2012 Projection Evaluation
Batting Projection Accuracy
Plate Appearances (PA)
Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryce Harper | 1 | 597 | 596.0 |
| 2 | Norichika Aoki | 1 | 588 | 587.0 |
| 3 | Yoenis Cespedes | 1 | 540 | 539.0 |
| 4 | Brett Gardner | 551 | 37 | 514.0 |
| 5 | Kosuke Fukudome | 535 | 51 | 484.0 |
| 6 | Alex Gonzalez | 550 | 89 | 461.0 |
| 7 | Jason Bartlett | 555 | 98 | 457.0 |
| 8 | Aubrey Huff | 545 | 95 | 450.0 |
| 9 | Lance Berkman | 530 | 97 | 433.0 |
| 10 | Hideki Matsui | 533 | 103 | 430.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brett Gardner | 621 | 37 | 583.6 |
| 2 | Lance Berkman | 582 | 97 | 484.6 |
| 3 | Jason Bartlett | 561 | 98 | 462.9 |
| 4 | Alex Gonzalez | 548 | 89 | 458.5 |
| 5 | Carl Crawford | 578 | 125 | 453.2 |
| 6 | Mat Gamel | 522 | 75 | 447.4 |
| 7 | Danny Valencia | 598 | 161 | 437.1 |
| 8 | Hideki Matsui | 537 | 103 | 434.4 |
| 9 | Aubrey Huff | 520 | 95 | 425.4 |
| 10 | Troy Tulowitzki | 626 | 203 | 422.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Henry Alejandro Rodriguez | 681 | 16 | 665.0 |
| 2 | Juan Diaz | 643 | 17 | 626.0 |
| 3 | Lars Anderson | 632 | 8 | 624.0 |
| 4 | Charlie Culberson | 646 | 23 | 623.0 |
| 5 | Blake Tekotte | 637 | 15 | 622.0 |
| 6 | L.J. Hoes | 623 | 1 | 622.0 |
| 7 | Che-Hsuan Lin | 628 | 12 | 616.0 |
| 8 | Brandon Allen | 629 | 22 | 607.0 |
| 9 | Carlos Triunfel | 628 | 24 | 604.0 |
| 10 | Conor Gillaspie | 616 | 20 | 596.0 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 0.4107 |
0.3079
(66.9)
|
0.3215
(61.0)
|
0.3282
(46.4)
|
| Brandon Moss | 0.4039 |
0.2919
(33.7)
|
0.3100
(29.6)
|
0.2927
(30.0)
|
| Austin Jackson | 0.3703 |
0.3122
(37.1)
|
0.3115
(40.2)
|
0.3039
(34.8)
|
| Aaron Hill | 0.3781 |
0.3103
(46.7)
|
0.3171
(45.0)
|
0.3221
(30.8)
|
| Adrián González | 0.3481 |
0.3934
(29.6)
|
0.4026
(32.9)
|
0.3909
(36.0)
|
| Buster Posey | 0.4096 |
0.3435
(41.5)
|
0.3567
(36.1)
|
0.3488
(31.0)
|
| Alex Rios | 0.3629 |
0.3042
(38.9)
|
0.3162
(33.9)
|
0.3064
(29.8)
|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.4084 |
0.3522
(39.2)
|
0.3537
(41.1)
|
0.3549
(29.3)
|
| Ian Desmond | 0.3629 |
0.2962
(37.6)
|
0.2985
(38.7)
|
0.2946
(32.0)
|
| Edwin Encarnación | 0.4015 |
0.3325
(45.7)
|
0.3424
(42.2)
|
0.3413
(32.4)
|
| Dustin Ackley | 0.2777 |
0.3281
(32.3)
|
0.3268
(28.6)
|
0.3329
(43.4)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Headley | 0.3242 | 0.3785 | 39.3 |
| 2 | Michael Young | 0.3536 | 0.2987 | 34.5 |
| 3 | Melky Cabrera | 0.3263 | 0.3886 | 32.2 |
| 4 | Ryan Ludwick | 0.3150 | 0.3746 | 29.1 |
| 5 | Michael Saunders | 0.2701 | 0.3199 | 28.6 |
| 6 | Yadier Molina | 0.3270 | 0.3756 | 28.5 |
| 7 | Yunel Escobar | 0.3298 | 0.2815 | 28.2 |
| 8 | Chris Davis | 0.3072 | 0.3553 | 28.1 |
| 9 | Yoenis Cespedes | 0.3206 | 0.3706 | 28.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Headley | 0.3281 | 0.3785 | 39.7 |
| 2 | Yadier Molina | 0.3186 | 0.3756 | 35.6 |
| 3 | Melky Cabrera | 0.3238 | 0.3886 | 35.6 |
| 4 | Carlos Ruiz | 0.3284 | 0.4020 | 33.6 |
| 5 | Adam LaRoche | 0.3190 | 0.3644 | 33.4 |
| 6 | Albert Pujols | 0.4233 | 0.3676 | 33.1 |
| 7 | Robinson Canó | 0.3599 | 0.3985 | 31.3 |
| 8 | Justin Ruggiano | 0.2975 | 0.3879 | 30.9 |
| 9 | A.J. Pierzynski | 0.3044 | 0.3537 | 28.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eric Hosmer | 0.3577 | 0.2939 | 44.1 |
| 2 | J.J. Hardy | 0.3280 | 0.2896 | 34.4 |
| 3 | Casey Kotchman | 0.3278 | 0.2705 | 33.6 |
| 4 | Yunel Escobar | 0.3261 | 0.2815 | 33.2 |
| 5 | Albert Pujols | 0.4057 | 0.3676 | 32.2 |
| 6 | Ian Kinsler | 0.3596 | 0.3265 | 31.5 |
| 7 | Shane Victorino | 0.3417 | 0.3062 | 30.2 |
| 8 | Michael Young | 0.3326 | 0.2987 | 28.5 |
| 9 | Brennan Boesch | 0.3352 | 0.2885 | 28.5 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Granderson | 0.2851 |
0.2202
(37.8)
|
0.2271
(29.7)
|
0.2266
(40.1)
|
| Jason Kubel | 0.2644 |
0.1969
(33.0)
|
0.1884
(35.1)
|
0.1866
(44.5)
|
| Prince Fielder | 0.1217 |
0.1771
(44.9)
|
0.1692
(42.8)
|
0.1791
(39.5)
|
| Cody Ransom | 0.3865 |
0.2110
(46.8)
|
0.1920
(50.7)
|
0.2716
(32.5)
|
| Jason Kipnis | 0.1622 |
0.1986
(30.9)
|
0.2018
(36.4)
|
0.2090
(31.3)
|
| Josh Hamilton | 0.2547 |
0.1797
(41.6)
|
0.1781
(39.5)
|
0.1800
(47.6)
|
| David Wright | 0.1672 |
0.2229
(43.8)
|
0.2135
(40.8)
|
0.2142
(31.4)
|
| Bryan LaHair | 0.3263 |
0.2009
(44.0)
|
0.2331
(29.9)
|
0.2324
(35.7)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norichika Aoki | 0.1920 | 0.0935 | 63.6 |
| 2 | Michael Brantley | 0.1524 | 0.0920 | 42.7 |
| 3 | Kirk Nieuwenhuis | 0.1920 | 0.3121 | 34.7 |
| 4 | Lucas Duda | 0.1795 | 0.2614 | 33.2 |
| 5 | Marco Scutaro | 0.1104 | 0.0717 | 33.0 |
| 6 | Steve Lombardozzi | 0.1757 | 0.1106 | 31.1 |
| 7 | Brett Jackson | 0.1920 | 0.4155 | 30.4 |
| 8 | Michael Young | 0.1443 | 0.1075 | 30.2 |
| 9 | Yonder Alonso | 0.2016 | 0.1632 | 29.7 |
| 10 | Brandon Moss | 0.1942 | 0.3041 | 29.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.2480 | 0.1685 | 34.6 |
| 2 | Adam LaRoche | 0.2496 | 0.2133 | 32.9 |
| 3 | Logan Forsythe | 0.2387 | 0.1629 | 31.6 |
| 4 | Lucas Duda | 0.1782 | 0.2614 | 31.5 |
| 5 | Jayson Werth | 0.2423 | 0.1657 | 31.4 |
| 6 | Michael Young | 0.1392 | 0.1075 | 30.1 |
| 7 | Michael Brantley | 0.1235 | 0.0920 | 28.1 |
| 8 | Joaquin Arias | 0.1920 | 0.1279 | 27.1 |
| 9 | Will Venable | 0.2423 | 0.2000 | 26.7 |
| 10 | Mike Moustakas | 0.1441 | 0.2020 | 26.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.2902 | 0.2215 | 40.2 |
| 2 | Carlos Beltrán | 0.1432 | 0.2003 | 35.5 |
| 3 | A.J. Pierzynski | 0.0854 | 0.1500 | 33.7 |
| 4 | A.J. Ellis | 0.1463 | 0.2119 | 33.2 |
| 5 | Mike Moustakas | 0.1506 | 0.2020 | 31.7 |
| 6 | Jimmy Rollins | 0.0930 | 0.1373 | 31.1 |
| 7 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.2527 | 0.1685 | 30.9 |
| 8 | Logan Forsythe | 0.2505 | 0.1629 | 30.6 |
| 9 | Mike Napoli | 0.2302 | 0.2998 | 29.1 |
| 10 | Mark Reynolds | 0.3495 | 0.2955 | 28.9 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.0947 |
0.1297
(21.7)
|
0.1343
(22.8)
|
0.1385
(32.9)
|
| Adrián González | 0.0614 |
0.1248
(40.7)
|
0.1272
(40.3)
|
0.1177
(40.9)
|
| Alexei Ramirez | 0.0258 |
0.0682
(24.0)
|
0.0667
(21.1)
|
0.0607
(23.8)
|
| Dan Uggla | 0.1492 |
0.1087
(28.0)
|
0.1077
(30.6)
|
0.1030
(26.9)
|
| Yunel Escobar | 0.0576 |
0.0982
(22.3)
|
0.1019
(22.7)
|
0.0972
(26.2)
|
| Albert Pujols | 0.0776 |
0.1237
(28.3)
|
0.1346
(33.5)
|
0.1205
(31.0)
|
| Miguel Montero | 0.1274 |
0.0843
(26.9)
|
0.0883
(26.4)
|
0.0870
(21.2)
|
| Joey Votto | 0.1979 |
0.1362
(31.1)
|
0.1433
(29.2)
|
0.1479
(22.1)
|
| Edwin Encarnación | 0.1304 |
0.0857
(31.3)
|
0.0929
(28.6)
|
0.0868
(25.9)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Mauer | 0.1059 | 0.1404 | 24.6 |
| 2 | Buster Posey | 0.0783 | 0.1131 | 23.6 |
| 3 | Marco Scutaro | 0.0938 | 0.0586 | 21.4 |
| 4 | Austin Jackson | 0.0779 | 0.1086 | 21.3 |
| 5 | Jemile Weeks | 0.0606 | 0.0978 | 21.0 |
| 6 | Chase Headley | 0.0980 | 0.1230 | 20.2 |
| 7 | John Buck | 0.0774 | 0.1231 | 19.7 |
| 8 | Mike Trout | 0.0786 | 0.1049 | 19.3 |
| 9 | Adam Dunn | 0.1361 | 0.1618 | 19.2 |
| 10 | Robinson Canó | 0.0641 | 0.0875 | 19.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Heyward | 0.1350 | 0.0891 | 25.3 |
| 2 | B.J. Upton | 0.1174 | 0.0711 | 24.9 |
| 3 | Robinson Canó | 0.0637 | 0.0875 | 21.5 |
| 4 | Austin Jackson | 0.0822 | 0.1086 | 20.5 |
| 5 | Joe Mauer | 0.1161 | 0.1404 | 20.0 |
| 6 | Jemile Weeks | 0.0660 | 0.0978 | 19.8 |
| 7 | John Buck | 0.0811 | 0.1231 | 19.5 |
| 8 | David Freese | 0.0735 | 0.1005 | 19.3 |
| 9 | Buster Posey | 0.0897 | 0.1131 | 18.5 |
| 10 | Ian Kinsler | 0.1142 | 0.0821 | 18.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Heyward | 0.1311 | 0.0891 | 29.6 |
| 2 | B.J. Upton | 0.1133 | 0.0711 | 28.9 |
| 3 | Ian Kinsler | 0.1084 | 0.0821 | 21.8 |
| 4 | Jesus Montero | 0.0881 | 0.0524 | 21.6 |
| 5 | Derek Norris | 0.1780 | 0.0905 | 21.1 |
| 6 | Dustin Ackley | 0.1157 | 0.0883 | 20.6 |
| 7 | Marco Scutaro | 0.0844 | 0.0586 | 20.0 |
| 8 | Prince Fielder | 0.1483 | 0.1232 | 19.7 |
| 9 | Dustin Pedroia | 0.1044 | 0.0770 | 19.2 |
| 10 | Hanley Ramirez | 0.1051 | 0.0810 | 18.4 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Pena | 0.0217 |
0.0108
(6.7)
|
0.0113
(6.5)
|
0.0113
(6.5)
|
| Hunter Pence | 0.0102 |
0.0017
(6.1)
|
0.0021
(5.9)
|
0.0015
(6.3)
|
| Adam Dunn | 0.0015 |
0.0099
(5.2)
|
0.0096
(4.9)
|
0.0092
(4.7)
|
| Kevin Youkilis | 0.0334 |
0.0222
(5.9)
|
0.0237
(5.2)
|
0.0240
(5.0)
|
| Jon Jay | 0.0299 |
0.0122
(9.0)
|
0.0117
(9.4)
|
0.0144
(8.0)
|
| Carlos Ruiz | 0.0380 |
0.0148
(9.9)
|
0.0155
(9.7)
|
0.0165
(9.2)
|
| Miguel Montero | 0.0209 |
0.0098
(6.6)
|
0.0112
(5.9)
|
0.0109
(6.0)
|
| Corey Hart | 0.0177 |
0.0093
(5.4)
|
0.0096
(5.3)
|
0.0103
(4.9)
|
| Sean Rodríguez | 0.0088 |
0.0260
(5.8)
|
0.0241
(5.1)
|
0.0300
(7.1)
|
| Jason Heyward | 0.0031 |
0.0118
(5.5)
|
0.0116
(5.2)
|
0.0122
(5.7)
|
| Norichika Aoki | 0.0221 |
0.0083
(8.3)
|
0.0069
(9.2)
|
0.0122
(6.1)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Harrison | 0.0032 | 0.0254 | 6.2 |
| 2 | Tyler Greene | 0.0220 | 0.0030 | 6.2 |
| 3 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.0080 | 0.0171 | 6.1 |
| 4 | Scott Moore | 0.0048 | 0.0307 | 6.0 |
| 5 | Alex Rodriguez | 0.0087 | 0.0189 | 5.6 |
| 6 | Chris Davis | 0.0031 | 0.0125 | 5.4 |
| 7 | Craig Gentry | 0.0179 | 0.0372 | 5.3 |
| 8 | Alejandro De Aza | 0.0069 | 0.0154 | 5.1 |
| 9 | Prince Fielder | 0.0177 | 0.0246 | 5.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Nava | 0.0083 | 0.0284 | 6.5 |
| 2 | Buster Posey | 0.0129 | 0.0033 | 5.5 |
| 3 | Craig Gentry | 0.0172 | 0.0372 | 5.5 |
| 4 | Colby Rasmus | 0.0030 | 0.0112 | 5.4 |
| 5 | Alex Gordon | 0.0120 | 0.0042 | 5.3 |
| 6 | Scott Moore | 0.0083 | 0.0307 | 5.2 |
| 7 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.0101 | 0.0171 | 4.8 |
| 8 | Prince Fielder | 0.0182 | 0.0246 | 4.8 |
| 9 | Justin Upton | 0.0161 | 0.0080 | 4.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colby Rasmus | 0.0017 | 0.0112 | 6.2 |
| 2 | Buster Posey | 0.0128 | 0.0033 | 5.6 |
| 3 | Dan Uggla | 0.0079 | 0.0159 | 5.3 |
| 4 | Justin Upton | 0.0165 | 0.0080 | 5.1 |
| 5 | Jordan Pacheco | 0.0161 | 0.0059 | 4.9 |
| 6 | Travis Hafner | 0.0162 | 0.0342 | 4.8 |
| 7 | Alex Gordon | 0.0113 | 0.0042 | 4.8 |
| 8 | Alejandro De Aza | 0.0076 | 0.0154 | 4.8 |
| 9 | Tyler Greene | 0.0178 | 0.0030 | 4.7 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 0.0703 |
0.0400
(17.3)
|
0.0329
(22.4)
|
0.0316
(20.1)
|
| Brandon Moss | 0.1186 |
0.0270
(26.2)
|
0.0452
(21.1)
|
0.0441
(19.9)
|
| Chase Headley | 0.0686 |
0.0237
(29.1)
|
0.0272
(27.3)
|
0.0255
(25.1)
|
| Adrián González | 0.0342 |
0.0615
(20.9)
|
0.0656
(23.1)
|
0.0655
(26.4)
|
| A.J. Pierzynski | 0.0665 |
0.0240
(20.4)
|
0.0230
(21.5)
|
0.0211
(19.9)
|
| Ian Desmond | 0.0623 |
0.0233
(19.6)
|
0.0242
(19.6)
|
0.0227
(17.7)
|
| Carlos Beltrán | 0.0748 |
0.0427
(17.9)
|
0.0428
(18.4)
|
0.0420
(15.8)
|
| Josh Hamilton | 0.1051 |
0.0594
(27.0)
|
0.0593
(27.7)
|
0.0565
(26.3)
|
| Edwin Encarnación | 0.0923 |
0.0511
(24.5)
|
0.0521
(24.4)
|
0.0531
(20.6)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Dunn | 0.0775 | 0.1277 | 30.5 |
| 2 | Chris Davis | 0.0481 | 0.0946 | 24.3 |
| 3 | Pedro Alvarez | 0.0458 | 0.0862 | 21.8 |
| 4 | Curtis Granderson | 0.0711 | 0.1051 | 21.1 |
| 5 | Josh Reddick | 0.0346 | 0.0688 | 20.9 |
| 6 | Wilin Rosario | 0.0422 | 0.0930 | 20.3 |
| 7 | Chris Carter | 0.0375 | 0.1159 | 19.6 |
| 8 | Ike Davis | 0.0476 | 0.0840 | 19.4 |
| 9 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.0805 | 0.1205 | 18.5 |
| 10 | Jarrod Saltalamacchia | 0.0500 | 0.0926 | 17.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Dunn | 0.0874 | 0.1277 | 24.7 |
| 2 | Curtis Granderson | 0.0679 | 0.1051 | 23.9 |
| 3 | Justin Upton | 0.0669 | 0.0387 | 19.1 |
| 4 | Jarrod Saltalamacchia | 0.0487 | 0.0926 | 18.6 |
| 5 | Albert Pujols | 0.0796 | 0.0559 | 17.4 |
| 6 | Jason Kubel | 0.0505 | 0.0831 | 17.3 |
| 7 | Andrew McCutchen | 0.0388 | 0.0665 | 17.2 |
| 8 | Carlos Pena | 0.0854 | 0.0597 | 16.7 |
| 9 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.0770 | 0.0509 | 16.6 |
| 10 | Mark Reynolds | 0.1052 | 0.0767 | 16.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Pena | 0.0893 | 0.0597 | 22.1 |
| 2 | Mark Reynolds | 0.1094 | 0.0767 | 21.5 |
| 3 | Brett Lawrie | 0.0574 | 0.0267 | 20.3 |
| 4 | Justin Upton | 0.0636 | 0.0387 | 20.2 |
| 5 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.0767 | 0.0509 | 19.4 |
| 6 | Alex Gordon | 0.0473 | 0.0277 | 19.3 |
| 7 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0763 | 0.0535 | 19.3 |
| 8 | Albert Pujols | 0.0755 | 0.0559 | 18.0 |
| 9 | Carlos Lee | 0.0385 | 0.0178 | 17.2 |
| 10 | Josh Reddick | 0.0366 | 0.0688 | 16.8 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 0.3829 |
0.2760
(68.1)
|
0.2983
(52.6)
|
0.3174
(41.4)
|
| Jemile Weeks | 0.2500 |
0.3303
(41.1)
|
0.3026
(28.0)
|
0.3073
(29.7)
|
| Buster Posey | 0.3675 |
0.3080
(36.2)
|
0.3107
(33.3)
|
0.3171
(30.3)
|
| Danny Espinosa | 0.3308 |
0.2841
(30.6)
|
0.2815
(31.0)
|
0.2861
(29.0)
|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.3747 |
0.3055
(46.4)
|
0.2997
(49.0)
|
0.3045
(46.8)
|
| Casey Kotchman | 0.2315 |
0.2907
(29.7)
|
0.2865
(28.6)
|
0.2918
(30.5)
|
| Tyler Colvin | 0.3537 |
0.2565
(43.8)
|
0.2784
(33.1)
|
0.2874
(29.7)
|
| Melky Cabrera | 0.3785 |
0.3043
(37.1)
|
0.2984
(39.0)
|
0.3071
(35.5)
|
| Ike Davis | 0.2464 |
0.3182
(42.1)
|
0.3160
(41.9)
|
0.3169
(41.6)
|
| Alcides Escobar | 0.3386 |
0.2758
(40.5)
|
0.2899
(30.1)
|
0.2952
(27.7)
|
| Torii Hunter | 0.3882 |
0.3061
(47.8)
|
0.2965
(52.2)
|
0.2931
(55.1)
|
| Eric Hosmer | 0.2552 |
0.3062
(30.7)
|
0.3044
(30.7)
|
0.3282
(44.1)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Hill | 0.2568 | 0.3160 | 39.4 |
| 2 | Dustin Ackley | 0.3199 | 0.2643 | 37.3 |
| 3 | Justin Ruggiano | 0.2921 | 0.3969 | 33.4 |
| 4 | Alex Rios | 0.2725 | 0.3225 | 31.8 |
| 5 | Brandon Belt | 0.2836 | 0.3510 | 31.7 |
| 6 | Adam Dunn | 0.2939 | 0.2464 | 31.0 |
| 7 | Brian McCann | 0.2938 | 0.2341 | 29.2 |
| 8 | Chris Nelson | 0.2936 | 0.3711 | 29.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miguel Montero | 0.3006 | 0.3615 | 33.7 |
| 2 | Alex Gordon | 0.3080 | 0.3564 | 33.3 |
| 3 | Joey Votto | 0.3336 | 0.4043 | 32.5 |
| 4 | Yoenis Cespedes | 0.2640 | 0.3260 | 32.3 |
| 5 | Dexter Fowler | 0.3221 | 0.3832 | 31.2 |
| 6 | Aaron Hill | 0.2694 | 0.3160 | 29.6 |
| 7 | Justin Ruggiano | 0.3023 | 0.3969 | 29.5 |
| 8 | Russell Martin | 0.2767 | 0.2208 | 28.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Votto | 0.3299 | 0.4043 | 35.0 |
| 2 | Miguel Montero | 0.3016 | 0.3615 | 33.9 |
| 3 | Derek Jeter | 0.3013 | 0.3436 | 30.8 |
| 4 | Jordan Pacheco | 0.2838 | 0.3430 | 29.5 |
| 5 | Joe Mauer | 0.3189 | 0.3636 | 28.2 |
| 6 | Colby Rasmus | 0.3026 | 0.2581 | 28.2 |
| 7 | Brian McCann | 0.2906 | 0.2341 | 27.8 |
| 8 | Alex Rios | 0.2784 | 0.3225 | 27.8 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Trumbo | 0.2548 |
0.2023
(30.3)
|
0.1945
(29.1)
|
0.2145
(23.3)
|
| Mike Trout | 0.2947 |
0.2031
(58.1)
|
0.2160
(43.6)
|
0.2413
(33.7)
|
| Billy Butler | 0.2720 |
0.2328
(26.1)
|
0.2174
(29.9)
|
0.2335
(25.7)
|
| Brendan Ryan | 0.1688 |
0.2219
(25.3)
|
0.2138
(26.1)
|
0.2228
(25.7)
|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.2943 |
0.2172
(51.4)
|
0.2065
(51.9)
|
0.2138
(53.7)
|
| Jeff Keppinger | 0.2857 |
0.2204
(27.0)
|
0.2146
(25.3)
|
0.2162
(28.8)
|
| Miguel Montero | 0.2828 |
0.2210
(35.0)
|
0.2047
(38.7)
|
0.2127
(39.8)
|
| Melky Cabrera | 0.2890 |
0.2255
(31.4)
|
0.2214
(28.5)
|
0.2220
(33.3)
|
| Dexter Fowler | 0.2928 |
0.2159
(40.4)
|
0.2071
(39.8)
|
0.2165
(40.1)
|
| Jay Bruce | 0.1772 |
0.2202
(27.6)
|
0.2116
(28.4)
|
0.2273
(32.0)
|
| Russell Martin | 0.1623 |
0.2236
(30.1)
|
0.2166
(31.4)
|
0.2232
(29.8)
|
| Torii Hunter | 0.3239 |
0.2347
(51.7)
|
0.2189
(55.2)
|
0.2262
(56.7)
|
| Ike Davis | 0.1719 |
0.2318
(35.4)
|
0.2115
(29.3)
|
0.2222
(29.7)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcides Escobar | 0.2175 | 0.2657 | 30.8 |
| 2 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1768 | 0.2529 | 27.7 |
| 3 | Zack Cozart | 0.2405 | 0.1963 | 26.9 |
| 4 | Jemile Weeks | 0.2416 | 0.1901 | 26.7 |
| 5 | Ichiro Suzuki | 0.2766 | 0.2373 | 26.5 |
| 6 | Omar Infante | 0.2550 | 0.2106 | 26.5 |
| 7 | Freddie Freeman | 0.2465 | 0.2065 | 25.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ichiro Suzuki | 0.2779 | 0.2373 | 33.9 |
| 2 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1625 | 0.2529 | 29.4 |
| 3 | Yoenis Cespedes | 0.1839 | 0.2438 | 26.6 |
| 4 | Danny Espinosa | 0.1811 | 0.2316 | 26.2 |
| 5 | Adrian Beltré | 0.1985 | 0.2485 | 25.8 |
| 6 | Jonny Gomes | 0.1954 | 0.2830 | 25.6 |
| 7 | Paul Konerko | 0.2079 | 0.2606 | 25.1 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Jeter | 0.2445 | 0.2889 | 32.4 |
| 2 | Eric Hosmer | 0.2490 | 0.1995 | 30.0 |
| 3 | Alex Rodriguez | 0.2167 | 0.2695 | 27.6 |
| 4 | John Buck | 0.2247 | 0.1645 | 24.2 |
| 5 | Jonny Gomes | 0.2105 | 0.2830 | 23.9 |
| 6 | Donovan Solano | 0.2174 | 0.2918 | 23.3 |
| 7 | Kirk Nieuwenhuis | 0.2069 | 0.2802 | 22.8 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denard Span | 0.0835 |
0.0426
(23.5)
|
0.0507
(23.5)
|
0.0437
(21.8)
|
| Aramis Ramirez | 0.1075 |
0.0665
(26.1)
|
0.0782
(23.8)
|
0.0716
(21.7)
|
| Kevin Youkilis | 0.0478 |
0.0932
(23.0)
|
0.0983
(21.4)
|
0.0892
(21.8)
|
| Mike Napoli | 0.0439 |
0.0848
(16.9)
|
0.0965
(18.4)
|
0.0849
(17.7)
|
| Shin-Soo Choo | 0.0993 |
0.0707
(19.9)
|
0.0822
(17.6)
|
0.0689
(19.9)
|
| Joey Votto | 0.1588 |
0.0925
(31.7)
|
0.0982
(32.8)
|
0.0863
(33.8)
|
| Michael Saunders | 0.0866 |
0.0526
(19.0)
|
0.0629
(17.8)
|
0.0537
(17.4)
|
| Justin Upton | 0.0569 |
0.0829
(16.1)
|
0.0987
(21.0)
|
0.0850
(18.6)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.0753 | 0.1153 | 23.7 |
| 2 | Brian Bogusevic | 0.0900 | 0.0356 | 21.8 |
| 3 | Buster Posey | 0.0600 | 0.0931 | 20.4 |
| 4 | Justin Ruggiano | 0.0618 | 0.1186 | 18.3 |
| 5 | Jason Kipnis | 0.0733 | 0.0461 | 18.0 |
| 6 | Aaron Hill | 0.0617 | 0.0880 | 17.8 |
| 7 | Jay Bruce | 0.0663 | 0.0926 | 16.9 |
| 8 | Danny Espinosa | 0.0696 | 0.0941 | 16.4 |
| 9 | Michael Cuddyer | 0.0709 | 0.1119 | 16.3 |
| 10 | Albert Pujols | 0.0747 | 0.0986 | 16.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1241 | 0.0575 | 21.4 |
| 2 | Norichika Aoki | 0.0531 | 0.0792 | 20.3 |
| 3 | Colby Rasmus | 0.0929 | 0.0526 | 19.9 |
| 4 | Michael Cuddyer | 0.0731 | 0.1119 | 18.6 |
| 5 | Justin Smoak | 0.0816 | 0.0394 | 18.1 |
| 6 | Jesus Montero | 0.0891 | 0.0490 | 17.5 |
| 7 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0876 | 0.1059 | 17.2 |
| 8 | Michael Brantley | 0.0556 | 0.0749 | 16.9 |
| 9 | Casey Kotchman | 0.0718 | 0.0296 | 16.9 |
| 10 | Aaron Hill | 0.0712 | 0.0880 | 16.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colby Rasmus | 0.0807 | 0.0526 | 18.5 |
| 2 | Jesus Montero | 0.0805 | 0.0490 | 18.2 |
| 3 | Justin Smoak | 0.0701 | 0.0394 | 17.2 |
| 4 | Casey Kotchman | 0.0623 | 0.0296 | 17.1 |
| 5 | Buster Posey | 0.0639 | 0.0931 | 16.9 |
| 6 | Norichika Aoki | 0.0495 | 0.0792 | 16.6 |
| 7 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.1003 | 0.0575 | 16.3 |
| 8 | Albert Pujols | 0.0728 | 0.0986 | 16.3 |
| 9 | Daniel Descalso | 0.0698 | 0.0337 | 16.0 |
| 10 | Nelson Cruz | 0.0796 | 0.1059 | 15.9 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Granderson | 0.0109 |
0.0191
(5.5)
|
0.0191
(5.7)
|
0.0211
(6.0)
|
| Bryce Harper | 0.0227 |
0.0074
(9.2)
|
0.0084
(8.5)
|
0.0089
(9.0)
|
| Todd Frazier | 0.0197 |
0.0055
(6.7)
|
0.0043
(7.1)
|
0.0080
(6.1)
|
| Aaron Hill | 0.0120 |
0.0025
(6.5)
|
0.0028
(6.1)
|
0.0045
(5.9)
|
| Elvis Andrus | 0.0164 |
0.0085
(5.7)
|
0.0082
(5.7)
|
0.0074
(7.4)
|
| Alex Rios | 0.0162 |
0.0049
(7.4)
|
0.0056
(6.7)
|
0.0064
(7.2)
|
| Quintin Berry | 0.0278 |
0.0074
(6.8)
|
0.0074
(6.7)
|
0.0074
(7.2)
|
| Gerardo Parra | 0.0065 |
0.0193
(5.5)
|
0.0192
(5.5)
|
0.0221
(6.1)
|
| Melky Cabrera | 0.0256 |
0.0064
(9.7)
|
0.0079
(8.8)
|
0.0104
(8.3)
|
| Brett Lawrie | 0.0075 |
0.0198
(6.5)
|
0.0231
(8.4)
|
0.0226
(7.4)
|
| Daniel Descalso | 0.0236 |
0.0105
(5.6)
|
0.0068
(7.1)
|
0.0100
(6.4)
|
| Ángel Pagán | 0.0296 |
0.0150
(9.7)
|
0.0169
(8.3)
|
0.0173
(9.0)
|
| Starling Marte | 0.0517 |
0.0074
(8.1)
|
0.0115
(7.3)
|
0.0204
(5.9)
|
| Dustin Ackley | 0.0042 |
0.0184
(9.4)
|
0.0144
(6.8)
|
0.0184
(8.6)
|
| Orlando Hudson | 0.0383 |
0.0118
(7.5)
|
0.0087
(8.3)
|
0.0112
(8.0)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | 0.0052 | 0.0202 | 9.6 |
| 2 | Tyler Colvin | 0.0174 | 0.0340 | 7.6 |
| 3 | Shane Victorino | 0.0239 | 0.0136 | 6.8 |
| 4 | Stephen Drew | 0.0224 | 0.0048 | 5.7 |
| 5 | Starlin Castro | 0.0142 | 0.0223 | 5.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Bourn | 0.0130 | 0.0215 | 5.9 |
| 2 | Jamey Carroll | 0.0130 | 0.0024 | 5.7 |
| 3 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.0149 | 0.0037 | 5.6 |
| 4 | Tyler Colvin | 0.0218 | 0.0340 | 5.5 |
| 5 | Danny Espinosa | 0.0131 | 0.0051 | 5.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Kipnis | 0.0206 | 0.0084 | 7.3 |
| 2 | Shane Victorino | 0.0243 | 0.0136 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Stephen Drew | 0.0241 | 0.0048 | 5.9 |
| 4 | Yoenis Cespedes | 0.0042 | 0.0137 | 5.9 |
| 5 | Danny Espinosa | 0.0152 | 0.0051 | 5.7 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 0.2019 |
0.1286
(47.6)
|
0.1303
(47.9)
|
0.1622
(23.8)
|
| Bryce Harper | 0.1642 |
0.1164
(29.3)
|
0.1075
(35.9)
|
0.0956
(39.5)
|
| Wilin Rosario | 0.1573 |
0.1139
(19.0)
|
0.1161
(19.0)
|
0.0920
(26.8)
|
| Austin Jackson | 0.1669 |
0.1380
(18.6)
|
0.1369
(20.6)
|
0.1246
(24.6)
|
| Albert Pujols | 0.1269 |
0.1593
(20.9)
|
0.1636
(22.3)
|
0.1549
(20.4)
|
| Jesus Montero | 0.0832 |
0.1193
(19.3)
|
0.1218
(19.4)
|
0.1148
(18.8)
|
| Melky Cabrera | 0.1677 |
0.1250
(22.0)
|
0.1183
(26.4)
|
0.1218
(21.8)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1076 | 0.1468 | 25.0 |
| 2 | Shane Victorino | 0.1429 | 0.1081 | 22.3 |
| 3 | Chase Headley | 0.1061 | 0.1359 | 21.7 |
| 4 | A.J. Pierzynski | 0.0918 | 0.1308 | 20.9 |
| 5 | Justin Upton | 0.1398 | 0.1704 | 20.0 |
| 6 | J.D. Martinez | 0.1215 | 0.0774 | 18.8 |
| 7 | José Reyes | 0.1465 | 0.1201 | 18.0 |
| 8 | Howie Kendrick | 0.1275 | 0.0960 | 18.0 |
| 9 | Michael Saunders | 0.0976 | 0.1284 | 17.7 |
| 10 | Yunel Escobar | 0.1255 | 0.0954 | 17.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adrián González | 0.1575 | 0.1096 | 30.4 |
| 2 | Carlos Gómez | 0.1000 | 0.1593 | 28.3 |
| 3 | Yunel Escobar | 0.1396 | 0.0954 | 24.8 |
| 4 | Andrew McCutchen | 0.1277 | 0.1590 | 23.4 |
| 5 | Chris Denorfia | 0.0891 | 0.1466 | 23.3 |
| 6 | Darwin Barney | 0.0882 | 0.1241 | 23.2 |
| 7 | Jon Jay | 0.0968 | 0.1394 | 23.1 |
| 8 | Norichika Aoki | 0.1027 | 0.1378 | 22.6 |
| 9 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1167 | 0.1468 | 20.8 |
| 10 | Prince Fielder | 0.1528 | 0.1203 | 20.0 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanley Ramirez | 0.1541 | 0.1184 | 25.4 |
| 2 | Shane Victorino | 0.1417 | 0.1081 | 24.0 |
| 3 | Kyle Seager | 0.1260 | 0.0952 | 21.6 |
| 4 | Howie Kendrick | 0.1296 | 0.0960 | 21.4 |
| 5 | Josh Hamilton | 0.1273 | 0.1619 | 20.5 |
| 6 | A.J. Pierzynski | 0.0894 | 0.1308 | 20.3 |
| 7 | David Ortiz | 0.1147 | 0.1697 | 20.2 |
| 8 | Michael Brantley | 0.1338 | 0.1034 | 19.9 |
| 9 | Delmon Young | 0.1191 | 0.0888 | 19.9 |
| 10 | J.D. Martinez | 0.1201 | 0.0774 | 19.8 |
RBI Rate
Everybody Missed for RBI Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Pena | 0.1017 |
0.1410
(23.6)
|
0.1412
(23.3)
|
0.1407
(26.6)
|
| Chase Headley | 0.1645 |
0.0980
(46.5)
|
0.0858
(55.5)
|
0.0986
(42.4)
|
| Jemile Weeks | 0.0391 |
0.0909
(26.4)
|
0.0926
(27.0)
|
0.0822
(24.7)
|
| Kyle Seager | 0.1321 |
0.0877
(28.9)
|
0.0959
(24.0)
|
0.0909
(23.4)
|
| Jeff Francoeur | 0.0813 |
0.1254
(26.6)
|
0.1294
(28.7)
|
0.1216
(27.5)
|
| A.J. Pierzynski | 0.1481 |
0.1020
(23.9)
|
0.1033
(23.6)
|
0.0976
(23.5)
|
| Carlos Ruiz | 0.1615 |
0.1055
(23.6)
|
0.0862
(32.0)
|
0.0991
(24.1)
|
| Josh Willingham | 0.1789 |
0.1404
(23.7)
|
0.1384
(25.3)
|
0.1357
(23.3)
|
| Zack Cozart | 0.0583 |
0.1036
(27.2)
|
0.0961
(22.2)
|
0.0924
(23.6)
|
| Edwin Encarnación | 0.1708 |
0.1155
(35.6)
|
0.1324
(25.2)
|
0.1219
(28.1)
|
Individual Misses for RBI Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Rodriguez | 0.1688 | 0.1078 | 32.3 |
| 2 | Miguel Cabrera | 0.1576 | 0.1994 | 29.1 |
| 3 | Chris Davis | 0.1049 | 0.1512 | 26.0 |
| 4 | Josh Hamilton | 0.1606 | 0.2013 | 25.9 |
| 5 | Buster Posey | 0.1275 | 0.1689 | 25.2 |
| 6 | Dayan Viciedo | 0.0975 | 0.1436 | 25.1 |
| 7 | John Mayberry Jr. | 0.1461 | 0.0960 | 24.0 |
| 8 | Jarrod Dyson | 0.0983 | 0.0273 | 23.4 |
| 9 | Freddie Freeman | 0.1150 | 0.1516 | 22.7 |
| 10 | Wilin Rosario | 0.1139 | 0.1667 | 22.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allen Craig | 0.1150 | 0.1790 | 33.3 |
| 2 | Carlos Beltrán | 0.1114 | 0.1567 | 28.5 |
| 3 | Jonathan Lucroy | 0.0928 | 0.1676 | 26.1 |
| 4 | Michael Young | 0.1429 | 0.1029 | 25.6 |
| 5 | Alfonso Soriano | 0.1350 | 0.1756 | 25.4 |
| 6 | Shane Victorino | 0.1209 | 0.0826 | 25.1 |
| 7 | Chris Johnson | 0.0991 | 0.1439 | 24.0 |
| 8 | Chris Heisey | 0.1474 | 0.0827 | 24.0 |
| 9 | Justin Upton | 0.1440 | 0.1067 | 23.0 |
| 10 | Brandon Inge | 0.0945 | 0.1631 | 22.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Rodriguez | 0.1738 | 0.1078 | 37.7 |
| 2 | Miguel Cabrera | 0.1507 | 0.1994 | 30.3 |
| 3 | Jose Altuve | 0.0965 | 0.0587 | 27.1 |
| 4 | Will Middlebrooks | 0.0944 | 0.1888 | 25.5 |
| 5 | Josh Reddick | 0.0833 | 0.1263 | 25.4 |
| 6 | Mike Trout | 0.0855 | 0.1299 | 25.0 |
| 7 | Josh Hamilton | 0.1582 | 0.2013 | 24.0 |
| 8 | James Loney | 0.1311 | 0.0882 | 22.4 |
| 9 | Wilin Rosario | 0.1104 | 0.1667 | 21.7 |
| 10 | Buster Posey | 0.1284 | 0.1689 | 21.4 |
Stolen Base Rate
Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Gómez | 0.3936 |
0.2000
(86.8)
|
0.2272
(73.5)
|
0.2588
(64.0)
|
| Everth Cabrera | 0.3667 |
0.1754
(85.2)
|
0.2267
(61.1)
|
0.2736
(44.8)
|
| Michael Bourn | 0.2111 |
0.2775
(47.8)
|
0.2749
(47.6)
|
0.2995
(57.4)
|
| Elvis Andrus | 0.1055 |
0.1714
(47.9)
|
0.1797
(55.5)
|
0.1814
(49.1)
|
| Omar Infante | 0.1360 |
0.0395
(55.9)
|
0.0288
(60.8)
|
0.0299
(66.4)
|
| Alexi Casilla | 0.2958 |
0.1443
(48.9)
|
0.1321
(52.1)
|
0.1373
(53.9)
|
| Emilio Bonifácio | 0.3704 |
0.1788
(52.1)
|
0.1666
(54.8)
|
0.1962
(49.6)
|
| Jordan Schafer | 0.3034 |
0.1563
(52.4)
|
0.1670
(47.7)
|
0.1765
(48.1)
|
| Quintin Berry | 0.2360 |
0.0738
(53.0)
|
0.0738
(52.2)
|
0.0738
(55.8)
|
| Tony Campana | 0.5882 |
0.2778
(59.3)
|
0.2957
(55.4)
|
0.3284
(51.2)
|
| Jason Kipnis | 0.1685 |
0.0882
(52.9)
|
0.0738
(61.0)
|
0.0861
(59.9)
|
| Dewayne Wise | 0.3800 |
0.1455
(55.7)
|
0.1591
(51.9)
|
0.1837
(48.5)
|
| Norichika Aoki | 0.1935 |
0.0738
(69.5)
|
0.0521
(80.9)
|
0.0556
(85.1)
|
| Shane Victorino | 0.2378 |
0.1449
(60.8)
|
0.1267
(71.4)
|
0.1429
(67.8)
|
Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | 0.0938 | 0.2579 | 103.9 |
| 2 | Darin Mastroianni | 0.0600 | 0.4038 | 63.7 |
| 3 | Jose Altuve | 0.1013 | 0.1964 | 59.0 |
| 4 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.2235 | 0.4000 | 57.7 |
| 5 | Alcides Escobar | 0.1278 | 0.2059 | 49.6 |
| 6 | Anthony Gose | 0.0738 | 0.3333 | 48.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexei Ramirez | 0.0516 | 0.1429 | 54.2 |
| 2 | Anthony Gose | 0.0738 | 0.3333 | 48.3 |
| 3 | Michael Saunders | 0.0974 | 0.1810 | 44.1 |
| 4 | Jeff Francoeur | 0.0994 | 0.0313 | 43.4 |
| 5 | Michael Brantley | 0.1396 | 0.0727 | 43.1 |
| 6 | Dee Strange-Gordon | 0.2678 | 0.4000 | 42.3 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexei Ramirez | 0.0566 | 0.1429 | 57.8 |
| 2 | Matt Kemp | 0.1939 | 0.0763 | 49.8 |
| 3 | Martín Prado | 0.0278 | 0.0904 | 47.9 |
| 4 | Paul Goldschmidt | 0.0497 | 0.1224 | 46.7 |
| 5 | Michael Saunders | 0.1034 | 0.1810 | 46.7 |
| 6 | John Mayberry Jr. | 0.1089 | 0.0094 | 44.4 |
Batting Average
Everybody Missed for Batting Average
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 0.3256 |
0.2421
(54.9)
|
0.2544
(46.7)
|
0.2666
(35.1)
|
| Buster Posey | 0.3358 |
0.2830
(33.8)
|
0.2865
(31.3)
|
0.2872
(27.2)
|
| Alex Rios | 0.3041 |
0.2530
(34.3)
|
0.2622
(28.1)
|
0.2589
(26.4)
|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.3272 |
0.2726
(38.4)
|
0.2715
(38.8)
|
0.2735
(33.4)
|
| Melky Cabrera | 0.3464 |
0.2816
(33.7)
|
0.2783
(35.1)
|
0.2845
(29.0)
|
| Torii Hunter | 0.3127 |
0.2734
(24.4)
|
0.2615
(31.1)
|
0.2612
(27.7)
|
| Eric Hosmer | 0.2318 |
0.2817
(28.4)
|
0.2808
(28.1)
|
0.3040
(45.6)
|
Individual Misses for Batting Average
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Hill | 0.2465 | 0.3021 | 38.8 |
| 2 | Jemile Weeks | 0.2883 | 0.2207 | 33.3 |
| 3 | Tyler Colvin | 0.2236 | 0.2905 | 31.3 |
| 4 | Alcides Escobar | 0.2505 | 0.2926 | 28.8 |
| 5 | Anthony Rizzo | 0.2129 | 0.2849 | 27.4 |
| 6 | Dustin Ackley | 0.2676 | 0.2257 | 26.4 |
| 7 | Brendan Ryan | 0.2511 | 0.1941 | 25.7 |
| 8 | Rickie Weeks Jr. | 0.2682 | 0.2296 | 24.5 |
| 9 | Hunter Pence | 0.2907 | 0.2528 | 24.4 |
| 10 | Andy Dirks | 0.2542 | 0.3217 | 24.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Hill | 0.2563 | 0.3021 | 31.9 |
| 2 | Carlos Ruiz | 0.2610 | 0.3253 | 27.9 |
| 3 | Derek Jeter | 0.2809 | 0.3163 | 27.6 |
| 4 | Ike Davis | 0.2745 | 0.2274 | 26.4 |
| 5 | Alex Gordon | 0.2605 | 0.2944 | 25.9 |
| 6 | Adrian Beltré | 0.2849 | 0.3212 | 25.1 |
| 7 | Jonathan Lucroy | 0.2506 | 0.3196 | 24.6 |
| 8 | Prince Fielder | 0.2800 | 0.3133 | 24.4 |
| 9 | Justin Ruggiano | 0.2388 | 0.3125 | 24.2 |
| 10 | Yoenis Cespedes | 0.2496 | 0.2916 | 23.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Jeter | 0.2675 | 0.3163 | 33.1 |
| 2 | Dustin Ackley | 0.2607 | 0.2257 | 26.0 |
| 3 | Brendan Ryan | 0.2447 | 0.1941 | 25.7 |
| 4 | Jemile Weeks | 0.2669 | 0.2207 | 25.7 |
| 5 | Jeff Francoeur | 0.2727 | 0.2353 | 25.0 |
| 6 | Casey Kotchman | 0.2749 | 0.2289 | 25.0 |
| 7 | Prince Fielder | 0.2745 | 0.3133 | 24.0 |
| 8 | J.J. Hardy | 0.2677 | 0.2383 | 23.9 |
| 9 | Rickie Weeks Jr. | 0.2600 | 0.2296 | 23.3 |
| 10 | Austin Jackson | 0.2594 | 0.3002 | 22.7 |
On-Base Percentage
Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 0.3991 |
0.3082
(61.5)
|
0.3294
(49.4)
|
0.3383
(35.1)
|
| Austin Jackson | 0.3772 |
0.3289
(33.1)
|
0.3297
(34.1)
|
0.3215
(30.8)
|
| Hanley Ramirez | 0.3223 |
0.3678
(26.8)
|
0.3736
(29.1)
|
0.3649
(32.3)
|
| Adrián González | 0.3436 |
0.3933
(30.3)
|
0.3955
(30.3)
|
0.3836
(31.4)
|
| Buster Posey | 0.4082 |
0.3459
(41.3)
|
0.3587
(34.9)
|
0.3578
(27.2)
|
| Yunel Escobar | 0.2995 |
0.3560
(31.1)
|
0.3593
(31.7)
|
0.3508
(34.8)
|
| Albert Pujols | 0.3433 |
0.3915
(28.7)
|
0.4031
(35.0)
|
0.3881
(33.9)
|
| Casey Kotchman | 0.2797 |
0.3365
(25.7)
|
0.3438
(28.2)
|
0.3417
(33.9)
|
| Miguel Montero | 0.3909 |
0.3425
(30.8)
|
0.3379
(34.8)
|
0.3355
(28.4)
|
| Melky Cabrera | 0.3900 |
0.3322
(31.6)
|
0.3292
(34.3)
|
0.3295
(27.4)
|
| Joey Votto | 0.4737 |
0.4054
(35.0)
|
0.4024
(37.5)
|
0.4022
(31.2)
|
| Edwin Encarnación | 0.3835 |
0.3234
(42.2)
|
0.3328
(37.6)
|
0.3306
(30.4)
|
| Dustin Ackley | 0.2939 |
0.3392
(26.7)
|
0.3463
(30.0)
|
0.3481
(40.2)
|
Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Hill | 0.3031 | 0.3598 | 41.5 |
| 2 | Andrew McCutchen | 0.3599 | 0.3997 | 30.4 |
| 3 | David Wright | 0.3558 | 0.3910 | 27.2 |
| 4 | Chase Headley | 0.3436 | 0.3763 | 26.6 |
| 5 | Michael Young | 0.3566 | 0.3118 | 25.6 |
| 6 | Alcides Escobar | 0.2978 | 0.3312 | 25.1 |
| 7 | Alex Rios | 0.3007 | 0.3344 | 25.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Hill | 0.3140 | 0.3598 | 35.7 |
| 2 | Andrew McCutchen | 0.3625 | 0.3997 | 30.2 |
| 3 | Robinson Canó | 0.3448 | 0.3788 | 29.0 |
| 4 | David Freese | 0.3296 | 0.3721 | 28.5 |
| 5 | Ike Davis | 0.3646 | 0.3082 | 28.4 |
| 6 | Jon Jay | 0.3264 | 0.3732 | 27.4 |
| 7 | David Murphy | 0.3350 | 0.3796 | 27.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eric Hosmer | 0.3539 | 0.3043 | 33.1 |
| 2 | Brian McCann | 0.3541 | 0.2998 | 29.3 |
| 3 | Ian Kinsler | 0.3599 | 0.3260 | 29.0 |
| 4 | J.J. Hardy | 0.3159 | 0.2819 | 28.4 |
| 5 | Geovany Soto | 0.3363 | 0.2702 | 26.0 |
| 6 | Brennan Boesch | 0.3321 | 0.2863 | 26.0 |
| 7 | Drew Stubbs | 0.3168 | 0.2770 | 24.9 |
Slugging Percentage
Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Pena | 0.3541 |
0.4565
(61.8)
|
0.4504
(53.7)
|
0.4467
(67.0)
|
| Brandon Moss | 0.5962 |
0.3602
(69.7)
|
0.4083
(57.6)
|
0.3750
(59.8)
|
| Chase Headley | 0.4983 |
0.3908
(74.8)
|
0.3966
(75.8)
|
0.3919
(61.1)
|
| Mike Trout | 0.5635 |
0.3968
(106.2)
|
0.4065
(104.6)
|
0.4139
(83.4)
|
| Aaron Hill | 0.5222 |
0.4101
(74.5)
|
0.4150
(76.1)
|
0.4242
(52.7)
|
| Buster Posey | 0.5491 |
0.4437
(63.9)
|
0.4603
(58.3)
|
0.4401
(54.8)
|
| Alex Rios | 0.5157 |
0.3984
(74.7)
|
0.4180
(66.8)
|
0.4043
(59.1)
|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5531 |
0.4492
(69.6)
|
0.4515
(73.0)
|
0.4547
(53.4)
|
| Ian Desmond | 0.5107 |
0.3816
(70.4)
|
0.3859
(72.0)
|
0.3784
(62.0)
|
| Eric Hosmer | 0.3589 |
0.4520
(56.0)
|
0.4594
(56.0)
|
0.4736
(80.0)
|
Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.4444 | 0.5572 | 72.3 |
| 2 | Ryan Ludwick | 0.4013 | 0.5308 | 60.9 |
| 3 | Michael Young | 0.4600 | 0.3699 | 59.0 |
| 4 | Dustin Ackley | 0.4141 | 0.3278 | 58.0 |
| 5 | Jemile Weeks | 0.4158 | 0.3041 | 57.4 |
| 6 | Michael Saunders | 0.3333 | 0.4320 | 54.2 |
| 7 | Austin Jackson | 0.3906 | 0.4788 | 54.1 |
| 8 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5000 | 0.6080 | 53.9 |
| 9 | Yadier Molina | 0.4061 | 0.5010 | 53.1 |
| 10 | Chris Davis | 0.4060 | 0.5010 | 53.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwin Encarnación | 0.4560 | 0.5572 | 69.6 |
| 2 | Carlos Ruiz | 0.3867 | 0.5403 | 67.5 |
| 3 | Adam LaRoche | 0.4129 | 0.5096 | 67.0 |
| 4 | Yadier Molina | 0.3902 | 0.5010 | 66.2 |
| 5 | Justin Upton | 0.5383 | 0.4296 | 64.0 |
| 6 | Austin Jackson | 0.3860 | 0.4788 | 61.4 |
| 7 | A.J. Pierzynski | 0.3918 | 0.5010 | 60.3 |
| 8 | Melky Cabrera | 0.4210 | 0.5163 | 51.1 |
| 9 | Justin Ruggiano | 0.3826 | 0.5347 | 50.8 |
| 10 | Adrián González | 0.5429 | 0.4626 | 50.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Ackley | 0.4098 | 0.3278 | 67.5 |
| 2 | Brett Lawrie | 0.4983 | 0.4049 | 60.3 |
| 3 | Justin Upton | 0.5052 | 0.4296 | 59.4 |
| 4 | Carlos Lee | 0.4410 | 0.3655 | 58.2 |
| 5 | Carlos Ruiz | 0.3832 | 0.5403 | 58.1 |
| 6 | Shane Victorino | 0.4497 | 0.3832 | 57.0 |
| 7 | Adrián González | 0.5258 | 0.4626 | 56.2 |
| 8 | J.J. Hardy | 0.4462 | 0.3891 | 54.3 |
| 9 | Dan Uggla | 0.4506 | 0.3843 | 53.8 |
| 10 | Rickie Weeks Jr. | 0.4600 | 0.3997 | 53.8 |
Pitching Projection Accuracy
Batters Faced (BF)
Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Pelfrey | 85 |
774
(689.0)
|
714
(629.0)
|
789
(704.1)
|
| Chris Carpenter | 72 |
820
(748.0)
|
714
(642.4)
|
853
(781.0)
|
| Tim Stauffer | 24 |
629
(605.0)
|
684
(660.0)
|
616
(591.9)
|
| Chris Narveson | 41 |
642
(601.0)
|
551
(510.1)
|
624
(583.1)
|
| Daniel Hudson | 202 |
761
(559.0)
|
748
(546.4)
|
814
(612.0)
|
| John Lannan | 144 |
731
(587.0)
|
643
(499.5)
|
788
(644.0)
|
Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wei-Yin Chen | 1 | 818 | 817.0 |
| 2 | Yu Darvish | 1 | 816 | 815.0 |
| 3 | Roberto Hernandez | 756 | 62 | 694.0 |
| 4 | Lucas Harrell | 207 | 827 | 620.0 |
| 5 | Matt Moore | 183 | 759 | 576.0 |
| 6 | Jose Quintana | 1 | 568 | 567.0 |
| 7 | Felix Doubront | 161 | 709 | 548.0 |
| 8 | Lance Lynn | 198 | 744 | 546.0 |
| 9 | Brad Penny | 669 | 133 | 536.0 |
| 10 | Carl Pavano | 801 | 268 | 533.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Harrell | 172 | 827 | 655.0 |
| 2 | Jose Quintana | 1 | 568 | 567.0 |
| 3 | John Danks | 788 | 238 | 549.8 |
| 4 | Scott Diamond | 180 | 714 | 533.9 |
| 5 | Carl Pavano | 800 | 268 | 532.3 |
| 6 | Wade Miley | 286 | 807 | 520.6 |
| 7 | Cory Luebke | 643 | 130 | 512.9 |
| 8 | Jair Jurrjens | 705 | 227 | 477.5 |
| 9 | Jeff Samardzija | 247 | 723 | 475.8 |
| 10 | Dustin Moseley | 490 | 22 | 467.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roberto Hernandez | 784 | 62 | 721.9 |
| 2 | Brad Hand | 681 | 23 | 658.1 |
| 3 | Barry Enright | 673 | 20 | 652.9 |
| 4 | Julio Teheran | 668 | 24 | 644.0 |
| 5 | Brandon Dickson | 675 | 32 | 643.0 |
| 6 | John Ely | 650 | 19 | 631.0 |
| 7 | Thad Weber | 654 | 24 | 630.1 |
| 8 | Todd Redmond | 648 | 22 | 625.9 |
| 9 | D.J. Mitchell | 649 | 24 | 624.9 |
| 10 | Eric Hacker | 636 | 45 | 591.1 |
wOBA
Everybody Missed for wOBA
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Romero | 0.3586 |
0.3054
(43.4)
|
0.2994
(36.6)
|
0.2826
(50.5)
|
| Tim Lincecum | 0.3309 |
0.2894
(33.6)
|
0.2762
(32.7)
|
0.2568
(48.7)
|
| Kris Medlen | 0.2340 |
0.3132
(41.6)
|
0.2786
(31.0)
|
0.2815
(32.5)
|
| Iván Nova | 0.3671 |
0.3124
(40.4)
|
0.3044
(35.6)
|
0.2996
(39.2)
|
| Tommy Hanson | 0.3473 |
0.2973
(37.4)
|
0.2873
(34.2)
|
0.2644
(51.6)
|
| Jon Lester | 0.3332 |
0.3003
(28.2)
|
0.2871
(27.2)
|
0.2763
(36.7)
|
| Fernando Rodney | 0.1901 |
0.3215
(37.3)
|
0.2966
(34.3)
|
0.2970
(34.4)
|
| Jonathan Sánchez | 0.4175 |
0.3071
(35.8)
|
0.3137
(29.0)
|
0.3027
(32.6)
|
| Ubaldo Jiménez | 0.3566 |
0.3032
(42.4)
|
0.2945
(37.9)
|
0.2726
(55.5)
|
Individual Misses for wOBA
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.J. Burnett | 0.3402 | 0.2939 | 40.1 |
| 2 | Kyle Lohse | 0.3200 | 0.2761 | 38.6 |
| 3 | Randy Wolf | 0.3176 | 0.3735 | 38.5 |
| 4 | Gio González | 0.3019 | 0.2597 | 35.3 |
| 5 | Wade Miley | 0.3345 | 0.2943 | 33.1 |
| 6 | Ian Kennedy | 0.2929 | 0.3302 | 32.9 |
| 7 | Henderson Alvarez III | 0.3121 | 0.3501 | 30.1 |
| 8 | Philip Humber | 0.2979 | 0.3634 | 29.9 |
| 9 | Jonathon Niese | 0.3247 | 0.2882 | 29.3 |
| 10 | Dan Haren | 0.2917 | 0.3297 | 27.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Fiers | 0.1839 | 0.3013 | 55.1 |
| 2 | R.A. Dickey | 0.3087 | 0.2778 | 42.6 |
| 3 | Kyle Lohse | 0.3073 | 0.2761 | 40.0 |
| 4 | Gio González | 0.2872 | 0.2597 | 35.0 |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | 0.2843 | 0.2650 | 32.9 |
| 6 | Nick Blackburn | 0.3196 | 0.4050 | 32.0 |
| 7 | Tommy Hunter | 0.2969 | 0.3669 | 31.5 |
| 8 | Matt Cain | 0.2943 | 0.2742 | 30.8 |
| 9 | Jered Weaver | 0.2931 | 0.2666 | 30.7 |
| 10 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.2744 | 0.2580 | 28.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Wolf | 0.2941 | 0.3735 | 45.0 |
| 2 | Ian Kennedy | 0.2722 | 0.3302 | 38.6 |
| 3 | Jeremy Guthrie | 0.2904 | 0.3509 | 35.8 |
| 4 | Nick Blackburn | 0.3155 | 0.4050 | 33.9 |
| 5 | Dan Haren | 0.2694 | 0.3297 | 33.7 |
| 6 | Wade Miley | 0.3187 | 0.2943 | 31.9 |
| 7 | Luke Hochevar | 0.2996 | 0.3530 | 30.6 |
| 8 | Josh Johnson | 0.2443 | 0.2969 | 29.9 |
| 9 | Chris Tillman | 0.3457 | 0.2779 | 28.8 |
| 10 | Cliff Lee | 0.2474 | 0.2963 | 28.6 |
Strikeout Rate
Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson Alvarez III | 0.0979 |
0.1721
(69.0)
|
0.1379
(45.5)
|
0.1307
(47.7)
|
| Ricky Romero | 0.1496 |
0.1919
(44.5)
|
0.1890
(46.2)
|
0.1877
(53.4)
|
| Ricky Nolasco | 0.1502 |
0.1927
(44.8)
|
0.1769
(35.8)
|
0.1951
(59.2)
|
| R.A. Dickey | 0.2481 |
0.1569
(74.0)
|
0.1392
(85.8)
|
0.1486
(67.9)
|
| Max Scherzer | 0.2935 |
0.2122
(55.0)
|
0.2041
(57.5)
|
0.2131
(42.6)
|
| Jon Lester | 0.1895 |
0.2345
(49.4)
|
0.2297
(49.5)
|
0.2299
(58.5)
|
| Wandy Rodriguez | 0.1589 |
0.2068
(51.9)
|
0.1932
(44.4)
|
0.1995
(58.6)
|
| Derek Lowe | 0.0859 |
0.1646
(57.6)
|
0.1381
(43.9)
|
0.1404
(51.7)
|
| Ubaldo Jiménez | 0.1776 |
0.2173
(41.1)
|
0.2185
(46.1)
|
0.2201
(55.3)
|
| Clayton Richard | 0.1176 |
0.1651
(53.6)
|
0.1546
(48.6)
|
0.1555
(58.4)
|
Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aroldis Chapman | 0.2477 | 0.4420 | 50.5 |
| 2 | Yu Darvish | 0.1978 | 0.2708 | 50.3 |
| 3 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.2964 | 0.5022 | 44.9 |
| 4 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1978 | 0.1008 | 40.9 |
| 5 | Wade Davis | 0.1540 | 0.3063 | 40.0 |
| 6 | Aaron Cook | 0.1314 | 0.0487 | 38.7 |
| 7 | Jose Quintana | 0.1978 | 0.1426 | 37.8 |
| 8 | David Hernandez | 0.2051 | 0.3525 | 37.8 |
| 9 | Jason Grilli | 0.2057 | 0.3689 | 37.0 |
| 10 | Steve Delabar | 0.1901 | 0.3358 | 36.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wei-Yin Chen | 0.0924 | 0.1883 | 65.0 |
| 2 | Yu Darvish | 0.1920 | 0.2708 | 51.0 |
| 3 | Aaron Laffey | 0.1978 | 0.1119 | 43.9 |
| 4 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.1978 | 0.1008 | 42.7 |
| 5 | Jose Quintana | 0.1978 | 0.1426 | 40.6 |
| 6 | Felix Doubront | 0.1630 | 0.2355 | 39.8 |
| 7 | Wade Davis | 0.1506 | 0.3063 | 39.6 |
| 8 | Chris Resop | 0.2333 | 0.1394 | 36.4 |
| 9 | Iván Nova | 0.1404 | 0.2045 | 35.8 |
| 10 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.3401 | 0.5022 | 33.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Greinke | 0.2728 | 0.2304 | 59.6 |
| 2 | Chris Resop | 0.2500 | 0.1394 | 45.2 |
| 3 | Felix Doubront | 0.1465 | 0.2355 | 44.5 |
| 4 | Barry Zito | 0.1685 | 0.1427 | 41.6 |
| 5 | Josh Johnson | 0.2312 | 0.2068 | 40.4 |
| 6 | Mat Latos | 0.2362 | 0.2156 | 40.2 |
| 7 | Jered Weaver | 0.2192 | 0.1922 | 39.4 |
| 8 | Tim Lincecum | 0.2511 | 0.2303 | 38.8 |
| 9 | Lance Lynn | 0.1638 | 0.2419 | 38.6 |
| 10 | Tommy Hanson | 0.2355 | 0.2116 | 38.2 |
Walk Rate
Everybody Missed for Walk Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Romero | 0.1267 |
0.0898
(32.3)
|
0.0903
(32.9)
|
0.0867
(38.6)
|
| Jeff Samardzija | 0.0775 |
0.1129
(24.0)
|
0.1194
(27.9)
|
0.1285
(32.1)
|
| Francisco Liriano | 0.1255 |
0.0981
(20.5)
|
0.1002
(19.8)
|
0.0997
(22.5)
|
| Wade Miley | 0.0458 |
0.0898
(33.8)
|
0.0974
(39.0)
|
0.0956
(34.8)
|
| Tim Lincecum | 0.1091 |
0.0879
(19.2)
|
0.0855
(22.2)
|
0.0837
(26.4)
|
| Scott Diamond | 0.0434 |
0.0873
(29.8)
|
0.0878
(29.3)
|
0.0837
(24.0)
|
| Yu Darvish | 0.1091 |
0.0798
(25.6)
|
0.0749
(30.6)
|
0.0553
(49.3)
|
| Ubaldo Jiménez | 0.1180 |
0.0947
(20.5)
|
0.0950
(21.1)
|
0.0937
(24.9)
|
| Clayton Richard | 0.0462 |
0.0899
(37.9)
|
0.0913
(38.1)
|
0.0900
(33.9)
|
| Aaron Harang | 0.1081 |
0.0774
(25.9)
|
0.0739
(29.5)
|
0.0684
(36.5)
|
Individual Misses for Walk Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samuel Deduno | 0.0862 | 0.1527 | 23.8 |
| 2 | Matt Moore | 0.0820 | 0.1067 | 20.4 |
| 3 | Bruce Chen | 0.0835 | 0.0568 | 20.3 |
| 4 | Daniel Bard | 0.0874 | 0.1552 | 19.4 |
| 5 | Kyle Lohse | 0.0685 | 0.0440 | 19.3 |
| 6 | Tommy Milone | 0.0721 | 0.0455 | 19.3 |
| 7 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.0838 | 0.0585 | 18.9 |
| 8 | Bartolo Colon | 0.0679 | 0.0362 | 18.9 |
| 9 | A.J. Burnett | 0.0966 | 0.0729 | 18.4 |
| 10 | Carlos Zambrano | 0.0982 | 0.1269 | 18.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Sale | 0.1084 | 0.0661 | 30.2 |
| 2 | Samuel Deduno | 0.0798 | 0.1527 | 26.4 |
| 3 | Carlos Zambrano | 0.0961 | 0.1269 | 20.1 |
| 4 | Edinson Volquez | 0.1108 | 0.1309 | 18.8 |
| 5 | Phil Hughes | 0.0814 | 0.0564 | 17.7 |
| 6 | Jeremy Hefner | 0.0906 | 0.0441 | 17.6 |
| 7 | Craig Stammen | 0.0543 | 0.0973 | 17.1 |
| 8 | Gavin Floyd | 0.0667 | 0.0870 | 17.1 |
| 9 | Johnny Cueto | 0.0776 | 0.0552 | 17.0 |
| 10 | Aníbal Sánchez | 0.0825 | 0.0585 | 16.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Sale | 0.1123 | 0.0661 | 30.5 |
| 2 | Justin Masterson | 0.0728 | 0.0971 | 28.1 |
| 3 | Joe Kelly | 0.1352 | 0.0788 | 22.7 |
| 4 | Henderson Alvarez III | 0.0455 | 0.0669 | 22.6 |
| 5 | Gavin Floyd | 0.0629 | 0.0870 | 22.3 |
| 6 | Daniel Bard | 0.0836 | 0.1552 | 21.7 |
| 7 | Hisashi Iwakuma | 0.0486 | 0.0829 | 21.2 |
| 8 | C.J. Wilson | 0.0879 | 0.1052 | 20.7 |
| 9 | Steve Delabar | 0.1742 | 0.0949 | 19.9 |
| 10 | Philip Humber | 0.0597 | 0.0952 | 19.5 |
Hit By Pitch Rate
Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson Alvarez III | 0.0037 |
0.0100
(5.0)
|
0.0114
(5.9)
|
0.0147
(7.4)
|
| Lucas Harrell | 0.0012 |
0.0097
(6.9)
|
0.0101
(6.9)
|
0.0113
(6.9)
|
| Ricky Nolasco | 0.0096 |
0.0039
(4.8)
|
0.0049
(4.3)
|
0.0039
(6.3)
|
| Daniel Bard | 0.0289 |
0.0070
(6.1)
|
0.0085
(5.8)
|
0.0033
(7.6)
|
| Will Ohman | 0.0536 |
0.0084
(5.1)
|
0.0097
(5.0)
|
0.0114
(4.9)
|
| Jeff Francis | 0.0159 |
0.0058
(5.1)
|
0.0072
(4.6)
|
0.0065
(5.7)
|
| Trevor Cahill | 0.0131 |
0.0075
(4.8)
|
0.0079
(4.7)
|
0.0080
(5.8)
|
| Gavin Floyd | 0.0193 |
0.0095
(7.1)
|
0.0090
(7.8)
|
0.0088
(8.9)
|
| James Shields | 0.0117 |
0.0048
(6.6)
|
0.0055
(6.2)
|
0.0044
(8.6)
|
| Luke Hochevar | 0.0163 |
0.0083
(6.4)
|
0.0091
(6.1)
|
0.0086
(7.6)
|
| Clay Buchholz | 0.0150 |
0.0060
(7.3)
|
0.0072
(6.6)
|
0.0059
(8.7)
|
| Ian Kennedy | 0.0156 |
0.0101
(5.0)
|
0.0101
(5.3)
|
0.0115
(5.3)
|
Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Lester | 0.0108 | 0.0046 | 5.4 |
| 2 | Kris Medlen | 0.0099 | 0.0000 | 5.1 |
| 3 | Jeff Samardzija | 0.0125 | 0.0055 | 5.0 |
| 4 | Shawn Camp | 0.0147 | 0.0000 | 4.8 |
| 5 | Blake Beavan | 0.0084 | 0.0157 | 4.7 |
| 6 | Wesley Wright | 0.0063 | 0.0269 | 4.6 |
| 7 | Alex Cobb | 0.0080 | 0.0158 | 4.5 |
| 8 | Brandon McCarthy | 0.0033 | 0.0128 | 4.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wade Miley | 0.0094 | 0.0025 | 5.2 |
| 2 | Félix Hernández | 0.0079 | 0.0128 | 5.0 |
| 3 | Carlos Zambrano | 0.0092 | 0.0169 | 4.8 |
| 4 | Cliff Lee | 0.0060 | 0.0000 | 4.7 |
| 5 | Héctor Santiago | 0.0081 | 0.0229 | 4.7 |
| 6 | Justin Germano | 0.0081 | 0.0219 | 4.5 |
| 7 | Tommy Milone | 0.0109 | 0.0051 | 4.3 |
| 8 | Marco Estrada | 0.0079 | 0.0000 | 4.2 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Félix Hernández | 0.0071 | 0.0128 | 7.1 |
| 2 | Wade Miley | 0.0121 | 0.0025 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Jake Westbrook | 0.0053 | 0.0107 | 5.4 |
| 4 | Carlos Zambrano | 0.0098 | 0.0169 | 5.3 |
| 5 | Jon Lester | 0.0124 | 0.0046 | 5.2 |
| 6 | Brandon McCarthy | 0.0036 | 0.0128 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Jarrod Parker | 0.0125 | 0.0040 | 5.0 |
| 8 | Tommy Milone | 0.0130 | 0.0051 | 4.8 |
Home Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Holland | 0.0604 |
0.0376
(14.1)
|
0.0382
(14.3)
|
0.0363
(15.2)
|
| Iván Nova | 0.0529 |
0.0273
(16.6)
|
0.0285
(16.3)
|
0.0326
(12.7)
|
| Kevin Millwood | 0.0249 |
0.0417
(14.0)
|
0.0389
(11.5)
|
0.0394
(12.3)
|
| Ervin Santana | 0.0695 |
0.0381
(21.4)
|
0.0426
(18.6)
|
0.0397
(20.3)
|
| Jason Marquis | 0.0542 |
0.0275
(13.1)
|
0.0292
(12.6)
|
0.0268
(13.5)
|
| Tommy Hunter | 0.0688 |
0.0413
(13.8)
|
0.0384
(16.0)
|
0.0410
(14.1)
|
| Gio González | 0.0169 |
0.0301
(13.8)
|
0.0305
(13.3)
|
0.0316
(14.9)
|
| Philip Humber | 0.0699 |
0.0285
(17.5)
|
0.0402
(12.5)
|
0.0389
(12.8)
|
| Aaron Harang | 0.0247 |
0.0390
(13.9)
|
0.0415
(15.2)
|
0.0359
(11.3)
|
Individual Misses for Home Run Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edinson Volquez | 0.0452 | 0.0272 | 17.2 |
| 2 | A.J. Burnett | 0.0464 | 0.0300 | 16.9 |
| 3 | Wade Miley | 0.0367 | 0.0224 | 14.3 |
| 4 | Carlos Villanueva | 0.0360 | 0.0657 | 13.7 |
| 5 | Jarrod Parker | 0.0347 | 0.0202 | 13.5 |
| 6 | Jason Vargas | 0.0328 | 0.0509 | 13.0 |
| 7 | Bronson Arroyo | 0.0509 | 0.0390 | 12.8 |
| 8 | Ubaldo Jiménez | 0.0256 | 0.0447 | 12.6 |
| 9 | Phil Hughes | 0.0402 | 0.0585 | 12.1 |
| 10 | Travis Wood | 0.0316 | 0.0534 | 11.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Verlander | 0.0441 | 0.0291 | 16.8 |
| 2 | Johnny Cueto | 0.0391 | 0.0228 | 16.7 |
| 3 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.0394 | 0.0265 | 13.9 |
| 4 | Felix Doubront | 0.0303 | 0.0515 | 13.2 |
| 5 | Jered Weaver | 0.0504 | 0.0365 | 12.2 |
| 6 | Nick Blackburn | 0.0304 | 0.0594 | 12.1 |
| 7 | Carlos Villanueva | 0.0400 | 0.0657 | 12.0 |
| 8 | David Price | 0.0388 | 0.0282 | 11.0 |
| 9 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.0381 | 0.0276 | 10.9 |
| 10 | Luke Hochevar | 0.0303 | 0.0464 | 10.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Quintana | 0.0548 | 0.0317 | 15.0 |
| 2 | Jason Vargas | 0.0318 | 0.0509 | 14.0 |
| 3 | Ubaldo Jiménez | 0.0243 | 0.0447 | 13.8 |
| 4 | Travis Wood | 0.0298 | 0.0534 | 13.2 |
| 5 | Bronson Arroyo | 0.0507 | 0.0390 | 12.5 |
| 6 | Felix Doubront | 0.0306 | 0.0515 | 12.5 |
| 7 | Steve Delabar | 0.0328 | 0.0795 | 11.9 |
| 8 | Tommy Hanson | 0.0327 | 0.0515 | 11.9 |
| 9 | Liam Hendriks | 0.0226 | 0.0565 | 11.7 |
| 10 | Tim Lincecum | 0.0254 | 0.0425 | 11.4 |
BABIP
Everybody Missed for BABIP
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Beachy | 0.2000 |
0.3041
(33.7)
|
0.2831
(25.5)
|
0.2892
(29.5)
|
| Rick Porcello | 0.3443 |
0.3043
(30.2)
|
0.3050
(33.3)
|
0.2942
(36.6)
|
| Jonathon Niese | 0.2724 |
0.3183
(37.3)
|
0.3067
(24.4)
|
0.3032
(27.0)
|
| Chris Tillman | 0.2213 |
0.3042
(29.3)
|
0.2926
(23.6)
|
0.2993
(28.3)
|
| Vance Worley | 0.3397 |
0.2845
(31.7)
|
0.2946
(28.5)
|
0.2855
(30.0)
|
| Iván Nova | 0.3313 |
0.2873
(31.9)
|
0.2967
(28.3)
|
0.2850
(32.1)
|
| Ervin Santana | 0.2414 |
0.2857
(35.0)
|
0.2855
(31.2)
|
0.2793
(31.6)
|
| Randy Wolf | 0.3372 |
0.2806
(38.5)
|
0.2919
(34.0)
|
0.2698
(44.7)
|
| Travis Wood | 0.2438 |
0.2962
(35.0)
|
0.2951
(31.2)
|
0.2879
(30.8)
|
Individual Misses for BABIP
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Minor | 0.3281 | 0.2520 | 56.5 |
| 2 | Madison Bumgarner | 0.3131 | 0.2763 | 32.5 |
| 3 | Derek Holland | 0.3025 | 0.2610 | 31.3 |
| 4 | Ian Kennedy | 0.2699 | 0.3057 | 30.9 |
| 5 | Ricky Romero | 0.2744 | 0.3111 | 29.2 |
| 6 | Brandon Morrow | 0.3066 | 0.2522 | 28.2 |
| 7 | Kyle Lohse | 0.2932 | 0.2621 | 28.1 |
| 8 | Guillermo Moscoso | 0.2556 | 0.3782 | 28.0 |
| 9 | Jason Vargas | 0.2834 | 0.2542 | 27.2 |
| 10 | Edwin Jackson | 0.3108 | 0.2783 | 26.8 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Fiers | 0.1457 | 0.3192 | 95.3 |
| 2 | Max Scherzer | 0.2954 | 0.3333 | 32.4 |
| 3 | Kyle Lohse | 0.2974 | 0.2621 | 27.6 |
| 4 | Mark Buehrle | 0.3054 | 0.2701 | 26.5 |
| 5 | R.A. Dickey | 0.3072 | 0.2754 | 26.4 |
| 6 | Jeff Francis | 0.2930 | 0.3412 | 25.8 |
| 7 | Jered Weaver | 0.2787 | 0.2405 | 25.8 |
| 8 | Tommy Hanson | 0.2838 | 0.3139 | 25.4 |
| 9 | Grant Balfour | 0.2866 | 0.2011 | 23.8 |
| 10 | Gio González | 0.2986 | 0.2667 | 23.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Minor | 0.2956 | 0.2520 | 34.2 |
| 2 | Ricky Romero | 0.2664 | 0.3111 | 34.2 |
| 3 | Ross Detwiler | 0.3035 | 0.2633 | 30.0 |
| 4 | Scott Diamond | 0.3302 | 0.2920 | 29.7 |
| 5 | Max Scherzer | 0.2922 | 0.3333 | 29.7 |
| 6 | Ian Kennedy | 0.2711 | 0.3057 | 28.1 |
| 7 | Tommy Hanson | 0.2743 | 0.3139 | 27.5 |
| 8 | Jason Vargas | 0.2803 | 0.2542 | 26.2 |
| 9 | Jon Lester | 0.2784 | 0.3116 | 26.1 |
| 10 | Roy Oswalt | 0.2810 | 0.3778 | 24.7 |
Single Rate
Everybody Missed for Single Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwin Jackson | 0.1855 |
0.2340
(39.4)
|
0.2976
(28.7)
|
0.2877
(26.1)
|
| Travis Wood | 0.1490 |
0.2174
(45.3)
|
0.2951
(45.7)
|
0.2879
(45.3)
|
| Ervin Santana | 0.1724 |
0.2134
(32.4)
|
0.2855
(28.6)
|
0.2793
(28.9)
|
| David Price | 0.2432 |
0.2040
(31.6)
|
0.2851
(28.3)
|
0.2715
(34.2)
|
Individual Misses for Single Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Minor | 0.2344 | 0.1855 | 36.6 |
| 2 | Gio González | 0.2330 | 0.1943 | 32.9 |
| 3 | Madison Bumgarner | 0.2391 | 0.2021 | 32.6 |
| 4 | Aaron Harang | 0.2329 | 0.1938 | 31.8 |
| 5 | James McDonald | 0.2270 | 0.1838 | 31.8 |
| 6 | Derek Holland | 0.2284 | 0.1928 | 27.0 |
| 7 | Chris Tillman | 0.2233 | 0.1475 | 26.8 |
| 8 | Ross Detwiler | 0.2279 | 0.1906 | 26.6 |
| 9 | Guillermo Moscoso | 0.1882 | 0.3013 | 25.8 |
| 10 | Brandon Morrow | 0.2197 | 0.1701 | 25.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Fiers | 0.1457 | 0.2345 | 88.7 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0.2203 | 0.2646 | 47.5 |
| 3 | Jose Quintana | 0.2203 | 0.2266 | 46.6 |
| 4 | Joe Kelly | 0.2203 | 0.2372 | 42.3 |
| 5 | Justin Germano | 0.2203 | 0.2747 | 41.6 |
| 6 | Christian Friedrich | 0.2203 | 0.2529 | 40.8 |
| 7 | Patrick Corbin | 0.2203 | 0.2308 | 39.1 |
| 8 | Félix Hernández | 0.2893 | 0.2539 | 37.9 |
| 9 | Kelvin Herrera | 0.2203 | 0.2542 | 37.7 |
| 10 | P.J. Walters | 0.2203 | 0.2656 | 32.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Félix Hernández | 0.2790 | 0.2539 | 41.4 |
| 2 | Scott Diamond | 0.3302 | 0.2150 | 32.9 |
| 3 | Jonny Venters | 0.2708 | 0.3182 | 30.5 |
| 4 | Ross Detwiler | 0.3035 | 0.1906 | 30.1 |
| 5 | Randy Wolf | 0.2698 | 0.2437 | 30.0 |
| 6 | Mike Minor | 0.2956 | 0.1855 | 29.9 |
| 7 | A.J. Griffin | 0.2203 | 0.2397 | 29.7 |
| 8 | James McDonald | 0.2942 | 0.1838 | 29.5 |
| 9 | Brandon Morrow | 0.2969 | 0.1701 | 29.1 |
| 10 | Chris Tillman | 0.2993 | 0.1475 | 28.7 |
Double Rate
Everybody Missed for Double Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Nova | 0.1038 |
0.0670
(27.5)
|
0.0000
(28.9)
|
0.0000
(28.9)
|
Individual Misses for Double Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rick Porcello | 0.0534 | 0.0869 | 26.2 |
| 2 | Chris Capuano | 0.0841 | 0.0575 | 21.8 |
| 3 | A.J. Burnett | 0.0771 | 0.0515 | 21.8 |
| 4 | David Price | 0.0662 | 0.0417 | 20.5 |
| 5 | Mike Minor | 0.0875 | 0.0605 | 19.7 |
| 6 | Tommy Hanson | 0.0655 | 0.0905 | 19.0 |
| 7 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.0730 | 0.0505 | 18.8 |
| 8 | Zack Greinke | 0.0745 | 0.0539 | 17.9 |
| 9 | Jonathon Niese | 0.0739 | 0.0520 | 17.3 |
| 10 | Ernesto Frieri | 0.0798 | 0.0160 | 17.2 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Quintana | 0.0652 | 0.0654 | 36.9 |
| 2 | A.J. Griffin | 0.0652 | 0.0248 | 35.5 |
| 3 | David Phelps | 0.0652 | 0.0462 | 34.8 |
| 4 | Eric Stults | 0.0652 | 0.0466 | 34.6 |
| 5 | Joe Kelly | 0.0652 | 0.0601 | 32.1 |
| 6 | Aaron Laffey | 0.0652 | 0.0559 | 31.9 |
| 7 | Samuel Deduno | 0.0652 | 0.0405 | 31.2 |
| 8 | Héctor Santiago | 0.0652 | 0.0294 | 30.9 |
| 9 | Travis Blackley | 0.0652 | 0.0610 | 30.8 |
| 10 | Miguel González | 0.0652 | 0.0625 | 29.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.J. Griffin | 0.0652 | 0.0248 | 35.5 |
| 2 | Travis Blackley | 0.0652 | 0.0610 | 30.8 |
| 3 | Miguel González | 0.0652 | 0.0625 | 29.5 |
| 4 | David Price | 0.0000 | 0.0417 | 19.6 |
| 5 | J.A. Happ | 0.0000 | 0.0961 | 19.4 |
| 6 | Tommy Hanson | 0.0000 | 0.0905 | 19.3 |
| 7 | Rick Porcello | 0.0000 | 0.0869 | 17.0 |
| 8 | Félix Hernández | 0.0000 | 0.0473 | 16.8 |
| 9 | Kip Wells | 0.0652 | 0.0325 | 16.5 |
| 10 | Lucas Harrell | 0.0000 | 0.0454 | 16.4 |
Triple Rate
Everybody Missed for Triple Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Camp | 0.0245 |
0.0101
(4.7)
|
0.0000
(5.6)
|
0.0000
(5.6)
|
| Homer Bailey | 0.0145 |
0.0072
(6.3)
|
0.0000
(6.3)
|
0.0000
(6.3)
|
| David Price | 0.0000 |
0.0074
(6.2)
|
0.0000
(6.1)
|
0.0000
(6.1)
|
| Jonathon Niese | 0.0000 |
0.0062
(4.9)
|
0.0000
(5.8)
|
0.0000
(5.8)
|
| Wade Miley | 0.0148 |
0.0042
(8.4)
|
0.0000
(6.0)
|
0.0000
(6.0)
|
| Chad Billingsley | 0.0202 |
0.0078
(7.8)
|
0.0000
(8.2)
|
0.0000
(8.2)
|
| Iván Nova | 0.0140 |
0.0043
(7.1)
|
0.0000
(5.0)
|
0.0000
(5.0)
|
| Collin McHugh | 0.0746 |
0.0073
(6.7)
|
0.0073
(5.9)
|
0.0000
(6.7)
|
| Lance Lynn | 0.0148 |
0.0075
(5.3)
|
0.0000
(5.5)
|
0.0000
(5.5)
|
| Jonathan Sánchez | 0.0329 |
0.0059
(8.8)
|
0.0000
(8.4)
|
0.0000
(8.4)
|
| Alex White | 0.0184 |
0.0075
(4.9)
|
0.0000
(5.1)
|
0.0000
(5.1)
|
| Ian Kennedy | 0.0146 |
0.0055
(8.1)
|
0.0000
(6.6)
|
0.0000
(6.6)
|
Individual Misses for Triple Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruce Chen | 0.0023 | 0.0100 | 6.3 |
| 2 | Jeremy Guthrie | 0.0087 | 0.0017 | 5.7 |
| 3 | Mike Fiers | 0.0128 | 0.0028 | 5.4 |
| 4 | Jerome Williams | 0.0049 | 0.0144 | 5.4 |
| 5 | Madison Bumgarner | 0.0057 | 0.0121 | 5.3 |
| 6 | Jeremy Hellickson | 0.0086 | 0.0019 | 5.0 |
| 7 | Tim Hudson | 0.0036 | 0.0104 | 5.0 |
| 8 | Chris Perez | 0.0057 | 0.0252 | 4.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bronson Arroyo | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 6.1 |
| 2 | Ricky Romero | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 6.1 |
| 3 | Edwin Jackson | 0.0000 | 0.0148 | 5.9 |
| 4 | Josh Tomlin | 0.0000 | 0.0200 | 5.7 |
| 5 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.0000 | 0.0142 | 5.7 |
| 6 | Dallas Keuchel | 0.0073 | 0.0000 | 5.5 |
| 7 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0000 | 0.0139 | 5.5 |
| 8 | Cole De Vries | 0.0073 | 0.0000 | 5.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bronson Arroyo | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 6.1 |
| 2 | Ricky Romero | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 6.1 |
| 3 | Edwin Jackson | 0.0000 | 0.0148 | 5.9 |
| 4 | Josh Tomlin | 0.0000 | 0.0200 | 5.7 |
| 5 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.0000 | 0.0142 | 5.7 |
| 6 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0000 | 0.0139 | 5.5 |
| 7 | Miguel González | 0.0073 | 0.0033 | 4.9 |
| 8 | A.J. Griffin | 0.0073 | 0.0000 | 4.9 |
Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Romero | 0.1472 |
0.1046
(34.0)
|
0.1141
(27.4)
|
0.1021
(40.0)
|
| Nick Blackburn | 0.1776 |
0.1306
(20.7)
|
0.1141
(29.0)
|
0.1318
(22.3)
|
| Kris Medlen | 0.0500 |
0.1139
(34.0)
|
0.1141
(33.3)
|
0.1040
(26.4)
|
| Ubaldo Jiménez | 0.1441 |
0.1107
(25.6)
|
0.1141
(24.2)
|
0.0960
(41.3)
|
| Randy Wolf | 0.1474 |
0.1076
(26.7)
|
0.1141
(23.2)
|
0.1104
(28.0)
|
| Kyle Lohse | 0.0856 |
0.1224
(33.2)
|
0.1141
(24.6)
|
0.1185
(25.7)
|
Individual Misses for Run Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Lincecum | 0.0905 | 0.1345 | 35.0 |
| 2 | Jon Lester | 0.0997 | 0.1336 | 28.2 |
| 3 | A.J. Burnett | 0.1302 | 0.1011 | 26.2 |
| 4 | Ervin Santana | 0.1086 | 0.1427 | 24.8 |
| 5 | Clay Buchholz | 0.0974 | 0.1297 | 24.6 |
| 6 | Roy Halladay | 0.0813 | 0.1207 | 24.5 |
| 7 | Fernando Rodney | 0.1159 | 0.0319 | 24.2 |
| 8 | Jonathan Sánchez | 0.1089 | 0.1835 | 23.9 |
| 9 | David Price | 0.1011 | 0.0754 | 22.9 |
| 10 | Philip Humber | 0.1095 | 0.1602 | 22.6 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luke Hochevar | 0.1141 | 0.1588 | 35.7 |
| 2 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.1141 | 0.0777 | 32.8 |
| 3 | David Price | 0.1141 | 0.0754 | 32.4 |
| 4 | Johnny Cueto | 0.1141 | 0.0822 | 28.3 |
| 5 | Justin Verlander | 0.1141 | 0.0847 | 28.1 |
| 6 | R.A. Dickey | 0.1141 | 0.0841 | 27.8 |
| 7 | Matt Cain | 0.1141 | 0.0833 | 27.0 |
| 8 | Jake Arrieta | 0.1141 | 0.1653 | 25.4 |
| 9 | Jordan Lyles | 0.1141 | 0.1545 | 25.3 |
| 10 | Gio González | 0.1141 | 0.0839 | 24.8 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Lincecum | 0.0826 | 0.1345 | 45.5 |
| 2 | Jon Lester | 0.0952 | 0.1336 | 36.4 |
| 3 | Justin Masterson | 0.1008 | 0.1347 | 33.5 |
| 4 | Tommy Hanson | 0.0900 | 0.1248 | 28.9 |
| 5 | Luke Hochevar | 0.1259 | 0.1588 | 28.8 |
| 6 | Clay Buchholz | 0.0986 | 0.1297 | 27.5 |
| 7 | Roy Halladay | 0.0826 | 0.1207 | 26.7 |
| 8 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0876 | 0.1155 | 25.9 |
| 9 | Josh Johnson | 0.0771 | 0.1053 | 25.0 |
| 10 | Nate Jones | 0.1490 | 0.0631 | 24.9 |
Earned Run Rate
Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Halladay | 0.1207 |
0.0750
(28.4)
|
0.0874
(21.0)
|
0.0768
(31.3)
|
| Ricky Romero | 0.1399 |
0.0935
(37.1)
|
0.1020
(30.8)
|
0.0955
(40.6)
|
| Nick Blackburn | 0.1776 |
0.1152
(27.7)
|
0.1246
(23.8)
|
0.1227
(27.1)
|
| Kris Medlen | 0.0462 |
0.1040
(31.0)
|
0.0928
(24.7)
|
0.0983
(24.8)
|
| Tim Lincecum | 0.1297 |
0.0829
(37.2)
|
0.0867
(34.8)
|
0.0770
(47.2)
|
| Ervin Santana | 0.1335 |
0.1001
(24.2)
|
0.1048
(21.3)
|
0.1068
(23.9)
|
| Jon Lester | 0.1256 |
0.0930
(27.0)
|
0.0928
(28.0)
|
0.0890
(36.0)
|
| Fernando Rodney | 0.0177 |
0.1063
(25.5)
|
0.0994
(23.3)
|
0.1053
(23.4)
|
| Jonathan Sánchez | 0.1774 |
0.0980
(25.4)
|
0.1057
(23.2)
|
0.1065
(24.7)
|
| Kyle Lohse | 0.0775 |
0.1093
(28.9)
|
0.1152
(33.2)
|
0.1111
(25.0)
|
| Ubaldo Jiménez | 0.1317 |
0.1013
(23.0)
|
0.0985
(26.1)
|
0.0902
(37.1)
|
Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Wolf | 0.0999 | 0.1416 | 28.0 |
| 2 | A.J. Burnett | 0.1221 | 0.0928 | 26.4 |
| 3 | Philip Humber | 0.1025 | 0.1580 | 24.9 |
| 4 | Clay Buchholz | 0.0875 | 0.1197 | 24.5 |
| 5 | Jake Peavy | 0.1162 | 0.0930 | 22.0 |
| 6 | Craig Stammen | 0.1179 | 0.0622 | 21.2 |
| 7 | Justin Masterson | 0.0999 | 0.1247 | 21.0 |
| 8 | Josh Tomlin | 0.1147 | 0.1615 | 20.4 |
| 9 | Bruce Chen | 0.1047 | 0.1306 | 20.0 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R.A. Dickey | 0.1153 | 0.0766 | 36.7 |
| 2 | Johnny Cueto | 0.1077 | 0.0755 | 29.4 |
| 3 | Luke Hochevar | 0.1118 | 0.1475 | 27.9 |
| 4 | Wei-Yin Chen | 0.1339 | 0.1051 | 24.2 |
| 5 | Mike Fiers | 0.0526 | 0.0983 | 24.2 |
| 6 | Jeremy Hellickson | 0.1132 | 0.0823 | 23.5 |
| 7 | Tommy Hunter | 0.1034 | 0.1414 | 21.3 |
| 8 | Matt Harrison | 0.1121 | 0.0890 | 20.9 |
| 9 | Matt Cain | 0.1003 | 0.0776 | 20.6 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Masterson | 0.0941 | 0.1247 | 31.9 |
| 2 | Randy Wolf | 0.1027 | 0.1416 | 30.4 |
| 3 | Luke Hochevar | 0.1173 | 0.1475 | 27.8 |
| 4 | Josh Johnson | 0.0714 | 0.1015 | 27.7 |
| 5 | Tommy Hanson | 0.0845 | 0.1143 | 26.2 |
| 6 | Clay Buchholz | 0.0927 | 0.1197 | 25.3 |
| 7 | Francisco Liriano | 0.1057 | 0.1342 | 22.9 |
| 8 | Scott Diamond | 0.1316 | 0.0952 | 22.7 |
| 9 | Adam Wainwright | 0.0821 | 0.1047 | 22.6 |
Win Rate
Everybody Missed for Win Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Lee | 0.2000 |
0.3243
(157.8)
|
0.4669
(221.3)
|
0.5517
(301.1)
|
| David Price | 0.6452 |
0.3250
(215.9)
|
0.4492
(168.4)
|
0.4688
(144.3)
|
| R.A. Dickey | 0.5882 |
0.2000
(302.5)
|
0.3062
(266.6)
|
0.3929
(177.6)
|
| Johnny Cueto | 0.5758 |
0.2857
(202.6)
|
0.3617
(195.0)
|
0.3448
(201.7)
|
| Chris Sale | 0.5667 |
0.0732
(333.2)
|
0.3489
(172.4)
|
0.3846
(137.6)
|
| Lance Lynn | 0.5143 |
0.0909
(268.9)
|
0.1161
(300.4)
|
0.2414
(200.2)
|
| Gio González | 0.6563 |
0.3250
(221.4)
|
0.3676
(241.9)
|
0.4242
(187.6)
|
| A.J. Burnett | 0.5161 |
0.2632
(162.6)
|
0.3590
(138.4)
|
0.3214
(162.5)
|
Individual Misses for Win Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Harrison | 0.2381 | 0.5625 | 229.9 |
| 2 | Wade Miley | 0.1786 | 0.5000 | 209.4 |
| 3 | Jarrod Parker | 0.1111 | 0.4483 | 206.7 |
| 4 | Yu Darvish | 0.2497 | 0.5517 | 195.9 |
| 5 | Stephen Strasburg | 0.1852 | 0.5357 | 188.4 |
| 6 | Jered Weaver | 0.3590 | 0.6667 | 181.6 |
| 7 | Cole Hamels | 0.2821 | 0.5484 | 177.2 |
| 8 | Scott Diamond | 0.1379 | 0.4444 | 174.6 |
| 9 | Barry Zito | 0.1923 | 0.4688 | 171.4 |
| 10 | Tommy Milone | 0.1429 | 0.4194 | 169.7 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Hughes | 0.2007 | 0.5000 | 248.5 |
| 2 | Lucas Harrell | 0.0566 | 0.3438 | 242.1 |
| 3 | Jeff Samardzija | 0.0491 | 0.3214 | 200.9 |
| 4 | Jered Weaver | 0.4212 | 0.6667 | 185.5 |
| 5 | Felix Doubront | 0.1444 | 0.3793 | 170.5 |
| 6 | Kevin Correia | 0.1490 | 0.3750 | 168.6 |
| 7 | Tim Hudson | 0.3632 | 0.5714 | 160.1 |
| 8 | Matt Harrison | 0.3923 | 0.5625 | 153.9 |
| 9 | Barry Zito | 0.2821 | 0.4688 | 153.6 |
| 10 | Kyle Kendrick | 0.0871 | 0.2973 | 145.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Lester | 0.5333 | 0.2727 | 231.6 |
| 2 | Wade Miley | 0.2593 | 0.5000 | 191.2 |
| 3 | Jeff Samardzija | 0.0704 | 0.3214 | 178.7 |
| 4 | Ricky Romero | 0.4839 | 0.2813 | 171.1 |
| 5 | Tim Lincecum | 0.5000 | 0.3030 | 165.6 |
| 6 | Randy Wolf | 0.3929 | 0.1667 | 160.7 |
| 7 | Ubaldo Jiménez | 0.4839 | 0.2903 | 158.8 |
| 8 | Jeremy Guthrie | 0.4286 | 0.2424 | 149.7 |
| 9 | Kyle Lohse | 0.3182 | 0.4848 | 140.7 |
| 10 | Francisco Liriano | 0.3704 | 0.1765 | 137.0 |
Loss Rate
Everybody Missed for Loss Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Fiers | 0.4348 |
0.0833
(154.0)
|
0.1790
(143.7)
|
0.1852
(137.0)
|
| Justin Germano | 0.7143 |
0.1111
(172.0)
|
0.2441
(153.9)
|
0.0968
(199.1)
|
| Jeff Samardzija | 0.4643 |
0.0889
(223.9)
|
0.0476
(309.1)
|
0.0704
(288.0)
|
| Josh Beckett | 0.5000 |
0.1944
(175.1)
|
0.2833
(166.1)
|
0.2400
(193.1)
|
| Mat Latos | 0.1212 |
0.3000
(209.8)
|
0.3021
(145.9)
|
0.2813
(133.4)
|
| Ubaldo Jiménez | 0.5484 |
0.2703
(171.0)
|
0.3266
(187.3)
|
0.2903
(211.4)
|
| Erik Bedard | 0.5833 |
0.2059
(173.7)
|
0.3317
(146.2)
|
0.2667
(178.9)
|
| Kyle Lohse | 0.0909 |
0.2368
(182.8)
|
0.3815
(241.7)
|
0.3636
(231.7)
|
Individual Misses for Loss Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.1538 | 0.5909 | 195.3 |
| 2 | Henderson Alvarez III | 0.1613 | 0.4516 | 181.3 |
| 3 | Josh Johnson | 0.1600 | 0.4516 | 180.3 |
| 4 | Travis Wood | 0.1765 | 0.5000 | 167.3 |
| 5 | Hector Noesí | 0.1111 | 0.5455 | 167.0 |
| 6 | Joe Blanton | 0.1667 | 0.4194 | 150.7 |
| 7 | Luke Hochevar | 0.2632 | 0.5000 | 136.9 |
| 8 | Matt Moore | 0.1111 | 0.3548 | 135.1 |
| 9 | Tyson Ross | 0.1600 | 0.6111 | 131.8 |
| 10 | Justin Masterson | 0.2326 | 0.4412 | 129.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Harrell | 0.0474 | 0.3438 | 254.0 |
| 2 | Phil Hughes | 0.1700 | 0.4063 | 201.4 |
| 3 | R.A. Dickey | 0.3990 | 0.1765 | 196.2 |
| 4 | Matt Cain | 0.3569 | 0.1563 | 166.3 |
| 5 | Kyle Kendrick | 0.0993 | 0.3243 | 159.0 |
| 6 | Scott Feldman | 0.0949 | 0.3793 | 158.3 |
| 7 | Felix Doubront | 0.1363 | 0.3448 | 155.5 |
| 8 | Jon Lester | 0.2684 | 0.4242 | 146.1 |
| 9 | Tyson Ross | 0.2051 | 0.6111 | 142.6 |
| 10 | Hisashi Iwakuma | 0.4288 | 0.1667 | 130.4 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Johnson | 0.1500 | 0.4516 | 244.3 |
| 2 | Nathan Eovaldi | 0.2692 | 0.5909 | 171.6 |
| 3 | Hisashi Iwakuma | 0.5000 | 0.1667 | 170.6 |
| 4 | Justin Masterson | 0.2727 | 0.4412 | 156.7 |
| 5 | Hector Noesí | 0.2258 | 0.5455 | 146.9 |
| 6 | Tim Lincecum | 0.2813 | 0.4545 | 146.7 |
| 7 | Jon Lester | 0.2667 | 0.4242 | 142.0 |
| 8 | Travis Wood | 0.2903 | 0.5000 | 139.0 |
| 9 | Bud Norris | 0.2667 | 0.4483 | 136.4 |
| 10 | Brad Lincoln | 0.4074 | 0.0385 | 131.9 |
Save Rate
Everybody Missed for Save Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Soriano | 0.6087 |
0.2895
(95.3)
|
0.0392
(158.8)
|
0.0000
(162.0)
|
| Jim Johnson | 0.7183 |
0.1042
(171.3)
|
0.4492
(72.3)
|
0.0000
(185.7)
|
| Tom Wilhelmsen | 0.3973 |
0.0476
(121.3)
|
0.0172
(123.7)
|
0.0000
(120.4)
|
| Alfredo Aceves | 0.3623 |
0.0488
(121.3)
|
0.0158
(124.9)
|
0.0000
(120.7)
|
| Aroldis Chapman | 0.5588 |
0.0278
(152.8)
|
0.0222
(148.0)
|
0.0000
(146.5)
|
| Tyler Clippard | 0.4324 |
0.0185
(134.0)
|
0.0242
(125.2)
|
0.0000
(124.2)
|
| Fernando Rodney | 0.6316 |
0.1944
(129.6)
|
0.0000
(178.0)
|
0.0000
(170.2)
|
Individual Misses for Save Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Motte | 0.0755 | 0.6269 | 160.1 |
| 2 | Rafael Betancourt | 0.0600 | 0.5167 | 113.1 |
| 3 | Addison Reed | 0.0714 | 0.4677 | 99.7 |
| 4 | Ernesto Frieri | 0.0244 | 0.3433 | 91.8 |
| 5 | Grant Balfour | 0.0435 | 0.3200 | 86.4 |
| 6 | Casey Janssen | 0.0250 | 0.3548 | 85.3 |
| 7 | Joel Hanrahan | 0.2692 | 0.5714 | 82.5 |
| 8 | Kenley Jansen | 0.0811 | 0.3846 | 82.2 |
| 9 | Chris Perez | 0.3333 | 0.6393 | 79.5 |
| 10 | Santiago Casilla | 0.0769 | 0.3425 | 78.3 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heath Bell | 0.6875 | 0.2603 | 122.3 |
| 2 | Jordan Walden | 0.7188 | 0.0222 | 119.9 |
| 3 | Brandon League | 0.5982 | 0.2027 | 119.2 |
| 4 | Carlos Marmol | 0.6961 | 0.3279 | 91.1 |
| 5 | Ernesto Frieri | 0.0192 | 0.3433 | 87.1 |
| 6 | Brett Myers | 0.5865 | 0.2714 | 85.8 |
| 7 | Casey Janssen | 0.0000 | 0.3548 | 85.8 |
| 8 | Santiago Casilla | 0.0500 | 0.3425 | 79.4 |
| 9 | Kyle Farnsworth | 0.6600 | 0.0000 | 79.3 |
| 10 | Matt Thornton | 0.3365 | 0.0405 | 78.9 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Motte | 0.0000 | 0.6269 | 167.1 |
| 2 | Chris Perez | 0.0000 | 0.6393 | 148.0 |
| 3 | Craig Kimbrel | 0.0000 | 0.6667 | 147.6 |
| 4 | Jonathan Papelbon | 0.0000 | 0.5429 | 146.3 |
| 5 | Joel Hanrahan | 0.0000 | 0.5714 | 138.1 |
| 6 | Joe Nathan | 0.0000 | 0.5606 | 136.9 |
| 7 | Jose Valverde | 0.0000 | 0.4930 | 136.7 |
| 8 | John Axford | 0.0000 | 0.4667 | 136.0 |
| 9 | J.J. Putz | 0.0000 | 0.5614 | 116.3 |
| 10 | Rafael Betancourt | 0.0000 | 0.5167 | 115.4 |
Hold Rate
Everybody Missed for Hold Rate
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Grilli | 0.5000 |
0.2000
(82.1)
|
0.2034
(72.6)
|
0.0000
(109.2)
|
| Vicente Padilla | 0.4107 |
0.1500
(64.8)
|
0.0385
(81.4)
|
0.0000
(78.1)
|
| Mitchell Boggs | 0.4359 |
0.0750
(117.6)
|
0.1400
(87.9)
|
0.0000
(113.5)
|
Individual Misses for Hold Rate
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Sale | 0.1951 | 0.0000 | 122.4 |
| 2 | Francisco Rodríguez | 0.1176 | 0.4103 | 100.4 |
| 3 | Daniel Bard | 0.3585 | 0.0000 | 89.2 |
| 4 | Vinnie Pestano | 0.2500 | 0.5143 | 86.0 |
| 5 | Joel Peralta | 0.2222 | 0.4868 | 79.5 |
| 6 | Edward Mujica | 0.1667 | 0.4286 | 77.0 |
| 7 | Sean Doolittle | 0.0524 | 0.4091 | 75.1 |
| 8 | Kris Medlen | 0.0526 | 0.1600 | 74.8 |
| 9 | Dale Thayer | 0.0667 | 0.3438 | 73.7 |
| 10 | Phil Hughes | 0.1250 | 0.0000 | 72.1 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lance Lynn | 0.1875 | 0.0286 | 117.6 |
| 2 | Jeff Samardzija | 0.1579 | 0.0000 | 113.5 |
| 3 | Lucas Harrell | 0.1316 | 0.0000 | 108.1 |
| 4 | Ronald Belisario | 0.0000 | 0.3382 | 97.0 |
| 5 | Rafael Soriano | 0.3922 | 0.0580 | 93.0 |
| 6 | Anthony Bass | 0.2500 | 0.0417 | 85.2 |
| 7 | Alex Cobb | 0.1364 | 0.0000 | 77.1 |
| 8 | Ryan Cook | 0.0524 | 0.2958 | 70.3 |
| 9 | Brad Lincoln | 0.0000 | 0.1923 | 69.9 |
| 10 | Dale Thayer | 0.0524 | 0.3438 | 68.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinnie Pestano | 0.0000 | 0.5143 | 132.1 |
| 2 | Joel Peralta | 0.0000 | 0.4868 | 114.7 |
| 3 | Francisco Rodríguez | 0.0000 | 0.4103 | 109.1 |
| 4 | Joaquín Benoit | 0.0000 | 0.4110 | 103.3 |
| 5 | David Robertson | 0.0000 | 0.4615 | 101.5 |
| 6 | Edward Mujica | 0.0000 | 0.4286 | 97.0 |
| 7 | Matt Belisle | 0.0000 | 0.3250 | 94.9 |
| 8 | Sean Burnett | 0.0000 | 0.4429 | 93.3 |
| 9 | Mike Adams | 0.0000 | 0.4426 | 89.0 |
| 10 | Eric O'Flaherty | 0.0000 | 0.4375 | 88.6 |
ERA
Everybody Missed for ERA
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Romero | 5.7680 |
3.5131
(1778.9)
|
3.9993
(1475.9)
|
3.7233
(1981.1)
|
| Nick Blackburn | 7.3885 |
4.5302
(1253.7)
|
4.9644
(1110.7)
|
4.9592
(1265.1)
|
| Tim Lincecum | 5.1774 |
3.1116
(1614.4)
|
3.3052
(1554.2)
|
2.9196
(2147.4)
|
| Jon Lester | 4.8214 |
3.4947
(1066.8)
|
3.5787
(1098.9)
|
3.4597
(1495.2)
|
| Jonathan Sánchez | 8.0722 |
3.7821
(1367.2)
|
4.2824
(1243.1)
|
4.3580
(1327.4)
|
| Ubaldo Jiménez | 5.4000 |
3.8557
(1155.4)
|
3.8349
(1269.3)
|
3.5231
(1788.7)
|
Individual Misses for ERA
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kris Medlen | 3.9212 | 1.5652 | 1281.8 |
| 2 | Kyle Lohse | 4.2004 | 2.8578 | 1254.1 |
| 3 | Randy Wolf | 3.8194 | 5.6512 | 1204.2 |
| 4 | A.J. Burnett | 4.8120 | 3.5140 | 1197.3 |
| 5 | Philip Humber | 3.8897 | 6.4412 | 1128.4 |
| 6 | Roy Halladay | 2.7231 | 4.4904 | 1071.2 |
| 7 | Fernando Rodney | 4.2217 | 0.6027 | 1051.3 |
| 8 | Jake Peavy | 4.3990 | 3.3699 | 1003.9 |
| 9 | Ervin Santana | 3.8151 | 5.1573 | 942.1 |
| 10 | Clay Buchholz | 3.3166 | 4.5634 | 912.5 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R.A. Dickey | 4.5731 | 2.7347 | 1693.5 |
| 2 | Kyle Lohse | 4.5301 | 2.8578 | 1434.8 |
| 3 | Johnny Cueto | 4.2321 | 2.7788 | 1280.2 |
| 4 | Wei-Yin Chen | 5.4119 | 4.0173 | 1131.2 |
| 5 | Luke Hochevar | 4.4006 | 5.7302 | 1073.0 |
| 6 | Kris Medlen | 3.5454 | 1.5652 | 1023.7 |
| 7 | Jeremy Hellickson | 4.4676 | 3.1017 | 1003.5 |
| 8 | Scott Diamond | 4.9384 | 3.5376 | 991.9 |
| 9 | Matt Cain | 3.8860 | 2.7903 | 949.7 |
| 10 | Matt Harrison | 4.3841 | 3.2906 | 947.7 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Masterson | 3.7059 | 4.9289 | 1420.7 |
| 2 | Randy Wolf | 4.0449 | 5.6512 | 1364.0 |
| 3 | Roy Halladay | 2.8326 | 4.4904 | 1293.8 |
| 4 | Scott Diamond | 5.6450 | 3.5376 | 1258.4 |
| 5 | Tommy Hanson | 3.2049 | 4.4828 | 1235.1 |
| 6 | Josh Johnson | 2.6573 | 3.8101 | 1195.3 |
| 7 | Jose Quintana | 6.1364 | 3.7628 | 1152.2 |
| 8 | Luke Hochevar | 4.6620 | 5.7302 | 1130.6 |
| 9 | Nate Jones | 6.1644 | 2.3860 | 1033.4 |
| 10 | Clay Buchholz | 3.6247 | 4.5634 | 1029.6 |
WHIP
Everybody Missed for WHIP
| Player | Actual | Marcel | Steamer | ZiPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Romero | 1.6740 |
1.2583
(345.9)
|
1.4049
(269.8)
|
1.2791
(405.5)
|
| Chris Tillman | 1.0465 |
1.4804
(150.0)
|
1.5765
(164.4)
|
1.6444
(174.8)
|
| Wade Miley | 1.1815 |
1.4416
(208.6)
|
1.4975
(209.6)
|
1.5845
(249.2)
|
| Tim Lincecum | 1.4677 |
1.2258
(200.9)
|
1.2609
(217.0)
|
1.1848
(311.2)
|
| Tommy Hanson | 1.4542 |
1.2170
(181.7)
|
1.2737
(180.2)
|
1.1675
(289.8)
|
| Scott Diamond | 1.2428 |
1.4586
(153.0)
|
1.5577
(184.7)
|
1.7177
(271.9)
|
| Fernando Rodney | 0.7768 |
1.4712
(195.4)
|
1.4429
(172.0)
|
1.5000
(177.4)
|
| Jonathan Sánchez | 2.0876 |
1.3385
(245.5)
|
1.5209
(203.7)
|
1.4967
(224.0)
|
| Ubaldo Jiménez | 1.6132 |
1.2909
(260.8)
|
1.3606
(248.7)
|
1.2964
(330.9)
|
Individual Misses for WHIP
Marcel
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Lohse | 1.3317 | 1.0900 | 207.4 |
| 2 | Mike Minor | 1.4326 | 1.1543 | 201.5 |
| 3 | Kris Medlen | 1.2863 | 0.9130 | 193.3 |
| 4 | R.A. Dickey | 1.2544 | 1.0528 | 185.5 |
| 5 | Randy Wolf | 1.3112 | 1.5729 | 184.1 |
| 6 | Jonathon Niese | 1.4042 | 1.1716 | 182.0 |
| 7 | Gio González | 1.3465 | 1.1288 | 177.7 |
| 8 | Daniel Bard | 1.1318 | 1.7360 | 167.8 |
| 9 | A.J. Burnett | 1.4336 | 1.2405 | 163.0 |
| 10 | Tyson Ross | 1.3448 | 1.8136 | 160.9 |
Steamer
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R.A. Dickey | 1.4382 | 1.0528 | 305.1 |
| 2 | Mike Fiers | 1.7706 | 1.2611 | 244.3 |
| 3 | Kyle Lohse | 1.3939 | 1.0900 | 213.9 |
| 4 | Matt Cain | 1.3059 | 1.0395 | 184.1 |
| 5 | Wei-Yin Chen | 1.5275 | 1.2612 | 171.8 |
| 6 | Jeff Samardzija | 1.4950 | 1.2195 | 158.5 |
| 7 | Kris Medlen | 1.2600 | 0.9130 | 151.2 |
| 8 | Gio González | 1.3654 | 1.1288 | 148.3 |
| 9 | Derek Lowe | 1.4465 | 1.6192 | 146.5 |
| 10 | Jake Peavy | 1.3160 | 1.0959 | 144.5 |
ZiPS
| Rank | Player | Proj | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Wolf | 1.3258 | 1.5729 | 238.6 |
| 2 | Josh Johnson | 1.1111 | 1.2805 | 210.3 |
| 3 | Justin Masterson | 1.3235 | 1.4540 | 203.5 |
| 4 | Jeremy Guthrie | 1.2472 | 1.4092 | 201.9 |
| 5 | Jon Lester | 1.2653 | 1.3831 | 185.7 |
| 6 | Steve Delabar | 1.8621 | 1.0909 | 185.5 |
| 7 | Rick Porcello | 1.3907 | 1.5312 | 183.8 |
| 8 | Ian Kennedy | 1.1941 | 1.3008 | 180.6 |
| 9 | Dan Haren | 1.1451 | 1.2906 | 179.0 |
| 10 | Vance Worley | 1.3131 | 1.5113 | 172.5 |