2014 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Biggest Plate Appearances (PA) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 1 622 621.0
2 Yangervis Solarte 1 535 534.0
3 Marco Scutaro 526 13 513.0
4 Casey McGehee 233 691 458.0
5 Ender Inciarte 1 447 446.0
6 Prince Fielder 623 178 445.0
7 Matt Wieters 552 112 440.0
8 Danny Santana 1 430 429.0
9 Rougned Odor 1 417 416.0
10 Pete Kozma 440 26 414.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yangervis Solarte 1 535 534.0
2 Charlie Blackmon 177 648 470.9
3 Marco Scutaro 471 13 458.3
4 Prince Fielder 634 178 456.4
5 Ender Inciarte 1 447 446.0
6 Rafael Furcal 475 37 437.9
7 Chris Coghlan 1 432 431.0
8 Rougned Odor 1 417 416.0
9 Shane Victorino 547 133 414.1
10 J.D. Martinez 69 480 410.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Guerrero 665 13 652.0
2 Lane Adams 588 3 585.0
3 Matt Hague 585 2 583.0
4 Gary Brown 573 7 566.0
5 Johnny Giavotella 601 41 560.0
6 Joey Butler 557 6 551.0
7 Carlos Triunfel 564 16 548.0
8 Jemile Weeks 592 45 547.0
9 Maikel Franco 602 58 544.0
10 Jesús Aguilar 580 38 542.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derek Jeter 1 634 633.0
2 Torii Hunter 1 586 585.0
3 Adam LaRoche 1 586 585.0
4 Yangervis Solarte 1 535 534.0
5 Adam Dunn 1 511 510.0
6 Marco Scutaro 513 13 500.0
7 J.D. Martinez 1 480 479.0
8 Prince Fielder 655 178 477.0
9 Shane Victorino 581 133 448.0
10 Matt Wieters 552 112 440.0

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.3153 0.4179 68.4
2 Victor Martinez 0.3480 0.4235 53.1
3 Michael Brantley 0.3221 0.3904 51.1
4 Anthony Rizzo 0.3295 0.4000 48.0
5 J.D. Martinez 0.3049 0.3945 46.5
6 Jose Altuve 0.3092 0.3654 45.0
7 Allen Craig 0.3642 0.2692 44.2
8 Devin Mesoraco 0.2988 0.3896 43.2
9 Josh Harrison 0.2937 0.3645 43.0
10 Corey Dickerson 0.3233 0.4024 41.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Martinez 0.3415 0.4235 58.7
2 Michael Brantley 0.3180 0.3904 55.5
3 J.D. Martinez 0.3055 0.3945 47.3
4 Jose Altuve 0.3133 0.3654 43.6
5 Allen Craig 0.3578 0.2692 39.9
6 Josh Harrison 0.3023 0.3645 39.5
7 Devin Mesoraco 0.3109 0.3896 38.9
8 Danny Santana 0.2807 0.3599 38.2
9 Justin Turner 0.2935 0.3951 35.8
10 Carlos Gómez 0.3232 0.3670 34.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Martinez 0.3383 0.4235 51.8
2 Michael Brantley 0.3195 0.3904 44.9
3 Domonic Brown 0.3615 0.2830 42.5
4 Allen Craig 0.3483 0.2692 42.2
5 J.D. Martinez 0.3042 0.3945 41.2
6 Chris Davis 0.3844 0.3141 39.3
7 Jay Bruce 0.3565 0.2909 38.2
8 Nate Schierholtz 0.3346 0.2459 35.7
9 Jose Altuve 0.3108 0.3654 35.4
10 Danny Santana 0.2740 0.3599 35.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Martinez 0.3483 0.4235 60.0
2 Danny Santana 0.2440 0.3599 57.7
3 Michael Brantley 0.3355 0.3904 49.5
4 Allen Craig 0.3715 0.2692 42.4
5 Anthony Rizzo 0.3505 0.4000 41.8
6 Devin Mesoraco 0.3166 0.3896 40.2
7 Justin Morneau 0.3213 0.3751 39.7
8 Corey Dickerson 0.3400 0.4024 38.6
9 Adam LaRoche 0.3153 0.3615 37.8
10 Steve Pearce 0.3249 0.4047 37.6

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Singleton 0.1985 0.3702 60.1
2 Yangervis Solarte 0.1985 0.1084 51.2
3 Mike Zunino 0.2215 0.3319 49.9
4 Javier Báez 0.1985 0.4148 48.3
5 Jose Altuve 0.1345 0.0750 46.0
6 Marlon Byrd 0.2130 0.2904 45.8
7 Mike Olt 0.2115 0.3876 44.0
8 George Springer 0.1985 0.3304 43.6
9 Ian Desmond 0.2131 0.2824 41.3
10 Marcell Ozuna 0.1966 0.2680 40.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Curtis Granderson 0.2760 0.2156 48.1
2 Mike Trout 0.1867 0.2610 43.0
3 Justin Morneau 0.1720 0.1091 41.9
4 Casey McGehee 0.1917 0.1476 39.6
5 Ian Desmond 0.2115 0.2824 37.4
6 Seth Smith 0.2251 0.1670 37.1
7 Jose Altuve 0.1140 0.0750 37.0
8 Mike Zunino 0.2437 0.3319 35.7
9 Marcell Ozuna 0.2011 0.2680 32.8
10 Miguel Montero 0.2181 0.1732 32.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marlon Byrd 0.1947 0.2904 65.1
2 Mike Trout 0.1863 0.2610 57.2
3 Ian Desmond 0.2163 0.2824 47.0
4 Casey McGehee 0.2209 0.1476 46.2
5 Mike Zunino 0.2525 0.3319 40.9
6 Jason Heyward 0.2175 0.1510 39.0
7 Derek Norris 0.2882 0.1946 38.5
8 Nick Castellanos 0.1820 0.2418 38.4
9 Travis d'Arnaud 0.2411 0.1520 34.8
10 Matt Dominguez 0.1583 0.2059 32.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Dunn 0.1985 0.3112 57.2
2 Casey McGehee 0.2257 0.1476 54.5
3 Jose Altuve 0.1415 0.0750 47.6
4 Justin Morneau 0.1802 0.1091 39.5
5 Derek Jeter 0.1985 0.1372 39.3
6 Ian Desmond 0.2211 0.2824 39.3
7 Curtis Granderson 0.2727 0.2156 37.8
8 Mike Trout 0.2067 0.2610 37.8
9 Mike Zunino 0.2538 0.3319 36.9
10 Marlon Byrd 0.2320 0.2904 36.7

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brian Dozier 0.0725 0.1259 39.9
2 Ian Kinsler 0.0922 0.0399 35.7
3 Matt Carpenter 0.0980 0.1340 27.7
4 Freddie Freeman 0.0966 0.1271 23.7
5 Carlos Santana 0.1385 0.1712 23.6
6 Jonathan Schoop 0.0791 0.0270 23.6
7 Jon Singleton 0.0777 0.1381 23.0
8 Robbie Grossman 0.0795 0.1303 22.7
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1148 0.1473 22.7
10 Rubén Tejada 0.0699 0.1193 22.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brian Dozier 0.0724 0.1259 41.1
2 Ian Kinsler 0.0908 0.0399 33.6
3 Miguel Cabrera 0.1306 0.0876 26.3
4 Yangervis Solarte 0.0548 0.0991 26.1
5 Rubén Tejada 0.0669 0.1193 23.9
6 Matt Carpenter 0.1057 0.1340 23.3
7 Victor Martinez 0.0781 0.1092 22.9
8 David Wright 0.1138 0.0717 22.0
9 Jonathan Lucroy 0.0727 0.1008 21.4
10 Seth Smith 0.0960 0.1324 21.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Kinsler 0.0906 0.0399 39.4
2 Brian Dozier 0.0696 0.1259 37.3
3 Miguel Cabrera 0.1250 0.0876 28.1
4 Brian McCann 0.1034 0.0595 25.6
5 Yangervis Solarte 0.0494 0.0991 24.7
6 Evan Longoria 0.1122 0.0814 24.1
7 David Wright 0.1091 0.0717 24.0
8 Billy Butler 0.1026 0.0680 23.0
9 Jason Castro 0.1076 0.0664 22.9
10 Rubén Tejada 0.0612 0.1193 22.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam LaRoche 0.0777 0.1399 41.1
2 Brian Dozier 0.0762 0.1259 40.7
3 Ian Kinsler 0.0968 0.0399 35.6
4 Adam Dunn 0.0777 0.1389 35.3
5 Victor Martinez 0.0694 0.1092 30.6
6 Josh Willingham 0.0777 0.1456 27.6
7 Matt Carpenter 0.1042 0.1340 26.7
8 Seth Smith 0.0915 0.1324 25.4
9 Rubén Tejada 0.0671 0.1193 25.2
10 Miguel Cabrera 0.1322 0.0876 25.2

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Mesoraco 0.0025 0.0273 10.6
2 Mike Zunino 0.0130 0.0357 10.4
3 Jon Jay 0.0213 0.0427 9.7
4 Brandon Guyer 0.0050 0.0374 9.3
5 Carlos Gómez 0.0148 0.0295 9.0
6 Anthony Rizzo 0.0101 0.0244 8.3
7 Russell Martin 0.0141 0.0326 8.2
8 Yan Gomes 0.0186 0.0058 7.0
9 Matt Holliday 0.0143 0.0255 7.0
10 Jason Castro 0.0042 0.0176 6.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Zunino 0.0110 0.0357 11.5
2 Jon Jay 0.0180 0.0427 11.3
3 Carlos Gómez 0.0130 0.0295 10.2
4 Devin Mesoraco 0.0060 0.0273 9.1
5 Russell Martin 0.0130 0.0326 8.7
6 Anthony Rizzo 0.0100 0.0244 8.5
7 Matt Holliday 0.0130 0.0255 7.9
8 Derek Dietrich 0.0170 0.0546 6.8
9 Charlie Blackmon 0.0100 0.0201 6.1
10 Brandon Guyer 0.0160 0.0374 6.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Jay 0.0211 0.0427 9.9
2 Adam Eaton 0.0267 0.0093 9.6
3 Devin Mesoraco 0.0051 0.0273 9.6
4 Mike Zunino 0.0163 0.0357 9.0
5 Carlos Gómez 0.0163 0.0295 8.2
6 Anthony Rizzo 0.0107 0.0244 8.2
7 Russell Martin 0.0153 0.0326 7.8
8 Matt Holliday 0.0139 0.0255 7.5
9 Grady Sizemore 0.0178 0.0000 6.9
10 Marlon Byrd 0.0228 0.0126 6.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jon Jay 0.0000 0.0427 15.7
2 Carlos Gómez 0.0000 0.0295 13.1
3 Mike Zunino 0.0000 0.0357 12.6
4 Starling Marte 0.0000 0.0312 12.0
5 Matt Holliday 0.0000 0.0255 10.9
6 Russell Martin 0.0000 0.0326 10.8
7 Anthony Rizzo 0.0000 0.0244 9.4
8 Adam LaRoche 0.0092 0.0034 8.7
9 Danny Espinosa 0.0000 0.0330 8.7
10 Derek Dietrich 0.0000 0.0546 8.3

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.0339 0.0839 33.2
2 George Springer 0.0339 0.1093 27.2
3 Victor Martinez 0.0261 0.0610 24.5
4 Devin Mesoraco 0.0372 0.0880 23.9
5 Marcell Ozuna 0.0230 0.0567 22.7
6 Anthony Rizzo 0.0456 0.0777 21.9
7 Mike Trout 0.0583 0.0841 20.6
8 Mike Zunino 0.0381 0.0775 20.3
9 Chris Carter 0.0819 0.1125 19.4
10 J.D. Martinez 0.0352 0.0717 19.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Martinez 0.0284 0.0610 23.7
2 Devin Mesoraco 0.0424 0.0880 22.0
3 Mike Trout 0.0578 0.0841 21.6
4 Lucas Duda 0.0496 0.0783 19.7
5 J.D. Martinez 0.0351 0.0717 19.6
6 Jason Heyward 0.0572 0.0230 19.3
7 Brian Dozier 0.0275 0.0479 17.5
8 Mike Zunino 0.0457 0.0775 17.2
9 Marlon Byrd 0.0388 0.0611 17.0
10 Chris Carter 0.0875 0.1125 16.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Cabrera 0.0814 0.0495 21.5
2 Victor Martinez 0.0280 0.0610 21.4
3 Jason Heyward 0.0556 0.0230 20.8
4 J.D. Martinez 0.0312 0.0717 19.7
5 Domonic Brown 0.0645 0.0259 19.5
6 Devin Mesoraco 0.0461 0.0880 18.7
7 Casey McGehee 0.0348 0.0077 18.4
8 David Wright 0.0500 0.0187 18.0
9 Matt Adams 0.0656 0.0357 16.6
10 Mike Zunino 0.0433 0.0775 16.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Dunn 0.0339 0.0803 28.1
2 Devin Mesoraco 0.0400 0.0880 24.9
3 Adam LaRoche 0.0339 0.0660 23.9
4 Victor Martinez 0.0330 0.0610 23.5
5 Chris Carter 0.0828 0.1125 21.9
6 Casey McGehee 0.0460 0.0077 20.5
7 Mike Trout 0.0644 0.0841 20.0
8 Corey Dickerson 0.0395 0.0708 19.1
9 Matt Adams 0.0780 0.0357 18.9
10 Miguel Cabrera 0.0833 0.0495 17.2

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Casey McGehee 0.2561 0.3346 53.4
2 Chris Davis 0.3313 0.2412 47.9
3 Danny Santana 0.2985 0.4026 44.3
4 Josh Harrison 0.2744 0.3512 41.5
5 J.D. Martinez 0.3029 0.3893 40.9
6 Allen Craig 0.3422 0.2661 39.1
7 Drew Stubbs 0.3098 0.4008 38.1
8 Lorenzo Cain 0.3065 0.3795 36.1
9 David Ortiz 0.3144 0.2563 35.7
10 José Abreu 0.2985 0.3562 35.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.3245 0.2412 45.7
2 José Abreu 0.2796 0.3562 45.3
3 Danny Santana 0.3011 0.4026 42.0
4 J.D. Martinez 0.3012 0.3893 40.4
5 Tyler Flowers 0.2660 0.3532 36.8
6 Justin Turner 0.2871 0.4044 36.5
7 Juan Uribe 0.2734 0.3675 36.5
8 Jose Altuve 0.3044 0.3597 36.4
9 Casey McGehee 0.2783 0.3346 36.3
10 Allen Craig 0.3293 0.2661 33.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.3260 0.2412 45.9
2 Danny Santana 0.3013 0.4026 42.4
3 José Abreu 0.2877 0.3562 41.0
4 J.D. Martinez 0.3129 0.3893 35.4
5 Josh Harrison 0.2845 0.3512 35.2
6 Juan Uribe 0.2780 0.3675 35.1
7 Justin Turner 0.2950 0.4044 34.4
8 Jon Singleton 0.3293 0.2378 34.1
9 Lorenzo Cain 0.3112 0.3795 33.0
10 Stephen Drew 0.2983 0.1937 32.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.D. Martinez 0.3000 0.3893 48.8
2 Danny Santana 0.3043 0.4026 47.6
3 Drew Stubbs 0.3147 0.4008 41.7
4 Lorenzo Cain 0.3151 0.3795 38.5
5 Chris Davis 0.3249 0.2412 37.4
6 Russell Martin 0.2656 0.3333 36.9
7 Chris Coghlan 0.2660 0.3333 34.4
8 Casey McGehee 0.2982 0.3346 33.7
9 Yasiel Puig 0.3137 0.3539 33.7
10 Juan Uribe 0.2971 0.3675 33.4

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Casey McGehee 0.1890 0.2766 58.8
2 Todd Frazier 0.2011 0.2564 34.8
3 Tyler Flowers 0.2000 0.2809 34.6
4 Leonys Martin 0.2226 0.2827 33.6
5 Chris Davis 0.2388 0.1790 32.7
6 Russell Martin 0.1950 0.2660 31.5
7 Adrián González 0.2488 0.2052 30.4
8 Bryce Harper 0.2200 0.2971 29.5
9 Mike Zunino 0.2228 0.1641 29.1
10 Allen Craig 0.2594 0.2047 28.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Casey McGehee 0.2098 0.2766 43.1
2 Todd Frazier 0.1972 0.2564 36.1
3 Tyler Flowers 0.1963 0.2809 35.4
4 Juan Uribe 0.2064 0.2914 32.6
5 Chris Davis 0.2363 0.1790 32.4
6 Bryce Harper 0.2196 0.2971 28.8
7 José Abreu 0.2121 0.2621 28.4
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2087 0.2575 28.3
9 Justin Turner 0.2151 0.3067 28.1
10 Stephen Drew 0.2038 0.1152 27.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Todd Frazier 0.1960 0.2564 37.8
2 Casey McGehee 0.2222 0.2766 35.5
3 Chris Davis 0.2382 0.1790 32.7
4 Leonys Martin 0.2236 0.2827 32.7
5 Bryce Harper 0.2126 0.2971 32.2
6 Jon Singleton 0.2439 0.1585 32.0
7 Juan Uribe 0.2116 0.2914 31.0
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.2063 0.2575 30.7
9 Mike Zunino 0.2233 0.1641 29.6
10 Tyler Flowers 0.2119 0.2809 29.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Todd Frazier 0.2040 0.2564 43.6
2 Casey McGehee 0.2349 0.2766 38.2
3 Leonys Martin 0.2368 0.2827 34.7
4 Lorenzo Cain 0.2344 0.2881 33.8
5 J.D. Martinez 0.2219 0.2785 33.7
6 Chris Davis 0.2542 0.1790 32.4
7 Russell Martin 0.2098 0.2660 32.1
8 Dexter Fowler 0.2239 0.2719 31.1
9 Jon Singleton 0.2574 0.1585 30.8
10 Bryce Harper 0.2335 0.2971 30.5

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Lucroy 0.0591 0.1054 30.8
2 Eduardo Escobar 0.0498 0.1029 25.1
3 Ryan Howard 0.0860 0.0499 22.9
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0907 0.1373 22.7
5 Miguel Cabrera 0.0783 0.1083 21.1
6 Josh Harrison 0.0512 0.0884 20.9
7 Trevor Plouffe 0.0667 0.0995 19.6
8 Leonys Martin 0.0640 0.0309 18.9
9 Matt Carpenter 0.0943 0.0678 18.3
10 Steve Pearce 0.0625 0.1074 17.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Lucroy 0.0562 0.1054 32.8
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0877 0.1373 24.2
3 Eduardo Escobar 0.0543 0.1029 23.1
4 Leonys Martin 0.0667 0.0309 20.4
5 Trevor Plouffe 0.0661 0.0995 20.0
6 Miguel Cabrera 0.0802 0.1083 19.9
7 Mike Trout 0.0731 0.0995 19.3
8 Evan Longoria 0.0823 0.0543 19.0
9 Michael Morse 0.0675 0.1049 18.5
10 Danny Santana 0.0492 0.0891 17.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Lucroy 0.0556 0.1054 32.0
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0883 0.1373 23.0
3 Miguel Cabrera 0.0746 0.1083 22.4
4 Eduardo Escobar 0.0537 0.1029 22.4
5 Leonys Martin 0.0652 0.0309 20.6
6 Todd Frazier 0.0795 0.0508 19.6
7 Ryan Howard 0.0787 0.0499 19.3
8 Danny Santana 0.0437 0.0891 19.1
9 Trevor Plouffe 0.0667 0.0995 18.5
10 Evan Longoria 0.0792 0.0543 18.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Lucroy 0.0544 0.1054 32.5
2 Miguel Cabrera 0.0598 0.1083 32.3
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0739 0.1373 29.7
4 Leonys Martin 0.0748 0.0309 26.4
5 Freddie Freeman 0.0622 0.0962 23.1
6 Matt Carpenter 0.0989 0.0678 23.1
7 Steve Pearce 0.0472 0.1074 22.6
8 Michael Morse 0.0580 0.1049 22.0
9 Chris Iannetta 0.0482 0.1033 20.0
10 DJ LeMahieu 0.0724 0.0374 19.6

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Crawford 0.0079 0.0275 11.3
2 David Peralta 0.0068 0.0342 9.7
3 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.0093 0.0237 9.6
4 Yasiel Puig 0.0072 0.0214 9.3
5 Kevin Kiermaier 0.0070 0.0311 8.9
6 Andre Ethier 0.0028 0.0226 7.7
7 Hunter Pence 0.0095 0.0199 7.7
8 Michael Bourn 0.0157 0.0301 7.2
9 Danny Santana 0.0068 0.0231 7.2
10 Billy Hamilton 0.0067 0.0177 7.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Crawford 0.0068 0.0275 11.4
2 David Peralta 0.0030 0.0342 10.7
3 Yasiel Puig 0.0068 0.0214 9.1
4 Hunter Pence 0.0078 0.0199 8.3
5 Michael Bourn 0.0135 0.0301 7.9
6 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.0118 0.0237 7.5
7 Josh Rutledge 0.0093 0.0306 7.2
8 Adam Eaton 0.0110 0.0246 7.1
9 Andre Ethier 0.0039 0.0226 7.0
10 Alejandro De Aza 0.0093 0.0225 6.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 David Peralta 0.0068 0.0342 10.0
2 Brandon Crawford 0.0113 0.0275 9.9
3 Hunter Pence 0.0085 0.0199 9.0
4 Adam Eaton 0.0103 0.0246 8.4
5 Andre Ethier 0.0027 0.0226 8.1
6 Matt Adams 0.0000 0.0123 7.7
7 Curtis Granderson 0.0181 0.0049 7.7
8 Michael Bourn 0.0158 0.0301 7.7
9 Josh Rutledge 0.0118 0.0306 6.9
10 Alex Rios 0.0083 0.0200 6.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Crawford 0.0052 0.0275 12.6
2 Hunter Pence 0.0044 0.0199 11.0
3 Danny Santana 0.0000 0.0231 10.0
4 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.0099 0.0237 9.1
5 David Peralta 0.0122 0.0342 7.7
6 Andre Ethier 0.0034 0.0226 7.4
7 Adam Eaton 0.0114 0.0246 7.2
8 Alejandro De Aza 0.0090 0.0225 7.2
9 Alex Rios 0.0067 0.0200 7.0
10 Brandon Barnes 0.0000 0.0211 6.6

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Rendon 0.1051 0.1625 42.4
2 Brian Dozier 0.1105 0.1584 37.2
3 Derek Jeter 0.1300 0.0741 32.4
4 Kole Calhoun 0.1199 0.1676 28.2
5 Anthony Rizzo 0.1057 0.1445 26.8
6 Danny Santana 0.1094 0.1628 25.0
7 Curtis Granderson 0.1528 0.1116 23.9
8 Austin Jackson 0.1493 0.1082 23.9
9 David Ortiz 0.1418 0.0980 23.5
10 Allen Craig 0.1318 0.0812 23.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Rendon 0.1092 0.1625 39.5
2 Brian Dozier 0.1087 0.1584 38.3
3 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.0984 0.1415 31.0
4 Danny Santana 0.0965 0.1628 30.5
5 Hunter Pence 0.1138 0.1497 28.7
6 Kole Calhoun 0.1214 0.1676 27.2
7 Derek Jeter 0.1182 0.0741 25.1
8 Josh Harrison 0.0994 0.1400 24.8
9 Christian Yelich 0.1111 0.1424 23.6
10 Michael Brantley 0.1097 0.1391 22.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Rendon 0.1136 0.1625 35.8
2 Brian Dozier 0.1181 0.1584 31.0
3 Kole Calhoun 0.1181 0.1676 28.5
4 Danny Santana 0.1018 0.1628 27.7
5 Derek Jeter 0.1200 0.0741 26.9
6 Victor Martinez 0.1008 0.1357 24.7
7 Troy Tulowitzki 0.1304 0.1893 23.4
8 Corey Dickerson 0.1115 0.1548 22.4
9 Jason Castro 0.1281 0.0840 20.8
10 Brock Holt 0.0994 0.1382 20.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brian Dozier 0.1042 0.1584 41.3
2 Anthony Rendon 0.1151 0.1625 35.2
3 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.0940 0.1415 33.6
4 Denard Span 0.0958 0.1407 32.8
5 Danny Santana 0.1000 0.1628 28.8
6 Christian Yelich 0.1047 0.1424 27.6
7 Kole Calhoun 0.1208 0.1676 27.3
8 Todd Frazier 0.1000 0.1333 24.7
9 Andrelton Simmons 0.1223 0.0764 24.0
10 Anthony Rizzo 0.1096 0.1445 24.0

RBI Rate

Biggest RBI Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.1040 0.1720 44.9
2 Allen Craig 0.1638 0.0911 34.7
3 Devin Mesoraco 0.1072 0.1818 34.6
4 Corey Dickerson 0.0924 0.1590 33.8
5 Justin Upton 0.1134 0.1591 32.0
6 Lucas Duda 0.1111 0.1544 28.2
7 Kyle Seager 0.1081 0.1468 28.0
8 Michael Brantley 0.1065 0.1435 27.8
9 James Jones 0.1040 0.0274 23.8
10 Hunter Pence 0.1412 0.1045 23.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Brantley 0.0983 0.1435 35.1
2 Devin Mesoraco 0.1117 0.1818 33.8
3 Lucas Duda 0.1103 0.1544 30.2
4 Victor Martinez 0.1211 0.1607 29.7
5 Adrián González 0.1395 0.1758 28.4
6 J.D. Martinez 0.1112 0.1583 25.8
7 Justin Upton 0.1267 0.1591 25.1
8 Mike Trout 0.1304 0.1574 23.8
9 Russell Martin 0.1016 0.1457 23.4
10 Ian Kinsler 0.1016 0.1267 23.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Allen Craig 0.1670 0.0911 36.9
2 Mark Teixeira 0.1966 0.1220 36.5
3 José Abreu 0.1208 0.1720 33.6
4 Justin Upton 0.1130 0.1591 31.4
5 Freddie Freeman 0.1557 0.1102 30.3
6 Kyle Seager 0.1077 0.1468 27.4
7 Jason Kipnis 0.1259 0.0739 27.4
8 Mark Reynolds 0.1692 0.1039 27.1
9 Jonathan Lucroy 0.1482 0.1053 26.3
10 Chris Johnson 0.1385 0.0949 24.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Mesoraco 0.1020 0.1818 36.9
2 Michael Brantley 0.0938 0.1435 36.4
3 Ben Zobrist 0.1388 0.0795 36.1
4 Mike Trout 0.1140 0.1574 33.5
5 Adam LaRoche 0.1040 0.1570 33.4
6 Hunter Pence 0.1545 0.1045 32.6
7 Corey Dickerson 0.0954 0.1590 32.3
8 Allen Craig 0.1569 0.0911 31.2
9 Jayson Werth 0.0862 0.1304 30.3
10 Lucas Duda 0.1111 0.1544 28.2

Stolen Base Rate

Biggest Stolen Base Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Jones 0.0629 0.3553 98.2
2 Billy Hamilton 0.2593 0.4088 95.6
3 Jose Altuve 0.1783 0.2679 68.3
4 Jordan Schafer 0.2421 0.4918 61.6
5 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2838 0.3699 60.5
6 Mike Trout 0.1728 0.0879 54.9
7 Danny Santana 0.0629 0.1818 54.1
8 Michael Bourn 0.2000 0.0820 54.1
9 Kolten Wong 0.0926 0.2083 53.1
10 Anthony Rendon 0.0297 0.0983 51.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jose Altuve 0.1728 0.2679 71.7
2 Jordan Schafer 0.2361 0.4918 62.9
3 James Jones 0.1862 0.3553 57.5
4 Lorenzo Cain 0.1091 0.2121 54.9
5 Rougned Odor 0.1810 0.0435 54.7
6 Anthony Rendon 0.0245 0.0983 54.7
7 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2925 0.3699 54.4
8 Ben Revere 0.1945 0.2737 53.5
9 Charlie Blackmon 0.0942 0.1687 52.3
10 Billy Hamilton 0.4972 0.4088 50.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.2000 0.0879 70.1
2 James Jones 0.1574 0.3553 69.0
3 Anthony Rendon 0.0159 0.0983 64.9
4 Jose Altuve 0.1954 0.2679 60.2
5 Carlos Gómez 0.3019 0.2024 55.9
6 Jordan Schafer 0.2727 0.4918 55.6
7 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2993 0.3699 54.2
8 Michael Bourn 0.2048 0.0820 53.7
9 Denard Span 0.1088 0.1685 48.3
10 Lorenzo Cain 0.1316 0.2121 46.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2456 0.3699 80.4
2 Jose Altuve 0.1571 0.2679 77.9
3 Ben Revere 0.1506 0.2737 76.7
4 Jordan Schafer 0.1818 0.4918 74.3
5 James Jones 0.1538 0.3553 65.9
6 Denard Span 0.0704 0.1685 65.1
7 Mike Trout 0.1768 0.0879 63.1
8 Todd Frazier 0.0263 0.1176 59.9
9 Charlie Blackmon 0.0787 0.1687 58.0
10 Anthony Rendon 0.0132 0.0983 57.7

Batting Average

Biggest Batting Average Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jose Altuve 0.2794 0.3409 45.7
2 Casey McGehee 0.2275 0.2873 43.6
3 Allen Craig 0.3015 0.2148 42.2
4 José Abreu 0.2549 0.3165 40.4
5 Chris Davis 0.2739 0.1956 39.5
6 Josh Harrison 0.2520 0.3154 36.6
7 Michael Brantley 0.2769 0.3273 36.2
8 Justin Morneau 0.2574 0.3187 35.5
9 J.D. Martinez 0.2507 0.3152 32.5
10 Jon Singleton 0.2549 0.1677 30.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jose Altuve 0.2809 0.3409 45.4
2 Michael Brantley 0.2725 0.3273 39.9
3 Allen Craig 0.2920 0.2148 36.9
4 Chris Davis 0.2679 0.1956 35.8
5 Casey McGehee 0.2417 0.2873 34.4
6 J.D. Martinez 0.2512 0.3152 32.7
7 José Abreu 0.2686 0.3165 32.4
8 Victor Martinez 0.2895 0.3351 31.9
9 Juan Uribe 0.2370 0.3109 31.5
10 Russell Martin 0.2278 0.2902 30.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.2665 0.1956 39.4
2 Allen Craig 0.2838 0.2148 36.9
3 Jose Altuve 0.2853 0.3409 36.5
4 Michael Brantley 0.2776 0.3273 30.9
5 J.D. Martinez 0.2532 0.3152 27.8
6 Nate Schierholtz 0.2597 0.1955 26.1
7 Juan Uribe 0.2421 0.3109 26.1
8 Josh Harrison 0.2638 0.3154 26.1
9 Danny Santana 0.2540 0.3185 26.0
10 Victor Martinez 0.2909 0.3351 25.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Allen Craig 0.3050 0.2148 39.9
2 Jose Altuve 0.2971 0.3409 38.9
3 Justin Morneau 0.2606 0.3187 38.1
4 Danny Santana 0.2414 0.3185 38.0
5 Chris Davis 0.2737 0.1956 35.1
6 Casey McGehee 0.2489 0.2873 34.3
7 Michael Brantley 0.2888 0.3273 33.7
8 Russell Martin 0.2322 0.2902 31.9
9 Drew Stubbs 0.2300 0.2887 29.6
10 Juan Uribe 0.2500 0.3109 29.1

On-Base Percentage

Biggest On-Base Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Casey McGehee 0.2888 0.3546 48.7
2 José Abreu 0.3181 0.3826 43.1
3 Jose Altuve 0.3219 0.3768 42.2
4 Anthony Rizzo 0.3238 0.3864 41.5
5 Russell Martin 0.3213 0.4017 39.2
6 Michael Brantley 0.3322 0.3846 38.7
7 Victor Martinez 0.3556 0.4087 37.1
8 Allen Craig 0.3566 0.2792 36.7
9 Jonathan Schoop 0.3239 0.2437 36.3
10 Brian Dozier 0.3035 0.3452 32.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Martinez 0.3464 0.4087 44.3
2 Jose Altuve 0.3244 0.3768 41.8
3 Russell Martin 0.3197 0.4017 40.8
4 Michael Brantley 0.3316 0.3846 40.3
5 Casey McGehee 0.3052 0.3546 38.7
6 Carlos Gómez 0.3051 0.3561 37.1
7 Jonathan Lucroy 0.3280 0.3725 33.5
8 Justin Turner 0.3071 0.4037 33.3
9 Brian Dozier 0.3048 0.3452 33.3
10 Allen Craig 0.3487 0.2792 31.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Martinez 0.3411 0.4087 39.1
2 Jose Altuve 0.3230 0.3768 33.4
3 Allen Craig 0.3380 0.2792 33.0
4 Brian McCann 0.3397 0.2862 32.3
5 Ian Kinsler 0.3445 0.3071 32.0
6 Russell Martin 0.3260 0.4017 31.8
7 Michael Brantley 0.3312 0.3846 31.6
8 Jonathan Schoop 0.3006 0.2437 30.6
9 Jay Bruce 0.3293 0.2813 29.8
10 Jason Castro 0.3372 0.2857 29.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Martinez 0.3505 0.4087 44.2
2 Russell Martin 0.3165 0.4017 44.2
3 Danny Santana 0.2667 0.3528 41.7
4 Yasiel Puig 0.3304 0.3824 40.2
5 Anthony Rizzo 0.3333 0.3864 39.3
6 Jose Altuve 0.3346 0.3768 37.5
7 Casey McGehee 0.3129 0.3546 36.3
8 Allen Craig 0.3595 0.2792 35.1
9 Michael Brantley 0.3438 0.3846 34.9
10 Jonathan Lucroy 0.3333 0.3725 32.7

Slugging Percentage

Biggest Slugging Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Abreu 0.3936 0.5809 125.6
2 Victor Martinez 0.4313 0.5651 95.1
3 J.D. Martinez 0.3854 0.5533 87.6
4 Michael Brantley 0.3942 0.5057 85.3
5 Anthony Rizzo 0.4159 0.5267 77.3
6 Devin Mesoraco 0.3781 0.5339 75.0
7 Corey Dickerson 0.4261 0.5665 74.1
8 Allen Craig 0.4740 0.3145 73.1
9 Steve Pearce 0.3865 0.5562 70.6
10 Josh Harrison 0.3780 0.4904 69.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Martinez 0.4272 0.5651 99.7
2 Michael Brantley 0.3847 0.5057 93.8
3 J.D. Martinez 0.3898 0.5533 87.0
4 Josh Harrison 0.3822 0.4904 69.2
5 Allen Craig 0.4664 0.3145 67.7
6 Devin Mesoraco 0.4036 0.5339 65.1
7 Lucas Duda 0.3912 0.4805 63.8
8 Steve Pearce 0.4114 0.5562 62.2
9 Danny Santana 0.3471 0.4716 61.1
10 Jose Altuve 0.3856 0.4530 60.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Martinez 0.4246 0.5651 88.3
2 J.D. Martinez 0.3820 0.5533 80.9
3 Domonic Brown 0.4968 0.3488 77.2
4 Chris Davis 0.5460 0.4044 75.7
5 Michael Brantley 0.3915 0.5057 75.4
6 Allen Craig 0.4541 0.3145 71.9
7 Jay Bruce 0.4854 0.3732 62.6
8 Steve Pearce 0.4041 0.5562 57.2
9 Danny Santana 0.3375 0.4716 56.5
10 Nate Schierholtz 0.4530 0.3088 56.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Victor Martinez 0.4340 0.5651 102.7
2 Danny Santana 0.2759 0.4716 96.7
3 Michael Brantley 0.4100 0.5057 84.5
4 Steve Pearce 0.3916 0.5562 74.2
5 Devin Mesoraco 0.4005 0.5339 71.5
6 Justin Morneau 0.3958 0.4960 71.2
7 Allen Craig 0.4832 0.3145 70.4
8 Drew Stubbs 0.3463 0.4820 69.9
9 Anthony Rendon 0.4055 0.4731 66.1
10 Corey Dickerson 0.4613 0.5665 64.3

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Biggest Batters Faced (BF) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Roenis Elías 1 693 692.0
2 Derek Holland 776 145 631.0
3 Matt Moore 666 44 622.0
4 Nick Martinez 1 610 609.0
5 Lucas Harrell 646 66 580.0
6 Scott Carroll 1 573 572.0
7 Jacob deGrom 1 565 564.0
8 CC Sabathia 773 209 564.0
9 Masahiro Tanaka 1 542 541.0
10 Tanner Roark 264 798 534.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Harang 42 876 834.0
2 Matt Moore 739 44 695.0
3 Hector Noesí 43 733 690.0
4 Roenis Elías 4 693 689.0
5 Iván Nova 739 96 643.0
6 Colby Lewis 124 762 638.0
7 Erik Johnson 718 109 609.0
8 Nick Martinez 5 610 605.0
9 Edinson Volquez 210 809 599.0
10 José Fernández 803 205 598.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Moore 739 44 694.9
2 Roenis Elías 1 693 692.0
3 Derek Holland 830 145 684.9
4 Brian Flynn 702 35 667.1
5 Blake Beavan 682 16 665.9
6 Chris Rusin 696 58 638.1
7 CC Sabathia 843 209 633.9
8 Iván Nova 726 96 630.0
9 Nick Martinez 1 610 609.0
10 Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez 637 29 607.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hiroki Kuroda 1 820 819.0
2 Matt Moore 779 44 735.0
3 Hector Noesí 1 733 732.0
4 CC Sabathia 932 209 722.9
5 Roenis Elías 1 693 692.0
6 Aaron Harang 209 876 667.0
7 Iván Nova 750 96 653.9
8 Tyler Chatwood 726 101 624.9
9 Collin McHugh 1 619 618.0
10 Mike Pelfrey 736 119 617.1

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Collin McHugh 0.3590 0.2622 56.8
2 Jake Arrieta 0.3270 0.2417 49.4
3 Garrett Richards 0.3214 0.2442 49.0
4 Carlos Carrasco 0.3371 0.2444 46.4
5 Ricky Nolasco 0.3179 0.3738 42.3
6 Justin Verlander 0.2895 0.3318 42.1
7 Corey Kluber 0.3263 0.2771 42.1
8 Dellin Betances 0.3271 0.2043 40.2
9 Dallas Keuchel 0.3443 0.2907 39.3
10 Colby Lewis 0.3198 0.3657 38.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Richards 0.3056 0.2442 51.3
2 Jake Arrieta 0.3003 0.2417 44.8
3 Johnny Cueto 0.2894 0.2585 43.4
4 Edwin Jackson 0.2955 0.3771 42.6
5 Dellin Betances 0.3052 0.2043 39.3
6 Carlos Carrasco 0.3031 0.2444 38.6
7 Franklin Morales 0.3028 0.3730 36.1
8 Félix Hernández 0.2684 0.2437 35.6
9 A.J. Burnett 0.2774 0.3297 35.5
10 Roenis Elías 0.3552 0.3184 35.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dellin Betances 0.3572 0.2043 55.9
2 Justin Verlander 0.2596 0.3318 54.5
3 Edwin Jackson 0.2891 0.3771 48.6
4 Jake Arrieta 0.3087 0.2417 48.0
5 Ricky Nolasco 0.2939 0.3738 47.8
6 Garrett Richards 0.3013 0.2442 46.2
7 Collin McHugh 0.3242 0.2622 45.2
8 Carlos Carrasco 0.3170 0.2444 44.3
9 Justin Masterson 0.2804 0.3641 43.0
10 Mike Minor 0.2712 0.3489 42.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hiroki Kuroda 0.3096 0.2935 183.9
2 Hector Noesí 0.3096 0.3385 131.4
3 Josh Beckett 0.3096 0.3103 98.5
4 Daisuke Matsuzaka 0.3096 0.3118 73.9
5 Brandon League 0.3096 0.3068 57.6
6 Jake Arrieta 0.1203 0.2417 53.2
7 Ricky Nolasco 0.0918 0.3738 51.4
8 Paul Maholm 0.3096 0.3585 49.5
9 Dellin Betances 0.1312 0.2043 46.0
10 Clayton Kershaw 0.0799 0.2310 42.7

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.2096 0.2829 64.7
2 Dellin Betances 0.2109 0.3959 61.3
3 Justin Verlander 0.2354 0.1781 55.9
4 Scott Carroll 0.2036 0.1117 55.7
5 Wade Davis 0.1936 0.3907 53.5
6 Johnny Cueto 0.1922 0.2518 52.3
7 Clayton Kershaw 0.2463 0.3191 50.6
8 Nick Martinez 0.2036 0.1262 50.4
9 Brad Boxberger 0.2143 0.4211 49.8
10 Nick Tepesch 0.1907 0.1043 49.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.1985 0.2829 73.7
2 Shelby Miller 0.2300 0.1662 54.0
3 Garrett Richards 0.1564 0.2419 53.2
4 Johnny Cueto 0.1897 0.2518 53.0
5 Dellin Betances 0.2342 0.3959 52.8
6 Wade Davis 0.2065 0.3907 49.5
7 David Price 0.2149 0.2686 47.1
8 Clayton Kershaw 0.2494 0.3191 47.0
9 Justin Verlander 0.2234 0.1781 46.7
10 Brandon McCarthy 0.1477 0.2093 45.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.2500 0.1781 81.2
2 Dellin Betances 0.1801 0.3959 67.1
3 Shelby Miller 0.2317 0.1662 64.5
4 Scott Carroll 0.2036 0.1117 63.5
5 Nick Martinez 0.2036 0.1262 58.8
6 Josh Collmenter 0.2195 0.1599 56.5
7 Johnny Cueto 0.1771 0.2518 53.6
8 Jacob deGrom 0.1441 0.2549 51.8
9 Wade Davis 0.1867 0.3907 51.6
10 Collin McHugh 0.1559 0.2536 48.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.2068 0.2829 66.8
2 Johnny Cueto 0.1797 0.2518 63.7
3 Justin Verlander 0.2375 0.1781 58.3
4 Clayton Kershaw 0.2385 0.3191 56.0
5 Wade Davis 0.1864 0.3907 55.3
6 Dellin Betances 0.2335 0.3959 53.4
7 Jake Arrieta 0.1830 0.2720 51.0
8 Garrett Richards 0.1610 0.2419 50.9
9 Shelby Miller 0.2198 0.1662 45.4
10 Andrew Miller 0.2324 0.4256 45.3

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Phil Hughes 0.0671 0.0187 39.4
2 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0878 0.0504 30.0
3 Jeff Samardzija 0.0846 0.0489 29.4
4 Roberto Hernandez 0.0670 0.1011 26.2
5 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.0637 0.0296 22.6
6 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.1011 0.1392 22.3
7 A.J. Burnett 0.0814 0.1027 22.0
8 John Danks 0.0646 0.0865 20.7
9 Trevor Rosenthal 0.0717 0.1364 20.6
10 Stephen Strasburg 0.0748 0.0495 20.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Phil Hughes 0.0641 0.0187 37.3
2 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0924 0.0504 34.4
3 Jeff Samardzija 0.0848 0.0489 30.0
4 Roberto Hernandez 0.0644 0.1011 27.7
5 Tyler Matzek 0.1439 0.0875 27.5
6 Trevor Bauer 0.1285 0.0905 24.1
7 TJ House 0.1071 0.0513 23.2
8 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0993 0.1392 23.1
9 Wily Peralta 0.0996 0.0728 21.0
10 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.0596 0.0296 20.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Bauer 0.1583 0.0905 39.6
2 Roberto Hernandez 0.0608 0.1011 34.9
3 Dellin Betances 0.1739 0.0704 32.6
4 Phil Hughes 0.0628 0.0187 30.8
5 Francisco Liriano 0.0866 0.1172 26.7
6 Jake Peavy 0.0511 0.0739 26.3
7 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.1001 0.1392 26.1
8 Wade Miley 0.0659 0.0866 24.9
9 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0873 0.0504 24.7
10 Rubby De La Rosa 0.1428 0.0794 24.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0840 0.0504 32.4
2 Roberto Hernandez 0.0539 0.1011 31.0
3 Hiroki Kuroda 0.0762 0.0427 31.0
4 Phil Hughes 0.0500 0.0187 30.4
5 Jeff Samardzija 0.0788 0.0489 30.0
6 Stephen Strasburg 0.0792 0.0495 29.5
7 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0863 0.1392 26.9
8 C.J. Wilson 0.0740 0.1117 25.5
9 John Danks 0.0527 0.0865 25.3
10 Tim Hudson 0.0673 0.0431 22.4

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Lackey 0.0109 0.0012 8.8
2 Julio Teheran 0.0136 0.0045 8.7
3 Kyle Gibson 0.0132 0.0026 8.6
4 Ian Kennedy 0.0136 0.0047 8.2
5 Edinson Volquez 0.0070 0.0173 7.7
6 Héctor Santiago 0.0189 0.0055 7.7
7 Bud Norris 0.0085 0.0204 7.6
8 Aaron Harang 0.0079 0.0011 6.6
9 Scott Carroll 0.0090 0.0209 6.4
10 Mike Leake 0.0068 0.0144 6.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Lackey 0.0115 0.0012 9.0
2 Julio Teheran 0.0135 0.0045 8.4
3 Charlie Morton 0.0156 0.0285 8.2
4 Bud Norris 0.0080 0.0204 8.1
5 Scott Carroll 0.0064 0.0209 8.1
6 Edinson Volquez 0.0080 0.0173 7.1
7 Ian Kennedy 0.0122 0.0047 6.7
8 Justin Masterson 0.0139 0.0253 6.5
9 A.J. Burnett 0.0102 0.0171 6.0
10 Shelby Miller 0.0099 0.0026 5.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edinson Volquez 0.0068 0.0173 9.8
2 Bud Norris 0.0079 0.0204 9.6
3 Kyle Gibson 0.0156 0.0026 8.6
4 Mike Leake 0.0065 0.0144 8.5
5 Scott Carroll 0.0090 0.0209 7.7
6 A.J. Burnett 0.0107 0.0171 7.5
7 Julio Teheran 0.0143 0.0045 7.2
8 Héctor Santiago 0.0202 0.0055 7.2
9 Jeremy Guthrie 0.0095 0.0162 7.1
10 John Lackey 0.0112 0.0012 7.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0000 0.0285 13.0
2 Hector Noesí 0.0090 0.0027 11.2
3 Justin Masterson 0.0000 0.0253 9.7
4 Bud Norris 0.0000 0.0204 7.8
5 Hiroki Kuroda 0.0090 0.0085 7.7
6 A.J. Burnett 0.0000 0.0171 7.6
7 Aaron Harang 0.0000 0.0011 6.9
8 Scott Carroll 0.0000 0.0209 6.9
9 Edinson Volquez 0.0000 0.0173 6.7
10 John Lackey 0.0000 0.0012 6.5

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Arrieta 0.0440 0.0124 17.3
2 Phil Hughes 0.0478 0.0247 16.9
3 Marco Estrada 0.0437 0.0644 15.0
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.0396 0.0181 14.6
5 Eric Stults 0.0278 0.0431 14.2
6 Vidal Nuño 0.0343 0.0502 13.1
7 J.J. Hoover 0.0343 0.0774 12.8
8 Ervin Santana 0.0468 0.0280 12.6
9 Jose Quintana 0.0350 0.0167 12.4
10 Brandon McCarthy 0.0287 0.0400 12.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Harang 0.0485 0.0233 17.8
2 Jose Quintana 0.0422 0.0167 17.1
3 Phil Hughes 0.0491 0.0247 16.7
4 Francisco Rodríguez 0.0372 0.0795 12.7
5 Mark Buehrle 0.0411 0.0218 12.4
6 Chris Tillman 0.0508 0.0323 11.9
7 Jake Arrieta 0.0365 0.0124 11.8
8 Marco Estrada 0.0507 0.0644 11.6
9 Stephen Strasburg 0.0317 0.0398 11.2
10 Brett Oberholtzer 0.0467 0.0241 11.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Stroman 0.0583 0.0179 19.4
2 Eric Stults 0.0241 0.0431 17.7
3 Brett Oberholtzer 0.0537 0.0241 15.9
4 Marco Estrada 0.0442 0.0644 15.2
5 Aaron Harang 0.0446 0.0233 15.0
6 Jake Arrieta 0.0387 0.0124 13.6
7 Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0429 0.0174 13.5
8 Phil Hughes 0.0436 0.0247 12.6
9 Johnny Cueto 0.0255 0.0344 12.6
10 Jason Vargas 0.0509 0.0309 12.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marco Estrada 0.0379 0.0644 17.5
2 Hector Noesí 0.0320 0.0507 14.8
3 Jake Arrieta 0.0369 0.0124 14.2
4 Phil Hughes 0.0421 0.0247 13.7
5 Dallas Keuchel 0.0364 0.0181 13.6
6 Eric Stults 0.0270 0.0431 13.3
7 Jose Quintana 0.0338 0.0167 13.0
8 Francisco Rodríguez 0.0324 0.0795 13.0
9 J.J. Hoover 0.0316 0.0774 13.0
10 Garrett Richards 0.0304 0.0110 12.2

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Félix Hernández 0.3066 0.2580 47.0
2 Travis Wood 0.2625 0.3195 42.3
3 Colby Lewis 0.2814 0.3394 42.0
4 Danny Duffy 0.3045 0.2388 41.6
5 Ervin Santana 0.2665 0.3189 40.5
6 Johnny Cueto 0.2774 0.2382 40.4
7 Collin McHugh 0.3198 0.2587 39.6
8 Edinson Volquez 0.3061 0.2628 37.3
9 Adam Wainwright 0.3051 0.2669 36.9
10 Jacob Turner 0.2824 0.3542 34.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Johnny Cueto 0.2895 0.2382 53.6
2 Félix Hernández 0.2952 0.2580 38.0
3 Colby Lewis 0.2886 0.3394 35.3
4 Edwin Jackson 0.2945 0.3521 33.6
5 Edinson Volquez 0.2972 0.2628 31.5
6 Roenis Elías 0.3350 0.2941 31.4
7 Chris Young 0.2776 0.2383 30.1
8 Jorge De La Rosa 0.2978 0.2632 30.0
9 David Buchanan 0.3389 0.2842 29.7
10 Ricky Nolasco 0.3044 0.3515 29.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Félix Hernández 0.2936 0.2580 40.5
2 Johnny Cueto 0.2708 0.2382 39.8
3 Danny Duffy 0.2941 0.2388 38.9
4 Colby Lewis 0.2809 0.3394 37.9
5 Travis Wood 0.2673 0.3195 33.9
6 Jacob Turner 0.2780 0.3542 33.7
7 Collin McHugh 0.3025 0.2587 32.6
8 Chris Young 0.2750 0.2383 31.3
9 Jorge De La Rosa 0.2951 0.2632 31.3
10 Edinson Volquez 0.2918 0.2628 30.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Félix Hernández 0.3050 0.2580 51.3
2 Johnny Cueto 0.2799 0.2382 48.9
3 Chris Young 0.2869 0.2383 39.8
4 Danny Duffy 0.2940 0.2388 39.1
5 Jorge De La Rosa 0.3010 0.2632 36.1
6 R.A. Dickey 0.2912 0.2632 34.1
7 Jacob Turner 0.2789 0.3542 33.1
8 Colby Lewis 0.2870 0.3394 32.9
9 Trevor Cahill 0.2755 0.3497 32.4
10 Tom Wilhelmsen 0.2909 0.2040 30.5

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Félix Hernández 0.2422 0.1993 41.9
2 Johnny Cueto 0.2165 0.1799 38.1
3 Travis Wood 0.1853 0.2368 37.8
4 Chris Young 0.2010 0.1548 33.9
5 Colby Lewis 0.2060 0.2500 31.1
6 Aaron Harang 0.2090 0.2468 30.4
7 R.A. Dickey 0.2078 0.1786 29.5
8 Jacob Turner 0.2112 0.2708 28.3
9 Mike Minor 0.1996 0.2466 28.0
10 Roberto Hernandez 0.2253 0.1899 27.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Johnny Cueto 0.2895 0.1799 41.5
2 Chris Young 0.2776 0.1548 38.8
3 R.A. Dickey 0.2867 0.1786 38.1
4 Roenis Elías 0.3350 0.2179 35.1
5 Shane Greene 0.2509 0.2805 33.1
6 Roberto Hernandez 0.2971 0.1899 29.4
7 Jorge De La Rosa 0.2978 0.1936 29.0
8 Félix Hernández 0.2952 0.1993 26.8
9 Odrisamer Despaigne 0.2243 0.2196 25.0
10 David Buchanan 0.3389 0.2237 24.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Young 0.2750 0.1548 40.0
2 Scott Carroll 0.2243 0.2301 38.9
3 Roenis Elías 0.2243 0.2179 38.6
4 Chase Whitley 0.2243 0.2731 36.6
5 David Buchanan 0.2243 0.2237 30.9
6 Jorge De La Rosa 0.2951 0.1936 30.2
7 Félix Hernández 0.2936 0.1993 29.3
8 Danny Duffy 0.2941 0.1844 28.9
9 R.A. Dickey 0.2722 0.1786 28.8
10 Johnny Cueto 0.2708 0.1799 27.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hiroki Kuroda 0.2243 0.2157 190.9
2 Hector Noesí 0.2243 0.2347 156.7
3 Josh Beckett 0.2243 0.1726 131.0
4 Daisuke Matsuzaka 0.2243 0.1507 106.9
5 Paul Maholm 0.2243 0.2437 63.7
6 Brandon League 0.2243 0.2647 50.2
7 Chris Young 0.0000 0.1548 47.8
8 Brian Wilson 0.2243 0.2443 45.5
9 Scott Downs 0.2243 0.1780 44.6
10 Juan Carlos Oviedo 0.2243 0.1413 43.0

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Collin McHugh 0.0761 0.0398 22.4
2 Stephen Strasburg 0.0499 0.0721 19.4
3 Hector Noesí 0.0729 0.0477 18.3
4 Jeremy Guthrie 0.0662 0.0459 17.4
5 A.J. Burnett 0.0649 0.0832 17.3
6 Drew Hutchison 0.0700 0.0918 17.3
7 Ryan Vogelsong 0.0627 0.0846 17.2
8 Max Scherzer 0.0685 0.0867 16.7
9 Edwin Jackson 0.0775 0.1033 16.4
10 Justin Verlander 0.0608 0.0789 16.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Odrisamer Despaigne 0.0642 0.0439 34.1
2 Edwin Jackson 0.0000 0.1033 24.7
3 Drew Hutchison 0.0000 0.0918 21.7
4 Max Scherzer 0.0000 0.0867 20.4
5 Doug Fister 0.0000 0.0350 19.4
6 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0435 18.6
7 A.J. Burnett 0.0000 0.0832 17.8
8 Yovani Gallardo 0.0000 0.0439 16.6
9 Mark Buehrle 0.0000 0.0832 16.3
10 Ryan Vogelsong 0.0000 0.0846 15.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Roenis Elías 0.0642 0.0741 37.6
2 Scott Carroll 0.0642 0.0638 37.0
3 David Buchanan 0.0642 0.0553 36.8
4 Odrisamer Despaigne 0.0642 0.0439 34.1
5 Nick Martinez 0.0642 0.0766 31.6
6 Edwin Jackson 0.0000 0.1033 24.7
7 Drew Hutchison 0.0000 0.0918 21.7
8 Dominic Leone 0.0642 0.0529 20.5
9 Max Scherzer 0.0000 0.0867 20.4
10 Chase Whitley 0.0642 0.0672 20.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hector Noesí 0.0642 0.0477 59.1
2 Hiroki Kuroda 0.0642 0.0588 57.0
3 Edwin Jackson 0.0000 0.1033 24.7
4 Drew Hutchison 0.0000 0.0918 21.7
5 Paul Maholm 0.0642 0.0588 21.6
6 Josh Beckett 0.0642 0.0847 20.8
7 Max Scherzer 0.0000 0.0867 20.4
8 Brandon League 0.0642 0.0539 20.3
9 Doug Fister 0.0000 0.0350 19.4
10 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.0435 18.6

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Lincecum 0.0081 0.0243 10.9
2 Rick Porcello 0.0038 0.0154 9.8
3 Tim Hudson 0.0071 0.0179 8.6
4 Justin Masterson 0.0040 0.0184 8.6
5 Gio González 0.0041 0.0166 8.2
6 Grant Balfour 0.0060 0.0357 8.0
7 Juan Gutierrez 0.0065 0.0352 7.7
8 Justin Verlander 0.0057 0.0139 7.4
9 Mike Bolsinger 0.0067 0.0361 7.0
10 Edinson Volquez 0.0105 0.0018 7.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Lincecum 0.0000 0.0243 11.9
2 Tim Hudson 0.0000 0.0179 8.9
3 Grant Balfour 0.0000 0.0357 7.8
4 Juan Gutierrez 0.0000 0.0352 7.6
5 Rick Porcello 0.0000 0.0154 7.3
6 Mike Bolsinger 0.0000 0.0361 7.0
7 Justin Masterson 0.0000 0.0184 6.9
8 Gio González 0.0000 0.0166 6.4
9 Justin Verlander 0.0000 0.0139 6.4
10 Chase Anderson 0.0000 0.0186 5.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Lincecum 0.0000 0.0243 11.9
2 Tim Hudson 0.0000 0.0179 8.9
3 Grant Balfour 0.0000 0.0357 7.8
4 Roenis Elías 0.0067 0.0022 7.8
5 Juan Gutierrez 0.0000 0.0352 7.6
6 Rick Porcello 0.0000 0.0154 7.3
7 Justin Masterson 0.0000 0.0184 6.9
8 Gio González 0.0000 0.0166 6.4
9 Justin Verlander 0.0000 0.0139 6.4
10 Chase Anderson 0.0000 0.0186 5.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Lincecum 0.0000 0.0243 11.9
2 Tim Hudson 0.0000 0.0179 8.9
3 Grant Balfour 0.0000 0.0357 7.8
4 Juan Gutierrez 0.0000 0.0352 7.6
5 Rick Porcello 0.0000 0.0154 7.3
6 Mike Bolsinger 0.0000 0.0361 7.0
7 Hiroki Kuroda 0.0067 0.0049 7.0
8 Justin Masterson 0.0000 0.0184 6.9
9 Gio González 0.0000 0.0166 6.4
10 Justin Verlander 0.0000 0.0139 6.4

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.1186 0.0757 38.5
2 Collin McHugh 0.1491 0.0856 37.8
3 Clay Buchholz 0.1005 0.1465 35.7
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.1336 0.0879 35.0
5 Jake Arrieta 0.1338 0.0749 34.7
6 Justin Verlander 0.0949 0.1277 31.4
7 Robbie Ross Jr. 0.0959 0.1781 30.9
8 Travis Wood 0.1043 0.1408 30.4
9 Garrett Richards 0.1213 0.0752 29.6
10 Edwin Jackson 0.1236 0.1659 28.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.1154 0.0757 33.8
2 Edwin Jackson 0.1194 0.1659 32.0
3 Johnny Cueto 0.1079 0.0718 30.7
4 Garrett Richards 0.1246 0.0752 30.7
5 Robbie Ross Jr. 0.0982 0.1781 30.7
6 Justin Verlander 0.1007 0.1277 27.8
7 Justin Masterson 0.1107 0.1520 26.9
8 A.J. Burnett 0.1061 0.1305 26.6
9 Tanner Roark 0.1174 0.0802 26.4
10 Aaron Harang 0.1325 0.1005 24.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 0.0878 0.1277 41.6
2 Edwin Jackson 0.1086 0.1659 40.5
3 Clay Buchholz 0.1009 0.1465 38.6
4 Dellin Betances 0.1490 0.0440 33.5
5 Justin Masterson 0.1033 0.1520 32.8
6 Travis Wood 0.1075 0.1408 31.3
7 Robbie Ross Jr. 0.0993 0.1781 31.2
8 Dallas Keuchel 0.1323 0.0879 30.4
9 A.J. Burnett 0.1068 0.1305 28.4
10 Corey Kluber 0.1118 0.0757 27.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Scott Carroll 0.0000 0.1414 81.1
2 Roenis Elías 0.0000 0.1111 77.2
3 Nick Tepesch 0.0000 0.1229 66.1
4 Marcus Stroman 0.0000 0.1049 56.1
5 Chase Anderson 0.0000 0.1152 56.1
6 David Buchanan 0.0000 0.1093 55.1
7 Collin McHugh 0.0000 0.0856 53.1
8 Tyler Matzek 0.0000 0.1054 53.1
9 Rubby De La Rosa 0.0000 0.1156 51.1
10 Scott Baker 0.0000 0.1476 49.1

Earned Run Rate

Biggest Earned Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Collin McHugh 0.1382 0.0759 36.9
2 Corey Kluber 0.1082 0.0673 36.4
3 Clay Buchholz 0.0932 0.1370 34.3
4 Jake Arrieta 0.1272 0.0717 32.4
5 Jon Lester 0.1062 0.0678 31.6
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.1221 0.0804 31.5
7 Edinson Volquez 0.1212 0.0803 30.8
8 Justin Verlander 0.0848 0.1165 30.7
9 Edwin Jackson 0.1124 0.1564 29.6
10 Henderson Alvarez III 0.1101 0.0712 27.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.1061 0.0673 33.1
2 Edwin Jackson 0.1098 0.1564 32.0
3 Johnny Cueto 0.0982 0.0635 29.5
4 Jon Lester 0.1042 0.0678 28.6
5 Justin Masterson 0.1007 0.1419 26.8
6 Garrett Richards 0.1144 0.0723 25.8
7 Edinson Volquez 0.1158 0.0803 25.4
8 Justin Verlander 0.0923 0.1165 25.2
9 Aaron Harang 0.1242 0.0925 24.2
10 Clay Buchholz 0.1096 0.1370 23.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edwin Jackson 0.1020 0.1564 39.6
2 Clay Buchholz 0.0937 0.1370 38.0
3 Justin Verlander 0.0822 0.1165 37.8
4 Justin Masterson 0.0963 0.1419 31.8
5 Dellin Betances 0.1387 0.0411 30.5
6 Dallas Keuchel 0.1238 0.0804 28.4
7 Corey Kluber 0.1045 0.0673 27.6
8 Jacob Turner 0.1077 0.1537 27.1
9 Collin McHugh 0.1277 0.0759 27.0
10 C.J. Wilson 0.0900 0.1156 25.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.1057 0.0673 36.8
2 Edwin Jackson 0.1041 0.1564 32.9
3 Clay Buchholz 0.0930 0.1370 32.3
4 Dallas Keuchel 0.1184 0.0804 30.9
5 Justin Masterson 0.0932 0.1419 28.7
6 Jon Lester 0.0987 0.0678 27.6
7 Johnny Cueto 0.0914 0.0635 27.1
8 Justin Verlander 0.0860 0.1165 26.9
9 Chris Young 0.1360 0.0974 26.8
10 Garrett Richards 0.1083 0.0723 24.6

Win Rate

Biggest Win Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Clayton Kershaw 0.3590 0.7778 263.5
2 Alfredo Simon 0.1000 0.4688 246.9
3 Matt Shoemaker 0.1111 0.5926 225.1
4 Yordano Ventura 0.1071 0.4516 217.0
5 Corey Kluber 0.2432 0.5294 208.5
6 Johnny Cueto 0.3077 0.5882 205.3
7 Wily Peralta 0.2195 0.5313 205.1
8 Garrett Richards 0.1333 0.5000 203.2
9 Tyson Ross 0.1053 0.4194 200.4
10 Adam Wainwright 0.3415 0.6250 194.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alfredo Simon 0.1004 0.4688 312.6
2 Roenis Elías 0.0000 0.3448 248.5
3 Collin McHugh 0.0539 0.4400 247.5
4 Clayton Kershaw 0.4649 0.7778 244.7
5 Johnny Cueto 0.3778 0.5882 215.5
6 Chase Anderson 0.0000 0.4286 215.0
7 Jacob deGrom 0.0548 0.4091 208.0
8 Josh Collmenter 0.0623 0.3333 204.8
9 Tanner Roark 0.2561 0.4839 192.8
10 Wily Peralta 0.3175 0.5313 190.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alfredo Simon 0.0784 0.4688 311.5
2 Garrett Richards 0.1750 0.5000 213.9
3 Francisco Liriano 0.5000 0.2414 185.3
4 Jake Peavy 0.4167 0.2188 176.7
5 Clayton Kershaw 0.5455 0.7778 166.9
6 Josh Collmenter 0.0926 0.3333 166.2
7 Kyle Gibson 0.1905 0.4194 166.1
8 Phil Hughes 0.2963 0.5000 166.0
9 Corey Kluber 0.3462 0.5294 165.2
10 Trevor Cahill 0.4000 0.0938 157.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Collin McHugh 0.0004 0.4400 287.9
2 Roenis Elías 0.0005 0.3448 256.4
3 Alfredo Simon 0.1818 0.4688 255.6
4 Marcus Stroman 0.0005 0.4231 239.3
5 Johnny Cueto 0.3704 0.5882 233.9
6 Matt Shoemaker 0.1875 0.5926 233.8
7 Chase Anderson 0.0004 0.4286 220.5
8 Vance Worley 0.0005 0.4444 215.0
9 Phil Hughes 0.2857 0.5000 205.1
10 Corey Kluber 0.3448 0.5294 199.8

Loss Rate

Biggest Loss Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Burnett 0.2432 0.5294 202.9
2 Eric Stults 0.2250 0.5313 180.9
3 Brett Oberholtzer 0.2000 0.5417 169.8
4 Jake Odorizzi 0.1200 0.4194 165.5
5 Colby Lewis 0.2105 0.4828 154.8
6 Drew Smyly 0.0488 0.3571 147.8
7 Jimmy Nelson 0.1176 0.6429 141.8
8 Drew Hutchison 0.1600 0.4063 139.2
9 Julio Teheran 0.1750 0.3939 132.4
10 Jarred Cosart 0.1290 0.3667 129.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Roenis Elías 0.0000 0.4138 300.1
2 Tyler Matzek 0.0000 0.5500 286.3
3 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.4138 264.1
4 Hector Noesí 0.0438 0.3636 248.5
5 Scott Carroll 0.0000 0.3846 231.4
6 David Buchanan 0.0000 0.4000 210.9
7 Collin McHugh 0.0432 0.3600 208.0
8 Alfredo Simon 0.1075 0.3125 183.4
9 Josh Collmenter 0.0369 0.2727 183.4
10 Jimmy Nelson 0.0884 0.6429 178.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alfredo Simon 0.0588 0.3125 207.4
2 Matt Shoemaker 0.4444 0.1481 161.0
3 A.J. Burnett 0.3571 0.5294 160.9
4 Tyson Ross 0.2581 0.4516 156.8
5 Josh Collmenter 0.0556 0.2727 156.0
6 Colby Lewis 0.2857 0.4828 150.0
7 Chris Tillman 0.3438 0.1765 145.8
8 Mike Minor 0.2581 0.4800 141.3
9 Eric Stults 0.3462 0.5313 141.1
10 Justin Verlander 0.2188 0.3750 139.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Roenis Elías 0.0005 0.4138 308.9
2 Tyler Matzek 0.0005 0.5500 292.7
3 Nick Tepesch 0.0005 0.4783 274.0
4 Collin McHugh 0.0004 0.3600 242.7
5 Scott Carroll 0.0005 0.3846 238.7
6 David Buchanan 0.0005 0.4000 217.3
7 Rubby De La Rosa 0.0004 0.4211 199.8
8 A.J. Burnett 0.3548 0.5294 193.5
9 Odrisamer Despaigne 0.0007 0.4375 189.6
10 Chase Anderson 0.0005 0.3333 177.5

Save Rate

Biggest Save Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rosenthal 0.0435 0.6250 186.3
2 Jenrry Mejia 0.0370 0.4444 179.6
3 David Robertson 0.0392 0.6190 156.2
4 Zack Britton 0.0400 0.5211 143.7
5 Francisco Rodríguez 0.1395 0.6377 139.7
6 Héctor Rondón 0.0323 0.4531 113.2
7 Jim Johnson 0.4902 0.0370 113.1
8 Kenley Jansen 0.2778 0.6471 105.2
9 Steve Cishek 0.2745 0.5821 91.0
10 Mark Melancon 0.1633 0.4583 88.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jenrry Mejia 0.0000 0.4444 185.5
2 Francisco Rodríguez 0.0769 0.6377 150.4
3 Zack Britton 0.0000 0.5211 148.6
4 Héctor Rondón 0.0000 0.4531 115.6
5 Mark Melancon 0.0615 0.4583 110.0
6 Jim Johnson 0.4462 0.0370 107.5
7 Fernando Rodney 0.3692 0.6957 93.5
8 Sean Doolittle 0.0182 0.3607 80.9
9 Jason Grilli 0.5231 0.1935 77.4
10 Jose Veras 0.3692 0.0217 70.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Rodney 0.0000 0.6957 190.9
2 Trevor Rosenthal 0.0000 0.6250 183.8
3 Craig Kimbrel 0.0000 0.7460 175.1
4 Jenrry Mejia 0.0000 0.4444 173.5
5 Kenley Jansen 0.0000 0.6471 165.8
6 Francisco Rodríguez 0.0000 0.6377 163.3
7 Greg Holland 0.0000 0.7077 163.0
8 David Robertson 0.0000 0.6190 153.0
9 Steve Cishek 0.0000 0.5821 152.3
10 Huston Street 0.0000 0.6721 147.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tommy Hunter 0.9677 0.1833 187.9
2 Jenrry Mejia 0.0000 0.4444 187.2
3 Jim Johnson 0.6316 0.0370 155.2
4 Zack Britton 0.0000 0.5211 149.8
5 Francisco Rodríguez 0.0909 0.6377 147.8
6 Trevor Rosenthal 1.0882 0.6250 141.3
7 Grant Balfour 0.6724 0.1846 130.5
8 Héctor Rondón 0.0000 0.4531 116.7
9 John Axford 0.5313 0.1613 88.8
10 Mark Melancon 0.1667 0.4583 82.1

Hold Rate

Biggest Hold Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wade Davis 0.0750 0.4648 120.5
2 Adam Warren 0.0667 0.3333 100.1
3 Dellin Betances 0.0714 0.3143 97.2
4 Franklin Morales 0.1852 0.0000 92.4
5 Jeurys Familia 0.0588 0.3026 92.1
6 David Robertson 0.3922 0.0000 90.6
7 Drew Smyly 0.2195 0.0357 87.5
8 Brad Ziegler 0.1607 0.4265 86.5
9 Joba Chamberlain 0.1515 0.4203 81.8
10 Carlos Martinez 0.1364 0.2982 78.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Clippard 0.0000 0.5333 133.8
2 Tony Watson 0.0000 0.4359 117.1
3 Wade Davis 0.0000 0.4648 115.2
4 Brad Ziegler 0.0000 0.4265 105.3
5 Joba Chamberlain 0.0000 0.4203 96.9
6 Will Smith 0.0000 0.3846 95.2
7 Carlos Martinez 0.0000 0.2982 95.1
8 Adam Warren 0.0000 0.3333 91.2
9 Dellin Betances 0.0000 0.3143 89.5
10 Darren O'Day 0.0000 0.3676 85.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Clippard 0.0000 0.5333 133.8
2 Tony Watson 0.0000 0.4359 117.1
3 Wade Davis 0.0000 0.4648 115.2
4 Brad Ziegler 0.0000 0.4265 105.3
5 Joba Chamberlain 0.0000 0.4203 96.9
6 Will Smith 0.0000 0.3846 95.2
7 Carlos Martinez 0.0000 0.2982 95.1
8 Adam Warren 0.0000 0.3333 91.2
9 Dellin Betances 0.0000 0.3143 89.5
10 Darren O'Day 0.0000 0.3676 85.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

ERA

Biggest ERA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Collin McHugh 5.4633 2.7349 1657.6
2 Corey Kluber 4.1147 2.4441 1540.7
3 Dallas Keuchel 4.8111 2.9250 1483.2
4 Jake Arrieta 4.9245 2.5277 1440.7
5 Clay Buchholz 3.4589 5.3366 1421.0
6 Edinson Volquez 4.8363 3.0363 1415.4
7 Jon Lester 4.0514 2.4583 1365.3
8 Justin Verlander 3.1439 4.5437 1295.1
9 Edwin Jackson 4.3531 6.3341 1285.9
10 Justin Masterson 3.8997 5.8756 1199.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edwin Jackson 4.2320 6.3341 1423.4
2 Corey Kluber 4.0667 2.4441 1403.6
3 Johnny Cueto 3.7401 2.2531 1288.1
4 Justin Masterson 3.8901 5.8756 1262.2
5 Jon Lester 4.0092 2.4583 1242.8
6 Garrett Richards 4.4795 2.6146 1164.9
7 Edinson Volquez 4.5647 3.0363 1117.8
8 Justin Verlander 3.4566 4.5437 1101.7
9 Robbie Ross Jr. 3.3549 6.2043 1093.5
10 Chris Young 5.3804 3.6545 1086.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edwin Jackson 3.9896 6.3341 1770.2
2 Justin Verlander 3.0734 4.5437 1716.6
3 Clay Buchholz 3.6364 5.3366 1586.2
4 Justin Masterson 3.7788 5.8756 1508.9
5 Dellin Betances 6.2358 1.4000 1494.9
6 Dallas Keuchel 5.0192 2.9250 1326.9
7 Collin McHugh 5.2500 2.7349 1277.1
8 Travis Wood 3.8789 5.0269 1249.6
9 Mike Minor 3.4051 4.7683 1156.3
10 Ricky Nolasco 4.2037 5.3774 1129.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 4.0582 2.4441 1556.7
2 Dallas Keuchel 4.6710 2.9250 1429.3
3 Edwin Jackson 4.1314 6.3341 1379.9
4 Justin Masterson 3.5700 5.8756 1351.4
5 Clay Buchholz 3.5376 5.3366 1309.1
6 Chris Young 5.4249 3.6545 1233.7
7 Johnny Cueto 3.4788 2.2531 1199.9
8 Jon Lester 3.7817 2.4583 1191.4
9 Justin Verlander 3.2508 4.5437 1134.2
10 Jake Arrieta 4.2832 2.5277 1091.9

WHIP

Biggest WHIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Collin McHugh 1.4696 1.0216 274.5
2 Travis Wood 1.2210 1.5317 246.3
3 Carlos Carrasco 1.4406 0.9851 238.5
4 Colby Lewis 1.2139 1.5205 237.3
5 Dallas Keuchel 1.4683 1.1750 233.2
6 Félix Hernández 1.1743 0.9153 231.9
7 Garrett Richards 1.3721 1.0375 223.6
8 Jake Arrieta 1.3491 0.9894 218.0
9 Corey Kluber 1.3135 1.0948 203.5
10 Jeff Samardzija 1.3013 1.0653 203.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Johnny Cueto 1.2507 0.9603 261.5
2 Garrett Richards 1.4178 1.0375 245.4
3 Jake Arrieta 1.3837 0.9894 230.9
4 Dellin Betances 1.4383 0.7778 219.0
5 Edwin Jackson 1.3214 1.6422 214.6
6 Félix Hernández 1.1514 0.9153 198.7
7 Justin Verlander 1.1947 1.3981 197.9
8 Justin Masterson 1.3303 1.6321 189.5
9 Jim Johnson 1.2479 1.9500 189.5
10 Carlos Carrasco 1.3576 0.9851 187.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dellin Betances 1.9235 0.7778 362.8
2 Justin Verlander 1.1352 1.3981 307.6
3 Travis Wood 1.2711 1.5317 267.3
4 Justin Masterson 1.2903 1.6321 250.7
5 Collin McHugh 1.5076 1.0216 250.3
6 Edwin Jackson 1.3299 1.6422 249.4
7 Jake Arrieta 1.4603 0.9894 239.0
8 Trevor Bauer 1.8196 1.3791 237.9
9 Mike Minor 1.1613 1.4381 228.3
10 Colby Lewis 1.3077 1.5205 224.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 1.3716 1.0653 279.6
2 Johnny Cueto 1.2304 0.9603 270.9
3 Jake Arrieta 1.4061 0.9894 263.1
4 Félix Hernández 1.1794 0.9153 251.6
5 Colby Lewis 1.2100 1.5205 227.7
6 Justin Masterson 1.2571 1.6321 215.0
7 Dellin Betances 1.3778 0.7778 208.6
8 Jason Hammel 1.4027 1.1229 208.5
9 Jim Johnson 1.1500 1.9500 207.3
10 Jorge De La Rosa 1.4823 1.2369 197.5