfredo Simon | 0.0089 | 0.0017 | 5.9 |
| 9 | Danny Duffy | 0.0136 | 0.0047 | 5.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Hamels | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 5.5 |
| 2 | Travis Wood | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 5.2 |
| 3 | C.J. Wilson | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 5.1 |
| 4 | Chris Perez | 0.0000 | 0.0320 | 5.1 |
| 5 | Carlos Martinez | 0.0000 | 0.0194 | 4.9 |
| 6 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.0000 | 0.0136 | 4.8 |
| 7 | Christian Bergman | 0.0000 | 0.0253 | 4.6 |
| 8 | Alex Cobb | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.5 |
| 9 | Garrett Richards | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roenis Elías | 0.0067 | 0.0022 | 7.6 |
| 2 | Cole Hamels | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 5.3 |
| 3 | Chris Perez | 0.0000 | 0.0320 | 5.1 |
| 4 | Travis Wood | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 5.0 |
| 5 | Carlos Martinez | 0.0000 | 0.0194 | 5.0 |
| 6 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.0000 | 0.0136 | 5.0 |
| 7 | C.J. Wilson | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 4.9 |
| 8 | Jake Peavy | 0.0000 | 0.0117 | 4.5 |
| 9 | Jonathon Niese | 0.0000 | 0.0121 | 4.4 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kluber | 0.0757 |
0.1157
(48.5)
|
0.1186
(39.5)
|
0.1154
(32.0)
|
0.1118
(32.4)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 0.0879 |
0.1293
(42.3)
|
0.1336
(35.8)
|
0.1219
(22.7)
|
0.1323
(34.3)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Carroll | 0.0000 | 0.1414 | 74.7 |
| 2 | Roenis Elías | 0.0000 | 0.1111 | 69.4 |
| 3 | Nick Tepesch | 0.0000 | 0.1229 | 60.1 |
| 4 | Chase Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.1152 | 50.7 |
| 5 | Marcus Stroman | 0.0000 | 0.1049 | 50.2 |
| 6 | David Buchanan | 0.0000 | 0.1093 | 49.5 |
| 7 | Tyler Matzek | 0.0000 | 0.1054 | 47.5 |
| 8 | Collin McHugh | 0.0000 | 0.0856 | 46.2 |
| 9 | Rubby De La Rosa | 0.0000 | 0.1156 | 46.2 |
| 10 | Scott Baker | 0.0000 | 0.1476 | 45.4 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collin McHugh | 0.1491 | 0.0856 | 38.4 |
| 2 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1338 | 0.0749 | 35.3 |
| 3 | Clay Buchholz | 0.1005 | 0.1465 | 34.9 |
| 4 | Robbie Ross Jr. | 0.0959 | 0.1781 | 30.5 |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | 0.0949 | 0.1277 | 30.4 |
| 6 | Garrett Richards | 0.1213 | 0.0752 | 30.3 |
| 7 | Travis Wood | 0.1043 | 0.1408 | 29.6 |
| 8 | Edwin Jackson | 0.1236 | 0.1659 | 27.6 |
| 9 | Edinson Volquez | 0.1281 | 0.0927 | 27.6 |
| 10 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.1282 | 0.0756 | 27.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwin Jackson | 0.1194 | 0.1659 | 33.2 |
| 2 | Robbie Ross Jr. | 0.0982 | 0.1781 | 31.4 |
| 3 | Justin Verlander | 0.1007 | 0.1277 | 29.5 |
| 4 | Garrett Richards | 0.1246 | 0.0752 | 29.4 |
| 5 | Johnny Cueto | 0.1079 | 0.0718 | 28.9 |
| 6 | A.J. Burnett | 0.1061 | 0.1305 | 28.4 |
| 7 | Justin Masterson | 0.1107 | 0.1520 | 28.0 |
| 8 | Tanner Roark | 0.1174 | 0.0802 | 24.9 |
| 9 | Clay Buchholz | 0.1189 | 0.1465 | 24.8 |
| 10 | Franklin Morales | 0.1088 | 0.1393 | 23.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwin Jackson | 0.1086 | 0.1659 | 37.5 |
| 2 | Justin Verlander | 0.0878 | 0.1277 | 37.4 |
| 3 | Clay Buchholz | 0.1009 | 0.1465 | 35.1 |
| 4 | Dellin Betances | 0.1490 | 0.0440 | 35.1 |
| 5 | Justin Masterson | 0.1033 | 0.1520 | 30.0 |
| 6 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.1344 | 0.0756 | 30.0 |
| 7 | Collin McHugh | 0.1360 | 0.0856 | 29.9 |
| 8 | Robbie Ross Jr. | 0.0993 | 0.1781 | 29.5 |
| 9 | Garrett Richards | 0.1194 | 0.0752 | 28.6 |
| 10 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1220 | 0.0749 | 27.7 |
Earned Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kluber | 0.0673 |
0.1057
(35.3)
|
0.1082
(37.3)
|
0.1061
(31.3)
|
0.1045
(31.9)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 0.0804 |
0.1184
(29.6)
|
0.1221
(32.3)
|
0.1116
(20.4)
|
0.1238
(32.0)
|
| Jon Lester | 0.0678 |
0.0987
(26.2)
|
0.1062
(32.4)
|
0.1042
(27.0)
|
0.0962
(21.9)
|
| Justin Masterson | 0.1419 |
0.0932
(29.6)
|
0.1020
(24.7)
|
0.1007
(27.9)
|
0.0963
(29.2)
|
| Clay Buchholz | 0.1370 |
0.0930
(33.4)
|
0.0932
(33.6)
|
0.1096
(24.5)
|
0.0937
(34.7)
|
| Edwin Jackson | 0.1564 |
0.1041
(33.9)
|
0.1124
(29.0)
|
0.1098
(33.2)
|
0.1020
(36.8)
|
| Justin Verlander | 0.1165 |
0.0860
(28.3)
|
0.0848
(29.8)
|
0.0923
(26.8)
|
0.0822
(33.9)
|
| Garrett Richards | 0.0723 |
0.1083
(23.6)
|
0.1076
(22.8)
|
0.1144
(24.6)
|
0.1113
(24.0)
|
Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Young | 0.1360 | 0.0974 | 25.7 |
| 2 | Johnny Cueto | 0.0914 | 0.0635 | 25.5 |
| 3 | A.J. Burnett | 0.0911 | 0.1166 | 25.0 |
| 4 | Jacob Turner | 0.1072 | 0.1537 | 23.9 |
| 5 | Henderson Alvarez III | 0.1025 | 0.0712 | 23.1 |
| 6 | Wade Davis | 0.1102 | 0.0287 | 22.4 |
| 7 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.1066 | 0.1367 | 21.8 |
| 8 | Félix Hernández | 0.0864 | 0.0614 | 21.6 |
| 9 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1080 | 0.0717 | 21.5 |
| 10 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.1116 | 0.0718 | 20.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collin McHugh | 0.1382 | 0.0759 | 37.4 |
| 2 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1272 | 0.0717 | 33.0 |
| 3 | Edinson Volquez | 0.1212 | 0.0803 | 31.6 |
| 4 | Henderson Alvarez III | 0.1101 | 0.0712 | 28.7 |
| 5 | Jacob Turner | 0.1029 | 0.1537 | 26.3 |
| 6 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.1218 | 0.0718 | 25.5 |
| 7 | Lance Lynn | 0.1024 | 0.0716 | 25.2 |
| 8 | Félix Hernández | 0.0892 | 0.0614 | 23.8 |
| 9 | Robbie Ross Jr. | 0.0849 | 0.1479 | 23.7 |
| 10 | Tyson Ross | 0.1054 | 0.0752 | 23.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnny Cueto | 0.0982 | 0.0635 | 27.7 |
| 2 | A.J. Burnett | 0.0965 | 0.1166 | 24.3 |
| 3 | Edinson Volquez | 0.1158 | 0.0803 | 23.9 |
| 4 | Franklin Morales | 0.1005 | 0.1316 | 23.9 |
| 5 | Robbie Ross Jr. | 0.0888 | 0.1479 | 23.8 |
| 6 | Aaron Harang | 0.1242 | 0.0925 | 22.6 |
| 7 | Ernesto Frieri | 0.0718 | 0.1848 | 21.9 |
| 8 | Henderson Alvarez III | 0.1039 | 0.0712 | 20.7 |
| 9 | Chris Young | 0.1333 | 0.0974 | 20.7 |
| 10 | Hector Noesí | 0.1023 | 0.1241 | 20.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dellin Betances | 0.1387 | 0.0411 | 32.0 |
| 2 | Collin McHugh | 0.1277 | 0.0759 | 29.8 |
| 3 | Carlos Carrasco | 0.1248 | 0.0718 | 26.1 |
| 4 | Jacob Turner | 0.1077 | 0.1537 | 24.9 |
| 5 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1141 | 0.0717 | 23.8 |
| 6 | Aaron Harang | 0.1227 | 0.0925 | 23.3 |
| 7 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.1079 | 0.1367 | 22.5 |
| 8 | Wade Davis | 0.1124 | 0.0287 | 22.3 |
| 9 | C.J. Wilson | 0.0900 | 0.1156 | 22.3 |
| 10 | Edinson Volquez | 0.1111 | 0.0803 | 21.9 |
Win Rate
Everybody Missed for Win Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wily Peralta | 0.5313 |
0.3200
(167.5)
|
0.2195
(215.1)
|
0.3175
(170.7)
|
0.3667
(146.9)
|
| Alfredo Simon | 0.4688 |
0.1818
(225.4)
|
0.1000
(256.6)
|
0.1004
(293.1)
|
0.0784
(328.0)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 0.4138 |
0.2400
(131.2)
|
0.1579
(162.2)
|
0.1939
(169.6)
|
0.2333
(154.4)
|
| Clayton Kershaw | 0.7778 |
0.5484
(163.3)
|
0.3590
(272.4)
|
0.4649
(226.8)
|
0.5455
(182.0)
|
Individual Misses for Win Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collin McHugh | 0.0004 | 0.4400 | 265.1 |
| 2 | Roenis Elías | 0.0005 | 0.3448 | 230.8 |
| 3 | Marcus Stroman | 0.0005 | 0.4231 | 219.6 |
| 4 | Matt Shoemaker | 0.1875 | 0.5926 | 213.8 |
| 5 | Chase Anderson | 0.0004 | 0.4286 | 202.6 |
| 6 | Johnny Cueto | 0.3704 | 0.5882 | 198.4 |
| 7 | Vance Worley | 0.0005 | 0.4444 | 198.1 |
| 8 | Phil Hughes | 0.2857 | 0.5000 | 173.5 |
| 9 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.0004 | 0.5385 | 169.1 |
| 10 | Corey Kluber | 0.3448 | 0.5294 | 164.7 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Shoemaker | 0.1111 | 0.5926 | 231.5 |
| 2 | Yordano Ventura | 0.1071 | 0.4516 | 226.3 |
| 3 | Corey Kluber | 0.2432 | 0.5294 | 219.7 |
| 4 | Johnny Cueto | 0.3077 | 0.5882 | 216.7 |
| 5 | Garrett Richards | 0.1333 | 0.5000 | 211.2 |
| 6 | Tyson Ross | 0.1053 | 0.4194 | 210.0 |
| 7 | Adam Wainwright | 0.3415 | 0.6250 | 205.1 |
| 8 | Phil Hughes | 0.2105 | 0.5000 | 200.4 |
| 9 | Doug Fister | 0.2895 | 0.6400 | 195.6 |
| 10 | Jarred Cosart | 0.1290 | 0.4333 | 190.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collin McHugh | 0.0539 | 0.4400 | 232.8 |
| 2 | Roenis Elías | 0.0000 | 0.3448 | 232.0 |
| 3 | Chase Anderson | 0.0000 | 0.4286 | 203.4 |
| 4 | Jacob deGrom | 0.0548 | 0.4091 | 194.5 |
| 5 | Johnny Cueto | 0.3778 | 0.5882 | 192.6 |
| 6 | Josh Collmenter | 0.0623 | 0.3333 | 187.7 |
| 7 | Vidal Nuño | 0.3298 | 0.0645 | 186.9 |
| 8 | Tanner Roark | 0.2561 | 0.4839 | 173.8 |
| 9 | Jake Peavy | 0.3946 | 0.2188 | 158.4 |
| 10 | Adam Wainwright | 0.4390 | 0.6250 | 158.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Richards | 0.1750 | 0.5000 | 227.6 |
| 2 | Corey Kluber | 0.3462 | 0.5294 | 184.4 |
| 3 | Phil Hughes | 0.2963 | 0.5000 | 183.3 |
| 4 | Kyle Gibson | 0.1905 | 0.4194 | 181.3 |
| 5 | Josh Collmenter | 0.0926 | 0.3333 | 180.8 |
| 6 | Francisco Liriano | 0.5000 | 0.2414 | 171.3 |
| 7 | Matt Shoemaker | 0.2963 | 0.5926 | 166.7 |
| 8 | Tyson Ross | 0.2258 | 0.4194 | 165.6 |
| 9 | Jarred Cosart | 0.2308 | 0.4333 | 163.3 |
| 10 | Tanner Roark | 0.2941 | 0.4839 | 159.9 |
Loss Rate
Individual Misses for Loss Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roenis Elías | 0.0005 | 0.4138 | 285.7 |
| 2 | Tyler Matzek | 0.0005 | 0.5500 | 275.9 |
| 3 | Nick Tepesch | 0.0005 | 0.4783 | 256.0 |
| 4 | Collin McHugh | 0.0004 | 0.3600 | 221.9 |
| 5 | Scott Carroll | 0.0005 | 0.3846 | 219.5 |
| 6 | David Buchanan | 0.0005 | 0.4000 | 200.4 |
| 7 | Rubby De La Rosa | 0.0004 | 0.4211 | 185.0 |
| 8 | Odrisamer Despaigne | 0.0007 | 0.4375 | 176.1 |
| 9 | A.J. Burnett | 0.3548 | 0.5294 | 162.3 |
| 10 | Chase Anderson | 0.0005 | 0.3333 | 161.3 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.J. Burnett | 0.2432 | 0.5294 | 212.2 |
| 2 | Eric Stults | 0.2250 | 0.5313 | 188.5 |
| 3 | Brett Oberholtzer | 0.2000 | 0.5417 | 176.0 |
| 4 | Jake Odorizzi | 0.1200 | 0.4194 | 172.7 |
| 5 | Colby Lewis | 0.2105 | 0.4828 | 162.4 |
| 6 | Drew Smyly | 0.0488 | 0.3571 | 154.0 |
| 7 | Drew Hutchison | 0.1600 | 0.4063 | 147.0 |
| 8 | Jimmy Nelson | 0.1176 | 0.6429 | 144.9 |
| 9 | Julio Teheran | 0.1750 | 0.3939 | 141.2 |
| 10 | Jarred Cosart | 0.1290 | 0.3667 | 136.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roenis Elías | 0.0000 | 0.4138 | 284.2 |
| 2 | Tyler Matzek | 0.0000 | 0.5500 | 274.8 |
| 3 | Nick Martinez | 0.0000 | 0.4138 | 250.1 |
| 4 | Hector Noesí | 0.0438 | 0.3636 | 231.7 |
| 5 | Scott Carroll | 0.0000 | 0.3846 | 218.2 |
| 6 | David Buchanan | 0.0000 | 0.4000 | 199.3 |
| 7 | Collin McHugh | 0.0432 | 0.3600 | 193.8 |
| 8 | Chris Tillman | 0.3826 | 0.1765 | 182.8 |
| 9 | Jimmy Nelson | 0.0884 | 0.6429 | 171.3 |
| 10 | Edinson Volquez | 0.4264 | 0.2188 | 171.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alfredo Simon | 0.0588 | 0.3125 | 205.3 |
| 2 | Matt Shoemaker | 0.4444 | 0.1481 | 162.4 |
| 3 | A.J. Burnett | 0.3571 | 0.5294 | 158.5 |
| 4 | Tyson Ross | 0.2581 | 0.4516 | 154.7 |
| 5 | Josh Collmenter | 0.0556 | 0.2727 | 154.2 |
| 6 | Chris Tillman | 0.3438 | 0.1765 | 148.1 |
| 7 | Colby Lewis | 0.2857 | 0.4828 | 148.1 |
| 8 | Mike Minor | 0.2581 | 0.4800 | 139.6 |
| 9 | Eric Stults | 0.3462 | 0.5313 | 139.1 |
| 10 | Justin Verlander | 0.2188 | 0.3750 | 137.1 |
Save Rate
Everybody Missed for Save Rate
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Héctor Rondón | 0.4531 |
0.0000
(115.5)
|
0.0323
(112.4)
|
0.0000
(114.2)
|
0.0000
(108.6)
|
| Zack Britton | 0.5211 |
0.0000
(148.4)
|
0.0400
(142.8)
|
0.0000
(147.0)
|
0.0000
(140.8)
|
| Francisco Rodríguez | 0.6377 |
0.0909
(146.5)
|
0.1395
(138.8)
|
0.0769
(148.9)
|
0.0000
(163.6)
|
| Jenrry Mejia | 0.4444 |
0.0000
(185.2)
|
0.0370
(178.2)
|
0.0000
(183.1)
|
0.0000
(174.0)
|
| Mark Melancon | 0.4583 |
0.1667
(80.7)
|
0.1633
(87.2)
|
0.0615
(108.5)
|
0.0000
(119.4)
|
Individual Misses for Save Rate
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy Hunter | 0.9677 | 0.1833 | 189.1 |
| 2 | Jim Johnson | 0.6316 | 0.0370 | 156.4 |
| 3 | Trevor Rosenthal | 1.0882 | 0.6250 | 142.8 |
| 4 | Grant Balfour | 0.6724 | 0.1846 | 131.8 |
| 5 | John Axford | 0.5313 | 0.1613 | 90.0 |
| 6 | Jason Grilli | 0.5472 | 0.1935 | 83.2 |
| 7 | Jose Veras | 0.3770 | 0.0217 | 72.2 |
| 8 | Sergio Romo | 0.6667 | 0.3594 | 70.7 |
| 9 | Sean Doolittle | 0.0784 | 0.3607 | 66.5 |
| 10 | Jake Petricka | 0.0002 | 0.2090 | 64.0 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Rosenthal | 0.0435 | 0.6250 | 185.2 |
| 2 | David Robertson | 0.0392 | 0.6190 | 155.3 |
| 3 | Jim Johnson | 0.4902 | 0.0370 | 113.9 |
| 4 | Kenley Jansen | 0.2778 | 0.6471 | 104.3 |
| 5 | Steve Cishek | 0.2745 | 0.5821 | 90.1 |
| 6 | Greg Holland | 0.3673 | 0.7077 | 86.5 |
| 7 | Fernando Rodney | 0.4200 | 0.6957 | 84.5 |
| 8 | Cody Allen | 0.0417 | 0.3158 | 82.0 |
| 9 | Sean Doolittle | 0.0426 | 0.3607 | 79.8 |
| 10 | Tom Wilhelmsen | 0.2889 | 0.0175 | 79.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Johnson | 0.4462 | 0.0370 | 109.0 |
| 2 | Fernando Rodney | 0.3692 | 0.6957 | 91.8 |
| 3 | Sean Doolittle | 0.0182 | 0.3607 | 79.6 |
| 4 | Jason Grilli | 0.5231 | 0.1935 | 78.7 |
| 5 | Jose Veras | 0.3692 | 0.0217 | 71.6 |
| 6 | Santiago Casilla | 0.0308 | 0.3519 | 68.8 |
| 7 | Huston Street | 0.3692 | 0.6721 | 68.2 |
| 8 | Grant Balfour | 0.4308 | 0.1846 | 67.9 |
| 9 | Josh Fields | 0.3538 | 0.0741 | 65.8 |
| 10 | Jake Petricka | 0.0000 | 0.2090 | 62.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Rodney | 0.0000 | 0.6957 | 191.2 |
| 2 | Trevor Rosenthal | 0.0000 | 0.6250 | 184.1 |
| 3 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.0000 | 0.7460 | 175.4 |
| 4 | Kenley Jansen | 0.0000 | 0.6471 | 166.1 |
| 5 | Greg Holland | 0.0000 | 0.7077 | 163.3 |
| 6 | David Robertson | 0.0000 | 0.6190 | 153.3 |
| 7 | Steve Cishek | 0.0000 | 0.5821 | 152.6 |
| 8 | Huston Street | 0.0000 | 0.6721 | 147.7 |
| 9 | Jonathan Papelbon | 0.0000 | 0.5909 | 146.0 |
| 10 | Joe Nathan | 0.0000 | 0.5645 | 139.2 |
Hold Rate
Everybody Missed for Hold Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Ziegler | 0.4265 |
0.1607
(84.9)
|
0.0000
(105.4)
|
0.0000
(105.8)
|
| Wade Davis | 0.4648 |
0.0750
(118.9)
|
0.0000
(115.3)
|
0.0000
(115.8)
|
| Tyler Clippard | 0.5333 |
0.3269
(67.5)
|
0.0000
(133.9)
|
0.0000
(134.4)
|
| Tony Watson | 0.4359 |
0.2500
(67.8)
|
0.0000
(117.2)
|
0.0000
(117.8)
|
| Dellin Betances | 0.3143 |
0.0714
(95.2)
|
0.0000
(89.6)
|
0.0000
(90.2)
|
| Pat Neshek | 0.3521 |
0.0909
(75.9)
|
0.0000
(76.6)
|
0.0000
(77.1)
|
| J.P. Howell | 0.3971 |
0.1224
(61.9)
|
0.0000
(68.8)
|
0.0000
(69.1)
|
| Jeurys Familia | 0.3026 |
0.0588
(90.2)
|
0.0000
(80.9)
|
0.0000
(81.4)
|
| Carlos Martinez | 0.2982 |
0.1364
(76.5)
|
0.0000
(95.2)
|
0.0000
(95.9)
|
| Will Smith | 0.3846 |
0.1600
(74.6)
|
0.0000
(95.3)
|
0.0000
(95.8)
|
| Joba Chamberlain | 0.4203 |
0.1515
(80.2)
|
0.0000
(97.0)
|
0.0000
(97.4)
|
| Adam Warren | 0.3333 |
0.0667
(98.2)
|
0.0000
(91.3)
|
0.0000
(91.9)
|
| Brian Wilson | 0.3607 |
0.1000
(66.2)
|
0.0000
(68.9)
|
0.0000
(69.3)
|
Individual Misses for Hold Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin Morales | 0.1852 | 0.0000 | 96.2 |
| 2 | David Robertson | 0.3922 | 0.0000 | 92.2 |
| 3 | Drew Smyly | 0.2195 | 0.0357 | 91.1 |
| 4 | Tanner Roark | 0.1250 | 0.0000 | 70.8 |
| 5 | Trevor Rosenthal | 0.2826 | 0.0278 | 67.3 |
| 6 | Evan Marshall | 0.0519 | 0.3333 | 66.7 |
| 7 | Zach Putnam | 0.0714 | 0.3265 | 62.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darren O'Day | 0.0000 | 0.3676 | 85.7 |
| 2 | Casey Fien | 0.0000 | 0.3562 | 79.2 |
| 3 | Bryan Shaw | 0.0000 | 0.3000 | 77.8 |
| 4 | Jonathan Broxton | 0.0000 | 0.3710 | 73.8 |
| 5 | Brett Cecil | 0.0000 | 0.3636 | 73.0 |
| 6 | Luke Gregerson | 0.0000 | 0.3056 | 72.1 |
| 7 | Kelvin Herrera | 0.0000 | 0.2857 | 66.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darren O'Day | 0.0000 | 0.3676 | 86.1 |
| 2 | Casey Fien | 0.0000 | 0.3562 | 79.6 |
| 3 | Bryan Shaw | 0.0000 | 0.3000 | 78.3 |
| 4 | Jonathan Broxton | 0.0000 | 0.3710 | 74.2 |
| 5 | Brett Cecil | 0.0000 | 0.3636 | 73.4 |
| 6 | Luke Gregerson | 0.0000 | 0.3056 | 72.6 |
| 7 | Roenis Elías | 0.0519 | 0.0000 | 70.5 |
ERA
Everybody Missed for ERA
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Arrieta | 2.5277 |
4.2832
(1049.1)
|
4.9245
(1464.6)
|
4.2615
(937.4)
|
4.6385
(1162.2)
|
| Dallas Keuchel | 2.9250 |
4.6710
(1372.9)
|
4.8111
(1514.7)
|
4.3291
(967.1)
|
5.0192
(1516.0)
|
| Jim Johnson | 7.0875 |
3.2100
(1032.1)
|
3.2432
(1014.1)
|
3.3964
(1025.2)
|
3.2500
(1066.6)
|
| Justin Masterson | 5.8756 |
3.5700
(1392.7)
|
3.8997
(1176.6)
|
3.8901
(1298.1)
|
3.7788
(1370.4)
|
| Corey Kluber | 2.4441 |
4.0582
(1490.4)
|
4.1147
(1577.7)
|
4.0667
(1346.0)
|
4.0248
(1295.9)
|
| Clay Buchholz | 5.3366 |
3.5376
(1360.4)
|
3.4589
(1392.3)
|
4.2556
(949.4)
|
3.6364
(1413.7)
|
| Edwin Jackson | 6.3341 |
4.1314
(1424.0)
|
4.3531
(1261.3)
|
4.2320
(1461.7)
|
3.9896
(1622.1)
|
| Justin Verlander | 4.5437 |
3.2508
(1196.4)
|
3.1439
(1260.3)
|
3.4566
(1155.7)
|
3.0734
(1507.7)
|
| Garrett Richards | 2.6146 |
4.1675
(1021.1)
|
4.1667
(1044.5)
|
4.4795
(1123.9)
|
4.4676
(1108.5)
|
Individual Misses for ERA
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Young | 5.4249 | 3.6545 | 1185.8 |
| 2 | Johnny Cueto | 3.4788 | 2.2531 | 1132.9 |
| 3 | Jon Lester | 3.7817 | 2.4583 | 1129.7 |
| 4 | A.J. Burnett | 3.5287 | 4.5913 | 1037.3 |
| 5 | Jacob Turner | 4.2089 | 6.1327 | 987.3 |
| 6 | Henderson Alvarez III | 3.9578 | 2.6471 | 975.7 |
| 7 | Félix Hernández | 3.2483 | 2.1356 | 972.1 |
| 8 | Aaron Brooks | 5.2600 | 43.8750 | 927.9 |
| 9 | Carlos Carrasco | 4.3329 | 2.5522 | 917.1 |
| 10 | Wade Davis | 4.3333 | 1.0000 | 916.9 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collin McHugh | 5.4633 | 2.7349 | 1681.7 |
| 2 | Edinson Volquez | 4.8363 | 3.0363 | 1446.9 |
| 3 | Jon Lester | 4.0514 | 2.4583 | 1399.8 |
| 4 | Carlos Carrasco | 4.7832 | 2.5522 | 1174.1 |
| 5 | Henderson Alvarez III | 4.1642 | 2.6471 | 1162.3 |
| 6 | Robbie Ross Jr. | 3.2243 | 6.2043 | 1091.9 |
| 7 | Jacob Turner | 3.9767 | 6.1327 | 1085.9 |
| 8 | Félix Hernández | 3.2815 | 2.1356 | 1034.6 |
| 9 | Travis Wood | 3.7140 | 5.0269 | 1034.4 |
| 10 | Lance Lynn | 3.9019 | 2.7398 | 996.4 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnny Cueto | 3.7401 | 2.2531 | 1229.9 |
| 2 | Jon Lester | 4.0092 | 2.4583 | 1189.3 |
| 3 | Robbie Ross Jr. | 3.3549 | 6.2043 | 1115.6 |
| 4 | Edinson Volquez | 4.5647 | 3.0363 | 1068.9 |
| 5 | A.J. Burnett | 3.6675 | 4.5913 | 1057.4 |
| 6 | Franklin Morales | 3.9476 | 5.3747 | 1055.7 |
| 7 | Chris Young | 5.3804 | 3.6545 | 1044.9 |
| 8 | Aaron Harang | 4.8953 | 3.5677 | 981.5 |
| 9 | Jarred Cosart | 5.1529 | 3.6932 | 959.5 |
| 10 | Aaron Brooks | 4.8987 | 43.8750 | 940.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dellin Betances | 6.2358 | 1.4000 | 1574.7 |
| 2 | Collin McHugh | 5.2500 | 2.7349 | 1421.9 |
| 3 | Carlos Carrasco | 5.0737 | 2.5522 | 1218.5 |
| 4 | Travis Wood | 3.8789 | 5.0269 | 1066.8 |
| 5 | Robbie Ross Jr. | 3.6000 | 6.2043 | 1030.1 |
| 6 | Mike Minor | 3.4051 | 4.7683 | 1007.2 |
| 7 | Chris Young | 5.3321 | 3.6545 | 1004.2 |
| 8 | Jacob Turner | 4.3484 | 6.1327 | 1003.2 |
| 9 | Aaron Harang | 4.9224 | 3.5677 | 995.7 |
| 10 | Edinson Volquez | 4.4809 | 3.0363 | 992.3 |
WHIP
Everybody Missed for WHIP
| Player | Actual | Davenport | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dellin Betances | 0.7778 |
1.3778
(205.6)
|
1.3758
(205.6)
|
1.4383
(215.6)
|
1.9235
(379.7)
|
| Johnny Cueto | 0.9603 |
1.2304
(262.3)
|
1.1713
(207.5)
|
1.2507
(252.0)
|
1.1739
(174.2)
|
| Jake Arrieta | 0.9894 |
1.4061
(257.6)
|
1.3491
(223.9)
|
1.3837
(224.8)
|
1.4603
(269.3)
|
| Jim Johnson | 1.9500 |
1.1500
(209.6)
|
1.2312
(187.7)
|
1.2479
(192.0)
|
1.1806
(210.9)
|
| Justin Masterson | 1.6321 |
1.2571
(220.3)
|
1.2999
(193.7)
|
1.3303
(195.3)
|
1.2903
(221.5)
|
| Justin Verlander | 1.3981 |
1.1980
(176.1)
|
1.1783
(191.8)
|
1.1947
(206.7)
|
1.1352
(263.6)
|
| Carlos Carrasco | 0.9851 |
1.3143
(175.7)
|
1.4406
(243.6)
|
1.3576
(182.2)
|
1.4744
(241.8)
|
| Garrett Richards | 1.0375 |
1.2739
(162.2)
|
1.3721
(230.2)
|
1.4178
(238.7)
|
1.4317
(245.3)
|
| Colby Lewis | 1.5205 |
1.2100
(234.5)
|
1.2139
(229.9)
|
1.3398
(159.2)
|
1.3077
(186.8)
|
Individual Misses for WHIP
Davenport
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeff Samardzija | 1.3716 | 1.0653 | 271.8 |
| 2 | Félix Hernández | 1.1794 | 0.9153 | 243.5 |
| 3 | Jason Hammel | 1.4027 | 1.1229 | 202.1 |
| 4 | Jorge De La Rosa | 1.4823 | 1.2369 | 190.6 |
| 5 | Clayton Kershaw | 1.0991 | 0.8571 | 183.4 |
| 6 | Dallas Keuchel | 1.3822 | 1.1750 | 169.7 |
| 7 | Corey Kluber | 1.2646 | 1.0948 | 164.2 |
| 8 | Julio Teheran | 1.2541 | 1.0814 | 155.1 |
| 9 | Ricky Nolasco | 1.2919 | 1.5157 | 153.5 |
| 10 | Danny Duffy | 1.3599 | 1.1116 | 152.2 |
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collin McHugh | 1.4696 | 1.0216 | 280.5 |
| 2 | Dallas Keuchel | 1.4683 | 1.1750 | 241.0 |
| 3 | Félix Hernández | 1.1743 | 0.9153 | 240.8 |
| 4 | Travis Wood | 1.2210 | 1.5317 | 238.7 |
| 5 | Corey Kluber | 1.3135 | 1.0948 | 212.8 |
| 6 | Jeff Samardzija | 1.3013 | 1.0653 | 211.9 |
| 7 | Edinson Volquez | 1.4824 | 1.2301 | 208.1 |
| 8 | Phil Hughes | 1.3588 | 1.1304 | 199.6 |
| 9 | Jon Lester | 1.3130 | 1.1017 | 191.4 |
| 10 | Franklin Morales | 1.3306 | 1.6230 | 185.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwin Jackson | 1.3214 | 1.6422 | 220.8 |
| 2 | Franklin Morales | 1.3525 | 1.6230 | 192.9 |
| 3 | Félix Hernández | 1.1514 | 0.9153 | 189.8 |
| 4 | Tyler Matzek | 1.7685 | 1.3938 | 174.3 |
| 5 | A.J. Burnett | 1.2517 | 1.4087 | 173.1 |
| 6 | Robbie Ross Jr. | 1.2524 | 1.6979 | 172.9 |
| 7 | Clayton Kershaw | 1.1146 | 0.8571 | 171.8 |
| 8 | Jon Lester | 1.3231 | 1.1017 | 171.0 |
| 9 | Tanner Roark | 1.3335 | 1.0923 | 170.0 |
| 10 | Corey Kluber | 1.2986 | 1.0948 | 167.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collin McHugh | 1.5076 | 1.0216 | 280.8 |
| 2 | Trevor Bauer | 1.8196 | 1.3791 | 270.7 |
| 3 | Travis Wood | 1.2711 | 1.5317 | 228.7 |
| 4 | Edwin Jackson | 1.3299 | 1.6422 | 218.1 |
| 5 | Dallas Keuchel | 1.4679 | 1.1750 | 210.6 |
| 6 | Tyler Matzek | 1.8270 | 1.3938 | 201.7 |
| 7 | Mike Minor | 1.1613 | 1.4381 | 196.9 |
| 8 | Ricky Nolasco | 1.2831 | 1.5157 | 184.2 |
| 9 | Danny Duffy | 1.4468 | 1.1116 | 183.6 |
| 10 | Tanner Roark | 1.3534 | 1.0923 | 182.6 |