2013 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Jeter	612	73	539.0
2	Jedd Gyorko	1	525	524.0
3	Nolan Arenado	1	514	513.0
4	Jemile Weeks	508	9	499.0
5	Cameron Maybin	547	57	490.0
6	Casey Kotchman	505	21	484.0
7	Mark Teixeira	524	63	461.0
8	Brennan Boesch	502	53	449.0
9	Danny Espinosa	606	167	439.0
10	Yasiel Puig	1	432	431.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cameron Maybin	579	57	521.7
2	Derek Jeter	562	73	488.8
3	Mark Teixeira	513	63	449.7
4	Yasiel Puig	1	432	431.0
5	Brian Dozier	205	623	417.9
6	Ryan Braun	667	253	413.5
7	Scott Sizemore	417	6	411.1
8	Danny Espinosa	565	167	397.7
9	Wilfredo Tovar	412	19	392.5
10	Matt Carpenter	328	717	389.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Billy Hamilton	651	22	629.0
2	Johnny Giavotella	677	48	629.0
3	Nick Castellanos	632	18	614.0
4	Jonathan Schoop	617	15	602.0
5	Cord Phelps	601	9	592.0
6	Efren Navarro	597	6	591.0
7	Joey Butler	604	15	589.0
8	Eury Pérez	589	8	581.0
9	Carlos Triunfel	626	47	579.0
10	Engel Beltre	614	42	572.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.4265	0.3778 (37.6)	0.3782 (39.5)	0.3749 (30.7)
Josh Donaldson	0.3844	0.3057 (55.1)	0.3217 (46.5)	0.3002 (50.4)
Paul Konerko	0.2997	0.3840 (41.8)	0.3658 (30.8)	0.3689 (40.5)
Matt Carpenter	0.3799	0.3411 (30.6)	0.3351 (37.0)	0.3261 (32.4)
Jayson Werth	0.4043	0.3496 (31.2)	0.3470 (34.1)	0.3396 (29.8)
B.J. Upton	0.2528	0.3258 (30.8)	0.3275 (30.2)	0.3373 (41.6)
Chris Davis	0.4254	0.3343 (64.0)	0.3518 (54.2)	0.3295 (58.7)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.4109	0.3521 (44.5)	0.3720 (32.5)	0.3511 (36.3)
Yasiel Puig	0.4020	0.3189 (37.6)	0.3189 (38.9)	0.3189 (32.1)
Alcides Escobar	0.2442	0.2945 (29.8)	0.3014 (32.3)	0.2948 (38.0)
Starlin Castro	0.2796	0.3310 (33.5)	0.3358 (34.8)	0.3392 (48.1)
Marlon Byrd	0.3644	0.3116 (32.8)	0.3005 (40.9)	0.2975 (33.7)
Hanley Ramirez	0.4444	0.3369 (37.4)	0.3431 (36.4)	0.3433 (31.1)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Hamilton	0.3893	0.3216	40.6
2	Pete Kozma	0.3343	0.2486	36.7
3	Freddie Freeman	0.3410	0.3920	34.6
4	Michael Cuddyer	0.3389	0.3988	34.5
5	Carlos Gómez	0.3097	0.3635	34.0
6	Shin-Soo Choo	0.3551	0.3931	29.8
7	Adam Lind	0.3192	0.3714	29.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Gómez	0.3073	0.3635	37.2
2	Shin-Soo Choo	0.3491	0.3931	36.2
3	Miguel Cabrera	0.4217	0.4619	30.7
4	Michael Cuddyer	0.3520	0.3988	29.0
5	Nick Markakis	0.3543	0.3060	29.0
6	Jason Castro	0.3124	0.3635	28.5
7	Albert Pujols	0.4036	0.3359	26.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.3704	0.3285	34.9
2	J.P. Arencibia	0.3199	0.2589	34.7
3	Nick Markakis	0.3408	0.3060	30.5
4	Jeff Keppinger	0.3226	0.2647	30.0
5	Prince Fielder	0.3929	0.3608	29.1
6	Jason Castro	0.2962	0.3635	28.8
7	Darwin Barney	0.2939	0.2528	27.6

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Juan Francisco	0.3584	0.2642 (34.5)	0.2630 (31.9)	0.2811 (32.3)
Dan Uggla	0.3184	0.2365 (41.4)	0.2437 (33.3)	0.2410 (45.0)
Raul Ibanez	0.2581	0.1744 (39.1)	0.1845 (30.2)	0.1816 (41.1)
B.J. Upton	0.3386	0.2534 (35.8)	0.2486 (34.5)	0.2558 (39.8)
Chris Carter	0.3624	0.2684 (52.2)	0.2647 (49.7)	0.3023 (38.9)
Mike Napoli	0.3235	0.2455 (42.3)	0.2605 (29.1)	0.2755 (31.5)
Evan Longoria	0.2338	0.1803 (33.8)	0.1795 (28.8)	0.1970 (29.9)
Marlon Byrd	0.2487	0.1698 (42.9)	0.1810 (31.8)	0.1667 (51.2)
Edwin Encarnación	0.0998	0.1553 (37.4)	0.1497 (38.8)	0.1531 (29.1)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrelton Simmons	0.1567	0.0836	51.2
2	Norichika Aoki	0.1222	0.0593	45.6
3	Oswaldo Arcia	0.1934	0.3095	42.1
4	Matt Carpenter	0.1872	0.1367	39.6
5	Jonathan Lucroy	0.1718	0.1190	33.4
6	Everth Cabrera	0.2274	0.1586	32.0
7	Ben Zobrist	0.1711	0.1304	31.8
8	Brett Wallace	0.2493	0.3649	31.6
9	J.J. Hardy	0.1574	0.1134	31.4
10	Nick Franklin	0.1934	0.2743	31.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Norichika Aoki	0.0998	0.0593	35.8
2	Kendrys Morales	0.2146	0.1735	35.3
3	Jason Castro	0.1831	0.2648	33.9
4	Ben Zobrist	0.1656	0.1304	33.5
5	J.J. Hardy	0.1491	0.1134	31.2
6	Matt Holliday	0.1816	0.1429	31.0
7	Cody Ross	0.2179	0.1425	30.9
8	Starlin Castro	0.1265	0.1830	30.8
9	Everth Cabrera	0.2141	0.1586	29.6
10	Justin Upton	0.1930	0.2504	28.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoenis Cespedes	0.1664	0.2387	45.2
2	Starlin Castro	0.1294	0.1830	42.3
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2698	0.2042	42.0
4	Josh Donaldson	0.2206	0.1647	33.0
5	Joe Mauer	0.1171	0.1752	32.8
6	Carlos González	0.2035	0.2706	32.1
7	Alejandro De Aza	0.1791	0.2178	30.5
8	Matt Carpenter	0.1855	0.1367	30.4
9	Russell Martin	0.1609	0.2134	29.8
10	Jason Castro	0.2109	0.2648	29.6

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.1536	0.0955 (42.7)	0.1000 (41.0)	0.1022 (32.5)
Josh Donaldson	0.1138	0.0630 (34.9)	0.0788 (25.8)	0.0729 (23.3)
Prince Fielder	0.1053	0.1352 (20.2)	0.1431 (24.3)	0.1384 (27.9)
Chris Davis	0.1070	0.0709 (25.3)	0.0746 (24.2)	0.0643 (24.7)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1394	0.0981 (30.4)	0.1105 (23.1)	0.1023 (22.0)
Carlos Beltrán	0.0633	0.1077 (25.8)	0.1106 (26.2)	0.1071 (29.9)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.1468	0.0970 (25.9)	0.1070 (21.9)	0.1037 (18.7)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.1573	0.1078 (36.3)	0.1094 (36.7)	0.1094 (29.8)
Torii Hunter	0.0399	0.0830 (27.2)	0.0810 (24.5)	0.0716 (24.6)
Shane Victorino	0.0470	0.0838 (18.8)	0.0900 (20.9)	0.0769 (19.1)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.1516	0.1860	26.0
2	Jean Segura	0.0819	0.0401	25.1
3	Billy Butler	0.0896	0.1183	20.1
4	Edwin Encarnación	0.1012	0.1320	20.1
5	Kyle Seager	0.0721	0.0978	18.9
6	Ike Davis	0.1047	0.1512	18.1
7	Lucas Duda	0.0979	0.1432	18.0
8	Nolan Arenado	0.0807	0.0447	17.7
9	Chris Iannetta	0.1277	0.1704	17.6
10	Bryce Harper	0.0900	0.1227	17.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Gordon	0.1080	0.0743	21.1
2	Manny Machado	0.0727	0.0408	20.0
3	Ben Zobrist	0.1337	0.1032	18.8
4	Adrián González	0.1062	0.0733	18.7
5	Jason Kipnis	0.0913	0.1155	18.3
6	Didi Gregorius	0.0517	0.0916	17.6
7	Anthony Rizzo	0.0888	0.1101	17.2
8	Joey Votto	0.1659	0.1860	17.2
9	Chris Iannetta	0.1310	0.1704	17.2
10	Luis Valbuena	0.0959	0.1355	16.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Gordon	0.1053	0.0743	26.0
2	Manny Machado	0.0711	0.0408	25.8
3	Ben Zobrist	0.1307	0.1032	23.5
4	Brett Gardner	0.1170	0.0854	22.9
5	Adam Dunn	0.1555	0.1252	22.1
6	Jed Lowrie	0.1024	0.0755	21.8
7	Brandon Belt	0.1232	0.0911	21.8
8	José Bautista	0.1630	0.1307	20.3
9	Tyler Flowers	0.1118	0.0509	18.4
10	Pedro Alvarez	0.1016	0.0782	18.1

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Chase Headley	0.0183	0.0051 (8.0)	0.0060 (7.5)	0.0049 (8.2)
Todd Frazier	0.0233	0.0089 (8.7)	0.0100 (8.1)	0.0109 (7.6)
Chase Utley	0.0094	0.0286 (10.2)	0.0240 (7.6)	0.0333 (12.6)
Placido Polanco	0.0216	0.0074 (5.9)	0.0080 (5.7)	0.0052 (6.9)
Allen Craig	0.0178	0.0042 (7.7)	0.0060 (6.7)	0.0041 (7.8)
Neil Walker	0.0272	0.0056 (11.9)	0.0060 (11.8)	0.0049 (12.4)
Welington Castillo	0.0257	0.0099 (6.8)	0.0120 (5.9)	0.0133 (5.3)
Jose Iglesias	0.0288	0.0161 (4.9)	0.0090 (7.6)	0.0099 (7.3)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.0365	0.0174 (13.7)	0.0160 (14.7)	0.0202 (11.7)
Ryan Doumit	0.0019	0.0124 (5.7)	0.0110 (4.8)	0.0118 (5.3)
Yasiel Puig	0.0255	0.0085 (7.4)	0.0085 (7.4)	0.0085 (7.4)
Starling Marte	0.0424	0.0134 (16.4)	0.0150 (15.6)	0.0208 (12.3)
Shane Victorino	0.0338	0.0103 (12.6)	0.0100 (12.8)	0.0094 (13.1)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Frandsen	0.0132	0.0396	7.3
2	Prince Fielder	0.0212	0.0126	6.0
3	Eric Young Jr.	0.0124	0.0033	5.4
4	Derek Dietrich	0.0085	0.0300	5.0
5	Mark Trumbo	0.0072	0.0000	4.8
6	Pablo Sandoval	0.0021	0.0103	4.8
7	Chris Davis	0.0079	0.0149	4.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Willingham	0.0170	0.0297	6.1
2	Kevin Frandsen	0.0180	0.0396	6.0
3	Daniel Nava	0.0180	0.0280	5.5
4	Lucas Duda	0.0110	0.0234	4.8
5	Mark Trumbo	0.0070	0.0000	4.6
6	Jason Heyward	0.0080	0.0182	4.6
7	Brandon Barnes	0.0080	0.0180	4.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Prince Fielder	0.0223	0.0126	6.8
2	Eric Young Jr.	0.0133	0.0033	5.9
3	Jason Heyward	0.0051	0.0182	5.8
4	Carlos Quentin	0.0451	0.0281	5.4
5	Pablo Sandoval	0.0018	0.0103	5.0
6	Brandon Barnes	0.0070	0.0180	5.0
7	Lucas Duda	0.0107	0.0234	5.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jimmy Rollins	0.0117	0.0361 (16.3)	0.0322 (13.6)	0.0364 (19.0)
Paul Konerko	0.0302	0.0648 (18.1)	0.0590 (14.9)	0.0625 (18.7)
Raul Ibanez	0.0890	0.0448 (21.9)	0.0403 (24.2)	0.0432 (20.8)
Jason Castro	0.0583	0.0282 (14.7)	0.0268 (15.5)	0.0228 (15.6)
Chris Davis	0.1352	0.0640 (47.8)	0.0792 (37.8)	0.0723 (39.8)
Marlon Byrd	0.0606	0.0249 (20.6)	0.0263 (19.9)	0.0245 (18.7)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pedro Alvarez	0.0612	0.0957	21.2
2	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0487	0.0778	20.5
3	Domonic Brown	0.0336	0.0670	18.0
4	Chris Carter	0.0667	0.0970	17.7
5	Josh Hamilton	0.0752	0.0492	16.6
6	Miguel Cabrera	0.0713	0.0950	15.4
7	Carlos González	0.0593	0.0942	15.2
8	Evan Gattis	0.0374	0.0761	14.7
9	Ryan Raburn	0.0372	0.0904	14.7
10	Juan Francisco	0.0474	0.0849	14.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Moss	0.0640	0.0971	16.8
2	Pedro Alvarez	0.0703	0.0957	15.7
3	Miguel Cabrera	0.0712	0.0950	15.6
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.0698	0.0478	15.1
5	Domonic Brown	0.0392	0.0670	15.1
6	Brian Dozier	0.0166	0.0404	14.9
7	Coco Crisp	0.0242	0.0480	14.0
8	Allen Craig	0.0562	0.0315	13.9
9	Ryan Raburn	0.0410	0.0904	13.7
10	Prince Fielder	0.0679	0.0489	13.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.0695	0.0478	17.6
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1145	0.0839	17.3
3	Dustin Pedroia	0.0350	0.0157	16.7
4	Brandon Moss	0.0607	0.0971	16.5
5	Ben Zobrist	0.0410	0.0227	15.4
6	Joey Votto	0.0705	0.0535	15.1
7	Carlos Pena	0.0845	0.0423	15.1
8	Matt Kemp	0.0785	0.0316	14.7
9	Prince Fielder	0.0651	0.0489	14.2
10	Allen Craig	0.0523	0.0315	13.9

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Darwin Barney	0.2195	0.2883 (38.4)	0.2905 (40.6)	0.2960 (43.3)
Josh Donaldson	0.3319	0.2822 (32.9)	0.2772 (35.1)	0.2765 (35.9)
David Murphy	0.2268	0.3132 (41.3)	0.3069 (39.2)	0.3035 (37.2)
Carlos Gómez	0.3432	0.2871 (32.8)	0.2892 (30.6)	0.2888 (31.2)
Jhonny Peralta	0.3729	0.2916 (36.3)	0.2899 (36.2)	0.2922 (35.5)
Michael Cuddyer	0.3817	0.2969 (45.6)	0.2999 (43.0)	0.3049 (40.6)
Dan Uggla	0.2248	0.2886 (34.5)	0.2808 (31.2)	0.2845 (32.9)
Andrelton Simmons	0.2449	0.3004 (36.8)	0.2909 (31.6)	0.2959 (34.5)
Chris Johnson	0.3943	0.3353 (32.0)	0.3209 (39.0)	0.3167 (41.6)
Mike Napoli	0.3668	0.2984 (39.2)	0.2987 (38.1)	0.2974 (39.2)
Yasiel Puig	0.3829	0.2973 (36.8)	0.2973 (36.0)	0.2973 (36.3)
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.3723	0.2826 (41.9)	0.2856 (39.7)	0.2902 (37.9)
Freddie Freeman	0.3714	0.3083 (39.4)	0.3061 (39.7)	0.3095 (37.9)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Ruggiano	0.3375	0.2585	37.5
2	Eric Hosmer	0.2837	0.3346	34.4
3	Jose Iglesias	0.2616	0.3515	34.2
4	Colby Rasmus	0.2822	0.3563	33.7
5	Jason Kipnis	0.2941	0.3413	30.7
6	Jason Castro	0.2905	0.3505	29.3
7	Starling Marte	0.3065	0.3569	28.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marlon Byrd	0.2908	0.3522	34.3
2	Matt Carpenter	0.3087	0.3567	32.9
3	Colby Rasmus	0.2850	0.3563	31.7
4	Alcides Escobar	0.3055	0.2594	31.0
5	Jed Lowrie	0.2689	0.3175	30.7
6	Jason Kipnis	0.2941	0.3413	29.6
7	Manny Machado	0.2732	0.3170	29.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.3108	0.2576	37.8
2	Matt Carpenter	0.3045	0.3567	36.4
3	Mike Trout	0.3242	0.3756	35.7
4	Marlon Byrd	0.2903	0.3522	34.9
5	Justin Ruggiano	0.3298	0.2585	34.4
6	Jed Lowrie	0.2684	0.3175	31.5
7	Allen Craig	0.3110	0.3675	30.9

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Darwin Barney	0.1606	0.2252 (37.0)	0.2251 (39.4)	0.2340 (42.0)
Anthony Rizzo	0.1659	0.2238 (41.4)	0.2082 (33.6)	0.2289 (45.1)
David Murphy	0.1530	0.2418 (43.3)	0.2281 (38.8)	0.2341 (39.7)
Miguel Cabrera	0.2912	0.2422 (30.5)	0.2377 (30.6)	0.2373 (33.6)
Michael Cuddyer	0.2903	0.2094 (42.5)	0.2102 (39.8)	0.2115 (41.3)
Andrelton Simmons	0.1842	0.2332 (33.7)	0.2193 (27.4)	0.2294 (31.3)
Jayson Werth	0.2874	0.2308 (29.0)	0.2249 (29.8)	0.2233 (32.8)
Chris Johnson	0.3067	0.2441 (33.1)	0.2329 (36.8)	0.2306 (40.3)
Allen Craig	0.2900	0.2292 (33.0)	0.2321 (29.0)	0.2267 (34.3)
Yasiel Puig	0.2974	0.2248 (30.5)	0.2248 (28.6)	0.2248 (30.4)
Asdrúbal Cabrera	0.1841	0.2308 (27.4)	0.2243 (26.2)	0.2263 (25.0)
Freddie Freeman	0.3010	0.2280 (44.6)	0.2209 (46.3)	0.2262 (45.5)
Daniel Nava	0.2685	0.2017 (34.6)	0.2134 (26.1)	0.2022 (34.3)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Iglesias	0.1977	0.2901	34.5
2	Chris Davis	0.2508	0.2094	29.3
3	Nate Schierholtz	0.2239	0.1700	28.2
4	Wilin Rosario	0.2128	0.2719	26.5
5	Eric Hosmer	0.2212	0.2622	26.5
6	Mitch Moreland	0.2264	0.1788	25.8
7	Justin Ruggiano	0.2458	0.1939	25.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gerardo Parra	0.2421	0.2072	27.5
2	Wilin Rosario	0.2083	0.2719	26.6
3	Joey Votto	0.2409	0.2824	25.4
4	Eric Hosmer	0.2186	0.2622	25.3
5	Jhonny Peralta	0.2110	0.2739	25.3
6	Adrian Beltré	0.2190	0.2610	24.5
7	Nate Schierholtz	0.2106	0.1700	23.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.2332	0.2824	33.9
2	Mark Trumbo	0.2324	0.1946	27.2
3	Josh Donaldson	0.2011	0.2434	26.6
4	Chris Davis	0.2461	0.2094	26.3
5	Gerardo Parra	0.2432	0.2072	25.4
6	Brandon Barnes	0.1977	0.2562	25.0
7	Dan Uggla	0.2182	0.1744	24.8

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jay Bruce	0.1031	0.0769 (18.5)	0.0729 (23.4)	0.0755 (18.1)
Yadier Molina	0.0998	0.0630 (20.1)	0.0642 (21.0)	0.0573 (22.1)
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.1460	0.0797 (31.3)	0.0793 (32.9)	0.0848 (28.0)
Alex Gordon	0.0565	0.0922 (24.8)	0.0885 (20.1)	0.0884 (23.5)
Josh Rutledge	0.0271	0.0817 (17.0)	0.0831 (16.5)	0.0825 (17.9)
Jason Castro	0.1203	0.0664 (26.6)	0.0673 (27.6)	0.0623 (27.7)
Chris Davis	0.1239	0.0717 (35.4)	0.0830 (29.7)	0.0779 (29.8)
Mike Napoli	0.1315	0.0736 (33.6)	0.0776 (33.1)	0.0776 (30.2)
Jason Kipnis	0.0859	0.0563 (19.7)	0.0640 (16.6)	0.0571 (17.8)
Nick Markakis	0.0432	0.0707 (19.0)	0.0773 (21.6)	0.0701 (20.0)
Marlon Byrd	0.0941	0.0638 (17.7)	0.0692 (16.3)	0.0609 (18.2)
Manny Machado	0.0924	0.0578 (24.8)	0.0636 (22.8)	0.0645 (18.6)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Norichika Aoki	0.0747	0.0357	26.0
2	Joey Votto	0.1051	0.0706	24.8
3	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0718	0.0312	23.3
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.0911	0.0621	18.7
5	Adam Dunn	0.0794	0.0492	18.2
6	Brett Gardner	0.0524	0.0797	16.9
7	Brian Dozier	0.0505	0.0771	16.8
8	Dan Uggla	0.0700	0.0388	16.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Carpenter	0.0745	0.1044	23.7
2	Mike Trout	0.0675	0.0899	18.4
3	Joe Mauer	0.0695	0.1009	17.6
4	Dan Uggla	0.0745	0.0388	17.4
5	Miguel Montero	0.0853	0.0470	16.6
6	Miguel Cabrera	0.0902	0.0621	16.2
7	Colby Rasmus	0.0684	0.0996	15.8
8	Mark Reynolds	0.0853	0.0513	15.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.1020	0.0706	24.1
2	Matt Carpenter	0.0716	0.1044	22.3
3	Brett Gardner	0.0464	0.0797	19.3
4	Mark Reynolds	0.0863	0.0513	18.5
5	Adam Dunn	0.0779	0.0492	18.4
6	Adam LaRoche	0.0803	0.0522	17.5
7	Mike Trout	0.0639	0.0899	17.4
8	Norichika Aoki	0.0597	0.0357	17.3

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brad Miller	0.0240	0.0061 (6.5)	0.0075 (5.9)	0.0086 (6.0)
Carlos Gómez	0.0268	0.0129 (9.0)	0.0106 (10.2)	0.0144 (8.8)
Stephen Drew	0.0259	0.0147 (6.3)	0.0103 (8.3)	0.0162 (6.1)
José Reyes	0.0000	0.0221 (8.7)	0.0196 (7.8)	0.0198 (7.3)
Dexter Fowler	0.0099	0.0326 (10.5)	0.0319 (10.3)	0.0341 (10.7)
Starlin Castro	0.0038	0.0162 (7.8)	0.0172 (8.7)	0.0223 (11.3)
Jacoby Ellsbury	0.0166	0.0062 (7.5)	0.0044 (8.4)	0.0086 (6.7)
Marlon Byrd	0.0134	0.0043 (6.1)	0.0048 (5.6)	0.0036 (7.2)
David Wright	0.0179	0.0053 (6.9)	0.0044 (7.2)	0.0050 (7.6)
Shane Victorino	0.0050	0.0204 (7.4)	0.0181 (6.4)	0.0203 (6.8)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0051	0.0178	8.1
2	Pete Kozma	0.0176	0.0000	7.3
3	Anthony Gose	0.0061	0.0459	6.3
4	Denard Span	0.0124	0.0205	6.2
5	Corey Dickerson	0.0061	0.0331	6.0
6	Brett Gardner	0.0157	0.0242	6.0
7	Seth Smith	0.0158	0.0000	5.9
8	Mike Trout	0.0140	0.0207	5.8
9	Torii Hunter	0.0027	0.0102	5.8
10	Chris Johnson	0.0118	0.0000	5.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Denard Span	0.0072	0.0205	9.5
2	Brett Gardner	0.0125	0.0242	7.8
3	Dan Uggla	0.0020	0.0116	5.7
4	Munenori Kawasaki	0.0050	0.0237	5.7
5	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0092	0.0178	5.6
6	Carlos González	0.0122	0.0240	5.6
7	Josh Hamilton	0.0052	0.0123	5.2
8	Corey Dickerson	0.0114	0.0331	4.8
9	Jean Segura	0.0135	0.0202	4.8
10	Jose Tabata	0.0066	0.0191	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dan Uggla	0.0000	0.0116	7.6
2	Torii Hunter	0.0026	0.0102	6.6
3	Anthony Rendon	0.0217	0.0035	6.2
4	Alex Gordon	0.0070	0.0126	5.7
5	Carl Crawford	0.0219	0.0082	5.2
6	Brandon Moss	0.0031	0.0108	5.2
7	Munenori Kawasaki	0.0085	0.0237	5.1
8	Nick Hundley	0.0149	0.0000	5.1
9	Joey Votto	0.0029	0.0071	4.8
10	Chris Johnson	0.0111	0.0000	4.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jimmy Rollins	0.0976	0.1362 (22.6)	0.1290 (18.4)	0.1399 (27.7)
Matt Carpenter	0.1757	0.1203 (43.1)	0.1052 (53.3)	0.1069 (50.0)
Jayson Werth	0.1579	0.1256 (19.7)	0.1281 (17.9)	0.1218 (19.6)
B.J. Upton	0.0673	0.1293 (25.6)	0.1282 (25.5)	0.1371 (30.8)
Chris Davis	0.1530	0.1201 (25.3)	0.1279 (19.5)	0.1125 (27.8)
Yasiel Puig	0.1528	0.1116 (19.8)	0.1116 (19.4)	0.1116 (18.1)
Starlin Castro	0.0837	0.1158 (19.4)	0.1240 (25.7)	0.1250 (28.6)
Matt Holliday	0.1711	0.1412 (20.8)	0.1354 (23.8)	0.1314 (24.4)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starling Marte	0.1074	0.1466	24.8
2	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0975	0.0519	23.7
3	Shin-Soo Choo	0.1217	0.1503	23.6
4	Coco Crisp	0.1287	0.1592	20.5
5	Josh Hamilton	0.1517	0.1148	20.5
6	Trevor Plouffe	0.1277	0.0843	20.2
7	Brandon Belt	0.1026	0.1331	20.1
8	Hanley Ramirez	0.1298	0.1845	19.9
9	Adam Lind	0.0956	0.1286	19.6
10	Daniel Murphy	0.1087	0.1320	19.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Konerko	0.1304	0.0788	24.8
2	Marlon Byrd	0.0906	0.1295	24.8
3	Pablo Sandoval	0.1343	0.0890	24.2
4	Billy Butler	0.1317	0.0928	23.4
5	Prince Fielder	0.1519	0.1152	23.4
6	AJ Pollock	0.0941	0.1328	20.5
7	Anthony Rizzo	0.1361	0.1029	20.2
8	Hanley Ramirez	0.1294	0.1845	19.8
9	Coco Crisp	0.1315	0.1592	18.4
10	Daniel Nava	0.1140	0.1437	18.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0994	0.0519	27.0
2	Daniel Nava	0.1005	0.1437	23.6
3	Darwin Barney	0.1269	0.0883	21.0
4	Jose Altuve	0.1265	0.0952	20.5
5	Pablo Sandoval	0.1243	0.0890	20.1
6	Anthony Rizzo	0.1324	0.1029	19.8
7	Daniel Murphy	0.1045	0.1320	19.7
8	Dustin Ackley	0.1406	0.0937	19.7
9	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1194	0.1451	18.8
10	Trevor Plouffe	0.1208	0.0843	18.6

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Joey Votto	0.1006	0.1378 (24.1)	0.1396 (23.8)	0.1503 (35.9)
Ryan Raburn	0.1986	0.1086 (26.1)	0.1071 (27.1)	0.0970 (28.2)
Miguel Cabrera	0.2101	0.1724 (27.3)	0.1749 (27.1)	0.1692 (26.9)
Jayson Werth	0.1541	0.1023 (29.7)	0.1135 (25.0)	0.1058 (25.9)
B.J. Upton	0.0583	0.1172 (24.5)	0.1203 (24.8)	0.1233 (28.9)
Chris Davis	0.2051	0.1220 (58.6)	0.1465 (43.7)	0.1357 (46.9)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1761	0.1327 (33.7)	0.1475 (24.7)	0.1426 (23.9)
Starlin Castro	0.0624	0.1002 (23.7)	0.1064 (26.5)	0.1132 (35.6)
Marlon Byrd	0.1520	0.0881 (39.4)	0.1024 (32.4)	0.0941 (33.7)
Wilson Ramos	0.1947	0.1111 (26.6)	0.1165 (25.6)	0.1093 (26.0)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Phillips	0.1115	0.1547	31.5
2	Josh Hamilton	0.1746	0.1242	29.5
3	Adam Jones	0.1189	0.1567	28.9
4	Freddie Freeman	0.1320	0.1733	28.5
5	Evan Gattis	0.1061	0.1702	26.0
6	Jimmy Rollins	0.0997	0.0586	24.7
7	Josh Willingham	0.1568	0.1019	23.9
8	Carl Crawford	0.1210	0.0661	23.9
9	Miguel Montero	0.1426	0.0884	23.8
10	Domonic Brown	0.1141	0.1537	23.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Phillips	0.1058	0.1547	36.7
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1751	0.1230	23.1
3	Michael Brantley	0.0882	0.1195	22.9
4	Freddie Freeman	0.1435	0.1733	22.7
5	Brandon Moss	0.1338	0.1723	22.6
6	Domonic Brown	0.1182	0.1537	22.6
7	Anthony Rizzo	0.1549	0.1159	22.5
8	Mike Moustakas	0.1295	0.0817	21.3
9	Pedro Alvarez	0.1351	0.1629	21.0
10	Justin Upton	0.1476	0.1089	20.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.1698	0.1159	37.0
2	Shin-Soo Choo	0.1279	0.0758	36.9
3	Jimmy Rollins	0.1092	0.0586	33.6
4	Starling Marte	0.1176	0.0618	31.4
5	Chase Headley	0.1294	0.0833	27.5
6	Adam LaRoche	0.1506	0.1051	26.7
7	Miguel Montero	0.1443	0.0884	26.4
8	Alexei Ramirez	0.1101	0.0712	26.0
9	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1722	0.1230	24.7
10	Neil Walker	0.1394	0.0962	23.6

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jarrod Dyson	0.5484	0.2784 (67.8)	0.2550 (69.8)	0.3302 (56.1)
DJ LeMahieu	0.1682	0.0357 (63.4)	0.0503 (50.6)	0.0750 (47.6)
Elvis Andrus	0.2111	0.1381 (60.3)	0.0971 (78.6)	0.1450 (57.6)
Hunter Pence	0.1325	0.0596 (59.4)	0.0284 (70.7)	0.0559 (63.9)
Alexei Ramirez	0.1840	0.0882 (73.7)	0.0690 (76.7)	0.0861 (77.1)
Nate McLouth	0.2041	0.0957 (72.2)	0.0957 (63.5)	0.1028 (69.8)
Elliot Johnson	0.3860	0.1591 (66.1)	0.1388 (67.6)	0.1875 (59.1)
Alex Rios	0.2642	0.1473 (86.3)	0.1014 (106.9)	0.1493 (86.9)
Rajai Davis	0.5114	0.3455 (64.6)	0.2857 (80.8)	0.3585 (61.0)
Alfonso Soriano	0.1475	0.0446 (72.9)	0.0301 (72.7)	0.0381 (78.8)
Starling Marte	0.2847	0.1594 (78.6)	0.1341 (84.5)	0.1905 (62.6)
Jacoby Ellsbury	0.2955	0.1759 (84.6)	0.1481 (92.9)	0.2091 (65.4)
Daniel Murphy	0.1377	0.0567 (65.9)	0.0404 (67.0)	0.0517 (71.4)
Leonys Martin	0.3000	0.1176 (99.5)	0.1103 (95.7)	0.1613 (78.8)
Coco Crisp	0.1419	0.2951 (81.6)	0.2382 (57.0)	0.2857 (74.4)
Jean Segura	0.2716	0.1067 (111.2)	0.1347 (84.5)	0.1912 (60.3)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.0603	0.2857	57.6
2	Eric Young Jr.	0.2418	0.3151	51.9
3	Brett Gardner	0.2405	0.1538	44.6
4	Michael Bourn	0.2442	0.1565	42.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Young Jr.	0.1833	0.3151	78.0
2	Jose Altuve	0.1242	0.2023	51.7
3	Carlos González	0.0933	0.2000	46.0
4	Juan Pierre	0.1640	0.2949	42.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.2582	0.1410	72.2
2	Brett Gardner	0.2772	0.1538	65.1
3	Starlin Castro	0.1420	0.0584	47.3
4	Grégor Blanco	0.2000	0.0952	45.1

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Darwin Barney	0.2076	0.2617 (28.8)	0.2689 (32.1)	0.2698 (37.2)
Josh Donaldson	0.3005	0.2437 (39.5)	0.2501 (36.0)	0.2336 (41.5)
David Murphy	0.2202	0.2848 (29.6)	0.2823 (27.9)	0.2751 (28.4)
Matt Carpenter	0.3179	0.2736 (33.4)	0.2697 (37.0)	0.2570 (40.2)
Dan Uggla	0.1786	0.2445 (34.2)	0.2369 (29.5)	0.2382 (34.6)
Jed Lowrie	0.2902	0.2526 (26.4)	0.2456 (31.8)	0.2457 (26.3)
Jayson Werth	0.3182	0.2681 (27.9)	0.2601 (32.7)	0.2535 (31.9)
Chris Johnson	0.3210	0.2725 (27.8)	0.2620 (34.2)	0.2540 (34.1)
B.J. Upton	0.1841	0.2442 (25.8)	0.2453 (25.7)	0.2509 (31.9)
Yasiel Puig	0.3194	0.2571 (27.9)	0.2571 (28.4)	0.2571 (24.8)
Starlin Castro	0.2447	0.2896 (30.0)	0.2917 (30.6)	0.2936 (37.8)
Freddie Freeman	0.3194	0.2653 (35.5)	0.2734 (31.1)	0.2742 (25.5)
Hanley Ramirez	0.3454	0.2633 (28.4)	0.2693 (26.7)	0.2668 (24.8)
Daniel Nava	0.3035	0.2460 (32.1)	0.2540 (28.4)	0.2404 (31.2)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Cuddyer	0.2691	0.3313	34.8
2	Eric Hosmer	0.2582	0.3018	31.2
3	Jose Iglesias	0.2262	0.3029	30.1
4	Josh Hamilton	0.2992	0.2500	29.8
5	Justin Ruggiano	0.2814	0.2217	27.1
6	Paul Konerko	0.2958	0.2441	25.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Cuddyer	0.2757	0.3313	31.9
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.2756	0.2327	27.3
3	Manny Machado	0.2508	0.2834	25.6
4	Torii Hunter	0.2701	0.3036	24.1
5	Marlon Byrd	0.2534	0.2914	24.0
6	Carlos Gómez	0.2470	0.2836	23.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.2787	0.2327	35.1
2	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2593	0.3023	27.2
3	Alcides Escobar	0.2708	0.2339	26.8
4	Mike Trout	0.2817	0.3226	25.8
5	Paul Konerko	0.2840	0.2441	23.2
6	Andrelton Simmons	0.2780	0.2475	23.2

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.4316	0.3664 (49.1)	0.3735 (45.8)	0.3608 (44.5)
Josh Donaldson	0.3838	0.2989 (59.0)	0.3145 (50.3)	0.2953 (53.3)
David Murphy	0.2821	0.3508 (31.1)	0.3545 (31.6)	0.3410 (32.1)
Matt Carpenter	0.3922	0.3458 (35.7)	0.3540 (31.7)	0.3462 (26.8)
Yoenis Cespedes	0.2944	0.3439 (26.5)	0.3481 (27.4)	0.3376 (29.7)
Chris Davis	0.3700	0.3176 (37.6)	0.3244 (34.7)	0.3054 (37.7)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.4006	0.3449 (42.0)	0.3589 (33.8)	0.3380 (38.3)
Yasiel Puig	0.3912	0.3218 (31.5)	0.3218 (32.6)	0.3218 (26.3)
Alcides Escobar	0.2591	0.3093 (30.0)	0.3149 (32.0)	0.3116 (39.3)
Starlin Castro	0.2841	0.3323 (31.6)	0.3368 (33.0)	0.3324 (40.1)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.4231	0.3670 (42.4)	0.3608 (48.6)	0.3687 (32.6)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.3373	0.3959	39.0
2	Michael Cuddyer	0.3311	0.3889	33.1
3	Josh Hamilton	0.3587	0.3066	30.9
4	Adam Lind	0.3030	0.3570	29.9
5	Paul Konerko	0.3741	0.3135	29.7
6	J.P. Arencibia	0.2870	0.2274	27.9
7	Daniel Nava	0.3380	0.3853	27.2
8	Pete Kozma	0.3374	0.2752	26.3
9	Eric Hosmer	0.3182	0.3535	26.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.3500	0.3959	32.6
2	Michael Cuddyer	0.3384	0.3889	30.5
3	Chris Johnson	0.3105	0.3583	29.4
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.4052	0.4417	27.7
5	Adrian Beltré	0.3384	0.3710	26.6
6	Prince Fielder	0.4051	0.3624	26.2
7	Jayson Werth	0.3555	0.3985	26.0
8	Carlos Gómez	0.2999	0.3379	25.9
9	Jason Kipnis	0.3329	0.3660	25.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.P. Arencibia	0.2823	0.2274	31.6
2	Prince Fielder	0.3973	0.3624	31.0
3	Chris Johnson	0.2957	0.3583	29.5
4	Matt Wieters	0.3282	0.2872	28.7
5	Paul Konerko	0.3596	0.3135	28.5
6	Darwin Barney	0.3085	0.2659	28.4
7	Jeff Keppinger	0.3370	0.2835	28.0
8	B.J. Upton	0.3220	0.2680	27.9
9	Daniel Nava	0.3285	0.3853	25.8

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Josh Donaldson	0.4991	0.3969 (73.3)	0.4210 (60.1)	0.3832 (70.0)
Paul Konerko	0.3555	0.5104 (76.7)	0.4775 (57.3)	0.4848 (73.0)
Jayson Werth	0.5325	0.4370 (54.8)	0.4326 (59.4)	0.4217 (53.0)
Jason Castro	0.4851	0.3770 (56.7)	0.3778 (58.5)	0.3441 (63.7)
Chris Davis	0.6336	0.4483 (129.7)	0.4884 (105.6)	0.4505 (115.7)
B.J. Upton	0.2890	0.4322 (60.5)	0.4280 (56.7)	0.4550 (79.0)
Yasiel Puig	0.5340	0.4037 (59.5)	0.4037 (61.4)	0.4037 (51.5)
Starlin Castro	0.3468	0.4242 (49.3)	0.4344 (53.3)	0.4458 (77.6)
Nick Markakis	0.3565	0.4279 (44.8)	0.4492 (56.6)	0.4275 (57.5)
Marlon Byrd	0.5113	0.3870 (76.3)	0.3808 (82.4)	0.3721 (74.1)
Hanley Ramirez	0.6382	0.4263 (73.7)	0.4399 (70.6)	0.4478 (60.2)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pete Kozma	0.4364	0.2732	69.8
2	Josh Hamilton	0.5492	0.4323	69.6
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.4641	0.5515	67.4
4	Domonic Brown	0.3932	0.4940	58.4
5	Carlos Gómez	0.4165	0.5056	57.0
6	Josh Willingham	0.4810	0.3676	49.9
7	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.3920	0.2983	49.8
8	Michael Cuddyer	0.4469	0.5297	48.7
9	Luis Alfonso Cruz	0.4198	0.1792	43.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Gómez	0.4041	0.5056	66.9
2	Matt Carpenter	0.4042	0.4808	63.4
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.5109	0.4191	55.2
4	Will Venable	0.3974	0.4844	50.9
5	Ike Davis	0.4750	0.3344	48.5
6	Albert Pujols	0.5585	0.4373	48.4
7	Miguel Cabrera	0.5753	0.6360	47.3
8	Mike Trout	0.5032	0.5569	47.0
9	Brian Dozier	0.3505	0.4140	46.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.6060	0.4800	69.1
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.5035	0.4191	65.9
3	Matt Carpenter	0.3879	0.4808	58.7
4	Jimmy Rollins	0.4218	0.3483	56.4
5	Josh Willingham	0.4688	0.3676	52.9
6	Jason Kubel	0.4848	0.3166	52.0
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.4674	0.5515	51.8
8	J.P. Arencibia	0.4569	0.3650	51.2
9	Billy Butler	0.4763	0.4124	50.1

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ricky Romero	40	746 (706.0)	760 (720.0)	839 (798.9)
Matt Harrison	51	753 (702.0)	844 (793.0)	828 (776.9)
Chad Billingsley	49	660 (611.0)	580 (531.0)	729 (680.0)
Johnny Cueto	242	769 (527.0)	829 (587.0)	822 (580.1)
Chris Volstad	47	586 (539.0)	552 (505.0)	769 (722.0)
José Fernández	681	1 (680.0)	214 (467.0)	1 (680.0)
Gavin Floyd	110	689 (579.0)	666 (556.0)	756 (646.1)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hyun Jin Ryu	1	783	782.0
2	Shelby Miller	165	722	557.0
3	Julio Teheran	221	774	553.0
4	James McDonald	688	138	550.0
5	Derek Lowe	601	57	544.0
6	Clayton Richard	754	239	515.0
7	Josh Tomlin	521	9	512.0
8	Wily Peralta	295	802	507.0
9	Wandy Rodriguez	758	260	498.0
10	Josh Beckett	684	195	489.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brett Myers	690	97	593.0
2	Clayton Richard	815	239	576.0
3	Hyun Jin Ryu	213	783	570.0
4	James McDonald	693	138	555.0
5	Wandy Rodriguez	770	260	510.0
6	Jeff Locke	215	711	496.0
7	Eric Stults	365	857	492.0
8	Jair Jurrjens	522	31	491.0
9	Roy Halladay	768	282	486.0
10	Julio Teheran	298	774	476.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brett Myers	770	97	673.0
2	David Holmberg	666	20	646.0
3	Blake Beavan	806	174	631.9
4	Barry Enright	671	43	628.1
5	Zeke Spruill	674	55	619.1
6	John Gast	661	52	609.1
7	Will Smith	739	131	608.1
8	Thad Weber	654	61	593.0
9	Chris Dwyer	599	11	588.0
10	Brad Hand	669	82	587.1

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Lucas Harrell	0.3657	0.3095 (40.8)	0.3058 (28.5)	0.3064 (35.0)
Barry Zito	0.3799	0.3270 (33.0)	0.3098 (30.7)	0.2953 (45.4)
Max Scherzer	0.2581	0.3235 (53.4)	0.2751 (30.6)	0.2871 (32.5)
Joe Blanton	0.3891	0.3282 (38.1)	0.2854 (51.4)	0.2977 (49.8)
Matt Harvey	0.2354	0.3017 (44.7)	0.2864 (48.7)	0.2874 (42.7)
Joe Saunders	0.3760	0.3290 (39.7)	0.3095 (38.5)	0.3002 (54.1)
Dylan Axelrod	0.3855	0.3325 (31.9)	0.3027 (37.1)	0.3196 (32.9)
José Fernández	0.2383	0.3135 (50.2)	0.2807 (42.2)	0.3135 (57.9)
CC Sabathia	0.3334	0.2961 (35.2)	0.2757 (34.6)	0.2754 (43.6)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.3158	0.2747	34.3
2	Justin Verlander	0.2720	0.3064	33.2
3	Madison Bumgarner	0.2994	0.2570	32.9
4	Clayton Kershaw	0.2690	0.2320	32.2
5	Wade Davis	0.3147	0.3615	29.8
6	Francisco Liriano	0.3216	0.2757	29.6
7	Josh Johnson	0.2922	0.3675	29.5
8	A.J. Burnett	0.3228	0.2849	29.3
9	Ryan Vogelsong	0.3041	0.3636	28.5
10	Brandon Maurer	0.3135	0.3827	28.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Kershaw	0.2630	0.2320	45.9
2	Edinson Volquez	0.2869	0.3491	33.1
3	Travis Wood	0.3042	0.2844	32.3
4	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.2908	0.2747	30.9
5	Clay Buchholz	0.3006	0.2488	29.7
6	Koji Uehara	0.2654	0.1768	28.7
7	Scott Diamond	0.3009	0.3676	27.1
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2899	0.2734	27.0
9	Vance Worley	0.3012	0.4359	26.9
10	Madison Bumgarner	0.2703	0.2570	26.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.2534	0.3064	39.8
2	Jason Hammel	0.2790	0.3532	39.3
3	Ian Kennedy	0.2853	0.3400	35.5
4	Jeff Samardzija	0.2772	0.3244	34.0
5	Edinson Volquez	0.2959	0.3491	33.7
6	Ryan Vogelsong	0.2820	0.3636	33.5
7	Edwin Jackson	0.2842	0.3369	33.2
8	Ervin Santana	0.3220	0.2947	32.0
9	Scott Diamond	0.3033	0.3676	31.3
10	Josh Johnson	0.2777	0.3675	30.7

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Yovani Gallardo	0.1863	0.2302 (37.7)	0.2288 (40.7)	0.2386 (57.7)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.2708	0.2091 (42.4)	0.1852 (56.3)	0.1779 (52.6)
Jake Westbrook	0.0841	0.1488 (36.4)	0.1384 (33.7)	0.1344 (38.0)
Justin Masterson	0.2428	0.1779 (48.2)	0.1705 (49.9)	0.1708 (39.9)
Scott Kazmir	0.2411	0.1705 (44.2)	0.1459 (57.1)	0.1390 (53.5)
A.J. Burnett	0.2609	0.2011 (44.1)	0.1943 (45.3)	0.1840 (43.7)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yu Darvish	0.2444	0.3294	67.4
2	José Fernández	0.1986	0.2746	48.4
3	Trevor Rosenthal	0.2089	0.3473	41.5
4	Dylan Axelrod	0.1891	0.1246	40.7
5	Lucas Harrell	0.1750	0.1259	38.1
6	Greg Holland	0.2555	0.4039	36.6
7	Andy Pettitte	0.2046	0.1633	36.2
8	Luke Hochevar	0.1741	0.3130	35.1
9	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.2003	0.2497	34.6
10	Scott Diamond	0.1451	0.0903	34.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.2529	0.1810	57.9
2	Yu Darvish	0.2527	0.3294	55.9
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.1093	0.1804	41.6
4	Esmil Rogers	0.2195	0.1605	41.3
5	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1896	0.2497	38.8
6	Dylan Axelrod	0.1773	0.1246	36.9
7	John Lackey	0.1500	0.2069	36.4
8	Danny Farquhar	0.1771	0.3465	36.3
9	Danny Salazar	0.1309	0.3081	35.2
10	Trevor Rosenthal	0.2258	0.3473	34.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Esmil Rogers	0.2225	0.1605	50.5
2	Jason Hammel	0.2067	0.1571	43.9
3	Bud Norris	0.2245	0.1902	43.8
4	Wily Peralta	0.1904	0.1608	41.7
5	Andrew Cashner	0.2163	0.1810	40.8
6	CC Sabathia	0.2142	0.1927	39.8
7	John Lackey	0.1338	0.2069	39.5
8	Stephen Strasburg	0.2919	0.2613	38.7
9	Jhoulys Chacín	0.1792	0.1544	38.5
10	Juan Nicasio	0.2016	0.1693	38.4

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Roy Halladay	0.1277	0.0511 (21.8)	0.0481 (23.9)	0.0430 (26.4)
Lucas Harrell	0.1245	0.0920 (23.4)	0.0981 (22.4)	0.0961 (26.3)
Eric Stults	0.0467	0.0739 (22.8)	0.0785 (22.8)	0.0865 (26.6)
Jason Marquis	0.1313	0.0763 (28.8)	0.0745 (32.1)	0.0771 (32.7)
Matt Harvey	0.0449	0.0900 (30.7)	0.1028 (36.3)	0.0975 (30.2)
Randall Delgado	0.0486	0.0938 (21.1)	0.1036 (23.5)	0.1014 (20.8)
Jeff Locke	0.1181	0.0820 (26.1)	0.0836 (28.2)	0.0885 (27.4)
Ian Kennedy	0.0919	0.0675 (19.9)	0.0663 (24.5)	0.0649 (28.5)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0671	0.0366	28.5
2	David Price	0.0754	0.0365	28.4
3	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0814	0.0485	28.0
4	Dillon Gee	0.0821	0.0559	21.6
5	John Lackey	0.0788	0.0514	20.8
6	Chris Sale	0.0755	0.0531	18.9
7	Mike Minor	0.0790	0.0561	18.3
8	Andrew Cashner	0.0921	0.0665	17.7
9	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0970	0.0748	17.6
10	Julio Teheran	0.0814	0.0581	17.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Archer	0.1269	0.0724	25.9
2	David Price	0.0762	0.0365	25.5
3	Adam Wainwright	0.0638	0.0366	21.0
4	Scott Kazmir	0.1062	0.0699	20.9
5	Chris Sale	0.0818	0.0531	20.3
6	Ryan Dempster	0.0832	0.1048	20.2
7	Corey Kluber	0.0918	0.0543	19.6
8	Justin Verlander	0.0656	0.0811	19.2
9	Julio Teheran	0.0877	0.0581	18.8
10	Wily Peralta	0.1192	0.0910	18.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Dempster	0.0780	0.1048	26.9
2	R.A. Dickey	0.0566	0.0753	26.0
3	Scott Kazmir	0.1165	0.0699	25.4
4	Chris Archer	0.1278	0.0724	24.5
5	Justin Verlander	0.0636	0.0811	24.3
6	Madison Bumgarner	0.0562	0.0772	24.0
7	Corey Kluber	0.1021	0.0543	23.7
8	Carlos Torres	0.1231	0.0483	23.2
9	Juan Nicasio	0.0680	0.0910	22.4
10	Wade Miley	0.0606	0.0779	22.1

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Roy Halladay	0.0355	0.0062 (8.2)	0.0068 (8.1)	0.0054 (9.1)
Charlie Morton	0.0325	0.0133 (9.3)	0.0124 (10.0)	0.0139 (10.1)
Jake Westbrook	0.0191	0.0072 (6.1)	0.0079 (6.0)	0.0074 (7.2)
Iván Nova	0.0239	0.0099 (8.0)	0.0090 (8.8)	0.0107 (8.9)
Justin Masterson	0.0212	0.0125 (6.7)	0.0119 (7.6)	0.0128 (8.3)
Chris Sale	0.0162	0.0084 (6.5)	0.0078 (7.5)	0.0068 (9.9)
Scott Kazmir	0.0045	0.0152 (7.4)	0.0143 (6.5)	0.0188 (8.3)
Mat Latos	0.0114	0.0039 (6.4)	0.0049 (5.8)	0.0036 (8.6)
Mark Buehrle	0.0103	0.0040 (5.2)	0.0048 (5.0)	0.0028 (8.3)
Stephen Strasburg	0.0164	0.0067 (6.9)	0.0069 (7.1)	0.0053 (9.6)
Doug Fister	0.0182	0.0104 (6.6)	0.0101 (7.2)	0.0109 (8.2)
Johnny Hellweg	0.0494	0.0083 (6.6)	0.0162 (5.4)	0.0153 (5.9)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Francisco Liriano	0.0110	0.0000	7.5
2	John Lackey	0.0152	0.0077	6.0
3	Julio Teheran	0.0090	0.0168	5.8
4	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0083	0.0013	5.7
5	Héctor Santiago	0.0144	0.0229	5.4
6	Aaron Loup	0.0059	0.0248	5.3
7	Dillon Gee	0.0143	0.0083	5.2
8	Félix Hernández	0.0097	0.0036	5.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Héctor Santiago	0.0117	0.0229	7.5
2	Francisco Liriano	0.0102	0.0000	6.7
3	Roberto Hernandez	0.0112	0.0202	5.9
4	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0087	0.0013	5.7
5	Garrett Richards	0.0103	0.0016	5.3
6	Miguel González	0.0114	0.0042	5.0
7	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0080	0.0023	4.7
8	Jim Johnson	0.0083	0.0241	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Medlen	0.0033	0.0098	6.9
2	Jordan Lyles	0.0095	0.0171	6.2
3	Julio Teheran	0.0110	0.0168	6.1
4	Ricky Nolasco	0.0068	0.0120	6.0
5	Jason Hammel	0.0053	0.0131	6.0
6	Jered Weaver	0.0036	0.0110	6.0
7	Aaron Loup	0.0061	0.0248	5.8
8	John Lackey	0.0172	0.0077	5.8

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
R.A. Dickey	0.0511	0.0317 (18.5)	0.0322 (15.9)	0.0398 (11.8)
Yu Darvish	0.0546	0.0300 (20.9)	0.0324 (17.0)	0.0294 (22.3)
Matt Harvey	0.0151	0.0344 (13.1)	0.0348 (15.0)	0.0334 (11.8)
Jorge De La Rosa	0.0206	0.0421 (15.2)	0.0348 (11.6)	0.0391 (12.3)
Randall Delgado	0.0649	0.0350 (14.2)	0.0302 (15.5)	0.0397 (12.5)
Jhoulys Chacín	0.0176	0.0369 (15.6)	0.0315 (13.0)	0.0365 (14.4)
John Danks	0.0605	0.0334 (15.9)	0.0380 (11.9)	0.0362 (14.9)
A.J. Griffin	0.0606	0.0380 (18.8)	0.0360 (18.6)	0.0391 (18.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Tillman	0.0375	0.0555	15.4
2	Jeff Locke	0.0439	0.0222	15.3
3	Henderson Alvarez III	0.0409	0.0061	14.5
4	A.J. Burnett	0.0395	0.0213	14.4
5	Aaron Harang	0.0330	0.0557	14.3
6	Felix Doubront	0.0450	0.0265	12.9
7	Jarrod Parker	0.0255	0.0407	12.6
8	Tyler Thornburg	0.0519	0.0052	12.6
9	Derek Holland	0.0452	0.0313	12.2
10	Carlos Torres	0.0253	0.0586	11.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mat Latos	0.0383	0.0224	15.8
2	Clayton Kershaw	0.0330	0.0177	15.7
3	Joe Blanton	0.0349	0.0624	15.6
4	Roberto Hernandez	0.0260	0.0501	14.2
5	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0354	0.0184	14.1
6	Travis Wood	0.0446	0.0299	13.7
7	Dan Haren	0.0333	0.0530	12.7
8	Jason Marquis	0.0217	0.0481	12.7
9	Freddy Garcia	0.0309	0.0674	11.4
10	Ryan Dempster	0.0337	0.0508	11.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0557	0.0259	22.3
2	Jarrod Parker	0.0224	0.0407	16.0
3	Derek Holland	0.0499	0.0313	15.4
4	Aaron Harang	0.0323	0.0557	15.4
5	Tommy Milone	0.0296	0.0500	14.5
6	Brandon Maurer	0.0223	0.0535	13.0
7	Freddy Garcia	0.0300	0.0674	12.8
8	Matt Cain	0.0269	0.0424	12.8
9	Mat Latos	0.0380	0.0224	12.6
10	Shelby Miller	0.0252	0.0407	12.1

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Madison Bumgarner	0.2514	0.2949 (36.5)	0.2904 (33.9)	0.2836 (29.3)
Barry Zito	0.3461	0.2814 (38.1)	0.2848 (35.3)	0.2735 (41.4)
Wade Davis	0.3607	0.2825 (47.0)	0.2887 (42.4)	0.2837 (44.9)
Scott Feldman	0.2583	0.3068 (38.3)	0.2905 (26.9)	0.2962 (32.1)
Tyler Clippard	0.1697	0.2667 (27.2)	0.2672 (27.7)	0.2680 (28.3)
Joe Saunders	0.3323	0.2919 (31.4)	0.2935 (29.1)	0.2758 (42.7)
Hisashi Iwakuma	0.2516	0.2852 (30.9)	0.2970 (42.1)	0.2811 (29.3)
Justin Verlander	0.3164	0.2679 (43.0)	0.2826 (28.3)	0.2729 (36.1)
José Fernández	0.2399	0.2936 (37.9)	0.2887 (35.4)	0.2936 (39.5)
Jose Mijares	0.4103	0.2965 (26.4)	0.2804 (29.9)	0.2776 (30.3)
Doug Fister	0.3318	0.2889 (36.0)	0.2949 (29.6)	0.2903 (32.7)
A.J. Griffin	0.2419	0.2796 (32.7)	0.2857 (38.7)	0.2736 (29.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.3149	0.2587	48.7
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.2848	0.3402	36.4
3	Jeremy Hellickson	0.2575	0.3073	35.2
4	Stephen Strasburg	0.3042	0.2632	31.5
5	John Lackey	0.3178	0.2807	30.4
6	Alfredo Simon	0.3134	0.2362	28.4
7	Yu Darvish	0.2952	0.2644	27.6
8	Justin Wilson	0.3171	0.2289	26.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bud Norris	0.2853	0.3333	34.6
2	Joe Blanton	0.2869	0.3463	34.3
3	R.A. Dickey	0.2951	0.2646	31.8
4	Clayton Kershaw	0.2826	0.2508	31.8
5	Travis Wood	0.2815	0.2479	30.3
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.2962	0.3402	27.8
7	Jarrod Parker	0.2905	0.2598	27.8
8	Ervin Santana	0.2947	0.2667	26.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.3026	0.2587	40.4
2	Travis Wood	0.2868	0.2479	35.6
3	Joe Blanton	0.2923	0.3463	30.3
4	Jeremy Hellickson	0.2621	0.3073	30.0
5	Jarrod Parker	0.2885	0.2598	27.1
6	Edinson Volquez	0.2855	0.3246	27.0
7	Bud Norris	0.2944	0.3333	26.7
8	Josh Johnson	0.2848	0.3557	25.6

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Barry Zito	0.2652	0.2026 (35.8)	0.2848 (28.9)	0.2735 (35.1)
Max Scherzer	0.1795	0.2383 (52.3)	0.2824 (29.8)	0.3026 (47.7)
Caleb Thielbar	0.0877	0.2231 (23.8)	0.2917 (23.4)	0.3000 (25.0)
Wade Davis	0.2881	0.2082 (47.0)	0.2887 (41.1)	0.2837 (43.5)
Hisashi Iwakuma	0.1797	0.2197 (37.8)	0.2970 (43.3)	0.2811 (30.6)
Justin Verlander	0.2475	0.2037 (37.1)	0.2826 (29.8)	0.2729 (37.6)
Juan Nicasio	0.1928	0.2353 (32.5)	0.2998 (28.0)	0.3106 (36.4)
Doug Fister	0.2762	0.2182 (47.8)	0.2949 (42.8)	0.2903 (45.8)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	A.J. Griffin	0.2303	0.1882	37.7
2	Scott Feldman	0.2386	0.1937	36.9
3	Kyle Kendrick	0.2051	0.2460	29.7
4	Jeremy Hellickson	0.1896	0.2309	27.7
5	Dallas Keuchel	0.2242	0.2676	27.0
6	John Lackey	0.2373	0.2073	26.2
7	Jeremy Guthrie	0.2027	0.2353	26.1
8	Tony Cingrani	0.2195	0.1618	25.8
9	Jake Arrieta	0.2285	0.1531	25.6
10	Iván Nova	0.2162	0.2630	25.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	R.A. Dickey	0.2951	0.1954	30.7
2	Travis Wood	0.2815	0.1812	27.2
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.2962	0.2676	26.3
4	Koji Uehara	0.2788	0.1141	25.8
5	Cole Hamels	0.2864	0.1910	25.5
6	Jordan Zimmermann	0.2876	0.1912	25.2
7	A.J. Griffin	0.2857	0.1882	24.9
8	Tony Cingrani	0.2880	0.1618	24.8
9	Mike Pelfrey	0.2958	0.2643	24.3
10	Bud Norris	0.2853	0.2495	24.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Wood	0.2231	0.2648	35.3
2	Travis Wood	0.2868	0.1812	32.5
3	Nick Tepesch	0.2231	0.2351	31.8
4	Kyle Kendrick	0.2751	0.2460	29.5
5	Taylor Jordan	0.2231	0.2874	28.7
6	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.2692	0.2394	28.4
7	Josh Johnson	0.2848	0.2925	28.3
8	Scott Feldman	0.2962	0.1937	27.6
9	Brad Peacock	0.3202	0.1803	27.0
10	Zach McAllister	0.3110	0.2000	26.0

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tyler Cloyd	0.1250	0.0617 (18.0)	0.0000 (17.1)	0.0000 (17.1)
José Fernández	0.0404	0.0644 (16.0)	0.0000 (16.4)	0.0644 (60.2)
Yu Darvish	0.0422	0.0762 (28.2)	0.0000 (18.6)	0.0000 (18.6)
Matt Harvey	0.0394	0.0711 (21.6)	0.0000 (17.3)	0.0000 (17.3)
Joe Saunders	0.0979	0.0621 (29.7)	0.0000 (27.5)	0.0000 (27.5)
Stephen Strasburg	0.0351	0.0635 (20.4)	0.0000 (21.4)	0.0000 (21.4)
Juan Nicasio	0.1004	0.0692 (22.3)	0.0000 (25.3)	0.0000 (25.3)
Cole Hamels	0.0995	0.0584 (37.7)	0.0000 (31.8)	0.0000 (31.8)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gio González	0.0563	0.0827	22.0
2	Iván Nova	0.0828	0.0496	19.2
3	Chris Sale	0.0720	0.0503	18.4
4	Jeremy Guthrie	0.0758	0.0560	17.5
5	Eric Stults	0.0537	0.0736	17.4
6	Kyle Lohse	0.0721	0.0503	17.1
7	Andy Pettitte	0.0520	0.0733	17.0
8	Kris Medlen	0.0544	0.0746	16.9
9	Kyle Kendrick	0.0699	0.0485	16.7
10	CC Sabathia	0.0638	0.0818	16.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Wacha	0.0644	0.0526	19.8
2	Justin Masterson	0.0000	0.0438	16.5
3	Ian Kennedy	0.0000	0.0848	16.2
4	Jon Lester	0.0000	0.0821	16.0
5	CC Sabathia	0.0000	0.0818	15.8
6	Bartolo Colon	0.0000	0.0443	15.4
7	Wily Peralta	0.0000	0.0453	15.3
8	Gio González	0.0000	0.0827	15.0
9	Edwin Jackson	0.0000	0.0836	14.9
10	Héctor Rondón	0.0644	0.0671	14.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alfredo Figaro	0.0644	0.0519	24.3
2	Nick Tepesch	0.0644	0.0737	22.4
3	Taylor Jordan	0.0644	0.0287	22.0
4	Sonny Gray	0.0644	0.0471	21.3
5	Michael Wacha	0.0644	0.0526	19.8
6	Alex Wood	0.0644	0.0685	19.7
7	Kevin Gregg	0.0644	0.0575	19.2
8	André Rienzo	0.0644	0.0585	17.6
9	Andrew Albers	0.0644	0.0622	16.6
10	Justin Masterson	0.0000	0.0438	16.5

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kyle Kendrick	0.0113	0.0047 (6.4)	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0000 (4.2)
Dan Jennings	0.0431	0.0095 (6.0)	0.0000 (6.3)	0.0000 (6.3)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.0167	0.0097 (6.2)	0.0000 (7.9)	0.0000 (7.9)
Tyler Lyons	0.0256	0.0061 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.4)	0.0000 (4.4)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.0134	0.0060 (6.4)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.4)
Julio Teheran	0.0115	0.0065 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0000 (4.2)
Trevor Cahill	0.0133	0.0055 (5.8)	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.6)
Lance Lynn	0.0162	0.0103 (6.1)	0.0000 (8.6)	0.0000 (8.6)
Ryan Webb	0.0328	0.0053 (9.6)	0.0000 (8.9)	0.0000 (8.9)
Tom Koehler	0.0183	0.0093 (6.2)	0.0000 (7.4)	0.0000 (7.4)
Philip Humber	0.0311	0.0057 (6.9)	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0000 (6.5)
Aaron Harang	0.0136	0.0060 (5.5)	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.7)
Kevin Slowey	0.0175	0.0056 (5.2)	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.5)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0145	0.0041	7.1
2	Adam Wainwright	0.0111	0.0029	6.5
3	Wade Miley	0.0121	0.0033	6.4
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.0030	0.0104	5.9
5	Erik Bedard	0.0052	0.0117	5.2
6	Bud Norris	0.0043	0.0093	4.8
7	Anthony Swarzak	0.0035	0.0139	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edinson Volquez	0.0000	0.0131	5.4
2	A.J. Griffin	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
3	Edwin Jackson	0.0000	0.0125	5.0
4	Mat Latos	0.0000	0.0114	4.7
5	Junichi Tazawa	0.0000	0.0211	4.3
6	Mark Buehrle	0.0000	0.0015	4.0
7	Dan Straily	0.0000	0.0000	3.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edinson Volquez	0.0000	0.0131	5.4
2	José Fernández	0.0061	0.0048	5.0
3	A.J. Griffin	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
4	Edwin Jackson	0.0000	0.0125	5.0
5	Nick Tepesch	0.0061	0.0000	4.9
6	Mat Latos	0.0000	0.0114	4.7
7	Junichi Tazawa	0.0000	0.0211	4.3

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Josh Johnson	0.1667	0.0970 (27.8)	0.1177 (20.3)	0.1019 (28.6)
Lucas Harrell	0.1570	0.1131 (32.9)	0.1285 (22.9)	0.1248 (29.6)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.0751	0.1105 (24.5)	0.1152 (27.0)	0.1157 (23.1)
Ryan Vogelsong	0.1563	0.0965 (29.2)	0.1148 (21.2)	0.1014 (30.2)
Edwin Jackson	0.1416	0.1138 (23.6)	0.1131 (25.2)	0.1079 (33.7)
Edinson Volquez	0.1467	0.1186 (23.9)	0.1151 (27.6)	0.1078 (37.8)
CC Sabathia	0.1344	0.1005 (33.1)	0.1055 (29.7)	0.1013 (38.8)
Ian Kennedy	0.1360	0.1032 (28.2)	0.1093 (24.3)	0.1031 (33.8)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeremy Hellickson	0.0936	0.1398	36.0
2	Francisco Liriano	0.1268	0.0811	28.7
3	R.A. Dickey	0.0935	0.1198	27.4
4	José Fernández	0.1096	0.0690	25.8
5	Wade Davis	0.1059	0.1440	25.2
6	Wily Peralta	0.1051	0.1334	24.9
7	Scott Diamond	0.1123	0.1528	24.8
8	Barry Zito	0.1176	0.1546	24.1
9	John Lackey	0.1364	0.1028	24.0
10	Aaron Harang	0.1105	0.1454	23.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.1177	0.0797	29.6
2	Joe Blanton	0.1131	0.1571	29.3
3	Matt Harvey	0.1092	0.0667	26.6
4	Clayton Kershaw	0.0935	0.0606	26.3
5	Clay Buchholz	0.1220	0.0553	26.1
6	Bartolo Colon	0.1148	0.0780	25.3
7	José Fernández	0.1072	0.0690	23.3
8	Dan Haren	0.1021	0.1283	21.6
9	Jose Quintana	0.1297	0.0998	21.6
10	Dylan Axelrod	0.1194	0.1519	21.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeremy Hellickson	0.1043	0.1398	33.3
2	Barry Zito	0.1170	0.1546	28.7
3	Joe Saunders	0.1179	0.1427	28.3
4	Matt Cain	0.0858	0.1118	27.2
5	Tim Lincecum	0.1002	0.1213	25.9
6	Aaron Harang	0.1147	0.1454	25.3
7	Joe Blanton	0.1255	0.1571	25.3
8	Jeff Samardzija	0.1017	0.1193	24.9
9	Jason Hammel	0.1033	0.1326	23.8
10	Roy Halladay	0.0980	0.1702	23.1

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Roy Halladay	0.1667	0.0913 (21.7)	0.0933 (21.6)	0.0913 (24.1)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.0697	0.0999 (21.2)	0.1063 (24.9)	0.1082 (21.3)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.1357	0.0865 (37.5)	0.1125 (19.4)	0.0973 (35.6)
Edinson Volquez	0.1390	0.1116 (22.6)	0.1054 (28.5)	0.1006 (37.6)
CC Sabathia	0.1233	0.0886 (33.1)	0.0964 (27.4)	0.0943 (35.5)
Ian Kennedy	0.1247	0.0968 (23.5)	0.1013 (21.1)	0.0962 (30.6)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Harrell	0.1011	0.1414	29.8
2	R.A. Dickey	0.0845	0.1113	26.9
3	José Fernández	0.1014	0.0617	25.9
4	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0879	0.1413	25.7
5	Francisco Liriano	0.1205	0.0811	25.1
6	Aaron Harang	0.0992	0.1374	25.0
7	John Lackey	0.1273	0.0951	23.7
8	Brandon Maurer	0.1014	0.1567	22.9
9	Joe Saunders	0.1047	0.1305	22.6
10	Clay Buchholz	0.1047	0.0505	21.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joe Blanton	0.1042	0.1457	27.3
2	Clayton Kershaw	0.0851	0.0529	26.4
3	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.1079	0.0751	25.7
4	Clay Buchholz	0.1125	0.0505	24.5
5	Dan Haren	0.0933	0.1227	23.4
6	José Fernández	0.0984	0.0617	22.8
7	Bartolo Colon	0.1056	0.0728	22.7
8	Matt Harvey	0.1006	0.0652	22.2
9	Esmil Rogers	0.0925	0.1221	19.6
10	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1146	0.0862	19.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Cain	0.0801	0.1079	28.7
2	Edwin Jackson	0.1005	0.1248	26.7
3	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0944	0.1413	26.6
4	Jeff Samardzija	0.0947	0.1127	25.6
5	Aaron Harang	0.1066	0.1374	25.5
6	Joe Saunders	0.1096	0.1305	25.4
7	Tim Lincecum	0.0941	0.1141	25.3
8	Barry Zito	0.1087	0.1398	25.0
9	Lucas Harrell	0.1162	0.1414	24.9
10	Jason Hammel	0.0963	0.1260	24.3

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jordan Zimmermann	0.5938	0.2500 (248.9)	0.4306 (176.7)	0.3846 (178.1)
Francisco Liriano	0.6154	0.2162 (228.5)	0.3904 (177.2)	0.3000 (207.9)
Bartolo Colon	0.6000	0.2286 (242.6)	0.3954 (189.0)	0.4000 (151.3)
Max Scherzer	0.6563	0.3421 (215.8)	0.4838 (178.5)	0.4194 (195.4)
Julio Teheran	0.4667	0.1429 (207.3)	0.3116 (151.8)	0.2857 (137.6)
Cole Hamels	0.2424	0.3421 (140.9)	0.4781 (176.1)	0.4516 (192.2)
Phil Hughes	0.1333	0.3333 (164.4)	0.3988 (144.0)	0.3929 (168.7)
Martín Pérez	0.5000	0.1154 (173.8)	0.2238 (167.8)	0.2333 (139.4)
Clay Buchholz	0.7500	0.2973 (165.0)	0.3956 (164.5)	0.4167 (137.3)
Matt Moore	0.6296	0.2195 (227.3)	0.4411 (147.4)	0.3548 (174.4)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shelby Miller	0.1176	0.4839	224.0
2	Jorge De La Rosa	0.1818	0.5333	211.0
3	Kris Medlen	0.1750	0.4688	195.0
4	Adam Wainwright	0.3056	0.5588	188.6
5	Patrick Corbin	0.1765	0.4375	176.3
6	Jeremy Guthrie	0.2162	0.4545	165.0
7	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2069	0.4516	154.0
8	Chris Tillman	0.2500	0.4848	151.1
9	Corey Kluber	0.1333	0.4231	142.1
10	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2368	0.4828	141.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Kluber	0.1188	0.4231	210.0
2	Joe Blanton	0.4172	0.0714	186.2
3	Mike Leake	0.2668	0.4516	181.0
4	Chris Tillman	0.3626	0.4848	138.0
5	Jeff Locke	0.1804	0.3333	138.0
6	C.J. Wilson	0.4059	0.5152	137.3
7	Stephen Strasburg	0.4947	0.2667	136.7
8	Matt Cain	0.4842	0.2667	134.1
9	Jeremy Guthrie	0.3512	0.4545	130.7
10	Ian Kennedy	0.4313	0.2258	130.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff Samardzija	0.4444	0.2424	187.6
2	Gio González	0.5625	0.3438	181.8
3	Ian Kennedy	0.4375	0.2258	170.6
4	Yu Darvish	0.5862	0.4063	154.0
5	Stephen Strasburg	0.4583	0.2667	142.5
6	Justin Verlander	0.5313	0.3824	140.7
7	Mike Leake	0.2759	0.4516	138.2
8	Joe Blanton	0.2857	0.0714	132.9
9	Samuel Deduno	0.1538	0.4444	132.5
10	John Danks	0.4000	0.1818	129.1

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Max Scherzer	0.0938	0.2105 (145.1)	0.2280 (118.1)	0.3226 (168.4)
Chris Sale	0.4667	0.1200 (251.0)	0.2940 (143.4)	0.2857 (180.4)
Edwin Jackson	0.5806	0.2432 (218.0)	0.3040 (209.4)	0.3333 (213.4)
Shaun Marcum	0.7143	0.1875 (157.0)	0.3082 (133.3)	0.2222 (173.5)
John Danks	0.6364	0.2800 (174.6)	0.3451 (165.7)	0.3500 (182.9)
Cole Hamels	0.4242	0.2105 (142.0)	0.2881 (116.8)	0.2581 (175.2)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Wily Peralta	0.1481	0.4688	211.6
2	Kris Medlen	0.0750	0.3750	199.4
3	Eric Stults	0.1290	0.3939	178.3
4	CC Sabathia	0.1714	0.4063	161.6
5	Scott Diamond	0.2368	0.5417	142.9
6	Jeff Samardzija	0.1837	0.3939	140.3
7	Lucas Harrell	0.2195	0.4722	138.5
8	Alex Sanabia	0.1429	0.7000	125.6
9	Brandon McCarthy	0.2258	0.5000	125.4
10	Joe Blanton	0.2432	0.5000	122.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roberto Hernandez	0.0896	0.4063	199.0
2	Dylan Axelrod	0.1046	0.3667	149.4
3	Alex Sanabia	0.1065	0.7000	147.2
4	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.3386	0.1818	141.9
5	Tim Lincecum	0.2628	0.4375	141.0
6	T.J. McFarland	0.4350	0.0263	137.6
7	Tom Koehler	0.1099	0.3448	136.9
8	Jeanmar Gómez	0.3813	0.0000	129.3
9	Joe Blanton	0.2814	0.5000	129.2
10	Jose Quintana	0.3587	0.2121	127.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Wily Peralta	0.3000	0.4688	157.3
2	Jeanmar Gómez	0.4828	0.0000	151.6
3	Héctor Santiago	0.0667	0.2647	147.9
4	T.J. McFarland	0.5000	0.0263	147.7
5	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.3750	0.1818	143.6
6	CC Sabathia	0.2759	0.4063	143.3
7	Corey Kluber	0.4483	0.1923	139.0
8	Bartolo Colon	0.4000	0.2000	132.7
9	Brandon McCarthy	0.3000	0.5000	131.2
10	Bruce Chen	0.4074	0.1176	130.7

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edward Mujica	0.5692	0.0204 (145.6)	0.0000 (143.7)	0.0000 (137.9)
Aroldis Chapman	0.5588	0.2800 (77.7)	0.2266 (84.2)	0.0000 (136.9)
Kevin Gregg	0.5323	0.2105 (92.5)	0.0000 (141.6)	0.0283 (127.9)
Ernesto Frieri	0.5522	0.1667 (119.1)	0.3556 (55.7)	0.0000 (153.0)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Greg Holland	0.1556	0.6912	142.3
2	Sergio Romo	0.1000	0.5846	126.7
3	Grant Balfour	0.1538	0.5846	118.7
4	Glen Perkins	0.1200	0.5902	118.2
5	Jason Grilli	0.0500	0.6111	117.8
6	John Axford	0.4151	0.0000	113.5
7	Steve Cishek	0.1333	0.4928	107.3
8	Casey Janssen	0.1556	0.6071	99.5
9	Jim Henderson	0.0800	0.4590	99.1
10	Jim Johnson	0.3673	0.6757	96.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Axford	0.5795	0.0000	169.2
2	Jim Henderson	0.0000	0.4590	111.9
3	Carlos Marmol	0.4933	0.0385	103.7
4	Wilton Lopez	0.2917	0.0000	95.5
5	Jonathan Broxton	0.6625	0.0000	88.9
6	Joaquín Benoit	0.0343	0.3636	85.7
7	J.J. Putz	0.7413	0.1500	83.6
8	Danny Farquhar	0.0000	0.3478	78.0
9	Bruce Rondón	0.6429	0.0333	75.1
10	Koji Uehara	0.0000	0.2877	74.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jim Johnson	0.0000	0.6757	188.4
2	Craig Kimbrel	0.0000	0.7353	182.4
3	Greg Holland	0.0000	0.6912	169.0
4	Mariano Rivera	0.0000	0.6875	168.8
5	Rafael Soriano	0.0000	0.6324	167.3
6	Addison Reed	0.0000	0.5882	165.2
7	Joe Nathan	0.0000	0.6418	153.4
8	Fernando Rodney	0.0000	0.5441	149.6
9	Grant Balfour	0.0000	0.5846	145.8
10	Sergio Romo	0.0000	0.5846	139.1

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tanner Scheppers	0.3553	0.1111 (86.0)	0.0000 (91.8)	0.0000 (91.8)
Junichi Tazawa	0.3521	0.1111 (80.0)	0.0000 (85.4)	0.0000 (85.4)
Drew Smyly	0.3333	0.0857 (87.4)	0.0000 (85.4)	0.0000 (85.5)
Luis Avilán	0.3600	0.1200 (71.9)	0.0000 (79.0)	0.0000 (79.0)
Trevor Rosenthal	0.3919	0.1579 (85.4)	0.0000 (105.9)	0.0000 (105.9)
Brandon Kintzler	0.3662	0.1111 (90.2)	0.0000 (96.0)	0.0000 (96.0)
Joel Peralta	0.5125	0.3137 (69.7)	0.0000 (134.2)	0.0000 (134.2)
Tyler Clippard	0.4583	0.2692 (63.2)	0.0000 (111.9)	0.0000 (111.9)
Drew Storen	0.3529	0.1389 (68.0)	0.0000 (80.5)	0.0000 (80.5)
Tommy Hunter	0.3088	0.0556 (98.8)	0.0000 (86.5)	0.0000 (86.5)
Mark Melancon	0.3611	0.0769 (90.6)	0.0000 (86.4)	0.0000 (86.4)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Sale	0.1400	0.0000	86.0
2	Yoervis Medina	0.0513	0.3016	84.7
3	Julio Teheran	0.1429	0.0000	79.1
4	Kris Medlen	0.1250	0.0000	69.1
5	Dane De La Rosa	0.0714	0.2667	68.7
6	John Axford	0.0566	0.2533	68.6
7	Justin Wilson	0.0714	0.2586	67.2
8	Andrew Cashner	0.1613	0.0323	62.5
9	Paul Clemens	0.0513	0.2000	61.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Robertson	0.0000	0.4714	110.1
2	Jared Burton	0.0000	0.3803	92.4
3	Jake McGee	0.0000	0.3803	85.5
4	Sean Doolittle	0.0000	0.3714	85.1
5	Matt Belisle	0.0000	0.3333	84.9
6	Ryan Cook	0.0000	0.3239	80.1
7	Joe Smith	0.0000	0.3571	79.2
8	Luke Gregerson	0.0000	0.3425	78.0
9	Tony Watson	0.0000	0.3284	77.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Robertson	0.0000	0.4714	110.1
2	Jared Burton	0.0000	0.3803	92.4
3	Jake McGee	0.0000	0.3803	85.5
4	Sean Doolittle	0.0000	0.3714	85.1
5	Matt Belisle	0.0000	0.3333	84.9
6	Ryan Cook	0.0000	0.3239	80.2
7	Joe Smith	0.0000	0.3571	79.2
8	Luke Gregerson	0.0000	0.3425	78.0
9	Tony Watson	0.0000	0.3284	77.6

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Roy Halladay	6.8226	3.3586 (980.8)	3.4719 (981.7)	3.4190 (1121.5)
Lucas Harrell	5.8568	3.9130 (1384.3)	4.6653 (934.7)	4.7554 (1184.0)
Edinson Volquez	5.7065	4.3970 (1028.5)	4.1272 (1328.4)	4.0830 (1706.9)
CC Sabathia	4.7773	3.3223 (1334.0)	3.6110 (1177.4)	3.6036 (1586.2)
Ian Kennedy	4.9136	3.6695 (999.1)	3.8789 (925.2)	3.7109 (1410.1)

Individual Misses for ERA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeremy Hellickson	3.2466	5.1724	1429.8
2	John Lackey	5.0670	3.5176	1194.4
3	José Fernández	3.9309	2.1892	1176.4
4	Ryan Vogelsong	3.3155	5.7299	1134.2
5	Francisco Liriano	4.7079	3.0186	1115.6
6	Josh Johnson	3.3952	6.1967	1081.3
7	Joe Saunders	3.9880	5.2623	1056.6
8	R.A. Dickey	3.1148	4.2062	1042.6
9	Aaron Harang	3.8532	5.4000	977.2
10	Brandon Maurer	3.9309	6.3000	958.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joe Blanton	3.9161	6.0377	1376.0
2	Hisashi Iwakuma	4.1396	2.6631	1165.6
3	Clayton Kershaw	3.1608	1.8305	1089.5
4	Clay Buchholz	4.3976	1.7446	1049.4
5	Matt Harvey	3.9077	2.2710	1039.3
6	Aníbal Sánchez	4.0455	2.5714	1002.3
7	José Fernández	3.7888	2.1892	1000.5
8	Dan Haren	3.4721	4.6680	951.0
9	Bartolo Colon	3.9937	2.6480	934.5
10	Jhoulys Chacín	4.7122	3.4662	910.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeremy Hellickson	3.7792	5.1724	1449.2
2	Joe Blanton	4.4896	6.0377	1296.1
3	Edwin Jackson	3.9047	4.9791	1280.2
4	Joe Saunders	4.3169	5.2623	1245.2
5	Ryan Vogelsong	3.6836	5.7299	1223.3
6	Barry Zito	4.3110	5.7375	1215.8
7	Matt Cain	2.9900	4.0036	1206.0
8	Josh Johnson	3.6846	6.1967	1184.8
9	Jeff Samardzija	3.6213	4.3385	1179.5
10	Jason Hammel	3.7218	4.9737	1115.1

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
John Lackey	1.1567	1.4611 (242.0)	1.3811 (155.3)	1.5118 (192.5)
Lucas Harrell	1.7050	1.3822 (223.5)	1.4727 (181.7)	1.5199 (207.0)
Barry Zito	1.7025	1.3687 (198.9)	1.4386 (175.4)	1.3780 (262.7)
Wade Davis	1.6773	1.3034 (227.0)	1.4052 (183.5)	1.3764 (252.5)
Joe Blanton	1.6131	1.3136 (178.9)	1.2213 (254.5)	1.2663 (277.7)
Matt Harvey	0.9308	1.2446 (221.1)	1.3216 (252.6)	1.3350 (204.6)
Joe Saunders	1.6011	1.3413 (207.5)	1.3956 (188.7)	1.3600 (285.9)
Justin Verlander	1.3145	1.0751 (215.3)	1.1564 (169.1)	1.1026 (295.6)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	1.3041	0.9705	284.5
2	Hisashi Iwakuma	1.2903	1.0061	251.9
3	José Fernández	1.3123	0.9788	231.7
4	Yu Darvish	1.2952	1.0731	192.4
5	Tyson Ross	1.5053	1.1520	181.4
6	Josh Johnson	1.2307	1.6598	162.2
7	Clayton Kershaw	1.0797	0.9153	155.4
8	Adam Wainwright	1.2223	1.0676	154.3
9	Mike Minor	1.2710	1.0896	154.3
10	Scott Feldman	1.3802	1.1835	154.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	1.3166	1.0061	247.5
2	José Fernández	1.2969	0.9788	199.8
3	Dylan Axelrod	1.3443	1.6597	199.3
4	Clayton Kershaw	1.1451	0.9153	186.2
5	Chris Archer	1.4863	1.1269	175.7
6	Ervin Santana	1.3709	1.1422	175.3
7	CC Sabathia	1.2028	1.3697	173.9
8	Edinson Volquez	1.3874	1.5851	172.8
9	Edwin Jackson	1.2865	1.4601	154.1
10	Max Scherzer	1.1787	0.9705	153.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	CC Sabathia	1.2111	1.3697	241.8
2	Ian Kennedy	1.2320	1.3952	215.1
3	Jeff Samardzija	1.2249	1.3479	210.9
4	Edwin Jackson	1.3016	1.4601	206.8
5	Josh Johnson	1.2617	1.6598	194.2
6	Alex Torres	1.8257	0.8966	185.7
7	Jason Hammel	1.2707	1.4569	179.6
8	Edinson Volquez	1.4647	1.5851	177.2
9	Ryan Vogelsong	1.2951	1.5627	175.3
10	Scott Kazmir	1.6876	1.3228	172.8