2013 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Jeter	612	73	539.0
2	Jedd Gyorko	1	525	524.0
3	Nolan Arenado	1	514	513.0
4	Jemile Weeks	508	9	499.0
5	Cameron Maybin	547	57	490.0
6	Casey Kotchman	505	21	484.0
7	Mark Teixeira	524	63	461.0
8	Brennan Boesch	502	53	449.0
9	Danny Espinosa	606	167	439.0
10	Yasiel Puig	1	432	431.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cameron Maybin	579	57	521.7
2	Derek Jeter	562	73	488.8
3	Mark Teixeira	513	63	449.7
4	Yasiel Puig	1	432	431.0
5	Brian Dozier	205	623	417.9
6	Ryan Braun	667	253	413.5
7	Scott Sizemore	417	6	411.1
8	Danny Espinosa	565	167	397.7
9	Wilfredo Tovar	412	19	392.5
10	Matt Carpenter	328	717	389.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Billy Hamilton	651	22	629.0
2	Johnny Giavotella	677	48	629.0
3	Nick Castellanos	632	18	614.0
4	Jonathan Schoop	617	15	602.0
5	Cord Phelps	601	9	592.0
6	Efren Navarro	597	6	591.0
7	Joey Butler	604	15	589.0
8	Eury Pérez	589	8	581.0
9	Carlos Triunfel	626	47	579.0
10	Engel Beltre	614	42	572.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.4265	0.3778 (40.5)	0.3782 (39.5)	0.3749 (38.1)
Paul Konerko	0.2997	0.3840 (39.7)	0.3658 (30.8)	0.3689 (35.1)
Marlon Byrd	0.3644	0.3116 (35.1)	0.3005 (40.9)	0.2975 (39.6)
Carlos Gómez	0.3635	0.3097 (36.4)	0.3073 (37.2)	0.3095 (32.8)
Jason Castro	0.3635	0.3089 (30.7)	0.3124 (28.4)	0.2962 (33.9)
Yasiel Puig	0.4020	0.3189 (39.3)	0.3189 (38.8)	0.3189 (36.6)
Chris Davis	0.4254	0.3343 (66.7)	0.3518 (54.1)	0.3295 (65.6)
Hanley Ramirez	0.4444	0.3369 (38.8)	0.3431 (36.3)	0.3433 (34.5)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.4109	0.3521 (47.4)	0.3720 (32.4)	0.3511 (43.6)
Jayson Werth	0.4043	0.3496 (33.3)	0.3470 (34.1)	0.3396 (35.2)
Miguel Cabrera	0.4619	0.4229 (30.6)	0.4217 (30.6)	0.4121 (33.5)
Josh Donaldson	0.3844	0.3057 (57.8)	0.3217 (46.4)	0.3002 (57.3)
Matt Carpenter	0.3799	0.3411 (33.5)	0.3351 (37.0)	0.3261 (39.7)
Starlin Castro	0.2796	0.3310 (30.7)	0.3358 (34.8)	0.3392 (40.9)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Hamilton	0.3893	0.3216	38.0
2	Freddie Freeman	0.3410	0.3920	37.1
3	Michael Cuddyer	0.3389	0.3988	36.6
4	Pete Kozma	0.3343	0.2486	34.9
5	Shin-Soo Choo	0.3551	0.3931	32.6
6	Adam Lind	0.3192	0.3714	31.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shin-Soo Choo	0.3491	0.3931	36.2
2	Alcides Escobar	0.3014	0.2442	32.4
3	B.J. Upton	0.3275	0.2528	30.3
4	Nick Markakis	0.3543	0.3060	29.0
5	Michael Cuddyer	0.3520	0.3988	28.9
6	Albert Pujols	0.4036	0.3359	27.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	B.J. Upton	0.3373	0.2528	37.0
2	Alcides Escobar	0.2948	0.2442	31.4
3	J.P. Arencibia	0.3199	0.2589	29.6
4	Chris Johnson	0.3071	0.3575	28.5
5	Daniel Nava	0.3126	0.3640	28.4
6	Anthony Rizzo	0.3704	0.3285	27.8

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edwin Encarnación	0.0998	0.1553 (39.1)	0.1497 (39.9)	0.1531 (35.0)
Chris Carter	0.3624	0.2684 (50.6)	0.2647 (48.7)	0.3023 (33.3)
Ben Zobrist	0.1304	0.1711 (33.7)	0.1656 (34.6)	0.1732 (32.1)
Marlon Byrd	0.2487	0.1698 (41.3)	0.1810 (30.9)	0.1667 (45.7)
Everth Cabrera	0.1586	0.2274 (33.2)	0.2141 (30.4)	0.2245 (30.0)
J.J. Hardy	0.1134	0.1574 (33.2)	0.1491 (32.3)	0.1521 (27.0)
Dan Uggla	0.3184	0.2365 (40.0)	0.2437 (32.4)	0.2410 (39.9)
Juan Francisco	0.3584	0.2642 (33.4)	0.2630 (31.2)	0.2811 (28.6)
Raul Ibanez	0.2581	0.1744 (37.8)	0.1845 (29.4)	0.1816 (36.4)
B.J. Upton	0.3386	0.2534 (34.6)	0.2486 (33.7)	0.2558 (35.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrelton Simmons	0.1567	0.0836	53.0
2	Norichika Aoki	0.1222	0.0593	47.4
3	Matt Carpenter	0.1872	0.1367	41.6
4	Oswaldo Arcia	0.1934	0.3095	41.1
5	Mike Napoli	0.2455	0.3235	40.8
6	Jonathan Lucroy	0.1718	0.1190	35.0
7	Josh Donaldson	0.2063	0.1647	32.8
8	Evan Longoria	0.1803	0.2338	31.9
9	Nolan Arenado	0.1934	0.1401	31.3
10	Brett Wallace	0.2493	0.3649	30.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Norichika Aoki	0.0998	0.0593	36.9
2	Kendrys Morales	0.2146	0.1735	36.4
3	Jason Castro	0.1831	0.2648	33.0
4	Matt Holliday	0.1816	0.1429	32.0
5	Cody Ross	0.2179	0.1425	31.5
6	Andrew McCutchen	0.1797	0.1499	29.8
7	Starlin Castro	0.1265	0.1830	29.7
8	Torii Hunter	0.2044	0.1733	29.6
9	Nate McLouth	0.1784	0.1450	28.3
10	Mike Napoli	0.2605	0.3235	28.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2698	0.2042	48.8
2	Yoenis Cespedes	0.1664	0.2387	39.7
3	Josh Donaldson	0.2206	0.1647	39.4
4	Matt Carpenter	0.1855	0.1367	37.2
5	Starlin Castro	0.1294	0.1830	35.5
6	Brandon Crawford	0.2316	0.1745	33.1
7	Joe Mauer	0.1171	0.1752	27.9
8	Carlos González	0.2035	0.2706	27.9
9	Cody Ross	0.2186	0.1425	27.8
10	Yan Gomes	0.2883	0.2081	26.8

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Prince Fielder	0.1053	0.1352 (19.6)	0.1431 (24.7)	0.1384 (24.6)
Mike Trout	0.1536	0.0955 (43.3)	0.1000 (40.6)	0.1022 (35.8)
Torii Hunter	0.0399	0.0830 (26.6)	0.0810 (24.8)	0.0716 (21.6)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.1468	0.0970 (26.3)	0.1070 (21.6)	0.1037 (21.0)
Chris Davis	0.1070	0.0709 (25.8)	0.0746 (23.9)	0.0643 (27.8)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1394	0.0981 (31.0)	0.1105 (22.7)	0.1023 (25.3)
Josh Donaldson	0.1138	0.0630 (35.4)	0.0788 (25.4)	0.0729 (26.3)
Carlos Beltrán	0.0633	0.1077 (25.3)	0.1106 (26.5)	0.1071 (27.1)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.1573	0.1078 (36.8)	0.1094 (36.3)	0.1094 (33.1)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.1516	0.1860	26.6
2	Jean Segura	0.0819	0.0401	24.6
3	Billy Butler	0.0896	0.1183	20.7
4	Edwin Encarnación	0.1012	0.1320	20.6
5	Kyle Seager	0.0721	0.0978	19.5
6	Ike Davis	0.1047	0.1512	18.4
7	Shane Victorino	0.0838	0.0470	18.3
8	Lucas Duda	0.0979	0.1432	18.3
9	Chris Iannetta	0.1277	0.1704	17.9
10	Bryce Harper	0.0900	0.1227	17.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Gordon	0.1080	0.0743	21.4
2	Shane Victorino	0.0900	0.0470	21.2
3	Manny Machado	0.0727	0.0408	20.4
4	Ben Zobrist	0.1337	0.1032	19.2
5	Adrián González	0.1062	0.0733	19.1
6	Jason Kipnis	0.0913	0.1155	18.0
7	Didi Gregorius	0.0517	0.0916	17.4
8	Brett Gardner	0.1167	0.0854	17.2
9	Chris Iannetta	0.1310	0.1704	17.0
10	Anthony Rizzo	0.0888	0.1101	16.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Gordon	0.1053	0.0743	22.7
2	Manny Machado	0.0711	0.0408	22.5
3	Ben Zobrist	0.1307	0.1032	20.2
4	Brett Gardner	0.1170	0.0854	20.1
5	Adam Dunn	0.1555	0.1252	19.3
6	Munenori Kawasaki	0.0428	0.1107	19.2
7	Brandon Belt	0.1232	0.0911	19.1
8	Kyle Seager	0.0694	0.0978	18.8
9	Jed Lowrie	0.1024	0.0755	18.7
10	Didi Gregorius	0.0455	0.0916	18.1

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Prince Fielder	0.0126	0.0212 (6.1)	0.0190 (4.5)	0.0223 (6.9)
Placido Polanco	0.0216	0.0074 (5.9)	0.0080 (5.7)	0.0052 (6.8)
Neil Walker	0.0272	0.0056 (11.9)	0.0060 (11.7)	0.0049 (12.3)
Yasiel Puig	0.0255	0.0085 (7.3)	0.0085 (7.3)	0.0085 (7.3)
Chase Utley	0.0094	0.0286 (10.3)	0.0240 (7.7)	0.0333 (12.7)
Starling Marte	0.0424	0.0134 (16.4)	0.0150 (15.5)	0.0208 (12.2)
Ryan Doumit	0.0019	0.0124 (5.7)	0.0110 (4.9)	0.0118 (5.4)
Allen Craig	0.0178	0.0042 (7.6)	0.0060 (6.6)	0.0041 (7.7)
Chase Headley	0.0183	0.0051 (7.9)	0.0060 (7.4)	0.0049 (8.1)
Jose Iglesias	0.0288	0.0161 (4.8)	0.0090 (7.6)	0.0099 (7.2)
Todd Frazier	0.0233	0.0089 (8.6)	0.0100 (8.0)	0.0109 (7.4)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.0365	0.0174 (13.6)	0.0160 (14.6)	0.0202 (11.6)
Welington Castillo	0.0257	0.0099 (6.7)	0.0120 (5.9)	0.0133 (5.3)
Shane Victorino	0.0338	0.0103 (12.5)	0.0100 (12.7)	0.0094 (13.0)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Frandsen	0.0132	0.0396	7.3
2	Eric Young Jr.	0.0124	0.0033	5.5
3	Derek Dietrich	0.0085	0.0300	5.0
4	Mark Trumbo	0.0072	0.0000	4.9
5	Pablo Sandoval	0.0021	0.0103	4.7
6	Chris Davis	0.0079	0.0149	4.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Frandsen	0.0180	0.0396	6.0
2	Josh Willingham	0.0170	0.0297	6.0
3	Daniel Nava	0.0180	0.0280	5.4
4	Lucas Duda	0.0110	0.0234	4.8
5	Mark Trumbo	0.0070	0.0000	4.7
6	Jason Heyward	0.0080	0.0182	4.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Young Jr.	0.0133	0.0033	6.0
2	Jason Heyward	0.0051	0.0182	5.8
3	Carlos Quentin	0.0451	0.0281	5.5
4	Pablo Sandoval	0.0018	0.0103	4.9
5	Lucas Duda	0.0107	0.0234	4.9
6	Brandon Barnes	0.0070	0.0180	4.9

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ryan Raburn	0.0904	0.0372 (15.0)	0.0410 (13.7)	0.0415 (13.5)
Paul Konerko	0.0302	0.0648 (17.4)	0.0590 (14.9)	0.0625 (16.8)
Marlon Byrd	0.0606	0.0249 (21.3)	0.0263 (19.9)	0.0245 (20.9)
Jason Castro	0.0583	0.0282 (15.3)	0.0268 (15.5)	0.0228 (17.4)
Chris Davis	0.1352	0.0640 (48.6)	0.0792 (37.7)	0.0723 (42.3)
Jimmy Rollins	0.0117	0.0361 (15.5)	0.0322 (13.7)	0.0364 (16.5)
Carlos González	0.0942	0.0593 (15.7)	0.0642 (13.1)	0.0655 (12.5)
Miguel Cabrera	0.0950	0.0713 (16.2)	0.0712 (15.5)	0.0720 (15.0)
Raul Ibanez	0.0890	0.0448 (22.5)	0.0403 (24.1)	0.0432 (22.7)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pedro Alvarez	0.0612	0.0957	21.9
2	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0487	0.0778	21.4
3	Domonic Brown	0.0336	0.0670	18.6
4	Chris Carter	0.0667	0.0970	18.4
5	Josh Hamilton	0.0752	0.0492	15.8
6	Evan Gattis	0.0374	0.0761	15.2
7	Juan Francisco	0.0474	0.0849	14.9
8	Matt Adams	0.0339	0.0787	14.6
9	Jayson Werth	0.0421	0.0683	14.5
10	Brett Wallace	0.0331	0.0823	14.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Moss	0.0640	0.0971	16.7
2	Pedro Alvarez	0.0703	0.0957	15.7
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.0698	0.0478	15.2
4	Domonic Brown	0.0392	0.0670	15.0
5	Brian Dozier	0.0166	0.0404	14.8
6	Allen Craig	0.0562	0.0315	13.9
7	Coco Crisp	0.0242	0.0480	13.9
8	Prince Fielder	0.0679	0.0489	13.5
9	Will Venable	0.0355	0.0601	12.7
10	Jeff Baker	0.0312	0.1028	12.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Moss	0.0607	0.0971	18.4
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1145	0.0839	15.4
3	Coco Crisp	0.0218	0.0480	15.3
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.0695	0.0478	15.0
5	Brian Dozier	0.0167	0.0404	14.7
6	Dustin Pedroia	0.0350	0.0157	14.0
7	Carlos Pena	0.0845	0.0423	13.8
8	Matt Kemp	0.0785	0.0316	13.6
9	Jeff Baker	0.0253	0.1028	13.6
10	Ben Zobrist	0.0410	0.0227	12.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jhonny Peralta	0.3729	0.2916 (37.1)	0.2899 (36.0)	0.2922 (35.8)
Freddie Freeman	0.3714	0.3083 (40.6)	0.3061 (39.4)	0.3095 (38.4)
Yasiel Puig	0.3829	0.2973 (37.6)	0.2973 (35.9)	0.2973 (36.6)
Andrelton Simmons	0.2449	0.3004 (35.6)	0.2909 (31.9)	0.2959 (34.1)
Dan Uggla	0.2248	0.2886 (33.5)	0.2808 (31.5)	0.2845 (32.5)
David Murphy	0.2268	0.3132 (40.5)	0.3069 (39.4)	0.3035 (36.9)
Josh Donaldson	0.3319	0.2822 (34.1)	0.2772 (34.8)	0.2765 (36.4)
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.3723	0.2826 (42.8)	0.2856 (39.5)	0.2902 (38.2)
Mike Napoli	0.3668	0.2984 (40.3)	0.2987 (37.8)	0.2974 (39.6)
Darwin Barney	0.2195	0.2883 (37.4)	0.2905 (40.9)	0.2960 (43.0)
Michael Cuddyer	0.3817	0.2969 (46.6)	0.2999 (42.8)	0.3049 (41.0)
Carlos Gómez	0.3432	0.2871 (33.9)	0.2892 (30.3)	0.2888 (31.6)
Chris Johnson	0.3943	0.3353 (33.1)	0.3209 (38.7)	0.3167 (42.0)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Ruggiano	0.3375	0.2585	36.6
2	Eric Hosmer	0.2837	0.3346	35.6
3	Jose Iglesias	0.2616	0.3515	34.9
4	Colby Rasmus	0.2822	0.3563	34.6
5	Jason Kipnis	0.2941	0.3413	32.0
6	Jason Castro	0.2905	0.3505	30.2
7	Starling Marte	0.3065	0.3569	29.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marlon Byrd	0.2908	0.3522	34.0
2	Matt Carpenter	0.3087	0.3567	32.6
3	Colby Rasmus	0.2850	0.3563	31.5
4	Alcides Escobar	0.3055	0.2594	31.3
5	Jed Lowrie	0.2689	0.3175	30.4
6	Jason Kipnis	0.2941	0.3413	29.3
7	Manny Machado	0.2732	0.3170	29.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.3108	0.2576	37.3
2	Matt Carpenter	0.3045	0.3567	36.9
3	Mike Trout	0.3242	0.3756	36.2
4	Marlon Byrd	0.2903	0.3522	35.3
5	Justin Ruggiano	0.3298	0.2585	34.0
6	Jed Lowrie	0.2684	0.3175	31.9
7	Allen Craig	0.3110	0.3675	31.3

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Asdrúbal Cabrera	0.1841	0.2308 (26.9)	0.2243 (26.5)	0.2263 (25.4)
Freddie Freeman	0.3010	0.2280 (45.1)	0.2209 (46.0)	0.2262 (45.1)
Anthony Rizzo	0.1659	0.2238 (40.8)	0.2082 (33.9)	0.2289 (45.6)
Yasiel Puig	0.2974	0.2248 (30.8)	0.2248 (28.4)	0.2248 (30.1)
Andrelton Simmons	0.1842	0.2332 (33.1)	0.2193 (27.6)	0.2294 (31.8)
Jayson Werth	0.2874	0.2308 (29.4)	0.2249 (29.6)	0.2233 (32.5)
Allen Craig	0.2900	0.2292 (33.5)	0.2321 (28.7)	0.2267 (33.9)
Miguel Cabrera	0.2912	0.2422 (31.1)	0.2377 (30.3)	0.2373 (33.2)
David Murphy	0.1530	0.2418 (42.9)	0.2281 (39.0)	0.2341 (40.1)
Darwin Barney	0.1606	0.2252 (36.6)	0.2251 (39.6)	0.2340 (42.4)
Michael Cuddyer	0.2903	0.2094 (43.0)	0.2102 (39.5)	0.2115 (40.9)
Daniel Nava	0.2685	0.2017 (35.1)	0.2134 (25.8)	0.2022 (33.9)
Chris Johnson	0.3067	0.2441 (33.5)	0.2329 (36.6)	0.2306 (40.0)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Iglesias	0.1977	0.2901	34.8
2	Chris Davis	0.2508	0.2094	28.7
3	Nate Schierholtz	0.2239	0.1700	27.8
4	Eric Hosmer	0.2212	0.2622	27.1
5	Wilin Rosario	0.2128	0.2719	26.9
6	Jhonny Peralta	0.2148	0.2739	25.9
7	Mitch Moreland	0.2264	0.1788	25.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gerardo Parra	0.2421	0.2072	27.8
2	Wilin Rosario	0.2083	0.2719	26.4
3	Jhonny Peralta	0.2110	0.2739	25.1
4	Joey Votto	0.2409	0.2824	25.0
5	Eric Hosmer	0.2186	0.2622	25.0
6	Adrian Beltré	0.2190	0.2610	24.2
7	Nate Schierholtz	0.2106	0.1700	23.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.2332	0.2824	33.4
2	Mark Trumbo	0.2324	0.1946	27.7
3	Chris Davis	0.2461	0.2094	26.7
4	Josh Donaldson	0.2011	0.2434	26.2
5	Gerardo Parra	0.2432	0.2072	25.9
6	Dan Uggla	0.2182	0.1744	25.2
7	Brandon Barnes	0.1977	0.2562	24.7

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.0899	0.0672 (17.2)	0.0675 (18.4)	0.0639 (18.7)
Marlon Byrd	0.0941	0.0638 (18.3)	0.0692 (16.3)	0.0609 (19.3)
Jason Kipnis	0.0859	0.0563 (20.4)	0.0640 (16.7)	0.0571 (19.0)
Alex Gordon	0.0565	0.0922 (24.1)	0.0885 (20.1)	0.0884 (22.2)
Jason Castro	0.1203	0.0664 (27.1)	0.0673 (27.7)	0.0623 (28.5)
Manny Machado	0.0924	0.0578 (25.5)	0.0636 (22.8)	0.0645 (19.9)
Chris Davis	0.1239	0.0717 (36.1)	0.0830 (29.8)	0.0779 (31.0)
Nick Markakis	0.0432	0.0707 (18.3)	0.0773 (21.5)	0.0701 (18.7)
Jay Bruce	0.1031	0.0769 (19.2)	0.0729 (23.4)	0.0755 (19.3)
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.1460	0.0797 (31.8)	0.0793 (32.9)	0.0848 (28.8)
Mike Napoli	0.1315	0.0736 (34.2)	0.0776 (33.1)	0.0776 (31.2)
Matt Carpenter	0.1044	0.0817 (17.2)	0.0745 (23.8)	0.0716 (23.5)
Yadier Molina	0.0998	0.0630 (20.6)	0.0642 (21.0)	0.0573 (23.0)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Norichika Aoki	0.0747	0.0357	25.3
2	Joey Votto	0.1051	0.0706	24.1
3	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0718	0.0312	22.7
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.0911	0.0621	18.1
5	Adam Dunn	0.0794	0.0492	17.5
6	Brett Gardner	0.0524	0.0797	17.5
7	Brian Dozier	0.0505	0.0771	17.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joe Mauer	0.0695	0.1009	17.7
2	Dan Uggla	0.0745	0.0388	17.4
3	Miguel Montero	0.0853	0.0470	16.6
4	Josh Rutledge	0.0831	0.0271	16.5
5	Miguel Cabrera	0.0902	0.0621	16.2
6	Colby Rasmus	0.0684	0.0996	15.8
7	Mark Reynolds	0.0853	0.0513	15.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.1020	0.0706	22.8
2	Brett Gardner	0.0464	0.0797	20.3
3	Joe Mauer	0.0659	0.1009	17.8
4	Mark Reynolds	0.0863	0.0513	17.6
5	Adam Dunn	0.0779	0.0492	17.3
6	Josh Rutledge	0.0825	0.0271	17.3
7	Adam LaRoche	0.0803	0.0522	16.5

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Marlon Byrd	0.0134	0.0043 (6.1)	0.0048 (5.6)	0.0036 (6.9)
Jacoby Ellsbury	0.0166	0.0062 (7.5)	0.0044 (8.3)	0.0086 (6.4)
Stephen Drew	0.0259	0.0147 (6.3)	0.0103 (8.3)	0.0162 (5.9)
Dexter Fowler	0.0099	0.0326 (10.5)	0.0319 (10.4)	0.0341 (10.9)
José Reyes	0.0000	0.0221 (8.7)	0.0196 (7.8)	0.0198 (7.4)
David Wright	0.0179	0.0053 (6.9)	0.0044 (7.1)	0.0050 (7.4)
Starlin Castro	0.0038	0.0162 (7.8)	0.0172 (8.8)	0.0223 (11.5)
Brad Miller	0.0240	0.0061 (6.4)	0.0075 (5.9)	0.0086 (5.9)
Shane Victorino	0.0050	0.0204 (7.5)	0.0181 (6.5)	0.0203 (7.0)
Carlos Gómez	0.0268	0.0129 (9.0)	0.0106 (10.2)	0.0144 (8.5)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0051	0.0178	8.1
2	Pete Kozma	0.0176	0.0000	7.3
3	Anthony Gose	0.0061	0.0459	6.3
4	Denard Span	0.0124	0.0205	6.2
5	Corey Dickerson	0.0061	0.0331	6.0
6	Brett Gardner	0.0157	0.0242	6.0
7	Seth Smith	0.0158	0.0000	5.9
8	Mike Trout	0.0140	0.0207	5.8
9	Torii Hunter	0.0027	0.0102	5.8
10	Chris Johnson	0.0118	0.0000	5.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Denard Span	0.0072	0.0205	9.4
2	Brett Gardner	0.0125	0.0242	7.7
3	Munenori Kawasaki	0.0050	0.0237	5.7
4	Dan Uggla	0.0020	0.0116	5.7
5	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0092	0.0178	5.6
6	Carlos González	0.0122	0.0240	5.5
7	Josh Hamilton	0.0052	0.0123	5.1
8	Corey Dickerson	0.0114	0.0331	4.8
9	Jean Segura	0.0135	0.0202	4.7
10	Freddy Galvis	0.0057	0.0255	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dan Uggla	0.0000	0.0116	7.4
2	Anthony Rendon	0.0217	0.0035	6.3
3	Torii Hunter	0.0026	0.0102	6.3
4	Carl Crawford	0.0219	0.0082	5.4
5	Alex Gordon	0.0070	0.0126	5.4
6	Nick Hundley	0.0149	0.0000	5.2
7	Munenori Kawasaki	0.0085	0.0237	5.0
8	Brandon Moss	0.0031	0.0108	4.9
9	Chris Johnson	0.0111	0.0000	4.9
10	Chris Denorfia	0.0165	0.0052	4.8

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Matt Holliday	0.1711	0.1412 (21.7)	0.1354 (23.5)	0.1314 (26.4)
Chris Davis	0.1530	0.1201 (26.3)	0.1279 (19.2)	0.1125 (30.1)
Yasiel Puig	0.1528	0.1116 (20.4)	0.1116 (19.2)	0.1116 (19.6)
Jimmy Rollins	0.0976	0.1362 (21.7)	0.1290 (18.7)	0.1399 (25.4)
Jayson Werth	0.1579	0.1256 (20.4)	0.1281 (17.6)	0.1218 (21.5)
Matt Carpenter	0.1757	0.1203 (44.1)	0.1052 (53.0)	0.1069 (52.4)
B.J. Upton	0.0673	0.1293 (25.0)	0.1282 (25.7)	0.1371 (29.3)
Starlin Castro	0.0837	0.1158 (18.4)	0.1240 (26.0)	0.1250 (26.2)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starling Marte	0.1074	0.1466	25.6
2	Shin-Soo Choo	0.1217	0.1503	24.6
3	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0975	0.0519	22.8
4	Coco Crisp	0.1287	0.1592	21.4
5	Brandon Belt	0.1026	0.1331	20.9
6	Daniel Murphy	0.1087	0.1320	20.5
7	Hanley Ramirez	0.1298	0.1845	20.4
8	Adam Lind	0.0956	0.1286	20.4
9	Josh Hamilton	0.1517	0.1148	19.6
10	Trevor Plouffe	0.1277	0.0843	19.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Konerko	0.1304	0.0788	25.1
2	Marlon Byrd	0.0906	0.1295	24.5
3	Pablo Sandoval	0.1343	0.0890	24.5
4	Prince Fielder	0.1519	0.1152	23.8
5	Billy Butler	0.1317	0.0928	23.7
6	Anthony Rizzo	0.1361	0.1029	20.6
7	AJ Pollock	0.0941	0.1328	20.3
8	Hanley Ramirez	0.1294	0.1845	19.7
9	Coco Crisp	0.1315	0.1592	18.2
10	Buster Posey	0.1362	0.1025	18.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Nava	0.1005	0.1437	25.4
2	Adeiny Hechavarría	0.0994	0.0519	25.0
3	Daniel Murphy	0.1045	0.1320	22.1
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1194	0.1451	21.2
5	Yadier Molina	0.0936	0.1257	19.6
6	Darwin Barney	0.1269	0.0883	19.1
7	Alfonso Soriano	0.1088	0.1342	18.5
8	Shane Victorino	0.1240	0.1541	18.3
9	Dustin Ackley	0.1406	0.0937	18.2
10	Jose Altuve	0.1265	0.0952	18.2

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ryan Raburn	0.1986	0.1086 (26.6)	0.1071 (27.2)	0.0970 (29.8)
Marlon Byrd	0.1520	0.0881 (40.5)	0.1024 (32.6)	0.0941 (37.0)
Chris Davis	0.2051	0.1220 (59.9)	0.1465 (43.9)	0.1357 (50.7)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1761	0.1327 (35.0)	0.1475 (25.0)	0.1426 (28.0)
Brandon Phillips	0.1547	0.1115 (32.7)	0.1058 (37.0)	0.1209 (26.5)
Wilson Ramos	0.1947	0.1111 (27.1)	0.1165 (25.7)	0.1093 (27.7)
Jayson Werth	0.1541	0.1023 (30.7)	0.1135 (25.2)	0.1058 (28.9)
Miguel Cabrera	0.2101	0.1724 (28.5)	0.1749 (27.3)	0.1692 (30.6)
B.J. Upton	0.0583	0.1172 (23.6)	0.1203 (24.7)	0.1233 (26.3)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Jones	0.1189	0.1567	30.2
2	Freddie Freeman	0.1320	0.1733	29.7
3	Josh Hamilton	0.1746	0.1242	28.3
4	Evan Gattis	0.1061	0.1702	26.7
5	Domonic Brown	0.1141	0.1537	24.6
6	Pedro Alvarez	0.1304	0.1629	23.6
7	Nate Schierholtz	0.0943	0.1352	23.5
8	Jimmy Rollins	0.0997	0.0586	23.4
9	Josh Willingham	0.1568	0.1019	23.0
10	Carl Crawford	0.1210	0.0661	23.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starlin Castro	0.1064	0.0624	26.2
2	Joey Votto	0.1396	0.1006	23.5
3	Michael Brantley	0.0882	0.1195	23.2
4	Freddie Freeman	0.1435	0.1733	23.0
5	Brandon Moss	0.1338	0.1723	22.8
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1751	0.1230	22.8
7	Domonic Brown	0.1182	0.1537	22.8
8	Anthony Rizzo	0.1549	0.1159	22.2
9	Pedro Alvarez	0.1351	0.1629	21.2
10	Mike Moustakas	0.1295	0.0817	21.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.1698	0.1159	33.0
2	Shin-Soo Choo	0.1279	0.0758	32.8
3	Joey Votto	0.1503	0.1006	31.7
4	Starlin Castro	0.1132	0.0624	31.6
5	Jimmy Rollins	0.1092	0.0586	29.7
6	Starling Marte	0.1176	0.0618	28.2
7	Adam Jones	0.1258	0.1567	25.5
8	Chase Headley	0.1294	0.0833	24.1
9	Miguel Montero	0.1443	0.0884	23.7
10	Brandon Moss	0.1316	0.1723	23.6

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Elvis Andrus	0.2111	0.1381 (59.8)	0.0971 (77.4)	0.1450 (56.1)
Jacoby Ellsbury	0.2955	0.1759 (84.2)	0.1481 (91.8)	0.2091 (64.1)
Leonys Martin	0.3000	0.1176 (99.1)	0.1103 (94.8)	0.1613 (77.8)
Jarrod Dyson	0.5484	0.2784 (67.6)	0.2550 (69.4)	0.3302 (55.6)
Hunter Pence	0.1325	0.0596 (58.9)	0.0284 (69.5)	0.0559 (62.5)
Coco Crisp	0.1419	0.2951 (82.0)	0.2382 (58.0)	0.2857 (75.6)
Alfonso Soriano	0.1475	0.0446 (72.4)	0.0301 (71.6)	0.0381 (77.5)
Daniel Murphy	0.1377	0.0567 (65.4)	0.0404 (65.7)	0.0517 (70.0)
Rajai Davis	0.5114	0.3455 (64.3)	0.2857 (80.2)	0.3585 (60.2)
DJ LeMahieu	0.1682	0.0357 (63.1)	0.0503 (49.9)	0.0750 (46.7)
Elliot Johnson	0.3860	0.1591 (65.9)	0.1388 (67.1)	0.1875 (58.5)
Starling Marte	0.2847	0.1594 (78.2)	0.1341 (83.5)	0.1905 (61.5)
Alexei Ramirez	0.1840	0.0882 (73.2)	0.0690 (75.5)	0.0861 (75.7)
Jean Segura	0.2716	0.1067 (110.7)	0.1347 (83.4)	0.1912 (59.1)
Nate McLouth	0.2041	0.0957 (71.8)	0.0957 (62.5)	0.1028 (68.6)
Alex Rios	0.2642	0.1473 (85.8)	0.1014 (105.7)	0.1493 (85.6)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.0603	0.2857	57.4
2	Eric Young Jr.	0.2418	0.3151	51.5
3	Brett Gardner	0.2405	0.1538	45.0
4	Michael Bourn	0.2442	0.1565	43.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Young Jr.	0.1833	0.3151	77.0
2	Jose Altuve	0.1242	0.2023	50.5
3	Carlos González	0.0933	0.2000	45.2
4	Juan Pierre	0.1640	0.2949	42.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.2582	0.1410	73.6
2	Brett Gardner	0.2772	0.1538	66.4
3	Starlin Castro	0.1420	0.0584	48.8
4	Grégor Blanco	0.2000	0.0952	46.2

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jed Lowrie	0.2902	0.2526 (28.3)	0.2456 (32.0)	0.2457 (30.0)
Daniel Nava	0.3035	0.2460 (33.6)	0.2540 (28.5)	0.2404 (34.2)
Freddie Freeman	0.3194	0.2653 (37.3)	0.2734 (31.3)	0.2742 (28.9)
Yasiel Puig	0.3194	0.2571 (29.1)	0.2571 (28.5)	0.2571 (27.2)
Hanley Ramirez	0.3454	0.2633 (29.3)	0.2693 (26.8)	0.2668 (26.7)
Jayson Werth	0.3182	0.2681 (29.4)	0.2601 (32.8)	0.2535 (34.8)
Matt Carpenter	0.3179	0.2736 (35.5)	0.2697 (37.2)	0.2570 (44.2)
Dan Uggla	0.1786	0.2445 (32.6)	0.2369 (29.3)	0.2382 (31.6)
David Murphy	0.2202	0.2848 (28.3)	0.2823 (27.8)	0.2751 (25.8)
Josh Donaldson	0.3005	0.2437 (41.4)	0.2501 (36.1)	0.2336 (45.2)
Darwin Barney	0.2076	0.2617 (27.2)	0.2689 (32.0)	0.2698 (34.1)
Michael Cuddyer	0.3313	0.2691 (36.3)	0.2757 (32.0)	0.2839 (26.0)
Starlin Castro	0.2447	0.2896 (28.0)	0.2917 (30.5)	0.2936 (33.9)
Chris Johnson	0.3210	0.2725 (29.3)	0.2620 (34.3)	0.2540 (37.1)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Hosmer	0.2582	0.3018	33.1
2	Jose Iglesias	0.2262	0.3029	31.2
3	Josh Hamilton	0.2992	0.2500	28.0
4	Jean Segura	0.2576	0.2942	26.0
5	Justin Ruggiano	0.2814	0.2217	25.8
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2723	0.3023	25.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.2756	0.2327	27.1
2	Manny Machado	0.2508	0.2834	25.7
3	B.J. Upton	0.2453	0.1841	25.6
4	Torii Hunter	0.2701	0.3036	24.3
5	Marlon Byrd	0.2534	0.2914	24.1
6	Carlos Gómez	0.2470	0.2836	23.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.2787	0.2327	31.3
2	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2593	0.3023	31.1
3	Mike Trout	0.2817	0.3226	29.8
4	B.J. Upton	0.2509	0.1841	29.4
5	James Loney	0.2588	0.2987	24.3
6	JB Shuck	0.2442	0.2929	23.7

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.4316	0.3664 (51.2)	0.3735 (45.6)	0.3608 (50.4)
Jason Kipnis	0.3660	0.3327 (26.1)	0.3329 (25.5)	0.3251 (26.7)
Freddie Freeman	0.3959	0.3373 (40.9)	0.3500 (32.4)	0.3503 (28.4)
Chris Davis	0.3700	0.3176 (39.6)	0.3244 (34.5)	0.3054 (43.2)
Yasiel Puig	0.3912	0.3218 (32.8)	0.3218 (32.4)	0.3218 (29.8)
Alcides Escobar	0.2591	0.3093 (28.1)	0.3149 (32.2)	0.3116 (33.9)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.4006	0.3449 (44.1)	0.3589 (33.6)	0.3380 (44.2)
Miguel Cabrera	0.4417	0.4055 (27.8)	0.4052 (27.5)	0.3943 (30.7)
David Murphy	0.2821	0.3508 (29.6)	0.3545 (31.8)	0.3410 (28.2)
Josh Donaldson	0.3838	0.2989 (61.0)	0.3145 (50.1)	0.2953 (58.9)
Matt Carpenter	0.3922	0.3458 (37.8)	0.3540 (31.4)	0.3462 (32.7)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.4231	0.3670 (44.6)	0.3608 (48.4)	0.3687 (38.5)
Michael Cuddyer	0.3889	0.3311 (34.7)	0.3384 (30.3)	0.3399 (26.3)
Starlin Castro	0.2841	0.3323 (29.5)	0.3368 (33.2)	0.3324 (34.3)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Lind	0.3030	0.3570	31.5
2	Josh Hamilton	0.3587	0.3066	29.0
3	Daniel Nava	0.3380	0.3853	28.8
4	Eric Hosmer	0.3182	0.3535	28.4
5	Paul Konerko	0.3741	0.3135	28.2
6	J.P. Arencibia	0.2870	0.2274	26.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Johnson	0.3105	0.3583	29.2
2	Yoenis Cespedes	0.3481	0.2944	27.5
3	Adrian Beltré	0.3384	0.3710	26.4
4	Prince Fielder	0.4051	0.3624	26.4
5	Jayson Werth	0.3555	0.3985	25.9
6	Carlos Gómez	0.2999	0.3379	25.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Johnson	0.2957	0.3583	34.0
2	Daniel Nava	0.3285	0.3853	30.2
3	Jayson Werth	0.3453	0.3985	28.1
4	J.P. Arencibia	0.2823	0.2274	27.5
5	Prince Fielder	0.3973	0.3624	25.2
6	Yoenis Cespedes	0.3376	0.2944	25.0

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Paul Konerko	0.3555	0.5104 (73.2)	0.4775 (57.2)	0.4848 (64.5)
Marlon Byrd	0.5113	0.3870 (80.2)	0.3808 (82.6)	0.3721 (83.7)
Chris Davis	0.6336	0.4483 (134.2)	0.4884 (105.8)	0.4505 (126.8)
Jason Castro	0.4851	0.3770 (60.0)	0.3778 (58.6)	0.3441 (71.8)
Yasiel Puig	0.5340	0.4037 (62.4)	0.4037 (61.5)	0.4037 (58.6)
Hanley Ramirez	0.6382	0.4263 (75.9)	0.4399 (70.7)	0.4478 (65.8)
Jayson Werth	0.5325	0.4370 (58.3)	0.4326 (59.6)	0.4217 (61.8)
Miguel Cabrera	0.6360	0.5789 (46.5)	0.5753 (47.5)	0.5608 (52.5)
Josh Donaldson	0.4991	0.3969 (77.8)	0.4210 (60.3)	0.3832 (81.0)
B.J. Upton	0.2890	0.4322 (57.5)	0.4280 (56.6)	0.4550 (71.7)
Carlos Gómez	0.5056	0.4165 (60.9)	0.4041 (67.1)	0.4182 (54.7)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Goldschmidt	0.4641	0.5515	72.1
2	Pete Kozma	0.4364	0.2732	66.8
3	Josh Hamilton	0.5492	0.4323	65.3
4	Domonic Brown	0.3932	0.4940	62.0
5	Michael Cuddyer	0.4469	0.5297	52.3
6	Mike Trout	0.5051	0.5569	47.2
7	Josh Willingham	0.4810	0.3676	46.7
8	Freddie Freeman	0.4408	0.5009	46.7
9	Brandon Belt	0.4140	0.4813	46.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Carpenter	0.4042	0.4808	63.6
2	Nick Markakis	0.4492	0.3565	56.4
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.5109	0.4191	55.0
4	Starlin Castro	0.4344	0.3468	53.1
5	Will Venable	0.3974	0.4844	51.1
6	Ike Davis	0.4750	0.3344	48.4
7	Albert Pujols	0.5585	0.4373	48.3
8	Mike Trout	0.5032	0.5569	47.2
9	Brian Dozier	0.3505	0.4140	47.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Carpenter	0.3879	0.4808	70.5
2	Starlin Castro	0.4458	0.3468	66.0
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.4674	0.5515	63.5
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.6060	0.4800	60.8
5	Anthony Rizzo	0.5035	0.4191	54.5
6	Hunter Pence	0.4095	0.4833	54.3
7	Brandon Moss	0.4259	0.5224	51.4
8	Jason Kubel	0.4848	0.3166	47.2
9	Nick Markakis	0.4275	0.3565	46.0

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Johnny Cueto	242	769 (527.0)	829 (587.0)	822 (580.1)
Matt Harrison	51	753 (702.0)	844 (793.0)	828 (776.9)
José Fernández	681	1 (680.0)	214 (467.0)	1 (680.0)
Gavin Floyd	110	689 (579.0)	666 (556.0)	756 (646.1)
Ricky Romero	40	746 (706.0)	760 (720.0)	839 (798.9)
Chris Volstad	47	586 (539.0)	552 (505.0)	769 (722.0)
Chad Billingsley	49	660 (611.0)	580 (531.0)	729 (680.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hyun Jin Ryu	1	783	782.0
2	Shelby Miller	165	722	557.0
3	Julio Teheran	221	774	553.0
4	James McDonald	688	138	550.0
5	Derek Lowe	601	57	544.0
6	Clayton Richard	754	239	515.0
7	Josh Tomlin	521	9	512.0
8	Wily Peralta	295	802	507.0
9	Wandy Rodriguez	758	260	498.0
10	Josh Beckett	684	195	489.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brett Myers	690	97	593.0
2	Clayton Richard	815	239	576.0
3	Hyun Jin Ryu	213	783	570.0
4	James McDonald	693	138	555.0
5	Wandy Rodriguez	770	260	510.0
6	Jeff Locke	215	711	496.0
7	Eric Stults	365	857	492.0
8	Jair Jurrjens	522	31	491.0
9	Roy Halladay	768	282	486.0
10	Julio Teheran	298	774	476.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brett Myers	770	97	673.0
2	David Holmberg	666	20	646.0
3	Blake Beavan	806	174	631.9
4	Barry Enright	671	43	628.1
5	Zeke Spruill	674	55	619.1
6	John Gast	661	52	609.1
7	Will Smith	739	131	608.1
8	Thad Weber	654	61	593.0
9	Chris Dwyer	599	11	588.0
10	Brad Hand	669	82	587.1

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Max Scherzer	0.2581	0.3235 (54.4)	0.2751 (31.6)	0.2871 (38.1)
Travis Wood	0.2844	0.3194 (28.4)	0.3042 (33.3)	0.3049 (30.3)
José Fernández	0.2383	0.3135 (50.9)	0.2807 (43.1)	0.3135 (62.4)
CC Sabathia	0.3334	0.2961 (34.2)	0.2757 (33.5)	0.2754 (37.6)
Dylan Axelrod	0.3855	0.3325 (31.3)	0.3027 (36.3)	0.3196 (29.0)
Barry Zito	0.3799	0.3270 (32.4)	0.3098 (29.9)	0.2953 (41.4)
Matt Harvey	0.2354	0.3017 (45.4)	0.2864 (49.6)	0.2874 (47.3)
Joe Blanton	0.3891	0.3282 (37.4)	0.2854 (50.6)	0.2977 (45.8)
Joe Saunders	0.3760	0.3290 (38.8)	0.3095 (37.4)	0.3002 (48.7)
Lucas Harrell	0.3657	0.3095 (40.0)	0.3058 (27.6)	0.3064 (30.3)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.3158	0.2747	35.2
2	Madison Bumgarner	0.2994	0.2570	33.8
3	Clayton Kershaw	0.2690	0.2320	33.2
4	Justin Verlander	0.2720	0.3064	32.2
5	Francisco Liriano	0.3216	0.2757	30.3
6	A.J. Burnett	0.3228	0.2849	30.1
7	Wade Davis	0.3147	0.3615	29.1
8	Josh Johnson	0.2922	0.3675	29.0
9	Patrick Corbin	0.3284	0.2949	28.5
10	Tyson Ross	0.3374	0.2814	28.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Kershaw	0.2630	0.2320	47.1
2	Edinson Volquez	0.2869	0.3491	32.1
3	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.2908	0.2747	32.0
4	Clay Buchholz	0.3006	0.2488	30.2
5	Koji Uehara	0.2654	0.1768	29.0
6	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2899	0.2734	27.9
7	Madison Bumgarner	0.2703	0.2570	27.4
8	Vance Worley	0.3012	0.4359	26.6
9	Scott Diamond	0.3009	0.3676	26.4
10	Justin Masterson	0.2956	0.2841	26.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	0.3220	0.2947	37.6
2	Jason Hammel	0.2790	0.3532	35.3
3	Justin Verlander	0.2534	0.3064	33.7
4	Ryan Vogelsong	0.2820	0.3636	30.4
5	Ian Kennedy	0.2853	0.3400	30.3
6	Neal Cotts	0.3443	0.2252	30.2
7	Luis Avilán	0.3243	0.2245	29.8
8	Alex Torres	0.3323	0.2187	29.4
9	Tanner Roark	0.3385	0.2123	29.1
10	Edinson Volquez	0.2959	0.3491	28.6

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Yovani Gallardo	0.1863	0.2302 (36.1)	0.2288 (38.4)	0.2386 (50.2)
Luke Hochevar	0.3130	0.1741 (35.6)	0.1720 (35.1)	0.1619 (36.3)
Justin Masterson	0.2428	0.1779 (49.9)	0.1705 (52.4)	0.1708 (47.8)
Danny Farquhar	0.3465	0.1909 (34.8)	0.1771 (37.0)	0.1776 (35.6)
Yu Darvish	0.3294	0.2444 (69.1)	0.2527 (58.5)	0.2713 (38.2)
Rick Porcello	0.1929	0.1444 (33.7)	0.1408 (33.2)	0.1339 (34.2)
A.J. Burnett	0.2609	0.2011 (45.7)	0.1943 (47.7)	0.1840 (51.5)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.2708	0.2091 (44.0)	0.1852 (58.5)	0.1779 (59.9)
Trevor Rosenthal	0.3473	0.2089 (42.2)	0.2258 (35.6)	0.2119 (38.2)
Scott Kazmir	0.2411	0.1705 (45.6)	0.1459 (59.2)	0.1390 (60.1)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Fernández	0.1986	0.2746	49.9
2	Dylan Axelrod	0.1891	0.1246	39.4
3	Greg Holland	0.2555	0.4039	37.1
4	Lucas Harrell	0.1750	0.1259	36.7
5	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.2003	0.2497	36.2
6	Max Scherzer	0.2411	0.2871	36.1
7	Jake Westbrook	0.1488	0.0841	35.3
8	Andy Pettitte	0.2046	0.1633	34.6
9	Scott Diamond	0.1451	0.0903	33.2
10	Matt Harvey	0.2262	0.2768	33.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.2529	0.1810	55.8
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.1093	0.1804	43.6
3	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1896	0.2497	41.2
4	Esmil Rogers	0.2195	0.1605	39.5
5	John Lackey	0.1500	0.2069	38.7
6	Danny Salazar	0.1309	0.3081	35.9
7	Dylan Axelrod	0.1773	0.1246	35.1
8	Homer Bailey	0.1891	0.2344	32.4
9	Jake Westbrook	0.1384	0.0841	32.1
10	Andy Pettitte	0.1967	0.1633	31.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Lackey	0.1338	0.2069	47.1
2	Esmil Rogers	0.2225	0.1605	44.6
3	José Fernández	0.1986	0.2746	43.2
4	Aroldis Chapman	0.2648	0.4341	40.4
5	Julio Teheran	0.1567	0.2196	39.0
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.1107	0.1804	39.0
7	Jason Hammel	0.2067	0.1571	38.0
8	Jose Quintana	0.1394	0.1971	37.5
9	Bud Norris	0.2245	0.1902	36.3
10	Andrew Cashner	0.2163	0.1810	33.8

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Randall Delgado	0.0486	0.0938 (21.3)	0.1036 (23.8)	0.1014 (23.4)
Eric Stults	0.0467	0.0739 (23.3)	0.0785 (23.4)	0.0865 (31.3)
David Price	0.0365	0.0754 (28.8)	0.0762 (26.0)	0.0726 (24.3)
Adam Wainwright	0.0366	0.0671 (29.1)	0.0638 (21.7)	0.0625 (21.6)
Ian Kennedy	0.0919	0.0675 (19.4)	0.0663 (24.0)	0.0649 (24.1)
Jeff Locke	0.1181	0.0820 (25.7)	0.0836 (27.8)	0.0885 (23.4)
Jason Marquis	0.1313	0.0763 (28.5)	0.0745 (31.8)	0.0771 (29.8)
Roy Halladay	0.1277	0.0511 (21.6)	0.0481 (23.7)	0.0430 (24.8)
Matt Harvey	0.0449	0.0900 (31.1)	0.1028 (36.8)	0.0975 (34.0)
Lucas Harrell	0.1245	0.0920 (22.9)	0.0981 (21.9)	0.0961 (22.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0814	0.0485	28.5
2	Dillon Gee	0.0821	0.0559	22.1
3	John Lackey	0.0788	0.0514	21.3
4	Chris Sale	0.0755	0.0531	19.4
5	Mike Minor	0.0790	0.0561	18.8
6	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0970	0.0748	18.1
7	Andrew Cashner	0.0921	0.0665	18.1
8	Julio Teheran	0.0814	0.0581	18.1
9	Aaron Harang	0.0921	0.0639	17.6
10	John Danks	0.0764	0.0463	17.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Archer	0.1269	0.0724	26.2
2	Scott Kazmir	0.1062	0.0699	21.3
3	Chris Sale	0.0818	0.0531	20.9
4	Corey Kluber	0.0918	0.0543	20.0
5	Ryan Dempster	0.0832	0.1048	19.7
6	Julio Teheran	0.0877	0.0581	19.3
7	Wily Peralta	0.1192	0.0910	18.9
8	Martín Pérez	0.1098	0.0699	18.7
9	Andrew Cashner	0.0973	0.0665	18.6
10	Justin Verlander	0.0656	0.0811	18.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Kazmir	0.1165	0.0699	29.1
2	Chris Archer	0.1278	0.0724	27.4
3	Corey Kluber	0.1021	0.0543	27.0
4	Wily Peralta	0.1270	0.0910	26.2
5	Shelby Miller	0.1177	0.0789	25.6
6	Carlos Torres	0.1231	0.0483	25.2
7	Samuel Deduno	0.1415	0.0889	22.7
8	Ryan Dempster	0.0780	0.1048	22.7
9	R.A. Dickey	0.0566	0.0753	20.8
10	Madison Bumgarner	0.0562	0.0772	19.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mat Latos	0.0114	0.0039 (6.4)	0.0049 (5.9)	0.0036 (7.9)
Charlie Morton	0.0325	0.0133 (9.4)	0.0124 (10.0)	0.0139 (9.7)
Jake Westbrook	0.0191	0.0072 (6.2)	0.0079 (6.0)	0.0074 (6.8)
Justin Masterson	0.0212	0.0125 (6.8)	0.0119 (7.6)	0.0128 (7.7)
Johnny Hellweg	0.0494	0.0083 (6.6)	0.0162 (5.4)	0.0153 (5.7)
Chris Sale	0.0162	0.0084 (6.6)	0.0078 (7.5)	0.0068 (9.2)
Mark Buehrle	0.0103	0.0040 (5.3)	0.0048 (5.0)	0.0028 (7.6)
Iván Nova	0.0239	0.0099 (8.1)	0.0090 (8.8)	0.0107 (8.4)
Stephen Strasburg	0.0164	0.0067 (7.0)	0.0069 (7.1)	0.0053 (9.0)
Doug Fister	0.0182	0.0104 (6.7)	0.0101 (7.2)	0.0109 (7.4)
Francisco Liriano	0.0000	0.0110 (7.4)	0.0102 (6.7)	0.0104 (6.1)
Roy Halladay	0.0355	0.0062 (8.2)	0.0068 (8.1)	0.0054 (8.8)
Scott Kazmir	0.0045	0.0152 (7.3)	0.0143 (6.4)	0.0188 (8.8)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Lackey	0.0152	0.0077	5.9
2	Julio Teheran	0.0090	0.0168	5.8
3	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0083	0.0013	5.7
4	Héctor Santiago	0.0144	0.0229	5.4
5	Aaron Loup	0.0059	0.0248	5.3
6	Dillon Gee	0.0143	0.0083	5.2
7	Félix Hernández	0.0097	0.0036	5.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Héctor Santiago	0.0117	0.0229	7.5
2	Roberto Hernandez	0.0112	0.0202	5.9
3	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0087	0.0013	5.7
4	Garrett Richards	0.0103	0.0016	5.3
5	Miguel González	0.0114	0.0042	5.0
6	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0080	0.0023	4.7
7	Jim Johnson	0.0083	0.0241	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Lackey	0.0172	0.0077	6.4
2	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0109	0.0023	6.4
3	Kris Medlen	0.0033	0.0098	6.3
4	Garrett Richards	0.0128	0.0016	6.2
5	Jordan Lyles	0.0095	0.0171	5.6
6	Aaron Loup	0.0061	0.0248	5.6
7	Jason Hammel	0.0053	0.0131	5.5

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Randall Delgado	0.0649	0.0350 (14.2)	0.0302 (15.4)	0.0397 (12.1)
Jhoulys Chacín	0.0176	0.0369 (15.7)	0.0315 (13.1)	0.0365 (15.0)
John Danks	0.0605	0.0334 (15.9)	0.0380 (11.9)	0.0362 (14.4)
Jorge De La Rosa	0.0206	0.0421 (15.2)	0.0348 (11.7)	0.0391 (12.9)
Yu Darvish	0.0546	0.0300 (20.8)	0.0324 (16.9)	0.0294 (21.7)
A.J. Griffin	0.0606	0.0380 (18.8)	0.0360 (18.5)	0.0391 (18.2)
Matt Harvey	0.0151	0.0344 (13.2)	0.0348 (15.0)	0.0334 (12.3)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	R.A. Dickey	0.0317	0.0511	18.4
2	Chris Tillman	0.0375	0.0555	15.3
3	Jeff Locke	0.0439	0.0222	15.3
4	Henderson Alvarez III	0.0409	0.0061	14.5
5	A.J. Burnett	0.0395	0.0213	14.5
6	Aaron Harang	0.0330	0.0557	14.3
7	Felix Doubront	0.0450	0.0265	12.9
8	Tyler Thornburg	0.0519	0.0052	12.6
9	Jarrod Parker	0.0255	0.0407	12.5
10	Derek Holland	0.0452	0.0313	12.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mat Latos	0.0383	0.0224	15.9
2	R.A. Dickey	0.0322	0.0511	15.8
3	Clayton Kershaw	0.0330	0.0177	15.8
4	Joe Blanton	0.0349	0.0624	15.5
5	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0354	0.0184	14.2
6	Roberto Hernandez	0.0260	0.0501	14.2
7	Travis Wood	0.0446	0.0299	13.8
8	Dan Haren	0.0333	0.0530	12.6
9	Jason Marquis	0.0217	0.0481	12.6
10	Freddy Garcia	0.0309	0.0674	11.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0557	0.0259	22.9
2	Derek Holland	0.0499	0.0313	16.1
3	Jarrod Parker	0.0224	0.0407	15.4
4	Aaron Harang	0.0323	0.0557	15.0
5	Tommy Milone	0.0296	0.0500	14.0
6	Mat Latos	0.0380	0.0224	13.3
7	Brandon Maurer	0.0223	0.0535	12.7
8	Freddy Garcia	0.0300	0.0674	12.6
9	Matt Cain	0.0269	0.0424	12.2
10	James Shields	0.0429	0.0297	12.0

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Scott Feldman	0.2583	0.3068 (38.2)	0.2905 (26.9)	0.2962 (32.9)
Wade Davis	0.3607	0.2825 (47.1)	0.2887 (42.4)	0.2837 (44.1)
Tyler Clippard	0.1697	0.2667 (27.2)	0.2672 (27.7)	0.2680 (28.6)
Jose Mijares	0.4103	0.2965 (26.4)	0.2804 (29.9)	0.2776 (30.0)
José Fernández	0.2399	0.2936 (37.8)	0.2887 (35.5)	0.2936 (40.3)
Hisashi Iwakuma	0.2516	0.2852 (30.8)	0.2970 (42.1)	0.2811 (30.3)
Justin Verlander	0.3164	0.2679 (43.1)	0.2826 (28.3)	0.2729 (35.1)
A.J. Griffin	0.2419	0.2796 (32.6)	0.2857 (38.7)	0.2736 (30.6)
Doug Fister	0.3318	0.2889 (36.1)	0.2949 (29.6)	0.2903 (31.6)
Joe Saunders	0.3323	0.2919 (31.5)	0.2935 (29.1)	0.2758 (41.7)
Madison Bumgarner	0.2514	0.2949 (36.4)	0.2904 (33.9)	0.2836 (30.3)
Barry Zito	0.3461	0.2814 (38.1)	0.2848 (35.2)	0.2735 (40.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.3149	0.2587	48.6
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.2848	0.3402	36.5
3	Jeremy Hellickson	0.2575	0.3073	35.3
4	Stephen Strasburg	0.3042	0.2632	31.4
5	John Lackey	0.3178	0.2807	30.3
6	Alfredo Simon	0.3134	0.2362	28.4
7	Yu Darvish	0.2952	0.2644	27.5
8	Justin Wilson	0.3171	0.2289	26.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bud Norris	0.2853	0.3333	34.6
2	Joe Blanton	0.2869	0.3463	34.3
3	R.A. Dickey	0.2951	0.2646	31.9
4	Clayton Kershaw	0.2826	0.2508	31.8
5	Travis Wood	0.2815	0.2479	30.3
6	Jarrod Parker	0.2905	0.2598	27.8
7	Dallas Keuchel	0.2962	0.3402	27.8
8	Ervin Santana	0.2947	0.2667	26.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.3026	0.2587	41.4
2	Travis Wood	0.2868	0.2479	36.5
3	Joe Blanton	0.2923	0.3463	29.6
4	Jeremy Hellickson	0.2621	0.3073	29.2
5	Jarrod Parker	0.2885	0.2598	28.0
6	Edinson Volquez	0.2855	0.3246	26.1
7	Bud Norris	0.2944	0.3333	25.8
8	Josh Johnson	0.2848	0.3557	25.1

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Max Scherzer	0.1795	0.2383 (51.8)	0.2824 (30.1)	0.3026 (50.6)
Wade Davis	0.2881	0.2082 (47.4)	0.2887 (40.9)	0.2837 (41.4)
Hisashi Iwakuma	0.1797	0.2197 (37.4)	0.2970 (43.7)	0.2811 (33.6)
Justin Verlander	0.2475	0.2037 (37.6)	0.2826 (29.4)	0.2729 (34.4)
Juan Nicasio	0.1928	0.2353 (32.1)	0.2998 (28.3)	0.3106 (38.8)
Doug Fister	0.2762	0.2182 (48.3)	0.2949 (42.4)	0.2903 (42.7)
Barry Zito	0.2652	0.2026 (36.1)	0.2848 (28.7)	0.2735 (33.0)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	A.J. Griffin	0.2303	0.1882	37.3
2	Scott Feldman	0.2386	0.1937	36.5
3	Kyle Kendrick	0.2051	0.2460	30.1
4	Jeremy Hellickson	0.1896	0.2309	28.1
5	Dallas Keuchel	0.2242	0.2676	27.4
6	Jeremy Guthrie	0.2027	0.2353	26.6
7	John Lackey	0.2373	0.2073	25.8
8	Iván Nova	0.2162	0.2630	25.6
9	Tony Cingrani	0.2195	0.1618	25.6
10	Jake Arrieta	0.2285	0.1531	25.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	R.A. Dickey	0.2951	0.1954	31.0
2	Travis Wood	0.2815	0.1812	27.5
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.2962	0.2676	26.1
4	Koji Uehara	0.2788	0.1141	25.9
5	Cole Hamels	0.2864	0.1910	25.8
6	Jordan Zimmermann	0.2876	0.1912	25.6
7	A.J. Griffin	0.2857	0.1882	25.2
8	Tony Cingrani	0.2880	0.1618	24.9
9	Mike Pelfrey	0.2958	0.2643	24.0
10	Bud Norris	0.2853	0.2495	24.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Travis Wood	0.2868	0.1812	35.3
2	Alex Wood	0.2231	0.2648	34.1
3	Nick Tepesch	0.2231	0.2351	30.3
4	Scott Feldman	0.2962	0.1937	30.3
5	Brad Peacock	0.3202	0.1803	28.2
6	Zach McAllister	0.3110	0.2000	28.1
7	Taylor Jordan	0.2231	0.2874	27.9
8	Josh Johnson	0.2848	0.2925	27.0
9	Kyle Kendrick	0.2751	0.2460	26.7
10	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.2692	0.2394	25.6

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
José Fernández	0.0404	0.0644 (16.3)	0.0000 (16.1)	0.0644 (58.7)
Tyler Cloyd	0.1250	0.0617 (17.9)	0.0000 (17.2)	0.0000 (17.7)
Yu Darvish	0.0422	0.0762 (28.5)	0.0000 (18.4)	0.0000 (16.8)
Juan Nicasio	0.1004	0.0692 (22.0)	0.0000 (25.5)	0.0000 (26.8)
Stephen Strasburg	0.0351	0.0635 (20.7)	0.0000 (21.2)	0.0000 (19.8)
Gio González	0.0827	0.0563 (21.7)	0.0000 (15.3)	0.0000 (16.8)
Cole Hamels	0.0995	0.0584 (37.4)	0.0000 (32.1)	0.0000 (33.7)
Joe Saunders	0.0979	0.0621 (29.4)	0.0000 (27.8)	0.0000 (29.3)
CC Sabathia	0.0818	0.0638 (16.4)	0.0000 (16.1)	0.0000 (17.7)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Harvey	0.0711	0.0394	21.8
2	Iván Nova	0.0828	0.0496	19.4
3	Chris Sale	0.0720	0.0503	18.7
4	Jeremy Guthrie	0.0758	0.0560	17.8
5	Kyle Lohse	0.0721	0.0503	17.4
6	Eric Stults	0.0537	0.0736	17.2
7	Kyle Kendrick	0.0699	0.0485	17.0
8	Andy Pettitte	0.0520	0.0733	16.7
9	Kris Medlen	0.0544	0.0746	16.6
10	Freddy Garcia	0.0726	0.0241	16.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Wacha	0.0644	0.0526	19.7
2	Matt Harvey	0.0000	0.0394	17.0
3	Ian Kennedy	0.0000	0.0848	16.4
4	Jon Lester	0.0000	0.0821	16.3
5	Justin Masterson	0.0000	0.0438	16.3
6	Edwin Jackson	0.0000	0.0836	15.2
7	Bartolo Colon	0.0000	0.0443	15.2
8	Wily Peralta	0.0000	0.0453	15.1
9	Héctor Rondón	0.0644	0.0671	14.9
10	Zach McAllister	0.0000	0.0878	13.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alfredo Figaro	0.0644	0.0519	23.6
2	Nick Tepesch	0.0644	0.0737	21.6
3	Taylor Jordan	0.0644	0.0287	21.5
4	Sonny Gray	0.0644	0.0471	20.8
5	Michael Wacha	0.0644	0.0526	19.2
6	Alex Wood	0.0644	0.0685	19.0
7	Kevin Gregg	0.0644	0.0575	18.6
8	Jon Lester	0.0000	0.0821	18.0
9	Ian Kennedy	0.0000	0.0848	17.9
10	André Rienzo	0.0644	0.0585	17.0

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tyler Lyons	0.0256	0.0061 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.4)	0.0000 (4.4)
Kevin Slowey	0.0175	0.0056 (5.2)	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.6)
Ryan Webb	0.0328	0.0053 (9.5)	0.0000 (8.9)	0.0000 (8.9)
Julio Teheran	0.0115	0.0065 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0000 (4.3)
Dan Jennings	0.0431	0.0095 (5.9)	0.0000 (6.3)	0.0000 (6.4)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.0134	0.0060 (6.3)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.5)
Philip Humber	0.0311	0.0057 (6.9)	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0000 (6.5)
Lance Lynn	0.0162	0.0103 (6.0)	0.0000 (8.7)	0.0000 (8.8)
Trevor Cahill	0.0133	0.0055 (5.8)	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.7)
Kyle Kendrick	0.0113	0.0047 (6.3)	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0000 (4.4)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.0167	0.0097 (6.1)	0.0000 (8.0)	0.0000 (8.1)
Aaron Harang	0.0136	0.0060 (5.5)	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.8)
Tom Koehler	0.0183	0.0093 (6.1)	0.0000 (7.4)	0.0000 (7.5)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0145	0.0041	7.1
2	Adam Wainwright	0.0111	0.0029	6.6
3	Wade Miley	0.0121	0.0033	6.5
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.0030	0.0104	5.8
5	Erik Bedard	0.0052	0.0117	5.1
6	Bud Norris	0.0043	0.0093	4.8
7	Anthony Swarzak	0.0035	0.0139	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edinson Volquez	0.0000	0.0131	5.5
2	Edwin Jackson	0.0000	0.0125	5.0
3	A.J. Griffin	0.0000	0.0000	5.0
4	Mat Latos	0.0000	0.0114	4.8
5	Junichi Tazawa	0.0000	0.0211	4.3
6	Mark Buehrle	0.0000	0.0015	3.9
7	Dan Straily	0.0000	0.0000	3.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edinson Volquez	0.0000	0.0131	5.6
2	Edwin Jackson	0.0000	0.0125	5.1
3	Mat Latos	0.0000	0.0114	4.9
4	José Fernández	0.0061	0.0048	4.9
5	Nick Tepesch	0.0061	0.0000	4.9
6	A.J. Griffin	0.0000	0.0000	4.8
7	Junichi Tazawa	0.0000	0.0211	4.3

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Travis Wood	0.0889	0.1190 (23.3)	0.1186 (22.1)	0.1217 (23.1)
Edinson Volquez	0.1467	0.1186 (23.2)	0.1151 (26.8)	0.1078 (33.9)
José Fernández	0.0690	0.1096 (26.4)	0.1072 (24.1)	0.1096 (24.4)
CC Sabathia	0.1344	0.1005 (32.3)	0.1055 (28.7)	0.1013 (34.3)
Clay Buchholz	0.0553	0.1134 (23.4)	0.1220 (26.6)	0.1128 (22.0)
Ryan Vogelsong	0.1563	0.0965 (28.8)	0.1148 (20.7)	0.1014 (27.8)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.0751	0.1105 (25.2)	0.1152 (27.8)	0.1157 (26.8)
Ian Kennedy	0.1360	0.1032 (27.4)	0.1093 (23.4)	0.1031 (29.8)
Lucas Harrell	0.1570	0.1131 (32.2)	0.1285 (22.1)	0.1248 (26.0)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeremy Hellickson	0.0936	0.1398	35.3
2	Francisco Liriano	0.1268	0.0811	29.3
3	Josh Johnson	0.0970	0.1667	27.4
4	R.A. Dickey	0.0935	0.1198	26.5
5	John Lackey	0.1364	0.1028	24.7
6	Wade Davis	0.1059	0.1440	24.6
7	Scott Diamond	0.1123	0.1528	24.3
8	Wily Peralta	0.1051	0.1334	24.1
9	Barry Zito	0.1176	0.1546	23.6
10	Yu Darvish	0.1103	0.0809	23.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.1177	0.0797	30.5
2	Joe Blanton	0.1131	0.1571	28.6
3	Matt Harvey	0.1092	0.0667	27.4
4	Clayton Kershaw	0.0935	0.0606	27.3
5	Bartolo Colon	0.1148	0.0780	26.1
6	Edwin Jackson	0.1131	0.1416	24.3
7	Jose Quintana	0.1297	0.0998	22.6
8	Julio Teheran	0.1203	0.0891	21.9
9	Dan Haren	0.1021	0.1283	20.8
10	Dylan Axelrod	0.1194	0.1519	20.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Jackson	0.1079	0.1416	29.8
2	Jeremy Hellickson	0.1043	0.1398	29.6
3	Josh Johnson	0.1019	0.1667	26.7
4	Ervin Santana	0.1346	0.0990	26.6
5	Barry Zito	0.1170	0.1546	25.7
6	Bartolo Colon	0.1146	0.0780	24.5
7	Joe Saunders	0.1179	0.1427	24.2
8	Iván Nova	0.1285	0.0836	23.6
9	Matt Cain	0.0858	0.1118	23.3
10	Joe Blanton	0.1255	0.1571	22.2

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edinson Volquez	0.1390	0.1116 (22.0)	0.1054 (27.7)	0.1006 (33.9)
José Fernández	0.0617	0.1014 (26.5)	0.0984 (23.6)	0.1014 (23.5)
Roy Halladay	0.1667	0.0913 (21.5)	0.0933 (21.3)	0.0913 (22.7)
CC Sabathia	0.1233	0.0886 (32.3)	0.0964 (26.4)	0.0943 (31.1)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.0697	0.0999 (21.9)	0.1063 (25.7)	0.1082 (24.8)
Ian Kennedy	0.1247	0.0968 (22.8)	0.1013 (20.3)	0.0962 (26.8)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeremy Hellickson	0.0865	0.1357	36.9
2	Lucas Harrell	0.1011	0.1414	29.2
3	R.A. Dickey	0.0845	0.1113	26.1
4	Francisco Liriano	0.1205	0.0811	25.7
5	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0879	0.1413	25.3
6	Aaron Harang	0.0992	0.1374	24.5
7	John Lackey	0.1273	0.0951	24.4
8	Brandon Maurer	0.1014	0.1567	22.6
9	Clay Buchholz	0.1047	0.0505	22.2
10	Joe Saunders	0.1047	0.1305	21.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Kershaw	0.0851	0.0529	27.4
2	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.1079	0.0751	26.7
3	Joe Blanton	0.1042	0.1457	26.6
4	Clay Buchholz	0.1125	0.0505	24.9
5	Bartolo Colon	0.1056	0.0728	23.6
6	Matt Harvey	0.1006	0.0652	23.0
7	Dan Haren	0.0933	0.1227	22.6
8	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1146	0.0862	20.4
9	Travis Wood	0.1108	0.0840	20.2
10	Jose Quintana	0.1201	0.0938	20.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeremy Hellickson	0.0973	0.1357	32.1
2	Ervin Santana	0.1258	0.0896	26.5
3	Matt Cain	0.0801	0.1079	25.1
4	Ryan Vogelsong	0.0944	0.1413	24.4
5	Edwin Jackson	0.1005	0.1248	23.0
6	Aaron Harang	0.1066	0.1374	22.6
7	Bartolo Colon	0.1072	0.0728	22.4
8	Barry Zito	0.1087	0.1398	22.1
9	Lucas Harrell	0.1162	0.1414	21.5
10	Joe Saunders	0.1096	0.1305	21.5

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Max Scherzer	0.6563	0.3421 (223.2)	0.4838 (175.4)	0.4194 (213.4)
Phil Hughes	0.1333	0.3333 (158.7)	0.3988 (146.4)	0.3929 (154.8)
Jordan Zimmermann	0.5938	0.2500 (256.6)	0.4306 (173.5)	0.3846 (196.8)
Francisco Liriano	0.6154	0.2162 (234.4)	0.3904 (174.8)	0.3000 (222.3)
Clay Buchholz	0.7500	0.2973 (168.7)	0.3956 (163.0)	0.4167 (146.3)
Martín Pérez	0.5000	0.1154 (178.5)	0.2238 (165.9)	0.2333 (150.8)
Julio Teheran	0.4667	0.1429 (214.1)	0.3116 (149.0)	0.2857 (154.2)
Bartolo Colon	0.6000	0.2286 (249.4)	0.3954 (186.2)	0.4000 (167.9)
Matt Moore	0.6296	0.2195 (233.0)	0.4411 (145.1)	0.3548 (188.2)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shelby Miller	0.1176	0.4839	230.4
2	Jorge De La Rosa	0.1818	0.5333	217.3
3	Kris Medlen	0.1750	0.4688	202.2
4	Adam Wainwright	0.3056	0.5588	197.0
5	Patrick Corbin	0.1765	0.4375	183.9
6	Jeremy Guthrie	0.2162	0.4545	173.0
7	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2069	0.4516	161.2
8	Chris Tillman	0.2500	0.4848	158.6
9	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2368	0.4828	148.3
10	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.2059	0.4242	148.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Kluber	0.1188	0.4231	207.7
2	Joe Blanton	0.4172	0.0714	188.4
3	Cole Hamels	0.4781	0.2424	179.5
4	Mike Leake	0.2668	0.4516	178.0
5	Stephen Strasburg	0.4947	0.2667	139.4
6	Matt Cain	0.4842	0.2667	136.9
7	Jeff Locke	0.1804	0.3333	135.4
8	Chris Tillman	0.3626	0.4848	134.9
9	C.J. Wilson	0.4059	0.5152	133.9
10	Ian Kennedy	0.4313	0.2258	133.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cole Hamels	0.4516	0.2424	172.7
2	Jeff Samardzija	0.4444	0.2424	167.9
3	Gio González	0.5625	0.3438	164.1
4	Mike Leake	0.2759	0.4516	155.5
5	Ian Kennedy	0.4375	0.2258	153.5
6	Samuel Deduno	0.1538	0.4444	142.4
7	José Fernández	0.2406	0.4286	140.5
8	Lance Lynn	0.3125	0.4545	137.3
9	Jeremy Guthrie	0.3214	0.4545	137.1
10	A.J. Griffin	0.2903	0.4375	136.2

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Shaun Marcum	0.7143	0.1875 (158.7)	0.3082 (131.0)	0.2222 (171.9)
Max Scherzer	0.0938	0.2105 (140.8)	0.2280 (123.9)	0.3226 (172.3)
John Danks	0.6364	0.2800 (177.6)	0.3451 (161.7)	0.3500 (180.2)
Edwin Jackson	0.5806	0.2432 (222.0)	0.3040 (204.1)	0.3333 (209.8)
Chris Sale	0.4667	0.1200 (255.5)	0.2940 (137.4)	0.2857 (176.4)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Wily Peralta	0.1481	0.4688	215.7
2	Kris Medlen	0.0750	0.3750	203.6
3	Eric Stults	0.1290	0.3939	182.7
4	CC Sabathia	0.1714	0.4063	166.3
5	Cole Hamels	0.2105	0.4242	146.7
6	Scott Diamond	0.2368	0.5417	145.8
7	Jeff Samardzija	0.1837	0.3939	145.0
8	Lucas Harrell	0.2195	0.4722	142.1
9	Brandon McCarthy	0.2258	0.5000	128.4
10	Alex Sanabia	0.1429	0.7000	126.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roberto Hernandez	0.0896	0.4063	194.6
2	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.3386	0.1818	147.9
3	Alex Sanabia	0.1065	0.7000	145.4
4	Dylan Axelrod	0.1046	0.3667	145.4
5	T.J. McFarland	0.4350	0.0263	139.9
6	Tim Lincecum	0.2628	0.4375	135.2
7	Jose Quintana	0.3587	0.2121	133.6
8	Tom Koehler	0.1099	0.3448	132.8
9	Jeanmar Gómez	0.3813	0.0000	131.6
10	Chris Tillman	0.3496	0.2121	128.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cole Hamels	0.2581	0.4242	170.9
2	Wily Peralta	0.3000	0.4688	153.6
3	Jeanmar Gómez	0.4828	0.0000	153.2
4	T.J. McFarland	0.5000	0.0263	149.3
5	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.3750	0.1818	147.6
6	Héctor Santiago	0.0667	0.2647	144.8
7	Corey Kluber	0.4483	0.1923	141.8
8	CC Sabathia	0.2759	0.4063	139.0
9	Bartolo Colon	0.4000	0.2000	136.3
10	Bruce Chen	0.4074	0.1176	133.0

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Aroldis Chapman	0.5588	0.2800 (77.1)	0.2266 (85.1)	0.0000 (137.1)
Ernesto Frieri	0.5522	0.1667 (118.4)	0.3556 (56.8)	0.0000 (153.3)
Edward Mujica	0.5692	0.0204 (145.0)	0.0000 (144.6)	0.0000 (138.2)
Kevin Gregg	0.5323	0.2105 (91.9)	0.0000 (142.6)	0.0283 (128.2)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Greg Holland	0.1556	0.6912	141.6
2	Sergio Romo	0.1000	0.5846	126.1
3	Grant Balfour	0.1538	0.5846	118.1
4	Glen Perkins	0.1200	0.5902	117.6
5	Jason Grilli	0.0500	0.6111	117.3
6	John Axford	0.4151	0.0000	114.2
7	Steve Cishek	0.1333	0.4928	106.6
8	Casey Janssen	0.1556	0.6071	99.0
9	Jim Henderson	0.0800	0.4590	98.5
10	Jim Johnson	0.3673	0.6757	95.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	John Axford	0.5795	0.0000	168.2
2	Jim Henderson	0.0000	0.4590	112.8
3	Carlos Marmol	0.4933	0.0385	102.9
4	Wilton Lopez	0.2917	0.0000	94.4
5	Jonathan Broxton	0.6625	0.0000	88.4
6	Joaquín Benoit	0.0343	0.3636	86.7
7	J.J. Putz	0.7413	0.1500	83.1
8	Danny Farquhar	0.0000	0.3478	78.8
9	Koji Uehara	0.0000	0.2877	75.6
10	Bruce Rondón	0.6429	0.0333	74.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jim Johnson	0.0000	0.6757	188.7
2	Craig Kimbrel	0.0000	0.7353	182.6
3	Greg Holland	0.0000	0.6912	169.3
4	Mariano Rivera	0.0000	0.6875	169.0
5	Rafael Soriano	0.0000	0.6324	167.6
6	Addison Reed	0.0000	0.5882	165.5
7	Joe Nathan	0.0000	0.6418	153.6
8	Fernando Rodney	0.0000	0.5441	149.9
9	Grant Balfour	0.0000	0.5846	146.0
10	Sergio Romo	0.0000	0.5846	139.3

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Luis Avilán	0.3600	0.1200 (70.6)	0.0000 (79.1)	0.0000 (79.5)
Tyler Clippard	0.4583	0.2692 (61.8)	0.0000 (112.0)	0.0000 (112.4)
Tanner Scheppers	0.3553	0.1111 (84.5)	0.0000 (91.9)	0.0000 (92.3)
Joel Peralta	0.5125	0.3137 (68.2)	0.0000 (134.3)	0.0000 (134.7)
Drew Storen	0.3529	0.1389 (66.7)	0.0000 (80.6)	0.0000 (81.0)
Drew Smyly	0.3333	0.0857 (85.8)	0.0000 (85.5)	0.0000 (86.0)
Junichi Tazawa	0.3521	0.1111 (78.6)	0.0000 (85.5)	0.0000 (85.9)
Mark Melancon	0.3611	0.0769 (89.3)	0.0000 (86.5)	0.0000 (86.9)
Tommy Hunter	0.3088	0.0556 (97.1)	0.0000 (86.6)	0.0000 (87.1)
Trevor Rosenthal	0.3919	0.1579 (83.9)	0.0000 (106.0)	0.0000 (106.5)
Brandon Kintzler	0.3662	0.1111 (88.7)	0.0000 (96.1)	0.0000 (96.6)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Sale	0.1400	0.0000	90.3
2	Yoervis Medina	0.0513	0.3016	83.2
3	Julio Teheran	0.1429	0.0000	82.9
4	Kris Medlen	0.1250	0.0000	73.2
5	Dane De La Rosa	0.0714	0.2667	67.2
6	John Axford	0.0566	0.2533	67.2
7	Andrew Cashner	0.1613	0.0323	66.0
8	Justin Wilson	0.0714	0.2586	65.8
9	Sergio Romo	0.2800	0.0000	61.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Robertson	0.0000	0.4714	110.1
2	Jared Burton	0.0000	0.3803	92.5
3	Jake McGee	0.0000	0.3803	85.6
4	Sean Doolittle	0.0000	0.3714	85.2
5	Matt Belisle	0.0000	0.3333	85.0
6	Ryan Cook	0.0000	0.3239	80.2
7	Joe Smith	0.0000	0.3571	79.3
8	Luke Gregerson	0.0000	0.3425	78.1
9	Tony Watson	0.0000	0.3284	77.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Robertson	0.0000	0.4714	110.5
2	Jared Burton	0.0000	0.3803	92.9
3	Jake McGee	0.0000	0.3803	86.0
4	Sean Doolittle	0.0000	0.3714	85.6
5	Matt Belisle	0.0000	0.3333	85.4
6	Ryan Cook	0.0000	0.3239	80.7
7	Joe Smith	0.0000	0.3571	79.7
8	Luke Gregerson	0.0000	0.3425	78.5
9	Tony Watson	0.0000	0.3284	78.1

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edinson Volquez	5.7065	4.3970 (1002.9)	4.1272 (1288.5)	4.0830 (1508.3)
José Fernández	2.1892	3.9309 (1198.8)	3.7888 (1035.5)	3.9309 (969.7)
Roy Halladay	6.8226	3.3586 (971.6)	3.4719 (967.2)	3.4190 (1049.4)
Lucas Harrell	5.8568	3.9130 (1361.1)	4.6653 (898.4)	4.7554 (1003.4)
Aníbal Sánchez	2.5714	3.8028 (932.5)	4.0455 (1040.6)	4.2324 (1002.1)
CC Sabathia	4.7773	3.3223 (1304.1)	3.6110 (1130.8)	3.6036 (1354.2)

Individual Misses for ERA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeremy Hellickson	3.2466	5.1724	1405.6
2	John Lackey	5.0670	3.5176	1220.0
3	Francisco Liriano	4.7079	3.0186	1137.5
4	Ryan Vogelsong	3.3155	5.7299	1118.8
5	Josh Johnson	3.3952	6.1967	1068.6
6	Joe Saunders	3.9880	5.2623	1029.6
7	R.A. Dickey	3.1148	4.2062	1011.6
8	Ian Kennedy	3.6695	4.9136	973.0
9	Ubaldo Jiménez	4.5215	3.3011	962.8
10	Aaron Harang	3.8532	5.4000	956.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joe Blanton	3.9161	6.0377	1344.6
2	Hisashi Iwakuma	4.1396	2.6631	1210.1
3	Clayton Kershaw	3.1608	1.8305	1136.1
4	Matt Harvey	3.9077	2.2710	1074.7
5	Clay Buchholz	4.3976	1.7446	1070.7
6	Bartolo Colon	3.9937	2.6480	974.0
7	Jhoulys Chacín	4.7122	3.4662	952.2
8	Travis Wood	4.3387	3.1050	947.9
9	Jose Quintana	4.7236	3.5100	943.9
10	Dan Haren	3.4721	4.6680	914.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeremy Hellickson	3.7792	5.1724	1260.9
2	Ervin Santana	5.0477	3.2844	1241.8
3	Ian Kennedy	3.7109	4.9136	1207.2
4	Joe Blanton	4.4896	6.0377	1140.0
5	Ryan Vogelsong	3.6836	5.7299	1104.0
6	John Lackey	5.2441	3.5176	1096.0
7	Josh Johnson	3.6846	6.1967	1086.7
8	Scott Kazmir	5.9785	4.0443	1086.2
9	Edwin Jackson	3.9047	4.9791	1081.7
10	Barry Zito	4.3110	5.7375	1060.5

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Max Scherzer	0.9705	1.3041 (289.0)	1.1787 (161.3)	1.2748 (210.7)
Wade Davis	1.6773	1.3034 (223.6)	1.4052 (177.7)	1.3764 (218.3)
John Lackey	1.1567	1.4611 (246.3)	1.3811 (162.6)	1.5118 (235.6)
José Fernández	0.9788	1.3123 (235.4)	1.2969 (206.2)	1.3123 (191.6)
Justin Verlander	1.3145	1.0751 (210.2)	1.1564 (160.5)	1.1026 (244.4)
Barry Zito	1.7025	1.3687 (195.6)	1.4386 (169.7)	1.3780 (229.1)
Matt Harvey	0.9308	1.2446 (224.8)	1.3216 (259.1)	1.3350 (242.8)
Joe Blanton	1.6131	1.3136 (175.6)	1.2213 (248.7)	1.2663 (243.8)
Joe Saunders	1.6011	1.3413 (203.1)	1.3956 (181.0)	1.3600 (240.5)
Lucas Harrell	1.7050	1.3822 (219.6)	1.4727 (175.0)	1.5199 (167.8)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	1.2903	1.0061	256.6
2	Yu Darvish	1.2952	1.0731	197.0
3	Tyson Ross	1.5053	1.1520	184.1
4	Clayton Kershaw	1.0797	0.9153	160.3
5	Josh Johnson	1.2307	1.6598	160.2
6	Adam Wainwright	1.2223	1.0676	159.5
7	Mike Minor	1.2710	1.0896	158.7
8	Scott Feldman	1.3802	1.1835	158.3
9	Justin Masterson	1.3860	1.2021	157.4
10	Dylan Axelrod	1.3947	1.6597	148.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	1.3166	1.0061	255.7
2	Clayton Kershaw	1.1451	0.9153	194.8
3	Dylan Axelrod	1.3443	1.6597	193.8
4	Ervin Santana	1.3709	1.1422	183.3
5	Chris Archer	1.4863	1.1269	180.6
6	Edinson Volquez	1.3874	1.5851	165.6
7	CC Sabathia	1.2028	1.3697	165.4
8	Jose Quintana	1.4285	1.2200	160.7
9	Jhoulys Chacín	1.4650	1.2618	153.3
10	Vance Worley	1.3692	1.9932	149.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Kazmir	1.6876	1.3228	210.0
2	Chris Archer	1.5595	1.1269	199.6
3	Alex Torres	1.8257	0.8966	198.2
4	CC Sabathia	1.2111	1.3697	191.5
5	Ervin Santana	1.4077	1.1422	183.2
6	Corey Kluber	1.6160	1.2624	183.2
7	Josh Johnson	1.2617	1.6598	172.9
8	Ian Kennedy	1.2320	1.3952	171.1
9	Neal Cotts	1.7668	0.9474	171.1
10	Justin Wilson	1.6777	1.0588	167.1