2012 Projection Evaluation

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Biggest Plate Appearances (PA) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 1 597 596.0
2 Norichika Aoki 1 588 587.0
3 Yoenis Cespedes 1 540 539.0
4 Brett Gardner 551 37 514.0
5 Kosuke Fukudome 535 51 484.0
6 Alex Gonzalez 550 89 461.0
7 Jason Bartlett 555 98 457.0
8 Aubrey Huff 545 95 450.0
9 Lance Berkman 530 97 433.0
10 Hideki Matsui 533 103 430.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brett Gardner 621 37 583.6
2 Lance Berkman 582 97 484.6
3 Jason Bartlett 561 98 462.9
4 Alex Gonzalez 548 89 458.5
5 Carl Crawford 578 125 453.2
6 Mat Gamel 522 75 447.4
7 Danny Valencia 598 161 437.1
8 Hideki Matsui 537 103 434.4
9 Aubrey Huff 520 95 425.4
10 Troy Tulowitzki 626 203 422.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Alejandro Rodriguez 681 16 665.0
2 Juan Diaz 643 17 626.0
3 Lars Anderson 632 8 624.0
4 Charlie Culberson 646 23 623.0
5 Blake Tekotte 637 15 622.0
6 L.J. Hoes 623 1 622.0
7 Che-Hsuan Lin 628 12 616.0
8 Brandon Allen 629 22 607.0
9 Carlos Triunfel 628 24 604.0
10 Conor Gillaspie 616 20 596.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.3079 0.4107 66.9
2 Aaron Hill 0.3103 0.3781 46.7
3 Edwin Encarnación 0.3325 0.4015 45.7
4 Buster Posey 0.3435 0.4096 41.5
5 Chase Headley 0.3242 0.3785 39.3
6 Andrew McCutchen 0.3522 0.4084 39.2
7 Alex Rios 0.3042 0.3629 38.9
8 Ian Desmond 0.2962 0.3629 37.6
9 Austin Jackson 0.3122 0.3703 37.1
10 Michael Young 0.3536 0.2987 34.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.3215 0.4107 61.0
2 Aaron Hill 0.3171 0.3781 45.0
3 Edwin Encarnación 0.3424 0.4015 42.2
4 Andrew McCutchen 0.3537 0.4084 41.1
5 Austin Jackson 0.3115 0.3703 40.2
6 Chase Headley 0.3281 0.3785 39.7
7 Ian Desmond 0.2985 0.3629 38.7
8 Buster Posey 0.3567 0.4096 36.1
9 Yadier Molina 0.3186 0.3756 35.6
10 Melky Cabrera 0.3238 0.3886 35.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.3282 0.4107 46.4
2 Eric Hosmer 0.3577 0.2939 44.1
3 Dustin Ackley 0.3329 0.2777 43.4
4 Adrián González 0.3909 0.3481 36.0
5 Austin Jackson 0.3039 0.3703 34.8
6 J.J. Hardy 0.3280 0.2896 34.4
7 Casey Kotchman 0.3278 0.2705 33.6
8 Yunel Escobar 0.3261 0.2815 33.2
9 Edwin Encarnación 0.3413 0.4015 32.4
10 Albert Pujols 0.4057 0.3676 32.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Norichika Aoki 0.1920 0.0935 63.6
2 Cody Ransom 0.2110 0.3865 46.8
3 Prince Fielder 0.1771 0.1217 44.9
4 Bryan LaHair 0.2009 0.3263 44.0
5 David Wright 0.2229 0.1672 43.8
6 Michael Brantley 0.1524 0.0920 42.7
7 Josh Hamilton 0.1797 0.2547 41.6
8 Curtis Granderson 0.2202 0.2851 37.8
9 Kirk Nieuwenhuis 0.1920 0.3121 34.7
10 Lucas Duda 0.1795 0.2614 33.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Ransom 0.1920 0.3865 50.7
2 Prince Fielder 0.1692 0.1217 42.8
3 David Wright 0.2135 0.1672 40.8
4 Josh Hamilton 0.1781 0.2547 39.5
5 Jason Kipnis 0.2018 0.1622 36.4
6 Jason Kubel 0.1884 0.2644 35.1
7 Anthony Rizzo 0.2480 0.1685 34.6
8 Adam LaRoche 0.2496 0.2133 32.9
9 Logan Forsythe 0.2387 0.1629 31.6
10 Lucas Duda 0.1782 0.2614 31.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Hamilton 0.1800 0.2547 47.6
2 Jason Kubel 0.1866 0.2644 44.5
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2902 0.2215 40.2
4 Curtis Granderson 0.2266 0.2851 40.1
5 Prince Fielder 0.1791 0.1217 39.5
6 Bryan LaHair 0.2324 0.3263 35.7
7 Carlos Beltrán 0.1432 0.2003 35.5
8 A.J. Pierzynski 0.0854 0.1500 33.7
9 A.J. Ellis 0.1463 0.2119 33.2
10 Cody Ransom 0.2716 0.3865 32.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adrián González 0.1248 0.0614 40.7
2 Edwin Encarnación 0.0857 0.1304 31.3
3 Joey Votto 0.1362 0.1979 31.1
4 Albert Pujols 0.1237 0.0776 28.3
5 Dan Uggla 0.1087 0.1492 28.0
6 Miguel Montero 0.0843 0.1274 26.9
7 Joe Mauer 0.1059 0.1404 24.6
8 Alexei Ramirez 0.0682 0.0258 24.0
9 Buster Posey 0.0783 0.1131 23.6
10 Yunel Escobar 0.0982 0.0576 22.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adrián González 0.1272 0.0614 40.3
2 Albert Pujols 0.1346 0.0776 33.5
3 Dan Uggla 0.1077 0.1492 30.6
4 Joey Votto 0.1433 0.1979 29.2
5 Edwin Encarnación 0.0929 0.1304 28.6
6 Miguel Montero 0.0883 0.1274 26.4
7 Jason Heyward 0.1350 0.0891 25.3
8 B.J. Upton 0.1174 0.0711 24.9
9 Miguel Cabrera 0.1343 0.0947 22.8
10 Yunel Escobar 0.1019 0.0576 22.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adrián González 0.1177 0.0614 40.9
2 Miguel Cabrera 0.1385 0.0947 32.9
3 Albert Pujols 0.1205 0.0776 31.0
4 Jason Heyward 0.1311 0.0891 29.6
5 B.J. Upton 0.1133 0.0711 28.9
6 Dan Uggla 0.1030 0.1492 26.9
7 Yunel Escobar 0.0972 0.0576 26.2
8 Edwin Encarnación 0.0868 0.1304 25.9
9 Alexei Ramirez 0.0607 0.0258 23.8
10 Joey Votto 0.1479 0.1979 22.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Ruiz 0.0148 0.0380 9.9
2 Jon Jay 0.0122 0.0299 9.0
3 Norichika Aoki 0.0083 0.0221 8.3
4 Carlos Pena 0.0108 0.0217 6.7
5 Miguel Montero 0.0098 0.0209 6.6
6 Josh Harrison 0.0032 0.0254 6.2
7 Tyler Greene 0.0220 0.0030 6.2
8 Edwin Encarnación 0.0080 0.0171 6.1
9 Hunter Pence 0.0017 0.0102 6.1
10 Scott Moore 0.0048 0.0307 6.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Ruiz 0.0155 0.0380 9.7
2 Jon Jay 0.0117 0.0299 9.4
3 Norichika Aoki 0.0069 0.0221 9.2
4 Carlos Pena 0.0113 0.0217 6.5
5 Daniel Nava 0.0083 0.0284 6.5
6 Hunter Pence 0.0021 0.0102 5.9
7 Miguel Montero 0.0112 0.0209 5.9
8 Buster Posey 0.0129 0.0033 5.5
9 Craig Gentry 0.0172 0.0372 5.5
10 Colby Rasmus 0.0030 0.0112 5.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Ruiz 0.0165 0.0380 9.2
2 Jon Jay 0.0144 0.0299 8.0
3 Sean Rodríguez 0.0300 0.0088 7.1
4 Carlos Pena 0.0113 0.0217 6.5
5 Hunter Pence 0.0015 0.0102 6.3
6 Colby Rasmus 0.0017 0.0112 6.2
7 Norichika Aoki 0.0122 0.0221 6.1
8 Miguel Montero 0.0109 0.0209 6.0
9 Jason Heyward 0.0122 0.0031 5.7
10 Buster Posey 0.0128 0.0033 5.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Dunn 0.0775 0.1277 30.5
2 Chase Headley 0.0237 0.0686 29.1
3 Josh Hamilton 0.0594 0.1051 27.0
4 Brandon Moss 0.0270 0.1186 26.2
5 Edwin Encarnación 0.0511 0.0923 24.5
6 Chris Davis 0.0481 0.0946 24.3
7 Pedro Alvarez 0.0458 0.0862 21.8
8 Curtis Granderson 0.0711 0.1051 21.1
9 Adrián González 0.0615 0.0342 20.9
10 Josh Reddick 0.0346 0.0688 20.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Hamilton 0.0593 0.1051 27.7
2 Chase Headley 0.0272 0.0686 27.3
3 Adam Dunn 0.0874 0.1277 24.7
4 Edwin Encarnación 0.0521 0.0923 24.4
5 Curtis Granderson 0.0679 0.1051 23.9
6 Adrián González 0.0656 0.0342 23.1
7 Mike Trout 0.0329 0.0703 22.4
8 A.J. Pierzynski 0.0230 0.0665 21.5
9 Brandon Moss 0.0452 0.1186 21.1
10 Ian Desmond 0.0242 0.0623 19.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adrián González 0.0655 0.0342 26.4
2 Josh Hamilton 0.0565 0.1051 26.3
3 Chase Headley 0.0255 0.0686 25.1
4 Carlos Pena 0.0893 0.0597 22.1
5 Mark Reynolds 0.1094 0.0767 21.5
6 Edwin Encarnación 0.0531 0.0923 20.6
7 Brett Lawrie 0.0574 0.0267 20.3
8 Justin Upton 0.0636 0.0387 20.2
9 Mike Trout 0.0316 0.0703 20.1
10 Brandon Moss 0.0441 0.1186 19.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.2760 0.3829 68.1
2 Torii Hunter 0.3061 0.3882 47.8
3 Andrew McCutchen 0.3055 0.3747 46.4
4 Tyler Colvin 0.2565 0.3537 43.8
5 Ike Davis 0.3182 0.2464 42.1
6 Jemile Weeks 0.3303 0.2500 41.1
7 Alcides Escobar 0.2758 0.3386 40.5
8 Aaron Hill 0.2568 0.3160 39.4
9 Dustin Ackley 0.3199 0.2643 37.3
10 Melky Cabrera 0.3043 0.3785 37.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.2983 0.3829 52.6
2 Torii Hunter 0.2965 0.3882 52.2
3 Andrew McCutchen 0.2997 0.3747 49.0
4 Ike Davis 0.3160 0.2464 41.9
5 Melky Cabrera 0.2984 0.3785 39.0
6 Miguel Montero 0.3006 0.3615 33.7
7 Buster Posey 0.3107 0.3675 33.3
8 Alex Gordon 0.3080 0.3564 33.3
9 Tyler Colvin 0.2784 0.3537 33.1
10 Joey Votto 0.3336 0.4043 32.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Torii Hunter 0.2931 0.3882 55.1
2 Andrew McCutchen 0.3045 0.3747 46.8
3 Eric Hosmer 0.3282 0.2552 44.1
4 Ike Davis 0.3169 0.2464 41.6
5 Mike Trout 0.3174 0.3829 41.4
6 Melky Cabrera 0.3071 0.3785 35.5
7 Joey Votto 0.3299 0.4043 35.0
8 Miguel Montero 0.3016 0.3615 33.9
9 Derek Jeter 0.3013 0.3436 30.8
10 Casey Kotchman 0.2918 0.2315 30.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.2031 0.2947 58.1
2 Torii Hunter 0.2347 0.3239 51.7
3 Andrew McCutchen 0.2172 0.2943 51.4
4 Dexter Fowler 0.2159 0.2928 40.4
5 Ike Davis 0.2318 0.1719 35.4
6 Miguel Montero 0.2210 0.2828 35.0
7 Melky Cabrera 0.2255 0.2890 31.4
8 Alcides Escobar 0.2175 0.2657 30.8
9 Mark Trumbo 0.2023 0.2548 30.3
10 Russell Martin 0.2236 0.1623 30.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Torii Hunter 0.2189 0.3239 55.2
2 Andrew McCutchen 0.2065 0.2943 51.9
3 Mike Trout 0.2160 0.2947 43.6
4 Dexter Fowler 0.2071 0.2928 39.8
5 Miguel Montero 0.2047 0.2828 38.7
6 Ichiro Suzuki 0.2779 0.2373 33.9
7 Russell Martin 0.2166 0.1623 31.4
8 Billy Butler 0.2174 0.2720 29.9
9 Anthony Rizzo 0.1625 0.2529 29.4
10 Ike Davis 0.2115 0.1719 29.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Torii Hunter 0.2262 0.3239 56.7
2 Andrew McCutchen 0.2138 0.2943 53.7
3 Dexter Fowler 0.2165 0.2928 40.1
4 Miguel Montero 0.2127 0.2828 39.8
5 Mike Trout 0.2413 0.2947 33.7
6 Melky Cabrera 0.2220 0.2890 33.3
7 Derek Jeter 0.2445 0.2889 32.4
8 Jay Bruce 0.2273 0.1772 32.0
9 Eric Hosmer 0.2490 0.1995 30.0
10 Russell Martin 0.2232 0.1623 29.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.0925 0.1588 31.7
2 Aramis Ramirez 0.0665 0.1075 26.1
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0753 0.1153 23.7
4 Denard Span 0.0426 0.0835 23.5
5 Kevin Youkilis 0.0932 0.0478 23.0
6 Brian Bogusevic 0.0900 0.0356 21.8
7 Buster Posey 0.0600 0.0931 20.4
8 Shin-Soo Choo 0.0707 0.0993 19.9
9 Michael Saunders 0.0526 0.0866 19.0
10 Justin Ruggiano 0.0618 0.1186 18.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.0982 0.1588 32.8
2 Aramis Ramirez 0.0782 0.1075 23.8
3 Denard Span 0.0507 0.0835 23.5
4 Kevin Youkilis 0.0983 0.0478 21.4
5 Anthony Rizzo 0.1241 0.0575 21.4
6 Justin Upton 0.0987 0.0569 21.0
7 Norichika Aoki 0.0531 0.0792 20.3
8 Colby Rasmus 0.0929 0.0526 19.9
9 Michael Cuddyer 0.0731 0.1119 18.6
10 Mike Napoli 0.0965 0.0439 18.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Votto 0.0863 0.1588 33.8
2 Kevin Youkilis 0.0892 0.0478 21.8
3 Denard Span 0.0437 0.0835 21.8
4 Aramis Ramirez 0.0716 0.1075 21.7
5 Shin-Soo Choo 0.0689 0.0993 19.9
6 Justin Upton 0.0850 0.0569 18.6
7 Colby Rasmus 0.0807 0.0526 18.5
8 Jesus Montero 0.0805 0.0490 18.2
9 Mike Napoli 0.0849 0.0439 17.7
10 Michael Saunders 0.0537 0.0866 17.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ángel Pagán 0.0150 0.0296 9.7
2 Melky Cabrera 0.0064 0.0256 9.7
3 Mike Trout 0.0052 0.0202 9.6
4 Dustin Ackley 0.0184 0.0042 9.4
5 Bryce Harper 0.0074 0.0227 9.2
6 Starling Marte 0.0074 0.0517 8.1
7 Tyler Colvin 0.0174 0.0340 7.6
8 Orlando Hudson 0.0118 0.0383 7.5
9 Alex Rios 0.0049 0.0162 7.4
10 Quintin Berry 0.0074 0.0278 6.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Melky Cabrera 0.0079 0.0256 8.8
2 Bryce Harper 0.0084 0.0227 8.5
3 Brett Lawrie 0.0231 0.0075 8.4
4 Orlando Hudson 0.0087 0.0383 8.3
5 Ángel Pagán 0.0169 0.0296 8.3
6 Starling Marte 0.0115 0.0517 7.3
7 Daniel Descalso 0.0068 0.0236 7.1
8 Todd Frazier 0.0043 0.0197 7.1
9 Dustin Ackley 0.0144 0.0042 6.8
10 Alex Rios 0.0056 0.0162 6.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0089 0.0227 9.0
2 Ángel Pagán 0.0173 0.0296 9.0
3 Dustin Ackley 0.0184 0.0042 8.6
4 Melky Cabrera 0.0104 0.0256 8.3
5 Orlando Hudson 0.0112 0.0383 8.0
6 Elvis Andrus 0.0074 0.0164 7.4
7 Brett Lawrie 0.0226 0.0075 7.4
8 Jason Kipnis 0.0206 0.0084 7.3
9 Quintin Berry 0.0074 0.0278 7.2
10 Alex Rios 0.0064 0.0162 7.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1286 0.2019 47.6
2 Bryce Harper 0.1164 0.1642 29.3
3 Freddie Freeman 0.1076 0.1468 25.0
4 Shane Victorino 0.1429 0.1081 22.3
5 Melky Cabrera 0.1250 0.1677 22.0
6 Chase Headley 0.1061 0.1359 21.7
7 Albert Pujols 0.1593 0.1269 20.9
8 A.J. Pierzynski 0.0918 0.1308 20.9
9 Justin Upton 0.1398 0.1704 20.0
10 Jesus Montero 0.1193 0.0832 19.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1303 0.2019 47.9
2 Bryce Harper 0.1075 0.1642 35.9
3 Adrián González 0.1575 0.1096 30.4
4 Carlos Gómez 0.1000 0.1593 28.3
5 Melky Cabrera 0.1183 0.1677 26.4
6 Yunel Escobar 0.1396 0.0954 24.8
7 Andrew McCutchen 0.1277 0.1590 23.4
8 Chris Denorfia 0.0891 0.1466 23.3
9 Darwin Barney 0.0882 0.1241 23.2
10 Jon Jay 0.0968 0.1394 23.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Harper 0.0956 0.1642 39.5
2 Wilin Rosario 0.0920 0.1573 26.8
3 Hanley Ramirez 0.1541 0.1184 25.4
4 Austin Jackson 0.1246 0.1669 24.6
5 Shane Victorino 0.1417 0.1081 24.0
6 Mike Trout 0.1622 0.2019 23.8
7 Melky Cabrera 0.1218 0.1677 21.8
8 Kyle Seager 0.1260 0.0952 21.6
9 Howie Kendrick 0.1296 0.0960 21.4
10 Josh Hamilton 0.1273 0.1619 20.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

RBI Rate

Biggest RBI Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chase Headley 0.0980 0.1645 46.5
2 Edwin Encarnación 0.1155 0.1708 35.6
3 Alex Rodriguez 0.1688 0.1078 32.3
4 Miguel Cabrera 0.1576 0.1994 29.1
5 Kyle Seager 0.0877 0.1321 28.9
6 Zack Cozart 0.1036 0.0583 27.2
7 Jeff Francoeur 0.1254 0.0813 26.6
8 Jemile Weeks 0.0909 0.0391 26.4
9 Chris Davis 0.1049 0.1512 26.0
10 Josh Hamilton 0.1606 0.2013 25.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chase Headley 0.0858 0.1645 55.5
2 Allen Craig 0.1150 0.1790 33.3
3 Carlos Ruiz 0.0862 0.1615 32.0
4 Jeff Francoeur 0.1294 0.0813 28.7
5 Carlos Beltrán 0.1114 0.1567 28.5
6 Jemile Weeks 0.0926 0.0391 27.0
7 Jonathan Lucroy 0.0928 0.1676 26.1
8 Michael Young 0.1429 0.1029 25.6
9 Alfonso Soriano 0.1350 0.1756 25.4
10 Josh Willingham 0.1384 0.1789 25.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chase Headley 0.0986 0.1645 42.4
2 Alex Rodriguez 0.1738 0.1078 37.7
3 Miguel Cabrera 0.1507 0.1994 30.3
4 Edwin Encarnación 0.1219 0.1708 28.1
5 Jeff Francoeur 0.1216 0.0813 27.5
6 Jose Altuve 0.0965 0.0587 27.1
7 Carlos Pena 0.1407 0.1017 26.6
8 Will Middlebrooks 0.0944 0.1888 25.5
9 Josh Reddick 0.0833 0.1263 25.4
10 Mike Trout 0.0855 0.1299 25.0

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Stolen Base Rate

Biggest Stolen Base Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.0938 0.2579 103.9
2 Carlos Gómez 0.2000 0.3936 86.8
3 Everth Cabrera 0.1754 0.3667 85.2
4 Norichika Aoki 0.0738 0.1935 69.5
5 Darin Mastroianni 0.0600 0.4038 63.7
6 Shane Victorino 0.1449 0.2378 60.8
7 Tony Campana 0.2778 0.5882 59.3
8 Jose Altuve 0.1013 0.1964 59.0
9 Dee Strange-Gordon 0.2235 0.4000 57.7
10 Omar Infante 0.0395 0.1360 55.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Norichika Aoki 0.0521 0.1935 80.9
2 Carlos Gómez 0.2272 0.3936 73.5
3 Shane Victorino 0.1267 0.2378 71.4
4 Everth Cabrera 0.2267 0.3667 61.1
5 Jason Kipnis 0.0738 0.1685 61.0
6 Omar Infante 0.0288 0.1360 60.8
7 Elvis Andrus 0.1797 0.1055 55.5
8 Tony Campana 0.2957 0.5882 55.4
9 Emilio Bonifácio 0.1666 0.3704 54.8
10 Alexei Ramirez 0.0516 0.1429 54.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Norichika Aoki 0.0556 0.1935 85.1
2 Shane Victorino 0.1429 0.2378 67.8
3 Omar Infante 0.0299 0.1360 66.4
4 Carlos Gómez 0.2588 0.3936 64.0
5 Jason Kipnis 0.0861 0.1685 59.9
6 Alexei Ramirez 0.0566 0.1429 57.8
7 Michael Bourn 0.2995 0.2111 57.4
8 Quintin Berry 0.0738 0.2360 55.8
9 Alexi Casilla 0.1373 0.2958 53.9
10 Tony Campana 0.3284 0.5882 51.2

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Batting Average

Biggest Batting Average Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.2421 0.3256 54.9
2 Aaron Hill 0.2465 0.3021 38.8
3 Andrew McCutchen 0.2726 0.3272 38.4
4 Alex Rios 0.2530 0.3041 34.3
5 Buster Posey 0.2830 0.3358 33.8
6 Melky Cabrera 0.2816 0.3464 33.7
7 Jemile Weeks 0.2883 0.2207 33.3
8 Tyler Colvin 0.2236 0.2905 31.3
9 Alcides Escobar 0.2505 0.2926 28.8
10 Eric Hosmer 0.2817 0.2318 28.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.2544 0.3256 46.7
2 Andrew McCutchen 0.2715 0.3272 38.8
3 Melky Cabrera 0.2783 0.3464 35.1
4 Aaron Hill 0.2563 0.3021 31.9
5 Buster Posey 0.2865 0.3358 31.3
6 Torii Hunter 0.2615 0.3127 31.1
7 Alex Rios 0.2622 0.3041 28.1
8 Eric Hosmer 0.2808 0.2318 28.1
9 Carlos Ruiz 0.2610 0.3253 27.9
10 Derek Jeter 0.2809 0.3163 27.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eric Hosmer 0.3040 0.2318 45.6
2 Mike Trout 0.2666 0.3256 35.1
3 Andrew McCutchen 0.2735 0.3272 33.4
4 Derek Jeter 0.2675 0.3163 33.1
5 Melky Cabrera 0.2845 0.3464 29.0
6 Torii Hunter 0.2612 0.3127 27.7
7 Buster Posey 0.2872 0.3358 27.2
8 Alex Rios 0.2589 0.3041 26.4
9 Dustin Ackley 0.2607 0.2257 26.0
10 Brendan Ryan 0.2447 0.1941 25.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

On-Base Percentage

Biggest On-Base Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.3082 0.3991 61.5
2 Edwin Encarnación 0.3234 0.3835 42.2
3 Aaron Hill 0.3031 0.3598 41.5
4 Buster Posey 0.3459 0.4082 41.3
5 Joey Votto 0.4054 0.4737 35.0
6 Austin Jackson 0.3289 0.3772 33.1
7 Melky Cabrera 0.3322 0.3900 31.6
8 Yunel Escobar 0.3560 0.2995 31.1
9 Miguel Montero 0.3425 0.3909 30.8
10 Andrew McCutchen 0.3599 0.3997 30.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.3294 0.3991 49.4
2 Edwin Encarnación 0.3328 0.3835 37.6
3 Joey Votto 0.4024 0.4737 37.5
4 Aaron Hill 0.3140 0.3598 35.7
5 Albert Pujols 0.4031 0.3433 35.0
6 Buster Posey 0.3587 0.4082 34.9
7 Miguel Montero 0.3379 0.3909 34.8
8 Melky Cabrera 0.3292 0.3900 34.3
9 Austin Jackson 0.3297 0.3772 34.1
10 Yunel Escobar 0.3593 0.2995 31.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dustin Ackley 0.3481 0.2939 40.2
2 Mike Trout 0.3383 0.3991 35.1
3 Yunel Escobar 0.3508 0.2995 34.8
4 Casey Kotchman 0.3417 0.2797 33.9
5 Albert Pujols 0.3881 0.3433 33.9
6 Eric Hosmer 0.3539 0.3043 33.1
7 Hanley Ramirez 0.3649 0.3223 32.3
8 Adrián González 0.3836 0.3436 31.4
9 Joey Votto 0.4022 0.4737 31.2
10 Austin Jackson 0.3215 0.3772 30.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Slugging Percentage

Biggest Slugging Percentage Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.3968 0.5635 106.2
2 Chase Headley 0.3908 0.4983 74.8
3 Alex Rios 0.3984 0.5157 74.7
4 Aaron Hill 0.4101 0.5222 74.5
5 Edwin Encarnación 0.4444 0.5572 72.3
6 Ian Desmond 0.3816 0.5107 70.4
7 Brandon Moss 0.3602 0.5962 69.7
8 Andrew McCutchen 0.4492 0.5531 69.6
9 Buster Posey 0.4437 0.5491 63.9
10 Carlos Pena 0.4565 0.3541 61.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.4065 0.5635 104.6
2 Aaron Hill 0.4150 0.5222 76.1
3 Chase Headley 0.3966 0.4983 75.8
4 Andrew McCutchen 0.4515 0.5531 73.0
5 Ian Desmond 0.3859 0.5107 72.0
6 Edwin Encarnación 0.4560 0.5572 69.6
7 Carlos Ruiz 0.3867 0.5403 67.5
8 Adam LaRoche 0.4129 0.5096 67.0
9 Alex Rios 0.4180 0.5157 66.8
10 Yadier Molina 0.3902 0.5010 66.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.4139 0.5635 83.4
2 Eric Hosmer 0.4736 0.3589 80.0
3 Dustin Ackley 0.4098 0.3278 67.5
4 Carlos Pena 0.4467 0.3541 67.0
5 Ian Desmond 0.3784 0.5107 62.0
6 Chase Headley 0.3919 0.4983 61.1
7 Brett Lawrie 0.4983 0.4049 60.3
8 Brandon Moss 0.3750 0.5962 59.8
9 Justin Upton 0.5052 0.4296 59.4
10 Alex Rios 0.4043 0.5157 59.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Biggest Batters Faced (BF) Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wei-Yin Chen 1 818 817.0
2 Yu Darvish 1 816 815.0
3 Chris Carpenter 820 72 748.0
4 Roberto Hernandez 756 62 694.0
5 Mike Pelfrey 774 85 689.0
6 Lucas Harrell 207 827 620.0
7 Tim Stauffer 629 24 605.0
8 Chris Narveson 642 41 601.0
9 John Lannan 731 144 587.0
10 Matt Moore 183 759 576.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Stauffer 684 24 660.0
2 Lucas Harrell 172 827 655.0
3 Chris Carpenter 714 72 642.4
4 Mike Pelfrey 714 85 629.0
5 Jose Quintana 1 568 567.0
6 John Danks 788 238 549.8
7 Daniel Hudson 748 202 546.4
8 Scott Diamond 180 714 533.9
9 Carl Pavano 800 268 532.3
10 Wade Miley 286 807 520.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Carpenter 853 72 781.0
2 Roberto Hernandez 784 62 721.9
3 Mike Pelfrey 789 85 704.1
4 Brad Hand 681 23 658.1
5 Barry Enright 673 20 652.9
6 John Lannan 788 144 644.0
7 Julio Teheran 668 24 644.0
8 Brandon Dickson 675 32 643.0
9 John Ely 650 19 631.0
10 Thad Weber 654 24 630.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

wOBA

Biggest wOBA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ricky Romero 0.3054 0.3586 43.4
2 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.3032 0.3566 42.4
3 Kris Medlen 0.3132 0.2340 41.6
4 Iván Nova 0.3124 0.3671 40.4
5 A.J. Burnett 0.3402 0.2939 40.1
6 Kyle Lohse 0.3200 0.2761 38.6
7 Randy Wolf 0.3176 0.3735 38.5
8 Tommy Hanson 0.2973 0.3473 37.4
9 Fernando Rodney 0.3215 0.1901 37.3
10 Jonathan Sánchez 0.3071 0.4175 35.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Fiers 0.1839 0.3013 55.1
2 R.A. Dickey 0.3087 0.2778 42.6
3 Kyle Lohse 0.3073 0.2761 40.0
4 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.2945 0.3566 37.9
5 Ricky Romero 0.2994 0.3586 36.6
6 Iván Nova 0.3044 0.3671 35.6
7 Gio González 0.2872 0.2597 35.0
8 Fernando Rodney 0.2966 0.1901 34.3
9 Tommy Hanson 0.2873 0.3473 34.2
10 Justin Verlander 0.2843 0.2650 32.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.2726 0.3566 55.5
2 Tommy Hanson 0.2644 0.3473 51.6
3 Ricky Romero 0.2826 0.3586 50.5
4 Tim Lincecum 0.2568 0.3309 48.7
5 Randy Wolf 0.2941 0.3735 45.0
6 Iván Nova 0.2996 0.3671 39.2
7 Ian Kennedy 0.2722 0.3302 38.6
8 Jon Lester 0.2763 0.3332 36.7
9 Jeremy Guthrie 0.2904 0.3509 35.8
10 Fernando Rodney 0.2970 0.1901 34.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Strikeout Rate

Biggest Strikeout Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 R.A. Dickey 0.1569 0.2481 74.0
2 Henderson Alvarez III 0.1721 0.0979 69.0
3 Derek Lowe 0.1646 0.0859 57.6
4 Max Scherzer 0.2122 0.2935 55.0
5 Clayton Richard 0.1651 0.1176 53.6
6 Wandy Rodriguez 0.2068 0.1589 51.9
7 Aroldis Chapman 0.2477 0.4420 50.5
8 Yu Darvish 0.1978 0.2708 50.3
9 Jon Lester 0.2345 0.1895 49.4
10 Craig Kimbrel 0.2964 0.5022 44.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 R.A. Dickey 0.1392 0.2481 85.8
2 Wei-Yin Chen 0.0924 0.1883 65.0
3 Max Scherzer 0.2041 0.2935 57.5
4 Yu Darvish 0.1920 0.2708 51.0
5 Jon Lester 0.2297 0.1895 49.5
6 Clayton Richard 0.1546 0.1176 48.6
7 Ricky Romero 0.1890 0.1496 46.2
8 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.2185 0.1776 46.1
9 Henderson Alvarez III 0.1379 0.0979 45.5
10 Wandy Rodriguez 0.1932 0.1589 44.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 R.A. Dickey 0.1486 0.2481 67.9
2 Zack Greinke 0.2728 0.2304 59.6
3 Ricky Nolasco 0.1951 0.1502 59.2
4 Wandy Rodriguez 0.1995 0.1589 58.6
5 Jon Lester 0.2299 0.1895 58.5
6 Clayton Richard 0.1555 0.1176 58.4
7 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.2201 0.1776 55.3
8 Ricky Romero 0.1877 0.1496 53.4
9 Derek Lowe 0.1404 0.0859 51.7
10 Henderson Alvarez III 0.1307 0.0979 47.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Walk Rate

Biggest Walk Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Clayton Richard 0.0899 0.0462 37.9
2 Wade Miley 0.0898 0.0458 33.8
3 Ricky Romero 0.0898 0.1267 32.3
4 Scott Diamond 0.0873 0.0434 29.8
5 Aaron Harang 0.0774 0.1081 25.9
6 Yu Darvish 0.0798 0.1091 25.6
7 Jeff Samardzija 0.1129 0.0775 24.0
8 Samuel Deduno 0.0862 0.1527 23.8
9 Francisco Liriano 0.0981 0.1255 20.5
10 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0947 0.1180 20.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wade Miley 0.0974 0.0458 39.0
2 Clayton Richard 0.0913 0.0462 38.1
3 Ricky Romero 0.0903 0.1267 32.9
4 Yu Darvish 0.0749 0.1091 30.6
5 Chris Sale 0.1084 0.0661 30.2
6 Aaron Harang 0.0739 0.1081 29.5
7 Scott Diamond 0.0878 0.0434 29.3
8 Jeff Samardzija 0.1194 0.0775 27.9
9 Samuel Deduno 0.0798 0.1527 26.4
10 Tim Lincecum 0.0855 0.1091 22.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yu Darvish 0.0553 0.1091 49.3
2 Ricky Romero 0.0867 0.1267 38.6
3 Aaron Harang 0.0684 0.1081 36.5
4 Wade Miley 0.0956 0.0458 34.8
5 Clayton Richard 0.0900 0.0462 33.9
6 Jeff Samardzija 0.1285 0.0775 32.1
7 Chris Sale 0.1123 0.0661 30.5
8 Justin Masterson 0.0728 0.0971 28.1
9 Tim Lincecum 0.0837 0.1091 26.4
10 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0937 0.1180 24.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Hit By Pitch Rate

Biggest Hit By Pitch Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Clay Buchholz 0.0060 0.0150 7.3
2 Gavin Floyd 0.0095 0.0193 7.1
3 Lucas Harrell 0.0097 0.0012 6.9
4 James Shields 0.0048 0.0117 6.6
5 Luke Hochevar 0.0083 0.0163 6.4
6 Daniel Bard 0.0070 0.0289 6.1
7 Jon Lester 0.0108 0.0046 5.4
8 Jeff Francis 0.0058 0.0159 5.1
9 Kris Medlen 0.0099 0.0000 5.1
10 Will Ohman 0.0084 0.0536 5.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gavin Floyd 0.0090 0.0193 7.8
2 Lucas Harrell 0.0101 0.0012 6.9
3 Clay Buchholz 0.0072 0.0150 6.6
4 James Shields 0.0055 0.0117 6.2
5 Luke Hochevar 0.0091 0.0163 6.1
6 Henderson Alvarez III 0.0114 0.0037 5.9
7 Daniel Bard 0.0085 0.0289 5.8
8 Ian Kennedy 0.0101 0.0156 5.3
9 Wade Miley 0.0094 0.0025 5.2
10 Félix Hernández 0.0079 0.0128 5.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gavin Floyd 0.0088 0.0193 8.9
2 Clay Buchholz 0.0059 0.0150 8.7
3 James Shields 0.0044 0.0117 8.6
4 Luke Hochevar 0.0086 0.0163 7.6
5 Daniel Bard 0.0033 0.0289 7.6
6 Henderson Alvarez III 0.0147 0.0037 7.4
7 Félix Hernández 0.0071 0.0128 7.1
8 Lucas Harrell 0.0113 0.0012 6.9
9 Wade Miley 0.0121 0.0025 6.3
10 Ricky Nolasco 0.0039 0.0096 6.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Home Run Rate

Biggest Home Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ervin Santana 0.0381 0.0695 21.4
2 Philip Humber 0.0285 0.0699 17.5
3 Edinson Volquez 0.0452 0.0272 17.2
4 A.J. Burnett 0.0464 0.0300 16.9
5 Iván Nova 0.0273 0.0529 16.6
6 Wade Miley 0.0367 0.0224 14.3
7 Derek Holland 0.0376 0.0604 14.1
8 Kevin Millwood 0.0417 0.0249 14.0
9 Aaron Harang 0.0390 0.0247 13.9
10 Tommy Hunter 0.0413 0.0688 13.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ervin Santana 0.0426 0.0695 18.6
2 Justin Verlander 0.0441 0.0291 16.8
3 Johnny Cueto 0.0391 0.0228 16.7
4 Iván Nova 0.0285 0.0529 16.3
5 Tommy Hunter 0.0384 0.0688 16.0
6 Aaron Harang 0.0415 0.0247 15.2
7 Derek Holland 0.0382 0.0604 14.3
8 Clayton Kershaw 0.0394 0.0265 13.9
9 Gio González 0.0305 0.0169 13.3
10 Felix Doubront 0.0303 0.0515 13.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ervin Santana 0.0397 0.0695 20.3
2 Derek Holland 0.0363 0.0604 15.2
3 Jose Quintana 0.0548 0.0317 15.0
4 Gio González 0.0316 0.0169 14.9
5 Tommy Hunter 0.0410 0.0688 14.1
6 Jason Vargas 0.0318 0.0509 14.0
7 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0243 0.0447 13.8
8 Jason Marquis 0.0268 0.0542 13.5
9 Travis Wood 0.0298 0.0534 13.2
10 Philip Humber 0.0389 0.0699 12.8

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

BABIP

Biggest BABIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Minor 0.3281 0.2520 56.5
2 Randy Wolf 0.2806 0.3372 38.5
3 Jonathon Niese 0.3183 0.2724 37.3
4 Ervin Santana 0.2857 0.2414 35.0
5 Travis Wood 0.2962 0.2438 35.0
6 Brandon Beachy 0.3041 0.2000 33.7
7 Madison Bumgarner 0.3131 0.2763 32.5
8 Iván Nova 0.2873 0.3313 31.9
9 Vance Worley 0.2845 0.3397 31.7
10 Derek Holland 0.3025 0.2610 31.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Fiers 0.1457 0.3192 95.3
2 Randy Wolf 0.2919 0.3372 34.0
3 Rick Porcello 0.3050 0.3443 33.3
4 Max Scherzer 0.2954 0.3333 32.4
5 Ervin Santana 0.2855 0.2414 31.2
6 Travis Wood 0.2951 0.2438 31.2
7 Vance Worley 0.2946 0.3397 28.5
8 Iván Nova 0.2967 0.3313 28.3
9 Kyle Lohse 0.2974 0.2621 27.6
10 Mark Buehrle 0.3054 0.2701 26.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Randy Wolf 0.2698 0.3372 44.7
2 Rick Porcello 0.2942 0.3443 36.6
3 Mike Minor 0.2956 0.2520 34.2
4 Ricky Romero 0.2664 0.3111 34.2
5 Iván Nova 0.2850 0.3313 32.1
6 Ervin Santana 0.2793 0.2414 31.6
7 Travis Wood 0.2879 0.2438 30.8
8 Vance Worley 0.2855 0.3397 30.0
9 Ross Detwiler 0.3035 0.2633 30.0
10 Scott Diamond 0.3302 0.2920 29.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Single Rate

Biggest Single Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Travis Wood 0.2174 0.1490 45.3
2 Edwin Jackson 0.2340 0.1855 39.4
3 Mike Minor 0.2344 0.1855 36.6
4 Gio González 0.2330 0.1943 32.9
5 Madison Bumgarner 0.2391 0.2021 32.6
6 Ervin Santana 0.2134 0.1724 32.4
7 Aaron Harang 0.2329 0.1938 31.8
8 James McDonald 0.2270 0.1838 31.8
9 David Price 0.2040 0.2432 31.6
10 Derek Holland 0.2284 0.1928 27.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Fiers 0.1457 0.2345 88.7
2 Will Smith 0.2203 0.2646 47.5
3 Jose Quintana 0.2203 0.2266 46.6
4 Travis Wood 0.2951 0.1490 45.7
5 Joe Kelly 0.2203 0.2372 42.3
6 Justin Germano 0.2203 0.2747 41.6
7 Christian Friedrich 0.2203 0.2529 40.8
8 Patrick Corbin 0.2203 0.2308 39.1
9 Félix Hernández 0.2893 0.2539 37.9
10 Kelvin Herrera 0.2203 0.2542 37.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Travis Wood 0.2879 0.1490 45.3
2 Félix Hernández 0.2790 0.2539 41.4
3 David Price 0.2715 0.2432 34.2
4 Scott Diamond 0.3302 0.2150 32.9
5 Jonny Venters 0.2708 0.3182 30.5
6 Ross Detwiler 0.3035 0.1906 30.1
7 Randy Wolf 0.2698 0.2437 30.0
8 Mike Minor 0.2956 0.1855 29.9
9 A.J. Griffin 0.2203 0.2397 29.7
10 James McDonald 0.2942 0.1838 29.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Double Rate

Biggest Double Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Iván Nova 0.0670 0.1038 27.5
2 Rick Porcello 0.0534 0.0869 26.2
3 Chris Capuano 0.0841 0.0575 21.8
4 A.J. Burnett 0.0771 0.0515 21.8
5 David Price 0.0662 0.0417 20.5
6 Mike Minor 0.0875 0.0605 19.7
7 Tommy Hanson 0.0655 0.0905 19.0
8 Ricky Nolasco 0.0730 0.0505 18.8
9 Zack Greinke 0.0745 0.0539 17.9
10 Jonathon Niese 0.0739 0.0520 17.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jose Quintana 0.0652 0.0654 36.9
2 A.J. Griffin 0.0652 0.0248 35.5
3 David Phelps 0.0652 0.0462 34.8
4 Eric Stults 0.0652 0.0466 34.6
5 Joe Kelly 0.0652 0.0601 32.1
6 Aaron Laffey 0.0652 0.0559 31.9
7 Samuel Deduno 0.0652 0.0405 31.2
8 Héctor Santiago 0.0652 0.0294 30.9
9 Travis Blackley 0.0652 0.0610 30.8
10 Miguel González 0.0652 0.0625 29.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Griffin 0.0652 0.0248 35.5
2 Travis Blackley 0.0652 0.0610 30.8
3 Miguel González 0.0652 0.0625 29.5
4 Iván Nova 0.0000 0.1038 28.9
5 David Price 0.0000 0.0417 19.6
6 J.A. Happ 0.0000 0.0961 19.4
7 Tommy Hanson 0.0000 0.0905 19.3
8 Rick Porcello 0.0000 0.0869 17.0
9 Félix Hernández 0.0000 0.0473 16.8
10 Kip Wells 0.0652 0.0325 16.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Triple Rate

Biggest Triple Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Sánchez 0.0059 0.0329 8.8
2 Wade Miley 0.0042 0.0148 8.4
3 Ian Kennedy 0.0055 0.0146 8.1
4 Chad Billingsley 0.0078 0.0202 7.8
5 Iván Nova 0.0043 0.0140 7.1
6 Collin McHugh 0.0073 0.0746 6.7
7 Bruce Chen 0.0023 0.0100 6.3
8 Homer Bailey 0.0072 0.0145 6.3
9 David Price 0.0074 0.0000 6.2
10 Jeremy Guthrie 0.0087 0.0017 5.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Sánchez 0.0000 0.0329 8.4
2 Chad Billingsley 0.0000 0.0202 8.2
3 Ian Kennedy 0.0000 0.0146 6.6
4 Homer Bailey 0.0000 0.0145 6.3
5 David Price 0.0000 0.0000 6.1
6 Bronson Arroyo 0.0000 0.0000 6.1
7 Ricky Romero 0.0000 0.0000 6.1
8 Wade Miley 0.0000 0.0148 6.0
9 Edwin Jackson 0.0000 0.0148 5.9
10 Collin McHugh 0.0073 0.0746 5.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Sánchez 0.0000 0.0329 8.4
2 Chad Billingsley 0.0000 0.0202 8.2
3 Collin McHugh 0.0000 0.0746 6.7
4 Ian Kennedy 0.0000 0.0146 6.6
5 Homer Bailey 0.0000 0.0145 6.3
6 David Price 0.0000 0.0000 6.1
7 Bronson Arroyo 0.0000 0.0000 6.1
8 Ricky Romero 0.0000 0.0000 6.1
9 Wade Miley 0.0000 0.0148 6.0
10 Edwin Jackson 0.0000 0.0148 5.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Run Rate

Biggest Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Lincecum 0.0905 0.1345 35.0
2 Kris Medlen 0.1139 0.0500 34.0
3 Ricky Romero 0.1046 0.1472 34.0
4 Kyle Lohse 0.1224 0.0856 33.2
5 Jon Lester 0.0997 0.1336 28.2
6 Randy Wolf 0.1076 0.1474 26.7
7 A.J. Burnett 0.1302 0.1011 26.2
8 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.1107 0.1441 25.6
9 Ervin Santana 0.1086 0.1427 24.8
10 Clay Buchholz 0.0974 0.1297 24.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Hochevar 0.1141 0.1588 35.7
2 Kris Medlen 0.1141 0.0500 33.3
3 Clayton Kershaw 0.1141 0.0777 32.8
4 David Price 0.1141 0.0754 32.4
5 Nick Blackburn 0.1141 0.1776 29.0
6 Johnny Cueto 0.1141 0.0822 28.3
7 Justin Verlander 0.1141 0.0847 28.1
8 R.A. Dickey 0.1141 0.0841 27.8
9 Ricky Romero 0.1141 0.1472 27.4
10 Matt Cain 0.1141 0.0833 27.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Lincecum 0.0826 0.1345 45.5
2 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0960 0.1441 41.3
3 Ricky Romero 0.1021 0.1472 40.0
4 Jon Lester 0.0952 0.1336 36.4
5 Justin Masterson 0.1008 0.1347 33.5
6 Tommy Hanson 0.0900 0.1248 28.9
7 Luke Hochevar 0.1259 0.1588 28.8
8 Randy Wolf 0.1104 0.1474 28.0
9 Clay Buchholz 0.0986 0.1297 27.5
10 Roy Halladay 0.0826 0.1207 26.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Earned Run Rate

Biggest Earned Run Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Lincecum 0.0829 0.1297 37.2
2 Ricky Romero 0.0935 0.1399 37.1
3 Kris Medlen 0.1040 0.0462 31.0
4 Kyle Lohse 0.1093 0.0775 28.9
5 Roy Halladay 0.0750 0.1207 28.4
6 Randy Wolf 0.0999 0.1416 28.0
7 Nick Blackburn 0.1152 0.1776 27.7
8 Jon Lester 0.0930 0.1256 27.0
9 A.J. Burnett 0.1221 0.0928 26.4
10 Fernando Rodney 0.1063 0.0177 25.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 R.A. Dickey 0.1153 0.0766 36.7
2 Tim Lincecum 0.0867 0.1297 34.8
3 Kyle Lohse 0.1152 0.0775 33.2
4 Ricky Romero 0.1020 0.1399 30.8
5 Johnny Cueto 0.1077 0.0755 29.4
6 Jon Lester 0.0928 0.1256 28.0
7 Luke Hochevar 0.1118 0.1475 27.9
8 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0985 0.1317 26.1
9 Kris Medlen 0.0928 0.0462 24.7
10 Wei-Yin Chen 0.1339 0.1051 24.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Lincecum 0.0770 0.1297 47.2
2 Ricky Romero 0.0955 0.1399 40.6
3 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.0902 0.1317 37.1
4 Jon Lester 0.0890 0.1256 36.0
5 Justin Masterson 0.0941 0.1247 31.9
6 Roy Halladay 0.0768 0.1207 31.3
7 Randy Wolf 0.1027 0.1416 30.4
8 Luke Hochevar 0.1173 0.1475 27.8
9 Josh Johnson 0.0714 0.1015 27.7
10 Nick Blackburn 0.1227 0.1776 27.1

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Win Rate

Biggest Win Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Sale 0.0732 0.5667 333.2
2 R.A. Dickey 0.2000 0.5882 302.5
3 Lance Lynn 0.0909 0.5143 268.9
4 Matt Harrison 0.2381 0.5625 229.9
5 Gio González 0.3250 0.6563 221.4
6 David Price 0.3250 0.6452 215.9
7 Wade Miley 0.1786 0.5000 209.4
8 Jarrod Parker 0.1111 0.4483 206.7
9 Johnny Cueto 0.2857 0.5758 202.6
10 Yu Darvish 0.2497 0.5517 195.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lance Lynn 0.1161 0.5143 300.4
2 R.A. Dickey 0.3062 0.5882 266.6
3 Phil Hughes 0.2007 0.5000 248.5
4 Lucas Harrell 0.0566 0.3438 242.1
5 Gio González 0.3676 0.6563 241.9
6 Cliff Lee 0.4669 0.2000 221.3
7 Jeff Samardzija 0.0491 0.3214 200.9
8 Johnny Cueto 0.3617 0.5758 195.0
9 Jered Weaver 0.4212 0.6667 185.5
10 Chris Sale 0.3489 0.5667 172.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cliff Lee 0.5517 0.2000 301.1
2 Jon Lester 0.5333 0.2727 231.6
3 Johnny Cueto 0.3448 0.5758 201.7
4 Lance Lynn 0.2414 0.5143 200.2
5 Wade Miley 0.2593 0.5000 191.2
6 Gio González 0.4242 0.6563 187.6
7 Jeff Samardzija 0.0704 0.3214 178.7
8 R.A. Dickey 0.3929 0.5882 177.6
9 Ricky Romero 0.4839 0.2813 171.1
10 Tim Lincecum 0.5000 0.3030 165.6

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Loss Rate

Biggest Loss Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 0.0889 0.4643 223.9
2 Mat Latos 0.3000 0.1212 209.8
3 Nathan Eovaldi 0.1538 0.5909 195.3
4 Kyle Lohse 0.2368 0.0909 182.8
5 Henderson Alvarez III 0.1613 0.4516 181.3
6 Josh Johnson 0.1600 0.4516 180.3
7 Josh Beckett 0.1944 0.5000 175.1
8 Erik Bedard 0.2059 0.5833 173.7
9 Justin Germano 0.1111 0.7143 172.0
10 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.2703 0.5484 171.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 0.0476 0.4643 309.1
2 Lucas Harrell 0.0474 0.3438 254.0
3 Kyle Lohse 0.3815 0.0909 241.7
4 Phil Hughes 0.1700 0.4063 201.4
5 R.A. Dickey 0.3990 0.1765 196.2
6 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.3266 0.5484 187.3
7 Matt Cain 0.3569 0.1563 166.3
8 Josh Beckett 0.2833 0.5000 166.1
9 Kyle Kendrick 0.0993 0.3243 159.0
10 Scott Feldman 0.0949 0.3793 158.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeff Samardzija 0.0704 0.4643 288.0
2 Josh Johnson 0.1500 0.4516 244.3
3 Kyle Lohse 0.3636 0.0909 231.7
4 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.2903 0.5484 211.4
5 Justin Germano 0.0968 0.7143 199.1
6 Josh Beckett 0.2400 0.5000 193.1
7 Erik Bedard 0.2667 0.5833 178.9
8 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2692 0.5909 171.6
9 Hisashi Iwakuma 0.5000 0.1667 170.6
10 Justin Masterson 0.2727 0.4412 156.7

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Save Rate

Biggest Save Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jim Johnson 0.1042 0.7183 171.3
2 Jason Motte 0.0755 0.6269 160.1
3 Aroldis Chapman 0.0278 0.5588 152.8
4 Tyler Clippard 0.0185 0.4324 134.0
5 Fernando Rodney 0.1944 0.6316 129.6
6 Tom Wilhelmsen 0.0476 0.3973 121.3
7 Alfredo Aceves 0.0488 0.3623 121.3
8 Rafael Betancourt 0.0600 0.5167 113.1
9 Addison Reed 0.0714 0.4677 99.7
10 Rafael Soriano 0.2895 0.6087 95.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Rodney 0.0000 0.6316 178.0
2 Rafael Soriano 0.0392 0.6087 158.8
3 Aroldis Chapman 0.0222 0.5588 148.0
4 Tyler Clippard 0.0242 0.4324 125.2
5 Alfredo Aceves 0.0158 0.3623 124.9
6 Tom Wilhelmsen 0.0172 0.3973 123.7
7 Heath Bell 0.6875 0.2603 122.3
8 Jordan Walden 0.7188 0.0222 119.9
9 Brandon League 0.5982 0.2027 119.2
10 Carlos Marmol 0.6961 0.3279 91.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jim Johnson 0.0000 0.7183 185.7
2 Fernando Rodney 0.0000 0.6316 170.2
3 Jason Motte 0.0000 0.6269 167.1
4 Rafael Soriano 0.0000 0.6087 162.0
5 Chris Perez 0.0000 0.6393 148.0
6 Craig Kimbrel 0.0000 0.6667 147.6
7 Aroldis Chapman 0.0000 0.5588 146.5
8 Jonathan Papelbon 0.0000 0.5429 146.3
9 Joel Hanrahan 0.0000 0.5714 138.1
10 Joe Nathan 0.0000 0.5606 136.9

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

Hold Rate

Biggest Hold Rate Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Sale 0.1951 0.0000 122.4
2 Mitchell Boggs 0.0750 0.4359 117.6
3 Francisco Rodríguez 0.1176 0.4103 100.4
4 Daniel Bard 0.3585 0.0000 89.2
5 Vinnie Pestano 0.2500 0.5143 86.0
6 Jason Grilli 0.2000 0.5000 82.1
7 Joel Peralta 0.2222 0.4868 79.5
8 Edward Mujica 0.1667 0.4286 77.0
9 Sean Doolittle 0.0524 0.4091 75.1
10 Kris Medlen 0.0526 0.1600 74.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lance Lynn 0.1875 0.0286 117.6
2 Jeff Samardzija 0.1579 0.0000 113.5
3 Lucas Harrell 0.1316 0.0000 108.1
4 Ronald Belisario 0.0000 0.3382 97.0
5 Rafael Soriano 0.3922 0.0580 93.0
6 Mitchell Boggs 0.1400 0.4359 87.9
7 Anthony Bass 0.2500 0.0417 85.2
8 Vicente Padilla 0.0385 0.4107 81.4
9 Alex Cobb 0.1364 0.0000 77.1
10 Jason Grilli 0.2034 0.5000 72.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vinnie Pestano 0.0000 0.5143 132.1
2 Joel Peralta 0.0000 0.4868 114.7
3 Mitchell Boggs 0.0000 0.4359 113.5
4 Jason Grilli 0.0000 0.5000 109.2
5 Francisco Rodríguez 0.0000 0.4103 109.1
6 Joaquín Benoit 0.0000 0.4110 103.3
7 David Robertson 0.0000 0.4615 101.5
8 Edward Mujica 0.0000 0.4286 97.0
9 Matt Belisle 0.0000 0.3250 94.9
10 Sean Burnett 0.0000 0.4429 93.3

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

ERA

Biggest ERA Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ricky Romero 3.5131 5.7680 1778.9
2 Tim Lincecum 3.1116 5.1774 1614.4
3 Jonathan Sánchez 3.7821 8.0722 1367.2
4 Kris Medlen 3.9212 1.5652 1281.8
5 Kyle Lohse 4.2004 2.8578 1254.1
6 Nick Blackburn 4.5302 7.3885 1253.7
7 Randy Wolf 3.8194 5.6512 1204.2
8 A.J. Burnett 4.8120 3.5140 1197.3
9 Ubaldo Jiménez 3.8557 5.4000 1155.4
10 Philip Humber 3.8897 6.4412 1128.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 R.A. Dickey 4.5731 2.7347 1693.5
2 Tim Lincecum 3.3052 5.1774 1554.2
3 Ricky Romero 3.9993 5.7680 1475.9
4 Kyle Lohse 4.5301 2.8578 1434.8
5 Johnny Cueto 4.2321 2.7788 1280.2
6 Ubaldo Jiménez 3.8349 5.4000 1269.3
7 Jonathan Sánchez 4.2824 8.0722 1243.1
8 Wei-Yin Chen 5.4119 4.0173 1131.2
9 Nick Blackburn 4.9644 7.3885 1110.7
10 Jon Lester 3.5787 4.8214 1098.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Lincecum 2.9196 5.1774 2147.4
2 Ricky Romero 3.7233 5.7680 1981.1
3 Ubaldo Jiménez 3.5231 5.4000 1788.7
4 Jon Lester 3.4597 4.8214 1495.2
5 Justin Masterson 3.7059 4.9289 1420.7
6 Randy Wolf 4.0449 5.6512 1364.0
7 Jonathan Sánchez 4.3580 8.0722 1327.4
8 Roy Halladay 2.8326 4.4904 1293.8
9 Nick Blackburn 4.9592 7.3885 1265.1
10 Scott Diamond 5.6450 3.5376 1258.4

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.

WHIP

Biggest WHIP Misses

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ricky Romero 1.2583 1.6740 345.9
2 Ubaldo Jiménez 1.2909 1.6132 260.8
3 Jonathan Sánchez 1.3385 2.0876 245.5
4 Wade Miley 1.4416 1.1815 208.6
5 Kyle Lohse 1.3317 1.0900 207.4
6 Mike Minor 1.4326 1.1543 201.5
7 Tim Lincecum 1.2258 1.4677 200.9
8 Fernando Rodney 1.4712 0.7768 195.4
9 Kris Medlen 1.2863 0.9130 193.3
10 R.A. Dickey 1.2544 1.0528 185.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 R.A. Dickey 1.4382 1.0528 305.1
2 Ricky Romero 1.4049 1.6740 269.8
3 Ubaldo Jiménez 1.3606 1.6132 248.7
4 Mike Fiers 1.7706 1.2611 244.3
5 Tim Lincecum 1.2609 1.4677 217.0
6 Kyle Lohse 1.3939 1.0900 213.9
7 Wade Miley 1.4975 1.1815 209.6
8 Jonathan Sánchez 1.5209 2.0876 203.7
9 Scott Diamond 1.5577 1.2428 184.7
10 Matt Cain 1.3059 1.0395 184.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ricky Romero 1.2791 1.6740 405.5
2 Ubaldo Jiménez 1.2964 1.6132 330.9
3 Tim Lincecum 1.1848 1.4677 311.2
4 Tommy Hanson 1.1675 1.4542 289.8
5 Scott Diamond 1.7177 1.2428 271.9
6 Wade Miley 1.5845 1.1815 249.2
7 Randy Wolf 1.3258 1.5729 238.6
8 Jonathan Sánchez 1.4967 2.0876 224.0
9 Josh Johnson 1.1111 1.2805 210.3
10 Justin Masterson 1.3235 1.4540 203.5

Razzball

No data available.

Davenport

No data available.