2012 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	1	597	596.0
2	Norichika Aoki	1	588	587.0
3	Yoenis Cespedes	1	540	539.0
4	Brett Gardner	551	37	514.0
5	Kosuke Fukudome	535	51	484.0
6	Alex Gonzalez	550	89	461.0
7	Jason Bartlett	555	98	457.0
8	Aubrey Huff	545	95	450.0
9	Lance Berkman	530	97	433.0
10	Hideki Matsui	533	103	430.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brett Gardner	621	37	583.6
2	Lance Berkman	582	97	484.6
3	Jason Bartlett	561	98	462.9
4	Alex Gonzalez	548	89	458.5
5	Carl Crawford	578	125	453.2
6	Mat Gamel	522	75	447.4
7	Danny Valencia	598	161	437.1
8	Hideki Matsui	537	103	434.4
9	Aubrey Huff	520	95	425.4
10	Troy Tulowitzki	626	203	422.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Henry Alejandro Rodriguez	681	16	665.0
2	Juan Diaz	643	17	626.0
3	Lars Anderson	632	8	624.0
4	Charlie Culberson	646	23	623.0
5	Blake Tekotte	637	15	622.0
6	L.J. Hoes	623	1	622.0
7	Che-Hsuan Lin	628	12	616.0
8	Brandon Allen	629	22	607.0
9	Carlos Triunfel	628	24	604.0
10	Conor Gillaspie	616	20	596.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edwin Encarnación	0.4015	0.3325 (48.2)	0.3424 (41.7)	0.3413 (38.8)
Mike Trout	0.4107	0.3079 (69.4)	0.3215 (60.6)	0.3282 (52.7)
Brandon Moss	0.4039	0.2919 (34.9)	0.3100 (29.5)	0.2927 (32.9)
Austin Jackson	0.3703	0.3122 (39.5)	0.3115 (39.8)	0.3039 (41.0)
Chase Headley	0.3785	0.3242 (42.1)	0.3281 (39.2)	0.3289 (34.7)
Melky Cabrera	0.3886	0.3263 (34.2)	0.3238 (35.3)	0.3282 (30.3)
Ian Desmond	0.3629	0.2962 (39.8)	0.2985 (38.4)	0.2946 (37.4)
Alex Rios	0.3629	0.3042 (41.3)	0.3162 (33.5)	0.3064 (36.2)
Yadier Molina	0.3756	0.3270 (30.7)	0.3186 (35.3)	0.3219 (30.3)
Dustin Ackley	0.2777	0.3281 (29.7)	0.3268 (29.0)	0.3329 (36.8)
Aaron Hill	0.3781	0.3103 (49.3)	0.3171 (44.6)	0.3221 (37.5)
Andrew McCutchen	0.4084	0.3522 (41.8)	0.3537 (40.6)	0.3549 (36.0)
Buster Posey	0.4096	0.3435 (43.9)	0.3567 (35.7)	0.3488 (37.1)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Young	0.3536	0.2987	31.9
2	Ryan Ludwick	0.3150	0.3746	30.9
3	Michael Saunders	0.2701	0.3199	30.8
4	Chris Davis	0.3072	0.3553	30.3
5	Yoenis Cespedes	0.3206	0.3706	30.2
6	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3019	0.3775	28.2
7	Tyler Colvin	0.3026	0.3586	28.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Albert Pujols	0.4233	0.3676	33.5
2	Adrián González	0.4026	0.3481	33.4
3	Carlos Ruiz	0.3284	0.4020	33.4
4	Adam LaRoche	0.3190	0.3644	33.0
5	Robinson Canó	0.3599	0.3985	30.9
6	Justin Ruggiano	0.2975	0.3879	30.7
7	A.J. Pierzynski	0.3044	0.3537	28.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Hosmer	0.3577	0.2939	38.1
2	Adam LaRoche	0.3179	0.3644	30.1
3	Carlos Ruiz	0.3308	0.4020	30.0
4	Derek Jeter	0.3053	0.3447	29.2
5	Adrián González	0.3909	0.3481	29.2
6	Casey Kotchman	0.3278	0.2705	28.6
7	Justin Ruggiano	0.3004	0.3879	28.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Prince Fielder	0.1217	0.1771 (45.6)	0.1692 (42.5)	0.1791 (44.6)
Curtis Granderson	0.2851	0.2202 (37.1)	0.2271 (30.0)	0.2266 (35.0)
Jason Kipnis	0.1622	0.1986 (31.6)	0.2018 (36.1)	0.2090 (36.4)
Jason Kubel	0.2644	0.1969 (32.5)	0.1884 (35.4)	0.1866 (40.3)
Cody Ransom	0.3865	0.2110 (46.5)	0.1920 (50.9)	0.2716 (30.4)
Bryan LaHair	0.3263	0.2009 (43.6)	0.2331 (30.1)	0.2324 (32.9)
David Wright	0.1672	0.2229 (44.5)	0.2135 (40.4)	0.2142 (36.3)
Josh Hamilton	0.2547	0.1797 (40.9)	0.1781 (39.8)	0.1800 (42.9)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Norichika Aoki	0.1920	0.0935	64.2
2	Michael Brantley	0.1524	0.0920	43.3
3	Kirk Nieuwenhuis	0.1920	0.3121	34.4
4	Marco Scutaro	0.1104	0.0717	33.7
5	Lucas Duda	0.1795	0.2614	32.7
6	Steve Lombardozzi	0.1757	0.1106	31.5
7	Michael Young	0.1443	0.1075	30.9
8	Yonder Alonso	0.2016	0.1632	30.4
9	Brett Jackson	0.1920	0.4155	30.2
10	Jose Altuve	0.1545	0.1175	30.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.2480	0.1685	34.4
2	Adam LaRoche	0.2496	0.2133	32.6
3	Lucas Duda	0.1782	0.2614	31.7
4	Logan Forsythe	0.2387	0.1629	31.5
5	Jayson Werth	0.2423	0.1657	31.2
6	Michael Young	0.1392	0.1075	29.8
7	Michael Brantley	0.1235	0.0920	27.8
8	Joaquin Arias	0.1920	0.1279	26.9
9	Mike Moustakas	0.1441	0.2020	26.9
10	Carlos Beltrán	0.1429	0.2003	26.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2902	0.2215	44.6
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.2527	0.1685	33.7
3	Logan Forsythe	0.2505	0.1629	33.2
4	Mark Reynolds	0.3495	0.2955	32.9
5	Adam LaRoche	0.2567	0.2133	32.8
6	Bryce Harper	0.2463	0.2010	31.4
7	Carlos Beltrán	0.1432	0.2003	30.9
8	A.J. Pierzynski	0.0854	0.1500	29.8
9	A.J. Ellis	0.1463	0.2119	29.4
10	Brett Lawrie	0.2052	0.1604	27.9

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edwin Encarnación	0.1304	0.0857 (31.4)	0.0929 (27.8)	0.0868 (28.7)
Adrián González	0.0614	0.1248 (40.6)	0.1272 (41.1)	0.1177 (37.9)
Joey Votto	0.1979	0.1362 (31.2)	0.1433 (28.7)	0.1479 (24.2)
Miguel Montero	0.1274	0.0843 (27.0)	0.0883 (25.7)	0.0870 (23.7)
Robinson Canó	0.0875	0.0641 (19.1)	0.0637 (20.6)	0.0603 (19.6)
Yunel Escobar	0.0576	0.0982 (22.3)	0.1019 (23.5)	0.0972 (23.5)
Austin Jackson	0.1086	0.0779 (21.4)	0.0822 (19.8)	0.0777 (19.6)
Dan Uggla	0.1492	0.1087 (28.0)	0.1077 (29.8)	0.1030 (29.7)
Miguel Cabrera	0.0947	0.1297 (21.6)	0.1343 (23.6)	0.1385 (29.9)
Alexei Ramirez	0.0258	0.0682 (23.9)	0.0667 (21.9)	0.0607 (21.1)
Albert Pujols	0.0776	0.1237 (28.2)	0.1346 (34.4)	0.1205 (28.1)
Joe Mauer	0.1404	0.1059 (24.7)	0.1161 (19.2)	0.1096 (20.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Buster Posey	0.0783	0.1131	23.7
2	Marco Scutaro	0.0938	0.0586	21.3
3	Jemile Weeks	0.0606	0.0978	21.1
4	Chase Headley	0.0980	0.1230	20.3
5	John Buck	0.0774	0.1231	19.8
6	Mike Trout	0.0786	0.1049	19.3
7	Adam Dunn	0.1361	0.1618	19.3
8	Chris Carter	0.0809	0.1500	19.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Heyward	0.1350	0.0891	26.1
2	B.J. Upton	0.1174	0.0711	25.7
3	Ian Kinsler	0.1142	0.0821	19.3
4	Jemile Weeks	0.0660	0.0978	19.2
5	John Buck	0.0811	0.1231	19.0
6	David Freese	0.0735	0.1005	18.6
7	Marco Scutaro	0.0907	0.0586	18.0
8	Buster Posey	0.0897	0.1131	17.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Heyward	0.1311	0.0891	26.7
2	B.J. Upton	0.1133	0.0711	26.1
3	Derek Norris	0.1780	0.0905	20.1
4	Jesus Montero	0.0881	0.0524	19.2
5	David Freese	0.0683	0.1005	18.8
6	Ian Kinsler	0.1084	0.0821	18.6
7	Carlos Lee	0.0662	0.0943	17.9
8	Dustin Ackley	0.1157	0.0883	17.7

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Miguel Montero	0.0209	0.0098 (6.5)	0.0112 (5.9)	0.0109 (6.0)
Kevin Youkilis	0.0334	0.0222 (5.8)	0.0237 (5.2)	0.0240 (4.9)
Corey Hart	0.0177	0.0093 (5.3)	0.0096 (5.3)	0.0103 (4.8)
Carlos Ruiz	0.0380	0.0148 (9.9)	0.0155 (9.7)	0.0165 (9.2)
Hunter Pence	0.0102	0.0017 (6.0)	0.0021 (5.9)	0.0015 (6.2)
Jason Heyward	0.0031	0.0118 (5.5)	0.0116 (5.2)	0.0122 (5.8)
Norichika Aoki	0.0221	0.0083 (8.3)	0.0069 (9.2)	0.0122 (6.0)
Adam Dunn	0.0015	0.0099 (5.2)	0.0096 (4.9)	0.0092 (4.8)
Sean Rodríguez	0.0088	0.0260 (5.8)	0.0241 (5.1)	0.0300 (7.1)
Jon Jay	0.0299	0.0122 (9.0)	0.0117 (9.4)	0.0144 (7.9)
Carlos Pena	0.0217	0.0108 (6.6)	0.0113 (6.5)	0.0113 (6.4)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Greene	0.0220	0.0030	6.2
2	Josh Harrison	0.0032	0.0254	6.2
3	Edwin Encarnación	0.0080	0.0171	6.0
4	Scott Moore	0.0048	0.0307	6.0
5	Alex Rodriguez	0.0087	0.0189	5.5
6	Chris Davis	0.0031	0.0125	5.4
7	Craig Gentry	0.0179	0.0372	5.3
8	Alejandro De Aza	0.0069	0.0154	5.1
9	Prince Fielder	0.0177	0.0246	4.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Nava	0.0083	0.0284	6.5
2	Buster Posey	0.0129	0.0033	5.6
3	Craig Gentry	0.0172	0.0372	5.5
4	Colby Rasmus	0.0030	0.0112	5.4
5	Alex Gordon	0.0120	0.0042	5.3
6	Scott Moore	0.0083	0.0307	5.2
7	Justin Upton	0.0161	0.0080	4.8
8	Edwin Encarnación	0.0101	0.0171	4.8
9	Prince Fielder	0.0182	0.0246	4.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Colby Rasmus	0.0017	0.0112	6.1
2	Buster Posey	0.0128	0.0033	5.6
3	Dan Uggla	0.0079	0.0159	5.2
4	Justin Upton	0.0165	0.0080	5.2
5	Jordan Pacheco	0.0161	0.0059	5.0
6	Alex Gordon	0.0113	0.0042	4.9
7	Travis Hafner	0.0162	0.0342	4.8
8	Tyler Greene	0.0178	0.0030	4.8
9	Alejandro De Aza	0.0076	0.0154	4.7

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edwin Encarnación	0.0923	0.0511 (25.4)	0.0521 (24.4)	0.0531 (23.2)
Adrián González	0.0342	0.0615 (19.9)	0.0656 (23.1)	0.0655 (23.7)
Curtis Granderson	0.1051	0.0711 (22.1)	0.0679 (23.9)	0.0754 (18.1)
Chase Headley	0.0686	0.0237 (30.2)	0.0272 (27.3)	0.0255 (27.8)
A.J. Pierzynski	0.0665	0.0240 (21.2)	0.0230 (21.5)	0.0211 (21.9)
Ian Desmond	0.0623	0.0233 (20.4)	0.0242 (19.6)	0.0227 (19.9)
Brandon Moss	0.1186	0.0270 (26.6)	0.0452 (21.1)	0.0441 (21.1)
Adam Dunn	0.1277	0.0775 (31.5)	0.0874 (24.7)	0.0967 (18.1)
Carlos Beltrán	0.0748	0.0427 (18.8)	0.0428 (18.4)	0.0420 (18.2)
Josh Hamilton	0.1051	0.0594 (27.9)	0.0593 (27.7)	0.0565 (28.9)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Davis	0.0481	0.0946	25.1
2	Pedro Alvarez	0.0458	0.0862	22.6
3	Josh Reddick	0.0346	0.0688	21.8
4	Wilin Rosario	0.0422	0.0930	20.9
5	Ike Davis	0.0476	0.0840	20.2
6	Chris Carter	0.0375	0.1159	19.9
7	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0805	0.1205	19.2
8	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.0500	0.0926	18.3
9	Jason Kubel	0.0494	0.0831	18.2
10	Ryan Braun	0.0576	0.0863	18.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.0329	0.0703	22.4
2	Justin Upton	0.0669	0.0387	19.1
3	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	0.0487	0.0926	18.6
4	Albert Pujols	0.0796	0.0559	17.4
5	Jason Kubel	0.0505	0.0831	17.3
6	Andrew McCutchen	0.0388	0.0665	17.1
7	Carlos Pena	0.0854	0.0597	16.7
8	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0770	0.0509	16.6
9	Mark Reynolds	0.1052	0.0767	16.6
10	Jonny Gomes	0.0499	0.1017	16.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.0316	0.0703	22.6
2	Carlos Pena	0.0893	0.0597	19.7
3	Josh Reddick	0.0366	0.0688	19.5
4	Mark Reynolds	0.1094	0.0767	19.3
5	Brett Lawrie	0.0574	0.0267	18.2
6	Justin Upton	0.0636	0.0387	17.7
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0767	0.0509	17.1
8	Nelson Cruz	0.0763	0.0535	16.8
9	Alex Gordon	0.0473	0.0277	16.4
10	Wilin Rosario	0.0513	0.0930	16.4

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.3829	0.2760 (69.7)	0.2983 (52.8)	0.3174 (42.1)
Torii Hunter	0.3882	0.3061 (49.2)	0.2965 (52.4)	0.2931 (55.8)
Miguel Montero	0.3615	0.3116 (29.8)	0.3006 (33.8)	0.3016 (34.6)
Danny Espinosa	0.3308	0.2841 (32.2)	0.2815 (31.1)	0.2861 (29.7)
Alcides Escobar	0.3386	0.2758 (42.1)	0.2899 (30.3)	0.2952 (28.4)
Melky Cabrera	0.3785	0.3043 (38.3)	0.2984 (39.1)	0.3071 (36.0)
Ike Davis	0.2464	0.3182 (40.6)	0.3160 (41.8)	0.3169 (40.9)
Jemile Weeks	0.2500	0.3303 (39.9)	0.3026 (27.9)	0.3073 (29.1)
Tyler Colvin	0.3537	0.2565 (44.9)	0.2784 (33.2)	0.2874 (30.2)
Andrew McCutchen	0.3747	0.3055 (48.1)	0.2997 (49.2)	0.3045 (47.5)
Buster Posey	0.3675	0.3080 (37.6)	0.3107 (33.5)	0.3171 (31.0)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Hill	0.2568	0.3160	41.0
2	Dustin Ackley	0.3199	0.2643	35.7
3	Justin Ruggiano	0.2921	0.3969	34.2
4	Alex Rios	0.2725	0.3225	33.4
5	Brandon Belt	0.2836	0.3510	32.8
6	Chris Nelson	0.2936	0.3711	30.0
7	Alex Gordon	0.3175	0.3564	29.7
8	Dexter Fowler	0.3295	0.3832	29.6
9	Adam Dunn	0.2939	0.2464	29.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Gordon	0.3080	0.3564	33.4
2	Joey Votto	0.3336	0.4043	32.6
3	Yoenis Cespedes	0.2640	0.3260	32.4
4	Dexter Fowler	0.3221	0.3832	31.3
5	Eric Hosmer	0.3044	0.2552	30.6
6	Aaron Hill	0.2694	0.3160	29.8
7	Justin Ruggiano	0.3023	0.3969	29.6
8	Casey Kotchman	0.2865	0.2315	28.5
9	Russell Martin	0.2767	0.2208	28.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Hosmer	0.3282	0.2552	43.4
2	Joey Votto	0.3299	0.4043	35.5
3	Derek Jeter	0.3013	0.3436	31.6
4	Jordan Pacheco	0.2838	0.3430	30.1
5	Casey Kotchman	0.2918	0.2315	29.9
6	Joe Mauer	0.3189	0.3636	28.9
7	Alex Rios	0.2784	0.3225	28.5
8	Colby Rasmus	0.3026	0.2581	27.5
9	Chris Nelson	0.2987	0.3711	27.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.2947	0.2031 (59.0)	0.2160 (43.9)	0.2413 (33.6)
Mark Trumbo	0.2548	0.2023 (31.2)	0.1945 (29.5)	0.2145 (23.2)
Miguel Montero	0.2828	0.2210 (35.8)	0.2047 (39.0)	0.2127 (39.7)
Torii Hunter	0.3239	0.2347 (52.5)	0.2189 (55.5)	0.2262 (56.5)
Russell Martin	0.1623	0.2236 (29.3)	0.2166 (31.2)	0.2232 (29.9)
Dexter Fowler	0.2928	0.2159 (41.2)	0.2071 (40.1)	0.2165 (40.0)
Billy Butler	0.2720	0.2328 (27.1)	0.2174 (30.3)	0.2335 (25.6)
Jay Bruce	0.1772	0.2202 (26.7)	0.2116 (28.1)	0.2273 (32.2)
Melky Cabrera	0.2890	0.2255 (32.2)	0.2214 (28.8)	0.2220 (33.1)
Ike Davis	0.1719	0.2318 (34.6)	0.2115 (28.9)	0.2222 (29.9)
Jeff Keppinger	0.2857	0.2204 (27.6)	0.2146 (25.5)	0.2162 (28.7)
Andrew McCutchen	0.2943	0.2172 (52.4)	0.2065 (52.3)	0.2138 (53.5)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alcides Escobar	0.2175	0.2657	31.7
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.1768	0.2529	28.3
3	Zack Cozart	0.2405	0.1963	26.1
4	Jemile Weeks	0.2416	0.1901	25.9
5	Omar Infante	0.2550	0.2106	25.7
6	Ichiro Suzuki	0.2766	0.2373	25.6
7	Alex Rodriguez	0.2230	0.2695	25.0
8	Tyler Colvin	0.1739	0.2279	24.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ichiro Suzuki	0.2779	0.2373	33.6
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.1625	0.2529	29.6
3	Yoenis Cespedes	0.1839	0.2438	26.9
4	Danny Espinosa	0.1811	0.2316	26.6
5	Adrian Beltré	0.1985	0.2485	26.2
6	Brendan Ryan	0.2138	0.1688	25.9
7	Jonny Gomes	0.1954	0.2830	25.8
8	Paul Konerko	0.2079	0.2606	25.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Jeter	0.2445	0.2889	32.2
2	Eric Hosmer	0.2490	0.1995	30.1
3	Alex Rodriguez	0.2167	0.2695	27.5
4	Brendan Ryan	0.2228	0.1688	25.8
5	John Buck	0.2247	0.1645	24.3
6	Jonny Gomes	0.2105	0.2830	23.9
7	Donovan Solano	0.2174	0.2918	23.3
8	Kirk Nieuwenhuis	0.2069	0.2802	22.8

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Saunders	0.0866	0.0526 (19.5)	0.0629 (17.6)	0.0537 (18.3)
Joey Votto	0.1588	0.0925 (32.1)	0.0982 (32.7)	0.0863 (34.5)
Kevin Youkilis	0.0478	0.0932 (22.5)	0.0983 (21.6)	0.0892 (21.0)
Justin Upton	0.0569	0.0829 (15.6)	0.0987 (21.2)	0.0850 (17.6)
Aramis Ramirez	0.1075	0.0665 (26.6)	0.0782 (23.6)	0.0716 (22.7)
Mike Napoli	0.0439	0.0848 (16.5)	0.0965 (18.5)	0.0849 (17.1)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.0993	0.0707 (20.5)	0.0822 (17.3)	0.0689 (21.0)
Denard Span	0.0835	0.0426 (24.0)	0.0507 (23.3)	0.0437 (22.7)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0753	0.1153	24.2
2	Brian Bogusevic	0.0900	0.0356	21.5
3	Buster Posey	0.0600	0.0931	20.9
4	Justin Ruggiano	0.0618	0.1186	18.6
5	Aaron Hill	0.0617	0.0880	18.4
6	Jason Kipnis	0.0733	0.0461	17.4
7	Jay Bruce	0.0663	0.0926	17.4
8	Danny Espinosa	0.0696	0.0941	17.0
9	Albert Pujols	0.0747	0.0986	16.8
10	Michael Cuddyer	0.0709	0.1119	16.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.1241	0.0575	21.5
2	Norichika Aoki	0.0531	0.0792	20.1
3	Colby Rasmus	0.0929	0.0526	20.1
4	Michael Cuddyer	0.0731	0.1119	18.5
5	Justin Smoak	0.0816	0.0394	18.2
6	Jesus Montero	0.0891	0.0490	17.7
7	Casey Kotchman	0.0718	0.0296	17.1
8	Nelson Cruz	0.0876	0.1059	17.0
9	Brian McCann	0.0833	0.0405	16.9
10	Michael Brantley	0.0556	0.0749	16.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Buster Posey	0.0639	0.0931	17.9
2	Norichika Aoki	0.0495	0.0792	17.6
3	Colby Rasmus	0.0807	0.0526	17.5
4	Albert Pujols	0.0728	0.0986	17.4
5	Jesus Montero	0.0805	0.0490	17.3
6	Nelson Cruz	0.0796	0.1059	16.9
7	Jay Bruce	0.0668	0.0926	16.4
8	Casey Kotchman	0.0623	0.0296	16.3
9	Justin Smoak	0.0701	0.0394	16.3
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0886	0.1153	15.7

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Quintin Berry	0.0278	0.0074 (6.8)	0.0074 (6.7)	0.0074 (7.1)
Elvis Andrus	0.0164	0.0085 (5.8)	0.0082 (5.7)	0.0074 (7.2)
Curtis Granderson	0.0109	0.0191 (5.4)	0.0191 (5.7)	0.0211 (6.2)
Brett Lawrie	0.0075	0.0198 (6.5)	0.0231 (8.4)	0.0226 (7.5)
Bryce Harper	0.0227	0.0074 (9.3)	0.0084 (8.5)	0.0089 (8.9)
Gerardo Parra	0.0065	0.0193 (5.4)	0.0192 (5.5)	0.0221 (6.2)
Starling Marte	0.0517	0.0074 (8.1)	0.0115 (7.3)	0.0204 (5.9)
Daniel Descalso	0.0236	0.0105 (5.7)	0.0068 (7.1)	0.0100 (6.3)
Orlando Hudson	0.0383	0.0118 (7.5)	0.0087 (8.3)	0.0112 (8.0)
Ángel Pagán	0.0296	0.0150 (9.8)	0.0169 (8.3)	0.0173 (8.8)
Melky Cabrera	0.0256	0.0064 (9.7)	0.0079 (8.8)	0.0104 (8.2)
Alex Rios	0.0162	0.0049 (7.4)	0.0056 (6.7)	0.0064 (7.0)
Todd Frazier	0.0197	0.0055 (6.7)	0.0043 (7.1)	0.0080 (6.0)
Dustin Ackley	0.0042	0.0184 (9.3)	0.0144 (6.8)	0.0184 (8.7)
Aaron Hill	0.0120	0.0025 (6.5)	0.0028 (6.1)	0.0045 (5.8)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.0052	0.0202	9.7
2	Tyler Colvin	0.0174	0.0340	7.6
3	Shane Victorino	0.0239	0.0136	6.7
4	Starlin Castro	0.0142	0.0223	5.8
5	Stephen Drew	0.0224	0.0048	5.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Bourn	0.0130	0.0215	5.8
2	Jamey Carroll	0.0130	0.0024	5.7
3	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0149	0.0037	5.6
4	Tyler Colvin	0.0218	0.0340	5.5
5	Danny Espinosa	0.0131	0.0051	5.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Kipnis	0.0206	0.0084	7.5
2	Shane Victorino	0.0243	0.0136	6.4
3	Stephen Drew	0.0241	0.0048	5.9
4	Danny Espinosa	0.0152	0.0051	5.9
5	Yoenis Cespedes	0.0042	0.0137	5.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Trout	0.2019	0.1286 (48.8)	0.1303 (47.7)	0.1622 (26.1)
Freddie Freeman	0.1468	0.1076 (26.2)	0.1167 (20.5)	0.1175 (19.0)
Wilin Rosario	0.1573	0.1139 (19.8)	0.1161 (18.8)	0.0920 (28.3)
Melky Cabrera	0.1677	0.1250 (22.9)	0.1183 (26.2)	0.1218 (23.6)
Albert Pujols	0.1269	0.1593 (19.7)	0.1636 (22.6)	0.1549 (18.0)
Austin Jackson	0.1669	0.1380 (19.8)	0.1369 (20.4)	0.1246 (26.9)
Bryce Harper	0.1642	0.1164 (30.4)	0.1075 (35.6)	0.0956 (41.7)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chase Headley	0.1061	0.1359	23.0
2	A.J. Pierzynski	0.0918	0.1308	21.9
3	Justin Upton	0.1398	0.1704	21.2
4	Shane Victorino	0.1429	0.1081	21.1
5	Michael Saunders	0.0976	0.1284	18.8
6	Adam Dunn	0.1085	0.1341	18.6
7	Alex Rios	0.1197	0.1453	18.4
8	Adam Jones	0.1246	0.1478	18.3
9	Jesus Montero	0.1193	0.0832	18.3
10	Andrew McCutchen	0.1350	0.1590	18.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adrián González	0.1575	0.1096	30.7
2	Carlos Gómez	0.1000	0.1593	28.2
3	Yunel Escobar	0.1396	0.0954	25.0
4	Chris Denorfia	0.0891	0.1466	23.1
5	Andrew McCutchen	0.1277	0.1590	23.1
6	Darwin Barney	0.0882	0.1241	22.9
7	Jon Jay	0.0968	0.1394	22.9
8	Norichika Aoki	0.1027	0.1378	22.4
9	Prince Fielder	0.1528	0.1203	20.3
10	Jesus Montero	0.1218	0.0832	19.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hanley Ramirez	0.1541	0.1184	23.0
2	Josh Hamilton	0.1273	0.1619	22.9
3	A.J. Pierzynski	0.0894	0.1308	22.1
4	Shane Victorino	0.1417	0.1081	21.6
5	David Ortiz	0.1147	0.1697	21.6
6	Chase Headley	0.1088	0.1359	19.8
7	Howie Kendrick	0.1296	0.0960	19.3
8	Kyle Seager	0.1260	0.0952	19.2
9	Justin Upton	0.1414	0.1704	19.0
10	Yadier Molina	0.0830	0.1155	19.0

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edwin Encarnación	0.1708	0.1155 (36.9)	0.1324 (25.0)	0.1219 (31.6)
Carlos Ruiz	0.1615	0.1055 (24.4)	0.0862 (31.9)	0.0991 (26.4)
Jeff Francoeur	0.0813	0.1254 (25.5)	0.1294 (28.8)	0.1216 (24.3)
Chase Headley	0.1645	0.0980 (47.9)	0.0858 (55.3)	0.0986 (46.2)
A.J. Pierzynski	0.1481	0.1020 (25.0)	0.1033 (23.5)	0.0976 (26.3)
Josh Willingham	0.1789	0.1404 (24.9)	0.1384 (25.1)	0.1357 (26.6)
Kyle Seager	0.1321	0.0877 (30.2)	0.0959 (23.8)	0.0909 (26.9)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Rodriguez	0.1688	0.1078	31.3
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.1576	0.1994	30.5
3	Chris Davis	0.1049	0.1512	27.1
4	Josh Hamilton	0.1606	0.2013	27.1
5	Buster Posey	0.1275	0.1689	26.4
6	Dayan Viciedo	0.0975	0.1436	26.1
7	Zack Cozart	0.1036	0.0583	26.0
8	Jemile Weeks	0.0909	0.0391	25.5
9	Freddie Freeman	0.1150	0.1516	23.9
10	Wilin Rosario	0.1139	0.1667	23.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Allen Craig	0.1150	0.1790	33.1
2	Carlos Beltrán	0.1114	0.1567	28.3
3	Jemile Weeks	0.0926	0.0391	27.1
4	Jonathan Lucroy	0.0928	0.1676	26.0
5	Michael Young	0.1429	0.1029	25.8
6	Alfonso Soriano	0.1350	0.1756	25.2
7	Shane Victorino	0.1209	0.0826	25.2
8	Chris Heisey	0.1474	0.0827	24.1
9	Chris Johnson	0.0991	0.1439	23.9
10	Carlos Pena	0.1412	0.1017	23.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Rodriguez	0.1738	0.1078	34.9
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.1507	0.1994	34.1
3	Josh Reddick	0.0833	0.1263	29.0
4	Mike Trout	0.0855	0.1299	28.4
5	Josh Hamilton	0.1582	0.2013	27.5
6	Will Middlebrooks	0.0944	0.1888	27.0
7	Buster Posey	0.1284	0.1689	24.7
8	Alex Rios	0.1041	0.1422	24.4
9	Wilin Rosario	0.1104	0.1667	24.0
10	Jose Altuve	0.0965	0.0587	23.7

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Quintin Berry	0.2360	0.0738 (53.5)	0.0738 (52.4)	0.0738 (54.7)
Elvis Andrus	0.1055	0.1714 (46.9)	0.1797 (55.2)	0.1814 (51.3)
Jason Kipnis	0.1685	0.0882 (53.9)	0.0738 (61.3)	0.0861 (57.8)
Everth Cabrera	0.3667	0.1754 (85.8)	0.2267 (61.3)	0.2736 (43.4)
Dewayne Wise	0.3800	0.1455 (56.0)	0.1591 (52.0)	0.1837 (47.8)
Tony Campana	0.5882	0.2778 (59.6)	0.2957 (55.5)	0.3284 (50.6)
Emilio Bonifácio	0.3704	0.1788 (52.5)	0.1666 (54.9)	0.1962 (48.7)
Norichika Aoki	0.1935	0.0738 (70.4)	0.0521 (81.2)	0.0556 (83.3)
Alexei Ramirez	0.1429	0.0662 (47.5)	0.0516 (54.5)	0.0566 (55.9)
Alexi Casilla	0.2958	0.1443 (49.3)	0.1321 (52.2)	0.1373 (52.9)
Omar Infante	0.1360	0.0395 (56.7)	0.0288 (61.0)	0.0299 (64.6)
Shane Victorino	0.2378	0.1449 (61.8)	0.1267 (71.7)	0.1429 (65.7)
Carlos Gómez	0.3936	0.2000 (87.5)	0.2272 (73.7)	0.2588 (62.6)
Jordan Schafer	0.3034	0.1563 (52.9)	0.1670 (47.9)	0.1765 (47.0)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.0938	0.2579	104.8
2	Darin Mastroianni	0.0600	0.4038	63.9
3	Jose Altuve	0.1013	0.1964	59.9
4	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2235	0.4000	58.2
5	Alcides Escobar	0.1278	0.2059	50.5
6	Anthony Gose	0.0738	0.3333	49.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Gose	0.0738	0.3333	48.4
2	Michael Bourn	0.2749	0.2111	47.3
3	Michael Saunders	0.0974	0.1810	44.3
4	Jeff Francoeur	0.0994	0.0313	43.2
5	Michael Brantley	0.1396	0.0727	42.8
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2678	0.4000	42.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Bourn	0.2995	0.2111	59.6
2	Matt Kemp	0.1939	0.0763	51.2
3	John Mayberry Jr.	0.1089	0.0094	45.9
4	Martín Prado	0.0278	0.0904	45.8
5	Michael Saunders	0.1034	0.1810	44.9
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0497	0.1224	44.9

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Prince Fielder	0.3133	0.2821 (25.2)	0.2800 (24.4)	0.2745 (27.6)
Mike Trout	0.3256	0.2421 (56.8)	0.2544 (46.8)	0.2666 (38.5)
Torii Hunter	0.3127	0.2734 (26.1)	0.2615 (31.1)	0.2612 (30.8)
Eric Hosmer	0.2318	0.2817 (26.6)	0.2808 (28.1)	0.3040 (42.4)
Alex Rios	0.3041	0.2530 (36.1)	0.2622 (28.2)	0.2589 (29.8)
David Wright	0.3064	0.2757 (24.1)	0.2742 (22.9)	0.2689 (26.0)
Melky Cabrera	0.3464	0.2816 (35.1)	0.2783 (35.2)	0.2845 (31.7)
Austin Jackson	0.3002	0.2676 (23.4)	0.2643 (23.4)	0.2594 (26.0)
Aaron Hill	0.3021	0.2465 (40.7)	0.2563 (32.0)	0.2652 (25.6)
Andrew McCutchen	0.3272	0.2726 (40.3)	0.2715 (38.8)	0.2735 (37.0)
Buster Posey	0.3358	0.2830 (35.5)	0.2865 (31.3)	0.2872 (30.5)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Colvin	0.2236	0.2905	32.6
2	Jemile Weeks	0.2883	0.2207	31.8
3	Alcides Escobar	0.2505	0.2926	30.7
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.2129	0.2849	28.5
5	Andy Dirks	0.2542	0.3217	25.0
6	Jordan Pacheco	0.2655	0.3095	24.9
7	Dustin Ackley	0.2676	0.2257	24.4
8	Brendan Ryan	0.2511	0.1941	24.3
9	Jeff Keppinger	0.2743	0.3247	23.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Ruiz	0.2610	0.3253	27.9
2	Derek Jeter	0.2809	0.3163	27.6
3	Ike Davis	0.2745	0.2274	26.4
4	Alex Gordon	0.2605	0.2944	25.9
5	Adrian Beltré	0.2849	0.3212	25.1
6	Jonathan Lucroy	0.2506	0.3196	24.6
7	Justin Ruggiano	0.2388	0.3125	24.2
8	Yoenis Cespedes	0.2496	0.2916	23.8
9	Andy Dirks	0.2556	0.3217	23.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Jeter	0.2675	0.3163	37.0
2	Jordan Pacheco	0.2623	0.3095	24.5
3	Carlos Ruiz	0.2690	0.3253	24.2
4	Adam LaRoche	0.2363	0.2715	23.6
5	Jeff Keppinger	0.2696	0.3247	23.6
6	Brendan Ryan	0.2447	0.1941	23.2
7	Jonathan Lucroy	0.2542	0.3196	23.1
8	Jemile Weeks	0.2669	0.2207	23.0
9	Dustin Ackley	0.2607	0.2257	22.5

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edwin Encarnación	0.3835	0.3234 (43.9)	0.3328 (37.0)	0.3306 (35.5)
Adrián González	0.3436	0.3933 (28.5)	0.3955 (30.9)	0.3836 (25.9)
Mike Trout	0.3991	0.3082 (63.1)	0.3294 (48.8)	0.3383 (40.2)
Joey Votto	0.4737	0.4054 (36.2)	0.4024 (37.1)	0.4022 (35.0)
Miguel Montero	0.3909	0.3425 (32.3)	0.3379 (34.3)	0.3355 (32.9)
Yunel Escobar	0.2995	0.3560 (29.5)	0.3593 (32.2)	0.3508 (30.0)
Hanley Ramirez	0.3223	0.3678 (25.0)	0.3736 (29.7)	0.3649 (27.0)
Austin Jackson	0.3772	0.3289 (34.7)	0.3297 (33.5)	0.3215 (35.7)
David Murphy	0.3796	0.3377 (26.0)	0.3350 (26.7)	0.3282 (27.9)
Melky Cabrera	0.3900	0.3322 (32.9)	0.3292 (33.8)	0.3295 (31.4)
Albert Pujols	0.3433	0.3915 (27.0)	0.4031 (35.6)	0.3881 (28.6)
Dustin Ackley	0.2939	0.3392 (25.0)	0.3463 (30.6)	0.3481 (34.9)
Aaron Hill	0.3598	0.3031 (43.2)	0.3140 (35.1)	0.3183 (29.2)
Andrew McCutchen	0.3997	0.3599 (32.1)	0.3625 (29.6)	0.3615 (27.1)
Buster Posey	0.4082	0.3459 (42.9)	0.3587 (34.3)	0.3578 (32.0)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Wright	0.3558	0.3910	28.9
2	Chase Headley	0.3436	0.3763	28.4
3	Alcides Escobar	0.2978	0.3312	26.8
4	Alex Rios	0.3007	0.3344	26.6
5	Michael Brantley	0.3156	0.3481	24.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ike Davis	0.3646	0.3082	29.0
2	Casey Kotchman	0.3438	0.2797	28.7
3	Robinson Canó	0.3448	0.3788	28.3
4	David Freese	0.3296	0.3721	28.0
5	Jon Jay	0.3264	0.3732	26.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Casey Kotchman	0.3417	0.2797	30.0
2	David Freese	0.3233	0.3721	28.9
3	David Wright	0.3508	0.3910	28.4
4	Eric Hosmer	0.3539	0.3043	28.4
5	Derek Jeter	0.3294	0.3624	25.9

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Edwin Encarnación	0.5572	0.4444 (76.8)	0.4560 (69.3)	0.4573 (62.7)
Mike Trout	0.5635	0.3968 (110.7)	0.4065 (104.3)	0.4139 (93.9)
Carlos Ruiz	0.5403	0.4146 (55.7)	0.3867 (67.3)	0.3832 (65.1)
Austin Jackson	0.4788	0.3906 (58.5)	0.3860 (61.2)	0.3752 (62.3)
Chase Headley	0.4983	0.3908 (79.7)	0.3966 (75.5)	0.3919 (72.6)
Alex Rios	0.5157	0.3984 (79.3)	0.4180 (66.5)	0.4043 (69.7)
Ian Desmond	0.5107	0.3816 (74.2)	0.3859 (71.7)	0.3784 (71.0)
Brandon Moss	0.5962	0.3602 (71.8)	0.4083 (57.5)	0.3750 (64.7)
Yadier Molina	0.5010	0.4061 (57.1)	0.3902 (65.9)	0.3967 (57.3)
Andrew McCutchen	0.5531	0.4492 (74.3)	0.4515 (72.6)	0.4547 (64.5)
Aaron Hill	0.5222	0.4101 (79.2)	0.4150 (75.8)	0.4242 (63.7)
Carlos Pena	0.3541	0.4565 (57.5)	0.4504 (54.0)	0.4467 (57.1)
Buster Posey	0.5491	0.4437 (68.2)	0.4603 (58.0)	0.4401 (64.9)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Ludwick	0.4013	0.5308	64.2
2	Michael Saunders	0.3333	0.4320	58.2
3	Giancarlo Stanton	0.5000	0.6080	57.4
4	Chris Davis	0.4060	0.5010	57.0
5	Tyler Colvin	0.4161	0.5310	54.9
6	Michael Young	0.4600	0.3699	54.4
7	Jemile Weeks	0.4158	0.3041	53.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam LaRoche	0.4129	0.5096	66.7
2	Justin Upton	0.5383	0.4296	64.3
3	A.J. Pierzynski	0.3918	0.5010	60.1
4	Eric Hosmer	0.4594	0.3589	56.3
5	Melky Cabrera	0.4210	0.5163	50.9
6	Justin Ruggiano	0.3826	0.5347	50.7
7	Adrián González	0.5429	0.4626	50.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Hosmer	0.4736	0.3589	70.2
2	Adam LaRoche	0.4148	0.5096	59.7
3	Dustin Ackley	0.4098	0.3278	56.5
4	A.J. Pierzynski	0.3939	0.5010	54.3
5	Brett Lawrie	0.4983	0.4049	51.5
6	Michael Saunders	0.3394	0.4320	49.7
7	Eric Chavez	0.3361	0.4964	49.4

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Pelfrey	85	774 (689.0)	714 (629.0)	789 (704.1)
Chris Carpenter	72	820 (748.0)	714 (642.4)	853 (781.0)
Chris Narveson	41	642 (601.0)	551 (510.1)	624 (583.1)
Tim Stauffer	24	629 (605.0)	684 (660.0)	616 (591.9)
Daniel Hudson	202	761 (559.0)	748 (546.4)	814 (612.0)
John Lannan	144	731 (587.0)	643 (499.5)	788 (644.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Wei-Yin Chen	1	818	817.0
2	Yu Darvish	1	816	815.0
3	Roberto Hernandez	756	62	694.0
4	Lucas Harrell	207	827	620.0
5	Matt Moore	183	759	576.0
6	Jose Quintana	1	568	567.0
7	Felix Doubront	161	709	548.0
8	Lance Lynn	198	744	546.0
9	Brad Penny	669	133	536.0
10	Carl Pavano	801	268	533.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Harrell	172	827	655.0
2	Jose Quintana	1	568	567.0
3	John Danks	788	238	549.8
4	Scott Diamond	180	714	533.9
5	Carl Pavano	800	268	532.3
6	Wade Miley	286	807	520.6
7	Cory Luebke	643	130	512.9
8	Jair Jurrjens	705	227	477.5
9	Jeff Samardzija	247	723	475.8
10	Dustin Moseley	490	22	467.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Roberto Hernandez	784	62	721.9
2	Brad Hand	681	23	658.1
3	Barry Enright	673	20	652.9
4	Julio Teheran	668	24	644.0
5	Brandon Dickson	675	32	643.0
6	John Ely	650	19	631.0
7	Thad Weber	654	24	630.1
8	Todd Redmond	648	22	625.9
9	D.J. Mitchell	649	24	624.9
10	Eric Hacker	636	45	591.1

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Randy Wolf	0.3735	0.3176 (37.7)	0.3198 (27.6)	0.2941 (40.7)
Jon Lester	0.3332	0.3003 (27.2)	0.2871 (28.0)	0.2763 (31.3)
Jonathan Sánchez	0.4175	0.3071 (35.5)	0.3137 (29.3)	0.3027 (30.6)
Fernando Rodney	0.1901	0.3215 (37.6)	0.2966 (34.1)	0.2970 (36.1)
Kyle Lohse	0.2761	0.3200 (39.6)	0.3073 (39.3)	0.2910 (31.2)
Tim Lincecum	0.3309	0.2894 (32.6)	0.2762 (33.4)	0.2568 (43.6)
Kris Medlen	0.2340	0.3132 (42.2)	0.2786 (30.6)	0.2815 (35.7)
Tommy Hanson	0.3473	0.2973 (36.5)	0.2873 (34.8)	0.2644 (46.9)
Iván Nova	0.3671	0.3124 (39.5)	0.3044 (36.3)	0.2996 (34.6)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.3566	0.3032 (41.4)	0.2945 (38.5)	0.2726 (50.5)
Ricky Romero	0.3586	0.3054 (42.5)	0.2994 (37.3)	0.2826 (45.4)
Gio González	0.2597	0.3019 (36.2)	0.2872 (34.3)	0.2779 (32.4)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	A.J. Burnett	0.3402	0.2939	41.0
2	Wade Miley	0.3345	0.2943	34.0
3	Ian Kennedy	0.2929	0.3302	31.9
4	Jonathon Niese	0.3247	0.2882	30.2
5	Philip Humber	0.2979	0.3634	29.4
6	Henderson Alvarez III	0.3121	0.3501	29.1
7	Dan Haren	0.2917	0.3297	27.0
8	Daniel Bard	0.2749	0.3738	26.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Fiers	0.1839	0.3013	55.6
2	R.A. Dickey	0.3087	0.2778	41.8
3	Nick Blackburn	0.3196	0.4050	32.4
4	Justin Verlander	0.2843	0.2650	32.1
5	Tommy Hunter	0.2969	0.3669	32.0
6	Jered Weaver	0.2931	0.2666	30.1
7	Matt Cain	0.2943	0.2742	30.0
8	Clayton Kershaw	0.2744	0.2580	27.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Wade Miley	0.3187	0.2943	36.8
2	Ian Kennedy	0.2722	0.3302	33.1
3	Nick Blackburn	0.3155	0.4050	31.1
4	Jeremy Guthrie	0.2904	0.3509	31.0
5	Lucas Harrell	0.3165	0.3003	31.0
6	Chris Tillman	0.3457	0.2779	30.9
7	Dan Haren	0.2694	0.3297	29.2
8	Aroldis Chapman	0.2935	0.2091	29.1

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Max Scherzer	0.2935	0.2122 (57.6)	0.2041 (60.1)	0.2131 (49.3)
R.A. Dickey	0.2481	0.1569 (77.0)	0.1392 (88.8)	0.1486 (75.7)
Wade Davis	0.3063	0.1540 (41.0)	0.1506 (40.5)	0.1493 (39.5)
Jon Lester	0.1895	0.2345 (46.6)	0.2297 (46.7)	0.2299 (51.0)
Derek Lowe	0.0859	0.1646 (55.6)	0.1381 (41.8)	0.1404 (46.3)
Wandy Rodriguez	0.1589	0.2068 (49.1)	0.1932 (41.5)	0.1995 (51.2)
Yu Darvish	0.2708	0.1978 (52.9)	0.1920 (53.7)	0.2031 (40.7)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1776	0.2173 (38.5)	0.2185 (43.4)	0.2201 (48.5)
Ricky Romero	0.1496	0.1919 (41.8)	0.1890 (43.5)	0.1877 (46.4)
Henderson Alvarez III	0.0979	0.1721 (66.5)	0.1379 (42.9)	0.1307 (40.8)
Clayton Richard	0.1176	0.1651 (50.7)	0.1546 (45.6)	0.1555 (50.7)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aroldis Chapman	0.2477	0.4420	51.4
2	Craig Kimbrel	0.2964	0.5022	45.6
3	Ricky Nolasco	0.1927	0.1502	42.1
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.1978	0.1008	39.7
5	David Hernandez	0.2051	0.3525	38.7
6	Jason Grilli	0.2057	0.3689	37.8
7	Steve Delabar	0.1901	0.3358	37.7
8	Aaron Cook	0.1314	0.0487	37.4
9	Stephen Strasburg	0.2365	0.3017	37.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Wei-Yin Chen	0.0924	0.1883	67.7
2	Aaron Laffey	0.1978	0.1119	42.5
3	Felix Doubront	0.1630	0.2355	42.1
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.1978	0.1008	41.5
5	Jose Quintana	0.1978	0.1426	38.8
6	Iván Nova	0.1404	0.2045	38.2
7	Chris Resop	0.2333	0.1394	35.3
8	Craig Kimbrel	0.3401	0.5022	34.4
9	Doug Fister	0.1394	0.2036	34.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Greinke	0.2728	0.2304	52.3
2	Ricky Nolasco	0.1951	0.1502	52.1
3	Felix Doubront	0.1465	0.2355	50.5
4	Lance Lynn	0.1638	0.2419	44.9
5	Chris Resop	0.2500	0.1394	42.4
6	Tom Wilhelmsen	0.1250	0.2669	40.5
7	Steve Delabar	0.1707	0.3358	40.3
8	Aroldis Chapman	0.2823	0.4420	39.2
9	Drew Smyly	0.1187	0.2260	37.2

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tim Lincecum	0.1091	0.0879 (18.8)	0.0855 (21.6)	0.0837 (23.2)
Jeff Samardzija	0.0775	0.1129 (24.4)	0.1194 (28.4)	0.1285 (34.9)
Yu Darvish	0.1091	0.0798 (25.2)	0.0749 (30.0)	0.0553 (46.1)
Wade Miley	0.0458	0.0898 (34.1)	0.0974 (39.5)	0.0956 (38.0)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1180	0.0947 (20.1)	0.0950 (20.6)	0.0937 (21.7)
Ricky Romero	0.1267	0.0898 (31.9)	0.0903 (32.4)	0.0867 (35.3)
Scott Diamond	0.0434	0.0873 (30.2)	0.0878 (29.8)	0.0837 (26.9)
Francisco Liriano	0.1255	0.0981 (20.2)	0.1002 (19.4)	0.0997 (19.8)
Clayton Richard	0.0462	0.0899 (38.3)	0.0913 (38.7)	0.0900 (37.5)
Aaron Harang	0.1081	0.0774 (25.5)	0.0739 (29.0)	0.0684 (33.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Samuel Deduno	0.0862	0.1527	23.7
2	Bruce Chen	0.0835	0.0568	20.6
3	Matt Moore	0.0820	0.1067	20.1
4	Kyle Lohse	0.0685	0.0440	19.8
5	Tommy Milone	0.0721	0.0455	19.7
6	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0838	0.0585	19.3
7	Daniel Bard	0.0874	0.1552	19.2
8	Bartolo Colon	0.0679	0.0362	19.2
9	A.J. Burnett	0.0966	0.0729	18.8
10	Phil Hughes	0.0809	0.0564	18.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Sale	0.1084	0.0661	30.6
2	Samuel Deduno	0.0798	0.1527	26.2
3	Carlos Zambrano	0.0961	0.1269	19.8
4	Edinson Volquez	0.1108	0.1309	18.3
5	Phil Hughes	0.0814	0.0564	18.2
6	Jeremy Hefner	0.0906	0.0441	17.9
7	Johnny Cueto	0.0776	0.0552	17.6
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0825	0.0585	17.5
9	Jake Arrieta	0.1076	0.0706	17.1
10	Craig Stammen	0.0543	0.0973	16.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Sale	0.1123	0.0661	33.6
2	Joe Kelly	0.1352	0.0788	24.5
3	Justin Masterson	0.0728	0.0971	24.5
4	Steve Delabar	0.1742	0.0949	21.0
5	Daniel Bard	0.0836	0.1552	20.6
6	Henderson Alvarez III	0.0455	0.0669	19.4
7	Gavin Floyd	0.0629	0.0870	19.4
8	Aroldis Chapman	0.1556	0.0833	19.2
9	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.0486	0.0829	19.1
10	Fernando Rodney	0.1228	0.0532	18.9

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Will Ohman	0.0536	0.0084 (5.1)	0.0097 (5.0)	0.0114 (4.9)
Daniel Bard	0.0289	0.0070 (6.1)	0.0085 (5.8)	0.0033 (7.4)
Jon Lester	0.0046	0.0108 (5.4)	0.0098 (4.2)	0.0124 (5.8)
Luke Hochevar	0.0163	0.0083 (6.4)	0.0091 (6.1)	0.0086 (7.0)
Clay Buchholz	0.0150	0.0060 (7.3)	0.0072 (6.6)	0.0059 (8.2)
Ricky Nolasco	0.0096	0.0039 (4.8)	0.0049 (4.2)	0.0039 (5.7)
Jeff Francis	0.0159	0.0058 (5.1)	0.0072 (4.6)	0.0065 (5.3)
Gavin Floyd	0.0193	0.0095 (7.1)	0.0090 (7.8)	0.0088 (8.5)
James Shields	0.0117	0.0048 (6.6)	0.0055 (6.2)	0.0044 (7.9)
Trevor Cahill	0.0131	0.0075 (4.8)	0.0079 (4.7)	0.0080 (5.2)
Henderson Alvarez III	0.0037	0.0100 (5.0)	0.0114 (5.9)	0.0147 (7.9)
Lucas Harrell	0.0012	0.0097 (6.9)	0.0101 (7.0)	0.0113 (7.4)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kris Medlen	0.0099	0.0000	5.1
2	Jeff Samardzija	0.0125	0.0055	5.0
3	Ian Kennedy	0.0101	0.0156	5.0
4	Shawn Camp	0.0147	0.0000	4.8
5	Blake Beavan	0.0084	0.0157	4.7
6	Wesley Wright	0.0063	0.0269	4.6
7	Alex Cobb	0.0080	0.0158	4.5
8	Brandon McCarthy	0.0033	0.0128	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Kennedy	0.0101	0.0156	5.3
2	Wade Miley	0.0094	0.0025	5.2
3	Félix Hernández	0.0079	0.0128	4.9
4	Carlos Zambrano	0.0092	0.0169	4.8
5	Cliff Lee	0.0060	0.0000	4.7
6	Héctor Santiago	0.0081	0.0229	4.6
7	Justin Germano	0.0081	0.0219	4.5
8	Tommy Milone	0.0109	0.0051	4.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Wade Miley	0.0121	0.0025	6.9
2	Félix Hernández	0.0071	0.0128	6.4
3	Jarrod Parker	0.0125	0.0040	5.5
4	Tommy Milone	0.0130	0.0051	5.4
5	Jeff Samardzija	0.0140	0.0055	5.3
6	Carlos Zambrano	0.0098	0.0169	4.9
7	Jake Westbrook	0.0053	0.0107	4.9
8	Brandon McCarthy	0.0036	0.0128	4.8

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ervin Santana	0.0695	0.0381 (21.5)	0.0426 (18.7)	0.0397 (19.8)
Derek Holland	0.0604	0.0376 (14.2)	0.0382 (14.4)	0.0363 (14.7)
Philip Humber	0.0699	0.0285 (17.6)	0.0402 (12.6)	0.0389 (12.5)
Iván Nova	0.0529	0.0273 (16.7)	0.0285 (16.4)	0.0326 (12.3)
Kevin Millwood	0.0249	0.0417 (13.9)	0.0389 (11.4)	0.0394 (12.7)
Tommy Hunter	0.0688	0.0413 (13.9)	0.0384 (16.0)	0.0410 (13.7)
Gio González	0.0169	0.0301 (13.6)	0.0305 (13.2)	0.0316 (15.4)
Jason Marquis	0.0542	0.0275 (13.2)	0.0292 (12.7)	0.0268 (13.2)
Aaron Harang	0.0247	0.0390 (13.8)	0.0415 (15.2)	0.0359 (11.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edinson Volquez	0.0452	0.0272	17.1
2	A.J. Burnett	0.0464	0.0300	16.8
3	Wade Miley	0.0367	0.0224	14.2
4	Carlos Villanueva	0.0360	0.0657	13.8
5	Jarrod Parker	0.0347	0.0202	13.4
6	Jason Vargas	0.0328	0.0509	13.1
7	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0256	0.0447	12.7
8	Bronson Arroyo	0.0509	0.0390	12.7
9	Phil Hughes	0.0402	0.0585	12.2
10	Travis Wood	0.0316	0.0534	12.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.0441	0.0291	16.7
2	Johnny Cueto	0.0391	0.0228	16.6
3	Clayton Kershaw	0.0394	0.0265	13.9
4	Felix Doubront	0.0303	0.0515	13.3
5	Jered Weaver	0.0504	0.0365	12.1
6	Nick Blackburn	0.0304	0.0594	12.1
7	Carlos Villanueva	0.0400	0.0657	12.1
8	David Price	0.0388	0.0282	10.9
9	Luke Hochevar	0.0303	0.0464	10.9
10	Steve Delabar	0.0375	0.0795	10.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Quintana	0.0548	0.0317	15.4
2	Jason Vargas	0.0318	0.0509	13.4
3	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0243	0.0447	13.3
4	Bronson Arroyo	0.0507	0.0390	13.0
5	Travis Wood	0.0298	0.0534	12.8
6	Felix Doubront	0.0306	0.0515	12.0
7	Steve Delabar	0.0328	0.0795	11.7
8	Liam Hendriks	0.0226	0.0565	11.4
9	Tommy Hanson	0.0327	0.0515	11.4
10	Eric Stults	0.0447	0.0213	11.3

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ervin Santana	0.2414	0.2857 (35.0)	0.2855 (31.7)	0.2793 (33.3)
Vance Worley	0.3397	0.2845 (31.7)	0.2946 (28.2)	0.2855 (28.7)
Randy Wolf	0.3372	0.2806 (38.6)	0.2919 (33.6)	0.2698 (43.2)
Travis Wood	0.2438	0.2962 (34.9)	0.2951 (31.6)	0.2879 (32.3)
Chris Tillman	0.2213	0.3042 (29.3)	0.2926 (23.8)	0.2993 (29.0)
Brandon Beachy	0.2000	0.3041 (33.7)	0.2831 (25.6)	0.2892 (30.3)
Mike Minor	0.2520	0.3281 (56.4)	0.2867 (23.3)	0.2956 (35.9)
Rick Porcello	0.3443	0.3043 (30.2)	0.3050 (32.9)	0.2942 (34.8)
Iván Nova	0.3313	0.2873 (31.9)	0.2967 (27.9)	0.2850 (30.4)
Jonathon Niese	0.2724	0.3183 (37.3)	0.3067 (24.9)	0.3032 (28.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Madison Bumgarner	0.3131	0.2763	32.4
2	Derek Holland	0.3025	0.2610	31.3
3	Ian Kennedy	0.2699	0.3057	30.9
4	Ricky Romero	0.2744	0.3111	29.3
5	Brandon Morrow	0.3066	0.2522	28.1
6	Kyle Lohse	0.2932	0.2621	28.1
7	Guillermo Moscoso	0.2556	0.3782	28.0
8	Jason Vargas	0.2834	0.2542	27.2
9	Edwin Jackson	0.3108	0.2783	26.8
10	Aaron Harang	0.3098	0.2772	26.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Fiers	0.1457	0.3192	95.0
2	Max Scherzer	0.2954	0.3333	31.9
3	Kyle Lohse	0.2974	0.2621	28.2
4	R.A. Dickey	0.3072	0.2754	27.0
5	Mark Buehrle	0.3054	0.2701	27.0
6	Jered Weaver	0.2787	0.2405	26.3
7	Jeff Francis	0.2930	0.3412	25.5
8	Tommy Hanson	0.2838	0.3139	24.9
9	Gio González	0.2986	0.2667	24.0
10	Grant Balfour	0.2866	0.2011	24.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ricky Romero	0.2664	0.3111	32.4
2	Ross Detwiler	0.3035	0.2633	31.5
3	Scott Diamond	0.3302	0.2920	31.3
4	Jason Vargas	0.2803	0.2542	28.2
5	Max Scherzer	0.2922	0.3333	27.9
6	Ian Kennedy	0.2711	0.3057	26.1
7	Tommy Hanson	0.2743	0.3139	25.8
8	Brandon Morrow	0.2969	0.2522	25.4
9	Jered Weaver	0.2689	0.2405	25.1
10	Jake Peavy	0.2948	0.2724	24.8

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ervin Santana	0.1724	0.2134 (32.1)	0.2855 (35.6)	0.2793 (32.1)
Travis Wood	0.1490	0.2174 (45.0)	0.2951 (51.7)	0.2879 (48.1)
Brandon Morrow	0.1701	0.2197 (25.5)	0.2963 (30.1)	0.2969 (31.3)
Edwin Jackson	0.1855	0.2340 (39.1)	0.2976 (36.0)	0.2877 (29.5)
James McDonald	0.1838	0.2270 (31.5)	0.2936 (30.9)	0.2942 (32.5)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.2344	0.1855	36.3
2	Gio González	0.2330	0.1943	32.7
3	Madison Bumgarner	0.2391	0.2021	32.3
4	David Price	0.2040	0.2432	31.9
5	Aaron Harang	0.2329	0.1938	31.5
6	Derek Holland	0.2284	0.1928	26.7
7	Chris Tillman	0.2233	0.1475	26.6
8	Ross Detwiler	0.2279	0.1906	26.3
9	Guillermo Moscoso	0.1882	0.3013	25.9
10	Tommy Milone	0.2183	0.2508	24.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Fiers	0.1457	0.2345	83.7
2	Will Smith	0.2203	0.2646	43.9
3	Jose Quintana	0.2203	0.2266	41.4
4	Justin Germano	0.2203	0.2747	38.7
5	Joe Kelly	0.2203	0.2372	38.2
6	Christian Friedrich	0.2203	0.2529	37.4
7	Patrick Corbin	0.2203	0.2308	35.0
8	Kelvin Herrera	0.2203	0.2542	34.6
9	Gio González	0.2986	0.1943	31.0
10	Kyle Lohse	0.2974	0.1955	30.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Félix Hernández	0.2790	0.2539	37.4
2	Scott Diamond	0.3302	0.2150	35.9
3	Ross Detwiler	0.3035	0.1906	33.0
4	Mike Minor	0.2956	0.1855	33.0
5	David Price	0.2715	0.2432	30.6
6	Chris Tillman	0.2993	0.1475	30.2
7	Jonny Venters	0.2708	0.3182	29.4
8	Wade Miley	0.3043	0.2033	29.2
9	A.J. Griffin	0.2203	0.2397	28.3
10	Randy Wolf	0.2698	0.2437	27.0

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Rick Porcello	0.0869	0.0534 (26.0)	0.0000 (23.1)	0.0000 (18.4)
Tommy Hanson	0.0905	0.0655 (18.8)	0.0000 (25.2)	0.0000 (20.7)
Iván Nova	0.1038	0.0670 (27.4)	0.0000 (34.7)	0.0000 (30.2)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	A.J. Burnett	0.0771	0.0515	22.0
2	Chris Capuano	0.0841	0.0575	22.0
3	David Price	0.0662	0.0417	20.7
4	Mike Minor	0.0875	0.0605	19.9
5	Ricky Nolasco	0.0730	0.0505	19.0
6	Zack Greinke	0.0745	0.0539	18.1
7	Jonathon Niese	0.0739	0.0520	17.5
8	Ernesto Frieri	0.0798	0.0160	17.2
9	Kyle Lohse	0.0816	0.0621	17.0
10	Jon Lester	0.0609	0.0799	16.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	A.J. Griffin	0.0652	0.0248	32.9
2	Jose Quintana	0.0652	0.0654	32.5
3	David Phelps	0.0652	0.0462	31.7
4	Eric Stults	0.0652	0.0466	31.4
5	Aaron Laffey	0.0652	0.0559	28.6
6	Joe Kelly	0.0652	0.0601	28.6
7	Héctor Santiago	0.0652	0.0294	28.5
8	Samuel Deduno	0.0652	0.0405	28.5
9	Travis Blackley	0.0652	0.0610	27.4
10	Kelvin Herrera	0.0652	0.0458	26.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	A.J. Griffin	0.0652	0.0248	34.9
2	Travis Blackley	0.0652	0.0610	30.0
3	Miguel González	0.0652	0.0625	28.7
4	J.A. Happ	0.0000	0.0961	20.5
5	David Price	0.0000	0.0417	18.1
6	Ricky Romero	0.0000	0.0844	17.4
7	Kip Wells	0.0652	0.0325	16.2
8	Ian Kennedy	0.0000	0.0813	16.1
9	Travis Wood	0.0000	0.0880	16.0
10	Félix Hernández	0.0000	0.0473	15.1

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Homer Bailey	0.0145	0.0072 (6.2)	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0000 (6.5)
Jonathan Sánchez	0.0329	0.0059 (8.8)	0.0000 (8.6)	0.0000 (8.4)
David Price	0.0000	0.0074 (6.3)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (6.0)
Shawn Camp	0.0245	0.0101 (4.7)	0.0000 (5.9)	0.0000 (5.7)
Iván Nova	0.0140	0.0043 (7.1)	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0000 (5.1)
Alex White	0.0184	0.0075 (4.9)	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.2)
Wade Miley	0.0148	0.0042 (8.4)	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0000 (6.2)
Collin McHugh	0.0746	0.0073 (6.6)	0.0073 (6.0)	0.0000 (6.7)
Lance Lynn	0.0148	0.0075 (5.3)	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0000 (5.7)
Chad Billingsley	0.0202	0.0078 (7.8)	0.0000 (8.7)	0.0000 (8.3)
Ian Kennedy	0.0146	0.0055 (8.0)	0.0000 (7.4)	0.0000 (6.8)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bruce Chen	0.0023	0.0100	6.3
2	Jeremy Guthrie	0.0087	0.0017	5.7
3	Mike Fiers	0.0128	0.0028	5.5
4	Jerome Williams	0.0049	0.0144	5.3
5	Madison Bumgarner	0.0057	0.0121	5.3
6	Jeremy Hellickson	0.0086	0.0019	5.1
7	Jonathon Niese	0.0062	0.0000	5.0
8	Tim Hudson	0.0036	0.0104	5.0
9	Chris Perez	0.0057	0.0252	4.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Jackson	0.0000	0.0148	6.6
2	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0142	6.4
3	Adam Wainwright	0.0000	0.0139	6.2
4	Josh Tomlin	0.0000	0.0200	6.1
5	Bronson Arroyo	0.0000	0.0000	5.4
6	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0000	0.0131	5.4
7	Ricky Romero	0.0000	0.0000	5.4
8	Dallas Keuchel	0.0073	0.0000	5.2
9	Cole De Vries	0.0073	0.0000	5.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Jackson	0.0000	0.0148	6.1
2	Bronson Arroyo	0.0000	0.0000	5.9
3	Ricky Romero	0.0000	0.0000	5.9
4	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0142	5.9
5	Josh Tomlin	0.0000	0.0200	5.8
6	Adam Wainwright	0.0000	0.0139	5.7
7	Jonathon Niese	0.0000	0.0000	5.6
8	A.J. Griffin	0.0073	0.0000	4.9
9	Miguel González	0.0073	0.0033	4.8

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Randy Wolf	0.1474	0.1076 (26.1)	0.1141 (23.2)	0.1104 (24.8)
Fernando Rodney	0.0319	0.1159 (24.4)	0.1141 (23.2)	0.1140 (23.6)
Kyle Lohse	0.0856	0.1224 (33.9)	0.1141 (24.6)	0.1185 (29.7)
Kris Medlen	0.0500	0.1139 (34.5)	0.1141 (33.3)	0.1040 (28.8)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1441	0.1107 (25.0)	0.1141 (24.2)	0.0960 (37.5)
Ricky Romero	0.1472	0.1046 (33.3)	0.1141 (27.4)	0.1021 (36.1)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tim Lincecum	0.0905	0.1345	34.4
2	Jon Lester	0.0997	0.1336	27.5
3	A.J. Burnett	0.1302	0.1011	26.8
4	Ervin Santana	0.1086	0.1427	24.2
5	Roy Halladay	0.0813	0.1207	24.0
6	Clay Buchholz	0.0974	0.1297	24.0
7	Jonathan Sánchez	0.1089	0.1835	23.6
8	David Price	0.1011	0.0754	23.5
9	Philip Humber	0.1095	0.1602	22.3
10	Jonathon Niese	0.1227	0.0977	21.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luke Hochevar	0.1141	0.1588	35.7
2	Clayton Kershaw	0.1141	0.0777	32.8
3	David Price	0.1141	0.0754	32.4
4	Nick Blackburn	0.1141	0.1776	29.0
5	Johnny Cueto	0.1141	0.0822	28.3
6	Justin Verlander	0.1141	0.0847	28.1
7	R.A. Dickey	0.1141	0.0841	27.8
8	Matt Cain	0.1141	0.0833	27.0
9	Jake Arrieta	0.1141	0.1653	25.4
10	Jordan Lyles	0.1141	0.1545	25.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tim Lincecum	0.0826	0.1345	41.6
2	Jon Lester	0.0952	0.1336	32.3
3	Justin Masterson	0.1008	0.1347	29.3
4	Nate Jones	0.1490	0.0631	26.3
5	Jose Quintana	0.1535	0.1092	26.0
6	Scott Diamond	0.1405	0.1064	25.4
7	Tommy Hanson	0.0900	0.1248	25.3
8	Luke Hochevar	0.1259	0.1588	25.1
9	Bronson Arroyo	0.1313	0.1030	24.9
10	Wade Miley	0.1259	0.0979	23.9

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jon Lester	0.1256	0.0930 (26.5)	0.0928 (27.6)	0.0890 (32.2)
Jonathan Sánchez	0.1774	0.0980 (25.2)	0.1057 (23.0)	0.1065 (23.2)
Tim Lincecum	0.1297	0.0829 (36.7)	0.0867 (34.4)	0.0770 (43.6)
Kyle Lohse	0.0775	0.1093 (29.5)	0.1152 (33.7)	0.1111 (28.8)
Fernando Rodney	0.0177	0.1063 (25.6)	0.0994 (23.4)	0.1053 (24.6)
Kris Medlen	0.0462	0.1040 (31.3)	0.0928 (24.9)	0.0983 (27.0)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1317	0.1013 (22.6)	0.0985 (25.6)	0.0902 (33.6)
Ricky Romero	0.1399	0.0935 (36.6)	0.1020 (30.4)	0.0955 (37.0)
Nick Blackburn	0.1776	0.1152 (27.4)	0.1246 (23.6)	0.1227 (25.1)
Roy Halladay	0.1207	0.0750 (28.1)	0.0874 (20.7)	0.0768 (28.5)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Randy Wolf	0.0999	0.1416	27.6
2	A.J. Burnett	0.1221	0.0928	26.9
3	Philip Humber	0.1025	0.1580	24.6
4	Clay Buchholz	0.0875	0.1197	24.0
5	Ervin Santana	0.1001	0.1335	23.7
6	Jake Peavy	0.1162	0.0930	22.5
7	Craig Stammen	0.1179	0.0622	21.5
8	Justin Masterson	0.0999	0.1247	20.4
9	Josh Tomlin	0.1147	0.1615	20.1
10	Bruce Chen	0.1047	0.1306	19.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	R.A. Dickey	0.1153	0.0766	37.1
2	Johnny Cueto	0.1077	0.0755	29.8
3	Luke Hochevar	0.1118	0.1475	27.5
4	Wei-Yin Chen	0.1339	0.1051	24.6
5	Mike Fiers	0.0526	0.0983	23.9
6	Jeremy Hellickson	0.1132	0.0823	23.9
7	Matt Harrison	0.1121	0.0890	21.3
8	Matt Cain	0.1003	0.0776	21.0
9	Tommy Hunter	0.1034	0.1414	21.0
10	Ervin Santana	0.1048	0.1335	20.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Masterson	0.0941	0.1247	28.0
2	Randy Wolf	0.1027	0.1416	27.4
3	Scott Diamond	0.1316	0.0952	25.8
4	Jose Quintana	0.1439	0.1004	24.6
5	Luke Hochevar	0.1173	0.1475	24.3
6	Josh Johnson	0.0714	0.1015	24.2
7	Wade Miley	0.1184	0.0892	23.4
8	Tommy Hanson	0.0845	0.1143	22.8
9	Chris Tillman	0.1467	0.0807	22.8
10	Nate Jones	0.1389	0.0631	22.8

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
R.A. Dickey	0.5882	0.2000 (310.3)	0.3062 (262.4)	0.3929 (196.7)
Johnny Cueto	0.5758	0.2857 (210.1)	0.3617 (191.0)	0.3448 (220.0)
David Price	0.6452	0.3250 (222.9)	0.4492 (164.6)	0.4688 (161.5)
Chris Sale	0.5667	0.0732 (339.7)	0.3489 (168.9)	0.3846 (153.5)
A.J. Burnett	0.5161	0.2632 (169.8)	0.3590 (134.6)	0.3214 (180.0)
Gio González	0.6563	0.3250 (228.3)	0.3676 (238.1)	0.4242 (204.5)
Lance Lynn	0.5143	0.0909 (275.2)	0.1161 (297.0)	0.2414 (215.5)
Barry Zito	0.4688	0.1923 (178.1)	0.2821 (150.0)	0.3043 (144.8)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Harrison	0.2381	0.5625	237.3
2	Wade Miley	0.1786	0.5000	216.2
3	Jarrod Parker	0.1111	0.4483	213.0
4	Yu Darvish	0.2497	0.5517	202.8
5	Stephen Strasburg	0.1852	0.5357	194.0
6	Jered Weaver	0.3590	0.6667	187.9
7	Cole Hamels	0.2821	0.5484	184.5
8	Scott Diamond	0.1379	0.4444	180.7
9	Tommy Milone	0.1429	0.4194	176.4
10	Phil Hughes	0.2500	0.5000	160.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Phil Hughes	0.2007	0.5000	244.7
2	Lucas Harrell	0.0566	0.3438	238.3
3	Cliff Lee	0.4669	0.2000	225.2
4	Jeff Samardzija	0.0491	0.3214	197.7
5	Jered Weaver	0.4212	0.6667	182.1
6	Felix Doubront	0.1444	0.3793	167.3
7	Kevin Correia	0.1490	0.3750	165.3
8	Tim Hudson	0.3632	0.5714	156.7
9	Matt Harrison	0.3923	0.5625	150.0
10	Kyle Kendrick	0.0871	0.2973	142.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cliff Lee	0.5517	0.2000	283.7
2	Jon Lester	0.5333	0.2727	213.6
3	Wade Miley	0.2593	0.5000	207.8
4	Jeff Samardzija	0.0704	0.3214	193.6
5	Kyle Lohse	0.3182	0.4848	158.5
6	Ricky Romero	0.4839	0.2813	154.1
7	Tim Lincecum	0.5000	0.3030	148.7
8	Randy Wolf	0.3929	0.1667	146.4
9	James McDonald	0.2121	0.4000	145.9
10	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.4839	0.2903	142.3

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mat Latos	0.1212	0.3000 (207.5)	0.3021 (152.8)	0.2813 (137.9)
Erik Bedard	0.5833	0.2059 (175.1)	0.3317 (141.7)	0.2667 (176.0)
Jeff Samardzija	0.4643	0.0889 (225.9)	0.0476 (303.3)	0.0704 (284.3)
Kyle Lohse	0.0909	0.2368 (180.5)	0.3815 (248.7)	0.3636 (236.2)
Josh Beckett	0.5000	0.1944 (177.1)	0.2833 (160.2)	0.2400 (189.3)
Justin Germano	0.7143	0.1111 (172.9)	0.2441 (151.4)	0.0968 (197.4)
Mike Fiers	0.4348	0.0833 (155.5)	0.1790 (139.3)	0.1852 (134.2)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.5484	0.2703 (173.2)	0.3266 (180.8)	0.2903 (207.2)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nathan Eovaldi	0.1538	0.5909	196.7
2	Henderson Alvarez III	0.1613	0.4516	183.4
3	Josh Johnson	0.1600	0.4516	182.4
4	Travis Wood	0.1765	0.5000	169.1
5	Hector Noesí	0.1111	0.5455	168.2
6	Joe Blanton	0.1667	0.4194	152.9
7	Luke Hochevar	0.2632	0.5000	139.1
8	Matt Moore	0.1111	0.3548	137.2
9	Tyson Ross	0.1600	0.6111	132.7
10	Justin Masterson	0.2326	0.4412	131.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Harrell	0.0474	0.3438	247.3
2	R.A. Dickey	0.3990	0.1765	203.7
3	Phil Hughes	0.1700	0.4063	194.8
4	Matt Cain	0.3569	0.1563	173.3
5	Scott Feldman	0.0949	0.3793	153.9
6	Kyle Kendrick	0.0993	0.3243	153.5
7	Felix Doubront	0.1363	0.3448	149.8
8	Tyson Ross	0.2051	0.6111	139.8
9	Jon Lester	0.2684	0.4242	139.0
10	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.4288	0.1667	134.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Johnson	0.1500	0.4516	240.2
2	Hisashi Iwakuma	0.5000	0.1667	173.3
3	Nathan Eovaldi	0.2692	0.5909	168.9
4	Justin Masterson	0.2727	0.4412	152.0
5	Hector Noesí	0.2258	0.5455	144.5
6	Tim Lincecum	0.2813	0.4545	142.4
7	Jon Lester	0.2667	0.4242	137.5
8	Travis Wood	0.2903	0.5000	135.7
9	Brad Lincoln	0.4074	0.0385	133.8
10	Bud Norris	0.2667	0.4483	132.6

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tyler Clippard	0.4324	0.0185 (133.2)	0.0242 (125.0)	0.0000 (124.4)
Jim Johnson	0.7183	0.1042 (170.6)	0.4492 (72.2)	0.0000 (185.9)
Fernando Rodney	0.6316	0.1944 (128.9)	0.0000 (177.8)	0.0000 (170.5)
Tom Wilhelmsen	0.3973	0.0476 (120.5)	0.0172 (123.6)	0.0000 (120.7)
Alfredo Aceves	0.3623	0.0488 (120.4)	0.0158 (124.8)	0.0000 (121.0)
Aroldis Chapman	0.5588	0.0278 (152.1)	0.0222 (147.8)	0.0000 (146.8)
Rafael Soriano	0.6087	0.2895 (94.7)	0.0392 (158.6)	0.0000 (162.3)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Motte	0.0755	0.6269	159.5
2	Rafael Betancourt	0.0600	0.5167	112.5
3	Addison Reed	0.0714	0.4677	99.1
4	Ernesto Frieri	0.0244	0.3433	91.2
5	Grant Balfour	0.0435	0.3200	85.7
6	Casey Janssen	0.0250	0.3548	84.7
7	Joel Hanrahan	0.2692	0.5714	81.9
8	Kenley Jansen	0.0811	0.3846	81.6
9	Chris Perez	0.3333	0.6393	78.9
10	Chris Sale	0.1220	0.0000	78.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Heath Bell	0.6875	0.2603	122.5
2	Jordan Walden	0.7188	0.0222	120.0
3	Brandon League	0.5982	0.2027	119.3
4	Carlos Marmol	0.6961	0.3279	91.2
5	Ernesto Frieri	0.0192	0.3433	86.9
6	Brett Myers	0.5865	0.2714	86.0
7	Casey Janssen	0.0000	0.3548	85.6
8	Kyle Farnsworth	0.6600	0.0000	79.3
9	Santiago Casilla	0.0500	0.3425	79.3
10	Matt Thornton	0.3365	0.0405	79.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jason Motte	0.0000	0.6269	167.3
2	Chris Perez	0.0000	0.6393	148.2
3	Craig Kimbrel	0.0000	0.6667	147.7
4	Jonathan Papelbon	0.0000	0.5429	146.5
5	Joel Hanrahan	0.0000	0.5714	138.3
6	Joe Nathan	0.0000	0.5606	137.1
7	Jose Valverde	0.0000	0.4930	137.0
8	John Axford	0.0000	0.4667	136.3
9	J.J. Putz	0.0000	0.5614	116.5
10	Rafael Betancourt	0.0000	0.5167	115.5

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mitchell Boggs	0.4359	0.0750 (117.0)	0.1400 (88.8)	0.0000 (113.9)
Vicente Padilla	0.4107	0.1500 (64.4)	0.0385 (82.1)	0.0000 (78.4)
Jason Grilli	0.5000	0.2000 (81.6)	0.2034 (73.4)	0.0000 (109.6)
Edward Mujica	0.4286	0.1667 (76.5)	0.2143 (56.4)	0.0000 (97.4)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Sale	0.1951	0.0000	124.0
2	Francisco Rodríguez	0.1176	0.4103	99.8
3	Daniel Bard	0.3585	0.0000	89.7
4	Vinnie Pestano	0.2500	0.5143	85.5
5	Joel Peralta	0.2222	0.4868	79.0
6	Sean Doolittle	0.0524	0.4091	74.7
7	Kris Medlen	0.0526	0.1600	73.8
8	Phil Hughes	0.1250	0.0000	73.7
9	Dale Thayer	0.0667	0.3438	73.2
10	Jeff Samardzija	0.1333	0.0000	71.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lance Lynn	0.1875	0.0286	115.1
2	Jeff Samardzija	0.1579	0.0000	111.1
3	Lucas Harrell	0.1316	0.0000	105.4
4	Ronald Belisario	0.0000	0.3382	97.9
5	Rafael Soriano	0.3922	0.0580	92.1
6	Anthony Bass	0.2500	0.0417	83.9
7	Alex Cobb	0.1364	0.0000	75.2
8	Ryan Cook	0.0524	0.2958	71.3
9	Brad Lincoln	0.0000	0.1923	71.1
10	Dale Thayer	0.0524	0.3438	69.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vinnie Pestano	0.0000	0.5143	132.5
2	Joel Peralta	0.0000	0.4868	115.1
3	Francisco Rodríguez	0.0000	0.4103	109.6
4	Joaquín Benoit	0.0000	0.4110	103.7
5	David Robertson	0.0000	0.4615	101.8
6	Matt Belisle	0.0000	0.3250	95.4
7	Sean Burnett	0.0000	0.4429	93.7
8	Mike Adams	0.0000	0.4426	89.3
9	Eric O'Flaherty	0.0000	0.4375	88.9
10	Pedro Strop	0.0000	0.3429	82.6

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jon Lester	4.8214	3.4947 (1044.9)	3.5787 (1076.5)	3.4597 (1292.3)
Jonathan Sánchez	8.0722	3.7821 (1359.1)	4.2824 (1234.7)	4.3580 (1251.6)
Tim Lincecum	5.1774	3.1116 (1593.8)	3.3052 (1533.1)	2.9196 (1956.3)
Kyle Lohse	2.8578	4.2004 (1275.7)	4.5301 (1456.9)	4.3654 (1204.5)
Fernando Rodney	0.6027	4.2217 (1058.3)	3.9281 (941.7)	4.3200 (1016.3)
Kris Medlen	1.5652	3.9212 (1294.7)	3.5454 (1037.0)	3.8275 (1117.3)
Ubaldo Jiménez	5.4000	3.8557 (1135.4)	3.8349 (1248.7)	3.5231 (1602.2)
Ricky Romero	5.7680	3.5131 (1758.3)	3.9993 (1454.7)	3.7233 (1789.1)
Nick Blackburn	7.3885	4.5302 (1242.3)	4.9644 (1099.0)	4.9592 (1159.5)

Individual Misses for ERA

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	A.J. Burnett	4.8120	3.5140	1218.5
2	Randy Wolf	3.8194	5.6512	1186.8
3	Philip Humber	3.8897	6.4412	1116.9
4	Roy Halladay	2.7231	4.4904	1055.1
5	Jake Peavy	4.3990	3.3699	1025.8
6	Ervin Santana	3.8151	5.1573	923.1
7	Josh Tomlin	4.2346	6.3581	899.3
8	Clay Buchholz	3.3166	4.5634	892.5
9	David Price	3.4615	2.5592	866.3
10	Joe Paterson	3.7850	37.1250	863.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	R.A. Dickey	4.5731	2.7347	1717.2
2	Johnny Cueto	4.2321	2.7788	1302.9
3	Wei-Yin Chen	5.4119	4.0173	1152.2
4	Luke Hochevar	4.4006	5.7302	1052.6
5	Jeremy Hellickson	4.4676	3.1017	1022.4
6	Scott Diamond	4.9384	3.5376	1010.1
7	Matt Cain	3.8860	2.7903	972.1
8	Matt Harrison	4.3841	3.2906	970.1
9	Bronson Arroyo	4.8385	3.7426	926.7
10	Chris Volstad	4.4695	6.3054	923.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Diamond	5.6450	3.5376	1423.7
2	Jose Quintana	6.1364	3.7628	1283.7
3	Wade Miley	4.9437	3.3288	1211.6
4	Justin Masterson	3.7059	4.9289	1210.9
5	Randy Wolf	4.0449	5.6512	1202.1
6	Roy Halladay	2.8326	4.4904	1144.2
7	Nate Jones	6.1644	2.3860	1103.1
8	Chris Tillman	6.2000	2.9302	1095.2
9	Tommy Hanson	3.2049	4.4828	1058.9
10	Josh Johnson	2.6573	3.8101	1010.5

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jonathan Sánchez	2.0876	1.3385 (243.4)	1.5209 (200.4)	1.4967 (207.8)
Tim Lincecum	1.4677	1.2258 (195.6)	1.2609 (208.7)	1.1848 (270.2)
Kyle Lohse	1.0900	1.3317 (212.9)	1.3939 (222.7)	1.3420 (179.2)
Fernando Rodney	0.7768	1.4712 (197.2)	1.4429 (174.8)	1.5000 (191.4)
Kris Medlen	0.9130	1.2863 (196.6)	1.2600 (156.4)	1.2880 (171.8)
Tommy Hanson	1.4542	1.2170 (176.8)	1.2737 (172.4)	1.1675 (252.0)
Wade Miley	1.1815	1.4416 (213.8)	1.4975 (217.8)	1.5845 (289.3)
Ubaldo Jiménez	1.6132	1.2909 (255.6)	1.3606 (240.5)	1.2964 (290.9)
Ricky Romero	1.6740	1.2583 (340.6)	1.4049 (261.4)	1.2791 (364.3)
Scott Diamond	1.2428	1.4586 (157.5)	1.5577 (191.9)	1.7177 (307.4)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	1.4326	1.1543	206.1
2	R.A. Dickey	1.2544	1.0528	191.4
3	Jonathon Niese	1.4042	1.1716	187.1
4	Gio González	1.3465	1.1288	182.9
5	Randy Wolf	1.3112	1.5729	179.6
6	A.J. Burnett	1.4336	1.2405	168.4
7	Daniel Bard	1.1318	1.7360	166.0
8	Tyson Ross	1.3448	1.8136	158.7
9	Jake Peavy	1.2660	1.0959	154.3
10	Clayton Richard	1.3983	1.2348	153.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	R.A. Dickey	1.4382	1.0528	314.5
2	Mike Fiers	1.7706	1.2611	249.8
3	Matt Cain	1.3059	1.0395	192.9
4	Wei-Yin Chen	1.5275	1.2612	180.1
5	Chris Tillman	1.5765	1.0465	167.9
6	Jeff Samardzija	1.4950	1.2195	165.9
7	Gio González	1.3654	1.1288	156.6
8	Jake Peavy	1.3160	1.0959	153.5
9	Paul Maholm	1.4611	1.2222	151.5
10	Mark Buehrle	1.3977	1.1713	149.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Randy Wolf	1.3258	1.5729	203.8
2	Steve Delabar	1.8621	1.0909	199.1
3	Chris Tillman	1.6444	1.0465	192.0
4	Lucas Harrell	1.6212	1.3580	180.9
5	Aroldis Chapman	1.4863	0.8093	174.6
6	Joe Kelly	1.8067	1.3832	173.2
7	Josh Johnson	1.1111	1.2805	170.7
8	Jeremy Guthrie	1.2472	1.4092	162.7
9	Jeff Samardzija	1.4867	1.2195	161.0
10	Justin Masterson	1.3235	1.4540	158.5