2013 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Biggest Plate Appearances (PA) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derek Jeter 612 73 539.0
2 Jedd Gyorko 1 525 524.0
3 Nolan Arenado 1 514 513.0
4 Jemile Weeks 508 9 499.0
5 Cameron Maybin 547 57 490.0
6 Casey Kotchman 505 21 484.0
7 Mark Teixeira 524 63 461.0
8 Brennan Boesch 502 53 449.0
9 Danny Espinosa 606 167 439.0
10 Yasiel Puig 1 432 431.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cameron Maybin 579 57 521.7
2 Derek Jeter 562 73 488.8
3 Mark Teixeira 513 63 449.7
4 Yasiel Puig 1 432 431.0
5 Brian Dozier 205 623 417.9
6 Ryan Braun 667 253 413.5
7 Scott Sizemore 417 6 411.1
8 Danny Espinosa 565 167 397.7
9 Wilfredo Tovar 412 19 392.5
10 Matt Carpenter 328 717 389.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Billy Hamilton 651 22 629.0
2 Johnny Giavotella 677 48 629.0
3 Nick Castellanos 632 18 614.0
4 Jonathan Schoop 617 15 602.0
5 Cord Phelps 601 9 592.0
6 Efren Navarro 597 6 591.0
7 Joey Butler 604 15 589.0
8 Eury Pérez 589 8 581.0
9 Carlos Triunfel 626 47 579.0
10 Engel Beltre 614 42 572.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.3343 0.4254 64.0
2 Josh Donaldson 0.3057 0.3844 55.1
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3521 0.4109 44.5
4 Paul Konerko 0.3840 0.2997 41.8
5 Josh Hamilton 0.3893 0.3216 40.6
6 Mike Trout 0.3778 0.4265 37.6
7 Yasiel Puig 0.3189 0.4020 37.6
8 Hanley Ramirez 0.3369 0.4444 37.4
9 Pete Kozma 0.3343 0.2486 36.7
10 Freddie Freeman 0.3410 0.3920 34.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.3518 0.4254 54.2
2 Josh Donaldson 0.3217 0.3844 46.5
3 Marlon Byrd 0.3005 0.3644 40.9
4 Mike Trout 0.3782 0.4265 39.5
5 Yasiel Puig 0.3189 0.4020 38.9
6 Carlos Gómez 0.3073 0.3635 37.2
7 Matt Carpenter 0.3351 0.3799 37.0
8 Hanley Ramirez 0.3431 0.4444 36.4
9 Shin-Soo Choo 0.3491 0.3931 36.2
10 Starlin Castro 0.3358 0.2796 34.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.3295 0.4254 58.7
2 Josh Donaldson 0.3002 0.3844 50.4
3 Starlin Castro 0.3392 0.2796 48.1
4 B.J. Upton 0.3373 0.2528 41.6
5 Paul Konerko 0.3689 0.2997 40.5
6 Alcides Escobar 0.2948 0.2442 38.0
7 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3511 0.4109 36.3
8 Anthony Rizzo 0.3704 0.3285 34.9
9 J.P. Arencibia 0.3199 0.2589 34.7
10 Marlon Byrd 0.2975 0.3644 33.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Carter 0.2684 0.3624 52.2
2 Andrelton Simmons 0.1567 0.0836 51.2
3 Norichika Aoki 0.1222 0.0593 45.6
4 Marlon Byrd 0.1698 0.2487 42.9
5 Mike Napoli 0.2455 0.3235 42.3
6 Oswaldo Arcia 0.1934 0.3095 42.1
7 Dan Uggla 0.2365 0.3184 41.4
8 Matt Carpenter 0.1872 0.1367 39.6
9 Raul Ibanez 0.1744 0.2581 39.1
10 Edwin Encarnación 0.1553 0.0998 37.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Carter 0.2647 0.3624 49.7
2 Edwin Encarnación 0.1497 0.0998 38.8
3 Norichika Aoki 0.0998 0.0593 35.8
4 Kendrys Morales 0.2146 0.1735 35.3
5 B.J. Upton 0.2486 0.3386 34.5
6 Jason Castro 0.1831 0.2648 33.9
7 Ben Zobrist 0.1656 0.1304 33.5
8 Dan Uggla 0.2437 0.3184 33.3
9 Juan Francisco 0.2630 0.3584 31.9
10 Marlon Byrd 0.1810 0.2487 31.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marlon Byrd 0.1667 0.2487 51.2
2 Yoenis Cespedes 0.1664 0.2387 45.2
3 Dan Uggla 0.2410 0.3184 45.0
4 Starlin Castro 0.1294 0.1830 42.3
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2698 0.2042 42.0
6 Raul Ibanez 0.1816 0.2581 41.1
7 B.J. Upton 0.2558 0.3386 39.8
8 Chris Carter 0.3023 0.3624 38.9
9 Josh Donaldson 0.2206 0.1647 33.0
10 Joe Mauer 0.1171 0.1752 32.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.0955 0.1536 42.7
2 Shin-Soo Choo 0.1078 0.1573 36.3
3 Josh Donaldson 0.0630 0.1138 34.9
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0981 0.1394 30.4
5 Torii Hunter 0.0830 0.0399 27.2
6 Joey Votto 0.1516 0.1860 26.0
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0970 0.1468 25.9
8 Carlos Beltrán 0.1077 0.0633 25.8
9 Chris Davis 0.0709 0.1070 25.3
10 Jean Segura 0.0819 0.0401 25.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1000 0.1536 41.0
2 Shin-Soo Choo 0.1094 0.1573 36.7
3 Carlos Beltrán 0.1106 0.0633 26.2
4 Josh Donaldson 0.0788 0.1138 25.8
5 Torii Hunter 0.0810 0.0399 24.5
6 Prince Fielder 0.1431 0.1053 24.3
7 Chris Davis 0.0746 0.1070 24.2
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1105 0.1394 23.1
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1070 0.1468 21.9
10 Alex Gordon 0.1080 0.0743 21.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1022 0.1536 32.5
2 Carlos Beltrán 0.1071 0.0633 29.9
3 Shin-Soo Choo 0.1094 0.1573 29.8
4 Prince Fielder 0.1384 0.1053 27.9
5 Alex Gordon 0.1053 0.0743 26.0
6 Manny Machado 0.0711 0.0408 25.8
7 Chris Davis 0.0643 0.1070 24.7
8 Torii Hunter 0.0716 0.0399 24.6
9 Ben Zobrist 0.1307 0.1032 23.5
10 Josh Donaldson 0.0729 0.1138 23.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Starling Marte 0.0134 0.0424 16.4
2 Shin-Soo Choo 0.0174 0.0365 13.7
3 Shane Victorino 0.0103 0.0338 12.6
4 Neil Walker 0.0056 0.0272 11.9
5 Chase Utley 0.0286 0.0094 10.2
6 Todd Frazier 0.0089 0.0233 8.7
7 Chase Headley 0.0051 0.0183 8.0
8 Allen Craig 0.0042 0.0178 7.7
9 Yasiel Puig 0.0085 0.0255 7.4
10 Kevin Frandsen 0.0132 0.0396 7.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Starling Marte 0.0150 0.0424 15.6
2 Shin-Soo Choo 0.0160 0.0365 14.7
3 Shane Victorino 0.0100 0.0338 12.8
4 Neil Walker 0.0060 0.0272 11.8
5 Todd Frazier 0.0100 0.0233 8.1
6 Chase Utley 0.0240 0.0094 7.6
7 Jose Iglesias 0.0090 0.0288 7.6
8 Chase Headley 0.0060 0.0183 7.5
9 Yasiel Puig 0.0085 0.0255 7.4
10 Allen Craig 0.0060 0.0178 6.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane Victorino 0.0094 0.0338 13.1
2 Chase Utley 0.0333 0.0094 12.6
3 Neil Walker 0.0049 0.0272 12.4
4 Starling Marte 0.0208 0.0424 12.3
5 Shin-Soo Choo 0.0202 0.0365 11.7
6 Chase Headley 0.0049 0.0183 8.2
7 Allen Craig 0.0041 0.0178 7.8
8 Todd Frazier 0.0109 0.0233 7.6
9 Yasiel Puig 0.0085 0.0255 7.4
10 Jose Iglesias 0.0099 0.0288 7.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.0640 0.1352 47.8
2 Raul Ibanez 0.0448 0.0890 21.9
3 Pedro Alvarez 0.0612 0.0957 21.2
4 Marlon Byrd 0.0249 0.0606 20.6
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0487 0.0778 20.5
6 Paul Konerko 0.0648 0.0302 18.1
7 Domonic Brown 0.0336 0.0670 18.0
8 Chris Carter 0.0667 0.0970 17.7
9 Josh Hamilton 0.0752 0.0492 16.6
10 Jimmy Rollins 0.0361 0.0117 16.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.0792 0.1352 37.8
2 Raul Ibanez 0.0403 0.0890 24.2
3 Marlon Byrd 0.0263 0.0606 19.9
4 Brandon Moss 0.0640 0.0971 16.8
5 Pedro Alvarez 0.0703 0.0957 15.7
6 Miguel Cabrera 0.0712 0.0950 15.6
7 Jason Castro 0.0268 0.0583 15.5
8 Anthony Rizzo 0.0698 0.0478 15.1
9 Domonic Brown 0.0392 0.0670 15.1
10 Paul Konerko 0.0590 0.0302 14.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.0723 0.1352 39.8
2 Raul Ibanez 0.0432 0.0890 20.8
3 Jimmy Rollins 0.0364 0.0117 19.0
4 Paul Konerko 0.0625 0.0302 18.7
5 Marlon Byrd 0.0245 0.0606 18.7
6 Anthony Rizzo 0.0695 0.0478 17.6
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1145 0.0839 17.3
8 Dustin Pedroia 0.0350 0.0157 16.7
9 Brandon Moss 0.0607 0.0971 16.5
10 Jason Castro 0.0228 0.0583 15.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Cuddyer 0.2969 0.3817 45.6
2 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 0.2826 0.3723 41.9
3 David Murphy 0.3132 0.2268 41.3
4 Freddie Freeman 0.3083 0.3714 39.4
5 Mike Napoli 0.2984 0.3668 39.2
6 Darwin Barney 0.2883 0.2195 38.4
7 Justin Ruggiano 0.3375 0.2585 37.5
8 Andrelton Simmons 0.3004 0.2449 36.8
9 Yasiel Puig 0.2973 0.3829 36.8
10 Jhonny Peralta 0.2916 0.3729 36.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Cuddyer 0.2999 0.3817 43.0
2 Darwin Barney 0.2905 0.2195 40.6
3 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 0.2856 0.3723 39.7
4 Freddie Freeman 0.3061 0.3714 39.7
5 David Murphy 0.3069 0.2268 39.2
6 Chris Johnson 0.3209 0.3943 39.0
7 Mike Napoli 0.2987 0.3668 38.1
8 Jhonny Peralta 0.2899 0.3729 36.2
9 Yasiel Puig 0.2973 0.3829 36.0
10 Josh Donaldson 0.2772 0.3319 35.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Darwin Barney 0.2960 0.2195 43.3
2 Chris Johnson 0.3167 0.3943 41.6
3 Michael Cuddyer 0.3049 0.3817 40.6
4 Mike Napoli 0.2974 0.3668 39.2
5 Freddie Freeman 0.3095 0.3714 37.9
6 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 0.2902 0.3723 37.9
7 Anthony Rizzo 0.3108 0.2576 37.8
8 David Murphy 0.3035 0.2268 37.2
9 Matt Carpenter 0.3045 0.3567 36.4
10 Yasiel Puig 0.2973 0.3829 36.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddie Freeman 0.2280 0.3010 44.6
2 David Murphy 0.2418 0.1530 43.3
3 Michael Cuddyer 0.2094 0.2903 42.5
4 Anthony Rizzo 0.2238 0.1659 41.4
5 Darwin Barney 0.2252 0.1606 37.0
6 Daniel Nava 0.2017 0.2685 34.6
7 Jose Iglesias 0.1977 0.2901 34.5
8 Andrelton Simmons 0.2332 0.1842 33.7
9 Chris Johnson 0.2441 0.3067 33.1
10 Allen Craig 0.2292 0.2900 33.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddie Freeman 0.2209 0.3010 46.3
2 Michael Cuddyer 0.2102 0.2903 39.8
3 Darwin Barney 0.2251 0.1606 39.4
4 David Murphy 0.2281 0.1530 38.8
5 Chris Johnson 0.2329 0.3067 36.8
6 Anthony Rizzo 0.2082 0.1659 33.6
7 Miguel Cabrera 0.2377 0.2912 30.6
8 Jayson Werth 0.2249 0.2874 29.8
9 Allen Craig 0.2321 0.2900 29.0
10 Yasiel Puig 0.2248 0.2974 28.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Freddie Freeman 0.2262 0.3010 45.5
2 Anthony Rizzo 0.2289 0.1659 45.1
3 Darwin Barney 0.2340 0.1606 42.0
4 Michael Cuddyer 0.2115 0.2903 41.3
5 Chris Johnson 0.2306 0.3067 40.3
6 David Murphy 0.2341 0.1530 39.7
7 Daniel Nava 0.2022 0.2685 34.3
8 Allen Craig 0.2267 0.2900 34.3
9 Joey Votto 0.2332 0.2824 33.9
10 Miguel Cabrera 0.2373 0.2912 33.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.0717 0.1239 35.4
2 Mike Napoli 0.0736 0.1315 33.6
3 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 0.0797 0.1460 31.3
4 Jason Castro 0.0664 0.1203 26.6
5 Norichika Aoki 0.0747 0.0357 26.0
6 Manny Machado 0.0578 0.0924 24.8
7 Joey Votto 0.1051 0.0706 24.8
8 Alex Gordon 0.0922 0.0565 24.8
9 Adeiny Hechavarría 0.0718 0.0312 23.3
10 Yadier Molina 0.0630 0.0998 20.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Napoli 0.0776 0.1315 33.1
2 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 0.0793 0.1460 32.9
3 Chris Davis 0.0830 0.1239 29.7
4 Jason Castro 0.0673 0.1203 27.6
5 Matt Carpenter 0.0745 0.1044 23.7
6 Jay Bruce 0.0729 0.1031 23.4
7 Manny Machado 0.0636 0.0924 22.8
8 Nick Markakis 0.0773 0.0432 21.6
9 Yadier Molina 0.0642 0.0998 21.0
10 Alex Gordon 0.0885 0.0565 20.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Napoli 0.0776 0.1315 30.2
2 Chris Davis 0.0779 0.1239 29.8
3 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 0.0848 0.1460 28.0
4 Jason Castro 0.0623 0.1203 27.7
5 Joey Votto 0.1020 0.0706 24.1
6 Alex Gordon 0.0884 0.0565 23.5
7 Matt Carpenter 0.0716 0.1044 22.3
8 Yadier Molina 0.0573 0.0998 22.1
9 Nick Markakis 0.0701 0.0432 20.0
10 Brett Gardner 0.0464 0.0797 19.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dexter Fowler 0.0326 0.0099 10.5
2 Carlos Gómez 0.0129 0.0268 9.0
3 José Reyes 0.0221 0.0000 8.7
4 Adeiny Hechavarría 0.0051 0.0178 8.1
5 Starlin Castro 0.0162 0.0038 7.8
6 Jacoby Ellsbury 0.0062 0.0166 7.5
7 Shane Victorino 0.0204 0.0050 7.4
8 Pete Kozma 0.0176 0.0000 7.3
9 David Wright 0.0053 0.0179 6.9
10 Brad Miller 0.0061 0.0240 6.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dexter Fowler 0.0319 0.0099 10.3
2 Carlos Gómez 0.0106 0.0268 10.2
3 Denard Span 0.0072 0.0205 9.5
4 Starlin Castro 0.0172 0.0038 8.7
5 Jacoby Ellsbury 0.0044 0.0166 8.4
6 Stephen Drew 0.0103 0.0259 8.3
7 José Reyes 0.0196 0.0000 7.8
8 Brett Gardner 0.0125 0.0242 7.8
9 David Wright 0.0044 0.0179 7.2
10 Shane Victorino 0.0181 0.0050 6.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Starlin Castro 0.0223 0.0038 11.3
2 Dexter Fowler 0.0341 0.0099 10.7
3 Carlos Gómez 0.0144 0.0268 8.8
4 Dan Uggla 0.0000 0.0116 7.6
5 David Wright 0.0050 0.0179 7.6
6 José Reyes 0.0198 0.0000 7.3
7 Marlon Byrd 0.0036 0.0134 7.2
8 Shane Victorino 0.0203 0.0050 6.8
9 Jacoby Ellsbury 0.0086 0.0166 6.7
10 Torii Hunter 0.0026 0.0102 6.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Carpenter 0.1203 0.1757 43.1
2 B.J. Upton 0.1293 0.0673 25.6
3 Chris Davis 0.1201 0.1530 25.3
4 Starling Marte 0.1074 0.1466 24.8
5 Adeiny Hechavarría 0.0975 0.0519 23.7
6 Shin-Soo Choo 0.1217 0.1503 23.6
7 Jimmy Rollins 0.1362 0.0976 22.6
8 Matt Holliday 0.1412 0.1711 20.8
9 Coco Crisp 0.1287 0.1592 20.5
10 Josh Hamilton 0.1517 0.1148 20.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Carpenter 0.1052 0.1757 53.3
2 Starlin Castro 0.1240 0.0837 25.7
3 B.J. Upton 0.1282 0.0673 25.5
4 Paul Konerko 0.1304 0.0788 24.8
5 Marlon Byrd 0.0906 0.1295 24.8
6 Pablo Sandoval 0.1343 0.0890 24.2
7 Matt Holliday 0.1354 0.1711 23.8
8 Billy Butler 0.1317 0.0928 23.4
9 Prince Fielder 0.1519 0.1152 23.4
10 AJ Pollock 0.0941 0.1328 20.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Carpenter 0.1069 0.1757 50.0
2 B.J. Upton 0.1371 0.0673 30.8
3 Starlin Castro 0.1250 0.0837 28.6
4 Chris Davis 0.1125 0.1530 27.8
5 Jimmy Rollins 0.1399 0.0976 27.7
6 Adeiny Hechavarría 0.0994 0.0519 27.0
7 Matt Holliday 0.1314 0.1711 24.4
8 Daniel Nava 0.1005 0.1437 23.6
9 Darwin Barney 0.1269 0.0883 21.0
10 Jose Altuve 0.1265 0.0952 20.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

RBI Rate

Biggest RBI Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.1220 0.2051 58.6
2 Marlon Byrd 0.0881 0.1520 39.4
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1327 0.1761 33.7
4 Brandon Phillips 0.1115 0.1547 31.5
5 Jayson Werth 0.1023 0.1541 29.7
6 Josh Hamilton 0.1746 0.1242 29.5
7 Adam Jones 0.1189 0.1567 28.9
8 Freddie Freeman 0.1320 0.1733 28.5
9 Miguel Cabrera 0.1724 0.2101 27.3
10 Wilson Ramos 0.1111 0.1947 26.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.1465 0.2051 43.7
2 Brandon Phillips 0.1058 0.1547 36.7
3 Marlon Byrd 0.1024 0.1520 32.4
4 Miguel Cabrera 0.1749 0.2101 27.1
5 Ryan Raburn 0.1071 0.1986 27.1
6 Starlin Castro 0.1064 0.0624 26.5
7 Wilson Ramos 0.1165 0.1947 25.6
8 Jayson Werth 0.1135 0.1541 25.0
9 B.J. Upton 0.1203 0.0583 24.8
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1475 0.1761 24.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.1357 0.2051 46.9
2 Anthony Rizzo 0.1698 0.1159 37.0
3 Shin-Soo Choo 0.1279 0.0758 36.9
4 Joey Votto 0.1503 0.1006 35.9
5 Starlin Castro 0.1132 0.0624 35.6
6 Marlon Byrd 0.0941 0.1520 33.7
7 Jimmy Rollins 0.1092 0.0586 33.6
8 Starling Marte 0.1176 0.0618 31.4
9 B.J. Upton 0.1233 0.0583 28.9
10 Ryan Raburn 0.0970 0.1986 28.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Stolen Base Rate

Biggest Stolen Base Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jean Segura 0.1067 0.2716 111.2
2 Leonys Martin 0.1176 0.3000 99.5
3 Alex Rios 0.1473 0.2642 86.3
4 Jacoby Ellsbury 0.1759 0.2955 84.6
5 Coco Crisp 0.2951 0.1419 81.6
6 Starling Marte 0.1594 0.2847 78.6
7 Alexei Ramirez 0.0882 0.1840 73.7
8 Alfonso Soriano 0.0446 0.1475 72.9
9 Nate McLouth 0.0957 0.2041 72.2
10 Jarrod Dyson 0.2784 0.5484 67.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Rios 0.1014 0.2642 106.9
2 Leonys Martin 0.1103 0.3000 95.7
3 Jacoby Ellsbury 0.1481 0.2955 92.9
4 Starling Marte 0.1341 0.2847 84.5
5 Jean Segura 0.1347 0.2716 84.5
6 Rajai Davis 0.2857 0.5114 80.8
7 Elvis Andrus 0.0971 0.2111 78.6
8 Eric Young Jr. 0.1833 0.3151 78.0
9 Alexei Ramirez 0.0690 0.1840 76.7
10 Alfonso Soriano 0.0301 0.1475 72.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alex Rios 0.1493 0.2642 86.9
2 Leonys Martin 0.1613 0.3000 78.8
3 Alfonso Soriano 0.0381 0.1475 78.8
4 Alexei Ramirez 0.0861 0.1840 77.1
5 Coco Crisp 0.2857 0.1419 74.4
6 Mike Trout 0.2582 0.1410 72.2
7 Daniel Murphy 0.0517 0.1377 71.4
8 Nate McLouth 0.1028 0.2041 69.8
9 Jacoby Ellsbury 0.2091 0.2955 65.4
10 Brett Gardner 0.2772 0.1538 65.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Batting Average

Biggest Batting Average Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Donaldson 0.2437 0.3005 39.5
2 Freddie Freeman 0.2653 0.3194 35.5
3 Michael Cuddyer 0.2691 0.3313 34.8
4 Dan Uggla 0.2445 0.1786 34.2
5 Matt Carpenter 0.2736 0.3179 33.4
6 Daniel Nava 0.2460 0.3035 32.1
7 Eric Hosmer 0.2582 0.3018 31.2
8 Jose Iglesias 0.2262 0.3029 30.1
9 Starlin Castro 0.2896 0.2447 30.0
10 Josh Hamilton 0.2992 0.2500 29.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Carpenter 0.2697 0.3179 37.0
2 Josh Donaldson 0.2501 0.3005 36.0
3 Chris Johnson 0.2620 0.3210 34.2
4 Jayson Werth 0.2601 0.3182 32.7
5 Darwin Barney 0.2689 0.2076 32.1
6 Michael Cuddyer 0.2757 0.3313 31.9
7 Jed Lowrie 0.2456 0.2902 31.8
8 Freddie Freeman 0.2734 0.3194 31.1
9 Starlin Castro 0.2917 0.2447 30.6
10 Dan Uggla 0.2369 0.1786 29.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Donaldson 0.2336 0.3005 41.5
2 Matt Carpenter 0.2570 0.3179 40.2
3 Starlin Castro 0.2936 0.2447 37.8
4 Darwin Barney 0.2698 0.2076 37.2
5 Anthony Rizzo 0.2787 0.2327 35.1
6 Dan Uggla 0.2382 0.1786 34.6
7 Chris Johnson 0.2540 0.3210 34.1
8 B.J. Upton 0.2509 0.1841 31.9
9 Jayson Werth 0.2535 0.3182 31.9
10 Daniel Nava 0.2404 0.3035 31.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

On-Base Percentage

Biggest On-Base Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Donaldson 0.2989 0.3838 59.0
2 Mike Trout 0.3664 0.4316 49.1
3 Shin-Soo Choo 0.3670 0.4231 42.4
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3449 0.4006 42.0
5 Freddie Freeman 0.3373 0.3959 39.0
6 Chris Davis 0.3176 0.3700 37.6
7 Matt Carpenter 0.3458 0.3922 35.7
8 Michael Cuddyer 0.3311 0.3889 33.1
9 Starlin Castro 0.3323 0.2841 31.6
10 Yasiel Puig 0.3218 0.3912 31.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Donaldson 0.3145 0.3838 50.3
2 Shin-Soo Choo 0.3608 0.4231 48.6
3 Mike Trout 0.3735 0.4316 45.8
4 Chris Davis 0.3244 0.3700 34.7
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3589 0.4006 33.8
6 Starlin Castro 0.3368 0.2841 33.0
7 Freddie Freeman 0.3500 0.3959 32.6
8 Yasiel Puig 0.3218 0.3912 32.6
9 Alcides Escobar 0.3149 0.2591 32.0
10 Matt Carpenter 0.3540 0.3922 31.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Donaldson 0.2953 0.3838 53.3
2 Mike Trout 0.3608 0.4316 44.5
3 Starlin Castro 0.3324 0.2841 40.1
4 Alcides Escobar 0.3116 0.2591 39.3
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.3380 0.4006 38.3
6 Chris Davis 0.3054 0.3700 37.7
7 Shin-Soo Choo 0.3687 0.4231 32.6
8 David Murphy 0.3410 0.2821 32.1
9 J.P. Arencibia 0.2823 0.2274 31.6
10 Prince Fielder 0.3973 0.3624 31.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Slugging Percentage

Biggest Slugging Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.4483 0.6336 129.7
2 Paul Konerko 0.5104 0.3555 76.7
3 Marlon Byrd 0.3870 0.5113 76.3
4 Hanley Ramirez 0.4263 0.6382 73.7
5 Josh Donaldson 0.3969 0.4991 73.3
6 Pete Kozma 0.4364 0.2732 69.8
7 Josh Hamilton 0.5492 0.4323 69.6
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.4641 0.5515 67.4
9 B.J. Upton 0.4322 0.2890 60.5
10 Yasiel Puig 0.4037 0.5340 59.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.4884 0.6336 105.6
2 Marlon Byrd 0.3808 0.5113 82.4
3 Hanley Ramirez 0.4399 0.6382 70.6
4 Carlos Gómez 0.4041 0.5056 66.9
5 Matt Carpenter 0.4042 0.4808 63.4
6 Yasiel Puig 0.4037 0.5340 61.4
7 Josh Donaldson 0.4210 0.4991 60.1
8 Jayson Werth 0.4326 0.5325 59.4
9 Jason Castro 0.3778 0.4851 58.5
10 Paul Konerko 0.4775 0.3555 57.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Davis 0.4505 0.6336 115.7
2 B.J. Upton 0.4550 0.2890 79.0
3 Starlin Castro 0.4458 0.3468 77.6
4 Marlon Byrd 0.3721 0.5113 74.1
5 Paul Konerko 0.4848 0.3555 73.0
6 Josh Donaldson 0.3832 0.4991 70.0
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.6060 0.4800 69.1
8 Anthony Rizzo 0.5035 0.4191 65.9
9 Jason Castro 0.3441 0.4851 63.7
10 Hanley Ramirez 0.4478 0.6382 60.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Biggest Batters Faced (BF) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hyun Jin Ryu 1 783 782.0
2 Ricky Romero 746 40 706.0
3 Matt Harrison 753 51 702.0
4 José Fernández 1 681 680.0
5 Chad Billingsley 660 49 611.0
6 Gavin Floyd 689 110 579.0
7 Shelby Miller 165 722 557.0
8 Julio Teheran 221 774 553.0
9 James McDonald 688 138 550.0
10 Derek Lowe 601 57 544.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Harrison 844 51 793.0
2 Ricky Romero 760 40 720.0
3 Brett Myers 690 97 593.0
4 Johnny Cueto 829 242 587.0
5 Clayton Richard 815 239 576.0
6 Hyun Jin Ryu 213 783 570.0
7 Gavin Floyd 666 110 556.0
8 James McDonald 693 138 555.0
9 Chad Billingsley 580 49 531.0
10 Wandy Rodriguez 770 260 510.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ricky Romero 839 40 798.9
2 Matt Harrison 828 51 776.9
3 Chris Volstad 769 47 722.0
4 José Fernández 1 681 680.0
5 Chad Billingsley 729 49 680.0
6 Brett Myers 770 97 673.0
7 Gavin Floyd 756 110 646.1
8 David Holmberg 666 20 646.0
9 Blake Beavan 806 174 631.9
10 Barry Enright 671 43 628.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Scherzer 0.3235 0.2581 53.4
2 José Fernández 0.3135 0.2383 50.2
3 Matt Harvey 0.3017 0.2354 44.7
4 Lucas Harrell 0.3095 0.3657 40.8
5 Joe Saunders 0.3290 0.3760 39.7
6 Joe Blanton 0.3282 0.3891 38.1
7 CC Sabathia 0.2961 0.3334 35.2
8 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.3158 0.2747 34.3
9 Justin Verlander 0.2720 0.3064 33.2
10 Barry Zito 0.3270 0.3799 33.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Blanton 0.2854 0.3891 51.4
2 Matt Harvey 0.2864 0.2354 48.7
3 Clayton Kershaw 0.2630 0.2320 45.9
4 José Fernández 0.2807 0.2383 42.2
5 Joe Saunders 0.3095 0.3760 38.5
6 Dylan Axelrod 0.3027 0.3855 37.1
7 CC Sabathia 0.2757 0.3334 34.6
8 Edinson Volquez 0.2869 0.3491 33.1
9 Travis Wood 0.3042 0.2844 32.3
10 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.2908 0.2747 30.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Fernández 0.3135 0.2383 57.9
2 Joe Saunders 0.3002 0.3760 54.1
3 Joe Blanton 0.2977 0.3891 49.8
4 Barry Zito 0.2953 0.3799 45.4
5 CC Sabathia 0.2754 0.3334 43.6
6 Matt Harvey 0.2874 0.2354 42.7
7 Justin Verlander 0.2534 0.3064 39.8
8 Jason Hammel 0.2790 0.3532 39.3
9 Ian Kennedy 0.2853 0.3400 35.5
10 Lucas Harrell 0.3064 0.3657 35.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yu Darvish 0.2444 0.3294 67.4
2 José Fernández 0.1986 0.2746 48.4
3 Justin Masterson 0.1779 0.2428 48.2
4 Scott Kazmir 0.1705 0.2411 44.2
5 A.J. Burnett 0.2011 0.2609 44.1
6 Aníbal Sánchez 0.2091 0.2708 42.4
7 Trevor Rosenthal 0.2089 0.3473 41.5
8 Dylan Axelrod 0.1891 0.1246 40.7
9 Lucas Harrell 0.1750 0.1259 38.1
10 Yovani Gallardo 0.2302 0.1863 37.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Cashner 0.2529 0.1810 57.9
2 Scott Kazmir 0.1459 0.2411 57.1
3 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1852 0.2708 56.3
4 Yu Darvish 0.2527 0.3294 55.9
5 Justin Masterson 0.1705 0.2428 49.9
6 A.J. Burnett 0.1943 0.2609 45.3
7 Dallas Keuchel 0.1093 0.1804 41.6
8 Esmil Rogers 0.2195 0.1605 41.3
9 Yovani Gallardo 0.2288 0.1863 40.7
10 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.1896 0.2497 38.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yovani Gallardo 0.2386 0.1863 57.7
2 Scott Kazmir 0.1390 0.2411 53.5
3 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1779 0.2708 52.6
4 Esmil Rogers 0.2225 0.1605 50.5
5 Jason Hammel 0.2067 0.1571 43.9
6 Bud Norris 0.2245 0.1902 43.8
7 A.J. Burnett 0.1840 0.2609 43.7
8 Wily Peralta 0.1904 0.1608 41.7
9 Andrew Cashner 0.2163 0.1810 40.8
10 Justin Masterson 0.1708 0.2428 39.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Harvey 0.0900 0.0449 30.7
2 Jason Marquis 0.0763 0.1313 28.8
3 Adam Wainwright 0.0671 0.0366 28.5
4 David Price 0.0754 0.0365 28.4
5 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.0814 0.0485 28.0
6 Jeff Locke 0.0820 0.1181 26.1
7 Lucas Harrell 0.0920 0.1245 23.4
8 Eric Stults 0.0739 0.0467 22.8
9 Roy Halladay 0.0511 0.1277 21.8
10 Dillon Gee 0.0821 0.0559 21.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Harvey 0.1028 0.0449 36.3
2 Jason Marquis 0.0745 0.1313 32.1
3 Jeff Locke 0.0836 0.1181 28.2
4 Chris Archer 0.1269 0.0724 25.9
5 David Price 0.0762 0.0365 25.5
6 Ian Kennedy 0.0663 0.0919 24.5
7 Roy Halladay 0.0481 0.1277 23.9
8 Randall Delgado 0.1036 0.0486 23.5
9 Eric Stults 0.0785 0.0467 22.8
10 Lucas Harrell 0.0981 0.1245 22.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jason Marquis 0.0771 0.1313 32.7
2 Matt Harvey 0.0975 0.0449 30.2
3 Ian Kennedy 0.0649 0.0919 28.5
4 Jeff Locke 0.0885 0.1181 27.4
5 Ryan Dempster 0.0780 0.1048 26.9
6 Eric Stults 0.0865 0.0467 26.6
7 Roy Halladay 0.0430 0.1277 26.4
8 Lucas Harrell 0.0961 0.1245 26.3
9 R.A. Dickey 0.0566 0.0753 26.0
10 Scott Kazmir 0.1165 0.0699 25.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0133 0.0325 9.3
2 Roy Halladay 0.0062 0.0355 8.2
3 Iván Nova 0.0099 0.0239 8.0
4 Francisco Liriano 0.0110 0.0000 7.5
5 Scott Kazmir 0.0152 0.0045 7.4
6 Stephen Strasburg 0.0067 0.0164 6.9
7 Justin Masterson 0.0125 0.0212 6.7
8 Johnny Hellweg 0.0083 0.0494 6.6
9 Doug Fister 0.0104 0.0182 6.6
10 Chris Sale 0.0084 0.0162 6.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0124 0.0325 10.0
2 Iván Nova 0.0090 0.0239 8.8
3 Roy Halladay 0.0068 0.0355 8.1
4 Justin Masterson 0.0119 0.0212 7.6
5 Héctor Santiago 0.0117 0.0229 7.5
6 Chris Sale 0.0078 0.0162 7.5
7 Doug Fister 0.0101 0.0182 7.2
8 Stephen Strasburg 0.0069 0.0164 7.1
9 Francisco Liriano 0.0102 0.0000 6.7
10 Scott Kazmir 0.0143 0.0045 6.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Charlie Morton 0.0139 0.0325 10.1
2 Chris Sale 0.0068 0.0162 9.9
3 Stephen Strasburg 0.0053 0.0164 9.6
4 Roy Halladay 0.0054 0.0355 9.1
5 Iván Nova 0.0107 0.0239 8.9
6 Mat Latos 0.0036 0.0114 8.6
7 Justin Masterson 0.0128 0.0212 8.3
8 Mark Buehrle 0.0028 0.0103 8.3
9 Scott Kazmir 0.0188 0.0045 8.3
10 Doug Fister 0.0109 0.0182 8.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yu Darvish 0.0300 0.0546 20.9
2 A.J. Griffin 0.0380 0.0606 18.8
3 R.A. Dickey 0.0317 0.0511 18.5
4 John Danks 0.0334 0.0605 15.9
5 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0369 0.0176 15.6
6 Chris Tillman 0.0375 0.0555 15.4
7 Jeff Locke 0.0439 0.0222 15.3
8 Jorge De La Rosa 0.0421 0.0206 15.2
9 Henderson Alvarez III 0.0409 0.0061 14.5
10 A.J. Burnett 0.0395 0.0213 14.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Griffin 0.0360 0.0606 18.6
2 Yu Darvish 0.0324 0.0546 17.0
3 R.A. Dickey 0.0322 0.0511 15.9
4 Mat Latos 0.0383 0.0224 15.8
5 Clayton Kershaw 0.0330 0.0177 15.7
6 Joe Blanton 0.0349 0.0624 15.6
7 Randall Delgado 0.0302 0.0649 15.5
8 Matt Harvey 0.0348 0.0151 15.0
9 Roberto Hernandez 0.0260 0.0501 14.2
10 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0354 0.0184 14.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yu Darvish 0.0294 0.0546 22.3
2 Hyun Jin Ryu 0.0557 0.0259 22.3
3 A.J. Griffin 0.0391 0.0606 18.8
4 Jarrod Parker 0.0224 0.0407 16.0
5 Derek Holland 0.0499 0.0313 15.4
6 Aaron Harang 0.0323 0.0557 15.4
7 John Danks 0.0362 0.0605 14.9
8 Tommy Milone 0.0296 0.0500 14.5
9 Jhoulys Chacín 0.0365 0.0176 14.4
10 Brandon Maurer 0.0223 0.0535 13.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Scherzer 0.3149 0.2587 48.7
2 Wade Davis 0.2825 0.3607 47.0
3 Justin Verlander 0.2679 0.3164 43.0
4 Scott Feldman 0.3068 0.2583 38.3
5 Barry Zito 0.2814 0.3461 38.1
6 José Fernández 0.2936 0.2399 37.9
7 Madison Bumgarner 0.2949 0.2514 36.5
8 Dallas Keuchel 0.2848 0.3402 36.4
9 Doug Fister 0.2889 0.3318 36.0
10 Jeremy Hellickson 0.2575 0.3073 35.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wade Davis 0.2887 0.3607 42.4
2 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.2970 0.2516 42.1
3 A.J. Griffin 0.2857 0.2419 38.7
4 José Fernández 0.2887 0.2399 35.4
5 Barry Zito 0.2848 0.3461 35.3
6 Bud Norris 0.2853 0.3333 34.6
7 Joe Blanton 0.2869 0.3463 34.3
8 Madison Bumgarner 0.2904 0.2514 33.9
9 R.A. Dickey 0.2951 0.2646 31.8
10 Clayton Kershaw 0.2826 0.2508 31.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wade Davis 0.2837 0.3607 44.9
2 Joe Saunders 0.2758 0.3323 42.7
3 Barry Zito 0.2735 0.3461 41.4
4 Max Scherzer 0.3026 0.2587 40.4
5 José Fernández 0.2936 0.2399 39.5
6 Justin Verlander 0.2729 0.3164 36.1
7 Travis Wood 0.2868 0.2479 35.6
8 Doug Fister 0.2903 0.3318 32.7
9 Scott Feldman 0.2962 0.2583 32.1
10 Joe Blanton 0.2923 0.3463 30.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Scherzer 0.2383 0.1795 52.3
2 Doug Fister 0.2182 0.2762 47.8
3 Wade Davis 0.2082 0.2881 47.0
4 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.2197 0.1797 37.8
5 A.J. Griffin 0.2303 0.1882 37.7
6 Justin Verlander 0.2037 0.2475 37.1
7 Scott Feldman 0.2386 0.1937 36.9
8 Barry Zito 0.2026 0.2652 35.8
9 Juan Nicasio 0.2353 0.1928 32.5
10 Kyle Kendrick 0.2051 0.2460 29.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.2970 0.1797 43.3
2 Doug Fister 0.2949 0.2762 42.8
3 Wade Davis 0.2887 0.2881 41.1
4 R.A. Dickey 0.2951 0.1954 30.7
5 Max Scherzer 0.2824 0.1795 29.8
6 Justin Verlander 0.2826 0.2475 29.8
7 Barry Zito 0.2848 0.2652 28.9
8 Juan Nicasio 0.2998 0.1928 28.0
9 Travis Wood 0.2815 0.1812 27.2
10 Dallas Keuchel 0.2962 0.2676 26.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Scherzer 0.3026 0.1795 47.7
2 Doug Fister 0.2903 0.2762 45.8
3 Wade Davis 0.2837 0.2881 43.5
4 Justin Verlander 0.2729 0.2475 37.6
5 Juan Nicasio 0.3106 0.1928 36.4
6 Alex Wood 0.2231 0.2648 35.3
7 Barry Zito 0.2735 0.2652 35.1
8 Travis Wood 0.2868 0.1812 32.5
9 Nick Tepesch 0.2231 0.2351 31.8
10 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.2811 0.1797 30.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Hamels 0.0584 0.0995 37.7
2 Joe Saunders 0.0621 0.0979 29.7
3 Yu Darvish 0.0762 0.0422 28.2
4 Juan Nicasio 0.0692 0.1004 22.3
5 Gio González 0.0563 0.0827 22.0
6 Matt Harvey 0.0711 0.0394 21.6
7 Stephen Strasburg 0.0635 0.0351 20.4
8 Iván Nova 0.0828 0.0496 19.2
9 Chris Sale 0.0720 0.0503 18.4
10 Tyler Cloyd 0.0617 0.1250 18.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Hamels 0.0000 0.0995 31.8
2 Joe Saunders 0.0000 0.0979 27.5
3 Juan Nicasio 0.0000 0.1004 25.3
4 Stephen Strasburg 0.0000 0.0351 21.4
5 Michael Wacha 0.0644 0.0526 19.8
6 Yu Darvish 0.0000 0.0422 18.6
7 Matt Harvey 0.0000 0.0394 17.3
8 Tyler Cloyd 0.0000 0.1250 17.1
9 Justin Masterson 0.0000 0.0438 16.5
10 José Fernández 0.0000 0.0404 16.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Fernández 0.0644 0.0404 60.2
2 Cole Hamels 0.0000 0.0995 31.8
3 Joe Saunders 0.0000 0.0979 27.5
4 Juan Nicasio 0.0000 0.1004 25.3
5 Alfredo Figaro 0.0644 0.0519 24.3
6 Nick Tepesch 0.0644 0.0737 22.4
7 Taylor Jordan 0.0644 0.0287 22.0
8 Stephen Strasburg 0.0000 0.0351 21.4
9 Sonny Gray 0.0644 0.0471 21.3
10 Michael Wacha 0.0644 0.0526 19.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Webb 0.0053 0.0328 9.6
2 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0145 0.0041 7.1
3 Philip Humber 0.0057 0.0311 6.9
4 Adam Wainwright 0.0111 0.0029 6.5
5 Wade Miley 0.0121 0.0033 6.4
6 Jeremy Hellickson 0.0060 0.0134 6.4
7 Kyle Kendrick 0.0047 0.0113 6.4
8 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0097 0.0167 6.2
9 Tom Koehler 0.0093 0.0183 6.2
10 Lance Lynn 0.0103 0.0162 6.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Webb 0.0000 0.0328 8.9
2 Lance Lynn 0.0000 0.0162 8.6
3 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0000 0.0167 7.9
4 Tom Koehler 0.0000 0.0183 7.4
5 Philip Humber 0.0000 0.0311 6.5
6 Dan Jennings 0.0000 0.0431 6.3
7 Edinson Volquez 0.0000 0.0131 5.4
8 Jeremy Hellickson 0.0000 0.0134 5.4
9 A.J. Griffin 0.0000 0.0000 5.0
10 Edwin Jackson 0.0000 0.0125 5.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Webb 0.0000 0.0328 8.9
2 Lance Lynn 0.0000 0.0162 8.6
3 Aníbal Sánchez 0.0000 0.0167 7.9
4 Tom Koehler 0.0000 0.0183 7.4
5 Philip Humber 0.0000 0.0311 6.5
6 Dan Jennings 0.0000 0.0431 6.3
7 Edinson Volquez 0.0000 0.0131 5.4
8 Jeremy Hellickson 0.0000 0.0134 5.4
9 José Fernández 0.0061 0.0048 5.0
10 A.J. Griffin 0.0000 0.0000 5.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeremy Hellickson 0.0936 0.1398 36.0
2 CC Sabathia 0.1005 0.1344 33.1
3 Lucas Harrell 0.1131 0.1570 32.9
4 Ryan Vogelsong 0.0965 0.1563 29.2
5 Francisco Liriano 0.1268 0.0811 28.7
6 Ian Kennedy 0.1032 0.1360 28.2
7 Josh Johnson 0.0970 0.1667 27.8
8 R.A. Dickey 0.0935 0.1198 27.4
9 José Fernández 0.1096 0.0690 25.8
10 Wade Davis 0.1059 0.1440 25.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 CC Sabathia 0.1055 0.1344 29.7
2 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.1177 0.0797 29.6
3 Joe Blanton 0.1131 0.1571 29.3
4 Edinson Volquez 0.1151 0.1467 27.6
5 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1152 0.0751 27.0
6 Matt Harvey 0.1092 0.0667 26.6
7 Clayton Kershaw 0.0935 0.0606 26.3
8 Clay Buchholz 0.1220 0.0553 26.1
9 Bartolo Colon 0.1148 0.0780 25.3
10 Edwin Jackson 0.1131 0.1416 25.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 CC Sabathia 0.1013 0.1344 38.8
2 Edinson Volquez 0.1078 0.1467 37.8
3 Ian Kennedy 0.1031 0.1360 33.8
4 Edwin Jackson 0.1079 0.1416 33.7
5 Jeremy Hellickson 0.1043 0.1398 33.3
6 Ryan Vogelsong 0.1014 0.1563 30.2
7 Lucas Harrell 0.1248 0.1570 29.6
8 Barry Zito 0.1170 0.1546 28.7
9 Josh Johnson 0.1019 0.1667 28.6
10 Joe Saunders 0.1179 0.1427 28.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Earned Run Rate

Biggest Earned Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeremy Hellickson 0.0865 0.1357 37.5
2 CC Sabathia 0.0886 0.1233 33.1
3 Lucas Harrell 0.1011 0.1414 29.8
4 R.A. Dickey 0.0845 0.1113 26.9
5 José Fernández 0.1014 0.0617 25.9
6 Ryan Vogelsong 0.0879 0.1413 25.7
7 Francisco Liriano 0.1205 0.0811 25.1
8 Aaron Harang 0.0992 0.1374 25.0
9 John Lackey 0.1273 0.0951 23.7
10 Ian Kennedy 0.0968 0.1247 23.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edinson Volquez 0.1054 0.1390 28.5
2 CC Sabathia 0.0964 0.1233 27.4
3 Joe Blanton 0.1042 0.1457 27.3
4 Clayton Kershaw 0.0851 0.0529 26.4
5 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.1079 0.0751 25.7
6 Aníbal Sánchez 0.1063 0.0697 24.9
7 Clay Buchholz 0.1125 0.0505 24.5
8 Dan Haren 0.0933 0.1227 23.4
9 José Fernández 0.0984 0.0617 22.8
10 Bartolo Colon 0.1056 0.0728 22.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edinson Volquez 0.1006 0.1390 37.6
2 Jeremy Hellickson 0.0973 0.1357 35.6
3 CC Sabathia 0.0943 0.1233 35.5
4 Ian Kennedy 0.0962 0.1247 30.6
5 Matt Cain 0.0801 0.1079 28.7
6 Edwin Jackson 0.1005 0.1248 26.7
7 Ryan Vogelsong 0.0944 0.1413 26.6
8 Jeff Samardzija 0.0947 0.1127 25.6
9 Aaron Harang 0.1066 0.1374 25.5
10 Joe Saunders 0.1096 0.1305 25.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Win Rate

Biggest Win Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Zimmermann 0.2500 0.5938 248.9
2 Bartolo Colon 0.2286 0.6000 242.6
3 Francisco Liriano 0.2162 0.6154 228.5
4 Matt Moore 0.2195 0.6296 227.3
5 Shelby Miller 0.1176 0.4839 224.0
6 Max Scherzer 0.3421 0.6563 215.8
7 Jorge De La Rosa 0.1818 0.5333 211.0
8 Julio Teheran 0.1429 0.4667 207.3
9 Kris Medlen 0.1750 0.4688 195.0
10 Adam Wainwright 0.3056 0.5588 188.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corey Kluber 0.1188 0.4231 210.0
2 Bartolo Colon 0.3954 0.6000 189.0
3 Joe Blanton 0.4172 0.0714 186.2
4 Mike Leake 0.2668 0.4516 181.0
5 Max Scherzer 0.4838 0.6563 178.5
6 Francisco Liriano 0.3904 0.6154 177.2
7 Jordan Zimmermann 0.4306 0.5938 176.7
8 Cole Hamels 0.4781 0.2424 176.1
9 Martín Pérez 0.2238 0.5000 167.8
10 Clay Buchholz 0.3956 0.7500 164.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Francisco Liriano 0.3000 0.6154 207.9
2 Max Scherzer 0.4194 0.6563 195.4
3 Cole Hamels 0.4516 0.2424 192.2
4 Jeff Samardzija 0.4444 0.2424 187.6
5 Gio González 0.5625 0.3438 181.8
6 Jordan Zimmermann 0.3846 0.5938 178.1
7 Matt Moore 0.3548 0.6296 174.4
8 Ian Kennedy 0.4375 0.2258 170.6
9 Phil Hughes 0.3929 0.1333 168.7
10 Yu Darvish 0.5862 0.4063 154.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Loss Rate

Biggest Loss Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Sale 0.1200 0.4667 251.0
2 Edwin Jackson 0.2432 0.5806 218.0
3 Wily Peralta 0.1481 0.4688 211.6
4 Kris Medlen 0.0750 0.3750 199.4
5 Eric Stults 0.1290 0.3939 178.3
6 John Danks 0.2800 0.6364 174.6
7 CC Sabathia 0.1714 0.4063 161.6
8 Shaun Marcum 0.1875 0.7143 157.0
9 Max Scherzer 0.2105 0.0938 145.1
10 Scott Diamond 0.2368 0.5417 142.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edwin Jackson 0.3040 0.5806 209.4
2 Roberto Hernandez 0.0896 0.4063 199.0
3 John Danks 0.3451 0.6364 165.7
4 Dylan Axelrod 0.1046 0.3667 149.4
5 Alex Sanabia 0.1065 0.7000 147.2
6 Chris Sale 0.2940 0.4667 143.4
7 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.3386 0.1818 141.9
8 Tim Lincecum 0.2628 0.4375 141.0
9 T.J. McFarland 0.4350 0.0263 137.6
10 Tom Koehler 0.1099 0.3448 136.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edwin Jackson 0.3333 0.5806 213.4
2 John Danks 0.3500 0.6364 182.9
3 Chris Sale 0.2857 0.4667 180.4
4 Cole Hamels 0.2581 0.4242 175.2
5 Shaun Marcum 0.2222 0.7143 173.5
6 Max Scherzer 0.3226 0.0938 168.4
7 Wily Peralta 0.3000 0.4688 157.3
8 Jeanmar Gómez 0.4828 0.0000 151.6
9 Héctor Santiago 0.0667 0.2647 147.9
10 T.J. McFarland 0.5000 0.0263 147.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Save Rate

Biggest Save Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edward Mujica 0.0204 0.5692 145.6
2 Greg Holland 0.1556 0.6912 142.3
3 Sergio Romo 0.1000 0.5846 126.7
4 Ernesto Frieri 0.1667 0.5522 119.1
5 Grant Balfour 0.1538 0.5846 118.7
6 Glen Perkins 0.1200 0.5902 118.2
7 Jason Grilli 0.0500 0.6111 117.8
8 John Axford 0.4151 0.0000 113.5
9 Steve Cishek 0.1333 0.4928 107.3
10 Casey Janssen 0.1556 0.6071 99.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 John Axford 0.5795 0.0000 169.2
2 Edward Mujica 0.0000 0.5692 143.7
3 Kevin Gregg 0.0000 0.5323 141.6
4 Jim Henderson 0.0000 0.4590 111.9
5 Carlos Marmol 0.4933 0.0385 103.7
6 Wilton Lopez 0.2917 0.0000 95.5
7 Jonathan Broxton 0.6625 0.0000 88.9
8 Joaquín Benoit 0.0343 0.3636 85.7
9 Aroldis Chapman 0.2266 0.5588 84.2
10 J.J. Putz 0.7413 0.1500 83.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jim Johnson 0.0000 0.6757 188.4
2 Craig Kimbrel 0.0000 0.7353 182.4
3 Greg Holland 0.0000 0.6912 169.0
4 Mariano Rivera 0.0000 0.6875 168.8
5 Rafael Soriano 0.0000 0.6324 167.3
6 Addison Reed 0.0000 0.5882 165.2
7 Joe Nathan 0.0000 0.6418 153.4
8 Ernesto Frieri 0.0000 0.5522 153.0
9 Fernando Rodney 0.0000 0.5441 149.6
10 Grant Balfour 0.0000 0.5846 145.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Hold Rate

Biggest Hold Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tommy Hunter 0.0556 0.3088 98.8
2 Mark Melancon 0.0769 0.3611 90.6
3 Brandon Kintzler 0.1111 0.3662 90.2
4 Drew Smyly 0.0857 0.3333 87.4
5 Tanner Scheppers 0.1111 0.3553 86.0
6 Chris Sale 0.1400 0.0000 86.0
7 Trevor Rosenthal 0.1579 0.3919 85.4
8 Yoervis Medina 0.0513 0.3016 84.7
9 Junichi Tazawa 0.1111 0.3521 80.0
10 Julio Teheran 0.1429 0.0000 79.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joel Peralta 0.0000 0.5125 134.2
2 Tyler Clippard 0.0000 0.4583 111.9
3 David Robertson 0.0000 0.4714 110.1
4 Trevor Rosenthal 0.0000 0.3919 105.9
5 Brandon Kintzler 0.0000 0.3662 96.0
6 Jared Burton 0.0000 0.3803 92.4
7 Tanner Scheppers 0.0000 0.3553 91.8
8 Tommy Hunter 0.0000 0.3088 86.5
9 Mark Melancon 0.0000 0.3611 86.4
10 Jake McGee 0.0000 0.3803 85.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joel Peralta 0.0000 0.5125 134.2
2 Tyler Clippard 0.0000 0.4583 111.9
3 David Robertson 0.0000 0.4714 110.1
4 Trevor Rosenthal 0.0000 0.3919 105.9
5 Brandon Kintzler 0.0000 0.3662 96.0
6 Jared Burton 0.0000 0.3803 92.4
7 Tanner Scheppers 0.0000 0.3553 91.8
8 Tommy Hunter 0.0000 0.3088 86.5
9 Mark Melancon 0.0000 0.3611 86.4
10 Jake McGee 0.0000 0.3803 85.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

ERA

Biggest ERA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeremy Hellickson 3.2466 5.1724 1429.8
2 Lucas Harrell 3.9130 5.8568 1384.3
3 CC Sabathia 3.3223 4.7773 1334.0
4 John Lackey 5.0670 3.5176 1194.4
5 José Fernández 3.9309 2.1892 1176.4
6 Ryan Vogelsong 3.3155 5.7299 1134.2
7 Francisco Liriano 4.7079 3.0186 1115.6
8 Josh Johnson 3.3952 6.1967 1081.3
9 Joe Saunders 3.9880 5.2623 1056.6
10 R.A. Dickey 3.1148 4.2062 1042.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Blanton 3.9161 6.0377 1376.0
2 Edinson Volquez 4.1272 5.7065 1328.4
3 CC Sabathia 3.6110 4.7773 1177.4
4 Hisashi Iwakuma 4.1396 2.6631 1165.6
5 Clayton Kershaw 3.1608 1.8305 1089.5
6 Clay Buchholz 4.3976 1.7446 1049.4
7 Matt Harvey 3.9077 2.2710 1039.3
8 Aníbal Sánchez 4.0455 2.5714 1002.3
9 José Fernández 3.7888 2.1892 1000.5
10 Roy Halladay 3.4719 6.8226 981.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Edinson Volquez 4.0830 5.7065 1706.9
2 CC Sabathia 3.6036 4.7773 1586.2
3 Jeremy Hellickson 3.7792 5.1724 1449.2
4 Ian Kennedy 3.7109 4.9136 1410.1
5 Joe Blanton 4.4896 6.0377 1296.1
6 Edwin Jackson 3.9047 4.9791 1280.2
7 Joe Saunders 4.3169 5.2623 1245.2
8 Ryan Vogelsong 3.6836 5.7299 1223.3
9 Barry Zito 4.3110 5.7375 1215.8
10 Matt Cain 2.9900 4.0036 1206.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

WHIP

Biggest WHIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Max Scherzer 1.3041 0.9705 284.5
2 Hisashi Iwakuma 1.2903 1.0061 251.9
3 John Lackey 1.4611 1.1567 242.0
4 José Fernández 1.3123 0.9788 231.7
5 Wade Davis 1.3034 1.6773 227.0
6 Lucas Harrell 1.3822 1.7050 223.5
7 Matt Harvey 1.2446 0.9308 221.1
8 Justin Verlander 1.0751 1.3145 215.3
9 Joe Saunders 1.3413 1.6011 207.5
10 Barry Zito 1.3687 1.7025 198.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Blanton 1.2213 1.6131 254.5
2 Matt Harvey 1.3216 0.9308 252.6
3 Hisashi Iwakuma 1.3166 1.0061 247.5
4 José Fernández 1.2969 0.9788 199.8
5 Dylan Axelrod 1.3443 1.6597 199.3
6 Joe Saunders 1.3956 1.6011 188.7
7 Clayton Kershaw 1.1451 0.9153 186.2
8 Wade Davis 1.4052 1.6773 183.5
9 Lucas Harrell 1.4727 1.7050 181.7
10 Chris Archer 1.4863 1.1269 175.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Verlander 1.1026 1.3145 295.6
2 Joe Saunders 1.3600 1.6011 285.9
3 Joe Blanton 1.2663 1.6131 277.7
4 Barry Zito 1.3780 1.7025 262.7
5 Wade Davis 1.3764 1.6773 252.5
6 CC Sabathia 1.2111 1.3697 241.8
7 Ian Kennedy 1.2320 1.3952 215.1
8 Jeff Samardzija 1.2249 1.3479 210.9
9 Lucas Harrell 1.5199 1.7050 207.0
10 Edwin Jackson 1.3016 1.4601 206.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.